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Messages - easytiger95

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1
General discussion / Re: Westminster Election 12th December 2019
« on: December 09, 2019, 05:00:46 PM »
Cheer up lads - Bojo might just have had his Gordon Brown "awful woman" moment. Did you not see this today?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/dec/09/refuses-to-look-at-picture-of-boy-forced-to-sleep-on-hospital-floor

I think he is cracking under the pressure - might not be the time to exploit it for a hung parliament result, but a narrow Tory win makes Brexit of the kind that Boris wants extremely hard to achieve. He needs a landslide and a parliament full of swivel eyed loons to insure him against the remains of the centrist fringe rebelling - I'd say the odds of that are receding.

If he comes home with a ten or 15 seat majority, he doesn't look like the Heineken candidate that he was puffed up to be - and there should be enough relatively sane MPs in there to block him from no deal at the end of next year.

2
General discussion / Re: Climate change
« on: September 25, 2019, 04:51:20 PM »
If there were 5 natural mass extinctions before, then another natural one is surely inevitable.

I wouldnít possibly suggest that human excess isnít contributing to the event. It might even be speeding it up at a rate of knots. This seems likely.

But proclaiming every environmental change as the result of global warming /climate change is basically two fingers up to a planet that has seen off all its species at least 5 times, and continued to do its own thing throughout. People should take a step back and think about what theyíre saying, before latching these words onto everything.  Thatís the point Iím trying to make here.

Re. the bit in bold - so if it was 95+% the result of human activity?  [and its likely 99%+ human activity - as there have been no external events such as notable increase/decrease in solar activity or volcanic ash or from a meteor impact which could be associated to many (if not all!) previous extinction events]

He's right to an extent tho.... everything gets blamed on Global Warming when there are other factors. As an example the increase in intensity of wildfires in the Western US is widely blamed on Global Warming but  research shows that extinguishing every wild fire disrupts the natural cycle of burning and actually creates denser forests (unsurprisingly) with more  fuel and so more explosive fires when they do get going.

But is that not textbook, observable, human activity-caused climate change at work? If we accept your premise (and I'm sure forestry management has a large part to play in wildfire spread) then human activity has contributed to the prevalence of wildfires, those wildfires release huge amounts of carbon into the air, contributing to global warming, which then feedbacks into providing drier, hotter, more combustible conditions for future fires, again in explosively full forests?

It's a bit chicken and egg, but to say that everything gets blamed on global warming, misses the fact that we are to blame for global warming.

3
General discussion / Re: Climate change
« on: September 24, 2019, 04:45:44 PM »
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/video/2019/sep/18/listen-to-the-scientists-greta-thunberg-tells-congress-video

Greta says it better than anyone - she doesn't want anyone to listen to her per se, she wants them to listen to the scientists. But given that one of the two main parties in the world's biggest emitter is committed to climate change denial, then she feels no choice but to speak out - given that her generation are the ones who will bear the biggest cost.

Perhaps people should get over the fact that she is a 16 year old girl and acknowledge the sense she is talking - she says we should follow the considered, peer reviewed conclusions of over 99 percent of studies that climate change is caused by human activity. If you disagree with her, I assume you are disagreeing with that?

Or maybe you just don't think a 16 year old girl should speak truth to power - a position I find as repellent as climate change denial. We won't get a solution without a functioning global democratic system. Her stand renews faith in the power of free speech, protest and democracy on the ground. The tragedy is that a 16 year old girl is displaying more maturity than the majority of lawmakers in Western societies.

4
General discussion / Re: Climate change
« on: September 24, 2019, 09:36:52 AM »
Great article from an incredibly brave and articulate person. I agree with Eamonn, those who are criticising her are basically engaging in child abuse for hire. Good clip below from the Majority Report on it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSFEcG0CKB0

These are very dark times (I've also been bingeing on a lot of Scott Walker music recently, which definitely hasn't helped  :o) but as we settle down to wait for our Mad Max style hellscape to fully appear, at least we can say we were told, and clearly, what we should do to prevent it. People like her are a wonder and she should be cherished.

Just on the nuclear issue, I don't know near enough about it. For me the big questions re its use is the production of the waste material - where and how can it be safely dealt with? Also, are these new reactor designs safe enough to deal with natural disasters, earthquakes, hurricanes, typhoons, tsunami etc? Given that a lot of these phenomena are exacerbated by climate change, are these risks being built into design?

Genuine questions, I'd love some answers. Nuclear has always seemed to me that it should or could be part of a solution.

5
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: September 16, 2019, 01:07:18 PM »
Very, very happy. I was shook after the drawn game, even though I had predicted here that it would be very close, and that we rarely kick on in finals. I had to watch the replay from home (the little fella's birthday party) but I was actually looking forward to having a bit of distance from it, given how draining the first game was.

First half was just an expression of everything great in the game, and the second half was an expression of the peculiar ruthlessness that the Dubs have developed since 2011 - if you crack, even a little, they take advantage, and as soon as Murchan gave them some daylight, they were able to play the game on their own terms. Even when Kerry reeled them in, it was taking so much out of them to do that, whilst the Dubs were taking long breathers in possession and were able to pace themselves better.

I was able to get out and in to the city afterwards ("Where is Daddy going???"). Great atmosphere and the Kerry fans were, as usual, graceful to a fault. Saw a lot of people who I have been meeting at matches since the early 90s - we are lucky to have seen this team and these times.

Kerry will be back - just as the 12 minute spell against Mayo led to an over estimation of our capabilities, our second half here shouldn't obscure the immense strain this young team must have been under - if the first game was a free hit, having gone so close the pressure was on the Kerry lads to close the deal. That is a lot to ask of young fellas. There were plenty of seasoned veterans on the team that broke through in 2011 (Cullen, the two Brogans, Cahill, Cluxton etc) and they were needed. These lads will grow immeasurably from this experience.

Saw Ciaran Kilkenny getting his MOTM award, talking of the teachers that instilled the love in him for our games, our culture and his county. Men from Kerry and Wexford. He is from around my home area - only ever met him the once, when I was bringing the little fella to see the Sam. Just very proud that men like him, with an appreciation of all that this means, are still being produced around our way.

Rare auld times. Thanks to all who have congratulated us on our win.


6
General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: August 29, 2019, 04:02:11 PM »
Read the tea leaves here guys - Johnson seems buoyed by his visits to Europe - Merkel and Macron (wisely) didn't go too hard on him. It as  likely that prorogation is about getting a deal rather than forcing through a no deal.

Bojo shuts up shop without a legislative bar on no deal and without a no confidence vote being laid (Labour still not sure of their numbers or the number of Tory rebels) then goes into the tunnel and comes out with a donkey dressed as a unicorn - something like a time limited back stop (DUP can get on board with it but because the backstop couldn't conceivably start until after the transition period, even a five year limit gets us up to at least 2027) or an agribusiness only backstop (more difficult for the DUP and for us but still a runner) or full NI backstop if needed but with a NI only referendum promised to decide when to leave a backstop (more dangerous for the DUPers as it would become a proxy border poll).

Anyhow, he gets the DUP onside, loses perhaps 20-30 ERG members but gains enough Labour rebels either terrified of the ticking clock or fed up of Corbyn's backsliding towards a referendum. Job's a good un because no one has enough time to game it out, it's Noel Edwards time.

Long term the DUP are still doomed because even the best Brexit is worse than full EU membership (and even in a backstop there is going to be enough people in NI with UK passports getting delayed at Benidorm with sterling at parity or worse with the Euro, to be complaining). They are locked tight to Brexit at that stage, and lets face it, that's like having concrete slippers and going for a swim.

Or Boris could go into the tunnel and get scared himself, bring back the withdrawal agreement with an NI only backstop as originally envisaged, knife the DUP, and hope that he has enough scared Labour rebels to back him. Either way the DUP are screwed as an electoral force longterm. Their incompetence on this will not be forgotten.

So overall, I reckon that whilst the chance of no deal has increased considerably (if you try and rob a bank with an imitation gun, there's always a chance someone will shoot you) but I think Johnson's intentions are still to get a deal - he just has to scare the bejesus out of everyone to get enough votes for it.

Still don't see what SF could add to this - they would have loads to lose and nothing to gain - except if they see Remainer slippage to the Alliance, but even then it costs them too much to go to Westminster so they should stay where they are.

7
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 28, 2019, 04:34:19 PM »
I don't think Cian starts unless MDMA loses his place and McCarthy is pushed to midfield. Unlikely that Gavin will make changes in the defence - if people go well for him they tend to stay in. Davey Byrne looks to have reinvented himself this year, and I'd say Mick Fitzsimons is the one under pressure of that back line - but I think he will still start.

I think the sweeper position for Dublin will really depend on who starts and where for Kerry - if Geaney and Clifford stay in close, expect Byrne and Fitzsimons to take them and Jonny to be a spare man, getting on breaks and keeping an eye for O'Brien and Shea breaking in from half forward. If they have a 3 man full forward line, that is when I'd expect to see Cian to get on early - he's terrific (when fit) at providing cover from the half back position - just has a great positional sense, and that could put pressure on Kerry getting ball into their forward line.

I expect the first half to be cagey before it gradually opens up in the second half (in which case Dubs win due to being further down the road conditioning wise). If Kerry though go ahead early and stay ahead into half time, then some doubts could start creeping into Dublin minds. Really can't wait now.

8
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 28, 2019, 02:29:17 PM »
Dara O Se

 "Dublinís bench is so strong, Bernard Brogan and Eoghan OíGara probably wonít make the 26."

You can't talk about the match without talking about why those 2 probably won't make the 26

https://www.rte.ie/sport/gaa/2019/0622/1056894-gaa-see-dublin-as-blueprint-for-future-not-the-problem/
"Costello rejects the suggestion Dublin no longer need financial support from Croke Park.
"We have huge challenges in Dublin. We have developing areas that we have no presence in: there are areas like Cherrywood, Hollystown and Adamstown."
"Dublin's dominance within Leinster has seen winning margins skyrocket as final attendances have halved in a decade, but Leinster Council CEO Michael Reynolds does not entertain the idea that the provincial championships are a lost cause.
"The Leinster Championship is quite vibrant outside the Dublin scenario. During the summer, you have some very good matches - the same in the other provinces," said Reynolds."


If it is a hammering and they do the ritual humiliation handpass routine to Kerry in Croke Park maybe the debate will open up.

Because Berno is 35 and because Eoghan is 33 and has never nailed down a starting place and is inconsistent at the best of times - a great servant but he can shoot the lights out one day and the next have a nightmare. Con O'Callaghan has developed this year as a really physical full forward option and he has a lot more football in him then Eoghan (all due respect to him and the vital contributions he made over the years).
Wasn't Andy Moran 35 in the semifinal?
How come there are so many young nippers available to Dublin ?

Seafoid, sometimes a cigar is just a cigar. Andy Moran was a sub in the semi final, my info was that Berno was going to be a sub, but was injured at the end of the Tyrone game (mentioned by others on the board as well). O'Gara has been on and off match day panels throughput  his (long) career. Berno has been rehabbing a really bad injury, which is difficult to do at his age. For him to be in contention even is a tribute to his determination. But don't mention that, it doesn't conform to your narrative.

As I said before, there are plenty of threads for you to expound your views, and plenty of people who disagree with your analysis (which is allowed). Go have the argument there.

9
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 28, 2019, 12:16:36 PM »
Dara O Se

 "Dublinís bench is so strong, Bernard Brogan and Eoghan OíGara probably wonít make the 26."

You can't talk about the match without talking about why those 2 probably won't make the 26

https://www.rte.ie/sport/gaa/2019/0622/1056894-gaa-see-dublin-as-blueprint-for-future-not-the-problem/
"Costello rejects the suggestion Dublin no longer need financial support from Croke Park.
"We have huge challenges in Dublin. We have developing areas that we have no presence in: there are areas like Cherrywood, Hollystown and Adamstown."
"Dublin's dominance within Leinster has seen winning margins skyrocket as final attendances have halved in a decade, but Leinster Council CEO Michael Reynolds does not entertain the idea that the provincial championships are a lost cause.
"The Leinster Championship is quite vibrant outside the Dublin scenario. During the summer, you have some very good matches - the same in the other provinces," said Reynolds."


If it is a hammering and they do the ritual humiliation handpass routine to Kerry in Croke Park maybe the debate will open up.

Because Berno is 35 and because Eoghan is 33 and has never nailed down a starting place and is inconsistent at the best of times - a great servant but he can shoot the lights out one day and the next have a nightmare. Con O'Callaghan has developed this year as a really physical full forward option and he has a lot more football in him then Eoghan (all due respect to him and the vital contributions he made over the years).

10
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 28, 2019, 10:25:41 AM »
The system is broken, EasyTiger. Marie Antoinette didn't understand that either.


That clearly does equate me to her.

If you want to make a point about the broken state of the football championship there are plenty of threads you can use or you can start one yourself.

There are plenty of people who don't agree with your analysis. It doesn't make them blind/fools/elitists.
I never said anyone was an elitist or a fool.
I do think a lot of things are going to change in the coming years.
The French Revolution was similar. 

There are enough fans who have given up going to matches to fit the thesis.
Let's see how the attendances look for this year

No, you just compared me to an elitist and a fool. As did FTB. For a man who lives and dies by links and written evidence on this board, you're great for avoiding the implications of your own words.

As for the rest, the point remains the same. There are numerous different threads to expound your views on these matters. Is it too much to ask you discuss it on those and let the match be discussed here?
Using a quote by someone or comparing a situation to now does not imply anything about you. Sorry
I don't know anything about you.

The match will be over when the Dubs start the ritual handpassing

No you don't know anything about me, otherwise you wouldn't have have compared my lack of knowledge of the broken state of football, to Marie Antoinette's wilful ignorance of the state of the French citizenry prior to the revolution. There is a fairly big implication there. Sorry.
There is a link between the state of play before the French Revolution and GF now. It has nothing to do with you .
Get a grip

Perhaps you should read back how you expressed your thoughts and realise how I would think that. It's all in black and white. I even highlighted it for you. Happy for you to apologise/amend at any stage.

By the way, the French revolution was a rebellion on behalf of millions of beaten down oppressed people, faced with a homicidal regime, appalling living standards, curtailed life spans and the brutalisation of the human spirit. So your point is it was almost as bad as the perceived lack of fairness in funding to Dublin GAA???

Get a grip, cop on etc etc

11
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 28, 2019, 10:18:52 AM »
I would say Dublin fans are more nervous this year than last year. Tyrone don't offer any threat to Dublin and that game was over at half time. No one I know believed they had a chance

Kerry have a punchers chance with their forwards and their ability to get goal. That's what makes it nervous for me. Like I said earlier a good start for Kerry can really set up the game for them, especially if Dublin have to push on and chase the game at any stage.

I do wonder do the Dublin posters really believe what they are saying. Dublin should be 5 to 10 points better here. Iíd love to see a tight game so hope I am wrong but canít see it. Yes Dublin a bit weaker in fb line than they have been but the Kerry defense is very poor and possibly the weakest in quite a few years in a final.
Absolutely I mean what I say. For all our recent successes against them, the "rivalry" from the 70s was completely one-sided once the final whistle blew in 77, and had been before Heffo's arrival. Kerry do not fear Dublin, in fact, I think their attitude towards us now is one of bewilderment that we didn't crumble away rather than awe at our achievements.

This is going to mean something very big in the Kingdom - derail the machine and you will have immortality a la 1955, 75 and 78. Fail and you will have infamy, always to be remembered as bit players as the greatest prize is won.

Undoubtedly Dublin are favourites, but I really don't think we are going to do this at a canter. Even if Kerry can't match us, Dublin will have their own stresses as posterity looms. They wouldn't be human if that didn't effect them a bit.

 

12
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 27, 2019, 04:50:57 PM »
The system is broken, EasyTiger. Marie Antoinette didn't understand that either.


That clearly does equate me to her.

If you want to make a point about the broken state of the football championship there are plenty of threads you can use or you can start one yourself.

There are plenty of people who don't agree with your analysis. It doesn't make them blind/fools/elitists.
I never said anyone was an elitist or a fool.
I do think a lot of things are going to change in the coming years.
The French Revolution was similar. 

There are enough fans who have given up going to matches to fit the thesis.
Let's see how the attendances look for this year

No, you just compared me to an elitist and a fool. As did FTB. For a man who lives and dies by links and written evidence on this board, you're great for avoiding the implications of your own words.

As for the rest, the point remains the same. There are numerous different threads to expound your views on these matters. Is it too much to ask you discuss it on those and let the match be discussed here?
Using a quote by someone or comparing a situation to now does not imply anything about you. Sorry
I don't know anything about you.

The match will be over when the Dubs start the ritual handpassing

No you don't know anything about me, otherwise you wouldn't have have compared my lack of knowledge of the broken state of football, to Marie Antoinette's wilful ignorance of the state of the French citizenry prior to the revolution. There is a fairly big implication there. Sorry.

In terms of the match, anyone who thinks Dublin are going to have it easy are discounting a few factors

1. Dublin always start slow in All Ireland finals this decade, even against Tyrone last year the first 20 minutes were a mare (and I think Tyrone didn't have the firepower that Kerry have this year)
2. Dublin's fullback gives up nearly as many chances as Kerry's - for the past five years it has been mentioned as a weakness but no one has been able to exploit it fully (not since Donegal 14 and Kerry 13). A forward unit containing Clifford, Shea, Geaney, O'Brien et al are as good as that line has faced in years - getting possession in to them will be vital.
3. Kerry's defeat of Mayo was as impressive, in its way, as ours. They put them to bed very early and were never out of control. Allowances can be made because it was not knock out, but the divergence in the formline is not as big as the bookies would suggest.
4. The return of Sean Walsh could be a real fly in the ointment for that Dublin full back line. Cooper, Mick Fitz and Davey Byrne would need to have two men on him to contest the ball and win the knockdown and none of them are as good aerially as prime time Rory O'Carroll (given his performance in Tyrone he is not going to be first sub in).

So, I think if there is any ritual handpassing to be done, it will only be in the dying seconds. This has the makings of a shootout and I'm drooling at the prospect.

13
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 27, 2019, 04:01:38 PM »
The system is broken, EasyTiger. Marie Antoinette didn't understand that either.


That clearly does equate me to her.

If you want to make a point about the broken state of the football championship there are plenty of threads you can use or you can start one yourself.

There are plenty of people who don't agree with your analysis. It doesn't make them blind/fools/elitists.
I never said anyone was an elitist or a fool.
I do think a lot of things are going to change in the coming years.
The French Revolution was similar. 

There are enough fans who have given up going to matches to fit the thesis.
Let's see how the attendances look for this year

No, you just compared me to an elitist and a fool. As did FTB. For a man who lives and dies by links and written evidence on this board, you're great for avoiding the implications of your own words.

As for the rest, the point remains the same. There are numerous different threads to expound your views on these matters. Is it too much to ask you discuss it on those and let the match be discussed here?

14
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 27, 2019, 01:48:33 PM »
The system is broken, EasyTiger. Marie Antoinette didn't understand that either.


That clearly does equate me to her.

If you want to make a point about the broken state of the football championship there are plenty of threads you can use or you can start one yourself.

There are plenty of people who don't agree with your analysis. It doesn't make them blind/fools/elitists.

15
GAA Discussion / Re: Dublin v Kerry All Ireland Final 2019
« on: August 27, 2019, 01:16:32 PM »
Loads to talk about and no Dublin fan I know is taking this lightly - this is a serious Kerry team, who beat Mayo by the same score as us, and didn't have to struggle in the first half to do so.

Unfortunately, any discussion of the game gets sidetracked here always. Prefer now to do the chatting IRL because online is just a snake eating itself.

Mayo were flogged twice this year! First they had to play 3 weeks in a row to Down (away), Armagh (home) and Galway (Limerick) while Kerry rested, waited and planed for a home tie against them in week 4.

Same for the game v Dublin Mayo played tough games against Kerry (away), Meath (Croker) and Donegal (home) while a rested Dublin played Cork (Home), Roscommon (home) and played their 'B' team to Tyrone (away).

The lead up to both games left Mayo shagged! Don't get me wrong they would have lost both! But to read anything into either results means nothing as the leads up was not on a level playing field. But hey, the GAA is full of non level playing fields.

Anyway, Up the Dubs! Really hope ye do it!

Mayo had that route because they lost to Roscommon. That has nothing to do with non-level playing fields - every county risks a long trip through the qualifiers if they lose early. It didn't cost them in other campaigns.

Look at the rest time in other campaigns! No excuses for the defeats, just they went into both those games shagged! And the lead up games had an effect on the manner of their defeats. If you think otherwise you clearly do not have any idea of recovery time from bruising intercounty games.

Sure they lost to Roscommon! But does this mean that you have to treat amateur players like dogs for this?

If you are not happy with losers going back into the AI competition. Then feck them out when they lose, don't be putting them in unrealistic situations.

Best of Luck in the final! I'll be cheering for you! (I'll be cheering for you in next years final as well!)

Amazingly the system is set up to treat any players on any team "like dogs" when you lose your first game. You're coming across like a real child here.

 "Qu'ils mangent de la brioche".

Apparently you think its alright to equate my opinions on the GAA with the homicidal indifference of the wife of a historical tyrant.

You think that is ok because

1. You don't know me
2. Hey its the internet and
3. My own hurt as a Mayo fan crushed by an unfair system cannot be in any way equated with the experience of, or understood by, a Dublin fan, who is part of this elite.

Those rationalisations are fundamentally immature, hence my comment about you acting like a child.

Like you (I assume) I get up and work hard every day. Like you (I assume) I take my son to the local GAA club and help out with training and matches (when I can, I'm not a martyr to it). Like you (I assume) I've played both club and schools GAA, though I never played senior for my club, and my modest achievements were all at colleges level. Like you (I know) I follow my county passionately.

Unlike you, I can ascribe all those values and characteristics to you without having met you.

I've spent a large part of my professional life producing and directing television coverage of GAA sports - I've been to most of the county grounds in the country and met volunteers for clubs and counties at every ground we've pitched up at. I've always treated those people with the same respect I would expect if they were pitching up at my club. And that fundamental extension of respect seems to be beyond you.

There are numerous threads for Dublin funding issues. I (and probably a lot of others) would like to discuss the game on Sunday on this thread. Perhaps you could extend us that respect?

A bit of cop on would not go amiss.

The system is broken, EasyTiger. Marie Antoinette didn't understand that either.
You can't run a sports competition when one team wins way in advance and the administrators don't care.

"The sight of a once vicious rivalry surviving on life support is the GAAís primetime product on the third weekend of June in 2019.
So finishes the decade with the Leinster football championship in ruin as any sense of competitiveness is lost. An era that begun with Meath thumping Dublin to the tune of 5-9 to 0-13 in this very fixture concludes with no provincial rivalry to speak about."

"Dublin are a long, long way in front of anyone else," said Colm O'Rourke.
"And maybe the gap is getting bigger all the time. There's no semblance of Dublin being sated by their success so far. It looks as if they want to win, win, win.

https://www.irishmirror.ie/sport/gaa/gaelic-football/gaelic-football-news/dublin-already-odds-six-row-18920594

I don't think Dublin all Ireland wins are valid any more, in fact. Because they get advantages nobody else does.
Why not take the tournament out of the hands of the GAA and put some decent sports administrators in control ?

And once again I am being equated with Marie Antionette. With the greatest of respect Seafoid, you are missing my point completely.

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