General Election prediction thread - call it now

[armaghniac]

Fianna Fail (77) - 22 inc Ceann Comhairle
Fianna Gael (51) - 79
Labour (20) - 34
Green Party (6) - 2
Sinn Fein (4) - 12
PDs (2) - 0
Independents & lefties (6) - 17

[mayogodhelpus@gmail.com]

Fine Gael  - 81
Labour  - 37
Green Party  - 1
Sinn Fein  - 12
Others - 17
Dev/Charlie/RayBurke/Bertie/LiamLawlor/Bev Party of Doom  - 18

[mayogodhelpus@gmail.com]

Who the f**k are Fianna Gael?

[magpie seanie]

Very unscientifically I'll go for:

Fianna Fail (77) - 42
Fine Gael (51) - 66
Labour (20) - 33
Green Party (6) - 1
Sinn Fein (4) - 12
PDs (2) - 0
Independents (6) - 12

FG/Lab coalition government after a long and painful series of talks.

I am recalibrating my estimate.

Fianna Fail (77) - 29
Fine Gael (51) - 76
Labour (20) - 34
Green Party (6) - 0
Sinn Fein (4) - 12
PDs (2) - 0
Independents (6) - 15

[Billys Boots]

Shot in the dark, haven't had time or inclination to do an 'AZ' on it.

Fianna Fail (77) - 30
Fianna Gael (51) - 74
Labour (20) - 31
Green Party (6) - 1
Sinn Fein (4) - 10
PDs (2) - 0
United Left - 5
Independents (6) - 15

[An Gaeilgoir]

Shot in the dark, haven't had time or inclination to do an 'AZ' on it.

Fianna Fail (77) - 30
Fianna Gael (51) - 74
Labour (20) - 31
Green Party (6) - 1
Sinn Fein (4) - 10
PDs (2) - 0
United Left - 5
Independents (6) - 15

Based on the tea bag left in my cup this morning;

Fianna Fail (77) - 24
Fianna Gael (51) - 79
Labour (20) - 26
Green Party (6) - 1
Sinn Fein (4) - 13
PDs (2) - 0
United Left - 3
Independents (6) - 19

[Lar Naparka]

Fianna Fail (77) - 28
Fianna Gael (51) - 78
Labour (20) - 30
Green Party (6) - 1
Sinn Fein (4) - 12
PDs (2) - 0
Independents (6) – 17

Fine Gael could sneak into the 80s with a little bit of luck. Enda could have 80-81 with Fianna Fail losing ground as a result.
It is next to impossible to predict the number of Independents who will make the cut as each case has to be judged on its individual merits and most if not all the go it alone brigade have concerns about local issues.  I see Labour and Sinn Fein being involved in  more long counts than either FF or FG. Both of those parties  will be fighting for the last seat in a large number of constituencies. I'm reasonably happy with my predictions for the two larger parties but I'm hedging my bets on Lab and SF-- I'd allow a plus or minus three in both cases.

[Croí na hÉireann]

Fianna Fail (77) - 22 inc Ceann Comhairle
Fianna Gael (51) - 79
Labour (20) - 35
Green Party (6) - 1
Sinn Fein (4) - 12
PDs (2) - 0
Independents & lefties (6) - 17

Near enough the same as armaghniac

[Bogball XV]

Who the f**k are Fianna Gael?

it's often difficult to tell the difference.

Are we still allowed to discuss the election or does the moratorium apply online too?

[Rossfan]

Blueshirts 64
Gilmore's Goons 39
FFBuildersbankers 34
Ex gunmen/young clean cut articulates 11
Gormless's clowns 1
Ming 1
United lefties/commies/stalinists /well meaning eejits 2
Independents 14

Now revised
Blueshirts 69
Gilmore's Goons 34
FFBuildersbankers 35
Ex gunmen / young clean cut shinies/Marylou 11
Gormless's clowns 1
Ming 1
United lefties/commies/stalinists /well meaning eejits 2
Independents 13

Kenny/Gilbore (was he ever a member of the IRA) will both throw away their works of fiction manifestos next week and publish their programme for Government most of which will never be achieved but sure what the hell. At least the FFingers will be gone from the pie.

[sammymaguire]

Fianna Fáil (77) - 23
Fine Gael (51) - 70
Labour (20) - 35
Green Party (6) - 2
Sinn Féin (4) - 19
PDs (2) - 0
Independents (6) - 17

Does this give enough for the predicted FG/Labour govt?? Poor bastards trying to clean up someone else's mess 

[Tubberman]

Fianna Fáil (77) - 23
Fine Gael (51) - 70
Labour (20) - 35
Green Party (6) - 2
Sinn Féin (4) - 19
PDs (2) - 0
Independents (6) - 17

Does this give enough for the predicted FG/Labour govt?? Poor b**tards trying to clean up someone else's mess 

Yeah sure they only need 84 isn't it?

[sammymaguire]

Fianna Fáil (77) - 23
Fine Gael (51) - 70
Labour (20) - 35
Green Party (6) - 2
Sinn Féin (4) - 19
PDs (2) - 0
Independents (6) - 17

Does this give enough for the predicted FG/Labour govt?? Poor b**tards trying to clean up someone else's mess 

Yeah sure they only need 84 isn't it?

Not sure, in that case, maybe they will drag the Indos along to be whipped into line...?

[muppet]

Who the f**k are Fianna Gael?

It is the new party that will be formed after tomorrow's caning for FF. 

That and a typo.

[muppet]

Final tally:

FG: 76
Labour: 37
FF: 20
Ind: 15
SF: 14
Others: 4

We have a winner:

Very unscientifically I'll go for:

Fianna Fail (77) - 42
Fine Gael (51) - 66
Labour (20) - 33
Green Party (6) - 1
Sinn Fein (4) - 12
PDs (2) - 0
Independents (6) - 12

FG/Lab coalition government after a long and painful series of talks.

I am recalibrating my estimate.

Fianna Fail (77) - 29
Fine Gael (51) - 76
Labour (20) - 34
Green Party (6) - 0
Sinn Fein (4) - 12
PDs (2) - 0
Independents (6) - 15