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Messages - Jell 0 Biafra

#872
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
March 11, 2020, 03:49:23 AM
Quote from: Niall Quinn on March 11, 2020, 03:24:57 AM
Quote from: Ed Ricketts on March 10, 2020, 11:00:59 PM


I thought this was a nice simple graphic to explain the need for taking responsible action over the next while. Just in case anyone out there was still insistent on being a dick.

So this whole thing will be over in half the time if we don't take protective measures?

Perhaps.  But how sure can we be of any significant conclusions we draw from a picture of a puffin lying on its back?
#873
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
March 10, 2020, 07:19:24 PM
There was someone on here asking about New York on Paddy's day.  I'd think twice about traveling.  A number of universities here have closed over the past couple of days.  And the National Guard is trying to create a containment zone in Rochelle (The Bronx) which is apparently the epicenter of NYC cases.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/10/world/coronavirus-news.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage#link-7bab904a
#874
I don't think it's at all ridiculous to say that a guy on the deck a couple of yards from you, between you and the ball, is blocking your view.  That said, between your posts and a look at the current offside rule, you've convinced me that the goal should have stood.
#875
He lifted his leg over the ball to let it go past. That's interfering with play, and blocking degea's view, regardless of whether he could have saved it or not
#876
Why does it matter whether DeGea wasn't going to be able to make the save?
#877
General discussion / Re: Man Utd Thread:
March 01, 2020, 09:58:43 PM
He's from Mayo.  Thirty years is just a long weekend to him.
#878
If he interfered with keeper's view (which is what I thought was the basis of the VAR overrule), then he gained an unfair advantage from being offside initially, prior to the deflection.
#879
He was sitting on the ground in front of the keeper.  Had to called offside.
#880
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
February 27, 2020, 05:26:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 27, 2020, 01:33:49 PM
Quote from: highorlow on February 27, 2020, 01:16:08 PM
QuoteItaly = 12 dead, 3 recovered.

Italy 453 cases, 12 dead, 40 recovered.


Again - number of cases is irrelevant.

You do not know which way those outstanding cases will go.

Excellent on the shoot up in recovered numbers.

But the number of cases is relevant in determining the fatality rate.  That's by definition the number of deaths divided by the number of cases.   As you say, we don't know how those other cases are going to go, but all that can be done is to add them to the numbers as they either recover or die, and update the fatality rate.
#881
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 1 - 2020
February 22, 2020, 09:01:10 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on February 22, 2020, 08:44:44 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on February 22, 2020, 08:42:17 PM
So the dubs targeted Donegal's main man so he'd retaliate and get a second yellow. I wonder will everyone lose their shit over this like they did with Tyrone against Kerry.

Was wondering the exact same thing. It was disgusting but sure it will never recieve the same attention. 4 of the 7 minutes were stopped but the ref played only 1 minute of extra time. Unlike last week when the dubs were losing the red played until they got a draw

And unlike a few weeks ago when Kerry scored their equalizer vs. Dublin 3 minutes after time was up.
#883
General discussion / Re: The OFFICIAL Liverpool FC thread
February 14, 2020, 08:28:57 PM
What happens if they win it this year?  Seems unlikely UEFA wouldn't allow the winners to defend it.
#884
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
February 12, 2020, 01:09:24 AM
Quote from: Muck Savage on February 11, 2020, 11:25:30 PM
Quote from: Never beat the deeler on February 07, 2020, 01:39:14 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 06, 2020, 11:30:58 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 06, 2020, 10:21:50 PM
Quote from: Never beat the deeler on February 04, 2020, 03:01:05 AM
While I also agree that influenza should generally be taken more seriously, the Corona virus is currently running at 1 death every 50 confirmed cases (or approx 2%)
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/

I was wondering if the confirmed deaths tally was right (and not being underestimated) given the early reaction, but then your link says this:

QuoteA study found that out of 41 admitted hospital patients who had been identified as having laboratory-confirmed 2019-nCoV infection in China, 13 (32%) patients were admitted to an ICU and six (15%) died.[5]

Any wonder they were scared shitless if that was the earlier mortality rates.

So reasonably confident they are reporting true numbers (not that 2% is good or anything, but its better than 15%!).

Not everyone went to hospital though, some people only had moderate symptoms like 'flu. Only those badly affected ended up in hospital and more of these died.

But that would be the same with flu. The mortality rate for influenza is 0.055% of reported cases. Similarly, lots of people wouldn't report if they had the flu

I don't understand where 2% is coming from. To date ~43k people confirmed to have got it, 4.3K cured and ~1K dead. That's close to a 20% kill rate! It has to be based on cured/dead and not based on number of people that got it. There's still about 38K with it and they could go either way before this is done.

Mortality rate is the % of those infected who died from the infection.  Going by your figures, that's 1/43, which is slightly more than 2%.
#885
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 1 - 2020
February 09, 2020, 02:05:35 AM
That missed goal chance at the end of the 1st half probably cost Monaghan the win today.