Election 2011 Offical Thread.

[seafoid]

Are labour the biggest party in Dublin in the exit poll?

RTE reporting both Hanafan and the other FF minister muppet in dun Laoghaire well off the pace based on the first count.
Fabliss. The end of an era.

But look at the mess they left behind

http://www.independent.ie/opinion/analysis/the-bank-guarantee-a-mistake-we-must-fix-2548026.html

[Nally Stand]

Aengus O'Snodaigh safe and Sean Crowe looking very strong

Paul "fcuk you deputy stagg" Gogarty concedes defeat.

[Sandino]

FF in the low  20's seat wise is a reasonable result considering their recent actions.

[AZOffaly]

Some serious names in big trouble. Mary Coughlan and Mary Hanafin ( ) to name but 2.

[Nally Stand]

Pearse Doc and Padraig MacLochlainn flying high in Donegal

[Ulick]

Coughlan fighting for last seat against ex-SF man Thomas Pringle. Oh how the mighty have fallen.

[ross4life]

Early results looking good for Ming

[Ulick]

Doherty elected in Donegal with 33%. SF could have got two in here but Doherty's estimated 5k surplus should help Pringle against Sweary Mary.

[Hardy]

I dropped in to the City Hall for a while to observe democracy in action. I checked a good few tallies (about half of the 30-or so being taken for Cork South Central) by looking over shoulders and the stand-out feature was Michael McGrath (2nd FF incumbent) scoring very high - about level with Martin and Coveney. This held consistently over the half hour or so I spent having a look. I came out thinking of having a bet that he would keep his seat against all predictions.

Then I got home and saw tweets that he's only polling at 6% in the tallies and RTÉ saying he's in trouble. It shows how skewed the tallies can be in the early stages - there must have been a batch of McGrath's local boxes opened all at the same time.

I saw some very strange papers, too - 1 Coveney, 2 Martin, for instance. It's a reminder that a lot of votes are personal rather than party. I also saw one paper where somebody had given No. 1 to each of the first three candidates alphabetically, then a 2 and a 3 elsewhere on the paper and nothing else! Should such a person have a vote?

[seafoid]

Some serious names in big trouble. Mary Coughlan and Mary Hanafin ( ) to name but 2.

They were all useless when it really counted. Coughlan was the worst Tanaiste in a very long time.

[armaghniac]

The Greens are gone. Gormley was never likely to return, but Cuffe and Ryan do not have enough first preferences to stay in the count long enough to pick up the later preferences. Sargant might manage to stay in.

[muppet]

given the exit votes the seats would break out something like

exit   
60   fg
34   lab
25   ff
17   sf
26   ind
4   grn
165   

FG and Labour will have to do some trading given their different approach on their agendas. Could there be a bit of horse trading with LAB, FF, SF and a few Inds' coming together to shaft Enda and FG ?

Exits polls are first preferences. The figures above will men higher seats for FG, FF and Labour who are likely to get transfers and lower for independents Greens and maybe SF who have less candidates to benefit from transfers.

[Sandino]

I respect and salute the good people of the City of Dublin. 

Wipeout for FF!

[Capt Pat]

Fianna Fail wont do well on transfers.

Also the greens were warned  what would happrn if they went into government with ff  by me.

[seafoid]

Yeah but 40% of them voted FF in 2007