A United Ireland. Opening up the discussion.

Started by winghalfback, May 27, 2015, 03:16:23 PM

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Baile Brigín 2

Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 07:43:31 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 07:19:03 PM
Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 06:13:50 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 05:18:05 PMI think ultimately it will be 26 onto 6. There might be a devolved assembly, but it's a disaster so would it be a huge sticking point to bin it? The dual citizenship bit would be 99% in place already.

Reality is the 'pitch' would be the 6c experiment has failed, so why would you retain the fail? Migrate as much as possible to Dublin and protect minority rights. I can't see flags and anthems changing.
Stormont is not performing but binning power sharing would be major issue. Put simply it won't happen. The referendum would never take place. There would be no new Ireland to bin it.

Put it another way. There is a referendum in the north and it votes 50.1% in favour of remaining in UK. If unionists tried to use that as a means of getting rid of powers sharing (for either simple majority rule or direct rule from Westminster) then the lawyers, signatories and guarantors would intervene and remind them of the GFA. If the vote went 50.1% the other way, all the same logic, and legal/constitutional clauses would still apply. The new Ireland will have to accommodate this. It's doable. A 32 county unitary republic is not. Real political leadership will be honest about this. Populists will tell people what they want to hear. Surely we are wise to the Trump and Farage ploys by now?
A vote on favour of the status quo retains the status quo. Stormont remains.

A vote for reunification doesn't necessarily keep stormont.

I beg to differ. The GFA will have to be complied with. Not least because it is the means of getting the referendum in the first place.

I reiterate that this is possible to achieve and can be made to work. But powersharing in NI is an essential feature.

Says who? Not the GFA.

Baile Brigín 2

Quote from: Rossfan on September 14, 2026, 07:51:33 PMAnd power sharing at National, or Federal or Confederate level?

Maybe. Maybe not.

Again. The reunification pitch will be just that. We are wealthier, healthier and happier in the 26. Join us. Why would we introduce failed 6c things like Stormont?

Armagh18

Quote from: Rossfan on September 14, 2026, 07:51:33 PMAnd power sharing at National, or Federal or Confederate level?

It doesn't work...

dec

Quote from: Armagh18 on September 14, 2026, 08:26:21 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 14, 2026, 07:51:33 PMAnd power sharing at National, or Federal or Confederate level?

It doesn't work...
The Swiss have had a power sharing arrangement among the largest parties for over 60 years

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magic_formula_(Swiss_politics)

Armagh18

Quote from: dec on September 14, 2026, 08:34:15 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on September 14, 2026, 08:26:21 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 14, 2026, 07:51:33 PMAnd power sharing at National, or Federal or Confederate level?

It doesn't work...
The Swiss have had a power sharing arrangement among the largest parties for over 60 years

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magic_formula_(Swiss_politics)

I'd be surprised if any of those are as mental as the DUP.

Rossfan

Hopefully there will be a practical "Ulster British" Party by then dealing with reality!
2026 the year of the 9 Cups

MrsBinfield

Quote from: Armagh18 on September 14, 2026, 07:50:53 PM
Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 07:43:31 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 07:19:03 PM
Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 06:13:50 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 05:18:05 PMI think ultimately it will be 26 onto 6. There might be a devolved assembly, but it's a disaster so would it be a huge sticking point to bin it? The dual citizenship bit would be 99% in place already.

Reality is the 'pitch' would be the 6c experiment has failed, so why would you retain the fail? Migrate as much as possible to Dublin and protect minority rights. I can't see flags and anthems changing.
Stormont is not performing but binning power sharing would be major issue. Put simply it won't happen. The referendum would never take place. There would be no new Ireland to bin it.

Put it another way. There is a referendum in the north and it votes 50.1% in favour of remaining in UK. If unionists tried to use that as a means of getting rid of powers sharing (for either simple majority rule or direct rule from Westminster) then the lawyers, signatories and guarantors would intervene and remind them of the GFA. If the vote went 50.1% the other way, all the same logic, and legal/constitutional clauses would still apply. The new Ireland will have to accommodate this. It's doable. A 32 county unitary republic is not. Real political leadership will be honest about this. Populists will tell people what they want to hear. Surely we are wise to the Trump and Farage ploys by now?
A vote on favour of the status quo retains the status quo. Stormont remains.

A vote for reunification doesn't necessarily keep stormont.

I beg to differ. The GFA will have to be complied with. Not least because it is the means of getting the referendum in the first place.

I reiterate that this is possible to achieve and can be made to work. But powersharing in NI is an essential feature.
I don't think any nationalist will look twice at Stormont by then and it'll be largely irrelevant
Useless yes. Irrelevant no.

Armagh18

Quote from: Rossfan on September 14, 2026, 09:01:57 PMHopefully there will be a practical "Ulster British" Party by then dealing with reality!

We can hope!

MrsBinfield

Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 07:58:43 PM
Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 07:43:31 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 07:19:03 PM
Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 06:13:50 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 05:18:05 PMI think ultimately it will be 26 onto 6. There might be a devolved assembly, but it's a disaster so would it be a huge sticking point to bin it? The dual citizenship bit would be 99% in place already.

Reality is the 'pitch' would be the 6c experiment has failed, so why would you retain the fail? Migrate as much as possible to Dublin and protect minority rights. I can't see flags and anthems changing.
Stormont is not performing but binning power sharing would be major issue. Put simply it won't happen. The referendum would never take place. There would be no new Ireland to bin it.

Put it another way. There is a referendum in the north and it votes 50.1% in favour of remaining in UK. If unionists tried to use that as a means of getting rid of powers sharing (for either simple majority rule or direct rule from Westminster) then the lawyers, signatories and guarantors would intervene and remind them of the GFA. If the vote went 50.1% the other way, all the same logic, and legal/constitutional clauses would still apply. The new Ireland will have to accommodate this. It's doable. A 32 county unitary republic is not. Real political leadership will be honest about this. Populists will tell people what they want to hear. Surely we are wise to the Trump and Farage ploys by now?
A vote on favour of the status quo retains the status quo. Stormont remains.

A vote for reunification doesn't necessarily keep stormont.

I beg to differ. The GFA will have to be complied with. Not least because it is the means of getting the referendum in the first place.

I reiterate that this is possible to achieve and can be made to work. But powersharing in NI is an essential feature.

Says who? Not the GFA.

Beg to differ. Happy to consider any point that indicates that GFA is not a permanent framework.

Then there is the practical consideration that GFA will automate complied with as one would be using it as the basis of asking the UK government for a referendum in the first place.

Baile Brigín 2

Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 09:12:38 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 07:58:43 PM
Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 07:43:31 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 07:19:03 PM
Quote from: MrsBinfield on September 14, 2026, 06:13:50 PM
Quote from: Baile Brigín 2 on September 14, 2026, 05:18:05 PMI think ultimately it will be 26 onto 6. There might be a devolved assembly, but it's a disaster so would it be a huge sticking point to bin it? The dual citizenship bit would be 99% in place already.

Reality is the 'pitch' would be the 6c experiment has failed, so why would you retain the fail? Migrate as much as possible to Dublin and protect minority rights. I can't see flags and anthems changing.
Stormont is not performing but binning power sharing would be major issue. Put simply it won't happen. The referendum would never take place. There would be no new Ireland to bin it.

Put it another way. There is a referendum in the north and it votes 50.1% in favour of remaining in UK. If unionists tried to use that as a means of getting rid of powers sharing (for either simple majority rule or direct rule from Westminster) then the lawyers, signatories and guarantors would intervene and remind them of the GFA. If the vote went 50.1% the other way, all the same logic, and legal/constitutional clauses would still apply. The new Ireland will have to accommodate this. It's doable. A 32 county unitary republic is not. Real political leadership will be honest about this. Populists will tell people what they want to hear. Surely we are wise to the Trump and Farage ploys by now?
A vote on favour of the status quo retains the status quo. Stormont remains.

A vote for reunification doesn't necessarily keep stormont.

I beg to differ. The GFA will have to be complied with. Not least because it is the means of getting the referendum in the first place.

I reiterate that this is possible to achieve and can be made to work. But powersharing in NI is an essential feature.

Says who? Not the GFA.

Beg to differ. Happy to consider any point that indicates that GFA is not a permanent framework.

Then there is the practical consideration that GFA will automate complied with as one would be using it as the basis of asking the UK government for a referendum in the first place.
You are claiming it is permanent. Up to you to back up that claim.

I had a quick check there. It ends on reunification. Both treaties are based on and about British rule.