Race for the ARAS 2025

[From the Bunker]

Connolly now 5/6 favourite with PP and Gavin out to 10/1.

Country folk don't like pompous Jackeens.

I'm waiting for the - ''But he's a member of the GAA........ and he saved football!''

[Fogarty]

Connolly now 5/6 favourite with PP and Gavin out to 10/1.

Country folk don't like pompous Jackeens.

I'm waiting for the - ''But he's a member of the GAA........ and he saved football!''

Gavin ruined football in the first place with his tedious keep ball football.
His Dublin team were nearly as boring as he was.

[seafoid]

Ukraine doesn't seem to resonate with voters.
Jim Gavin isn't doing very well. The GAA angle
is weaker than expected. As the face of the 6 in a row he's unlikely to pick up votes in Kerry and Mayo

[Look-Up!]

Martin had a hard on for him for some reason, probably because it shafted Kelleher. Pissed off plenty in FF so doubt voters will rally for party colours either. GAA angle is surely weak too. Can stand MM less than McGregor. If he resurrected John Joe Reilly to run for FF no way I'd vote.

[whitey]

Hypothetically-if Gavin and Humphrey's supporters entered a pact to just vote one and two, wouldn't one of them be almost guaranteed to win ?

[armaghniac]

Ukraine doesn't seem to resonate with voters.
Jim Gavin isn't doing very well. The GAA angle
is weaker than expected. As the face of the 6 in a row he's unlikely to pick up votes in Kerry and Mayo

I was in a taxi last week and the driver seemed to think that more people had been killed in Gaza than Ukraine!
It is truly shameful that SF, a party who advocate that Ireland should be free from its imperial neighbour, should support a candidate who believes that Ukraine should be subject to whatever is convenient for Russia. Is this what the men in 1916 died for?

[Blowitupref]

Opinion poll on the Irish independent

C Connolly 32%
H Humphreys 23%
J Gavin 15%

[PadraicHenryPearse]

Ukraine doesn't seem to resonate with voters.
Jim Gavin isn't doing very well. The GAA angle
is weaker than expected. As the face of the 6 in a row he's unlikely to pick up votes in Kerry and Mayo

I was in a taxi last week and the driver seemed to think that more people had been killed in Gaza than Ukraine!
It is truly shameful that SF, a party who advocate that Ireland should be free from its imperial neighbour, should support a candidate who believes that Ukraine should be subject to whatever is convenient for Russia. Is this what the men in 1916 died for?

that's not what she believes

[Look-Up!]

That rent story on Gavin very very damaging. Pure scummy act if what's reported is true. And his defense was "poor me at the time".

[weareros]

That rent story on Gavin very very damaging. Pure scummy act if what's reported is true. And his defense was "poor me at the time".

Could see Gavin dropping out. His election is done.

[From the Bunker]

Opinion poll on the Irish independent

C Connolly 32%
H Humphreys 23%
J Gavin 15%

Spoiled votes 30%

[Tubberman]

That rent story on Gavin very very damaging. Pure scummy act if what's reported is true. And his defense was "poor me at the time".

Yeah. That'll sink him, but he was on his way of comfortably finishing last anyway.

[Blowitupref]

Opinion poll on the Irish independent

C Connolly 32%
H Humphreys 23%
J Gavin 15%

Spoiled votes 30%

Spoiled votes in previous president election.

1945 50,287
1959 24,089
1966 9,910
1973 6,946
1990 9,444
1997 9,852
2011 18,676
2018 18,438

Spoils were 1.2% of turnout in 2018 and were 4.4% of turnout in 1945


Another poll

Would you have voted for Maria Steen if she had got on the ballot?

No: 63%
Yes: 22%

Unsure: 15%

[Fogarty]

Steen voters who were planning on staying away or spoiling their votes may now change their minds with the prospect of Catherine Connolly being elected.

[dec]

Opinion poll on the Irish independent

C Connolly 32%
H Humphreys 23%
J Gavin 15%

Any news on where second preferences would go? I would suspect that most, but not all, Gavin voters would give their 2nd preference to HH.