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Messages - Hound

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1
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
« on: April 06, 2020, 11:53:07 AM »
Both our Taoiseach and british prime minister will be in hospital next week.

One is a leader, other a follower.

Well I think An Taoiseach should concentrate on being An Taoiseach which is the most important job in Ireland at the moment. A PR gimmick of him re-listing as a doctor is just that, a popularity gimmick. BTW - he said he will be doing phone assessments so doubt he will be in a hospital.

As for Boris, unfortunately for him he is reaping what he sowed now.

Every Health Centre in the country is crying out for more GP's to triage people by telephone. Even if he's doing it for a few hours a week. Fair play to him

He didnt pay nurses what they deserved before this. Now he's going to be a doctor again. If he'd gone about it quietly then maybe you could give him benefit of the doubt but No every media outlet runs with it simultaneously this evening. He's a PR addict and he's hoping we are all too stupid to see it. He is probably right.

Maybe he did want to go about it quietly, but word got out anyway. Why not give him the benefit of the doubt for once?

Yeh right, word just got out. Have you ever followed Varadkar on twitter? After many of his tweets you will see obvious  bots chiming in telling him what a great job he is doing. You know them, they have zero followers and themselves follow 10-15 people. Media spin is a huge part of how he operates and in the southern media he has huge control over a lot of them.

 Varadkar has been doing a decent job but this is just cynical manipulation of a terrible situation. He should be focusing solely on being An Taoiseach, dealing with this crisis and forming a government with his best buds in FF.

He has learnt quite a lot from Sinn Féin to be honest.

Regarding what, bots? Plus, I am not sure when SF had complete control over the Southern Media so maybe you could explain that too.
He's a long long way to go before he can match SF on their social media.

And you haven't read much of the Irish Times over the last few years if you think Fine Gael controls them!!
Just because the Times thinks there's still a stench over many in SF, doesnt mean FG put them up to it. 

2
General discussion / Re: The OFFICIAL Liverpool FC thread
« on: April 04, 2020, 09:01:47 AM »
The relegation/promotion is the hardest thing to figure out.
Very unfair on Villa and Bournemouth to say the league is done and you're relegated.
Or very unfair on Leeds and West Brom to say, leagues are void you need to start in the Championship from scratch again.

Now maybe unfairness one way or the other will have to win out, because it's only football.

But the alternative is to finish the season, no matter how long that takes. Then maybe a shortened next season.
For example, a 19 game season next year with only playing each side once. Some kind of a lottery to decide who gets the extra home game.
Or if there's enough time, play a 28 game season. A hard break after 19 games with the Top 10 fixed, and only play the other 9 teams in your half - so the top teams are playing for the title and European spots, while the bottom 10 are playing for relegation and just play each other.

3
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
« on: April 02, 2020, 10:20:31 AM »
Slovakia reported its first death with Covid-19 yesterday.
I believe that leaves Latvia and Liechtenstein as the only countries in Europe who have not recorded a death with Covid-19.

Meanwhile in the US, Hawaii reported its first death, leaving Wyoming as the only US state who have not recorded a death with Covid-19

4
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
« on: April 01, 2020, 12:44:02 PM »
Apparently a load of college students who lost weekend jobs got the €350 today. Despite their average weekly incomes being well under €200! Obviously the whole thing was rushed through but there's going to be a huge bill for the taxpayer to repay in coming years.  ::)

It's utterly ridiculous. Yet nobody can call it out as they'd be slaughtered by the lefties. The €350 needs to be scaled back, but Shinners and PBP won't allow it. But people getting more money for doing nothing than they were for working is exactly the type who votes SF/PBP down here.

The 70% subsidy scheme is more thought out, sensible and fair.


5
General discussion / Re: TV Show recommendations
« on: April 01, 2020, 12:27:22 PM »
I watch the first episode of Tiger King last night, and while interesting and wacky I don't get the adulation it has been receiving
- edit I see Taylor has just posted that its improves with each episode so I'll keep going

I watched two Harlan Coben crime dramas on Netflix, The Stranger and Safe, back to back. Both 6 or 8 episodes long and I really enjoyed them. Twists and turns, intertwining story lines, keeps you interested and guessing while you know there's an ending coming not too far away.

Watching Designated Survivor, about 12 or 14 episodes in, which I completely missed first time around. I'm a big fan of pretty much all the White House boxsets. While this isn't in the class of West Wing or House of Cards, it's still good. Kiefer's not brilliant, but most of the rest of the cast is very good.

Ballers final series was meh. I had enjoyed all the previous series

Finished Curb your Enthusiasm Series 10. Brilliant, like all the other series (apart from Series 1). Wife absolutely hates it  ;D

6
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
« on: March 31, 2020, 02:39:36 PM »
Watch a rerun of View from Stormont last night with the died in the wool Sam McConkey saying London was asleep at the wheel on CV-19.
I personally don't think they were as their herd immunity plan requires a large percentage of the population to catch it but it's got away from them particularly in London.
Boris and their CSO, CMO are out of kilter on this and Michelle was entirely right to say so.

Sorry, but 2 minutes on the back of a fag packet shows that was never going to add up.

For percentage of the population that needed to get the virus for herd immunity to kick in, given the proportion of those infected that would fall ill and need (a) hospital care and (b) intensive hospital care - it was simply never going to add up given the capacity of the NHS.

Either Cummings was calling the shots or the CSO and CMO are mentally retarded. Which do you think is more likely?

I don't think herd immunity was ever a real thing... I reckon it was talked about and Cummings floated it to journo's (Downing street source") and the Govt quickly dismissed it. Look it was probably talked about/considered and then dismissed but I haven't seen anything to say it was the official policy to go with herd immunity.

There's plenty of things to beat the Govt up about but herd immunity isn't really one of them. Their disastrous communication, lack of speed in calling a full lockdown, lack of testing and PPE being the major points of focus!!

It definitely was a real thing. Wasn't Boris's idea though of course, and they changed tack after no more than a few days
According to the BBC website a few days, the Dutch are taking a herd immunity approach as part of their plans

7
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
« on: March 09, 2020, 03:19:19 PM »
I see Trump has gone the "it's not as bad as flu" route with his latest tweet

So last year 37,000 Americans died from the common Flu. It averages between 27,000 and 70,000 per year. Nothing is shut down, life & the economy go on. At this moment there are 546 confirmed cases of CoronaVirus, with 22 deaths. Think about that!

8
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
« on: March 09, 2020, 03:08:56 PM »
Age of Coronavirus Deaths
COVID-19 Fatality Rate by AGE:
*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%).

That is completely incorrect as it assumes that everyone currently affected by the virus that has not yet died, won't die.


nDead/(nDead+nRecovered) is not right either - as there is a time period between "point-nearest-death" and discharged as recovered that the recovering patient won't contribute to nRecovered, but dying patients will add onto nDead.

All the % figures have to be taken with a pinch of salt. There's an unquantifiable amount of people who have contracted the virus and have only had minor symptoms so they've never been diagnosed.

My relative in a UK hospital said they've had a planning meeting re how they'll operate when 1/3rd of staff are unavailable.
They really don't want school closures as that will mean a lot of staff having to stay home and mind kids.
He said that it's in poo, so again more on the handwashing being so important.
Reckons too that there have been cases in western European universities where people working on a cure have inadvertently being infected by the samples they are working on. Wouldn't say where!

Hound the main method of transmission is most definitely not via poo.
I never said it was the main method! Everyone already knows the main method is via coughing and sneezing.

9
General discussion / Re: China Coronavirus
« on: March 09, 2020, 01:54:17 PM »
Age of Coronavirus Deaths
COVID-19 Fatality Rate by AGE:
*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%).

That is completely incorrect as it assumes that everyone currently affected by the virus that has not yet died, won't die.


nDead/(nDead+nRecovered) is not right either - as there is a time period between "point-nearest-death" and discharged as recovered that the recovering patient won't contribute to nRecovered, but dying patients will add onto nDead.

All the % figures have to be taken with a pinch of salt. There's an unquantifiable amount of people who have contracted the virus and have only had minor symptoms so they've never been diagnosed.

My relative in a UK hospital said they've had a planning meeting re how they'll operate when 1/3rd of staff are unavailable.
They really don't want school closures as that will mean a lot of staff having to stay home and mind kids.
He said that it's in poo, so again more on the handwashing being so important.
Reckons too that there have been cases in western European universities where people working on a cure have inadvertently being infected by the samples they are working on. Wouldn't say where!



10
GAA Discussion / Re: U20 All Ireland football championship 2020
« on: March 07, 2020, 08:10:22 AM »
The old 1.3 million population probably nothing to do with it.
The few bits I saw of the game they seemed well on top.
Hope we can surprise Galway tomorrow but sadly unlikely.

We should always be competitive with our population. These lads pretty much all have two seasons under their belt playing adult club football in Dublin, which is a super training ground for them. The strategy at minor level to pick the most naturally skillful and help them get bigger and stronger doesn’t often reap rewards at minor level but starts to bear fruit at U20. I think some counties pick the naturally big and strong lads at minor and try to make them more skillful.

A pity for the game that Laois saved their worst performance for the final. Not much went right for them after the opening quarter.

Dubs aren’t at the class of Kerry in my view, but I’d expect the semi against the Ulster champions to tight.

11
General discussion / Re: Flybe
« on: March 05, 2020, 09:28:31 PM »
Remembered this evening that it was Revolut I used to pay for my flybe flights. So I've completed their online chargeback request. Now to await their response!

12
General discussion / Re: GAA Geansaí “Threatening” To Unionists
« on: March 05, 2020, 03:48:15 PM »
I just got round to listening to Lowry on Talkback and I think there needs to be a distinction between a GAA top and an O'Neill's top.

Those proclamation tops that O'Neill's make have nothing to do with the GAA, just like the tractor ones, ploughing championship ones and all that other písh.

Do you have a link for this Johnny ?

No directly answering your question AC, but Eamon Dunphy had a good podcast interview with Lowry recently:

https://www.thestandwitheamondunphy.com/

Episode 652.

You have to get used to Dunphy's style which is to lick up to all his interviewees and agree with most of what they say, as his method of getting them to open up more.

In a following interview with Eamon McCann (Episode 655), Dunphy referenced Lowry being a bit too right wing for his liking  ;D

13
General discussion / Re: Flybe
« on: March 05, 2020, 03:30:39 PM »
Has anyone had any luck doing this?

Quote

passengers who had bought a ticket using a credit or debit card may be able to get their money back.

They should contact their card provider and seek a chargeback to their account, if it is possible at this point.

On my list for things to do tomorrow!

14
General discussion / Re: Sinn Fein? They have gone away, you know.
« on: March 05, 2020, 01:25:55 PM »
Some good information on Sinn Fein in the Irish Times today, a lot of it supplied from SF's director of finance Des Mackin.

Nothing new here for our Ulster brethern I'm sure, but plenty for us in the 26. Hopefully it's a sign of bringing more transparency into Irish politics:

Long-term director of finance, Des Mackin said Sinn Féin does not want its elected representatives controlling the party.

“We don’t want a parliamentary party running the organisation,” the senior party officer said. “We want to stay a party of activists. It’s a totally different model.

Three former Sinn Féin elected representatives also told The Irish Times that Sinn Féin was a tightly controlled organisation where unelected officials sought to tell elected representatives what to do. There’s nothing mysterious about it.”

“There are no paper walls hiding people,” he said. “It’s not a case of IRA figures in a smoky room in Belfast. They are on the ardchomhairle.”

The party’s standing committee, the Coiste Seasta, is a key body in the running of the party. There are currently eight people on the committee, only one of whom is an elected representative. Five of the eight are from Belfast.

Sinn Féin’s ultimate ruling body is its ardchomhairle, but it is a large body, sometimes with more than 50 members, and meets approximately 10 times a year. The smaller Coiste Seasta, which meets every fortnight, has the power of the ardchomhairle when the latter is not sitting, and runs the party on a day-to-day basis.

All the party’s national departments report to the ardchomhairle through the Coiste Seasta, according to the Sinn Féin constitution. The committee approves all payments out of party funds that are above €250.
The current membership of the Coiste Seasta is: Sinn Féin’s national chairman Declan Kearney, MLA; party general-secretary Dawn Doyle; director of elections and senior strategist Brian Tumilty; director of finance Des Mackin; Belfast party activist Conor Keenan; head of the “six-county” directorate and party chair in Belfast Sam Baker; head of the “26-county” directorate Ken O’Connell; and director of organisation Martin Lynch. Three of the members of the committee have IRA convictions.

With other major parties in the Republic, the parliamentary party meeting, where a party’s elected representatives meet in private to thrash out party positions, is a key structure. Not so with Sinn Féin, according to the former Sinn Féin TD.

“It basically wasn’t a parliamentary party meeting at all, because a TD with 10,000 votes would have the same say as a political assistant that walked in off the street the day before. The meetings were more akin to focus groups, in which the temperature of the room was taken, but decisions weren’t taken. It was a big failing. There was a sense of disempowerment among the TDs in their ability to effect decisions.”

Similar observations about how the party operates were made by two former Sinn Féin councillors who spoke with The Irish Times. The former Sinn Féin politicians said this process of headquarters seeking to exert control over elected representatives was overseen by the Coiste Seasta.

Paid party organisers “come in, to council meetings, and tell councillors what to do and what to say”, said one.

“You were directed all the time,” said the other. “No matter how trivial the matter [–] would tell you what way to vote. I found that very difficult. I was never a nodding dog for anyone.”

Sinn Féin is the richest political party on the island of Ireland, with approximately 200 staff and, according to its director of finance, Des Mackin, an extensive property network across the island. The exact number of people employed by the party and its elected representatives is not clear, but is probably in excess of 200, he said.

The size of Sinn Féin’s property portfolio has never been revealed, but according to the senior party officer, it far exceeds anything owned by its political rivals.
Sinn Féin owns up to 50 properties in constituencies around the island, over and above the four properties in Dublin and Belfast owned directly by party headquarters, Mackin said.

According to Mackin, the merchandising business operated by Sinn Féin, which sells items that celebrate the IRA and the republican struggle, is producing a profit for the first time in ages. During the general election campaign, the party’s “Come Out Ye Black and Tans” T-shirts (€19.99 each) were “flying”, he said.


15
The "we never needed a bailout" rhetoric you hear from unionists when comparing the two economies is hard to listen to given the realities of the NI economy.

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