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Messages - macdanger2

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1
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 1 - 2020
« on: February 13, 2020, 11:47:53 PM »
One of the lads I play a bit of football with is a referee and we had a discussion on it a good while back, his interpretation was that if the blocker's foot made contact with with ball while it was still in contact with the kickers foot it was a stonewall free. However if the ball had left the kickers foot and the blockers foot then made contact with the ball he generally wouldnít whistle it up. Didnít see the incident myself so can't give an opinion on it but just thought Iíd mention one ref's interpretation.

The incident you're describing isn't a foot block AFAIK

2
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 1 - 2020
« on: February 13, 2020, 04:28:33 PM »
I thought it was a definite penalty tbh

3
General discussion / Re: Things that make you go What the F**k?
« on: February 13, 2020, 04:25:57 PM »
Thanks GOTB

Shocking stuff

4
General discussion / Re: Things that make you go What the F**k?
« on: February 13, 2020, 02:27:21 PM »
This should be getting more air time over here. This stuff is still being produced and used today. Dupont have a factory outside Derry as well.

https://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/10/magazine/the-lawyer-who-became-duponts-worst-nightmare.html

Login screen - anyone able to post the text?

5
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 12, 2020, 09:05:40 PM »
Labour apparently ruling themselves out of govt which seems to put the kybosh on (the already unlikely) possibility of a left wing govt.

6
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 12, 2020, 04:10:35 PM »
Brendan Howlin to resign as Labour leader. Leo Varadkar to do the same? Fine Gael had its worst election result since 1948.

Hopefully anyone but Alan Kelly to replace him.

Leo won't resign and I doubt he'll be pushed just yet anyway, maybe in the months ahead though

7
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 12, 2020, 02:59:57 PM »
(A) The Senate is done away with and replaced with an assembly of members elected by professional bodies.

What professional bodies would these be?

Bodies like the Irish Medical Organisation, Engineers Ireland, Law Society of Ireland, Royal Institute of the Architects of Ireland or similar.

There obviously would have to be qualifying criteria - which of course could be adjusted by the established framework: Proposed by Cabinet; passed in both Dail & Professional Assembly.



The big problem would be getting the whole thing off the ground. For which you'd probably need a revolution of sorts (the corrupt turkeys in the Dail aren't going to vote for Christmas) and then drawing of a new constitution. Never gonna happen unfortunately.

TBF, we had a chance to get rid of the senate in 2013 but we rejected it. I'm pretty sure there was all sorts of reform promised at the time.........

8
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 12, 2020, 02:45:55 PM »
So are you saying that supply is not the problem?

Supply is part of the problem.

Landlords having the purchasing power (no doubt many by dint of their rental incomes) to price out folks looking to buy-to-live is another.
landlords are actually exiting the sector
especially small landlords

a lot of houses in towns are being bought by investment funds, renovated and then high rents set as the houses are in good areas
other landlords see the rents rising, so do so likewise

Sorry, yeah, I should have made clear I am encompassing the investment funds within my definition of "landlords".

You'd imagine applying a fair level of taxation on REITs would go a long way to resolving that problem

9
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 12, 2020, 02:37:50 PM »
whats the obssesion in ireland with owning a house.

The current problem isn't necessarily with owning a house, it's moreso the fact that a lack of supply of housing overall has caused rents to increase hugely resulting in increased homelessness and many people spending a large % of their income on rent

It's moreso with the fact that there's a huge incentive for wealthy individuals or investors to purchase housing units and commodities that will yield big profits and appreciate in value.


So are you saying that supply is not the problem?

I'm saying the rental market is a bigger problem. Government policy has put the rental market out of control, housing units then become valuable commodities for investors and wealthy individuals who can yield high profitable returns from buying a house and putting it into the rental market. They are also pricing prospective first time buyers out of the markets two fold, in that extortionate rents stop people from being able to save up necessary deposits and the fact they have easier access of capital to purchase these houses.

Rent is dependent on supply/demand balance the market - nobody would be able to charge these extortionate rents if there was sufficient supply (look back pre-2015 for proof of this). Currently, there's a massive deficit on the supply side

Institutional investors affect the prices houses sell for but not the prices charged for rent.

10
GAA Discussion / Re: GAA record revenues..... why?
« on: February 12, 2020, 12:01:46 PM »
Quote
Other development projects cited include the acquisition of the 31.8 acre property of Cloniffe College adjacent to Croke Park, a deal which concluded after the year's end, with plans for two full-sized pitches, club house and dressing rooms and planned usage "similar to Abbotstown

What's this development for?

I would imagine the Dubs??

Do they not already use Abbotstown? Or is that at capacity? I rarely hear of anything being on there (although presumably someone uses them?)

From OTB website, there's also this quote

Quote
"Clubs, schools and county teams locally and from all over the country," encompasses those who Ryan can foresee using the facilities. "The demand for Abbotstown is such that I expect the Clonliffe pitches to be continually in use."

I'm not sure how much use clubs from around the country will use these facilities. Handy I guess for the local clubs to have the use of such facilities nearby without having to build them

it couls be to support the games in the inner city . I read some where  that in the last 50 years only 2 players from the inner city have played for Dublin, not sure if its much different at under age level?
Also the are loads of schools in and about there .

Isn't that the responsibility of Dublin GAA rather than HQ?

11
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 12, 2020, 10:45:32 AM »
whats the obssesion in ireland with owning a house.

The current problem isn't necessarily with owning a house, it's moreso the fact that a lack of supply of housing overall has caused rents to increase hugely resulting in increased homelessness and many people spending a large % of their income on rent

It's moreso with the fact that there's a huge incentive for wealthy individuals or investors to purchase housing units and commodities that will yield big profits and appreciate in value.


So are you saying that supply is not the problem?

12
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 12, 2020, 10:36:26 AM »
whats the obssesion in ireland with owning a house.

The current problem isn't necessarily with owning a house, it's moreso the fact that a lack of supply of housing overall has caused rents to increase hugely resulting in increased homelessness and many people spending a large % of their income on rent

13
GAA Discussion / Re: GAA record revenues..... why?
« on: February 12, 2020, 10:30:49 AM »
Quote
Other development projects cited include the acquisition of the 31.8 acre property of Cloniffe College adjacent to Croke Park, a deal which concluded after the year's end, with plans for two full-sized pitches, club house and dressing rooms and planned usage "similar to Abbotstown

What's this development for?

I would imagine the Dubs??

Do they not already use Abbotstown? Or is that at capacity? I rarely hear of anything being on there (although presumably someone uses them?)

From OTB website, there's also this quote

Quote
"Clubs, schools and county teams locally and from all over the country," encompasses those who Ryan can foresee using the facilities. "The demand for Abbotstown is such that I expect the Clonliffe pitches to be continually in use."

I'm not sure how much use clubs from around the country will use these facilities. Handy I guess for the local clubs to have the use of such facilities nearby without having to build them

14
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 12, 2020, 10:17:41 AM »
Am I missing something in the economics talk here?

Firstly - I thought SFís manifesto was costed by the Department of Finance and they concluded that when their numbers were run that a budget surplus was still expected?


Secondly - what is the acceptable right/centre-right way of raising the funds to fix the housing, homelessness and housing crises? As I see it you can either tax, borrow or ignore the problem - those are your choices. So assuming you canít ignore it, and you donít want to add to the astronomical  national debt, then presumably youíll raise the funds via tax. If thatís your conclusion then surely you want to tax progressively (I.e. richest pay the most) and is that not how SF have proposed to fix these problems?

SF claim that alright but from their manifesto:

Quote
Provide an additional Ä6.5 billion in order  to deliver over 100,000  public  homes on public  land  to meet social and affordable housing needs

Which seems impossible by any measure. Apart from the labour shortage, I can't see how that number of houses can be built for that kind of money no matter how the money itself is raised.

There was an excellent talk on Morning Ireland yesterday involving academics in the field who said that the scheme amounted to building homes for around Ä234k, of which Ä6.5bn would come from the public purse. The academic was a strong supporter of the policy and suggested that more than Ä6.5bn will be spent by the state over the next few years in rent to private landlords (if we keep going the way we are).

I heard the same. 50k of these new houses are already budgeted for  the challenge isnt the money or the approach, the challenge is getting the labour to build the houses.

Just listened to it there, good piece - you'd wonder why there wasn't more of this type of thing before the election; getting experts to assess policies rather than politicians sh*ting on with soundbites and one liners.

The upshot of it seems to be:
- 50k houses already budgeted for (presumably under Rebuilding Ireland). Didn't say how much budget was already put by for these
- 30k houses using the "O'Cualann" model (https://www.ocualann.ie/about) for affordable purchase. Basically the govt provdies a free site & no development levies on the site (costing ~ 50k/unit) and get someone like O'Cualann to build them (~1.5Bn). (Note that this group has only delivered 50 units to date so 30k looks difficult but the model seems to be good)
- 10k houses for affordable social housing & 10k houses for affordable rental housing - these will cost 234k/unit (4.7Bn)

Assuming they can agree on how to fund this, the main difficulty for the next govt is going to be delivering these within the next 5 years.

They also talked about bulk-buying for raw materials to reduce cost but considering the bureaucracy involved at all levels of govt, it's hard to see that materialising.

15
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 11, 2020, 10:47:06 PM »
Am I missing something in the economics talk here?

Firstly - I thought SFís manifesto was costed by the Department of Finance and they concluded that when their numbers were run that a budget surplus was still expected?


Secondly - what is the acceptable right/centre-right way of raising the funds to fix the housing, homelessness and housing crises? As I see it you can either tax, borrow or ignore the problem - those are your choices. So assuming you canít ignore it, and you donít want to add to the astronomical  national debt, then presumably youíll raise the funds via tax. If thatís your conclusion then surely you want to tax progressively (I.e. richest pay the most) and is that not how SF have proposed to fix these problems?

SF claim that alright but from their manifesto:

Quote
Provide an additional Ä6.5 billion in order  to deliver over 100,000  public  homes on public  land  to meet social and affordable housing needs

Which seems impossible by any measure. Apart from the labour shortage, I can't see how that number of houses can be built for that kind of money no matter how the money itself is raised.

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