All-Ireland QFs: Armagh/Roscommon, Dublin/Galway, Donegal/Louth, Kerry/Derry

Started by GAABoardMod5, June 22, 2024, 07:21:59 PM

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thebackbar1

Quote from: naka on June 24, 2024, 08:59:55 AMWhen do they decide which day ?
After they consult the dublin management team to see if they're still happy playing on saturday evening !

Smokin Joe

What would have happened had Donegal drew Louth in the final draw that they made?
I'd like to see what they would have changed.

naka

With travel think it's pretty unfair Derry / Kerry Saturday
Dublin Galway not a better option ?

David McKeown

Quote from: Smokin Joe on June 24, 2024, 09:06:18 AMWhat would have happened had Donegal drew Louth in the final draw that they made?
I'd like to see what they would have changed.

I thought Donegal did draw Louth?
2022 Allianz League Prediction Competition Winner

Captain Obvious

Armagh v Roscommon -  Both will be happy with that draw I can imagine
Dublin v Galway -  Dublin by a bit to spare but Galway as ever will try to make the contest a war of attrition
Donegal v Louth - Fair play to Louth for getting this far but will be Donegal's first semi final for 10 years
Kerry v Derry -  An interesting one,  Kerry haven't been tested, Derry back on the horse with that shootout win

imtommygunn

Yeah it's pretty much the best draw armagh could have got and the best draw roscommon could have got.

tonto1888

Quote from: David McKeown on June 24, 2024, 09:09:45 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on June 24, 2024, 09:06:18 AMWhat would have happened had Donegal drew Louth in the final draw that they made?
I'd like to see what they would have changed.

I thought Donegal did draw Louth?

they did


Smokin Joe

Quote from: David McKeown on June 24, 2024, 09:09:45 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on June 24, 2024, 09:06:18 AMWhat would have happened had Donegal drew Louth in the final draw that they made?
I'd like to see what they would have changed.

I thought Donegal did draw Louth?
Sorry, if Donegal had have drawn Derry (is what I meant to say).  What would they have done?

David McKeown

Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2024, 09:14:41 AMYeah it's pretty much the best draw armagh could have got and the best draw roscommon could have got.

Is it a better draw than Louth?

Because of how the draw was made the chances of certain match pairings were significantly altered.

Had the draw instead been draw a group winner, then draw a winner from the weekend and just moved the team into the next slot then Armagh would have statistically had a better chance of drawing Louth than Roscommon but the way the draw was done changed that chance. It also significantly impacted the chance of Donegal v Derry which had at best a 16.67% chance of occurring the way was done but would have had a 25% of occurring had it been draw and move.
2022 Allianz League Prediction Competition Winner


David McKeown

Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2024, 09:29:53 AMI think so yeah.

I think Roscommon are a very dangerous side on their day and would have preferred Louth but no easy draws at this stage.
2022 Allianz League Prediction Competition Winner

illdecide

Armagh v Roscommon -  Armagh by 2pts
Dublin v Galway -  Dublin by 4pts
Donegal v Louth - Donegal by 5pts
Kerry v Derry -  Kerry by 2pts
I can swim a little but i can't fly an inch

imtommygunn

Yeah I agree or they wouldn't be where they are but I think Louth have been excellent this year.

illdecide

There usually is a shock somewhere...If Roscommon were to beat Armagh that would not be a shock. Derry beating Kerry would not be a shock either but the other two would be...Knowing Armagh's history of draws they could do an extra time job assuming there is no replays?.
I can swim a little but i can't fly an inch