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Messages - Estimator

#1
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 2 - 2026
February 04, 2026, 12:30:22 PM
Quote from: Dreadnought on February 04, 2026, 12:11:55 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on February 04, 2026, 10:46:44 AM
Quote from: Estimator on February 04, 2026, 09:44:27 AM
Quote from: tyroneStatto on February 03, 2026, 11:54:45 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on February 03, 2026, 10:48:02 PMCould be the first ever meeting of London v Tyrone in the Tailteann later this season.

That would make iit an interesting year for the GAA statistician community in Tyrone.

Pretty sure Cavan haven't beaten Tyrone in the league since 1997. Was at that game in O'Neill Park, Cavan got a late winner and went on to win the Ulster Championship. If Cavan somehow manage a win this time around then Tyrone v London could not be subsequently ruled out.

Is that like the Meath/Cavan Breffni Park stat?? Meath hadn't beaten Cavan in Breffni since 1965.. in reality they only played in Breffni four times since '65 and one of them was a draw.
Haven't beat them much in any competition in recent years have they?
Won a McKenna Cup game vs them in 2017 I think? But yeah no League or Championship since 1997 (few draws though).

According to Google (might not be accurate) it's 18 games.
Won 0
Draw 3
Lost 15
#2
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 2 - 2026
February 04, 2026, 09:44:27 AM
Quote from: tyroneStatto on February 03, 2026, 11:54:45 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on February 03, 2026, 10:48:02 PMCould be the first ever meeting of London v Tyrone in the Tailteann later this season.

That would make iit an interesting year for the GAA statistician community in Tyrone.

Pretty sure Cavan haven't beaten Tyrone in the league since 1997. Was at that game in O'Neill Park, Cavan got a late winner and went on to win the Ulster Championship. If Cavan somehow manage a win this time around then Tyrone v London could not be subsequently ruled out.

Is that like the Meath/Cavan Breffni Park stat?? Meath hadn't beaten Cavan in Breffni since 1965.. in reality they only played in Breffni four times since '65 and one of them was a draw.
#3
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
January 31, 2026, 11:19:30 AM
Had a look at the 3 competitive games played to date and the starting front 6 named for tonight's game.
Cassidy (3 games) 2-7 all from play.
Shane McGuigan (1 game) with 0-7 (0-4 from play)
Niall Loughlin (3 games) 0-4 (0-2 from play)
McAteer (1 sub, 2 starts) 0-3 from play
E Doc (3 games) 0-3 from play
N Toner (3 games)  0-1 from play

Murray (2 games) on 0-6 from play is a huge loss to the team.
S Kearney on 0-4 from two sub appearance on the bench.

We've 5 defenders and a couple of lads who've seen v limited minutes contribute the same or more to the scoreboard than some of the starting forwards.

In all the games last week only Fermanagh scored less than Derry. Something different has to happen up front this week.
#4
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
January 25, 2026, 09:21:35 PM
None of these subs made sense:
Shea Downey for Toner (54), Patrick McGurk for Loughlin (61), Sean Kearney for Baker (65), Sean Young for Cassidy (70).

Two defenders on for two forwards
One forward on for one defender
One that was on the field for seconds.
#5
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 2 - 2026
January 20, 2026, 07:35:35 PM
Rte Div 2 Predicted Table:

1. Tyrone
2. Meath
3. Cork
4. Derry
5. Louth
6. Kildare
7. Offaly
8. Cavan
#6
GAA Discussion / Re: McKenna Cup 2026
January 18, 2026, 07:18:36 PM
Quote from: Wildweasel74 on January 17, 2026, 06:32:57 PMThey wasting there U20s playing senior their  instead holding them for the U20 Championship.

That ain't an issue any more...
McElholm was a prime example of this last year. As long as there is no breach of the 60hr time frame between matches.. players can move between squads (senior and U20) week on week.
#7
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
January 14, 2026, 09:25:47 PM
N O'Donnell was doing running drills with McGuigan, Rogers and a couple of others. Didn't look like he was an option to come on as he was working with the lads not on the game panel.

I definitely would have a few more subs thrown on. Especially as there was no limit to them. Rogers, Bradley, the two Youngs should have seen game time.

After the goal we hit two 2pter efforts wide, JD dropped the ball after a midfield flick on from Glass with the keeper still in midfield and Murray spilled the ball in a decent position. It was that spell that put the gap between the sides.
#8
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
November 27, 2025, 08:20:05 PM
Quote from: Estimator on November 27, 2025, 12:44:06 PMUSFC draw this evening.. let's hope for something different in the first round. Since 2010 we've faced Donegal (6 times) and Tyrone (4 times) in prelim/QF fixtures.

Finally got a bit of luck this year with that draw.
#9
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
November 27, 2025, 12:44:06 PM
USFC draw this evening.. let's hope for something different in the first round. Since 2010 we've faced Donegal (6 times) and Tyrone (4 times) in prelim/QF fixtures.
#10
Shipping Up To Boston - Dropkick Murphys
#11
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
November 06, 2025, 01:16:20 PM
Must be home to Tyrone this year as well.
#12
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
October 13, 2025, 02:27:16 PM
Quote from: Ball on October 13, 2025, 12:21:05 PM
Quote from: HonDerry on October 13, 2025, 06:53:14 AM
Quote from: Ball on October 12, 2025, 10:25:57 PMI wouldn't say either team are finished, yeah they might not win back to back titles next year again but will still be there at the business end next year.

I disagree. I think Newbridge and Magherafelt will be battling it out for top spot, and others will move up the pecking order. I think Lavey (based on age profile) is the most likely to move Glen/Slaughtneil off a top 3 or 4 spot, then Steelstown or Dungiven.

Both Slaughtneil and Glen have 5 or 6 starters over 30, and the quality isn't there in their younger players to replace some of these icons.

They will still compete for sure, but it will be rebuilding for both of them. The circle of life.

If anyone thinks differently, provide some details, not wishful thinking. Let's get some debate going.
 

The younger players slaughtneil have brought in this year havent looked a bit out of place imo. I dont think Glen got it together at all this year, theyll need some new blood for sure but i expect them to bounce back and challenge again, too many good player not too.

I do agree Lavey are next likely to push into the top 4 but youve lost me at Dungiven and Steelstown? Are you just going off age profile?


In fairness Dungiven and Magherafelt have shared the last 4 minor titles evenly between them, so I can see why Dungiven was included.

#13
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
October 10, 2025, 11:39:04 AM
Quote from: zapped on October 09, 2025, 10:00:53 PM
Quote from: Brendan on October 09, 2025, 10:36:32 AMWith just the u16 football finals to play and no venues up yet, I've noticed alot of the underage finals have been on the back pitches at Owenbeg, I dont think theyre appropriate for such a big occasion for the kids and their families. Pitches in awful condition, poor floodlights and no dugouts. Plenty of good club grounds which could have been used which is usually the case
There's not many clubs at this time of year willing to host games, regardless of the occasion or game. There is no 'prestige' in hosting an U16 final, particularly now we seem to have so many of them across the grades.

There's no gate for those games so it's not that the county board are looking to profit off hosting them. It's probably cos nobody else wants them.

So you're telling me I need to get that £5 back from Bellaghy for the U14 Final double header that they hosted a couple of weeks ago.
#14
Derry / Re: Derry Club Football & Hurling original
September 29, 2025, 05:35:42 PM
A few of those lads will be with the U20s. It'll probably run the same as last year.. they'll be with the 20s until their season is over.
#15
General discussion / Re: The Official Golf Thread
September 26, 2025, 11:16:37 PM
After that showing, will Lowry get any game time tomorrow?