Weather

[EC Unique]

Snowing like fook here!

[orangeman]

forecasters got it right again.


There might not be a pile of ball this weekend.

[armaghniac]

It will be dry on Sunday, the likes of Drogheda might be OK.

[muppet]

Man swims on Oliver Plunkett Street: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kHNQ8dvvhaA

[laoislad]

Was stopped at traffic lights a few minutes ago and saw a stop sign pole nearly decapitate a fella.
The whole thing just lifted from the ground and fell and missed him by inches.
Some wind out there.

[Milltown Row2]

Has not stopped raining all day here in East Antrim, It's a shit hole (Larne) most days of the week but I'm going to need a canoe to get home

[AZOffaly]

There was a seal on a street in Cork apparently. Swam up no bother.

[muppet]

There was a seal on a street in Cork apparently. Swam up no bother.

He has the same look I usually have the day after an All-Ireland Final.

[AZOffaly]

Apparently that's the Lee, rather than a street. Mind you, be no bother to hop out through that fence now.

[laoislad]

Apparently that's the Lee, rather than a street. Mind you, be no bother to hop out through that fence now.

They would want to seal up them fences alright....

[AZOffaly]

I think I'd be moving that car if I owned it as well.

[Last Man]

Man swims on Oliver Plunkett Street: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kHNQ8dvvhaA

He wouldnt want to be biting his nails after swimming in that fs!

[seafoid]

I think this is just the start of global warming.

If we get flooding like this say once every 2 years insurers won't bother providing cover for
important parts of Cork, Galway and Limerick.

Christchurch in NZ had a massive earthquake a few years ago.

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-YX2pWcwnEvE/UPxtOkOMGaI/AAAAAAAABRM/xjFZKx16SlM/s1600/cathedral-before-after.jpg
http://resources0.news.com.au/images/2011/02/24/1226011/315116-christchurch-lyttleton-earthquake.jpg

Houses that were in previously desirable areas had to be abandoned.
Insurance companies refused to cover risks because the chance of losing money was too high.

http://afflictor.com/tag/henry-petroski/
"The engineer, like the insurance agent, is hampered by the fact that his skill depends on the earth behaving in the future as it has in the past. As Petroski writes,
Since it is future failure that is at issue, the only sure way to test our hypotheses about its nature and magnitude is to look backward at failures that have occurred historically. Indeed, we predict that the probability of occurrence for a certain event, such as a hundred-year storm, is such and such a percentage, because all other things being equal, that has been the actual experience contained in the historical meteorological record.
That record, however, is now shattered. In the course of Petroski's lifetime, and all of ours, we've left behind the Holocene, the ten-thousand-year period of benign climatic stability that marked the rise of human civilization. We've raised the global temperature about a degree so far, but a better way of thinking about it is: we've amped up the amount of energy trapped in our narrow envelope of atmosphere, and hence every process that feeds off that energy is now accelerating. For instance, this piece of simple physics: warm air holds more water vapor than cold. Already we've increased moisture in the atmosphere by about 4 percent on average, thus increasing the danger both of drought, because heat is evaporating more surface water, and of flood, because evaporated water must eventually come down as rain. And those loaded dice are doing great damage. "


It's not good news.

[Billys Boots]

It'll be an interesting world without insurance (as we know it). 

[seafoid]

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/feb/03/flooding-threat-severn-thames-riverside-properties#start-of-comments

•   rockyrex
03 February 2014 10:04pm
Recommend
6
This whole sequence of storms since the Saint Jude's Day Storm at the end of October is very unusual. Currently they are arriving roughly every 2 to 3 days, with no sign that this will change soon.
Weather systems under-950 hPa are rare but there have been several since Mid-December. The Met Office say: " On Christmas Eve a mean-sea-level pressure of 936 hPa was recorded at Stornoway (Western Isles), the lowest such value at a UK land station for many years."
(The Met Office website says pressures below 950 hPa are rare -
Pressures below 950 hPa have been recorded at UK weather stations about 30 times in the last 200 years:
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wea.20/abstract
- this reference (a paper published in 2007) was sent to me by the Met Office in reply to an e-mail I sent them asking about these very low pressures that are appearing recently)
The Met Office website also says for December 2013: "The UK overall received 154% of average rainfall. Two broad areas, one over southern and south-east England and the other extending from the Lake District to Highland Scotland, were much wetter than average with many places receiving twice the normal rainfall for the month"
Some commentators have suggested that there is no evidence of this kind of autumn/winter weather in the UK in any records, even using informal written material from the times before formal meteorology. Of course, someone will tell us that it is all normal, but some evidence for a previous period like this would be useful.
The storm arriving on Wednesday 5/2/2014 is shown on the Met Office website pressure map with a central pressure below 948 hPa. Here we go again.