A nation once again

[Eamonnca1]

Support for Scottish independence hovered between 25% and 38% before Cameron called the referendum. He was cocky enough to think it had no chance of passing, but it very nearly did. Once the poll is happening, people talk about the issue a lot more, and support for the proposition has a way of going up. This was all pre-Brexit too. If a Scottish indyref were called now, I'd say it'd pass.

Support for Irish unity in the north these days hovers at about 35% to 40%. Add in the Brexit factor, plus the undecided immigrant population who might be more persuadable than the "Ulster says no" crowd, and I'd say a border poll's chances of passing are a lot higher than many people would expect. It'd be a toss-up at the very least.

[JPGJOHNNYG]

Most of the polling is absolute garbage. Jon Burrows was quoting the Nilt surveys the other days as gospel and proof that a UI is unpopular. This is the same survey that usually has SF on 15% of the vote and Alliance as the largest party. Quite clearly showing their sample population is not representative of the general population and quite clearly nonsense yet is used to somehow to show a border poll is not needed. Liverpool uni Irish studies polls not much better with their face to face polling.

[Eamonnca1]

Some polls are engineered to produce a unionist outcome.

"Would you support a UI if it meant an increase in taxes?" (No mention of whether it's a tax on billionaire yachts or a tax on children's food, and no mention of what the money would be spent on.)

"Would you support a UI if it meant certain death as a result of inadequate healthcare?"