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Messages - Lar Naparka

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1
General discussion / Re: The Masters 2019
« on: April 15, 2019, 05:03:28 PM »
Brilliant from Woods, amazing comeback.  Just confirmed to me that he is the Greatest.  No harm to Muhammad Ali

Not to begrudge Woods his win but people spouting pure dung would sure sicken a man's shit.  Tiger isn't even the greatest golfer ever ffs.
[/b]
Who is or was better?
Greatness can't be measured by the number of competitions a golfer has won. There are a few other metrics that should be kept in mind. neither Snead nor Nicklaus had the same number of top class opponents  to contend as Woods has at present. All of them, McIlroy, eigh, Molinari etc. are younger, fitter and have not gone through the medical and personal issues that Woods has had to.overcome.
For my money, Woods is in a class of his own.
 




2
GAA Discussion / Re: Mayo for Sam 2019
« on: April 08, 2019, 09:47:29 PM »
Anyway, to try and get back on-topic, I thought  this article by Pat Spillane   is worth some discussion.



Pat Spillane: 'Mayo warriors are far from the finished article but improved forward play makes them serious contenders'


Pat Spillane
April 8 2019 3:07 PM

As a proud Kerryman I’m always down when the Green and Gold are beaten.
However, last Sunday I experienced a different sensation. To be perfectly honest, I wasn’t disappointed that Kerry’s heroes were beaten by Mayo, for the simple reason that no-one could begrudge this Mayo team a victory in a national final.
What can you say about these Mayo boys? They are warriors, resilient, full of character, they’ve had so many falls yet they get back up and go again.
Although there was just a breeze blowing towards the Canal End last Sunday, as distinct from the howling gale in Tralee, the league final was a replica of the contest between the counties a fortnight previously.
Mayo played the final on their own terms, just as they had in Tralee. They bullied Kerry physically, but within the rules, and they controlled midfield, where Kerry were horsed out of it, in the second-half especially. The men from the West were also strong in the tackle and their athleticism and running from deep was magnificent.
But was there anything new? What could give Mayo people hope of a summer of Sam?
Well, there was their forward play, where a team that has run the ball a lot in recent seasons has now added good kicked passing.
The youngsters looked like big-time finds during the league; Matthew Ruane, Ciarán Treacy, James Carr and Fionn McDonagh were all introduced with success and there is Cian Hanley to come back from injury. All these lads are already big, strong players with good engines.
There is also the simple issue of getting the win. I think it was a vital monkey off Mayo’s back.
James Horan’s mix-and-mend approach on his return as boss has worked superbly. He rested veterans at times and introduced youngsters and it all came together to give Horan something for the summer he never had for previous All-Ireland campaigns: a bench that can make an impact.
The 2019 league gave Mayo two fine statistics: they have not lost to Kerry in the league at either Tralee or Killarney in this decade and they have not lost any of their last five matches against Kerry in Croke Park.
ADVERTISEMENT
Make no mistake about it, they are the prime danger now to the Dubs’ five-in-a-row bid.
But are Mayo the finished article for an All-Ireland? No, far from it. And while I said that I admire their improved forward play, it still remains the Achilles heel of the Green and Red.
They missed five good goal chances against Kerry, kicked 10 shots short and booted 11 wides. In the first-half a week ago, Mayo had 55 per cent of the possession, yet went in four points adrift. Even allowing for the strong breeze against them that was not good.
And after 45 minutes they had converted just eight of their 22 scoring chances in the decider. They just could not put Kerry away. That was their weakness, a weakness even a Dublin team a little on the wane will not show later this year. Give Dublin 22 scoring chances in the first 45 minutes and 17 of them will result in scores.
What about Kerry? The thing is we do highs and lows to extremes in the South-West. When we win a few matches an All-Ireland is just over the horizon, lose one and it is all doom and gloom.
For me, Kerry are now in ‘glass half-full’ country. With a new manager in Peter Keane and an obvious rebuilding job to be done with the quality Kerry youngsters, the supporters would actually have been happy to just stay in Division 1.
Indeed, getting to the decider was a huge bonus. Do you realise that four of the starting forwards from the league final played in the 2016 All-Ireland minor final?
At best, four Kerry players held their own against their markers – Stephen O’Brien, Tom O’Sullivan, Peter Crowley and David Clifford – and Clifford had the chance to palm home what might well have been a winning goal with a few minutes to go.
Despite being well beaten across most of the pitch, Kerry could still have won the game. It’s small margins, because then this would have been a very different article coming to very different conclusions.
What I can stand over is that after each of Kerry’s wins in the league, I wrote here that there were as many negatives as positives to be taken out of every game. And those negatives jumped up to bite the Kerrymen in the final.
Yes, yes, Gaelic football is a fluid game nowadays, but you need your backs to be able to defend, and Kerry’s were just bamboozled by runners last Sunday – all three goals came from a spare man taking a pass as he romped through unchallenged.
For the second goal, it was an unmarked Mayo man who kicked the ball forward to find Diarmuid O’Connor being marked by the Kerry centre-forward Sean O’Shea on the edge of his own square. Where was the entire full-back line?
Kerry need to be protecting the opposition’s scoring zone. Too many of our defenders were poor when run at directly. There’s work to be done, but can Kerry, in what seems will be a cakewalk of a Munster championship, find a man-marker in the form of Philly McMahon or Jonny Cooper? To me, one is badly needed back there
Maybe I should do the Lotto this week. In last week’s column, I highlighted the fact that Kerry would not go far this year if Sean O’Shea kept contributing half their scoring total, and most of them from placed balls.
Well, with Lee Keegan doing a marking job on him, O’Shea got no score from play last Sunday. His fellow starting forwards were all over the shop, scoring a mere 1-2 from play in the game.
David Clifford kicked a point from play in the 17th minute and the next time any Kerry forward scored a point from play it was substitute Paul Geaney in the 69th minute. Dear God.
It wasn’t just the basic art of scoring that let Kerry down. For one thing, there was far too much aimless kicking of the ball in at full-forward Tommy Walsh, who had no support beside him. For too long Kerry were like an ace gunslinger with no bullets in his gun.
Too many Kerry fans are holding tight to the belief that David Moran’s return to fitness will save the day for the midfield.
Yes, the Kerins O’Rahilly’s player will bring physicality and ball-winning ability to that area, but David can no longer go the distance for 70 minutes, on a hard surface, in the huge space that is Croke Park.
We’ve known that for a while and nor, after two cruel knee injuries, does he have the pace to live with the likes of Ruane or Dublin’s Brian Fenton as they rampage up and down the pitch.
And finally, for Kerry, and not for the first time in Croker in recent years, senior players didn’t turn up. There’s work to be done when the players come back from their clubs at the end of April.
Mayo are back dining at the top table, if not yet at the top seat, but Dublin have shown a few cracks, Tyrone have started to attack, Kerry have begun to bring through their young players, and Galway, with Corofin’s players now available and the likes of Damien Comer and Paul Conroy fit again, offer great possibilities.
We might yet have a good summer of Gaelic football to come.





3
GAA Discussion / Re: Mayo coming in under the radar?
« on: April 06, 2019, 12:53:13 PM »
With all the talk of our lads winning this game handy. We're a team made up of young lads. Mayo have all the experience and now have the bench to win the tight games. Aidan O'Shea who has been player in the league is in the form of his life. Young lads like Ruane, Plunkett, Diskin and McDonagh have stepped up allowing Boyle and Moran to be impact subs. Mayo are the form team having beaten us below in Tralee. James Horan changed the menatality. Other years mayo looked down at league and Connacht titles expecting to peak in September. Are Mayo coming in under the radar??
Yes.

4
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 1 2019 Dubs again?
« on: April 05, 2019, 01:20:52 AM »
I presume people have seen the video of the Mayo fan
f**king hilarious
Thata boy Paddy Durcan, you bring it to him all day long, in bucket loads, ya c**t O’Se”

Post a link
That's pretty tame stuff.
Here's Martin Carney and the Mid West Radio commentator, Michael D. McAndrew during the last few minutes of Sunday's game. Effin' Eddy wouldn't get a lookin with this pair of boyos about. ;D
If you are in a hurry, Here is the actual commentary.

5
GAA Discussion / Re: Mayo for Sam 2019
« on: April 04, 2019, 10:26:59 PM »
I declined to comment on this thread till now. It was started by The Greatest, who doesn't believe himself that Mayo will win the All Ireland this year, in jest to see what fun people would have.

As for the thread title, I think we will be thereabouts, depending if Mayo get to a Connacht final and win the damn thing. Ros will be thinking that the wet day in Jan is no way indicative on how they would do in the championship. Galway have our number over the past few years as have Dublin. Tyrone will also be making progress as they have done in the league. Kerry are Kerry, but I cannot see them winning it outright. It does make for an interesting summer. It's more than likely going to be Dublin Again, but I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't. IF they don't, then all the other counties I mentioned including Mayo would be disappointed. I don't think Donegal are ready yet.
Sensible idea Farr, this thread has gone way off-topic.
I dunno who is most likely to give the Dubs a right rattle during the championships but if Mayo make it as far as the AI final and Dublin provides the opposition, the only ting I can say with confidence is that if the Dubs make the five in a row, this one will be the toughest of them all to date.
Mayo just don't fear Dublin- not in the championships anyway. Andy once said that he didn't want to see Dublin split. He wanted to take them on fair and square without help from any quarter and he reckoned the rest of the team felt the same way. IMO, Mayo and Dublin have been very evenly matched in all games at HQ since the '13 final.  Sure, Mayo have had bizarre spells of hard luck but Dublin had their own unlucky breaks too and if they had lost any final or semi of the games they played, some Dubs might feel aggrieved as a result.
IMO, the big, big difference between the teams was the quality in depth that Jim Gavin had. His bench was the defining difference between the sides.
Unfortunately for Mayo, it was a case of all fur coat and no knickers every year. A top class team but the quality dropped off sharply once you looked past the first few on the bench, whereas Gavin had at least 20 who couldn't gain a first team place but who'd walk onto any other county side.
Far too soon to start feeling bullish about Mayo's prospects but Horan will have at least 20 top class players to choose from.
There's a lot of work to be done yet and there's no guarantee that Mayo will make it t the final but if they do, they'll take no prisoners, Dubs or otherwise!

Bar Jack McCafferey doing his Cruciate early in one final, I can't think of any other unlucky breaks Dublin have had?
TBH, neither can I! ;D
However, this thread is open to Dubs as well as Culchies and I bet The Greatest and maybe 100 others wouldn't agree with that. Let everyone have his (her?) say, I say.

6
GAA Discussion / Re: Mayo for Sam 2019
« on: April 04, 2019, 09:45:39 PM »
I declined to comment on this thread till now. It was started by The Greatest, who doesn't believe himself that Mayo will win the All Ireland this year, in jest to see what fun people would have.

As for the thread title, I think we will be thereabouts, depending if Mayo get to a Connacht final and win the damn thing. Ros will be thinking that the wet day in Jan is no way indicative on how they would do in the championship. Galway have our number over the past few years as have Dublin. Tyrone will also be making progress as they have done in the league. Kerry are Kerry, but I cannot see them winning it outright. It does make for an interesting summer. It's more than likely going to be Dublin Again, but I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't. IF they don't, then all the other counties I mentioned including Mayo would be disappointed. I don't think Donegal are ready yet.
Sensible idea Farr, this thread has gone way off-topic.
I dunno who is most likely to give the Dubs a right rattle during the championships but if Mayo make it as far as the AI final and Dublin provides the opposition, the only ting I can say with confidence is that if the Dubs make the five in a row, this one will be the toughest of them all to date.
Mayo just don't fear Dublin- not in the championships anyway. Andy once said that he didn't want to see Dublin split. He wanted to take them on fair and square without help from any quarter and he reckoned the rest of the team felt the same way. IMO, Mayo and Dublin have been very evenly matched in all games at HQ since the '13 final.  Sure, Mayo have had bizarre spells of hard luck but Dublin had their own unlucky breaks too and if they had lost any final or semi of the games they played, some Dubs might feel aggrieved as a result.
IMO, the big, big difference between the teams was the quality in depth that Jim Gavin had. His bench was the defining difference between the sides.
Unfortunately for Mayo, it was a case of all fur coat and no knickers every year. A top class team but the quality dropped off sharply once you looked past the first few on the bench, whereas Gavin had at least 20 who couldn't gain a first team place but who'd walk onto any other county side.
Far too soon to start feeling bullish about Mayo's prospects but Horan will have at least 20 top class players to choose from.
There's a lot of work to be done yet and there's no guarantee that Mayo will make it t the final but if they do, they'll take no prisoners, Dubs or otherwise!

7
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 1 2019 Dubs again?
« on: April 03, 2019, 11:47:48 AM »
Well done to the mayo boys. Better team on day. Our lads never showed up on the day and could have stole at at the end. Still have a Gavin White, David Moran, Micheal Burns, Tadgh Morley and John Buckley to return. P.Geaney first game back since operation. Jason Foley only back from injury and James Donoghue will improve with more games. Thought referee could have given more protection to Cifford, O'Brien and O'shea who were pulled and dragged off the ball. Referee should have red carded Diarmuid O'Connor for high challenge on Gavin Crowley. Tom Sullivan has his nose busted too. There was a small dunt on Tommy Walsh by Aidan O'Shea in first half and Mayo forwards pulling Kerry backs to the ground at the end. Sure look the better team won and we can't have any complaints.
Glad to see you can't have any complaints! That's mighty noble of you seeing you listed a full ass load of them throughout your lament post. But good to see that, at the end of it all, you are prepared to overlook the lot. Maybe that's what sport should be about.
But you have left me with an unanswered question to put to you and I won't sleep until I know the answer.
How big is a small dunt?
 I mean is it a push or a shove or maybe a good kick up the hole that was only half meant? Maybe Aido was only wiping his nose with the back of his hand and somehow his elbow managed to get  snuck in Tommy's eye- stranger things have happened, y'a know.
I'd really appreciate your answer as the whole of Mayo, and a good bit of Roscommon too, would like to know if Aido is really going soft in the head. I mean from Belmullet to Ballagh we'll start worrying if Aidan O'Shea ever finds a Kerryman between him and the ball and only gives him a small dunt.  ;D

8
GAA Discussion / Re: Mayo for Sam 2019
« on: April 01, 2019, 08:28:04 PM »
When he first came to notice, back in his YPOTY years, I thought he was one kid who had everything; balance, timing, two-footed, vision, you name it and he appeared to have in in bucket loads. Apart from the problem of lack of speed off the mark, I couldn't see any obvious faults.
You could also tell that his team mates thought highly of him and seemed to regard him as a natural leader and, as the old saying goes, I began to entertain high expectations of him. He was just developing into the most influential player on the side when he was banjaxed by injuries- a shoulder being the major problem.
I don't think he ever fully recovered and was never quite the force he threatened to be before he became injury-prone. People who know him well told me he was devastated by the free he missed in the last few minutes of the 2017 final and blamed himself for Mayo losing the game because of this miss.   
It's understandable that his game suffered badly last year because his head was all over the place but while a loss of form is understandable, a loss of temper isn't, not in my book anyhow. Maybe I was a bit hard on the man but it seemed to me he was going to be odds-on to get red-carded in every game he played last year as he spent a loot of effort adding to his growing reputation as a cynical niggler.
I was really pissed off when he got the line during the league game against Galway last year. It was a game i felt Mayo had to win to entertain and hopes of getting very far in the championships and yet he spent his time exchanging digs and insults with every heron-choker that came withing a yard off him. The fact is, if the ref had been any use, Cillian would have got the line a lot earlier.
However, from what I've heard, he was shaping up very well in the club championship earlier this year and seems to have gotten the miss in 2017 out of his system and was making up for lost time, when he was grounded by injuries again.
Now, I know next to nothing about his present state or when and if, he will be ready to play again but he'd be  plus to any side anywhere if he could get back to playing natural football again and leaves it at that.
 BTW ans I am not referring to COC only when I say that there is no real link between the star qualities of any player and his scoring returns. If there was, Maurice Sheridan would have been the standout player of John Maughan's team of the late 90s.
Between the semi against Kerry and the two finals against Meath, Morrisheen bagged 0-15.
However, only one of the fifteen came form play and the truth is that if he hadn't been a quality free taker, he would not have been selected in the first place.
The percentage of scores a player gets from open play will be a better indications of the man's worth that a grand total of his scores, regardless of how they came about.

9
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 1 2019 Dubs again?
« on: March 30, 2019, 10:34:38 AM »
Has anybody seen the subs bench? I can't find it anywhere. An awful lot is going to depend on the options available to Horan during the course of the game.

10
GAA Discussion / Re: League Final 2019 attendance
« on: March 27, 2019, 08:01:34 PM »
Whatever about the D1 Final I doubt if many Donegals will be travelling to Croke Park for a Saturday evening game.
Mind you our neighbours will send a good few to the D4 Final who'll certainly outnumber the 500 from Derry.

Good to have a National Final without Dublin (a rare event this decade).
Hopefully but unlikely a forerunner for September.....


Loads of Donegal folk living in Dublin, I'd say they'll be there in numbers. Leitrim will bring a (relatively) huge crowd.

Ditto Mayos in Dublin.


Ya, I expect Mayo will bring big support.
Going by what I hear from friends in Mayo and from the Mayos I know here in Dublin, I expect around 50% of the total attendance will wear the green and red!

11
GAA Discussion / Re: League Final 2019 attendance
« on: March 25, 2019, 10:29:24 PM »
How many will Waterford and Limerick hurlers bring?
I'd imagine that you can expect about 40,000 between them!
Mayo should also have at least 20,000 but I will be very surprised and disappointed if there isn't a lot more.
That's because all of those counties have good bus and rail connections to Dublin. I wouldn't expect nearly as many from Kerry, whereas Limerick borders Kerry and it'd not nearly as inconvenient for Kerry supporters as Dublin.
If that's not all, our bucks usually play well in Croker. So I, for one, am happy with the venue.

Where do you live,  Lar?
About 2 miles from Croker.

12
GAA Discussion / Re: League Final 2019 attendance
« on: March 25, 2019, 07:58:59 PM »
How many will Waterford and Limerick hurlers bring?
I'd imagine that you can expect about 40,000 between them!
Mayo should also have at least 20,000 but I will be very surprised and disappointed if there isn't a lot more.
That's because all of those counties have good bus and rail connections to Dublin. I wouldn't expect nearly as many from Kerry, whereas Limerick borders Kerry and it'd not nearly as inconvenient for Kerry supporters as Dublin.
If that's not all, our bucks usually play well in Croker. So I, for one, am happy with the venue.

13
GAA Discussion / Re: NFL Division 1 2019 Dubs again?
« on: March 24, 2019, 04:25:01 PM »
So it's a Mayo v Kerry final.
I presume the game will be in Croker and probably next Sunday. Am I correct?

14
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: March 18, 2019, 10:39:37 PM »
🤥Trump averaged 15 false or misleading claims a day in 2018, according to WaPo. So far in 2019, Trump's averaging nearly 22 false claims a day.

🏌🏻‍♂️Trump has spent 397 days at his properties, amounting to more than half of his time in office and tens of millions in U.S. taxpayer dollars (NBC). Around 60% of Trump's scheduled time at the White House is spent in unstructured "Executive Time" (Axios).

🚫According to PolitiFact, Trump has failed to keep over 83% of his campaign promises after almost two years and despite total GOP control, failing to fund the border wall and pass "repeal and replacement" of Obamacare.

📊During his first year, Trump signed the fewest number of bills into law in over half a century (GovTrack), with more than half of those near record-low laws having to do with naming/stating something and modifying existing programs (NPR). About a third of Trump's deregulatory actions were started under Obama, while other actions had little impact, were part of actions typically taken by the federal government, or have not yet gone into effect (Bloomberg).

📝NOTE/ More than 90% of Trump's deregulatory efforts have been blocked in court, or withdrawn after a lawsuit, according to a running tally maintained by the Institute for Policy Integrity, a nonpartisan think tank sponsored by the New York University School of Law.

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💰Trump's tax law has failed to 1. simplify the code, increasing the number of tax expenditures from 216 to 233; 2. pay for itself, blowing another trillion dollar hole in the budget; 3. boost hiring or investment, resulting in little to no acceleration, and 4. raise real wages, breaking his promise of "a $4,000 pay hike".

💸Almost two-thirds of Americans polled say they haven't seen an increase in their take-home pay as a result of last year's GOP tax law (Gallup). According to a new American Barometer poll, only 33% of Americans say they are financially better off this year compared to last year. Also, 78% of full-time workers said they live paycheck to paycheck, up from 75% last year, according to a recent report from CareerBuilder. Overall, 71% of all U.S. workers said they're now in debt, up from 68% a year ago. NEW: A record 7 million Americans are 3 months behind on their car payments, the highest number in history according to a study released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

🐘Florida Sen. Marco Rubio (R): "There's no evidence whatsoever that the money's been massively poured back into the American worker."

🐘Retiring Tennessee Sen. Bob Corker (R): Tax cuts could be "one of the worst votes I've made."

🕰National Debt Clock Manager Douglas Durst: “The tax cut was an overall step in the wrong direction. Nobody who has any background in economics thought the tax bill was a good idea."

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📈The gross national debt has surpassed $22 trillion for the first time in U.S. history, with the interest that we pay on the debt becoming the fastest growing part of the budget, and as deficits soar under Trump and the GOP tax law, widening by 77% in the first four months of fiscal 2019.

📉Economic sentiment is at a new low under Trump, according to a new survey of 43 top economists, fund managers, and market strategists.

📉U.S. household wealth fell by a record $3.8 trillion, or 3.5%, at the end of 2018, and corporate bond issuance plummeted as a global market rout threatened to weaken a near-decade old recovery, according to Federal Reserve data.

📉U.S. stocks ended 2018 with their worst year since 2008, which was during the Great Recession, and their worst December since 1931, which was during the Great Depression.

📉Stock gains⬇️
👷‍♂️Job gains⬇️
🏬Retail sales⬇️
🚶‍♂️Move rate⬇️
⛺️Homelessness⬆️
🏥Uninsured rate⬆️
💊Health costs⬆️
🌐Trade deficit⬆️
📈Budget deficit⬆️

📝NOTE/ The unemployment rate has barely budged, the labor participation rate is still lagging, the GDP growth rate is now slowing, and wage growth is getting better but has barely grown and is still below the target needed to *begin* to reap the benefits of economic growth while the workers’ share of corporate income has remained stagnant and far from recovery.

📝NOTE2/ As far as Trump’s claims that the US economy is the “best ever”, performance under his tenure ranks 6th out of the past 7 presidents with 12 of 14 metrics registering avg to below avg improvement. https://bloom.bg/2RRQL8W

📝NOTE3/ According to a NYT review of surveys of about 50 leading economists — liberals and conservatives — run by the University of Chicago:

🤝Trade Policy: F
💸Fiscal Policy: D-
🏦Monetary Policy: C

🏦Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell: "Financial markets became more volatile toward year-end, and financial conditions are now less supportive of growth than they were earlier last year."

🏦Fmr. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen: Trump has "no" grasp of macroeconomic policy.

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📖“Art of the Deal” co-author Tony Schwartz: “Most of the deals in that book were failures. And the number of deals he’s made over the years since then have overwhelmingly been failures.” Trump is “really one of the worst” dealmakers I’ve come across.

❌NO DEAL on DACA.
❌NO DEAL on immigration.
❌NO DEAL on health care.
❌NO DEAL on gun control.
❌NO DEAL on spending cuts.
❌NO DEAL on Pacific trade.
❌NO DEAL on China trade.
❌NO DEAL on steel and aluminum imports.
❌NO DEAL on Middle East peace.
❌NO DEAL on Qatar blockade.
❌NO DEAL on Syria.
❌NO DEAL on Russia.
❌NO DEAL on Iran.
❌NO DEAL on Cuba.
❌NO DEAL on North Korea.
❌NO DEAL on climate change.

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🌎Global confidence in Trump (Pew):
🇸🇪Sweden: 10% (-83)
🇳🇱Netherlands: 17% (-75)
🇩🇪Germany: 11% (-75)
🇰🇷South Korea: 17% (-71)
🇫🇷France: 14% (-70)
🇪🇸Spain: 7% (-68)
🇨🇦Canada: 22% (-61)
🇬🇧UK: 22% (-57)
🇦🇺Australia: 29% (-55)
🇯🇵Japan: 24% (-54)
🇸🇳Senegal: 26% (-51)
🇧🇷Brazil: 14% (-49)
🇨🇱Chile: 12% (-48)
🇲🇽Mexico: 5% (-44)
🇮🇹Italy: 25% (-43)
🇮🇩Indonesia: 23% (-41)
🇨🇴Colombia: 15% (-41)
🇵🇪Peru: 17% (-36)
🇵🇱Poland: 23% (-35)
🇿🇦South Africa: 39% (-34)
🇹🇷Turkey: 11% (-34)
🇬🇭Ghana: 49% (-33)
🇰🇪Kenya: 51% (-32)
🇭🇺Hungary: 29% (-29)
🇹🇿Tanzania: 51% (-27)
🇦🇷Argentina: 13% (-27)
🇵🇭Philippines: 69% (-25)
🇬🇷Greece: 19% (-22)
🇱🇧Lebanon: 15% (-21)
🇮🇳India: 40% (-18)
🇻🇳Vietnam: 58% (-13)
🇹🇳Tunisia: 18% (-9)
🇻🇪Venezuela: 20% (-6)
🇳🇬Nigeria: 58% (-5)
🇯🇴Jordan: 9% (-5)
🇮🇱Israel: 56% (+7)
🇷🇺Russia: 53% (+42)
🗺Worldwide: 22% (-42)

📝NOTE/ U.S. leadership sank to its lowest point in nearly two decades in 2017, shattering the previous record low of 34% in the last year of George W. Bush's second term, and more than tripling the number of countries where the majorities disapprove of U.S. leadership, per Gallup.

🐘Late Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.): Obama better than Trump "as far as American leadership is concerned."

📝UPDATE/ China's median global approval rating sits at 34% — the country's highest score since 2009. Meanwhile, the U.S. has a 31% approval rating, which is only a 1% increase from the "new record low" seen during the first year of Donald Trump's presidency. 2018 also marks the first time that the global approval rating of Russia — currently at 30% — has been on equal ground with the U.S.

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💥According to recent estimates by the United Nations and the U.S. Defense Department’s inspector general, the self-described Islamic State has between 20,000 and 31,100 fighters ― figures nearly identical to CIA estimates of the terror group’s strength in 2014 when it was near its zenith.

📊Pentagon spokesman Navy Cmdr. Sean Robertson: "Even after the liberation of ISIS controlled territory, ISIS probably is still more capable than al Qaeda in Iraq at its peak in 2006-2007."

☠️According to a new report by the Anti-Defamation League (ADL), every single extremist murder in the US in 2018 had links to far-right ideology, making it one of the deadliest years in recent history. In addition, white supremacists increased their propaganda distribution by 182% last year.

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🔄In just 2 years, Trump has churned 65% of his most senior aides – a record that rivals the entire 4-year terms of his predecessors, per Brookings.

📝NOTE/ Mattis is the fourth member of Trump's cabinet to resign or be forced out in less than two months (and the third in less than two weeks).

🤝The U.S. ambassadors appointed by President Trump have given more financial support to his election than any group of ambassadors in recent history, even as they demonstrated fewer qualifications for the job, according to a new study of ambassadorial appointments over the last three decades (Axios).

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📉According to an analysis of EPA data by Cynthia Giles, who led the EPA’s enforcement office under Obama, civil penalties for polluters in the last fiscal year declined to the lowest average since 1995.

📉In addition, the Associated Press reports the EPA last year pursued the lowest number of criminal prosecutions against polluters since 1988. And of the merely 166 cases that were referred for prosecution, only 62 federal convictions resulted—the lowest since 1995.

📉Furthermore, the number of white-collar crime prosecutions fell to the lowest level in 20 years after reaching a high in 2011 during the Obama administration, according to a case-by-case analysis of government data by Syracuse University’s Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse.

⚖️For the first time in years, the United States is no longer in the top 20 least corrupt countries, according to the annual global corruption index compiled by Transparency International. “This decline comes at a time when the U.S. is experiencing threats to its system of checks and balances as well as an erosion of ethical norms at the highest levels of power,” the report states, listing the United States as a country to watch.

⚖️In a new report, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) finds that there is compelling evidence that Trump may have personally committed up to eight criminal campaign finance and related offenses while running for president and during his first year in office.

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CRIMES COHEN HAS NOW PUBLICLY ACCUSED TRUMP OF*

1️⃣Bank Fraud
2️⃣Campaign Finance Violations
3️⃣False Ethics Filings
4️⃣Fraud
5️⃣Conspiracy**
6️⃣Making False Statements**

* According to MSNBC legal analysis.
** Based upon Stone-Trump WikiLeaks contact and Trump's knowledge of June 2016 meeting.

ADDITIONAL POSSIBLE TRUMP CRIMES IN COHEN TESTIMONY

* Knowledge of his Trump Organization subordinates physically threatening individuals to help Trump

* Additional unreported hush-money payments not previously disclosed by Cohen or media but intended to influence the campaign

📝NOTE/ Trump's longtime lawyer Michael Cohen, who spoke to Mueller's office 7 times, revealed in his testimony that he's aware of additional, unreported illegal acts by Trump.

📝NOTE2/ Special Counsel to court: “The information he has provided has been credible and consistent with other evidence obtained in the SCO’s ongoing investigation.”

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SHUT DOWN DUE TO ILLEGAL ACTIVITY:

🚨 TRUMP University
🚨 TRUMP Foundation

UNDER CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION:

🚩 TRUMP
🚩 TRUMP Jr.
🚩 TRUMP Organization
🚩 TRUMP Campaign
🚩 TRUMP NatSec Advisory Committee
🚩 TRUMP Shadow NatSec Advisors
🚩 TRUMP Transition
🚩 TRUMP Inauguration
🚩 TRUMP Administration
🚩 TRUMP Allies (e.g., MBS)

CONVICTED:

✅ TRUMP Campaign Manager (Manafort)
✅ TRUMP Campaign Manager Associate (Kilimnik)
✅ TRUMP Deputy Campaign Manager (Gates)
✅ TRUMP Deputy Campaign Manager Associate (van der Swaan)
✅ TRUMP Lawyer (Cohen)
✅ TRUMP NSA (Flynn)
✅ TRUMP NatSec Adviser (Papadopoulos)

CRIMES COLLUSION CAN LEAD TO:

1⃣ Conspiracy to Commit Election Fraud
2⃣ Conspiracy to Defraud US
3⃣ Aiding/Abetting Computer Crimes
4⃣ Bribery
5⃣ Money Laundering
6⃣ Illegal Solicitation of Donations
7⃣ Obstruction
8⃣ Witness Tampering
9⃣ Making False Statements
🔟 FARA Crimes

COUNTRIES TRUMPS ILLEGALLY COLLUDED WITH PRE-ELECTION:

🇷🇺 RUSSIA
🇸🇦 SAUDI ARABIA
🇦🇪 THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES
🇮🇱 ISRAEL
🇹🇷 TURKEY

COUNTRIES TRUMPS ARE SUSPECTED OF COLLUDING WITH PRE-ELECTION:

🇪🇬 Egypt
🇭🇺 Hungary

COUNTRIES TRUMPS COLLUDED WITH POST-ELECTION:

🇶🇦 QATAR
🇨🇳 CHINA

📝NOTE/ It’s still only Phase 3 or 4 of 10 of the Trump-Russia saga and we already have 7 guilty pleas, 37 criminal charges, 199 criminal counts, and 4 prison sentences, therefore bringing the total number of prison sentences issued under Republican presidents (1968-2018) to 38, compared to 1 under Democratic presidents.

🐘Top Trump aide Sam Nunberg on Mueller probe: “These aren’t guys you f**k around with. They have a strong case of a conspiracy."

👨🏼‍⚕️Trump's physician, whose office was raided by Trump's bodyguard: "Sweetheart, this is watergate, goodbye!"

📰NYT: Trump has publicly attacked the Russia investigation more than 1,100 times. He has done so at least once on 330 days, or about 43% of his time in office.
Christy Almighty!!
Eamonn, do you seriously believe that anyone will plough through that pile of shite? ;D ;D


15
General discussion / Re: A United Ireland. Opening up the discussion.
« on: March 18, 2019, 10:56:35 AM »
Sinn Féin signed up to the GFA which as we and they know says "England will get out of Ireland" when a majority in the 6 Cos vote for that.
[/b]
Yah, but  there's a wee sting in that particular tail.  ;D

For a UI, a majority of people in the whole island must be in favour first.  That's what the GFA says anyway. But a one vote majority in a referendum in the north doesn't mean the nationalists in the north are in the clear. There would have to be a majority of at least two in a referendum in the south, held at the same time, before you can talk about UI.
So, what happens if a UI vote is carried in the north but is defeated in the south by a bigger margin?
I have no idea what would happen next because such a possibility isn't covered by the GFA. (At least, I can't spot it if it is there.)

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