Author Topic: Westminster Election 12th December 2019  (Read 120028 times)

screenexile

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #330 on: November 06, 2019, 06:23:24 PM »
Lady Sylvia not standing!!! f**k that!!

imtommygunn

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #331 on: November 06, 2019, 06:27:11 PM »
Lady Sylvia not standing!!! f**k that!!

For feck sake.

Armagh18

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #332 on: November 06, 2019, 06:27:57 PM »
Has a political campaign ever shot itself in the foot as badly as the Conservatives have the last few days??

Labour haven't even done anything the Tories are just losing the plot!

If said it on here in the past. Corbyn wiped the floor with the conservatives in 17. I'm beginning to think the conservatives have learnt nothing. Is "get brexit done" the new "strong and stable"?


Don't forget "Britain deserves better"!!!!!!  ;D
Yeah much better than the past 10 years of Tory cuts.

Armagh18

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #333 on: November 06, 2019, 06:30:10 PM »
Lady Sylvia not standing!!! f**k that!!
UDA must have told her not too.... any chance of Alliance getting a sniff in her seat if they got support of other remain parties?

playwiththewind1st

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #334 on: November 06, 2019, 06:40:46 PM »
Potentially a DUP/UDA gain, going on result last time out?

Fionntamhnach

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #335 on: November 06, 2019, 06:49:36 PM »
Sylvia Hermon's spent 18+ years as an MP in North Down, her decision not to stand for reelection is somewhat out of the blue but also understandable with the reasons she gave.

The only hope for North Down not to fall into DUP hands I reckon would be for most of Hermon's voting base switching to Alliance, with the Greens also stepping aside - but North Down has for a long time been the odd kid out in Westminster elections in the North, so it might not be clear just yet.
"I can't be arsed any more; too much ignorance, bigotry, dogma, idiocy & retreat from reason"

under the bar

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #336 on: November 06, 2019, 06:52:09 PM »
Could she not have held on until January ffs?

yellowcard

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #337 on: November 06, 2019, 07:03:35 PM »
That's a seat now likely going to a pro Brexit DUP voter so will negate any loss that DUP will suffer in South Belfast or elsewhere.

General election 2017: North Down Party    Candidate    Votes    

   Independent..........Sylvia Hermon..........16,148    
   DUP.........................Alex Easton..............14,940    
   Alliance...................Andrew Muir..............  3,639    
   Green (NI)..............Steven Agnew.............2,549    
   NI Conservatives....Frank Shivers.............    941    
   Sinn Féin.................Thérèse McCartney........531    
   SDLP........................Caoímhe McNeill.............400    
   Independent...........Gavan Reynolds.................3

Looks nailed on for a DUP candidate now.

Harold Disgracey

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #338 on: November 06, 2019, 07:08:38 PM »
Alliance did very well in the most recent council elections in North Down and Ards so they would have a decent chance.

LeoMc

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #339 on: November 06, 2019, 07:14:30 PM »
That's a seat now likely going to a pro Brexit DUP voter so will negate any loss that DUP will suffer in South Belfast or elsewhere.

General election 2017: North Down Party    Candidate    Votes    

   Independent..........Sylvia Hermon..........16,148    
   DUP.........................Alex Easton..............14,940    
   Alliance...................Andrew Muir..............  3,639    
   Green (NI)..............Steven Agnew.............2,549    
   NI Conservatives....Frank Shivers.............    941    
   Sinn Féin.................Thérèse McCartney........531    
   SDLP........................Caoímhe McNeill.............400    
   Independent...........Gavan Reynolds.................3

Looks nailed on for a DUP candidate now.
UUP didn’t stand against her so they may have a chance if they have any decent candidates. How did they do in the other elections there?

yellowcard

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #340 on: November 06, 2019, 07:21:46 PM »
Alliance did very well in the most recent council elections in North Down and Ards so they would have a decent chance.

31,000 unionist votes out of 38,000 highly unlikely alliance could win it I would have thought, possibly UUP depending on the candidates involved. If both UUP and Alliance stand then it plays into DUP's hands.

seafoid

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #341 on: November 06, 2019, 07:22:18 PM »
That's a seat now likely going to a pro Brexit DUP voter so will negate any loss that DUP will suffer in South Belfast or elsewhere.

General election 2017: North Down Party    Candidate    Votes    

   Independent..........Sylvia Hermon..........16,148    
   DUP.........................Alex Easton..............14,940    
   Alliance...................Andrew Muir..............  3,639    
   Green (NI)..............Steven Agnew.............2,549    
   NI Conservatives....Frank Shivers.............    941    
   Sinn Féin.................Thérèse McCartney........531    
   SDLP........................Caoímhe McNeill.............400    
   Independent...........Gavan Reynolds.................3

Looks nailed on for a DUP candidate now.
The DUP made an arse of Brexit. £60 customs charges
for consignments going between NI and GB and vice versa. This will hurt them
Lookit

marty34

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #342 on: November 06, 2019, 07:23:48 PM »
The UDA/UVF probably have a reasonable say in who "working class" loyalists vote for in certain areas at least. If they don't appease them then they will lose voters.

That being said the last time they paired up was round the time of their "graduated response" around parades which still hasn't happened.

They will team up with the UDA/UVF if it is expedient for them to do so. That's fine but they can't then claim some high principled moral stance over paramilitarism links which is what they are doing in the case of Sean Kelly and SDLP. It is fairly clear already that Finucane will be the subject of a continual smear campaign in North Belfast which is just indicative of how much pressure that Dodds is under to hold that seat. I think Finucane is too clever to get involved in the mud slinging of personal attacks and needs to keep it about Brexit and Dodds record over the last 2-3 years as an arch Brexiteer/ERG apologist.

True, softly spoken and will do well with pulling in a few SDLP/Alluance and Green voters who are against Brexit - just to get Dodds out.

Rossfan

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #343 on: November 06, 2019, 07:25:26 PM »


General election 2017: North Down Party    Candidate    Votes    

   Independent..........Sylvia Hermon..........16,148    
   DUP.........................Alex Easton..............14,940    
   Alliance...................Andrew Muir..............  3,639    
   Green (NI)..............Steven Agnew.............2,549    
   NI Conservatives....Frank Shivers.............    941    
   Sinn Féin.................Thérèse McCartney........531    
   SDLP........................Caoímhe McNeill.............400    
   Independent...........Gavan Reynolds.................3

Looks nailed on for a DUP candidate now.

Will Gavan Reynolds be standing again?
Still Connacht Champions

marty34

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Re: UK General Election December 2019
« Reply #344 on: November 06, 2019, 07:30:23 PM »
Alliance did very well in the most recent council elections in North Down and Ards so they would have a decent chance.

Maybe more of a chance in north Down than east Belfast?