NFL Division 1

[GalwayBayBoy]

Armagh should be looking to stay up from here. Win in croker vs a no great shakes Dublin and then a big home performance vs a half motivated Kerry on the last day. Would leave them on 6. Galway will beat monaghan to get to 6. Dublin if they need it will beat Galway on last day in Salthill to get to 6. Ros will lose to Donegal at home and Mayo away most likely to also finish on 6 but will go back down with Monaghan on scoring difference.

Would be some effort from the Rossies to go down from where they were this morning. Still think Monaghan and Armagh is the most likely pair to drop. Looking at the fixtures. Not impossible that there could be a 3 or even 4 way tie though.

Armagh the wild card. They could beat the Dubs in Croker and could beat a disinterested Kerry at home on the last day.

[Rossfan]

Just finished watching Dublin Roscommon there. First 20 minutes from Roscommon the worst a team has looked under the new rules so far I think. Went to a minor game instead and at least the young lads had a go at it

First 20 minutes Roscommon had about 12 shots and it included probably one of the worst misses for a goal chance I've seen this year.  Dublin from nearly every miss broke on the counter for easy scores and ended the game as a contest before half time.

We were awful today.
Relegation back on the table unfortunately.

[blanketattack]

Just finished watching Dublin Roscommon there. First 20 minutes from Roscommon the worst a team has looked under the new rules so far I think. Went to a minor game instead and at least the young lads had a go at it

First 20 minutes Roscommon had about 12 shots and it included probably one of the worst misses for a goal chance I've seen this year.  Dublin from nearly every miss broke on the counter for easy scores and ended the game as a contest before half time.

We were awful today.
Relegation back on the table unfortunately.

Only one set of remaining results sees Roscommon relegated:
Roscommon lose to Donegal
Roscommon lose to Mayo
Armagh beat Dublin
Armagh beat Kerry
Dublin beat Galway
Galway beat Monaghan

If any one of these results doesn't happen, Roscommon are safe.
About 3% chance of relegation I'd say

[AustinPowers]

Just finished watching Dublin Roscommon there. First 20 minutes from Roscommon the worst a team has looked under the new rules so far I think. Went to a minor game instead and at least the young lads had a go at it

First 20 minutes Roscommon had about 12 shots and it included probably one of the worst misses for a goal chance I've seen this year.  Dublin from nearly every miss broke on the counter for easy scores and ended the game as a contest before half time.

We were awful today.
Relegation back on the table unfortunately.

Given recent performances, I was fairly  sure Roscommon   would beat Dublin with a few points  to spare.

What went wrong?  Was the conditions a factor?

[armaghniac]

Just finished watching Dublin Roscommon there. First 20 minutes from Roscommon the worst a team has looked under the new rules so far I think. Went to a minor game instead and at least the young lads had a go at it

First 20 minutes Roscommon had about 12 shots and it included probably one of the worst misses for a goal chance I've seen this year.  Dublin from nearly every miss broke on the counter for easy scores and ended the game as a contest before half time.

We were awful today.
Relegation back on the table unfortunately.

Given recent performances, I was fairly  sure Roscommon   would beat Dublin with a few points  to spare.

What went wrong?  Was the conditions a factor?

These windy games place importance on who plays with the wind. Against Armagh, Roscommon had a confidence building early lead, and needed dogged defence in the second half. Against Dublin, they needed to come from behind and this may not have suited them.

[SouthOfThe Bann]

Just finished watching Dublin Roscommon there. First 20 minutes from Roscommon the worst a team has looked under the new rules so far I think. Went to a minor game instead and at least the young lads had a go at it

First 20 minutes Roscommon had about 12 shots and it included probably one of the worst misses for a goal chance I've seen this year.  Dublin from nearly every miss broke on the counter for easy scores and ended the game as a contest before half time.

We were awful today.
Relegation back on the table unfortunately.

Given recent performances, I was fairly  sure Roscommon   would beat Dublin with a few points  to spare.

What went wrong?  Was the conditions a factor?

These windy games place importance on who plays with the wind. Against Armagh, Roscommon had a confidence building early lead, and needed dogged defence in the second half. Against Dublin, they needed to come from behind and this may not have suited them.

Did they not come from 13 points down last week?

[Rossfan]

We had a bad day at the office today.
2-7 (8 scores) in 70 minutes is appalling in these post FRC days.

Possibly not able for 3 successive games, introducing 3 Brids players probably didn't work.

[moonster]

Are Kobe McDonald and Jordan Flynn brothers?

https://www.westernpeople.ie/sport/gaa/andy-on-kobe-hes-a-great-kid-hes-a-really-talented-boy_arid-88790.html

[scout]

Thought I had heard half brothers?

[illdecide]

Same old story with Armagh , lose the game in first half and a gallant but ultimately unsuccessful comeback in the second half. Put Rafferty on with 2 mins to go when needed scores . I wish these lads got paid so I could say Turbitt is currently stealing a living

I was saying the same last week before yesterday's game, nice lad and all and don't like pointing out individuals as it is amateur after all but he had a great first 2 years with Armagh but after that seems to just go thru the motions and looks like he couldn't be bothered, in saying all that I have heard that he's still carrying an injury which if the case will explain a lot of things. He seems to have had this injury a long time whatever it is.  I know there are players who look like that and that's not the case it's just their appearance but it's frustrating to watch...In saying all that there's no venue like Croke Park to ignite the spark in a few Armagh players and with a bit of luck we can beat the Dubs and set up a cracker with Kerry in the last game...
Need these lads back ASAP...McKay, McCambridge, McElroy, Murnin, Grugan and Conaty, Turbitt to hit top form. At least we have a few defenders due back from injury soon but the old arsenal could do with some additional firepower.

[mackers]

Has a feeling of Div 2 is Armagh's destiny about it.  Concede too many goals and an inability to score goals is the story of this league so far.

Feeling that way alright.

Fairly confident we'll beat the Dubs but knowing our luck they'll get another win and send us down.

What exactly has luck had to do with their current plight?

I think we're entitled to curse our luck on the injury front.  These injuries are coming on top of retirements and couldn't have come at a worse time.  It leaves Geezer with no real options coming off the bench.  It also leaves him having to play players that are bang out of form like Turbitt.

We're losing matches on fine margins but that's not down to luck.  Breaches have beaten us on three occasions and we can have no excuses for that.  We're getting a lot of things right but those silly mistakes can't be repeated in our last two games.

I can't see a disinterested Kerry team coming up to Armagh.  Kerry don't have a threat in their provincial championship and will want to get to a league final to keep the serious football going for as long as possible.  Jack O'Connor will want a league title and the time to get Kerry in the league is always at the start, not the end.  That said, IF we can get our strongest team out against them we'll give them a hell of a test but the Dublin match is a must win.

[naka]

reality is dublin/ armagh a relegation play off.
was at the match yesterday and heard andy moran say their subs won the game and he has the balls to put on kobe who gave the crowd a lift and was smart for teh goa
would have liked to see o neill or galvin getting 10 minutes as both have something different .
reality is if we dont get some players back i fear we will lose in dublin

[Rossfan]

Just finished watching Dublin Roscommon there. First 20 minutes from Roscommon the worst a team has looked under the new rules so far I think. Went to a minor game instead and at least the young lads had a go at it

First 20 minutes Roscommon had about 12 shots and it included probably one of the worst misses for a goal chance I've seen this year.  Dublin from nearly every miss broke on the counter for easy scores and ended the game as a contest before half time.

We were awful today.
Relegation back on the table unfortunately.

Only one set of remaining results sees Roscommon relegated:
Roscommon lose to Donegal
Roscommon lose to Mayo
Armagh beat Dublin
Armagh beat Kerry
Dublin beat Galway
Galway beat Monaghan

If any one of these results doesn't happen, Roscommon are safe.
About 3% chance of relegation I'd say

I know there are permutations and combinations but they are all very  likely outcomes.
That margin yesterday has fkd up our score difference in a big way.

[armaghniac]

League table more or less corresponds to number of two pointers, although goals also win games
https://x.com/AnalysisGaa/status/2028413266834108791

[tonto1888]

League table more or less corresponds to number of two pointers, although goals also win games
https://x.com/AnalysisGaa/status/2028413266834108791

For a team not scoring goals or many 2 pointers we have the second highest scores in the division. 115. Out issues at the moment is the defence