Election 2011 Offical Thread.

[GalwayBayBoy]

Election inspiring some good t-shirts anyway.

[mayogodhelpus@gmail.com]

Lenihan now says it would be undemocratic for him to make a decision about putting more money into the banks (or not), rofl. Didn't stop him for the last 3 years.

[seafoid]

Tony Killeen is blogging on the FF site. the chutzpah is breathtaking

None of these positions are credible. This election has only just started and Labour have turned their backs on the difficult but correct decisions required to support recovery for Ireland. Instead they are busy fighting a street fight for extremists on the left.

The banks have rendered Ireland insolvent, Tony. There is no money in the kitty. Ireland can't recover unless the banks are taken apart and whatever is still good can be identified and put in a new vehicle that actually works.

Here is Cormac Lucey's analysis of the Plan 

Consider the scale of the total fiscal adjustment required in Ireland. We had already (prior to the December budget) seen fiscal adjustments of the order of €15b. The December budget started another round of adjustments totalling the same amount.
So the total fiscal adjustment package currently envisaged for Ireland amounts to around €30b or 25% of GNP. That is a staggeringly huge adjustment. For comparison, when the UK called in the IMF in 1976, its public sector borrowing requirement (the parlance of the day) never even reached 7% of GNP.

It is the scale of the total adjustment which calls into question the political doability of Smaghi's (ECB) Plan A. Among other issues which Smaghi does not consider are:
a. the appropriateness of the Eurozone, as currently constituted, as a single currency area; or
b. the appropriateness of debt for equity swaps at our banks (as opposed to the endless replenishing of bank balance sheet holes by the public).But you won't hear any of this from Tony. 

[Declan]

Primetime last night- Ross, Matthews, Gurdgiev and Doherty all saying the same thing re the bondholders and taxpayers paying off bankers private gambling debt - unreal stuff yet FF/FG and Lab still propagate the same old crap

[mylestheslasher]

It seems to me events are passing out Labour, FF & FG with even some important people in europe resigned to the fact that Ireland cannot pay this debt back. However, these 3 parties have been so adamant that they would have to that they cannot shift position now for fear of discrediting themselves. Add to that list David McWilliams and Declan Ganley as others I have heard recently saying the same thing.

[AZOffaly]

Our GAA board prediction results are in for the first 4 constituencies, namely Cavan - Monaghan, Donegal North East, Donegal North West and Sligo - North Leitrim. If our results predictions are upheld it appears as if the north west is going to be very fertile ground for Sinn Féin, but slightly disappointing for Labour. FF, as expected, beaten into third.




The overall running total in terms of percentage of the Dáil is :

[omagh_gael]

Good work AZ. Will be interesting to see if these stats reflect the overall results.

[RedandGreenSniper]

They are very fertile areas for SF though. And I don't think Labour are too sure of winning a seat in any of those constituencies. I think the vote will follow what will happen in each of them - with Lab and FF battling for the last seat in Donegal NW.

[Boycey]

Very impressive AZ, are you thinking of doing any actual work between now and the election.

Useful election pullout in the Racing Post from a betting perspective.

[RedandGreenSniper]

Very impressive AZ, are you thinking of doing any actual work between now and the election.

Useful election pullout in the Racing Post from a betting perspective.

Was just looking at prices on Paddy Power and got some land to see a girl I knew in Australia is running for FG in Meath West. Catherine Yore, priced at 11/10. What do the Meath folk reckon of her chances? Surely Johnny Brady is in trouble after his attempts at 'poor me' comments this week?

[All of a Sludden]

AZ have you considered that many people voting in the above poll are not entitled to vote in this election.

[AZOffaly]

AZ have you considered that many people voting in the above poll are not entitled to vote in this election.

I have indeed, which is why I repeatedly say it is not a 'poll', it is a prediction. I want to see how far away the GAABoard is from reality when the votes are counted.

[Banana Man]

AZ have you considered that many people voting in the above poll are not entitled to vote in this election.

jeysus wept - it's a prediction, leave all party allegiances at the door and predict what way you think it will pan out to see how close we are....

[Nally Stand]

AZ have you considered that many people voting in the above poll are not entitled to vote in this election.

You would make some bookmaker... "No betting on election results unless you are eligible to vote in the election!!"

[All of a Sludden]

AZ have you considered that many people voting in the above poll are not entitled to vote in this election.

You would make some bookmaker... "No betting on election results unless you are eligible to vote in the election!!"

I`ll bet you €50 that you`ll never vote in an Irish election.