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Messages - heganboy

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General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: October 24, 2016, 02:19:42 PM »
If the Walloon govt can hold the non member Canadians to ransom, how is it you see Brexit negotiations actually completing?

All Eu negotiations complete and all members approve the deal?

Maybe circa 2030.
At that point with the banks gone and 10% Corp tax, England GDP  will be about the same size as Hong Kong (the irony) Scotland will be independent and remain within EU, Wales will be hosed. The unionists in the wee north will have seen the writing on the wall as the US multinationals and banks move to the only English speaking country in Europe. Donegal and Sligo have by now become service centers for Dublin Cork and Galway with actual economies.
Learning the lesson from last time the Celtic tiger doesn't blow up. Comminity focussed social projects in Belfast are booming, funded by the GAA. The work force in the north want paid in Euro.  EU creates a new United Kingdom of Ireland and Northern Ireland. UKIP votes will all move to Spain and get their costa Del citizenship and wonder why the Spanish don't like them.

General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: October 23, 2016, 11:33:57 PM »
Corporation tax at 10%.
It is not an enticement on its own.
Brexit and the subsequent currencu decay of GBP vs Euro and USD have introduced significant optionality into revenue streams and tax credits that are currently unmodellable. For the capital markets community in London that risk is factored every time there is an investment cycle. Hardware might be 3 years. Staff might be annually. Business units maybe every 5 years. Premises on 10 year cycles. However extraordinary events are constantly reviewed to assess their impact to the firm. At this point the risk involved in keeping big firms operations in London has been assessed and plans, perhaps contingency, perhaps not, are being drafted for full withdrawal from the City.
10% corporate tax levels would not factor as much into that as the availability of labor and risk to the firm

General discussion / Re: The OFFICIAL Liverpool FC thread
« on: October 23, 2016, 05:36:19 PM »
stallion is going to have some choice words for Mourinho, and probably Conte too

General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: October 23, 2016, 06:01:34 AM »
It will come down to this:

One Trillion British Pounds

Brexit, for the UK and Europe it is the 1.1tn question. That is the amount banks based in the UK are lending to the companies and governments of the EU27, keeping the continent afloat financially.

Hard Brexit and it will be gone like the smoke from a Vatican chimney.

Nobody told the man on the clapham omnibus about that one.

Let's keep an eye on that shall we? Makes the NHS and immigration look like trivial matters. Not so much big fish little pond and more like goldfish in a fairground bag. We may be about to see every economists dream, ceteris paribus and the multiplier effect in real life.

With context, that's half of the UK's GDP. Take a trillion quite off and you ever up between Holland and Indonesia. Hows the bargaining chip looking now?

General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: October 22, 2016, 09:53:05 PM »
I think we are going to start to see some significant impact to the UKs position in the coming weeks. It has finally become public that the major employers in the city of London have been drafting exit and relocation strategy sessions.
Anthony Browne may well have been talking out of school but there will be no denials.
The legal challenges, from the north and in London, The public will and the dire economic impact for the next 5-10 years may yet prevent any Brexit at all.

General discussion / Re: The OFFICIAL Liverpool FC thread
« on: October 22, 2016, 07:34:10 PM »
Sloppy finishing and karius mistake. 5/6 would not have been unrealistic

General discussion / Re: The OFFICIAL Liverpool FC thread
« on: October 22, 2016, 06:23:58 PM »
Top of the league (albeit briefly)

General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: October 21, 2016, 04:51:17 PM »
What would be the policies of a "good conservative alternative"?
Lowish taxes
Prudent budget management
Support for SMEs
Help after natural disasters
Proper Financial regulation

not sure which candidate ever has proposed something other than that.

Lowish taxes- what do you mean here? low income taxes for low middle or high earners- or all three. Do you mean reducing corporation tax again. What does your candidate remove from government spending to not only have the lower tax but also to repay the debt in this prudent budget management. Hundreds of years of economic data shows that additional government spending on infrastructure, healthcare and education boosts an economy to growth meaning the budget balances itself- is that what you're looking for?

Support for SMEs- what candidate/ party ever didn't? What are you looking for that you don't already have?

Help after natural disasters? see the last point.

Proper financial regulation. Comedy- the conservatives have refused to elect SEC board members meaning that no financial regulation changes are even possible right now. Which politician can you name that understands the current financial system let alone propose changes. They are so heavily reliant on their fund raisers that the lobbyists don't even have to put this on the table for meetings.

And just in case I'm not being clear- this is not a post against any candidate, conservative or otherwise, it is symptomatic of the entire political process in the US. Root and branch clear out including but not limited to reversal of citizens united, public clarity and population based caps on campaign contributions, conflict of interest voting bans, term limits, and bans on fundraising while in office, that'll shake it up pretty handy.

Current system is designed to protect those in power, and this applies to the political, tax and lobbying legislation also.

General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: October 21, 2016, 05:22:13 AM »
What would be the policies of a "good conservative alternative"?

General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: October 20, 2016, 04:04:57 AM »
Is it possible that he finally blew it?
Won't accept election results?
I'm sitting at an airport and that shook it up a bit. A real wtf at the bar. That is questioning the the American way, not acceptable. Hillary got a couple of zingers in.

General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: October 20, 2016, 01:01:14 AM »
I used to love her, I used to love her once, a long long time ago...

General discussion / Re: The OFFICIAL Liverpool FC thread
« on: October 14, 2016, 02:47:35 PM »
Manager of the month award for Klopp. Dunno why. I mean anyone that buys Steven Caulker couldn't be a decent manager.

So Monday night then..

Only one winner surely? What hope do a bunch of Southampton rejects and free transfers have against one of the most expensive squads ever assembled. 

Hopefully we can keep the score down to 3 or 4 put it behind us and move on to the next game.

+1. I'm good with that

General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: October 13, 2016, 04:16:51 AM »

Pound steadies after recent slump -

In what world nope?
Batshit plan free and short sighted

General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: October 11, 2016, 01:13:08 PM »

General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: October 11, 2016, 05:16:13 AM »
Quare leak!
Control over our economy, or what's left of it, no control on immigration. That's exactly what people voted for...
Oh wait a minute...

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