I'll be consistent and predict a double digit victory for Armagh. I mean Monaghan beat Derry, and then Armagh beat Monaghan by 9pts. 
Realistically the only thing Derry have in their favour is the extended planning time. Though Armagh still have two weeks, plus playing in front of a partisan home crowd, buoyed by the fact they are Ulster Champions.
The match ups with Conaty and McMullan will be vital. And the bench too, Derry don't have an option like Oisin O'Neill or Ross McQuillan to enter the fray after 50mins.
Armagh are +30 for the last 3 meetings in league and Championship against Derry. Outside of the 2023 Ulster Final, Derry haven't beat Armagh in the C'ship since 2011. That probably won't change this year.

Realistically the only thing Derry have in their favour is the extended planning time. Though Armagh still have two weeks, plus playing in front of a partisan home crowd, buoyed by the fact they are Ulster Champions.
The match ups with Conaty and McMullan will be vital. And the bench too, Derry don't have an option like Oisin O'Neill or Ross McQuillan to enter the fray after 50mins.
Armagh are +30 for the last 3 meetings in league and Championship against Derry. Outside of the 2023 Ulster Final, Derry haven't beat Armagh in the C'ship since 2011. That probably won't change this year.