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General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
« on: February 19, 2021, 12:44:55 PM »Yes probably meeting friends for a game of golf or even tennis or whatever is probably safe. But it goes against the overall message which is stay at home. Do I like it? No. Do I understand it? Yes.
Yeah, for months there have been individual restrictions that have been difficult to justify in isolation, but the authorities seem to have belatedly understood that continuity of message is crucial.
People just don't do granularity very well, particularly when it's not well communicated. Last year demonstrated this, with widespread complaints that advice was confusing and seemed inconsistent. More nefarious individuals cited this confusion when attempting to dismiss the credibility of the advice, and even the concept of restrictions altogether.
Another related, and also poorly communicated, consideration has been the difference between cumulative risk and relative risk. Still people argue that because they are permitted to do Activity X they should therefore be permitted to do Activity Y, which they deem to be relatively less risky with regard to exposure to the virus.
But relative risk doesn't really matter, and is a poor way of calibrating your risk tolerance. It's the cumulative risk of everything you do in a day/ week/ whatever that determines your risk exposure - so cutting out any non-essential stuff (like golf, for example) will help, even if you are still going ahead with other activities with more risk.