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Messages - magpie seanie

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1
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 25, 2020, 04:51:55 PM »
Ya - I'd put the chances of FF/FG/Green delivering on Housing, Healthcare and the environment at about 10%. I'd give a SF government about a 40% chance of delivering assuming they got the stability needed to take the decisions needed.

10% too generous for the former. 40% for the latter.

The Greens and Green-influenced FF/FG want no new housing, anywhere. SF want new state-built housing but the state hasn't the funds and borrowing tens of billions more is no longer an option since 2010.


I'm an optimist!

I understand there's €6.7 Billion available by running a smaller surplus and investing monies received from NAMA and not paying down the National Debt with it. Obviously all dependent on everything not going tits up which hasn't been helped by Leo's facilitation of Boris Johnson's re-election with a pretend deal when he was dead in a ditch.

2
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 25, 2020, 10:36:52 AM »
Ya - I'd put the chances of FF/FG/Green delivering on Housing, Healthcare and the environment at about 10%. I'd give a SF government about a 40% chance of delivering assuming they got the stability needed to take the decisions needed.

3
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 25, 2020, 09:36:03 AM »
And around 14 Independents are dissident FFrs and FGrs.
However compromise is part of politics and compromise she (or Ted Howell or whoever ;D) will have to do if she wants to be Taoiseach as tgere are only 57 leftish TDs in the Dáil.


Your underlying point stands but I can get into the 70's on leftish TD's without stretching it too much. SF + Green + SD + Lab+ PbP = 66. Plus Toibín*, Joan Collins, Catherine Connolly, Thomas Pringle, Carol Nolan*, Michael McNamara. That's 73 though I accept SF would have trouble with their former members*. I'd expect Harkin and and Cathal Berry to be easy to get onside in terms of policy. It starts to get difficult after that though a lot of the former FF/FG cohort and well as the right wingers like Grealish would do a deal with anyone. So I don't think SF's prospects of leading a government are totally dead but when you do the numbers it gets harder. Especially with Labour going out on strike in favour of their former coalition partners.

If the Greens go in with FF/FG I'll never give them a vote again. I also believe a FF/FG led government, while awful, would guarantee a left wing government next time. And destroy one or both of those parties. Which is a good second prize.

4
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Div 4 2020
« on: February 24, 2020, 07:56:56 AM »
Had to look twice on hoganstand at the Sligo result. Are things that bad?


It's impossible to understand the difference in performance levels between the Antrim game a few weeks ago and Saturday v Waterford.

5
General discussion / Re: Man Utd Thread:
« on: February 22, 2020, 12:36:37 PM »
United started well and looked decent until they gave a terrible goal away. Then it was very poor until half time. Lingard and Pereira were absolutely awful throughout. constantly giving the ball away but to be fair weren't the only ones. Brugge didn't look menacing all the same. After United scored....a half mistake by Brugge but Martial was onto it like a light and finished well....Martial had one of those games where he looked up for it and looked what he can be. Didn't get enough good quality service though. Then in the second half United controlled the game mostly with an upsurge in tempo when Fred and particularly Fernandes were introduced. Would have been nice to get a winner but should be ok in the second leg. Making 6 changes was risky but it paid off. Firs time I've seen Brandon Williams a bit iffy. Shaw inside him ewas actually really good....left centre back in that 3 might be the spot for him.

6
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 22, 2020, 12:30:05 PM »
It was obvious he was prompted by Varadkar/Martin, reeks of desperation.

+1 the timing of his statement is no coincidence.  Political interference by a Gardai Commissioner is surely unacceptable.


Varadkar is his boss (Minister for Defence). Harris was number 2 in the PSNI in 2015 when the report he refers to came out. His comments were wrong on so many levels it's unreal. I feel the constant attacks on SF by people who have ruined the country and shown a callous disregard for people whether it be housing, homelessness, healthcare etc are counter productive anyway at this point. They're only playing to their own crowd to try and legitimise a FF/FG coalition. Many within those parties realise it will be the beginning of the end for one of the two if they go into coalition.

7
General discussion / Re: 26 County General Election 2020
« on: February 21, 2020, 10:39:56 PM »
No comments on here about the Garda Commissioners scandalous comments today? We're not a functioning democracy if we accept that. It's absolutely mental and no one is talking about it!

8
Yes, it is. The GAA does lots wrong and sometimes when it does things right it gets the communication wrong. It's unfortunate and adds to the feeling of alienation most regular GAA players/officials/supporters have.

9
Off topic is right but Clubs/Counties have the Fixtures Review Committee proposals on front of them.
So over to them.
As for the forward mark... if it's to be kept it should be for an overhead catch inside the 20 and kicked from outside the 45.


To be fair the Fixtures Review Committee did a pretty good job. The review is well worth a read to understand the complexities involved. I think the proposals are pretty good in the main. Think they have outlined where they want to get to and how they propose to get there.

Unfortunately, I'd say the level of review at club and even county level isn't adequate.

10
Did he submit that to the Fixtures Review Committee? I know that splitting the year like that (first half county, second half club) and that format (4 groups of 8) were discussed. Think the 4 groups of 8 is one of the options on the table at Congress but the split year was not recommended by the Fixtures Review Committee though not a double round. 14 intercounty games in 17 weeks is just crazy. Leaving clubs without their stars for 6 months is not right in my opinion either, especially when they'll arrive back flaked out (most will doubtless want a break after that punishing schedule at the very least.

Personally I think moving the National football leagues, with an added knockout stage to become the Championship to the summer and provincial championships (on a round robin basis with a final) to spring would be awesome.

11
General discussion / Re: Man Utd Thread:
« on: February 19, 2020, 01:04:14 PM »
2 more for Haaland last night, a big miss by United. Does the blame lay with Raiola or Woodward?


Mourinho.  ;D

12
GAA Discussion / Re: Games on TV this weekend
« on: February 19, 2020, 12:55:11 PM »
Any on RTE?

Checked - there's none. People watching Wales v France will be annoying me in the pub so.

13
GAA Discussion / Re: Should the GAABOARD Shut Down
« on: February 19, 2020, 12:52:36 PM »
I read the article. He is mostly correct except the GAA can't really do much. Perhaps it could ask Hoganstand to shut down their forums (mostly toxic and of no use) and clubs/counties but an independent forum like this?

To be honest when I started here it was really informative, very witty and bullshit intolerant. If you came in acting the maggot you got a few slaps to knock the corners off you and on we went. It's still the best place I've found if you're looking for information but the bullshit has largely taken over.

Ultimately I don't know what the answer is. I'm still here I suppose.

14
General discussion / Re: Man Utd Thread:
« on: February 19, 2020, 08:58:38 AM »
Is the reason for the city ban not actually because they didn’t comply with FFP but because they falsified returns to mislead UEFA into believing they had complied. Ie the punishment is for the fraud rather than the underlying breaches?


Surely both?

15
GAA Discussion / Re: U20 All Ireland football championship 2020
« on: February 18, 2020, 04:58:54 PM »
Or Counties could have proper pitches in their County grounds, like us and Sligo e.g.


Markievicz was resurfaced meaning it was out of commission from summer 2018 for a year. A superb job done on it as it was in brilliant shape last Saturday. Pity we couldn't have nicked a result.

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