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Messages - bennydorano

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1
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 13, 2019, 09:19:04 AM »
SF vote seems well down % wise constituency by constituency (bar NB), not great either for the DUP. With knuckles firmly wrapped for both parties and influence gone in the UK the return of Stormont is a certainty.

Stormont will be up and going again very soon, SF and DUP have no influence whatsoever now with Tory majority.
Could see a bit of DUP stalling to force an Election (due by end of January if Stormont is not up and running) so they can parachute in Dodds & Pengelley as MLAs.

2
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 13, 2019, 07:49:02 AM »
SF vote seems well down % wise constituency by constituency (bar NB), not great either for the DUP. With knuckles firmly wrapped for both parties and influence gone in the UK the return of Stormont is a certainty.

3
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 12, 2019, 10:37:26 PM »
SNP will be on a sticky wicket now, they could go down the route of having a Referendum without UK approval, it could get very dirty & nasty.

4
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 12, 2019, 10:12:17 PM »
Miracle of Istanbul not happening I see. The Exit poll might be a few out but not remotely enough.

Labour have to return to the centre ground. Corbyn will go 2moro, hopefully they'll take their time and do it right. McDonnell might go too, there's a push for the next leader to be female.

5
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 12, 2019, 04:32:12 PM »
Nationalism has a problem and even though demographics are trending towards a nationalist majority neither SF nor the SDLP are making ground. Alliance seem to be mopping ups that younger vote, so a UI is fading. Michelle O'Neill is a vote loser, talks too fast and is incoherent at best. O'Dowd would have been a better bet. The SDLP on the other hand despite the obvious ability of Eastwood can't stop coming across as Uncle Tom's.
tbf conor murphy is the natural leader of the shinners but for whatever reason he has been sidelined.
they need him leading as he is articulate and can easily defend his position without resorting the rancour.
sdlp might do better than we think in this election purely as a wake up call to the shinners not to take their electorate or granted

He was found guilty of discrimination in 2012 in choosing a new Chair for NI Water while a minister. I remember thinking he was destined for the top myself, but i think he was starting to get sidelined a bit even before this.

6
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 12, 2019, 04:27:58 PM »
The twitterati are ranting about a #youthquake

Not entirely convinced by twitter as it's very much an echo chamber.

Is there any truth in this?

Some reported (young) people being turned away from #PollingStations because they didnít have ID.

That is bollocks.

YOU DO NOT NEED ANYTHING TO VOTE, NO ID OR EVEN POLLING CARD.

Make sure you go and #Vote. #GE2019


I needed photo ID, is this just a Norn Iron thing?
Photo id is an NI thing ok, heard gurns about the Tories planning to introduce it UK wide back in the Autumn. You actually don't need id to vote in GB, mad!

7
General discussion / Re: Dirua
« on: December 12, 2019, 04:21:18 PM »
If it's a hung parliament/very slim Tory majority prediction at 10pm 2nite I'll be getting my summer euros before 10.05pm on Revolut. Large Tory majority and we'll be in the Ä1.20s by Monday

8
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 11, 2019, 11:22:37 PM »
Read an article today, think it was in the Irish News(might have been Twitter) stating roughly 3,500 - 4,000 voters added to the register in NB - vast majority supposedly of the Unionist persuasion, Shinners may have missed a trick by the looks of it. Something similar in SB but to a lesser extent and not expected to help Pengelley. See the Alliance party trying to claim EB & North Down are neck and neck - would doubt that very much.

9
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 11, 2019, 12:59:02 PM »
Really shitty day weather wise forecast for the majority of England 2moro, could be a big factor.

10
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 11, 2019, 08:06:48 AM »
That MRP Seat predictor didn't even mention the 18 NI seats. I know we're an irrelevance and irritant but I wonder were we even factored in.

11
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 09, 2019, 04:46:27 PM »
One if the major problems is that for every individual that really thinks about their options, votes tactically there are 10 people who will lap up for any old shite.

See these Greeks & their fancy ideas, eh? Unfortunately, they didn't leave us a mechanism for disenfranchising the intellectually enfeebled, when they laid down their principles of democracy. A big oversight.

Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.
HL Mencken

12
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 09, 2019, 02:22:23 PM »
One if the major problems is that for every individual that really thinks about their options, votes tactically there are 10 people who will lap up for any old shite.

13
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 09, 2019, 10:51:56 AM »
It's Miracle of Istanbul territory now, everything has to fall into place perfectly for Labour to merely achieve a hung parliament- the best way to achieve a 2nd Referendum. Tactical voting has to be perfect, the margins of errors in the polls have to fall their way, the Brexit party taking Labour votes in targeted seats has to be ineffective, turnout because of weather / the season has to be in their favour, the youth vote has to fall favourably over targeted constituencies. That's a lot of variables that have to go their way

14
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 09, 2019, 07:46:43 AM »
Latest Survation poll
Con 45%
Lab 31%
Lib 11 %
Brex 4%

15
General discussion / Re: Boxing Thread
« on: December 07, 2019, 10:17:38 PM »
Good training for a fight with Wilder - dodge & dive and avoid the hammer.

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