26 counties poll for local elections.

Started by AZOffaly, May 21, 2014, 10:18:34 AM

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Who will you vote for in the Local elections? (First Preference Only)

Fine Gael
9 (12.9%)
Labour
1 (1.4%)
Fianna Fail
6 (8.6%)
Sinn Fein
27 (38.6%)
Greens
1 (1.4%)
United Left
0 (0%)
Socialist Party
0 (0%)
People Before Profit
0 (0%)
RSF
1 (1.4%)
eirigi
0 (0%)
Independents
12 (17.1%)
Other
0 (0%)
Won't/Can't vote
13 (18.6%)

Total Members Voted: 70

AQMP

RTE exit poll for the local elections

FG 24%
FF 22%
SF 16%
Lab 7%
Ind 31%!!

AZOffaly

If that holds up, I'd say Sinn Fein would be disappointed. Independents would, in that case, seem to have done the damage to Labour.

AQMP

Quote from: AZOffaly on May 24, 2014, 09:44:35 AM
If that holds up, I'd say Sinn Fein would be disappointed. Independents would, in that case, seem to have done the damage to Labour.

Yeah I think if that proves accurate SF will be a wee bit disappointed. 17% in the Euros and it looks like vote in the North will be slightly down. Not the earthquake predicted.

AZOffaly

Quote from: AZOffaly on May 24, 2014, 09:44:35 AM
If that holds up, I'd say Sinn Fein would be disappointed. Independents would, in that case, seem to have done the damage to Labour.

Should also say, I suppose that Independents must include the /Others. Socialist Party, People before Profit etc.

Itchy

Quote from: AQMP on May 24, 2014, 09:54:12 AM
Quote from: AZOffaly on May 24, 2014, 09:44:35 AM
If that holds up, I'd say Sinn Fein would be disappointed. Independents would, in that case, seem to have done the damage to Labour.

Yeah I think if that proves accurate SF will be a wee bit disappointed. 17% in the Euros and it looks like vote in the North will be slightly down. Not the earthquake predicted.

That exit poll was local elections only I think and I am guessing that given the amount of regions it will have a big margin of error too.

AZOffaly

Two exit polls taken, the euro numbers are broadly similar.

Syferus

Shows how disaffected people are with the big three.

SF will fail to capitalise on a lot of tight races because, as usual, they're toxic to transfers.

Itchy

Well Sinn Feins to Euro ladies are cruising in for a seat. Carthy polling bad and I think that is down to a very poor performance on the TV debates. Saying that Carthys numbers are estimated on an rte exit poll and I wouldn't trust that just yet. Ming is also cruising which is good, hell be missed in the dail.

AQMP

Is it my imagination or is SF doing better than 16%??

Itchy

Quote from: AQMP on May 24, 2014, 02:03:46 PM
Is it my imagination or is SF doing better than 16%??

SF are not in every parish in every county so those overall figures are misleading in terms of seats won. They have 2 big fights at the moment. Dublin west Bi election where they are neck and neck with the socialist party and also the euro seat in Midlands/West where their banker Matt Carty is not going as well as was thought.

AZOffaly

Well, it looks like this board (including nordies :) ) is fairly out of touch with reality.

Obviously not a great comparative, given that I only asked for your first preference, but...

Fianna Fail - Board said 7.8%, and the Soldiers of Destiny (on the march again?) have won 28% of the seats so far. (35 seats left to be filled).
Independents/Others - Board said 20.4%, and the various independents and smaller socialist type parties (and the Greens) won 25% of the seats.
Fine Gael - Board said 10.9%, but Enda has some thinking to do, as it looks as if they will finish behind FF with 24% of the seats.
Sinn Fein - the Board said 39%  ::), but in reality they still won a very respectable 17% of the seats. (Trebled their representation).
Labour, poor old Labour - the Board said 1.6% and they won 5% of the seats. Almost a wipeout.

Billys Boots

Jaysus, we are one f**king stupid electorate, as if we didn't already know ...
My hands are stained with thistle milk ...

Hound

Quote from: Billys Boots on May 26, 2014, 11:16:08 AM
Jaysus, we are one f**king stupid electorate, as if we didn't already know ...
A. Vote for the lads that crippled the country
B. Vote for the lads that are making us pay property tax, water charges, USC, that couldnt get us a good deal with the EU, and that are reducing public service levels
C. Vote for the lads who would make an economic recovery an impossbility
D. Vote for an Independent who will find it difficult to do anything other than disrupt those who try to govern.
E. Don't vote

It is the electorate in Camp A, B, C, D or E who are the f*uckin stupid ones??

All of a Sludden

Quote from: Billys Boots on May 26, 2014, 11:16:08 AM
Jaysus, we are one f**king stupid electorate, as if we didn't already know ...

The party that came third are claiming victory, its f*cked up.
I'm gonna show you as gently as I can how much you don't know.

Billys Boots

My hands are stained with thistle milk ...