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Messages - Eamonnca1

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1
GAA Discussion / Re: GAA presidential election 2020
« on: February 28, 2020, 09:47:17 PM »
I stand corrected.

2
GAA Discussion / Re: GAA presidential election 2020
« on: February 28, 2020, 09:38:29 PM »

3
GAA Discussion / Re: GAA presidential election 2020
« on: February 28, 2020, 09:32:15 PM »

4
GAA Discussion / Re: GAA presidential election 2020
« on: February 28, 2020, 09:18:26 PM »
Get in there Larry!

5
GAA Discussion / Re: GAA presidential election 2020
« on: February 28, 2020, 09:12:27 PM »
Quota is 139.

First count:
Burns, 80
McCarthy 63
Bolger 55
Rock 40
O'Sullivan 38

6
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 28, 2020, 06:36:01 PM »
Yes. Did you hear about how he blamed Monday and Tuesday's losses on the Democratic debate that happened on Tuesday night? That's no joke.

7
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 28, 2020, 06:17:47 PM »
Delegate count:
Buttigieg 22
Sanders 21
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
Biden 6
Bloomberg 0

Betting odds for 2020 winner:

Trump 8/13
Sanders 4/1
Bloomberg 9/1
Biden 20/1

Bloomberg took a hiding last night. He was like a duck out of water. Warren obliterated him. Will be interesting to see how that affects the polling numbers over the next few days, and if his high burn rate can take the bad look off it. I just wish he'd get out of the race and put his money into something useful like flipping the 4 senate seats we're going to need.
Odds update:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 7/2
Bloomberg: 8/1
Biden: 22/1

Bernie's odds moving in the right direction. Biden, not so much.

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 1/1
Bloomberg: 4/1
Buttigieg:8/1
Biden: 9/1

Update:
Delegate count:
Sanders 31
Buttigieg 22
Warren 8
Biden 8
Klobuchar 7
Bloomberg 0

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 3/1
Bloomberg: 10/1
Biden: 25/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 5/6
Bloomberg: 4/1
Buttigieg:11/1
Biden: 11/1

Interesting that Chrome still thinks "Buttigieg" is a typo.

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 29/10
Bloomberg: 10/1
Biden: 28/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 4/5
Bloomberg: 4/1
Biden: 10/1
Buttigieg:12/1

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 3/1
Bloomberg: 12/1
Biden: 12/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 10/11
Biden: 4/1
Bloomberg: 11/2
Buttigieg:20/1

Bloomberg and Buttigeig getting it tight.

Bernie's odds are slipping slightly in the general election, but he's still the favourite to get the nomination.

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 10/3
Biden: 9/1
Bloomberg: 12/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 10/11
Biden: 13/4
Bloomberg: 6/1
Buttigieg:20/1

This stock market crash might throw a spanner in the works. It was this kind of October surprise that worked in Obama's favor in 2008 when "the fundamentals of our economy [were] strong" until they weren't. Trump might cruise to reelection if the economy stays strong, but the coronavirus could change all that.

Get in there Bernie!

8
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 28, 2020, 04:46:25 PM »
I never told you guys about my friend who was on vacation in London-when his mother in Law fell and broker her hip. They’re all pretty left leaning and we’re singing the praises of the care she received under the NHS

That is until they arrived back in Boston and went to the doctor. Well the “free” surgery was a dogs dinner and whole thing had to be undone and redone. The poor woman hasn’t been right since

No wonder you hate data so much. You have an unverified anecdote for everything.

9
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 28, 2020, 04:44:36 PM »
But it’s still 10000000 better than the “free” healthcare you have in Ireland and the UK

The stats on life expectancy, infant mortality etc indicate its clearly not.
Then you factor in the additional money being pumped into the US system and that performance comparison looks even worse.


https://www.healthsystemtracker.org/chart-collection/u-s-life-expectancy-compare-countries/#item-le_total-life-expectancy-at-birth-in-years-1980-2017_dec-2019-update

https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/resource/infant-and-neonatal-mortality

You can see in both the above, that the UK & Ireland are far from perfect - but both are significantly better than the US.

LOL-believe whatever you want. Averages mean absolutely nothing in a country with such regional disparities.


On a side note, I had almost an hour long conversation with this gentleman last year

https://www.bidmc.org/research/research-by-department/medicine/gastroenterology/research-teams/lamont-lab

Many of Irelands best (Gastro) consultants spent their residency in Harvard trained under this guy

He speaks to these guys several times a year at conferences and would vehemently disagree with your comparisons between the health systems  and is abhorrent at the prospect of socialized medicine.

But of course , you know better than him because you were able to google some articles with average statistics that are meaningless

Congratulations

Argumentum ad verecundiam

10
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 28, 2020, 04:41:58 PM »
LOL-you still don’t get it

If you’re making the average or median wage, you’re either getting it free or getting it heavily subsidized. That’s how poor your benchmark is

Averages mean absolutely nothing over here because of the enormous disparities that exist

As I have shown you a husband and wife (teacher/prison guard) in MA will be pulling in $150-200K and have excellent coverage and access to the best doctors in the world

The system is completely screwed up and is unsustainable, but most people with employer based coverage  are quite happy because they have great coverage

Go back to statistics class. The median is by far a better measure than the mean because it is less skewed by outliers.

11
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 28, 2020, 05:05:36 AM »
Share of income spent on overall healthcare costs by income decile:

Top 10%: 3.5% of income
Ninth 10%: 5.4%
Eighth 10%: 6.5%
Seventh 10%: 6.9%
Sixth 10%: 7.9%
Fifth 10%: 10%
Fourth 10%: 12.4%
Third 10%: 14%
Second 10%: 17.1%
Lowest 10%: 35%

Source

12
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 27, 2020, 11:40:26 PM »
It's like talking to a brick wall, isn't it?

13
GAA Discussion / Re: GAA presidential election 2020
« on: February 27, 2020, 09:24:24 PM »
As opposed to a true purist cave dwelling "Gale" ;D

Is that what you call youself?
All good in the shires of Roscommon, nothing to see here.
What or who the fck are these " shires"?
Do you mean the Shines?

The shires of Roscommon our fella, a demilitrised zone for quislings.
Is shires an Ulster Scotch word?
What is it in standard English?
No point asking your for the focal Gaeilge is dóca :-\.

Seems to be Germanic - Old English in origin. I was expecting some Scottish influence since my mother used to talk about the shires in Scotland, meaning the counties. The word Sheriff comes from the same root, a contraction of shire reeve, used for legal officials with different powers depending on where they are. In Scotland a Sheriff is a judge, in the US it's a cop that works for the county.

14
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 27, 2020, 08:43:14 PM »
Delegate count:
Buttigieg 22
Sanders 21
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
Biden 6
Bloomberg 0

Betting odds for 2020 winner:

Trump 8/13
Sanders 4/1
Bloomberg 9/1
Biden 20/1

Bloomberg took a hiding last night. He was like a duck out of water. Warren obliterated him. Will be interesting to see how that affects the polling numbers over the next few days, and if his high burn rate can take the bad look off it. I just wish he'd get out of the race and put his money into something useful like flipping the 4 senate seats we're going to need.
Odds update:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 7/2
Bloomberg: 8/1
Biden: 22/1

Bernie's odds moving in the right direction. Biden, not so much.

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 1/1
Bloomberg: 4/1
Buttigieg:8/1
Biden: 9/1

Update:
Delegate count:
Sanders 31
Buttigieg 22
Warren 8
Biden 8
Klobuchar 7
Bloomberg 0

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 3/1
Bloomberg: 10/1
Biden: 25/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 5/6
Bloomberg: 4/1
Buttigieg:11/1
Biden: 11/1

Interesting that Chrome still thinks "Buttigieg" is a typo.

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 29/10
Bloomberg: 10/1
Biden: 28/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 4/5
Bloomberg: 4/1
Biden: 10/1
Buttigieg:12/1

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 3/1
Bloomberg: 12/1
Biden: 12/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 10/11
Biden: 4/1
Bloomberg: 11/2
Buttigieg:20/1

Bloomberg and Buttigeig getting it tight.

15
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: February 27, 2020, 05:49:37 PM »
Here we go:



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