The Many Faces of US Politics...

Started by Tyrones own, March 20, 2009, 09:29:14 PM

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armaghniac

Quote from: RedHand88 on November 04, 2020, 12:28:52 AM
Florida 51% in

Trump 50.3
Biden 48.8

85% of miami-dade already in too. Biden underperforming in that county.

I preferred Gallsman's data, can we have that back?
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

RedHand88

Quote from: gallsman on November 04, 2020, 12:28:55 AM
Miami looking worrying for Biden. Trump already 120k up on his two vote there since 2016.

Panhandle vote still to come in. Florida slipping away from Biden. He only leads Miami-dade by 9 points, 9!!

gallsman

Where do the absentee ballots factor into this counting process. Florida started counting days ago.

whitey

Quote from: gallsman on November 04, 2020, 12:35:57 AM
Where do the absentee ballots factor into this counting process. Florida started counting days ago.

Absentee/Mail in ballots are counted first in FL I believe (so not looking particularly good for Biden if this trend holds). Panhandle polls still open which is heavy Trump

RedHand88

Quote from: whitey on November 04, 2020, 12:44:11 AM
Quote from: gallsman on November 04, 2020, 12:35:57 AM
Where do the absentee ballots factor into this counting process. Florida started counting days ago.

Absentee/Mail in ballots are counted first in FL I believe (so not looking particularly good for Biden if this trend holds). Panhandle polls still open which is heavy Trump

Though Biden now has a 140k lead. Panhandle could eat that up.

Trump has shortened to 11/10.

gallsman

It's ok, Florida is over. Ewan MacKenna has declared that "serious sources" are saying Trump has already won FL.

f**k democracy and stopping the rise of 21st century fascism, I now want Biden to win Judy to laugh at the state of that lying, contrarian, fantasist f**k.

Boycey

Trump's price shrinking on the betting exchanges all the time. He was approx 2/1 an hour ago down to roughly 5/4 now....


whitey

It was said on POTUS last week that if Trump wins FL it is no longer a 90/10 race in favor of Biden

It becomes a 65/35 race

RedHand88

Quote from: Boycey on November 04, 2020, 12:48:36 AM
Trump's price shrinking on the betting exchanges all the time. He was approx 2/1 an hour ago down to roughly 5/4 now....

Evens now. Has anyone checked if Sid is ok?

Boycey

Quote from: RedHand88 on November 04, 2020, 01:01:01 AM
Quote from: Boycey on November 04, 2020, 12:48:36 AM
Trump's price shrinking on the betting exchanges all the time. He was approx 2/1 an hour ago down to roughly 5/4 now....

Evens now. Has anyone checked if Sid is ok?

Exchanges moving slightly back towards Biden now. A lot of shrewd people in and out with their profit in their pockets already....

Blowitupref

Biden to win North carolina and Ohio?
Is the ref going to finally blow his whistle?... No, he's going to blow his nose

RedHand88

Quote from: Blowitupref on November 04, 2020, 01:25:02 AM
Biden to win North carolina and Ohio?

New york times has north carolina tilting trump, and Ohio has lots of red counties to come in. They'll probably both go trump.

gallsman

#19242
Quote from: Blowitupref on November 04, 2020, 01:25:02 AM
Biden to win North carolina and Ohio?

Looking good so far. Long night ahead assuming Trump wraps up Florida. Lookd like Republicans have done a brilliant job in Miami with Little Marco's friends. Some of the Cubans would see being offered a flu jab as evidence of a Marxist conspiracy. Very interesting as Trump down quite a bit in a few places like the panhandle and Biden outperforming Hilary from four years ago, so GOP gain and Biden underperformance in Miami swinging the whole state.

John King, say what you will about CNN's coverage, is absolutely brilliant at this stuff. Putts Marr and Vine to shame.

gallsman

Biden starting to look very good in Ohio. Trump underperforming everywhere in the state, Biden really outperforming Hilary. Ohio a good bellwether for the rest of the rust belt.

armaghniac

#19244
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 04, 2020, 01:30:02 AM
Quote from: Blowitupref on November 04, 2020, 01:25:02 AM
Biden to win North carolina and Ohio?

New york times has north carolina tilting trump, and Ohio has lots of red counties to come in. They'll probably both go trump.

Yet CBS are still giving NC as tilting Biden, Trump needs to win more than 55% of remaining votes and this does not seem certain by any means. I expect it will be very close, not sure what that implies for anywhere else.

Odds are now moving towards parity for Trump and Biden.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B