The Many Faces of US Politics...

Started by Tyrones own, March 20, 2009, 09:29:14 PM

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Eamonnca1

There's a postal ballot blue shift expected in Pennsylvania. Trump's 9% ahead there, this is expected because the mail ballots are counted later than the day-of ballots.

Georgia's an interesting one:

We are waiting on further returns from Georgia, and a small batch of about 25,000 votes has come in that narrowed Trump's edge in the state from about 2.2 points to 1.8 points, according to data from ABC News. Now 93 percent of the expected vote is in, so it remains to be seen whether enough Democratic votes are out there to overcome Trump's roughly 85,000-vote lead, or whether the president will hold on. But the outstanding votes do tend to come from counties in the Atlanta metro area, where Biden leads.

armaghniac

If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

Eamonnca1

Wi was supposed to be easier for Biden to win than PA. Could be ominous for PA.

armaghniac

Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 04, 2020, 06:20:53 PM
Wi was supposed to be easier for Biden to win than PA. Could be ominous for PA.

WI ended within the 1%, hence the entitlement to a recount. PA is uncertain.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

Eamonnca1

Quoth Wisconsin Elections:

"Remember, the unofficial numbers being reported for Wisconsin come from the news media. The state doesn't have its own election night system for unofficial results. The WEC won't start getting official numbers from county clerks til next week."

This could explain why the networks haven't called it yet.

Eamonnca1

Of the 200,000 uncounted votes in Georgia, most come from left-leaning areas of metropolitan Atlanta, suggesting they're likely to skew Democratic.

An estimated 200,000 votes remain uncounted in Georgia, officials say — that's more than double Trump's current margin over Biden in the state

armaghniac

Trump is 80,000 ahead. So Biden would need three quarters of the 200,000. He'll get that in some of the districts near Atlanta, but there are some country districts with a few votes as well and these will give Trump something. A narrow victory (10,000?) for Trump seems most probable.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

Rudi

PP has Trump at 2/1.

The entertainment & dynamics in US elections is fantastic. Irish and UK elections are over before they've even started.

Rossfan

Irish ones?????
How long are you gone from the Country ?
Davy's given us a dream to cling to
We're going to bring home the SAM

Main Street

Quote from: J70 on November 04, 2020, 03:14:36 PM
Quote from: five points on November 04, 2020, 03:05:31 PM
Quote from: J70 on November 04, 2020, 03:02:20 PM
Quote from: five points on November 04, 2020, 03:00:28 PM
Quote from: bannside on November 04, 2020, 02:58:27 PM
In all my years I never saw a 4/1 chance fluctuate to 1/5 so quickly in whats basically a two horse race. It looks like the so called experts havent a clue whats going on in that crazy mixed up place...where the acting president publicly wants to flout the key principle of democracy....and yet still manages to get circa 49% of the country voting for him.

For that alone this cowboy deserves to be in the WTF thread on this discussion board.

Where is your evidence for this?

Seriously?

He's very publicly railing against the counting of votes!

Something he's been threatening for months.

Again where did he say this? Not in his press conference speech this morning when he called for no voting after the polls had closed.

He didn't say no counting, which would have been nonsensical as votes have to be counted sometime after polls close.

Fair enough.

He did however say that the election was being stolen. Given that no voting was taking place after the "poles" had closed, and no one had or has presented anything remotely resembling evidence that it was, what else could his implication have been?

Do you think it was a responsible bit of rhetoric for a president or presidential candidate to put out, especially with the country on a knife-age bracing for trouble?
But Trump did not call for "no voting after the polls had closed" 

From his "victory" podium, this morning  he said   "We will be going to the US supreme court, we want all voting to stop".
Which ranks as one of the most stupid statements he has made today, but it's just another brain fart in the life of Trump.

Perhaps as usual some people will jump through hoolahops to explain that he did not mean that,  he actually meant this. .....



Franko

Quote from: five points on November 04, 2020, 03:05:31 PM
Quote from: J70 on November 04, 2020, 03:02:20 PM
Quote from: five points on November 04, 2020, 03:00:28 PM
Quote from: bannside on November 04, 2020, 02:58:27 PM
In all my years I never saw a 4/1 chance fluctuate to 1/5 so quickly in whats basically a two horse race. It looks like the so called experts havent a clue whats going on in that crazy mixed up place...where the acting president publicly wants to flout the key principle of democracy....and yet still manages to get circa 49% of the country voting for him.

For that alone this cowboy deserves to be in the WTF thread on this discussion board.

Where is your evidence for this?

Seriously?

He's very publicly railing against the counting of votes!

Something he's been threatening for months.

Again where did he say this? Not in his press conference speech this morning when he called for no voting after the polls had closed.

He didn't say no counting, which would have been nonsensical as votes have to be counted sometime after polls close.

Now they ARE saying no counting.

There's some legs left in this one yet.

The Orangeman will pull every dirty stroke he can to hold onto this one.

Milltown Row2

Had Fox on today in background some craic, have some CNN on now, still democratic media but not in the same ball park as Fox!

Pennsylvania will go Trump, and he's still wanting to question and go to court about the votes!
None of us are getting out of here alive, so please stop treating yourself like an after thought. Ea

screenexile

Looking at the count centre in Detroit there... loads of people trying to get in to "monitor" the count.

The longer this goes on the messier it could get!!  Apparently Giuliani and Eric are due to have a Press Conference in PA at some stage... the circus continues!!!

sid waddell

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 04, 2020, 08:48:57 PM
Had Fox on today in background some craic, have some CNN on now, still democratic media but not in the same ball park as Fox!

Pennsylvania will go Trump, and he's still wanting to question and go to court about the votes!
Highly doubtful, Biden is closing like a train

Nate Cohn of the NY Times thinks Biden will overhaul Trump

But the threat of Trump stealing an election he has lost is very real

Captain Obvious

Quote from: Rudi on November 04, 2020, 06:54:29 PM
PP has Trump at 2/1.

The entertainment & dynamics in US elections is fantastic. Irish and UK elections are over before they've even started.

Back out to 7/2 again.