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Non GAA Discussion => General discussion => Topic started by: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 06:04:06 PM

Title: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 06:04:06 PM
Attended a very interesting debate on the implications of a Brexit, in Newry last Thursday morning.Bertie was one of the speakers.Few eye openers, not least of which is the absolute dread of the free state business community and political parties of a Brexit.Independance? Celebrating 1916 centenary? My Arse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 01, 2015, 06:50:31 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 06:04:06 PM
Attended a very interesting debate on the implications of a Brexit, in Newry last Thursday morning.Bertie was one of the speakers.Few eye openers, not least of which is the absolute dread of the free state business community and political parties of a Brexit.Independance? Celebrating 1916 centenary? My Arse.

Not sure what point you're trying to make with those last three sentences.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 06:55:33 PM
Simple point.Why does anything the British do,politically or otherwise,concern Irish politicians,except some action that affects the North? Also crapping your kacks at the prospect of Britain leaving the EU,does not suggest that Ireland is in any way independent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 01, 2015, 06:59:54 PM
Brexit would not be economically advantageous for the UK. Brexit could lead to a lot of unintended consequences. The Tories are hostage to their eurosceptic wing and Labour are led by Corbyn, neither of which are ideal in this case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 01, 2015, 07:01:19 PM
Never gonna happen. The big boys could cripple a country for not towing the line, hence why countries do what they're told.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 01, 2015, 07:02:54 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 06:55:33 PM
Simple point.Why does anything the British do,politically or otherwise,concern Irish politicians,except some action that affects the North? Also crapping your kacks at the prospect of Britain leaving the EU,does not suggest that Ireland is in any way independent.
I don't think any country in the modern world could be said to be truly independent. The UK certainly isn't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 07:18:11 PM
Believe me, it seems the 26 counties political and business classes are on the verge of a nervous breakdown now,and the date of a referendum hasn't even been announced yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kursk on November 01, 2015, 07:20:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 01, 2015, 06:59:54 PM
Brexit would not be economically advantageous for the UK. Brexit could lead to a lot of unintended consequences. The Tories are hostage to their eurosceptic wing and Labour are led by Corbyn, neither of which are ideal in this case.

That is the politics of fear. It is an old broken record at this stage. A more imaginative approach is needed.

As Suzanne Moore says:
"Surely I know, really, that when you want someone to vote a certain way you have to frighten them into thinking that any alternative is worse."
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/jul/01/fear-mongering-enemy-of-democracy-from-greece-to-camerons-eu-referendum-euro-crisis (http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/jul/01/fear-mongering-enemy-of-democracy-from-greece-to-camerons-eu-referendum-euro-crisis)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 01, 2015, 07:30:12 PM
I've said it before on a similar thread but one of the biggest knock effects could be the disintegration of the UK itself - if England's votes take Scotland, Wales & to a lesser extent NI out of the EU against the democratic will of those constituent parts of the UK. It's mainly English eurosceptics who want the Brexit & Cameron dances to their tune trying to outflank the right of his own party & the UKIPpers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kursk on November 01, 2015, 07:41:43 PM
True. The disintegration of the UK would definitely be an added bonus.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 08:18:54 PM
All points are true but why is the freestate so concerned about a Brexit? Can true independence (which means it is irrelevant what Britain does) not be contemplated in the 26 counties never mind some mythical 32 county unitary state?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 01, 2015, 08:35:16 PM
How about GB being our biggest trading partner?
Them leaving the single market would have to at least concern the business community.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kursk on November 01, 2015, 08:58:29 PM
but if we exited the Euro as well we'd be free to choose whatever monetary policy suits us best. Britain can continue to be our biggest trading partner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 09:10:35 PM
I sensed trade was a large part of it,obviously,although those who favoured an exit maintained that special trade agreements would be drawn up to protect this,and there would be no return to customs posts at the North South Border.But I also got a strong sense that the co operation perceived to be required to sort out the six counties was also very important to the 26 counties.Do they really fear a break up of the U.K. could destabilise the UK to the extent that without Britain as an EU partner the South might have to deal with the North unaided?

I was really surprised by the tangible panic a potential Brexit is causing in the 26 counties which is unfathomable and irrational
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 01, 2015, 09:32:35 PM
Quote from: Kursk on November 01, 2015, 08:58:29 PM
but if we exited the Euro as well we'd be free to choose whatever monetary policy suits us best. Britain can continue to be our biggest trading partner.
If we exit the Euro and the E U we will be fcuked - in the real world that is.
In fantasy land as inhabited by various loonylefties , extreme right neo Nazis and "Kursk" anything is possible and if someone says something can be done then that's it sorted.
A bit like Alice in wonderland. ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kursk on November 01, 2015, 10:03:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 01, 2015, 09:32:35 PM
Quote from: Kursk on November 01, 2015, 08:58:29 PM
but if we exited the Euro as well we'd be free to choose whatever monetary policy suits us best. Britain can continue to be our biggest trading partner.
If we exit the Euro and the E U we will be fcuked - in the real world that is.
In fantasy land as inhabited by various loonylefties , extreme right neo Nazis and "Kursk" anything is possible and if someone says something can be done then that's it sorted.
A bit like Alice in wonderland. ;D

It is instructive to see you resort to insults when challenged.

Why don't you explain how we will be "fucked" champ ? or is that the extent of your economic knowledge.  Plenty of counties both big and small do just fine outside of the Eurozone and out of the Euro.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 10:12:16 PM
Well Bertie certainly thinks Ireland would be fcuked if the 26 counties moved out of the EU!.He joked also that he was making the most of the bacon butties and scones available at the conference in Newry because there would be no money for them if there is a Brexit ;D

However there were a few commentators who said that no one really knows what would happen and its up to both sides to set an argument as to what the "UK" would look like both in or out of the EU and desist from scaremongering
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ONeill on November 01, 2015, 10:19:58 PM
Here's a spreadsheet.

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/uktrade/uk-trade/february-2015/ptl-table-9--change-in-3-monthly-trade-with-significant-partner-countries--december-2014-to-february-2015-compared-with-september-to-november-2014.xls
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 02, 2015, 02:39:59 AM
Ireland were the political and economic outcast of Europe after deciding not to join the allies in WW2. The repercussions were felt for years. It still tarnishes Ireland's reputation, and Ireland will always bow down, cap in hand to the evil global administrations, and do whatever they say because of it.  Ireland had to lick Europe's arsehole and enter the EEC in the 70s (after being turned down).

Ireland, and all countries want, and need to join the EU otherwise they'll be outcasts and the country will be fucked (moreso than it is already). In an ideal world most people would say "feck Europe", but it's not that simple.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 02, 2015, 03:38:50 AM
Britain is Ireland's biggest trading partner, Tony. The economies of the two islands are joined at the hip whether you like it or not. The implications of Brexit are absolutely huge. They're huge for the east-west relationship and they're huge for the EU that is so important to the free state economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 02, 2015, 07:22:40 AM
But it is reckoned that Britain and Ireland could reach a trade agreement fairly easily,so that is obviously not the main reason for Irish nervousness
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 02, 2015, 08:07:12 AM
Okay then. It's because we're all a crowd of soccer-loving, Eastenders-watching, Royal-family-admiring West Brits who yearn for a return to British rule. There. Happy now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on November 02, 2015, 08:07:42 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 02, 2015, 07:22:40 AM
But it is reckoned that Britain and Ireland could reach a trade agreement fairly easily,so that is obviously not the main reason for Irish nervousness
Could any EU state just set up a unilateral trade agreement with a non EU state?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on November 02, 2015, 09:15:04 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on November 02, 2015, 08:07:42 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 02, 2015, 07:22:40 AM
But it is reckoned that Britain and Ireland could reach a trade agreement fairly easily,so that is obviously not the main reason for Irish nervousness
Could any EU state just set up a unilateral trade agreement with a non EU state?

Correct, they cannot. Think France took some with them into the EEC as it was at the time.

Mate living in London for donkey's years now told me last Christmas that he was going to apply for a British passport just in case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on November 02, 2015, 10:18:58 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 06:55:33 PM
Simple point.Why does anything the British do,politically or otherwise,concern Irish politicians,except some action that affects the North? Also crapping your kacks at the prospect of Britain leaving the EU,does not suggest that Ireland is in any way independent.
Ireland isn't independent. Nor for that matter is the UK. The fate of Ireland's main export market is of interest to lreland. As it would be if that export market was Peru

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on November 02, 2015, 10:28:08 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 09:10:35 PM
I sensed trade was a large part of it,obviously,although those who favoured an exit maintained that special trade agreements would be drawn up to protect this,and there would be no return to customs posts at the North South Border.But I also got a strong sense that the co operation perceived to be required to sort out the six counties was also very important to the 26 counties.Do they really fear a break up of the U.K. could destabilise the UK to the extent that without Britain as an EU partner the South might have to deal with the North unaided?

I was really surprised by the tangible panic a potential Brexit is causing in the 26 counties which is unfathomable and irrational

Tony, what follow up questions did you ask to establish if those who advocated individual trade agreements had the first clue what they were talking about? Or did you unquestioningly accept what you were told?

How exactly would the south be left to deal with the north unaided?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on November 02, 2015, 10:36:37 AM
The Brexit debate is head in the jaws of a lion stuff. To deliver on the aspirations of a sensible majority that want co-operation within a democratic, efficient Europe we have address the major flaws within the EU. Without the brexit threat the bigger debate was not getting traction. It could go spectacularly wrong though
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bord na Mona man on November 02, 2015, 10:57:17 AM
I'm not sure why and heed should be taken of Bertie Ahern.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 02, 2015, 12:44:42 PM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on November 02, 2015, 10:57:17 AM
I'm not sure why and heed should be taken of Bertie Ahern.
The recession only started after he "left" office ;)
He beat the bookies on a regular basis
He was never a member of the Provo Army Council
He supports that well known Irish soccer team who play in Salford
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 02, 2015, 03:12:29 PM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on November 02, 2015, 10:57:17 AM
I'm not sure why and heed should be taken of Bertie Ahern.

Or Tony Fearon.

"I was really surprised by the tangible panic a potential Brexit is causing in the 26 counties which is unfathomable and irrational"

Has anyone else noticed this 'tangible panic'?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on November 02, 2015, 03:26:33 PM
It was a White Anglo-Saxon Panic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 02, 2015, 03:33:26 PM
Quote from: deiseach on November 02, 2015, 03:26:33 PM
It was a White Anglo-Saxon Panic.

Ah I see. Unionists hate to see people leaving Unions.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 02, 2015, 06:08:41 PM
Bit ironic all the same,that it was the freestate contingent,there in the capacity of "good neighbours" who were more exercised about the prospect of a Brexit than any of the Northern or "UK Mainland" contingent.Still don't understand this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 02, 2015, 07:31:03 PM
Why is there a full stop in the thread title?

Is this significant?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 02, 2015, 07:42:53 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 02, 2015, 07:31:03 PM
Why is there a full stop in the thread title?

Is this significant?
It's probably a coded message to ISIS :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kursk on November 02, 2015, 10:00:38 PM
some interesting points here about EU expansion.

http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/enlargement-and-the-euro-two-big-mistakes-that-ruined-europe-1.2414019 (http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/enlargement-and-the-euro-two-big-mistakes-that-ruined-europe-1.2414019)

QuoteThere has hardly been a year when the EU has not been on the brink of some crisis: banking, sovereign debt, Russia's annexation of Crimea and now refugees. You can always point fingers at individual politicians and assign blame. But it is highly implausible that the EU's serial failures can always be explained as the product of accident and malice.

I put it down to two catastrophic errors committed during the 1990s and at the beginning of this millennium. The first was the introduction of the euro; the second, the EU's enlargement to 28 members from 15 a couple of decades ago. You might agree with one or other of these statements, or with neither of them. But few people will agree with both.

I was among those who supported monetary union at the time of its introduction. Advocates of the euro at the time came from two different groups, who struck a Faustian Pact.

Members of the first group believed the euro as constructed would fail, and hoped it would somehow be fixed. The others thought the system would stay rigid, and bend the economies of its members into a new shape. This latter group knew that, to withstand the rigours of a fixed-exchange system that resembles nothing so much as the gold standard, countries would have to adjust to economic shocks through shifts in wages and prices — a course, they believed, that the euro's members would be forced to take.

The admission that the euro was a mistake should not be confused with a desire to dissolve it. That would be even more catastrophic. It is merely a recognition that we are trapped in a dysfunctional monetary system.

But how does enlargement play into this? This is not an argument about any particular member state with whose actions one happens to disagree. Nor is it an argument about the principle of enlargement, which is fundamental to the EU. My quarrel is with the speed of accession, and the criteria that aspiring members have to meet. Just as countries have maximum absorption capacities for migrants, the EU has a maximum absorption capacity for new members. I have no idea what that number is in any given time period, but it surely is not 13 members in a single decade.

Enlargement affected Europe's ability to respond to the shocks of subsequent years in two ways. First, it forced the EU to take its eye off the ball at a critical time when it should have focused on building the institutions needed to make the euro work. Second, enlargement meant that EU countries that were not in the eurozone suddenly found themselves in the majority. That shift naturally shaped the EU's own agenda. I recall the obsession during those years with competitiveness, a typical small-country economic issue. Debates on the reform of Europe's treaties during those years focused on voting rights and the protection of minorities. It was the overwhelming view of European officials and members of the European Parliament that the eurozone itself did not need to be fixed.

At that time it would have been comparatively easy to set up a banking union. But once the crisis set in, and banks suffered huge losses, countries could no longer share their deposit insurance schemes, let alone to create a single one for everybody. After the crisis had started, the debate about common insurance mechanisms became intertwined with one about transfers. The crisis thus rudely interrupted the EU's time-honoured, step-by-step approach to integration.

An optimist might interject at this point that it is worth hanging in there. Crises come and go. The EU will still be there. Perhaps so, but then ask yourself: why was the period from the 1950s to the late 1990s more stable compared with the period since?

In the first years of the then European Economic Community, the external security risks were taken care of by Nato. There were almost no risks to financial stability because regulation was extremely stringent by today's standards. While the economic shocks, such as the oil and inflation crises of the 1970s, were no less severe than today, EU members had the ability to absorb them through flexible exchange rates.

Today Brussels suddenly has to look after its own foreign policy interests and run the world's second-largest economy. The EU is not institutionally ready for either job. And its leaders are intellectually not ready either.

We should expect to see more crises, more unilateral action by member states, greater willingness to explore opt-outs, invocation of exceptional circumstances to suspend EU-level action, more rule breaking and the like.

The real risk is not a formal break-up. That would be technically hard to do. But this is no consolation. The real danger is that the EU is simply going to wither away and turn into a ghost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on November 02, 2015, 10:11:10 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 02, 2015, 06:08:41 PM
Bit ironic all the same,that it was the freestate contingent,there in the capacity of "good neighbours" who were more exercised about the prospect of a Brexit than any of the Northern or "UK Mainland" contingent.Still don't understand this.

I assume the free state contingent were all from within 30 miles of the border ???

Hard to know yet .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Arthur_Friend on November 03, 2015, 08:57:43 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 02, 2015, 02:39:59 AM
Ireland were the political and economic outcast of Europe after deciding not to join the allies in WW2. The repercussions were felt for years. It still tarnishes Ireland's reputation, and Ireland will always bow down, cap in hand to the evil global administrations, and do whatever they say because of it.  Ireland had to lick Europe's arsehole and enter the EEC in the 70s (after being turned down).

Ireland, and all countries want, and need to join the EU otherwise they'll be outcasts and the country will be fucked (moreso than it is already). In an ideal world most people would say "feck Europe", but it's not that simple.

The Germans are still raging the Republic of Ireland didn't declare war on them in 1939? Right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kursk on November 03, 2015, 10:24:32 PM
Quote from: Arthur_Friend on November 03, 2015, 08:57:43 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 02, 2015, 02:39:59 AM
Ireland were the political and economic outcast of Europe after deciding not to join the allies in WW2. The repercussions were felt for years. It still tarnishes Ireland's reputation, and Ireland will always bow down, cap in hand to the evil global administrations, and do whatever they say because of it.  Ireland had to lick Europe's arsehole and enter the EEC in the 70s (after being turned down).

Ireland, and all countries want, and need to join the EU otherwise they'll be outcasts and the country will be fucked (moreso than it is already). In an ideal world most people would say "feck Europe", but it's not that simple.

The Germans are still raging the Republic of Ireland didn't declare war on them in 1939? Right.

As flippant as that thought may be, do you think we would have been better off declaring a side one way or the other ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 05, 2015, 07:17:40 AM
Do people think a Brexit will come about?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maguire01 on November 05, 2015, 09:00:35 AM
No. It won't be a massive vote to stay in, but I think with a lot of these big votes, the 'don't knows' will fall disproportionately on the side of the status quo, with the 'fear of the unknown' element.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on November 05, 2015, 10:21:22 AM
Quote from: Kursk on November 03, 2015, 10:24:32 PM
Quote from: Arthur_Friend on November 03, 2015, 08:57:43 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 02, 2015, 02:39:59 AM
Ireland were the political and economic outcast of Europe after deciding not to join the allies in WW2. The repercussions were felt for years. It still tarnishes Ireland's reputation, and Ireland will always bow down, cap in hand to the evil global administrations, and do whatever they say because of it.  Ireland had to lick Europe's arsehole and enter the EEC in the 70s (after being turned down).

Ireland, and all countries want, and need to join the EU otherwise they'll be outcasts and the country will be fucked (moreso than it is already). In an ideal world most people would say "feck Europe", but it's not that simple.

The Germans are still raging the Republic of Ireland didn't declare war on them in 1939? Right.

As flippant as that thought may be, do you think we would have been better off declaring a side one way or the other ?

No. We'd have a whole lost generation of young men as well. I support neutrality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on November 05, 2015, 10:26:58 AM
I'm really looking forward to the Brexit referendum. You'll see a lot of masks slip, and it's hard to see how the Tory party can maintain unity. The craic will be ninety.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 05, 2015, 11:21:08 AM
Would cost the 26 Co economy €3Bn per annum in lost trade per the ESRI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 05, 2015, 11:29:40 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 05, 2015, 11:21:08 AM
Would cost the 26 Co economy €3Bn per annum in lost trade per the ESRI.

Yerra €3bn! We'd throw that at a dodgy credit union without even checking the accounts.

Would there be a bounce as the only English speaking country left in the EU? For example, US multinationals based in the UK could  move much of their operations here following a Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on November 05, 2015, 11:53:42 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 05, 2015, 07:17:40 AM
Do people think a Brexit will come about?

I thought a year ago that it had a real chance of happening - UKIP vote on the rise, the majority of the Tory party in favour of exit. But Scottish referendum changed my mind. I think like it there will be sizeable minorities both for and against with the rest undecided in the lead up. And in the end the status quo will prevail as a vote for exit is a vote for uncertainty.

Its interesting to speculate though, what would have to happen between now and then for the out vote to win? A deeper migrant crisis? Another euro financial crisis?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on November 05, 2015, 11:57:06 AM
Scotland is the wild card. I can't work out if the people of England, who are going to be the ones who decide this, would rather hold onto them or be rid of them. Rejecting Brexit might not keep Scotland in the Union in the long run, but accepting Brexit sure as heck would see them leave in the shortest run possible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on November 05, 2015, 12:05:09 PM
Don't underestimate English indifference to how their neighbours (and the wider world) views them. I live in the south of England and i was struck by how uninformed on even the basic terms of the independence debate some English friends of mine were.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on November 05, 2015, 12:19:20 PM
Quote from: Clov on November 05, 2015, 12:05:09 PM
Don't underestimate English indifference to how their neighbours (and the wider world) views them. I live in the south of England and i was struck by how uninformed on even the basic terms of the independence debate some English friends of mine were.

Do you think 'indifference' will make them more or less likely to vote for Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on November 05, 2015, 12:29:50 PM
Quote from: deiseach on November 05, 2015, 12:19:20 PM
Quote from: Clov on November 05, 2015, 12:05:09 PM
Don't underestimate English indifference to how their neighbours (and the wider world) views them. I live in the south of England and i was struck by how uninformed on even the basic terms of the independence debate some English friends of mine were.

Do you think 'indifference' will make them more or less likely to vote for Brexit?

It would have to be more i think. The whole European project is predicated on the mutual benefits of closer co-operation and integration. The English on the whole don't seem to me to be very concerned with mutual benefits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on November 05, 2015, 12:41:48 PM
I think you are right. Plenty of people would think the notion that the EU is predicated on the mutual benefits of closer co-operation and integration to be a load of waffle, in the same way that the primacy of the club player in the GAA might be legitimately viewed as waffle. However, you'd never get anyone arguing that the primacy of the club player is a bad thing, while you will get loads of people arguing that closer co-operation within Europe is a bad thing in principle. People who think the EU is a sinister cabal to force everyone to drink half-litres rather than pints will be given a respectable hearing rather than being told to get a grip.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 05, 2015, 12:56:17 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 06:55:33 PM
Simple point.Why does anything the British do,politically or otherwise,concern Irish politicians,except some action that affects the North?

There are the Republic's largest export market.

Exports have been the primary driver of the Republic's recovery:
http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/exports-the-primary-driver-of-economic-turnaround-1.2221285

Being in the common EU trade area facilitates this trade.  So what UK does "politically or otherwise" has everything to do with our economic health.   I hope our politicians are concerned about this economic health (among other things).

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 05, 2015, 04:32:44 PM
How much of GB's exports go to the EU?
Who will they sell to if they pull out?
By the way I believe us little 4.6m are GB's 4 largest export market.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on February 09, 2016, 11:12:00 PM
Anybody know the current state of play, opinion polls etc on this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2016, 11:23:41 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 05, 2015, 04:32:44 PM
How much of GB's exports go to the EU?
Who will they sell to if they pull out?
By the way I believe us little 4.6m are GB's 4 largest export market.


http://atlas.media.mit.edu/en/profile/country/gbr/


The top export destinations of the United Kingdom are the United States ($50.2B), Germany ($46.6B), the Netherlands ($36B), France ($28.8B) and Belgium-Luxembourg ($25.1B). The top import origins are Germany ($88.8B), China ($55.2B), the Netherlands ($52.1B), France ($39B) and the United States ($37.8B).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on February 10, 2016, 05:55:00 AM
Cameron to visit the six counties to encourage vote to stay in.About to witness the irony of a British Tory Prime Minister being supported by nationalist parties and voters and opposed by unionists!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 17, 2016, 10:25:40 AM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-35590962

A survey of business people in Northern Ireland has found that 81% will vote for the UK to remain in the European Union (EU).

A referendum on the UK's membership of the EU is expected to be held later this year.
A major survey by the Northern Ireland Chamber of Commerce suggests only 11% of business people in Northern Ireland support a British exit (Brexit).  That compares to 30% of those surveyed in the rest of the UK.

More than half (60%) of Northern Ireland's senior businesspeople polled in the survey revealed that the outcome of Prime Minister David Cameron's renegotiated EU deal is unlikely to change how they will vote.  The results come on the eve of crunch Brussels talks, which are expected to result in a deal.  Despite a large majority of Northern Ireland firms (89%) saying they are following the debate, the findings demonstrate that the renegotiation process is having little effect on business opinion.

It is the referendum itself that is important, rather than any package of reforms.  Eighty-four per cent of Northern Ireland businesses also say that there has been no impact on their sales and orders as of yet, due to the uncertainty of Britain's future within the EU.  Commenting on the results, President of Northern Ireland Chamber of Commerce Stephen McCully said the findings suggest that "the renegotiation is having little impact on day-to-day business - or the vote of the business community".

He said that this was because many made up their minds before knowing the outcome of negotiations, effectively discounting them as irrelevant.  "For business people, this is a question of in or out," he said.  "Those within Northern Ireland who are firmly wedded to the EU have said that Brexit will leave us stranded outside the EU, and coping with the re-emergence of a land border with the Republic of Ireland.  "Emotion has a part in all decision making and it will do so here, but there is a duty to ensure decisions are as well informed as they can be."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on February 17, 2016, 10:29:04 AM
The DUP are going to activiely support a 'Brexit'. Will be an interesting conversation telling their farmer friends they will be 360 mill+ worse off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 17, 2016, 10:46:40 AM
It is just too uncertain for the UK to leave
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 17, 2016, 10:50:08 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 17, 2016, 10:46:40 AM
It is just too uncertain for the UK to leave

The people of the UK will leave, you made some random point on another thread that the city won't allow them to leave - is that the white city?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 17, 2016, 10:53:06 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 17, 2016, 10:50:08 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 17, 2016, 10:46:40 AM
It is just too uncertain for the UK to leave

The people of the UK will leave

A new prophet ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 17, 2016, 10:55:28 AM
I think the DUP have lost the plot on this one, especially with a leader from a border agricultural constituency. Whatever plans the London government have for any money by not contributing to the EU, sending it to NI would not be at the front of the list and small farmers would not be high on the list either. The EU provides a convenient politics free framework for cooperation on the island of Ireland, Brexit endangers all this. Some of the looper end of unionism hope for a fence along the border as a consequence and would have support in Britain for this kind of thing among the out crowd. This isn't very likely in practice, but anything remotely along those lines, customs posts, ID checks etc would kick off the whole thing in the 6 counties again. So people will want a lot of specific Anglo-Irish agreements to stop this, and this will involve more explicit arrangements than just coming in under the EU umbrella. As many non looper unionists will see that the present situation with both parts of Ireland in the EU is a stable one, and Brexit introducing possible destabilising factors including a renewed pressure for Scottish independence, so they will probably vote no, and so the DUP will be backing the losers.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 17, 2016, 11:22:41 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 17, 2016, 10:53:06 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 17, 2016, 10:50:08 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 17, 2016, 10:46:40 AM
It is just too uncertain for the UK to leave

The people of the UK will leave

A new prophet ::)

So its OK for folk to say they won't leave, the Tories have really misjudged this one, the immigration issue alone will mean those who are directly affected which is the majority of the low paid population will vote to get out under the mass hysteria that the likes of UKIP will generate.  Love your rolly eyes by the way really suits you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on February 17, 2016, 01:00:25 PM
Why are people using logic and reason to analyse the DUP position?

Ideology means everything to them, as it does to some other parties (and religions) around here. Independent thinking is not encouraged.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 17, 2016, 01:04:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 17, 2016, 10:55:28 AM
I think the DUP have lost the plot on this one, especially with a leader from a border agricultural constituency. Whatever plans the London government have for any money by not contributing to the EU, sending it to NI would not be at the front of the list and small farmers would not be high on the list either. The EU provides a convenient politics free framework for cooperation on the island of Ireland, Brexit endangers all this. Some of the looper end of unionism hope for a fence along the border as a consequence and would have support in Britain for this kind of thing among the out crowd. This isn't very likely in practice, but anything remotely along those lines, customs posts, ID checks etc would kick off the whole thing in the 6 counties again. So people will want a lot of specific Anglo-Irish agreements to stop this, and this will involve more explicit arrangements than just coming in under the EU umbrella. As many non looper unionists will see that the present situation with both parts of Ireland in the EU is a stable one, and Brexit introducing possible destabilising factors including a renewed pressure for Scottish independence, so they will probably vote no, and so the DUP will be backing the losers.

The DUP lost the plot a long time ago. Thanks to London subventions they have zero awareness of macroeconomics or fiscal responsibility Money comes from London and always will.

Brexit is a really stupid idea. The City will pack up and leave. What sort of industry does the DUP have to replace it with? Linen?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 17, 2016, 01:25:03 PM
Again is this the white city?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on February 17, 2016, 01:43:24 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 17, 2016, 01:25:03 PM
Again is this the white city?

No, it's the City.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 17, 2016, 01:50:00 PM
Quote from: muppet on February 17, 2016, 01:00:25 PM
Why are people using logic and reason to analyse the DUP position?

Ideology means everything to them, as it does to some other parties (and religions) around here. Independent thinking is not encouraged.

Some of us are logical people, I suppose and we never learn the futility of applying logic to politicians.

That said, the DUP should be concerned with the Union between NI and GB and this Brexit threatens to weaken that union, if only because it would stir up centrifugal tendencies in Scotland. So, as usual, the unionists are acting in a way to threaten their own cause. Quelle surprise. 

I'm inclined to think the British won't go for it in the end, owing to the economic uncertainty. The danger would be that the middle of the road person would not turn out for the referendum.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on February 18, 2016, 09:11:35 AM
Personally I don't think our exports to the UK would reduce by any significant amount if UK left the EU. It would be better if they stayed in, but there's a lot of Y2K type scaremongering going on. Post Brexit, neither UK nor EU will do anything to damage trade links between the two.

One benefit of Brexit would be that it would help our battle against the UK in winning new foreign direct investment from North America. Although an independent Scotland in the EU would greatly change that equation.

NI would be the one area to suffer in my view if there was a Brexit. The reasons for foreign companies to set up or maintain operations in NI would be reduced further.

Interesting on BBC news last night. They led with the bad news that the north looks like losing 1,000 jobs due to Bombardier reducing operations. Next story was on how employment levels in the rest of the UK is going upwards, and they had a lad on being interviewed saying how great everything was.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on February 18, 2016, 09:39:05 AM
Quote from: Hound on February 18, 2016, 09:11:35 AM
Personally I don't think our exports to the UK would reduce by any significant amount if UK left the EU. It would be better if they stayed in, but there's a lot of Y2K type scaremongering going on. Post Brexit, neither UK nor EU will do anything to damage trade links between the two.

They may not want to damage trade links, but once they get down to negotiations then all kind of taboos will be on the table. Brexit, should it happen, is going to be fuelled by a desire to restrict freedom of movement. There's absolutely no way the EU would tolerate a situation where there are restrictions on EU citizens entering the UK without responding in kind. There are bound to be extra costs for Irish exports to the UK. Although that has to be a mere bagatelle when set against having to produce a passport every time we enter the UK. I wonder whether my sense of national pride would weaken upon the sight of Mrs d sauntering through while Herr Flick interrogates me on my employment status and whether the boy has anything that might make him a medical tourist!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on February 18, 2016, 01:21:18 PM
Quote from: deiseach on February 18, 2016, 09:39:05 AM
Quote from: Hound on February 18, 2016, 09:11:35 AM
Personally I don't think our exports to the UK would reduce by any significant amount if UK left the EU. It would be better if they stayed in, but there's a lot of Y2K type scaremongering going on. Post Brexit, neither UK nor EU will do anything to damage trade links between the two.

They may not want to damage trade links, but once they get down to negotiations then all kind of taboos will be on the table. Brexit, should it happen, is going to be fuelled by a desire to restrict freedom of movement. There's absolutely no way the EU would tolerate a situation where there are restrictions on EU citizens entering the UK without responding in kind. There are bound to be extra costs for Irish exports to the UK. Although that has to be a mere bagatelle when set against having to produce a passport every time we enter the UK. I wonder whether my sense of national pride would weaken upon the sight of Mrs d sauntering through while Herr Flick interrogates me on my employment status and whether the boy has anything that might make him a medical tourist!
All scaremongering in my view.

Not needing a passport to get into the UK from Ireland has nothing to do with the EU.

At the moment you need a passport to go from the rest of the EU to get into the UK. You don't need a passport to go from Ireland to the UK. That won't change post Brexit (so long as Ireland don't join Schengen, which we won't).

And the chances of EU or UK imposing tariffs on imports/exports are remote, to say the least. If/when Brexit looks like becoming a reality, the powers that be will make every effort to ensure it doesn't impact on EU-UK trade. Of course, that won't be broadcast in the short term, as we want to encourage the UK to stay rather than play down potential exit issues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 18, 2016, 01:37:42 PM
Quote from: Hound on February 18, 2016, 01:21:18 PM
Quote from: deiseach on February 18, 2016, 09:39:05 AM
Quote from: Hound on February 18, 2016, 09:11:35 AM
Personally I don't think our exports to the UK would reduce by any significant amount if UK left the EU. It would be better if they stayed in, but there's a lot of Y2K type scaremongering going on. Post Brexit, neither UK nor EU will do anything to damage trade links between the two.

They may not want to damage trade links, but once they get down to negotiations then all kind of taboos will be on the table. Brexit, should it happen, is going to be fuelled by a desire to restrict freedom of movement. There's absolutely no way the EU would tolerate a situation where there are restrictions on EU citizens entering the UK without responding in kind. There are bound to be extra costs for Irish exports to the UK. Although that has to be a mere bagatelle when set against having to produce a passport every time we enter the UK. I wonder whether my sense of national pride would weaken upon the sight of Mrs d sauntering through while Herr Flick interrogates me on my employment status and whether the boy has anything that might make him a medical tourist!
All scaremongering in my view.

Not needing a passport to get into the UK from Ireland has nothing to do with the EU.

At the moment you need a passport to go from the rest of the EU to get into the UK. You don't need a passport to go from Ireland to the UK. That won't change post Brexit (so long as Ireland don't join Schengen, which we won't).

And the chances of EU or UK imposing tariffs on imports/exports are remote, to say the least. If/when Brexit looks like becoming a reality, the powers that be will make every effort to ensure it doesn't impact on EU-UK trade. Of course, that won't be broadcast in the short term, as we want to encourage the UK to stay rather than play down potential exit issues.

I don't know what way it will affect our business. We export Irish Pharmaceuticals to the UK/EEA but this is only possible due to the free movement of goods across member states.

There will be huge regulatory issues around this for us and the rest of the Pharmaceutical industry if the UK leave the EU!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on February 18, 2016, 01:59:21 PM
I'm certainly not scaremongering. There's a large part of me that wants to see Brexit, if only to see what happens. But should Britain leave it will be seen as an overwhelming mandate for border controls. When I say you would have to 'produce a passport', I don't mean like the perfunctory process you have to go through when arriving at Cherbourg or Charles de Gaulle, I mean having to go through immigration. That is the absolute minimum that the Outers will expect from their victory. And while I think it less likely that tariffs will be imposed on trade, checking every vehicle that travels between Ireland and the UK for rats migrants is going to be a ruinously expensive business. Now, it's possible that some understanding will be reached. But I think that is to underestimate the xenophobia of the Outers, a phobia that wouldn't take long to mutate into a spot of Paddy-bashing if the presence of some open borders is perceived to be a sticking point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 18, 2016, 03:00:33 PM
They'll need some army of Immigration officials to vet everyone travelling from the 26 Cos to the 6 Cos ;D
Be some craic for Donegalers heading to and from Clones on U F day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on February 19, 2016, 11:22:00 AM
Some one on another thread described unionism as British Nationalism which sums up their approach to the EU. It is not based on logic but gut feeling. Mind you Nationalism works the same way in reverse. Most right thinking EU leaders outside the old Eastern Block should be supporting the changes Cameron is looking to make especially around benefits and migration.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on February 19, 2016, 10:11:20 PM
So it's a no then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on February 19, 2016, 10:34:53 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 19, 2016, 10:11:20 PM
So it's a no then?

Huh?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on February 19, 2016, 10:41:46 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 19, 2016, 10:11:20 PM
So it's a no then?

I'm sceptical as to whether there's enough in this deal to secure an 'in' vote. This idea of 'ever closer union' is very wishy washy and will surely be pounced upon by the out campaign. The early signs are that there will be no real reversal of EU encroachment onto British sovereignty - or whatever way you want to put it - aside from concessions on future immigrants, which might anger some people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 19, 2016, 11:21:05 PM
The whole thing is bollix, little Englanders harkening back to Empire. The "benefits", is children's allowances which is about £30m, or less than 50p per person. You'd pay that for a decade for the cost of running the referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on February 19, 2016, 11:23:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2016, 11:21:05 PM
The whole thing is bollix, little Englanders harkening back to Empire. The "benefits", is children's allowances which is about £30m, or less than 50p per person. You'd pay that for a decade for the cost of running the referendum.

It's all benefits is it not ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 19, 2016, 11:24:11 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2016, 11:21:05 PM
The whole thing is bollix, little Englanders harkening back to Empire.
+1.
"Deal" is a fig leaf for Cameron to trumpet a stunning victory over those Europeans blah blah blah....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 19, 2016, 11:44:51 PM
Quote from: Minder on February 19, 2016, 11:23:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2016, 11:21:05 PM
The whole thing is bollix, little Englanders harkening back to Empire. The "benefits", is children's allowances which is about £30m, or less than 50p per person. You'd pay that for a decade for the cost of running the referendum.

It's all benefits is it not ?

Its "in work" benefits. You can't just come and claim the dole in any case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on February 19, 2016, 11:46:40 PM
Wonder will he get all Neville Chamberlain like and hold up the 'deal' on a piece of paper for the baying meeja tomorrow.

Will White Van Man vote yes or no using his own thought process or do wot the Sun tells him to do?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on February 19, 2016, 11:48:47 PM
The whole referendum is a sham. Asking people who literally know feck all about the EU to vote and decide whether the country remains in the EU is ludicrous in the extreme. I heard some comedian comment that it's like a bomb disposal expert ringing him and asking which wire to cut.

Cameron, though, knows Britain are highly unlikely to vote to leave, when push comes to shove (see the Scottish vote) fear of losing money and jobs trumps national jingoism and this is why he included the promise of the vote in his manifesto. A win in this referendum will be written into history books as the time Cameron went to Europe and kicked ass. A carefully scripted spin that will see him move on at the end of his term as a PM who achieved great things. This will be his finest hour. In reality he'll have achieved jack all and risked a European exit to achieve it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on February 20, 2016, 12:00:35 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2016, 11:44:51 PM
Quote from: Minder on February 19, 2016, 11:23:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2016, 11:21:05 PM
The whole thing is bollix, little Englanders harkening back to Empire. The "benefits", is children's allowances which is about £30m, or less than 50p per person. You'd pay that for a decade for the cost of running the referendum.

It's all benefits is it not ?

Its "in work" benefits. You can't just come and claim the dole in any case.

You can after you have been here for three months
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on February 20, 2016, 12:03:11 AM
What would the farmers do without their free money every year?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on February 20, 2016, 12:06:58 AM
I'm backing David.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on February 20, 2016, 12:27:33 AM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 20, 2016, 12:03:11 AM
What would the farmers do without their free money every year?

And all the "community workers".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 20, 2016, 12:28:54 AM
Quote from: Minder on February 20, 2016, 12:27:33 AM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 20, 2016, 12:03:11 AM
What would the farmers do without their free money every year?

And all the "community workers".

You could reassign the  "community workers" to help out the farmers?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2016, 01:20:18 AM
I think a Brexit from Ireland would be the dog's bollocks

there was a super article in When Saturday comes about NI and GSTQ.
Not online but there is this

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/54-say-ditch-god-save-the-queen-for-northern-ireland-sporting-events-34377456.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on February 20, 2016, 05:16:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 19, 2016, 11:24:11 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2016, 11:21:05 PM
The whole thing is bollix, little Englanders harkening back to Empire.
+1.
"Deal" is a fig leaf for Cameron to trumpet a stunning victory over those Europeans blah blah blah....
+2. The whole thing has been pure theatre from the start. Cameron asked for a handful of things they were always going to give anyway. Negotiating past the deadline added a nice dramatic touch. He can go back to the Eurosceptics in his party and say "I showed them Germans who's boss" and enough waverers will go along with it. I'd be very surprised if they voted to leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2016, 05:19:31 AM
The macro economic risk changed a lot since 2013 in fairness to Cameron. William Hagud would be a common or garden Eurosceptic and even he changed his mind
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on February 20, 2016, 12:57:32 PM
So the referendum is on 23rd of June.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 22, 2016, 10:11:41 AM
Quote from: screenexile on February 18, 2016, 01:37:42 PM
Quote from: Hound on February 18, 2016, 01:21:18 PM
Quote from: deiseach on February 18, 2016, 09:39:05 AM
Quote from: Hound on February 18, 2016, 09:11:35 AM
Personally I don't think our exports to the UK would reduce by any significant amount if UK left the EU. It would be better if they stayed in, but there's a lot of Y2K type scaremongering going on. Post Brexit, neither UK nor EU will do anything to damage trade links between the two.

They may not want to damage trade links, but once they get down to negotiations then all kind of taboos will be on the table. Brexit, should it happen, is going to be fuelled by a desire to restrict freedom of movement. There's absolutely no way the EU would tolerate a situation where there are restrictions on EU citizens entering the UK without responding in kind. There are bound to be extra costs for Irish exports to the UK. Although that has to be a mere bagatelle when set against having to produce a passport every time we enter the UK. I wonder whether my sense of national pride would weaken upon the sight of Mrs d sauntering through while Herr Flick interrogates me on my employment status and whether the boy has anything that might make him a medical tourist!
All scaremongering in my view.

Not needing a passport to get into the UK from Ireland has nothing to do with the EU.

At the moment you need a passport to go from the rest of the EU to get into the UK. You don't need a passport to go from Ireland to the UK. That won't change post Brexit (so long as Ireland don't join Schengen, which we won't).

And the chances of EU or UK imposing tariffs on imports/exports are remote, to say the least. If/when Brexit looks like becoming a reality, the powers that be will make every effort to ensure it doesn't impact on EU-UK trade. Of course, that won't be broadcast in the short term, as we want to encourage the UK to stay rather than play down potential exit issues.

I don't know what way it will affect our business. We export Irish Pharmaceuticals to the UK/EEA but this is only possible due to the free movement of goods across member states.

There will be huge regulatory issues around this for us and the rest of the Pharmaceutical industry if the UK leave the EU!
Surely the vote is only to leave the EU not he EEA.
I am sure the UK will be looking to have the same status as Norway / Switzerland.

It could be the future, the core EEC Countries moving closer to Political union and a USE with an outer belt of linked economies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on February 22, 2016, 10:50:57 AM
Listening to the pro Brexit camp on Radio Uladh this morning I was struck by the naiveté of Depooty Dawds (as Brian Feeney likes to call him). If he thinks that Osbourne is going to pile money in to NI's farming industry he is deluded. Owen Patterson when asked about this was also vague. I was also struck by the lack of balance or challenge from the GMU team.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on February 22, 2016, 10:51:42 AM
If UK exits then I'm opening a duty free shop either side of the bawdah.

Would Slab have a ploh-a-land to sell to cover the auld tax bill, I wonder?
A site that straddles same said bawdah?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: deiseach on February 22, 2016, 10:55:59 AM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on February 22, 2016, 10:51:42 AM
If UK exits then I'm opening a duty free shop either side of the bawdah.

Would Slab have a ploh-a-land to sell to cover the auld tax bill, I wonder?
A site that straddles same said bawdah?

Free copy of My Little Book of Tweets with every purchase. In fact, have two copies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on February 22, 2016, 09:51:55 PM
I may be alone, but I see a comfortable 'win' for the In side in this one. There's too much uncertainty for the UK if they leave. I would love to see Cameron taken down a peg or two, but I hope his 'In' side come out on top of this one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 22, 2016, 10:08:18 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 22, 2016, 09:51:55 PM
I may be alone, but I see a comfortable 'win' for the In side in this one. There's too much uncertainty for the UK if they leave. I would love to see Cameron taken down a peg or two, but I hope his 'In' side come out on top of this one.

So you would think and there is still several months to go for the issues to be clarified. I would be concerned about turnout, the gripers will turn out but will the ordinary sensible punter do so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on February 22, 2016, 10:12:31 PM
Boris suggests that Britain should leave because the British Empire used to rule the world! A compelling argument Boris, though a tad dated!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 23, 2016, 09:35:45 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 22, 2016, 09:51:55 PM
I may be alone, but I see a comfortable 'win' for the In side in this one. There's too much uncertainty for the UK if they leave. I would love to see Cameron taken down a peg or two, but I hope his 'In' side come out on top of this one.

You are not alone Farrandeelin!  This will be a long campaign but ultimately it will come down to the unknown vs the known or change vs the status quo.  People don't like change.  It will be odd to see a lot of Tories and Brexiters making the exact opposite arguments that they did during the Scottish Ref campaign.  Remember when one of the big issues was that an independent Scotland would not be able to be a member of the EU??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on February 23, 2016, 10:24:05 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 22, 2016, 09:51:55 PM
I may be alone, but I see a comfortable 'win' for the In side in this one. There's too much uncertainty for the UK if they leave. I would love to see Cameron taken down a peg or two, but I hope his 'In' side come out on top of this one.
Don't under estimate the average Brit's belief that they still rule the waves and can go it alone, just listen to SuperBrit Dawdsey.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 23, 2016, 10:25:41 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on February 23, 2016, 10:24:05 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 22, 2016, 09:51:55 PM
I may be alone, but I see a comfortable 'win' for the In side in this one. There's too much uncertainty for the UK if they leave. I would love to see Cameron taken down a peg or two, but I hope his 'In' side come out on top of this one.
Don't under estimate the average Brit's belief that they still rule the waves and can go it alone, just listen to SuperBrit Dawdsey.

Nah it's just like the Scottish independence thing... they don't know what will happen if they leave the EU so they won't.

Already a number of big corportations have come out and said they may have to move should the UK leave which already puts fear into most minds. I can't see any way it happens!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 06, 2016, 12:31:50 AM
I see the UU have come down for "Remain", which is an unusual piece of leadership from them. It shows the DUP up for the bigots that they are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 06, 2016, 12:42:39 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 06, 2016, 12:31:50 AM
I see the UU have come down for "Remain", which is an unusual piece of leadership from them. It shows the DUP up for the bigots that they are.

About time there was something to separate those two parties. The only way back into business for the UUP is to move to the centre and stop trying to out-DUP the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 06, 2016, 05:26:58 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 06, 2016, 12:31:50 AM
I see the UU have come down for "Remain", which is an unusual piece of leadership from them. It shows the DUP up for the bigots that they are.
It would be gas if Cameron expelled NI from the UK for consorting with the enemy during the Brexit pantomime. All those murals about crown and Loyalism and when it comes to a big decision the DUP sides with the morons.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 12, 2016, 03:08:24 PM
Marty has now called for a United Ireland poll in the event of Brexit. Given that NI is likely to be well against and given that Scotland will be calling for referendums in the event of Brexit, this is good timing. It does vindicate Nesbitt, who argues that remain is more stable for NI in the UK rather than the DUP bigots who just want to stir trouble.

There are a number of strange things here. SF are supporting remain, although leave might bring about a UI poll. The UU are supporting remain on the basis that a Brexit might encourage a border poll or Scottish referendum, but of course if NI clearly voted for Brexit and Brexit occurred then there wouldn't be much case for a poll. The DUP support leave to try and enhance the border, but of course Brexit followed by any UI poll would require clarification of the post EU nature of north-south cooperation and probably more All Ireland bodies.

I doubt Brexit will pass, a outers shout loudly but people in Britain will vote quietly for the status quo. But it would be interesting if England was 50.1% to leave, but NI, Scotland and Wales only 30% to leave, so keeping them in! 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on March 12, 2016, 03:57:46 PM
In fairness it's the Paisleyite wing of the DUP only that wants a Brexit,Arlene doesn't but probably reckons it won't happen anyway so to keep the party together they are very softly in favour of a Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on March 12, 2016, 03:59:10 PM
And I doubt if Bremain is truly Sinn Fein's preferred option either,long term
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 12, 2016, 04:06:23 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on March 12, 2016, 03:57:46 PM
In fairness it's the Paisleyite wing of the DUP only that wants a Brexit,Arlene doesn't but probably reckons it won't happen anyway so to keep the party together they are very softly in favour of a Brexit

The woman should show some leadership, Fermanagh has most to lose from this bollix.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on March 12, 2016, 04:27:59 PM
All about keeping the party together and clipping wings of TUV.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 12, 2016, 04:40:51 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on March 12, 2016, 04:27:59 PM
All about keeping the party together and clipping wings of TUV.

She is First Minister, she should have some concern for NI and not just trying to outbigot a shower of poisoned lunatics.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on March 13, 2016, 01:24:39 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 12, 2016, 04:40:51 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on March 12, 2016, 04:27:59 PM
All about keeping the party together and clipping wings of TUV.

She is First Minister, she should have some concern for NI and not just trying to outbigot a shower of poisoned lunatics.

This is NI, where logical thought is not only sparsely found but outrightly persecuted. The only thing I find astonishing about Ni politics anymore is that rational people like yourself are still astonished by the pure Neanderthal nature of it.

I seriously believe NI is as certifiably insane as American politics has become, I mean you can draw endless parallels. The only difference is that the states are powerful enough to implement the lunacy they peddle and the north isn't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on March 13, 2016, 02:44:42 PM
As I have said,my experience away from cameras,politicians work very well together.

While in favour of these islands remaining in the EU,the Brexit side does talk a lot of sense in terms of migrants (in the part of Portadown where I used to live,there was a murder last weekend and the whole area is a migrant ghetto,the money poured in etc,and I doubt if the EU gravy train will last much longer for Ireland as handouts are switched to Eastern Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 13, 2016, 05:48:53 PM
Portadown has always been a migrant ghetto and there have been many murders there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 13, 2016, 11:00:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 13, 2016, 05:48:53 PM
Portadown has always been a migrant ghetto and there have been many murders there.
Portadown has awful karma. I never felt the same in any other town
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on April 26, 2016, 12:00:12 AM
but what has the European Convention on Human Rights ever done for us?


http://www.theguardian.com/culture/video/2016/apr/25/patrick-stewart-sketch-what-has-the-echr-ever-done-for-us-video
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on April 26, 2016, 12:42:29 AM
In my opinion (which by the way, I rate very highly) you need to have a degree in economics to really understand the full pros and cons of Britain leaving the European Union. You need to be able to assimilate all of the available information and block out the soothsayers and those with hidden agendas.

And that is why I think the Politicians should have made the decision, not the public. The latter can decide on things like gay marriage or abortion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on April 26, 2016, 08:17:17 AM
Remain were 7/8pts ahead in Polls before Obama put the boot the into the Brexiteers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 26, 2016, 10:01:26 AM
I think Brexit is the wrong answer to the failure of the system to deliver decent jobs to ordinary Brits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on April 26, 2016, 10:05:38 AM
Quote from: seafoid on April 26, 2016, 10:01:26 AM
I think Brexit is the wrong answer to the failure of the system to deliver decent jobs to ordinary Brits.

It is the wrong answer and thank f**k the remain have pulled ahead and the exchange rate is starting to get back to a decent level!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on April 26, 2016, 01:26:57 PM
Amusing watching the Brexiteers whining about Government tactics, the exact same tactics were employed to successfully scare the Scots, guessing they thought the tactics were spiffing back then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on May 09, 2016, 05:33:30 PM
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/brexit-could-trigger-world-war-7928607 (http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/brexit-could-trigger-world-war-7928607)

World War no less!

By the time of the vote I am guessing we could have the First Milky Way War just around the corner. I never trusted those Andromedáns.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 09, 2016, 05:45:33 PM
Saw a poll today having it at 42 stay, 40 Leave, with a significant don't know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on May 09, 2016, 06:58:36 PM
Brits Out!

That should've been the slogan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 09, 2016, 07:08:56 PM
Brits out. Keep Kilburn Irish.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 10, 2016, 05:13:12 PM
Jesus... havent really been following this... i thought it was a foregone conclusion, but it is starting to look like a genuine possibility.

From the few stories I have looked at, it looks like Cameron and Stay are under a serious bit of pressure? Is that a fair assessment?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on May 10, 2016, 05:20:43 PM
Yep, it's a coin toss at the moment Joe. And the dilemma for the Stay campaign is that the more establishment types they wheel out to talk about the dangers of leaving, the more it paints the Leave guys as an insurgency - and as Trump and Bernie have proved already this year, plus Le Pen in France, insurgencies are in. I'd think it is going to be a narrow Stay win, narrow enough that the question isn't closed, a la Scotland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 10, 2016, 06:23:53 PM
Would be some craic if they left  ;D...tho there would have to be some sort of deal struck with Brussels both long and short term so I would say it would wouldnt actually work out that much different in reality.

Has the Glory of the British Empire, Rule Britannia and all that shite will be rolled out yet? That BS appeals to alot of ordinary English people so I would say there is a good chance youll be hearing it soon enough.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 15, 2016, 07:54:10 PM
The end for the Brexiteers?

EU Referendum: Boris Johnson compares EU's aims to Hitler's - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36295208
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 15, 2016, 09:36:17 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 10, 2016, 06:23:53 PM
Would be some craic if they left  ;D...tho there would have to be some sort of deal struck with Brussels both long and short term so I would say it would wouldnt actually work out that much different in reality.

I think it is dangerous and might not be craic at all. They claim that a deal will be done not much different, but presumably they want some difference or what is the point of leaving ? Such a thing will be destabilising on this island, but may affect California less.

Quote from: bennydorano on May 15, 2016, 07:54:10 PM
The end for the Brexiteers?

EU Referendum: Boris Johnson compares EU's aims to Hitler's - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36295208

you would think it would, but the whole thing isn't quite rational.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on May 15, 2016, 09:39:19 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 15, 2016, 07:54:10 PM
The end for the Brexiteers?

EU Referendum: Boris Johnson compares EU's aims to Hitler's - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36295208

Johnson is a buffoon, the stereotypical little Englander. Stay is still a strong favourite but I can see the gap narrowing and stay getting ultimately about 55-60% of the vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on May 15, 2016, 10:52:13 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on May 15, 2016, 09:39:19 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 15, 2016, 07:54:10 PM
The end for the Brexiteers?

EU Referendum: Boris Johnson compares EU's aims to Hitler's - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36295208

Johnson is a buffoon, the stereotypical little Englander. Stay is still a strong favourite but I can see the gap narrowing and stay getting ultimately about 55-60% of the vote.

Yes he's a buffoon. That's why he's leading the Brexit side. He's a patsy, just like Trump in America. Boris is fully aware of what his role is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 16, 2016, 05:50:34 AM
Dont worry armaghniac I'm sure life will go on just like it did after partition, the fall of the British empire, the Iron Curtain and god knows what other political upheavals over the years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 16, 2016, 05:59:53 AM
I love the way politics can never actually deal with facts without a diversion of some kind... the EU, Hitler and Napolean where/are trying to do the something similar, politically at least.

However on the one hand its not wrong just because Hitler tried it, and not impossible just because it has never been done before.

On the other hand comparing it to Hitler does not mean that he saying the EU are gonna kill 6million Jews.

So what Im trying to say is his article is irrelvant to the debate, but sure this is politics and comparisons to the Nazis will either win people over or turn them off. Would say it will win a fair few of them over TBH.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 16, 2016, 06:02:02 AM
Where's deiseach on this? he usually has some good insights into the middle English menataliy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 26, 2016, 11:25:05 AM
Nordies say "No" to Brexit.
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/eu-referendum/eu-referendum-northern-ireland-says-no-to-brexit-34747509.html

The highest levels of support for Brexit were in Tyrone.

(http://cdn-02.independent.ie/incoming/article34748164.ece/3b459/AUTOCROP/w620/eu3.jpg%5Bimg%5D)[/img]
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 07, 2016, 01:05:42 AM
Last day to register, Irish persons in Britain and people who were on the 6 counties roll in the last 15 years included.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 07, 2016, 04:10:34 AM
Lets get the f**kers out once and for all
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 07, 2016, 10:52:08 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on June 07, 2016, 04:10:34 AM
Lets get the f**kers out once and for all

Not funny.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on June 07, 2016, 11:18:49 AM
Getting closer.9/2 on Skybet a few weeks ago now a Brexit is 2/1 and 4/9 remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 07, 2016, 02:42:46 PM
The EU Polls section on the BBC News is very interesting, you can check the polls by polling companies. Some of the disparities are huge, remain +13 ahead down to Leave +1. Someone's obviously wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 07, 2016, 07:02:40 PM
Going by the last GE, all of them are wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on June 07, 2016, 09:13:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 07, 2016, 02:42:46 PM
The EU Polls section on the BBC News is very interesting, you can check the polls by polling companies. Some of the disparities are huge, remain +13 ahead down to Leave +1. Someone's obviously wrong.

Political Opinion polling is going to have to look at itself. Getting a lot wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 08, 2016, 10:16:12 AM
Quote from: ashman on June 07, 2016, 09:13:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 07, 2016, 02:42:46 PM
The EU Polls section on the BBC News is very interesting, you can check the polls by polling companies. Some of the disparities are huge, remain +13 ahead down to Leave +1. Someone's obviously wrong.

Political Opinion polling is going to have to look at itself. Getting a lot wrong.


Yep. Agree. Lifestyle changes, different ways of communicating, the internet, mobile phones,  economic effects on different demographics, property price rises/ crashes affecting people differently, voter indifference, commuting distances etc etc making it very difficult to get a proper snapshot of voters' intentions.

If they keep getting it wrong, they will just go out of business as no one will commission and pay for the polls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: stew on June 08, 2016, 11:53:20 AM
They are going nowhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fiodoir Ard Mhacha on June 08, 2016, 12:05:59 PM
Nigel 'Farridge' getting some backlash following the ITV debate when he belligerently told a woman to 'calm down' over the 'more migrants  - more sex attacks' claim.  Odious little Englander.  Let's hope the Brexiters' train comes off the rails in the next two weeks.


"Calls have been made for Nigel Farage to apologise for his sex attack comments, after he suggested women could be at risk from migrants if Britain stays in the EU.

Peers Sayeeda Warsi and Doreen Lawrence, along with Shami Chakrabarti, who chairs Labour's anti semitism inquiry, have written a letter to the Guardian attacking the Ukip leader.

Condemning his comments, the letter reads: "Spreading fear in this way is an age-old racist tool designed to stoke division about the latest group of immigrants arriving in Britain."

Referencing allegations that hundreds of women were groped and intimidated at Cologne central station on New Year's Eve, over the weekend Mr Farage claimed there were some "very big cultural issues".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 08, 2016, 01:33:36 PM
The biggest weapon that the remain side have is the fact that so many odious characters like Nigel Farage, Donald Trump and Boris Johnson have been to the forefront for the 'leave' side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 08, 2016, 02:01:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 08, 2016, 01:33:36 PM
The biggest weapon that the remain side have is the fact that so many odious characters like Nigel Farage, Donald Trump and Boris Johnson have been to the forefront for the 'leave' side.
If them plus the DUP and archbigot Allister are in favour of something..... it's obviously a bad thing ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on June 08, 2016, 07:43:01 PM
I see David Williams at a debate in St Mary's College Belfast last night predicted a small majority win for the Brexit camp.He's usually correct.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 10, 2016, 11:32:18 AM
Where are the NI nationalist parties on this? Blair and Major made a good effort, the Irish government have spoke out, but what are the SDLP and SF doing? Are they so useless that they cannot manage to speak out in defence of the Good Friday agreement? If anything the UU have been more use. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fiodoir Ard Mhacha on June 10, 2016, 11:54:02 AM
If only we had a credible Irish politician to speak to those disaffected Irish citizens who have a vote in this, are living in Britain and are considering a Leave vote.  If it's a vote on immigrants (which it appears to be at its lowest tabloid level), then they are immigrants too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 10, 2016, 12:02:11 PM
Quote from: Fiodoir Ard Mhacha on June 10, 2016, 11:54:02 AM
If only we had a credible Irish politician to speak to those disaffected Irish citizens who have a vote in this, are living in Britain and are considering a Leave vote.  If it's a vote on immigrants (which it appears to be at its lowest tabloid level), then they are immigrants too.

If they are like that lube in the Mayo jersey interviewed on TV last week, they reckon that the fewer immigrants from the continent "taking people's jobs" the more there will be for Irish people!! They don't care what happens in Ireland as a consequence, despite the jersey wearing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on June 13, 2016, 10:09:16 AM
guys,
this could be tight enough,
I have a fair few English clients who just see Europe as a gravy train sucking all initiative out of UK.
they lament the increased faceless regulation, immigration( and these guys wouldn`t be classed as right wing) and the costs

was shocked because they are nearly all pressing for exit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on June 13, 2016, 10:23:26 AM
Quote from: naka on June 13, 2016, 10:09:16 AM
guys,
this could be tight enough,
I have a fair few English clients who just see Europe The Sick Counties as a gravy train sucking all initiative out of UK GB.
they lament the increased faceless regulation, immigration (and these guys wouldn`t be classed as right wing) and the costs

was shocked because they are nearly all pressing for exit

Is the above edit any better?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 13, 2016, 11:41:29 AM
Quote from: naka on June 13, 2016, 10:09:16 AM
guys,
this could be tight enough,

Very tight.

QuoteI have a fair few English clients who just see Europe as a gravy train sucking all initiative out of UK.
they lament the increased faceless regulation, immigration( and these guys wouldn`t be classed as right wing) and the costs

was shocked because they are nearly all pressing for exit

This is a largely bollix of course. The UK government is itself very keen on regulation, but they blame the EU for it. There has been more non-EU immigrants, who haven't integrated in many cases. Ireland has had a similar amount of EU immigration, but the EU immigrants are not seen as so a huge problem as they have spread throughout the country and mixed with the people, not formed into ghettos. As for the cost, it is about the same as 6 counties as Orior noted . Nowadays this money largely goes to eastern Europe, which needs some assistance after 45 years of Soviet occupation., the end of which was a core tenet of British foreign policy.

This is largely a fact free debate, which isn't encouraging.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 13, 2016, 12:15:07 PM
The debate is largely misinformed and mostly emotional.
Brexit is pointless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 13, 2016, 12:20:45 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 13, 2016, 12:15:07 PM
The debate is largely misinformed and mostly emotional.
Brexit is pointless.

Indeed! Gove says his Father's fishing business went under because of the EU. . . no mention of the fact that the fish would have fuicking disappeared due to overfishing were it not for the EU stepping in!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on June 13, 2016, 12:35:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 13, 2016, 12:15:07 PM
The debate is largely misinformed and mostly emotional.
Brexit is pointless.
it might be emotional but the leave campaigners are winning the shouting match
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on June 13, 2016, 07:38:07 PM
1/2 Stay 13/8 Leave.Shortest price on the leave outcome I've seen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 13, 2016, 08:34:58 PM
Since any rational objection is "scaremongering" it is hard for Remain to address the rot. It may well come down to turnout. It is important for the 6 counties and Scotland to get a different voice in there, this might swing it, but even if it does not it makes a point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on June 13, 2016, 10:26:03 PM
Surely those chasing the United Ireland pipe dream should be in the Brexit camp and the inevitable break up of the UK such an outcome would precipitate? Then again it seems to be OK to cede sovereignty to the EU but not the Brits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 13, 2016, 10:29:21 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on June 13, 2016, 10:26:03 PM
Surely those chasing the United Ireland pipe dream should be in the Brexit camp and the inevitable break up of the UK such an outcome would precipitate? Then again it seems to be OK to cede sovereignty to the EU but not the Brits.

I think the SNP are hoping for a Brexit more than northern nationalists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 13, 2016, 11:01:05 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 13, 2016, 10:29:21 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on June 13, 2016, 10:26:03 PM
Surely those chasing the United Ireland pipe dream should be in the Brexit camp and the inevitable break up of the UK such an outcome would precipitate? Then again it seems to be OK to cede sovereignty to the EU but not the Brits.

I think the SNP are hoping for a Brexit more than northern nationalists.

It's a funny one alright. Scotland will more than likely vote to remain, but I'd say in the back of the SNP's minds they will hope for a Brexit. The situation is unclear with nationalists here. If there is a Brexit and the border controls come back, that would mean hassle for a lot of people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 13, 2016, 11:02:55 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on June 13, 2016, 10:26:03 PM
Surely those chasing the United Ireland pipe dream should be in the Brexit camp and the inevitable break up of the UK such an outcome would precipitate? Then again it seems to be OK to cede sovereignty to the EU but not the Brits.

There is a difference between sharing a house and having a landlord who stole your house and turned you into a tenant.

Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 13, 2016, 10:29:21 PM
I think the SNP are hoping for a Brexit more than northern nationalists.

If any northern nationalist is hoping for a Brexit then they haven't thought about it.
The SNP have done the work of (largely) establishing how an independent Scotland would work and the ground work to make it possible. NI nationalists have done none of this.

Probably the "best" outcome would be a close result, where Scotland and NI were material to the result and the differences between them and England were made clear, without any precipitate action.

Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 13, 2016, 11:01:05 PM
It's a funny one alright. Scotland will more than likely vote to remain, but I'd say in the back of the SNP's minds they will hope for a Brexit. The situation is unclear with nationalists here. If there is a Brexit and the border controls come back, that would mean hassle for a lot of people.

As above, what the SNP needs to a good gap between Scotland and England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 07:07:29 AM
Good news, we can all vote them out now safe in the knowledge that it will help the Irish economy.

http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0614/795400-brexit-esri-corporation-tax/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 07:37:51 AM
If Carson and Craig could return now what would they make of NI? The protestant industries all collapsed. Dublin is far bigger and far wealthier than Belfast. The bigotry blew up in 1969 and is still hurting economically. England lost the Empire. The British economy is a mess.
Politics are subject to macro.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on June 14, 2016, 08:31:11 AM
It's amazing how the dup are pushing for it knowing it could break the union.( with the scots pulling out) although the economic argument for independence isn't as strong now that oil has crashed.
The shinners I believe fear  be exit and border controls minimal or otherwise because it really copper fastens the idea of two separate countries .
The next few days will be good craic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 14, 2016, 08:56:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 07:37:51 AM
If Carson and Craig could return now what would they make of NI? The protestant industries all collapsed. Dublin is far bigger and far wealthier than Belfast. The bigotry blew up in 1969 and is still hurting economically. England lost the Empire. The British economy is a mess.
Politics are subject to macro.

Is it really?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 09:08:12 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 14, 2016, 08:56:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 07:37:51 AM
If Carson and Craig could return now what would they make of NI? The protestant industries all collapsed. Dublin is far bigger and far wealthier than Belfast. The bigotry blew up in 1969 and is still hurting economically. England lost the Empire. The British economy is a mess.
Politics are subject to macro.

Is it really?
7% trade deficit is exports more valuable than imports
5% budget deficit ie spending higher than taxes
Massive housing bubble
North of England poorer than any region in Ireland
Risible economic growth
No growth driver
Falling productivity

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tN9EC3Gy6Nk

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 09:34:53 AM
Brexit has gained huge momentum in the last week and it is looking like it is possible now. Another odious character Rupert Murdoch has now come out in favour of it and he has a track record of backing the winner in elections dating back to the 1970's. I never thought it was possible up until now largely due to the fact that we are somewhat sheltered over here from general public opinion in the main population centres, but it's certainly time to start taking the Brexit side serious as it now looks like a distinct possibility.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 09:55:33 AM
Quote from: naka on June 14, 2016, 08:31:11 AM
It's amazing how the dup are pushing for it knowing it could break the union.( with the scots pulling out) although the economic argument for independence isn't as strong now that oil has crashed.

The DUP are poorly led, Robinson would not have done come out in favour of Brexit, or indeed Paisley. Foster represents Fermanagh, a place largely dependent on agriculture and cross border trade, yet she cannot manage to represent her own constituency. Just as Cameron was driven to this by UKIP, the DUP just took the policy of the TUV. Hopefully some people who might have voted DUP, farmers and the like, will either vote against or will be too busy on the day to get to vote.
The UU have managed a nuanced view, so we are back to the Good Friday Agreement  situation of the DUP trying to keep the place in turmoil. Unfortunately some half baked "nationalists" will vote against while others won't get off their arse. Let's hope the middle of the road folk who don't always vote make an effort.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 10:05:03 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

Because the EU has provided an invaluable non controversial mechanism for coordinating the island of Ireland and improving the economy in the 6 counties.

You could take the view that  restoring customs etc would emphasise the need for a united Ireland, but since the work to design a UI has not been done and we lack politicians capable of doing this then it would simply restart violence.

As I said, a strong remain vote contrasted with a leave in England sends a strong message that we are not England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:10:30 AM
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/399e4056-2e3a-11e6-a18d-a96ab29e3c95.html



June 9, 2016 7:36 pm

Northern Ireland cannot afford a British EU exit


Reimposition of a north-south border threatens the peace process


Britain's EU referendum campaign is dominated by arguments over the economy and migration. But the outcome will also have significant consequences for the unity of the United Kingdom. Here, much of the political debate is focused on the implications for Scottish independence and the well-founded fear that a vote to leave could trigger a second referendum.

Too little attention is paid to the threat Brexit poses to stability in Northern Ireland. Nearly two decades after the signing of the Good Friday agreement, the Northern Ireland peace process stands as a remarkable, if fragile, political achievement.





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In the decades before the 1998 pact, some 3,600 people were murdered in sectarian violence. Today, the province enjoys a calm and prosperity that would have once been unimaginable, an accomplishment for which two former British prime ministers, John Major and Tony Blair, deserve much credit. As both declared on a visit to the province on Thursday, Brexit would put the settlement at risk.

The UK's departure from the EU would bring back a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic, an EU member state. Since the Good Friday agreement, the old dividing line imposed at Irish partition in 1922 has virtually disappeared. The free movement of people and goods between north and south is a powerful symbol of how the communities of Ireland are now at ease with each other.

If Britain votes to leave, the 310-mile border will become the UK's sole land frontier with the EU. Immigration controls would have to be reimposed to prevent EU nationals from entering the UK through a "back door" route.

The EU would have to apply customs controls on the UK, which would almost certainly have to leave the single market.

The Leave campaign downplays the consequences, insisting that a common travel area would remain safely in place. Given that one of the campaign's main slogans is "take back control of our borders", this reassurance cannot be taken seriously.

The return of a hard frontier between north and south could be a significant setback for the peace process. The fraught debate over Irish unity would rear its head again, giving voice to the hardliners among unionists and republicans.




How accurate are the Brexit polls?

File photo dated 02/06/16 of a polling card and voting guide for the 2016 EU referendum, as new figures show that the referendum could end as a dead heat between Remain and Leave if the difference in turnout between young and old voters mirrors the 2015 general election. PRESS ASSOCIATION Photo. Issue date: Tuesday June 7, 2016. The findings come as time is running out for people to register to vote in the referendum, with the deadline for applications 11.59pm tonight. See PA story POLITICS EU Turnout. Photo credit should read: Yui Mok/PA Wire

After failing to predict the 2015 election, the polling industry still has questions to resolve

The imposition of customs controls would inflict economic harm. The unhampered flow of goods between north and south, worth about €3bn a year, has benefited both sides. Undermining the trade would be especially damaging for Northern Ireland since the Republic is its biggest trading partner. It would also set back the economic convergence between north and south that has underpinned the peace.

The EU has been the vessel through which many of Europe's nations have resolved their longstanding enmities. This applies particularly to Britain and Ireland. When Belfast was consumed by the "Troubles" in the 1970s, politicians in London and Dublin barely knew each other. Ireland was not in Nato or the Commonwealth.

The common forum for both states became Brussels, where the two countries have joined hands over many policy issues. It is a setting which has fostered a climate of trust and respect.

In Britain's raucous referendum debate, the future of the province will make few headlines. But that should not detract from what is at stake. Northern Ireland is one of the few examples of a peaceful resolution to what seemed an intractable sectarian conflict. Reimposing a border on the island of Ireland is an immense price to pay for Britain to leave the EU.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:16:53 AM
Why does the DUP support Brexit? Does anyone in the DUP understand how the real world works ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on June 14, 2016, 11:25:29 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 14, 2016, 11:23:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:16:53 AM
Why does the DUP support Brexit? Does anyone in the DUP understand how the real world works ?

Because they think Brexit will lead to greater separation between NI and RoI and they think that will play well with their base suport

Their argument that  Brexit will not have a negative impact on cross border trade or movement is farcical.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:55:16 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 14, 2016, 11:23:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:16:53 AM
Why does the DUP support Brexit? Does anyone in the DUP understand how the real world works ?

Because they think Brexit will lead to greater separation between NI and RoI and they think that will play well with their base suport
who will.lose money
And the UK might break up

Cutting off NI's nose to spite its face
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 14, 2016, 11:57:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:55:16 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 14, 2016, 11:23:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:16:53 AM
Why does the DUP support Brexit? Does anyone in the DUP understand how the real world works ?

Because they think Brexit will lead to greater separation between NI and RoI and they think that will play well with their base suport
who will.lose money
And the UK might break up

Cutting off NI's nose to spite its face

Or even more likely nothing will happen at all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 14, 2016, 12:03:08 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:16:53 AM
does anyone in the DUP understand how the real world works ?

They do - once it's the 17th century world. :(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 14, 2016, 12:18:25 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 14, 2016, 11:23:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:16:53 AM
Why does the DUP support Brexit? Does anyone in the DUP understand how the real world works ?

Because they think Brexit will lead to greater separation between NI and RoI and they think that will play well with their base suport
Unionists also tend to vote with their gut and see everything in black and white. Thats why they will vote Brexit at heart the are British Nationalists and intrinisically xenophobic  and economics doesn't come in to it. Forster is one of the worst examples of this type of unionism, First Minister for al my a**e.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 14, 2016, 12:28:31 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 14, 2016, 12:18:25 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 14, 2016, 11:23:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:16:53 AM
Why does the DUP support Brexit? Does anyone in the DUP understand how the real world works ?

Because they think Brexit will lead to greater separation between NI and RoI and they think that will play well with their base suport
Unionists also tend to vote with their gut and see everything in black and white. Thats why they will vote Brexit at heart the are British Nationalists and intrinisically xenophobic  and economics doesn't come in to it. Forster is one of the worst examples of this type of unionism, First Minister for al my a**e.

Yeah they see it as pulling away from the Republic which should strengthen them... I doubt it.

In reality a fair chunk of the North will vote to stay in expecially Nationalists and a fair chunk of Unionism, I can't see the Farmer's foregoing their single farm payment.

I still expect the status quo to hold although it will be very very close!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 14, 2016, 02:22:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 14, 2016, 12:28:31 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 14, 2016, 12:18:25 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 14, 2016, 11:23:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 11:16:53 AM
Why does the DUP support Brexit? Does anyone in the DUP understand how the real world works ?

Because they think Brexit will lead to greater separation between NI and RoI and they think that will play well with their base suport
Unionists also tend to vote with their gut and see everything in black and white. Thats why they will vote Brexit at heart the are British Nationalists and intrinisically xenophobic  and economics doesn't come in to it. Forster is one of the worst examples of this type of unionism, First Minister for al my a**e.

Yeah they see it as pulling away from the Republic which should strengthen them... I doubt it.

In reality a fair chunk of the North will vote to stay in expecially Nationalists and a fair chunk of Unionism, I can't see the Farmer's foregoing their single farm payment.

I still expect the status quo to hold although it will be very very close!

Little matter of geography they may be overlooking.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 14, 2016, 02:36:54 PM
This needs a poll. I think the north will be clear majority voting to remain but appears to be tighter across the water. After recent elections and Scottish independence vote I'm ignoring the fact that polls have Leave ahead. I still think Remain will win fairly comfortably.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on June 14, 2016, 03:04:19 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on June 14, 2016, 02:36:54 PM
This needs a poll. I think the north will be clear majority voting to remain but appears to be tighter across the water. After recent elections and Scottish independence vote I'm ignoring the fact that polls have Leave ahead. I still think Remain will win fairly comfortably.

I agree , but the trouble is, the northern vote is of little significance in the scheme of things due to our population.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 03:11:28 PM
Quote from: blewuporstuffed on June 14, 2016, 03:04:19 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on June 14, 2016, 02:36:54 PM
This needs a poll. I think the north will be clear majority voting to remain but appears to be tighter across the water. After recent elections and Scottish independence vote I'm ignoring the fact that polls have Leave ahead. I still think Remain will win fairly comfortably.

I agree , but the trouble is, the northern vote is of little significance in the scheme of things due to our population.

However, many of the polls haven't included NI nor overseas citizens with a postal vote and a lot of these have registered. These together amount to 5% of the electorate and are likely to be in the 65-70%  region for Remain. So GB could be 51% for Leave and the offshore element would make it 49.9%! That would be fine with me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 14, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.

This line speaks volumes.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 04:14:39 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 14, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.

This line speaks volumes.

Voting on the basis of the character of a cause's supporters as opposed to the actual cause itself?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on June 14, 2016, 04:18:45 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 04:14:39 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 14, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.

This line speaks volumes.

Voting on the basis of the character of a cause's supporters as opposed to the actual cause itself?

There are worse ideas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 14, 2016, 04:29:42 PM
Quote from: gallsman on June 14, 2016, 04:18:45 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 04:14:39 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 14, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.

This line speaks volumes.

Voting on the basis of the character of a cause's supporters as opposed to the actual cause itself?

There are worse ideas.
Indeed. When you see the line - up above you don't need to read a manifesto.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 14, 2016, 04:33:07 PM
I frankly don't know what a Brexit will mean for me personally or for NI. I am not convinced by the benefits that the Leave campaign espouse. I suppose in the round I don't want to take the risk. I don't want to see border controls at Newry and Strabane. The most cogent argument I heard was from an economist who stated that the trade deal the British would get as a single economy with China, India etc... would not be as good as the EU. The Norwegian situation where they have to pay into the EU and adopt regulations to be able to trade whilst not having the say that Britain has as a major power has never been addressed by leave campaigners. I don't believe either that the UK treasury will merrily hand over the cash to farmers that the EU does.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on June 14, 2016, 04:33:58 PM
Momentum with Brexit side.No one in England uses their brains when it comes to this election.Labour voters not enthused by agreeing with Cameron and Labour Party itself scared after damage done to it by supporting stay camp in Scottish referendum.Those who wish to vote out highly motivated unlike those who wish to stay.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on June 14, 2016, 04:38:06 PM
It would be amusing if England voted out but Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland gave Remain the majority. Maybe they could kick England out of the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on June 14, 2016, 04:43:28 PM
Even DUP MPs have admitted to me privately that NI isn't on the radar at Westminster.I think the Brexit campaign will get the vote out and even French Police beating the crap out of their hooligans strengthens the case for the brain dead to vote out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 05:21:59 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on June 14, 2016, 04:43:28 PM
Even DUP MPs have admitted to me privately that NI isn't on the radar at Westminster.

I suspect some of the more sane DUP people reckoned this was just a bit of harmless bigotry and that the Remain would win, and are now slightly apprehensive of getting what they asked for. 


QuoteI think the Brexit campaign will get the vote out and even French Police beating the crap out of their hooligans strengthens the case for the brain dead to vote out

With the vote next week they may be able to close the border and leave the hooligans there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 05:43:20 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 04:14:39 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 14, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.

This line speaks volumes.

Voting on the basis of the character of a cause's supporters as opposed to the actual cause itself?

What these people represent is by and large totally at odds with my own views and hence that's why I dislike them in the first place.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 06:10:59 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 14, 2016, 04:33:07 PM
I frankly don't know what a Brexit will mean for me personally or for NI. I am not convinced by the benefits that the Leave campaign espouse. I suppose in the round I don't want to take the risk. I don't want to see border controls at Newry and Strabane. The most cogent argument I heard was from an economist who stated that the trade deal the British would get as a single economy with China, India etc... would not be as good as the EU. The Norwegian situation where they have to pay into the EU and adopt regulations to be able to trade whilst not having the say that Britain has as a major power has never been addressed by leave campaigners. I don't believe either that the UK treasury will merrily hand over the cash to farmers that the EU does.
regions will be neglected if brexit wins . Cornwall gets Euro funding that London would never fund
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on June 14, 2016, 06:29:57 PM
Latest odds. 4/6 remain 5/4 leave.I'd expect the Leave camp to be odds on favourites shortly
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 14, 2016, 07:09:23 PM
Will you then start your " northernirish" party and agitate for independence Tony?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 07:27:21 PM
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/14/brexit-will-hurt-your-city-labour-tells-core-voters-but-no-ones-listening
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 14, 2016, 07:28:09 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on June 14, 2016, 04:33:58 PM
Momentum with Brexit side.No one in England uses their brains when it comes to this election.Labour voters not enthused by agreeing with Cameron and Labour Party itself scared after damage done to it by supporting stay camp in Scottish referendum.Those who wish to vote out highly motivated unlike those who wish to stay.
there was a big surge for no in the scottish referendum in the last day
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 14, 2016, 08:10:25 PM
Have polls not been wrong in the general, Scottish referendum and the European elections recently??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 14, 2016, 08:29:34 PM
Until recently I was convinced of a comfortable Stay majority, but from speaking to a lot of people recently I've been very surprised at the animosity towards Turkey and the closer and nastier this vote gets the more (even more - to be accurate) the race / immigrants  issue will be front and centre. It's the Leave campaigns trump card and I would even reckon polls are underestimating  the strength of the Leave lead as people dont tell pollsters their racial prejudices but will vote accordingly in the privacy of a polling booth.

Corbyn really needs to get the finger out as well.  Worst leader ever of any political party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 14, 2016, 08:32:32 PM
Watching French police and Russian fans battering English fans might be having a negative effect on the very dim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 08:54:03 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 05:43:20 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 04:14:39 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 14, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.

This line speaks volumes.

Voting on the basis of the character of a cause's supporters as opposed to the actual cause itself?

What these people represent is by and large totally at odds with my own views and hence that's why I dislike them in the first place.

Thats fine and well but then do you just become opposed to everything they stand for just because its them?

I actually think a similar criteria being used by alot of brexiters....

Cameron and Osborne "toffs who have no idea what its like for he ordinary man"
Blair "War monger"
Cobyrn "Communist"
Brown "Scotch twat"

I think the reason is because no one actually knows what will really happen...In says it will be terrible, Out says it will be crap. But no one really actually knows for sure, so people just vote on their gut and personalities.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 08:57:50 PM
As a good example "in" says there will be financial turmoil from the uncertainty.

But then actually the ECB leaked this morning that they will shore up the markets on the Friday morning along with the BoE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 09:23:17 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 08:57:50 PM
As a good example "in" says there will be financial turmoil from the uncertainty.

But then actually the ECB leaked this morning that they will shore up the markets on the Friday morning along with the BoE

So what is the point here, there will be problems but the authorities won't ignore them but will try and do something?

In related news a lot of people will be shot in America, but the authorities will improve the ambulance service so they don't all die.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 14, 2016, 09:24:30 PM
The big problem is that there could be years of financial uncertainty for mortgages, investment, sterling, credit ratings, guaranteed recession. The immediate aftermath shouldn't be anything uncontainable.

Peoples biggest fear should be what the Tories unfettered by EU Regulations are capable of doing. Labour are probably a decade away from being electable again with their brightest prospect tied up in London for the forseeable future as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 09:27:17 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 14, 2016, 09:24:30 PM
The big problem is that there could be years of financial uncertainty for mortgages, investment, sterling, credit ratings, guaranteed recession. The immediate aftermath shouldn't be anything uncontainable.

It wouldn't necessarily be "big" stuff, just companies postponing an investment, delaying taking on staff, hesitating about the new office... All adding up to a slowdown until the dust clears.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 14, 2016, 11:00:30 PM
I can understand some of the ideological arguments for leaving the EU, including a reclaiming of national sovereignty, freedom from TTIP which looks like it might be forced through the EU, and a shift away from neo-liberal politics which the EU is championing. However, Switzerland and Norway have to adhere to pretty much all the legislation with virtually no input into the legislative process. Essentially, Brits will be leaving the table but still having to follow the adult's rules.

Leaving the EU will be an economic disaster, as the UK goes towards the back of the queue for trade deals, and the above problems (as regards EU legislation) could become even worse as Berlin dominates procedures even more so than it does at the minute. Plenty of large businesses have said they will relocate and I think that small ones will also feel the pinch.

I think that many nationalists (Scottish and Irish) that are lukewarm to the idea of a Brexit believe the old adage that 'England's difficulty is Ireland's (Scotland's) opportunity'. In Ireland, I think that many American multinationals will move to Dublin - we speak the same language as those Stateside, the culture is similar and the start of a working day in California is the end of it in Ireland, compared to an hour after it's finished in Paris or Dusseldorf. In Scotland, a UK out of the EU is bound to be more than enough to swing a future vote on Scottish independence to an out vote.

In the north, it all depends on whether you believe the British government and the English people have the stomach to impose a hard border between the 6 and 26 counties. I personally don't believe they do. I think the Tories - especially those in the Brexit camp - are more than willing to finally get rid of the north and its petty squabbles once and for all, especially with Scotland gone and it really is just England left in the mix. As someone said earlier in this thread (I think), border posts in South Armagh are followed quickly by the phrase 'sitting ducks'. In this case, the UK's external borders move to Holyhead and British airports, finally confirming the idea that the north is NOT part of Britain. Moderate unionists will also swing round to the idea of a united Ireland, especially when they look at a liberal, modern and (hopefully) prosperous south and compare it with the Little Englanders version of the UK.

In the event of a hard border being imposed (unlikely), I believe it will push a lot of Catholics who like the status quo back to nationalism, as they will bitterly resent being stopped and searched every time they want to cross the border, which for a lot of people, is multiple times a day if not a week. For example, from Newry to Clones, a car crosses the border 3 times each way if they go via Castleblayney.


However, I think it's all irrelevant. On polling day, anyone who is currently a 'don't know' - of whom there are a sizeable enough portion, will give in to the devil they do rather than the devil they don't, and vote to stay in the EU.


EDIT: I should probably also say that Scotland leaving the UK also leaves the unionists here with a bit of an identity crisis. They were so scared of it the last time, they even wanted voters in the north to get a vote. They call their accent 'Ulster Scots' rather than 'Ulster English'. Anything that weakens their arguments for unionism should be welcomed by nationalism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 11:52:20 PM
Unfortunately, it isn't clear that Scotland will move even if there is a Brexit. One problem with this is that it might throw the nature of arrangements between Scotland and England into confusion also and a giant customs station at Gretna does not make any more sense than one at Killeen, although it is probably less likely that someone will fire mortars at it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 14, 2016, 11:56:16 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 14, 2016, 11:00:30 PM
I can understand some of the ideological arguments for leaving the EU, including a reclaiming of national sovereignty, freedom from TTIP which looks like it might be forced through the EU, and a shift away from neo-liberal politics which the EU is championing. However, Switzerland and Norway have to adhere to pretty much all the legislation with virtually no input into the legislative process. Essentially, Brits will be leaving the table but still having to follow the adult's rules.

Leaving the EU will be an economic disaster, as the UK goes towards the back of the queue for trade deals, and the above problems (as regards EU legislation) could become even worse as Berlin dominates procedures even more so than it does at the minute. Plenty of large businesses have said they will relocate and I think that small ones will also feel the pinch.

I think that many nationalists (Scottish and Irish) that are lukewarm to the idea of a Brexit believe the old adage that 'England's difficulty is Ireland's (Scotland's) opportunity'. In Ireland, I think that many American multinationals will move to Dublin - we speak the same language as those Stateside, the culture is similar and the start of a working day in California is the end of it in Ireland, compared to an hour after it's finished in Paris or Dusseldorf. In Scotland, a UK out of the EU is bound to be more than enough to swing a future vote on Scottish independence to an out vote.

In the north, it all depends on whether you believe the British government and the English people have the stomach to impose a hard border between the 6 and 26 counties. I personally don't believe they do. I think the Tories - especially those in the Brexit camp - are more than willing to finally get rid of the north and its petty squabbles once and for all, especially with Scotland gone and it really is just England left in the mix. As someone said earlier in this thread (I think), border posts in South Armagh are followed quickly by the phrase 'sitting ducks'. In this case, the UK's external borders move to Holyhead and British airports, finally confirming the idea that the north is NOT part of Britain. Moderate unionists will also swing round to the idea of a united Ireland, especially when they look at a liberal, modern and (hopefully) prosperous south and compare it with the Little Englanders version of the UK.

In the event of a hard border being imposed (unlikely), I believe it will push a lot of Catholics who like the status quo back to nationalism, as they will bitterly resent being stopped and searched every time they want to cross the border, which for a lot of people, is multiple times a day if not a week. For example, from Newry to Clones, a car crosses the border 3 times each way if they go via Castleblayney.


However, I think it's all irrelevant. On polling day, anyone who is currently a 'don't know' - of whom there are a sizeable enough portion, will give in to the devil they do rather than the devil they don't, and vote to stay in the EU.


EDIT: I should probably also say that Scotland leaving the UK also leaves the unionists here with a bit of an identity crisis. They were so scared of it the last time, they even wanted voters in the north to get a vote. They call their accent 'Ulster Scots' rather than 'Ulster English'. Anything that weakens their arguments for unionism should be welcomed by nationalism.

What, like Foot & Mouth?

Only joking.

I like this:

QuoteEssentially, Brits will be leaving the table but still having to follow the adult's rules.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 15, 2016, 12:02:24 AM
They have a habit of sticking their foot in their mouth anyway.


Quote from: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 11:52:20 PM
Unfortunately, it isn't clear that Scotland will move even if there is a Brexit. One problem with this is that it might throw the nature of arrangements between Scotland and England into confusion also and a giant customs station at Gretna does not make any more sense than one at Killeen, although it is probably less likely that someone will fire mortars at it.

I think that Scots will definitely vote to leave in the event of a Brexit. If Britain wants some sort of free trade deal with the EU, they may have to succumb to free movement of citizens anyway which renders border posts redundant. Whether or not they will agree to that in four or five years depends on who is in power - left to see how big a mistake they've made, Labour could well be voted back in. Either way it just goes to show the sheer stupidity in voting for a Brexit. I dislike the EU but it's economic suicide to leave.

If the above outline (re; no border posts in Ireland, MNCs moving to Dublin etc) does come to pass, the best result for anyone that wants to see the breakup of the U.K. would be a Brexit with a heavy 'In' vote in the 6C and in Scotland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: longballin on June 15, 2016, 10:46:42 AM
I think the stay-in camp will pull a huge scare tactic out of the hat in the last day or two before the vote and people will be afraid to go through with it... similar to Scottish referendum. Anything The Sun, Farage and Borris support can't be good
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 15, 2016, 10:57:19 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 15, 2016, 12:02:24 AM
They have a habit of sticking their foot in their mouth anyway.


Quote from: armaghniac on June 14, 2016, 11:52:20 PM
Unfortunately, it isn't clear that Scotland will move even if there is a Brexit. One problem with this is that it might throw the nature of arrangements between Scotland and England into confusion also and a giant customs station at Gretna does not make any more sense than one at Killeen, although it is probably less likely that someone will fire mortars at it.

I think that Scots will definitely vote to leave in the event of a Brexit. If Britain wants some sort of free trade deal with the EU, they may have to succumb to free movement of citizens anyway which renders border posts redundant. Whether or not they will agree to that in four or five years depends on who is in power - left to see how big a mistake they've made, Labour could well be voted back in. Either way it just goes to show the sheer stupidity in voting for a Brexit. I dislike the EU but it's economic suicide to leave.

If the above outline (re; no border posts in Ireland, MNCs moving to Dublin etc) does come to pass, the best result for anyone that wants to see the breakup of the U.K. would be a Brexit with a heavy 'In' vote in the 6C and in Scotland.

Surely parliament has to grant them another referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: take_yer_points on June 15, 2016, 11:11:13 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 05:43:20 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 04:14:39 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 14, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.

This line speaks volumes.

Voting on the basis of the character of a cause's supporters as opposed to the actual cause itself?

What these people represent is by and large totally at odds with my own views and hence that's why I dislike them in the first place.

Saw this on facebook:


A good friend of mine came up with a great idea. If you don't have the time/inclination to find out all the facts about the EU referendum (I don't blame you) and are possibly unsure which way to vote, perhaps knowing how other notable people are thinking could help out.

Here are a few that strongly believe the UK should remain a member of the EU:

• Governor of the Bank of England
• International Monetary Fund
• Institute for Fiscal Studies
• Confederation of British Industry
• Leaders/heads of state of every single other member of the EU
• President of the United States of America
• Eight former US Treasury Secretaries
• President of China
• Prime Minister of India
• Prime Minister of Canada
• Prime Minister of Australia
• Prime Minister of Japan
• Prime Minister of New Zealand
• The chief executives of most of the top 100 companies in the UK including Marks and Spencer, BT, Asda, Vodafone, Virgin, IBM, BMW etc.
• Kofi Annan, the former Secretary General of the United Nations
• All living former Prime Ministers of the UK (from both parties)
• Virtually all reputable and recognised economists
• The Prime Minister of the UK
• The leader of the Labour Party
• The Leader of the Liberal Democrats
• The Leader of the Green Party
• The Leader of the Scottish National Party
• The leader of Plaid Cymru
• Leader of Sinn Fein
• Martin Lewis, that money saving dude off the telly
• The Secretary General of the TUC
• Unison
• National Union of Students
• National Union of Farmers
• Stephen Hawking
• Chief Executive of the NHS
• 300 of the most prominent international historians
• Director of Europol
• David Anderson QC, Independent Reviewer of Terrorism Legislation
• Former Directors of GCHQ
• Secretary General of Nato
• Church of England
• Church in Scotland
• Church in Wales
• Friends of the Earth
• Greenpeace
• Director General of the World Trade Organisation
• WWF
• World Bank
• OECD

Here are pretty much the only notable people who think we should leave the EU:

• Boris Johnson, who probably doesn't really care either way, but knows he'll become Prime Minister if the country votes to leave
• A former Secretary of State for Work and Pensions who carried out a brutal regime of cuts to benefits and essential support for the poorest in society as well as the disabled and sick
• That idiot that was Education Secretary and every single teacher in the country hated with a furious passion for the damage he was doing to the education system
• Leader of UKIP
• BNP
• Britain First
• Donald Trump
• Keith Chegwin
• David Icke

So, as I said, if you can't be bothered to look into the real facts and implications of all this in/out stuff, just pick the list that you most trust and vote that way. It really couldn't be more simple.

And if you are unsure about leaving, don't.

Please repost this list, if you think it might help.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 15, 2016, 11:28:51 AM
Are the British Government bound by the outcome if it's a leave vote?
A referendum in the 26 Cos is to amend a written Constitution which can only be done by popular vote.
What status has the Brit's referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 15, 2016, 11:30:49 AM
Quote from: take_yer_points on June 15, 2016, 11:11:13 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 05:43:20 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on June 14, 2016, 04:14:39 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 14, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 14, 2016, 10:20:16 AM
Quote from: DuffleKing on June 14, 2016, 09:57:16 AM

Can someone explain to me why a northern nationalist would vote to remain?

I wouldn't profess to having researched this in any great detail but there are a few reasons I'd be voting to stay:

1) Look at the type of character that wants to leave. Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Rupert Murdoch, Donald Trump, Jim Allister, DUP cronies. This on its own is enough me to convince to stay.
2) Economically Westminster will have even less regard for the 6 counties than they already have if they have increased powers.
3) Potential for increased border controls

Constitutionally I'm not sure what the impact would be but I don't think anyone can predict this with any great certainty.

This line speaks volumes.

Voting on the basis of the character of a cause's supporters as opposed to the actual cause itself?

What these people represent is by and large totally at odds with my own views and hence that's why I dislike them in the first place.

Saw this on facebook:


A good friend of mine came up with a great idea. If you don't have the time/inclination to find out all the facts about the EU referendum (I don't blame you) and are possibly unsure which way to vote, perhaps knowing how other notable people are thinking could help out.

Here are a few that strongly believe the UK should remain a member of the EU:

• Governor of the Bank of England
• International Monetary Fund
• Institute for Fiscal Studies
• Confederation of British Industry
• Leaders/heads of state of every single other member of the EU
• President of the United States of America
• Eight former US Treasury Secretaries
• President of China
• Prime Minister of India
• Prime Minister of Canada
• Prime Minister of Australia
• Prime Minister of Japan
• Prime Minister of New Zealand
• The chief executives of most of the top 100 companies in the UK including Marks and Spencer, BT, Asda, Vodafone, Virgin, IBM, BMW etc.
• Kofi Annan, the former Secretary General of the United Nations
• All living former Prime Ministers of the UK (from both parties)
• Virtually all reputable and recognised economists
• The Prime Minister of the UK
• The leader of the Labour Party
• The Leader of the Liberal Democrats
• The Leader of the Green Party
• The Leader of the Scottish National Party
• The leader of Plaid Cymru
• Leader of Sinn Fein
• Martin Lewis, that money saving dude off the telly
• The Secretary General of the TUC
• Unison
• National Union of Students
• National Union of Farmers
• Stephen Hawking
• Chief Executive of the NHS
• 300 of the most prominent international historians
• Director of Europol
• David Anderson QC, Independent Reviewer of Terrorism Legislation
• Former Directors of GCHQ
• Secretary General of Nato
• Church of England
• Church in Scotland
• Church in Wales
• Friends of the Earth
• Greenpeace
• Director General of the World Trade Organisation
• WWF
• World Bank
• OECD

Here are pretty much the only notable people who think we should leave the EU:

• Boris Johnson, who probably doesn't really care either way, but knows he'll become Prime Minister if the country votes to leave
• A former Secretary of State for Work and Pensions who carried out a brutal regime of cuts to benefits and essential support for the poorest in society as well as the disabled and sick
• That idiot that was Education Secretary and every single teacher in the country hated with a furious passion for the damage he was doing to the education system
• Leader of UKIP
• BNP
• Britain First
• Donald Trump
• Keith Chegwin
• David Icke

So, as I said, if you can't be bothered to look into the real facts and implications of all this in/out stuff, just pick the list that you most trust and vote that way. It really couldn't be more simple.

And if you are unsure about leaving, don't.

Please repost this list, if you think it might help.

That's a bit unfair. They forgot Ian Botham.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 15, 2016, 11:37:20 AM
The Scots would probably ask for a referendum if things go pear shaped. They might wait a few weeks for the Conservative government to implode.

Quote from: Rossfan on June 15, 2016, 11:28:51 AM
Are the British Government bound by the outcome if it's a leave vote?
A referendum in the 26 Cos is to amend a written Constitution which can only be done by popular vote.
What status has the Brit's referendum?

The Parliament could just ignore it in legal terms, although this is not possible in political terms.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 15, 2016, 11:39:15 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 15, 2016, 11:28:51 AM
Are the British Government bound by the outcome if it's a leave vote?
A referendum in the 26 Cos is to amend a written Constitution which can only be done by popular vote.
What status has the Brit's referendum?

From House Of Lords Select Committee on the Constitution - Report on Referendums in the United Kingdom (https://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200910/ldselect/ldconst/99/99.pdf):

The outcome of any referendum does not bind
Parliament (unless that Parliament has previously agreed that it will) but would be expected to influence
significantly subsequent parliamentary consideration of an issue.


In other words:
Are they bound constitutionally? No.
Are they bound politically? Almost certainly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fiodoir Ard Mhacha on June 15, 2016, 12:05:37 PM
Cameron cancels Friday morning appearance with Taoiseach in Manchester to persuade Irish in Britain to vote Remain.  Apparently, he's a liability to the voting public....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 15, 2016, 12:07:35 PM
Kindred spirits, then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on June 15, 2016, 12:23:29 PM
Quote from: Fiodoir Ard Mhacha on June 15, 2016, 12:05:37 PM
Cameron cancels Friday morning appearance with Taoiseach in Manchester to persuade Irish in Britain to vote Remain.  Apparently, he's a liability to the voting public....

I believe Mr Cameron has been withdrawn from all remaining 'Remain' campaigning. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 15, 2016, 12:32:20 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on June 15, 2016, 12:23:29 PM
Quote from: Fiodoir Ard Mhacha on June 15, 2016, 12:05:37 PM
Cameron cancels Friday morning appearance with Taoiseach in Manchester to persuade Irish in Britain to vote Remain.  Apparently, he's a liability to the voting public....

I believe Mr Cameron has been withdrawn from all remaining 'Remain' campaigning.

You'll know it is serious when he joins the 'Leave' campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:22:34 PM
Brexit is 2 fingers to the status quo. Most voters know nothing about economics.  Eg saving money on EU funds . It is around 1% of GDP. The real issue is a broken economic system that serves the rich .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:26:19 PM
Brexit has the potential to be the beginning of the end for Northern Ireland. If the Scots leave the Union all bets are off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 15, 2016, 01:34:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:22:34 PM
Brexit is 2 fingers to the status quo. Most voters know nothing about economics.  Eg saving money on EU funds . It is around 1% of GDP.

The net EU contribution is about the same as the oft quoted payout to the 6 counties, except it is much better value.
Either way GDP will be less now.

it is very alarming though, in this age when information is readily available, that people are not interested in the facts or finding out about them.

Fair play to (Sir) Bob Geldof for his nautical information broadcast that the UK actually has the largest fish quota. No doubt if there is a Brexit the fish, who have been hiding in recent years, will flock back to British waters. 

Quote from: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:26:19 PM
Brexit has the potential to be the beginning of the end for Northern Ireland. If the Scots leave the Union all bets are off.

Nobody would like to see Northern Ireland abolished than me, but the preparatory work has not been done and thr politicians capable of it do not exist. The £8 billion being a case in point. There is a real problem about NI having this debate while the Scots are, as NI would deserve (and need) a generous dowry while the London government would not wish to give Scotland one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 08:52:37 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 15, 2016, 01:34:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:22:34 PM
Brexit is 2 fingers to the status quo. Most voters know nothing about economics.  Eg saving money on EU funds . It is around 1% of GDP.

The net EU contribution is about the same as the oft quoted payout to the 6 counties, except it is much better value.
Either way GDP will be less now.

it is very alarming though, in this age when information is readily available, that people are not interested in the facts or finding out about them.

Fair play to (Sir) Bob Geldof for his nautical information broadcast that the UK actually has the largest fish quota. No doubt if there is a Brexit the fish, who have been hiding in recent years, will flock back to British waters. 

Quote from: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:26:19 PM
Brexit has the potential to be the beginning of the end for Northern Ireland. If the Scots leave the Union all bets are off.

Nobody would like to see Northern Ireland abolished than me, but the preparatory work has not been done and thr politicians capable of it do not exist. The £8 billion being a case in point. There is a real problem about NI having this debate while the Scots are, as NI would deserve (and need) a generous dowry while the London government would not wish to give Scotland one.
history is a record of consequences which nobody was expecting
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 15, 2016, 09:24:14 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 15, 2016, 01:34:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:22:34 PM
Brexit is 2 fingers to the status quo. Most voters know nothing about economics.  Eg saving money on EU funds . It is around 1% of GDP.

The net EU contribution is about the same as the oft quoted payout to the 6 counties, except it is much better value.
Either way GDP will be less now.

it is very alarming though, in this age when information is readily available, that people are not interested in the facts or finding out about them.

Fair play to (Sir) Bob Geldof for his nautical information broadcast that the UK actually has the largest fish quota. No doubt if there is a Brexit the fish, who have been hiding in recent years, will flock back to British waters. 

Quote from: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:26:19 PM
Brexit has the potential to be the beginning of the end for Northern Ireland. If the Scots leave the Union all bets are off.

Nobody would like to see Northern Ireland abolished than me, but the preparatory work has not been done and thr politicians capable of it do not exist. The £8 billion being a case in point. There is a real problem about NI having this debate while the Scots are, as NI would deserve (and need) a generous dowry while the London government would not wish to give Scotland one.

I'd tend to agree with this but it begs the question, what the hell are Sinn Fein (the only all Ireland party) actually doing? No vision put forward for what re-unification would actually look like. They seriously need to get their house in order economically.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 15, 2016, 09:32:13 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 15, 2016, 09:24:14 PM
I'd tend to agree with this but it begs the question, what the hell are Sinn Fein (the only all Ireland party) actually doing? No vision put forward for what re-unification would actually look like. They seriously need to get their house in order economically.

In the 26 counties, SF have gone for the pay for nothing vote, for whom fiscal credibility is not only not a necessity, but a turnoff. In the 6 counties a lot of them have a colonial mentality, where economics is asking London for money. They may be beginning to realise this, appointing Máirtín Ó Muilleoir to Finance in Stormont is a sign of some interest in the subject. They probably have a long game of some sort in mind, although like Armagh things might be be quite on schedule. Unfortunately, this Brexit thing is looking like they may have to tog out at the end of  next week and they haven't even figured out how to get to the ground.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 15, 2016, 09:54:21 PM
Markets seem to be going south with a lot of money leaving the UK as he odds on Brecit shorten. Ironically this will be hutting the pensions of those older Pro-brexit voters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on June 15, 2016, 11:08:42 PM
Brexit will be great for Ireland. There will be some short term bumps but then the rest of the world will figure that we are the only English language country left in the EU which will net us unprecedented foreign investment. It will also be the beginning of the end of the U.K. Scotland will vote for independence and unionist will have a financial reason to consider a united Ireland within the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 15, 2016, 11:31:52 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 15, 2016, 09:24:14 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 15, 2016, 01:34:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:22:34 PM
Brexit is 2 fingers to the status quo. Most voters know nothing about economics.  Eg saving money on EU funds . It is around 1% of GDP.

The net EU contribution is about the same as the oft quoted payout to the 6 counties, except it is much better value.
Either way GDP will be less now.

it is very alarming though, in this age when information is readily available, that people are not interested in the facts or finding out about them.

Fair play to (Sir) Bob Geldof for his nautical information broadcast that the UK actually has the largest fish quota. No doubt if there is a Brexit the fish, who have been hiding in recent years, will flock back to British waters. 

Quote from: seafoid on June 15, 2016, 01:26:19 PM
Brexit has the potential to be the beginning of the end for Northern Ireland. If the Scots leave the Union all bets are off.

Nobody would like to see Northern Ireland abolished than me, but the preparatory work has not been done and thr politicians capable of it do not exist. The £8 billion being a case in point. There is a real problem about NI having this debate while the Scots are, as NI would deserve (and need) a generous dowry while the London government would not wish to give Scotland one.

I'd tend to agree with this but it begs the question, what the hell are Sinn Fein (the only all Ireland party) actually doing? No vision put forward for what re-unification would actually look like. They seriously need to get their house in order economically.


Last week they had a mini press conference I believe on their version of a united Ireland. The north will get to keep Stormont for a number of  years to let unionists integrate into an all Ireland state. Matt Carthy is chief strategist of this all Ireland vision group I believe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 16, 2016, 12:29:32 PM
FT editorial but very few marginalised voters are likely to read it

. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/3748166e-3151-11e6-ad39-3fee5ffe5b5b.html

June 15, 2016 5:17 pm


Britain should vote to stay in the EU



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Historic plebiscite with far-reaching consequences for the continent



I

n seven days, the British will decide. The referendum on EU membership marks an historic moment. At stake is Britain's often troubled relationship with Europe, but also the coherence of the west. A vote to withdraw would be irrevocable, a grievous blow to the post-1945 liberal world order. David Cameron's referendum gamble has proved to be a futile attempt to heal divisions in the ruling Conservative party. The campaign has split the country. Emotions have trumped facts. Born-again populists rail against the establishment. "People in this country have had enough of experts," declares Michael Gove, a leading Brexiter, justice secretary (and former education secretary).

This newspaper has supported British membership of the EU from the outset in 1973. The Financial Times does not favour membership of the single currency. It makes no economic sense. But opting out of the euro is quite different from opting out of the EU, which would seriously damage the UK economy. Constructive engagement is vital when Europe confronts threats from Islamist extremism, migration, Russian aggrandisement and climate change. These can only be tackled collectively.


The referendum campaign is a contest between competing values: between liberal internationalism and a pinched nationalism, between an open-trading system and marginalisation. This is why Britain's allies, from Australia to Japan and the US, have unanimously supported Remain — and why Marine Le Pen and Donald Trump favour Brexit.

The debate has been depressingly transactional. The economic costs of withdrawal are substantial; but the Remain camp has indulged in pocketbook scaremongering. The Leave camp has been superficially patriotic, at heart mendacious. Britain does not contribute a net £350m a week to the EU budget. Savings will not go automatically to the National Health Service. Turkey has about as much chance of joining the EU by 2020 as Istanbul being renamed Constantinople in a revived Byzantine empire.


Turkey has as much chance of joining the EU as Istanbul being renamed Constantinople

To be sure, Leave's focus on immigration resonates with voters. This may account for a tightening of the polls, to the point where Brexit is a real risk. The influx of EU migrants, far greater than successive governments predicted, has stirred fears about jobs, public services and British identity. "Take back control" in the name of democracy is a seductive slogan in the age of globalisation. Mr Cameron has yet to provide an adequate riposte.


More video

He joins a long line of British prime ministers, including Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair, who have failed to level with the British public. Membership of the EU and, crucially, the single European market, entails some transfer of sovereignty in return for an actual gain in power as part of a greater whole. The rewards are indisputable. Since Britain joined the EU in 1973, real gross domestic product per head has grown faster than in France, Germany and Italy. Thatcher's labour reforms and the Bank of England's independence were vital too. But membership of the single market has been a magnet for foreign direct investment, funding a bulging current account deficit and guaranteeing British jobs.


Leave has failed to spell out the serious risks of life outside the EU. Boris Johnson, the former mayor of London with one eye on Mr Cameron's job, invokes a newfound freedom without the pettifogging rules of the single market. With one bound, Britain would become the Venice of the 21st century. In the real world, Britain would have to redefine fundamentally its relationship with the EU. An arrangement akin to Norway's would require paying into the EU budget and accepting free movement of labour. Switzerland's deal is even more cumbersome. Mr Gove invokes a model closer to Albania, Bosnia, Serbia and Ukraine, to deserved derision. The fallback — relying on World Trade Organisation rules — would involve tariffs on UK goods, a poor deal on services (vital for the City of London) and years of fraught negotiations. Britain would end up a rule-taker, not a rule-maker.

Britain's seat at the table has allowed it to win big arguments in Brussels: on free trade, liberalisation of air travel and telecoms, and EU enlargement to central and eastern Europe. The UK has shaped membership to its needs, securing opt-outs from the euro and the Schengen agreement abolishing border controls. It retains control of income tax and corporate taxation. Education, skills and a skewed housing market hold the UK economy back, not a Brussels bureaucracy the size of Birmingham city council.


Brexit would be a gratuitous act of self-harm. Business leaders have a duty to speak up

In a multi-speed, multi-tiered EU, the European superstate is a chimera. Brexiters such as Nigel Farage, the leader of the UK Independence party, see British withdrawal as a handy act of sabotage, hastening the disintegration of the EU. To what end? In or out, Britain would pay a heavy cost. Brexit would reintroduce a border between north and south in Ireland. It would put the territorial integrity of the UK at risk, especially if an independent-minded Scotland overwhelmingly votes to stay. It would trigger a political crisis in the UK — Mr Cameron would surely go — and reawaken the ghosts of nationalism in Europe.


More video

The positive case for Britain in the EU is easily made. To abandon the cause of constructive reform of an admittedly imperfect EU would be more than defeatist. It would be a gratuitous act of self-harm. Business leaders have a duty to spell out the cost of leaving before it is too late.

In 1975, when a Labour government called for a referendum on British membership of the European Economic Community, the FT rejected the notion of Britain as "a tight little island, seeking refuge in a siege economy, opting out of the main stream of world politics". The sentiment remains resonant today. This is no time to revert to Little England. We are Great Britain. We have a contribution to make to a more prosperous, safer world. The vote must be "Remain".

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 16, 2016, 03:19:05 PM
Well at least Nolan knows what is important, a vote for breakfast, an Ulster Fry no doubt.
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/vote-for-breakfast-stephen-nolan-in-a-scramble-over-brexit-slip-34806760.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on June 16, 2016, 04:06:20 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-36550304

An MP is in a critical condition after she was shot and stabbed during an attack in her constituency.

Eyewitnesses said Jo Cox, 41, Labour MP for Batley and Spen, was left bleeding on the floor by her attacker. A man also suffered slight injuries.

A 52-year-old man was arrested near Market Street, Birstall, West Yorkshire Police said. The MP holds a weekly advice surgery nearby.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 16, 2016, 05:30:13 PM
Quote from: dec on June 16, 2016, 04:06:20 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-36550304

An MP is in a critical condition after she was shot and stabbed during an attack in her constituency.

Eyewitnesses said Jo Cox, 41, Labour MP for Batley and Spen, was left bleeding on the floor by her attacker. A man also suffered slight injuries.

A 52-year-old man was arrested near Market Street, Birstall, West Yorkshire Police said. The MP holds a weekly advice surgery nearby.

This lady has died, sadly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 16, 2016, 05:46:18 PM
RIP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 16, 2016, 11:00:58 PM
Shocking news.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 17, 2016, 06:17:04 AM
This could be lethal for the leave side
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 20, 2016, 03:31:27 AM
I didnt know Nigel Dodds was one of the leading lights on the leave side
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 11:13:51 AM
Usual sectarian pattern in the sick counties
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/eu-referendum/eu-referendum-growing-support-in-northern-ireland-for-brexit-but-balance-of-power-lies-with-the-undecided-34815075.html

What I don't get is why? Even if your ancestors arrived in the 17th century and you are in everything going from the Orange order to the NI Supporters club, why would you destabilise the place? Geography means that whatever its political links that NI will always have more trade with the 26 counties and more agriculture than GB. Whether you would like the border sealed off or not, you should be able to recognise that the people living near that border will not be happy with this and kicking things off again benefits nobody. Imagine if it was a narrow Leave, and Scotland fecked off as a consequence, and the Leave margin was accounted for by people following the malign guidance of the DUP who had effectively broken up the UK!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 20, 2016, 12:02:32 PM
The DUP are incoherent.  I blame the prod brain drain. English nationalism is driving Brexit . English nationalism is the enemy of unionism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 20, 2016, 12:09:17 PM
44 v 44 per the FT 12 unknown
I think in the Scottish referendum there was a surge towards  remain in the last 24 hours. People don't like venturing into the unknown when push comes to shove.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 20, 2016, 12:36:36 PM
A comfortable yes vote imo  54% to 46%.

Have to say, I have been impressed with Cameron in the campaign. Saw an interview at the weekend with Corbyn ( first time hearing him|)  and was also impressed. Underestimate him at your peril. 

Bigger pond I know, but there seems to be a better calibre of politician over there.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 12:42:45 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 20, 2016, 12:36:36 PM
A comfortable yes vote imo  54% to 46%.

Have to say, I have been impressed with Cameron in the campaign. Saw an interview at the weekend with Corbyn ( first time hearing him|)  and was also impressed. Underestimate him at your peril. 

Bigger pond I know, but there seems to be a better calibre of politician over there.

Anything less than 53% to 47% will imply an actual Leave majority in voters resident in England and would not be very stable. Voters in Scotland, NI and ex-pats will be clearly Remain, and that's about 8 million voters. Wales might be soft Remain as well so even 46.5% Leave might still imply a marginal Leave majority in England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Over the Bar on June 20, 2016, 12:55:50 PM
Normally I can't stand the guy but Cameron on Question Time last night gave the performance of his career last night.  Impressive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: stew on June 20, 2016, 01:20:10 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 20, 2016, 12:48:15 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 12:42:45 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 20, 2016, 12:36:36 PM
A comfortable yes vote imo  54% to 46%.

Have to say, I have been impressed with Cameron in the campaign. Saw an interview at the weekend with Corbyn ( first time hearing him|)  and was also impressed. Underestimate him at your peril. 

Bigger pond I know, but there seems to be a better calibre of politician over there.

Anything less than 53% to 47% will imply an actual Leave majority in voters resident in England and would not be very stable. Voters in Scotland, NI and ex-pats will be clearly Remain, and that's about 8 million voters. Wales might be soft Remain as well so even 46.5% Leave might still imply a marginal Leave majority in England.

I'd be happy enough if England left and the rest of us stayed!  My gut tells me that Remain will get home more comfortably than some of the media and polls suggest.  I'd say there'll be a swing to the status quo in the last 24-48 hours.
[/quote


They will win going away.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 20, 2016, 05:45:31 PM
Quote from: Over the Bar on June 20, 2016, 12:55:50 PM
Normally I can't stand the guy but Cameron on Question Time last night gave the performance of his career last night.  Impressive.

Yep very impressed with how he handles questions, very clued up on everything (as you'd hope) financially staying in or leaving what's best if you work private sector??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 06:07:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 20, 2016, 05:45:31 PM
Quote from: Over the Bar on June 20, 2016, 12:55:50 PM
Normally I can't stand the guy but Cameron on Question Time last night gave the performance of his career last night.  Impressive.

Yep very impressed with how he handles questions, very clued up on everything (as you'd hope) financially staying in or leaving what's best if you work private sector??

If you want NI to return to 1972, then vote out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 20, 2016, 06:53:09 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 12:42:45 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 20, 2016, 12:36:36 PM
A comfortable yes vote imo  54% to 46%.

Have to say, I have been impressed with Cameron in the campaign. Saw an interview at the weekend with Corbyn ( first time hearing him|)  and was also impressed. Underestimate him at your peril. 

Bigger pond I know, but there seems to be a better calibre of politician over there.

Anything less than 53% to 47% will imply an actual Leave majority in voters resident in England and would not be very stable. Voters in Scotland, NI and ex-pats will be clearly Remain, and that's about 8 million voters. Wales might be soft Remain as well so even 46.5% Leave might still imply a marginal Leave majority in England.
Until thatcherism.is euthanised UK politics will be extremely volatile.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 20, 2016, 11:01:14 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 06:07:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 20, 2016, 05:45:31 PM
Quote from: Over the Bar on June 20, 2016, 12:55:50 PM
Normally I can't stand the guy but Cameron on Question Time last night gave the performance of his career last night.  Impressive.

Yep very impressed with how he handles questions, very clued up on everything (as you'd hope) financially staying in or leaving what's best if you work private sector??

If you want NI to return to 1972, then vote out.

Was a great year! God I'm old
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 11:59:42 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 20, 2016, 11:01:14 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 06:07:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 20, 2016, 05:45:31 PM
Quote from: Over the Bar on June 20, 2016, 12:55:50 PM
Normally I can't stand the guy but Cameron on Question Time last night gave the performance of his career last night.  Impressive.

Yep very impressed with how he handles questions, very clued up on everything (as you'd hope) financially staying in or leaving what's best if you work private sector??

If you want NI to return to 1972, then vote out.

Was a great year! God I'm old

You don't get the music back. Only these c***s
(http://digitalfilmarchive.net/uploads/images/_media/F000308UM.JPG?maxwidth=320&maxheight=240)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 21, 2016, 08:30:46 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 11:59:42 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 20, 2016, 11:01:14 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 20, 2016, 06:07:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 20, 2016, 05:45:31 PM
Quote from: Over the Bar on June 20, 2016, 12:55:50 PM
Normally I can't stand the guy but Cameron on Question Time last night gave the performance of his career last night.  Impressive.

Yep very impressed with how he handles questions, very clued up on everything (as you'd hope) financially staying in or leaving what's best if you work private sector??

If you want NI to return to 1972, then vote out.

Was a great year! God I'm old

You don't get the music back. Only these c***s
(http://digitalfilmarchive.net/uploads/images/_media/F000308UM.JPG?maxwidth=320&maxheight=240)

Clegg out all out, I think leave will win.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 21, 2016, 08:55:05 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

The bookies are aint wrong too many times and they have remain as clear favs at 4/11
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 21, 2016, 08:55:44 AM
DUP with a 2 page spread on the London metro paper this morning - dinosaurs!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 21, 2016, 09:16:44 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

I'm   of sure why  you want the  DUP Boris Johnson  and Farage to win,  but I hope you are right that they  won't.. I'm  sure sense will prevail.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 21, 2016, 09:24:34 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

You underestimate the ahem "working" class Brit.  Pure racism will get the leave over the line, the polls are a load of shite we see that time and time again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on June 21, 2016, 09:26:18 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.
Why 'Unfortunatley' ? ???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 11:35:31 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 21, 2016, 09:24:34 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

You underestimate the ahem "working" class Brit.  Pure racism will get the leave over the line, the polls are a load of shite we see that time and time again.
Lots of them won't vote. Leave has no decent arguments.
Very like Trump.
Cameron has had a nightmare . This vote was supposed to unite the Tories . Love will tear us apart again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 12:29:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 21, 2016, 09:16:44 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

I'm   of sure why  you want the  DUP Boris Johnson  and Farage to win,  but I hope you are right that they  won't.. I'm  sure sense will prevail.
Brexit Is too un certain. 350m a week is 1% of gdp. Brexit could cost 10% of gdp.
Villiers Is an airhead. I suppose they don't want an intellectuel dealing with the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 21, 2016, 12:41:05 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Judging by the Forex markets, a Remain win seems to be factored in.
I should have bought some Sterling last week!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 21, 2016, 12:46:11 PM
Beckham securing his knighthood
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on June 21, 2016, 12:47:02 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 21, 2016, 12:41:05 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Judging by the Forex markets, a Remain win seems to be factored in.
I should have bought some Sterling last week!

He'll be going cheap after the euros.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 21, 2016, 01:00:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 12:29:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 21, 2016, 09:16:44 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

I'm   of sure why  you want the  DUP Boris Johnson  and Farage to win,  but I hope you are right that they  won't.. I'm  sure sense will prevail.
Brexit Is too un certain. 350m a week is 1% of gdp. Brexit could cost 10% of gdp.
Villiers Is an airhead. I suppose they don't want an intellectuel dealing with the DUP.
Half of which comes back anyway. Remain should be doing more to get the message across that it is just like paying taxes. The UK is one of the wealthier nations so it is subsidising poorer regions with the intention of raising their standard of living so they can afford to buy UK goods. On a smaller scale it is like the City of London voting to secede because the taxes they contribute to the UK government are subsidising the regions.

No one likes paying tax it but if we want Hospitals and schools and roads and services we have to pay for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 01:05:09 PM
The working class has been shafted after 35 years of thatcherism. It needs serious taxation of the rich to fund public investment. Not brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 21, 2016, 01:48:58 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 21, 2016, 12:46:11 PM
Beckham securing his knighthood
That's the endorsement the Remain campaign have been waiting for!  :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 02:28:39 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 21, 2016, 12:46:11 PM
Beckham securing his knighthood

Thats just emabarrassing for whoever wheeled out the well known economist and intellectual that is Beckham..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on June 21, 2016, 02:37:25 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 02:28:39 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 21, 2016, 12:46:11 PM
Beckham securing his knighthood

Thats just emabarrassing for whoever wheeled out the well known economist and intellectual that is Beckham..

It might just swing the red top readers who don't give a toss about what economists and intellectuals think..

Sad and all that it is, the cult of celebrity seems to carry votes in politics!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 02:46:47 PM
How do north of Ireland posters feel about Dodds and Villiers supporting leave?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rosnarun on June 21, 2016, 03:22:58 PM
Currently we have signed to a treaty who aim is 'EVER increasing  union' which is not just flowery language nut  states that its aim it to end up as a nation state. so if that is what's desired then vote yes. the hope is with an English withdrawal we have a redrawing  of our relationship with all other nation not just white european ones
Nationalism does no go away just because the nation gets bigger
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 21, 2016, 04:30:38 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/wef-countries-with-highest-level-of-government-debt-vs-gdp-2015-10

Of the Top 17 countires with the highest level of gov debt how many do you think are in the EU?

What would be wrong with a free trade agreement in Europe only without striving for a United States of Europe?
Vote Leave
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 04:40:15 PM
Quote from: rosnarun on June 21, 2016, 03:22:58 PM
Currently we have signed to a treaty who aim is 'EVER increasing  union' which is not just flowery language nut  states that its aim it to end up as a nation state. so if that is what's desired then vote yes. the hope is with an English withdrawal we have a redrawing  of our relationship with all other nation not just white european ones
Nationalism does no go away just because the nation gets bigger
ever increasing union is dead in the water. The Germans will not countenance fiscal union. They are afraid of inflation.  They end up with deflation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 21, 2016, 07:34:18 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 21, 2016, 04:30:38 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/wef-countries-with-highest-level-of-government-debt-vs-gdp-2015-10

Of the Top 17 countires with the highest level of gov debt how many do you think are in the EU?

What would be wrong with a free trade agreement in Europe only without striving for a United States of Europe?
Vote Leave
No quite brave enough to post under your primary account though? Not that convinced then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 08:00:03 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 21, 2016, 03:03:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 02:46:47 PM
How do north of Ireland posters feel about Dodds and Villiers supporting leave?

Dodds supports a Brexit for the same reason as most DUPers.  He thinks it will lead to another (or several) degrees of separation between North and South.  I haven't heard one DUPer give any sort of argument as to why NI will be better off outside the EU. 

Villiers is a lightweight fuckwit who will be on her way if Remain prevails.
If DUP heads really think like that,  NI is fucked. Leave could cut UK GDP by 10%
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 21, 2016, 08:05:17 PM
That's  the general idea; cut the NI economy,  especially in Taig border areas and replace European payments with London ones.  Then the subvention becomes so large that a UI is totally inconceivable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 08:10:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 21, 2016, 08:05:17 PM
That's  the general idea; cut the NI economy,  especially in Taig border areas and replace European payments with London ones.  Then the subvention becomes so large that a UI is totally inconceivable.
English nationalism is going to destroy unionism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 08:42:50 PM
The big weakness of OWC is its continued dependence on English money to keep the lights on. People in London are entitled to ask why the money isn't spent in London.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 21, 2016, 09:52:38 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 21, 2016, 04:30:38 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/wef-countries-with-highest-level-of-government-debt-vs-gdp-2015-10

Of the Top 17 countires with the highest level of gov debt how many do you think are in the EU?

What would be wrong with a free trade agreement in Europe only without striving for a United States of Europe?
Vote Leave
So they will be able to negotiate a better deal from outside without complying with EU directives?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 10:25:18 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2016, 09:52:38 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 21, 2016, 04:30:38 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/wef-countries-with-highest-level-of-government-debt-vs-gdp-2015-10

Of the Top 17 countires with the highest level of gov debt how many do you think are in the EU?

What would be wrong with a free trade agreement in Europe only without striving for a United States of Europe?
Vote Leave
So they will be able to negotiate a better deal from outside without complying with EU directives?
Europe doesn't work like that . Switzerland had a referendum on inward migration and tried to play hardball with Brussels. It was told to PFO. It was kicked out of the Erasmus programme. 2 years later it is still trying to triangulate. Only 30% of voters woukd now support the referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on June 22, 2016, 08:34:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 08:00:03 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 21, 2016, 03:03:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 02:46:47 PM
How do north of Ireland posters feel about Dodds and Villiers supporting leave?

Dodds supports a Brexit for the same reason as most DUPers.  He thinks it will lead to another (or several) degrees of separation between North and South.  I haven't heard one DUPer give any sort of argument as to why NI will be better off outside the EU. 

Villiers is a lightweight fuckwit who will be on her way if Remain prevails.
If DUP heads really think like that,  NI is fucked. Leave could cut UK GDP by 10%
Of course they think like that, that's a huge part of our problem here.Its like banging your head against a wall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 10:14:01 AM
Quote from: blewuporstuffed on June 22, 2016, 08:34:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 08:00:03 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 21, 2016, 03:03:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 02:46:47 PM
How do north of Ireland posters feel about Dodds and Villiers supporting leave?

Dodds supports a Brexit for the same reason as most DUPers.  He thinks it will lead to another (or several) degrees of separation between North and South.  I haven't heard one DUPer give any sort of argument as to why NI will be better off outside the EU. 

Villiers is a lightweight fuckwit who will be on her way if Remain prevails.
If DUP heads really think like that,  NI is fucked. Leave could cut UK GDP by 10%
Of course they think like that, that's a huge part of our problem here.Its like banging your head against a wall.

If the uk votes leave ni will not get the funding that it currently gets, i can't see it happening anyway, and will hit bad times.

I would see it pushing more nationalists wanting a ui so in my view it would weaken the union. Unionists are making a monumental c**k up pushing the leave agenda.

Despite all trade arguments etc i think they're a crock of shit and they just want border controls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 22, 2016, 11:03:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 10:25:18 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2016, 09:52:38 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 21, 2016, 04:30:38 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/wef-countries-with-highest-level-of-government-debt-vs-gdp-2015-10

Of the Top 17 countires with the highest level of gov debt how many do you think are in the EU?

What would be wrong with a free trade agreement in Europe only without striving for a United States of Europe?
Vote Leave
So they will be able to negotiate a better deal from outside without complying with EU directives?
Europe doesn't work like that . Switzerland had a referendum on inward migration and tried to play hardball with Brussels. It was told to PFO. It was kicked out of the Erasmus programme. 2 years later it is still trying to triangulate. Only 30% of voters woukd now support the referendum.
That was my point. I should have framed it as a rhetorical question but I wanted to draw out the OP on his Gove like logic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on June 22, 2016, 11:39:17 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 21, 2016, 03:03:18 PM
Dodds supports a Brexit for the same reason as most DUPers.  He thinks it will lead to another (or several) degrees of separation between North and South.  I haven't heard one DUPer give any sort of argument as to why NI will be better off outside the EU. 

Villiers is a lightweight fuckwit who will be on her way if Remain prevails.

It's called cutting of your nose despite your face. I think you are bang on the money here. The DUP think that in leaving it'll put a bigger wedge between the North and the South. But they don't have the leadership and vision (as we have seen on many issues) to see what a short term plan that is. I'm not sure if this lack of foresight is simply just down to the fact they don't want to go down in history as "the generation that failed Unionism" even though that's exactly what they are setting up for future Unionist generations. Always smacks of a not on my watch attitude.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 22, 2016, 11:47:37 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 10:14:01 AM
Quote from: blewuporstuffed on June 22, 2016, 08:34:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 08:00:03 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 21, 2016, 03:03:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 02:46:47 PM
How do north of Ireland posters feel about Dodds and Villiers supporting leave?

Dodds supports a Brexit for the same reason as most DUPers.  He thinks it will lead to another (or several) degrees of separation between North and South.  I haven't heard one DUPer give any sort of argument as to why NI will be better off outside the EU. 

Villiers is a lightweight fuckwit who will be on her way if Remain prevails.
If DUP heads really think like that,  NI is fucked. Leave could cut UK GDP by 10%
Of course they think like that, that's a huge part of our problem here.Its like banging your head against a wall.

If the uk votes leave ni will not get the funding that it currently gets, i can't see it happening anyway, and will hit bad times.

I would see it pushing more nationalists wanting a ui so in my view it would weaken the union. Unionists are making a monumental c**k up pushing the leave agenda.

Despite all trade arguments etc i think they're a crock of shit and they just want border controls.
Thinking unionists understand the value of trade with and investment from the South
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 12:19:47 PM
How many of those are there though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 22, 2016, 12:35:08 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 22, 2016, 11:47:37 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 10:14:01 AM
Quote from: blewuporstuffed on June 22, 2016, 08:34:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 08:00:03 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 21, 2016, 03:03:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 21, 2016, 02:46:47 PM
How do north of Ireland posters feel about Dodds and Villiers supporting leave?

Dodds supports a Brexit for the same reason as most DUPers.  He thinks it will lead to another (or several) degrees of separation between North and South.  I haven't heard one DUPer give any sort of argument as to why NI will be better off outside the EU. 

Villiers is a lightweight fuckwit who will be on her way if Remain prevails.
If DUP heads really think like that,  NI is fucked. Leave could cut UK GDP by 10%
Of course they think like that, that's a huge part of our problem here.Its like banging your head against a wall.

If the uk votes leave ni will not get the funding that it currently gets, i can't see it happening anyway, and will hit bad times.

I would see it pushing more nationalists wanting a ui so in my view it would weaken the union. Unionists are making a monumental c**k up pushing the leave agenda.

Despite all trade arguments etc i think they're a crock of shit and they just want border controls.
Thinking unionists understand the value of trade with and investment from the South

Tbh they are scarce on the ground and when the likes of Willy Wright (Wrightbus) comes out in favour of leave it makes the rest of them even more confused. The fact that Boris was ordering bus's like mad from them hasnt clouded his judgement in any way  ;)
How many does London need and who will they want to sell their products too when there are no more orders from London, oh wait that's right....... oops

The DUP havent got a long term strategy on anything never mind this, they see the right wing politicians saying NO and it pulls at their heart strings because that is what they have been brought up on.

I genuinely nearly crashed the car when I heard an interview yesterday on the radio, some bbc journo was interviewing young Brits abroad working for the summer in some of the holiday resorts in Europe. Asking for their views, he asked a young lad from northern England who was working in a bar on the strip, he said 'there are too many migrant workers coming in and taking jobs off locals so he was voting leave' Needless to say the irony was lost on him completely but it shows the way the leave campaign have run their argument.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on June 22, 2016, 12:42:58 PM
Northern nationalists will in large part swing this vote for remain.Will they get any political reward from the Dublin Govt for doing so?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 01:02:54 PM
Like what and how will they know?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 22, 2016, 01:04:48 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on June 22, 2016, 12:42:58 PM
Northern nationalists will in large part swing this vote for remain.Will they get any political reward from the Dublin Govt for doing so?

(http://www.ourhometown.ca/images/photos/Twist_Oliver_L.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 22, 2016, 01:15:18 PM
Ready! Fire! Aim!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: guy crouchback on June 22, 2016, 01:44:09 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on June 22, 2016, 12:42:58 PM
Northern nationalists will in large part swing this vote for remain.Will they get any political reward from the Dublin Govt for doing so?

i think this might be the single most stupid comment made by anyone in relation to the entire brexit debate. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 22, 2016, 01:57:33 PM
Quote from: guy crouchback on June 22, 2016, 01:44:09 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on June 22, 2016, 12:42:58 PM
Northern nationalists will in large part swing this vote for remain.Will they get any political reward from the Dublin Govt for doing so?

i think this might be the single most stupid comment made by anyone in relation to the entire brexit debate.
There is very strong competition from.the DUP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 22, 2016, 02:11:02 PM
Kenny, Noonan and Martin crying today about the economic disaster that awaits should the Brits leave. No doubt they've worn down some shoe leather this past few weeks canvassing around Newry and west Belfast. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 22, 2016, 02:46:35 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on June 22, 2016, 11:39:17 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 21, 2016, 03:03:18 PM
Dodds supports a Brexit for the same reason as most DUPers.  He thinks it will lead to another (or several) degrees of separation between North and South.  I haven't heard one DUPer give any sort of argument as to why NI will be better off outside the EU. 

Villiers is a lightweight fuckwit who will be on her way if Remain prevails.

It's called cutting of your nose despite your face. I think you are bang on the money here. The DUP think that in leaving it'll put a bigger wedge between the North and the South. But they don't have the leadership and vision (as we have seen on many issues) to see what a short term plan that is. I'm not sure if this lack of foresight is simply just down to the fact they don't want to go down in history as "the generation that failed Unionism" even though that's exactly what they are setting up for future Unionist generations. Always smacks of a not on my watch attitude.
No its not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 22, 2016, 06:23:02 PM
What is it then,  if it is not?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 06:26:09 PM
Cutting your nose to spite yor face... ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 22, 2016, 06:47:59 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 06:26:09 PM
Cutting your nose to spite yor face... >:(
Woman round our way spoke one time about a fellow who 'sneaked in like a thief with a knife'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 22, 2016, 07:05:14 PM
paddy Power has the remain option as 2/7 and over 750 grand on it, hard to see them getting a market that wrong...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 22, 2016, 07:15:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 21, 2016, 07:34:18 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 21, 2016, 04:30:38 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/wef-countries-with-highest-level-of-government-debt-vs-gdp-2015-10

Of the Top 17 countires with the highest level of gov debt how many do you think are in the EU?

What would be wrong with a free trade agreement in Europe only without striving for a United States of Europe?
Vote Leave
No quite brave enough to post under your primary account though? Not that convinced then.

New to the gaaboard friend this is my only and therefore primary account
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 22, 2016, 07:16:29 PM
At this stage I think the media are doing a Sky Sports News hyperbolic version of how exciting / close the vote's going to be (at least I hope that's the case).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 22, 2016, 07:19:18 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2016, 09:52:38 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 21, 2016, 04:30:38 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/wef-countries-with-highest-level-of-government-debt-vs-gdp-2015-10

Of the Top 17 countires with the highest level of gov debt how many do you think are in the EU?

What would be wrong with a free trade agreement in Europe only without striving for a United States of Europe?
Vote Leave
So they will be able to negotiate a better deal from outside without complying with EU directives?

No but a leave vote would spell the beginning of the end for the eu in its current form. Polls suggest france would follow and it would be unworkable without uk & france. It could be replaced with a free trade agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 22, 2016, 08:20:08 PM
You can't have free trade without insisting on all participants having the same standards etc.
Which means rules/regulations to be observed in the whole area = present EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 22, 2016, 08:21:16 PM
The EU would work if it neutered the neoliberals
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 22, 2016, 09:21:49 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 22, 2016, 07:05:14 PM
paddy Power has the remain option as 2/7 and over 750 grand on it, hard to see them getting a market that wrong...

All PP has to do is change the stakes out of Sterling. If it goes pear shaped  they'll  be able to pay out just by changing it back.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 22, 2016, 10:47:38 PM
So will everything carry on as normal if (as I assume) they remain? Or will there be differences then too?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 22, 2016, 10:50:47 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 22, 2016, 10:47:38 PM
So will everything carry on as normal if (as I assume) they remain? Or will there be differences then too?
There has to be changes. The EU has many faults but the only way to reform it us from the inside.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 10:54:07 PM
A good few of the leave reasons are to take back control and to me they are just excuses from a failing tory government. Nothing in the eu can change that.

There will be other things though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 22, 2016, 10:56:18 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 22, 2016, 07:19:18 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2016, 09:52:38 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 21, 2016, 04:30:38 PM
http://uk.businessinsider.com/wef-countries-with-highest-level-of-government-debt-vs-gdp-2015-10

Of the Top 17 countires with the highest level of gov debt how many do you think are in the EU?

What would be wrong with a free trade agreement in Europe only without striving for a United States of Europe?
Vote Leave
So they will be able to negotiate a better deal from outside without complying with EU directives?

No but a leave vote would spell the beginning of the end for the eu in its current form. Polls suggest france would follow and it would be unworkable without uk & france. It could be replaced with a free trade agreement.
The EU is far from perfect but in your scenario 27 separate trade deals and 27 different sets of standards to be met would be a bigger nightmare than what we have at present.
Every one of the 28 would be in a weaker position and have to take what ever terms the US offers on the TTPs.
No workers rights with even Governments having to vend over for US big business.
As a group of 28 they can and need to stand up to the US on that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bcarrier on June 22, 2016, 11:05:37 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EH1G4EwljM
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 22, 2016, 11:22:52 PM
From sluggerotoole, the Brexit playlist

https://m.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLFMvNeFXRbeuyE1auAvFEn0Ja39olsOIs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:50:04 AM
Are ye 6 Co lads and lassies voting and. If so how?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 23, 2016, 04:23:26 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 22, 2016, 10:54:07 PM
A good few of the leave reasons are to take back control and to me they are just excuses from a failing tory government. Nothing in the eu can change that.

There will be other things though.
Cameron took a stupid gamble. Europe is the issue that rents the Tory party asunder.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 23, 2016, 07:17:34 AM
I predict the Remain will win. At least by 10%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BenDover on June 23, 2016, 07:39:12 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 23, 2016, 06:41:24 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:50:04 AM
Are ye 6 Co lads and lassies voting and. If so how?

Yes - Remain
Same as that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 07:47:27 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:50:04 AM
Are ye 6 Co lads and lassies voting and. If so how?
Remain
There has been no convincing argument to Leave, just a load of tin hat paranoia #usepens and racism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OakleafCounty on June 23, 2016, 08:05:52 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:50:04 AM
Are ye 6 Co lads and lassies voting and. If so how?

Remain for a number of reasons:

- EU money contributes to a lot more here than we realise. From the Peace Bridge in Derry to a lot of local play parks;
- The last thing we need in border areas is an actual border. The DUP can gloss over it but we know that their main aim is to create barriers with the Republic;
- I'm proud to identify myself as a European;
- I don't in any way shape or form trust any London government to provide what we would lose by exiting.

VOTE REMAIN!!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 23, 2016, 09:12:53 AM
Remain

Work for an Irish Company with the UK our main Customer so the uncertainty leaving would bring and the weakness of the Pound would be very difficult for us.

Ideologically I agree with my compatriot above as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JoG2 on June 23, 2016, 09:24:24 AM
Remain..vóta a chaitheamh go luath agus vótáil go minic !!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on June 23, 2016, 09:27:32 AM
I voted remain. The prospect of giving the Tories unfettered control terrifies me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 09:46:40 AM
Leave

My reasons:

The EU is not preforming well economically.
The uk imports more from eu than exports so a trade agreement will be a no brainer for them. ( the roi has aleady agreed in principle to this )
The uk will be free to trade outside eu with the largest economies of the world on its own terms.
The uk should be free to develop its own immigration policy following a needs based model
The EU will continue down the route of 'ever closer union'
The eu will remove Irelands ability to set corporation tax in the coming years and with it the last thread of soverignty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 23, 2016, 09:47:52 AM
•   Brendan Simms: Prospect of Brexit should fill Ireland with dread
•   The confederal structure of the EU means the Irish are less well-represented in Brussels than they were at Westminster
•   about 10 hours ago
•   Brendan Simms
•   
•   3
•   
•   
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•   
•   Ireland has recently elected a new Government. The most important vote for the Irish this year, however, will be taking place next door, on June 23rd, when the United Kingdom decides whether or not to remain in the European Union.
•   The prospect of Brexit should fill Ireland with dread. It could have severe economic repercussions, lead to the re-establishment of border controls as mandated by the EU with a non-member-state outside of Schengen, and reignite tensions in the North. All this is possible, not because of any shift within Ireland or any new problems between Dublin and London, but as a result of Britain's difficulties with the EU. The Anglo-Irish relationship, in short, will be determined not by a purely bilateral dynamic but by a broader European one.
•   It was ever thus. The continental context has always been the decisive factor in English, and later British, politics and thus in relationships within these islands. This was mainly because English, and later British, strategists feared that Ireland might serve as the "back door" to England, and rightly so. One claimant to the English throne, Lambert Simnel, was crowned in Dublin in 1487 and backed by the Irish parliament. In the 16th century – especially after the onset of the Reformation which saw England and Scotland become largely Protestant, while Ireland remained Catholic – the entire island became an arena of foreign intrigue, first by France and then the Habsburgs. In 1601 a Spanish expedition to support the rebellion of the Ulster lords O'Neill and O'Donnell was defeated at Kinsale, but it was a close-run thing. Right at the end of the 18th century, revolutionary France sent two expeditions to Ireland; that under Gen Humbert landed in support of the 1798 rebellion. The lesson of all this was clear: what happened in Ireland would not necessarily stay in Ireland.
•   Throughout all this, London experimented with various ways of dealing with Ireland which went beyond the merely repressive and reactive. In 1494 the English government pushed through Poynings Law, which asserted the supremacy of Westminster over the Dublin parliament. This was intended to ensure no pretender could claim the legitimate backing of the Irish parliament. Later, Britain imposed the discriminatory "penal laws" on Irish Catholics, partly to underpin the land settlement but mainly for fear that they would intrigue with outside powers. English security, in effect, was bought at the price of Irish inferiority.
•   Pacifying Ireland
•   Following the trauma of the 1798 rebellion, the British government pushed through the Act of Union with Ireland in 1800-01, which was originally supposed to be accompanied by Catholic Emancipation. The narrowly strategic purpose was the desire to pacify Ireland and to prevent the French from opening up a new front there. The second and broader concern was to tap into the vast reservoir of untapped manpower represented by Irish Catholics. "Supposing there were no other reasons which rendered the union of the sister kingdoms desirable", the under-secretary for Ireland Edward Cooke argued, "the state of Europe, and especially of France, seems to dictate it."
•   The planned union had the potential to square all the circles, by addressing the security concerns of London, reconciling Irishmen to each other, and giving them through parliamentary merger a voice in the larger whole (which was often considerable). However, it got off to a bad start when Catholic Emancipation was delayed until 1829, and throughout the 19th century the clamour for "repeal" and then Home Rule grew ever louder. London saw these demands as the thin end of a separatist wedge which would destroy the cohesion of the empire, and weaken its western defences. Ireland, the Liberal Unionist and sometime chancellor of the exchequer George Goschen feared, would become a separate nation "planted on our flanks".
•   In 1921, with Irish independence, Britain lost control over her western flank, and struggled more than it needed to during the subsequent battle for the Atlantic against Hitler. Britain was also obliged to provide its neighbour protection against the totalitarian storms of the 20th century gratis (albeit with the help of Irish volunteers in the British army). Independent Ireland called itself a Free State, and then a Republic, but in security terms it was a free rider.
•   Ireland too suffered. The island was partitioned into two European states, with a Border going up between the six and the 26 counties. Moreover, independence proved to be an illusion. The Irish pound was pegged to sterling and interest rates were effectively set by the Bank of England. Voters resident in the 26 counties, who had once held the balance of power in the United Kingdom, were no longer represented at Westminster. Once again, the really major decisions were being taken somewhere else without any Irish participation.
•   Entry into the EEC, possible only in tandem with Britain, was supposed to change all this, by using "Europe" to balance Britain economically, politically and psychologically. Unusually among European states, Ireland went into "Europe" in order to contain not Germany, but the United Kingdom.
•   At first all went well. Ireland boomed economically. Ignorant of the political and economic implications of the common currency – much better understood by London, which remained aloof – Dublin joined the euro. The internal Northern settlement in the "Good Friday Agreement" was embedded within a wider European process of integration which helped to lower tensions within Northern Ireland, across the Border and across the Irish Sea.
•   Triangular relationship
•   But those who thought history had now effectively ended, with the Irish Republic taking its place as an equal partner alongside the United Kingdom in the EU were to be rudely disabused by events. In 2008 the Irish banks collapsed, and Ireland was for a while effectively placed under international, mainly European administration.
•   The confederal structure of the European Union means the Irish are less well-represented in Brussels than they were at Westminster, perhaps even less than if they were still part of the UK. All this would be made worse by Brexit.
•   The irony here is that the current margin between the "ins" and "outs" in the UK is much smaller than the electorate of the Republic of Ireland. One way or the other, the prospect of Brexit, which the Taoiseach has defined as a "major strategic risk", once again threatens to reshape the asymmetric triangular relationship between Ireland, the UK and the continent.
•   Brendan Simms is the author of Britain's Europe: A Thousand Years of Conflict and Cooperation (Penguin Press, May 2016) and president of the Project for Democratic Union
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: supersub on June 23, 2016, 09:51:29 AM
I do not know how any lay person can be well enough informed to take the risk, and that is what it is, to vote to leave the EU. The carefully chosen spin you hear from Brexit campaigners should certainly not be enough to shape public views. The whole thing is built on if, buts, maybes and more than anything, assumptions. They assume they will be better of, they assume they will have more control. Serious risk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 09:56:43 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 09:46:40 AM
Leave

My reasons:

The EU is not preforming well economically.
There are any numbers reasons for that, for example you are way further down the Quantitive Easing road than the Eurozone, have no manufacturing, rely completely on the City etc. - so your own fault really.
QuoteThe uk imports more from eu than exports so a trade agreement will be a no brainer for them. ( the roi has aleady agreed in principle to this )
Have you ever met politicians before? If you thought Cameron's tweaking talks were tough, this will be brutal.
QuoteThe uk will be free to trade outside eu with the largest economies of the world on its own terms.
We could do that with Mayo, but I don't see any major advantages, I do see major dis-advantages though.
QuoteThe uk should be free to develop its own immigration policy following a needs based model
UK immigration problems are historic, relating to the Empire and subsequent Commonwealth, and the exploitation of same. Leaving the EU will do NOTHING for those historical problems.
QuoteThe EU will continue down the route of 'ever closer union'
Maybe, hard to know. The last year has set that back a long way.
QuoteThe eu will remove Irelands ability to set corporation tax in the coming years and with it the last thread of soverignty.
So why would Britain vote to leave then? Surely Britain are desperate for us to raise corporation tax? If Britain leaves, we can probably raise it anyway as all the American companies will move here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: laceer on June 23, 2016, 10:09:42 AM
Remain for me.

Not overly interested in economic performance, trade agreements or immigration policies.

The continued ability to travel freely throughout Europe is my main reason.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Down Way on June 23, 2016, 10:11:01 AM
I voted to leave, they say a change is as good as a rest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on June 23, 2016, 10:21:35 AM
A woman on a radio just said she's still undecided so will flip a coin! Jesus wept!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on June 23, 2016, 10:26:49 AM
I'm in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 10:29:23 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo

(https://fullfact.org/media/uploads/brits_abroad_in_the_eu_UVloyb5.png)

If you are voting for Brexit 'in Ireland's interests', then I can understand. Watching Britain destroy itself might be fun, but I would expect some very nasty side-effects down the road.

Mayo could leave the EU and would '...be free to trade outside eu with the largest economies of the world on its own terms'. Like I said I see no advantage to being a smaller weaker party at the negotiations but I see lots of downside. Only 7% of EU exports go to Britain whereas something like 40% of British exports go to the EU. Ireland will feature highly in both of those numbers, but the EU will have all of the leverage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 23, 2016, 10:30:17 AM
Immigration is a key plank of neoliberalism. The ideology generates SFA economic growth because it takes money from ordinary people to give to the rich.   Immigration does generate growth though since the more people in a country the more money they spend. If the population grows by 2% then economic activity increases.

Changing the economic system is urgent. Without neoliberalism immigration would fall and workers would get pay rises .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 10:38:10 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 23, 2016, 10:30:17 AM
Immigration is a key plank of neoliberalism. The ideology generates SFA economic growth because it takes money from ordinary people to give to the rich.   Immigration does generate growth though since the more people in a country the more money they spend. If the population grows by 2% then economic activity increases.

Changing the economic system is urgent. Without neoliberalism immigration would fall and workers would get pay rises .

There was immigration before neoliberalism and there will be immigration long after whatever the hell you think neoliberalism is and during whatever buzz-word du jour era comes next.

It is the most basic form of economics.

Assuming a certain level of competence do you hire:

a) the local guy who charges more;
or
b) the foreigner who charges less;

Although you, in particular, think everyone hires from b), if you ask people they will all say a). The answer is usually a little from column a) and a little from column b). It has always been thus, with the possible exception of countries who were extremely poor in the past, and will always be thus.

Britain can't close its borders to it Empirical past. The EU and neoliberalism has nothing to do with that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 23, 2016, 10:39:32 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo

Any Irish person using immigration as an excuse, needs to take a serious look at themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 23, 2016, 10:46:42 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 09:46:40 AM
Leave

My reasons:

The uk should be free to develop its own immigration policy following a needs based model


Am I right in saying your Irish, living in the UK and want to control immigration?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 11:05:21 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 23, 2016, 10:46:42 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 09:46:40 AM
Leave

My reasons:

The uk should be free to develop its own immigration policy following a needs based model


Am I right in saying your Irish, living in the UK and want to control immigration?!

Yeah theres quite a few of us in Tyrone
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 11:10:56 AM
Leave

The EU is unrecognizable from the EEC that the UK voted for in 1975

What with the EU be like in 2025 - will it even be recognizable as the same one we are voting for today?

I fully support the EEC, and the original concepts of free trade and free movement of labour between countries that are economically, politically and culturally similar, however the EU has become a political body as well as a trading body, and the 28 member states are no longer similar enough for the concept to be a success.

The EU (and especially the Euro) are failing in my opinion

Don't like the unfair competition laws - ie: A country can't prop up failing businesses and protect employment as this would be considered state aid and yet the EU can encourage investment in disadvantaged areas and give them aid in the form of grants.

The reduction in the block grant if we lower corporation tax, is mandated by the EU (OK Westminster may (and probably would have) have choosen to reduce it anyway, but at least there would be a possibility it may not be reduced or at least negotiated a better deal)

The EU is enforcing laws and austerity measures on Ireland, water charges are/were mandatory as part of the measures enforced by the EU as a condition of the bailout, which they forced Ireland to accept.

I don't like the EU overruling the laws of a member nation and being able to force them to comply.

Its bad enough being ruled by the UK, its worse being ruled by an even further detached foreign parliament.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 11:12:09 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 23, 2016, 10:39:32 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo

Any Irish person using immigration as an excuse, needs to take a serious look at themselves.

How so? Controlling Immigration I said not stopping it. There are many Irish people in Australia atm (my family members amoung them). Australia controls immigration based on their needs. Common sense I would of thought. Do you see the difference?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 11:13:06 AM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 11:10:56 AM
Leave

The EU is unrecognizable from the EEC that the UK voted for in 1975

What with the EU be like in 2025 - will it even be recognizable as the same one we are voting for today?

I fully support the EEC, and the original concepts of free trade and free movement of labour between countries that are economically, politically and culturally similar, however the EU has become a political body as well as a trading body, and the 28 member states are no longer similar enough for the concept to be a success.

The EU (and especially the Euro) are failing in my opinion

Don't like the unfair competition laws - ie: A country can't prop up failing businesses and protect employment as this would be considered state aid and yet the EU can encourage investment in disadvantaged areas and give them aid in the form of grants.

The reduction in the block grant if we lower corporation tax, is mandated by the EU (OK Westminster may have choosen to reduce it anyway, but at least there would be a possibility it may not be reduced)

The EU is enforcing laws and austerity measures on Ireland, water charges are/were mandatory as part of the measures enforced by the EU as a condition of the bailout, which they forced Ireland to accept.

I don't like the EU overruling the laws of a member nation and being able to force them to comply.

Its bad enough being ruled by the UK, its worse being ruled by an even further detached foreign parliament.

Are you confusing the Eurozone and the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyboard Warrior on June 23, 2016, 11:16:24 AM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 11:10:56 AM
The EU is unrecognizable from the EEC that the UK voted for in 1975

What with the EU be like in 2025 - will it even be recognizable as the same one we are voting for today?

I fully support the EEC, and the original concepts of free trade and free movement of labour between countries that are economically, politically and culturally similar, however the EU has become a political body as well as a trading body, and the 28 member states are no longer similar enough for the concept to be a success.

The EU (and especially the Euro) are failing in my opinion

Don't like the unfair competition laws - ie: A country can't prop up failing businesses and protect employment as this would be considered state aid and yet the EU can encourage investment in disadvantaged areas and give them aid in the form of grants.

The reduction in the block grant if we lower corporation tax, is mandated by the EU (OK Westminster may (and probably would have) have choosen to reduce it anyway, but at least there would be a possibility it may not be reduced or at least negotiated a better deal)

The EU is enforcing laws and austerity measures on Ireland, water charges are/were mandatory as part of the measures enforced by the EU as a condition of the bailout, which they forced Ireland to accept.

I don't like the EU overruling the laws of a member nation and being able to force them to comply.

Its bad enough being ruled by the UK, its worse being ruled by an even further detached foreign parliament.

+1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 23, 2016, 11:19:16 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 11:12:09 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 23, 2016, 10:39:32 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo

Any Irish person using immigration as an excuse, needs to take a serious look at themselves.

How so? Controlling Immigration I said not stopping it. There are many Irish people in Australia atm (my family members amoung them). Australia controls immigration based on their needs. Common sense I would of thought. Do you see the difference?

So those that fled to America or anywhere for economic/ famine etc, what about those?
So when other countries/ peoples are experiencing the same kind of human disasters, we say no its ok we are sorted now and we comfortable you sort your own mess out?

Short term memory
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 11:25:58 AM
Wait till the Spanish send all them Brits back home as illegals.
And no matter what the Brits do they have to take in people seeking asylum or will they leave the UN too " because it's more foreigners telling them what to do"
If the Brits leave the EU what happens with the 800,000 Irish( EU)  citizens in the 6 Cos?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 11:46:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 11:13:06 AM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 11:10:56 AM
Leave

The EU is unrecognizable from the EEC that the UK voted for in 1975

What with the EU be like in 2025 - will it even be recognizable as the same one we are voting for today?

I fully support the EEC, and the original concepts of free trade and free movement of labour between countries that are economically, politically and culturally similar, however the EU has become a political body as well as a trading body, and the 28 member states are no longer similar enough for the concept to be a success.

The EU (and especially the Euro) are failing in my opinion

Don't like the unfair competition laws - ie: A country can't prop up failing businesses and protect employment as this would be considered state aid and yet the EU can encourage investment in disadvantaged areas and give them aid in the form of grants.

The reduction in the block grant if we lower corporation tax, is mandated by the EU (OK Westminster may have choosen to reduce it anyway, but at least there would be a possibility it may not be reduced)

The EU is enforcing laws and austerity measures on Ireland, water charges are/were mandatory as part of the measures enforced by the EU as a condition of the bailout, which they forced Ireland to accept.

I don't like the EU overruling the laws of a member nation and being able to force them to comply.

Its bad enough being ruled by the UK, its worse being ruled by an even further detached foreign parliament.

Are you confusing the Eurozone and the EU?

The EU is not the Eurozone but The Eurozone is part of the EU (and the majority part at that)

I am voting to what I think is in the best interests of Ireland (North and South).

A UK vote could be the beginning of the end for the EU, there are indications of France and the Netherlands wanting out too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 11:49:00 AM

So those that fled to America or anywhere for economic/ famine etc, what about those?
So when other countries/ peoples are experiencing the same kind of human disasters, we say no its ok we are sorted now and we comfortable you sort your own mess out?

Short term memory
[/quote]

Bit off topic here as the issue is eu immigration. I only used the oz example as that of a country with control of their own policy.
Are you saying that immigration from economically poor, war torn or famine ravaged areas ect.. shouldn't be controlled?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 11:49:20 AM
Support  for Farage and the DUP is not in the interests of any part of Ireland.
This is too important  to be associated with fad trivialities like water charges.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 11:53:57 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 11:25:58 AM
Wait till the Spanish send all them Brits back home as illegals.
And no matter what the Brits do they have to take in people seeking asylum or will they leave the UN too " because it's more foreigners telling them what to do"
If the Brits leave the EU what happens with the 800,000 Irish( EU)  citizens in the 6 Cos?

They can't sent the Brits home anymore than the Brits can send the Polish home.

Vienna Convention means they have the right to stay.

It can stop more Brits going to Spain, and more Eastern Europeans coming to the UK, but won't change the residency rights of the ones already moved.

As for the 6 counties - our right to dual nationality shouldn't be affected by the UK leaving the EU, we are still entitled to an Irish Passport and Irish (therefore EU) citizenship.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 11:55:47 AM
Quote from: supersub on June 23, 2016, 09:51:29 AM
I do not know how any lay person can be well enough informed to take the risk, and that is what it is, to vote to leave the EU. The carefully chosen spin you hear from Brexit campaigners should certainly not be enough to shape public views. The whole thing is built on if, buts, maybes and more than anything, assumptions. They assume they will be better of, they assume they will have more control. Serious risk.

And not knowing what the EU has planned down the line is a major assumption on voting remain also.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 11:57:25 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 23, 2016, 10:39:32 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo

Any Irish person using immigration as an excuse, needs to take a serious look at themselves.

Yeah because not having enough housing, school places, doctors etc to deal with what is here, isn't a real issue, unless you are implying they are all racist?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 23, 2016, 12:00:13 PM
HL Mencken. For every problem, there is a solution that is neat, plausible and wrong. 



The big issue that overshadows the Brexit vote and the Trump phenomenon is the failed economic system.
It is this :
http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/01/15/40-years-of-economic-policy-in-one-chart/

The EU could be reformed to be a union that works for ordinary people again.
But people have to fight for that to happen.

No matter how well-written or delivered, a speech cannot divert whole societies from a well-established course of action. Policies in motion tend to remain in motion; to change the trajectory of a deeply-entrenched set of initiatives requires the application of political forces of equal momentum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:00:31 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 11:49:20 AM
Support  for Farage and the DUP is not in the interests of any part of Ireland.
This is too important  to be associated with fad trivialities like water charges.

The decision is too important to be made on the basis of what political parties support it.

Its not about trivialities, its about the bigger picture, and the fact that the EU has the ability to override a countries right to rule itself.

The water charges is just one example whereby the EU has forced its opinion on Ireland or the UK - there are a load more.

We vote for a government, they make a decision, that's democracy. The EU overrides that decision - that's undemocratic.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 12:02:48 PM
Everyone one who votes remain should remember how good that made them feel when they get their European tax code.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 12:08:43 PM
We vote  for a government,  which has made agreements with others in a club called the EU. We are the EU,  it isn't someone else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:17:11 PM
What's a European tax code?
When was it introduced?
The red herrings are fairly flying from no wides and Lazer ::)
And they even got every loonyleftie's favourite subject in " water charges".
The English/Scots/ Welsh will still be paying for water if they leave the EU and it won't be long before the 6 Cos will be taken off life support by the London Govt.
Meanwhile farmers in the 6 Cos will be fcukd without the EU cheque while cheap South American beef will close them down altogether.
And the EU wont have much time for Irish citizens living outside the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.

Immigration to the NHS will not stop because of a Brexit - we have plenty of Asians training to be medical staff here and Asia isn't in the EU.

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:02:13 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.

Immigration to the NHS will not stop because of a Brexit - we have plenty of Asians training to be medical staff here and Asia isn't in the EU.

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

You have to pass through non-EU passport control. Even though the line is often shorter, the scrutiny is far, far higher. You often see families left sitting for hours upstream of passport control in Dublin Airport, for example. Many people are deported straight back to where they came from on the basis of passport control.  You'll know all about it if the vote is Leave.

Customs is something completely different entirely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:06:18 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 23, 2016, 12:24:50 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 11:57:25 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 23, 2016, 10:39:32 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo

Any Irish person using immigration as an excuse, needs to take a serious look at themselves.

Yeah because not having enough housing, school places, doctors etc to deal with what is here, isn't a real issue, unless you are implying they are all racist?

The pressure on the Health Service, education and housing etc is not the fault of immigrants...it's the fault of people who consistently vote for governments that cut support to the NHS, refuse to invest in building enough affordable homes, and cut budgets to education authorities..i.e the electorate (the vast majority of whom aren't immigrants)

Yeah nothing to do with immigration!  http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/net-migration-pushes-uk-population-to-over-65-million-a3279016.html (http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/net-migration-pushes-uk-population-to-over-65-million-a3279016.html)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:08:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:17:11 PM
What's a European tax code?
When was it introduced?

The red herrings are fairly flying from no wides and Lazer ::)
And they even got every loonyleftie's favourite subject in " water charges".
The English/Scots/ Welsh will still be paying for water if they leave the EU and it won't be long before the 6 Cos will be taken off life support by the London Govt.
Meanwhile farmers in the 6 Cos will be fcukd without the EU cheque while cheap South American beef will close them down altogether.
And the EU wont have much time for Irish citizens living outside the EU.

You will get it in the next few years when Turkey joins as a pat on the back for keeping the Syrian refugees!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 01:09:45 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:02:13 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.

Immigration to the NHS will not stop because of a Brexit - we have plenty of Asians training to be medical staff here and Asia isn't in the EU.

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

You have to pass through non-EU passport control. Even though the line is often shorter, the scrutiny is far, far higher. You often see families left sitting for hours upstream of passport control in Dublin Airport, for example. Many people are deported straight back to where they came from on the basis of passport control.  You'll know all about it if the vote is Leave.

Customs is something completely different entirely.

That's only if you don't have an EU passport, I believe? So you could be traveling on an American passport and flying in from Paris and you would still be put in the non-EU queue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 01:25:10 PM
A Leave vote is the only hope for a Reunited Ireland.
As it stands there is no border and as both countries are governed by the EU not much political difference.Judging by the polls there is no desire for it (around 70 30).  Nationalists are reasonably content with the status quo so somehting needs to happen to change this. It could pave the way for Scottish independance and the break up of the union.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 23, 2016, 01:46:55 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 01:25:10 PM
A Leave vote is the only hope for a Reunited Ireland.
As it stands there is no border and as both countries are governed by the EU not much political difference.Judging by the polls there is no desire for it (around 70 30).  Nationalists are reasonably content with the status quo so somehting needs to happen to change this. It could pave the way for Scottish independance and the break up of the union.
a UI is inevitable and doesn't depend on the 23rd of June 2016
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:51:46 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 01:09:45 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:02:13 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.

Immigration to the NHS will not stop because of a Brexit - we have plenty of Asians training to be medical staff here and Asia isn't in the EU.

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

You have to pass through non-EU passport control. Even though the line is often shorter, the scrutiny is far, far higher. You often see families left sitting for hours upstream of passport control in Dublin Airport, for example. Many people are deported straight back to where they came from on the basis of passport control.  You'll know all about it if the vote is Leave.

Customs is something completely different entirely.

That's only if you don't have an EU passport, I believe? So you could be traveling on an American passport and flying in from Paris and you would still be put in the non-EU queue.

Of course. Aren't they the devils we are trying to stop?

Leave the EU and every nation will be the devils you are trying to stop. With the probable exception of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on June 23, 2016, 02:09:09 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

Ever driven from Switzerland to France or vice versa?  You're not often stopped, but the queue is huge pain in the a$$.  Airports I can deal with (flying into Geneva isn't too bad).  Roads I pass frequently, and not to go on holiday but to work - not so much!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 02:15:09 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:51:46 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 01:09:45 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:02:13 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.

Immigration to the NHS will not stop because of a Brexit - we have plenty of Asians training to be medical staff here and Asia isn't in the EU.

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

You have to pass through non-EU passport control. Even though the line is often shorter, the scrutiny is far, far higher. You often see families left sitting for hours upstream of passport control in Dublin Airport, for example. Many people are deported straight back to where they came from on the basis of passport control.  You'll know all about it if the vote is Leave.

Customs is something completely different entirely.

That's only if you don't have an EU passport, I believe? So you could be traveling on an American passport and flying in from Paris and you would still be put in the non-EU queue.

Of course. Aren't they the devils we are trying to stop?

Leave the EU and every nation will be the devils you are trying to stop. With the probable exception of Ireland.

Any nationalist should have an Irish passport anyway so shouldn't give a toss about that. I've driven from France to Swizterland and back before and never had to bother with any queues or traffic.

The Leave=UI argument is that there will be no border and it will move to Britain, Ireland will be treated as one entity and Scotland will leave.

I ended up voting In, mainly because I think it's important that any Brexit is against the will of nationalist areas (who want to remain in the EU and therefore there is an appetite for a UI), and the risk of border posts in Ireland (which I don't believe will happen) was too big a risk, I couldn't be bothered being searched by British soldiers every few days.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 02:20:19 PM
Fcuk it ok lads lets all vote Brexit and sod the consequences sure its no worse than sticking a few quid on with Paddy Power.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 02:32:35 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 02:20:19 PM
Fcuk it ok lads lets all vote Brexit and sod the consequences sure its no worse than sticking a few quid on with Paddy Power.

OK we'll  have a recession  and checkpoints and anarchy in order areas,  but we'll have made a point about water  charges
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 02:38:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 02:32:35 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 02:20:19 PM
Fcuk it ok lads lets all vote Brexit and sod the consequences sure its no worse than sticking a few quid on with Paddy Power.

OK we'll  have a recession  and checkpoints and anarchy in order areas,  but we'll have made a point about water  charges

You really bought into the fear campaign!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 03:15:12 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:06:18 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 23, 2016, 12:24:50 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 11:57:25 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 23, 2016, 10:39:32 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo

Any Irish person using immigration as an excuse, needs to take a serious look at themselves.

Yeah because not having enough housing, school places, doctors etc to deal with what is here, isn't a real issue, unless you are implying they are all racist?

The pressure on the Health Service, education and housing etc is not the fault of immigrants...it's the fault of people who consistently vote for governments that cut support to the NHS, refuse to invest in building enough affordable homes, and cut budgets to education authorities..i.e the electorate (the vast majority of whom aren't immigrants)

Yeah nothing to do with immigration!  http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/net-migration-pushes-uk-population-to-over-65-million-a3279016.html (http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/net-migration-pushes-uk-population-to-over-65-million-a3279016.html)
So if the infrastructure cannot handle a >1% increase in population, half of which is UK births and half of the remainder from outside the EU it is all the fault of the 0.0025% immigrants from inside the EU for pushing it over the edge?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 03:17:06 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:08:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:17:11 PM
What's a European tax code?
When was it introduced?

The red herrings are fairly flying from no wides and Lazer ::)
And they even got every loonyleftie's favourite subject in " water charges".
The English/Scots/ Welsh will still be paying for water if they leave the EU and it won't be long before the 6 Cos will be taken off life support by the London Govt.
Meanwhile farmers in the 6 Cos will be fcukd without the EU cheque while cheap South American beef will close them down altogether.
And the EU wont have much time for Irish citizens living outside the EU.

You will get it in the next few years when Turkey joins as a pat on the back for keeping the Syrian refugees!
And they meet the 35 non-negotiable conditions (only 1 of which they have met since 1987)  and all 28 current Countries (including the UK and Cyprus) accept them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 03:21:27 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:08:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:17:11 PM
What's a European tax code?
When was it introduced?

The red herrings are fairly flying from no wides and Lazer ::)
And they even got every loonyleftie's favourite subject in " water charges".
The English/Scots/ Welsh will still be paying for water if they leave the EU and it won't be long before the 6 Cos will be taken off life support by the London Govt.
Meanwhile farmers in the 6 Cos will be fcukd without the EU cheque while cheap South American beef will close them down altogether.
And the EU wont have much time for Irish citizens living outside the EU.

You will get it in the next few years when Turkey joins as a pat on the back for keeping the Syrian refugees!

Any chance you could list the winners of all next weekend's horse races.?
What is a " European tax code"?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 03:28:12 PM
Turkey joining  the EU  will be nothing  compared to Azerbaijan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 03:33:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 02:32:35 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 02:20:19 PM
Fcuk it ok lads lets all vote Brexit and sod the consequences sure its no worse than sticking a few quid on with Paddy Power.

OK we'll  have a recession  and checkpoints and anarchy in order areas,  but we'll have made a point about water  charges

Checkpoints might stop the red and green diesel smugglers making money, so that's not a bad thing? Still undecided but by all accounts this will be a remain anyways.....

Seen a great post about how the immigrants are stealing jobs.. They don't!! they are doing the jobs here that no one wants to do..... if we close down this avenue for immigrants to come here to work in our health service our Moy Parks and the other industries that they have increased the production rates who is going to do it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 03:58:31 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 03:33:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 02:32:35 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 02:20:19 PM
Fcuk it ok lads lets all vote Brexit and sod the consequences sure its no worse than sticking a few quid on with Paddy Power.

OK we'll  have a recession  and checkpoints and anarchy in order areas,  but we'll have made a point about water  charges

Checkpoints might stop the red and green diesel smugglers making money, so that's not a bad thing? Still undecided but by all accounts this will be a remain anyways.....


A Brexit would be a smugglers paradise, only the legit businesses would suffer the delays
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 05:03:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 03:58:31 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 03:33:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 02:32:35 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 02:20:19 PM
Fcuk it ok lads lets all vote Brexit and sod the consequences sure its no worse than sticking a few quid on with Paddy Power.

OK we'll  have a recession  and checkpoints and anarchy in order areas,  but we'll have made a point about water  charges

Checkpoints might stop the red and green diesel smugglers making money, so that's not a bad thing? Still undecided but by all accounts this will be a remain anyways.....


A Brexit would be a smugglers paradise, only the legit businesses would suffer the delays

So there wouldn't be checkpoints? I'm confused you said there would be checkpoints now it would be a smugglers paradise if there was border checkpoints!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 05:04:29 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 03:33:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 02:32:35 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 02:20:19 PM
Fcuk it ok lads lets all vote Brexit and sod the consequences sure its no worse than sticking a few quid on with Paddy Power.

OK we'll  have a recession  and checkpoints and anarchy in order areas,  but we'll have made a point about water  charges

Checkpoints might stop the red and green diesel smugglers making money, so that's not a bad thing? Still undecided but by all accounts this will be a remain anyways.....

Seen a great post about how the immigrants are stealing jobs.. They don't!! they are doing the jobs here that no one wants to do..... if we close down this avenue for immigrants to come here to work in our health service our Moy Parks and the other industries that they have increased the production rates who is going to do it?

That's right they are washing your status symbol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 05:05:35 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 03:15:12 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:06:18 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 23, 2016, 12:24:50 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 11:57:25 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 23, 2016, 10:39:32 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 23, 2016, 10:22:26 AM
Muppet,
Im irish, but I can vote on this
As regards immigration 150,000 eu citizens settled in uk last year alone so wouldnt say leaving the eu would have no impact  ;D
As regards corp tax Britain wont vote in Irelands interest, but I will
I have met politicians and no idea what your on about with mayo

Any Irish person using immigration as an excuse, needs to take a serious look at themselves.

Yeah because not having enough housing, school places, doctors etc to deal with what is here, isn't a real issue, unless you are implying they are all racist?

The pressure on the Health Service, education and housing etc is not the fault of immigrants...it's the fault of people who consistently vote for governments that cut support to the NHS, refuse to invest in building enough affordable homes, and cut budgets to education authorities..i.e the electorate (the vast majority of whom aren't immigrants)

Yeah nothing to do with immigration!  http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/net-migration-pushes-uk-population-to-over-65-million-a3279016.html (http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/net-migration-pushes-uk-population-to-over-65-million-a3279016.html)
So if the infrastructure cannot handle a >1% increase in population, half of which is UK births and half of the remainder from outside the EU it is all the fault of the 0.0025% immigrants from inside the EU for pushing it over the edge?

Year on year and expected to get more and more - short answer is no.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 05:06:54 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 03:17:06 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:08:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:17:11 PM
What's a European tax code?
When was it introduced?

The red herrings are fairly flying from no wides and Lazer ::)
And they even got every loonyleftie's favourite subject in " water charges".
The English/Scots/ Welsh will still be paying for water if they leave the EU and it won't be long before the 6 Cos will be taken off life support by the London Govt.
Meanwhile farmers in the 6 Cos will be fcukd without the EU cheque while cheap South American beef will close them down altogether.
And the EU wont have much time for Irish citizens living outside the EU.

You will get it in the next few years when Turkey joins as a pat on the back for keeping the Syrian refugees!
And they meet the 35 non-negotiable conditions (only 1 of which they have met since 1987)  and all 28 current Countries (including the UK and Cyprus) accept them.

You have your head up your hole if you think Turkey won't get special treatment to join.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 05:51:11 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 02:15:09 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:51:46 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 01:09:45 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:02:13 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.

Immigration to the NHS will not stop because of a Brexit - we have plenty of Asians training to be medical staff here and Asia isn't in the EU.

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

You have to pass through non-EU passport control. Even though the line is often shorter, the scrutiny is far, far higher. You often see families left sitting for hours upstream of passport control in Dublin Airport, for example. Many people are deported straight back to where they came from on the basis of passport control.  You'll know all about it if the vote is Leave.

Customs is something completely different entirely.

That's only if you don't have an EU passport, I believe? So you could be traveling on an American passport and flying in from Paris and you would still be put in the non-EU queue.

Of course. Aren't they the devils we are trying to stop?

Leave the EU and every nation will be the devils you are trying to stop. With the probable exception of Ireland.

Any nationalist should have an Irish passport anyway so shouldn't give a toss about that. I've driven from France to Swizterland and back before and never had to bother with any queues or traffic.

The Leave=UI argument is that there will be no border and it will move to Britain, Ireland will be treated as one entity and Scotland will leave.

I ended up voting In, mainly because I think it's important that any Brexit is against the will of nationalist areas (who want to remain in the EU and therefore there is an appetite for a UI), and the risk of border posts in Ireland (which I don't believe will happen) was too big a risk, I couldn't be bothered being searched by British soldiers every few days.

Do you know why you weren't bothered by queues or traffic?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 05:54:37 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 05:06:54 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 03:17:06 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:08:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:17:11 PM
What's a European tax code?
When was it introduced?

The red herrings are fairly flying from no wides and Lazer ::)
And they even got every loonyleftie's favourite subject in " water charges".
The English/Scots/ Welsh will still be paying for water if they leave the EU and it won't be long before the 6 Cos will be taken off life support by the London Govt.
Meanwhile farmers in the 6 Cos will be fcukd without the EU cheque while cheap South American beef will close them down altogether.
And the EU wont have much time for Irish citizens living outside the EU.

You will get it in the next few years when Turkey joins as a pat on the back for keeping the Syrian refugees!
And they meet the 35 non-negotiable conditions (only 1 of which they have met since 1987)  and all 28 current Countries (including the UK and Cyprus) accept them.

You have your head up your hole if you think Turkey won't get special treatment to join.
I don't doubt they will get help to meet the 34 criteria but they will still have to meet them. If they do meet those criteria which include human rights, judicial independence, press freedom, religious freedom, etc, I see no issue with them joining. They are wealthier than many Countries already in the EU.
Do you think the Greeks and Cypriots  will just roll over?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on June 23, 2016, 06:25:57 PM
Bild newspaper in Germany has ffered some bribes to encourage a Remain vote.

http://www.bild.de/politik/ausland/brexit/dear-brits-46447914.bild.html

... even we will acknowledge the Wembley goal!
... we will stop making jokes about Prince Charles's ears!
... we will no longer use sunscreen at the beach – in solidarity with your sunburns!
... we will do without our goalkeeper for the next round of penalties, for more excitement!
... we will voluntarily provide the bad guy for any James Bond movie!
... we will introduce tea time with buckets at the Ballermann!
... we will immediately turns our clocks back one hour!
... we will reserve the hotel sunloungers for you with our towels in the morning!
... we will introduce an EU directive banning foam on beer!
... Jogi Löw will guard your crown jewels!
... we will all attend the Queen's 100th birthday!

I'd still put my money on Germany in a penalty shoot out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Donnellys Hollow on June 23, 2016, 06:28:18 PM
Brexit (6/1) finished down the field in the 6:10 at Newbury:

http://www.irishracing.com/horse?name=Brexit&prt=532707 (http://www.irishracing.com/horse?name=Brexit&prt=532707)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 06:54:53 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 05:54:37 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 05:06:54 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 23, 2016, 03:17:06 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 23, 2016, 01:08:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 12:17:11 PM
What's a European tax code?
When was it introduced?

The red herrings are fairly flying from no wides and Lazer ::)
And they even got every loonyleftie's favourite subject in " water charges".
The English/Scots/ Welsh will still be paying for water if they leave the EU and it won't be long before the 6 Cos will be taken off life support by the London Govt.
Meanwhile farmers in the 6 Cos will be fcukd without the EU cheque while cheap South American beef will close them down altogether.
And the EU wont have much time for Irish citizens living outside the EU.

You will get it in the next few years when Turkey joins as a pat on the back for keeping the Syrian refugees!
And they meet the 35 non-negotiable conditions (only 1 of which they have met since 1987)  and all 28 current Countries (including the UK and Cyprus) accept them.

You have your head up your hole if you think Turkey won't get special treatment to join.
I don't doubt they will get help to meet the 34 criteria but they will still have to meet them. If they do meet those criteria which include human rights, judicial independence, press freedom, religious freedom, etc, I see no issue with them joining. They are wealthier than many Countries already in the EU.
Do you think the Greeks and Cypriots  will just roll over?

I think in a European state they will do as they are told.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 07:30:38 PM
http://www.rte.ie/entertainment/2016/0623/797667-game-of-thrones/ (http://www.rte.ie/entertainment/2016/0623/797667-game-of-thrones/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 07:32:15 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 05:51:11 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 02:15:09 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:51:46 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 01:09:45 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:02:13 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.

Immigration to the NHS will not stop because of a Brexit - we have plenty of Asians training to be medical staff here and Asia isn't in the EU.

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

You have to pass through non-EU passport control. Even though the line is often shorter, the scrutiny is far, far higher. You often see families left sitting for hours upstream of passport control in Dublin Airport, for example. Many people are deported straight back to where they came from on the basis of passport control.  You'll know all about it if the vote is Leave.

Customs is something completely different entirely.

That's only if you don't have an EU passport, I believe? So you could be traveling on an American passport and flying in from Paris and you would still be put in the non-EU queue.

Of course. Aren't they the devils we are trying to stop?

Leave the EU and every nation will be the devils you are trying to stop. With the probable exception of Ireland.

Any nationalist should have an Irish passport anyway so shouldn't give a toss about that. I've driven from France to Swizterland and back before and never had to bother with any queues or traffic.

The Leave=UI argument is that there will be no border and it will move to Britain, Ireland will be treated as one entity and Scotland will leave.

I ended up voting In, mainly because I think it's important that any Brexit is against the will of nationalist areas (who want to remain in the EU and therefore there is an appetite for a UI), and the risk of border posts in Ireland (which I don't believe will happen) was too big a risk, I couldn't be bothered being searched by British soldiers every few days.

Do you know why you weren't bothered by queues or traffic?


No, but somebody a few posts above me commented that there are big queues of traffic even though you rarely get stopped. I was refuting their point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 07:34:44 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 07:32:15 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 05:51:11 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 02:15:09 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:51:46 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 01:09:45 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 01:02:13 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 23, 2016, 12:11:13 PM
Set aside the economic arguments, which in my view can be twisted either way. If you want border controls when you go any where in the EU vote Brexit, if you want the NHS collapsing because we can't train enough local staff vote Brexit. If you want red tape and Custom houses from Lifford to Newry vote Brexit.

Immigration to the NHS will not stop because of a Brexit - we have plenty of Asians training to be medical staff here and Asia isn't in the EU.

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

You have to pass through non-EU passport control. Even though the line is often shorter, the scrutiny is far, far higher. You often see families left sitting for hours upstream of passport control in Dublin Airport, for example. Many people are deported straight back to where they came from on the basis of passport control.  You'll know all about it if the vote is Leave.

Customs is something completely different entirely.

That's only if you don't have an EU passport, I believe? So you could be traveling on an American passport and flying in from Paris and you would still be put in the non-EU queue.

Of course. Aren't they the devils we are trying to stop?

Leave the EU and every nation will be the devils you are trying to stop. With the probable exception of Ireland.

Any nationalist should have an Irish passport anyway so shouldn't give a toss about that. I've driven from France to Swizterland and back before and never had to bother with any queues or traffic.

The Leave=UI argument is that there will be no border and it will move to Britain, Ireland will be treated as one entity and Scotland will leave.

I ended up voting In, mainly because I think it's important that any Brexit is against the will of nationalist areas (who want to remain in the EU and therefore there is an appetite for a UI), and the risk of border posts in Ireland (which I don't believe will happen) was too big a risk, I couldn't be bothered being searched by British soldiers every few days.

Do you know why you weren't bothered by queues or traffic?


No, but somebody a few posts above me commented that there are big queues of traffic even though you rarely get stopped. I was refuting their point.

I have absolutely no idea what you point is and the only thing I am certain of at this stage, is that neither do you.  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 07:48:29 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 07:34:44 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 07:32:15 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 05:51:11 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 02:15:09 PM


Any nationalist should have an Irish passport anyway so shouldn't give a toss about that. I've driven from France to Swizterland and back before and never had to bother with any queues or traffic.

The Leave=UI argument is that there will be no border and it will move to Britain, Ireland will be treated as one entity and Scotland will leave.

I ended up voting In, mainly because I think it's important that any Brexit is against the will of nationalist areas (who want to remain in the EU and therefore there is an appetite for a UI), and the risk of border posts in Ireland (which I don't believe will happen) was too big a risk, I couldn't be bothered being searched by British soldiers every few days.

Do you know why you weren't bothered by queues or traffic?


No, but somebody a few posts above me commented that there are big queues of traffic even though you rarely get stopped. I was refuting their point.

I have absolutely no idea what you point is and the only thing I am certain of at this stage, is that neither do you.  :D


Quote from: Rois on June 23, 2016, 02:09:09 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

Ever driven from Switzerland to France or vice versa?  You're not often stopped, but the queue is huge pain in the a$$.  Airports I can deal with (flying into Geneva isn't too bad).  Roads I pass frequently, and not to go on holiday but to work - not so much!

Good lad muppet, don't bother checking back over the posts and live up to your username.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on June 23, 2016, 08:22:38 PM
No particular skin in this game or a vote, but I think I'd be ticking remain, if only for the blatant anti-intellectualism of some of Leave's arguments, especially Gove railing against "experts".

More than willing to get on board with the general public feeling frustrated and hopeless since the economic crisis and the lack of institutional trust that has come with it - but the more and more independent bodies, academics, company heads etc that have warned of an economic shock, the more Leave have reacted like American Republicans confronted with climate change - what would a scientist know more than me?

Plenty, actually.

Also, the morality of facilitating refugees from war zones (countries, by the way, that were formed in the aftermath of WW1 by a colonial carve up between France and the British empire, without any regard for the ethnicity of the local populations, thus guaranteeing at some stage down the line a crisis) added to the fact that all economic studies indicate that immigrants are net contributors to the host country's GDP (by a good long way, immigrants are the least likely social group to access welfare on a long term basis) then to me it seems a fairly rational choice.

I'd also say the public representatives of Leave have let down the majority of their supporters by twisting the arguments. The EU is a flawed enough institution that a coherent argument can be made for leaving, and plenty of democratic populations (including our own) have rejected the EU in referenda over the past two decades.

If perhaps, Leave had fought it on sovereignty alone, and made the point that in addition to negotiating to maintain trade ties with Europe, they would also offer a written constitution after Brexit that would incorporate some of the best aspects of the convention on human rights and the labour protections from Europe, then they could have made an argument to the working class that didn't rest on a lie that there were a load of immigrants swarming in to take their jobs.

The basic point for me is that the No supporters are voting because of fears about austerity and inequality - they would be far better off voting out a Tory government which has gutted the UK since their election in 2010, because of their obsession with the deficit. To get away with this they have demonized immigrants and the EU - but now they realize that Brexit could be such a disaster, and are desperately trying to get the genie back in the bottle. Just as the Republicans have done with Trump.

Post truth politics.

A big decision for everyone, turnout is the key.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:01:40 PM
Fully agree. People would be much better voting tories out first then dealing with eu. They really are going to be the ruination of the whole of the uk and them combined with no eu would cripple ni.

Vote out of eu to give tories full control is quite a frightening prospect. One which i really hope i don't wake up to or it could be moving time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 23, 2016, 10:08:35 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 07:48:29 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 07:34:44 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 07:32:15 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 23, 2016, 05:51:11 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on June 23, 2016, 02:15:09 PM


Any nationalist should have an Irish passport anyway so shouldn't give a toss about that. I've driven from France to Swizterland and back before and never had to bother with any queues or traffic.

The Leave=UI argument is that there will be no border and it will move to Britain, Ireland will be treated as one entity and Scotland will leave.

I ended up voting In, mainly because I think it's important that any Brexit is against the will of nationalist areas (who want to remain in the EU and therefore there is an appetite for a UI), and the risk of border posts in Ireland (which I don't believe will happen) was too big a risk, I couldn't be bothered being searched by British soldiers every few days.

Do you know why you weren't bothered by queues or traffic?


No, but somebody a few posts above me commented that there are big queues of traffic even though you rarely get stopped. I was refuting their point.

I have absolutely no idea what you point is and the only thing I am certain of at this stage, is that neither do you.  :D


Quote from: Rois on June 23, 2016, 02:09:09 PM
Quote from: Lazer on June 23, 2016, 12:24:14 PM

As for customs, ever walked through Dublin or Belfast airport coming off a non EU flight? How often do you get stopped? Its mainly a matter of spot checks and putting the emphasis on you declare any goods which may be subject to tariffs or import taxes.

Ever driven from Switzerland to France or vice versa?  You're not often stopped, but the queue is huge pain in the a$$.  Airports I can deal with (flying into Geneva isn't too bad).  Roads I pass frequently, and not to go on holiday but to work - not so much!

Good lad muppet, don't bother checking back over the posts and live up to your username.

Here's how it works.

I am answering your post and you can see the conversation in the list of quotes above.

If I now answer a post from somebody else, that isn't listed above or included in a quote, no one but me will have a clue what I am talking about.


And as for the insult: "Good lad muppet, don't bother checking back over the posts and live up to your username."

(https://media.giphy.com/media/zhJ55GsXRajxm/giphy.gif)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 23, 2016, 10:24:49 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:01:40 PM
Fully agree. People would be much better voting tories out first then dealing with eu. They really are going to be the ruination of the whole of the uk and them combined with no eu would cripple ni.

Vote out of eu to give tories full control is quite a frightening prospect. One which i really hope i don't wake up to or it could be moving time.

Different choir, same hymn sheet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 23, 2016, 10:37:08 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:01:40 PM
Fully agree. People would be much better voting tories out first then dealing with eu. They really are going to be the ruination of the whole of the uk and them combined with no eu would cripple ni.

Vote out of eu to give tories full control is quite a frightening prospect. One which i really hope i don't wake up to or it could be moving time.
Well said. Cameron made a dreadful misjudgement calling this vote  . The Tories have no ideas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 10:39:42 PM
It will be a remain (well based on the bookies) 56% for remain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on June 23, 2016, 10:41:53 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 23, 2016, 10:37:08 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:01:40 PM
Fully agree. People would be much better voting tories out first then dealing with eu. They really are going to be the ruination of the whole of the uk and them combined with no eu would cripple ni.

Vote out of eu to give tories full control is quite a frightening prospect. One which i really hope i don't wake up to or it could be moving time.
Well said. Cameron made a dreadful misjudgement calling this vote  . The Tories have no ideas.

Well we may get used to them cos Labour won't be in anytime soon
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:50:14 PM
Yeah it is depressing. What the tories are doing to the nhs is criminal :-(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on June 23, 2016, 10:59:54 PM
Farage reckons is a close win for remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:02:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:50:14 PM
Yeah it is depressing. What the tories are doing to the nhs is criminal :-(

Would the NHS save money if we were charged £10 for doctors appointments and A&E visits?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on June 23, 2016, 11:06:11 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:50:14 PM
Yeah it is depressing. What the tories are doing to the nhs is criminal :-(

No, what Labour did in bloating the NHS was criminal.

Tories are just trying to make it work as a service.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on June 23, 2016, 11:07:46 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on June 23, 2016, 10:59:54 PM
Farage reckons is a close win for remain.

Turns out he has unconceded the result now! Its going to be a long night!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 23, 2016, 11:08:13 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:02:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:50:14 PM
Yeah it is depressing. What the tories are doing to the nhs is criminal :-(

Would the NHS save money if we were charged £10 for doctors appointments and A&E visits?

It's a slippery slope once you start charging. First it's a tenner then it will have to be in line with inflation and then who knows.

Remember tuition fees came in at £1,000 and are now up to £9,000 per year!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 11:09:39 PM
In this matter,  I do not advocate Brits Out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 11:11:02 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:02:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:50:14 PM
Yeah it is depressing. What the tories are doing to the nhs is criminal :-(

Would the NHS save money if we were charged £10 for doctors appointments and A&E visits?

Fewer agency workers and more full time workers.

Less layers of management.

Don't need to go down the charge route.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:15:45 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 23, 2016, 11:08:13 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:02:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:50:14 PM
Yeah it is depressing. What the tories are doing to the nhs is criminal :-(

Would the NHS save money if we were charged £10 for doctors appointments and A&E visits?

It's a slippery slope once you start charging. First it's a tenner then it will have to be in line with inflation and then who knows.

Remember tuition fees came in at £1,000 and are now up to £9,000 per year!!

I understand but what are the choices ?  NHS is at its knees no money for basic procedures, waiting lists that long that people give up waiting or die!! If they put a 6/7 year freeze at a tenner then you would see the doctors surgery's being a lot shorter and A&E with less people
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on June 23, 2016, 11:16:21 PM
Sticking my nose in where it doesn't belong but I do hope Cameron now wields the axe and fires all the cabinet that wanted out.

Yer wan Villers was just on Sky News and she would be top of my list (to fire, nothing else, no tittering down the back)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 11:24:17 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on June 23, 2016, 11:16:21 PM
Sticking my nose in where it doesn't belong but I do hope Cameron now wields the axe and fires all the cabinet that wanted out.

Yer wan Villers was just on Sky News and she would be top of my list (to fire, nothing else, no tittering down the back)

A good spsnking is in order,  before firing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 11:35:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:15:45 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 23, 2016, 11:08:13 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:02:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:50:14 PM
Yeah it is depressing. What the tories are doing to the nhs is criminal :-(

Would the NHS save money if we were charged £10 for doctors appointments and A&E visits?

It's a slippery slope once you start charging. First it's a tenner then it will have to be in line with inflation and then who knows.

Remember tuition fees came in at £1,000 and are now up to £9,000 per year!!



I understand but what are the choices ?  NHS is at its knees no money for basic procedures, waiting lists that long that people give up waiting or die!! If they put a 6/7 year freeze at a tenner then you would see the doctors surgery's being a lot shorter and A&E with less people

It is all smoke and mirrors mr. It is being made very unattractive to push people to private. Incidentally a number of tories have vested interests in private health companies and the likes of hunt has written about how to privatise nhs in earlier political days.

It could be run much more efficiently for less money.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 23, 2016, 11:40:35 PM
Gibraltar says stay - game over!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:45:45 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 11:35:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:15:45 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 23, 2016, 11:08:13 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 23, 2016, 11:02:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 23, 2016, 10:50:14 PM
Yeah it is depressing. What the tories are doing to the nhs is criminal :-(

Would the NHS save money if we were charged £10 for doctors appointments and A&E visits?

It's a slippery slope once you start charging. First it's a tenner then it will have to be in line with inflation and then who knows.

Remember tuition fees came in at £1,000 and are now up to £9,000 per year!!



I understand but what are the choices ?  NHS is at its knees no money for basic procedures, waiting lists that long that people give up waiting or die!! If they put a 6/7 year freeze at a tenner then you would see the doctors surgery's being a lot shorter and A&E with less people

It is all smoke and mirrors mr. It is being made very unattractive to push people to private. Incidentally a number of tories have vested interests in private health companies and the likes of hunt has written about how to privatise nhs in earlier political days.

It could be run much more efficiently for less money.

Like a lot of government jobs, but £10 would certainly make money and save money!! Sure we even stopped the prescription charge!! £2.50
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 23, 2016, 11:52:34 PM
Why does SF put Martina Anderson on TV She is really poor
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 23, 2016, 11:54:18 PM

AND GOD CREATED THE EMERALD ISLE

Once upon a time in the kingdom of Heaven, God went missing for seven days.
Eventually, Michael the archangel found him. He inquired of God, "where were you?".

God sighed a deep sigh of satisfaction and proudly pointed downwards through the clouds; "look son, look what I'm after making". Archangel Michael looked puzzled and said, "what is it?"

God replied, "it's another planet but I'm after putting LIFE on it. I've named it Earth and there's going to be a balance between everything on it. For example, there's North America and South America. North America is going to be rich and South America is going to be poor, and the narrow bit joining them - that's going to be a hot spot. Now look over here. I've put a continent of whites in the north and another one of blacks in the south."

And then the archangel said, "and what's that green dot there?". And God said "ahhh that's the Emerald Isle - that's a very special place. That's going to be the most glorious spot on earth: beautiful mountains, lakes, rivers, streams, and an exquisite coast line."

"These people here are going to be great craic and they're going to be found traveling the world. They'll be playwrights and poets and singers and songwriters. And I'm going to give them this black liquid which they're going to go mad on and for which people will come from the far corners of the earth to imbibe."

Michael the Archangel gasped in wonder and admiration but then seeming startled proclaimed: "Hold on a second, what about the BALANCE, you said there was going to be a balance.

God replied wisely. "Wait until you see the neighbours I'm going to give them"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 23, 2016, 11:56:56 PM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 23, 2016, 11:52:34 PM
Why does SF put Martina Anderson on TV She is really poor
Gender balance?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 23, 2016, 11:58:38 PM
Any thoughts on where this leaves Arlene foster?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 12:02:49 AM
Remain 50.7% in Newcastle.
Sunderland next, probably Leave there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 12:18:18 AM
Sunderland 61% Leave.
It might be a long night.

Even the first Scottish place was only 59% Remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 12:20:13 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 12:18:18 AM
Sunderland 61% Leave.
It might be a long night.

Even the first Scottish place was only 59% Remain.

Howay the lads!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 12:26:46 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 12:20:13 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 12:18:18 AM
Sunderland 61% Leave.
It might be a long night.

Even the first Scottish place was only 59% Remain.

Howay the lads!

It's Haway in mackem land ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 12:29:44 AM
Next result in England is now vital. I think Leave sense they can win this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 24, 2016, 12:41:07 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 12:29:44 AM
Next result in England is now vital. I think Leave sense they can win this.

I think the BBC think they can
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 24, 2016, 12:42:35 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 12:29:44 AM
Next result in England is now vital. I think Leave sense they can win this.

PP at 3/10 even after the Newcastle/Sunderland results. Do they know something nobody else does??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 12:46:51 AM
1/2 to remain. 6/4 to stay!! Lot tighter than first thought... 4/11 for remain yesterday
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 12:47:29 AM
1/2 is a good price
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on June 24, 2016, 12:51:48 AM
Foyle 78% remain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 12:52:48 AM
Foyle 78%, Remain, respectable outcome.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 12:54:04 AM
Vast majority nationalist... Have all the national parties said remain??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 01:00:28 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 12:54:04 AM
Vast majority nationalist... Have all the national parties said remain??

Éirígí īloopers wanted out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on June 24, 2016, 01:06:13 AM
They did indeed, placed their eggs in the basket of destabilising the UK ... England's difficulty is Ireland's opportunity and all of that stuff. 

Fascinating night ahead.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 01:11:01 AM
With the way things are going, NI may provide any Remain surplus, if there is one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 01:12:30 AM
Any sign of customs posts & checkpoints at Newry?

I'm due to be in Sainsburys on Saturday.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 01:24:10 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 01:12:30 AM
Any sign of customs posts & checkpoints at Newry?

I'm due to be in Sainsburys on Saturday.

Sterling might be worth about a Euro  by then, the Freestaters will buy the place.

It seems the Westies couldn't be  arsed voting while those in East Belfast could. All very fine unless it comes down to a few thousand votes. So called nationalists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 24, 2016, 02:10:59 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 24, 2016, 01:50:46 AM
It looks like Leave have got the vote out

Looking like a bloodbath!! Bookies now odds on for leave.... f**k f**k f**king f**k!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 24, 2016, 02:46:48 AM
Remain have rallied but this is horrendous viewing...

If only I could get to sleep and not worry about a leave win I could stop watching the fecking coverage!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 24, 2016, 03:16:30 AM
Have the DUP turkeys voted for Xmass.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NetNitrate on June 24, 2016, 03:25:10 AM
Looks like if remain is to win, it's solely down to Nationalist, Scots and Londoners. Unionists, Welsh and the rest of England firmly going leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 03:29:13 AM
That guy in the Mayo jersey interviewed outside Ruislip swung it for Boris.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Íseal agus crua isteach a on June 24, 2016, 03:29:32 AM
Looks like leave are in the lead.
http://www.bbc.com/news
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NetNitrate on June 24, 2016, 03:33:43 AM
Why do Jeremy and those big info graphics the BBC do look more like a Monty Python sketch?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Estimator on June 24, 2016, 04:49:49 AM
ITV and Sky News have both called it for Leave!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Estimator on June 24, 2016, 04:56:37 AM
Looks like the NI vote was 56 / 44 in favour of remain!

BBC have now projected that the Leave campaign have won!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 24, 2016, 04:57:25 AM
A done deal we're out!

f**king narrow minded stupid selfish c***ts. The pound currently worth 1.22 and.dropping like a stone. More austerity and recession to come as well as a new leadership election likely to follow with probably f**king Boris to come in.

Fucked!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on June 24, 2016, 04:57:36 AM
f**k
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on June 24, 2016, 05:03:27 AM
England/NI fans going to have some shock buying Euros in France tomorrow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Muck Savage on June 24, 2016, 05:07:02 AM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on June 24, 2016, 05:03:27 AM
England/NI fans going to have some shock buying Euros in France tomorrow.

11% drop vs $$
6% drop vs Euro

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 24, 2016, 05:38:44 AM
Well unlike the last time where it was the bankers fault the people themselves have voted for a recession. . . But sure no more migrants will do the jobs they don't want/are too lazy to do so it's great!

Stupid f**king neanderthals!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on June 24, 2016, 05:58:17 AM
I feel physically sick. Any room across the border for us? I dread what is to come.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on June 24, 2016, 05:59:21 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 24, 2016, 05:12:38 AM
Sterling tumbling. Lowest against $ since 1985.

The question I don't think anyone has the answer to:

What the f**k happens now??

Thought about shorting it and didn't have the balls as always.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:06:24 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 24, 2016, 04:53:50 AM
Cameron might have to go! Leave about 900k votes ahead. That looks like enough
He will have to go
Calling the vote was suicidal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 24, 2016, 06:08:22 AM
https://youtu.be/37iHSwA1SwE

This sums up what their view on Europe has always been.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:25:32 AM
It will be interesting to see what the DUP's economic paradise looks like. Democracy is about giving the people what they want, good and hard as HL Mencken said.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thejuice on June 24, 2016, 06:27:32 AM
17million people wanted biscuit and 16million wanted cake.

Everyone gets biscuit.

Yay democracy!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:41:02 AM
I bet there are a lot of interested people in Greece. This is a kick in the nuts for the ECB and the austerity Germans. People are sick of neoliberalism. 

It is also probably the beginning of the end for the UK. We must remember at the going down of the sun the men from Ulster who died for a political setup that may no longer exist in a few years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 06:53:58 AM
We're f**ked in ni. Can't believe this. F**ked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 06:58:57 AM
No one knows we are fucked - a new beginning - Holland will follow - the EU has nothing to blame but itself, a corrupt unaccountable super state, bring it on, the beginning of the end for the EU.  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 07:00:56 AM
Guys can a border realistically go back up?? If so would it be manned by like EU officials and not brits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 07:01:54 AM
Well our house earnings will be half soon due to this vote. A new beginning with nothing but those tory pricks in charge. It is a disaster nowides.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 24, 2016, 07:02:13 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 06:53:58 AM
We're f**ked in ni. Can't believe this. F**ked.

Our economy will take a heavy hit too. Jesus H Christ, such news to wake up to. Cannot believe the English voters don't 'get' the economic aspect.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 07:03:47 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 06:53:58 AM
We're f**ked in ni. Can't believe this. F**ked.

Yep,  the place  getting most EU funds and with a lot of EU trade and do most to loose,  gets a sectarian headcount.

Contrast with Scotland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 24, 2016, 07:08:43 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 24, 2016, 07:02:13 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 06:53:58 AM
We're f**ked in ni. Can't believe this. F**ked.

Our economy will take a heavy hit too. Jesus H Christ, such news to wake up to. Cannot believe the English voters don't 'get' the economic aspect.
There are millions of them who don't care because they believe it doesn't affect them. They only care what The S*n tells them about migrants.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 07:11:55 AM
Northern england and wales the majorities. What the hell with wales.

Seeing poots's smug face makes me sick. Democracy he says. What the f**k would he know abot democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 07:14:31 AM
Quote from: thejuice on June 24, 2016, 06:27:32 AM
17million people wanted biscuit and 16million wanted cake.

Everyone gets biscuit.

Yay democracy!

That's how it works.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thejuice on June 24, 2016, 07:17:24 AM
Loving in England I can tell you the Leave voters were not that bothered by the economics. This referendum was about other things for the leave voters. the remain side only wanted to discuss economics while leave wanted to discuss other things.

As I've said before and alluded to in my last post, across the "west" left and right have diverged so far I think democracy is looking unviable, when the differences in choice are so stark and the margins quite narrow.

I don't know what solutions there are besides getting the pen out and start redrawing the maps. Well we could also do tyranny or war.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: phpearse on June 24, 2016, 07:18:05 AM
Majority of people in NI wanted to remain in EU - 56% - 44% in favour of Remain. DUP have nothing to be smug about. DUP campaigned hard for a Leave vote for here but that did not happen. Surely Foster must now resign!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:18:18 AM
Yeeoooooo!!!

Oh wait, they'll probably vote again next week - too many subs used.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on June 24, 2016, 07:23:26 AM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on June 24, 2016, 07:08:43 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 24, 2016, 07:02:13 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 06:53:58 AM
We're f**ked in ni. Can't believe this. F**ked.

Our economy will take a heavy hit too. Jesus H Christ, such news to wake up to. Cannot believe the English voters don't 'get' the economic aspect.
There are millions of them who don't care because they believe it doesn't affect them. They only care what The S*n tells them about migrants.

Never mind up coming recession, Abdul will be stuck in Calais. Job done. Stupid bastards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 24, 2016, 07:24:08 AM
Quote from: maddog on June 24, 2016, 07:23:26 AM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on June 24, 2016, 07:08:43 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 24, 2016, 07:02:13 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 06:53:58 AM
We're f**ked in ni. Can't believe this. F**ked.

Our economy will take a heavy hit too. Jesus H Christ, such news to wake up to. Cannot believe the English voters don't 'get' the economic aspect.
There are millions of them who don't care because they believe it doesn't affect them. They only care what The S*n tells them about migrants.

Never mind up coming recession, Abdul will be stuck in Calais. Job done. Stupid b**tards.
Yep. Two fingers to Johnny Foreigner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:29 AM
All border areas voted remain. Scare tactics obviously worked.

Time for Enda to call a referendum now, and for Ireland to get out ta f**k!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 24, 2016, 07:34:26 AM
www.xe.com has unsurprisingly calved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on June 24, 2016, 07:34:42 AM
To be honest I'm sick to f**king death of the people on the remain side peddling the economics line.

Even the most eminent and educated economists of our time are wrong more often than they're right. Macroeconomics has a mind of its own. Predicting economic disaster now is no more or less insane than if the vote had have been remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 07:35:24 AM
Well at least we have a new hospital to look forward to every week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 07:36:03 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:29 AM
All border areas voted remain. Scare tactics obviously worked.

Time for Enda to call a referendum now, and for Ireland to get out ta f**k!

Just because the guy beside you jumps over a cliff, doesn't mean you should.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:38:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 07:36:03 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:29 AM
All border areas voted remain. Scare tactics obviously worked.

Time for Enda to call a referendum now, and for Ireland to get out ta f**k!

Just because the guy beside you jumps over a cliff, doesn't mean you should.

This is just the start of it. Europe's f*cked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 07:39:11 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on June 24, 2016, 07:34:42 AM
To be honest I'm sick to f**king death of the people on the remain side peddling the economics line.
I take it you are a lot more trusting of our tory overlords than the average Nationalist.. (although to be fair you do seem to be a Unionist?)

If you think Boris and his chums are going to replace EU subsidies that places like NI benefited from then fair play to you. I and many others don't and you don't exactly need to be an Economist to see what the tories have done in days gone by.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 07:41:09 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:38:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 07:36:03 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:29 AM
All border areas voted remain. Scare tactics obviously worked.

Time for Enda to call a referendum now, and for Ireland to get out ta f**k!

Just because the guy beside you jumps over a cliff, doesn't mean you should.

This is just the start of it. Europe's fucked.

All their own making, France and Holland will follow with referendums.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 07:41:49 AM
Can I still get La Liga on Sky Sports?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 07:44:00 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 24, 2016, 07:41:09 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:38:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 07:36:03 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:29 AM
All border areas voted remain. Scare tactics obviously worked.

Time for Enda to call a referendum now, and for Ireland to get out ta f**k!

Just because the guy beside you jumps over a cliff, doesn't mean you should.

This is just the start of it. Europe's fucked.

All their own making, France and Holland will follow with referendums.

Maybe those countries might offer a better alternative though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Never beat the deeler on June 24, 2016, 07:44:14 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 07:41:49 AM
Can I still get La Liga on Sky Sports?

Only until the Spanish vote next week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thejuice on June 24, 2016, 07:50:20 AM
Cameron went to Brussels to negotiate better terms and was given nothing by the Eurocrats. I can't say I'm feeling too sad for the Europhiles either right now. I guess I Will just have to ride the storm for now. Though my job could well be in trouble if investors in the housing market decide to go elsewhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on June 24, 2016, 07:52:45 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 07:39:11 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on June 24, 2016, 07:34:42 AM
To be honest I'm sick to f**king death of the people on the remain side peddling the economics line.
I take it you are a lot more trusting of our tory overlords than the average Nationalist.. (although to be fair you do seem to be a Unionist?)

If you think Boris and his chums are going to replace EU subsidies that places like NI benefited from then fair play to you. I and many others don't and you don't exactly need to be an Economist to see what the tories have done in days gone by.

I don't believe it's as simplistic as you're describing (which basically  boils down to "Germans are good, Tories are bad"). Economics are much more complex and erratic than the role of the current government.

I'm ambivalent about the result. Emotionally I'd prefer the legal kinship with ROI, but politically I'd be in favour of streamlined administration, which means removing layers of government. I can't win in either scenario.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Muck Savage on June 24, 2016, 07:59:23 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 24, 2016, 07:41:09 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:38:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 07:36:03 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:29 AM
All border areas voted remain. Scare tactics obviously worked.

Time for Enda to call a referendum now, and for Ireland to get out ta f**k!

Just because the guy beside you jumps over a cliff, doesn't mean you should.

This is just the start of it. Europe's fucked.

All their own making, France and Holland will follow with referendums.

I think it will be more difficult to bail out of the EURO as oppose to the EU. That would really f*ck up say someone like Ireland with the amount of debt.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on June 24, 2016, 07:59:51 AM
Some people just want to destroy the world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 08:05:29 AM
Quote from: Syferus on June 24, 2016, 07:59:51 AM
Some people just want to destroy the world.

And some people want to rule it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Down Way on June 24, 2016, 08:09:30 AM
Surprised and delighted by the result, hopefully we will see other countries, especially the Republic, following suit.
Now we need the Scots to reignite their campaign for independence, the UK is finished.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:15:29 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on June 24, 2016, 07:52:45 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 07:39:11 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on June 24, 2016, 07:34:42 AM
To be honest I'm sick to f**king death of the people on the remain side peddling the economics line.
I take it you are a lot more trusting of our tory overlords than the average Nationalist.. (although to be fair you do seem to be a Unionist?)

If you think Boris and his chums are going to replace EU subsidies that places like NI benefited from then fair play to you. I and many others don't and you don't exactly need to be an Economist to see what the tories have done in days gone by.

I don't believe it's as simplistic as you're describing (which basically  boils down to "Germans are good, Tories are bad"). Economics are much more complex and erratic than the role of the current government.

I'm ambivalent about the result. Emotionally I'd prefer the legal kinship with ROI, but politically I'd be in favour of streamlined administration, which means removing layers of government. I can't win in either scenario.
Better the devil you know than the devil you don't. I can understand why someone in middle England might have voted Leave. But for people in NI this could be potentially disastrous and could have a disproportionate effect on us. Economics aside, we will no longer have European courts which is sad to think that the British judiciary is now the highest legal authority for us which is something I'm personally not comfortable with.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on June 24, 2016, 08:16:12 AM
Cameron to resign
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:16:50 AM
Quote from: The Down Way on June 24, 2016, 08:09:30 AM
Surprised and delighted by the result, hopefully we will see other countries, especially the Republic, following suit.
Now we need the Scots to reignite their campaign for independence, the UK is finished.
The Scots being fervently pro-EU  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:17:21 AM
A lot of people running around yelling that the sky IS falling.

I'm wondering how they know for sure? As shocked as everyone but are calm heads not needed here?

Bloated bureaucracy and immigration I'd say made were the prime reasons for those who voted leave

I get the inefficient unaccountable bureaucracy argument. Us it possible we're being very smug on the other argument because our town's and city's demographics haven't been impacted to the same degree as areas north of London? I dunno
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:20:28 AM
Sterling dropped 8.4% overnight when 1% is usually considered substantial.
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:17:21 AM
A lot of people running around yelling that the sky IS falling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thejuice on June 24, 2016, 08:23:13 AM
Cameron about to quit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: laoislad on June 24, 2016, 08:23:19 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:20:28 AM
Sterling dropped 8.4% overnight when 1% is usually considered substantial.
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:17:21 AM
A lot of people running around yelling that the sky IS falling.
I guess we'll be doing the Christmas shopping up North this year!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 08:26:44 AM
The Republic is the only English speaking member of the EU now. I wonder will that have any bearing on US investment?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on June 24, 2016, 08:30:53 AM
Quote from: thejuice on June 24, 2016, 07:50:20 AM
Cameron went to Brussels to negotiate better terms and was given nothing by the Eurocrats. I can't say I'm feeling too sad for the Europhiles either right now. I guess I Will just have to ride the storm for now. Though my job could well be in trouble if investors in the housing market decide to go elsewhere.
That's interesting you have that view, so presumably it was widespread.
It certainly completely untrue to say he got nothing. I personally thought he came back with a great deal, I was surprised how much concessions he got from the "Eurocrats".
But all ignored in the campaign anyway.

The reasons people have given for voting Out are wide and varied. I'm particularly perplexed by the working class vote, thinking they'll be better off outside the EU. Nobody thinking of all the positive (employee perspective) employment law changes that were brought in by the EU. If UK had never joined the EU, I'd imagine their emplyoment laws would be a lot closer to the US "fire at will" labour laws.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:31:08 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:20:28 AM
Sterling dropped 8.4% overnight when 1% is usually considered substantial.
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:17:21 AM
A lot of people running around yelling that the sky IS falling.

Yes
Trying to work out how much folk prophesying their own doom is actually bringing it about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:35:17 AM
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:31:08 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:20:28 AM
Sterling dropped 8.4% overnight when 1% is usually considered substantial.
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:17:21 AM
A lot of people running around yelling that the sky IS falling.

Yes
Trying to work out how much folk prophesying their own doom is actually bringing it about.
Well the top 100 companies in the UK have gone down in value by £180bn and it's not yet 9am. If anything it was the Leave campaign that was prophesying the doom!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on June 24, 2016, 08:37:16 AM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 08:26:44 AM
The Republic is the only English speaking member of the EU now. I wonder will that have any bearing on US investment?
It will.
No question we'll get a boost in the short term. Too much uncertainty re the UK for the coming year. For any MNC moving, suddenly Ireland has moved well ahead of UK.

But medium term, the UK will have less shackels, so can provide more incentives. Ireland's incentives have to follow the strict, non state aid, EU rules. Having said that, as a member of the OECD, the UK won't have complete free reign and there are still certain parameters they have to fall between. Switzerland is far from uncompetitive being outside the EU - there'll just be certain advantages and certain disadvantages.

Financial centre will be interesting. Plenty of potential gains for IFSC type activities that we could gain from London.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 24, 2016, 08:39:17 AM
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:17:21 AM
A lot of people running around yelling that the sky IS falling.

I'm wondering how they know for sure? As shocked as everyone but are calm heads not needed here?

Bloated bureaucracy and immigration I'd say made were the prime reasons for those who voted leave

I get the inefficient unaccountable bureaucracy argument. Us it possible we're being very smug on the other argument because our town's and city's demographics haven't been impacted to the same degree as areas north of London? I dunno
Inefficient unaccountable bureaucracy is on our own doorstep not just in Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 08:41:15 AM
It may be that the UK has done us all a favour today. If this is turned into a positive, i.e. the EU has to start to engage more with the man on the street, and relax some of the Frankfurt's way stuff. Otherwise they now know that contrary to what most people believe, countries can, and will, vote to leave the club. Adapt, or die.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lfdown2 on June 24, 2016, 08:56:04 AM
Surely this is disastrous for us in the north - we have 18 mp's who are split, even if we were to club together for the best of the north we would not have enough mp's to have any influence in westminister!

So no roads, hospitals, schools for the foreseeable future?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: doodaa on June 24, 2016, 09:01:41 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'

Possibly a border around the whole of Ireland.
The infrastructure is there in Airports & Ports for Passport control, on the roads around the north it is not.
So anyone going into/ out of England, Scotland and Wales will require a passport.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Muck Savage on June 24, 2016, 09:03:48 AM
Now's the time for the Enda to go and look for a cut in some of the debt or interest rates from Brussels (Germans). Time to play poker and threaten to get out if no reduction. Might just get it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on June 24, 2016, 09:04:23 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'
I think there'll be willingness on both sides to leave the border as is.
Common Travel Agreement will remain. So long as Ireland doesn't join Schengen, which we won't.

My guess is there'll be a bit more security at ferry terminals on both sides, to bring it in line with the airlines.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: doodaa on June 24, 2016, 09:12:10 AM
Quote from: Hound on June 24, 2016, 09:04:23 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'
I think there'll be willingness on both sides to leave the border as is.
Common Travel Agreement will remain. So long as Ireland doesn't join Schengen, which we won't.

My guess is there'll be a bit more security at ferry terminals on both sides, to bring it in line with the airlines.

I wouldn't be so sure on that, a "hard" border between north and south would suit the DUP and their supporters down to the ground.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: themac_23 on June 24, 2016, 09:16:57 AM
Quote from: doodaa on June 24, 2016, 09:12:10 AM
Quote from: Hound on June 24, 2016, 09:04:23 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'
I think there'll be willingness on both sides to leave the border as is.
Common Travel Agreement will remain. So long as Ireland doesn't join Schengen, which we won't.

My guess is there'll be a bit more security at ferry terminals on both sides, to bring it in line with the airlines.

I wouldn't be so sure on that, a "hard" border between north and south would suit the DUP and their supporters down to the ground.

So if i was polish for example i could fly to Dublin then hop on a bus to belfast no bother or border control? would kind of defeat the purpose. i would say a border is inevidable
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 24, 2016, 09:17:39 AM
Well there we have it. It appears most on this board (including myself) underestimated the extent of the sheer stupidity of the English public.

With the exception of North Down, every unionist area in the north voted to leave. The irony is that with Scotland voting to remain, they've managed to destroy the union they claim to represent. Hopefully we follow the same path as the Scots.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lfdown2 on June 24, 2016, 09:17:57 AM
Speaking after the result was announced, Edwin Poots, DUP, said he was "absolutely delighted".
"I believe that we will recover very quickly after the initial shock. The farming community has been in the doldrums... I would expect this will help them. I would expect it will help our manufacturers and our exporters at this time."

Am I deluded in thinking that our goods are of too high a standard now (EU Standard) to be competitive for both exporting outside of the EU and that we will be able to import cheaper products of a lesser quality, leaving industry - whether it be agriculture or manufacturing - on its knees?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 09:18:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'

I'd laugh my balls off if the UK government decided that the only practical way to maintain a border would be at Stranraer, Cairnryan, Liverpool, Holyhead and the airports, that'd please Jim Allister!

As for the NHS, with this extra £350M per day, it'll be something else altogether   :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 09:19:30 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:35:17 AM
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:31:08 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:20:28 AM
Sterling dropped 8.4% overnight when 1% is usually considered substantial.
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:17:21 AM
A lot of people running around yelling that the sky IS falling.

Yes
Trying to work out how much folk prophesying their own doom is actually bringing it about.
Well the top 100 companies in the UK have gone down in value by £180bn and it's not yet 9am. If anything it was the Leave campaign that was prophesying the doom!

Recovered from 8% down on the FTSE now 4% down, Japan, Europe and US stock markets all worse off today - these things will stabilize.  Don't panic!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on June 24, 2016, 09:19:53 AM
QuoteSo if i was polish for example i could fly to Dublin then hop on a bus to belfast no bother or border control? would kind of defeat the purpose. i would say a border is inevidable

True - but Slawomir won't get a UK NI number so he won't be able to work officially.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 09:24:32 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 09:18:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'

I'd laugh my balls off if the UK government decided that the only practical way to maintain a border would be at Stranraer, Cairnryan, Liverpool, Holyhead and the airports, that'd please Jim Allister!

As for the NHS, with this extra £350M per day, it'll be something else altogether   :o
This is exactly where they will maintain the border because it is the easiest way to secure the "mainland".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 24, 2016, 09:25:40 AM
Wow, got that terribly wrong.

Goosebumps listening to Cameron's resignation on the radio into work. Fair play to the English, there is no pussyfooting around after a political failure.

Think we in Ireland will have to have a referendum to endorse any separate secession treaty with the UK . Will give us a strong bargaining power but we need a strong leader.

Just wondering, is this the time a move will be made on EK.

GE later in the year.

Everything above probably wrong anyway as with my previous posts on this thread.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 09:29:28 AM
Turkey's really love Christmas, well English turkey's anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on June 24, 2016, 09:31:12 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 09:18:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'

I'd laugh my balls off if the UK government decided that the only practical way to maintain a border would be at Stranraer, Cairnryan, Liverpool, Holyhead and the airports, that'd please Jim Allister!

As for the NHS, with this extra £350M per day, it'll be something else altogether   :o

Farage is already distancing himself from that this morning on Breakfast with Suzanna Reid interviewing him.
It was pure propaganda those figures and amazing they were allowed to run with them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 24, 2016, 09:31:45 AM
The little boy in me gets excited by chaos and volatility. The rest of me tries to look for order.

The rest of me can wait today.

All Empires comes to an end, but this must be the first in history to vote for its own ending!

Borders, excise duties, trade agreements, will all probably become leverage in the exit negotiations and depending on who gets power in London, those talks could be very tough. Both sides might agree a quick solution for the 6 counties, as neither side will want to pay for it. But beyond that, expect threats of massive taxes on UK food exports etc., as part of the EU strategy to set an example to 'leavers'.

I agree with those who think this might be good for Ireland in the long run. We will be a 'friend' to Britain, the nearest large economy, still remain within the EU and be the only English speaking nation based in the EU for US companies. Once it settles down of course.

But in the meantime I will let the little boy in me enjoy the chaos.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 24, 2016, 09:39:57 AM
Economically I think it is a bleak day in the short term for ROI but particularly the north which will become extremely marginalised with a likely right wing government.

Constitutionally I think it is a good day though as I think it brings the national unity debate closer, maybe not today but its moved closer imo. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: illdecide on June 24, 2016, 09:41:29 AM
I think the big thing to worry about is future jobs especially here in the North, we usually get shafted first when there are cuts. For me a vast majority of this was done for racist motives, people couldn't bare other Nationalities moving in beside them and getting jobs. As the DUP stated "This will put an end to emigration"

Might need to think of a nice we border town to move too (on the other side ;)). You want to hear the Protestants in work here this morning talking about going to Dublin to get an Irish Passport...lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 09:41:44 AM
Sf are already talking about it.

It's a result which may possibly suit them and definitely suits the snp.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on June 24, 2016, 09:44:22 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 24, 2016, 09:31:45 AM
The little boy in me gets excited by chaos and volatility. The rest of me tries to look for order.

The rest of me can wait today.

All Empires comes to an end, but this must be the first in history to vote for its own ending!

Borders, excise duties, trade agreements, will all probably become leverage in the exit negotiations and depending on who gets power in London, those talks could be very tough. Both sides might agree a quick solution for the 6 counties, as neither side will want to pay for it. But beyond that, expect threats of massive taxes on UK food exports etc., as part of the EU strategy to set an example to 'leavers'.

I agree with those who think this might be good for Ireland in the long run. We will be a 'friend' to Britain, the nearest large economy, still remain within the EU and be the only English speaking nation based in the EU for US companies. Once it settles down of course.

But in the meantime I will let the little boy in me enjoy the chaos.

I'll have to back you in everything you say here, it is pretty funny to see how the Little Englanders have managed to create havoc. Hopefully a lot of MNCs are now looking at the next flights to Dublin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smort on June 24, 2016, 09:47:58 AM
Quote from: illdecide on June 24, 2016, 09:41:29 AM
I think the big thing to worry about is future jobs especially here in the North, we usually get shafted first when there are cuts. For me a vast majority of this was done for racist motives, people couldn't bare other Nationalities moving in beside them and getting jobs. As the DUP stated "This will put an end to emigration"

Might need to think of a nice we border town to move too (on the other side ;)). You want to hear the Protestants in work here this morning talking about going to Dublin to get an Irish Passport...lol

Colleague beside me in work says they decided not to vote as their 'leave' vote was based on immigration issues and they realised that was wrong.

A lot of Protestant colleagues have said the same about getting an Irish passport
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on June 24, 2016, 09:49:06 AM
Quote from: themac_23 on June 24, 2016, 09:16:57 AM
Quote from: doodaa on June 24, 2016, 09:12:10 AM
Quote from: Hound on June 24, 2016, 09:04:23 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 24, 2016, 08:49:53 AM
Lads. A border? Yes or no? If so what'll it involve? Soldiers or 'officials'
I think there'll be willingness on both sides to leave the border as is.
Common Travel Agreement will remain. So long as Ireland doesn't join Schengen, which we won't.

My guess is there'll be a bit more security at ferry terminals on both sides, to bring it in line with the airlines.

I wouldn't be so sure on that, a "hard" border between north and south would suit the DUP and their supporters down to the ground.

So if i was polish for example i could fly to Dublin then hop on a bus to belfast no bother or border control? would kind of defeat the purpose. i would say a border is inevidable
If you're Polish, you'll have no problem going directly to Belfast, just like a Swiss or a Norwegian or Icelander can do now. It'll just be harder to work and live in Belfast.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 09:50:29 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 09:41:44 AM
Sf are already talking about it.

It's a result which may possibly suit them and definitely suits the snp.

Is this the reason why SF were conspicuous by the absence from the campaign trail? Not to their usual level of campaigning IMO?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 24, 2016, 10:00:08 AM
Passport Office in Dublin will be under pressure in the next few months, unionists flat out looking to take advantage of the loophole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dinny Breen on June 24, 2016, 10:01:49 AM
So the last time the UK chose a policy of splendid isolation with a conservative government in charge, remind me how that worked out again!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 10:06:33 AM
SF can posture all they like on a border poll, and the is all it is posturing. The fact seems to be at the moment a sizeable section of the formerly nationalist community have accepted the union, the fleg and gongs from the Queen. This has been reinforced by SF rolling over at every turn to DUP demands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 24, 2016, 10:06:55 AM
Quote from: Dinny Breen on June 24, 2016, 10:01:49 AM
So the last time the UK chose a policy of splendid isolation with a conservative government in charge, remind me how that worked out again!!!

;D ;D

Don't mention the.......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 10:08:29 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 10:06:33 AM
SF can posture all they like on a border poll, and the is all it is posturing. The fact seems to be at the moment a sizeable section of the formerly nationalist community have accepted the union, the fleg and gongs from the Queen. This has been reinforced by SF rolling over at every turn to DUP demands.

Yeah funny the most recent one seems to have gone with very little comment on it.

I suppose when he worked for Liz be bad manners to turn it down  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ludermor on June 24, 2016, 10:09:07 AM
Have to say im not surprised the leave side have carried through, i said on this thread about a month ago the majority i met day to day were voting leave and yesterday was like a bank holiday with people trying to get of London to vote in their home constituencies all over England .  The remain side were way too complacent and Labour have a lot to answer for hiding Corbyn away and not putting some of their other leaders on the front line until it was way too late.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 10:16:23 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 09:50:29 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 09:41:44 AM
Sf are already talking about it.

It's a result which may possibly suit them and definitely suits the snp.

Is this the reason why SF were conspicuous by the absence from the campaign trail? Not to their usual level of campaigning IMO?

Most likely i think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 10:17:29 AM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 08:26:44 AM
The Republic is the only English speaking member of the EU now. I wonder will that have any bearing on US investment?

Christ the Dutch speak better English ffs!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 10:20:57 AM
Yeah, but they don't have a  12.5% corporation tax. Multi nationals who deal in the EU will have to look at leaving the UK now. They may not leave, but they'll have to look at it. If they do, Ireland would be a very logical landing spot.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 10:38:49 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 24, 2016, 09:19:30 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:35:17 AM
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:31:08 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 08:20:28 AM
Sterling dropped 8.4% overnight when 1% is usually considered substantial.
Quote from: theskull1 on June 24, 2016, 08:17:21 AM
A lot of people running around yelling that the sky IS falling.

Yes
Trying to work out how much folk prophesying their own doom is actually bringing it about.
Well the top 100 companies in the UK have gone down in value by £180bn and it's not yet 9am. If anything it was the Leave campaign that was prophesying the doom!

Recovered from 8% down on the FTSE now 4% down, Japan, Europe and US stock markets all worse off today - these things will stabilize.  Don't panic!
Is that you Nigel!?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mick999 on June 24, 2016, 10:40:09 AM

+100% spike in UK searches for "getting an Irish passport" after #Brexit vote

https://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=irish%20passport&geo=GB&date=now%207-d&cmpt=q&tz=Etc%2FGMT%2B7

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on June 24, 2016, 10:54:51 AM
I do kinda get it though... adhering to those shady backroom deals in Brussels would be like having an unelected head of state.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maroon Manc on June 24, 2016, 10:56:57 AM
Quote from: thejuice on June 24, 2016, 07:17:24 AM
Loving in England I can tell you the Leave voters were not that bothered by the economics. This referendum was about other things for the leave voters. the remain side only wanted to discuss economics while leave wanted to discuss other things.

As I've said before and alluded to in my last post, across the "west" left and right have diverged so far I think democracy is looking unviable, when the differences in choice are so stark and the margins quite narrow.

I don't know what solutions there are besides getting the pen out and start redrawing the maps. Well we could also do tyranny or war.

Agreed on the leave voters, would like to see what % of people with a mortgage wanted to leave; I doubt it was anywhere near 30%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: doodaa on June 24, 2016, 10:58:38 AM
Quote from: mick999 on June 24, 2016, 10:40:09 AM

+100% spike in UK searches for "getting an Irish passport" after #Brexit vote

https://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=irish%20passport&geo=GB&date=now%207-d&cmpt=q&tz=Etc%2FGMT%2B7

Mine is just out of date, must get it renewed ASAP!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 11:04:08 AM
Donald Trump thinks it's a great thing so it must be intellectual powerhouse that he is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on June 24, 2016, 11:04:30 AM
Her Majesty sees off her 12th Prime Minister.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 11:07:40 AM
Quote from: Declan on June 24, 2016, 10:54:51 AM
I do kinda get it though... adhering to those shady backroom deals in Brussels would be like having an unelected head of state.
As a nationalist in the north I absolutely could not give one fûck when it comes to UK sovereignty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: MoChara on June 24, 2016, 11:12:04 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 10:06:33 AM
SF can posture all they like on a border poll, and the is all it is posturing. The fact seems to be at the moment a sizeable section of the formerly nationalist community have accepted the union, the fleg and gongs from the Queen. This has been reinforced by SF rolling over at every turn to DUP demands.

As you say a sizable amount have accepted the British union and the trimmings it comes with because they believe they are better off financially within it, I don't think they've coem round to a British Identity though, the push on a Northern Irish Identity is probably helping it head that way though.

This is a fickle and self serving part of the population though, if the financial allure isn't with Britain then they aren't either

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 11:13:30 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 10:16:23 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 09:50:29 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 09:41:44 AM
Sf are already talking about it.

It's a result which may possibly suit them and definitely suits the snp.

Is this the reason why SF were conspicuous by the absence from the campaign trail? Not to their usual level of campaigning IMO?

Most likely i think.

More likely they couldn't members to go out and campaign for it.  Very prominent SF supporters north and south we're very vocal for leave e.g. Eoin Ó Murchú and Jude Collins. I was for leave myself until the Jo Cox murder but I was never going to canvass for remain. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 11:15:45 AM
Why did the Jo Cox murder change your mind?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 11:15:46 AM
Presumably the Loyalist "Brigadiers" will have to raise their extortion rates to make up for the loss of the EU " Community" funding ;)
What will happen to all them big Unionist farmers when the CAP cheques stop?
Meanwhile the quicker the Scots take their courage in their hands and go Independent the better.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 11:18:18 AM
Quote from: MoChara on June 24, 2016, 11:12:04 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 10:06:33 AM
SF can posture all they like on a border poll, and the is all it is posturing. The fact seems to be at the moment a sizeable section of the formerly nationalist community have accepted the union, the fleg and gongs from the Queen. This has been reinforced by SF rolling over at every turn to DUP demands.

As you say a sizable amount have accepted the British union and the trimmings it comes with because they believe they are better off financially within it, I don't think they've coem round to a British Identity though, the push on a Northern Irish Identity is probably helping it head that way though.

This is a fickle and self serving part of the population though, if the financial allure isn't with Britain then they aren't either

Between 1932 and 1972 a much greater part of the "nationalist community" had accepted the Union or at least unionist rule. That many are now also content with their lot is irrelevant. Swings and roundabouts, you always get another chance, just a matter of keeping the faith and being ready to capitalise on changed circumstances. SF should milk this for all it worth, you can be sure the SNP are going to do the same in Scotland and fair fcks to them. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 11:19:41 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 11:15:45 AM
Why did the Jo Cox murder change your mind?

Because I couldn't vote on the same side as the people that inspired her murderer. For me that's akin to voting for Paisley in his heyday.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 11:20:15 AM
Quote from: ludermor on June 24, 2016, 10:09:07 AM
Have to say im not surprised the leave side have carried through, i said on this thread about a month ago the majority i met day to day were voting leave and yesterday was like a bank holiday with people trying to get of London to vote in their home constituencies all over England .  The remain side were way too complacent and Labour have a lot to answer for hiding Corbyn away and not putting some of their other leaders on the front line until it was way too late.
He was the first man on calling for Article 50 to be invoked immediately even when the Leave campaign were saying Now, now, lets not be hasty.
He wasn't put forward as he is anti-Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 11:24:59 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 11:15:46 AM
Presumably the Loyalist "Brigadiers" will have to raise their extortion rates to make up for the loss of the EU " Community" funding ;)
What will happen to all them big Unionist farmers when the CAP cheques stop?
Meanwhile the quicker the Scots take their courage in their hands and go Independent the better.

Alex Salmond was already hinting that England voted to leave Europe, Scotland didn't and he's expecting another referendum there in the coming years.

If the Tory's screw Scotland any harder with their austerity then a break up of the union is inevitable and Norn Iron will be collateral damage to the Scotland/England split.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: MoChara on June 24, 2016, 11:29:08 AM
Quote from: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 11:18:18 AM
Quote from: MoChara on June 24, 2016, 11:12:04 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 10:06:33 AM
SF can posture all they like on a border poll, and the is all it is posturing. The fact seems to be at the moment a sizeable section of the formerly nationalist community have accepted the union, the fleg and gongs from the Queen. This has been reinforced by SF rolling over at every turn to DUP demands.

As you say a sizable amount have accepted the British union and the trimmings it comes with because they believe they are better off financially within it, I don't think they've coem round to a British Identity though, the push on a Northern Irish Identity is probably helping it head that way though.

This is a fickle and self serving part of the population though, if the financial allure isn't with Britain then they aren't either

Between 1932 and 1972 a much greater part of the "nationalist community" had accepted the Union or at least unionist rule. That many are now also content with their lot is irrelevant. Swings and roundabouts, you always get another chance, just a matter of keeping the faith and being ready to capitalise on changed circumstances. SF should milk this for all it worth, you can be sure the SNP are going to do the same in Scotland and fair fcks to them.

The change this time might be that it will engage some of the more liberal in the Unionist Community to consider life in a United Ireland, especially when Boris and the boys run roughshod over the NHS or anything else publically owned or paid. To steal the ra quote about thatcher, Republicanism only need to win one referendum but unionism has to win them all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Trap on June 24, 2016, 11:30:34 AM
Some difference between how Nicola Sturgeon has reacted to the remain vote in Scotland and how Arlene Foster reacted to the remain vote in NI!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smort on June 24, 2016, 11:42:34 AM
Quote from: The Trap on June 24, 2016, 11:30:34 AM
Some difference between how Nicola Sturgeon has reacted to the remain vote in Scotland and how Arlene Foster reacted to the remain vote in NI!

They do have completely different agendas
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 11:44:56 AM
Feels like handing your notice in and then regretting it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 11:48:59 AM
Quote from: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 11:18:18 AM
Quote from: MoChara on June 24, 2016, 11:12:04 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 10:06:33 AM
SF can posture all they like on a border poll, and the is all it is posturing. The fact seems to be at the moment a sizeable section of the formerly nationalist community have accepted the union, the fleg and gongs from the Queen. This has been reinforced by SF rolling over at every turn to DUP demands.

As you say a sizable amount have accepted the British union and the trimmings it comes with because they believe they are better off financially within it, I don't think they've coem round to a British Identity though, the push on a Northern Irish Identity is probably helping it head that way though.

This is a fickle and self serving part of the population though, if the financial allure isn't with Britain then they aren't either

Between 1932 and 1972 a much greater part of the "nationalist community" had accepted the Union or at least unionist rule. That many are now also content with their lot is irrelevant. Swings and roundabouts, you always get another chance, just a matter of keeping the faith and being ready to capitalise on changed circumstances. SF should milk this for all it worth, you can be sure the SNP are going to do the same in Scotland and fair fcks to them.
SF couldn't milk a cow let alone a situation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on June 24, 2016, 11:49:57 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 11:24:59 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 11:15:46 AM
Presumably the Loyalist "Brigadiers" will have to raise their extortion rates to make up for the loss of the EU " Community" funding ;)
What will happen to all them big Unionist farmers when the CAP cheques stop?
Meanwhile the quicker the Scots take their courage in their hands and go Independent the better.

Alex Salmond was already hinting that England voted to leave Europe, Scotland didn't and he's expecting another referendum there in the coming years.

If the Tory's screw Scotland any harder with their austerity then a break up of the union is inevitable and Norn Iron will be collateral damage to the Scotland/England split.

Would there be any mileage in thinking its Englands chance to ditch their demented expensive cousins and they will take it ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 11:59:27 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 11:48:59 AM

SF couldn't milk a cow let alone a situation.

(http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3771/10735952805_ee14ceea6d_o.gif)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on June 24, 2016, 12:54:30 PM
Quote from: ludermor on June 24, 2016, 10:09:07 AM
Have to say im not surprised the leave side have carried through, i said on this thread about a month ago the majority i met day to day were voting leave and yesterday was like a bank holiday with people trying to get of London to vote in their home constituencies all over England .  The remain side were way too complacent and Labour have a lot to answer for hiding Corbyn away and not putting some of their other leaders on the front line until it was way too late.

Corbyn gets hid away for a reason
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 12:58:44 PM
Quote from: haveaharp on June 24, 2016, 11:49:57 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 11:24:59 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 11:15:46 AM
Presumably the Loyalist "Brigadiers" will have to raise their extortion rates to make up for the loss of the EU " Community" funding ;)
What will happen to all them big Unionist farmers when the CAP cheques stop?
Meanwhile the quicker the Scots take their courage in their hands and go Independent the better.

Alex Salmond was already hinting that England voted to leave Europe, Scotland didn't and he's expecting another referendum there in the coming years.

If the Tory's screw Scotland any harder with their austerity then a break up of the union is inevitable and Norn Iron will be collateral damage to the Scotland/England split.

Would there be any mileage in thinking its Englands chance to ditch their demented expensive cousins and they will take it ?
We could well be next on the blame list once they realise immigrants aren't to blame for the state of the Country.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 24, 2016, 01:05:38 PM
Looks like Corbyn will be gone soon as well!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 01:07:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 24, 2016, 01:05:38 PM
Looks like Corbyn will be gone soon as well!

He needs to go, he is totally unelectable and as much as Labour occupy the same sort of middle ground as the Tories they are on the only alternative to Boris and his Eaton Style cronies.

It was a knee jerk reaction to appoint Corbyn as leader and one that has completely failed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 24, 2016, 01:15:22 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.

You cannot be serious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 01:22:47 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.

Maybe we should have a dictator!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Bearded One on June 24, 2016, 01:23:40 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.

Hah I nearly spat my prawn sandwich across the desk there!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on June 24, 2016, 01:26:47 PM
Have a DUP man in front of me at work and he is lording it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 01:27:09 PM
Quote from: The Bearded One on June 24, 2016, 01:23:40 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.

Hah I nearly spat my prawn sandwich across the desk there!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

;D

To be fair in Trump's round 1st round of fund raising for his campaign this week a disproportionately high number of people making donation are on social welfare.

Not a UK problem alone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on June 24, 2016, 01:29:29 PM
Will Brexit have any effect on the soccer? Work permits, Bosmans etc?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 01:30:12 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on June 24, 2016, 01:26:47 PM
Have a DUP man in front of me at work and he is lording it.

Do us a favour and ask him how he feels that this has strengthened the 'Union' when the outcome will more than likely be a second Scottish ref with a different outcome this time?

I just cant seem to get my head around that part, maybe the DUPers are more clever than the rest of us or do they not care whether their Scottish cousins are in the UK with them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:33:15 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 24, 2016, 01:15:22 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.

You cannot be serious.

Totally am.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on June 24, 2016, 01:38:18 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 01:30:12 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on June 24, 2016, 01:26:47 PM
Have a DUP man in front of me at work and he is lording it.

Do us a favour and ask him how he feels that this has strengthened the 'Union' when the outcome will more than likely be a second Scottish ref with a different outcome this time?

I just cant seem to get my head around that part, maybe the DUPers are more clever than the rest of us or do they not care whether their Scottish cousins are in the UK with them?

It amazes me how smug the DUP are about all this, when the majority of people in N.ireland voted against their stance  ???
Deluded isn't the word for them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dinny Breen on June 24, 2016, 01:39:05 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:33:15 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 24, 2016, 01:15:22 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.

You cannot be serious.

Totally am.

Starship Troopers, only citizens have votes...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 01:39:20 PM
Nevermind the ones on the dole!! How she gets to vote is beyond me

https://video.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t42.1790-2/12979741_838892572889693_2020326302_n.mp4?efg=eyJ2ZW5jb2RlX3RhZyI6InN2ZV9zZCJ9&oh=74756bc772dc9c20ecb6ab04b6cd7389&oe=576D6590
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Up The Middle on June 24, 2016, 01:53:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 01:39:20 PM
Nevermind the ones on the dole!! How she gets to vote is beyond me

https://video.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t42.1790-2/12979741_838892572889693_2020326302_n.mp4?efg=eyJ2ZW5jb2RlX3RhZyI6InN2ZV9zZCJ9&oh=74756bc772dc9c20ecb6ab04b6cd7389&oe=576D6590

:-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ Good god I had to turn it off. Who owns her?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 01:59:10 PM
Quote from: Up The Middle on June 24, 2016, 01:53:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 01:39:20 PM
Nevermind the ones on the dole!! How she gets to vote is beyond me

https://video.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t42.1790-2/12979741_838892572889693_2020326302_n.mp4?efg=eyJ2ZW5jb2RlX3RhZyI6InN2ZV9zZCJ9&oh=74756bc772dc9c20ecb6ab04b6cd7389&oe=576D6590

:-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ Good god I had to turn it off. Who owns her?
TUV's finest. A repulsive and sectarian individual
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 02:00:09 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 12:58:44 PM
Quote from: haveaharp on June 24, 2016, 11:49:57 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 11:24:59 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 11:15:46 AM
Presumably the Loyalist "Brigadiers" will have to raise their extortion rates to make up for the loss of the EU " Community" funding ;)
What will happen to all them big Unionist farmers when the CAP cheques stop?
Meanwhile the quicker the Scots take their courage in their hands and go Independent the better.

Alex Salmond was already hinting that England voted to leave Europe, Scotland didn't and he's expecting another referendum there in the coming years.

If the Tory's screw Scotland any harder with their austerity then a break up of the union is inevitable and Norn Iron will be collateral damage to the Scotland/England split.

Would there be any mileage in thinking its Englands chance to ditch their demented expensive cousins and they will take it ?
We could well be next on the blame list once they realise immigrants aren't to blame for the state of the Country.

I could see problems.  If they give us what the EU gave us there will be outrage.

The only plus side MIGHT be that at least the gravy train might dry up for the politicians. They have really been milking things for a long time now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 02:02:58 PM
Quote from: blewuporstuffed on June 24, 2016, 01:38:18 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 01:30:12 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on June 24, 2016, 01:26:47 PM
Have a DUP man in front of me at work and he is lording it.

Do us a favour and ask him how he feels that this has strengthened the 'Union' when the outcome will more than likely be a second Scottish ref with a different outcome this time?

I just cant seem to get my head around that part, maybe the DUPers are more clever than the rest of us or do they not care whether their Scottish cousins are in the UK with them?

It amazes me how smug the DUP are about all this, when the majority of people in N.ireland voted against their stance  ???
Deluded isn't the word for them
What else would you expect from those little Englanders? I honestly thought I couldn't hate them any more than I already did pre Brexit. An utter shower of bastards every last one of them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on June 24, 2016, 02:04:52 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on June 24, 2016, 01:26:47 PM
Have a DUP man in front of me at work and he is lording it.

Ask him if he's applied for his Irish passport yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 02:12:44 PM
More good news for middle-England. According to BBC Morgan Stanley starting to move 2000 jobs out of London to Dublin or Frankfurt!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 02:21:19 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 02:12:44 PM
More good news for middle-England. According to BBC Morgan Stanley starting to move 2000 jobs out of London to Dublin or Frankfurt!
More to follow, I can't believe these people could be so stupid...then again they voted for Farage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 02:29:16 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 02:21:19 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 02:12:44 PM
More good news for middle-England. According to BBC Morgan Stanley starting to move 2000 jobs out of London to Dublin or Frankfurt!
More to follow, I can't believe these people could be so stupid...then again they voted for Farage.

Farage didnt get elected as an MP, I thought he had missed out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on June 24, 2016, 02:31:01 PM
Yeah, could someone explain to me the DUPs thinking? Surely they are going down the same route as Cameron and getting confused between tactics and strategy (tactics being strengthen the border short term, strategically though Brexit inevitably weakens the Union long term). Just don't understand what they think they are going to get from this.

Even if a border poll is staved off, Scotland is going to go and an NI with an EU border to the republic and one to Scotland is just not tenable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on June 24, 2016, 02:32:16 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 02:29:16 PMFarage didnt get elected as an MP, I thought he had missed out.

He's an MEP isn't he?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 02:36:50 PM
Yep. Mep.

The dup wouldn't know strategy if it bit them on the ass.

Foster is now talking about hope. How can she when their position is nothing but fear. Fear of no more union and fear of god. That's their strategy in a nutshell.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 02:50:12 PM
Will British citizens living in the E.U be living there illegally once the Brexit is official? What will be the status of Irish citizens living in the U.K and vice versa U.K citizens living in Ireland?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on June 24, 2016, 02:50:39 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 01:59:10 PM
Quote from: Up The Middle on June 24, 2016, 01:53:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 01:39:20 PM
Nevermind the ones on the dole!! How she gets to vote is beyond me

https://video.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t42.1790-2/12979741_838892572889693_2020326302_n.mp4?efg=eyJ2ZW5jb2RlX3RhZyI6InN2ZV9zZCJ9&oh=74756bc772dc9c20ecb6ab04b6cd7389&oe=576D6590

:-[ :-[ :-[ :-[ Good god I had to turn it off. Who owns her?
TUV's finest. A repulsive and sectarian individual

Is that Jeff Dudgeon in the background? Why is he not lol-ing?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on June 24, 2016, 02:52:23 PM
I'm waiting for someone to say that britain will bring back the Commonwealth and will sell to it.








waiting...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on June 24, 2016, 02:54:42 PM
Is there anything to be said for another referendum???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 24, 2016, 02:55:30 PM
Quote from: Orior on June 24, 2016, 02:52:23 PM
I'm waiting for someone to say that britain will bring back the Commonwealth and will sell to it.








waiting...

If you click on MR2's link and can stand to watch it, the cretin mentioned the commonwealth countries and selling more to them  ;)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Longshanks on June 24, 2016, 02:56:53 PM
We were talking about europe here and one fella is of the opinion that leaving europe still won't happen and Cameron leaving (the smart move) is not what Gove or Johnson would want as if say Johnson was elected leader he cannot go to the eu with a peoples mandate as he isn't technically the peoples choice and therefore he would need to hold a general election.

As before if Cameron had went forward he would have had the peoples mandate and with him leaving it messes their plans up.


Now if a general election was held and a party go in that was pro euro (labour) and judging by the back lash and people realising how bad things could get this could happen then they could come to an agreement not to leave the euro.

fingers crossed??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 02:57:29 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on June 24, 2016, 02:31:01 PM
Yeah, could someone explain to me the DUPs thinking? Surely they are going down the same route as Cameron and getting confused between tactics and strategy (tactics being strengthen the border short term, strategically though Brexit inevitably weakens the Union long term). Just don't understand what they think they are going to get from this.

Even if a border poll is staved off, Scotland is going to go and an NI with an EU border to the republic and one to Scotland is just not tenable.

The re-imposition of the border plays to their neanderthal wing and emphasises they are a different country. They were never comfortable with this blurring of the border carry-on. They also believe that repeal of the Human Rights Act will allow them to get away with discrimination against LGBT and foreigners, while also putting an end to the Fenian's taking their grievances to the European Courts. Personally I don't think there's a chance in hell the Brits are going to break an international treaty brokered by the US and lodged in the UN for the sake of Ulster backwoodsmen.   

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 02:59:15 PM
Quote from: Orior on June 24, 2016, 02:52:23 PM
I'm waiting for someone to say that britain will bring back the Commonwealth and will sell to it.








waiting...

Nige Farage mentioned the commonhaven'tgotthenailstoscratchthemselveswealth this morning, I kid you not, harking back to the days of the glorious empire and Britannia ruling the waves!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 03:00:59 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 02:59:15 PM
Quote from: Orior on June 24, 2016, 02:52:23 PM
I'm waiting for someone to say that britain will bring back the Commonwealth and will sell to it.








waiting...

Nige Farage mentioned the commonhaven'tgotthenailstoscratchthemselveswealth this morning, I kid you not, harking back to the days of the glorious empire and Britannia ruling the waves!



Irish senator calls on Republic of Ireland to rejoin Commonwealth
'Would rejoining not help further develop a pluralist Ireland'

Published
22/06/2016

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/republic-of-ireland/irish-senator-calls-on-republic-of-ireland-to-rejoin-commonwealth-34823437.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 24, 2016, 03:02:16 PM
Quote from: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 02:50:12 PM
Will British citizens living in the E.U be living there illegally once the Brexit is official? What will be the status of Irish citizens living in the U.K and vice versa U.K citizens living in Ireland?


That is the $64,000 question.

Would be surprised if there isn't deep in the bowels of one of those treaties we voted on some rule against member states making separate deals with non member states.


All up in the air.

Know a couple of mates of mine living  in London  years  who took out a British passport in the last year or so just in case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 03:10:20 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 24, 2016, 03:02:16 PM
Quote from: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 02:50:12 PM
Will British citizens living in the E.U be living there illegally once the Brexit is official? What will be the status of Irish citizens living in the U.K and vice versa U.K citizens living in Ireland?


That is the $64,000 question.

Would be surprised if there isn't deep in the bowels of one of those treaties we voted on some rule against member states making separate deals with non member states.


All up in the air.

Know a couple of mates of mine living  in London  years  who took out a British passport in the last year or so just in case.

There's 300000 U.K citizens living in Spain, they'll have to move back to the U.K. The amount of people both leaving and returning to the U.K will  be mind boggling
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 03:11:56 PM
The Brits will settle for Brexit light as a fig leaf for Boris' fat arse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on June 24, 2016, 03:12:37 PM
Quote from: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 03:10:20 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 24, 2016, 03:02:16 PM
Quote from: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 02:50:12 PM
Will British citizens living in the E.U be living there illegally once the Brexit is official? What will be the status of Irish citizens living in the U.K and vice versa U.K citizens living in Ireland?


That is the $64,000 question.

Would be surprised if there isn't deep in the bowels of one of those treaties we voted on some rule against member states making separate deals with non member states.


All up in the air.

Know a couple of mates of mine living  in London  years  who took out a British passport in the last year or so just in case.

There's 300000 U.K citizens living in Spain, they'll have to move back to the U.K. The amount of people both leaving and returning to the U.K will  be mind boggling

Like feck they will. Agreements so they can stay and amnesties at worst will be in place long before Britain exits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 24, 2016, 03:14:16 PM
Quote from: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 03:10:20 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 24, 2016, 03:02:16 PM
Quote from: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 02:50:12 PM
Will British citizens living in the E.U be living there illegally once the Brexit is official? What will be the status of Irish citizens living in the U.K and vice versa U.K citizens living in Ireland?


That is the $64,000 question.

Would be surprised if there isn't deep in the bowels of one of those treaties we voted on some rule against member states making separate deals with non member states.


All up in the air.

Know a couple of mates of mine living  in London  years  who took out a British passport in the last year or so just in case.

There's 300000 U.K citizens living in Spain, they'll have to move back to the U.K. The amount of people both leaving and returning to the U.K will  be mind boggling

Yep, certainly a possibility. Plenty of horsetrading to do. Serious national self interest will come to the fore.

Might throw Gibraltar's future into the mix.

Really complicated now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 03:16:11 PM
Quote from: Longshanks on June 24, 2016, 02:56:53 PM
We were talking about europe here and one fella is of the opinion that leaving europe still won't happen and Cameron leaving (the smart move) is not what Gove or Johnson would want as if say Johnson was elected leader he cannot go to the eu with a peoples mandate as he isn't technically the peoples choice and therefore he would need to hold a general election.

As before if Cameron had went forward he would have had the peoples mandate and with him leaving it messes their plans up.


Now if a general election was held and a party go in that was pro euro (labour) and judging by the back lash and people realising how bad things could get this could happen then they could come to an agreement not to leave the euro.

fingers crossed??

One hell of a call, obviously it would need done before Article 50 is activated, that said - if you are out you are out, I think others will follow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 03:16:29 PM
Quote from: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 03:10:20 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 24, 2016, 03:02:16 PM
Quote from: FL/MAYO on June 24, 2016, 02:50:12 PM
Will British citizens living in the E.U be living there illegally once the Brexit is official? What will be the status of Irish citizens living in the U.K and vice versa U.K citizens living in Ireland?


That is the $64,000 question.

Would be surprised if there isn't deep in the bowels of one of those treaties we voted on some rule against member states making separate deals with non member states.


All up in the air.

Know a couple of mates of mine living  in London  years  who took out a British passport in the last year or so just in case.

There's 300000 U.K citizens living in Spain, they'll have to move back to the U.K. The amount of people both leaving and returning to the U.K will  be mind boggling

Frankie boyoe tweeted about this. Said banks in the uk should be very worried. As all the bank robbers will be returning from spain lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 03:16:38 PM
Knives out for Corbyn now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 03:17:58 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 03:16:38 PM
Knives out for Corbyn now.

Near time, had he showed any sort of leadership the vote would have been different, how he became leader will always amaze me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 03:18:08 PM
I like corbyn but not convinced he's a viable leader. They'll end up with someone who's tory-lite like khan or the like.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 03:21:14 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 03:18:08 PM
I like corbyn but not convinced he's a viable leader. They'll end up with someone who's tory-lite like khan or the like.
GUBU...vote against immigrants and end up with the son of one as a pm! karma.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on June 24, 2016, 03:21:44 PM
https://twitter.com/5_News/status/746333341532598279 (https://twitter.com/5_News/status/746333341532598279)

You gotta wonder sometimes
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 03:25:11 PM
Quote from: Declan on June 24, 2016, 03:21:44 PM
https://twitter.com/5_News/status/746333341532598279 (https://twitter.com/5_News/status/746333341532598279)

You gotta wonder sometimes

Maybe mouview is correct about vetting voters!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 24, 2016, 03:29:44 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 03:18:08 PM
I like corbyn but not convinced he's a viable leader. They'll end up with someone who's tory-lite like khan or the like.

I voted remain myself like prob. 90% of nationalists. In a way the Bretix vote is good for nationalism 20 years of the GFA has made the middle class nationalists soft on a united Ireland but this DUP sponsored breakup of the UK should go along way to firming that up again. With a Scottish exit it may bring a few over from the otherside as NI is sure to suffer the most along with Gibralta. How long before the money for ni dries up and gets diverted to northern of england. When they realise that ni costs more than europe bye bye.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 03:36:45 PM
Spain are already talking about gibraltar and there is talk from snp on referendum too. I think you are right on the middle class nationalist bit too. Still the south must want us etc etc so still a pipe dream.

I think many gravy trains are about to dry up for ni. It is a false evonomy hugely bolstered by eu and you can be sure tories won't fund that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 24, 2016, 03:40:13 PM
Yip if I was a civil servant in the North I would be starting to save.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on June 24, 2016, 03:43:43 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

Anyone who thinks like that isnt Irish. Sad really.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: doodaa on June 24, 2016, 03:46:54 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

Probably harder to sell a United Ireland to someone like that than a TUV voter!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 03:50:00 PM
i freely admit that I saw no way in which this was possible, completely wrong.

Now what?

for those who are interested there is a once in a lifetime opportunity to bring about a lasting and inclusive peaceful island. The breakdown by council of the vote makes for fascinating reading. The inward investment in northern ireland stops abruptly with an EU exit. The 12.5% corp tax makes little to no impact with UK outside of the EU. The farming community will be decimated with NI outside of the EU.

Sinn Fein's knee jerk reaction for the border poll certainly brings the topic to the forefront of the news as part of a UK breakup. The real issue is whether the fledgling government in the Republic can create a mechanism to facilitate the absorption of a northern Ireland state while at the same time preserving the rights and influence of the unionist population. A concerted effort and a cross party initiative to put forward that proposal could take the prospect of a "more united Ireland" rather than the absolute of the traditional United Ireland prospect into a best possible solution for all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 03:51:14 PM
Driving to work this morning I was shocked, dismayed and saddened by the result. As the day has worn on I have cheered up a bit as the reality of the vote starts to hit the Brits. It could give nationalism a boost but I'm not sure we have the leaders to take advantage of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 04:05:45 PM
Will we end up with the North being some kind of tripartite ruled "special administrative area" -
A foot in an All Ireland set up, a foot in the "new UK" of England and Wales and of course a foot in the EU?
Nationalists will have their UI, Unionists will have their UK and the EU will continue with the grants to cover what we and the English/Welsh can't or won't pay for?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 24, 2016, 04:07:17 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 03:51:14 PM
Driving to work this morning I was shocked, dismayed and saddened by the result. As the day has worn on I have cheered up a bit as the reality of the vote starts to hit the Brits. It could give nationalism a boost but I'm not sure we have the leaders to take advantage of it.

May not have the leaders but economics may do it for u.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lfdown2 on June 24, 2016, 04:15:40 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

Unfortunately there are many like her, a good many.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 24, 2016, 04:16:42 PM
Quote from: lfdown2 on June 24, 2016, 04:15:40 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

Unfortunately there are many like her, a good many.
Including Charlie Flannigan given hi interview there on BBC.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lar Naparka on June 24, 2016, 04:17:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 24, 2016, 03:36:45 PM
Spain are already talking about gibraltar and there is talk from snp on referendum too. I think you are right on the middle class nationalist bit too. Still the south must want us etc etc so still a pipe dream.

I think many gravy trains are about to dry up for ni. It is a false evonomy hugely bolstered by eu and you can be sure tories won't fund that.

Not if you include Fearon. Leave him north of the border and we'll see what we can do for ye. ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 04:27:06 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 04:05:45 PM
Will we end up with the North being some kind of tripartite ruled "special administrative area" -
A foot in an All Ireland set up, a foot in the "new UK" of England and Wales and of course a foot in the EU?
Nationalists will have their UI, Unionists will have their UK and the EU will continue with the grants to cover what we and the English/Welsh can't or won't pay for?

Rossfan,
as proposals go there are merits in yours (I believe) I think that part of the all ireland "foot" would cover the EU eligibility. The Barnett model that controls the block grant allocation to NI, Scotland and Wales makes for some interesting reading. Economics may be a driver, but as this week's results show it is not the only thing. What will be interesting to see if there are legitimately viable models proposed over the next few weeks, and whether they get any political support. Enda says he has more serious issues to address first (relating to the border poll issue) so does that mean it will be addressed? The fact that this hasn't been considered as part of the Brexit contingency plan may be indicative of the short sightedness of the current political class. The economic benefit of the integration of the north into the economy of the Republic would actually be a massive boost to the island's economy, and that boost is within the grasp of this administration, question is- do they know how to grasp it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 04:50:48 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.

That's like fans not being allowed to criticise their football team just because they didn't play professionally.

The working classes have spoken. They've had enough and hopefully more countries will follow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 04:55:57 PM
Quote from: Longshanks on June 24, 2016, 02:56:53 PM
We were talking about europe here and one fella is of the opinion that leaving europe still won't happen and Cameron leaving (the smart move) is not what Gove or Johnson would want as if say Johnson was elected leader he cannot go to the eu with a peoples mandate as he isn't technically the peoples choice and therefore he would need to hold a general election.

As before if Cameron had went forward he would have had the peoples mandate and with him leaving it messes their plans up.


Now if a general election was held and a party go in that was pro euro (labour) and judging by the back lash and people realising how bad things could get this could happen then they could come to an agreement not to leave the euro.

fingers crossed??

This isn't as outlandish as you might think. The Brits don't have a written Constitution and an ineffective upper house so their Parliament effectively makes the rules up as they go along. If a majority government of the day wanted to discount the result, or more likely have a rerun there's legally nothing to prevent it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 04:57:19 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 04:50:48 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 24, 2016, 01:12:57 PM
Ballot goes to show once again that voter eligibility should be means-tested, (here also). People on long-term dole or social welfare, too lazy or incompetent to fend for themselves, should have no say in anything. Too easily led and swayed by populist agendas.

That's like fans not being allowed to criticise their football team just because they didn't play professionally.

The working classes have spoken. They've had enough and hopefully more countries will follow.
nobody was consulted about QE or the reduction of rates to zero or the Anglo job or the failure of Osborne to get the deficit to zero.

The people have spoken, the bastards...
And ordinary people will suffer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:00:36 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

I may be wrong but does the constitution really say the north is Irish? I thought it was dropped in article 3 to allow for the GFA. And the dual citizenship is protected in the GFA not the constitution.

Either way anyone who refers to a piece of paper (passport) or legislation to confirm their indentity is as two dimensional as their facebook page.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 05:00:50 PM
The City of London is f%cked. Thousands of jobs will be lost . Maybe they can be replaced with the 350 m...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 05:02:17 PM
Quote from: haveaharp on June 24, 2016, 03:43:43 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

Anyone who thinks like that isnt Irish. Sad really.
I hate that attitude
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:04:18 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:00:36 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

I may be wrong but does the constitution really say the north is Irish? I thought it was dropped in article 3 to allow for the GFA. And the dual citizenship is protected in the GFA not the constitution.

Either way anyone who refers to a piece of paper (passport) or legislation to confirm their indentity is as two dimensional as their facebook page.

The Consititution (article 19) states that it the birthright of anyone born on the island of Ireland to be part of the Irish nation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:10:40 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:04:18 PM

The Consititution (article 19) states that it the birthright of anyone born on the island of Ireland to be part of the Irish nation.

Did that not change in referendum on Irish Citizenship?

2004
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:12:28 PM
I believe there was an addendum to include provision for children born to non-nationals, but as far as I am aware, the right of people born in the 6 counties to be considered part of the Irish nation, and Irish citizens, did not change.

The constitution currently states :

it is the entitlement and birthright of every person
born in the island of ireland, which includes its
islands and seas, to be part of the irish nation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:16:01 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 05:00:50 PM
The City of London is f%cked. Thousands of jobs will be lost . Maybe they can be replaced with the 350 m...

Seafoid- very valid point. There's a reason London voted stay. Morgan Stanley have already come out and declared they are considering the move of their EU headquarters to Dublin. The timing of the Brexit at the same time as the UK is pressing global companies to pay more UK tax incentivizes these firms to move to the only remaining English speaking country remaining in the EU.

The economic shock to the whole of the UK of this decision is a long way away from being realized at this point. Scotland and Northern Ireland in particular are better off in the EU, as are England and Wales (not to mention Gibraltar) but more noticeably Scotland and NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:18:22 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:12:28 PM
I believe there was an addendum to include provision for children born to non-nationals, but as far as I am aware, the right of people born in the 6 counties to be considered part of the Irish nation, and Irish citizens, did not change.

What about British Nationals?

Pretty sure it didn't specify.
If a child to Scottish Parents is born in Belfast they are not Irish Citizens unless proven in a court.
However, under the GFA the are entitled to Dual citizenship through lesislation.
I'm don't know how that works but seems to be the case.

I suppose the point is, that regardless of UK in or out of EU these issues are for Ireland and the UK and will always be.

As for your debate on facebook, it's nothing to get annoyed at in my opinion.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:18:39 PM
I wonder will Arlene be so smug when the likes of Citigroup up sticks and move to Dublin?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 05:19:56 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:00:36 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

I may be wrong but does the constitution really say the north is Irish? I thought it was dropped in article 3 to allow for the GFA. And the dual citizenship is protected in the GFA not the constitution.

Either way anyone who refers to a piece of paper (passport) or legislation to confirm their indentity is as two dimensional as their facebook page.

The GFA guarantees more than dual citizenship, it also protects the right of all those born in the north to a single Irish citizenship (rather than dual citizenship) and as such to be legally no different from those born in the south. Constitution gives this right the underlying legal basis. Therefore those born in the north do not have to do anything (such as getting a passport) to prove their citizenship.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on June 24, 2016, 05:22:18 PM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 24, 2016, 03:29:44 PM
In a way the Bretix vote is good for nationalism 20 years of the GFA has made the middle class nationalists soft on a united Ireland but this DUP sponsored breakup of the UK should go along way to firming that up again.

I think that point is very very accurate.  After disappointment and sadness this morning, my reaction is much firmly focussed on how little I have in common with the Out voters in England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:26:08 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:18:39 PM
I wonder will Arlene be so smug when the likes of Citigroup up sticks and move to Dublin?

I'm not so sure that this is an immediate concern but definitely not he 5-7 year horizon


A much more immediate problem is the reality is that a lot of the companies who were very advanced in their plans to move to the north will stall out until the uncertainty is no longer a concern in whatever that should be. The markets and CFOs hate uncertainty and unpredictability.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:26:40 PM
Quote from: Ulick on June 24, 2016, 05:19:56 PM
The GFA guarantees more than dual citizenship, it also protects the right of all those born in the north to a single Irish citizenship (rather than dual citizenship) and as such to be legally no different from those born in the south. Constitution gives this right the underlying legal basis. Therefore those born in the north do not have to do anything (such as getting a passport) to prove their citizenship.

Even if the GFA isn't constitutionally protected in itself there is a legal basis for it?.

So legally no different or Constitutionally no different or both?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:29:30 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:18:22 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:12:28 PM
I believe there was an addendum to include provision for children born to non-nationals, but as far as I am aware, the right of people born in the 6 counties to be considered part of the Irish nation, and Irish citizens, did not change.

What about British Nationals?

Pretty sure it didn't specify.
If a child to Scottish Parents is born in Belfast they are not Irish Citizens unless proven in a court.
However, under the GFA the are entitled to Dual citizenship through lesislation.
I'm don't know how that works but seems to be the case.

I suppose the point is, that regardless of UK in or out of EU these issues are for Ireland and the UK and will always be.

As for your debate on facebook, it's nothing to get annoyed at in my opinion.

Only annoyed because this person basically said if you are from the north you are a foreigner and she had no problem with them having to cross a border. I don't see any Irish person as a foreigner and I do not want a hard border outside Dundalk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:32:13 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

Anecdotally, a lot of folks in the north have viewed this referendum as an opportunity to reassert their Britishness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:35:36 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:32:13 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

Anecdotally, a lot of folks in the north have viewed this referendum as an opportunity to reassert their Britishness.

Beats marching season if ye ask me
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:39:43 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:32:13 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

Anecdotally, a lot of folks in the north have viewed this referendum as an opportunity to reassert their Britishness.
I've got that impression too. It's actually quite depressing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on June 24, 2016, 05:43:30 PM
Reading that the EU parliament president wants the out process sped up to get Britain out ASAP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on June 24, 2016, 05:44:08 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:29:30 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:18:22 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:12:28 PM
I believe there was an addendum to include provision for children born to non-nationals, but as far as I am aware, the right of people born in the 6 counties to be considered part of the Irish nation, and Irish citizens, did not change.

What about British Nationals?

Pretty sure it didn't specify.
If a child to Scottish Parents is born in Belfast they are not Irish Citizens unless proven in a court.
However, under the GFA the are entitled to Dual citizenship through lesislation.
I'm don't know how that works but seems to be the case.

I suppose the point is, that regardless of UK in or out of EU these issues are for Ireland and the UK and will always be.

As for your debate on facebook, it's nothing to get annoyed at in my opinion.

Only annoyed because this person basically said if you are from the north you are a foreigner and she had no problem with them having to cross a border. I don't see any Irish person as a foreigner and I do not want a hard border outside Dundalk.
Your dead right AZ.  And it very much is something to get annoyed about if a sizeable number of Irish citizens hold that same view. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:44:48 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on June 24, 2016, 05:43:30 PM
Reading that the EU parliament president wants the out process sped up to get Britain out ASAP.

Anything you hear today should be taken with a pinch of salt.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 05:45:45 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:29:30 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:18:22 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:12:28 PM
I believe there was an addendum to include provision for children born to non-nationals, but as far as I am aware, the right of people born in the 6 counties to be considered part of the Irish nation, and Irish citizens, did not change.

What about British Nationals?

Pretty sure it didn't specify.
If a child to Scottish Parents is born in Belfast they are not Irish Citizens unless proven in a court.
However, under the GFA the are entitled to Dual citizenship through lesislation.
I'm don't know how that works but seems to be the case.

I suppose the point is, that regardless of UK in or out of EU these issues are for Ireland and the UK and will always be.

As for your debate on facebook, it's nothing to get annoyed at in my opinion.

Only annoyed because this person basically said if you are from the north you are a foreigner and she had no problem with them having to cross a border. I don't see any Irish person as a foreigner and I do not want a hard border outside Dundalk.

Who's going to man a "hard border" between Carrickmacross and Culloville?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 24, 2016, 05:49:17 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 05:29:30 PM

Only annoyed because this person basically said if you are from the north you are a foreigner and she had no problem with them having to cross a border. I don't see any Irish person as a foreigner and I do not want a hard border outside Dundalk.

Agreed.

Seperately -
For some reason 'foreigner' has become a bad word when often it's an honest description of someone. I know if I called some foreigners at work 'foreigners' they might get insulted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:51:56 PM
(https://i.redd.it/6ufmq712185x.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on June 24, 2016, 05:53:43 PM
Your far better off to describe yourself as an expat than an immigrant.  Exactly the same thing but viewed completely differently
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on June 24, 2016, 06:05:59 PM
They could call themselves the Federal United Celtic Kingdom

Quote from: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:51:56 PM
(https://i.redd.it/6ufmq712185x.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:08:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:26:08 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:18:39 PM
I wonder will Arlene be so smug when the likes of Citigroup up sticks and move to Dublin?

I'm not so sure that this is an immediate concern but definitely not he 5-7 year horizon


A much more immediate problem is the reality is that a lot of the companies who were very advanced in their plans to move to the north will stall out until the uncertainty is no longer a concern in whatever that should be. The markets and CFOs hate uncertainty and unpredictability.
It is partly their fault  Working class voters haven't had decent payrises for years in large swathes of the UK. That came home with a vengeance today
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:11:35 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:16:01 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 05:00:50 PM
The City of London is f%cked. Thousands of jobs will be lost . Maybe they can be replaced with the 350 m...

Seafoid- very valid point. There's a reason London voted stay. Morgan Stanley have already come out and declared they are considering the move of their EU headquarters to Dublin. The timing of the Brexit at the same time as the UK is pressing global companies to pay more UK tax incentivizes these firms to move to the only remaining English speaking country remaining in the EU.

The economic shock to the whole of the UK of this decision is a long way away from being realized at this point. Scotland and Northern Ireland in particular are better off in the EU, as are England and Wales (not to mention Gibraltar) but more noticeably Scotland and NI.
The UK has  brutal current account deficit and a very bad budget deficit. The Bank of England has no scope to cut rates. The economic fallout will be painful.
The events to mark the centenary of the Somme look pathetic now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AhNowRef on June 24, 2016, 06:25:31 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on June 24, 2016, 03:41:46 PM
I had an argument on Facebook with someone in Dublin who would welcome border controls. If 'they' want to stop us going into the UK, we should stop 'them' coming to the ROI. I pointed out that a lot of 'them' were actually 'us' and worked daily in Dublin, and consider themselves Irish, and not only that but are guaranteed to be Irish under our constitution. Would we really want Irish people, working in Dublin, to be inconvenienced with a border every morning.

The response was that ye are not Irish. So hard luck lads. Even though the constitution says you are part of the Irish Nation, and Citizens of the ROI, as far as she was concerned, only people born in the 26 counties are Irish.

Sometimes I hate people.

Jaysus, must be horrible to work with Ruth Dudley Edwards  :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 06:33:59 PM
The lunatics have taken over the asylum.  I wonder how many of the average joes in England who voted for leave really understand the possible impact of this on their pockets.  Who will they blame about the state of the NHS and the lack of jobs in 5 years time?  Big bad EU can't carry the can anymore. Over here, it's going to be a much tougher job for InvestNI to attract investment here now. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AhNowRef on June 24, 2016, 06:38:44 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:32:13 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

Anecdotally, a lot of folks in the north have viewed this referendum as an opportunity to reassert their Britishness.

Yeah , them mad eejits have aspirations of going back to a 1950s style Stormont and a closed off Union .. it aint gonna happen ..

With Scotland seeking another referendum (and to a lesser extent SF looking for a border poll) they may regret what they've helped do.. Shortsightedness as usual !!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:46:50 PM
Quote from: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 06:33:59 PM
The lunatics have taken over the asylum.  I wonder how many of the average joes in England who voted for leave really understand the possible impact of this on their pockets.  Who will they blame about the state of the NHS and the lack of jobs in 5 years time?  Big bad EU can't carry the can anymore. Over here, it's going to be a much tougher job for InvestNI to attract investment here now.
The Daily Mail and the Sun have been telling Brits for 30 years that Europe was the problem. Now they can find out it it wasn't.  Democracy is the art of giving the people what they want, good and hard
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on June 24, 2016, 07:04:52 PM
One of the most depressing aspects of the vote is the way young people have been shafted by the elderly.
Cameron really missed a trick by not extending the voting rights to 16 & 17-year-olds - as they did with the Scottish ref vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:10:41 PM
Quote from: Clov on June 24, 2016, 07:04:52 PM
One of the most depressing aspects of the vote is the way young people have been shafted by the elderly.
Cameron really missed a trick by not extending the voting rights to 16 & 17-year-olds - as they did with the Scottish ref vote.
the old shafting the young and even their own children is very much of the times . In Ireland you have the example of  middle aged teachers via the unuons fighting pay cuts to ensure younger teachers have far lower starting salaries
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on June 24, 2016, 07:19:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:10:41 PM
Quote from: Clov on June 24, 2016, 07:04:52 PM
One of the most depressing aspects of the vote is the way young people have been shafted by the elderly.
Cameron really missed a trick by not extending the voting rights to 16 & 17-year-olds - as they did with the Scottish ref vote.
the old shafting the young and even their own children is very much of the times . In Ireland you have the example of  middle aged teachers via the unuons fighting pay cuts to ensure younger teachers have far lower starting salaries

Well that seems to me an example of people acting in their own self interest - which is pretty common. I'm guessing if the shoe was on the other foot younger teachers would behave similarly. The Brexit vote seems more depressing for me in that the long term consequences of the out vote effect the young much more than the elderly. I half joked with someone in work today that votes should have been weighted by life expectancy. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:26:40 PM
One thing that is very striking from this clusterfuck is how poor large parts of England are after 37 years of Thatcherism. Brexit was about this .
I was in a pub in Donaghadee on the Ards peninsula and there was a photo of the town 100 years ago. The people were all well dressed.  Over in Galway or Tipp people at the time had nothing . Economics are funny. Things change.

The Brits including our neighbours up north are seriously lost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:28:24 PM
Quote from: Clov on June 24, 2016, 07:19:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:10:41 PM
Quote from: Clov on June 24, 2016, 07:04:52 PM
One of the most depressing aspects of the vote is the way young people have been shafted by the elderly.
Cameron really missed a trick by not extending the voting rights to 16 & 17-year-olds - as they did with the Scottish ref vote.
the old shafting the young and even their own children is very much of the times . In Ireland you have the example of  middle aged teachers via the unuons fighting pay cuts to ensure younger teachers have far lower starting salaries

Well that seems to me an example of people acting in their own self interest - which is pretty common. I'm guessing if the shoe was on the other foot younger teachers would behave similarly. The Brexit vote seems more depressing for me in that the long term consequences of the out vote effect the young much more than the elderly. I half joked with someone in work today that votes should have been weighted by life expectancy.
In the big picture it is not coherent. Demand has to be supported for the economy y to recover but it is too remote for a lot of people
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected wankers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:35:44 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected w**kers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.


That's complete rubbish. Nobody benefits from being outside the EU. Unless you're a martyr who gives all his disposal income to charity that is.

Financially this is a disaster for the UK. Morgan Stanley looking at moving 2,000 jobs to Dublin already. More to come

Agr farmers in Ireland will go out of business as well as many companies who trade with the UK.

Anyone who says this would have happened if the status quo had of remained either is Nigel Farage or just plain old stupid.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on June 24, 2016, 07:37:30 PM
Spoke to a few fellas in work today that voted Leave, all nationalists. They all cited immigration as their sole reason for voting Leave
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:39:46 PM
Quote from: Kidder81 on June 24, 2016, 07:37:30 PM
Spoke to a few fellas in work today that voted Leave, all nationalists. They all cited immigration as their sole reason for voting Leave

Which is the stupidest reason of all. The jingoism of the worst excesses of Boris Johnson and Farage won the day and I'm sad to say my generation were responsible for the single worst decision the UK has made since the Falklands
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on June 24, 2016, 07:43:41 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:39:46 PM
Quote from: Kidder81 on June 24, 2016, 07:37:30 PM
Spoke to a few fellas in work today that voted Leave, all nationalists. They all cited immigration as their sole reason for voting Leave

Which is the stupidest reason of all. The jingoism of the worst excesses of Boris Johnson and Farage won the day and I'm sad to say my generation were responsible for the single worst decision the UK has made since the Falklands

One of them has a brother working in the US
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:52:05 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.
Switzerland is deflating. The big 2 banks trade at 60% of book value
The UK econ. could contract by 10%
EU subs cost 1% of GDP

Norway has oil
Israel is poor


Financial chaos is about allocating losses. The UK just shot itself in the foot .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:53:22 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected w**kers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.
Ordinary Joes typically get to a point where they say "f**k that " and demand a new system.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:54:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.

The UK has had billions wiped off it's stock market today that it will never see again.

It will lose all the funding that it got from the EU.

Beggars belief the sheer ignorance out there. When it hits the pocket they'll realise what a stupid decision it was
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:56:43 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:54:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.

The UK has had billions wiped off it's stock market today that it will never see again.

It will lose all the funding that it got from the EU.

Beggars belief the sheer ignorance out there. When it hits the pocket they'll realise what a stupid decision it was
Ordinary people don't understand how finance works
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on June 24, 2016, 07:59:15 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:54:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.

The UK has had billions wiped off it's stock market today that it will never see again.

It will lose all the funding that it got from the EU.

Beggars belief the sheer ignorance out there. When it hits the pocket they'll realise what a stupid decision it was

I'd like you explain the bit in bold. Especially how long "never" will last.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 08:02:40 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:56:43 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:54:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.

The UK has had billions wiped off it's stock market today that it will never see again.

It will lose all the funding that it got from the EU.

Beggars belief the sheer ignorance out there. When it hits the pocket they'll realise what a stupid decision it was
Ordinary people don't understand how finance works

Ordinary people don't trust politicans. Brexit is a result of successive governments lying to and screwing people over.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 08:06:19 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:56:43 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:54:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.

The UK has had billions wiped off it's stock market today that it will never see again.

It will lose all the funding that it got from the EU.

Beggars belief the sheer ignorance out there. When it hits the pocket they'll realise what a stupid decision it was
Ordinary people don't understand how finance works

It was a vote for the uneducated. Unfortunately they were duped by the idiots and fell for it. Huge tranches of the poorest regions in England voted to leave without realising that they will be ever poorer as a result.

The old and the uneducated are to blame

No intelligent individual would vote to leave
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 08:11:04 PM
History shows that immigrants tend to bear the brunt when economic conditions are poor.  Immigrants aren't responsible for poor investment in the NHS, or for the lack of foreign investment, of for the lack of entrepreneurial new start ups that lead to new jobs. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 08:11:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:08:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:26:08 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:18:39 PM
I wonder will Arlene be so smug when the likes of Citigroup up sticks and move to Dublin?

I'm not so sure that this is an immediate concern but definitely not he 5-7 year horizon


A much more immediate problem is the reality is that a lot of the companies who were very advanced in their plans to move to the north will stall out until the uncertainty is no longer a concern in whatever that should be. The markets and CFOs hate uncertainty and unpredictability.
It is partly their fault  Working class voters haven't had decent payrises for years in large swathes of the UK. That came home with a vengeance today

Mist bankers and government workers had pay freezes for a long time during the recession as did most people working in public and private sector...so that covers a large proportion of working class?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on June 24, 2016, 08:13:49 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 08:06:19 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:56:43 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:54:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.

The UK has had billions wiped off it's stock market today that it will never see again.

It will lose all the funding that it got from the EU.

Beggars belief the sheer ignorance out there. When it hits the pocket they'll realise what a stupid decision it was
Ordinary people don't understand how finance works

It was a vote for the uneducated. Unfortunately they were duped by the idiots and fell for it. Huge tranches of the poorest regions in England voted to leave without realising that they will be ever poorer as a result.

The old and the uneducated are to blame

No intelligent individual would vote to leave

No intelligent individual would lay claim to the outlandish doomsday scenarios you are painting above.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: knockitdown on June 24, 2016, 08:22:04 PM
A good time to try start your own business? I've been thing about it for the past 12 months, waiting on this for 3, and ready to pull the trigger and hand in my notice. I never really expected that leave would be the outcome. This morning was terrible, but as the day goes on I'm starting to think that life has to go on, and it will. We aren't Israel, Norway or Switzerland. The EU need us as much as we need them, and I think this will come through over the course of the next few months.

Btw, my vote was to remain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 08:33:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 08:11:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:08:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:26:08 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:18:39 PM
I wonder will Arlene be so smug when the likes of Citigroup up sticks and move to Dublin?

I'm not so sure that this is an immediate concern but definitely not he 5-7 year horizon


A much more immediate problem is the reality is that a lot of the companies who were very advanced in their plans to move to the north will stall out until the uncertainty is no longer a concern in whatever that should be. The markets and CFOs hate uncertainty and unpredictability.
It is partly their fault  Working class voters haven't had decent payrises for years in large swathes of the UK. That came home with a vengeance today

Mist bankers and government workers had pay freezes for a long time during the recession as did most people working in public and private sector...so that covers a large proportion of working class?
MR it goes back at least 20 years
Wages in Wales have never recovered from the 1980s
NI is sheltered from the real world in many respects
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 08:34:07 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
not sure why I'm bothering, but here goes

Switzerland do alright.
in that Switzerland is a stable well educated social equal population with stable politics and stable monetary policy, a currency that has plummeted, and it meets all the EU's trading regulations on purpose  (as opposed to what the Brexiters are proposing)
"these EU regulations are killing us..."


As does Norway oil that the government owns,
Israel dependent on the US,
US, China
are you seriously comparing the UK's economy to the US and China- maybe 150 years ago when there was an empire

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!
sure they will- but at what cost what delusion now?

Immigration is a factor too.
this cracks me up
fear is the factor not immigration
what do you think leaving the EU is going to do to immigration?
what is immigration doing that is affecting your life so badly?
who do you think does the low paid work when the immigrants leave?

oh thats right you will and your family will and they will be glad to, because the economy will be such a state that there won't be better jobs, and there sure as shit won't be a national insurance and pensions safety net to save you


Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.
this is where the get you, in the long grass.
when you put the needs of the rich above the needs of the poor the whole country suffers. the relaxation of corporate tax, loopholes, capital gains and reduced income taxes at the highest bands you don't have money for your national health service, education and you suffer a massive infrastructure debt (which was actually funded by the EU) Look back to thatcher and her policies, and now reap what they sowed. They built a system to encourage a wealth gap a make it wider, but what happens when the left behind uneducated poor get an equal vote to the rich protected capital providers?

infrastructure and invention were what the empire was built on.
the problem is not the infrastructure now, the problem is 30 years of underinvestment in the infrastructure, education and the health service.
Helps when the electorate is woefully under informed


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: stew on June 24, 2016, 08:38:56 PM
Quote from: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 06:33:59 PM
The lunatics have taken over the asylum.  I wonder how many of the average joes in England who voted for leave really understand the possible impact of this on their pockets.  Who will they blame about the state of the NHS and the lack of jobs in 5 years time?  Big bad EU can't carry the can anymore. Over here, it's going to be a much tougher job for InvestNI to attract investment here now.

Listen to yourselves, the people have voted democratically to exit the EU, quit whinging and finger pointing and accept the decision and move on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 24, 2016, 08:46:10 PM
Dunno what yous are on about this extra money in your pocket.
We will all be fit to head off to the bog now and win turf instead of splurging money on home heating oil.
Whats more there will be a demand for them in the south so we will be fit to sell on the black market. The wee6 will never have been better off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 24, 2016, 08:56:33 PM
Quote from: stew on June 24, 2016, 08:38:56 PM
Quote from: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 06:33:59 PM
The lunatics have taken over the asylum.  I wonder how many of the average joes in England who voted for leave really understand the possible impact of this on their pockets.  Who will they blame about the state of the NHS and the lack of jobs in 5 years time?  Big bad EU can't carry the can anymore. Over here, it's going to be a much tougher job for InvestNI to attract investment here now.

Listen to yourselves, the people have voted democratically to exit the EU, quit whinging and finger pointing and accept the decision and move on.

I will gladly accept this decision I actually find it very funny how these idiots are so f**king gullible to buy the crap they have been peedled by the leave camp £350 mill a day for the NHS didn't last past 10.30 the next morning. The exit vote had f..all to do with economics NHS or any of that crap. It boils down to racisim of the little Englanders. Huge sections of the horticultural and food industry in the UK rely on immigrants to do the jobs that the little englanders feel is beneath them a Unionist friend today was appoleptic about the fact that the UK was voted out of the EU by people who didnt have the first notion what they were doing. I nearly split my sides laughing when he started on the DUP In his words scewing with the Union and inviting the scots to vote on a cert leave referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 24, 2016, 09:01:40 PM
We will now be able to reap the rewards of democracy and a free press, what a glorious country we live in
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 09:04:34 PM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 24, 2016, 08:56:33 PM
Quote from: stew on June 24, 2016, 08:38:56 PM
Quote from: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 06:33:59 PM
The lunatics have taken over the asylum.  I wonder how many of the average joes in England who voted for leave really understand the possible impact of this on their pockets.  Who will they blame about the state of the NHS and the lack of jobs in 5 years time?  Big bad EU can't carry the can anymore. Over here, it's going to be a much tougher job for InvestNI to attract investment here now.

Listen to yourselves, the people have voted democratically to exit the EU, quit whinging and finger pointing and accept the decision and move on.

I will gladly accept this decision I actually find it very funny how these idiots are so f**king gullible to buy the crap they have been peedled by the leave camp £350 mill a day for the NHS didn't last past 10.30 the next morning. The exit vote had f..all to do with economics NHS or any of that crap. It boils down to racisim of the little Englanders. Huge sections of the horticultural and food industry in the UK rely on immigrants to do the jobs that the little englanders feel is beneath them a Unionist friend today was appoleptic about the fact that the UK was voted out of the EU by people who didnt have the first notion what they were doing. I nearly split my sides laughing when he started on the DUP In his words scewing with the Union and inviting the scots to vote on a cert leave referendum.

100 percent correct. English people have always been traditionally stupid and this put the tin lid on it. They are also one of the most racist populations in the world.
You only have to look at the yobbos representing them singing Republican Songs outside Irish Bars in France. And to think some Irish people from the North voted in unison with these clowns. A ringing endorsement of the Northern education system!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 09:15:53 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 08:33:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 08:11:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:08:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:26:08 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:18:39 PM
I wonder will Arlene be so smug when the likes of Citigroup up sticks and move to Dublin?

I'm not so sure that this is an immediate concern but definitely not he 5-7 year horizon


A much more immediate problem is the reality is that a lot of the companies who were very advanced in their plans to move to the north will stall out until the uncertainty is no longer a concern in whatever that should be. The markets and CFOs hate uncertainty and unpredictability.
It is partly their fault  Working class voters haven't had decent payrises for years in large swathes of the UK. That came home with a vengeance today

Mist bankers and government workers had pay freezes for a long time during the recession as did most people working in public and private sector...so that covers a large proportion of working class?
MR it goes back at least 20 years
Wages in Wales have never recovered from the 1980s
NI is sheltered from the real world in many respects

Wages in Wales has never been great but they have always had a low living costs.... Nothing like wages in the rest of uk.  N.i wages about on a par with North east England and parts of Scotland....

A lot of areas that have money (bar London) voted to leave
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 24, 2016, 09:20:02 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 09:04:34 PM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 24, 2016, 08:56:33 PM
Quote from: stew on June 24, 2016, 08:38:56 PM
Quote from: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 06:33:59 PM
The lunatics have taken over the asylum.  I wonder how many of the average joes in England who voted for leave really understand the possible impact of this on their pockets.  Who will they blame about the state of the NHS and the lack of jobs in 5 years time?  Big bad EU can't carry the can anymore. Over here, it's going to be a much tougher job for InvestNI to attract investment here now.

Listen to yourselves, the people have voted democratically to exit the EU, quit whinging and finger pointing and accept the decision and move on.

I will gladly accept this decision I actually find it very funny how these idiots are so f**king gullible to buy the crap they have been peedled by the leave camp £350 mill a day for the NHS didn't last past 10.30 the next morning. The exit vote had f..all to do with economics NHS or any of that crap. It boils down to racisim of the little Englanders. Huge sections of the horticultural and food industry in the UK rely on immigrants to do the jobs that the little englanders feel is beneath them a Unionist friend today was appoleptic about the fact that the UK was voted out of the EU by people who didnt have the first notion what they were doing. I nearly split my sides laughing when he started on the DUP In his words scewing with the Union and inviting the scots to vote on a cert leave referendum.

100 percent correct. English people have always been traditionally stupid and this put the tin lid on it. They are also one of the most racist populations in the world.
You only have to look at the yobbos representing them singing Republican Songs outside Irish Bars in France. And to think some Irish people from the North voted in unison with these clowns. A ringing endorsement of the Northern education system!

Irish Republican songs?
Or is more the Cromwellian type of republican songs?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 09:25:00 PM
Send her victorious, happy and glorious

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/29a7964c-3953-11e6-9a05-82a9b15a8ee7.html

The UK and, to a lesser degree, the EU are now at the beginning of an extended period of uncertainty. The Conservatives will have new leadership. Whether they will manage to produce a coherent government is another matter. They then will have to do what Brexiters failed to do during their mendacious campaign — map out a plan for unravelling the UK's connections with the EU. They broke it; they now own it. But, alas, it seems unlikely that there is any plan on which Brexiters can agree.

The UK economy is going to be reconfigured. Those businesses that have set up in the UK to serve the EU market must reconsider their position. The City's role in trading in euro-denominated assets will be undermined. Manufacturers will also have to consider how to readjust their productive capacity. Many will relocate. Businesses who depend on their ability to employ European nationals freely will have to reshape operations. Many will want to move inside the EU single market. Such decisions will not have to be made at once. But they will drive down investment now. In economic life, the future is always, to an extent, here today.
In the short term, however, it will be difficult to make any such decisions sensibly. Business simply does not know how politicians will end up approaching the difficult negotiations ahead. This uncertainty has always been the obvious result of a vote to leave. Only time will clear this fog. But the view that, beyond a lengthy period of transition, the UK will be poorer than it would otherwise have been is overwhelmingly probable. The UK did well inside the EU. It is unlikely to do as well outside it.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 09:27:15 PM
Now that Cameron is handing over to his party's Brexit rump - have they any idea what they want now?
Have that any idea what sort of relationship they might want with the 400m people in the EU?
Are they going to just look on them as " the rest of the world" that we might do some business with
Or
Have they any idea ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 09:28:41 PM
It has been some week for news. Galway beat Mayo. Ireland beat Italy. NI qualified. And now brexit. 
Brexit fexit though
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 09:30:04 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 24, 2016, 09:27:15 PM
Now that Cameron is handing over to his party's Brexit rump - have they any idea what they want now?
Have that any idea what sort of relationship they might want with the 400m people in the EU?
Are they going to just look on them as " the rest of the world" that we might do some business with
Or
Have they any idea ?

No. Europe isn't the issue. Brexit won't fix the current account or generate pay rises. 
Some very difficult years ahead for the UK
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 24, 2016, 09:33:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 09:15:53 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 08:33:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 08:11:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 06:08:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 24, 2016, 05:26:08 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on June 24, 2016, 05:18:39 PM
I wonder will Arlene be so smug when the likes of Citigroup up sticks and move to Dublin?

I'm not so sure that this is an immediate concern but definitely not he 5-7 year horizon


A much more immediate problem is the reality is that a lot of the companies who were very advanced in their plans to move to the north will stall out until the uncertainty is no longer a concern in whatever that should be. The markets and CFOs hate uncertainty and unpredictability.
It is partly their fault  Working class voters haven't had decent payrises for years in large swathes of the UK. That came home with a vengeance today

Mist bankers and government workers had pay freezes for a long time during the recession as did most people working in public and private sector...so that covers a large proportion of working class?
MR it goes back at least 20 years
Wages in Wales have never recovered from the 1980s
NI is sheltered from the real world in many respects

Wages in Wales has never been great but they have always had a low living costs.... Nothing like wages in the rest of uk.  N.i wages about on a par with North east England and parts of Scotland....

A lot of areas that have money (bar London) voted to leave
Boston in Lincolnshire recorded this highest percentage vote to leave. It is also Britain's least integrated area. These areas in Eastern England are reliant on migrant workers for picking crops.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boston-how-a-lincolnshire-town-became-the-most-divided-place-in-england-a6838041.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/boston-how-a-lincolnshire-town-became-the-most-divided-place-in-england-a6838041.html)

If you have a lack of integration, a oerception that immigrantd are stealing your (minimum wage jobs no locals want) and The Sun and The Daily Mail throw fuel on the fire, then Leave campaigners can mop up handy votes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 09:39:09 PM
Precarity in England is a huge factor in this vote

http://www.northantstelegraph.co.uk/news/top-stories/corby-man-forced-to-abandon-mum-s-body-in-funeral-parlour-1-7408149


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b90a7278-3a02-11e6-9a05-82a9b15a8ee7.html
Capitalism needed saving, but in bailing out the financial institutions with taxpayers' money, governments transferred the stresses from markets to politics. A return to economic growth would relieve some of the pressure. Europe in particular must understand just how politically corrosive slavish devotion to fiscal targets has become. But the politicians also must confront the excesses. If they want to save liberal democracy, they will have to reform capitalism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:47:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.
Norway and Switzerland have to allow free movement and follow all ligislation but have no input.
EU immigration n last year accounted for 0.0025% of population increase. If that broke the NHS then we are in bigger trouble than we know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:49:04 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected w**kers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.
EU unelected beaurocrat = UK civil servant. Semantics.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:49:46 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected w**kers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.
Without quotas there would be no fish.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:50:40 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 08:02:40 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:56:43 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:54:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.

The UK has had billions wiped off it's stock market today that it will never see again.

It will lose all the funding that it got from the EU.

Beggars belief the sheer ignorance out there. When it hits the pocket they'll realise what a stupid decision it was
Ordinary people don't understand how finance works

Ordinary people don't trust politicans. Brexit is a result of successive governments lying to and screwing people over.
Now that I agree with.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 09:53:29 PM
Ricky Gervais tweeted..... Joking aside, Brexit won't make any difference, the rich will still be rich and the poor will still be poor, and we'll still blame Johnny foreigner
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:53:36 PM
Quote from: stew on June 24, 2016, 08:38:56 PM
Quote from: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 06:33:59 PM
The lunatics have taken over the asylum.  I wonder how many of the average joes in England who voted for leave really understand the possible impact of this on their pockets.  Who will they blame about the state of the NHS and the lack of jobs in 5 years time?  Big bad EU can't carry the can anymore. Over here, it's going to be a much tougher job for InvestNI to attract investment here now.

Listen to yourselves, the people have voted democratically to exit the EU, quit whinging and finger pointing and accept the decision and move on.
Correct t, we have to make the best of it. No point fighting the last battle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 10:01:25 PM
You kinda hope that the Tories select Boris (is he an MP?) and he's sent to do the deal with the EU, you really can't see anything other than a mess, but who else looks like leadership material there?

As for Corbyn, he comes across as a decent human being but not the type of person to inspire people
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Boycey on June 24, 2016, 10:22:34 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 24, 2016, 10:01:25 PM
You kinda hope that the Tories select Boris (is he an MP?) and he's sent to do the deal with the EU, you really can't see anything other than a mess, but who else looks like leadership material there?

As for Corbyn, he comes across as a decent human being but not the type of person to inspire people

He who wields the knife never wears the crown?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 10:29:15 PM

Nick Clegg

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/6044d4e8-3a03-11e6-a780-b48ed7b6126f.html

The people have spoken. Like any democrat, I respect the outcome of the referendum and believe the will of the voters must now be carried out.
But that does not mean I am not angry. I feel no anger towards the millions who voted for Brexit: they did so out of a mixture of conviction, frustration and disillusionment with the status quo which was sincere and heartfelt.
No, I am angry that my children's future has been put at risk by a needless referendum. Angry at the brazen mendacity of a Leave campaign which has no idea what happens next. Angry at the careless elitism of Michael Gove, Boris Johnson, Steve Hilton and other leading Brexiters, parading themselves as tribunes of the people from their gilded worlds in Westminster, North London and California.
Angry at the years of wilful misrepresentation of the EU by vested interests in the press. Angry at the betrayal that Brexit voters will feel when they realise — too late — that a land of milk and honey outside the EU does not exist.
Angry that the political stability, legal reliability and economic openness which have marked out Britain as a global leader have been casually cast aside. Angry that three-quarters of young people voted for a future — to remain in the EU — denied to them by their seniors.
But my greatest anger is reserved for David Cameron and George Osborne — notwithstanding the dignity of the prime minister's resignation . They and they alone are responsible for bringing our great country to this sorry pass.
This need never have happened. When we were in coalition with the Conservatives I was repeatedly asked by them to agree to a referendum on their terms.
I refused point blank because elevating internal party rows to a national plebiscite is not good enough — especially since we had already enshrined into law in 2011 a referendum trigger to ratify future EU Treaties.
I remember asking the prime minister whether he was sure he could win a referendum designed to settle an internal Tory feud. I was breezily told that all would be well, of course it would be won.
When the Conservatives unexpectedly won the general election last year their complacency only increased: they started to believe they could defy political gravity, on the winning side of the 2011 referendum on voting reform, the Scottish referendum in 2014 and now gifted with a majority of their own.
They forgot that less than a quarter of eligible voters voted Conservative. Last year's election victory was no mandate for the Tories — it was a vote against all the other likely alternatives.
But they pressed on regardless — clogging up parliament with petty, partisan measures to clip the wings of trade unions, remove public funds from opposition parties, slash tax credits, grant tax bungs to their wealthy supporters and fiddle with constituency boundaries to cement their electoral advantage.
When we were in coalition with the Conservatives I was repeatedly asked by them to agree to a referendum on their terms. I refused point blank
After Mr Osborne's first budget unravelled I expected that they would tread more carefully. But still they pressed on — and the chancellor's second budget was also eviscerated in the face of parliamentary opposition.
But their greatest failing was this: having spent two decades striking poses as Eurosceptics to curry favour with their party they believed that they could change their tune in the last second of the eleventh hour in the referendum.
Voters are not stupid. I met many people in my own constituency in Sheffield who refused to follow Messrs Cameron or Osborne because they had been told the exact opposite by them for years.
Like all pro-Europeans, I sought to help the No 10-led referendum campaign — providing private advice and public support. But as the campaign wore on, it became clear that the prime minister and his chancellor were prisoners of their past: having spent so many years denigrating the EU, it was impossible for them to make a positive case.
They were condemned to make a negative case — the EU is not great, but leaving would be worse — which lacked any emotional impact, culminating in the dismal "punishment budget" proposed by Mr Osborne last week.
I feel for Mr Cameron and his family today — as I know well, abrupt defeat is not easy. My head is less forgiving. His and Mr Osborne's fair-weather approach to Britain's vital national interests in Europe has let future generations down.
The message for internationalist, pro-European politicians in all parties is clear: we must never again allow our national interest to be hijacked by internal party feuds; we must take on the populists who only know how to destroy the links that bind nations together; we must work across parties to safeguard the Britain we believe in — a great people engaged with, not divorced from, our own European continent.
The writer, former leader of the Liberal Democrats, was deputy prime minister in the 2010-15 coalition government
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 10:32:19 PM
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/63769fb6-3a03-11e6-a780-b48ed7b6126f.html

The US will also pay a price for Brexit. One of its closest partners in the world will have less to offer. And the UK will no longer be able to influence the course of EU foreign policy, something that on balance will work against American purposes in the world.
The special relationship will be decidedly less special as Washington will have no choice but to find other partners in Europe, the Middle East and Asia.
It is impossible to write about Brexit without reflecting on its larger meaning and message.
Many of those voting for Brexit were not voting to set in motion historic trends so much as to send a message of frustration, fear and anger. They succeeded, but at a great cost. It is a lesson for democracies and for institutions, that when they are perceived to be unresponsive or ineffective, people will turn to radical "solutions" that are anything but.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 10:32:32 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:49:46 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected w**kers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.
Without quotas there would be no fish.

Without massive trawlers there'd be plenty of fish.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 24, 2016, 10:34:26 PM
Are you allowed to express concerns about unchecked immigration without being labelled a racist ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 10:35:20 PM
Mrs Cameron's dress was sewn out of 3 Spanish football jerseys
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 10:38:24 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 10:32:32 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:49:46 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected w**kers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.
Without quotas there would be no fish.

Without massive trawlers there'd be plenty of fish.
And massive trawlers are the fault of the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 10:39:29 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 10:34:26 PM
Are you allowed to express concerns about unchecked immigration without being labelled a racist ?
EU or non EU immigration?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 10:51:26 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 10:38:24 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 10:32:32 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:49:46 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected w**kers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.
Without quotas there would be no fish.

Without massive trawlers there'd be plenty of fish.
And massive trawlers are the fault of the EU?

Massive trawlers taking massive quotas are.

Local fisherman restricted to measly quotas, while massive foreign trawlers can take what they want in local waters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2016, 10:56:05 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 10:51:26 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 10:38:24 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 10:32:32 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 09:49:46 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:30:05 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 24, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
What worries me is the people in NI who voted Leave. Many of the English voters were duped (imho) whereas voters here... What exactly do they, as someone from Northern Ireland, stand to benefit from? The only argument I've heard from pro-brexit unionists is that it's a "uk-wide issue"; that theyve just done what their idiot politicans have told them to do

I voted Leave. Either way, the ordinary Joe will be shafted. Europe is run by unelected w**kers and member states have to toe the line. EU quotas have destroyed fishing in Ireland (and UK), a country that relies heavily on it. I never thought Leave would win, but now that it has, hopefully the rest will leave, and that can only be a good thing.

Yes, post-Brexit there will be recession, cuts etc - but they've never needed an excuse for that in the past. They'll blame Brexit and make people suffer but they would have done that anyway.
Without quotas there would be no fish.

Without massive trawlers there'd be plenty of fish.
And massive trawlers are the fault of the EU?

Massive trawlers taking massive quotas are.

Local fisherman restricted to measly quotas, while massive foreign trawlers can take what they want in local waters.

But of course this isn't happening in Britain, massive British registered trawlers are taking the bulk of the fish. These may be owned by a limited company, maybe with foreign shareholders, but Boris is not going to restrict this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 10:58:33 PM
Quote from: stew on June 24, 2016, 08:38:56 PM
Quote from: Armamike on June 24, 2016, 06:33:59 PM
The lunatics have taken over the asylum.  I wonder how many of the average joes in England who voted for leave really understand the possible impact of this on their pockets.  Who will they blame about the state of the NHS and the lack of jobs in 5 years time?  Big bad EU can't carry the can anymore. Over here, it's going to be a much tougher job for InvestNI to attract investment here now.

Listen to yourselves, the people have voted democratically to exit the EU, quit whinging and finger pointing and accept the decision and move on.

Do you still live and work here Stew?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 24, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
Interesting tweet from Ch4 news correspondent

@alextomo Extraordinary watching sections of London media with no language, ability or even will to speak to the millions of non-racists who voted out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 11:33:37 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
Interesting tweet from Ch4 news correspondent

@alextomo Extraordinary watching sections of London media with no language, ability or even will to speak to the millions of non-racists who voted out
Its as Benny said earlier, the result is due to 2 generations of people fuck3d over by successive governments. Racism is a very small part of it, resentment of the status quo and a chance to put 2 fingers up to the establishment are the real reasons.
If you have something you voted in.
If you had nothing you voted out.
Too many people have nothing, not even hope.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 24, 2016, 11:36:51 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
Interesting tweet from Ch4 news correspondent

@alextomo Extraordinary watching sections of London media with no language, ability or even will to speak to the millions of non-racists who voted out
Racist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Capt Pat on June 24, 2016, 11:43:27 PM
I wonder what else happened in the world today. The sky news website is 100% given over to brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 24, 2016, 11:46:33 PM
Just wondering about Scotland, who calls the shots on whether or not they get another referendum on independence? Westminster I assume. If so, are they going to get one?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 11:49:56 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 11:33:37 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
Interesting tweet from Ch4 news correspondent

@alextomo Extraordinary watching sections of London media with no language, ability or even will to speak to the millions of non-racists who voted out
Its as Benny said earlier, the result is due to 2 generations of people fuck3d over by successive governments. Racism is a very small part of it, resentment of the status quo and a chance to put 2 fingers up to the establishment are the real reasons.
If you have something you voted in.
If you had nothing you voted out.
Too many people have nothing, not even hope.

If that was the case then how did the Tories get in ?? People voted out cause they think the grass will be greener...

This should sort out unemployment as the dole merchants will be happy to work on the farms, abattoirs, hotels, bars and all those other jobs that hard working immigrants have been doing for past 20 odd years

Privatisation of the NHS is around the corner
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 25, 2016, 12:13:29 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 24, 2016, 11:46:33 PM
Just wondering about Scotland, who calls the shots on whether or not they get another referendum on independence? Westminster I assume. If so, are they going to get one?
I presume the Scottish Parliament can legislate for a referendum within their jurisdiction.
Question is will the London Government acquiesce if the Scots vote for an Independent State.
Will of the people and all that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 12:18:17 AM
Quote from: hardstation on June 24, 2016, 11:53:09 PM
Dole merchants - nice term for people seeking unemployment benefit. Here, but for the grace of God, go I.

Ok jobseekers, lets be pc about things that suit your agenda and un pc what you think its ok
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 25, 2016, 12:30:04 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 25, 2016, 12:13:29 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 24, 2016, 11:46:33 PM
Just wondering about Scotland, who calls the shots on whether or not they get another referendum on independence? Westminster I assume. If so, are they going to get one?
I presume the Scottish Parliament can legislate for a referendum within their jurisdiction.
Question is will the London Government acquiesce if the Scots vote for an Independent State.
Will of the people and all that.

Scottish Parliament can not legislate for a referendum it has to be Westminster. If Westminster refused it would cause a constitional crisis in a democracy without a written constition. Given the bloodbath that will now ensue within the Tory party the likely recession as a result of the brexit vote and the strength of the SNP vote in parliment a refusal would cause a meltdown in British democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 12:56:33 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 11:49:56 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 11:33:37 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
Interesting tweet from Ch4 news correspondent

@alextomo Extraordinary watching sections of London media with no language, ability or even will to speak to the millions of non-racists who voted out
Its as Benny said earlier, the result is due to 2 generations of people fuck3d over by successive governments. Racism is a very small part of it, resentment of the status quo and a chance to put 2 fingers up to the establishment are the real reasons.
If you have something you voted in.
If you had nothing you voted out.
Too many people have nothing, not even hope.

If that was the case then how did the Tories get in ?? People voted out cause they think the grass will be greener...

This should sort out unemployment as the dole merchants will be happy to work on the farms, abattoirs, hotels, bars and all those other jobs that hard working immigrants have been doing for past 20 odd years

Privatisation of the NHS is around the corner

And who worked in hotels, bars, farms etc before foreign nationals came in?

Privatisation of NHS has been on the cards for decades.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 01:24:09 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 12:56:33 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 11:49:56 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 11:33:37 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
Interesting tweet from Ch4 news correspondent

@alextomo Extraordinary watching sections of London media with no language, ability or even will to speak to the millions of non-racists who voted out
Its as Benny said earlier, the result is due to 2 generations of people fuck3d over by successive governments. Racism is a very small part of it, resentment of the status quo and a chance to put 2 fingers up to the establishment are the real reasons.
If you have something you voted in.
If you had nothing you voted out.
Too many people have nothing, not even hope.

If that was the case then how did the Tories get in ?? People voted out cause they think the grass will be greener...

This should sort out unemployment as the dole merchants will be happy to work on the farms, abattoirs, hotels, bars and all those other jobs that hard working immigrants have been doing for past 20 odd years

Privatisation of the NHS is around the corner

And who worked in hotels, bars, farms etc before foreign nationals came in?

Privatisation of NHS has been on the cards for decades.

People who had to work for a living..... When you can pull moves for decent benefits then why work?

Ok why are the foreign nationals or immigrants (people who come here to work) doing those jobs now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 25, 2016, 01:55:26 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 12:56:33 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 11:49:56 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 11:33:37 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
Interesting tweet from Ch4 news correspondent

@alextomo Extraordinary watching sections of London media with no language, ability or even will to speak to the millions of non-racists who voted out
Its as Benny said earlier, the result is due to 2 generations of people fuck3d over by successive governments. Racism is a very small part of it, resentment of the status quo and a chance to put 2 fingers up to the establishment are the real reasons.
If you have something you voted in.
If you had nothing you voted out.
Too many people have nothing, not even hope.

If that was the case then how did the Tories get in ?? People voted out cause they think the grass will be greener...

This should sort out unemployment as the dole merchants will be happy to work on the farms, abattoirs, hotels, bars and all those other jobs that hard working immigrants have been doing for past 20 odd years

Privatisation of the NHS is around the corner

And who worked in hotels, bars, farms etc before foreign nationals came in?

Privatisation of NHS has been on the cards for decades.

Paddy and the other immigrants from the empire and people who wanted to avoid the workhouse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 25, 2016, 02:34:56 AM
Here it is... if you voted leave you are stupid and probably a racist although these aren't mutually exclusive.

Boris will be our next Prime Minister, Scotland will leave, UK will be a laughing stock on the world stage and once all the big multinationals up sticks and leave you will be begging to get back into the EU y'know if you ever manage to get out of that recession.

The time to make a political statement was the general election not an extremely important referendum that you were too f**king stupid to comprehend which basically boiled down to immigrants bad we good!

In the medium term Ireland are going to gain a lot when these companies leave London and fair play to them. The downside is an Irish company that exports stock to the UK just saw the value of their stock drop by 7% and god knows how much more when the markets realise that BOE statement was bullshit and there really isn't anything they can practically do!

We've been shafted by stupid people who don't know the correct way to show their frustration so they listen to Garage and Boris.... seriously lads look at yourselves!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 25, 2016, 03:12:36 AM
At least the French can now sort out their Calais problem now open the gates and help them onto the lorries destination the Un-united Kingdom......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 25, 2016, 08:38:07 AM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 08:06:19 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 24, 2016, 07:56:43 PM
Quote from: INDIANA on June 24, 2016, 07:54:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.

The UK has had billions wiped off it's stock market today that it will never see again.

It will lose all the funding that it got from the EU.

Beggars belief the sheer ignorance out there. When it hits the pocket they'll realise what a stupid decision it was
Ordinary people don't understand how finance works

It was a vote for the uneducated. Unfortunately they were duped by the idiots and fell for it. Huge tranches of the poorest regions in England voted to leave without realising that they will be ever poorer as a result.

The old and the uneducated are to blame

No intelligent individual would vote to leave

That is exactly my point about selective voting!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Asal Mor on June 25, 2016, 08:55:40 AM
I went out for a run this morning. Was enjoying the fresh air, the countryside and my second captains podcast when it was taken over by Brexit talk with a couple of the English guests they had on. All doom and gloom. No place for it on a sports podcast. People worry way too much about money. No one will starve over this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 25, 2016, 09:12:02 AM
To be honest I think Boris and his fellow Tory Brexiteers are now shiting themselves. Talk of not rushing into invoking Article 59, period of reflection, wanting to continue to have great relations with European neighbours etc etc. EU on the other hand telling them to get out to fcuk as quick as you can. Scots now see the opportunity to seize the moment and go again for independence on the grounds that one of the biggest factors that arose last time - fear of the unknown - is not now relevant as staying in the Brexit UK is now a bigger leap in the dark than leaving it. I think Boris will try to win further concessions and go for another referendum on the basis of his better deal and preserving the Union
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 25, 2016, 09:19:27 AM
I think Nigel's first sentence sums it up perfectly.
A real Oh Shit!!!! moment ;D
And Cameron dumps it all on them by saying "I'm off chaps, sort things out yourselves"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:22:50 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 24, 2016, 11:49:56 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 24, 2016, 11:33:37 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 11:22:28 PM
Interesting tweet from Ch4 news correspondent

@alextomo Extraordinary watching sections of London media with no language, ability or even will to speak to the millions of non-racists who voted out
Its as Benny said earlier, the result is due to 2 generations of people fuck3d over by successive governments. Racism is a very small part of it, resentment of the status quo and a chance to put 2 fingers up to the establishment are the real reasons.
If you have something you voted in.
If you had nothing you voted out.
Too many people have nothing, not even hope.

If that was the case then how did the Tories get in ?? People voted out cause they think the grass will be greener...

This should sort out unemployment as the dole merchants will be happy to work on the farms, abattoirs, hotels, bars and all those other jobs that hard working immigrants have been doing for past 20 odd years

Privatisation of the NHS is around the corner
there is no financial incentive to run the NHS . Demand is fucked so there aren't going to be any payrises to cover the escalating costs of cover. I wouldn't go near the NHS with a bargepole if I was running a pension fund or a hedge fund.

Money got involved in nursing homes and lost a fortune
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:24:46 AM
Quote from: screenexile on June 25, 2016, 02:34:56 AM
Here it is... if you voted leave you are stupid and probably a racist although these aren't mutually exclusive.

Boris will be our next Prime Minister, Scotland will leave, UK will be a laughing stock on the world stage and once all the big multinationals up sticks and leave you will be begging to get back into the EU y'know if you ever manage to get out of that recession.

The time to make a political statement was the general election not an extremely important referendum that you were too f**king stupid to comprehend which basically boiled down to immigrants bad we good!

In the medium term Ireland are going to gain a lot when these companies leave London and fair play to them. The downside is an Irish company that exports stock to the UK just saw the value of their stock drop by 7% and god knows how much more when the markets realise that BOE statement was bullshit and there really isn't anything they can practically do!

We've been shafted by stupid people who don't know the correct way to show their frustration so they listen to Garage and Boris.... seriously lads look at yourselves!!

I think it is a joke that went too far
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/24/a-pyrrhic-victory-boris-johnson-wakes-up-to-the-costs-of-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:29:14 AM
Quote from: Asal Mor on June 25, 2016, 08:55:40 AM
I went out for a run this morning. Was enjoying the fresh air, the countryside and my second captains podcast when it was taken over by Brexit talk with a couple of the English guests they had on. All doom and gloom. No place for it on a sports podcast. People worry way too much about money. No one will starve over this.
I dunno asal.
An awful lot of people in the UK already depend on food banks. This is serious shit.
People are dying earlier than they used to. Mental illness incidence is very high.

Every 1% rise in unemployment generates something like 300 extra cancers and 500 suicides in the US
Economic chaos is literally fatal for some people at the poorer end of the income spectrum 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:36:10 AM
I think there will be implications for the English premiership as well with the UK out of the single market
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:40:05 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 25, 2016, 09:34:19 AM
Yep it's clear Gove and Johnson didn't expect this and they certainly didn't expect Cameron to jump. They banked in Cameron triggering Article 50 and leading the negotiations to leave the EU. Yesterday Gove looked like he'd just been told his entire family were dead. Farage knows he doesn't have to sort anything out and he can just bluff his way in the background.

The irony is that Cameron and Corbyn are Eurosceptics and deep down Boris is a Europhile.  We're going to have the unelected elite in London negotiating with the unelected elite in Brussels.

As for the North, they'll probably have to do away with the Barnett formula, the block grant NI gets is a piece of EU legislation, corporation tax?? The only certainty at the moment is that there is no plan.  I could foresee Boris stringing out the negotiations as long as poss, coming back with a Brexit-lite and either having another referendum in 3 or 4 years time or even just putting it through parliament. How long do you reckon it will take the English working class to work out they've been sold a pup?
Huge dice were rolled. The aim of the vote was to reunite the Tories but it looks like they join the GOP as another party broken by neoliberalism in its end stage. It is the political equivalent of a tsunami.


J. K. Galbraith:"The conventional wisdom" gives way not so much to new ideas as to "the massive onslaught of circumstances with which it cannot contend".

I think the biggest thing for me is the poverty of so many parts of England that the vote exposed.
This is going to be politically treacherous in the years ahead

Of those who are forced to choose, some will chose to fight
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 25, 2016, 09:54:00 AM
Anyone heard from George Osborne in the past 2 days?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 25, 2016, 10:03:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:36:10 AM
I think there will be implications for the English premiership as well with the UK out of the single market

Like that is important to anyone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 10:10:47 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:36:10 AM
I think there will be implications for the English premiership as well with the UK out of the single market

There will be less foreign players then? That's a good thing. More local players might get a chance then. The PL has become saturated with average players from all over the world. Even my own team has become so unrecognisable, I have very little incentive to follow them. Unpronounceable names that drift in and out for a season, and leave no discernible memories for fans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 10:23:08 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xjUA3RU4B8E

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2Qlb0qFLFE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 25, 2016, 11:05:40 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 10:10:47 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:36:10 AM
I think there will be implications for the English premiership as well with the UK out of the single market

There will be less foreign players then? That's a good thing. More local players might get a chance then. The PL has become saturated with average players from all over the world. Even my own team has become so unrecognisable, I have very little incentive to follow them. Unpronounceable names that drift in and out for a season, and leave no discernible memories for fans.
Cantona, Henry, Bergkamp, Ronaldo, Schmeical, Zola, Ginola, Fabregas, etc etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 25, 2016, 11:16:42 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 25, 2016, 10:03:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:36:10 AM
I think there will be implications for the English premiership as well with the UK out of the single market

Like that is important to anyone.
Mind you, in fairness had it been raised as an issue with the brain deads of England before the vote, it probably could have swung it in favour of remain!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 11:52:34 AM
Quote from: general_lee on June 25, 2016, 11:05:40 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 10:10:47 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:36:10 AM
I think there will be implications for the English premiership as well with the UK out of the single market

There will be less foreign players then? That's a good thing. More local players might get a chance then. The PL has become saturated with average players from all over the world. Even my own team has become so unrecognisable, I have very little incentive to follow them. Unpronounceable names that drift in and out for a season, and leave no discernible memories for fans.
Cantona, Henry, Bergkamp, Ronaldo, Schmeical, Zola, Ginola, Fabregas, etc etc

Djemba-Djemba, Taibi, Diouf, Diao, Silenzi, Alaves, Kleberson, Kezman, Brolin, Macheda etc etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 25, 2016, 11:55:23 AM
They're not that unpronouncable...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 12:13:21 PM
One million signatures for a second vote.

BTW the DUP are odious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 25, 2016, 12:28:15 PM
The one reason I hope there's a re run is to rub wee Jeffrey's fruity nose in it. He was on RTE radio yesterday bragging about UK democracy and the fact that unlike the ROI when we run a referendum we accept the outcome regardless of whether we like it or not  unlike you who simply change the wording and run it again until you get the result you want
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on June 25, 2016, 12:28:47 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 25, 2016, 02:34:56 AM
Here it is... if you voted leave you are stupid and probably a racist although these aren't mutually exclusive.

Boris will be our next Prime Minister, Scotland will leave, UK will be a laughing stock on the world stage and once all the big multinationals up sticks and leave you will be begging to get back into the EU y'know if you ever manage to get out of that recession.

The time to make a political statement was the general election not an extremely important referendum that you were too f**king stupid to comprehend which basically boiled down to immigrants bad we good!

In the medium term Ireland are going to gain a lot when these companies leave London and fair play to them. The downside is an Irish company that exports stock to the UK just saw the value of their stock drop by 7% and god knows how much more when the markets realise that BOE statement was bullshit and there really isn't anything they can practically do!

We've been shafted by stupid people who don't know the correct way to show their frustration so they listen to Garage and Boris....

In a nutshell.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 12:33:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 12:13:21 PM
One million signatures for a second vote.

BTW the DUP are odious.

It's like the flag protests all over again. Don't like a result so let's do it again and again until we get the 'right' answer. Democracy, eh?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 25, 2016, 12:37:06 PM
Quote from: Armamike on June 25, 2016, 12:28:47 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 25, 2016, 02:34:56 AM
Here it is... if you voted leave you are stupid and probably a racist although these aren't mutually exclusive.

Boris will be our next Prime Minister, Scotland will leave, UK will be a laughing stock on the world stage and once all the big multinationals up sticks and leave you will be begging to get back into the EU y'know if you ever manage to get out of that recession.

The time to make a political statement was the general election not an extremely important referendum that you were too f**king stupid to comprehend which basically boiled down to immigrants bad we good!

In the medium term Ireland are going to gain a lot when these companies leave London and fair play to them. The downside is an Irish company that exports stock to the UK just saw the value of their stock drop by 7% and god knows how much more when the markets realise that BOE statement was bullshit and there really isn't anything they can practically do!

We've been shafted by stupid people who don't know the correct way to show their frustration so they listen to Garage and Boris....

In a nutshell.
Just to add to that, when they do eventually come running back to rejoin, assuming that they do actually leave, they won't get in unless they join the Euro
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 25, 2016, 12:41:03 PM
Hopefully by about half seven tonight Norn Iron will be out of Europe in every sense of the word
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on June 25, 2016, 12:44:09 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 12:13:21 PM
One million signatures for a second vote.

BTW the DUP are odious.

The DUP it seems would rather row in with the more extreme viewpoints in England than look after the interests of their home patch.  The problem for us locally is that we've politicians who aren't equipped to make decisions to improve people's lives here.  What possibly can the north gain from being out of the EU?  Better funding for farmers?  Probably not (won't be top of the list of priorities for the powers that be in London).  Easier access to the south  and other markets in Europe. No. Foreign Direct Investment? No.  Lower migration?  Possibly, but not for definite.  Chances are though there'll be fewer workers wanting to come here anywhere as the economy worsens. Improved health service?  We'll see.  More international students to our universities?  No, with the abolition of domestic fees for EU students why should French or German students enrol here and pay 3 times what they're paying now?  Less EU red tape for small business? Yes, but we'll still have our own red tape and plenty of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 12:46:05 PM
How would the Bel Tel come up with a coherent editorial today when half the readers are rabid leave DUP and the other half are pro EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: stiffler on June 25, 2016, 12:49:28 PM
Looking forward to the FREXIT tomorrow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on June 25, 2016, 12:55:29 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 25, 2016, 12:33:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 12:13:21 PM
One million signatures for a second vote.

BTW the DUP are odious.

It's like the flag protests all over again. Don't like a result so let's do it again and again until we get the 'right' answer. Democracy, eh?

Benny, we've had to listen to Euro sceptics, little Englanders and the likes for the past 20-30 years bleat on about Europe and how it's been the root of all problems and but for Europe all would be right in the land of blighty. The infighting in the tory party and the scaremongering by the likes of Farage, the Mail and other media has brought us to this point.  The remain folk are entitled to voice their concerns for a day or 2!  Unlike the euro moaners though, they'll probably get on with it in the weeks and months to come and not look to others to blame for their own inadequacies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 12:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:29:14 AM
Quote from: Asal Mor on June 25, 2016, 08:55:40 AM
I went out for a run this morning. Was enjoying the fresh air, the countryside and my second captains podcast when it was taken over by Brexit talk with a couple of the English guests they had on. All doom and gloom. No place for it on a sports podcast. People worry way too much about money. No one will starve over this.
I dunno asal.
An awful lot of people in the UK already depend on food banks. This is serious shit.
People are dying earlier than they used to. Mental illness incidence is very high.

Every 1% rise in unemployment generates something like 300 extra cancers and 500 suicides in the US
Economic chaos is literally fatal for some people at the poorer end of the income spectrum

Do you just make this stuff up?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35550407
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 25, 2016, 01:04:24 PM
Right it's time to set aside this negativity and look for opportunities. I'm 55 and will be retiring with a generous Civil Service lump sum and pension. I think I'll be using a bit of it to buy  a couple of sows and a transit and make me self a few quid on the border
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:05:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 12:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:29:14 AM
Quote from: Asal Mor on June 25, 2016, 08:55:40 AM
I went out for a run this morning. Was enjoying the fresh air, the countryside and my second captains podcast when it was taken over by Brexit talk with a couple of the English guests they had on. All doom and gloom. No place for it on a sports podcast. People worry way too much about money. No one will starve over this.
I dunno asal.
An awful lot of people in the UK already depend on food banks. This is serious shit.
People are dying earlier than they used to. Mental illness incidence is very high.

Every 1% rise in unemployment generates something like 300 extra cancers and 500 suicides in the US
Economic chaos is literally fatal for some people at the poorer end of the income spectrum

Do you just make this stuff up?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35550407

North East lower life expectancy...
2 areas in Glasgow have a 19 year difference in life expectancy.  Poverty kills.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:07:31 PM
I have to say I don't like the Irish Times line that Europe is grand. Who stuffed Joe public with the cost of the Anglo meltdown?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:14:34 PM
Regions exporting most to the EU were more likely to vote Leave #wtf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 25, 2016, 01:17:11 PM
Just another thought, while the UK and Ireland appear to be prepared to seek an amicable and pragmatic solution to the border issue, I'm not sure those two adjectives will be required when describing the future Spain/Gibraltar border negotiations
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: stiffler on June 25, 2016, 01:35:39 PM
Surely the FM in the North has a duty to protect the wishes of the majority who wish to stay in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 25, 2016, 01:40:11 PM
Spin will be pragmatic  in relation to Gibraltar they'll only use cheap wire for the fence and not bother with a wall
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 01:55:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:05:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 12:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:29:14 AM
Quote from: Asal Mor on June 25, 2016, 08:55:40 AM
I went out for a run this morning. Was enjoying the fresh air, the countryside and my second captains podcast when it was taken over by Brexit talk with a couple of the English guests they had on. All doom and gloom. No place for it on a sports podcast. People worry way too much about money. No one will starve over this.
I dunno asal.
An awful lot of people in the UK already depend on food banks. This is serious shit.
People are dying earlier than they used to. Mental illness incidence is very high.

Every 1% rise in unemployment generates something like 300 extra cancers and 500 suicides in the US
Economic chaos is literally fatal for some people at the poorer end of the income spectrum

Do you just make this stuff up?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35550407

North East lower life expectancy...
2 areas in Glasgow have a 19 year difference in life expectancy.  Poverty kills.

You said an awful lot... Which isn't the case.... People are living longer full stop, poverty or not, still living far longer than our grandparents and that's a fact
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 25, 2016, 02:01:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:07:31 PM
I have to say I don't like the Irish Times line that Europe is grand. Who stuffed Joe public with the cost of the Anglo meltdown?

The people who brought us the Bank Guarantee. Cowan and Lenihan specifically.

You know this better than most here, so please stop doing a Nigel Farage or Donald Trump on it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on June 25, 2016, 02:10:20 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 25, 2016, 02:01:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:07:31 PM
I have to say I don't like the Irish Times line that Europe is grand. Who stuffed Joe public with the cost of the Anglo meltdown?

The people who brought us the Bank Guarantee. Cowan and Lenihan specifically.

You know this better than most here, so please stop doing a Nigel Farage or Donald Trump on it.
Agreed.  David mc Williams strongly advised them against it.  We then saw an influx of billions in to our banks.  We have plenty of our own turkeys over here voting for Christmas  as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on June 25, 2016, 03:16:02 PM
Quote from: stiffler on June 25, 2016, 01:35:39 PM
Surely the FM in the North has a duty to protect the wishes of the majority who wish to stay in the EU.
You'd think. But Arlene hasn't actually acknowledged us.
We'll try to get on with it, but I'm relying on the Irish government to fight our corner as well as the south's, as we have politicians who are completely inept at representing us in such complicated issues on the big things that matter.
I work in mergers and acquisitions, and my future short and medium term career is so uncertain because of this, but London interests should help fight my corner professionally. Personally, I need Enda and Arlene. That part is scary.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: redzone on June 25, 2016, 03:56:35 PM
Would they not have to sign papers to get out, same as a you would to get in. Surely that hasn't happened yet
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 04:02:31 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 25, 2016, 02:01:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:07:31 PM
I have to say I don't like the Irish Times line that Europe is grand. Who stuffed Joe public with the cost of the Anglo meltdown?

The people who brought us the Bank Guarantee. Cowan and Lenihan specifically.

You know this better than most here, so please stop doing a Nigel Farage or Donald Trump on it.
FF sure Muppet but you know how inept the EZ response was in autumn 2008 and 2009. How long did it take the ECB to get QE going?  The Anglo stitch up happened 2 years after the meltdown. The Irish "bailout" was panicky and extremely expensive and never repeated. Cyprus was even wrose. . FF didn't design the EZ  . It doesn't have a lender of last resort or deposit insurance. Reglung told the Inquiry the goons who designed it didn't expect a crisis of the magnitude that occurred.  The EU also bears responsibility for the brexit clusterfuck. People in Sunderland and Hull saw what happened in Greece. Brexit is 2 fingers to useless technocrats in the UK and Frankfurt.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 04:03:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 01:55:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:05:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 12:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:29:14 AM
Quote from: Asal Mor on June 25, 2016, 08:55:40 AM
I went out for a run this morning. Was enjoying the fresh air, the countryside and my second captains podcast when it was taken over by Brexit talk with a couple of the English guests they had on. All doom and gloom. No place for it on a sports podcast. People worry way too much about money. No one will starve over this.
I dunno asal.
An awful lot of people in the UK already depend on food banks. This is serious shit.
People are dying earlier than they used to. Mental illness incidence is very high.

Every 1% rise in unemployment generates something like 300 extra cancers and 500 suicides in the US
Economic chaos is literally fatal for some people at the poorer end of the income spectrum

Do you just make this stuff up?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35550407

North East lower life expectancy...
2 areas in Glasgow have a 19 year difference in life expectancy.  Poverty kills.

You said an awful lot... Which isn't the case.... People are living longer full stop, poverty or not, still living far longer than our grandparents and that's a fact
A lot of people are MR but the poorest people are not.
You can Google Case and Deaton for the picture from the US.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 05:50:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 25, 2016, 01:40:11 PM
Spin will be pragmatic  in relation to Gibraltar they'll only use cheap wire for the fence and not bother with a wall
Gibraltar is a kip
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 25, 2016, 05:56:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 12:13:21 PM
One million signatures for a second vote.

BTW the DUP are odious.

2 million now completely pointless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 25, 2016, 05:59:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 04:03:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 01:55:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:05:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 12:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:29:14 AM
Quote from: Asal Mor on June 25, 2016, 08:55:40 AM
I went out for a run this morning. Was enjoying the fresh air, the countryside and my second captains podcast when it was taken over by Brexit talk with a couple of the English guests they had on. All doom and gloom. No place for it on a sports podcast. People worry way too much about money. No one will starve over this.
I dunno asal.
An awful lot of people in the UK already depend on food banks. This is serious shit.
People are dying earlier than they used to. Mental illness incidence is very high.

Every 1% rise in unemployment generates something like 300 extra cancers and 500 suicides in the US
Economic chaos is literally fatal for some people at the poorer end of the income spectrum

Do you just make this stuff up?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35550407

North East lower life expectancy...
2 areas in Glasgow have a 19 year difference in life expectancy.  Poverty kills.

You said an awful lot... Which isn't the case.... People are living longer full stop, poverty or not, still living far longer than our grandparents and that's a fact
A lot of people are MR but the poorest people are not.
You can Google Case and Deaton for the picture from the US.

The states is a totally different argument, with no universal healthcare
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 06:08:33 PM
The mayor of Calais has said the town will stop screenIng refugees and that all border controls will take place in England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 25, 2016, 06:11:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 06:08:33 PM
The mayor of Calais has said the town will stop screenIng refugees and that all border controls will take place in England.

Doubt that is her call.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 06:12:19 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 25, 2016, 05:59:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 04:03:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 01:55:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 01:05:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 12:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 09:29:14 AM
Quote from: Asal Mor on June 25, 2016, 08:55:40 AM
I went out for a run this morning. Was enjoying the fresh air, the countryside and my second captains podcast when it was taken over by Brexit talk with a couple of the English guests they had on. All doom and gloom. No place for it on a sports podcast. People worry way too much about money. No one will starve over this.
I dunno asal.
An awful lot of people in the UK already depend on food banks. This is serious shit.
People are dying earlier than they used to. Mental illness incidence is very high.

Every 1% rise in unemployment generates something like 300 extra cancers and 500 suicides in the US
Economic chaos is literally fatal for some people at the poorer end of the income spectrum

Do you just make this stuff up?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35550407

North East lower life expectancy...
2 areas in Glasgow have a 19 year difference in life expectancy.  Poverty kills.

You said an awful lot... Which isn't the case.... People are living longer full stop, poverty or not, still living far longer than our grandparents and that's a fact
A lot of people are MR but the poorest people are not.
You can Google Case and Deaton for the picture from the US.

The states is a totally different argument, with no universal healthcare
The shafting of communities and the descent into hopelessness is the same. Life expectancy differentials are widening .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on June 25, 2016, 06:42:53 PM
Quote from: stew on June 24, 2016, 08:38:56 PM
Listen to yourselves, the people have voted democratically to exit the EU, quit whinging and finger pointing and accept the decision and move on.

I'll quote you on that when Hillary gets sworn in as President.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on June 25, 2016, 06:48:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 25, 2016, 12:18:17 AM
Quote from: hardstation on June 24, 2016, 11:53:09 PM
Dole merchants - nice term for people seeking unemployment benefit. Here, but for the grace of God, go I.

Ok jobseekers, lets be pc about things that suit your agenda and un pc what you think its ok

When I lived in Salford I had daily encounters with the long term unemployed. I think "dole merchants" is a better term than "job seekers" because these people had no intention of working. Probably had several generations of family with no history of working, only watching TV, knocking about town, harassing students, fighting, drinking, and getting involved in crime. I know unemployment benefit is needed for people who are temporarily between jobs, but the people who don't want to work do exist, and they exist in big numbers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 07:23:24 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 25, 2016, 06:11:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 06:08:33 PM
The mayor of Calais has said the town will stop screenIng refugees and that all border controls will take place in England.

Doubt that is her call.
The French are probably going to put the boot in. Democracy is about giving the people what they want, good and hard.

Www.mailonline.co.uk is fascinating.
Small minded England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 07:26:51 PM
The ex mining towns all voted Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bazil Douglas on June 25, 2016, 07:39:23 PM




When I lived in Salford I had daily encounters with the long term unemployed. I think "dole merchants" is a better term than "job seekers" because these people had no intention of working. Probably had several generations of family with no history of working, only watching TV, knocking about town, harassing students, fighting, drinking, and getting involved in crime. I know unemployment benefit is needed for people who are temporarily between jobs, but the people who don't want to work do exist, and they exist in big numbers.
[/quote
You don't have to go to Salford to find that type, quite a few here in Northern Ireland and they're not immigrants.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: foxcommander on June 25, 2016, 08:03:48 PM
Not surprised with the brexit - it's a protest reaction to illegal immigration. Maybe now the EU will change their policy to stop any more states from voting the same way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 25, 2016, 08:14:21 PM
What policy would that be?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 08:29:18 PM
87% of farm income in NI comes from the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 25, 2016, 08:58:06 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on June 25, 2016, 08:03:48 PM
Not surprised with the brexit - it's a protest reaction to illegal immigration. Maybe now the EU will change their policy to stop any more states from voting the same way.

It is a protest vote, Farage aside - I doubt anyone expected it or wanted it, I see China is laughing at how democracy works.  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on June 25, 2016, 09:18:26 PM
Turnout % of each age group
18-24: 36%
25-34: 58%
35-44: 72%
45-54: 75%
55-64: 81%
65+: 83%

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 25, 2016, 09:48:41 PM
There you have it the young can blame their apathy now instead of the grey vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: foxcommander on June 25, 2016, 09:53:41 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 25, 2016, 08:14:21 PM
What policy would that be?
Not protecting their borders and keeping people out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: foxcommander on June 25, 2016, 09:58:49 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 25, 2016, 09:48:41 PM
There you have it the young can blame their apathy now instead of the grey vote.

I've seen such morons bleating on facebook and the like about how their generations voice wasn't heard. and they didn't turn up to vote. PMSL.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on June 25, 2016, 10:02:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 08:29:18 PM
87% of farm income in NI comes from the EU.

Knowing this I was quite surprised by how pro brexit a lot of farmers were. http://m.farminglife.com/news/farming-news/farmers-favour-brexit-in-straw-poll-1-7425519

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: StGallsGAA on June 25, 2016, 10:06:26 PM
QuoteNot surprised with the brexit - it's a protest reaction to illegal immigration. Maybe now the EU will change their policy to stop any more states from voting the same way.

Illegal immigration largely brought about by the successive British and US governments making  North-African and Middle East communities economically uninhabitable by creating war-zones, killing thousands and displacing millions. Now the war-monger attempts to shut its border leaving the EU to deal with its folly.  May the families of Bush, Obama, Blair and Cameron suffer the same fate they dealt on other families.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on June 25, 2016, 10:16:23 PM
Funnily enough the areas with the highest immigration mostly voted remain!

http://gu.com/p/4mk58/sbl

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 10:50:48 PM
Quote from: StGallsGAA on June 25, 2016, 10:06:26 PM
QuoteNot surprised with the brexit - it's a protest reaction to illegal immigration. Maybe now the EU will change their policy to stop any more states from voting the same way.

Illegal immigration largely brought about by the successive British and US governments making  North-African and Middle East communities economically uninhabitable by creating war-zones, killing thousands and displacing millions. Now the war-monger attempts to shut its border leaving the EU to deal with its folly.  May the families of Bush, Obama, Blair and Cameron suffer the same fate they dealt on other families.

Immigration is a key neoliberal policy. It drives wages down and means more profit for the rich
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 11:02:55 PM
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3658316/Pinch-dreaming-s-day-Britain-stood-proud-tall-reclaimed-birthright.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 11:11:04 PM
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/24/david-cameron-downfall-european-tragedy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 11:23:50 PM
http://www.nybooks.com/daily/2016/06/25/from-brexit-to-trump/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on June 26, 2016, 01:10:49 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 25, 2016, 09:54:20 AM
Have I woken up in a parallel universe? Paisley Jnr is advising constituents to get an Irish passport!

Lundy!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 26, 2016, 08:27:06 AM
Sold a pup looks like Boris didn't want it just played exit for political gain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 26, 2016, 09:16:47 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 10:50:48 PM
Quote from: StGallsGAA on June 25, 2016, 10:06:26 PM
QuoteNot surprised with the brexit - it's a protest reaction to illegal immigration. Maybe now the EU will change their policy to stop any more states from voting the same way.

Illegal immigration largely brought about by the successive British and US governments making  North-African and Middle East communities economically uninhabitable by creating war-zones, killing thousands and displacing millions. Now the war-monger attempts to shut its border leaving the EU to deal with its folly.  May the families of Bush, Obama, Blair and Cameron suffer the same fate they dealt on other families.

Immigration is a key neoliberal policy. It drives wages down and means more profit for the rich

There is minimum wage in place, that includes immigrants too.... The amount of illegal immigrants that are underpaid isn't that as much as you'd imagine
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2016, 10:34:28 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 26, 2016, 09:16:47 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 10:50:48 PM
Quote from: StGallsGAA on June 25, 2016, 10:06:26 PM
QuoteNot surprised with the brexit - it's a protest reaction to illegal immigration. Maybe now the EU will change their policy to stop any more states from voting the same way.

Illegal immigration largely brought about by the successive British and US governments making  North-African and Middle East communities economically uninhabitable by creating war-zones, killing thousands and displacing millions. Now the war-monger attempts to shut its border leaving the EU to deal with its folly.  May the families of Bush, Obama, Blair and Cameron suffer the same fate they dealt on other families.

Immigration is a key neoliberal policy. It drives wages down and means more profit for the rich

There is minimum wage in place, that includes immigrants too.... The amount of illegal immigrants that are underpaid isn't that as much as you'd imagine
Sports Direct don't pay it. Gang masters don't eit8hrr
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 26, 2016, 10:56:32 AM
Looks like the labour party imploding now too. I wonder do they smell another general election and think another leader may have a good crack at it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 26, 2016, 11:00:38 AM
Plus seafoid sports direct effectively paid below the minimum wage but didn't pay beneath it. It was their searches etc were brought into calculations by media. The wage was 6.70.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2016, 11:19:59 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 26, 2016, 10:56:32 AM
Looks like the labour party imploding now too. I wonder do they smell another general election and think another leader may have a good crack at it.
If they were organised they could break the Tories
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: washed_up on June 26, 2016, 11:22:47 AM
we will all be broke before the cons are!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2016, 11:25:48 AM
Gove and Johnson lied to the schmucks who voted leave. There is no money for the NHS . They can't stop immigration.
We are living in very volatile times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 26, 2016, 11:53:00 AM
Its now looking like they need the agreement of Scotland and possibly NI parliments consent. The UK is heading for an implosion on this. You couldnt make this stuff up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2016, 12:10:36 PM
Leave was an English and Welsh thing. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: brokencrossbar1 on June 26, 2016, 12:37:53 PM
There will be great difficulty enforcing this result.  Nevermind the potential veto that Scotland and NI  have, there is a real constitutional problem about forcing it through.  By announcing his resignation and delaying the invoking of Art 50 Cameron has created a real political vacuum.  I genuinely think this was a deliberate tactic for his own political gain.  He fully expected a remain vote and this would have seen him being the man who gave people the vote for choice and they made the choice.  He would walk out the next morning and be seen as a real leader and statesman in Europe and at home.  UKs position in the EU would be solidified and he would have a mandate to push through his policies. 

By walking away and giving a few months before the Art 50 is invoked he now has created a situation where there will be an inevitable backlash against the result and potential ramifications of it.  The potential leaders of the Tory party, BJ, Gove et al, will be left with a real poison chalice of risking pushing through the removal of the Britain from the EU and the possible breakup of Britain with Sturgeon pushing another independence vote(with a fair chance of a win) and the basket case of ourselves and whatever happens here.   The reality is that for the PM to resign he actually needs the consent of the Queen.  While this is generally a formality this is a completely unusual situation and the Queen to actually invoke her constitutional authority 'for the greater good' of Britain and not accept it.  What better British rally cry for the gullible masses to follow than Lizzie II?  Cameron 'reluctantly' regains his position and then says that for the greater good and to retain stability he stays in position and renegotiates a deal with EU to change Britains position within the EU to allow it to have greater control over its own laws yet still remain a part of the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 26, 2016, 12:39:44 PM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 26, 2016, 11:53:00 AM
Its now looking like they need the agreement of Scotland and possibly NI parliments consent. The UK is heading for an implosion on this. You couldnt make this stuff up.
Eh? Where have you pulled that from? Westminster is the daddy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 12:41:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 10:50:48 PM
Quote from: StGallsGAA on June 25, 2016, 10:06:26 PM
QuoteNot surprised with the brexit - it's a protest reaction to illegal immigration. Maybe now the EU will change their policy to stop any more states from voting the same way.

Illegal immigration largely brought about by the successive British and US governments making  North-African and Middle East communities economically uninhabitable by creating war-zones, killing thousands and displacing millions. Now the war-monger attempts to shut its border leaving the EU to deal with its folly.  May the families of Bush, Obama, Blair and Cameron suffer the same fate they dealt on other families.

Immigration is a key neoliberal policy. It drives wages down and means more profit for the rich

Yes, as practiced by the Romans, Egyptians & Ancient Greeks, the neoliberal bastards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on June 26, 2016, 12:48:45 PM
Jean Claude says BREXIT will not be an amicable divorce!
Good old Jean Claude  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XPgiI46FCDU

Cant believe the public elects these guys... eh wait a minute
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2016, 12:57:09 PM
Unlimited debt
unlimited immigration
unlimited wealth for the richest

That is the current economic system
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 01:00:01 PM
I am beginning to be convinced there will be another vote. But one of the problems is that Britain has very few friends in Europe and some people will relish evicting them. I think in a month or two that feeling will recede.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 26, 2016, 01:13:54 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 26, 2016, 12:39:44 PM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 26, 2016, 11:53:00 AM
Its now looking like they need the agreement of Scotland and possibly NI parliments consent. The UK is heading for an implosion on this. You couldnt make this stuff up.
Eh? Where have you pulled that from? Westminster is the daddy.

Sturgon has pulled it out of her back pocket. Part of the set up of the scottish parliment. To over turn requires westminster to with draw powers back to London.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on June 26, 2016, 01:14:14 PM
NEXIT.......last one out gets Greece.

In all seriousness given the result of the referendum, will other European Union countries follow? Will it bring a halt to the drive for the political unification of Europe? Really we are in unchartered and very dangerous water.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 26, 2016, 01:17:49 PM
What a great result for the fine people who supported leaving . . .

Here's what some of these lovely folk have been up to the past few days:

https://www.twitter.com/postrefracism
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 26, 2016, 01:51:38 PM
Nicola Sturgeon says MSPs at Holyrood could veto Brexit - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-36633244

Overplaying her hand I would imagine.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2016, 02:17:42 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 01:00:01 PM
I am beginning to be convinced there will be another vote. But one of the problems is that Britain has very few friends in Europe and some people will relish evicting them. I think in a month or two that feeling will recede.
I think you are right. The Brexit campaign was mendacious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2016, 02:22:44 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 26, 2016, 01:51:38 PM
Nicola Sturgeon says MSPs at Holyrood could veto Brexit - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-36633244

Overplaying her hand I would imagine.
Not necessarily . Nobody knows what will happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 02:25:33 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 26, 2016, 01:51:38 PM
Nicola Sturgeon says MSPs at Holyrood could veto Brexit - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-36633244

Overplaying her hand I would imagine.

Still, a bit like Dev delaying the legalities of Edward VIII abdicating, she is making the most of what power she has. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 26, 2016, 02:25:54 PM
The frustrating thing about that is foster could speak up too but won't. Their campaign failed in ni to a 12 % majority and they are that deluded they've been patting themselves on the back.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2016, 02:56:23 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 26, 2016, 02:25:54 PM
The frustrating thing about that is foster could speak up too but won't. Their campaign failed in ni to a 12 % majority and they are that deluded they've been patting themselves on the back.
56% must include a good few protestants.
Any Protestant farmer who voted leave must have wanted penury
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 26, 2016, 02:59:17 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 26, 2016, 02:25:54 PM
The frustrating thing about that is foster could speak up too but won't. Their campaign failed in ni to a 12 % majority and they are that deluded they've been patting themselves on the back.

Wouldnt matter what Foster says. If it requires NI consent she doesnt have the numbers. Even if she could muster up the UUP. SF and SDLP can block it with a petition of concern. The way around it is westminster taking back powers from both storment and holyrood which would be mana from heaven for independence movements.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 03:05:54 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 26, 2016, 02:25:54 PM
The frustrating thing about that is foster could speak up too but won't. Their campaign failed in ni to a 12 % majority and they are that deluded they've been patting themselves on the back.

I suspect robinson wouldn't have suipport Brexit in the first place and would have been willing to articulate NIs economic interests after this vote.

what is needed is a campaign to manifest this majority in distinct arrangements for NI which minimise the the damage. I'm not sure who can lead this?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 26, 2016, 03:18:28 PM
How much do they get back though?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.
I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:26:55 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.

I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?


I did what you did.

Pulled a number out of my arse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:30:14 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:26:55 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.

I did what you did.

Pulled a number out of my arse.
I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?
No i didn't do what you did. I googled the cost.  You are just being silly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:32:54 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:30:14 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:26:55 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.

I did what you did.

Pulled a number out of my arse.
I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?
No i didn't do what you did. I googled the cost.  You are just being silly.

Yes you did!

You admitted you read the article which explains, right at the start, that Britain doesn't pay £18bn a year (your £350m * 52 weeks). But you pretended you hadn't read it and posted the anti-intellectual rant anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:43:44 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:32:54 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:30:14 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:26:55 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.

I did what you did.

Pulled a number out of my arse.
I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?
No i didn't do what you did. I googled the cost.  You are just being silly.

Yes you did!

You admitted you read the article which explains, right at the start, that Britain doesn't pay £18bn a year (your £350m * 52 weeks). But you pretended you hadn't read it and posted the anti-intellectual rant anyway.

I posted 30 words.  It was hardly a rant.

I didn't pretend anything, I said I read the article.  The UK pay a lot of money into the EU every year which will leave a huge hole in there finance if the UK leave.

Stick to your crap[tion] competition if you can't argue without being facetious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:45:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:43:44 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:32:54 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:30:14 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:26:55 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.

I did what you did.

Pulled a number out of my arse.
I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?
No i didn't do what you did. I googled the cost.  You are just being silly.

Yes you did!

You admitted you read the article which explains, right at the start, that Britain doesn't pay £18bn a year (your £350m * 52 weeks). But you pretended you hadn't read it and posted the anti-intellectual rant anyway.

I posted 30 words.  It was hardly a rant.

I didn't pretend anything, I said I read the article.  The UK pay a lot of money into the EU every year which will leave a huge hole in there finance if the UK leave.

Stick to your crap[tion] competition if you can't argue without being facetious.

This is one of the first 10 lines of the article you said you read:

"The UK doesn't pay or "send to Brussels" this higher figure of £18 billion, or anything equivalent per week or per day. The rebate is applied straight away, so the UK never contributes this much."

And you accuse me of being facetious.  ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:51:08 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:45:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:43:44 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:32:54 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:30:14 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:26:55 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.

I did what you did.

Pulled a number out of my arse.
I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?
No i didn't do what you did. I googled the cost.  You are just being silly.

Yes you did!

You admitted you read the article which explains, right at the start, that Britain doesn't pay £18bn a year (your £350m * 52 weeks). But you pretended you hadn't read it and posted the anti-intellectual rant anyway.

I posted 30 words.  It was hardly a rant.

I didn't pretend anything, I said I read the article.  The UK pay a lot of money into the EU every year which will leave a huge hole in there finance if the UK leave.

Stick to your crap[tion] competition if you can't argue without being facetious.

This is one of the first 10 lines of the article you said you read:

"The UK doesn't pay or "send to Brussels" this higher figure of £18 billion, or anything equivalent per week or per day. The rebate is applied straight away, so the UK never contributes this much."

And you accuse me of being facetious.  ;D ;D ;D
I read the article.  It said they paid in 350 million per week.  If you want to say they get X amount of this back and being in the EU also brings Y jobs etc. fair enough.  It doesn't change the fact that the UK leaving the EU will leave a huge hole in the EU finances.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:53:56 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:51:08 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:45:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:43:44 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:32:54 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:30:14 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:26:55 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.

I did what you did.

Pulled a number out of my arse.
I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?
No i didn't do what you did. I googled the cost.  You are just being silly.

Yes you did!

You admitted you read the article which explains, right at the start, that Britain doesn't pay £18bn a year (your £350m * 52 weeks). But you pretended you hadn't read it and posted the anti-intellectual rant anyway.

I posted 30 words.  It was hardly a rant.

I didn't pretend anything, I said I read the article.  The UK pay a lot of money into the EU every year which will leave a huge hole in there finance if the UK leave.

Stick to your crap[tion] competition if you can't argue without being facetious.

This is one of the first 10 lines of the article you said you read:

"The UK doesn't pay or "send to Brussels" this higher figure of £18 billion, or anything equivalent per week or per day. The rebate is applied straight away, so the UK never contributes this much."

And you accuse me of being facetious.  ;D ;D ;D
I read the article. It said they paid in 350 million per week.  If you want to say they get X amount of this back and being in the EU also brings Y jobs etc. fair enough.  It doesn't change the fact that the UK leaving the EU will leave a huge hole in the EU finances.

No it didn't!

I have already posted the quote that makes a lie of that claim. And it is very prominent in the article you said you read. Are you refusing to read this or what?

"...The rebate is applied straight away, so the UK never contributes this much."

"The rebate is applied straight away, so the UK never contributes this much."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 26, 2016, 03:58:09 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.
Who will plug the hole in the UKs finances when their economy contracts?
The EU and UK will both be poorer for the decision.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 26, 2016, 04:07:41 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 26, 2016, 03:58:09 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.
Who will plug the hole in the UKs finances when their economy contracts?
The EU and UK will both be poorer for the decision.

You could well be right.  It's hard to say how it will play out in the next few years.

With France etc calling for a vote on membership of the EU a lot will change in the next few years with this decision.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 04:13:57 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 26, 2016, 03:58:09 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.
Who will plug the hole in the UKs finances when their economy contracts?
The EU and UK will both be poorer for the decision.

It looks to me that the UK pays in about a net £9bn a year. Barclays alone lost about £5bn on Friday. The UK will very likely enter a recession now which will be the really expensive cost of Brexit.

The Bank of England has created £375bn via QE since the financial crisis began.

The EU has created over a €1 trillion in QE.

£9bn a year is buttons. The economic contraction will be significant though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 26, 2016, 04:17:36 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:53:56 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:51:08 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:45:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:43:44 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:32:54 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:30:14 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:26:55 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:24:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 03:20:28 PM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 03:16:58 PM
The UK pays 350 million per week as part of running the EU, it will be interesting to see how the EU plug that hole in there finance if the UK does leave.

It is 11 million per week.  :o :o

https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/ (https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/)

Most of the contribution goes back to farmers and disadvantaged areas in the UK.

It will be interesting to see how London plugs that hole.

I did what you did.

Pulled a number out of my arse.
I read thst article. Where do you get 11 million per week from?
No i didn't do what you did. I googled the cost.  You are just being silly.

Yes you did!

You admitted you read the article which explains, right at the start, that Britain doesn't pay £18bn a year (your £350m * 52 weeks). But you pretended you hadn't read it and posted the anti-intellectual rant anyway.

I posted 30 words.  It was hardly a rant.

I didn't pretend anything, I said I read the article.  The UK pay a lot of money into the EU every year which will leave a huge hole in there finance if the UK leave.

Stick to your crap[tion] competition if you can't argue without being facetious.

This is one of the first 10 lines of the article you said you read:

"The UK doesn't pay or "send to Brussels" this higher figure of £18 billion, or anything equivalent per week or per day. The rebate is applied straight away, so the UK never contributes this much."

And you accuse me of being facetious.  ;D ;D ;D
I read the article. It said they paid in 350 million per week.  If you want to say they get X amount of this back and being in the EU also brings Y jobs etc. fair enough.  It doesn't change the fact that the UK leaving the EU will leave a huge hole in the EU finances.

No it didn't!

I have already posted the quote that makes a lie of that claim. And it is very prominent in the article you said you read. Are you refused to read this or what?

"...The rebate is applied straight away, so the UK never contributes this much."

"The rebate is applied straight away, so the UK never contributes this much."

When i hear and read this sort of guff I find it hard to believe people are taken in by the simple economics of it. Do people believe that the UK have been involved in some sort of charitable donation scheme for the past 40 years. The net contribution the UK make is more than covered out of the profits British companies get from unrestricted access to 27 other European markets and the tax take from this. The net contribution is a the same as the marketing and sales development fee used to increase the standards of living to less developed regions not as a charitable donation but to increase the market for British exports. If markets close (which they will be) exports fall tax take falls and the cost of imports rise as a result of the fall in sterling and import tariffs. Inflation will edge up and interest rates will follow. Unemployement will also rise. NI is the biggest loser in this. What company is going to invest in an area which has a small local market without unristricted access to a slightly bigger market 30 miles down the road. Closed off to the European market by tariffs and removed from the UK market by the Irish sea. It costs £800 to get a 40ft into the south of England which is were the population is. Declining tax take in the UK means less money in the block grant.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 10:43:16 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

It is a lose/lose for the 6 counties. For the 26 counties it is a swings and roundabouts, but not in a good way. Yes, some banks etc might come to Dublin and drive up rents etc there further, but indigenous Irish business might be adversely affected and places like Donegal more than most. So you get a bit of what caused Brexit moved here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 10:46:16 PM
Newcastle this weekend:

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ClzMCDvXIAA9QhS.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 10:46:51 PM
I wonder how the DUP would feel about being repatriated?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:17:23 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

The ROI is one of the few places the UK has a trade surplus with, owing to the volume of consumer goods from there. Sterling going down is a swings and roundabouts issue too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 26, 2016, 11:23:37 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI.
Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Is the UK not a key market for the UK?   :D :D :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:40:31 PM
Fearmongers still at it
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/26/the-eu-will-treat-britain-like-greece/

All the more reason for a formula to get the 6 counties out of this shite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 27, 2016, 12:04:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

Here is the truth of the sixth largest economy in the world. The Uk national Debt is £1.6 trillion. Thats £1.6 million million and will grow by at least another 1/2 trillion on the back of a recession voted for by themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 27, 2016, 12:08:03 AM
How will Spain voting to leave the Euro sort out their unemployment?
What will leaving the EU do for France exactly?
Have the Brits any effn idea where they go from here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 27, 2016, 12:10:25 AM
As anyone with half a brain cell knew... the Leave campaign was just that. A campaign!

Now the shit has hit the fan they haven't a f**king clue what to do and I think Cameron has played his hand well at this stage, Boris needs to deliver something monumental in his term or if will forever be remembered as failure. His press conference was a sorry affair when it should have been a triumph given he'd helped to dupe the Country on such a huge scale but with Cameron resigning he has to do the dirty work now and he's in over his head.

Interesting video...

https://youtu.be/thu4I9Wd1Hg

Is it going to happen at all? If it doesn't happen we have a whole new set of problems!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 12:11:20 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 27, 2016, 12:08:03 AM
How will Spain voting to leave the Euro sort out their unemployment?

Devaluation.

QuoteHave the Brits any effn idea where they go from here?

Absolutely none.

Quote from: screenexile on June 27, 2016, 12:10:25 AM
Is it going to happen at all? If it doesn't happen we have a whole new set of problems!

Some think not. Although the future is opaque.
If it doesn't happen the problems are mitigated. Uncertainty would persist, but companies would still tend to choose Ireland to be sure to be sure. In the 6 counties there could be time to come up with some sort of plan. Scotland would live in interesting times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:13:09 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 12:11:20 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 27, 2016, 12:08:03 AM
How will Spain voting to leave the Euro sort out their unemployment?

Devaluation.

QuoteHave the Brits any effn idea where they go from here?

Absolutely none.

The problem with devaluation nowadays is that everyone is doing it.  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 27, 2016, 12:15:28 AM
And the Spanish Government debt is all €......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 27, 2016, 12:15:59 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:13:09 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 12:11:20 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 27, 2016, 12:08:03 AM
How will Spain voting to leave the Euro sort out their unemployment?

Devaluation.

QuoteHave the Brits any effn idea where they go from here?

Absolutely none.

The problem with devaluation nowadays is that everyone is doing it.  :D

Germany tried that after world war 1. And it took 2 wheelbarrrows of German marks to buy a loaf of bread.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 12:28:41 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:13:09 AM
The problem with devaluation nowadays is that everyone is doing it.  :D

Especially the Leave lot
"In Asia, the British pound is down 1.6 per cent on Monday morning at $1.3459"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 04:56:22 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:13:09 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 12:11:20 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 27, 2016, 12:08:03 AM
How will Spain voting to leave the Euro sort out their unemployment?

Devaluation.

QuoteHave the Brits any effn idea where they go from here?

Absolutely none.

The problem with devaluation nowadays is that everyone is doing it.  :D
OOr trying to. It is like "get your tongue out of my mouth. I am kissing you goodbye" but there is too much money sloshing around. The Euro should be way lower. So should the yen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 08:31:10 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/27/liverpool-london-brexit-leave-eu-referendum
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 08:50:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:17:23 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

The ROI is one of the few places the UK has a trade surplus with, owing to the volume of consumer goods from there. Sterling going down is a swings and roundabouts issue too.

Explain the significance of the trade surplus in the context of this debate?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 08:53:20 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 26, 2016, 11:23:37 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI.
Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Is the UK not a key market for the UK?   :D :D :D

The domestic market is as key to the UK as it is to any other nation but that does not mean that the the Uk will feel the pain of its own (stupid) decision more than RoI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 08:55:36 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 08:50:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:17:23 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

The ROI is one of the few places the UK has a trade surplus with, owing to the volume of consumer goods from there. Sterling going down is a swings and roundabouts issue too.

Explain the significance of the trade surplus in the context of this debate?
The UK's trade surplus is Irelands trade defecit.
If we are trading the same volume but the cost of the goods coming in goes down (£ loses value relative to €) then Irelands trade defecit narrows.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on June 27, 2016, 09:02:15 AM
Anyone buying sterling?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 09:10:55 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 08:55:36 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 08:50:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:17:23 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

The ROI is one of the few places the UK has a trade surplus with, owing to the volume of consumer goods from there. Sterling going down is a swings and roundabouts issue too.

Explain the significance of the trade surplus in the context of this debate?
The UK's trade surplus is Irelands trade defecit.
If we are trading the same volume but the cost of the goods coming in goes down (£ loses value relative to €) then Irelands trade defecit narrows.

So if you sell a good or service into the UK and you lose orders because there is less demand in UK, the currency movement has made your goods more expensive and the UK importer now has to pay an import tariff what significance is to you that the imports from UK will be cheaper?

Is it not even worse as an import from UK is now cheaper (especially in the 2+ years Article 50 period) and so RoI businesses well find it harder to compete in their domestic market against UK competitors?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 27, 2016, 09:18:56 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 25, 2016, 05:56:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 25, 2016, 12:13:21 PM
One million signatures for a second vote.

BTW the DUP are odious.

2 million now completely pointless.

Mickey Mouse, I Squeaky Way etc. must have been signing up.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36634407 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36634407)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 27, 2016, 09:24:50 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 08:50:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:17:23 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

The ROI is one of the few places the UK has a trade surplus with, owing to the volume of consumer goods from there. Sterling going down is a swings and roundabouts issue too.

Explain the significance of the trade surplus in the context of this debate?


Would expect every member state government to snarl at their dept of Finances this morning to find out what their trade balance with the UK is. Then they will decide how to deal with the UK in the negotiations on the basis of their national self interest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 27, 2016, 09:25:46 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.
Yes Britain can have those types of deals, which will mean accepting all the laws and paying into the EU, with no say or influence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 27, 2016, 09:41:40 AM
Quote from: Minder on June 24, 2016, 10:34:26 PM
Are you allowed to express concerns about unchecked immigration without being labelled a racist ?
I was taken by the people expressing such concerns being or Irish, Asian and African origin. Without immigration they would still be in their home countries.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 09:55:25 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 27, 2016, 09:25:46 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 24, 2016, 07:42:26 PM
Switzerland do alright. As does Norway, Israel, US, China etc.

You are deluded if you think the UK won't be able to trade with EU members. They're the 5th or 6th biggest economy in the world. They'll work it out!

Immigration is a factor too. Infrastructures can't cope with massive influxes of people; hospitals, doctors, schools etc. Another good reason to get out. Should've happened 10 years ago.
Yes Britain can have those types of deals, which will mean accepting all the laws and paying into the EU, with no say or influence.

Nail on head.

At no stage did the Remain campaign say there would be no trade with EU. The issue is the terms of trade. Any attempt to have a debate on this before the poll was shouted down as scare mongering
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 09:59:49 AM
The UK needs access to the Single Market which comes with acceptance of free movement of people.
If there was economic growth in europe free movement would not be an issue. But neoliberalism is fucked
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 10:08:14 AM
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2b84027e-3b93-11e6-9f2c-36b487ebd80a.html

The City of London should brace itself for an new era where its rule book reflects Franco-German interests unchecked by "the British voice", according to Britain's outgoing EU commissioner in charge of financial services.
In an FT interview following his resignation on Saturday, Jonathan Hill laid out the imminent shift in power on European rulemaking, which could leave British financial institutions bending to eurozone-dominated priorities, even if London is outside the single market.
More
ON THIS STORY
•   Brexit live The fallout
•   Brexit The questions for markets this week
•   Analysis Will foreign banks leave the UK?
•   Chris Grayling City needs a neat Brexit
•   Gavyn Davies Is Brexit a global uncertainty shock?
ON THIS TOPIC
•   Banks begin moving some operations out of Britain
•   Singapore to overtake UK for offshore finance
•   Banks continue to shrink London space
•   City police chief says officers will stay unarmed
IN EUROPE
•   EU defence strategy to push for closer integration
•   US moves to mediate in EU political crisis
•   Spain's elections five key takeaways
•   Begin divorce process to trigger talks
While it is hard to predict the form or speed of any turn against the City, Lord Hill said longstanding efforts to bring financial operations back to the euro area may be resurrected, including the European Central Bank's plan — annulled by the EU's top court — to locate clearing services in the single currency zone. "You know the history and sometimes history does repeat itself," he said.
His departure is the most tangible sign of British political influence in Brussels evaporating after its referendum vote to leave the EU, with power draining away from Brits in the EU institutions and the European Parliament. No new British commissioner was nominated, in part because a confirmation hearing in the European Parliament was seen as a lost cause.
Underlining the abrupt shift influence, Lord Hill's powerful portfolio — initially offered to Britain as an olive-branch — has been taken over by Valdis Dombrovskis, the commission vice-president responsible for the euro.

Will foreign banks leave the UK after Brexit?


The loss of 'passporting' rights could see lenders move their headquarters from London
The move is a sign the EU is shifting its policy goals towards aligning Europe's 28-country strong single market for finance with the interests of the smaller eurozone and its banking union, rather than allowing them to permanently coexist. It is an outcome Britain had spent 25 years fighting to avoid.
Mr Hill's point is that British banks and financial institutions will not escape this EU-27 rulemaking, whatever arrangements are found post-Brexit. Should Britain's single market access continue — with prized "passporting" rights to serve EU clients in London — the rules are likely to have to be adopted wholesale.
In any event, negotiating such access may be impossible. "Most approaches that offer access come with free movement of people and I can't see that flying given the weight of immigration as an issue in the referendum debate," he said.
Other senior EU officials believe the UK's passporting rights are effectively "dead" post-Brexit because other countries led by France will ensure any future form of passport will offer far less privileged access to a eurozone market with more protectionist rules. Banks have already begun to take action to shift operations out of the UK, approaching euro area regulators to secure licences.
If Britain seeks a deal outside the single market — based on EU and UK rules being deemed as "equivalent" and offering limited mutual access in return — many of those eurozone dominated rules will still need to be followed.
"Rulemaking will continue at a global level and at a European level . . . who is in the room and who has the critical heft is extremely important in how rules end up," he said. "The nature of the rules you have to be equivalent to, or passporting into, are going to shift," he added.
With Britain outside the bloc, a number of EU and ECB reform ideas it had thwarted could regain momentum, including a single capital markets authority, a more interventionist policy on markets in general and new bank capital rules better tailored to the interests of French, German and Italian lenders. Mr Hill's plans for a capital markets union may roll-on, but over time take a more ambitious, eurozone-centred shape.
"The voices that would be present at the table without Britain there — the voice of the French financial services industry, German industry, Dutch, Irish — will clearly be heard," said Lord Hill.
"The nature and the shape of the financial services industry in France or in Germany — from the banking and any other point of view — is pretty different from what it is in the UK. So the direction of how policy will evolve will reflect those different voices, without the British voice in there to balance."
The direction of how policy will evolve will reflect those different voices, without the British voice in there to balance
- Lord Hill
Clearly rocked by a tumultuous 48 hours since the referendum, Lord Hill spoke of his tremendous sadness at the result, and his own personal journey from being an anti-euro comrade-in-arms with many Brexit campaigners to a EU commissioner convinced Britain's national interests were best protected within the bloc.
"The only sensible thing is to get everyone to put their effort into how you make things work as well as possible for the UK and the rest of Europe," he said. "I don't think you do that by everyone diving into the trenches and digging into conflictual positions."
Two Conservative party convulsions on Europe have been bookends to Lord Hill's political career, first as a Downing Street adviser during the Maastricht revolt, and possibly Britain's last EU commissioner with any clout. Asked whether he would be supporting Boris Johnson, Brexiter and former London mayor, to become Tory leader, Mr Hill said: "For the moment, one of the few benefits of being in Brussels in the Berlaymont is that I will not have to get involved in that campaign."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 10:15:02 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 09:10:55 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 08:55:36 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 08:50:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:17:23 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

The ROI is one of the few places the UK has a trade surplus with, owing to the volume of consumer goods from there. Sterling going down is a swings and roundabouts issue too.

Explain the significance of the trade surplus in the context of this debate?
The UK's trade surplus is Irelands trade defecit.
If we are trading the same volume but the cost of the goods coming in goes down (£ loses value relative to €) then Irelands trade defecit narrows.

So if you sell a good or service into the UK and you lose orders because there is less demand in UK, the currency movement has made your goods more expensive and the UK importer now has to pay an import tariff what significance is to you that the imports from UK will be cheaper?

Is it not even worse as an import from UK is now cheaper (especially in the 2+ years Article 50 period) and so RoI businesses well find it harder to compete in their domestic market against UK competitors?

All this is true. But it is also true that UK imports form a significant input to goods exports from Ireland to elsewhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:43:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

Surely by doing so would rip the Tories apart and the only winner being UKIP in future elections?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: doodaa on June 27, 2016, 10:45:05 AM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 27, 2016, 12:15:59 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:13:09 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 12:11:20 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 27, 2016, 12:08:03 AM
How will Spain voting to leave the Euro sort out their unemployment?

Devaluation.

QuoteHave the Brits any effn idea where they go from here?

Absolutely none.

The problem with devaluation nowadays is that everyone is doing it.  :D

Germany tried that after world war 1. And it took 2 wheelbarrrows of German marks to buy a loaf of bread.

Thank God for chip and pin  :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on June 27, 2016, 10:50:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:43:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

Surely by doing so would rip the Tories apart and the only winner being UKIP in future elections?

With their one MP?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:53:05 AM
Quote from: haveaharp on June 27, 2016, 10:50:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:43:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

Surely by doing so would rip the Tories apart and the only winner being UKIP in future elections?

With their one MP?

Well they are predicted to obliterate Labour in the north of England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 10:58:04 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 09:10:55 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 08:55:36 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 08:50:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:17:23 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

The ROI is one of the few places the UK has a trade surplus with, owing to the volume of consumer goods from there. Sterling going down is a swings and roundabouts issue too.

Explain the significance of the trade surplus in the context of this debate?
The UK's trade surplus is Irelands trade defecit.
If we are trading the same volume but the cost of the goods coming in goes down (£ loses value relative to €) then Irelands trade defecit narrows.

So if you sell a good or service into the UK and you lose orders because there is less demand in UK, the currency movement has made your goods more expensive and the UK importer now has to pay an import tariff what significance is to you that the imports from UK will be cheaper?

Is it not even worse as an import from UK is now cheaper (especially in the 2+ years Article 50 period) and so RoI businesses well find it harder to compete in their domestic market against UK competitors?
No benefit to you specifically, only to the overall balance of trade.
If you are selling you will lose out
If you are buying you may gain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:43:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

Surely by doing so would rip the Tories apart and the only winner being UKIP in future elections?

If there was a deal it would have to have the support of most of the Tory big hitters that want a BREXIT.  UKIP are already very strong but Boris Johnson is much more charismatic than David Cameron ever was.  "Voting Tory will cause your wife to have bigger breasts and increase your chances of owning a BMW M3."  Goes down well with the Express/Sun reading general public.  I think the Tories might do fairly well in a future election with Johnson as leader.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 11:07:38 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:43:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

Surely by doing so would rip the Tories apart and the only winner being UKIP in future elections?

If there was a deal it would have to have the support of most of the Tory big hitters that want a BREXIT.  UKIP are already very strong but Boris Johnson is much more charismatic than David Cameron ever was.  "Voting Tory will cause your wife to have bigger breasts and increase your chances of owning a BMW M3."  Goes down well with the Express/Sun reading general public.  I think the Tories might do fairly well in a future election with Johnson as leader.

Until his 'inner Churchill' comes out and he goes to war with Russia!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 11:08:19 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 10:58:04 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 09:10:55 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 08:55:36 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 08:50:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 26, 2016, 11:17:23 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

The ROI is one of the few places the UK has a trade surplus with, owing to the volume of consumer goods from there. Sterling going down is a swings and roundabouts issue too.

Explain the significance of the trade surplus in the context of this debate?
The UK's trade surplus is Irelands trade defecit.
If we are trading the same volume but the cost of the goods coming in goes down (£ loses value relative to €) then Irelands trade defecit narrows.

So if you sell a good or service into the UK and you lose orders because there is less demand in UK, the currency movement has made your goods more expensive and the UK importer now has to pay an import tariff what significance is to you that the imports from UK will be cheaper?

Is it not even worse as an import from UK is now cheaper (especially in the 2+ years Article 50 period) and so RoI businesses well find it harder to compete in their domestic market against UK competitors?
No benefit to you specifically, only to the overall balance of trade.
If you are selling you will lose out
If you are buying you may gain.

So if you were concerned about the overall health of the RoI economy, tax revenues in RoI, employment levels in RoI would you be happy with brexit or would you spend the time thinking about the overall balance of trade with 1 country?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 11:12:17 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:53:05 AM
Quote from: haveaharp on June 27, 2016, 10:50:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:43:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

Surely by doing so would rip the Tories apart and the only winner being UKIP in future elections?

With their one MP?

Well they are predicted to obliterate Labour in the north of England.

I'm worriedr for the labour party. Especially if the ditch Corbyn. If they do we will never know what could have been achieved by Labour if the parliamentary party actually got behind the leader. Ditching him now, his ability to break through to the youth vote and basically handing the northern working class vote to UKIP is a disaster. A disater for Labout, a disaster for the working class and a disaster for the country
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 11:20:20 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:43:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

Surely by doing so would rip the Tories apart and the only winner being UKIP in future elections?

Cameron insisting Article 50 should be invoked in the event of a Leave vote and then stepping down to avoid being the one to do it has left Boris with 3 choices:
1. Become PM, invoke Article 50 as he campaigned for and damage the economy fro a generation.
2. Become PM, don't invoke article 50 causing the Tory party to implode and voters to lose faith in them for a generation.
3. Don't run for PM and expose himself as the populist charlatan he is. The slippery Gove saw the writing on the wall which is why he ruled himself out and backed Boris.

1 & 2 are the choices facing anyone who takes the poisoned crown but as Boris move to Leave is seen as the purely party political manoeuvre it was he has the a 3rd option for public evisceration.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 11:22:23 AM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 11:12:17 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:53:05 AM
Quote from: haveaharp on June 27, 2016, 10:50:06 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 10:43:13 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

Surely by doing so would rip the Tories apart and the only winner being UKIP in future elections?

With their one MP?

Well they are predicted to obliterate Labour in the north of England.

I'm worriedr for the labour party. Especially if the ditch Corbyn. If they do we will never know what could have been achieved by Labour if the parliamentary party actually got behind the leader. Ditching him now, his ability to break through to the youth vote and basically handing the northern working class vote to UKIP is a disaster. A disater for Labout, a disaster for the working class and a disaster for the country
Both they and the Tories risk tearing themselves apart over the next 12-18 months. The Lib Dems stint in Government will prevent them from taking advantage leaving UKIP as the only party to take advantage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 11:36:16 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

It is the 2nd highest net contribution.
It is 4th by total payments.
It is 7th by net population.
It is in last place in percentage of its national income to the EU (because of the rebate).

If the Little Englanders are withdrawing from the EU because of a net £9bn annual contribution, how do those Little Englanders view the £6bn a year (depending on which figures you read) poured into Northern Ireland? Consider what it gets in return from EU membership versus what it gets from the 6 counties UK membership in return.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 27, 2016, 11:41:49 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 11:36:16 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

It is the 2nd highest net contribution.
It is 4th by total payments.
It is 7th by net population.
It is in last place in percentage of its national income to the EU (because of the rebate).

If the Little Englanders are withdrawing from the EU because of a net £9bn annual contribution, how do those Little Englanders view the £6bn a year (depending on which figures you read) poured into Northern Ireland? Consider what it gets in return from EU membership versus what it gets from the 6 counties UK membership in return.

I'd imagine They'd ditch NI in a heartbeat if they could find a way to do it.  At least Scotland has North Sea oil.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 11:50:03 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 11:41:49 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 11:36:16 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

It is the 2nd highest net contribution.
It is 4th by total payments.
It is 7th by net population.
It is in last place in percentage of its national income to the EU (because of the rebate).

If the Little Englanders are withdrawing from the EU because of a net £9bn annual contribution, how do those Little Englanders view the £6bn a year (depending on which figures you read) poured into Northern Ireland? Consider what it gets in return from EU membership versus what it gets from the 6 counties UK membership in return.

I'd imagine They'd ditch NI in a heartbeat if they could find a way to do it.  At least Scotland has North Sea oil.

Jeez I never knew of those figures!! Unreal when you think about it. Could they conceivably ever drop the north?? Is Arlene and her mates that delusional that they think they'll stand by them. I'm no fan of Mike Nesbitt but at least he had the sense to see potential financial implications.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 11:56:36 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 11:41:49 AM
I'd imagine They'd ditch NI in a heartbeat if they could find a way to do it.  At least Scotland has North Sea oil.

The DUP may rue their bigotry. They wanted this to substitute the EU payments with London ones, but London may do the sums and send a lot less. Scotland is an important defender of the Barnett arrangements, as it orginated in the original 1970s Scottish referenum, if they feck off the whole thing will be redrawn. The depressed areas in England and Wales that voted Leave in big numbers will not be exactly happy that NI, which is in some ways more prosperous, is getting more money than they are. The payments to NI are not that much less than the net contribution to the EU!

If you read forums based in Britain, there are lots of posts that just expect NI to leave as well as Scotland. This reflects people with a limited understanding of things, but the unionists have put themselves out on a limb.

As for Mike Nesbitt, the UU correctly analysed the situation but then hid during the Brexit campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:11:42 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 27, 2016, 11:50:03 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 11:41:49 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 11:36:16 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 27, 2016, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 12:03:43 AM
Quote from: dferg on June 26, 2016, 11:57:59 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 26, 2016, 10:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 26, 2016, 10:21:08 PM
Even after the brexit, the UK will have to pay for the privilege of trading with the EU and meet all the associated compliance requirements without having any say in these standards.

The ability to control your own borders might come with a very high price for the little Englanders.

Apart from possible issues around the hard /soft border with the north, the 26 counties could be quid's in with the big multinationals looking a new EU base.

The No1 most effected economy in this is RoI. And I include UK in this

UK is a key a market for RoI. Any reduced deman in UK impacts negatively on RoI. A weaker sterling makes RoI exports to UK more expensive and thats before we add tarrifs. I say Inda and Noonan are shiting themselves and praying that the EU goes lightly on UK

Most people on this forum seem to focus on how Brexit will affect the UK economy, I feel it will affect the Euro at least as much if not more.  We have already the leader of the far right in France calling for a free vote for a FREXIT which Hollande says he will not allow.  He can stall this vote but if the already strong Far Right (NF was the largest party in France in 2014 European elections https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election,_2014_(France)) win the election next spring they will push hard for a vote on FREXIT.  Spain for example with 20% unemployment could easily follow and demand a vote on the Euro.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24 (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-britain-but-sell-europe-after-stunning-brexit-rebuke-2016-06-24)

You think Britain leaving the EU will affect the EU 'at least as much if not more' than it will affect Britain?

Seriously?

I do yes.

David Cameron came to the negotiating table and threatened the EU with a UK vote on BREXIT as a negotiating tactic, if there was a vote and it was fairly close (55-45% in favour of stay for example) they could use the threat of another vote in the future.  The EU in a game of brinkmanship said fine have a vote and it's snowballed from there.  Now they are both going holy fook what sort of can of worms have we opened up here.  They are the second biggest net contributor to the EU (whatever way you want to look at the numbers ::) ) and by leaving they destabilise further other countries like France who are more right wing than Britain.  It's not like Ireland threatening to leave, where the EU delegates might get them there suitcases as there next move.

I'd imagine Boris wants to be prime minister at least as much as he wants a BREXIT.  One scenario that could play out is behind the scenes the EU offer Britain some sort of deal, a further cap on contributions, controls on immigration that Boris will then have to sell in a second referendum.  He gets to look like a sort of white knight that has given the EU a bloody nose and the EU goes on much like before.

It is the 2nd highest net contribution.
It is 4th by total payments.
It is 7th by net population.
It is in last place in percentage of its national income to the EU (because of the rebate).

If the Little Englanders are withdrawing from the EU because of a net £9bn annual contribution, how do those Little Englanders view the £6bn a year (depending on which figures you read) poured into Northern Ireland? Consider what it gets in return from EU membership versus what it gets from the 6 counties UK membership in return.

I'd imagine They'd ditch NI in a heartbeat if they could find a way to do it.  At least Scotland has North Sea oil.

Jeez I never knew of those figures!! Unreal when you think about it. Could they conceivably ever drop the north?? Is Arlene and her mates that delusional that they think they'll stand by them. I'm no fan of Mike Nesbitt but at least he had the sense to see potential financial implications.

On top of those figures the EU had agreed to pay €3.5bn to the North in structural funding running up to the year 2020. What happens that money now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 27, 2016, 12:13:55 PM
Casement will never be built now  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 12:19:29 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 27, 2016, 12:13:55 PM
Casement will never be built now  ;)

They'll probably set up a giant soup kitchen there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 12:27:54 PM
The UK is in senior hurling territory.

the vote c0uld be neutered with a fresh election and a government mandate to stay in the EU with concessions
I don't think Boris as PM will fly. too many enemies
the UK needs to invest huge money in depressed areas of the north of England
Otherwise the country falls apart with massive losses for the wealthy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on June 27, 2016, 01:29:27 PM
Interesting article here suggesting that the economic ramifications are more serious for the eurozone that for Britian
http://www.eurointelligence.com/public/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 01:40:18 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 27, 2016, 01:37:15 PM
Sterling is getting pummeled on the markets.  Dipped below €1.20 and is at $1.31
stg was at USD 1.50 on Thursday
Markets are so efficient
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 01:45:28 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36625209 (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36625209)

Historian and constitutional expert Lord Peter Hennessy looks back at British history to evaluate the significance of the referendum result. The Attlee Professor of Contemporary British History at Queen Mary University of London was speaking to the BBC's Diplomatic Correspondent James Robbins.

Never in our peacetime history have so many dials been reset as a result of a single day's events.

The only thing comparable in my lifetime is the end of the British Empire, which, like this, was a huge geopolitical shift. But getting rid of the British Empire was done over many, many years and by and large in the time control of the British government of the day. It left very few scars on us.

But this is sudden. This is guillotine time. This is quite extraordinary and in peacetime British history quite unprecedented.


If we go back to the beginning, it took three attempts for Britain to join the European project.

Harold Macmillan steered his cabinet towards the first application to join the European Economic Community in July 1961, an effort which failed because of opposition from French leader Charles De Gaulle.

During Harold Wilson's second application in 1967, The Labour prime minister said we wouldn't take 'no' for an answer and ended up getting exactly that again from General De Gaulle.

Ted Heath finally pulled it off with President Pompidou and the law was passed in 1972, leading to our admittance in January 1973.

Ever since then it's been part of the warp and woof of British foreign policy and our attitude towards the world. It's part of Britain's notion of its ability to punch heavier than its weight internationally, and it has been central to so many calculations.

That's why this vote is the most remarkable jolt to the system. Where it leads in terms of the psychology of British politics as well as the personnel of British politics and indeed the very survival of the United Kingdom as a union with Scotland is all up in the air.

There never has been a day when so many moving parts were thrown up in one go and nobody knows where they will fall.

We know one thing and one thing only - that within a few years we shall no longer be a member of the European Union.

We know so little else about how it will play out, both in terms of the emotional geography of our politics and the emotional geography of our people.

The referendum has revealed deeper fissures and deeper divisions than perhaps we realised were there.

We know we've been a country ill at ease with itself for a very long time, with all sorts of divides, including those based on geography and wealth.

But this process has thrown it into stark relief, and we're going to have to stand back and take a long and careful look at ourselves.

We will need to re-examine the kind of society we are and the kind of relationships we want in the world.

'US will be horrified'
Looking to our relationship with the United States, ever since the Marshall Plan brought the Western European countries together after the Second World War to put a dollar curtain up against the Iron Curtain of the Soviet Union, the US has wanted us to be a good European player.

They have also wanted us to be their number one friend. We were meant to be the hinge that joined the North Atlantic instinct with the European instinct.

For this reason they will be horrified by this result. Their notion of who we are and the special ingredients of our special position in the world will be as much affected as we are by this.

I suspect the feeling will be that they've got enough to worry about in the world with a resurgent Putin and Middle East in the state it is without their one dependable ally causing all this trouble.

They will see Britain - instead of being its usual force for stability in the world as a great and mature democracy - as a bringer of instability to Europe, and they won't like it one bit.


This result, on the other hand, is, of course, a victory for democracy. The greatest strength of any country is the degree to which it is an open society and this vote showed that on that index we excel.

The sovereign will of the British people is what has prevailed in producing this enormous geopolitical shift. So it's three cheers for democracy and for the 72.2% voter turnout rate.

While the consequences of it are very complicated, the will of the people will obviously have to be respected.

But, my heavens, it becomes a nitty gritty slog from now on. In particular, the long-term consequences for our place in the world are very considerable indeed.

In 2025, we will be out of the European Union and we could be shorn of Scotland. We will be a very different country.
I hope to heaven - because I love this country deeply - that it doesn't turn narrowly inward-looking and resentful.
That ain't what the British people are for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 27, 2016, 03:07:54 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 27, 2016, 12:13:55 PM
Casement will never be built now  ;)

Or Narrow Water bridge. They'll probably have enough money to build a 15ft wall around the border though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:09:30 PM
http://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/liverpool-sees-huge-remain-vote-11518353 (http://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/liverpool-sees-huge-remain-vote-11518353)

I wonder how big an influence The Sun, which isn't bought by anyone on Merseyside, had in the Leave Vote?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 03:13:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 27, 2016, 03:07:54 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 27, 2016, 12:13:55 PM
Casement will never be built now  ;)

Or Narrow Water bridge. They'll probably have enough money to build a 15ft wall around the border though.

The Casement development as proposed shouldn't go ahead. The Narrow Water bridge never stood a chance and the other bit is just shit talk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 03:22:07 PM
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/brexit-democratic-failure-for-uk-by-kenneth-rogoff-2016-06

CAMBRIDGE – The real lunacy of the United Kingdom's vote to leave the European Union was not that British leaders dared to ask their populace to weigh the benefits of membership against the immigration pressures it presents. Rather, it was the absurdly low bar for exit, requiring only a simple majority. Given voter turnout of 70%, this meant that the leave campaign won with only 36% of eligible voters backing it.



Does the vote have to be repeated after a year to be sure? No. Does a majority in Parliament have to support Brexit? Apparently not. Did the UK's population really know what they were voting on? Absolutely not. Indeed, no one has any idea of the consequences, both for the UK in the global trading system, or the effect on domestic political stability. I am afraid it is not going to be a pretty picture.

Mind you, citizens of the West are blessed to live in a time of peace: changing circumstances and priorities can be addressed through democratic processes instead of foreign and civil wars. But what, exactly, is a fair, democratic process for making irreversible, nation-defining decisions? Is it really enough to get 52% to vote for breakup on a rainy day?

In terms of durability and conviction of preferences, most societies place greater hurdles in the way of a couple seeking a divorce than Prime Minister David Cameron's government did on the decision to leave the EU. Brexiteers did not invent this game; there is ample precedent, including Scotland in 2014 and Quebec in 1995. But, until now, the gun's cylinder never stopped on the bullet. Now that it has, it is time to rethink the rules of the game.



The idea that somehow any decision reached anytime by majority rule is necessarily "democratic" is a perversion of the term. Modern democracies have evolved systems of checks and balances to protect the interests of minorities and to avoid making uninformed decisions with catastrophic consequences. The greater and more lasting the decision, the higher the hurdles.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:31:32 PM
The Leave campaign is in complete disarray:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-negotiations-eu-referendum-live-delay-holiday-matthew-elliott-vote-leave-a7105661.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-negotiations-eu-referendum-live-delay-holiday-matthew-elliott-vote-leave-a7105661.html)

Brexit negotiations should not go ahead straight away so people can go away "on holiday" before they start, the chief of Vote Leave has said.

Matthew Elliot, the chief executive of the official campaign to leave the EU, said there should be a pause before negotiations took place in part so that people could go away for the summer.

Brussels officials and the leaders of other EU countries have urged Britain to start Brexit negotiations straight away in order to limit the extent of any damaging transition period.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:34:05 PM
Here is the infamous Article 50. Amazingly there are only 250 words in it.

http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/treaty-on-European-union-and-comments/title-6-final-provisions/137-article-50.html (http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/treaty-on-European-union-and-comments/title-6-final-provisions/137-article-50.html)

Article 50


1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.

2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.

3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.

4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the Council representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it.

A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.

5. If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 03:36:48 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:31:32 PM
The Leave campaign is in complete disarray:

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-negotiations-eu-referendum-live-delay-holiday-matthew-elliott-vote-leave-a7105661.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-negotiations-eu-referendum-live-delay-holiday-matthew-elliott-vote-leave-a7105661.html)

Brexit negotiations should not go ahead straight away so people can go away "on holiday" before they start, the chief of Vote Leave has said.

Matthew Elliot, the chief executive of the official campaign to leave the EU, said there should be a pause before negotiations took place in part so that people could go away for the summer.

Brussels officials and the leaders of other EU countries have urged Britain to start Brexit negotiations straight away in order to limit the extent of any damaging transition period.

Leave reminds me of a fabulous party where someone dies , usually in the pool
They just wanted to piss off Cameron. They don't know what to do now.

He didn't want any attack ads on fellow Tories in case it would damage the Tory party
He was planning a process to reunite and heal the Tories.

Nobody wanted sterling to fall to USD 1.30 or for banks to start moving jobs out of the City   
It is a dreadful mistake

Bojo is a spoofer
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/26/i-cannot-stress-too-much-that-britain-is-part-of-europe--and-alw/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 27, 2016, 03:45:13 PM
I blame Geldof and would probably agree with Michael Heaver on his assessment.

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/owen-bennett/bob-geldof-nigel-farage-brexit-flotilla_b_10481804.html (http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/owen-bennett/bob-geldof-nigel-farage-brexit-flotilla_b_10481804.html)

He looked like a character from Alice in Wonderland with his stupid looking hat, sitting on what looked like a throne shouting into a loud hailer.  He is not even british ffs.

The remain campaign was terrible in general.  Wheeling out Tony Blair, Geldof etc.  It gave rain 1 day and I  was half expecting the weather forecaster to say if you vote leave it will rain every day.

If remain had stuck to numbers, on how it would affect the economy and less on gimmicks and general BS they would have come across as more genuine and stood a better chance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on June 27, 2016, 03:47:49 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 03:13:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 27, 2016, 03:07:54 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 27, 2016, 12:13:55 PM
Casement will never be built now  ;)

Or Narrow Water bridge. They'll probably have enough money to build a 15ft wall around the border though.

The Casement development as proposed shouldn't go ahead. The Narrow Water bridge never stood a chance and the other bit is just shit talk

No flies on you  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 27, 2016, 03:47:57 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:34:05 PM
Here is the infamous Article 50. Amazingly there are only 250 words in it.

http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/treaty-on-European-union-and-comments/title-6-final-provisions/137-article-50.html (http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/treaty-on-European-union-and-comments/title-6-final-provisions/137-article-50.html)

Article 50


1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.

2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.

3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.

4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the Council representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it.

A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.

5. If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49.


Here's the escape route.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 03:49:36 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:34:05 PM
Here is the infamous Article 50. Amazingly there are only 250 words in it.

http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/treaty-on-European-union-and-comments/title-6-final-provisions/137-article-50.html (http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/treaty-on-European-union-and-comments/title-6-final-provisions/137-article-50.html)

Article 50


1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.

2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.

3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.

4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the Council representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it.

A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.

5. If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49.

There are loads of laws that have to be untangled
The devolved areas all have legal setups that assume EU membership
The GFA does too
The Leavers are all over the place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:53:55 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on June 27, 2016, 03:47:57 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:34:05 PM
Here is the infamous Article 50. Amazingly there are only 250 words in it.

http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/treaty-on-European-union-and-comments/title-6-final-provisions/137-article-50.html (http://www.lisbon-treaty.org/wcm/the-lisbon-treaty/treaty-on-European-union-and-comments/title-6-final-provisions/137-article-50.html)

Article 50


1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.

2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.

3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.

4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the Council representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it.

A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.

5. If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49.


Here's the escape route.

I admire your optimism.

But history and experience teaches me to guess otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on June 27, 2016, 03:58:45 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 03:53:55 PM


I admire your optimism.

But history and experience teaches me to guess otherwise.

The only thing I know from History is that the levers of power are hard to walk away from and that Tyrone drew in 95.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 27, 2016, 04:04:09 PM
I can't understand the DUP. The mock SF as being economically illiterate. They support Brexit which will see the end of the net contribution from Europe to NI with absolutely no idea how that funding can be replaced. They think that an English Government which will be managing Brexit in order to deliver savings is going to hand over this cash instead of investing it in their own country and to benefit their own voters. To cap all of this they believe that having saved the European money, no-one in England is going to question the continued subvention for NI. Not only that if as is likely Brexit results in Scottish Independence the Barnett formula comes in to sharp focus and I'd say NI's share won't be increased!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 04:05:19 PM
At the moment there is a short-term problem that needs to be addressed quickly.

Cameron doesn't want to invoke article 50 as he wants out before the mess has to be cleaned up.
The Leave campaign doesn't want to invoke article 50 for <insert any reason you can think of>.
The EU needs Britain to invoke article 50 so they can calm the markets and get on with the business of getting back to normal.

The question is can Britain ignore the market and political volatility as long as it seems to want to?

So what happens here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 04:12:49 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 27, 2016, 04:04:09 PM
I can't understand the DUP. The mock SF as being economically illiterate. They support Brexit which will see the end of the net contribution from Europe to NI with absolutely no idea how that funding can be replaced. They think that an English Government which will be managing Brexit in order to deliver savings is going to hand over this cash instead of investing it in their own country and to benefit their own voters. To cap all of this they believe that having saved the European money, no-one in England is going to question the continued subvention for NI. Not only that if as is likely Brexit results in Scottish Independence the Barnett formula comes in to sharp focus and I'd say NI's share won't be increased!
FT

"The challenge of reworking the UK's relationship with the EU has been made far harder by the process which took the country into this sad pass. The UK is deeply divided. Passions are running high. The mainstream political parties are in disarray. The best the UK can hope for, absent a collective change of mind among voters and a reversal of the referendum decision by parliament, is for a settlement that ends up as near the status quo as possible. "

The UK is a mess. The DUP is particularly vulnerable because its worldview is horseshit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on June 27, 2016, 04:26:11 PM
There's been a constant barrage of comment since ref result and i hate to add to it but this is one of the more interesting pieces i've read on it

https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/alan-finlayson/who-won-referendum#.V2-yjDMiXhQ.twitter
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 04:27:25 PM
. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/8f2aca88-3c51-11e6-9f2c-36b487ebd80a.html#ixzz4CnH4hDR3
June 27, 2016 2:04 pm
I do not believe that Brexit will happen
Gideon Rachman
All good dramas involve the suspension of disbelief. So it was with Brexit. I went to bed at 4am on Friday depressed that Britain had voted to leave the EU. The following day my gloom only deepened. But then, belatedly, I realised that I have seen this film before. I know how it ends. And it does not end with the UK leaving Europe.
Any long-term observer of the EU should be familiar with the shock referendum result. In 1992 the Danes voted to reject the Maastricht treaty. The Irish voted to reject both the Nice treaty in 2001 and the Lisbon treaty in 2008.
More

And what happened in each case? The EU rolled ever onwards. The Danes and the Irish were granted some concessions by their EU partners. They staged a second referendum. And the second time around they voted to accept the treaty. So why, knowing this history, should anyone believe that Britain's referendum decision is definitive?
It is true that the British case has some novel elements. The UK has voted to leave the EU altogether. It is also a bigger economy than Ireland or Denmark, which changes the psychology of the relationship. And it is certainly true that the main actors in the drama seem to think it is for real. David Cameron, the UK prime minister, announced his resignation following the vote; and Jonathan Hill, Britain's EU commissioner for financial services, has followed suit.

Yet there are already signs that Britain might be heading towards a second referendum rather than the door marked exit. Boris Johnson, a leader of the Leave campaign and Britain's probable next prime minister, hinted at his real thinking back in February, when he said: "There is only one way to get the change we need — and that is to vote to go; because all EU history shows that they only really listen to a population when it says No."
Having been a journalist in Brussels at the time of the Danish referendum on Maastricht, Mr Johnson is very familiar with the history of second referendums. It is also well known that he was never a diehard Leaver, and hesitated until the last moment before deciding which side to back.
His main goal was almost certainly to become prime minister; campaigning to leave the EU was merely the means to that end. Once Mr Johnson has entered 10 Downing Street, he can reverse his position on the EU.

But would our European partners really be willing to play along? Quite possibly. You could see that in the talk by Wolfgang Schäuble's finance ministry in Germany of negotiating an "associate" membership status for Britain. In reality, the UK already enjoys a form of associate membership since it is not a participant in the EU's single currency or the Schengen passport-free zone. Negotiating some further ways in which the country could distance itself from the hard core of the bloc, while keeping its access to the single market, would merely elaborate on a model that already exists.

And what kind of new concession should be offered? That is easy. What Mr Johnson would need to win a second referendum is an emergency brake on free movement of people, allowing the UK to limit the number of EU nationals moving to Britain if it has surged beyond a certain level.

In retrospect, it was a big mistake on the part of the EU not to give Mr Cameron exactly this concession in his renegotiation of the UK's terms of membership early this year. It was the prime minister's inability to promise that Britain could set an upper limit on immigration that probably ultimately lost him the vote.
Even so, with 48 per cent of voters opting to stay in the union, the result was extremely close. If the Remain campaign could fight a second referendum with a proper answer to the question of immigration it should be able to win fairly easily.
But why should Europe grant Britain any such a concession on free movement? Because, despite all the current irritations, the British are valuable members of the EU. The UK is a big contributor to the budget and it is a serious military and diplomatic power.
Just as it will be painful for the UK to lose access to the EU's internal market, so it will be painful for the EU to lose access to the British labour market. More than 3m EU nationals live and work in Britain, with more than 800,000 from Poland alone.
Agreeing to an emergency brake on free movement of people might mean some modest limits to future migration. But that would surely be better than the much harsher restrictions that could follow a complete British withdrawal from the EU.
Of course, there would be howls of anger on both sides of the Channel if any such deal is struck. The diehard Leavers in Britain would cry betrayal, while the diehard federalists in the European Parliament — who want to punish the UK and press on with "political union" in Europe — will also resist any new offer.
But there is no reason to let the extremists on both sides of the debate dictate how this story has to end. There is a moderate middle in both Britain and Europe that should be capable of finding a deal that keeps the UK inside the EU.
Like all good dramas, the Brexit story has been shocking, dramatic and upsetting. But its ending is not yet written.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 04:52:05 PM
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/barclays-rbs-halts-trading-eu-referendum-brexit-ftse-100-stock-market-a7105196.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/barclays-rbs-halts-trading-eu-referendum-brexit-ftse-100-stock-market-a7105196.html)

That article says Barclays down 10% today but the market is currently showing 17.35%: https://www.google.ie/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=barclays+share+price&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&gws_rd=cr&ei=wkpxV5P3M8eSgAbVoLNQ#

RBS down 15% in the article and currently down about 15%: https://www.google.ie/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=RBS+share+rpice&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&gws_rd=cr&ei=bUtxV_KcJKXQgAaJ1a_YBw#q=RBS+share+price
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: whitey on June 27, 2016, 05:04:26 PM
If the EU had been able to reach some compromise with the UK on immigration, my guess is that the vote would have gone the other way.  Why were they not able to reach an agreement before it got to this point?

(1) Was it  impractical from a legal standpoint?

(2) Did the EU fear other countries would come seeking their own special deals?

(3) Did the EU decide to call the UK's bluff?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 05:08:08 PM
Quote from: whitey on June 27, 2016, 05:04:26 PM
If the EU had been able to reach some compromise with the UK on immigration, my guess is that the vote would have gone the other way.  Why were they not able to reach an agreement before it got to this point?

(1) Was it  impractical from a legal standpoint?

(2) Did the EU fear other countries would come seeking their own special deals?

(3) Did the EU decide to call the UK's bluff?

Freedom of movement for EU citizens is a fundamental principle of the EU.

Much of the xenophobic abuse of the last few days appears to have been directed at Poles for reasons that are beyond me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 05:09:27 PM
http://www.oecd.org/economy/oecd-study-finds-britons-will-be-paying-a-heavy-brexit-tax-for-many-years-if-uk-leaves-eu.htm (http://www.oecd.org/economy/oecd-study-finds-britons-will-be-paying-a-heavy-brexit-tax-for-many-years-if-uk-leaves-eu.htm)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 05:13:19 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 04:52:05 PM
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/barclays-rbs-halts-trading-eu-referendum-brexit-ftse-100-stock-market-a7105196.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/barclays-rbs-halts-trading-eu-referendum-brexit-ftse-100-stock-market-a7105196.html)

That article says Barclays down 10% today but the market is currently showing 17.35%: https://www.google.ie/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=barclays+share+price&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&gws_rd=cr&ei=wkpxV5P3M8eSgAbVoLNQ#

RBS down 15% in the article and currently down about 15%: https://www.google.ie/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=RBS+share+rpice&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&gws_rd=cr&ei=bUtxV_KcJKXQgAaJ1a_YBw#q=RBS+share+price

the sell off of RBS was cancelled
But markets are stupid.
This is senior hurling and there is a lot of stuff going on in the background
Serious money does not care about the will of the people
Say Goldman Sachs has to relocate its London operations. That would bring its RoE down below 10%
How likely is this ? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on June 27, 2016, 05:14:58 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 05:09:27 PM
http://www.oecd.org/economy/oecd-study-finds-britons-will-be-paying-a-heavy-brexit-tax-for-many-years-if-uk-leaves-eu.htm (http://www.oecd.org/economy/oecd-study-finds-britons-will-be-paying-a-heavy-brexit-tax-for-many-years-if-uk-leaves-eu.htm)

Won't matter a f**k. The Leave campaign are fessing up to all sorts of lies. You can call them outright liars and they won't contest it. You can call them anything you like as long as you don't call them racists. And of course not all of them are racist. Enough to carry the vote were though
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 05:21:45 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 05:09:27 PM
http://www.oecd.org/economy/oecd-study-finds-britons-will-be-paying-a-heavy-brexit-tax-for-many-years-if-uk-leaves-eu.htm (http://www.oecd.org/economy/oecd-study-finds-britons-will-be-paying-a-heavy-brexit-tax-for-many-years-if-uk-leaves-eu.htm)
I wonder how much the collapse of the economic system will cost
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 27, 2016, 05:29:16 PM
Barclays has lost fully a third of its value from over 30B to 20B, share price tumble from 186- 125 in two days trading...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 05:41:04 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 27, 2016, 05:29:16 PM
Barclays has lost fully a third of its value from over 30B to 20B, share price tumble from 186- 125 in two days trading...
the pound is back to its 1985 value. almost as if Thatcherism had never happened
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 27, 2016, 06:31:00 PM
Our Southern brethren are concerned over the ref ... It shouldn't impact them as much surely?? More money in the pot?

It will hardly send them back to the last time we were kicked out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 27, 2016, 06:32:35 PM
ISEQ down 10% today.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 27, 2016, 06:36:22 PM
When the pound was so weak before people were flocking from south to north for all forms of shopping.

You'd have to imagine that will be happening again soon. Particularly booze runs etc etc.

In that case less money going to southern economy i guess...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 06:40:28 PM
Refugees to come to Dublin!
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/27/bank-jobs-dublin-ireland-may-gain-while-london-loses.html

Not sure where any significant amount of big companies could go, exactly.

Quote from: imtommygunn on June 27, 2016, 06:36:22 PM
When the pound was so weak before people were flocking from south to north for all forms of shopping.

You'd have to imagine that will be happening again soon. Particularly booze runs etc etc.

In that case less money going to southern economy i guess...

The Pound isn't (yet) very weak. It is €1.19 or so at present, as the Euro has gone down also.

In 2008 it was €1.05, since 2008 there has been negligible inflation in the ROI, but UK prices have gone up 10%+. So no panic unless it falls another 10-15%, which some do predict.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 27, 2016, 07:28:19 PM
however corrupt they may be they have an impact,
Standard and Poors (S&P) just dropped GB's credit rating two notches, one of the for reasons given was NI and Scotland's vote to stay in.

Ouch, and yet another kick in the pocket...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 27, 2016, 08:04:01 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 27, 2016, 07:28:19 PM
however corrupt they may be they have an impact,
Standard and Poors (S&P) just dropped GB's credit rating two notches, one of the for reasons given was NI and Scotland's vote to stay in.

Ouch, and yet another kick in the pocket...

UK mortgages will rise presumably.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 08:28:41 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 27, 2016, 08:04:01 PM
Quote from: heganboy on June 27, 2016, 07:28:19 PM
however corrupt they may be they have an impact,
Standard and Poors (S&P) just dropped GB's credit rating two notches, one of the for reasons given was NI and Scotland's vote to stay in.

Ouch, and yet another kick in the pocket...

UK mortgages will rise presumably.
gilt yields are going down. Depends by how much.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 27, 2016, 08:38:21 PM
No functioning government, no effective opposition and no plan for Brexit according to the FT.
The UK is a clusterfuck.
Cameron must be the worst PM in a century
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 09:41:04 PM
The more I think about it the less likely brexit seems. No one wants to trigger it and whoever gets the poisoned throne will not do it without getting a consensus from Parliament. The EU are pushing for a quick decision leaving little room for a renegotiation meaning some sort of minimal concession deal will be the best on offer.
A lot of brexit voters may not even notice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 27, 2016, 09:46:42 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 27, 2016, 09:41:04 PM
The more I think about it the less likely brexit seems. No one wants to trigger it and whoever gets the poisoned throne will not do it without getting a consensus from Parliament. The EU are pushing for a quick decision leaving little room for a renegotiation meaning some sort of minimal concession deal will be the best on offer.
A lot of brexit voters may not even notice.

Just announce that immigration from the EU, apart from Ireland and the Commonwealth, will be capped at 957,321 each year and forget the whole sorry thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dferg on June 27, 2016, 09:56:18 PM
English commentator just said the inquest into the football team might overshadow everything that happened this week.  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on June 27, 2016, 09:58:00 PM
I don't know lads.  I think they are going to have to go through with it for the sake of market stability
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 27, 2016, 10:17:14 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on June 27, 2016, 09:58:00 PM
I don't know lads.  I think they are going to have to go through with it for the sake of market stability
A very cogent reason not to go through with it just right now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on June 27, 2016, 10:36:59 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 27, 2016, 10:17:14 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on June 27, 2016, 09:58:00 PM
I don't know lads.  I think they are going to have to go through with it for the sake of market stability
A very cogent reason not to go through with it just right now.
They don't seem to have a clue what to do.  They can't just let the whole thing rumble on. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 27, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
People are thick.  Muppet will know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on June 27, 2016, 10:56:27 PM
No real big noise by the leave side to hurry up the process and get out.......is anyone else smellin a big stinky rat
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 27, 2016, 11:25:37 PM
If only Cameron were smart enough for this and to have out maneuvered the whole exit team, this is from the comment section in the Guardian reacting to the Brexit..

QuoteIf Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.

Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.

With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.

How?

Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor.

And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legislation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.

The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.

The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50?

Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?

Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-manoeuvred and check-mated.

If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act.

The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.

When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.

All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 28, 2016, 12:42:42 AM
Boris has told the British public that all is great sterling and the markets have stabilised. What does this guy smoke. I really hope the Tories elect this guy as leader he will tear the place apart. Comical Ali wouldn't have a look in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on June 28, 2016, 12:59:20 AM
Roy Hodgson also thought there was no sterling crisis and look what happened to him
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 28, 2016, 02:13:12 AM
 in new York today a guy was telling me about the Brexit 4% swing.

His theory is that the leave campaign attracted 4% more of the people with an IQ over 100  than remain were able to capture of those scoring under 100.

His English boss said "wait I voted leave"

"Yo, see what I mean" said brass neck...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 05:11:11 AM
Losing the triple A rating is serious. I remember reading an article by Ian Jack a while ago. He was always wondering when the UK would run out of luck. I think it just has. The old Etonians have blown up the Tory Party. It is different to what happened to the Republican party but in the big picture it is the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:36:34 AM
The FT is reporting a surge in demand for Irish passports . A lot from Unionists. If the UK does leave the passport is the key to a lot of benefits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on June 28, 2016, 07:05:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:36:34 AM
The FT is reporting a surge in demand for Irish passports . A lot from Unionists. If the UK does leave the passport is the key to a lot of benefits.
You're about four days late with that headline...the Belfast Telegraph reported it on Friday.
Ian Paisley Jr was encouraging people to get one!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 09:34:25 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on June 27, 2016, 10:56:27 PM
No real big noise by the leave side to hurry up the process and get out.......is anyone else smellin a big stinky rat

There will be another referendum, this time multiple choice:
1. Remain,
2. Leave and become a member of the EEA continuing to allow free movement and paying in
3. Leave and take WTO terms (limited access & tariffs).
By that stage both Labour & Tories will have torn themselves apart.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: longballin on June 28, 2016, 09:41:58 AM
Quote from: Rois on June 28, 2016, 07:05:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:36:34 AM
The FT is reporting a surge in demand for Irish passports . A lot from Unionists. If the UK does leave the passport is the key to a lot of benefits.
You're about four days late with that headline...the Belfast Telegraph reported it on Friday.
Ian Paisley Jr was encouraging people to get one!

The most nausiating part of this whole debacle... total hypocracy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 09:59:42 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 09:34:25 AM
There will be another referendum, this time multiple choice:
1. Remain,
2. Leave and become a member of the EEA continuing to allow free movement and paying in
3. Leave and take WTO terms (limited access & tariffs).
By that stage both Labour & Tories will have torn themselves apart.

The problem with 1) is that once you initiate Article 50 it may no longer be available and you have to start the process to actually calculate 2). So it might be just 2) and 3). In this case of course 2) would pass by a substantial margin, but a lot of people would still be pissed off. The EU would then have got rid of the hassle of dealing with the UK from the policy end, but would still keep most of the money. You might as well just stay in altogether.

The whole thing is a monumental mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on June 28, 2016, 11:21:48 AM
Quote from: longballin on June 28, 2016, 09:41:58 AM
Quote from: Rois on June 28, 2016, 07:05:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:36:34 AM
The FT is reporting a surge in demand for Irish passports . A lot from Unionists. If the UK does leave the passport is the key to a lot of benefits.
You're about four days late with that headline...the Belfast Telegraph reported it on Friday.
Ian Paisley Jr was encouraging people to get one!

The most nausiating part of this whole debacle... total hypocracy

I don't find it nauseating in the slightest. There's a difference between carrying a passport and nationality. If Billy Beggs the Brexit supporting monarchist from Ballymena wants an Irish passport, he's entitled to one as long as he stumps up the cash like everyone else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 11:22:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 09:59:42 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 09:34:25 AM
There will be another referendum, this time multiple choice:
1. Remain,
2. Leave and become a member of the EEA continuing to allow free movement and paying in
3. Leave and take WTO terms (limited access & tariffs).
By that stage both Labour & Tories will have torn themselves apart.

The problem with 1) is that once you initiate Article 50 it may no longer be available and you have to start the process to actually calculate 2). So it might be just 2) and 3). In this case of course 2) would pass by a substantial margin, but a lot of people would still be pissed off. The EU would then have got rid of the hassle of dealing with the UK from the policy end, but would still keep most of the money. You might as well just stay in altogether.

The whole thing is a monumental mess.

Once Article 50 is initiated option 1 is no longer available. I think this is why UK is looking informal talks to be able to present the options before pulling the trigger. Italy, France and Germany have denied that option and Farages behaviour this morning will do nothing to improve the image of Brits abroad. This leaves the Tories with the frying pan (stay in and get burned at he next election) or the fire (watch the economy go up in smoke).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on June 28, 2016, 11:30:30 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 11:22:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 09:59:42 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 09:34:25 AM
There will be another referendum, this time multiple choice:
1. Remain,
2. Leave and become a member of the EEA continuing to allow free movement and paying in
3. Leave and take WTO terms (limited access & tariffs).
By that stage both Labour & Tories will have torn themselves apart.

The problem with 1) is that once you initiate Article 50 it may no longer be available and you have to start the process to actually calculate 2). So it might be just 2) and 3). In this case of course 2) would pass by a substantial margin, but a lot of people would still be pissed off. The EU would then have got rid of the hassle of dealing with the UK from the policy end, but would still keep most of the money. You might as well just stay in altogether.

The whole thing is a monumental mess.

Once Article 50 is initiated option 1 is no longer available. I think this is why UK is looking informal talks to be able to present the options before pulling the trigger. Italy, France and Germany have denied that option and Farages behaviour this morning will do nothing to improve the image of Brits abroad. This leaves the Tories with the frying pan (stay in and get burned at he next election) or the fire (watch the economy go up in smoke).

A lot of these political commentators reckon Merkels and Co will go to town on the UK to make an example to the rest of the EU states with sizeable anti EU elements that leaving is going to be a painful experience.
I'm not sure the likes of the German car industry would be supportive though as I'm sure they'd still want to trade reasonably easily with the UK.

Boris is full of shit and has been found out, they're laughing at him and his comments on the pound holding up and I don't think Boris wants that poison chalice, but he's in too deep now to retreat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 28, 2016, 11:38:29 AM
He who wields the dagger never wears the crown.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:40:14 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 28, 2016, 11:38:29 AM
He who wields the dagger never wears the crown.

Did a famous Dub not change it to something about smoke and daggers?  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on June 28, 2016, 11:45:59 AM
Is it just me or have the principle players in the official leave camp completely disappeared off the scene. They were quick to jump up and down last week and dismiss "Project Fear" but I haven't seen much sight nor sound of them since. What's their plans now they have dragged the electorate into this mess?

Not much noise from our great leader "Arlene" either. About time she started to lay out her plans for this place. Not that she or the DUP have a plan. They are quick to pick and chose which democratic decisions they want to accept. There wasn't much acceptance from the DUP regarding the decision to remove the union flag at city hall. Or the fact that the rest of the UK has marriage equality but they can't accept this in our wee country. Their brazen hypocrisy never ceases to amaze, time and time again.

On a slightly different note:

(https://files.slack.com/files-pri/T06GGD0AZ-F1LTMEJB1/img_0392.jpg)

:) :) :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:53:27 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on June 28, 2016, 11:45:59 AM
Is it just me or have the principle players in the official leave camp completely disappeared off the scene. They were quick to jump up and down last week and dismiss "Project Fear" but I haven't seen much sight nor sound of them since. What's their plans now they have dragged the electorate into this mess?

Not much noise from our great leader "Arlene" either. About time she started to lay out her plans for this place. Not that she or the DUP have a plan. They are quick to pick and chose which democratic decisions they want to accept. There wasn't much acceptance from the DUP regarding the decision to remove the union flag at city hall. Or the fact that the rest of the UK has marriage equality but they can't accept this in our wee country. Their brazen hypocrisy never ceases to amaze, time and time again.

On a slightly different note:

(https://files.slack.com/files-pri/T06GGD0AZ-F1LTMEJB1/img_0392.jpg)

:) :) :)

It is definitely not just you.

It reminds me of a schoolboy prank, where no one can quite believe they did it, and then they all leg it.


(http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2015/11/11/15/2E541D4600000578-0-image-m-51_1447256355162.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:57:58 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
No fcukin choice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:00:18 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:57:58 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
No fcukin choice.

It would be seen as way beyond treasonous. They would rather all live in a slurry pit, awarding each other medals for bravery, than go begging to the Germans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 12:22:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:00:18 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:57:58 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
No fcukin choice.

It would be seen as way beyond treasonous. They would rather all live in a slurry pit, awarding each other medals for bravery, than go begging to the Germans.

This is yet another case of the top 1%ers using the bottom 10%ers to get their way. An internal Tory schism has now led to this whole sorry debacle. Cameron has to take the blame for the gamble, but Jeremy Corbyn has acted shamefully throughout this and now hasnt even got the good grace to aside and let the labour party get a leader who would make them even electable again.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 12:23:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:00:18 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:57:58 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
No fcukin choice.

It would be seen as way beyond treasonous. They would rather all live in a slurry pit, awarding each other medals for bravery, than go begging to the Germans.
After Hitler killed himself Goering went to the Americans and offered to lead a transitional government that would fight the Soviets with the Yanks . Power is strange. If the City wants Remain it will happen. The Sun can sell the deal to the plebs with more tits if necessary.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on June 28, 2016, 12:27:51 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:53:27 AM


It is definitely not just you.

It reminds me of a schoolboy prank, where no one can quite believe they did it, and then they all leg it.


Some leaders. Age old story, when the shite hits the fan, run.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 12:30:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 09:59:42 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 09:34:25 AM
There will be another referendum, this time multiple choice:
1. Remain,
2. Leave and become a member of the EEA continuing to allow free movement and paying in
3. Leave and take WTO terms (limited access & tariffs).
By that stage both Labour & Tories will have torn themselves apart.

The problem with 1) is that once you initiate Article 50 it may no longer be available and you have to start the process to actually calculate 2). So it might be just 2) and 3). In this case of course 2) would pass by a substantial margin, but a lot of people would still be pissed off. The EU would then have got rid of the hassle of dealing with the UK from the policy end, but would still keep most of the money. You might as well just stay in altogether.

The whole thing is a monumental mess.
It really is. Unionism sailed on blithely through WW2 and 30 years of violence but Brexit is existential.
SnP downgraded the UK because of the politics. I think the Tory party is going through a process similar to that of the Republican party.  Ultimately the voters are sick of the leadership..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:32:16 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 12:22:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:00:18 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:57:58 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
No fcukin choice.

It would be seen as way beyond treasonous. They would rather all live in a slurry pit, awarding each other medals for bravery, than go begging to the Germans.

This is yet another case of the top 1%ers using the bottom 10%ers to get their way. An internal Tory schism has now led to this whole sorry debacle. Cameron has to take the blame for the gamble, but Jeremy Corbyn has acted shamefully throughout this and now hasnt even got the good grace to aside and let the labour party get a leader who would make them even electable again.

In my experience Britain is the most class based society in the West. The bottom 10% of English won't even bother to try to get into the 10% above them. They will always bow to them. What they will all do, though, is see themselves as being a class above the rest of the world, no matter what nationality.

The polls were wrong about the GE and wrong about the Referendum because they ignored this undercurrent of English supremacy, which has its roots at the top but extends right through the country. The history of the Empire, WW1 and WW2, and all of the glorious remembrances and ceremonies that go with it, fuel this sense of superiority.

I am concerned about the casual racism that is appearing in the last few days. Because of social media it could just be a few isolated incidents going viral, or it could be the start of something far more sinister. Hopefully not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 28, 2016, 12:53:17 PM
The only politicians who have any idea what they are doing or what they want are the SNP and the Scottish Government.
Their line of " we want to stay in the EU" is brilliant.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mac2 on June 28, 2016, 12:58:47 PM
Ironic those signs of 'No more Polish vermin' the very pilots that saved their sorry ass during the Battle of Britain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:59:19 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/)

...London's mayor says the city should move for more autonomy after a majority of Londoners voted against Britain's exit from the European Union.

"We face a long and difficult summer with a lame duck government drawn from a deeply divided party. Ironically, the speed of our exit from the EU looks likely to be decided in Brussels, Paris, and Berlin rather than in London"....


..."In the four days since the referendum around a 175,000 Londoners have signed a petition calling for London to become an independent city-state....



The UK is in serious trouble and the brilliant thing is that the DUP campaigned for it.  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:01:57 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 28, 2016, 12:53:17 PM
The only politicians who have any idea what they are doing or what they want are the SNP and the Scottish Government.
Their line of " we want to stay in the EU" is brilliant.
Dead right. No government, no opposition and no clue how to deal with Brexit.
I wish Thatcher could see it.
It is amazing how quickly things change. 6 years ago London traders were taunting Brian Lenihan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:04:15 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:59:19 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/)

...London's mayor says the city should move for more autonomy after a majority of Londoners voted against Britain's exit from the European Union.

"We face a long and difficult summer with a lame duck government drawn from a deeply divided party. Ironically, the speed of our exit from the EU looks likely to be decided in Brussels, Paris, and Berlin rather than in London"....


..."In the four days since the referendum around a 175,000 Londoners have signed a petition calling for London to become an independent city-state....



The UK is in serious trouble and the brilliant thing is that the DUP campaigned for it.  ;D
More autonomy for London is very bad news for NI. More autonomy means less in transfers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: MoChara on June 28, 2016, 01:11:52 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 12:22:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:00:18 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:57:58 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
No fcukin choice.

It would be seen as way beyond treasonous. They would rather all live in a slurry pit, awarding each other medals for bravery, than go begging to the Germans.

This is yet another case of the top 1%ers using the bottom 10%ers to get their way. An internal Tory schism has now led to this whole sorry debacle. Cameron has to take the blame for the gamble, but Jeremy Corbyn has acted shamefully throughout this and now hasnt even got the good grace to aside and let the labour party get a leader who would make them even electable again.

Jeremy Corbyn is the only hope for Labour being electable, and as far as I can see it's the careerist Blairites that are acting shamefully and using any opportunity to get rid of someone with actual Labour values, the problem with Labour for so long was it was indistinguishable from the Tories and thats what these people seek a return too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 01:15:18 PM
Quote from: MoChara on June 28, 2016, 01:11:52 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 12:22:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:00:18 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:57:58 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
No fcukin choice.

It would be seen as way beyond treasonous. They would rather all live in a slurry pit, awarding each other medals for bravery, than go begging to the Germans.

This is yet another case of the top 1%ers using the bottom 10%ers to get their way. An internal Tory schism has now led to this whole sorry debacle. Cameron has to take the blame for the gamble, but Jeremy Corbyn has acted shamefully throughout this and now hasnt even got the good grace to aside and let the labour party get a leader who would make them even electable again.

Jeremy Corbyn is the only hope for Labour being electable, and as far as I can see it's the careerist Blairites that are acting shamefully and using any opportunity to get rid of someone with actual Labour values, the problem with Labour for so long was it was indistinguishable from the Tories and thats what these people seek a return too.

I think we have moved on from believing that any politician has 'values'. They only value themselves and the system that supports them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on June 28, 2016, 01:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 12:23:49 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:00:18 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:57:58 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 11:56:56 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 28, 2016, 11:45:29 AM
Total brexit won't happen. Merkel et al are talking tough for now. The reality is that the UK can not be forced to invoke article 50. What will quite likely happen is negotiations leading to a brexitlite which will be in effect no brexit at all. I voted remain for a number of reasons, most important to me was the Irish border. I have some sympathy with those who fear immigration at current levels and I don't want a European Superstate.

That would be a humiliation for Britain. Can anyone seriously see the Tories going cap in hand to the Germans & French and saying 'we didn't really mean it, can we sleep in the shed'?
No fcukin choice.

It would be seen as way beyond treasonous. They would rather all live in a slurry pit, awarding each other medals for bravery, than go begging to the Germans.
After Hitler killed himself Goering went to the Americans and offered to lead a transitional government that would fight the Soviets with the Yanks . Power is strange. If the City wants Remain it will happen. The Sun can sell the deal to the plebs with more tits if necessary.

Rule 1.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 28, 2016, 01:33:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.

This disconnect was seen as a big reason for a lot of Leave voters, I know many will be classed as racist and xenophobic but there where many interviewed who saw it as a chance for a big fcuk you to the political class.

Big problems obviously for Labour as most of the areas in the north and northeast of England that voted overwhelmingly to leave are seen as Labour heartlands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 01:33:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.

This disconnect was seen as a big reason for a lot of Leave voters, I know many will be classed as racist and xenophobic but there where many interviewed who saw it as a chance for a big fcuk you to the political class.

Big problems obviously for Labour as most of the areas in the north and northeast of England that voted overwhelmingly to leave are seen as Labour heartlands.

Simply because the Labour vote didnt know which way the party was on the issue was it in or out.

Do you think Tony Blair (using as an example not an endorsement) would have lost this kind of referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 01:40:56 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 01:36:43 PM
Simply because the Labour vote didnt know which way the party was on the issue was it in or out.


Jo Cox's constituency voted Leave, Labour have a problem on this issue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 01:47:20 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 01:33:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.

This disconnect was seen as a big reason for a lot of Leave voters, I know many will be classed as racist and xenophobic but there where many interviewed who saw it as a chance for a big fcuk you to the political class.

Big problems obviously for Labour as most of the areas in the north and northeast of England that voted overwhelmingly to leave are seen as Labour heartlands.

Haven't we been here before in Germany?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 01:52:24 PM
http://www.alastaircampbell.org/blog/2016/06/28/a-national-catastrophe-and-a-vacuum-in-leadership-this-is-what-we-voted-for/ (http://www.alastaircampbell.org/blog/2016/06/28/a-national-catastrophe-and-a-vacuum-in-leadership-this-is-what-we-voted-for/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 01:59:29 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 01:47:20 PM
Haven't we been here before in Germany?

Well the North-East of Germany voted for Hitler.
It is now part of Russia, with the rest in Poland.

Do they regret? Has the DUP looked at this?
(http://brilliantmaps.com/wp-content/uploads/1933-German-Elections.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:01:47 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 01:33:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.

This disconnect was seen as a big reason for a lot of Leave voters, I know many will be classed as racist and xenophobic but there where many interviewed who saw it as a chance for a big fcuk you to the political class.

Big problems obviously for Labour as most of the areas in the north and northeast of England that voted overwhelmingly to leave are seen as Labour heartlands.

Simply because the Labour vote didnt know which way the party was on the issue was it in or out.

Do you think Tony Blair (using as an example not an endorsement) would have lost this kind of referendum?

I don't agree, surely they would have voted for the status quo then, and Corbyn was in the Remain camp (for what's it was worth)

People where not voting for a political party (obviously)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 02:07:34 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 01:52:24 PM
http://www.alastaircampbell.org/blog/2016/06/28/a-national-catastrophe-and-a-vacuum-in-leadership-this-is-what-we-voted-for/ (http://www.alastaircampbell.org/blog/2016/06/28/a-national-catastrophe-and-a-vacuum-in-leadership-this-is-what-we-voted-for/)

Not a massive fan of AC, but he has written a good article there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 02:09:40 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:01:47 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 01:33:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.

This disconnect was seen as a big reason for a lot of Leave voters, I know many will be classed as racist and xenophobic but there where many interviewed who saw it as a chance for a big fcuk you to the political class.

Big problems obviously for Labour as most of the areas in the north and northeast of England that voted overwhelmingly to leave are seen as Labour heartlands.

Simply because the Labour vote didnt know which way the party was on the issue was it in or out.

Do you think Tony Blair (using as an example not an endorsement) would have lost this kind of referendum?

I don't agree, surely they would have voted for the status quo then, and Corbyn was in the Remain camp (for what's it was worth)

People where not voting for a political party (obviously)

That is not very clear. He has been asked how he voted and won't answer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 02:22:40 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 02:09:40 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:01:47 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 01:33:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.

This disconnect was seen as a big reason for a lot of Leave voters, I know many will be classed as racist and xenophobic but there where many interviewed who saw it as a chance for a big fcuk you to the political class.

Big problems obviously for Labour as most of the areas in the north and northeast of England that voted overwhelmingly to leave are seen as Labour heartlands.

Simply because the Labour vote didnt know which way the party was on the issue was it in or out.

Do you think Tony Blair (using as an example not an endorsement) would have lost this kind of referendum?

I don't agree, surely they would have voted for the status quo then, and Corbyn was in the Remain camp (for what's it was worth)

People where not voting for a political party (obviously)

That is not very clear. He has been asked how he voted and won't answer.

He was in the Remain campaign and wouldnt campaign for it, wouldnt give a straight answer when pushed on the reasons to remain. He was totally ambiguous throughout and left on the fence Labour voters wondering what way to go.

Was asked for strategy meetings in the lead up to the vote and gave dates in July as a response.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:23:32 PM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36430606

I don't think Corbyns stance on it had any bearing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 02:28:15 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:23:32 PM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36430606

I don't think Corbyns stance on it had any bearing

"Mr Corbyn said the Labour message was "loud and clear", that the Conservative Party was a bigger threat to the country than the European Union was, and that whether on workers' rights, the environment, or renewable energy, Britain can achieve more progressive policies working with other countries in the EU than alone.
But as part of his "Remain and Reform" agenda, the Labour leader listed almost as many downsides with the EU as positives."


He was throwing these types of mixed signals out in nearly every interview I saw with him on this issue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:32:17 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 02:28:15 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:23:32 PM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36430606

I don't think Corbyns stance on it had any bearing

"Mr Corbyn said the Labour message was "loud and clear", that the Conservative Party was a bigger threat to the country than the European Union was, and that whether on workers' rights, the environment, or renewable energy, Britain can achieve more progressive policies working with other countries in the EU than alone.
But as part of his "Remain and Reform" agenda, the Labour leader listed almost as many downsides with the EU as positives."


He was throwing these types of mixed signals out in nearly every interview I saw with him on this issue.


I don't think it made any difference.

This is an article from before the vote, the response Labour where getting in their own backyard

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/14/brexit-will-hurt-your-city-labour-tells-core-voters-but-no-ones-listening
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 28, 2016, 02:40:00 PM
Some very disturbing tweets regarding an increase in racism across the UK since last Friday.

The video in a Manchester tram is particularly nasty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 02:48:27 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 28, 2016, 02:40:00 PM
Some very disturbing tweets regarding an increase in racism across the UK since last Friday.

The video in a Manchester tram is particularly nasty.

The leadership vacuum makes this a particularly dangerous time. The risk is that someone or some group with a liking for violence quickly emerges and takes the immigrant issue into their own hands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 02:57:36 PM
http://liveblog.irishtimes.com/ca62d79959/LIVE-EU-summit/#utm_sguid=167447,e828d19c-f8e6-107e-ce9e-006d35aea4e2 (http://liveblog.irishtimes.com/ca62d79959/LIVE-EU-summit/#utm_sguid=167447,e828d19c-f8e6-107e-ce9e-006d35aea4e2)

After a debate between Parliament's political group leaders, EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and Dutch minister Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, representing the EU Council's rotating presidency, Parliament voted a resolution on ways forward after the UK referendum on June 23rd. The text was approved by 395 to 200, with 71 abstentions.

The resolution called on the UK government to respect its people's democratic decision via a swift and coherent implementation of the withdrawal procedure, i.e. by activating Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union so as to allow withdrawal negotiations to start as soon as possible.

"To prevent damaging uncertainty for everyone and to protect the Union's integrity, the UK Prime Minister should notify the outcome of the referendum to the European Council of 28-29 June in order to as soon as possible launch the withdrawal procedure (5) and negotiations, urge MEPs.," it said.


MEPs recall that the European Parliament's consent for the withdrawal agreement and any future relationship (8) is required under the Treaties, and that it must be fully involved at all stages of the various procedures.

The Parliament also called on the European Council to change the order of its presidencies to prevent the withdrawal process from jeopardising the management of the day-to-day business of the Union. The UK was set to take on the presidency in the second half of 2017. (15) Parliament will also change its internal organisation to reflect UK citizens' will to withdraw from the EU (13).

The current challenges demand reform to make the Union "better and more democratic", and to "deliver what citizens expect", MEPs insist. "While some Member States may choose to integrate more slowly or to a lesser extent, the core of the EU must be reinforced and à la carte solutions should be avoided" , says the text of the resolution.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 03:42:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:04:15 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:59:19 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/)

...London's mayor says the city should move for more autonomy after a majority of Londoners voted against Britain's exit from the European Union.

"We face a long and difficult summer with a lame duck government drawn from a deeply divided party. Ironically, the speed of our exit from the EU looks likely to be decided in Brussels, Paris, and Berlin rather than in London"....


..."In the four days since the referendum around a 175,000 Londoners have signed a petition calling for London to become an independent city-state....



The UK is in serious trouble and the brilliant thing is that the DUP campaigned for it.  ;D
More autonomy for London is very bad news for NI. More autonomy means less in transfers.
Not just NI. Wales and large parts of the Midlands and North of England could not carry their own weight if the City had its own tax raising and spending popwers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 03:44:28 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 28, 2016, 03:42:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:04:15 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 12:59:19 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0628/798632-uk-brexit-politics/)

...London's mayor says the city should move for more autonomy after a majority of Londoners voted against Britain's exit from the European Union.

"We face a long and difficult summer with a lame duck government drawn from a deeply divided party. Ironically, the speed of our exit from the EU looks likely to be decided in Brussels, Paris, and Berlin rather than in London"....


..."In the four days since the referendum around a 175,000 Londoners have signed a petition calling for London to become an independent city-state....



The UK is in serious trouble and the brilliant thing is that the DUP campaigned for it.  ;D
More autonomy for London is very bad news for NI. More autonomy means less in transfers.
Not just NI. Wales and large parts of the Midlands and North of England could not carry their own weight if the City had its own tax raising and spending popwers.

Instead of demanding a border poll that will not happen at this time, SF should be offering their assistance to any more plans Arlene Foster has for the dismantling of the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 28, 2016, 03:52:01 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 02:09:40 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:01:47 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 01:33:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.

This disconnect was seen as a big reason for a lot of Leave voters, I know many will be classed as racist and xenophobic but there where many interviewed who saw it as a chance for a big fcuk you to the political class.

Big problems obviously for Labour as most of the areas in the north and northeast of England that voted overwhelmingly to leave are seen as Labour heartlands.

Simply because the Labour vote didnt know which way the party was on the issue was it in or out.

Do you think Tony Blair (using as an example not an endorsement) would have lost this kind of referendum?

I don't agree, surely they would have voted for the status quo then, and Corbyn was in the Remain camp (for what's it was worth)

People where not voting for a political party (obviously)

That is not very clear. He has been asked how he voted and won't answer.

He tweeted on the morning of the Referendum voting that he voted Remain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 04:02:07 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 03:52:01 PM
Quote from: muppet on June 28, 2016, 02:09:40 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 02:01:47 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 28, 2016, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 28, 2016, 01:33:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 01:25:29 PM
One of the big problems in the UK is the gap between professional politicians and the real world of the voters.  Miliband was the epitome of this. Pro politicians have a big Groupthink problem when there is no growth. The UK is in serious shit with food banks and zero hours contracts alongside a London housing bubble via QE.

This disconnect was seen as a big reason for a lot of Leave voters, I know many will be classed as racist and xenophobic but there where many interviewed who saw it as a chance for a big fcuk you to the political class.

Big problems obviously for Labour as most of the areas in the north and northeast of England that voted overwhelmingly to leave are seen as Labour heartlands.

Simply because the Labour vote didnt know which way the party was on the issue was it in or out.

Do you think Tony Blair (using as an example not an endorsement) would have lost this kind of referendum?

I don't agree, surely they would have voted for the status quo then, and Corbyn was in the Remain camp (for what's it was worth)

People where not voting for a political party (obviously)

That is not very clear. He has been asked how he voted and won't answer.

He tweeted on the morning of the Referendum voting that he voted Remain

a) It is extremely unlikely that he writes much of his tweets.
b) http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/chris-byrant-claims-jeremy-corbyn-may-have-voted-leave-a7105306.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/chris-byrant-claims-jeremy-corbyn-may-have-voted-leave-a7105306.html)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 28, 2016, 04:36:38 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 28, 2016, 04:34:07 PM
Corbyn loses no confidence vote 172-40.  There'll now be a Labour leadership election (which he'll probably win!)

THE SKY IS FALLING THE SKY IS FALLING!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on June 28, 2016, 04:42:40 PM
https://audioboom.com/boos/4751336-dup-s-gregory-campbell-grilled-on-vote-leave-s-50m-a-day-nhs-claim?utm_campaign=detailpage&utm_content=retweet&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook (https://audioboom.com/boos/4751336-dup-s-gregory-campbell-grilled-on-vote-leave-s-50m-a-day-nhs-claim?utm_campaign=detailpage&utm_content=retweet&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook)

I haven't much time for Nolan but at least he put it up to Campbell here the lying b@stard.
This interview just sums him and the DUP up in a nutshell.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 05:05:28 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 28, 2016, 04:36:38 PM
Quote from: AQMP on June 28, 2016, 04:34:07 PM
Corbyn loses no confidence vote 172-40.  There'll now be a Labour leadership election (which he'll probably win!)

THE SKY IS FALLING THE SKY IS FALLING!!!

And he is refusing to resign.

Imbecile.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 28, 2016, 05:15:24 PM
Any chance David Milliband can come back and save the labour party??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 05:17:33 PM
There was a suggestion  that Milliband would be nominated  for Jo Cox's vacant seat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 28, 2016, 05:29:15 PM
Jeez, now that would throw the cat amongst the pigeons if he came back. I think I read his job in NY is coming close to an end.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 28, 2016, 05:34:14 PM
I was thinking Milliband is their best hope of salvation myself. I checked the betting for next labour leader on Sunday and today it is unrecognisable from that. According to Oddschecker Watson & Angela Eagle joint favs, Dan Jarvis next. Yvette Cooper was 6/1 on Sunday and now available at 25s. Sadik Khan obviously has future ambitions but if Corbyn gets back in as seems unbelievably possible there Mightn't be a credible Labour party left when gets back to Westminster.

Corbyn's ideological stances are all fine & dandy but he's a pathetic leader and the public at large aren't buying what he's selling, unelectable. He will be the death of the Labour party if he gets back in. The Tories are so vulnerable  at the minute a General Election should be a gift for Labour (& and a chance for a Liberal recovery).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on June 28, 2016, 06:06:35 PM
Quote from: blewuporstuffed on June 28, 2016, 04:42:40 PM
https://audioboom.com/boos/4751336-dup-s-gregory-campbell-grilled-on-vote-leave-s-50m-a-day-nhs-claim?utm_campaign=detailpage&utm_content=retweet&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook (https://audioboom.com/boos/4751336-dup-s-gregory-campbell-grilled-on-vote-leave-s-50m-a-day-nhs-claim?utm_campaign=detailpage&utm_content=retweet&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook)

I haven't much time for Nolan but at least he put it up to Campbell here the lying b@stard.
This interview just sums him and the DUP up in a nutshell.

he's called 'Fleg'gory Campbell on the LAD Facebook page  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:09:51 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 28, 2016, 05:15:24 PM
Any chance David Milliband can come back and save the labour party??
Blairite neoliberal. They need someone to take on the neoliberals
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 28, 2016, 06:15:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:09:51 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 28, 2016, 05:15:24 PM
Any chance David Milliband can come back and save the labour party??
Blairite neoliberal. They need someone to take on the neoliberals
Not if their plan is to regain power. The current strategy / leadership is Electoral suicide.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:24:36 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 28, 2016, 06:15:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:09:51 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 28, 2016, 05:15:24 PM
Any chance David Milliband can come back and save the labour party??
Blairite neoliberal. They need someone to take on the neoliberals
Not if their plan is to regain power. The current strategy / leadership is Electoral suicide.
the economic system drove at least half of the brexit vote.
Labour should campaign on a super tax of the richest 1%  to fund the north of England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 28, 2016, 06:26:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2016, 06:09:51 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 28, 2016, 05:15:24 PM
Any chance David Milliband can come back and save the labour party??
Blairite neoliberal. They need someone to take on the neoliberals

Do you get paid to use the word neoliberal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 28, 2016, 08:39:04 PM
He read it in the guardian once. It'ss fashionable to use.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 28, 2016, 09:21:57 PM
Whats the difference between a neolib and a neocon?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 10:05:15 PM
(http://www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/opinion/2016/06/27/ADAMS20160628-large_trans++qVzuuqpFlyLIwiB6NTmJwfSVWeZ_vEN7c6bHu2jJnT8.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 28, 2016, 11:49:08 PM
Spotlight is also looking at the Polish community in Belfast. These now have a motivation to get UK passports, which will let them vote. One imagines the DUP will not be first on their list. Paisley Jr claims on the programme that the "vast" majority of people in the UK wanted to leave. While that oul cnut Trimble said that things would be just like before 1972 and how that would be fine. Of course they were only moderately tolerable owing to the Anglo-Irish Free Trade Area Agreement of 1965.

So the good old days were like this
(https://s32.postimg.org/j7o8m5mwl/customs_pass.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on June 29, 2016, 12:07:11 AM
Spotlight was indeed interesting. I would think the DUP are shitting the togs behind closed doors especially when it comes to Scotland's next move.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 29, 2016, 12:26:30 AM
Quote from: GJL on June 29, 2016, 12:07:11 AM
Spotlight was indeed interesting. I would think the DUP are shitting the togs behind closed doors especially when it comes to Scotland's next move.

Its really funny listening to Unionists so sure that the SNP won't demand another independence referendum and that there is no stomach for it. The reason the SNP exist is to create the circumstances for Scottish independence and won't pass up the opportunity that brexit has handed them.I cant wait to hear what they have to say for themselves in the event of a Scottish exit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 29, 2016, 12:34:13 AM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 29, 2016, 12:26:30 AM
Quote from: GJL on June 29, 2016, 12:07:11 AM
Spotlight was indeed interesting. I would think the DUP are shitting the togs behind closed doors especially when it comes to Scotland's next move.

Its really funny listening to Unionists so sure that the SNP won't demand another independence referendum and that there is no stomach for it. The reason the SNP exist is to create the circumstances for Scottish independence and won't pass up the opportunity that brexit has handed them.I cant wait to hear what they have to say for themselves in the event of a Scottish exit.

I don't see Scotland leaving the UK. But I see them staying in the EU. How that circle will be squared, I have no idea.

In my humble opinion, The Dáil, Nationalists and concerned others in the North should be seeking the same for the moment. I think SF's call for a border poll is very stupid. Another uncertain public vote is the last thing anyone wants at this time. But there could be genuine ground made by seeking a route to stay in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: SkillfulBill on June 29, 2016, 12:52:07 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 12:34:13 AM
Quote from: SkillfulBill on June 29, 2016, 12:26:30 AM
Quote from: GJL on June 29, 2016, 12:07:11 AM
Spotlight was indeed interesting. I would think the DUP are shitting the togs behind closed doors especially when it comes to Scotland's next move.

Its really funny listening to Unionists so sure that the SNP won't demand another independence referendum and that there is no stomach for it. The reason the SNP exist is to create the circumstances for Scottish independence and won't pass up the opportunity that brexit has handed them.I cant wait to hear what they have to say for themselves in the event of a Scottish exit.

I don't see Scotland leaving the UK. But I see them staying in the EU. How that circle will be squared, I have no idea.

In my humble opinion, The Dáil, Nationalists and concerned others in the North should be seeking the same for the moment. I think SF's call for a border poll is very stupid. Another uncertain public vote is the last thing anyone wants at this time. But there could be genuine ground made by seeking a route to stay in the EU.

I don't see the SF call for a border poll as a serious attempt to force one. They know very well that now is not the right time but they do see that brexit firms up nationalist opinion and as a republican party it is important to raise the question to put it up there as such. I do think Scotland will go if forced out of UK by what they see as an English vote. SF know that with Scotland out of the UK and westminsters need to look after the English regions NI will be on the hind hind hind tit. A new arrangement may be possible in Ireland when the very Union held by NI unionists no longer exists. I also think that the senior levels of SF (Gerry and Martin) will need to be out of the picture first.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on June 29, 2016, 06:01:31 AM
Interesting piece here from NPR on how technically the UK wasn't the first to leave the EEC/EU:

http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2016/06/28/483877464/britain-wont-be-the-first-to-leave-a-united-europe-guess-who-was?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=npr&utm_term=nprnews&utm_content=20160628 (http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2016/06/28/483877464/britain-wont-be-the-first-to-leave-a-united-europe-guess-who-was?utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=npr&utm_term=nprnews&utm_content=20160628)

Greenland got autonomy from Denmark and elected to leave the EEC. Apparently Algeria was technically in the EEC until they gained autonomy from France. So if a country can be part in - part out via autonomous regions, Scotland and NI might be okay yet. 

As for outright Scottish independence, I'd be interested in seeing the outcome of a referendum now. Brexit has changed things and moved a lot of floating voters into the Yes camp. Nicola Sturgeon continues to kick ass with her handling of everything, she's every inch a stateswoman and is putting those headless chickens Corbyn and Cameron to shame. Boris isn't even in the same league. The only banana skin I see for Scottish independence is a Spanish veto on an independent Scotland's accession to the EU. In fact the Spaniards might even refuse to recognise Scotland lest it encourage the Basques and Catalans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on June 29, 2016, 06:31:54 AM
I seen it mentioned somewhere that the Scots would be looking to take the place of the UK as in the Scots never leaving and RUK leaving, instead of the whole UK opting out and then the Scots rejoining so in that case I dont think the Spanish would even have a say.
Not sure on any of that really tho, how it would work with sovereignty etc dont think anyone really has a clue such is the vacuum and instability that are abound at the moment which makes all suggestions plausible.

My money is on a GE in November, hung parliament, then no one still having the balls to invoke article 50, another referendum, win for stay. God knows what the Scots will have done in that time tho.

Very strange times, for all my messin on this subject it actually was an incredibly stupid thing to do / allow to happen. After the fall of Empire and Nationalisation era Britain had regained its status as a bastion of stability and prosperity for the wealthy, that image is all gone now too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:46:27 AM
These events have hugely advanced the SNP cause, however it ends up. It has also exposed the dangerous state of the 6 counties,  entirely unable to articulate or assert its own interests.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 29, 2016, 10:41:19 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

She is doing OK in perfect circumstances for her, but here look around. Look at her competition in the leader stakes, Cameron, Boris, Corbyn and OWC Arlene. If a competent politician which she is couldnt look good amongst that lot then had best rethink their career choice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on June 29, 2016, 10:44:03 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

If you equate a royal flush to 'exactly what she didn't want' then yes, that's what she's got.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on June 29, 2016, 10:47:36 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 29, 2016, 10:41:19 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

She is doing OK in perfect circumstances for her, but here look around. Look at her competition in the leader stakes, Cameron, Boris, Corbyn and OWC Arlene. If a competent politician which she is couldnt look good amongst that lot then had best rethink their career choice.

Why are you having a go at Our wee Arnold sorry Arlene she has done more for a United Ireland in the last few weeks than Gerry has in 50 years
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 29, 2016, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.

Don't think that is true, I think parliament just vote on it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on June 29, 2016, 10:57:32 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 29, 2016, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.

Don't think that is true, I think parliament just vote on it.

Yes parliament have the final say on it. Canalman can correct me if I'm wrong but I took this to mean that parliament will not make a direct call on it and will put and exit treaty deal to the people to vote on in a new referendum.

Mind you if Article 50 is already invoked at that stage the clock is ticking. And at the end of two years the UK is out on it's arse whatever is agreed or not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 29, 2016, 10:58:33 AM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on June 29, 2016, 10:47:36 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 29, 2016, 10:41:19 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

She is doing OK in perfect circumstances for her, but here look around. Look at her competition in the leader stakes, Cameron, Boris, Corbyn and OWC Arlene. If a competent politician which she is couldnt look good amongst that lot then had best rethink their career choice.

Why are you having a go at Our wee Arnold sorry Arlene she has done more for a United Ireland in the last few weeks than Gerry has in 50 years

You're deluded if you think that. . . the conditions for a border poll are not yet met. Along with that there is still no guarantee that there is a Nationalist majority, there has been no road map set out as to how things would work were we to leave the UK and join Ireland,  along with that the Free State more than likely do not want the extra burden of Northern Ireland.

There are lot of things need to fall into place for a United Ireland to happen and as horrible as Arlene is I don't think she's advanced the cause any in the last few weeks. Sinn Fein are just posturing!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 11:04:57 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 29, 2016, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.

Don't think that is true, I think parliament just vote on it.

Maybe you're right. But if that was the case why did we have referendums ( sometimes twice) to pass other treaties in the past. Think there is something in our constitution that doesn't allow our parliament to  pass treaties on its own bat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on June 29, 2016, 11:13:06 AM
Quote from: screenexile on June 29, 2016, 10:58:33 AM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on June 29, 2016, 10:47:36 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on June 29, 2016, 10:41:19 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

She is doing OK in perfect circumstances for her, but here look around. Look at her competition in the leader stakes, Cameron, Boris, Corbyn and OWC Arlene. If a competent politician which she is couldnt look good amongst that lot then had best rethink their career choice.

Why are you having a go at Our wee Arnold sorry Arlene she has done more for a United Ireland in the last few weeks than Gerry has in 50 years

You're deluded if you think that. . . the conditions for a border poll are not yet met. Along with that there is still no guarantee that there is a Nationalist majority, there has been no road map set out as to how things would work were we to leave the UK and join Ireland,  along with that the Free State more than likely do not want the extra burden of Northern Ireland.

There are lot of things need to fall into place for a United Ireland to happen and as horrible as Arlene is I don't think she's advanced the cause any in the last few weeks. Sinn Fein are just posturing!

Thats the point the demographic time bomb is a hoax or certainly the last few elections would suggest so. The union is safe -hurray but if Brexit happens then we have a situation were some Unionists for numerous reasons will want to stay in the EU and may have no other option but to vote for the unthinkable. You can bet your life deep down Arlene and any other semi intelligent DUPer wanted to lose the referendum and that it was all really just a show for the core supporters but a win means they will have to actually deal with the consequences which could be profound
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 11:16:41 AM
Quote from: Franko on June 29, 2016, 10:44:03 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

If you equate a royal flush to 'exactly what she didn't want' then yes, that's what she's got.

Can you explain that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 29, 2016, 11:21:29 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 11:04:57 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 29, 2016, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.

Don't think that is true, I think parliament just vote on it.

Maybe you're right. But if that was the case why did we have referendums ( sometimes twice) to pass other treaties in the past. Think there is something in our constitution that doesn't allow our parliament to  pass treaties on its own bat.
Presumably the Brits just exiting isn't the issue.
If the EU is going for some free trade treaty with them I suspect we'll have to vote on it before the Government can ratify it.
All 27 Countries would have to ratify it.
Meanwhile our IDA should be looking at where various Companies exiting England could be accommodated.
Nissan to Strokestown please :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on June 29, 2016, 11:32:08 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 29, 2016, 11:21:29 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 11:04:57 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 29, 2016, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.

Don't think that is true, I think parliament just vote on it.

Maybe you're right. But if that was the case why did we have referendums ( sometimes twice) to pass other treaties in the past. Think there is something in our constitution that doesn't allow our parliament to  pass treaties on its own bat.
Presumably the Brits just exiting isn't the issue.
If the EU is going for some free trade treaty with them I suspect we'll have to vote on it before the Government can ratify it.
All 27 Countries would have to ratify it.
Meanwhile our IDA should be looking at where various Companies exiting England could be accommodated.
Nissan to Strokestown please :D

I think any new agreement doesnt need all 27 to agree more like 20. Still the more we read into this farce the more obstacles seem to appear pretty sure Brexit in the end wont actually happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 29, 2016, 11:36:37 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 29, 2016, 11:21:29 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 11:04:57 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 29, 2016, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.



Don't think that is true, I think parliament just vote on it.

Maybe you're right. But if that was the case why did we have referendums ( sometimes twice) to pass other treaties in the past. Think there is something in our constitution that doesn't allow our parliament to  pass treaties on its own bat.
Presumably the Brits just exiting isn't the issue.
If the EU is going for some free trade treaty with them I suspect we'll have to vote on it before the Government can ratify it.
All 27 Countries would have to ratify it.
Meanwhile our IDA should be looking at where various Companies exiting England could be accommodated.
Nissan to Strokestown please :D

This is already happening, a lot of the heavy hitting money houses have been informing staff that they are likely to moving a good part of their operations away from London. So that staff need to be prepared to move or their job will be going to someone else.

The thing that really gets me in this, that initially Cameron took the gamble not knowing the implications and Boris took this on to campaign to Leave not knowing the outcome. Both of these are 1%ers and either way I think will be just fine when it comes down to it, its the rest in the middle that will be squeezed and pay the price for this.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Billys Boots on June 29, 2016, 11:45:42 AM
I've just been told by my pension provider that I need to switch from a UK equities fund immediately. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 12:04:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 29, 2016, 11:21:29 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 11:04:57 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 29, 2016, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.

Don't think that is true, I think parliament just vote on it.

Maybe you're right. But if that was the case why did we have referendums ( sometimes twice) to pass other treaties in the past. Think there is something in our constitution that doesn't allow our parliament to  pass treaties on its own bat.
Presumably the Brits just exiting isn't the issue.

The Dáil will have to vote on it. But it isn't really something requiring a referendum, we didn't have a referendum when other countries joined the EU so why have one when they leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 29, 2016, 12:30:15 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

A referendum on Scottish Independence failed.
A referendum on Leaving the EU failed in Scotland.

The latter is the Royal Flush, not the former.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 29, 2016, 12:31:37 PM
No need for a referendum on them leaving.
A referendum would be for any new free trade type agreement with Britain/EnglandWales/ or whatever it might be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 29, 2016, 12:33:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 12:04:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 29, 2016, 11:21:29 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 11:04:57 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 29, 2016, 10:50:41 AM
Quote from: Canalman on June 29, 2016, 10:03:07 AM
Very surprised I haven't read or heard this already, but I think we will have to have a referendum to pass any exit treaty with the UK.

Surely a great bargaining position with our overlords in the EU. As bullish as they seem to be at the moment, I don't think they could hack losing another English speaking nation with a potential to form another trading bloc in Europe.

Don't think that is true, I think parliament just vote on it.

Maybe you're right. But if that was the case why did we have referendums ( sometimes twice) to pass other treaties in the past. Think there is something in our constitution that doesn't allow our parliament to  pass treaties on its own bat.
Presumably the Brits just exiting isn't the issue.

The Dáil will have to vote on it. But it isn't really something requiring a referendum, we didn't have a referendum when other countries joined the EU so why have one when they leave.
There was a referendum on the Lisbon treaty as it was ceding some control of Irish destiny. It was the treaty which removed the requirement for unanimous agreement (Ireland could veto EU legislation) to a qualified majority (Ireland would have no say if sufficient other members approved) across a number of policy areas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 29, 2016, 12:34:29 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 29, 2016, 12:31:37 PM
No need for a referendum on them leaving.
A referendum would be for any new free trade type agreement with Britain/EnglandWales/ or whatever it might be.
A referendum would not be required, only Government approval. Just as there has not been a referendum on every piece of EU legislation enacted this past 40 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 12:49:57 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 29, 2016, 12:31:37 PM
No need for a referendum on them leaving.
A referendum would be for any new free trade type agreement with Britain/EnglandWales/ or whatever it might be.

No need for a referendum here either. In fact, one would not be desirable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on June 29, 2016, 01:45:00 PM
Our "divine" leader Arlene hailed the great opportunities Brexit offered but I haven't heard her even give a hint as to what these opportunities might be, never mind explain any of them in any level of detail.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on June 29, 2016, 01:46:41 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CmHnxy9WIAAIj2L.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on June 29, 2016, 02:01:14 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 11:16:41 AM
Quote from: Franko on June 29, 2016, 10:44:03 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

If you equate a royal flush to 'exactly what she didn't want' then yes, that's what she's got.

Can you explain that?

Her and her party were among the most vociferous campaigners for a Remain vote.  That was the main aim for Scotland and the SNP.  They got a leave vote.

The political circumstances since and the relative votes of the constituent countries have conspired to put the issue of Scottish independence back on the table, which is a side benefit for the SNP.

She has come out of this as the only leader who;

a. convinced her people to vote (overwhelmingly) as she wanted

and

b. is making positive strides in the aftermath to give her people what they have clearly said they want.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 29, 2016, 02:16:09 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on June 29, 2016, 01:45:00 PM
Our "divine" leader Arlene hailed the great opportunities Brexit offered but I haven't heard her even give a hint as to what these opportunities might be, never mind explain any of them in any level of detail.

They are more or less a cult, she was more concerned about tweeting and bumming about owc soccer during the Euros than studying the issue of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 29, 2016, 02:59:47 PM
Pardon my language but how is that tr**p Villiers allowed to remain, and worse act as a voice for the people of the north after we clearly voted to stay in the EU!!

Surely in her position, as secretary of a tinderbox of a place she should have kept quiet regarding the referendum knowing the potential consequences!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 03:00:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 29, 2016, 02:01:14 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 11:16:41 AM
Quote from: Franko on June 29, 2016, 10:44:03 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on June 29, 2016, 10:35:14 AM
Quote from: muppet on June 29, 2016, 07:23:54 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 06:25:43 AM
Sturgeon is doing a great job.  Scotland's problem is the usual one of balancing the books, but also the problem that if England isn't  closely aligned then you'd have customs etc in Britain.  Interesting times, indeed.

She is playing a blinder.

However, she needs to be careful not to overplay her hand.

She has a massive mandate to stay in the EU, not for independence. If she keeps to the former I think she can succeed. If she gambles and seeks a vote for the latter, she could blow it completely a lá Cameron.

How is she playing a blinder exactly? She's been dealt a royal flush.

If you equate a royal flush to 'exactly what she didn't want' then yes, that's what she's got.

Can you explain that?

Her and her party were among the most vociferous campaigners for a Remain vote.  That was the main aim for Scotland and the SNP.  They got a leave vote.

The political circumstances since and the relative votes of the constituent countries have conspired to put the issue of Scottish independence back on the table, which is a side benefit for the SNP.

She has come out of this as the only leader who;

a. convinced her people to vote (overwhelmingly) as she wanted

and

b. is making positive strides in the aftermath to give her people what they have clearly said they want.

'...exactly what she didn't want'? Hardly.

I'm not slating her by any means, just a little confused to see this much praise being heaped upon her when events conspired to suit her and her party pretty much perfectly. She can't be given the credit for the Remain vote - all five parties in Scotland backed Remain.

Post the Brexit vote, she has made the speeches and taken the action you'd expect anyone to make/take.

http://www.scotsman.com/news/nicola-sturgeon-remain-the-logical-vote-for-those-who-want-indyref-2-1-4158610

Mr Cameron told the Daily Mail: "The SNP has already said it will use a Brexit vote to kick-start their independence plans. So just at the point when doubts over Scotland's constitutional future were being erased, a Leave vote tomorrow will take Scotland back to square one.

https://www.thecourier.co.uk/fp/news/politics/scottish-politics/211575/nicola-sturgeon-david-cameron-last-ditch-appeals-scots-vote-remain/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 29, 2016, 03:36:59 PM
Have the dup even once acknowledged that their campaign failed and that the majority over here voted for remain?? I haven't heard it once. Surely even that economic "expert" Sammy Wilson (who could probably barely count to ten) has noticed the damage it has done??

they want a border - i really don't see what else they hoped to gain from it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on June 29, 2016, 03:59:40 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CmH-tl2WkAE9Whx.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on June 29, 2016, 04:04:45 PM
Quote from: Declan on June 29, 2016, 03:59:40 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CmH-tl2WkAE9Whx.jpg:large)

He probably was thinking of Luke Ming Flanagan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 29, 2016, 04:09:40 PM
Quote from: Declan on June 29, 2016, 03:59:40 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CmH-tl2WkAE9Whx.jpg:large)

This is the caused by the dangerous lies that Boris created about the EU when he was a reporter there. Blatant lies which have been highlighted by many jounos since.

But he created the attitude and set the tone for the Brits to the EU in a negative way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on June 29, 2016, 04:13:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 29, 2016, 03:36:59 PM
Have the dup even once acknowledged that their campaign failed and that the majority over here voted for remain?? I haven't heard it once. Surely even that economic "expert" Sammy Wilson (who could probably barely count to ten) has noticed the damage it has done??

they want a border - i really don't see what else they hoped to gain from it.

The question is what were the DUP promised or paid to back the leave side, and who were the pay masters. I don't think this had anything to do with the border as Foster is not stupid she would have known what an exit from Europe would mean. Its maybe a bit of a coincidence that the queen is over here at the minute and i would not discount the fact that the royal establishment pushed for an exit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on June 29, 2016, 04:21:04 PM
Quote◾US bank JP Morgan has said it now expects Scotland to vote for independence and introduce its own currency before Britain leaves the European Union in 2019.
◾JP Morgan economist Malcolm Barr said in a note to clients: "Our base case is that Scotland will vote for independence and institute a new currency at that point (2019)"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 04:56:41 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on June 29, 2016, 04:13:38 PM
The question is what were the DUP promised or paid to back the leave side, and who were the pay masters. I don't think this had anything to do with the border as Foster is not stupid she would have known what an exit from Europe would mean. Its maybe a bit of a coincidence that the queen is over here at the minute and i would not discount the fact that the royal establishment pushed for an exit.

Foster knew what it would mean, a border and disruption of cross border trade and although such trade is very important in her own constituency she still went for it.
As for QEII , she too must have known that Leave would kick things off in Scotland and she previously was presumed not to be too keen on the Scots doing their own thing.

Are they both mad? QEII has the excuse of being 90, what's Arlene's excuse?

Meanwhile another dodgy female, Villiers, has stated that NI will not get special treatment   and "I believe we can keep a border which is as open and free-flowing as it is today,". This combination is only possible if they scrap the whole Brexit thing. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 29, 2016, 05:16:38 PM
I saw a map of the NI vote. Brexit won in most of Antrim bar Belfast and North Down. Heavy unionist country. Nietzsche said madness is common in groups.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 29, 2016, 05:22:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 04:56:41 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on June 29, 2016, 04:13:38 PM
The question is what were the DUP promised or paid to back the leave side, and who were the pay masters. I don't think this had anything to do with the border as Foster is not stupid she would have known what an exit from Europe would mean. Its maybe a bit of a coincidence that the queen is over here at the minute and i would not discount the fact that the royal establishment pushed for an exit.

Foster knew what it would mean, a border and disruption of cross border trade and although such trade is very important in her own constituency she still went for it.
As for QEII , she too must have known that Leave would kick things off in Scotland and she previously was presumed not to be too keen on the Scots doing their own thing.

Are they both mad? QEII has the excuse of being 90, what's Arlene's excuse?

Meanwhile another dodgy female, Villiers, has stated that NI will not get special treatment   and "I believe we can keep a border which is as open and free-flowing as it is today,". This combination is only possible if they scrap the whole Brexit thing.

I hate Villiers!!!! Even to look at her she looks hateful!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 29, 2016, 06:38:22 PM
Villiers is an idiot. Brexit is the worst thing to happen to the UK in a very long time. One in 5 foreign companies think they may relocate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 29, 2016, 09:59:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 29, 2016, 06:38:22 PM
Villiers is an idiot. Brexit is the worst thing to happen to the UK in a very long time. One in 5 foreign companies think they may relocate.

Fear factor again. It is what it is lets embrace it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 29, 2016, 10:04:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 29, 2016, 05:16:38 PM
I saw a map of the NI vote. Brexit won in most of Antrim bar Belfast and North Down. Heavy unionist country. Nietzsche said madness is common in groups.
Surely north Down would be unionist too?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 10:12:16 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 29, 2016, 10:04:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 29, 2016, 05:16:38 PM
I saw a map of the NI vote. Brexit won in most of Antrim bar Belfast and North Down. Heavy unionist country. Nietzsche said madness is common in groups.
Surely north Down would be unionist too?

Yes, but there is great respect for the half crown (and $, €, etc) there as well as the crown.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 06:20:26 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 29, 2016, 10:04:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 29, 2016, 05:16:38 PM
I saw a map of the NI vote. Brexit won in most of Antrim bar Belfast and North Down. Heavy unionist country. Nietzsche said madness is common in groups.
Surely north Down would be unionist too?
It was just the way it was written. Down isn't in Antrim. Brexit vote was correlated with orange.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on June 30, 2016, 06:38:50 AM
People are flocking to join the Lib Dems, by all accounts. They're running on a "get us back in" ticket. I'd like to see it working for them but between the Scottish question, the leadership battles in each of the Tory and Labour parties, plus the implications of Brexit itself, there's plenty going on to suck the air out of the room and it's hard to see the Liberals getting a lot of air time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 08:05:26 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 29, 2016, 03:36:59 PM
Have the dup even once acknowledged that their campaign failed and that the majority over here voted for remain?? I haven't heard it once. Surely even that economic "expert" Sammy Wilson (who could probably barely count to ten) has noticed the damage it has done??

they want a border - i really don't see what else they hoped to gain from it.
They should redraw the border. The Bann as far as the lake and as far as the Gaelic football border in Down with an enclave of reason in Belfast.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on June 30, 2016, 09:10:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 08:05:26 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on June 29, 2016, 03:36:59 PM
Have the dup even once acknowledged that their campaign failed and that the majority over here voted for remain?? I haven't heard it once. Surely even that economic "expert" Sammy Wilson (who could probably barely count to ten) has noticed the damage it has done??

they want a border - i really don't see what else they hoped to gain from it.
They should redraw the border. The Bann as far as the lake and as far as the Gaelic football border in Down with an enclave of reason in Belfast.

Well to stop those pesky immigrants from getting in the border will technically be redrawn - the Irish Sea
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 09:25:55 AM
Gove in the leadership race now - that's  Boris fucked.  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 30, 2016, 09:31:14 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on June 30, 2016, 06:38:50 AM
People are flocking to join the Lib Dems, by all accounts. They're running on a "get us back in" ticket. I'd like to see it working for them but between the Scottish question, the leadership battles in each of the Tory and Labour parties, plus the implications of Brexit itself, there's plenty going on to suck the air out of the room and it's hard to see the Liberals getting a lot of air time.

The Dems have nothing to offer the last time they were in Government they bent over for Cameron then ended up f**king themselves with all their campaign U-Turns. To be honest I don't even know who their leader is at the minute so it's hard to see them making any kind of meaningful resurgence!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: doodaa on June 30, 2016, 09:41:44 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 04:56:41 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on June 29, 2016, 04:13:38 PM
The question is what were the DUP promised or paid to back the leave side, and who were the pay masters. I don't think this had anything to do with the border as Foster is not stupid she would have known what an exit from Europe would mean. Its maybe a bit of a coincidence that the queen is over here at the minute and i would not discount the fact that the royal establishment pushed for an exit.

Foster knew what it would mean, a border and disruption of cross border trade and although such trade is very important in her own constituency she still went for it.
As for QEII , she too must have known that Leave would kick things off in Scotland and she previously was presumed not to be too keen on the Scots doing their own thing.

Are they both mad? QEII has the excuse of being 90, what's Arlene's excuse?

Meanwhile another dodgy female, Villiers, has stated that NI will not get special treatment   and "I believe we can keep a border which is as open and free-flowing as it is today,". This combination is only possible if they scrap the whole Brexit thing.

I watched the Spotlight programme with her interview on it. Cringey viewing, the woman was clearly deluded, how the hell do you keep a free flowing border when immigration was one of the main reasons people were voting for a Brexit!?

She kept harping back to the common travel area or whatever its called and failed to address the fact that it worked because both the UK and South have both either been IN or OUT of Europe. There hasn't been as time when one was in and one was out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 30, 2016, 09:45:46 AM
When does article 50 have to be invoked?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 09:45:58 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 09:25:55 AM
Gove in the leadership race now - that's  Boris fucked.  ;D

May in now too, I would predict that May will now win as Gove will take some of the wind out of Boris.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 09:46:20 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 30, 2016, 09:45:46 AM
When does article 50 have to be invoked?

Whenever the British government decide.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 10:01:05 AM
I can see them stalling for time, get propaganda machine in full swing, second vote similar result to Lisbon Treaty
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 30, 2016, 10:04:11 AM
What we need to do now is unleash former FFer Gerry Collins to tearfully plead with Boris Johnson 'even at this late stage not to burst up the EU'.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 10:07:26 AM
Brexit may be unlawful article by Philip Allotted on the Guardian site. Was it Steve Jobs who decided that mobiles couldn't copy links?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 30, 2016, 10:08:19 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 09:45:58 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 09:25:55 AM
Gove in the leadership race now - that's  Boris fucked.  ;D

May in now too, I would predict that May will now win as Gove will take some of the wind out of Boris.

Boris is full of wind, so that would be some job.

I suspect Gove is more a fundamentalist, while Boris would hae no problem signing up for EEA + contributions + free movement.

Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 10:07:26 AM
Brexit may be unlawful article by Philip Allotted on the Guardian site. Was it Steve Jobs who decided that mobiles couldn't copy links?

there you go
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/30/politics-brexit-unlawful-eu-uk

Not a very convincing argument, but given the stakes in this issue I expect someone will try a legal route, or several legal routes. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 10:12:30 AM
Quote from: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 10:01:05 AM
I can see them stalling for time, get propaganda machine in full swing, second vote similar result to Lisbon Treaty

They don't have to stall it is entirely up to them when they want to start, or not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 30, 2016, 10:17:27 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 10:12:30 AM
Quote from: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 10:01:05 AM
I can see them stalling for time, get propaganda machine in full swing, second vote similar result to Lisbon Treaty

They don't have to stall it is entirely up to them when they want to start, or not.

Perhaps a good trick would be to stall for a year and then have a legal review stating that that too much time has elapsed and they need a new referendum.

In my opinion a review of the Good Friday Agreement in this context would a good cross-party reason to stall, that the EU couldn't criticise too much and that the US could row in behind.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 30, 2016, 10:49:34 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 09:25:55 AM
Gove in the leadership race now - that's  Boris fucked.  ;D

I would say Theresa May would be the most competent of the runners
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 30, 2016, 10:51:17 AM
Quote from: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 10:01:05 AM
I can see them stalling for time, get propaganda machine in full swing, second vote similar result to Lisbon Treaty

There will be no second vote. Theresa May will be next PM and has already vowed to stand by the ref result.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 30, 2016, 11:09:25 AM
Quote from: AQMP on June 30, 2016, 11:01:37 AM
Quote from: Minder on June 30, 2016, 10:49:34 AM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 09:25:55 AM
Gove in the leadership race now - that's  Boris fucked.  ;D

I would say Theresa May would be the most competent of the runners

Looks like after a turbulent week the Tories have realised that Johnson would be a disaster.  Step forward Gove as the "Stop Boris" candidate.

I can't see Gove getting it he's a buffoon as well with his "stop listening to experts" schtick which may work with the working class heroes who got us into this mess but I can't see it working with the Tory Party.

Add to that the fact that he's in bed with Murdoch and Dacre I think will hurt his chances of being the Prime Minister.

It looks like Gove and Boris will knock eachother out leaving the way clear for May. . . she's said sticking by the Public's decision. It will be interesting to see if she follows through on it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 11:35:58 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 30, 2016, 10:51:17 AM
Quote from: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 10:01:05 AM
I can see them stalling for time, get propaganda machine in full swing, second vote similar result to Lisbon Treaty

There will be no second vote. Theresa May will be next PM and has already vowed to stand by the ref result.
Plámás. If the City wants another vote it will get one
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 11:56:22 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 30, 2016, 10:51:17 AM
Quote from: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 10:01:05 AM
I can see them stalling for time, get propaganda machine in full swing, second vote similar result to Lisbon Treaty

There will be no second vote. Theresa May will be next PM and has already vowed to stand by the ref result.

And after all that has been you believe any of these people?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fiodoir Ard Mhacha on June 30, 2016, 12:00:09 PM
Johnson pulls out....a few months too late imo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 30, 2016, 12:00:33 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 11:56:22 AM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 30, 2016, 10:51:17 AM
Quote from: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 10:01:05 AM
I can see them stalling for time, get propaganda machine in full swing, second vote similar result to Lisbon Treaty

There will be no second vote. Theresa May will be next PM and has already vowed to stand by the ref result.

And after all that has been you believe any of these people?

Boris not to run for Tory leader!
Sadly, he has already done the damage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Estimator on June 30, 2016, 12:01:30 PM
Boris Johnson, announcing he will not stand as Conservative leader says: "Having consulted colleagues and in view of the circumstances of Parliament I have concluded that person cannot be me."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 12:03:07 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 30, 2016, 10:51:17 AM
Quote from: front of the mountain on June 30, 2016, 10:01:05 AM
I can see them stalling for time, get propaganda machine in full swing, second vote similar result to Lisbon Treaty

There will be no second vote. Theresa May will be next PM and has already vowed to stand by the ref result.

David Cameron also said during the campaign he would invoke Article 50 immediately after the election..... I dont know much about May but politicians are all the same say one thing and do the opp if it suits an agenda.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 12:04:36 PM
Quote from: Fiodoir Ard Mhacha on June 30, 2016, 12:00:09 PM
Johnson pulls out....a few months too late imo

Shock! He would have been incapable of any negotiation, he wanted to inherit the PM's job after he left whilst still in Europe and his leave campaign was just that a campaign to get him noticed, he never thought he could win.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on June 30, 2016, 12:31:59 PM
She is running on a 'no second vote' ticket and being supported by brexiteers. It would be the equivalent on turning around after becoming PM and declaring that she was defecting to labour. There will be no second vote
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 12:38:06 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 30, 2016, 12:31:59 PM
She is running on a 'no second vote' ticket and being supported by brexiteers. It would be the equivalent on turning around after becoming PM and declaring that she was defecting to labour. There will be no second vote

You are deluded. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ulick on June 30, 2016, 12:59:47 PM
Quote from: Oghams Law on June 30, 2016, 12:31:59 PM
She is running on a 'no second vote' ticket and being supported by brexiteers. It would be the equivalent on turning around after becoming PM and declaring that she was defecting to labour. There will be no second vote

There will have to be a vote in the Brit Parliament. Given the Tories only have a 12 seat majority, passage of that vote is far from guaranteed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 30, 2016, 01:26:32 PM
Discussed the Thatcher / Heseltine  / Major scenario of 20 odd years ago last night & I said to my mate, Boris will get not be the next leader, he'll get Judased somewhere along the way  - didn't expect it so soon tbh. Gove is some boy, who is gonna trust him? May has to be a cert. Crabb is one for the future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on June 30, 2016, 01:30:15 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CmMk9F-XEAQL0oX.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 30, 2016, 01:53:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 29, 2016, 05:22:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 04:56:41 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on June 29, 2016, 04:13:38 PM
The question is what were the DUP promised or paid to back the leave side, and who were the pay masters. I don't think this had anything to do with the border as Foster is not stupid she would have known what an exit from Europe would mean. Its maybe a bit of a coincidence that the queen is over here at the minute and i would not discount the fact that the royal establishment pushed for an exit.

Foster knew what it would mean, a border and disruption of cross border trade and although such trade is very important in her own constituency she still went for it.
As for QEII , she too must have known that Leave would kick things off in Scotland and she previously was presumed not to be too keen on the Scots doing their own thing.

Are they both mad? QEII has the excuse of being 90, what's Arlene's excuse?

Meanwhile another dodgy female, Villiers, has stated that NI will not get special treatment   and "I believe we can keep a border which is as open and free-flowing as it is today,". This combination is only possible if they scrap the whole Brexit thing.

I hate Villiers!!!! Even to look at her she looks hateful!

Damm you screen, giving your opinions. I made reference to her looks the day at lunch and got nailed by a senior manager for being sexist!!! :-X ::) 8)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JoG2 on June 30, 2016, 02:14:39 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 30, 2016, 01:53:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 29, 2016, 05:22:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 04:56:41 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on June 29, 2016, 04:13:38 PM
The question is what were the DUP promised or paid to back the leave side, and who were the pay masters. I don't think this had anything to do with the border as Foster is not stupid she would have known what an exit from Europe would mean. Its maybe a bit of a coincidence that the queen is over here at the minute and i would not discount the fact that the royal establishment pushed for an exit.

Foster knew what it would mean, a border and disruption of cross border trade and although such trade is very important in her own constituency she still went for it.
As for QEII , she too must have known that Leave would kick things off in Scotland and she previously was presumed not to be too keen on the Scots doing their own thing.

Are they both mad? QEII has the excuse of being 90, what's Arlene's excuse?

Meanwhile another dodgy female, Villiers, has stated that NI will not get special treatment   and "I believe we can keep a border which is as open and free-flowing as it is today,". This combination is only possible if they scrap the whole Brexit thing.

I hate Villiers!!!! Even to look at her she looks hateful!

Damm you screen, giving your opinions. I made reference to her looks the day at lunch and got nailed by a senior manager for being sexy! :-X ::) 8)

You had a wee typo there Walter
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 30, 2016, 02:27:17 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on June 30, 2016, 02:14:39 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on June 30, 2016, 01:53:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 29, 2016, 05:22:24 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 29, 2016, 04:56:41 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on June 29, 2016, 04:13:38 PM
The question is what were the DUP promised or paid to back the leave side, and who were the pay masters. I don't think this had anything to do with the border as Foster is not stupid she would have known what an exit from Europe would mean. Its maybe a bit of a coincidence that the queen is over here at the minute and i would not discount the fact that the royal establishment pushed for an exit.

Foster knew what it would mean, a border and disruption of cross border trade and although such trade is very important in her own constituency she still went for it.
As for QEII , she too must have known that Leave would kick things off in Scotland and she previously was presumed not to be too keen on the Scots doing their own thing.

Are they both mad? QEII has the excuse of being 90, what's Arlene's excuse?

Meanwhile another dodgy female, Villiers, has stated that NI will not get special treatment   and "I believe we can keep a border which is as open and free-flowing as it is today,". This combination is only possible if they scrap the whole Brexit thing.

I hate Villiers!!!! Even to look at her she looks hateful!

Damm you screen, giving your opinions. I made reference to her looks the day at lunch and got nailed by a senior manager for being sexy! :-X ::) 8)

You had a wee typo there Walter

First for everything JOG ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: whatifs on June 30, 2016, 02:35:48 PM
Don't think Boris shit them but  realised he hadnt a mission of getting the support needed as was seen by alot of tory mps as splitting the party over brexit,would expect him to let the dust settle for a few years and work his way back into popularity in the party,he strikes me as shrewd operator and probably didnt think the leave campaign stood much chance of winning but it made him look a progressive potential leader after cameron had done his turn.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on June 30, 2016, 02:42:30 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.


Don't let Boris's buffoon like exterior fool you, he is no such thing. He is a shrewd conniving career politician. It suited him to as London Mayor to play the common man a bit more to get in with the London set. He has been found out here by trying to play both sides of the fence in order to get a crack at being PM. The fact that Leave campaign won was as much a shock to him as anyone else, you just need to look at his post result press conference to see the level of shock he was in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 02:44:55 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.

Cameron cost himself his own job underestimating racist little Engerland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 30, 2016, 02:53:13 PM
Boris got Gazumped pure & simple, Gove stole in like a thief in the night and got his retaliation in first by having an impromptu  press conference before Boris had a chance to do so. Caught walking / sleeping......

He'll be back when the dust settles in a year or two.

There'll be no 2nd Referendum without a General Election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 30, 2016, 03:09:46 PM
Interesting figures last night on Newsnight. UK growth forecasts now at -2.2% by the end of 2017. This equates to £350m every 2-3 days. Maybe they will knock down a hospital every week to save it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Haha, good lad, it's great to see that you have had the requisite time to dig through my post history, you really have very little to be doing going around trying to pick arguments on a message board in this manner. I suppose you predicted a Brexit too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on June 30, 2016, 03:52:12 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Haha, good lad, it's great to see that you have had the requisite time to dig through my post history, you really have very little to be doing going around trying to pick arguments on a message board in this manner. I suppose you predicted a Brexit too.

i think hes just pointing out that you are clueless
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:02:28 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Haha, good lad, it's great to see that you have had the requisite time to dig through my post history, you really have very little to be doing going around trying to pick arguments on a message board in this manner. I suppose you predicted a Brexit too.


Quote from: No wides on June 21, 2016, 09:24:34 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

You underestimate the ahem "working" class Brit.  Pure racism will get the leave over the line, the polls are a load of shite we see that time and time again.

;) and as Mikhail says - you are clueless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 04:04:10 PM
Quote from: Mikhail Prokhorov on June 30, 2016, 03:52:12 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Haha, good lad, it's great to see that you have had the requisite time to dig through my post history, you really have very little to be doing going around trying to pick arguments on a message board in this manner. I suppose you predicted a Brexit too.

i think hes just pointing out that you are clueless

Haha jumping in to fight someone else's battles for them now!! I'm sure he can stick up for himself. Thanks for the compliment all the same, I take it you predicted a Brexit as well. I never heard too many people predicting this result before last Friday morning. A serious case of aftertiming if ever there was one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 04:05:19 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:02:28 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Haha, good lad, it's great to see that you have had the requisite time to dig through my post history, you really have very little to be doing going around trying to pick arguments on a message board in this manner. I suppose you predicted a Brexit too.


Quote from: No wides on June 21, 2016, 09:24:34 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

You underestimate the ahem "working" class Brit.  Pure racism will get the leave over the line, the polls are a load of shite we see that time and time again.

;) and as Mikhail says - you are clueless.

Well done, take a bow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:08:15 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 04:05:19 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:02:28 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Haha, good lad, it's great to see that you have had the requisite time to dig through my post history, you really have very little to be doing going around trying to pick arguments on a message board in this manner. I suppose you predicted a Brexit too.


Quote from: No wides on June 21, 2016, 09:24:34 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

You underestimate the ahem "working" class Brit.  Pure racism will get the leave over the line, the polls are a load of shite we see that time and time again.

;) and as Mikhail says - you are clueless.

Well done, take a bow.

That's as good as you get - make sure you get a nice edible hat kid.   ;)

(http://www.magicaldaydream.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/DIY-edible-nacho-hat-5_zpsd45f0d1b.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 04:08:48 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 02:44:55 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.

Cameron cost himself his own job underestimating racist little Engerland.

Just because people voted to have proper controls on who and how many can get into their country doesn't naturally mean they are racist.
It's time to stop that myth. People are scared for their own safety and security of livelihoods.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:11:36 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 04:08:48 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 02:44:55 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.

Cameron cost himself his own job underestimating racist little Engerland.

Just because people voted to have proper controls on who and how many can get into their country doesn't naturally mean they are racist.
It's time to stop that myth. People are scared for their own safety and security of livelihoods.

A lot of votes was purely to stop immigration by people who wouldn't do the work immigrants do now, working class little Engerland is racist to the core.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 04:14:11 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:08:15 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 04:05:19 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:02:28 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Haha, good lad, it's great to see that you have had the requisite time to dig through my post history, you really have very little to be doing going around trying to pick arguments on a message board in this manner. I suppose you predicted a Brexit too.


Quote from: No wides on June 21, 2016, 09:24:34 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

You underestimate the ahem "working" class Brit.  Pure racism will get the leave over the line, the polls are a load of shite we see that time and time again.

;) and as Mikhail says - you are clueless.

Well done, take a bow.

That's as good as you get - make sure you get a nice edible hat kid.   ;)

(http://www.magicaldaydream.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/DIY-edible-nacho-hat-5_zpsd45f0d1b.jpg)

Again, a hearty congratulations on your succesful Brexit prediction, whatever keeps you happy. Between stalking through my old posts and posting humorous(!) pictures your talent knows no bounds. Take a bow Mr Modesty. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 30, 2016, 04:15:18 PM
Not everyone who voted out is a racist but all racists voted out.

It was the most important election / referendum in my lifetime and it was undoubtedly the most illinformed. I had some really embarrassing conversations with people who just don't know how our political system works & who is responsible for what.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 30, 2016, 04:23:44 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 30, 2016, 04:15:18 PM
Not everyone who voted out is a racist but all racists voted out.

It was the most important election / referendum in my lifetime and it was undoubtedly the most illinformed. I had some really embarrassing conversations with people who just don't know how our political system works & who is responsible for what.

Indeed the Leave Campaign took advantage of a lot of I would like to say naivety but in reality a lot of stupidity. Claims like "We want our borders back" "how about we send £350m to the NHS instead" struck a chord with people when they didn't realise that these were pipe dreams that could not be delivered.

I genuinely think that were another referendum held tomorrow it would be 60/40 remain but the Turkeys voted for Christmas and it's too late to change your mind. This is going to drag out for a couple of years now and the economy will stagnate all the while and eventually the UK will have to sign back up to the single market (at a premium) and will have some minor control over their borders all the while the Country will get fucked!!!



People are going around telling immigrants to get the f**k out when the UK haven't even started the process of withdrawal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 04:24:54 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:11:36 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 04:08:48 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 02:44:55 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.

Cameron cost himself his own job underestimating racist little Engerland.

Just because people voted to have proper controls on who and how many can get into their country doesn't naturally mean they are racist.
It's time to stop that myth. People are scared for their own safety and security of livelihoods.

A lot of votes was purely to stop immigration by people who wouldn't do the work immigrants do now, working class little Engerland is racist to the core.

Ireland will follow suit in another 20 years. Wait and see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bazil Douglas on June 30, 2016, 04:36:18 PM
Some prophets of doom & gloom on this thread, not to mention experts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 30, 2016, 04:37:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:11:36 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 04:08:48 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 02:44:55 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.

Cameron cost himself his own job underestimating racist little Engerland.

Just because people voted to have proper controls on who and how many can get into their country doesn't naturally mean they are racist.
It's time to stop that myth. People are scared for their own safety and security of livelihoods.

A lot of votes was purely to stop immigration by people who wouldn't do the work immigrants do now, working class little Engerland is racist to the core.

Why did UKIP only return one MP after last years General Election then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:38:02 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 04:14:11 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:08:15 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 04:05:19 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:02:28 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 03:03:57 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 03:00:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on June 30, 2016, 02:41:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.

Which would be more dangerous? Going through with a decision, the proponents of which had no idea they were going to win and no plan what to do when they did. A decision largely arrived at through an older / working class protest vote and an absent younger voter turnout, one which may split the UK irrevocably and propagate a financial winter on what's left of the nation.

Is the alternative of holding a second referendum, one which should deliver a more accurate ballot and considered verdict more perilous? A second vote could hardly cause more chaos where we've already seen 2 political parties riven apart, a tanking of the value in sterling which will lead to a ready-made nearly-immediate recession and a probable egress of investment and planned-now-postponed expansion.

Lets just wait and see, if there is a second referendum I'll eat my hat.

We bow to your political in depth knowledge.

Quote from: yellowcard on June 21, 2016, 11:09:54 AM
I think the death of the MP Jo Cox will have had a significant enough impact to affect the vote. Remain will probably win fairly comfortably now by about 60-40.

Haha, good lad, it's great to see that you have had the requisite time to dig through my post history, you really have very little to be doing going around trying to pick arguments on a message board in this manner. I suppose you predicted a Brexit too.


Quote from: No wides on June 21, 2016, 09:24:34 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

You underestimate the ahem "working" class Brit.  Pure racism will get the leave over the line, the polls are a load of shite we see that time and time again.

;) and as Mikhail says - you are clueless.

Well done, take a bow.

That's as good as you get - make sure you get a nice edible hat kid.   ;)

(http://www.magicaldaydream.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/DIY-edible-nacho-hat-5_zpsd45f0d1b.jpg)

Again, a hearty congratulations on your succesful Brexit prediction, whatever keeps you happy. Between stalking through my old posts and posting humorous(!) pictures your talent knows no bounds. Take a bow Mr Modesty.

You are enbarassing yourself kid.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 30, 2016, 04:38:07 PM
The EU will need to reform. Even though a lot of those who voted out did so for the stupidest of reasons, the EU failed to recognise that many of it's citizens not just in the UK have real issues with its open borders policy and approach to immigration. These issues will continue to get bigger in the 27 if not addressed, and not all of it is racism. Immigration is good and useful but needs to be controlled.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:39:49 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 30, 2016, 04:37:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:11:36 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 04:08:48 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 02:44:55 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.

Cameron cost himself his own job underestimating racist little Engerland.

Just because people voted to have proper controls on who and how many can get into their country doesn't naturally mean they are racist.
It's time to stop that myth. People are scared for their own safety and security of livelihoods.

A lot of votes was purely to stop immigration by people who wouldn't do the work immigrants do now, working class little Engerland is racist to the core.

Why did UKIP only return one MP after last years General Election then?

Do you not understand the political system?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 30, 2016, 04:42:44 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:39:49 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 30, 2016, 04:37:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:11:36 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 04:08:48 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 02:44:55 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.

Cameron cost himself his own job underestimating racist little Engerland.

Just because people voted to have proper controls on who and how many can get into their country doesn't naturally mean they are racist.
It's time to stop that myth. People are scared for their own safety and security of livelihoods.

A lot of votes was purely to stop immigration by people who wouldn't do the work immigrants do now, working class little Engerland is racist to the core.

Why did UKIP only return one MP after last years General Election then?

Do you not understand the political system?

I surely do, they totalled about 2m votes I think. How many voted for Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 30, 2016, 04:51:09 PM
Quote from: Bazil Douglas on June 30, 2016, 04:36:18 PM
Some prophets of doom & gloom on this thread, not to mention experts

What exactly is there to be happy about?

Sterling is in the gutter along with the UK Markets
Economists predicting another recession
The UK policital system in complete disarray
Scotland will gain independence again

But we can send the Poles back to their own country so everything is great (even though there is no way in any shape or form that is going to happen)..

Hooray for England!!!!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 30, 2016, 04:52:29 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 30, 2016, 04:51:09 PM
Quote from: Bazil Douglas on June 30, 2016, 04:36:18 PM
Some prophets of doom & gloom on this thread, not to mention experts

What exactly is there to be happy about?

Sterling is in the gutter along with the UK Markets
Economists predicting another recession
The UK policital system in complete disarray
Scotland will gain independence again

But we can send the Poles back to their own country so everything is great (even though there is no way in any shape or form that is going to happen)..

Hooray for England!!!!

And Wales
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 05:06:07 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 30, 2016, 02:18:05 PM
It looks like the cards have fallen perfectly for Theresa May. Gove standing instead of Johnson has eased her passage through to be the next PM. 

Talk of a second vote is a nonsense and won't happen. The ramifications of a second vote would be far too dangerous in terms of the potential for a rise in hate crime etc. Another campaign would be far too dangerous with the potential for more division. What they need at the minute is stability and a clear plan, not more chaos of the sort that the last week has brought.
Brexit could cause UK GDP to contract by 5%. The Sun can convince the plebs about a second vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 30, 2016, 05:18:37 PM
The more I think about it, Gove's move was a move of Political artistry. Boris gutted like a fish by his closest ally hours before he thought he was beginning his procession to the PM job. Machiavelli would be proud.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on June 30, 2016, 05:52:51 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 30, 2016, 04:42:44 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:39:49 PM
Quote from: Minder on June 30, 2016, 04:37:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 04:11:36 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 04:08:48 PM
Quote from: No wides on June 30, 2016, 02:44:55 PM
Quote from: Canalman on June 30, 2016, 02:37:28 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on June 30, 2016, 02:19:58 PM
Boris shít the togs when the big job beckoned! Surely that's him done as a serious politician, no?


Would say he totted up the figures of support. Withdrew as a result. He will be back. Needs to be have some sort of ministerial record first.

Reckon the new leader will be whoever DC backs.

Still scratching my head as to how the tories self imploded to lose such a good leader.

Cameron cost himself his own job underestimating racist little Engerland.

Just because people voted to have proper controls on who and how many can get into their country doesn't naturally mean they are racist.
It's time to stop that myth. People are scared for their own safety and security of livelihoods.

A lot of votes was purely to stop immigration by people who wouldn't do the work immigrants do now, working class little Engerland is racist to the core.

Why did UKIP only return one MP after last years General Election then?

Do you not understand the political system?

I surely do, they totalled about 2m votes I think. How many voted for Brexit?

You are comparing apples with oranges and you know it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bazil Douglas on June 30, 2016, 06:37:34 PM


But we can send the Poles back to their own country so everything is great (even though there is no way in any shape or form that is going to happen)..

Hooray for England!!!!
[/quote]

Now, dont be silly screen you cant be sending the poles home, who would do all the work.
As for those uneducated, racist, little Englanders, we should show a little gratitude since they have been sponsoring us for decades.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 30, 2016, 06:44:16 PM
How have they been "sponsoring us for decades"?????
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 30, 2016, 06:53:11 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 30, 2016, 06:44:16 PM
How have they been "sponsoring us for decades"?????

Us in the 6 counties, perhaps.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: foxcommander on June 30, 2016, 07:10:28 PM
Ross is only out of nappies (or is he?) so I doubt he remembers the days before the boom when thousands went to england for work.

He probably thinks "Self Aid" is something he does when browsing dirty websites.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bazil Douglas on June 30, 2016, 07:13:31 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 30, 2016, 06:44:16 PM
How have they been "sponsoring us for decades"?????

Sorry,  should have been more specific, I was referring to that economic powerhouse of the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 30, 2016, 07:43:37 PM
One reason that Sterling is expected to tank is that Britain has a horrendous current account deficit and needs money coming in to fund this, this instability interrupts this flow.

(http://www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/business/2016/06/29/morg_ca_2-large_trans++EduPGWXTgvtbFyMaMlYatm4ovIMMP_5WSTNAIgCzTy4.PNG)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 07:49:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 30, 2016, 07:43:37 PM
One reason that Sterling is expected to tank is that Britain has a horrendous current account deficit and needs money coming in to fund this, this instability interrupts this flow.

(http://www.telegraph.co.uk/content/dam/business/2016/06/29/morg_ca_2-large_trans++EduPGWXTgvtbFyMaMlYatm4ovIMMP_5WSTNAIgCzTy4.PNG)
It has a current account deficit, a budget deficit, a productivity deficit and is terribly dependent on the City. It can't afford Brexit.  The whole thing is a joke
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 30, 2016, 07:53:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2016, 07:49:55 PM
It has a current account deficit, a budget deficit, a productivity deficit and is terribly dependent on the City. It can't afford Brexit.  The whole thing is a joke

And its soccer team is shite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 30, 2016, 08:33:08 PM
Quote from: Bazil Douglas on June 30, 2016, 07:13:31 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 30, 2016, 06:44:16 PM
How have they been "sponsoring us for decades"?????

Sorry,  should have been more specific, I was referring to that economic powerhouse of the north.
Indeed  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2016, 06:29:06 AM
The Tory leadership crisis reminds me of this

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uDT0xSsrVIg

furious MPs in Camp Johnson believe it was a long-planned stitchup by Gove and his advisers, after the justice secretary had his head turned during the EU referendum campaign by surveys suggesting he was the darling of the Tory membership. They also point to the public endorsement of Gove for prime minister by newspaper owner Rupert Murdoch at the Times media summit on Tuesday.

"Gove is a **** who set this up from the start," one friend of Johnson texted a political journalist at the Sun. More publicly, Jake Berry, Conservative MP and one of Johnson's closest allies, tweeted: "There is a very deep pit reserved in Hell for such as he. #Gove."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2016, 06:54:45 AM
George Carlin analysed the DUP a few years ago

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w85t5wxxamk

http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/brexit-northern-ireland-businesses-are-in-turmoil-over-uncertain-future-1.2705575
Brexit: Northern Ireland businesses are in turmoil over uncertain future

No one knows what the result will ultimately mean for firms in the province


Francess McDonnell   



 


Just 10 days ago Mike Thomson was happily converting Parisians to the delights of his Young Buck cheese and dreaming of a Northern Ireland victory at Euro 2016.

His small start-up, Mike's Fancy Cheese, based in Newtownards, Co Down, produces Northern Ireland's first raw-milk blue cheese.

A soccer fan, the young entrepreneur decided to combine his two passions and take Mike's Fancy Cheese on an impromptu trade mission to Paris and Lyons this month while supporting the Northern Ireland soccer team. He loaded up his van in Newtownards and off he went with relative ease to sell his creations, tariff-free, elsewhere in Europe.

Soccer and cheese proved a winning combination for Mike's Fancy Cheese before he had to rush home to "vote remain".

Although it is early days for the artisan producer, whose business is barely two years old, he is attracting the right kind of following among consumers, award-wining chefs and specialist retailers. He already sells into southern France which helped to whet his export appetite and, with his Euro 2016 dream over, Mike's Fancy Cheese is firmly focused on expansion.

However, in the not too distant future, managing those exports may not be as easy as simply loading up the van and heading off to France. Like thousands of other businesspeople in the North, Thomson is wondering just how the Brexit decision will affect his future.

Although the majority of people here voted to remain part of the EU in the referendum – 56 per cent to 44 per cent – that failed to make a dent in the overall UK Leave vote which was carried by a margin of almost 52 per cent to 48 per cent.

The result, according to Ann McGregor, chief executive of the Northern Ireland Chamber Commerce and Industry, has the potential to create more shock waves in the North than, for example, in Scotland which also voted to remain part of the EU.

Unique position

"Northern Ireland is now in a unique position as the only part of the UK with a land Border with the EU and this will throw up challenges," she says.

The chamber's own pre-Brexit poll showed that 74 per cent of its members intended to vote to remain. The business body has highlighted that cross-Border trade in manufacturing alone is worth €3.1 billion (€1.75 billion North to South and €1.3 billion South to North).

Furthermore, some 14 million people cross what has been effectively an invisible Border from Newry and Dundalk every year.

What might happen if the EU were to dictate that the Border were no longer invisible?

McGregor believes any "physical Border" would adversely affect the North's economy and potentially the Republic's, and it would be a major concern for local businesses.

The weak pound might deliver a welcome boost for businesses exporting into the South in the short term but the longer-term prospects are decidedly less favourable.

Dagmar Schiek, a professor in the School of Law at Queen's University Belfast and director of the Centre of European and Transnational Legal Studies, has said that in the absence of specific new agreements between the UK and the EU, the day-to-day life "around a shared Border will become very complicated".

Schiek says this raises key issues for Northern Ireland, including the prospect of Border controls and questions over the rights of "Border workers" and whether they would enjoy equal treatment North and South.

One of the fundamental worries for many businesses in the North is the fact that their biggest export market is on their doorstep. Latest figures from the HM Revenue & Customs show that the Republic was the North's biggest export market by far last year – worth £2.1 billion in the year up to the first quarter of 2016.

For companies like Derry-based Diamond Corrugated, which exports more than 60 per cent of its product across the Border, the question of what happens after Brexit needs to be answered quickly.

Paul Diamond, managing director of the firm, which celebrates its 40th year in business this year, says companies are engulfed in uncertainty following the UK vote to leave the EU.

Four months ago the family owned company, which employs 70 people, announced a £5.8 million investment that is expected to create an additional 19 jobs. The firm invested in high-definition flexo print technology to help it compete for new business in export markets, particularly among suppliers to multinational retailers.

Related Brexit: What is Article 50 and why does it matter?
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Eason back in profit as digital sales rise and confidence improves

Diamond is confident that it is an investment that will pay off but he would like an indication of what may be around the corner.

"Businesses don't like uncertainty. We need the British government to successfully negotiate an agreement to have access to the European single market. It is particularly important for companies in Northern Ireland because of our land border with the Republic of Ireland," Diamond says.

He believes it is critical that the status quo of the current Border arrangement on the island is maintained.

"It is crucial that we don't have a physical Border, not least because it would slow down business by slowing down our vehicles. But we also don't want a digital border which would require customs clearance and a level of red tape that would be totally unnecessary," he says.

"There is a great deal of anger, disappointment and frustration over Brexit in this area. In this Foyle constituency, almost 80 per cent of people voted to remain in the EU. We recognise that the EU has been very good for the North of Ireland."

Key arguments

One of the key arguments in the Leave campaign was the amount of money the UK would save in the event of a Brexit. In 2015, the UK government paid just under £13 billion – or £35.6 million a day – to the EU budget.

According to Alan Werlau, UK investment strategist with Davy Private Clients, if you broke it down, the equivalent Northern Ireland portion of the overall UK payment to the EU worked out at about £374 million.

Under Werlau's analysis, the estimated EU spend in the North – from EU Programmes – was £404 million. On top of that, there were additional payments, for example for research projects, which means Northern Ireland's net benefit last year could have been between £46 million and £80 million.

One key advantage of EU membership for the North, he said, was that EU funding was in many cases matched by further funding from the UK government or helped unlock co-investment from private and public sources in the North.

"If we look at the Rural Development Programme, €228 million from the EU unlocked a further €316 million of national co-funding plus an additional €216 million in national funding top-ups. That meant a total of €760 million for Northern Ireland, which is equivalent to a multiplier of 2.33 times," he said.

"Another example is the Peace IV programme where the EU contribution of €229 million was supplemented by €41 million of other funding."

Support for farmers is, of course, one of the single biggest direct influences of the EU in the local economy. Common Agricultural Policy payments to farmers in the North were scheduled to be worth more than £2.3 billion between 2014 and 2020.

Now one of the big questions is how will the funding gaps Brexit will inevitably create on the ground will be filled.

Will the UK government step into the frame?

Public spending

According to the UK treasury, the Northern Ireland Executive's block grant – the budget it receives each year – will be more than £11 billion by 2019-20.

But under the system used to calculate public spending levels in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, known as the Barnett formula, public spending per head in the North is running at 25 per cent above the UK average.

London's stance this week on how much it will cost the North to introduce lower rates of corporation tax may set the tone for future negotiations when it comes to Northern Ireland's critical financial lifeline with the UK treasury.

The North wants to introduce a new rate of corporation tax at 12.5 per cent in April 2018. The UK treasury says the block grant will be adjusted as a result – potentially by £275 million – in the years 2020 and 2021 to reflect the corporation tax revenues "forgone by the UK government due to both direct and behavioural effects".

The final amount has not yet been decided, but earlier this week Northern Ireland's First Minister Arlene Foster said she wanted to discuss with the treasury whether one of the benefits of Brexit would be a reduction in the cost of introducing the lower rate for the North as the UK would no longer have to comply with EU legislation on state aid to businesses.

However, Secretary of State for Northern Ireland Theresa Villiers has said, regardless of Brexit, the treasury will not consider making further reductions on the overall cost to the North of corporation tax. This has caused more than a ripple of concern among local business leaders and politicians.

The Executive hopes a lower rate of corporation tax will attract new investors which will in turn create thousands of additional jobs. But Esmond Birnie, PricewaterhouseCoopers' chief economist in Northern Ireland, says Brexit will undoubtedly affect the corporate tax system across the UK, raising new questions about the North's ambitions when it comes to what lower corporation tax could deliver for the local economy.

"When the UK has formally left the EU, the fundamental freedoms enshrined in EU treaties will no longer have effect and EU directives and EU case law will not be relevant to UK corporation tax," Birnie said.

"Neither will the UK government need to ensure that corporation tax legislation permits freedom of establishment in other EU member states. Depending on the exit negotiations, it may feel freer to implement measures to attract foreign investment as part of a 'UK open for business' initiative.

"What that means for Northern Ireland's proposed corporation tax reduction in 2018 is also unclear.

"With the UK presumably beyond the remit of the European Court of Justice (ECJ), the Azores judgment could cease to apply, thus negating the need for the UK government to withhold the cost of reducing corporation tax from Northern Ireland's block grant.

"However, that infers a level of generosity towards the North that Westminster may find unaffordable – or inconvenient."

One of Northern Ireland's key selling points to potential inward investors in the past has been its "competitive near-shore position to Europe" and the opportunity to take advantage of "tariff-free access to the world's largest consumer market of over 500 million people".

That may still be true today but it is anyone's guess what this proposition will look like in two years' time.

For now existing inward investors, such as the US-owned Concentrix which plans to grow its local workforce to 1,600, are watching and waiting.

Belfast-born Philip Cassidy, Concentrix's senior vice-president, says: "The uncertainty surrounding the decision to leave the European Union was anticipated by Concentrix, and we have been working with our clients and employees, both in Belfast and across Europe, to ensure that everyone is well informed of the situation and any developments. As the government has made clear, the circumstances of European citizens living and working in the UK will not change, and we are ensuring that all our staff are aware of this point.

Economic shocks

"We are reaching out to our political leaders, in both Stormont and Westminster, to ensure that the key issues and policies affecting the company are known and considered as part of the upcoming negotiations. While the re-negotiation may take up to two years, Concentrix remains committed to Belfast, our clients and employees."

Other local commentators are somewhat more blunt on the impact of the referendum outcome.

"A Brexit was never the preferred choice of the business community in Northern Ireland," said Angela McGowan, Danske Bank Northern Ireland's chief economist. "Clearly firms detest heightened uncertainty and economic shocks.

"It is disappointing that this setback has occurred at a time when the Northern Ireland economy was building up a solid recovery from the 2008-2013 recession but nevertheless we have to focus on the fact that there is going to be a period of adjustment . Northern Ireland companies are resilient and have survived plenty of adversity in the past."

She said the depreciation of sterling could in theory support external trade "but we have to remember that manufacturers are simultaneously facing rising import costs and are worried about future trade relationships".

Danske Bank says it expects the euro/sterling exchange rate to rise sharply to 0.85-0.90 over the coming months with elevated volatility.

"This could present some short-term opportunities for RoI [Republic of Ireland] trade for Northern Ireland's retailers and our local hospitality sector," says McGowan. "However, we also have to be realistic about the dent that Brexit could potentially have on domestic demand.

"This is just the beginning of a new chapter and there will undoubtedly be more changes ahead in terms of interest rates, funding streams, inflation and investment patterns."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on July 01, 2016, 09:45:47 AM
Arlene and Co have no post Brexit strategy for the North, other than to keep spewing the Union will be stronger line as they're hanging off the coattails of Westminster as they've been doing for years.

The crumbs from the Westminster table could well be drying up as the Torys will prioritise regions they need votes from and Norn Iron isn't one of them!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 01, 2016, 10:11:23 AM
I think the DUP have royally screwed up here, I don't think Robbo  would have allowed this to get so far. You now have a situation where businesses in Newtownards are looking to SF to save them! Strange times indeed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 01, 2016, 10:20:18 AM
The more this goes on, the more I am convinced brexit will NEVER happen, they may well be a recession but either a general election or a second referendum will make sense prevail, Britain needs to be in the single market and no way are they going to be without accepting free movement of people, can't see that happening and a Norway style situation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2016, 10:24:25 AM
Quote from: No wides on July 01, 2016, 10:20:18 AM
The more this goes on, the more I am convinced brexit will NEVER happen, they may well be a recession but either a general election or a second referendum will make sense prevail, Britain needs to be in the single market and no way are they going to be without accepting free movement of people, can't see that happening and a Norway style situation.
I agree. the costs are too high. Free movement of people isn't the problem anyway. The collapse of Thatcherism is the issue.
Immigration didn't destroy the north of England.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37Cmzvt549Y
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2016, 10:41:47 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2010/jul/12/laura-barton-wigan-southerner
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2016, 10:54:29 AM
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5f61e16c-2d59-11e6-a18d-a96ab29e3c95.html


For those in Shirebrook, who swapped a mine that provided quite rewarding jobs until it closed in 1993 for a warehouse that employs outsiders on low wages, the gains are less obvious. Sports Direct employs people — but not the same ones and not at the same rate. It is now hard to find a good job if your education is limited to school.

Very few consumers delve deeply into low prices — one survey by Morgan Stanley found that shoppers rated "good ethical credentials" as the 10th most important factor in choosing a retailer. But shoppers are also citizens and workers and they behave differently in these roles. The referendum offers a veto on how Sports Direct produces such value. Many will exercise it.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 01, 2016, 02:25:36 PM
We have it lads chill out. . .

http://thebrexitplan.com/

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bazil Douglas on July 01, 2016, 02:42:55 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 01, 2016, 02:25:36 PM
We have it lads chill out. . .

http://thebrexitplan.com/

Reminds me of that song, My elusive dreams.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 01, 2016, 03:09:12 PM
The more this goes on, the more the DUP claim on the political Darwin awards is secure
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/opinion/letters/dup-and-tuv-have-betrayed-scottish-unionists-and-probably-killed-the-thing-they-claim-to-love-34843777.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 01, 2016, 04:20:03 PM
Fair play to them if they're upsetting a bolx like that anyway :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2016, 06:51:48 PM
https://www.tuc.org.uk/sites/default/files/tucfiles/TheGreatWagesGrab.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on July 01, 2016, 08:04:09 PM
Interview with Michael Gove by Slugger a number of years ago on his views on Unionism in Ireland.

https://web.archive.org/web/20030409072410/http://www.sluggerotoole.com/home/archives/001059.asp
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 01, 2016, 10:19:51 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on July 01, 2016, 08:04:09 PM
Interview with Michael Gove by Slugger a number of years ago on his views on Unionism in Ireland.

https://web.archive.org/web/20030409072410/http://www.sluggerotoole.com/home/archives/001059.asp

Another comment from the nice Mr Gove.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CmMoESwWQAE6xg4.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 02, 2016, 06:23:10 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 01, 2016, 10:19:51 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on July 01, 2016, 08:04:09 PM
Interview with Michael Gove by Slugger a number of years ago on his views on Unionism in Ireland.

https://web.archive.org/web/20030409072410/http://www.sluggerotoole.com/home/archives/001059.asp

Another comment from the nice Mr Gove.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CmMoESwWQAE6xg4.jpg)

Ironic that Brexit is the catalyst for the breakup of the UK

And resentment rides high
and emotions won't grow
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zuuObGsB0No
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 02, 2016, 03:22:45 PM
http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/diarmaid-ferriter-brexit-may-bring-north-and-south-closer-1.2707279
The DUP's Jeffrey Donaldson was quick to spin a post-referendum unionist narrative, erroneously insisting his party "will be in a very strong position to influence what happens next". What the DUP will demand is "a strong package" for Northern Ireland's agricultural sector, and new, "favourable trading terms". He dismissed the idea Northern Ireland would take a financial hit: "We're going to have a lot more money within our own exchequer."
What Donaldson wants is what the North has now within the EU: free trade, a package of payments to assist agriculture and extensive subvention from the British exchequer. The desire is for Brexit to change nothing. It is difficult to see this as anything other than arrogant delusion, with the potential to do damage to unionism and, arguably, in the long-term, make the prospects of Irish unity more likely.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 04, 2016, 10:30:08 AM
Nigel Farage has stepped down as UKIP leader.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 04, 2016, 10:37:04 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 04, 2016, 10:30:08 AM
Nigel Farage has stepped down as UKIP leader.

Amazing so all the leavers will be gone by time new PM is elected.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 10:53:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 02, 2016, 03:22:45 PM
http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/diarmaid-ferriter-brexit-may-bring-north-and-south-closer-1.2707279
The DUP's Jeffrey Donaldson was quick to spin a post-referendum unionist narrative, erroneously insisting his party "will be in a very strong position to influence what happens next". What the DUP will demand is "a strong package" for Northern Ireland's agricultural sector, and new, "favourable trading terms". He dismissed the idea Northern Ireland would take a financial hit: "We're going to have a lot more money within our own exchequer."
What Donaldson wants is what the North has now within the EU: free trade, a package of payments to assist agriculture and extensive subvention from the British exchequer. The desire is for Brexit to change nothing. It is difficult to see this as anything other than arrogant delusion, with the potential to do damage to unionism and, arguably, in the long-term, make the prospects of Irish unity more likely.

There is some sort of North - South meeting today. I wouldn't be overly confident given the characters involved. This whole thing is extremely dangerous, you could easily end up with a situation where cross border trade is still possible, but more difficult, depressing large parts of the country. The suggestion today that GB would cut the corporation tax makes the NI corporation tax concession largely useless. London will send a certain amount of money, but Wales and other places will want equivalance with NI in this matter. Jeremy Donaldson might well end up winning, you'd have a 6 counties where many regret partition but which is such a complete economic basket case that there is no path to eliminating partition, which presumably explains the DUP approach to Brexit all along.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 04, 2016, 11:08:51 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 04, 2016, 10:30:08 AM
Nigel Farage has stepped down as UKIP leader.
He is a liability. None of the leavers want to clean up the mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 04, 2016, 11:25:12 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 04, 2016, 11:08:51 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 04, 2016, 10:30:08 AM
Nigel Farage has stepped down as UKIP leader.
He is a liability. None of the leavers want to clean up the mess.

Surely those that voted leave are now starting to see the mess that this has created, when even the two loudest champions for it can't even stand over it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on July 04, 2016, 12:07:28 PM
When is that fella that is the head of the DUP going to stand down i wonder
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 01:21:51 PM
The DUP really come across as the most inept shower of flag waving gobshites who's only priority is reaffirming their Britishness and cementing their supremacy over Nationalists. They're more concerned with pleasing their English overlords than they are representing the interests of people in NI. I've said it before but it is depressing that so many morons vote for them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on July 04, 2016, 01:21:59 PM
Rick Moranis - Ghostbusters
(http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/02515/Michael-Gove_2515461b.jpg)

Michael Gove - Politician
(http://www.followingthenerd.com/site/wp-content/uploads/louis-tully.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 01:31:24 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 01:21:51 PM
The DUP really come across as the most inept shower of flag waving gobshites who's only priority is reaffirming their Britishness and cementing their supremacy over Nationalists. They're more concerned with pleasing their English overlords than they are representing the interests of people in NI. I've said it before but it is depressing that so many morons vote for them

Indeed. Many of the people who voted for them will be paying in the their pocket.
I note that Hamilton, the economy minister, refuses to say have how he voted, and he seems to be getting it in the ear when talking to companies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on July 04, 2016, 01:33:53 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 01:21:51 PM
The DUP really come across as the most inept shower of flag waving gobshites who's only priority is reaffirming their Britishness and cementing their supremacy over Nationalists. They're more concerned with pleasing their English overlords than they are representing the interests of people in NI. I've said it before but it is depressing that so many morons vote for them

Do the morons even have an alternative to vote for though?? How the working class loyalist community in Belfast and other towns vote for the DUP is beyond me. They've done nothing to improve the loyalist ghettos. Schools and housing is shameful compared to other areas. Arlene is pathetic, jesus Peter Robinson wasnt half as bad!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
East Belfast is probably the most oppressed place in NI coutesy of... the DUP. yet every election time who gets voted in .... the DUP.

You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on July 04, 2016, 01:55:59 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
East Belfast is probably the most oppressed place in NI coutesy of... the DUP. yet every election time who gets voted in .... the DUP.

You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Keep the masses uneducated, feed them full of fear of themmuns and watch the votes flood in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 04, 2016, 01:59:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
East Belfast is probably the most oppressed place in NI coutesy of... the DUP. yet every election time who gets voted in .... the DUP.

You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Ditto W Belfast & SF
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 02:02:35 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Has there been much progress in the last 20 years on this matter? If anything 20 years ago there was some hope of the likes of the PUP having a different style.

I think the Brexit vote is a good example of the hopelessness of the place, as people voted for it in the full knowledge that NI would suffer economically from it, that it would advance Scottish nationalism and that people in border areas of NI would be seriously pissed off. FFS, even if you were in the DUP, the Orange Order and the NI supporters club would you not leave well enough alone when you were ahead?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 04, 2016, 02:29:09 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 02:02:35 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Has there been much progress in the last 20 years on this matter? If anything 20 years ago there was some hope of the likes of the PUP having a different style.

I think the Brexit vote is a good example of the hopelessness of the place, as people voted for it in the full knowledge that NI would suffer economically from it, that it would advance Scottish nationalism and that people in border areas of NI would be seriously pissed off. FFS, even if you were in the DUP, the Orange Order and the NI supporters club would you not leave well enough alone when you were ahead?

I would wager that 99% of those voting for a Leave result had no idea that any of the above was even on the agenda.

All they thought about was all these immigrants stealing their benefits and clogging up the hospitals etc. They followed the lies by Boris and Farage and repeated by the DUP.

Osborne has already shafted the DUP position with the Corp Tax.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 04, 2016, 02:39:17 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 04, 2016, 02:29:09 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 02:02:35 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Has there been much progress in the last 20 years on this matter? If anything 20 years ago there was some hope of the likes of the PUP having a different style.

I think the Brexit vote is a good example of the hopelessness of the place, as people voted for it in the full knowledge that NI would suffer economically from it, that it would advance Scottish nationalism and that people in border areas of NI would be seriously pissed off. FFS, even if you were in the DUP, the Orange Order and the NI supporters club would you not leave well enough alone when you were ahead?

I would wager that 99% of those voting for a Leave result had no idea that any of the above was even on the agenda.

All they thought about was all these immigrants stealing their benefits and clogging up the hospitals etc. They followed the lies by Boris and Farage and repeated by the DUP.

Osborne has already shafted the DUP position with the Corp Tax.

Irish government might worry too if UK gets the trade deals correct.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 02:42:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 02:02:35 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Has there been much progress in the last 20 years on this matter? If anything 20 years ago there was some hope of the likes of the PUP having a different style.

I think the Brexit vote is a good example of the hopelessness of the place, as people voted for it in the full knowledge that NI would suffer economically from it, that it would advance Scottish nationalism and that people in border areas of NI would be seriously pissed off. FFS, even if you were in the DUP, the Orange Order and the NI supporters club would you not leave well enough alone when you were ahead?

At least there was a majority but to be honest it was nowhere near where it should be.

The PUP were ok with David Ervine but Hutchinson is not a good man and with him involved an some of the people standing for PUP they appear to have nothing bar bitterness.

Really the DUP have got nothing to offer in the whole thing. I am hoping the fact that they have probably weakened the union comes back to haunt them and they get ousted.Not that a UI is anything which would happen an time soon or anything but the economic stability the UK offered a week or two ago isn't there and would sway people if push came to shove. If the DUP got ousted from power in stormont that would be a very good and progressive day for NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on July 04, 2016, 02:51:44 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 02:42:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 02:02:35 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Has there been much progress in the last 20 years on this matter? If anything 20 years ago there was some hope of the likes of the PUP having a different style.

I think the Brexit vote is a good example of the hopelessness of the place, as people voted for it in the full knowledge that NI would suffer economically from it, that it would advance Scottish nationalism and that people in border areas of NI would be seriously pissed off. FFS, even if you were in the DUP, the Orange Order and the NI supporters club would you not leave well enough alone when you were ahead?

At least there was a majority but to be honest it was nowhere near where it should be.

The PUP were ok with David Ervine but Hutchinson is not a good man and with him involved an some of the people standing for PUP they appear to have nothing bar bitterness.

Really the DUP have got nothing to offer in the whole thing. I am hoping the fact that they have probably weakened the union comes back to haunt them and they get ousted.Not that a UI is anything which would happen an time soon or anything but the economic stability the UK offered a week or two ago isn't there and would sway people if push came to shove. If the DUP got ousted from power in stormont that would be a very good and progressive day for NI.

Replaced by the UUP?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 03:03:04 PM
Still better...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 04:02:01 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 04, 2016, 02:29:09 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 02:02:35 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Has there been much progress in the last 20 years on this matter? If anything 20 years ago there was some hope of the likes of the PUP having a different style.

I think the Brexit vote is a good example of the hopelessness of the place, as people voted for it in the full knowledge that NI would suffer economically from it, that it would advance Scottish nationalism and that people in border areas of NI would be seriously pissed off. FFS, even if you were in the DUP, the Orange Order and the NI supporters club would you not leave well enough alone when you were ahead?

I would wager that 99% of those voting for a Leave result had no idea that any of the above was even on the agenda.

All they thought about was all these immigrants stealing their benefits and clogging up the hospitals etc. They followed the lies by Boris and Farage and repeated by the DUP.


This might have been true in England, but nobody in NI could have failed to notice that it is shares an island with another jurisdiction, that's what politics largely revolves around. They voted, 18 years after the GFA when nationalists have been working the thing fair and square and we've had peace, to close the border to piss off the taigs. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 04:34:23 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on July 04, 2016, 01:33:53 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 01:21:51 PM
The DUP really come across as the most inept shower of flag waving gobshites who's only priority is reaffirming their Britishness and cementing their supremacy over Nationalists. They're more concerned with pleasing their English overlords than they are representing the interests of people in NI. I've said it before but it is depressing that so many morons vote for them

Do the morons even have an alternative to vote for though?? How the working class loyalist community in Belfast and other towns vote for the DUP is beyond me. They've done nothing to improve the loyalist ghettos. Schools and housing is shameful compared to other areas. Arlene is pathetic, jesus Peter Robinson wasnt half as bad!
They are littered with loyalist parasites like Gregory Campbell and Nelson McCausland - so they don't need an alternative with the likes of these boys standing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on July 04, 2016, 04:38:44 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 04:34:23 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on July 04, 2016, 01:33:53 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 01:21:51 PM
The DUP really come across as the most inept shower of flag waving gobshites who's only priority is reaffirming their Britishness and cementing their supremacy over Nationalists. They're more concerned with pleasing their English overlords than they are representing the interests of people in NI. I've said it before but it is depressing that so many morons vote for them

Do the morons even have an alternative to vote for though?? How the working class loyalist community in Belfast and other towns vote for the DUP is beyond me. They've done nothing to improve the loyalist ghettos. Schools and housing is shameful compared to other areas. Arlene is pathetic, jesus Peter Robinson wasnt half as bad!
They are littered with loyalist parasites like Gregory Campbell and Nelson McCausland - so they don't need an alternative with the likes of these boys standing.

Loyalists in suits!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 04:42:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 04:02:01 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 04, 2016, 02:29:09 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 02:02:35 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 01:53:15 PM
You couldn't make it up. There will hopefully come a time when people vote properly but unfortunately doesn't appear to be any time soon.

Has there been much progress in the last 20 years on this matter? If anything 20 years ago there was some hope of the likes of the PUP having a different style.

I think the Brexit vote is a good example of the hopelessness of the place, as people voted for it in the full knowledge that NI would suffer economically from it, that it would advance Scottish nationalism and that people in border areas of NI would be seriously pissed off. FFS, even if you were in the DUP, the Orange Order and the NI supporters club would you not leave well enough alone when you were ahead?

I would wager that 99% of those voting for a Leave result had no idea that any of the above was even on the agenda.

All they thought about was all these immigrants stealing their benefits and clogging up the hospitals etc. They followed the lies by Boris and Farage and repeated by the DUP.


This might have been true in England, but nobody in NI could have failed to notice that it is shares an island with another jurisdiction, that's what politics largely revolves around. They voted, 18 years after the GFA when nationalists have been working the thing fair and square and we've had peace, to close the border to piss off the taigs.

I wouldn't be as optimistic as you about that. 44% voted to leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 05:58:04 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 04:42:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 04, 2016, 04:02:01 PM
This might have been true in England, but nobody in NI could have failed to notice that it is shares an island with another jurisdiction, that's what politics largely revolves around. They voted, 18 years after the GFA when nationalists have been working the thing fair and square and we've had peace, to close the border to piss off the taigs.

I wouldn't be as optimistic as you about that. 44% voted to leave.

I'm not optimistic, how could anyone be optimistic?  44% (i.e. the overwhelming majority of big U unionists) were happy to see the whole GFA in the bin and whatever about the EU the GFA has largely worked as advertised. Now if the "process" somehow managed to mitigate the damage then it might not be so bad, but Foster and Lord Haw-haw Donaldson are going around vetoing talks on the issue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 06:09:33 PM
I almost think the gfa has worked despite the dup and not because of them. I don't think they have anything constructive to offer at all. Putting the economy in their hands is a frightening prospect.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 04, 2016, 06:13:09 PM
http://blogs.ft.com/david-allen-green/2016/07/04/the-three-steps-that-mean-brexit-may-never-happen/

The three steps that mean Brexit may never happen

David Allen Green   

Author alerts


  |  Jul 04 13:57  |  105 comments  |  Share       

The established order in any society can sometimes be wrong-footed, but they are usually not wrong-footed for long. Genuine revolutionaries know this, and they act quickly to take full advantage of any temporary advantage. Soon, however, the established order will regroup and refocus, with renewed determination.

The generally pro-EU political class in the United Kingdom has certainly had a fright. They were not expecting to lose the EU referendum. British political leaders were so confident of victory they even casually said that the people's decision would be implemented "straight away". And now there is a crisis, but only for a while.

Already the un-codified (and some would say "unwritten") constitution may be saving the pro-EU political class from their own folly and complacency. The referendum was never binding in law (as this law and policy blog pointed out nine days before the vote). Indeed, the referendum had little legal – as opposed to political – significance. It was a glorified consultation exercise. The real decision has to be made afterwards, as a distinct legal act. This is the decision envisaged by the now-famous "Article 50″ – the EU treaty provision which deals with member states wanting to leave the EU.

The prime minister David Cameron was expected to make that decision immediately, on the day of the result. But he did not. He has left it to his successor to make. This deft uncoupling of the referendum result from the formal decision to quit the EU was significant. In my view, it will become the first of three steps the still pro-EU UK government will take to delay Brexit – and perhaps will delay it so long that it never happens.

The reason the government may get away with this manoeuvre is because the leaders of the Leave campaign either did not expect to win or naively thought winning a referendum would be enough. In either case there was no plan: no notion of any follow-through. And so when the government became wrong-footed nothing was done. They had won the Referendum Battle, but they did not act swiftly to also win the Brexit War.

Unless a sincere Brexit campaigner wins the Conservative leadership election and becomes the next prime minister, the UK government can be expected to now take three steps to slow down the Brexit process in the hope (and perhaps expectation) that it does not happen.

The first step has already happened: Mr Cameron snapped the tie between the referendum result and the Article 50 notification.

The second step will be when the government says that the form of the decision will require some form of parliamentary vote: either a resolution or a motion, or even a fresh statute. Views vary among legal pundits on whether this is strictly necessary — my view is that it is not, and if the prime minister and cabinet had decided on referendum day to make an immediate notification, no court would have quashed the decision or injuncted him from making the notification. But it is a convenient view for a procrastinating government to adopt, and the result of any parliamentary vote cannot be taken for granted by leave supporters. Few members of parliament or peers support Brexit.

The third step will be the proposal of preconditions before further action. Many will remember Gordon Brown's "five tests" for UK to join the euro (which were never tests in any real sense, but that detail was not important). Already contenders for the Tory leadership, such as Theresa May, the home secretary, are talking of situations being right and that things will be done when they are good and ready. This vagueness will no doubt shortly convert into more formal terms. After all, this would only be what any responsible government would do before taking ever such an important action.

None of this is to say Brexit is impossible – any pundit who claims an event will not happen will usually be wrong – but it certainly becomes less likely as time passes. And unless Leave create another moment of opportunity – another wrong-footing of the established order – so as to force through the required Article 50 notification, then it may not happen at all.

David Allen Green writes the law and policy blog at FT.com


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 04, 2016, 06:14:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 04, 2016, 06:09:33 PM
I almost think the gfa has worked despite the dup and not because of them. I don't think they have anything constructive to offer at all. Putting the economy in their hands is a frightening prospect.
the protestant brain drain - how many Protestant QUB graduates work in Scotland of England- is reflected in the policies of the DUP who are elected by the rump. Gregory Campbell symbolises the situation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on July 04, 2016, 08:51:58 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 04:34:23 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on July 04, 2016, 01:33:53 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 01:21:51 PM
The DUP really come across as the most inept shower of flag waving gobshites who's only priority is reaffirming their Britishness and cementing their supremacy over Nationalists. They're more concerned with pleasing their English overlords than they are representing the interests of people in NI. I've said it before but it is depressing that so many morons vote for them

Do the morons even have an alternative to vote for though?? How the working class loyalist community in Belfast and other towns vote for the DUP is beyond me. They've done nothing to improve the loyalist ghettos. Schools and housing is shameful compared to other areas. Arlene is pathetic, jesus Peter Robinson wasnt half as bad!
They are littered with loyalist parasites like Gregory Campbell and Nelson McCausland - so they don't need an alternative with the likes of these boys standing.

The tosser jay walked across the road in front of me this evening. But if I'd run him over then I'd be arrested. Where's the logic in that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: foxcommander on July 04, 2016, 09:11:37 PM
Quote from: Orior on July 04, 2016, 08:51:58 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 04:34:23 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on July 04, 2016, 01:33:53 PM
Quote from: general_lee on July 04, 2016, 01:21:51 PM
The DUP really come across as the most inept shower of flag waving gobshites who's only priority is reaffirming their Britishness and cementing their supremacy over Nationalists. They're more concerned with pleasing their English overlords than they are representing the interests of people in NI. I've said it before but it is depressing that so many morons vote for them

Do the morons even have an alternative to vote for though?? How the working class loyalist community in Belfast and other towns vote for the DUP is beyond me. They've done nothing to improve the loyalist ghettos. Schools and housing is shameful compared to other areas. Arlene is pathetic, jesus Peter Robinson wasnt half as bad!
They are littered with loyalist parasites like Gregory Campbell and Nelson McCausland - so they don't need an alternative with the likes of these boys standing.

The t**ser jay walked across the road in front of me this evening. But if I'd run him over then I'd be arrested. Where's the logic in that?

Surely you could have claimed it was an accident if he wasn't at a designated zebra crossing?
You'd have been up there with the chap that plugged Seawright.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on July 04, 2016, 09:40:14 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 04, 2016, 10:30:08 AM
Nigel Farage has stepped down as UKIP leader.
Apparently he wants to spend more time with his wife before she is deported.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 04, 2016, 10:38:08 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/04/standard-life-shuts-property-fund-post-brexit-withdrawals


Not going so well
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 12:50:17 AM
Geldof urging people to take to the streets. What a tool.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 05, 2016, 02:52:08 AM
It is a very powerful tool indeed Benny, well said, never under estimate the power of public protest
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 08:20:27 AM
All this talk of why it shouldn't happen, why it'll never happen, how we can stop it happen, ignores the fact that it was a democratic decision. I was very much against Brexit, but I'm even more against anything that treads roughshod over democracy.

The attitude towards those who voted for Brexit (didn't know what they were voting for, knuckle draggers, racists, etc) is also pretty patronising - if the vote was re ran as is being suggested (!) tomorrow there still would be a very sizeable out vote - perhaps instead of dismissing them as crazies the sensible thing to do would be to actually try to understand where its coming from and why.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 08:36:04 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 08:20:27 AM
All this talk of why it shouldn't happen, why it'll never happen, how we can stop it happen, ignores the fact that it was a democratic decision. I was very much against Brexit, but I'm even more against anything that treads roughshod over democracy.

The attitude towards those who voted for Brexit (didn't know what they were voting for, knuckle draggers, racists, etc) is also pretty patronising - if the vote was re ran as is being suggested (!) tomorrow there still would be a very sizeable out vote - perhaps instead of dismissing them as crazies the sensible thing to do would be to actually try to understand where its coming from and why.

Dont think anyone is ignoring the democracy in all this, but the fact is that the leave side (or a sizeable portion of) were manipulated, lied too or what ever you want to call in order to secure their vote.

Three quick examples off hand, the £350m to the NHS, Arlene and her Corp Tax & Immigration.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 05, 2016, 08:40:09 AM
The reality is that it is not something there should ever have been a public vote on and the aftermath has illustrated this.

There are reasons to leave the EU no doubt but it just doesn't feel like the majority of the people who voted to leave did so for this reason. They were duped.

Anyone else find it irritating that Farage is still an MEP lifting 80-90k a year? It is immoral at best.

It's also amusing now the DUP and TUV talking about democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:10:34 AM
Thats exactly the attitude I'm talking about. 'They were lied to and stupidly believed the lies - we are right, and if they just had more sense they'd agree with us'. Seems pretty arrogant, and its being propogated by large sections of the media.

You don't think every side in any vote is lied to, manipulated?

We need to get over ourselves. My point if the vote was rerun tomorrow there would still be a sizeable 'Out' vote, probably a 50/50 chance on winning again, was in relation to discounting those who said afterwards in interviews saying they didn't expect to win etc. Fact is, they did win, in a democratic vote, and talk about re-running or ignoring the result may temporarily defend EU'ness, but would have a much greater and more long standing ill effect in destroying democracy.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on July 05, 2016, 09:14:00 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:10:34 AM
Thats exactly the attitude I'm talking about. 'They were lied to and stupidly believed the lies - we are right, and if they just had more sense they'd agree with us'. Seems pretty arrogant, and its being propogated by large sections of the media.

You don't think every side in any vote is lied to, manipulated?

We need to get over ourselves. My point if the vote was rerun tomorrow there would still be a sizeable 'Out' vote, probably a 50/50 chance on winning again, was in relation to discounting those who said afterwards in interviews saying they didn't expect to win etc. Fact is, they did win, in a democratic vote, and talk about re-running or ignoring the result may temporarily defend EU'ness, but would have a much greater and more long standing ill effect in destroying democracy.

For such a huge constitutional change it should have required a 2/3 majority. The vote was really too close for such a massive change to occur.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 05, 2016, 09:14:49 AM
it wouldn't be 50/50 due to the impact it has had on the pound, the various banks etc.

Both sides were lied to but the leave side could not back up what it said and it has zero plan now. Would that have been what most voters expected?

It really shouldn't have been an issue the general public voted on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 09:17:20 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:10:34 AM
Thats exactly the attitude I'm talking about. 'They were lied to and stupidly believed the lies - we are right, and if they just had more sense they'd agree with us'. Seems pretty arrogant, and its being propogated by large sections of the media.

You don't think every side in any vote is lied to, manipulated?

We need to get over ourselves. My point if the vote was rerun tomorrow there would still be a sizeable 'Out' vote, probably a 50/50 chance on winning again, was in relation to discounting those who said afterwards in interviews saying they didn't expect to win etc. Fact is, they did win, in a democratic vote, and talk about re-running or ignoring the result may temporarily defend EU'ness, but would have a much greater and more long standing ill effect in destroying democracy.

And it is true, nothing dangerous about that. Its fact. I said a good proportion not all.

You are failing to see that the same media that are now propagating this message are same said media that spread the lies and the hate that mainly led to the vote going the way it went.

Take into the fact that of the four regions that took the vote, two voted to stay so where is the democracy for those regions?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 09:20:18 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 08:36:04 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 08:20:27 AM
All this talk of why it shouldn't happen, why it'll never happen, how we can stop it happen, ignores the fact that it was a democratic decision. I was very much against Brexit, but I'm even more against anything that treads roughshod over democracy.

The attitude towards those who voted for Brexit (didn't know what they were voting for, knuckle draggers, racists, etc) is also pretty patronising - if the vote was re ran as is being suggested (!) tomorrow there still would be a very sizeable out vote - perhaps instead of dismissing them as crazies the sensible thing to do would be to actually try to understand where its coming from and why.

Dont think anyone is ignoring the democracy in all this, but the fact is that the leave side (or a sizeable portion of) were manipulated, lied too or what ever you want to call in order to secure their vote.

Three quick examples off hand, the £350m to the NHS, Arlene and her Corp Tax & Immigration.

Manipulated and lied to you say? Just like every other election then! When has any party/politican kept their pre-election promises once voted in?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 09:22:18 AM
It probably won't happen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:24:02 AM
Quote from: lenny on July 05, 2016, 09:14:00 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:10:34 AM
Thats exactly the attitude I'm talking about. 'They were lied to and stupidly believed the lies - we are right, and if they just had more sense they'd agree with us'. Seems pretty arrogant, and its being propogated by large sections of the media.

You don't think every side in any vote is lied to, manipulated?

We need to get over ourselves. My point if the vote was rerun tomorrow there would still be a sizeable 'Out' vote, probably a 50/50 chance on winning again, was in relation to discounting those who said afterwards in interviews saying they didn't expect to win etc. Fact is, they did win, in a democratic vote, and talk about re-running or ignoring the result may temporarily defend EU'ness, but would have a much greater and more long standing ill effect in destroying democracy.

For such a huge constitutional change it should have required a 2/3 majority. The vote was really too close for such a massive change to occur.

It was fine when it looked like Remain would win tho, wasn't it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 09:25:46 AM
So will they keep going until they get the 'right' answer? The people have spoken, end of.

I notice that there hasn't been a third vote on the Lisbon treaty. I didn't hear Geldof spouting his crap when the Irish were dragged back to the polls!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on July 05, 2016, 09:26:22 AM
I firmly believe that if it was to be voted on in the morning it would be 60/40 remain. The amount of people i know that voted out and are now back peddling is just silly. And why ? Because they didn't think Out would actually happen, it was a protest vote and driven by the immigration issue largely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:27:07 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 05, 2016, 09:14:49 AM
it wouldn't be 50/50 due to the impact it has had on the pound, the various banks etc.

Both sides were lied to but the leave side could not back up what it said and it has zero plan now. Would that have been what most voters expected?

It really shouldn't have been an issue the general public voted on.

It wasn't suppposed to be 50/50 first time round either.

If Remain were also lied to then they wouldn't have been able to back up those either. Of course, now they don't have to.

Well, perhaps, but it was, and now we should be at the very least acknowledging the result.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 09:31:35 AM
Leadsom is odious
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 09:31:47 AM
Quote from: maddog on July 05, 2016, 09:26:22 AM
I firmly believe that if it was to be voted on in the morning it would be 60/40 remain. The amount of people i know that voted out and are now back peddling is just silly. And why ? Because they didn't think Out would actually happen, it was a protest vote and driven by the immigration issue largely.

So you've spoke to 40 odd million people on this?

If ran again, Remain would probably win. But people would change to Remain because they've been told by the media that it's wrong.

If immigration was their reason for Leave, that's their choice. It's their vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:32:33 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 09:17:20 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:10:34 AM
Thats exactly the attitude I'm talking about. 'They were lied to and stupidly believed the lies - we are right, and if they just had more sense they'd agree with us'. Seems pretty arrogant, and its being propogated by large sections of the media.

You don't think every side in any vote is lied to, manipulated?

We need to get over ourselves. My point if the vote was rerun tomorrow there would still be a sizeable 'Out' vote, probably a 50/50 chance on winning again, was in relation to discounting those who said afterwards in interviews saying they didn't expect to win etc. Fact is, they did win, in a democratic vote, and talk about re-running or ignoring the result may temporarily defend EU'ness, but would have a much greater and more long standing ill effect in destroying democracy.

And it is true, nothing dangerous about that. Its fact. I said a good proportion not all.

You are failing to see that the same media that are now propagating this message are same said media that spread the lies and the hate that mainly led to the vote going the way it went.

Take into the fact that of the four regions that took the vote, two voted to stay so where is the democracy for those regions?
Do you read the daily mail, the express? No? You do as we all probably do - read the papers which reinforce your own views. Thats the media who is propagating this image of idiots voting 'Leave'. Tell you one thing - there were a hell of a lot of them. Thats democracy. Perhaps there should be an IQ test/educational standard to be achieved before being allowed to vote??

You've said it - regions. Like it or not, we're a region of the UK for these purposes. To break down what you're suggesting fully, its that anyone who votes against the eventual result, should be entitled to ignore it. That doesn't sound like democracy to me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 09:34:06 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:27:07 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 05, 2016, 09:14:49 AM
it wouldn't be 50/50 due to the impact it has had on the pound, the various banks etc.

Both sides were lied to but the leave side could not back up what it said and it has zero plan now. Would that have been what most voters expected?

It really shouldn't have been an issue the general public voted on.

It wasn't suppposed to be 50/50 first time round either.

If Remain were also lied to then they wouldn't have been able to back up those either. Of course, now they don't have to.

Well, perhaps, but it was, and now we should be at the very least acknowledging the result.

Second point - spot on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:34:49 AM
Quote from: maddog on July 05, 2016, 09:26:22 AM
I firmly believe that if it was to be voted on in the morning it would be 60/40 remain. The amount of people i know that voted out and are now back peddling is just silly. And why ? Because they didn't think Out would actually happen, it was a protest vote and driven by the immigration issue largely.

How many people did you speak to before who said they were voting 'Leave? I was speaking to very few, and came to the conclusion that in this age of social media everyone is media savvy and outwardly goes with the populist view, regardless of their actual view/vote. I certainly saw v little correlation between what people were saying and what happened.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 09:42:15 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:32:33 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 09:17:20 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:10:34 AM
Thats exactly the attitude I'm talking about. 'They were lied to and stupidly believed the lies - we are right, and if they just had more sense they'd agree with us'. Seems pretty arrogant, and its being propogated by large sections of the media.

You don't think every side in any vote is lied to, manipulated?

We need to get over ourselves. My point if the vote was rerun tomorrow there would still be a sizeable 'Out' vote, probably a 50/50 chance on winning again, was in relation to discounting those who said afterwards in interviews saying they didn't expect to win etc. Fact is, they did win, in a democratic vote, and talk about re-running or ignoring the result may temporarily defend EU'ness, but would have a much greater and more long standing ill effect in destroying democracy.

And it is true, nothing dangerous about that. Its fact. I said a good proportion not all.

You are failing to see that the same media that are now propagating this message are same said media that spread the lies and the hate that mainly led to the vote going the way it went.

Take into the fact that of the four regions that took the vote, two voted to stay so where is the democracy for those regions?
Do you read the daily mail, the express? No? You do as we all probably do - read the papers which reinforce your own views. Thats the media who is propagating this image of idiots voting 'Leave'. Tell you one thing - there were a hell of a lot of them. Thats democracy. Perhaps there should be an IQ test/educational standard to be achieved before being allowed to vote??

You've said it - regions. Like it or not, we're a region of the UK for these purposes. To break down what you're suggesting fully, its that anyone who votes against the eventual result, should be entitled to ignore it. That doesn't sound like democracy to me.

And who controls the Right leaning media?
Who is trying to influence who the next PM is?

I'm not saying that there should be a IQ test for voters, but at the same time when people are blatantly lied too in an election campaign which naturally influences the vote there is also something wrong with that. Especially when it is being driven and controlled to suit the agenda of one individual.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 10:13:02 AM
I stand by the view that anyone who voted Leave is stupid.

Banks and any profitable business warned before the Election that a Leave vote would be a catastrophe and they would have to seriously consider relocating, Economists told us that Sterling would tumble and there would be another recession, anybody with half a brain knows that NI is being propped up by Europe and we are now going to get shafted.

People voted for Immigrants to be deported and for more money for the NHS. Immigrants will not be deported and the NHS is not getting more money so what exactly did these idiots vote for?!!

There was a General Election in May last year where people should have exercised their protest vote the EU referendum was not the time to do it and what we have seen since the Vote has showed that.

As Agent K said "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 10:19:59 AM
http://www.joe.ie/news/heres-how-much-it-will-brexit-trade-negotiations-will-cost-the-uk/551735?utm_content=bufferfc310&utm_medium=Social+organic&utm_source=Twitter&utm_campaign=Buffer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 10:29:19 AM
Quote from: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 10:13:02 AM
I stand by the view that anyone who voted Leave is stupid.

Banks and any profitable business warned before the Election that a Leave vote would be a catastrophe and they would have to seriously consider relocating, Economists told us that Sterling would tumble and there would be another recession, anybody with half a brain knows that NI is being propped up by Europe and we are now going to get shafted.

People voted for Immigrants to be deported and for more money for the NHS. Immigrants will not be deported and the NHS is not getting more money so what exactly did these idiots vote for?!!

There was a General Election in May last year where people should have exercised their protest vote the EU referendum was not the time to do it and what we have seen since the Vote has showed that.

As Agent K said "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it."
Immigration is one of the few growth generators in modern economies. GDP is based on money spent so the more people the more money is spent.
Over half of Swiss growth since 1999 is immigration related.

We need a new economic system
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 10:33:57 AM
This was a profoundly immature debate, the first principle should be that if those advocating change have left unknowns that you do not vote for change until they propose a clear plan. In this case Leave produced no real plan, but put forward the notion that the idea of a plan or listening to experts wasn't needed.
If you have an election and parties promise x,y,z, then if they do not deliver you can throw them out next time. In this case those who promised x,y,z have fecked off and left other people to deliver.

Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:32:33 AM
You've said it - regions. Like it or not, we're a region of the UK for these purposes. To break down what you're suggesting fully, its that anyone who votes against the eventual result, should be entitled to ignore it. That doesn't sound like democracy to me.

Northern Ireland is a special case, it has had an international agreement to say so. What is being proposed here is simple colonialism and a clear renegation on the Good Friday Agreement.


Quote from: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 10:13:02 AM
I stand by the view that anyone who voted Leave is stupid.

Not everyone. Some regard the collateral damage as worth it. e.g. DUP/TUV bigots here, or people in England who want rid of immigrants.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on July 05, 2016, 10:37:02 AM
Anyone who voted leave is an idiot. Especially anyone from here who voted Leave. Saw some unionist cattle dealer explain his reasons and thought to myself what a f**king eejit. Even the UFU couldn't bring themselves to publicly support Leave. Gotta admire unionism's faith in the tories though lol haha
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 05, 2016, 10:52:33 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 09:42:15 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:32:33 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 09:17:20 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:10:34 AM
Thats exactly the attitude I'm talking about. 'They were lied to and stupidly believed the lies - we are right, and if they just had more sense they'd agree with us'. Seems pretty arrogant, and its being propogated by large sections of the media.

You don't think every side in any vote is lied to, manipulated?

We need to get over ourselves. My point if the vote was rerun tomorrow there would still be a sizeable 'Out' vote, probably a 50/50 chance on winning again, was in relation to discounting those who said afterwards in interviews saying they didn't expect to win etc. Fact is, they did win, in a democratic vote, and talk about re-running or ignoring the result may temporarily defend EU'ness, but would have a much greater and more long standing ill effect in destroying democracy.

And it is true, nothing dangerous about that. Its fact. I said a good proportion not all.

You are failing to see that the same media that are now propagating this message are same said media that spread the lies and the hate that mainly led to the vote going the way it went.

Take into the fact that of the four regions that took the vote, two voted to stay so where is the democracy for those regions?
Do you read the daily mail, the express? No? You do as we all probably do - read the papers which reinforce your own views. Thats the media who is propagating this image of idiots voting 'Leave'. Tell you one thing - there were a hell of a lot of them. Thats democracy. Perhaps there should be an IQ test/educational standard to be achieved before being allowed to vote??

You've said it - regions. Like it or not, we're a region of the UK for these purposes. To break down what you're suggesting fully, its that anyone who votes against the eventual result, should be entitled to ignore it. That doesn't sound like democracy to me.

And who controls the Right leaning media?
Who is trying to influence who the next PM is?

I'm not saying that there should be a IQ test for voters, but at the same time when people are blatantly lied too in an election campaign which naturally influences the vote there is also something wrong with that. Especially when it is being driven and controlled to suit the agenda of one individual.

The Times, owned by Rupert Murdoch & would be described as "right leaning media" backed Remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 11:05:27 AM
Quote from: Minder on July 05, 2016, 10:52:33 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 09:42:15 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:32:33 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 05, 2016, 09:17:20 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:10:34 AM
Thats exactly the attitude I'm talking about. 'They were lied to and stupidly believed the lies - we are right, and if they just had more sense they'd agree with us'. Seems pretty arrogant, and its being propogated by large sections of the media.

You don't think every side in any vote is lied to, manipulated?

We need to get over ourselves. My point if the vote was rerun tomorrow there would still be a sizeable 'Out' vote, probably a 50/50 chance on winning again, was in relation to discounting those who said afterwards in interviews saying they didn't expect to win etc. Fact is, they did win, in a democratic vote, and talk about re-running or ignoring the result may temporarily defend EU'ness, but would have a much greater and more long standing ill effect in destroying democracy.

And it is true, nothing dangerous about that. Its fact. I said a good proportion not all.

You are failing to see that the same media that are now propagating this message are same said media that spread the lies and the hate that mainly led to the vote going the way it went.

Take into the fact that of the four regions that took the vote, two voted to stay so where is the democracy for those regions?
Do you read the daily mail, the express? No? You do as we all probably do - read the papers which reinforce your own views. Thats the media who is propagating this image of idiots voting 'Leave'. Tell you one thing - there were a hell of a lot of them. Thats democracy. Perhaps there should be an IQ test/educational standard to be achieved before being allowed to vote??

You've said it - regions. Like it or not, we're a region of the UK for these purposes. To break down what you're suggesting fully, its that anyone who votes against the eventual result, should be entitled to ignore it. That doesn't sound like democracy to me.

And who controls the Right leaning media?
Who is trying to influence who the next PM is?

I'm not saying that there should be a IQ test for voters, but at the same time when people are blatantly lied too in an election campaign which naturally influences the vote there is also something wrong with that. Especially when it is being driven and controlled to suit the agenda of one individual.

The Times, owned by Rupert Murdoch & would be described as "right leaning media" backed Remain.

Yet The Sun campaign to Leave?

Puppets on strings

Looking at the voting demographics which paper do you think would have had more influence Minder?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 11:13:45 AM
Unfortunately, the British media, the likes of the Sun, have been peddling this anti EU cack for years with nonsense about straight bananas and the like, the list of myths (http://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/) is endless. Apparently. the EU decided to abolish double decker buses over 20 years ago, not surprising Boris and Wright were opposed. Oddly enough there are still double decker buses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 11:18:52 AM
http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-belfast-agreement-is-a-threat-to-the-new-english-nationalism-1.2710209

Fintan O'Toole: Belfast Agreement is a threat to the new English nationalism

The Government must oppose moves to take NI out of the EU against its will



Northern Ireland is not Lincolnshire or Somerset. It is a distinct and unique political entity, recognised as such by an international treaty registered with the United Nations: the Belfast Agreement of 1998.

Its people have a right to consent to the political arrangements by which they are governed – and they did not consent to being removed from the European Union.

It is thus the duty of the Government to make it clear to the British government that Northern Ireland cannot and must not be taken out of the EU against its will. Ireland must engage with the EU at every level to insist that Northern Ireland remain a part of the EU. This will be complex, but so is Northern Ireland.

The Brexiteers don't give a damn about Northern Ireland. In fact, at least two of the leading candidates for leadership of the Tory party, including the woman who is most likely to be the next British prime minister, Theresa May, are actively hostile to the Belfast Agreement.

Related Fintan O'Toole: Brexit and the politics of the fake orgasm
Fintan O'Toole: Brexit fantasy is about to come crashing down
Fintan O'Toole: Brexit is an English nationalist revolution

Michael Gove, who is what passes for the intellectual driving force behind Brexit, utterly despises the 1998 peace deal. In The Price of Peace, his long pamphlet for the right-wing Centre for Policy Studies, published in 2000, Gove characterised the entire peace process as nothing more than a capitulation to the IRA. He insisted that the cause of the Troubles was British lack of firmness in facing down demands for a united Ireland and argued that, if only British governments had taken a harder line, the IRA would have become discouraged and given up. This is idiocy but, like Gove's Brexit theorems, dangerous idiocy.

Hitler analogies
In a foretaste of the Brexiteers' fondness for Hitler analogies, Gove likened the peace process to appeasement of the Nazis in the 1930s and, implicitly, compared himself to the brave anti-Nazis who defied conventional wisdom to speak the truth. However what's most important to understand is that Gove's paper epitomises a much deeper set of attitudes to Northern Ireland among what is now the controlling faction of the British ruling class. His arguments against the peace deal showed wilful ignorance of Irish history and of the Troubles – because his real concern was with the effect of the Belfast Agreement on British politics.
Democratic reform
What Gove was really worried about was that the Belfast Areement was, as he put it, "a Trojan horse" for democratic reform across the UK. It introduces proportional representation. Horrifically, "it enshrines a vision of human rights which privileges contending minorities at the expense of the democratic majority". Even worse, "it offers social and economic rights".
The core of Gove's jeremiad is that the Belfast Agreement is a threat to the British system of government and law. Underlying this attack is a sense that it would be better to destroy the peace deal, at whatever cost to the people of Northern Ireland, than to allow this monstrosity to undermine a conservative vision of Britishness.

And, if we cut away the hysteria, Gove is right. The Belfast Agreement, with its support for multiple identities, contingent sovereignty and externally guaranteed human rights, makes Northern Ireland a very different kind of political space to the rest of the UK. It is indeed incompatible with the kind of English conservative vision that is now in the ascendant.

This perception, crucially, extends beyond Gove, who is not going to be the British prime minister who negotiates Brexit. That will probably be Theresa May. So what does May think of the Belfast Agreement? Her antipathy is quieter and less explicit, but she is essentially Govian. We know this because her signature political issue has been the scrapping of the UK's Human Rights Act, ending the jurisdiction in the UK of the European Court of Human Rights.

And this is a straightforward intention to impugn the Belfast Agreement. In that agreement, the British government commits itself to "complete incorporation into Northern Ireland law of the European Convention on Human Rights, with direct access to the courts and remedies for breach of the convention, including power for the courts to overrule assembly legislation on the grounds of inconsistency".

May's intention is, in effect, to withdraw unilaterally from this international treaty commitment, thereby undermining British commitment to the agreement. Her reasoning is essentially the same as Gove's: the Belfast Agreement contains concepts and commitments that are not compatible with the resurgent conservative vision of English law and governance.

Dismissive
In this new dispensation, the Belfast Agreement is a threat to the English nationalist agenda and its validity must be undermined. Ironically, the regime that is coming to power on the back of a referendum blithely dismisses the 1998 referendum in Northern Ireland that endorsed the peace deal. (Gove calls it "a rigged referendum".) Equally, the majority against Brexit in Northern Ireland is of no consequence: against the whole spirit of the agreement, consent is irrelevant.
The Government has to speak very, very clearly about this: Northern Ireland is not an English shire but a distinct polity with a recognised right to determine its own future – within the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 11:20:10 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 11:13:45 AM
Unfortunately, the British media, the likes of the Sun, have been peddling this anti EU cack for years with nonsense about straight bananas and the like, the list of myths (http://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/) is endless. Apparently. the EU decided to abolish double decker buses over 20 years ago, not surprising Boris and Wright were opposed. Oddly enough there are still double decker buses.
The EU was overwhelmingly positive for the UK economy.
Murdoch and Dacre and co hate it.
Sun and DM  readers will now be shafted
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on July 05, 2016, 11:44:02 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 09:34:49 AM
Quote from: maddog on July 05, 2016, 09:26:22 AM
I firmly believe that if it was to be voted on in the morning it would be 60/40 remain. The amount of people i know that voted out and are now back peddling is just silly. And why ? Because they didn't think Out would actually happen, it was a protest vote and driven by the immigration issue largely.

How many people did you speak to before who said they were voting 'Leave? I was speaking to very few, and came to the conclusion that in this age of social media everyone is media savvy and outwardly goes with the populist view, regardless of their actual view/vote. I certainly saw v little correlation between what people were saying and what happened.

In our office of about 60 people would say probably 60-65% were saying out. (I am in Birmingham btw) Our office would be made up of 95% male, youngest about 28 oldest about 60. Not typical by any stretch. A lot of it was chest out bravado stuff never thinking it would happen. Same old arguments - more money for NHS, kick the immigrants out, no rule by Brussels. Birmingham is a bit insular at the best of times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 05, 2016, 11:48:09 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 11:13:45 AM
Unfortunately, the British media, the likes of the Sun, have been peddling this anti EU cack for years with nonsense about straight bananas and the like, the list of myths (http://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/) is endless. Apparently. the EU decided to abolish double decker buses over 20 years ago, not surprising Boris and Wright were opposed. Oddly enough there are still double decker buses.

When Boris Johnson was a journalist for the Telegraph, I think, in the late 80s- early 90s he was the EU correspondent and admitted recently he used to make up all the nonsense stories you used to read about in the papers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 12:25:11 PM
Housing market falling as well . . .

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-latest-housing-market-decline-rapid-cool-eu-referendum-uk-a7102521.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 12:36:58 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 12:25:11 PM
Housing market falling as well . . .

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/brexit-latest-housing-market-decline-rapid-cool-eu-referendum-uk-a7102521.html

While many people may think this not entirely a bad thing, as we in Ireland know you then have problems with banks etc., even if they don't go bust they stop lending.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 12:39:34 PM
Boris and co are pointing to the non-collapse of the economy as proof that they were right. But Brexit hasn't happened yet. The decision is all that has happened.

If you decide to amputate a perfectly good leg, demonstrating your ability to run to the hospital isn't proof that everything will be normal afterwards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 01:20:58 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 04, 2016, 10:38:08 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/04/standard-life-shuts-property-fund-post-brexit-withdrawals


Not going so well

Aviva closes its fund
http://www.ftadviser.com/2016/07/05/investments/property/aviva-investors-suspends-bn-uk-property-trust-tuUypQxaHA805NZQhsGUvI/article.html

The €uro is now 85p.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 01:41:12 PM
http://www.wsj.com/articles/brexit-vote-paralyzes-companies-across-europe-1467665743 (http://www.wsj.com/articles/brexit-vote-paralyzes-companies-across-europe-1467665743)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 05, 2016, 01:48:36 PM
Pound continues to drop against the dollar, below 1.31
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 05, 2016, 01:59:16 PM
Carney driving the point home today. Meetings with the banks tomorrow. Djia Futures down on predicted BofE rate drop and new economic reality seeing in. Paralysis in multinational European investment strategies and Q3 and 4 business plans and results due to the uncertainties. Complete lottery at this point. No way of pricing then in.

You can say  all you want about the Democratic results of the referendum. However like any other decision making system, bullshit input means bullshit results. The talk of balanced coverage and claim and counter claim is beginning to look more and more like the two sided discussion of evolution and" intelligent design"

Literally nobody predicted this credibly. The defensive moves taken by funds to liquidate UK equity and move it to USD look like prophets, but in reality it was an Uber defensive move  to protect capital. Quids in!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 02:17:12 PM
Business hates uncertainty.

The UK has:

...no Prime Minister...
...a lame duck opposition leader...
...the main 'winners' of the referendum resigning...
...no date for the implementation of the decision...
...no one knows when the negotiations will begin...
...no one knows where or when it will end...
...possibly a Scottish political revolution on the way...
...a potential new mess coming in Northern Ireland (especially if Gove gets in)...
...always been a pain in the arse in Europe...
...very, very few friends in Europe...
...delighted Trump, which means it probably has less friends in the US than it thinks...
...seen a 500% rise in hate crimes since the vote: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hate-crimes-surge-after-brexit-vote-uk-police_us_57763f23e4b09b4c43bfe34b (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hate-crimes-surge-after-brexit-vote-uk-police_us_57763f23e4b09b4c43bfe34b) ...


This sums it up beautifully:

"The talk of balanced coverage and claim and counter claim is beginning to look more and more like the two sided discussion of evolution and" intelligent design""


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 05, 2016, 02:23:14 PM
Watch Panorama why we voted to leave, sounds like the twats in Maddogs work.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 05, 2016, 02:24:42 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 05, 2016, 01:59:16 PM
Carney driving the point home today. Meetings with the banks tomorrow. Djia Futures down on predicted BofE rate drop and new economic reality seeing in. Paralysis in multinational European investment strategies and Q3 and 4 business plans and results due to the uncertainties. Complete lottery at this point. No way of pricing then in.

You can say  all you want about the Democratic results of the referendum. However like any other decision making system, bullshit input means bullshit results. The talk of balanced coverage and claim and counter claim is beginning to look more and more like the two sided discussion of evolution and" intelligent design"

Literally nobody predicted this credibly. The defensive moves taken by find to liquidate UK equity and nice it to USD look like prophets, but in reality it was an Uber defensive move  to protect capital. Quids in!

Yeah all them experts were frauds!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 02:29:42 PM
Quote from: No wides on July 05, 2016, 02:24:42 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 05, 2016, 01:59:16 PM
Carney driving the point home today. Meetings with the banks tomorrow. Djia Futures down on predicted BofE rate drop and new economic reality seeing in. Paralysis in multinational European investment strategies and Q3 and 4 business plans and results due to the uncertainties. Complete lottery at this point. No way of pricing then in.

You can say  all you want about the Democratic results of the referendum. However like any other decision making system, bullshit input means bullshit results. The talk of balanced coverage and claim and counter claim is beginning to look more and more like the two sided discussion of evolution and" intelligent design"

Literally nobody predicted this credibly. The defensive moves taken by find to liquidate UK equity and nice it to USD look like prophets, but in reality it was an Uber defensive move  to protect capital. Quids in!

Yeah all them experts were frauds!

I think he meant nobody predicted we would leave? The Economic collapse was well documented and sure isn't it great to be in the middle of it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 05, 2016, 02:52:45 PM
Boston consulting predicting London loses 20% of their finance jobs

QuoteBrexit Could See One in Five Banking Jobs Leave London
Financial News | July 4
Frankfurt is well placed to benefit from the Brexit fallout, which could see a fifth of London's finance jobs shifted from the UK capital, according to a survey by the Boston Consulting Group. The consultant conducted its survey in June, ahead of the June 23 UK referendum on EU membership, and asked roughly 360 leading bankers from the UK, France, the US and Germany what alternatives there were to London as a base in the event of a vote to leave the EU. The survey suggested that 20% of banking jobs could relocate from London, with Frankfurt emerging as one of the most attractive locations for financial services companies considering moving their business after Brexit.

When I say no one predicted this credibly I mean from a Capital  Markets perspective - the exit was not credibly predicted
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on July 05, 2016, 02:57:37 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 09:31:47 AM
Quote from: maddog on July 05, 2016, 09:26:22 AM
I firmly believe that if it was to be voted on in the morning it would be 60/40 remain. The amount of people i know that voted out and are now back peddling is just silly. And why ? Because they didn't think Out would actually happen, it was a protest vote and driven by the immigration issue largely.

So you've spoke to 40 odd million people on this?

If ran again, Remain would probably win. But people would change to Remain because they've been told by the media that it's wrong.

If immigration was their reason for Leave, that's their choice. It's their vote.

did i say i spoke to 40 odd million people? I can only get a feeling on who i do talk to, i.e work colleagues, lads down the pub etc. No one is denying anyone their vote or right to say what they want, however at least vote on facts rather than bullshit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on July 05, 2016, 03:09:23 PM
http://blog.executivesonline.co.uk/blog/the-impact-of-brexit-on-uk-businesses-so-far-survey-results
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 03:26:10 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 01:20:58 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 04, 2016, 10:38:08 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jul/04/standard-life-shuts-property-fund-post-brexit-withdrawals


Not going so well

Aviva closes its fund
http://www.ftadviser.com/2016/07/05/investments/property/aviva-investors-suspends-bn-uk-property-trust-tuUypQxaHA805NZQhsGUvI/article.html

The €uro is now 85p.

The EZ is equally mismanaged. The notion that the EZ is a safe haven is laughable.
US, UK and EZ all have the same problem. People are pissed off with useless elites and a crap system that has difficulty generating growth other than via immigration. Over half of Swiss growth 99 to now was immigration related.
Currencies will be all over the place for the foreseeable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 03:27:12 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 05, 2016, 02:52:45 PM
Boston consulting predicting London loses 20% of their finance jobs

QuoteBrexit Could See One in Five Banking Jobs Leave London
Financial News | July 4
Frankfurt is well placed to benefit from the Brexit fallout, which could see a fifth of London's finance jobs shifted from the UK capital, according to a survey by the Boston Consulting Group. The consultant conducted its survey in June, ahead of the June 23 UK referendum on EU membership, and asked roughly 360 leading bankers from the UK, France, the US and Germany what alternatives there were to London as a base in the event of a vote to leave the EU. The survey suggested that 20% of banking jobs could relocate from London, with Frankfurt emerging as one of the most attractive locations for financial services companies considering moving their business after Brexit.

When I say no one predicted this credibly I mean from a Capital  Markets perspective - the exit was not credibly predicted
Groupthink
Markets cannot price tail risk
http://www.tara.tcd.ie/bitstream/handle/2262/56169/WP389.pdf?sequence=1
look at stg/USD for the week up to Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 03:58:15 PM
Quote from: maddog on July 05, 2016, 02:57:37 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 09:31:47 AM
Quote from: maddog on July 05, 2016, 09:26:22 AM
I firmly believe that if it was to be voted on in the morning it would be 60/40 remain. The amount of people i know that voted out and are now back peddling is just silly. And why ? Because they didn't think Out would actually happen, it was a protest vote and driven by the immigration issue largely.

So you've spoke to 40 odd million people on this?

If ran again, Remain would probably win. But people would change to Remain because they've been told by the media that it's wrong.

If immigration was their reason for Leave, that's their choice. It's their vote.

did i say i spoke to 40 odd million people? I can only get a feeling on who i do talk to, i.e work colleagues, lads down the pub etc. No one is denying anyone their vote or right to say what they want, however at least vote on facts rather than bullshit.

Vote on facts? People voted out because they were sick of being lied to for decades. Politicans don't tell the truth or facts. If anything, Brexit is people making a stand against these same lying bastards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on July 05, 2016, 04:05:25 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 03:58:15 PM
Quote from: maddog on July 05, 2016, 02:57:37 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 09:31:47 AM
Quote from: maddog on July 05, 2016, 09:26:22 AM
I firmly believe that if it was to be voted on in the morning it would be 60/40 remain. The amount of people i know that voted out and are now back peddling is just silly. And why ? Because they didn't think Out would actually happen, it was a protest vote and driven by the immigration issue largely.

So you've spoke to 40 odd million people on this?

If ran again, Remain would probably win. But people would change to Remain because they've been told by the media that it's wrong.

If immigration was their reason for Leave, that's their choice. It's their vote.

did i say i spoke to 40 odd million people? I can only get a feeling on who i do talk to, i.e work colleagues, lads down the pub etc. No one is denying anyone their vote or right to say what they want, however at least vote on facts rather than bullshit.

Vote on facts? People voted out because they were sick of being lied to for decades. Politicans don't tell the truth or facts. If anything, Brexit is people making a stand against these same lying b**tards.

Right so they are giving 350m a week to the NHS now ? The out campaign was built on lies. The remain campaign was poorly managed.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 04:11:12 PM
I don't know about the 350 million. Don't really care either. But I'm sure Remain were 100% honest.

I believe there will be another vote and Remain will win. They will scare people into Remain. Therefore, democracy is bollix, and all these elections/referendums are based on fear. For that is how they'll always control people - fear.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on July 05, 2016, 04:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 11:20:10 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 11:13:45 AM
Unfortunately, the British media, the likes of the Sun, have been peddling this anti EU cack for years with nonsense about straight bananas and the like, the list of myths (http://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/) is endless. Apparently. the EU decided to abolish double decker buses over 20 years ago, not surprising Boris and Wright were opposed. Oddly enough there are still double decker buses.
The EU was overwhelmingly positive for the UK economy.
Murdoch and Dacre and co hate it.
Sun and DM  readers will now be shafted



Seafoid, huge swathes of the north and midlands of England  ( by far the soundest and nicest people in England imo for what it is worth ) obviously disagreed with you about the EU being overwhelmingly positive for the UK economy.

Not particularly happy myself with the outcome , but the whingeing and downright snobbery from the losing side is a bit hard to take.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 04:30:00 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/business/2016/0705/800274-bank-of-england-brexit/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/business/2016/0705/800274-bank-of-england-brexit/)

The Bank of England has taken steps to ensure British banks can keep lending and insurers do not dump corporate bonds in the "challenging" period that is likely to follow the country's shock vote to leave the European Union.

The central bank said it would lower the amount of capital banks are required to hold in reserve, freeing up an extra £150 billion pounds for lending in a reversal of a decision it took earlier this year, when it started tightening screws on lenders because Britain's economy appeared on course for more growth.

BoE Governor Mark Carney said the move represented a "major change" that would help the economy to weather the Brexit hit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 04:31:49 PM
Quote from: Canalman on July 05, 2016, 04:27:58 PM
Seafoid, huge swathes of the north and midlands of England  ( by far the soundest and nicest people in England imo for what it is worth ) obviously disagreed with you about the EU being overwhelmingly positive for the UK economy.

Not particularly happy myself with the outcome , but the whingeing and downright snobbery from the losing side is a bit hard to take.

Anyone is entitled to their view, but they should also be able to explain the reasoning behind that view to other people who will be affected by their vote. We are not seeing such explanations nor are we seeing much in the way of a model for the future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 04:35:51 PM
Quote from: Canalman on July 05, 2016, 04:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 11:20:10 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 11:13:45 AM
Unfortunately, the British media, the likes of the Sun, have been peddling this anti EU cack for years with nonsense about straight bananas and the like, the list of myths (http://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/) is endless. Apparently. the EU decided to abolish double decker buses over 20 years ago, not surprising Boris and Wright were opposed. Oddly enough there are still double decker buses.
The EU was overwhelmingly positive for the UK economy.
Murdoch and Dacre and co hate it.
Sun and DM  readers will now be shafted



Seafoid, huge swathes of the north and midlands of England  ( by far the soundest and nicest people in England imo for what it is worth ) obviously disagreed with you about the EU being overwhelmingly positive for the UK economy.

Not particularly happy myself with the outcome , but the whingeing and downright snobbery from the losing side is a bit hard to take.

Canalman

Without Europe the UK would be in a much worse state. Areas like Cornwall got grants from the EU for development that London will never pay-
The issue in the UK is how the money in the economny is distributed and that is related to the Thatcherite economic system.
But you won't read about that in the Sun.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on July 05, 2016, 04:37:09 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 04:35:51 PM
Quote from: Canalman on July 05, 2016, 04:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 11:20:10 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 11:13:45 AM
Unfortunately, the British media, the likes of the Sun, have been peddling this anti EU cack for years with nonsense about straight bananas and the like, the list of myths (http://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/) is endless. Apparently. the EU decided to abolish double decker buses over 20 years ago, not surprising Boris and Wright were opposed. Oddly enough there are still double decker buses.
The EU was overwhelmingly positive for the UK economy.
Murdoch and Dacre and co hate it.
Sun and DM  readers will now be shafted



Seafoid, huge swathes of the north and midlands of England  ( by far the soundest and nicest people in England imo for what it is worth ) obviously disagreed with you about the EU being overwhelmingly positive for the UK economy.

Not particularly happy myself with the outcome , but the whingeing and downright snobbery from the losing side is a bit hard to take.

Canalman

Without Europe the UK would be in a much worse state. Areas like Cornwall got grants from the EU for development that London will never pay-
The issue in the UK is how the money in the economny is distributed and that is related to the Thatcherite economic system.
But you won't read about that in the Sun.

Cornwall voted out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 04:49:49 PM
Brexit reminds me of this


http://homepages.wmich.edu/~cooneys/poems/cummings.ygUDuh.html
ygUDuh

      ydoan
       yunnuhstan


      ydoan o
       yunnuhstand dem
       yguduh ged


            yunnuhstan dem doidee
       yguduh ged riduh
       ydoan o nudn


LISN bud LISN


           dem
            gud
            am


           lidl yelluh bas
            tuds weer goin


duhSIVILEYEzum

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 04:53:19 PM
If you look at  a map of England by income levels all the ones that are 60% below the average voted Brexit.
NI is actually quite well off compared to large chunks of the North of England. Wales is as poor as Portugal.
The economic system basically works by driving down wages of working class people and blowing up asset bubbles.
It doesn't work for people in Hull or Middlesbrough or Penzance.

Brexit is a p***k tease. It won't change anything. People will become even more angry and more disillusioned.
The real cause of the despair has to be tackled. That means a new economic system.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:01:51 PM
The worst thing about all of this is that there is no plan for tomorrow, next week or next month in the UK. No one has any idea where this is going or even when it will begin to go there.

Three of the main architects of that chaos have walked away: Cameron, BoJo and Farage.

This is truly amazing. When analysing something like this we usually look for the most prominent Machiavellian character. None of the above fit that bill and were very obviously pawns, not that they knew it. They each thought the right Brexit vote would be the making of them. Now that they realise they are the patsies, they are not hanging around for this slow tsunami, as they can see better than we can, how big the mess they created is going to be.

However, Gove remains. He reminds me of Oliver Cromwell for some reason. I'll be keeping a close eye on him from now on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 05:21:12 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:01:51 PM
The worst thing about all of this is that there is no plan for tomorrow, next week or next month in the UK. No one has any idea where this is going or even when it will begin to go there.

Three of the main architects of that chaos have walked away: Cameron, BoJo and Farage.

This is truly amazing. When analysing something like this we usually look for the most prominent Machiavellian character. None of the above fit that bill and were very obviously pawns, not that they knew it. They each thought the right Brexit vote would be the making of them. Now that they realise they are the patsies, they are not hanging around for this slow tsunami, as they can see better than we can, how big the mess they created is going to be.

However, Gove remains. He reminds me of Oliver Cromwell for some reason. I'll be keeping a close eye on him from now on.

Cameron broke the link between the vote and Article 50.
He is Blackadder
Gove is finished.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 05, 2016, 05:44:25 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:01:51 PM
The worst thing about all of this is that there is no plan for tomorrow, next week or next month in the UK. No one has any idea where this is going or even when it will begin to go there.

Three of the main architects of that chaos have walked away: Cameron, BoJo and Farage.

This is truly amazing. When analysing something like this we usually look for the most prominent Machiavellian character. None of the above fit that bill and were very obviously pawns, not that they knew it. They each thought the right Brexit vote would be the making of them. Now that they realise they are the patsies, they are not hanging around for this slow tsunami, as they can see better than we can, how big the mess they created is going to be.

However, Gove remains. He reminds me of Oliver Cromwell for some reason. I'll be keeping a close eye on him from now on.

It was pretty obvious that Cameron was gone if it was a Leave vote. He bet his political career on it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:46:50 PM
Quote from: Minder on July 05, 2016, 05:44:25 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:01:51 PM
The worst thing about all of this is that there is no plan for tomorrow, next week or next month in the UK. No one has any idea where this is going or even when it will begin to go there.

Three of the main architects of that chaos have walked away: Cameron, BoJo and Farage.

This is truly amazing. When analysing something like this we usually look for the most prominent Machiavellian character. None of the above fit that bill and were very obviously pawns, not that they knew it. They each thought the right Brexit vote would be the making of them. Now that they realise they are the patsies, they are not hanging around for this slow tsunami, as they can see better than we can, how big the mess they created is going to be.

However, Gove remains. He reminds me of Oliver Cromwell for some reason. I'll be keeping a close eye on him from now on.

It was pretty obvious that Cameron was gone if it was a Leave vote. He bet his political career on it.

Yes, but Bojo and Farage didn't win by the vote going the other way.

So who is pulling the strings?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 05:48:56 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:46:50 PM
Yes, but Bojo and Farage didn't win by the vote going the other way.

So who is pulling the strings?

Arlene Foster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:50:42 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 05:48:56 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:46:50 PM
Yes, but Bojo and Farage didn't win by the vote going the other way.

So who is pulling the strings?

Arlene Foster.

Another who lost, but she doesn't realise it yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 06:15:35 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:46:50 PM
Quote from: Minder on July 05, 2016, 05:44:25 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 05:01:51 PM
The worst thing about all of this is that there is no plan for tomorrow, next week or next month in the UK. No one has any idea where this is going or even when it will begin to go there.

Three of the main architects of that chaos have walked away: Cameron, BoJo and Farage.

This is truly amazing. When analysing something like this we usually look for the most prominent Machiavellian character. None of the above fit that bill and were very obviously pawns, not that they knew it. They each thought the right Brexit vote would be the making of them. Now that they realise they are the patsies, they are not hanging around for this slow tsunami, as they can see better than we can, how big the mess they created is going to be.

However, Gove remains. He reminds me of Oliver Cromwell for some reason. I'll be keeping a close eye on him from now on.

It was pretty obvious that Cameron was gone if it was a Leave vote. He bet his political career on it.

Yes, but Bojo and Farage didn't win by the vote going the other way.

So who is pulling the strings?
Tory grandees backed by the City would be my guess. May is plamasing the Brexit crowd.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 06:18:42 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2016/jul/05/media-should-rethink-coverage-in-wake-of-brexit-vote-says-justin-webb

BBC presenter Justin Webb has said the media needs to look again at how it covers politics and the way it holds people to account in the wake of the vote to leave the European Union.
Webb, one of the BBC Radio 4 Today team, spoke out after Oscar-winning film producer Lord Puttnam criticised the BBC's coverage of the European debate as constipated and effectively hamstrung by its own strict rules on impartiality.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 06:30:08 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 04:30:00 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/business/2016/0705/800274-bank-of-england-brexit/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/business/2016/0705/800274-bank-of-england-brexit/)

The Bank of England has taken steps to ensure British banks can keep lending and insurers do not dump corporate bonds in the "challenging" period that is likely to follow the country's shock vote to leave the European Union.

The central bank said it would lower the amount of capital banks are required to hold in reserve, freeing up an extra £150 billion pounds for lending in a reversal of a decision it took earlier this year, when it started tightening screws on lenders because Britain's economy appeared on course for more growth.

BoE Governor Mark Carney said the move represented a "major change" that would help the economy to weather the Brexit hit.


Heganboy and others.....

You can take Carney at his words above........

Or, it is possible that one or more UK banks cannot meet the current Capital requirements and this is a drastic short-term fudge?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 06:40:13 PM

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/05/ken-clarke-caught-camera-ridiculing-tory-leadership-candidates-theresa-may-michael-gove

Clarke went on to claim that neither Andrea Leadsom nor Boris Johnson really wanted to leave the European Union.
"Well I don't think they even cared very much either way," Rifkind replied.
Clarke continued: "She is not one of the tiny band of lunatics who think we can have a sort of glorious economic future outside the single market ... So long as she understands that she's not to deliver on some of the extremely stupid things she's been saying."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 06:41:24 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 06:30:08 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 05, 2016, 04:30:00 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/business/2016/0705/800274-bank-of-england-brexit/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/business/2016/0705/800274-bank-of-england-brexit/)

The Bank of England has taken steps to ensure British banks can keep lending and insurers do not dump corporate bonds in the "challenging" period that is likely to follow the country's shock vote to leave the European Union.

The central bank said it would lower the amount of capital banks are required to hold in reserve, freeing up an extra £150 billion pounds for lending in a reversal of a decision it took earlier this year, when it started tightening screws on lenders because Britain's economy appeared on course for more growth.

BoE Governor Mark Carney said the move represented a "major change" that would help the economy to weather the Brexit hit.


Heganboy and others.....

You can take Carney at his words above........

Or, it is possible that one or more UK banks cannot meet the current Capital requirements and this is a drastic short-term fudge?

I think it is more likely to be linked to his decision to lower interest rates which reduces the net interest margins of the banks from their already pathetic levels . They need some kind of offset
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 08:09:05 PM
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2016/jul/05/brexit-live-tory-leadership-tom-watson-unions-jeremy-corbyn

In the House of Lords debate on the EU referendum, the archbishop of Canterbury, the Most Rev Justin Welby, said the Brexit vote had led to the worst "out-welling of poison and hatred" he had seen for years.

 

The events of the last two weeks have led to some of the most dramatic and dynamic changes that we've known. The course of the campaign was both robust, as it properly should be on such great issues, but at times veered over the line on both sides into being not merely robust but unacceptable.

Through those comments were created cracks in the thin crust of the politeness and tolerance of our society, through which, since the referendum, we have seen an out-welling of poison and hatred that I cannot remember in this country for very many years.

It is essential, not only in this House but for the leaders of both sides, and throughout our society, to challenge the attacks, the xenophobia and the racism that seem to have been felt to be acceptable, at least for a while.

He said that, to repair the damage, more needed to be done to tackle inequality.

 

The biggest thing it seems to me that we must challenge, my Lords, if we are to be effective in this creation of a new vision for Britain – a vision that enables hope and reconciliation to begin to flower – is to tackle the issues of inequality. It is inequality that thins out the crust of our society. It is inequality that raises the levels of anger and bitterness.

We have done it before, my Lords. This is not new. In the 19th century we tackled inequality. In the great governments following 1945 we tackled the inequality that had been so ruinous to our society in the 1930s and led to the failures of that time.

The tools to tackle inequality are as readily available as they ever were, my Lords. They are the obvious ones of education, of public health – and we would add today mental health – of housing. But those tools are tools that we have to take up and invest in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:14:18 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 08:20:27 AM
All this talk of why it shouldn't happen, why it'll never happen, how we can stop it happen, ignores the fact that it was a democratic decision. I was very much against Brexit, but I'm even more against anything that treads roughshod over democracy.

The attitude towards those who voted for Brexit (didn't know what they were voting for, knuckle draggers, racists, etc) is also pretty patronising - if the vote was re ran as is being suggested (!) tomorrow there still would be a very sizeable out vote - perhaps instead of dismissing them as crazies the sensible thing to do would be to actually try to understand where its coming from and why.

Agree 100% haranguerer, the vote was taken and the result should be respected, to do otherwise makes a mockery of democracy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 05, 2016, 09:22:20 PM
And stuff the Scots and the 6 Co folks??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:26:58 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 05, 2016, 09:22:20 PM
And stuff the Scots and the 6 Co folks??

The vote was taken by the UK as a whole. If NI & Scotland want out then maybe there should be a vote on that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2016, 09:29:46 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:14:18 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 05, 2016, 08:20:27 AM
All this talk of why it shouldn't happen, why it'll never happen, how we can stop it happen, ignores the fact that it was a democratic decision. I was very much against Brexit, but I'm even more against anything that treads roughshod over democracy.

The attitude towards those who voted for Brexit (didn't know what they were voting for, knuckle draggers, racists, etc) is also pretty patronising - if the vote was re ran as is being suggested (!) tomorrow there still would be a very sizeable out vote - perhaps instead of dismissing them as crazies the sensible thing to do would be to actually try to understand where its coming from and why.

Agree 100% haranguerer, the vote was taken and the result should be respected, to do otherwise makes a mockery of democracy
People were lied to. Democracy is on a shaky scraw anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 09:41:33 PM
In relation to NI, what was required was a simple statement that any changes there would be agreed and in the spirit of the Good Friday Agreement. There was been no such statement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on July 05, 2016, 10:21:51 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 09:41:33 PM
In relation to NI, what was required was a simple statement that any changes there would be agreed and in the spirit of the Good Friday Agreement. There was been no such statement.
What was required was a clear definition of the terms of the referendum. All we can really say is that
1. There was no plan for a leave vote, not even how it would be enacted.
2. It was a UK wide vote
3. It was not legally binding

Unfortunately what we have now is a UK wide decision to leave with no plans in how to do so.
To ignore the UK wide majority, however it was arrived at, would be a greater set back for democracy and civil society than to not at least lay out the terms of departure, ensuring those terms could not be met.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 10:22:24 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 04:11:12 PM
I don't know about the 350 million. Don't really care either. But I'm sure Remain were 100% honest.

I believe there will be another vote and Remain will win. They will scare people into Remain. Therefore, democracy is bollix, and all these elections/referendums are based on fear. For that is how they'll always control people - fear.

What do you mean scare people into Remain??? They haven't even left yet and Sterling has tanked, funds aren't allowing withdrawals, the BoE are on the back foot, construction is headed for the toilet and the country is going full steam into a recession AS PREDICTED BY THE REMAIN CAMPAIGN!!!

Surely special measures can be taken to save the people from themselves if even for the rest of us who have a couple of brain cells who don't deserve to suffer on the back of this!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 10:29:38 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 10:22:24 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 04:11:12 PM
I don't know about the 350 million. Don't really care either. But I'm sure Remain were 100% honest.

I believe there will be another vote and Remain will win. They will scare people into Remain. Therefore, democracy is bollix, and all these elections/referendums are based on fear. For that is how they'll always control people - fear.

What do you mean scare people into Remain??? They haven't even left yet and Sterling has tanked, funds aren't allowing withdrawals, the BoE are on the back foot, construction is headed for the toilet and the country is going full steam into a recession AS PREDICTED BY THE REMAIN CAMPAIGN!!!

Surely special measures can be taken to save the people from themselves if even for the rest of us who have a couple of brain cells who don't deserve to suffer on the back of this!

Scare them into voting Remain in another referendum.

The economy's fecked? The country's fecked? Cuts everywhere? All that has happened before, and it didn't take a referendum to f**k the place! Had Remain won, the place would've still be fecked!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 05, 2016, 10:30:19 PM
People lie all the time in ele tion campaigns. Cameron reneged on promises about 5 minutes after scotland voted to stay in the uk. All you hear is constant tax cutting promises then you had the lib dems and students etc.

This is different. A campaign was made with one objective - to leave the eu. The campaigners didn't even have a plan.

This should never have went to vote and as someone said a large majority shpuld have been required.

There probably will be no turning back now and ultimately there shouldn't be as democracy rules etc but they have really screwed us over big time. It is the way of the world but seeing farage and other ukip meps lifting a large salary make me sick. It's disgusting. Victory for the common man he says.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2016, 11:12:20 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 10:29:38 PM
The economy's fecked? The country's fecked? Cuts everywhere? All that has happened before, and it didn't take a referendum to f**k the place! Had Remain won, the place would've still be fecked!

That's a bit pointless, like going into the doctor and justifying the fags and the sausages because your health wouldn't be perfect anyway. There would have been problems anyway, Brexit made it worse.

Quote from: imtommygunn on July 05, 2016, 10:30:19 PM
This should never have went to vote and as someone said a large majority shpuld have been required.

I'm not sure about this large majority thing, Scotland should become independent or NI cease to be a colony with 50%. The difference lies that in NI and Scotland people have long thought about such things, in the case of Brexit it wasn't of much interest to people in general and they rather irresponsibly refused to give it any real thought. Had people given it real thought they would have sent Leave away and told them to produce a proper plan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on July 05, 2016, 11:37:16 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?
Do you live in the 26co's?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 05, 2016, 11:40:20 PM
3 property investment funds have stopped redemptions in quick succession. There is a time limit on how long they can do this until they have to pay out. I have read the limit is 28 days is the limit, but maybe each fund has its own set of rules. If more funds do the same, and the time limits begin to expire, there will be a lot of property needing to be liquidated quickly. We have seen this before in Ireland.

Aviva quotes "extraordinary market circumstances".

This adds real market uncertainty to the political uncertainty.

Then, the Bank of England acted today by reducing the burden of Capital Demands on its banks. It said the following:

"The UK has entered a period of uncertainty and significant economic adjustment.

The efforts of the Bank of England will not be able fully and immediately to offset the market and economic volatility that can be expected while this adjustment proceeds."


The Guardian added the following:

The BoE isn't sitting on its hands. Slashing the 'counter-cyclical capital reserves' will help banks to pump £150bn of extra lending into the economy.

But Carney also warned that this will only work if businesses and individuals actually want to borrow.


If property funds start offloading property, the UK banks' balance sheets are going to suffer, so surely Carney is merely giving them some room to absorb that? Surely he doesn't really believe (after all that has happened in the last 8 years) that, mid-crisis, the banks will start lending again and this will lead the UK out of trouble?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 11:46:29 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 10:29:38 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 05, 2016, 10:22:24 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 05, 2016, 04:11:12 PM
I don't know about the 350 million. Don't really care either. But I'm sure Remain were 100% honest.

I believe there will be another vote and Remain will win. They will scare people into Remain. Therefore, democracy is bollix, and all these elections/referendums are based on fear. For that is how they'll always control people - fear.

What do you mean scare people into Remain??? They haven't even left yet and Sterling has tanked, funds aren't allowing withdrawals, the BoE are on the back foot, construction is headed for the toilet and the country is going full steam into a recession AS PREDICTED BY THE REMAIN CAMPAIGN!!!

Surely special measures can be taken to save the people from themselves if even for the rest of us who have a couple of brain cells who don't deserve to suffer on the back of this!

Scare them into voting Remain in another referendum.

The economy's fecked? The country's fecked? Cuts everywhere? All that has happened before, and it didn't take a referendum to f**k the place! Had Remain won, the place would've still be fecked!

No... Untrue! The Sterling and Euro would both have risen to their strongest positions in a while, the BoE would not be shitting themselves and we would not be heading for a recession. The economy was in a reasonably strong position just before the Vote and would have consolidated that had we remained!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 05, 2016, 11:55:06 PM
ISEQ down 2% again today.
Seems the cnuts will drag us down with them >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 12:30:58 AM
£ below $1.30 now, which as someone pointed is the lowest it has been against the dollar since 1776, when the dollar was founded.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 06, 2016, 05:11:05 AM
Not correct

It was 1.05 in 1985

Credit Suisse have given a 1.22 target on a 180 basis.

Volumes in cable are 50% lower than normal(daily volumes), and the long short ratios don't look optimistic for sterling.

Carney seems to have fired too early. Rate cut priced in and property (C&R) in for a kicking. REITS all disavowing UK exposure.

Commercial and government debt markets suffering badly, ratios there don't make great reading either.

Curious to see if a clear leader in the Tory race will act as a brake, or will the fact that she is gung ho on Brexit simply accelerate the plunge?

Bleak.  Start the infrastructure projects now quick!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 06, 2016, 07:25:58 AM
Quote from: heganboy on July 06, 2016, 05:11:05 AM
Not correct

It was 1.05 in 1985

Credit Suisse have given a 1.22 target on a 180 basis.

Volumes in cable are 50% lower than normal(daily volumes), and the long short ratios don't look optimistic for sterling.

Carney seems to have fired too early. Rate cut priced in and property (C&R) in for a kicking. REITS all disavowing UK exposure.

Commercial and government debt markets suffering badly, ratios there don't make great reading either.

Curious to see if a clear leader in the Tory race will act as a brake, or will the fact that she is gung ho on Brexit simply accelerate the plunge?

Bleak.  Start the infrastructure projects now quick!
Markets seem to have overreacted as they always do. the US is not in great shape at all. Fed is unable to generate inflation.
the dollar index was up 22% since 2014 recently on the expectation of growth that will not happen. 
The UK could be at an advantage if it plays its cards right and makes the necessary reforms before everyone else
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 06, 2016, 07:56:15 AM
The 10 year treasury yield is 1.36%. It will be zero within 18 months
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 08:15:58 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

I do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 08:32:07 AM
If you have a job what actually changes with brexit?? Nothing I assume a bit like the last recession. So all this talk about the pound dollar and euro fluctuating prices is a bit of panic until things settle....

Again seems a lot more southerns are more worried...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 08:40:53 AM
Assuming you keep that job in an economic downturn, just off the top of my head, your house price, pension value, opportunities for your children, spending power abroad and down south, free travel and right to work in Europe (incl down south), more arduous security going from here to england, potentially extra checks on the border...

I'd also be a bit intrigued that nothing seemed to change for you in the last recession - pay rises, promotions, job opportunities for you and those close to you as prior? No economic migrants in your circle of friends?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 08:53:44 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 08:40:53 AM
Assuming you keep that job in an economic downturn, just off the top of my head, your house price, pension value, opportunities for your children, spending power abroad and down south, free travel and right to work in Europe (incl down south), more arduous security going from here to england, potentially extra checks on the border...

I'd also be a bit intrigued that nothing seemed to change for you in the last recession - pay rises, promotions, job opportunities for you and those close to you as prior? No economic migrants in your circle of friends?

Nope I moved to better paying jobs, job I'm in now improved growth over recession... I don't think going down south will be a bother can see actual borders going up if I'm honest.... Pensions were frozen from private sector jobs I had in past (I've 3 different pensions) my Pakistan neighbours both work, engineer and teacher, they also rent out accommodation...

I'm in London this week, didn't have any hassle getting here and why would you coming from n.i?? Again its just scaremongering.... I voted to remain, along with the vast majority of people I know, if you are employable you'll get a job
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 08:56:41 AM
Well then, you're probably right, everyone else must be wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 06, 2016, 09:04:42 AM
If the immigrants all get kicked out though who will clean Miltown's car!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 09:08:53 AM
I think Milltown Row doesn't  care much if they put a minefield on the border,  nothing to do with him. This seems unlikely, unless Gove gets in, but less dynamic obstacles seem possible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 06, 2016, 09:11:54 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 08:32:07 AM
If you have a job what actually changes with brexit?? Nothing I assume a bit like the last recession. So all this talk about the pound dollar and euro fluctuating prices is a bit of panic until things settle....

Again seems a lot more southerns are more worried...

Realistically time will tell. Your summer holidays will probably be a lot dearer short term. What else who knows just yet. it will take months to really pan out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on July 06, 2016, 09:12:44 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 08:53:44 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 08:40:53 AM
Assuming you keep that job in an economic downturn, just off the top of my head, your house price, pension value, opportunities for your children, spending power abroad and down south, free travel and right to work in Europe (incl down south), more arduous security going from here to england, potentially extra checks on the border...

I'd also be a bit intrigued that nothing seemed to change for you in the last recession - pay rises, promotions, job opportunities for you and those close to you as prior? No economic migrants in your circle of friends?

Nope I moved to better paying jobs, job I'm in now improved growth over recession... I don't think going down south will be a bother can see actual borders going up if I'm honest.... Pensions were frozen from private sector jobs I had in past (I've 3 different pensions) my Pakistan neighbours both work, engineer and teacher, they also rent out accommodation...

I'm in London this week, didn't have any hassle getting here and why would you coming from n.i?? Again its just scaremongering.... I voted to remain, along with the vast majority of people I know, if you are employable you'll get a job

Well if the industry you work in sells its products into the EU and buys materials from the EU then you've every right to be worried.
The crowd I work with also have a base in Cork which looks an awful lot more lucrative to the pay masters in the US than the one in Belfast and there's an awful lot of similar companies in Belfast in a similar situation and Arlenes posturing doesn't help one bit!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on July 06, 2016, 09:16:12 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 08:32:07 AM
If you have a job what actually changes with brexit?? Nothing I assume a bit like the last recession. So all this talk about the pound dollar and euro fluctuating prices is a bit of panic until things settle....

Again seems a lot more southerns are more worried...
It will depend on what industry you ar in?
What are your markets?
Where does your raw material come from?
Does the company rely on EU nationals?
Can you absorb an interest rate hike with your mortgage repayments?
Maybe you have no reason to be worried?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on July 06, 2016, 09:22:04 AM
Quote from: No wides on July 06, 2016, 09:04:42 AM
If the immigrants all get kicked out though who will clean Miltown's car!

;D ;D ;D ;D implacable
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on July 06, 2016, 09:55:37 AM
There was a map doing the rounds on twitter showing the country of origin of the majority of immigrants in all the countries of Europe. Most immigrants in the UK come from India apparently and not the EU. Most immigrants in the ROI from the UK, soon to be an even greater influx if Wullie has his way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on July 06, 2016, 10:31:33 AM
Anyone who works for a bank will fear the possible interest rate cut also.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 06, 2016, 10:44:00 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on July 06, 2016, 09:55:37 AM
There was a map doing the rounds on twitter showing the country of origin of the majority of immigrants in all the countries of Europe. Most immigrants in the UK come from India apparently and not the EU. Most immigrants in the ROI from the UK, soon to be an even greater influx if Wullie has his way.
depends how many generations you go back. Irish would be more numerous than indians. Recently Eastern Euros have been more numerous. Innit
tl
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on July 06, 2016, 10:51:46 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 06, 2016, 10:44:00 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on July 06, 2016, 09:55:37 AM
There was a map doing the rounds on twitter showing the country of origin of the majority of immigrants in all the countries of Europe. Most immigrants in the UK come from India apparently and not the EU. Most immigrants in the ROI from the UK, soon to be an even greater influx if Wullie has his way.
depends how many generations you go back. Irish would be more numerous than indians. Recently Eastern Euros have been more numerous. Innit
tl
It was recent figures.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 11:52:06 AM
https://jakubmarian.com/immigration-in-europe-map-of-the-percentage-and-country-of-origin-of-immigrants/
(https://jakubmarian.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/immigrants-origin.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 12:21:51 PM
So its a wait and see thing.....

No immigrants that I know are not going anywhere....

Everyone adapted to the recession, they tightened their belts and spent wisely.... Interest rates will always fluctuate, hikes in mortgages happen

Cant see it hurting my industry to be fair, would have expected a downturn during the recession
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 06, 2016, 12:30:38 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 12:21:51 PM
So its a wait and see thing.....

No immigrants that I know are not going anywhere....

Everyone adapted to the recession, they tightened their belts and spent wisely.... Interest rates will always fluctuate, hikes in mortgages happen

Cant see it hurting my industry to be fair, would have expected a downturn during the recession

The interest rate has been 0.5% for years now has it not ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: give her dixie on July 06, 2016, 12:32:21 PM
No matter what industry anyone works in, they are going to be affected one way or another.
I work in the haulage industry and already the costs have risen due to the pound. Fuel for hundreds
of trucks is bought over the border and the falling pound against the euro has hit hard. Costs can only
become absorbed for a short time until they get passed onto the end users, which is everyone who eats......

The company I work for are a major player in the refrigerated transport business between the UK and Ireland.
The main products out are meat and chicken, and back, fruit and veg. The bulk of all this work is into the major
supermarket distribution centres. Therefore, higher fuel costs lead to higher food costs.

As our shopping habits have changed and we buy most of our food in supermarkets, so too has the production.
In order to supply the main players, producers have had to expand and modernise. Along with that, bring in workers.
Given the type of work involved, and with producers running 24/7, the majority of these workers are eastern European.
Not too many children leaving school locally want to go work in a meat or chicken processing factory.........

The people of Boston in Lincolnshire voted the highest to leave, mainly due to the high number of eastern Europeans
living in the area. If they were to leave, the fields around Boston would overgrow as there would be no one left to pick
the fruit and veg.

If we didn't have the workers coming here to work in the fields and the factories producing food, driving the trucks
transporting it, packing and stacking it, then we would have a major problem.  The cost of food would sky rocket, and there
would be a massive supply problem.

If border controls and customs return, then we are also facing major hurdles. Given the volume of goods crossing per day,
we are faced with a vast increase in paperwork, delays at the border, and a serious increase in costs.

The fallout from Brexit will hit our industry hard, and also the relevant knock on effects will take their toll. Like everything
else at present related to Brexit, nobody really knows what is going to happen. Those at the top don't even know !!

Things don't look to bright at the minute, and the future is looking pretty bleak as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 12:46:07 PM
Quote from: give her dixie on July 06, 2016, 12:32:21 PM
No matter what industry anyone works in, they are going to be affected one way or another.
I work in the haulage industry and already the costs have risen due to the pound. Fuel for hundreds
of trucks is bought over the border and the falling pound against the euro has hit hard. Costs can only
become absorbed for a short time until they get passed onto the end users, which is everyone who eats......

The company I work for are a major player in the refrigerated transport business between the UK and Ireland.
The main products out are meat and chicken, and back, fruit and veg. The bulk of all this work is into the major
supermarket distribution centres. Therefore, higher fuel costs lead to higher food costs.

As our shopping habits have changed and we buy most of our food in supermarkets, so too has the production.
In order to supply the main players, producers have had to expand and modernise. Along with that, bring in workers.
Given the type of work involved, and with producers running 24/7, the majority of these workers are eastern European.
Not too many children leaving school locally want to go work in a meat or chicken processing factory.........

The people of Boston in Lincolnshire voted the highest to leave, mainly due to the high number of eastern Europeans
living in the area. If they were to leave, the fields around Boston would overgrow as there would be no one left to pick
the fruit and veg.

If we didn't have the workers coming here to work in the fields and the factories producing food, driving the trucks
transporting it, packing and stacking it, then we would have a major problem.  The cost of food would sky rocket, and there
would be a massive supply problem.

If border controls and customs return, then we are also facing major hurdles. Given the volume of goods crossing per day,
we are faced with a vast increase in paperwork, delays at the border, and a serious increase in costs.

The fallout from Brexit will hit our industry hard, and also the relevant knock on effects will take their toll. Like everything
else at present related to Brexit, nobody really knows what is going to happen. Those at the top don't even know !!

Things don't look to bright at the minute, and the future is looking pretty bleak as well.

Sure just put the rope up ffs!! Fuel actually a lot lower than it has been in recent years and will probably go back to what it was before, it didn't mean the prices went down when the price of oil was cheaper...

The Country (Britain) wont fall apart the South should do alright out of this to....

Like I said I voted to remain, pretty annoyed that we didn't but I'm past the point of the result, other European countries are progressing well without being in the EU... I even suspect it may even never happen for a lot longer that its supposed too
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 06, 2016, 01:23:59 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 12:46:07 PM
Quote from: give her dixie on July 06, 2016, 12:32:21 PM
No matter what industry anyone works in, they are going to be affected one way or another.
I work in the haulage industry and already the costs have risen due to the pound. Fuel for hundreds
of trucks is bought over the border and the falling pound against the euro has hit hard. Costs can only
become absorbed for a short time until they get passed onto the end users, which is everyone who eats......

The company I work for are a major player in the refrigerated transport business between the UK and Ireland.
The main products out are meat and chicken, and back, fruit and veg. The bulk of all this work is into the major
supermarket distribution centres. Therefore, higher fuel costs lead to higher food costs.

As our shopping habits have changed and we buy most of our food in supermarkets, so too has the production.
In order to supply the main players, producers have had to expand and modernise. Along with that, bring in workers.
Given the type of work involved, and with producers running 24/7, the majority of these workers are eastern European.
Not too many children leaving school locally want to go work in a meat or chicken processing factory.........

The people of Boston in Lincolnshire voted the highest to leave, mainly due to the high number of eastern Europeans
living in the area. If they were to leave, the fields around Boston would overgrow as there would be no one left to pick
the fruit and veg.

If we didn't have the workers coming here to work in the fields and the factories producing food, driving the trucks
transporting it, packing and stacking it, then we would have a major problem.  The cost of food would sky rocket, and there
would be a massive supply problem.

If border controls and customs return, then we are also facing major hurdles. Given the volume of goods crossing per day,
we are faced with a vast increase in paperwork, delays at the border, and a serious increase in costs.

The fallout from Brexit will hit our industry hard, and also the relevant knock on effects will take their toll. Like everything
else at present related to Brexit, nobody really knows what is going to happen. Those at the top don't even know !!

Things don't look to bright at the minute, and the future is looking pretty bleak as well.

Sure just put the rope up ffs!! Fuel actually a lot lower than it has been in recent years and will probably go back to what it was before, it didn't mean the prices went down when the price of oil was cheaper...

The Country (Britain) wont fall apart the South should do alright out of this to....

Like I said I voted to remain, pretty annoyed that we didn't but I'm past the point of the result, other European countries are progressing well without being in the EU... I even suspect it may even never happen for a lot longer that its supposed too

We get it MR2.  Your job is safe.  Everyone is not in the same boat.
All (sane) government spokespersons, the ECB, the BOE, all international stock & forex markets, most major business players, the main banks and the majority of people you meet on a day-to-day basis say that this is going to lead to big changes, few of which are for the better.  You throw in your couple of little anecdotes and say, nah, we'll be grand.  You are wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 02:04:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Well, you clearly thought wrong, given that I do.

And the irony of you labelling our saying democracy should be accepted and respected as 'flippant' is delightful  ;D

You're clearly suggesting that we don't accept the vote. What do we do?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 02:10:03 PM
I didn't say my job was safe.... I just said it didn't collapse around the recession (I wasn't in my current job during that period) but all the stuff coming out now wasn't or was very difficult to get information on before it happened....

It actually could speed up an united Ireland, given how we voted here and how Scotland voted....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 06, 2016, 02:14:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 02:10:03 PM
I didn't say my job was safe.... I just said it didn't collapse around the recession (I wasn't in my current job during that period) but all the stuff coming out now wasn't or was very difficult to get information on before it happened....

It actually could speed up an united Ireland, given how we voted here and how Scotland voted....

He has been made redundant more times that he has had hot dinners, maybe all the benefit cheats can wash his car now instead of the immigrants.  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on July 06, 2016, 02:36:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Eh, is that not how democracy works??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 02:39:49 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 02:10:03 PM
but all the stuff coming out now wasn't or was very difficult to get information on before it happened....

All the stuff coming out now was entirely predicted before it happened.
It is a bit like someone saying that they jumped out a window and had been warned of the fall, but nobody told then of the sudden stop at the end.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 06, 2016, 03:40:55 PM
Only for the whole thing is so serious it would go down as the greatest but of comedy ever.
Better than Minty Python's sketches.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 06, 2016, 03:46:06 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 06, 2016, 03:40:55 PM
Only for the whole thing is so serious it would go down as the greatest but of comedy ever.
Better than Minty Python's sketches.

I prefer Last of the Summer Wine Gums.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 06, 2016, 03:50:05 PM
It was good that this clusterfuck happened under  a Tory government.
Bevan called them lower than vermin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 06, 2016, 04:23:02 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jul/06/beauty-beneath-brexit-bedwetting-leave-vote-diversity-genuine-change

This reminds me of a lot of Brexit voters in places like Cornwall

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OmLNs6zQIHo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mrdeeds on July 06, 2016, 04:58:02 PM
Zlatan's wages are 10 per cent less thanks to Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 06, 2016, 05:03:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 02:39:49 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 06, 2016, 02:10:03 PM
but all the stuff coming out now wasn't or was very difficult to get information on before it happened....

All the stuff coming out now was entirely predicted before it happened.
It is a bit like someone saying that they jumped out a window and had been warned of the fall, but nobody told then of the sudden stop at the end.

;D ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:36:23 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 06, 2016, 02:36:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Eh, is that not how democracy works??

I'll give you an example here.  Today, we have the Chilcot report, which pretty much damns Tony Blair for taking Britain to war in Iraq based on lies and falsehoods.  The decision to invade was made, entirely democratically, by a vote the House of Commons.  Do you also defend that decision?

It's exactly the same here - people were fed blatant lies and asked to vote based on those.  That is not democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on July 06, 2016, 05:51:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:36:23 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 06, 2016, 02:36:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Eh, is that not how democracy works??

I'll give you an example here.  Today, we have the Chilcot report, which pretty much damns Tony Blair for taking Britain to war in Iraq based on lies and falsehoods.  The decision to invade was made, entirely democratically, by a vote the House of Commons.  Do you also defend that decision?

It's exactly the same here - people were fed blatant lies and asked to vote based on those.  That is not democracy.

Not sure what the chilcot report has to do with it. Or how it's exactly the same.
.
Are you saying that the vote should be annulled on the basis of lies told during the campaign!? You can probably do the same for every election result for the past 50 years would likely fall into the same bracket. Absolutely there were blatant lies which were obvious to anyone with a bit of sense but that's the way politics is now.

For the record, I wouldn't have voted for Brexit nor do I think it will be positive for the 32 counties. The fact is though that there was a vote and a result and I don't see any legitimate reason not to follow through on it.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:59:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 02:04:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Well, you clearly thought wrong, given that I do.

And the irony of you labelling our saying democracy should be accepted and respected as 'flippant' is delightful  ;D

You're clearly suggesting that we don't accept the vote. What do we do?

How can a vote based on total lies be described as truly democratic?  I wish I knew what could be done from here but there has to be a political way to soften the blow - possibly some sort of Brexit 'lite' that could be negotiated to placate the idiots (and I mean idiots) who voted leave but at the same time respecting the 'democratic' will.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 06, 2016, 06:18:57 PM
To quote C Montgomery Burns 'When will people realise Democracy doesn't work'.

Democracy can appear to be a sham alot of the time. We're part of the UK but not entitled to the same privileges in certain things, Gay Marriage the prime example I suppose. What passes for Democracy in NI is laughable anyway.

Pathetic and all as it is an intercine Tory squabble has brought us to where we are today & there's no going back. I always liked Cameron but this was an unnecessary gamble.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on July 06, 2016, 06:50:12 PM
In fairness we get things like free prescriptions, no water charges etc. over here and I don't hear too many complain about that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 06, 2016, 07:03:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 06, 2016, 05:51:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:36:23 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 06, 2016, 02:36:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Eh, is that not how democracy works??

I'll give you an example here.  Today, we have the Chilcot report, which pretty much damns Tony Blair for taking Britain to war in Iraq based on lies and falsehoods.  The decision to invade was made, entirely democratically, by a vote the House of Commons.  Do you also defend that decision?

It's exactly the same here - people were fed blatant lies and asked to vote based on those.  That is not democracy.

Not sure what the chilcot report has to do with it. Or how it's exactly the same.
.
Are you saying that the vote should be annulled on the basis of lies told during the campaign!? You can probably do the same for every election result for the past 50 years would likely fall into the same bracket. Absolutely there were blatant lies which were obvious to anyone with a bit of sense but that's the way politics is now.

For the record, I wouldn't have voted for Brexit nor do I think it will be positive for the 32 counties. The fact is though that there was a vote and a result and I don't see any legitimate reason not to follow through on it.

Chilcot report is discussing the same situation - a democratic vote based on lies and deception.  Elections are different, in that the result is legally binding.  This was a referendum, essentially just a gauge of public opinion, which is not.  There is nothing stopping our politicians from taking the common sense position that public opinion was influenced by blatant lies at every turn and essentially saying that the result is void.  This would probably mean the end of said politician's career though, so in reality, this will probably never happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 06, 2016, 07:44:18 PM
Quote from: Nigel White on July 06, 2016, 06:50:12 PM
In fairness we get things like free prescriptions, no water charges etc. over here and I don't hear too many complain about that
True, but being denied a genuine civil liberty is a bit different.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 08:30:33 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 06, 2016, 07:44:18 PM
Quote from: Nigel White on July 06, 2016, 06:50:12 PM
In fairness we get things like free prescriptions, no water charges etc. over here and I don't hear too many complain about that
True, but being denied a genuine civil liberty is a bit different.

It is a complete (and typical) devaluation of language to describe the difference between something called Civil Partnership and Marriage as a civil liberty. The right to have a relationship might be a civil liberty, having certain tax allowances or have it called a certain name is definitely not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 06, 2016, 09:22:23 PM
Abortion then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 09:26:49 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 06, 2016, 09:22:23 PM
Abortion then.

Once again it is not a civil right to end another life for your own convenience, quite the reverse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 06, 2016, 09:32:11 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 09:26:49 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 06, 2016, 09:22:23 PM
Abortion then.

Once again it is not a civil right to end another life for your own convenience, quite the reverse.

In your opinion
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 06, 2016, 09:36:59 PM
Legal entitlement. (Without the Catholic melodrama on both issues).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Olly on July 06, 2016, 10:22:16 PM
I was in a Spar tonight. I got:

a pan loaf for a pound.
a packet of massive Knik Knaks for a pound.
3 toilet rolls for a pound
a bottle of Comfort for a pound.
a tube of Vaseline for a pound.

Brexit my hole. Shop in the right places.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 06, 2016, 10:33:48 PM
Quote from: Olly on July 06, 2016, 10:22:16 PM
a tube of Vaseline for a pound.


This will be useful, post Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on July 06, 2016, 11:43:53 PM
Quote from: Olly on July 06, 2016, 10:22:16 PM
I was in a Spar tonight. I got:

a pan loaf for a pound.
a packet of massive Knik Knaks for a pound.
3 toilet rolls for a pound
a bottle of Comfort for a pound.
a tube of Vaseline for a pound.

Brexit my hole. Shop in the right places.

Supermarkets/shops will soon put up the prices once haulage costs go up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 06:32:40 AM
Quote from: Olly on July 06, 2016, 10:22:16 PM
I was in a Spar tonight. I got:

a pan loaf for a pound.
a packet of massive Knik Knaks for a pound.
3 toilet rolls for a pound
a bottle of Comfort for a pound.
a tube of Vaseline for a pound.

Brexit my hole. Shop in the right places.
Brexiting your hole is legally impossible. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 07, 2016, 08:04:20 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on July 06, 2016, 11:43:53 PM
Quote from: Olly on July 06, 2016, 10:22:16 PM
I was in a Spar tonight. I got:

a pan loaf for a pound.
a packet of massive Knik Knaks for a pound.
3 toilet rolls for a pound
a bottle of Comfort for a pound.
a tube of Vaseline for a pound.

Brexit my hole. Shop in the right places.

Supermarkets/shops will soon put up the prices once haulage costs go up

Has fuel went up?? And has it reached the peak that it was last year??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on July 07, 2016, 08:28:04 AM
Why wouldn't it go up? If not as a direct result of Brexit, I'd expect it to be used as an excuse by the government to raise it anyway
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on July 07, 2016, 08:38:34 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:36:23 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 06, 2016, 02:36:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Eh, is that not how democracy works??

I'll give you an example here.  Today, we have the Chilcot report, which pretty much damns Tony Blair for taking Britain to war in Iraq based on lies and falsehoods.  The decision to invade was made, entirely democratically, by a vote the House of Commons.  Do you also defend that decision?

It's exactly the same here - people were fed blatant lies and asked to vote based on those.  That is not democracy.

You cant uninvade. The decision was made.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 07, 2016, 08:46:35 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on July 07, 2016, 08:38:34 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:36:23 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 06, 2016, 02:36:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Eh, is that not how democracy works??

I'll give you an example here.  Today, we have the Chilcot report, which pretty much damns Tony Blair for taking Britain to war in Iraq based on lies and falsehoods.  The decision to invade was made, entirely democratically, by a vote the House of Commons.  Do you also defend that decision?

It's exactly the same here - people were fed blatant lies and asked to vote based on those.  That is not democracy.

You cant uninvade. The decision was made.

Bravo, Einstein.  My point is that we shouldn't make the mistake of taking another major decision (no matter how democratically) based on lies and deception.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 08:50:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:59:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 02:04:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Well, you clearly thought wrong, given that I do.

And the irony of you labelling our saying democracy should be accepted and respected as 'flippant' is delightful  ;D

You're clearly suggesting that we don't accept the vote. What do we do?

How can a vote based on total lies be described as truly democratic?  I wish I knew what could be done from here but there has to be a political way to soften the blow - possibly some sort of Brexit 'lite' that could be negotiated to placate the idiots (and I mean idiots) who voted leave but at the same time respecting the 'democratic' will.

Well, I say we need to respect democracy, and you say you don't know what to do, so until you do, I think we should go with my suggestion.

Also, just out of interest - can you give me the specific examples of the 'total lies' the Leave side told?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 07, 2016, 09:06:52 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 08:50:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:59:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 02:04:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Well, you clearly thought wrong, given that I do.

And the irony of you labelling our saying democracy should be accepted and respected as 'flippant' is delightful  ;D

You're clearly suggesting that we don't accept the vote. What do we do?

How can a vote based on total lies be described as truly democratic?  I wish I knew what could be done from here but there has to be a political way to soften the blow - possibly some sort of Brexit 'lite' that could be negotiated to placate the idiots (and I mean idiots) who voted leave but at the same time respecting the 'democratic' will.

Well, I say we need to respect democracy, and you say you don't know what to do, so until you do, I think we should go with my suggestion.

Also, just out of interest - can you give me the specific examples of the 'total lies' the Leave side told?

If you need me to do this, you clearly haven't been following events too closely.  With that, I hope you'll forgive me if I disagree with your suggestion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on July 07, 2016, 09:10:24 AM
British fuel companies buy the oil in dollars so as the pound has fallen the price of fuel is set to go up quite quickly. It has went up 4p in the last week as the dearer fuel come into the market
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 07, 2016, 09:15:41 AM
The freedom of trade and freedom of movement of people is one which I suspect a lot of people did not know about / understand.

I think *some* of the leavers get a tough break but that whole taking britain back etc would make you sick. Then you see bonfires up here with foreigners out etc and hate crimes up across the board. It's hard not to want it to be turned round.

Yeah as someone said before fuel will go up and so will food soon enough. Then there will be less spending in all of our industries and will hit most if not all of us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on July 07, 2016, 09:15:57 AM
On Chilcot, it said many things including that the intelligence was flawed, and wholly peaceful means were not fully explored. What it did not say was that Blair deliberately lied to justify the invasion. It is accepted that Bush was going in with or without the Brits, what Blair did was give him cover. I don't agree with the decision. What we now have is anti Blairites including the local Unionist Parties having a go. The laugh is the Unionists would vote for war any time it comes up irrespective of evidence.

On Brexit, the leave campaigners misled us on the money available when we exit the EU to spend on the NHS. They mis led us on the likely fallout which is now there for all to see. Unfortunately most of the remain side where chancers not trusted by large swathes of English voters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on July 07, 2016, 09:17:24 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 07, 2016, 09:15:41 AM
The freedom of trade and freedom of movement of people is one which I suspect a lot of people did not know about / understand.

I think *some* of the leavers get a tough break but that whole taking britain back etc would make you sick. Then you see bonfires up here with foreigners out etc and hate crimes up across the board. It's hard not to want it to be turned round.

Yeah as someone said before fuel will go up and so will food soon enough. Then there will be less spending in all of our industries and will hit most if not all of us.
That is the loyalist mind set, I think LAD posted a picture yesterday of King Billy saying "I'm a foreigner too". You couldn't make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 07, 2016, 09:22:21 AM
they posted a thing on Facebook there with a phone in from talkback. Some guy phoned in and was irate that when people saw palettes with graffiti saying foreigners out on them that they thought it meant all foreigners out.

What he said it actually meant was foreigner murders, paedophiles, rapists and in general criminals out but they just hadn't the space to say it lol. All true rest were ok.You couldn't make it up.

the leave thing reminds me a lot about the 11 plus thing over here. Ok let's stop this. Right we've stopped it. Ok what do we do. Ah I'm not sure really. Sums up politics and cheap point scoring in general that takes place in it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 09:27:22 AM
In the last 15 years in the UK there have been the Iraq mess, the collapse of RBS and Brexit. Send her victorious happy and glorious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 10:05:59 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 07, 2016, 09:06:52 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 08:50:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:59:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 02:04:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Well, you clearly thought wrong, given that I do.

And the irony of you labelling our saying democracy should be accepted and respected as 'flippant' is delightful  ;D

You're clearly suggesting that we don't accept the vote. What do we do?

How can a vote based on total lies be described as truly democratic?  I wish I knew what could be done from here but there has to be a political way to soften the blow - possibly some sort of Brexit 'lite' that could be negotiated to placate the idiots (and I mean idiots) who voted leave but at the same time respecting the 'democratic' will.

Well, I say we need to respect democracy, and you say you don't know what to do, so until you do, I think we should go with my suggestion.

Also, just out of interest - can you give me the specific examples of the 'total lies' the Leave side told?

If you need me to do this, you clearly haven't been following events too closely.  With that, I hope you'll forgive me if I disagree with your suggestion.

;D Yes, its probably best that you extricate yourself from your ridiculous position.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 10:07:30 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 07, 2016, 09:22:21 AM
they posted a thing on Facebook there with a phone in from talkback. Some guy phoned in and was irate that when people saw palettes with graffiti saying foreigners out on them that they thought it meant all foreigners out.

What he said it actually meant was foreigner murders, paedophiles, rapists and in general criminals out but they just hadn't the space to say it lol. All true rest were ok.You couldn't make it up.

the leave thing reminds me a lot about the 11 plus thing over here. Ok let's stop this. Right we've stopped it. Ok what do we do. Ah I'm not sure really. Sums up politics and cheap point scoring in general that takes place in it.

'They just worded it wrong' - actual quote  ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on July 07, 2016, 10:26:35 AM
The middle east has to be kept in turmoil due to it being an oil rich part of the world. If America and Britain could do the same to Russia they would.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 11:16:47 AM
Why exactly?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 07, 2016, 11:36:09 AM
Cheap oil and exploitation by Yankee big business ( who of course fund the Yankee politicians).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 01:42:53 PM
(http://65.media.tumblr.com/8e0bb8a65366f03afcd7f90cafad633e/tumblr_o9h77xJ8n91uihitdo1_540.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 01:52:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 07, 2016, 11:36:09 AM
Cheap oil and exploitation by Yankee big business ( who of course fund the Yankee politicians).

How does keeping it in turmoil make it cheaper? And how much does it cost to keep it in turmoil?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 07, 2016, 01:58:11 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 01:52:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 07, 2016, 11:36:09 AM
Cheap oil and exploitation by Yankee big business ( who of course fund the Yankee politicians).

How does keeping it in turmoil make it cheaper? And how much does it cost to keep it in turmoil?

Yeah I think this theory has been over played.
Stability and extra trading partners would contribute as equally to world economic stability as continually fueling wars which are counterproductive long term.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on July 07, 2016, 02:00:38 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 07, 2016, 01:58:11 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 01:52:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 07, 2016, 11:36:09 AM
Cheap oil and exploitation by Yankee big business ( who of course fund the Yankee politicians).

How does keeping it in turmoil make it cheaper? And how much does it cost to keep it in turmoil?

Yeah I think this theory has been over played.
Stability and extra trading partners would contribute as equally to world economic stability as continually fueling wars which are counterproductive long term.

Not if you are one of the worlds biggest arms exporter it doesn't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on July 07, 2016, 02:09:01 PM
Energy is going to be the cause of the next world war. Look at Russia who have the largest reserves of natural gas and the western powers hate that this is the fact. You have to look at the next 50 -100 yrs which the British government is doing, if there is peace in the middle east and they are making alot of money and become really powerful then they can hold Britain etc to ransom over energy deals. (hasn't this happened before) At the minute the oil in Iraq is being stole from under the peoples noses because they have leaders who have been but there by Britain/America.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 07, 2016, 02:13:56 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on July 07, 2016, 02:09:01 PM
Energy is going to be the cause of the next world war. Look at Russia who have the largest reserves of natural gas and the western powers hate that this is the fact. You have to look at the next 50 -100 yrs which the British government is doing, if there is peace in the middle east and they are making alot of money and become really powerful then they can hold Britain etc to ransom over energy deals. (hasn't this happened before) At the minute the oil in Iraq is being stole from under the peoples noses because they have leaders who have been but there by Britain/America.

Gove, Farage and BoJo were taking the long view?

Please explain.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 02:28:06 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on July 07, 2016, 02:00:38 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 07, 2016, 01:58:11 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 01:52:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 07, 2016, 11:36:09 AM
Cheap oil and exploitation by Yankee big business ( who of course fund the Yankee politicians).

How does keeping it in turmoil make it cheaper? And how much does it cost to keep it in turmoil?

Yeah I think this theory has been over played.
Stability and extra trading partners would contribute as equally to world economic stability as continually fueling wars which are counterproductive long term.

Not if you are one of the worlds biggest arms exporter it doesn't.

So they deliberately spend billions f**king these places up as a means of keeping oil prices down (although the economics on that would appear to even a cursory glance to be suspect) while giving them a market for their weapons, is that about it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 07, 2016, 02:40:48 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 10:05:59 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 07, 2016, 09:06:52 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 08:50:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 05:59:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 06, 2016, 02:04:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 06, 2016, 12:27:32 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on July 05, 2016, 09:35:12 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 05, 2016, 09:31:57 PM
Haranguerer and macdanger, do you live in the 6 co's?

No

I thought as much, given the flippant nature of your 'you must accept the vote' statements.

Well, you clearly thought wrong, given that I do.

And the irony of you labelling our saying democracy should be accepted and respected as 'flippant' is delightful  ;D

You're clearly suggesting that we don't accept the vote. What do we do?

How can a vote based on total lies be described as truly democratic?  I wish I knew what could be done from here but there has to be a political way to soften the blow - possibly some sort of Brexit 'lite' that could be negotiated to placate the idiots (and I mean idiots) who voted leave but at the same time respecting the 'democratic' will.

Well, I say we need to respect democracy, and you say you don't know what to do, so until you do, I think we should go with my suggestion.

Also, just out of interest - can you give me the specific examples of the 'total lies' the Leave side told?

If you need me to do this, you clearly haven't been following events too closely.  With that, I hope you'll forgive me if I disagree with your suggestion.

;D Yes, its probably best that you extricate yourself from your ridiculous position.

As ridiculous as you trying to suggest that you don't know the lies that the leave side told?  Doubtful.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 02:49:52 PM
Well, there was no lie told re the NHS - I do know that much, and I imagine thats the feather in your cap of Leave lies.

'lets spend it on the NHS instead' is merely a suggestion, not a promise. Its misleading, as there was never any chance of it being spent in the NHS, but a 'total lie'? No. While on a grander scale, its fairly typical of the sort of misleading statements thrown round at election time. So given that you want to dismiss a vote as in your opinion its based on falsehoods like the above, where exactly are you going to draw the line?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 03:14:26 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 02:49:52 PM
Well, there was no lie told re the NHS - I do know that much, and I imagine thats the feather in your cap of Leave lies.

'lets spend it on the NHS instead' is merely a suggestion, not a promise. Its misleading, as there was never any chance of it being spent in the NHS, but a 'total lie'? No. While on a grander scale, its fairly typical of the sort of misleading statements thrown round at election time. So given that you want to dismiss a vote as in your opinion its based on falsehoods like the above, where exactly are you going to draw the line?

Leave lied.

- they said that you could have a complete Single market without accepting any other conditions (immigration, contribution to budget)
- they continually used gross, rather than net, values for EU payments
- they continually used total immigration rather than EU immigration and continually conflated things like social security numbers issued with people actually staying for a long period. There are a lot of East Europeans who come and then leave again, non EU immigrants are much more likely to stay.
- they continually downplayed the negative effects of the withdrawal
- they claimed Britain was in a strong position, no mention of giant balance of payments deficit and still high public finances deficit.
- add to that some very suspect claims about people using NHS etc when young immigrants don't much, like young people everywhere.

you could go on and on. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 03:37:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 03:14:26 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 02:49:52 PM
Well, there was no lie told re the NHS - I do know that much, and I imagine thats the feather in your cap of Leave lies.

'lets spend it on the NHS instead' is merely a suggestion, not a promise. Its misleading, as there was never any chance of it being spent in the NHS, but a 'total lie'? No. While on a grander scale, its fairly typical of the sort of misleading statements thrown round at election time. So given that you want to dismiss a vote as in your opinion its based on falsehoods like the above, where exactly are you going to draw the line?

Leave lied.

- they said that you could have a complete Single market without accepting any other conditions (immigration, contribution to budget) Noone knew what UK could get if voted leave - we still don't know, its negotiation stage, and everyones playing hardball re no free market
- they continually used gross, rather than net, values for EU payments 'We give EU x...' were they correct? Not mentioning what get back is not a lie
- they continually used total immigration rather than EU immigration and continually conflated things like social security numbers issued with people actually staying for a long period. There are a lot of East Europeans who come and then leave again, non EU immigrants are much more likely to stay. Wheres the lie?
- they continually downplayed the negative effects of the withdrawal How is that a lie? No one knows what they are for sure yet
- they claimed Britain was in a strong position, no mention of giant balance of payments deficit and still high public finances deficit. Opinion, not a lie
- add to that some very suspect claims about people using NHS etc when young immigrants don't much, like young people everywhere. Too vague to know what you're on about

you could go on and on. Do, but actually present a concise statement used by 'leave' that can be proved to be a lie (and theres bound to be some!), not vague utterances such as the above
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 03:39:22 PM
Interestingly, I just came across this (while trying to help armaghniac with some leave lies  ;)) - I assume this - not necessarily invoking Article 50 - is an about turn, or have I just missed it??

http://www.voteleavetakecontrol.org/briefing_newdeal

We do not necessarily have to use Article 50 - we may agree with the EU another path that is in both our interests.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on July 07, 2016, 04:31:08 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 02:28:06 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on July 07, 2016, 02:00:38 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 07, 2016, 01:58:11 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 01:52:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 07, 2016, 11:36:09 AM
Cheap oil and exploitation by Yankee big business ( who of course fund the Yankee politicians).

How does keeping it in turmoil make it cheaper? And how much does it cost to keep it in turmoil?

Yeah I think this theory has been over played.
Stability and extra trading partners would contribute as equally to world economic stability as continually fueling wars which are counterproductive long term.

Not if you are one of the worlds biggest arms exporter it doesn't.

So they deliberately spend billions f**king these places up as a means of keeping oil prices down (although the economics on that would appear to even a cursory glance to be suspect) while giving them a market for their weapons, is that about it?

Well the reason Saddam first invaded Kuwait was they were deliberately keeping it low and that was f**king Iraq up. He invaded and was turfed out, but in the meantime every oil rich state was buying arms off the Americans, French and Brits to beat the band.

Remember the Arab spring?
Where was Dave Cameron and a Trade delegation (of Arms dealers) of UK Business men? Yip, in the Middle East peddling their wares to the unelected heads of various states.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 04:43:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 03:37:35 PM
- they said that you could have a complete Single market without accepting any other conditions (immigration, contribution to budget) Noone knew what UK could get if voted leave - we still don't know, its negotiation stage, and everyones playing hardball re no free market

Yeah right, in any negotiation you are going to get everything you want.

Quoteyou could go on and on. Do, but actually present a concise statement used by 'leave' that can be proved to be a lie (and theres bound to be some!), not vague utterances such as the above

This is a straight lie, the UK does not send this amount to the EU each week.
(http://leftfootforward.org/images/2016/05/rsz_cikhd7axaaiklxc.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 04:58:25 PM
Brexit is a delusion.
the EU needs reform. the UK is better driving that from the inside.
I think free movement is stupid when there is no growth
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 07, 2016, 05:22:03 PM
Interesting to see how the Tory leadership vote goes

A Leaver v A Remainer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 07, 2016, 05:26:00 PM
http://indy100.independent.co.uk/article/8-of-the-most-misleading-promises-of-the-vote-leave-campaign-ranked-in-order-of-preposterousness--WyxD59VO3Nb

Interestingly, this doesn't mention one of the biggest lies... that Turkey were going to join the EU and there was nothing that could be done to stop it.  Britain, like all other member states has a veto over any new member joining.

As to where I'd draw the line... round about here.  As I said before, this is not an election, it's a referendum.  It's a gauge of opinion with no legal standing wrt to the outcomes after the result becomes known.  I'd draw the line at blindly accepting the result of said referendum when (IMO) a huge percentage of the votes were garnered by peddling myths to the voters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 05:35:37 PM
Handy excuses for why it's not Leave's fault if Brexit goes bad
http://on.ft.com/29xf2u5

As the UK moves steadily towards its date with Brexit one can already sense the efforts of the Leave campaigners trying to dodge blame for any of the shocks ahead. Rather than own the result, leading advocates are building up alibis in case the outcome is less fabulous than they assured voters it would be. Here then is your cut-out-and-keep guide for Leavers on why things went wrong, just in case they do.

1) The civil service let us down by not planning for Brexit. I can't believe the government didn't have contingency plans for the fact that the Leave campaign didn't have any. What kind of government leaves important issues like the future of the country to people like us? All we said is that we wanted to leave; why does that make figuring out where to go our job? It was the government's responsibility to deliver on our promises. If they fail to do so, it can hardly be our fault.

2) No one at the wheel. When we said we wanted to take back control, we obviously meant that figuratively. It didn't mean we don't want to delegate.

3) Angry Remain campaigners talked down the country. This panicked us into an economic downturn which would undoubtedly have been avoided if they had not insisted on pointing out news which appeared to suggest they were right. Their selfish inability to admit they were wrong ensured that they were proved right, at great cost to the country.

4) The lefty media. By reporting daily on the sterling sell-off instead of hushing it up, the metropolitan elite in the mainstream media let down the public by telling them things they are better off not knowing. This also alerted currency speculators to things they would not otherwise have noticed. The media failed in its moral duty not to report unwelcome news.

5) George Osborne spooked markets. By not appearing in the first days after the vote to reassure markets, the chancellor let Britain down.

6) Mark Carney spooked markets. By making too many regular appearances designed to calm nerves, the governor of the Bank of England let Britain down. Did we mention he used to work for Goldman Sachs

7) David Cameron should never have resigned. The Leave campaign always made clear that it wanted him to stay on to lead the exit negotiations even though his last negotiations were a catastrophic failure and in spite of our warnings that he had absolutely no credibility any more.

8) Blame Boris. He left the detailed plans for how to manage Brexit on the bus.

9) Blame Boris some more. We had thought that the lean and hungry sharp-suited Boris Johnson was the man to lead our country but it turned out that we confused him with someone else and that the real Boris Johnson was in fact a large blond bumbler with no idea.

10) Greedy bankers. The ordinary decent citizens of this country were let down by greedy bankers, who put their own welfare ahead of that of people they had never met at the other end of the country. There was no way we could have known they would be seduced abroad by the lure of higher profits and salaries.

11) The French. We thought they'd be more British about this, accept the democratic outcome and work with us to make the best of it. Instead of being British about this; they insisted on being all French and spent the 100th anniversary of the Battle of the Somme plotting ways to steal lucrative business from London.

12) The Germans. We really thought they would help us more this time. We've always been able to count on Angela Merkel in the past.

13) Cowardly employers. Craven businesses failed to show faith in the country by continuing to hire people to do jobs they no longer needed.

14) Foreigners let Britain down. Refusing to accept the democratic vote of the British people, foreigners moved their investment elsewhere, thereby failing to all pull together to make the best of it.

15) Immigrants. Are you thinking what we're thinking?

16) Experts. We needed better experts than those we are fed up listening to.

17) We are all in this together now. So it's as much their fault as ours.

18) We weren't supposed to win. It never occurred to us that Remain would be so incompetent. Remain should have run a better campaign.





Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 07, 2016, 05:44:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 03:37:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 03:14:26 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 02:49:52 PM
Well, there was no lie told re the NHS - I do know that much, and I imagine thats the feather in your cap of Leave lies.

'lets spend it on the NHS instead' is merely a suggestion, not a promise. Its misleading, as there was never any chance of it being spent in the NHS, but a 'total lie'? No. While on a grander scale, its fairly typical of the sort of misleading statements thrown round at election time. So given that you want to dismiss a vote as in your opinion its based on falsehoods like the above, where exactly are you going to draw the line?

Leave lied.

- they said that you could have a complete Single market without accepting any other conditions (immigration, contribution to budget) Noone knew what UK could get if voted leave - we still don't know, its negotiation stage, and everyones playing hardball re no free market
- they continually used gross, rather than net, values for EU payments 'We give EU x...' were they correct? Not mentioning what get back is not a lie
- they continually used total immigration rather than EU immigration and continually conflated things like social security numbers issued with people actually staying for a long period. There are a lot of East Europeans who come and then leave again, non EU immigrants are much more likely to stay. Wheres the lie?
- they continually downplayed the negative effects of the withdrawal How is that a lie? No one knows what they are for sure yet
- they claimed Britain was in a strong position, no mention of giant balance of payments deficit and still high public finances deficit. Opinion, not a lie
- add to that some very suspect claims about people using NHS etc when young immigrants don't much, like young people everywhere. Too vague to know what you're on about

you could go on and on. Do, but actually present a concise statement used by 'leave' that can be proved to be a lie (and theres bound to be some!), not vague utterances such as the above

Farage-esque semantics.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 07, 2016, 05:55:30 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 05:35:37 PM
Handy excuses for why it's not Leave's fault if Brexit goes bad
http://on.ft.com/29xf2u5

As the UK moves steadily towards its date with Brexit one can already sense the efforts of the Leave campaigners trying to dodge blame for any of the shocks ahead. Rather than own the result, leading advocates are building up alibis in case the outcome is less fabulous than they assured voters it would be. Here then is your cut-out-and-keep guide for Leavers on why things went wrong, just in case they do.

1) The civil service let us down by not planning for Brexit. I can't believe the government didn't have contingency plans for the fact that the Leave campaign didn't have any. What kind of government leaves important issues like the future of the country to people like us? All we said is that we wanted to leave; why does that make figuring out where to go our job? It was the government's responsibility to deliver on our promises. If they fail to do so, it can hardly be our fault.

2) No one at the wheel. When we said we wanted to take back control, we obviously meant that figuratively. It didn't mean we don't want to delegate.

3) Angry Remain campaigners talked down the country. This panicked us into an economic downturn which would undoubtedly have been avoided if they had not insisted on pointing out news which appeared to suggest they were right. Their selfish inability to admit they were wrong ensured that they were proved right, at great cost to the country.

4) The lefty media. By reporting daily on the sterling sell-off instead of hushing it up, the metropolitan elite in the mainstream media let down the public by telling them things they are better off not knowing. This also alerted currency speculators to things they would not otherwise have noticed. The media failed in its moral duty not to report unwelcome news.

5) George Osborne spooked markets. By not appearing in the first days after the vote to reassure markets, the chancellor let Britain down.

6) Mark Carney spooked markets. By making too many regular appearances designed to calm nerves, the governor of the Bank of England let Britain down. Did we mention he used to work for Goldman Sachs

7) David Cameron should never have resigned. The Leave campaign always made clear that it wanted him to stay on to lead the exit negotiations even though his last negotiations were a catastrophic failure and in spite of our warnings that he had absolutely no credibility any more.

8) Blame Boris. He left the detailed plans for how to manage Brexit on the bus.

9) Blame Boris some more. We had thought that the lean and hungry sharp-suited Boris Johnson was the man to lead our country but it turned out that we confused him with someone else and that the real Boris Johnson was in fact a large blond bumbler with no idea.

10) Greedy bankers. The ordinary decent citizens of this country were let down by greedy bankers, who put their own welfare ahead of that of people they had never met at the other end of the country. There was no way we could have known they would be seduced abroad by the lure of higher profits and salaries.

11) The French. We thought they'd be more British about this, accept the democratic outcome and work with us to make the best of it. Instead of being British about this; they insisted on being all French and spent the 100th anniversary of the Battle of the Somme plotting ways to steal lucrative business from London.

12) The Germans. We really thought they would help us more this time. We've always been able to count on Angela Merkel in the past.

13) Cowardly employers. Craven businesses failed to show faith in the country by continuing to hire people to do jobs they no longer needed.

14) Foreigners let Britain down. Refusing to accept the democratic vote of the British people, foreigners moved their investment elsewhere, thereby failing to all pull together to make the best of it.

15) Immigrants. Are you thinking what we're thinking?

16) Experts. We needed better experts than those we are fed up listening to.

17) We are all in this together now. So it's as much their fault as ours.

18) We weren't supposed to win. It never occurred to us that Remain would be so incompetent. Remain should have run a better campaign.

We live in a blame cultural society.... Remainers will want to say I told you this would happen and the Leavers looking for other reasons as to why I may not work... Nobody willing to take charge and work through a difficult period.... I think with Cameron stepping down it would have effected the markets also...

We won't actually know how this will pan out for another year or so....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 07, 2016, 06:21:56 PM
So MR2's going with No.7!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 06:28:28 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 07, 2016, 05:44:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 03:37:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 03:14:26 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 02:49:52 PM
Well, there was no lie told re the NHS - I do know that much, and I imagine thats the feather in your cap of Leave lies.

'lets spend it on the NHS instead' is merely a suggestion, not a promise. Its misleading, as there was never any chance of it being spent in the NHS, but a 'total lie'? No. While on a grander scale, its fairly typical of the sort of misleading statements thrown round at election time. So given that you want to dismiss a vote as in your opinion its based on falsehoods like the above, where exactly are you going to draw the line?

Leave lied.

- they said that you could have a complete Single market without accepting any other conditions (immigration, contribution to budget) Noone knew what UK could get if voted leave - we still don't know, its negotiation stage, and everyones playing hardball re no free market
- they continually used gross, rather than net, values for EU payments 'We give EU x...' were they correct? Not mentioning what get back is not a lie
- they continually used total immigration rather than EU immigration and continually conflated things like social security numbers issued with people actually staying for a long period. There are a lot of East Europeans who come and then leave again, non EU immigrants are much more likely to stay. Wheres the lie?
- they continually downplayed the negative effects of the withdrawal How is that a lie? No one knows what they are for sure yet
- they claimed Britain was in a strong position, no mention of giant balance of payments deficit and still high public finances deficit. Opinion, not a lie
- add to that some very suspect claims about people using NHS etc when young immigrants don't much, like young people everywhere. Too vague to know what you're on about

you could go on and on. Do, but actually present a concise statement used by 'leave' that can be proved to be a lie (and theres bound to be some!), not vague utterances such as the above

Farage-esque semantics.

Well of course! That's my point, that most political statements are said in such a way that they're meaningless when you look into it.

Anyway, I wish the result had been different. But it wasn't, and regardless of what legal right you have, refusal to accept it sets a very dangerous precedent, and isn't something I'd support
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 06:34:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 07, 2016, 05:55:30 PM
We won't actually know how this will pan out for another year or so....

About 5 times that period we may have some indication.....

Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 06:28:28 PM
Well of course! That's my point, that most political statements are said in such a way that they're meaningless when you look into it.

This is the old "they're all at it" fallacy. There isn't a symmetry here, whatever way you look at it.

QuoteAnyway, I wish the result had been different. But it wasn't, and regardless of what legal right you have, refusal to accept it sets a very dangerous precedent, and isn't something I'd support

They won't refuse to accept it, or at least not quite that way. Something like a 60% opinion poll for Scottish Independence and noises from Nicola might lead to them calling another referendum to "save the UK" or something like that. People will reconsider to "Save the UK", not because they were eejits in the first place.
Oddly enough this one might have the opposite ratio between Scotland and England!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 07:36:16 PM
Leadsom vs May

Leadsom is dangerous. She would be closer to trump than to anyone civilised
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 07, 2016, 08:13:43 PM
A bit like Hitler v Himmler.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 07, 2016, 08:15:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 07:36:16 PM
Leadsom vs May

Leadsom is dangerous. She would be closer to trump than to anyone civilised

What are you basing that on ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 08:15:50 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 07, 2016, 08:13:43 PM
A bit like Hitler v Himmler.

Except they haven't a ball between them, so maybe more like Goebbels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 08:19:46 PM
Quote from: Minder on July 07, 2016, 08:15:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 07:36:16 PM
Leadsom vs May

Leadsom is dangerous. She would be closer to trump than to anyone civilised

What are you basing that on ?
What Private Eye say about her. She is rabidly neoliberal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on July 07, 2016, 08:48:17 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 07, 2016, 09:22:21 AM
they posted a thing on Facebook there with a phone in from talkback. Some guy phoned in and was irate that when people saw palettes with graffiti saying foreigners out on them that they thought it meant all foreigners out.

What he said it actually meant was foreigner murders, paedophiles, rapists and in general criminals out but they just hadn't the space to say it lol. All true rest were ok.You couldn't make it up.

the leave thing reminds me a lot about the 11 plus thing over here. Ok let's stop this. Right we've stopped it. Ok what do we do. Ah I'm not sure really. Sums up politics and cheap point scoring in general that takes place in it.

I don't mind homegrown murderers, paedos and rapists but those foreign murderers, paedos and rapists really piss me off
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 07, 2016, 08:59:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 08:19:46 PM
Quote from: Minder on July 07, 2016, 08:15:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 07, 2016, 07:36:16 PM
Leadsom vs May

Leadsom is dangerous. She would be closer to trump than to anyone civilised

What are you basing that on ?
What Private Eye say about her. She is rabidly neoliberal
Really is your favourite spake this neoliberal malarkey.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on July 07, 2016, 11:15:23 PM
Apparently Cork fans were taunting Linfield fans at Turners Cross tonight with "You're only here for the passport!" 😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 08, 2016, 04:42:24 AM
Nordies all have the right to Irish citizenship so Brexit wouldn't necessarily have to apply to the 6 counties as long as London keeps the credit card working.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 08, 2016, 05:56:19 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 07, 2016, 06:34:53 PM

Quote from: haranguerer on July 07, 2016, 06:28:28 PM
Well of course! That's my point, that most political statements are said in such a way that they're meaningless when you look into it.

This is the old "they're all at it" fallacy. There isn't a symmetry here, whatever way you look at it.

QuoteAnyway, I wish the result had been different. But it wasn't, and regardless of what legal right you have, refusal to accept it sets a very dangerous precedent, and isn't something I'd support

They won't refuse to accept it, or at least not quite that way. Something like a 60% opinion poll for Scottish Independence and noises from Nicola might lead to them calling another referendum to "save the UK" or something like that. People will reconsider to "Save the UK", not because they were eejits in the first place.
Oddly enough this one might have the opposite ratio between Scotland and England!

So what you're saying is they will refuse to accept it but the semantics will be different ...
But of course they're not all at it, no symmetry etc...

Whether they are or not, you've certainly just made it seem like they are and contradicted yourself in subsequent paragraphs into the bargain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:50:15 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 07, 2016, 06:21:56 PM
So MR2's going with No.7!

So you don't believe a resignation destabilises the market to a degree?? Generally it goes back to a level once someone os in place, but we have a strange thing in that both labour and the Tories are locked in in fighting (more than usual) and leadership battles
...

Should the market continue to drop after the governments settle themselves down then yeah brexit is working against it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 08, 2016, 08:28:10 AM
There are multiple factors in destabilizing market at present. Having no PM is just one of them. Everyone from the leave camp resigning or being ousted is another. Having no plan is just another.

To provide any form of stability at the very least some form of action plan would need to be in place I would have thought. How close or far away that is i do not know but i suspect quite far away.

That is and was the major problem with the leave campaign. They have no idea what to do and whether leave is good bad or indifferent at the very least to have some gauge of the future you need some idea of what's going to happen in it...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 08, 2016, 11:12:03 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:50:15 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 07, 2016, 06:21:56 PM
So MR2's going with No.7!

So you don't believe a resignation destabilises the market to a degree?? Generally it goes back to a level once someone os in place, but we have a strange thing in that both labour and the Tories are locked in in fighting (more than usual) and leadership battles
...

Should the market continue to drop after the governments settle themselves down then yeah brexit is working against it

Total rubbish.  The instability in the markets began  the minute the first constituency results for the referendum began to come in.  Many hours before Cameron resigned.  Are you seriously trying to argue that the current turbulence is due to Cameron resigning and not the referendum result???  Jesus wept.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: StGallsGAA on July 08, 2016, 11:58:56 AM
Bloody diesel price going up by the day! Thanks fukkers!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on July 08, 2016, 02:05:21 PM
Goldman Sachs appoints ex-EU president Barroso as chairman of its London-based European subsidiary

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/9d29a55c-44f1-11e6-b22f-79eb4891c97d.html#axzz4Dp1kfyoc (http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/9d29a55c-44f1-11e6-b22f-79eb4891c97d.html#axzz4Dp1kfyoc)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 03:12:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 08, 2016, 11:12:03 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:50:15 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 07, 2016, 06:21:56 PM
So MR2's going with No.7!

So you don't believe a resignation destabilises the market to a degree?? Generally it goes back to a level once someone os in place, but we have a strange thing in that both labour and the Tories are locked in in fighting (more than usual) and leadership battles
...

Should the market continue to drop after the governments settle themselves down then yeah brexit is working against it

Total rubbish.  The instability in the markets began  the minute the first constituency results for the referendum began to come in.  Many hours before Cameron resigned.  Are you seriously trying to argue that the current turbulence is due to Cameron resigning and not the referendum result???  Jesus wept.

Nope, but it hasn't helped
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 08, 2016, 03:32:36 PM
Rory weighing in

http://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/rory-mcilroy-says-we-must-weigh-up-if-united-ireland-would-be-better-than-brexit-uk-for-northern-ireland-34867231.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 08, 2016, 03:42:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 03:12:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 08, 2016, 11:12:03 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:50:15 AM
Quote from: Franko on July 07, 2016, 06:21:56 PM
So MR2's going with No.7!

So you don't believe a resignation destabilises the market to a degree?? Generally it goes back to a level once someone os in place, but we have a strange thing in that both labour and the Tories are locked in in fighting (more than usual) and leadership battles
...

Should the market continue to drop after the governments settle themselves down then yeah brexit is working against it

Total rubbish.  The instability in the markets began  the minute the first constituency results for the referendum began to come in.  Many hours before Cameron resigned.  Are you seriously trying to argue that the current turbulence is due to Cameron resigning and not the referendum result???  Jesus wept.

Nope, but it hasn't helped

Neither has Farage resigning, or Boris, or the coup within Labour or a miilion other factors that you could care to mention.

The root cause is the result of the referendum.  Pure and simple.  To suggest anything else is total horse shoite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 08, 2016, 03:50:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 08, 2016, 08:28:10 AM
There are multiple factors in destabilizing market at present. Having no PM is just one of them. Everyone from the leave camp resigning or being ousted is another. Having no plan is just another.

To provide any form of stability at the very least some form of action plan would need to be in place I would have thought. How close or far away that is i do not know but i suspect quite far away.

That is and was the major problem with the leave campaign. They have no idea what to do and whether leave is good bad or indifferent at the very least to have some gauge of the future you need some idea of what's going to happen in it...

the Iraq invasion was exactly the same
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 04:50:51 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 08, 2016, 03:32:36 PM
Rory weighing in

http://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/rory-mcilroy-says-we-must-weigh-up-if-united-ireland-would-be-better-than-brexit-uk-for-northern-ireland-34867231.html

This kind of thing and the vote in North Down is an indication that those interested in the crown and the half crown are somewhat pulled in 2 directions.
Interesting times.

You have to wonder about the DUP. From a situation where the complacent middle were happy enough to go on with things as they were, they have supported a situation where this kind of this is being talked about on the Gold Coast. Bit of high risk for Arlene, she played the bigot card, but if the Irish government and the US etc manage to sway the Brits not to seal off the border and if Scotland fecks off, then HMS Loyal Ulster will be taking in water.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on July 08, 2016, 05:08:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 04:50:51 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 08, 2016, 03:32:36 PM
Rory weighing in

http://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/rory-mcilroy-says-we-must-weigh-up-if-united-ireland-would-be-better-than-brexit-uk-for-northern-ireland-34867231.html

This kind of thing and the vote in North Down is an indication that those interested in the crown and the half crown are somewhat pulled in 2 directions.
Interesting times.

You have to wonder about the DUP. From a situation where the complacent middle were happy enough to go on with things as they were, they have supported a situation where this kind of this is being talked about on the Gold Coast. Bit of high risk for Arlene, she played the bigot card, but if the Irish government and the US etc manage to sway the Brits not to seal off the border and if Scotland fecks off, then HMS Loyal Ulster will be taking in water.

Are there people, anywhere, who are not interested in the crown?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 05:11:59 PM
Quote from: muppet on July 08, 2016, 05:08:21 PM
Are there people, anywhere, who are not interested in the crown?

Some people just get white fillings.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on July 08, 2016, 06:26:09 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 08, 2016, 03:32:36 PM
Rory weighing in

http://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/rory-mcilroy-says-we-must-weigh-up-if-united-ireland-would-be-better-than-brexit-uk-for-northern-ireland-34867231.html

I would have thought that Rory would have taken note of the drama over his Ireland/GB Olympic decision and avoided the topic of Norn Iron politics completely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 09, 2016, 01:22:01 PM
The breakup of the UK is even starting to break up Antrim
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/14608367.The_Irish_island_campaigning_to_become_part_of_Scotland/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 09, 2016, 02:04:37 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 09, 2016, 01:22:01 PM
The breakup of the UK is even starting to break up Antrim
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/14608367.The_Irish_island_campaigning_to_become_part_of_Scotland/

Think of all those Rathlin hurlers that will be lost to Scotland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 10, 2016, 06:05:31 PM
there is an interesting proposal being made towards a very aggressive devolution within a reframed UK which will be proposed in the commons this week. The theory seems to be that this will head off the Scotland independence issue. I'm not sure I agree:

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/10/brexit-vote-paves-way-for-federal-union-says-all-party-group

QuoteThe governance of England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland should be reinvented within a new voluntary union in a bid to save the UK from disintegration, an independent all-party group of experts will argue this week.

The Constitution Reform Group, convened by former Conservative cabinet minister Lord Salisbury, is to make the the case for radical constitutional change in the UK by claiming the need has been boosted by the vote to leave the European Union.

Their proposals say the existing union should be replaced with fully devolved government in each part of the UK, with each given full sovereignty over its own affairs. The Westminster parliament, the group says, should then be reduced to 146 MPs. The individual nations and regions of the UK would then be encouraged to pool sovereignty to cover the matters they wish to be dealt with on a shared basis.



The proposals say they "start from the position that each of England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland is a unit that both can and should determine its own affairs to the extent that it considers it should; but that each unit should also be free to choose to share, through an efficient and effective United Kingdom, functions which are more effectively exercised on a shared basis."

The new construction suggests a complete reversal of the UK's current constitutional arrangement, in which all sovereignty formally rests in the centre and is then devolved to regions on a piecemeal basis.

"The time for radical change has come. This country needs a new act of union," Salisbury told the Guardian. "We are in a different world following the Brexit vote. The top-down, ad hoc approach to the structure of the United Kingdom needs to be replaced. We believe that our approach based on consent will provide a stronger union than the one that we now have and which is under challenge."

The Constitution Reform Group includes the former Liberal Democrat leader Sir Menzies Campbell, the former Labour Northern Ireland and Wales secretary Peter Hain, the former clerk of the House of Commons Lord Lisvane, and the former Ulster Unionist politician David Burnside.

The group claims it has the support of former Conservative prime minister Sir John Major, and from the current chairman of the Conservative backbench 1922 Committee, Graham Brady. Both senior backers are significant as the Conservative party, which is so dominant in England, has often been reluctant to embrace new constitutional thinking about the union, especially if it involves federalism.

The Salisbury group's proposals have been drafted into an Act of Union bill which is due for publication this week and will be put forward as a basis for discussion.

The group hopes that debate on its proposals would allow the draft bill to be refined and improved and acquire a degree of consent that would enable a future government to secure its parliamentary passage. If adopted, the new Act of Union would come into force only if passed within 14 months by a UK-wide referendum and by majorities in each of the four component nations.

The group proposes that the shared UK functions would include the monarchy as head of state, foreign affairs, defence, national security, immigration, international treaties, human rights, the supreme court, a single currency, a central bank function, financial services regulation, income and corporation tax powers, and the civil service.

Other functions of the existing UK would be controlled by the nations and regions, creating what would in effect be a sovereignty-max solution to the national question in the UK, similar in effect to the "devo-max" proposal that has often been canvassed in Scotland.

The group says its bill "aims to preserve and codify the most important and successful features of the present system, such as the notion of mutual support and shared rights and values".

Two key questions remain unresolved, on which the Salisbury group offers alternatives. The government of England would either involve a directly elected English parliament or a continuation of the current evolution towards self-governing English city-regions. There is no proposal for the creation of English regions.

The other unresolved question is the shape, size and future of the UK parliament. Under one version, the House of Lords would be abolished and a Commons consisting of 146 MPs would be the main legislative chamber. A new, second chamber comprising delegates from the English, Scottish and Welsh parliaments and from the Northern Ireland assembly would be created. Under the alternative, the Lords would be reduced to 400 members, with 75% directly elected on a federal basis and the rest appointed.

Members of the group have made clear they are partly motivated by limiting the momentum towards Scottish independence following the 23 June vote to leave the European Union. "It would pull the rug from under independence," said Lord Hain, while Salisbury argued his proposals would hand the initiative back to unionists.

Scotland and Northern Ireland voted in favour of remaining in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 10, 2016, 06:34:27 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 10, 2016, 06:05:31 PM
there is an interesting proposal being made towards a very aggressive devolution within a reframed UK which will be proposed in the commons this week. The theory seems to be that this will head off the Scotland independence issue. I'm not sure I agree:

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/10/brexit-vote-paves-way-for-federal-union-says-all-party-group

QuoteThe governance of England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland should be reinvented within a new voluntary union in a bid to save the UK from disintegration, an independent all-party group of experts will argue this week.

The Constitution Reform Group, convened by former Conservative cabinet minister Lord Salisbury, is to make the the case for radical constitutional change in the UK by claiming the need has been boosted by the vote to leave the European Union.

Their proposals say the existing union should be replaced with fully devolved government in each part of the UK, with each given full sovereignty over its own affairs. The Westminster parliament, the group says, should then be reduced to 146 MPs. The individual nations and regions of the UK would then be encouraged to pool sovereignty to cover the matters they wish to be dealt with on a shared basis.



The proposals say they "start from the position that each of England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland is a unit that both can and should determine its own affairs to the extent that it considers it should; but that each unit should also be free to choose to share, through an efficient and effective United Kingdom, functions which are more effectively exercised on a shared basis."

The new construction suggests a complete reversal of the UK's current constitutional arrangement, in which all sovereignty formally rests in the centre and is then devolved to regions on a piecemeal basis.

"The time for radical change has come. This country needs a new act of union," Salisbury told the Guardian. "We are in a different world following the Brexit vote. The top-down, ad hoc approach to the structure of the United Kingdom needs to be replaced. We believe that our approach based on consent will provide a stronger union than the one that we now have and which is under challenge."

The Constitution Reform Group includes the former Liberal Democrat leader Sir Menzies Campbell, the former Labour Northern Ireland and Wales secretary Peter Hain, the former clerk of the House of Commons Lord Lisvane, and the former Ulster Unionist politician David Burnside.

The group claims it has the support of former Conservative prime minister Sir John Major, and from the current chairman of the Conservative backbench 1922 Committee, Graham Brady. Both senior backers are significant as the Conservative party, which is so dominant in England, has often been reluctant to embrace new constitutional thinking about the union, especially if it involves federalism.

The Salisbury group's proposals have been drafted into an Act of Union bill which is due for publication this week and will be put forward as a basis for discussion.

The group hopes that debate on its proposals would allow the draft bill to be refined and improved and acquire a degree of consent that would enable a future government to secure its parliamentary passage. If adopted, the new Act of Union would come into force only if passed within 14 months by a UK-wide referendum and by majorities in each of the four component nations.

The group proposes that the shared UK functions would include the monarchy as head of state, foreign affairs, defence, national security, immigration, international treaties, human rights, the supreme court, a single currency, a central bank function, financial services regulation, income and corporation tax powers, and the civil service.

Other functions of the existing UK would be controlled by the nations and regions, creating what would in effect be a sovereignty-max solution to the national question in the UK, similar in effect to the "devo-max" proposal that has often been canvassed in Scotland.

The group says its bill "aims to preserve and codify the most important and successful features of the present system, such as the notion of mutual support and shared rights and values".

Two key questions remain unresolved, on which the Salisbury group offers alternatives. The government of England would either involve a directly elected English parliament or a continuation of the current evolution towards self-governing English city-regions. There is no proposal for the creation of English regions.

The other unresolved question is the shape, size and future of the UK parliament. Under one version, the House of Lords would be abolished and a Commons consisting of 146 MPs would be the main legislative chamber. A new, second chamber comprising delegates from the English, Scottish and Welsh parliaments and from the Northern Ireland assembly would be created. Under the alternative, the Lords would be reduced to 400 members, with 75% directly elected on a federal basis and the rest appointed.

Members of the group have made clear they are partly motivated by limiting the momentum towards Scottish independence following the 23 June vote to leave the European Union. "It would pull the rug from under independence," said Lord Hain, while Salisbury argued his proposals would hand the initiative back to unionists.

Scotland and Northern Ireland voted in favour of remaining in the EU.
how the money is split is key. Devo max would not suit NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 10, 2016, 07:05:06 PM
This plan is complete  bollix.  NI
and Scotland can't stay in the EU,  they  just get responsibility for their own costs without the ability to raise  the money.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 11, 2016, 12:17:54 PM
Conservatives now a one filly race, Leadsom gone, apparently.
Will May be crowned or will they bring the loathsome Gove back in?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 11, 2016, 12:27:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 11, 2016, 12:17:54 PM
Conservatives now a one filly race, Leadsom gone, apparently.
Will May be crowned or will they bring the loathsome Gove back in?
Leadsom starred as Ms Cupid Stunt with her comments on motherhood.  What a moron.

Only 25% MP support.  Every one of the pro Brexit leaders is gone
FT saying level of sterling depends on the deal they get with the EU. If it close to current terms stg goes up. If not it goes towards parity w USD.
A big decision in a town called malice. Maybe Brexit is dead
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 11, 2016, 01:17:54 PM
May wins by keeping her Gob shut mostly and letting her rivals skewer each other / themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on July 11, 2016, 01:56:53 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 11, 2016, 01:17:54 PM
May wins by keeping her Gob shut mostly

Any chance that it could inspire come copycats?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on July 11, 2016, 02:46:21 PM
May is making it clear that it is Brexit and nothing else...scary times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 11, 2016, 04:16:37 PM
Cameron stepping down on Wednesday.

Quote from: Applesisapples on July 11, 2016, 02:46:21 PM
May is making it clear that it is Brexit and nothing else...scary times.

On this island we need some agreement for that both the Irish and British governments will be asking for distinct arrangements for NI. The exact deal may then determine whether these have a small or big difference.

Not much hope of this with the likes of Foster at the helm.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on July 11, 2016, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on July 11, 2016, 02:46:21 PM
May is making it clear that it is Brexit and nothing else...scary times.

In all fairness , it was the people by way of referendum that made it clear.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 11, 2016, 04:25:58 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on July 11, 2016, 02:46:21 PM
May is making it clear that it is Brexit and nothing else...scary times.

Plamas I bet. When the facts change I am sure she changes her mind.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 12, 2016, 02:52:12 PM
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/12/opinion/brexit-and-irish-unity.html

Opinion piece by a Mr G Adams in todays New York Times

QuoteDublin — IN 1998, for the first time since partition in 1921, the people of Ireland, North and South, joined in voting for change when they took part in referendums on the Good Friday Agreement. That agreement was founded on the democratic principle that the people of Ireland, North and South, should determine their own future.

The Good Friday Agreement replaced decades of conflict and injustice with a deal that put power-sharing and equality at the heart of government. The agreement was endorsed by a resounding 71 percent of voters in the North and a remarkable 94 percent in the South of Ireland. History was made, and work began to establish all-island institutions that for nearly two decades have secured peace and justice in Ireland.

That achievement and legacy is now at risk. In last month's referendum on Britain's membership in the European Union, the citizens of the North of Ireland voted by 55 percent to 45 percent to remain within the union. As voters in the North did in the 1998 referendum, Irish nationalists, British unionists and others found common cause.

In Scotland, too, a strong majority of citizens voted to remain within the European Union, while more people in England and Wales voted to leave. That was their right, but because the total votes narrowly went in favor of Brexit, by 52 percent to 48 percent, the British government will now seek to drag the North of Ireland out of the European Union — based on the preference of voters in England and Wales.

The Brexit vote has caused political turmoil in London, a collapse in the value of the pound, predictions of a recession and economic uncertainty across the country. American investors have postponed a visit to the North of Ireland, and the Nevin Economic Research Institute, a think tank, has forecast a slowing of growth across the whole of Ireland.

This referendum had nothing to do with Ireland's economic interests, or even with reform of the European Union. Instead, it was precipitated by a toxic mix of factional fighting and leadership intrigue within the British Conservative Party and the rise of far-right, anti-immigrant groups like the U.K. Independence Party.

Leave campaign leaders like Michael Gove were also opposed to the peace deal in Ireland, which he once called a "capitulation." The Tory Party's presumptive new leader, Theresa May, believes that Britain should withdraw from the European Convention on Human Rights, which is a central component of the Good Friday Agreement.

In this Tory political game, the people of Ireland, our peace, economy and institutions, would all become collateral damage. By its reckless action, the British government has set aside the democratic consent that was central to the Good Friday Agreement and set a course that would fundamentally alter the relationships between the North and South of Ireland, and between Ireland and Britain.

The first and most obvious impact will be on the North-South border. In the past, this was marked by checkpoints, military bases and customs posts. Today, thanks to the peace agreement, the long stoppages and searches are gone, and the border is almost impossible to discern.

As a consequence of Brexit, that near-vanished border will become an international frontier between the European Union and an external state. Ireland's economy and people will face the renewed imposition of checkpoints, as well as blocks to trade, services and the free movement of workers. Communities united by the Good Friday Agreement will be divided once again.

With the loss of European Union funding for peace programs, progress on North-South cross-border cooperation will stall. A hard border will also undermine the operation of the All-Ireland bodies that promote business links, tourism and investment in health care and higher education.

This is preventable — if the Irish and British governments respect the vote of the people in the North to remain within the European Union.

The Irish government must act to guarantee the progress made by the Good Friday Agreement and subsequent accords. Ireland's prime minister, Enda Kenny, supports my proposal for an All-Ireland forum of political parties and civic partners to deal with the consequences of Brexit. We need maximum coordination among those who support the democratic demand that the North remain in the European Union.


Successive presidents of the United States, with the support of Irish-Americans, have played a central role in promoting political progress in the North of Ireland. Given its investment in the peace process, America's leaders must act to safeguard it, insisting that the British government honor its obligations under the agreements and give effect to the North's choice to remain.

As a party of Irish republicans and democrats, Sinn Fein believes in Irish unity. The Good Friday Agreement already allows for concurrent referendums on reunification to be held in the North and South. The British and Irish governments are obliged to legislate for the unity of Ireland if a simple majority in the North supports change.


The Brexit vote provides both a reason and an opportunity to enable this democratic decision. The British government should respect the popular vote in the North for European Union membership by bringing forward a referendum on Irish unity. The Irish government, too, should act on this.

The people of the North could then choose whether they wanted to be part of a Britain outside the European Union or belong to a unified Irish state in Europe. For the Irish after Brexit, that is the democratic way forward.

Gerry Adams serves as a member of the Dail, Ireland's Parliament, for Louth and is the president of Sinn Fein.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 12, 2016, 03:21:32 PM
A bit of posturing is OK, but SF know perfectly well that they have not done the groundwork for a United Ireland and proposing a poll without such groundwork will do more damage than good. They need to concentrate on a new watertight GFA and hope that Scotland, which has done the groundwork, starts the breakup of the UK for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on July 13, 2016, 10:09:25 AM
May not going to trigger Article 50 this year and seems to be of the opinion that they can start 'preliminary' talks with the EU before pushing the button. That seems at odds with what the EU are saying so interesting times ahead for UK business.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on July 13, 2016, 06:35:34 PM
[url] http://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/first-minister-arlene-foster-appointed-to-privy-council-34881685.html [/url
What else is the DUP set to get. The british monarchy are set to lose a small fortune in reduced single farm payments from tbe EU. Makes u wonder who wanted out of the EU the most.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 13, 2016, 08:23:55 PM
Boris is Foreign Secretary
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-36789972

is he to be the Michael Collins who doesn't get a good enough deal?

They already had May and Hammond, he can do Clarkson.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on July 13, 2016, 09:04:08 PM
Keep him out of the country.  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:47:22 PM
Clarkson will be transport secretary.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 13, 2016, 11:21:43 PM
She has to plámás all the Brexit people. Johnson Foreign secretary.  Gove something else . Love/Europe will tear us apart again. Thatcher, Major and call me Dave were all destroyed over Europe .  Sterling is in for a rough ride. 

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 14, 2016, 04:50:45 AM
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/video/2016/jul/14/theyve-made-him-foreign-secretary-boris-johnsons-elevation-stuns-angela-eagle-video
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 14, 2016, 06:35:30 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...

Think its just you Eamonn both have the same amount of syllables
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 14, 2016, 09:22:17 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 14, 2016, 06:35:30 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...

Think its just you Eamonn both have the same amount of syllables
And both geographically incorrect. North East Ireland perhaps.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gaffer on July 14, 2016, 09:41:42 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...

Sinn Fein started this 'north of Ireland' lark not all that long ago.
So if you are a nationalist  who says 'northern Ireland' you get dirty looks from the chuckies
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 14, 2016, 10:26:58 AM
Quote from: Gaffer on July 14, 2016, 09:41:42 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...

Sinn Fein started this 'north of Ireland' lark not all that long ago.
So if you are a nationalist  who says 'northern Ireland' you get dirty looks from the chuckies

My uncle is in his 70s and has been talking about the north of Ireland for as long as I can remember.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 14, 2016, 10:31:50 AM
Gove sacked.  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Canalman on July 14, 2016, 10:56:45 AM
Quote from: Gaffer on July 14, 2016, 09:41:42 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...

Sinn Fein started this 'north of Ireland' lark not all that long ago.
So if you are a nationalist  who says 'northern Ireland' you get dirty looks from the chuckies



Nonsense.The term has been used for many years. It and the term "six counties" still used by quite  a few of the older generation with a republican leaning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 14, 2016, 11:00:25 AM
I think the UK is fukced. There is no way to triangulate between the insanity of Brexit, the needs of the 50% of Brits who are sick of the system and the needs of the City, which is the root of the problem. Europe will tear the Tories apart. Again. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zuuObGsB0No
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gaffer on July 14, 2016, 12:37:35 PM
Quote from: Canalman on July 14, 2016, 10:56:45 AM
Quote from: Gaffer on July 14, 2016, 09:41:42 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...

Sinn Fein started this 'north of Ireland' lark not all that long ago.
So if you are a nationalist  who says 'northern Ireland' you get dirty looks from the chuckies

Not nonsense. 'Six counties' yes but the 'north of Ireland' is a relatively recent term used extensively by Sinn Fein!!



Nonsense.The term has been used for many years. It and the term "six counties" still used by quite  a few of the older generation with a republican leaning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 14, 2016, 12:57:22 PM
You are a lunatic gaffer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on July 14, 2016, 01:01:55 PM
Villiers is out of the NI post.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 14, 2016, 01:29:18 PM
Quote from: Rois on July 14, 2016, 01:01:55 PM
Villiers is out of the NI post.

Even better.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on July 14, 2016, 02:36:51 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...
Except it isn't a state, that would be the UK. Gerry though should focus on the fact that SF and their costing up to the DUP and general all round behaviour has made a UI further away rather than closer. By accepting the trappings of state more and more catholics feel at home in NI and don't want a UI. Talking about a remain majority is nothing more than wishful thinking.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 14, 2016, 03:19:09 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on July 14, 2016, 02:36:51 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 13, 2016, 10:50:18 PM
Is it just me or this this "north of Ireland" business an awful mouthful? FFS the GFA recognises British rule in the north, the state has a name, and it's okay to say "Northern Ireland" once in a while. No need to name-drop it 50 times in every statement like Peader Robinson used to do, but still...
Except it isn't a state, that would be the UK. Gerry though should focus on the fact that SF and their costing up to the DUP and general all round behaviour has made a UI further away rather than closer. By accepting the trappings of state more and more catholics feel at home in NI and don't want a UI. Talking about a remain majority is nothing more than wishful thinking.

While it is all too clear that SF have done nothing to advance a UI, recent events have illustrated the limitations of the UK and SF are lucky in that there is politically competent force in the SNP arguing for the importance of a local Remain. Unfortunately, there is no evidence whatsoever that SF have a clue what to do. Pearse Doherty was on the radio yesterday blathering about the difference between motor tax in the 26 counties for 3 months versus 6 months. Hardly a good use of his time in a week when the population of Donegal is shown to have fallen and the British are planning to hassle trade to and from there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 14, 2016, 05:18:31 PM
The Bank of England has a choice between a rate cut to zero and QE. Both result in inflation. The UK needs payrises.  Brexit is a waste of time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 17, 2016, 01:10:58 PM
Foster criticising Sturgeon for trying to get a distinct deal for Scotland. Imagine that, someone actually trying to represent the wishes of the electorate in the place they are responsible for. There may be a question as to what is exactly possible, but it reflects Foster's bigotry that she cannot even make common cause with Scotland never mind the Irish government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2016, 02:41:59 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 17, 2016, 01:10:58 PM
Foster criticising Sturgeon for trying to get a distinct deal for Scotland. Imagine that, someone actually trying to represent the wishes of the electorate in the place they are responsible for. There may be a question as to what is exactly possible, but it reflects Foster's bigotry that she cannot even make common cause with Scotland never mind the Irish government.
And most of the Unionists are ethnically Scottish. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 19, 2016, 06:21:34 PM
Angela Eagle drops out of Labour leader race - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36838808
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 22, 2016, 12:34:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36864273

But don't worry everyone.  That wise old sage Milltown Row 2 says it's gonna be grand and everyone else is wrong.

And sure, with his knowledge on the subject, he'll be fit to sort the problems anyways.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:08:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 22, 2016, 12:34:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36864273

But don't worry everyone.  That wise old sage Milltown Row 2 says it's gonna be grand and everyone else is wrong.

And sure, with his knowledge on the subject, he'll be fit to sort the problems anyways.

You did read it?? Shock down turn due to brexit result!! Who'd have thought it, but that was expected and that's a months review... Does a dark cloud follows you everywhere??

I don't need to sort out anyone's problems, I've my family to look after and that's that, the country managed to get through one of the worst recessions ever and people are still living better than our fathers and their fathers... If you're a glass half empty type person then you'll always have a negative view....

The pound in better shape, not as good as the 1.37 but heading back up, lets judge it when we actually leave Europe eh?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:36:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:08:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 22, 2016, 12:34:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36864273

But don't worry everyone.  That wise old sage Milltown Row 2 says it's gonna be grand and everyone else is wrong.

And sure, with his knowledge on the subject, he'll be fit to sort the problems anyways.

You did read it?? Shock down turn due to brexit result!! Who'd have thought it, but that was expected and that's a months review... Does a dark cloud follows you everywhere??

I don't need to sort out anyone's problems, I've my family to look after and that's that, the country managed to get through one of the worst recessions ever and people are still living better than our fathers and their fathers... If you're a glass half empty type person then you'll always have a negative view....

The pound in better shape, not as good as the 1.37 but heading back up, lets judge it when we actually leave Europe eh?

Yes I read it.  For those that didn't, here's the headline.

"Brexit causes dramatic drop in UK economy, data suggests"

And spare me the "glass half empty" psycho babble - if you actually read that and came out with a positive view of the state of the economy then I'd be quite sure you are an idiot.

Nobody's expecting us to go back to the dark ages because of this, but economically, it's a disaster.  And as you neatly pointed out for me, it hasn't even happened yet.  Although, for some reason, you seem to think it would be a good idea to stick our heads in the sand until then.  If you want to carry on in wonderland, I suppose that's fine.  I'd rather stick to the facts though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:39:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:08:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 22, 2016, 12:34:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36864273

But don't worry everyone.  That wise old sage Milltown Row 2 says it's gonna be grand and everyone else is wrong.

And sure, with his knowledge on the subject, he'll be fit to sort the problems anyways.

You did read it?? Shock down turn due to brexit result!! Who'd have thought it, but that was expected and that's a months review... Does a dark cloud follows you everywhere??

I don't need to sort out anyone's problems, I've my family to look after and that's that, the country managed to get through one of the worst recessions ever and people are still living better than our fathers and their fathers... If you're a glass half empty type person then you'll always have a negative view....

The pound in better shape, not as good as the 1.37 but heading back up, lets judge it when we actually leave Europe eh?

Also, this is total bollix.  You've no notion what way it's heading.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:48:58 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:39:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:08:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 22, 2016, 12:34:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36864273

But don't worry everyone.  That wise old sage Milltown Row 2 says it's gonna be grand and everyone else is wrong.

And sure, with his knowledge on the subject, he'll be fit to sort the problems anyways.

You did read it?? Shock down turn due to brexit result!! Who'd have thought it, but that was expected and that's a months review... Does a dark cloud follows you everywhere??

I don't need to sort out anyone's problems, I've my family to look after and that's that, the country managed to get through one of the worst recessions ever and people are still living better than our fathers and their fathers... If you're a glass half empty type person then you'll always have a negative view....

The pound in better shape, not as good as the 1.37 but heading back up, lets judge it when we actually leave Europe eh?

Also, this is total bollix.  You've no notion what way it's heading.

There is a thread on it, your speculation is just that, as is mine, you're no expert on this either so you're talking balls...

As for sticking my head in the sand?? I don't never have, I get on with things, being a miserable cnut is not my thing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:55:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:48:58 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:39:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:08:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 22, 2016, 12:34:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36864273

But don't worry everyone.  That wise old sage Milltown Row 2 says it's gonna be grand and everyone else is wrong.

And sure, with his knowledge on the subject, he'll be fit to sort the problems anyways.

You did read it?? Shock down turn due to brexit result!! Who'd have thought it, but that was expected and that's a months review... Does a dark cloud follows you everywhere??

I don't need to sort out anyone's problems, I've my family to look after and that's that, the country managed to get through one of the worst recessions ever and people are still living better than our fathers and their fathers... If you're a glass half empty type person then you'll always have a negative view....

The pound in better shape, not as good as the 1.37 but heading back up, lets judge it when we actually leave Europe eh?

Also, this is total bollix.  You've no notion what way it's heading.

There is a thread on it, your speculation is just that, as is mine, you're no expert on this either so you're talking balls...

As for sticking my head in the sand?? I don't never have, I get on with things, being a miserable cnut is not my thing

The only difference being that most major businesses, the international markets, most sane politicians across the whole of Europe and a good majority of economists tend to agree with my speculation.  Jamie Bryson and Nigel Farage agree with yours.

Everyone will get on with things.  Some prefer to do it in the real world, not some la la land where we ignore the facts that we don't like.  But whatever works for you I suppose.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bazil Douglas on July 23, 2016, 03:11:07 PM


Also, this is total bollix.  You've no notion what way it's heading.
[/quote]

Has anyone a notion were this is heading Franko, what would you propose.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 03:23:10 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:55:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:48:58 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:39:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:08:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 22, 2016, 12:34:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36864273

But don't worry everyone.  That wise old sage Milltown Row 2 says it's gonna be grand and everyone else is wrong.

And sure, with his knowledge on the subject, he'll be fit to sort the problems anyways.

You did read it?? Shock down turn due to brexit result!! Who'd have thought it, but that was expected and that's a months review... Does a dark cloud follows you everywhere??

I don't need to sort out anyone's problems, I've my family to look after and that's that, the country managed to get through one of the worst recessions ever and people are still living better than our fathers and their fathers... If you're a glass half empty type person then you'll always have a negative view....

The pound in better shape, not as good as the 1.37 but heading back up, lets judge it when we actually leave Europe eh?

Also, this is total bollix.  You've no notion what way it's heading.

There is a thread on it, your speculation is just that, as is mine, you're no expert on this either so you're talking balls...

As for sticking my head in the sand?? I don't never have, I get on with things, being a miserable cnut is not my thing

The only difference being that most major businesses, the international markets, most sane politicians across the whole of Europe and a good majority of economists tend to agree with my speculation.  Jamie Bryson and Nigel Farage agree with yours.

Everyone will get on with things.  Some prefer to do it in the real world, not some la la land where we ignore the facts that we don't like.  But whatever works for you I suppose.

I never voted for it.... Like most sane people I voted to remain, so again you're talking bollocks, as for doing it in the real world, is that the speculation world you live in?

Its happened, people are still employed world keeps on turning... If it has an impact on your life then I sorry for that that's happened.... People who voted to leave are the ones you should be annoyed at, Cameron for allowing the British voters the chance, and more importantly the experts for mot actually make a bigger noise before brexit than they are now!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 23, 2016, 03:53:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 03:23:10 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:55:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:48:58 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 23, 2016, 02:39:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 23, 2016, 02:08:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 22, 2016, 12:34:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 07:07:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:40:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 06:33:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 08, 2016, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 08, 2016, 05:58:44 PM
Hows the pound doing today against the Euro??

it is fairly steady the last few days, have you not been looking at Drici's thread? http://gaaboard.com/board/index.php?topic=27117.15

meanwhile across Europe, others are following the example of the brave British Brexiteers. Not!
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/brexit-causes-resurgence-in-pro-eu-leanings-across-continent

Nope haven't.... Been too busy getting ready for the world to stop turning

Well you've become 10% poorer relative to me in the last week and that's only the beginning.

I certainly feel it... Been here in London all week on hols..which will be a strange place after brexit kicks in as there will be no one working the hospitality trade, maybe they could help the unemployed get into work, no wait those jobs were always available to everybody....

In Belfast back in the day, the Catholics worked the vast majority of the hospitality trade (and building trade) then they worked out that you'd get more money on the dole!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-36864273

But don't worry everyone.  That wise old sage Milltown Row 2 says it's gonna be grand and everyone else is wrong.

And sure, with his knowledge on the subject, he'll be fit to sort the problems anyways.

You did read it?? Shock down turn due to brexit result!! Who'd have thought it, but that was expected and that's a months review... Does a dark cloud follows you everywhere??

I don't need to sort out anyone's problems, I've my family to look after and that's that, the country managed to get through one of the worst recessions ever and people are still living better than our fathers and their fathers... If you're a glass half empty type person then you'll always have a negative view....

The pound in better shape, not as good as the 1.37 but heading back up, lets judge it when we actually leave Europe eh?

Also, this is total bollix.  You've no notion what way it's heading.

There is a thread on it, your speculation is just that, as is mine, you're no expert on this either so you're talking balls...

As for sticking my head in the sand?? I don't never have, I get on with things, being a miserable cnut is not my thing

The only difference being that most major businesses, the international markets, most sane politicians across the whole of Europe and a good majority of economists tend to agree with my speculation.  Jamie Bryson and Nigel Farage agree with yours.

Everyone will get on with things.  Some prefer to do it in the real world, not some la la land where we ignore the facts that we don't like.  But whatever works for you I suppose.

I never voted for it.... Like most sane people I voted to remain, so again you're talking bollocks, as for doing it in the real world, is that the speculation world you live in?

Its happened, people are still employed world keeps on turning... If it has an impact on your life then I sorry for that that's happened.... People who voted to leave are the ones you should be annoyed at, Cameron for allowing the British voters the chance, and more importantly the experts for mot actually make a bigger noise before brexit than they are now!!

Not sure what your first question means, you'll have to clarify?  And I never said you voted for it.

Secondly, we can see through your straw man bullshit.  We know the world keeps turning.  Nobody's suggesting it's not and worse things have, and will continue to happen.  (Though as an aside, it also kept turning after the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs and that didn't work out too well for them - so I'd maybe think twice about using that as your 'everything is fine' datum).

My initial point was that this is going to be an economic disaster (mostly for the people of the 6).  As outlined, most experts agreed and continue to do so.  You however, disagreed.  I've produced evidence to show that not only has it negatively affected the economy but this effect has been 'dramatic'.  And like you say, it hasn't even happened yet.  The sum total of your evidence was some little anecdotal tale about the place you work in.

I, like you, will get on with it.  I won't ignore the unpleasant facts though.  If that makes me 'negative' in your eyes, so be it.  I still prefer to be informed.

PS.
I'm not sure if I'm more annoyed at those who were stupid enough to vote leave, or those who were so lazy as to not vote at all.

Bazil, I don't know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on July 23, 2016, 07:40:33 PM
Brexit is not going to happen.Tories playing for time and will make it an issue in the next General Election and use the vote to justify staying in.It will also kill euroscepticism in Britain once and for all,as no sane person could argue for it from here on in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 23, 2016, 08:01:06 PM
For once i wish you were right. However as usual i think you will be wrong >:(

The real damage won't be apparent for a while yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on July 23, 2016, 08:11:40 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on July 23, 2016, 07:40:33 PM
Brexit is not going to happen.Tories playing for time and will make it an issue in the next General Election and use the vote to justify staying in.It will also kill euroscepticism in Britain once and for all,as no sane person could argue for it from here on in.
Tbf
Think you hit the nail on the head tony
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on July 23, 2016, 08:21:45 PM
Check the bookies odds. 2/1 Article 50 to be triggered in first quarter of next year,joint favourite at the same price as "anytime in 2018 or never!". Tories are not going to trigger a catastrophe that will see them decimated at the next General Election.They will wait and spin the dire consequences of triggering Article 50 over the next two years and put it in their manifesto that the believe Britain should stay in EU and when they win the General Election claim this as a mandate for staying in the EU overriding that referendum a few years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 23, 2016, 08:35:39 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on July 23, 2016, 08:21:45 PM
Check the bookies odds. 2/1 Article 50 to be triggered in first quarter of next year,joint favourite at the same price as "anytime in 2018 or never!". Tories are not going to trigger a catastrophe that will see them decimated at the next General Election.They will wait and spin the dire consequences of triggering Article 50 over the next two years and put it in their manifesto that the believe Britain should stay in EU and when they win the General Election claim this as a mandate for staying in the EU overriding that referendum a few years ago.

This is a possibility and if the responsible 6 county parties can delay things by having a legal review or some other stalling mechanism then the more likely it is to happen. Even a signal from the US government that they would like to discuss the implication for the GDA and NI after the new president comes in would delay things.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 24, 2016, 07:14:09 AM
Guardian reporting that May and the EU are discussing a 7 yr emergency brake on migration with continued single market access for the UK. But no seat at the table.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 24, 2016, 12:14:22 PM
I was going through passport control at Belfast International Airport yesterday morning, and handed over my Irish passport to a gentleman on the desk.  To quote his exact words to me as he sniggered, "Oh, you've one of those.  Enjoy your dual nationality, you might not have it for long" ... WTF!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on July 24, 2016, 12:33:39 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2016, 12:14:22 PM
I was going through passport control at Belfast International Airport yesterday morning, and handed over my Irish passport to a gentleman on the desk.  To quote his exact words to me as he sniggered, "Oh, you've one of those.  Enjoy your dual nationality, you might not have it for long" ... WTF!

info.desk@bfs.aero or call 02894484848

You should definitely put a letter of complaint in. Pity you never took his name although you would have the flight number, time/date you arrived. Bigoted little prat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 24, 2016, 12:34:20 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2016, 12:14:22 PM
I was going through passport control at Belfast International Airport yesterday morning, and handed over my Irish passport to a gentleman on the desk.  To quote his exact words to me as he sniggered, "Oh, you've one of those.  Enjoy your dual nationality, you might not have it for long" ... WTF!

That's outrageous, I thought those days were gone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on July 24, 2016, 12:35:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 24, 2016, 12:34:20 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2016, 12:14:22 PM
I was going through passport control at Belfast International Airport yesterday morning, and handed over my Irish passport to a gentleman on the desk.  To quote his exact words to me as he sniggered, "Oh, you've one of those.  Enjoy your dual nationality, you might not have it for long" ... WTF!

That's outrageous, I thought those days were gone.

Not in one of our wee Airports!  http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/british-black-woman-awarded-2k-after-claim-immigration-officer-said-she-looked-foreign-at-belfast-city-airport-34898871.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 24, 2016, 03:19:27 PM
I can recall a story (could be bullshit), think it appeared on here or it could have been in the Irish News. Somebody arrived at Belfast International Airport, asking for  a Taxi to Derry, the taxi man said he'd never heard of it, not sure I'd the punter knew the nuances (idiocy) of the locals, but IIRC the taxi man wasn't for budging until he called it Londonderry. Can't mind what way it worked out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on July 24, 2016, 03:58:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 24, 2016, 03:19:27 PM
I can recall a story (could be bullshit), think it appeared on here or it could have been in the Irish News. Somebody arrived at Belfast International Airport, asking for  a Taxi to Derry, the taxi man said he'd never heard of it, not sure I'd the punter knew the nuances (idiocy) of the locals, but IIRC the taxi man wasn't for budging until he called it Londonderry. Can't mind what way it worked out.
Must be true then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 24, 2016, 04:33:20 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 24, 2016, 03:19:27 PM
I can recall a story (could be bullshit), think it appeared on here or it could have been in the Irish News. Somebody arrived at Belfast International Airport, asking for  a Taxi to Derry, the taxi man said he'd never heard of it, not sure I'd the punter knew the nuances (idiocy) of the locals, but IIRC the taxi man wasn't for budging until he called it Londonderry. Can't mind what way it worked out.

Definite accounts  of same happening at Translink. Possibly more likely than a taxi, as you would just take another taxi if the first one was a bollix.

There is a significant set of people in the 6 counties for whom negativity and obstruction is their stock in trade and they have found a First Minister to represent them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on July 24, 2016, 04:37:55 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2016, 12:14:22 PM
I was going through passport control at Belfast International Airport yesterday morning, and handed over my Irish passport to a gentleman on the desk.  To quote his exact words to me as he sniggered, "Oh, you've one of those.  Enjoy your dual nationality, you might not have it for long" ... WTF!
That is a disgrace, I'd make a fuss out of this. Apart from the fact that it's a stupid comment (prob very pleased with himself too), when is it ever ok for a government representative to comment on a passport.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 24, 2016, 04:45:57 PM
Quote from: Rois on July 24, 2016, 04:37:55 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2016, 12:14:22 PM
I was going through passport control at Belfast International Airport yesterday morning, and handed over my Irish passport to a gentleman on the desk.  To quote his exact words to me as he sniggered, "Oh, you've one of those.  Enjoy your dual nationality, you might not have it for long" ... WTF!
That is a disgrace, I'd make a fuss out of this. Apart from the fact that it's a stupid comment (prob very pleased with himself too), when is it ever ok for a government representative to comment on a passport.

It would be an interesting experiment to leave the recording on, on your phone or similar while engaging with these people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 24, 2016, 05:52:30 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 24, 2016, 04:45:57 PM
Quote from: Rois on July 24, 2016, 04:37:55 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2016, 12:14:22 PM
I was going through passport control at Belfast International Airport yesterday morning, and handed over my Irish passport to a gentleman on the desk.  To quote his exact words to me as he sniggered, "Oh, you've one of those.  Enjoy your dual nationality, you might not have it for long" ... WTF!
That is a disgrace, I'd make a fuss out of this. Apart from the fact that it's a stupid comment (prob very pleased with himself too), when is it ever ok for a government representative to comment on a passport.

It would be an interesting experiment to leave the recording on, on your phone or similar while engaging with these people.

A GoPro would sort these things out!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Arthur_Friend on July 24, 2016, 07:52:57 PM
Quote from: Rois on July 24, 2016, 04:37:55 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2016, 12:14:22 PM
I was going through passport control at Belfast International Airport yesterday morning, and handed over my Irish passport to a gentleman on the desk.  To quote his exact words to me as he sniggered, "Oh, you've one of those.  Enjoy your dual nationality, you might not have it for long" ... WTF!
That is a disgrace, I'd make a fuss out of this. Apart from the fact that it's a stupid comment (prob very pleased with himself too), when is it ever ok for a government representative to comment on a passport.

No way I'd let thatgo without a complaint.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 24, 2016, 08:36:50 PM
There was an incident at europa train i think it was where someone wasn't sold a ticket to derry because there was "no such place". I think it made belfast telegraph.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 25, 2016, 12:19:54 AM
 Legal challenge on the way
http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/ni-politicians-threaten-legal-challenge-to-brexit-1.2733162

British prime minister Theresa May has been put on notice that she faces a legal challenge from prominent Northern Ireland politicians and interest groups over Brexit.

Mrs May will meet First Minister Arlene Foster and Deputy First Minister Martin McGuinness in Stormont today on her first visit to Northern Ireland as prime minister.

Ahead of the visit, however, senior politicians, who include the SDLP and Alliance leaders and a former Sinn Féin minister, have demanded that Mrs May ensure that the Belfast Agreement and the peace process are legally protected before there is any legal move by the UK to leave the EU.
EU law

They said they would seek a judicial review if Mrs May "fails to commit to comply with the UK's constitutional and legal obligations in deciding whether and when to trigger article 50", the mechanism that must be activated to take the UK out of the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 25, 2016, 07:23:28 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 25, 2016, 12:19:54 AM
Legal challenge on the way
http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/ni-politicians-threaten-legal-challenge-to-brexit-1.2733162

British prime minister Theresa May has been put on notice that she faces a legal challenge from prominent Northern Ireland politicians and interest groups over Brexit.

Mrs May will meet First Minister Arlene Foster and Deputy First Minister Martin McGuinness in Stormont today on her first visit to Northern Ireland as prime minister.

Ahead of the visit, however, senior politicians, who include the SDLP and Alliance leaders and a former Sinn Féin minister, have demanded that Mrs May ensure that the Belfast Agreement and the peace process are legally protected before there is any legal move by the UK to leave the EU.
EU law

They said they would seek a judicial review if Mrs May "fails to commit to comply with the UK's constitutional and legal obligations in deciding whether and when to trigger article 50", the mechanism that must be activated to take the UK out of the EU.
The EU is discussing a 7 year immigration brake with access to the single market but no seat at the negotiating table.
Without any say over finance rules for example the City is seriously weakened. Brexit is self harm.
May will.try to string it out while people understand the economic consequences. And then have another vote .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on July 25, 2016, 08:04:03 AM
a) I reckon balladmaker is talking out of his arse. Complete fabrication.

b) The TransLink one happened about ten years ago and was all over the news. A Canadian tourist. So michaelg, you can swallow this one:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/northern_ireland/6954599.stm
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 25, 2016, 08:09:50 AM
Quote from: gallsman on July 25, 2016, 08:04:03 AM
a) I reckon balladmaker is talking out of his arse. Complete fabrication.

b) The TransLink one happened about ten years ago and was all over the news. A Canadian tourist. So michaelg, you can swallow this one:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/northern_ireland/6954599.stm
It was a girl who became a woman during the incident if you read the report. Hmmn

News.BBC.Co. uk/2/Hi
is the site for everything to with Derry,hi

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 25, 2016, 03:34:11 PM
I dunno in my experience passport officers can have a real bee in their bonnet sometimes over SFA. My brother in law encountered a total wally at Aldergrove once a well, who went through him for a short cut, was telephoning us in arrivals hall to verify his story, kept him there for nearly an hour pissin around and then after all that BS, let him through. Dickhead on a power trip just.

Also I was going thru American immigration once at Dublin airport and the guy said something to me along the lines off....
"Ah Northern Ireland, well sure we just consider it all Ireland, cos thats how its going to end up the one country anyway"
Funniest thing was I was using my British passport at the time.  ;D ;D ;D
Ive learned to say as little as possible at passport checkpoints over the years so I smiled and went along with it and he didnt really offend me anyway. But I was tempted to say for the craic "Is that the official line from the US State Department?"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 25, 2016, 06:04:15 PM
Over an 8 month period I flew twice a week with work and not once did I pass anything like passport control.... Unless you're flying stateside which is fecking shit once you hit immigration you'll very rarely hit passport control, even came back from Amsterdam and nothing but a nod!!

I'd say ya must be dodgy looking enough to get singled out  :o

Do you need a visa to get into countries within Europe that aren't part of the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Arthur_Friend on July 25, 2016, 06:45:14 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 25, 2016, 06:04:15 PM
Over an 8 month period I flew twice a week with work and not once did I pass anything like passport control.... Unless you're flying stateside which is fecking shit once you hit immigration you'll very rarely hit passport control, even came back from Amsterdam and nothing but a nod!!

I'd say ya must be dodgy looking enough to get singled out  :o

Do you need a visa to get into countries within Europe that aren't part of the EU?

Russia and Belarus require a visa.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 26, 2016, 12:27:41 AM
QuoteOver an 8 month period I flew twice a week with work and not once did I pass anything like passport control.... Unless you're flying stateside which is fecking shit once you hit immigration you'll very rarely hit passport control, even came back from Amsterdam and nothing but a nod!!

I was flying from the US arriving in Belfast at 8.50 on Saturday morning.  Everyone has to go through passport control.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 26, 2016, 12:28:38 AM
Quotea) I reckon balladmaker is talking out of his arse. Complete fabrication.

I reckon you're an idiot, just saying.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2016, 07:39:14 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 26, 2016, 12:27:41 AM
QuoteOver an 8 month period I flew twice a week with work and not once did I pass anything like passport control.... Unless you're flying stateside which is fecking shit once you hit immigration you'll very rarely hit passport control, even came back from Amsterdam and nothing but a nod!!

I was flying from the US arriving in Belfast at 8.50 on Saturday morning.  Everyone has to go through passport control.

Was coming back from Orlando couple years ago and didn't.... Lifted passport to show and waved family through... You obviously looked dodgy

Getting in and out of states is shit, always has been... Any other country not so much
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on July 26, 2016, 10:42:56 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2016, 07:39:14 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 26, 2016, 12:27:41 AM
QuoteOver an 8 month period I flew twice a week with work and not once did I pass anything like passport control.... Unless you're flying stateside which is fecking shit once you hit immigration you'll very rarely hit passport control, even came back from Amsterdam and nothing but a nod!!

I was flying from the US arriving in Belfast at 8.50 on Saturday morning.  Everyone has to go through passport control.

Was coming back from Orlando couple years ago and didn't.... Lifted passport to show and waved family through... You obviously looked dodgy

Getting in and out of states is shit, always has been... Any other country not so much

Lifting your passport to show is still passport control.

In Dublin, with an Irish passport, they barely seem to even glance at them. If I worked in the dump they call Aldergrove, I'd probably be a grumpy bollox as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on July 26, 2016, 10:47:11 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 26, 2016, 12:27:41 AM
QuoteOver an 8 month period I flew twice a week with work and not once did I pass anything like passport control.... Unless you're flying stateside which is fecking shit once you hit immigration you'll very rarely hit passport control, even came back from Amsterdam and nothing but a nod!!

I was flying from the US arriving in Belfast at 8.50 on Saturday morning.  Everyone has to go through passport control.
Agree - every time I've been outside of the UK I've had to go through passport control at the International. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2016, 10:53:49 AM
Quote from: Rois on July 26, 2016, 10:47:11 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 26, 2016, 12:27:41 AM
QuoteOver an 8 month period I flew twice a week with work and not once did I pass anything like passport control.... Unless you're flying stateside which is fecking shit once you hit immigration you'll very rarely hit passport control, even came back from Amsterdam and nothing but a nod!!

I was flying from the US arriving in Belfast at 8.50 on Saturday morning.  Everyone has to go through passport control.
Agree - every time I've been outside of the UK I've had to go through passport control at the International.

Sure they know all the jetset travellers like Milltown Row and let them through with a wink and a nod.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2016, 12:35:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2016, 10:53:49 AM
Quote from: Rois on July 26, 2016, 10:47:11 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 26, 2016, 12:27:41 AM
QuoteOver an 8 month period I flew twice a week with work and not once did I pass anything like passport control.... Unless you're flying stateside which is fecking shit once you hit immigration you'll very rarely hit passport control, even came back from Amsterdam and nothing but a nod!!

I was flying from the US arriving in Belfast at 8.50 on Saturday morning.  Everyone has to go through passport control.
Agree - every time I've been outside of the UK I've had to go through passport control at the International.

Sure they know all the jetset travellers like Milltown Row and let them through with a wink and a nod.

Well what can I say? I'm off to Spain soon, I'll let ya know  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on July 26, 2016, 01:13:33 PM
I returned to Dublin from Canada a couple of years ago.

The Passport control area was empty, we must have been the first plane to arrive in quite a while and the first dozen or so people made it through the passport control booths before the Immigration people got to their booth!!!

So about a dozen people entered Ireland without having to show a passport.

Only in Ireland..............
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 28, 2016, 12:55:07 AM
Well NI business isn't too keen
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/brexit/brexit-will-not-benefit-the-northern-ireland-economy-over-next-five-years-business-people-tell-cbi-poll-34914726.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 28, 2016, 06:38:10 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on July 26, 2016, 01:13:33 PM
I returned to Dublin from Canada a couple of years ago.

The Passport control area was empty, we must have been the first plane to arrive in quite a while and the first dozen or so people made it through the passport control booths before the Immigration people got to their booth!!!

So about a dozen people entered Ireland without having to show a passport.

Only in Ireland..............


;D ;D ;D ;D
Johnny: "That plane's comin in there Joe"
Joe: "Ah sure we have a while yet, willa put on another pot?"
Johnny:" May as well sure those clampits at ground control will take ages to get them to the terminal, I'll open the custard creams here sure"
Joe;" Aye and those feckin temps on baggage will take ages to get the luggage off, did you go to Croker at the weekend"
Johnny" Sure whats the point? I watched it on the telly, sure those boggers were never going to able handle big Whelo and Alan Brogan in full flight, I hear Noel McCaffery lad was flyin, ah its hard to beat a fresh cup wha?
Mary rushes in: "Would get off yer arses, there's no one in the booths and that plane has already disemabarked"
Joe: "Grand so Mary, we will be there in a minute, we're just finished off this cup, sure wasnt this very cup negotiated as part of the Lansdowne agreement"
Joe and Jonny saunder out to the immigration booths
Johnny: " Shite Joe theres a few away thru should we stop them?
Joe Ah sure they're grand those wans wont be causing any bother so
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 28, 2016, 07:22:39 AM
When the DUP took its pro-Brexit position, it will have known this reflected the majority of unionist opinion but that would not have justified knowingly leading unionism over a cliff. It must also be remembered few expected Leave to win, so the DUP set itself up to lose just to commune with its base on an apparently arcane question, three years before the next scheduled election – an eternity in political terms.

The UUP was pro-Remain, despite a few internal rumbles. Ensuring it is not in any way recognised for this seems to be more of a priority for the DUP today than sorting out the Brexit mess, in part because it does not believe Brexit will cause a mess.
We must confront the awful possibility DUP Euroscepticism is a position of worthy principle, sincerely held. Most people in the party genuinely believe cross-Border and single-market issues will be solved, the UK will thrive, Scottish nationalism will abate and everything will be fine. They are also completely indifferent to how much this is antagonising northern nationalists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JimStynes on July 28, 2016, 07:26:24 AM
Left the rental car off at the French side of Geneva airport yesterday then made my way through to the Swiss side of the airport to get my flight. Walked the whole way through the French side and ended up in the arrivals area of Switzerland and not once did I get asked to show any passport/identification. And this is when there is heightened security. Was stopped in Dublin to show my passport. Hardly even looked at it to be fair but they were stopping non Irish passport holders.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 28, 2016, 08:37:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 28, 2016, 07:22:39 AM
When the DUP took its pro-Brexit position, it will have known this reflected the majority of unionist opinion but that would not have justified knowingly leading unionism over a cliff. It must also be remembered few expected Leave to win, so the DUP set itself up to lose just to commune with its base on an apparently arcane question, three years before the next scheduled election – an eternity in political terms.

The UUP was pro-Remain, despite a few internal rumbles. Ensuring it is not in any way recognised for this seems to be more of a priority for the DUP today than sorting out the Brexit mess, in part because it does not believe Brexit will cause a mess.
We must confront the awful possibility DUP Euroscepticism is a position of worthy principle, sincerely held. Most people in the party genuinely believe cross-Border and single-market issues will be solved, the UK will thrive, Scottish nationalism will abate and everything will be fine. They are also completely indifferent to how much this is antagonising northern nationalists.

How are you coming to the conclusion that pro Brexit reflected the majority of the unionist population? I don't see any evidence to suggest it did and really don't think it did. I knew very few pro brexit people here to be honest although 44% is quite a few obviously.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 28, 2016, 08:53:41 AM
Quote from: JimStynes on July 28, 2016, 07:26:24 AM
Left the rental car off at the French side of Geneva airport yesterday then made my way through to the Swiss side of the airport to get my flight. Walked the whole way through the French side and ended up in the arrivals area of Switzerland and not once did I get asked to show any passport/identification. And this is when there is heightened security. Was stopped in Dublin to show my passport. Hardly even looked at it to be fair but they were stopping non Irish passport holders.

The Swiss border is not deemed to be high risk . Dover had tailbacks going back miles, by comparison
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JimStynes on July 28, 2016, 09:32:47 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 28, 2016, 08:53:41 AM
Quote from: JimStynes on July 28, 2016, 07:26:24 AM
Left the rental car off at the French side of Geneva airport yesterday then made my way through to the Swiss side of the airport to get my flight. Walked the whole way through the French side and ended up in the arrivals area of Switzerland and not once did I get asked to show any passport/identification. And this is when there is heightened security. Was stopped in Dublin to show my passport. Hardly even looked at it to be fair but they were stopping non Irish passport holders.

The Swiss border is not deemed to be high risk . Dover had tailbacks going back miles, by comparison

There was a bomb scare at it yesterday. Turned out to be a hoax though. My point is I could have been some header with 2 suitcases full of explosives and walked the whole way through the french airport and actually ended up in the baggage collection area of the swiss airport  without being stopped once. Very slack security for a country 'under attack'.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 28, 2016, 11:53:21 AM
The border with France on the south side ofLlake Geneva is drive and be waved  through.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 29, 2016, 09:57:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 28, 2016, 11:53:21 AM
The border with France on the south side ofLlake Geneva is drive and be waved  through.

What's it like on the east side??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on August 03, 2016, 09:17:08 AM
Thought this was good

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Coh73gPUkAEEbCt.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 03, 2016, 02:55:52 PM
The UK has no trade negotiators. It has no idea how to negotiate. It does not know what it wants.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on August 03, 2016, 04:26:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 03, 2016, 02:55:52 PM
The UK has no trade negotiators. It has no idea how to negotiate. It does not know what it wants.

You must sit at the top table in the British government!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 08, 2016, 11:36:09 PM
Watching: Brexit the Battle for Britain (BBC). Reopening old wounds & depressing myself again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 10, 2016, 05:08:03 PM
UK bonds are now negative yield. Wages are 8% lower in real terms than 10 years ago. RBS hasn't made a profit any year since 2007. The UK is banjaxed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 10, 2016, 05:17:34 PM
5th biggest Econony in world, it'll survive alrite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 10, 2016, 05:18:57 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 10, 2016, 05:17:34 PM
5th biggest Econony in world, it'll survive alrite.

Oh well then . . . we'll just go to the pub so it'll all be grand!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 10, 2016, 05:52:29 PM
Might as well, bunch of internet discussion board members worrying about it ain't gonna make a difference to anything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:14:01 PM
Has anyone seen any direct effects of it yet?

Maybe too early??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 10, 2016, 06:33:19 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 10, 2016, 05:17:34 PM
5th biggest Econony in world, it'll survive alrite.
I don't think so. Thatcher did a lot of damage that other countries never experienced.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 10, 2016, 06:33:54 PM
Quote from: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:14:01 PM
Has anyone seen any direct effects of it yet?

Maybe too early??
Bond yields are negative. Investment is down. Sterling is down
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on August 10, 2016, 06:35:59 PM
Quote from: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:14:01 PM
Has anyone seen any direct effects of it yet?

Maybe too early??

They haven't even started the negotiations yet, mainly because Britain doesn't have negotiators.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:52:08 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 10, 2016, 06:35:59 PM
Quote from: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:14:01 PM
Has anyone seen any direct effects of it yet?

Maybe too early??

They haven't even started the negotiations yet, mainly because Britain doesn't have negotiators.

Yeah but some developers I know are all doom and gloom....say they are in for a rough one.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:44:00 PM
Our leaders have told May what to do
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/aug/10/northern-ireland-leaders-set-out-brexit-demands-to-theresa-may
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on August 10, 2016, 10:49:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:44:00 PM
Our leaders have told May what to do
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/aug/10/northern-ireland-leaders-set-out-brexit-demands-to-theresa-may

Considering her recent positions on Brexit, the optics of that letter (the reality is most likely something else entirely) are that McGuinness somehow brought Foster to her senses? How did this come about??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:57:05 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 10, 2016, 10:49:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:44:00 PM
Our leaders have told May what to do
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/aug/10/northern-ireland-leaders-set-out-brexit-demands-to-theresa-may

Considering her recent positions on Brexit, the optics of that letter (the reality is most likely something else entirely) are that McGuinness somehow brought Foster to her senses? How did this come about??

Belly Tele take http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/brexit-vote-should-not-compromise-crossborder-crime-crackdown-34955562.html

There were rumours that Foster wasn't personally that keen on Brexit, but hadn't the leadership to stop the DUP generally acting the bollix. Let's face it, Fermanagh will be in the front line of this, and since the whole thing threatens to destabilise things generally perhaps she is in a bit of a Boris situation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on August 10, 2016, 11:14:17 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:57:05 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 10, 2016, 10:49:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:44:00 PM
Our leaders have told May what to do
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/aug/10/northern-ireland-leaders-set-out-brexit-demands-to-theresa-may

Considering her recent positions on Brexit, the optics of that letter (the reality is most likely something else entirely) are that McGuinness somehow brought Foster to her senses? How did this come about??

Belly Tele take http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/brexit-vote-should-not-compromise-crossborder-crime-crackdown-34955562.html

There were rumours that Foster wasn't personally that keen on Brexit, but hadn't the leadership to stop the DUP generally acting the bollix. Let's face it, Fermanagh will be in the front line of this, and since the whole thing threatens to destabilise things generally perhaps she is in a bit of a Boris situation.

Well whatever it was, surely this is a step in the right direction? Hopefully.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 10, 2016, 11:26:16 PM
Quote from: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:14:01 PM
Has anyone seen any direct effects of it yet?

Maybe too early??

Anyone from Ireland/Europe who owns property/shares in UK have seen a 16.4% drop in value.

Any Irish Company that Exports to the UK will have seen a 16.4% drop in the value of their stock and sales have suffered since the drop in fx rates (as my company have).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 10, 2016, 11:36:30 PM
I presume farming and business interests have been bending Arlene's and Marty's ears.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on August 10, 2016, 11:37:19 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 10, 2016, 11:26:16 PM
Quote from: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:14:01 PM
Has anyone seen any direct effects of it yet?

Maybe too early??

Anyone from Ireland/Europe who owns property/shares in UK have seen a 16.4% drop in value.

Any Irish Company that Exports to the UK will have seen a 16.4% drop in the value of their stock and sales have suffered since the drop in fx rates (as my company have).

You Only see a drop in stock value if NRV falls below cost, tight margins if you're seeing that  ???

Made a gain on fx and sales to usa showing greater margins due to fx. Raw materials beginning to increase and customers are smart (sometimes) so gain will probably be short lived.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 11:39:29 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 10, 2016, 11:14:17 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:57:05 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 10, 2016, 10:49:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:44:00 PM
Our leaders have told May what to do
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/aug/10/northern-ireland-leaders-set-out-brexit-demands-to-theresa-may

Considering her recent positions on Brexit, the optics of that letter (the reality is most likely something else entirely) are that McGuinness somehow brought Foster to her senses? How did this come about??

Belly Tele take http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/brexit-vote-should-not-compromise-crossborder-crime-crackdown-34955562.html

There were rumours that Foster wasn't personally that keen on Brexit, but hadn't the leadership to stop the DUP generally acting the bollix. Let's face it, Fermanagh will be in the front line of this, and since the whole thing threatens to destabilise things generally perhaps she is in a bit of a Boris situation.

Well whatever it was, surely this is a step in the right direction? Hopefully.

Progress of a sort and perhaps indicative that in modern times that the parties do not push things too far, in case the DUP have not pushed things. One wonders what May is at, it might suit her to latch on to the need to support the NI setup as an excuse to not do much generally.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 11, 2016, 01:22:18 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on August 10, 2016, 11:37:19 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 10, 2016, 11:26:16 PM
Quote from: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:14:01 PM
Has anyone seen any direct effects of it yet?

Maybe too early??

Anyone from Ireland/Europe who owns property/shares in UK have seen a 16.4% drop in value.

Any Irish Company that Exports to the UK will have seen a 16.4% drop in the value of their stock and sales have suffered since the drop in fx rates (as my company have).

You Only see a drop in stock value if NRV falls below cost, tight margins if you're seeing that  ???

Made a gain on fx and sales to usa showing greater margins due to fx. Raw materials beginning to increase and customers are smart (sometimes) so gain will probably be short lived.

UK was 80% of our market... We're not a manufacturer so NRV doesn't really apply.

For example they were buying a product from us at €140 before Brexit and now they can pay €117... We had 100 units on our shelves and the value of this just fell overnight!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 11, 2016, 08:22:48 AM
Quote from: muppet on August 10, 2016, 06:35:59 PM
Quote from: STREET FIGHTER on August 10, 2016, 06:14:01 PM
Has anyone seen any direct effects of it yet?

Maybe too early??

They haven't even started the negotiations yet, mainly because Britain doesn't have negotiators.
It is like a carry on film. Brexit was supposed to lose.It might even cause the house price crash all the Daily Mail reading Brexit crowd always worry about  .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on August 11, 2016, 09:13:21 AM
Quote from: muppet on August 10, 2016, 10:49:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:44:00 PM
Our leaders have told May what to do
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/aug/10/northern-ireland-leaders-set-out-brexit-demands-to-theresa-may

Considering her recent positions on Brexit, the optics of that letter (the reality is most likely something else entirely) are that McGuinness somehow brought Foster to her senses? How did this come about??
From the shit she as talking on GMU this morning Arlene hasn't a clue. The DUP calling for Brexit was a knee jerk Unionist reaction. Now its here she wants Brexit but not the effects.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 11, 2016, 02:52:08 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on August 11, 2016, 09:13:21 AM
Quote from: muppet on August 10, 2016, 10:49:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 10, 2016, 10:44:00 PM
Our leaders have told May what to do
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/aug/10/northern-ireland-leaders-set-out-brexit-demands-to-theresa-may

Considering her recent positions on Brexit, the optics of that letter (the reality is most likely something else entirely) are that McGuinness somehow brought Foster to her senses? How did this come about??
From the shit she as talking on GMU this morning Arlene hasn't a clue. The DUP calling for Brexit was a knee jerk Unionist reaction. Now its here she wants Brexit but not the effects.

But she didn't do a U-Turn, no doubt it is a ladies prerogative to change her mind. Jim Allister isn't pleased, which has to be good thing.
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/letter-to-theresa-may-outlining-brexit-concerns-not-a-uturn-says-arlene-foster-34956917.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 11, 2016, 08:50:06 PM
Brexit is really awful....


Brexit and the challenges of reality
David Allen Green
Aug 01 11:27 423 comments Share
http://blogs.ft.com/david-allen-green/2016/08/01/brexit-and-the-challenges-of-reality/

In the days after the Brexit vote, a favourite taunt of Leavers was to tell those who were warning of the difficulties of Brexit that such critics were "in denial" and were indulging in "wishful thinking". Brexit meant Brexit and it was now inevitable. But it is now evident that it is the Brexiteers who are denying the challenges of reality and wishfully thinking away the problems they now face.
The Canadian diplomat Jeremy Kinsman has a scathing phrase for the predicament of the pro-Brexit UK government. The Brexiteers, the former high commissioner to the UK and ambassador to the EU, observed, "are the dog that caught the bus: they hadn't thought what to do next".
The UK government does not know what to do about Brexit. This is not a rhetorical exaggeration, it is a statement of fact. As the foreign affairs parliamentary select committee reported recently (paragraph 19):
"The previous Government's considered view not to instruct key Departments
including the [Foreign and Commonwealth Office] to plan for the possibility that the electorate would vote to leave the EU amounted to gross negligence. It has exacerbated post-referendum uncertainty both within the UK and amongst key international partners, and made the task now facing the new Government substantially more difficult."

(The committee, at paragraph 17, also generously adopted the view of this blog that it is not so much that the UK government does not have a plan for Brexit — it does not even know what is to go into a plan.)
The scale of the Brexit task ahead is becoming plain, even if there is still shapelessness in policy. Many would say the job is impossible, at least in the short to medium term.
Take for example the need for an exit agreement with the EU. In the memorable example of Gus O'Donnell, former cabinet secretary and head of the civil service: Greenland, population less than Croydon, one issue — fish, and it still took three years for it to leave what was then the EEC. There is no sensible reason to believe that the UK could extract itself from the EU (a more complex entity than the EEC) in the two years envisaged by Article 50.
This is no surprise: Article 50 was never intended to be a practical provision. It was there just for decoration. It was an ornament, not an instrument. According to Reuters, the former Italian prime minister Giuliano Amato is quoted as saying:
"I wrote Article 50, so I know it well," Amato told a conference in Rome, saying he had inserted it specifically to prevent the British from complaining that there was no clear cut, official way for them to bail out of the Union.
"My intention was that it should be a classic safety valve that was there, but never used. It is like having a fire extinguisher that should never have to be used. Instead, the fire happened."
Another person claiming credit for Article 50 (you would think no one would want to admit to authoring the provision) is the British diplomat Lord Kerr. He explains that it was inserted into the Lisbon treaty as a sop to the Eurosceptic media.
Regardless of who wrote the provision, no one can say that it provides a feasible process: the departing member state may have the immense advantage of setting the timing of the notification; but then the see-saw reverses dramatically, giving the remaining member states a near-absolute advantage in negotiating position. Any extension of the two-year period cannot be taken for granted, and so unless an agreement can be reached in less than two years, the member state is ejected. It would be a weird and unworkable way to deal with a complex negotiation of the nature required. Article 50 may have "worked" as a work-around negotiation ploy for Amato and Kerr but it does not work as a legal framework.
This is why any Brexit may perhaps be by a new treaty rather than by the unfit-for-purpose Article 50. But this would create new problems. Most notably, it could require a fresh referendum in the UK. It would also need unanimity by the remaining member states.
Then there are the international trade agreements that the Brexiteers say the UK should enter with the rest of the world. There are many difficulties here. The UK has no trade negotiators; the rest of the world will want to see what the UK-EU arrangement is before committing to a trade deal; and Britain has a weak and needy negotiating position. Such negotiation is as hard-headed an exercise as one can imagine, and the inexperienced UK ministers and officials will be lambs wandering into a slaughterhouse.
The competency of the British government to negotiate high-value complex commercial agreements on important matters at speed and under media pressure against unsentimental counter-parties can be summed up in three letters: PFI. The deals are disasters waiting to happen.
It cannot even be taken for granted that the UK will have an easy ride becoming a World Trade Organisation member in its own right. As former WTO staffer Peter Ungphakorn points out, there is nothing simple about the UK gaining WTO status post-Brexit.
In the face of these stark problems, what has marked the first month since the referendum result is a certain lack of seriousness by the Brexit government. The new international trade secretary, Liam Fox, is reduced to boasting of the opening of three one-person trade kiosks in the US, while his remarks about the UK leaving a customs union had to be "clarified" by the prime minister. Neither the US nor the Canadians are in any hurry to commence negotiations before they can see what Brexit looks like. There is confusion in Whitehall about the remits of the three Brexit departments. There are desperate (and possibly unlawful) demands that trade deals be tied to overseas aid. In an important post, Charles Grant has detailed the six deals the UK government has to do. Serious issues such as the status of EU nationals in the UK and what will happen to "acquired rights" on Brexit have still not been addressed.
No one in government has a clue. Pro-Brexit supporters demand a sudden Brexit without any regard to these problems: see this Bernard Jenkin piece in the FT, and the comments beneath are perhaps the most brutal you will see on this website.
In the meantime, the hurdles to Brexit are accumulating. Theresa May, the new prime minister, has spoken of there being a need for a UK-wide approach, and she now also wants to consult British dependencies. Politicians in Scotland and Northern Ireland (majorities in both of which voted to remain in the EU) are alert and agile in turning the fall-out from Brexit to their benefit. As with the (now seemingly abandoned) British Bill of Rights, the devolution settlements and the Good Friday Agreement are not mere after-thoughts for Westminster politicians, but things that shape what can and cannot be done easily by the supposedly sovereign parliament.
None of this is to say Brexit is impossible. It can be conceivably brought about if there is sufficient political skill and will-power. In its rewriting of domestic law and policy and its refiguration of foreign and trade policy, Brexit will be the single biggest exercise by any UK government in peace time — and all this on top of governing a country in a period of austerity with limited public spending and a small majority. And it is for an objective that few in Westminster and Whitehall genuinely want.
The 52 per cent vote for Leave in a non-binding referendum will increasingly seem flimsy against the sheer magnitude of the task ahead. If Leave politicians were candid and realistic about the years, sweat and tears ahead, you could believe they were up to it. But they maintain it is easy, and unless their attitude changes, it is this complacency that will defeat them. Denialism and wishful thinking are not enough.

David Allen Green, a lawyer and journalist, writes the law and policy blog for FT.com.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on August 14, 2016, 03:18:14 PM
That is scary reading.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 14, 2016, 03:57:14 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 14, 2016, 03:18:14 PM
That is scary reading.
It is beyond hopeless I think.

The comments on the article go into more depth. There is zero upside for the UK.
I will post a few next week.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on August 14, 2016, 05:13:52 PM
Interesting case being brought to challenge the legal status of Brexit versus the GFA
http://money.cnn.com/2016/08/12/news/brexit-legal-cases-lawsuits/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 15, 2016, 10:22:58 AM
Martin Wolf, FT FT11 days ago
@SpeakingUp I strongly agree. The Leavers persuaded the British people to support them on a fraudulent basis. They also had (and have) no plan for leaving. That is worse than merely fraudulent. It is grotesquely irresponsible. The fact that this was the case was pointed out by many commentators (including me). The government is not to blame for not having a plan for Brexit, since there simply is no sensible plan for Brexit. Whatever the government does, it is going to be a terrible mess. The government is instead to blame for holding the idiotic referendum in the first place. Competent governments do not present the option of a national disaster before the electorate


sun carriage 9 days ago
@Armchair Economist. The harshest criticism in my view of Cameron, was his refusal to allow the Civil Servants to have prepared for the possibility of defeat, over the referendum. He put winning in front of the interests of his country. I do not think, that is forgivable.
Coase Theorem 9 days ago
sun carriage
But is EEA what the UK wants?
No
The U.K. doesn't know what it wants
Deciding what the UK wants is David Davis's job and he hasn't decided yet
As it happens EEA doesn't involve that much work (that's one of its virtues) so a lack of planning for it doesn't preclude it
What precludes it is that we don't know if as a country we want it

Italianstallion 9 days ago
@Coase Theorem Actually, David Davis thinks he knows what he wants (a special deal for UK, if not WTO then  later free trade deals).  This is worse than someone saying that the situation is new, lets think about what I want. If the Brexiteers would freely admit that they need time to work out what they want, as opposed to "preparation" time,  I for one would gain respect for them; as it is they (Davis and e.g Jenkins), live in a false world of certainty - only inconvenienced by the facts around them.  That is deeply worrying to me.  The comments on the civil service not being prepared are silly - how could they prepare for an inchoate desire to leave without any view about where to go next.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 15, 2016, 10:24:34 AM
David Allen Green FT guest writer9 days ago
@Hyerophant
Little is (literally) impossible in the field of human affairs, and so most political objectives can be achieved with skill and will-power sufficient for the task in question.
There is, however, no indication that there is sufficient political skill and will-power for the task of Brexit.
Italianstallion 9 days ago
@David Allen Green @Hyerophant David.  Please be franker.  At the moment there is no indication of any actual objectives for the negotiation, and no indication of any knowledge of basic facts.  Once we have these we can worry about second order things like skill and will power
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Rabiusa 9 days ago
I appreciate the hard truths exposed by this article. I predict that Brexit will be a very messy and chaotic affair. I clean break is impossible without doing irreparable damage to the UK economy, and by contrast any long-term dithering by the current government in implementing article 50 will simply prolong the economic uncertainty and may backfire politically. I do not believe May's appointments have what it takes to negotiate a good deal for Britain upon its eventual withdrawal (or ejection). It's going to be a mess, and it will damage the UK economy. The question is to what extent and how acutely. The lack of planning for exit by either the Brexiteers or the previous government is so negligent and naive it is almost criminal.
Fisher of Men 9 days ago
Excellent article.  I work in the Middle East alongside international executives, many of whom come from countries Brexiters hope to trade with.  I offer some context from the coal face for our intrepid Ministers. 
None can understand why UK is doing this and firmly believe we have weakened our international standing. They all laugh about the idea of us entering into WTO or bilateral negotiations as they know UK comes begging and will get well and truly shafted. 
Specific comments by country:
Saudis - 'you are now weak - how can you hope to negotiate from such a position.  Why doesn't your Queen do something?'
Chinese - 'you forget we are not really interested in trading with UK - we are only interested in buying houses in London and gaining access to your universities '
Americans - 'we still can't believe you allowed this to happen - how can one of the oldest democracies and guardian of English Law permit a bunch of Ministers to commit economic suicide.  And then you appoint them to define your future relationship with the EU and us!  Is this some sort of Mr Bean sketch....'
French - 'Don't worry my friend - there will be some sort of solution found'
Indians - 'we will trade with you but what are you going to sell to us.? You have already given us your best exports - cricket, the railways and the Civil Service.  Have you any idea how insanely difficult it is to do business in India!'
I could go on and whether you agree or disagree with the comments they show the size and scale of the task ahead.
Time to find Bulldog Drummond and Union Jack Jackson........but sadly this is the real world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 15, 2016, 10:25:24 AM
Mr Subsea 9 days ago
Country and continent ruined by David Cameron's weakness in the face of UKIP, and not a single politician with the courage to stand up and state the obvious - that the public as a whole simply doesn't have the intellectual capacity to be allowed to vote on matters of such enormous consequence to all. Too many  are easily manipulated by Machiavellan forces like to Murdoch, Dacre & Co.
The one thing I am struggling to figure out is what these dark forces actually have to gain in the aggregate from the global depression that I fear will be the longer term ramification of Brexit. Ultimately it can't be good for global businesses like those Murduch presides over so I can only conclude it's about power, manipulation and control for their own sake. Horrifying really.
Eden de Vizes 9 days ago
It is increasingly clear that Brexit is a disaster. Even if there were a road map to achieving a sustainable alternative, which there clearly isn't, there is no basis for having any faith in the governmental & administrative resources of the U.K. to follow it.
As Martin Wolf remarked in the debate leading up to the referendum: "Leavers are mad". At that point he just meant: mad to want that outcome. But now we can see that madness indeed rules.
To think that Brexit can be made to work satisfactorily is now objectively to suspend rational thought. That's not the same thing as saying the EU is ideal & does not need reform.
The Leave campaign wrapped itself in a flag of jingoistic patriotism (and I will not even mention the lies). The true patriots now are those of us who are committed in every way to stopping this lunacy.
Rail at me, you Brexiteers. I know you will. But please read the tsunami of informed opinion and analysis showing your position to be fantastical, impractical and effectively unachievable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 15, 2016, 10:41:57 AM
Quote from: heganboy on August 14, 2016, 05:13:52 PM
Interesting case being brought to challenge the legal status of Brexit versus the GFA
http://money.cnn.com/2016/08/12/news/brexit-legal-cases-lawsuits/

Presumably this is the case discussed here about 3 weeks ago. It certainly has potential. It cannot stop the British of course, but it would require them to withdraw from the GFA, notifying the US etc and repeal the Northern Ireland Act 1998. At lot of pro Remain sentiment, not previously much interested in NI, might suddenly become very concerned about NI in that case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on August 15, 2016, 10:44:15 AM
What do people think will be the first real impact that Joe blogs is going to suffer because of the brexit and how soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on August 15, 2016, 12:44:58 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 15, 2016, 10:44:15 AM
What do people think will be the first real impact that Joe blogs is going to suffer because of the brexit and how soon.

If the exchange rate matters to you or your work, then that might be the first effect.

Otherwise recession and all that goes with it (rising unemployment, more austerity etc.).

When? in the next few months, possibly before the Brexit talks even begin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 15, 2016, 12:59:52 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 15, 2016, 12:44:58 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 15, 2016, 10:44:15 AM
What do people think will be the first real impact that Joe blogs is going to suffer because of the brexit and how soon.

If the exchange rate matters to you or your work, then that might be the first effect.

Otherwise recession and all that goes with it (rising unemployment, more austerity etc.).

When? in the next few months, possibly before the Brexit talks even begin.

With sterling having dropped, inflation in the UK will kick up fairly quickly, with all of  the uncertainty around wages etc will not necessarily follow.
The pensioners who voted for Brexit will find their pensions/annuities etc going down, while prices tend to go up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 01:09:10 PM
Big week for the UK, a lot of 'post brexit' data due. Just reading there about Retail sales in the period expected to be very good, would expect a Sterling currency bounce if true. Plenty of other factors to negate that I'm sure but sterling's  bound to be in the bottomed out zone now (especially with plenty of Eurozone woes).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 15, 2016, 02:21:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 01:09:10 PM
Big week for the UK, a lot of 'post brexit' data due. Just reading there about Retail sales in the period expected to be very good, would expect a Sterling currency bounce if true. Plenty of other factors to negate that I'm sure but sterling's  bound to be in the bottomed out zone now (especially with plenty of Eurozone woes).

Sterling down half a cent this morning, so it might pause sometime soon. I'm not sure that more retail sales should cause a bounce, it just means more imports and a bigger trade deficit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 15, 2016, 02:25:20 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 15, 2016, 12:44:58 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 15, 2016, 10:44:15 AM
What do people think will be the first real impact that Joe blogs is going to suffer because of the brexit and how soon.

If the exchange rate matters to you or your work, then that might be the first effect.

Otherwise recession and all that goes with it (rising unemployment, more austerity etc.).

When? in the next few months, possibly before the Brexit talks even begin.

That is your first effect and has been a nightmare since the vote in all honesty.

Spoke to a few people who have their weddings booked this summer in the South... a 15% hike for that as well doesn't help things!!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 15, 2016, 02:40:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 15, 2016, 12:59:52 PM
Quote from: muppet on August 15, 2016, 12:44:58 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 15, 2016, 10:44:15 AM
What do people think will be the first real impact that Joe blogs is going to suffer because of the brexit and how soon.

If the exchange rate matters to you or your work, then that might be the first effect.

Otherwise recession and all that goes with it (rising unemployment, more austerity etc.).

When? in the next few months, possibly before the Brexit talks even begin.

With sterling having dropped, inflation in the UK will kick up fairly quickly, with all of  the uncertainty around wages etc will not necessarily follow.
The pensioners who voted for Brexit will find their pensions/annuities etc going down, while prices tend to go up.
UK wages have been falling in real terms since 08. Productivity growth is chronic. The UK is fucked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on August 15, 2016, 02:44:50 PM
If you are an exporter to the UK, of goods or services, then you will be hit by the poor pound straight away. If I am selling services for €1000 per day to a company in the UK, that will cost that company £868 today. Last year it may have been £800 or less. That's a significant difference when you start to add zeroes to the amount.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 04:05:02 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 15, 2016, 02:21:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 01:09:10 PM
Big week for the UK, a lot of 'post brexit' data due. Just reading there about Retail sales in the period expected to be very good, would expect a Sterling currency bounce if true. Plenty of other factors to negate that I'm sure but sterling's  bound to be in the bottomed out zone now (especially with plenty of Eurozone woes).

Sterling down half a cent this morning, so it might pause sometime soon. I'm not sure that more retail sales should cause a bounce, it just means more imports and a bigger trade deficit.
All about the great Economic intangible - Confidence  (presumably).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on August 15, 2016, 05:00:38 PM
(http://ei.marketwatch.com//Multimedia/2016/08/15/Photos/NS/MW-ET903_GBPJPG_20160815112301_NS.jpg?uuid=27a331b2-62fc-11e6-99d3-0015c588dfa6)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 15, 2016, 05:24:15 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 04:05:02 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 15, 2016, 02:21:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 01:09:10 PM
Big week for the UK, a lot of 'post brexit' data due. Just reading there about Retail sales in the period expected to be very good, would expect a Sterling currency bounce if true. Plenty of other factors to negate that I'm sure but sterling's  bound to be in the bottomed out zone now (especially with plenty of Eurozone woes).

Sterling down half a cent this morning, so it might pause sometime soon. I'm not sure that more retail sales should cause a bounce, it just means more imports and a bigger trade deficit.
All about the great Economic intangible - Confidence  (presumably).

(https://next-geebee.ft.com/image/v1/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Ffastft%2Ffiles%2F2016%2F08%2Fsterl-eur.png?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=700)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 06:16:40 PM
Consumer confidence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 15, 2016, 07:15:58 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 06:16:40 PM
Consumer confidence.

I suspect Theresa May doesn't want too much confidence, right now. A little bit of apprehension would facilitate moulding things in a direction that Farage might not approve of. And if that were followed by a rebound in consumer confidence before the next general election, then so much the better.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 15, 2016, 07:22:53 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 06:16:40 PM
Consumer confidence.
52% of consumers have no confidence in the system and voted for Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 08:37:52 PM
I'd say Consumer confidence is going to be monitored very carefully and be a very important indicator in these uncharted waters - cos nobody knows what's around the corner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 16, 2016, 12:58:18 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 15, 2016, 08:37:52 PM
I'd say Consumer confidence is going to be monitored very carefully and be a very important indicator in these uncharted waters - cos nobody knows what's around the corner.

But plenty people have an opinion of what's going to happen....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 17, 2016, 01:23:00 PM
UK unemployment falls in July.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 18, 2016, 04:13:30 PM
EU could give Britain special status'

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/brexit-latest-eu-uk-special-status-relationship-german-minister-a7194921.html?amp
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 18, 2016, 06:47:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 18, 2016, 04:13:30 PM
EU could give Britain special status'

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/brexit-latest-eu-uk-special-status-relationship-german-minister-a7194921.html?amp

I think this is the important bit though.
Asked whether Britain could enjoy free trade with the world's largest trading bloc while refusing to allow free movement of its citizens, Mr Roth said that was highly unlikely.

Britain may have a unique relationship with the EU, i.e. not a copy of Switzerland or Norway, but still on the same broad principles. And not copying someone else just increases the complexity of the negotiations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 18, 2016, 06:50:54 PM
Brexit will make the UK poorer.
If brits got payrises there would be no need for migrants to boost growth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 18, 2016, 07:15:05 PM
I think if the UK agrees to help out financially (committed to bailout funds & the like) it'll get it's  sweetheart deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 18, 2016, 07:18:06 PM
Once they keep buying German cars they have a good chance ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 18, 2016, 08:15:58 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 18, 2016, 07:15:05 PM
I think if the UK agrees to help out financially (committed to bailout funds & the like) it'll get it's  sweetheart deal.

The EU would be unwise to give a deal that makes the Norway/Switzerland deals look bad, or a deal which effectively makes it a good idea to leave the EU. Britain cannot have its cake and eat it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 18, 2016, 08:41:29 PM
Well, we're going to find out at some point..... maybe

We're an Italian banking collapse away from the possible implosion of the EU, so the UK's hand could be worse. Let's remember that we're talking about the 5th biggest Economy in the world here, as much as people hate the British, they've a fair bit of clout.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on August 19, 2016, 01:06:42 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 18, 2016, 08:41:29 PM
Well, we're going to find out at some point..... maybe

We're an Italian banking collapse away from the possible implosion of the EU, so the UK's hand could be worse. Let's remember that we're talking about the 5th biggest Economy in the world here, as much as people hate the British, they've a fair bit of clout.

The problem is that they are clouting themselves.  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 19, 2016, 09:36:45 AM
Quote from: muppet on August 19, 2016, 01:06:42 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 18, 2016, 08:41:29 PM
Well, we're going to find out at some point..... maybe

We're an Italian banking collapse away from the possible implosion of the EU, so the UK's hand could be worse. Let's remember that we're talking about the 5th biggest Economy in the world here, as much as people hate the British, they've a fair bit of clout.

The problem is that they are clouting themselves.  :D

(http://spencemunsinger.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/blazingSaddles.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on August 19, 2016, 11:59:13 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 19, 2016, 09:36:45 AM
Quote from: muppet on August 19, 2016, 01:06:42 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 18, 2016, 08:41:29 PM
Well, we're going to find out at some point..... maybe

We're an Italian banking collapse away from the possible implosion of the EU, so the UK's hand could be worse. Let's remember that we're talking about the 5th biggest Economy in the world here, as much as people hate the British, they've a fair bit of clout.

The problem is that they are clouting themselves.  :D
Do what he say!

(http://spencemunsinger.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/blazingSaddles.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 19, 2016, 12:11:59 PM
the UK economy is a mess

house prices are up but a lot of poorer people are very scared about the future.

http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/jun/16/insecure-britain-poll-economic-recovery-immigration

because they are bearing the cost of economic adjustment
http://fairpayfortnight.org/post/112038025393/almost-700-000-people-in-uk-have-zero-hours
http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/aug/03/victims-britains-harsh-welfare-sanctions

output per hour worked in the UK economy in q2 14 was 16 per cent lower than if the trend rate of increase from the start of 1999 to the end of 2007 had continued.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/45f29b50-69b4-11e4-8f4f-00144feabdc0.html


Thatcherism has well and truly destroyed the UK




Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 19, 2016, 04:15:33 PM
The lawyers will make money out of this, as usual.

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/brexit/dup-raps-granting-of-legal-aid-funds-to-raymond-mccord-for-brexit-challenge-34974306.html

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland-assembly-election/northern-ireland-lawyers-challenge-brexit-with-push-for-judicial-review-34979521.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on August 21, 2016, 09:10:00 PM
very interesting opinion on world economics and voter issues from Martin Jacques in the guardian.
Source:
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/aug/21/death-of-neoliberalism-crisis-in-western-politics


QuoteThe western financial crisis of 2007-8 was the worst since 1931, yet its immediate repercussions were surprisingly modest. The crisis challenged the foundation stones of the long-dominant neoliberal ideology but it seemed to emerge largely unscathed. The banks were bailed out; hardly any bankers on either side of the Atlantic were prosecuted for their crimes; and the price of their behaviour was duly paid by the taxpayer. Subsequent economic policy, especially in the Anglo-Saxon world, has relied overwhelmingly on monetary policy, especially quantitative easing. It has failed. The western economy has stagnated and is now approaching its lost decade, with no end in sight.

After almost nine years, we are finally beginning to reap the political whirlwind of the financial crisis. But how did neoliberalism manage to survive virtually unscathed for so long? Although it failed the test of the real world, bequeathing the worst economic disaster for seven decades, politically and intellectually it remained the only show in town. Parties of the right, centre and left had all bought into its philosophy, New Labour a classic in point. They knew no other way of thinking or doing: it had become the common sense. It was, as Antonio Gramsci put it, hegemonic. But that hegemony cannot and will not survive the test of the real world.


The first inkling of the wider political consequences was evident in the turn in public opinion against the banks, bankers and business leaders. For decades, they could do no wrong: they were feted as the role models of our age, the default troubleshooters of choice in education, health and seemingly everything else. Now, though, their star was in steep descent, along with that of the political class. The effect of the financial crisis was to undermine faith and trust in the competence of the governing elites. It marked the beginnings of a wider political crisis.

But the causes of this political crisis, glaringly evident on both sides of the Atlantic, are much deeper than simply the financial crisis and the virtually stillborn recovery of the last decade. They go to the heart of the neoliberal project that dates from the late 70s and the political rise of Reagan and Thatcher, and embraced at its core the idea of a global free market in goods, services and capital. The depression-era system of bank regulation was dismantled, in the US in the 1990s and in Britain in 1986, thereby creating the conditions for the 2008 crisis. Equality was scorned, the idea of trickle-down economics lauded, government condemned as a fetter on the market and duly downsized, immigration encouraged, regulation cut to a minimum, taxes reduced and a blind eye turned to corporate evasion.

It should be noted that, by historical standards, the neoliberal era has not had a particularly good track record. The most dynamic period of postwar western growth was that between the end of the war and the early 70s, the era of welfare capitalism and Keynesianism, when the growth rate was double that of the neoliberal period from 1980 to the present.


But by far the most disastrous feature of the neoliberal period has been the huge growth in inequality. Until very recently, this had been virtually ignored. With extraordinary speed, however, it has emerged as one of, if not the most important political issue on both sides of the Atlantic, most dramatically in the US. It is, bar none, the issue that is driving the political discontent that is now engulfing the west. Given the statistical evidence, it is puzzling, shocking even, that it has been disregarded for so long; the explanation can only lie in the sheer extent of the hegemony of neoliberalism and its values.

But now reality has upset the doctrinal apple cart. In the period 1948-1972, every section of the American population experienced very similar and sizable increases in their standard of living; between 1972-2013, the bottom 10% experienced falling real income while the top 10% did far better than everyone else. In the US, the median real income for full-time male workers is now lower than it was four decades ago: the income of the bottom 90% of the population has stagnated for over 30 years.

A not so dissimilar picture is true of the UK. And the problem has grown more serious since the financial crisis. On average, between 65-70% of households in 25 high-income economies experienced stagnant or falling real incomes between 2005 and 2014.

Large sections of the population in both the US and the UK are now in revolt against their lot
The reasons are not difficult to explain. The hyper-globalisation era has been systematically stacked in favour of capital against labour: international trading agreements, drawn up in great secrecy, with business on the inside and the unions and citizens excluded, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) being but the latest examples; the politico-legal attack on the unions; the encouragement of large-scale immigration in both the US and Europe that helped to undermine the bargaining power of the domestic workforce; and the failure to retrain displaced workers in any meaningful way.


As Thomas Piketty has shown, in the absence of countervailing pressures, capitalism naturally gravitates towards increasing inequality. In the period between 1945 and the late 70s, Cold War competition was arguably the biggest such constraint. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, there have been none. As the popular backlash grows increasingly irresistible, however, such a winner-takes-all regime becomes politically unsustainable.

Large sections of the population in both the US and the UK are now in revolt against their lot, as graphically illustrated by the support for Trump and Sanders in the US and the Brexit vote in the UK. This popular revolt is often described, in a somewhat denigratory and dismissive fashion, as populism. Or, as Francis Fukuyama writes in a recent excellent essay in Foreign Affairs: "'Populism' is the label that political elites attach to policies supported by ordinary citizens that they don't like." Populism is a movement against the status quo. It represents the beginnings of something new, though it is generally much clearer about what it is against than what it is for. It can be progressive or reactionary, but more usually both.

Brexit is a classic example of such populism. It has overturned a fundamental cornerstone of UK policy since the early 1970s. Though ostensibly about Europe, it was in fact about much more: a cri de coeur from those who feel they have lost out and been left behind, whose living standards have stagnated or worse since the 1980s, who feel dislocated by large-scale immigration over which they have no control and who face an increasingly insecure and casualised labour market. Their revolt has paralysed the governing elite, already claimed one prime minister, and left the latest one fumbling around in the dark looking for divine inspiration.


Brexit was the marker of a working-class revolt. Photograph: Mark Thomas/Alamy
The wave of populism marks the return of class as a central agency in politics, both in the UK and the US. This is particularly remarkable in the US. For many decades, the idea of the "working class" was marginal to American political discourse. Most Americans described themselves as middle class, a reflection of the aspirational pulse at the heart of American society. According to a Gallup poll, in 2000 only 33% of Americans called themselves working class; by 2015 the figure was 48%, almost half the population.

Brexit, too, was primarily a working-class revolt. Hitherto, on both sides of the Atlantic, the agency of class has been in retreat in the face of the emergence of a new range of identities and issues from gender and race to sexual orientation and the environment. The return of class, because of its sheer reach, has the potential, like no other issue, to redefine the political landscape.

The working class belongs to no one: its orientation, far from predetermined, is a function of politics
The re-emergence of class should not be confused with the labour movement. They are not synonymous: this is obvious in the US and increasingly the case in the UK. Indeed, over the last half-century, there has been a growing separation between the two in Britain. The re-emergence of the working class as a political voice in Britain, most notably in the Brexit vote, can best be described as an inchoate expression of resentment and protest, with only a very weak sense of belonging to the labour movement.

Indeed, Ukip has been as important – in the form of immigration and Europe – in shaping its current attitudes as the Labour party. In the United States, both Trump and Sanders have given expression to the working-class revolt, the latter almost as much as the former. The working class belongs to no one: its orientation, far from predetermined, as the left liked to think, is a function of politics.

The neoliberal era is being undermined from two directions. First, if its record of economic growth has never been particularly strong, it is now dismal. Europe is barely larger than it was on the eve of the financial crisis in 2007; the United States has done better but even its growth has been anaemic. Economists such as Larry Summers believe that the prospect for the future is most likely one of secular stagnation.

Worse, because the recovery has been so weak and fragile, there is a widespread belief that another financial crisis may well beckon. In other words, the neoliberal era has delivered the west back into the kind of crisis-ridden world that we last experienced in the 1930s. With this background, it is hardly surprising that a majority in the west now believe their children will be worse off than they were. Second, those who have lost out in the neoliberal era are no longer prepared to acquiesce in their fate – they are increasingly in open revolt. We are witnessing the end of the neoliberal era. It is not dead, but it is in its early death throes, just as the social-democratic era was during the 1970s.

A sure sign of the declining influence of neoliberalism is the rising chorus of intellectual voices raised against it. From the mid-70s through the 80s, the economic debate was increasingly dominated by monetarists and free marketeers. But since the western financial crisis, the centre of gravity of the intellectual debate has shifted profoundly. This is most obvious in the United States, with economists such as Joseph Stiglitz, Paul Krugman, Dani Rodrik and Jeffrey Sachs becoming increasingly influential. Thomas Piketty's Capital in the Twenty-First Century has been a massive seller. His work and that of Tony Atkinson and Angus Deaton have pushed the question of the inequality to the top of the political agenda. In the UK, Ha-Joon Chang, for long isolated within the economics profession, has gained a following far greater than those who think economics is a branch of mathematics.


Meanwhile, some of those who were previously strong advocates of a neoliberal approach, such as Larry Summers and the Financial Times's Martin Wolf, have become extremely critical. The wind is in the sails of the critics of neoliberalism; the neoliberals and monetarists are in retreat. In the UK, the media and political worlds are well behind the curve. Few recognise that we are at the end of an era. Old attitudes and assumptions still predominate, whether on the BBC's Today programme, in the rightwing press or the parliamentary Labour party.


Following Ed Miliband's resignation as Labour leader, virtually no one foresaw the triumph of Jeremy Corbyn in the subsequent leadership election. The assumption had been more of the same, a Blairite or a halfway house like Miliband, certainly not anyone like Corbyn. But the zeitgeist had changed. The membership, especially the young who had joined the party on an unprecedented scale, wanted a complete break with New Labour. One of the reasons why the left has failed to emerge as the leader of the new mood of working-class disillusionment is that most social democratic parties became, in varying degrees, disciples of neoliberalism and uber-globalisation. The most extreme forms of this phenomenon were New Labour and the Democrats, who in the late 90s and 00s became its advance guard, personified by Tony Blair and Bill Clinton, triangulation and the third way.

But as David Marquand observed in a review for the New Statesman, what is the point of a social democratic party if it doesn't represent the less fortunate, the underprivileged and the losers? New Labour deserted those who needed them, who historically they were supposed to represent. Is it surprising that large sections have now deserted the party who deserted them? Blair, in his reincarnation as a money-obsessed consultant to a shady bunch of presidents and dictators, is a fitting testament to the demise of New Labour.

The rival contenders – Burnham, Cooper and Kendall – represented continuity. They were swept away by Corbyn, who won nearly 60% of the votes. New Labour was over, as dead as Monty Python's parrot. Few grasped the meaning of what had happened. A Guardian leader welcomed the surge in membership and then, lo and behold, urged support for Yvette Cooper, the very antithesis of the reason for the enthusiasm. The PLP refused to accept the result and ever since has tried might and main to remove Corbyn.

Just as the Labour party took far too long to come to terms with the rise of Thatcherism and the birth of a new era at the end of the 70s, now it could not grasp that the Thatcherite paradigm, which they eventually came to embrace in the form of New Labour, had finally run its course. Labour, like everyone else, is obliged to think anew. The membership in their antipathy to New Labour turned to someone who had never accepted the latter, who was the polar opposite in almost every respect of Blair, and embodying an authenticity and decency which Blair patently did not.

Labour may be in intensive care, but the condition of the Conservatives is not a great deal better
Corbyn is not a product of the new times, he is a throwback to the late 70s and early 80s. That is both his strength and also his weakness. He is uncontaminated by the New Labour legacy because he has never accepted it. But nor, it would seem, does he understand the nature of the new era. The danger is that he is possessed of feet of clay in what is a highly fluid and unpredictable political environment, devoid of any certainties of almost any kind, in which Labour finds itself dangerously divided and weakened.

Labour may be in intensive care, but the condition of the Conservatives is not a great deal better. David Cameron was guilty of a huge and irresponsible miscalculation over Brexit. He was forced to resign in the most ignominious of circumstances. The party is hopelessly divided. It has no idea in which direction to move after Brexit. The Brexiters painted an optimistic picture of turning away from the declining European market and embracing the expanding markets of the world, albeit barely mentioning by name which countries it had in mind. It looks as if the new prime minister may have an anachronistic hostility towards China and a willingness to undo the good work of George Osborne. If the government turns its back on China, by far the fastest growing market in the world, where are they going to turn?

Brexit has left the country fragmented and deeply divided, with the very real prospect that Scotland might choose independence. Meanwhile, the Conservatives seem to have little understanding that the neoliberal era is in its death throes.


Dramatic as events have been in the UK, they cannot compare with those in the United States. Almost from nowhere, Donald Trump rose to capture the Republican nomination and confound virtually all the pundits and not least his own party. His message was straightforwardly anti-globalisation. He believes that the interests of the working class have been sacrificed in favour of the big corporations that have been encouraged to invest around the world and thereby deprive American workers of their jobs. Further, he argues that large-scale immigration has weakened the bargaining power of American workers and served to lower their wages.

He proposes that US corporations should be required to invest their cash reserves in the US. He believes that the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta) has had the effect of exporting American jobs to Mexico. On similar grounds, he is opposed to the TPP and the TTIP. And he also accuses China of stealing American jobs, threatening to impose a 45% tariff on Chinese imports.

To globalisation Trump counterposes economic nationalism: "Put America first". His appeal, above all, is to the white working class who, until Trump's (and Bernie Sander's) arrival on the political scene, had been ignored and largely unrepresented since the 1980s. Given that their wages have been falling for most of the last 40 years, it is extraordinary how their interests have been neglected by the political class. Increasingly, they have voted Republican, but the Republicans have long been captured by the super-rich and Wall Street, whose interests, as hyper-globalisers, have run directly counter to those of the white working class. With the arrival of Trump they finally found a representative: they won Trump the Republican nomination.

Trump believes that America's pursuit of great power status has squandered the nation's resources
The economic nationalist argument has also been vigorously pursued by Bernie Sanders, who ran Hillary Clinton extremely close for the Democratic nomination and would probably have won but for more than 700 so-called super-delegates, who were effectively chosen by the Democratic machine and overwhelmingly supported Clinton. As in the case of the Republicans, the Democrats have long supported a neoliberal, pro-globalisation strategy, notwithstanding the concerns of its trade union base. Both the Republicans and the Democrats now find themselves deeply polarised between the pro- and anti-globalisers, an entirely new development not witnessed since the shift towards neoliberalism under Reagan almost 40 years ago.


Another plank of Trump's nationalist appeal – "Make America great again" – is his position on foreign policy. He believes that America's pursuit of great power status has squandered the nation's resources. He argues that the country's alliance system is unfair, with America bearing most of the cost and its allies contributing far too little. He points to Japan and South Korea, and Nato's European members as prime examples.He seeks to rebalance these relationships and, failing that, to exit from them.

As a country in decline, he argues that America can no longer afford to carry this kind of financial burden. Rather than putting the world to rights, he believes the money should be invested at home, pointing to the dilapidated state of America's infrastructure. Trump's position represents a major critique of America as the world's hegemon. His arguments mark a radical break with the neoliberal, hyper-globalisation ideology that has reigned since the early 1980s and with the foreign policy orthodoxy of most of the postwar period. These arguments must be taken seriously. They should not be lightly dismissed just because of their authorship. But Trump is no man of the left. He is a populist of the right. He has launched a racist and xenophobic attack on Muslims and on Mexicans. Trump's appeal is to a white working class that feels it has been cheated by the big corporations, undermined by Hispanic immigration, and often resentful towards African-Americans who for long too many have viewed as their inferior.

A Trump America would mark a descent into authoritarianism characterised by abuse, scapegoating, discrimination, racism, arbitrariness and violence; America would become a deeply polarised and divided society. His threat to impose 45% tariffs on China, if implemented, would certainly provoke retaliation by the Chinese and herald the beginnings of a new era of protectionism.

Trump may well lose the presidential election just as Sanders failed in his bid for the Democrat nomination. But this does not mean that the forces opposed to hyper-globalisation – unrestricted immigration, TPP and TTIP, the free movement of capital and much else – will have lost the argument and are set to decline. In little more than 12 months, Trump and Sanders have transformed the nature and terms of the argument. Far from being on the wane, the arguments of the critics of hyper-globalisation are steadily gaining ground. Roughly two-thirds of Americans agree that "we should not think so much in international terms but concentrate more on our own national problems". And, above all else, what will continue to drive opposition to the hyper-globalisers is inequality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 21, 2016, 11:00:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 19, 2016, 12:11:59 PM
the UK economy is a mess

house prices are up but a lot of poorer people are very scared about the future.

http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/jun/16/insecure-britain-poll-economic-recovery-immigration

because they are bearing the cost of economic adjustment
http://fairpayfortnight.org/post/112038025393/almost-700-000-people-in-uk-have-zero-hours
http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/aug/03/victims-britains-harsh-welfare-sanctions

output per hour worked in the UK economy in q2 14 was 16 per cent lower than if the trend rate of increase from the start of 1999 to the end of 2007 had continued.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/45f29b50-69b4-11e4-8f4f-00144feabdc0.html


Thatcherism has well and truly destroyed the UK

do you know anyone living in the UK?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 22, 2016, 05:56:14 AM
Quote from: heganboy on August 21, 2016, 09:10:00 PM
very interesting opinion on world economics and voter issues from Martin Jacques in the guardian.
Source:
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/aug/21/death-of-neoliberalism-crisis-in-western-politics


QuoteThe western financial crisis of 2007-8 was the worst since 1931, yet its immediate repercussions were surprisingly modest. The crisis challenged the foundation stones of the long-dominant neoliberal ideology but it seemed to emerge largely unscathed. The banks were bailed out; hardly any bankers on either side of the Atlantic were prosecuted for their crimes; and the price of their behaviour was duly paid by the taxpayer. Subsequent economic policy, especially in the Anglo-Saxon world, has relied overwhelmingly on monetary policy, especially quantitative easing. It has failed. The western economy has stagnated and is now approaching its lost decade, with no end in sight.

After almost nine years, we are finally beginning to reap the political whirlwind of the financial crisis. But how did neoliberalism manage to survive virtually unscathed for so long? Although it failed the test of the real world, bequeathing the worst economic disaster for seven decades, politically and intellectually it remained the only show in town. Parties of the right, centre and left had all bought into its philosophy, New Labour a classic in point. They knew no other way of thinking or doing: it had become the common sense. It was, as Antonio Gramsci put it, hegemonic. But that hegemony cannot and will not survive the test of the real world.


The first inkling of the wider political consequences was evident in the turn in public opinion against the banks, bankers and business leaders. For decades, they could do no wrong: they were feted as the role models of our age, the default troubleshooters of choice in education, health and seemingly everything else. Now, though, their star was in steep descent, along with that of the political class. The effect of the financial crisis was to undermine faith and trust in the competence of the governing elites. It marked the beginnings of a wider political crisis.

But the causes of this political crisis, glaringly evident on both sides of the Atlantic, are much deeper than simply the financial crisis and the virtually stillborn recovery of the last decade. They go to the heart of the neoliberal project that dates from the late 70s and the political rise of Reagan and Thatcher, and embraced at its core the idea of a global free market in goods, services and capital. The depression-era system of bank regulation was dismantled, in the US in the 1990s and in Britain in 1986, thereby creating the conditions for the 2008 crisis. Equality was scorned, the idea of trickle-down economics lauded, government condemned as a fetter on the market and duly downsized, immigration encouraged, regulation cut to a minimum, taxes reduced and a blind eye turned to corporate evasion.

It should be noted that, by historical standards, the neoliberal era has not had a particularly good track record. The most dynamic period of postwar western growth was that between the end of the war and the early 70s, the era of welfare capitalism and Keynesianism, when the growth rate was double that of the neoliberal period from 1980 to the present.


But by far the most disastrous feature of the neoliberal period has been the huge growth in inequality. Until very recently, this had been virtually ignored. With extraordinary speed, however, it has emerged as one of, if not the most important political issue on both sides of the Atlantic, most dramatically in the US. It is, bar none, the issue that is driving the political discontent that is now engulfing the west. Given the statistical evidence, it is puzzling, shocking even, that it has been disregarded for so long; the explanation can only lie in the sheer extent of the hegemony of neoliberalism and its values.

But now reality has upset the doctrinal apple cart. In the period 1948-1972, every section of the American population experienced very similar and sizable increases in their standard of living; between 1972-2013, the bottom 10% experienced falling real income while the top 10% did far better than everyone else. In the US, the median real income for full-time male workers is now lower than it was four decades ago: the income of the bottom 90% of the population has stagnated for over 30 years.

A not so dissimilar picture is true of the UK. And the problem has grown more serious since the financial crisis. On average, between 65-70% of households in 25 high-income economies experienced stagnant or falling real incomes between 2005 and 2014.

Large sections of the population in both the US and the UK are now in revolt against their lot
The reasons are not difficult to explain. The hyper-globalisation era has been systematically stacked in favour of capital against labour: international trading agreements, drawn up in great secrecy, with business on the inside and the unions and citizens excluded, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) being but the latest examples; the politico-legal attack on the unions; the encouragement of large-scale immigration in both the US and Europe that helped to undermine the bargaining power of the domestic workforce; and the failure to retrain displaced workers in any meaningful way.


As Thomas Piketty has shown, in the absence of countervailing pressures, capitalism naturally gravitates towards increasing inequality. In the period between 1945 and the late 70s, Cold War competition was arguably the biggest such constraint. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, there have been none. As the popular backlash grows increasingly irresistible, however, such a winner-takes-all regime becomes politically unsustainable.

Large sections of the population in both the US and the UK are now in revolt against their lot, as graphically illustrated by the support for Trump and Sanders in the US and the Brexit vote in the UK. This popular revolt is often described, in a somewhat denigratory and dismissive fashion, as populism. Or, as Francis Fukuyama writes in a recent excellent essay in Foreign Affairs: "'Populism' is the label that political elites attach to policies supported by ordinary citizens that they don't like." Populism is a movement against the status quo. It represents the beginnings of something new, though it is generally much clearer about what it is against than what it is for. It can be progressive or reactionary, but more usually both.

Brexit is a classic example of such populism. It has overturned a fundamental cornerstone of UK policy since the early 1970s. Though ostensibly about Europe, it was in fact about much more: a cri de coeur from those who feel they have lost out and been left behind, whose living standards have stagnated or worse since the 1980s, who feel dislocated by large-scale immigration over which they have no control and who face an increasingly insecure and casualised labour market. Their revolt has paralysed the governing elite, already claimed one prime minister, and left the latest one fumbling around in the dark looking for divine inspiration.


Brexit was the marker of a working-class revolt. Photograph: Mark Thomas/Alamy
The wave of populism marks the return of class as a central agency in politics, both in the UK and the US. This is particularly remarkable in the US. For many decades, the idea of the "working class" was marginal to American political discourse. Most Americans described themselves as middle class, a reflection of the aspirational pulse at the heart of American society. According to a Gallup poll, in 2000 only 33% of Americans called themselves working class; by 2015 the figure was 48%, almost half the population.

Brexit, too, was primarily a working-class revolt. Hitherto, on both sides of the Atlantic, the agency of class has been in retreat in the face of the emergence of a new range of identities and issues from gender and race to sexual orientation and the environment. The return of class, because of its sheer reach, has the potential, like no other issue, to redefine the political landscape.

The working class belongs to no one: its orientation, far from predetermined, is a function of politics
The re-emergence of class should not be confused with the labour movement. They are not synonymous: this is obvious in the US and increasingly the case in the UK. Indeed, over the last half-century, there has been a growing separation between the two in Britain. The re-emergence of the working class as a political voice in Britain, most notably in the Brexit vote, can best be described as an inchoate expression of resentment and protest, with only a very weak sense of belonging to the labour movement.

Indeed, Ukip has been as important – in the form of immigration and Europe – in shaping its current attitudes as the Labour party. In the United States, both Trump and Sanders have given expression to the working-class revolt, the latter almost as much as the former. The working class belongs to no one: its orientation, far from predetermined, as the left liked to think, is a function of politics.

The neoliberal era is being undermined from two directions. First, if its record of economic growth has never been particularly strong, it is now dismal. Europe is barely larger than it was on the eve of the financial crisis in 2007; the United States has done better but even its growth has been anaemic. Economists such as Larry Summers believe that the prospect for the future is most likely one of secular stagnation.

Worse, because the recovery has been so weak and fragile, there is a widespread belief that another financial crisis may well beckon. In other words, the neoliberal era has delivered the west back into the kind of crisis-ridden world that we last experienced in the 1930s. With this background, it is hardly surprising that a majority in the west now believe their children will be worse off than they were. Second, those who have lost out in the neoliberal era are no longer prepared to acquiesce in their fate – they are increasingly in open revolt. We are witnessing the end of the neoliberal era. It is not dead, but it is in its early death throes, just as the social-democratic era was during the 1970s.

A sure sign of the declining influence of neoliberalism is the rising chorus of intellectual voices raised against it. From the mid-70s through the 80s, the economic debate was increasingly dominated by monetarists and free marketeers. But since the western financial crisis, the centre of gravity of the intellectual debate has shifted profoundly. This is most obvious in the United States, with economists such as Joseph Stiglitz, Paul Krugman, Dani Rodrik and Jeffrey Sachs becoming increasingly influential. Thomas Piketty's Capital in the Twenty-First Century has been a massive seller. His work and that of Tony Atkinson and Angus Deaton have pushed the question of the inequality to the top of the political agenda. In the UK, Ha-Joon Chang, for long isolated within the economics profession, has gained a following far greater than those who think economics is a branch of mathematics.


Meanwhile, some of those who were previously strong advocates of a neoliberal approach, such as Larry Summers and the Financial Times's Martin Wolf, have become extremely critical. The wind is in the sails of the critics of neoliberalism; the neoliberals and monetarists are in retreat. In the UK, the media and political worlds are well behind the curve. Few recognise that we are at the end of an era. Old attitudes and assumptions still predominate, whether on the BBC's Today programme, in the rightwing press or the parliamentary Labour party.


Following Ed Miliband's resignation as Labour leader, virtually no one foresaw the triumph of Jeremy Corbyn in the subsequent leadership election. The assumption had been more of the same, a Blairite or a halfway house like Miliband, certainly not anyone like Corbyn. But the zeitgeist had changed. The membership, especially the young who had joined the party on an unprecedented scale, wanted a complete break with New Labour. One of the reasons why the left has failed to emerge as the leader of the new mood of working-class disillusionment is that most social democratic parties became, in varying degrees, disciples of neoliberalism and uber-globalisation. The most extreme forms of this phenomenon were New Labour and the Democrats, who in the late 90s and 00s became its advance guard, personified by Tony Blair and Bill Clinton, triangulation and the third way.

But as David Marquand observed in a review for the New Statesman, what is the point of a social democratic party if it doesn't represent the less fortunate, the underprivileged and the losers? New Labour deserted those who needed them, who historically they were supposed to represent. Is it surprising that large sections have now deserted the party who deserted them? Blair, in his reincarnation as a money-obsessed consultant to a shady bunch of presidents and dictators, is a fitting testament to the demise of New Labour.

The rival contenders – Burnham, Cooper and Kendall – represented continuity. They were swept away by Corbyn, who won nearly 60% of the votes. New Labour was over, as dead as Monty Python's parrot. Few grasped the meaning of what had happened. A Guardian leader welcomed the surge in membership and then, lo and behold, urged support for Yvette Cooper, the very antithesis of the reason for the enthusiasm. The PLP refused to accept the result and ever since has tried might and main to remove Corbyn.

Just as the Labour party took far too long to come to terms with the rise of Thatcherism and the birth of a new era at the end of the 70s, now it could not grasp that the Thatcherite paradigm, which they eventually came to embrace in the form of New Labour, had finally run its course. Labour, like everyone else, is obliged to think anew. The membership in their antipathy to New Labour turned to someone who had never accepted the latter, who was the polar opposite in almost every respect of Blair, and embodying an authenticity and decency which Blair patently did not.

Labour may be in intensive care, but the condition of the Conservatives is not a great deal better
Corbyn is not a product of the new times, he is a throwback to the late 70s and early 80s. That is both his strength and also his weakness. He is uncontaminated by the New Labour legacy because he has never accepted it. But nor, it would seem, does he understand the nature of the new era. The danger is that he is possessed of feet of clay in what is a highly fluid and unpredictable political environment, devoid of any certainties of almost any kind, in which Labour finds itself dangerously divided and weakened.

Labour may be in intensive care, but the condition of the Conservatives is not a great deal better. David Cameron was guilty of a huge and irresponsible miscalculation over Brexit. He was forced to resign in the most ignominious of circumstances. The party is hopelessly divided. It has no idea in which direction to move after Brexit. The Brexiters painted an optimistic picture of turning away from the declining European market and embracing the expanding markets of the world, albeit barely mentioning by name which countries it had in mind. It looks as if the new prime minister may have an anachronistic hostility towards China and a willingness to undo the good work of George Osborne. If the government turns its back on China, by far the fastest growing market in the world, where are they going to turn?

Brexit has left the country fragmented and deeply divided, with the very real prospect that Scotland might choose independence. Meanwhile, the Conservatives seem to have little understanding that the neoliberal era is in its death throes.


Dramatic as events have been in the UK, they cannot compare with those in the United States. Almost from nowhere, Donald Trump rose to capture the Republican nomination and confound virtually all the pundits and not least his own party. His message was straightforwardly anti-globalisation. He believes that the interests of the working class have been sacrificed in favour of the big corporations that have been encouraged to invest around the world and thereby deprive American workers of their jobs. Further, he argues that large-scale immigration has weakened the bargaining power of American workers and served to lower their wages.

He proposes that US corporations should be required to invest their cash reserves in the US. He believes that the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta) has had the effect of exporting American jobs to Mexico. On similar grounds, he is opposed to the TPP and the TTIP. And he also accuses China of stealing American jobs, threatening to impose a 45% tariff on Chinese imports.

To globalisation Trump counterposes economic nationalism: "Put America first". His appeal, above all, is to the white working class who, until Trump's (and Bernie Sander's) arrival on the political scene, had been ignored and largely unrepresented since the 1980s. Given that their wages have been falling for most of the last 40 years, it is extraordinary how their interests have been neglected by the political class. Increasingly, they have voted Republican, but the Republicans have long been captured by the super-rich and Wall Street, whose interests, as hyper-globalisers, have run directly counter to those of the white working class. With the arrival of Trump they finally found a representative: they won Trump the Republican nomination.

Trump believes that America's pursuit of great power status has squandered the nation's resources
The economic nationalist argument has also been vigorously pursued by Bernie Sanders, who ran Hillary Clinton extremely close for the Democratic nomination and would probably have won but for more than 700 so-called super-delegates, who were effectively chosen by the Democratic machine and overwhelmingly supported Clinton. As in the case of the Republicans, the Democrats have long supported a neoliberal, pro-globalisation strategy, notwithstanding the concerns of its trade union base. Both the Republicans and the Democrats now find themselves deeply polarised between the pro- and anti-globalisers, an entirely new development not witnessed since the shift towards neoliberalism under Reagan almost 40 years ago.


Another plank of Trump's nationalist appeal – "Make America great again" – is his position on foreign policy. He believes that America's pursuit of great power status has squandered the nation's resources. He argues that the country's alliance system is unfair, with America bearing most of the cost and its allies contributing far too little. He points to Japan and South Korea, and Nato's European members as prime examples.He seeks to rebalance these relationships and, failing that, to exit from them.

As a country in decline, he argues that America can no longer afford to carry this kind of financial burden. Rather than putting the world to rights, he believes the money should be invested at home, pointing to the dilapidated state of America's infrastructure. Trump's position represents a major critique of America as the world's hegemon. His arguments mark a radical break with the neoliberal, hyper-globalisation ideology that has reigned since the early 1980s and with the foreign policy orthodoxy of most of the postwar period. These arguments must be taken seriously. They should not be lightly dismissed just because of their authorship. But Trump is no man of the left. He is a populist of the right. He has launched a racist and xenophobic attack on Muslims and on Mexicans. Trump's appeal is to a white working class that feels it has been cheated by the big corporations, undermined by Hispanic immigration, and often resentful towards African-Americans who for long too many have viewed as their inferior.

A Trump America would mark a descent into authoritarianism characterised by abuse, scapegoating, discrimination, racism, arbitrariness and violence; America would become a deeply polarised and divided society. His threat to impose 45% tariffs on China, if implemented, would certainly provoke retaliation by the Chinese and herald the beginnings of a new era of protectionism.

Trump may well lose the presidential election just as Sanders failed in his bid for the Democrat nomination. But this does not mean that the forces opposed to hyper-globalisation – unrestricted immigration, TPP and TTIP, the free movement of capital and much else – will have lost the argument and are set to decline. In little more than 12 months, Trump and Sanders have transformed the nature and terms of the argument. Far from being on the wane, the arguments of the critics of hyper-globalisation are steadily gaining ground. Roughly two-thirds of Americans agree that "we should not think so much in international terms but concentrate more on our own national problems". And, above all else, what will continue to drive opposition to the hyper-globalisers is inequality.
Very good article. neoliberalism is very poor at generating growth and what growth it does generate now comes from  redistributing cashflows from workers to the rich
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: glens73 on August 22, 2016, 08:17:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on August 21, 2016, 11:00:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 19, 2016, 12:11:59 PM
the UK economy is a mess

house prices are up but a lot of poorer people are very scared about the future.

http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/jun/16/insecure-britain-poll-economic-recovery-immigration

because they are bearing the cost of economic adjustment
http://fairpayfortnight.org/post/112038025393/almost-700-000-people-in-uk-have-zero-hours
http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/aug/03/victims-britains-harsh-welfare-sanctions

output per hour worked in the UK economy in q2 14 was 16 per cent lower than if the trend rate of increase from the start of 1999 to the end of 2007 had continued.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/45f29b50-69b4-11e4-8f4f-00144feabdc0.html


Thatcherism has well and truly destroyed the UK

do you know anyone living in the UK?

Whether he does or he doesn't who knows, but he certainly seems to know more people who live in cloud cuckoo land. I'm certainly no advocate of Thatcherism but to say the uk is well and truly destroyed is absolute poppycock (a word I've picked up in my 21 years over here). There are lots of problems but also a thriving middle class with plenty of opportunities for progress for almost anyone shouldthey want them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: glens73 on August 22, 2016, 08:25:30 PM

[/quote] Very good article. neoliberalism is very poor at generating growth and what growth it does generate now comes from  redistributing cashflows from workers to the rich
[/quote]

http://www.adamsmith.org/blog/the-failure-of-neoliberalism-is-being-grossly-overstated (http://www.adamsmith.org/blog/the-failure-of-neoliberalism-is-being-grossly-overstated)

I'm not advocating what's been said here but I do believe in reading the whole picture rather than just one side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on September 05, 2016, 02:23:20 AM
of all nations Japan just shut down the UK.


they thought they had a free pass, and then Boom- Japan- Japan 15 pages of " go crawl back in your hole"
their blueprint has already been adopted as a starting point for negotiations..
Japan...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 05, 2016, 02:31:27 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/sep/04/g20-theresa-may-warns-of-tough-times-for-uk-economy-after-brexit

a message from Japan to the UK that there could be a string of corporate exits from the UK unless some of the privileges that come with access to the single market are maintained.
The lengthy document from Tokyo gives a list of possible consequences of Brexit and a series of specific requests from Japanese businesses. About half of Japanese investment in the EU comes to the UK, including from companies such as Nissan, Honda, Mitsubishi, Nomura and Daiwa.
"Japanese businesses with their European headquarters in the UK may decide to transfer their head-office function to continental Europe if EU laws cease to be applicable in the UK after its withdrawal," the report concludes.
It says: "In light of the fact that a number of Japanese businesses, invited by the government in some cases, have invested actively to the UK, which was seen to be a gateway to Europe, and have established value-chains across Europe, we strongly request that the UK will consider this fact seriously and respond in a responsible manner to minimise any harmful effects on these businesses."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 05, 2016, 02:54:51 AM
Theresa May has ruled out a radical switch to an immigration system that would strip EU citizens of their preferential access to the UK, in comments expected to inflame Brexit supporters.
The prime minister, speaking ahead of her first G20 summit in China, is considering a more modest reform of immigration rules for EU citizens, knowing that severe curbs could leave Britain excluded from large parts of the single market.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 05, 2016, 06:53:33 AM

The UK can save GBP350m a week if it leaves the EU

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/72aa537a-7116-11e6-a0c9-1365ce54b926.htm
A fifth of investment banking revenues in the City of London will be disrupted by a "hard Brexit" scenario that leaves the sector with restricted access to the EU single market, according to early estimates by the industry.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on September 05, 2016, 01:55:04 PM
Quote from: heganboy on September 05, 2016, 02:23:20 AM
of all nations Japan just shut down the UK.


they thought they had a free pass, and then Boom- Japan- Japan 15 pages of " go crawl back in your hole"
their blueprint has already been adopted as a starting point for negotiations..
Japan...

did Barack Obama tell Mrs May that the UK would be a priority when it comes to trade deals.

So much for the special relationship..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 05, 2016, 02:03:26 PM
Recession fears 'fade' as UK's service sector grows - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37274279
£ edging back to €1.20
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on September 05, 2016, 03:43:29 PM
Increasingly looking like 'Brexit' will never actually happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 05, 2016, 03:47:25 PM
Quote from: GJL on September 05, 2016, 03:43:29 PM
Increasingly looking like 'Brexit' will never actually happen.
I think there is too much downside.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: CiKe on September 05, 2016, 04:17:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 05, 2016, 06:53:33 AM

The UK can save GBP350m a week if it leaves the EU

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/72aa537a-7116-11e6-a0c9-1365ce54b926.htm
A fifth of investment banking revenues in the City of London will be disrupted by a "hard Brexit" scenario that leaves the sector with restricted access to the EU single market, according to early estimates by the industry.

Maybe I am missing something but how does that article support claim  UK can save 350mn a week? Or is the comment sarcastic? Genuinely not sure as you are generally bashing financial services
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 05, 2016, 04:34:11 PM
Quote from: CiKe on September 05, 2016, 04:17:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 05, 2016, 06:53:33 AM

The UK can save GBP350m a week if it leaves the EU

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/72aa537a-7116-11e6-a0c9-1365ce54b926.htm
A fifth of investment banking revenues in the City of London will be disrupted by a "hard Brexit" scenario that leaves the sector with restricted access to the EU single market, according to early estimates by the industry.

Maybe I am missing something but how does that article support claim  UK can save 350mn a week? Or is the comment sarcastic? Genuinely not sure as you are generally bashing financial services

Sarcasm... That was Leave's main argument that we gave Europe £350m a week which would be better spent on NHS, Schools etc.

It was a load of horsehit as anybody with half a brain would know. Now the UK are getting pushed around by Japan and the USA telling them what they need to do but sure they have their independence!!  ::) ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 05, 2016, 06:22:28 PM
I often think seafoid's contributions resemble that of a bot and am not sure if they merit much thought!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 05, 2016, 06:44:22 PM
Quote from: CiKe on September 05, 2016, 04:17:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 05, 2016, 06:53:33 AM

The UK can save GBP350m a week if it leaves the EU

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/72aa537a-7116-11e6-a0c9-1365ce54b926.htm
A fifth of investment banking revenues in the City of London will be disrupted by a "hard Brexit" scenario that leaves the sector with restricted access to the EU single market, according to early estimates by the industry.

Maybe I am missing something but how does that article support claim  UK can save 350mn a week? Or is the comment sarcastic? Genuinely not sure as you are generally bashing financial services
People were sold a pup with Brexit
The City is one of the main drivers of the UK economy and they have no idea what happens next. London could lose thousands of well paid jobs. Brexit is insane.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 05, 2016, 10:44:42 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 05, 2016, 06:22:28 PM
I often think seafoid's contributions resemble that of a bot and am not sure if they merit much thought!

100%
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 06, 2016, 01:01:04 PM
UK trade with the EU

https://www.uktradeinfo.com/Statistics/OverseasTradeStatistics/Pages/EU_and_Non-EU_Data.aspx

Brexit is so stupid
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 09, 2016, 09:08:41 PM
http://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/global/en/2014/jun/EUScenarios_UKMembership_OliverWymanResearch.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 09, 2016, 11:49:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 09, 2016, 09:08:41 PM
http://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/global/en/2014/jun/EUScenarios_UKMembership_OliverWymanResearch.pdf

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 10, 2016, 11:38:46 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 09, 2016, 11:49:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 09, 2016, 09:08:41 PM
http://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/global/en/2014/jun/EUScenarios_UKMembership_OliverWymanResearch.pdf

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
You should read the last page. NI's 9bn comes in large part from London profits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 11, 2016, 12:08:56 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 10, 2016, 11:38:46 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 09, 2016, 11:49:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 09, 2016, 09:08:41 PM
http://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/global/en/2014/jun/EUScenarios_UKMembership_OliverWymanResearch.pdf

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
You should read the last page. NI's 9bn comes in large part from London profits.

Too busy working to read it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on September 11, 2016, 12:11:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 11, 2016, 12:08:56 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 10, 2016, 11:38:46 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 09, 2016, 11:49:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 09, 2016, 09:08:41 PM
http://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/global/en/2014/jun/EUScenarios_UKMembership_OliverWymanResearch.pdf

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
You should read the last page. NI's 9bn comes in large part from London profits.

Too busy working to read it

Your not that busy that you never quit making a tool out of yourself on here
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 11, 2016, 12:13:29 AM
Quote from: Kidder81 on September 11, 2016, 12:11:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 11, 2016, 12:08:56 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 10, 2016, 11:38:46 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 09, 2016, 11:49:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 09, 2016, 09:08:41 PM
http://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/global/en/2014/jun/EUScenarios_UKMembership_OliverWymanResearch.pdf

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
You should read the last page. NI's 9bn comes in large part from London profits.

Too busy working to read it

Your not that busy that you never quit making a tool out of yourself on here

Honestly ?? You going to troll me every time? Are you six?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 11, 2016, 12:51:28 AM
I kinda laughed at it MR....simple crude nasty humour can be funny too sometimes ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 11, 2016, 12:54:25 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 11, 2016, 12:51:28 AM
I kinda laughed at it MR....simple crude nasty humour can be funny too sometimes ;D ;D ;D

Yes I'm sure it can, that's the kind of humour that young lads with low self esteem have taken for years before committing suicide... Funny as fcuk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 11, 2016, 01:17:22 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 11, 2016, 12:54:25 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 11, 2016, 12:51:28 AM
I kinda laughed at it MR....simple crude nasty humour can be funny too sometimes ;D ;D ;D

Yes I'm sure it can, that's the kind of humour that young lads with low self esteem have taken for years before committing suicide... Funny as fcuk

Jaysus steady on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 11, 2016, 02:59:05 AM
Cutbacks loom at RTE as Brexit ad hit pushes losses towards €20m

http://www.independent.ie/business/cutbacks-loom-at-rte-as-brexit-ad-hit-pushes-losses-towards-20m-35038349.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 11, 2016, 01:56:07 PM

The false promise of a free-trade paradise for Brexit Britain

Nick Clegg



May's office must be held to account on its failure to answer awkward questions, writes Nick Clegg


David Davis, flanked by his fellow Brexiters, made his first statement in Parliament this week on Britain's impending EU exit since starting his new job. It was a masterclass in speaking while saying nothing. Questions of substance were dodged by the Brexit secretary under the sensible-sounding pretext that the government wants to "take the time to get it right".

The reality is that time is not on our side. Prime Minister Theresa May has made a commitment to implement Article 50 at the beginning of 2017; from that point on, we only have two years to put everything in place to ensure a smooth transition to the sunny uplands Mr Davis told us awaits.


Brexit will make a deep mark on British life. Most importantly, it will upend our trading relationships with Europe and the rest of the world. Only 15 per cent of UK total trade is with countries that are neither members of the EU, nor covered by an EU trade agreement that is in force or under negotiation.

Brexit ministers have argued that, far from creating risk, leaving the EU will unlock growth by freeing us to sign trade agreements with whomsoever we please. Unlike Michael Gove, the pro-Brexit former justice secretary, I think we need to listen more to experts, not less. In an attempt to ensure someone is holding the government to account, I have been working with experts to find answers to the difficult questions the government is refusing to address.

Since the vote in June, we have been analysing the implications of Brexit for trade, and on Thursday I presented the findings on a platform alongside Peter Sutherland, the former founding director-general of the World Trade Organisation. The conclusions are stark. The idea that we will be signing any new trade deal in the next two years is a pipe dream because of what government officials call "sequencing". We will have to do things in a particular order and it will take time.


15%

Total UK trade with countries that are neither members of the EU, nor covered by an EU trade agreement that is either in force or under negotiation

First, Article 50 has to be triggered, which sets the clock ticking on the exit negotiations. These talks are primarily about how we disentangle ourselves from the EU. Trade discussions will start during this two-year period but they are very unlikely to conclude rapidly because of the number of issues to be resolved. While this is going on Liam Fox, international trade secretary, would like to be lining up new deals with China, India and the US. He can try but, as Australia has made clear , we will not be able to progress beyond informal talks because the UK is not legally able to sign its own agreements until it leaves the EU customs union.

In practice, no one will want to sign deals with us then either. Potential partners will want to see what trading terms we manage to negotiate with the EU before they put forward their own offer. This means waiting until a full UK-EU agreement is negotiated, which is likely to take several more years. The closest model, the EU-Canada trade agreement, was launched in 2007; it has still not been ratified .


The most likely scenario is that the UK leaves the EU without any preferential trade deal in place. We will therefore lose access to more than 50 existing free-trade agreements

A trade agreement with the EU will, in some respects, make doing business with the continent much harder. Exporters in the UK have been promised a red tape-free "Eutopia" but they have been sold a pup. Substituting Britain's current arrangement for a free-trade agreement will create a deluge of paperwork for exporters, who will have to put their products through exhaustive customs checks and comply with complex "rules of origin" to prove where their goods and component parts were manufactured.

Even with a UK-EU agreement in place, there is one further hoop to jump through. The UK will have to establish its own "schedule of commitments" — the tariffs it proposes to levy on imported goods and services — at the WTO before any country will do a deal with us. This requires negotiation with 163 other countries, any one of which could derail the process in the hope of extracting concessions.

Our analysis suggests the most likely scenario is that the UK leaves the EU without any preferential trade deal in place — and without a WTO schedule of commitments. We will therefore lose access to more than 50 existing free-trade agreements. For these reasons we recommend trying to negotiate an interim arrangement, possibly based on the Norwegian model, with continued membership of the single market but the flexibility to pursue our own trading deals.




May tells Tusk UK wants smooth EU divorce

LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 08: British Prime Minister Theresa May (L) greets the President of the European Council Donald Tusk in Downing Street on September 8, 2016 in London, England. This will be the first meeting between the two since Mrs. May became the UK prime minister, with Brexit set to feature on the agenda. (Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)

The primie minister said the UK needs time to prepare for its exit from the EU but was anxious to make it a "smooth process".

So where is the government on all of this? Not even at first base. Mr Davis breezily says it will make a decision whether to leave the customs union before Article 50 is triggered. The Conservatives are stuck between a rock and a hard place: stay in the customs union and Mr Fox's department might as well close its doors. Leave, and British exporters to the EU will be hit by a tangle of red tape.

Ministers must make their plans for Britain's trading relationships clear as soon as possible. We are in the calm before the storm. Whatever form Brexit takes, it is going to be a rough ride.

The writer is the UK's former deputy prime minister


Related Topics

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 11, 2016, 02:10:22 PM
Clegg's trade paper #Brexit #Clusterfuck

http://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/libdems/mailings/4093/attachments/original/International_trade.pdf?ftcamp=crm/email//nbe/BrusselsBrief/product&1473331526=

It is, for example, hard to see how any significant animal and animal product exports to the continent could continue given that imports to the EU have to pass through designated Border Inspection Posts, of which there are precisely none on the other side of the Channel. This is a £1.5bn export trade which would disappear overnight. And the wider £18bn food and drink export industry would be hit by significant tariffs which would inevitably damage sales on the continent. For these reasons, the Treasury estimated the cost to UK economy of the 'WTO option' as 7.5% of GDP after 15 years. The conclusion is that there is no viable 'WTO only' solution

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 11, 2016, 02:15:45 PM
Clegg's "questions that need to be answered"

1. Is it government policy that the UK will leave the EU Customs Union?
2. Is it the government's intention to seek membership of the Single Market? 7
3. Will the government come clean about the increase in red tape which awaits exporters who want to continue selling their goods into the EU post-Brexit?
4. How will the UK negotiate new WTO schedules of commitments in a reasonable timescale, given that this will require consensus of all WTO members, some of whom are likely to object?
5. How long does the government expect it will take to negotiate a Free Trade Agreement with the EU? Does it believe it can be achieved in the 2-year time frame of the article 50 negotiations?
6. What is the government's plan to prevent a highly damaging hiatus between the end of the article 50 process and the commencement of an EU FTA?
7. What will the government do to protect UK interests against the risk that ratification of the EU FTA is blocked by EU Member States?
8. Will the government confirm its determination to avoid the so-called 'WTO option', given its unworkability and the Treasury's estimate that it would reduce GDP by some 7.5%? $
9. How will the government address the fact that third countries cannot enter into meaningful negotiations with the UK until the UK's future relationship with the EU is clear and its WTO schedule of concessions agreed? What will happen to UK export markets during the hiatus in between?
10.What is the government's estimate of the increase in food prices that would result from applying EU tariff levels to imports from the EU and losing access to preferential food imports under EU agreements with third countries?
11.Does the government intend to pursue an interim agreement which preserves the UK's access to the Single Market while a comprehensive FTA is negotiated?
12.How many external trade negotiators and consultants does the government intend to recruit over the next two years, and at what projected cost?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on September 11, 2016, 04:46:13 PM
If anyone has traveled to the US recently, you will be aware that there is a pay to travel scheme, not a visa per se, but you apply, pay a fee and you are good to go through immigration.

The EU had been working on putting together a similar scheme for no EU citizens for a while. Now it turns out British citizens are likely to do the same

What will that mean on the north south border? And what will that do to the number of Irish  passports in the North?

Here's the Guardian article:

QuoteBritons could be forced to pay for permission to travel to the EU after Brexit, the home secretary has admitted, warning that the restrictions are likely to form part of the negotiations over departure.

In her first significant interview since taking over the post in July, Amber Rudd said the possible need to apply for permission to travel under a visa waiver scheme being considered by the European commission was not the preferred option but could not be discounted.

Asked on BBC1's The Andrew Marr Show on Sunday if UK nationals might be shocked to have to pay for permission to visit France, Rudd replied: "I think they would be surprised. I don't think it's particularly desirable, but we don't rule it out, because we have to be allowed a free hand to get the best negotiations."



She added: "My reaction to that is it's a reminder that this is a two-way negotiation. The EU and the commissioners may be considering issues, alternatives. They will be considering their negotiations with us, just as we are with them. But I'm going to make sure that what we do get is in the best interests of the UK."

On Saturday, the Guardian reported that as part of draft European commission legislation for the EU travel information and authorisation system (Etias), France and Germany both back a system based on the US Esta scheme, which requires visitors from countries that do not require full visas to apply online for permission to travel, preferably 72 hours before they leave, at a cost of $14

As EU citizens, though not from the Schengen free movement area, UK nationals must show a valid passport to enter the zone but can then travel freely within it. But after Brexit, British citizens could have to apply through the Etias scheme and pay to visit, legal experts told the Guardian.


Andy Burnham, the shadow home secretary, said Rudd's comments pointed to "yet another example of the drift and confusion as a result of the government's failure to plan for Brexit".

He said: "The home secretary's words will not have reassured ordinary families about the cost of Brexit. She seems to be sympathetic to an idea that will put a flat £50 tax on the average family holiday in Europe. Tory ministers might think nothing of that, but it would make it even harder for ordinary families to afford a holiday.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 11, 2016, 05:44:20 PM
Changes to Schengen visas or ESTA type schemes gave no direct effect in Ireland. The UK might want something similar for Schengen nationalities but the easiest thing to do would be to simply exclude incidental visits to NI from this. But then the logical thing to do is not to leave the EU at all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on September 12, 2016, 03:37:35 AM
I think the proposed ETIAS scheme is Europe wide. Why not Ireland? Where did you see that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 12, 2016, 07:03:48 AM
Rudd campaigned for Remain. It must be hard for her to have to speak about nonsense as if it is serious
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 12, 2016, 03:29:33 PM
Cameron to resign as MP.

Quote from: heganboy on September 12, 2016, 03:37:35 AM
I think the proposed ETIAS scheme is Europe wide. Why not Ireland? Where did you see that?

I didn't see it. But logic suggests that it only apply to Schengen, if only because the Irish government would never agree to it. I'm sure Cyprus will remain outside also.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 12, 2016, 03:50:38 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 12, 2016, 03:29:33 PM
Cameron to resign as MP.

Quote from: heganboy on September 12, 2016, 03:37:35 AM
I think the proposed ETIAS scheme is Europe wide. Why not Ireland? Where did you see that?

I didn't see it. But logic suggests that it only apply to Schengen, if only because the Irish government would never agree to it. I'm sure Cyprus will remain outside also.

Cam had 3 goals as PM

To keep Scotland in the UK
To repair the hole in the country's finances
To keep the UK in the EU

the Brexit vote changed everything
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 12, 2016, 05:53:55 PM
Would say he wants to do a Blairesque liquidation of his contacts and influence without a pesky public office to worry about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 12, 2016, 08:00:59 PM
Will he do better than Barroso and join Goldman Sachs 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 13, 2016, 11:26:17 PM
Why the delay in triggering article 50 anyway?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on September 14, 2016, 12:02:15 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 13, 2016, 11:26:17 PM
Why the delay in triggering article 50 anyway?

Because there was no plan or strategy for Brexit. There were no negotiators or even guidelines for Brexit.

In short, because they haven't a clue what they want yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 14, 2016, 05:59:28 AM
Quote from: muppet on September 14, 2016, 12:02:15 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 13, 2016, 11:26:17 PM
Why the delay in triggering article 50 anyway?

Because there was no plan or strategy for Brexit. There were no negotiators or even guidelines for Brexit.

In short, because they haven't a clue what they want yet.
Article 50 was added to the Lisbon Treaty as a decoration. It is not practical. The EU is like the Hotel California.
Cameron left article 50 to his successor on the morning after.  The Brexit crowd have a "just do it" approach but the process has no upside. The City would be decimated. That is a big chunk of the UK economy. Brexit is chaos .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 14, 2016, 06:28:06 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 14, 2016, 05:59:28 AM
Quote from: muppet on September 14, 2016, 12:02:15 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 13, 2016, 11:26:17 PM
Why the delay in triggering article 50 anyway?

Because there was no plan or strategy for Brexit. There were no negotiators or even guidelines for Brexit.

In short, because they haven't a clue what they want yet.
Article 50 was added to the Lisbon Treaty as a decoration. It is not practical. The EU is like the Hotel California.
Cameron left article 50 to his successor on the morning after.  The Brexit crowd have a "just do it" approach but the process has no upside. The City would be decimated. That is a big chunk of the UK economy. Brexit is chaos .

I never realised you felt this way Seafoid, do you think you could post up some articles explaining what's might happen if Brexit was put thru?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 14, 2016, 08:05:48 AM
There's bound to be one somewhere on the internet you've missed....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on September 14, 2016, 08:47:38 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 14, 2016, 06:28:06 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 14, 2016, 05:59:28 AM
Quote from: muppet on September 14, 2016, 12:02:15 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 13, 2016, 11:26:17 PM
Why the delay in triggering article 50 anyway?

Because there was no plan or strategy for Brexit. There were no negotiators or even guidelines for Brexit.

In short, because they haven't a clue what they want yet.
Article 50 was added to the Lisbon Treaty as a decoration. It is not practical. The EU is like the Hotel California.
Cameron left article 50 to his successor on the morning after.  The Brexit crowd have a "just do it" approach but the process has no upside. The City would be decimated. That is a big chunk of the UK economy. Brexit is chaos .

I never realised you felt this way Seafoid, do you think you could post up some articles explaining what's might happen if Brexit was put thru?

He is currently training the negotiators, doubt he'd have the time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on September 17, 2016, 04:05:45 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 14, 2016, 05:59:28 AM
Quote from: muppet on September 14, 2016, 12:02:15 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 13, 2016, 11:26:17 PM
Why the delay in triggering article 50 anyway?

Because there was no plan or strategy for Brexit. There were no negotiators or even guidelines for Brexit.

In short, because they haven't a clue what they want yet.
Article 50 was added to the Lisbon Treaty as a decoration. It is not practical. The EU is like the Hotel California.
Cameron left article 50 to his successor on the morning after.  The Brexit crowd have a "just do it" approach but the process has no upside. The City would be decimated. That is a big chunk of the UK economy. Brexit is chaos .
you can check out any time but you can never leave, living it up at the hotel California..... Respect for getting the Eagles into a brexit debate  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 02, 2016, 06:05:32 PM
The tone of things today,  i.e. all the UK together out of the single market is pretty depressing.  Are the generally useless NI politicians able to act or just sleepwalk towards chaos?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on October 02, 2016, 06:08:48 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 02, 2016, 06:05:32 PM
The tone of things today,  i.e. all the UK together out of the single market is pretty depressing.  Are the generally useless NI politicians able to act or just sleepwalk towards chaos?

What can they do, it's Clegg out all out!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 02, 2016, 07:57:28 PM
March next year to trigger Article 50.As HL Mencken said democracy is the art of giving people what they  want and giving it to them good and hard.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 03, 2016, 10:30:52 PM
 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-37545897 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-37545897)

Maybe a sign of things to come
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 05, 2016, 10:06:45 AM
It's starting . . .

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ct9Au-BWEAEXJvk.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 05, 2016, 10:53:53 AM
The UK doesn't have the trained workers to replace those they are hounding. Brexit is a psychiatric issue
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 05, 2016, 11:18:30 AM
It really is a mental thing. The Rule Britannia heads have run amok
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 05, 2016, 11:33:28 AM
England lost the plot before with Henry 8 and Cromwell. I think they were both related to economic collapse like now is
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 05, 2016, 11:47:25 AM
Will all the "foreign workers" have to wear some distinguishing mark like Jews in Nazi Germany?
Will they be herded into concentration camps and then dumped in Calais?
Has the British Labour Party list its tongue?
The extremists are fairly showing their true colours now!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 05, 2016, 11:53:41 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 05, 2016, 11:47:25 AM
Will all the "foreign workers" have to wear some distinguishing mark like Jews in Nazi Germany?
Will they be herded into concentration camps and then dumped in Calais?
Has the British Labour Party list its tongue?
The extremists are fairly showing their true colours now!
Most of the areas that vote Leave generate no economic value. The foreigners can't be replaced by Brits who are similarly qualified
unless Jeremy Kyle can train 2 million people in a fortnight
Brexit is insane
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 05, 2016, 12:04:47 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/oct/04/liam-fox-refuses-to-guarantee-right-of-eu-citizens-to-remain-in-uk

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-essex-37227313
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 05, 2016, 02:02:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 05, 2016, 11:53:41 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 05, 2016, 11:47:25 AM
Will all the "foreign workers" have to wear some distinguishing mark like Jews in Nazi Germany?
Will they be herded into concentration camps and then dumped in Calais?
Has the British Labour Party list its tongue?
The extremists are fairly showing their true colours now!
Most of the areas that vote Leave generate no economic value. The foreigners can't be replaced by Brits who are similarly qualified
unless Jeremy Kyle can train 2 million people in a fortnight
Brexit is insane

;D enjoyed that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 07, 2016, 07:12:54 PM
http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/uk/non-british-academics-told-by-foreign-office-brexit-advice-not-wanted-1.2821291?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter (http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/uk/non-british-academics-told-by-foreign-office-brexit-advice-not-wanted-1.2821291?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter)

Britain's foreign office has told non-British academics that it no longer wants their advice on Brexit, citing national security considerations. The move was revealed in a tweet from Sara Hagemann, a Danish-born EU expert at the London School of Economics (LSE).
"UK govt previously sought work & advice from best experts. Just told I & many colleagues no longer qualify as not UK citizens," she tweeted.
The foreign office did not immediately comment on reports that it had written to the LSE to say it no longer wanted non-British academics working on projects which advised the government on Brexit.


Jingoism is very contagious. See Germany in the 1930s and Trump rallies for evidence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 07, 2016, 07:16:33 PM
I would love to hear Pep and Klopp's thinking on Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 08, 2016, 08:52:03 AM
Brexit is insane unless the point is to destroy the protection workers have under EU law.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on October 08, 2016, 10:19:14 PM
Wtf was all that "Border Counties against Brexit" today about,with mock customs posts etc? Surely the SDLP, who heavily participated are not reneging on their oath of allegiance to the Queen,or their belief that the Good Friday Agreement,which gave formal acceptance of British Rule in the North was "Sunningdale for slow learners?".

Today's exercise in utter futility was akin to a Donegal Councillor's plea for the UK to join the euro,back in 2008, to stem the tide of people flocking over the border to the North to avail of favourable sterling exchange rates?

When will the numbskulls in so called Irish Nationalist Political Parties North and South realise that they are primarily responsible for any hard borders etc in Ireland as a result of Brexit as they fully consented and still consent to British Rule in the North?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 08, 2016, 11:25:05 PM
Tony, your ramblings are starting to contradict each other. It is precisely because people support the GFA that they are opposing the British reneging on it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nigel White on October 09, 2016, 12:01:53 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on October 08, 2016, 10:19:14 PM
Wtf was all that "Border Counties against Brexit" today about,with mock customs posts etc? Surely the SDLP, who heavily participated are not reneging on their oath of allegiance to the Queen,or their belief that the Good Friday Agreement,which gave formal acceptance of British Rule in the North was "Sunningdale for slow learners?".

Today's exercise in utter futility was akin to a Donegal Councillor's plea for the UK to join the euro,back in 2008, to stem the tide of people flocking over the border to the North to avail of favourable sterling exchange rates?

When will the numbskulls in so called Irish Nationalist Political Parties North and South realise that they are primarily responsible for any hard borders etc in Ireland as a result of Brexit as they fully consented and still consent to British Rule in the North?
Did you express those opinions to David Simpson and Peter Robnson when you got photographed with them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 09, 2016, 12:12:40 AM
So Tony if the Nationalist parties North and South didn't sign up to the GFA, would that mean the Brits would now be gone and we'd have no border. Or would they gave stayed in the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on October 09, 2016, 06:49:29 AM
The GFA should have protected Irish Sovereignty.That way Nationalist Ireland could now have negotiated directly with the EU on Brexit,on the basis of the North being effectively "occupied" by Britain against the wishes of the majority of people on the island. This position is now redundant because so called Nationalist Ireland agrees that the North should be ruled by Britain.

This means that Ireland is tagged on to the British negotiations without influence and highly likely also to alienate its European partners.

That makes yesterday farcical and futile.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 06:54:38 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on October 09, 2016, 06:49:29 AM
The GFA should have protected Irish Sovereignty.That way Nationalist Ireland could now have negotiated directly with the EU on Brexit,on the basis of the North being effectively "occupied" by Britain against the wishes of the majority of people on the island. This position is now redundant because so called Nationalist Ireland agrees that the North should be ruled by Britain.

This means that Ireland is tagged on to the British negotiations without influence and highly likely also to alienate its European partners.

That makes yesterday farcical and futile.
The future is a long play.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Arthur_Friend on October 09, 2016, 10:10:33 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on October 09, 2016, 06:49:29 AM
The GFA should have protected Irish Sovereignty.That way Nationalist Ireland could now have negotiated directly with the EU on Brexit,on the basis of the North being effectively "occupied" by Britain against the wishes of the majority of people on the island. This position is now redundant because so called Nationalist Ireland agrees that the North should be ruled by Britain.

This means that Ireland is tagged on to the British negotiations without influence and highly likely also to alienate its European partners.

That makes yesterday farcical and futile.

You must have voted no in the GFA referendum in 1998?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 10:29:34 AM
What is your favourite Brexit quote ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 11:00:15 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 10:29:34 AM
What is your favourite Brexit quote ?

That we are going to lose our jobs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 09, 2016, 11:45:15 AM
Some people will lose their jobs,  others will just find that they wages don't buy as much.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 12:13:06 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 09, 2016, 11:45:15 AM
Some people will lose their jobs,  others will just find that they wages don't buy as much.
Brexit means driving down wages free of human rights legislation. Those Euro bastards protect workers too.much. Maybe after 5 years of Brexit deflation NI can be IPOed and bought by Dublin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 09, 2016, 03:28:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 11:00:15 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 10:29:34 AM
What is your favourite Brexit quote ?

That we are going to lose our jobs

A distinct possibility for many who work in the Export business in the South where our customer base was in the UK!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on October 09, 2016, 03:34:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 11:00:15 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 10:29:34 AM
What is your favourite Brexit quote ?

That we are going to lose our jobs

Do you not constantly get paid off, no worries to you then except who is going to wash your car come 2019!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 03:45:56 PM
Are they all favourite quotes??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 05:07:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 09, 2016, 11:45:15 AM
Some people will lose their jobs,  others will just find that they wages don't buy as much.
Inflation via sterling depreciation rather than payrises mean living standards are going to fall. With a 6% budget deficit sterling will go considerably lower.
Unionists are loyal to an insane Government in London.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 05:38:48 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 05:07:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 09, 2016, 11:45:15 AM
Some people will lose their jobs,  others will just find that they wages don't buy as much.
Inflation via sterling depreciation rather than payrises mean living standards are going to fall. With a 6% budget deficit sterling will go considerably lower.
Unionists are loyal to an insane Government in London.

Government or daft public that voted for it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 09, 2016, 05:54:53 PM
Government allowed public to vote on it. That should never have happened.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 06:19:03 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 09, 2016, 05:54:53 PM
Government allowed public to vote on it. That should never have happened.

I doubt there was really a choice, be like saying they shouldn't have any referendums over anything in case it goes the wrong way!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 09, 2016, 06:27:59 PM
It really is something the people who are voted in, financial experts etc should be deciding.

Though i could be thinking that because i didn't like the outcome mind you.

It was electioneering by cameron to give the referendum and he had to carry it through. Not sure he really wanted a vote either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 06:41:40 PM
Cameron was inept. He called the referendum under pressure from UKIP as a way to unify the Tory party.
Farage resigned after he saw his life's work vidicated. The Tory part adopted the 2 policies he had been hammering away at for the last decade. Brexit and Grammar schools.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 06:50:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 06:41:40 PM
Cameron was inept. He called the referendum under pressure from UKIP as a way to unify the Tory party.
Farage resigned after he saw his life's work vidicated. The Tory part adopted the 2 policies he had been hammering away at for the last decade. Brexit and Grammar schools.

There are no grammar schools in Britain as far as I know. Only in the north
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 08:06:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 06:50:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 06:41:40 PM
Cameron was inept. He called the referendum under pressure from UKIP as a way to unify the Tory party.
Farage resigned after he saw his life's work vidicated. The Tory part adopted the 2 policies he had been hammering away at for the last decade. Brexit and Grammar schools.
May is bringing them back.

There are no grammar schools in Britain as far as I know. Only in the north
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 08:32:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 08:06:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 06:50:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 06:41:40 PM
Cameron was inept. He called the referendum under pressure from UKIP as a way to unify the Tory party.
Farage resigned after he saw his life's work vidicated. The Tory part adopted the 2 policies he had been hammering away at for the last decade. Brexit and Grammar schools.
May is bringing them back.

There are no grammar schools in Britain as far as I know. Only in the north

Makes no difference to here. Many schools stream anyways, and what's has this to do with brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 09, 2016, 09:13:17 PM
What makes a Grammar a Grammar? Where do the numerous fee paying schools land in terms of classification? Grammar++ ethos surely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 09:18:19 PM
All schools have fees of some sort!! I'm never done paying out to too schools!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 10:02:47 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 08:32:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 08:06:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 06:50:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 06:41:40 PM
Cameron was inept. He called the referendum under pressure from UKIP as a way to unify the Tory party.
Farage resigned after he saw his life's work vidicated. The Tory part adopted the 2 policies he had been hammering away at for the last decade. Brexit and Grammar schools.
May is bringing them back.

There are no grammar schools in Britain as far as I know. Only in the north

Makes no difference to here. Many schools stream anyways, and what's has this to do with brexit?
UKIP thinking runs the Tory party now
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhzFh_hs5Oc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 09, 2016, 11:50:12 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 10:02:47 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 08:32:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 08:06:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 09, 2016, 06:50:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2016, 06:41:40 PM
Cameron was inept. He called the referendum under pressure from UKIP as a way to unify the Tory party.
Farage resigned after he saw his life's work vidicated. The Tory part adopted the 2 policies he had been hammering away at for the last decade. Brexit and Grammar schools.
May is bringing them back.

There are no grammar schools in Britain as far as I know. Only in the north

Makes no difference to here. Many schools stream anyways, and what's has this to do with brexit?
UKIP thinking runs the Tory party now
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhzFh_hs5Oc

Sure Farage was a Tory originally wasn't he?

There's always been an undercurrent of that thinking in the party only Farage decided to leave the Tories and bring it out for everyone to see in its horrific splendour. The fact UKIP are doing what they're doing probably makes it easier for some of the sc**bag Tories to spout similar nonsense and actually get heard!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 10, 2016, 12:41:21 PM
Even if this scenario is accepted here it won't apply to EU citizens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 11, 2016, 05:16:13 AM
Quare leak!
Control over our economy, or what's left of it, no control on immigration. That's exactly what people voted for...
Oh wait a minute...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 11, 2016, 11:22:39 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 11, 2016, 05:16:13 AM
Quare leak!
Control over our economy, or what's left of it, no control on immigration. That's exactly what people voted for...
Oh wait a minute...

The US already has a border presence in Ireland. This is not only seen as a good thing by all travellers to the States, but as a serious competitive advantage for our airports. I have seen the histerical reaction on twitter to the story mentioned and sometimes I despair. This border co-operation is to avoid the re-imposition of the 6 counties border, is that what people want?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2016, 11:27:24 AM
Sterling is down again.
It looks like the markets are playing a game of chicken with the Tory lunatics

Russian roulette is not the same without a gun
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bESGLojNYSo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on October 11, 2016, 12:20:26 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 11:22:39 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 11, 2016, 05:16:13 AM
Quare leak!
Control over our economy, or what's left of it, no control on immigration. That's exactly what people voted for...
Oh wait a minute...

The US already has a border presence in Ireland. This is not only seen as a good thing by all travellers to the States, but as a serious competitive advantage for our airports. I have seen the histerical reaction on twitter to the story mentioned and sometimes I despair. This border co-operation is to avoid the re-imposition of the 6 counties border, is that what people want?

The US Border Preclearance is only if you're travelling onwards to the States though, rather than for anyone arriving in Ireland which is my understanding of the British proposal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 11, 2016, 12:42:06 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on October 11, 2016, 12:20:26 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 11:22:39 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 11, 2016, 05:16:13 AM
Quare leak!
Control over our economy, or what's left of it, no control on immigration. That's exactly what people voted for...
Oh wait a minute...

The US already has a border presence in Ireland. This is not only seen as a good thing by all travellers to the States, but as a serious competitive advantage for our airports. I have seen the histerical reaction on twitter to the story mentioned and sometimes I despair. This border co-operation is to avoid the re-imposition of the 6 counties border, is that what people want?

The US Border Preclearance is only if you're travelling onwards to the States though, rather than for anyone arriving in Ireland which is my understanding of the British proposal.

US CBP is a separate area for those relevant passengers.

I would guess for Europe we would now have 3 channels on arrival:

1) Irish + British citizens
2) EU Citizens
3) All others

All this does is split the current 'EU citizens' channel in two. The usual suspects will jump up and down about sovereignty but the US CBP being on Irish soil is much the same thing. The alternative is to reinstate the border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 11, 2016, 01:13:08 PM
Ah, I was actually aiming at the GDP numbers

http://news.sky.com/story/hard-brexit-may-cost-16366bn-a-year-leaked-papers-warn-10613112
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2016, 01:13:49 PM
 "The new British government under prime minister Theresa May appears to have chosen an economic course which could bear substantial risks," said Hans Redeker, strategist at Morgan Stanley.
Noting that rhetoric against the "international elite" would not help fund the UK's 6 per cent of GDP current account deficit, Mr Redeker said: "The substantial foreign funding needs should make authorities nurse the supply side of the economy. The opposite seems to be taking place with 'hard Brexit' talk adding to the problem."


If there is one big lesson to draw from the surprising success of the Brexit campaign it is surely that Britain's political class has consistently underestimated the negative consequences — psychological, economic and social — of greater global (and European) interconnection on poorer people.


David Cameron took a huge gamble and lost. The fearmongering and outright lies of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, Nigel Farage, The Sun and the Daily Mail have won. The UK, Europe, the west and the world are damaged. The UK is diminished and seems likely soon to be divided. Europe has lost its second-biggest and most outward-looking power. The hinge between the EU and the English-speaking powers has been snapped. This is probably the most disastrous single event in British history since the second world war.

https://www.ft.com/content/25753b12-8f05-11e6-8df8-d3778b55a923

"British government bonds are being pulled into the Brexit-related sell-off that has sent the pound to its lowest levels in three decades, with investors warily eyeing gilts as the next market facing volatility following Friday's flash crash in sterling.

The pound has fallen 19 per cent against the dollar since the vote for Brexit, increasing the prospect of inflation and raising questions about the negative effect it could have on the country's ability to finance itself through overseas investment.
This has damped appetite for gilts, pushing down prices and sending the yield on benchmark 10-year gilts to as high as 1.02 per cent on Monday — the highest level since late June. Prices and yields for bonds move in opposite directions as lower prices push up borrowing costs"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mwxga8udIio
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 11, 2016, 01:32:56 PM
Quote from: heganboy on October 11, 2016, 01:13:08 PM
Ah, I was actually aiming at the GDP numbers

http://news.sky.com/story/hard-brexit-may-cost-16366bn-a-year-leaked-papers-warn-10613112

Apologies, I thought you were responding to AQMP's link on border control.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2016, 02:05:27 PM
£66 bn is less than £350 a week according to the Sun.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 03:22:53 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 12:42:06 PM
I would guess for Europe we would now have 3 channels on arrival:

1) Irish + British citizens
2) EU Citizens
3) All others

All this does is split the current 'EU citizens' channel in two. The usual suspects will jump up and down about sovereignty but the US CBP being on Irish soil is much the same thing. The alternative is to reinstate the border.

This idea isn't a runner as far as I can see, puttting EU citizens in an inferior queue is not a reasonable proposition. Not sure if UK citizens can be allowed stay in the EU queue, probably not. 


QuoteThe alternative is to reinstate the border.

This would not be "reinstatement", as there was never passport type control on the border. It is also entirely infeasible, the only feasible controls are at a Stranraer and Liverpool.

The whole Guardian article was mere distraction from the real customs type issues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2016, 03:33:43 PM
The most fascinating thing about Brexit for me is that it is England that is fucked this time. Not Oireland. England usually wins. But Thatcherism has broken it. Having pity for the Tans is a new thing for me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 11, 2016, 04:03:04 PM
Can't be many Black n Tans left by now ;D
Unless you mean O'Hara and Maughan.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 11, 2016, 04:34:01 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 03:22:53 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 12:42:06 PM
I would guess for Europe we would now have 3 channels on arrival:

1) Irish + British citizens
2) EU Citizens
3) All others

All this does is split the current 'EU citizens' channel in two. The usual suspects will jump up and down about sovereignty but the US CBP being on Irish soil is much the same thing. The alternative is to reinstate the border.

This idea isn't a runner as far as I can see, puttting EU citizens in an inferior queue is not a reasonable proposition. Not sure if UK citizens can be allowed stay in the EU queue, probably not. 


We all ready have that when we travel to a Schengen country, which is most of the EU excluding Britain and Ireland.

Quote
QuoteThe alternative is to reinstate the border.

This would not be "reinstatement", as there was never passport type control on the border. It is also entirely infeasible, the only feasible controls are at a Stranraer and Liverpool.

That was before Ireland joined the EU.

Quote

The whole Guardian article was mere distraction from the real customs type issues.
These are very, very real border issues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 11, 2016, 04:37:08 PM
Will customs huts and stops not have to be reinstated anyway, which for all intents and purposes makes the border as 'hard' as it would be for passports?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 11, 2016, 04:44:02 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on October 11, 2016, 04:37:08 PM
Will customs huts and stops not have to be reinstated anyway, which for all intents and purposes makes the border as 'hard' as it would be for passports?

Not if we agree a common travel area, hence the talk about common border controls at the ports + airports.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 05:42:30 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 04:34:01 PM
We all ready have that when we travel to a Schengen country, which is most of the EU excluding Britain and Ireland.


We don't. All EU persons entering Schengen stand in the same queue. Those already in Schengen have no queue.
QuoteThe alternative is to reinstate the border.

Quote
Not if we agree a common travel area, hence the talk about common border controls at the ports + airports.

These common controls are fine for non EU citizens, such things already exist and this should be expanded. However, for EU citizens they can come into Dublin without being asked their business and this will continue, when it might not in London.

Quote from: haranguerer on October 11, 2016, 04:37:08 PM
Will customs huts and stops not have to be reinstated anyway, which for all intents and purposes makes the border as 'hard' as it would be for passports?

There were never more than 16 or 18 huts. Why would a person choose to travel that way if their papers were not in order? There is no question of custom huts anyhow, they wouldn't last a day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 11, 2016, 05:46:48 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 05:42:30 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 04:34:01 PM
We all ready have that when we travel to a Schengen country, which is most of the EU excluding Britain and Ireland.


We don't. All EU persons entering Schengen stand in the same queue. Those already in Schengen have no queue.

Ah, so then there are 3 queues:

1) Schengen arrival
2) EU but non-Schengen arrival
3) Non-EU arrival.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 06:15:10 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 05:46:48 PM
1) Schengen arrival
2) EU but non-Schengen arrival
3) Non-EU arrival.

You should travel more.

Schengen arrivals don't have any formalities, except some now introduced following Angel Merkel inviting all of Asia and Africa to come to Germany, these mainly apply to Black people.

Other arrivals face two queues, one EEA and one non EEA. The British have yet to decide in which queue they will be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on October 11, 2016, 06:17:39 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 05:42:30 PM


There were never more than 16 or 18 huts. Why would a person choose to travel that way if their papers were not in order? There is no question of custom huts anyhow, they wouldn't last a day.

(https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com/images/I/511TW%2B8mPML.jpg)

Seems an apt image.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 06:25:20 PM
(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-niJh2o2z0M0/U3zNahbHWYI/AAAAAAAABck/oVoHzDu_h8w/s1600/Customs+buildings+-+Killeen+Border+Post+after+a+visit+from+the+IRA.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 11, 2016, 07:35:02 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 06:15:10 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 05:46:48 PM
1) Schengen arrival
2) EU but non-Schengen arrival
3) Non-EU arrival.

You should travel more.

Schengen arrivals don't have any formalities, except some now introduced following Angel Merkel inviting all of Asia and Africa to come to Germany, these mainly apply to Black people.

Other arrivals face two queues, one EEA and one non EEA. The British have yet to decide in which queue they will be.

You don't seem to understand the issue at all. If you think crossing from France into Spain is comparable you are missing the point completely. Firstly all arrivals are from people already in a Schengen country (thus they have already been screened to be in all countries in the Schengen area)  and secondly, there is a land border between the countries involved - so at that border there are no arrivals from non-Schengen or non-EU areas.

Ireland and Britain are island so there are no arrivals other than via ports and airports.

The key issue for us will be what happens travellers to Ireland and from Ireland.

At the moment arrivals into Ireland split into two lines (because we are non-Schengen):

1) EU (Including Irish citizens, Brits and the rest of EU)
2) Non-Eu

While arriving in Schengen countries you have

1) Schengen (you seem to think this is no hassle, however every airport and seaport has to have dedicated arrival areas for Schengen arrivals to keep them seperate from the rest - these passengers cannot mix with the others until the others have been cleared to enter the Schengen area)
2) non-Schengen EU
3) Non-EU

I think we will deal with Britain and the EU to have something similar for arrivals:

1) Britain and Ireland travel area
2) EU (without Ireland)
3) non-EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2016, 08:03:28 PM
Xenon
7 hours ago


So, the reactionary electorate that wanted a return to the 'good old days' have their way. Sterling crisis, steepening gilt yield curve, rising inflation expectations to be followed by rising inflation, government poised for fiscal stimulus...it is 1971 again. Happy days are here again...

chaswaobler
6 hours ago


@Xenon I remember the 70's was pretty appalling. And that's before the fashion crimes.

Italianstallion
5 hours ago


Yes. The food was disgusting for a start
UK tech SME
59 minutes ago


@Xenon Let's join the EEC.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 08:19:40 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 07:35:02 PM
I think we will deal with Britain and the EU to have something similar for arrivals:

1) Britain and Ireland travel area
2) EU (without Ireland)
3) non-EU.

This would be very wise and only bad design in Dublin airport has made this difficult. However, my point is that this does not make a great deal of difference to the actual issue, which is presumably that the EU arrivals will take the bus to Belfast and get the ferry.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 11, 2016, 08:39:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 11, 2016, 03:33:43 PM
The most fascinating thing about Brexit for me is that it is England that is fucked this time. Not Oireland. England usually wins. But Thatcherism has broken it. Having pity for the Tans is a new thing for me.

Has Ireland paid off their debt yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 08:48:13 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 11, 2016, 08:39:13 PM
Has Ireland paid off their debt yet?

Has any nation paid off its debt?
I think they had a small amount of bonds in Sterling, they'll be able to pay these off with a couple of €500 notes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 11, 2016, 09:14:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 08:48:13 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 11, 2016, 08:39:13 PM
Has Ireland paid off their debt yet?

Has any nation paid off its debt?
I think they had a small amount of bonds in Sterling, they'll be able to pay these off with a couple of €500 notes.

Christ some going, from nearly being bankrupt to owing €500 notes is some turnaround!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 11, 2016, 10:12:31 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 08:19:40 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 07:35:02 PM
I think we will deal with Britain and the EU to have something similar for arrivals:

1) Britain and Ireland travel area
2) EU (without Ireland)
3) non-EU.

This would be very wise and only bad design in Dublin airport has made this difficult. However, my point is that this does not make a great deal of difference to the actual issue, which is presumably that the EU arrivals will take the bus to Belfast and get the ferry.

I agree regarding the design of Dublin, but it applies to the others as well.

My point is that EU arrivals in (e.g.) Dublin Airport will be cleared to enter either:

1) Ireland AND the UK

Or

2) Just Ireland (26 counties)

If it is the former, then what you suggest will be the case. However, in the latter case we will have a full border on this island in every sense of the word.

There may be a half-way house possible (i.e. Ireland is 32 counties for movement of people), but the hardline being spouted from London, not to mention Unionists makes this seem very unlikely to me.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2016, 10:25:38 PM
The Tories destroyed the UK economy.  Brexit is the piece de resistance


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f89e774a-7956-11e4-9567-00144feabdc0.html#ixzz3Kw9RyreM
December 3, 2014 6:59 pm
Autumn Statement: A political chancellor's delusional plan
Martin WolfAuthor alerts

Economic priority was never fiscal austerity; it was growth

How well has George Osborne, and the coalition government whose economic policies the chancellor has overseen, managed the public finances and economy since 2010? How reasonable are his plans for the next term? The last Autumn Statement before the general election raises these big questions. Start with the past. The chancellor keeps repeating that the crisis he inherited was mainly fiscal. Since public sector net borrowing was 11.1 per cent of gross domestic product in 2009-10, this seemed plausible. In delivering the Autumn Statement, the chancellor duly asked whether "we squander the economic security we have gained, go back to the disastrous decisions on spending and borrowing and welfare that got us into this mess".

The proposition that the crisis was fiscal has allowed the chancellor to blame Labour profligacy, rather than a widely shared failure to appreciate the fragility of an economy based on financial services and soaring private debt. The implication was also that fiscal austerity was essential. In his first Budget in June 2010, Mr Osborne duly promised to reduce public sector net borrowing to just 1.1 per cent of GDP by 2015-16.
In the event, net borrowing will still be 4 per cent of GDP next year on the latest forecasts from the Office for Budgetary Responsibility. As a result, public sector net debt, which according to forecasts in 2010 was supposed to peak at 70.3 per cent of GDP in 2013-14, will instead peak at 81.1 per cent in 2015-16.
The fact that the government has failed to meet its initial fiscal objectives while still being able to borrow very cheaply proves that the fiscal hysteria was exaggerated. The economic priority for the UK was never fiscal austerity; it was securing growth.
Given this, actual economic performance has been both welcome and disturbing: welcome for the remarkable growth of employment; but disturbing, in the OBR's own words, for the fact that "wage and productivity growth have once again disappointed". Moreover, the growth is not filtering through to big increases in government revenue. This is part of the reason why deficits have remained so large in spite of the discipline over spending. Thus, from the point of view of both fiscal revenues and the generation of sustained rises in standards of living, the "long-term economic plan" has not been working. To illustrate: by 2020, on the OBR's forecasts, gross domestic product will be 17 per cent smaller than it would have been if the 1990-2007 trend had continued.
Now turn to the future. In keeping with the view that the UK challenge remains essentially fiscal, the chancellor promises to deliver an overall fiscal surplus by 2018-19. Indeed, he plans to introduce a Charter for Budget Responsibility to reinforce the commitment. The purpose of such hortatory legislation is, however, purely political.

Crucially, Mr Osborne plans to deliver the needed fiscal adjustment via further cuts in spending. It is vital to understand the implications of such plans. They do far more than aim for an overall fiscal surplus. They also propose extraordinary cuts in spending. As the OBR notes, "Between 2009-10 and 2019-20, spending on public services, administration and grants by central government is projected to fall from 21.2 per cent to 12.6 per cent of GDP and from £5,650 to £3,880 per head in 2014-15 prices". About 40 per cent of these cuts are planned for this parliament; another 60 per cent comes during the next. Spending is projected to fall to 35.2 per cent of GDP by 2019-20 – taking it, quite possibly, to its lowest share in 80 years.
If achieved, that level will prove unsustainable. Taxes will have to rise if the target of an overall fiscal surplus is to be sustained. Alternatively, as the Labour party argues, the goal needs to shift to a surplus on the current budget, which excludes public investment.
The justification for a fiscal surplus is that public debt needs to be lowered to cope with future shocks. But that is far from the only risk to economic stability. The mistake, yet again, is to treat the UK economy's past and prospective risks as fiscal. They are also financial.

The UK ran a current account deficit of close to 5 per cent of GDP in the third quarter. The OBR believes, optimistically, that this will fall below 2 per cent of GDP by 2020, when the government's financial surplus will be 1.5 per cent of GDP. According to the OBR, by then the household sector will be running a financial deficit of more than 3 per cent of GDP, a swing of 4.6 per cent of GDP from its surplus in the third quarter of 2014.
If, as seems more likely, the current account deficit will remain far higher, the household's financial deficit will need to be much bigger still. This is unlikely to occur without another housing-linked credit boom. Yet this obvious risk with the planned move into overall fiscal surplus is being ignored.
This is not to deny that the fiscal position matters. But the overwhelming priority it has been given by this chancellor in explaining the crisis is a mistake driven by politics. What matters still more is the inability of the economy to generate rapid productivity growth and avoid a return to the debt-driven demand of pre-crisis years. On this, the "economic plan" has little to say.
The chancellor can respond that the opposition also has next to nothing to say on these risks. That is true. The debate on policy in the run-up to the general election is utterly dispiriting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 11:24:33 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 10:12:31 PM

There may be a half-way house possible (i.e. Ireland is 32 counties for movement of people), but the hardline being spouted from London, not to mention Unionists makes this seem very unlikely to me.

No mainstream Unionist has called for any border controls. This would bring NI back to the 70s in political terms. But  there is a reason why border controls have been removed on long standing legitimate borders across Europe, that would be  because they don't work. The only place they would work is in GB.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 12, 2016, 12:03:13 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 11:24:33 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 10:12:31 PM

There may be a half-way house possible (i.e. Ireland is 32 counties for movement of people), but the hardline being spouted from London, not to mention Unionists makes this seem very unlikely to me.

No mainstream Unionist has called for any border controls. This would bring NI back to the 70s in political terms. But  there is a reason why border controls have been removed on long standing legitimate borders across Europe, that would be  because they don't work. The only place they would work is in GB.

Really?

You will have to explain that to me. I thought it was all down to the formation of the EU. 

Also, can you forward your answer to a D. Trump and all those other daft countries with borders.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 12, 2016, 12:15:25 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 12:03:13 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2016, 11:24:33 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 10:12:31 PM

There may be a half-way house possible (i.e. Ireland is 32 counties for movement of people), but the hardline being spouted from London, not to mention Unionists makes this seem very unlikely to me.

No mainstream Unionist has called for any border controls. This would bring NI back to the 70s in political terms. But  there is a reason why border controls have been removed on long standing legitimate borders across Europe, that would be  because they don't work. The only place they would work is in GB.

Really?

You will have to explain that to me. I thought it was all down to the formation of the EU. 

Also, can you forward your answer to a D. Trump and all those other daft countries with borders.

Don't be obtuse. Iceland, Switzerland and Norway are in Schengen without being in the EU. Trump has made the point that you need a giant wall to make it work.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 12, 2016, 12:20:51 AM
Don't be obtuse yourself. Please show why borders don't work and that this is the reason why long-standing borders in the EU have been removed?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 12, 2016, 12:30:10 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 12:20:51 AM
Don't be obtuse yourself. Please show why borders don't work and that this is the reason why long-standing borders in the EU have been removed?

It isn't rocket science, if your papers aren't in order you just walk across a field, unless there is a wall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 12, 2016, 12:58:12 AM
Drive from Belturbet to Clones - you cross an "International frontier" 4 times.
Also the main road through Culloville.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on October 12, 2016, 07:56:25 AM
Stand back and look at the real risk here - EU citizens are unlikely to want to come to the UK as they won't get work permits or benefits as they won't legally be here. Isn't that the main complaint of Little Englanders ("stealing our jobs" etc)?
Customs is likely to be the big issue IMHO and hard to see how that will be dealt with without a border a la Switzerland. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 12, 2016, 09:46:07 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 04:44:02 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on October 11, 2016, 04:37:08 PM
Will customs huts and stops not have to be reinstated anyway, which for all intents and purposes makes the border as 'hard' as it would be for passports?

Not if we agree a common travel area, hence the talk about common border controls at the ports + airports.

A common travel area surely doesn't mean there wouldn't be any duty on goods passing between the EU and the UK??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 12, 2016, 10:32:15 AM
Tory grandee's take in it. Not so much dripping with sarcasm as flowing with it.

Brexit ministers may find 'answers which escaped me' - Lord Heseltine - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-parliaments-37622299
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 12, 2016, 11:00:34 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on October 12, 2016, 09:46:07 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 11, 2016, 04:44:02 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on October 11, 2016, 04:37:08 PM
Will customs huts and stops not have to be reinstated anyway, which for all intents and purposes makes the border as 'hard' as it would be for passports?

Not if we agree a common travel area, hence the talk about common border controls at the ports + airports.

A common travel area surely doesn't mean there wouldn't be any duty on goods passing between the EU and the UK??

You would hope not, I agree it is very difficult to see how we can work that, but there has always been some arbitrage due to the difference in currencies for one. But if the Brits want us to have border checks at our ports rather than at the 'border', then we will have to come to some arrangement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2016, 11:09:25 AM
Chairman May has agreed to a parliamentary debate. Most MPs are pro Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 12, 2016, 11:47:01 AM
UK may still have to contribute £5bn to EU for access to Single Market

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-37627308

Buying access could be a decent option, hard sell to the public but they might be able to sell it on being able to better control immigration.

Money talks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 12, 2016, 01:50:22 PM
I presume big business will wind May and her Nazis back from their nonsense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 12, 2016, 02:45:06 PM
I would say so. There'll be a slew of conciliatory media leaked messages in the coming days & weeks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2016, 02:56:32 PM
Brexit will be strangled with the guts of the Tory party.
Bevan was right.

No attempt at ethical or social seduction can eradicate from my heart a deep burning hatred for the Tory Party. So far as I am concerned they are lower than vermin.
Read more at: http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/a/aneurin_bevan.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 12, 2016, 04:46:54 PM
(https://static.independent.co.uk/s3fs-public/styles/story_large/public/thumbnails/image/2016/07/08/14/pound-loser-argentine-peso-cropped.jpg)

Worst performing currency in the world in 2006. At what point do people start marching? May and her cohorts are complete spoofers and are floundering badly. They have gone back to their instinctive imperialistic Tory values ('we will tell Johnny Foreigner what to do and he will do it), which are at least 150 years out out of date. She will have to row back on just about everything she said in the last week, but can Britain afford to  keep lurching from crisis to crisis, while she tries to figure what it is she is supposed to be doing?

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/pound-sterling-argentine-peso-worst-performing-currency-eu-referendum-brexit-a7127246.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/pound-sterling-argentine-peso-worst-performing-currency-eu-referendum-brexit-a7127246.html)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2016, 05:12:14 PM
Sterling is tanking again
Nordies won't be able to go to Croke Park next summer the way things are going
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 12, 2016, 05:26:59 PM
Nope

Pound steadies after recent slump - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37628354

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2016, 05:32:43 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 12, 2016, 05:26:59 PM
Nope

Pound steadies after recent slump - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37628354
Until there is a vote sterling gets it
The referendum was called to unify the Tories
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LBBni_-tMNs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 05:53:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 12, 2016, 05:12:14 PM
Sterling is tanking again
Nordies won't be able to go to Croke Park next summer the way things are going

The North is like Galway 20 years ago since brexit!! It's so tough! Price of butter has risen sharply and beer!! I'm making my own beer and wine!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 12, 2016, 06:23:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 05:53:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 12, 2016, 05:12:14 PM
Sterling is tanking again
Nordies won't be able to go to Croke Park next summer the way things are going

The North is like Galway 20 years ago since brexit!! It's so tough! Price of butter has risen sharply and beer!! I'm making my own beer and wine!!

You ain't seen nothing yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:12:00 PM
Feck there are some dark clouds about! Nothing will be on the scale as to how people lived in Galway 20 years ago.. Nor will it be nearly bankrupt like the south nearly was. There will be a dip, an adjustment and eventually things turn.

Lot of people here with a fixed mindset, try a growth mindset for a change..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:17:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:12:00 PM
Feck there are some dark clouds about! Nothing will be on the scale as to how people lived in Galway 20 years ago.. Nor will it be nearly bankrupt like the south nearly was. There will be a dip, an adjustment and eventually things turn.

Lot of people here with a fixed mindset, try a growth mindset for a change..

Our near bankruptcy was a bank debt issue. We still had, and have, a relatively strong economy.

I think you will have to get the wee 6 to remain in (or effectively remain in as part of some deal) the EU. If that happens things could be better than before as, for example, Belfast could compete with Dublin (as an English speaking city) for the exodus of financials that leave London.

However, if the Tory neanderthals succeed in dragging all of the UK back to the 1970s, it will be more than a 'dip'.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:29:37 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:17:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:12:00 PM
Feck there are some dark clouds about! Nothing will be on the scale as to how people lived in Galway 20 years ago.. Nor will it be nearly bankrupt like the south nearly was. There will be a dip, an adjustment and eventually things turn.

Lot of people here with a fixed mindset, try a growth mindset for a change..

Our near bankruptcy was a bank debt issue. We still had, and have, a relatively strong economy.

I think you will have to get the wee 6 to remain in (or effectively remain in as part of some deal) the EU. If that happens things could be better than before as, for example, Belfast could compete with Dublin (as an English speaking city) for the exodus of financials that leave London.

However, if the Tory neanderthals succeed in dragging all of the UK back to the 1970s, it will be more than a 'dip'.

Again scaremongering... will never be like the seventies... as for English speaking!! Do me a favour, Holland has better speaking English speakers than Belfast or Dublin!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:37:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:29:37 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:17:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:12:00 PM
Feck there are some dark clouds about! Nothing will be on the scale as to how people lived in Galway 20 years ago.. Nor will it be nearly bankrupt like the south nearly was. There will be a dip, an adjustment and eventually things turn.

Lot of people here with a fixed mindset, try a growth mindset for a change..

Our near bankruptcy was a bank debt issue. We still had, and have, a relatively strong economy.

I think you will have to get the wee 6 to remain in (or effectively remain in as part of some deal) the EU. If that happens things could be better than before as, for example, Belfast could compete with Dublin (as an English speaking city) for the exodus of financials that leave London.

However, if the Tory neanderthals succeed in dragging all of the UK back to the 1970s, it will be more than a 'dip'.

Again scaremongering... will never be like the seventies... as for English speaking!! Do me a favour, Holland has better speaking English speakers than Belfast or Dublin!

See the top of the page. Do you think that is merely a 'dip'? Sterling is performing worse than the Argentine Peso! And that is before they have even decided what to talk about in negotiations, on what Brexit might even look like, sometime next year. This will run and run and run.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:40:56 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:37:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:29:37 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:17:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:12:00 PM
Feck there are some dark clouds about! Nothing will be on the scale as to how people lived in Galway 20 years ago.. Nor will it be nearly bankrupt like the south nearly was. There will be a dip, an adjustment and eventually things turn.

Lot of people here with a fixed mindset, try a growth mindset for a change..

Our near bankruptcy was a bank debt issue. We still had, and have, a relatively strong economy.

I think you will have to get the wee 6 to remain in (or effectively remain in as part of some deal) the EU. If that happens things could be better than before as, for example, Belfast could compete with Dublin (as an English speaking city) for the exodus of financials that leave London.

However, if the Tory neanderthals succeed in dragging all of the UK back to the 1970s, it will be more than a 'dip'.

Again scaremongering... will never be like the seventies... as for English speaking!! Do me a favour, Holland has better speaking English speakers than Belfast or Dublin!

See the top of the page. Do you think that is merely a 'dip'? Sterling is performing worse than the Argentine Peso! And that is before they have even decided what to talk about in negotiations, on what Brexit might even look like, sometime next year. This will run and run and run. .

A bit like WMD
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 12, 2016, 07:49:03 PM
It will run & run, the currency is a political football though. A few weeks of conciliatory media stories & sterling will be back at 1.16 to 1.18, still shit in the grand scheme but the best achievable in the short to medium term. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:57:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:40:56 PM

A bit like WMD

Nope. There were no WMDs. There was no evidence of actual WMDs. There was no effect of a WMD ever seen.

By contrast, there is a Brexit coming. We have seen the political effect of the decision within the Tories and Labour. We are seeing the currency effect with Sterling. We will see lots more effects of it in the coming months.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2016, 08:01:55 PM
The markets are kicking the UK up the arse and will do until they get the right answer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kFJQoZYwyEU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2016, 08:34:09 PM
The plummeting pound is threatening UK households' supplies of Ben & Jerry's ice cream and Marmite spread, as Tesco, the country's biggest supermarket, pulled dozens of products from sale online in a row over who should bear the cost of the weakening currency.

Via the FT
James
38 minutes ago


Unilever is a UK based multinational, but those products are made with commodities bought in € and $. They are also usually quite low margin, particularly in competitive areas of food and drink and even most of the household products.
If they sell at below cost of production they'll make a huge loss due to the scale of the UK market. This isn't Iceland and they won't be able to absorb it hoping that things will turn around. 
They can cut their overheads so far, but it will get to the point that there'll be no point in them selling in the UK without making a loss that could do them serious damage. Why would anyone sell product that were costing them money?
There are no other sources of those ingredients. They're priced in € and $ and not made in the UK. 
This is where the ideology of Brexit hits at the brick wall of market economics. There is no getting around that. It's nothing to do with 'project fear' or anything else.
The reality is that you've a significant % less money than you did a few months ago and the real price of these goods is in hard currency - € and $. 
I hate to say it, but British consumers are in for a horrible few months. Those products have to be paid for by someone and I can assure you it won't be the producers or the retailers absorbing the costs. The prices will rise and rise quite dramatically.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 12, 2016, 08:55:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:29:37 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:17:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:12:00 PM
Feck there are some dark clouds about! Nothing will be on the scale as to how people lived in Galway 20 years ago.. Nor will it be nearly bankrupt like the south nearly was. There will be a dip, an adjustment and eventually things turn.

Lot of people here with a fixed mindset, try a growth mindset for a change..

Our near bankruptcy was a bank debt issue. We still had, and have, a relatively strong economy.

I think you will have to get the wee 6 to remain in (or effectively remain in as part of some deal) the EU. If that happens things could be better than before as, for example, Belfast could compete with Dublin (as an English speaking city) for the exodus of financials that leave London.

However, if the Tory neanderthals succeed in dragging all of the UK back to the 1970s, it will be more than a 'dip'.

Again scaremongering... will never be like the seventies... as for English speaking!! Do me a favour, Holland has better speaking English speakers than Belfast or Dublin!

;D ;D This is ridiculously true

Also regarding your overall point lets not forget about the likelihood of the Queen's last act before abdicating will be to grant a royal charter to reestablish the East India Company likely reestablishing Britain's wealth to Victorian levels
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 08:58:46 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:17:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:12:00 PM
Feck there are some dark clouds about! Nothing will be on the scale as to how people lived in Galway 20 years ago.. Nor will it be nearly bankrupt like the south nearly was. There will be a dip, an adjustment and eventually things turn.

Lot of people here with a fixed mindset, try a growth mindset for a change..

Our near bankruptcy was a bank debt issue. We still had, and have, a relatively strong economy.

I think you will have to get the wee 6 to remain in (or effectively remain in as part of some deal) the EU. If that happens things could be better than before as, for example, Belfast could compete with Dublin (as an English speaking city) for the exodus of financials that leave London.

However, if the Tory neanderthals succeed in dragging all of the UK back to the 1970s, it will be more than a 'dip'.

It's not the tories who are the main concern it's the dup >:(

How anyone in ni can think this is a good idea is beyond me. Sure the dup went begging to europe for agriculture grants since they pushed for out and still don't see the sense.

When these people are running the place what hope is there for us :(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 09:16:27 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 08:58:46 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 12, 2016, 07:17:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 07:12:00 PM
Feck there are some dark clouds about! Nothing will be on the scale as to how people lived in Galway 20 years ago.. Nor will it be nearly bankrupt like the south nearly was. There will be a dip, an adjustment and eventually things turn.

Lot of people here with a fixed mindset, try a growth mindset for a change..

Our near bankruptcy was a bank debt issue. We still had, and have, a relatively strong economy.

I think you will have to get the wee 6 to remain in (or effectively remain in as part of some deal) the EU. If that happens things could be better than before as, for example, Belfast could compete with Dublin (as an English speaking city) for the exodus of financials that leave London.

However, if the Tory neanderthals succeed in dragging all of the UK back to the 1970s, it will be more than a 'dip'.

It's not the tories who are the main concern it's the dup >:(

How anyone in ni can think this is a good idea is beyond me. Sure the dup went begging to europe for agriculture grants since they pushed for out and still don't see the sense.

When these people are running the place what hope is there for us :(

Seems the local community groups are the ones who will miss out first when the EU peace money stops!! Cue riots!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 09:43:31 PM
Yeah i have thought that too. I think things like that could destabilise things a bit here from it.  You think short strand riots and how they stopped - money for community groups. What happens when there is no money - what stops the rioting. ( yes the law should but hasn't worked in the past)

Also you think the tories will fund policing for things like twaddel.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 10:25:23 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 09:43:31 PM
Yeah i have thought that too. I think things like that could destabilise things a bit here from it.  You think short strand riots and how they stopped - money for community groups. What happens when there is no money - what stops the rioting. ( yes the law should but hasn't worked in the past)

Also you think the tories will fund policing for things like twaddel.

Nope!! Should show them up though for what they are, holding their communities to ransom!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 13, 2016, 04:16:51 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 12, 2016, 05:26:59 PM
Nope

Pound steadies after recent slump - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37628354

In what world nope?
Batshit plan free and short sighted
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2016, 05:46:44 AM
Sterling's fall means inflation driving down purchasing power for Daily mail and daily express readers.  . The Brexit lie was that immigration was doing this
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2016, 06:27:47 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 09:43:31 PM
Yeah i have thought that too. I think things like that could destabilise things a bit here from it.  You think short strand riots and how they stopped - money for community groups. What happens when there is no money - what stops the rioting. ( yes the law should but hasn't worked in the past)

Also you think the tories will fund policing for things like twaddel.
That is scary
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 07:19:35 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 10:25:23 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 09:43:31 PM
Yeah i have thought that too. I think things like that could destabilise things a bit here from it.  You think short strand riots and how they stopped - money for community groups. What happens when there is no money - what stops the rioting. ( yes the law should but hasn't worked in the past)

Also you think the tories will fund policing for things like twaddel.

Nope!! Should show them up though for what they are, holding their communities to ransom!

Yeah but it could also show our peace process up to be fragile too!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 13, 2016, 08:12:53 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 07:19:35 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 10:25:23 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 09:43:31 PM
Yeah i have thought that too. I think things like that could destabilise things a bit here from it.  You think short strand riots and how they stopped - money for community groups. What happens when there is no money - what stops the rioting. ( yes the law should but hasn't worked in the past)

Also you think the tories will fund policing for things like twaddel.

Nope!! Should show them up though for what they are, holding their communities to ransom!

Yeah but it could also show our peace process up to be fragile too!

I don't think it has anything to do with peace other than free wages for unqualified community workers (in parts), who drag down the decent people who care and work very hard in flashpoint areas of Belfast and Derry.. the Nolan show last night was cringing after showing this up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 08:32:39 AM
It does and it doesn't. It illustrates the kind of people that are controlling certain areas and what can happen if they are not placated(aka paid off). They always have been in the past so the question would be what if they're not placated.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2016, 08:49:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 13, 2016, 08:12:53 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 07:19:35 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 10:25:23 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 09:43:31 PM
Yeah i have thought that too. I think things like that could destabilise things a bit here from it.  You think short strand riots and how they stopped - money for community groups. What happens when there is no money - what stops the rioting. ( yes the law should but hasn't worked in the past)

Also you think the tories will fund policing for things like twaddel.

Nope!! Should show them up though for what they are, holding their communities to ransom!

Yeah but it could also show our peace process up to be fragile too!

I don't think it has anything to do with peace other than free wages for unqualified community workers (in parts), who drag down the decent people who care and work very hard in flashpoint areas of Belfast and Derry.. the Nolan show last night was cringing after showing this up
Poorer and more vulnerable people will be hurt most by sterling. Someone reckoned the recent movements in the currency will take 5% off the purchasing power of people in the UK. If you are say on disability or have depression or whatever and a limited income 5% is a lot to take off the weekly food bill which may already be quite tight.
Taking money off historically volatile communities who aren't the most economically privileged is not really coherent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 08:58:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 13, 2016, 08:49:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 13, 2016, 08:12:53 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 07:19:35 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 10:25:23 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 09:43:31 PM
Yeah i have thought that too. I think things like that could destabilise things a bit here from it.  You think short strand riots and how they stopped - money for community groups. What happens when there is no money - what stops the rioting. ( yes the law should but hasn't worked in the past)

Also you think the tories will fund policing for things like twaddel.

Nope!! Should show them up though for what they are, holding their communities to ransom!

Yeah but it could also show our peace process up to be fragile too!

I don't think it has anything to do with peace other than free wages for unqualified community workers (in parts), who drag down the decent people who care and work very hard in flashpoint areas of Belfast and Derry.. the Nolan show last night was cringing after showing this up
Poorer and more vulnerable people will be hurt most by sterling. Someone reckoned the recent movements in the currency will take 5% off the purchasing power of people in the UK. If you are say on disability or have depression or whatever and a limited income 5% is a lot to take off the weekly food bill which may already be quite tight.
Taking money off historically volatile communities who aren't the most economically privileged is not really coherent.

This wouldn't necessarily be to do with the strength of the pound though seafoid. This money tends to come from EU grants (the community workers I mean). With no EU grants the tories will hold the purse strings and the grants will be a lot less plentiful. (Ok sterling strength may impact what funds they have as less costs more etc but even if the pound was stong i would expect less grants).

Certain areas tend to be more or less governed by paramilitaries etc and the flag protests illustrated that. These guys are placated by money so keep things under control. No grants no control is really my point. It highlights the idiocy of some voting lines and people keeping their own down and things like that but there are definitely volatile things in the peace process which money helps.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 13, 2016, 09:44:00 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 08:58:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 13, 2016, 08:49:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 13, 2016, 08:12:53 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 07:19:35 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2016, 10:25:23 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2016, 09:43:31 PM
Yeah i have thought that too. I think things like that could destabilise things a bit here from it.  You think short strand riots and how they stopped - money for community groups. What happens when there is no money - what stops the rioting. ( yes the law should but hasn't worked in the past)

Also you think the tories will fund policing for things like twaddel.

Nope!! Should show them up though for what they are, holding their communities to ransom!

Yeah but it could also show our peace process up to be fragile too!

I don't think it has anything to do with peace other than free wages for unqualified community workers (in parts), who drag down the decent people who care and work very hard in flashpoint areas of Belfast and Derry.. the Nolan show last night was cringing after showing this up
Poorer and more vulnerable people will be hurt most by sterling. Someone reckoned the recent movements in the currency will take 5% off the purchasing power of people in the UK. If you are say on disability or have depression or whatever and a limited income 5% is a lot to take off the weekly food bill which may already be quite tight.
Taking money off historically volatile communities who aren't the most economically privileged is not really coherent.

This wouldn't necessarily be to do with the strength of the pound though seafoid. This money tends to come from EU grants (the community workers I mean). With no EU grants the tories will hold the purse strings and the grants will be a lot less plentiful. (Ok sterling strength may impact what funds they have as less costs more etc but even if the pound was stong i would expect less grants).

Certain areas tend to be more or less governed by paramilitaries etc and the flag protests illustrated that. These guys are placated by money so keep things under control. No grants no control is really my point. It highlights the idiocy of some voting lines and people keeping their own down and things like that but there are definitely volatile things in the peace process which money helps.

What gets me is that we have 20 year old plus kids (young adults) who grew up in an environment that wasn't shooting bombing abduction and rioting, to the extent of the 70's 80's and very early 90's !! surely at some point this will come to a natural end ?

And are we talking about a very small minority that is holding the rest to ransom? At some point he PSNI and the DPP need to be real tough and say right we've had 20 years of this and to a certain point we've allowed it to happen, but that's it! times up money is up and deal with these gangsters once and for all!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 11:18:51 AM
It pays for people(older) to sustain this in certain areas though which i think is why we get unrest. I think it is a minority but there are fairly repressed areas where this kind of stuff will be hard to nip in the bud and to be honest i am not sure when it will go away. Think sandy rowe, parts of chancel, short strand and places like that. (I think unionist politicians have a lot to answer for if i'm honest. if they would stop the petty stuff and try and develop the areas they are over then that would be a massive help e.g. east belfast).

There are varying schools of thought that the peace process was bought and i guess in certain places(though in the minority) that is correct but sensible people want an end to it.

Maybe this brexit thing will make the money run out and policing will nip it in the bud and we will have nothing to worry about!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 13, 2016, 11:41:02 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 13, 2016, 11:18:51 AM
It pays for people(older) to sustain this in certain areas though which i think is why we get unrest. I think it is a minority but there are fairly repressed areas where this kind of stuff will be hard to nip in the bud and to be honest i am not sure when it will go away. Think sandy rowe, parts of chancel, short strand and places like that. (I think unionist politicians have a lot to answer for if i'm honest. if they would stop the petty stuff and try and develop the areas they are over then that would be a massive help e.g. east belfast).

A lot of these places voted for Brexit, so no doubt they will welcome the opportunity to pay a price to get rid of the foreigners.

In general, this peace thing should have run its course after 20 years. In particular, money may well be tight in the next few years and other groups like farmers may absorb a lot of it post Brexit. PBP wanted Brexit too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ballinaman on October 13, 2016, 12:40:37 PM
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/scotland-to-publish-plans-for-second-independence-referendum-a7359071.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2016, 01:17:00 PM
Quote from: ballinaman on October 13, 2016, 12:40:37 PM
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/scotland-to-publish-plans-for-second-independence-referendum-a7359071.html
with sterling down 20% versus the dollar Scotland's oïl revenues look a lot better
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 14, 2016, 06:01:29 AM
So is this tesco unilever row linked to weak sterling?

Prices will have to go up but I think Unilever might have overplayed their hand here
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 14, 2016, 06:04:08 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 13, 2016, 01:17:00 PM
Quote from: ballinaman on October 13, 2016, 12:40:37 PM
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/scotland-to-publish-plans-for-second-independence-referendum-a7359071.html
with sterling down 20% versus the dollar Scotland's oïl revenues look a lot better

They're still pretty shit compared to Indyref1 era revenues. Any future independence manifesto would do well to steer clear of any reliance on oil revenues.... and oh yes have something f**king concrete on currency this time
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2016, 07:50:56 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 14, 2016, 06:01:29 AM
So is this tesco unilever row linked to weak sterling?

Prices will have to go up but I think Unilever might have overplayed their hand here
Yes. Prompted by STG.
Some agreement reached. But this issue will run and run. STG fall of 17% means 5% cut in UK punters purchasing power. The UK imports 40% of its food  .
Ireland has much better demographics. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on October 14, 2016, 10:34:08 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 14, 2016, 06:04:08 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 13, 2016, 01:17:00 PM
Quote from: ballinaman on October 13, 2016, 12:40:37 PM
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/scotland-to-publish-plans-for-second-independence-referendum-a7359071.html
with sterling down 20% versus the dollar Scotland's oïl revenues look a lot better

They're still pretty shit compared to Indyref1 era revenues. Any future independence manifesto would do well to steer clear of any reliance on oil revenues.... and oh yes have something f**king concrete on currency this time
I would say joining the Euro or at lease decoupling from Sterling is a major part of their play as they are planning IndyRef2 based on Brexit.
What could they make renting out their nuclear bases? Putin might be willing to drive the rent up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2016, 10:40:27 AM
When I got back from London yesterday I had a bunch of Sterling notes
I needed to exchange, so I went to the currency Exchange Window
at the local bank. There was a short queue .

Just one guy in front of me...an Asian  who
was trying to exchange Sterling for Euros and he was very annoyed. 
He asked the teller, "Why it change?
Yestoday, I get two huna Euro of Sterling.  Today I get huna eighty?? Why it
change?"
The teller shrugged her shoulders and said, "Brexit fluctuations".
The Asian guy says, "Fluc you white people too!" 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 11:29:09 AM
(http://crazykittylove.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/tumbleweed.jpg?w=630)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Gs Man on October 14, 2016, 11:37:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 14, 2016, 10:40:27 AM
When I got back from London yesterday I had a bunch of Sterling notes
I needed to exchange, so I went to the currency Exchange Window
at the local bank. There was a short queue .

Just one guy in front of me...an Asian  who
was trying to exchange Sterling for Euros and he was very annoyed.
He asked the teller, "Why it change?
Yestoday, I get two huna Euro of Sterling.  Today I get huna eighty?? Why it
change?"
The teller shrugged her shoulders and said, "Brexit fluctuations".
The Asian guy says, "Fluc you white people too!"

:)

Come on now Milltown!  Wasn't that bad! 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 11:42:18 AM
Quote from: The Gs Man on October 14, 2016, 11:37:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 14, 2016, 10:40:27 AM
When I got back from London yesterday I had a bunch of Sterling notes
I needed to exchange, so I went to the currency Exchange Window
at the local bank. There was a short queue .

Just one guy in front of me...an Asian  who
was trying to exchange Sterling for Euros and he was very annoyed.
He asked the teller, "Why it change?
Yestoday, I get two huna Euro of Sterling.  Today I get huna eighty?? Why it
change?"
The teller shrugged her shoulders and said, "Brexit fluctuations".
The Asian guy says, "Fluc you white people too!"

:)

Come on now Milltown!  Wasn't that bad!

Corny one for Friday thread.... ::)           

I think in Seafoid's head, Ireland will be the new Germany! I hope it is as my H/O is in Dublin  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2016, 12:18:20 PM
 The voices that thronged on the airwaves in triumph on the first dawn of the post-Brexit future were those of the Thatcherite past: Liam Fox, Iain Duncan Smith and Norman Tebbit. Such figures who feel, and not without reason, that "we are the masters now" differ from Mr Cameron not only in their contempt for all endeavours European, but often also in their reactionary stance on social and other affairs. Most, but not all, of the Brexit wing of the Conservative party opposed, for example, gay marriage, the one solid progressive achievement on the home front which the outgoing prime minister could point to, as he acknowledged that his time was up. Underpinning this mostly reactionary pro-Brexit cabal in parliament is a motley crew of border-hopping, non-domiciled tycoons and ruthless press barons, a monied elite which has masked its audacious bid to grab the reins in folksy, homespun slogans.

"The new British government under prime minister Theresa May appears to have chosen an economic course which could bear substantial risks," said Hans Redeker, strategist at Morgan Stanley.
Noting that rhetoric against the "international elite" would not help fund the UK's 6 per cent of GDP current account deficit, Mr Redeker said: "The substantial foreign funding needs should make authorities nurse the supply side of the economy. The opposite seems to be taking place with 'hard Brexit' talk adding to the problem."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on October 14, 2016, 12:47:20 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

And Wales
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 14, 2016, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

What do you think is driving the price of food up??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:26:12 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 14, 2016, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

What do you think is driving the price of food up??

In Newry? They are hardly coming to Belfast to buy it !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on October 14, 2016, 03:42:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:26:12 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 14, 2016, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

What do you think is driving the price of food up??

In Newry? They are hardly coming to Belfast to buy it !

I'd say its the strength of the Euro against the pound is making food in Newry cheap to the southerners, BUT its getting dearer for us Nordies, make no mistake about it, Unilever are one of many who'll be bumping their prices up in the near future.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 14, 2016, 03:48:34 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:26:12 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 14, 2016, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

What do you think is driving the price of food up??

In Newry? They are hardly coming to Belfast to buy it !


It's up relative to the pound... If the price of food goes up slower than the pound goes down euro people are quids in...

Though you would have to assume both will align at some point.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 14, 2016, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

Are you determined to ignore every bit of evidence that's produced on the topic?  This is Fearon-esque behavior.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 14, 2016, 04:28:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:26:12 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 14, 2016, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

What do you think is driving the price of food up??

In Newry? They are hardly coming to Belfast to buy it !

Not just Newry but the fact that buying "British" retail goods is now cheaper for our EU colleagues means British retailers can push their prices up for us while being competitive in the EU market.

UK Exports getting cheaper because of a weakened currency drives the price up for the locals!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 14, 2016, 05:22:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

Miltown Row, was economics one of your A levels? I wouldn't have thought so.

Prices do not change instantaneously. If Sterling drops 3% this week, then people buying things in Euros get the immediate benefit, but the prices of goods in the shops will not have yet changed. Prices will rise notably in the North by January, but there may be bargains coming up to the Xmas.

Prices will rise, benefits will not rise as much as the Tories don't want to spend money on such things, but also because their revenue will not be buoyant and they have a substantial budget deficit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2016, 05:34:52 PM
Amazon.co.uk is way cheaper this week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 06:12:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

Are you determined to ignore every bit of evidence that's produced on the topic?  This is Fearon-esque behavior.

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 14, 2016, 06:26:14 PM
Northern Ireland's growth in the last quarter exceeded the overall UK rate, now that is a shock! This quarter will also receive an almighty boost from border hopping shoppers.

While I find Brexit an act of grandiose stupidity, there is an undoubted element of punishing the Brits now (& plenty of self inflicted woes from the Tories). The EU is a club like any other club & it is fearing for it's future, if Italy goes, either politically in a Referendum or with it's basket case Banks the whole project is doomed. The EU will be doing all in it's power to prevent any further Referenda (?ums? ) occurring.

Longterm Brexit could work (who really knows?), but we've years of crap to wade through first unfortunately.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 14, 2016, 06:32:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 06:12:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

Are you determined to ignore every bit of evidence that's produced on the topic?  This is Fearon-esque behavior.

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

I don't think they have, the only one on here who continually quotes the doomsday scenario is seafoid.  As far as I can see, everyone else presents evidence based scenarios from reputable sources (usually quoted).  You haven't provided any evidence whatsoever, just anecdotes and instincts.  And as you seem to enjoy an anecdote, I'll give you one.  You say this 'doom and gloom' hasn't happened yet.  Maybe not in your world.  I was talking to the MD of a relatively successful local company recently who trade mostly in Europe.  The night before the vote they forward bought 20 million euro to hedge against a leave vote.  With the utmost sincerity he tells me now that if they hadn't done that, they would be out of business today.  That's 300 odd people who would right in the middle of 'doom and gloom' at the minute.  The only reason we haven't seen more like this is because of actions like his and those of the BofE who pumped billions into the economy after the vote to steady it up.

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

Firstly, you probably won't notice the effect of food just yet but it's coming.  Fuel last year was probably where it should be. At minute is being held artificially low to put pressure on Putin.  If the price of a barrel of oil climbs to anywhere near what it did at it's peak, with the current state of sterling, we'll be paying 2 quid a litre.  Secondly, and as I've said before, it hasn't happened yet.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!


You must have some sort of economics qualification to be fit to state all this.  Again without any shred of supporting evidence whatsoever.

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it

It is, you know.  And no, you don't need a degree to understand it.  But you need more than what you've got at the minute cos you clearly don't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 06:52:58 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 14, 2016, 06:26:14 PM
Northern Ireland's growth in the last quarter exceeded the overall UK rate, now that is a shock! This quarter will also receive an almighty boost from border hopping shoppers.

While I find Brexit an act of grandiose stupidity, there is an undoubted element of punishing the Brits now (& plenty of self inflicted woes from the Tories). The EU is a club like any other club & it is fearing for it's future, if Italy goes, either politically in a Referendum or with it's basket case Banks the whole project is doomed. The EU will be doing all in it's power to prevent any further Referenda (?ums? ) occurring.

Longterm Brexit could work (who really knows?), but we've years of crap to wade through first unfortunately.

The experts on here know cause they quote people who says it will!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 14, 2016, 06:53:57 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 06:52:58 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 14, 2016, 06:26:14 PM
Northern Ireland's growth in the last quarter exceeded the overall UK rate, now that is a shock! This quarter will also receive an almighty boost from border hopping shoppers.

While I find Brexit an act of grandiose stupidity, there is an undoubted element of punishing the Brits now (& plenty of self inflicted woes from the Tories). The EU is a club like any other club & it is fearing for it's future, if Italy goes, either politically in a Referendum or with it's basket case Banks the whole project is doomed. The EU will be doing all in it's power to prevent any further Referenda (?ums? ) occurring.

Longterm Brexit could work (who really knows?), but we've years of crap to wade through first unfortunately.

The experts on here know cause they quote people who says it will!

The 'experts' on here quote actual experts.  Who do you quote?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 07:03:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 06:32:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 06:12:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

Are you determined to ignore every bit of evidence that's produced on the topic?  This is Fearon-esque behavior.

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

I don't think they have, the only one on here who continually quotes the doomsday scenario is seafoid.  As far as I can see, everyone else presents evidence based scenarios from reputable sources (usually quoted).  You haven't provided any evidence whatsoever, just anecdotes and instincts.  And as you seem to enjoy an anecdote, I'll give you one.  You say this 'doom and gloom' hasn't happened yet.  Maybe not in your world.  I was talking to the MD of a relatively successful local company recently who trade mostly in Europe.  The night before the vote they forward bought 20 million euro to hedge against a leave vote.  With the utmost sincerity he tells me now that if they hadn't done that, they would be out of business today.  That's 300 odd people who would right in the middle of 'doom and gloom' at the minute.  The only reason we haven't seen more like this is because of actions like his and those of the BofE who pumped billions into the economy after the vote to steady it up.

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

Firstly, you probably won't notice the effect of food just yet but it's coming.  Fuel last year was probably where it should be. At minute is being held artificially low to put pressure on Putin.  If the price of a barrel of oil climbs to anywhere near what it did at it's peak, with the current state of sterling, we'll be paying 2 quid a litre.  Secondly, and as I've said before, it hasn't happened yet.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!


You must have some sort of economics qualification to be fit to state all this.  Again without any shred of supporting evidence whatsoever.

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it

It is, you know.  And no, you don't need a degree to understand it.  But you need more than what you've got at the minute cos you clearly don't.

Yeah I never claimed to have a degree in economics nor do you I suspect or most people on here but they love quoting, I'm sure you've lived long enough to have lived through harder times than what will or might happen depending on where you find the quotes..

If I found quotes that said things won't be as bad will that suffice?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 14, 2016, 07:11:16 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 07:03:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 06:32:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 06:12:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

Are you determined to ignore every bit of evidence that's produced on the topic?  This is Fearon-esque behavior.

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

I don't think they have, the only one on here who continually quotes the doomsday scenario is seafoid.  As far as I can see, everyone else presents evidence based scenarios from reputable sources (usually quoted).  You haven't provided any evidence whatsoever, just anecdotes and instincts.  And as you seem to enjoy an anecdote, I'll give you one.  You say this 'doom and gloom' hasn't happened yet.  Maybe not in your world.  I was talking to the MD of a relatively successful local company recently who trade mostly in Europe.  The night before the vote they forward bought 20 million euro to hedge against a leave vote.  With the utmost sincerity he tells me now that if they hadn't done that, they would be out of business today.  That's 300 odd people who would right in the middle of 'doom and gloom' at the minute.  The only reason we haven't seen more like this is because of actions like his and those of the BofE who pumped billions into the economy after the vote to steady it up.

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

Firstly, you probably won't notice the effect of food just yet but it's coming.  Fuel last year was probably where it should be. At minute is being held artificially low to put pressure on Putin.  If the price of a barrel of oil climbs to anywhere near what it did at it's peak, with the current state of sterling, we'll be paying 2 quid a litre.  Secondly, and as I've said before, it hasn't happened yet.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!


You must have some sort of economics qualification to be fit to state all this.  Again without any shred of supporting evidence whatsoever.

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it

It is, you know.  And no, you don't need a degree to understand it.  But you need more than what you've got at the minute cos you clearly don't.

Yeah I never claimed to have a degree in economics nor do you I suspect or most people on here but they love quoting, I'm sure you've lived long enough to have lived through harder times than what will or might happen depending on where you find the quotes..

If I found quotes that said things won't be as bad will that suffice?

Most people would have the sense to know that if they know sweet FA about a subject, they'd look for an expert opinion.  You blather on regardless.

I refer you to my last post.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 08:02:22 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 07:11:16 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 07:03:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 06:32:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 06:12:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 01:13:09 PM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 14, 2016, 12:37:56 PM
The pound is in diffs, food prices rising,fuel hiked another 5p litre,jobs being lost,things arent going to improve.Brexit was voted for by working class english people im sure they will suffer the most ironic really.

So why are people still coming over the border to buy food? very strange

Are you determined to ignore every bit of evidence that's produced on the topic?  This is Fearon-esque behavior.

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it

No but everyone has given it the doomsday scenario!! I wasn't for the change didnt vote for it, at the minute there is panic by companies and banks and the rest, due to the uncertainty on what could happen and they are preparing for the worst.. but this doom and gloom hasn't happened yet!

I don't think they have, the only one on here who continually quotes the doomsday scenario is seafoid.  As far as I can see, everyone else presents evidence based scenarios from reputable sources (usually quoted).  You haven't provided any evidence whatsoever, just anecdotes and instincts.  And as you seem to enjoy an anecdote, I'll give you one.  You say this 'doom and gloom' hasn't happened yet.  Maybe not in your world.  I was talking to the MD of a relatively successful local company recently who trade mostly in Europe.  The night before the vote they forward bought 20 million euro to hedge against a leave vote.  With the utmost sincerity he tells me now that if they hadn't done that, they would be out of business today.  That's 300 odd people who would right in the middle of 'doom and gloom' at the minute.  The only reason we haven't seen more like this is because of actions like his and those of the BofE who pumped billions into the economy after the vote to steady it up.

Fuel was up a lot more last year than it is now, got a general shop today, nothing stood out to be extortionate, business seems fine nothing, I work in sales and people are buying.

Firstly, you probably won't notice the effect of food just yet but it's coming.  Fuel last year was probably where it should be. At minute is being held artificially low to put pressure on Putin.  If the price of a barrel of oil climbs to anywhere near what it did at it's peak, with the current state of sterling, we'll be paying 2 quid a litre.  Secondly, and as I've said before, it hasn't happened yet.

The forecast may be different 5 years later but if it happens it won't be the 70's 3 day week and turn off the power! It won't really effect people who work. And eventually it will level out and then grow.

Our kids will find it tougher but they have a better life than I had growing up in the 70's without a penny to my name!


You must have some sort of economics qualification to be fit to state all this.  Again without any shred of supporting evidence whatsoever.

So it's not head in the sand, nor do I need an economics degree to understand it

It is, you know.  And no, you don't need a degree to understand it.  But you need more than what you've got at the minute cos you clearly don't.

Yeah I never claimed to have a degree in economics nor do you I suspect or most people on here but they love quoting, I'm sure you've lived long enough to have lived through harder times than what will or might happen depending on where you find the quotes..

If I found quotes that said things won't be as bad will that suffice?

Most people would have the sense to know that if they know sweet FA about a subject, they'd look for an expert opinion.  You blather on regardless.

I refer you to my last post.

So you know nothing then?? Because you quote
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 14, 2016, 08:26:07 PM
Yes, that's it.  ::)

If you want to debate, post something worthwhile.  If you want to run round in circles, making petty, inane points about the form of words, by all means, go ahead.  But if that's the case, im out.  Your ball.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 08:37:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 08:26:07 PM
Yes, that's it.  ::)

If you want to debate, post something worthwhile.  If you want to run round in circles, making petty, inane points about the form of words, by all means, go ahead.  But if that's the case, im out.  Your ball.

When debating debate, throwing in quotes all the time from experts isn't debating. I'm as concerned as the next person on how brexit is going to effect me be more importantly my family...

But the wild predictions on the severity of the brexit aftermath is (to me anyways) exaggerated to the point that there will be widespread disruptions huge job losses and wages cut! Could it be any more worse than the collapse from the banks??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 14, 2016, 09:03:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 08:37:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 08:26:07 PM
Yes, that's it.  ::)

If you want to debate, post something worthwhile.  If you want to run round in circles, making petty, inane points about the form of words, by all means, go ahead.  But if that's the case, im out.  Your ball.

When debating debate, throwing in quotes all the time from experts isn't debating. I'm as concerned as the next person on how brexit is going to effect me be more importantly my family...

But the wild predictions on the severity of the brexit aftermath is (to me anyways) exaggerated to the point that there will be widespread disruptions huge job losses and wages cut! Could it be any more worse than the collapse from the banks??

Quotes are only one small part of what is being presented here.  We can look at the evidence with our own eyes.  The collapse of sterling being the main one.  Investors are dumping it in such numbers that it the worst performing currency in the world this year.  The 'wild predictions' are based on indicators like this.  As far as I can see, the wildest predictions are made by those who are in the 'it's gonna be OK' brigade.  This is the group that includes Boris Johnson, Nigel Farage and Jamie Bryson.  And what do all these people  have in common?  They provide no evidence to back up their assertions, they just keep repeating them and hope we'll all believe it.  It doesn't wash with me.

As for the bank collapse comparison - I don't know, maybe it will, maybe it won't.  But I tell you what, I wouldn't like to go back to 2008-2009 again.  It was grim.  I was lucky but a good few of my friends and family had to leave at that time for work and some haven't returned.  I had another friend who took his own life because he couldn't pay his debts.  If it gets anywhere near that bad again, it'll be sad times ahead.  And the kicker is, we f**king  "CHOSE" this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2016, 09:12:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 08:37:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 08:26:07 PM
Yes, that's it.  ::)

If you want to debate, post something worthwhile.  If you want to run round in circles, making petty, inane points about the form of words, by all means, go ahead.  But if that's the case, im out.  Your ball.

When debating debate, throwing in quotes all the time from experts isn't debating. I'm as concerned as the next person on how brexit is going to effect me be more importantly my family...

But the wild predictions on the severity of the brexit aftermath is (to me anyways) exaggerated to the point that there will be widespread disruptions huge job losses and wages cut! Could it be any more worse than the collapse from the banks??
Maybe it won't be that bad. But the dynamic would have to change.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on October 14, 2016, 09:21:55 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 09:03:53 PM

As for the bank collapse comparison - I don't know, maybe it will, maybe it won't.  But I tell you what, I wouldn't like to go back to 2008-2009 again.  It was grim.  I was lucky but a good few of my friends and family had to leave at that time for work and some haven't returned.  I had another friend who took his own life because he couldn't pay his debts.  If it gets anywhere near that bad again, it'll be sad times ahead.  And the kicker is, we f**king  "CHOSE" this.


We didn't choose it. The electorate of a foreign country did and are now (once again) imposing their will upon us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 14, 2016, 09:23:53 PM
Hence the inverted commas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 14, 2016, 09:36:30 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on October 14, 2016, 09:21:55 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 09:03:53 PM

As for the bank collapse comparison - I don't know, maybe it will, maybe it won't.  But I tell you what, I wouldn't like to go back to 2008-2009 again.  It was grim.  I was lucky but a good few of my friends and family had to leave at that time for work and some haven't returned.  I had another friend who took his own life because he couldn't pay his debts.  If it gets anywhere near that bad again, it'll be sad times ahead.  And the kicker is, we f**king  "CHOSE" this.


We didn't choose it. The electorate of a foreign country did and are now (once again) imposing their will upon us.

Backed up by the dup. While the snp fight their corner for what their country voted for the dup don't find for the will of northern ireland because they wanted out. They have no interests in representing the will of anyone here unless it suits them and they continually get voted in. The economy falling on it's arse and what could be disasterous for here but they might get a border to appease them and their insecurities over their beloved union.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on October 14, 2016, 09:57:13 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 14, 2016, 09:36:30 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on October 14, 2016, 09:21:55 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 09:03:53 PM

As for the bank collapse comparison - I don't know, maybe it will, maybe it won't.  But I tell you what, I wouldn't like to go back to 2008-2009 again.  It was grim.  I was lucky but a good few of my friends and family had to leave at that time for work and some haven't returned.  I had another friend who took his own life because he couldn't pay his debts.  If it gets anywhere near that bad again, it'll be sad times ahead.  And the kicker is, we f**king  "CHOSE" this.


We didn't choose it. The electorate of a foreign country did and are now (once again) imposing their will upon us.

Backed up by the dup. While the snp fight their corner for what their country voted for the dup don't find for the will of northern ireland because they wanted out. They have no interests in representing the will of anyone here unless it suits them and they continually get voted in. The economy falling on it's arse and what could be disasterous for here but they might get a border to appease them and their insecurities over their beloved union.

Although they were moronic in backing a Brexit and probably hoped that it wouldn't actually be passed, from a unionists point of view I can see where they are coming from in that they believe that the UK (including the O6) is all one entity and therefore the wishes of the majority should be respected. It's just ironic that that is how the northern statelet came into being in the first place. But if they fight for the north to have a special arrangement, they're basically admitting that it's not really part of the UK, or that at some point in the future it will not be.

I think they've shot themselves in the foot big time anyway, the issue of a United Ireland is now firmly back on the agenda and there have been more articles, polls and discussion on it in the past few months than in the previous ten years. I woke up that June morning delighted that the Brits had committed economic suicide safe in the knowledge that it is the best thing long term for Irish nationalism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 14, 2016, 10:01:00 PM
Yeah the irony is that they have probably weakened it.

I can see that they are going with the democratic decision of their great one entity and they will push this but i don't for one second think that if the democratic decision didn't suit them they would back it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 14, 2016, 10:09:55 PM
At no point have I said that it will be ok and that there won't be repercussions!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 14, 2016, 11:02:02 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on October 14, 2016, 09:57:13 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 14, 2016, 09:36:30 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on October 14, 2016, 09:21:55 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 14, 2016, 09:03:53 PM

As for the bank collapse comparison - I don't know, maybe it will, maybe it won't.  But I tell you what, I wouldn't like to go back to 2008-2009 again.  It was grim.  I was lucky but a good few of my friends and family had to leave at that time for work and some haven't returned.  I had another friend who took his own life because he couldn't pay his debts.  If it gets anywhere near that bad again, it'll be sad times ahead.  And the kicker is, we f**king  "CHOSE" this.


We didn't choose it. The electorate of a foreign country did and are now (once again) imposing their will upon us.

Backed up by the dup. While the snp fight their corner for what their country voted for the dup don't find for the will of northern ireland because they wanted out. They have no interests in representing the will of anyone here unless it suits them and they continually get voted in. The economy falling on it's arse and what could be disasterous for here but they might get a border to appease them and their insecurities over their beloved union.

Although they were moronic in backing a Brexit and probably hoped that it wouldn't actually be passed, from a unionists point of view I can see where they are coming from in that they believe that the UK (including the O6) is all one entity and therefore the wishes of the majority should be respected. It's just ironic that that is how the northern statelet came into being in the first place. But if they fight for the north to have a special arrangement, they're basically admitting that it's not really part of the UK, or that at some point in the future it will not be.

I think they've shot themselves in the foot big time anyway, the issue of a United Ireland is now firmly back on the agenda and there have been more articles, polls and discussion on it in the past few months than in the previous ten years. I woke up that June morning delighted that the Brits had committed economic suicide safe in the knowledge that it is the best thing long term for Irish nationalism.
In a weird sort of way...so did I.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2016, 11:07:33 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 14, 2016, 10:01:00 PM
Yeah the irony is that they have probably weakened it.

I can see that they are going with the democratic decision of their great one entity and they will push this but i don't for one second think that if the democratic decision didn't suit them they would back it.
the DUP chose the wrong horse.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Igsb3ejgbL8
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 14, 2016, 11:48:44 PM
I have said it before the DUP got a good brown envelope from some establishment in Britian.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 15, 2016, 12:11:27 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on October 14, 2016, 11:48:44 PM
I have said it before the DUP got a good brown envelope from some establishment in Britian.

They should have insisted on payment in Euro.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 15, 2016, 08:08:32 AM
Fella in the FT sez the Brits chose isolation and inflation. For centuries it made sense to be a Unionist . But not now. Ochón is Ochón Ó.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 15, 2016, 08:46:44 AM
Arlene Foster is a moron


https://www.ft.com/content/41158cf8-9204-11e6-a72e-b428cb934b78
Sterling's slump signals a warning, not a boon


Investors are marking down the economic future of Brexit Britain
The UK government this week found that taking back control of some things is a lot harder than others. The pound sterling falls into the former category. The currency fell to a trade-weighted level last seen in the middle of the 19th century.

For some optimistic Brexiters, events reflected the pound dropping to a more competitive level, promising a re-
balancing of the UK economy and a reduction in its large current account deficit. But as this week's Marmite spat between Unilever and Tesco showed, the effects of international supply chains can have unfortunate effects: rising import costs affect not only consumers but intermediate users of imported goods and services.

The decline in sterling, in a country with a free-floating currency, is not a crisis. But it does suggest investors are re-rating the competitiveness of an economy whose government appears bent on harming the industries in which it has comparative advantage.
As far as one can tell — and the foreign exchange markets are not always known for clear logic — the fall in sterling was a reaction to Theresa May's government signalling a desire for "hard Brexit", including no longer being a member of the EU single market. That would hurt the UK's financial services sector, which relies on regulatory "passporting" arrangements to operate freely across thebloc.
That move, plus the lack of clarity surrounding the government's strategy, has contributed to uncertainty about the UK's handling of Brexit. This probably also played a role in the fall of the currency. Certainly the rise in gilt yields that accompanied the slide in sterling most likely reflected an increase in risk premium.

The optimistic view is that a weaker currency will enable other parts of the economy, especially the manufacturing industry, to
compete better with imports and to find new export markets. Recent history, though, is unpromising. The fall in sterling that followed the global financial crisis, although it imported higher prices, had little of the hoped-for effect on the trade balance. Demand at home and abroad did not react much to the change in prices, and depreciation had the effect of holding down real wage and consumption growth at home more than boosting exports.

The tussle between Unilever and Tesco over the pricing of goods, including the yeast-based spread Marmite, is a case in point. British consumers may have been puzzled that a product largely made and consumed in the UK should be affected by currency movements. But being owned by a Dutch-headquartered company, which reports in euros and uses imported packaging and machinery, means even the most British of products is not immune to exchange-rate movements.
UK businesses reliant on imported inputs — the British car industry, for example, is part of a complex international supply chain — are likely to find that a weaker currency has serious downsides. Small businesses are at risk. New export industries with price-sensitive goods may arise to replace the lost sales of financial services products, but that is an uncertain and long-term proposition. In the meantime, the fall in sterling will push up prices, eat into real incomes and make Britain poorer.
In these circumstances, it is hardly a surprise that investors are marking down the UK's economic prospects by selling its currency. The government says it will not provide a running commentary on Brexit ahead of next year's negotiations with the rest of the EU. But the faster that Mrs May's government provides some clarity about exactly what it is aiming at the better.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 15, 2016, 11:14:29 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on October 14, 2016, 11:48:44 PM
I have said it before the DUP got a good brown envelope from some establishment in Britian.

I would say you could be right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 15, 2016, 11:49:34 AM
It is turning into a farce. The knob in charge of the Bank of England told May to f$$$ off after she said he wasn't very good
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 15, 2016, 01:10:48 PM
So no miracle Brexit  money for the NHS which has a 22 bn deficit.
A few years of Brexit and the unionists will be begging for a UI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 15, 2016, 02:34:50 PM
Do threascair an saol is shéid an ghaoth mar smál
Alastrann, Caesar, 's an méid sin a bhí 'na bpáirt;
tá an Teamhair 'na féar, is féach an Traoi mar tá,
is na Sasanaigh féin do b'fhéidir go bhfaighidís bás

The world laid low, and the wind blew-- like a dust--
Alexander, Caesar, and all their followers.
Tara is grass; and look how it stands with Troy.
And even the English-- maybe they might die.

        --Owen Roe O'Sullivan/ Eoghan Rua Ó Súilleabháin (1748-1784). tr. Thomas Kinsella, with Seán Ó Tuama, from An Duanáire: Poems of the Dispossessed
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 15, 2016, 02:58:59 PM
Was speaking to a guy today who was at a meeting with an European economist for Santander... his take on brexit was very simplistic .... nobody knows how it's going, the fall in the pound is down to fears and no clear idea from the government on how to go about the leave!!  I couldn't quote him but I'd say that's good enough for me to say until the dust settles then we'd have a better idea, instead of the scaremongering from the usual!!

The one thing he did say is the potential fall out from the Russia banks would not help things
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 15, 2016, 03:39:12 PM
I would say it will be almost impossible for Britain to maintain 100% of its current trade with the EU post-Brexit. For example, Britain will find itself at an instant disadvantage in businesses that compete with EU based businesses. The EU will understandably want to protect its own. Also, any new trade tariffs at all will make Britain less competitive, versus EU traders and this will hit their trade with the EU and make them less profitable. As we have already seen, those on very tight margins are likely to struggle.

Oil is priced in dollars, at least for Britain it is. So oil prices will soon rise for UK businesses, while for EU competitors, relatively speaking, it won't. This will hurt British transport companies unless they can buy most of their oil abroad (but then they might be hit with new tariffs post-Brexit).

Any reduction in trade will have an economic effect quickly. If the reduction is in any way significant it could mean recession for Britain. If the reduction is very significant, well...........use your own words.

Politically Britain could divide into Remain and Leave groups. This could get interesting in a few years.

The turmoil we are currently seeing is only the beginning. This will be a bumpy ride and the loons in charge in London are frequently sending out the wrong messages. They do not inspire confidence and to add to everything else, we have a Prime Minister who has no mandate. Strangely Britain is the one country where this doesn't seem to be an issue, yet. Must be down to royalty or British people knowing their place and doffing the cap etc.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 15, 2016, 04:57:21 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 15, 2016, 03:39:12 PM
I would say it will be almost impossible for Britain to maintain 100% of its current trade with the EU post-Brexit. For example, Britain will find itself at an instant disadvantage in businesses that compete with EU based businesses. The EU will understandably want to protect its own. Also, any new trade tariffs at all will make Britain less competitive, versus EU traders and this will hit their trade with the EU and make them less profitable. As we have already seen, those on very tight margins are likely to struggle.

Oil is priced in dollars, at least for Britain it is. So oil prices will soon rise for UK businesses, while for EU competitors, relatively speaking, it won't. This will hurt British transport companies unless they can buy most of their oil abroad (but then they might be hit with new tariffs post-Brexit).

Any reduction in trade will have an economic effect quickly. If the reduction is in any way significant it could mean recession for Britain. If the reduction is very significant, well...........use your own words.

Politically Britain could divide into Remain and Leave groups. This could get interesting in a few years.

The turmoil we are currently seeing is only the beginning. This will be a bumpy ride and the loons in charge in London are frequently sending out the wrong messages. They do not inspire confidence and to add to everything else, we have a Prime Minister who has no mandate. Strangely Britain is the one country where this doesn't seem to be an issue, yet. Must be down to royalty or British people knowing their place and doffing the cap etc.
Brexit reminds me of this

Insanity in individuals is something rare - but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. Friedrich Nietzsche
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 15, 2016, 07:56:26 PM
Paddy Irishman and Paddy Englishman walked into a bar. Paddy Englishman said "can you buy me a pint.?"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 15, 2016, 08:34:22 PM
http://www.politico.eu/article/theresa-mays-brexit-war-cabinet/ (http://www.politico.eu/article/theresa-mays-brexit-war-cabinet/)

'...Every senior cabinet minister who campaigned for a vote to leave the EU has been given a place on the committee, which acts as the government's ultimate decision-making body on Brexit.

The three leading Brexiteers — Boris Johnson, David Davis and Liam Fox — are included, as expected. But Theresa May has also given positions to International Development Secretary Priti Patel, Transport Secretary Chris Grayling and Environment Secretary Andrea Leadsom — all prominent members of the Leave campaign...'

'...In a controversial move, the secretaries of state for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are not given permanent positions around the decision-making table. Instead they attend "as required" by the prime minister....'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 15, 2016, 09:35:04 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 15, 2016, 08:34:22 PM
http://www.politico.eu/article/theresa-mays-brexit-war-cabinet/ (http://www.politico.eu/article/theresa-mays-brexit-war-cabinet/)

'...Every senior cabinet minister who campaigned for a vote to leave the EU has been given a place on the committee, which acts as the government's ultimate decision-making body on Brexit.

The three leading Brexiteers — Boris Johnson, David Davis and Liam Fox — are included, as expected. But Theresa May has also given positions to International Development Secretary Priti Patel, Transport Secretary Chris Grayling and Environment Secretary Andrea Leadsom — all prominent members of the Leave campaign...'

'...In a controversial move, the secretaries of state for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland are not given permanent positions around the decision-making table. Instead they attend "as required" by the prime minister....'

Y0u cannot apply logic to an agenda
the UK will be  hammered on the currency markets again and again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 15, 2016, 09:36:48 PM
David Davis & Liam Fox are out of their depth, being arch Brexiteers who weren't c***ts to May seems to be their main qualification for being there. Wouldn't be surprised to see Gove parachuted in at some point when it gets even more shambolic, hateful hoorbag and all that he is, he's a very able politician and exactly the type of person required to make Brexit a 'success'.

It's going to be like watching a car crash this thing unfolding. May is going to get nailed by trying to dodge Parliament, a General Election is very possible as 'mandates' are increasingly being bandied about, Parliament will never pass a Brexit bill. The SNP aren't going to take anything lying down either. Constitutional chaos awaits - amongst the rest of the mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 16, 2016, 01:25:35 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 15, 2016, 03:39:12 PM
I would say it will be almost impossible for Britain to maintain 100% of its current trade with the EU post-Brexit. For example, Britain will find itself at an instant disadvantage in businesses that compete with EU based businesses. The EU will understandably want to protect its own. Also, any new trade tariffs at all will make Britain less competitive, versus EU traders and this will hit their trade with the EU and make them less profitable. As we have already seen, those on very tight margins are likely to struggle.

Oil is priced in dollars, at least for Britain it is. So oil prices will soon rise for UK businesses, while for EU competitors, relatively speaking, it won't. This will hurt British transport companies unless they can buy most of their oil abroad (but then they might be hit with new tariffs post-Brexit).

Any reduction in trade will have an economic effect quickly. If the reduction is in any way significant it could mean recession for Britain. If the reduction is very significant, well...........use your own words.


A devaluation reduces living standards, but the idea is that exporters can boost exports and employ more etc. Leaving aside that UK exports have not responded well to devaluation in the recent past, in the present confused situation if you were an exporter would you invest to produce more or if you were dealing with a UK provider would you sign a long term contract for the supply of more goods?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 06:40:17 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 16, 2016, 01:25:35 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 15, 2016, 03:39:12 PM
I would say it will be almost impossible for Britain to maintain 100% of its current trade with the EU post-Brexit. For example, Britain will find itself at an instant disadvantage in businesses that compete with EU based businesses. The EU will understandably want to protect its own. Also, any new trade tariffs at all will make Britain less competitive, versus EU traders and this will hit their trade with the EU and make them less profitable. As we have already seen, those on very tight margins are likely to struggle.

Oil is priced in dollars, at least for Britain it is. So oil prices will soon rise for UK businesses, while for EU competitors, relatively speaking, it won't. This will hurt British transport companies unless they can buy most of their oil abroad (but then they might be hit with new tariffs post-Brexit).

Any reduction in trade will have an economic effect quickly. If the reduction is in any way significant it could mean recession for Britain. If the reduction is very significant, well...........use your own words.


A devaluation reduces living standards, but the idea is that exporters can boost exports and employ more etc. Leaving aside that UK exports have not responded well to devaluation in the recent past, in the present confused situation if you were an exporter would you invest to produce more or if you were dealing with a UK provider would you sign a long term contract for the supply of more goods?
Ceteris is not paribus with the 6% of GDP deficit the UK has.
the devaluation will probably just import inflation and reduce living standards
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 16, 2016, 09:57:52 AM
Interesting opinion piece from Kevin Myers in Sunday Times today. Can't link it. 'Weight of immigration to sink good ship eu'.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Brexit means a lower standard of living . Another nail in the coffin of NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 16, 2016, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 16, 2016, 01:25:35 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 15, 2016, 03:39:12 PM
I would say it will be almost impossible for Britain to maintain 100% of its current trade with the EU post-Brexit. For example, Britain will find itself at an instant disadvantage in businesses that compete with EU based businesses. The EU will understandably want to protect its own. Also, any new trade tariffs at all will make Britain less competitive, versus EU traders and this will hit their trade with the EU and make them less profitable. As we have already seen, those on very tight margins are likely to struggle.

Oil is priced in dollars, at least for Britain it is. So oil prices will soon rise for UK businesses, while for EU competitors, relatively speaking, it won't. This will hurt British transport companies unless they can buy most of their oil abroad (but then they might be hit with new tariffs post-Brexit).

Any reduction in trade will have an economic effect quickly. If the reduction is in any way significant it could mean recession for Britain. If the reduction is very significant, well...........use your own words.


A devaluation reduces living standards, but the idea is that exporters can boost exports and employ more etc. Leaving aside that UK exports have not responded well to devaluation in the recent past, in the present confused situation if you were an exporter would you invest to produce more or if you were dealing with a UK provider would you sign a long term contract for the supply of more goods?

That is what normally happens, but if tariffs are added to British exports and not those of their competitors devaluation isn't that much help. Also if exporters have to source anything from abroad, they face both currency problems and tariffs so their costs go up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:53:32 AM
The Tories should hand over the UK to Supernanny for 3 months
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 10:58:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Brexit means a lower standard of living . Another nail in the coffin of NI.

Jesus man!! Give it up, standard of living has never been as good!! Give me a period of time where it's been better?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 16, 2016, 11:04:32 AM
The standard if living might still be less than it would otherwise have been,  even if it remains better than in the past.

However, the real threat to NI is political destabilisation,  which will ado reduce the economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:26:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 10:58:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Brexit means a lower standard of living . Another nail in the coffin of NI.

Jesus man!! Give it up, standard of living has never been as good!! Give me a period of time where it's been better?

Last month
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 11:33:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:26:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 10:58:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Brexit means a lower standard of living . Another nail in the coffin of NI.

Jesus man!! Give it up, standard of living has never been as good!! Give me a period of time where it's been better?

Last month

Period of time (for me anyways) would be a decade or a generation, not a month and fuel is still cheaper than the 1.40 odds it was last time, milk same price as is bread!! Chicken still cost 4 quid! And bottle of wine is still a fiver!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:40:57 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 11:33:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:26:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 10:58:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Brexit means a lower standard of living . Another nail in the coffin of NI.

Jesus man!! Give it up, standard of living has never been as good!! Give me a period of time where it's been better?

Last month

Period of time (for me anyways) would be a decade or a generation, not a month and fuel is still cheaper than the 1.40 odds it was last time, milk same price as is bread!! Chicken still cost 4 quid! And bottle of wine is still a fiver!!

It takes time for currency falls to make their way onto retail.prices. By the time the Ulster championship kicks oFF next may things should be clearer.
There will be fewer Brits and occupied people going on foreign holidays.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 11:46:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:40:57 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 11:33:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:26:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 10:58:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Brexit means a lower standard of living . Another nail in the coffin of NI.

Jesus man!! Give it up, standard of living has never been as good!! Give me a period of time where it's been better?

Last month

Period of time (for me anyways) would be a decade or a generation, not a month and fuel is still cheaper than the 1.40 odds it was last time, milk same price as is bread!! Chicken still cost 4 quid! And bottle of wine is still a fiver!!

It takes time for currency falls to make their way onto retail.prices. By the time the Ulster championship kicks oFF next may things should be clearer.
There will be fewer Brits and occupied people going on foreign holidays.

Right, will we have less southerners coming over the border for shopping?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 16, 2016, 11:47:35 AM
That's assuming Sterling maintains it's current level. Sterling could recover it's recent losses before Christmas. Who knows what is round the corner in the Eurozone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 16, 2016, 12:20:46 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 11:46:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:40:57 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 11:33:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:26:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 10:58:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Brexit means a lower standard of living . Another nail in the coffin of NI.

Jesus man!! Give it up, standard of living has never been as good!! Give me a period of time where it's been better?

Last month

Period of time (for me anyways) would be a decade or a generation, not a month and fuel is still cheaper than the 1.40 odds it was last time, milk same price as is bread!! Chicken still cost 4 quid! And bottle of wine is still a fiver!!

It takes time for currency falls to make their way onto retail.prices. By the time the Ulster championship kicks oFF next may things should be clearer.
There will be fewer Brits and occupied people going on foreign holidays.

Right, will we have less southerners coming over the border for shopping?

Why do you keep spouting this shite as if you're making some sort of point?  It's irrelevant.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 16, 2016, 12:28:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 15, 2016, 02:58:59 PM
Was speaking to a guy today who was at a meeting with an European economist for Santander... his take on brexit was very simplistic .... nobody knows how it's going, the fall in the pound is down to fears and no clear idea from the government on how to go about the leave!!  I couldn't quote him but I'd say that's good enough for me to say until the dust settles then we'd have a better idea, instead of the scaremongering from the usual!!

The one thing he did say is the potential fall out from the Russia banks would not help things

If investors saw the UK economy as being strong enough to cope with the shock of this they would not be dumping sterling.  Nobody is scaremongering.  We're looking at the data, the opinions and the events and making a judgement.  Just because most people are coming up with conclusions that this is not a good thing doesn't mean they are scaremongering.  Who does that benefit?  I'd rather be informed and try to make plans rather than say 'I don't know what's gonna happen, sure we'll wait and see.  It might be grand.'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 12:42:50 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 16, 2016, 09:57:52 AM
Interesting opinion piece from Kevin Myers in Sunday Times today. Can't link it. 'Weight of immigration to sink good ship eu'.
Myers was wrong on Iraq and he is wrong on this
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 01:15:44 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 16, 2016, 12:28:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 15, 2016, 02:58:59 PM
Was speaking to a guy today who was at a meeting with an European economist for Santander... his take on brexit was very simplistic .... nobody knows how it's going, the fall in the pound is down to fears and no clear idea from the government on how to go about the leave!!  I couldn't quote him but I'd say that's good enough for me to say until the dust settles then we'd have a better idea, instead of the scaremongering from the usual!!

The one thing he did say is the potential fall out from the Russia banks would not help things

If investors saw the UK economy as being strong enough to cope with the shock of this they would not be dumping sterling.  Nobody is scaremongering.  We're looking at the data, the opinions and the events and making a judgement.  Just because most people are coming up with conclusions that this is not a good thing doesn't mean they are scaremongering.  Who does that benefit?  I'd rather be informed and try to make plans rather than say 'I don't know what's gonna happen, sure we'll wait and see.  It might be grand.'

I gave an experts opinion. A person informed on it, are you willing to accept that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 16, 2016, 01:22:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 01:15:44 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 16, 2016, 12:28:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 15, 2016, 02:58:59 PM
Was speaking to a guy today who was at a meeting with an European economist for Santander... his take on brexit was very simplistic .... nobody knows how it's going, the fall in the pound is down to fears and no clear idea from the government on how to go about the leave!!  I couldn't quote him but I'd say that's good enough for me to say until the dust settles then we'd have a better idea, instead of the scaremongering from the usual!!

The one thing he did say is the potential fall out from the Russia banks would not help things

If investors saw the UK economy as being strong enough to cope with the shock of this they would not be dumping sterling.  Nobody is scaremongering.  We're looking at the data, the opinions and the events and making a judgement.  Just because most people are coming up with conclusions that this is not a good thing doesn't mean they are scaremongering.  Who does that benefit?  I'd rather be informed and try to make plans rather than say 'I don't know what's gonna happen, sure we'll wait and see.  It might be grand.'

I gave an experts opinion. A person informed on it, are you willing to accept that?

What exactly did the "expert" say that is different from what Franko said?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 01:40:28 PM
My posts or responses are mainly to seafoid, Franko has a dislike for me and feels he needs to row in behind my posts and attack me, I've no problem with that.

Seafoid has a hard on for the north and believes it's going to fall into the Irish Sea! Or would like it to

the expert has said that they haven't a clue as to where it's going or how it will effect things until it actually happens and Britain tries to do trade .. the panic on the pound is a result of business fearing the worst and managing their accounts as such, which shows a weakness in the pound... will it go to 2008 levels? Again all hearsay!! I believe Franko says similarly but has a more negative view . Seems to be a glass half empty person
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on October 16, 2016, 01:44:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 11:33:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 11:26:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 10:58:32 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Brexit means a lower standard of living . Another nail in the coffin of NI.

Jesus man!! Give it up, standard of living has never been as good!! Give me a period of time where it's been better?

Last month

Period of time (for me anyways) would be a decade or a generation, not a month and fuel is still cheaper than the 1.40 odds it was last time, milk same price as is bread!! Chicken still cost 4 quid! And bottle of wine is still a fiver!!

Exactly. As a society we have never been richer. Even the so called poor are rich. Nobody i see is without clothes food or the latest iphone. People will only struggle if they over extend themselves on crap they dont need. When bread and milk are a fiver, il agree that living standards have dropped. Until then, relax.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 16, 2016, 01:47:24 PM
Sterlings current levels are as much to do with getting a Political kicking as much as it's Economic fundamentals.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 16, 2016, 02:15:04 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 16, 2016, 01:47:24 PM
Sterlings current levels are as much to do with getting a Political kicking as much as it's Economic fundamentals.

This is definitely true. And I think this is why Brexit will be painful for Britain. With the exception of the Republic, most of the older EU countries found them to be obnoxious, obstructive and objectionable members.

All explained here over 20 years ago:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37iHSwA1SwE (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37iHSwA1SwE)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 16, 2016, 02:23:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 01:40:28 PM
My posts or responses are mainly to seafoid, Franko has a dislike for me and feels he needs to row in behind my posts and attack me, I've no problem with that.

Seafoid has a hard on for the north and believes it's going to fall into the Irish Sea! Or would like it to

the expert has said that they haven't a clue as to where it's going or how it will effect things until it actually happens and Britain tries to do trade .. the panic on the pound is a result of business fearing the worst and managing their accounts as such, which shows a weakness in the pound... will it go to 2008 levels? Again all hearsay!! I believe Franko says similarly but has a more negative view . Seems to be a glass half empty person

Don't be so precious MR2.  Nobody has a problem with you.  It's an anonymous discussion forum for christ's sake.  I think you'll find that the VAST majority of the experts views would tally more with mine than yours.  The whole point about predicting what's going to happen (in any walk of life) is that you never know.  That argument could be applied to any situation.  You can predict what's likely to happen though, given past events and I know what that is in this case.  If you're happy to continue with the 'que sera' attitude that's cool, it just doesn't really work for me.

Also, interesting to note that you devoted most of your response to 'playing the man' with regard to the people who were disagreeing with you.  Unlike yourself, I won't take it personally.  It usually indicates a weak argument and this case is no different.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 16, 2016, 02:26:45 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 16, 2016, 01:47:24 PM
Sterlings current levels are as much to do with getting a Political kicking as much as it's Economic fundamentals.

Indeed - and that's not going to change any if the Tories continue down May's current path.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 03:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 01:40:28 PM
My posts or responses are mainly to seafoid, Franko has a dislike for me and feels he needs to row in behind my posts and attack me, I've no problem with that.

Seafoid has a hard on for the north and believes it's going to fall into the Irish Sea! Or would like it to

the expert has said that they haven't a clue as to where it's going or how it will effect things until it actually happens and Britain tries to do trade .. the panic on the pound is a result of business fearing the worst and managing their accounts as such, which shows a weakness in the pound... will it go to 2008 levels? Again all hearsay!! I believe Franko says similarly but has a more negative view . Seems to be a glass half empty person

I don't think it is going to fall into the sea. I think you are mixing it up with the Isle of Man
I just think the assumptions the unionists have made are going to fall apart.

http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-dup-opposition-to-brexit-forum-purely-parochial-1.2736287

When the DUP took its pro-Brexit position, it will have known this reflected the majority of unionist opinion but that would not have justified knowingly leading unionism over a cliff. It must also be remembered few expected Leave to win, so the DUP set itself up to lose just to commune with its base on an apparently arcane question, three years before the next scheduled election – an eternity in political terms.

The UUP was pro-Remain, despite a few internal rumbles. Ensuring it is not in any way recognised for this seems to be more of a priority for the DUP today than sorting out the Brexit mess, in part because it does not believe Brexit will cause a mess. "

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w85t5wxxamk

All those Orange lodges with picture of Eilis 2.

Frank Zappa said "be a loyal plastic robot for a world that doesn't care"
London does not care. Especially if the NHS collapses or is sold to a hedge fund by the Brexit mafia.
And who is standing up for the people in the Short Strand or Tiger's Bay?  Nobody.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 16, 2016, 04:31:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 16, 2016, 11:47:35 AM
That's assuming Sterling maintains it's current level. Sterling could recover it's recent losses before Christmas. Who knows what is round the corner in the Eurozone.

No! While the bailout of Deutsche, the rise of Le Pen and the demise of Merkel in the next few months will hit the euro hard sterling isn't going to gain anything on.the dollar and the Euronis not going to drop an additional 20% that it has gained in the last 3 months!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 05:37:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 03:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 01:40:28 PM
My posts or responses are mainly to seafoid, Franko has a dislike for me and feels he needs to row in behind my posts and attack me, I've no problem with that.

Seafoid has a hard on for the north and believes it's going to fall into the Irish Sea! Or would like it to

the expert has said that they haven't a clue as to where it's going or how it will effect things until it actually happens and Britain tries to do trade .. the panic on the pound is a result of business fearing the worst and managing their accounts as such, which shows a weakness in the pound... will it go to 2008 levels? Again all hearsay!! I believe Franko says similarly but has a more negative view . Seems to be a glass half empty person

I don't think it is going to fall into the sea. I think you are mixing it up with the Isle of Man
I just think the assumptions the unionists have made are going to fall apart.

http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-dup-opposition-to-brexit-forum-purely-parochial-1.2736287

When the DUP took its pro-Brexit position, it will have known this reflected the majority of unionist opinion but that would not have justified knowingly leading unionism over a cliff. It must also be remembered few expected Leave to win, so the DUP set itself up to lose just to commune with its base on an apparently arcane question, three years before the next scheduled election – an eternity in political terms.

The UUP was pro-Remain, despite a few internal rumbles. Ensuring it is not in any way recognised for this seems to be more of a priority for the DUP today than sorting out the Brexit mess, in part because it does not believe Brexit will cause a mess. "

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w85t5wxxamk

All those Orange lodges with picture of Eilis 2.

Frank Zappa said "be a loyal plastic robot for a world that doesn't care"
London does not care. Especially if the NHS collapses or is sold to a hedge fund by the Brexit mafia.
And who is standing up for the people in the Short Strand or Tiger's Bay?  Nobody.

When have unionists ever made the right choice?? Only concerned with getting votes and saving themselves. They have shit in the next by backing a loser but hey, that won't stop tribal politics and when people vote it won't be about brexit or the educational system or nhs, nah is uses and themons
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 09:12:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 05:37:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 03:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2016, 01:40:28 PM
My posts or responses are mainly to seafoid, Franko has a dislike for me and feels he needs to row in behind my posts and attack me, I've no problem with that.

Seafoid has a hard on for the north and believes it's going to fall into the Irish Sea! Or would like it to

the expert has said that they haven't a clue as to where it's going or how it will effect things until it actually happens and Britain tries to do trade .. the panic on the pound is a result of business fearing the worst and managing their accounts as such, which shows a weakness in the pound... will it go to 2008 levels? Again all hearsay!! I believe Franko says similarly but has a more negative view . Seems to be a glass half empty person

I don't think it is going to fall into the sea. I think you are mixing it up with the Isle of Man
I just think the assumptions the unionists have made are going to fall apart.

http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-dup-opposition-to-brexit-forum-purely-parochial-1.2736287

When the DUP took its pro-Brexit position, it will have known this reflected the majority of unionist opinion but that would not have justified knowingly leading unionism over a cliff. It must also be remembered few expected Leave to win, so the DUP set itself up to lose just to commune with its base on an apparently arcane question, three years before the next scheduled election – an eternity in political terms.

The UUP was pro-Remain, despite a few internal rumbles. Ensuring it is not in any way recognised for this seems to be more of a priority for the DUP today than sorting out the Brexit mess, in part because it does not believe Brexit will cause a mess. "

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w85t5wxxamk

All those Orange lodges with picture of Eilis 2.

Frank Zappa said "be a loyal plastic robot for a world that doesn't care"
London does not care. Especially if the NHS collapses or is sold to a hedge fund by the Brexit mafia.
And who is standing up for the people in the Short Strand or Tiger's Bay?  Nobody.

When have unionists ever made the right choice?? Only concerned with getting votes and saving themselves. They have shit in the next by backing a loser but hey, that won't stop tribal politics and when people vote it won't be about brexit or the educational system or nhs, nah is uses and themons
It's weird, isn't it? they really are lost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 16, 2016, 09:36:24 PM
It's almost like they don't want progress on anything. So insecure in the thought of losing their union that they can't see the shit unfolding in front of them. (Or they're taking envelopes like someone else said...)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 09:43:20 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/16/irish-pm-calls-brexit-summit-to-confront-looming-crisis
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2016, 09:54:12 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/16/martin-mcguinness-calls-for-special-eu-status-for-northern-ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2016, 08:00:12 AM
NI is something the South has to take care of with the help of others. It is never going to be like the other children.
But if it is looked after it will be ok.


A chara, – The peace process must be protected by both Dublin and London. The European Parliament will also have a vested interest in ensuring that it is not only supported but strengthened. Any attempt to return to the days of a hard Border would surely be weakening the peace process, and could result in the breakdown of the peace process. This would be disastrous for all the people of Ireland. Those who will wholeheartedly stand up for the peace process and respect the Remain vote in the north have the interests of all the people at heart. – Is mise,
Fr JOE McVEIGH,
Enniskillen, Co Fermanagh
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 17, 2016, 10:41:40 AM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37674169

Britain's economy faces a "prolonged period" of weaker growth as consumer spending slows and business curbs investment, according to a report.
Although the EY Item Club think tank predicts the economy will grow 1.9% this year, it expects that performance to fizzle out as inflation rises.
The economy's stability since June's Brexit vote was "deceptive", EY said.
Meanwhile, a senior Bank of England official told the BBC that inflation may surpass its 2% target.
The Bank's deputy governor Ben Broadbent told Radio 5 live that sterling's weakness would fuel inflation, but that controlling prices with tighter monetary policy could hit growth and jobs.
The dilemma facing policymakers was underlined in the Item Club report.
It expects inflation to jump to 2.6% next year before easing back to 1.8% in 2018. That will cause growth in consumer spending to slow from an expected 2.5% this year to 0.5% in 2017 and 0.9% the year after, the report said.
Business investment is also forecast to fall due to uncertainty surrounding Britain's future trading relationship with the EU, dropping 1.5% this year and more than 2% in 2017.
EY predicts that the impact of weaker consumer spending and falling investment will cause UK GDP growth to drop sharply to 0.8% next year, before expanding to 1.4% in 2018.

Vulnerable sectors
Peter Spencer, chief economic advisor to the EY Item Club, said: "So far it might look like the economy is taking Brexit in its stride, but this picture is deceptive.
"Sterling's shaky performance this month provides a timely reminder that challenges lie ahead. As inflation returns over the winter it will squeeze household incomes and spending.
"The pressure on consumers and the cautious approach to spending by businesses mean that the UK is facing a period of relatively low growth," he said.


Deputy governor Ben Broadbent told 5 live that monetary policy involves a "trade off"
The report said that exporters will benefit from the depreciation of sterling, which last week tumbled against a basket of currencies. Exports will increase by 4.5% in 2017 and 5.6% in 2018, EY forecast.
But Mr Spencer did not expect this to be enough to offset a wider slowdown.
"With activity in the domestic market flat, GDP growth will become heavily dependent upon exports next year," he said.
'Undesirable consequences'

"But once the UK has left the EU certain sectors, such as aerospace, automotive, and chemicals that trade extensively with the EU will be a lot more vulnerable and may need to be supported by subsidies and more robust industrial policies," he said.
Some of the economic challenges were spelled out in Mr Broadbent's BBC interview with 5 live's Sean Farrington.
The deputy governor, echoing remarks by the Bank's governor Mark Carney last week, said that letting inflation run ahead of the 2% target might ensure the economy does not suffer.
Tighter monetary policy to meet the target could lead to "undesirable consequences" such as lower growth and higher unemployment, he said. It's a "trade off", he added.


The part in bold may just provide the reason why there's been no change to MR2's chief indicator of economic performance. ("a bottle of wine is still a fiver")
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2016, 11:47:29 AM
Quote from: Franko on October 17, 2016, 10:41:40 AM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-37674169

Britain's economy faces a "prolonged period" of weaker growth as consumer spending slows and business curbs investment, according to a report.
Although the EY Item Club think tank predicts the economy will grow 1.9% this year, it expects that performance to fizzle out as inflation rises.
The economy's stability since June's Brexit vote was "deceptive", EY said.
Meanwhile, a senior Bank of England official told the BBC that inflation may surpass its 2% target.
The Bank's deputy governor Ben Broadbent told Radio 5 live that sterling's weakness would fuel inflation, but that controlling prices with tighter monetary policy could hit growth and jobs.
The dilemma facing policymakers was underlined in the Item Club report.
It expects inflation to jump to 2.6% next year before easing back to 1.8% in 2018. That will cause growth in consumer spending to slow from an expected 2.5% this year to 0.5% in 2017 and 0.9% the year after, the report said.
Business investment is also forecast to fall due to uncertainty surrounding Britain's future trading relationship with the EU, dropping 1.5% this year and more than 2% in 2017.
EY predicts that the impact of weaker consumer spending and falling investment will cause UK GDP growth to drop sharply to 0.8% next year, before expanding to 1.4% in 2018.

Vulnerable sectors
Peter Spencer, chief economic advisor to the EY Item Club, said: "So far it might look like the economy is taking Brexit in its stride, but this picture is deceptive.
"Sterling's shaky performance this month provides a timely reminder that challenges lie ahead. As inflation returns over the winter it will squeeze household incomes and spending.
"The pressure on consumers and the cautious approach to spending by businesses mean that the UK is facing a period of relatively low growth," he said.


Deputy governor Ben Broadbent told 5 live that monetary policy involves a "trade off"
The report said that exporters will benefit from the depreciation of sterling, which last week tumbled against a basket of currencies. Exports will increase by 4.5% in 2017 and 5.6% in 2018, EY forecast.
But Mr Spencer did not expect this to be enough to offset a wider slowdown.
"With activity in the domestic market flat, GDP growth will become heavily dependent upon exports next year," he said.
'Undesirable consequences'

"But once the UK has left the EU certain sectors, such as aerospace, automotive, and chemicals that trade extensively with the EU will be a lot more vulnerable and may need to be supported by subsidies and more robust industrial policies," he said.
Some of the economic challenges were spelled out in Mr Broadbent's BBC interview with 5 live's Sean Farrington.
The deputy governor, echoing remarks by the Bank's governor Mark Carney last week, said that letting inflation run ahead of the 2% target might ensure the economy does not suffer.
Tighter monetary policy to meet the target could lead to "undesirable consequences" such as lower growth and higher unemployment, he said. It's a "trade off", he added.


The part in bold may just provide the reason why there's been no change to MR2's chief indicator of economic performance. ("a bottle of wine is still a fiver")
Modern integrated economies can't go on solo runs seems to be the message from the whole mess
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2016, 11:52:36 AM
UK faces 22% tariffs on food imports. The UK imports 40% of its food.
https://www.ft.com/content/7f0c732c-93b8-11e6-a80e-bcd69f323a8b
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on October 17, 2016, 05:08:24 PM
The pound has fallen below the euro for the first time in 6 1/2 years. €1.10
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 17, 2016, 07:00:04 PM
How is £1 to €1.10/11 below parity?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on October 17, 2016, 07:02:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 17, 2016, 07:00:04 PM
How is £1 to €1.10/11 below parity?
I failed Maths and back up Maths ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2016, 07:11:50 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 17, 2016, 07:00:04 PM
How is £1 to €1.10/11 below parity?
Special Strabane commission rates.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 17, 2016, 07:22:06 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 17, 2016, 07:02:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 17, 2016, 07:00:04 PM
How is £1 to €1.10/11 below parity?
I failed Maths and back up Maths ;)

Was your Maths teacher a Mr. Fearon by any chance?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on October 17, 2016, 07:29:32 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 17, 2016, 07:22:06 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 17, 2016, 07:02:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 17, 2016, 07:00:04 PM
How is £1 to €1.10/11 below parity?
I failed Maths and back up Maths ;)

Was your Maths teacher a Mr. Fearon by any chance?

Na, he's my accountant.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2016, 08:48:36 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 17, 2016, 07:00:04 PM
How is £1 to €1.10/11 below parity?
Beyond parody maybe
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 17, 2016, 09:21:44 PM
I'm just glad I'm not going mad, I looked at Ziggy's post for ages before posting - thinking I'm definitely missing something here :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 17, 2016, 09:23:17 PM
Lol so did i. Sadly at current rate it could be true soon!

Good time to own a shop in newry coming up to christmas i think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 06:50:37 AM
The decline in UK real wages since the pre-crisis peak is the most severe in the OECD, equal only to Greece. Both countries saw declines of 10.4% per cent between 2007 Q4 and 2015Q4.

http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2016/07/uk-real-wages-decline-10-severe-oecd-equal-greece/ show less
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ludermor on October 18, 2016, 08:47:33 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 17, 2016, 07:00:04 PM
How is £1 to €1.10/11 below parity?
After commission and fees, i was coming through Gatwick at the weekend and the currency exchange was 98c to the Pound.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 18, 2016, 09:00:55 AM
Currency exchange for the ill prepared.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ludermor on October 18, 2016, 09:35:29 AM
That may be the case but its what it was, not everyone knows about transferwise or currency fair etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on October 18, 2016, 09:55:05 AM
UK inflation picking up quickly...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 18, 2016, 10:07:12 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 06:50:37 AM
The decline in UK real wages since the pre-crisis peak is the most severe in the OECD, equal only to Greece. Both countries saw declines of 10.4% per cent between 2007 Q4 and 2015Q4.

http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2016/07/uk-real-wages-decline-10-severe-oecd-equal-greece/ show less

That article has little, or in fact anything, to do with brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2016, 10:18:26 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 18, 2016, 10:07:12 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 06:50:37 AM
The decline in UK real wages since the pre-crisis peak is the most severe in the OECD, equal only to Greece. Both countries saw declines of 10.4% per cent between 2007 Q4 and 2015Q4.

http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2016/07/uk-real-wages-decline-10-severe-oecd-equal-greece/ show less

That article has little, or in fact anything, to do with brexit.

No directly. However, it explains some of the dissatisfaction and some of the theories that immigration was holding wages down. It also illustrates that people have lost living standards through inflation, something that will probably happen again in the next couple of years.

For instance, since 2008 wages in the 26 counties are much the same on average, some sectors and the public sector are down, others are up a bit. But prices too are much the same, so people are not doing so bad. In the UK wages have not grown much, but there has been significant inflation in the UK. Since Sterling was last 90c in 2008 prices in the North are up 10-12% vs feck all in the South so Sterling might well reach parity this time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 10:29:43 AM
Quote from: gallsman on October 18, 2016, 09:55:05 AM
UK inflation picking up quickly...
They import 40% of their food. The UK is seriously densely populated
Food margins are 2%
BOHICA
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 10:30:28 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 18, 2016, 10:07:12 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 06:50:37 AM
The decline in UK real wages since the pre-crisis peak is the most severe in the OECD, equal only to Greece. Both countries saw declines of 10.4% per cent between 2007 Q4 and 2015Q4.

http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2016/07/uk-real-wages-decline-10-severe-oecd-equal-greece/ show less

That article has little, or in fact anything, to do with brexit.
If people felt the system was working for them they wouldn't vote for chaos
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2016, 10:31:20 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 10:29:43 AM
They import 40% of their food. The UK is seriously densely populated

The population of England and Wales is seriously dense, not so much Scotland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on October 18, 2016, 10:36:52 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2016, 10:31:20 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 10:29:43 AM
They import 40% of their food. The UK is seriously densely populated

The population of England and Wales is seriously dense, not so much Scotland.

;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 10:42:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2016, 10:31:20 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 10:29:43 AM
They import 40% of their food. The UK is seriously densely populated

The population of England and Wales is seriously dense, not so much Scotland.

It's really South East England and a circle including the midlands and a space from Liverpool to Leeds.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzIUo32nrpo

They need a lot of productive economic activity to keep everyone happy.

If you go back to 1500 Ireland and England had similar populations. It is not clear that England took the right road. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 18, 2016, 12:28:33 PM
Prices will soon increase in the UK...

https://www.buzzfeed.com/jamesball/heres-why-poor-families-are-about-to-feel-even-poorer?utm_term=.tqB1WQpmk#.hoPbkx6wW
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 12:42:59 PM
Real wages are down 10% since 08. Osborne wanted to reduce the deficit to zero but could not cos of wages. So the UK has a big deficit. Funded by foreigners . Beggars cannot be choosers. Brexit would be OK if no deficit. But it is not with a deficit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 12:50:16 PM
Say you are an individual with a spending habit. And an ok job. But no.pay rises since 08. And spending more than income. And the credit union lends you money but you use it for day to day spending  . And now you want to jack in your job and set up an import export business. But you are not sure about taxes. And you tell the credit union to f**k off. Then next day you ask them for money.
That is what Brexit is like.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on October 18, 2016, 01:31:21 PM
Yeah, the problem with that analogy is that the creidt unions don't tell people to f**k off. They just hand the cash out like sweeties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 18, 2016, 02:01:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2016, 10:18:26 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 18, 2016, 10:07:12 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 06:50:37 AM
The decline in UK real wages since the pre-crisis peak is the most severe in the OECD, equal only to Greece. Both countries saw declines of 10.4% per cent between 2007 Q4 and 2015Q4.

http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2016/07/uk-real-wages-decline-10-severe-oecd-equal-greece/ show less

That article has little, or in fact anything, to do with brexit.

No directly. However, it explains some of the dissatisfaction and some of the theories that immigration was holding wages down. It also illustrates that people have lost living standards through inflation, something that will probably happen again in the next couple of years.

For instance, since 2008 wages in the 26 counties are much the same on average, some sectors and the public sector are down, others are up a bit. But prices too are much the same, so people are not doing so bad. In the UK wages have not grown much, but there has been significant inflation in the UK. Since Sterling was last 90c in 2008 prices in the North are up 10-12% vs feck all in the South so Sterling might well reach parity this time.

would it be fair to say that people spend way to much compared to say the 70's or 80's? And that the standard of living now is hundred times better than what I grew up with in the 70's? I mean most 10 year olds have a smart phone or IPad or such like nowadays, contract phones plus house phones, newer cars rather than the old bangers we had that we cellotaped through MOT's.. And people eat way too much also, we'd spuds right through the week! with an assortment of veg and so called meat!

For all the complaining we are living a better life than before, this is shown with how long people are living compared to before!

Some people are never happy with what they have or have a very short memory
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 02:32:50 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/4155cd6c-9485-11e6-a80e-bcd69f323a8b#comments

Coase Theorem 2 hours ago
This is worse than an experts view
This is an investors' view
US businesses, like Japanese ones, are just flat out saying that the UK is less attractive if it isn't in the Single Market
And unlike any UK business this can't be dismissed as a lack of patriotism
It just is what it is


Jean 2 hours ago
@NP O Lordy, don't you get it? There will be no low tax low reg economy on the EU's border hoovering up investment precisely because the EU will ensure that low tax low reg economy has no access to its market .... which at stroke eliminates its sources of investment
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 18, 2016, 04:03:16 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 18, 2016, 02:01:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2016, 10:18:26 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 18, 2016, 10:07:12 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 06:50:37 AM
The decline in UK real wages since the pre-crisis peak is the most severe in the OECD, equal only to Greece. Both countries saw declines of 10.4% per cent between 2007 Q4 and 2015Q4.

http://touchstoneblog.org.uk/2016/07/uk-real-wages-decline-10-severe-oecd-equal-greece/ show less

That article has little, or in fact anything, to do with brexit.

No directly. However, it explains some of the dissatisfaction and some of the theories that immigration was holding wages down. It also illustrates that people have lost living standards through inflation, something that will probably happen again in the next couple of years.

For instance, since 2008 wages in the 26 counties are much the same on average, some sectors and the public sector are down, others are up a bit. But prices too are much the same, so people are not doing so bad. In the UK wages have not grown much, but there has been significant inflation in the UK. Since Sterling was last 90c in 2008 prices in the North are up 10-12% vs feck all in the South so Sterling might well reach parity this time.

would it be fair to say that people spend way to much compared to say the 70's or 80's? And that the standard of living now is hundred times better than what I grew up with in the 70's? I mean most 10 year olds have a smart phone or IPad or such like nowadays, contract phones plus house phones, newer cars rather than the old bangers we had that we cellotaped through MOT's.. And people eat way too much also, we'd spuds right through the week! with an assortment of veg and so called meat!

For all the complaining we are living a better life than before, this is shown with how long people are living compared to before!

Some people are never happy with what they have or have a very short memory

This is very true.
The main driving force behind this in the majority of cases is women. I know from friends who are married and myself included it is very hard to rein the missus in when it comes to spending at birthdays, Christmas etc. Years ago there was only one source of income and it was easier controlled, now you have two and their is very little control unless one of you is ruthless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 18, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHFp3-qE_T8

She knows the craic... Britain may take advantage of their Exports while their price is low and they're still in the market. The gravy train is going to leave the station very soon!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 05:53:12 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHFp3-qE_T8

She knows the craic... Britain may take advantage of their Exports while their price is low and they're still in the market. The gravy train is going to leave the station very soon!!!
Super video.
Brexit is a joke
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2016, 06:53:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 05:53:12 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHFp3-qE_T8

She knows the craic... Britain may take advantage of their Exports while their price is low and they're still in the market. The gravy train is going to leave the station very soon!!!
Super video.

1. she is an "expert"
2. she is also a foreigner
what would she know, what is all the fuss about  this Oxford University anyway?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 09:31:27 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2016, 06:53:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2016, 05:53:12 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2016, 05:29:31 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHFp3-qE_T8

She knows the craic... Britain may take advantage of their Exports while their price is low and they're still in the market. The gravy train is going to leave the station very soon!!!
Super video.

1. she is an "expert"
2. she is also a foreigner
what would she know, what is all the fuss about  this Oxford University anyway?

https://www.ft.com/content/347bf20e-9478-11e6-a80e-bcd69f323a8b

"The view from Brussels: Brexit, to the EU-27, in effect kills the passport as it existed for UK-based companies. More significantly, the determination of equivalence is at the European Commission's discretion. It could in principle be withdrawn, for example, if the EU regime changes, or the terms of access changed. From London's perspective, the access provisions are vulnerable to misinterpretation or abuse.
French officials, in particular, see little prospect of the City retaining its position as the main financial centre for the euro. They expect EU rules to be calibrated over time to deepen eurozone-based financial activities, and make it more difficult to operate "offshore"."

That would destroy a sizeable chunk of London's economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 19, 2016, 09:45:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 09:31:27 AM


https://www.ft.com/content/347bf20e-9478-11e6-a80e-bcd69f323a8b

"The view from Brussels: Brexit, to the EU-27, in effect kills the passport as it existed for UK-based companies. More significantly, the determination of equivalence is at the European Commission's discretion. It could in principle be withdrawn, for example, if the EU regime changes, or the terms of access changed. From London's perspective, the access provisions are vulnerable to misinterpretation or abuse.
French officials, in particular, see little prospect of the City retaining its position as the main financial centre for the euro. They expect EU rules to be calibrated over time to deepen eurozone-based financial activities, and make it more difficult to operate "offshore"."

That would destroy a sizeable chunk of London's the UK's economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 19, 2016, 09:55:39 AM
Heard that twat secretary of state for the north on the radio this morning and when he was pushed on how immigration was going to be controlled coming into the UK through Ireland he more or less was saying that the Irish government with be doing this for them.
Has there been some deal done between Kenny and the brits that there will be British border control posts in Irish air ports and ferry terminals.
This should not be allowed to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 19, 2016, 10:02:35 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on October 19, 2016, 09:55:39 AM
Heard that twat secretary of state for the north on the radio this morning and when he was pushed on how immigration was going to be controlled coming into the UK through Ireland he more or less was saying that the Irish government with be doing this for them.
Has there been some deal done between Kenny and the brits that there will be British border control posts in Irish air ports and ferry terminals.
This should not be allowed to happen.

There is hardly a deal done between Kenny and the Brits when the deal will have to be between Britain and the 27 members of the EU as part of Brexit. And talks haven't even begun on that yet. They are merely speculating on the aspects of Brexit that will cause grief but that neither side wish to dig in on (at the moment anyway).

The alternatives would be the Brits doing it at Irish ports or a hard border with the 6 counties.

Britain is good at some things and not good at others. Customs and Border Security firmly falls into the latter. Far better that we do it for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 10:13:56 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/19/brexit-reignites-debate-britishness-northern-ireland-unionists
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 10:16:59 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 19, 2016, 10:02:35 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on October 19, 2016, 09:55:39 AM
Heard that twat secretary of state for the north on the radio this morning and when he was pushed on how immigration was going to be controlled coming into the UK through Ireland he more or less was saying that the Irish government with be doing this for them.
Has there been some deal done between Kenny and the brits that there will be British border control posts in Irish air ports and ferry terminals.
This should not be allowed to happen.

There is hardly a deal done between Kenny and the Brits when the deal will have to be between Britain and the 27 members of the EU as part of Brexit. And talks haven't even begun on that yet. They are merely speculating on the aspects of Brexit that will cause grief but that neither side wish to dig in on (at the moment anyway).

The alternatives would be the Brits doing it at Irish ports or a hard border with the 6 counties.

Britain is good at some things and not good at others. Customs and Border Security firmly falls into the latter. Far better that we do it for them.
The border control thing is bollocks though. The UK economy isn't on its knees because of #dagos and #spicks and #no dogs or Irish.
It's because Brits haven't been getting payrises for a long time. 
All the mess goes back to this point. Brexit won't addres the core issue either.

I still can't get my head around how stupid the UK elites are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 19, 2016, 10:26:01 AM
Secretary of state for the north on RTE now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 19, 2016, 10:30:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 10:16:59 AM
Quote from: muppet on October 19, 2016, 10:02:35 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on October 19, 2016, 09:55:39 AM
Heard that twat secretary of state for the north on the radio this morning and when he was pushed on how immigration was going to be controlled coming into the UK through Ireland he more or less was saying that the Irish government with be doing this for them.
Has there been some deal done between Kenny and the brits that there will be British border control posts in Irish air ports and ferry terminals.
This should not be allowed to happen.

There is hardly a deal done between Kenny and the Brits when the deal will have to be between Britain and the 27 members of the EU as part of Brexit. And talks haven't even begun on that yet. They are merely speculating on the aspects of Brexit that will cause grief but that neither side wish to dig in on (at the moment anyway).

The alternatives would be the Brits doing it at Irish ports or a hard border with the 6 counties.

Britain is good at some things and not good at others. Customs and Border Security firmly falls into the latter. Far better that we do it for them.
The border control thing is bollocks though. The UK economy isn't on its knees because of #dagos and #spicks and #no dogs or Irish.
It's because Brits haven't been getting payrises for a long time. 
All the mess goes back to this point. Brexit won't addres the core issue either.

I still can't get my head around how stupid the UK elites are.

Good economy, middling economy or collapsed economy, there will still need to be a border. What we don't need is one with the 6 counties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 10:37:52 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/19/brexit-tolerant-brtain-known-northern-ireland-peace

I come from a country where the ravages of historical division, and the sectarian violence that inevitably follows, are not such a distant memory. The paramilitary organisations of Northern Ireland are largely quiet now, but the structures that have allowed for this transformation are still febrile.
Irish, British and Northern Irish politicians have worked tirelessly for peace, for years, in order to provide Northern Ireland's wounded communities with a chance to move beyond the hurt of their divided histories. Those communities themselves have sacrificed much so their future generations may be free of the poisonous cycle of violence and terror. That this delicate, hard-won and harder-maintained web of hope has been so carelessly, thoughtlessly jeopardised by a handful of bloviating careerists unashamed to fan fear and division in British society in order to achieve their personal ambitions is a disgrace they will forever bear.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 19, 2016, 12:02:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 10:37:52 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/19/brexit-tolerant-brtain-known-northern-ireland-peace

I come from a country where the ravages of historical division, and the sectarian violence that inevitably follows, are not such a distant memory. The paramilitary organisations of Northern Ireland are largely quiet now, but the structures that have allowed for this transformation are still febrile.
Irish, British and Northern Irish politicians have worked tirelessly for peace, for years, in order to provide Northern Ireland's wounded communities with a chance to move beyond the hurt of their divided histories. Those communities themselves have sacrificed much so their future generations may be free of the poisonous cycle of violence and terror. That this delicate, hard-won and harder-maintained web of hope has been so carelessly, thoughtlessly jeopardised by a handful of bloviating careerists unashamed to fan fear and division in British society in order to achieve their personal ambitions is a disgrace they will forever bear.

I am sure Boris, Fox and co will be tossing and turning all night thinking about it. I think if it was rerun in the morning it would be 60%+ remain. What about this legal challenge ? I take it the gist of it is that your rights as an EU citizen enshrined in law were given by parliament so can only be taken away by parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ballinaman on October 19, 2016, 01:09:20 PM
Not sure if posted before....oh dear-ism

https://youtu.be/3UstNBrmJFc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 19, 2016, 01:13:02 PM
I think we should do what the leave campaign did and tell the 'truth'.

Brexit means:

Leaving the Champions League, 6 Nations, European Championships and that Germans get priority for sun beds, along with all EU citizens, over Brits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 05:00:18 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 19, 2016, 01:13:02 PM
I think we should do what the remain campaign did and tell the 'truth'.

Brexit means:

Leaving the Champions League, 6 Nations, European Championships and that Germans get priority for sun beds, along with all EU citizens, over Brits.
- You are stuck with British birds
- a restricted gene pool
-An even worse English football team
- paler children
- possibly smaller average tits
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2016, 06:49:03 PM
"According to today's Guardian,  Labour MPs are to press the chancellor on the risks of Britain leaving the EU customs union, after the Guardian revealed Whitehall estimates showing it could knock 4.5% off GDP.
Trade flows and foreign investment would also be hit hard by leaving the customs union, according to figures calculated for the Guardian on the same basis as those prepared by civil servants for the government's Brexit committee. The pro-EU think tank Open Britain used studies by the National Institute for Economic and Social Research, the Treasury and the London School of Economics to suggest trade could decline by almost 12% and foreign investment by 10%, or more than £4bn, if Britain left the customs union.
Ministers were also warned at the Brexit committee that if leaving the customs union meant enhanced border checks, it could clog up Britain's ports.
The paper on the customs union warned ministers that to stand still in trade terms after a withdrawal from the bloc, the UK would need to grow trade with its 10 largest partners outside the EU by 37% by 2030.
The Guardian also carried comments from the UK Chamber of Shipping and the Freight Transport Association, the former predicting "profound traffic problems"."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 20, 2016, 11:54:01 PM
Watching Yanis Varoufakis on Questions and Answers, he made the obvious point that there are many Brexits and that if Brexit is for the purpose of empowering Westminister then the parliament must decide the appropriate Brexit, not someone in a back room.

A very clear contribution among the bollix from the audience.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2016, 10:52:19 AM
A hard Brexit means no environmental protection, no workers rights, reduced pensions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cX8szNPgrEs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 21, 2016, 10:55:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 21, 2016, 10:52:19 AM
A hard Brexit means no environmental protection, no workers rights, reduced pensions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cX8szNPgrEs

Tell Eamonn McCann and Gerry Carroll.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2016, 11:56:15 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 21, 2016, 10:55:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 21, 2016, 10:52:19 AM
A hard Brexit means no environmental protection, no workers rights, reduced pensions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cX8szNPgrEs

Tell Eamonn McCann and Gerry Carroll.
Read the Daily Express.

UK politics are now incoherent. Sides insulting each other. It is actually less mature than in NI which is really saying something
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 21, 2016, 12:30:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 21, 2016, 11:56:15 AM
UK politics are now incoherent. Sides insulting each other. It is actually less mature than in NI which is really saying something

I wouldn't bet against a late run by the DUP to ensure that NI is in the running for the incoherent bollix competition.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2016, 12:38:03 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/21/polish-woman-booed-by-question-time-audience-after-saying-she-no/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 22, 2016, 09:53:05 PM
I think we are going to start to see some significant impact to the UKs position in the coming weeks. It has finally become public that the major employers in the city of London have been drafting exit and relocation strategy sessions.
Anthony Browne may well have been talking out of school but there will be no denials.
The legal challenges, from the north and in London, The public will and the dire economic impact for the next 5-10 years may yet prevent any Brexit at all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2016, 11:26:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on October 22, 2016, 09:53:05 PM
I think we are going to start to see some significant impact to the UKs position in the coming weeks. It has finally become our local that the major employers in the city of London have been drafting exit and relocation strategy sessions.
Anthony Browne may well have been talking out of school but there will be no denials.
The legal challenges, from the north and in London, The public will and the dire economic impact for the next 5-10 years may yet prevent any Brexit at all.
I can't see how they can fund the NHS outside the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 23, 2016, 12:24:30 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 22, 2016, 09:53:05 PM
I think we are going to start to see some significant impact to the UKs position in the coming weeks. It has finally become our local that the major employers in the city of London have been drafting exit and relocation strategy sessions.
Anthony Browne may well have been talking out of school but there will be no denials.

There is a fair section of the Tories that wouldn't like to be out of step with this business group. The nature of any change is that those adversely affected always squeal loudest and various business interests are giving these MPs heat by now.

Quote
The legal challenges, from the north and in London, The public will and the dire economic impact for the next 5-10 years may yet prevent any Brexit at all.

It would be great if the NI case found some legal impediment.  In a strange way some Tory MPs, under pressure behind the scenes from business interests, might find it more advantageous to latch on the GFA as the excuse to bin Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 23, 2016, 06:01:34 AM
It will come down to this:

One Trillion British Pounds


Brexit, for the UK and Europe it is the £1.1tn question. That is the amount banks based in the UK are lending to the companies and governments of the EU27, keeping the continent afloat financially.

Hard Brexit and it will be gone like the smoke from a Vatican chimney.

Nobody told the man on the clapham omnibus about that one.

Let's keep an eye on that shall we? Makes the NHS and immigration look like trivial matters. Not so much big fish little pond and more like goldfish in a fairground bag. We may be about to see every economists dream, ceteris paribus and the multiplier effect in real life.

With context, that's half of the UK's GDP. Take a trillion quite off and you ever up between Holland and Indonesia. Hows the bargaining chip looking now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2016, 09:54:30 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 23, 2016, 06:01:34 AM
It will come down to this:

One Trillion British Pounds


Brexit, for the UK and Europe it is the £1.1tn question. That is the amount banks based in the UK are lending to the companies and governments of the EU27, keeping the continent afloat financially.

Hard Brexit and it will be gone like the smoke from a Vatican chimney.

Nobody told the man on the clapham omnibus about that one.

Let's keep an eye on that shall we? Makes the NHS and immigration look like trivial matters. Not so much big fish little pond and more like goldfish in a fairground bag. We may be about to see every economists dream, ceteris paribus and the multiplier effect in real life.

With context, that's half of the UK's GDP. Take a trillion quite off and you ever up between Holland and Indonesia. Hows the bargaining chip looking now?
The UK cannot  work it out if it goes for a hard Brexit.
QE didn't work. Osborne couldn^t get the deficit to zero
So the UK has an 80 or 100bn deficit to fund abroad
And those people want to know they will get their money back

For nearly 40 years Murdoch has been spewing filth over Europe in the Tory press and with Brexit he got his wish but at the price of the UK economy if it goes through.

Imagine what Brexit will do to RBS
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2016, 12:00:11 PM
Osborne and Carney bear a lot of responsibility for Brexit which is  unbelievably damaging to the UK


The UK produced a lot of jobs post 2011 but most were crap. Immigration drives growth via the demand for housing, schools etc. But the UK wasn't growing otherwise. So the more immigration the more pressure  was put on its creaky infrastructure.
By the end of 2014 Osborne admitted defeat. He couldn't get the deficit where he wanted . The payrises he had modelled didn't happen.The Tories decided to run the election on a slogan of "we halved the deficit" . He ended up with a deficit of 80bn or 5% of GDP .
This has to be funded by foreigners.
1 December 2014
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/88227ee6-7729-11e4-8273-00144feabdc0.html
"But, from here, it would be rare for the private sector to shift substantially into financial deficit by increasing its expenditure further relative to income. Growth in private activity will therefore need to come from a rise in income, especially wages, not from falling savings ratios. That will be a more difficult process, especially if fiscal policy is being tightened at the same time. The second phase of the fiscal correction may therefore be even harder to attain than the first. A simultaneous contraction in both fiscal and monetary policy looks problematic: something will surely have to give."
Back in the political arena the spin was relentless. Vote Tory or the economy will be destroyed. The people supported the Tories.

With a Tory majority  Cameron decided to unify the party on the Europe question by holding a referendum on EU membership. He also wanted to sideline UKIP


The people knew the economic story was fake. And they decided to deliver a "f**k off" vote.
Something did give. The UK's access to its biggest export market . The people told it to "f**k off"


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LBBni_-tMNs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 23, 2016, 12:19:10 PM
Interesting piece in Sunday Times today - brief summary. EU may have to pull their horns in over single market access / passporting for Financial Services or UK may cut Corporation Tax to 10%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on October 23, 2016, 12:21:19 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 23, 2016, 12:19:10 PM
Interesting piece in Sunday Times today - brief summary. EU may have to pull their horns in over single market access / passporting gor Financial Services or UK may cut Corporation Tax to 10%.

Heard this muted before, i think brexit will mean brexit but I think the UK will get a good deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2016, 01:39:25 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 23, 2016, 12:19:10 PM
Interesting piece in Sunday Times today - brief summary. EU may have to pull their horns in over single market access / passporting for Financial Services or UK may cut Corporation Tax to 10%.
Still won't fix the UK economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 23, 2016, 11:33:57 PM
Corporation tax at 10%.
It is not an enticement on its own.
Brexit and the subsequent currencu decay of GBP vs Euro and USD have introduced significant optionality into revenue streams and tax credits that are currently unmodellable. For the capital markets community in London that risk is factored every time there is an investment cycle. Hardware might be 3 years. Staff might be annually. Business units maybe every 5 years. Premises on 10 year cycles. However extraordinary events are constantly reviewed to assess their impact to the firm. At this point the risk involved in keeping big firms operations in London has been assessed and plans, perhaps contingency, perhaps not, are being drafted for full withdrawal from the City.
10% corporate tax levels would not factor as much into that as the availability of labor and risk to the firm
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 24, 2016, 12:34:35 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 23, 2016, 11:33:57 PM
Corporation tax at 10%.
It is not an enticement on its own.
Brexit and the subsequent currencu decay of GBP vs Euro and USD have introduced significant optionality into revenue streams and tax credits that are currently unmodellable. For the capital markets community in London that risk is factored every time there is an investment cycle. Hardware might be 3 years. Staff might be annually. Business units maybe every 5 years. Premises on 10 year cycles. However extraordinary events are constantly reviewed to assess their impact to the firm. At this point the risk involved in keeping big firms operations in London has been assessed and plans, perhaps contingency, perhaps not, are being drafted for full withdrawal from the City.
10% corporate tax levels would not factor as much into that as the availability of labor and risk to the firm

Write.
A.
Book.

Please.

I will buy it now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 24, 2016, 04:40:07 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 23, 2016, 11:33:57 PM
Corporation tax at 10%.
It is not an enticement on its own.
Brexit and the subsequent currencu decay of GBP vs Euro and USD have introduced significant optionality into revenue streams and tax credits that are currently unmodellable. For the capital markets community in London that risk is factored every time there is an investment cycle. Hardware might be 3 years. Staff might be annually. Business units maybe every 5 years. Premises on 10 year cycles. However extraordinary events are constantly reviewed to assess their impact to the firm. At this point the risk involved in keeping big firms operations in London has been assessed and plans, perhaps contingency, perhaps not, are being drafted for full withdrawal from the City.
10% corporate tax levels would not factor as much into that as the availability of labor and risk to the firm
Political stability is a huge consideration for the big banks.
They need certainty. Sometimes things fall apart.
What is happening to London now is incredible. What Cameron did was nuts. History is a record of consequences which nobody intended to produce. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 24, 2016, 01:20:27 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CvYmNbnWIAAvA4K.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on October 24, 2016, 01:45:53 PM
So a major free trade deal between the EU and Canada scuppered due to toys being thrown out of the pram in one small Belgian region. This then affects every other EU state. The pro Brexit people will be all over this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 24, 2016, 02:19:42 PM
If the Walloon govt can hold the non member Canadians to ransom, how is it you see Brexit negotiations actually completing?

All Eu negotiations complete and all members approve the deal?

Maybe circa 2030.
At that point with the banks gone and 10% Corp tax, England GDP  will be about the same size as Hong Kong (the irony) Scotland will be independent and remain within EU, Wales will be hosed. The unionists in the wee north will have seen the writing on the wall as the US multinationals and banks move to the only English speaking country in Europe. Donegal and Sligo have by now become service centers for Dublin Cork and Galway with actual economies.
Learning the lesson from last time the Celtic tiger doesn't blow up. Comminity focussed social projects in Belfast are booming, funded by the GAA. The work force in the north want paid in Euro.  EU creates a new United Kingdom of Ireland and Northern Ireland. UKIP votes will all move to Spain and get their costa Del citizenship and wonder why the Spanish don't like them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 24, 2016, 06:00:51 PM
Quote from: heganboy on October 24, 2016, 02:19:42 PM
If the Walloon govt can hold the non member Canadians to ransom, how is it you see Brexit negotiations actually completing?

All Eu negotiations complete and all members approve the deal?

Maybe circa 2030.
At that point with the banks gone and 10% Corp tax, England GDP  will be about the same size as Hong Kong (the irony) Scotland will be independent and remain within EU, Wales will be hosed. The unionists in the wee north will have seen the writing on the wall as the US multinationals and banks move to the only English speaking country in Europe. Donegal and Sligo have by now become service centers for Dublin Cork and Galway with actual economies.
Learning the lesson from last time the Celtic tiger doesn't blow up. Comminity focussed social projects in Belfast are booming, funded by the GAA. The work force in the north want paid in Euro.  EU creates a new United Kingdom of Ireland and Northern Ireland. UKIP votes will all move to Spain and get their costa Del citizenship and wonder why the Spanish don't like them.

The Euros may want to shaft the UK and get it out ASAP. Pour encourager les autres. there is no trade Shangri La.
Brexit is so stupid. It is a belief system only vaguely connected to reality
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 24, 2016, 08:33:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 24, 2016, 06:00:51 PM
Quote from: heganboy on October 24, 2016, 02:19:42 PM
If the Walloon govt can hold the non member Canadians to ransom, how is it you see Brexit negotiations actually completing?

All Eu negotiations complete and all members approve the deal?

Maybe circa 2030.
At that point with the banks gone and 10% Corp tax, England GDP  will be about the same size as Hong Kong (the irony) Scotland will be independent and remain within EU, Wales will be hosed. The unionists in the wee north will have seen the writing on the wall as the US multinationals and banks move to the only English speaking country in Europe. Donegal and Sligo have by now become service centers for Dublin Cork and Galway with actual economies.
Learning the lesson from last time the Celtic tiger doesn't blow up. Comminity focussed social projects in Belfast are booming, funded by the GAA. The work force in the north want paid in Euro.  EU creates a new United Kingdom of Ireland and Northern Ireland. UKIP votes will all move to Spain and get their costa Del citizenship and wonder why the Spanish don't like them.

The Euros may want to shaft the UK and get it out ASAP. Pour encourager les autres. there is no trade Shangri La.
Brexit is so stupid. It is a belief system only vaguely connected to reality

so let me get this right seafoid, you think that brexit is wrong/stupid? I'm not sure of your views on it ............... ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 24, 2016, 08:41:49 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-37718376 (http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-37718376)

Brexit negotiators 'in cloud cuckoo land'
20 October 2016 Last updated at 13:02 BST

The man who negotiated the UK's rebate from the EU budget is warning the ministers in charge of Brexit negotiations to stop making unrealistic demands.

Sir Brian Unwin, a former Treasury civil servant and ex-president of the European Investment Bank (EIB), said Brexit Secretary David Davis was "living in cloud cuckoo land" when suggesting the odds in the negotiations were stacked in the UK's favour.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on October 24, 2016, 10:44:04 PM
It's mad hearing James Brexitshire saying on BBC News just now that it will actually strengthen N-S relations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on October 24, 2016, 10:48:39 PM
What does Seafoid make of Brexit, I would be interested to hear his views on it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 24, 2016, 10:57:08 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on October 24, 2016, 10:44:04 PM
It's mad hearing James Brexitshire saying on BBC News just now that it will actually strengthen N-S relations.

This could be true,  if all EU coordination measures were replaced by All Ireland ones and there was no customs  before bollix. But I wouldn't hold my breath.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 24, 2016, 10:59:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 24, 2016, 10:57:08 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on October 24, 2016, 10:44:04 PM
It's mad hearing James Brexitshire saying on BBC News just now that it will actually strengthen N-S relations.

This could be true,  if all EU coordination measures were replaced by All Ireland ones and there was no customs  before bollix. But I wouldn't hold my breath.

It could happen. Certainly there is always an opportunity in a crisis, and this is some crisis. Although given the loopy cast of characters, I wouldn't hold my breath either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: DickyRock on October 24, 2016, 11:12:07 PM
Belgian People are right on this. These agreements are bad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 24, 2016, 11:17:44 PM
Quote from: DickyRock on October 24, 2016, 11:12:07 PM
Belgian People are right on this. These agreements are bad.

Which bits do you particularly dislike Dicky?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 24, 2016, 11:18:38 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 24, 2016, 10:59:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 24, 2016, 10:57:08 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on October 24, 2016, 10:44:04 PM
It's mad hearing James Brexitshire saying on BBC News just now that it will actually strengthen N-S relations.

This could be true,  if all EU coordination measures were replaced by All Ireland ones and there was no customs  before bollix. But I wouldn't hold my breath.

It could happen. Certainly there is always an opportunity in a crisis, and this is some crisis. Although given the loopy cast of characters, I wouldn't hold my breath either.

The very best outcome would be that Brexit doesn't go ahead at all, but that the episode galvanises the nationalist community to ensure that new arrangements are put in place so that it the agreement is locked down. There has to be some chance that Brexit will not go ahead, but as to whether what passes for leader in this country can draw any lessons from it....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 24, 2016, 11:22:03 PM
We are aware of the row over whether Parliament will get to vote on the final Brexit deal, but what about the citizens?

What if it is too little Brexit for the Leave people, or too much Brexit for the Remain people, or far more likely, both groups see it that way at the same time? And that is just in England & Wales. What about the Scots and NI?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
Heathrow decision causing a major shit storm. A General Election next Spring has to be a serious possibility - because only the South of England really matters anyway. If Labour & Liberals get themselves organised on a f**k brexit ticket the whole thing could be killed off before it starts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 11:17:36 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
Heathrow decision causing a major shit storm. A General Election next Spring has to be a serious possibility - because only the South of England really matters anyway. If Labour & Liberals get themselves organised on a f**k brexit ticket the whole thing could be killed off before it starts.

Christ if that happens what is seafoid going to post about? he'll lose a third of his posts!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 26, 2016, 11:24:53 AM
He'll start 40 new ones ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 11:41:11 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
If Labour & Liberals get themselves organised on a f**k brexit ticket the whole thing could be killed off before it starts.

Anyone see a problem with this scenario?

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 11:17:36 AM
Christ if that happens what is seafoid going to post about? he'll lose a third of his posts!

While Brexit may be cancelled, I'd say this will run and run for a fair while yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 12:02:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 11:41:11 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
If Labour & Liberals get themselves organised on a f**k brexit ticket the whole thing could be killed off before it starts.

Anyone see a problem with this scenario?

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 11:17:36 AM
Christ if that happens what is seafoid going to post about? he'll lose a third of his posts!

While Brexit may be cancelled, I'd say this will run and run for a fair while yet.

Too be honest I really can't see it being stopped unfortunately and the fall outs since it was announced will take a few years to recover even if it was cancelled.... complete laughing stock!!

I'm talking about seafoid's contribution here  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 12:39:20 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
Heathrow decision causing a major shit storm.

However, Heathrow has one advantage in that Longford is to be removed forever.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 01:07:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 12:02:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 11:41:11 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
If Labour & Liberals get themselves organised on a f**k brexit ticket the whole thing could be killed off before it starts.

Anyone see a problem with this scenario?

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 11:17:36 AM
Christ if that happens what is seafoid going to post about? he'll lose a third of his posts!

While Brexit may be cancelled, I'd say this will run and run for a fair while yet.

Too be honest I really can't see it being stopped unfortunately and the fall outs since it was announced will take a few years to recover even if it was cancelled.... complete laughing stock!!

I'm talking about seafoid's contribution here  ;D
Would you care to put a tenner on it Milltown ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 02:43:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 01:07:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 12:02:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 11:41:11 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
If Labour & Liberals get themselves organised on a f**k brexit ticket the whole thing could be killed off before it starts.

Anyone see a problem with this scenario?

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 11:17:36 AM
Christ if that happens what is seafoid going to post about? he'll lose a third of his posts!

While Brexit may be cancelled, I'd say this will run and run for a fair while yet.

Too be honest I really can't see it being stopped unfortunately and the fall outs since it was announced will take a few years to recover even if it was cancelled.... complete laughing stock!!

I'm talking about seafoid's contribution here  ;D
Would you care to put a tenner on it Milltown ?

Fiver is my limit tbh.... need to watch what i spend now considering the state of affairs round these parts! Xmas is cancelled already and the new kitchen will have to wait!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 03:01:04 PM
The Irish Times - Wednesday, November 17, 2010
*****Channel-hopping offers explosive time and space perspective
NEWTON EMERSON
NEWTON'S OPTIC:
BBC News
We interrupt our report on wheelchair access at job centres to bring you some breaking news. Astronomers at Britain's Jodrell Bank observatory have detected an asteroid on a collision course with Earth. Initial projections suggest it will strike the Republic of Ireland in approximately 15 minutes.
RTÉ News
We interrupt our report on a cat stuck up a tree in Cabinteely to bring you some breaking news. The BBC is reporting a serious problem with wheelchair access at job centres. More on Six-One, but, meanwhile, back to Cabinteely.
BBC News
We have an update on that developing asteroid story, by which we mean the story is developing, not the asteroid. Astronomers confirm it will strike the Republic of Ireland in 13 minutes, causing widespread devastation. Shock waves are expected across Europe and EU leaders are meeting now in emergency session.
RTÉ News
And I'm sure we're all delighted to see Tiddles safely back on the ground. In other news, Government sources have reacted angrily to reports in London of an "astronomical problem" threatening Ireland.
The British media has a long history of anti-Irish reporting, as you can see from this 1865 cartoon of Mr Punch dropping a rock on "Poor Paddy".
BBC News
Further details on that asteroid. Jodrell Bank says it is five miles wide, travelling at 20,000mph and will hit Dublin in 10 minutes.
Scientists warn this is an "existential threat" to the Republic of Ireland, while linguists warn that "existential" should not be used as an adjective for "existence".
RTÉ News
The Government is denying reports of an existential threat to Ireland or a threat to the existence of Ireland.  RTÉ understands that several alarming statistics circulating in London have come from a British bank, which may well have its own reasons for speculating on Dublin's future.
BBC News
As the so-called "Paddy's Rock" passes lunar orbit, EU leaders have urged the Irish Government to recognise the gravity of the situation and seek urgent help.
RTÉ News
Government sources confirm they have spoken to EU leaders about an urgent situation, but only to complain that talk of "gravity" is not helping.
BBC News
With impact now minutes away, survival experts advise people to dig a hole in the softest ground available. Fortunately the Irish are good at digging holes in soft ground, as you can see from this 1865 cartoon of Mr Punch "watching Paddy stick his head in the bog".
RTÉ News
We interrupt these scurrilous rumours to bring you truly earth-shattering news. A man with a beard is moving from Belfast to Dundalk to look for work. Central Bank sources say this proves the recession is over.
BBC News
Our correspondent in Ireland reports that a shadow has now fallen over the whole country and people are fleeing the affected area, except for one man with a beard who appears to be fleeing in the opposite direction.
RTÉ News
In an exclusive angry phone call to our newsroom, a Government press officer has confirmed that he can see the light at the end of the tunnel. The light has appeared in the sky directly over Dublin, where it is glowing bright red and getting larger and larger by the . . .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: DickyRock on October 26, 2016, 07:32:54 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 24, 2016, 11:17:44 PM
Quote from: DickyRock on October 24, 2016, 11:12:07 PM
Belgian People are right on this. These agreements are bad.

Which bits do you particularly dislike Dicky?

TIPP & CETA have clauses that allowed international corps to challenge local gov policy's in international tribunals and also to skirt local laws. Don't think I'd take the benefits of free trade over protecting people and the planet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 26, 2016, 08:24:30 PM
Quote from: DickyRock on October 26, 2016, 07:32:54 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 24, 2016, 11:17:44 PM
Quote from: DickyRock on October 24, 2016, 11:12:07 PM
Belgian People are right on this. These agreements are bad.

Which bits do you particularly dislike Dicky?

TIPP & CETA have clauses that allowed international corps to challenge local gov policy's in international tribunals and also to skirt local laws. Don't think I'd take the benefits of free trade over protecting people and the planet.

Didn't know that.

Sounds a bit like the way bond holders can raise taxes in some cities/districts in The States to ensure they get their money back.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 08:35:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 02:43:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 01:07:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 12:02:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 11:41:11 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
If Labour & Liberals get themselves organised on a f**k brexit ticket the whole thing could be killed off before it starts.

Anyone see a problem with this scenario?

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 11:17:36 AM
Christ if that happens what is seafoid going to post about? he'll lose a third of his posts!

While Brexit may be cancelled, I'd say this will run and run for a fair while yet.

Too be honest I really can't see it being stopped unfortunately and the fall outs since it was announced will take a few years to recover even if it was cancelled.... complete laughing stock!!

I'm talking about seafoid's contribution here  ;D
Would you care to put a tenner on it Milltown ?

Fiver is my limit tbh.... need to watch what i spend now considering the state of affairs round these parts! Xmas is cancelled already and the new kitchen will have to wait!
Fine. What timeline and how do you decide who wins?`
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 09:59:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 08:35:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 02:43:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 01:07:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 12:02:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 11:41:11 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 26, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
If Labour & Liberals get themselves organised on a f**k brexit ticket the whole thing could be killed off before it starts.

Anyone see a problem with this scenario?

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 11:17:36 AM
Christ if that happens what is seafoid going to post about? he'll lose a third of his posts!

While Brexit may be cancelled, I'd say this will run and run for a fair while yet.

Too be honest I really can't see it being stopped unfortunately and the fall outs since it was announced will take a few years to recover even if it was cancelled.... complete laughing stock!!

I'm talking about seafoid's contribution here  ;D
Would you care to put a tenner on it Milltown ?

Fiver is my limit tbh.... need to watch what i spend now considering the state of affairs round these parts! Xmas is cancelled already and the new kitchen will have to wait!
Fine. What timeline and how do you decide who wins?`

Well if I'm still earning and the company is still growing will that mean I win??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 10:13:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 09:59:23 PM
Well if I'm still earning and the company is still growing will that mean I win??

It just means you are a jammy Brexit dodger.

make sure you get a wage increases, prices are going up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 10:23:01 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 10:13:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 09:59:23 PM
Well if I'm still earning and the company is still growing will that mean I win??

It just means you are a jammy Brexit dodger.

make sure you get a wage increases, prices are going up.

lucky in that the company increased growth through the last recession... we never know how things will pan out in the future, time will tell,  but I wouldn't have left my last job without knowing how well they performed during that time ..

I know prices will increase, they did before but levelled out and wages were increased (well they were in my last job) if a company is not directly dealing within the Euro market then that company should still have growth..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 10:54:22 PM
MR it will have to be some economic stat like the UK economy growing by say 1% over the next year. I think Brexit will reduce the size of the economy. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 07:34:34 AM
http://www.ngahr.com/blog/brexit-impact-uk-legislation-and-hr-function

The Government, in the event of a Brexit vote, may try to repeal certain aspects of EU law. Likely targets are Working Time Regulations (WTR), Agency Workers Regulations and CRD IV (which relates to bankers' bonuses).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 08:27:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 07:34:34 AM
http://www.ngahr.com/blog/brexit-impact-uk-legislation-and-hr-function

The Government, in the event of a Brexit vote, may try to repeal certain aspects of EU law. Likely targets are Working Time Regulations (WTR), Agency Workers Regulations and CRD IV (which relates to bankers' bonuses).

Could work out for the best depending on the law and job you work at
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 08:35:32 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 08:27:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 07:34:34 AM
http://www.ngahr.com/blog/brexit-impact-uk-legislation-and-hr-function

The Government, in the event of a Brexit vote, may try to repeal certain aspects of EU law. Likely targets are Working Time Regulations (WTR), Agency Workers Regulations and CRD IV (which relates to bankers' bonuses).

Could work out for the best depending on the law and job you work at
looks like a fox/henhouse situation. Never trust à junkie
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 08:40:06 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 08:35:32 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 08:27:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 07:34:34 AM
http://www.ngahr.com/blog/brexit-impact-uk-legislation-and-hr-function

The Government, in the event of a Brexit vote, may try to repeal certain aspects of EU law. Likely targets are Working Time Regulations (WTR), Agency Workers Regulations and CRD IV (which relates to bankers' bonuses).

Could work out for the best depending on the law and job you work at
looks like a fox/henhouse situation. Never trust à junkie

Rather be a fox than a hen!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on October 27, 2016, 12:50:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 10:23:01 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 26, 2016, 10:13:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 26, 2016, 09:59:23 PM
Well if I'm still earning and the company is still growing will that mean I win??

It just means you are a jammy Brexit dodger.

make sure you get a wage increases, prices are going up.

lucky in that the company increased growth through the last recession... we never know how things will pan out in the future, time will tell,  but I wouldn't have left my last job without knowing how well they performed during that time ..

I know prices will increase, they did before but levelled out and wages were increased (well they were in my last job) if a company is not directly dealing within the Euro market then that company should still have growth..

Is that code for being made redundant!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:08:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 10:54:22 PM
MR it will have to be some economic stat like the UK economy growing by say 1% over the next year. I think Brexit will reduce the size of the economy.

According to the news today youre a fiver down!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 01:20:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:08:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 10:54:22 PM
MR it will have to be some economic stat like the UK economy growing by say 1% over the next year. I think Brexit will reduce the size of the economy.

According to the news today youre a fiver down!
How about the state of the deficit in one year?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:23:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 01:20:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:08:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 10:54:22 PM
MR it will have to be some economic stat like the UK economy growing by say 1% over the next year. I think Brexit will reduce the size of the economy.

According to the news today youre a fiver down!
How about the state of the deficit in one year?

Just talking about the here and now and what the news has been putting out or spinning, depends on your viewpoint
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 01:32:43 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lKx3MUqzCcQ

http://www.ngahr.com/blog/brexit-impact-uk-legislation-and-hr-function

Working Time Regulations

Businesses affected by working time regulations often feel the EU Working Time Regulations (WTR) undermine labour flexibility and increase costs of hiring staff. The WTR governs areas such as employee working hours and holiday rest breaks.
In the event of a Brexit, these will come under greater scrutiny. While the UK Government is unlikely to seek to remove the legal right to paid holidays, in the event of a Brexit vote, other aspects of the WTR could be amended to reduce the administrative burden on employers, particularly in relation to breaks, rest periods and record-keeping.
The Government might, for example, scrap the 48-hour average weekly working time limit. In the past, successive governments have fought hard against this restriction, along with requirements to record hours to show that this maximum is not exceeded over a 17-week period. Attempts to reduce this obligation would be popular among many businesses.
In a post-Brexit world, the UK would equally have more freedom to decide how statutory holiday pay should be calculated. New rules could specifically exclude fluctuating payments such as commission or overtime.
 
Agency Workers Regulations
 Agency Workers Regulations (AWR), as UK law, are also seen by many employers as a problem. The Government could remove the requirement for agency workers to be paid the same rate for a job as permanent staff after 12 weeks.
Also provisions requiring employers to notify employee representatives of information they have about agency workers could change. Repealing the Agency Workers Regulations (AWR) would reduce business costs and record-keeping requirements and could be seen as a quick win by the Government following a Brexit vote.
Overall, the most likely legal changes post a Brexit vote would probably come from Working Time Regulations and the Agency Workers Directive. More modest changes are likely to come for union power and TUPE, bonus payments legislation and data protection laws. Discrimination laws and family friendly working legislation seem far less likely to be affected.
 
What does it mean for HR?
A vote for Brexit would give the UK power to repeal or reshape employment legislation that many businesses dislike.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 27, 2016, 01:38:38 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:23:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 01:20:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:08:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 26, 2016, 10:54:22 PM
MR it will have to be some economic stat like the UK economy growing by say 1% over the next year. I think Brexit will reduce the size of the economy.

According to the news today youre a fiver down!
How about the state of the deficit in one year?

Just talking about the here and now and what the news has been putting out or spinning, depends on your viewpoint

Some businesses do well in recession. Some won't be affected at all either way. You can't really take yourself as a sample and say that Brexit isn't having an impact.

The commentary is still speculation at this stage as we have no idea what is going to happen or what Brexit will look like. But British trade with the EU is going to move from no restrictions to *some* restrictions, so it is reasonable to expect difficulty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 27, 2016, 03:25:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 01:32:43 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lKx3MUqzCcQ

http://www.ngahr.com/blog/brexit-impact-uk-legislation-and-hr-function

Working Time Regulations

Businesses affected by working time regulations often feel the EU Working Time Regulations (WTR) undermine labour flexibility and increase costs of hiring staff. The WTR governs areas such as employee working hours and holiday rest breaks.
In the event of a Brexit, these will come under greater scrutiny. While the UK Government is unlikely to seek to remove the legal right to paid holidays, in the event of a Brexit vote, other aspects of the WTR could be amended to reduce the administrative burden on employers, particularly in relation to breaks, rest periods and record-keeping.
The Government might, for example, scrap the 48-hour average weekly working time limit. In the past, successive governments have fought hard against this restriction, along with requirements to record hours to show that this maximum is not exceeded over a 17-week period. Attempts to reduce this obligation would be popular among many businesses.
In a post-Brexit world, the UK would equally have more freedom to decide how statutory holiday pay should be calculated. New rules could specifically exclude fluctuating payments such as commission or overtime.

Agency Workers Regulations
Agency Workers Regulations (AWR), as UK law, are also seen by many employers as a problem. The Government could remove the requirement for agency workers to be paid the same rate for a job as permanent staff after 12 weeks.
Also provisions requiring employers to notify employee representatives of information they have about agency workers could change. Repealing the Agency Workers Regulations (AWR) would reduce business costs and record-keeping requirements and could be seen as a quick win by the Government following a Brexit vote.
Overall, the most likely legal changes post a Brexit vote would probably come from Working Time Regulations and the Agency Workers Directive. More modest changes are likely to come for union power and TUPE, bonus payments legislation and data protection laws. Discrimination laws and family friendly working legislation seem far less likely to be affected.

What does it mean for HR?
A vote for Brexit would give the UK power to repeal or reshape employment legislation that many businesses dislike.
This won't affect the fcukers who vote for Brexit, a cut in their benefits might be in order.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 27, 2016, 03:49:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:08:13 PM
According to the news today youre a fiver down!

Basically production is down, but people are still getting their hair cut. Your average punter who voted for this bollix has not cut back yet because they haven't a clue.

(https://next-geebee.ft.com/image/v1/images/raw/https%3A%2F%2Femail-platform-ftcom-manual.s3.amazonaws.com%2F4ec8d609-974e-46ce-8de9-d61d5b84a94d?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=600)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on October 27, 2016, 03:58:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 27, 2016, 03:25:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 01:32:43 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lKx3MUqzCcQ

http://www.ngahr.com/blog/brexit-impact-uk-legislation-and-hr-function

Working Time Regulations

Businesses affected by working time regulations often feel the EU Working Time Regulations (WTR) undermine labour flexibility and increase costs of hiring staff. The WTR governs areas such as employee working hours and holiday rest breaks.
In the event of a Brexit, these will come under greater scrutiny. While the UK Government is unlikely to seek to remove the legal right to paid holidays, in the event of a Brexit vote, other aspects of the WTR could be amended to reduce the administrative burden on employers, particularly in relation to breaks, rest periods and record-keeping.
The Government might, for example, scrap the 48-hour average weekly working time limit. In the past, successive governments have fought hard against this restriction, along with requirements to record hours to show that this maximum is not exceeded over a 17-week period. Attempts to reduce this obligation would be popular among many businesses.
In a post-Brexit world, the UK would equally have more freedom to decide how statutory holiday pay should be calculated. New rules could specifically exclude fluctuating payments such as commission or overtime.

Agency Workers Regulations
Agency Workers Regulations (AWR), as UK law, are also seen by many employers as a problem. The Government could remove the requirement for agency workers to be paid the same rate for a job as permanent staff after 12 weeks.
Also provisions requiring employers to notify employee representatives of information they have about agency workers could change. Repealing the Agency Workers Regulations (AWR) would reduce business costs and record-keeping requirements and could be seen as a quick win by the Government following a Brexit vote.
Overall, the most likely legal changes post a Brexit vote would probably come from Working Time Regulations and the Agency Workers Directive. More modest changes are likely to come for union power and TUPE, bonus payments legislation and data protection laws. Discrimination laws and family friendly working legislation seem far less likely to be affected.

What does it mean for HR?
A vote for Brexit would give the UK power to repeal or reshape employment legislation that many businesses dislike.
This won't affect the fcukers who vote for Brexit, a cut in their benefits might be in order.

Is all 17,410,742 on benefits?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2016, 04:54:20 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 27, 2016, 03:49:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:08:13 PM
According to the news today youre a fiver down!

Basically production is down, but people are still getting their hair cut. Your average punter who voted for this bollix has not cut back yet because they haven't a clue.

(https://next-geebee.ft.com/image/v1/images/raw/https%3A%2F%2Femail-platform-ftcom-manual.s3.amazonaws.com%2F4ec8d609-974e-46ce-8de9-d61d5b84a94d?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=600)
Leaving the EU was never an end in itself. It was only ever a means to an end – that end being a freer, wealthier and more global Britain.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/26/brexit-must-open-our-economy-to-the-world--not-lock-it-away-behi/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 10:24:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 27, 2016, 03:49:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:08:13 PM
According to the news today youre a fiver down!

Basically production is down, but people are still getting their hair cut. Your average punter who voted for this bollix has not cut back yet because they haven't a clue.

(https://next-geebee.ft.com/image/v1/images/raw/https%3A%2F%2Femail-platform-ftcom-manual.s3.amazonaws.com%2F4ec8d609-974e-46ce-8de9-d61d5b84a94d?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=600)
The Daily Mail, Express and Torygraph are spinning relentlessly. Ignorance is being manufactured.
Brexit is even more dangerous than the FF bank guarantee which was limited by balance sheet capacity.
I think the Euros will slaughter them if it goes to negotiations. That deficit has them by the balls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 28, 2016, 10:35:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 10:24:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 27, 2016, 03:49:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 27, 2016, 01:08:13 PM
According to the news today youre a fiver down!

Basically production is down, but people are still getting their hair cut. Your average punter who voted for this bollix has not cut back yet because they haven't a clue.

(https://next-geebee.ft.com/image/v1/images/raw/https%3A%2F%2Femail-platform-ftcom-manual.s3.amazonaws.com%2F4ec8d609-974e-46ce-8de9-d61d5b84a94d?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=600)
The Daily Mail, Express and Torygraph are spinning relentlessly. Ignorance is being manufactured.
Brexit is even more dangerous than the FF bank guarantee which was limited by balance sheet capacity.
I think the Euros will slaughter them if it goes to negotiations. That deficit has them by the balls.

You are completely wasted on this board.... ecconomist, expert on American politics and not to mention the Middle East... you'd need to work on your Nordie stuff but with that CV you have NBC, BBC, or dare you even work there FOX should be giving you a call, or do you just have a face for internet?  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 28, 2016, 11:24:50 AM
Enda Kenny is going to lead Ireland's stance on Brexit. God help us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 12:14:07 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 28, 2016, 11:24:50 AM
Enda Kenny is going to lead Ireland's stance on Brexit. God help us.
who else would do it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on October 28, 2016, 01:16:02 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 12:14:07 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 28, 2016, 11:24:50 AM
Enda Kenny is going to lead Ireland's stance on Brexit. God help us.
who else would do it?

Bono?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on October 28, 2016, 01:56:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 12:14:07 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 28, 2016, 11:24:50 AM
Enda Kenny is going to lead Ireland's stance on Brexit. God help us.
who else would do it?

Danny Healy Stay
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on October 28, 2016, 02:02:40 PM
Quote from: Hardy on October 28, 2016, 01:56:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 12:14:07 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 28, 2016, 11:24:50 AM
Enda Kenny is going to lead Ireland's stance on Brexit. God help us.
who else would do it?

Danny Healy Stay

Does the EU have translaters for him?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 28, 2016, 07:01:58 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37799235 (http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37799235)

...Apple has increased the prices of its laptop and desktop computers in the UK by hundreds of pounds.

On Thursday, the company unveiled new Macbook Pro laptops, with prices similar to the US after currency conversion and addition of UK VAT.

But the company also increased the prices of its older computer products, including the three-year-old Mac Pro, by hundreds of pounds.
One analyst said consumers should expect further price increases.

"Apple has to recalibrate prices after significant currency fluctuations, and since the EU referendum, UK prices are out of sync with the dollar," said Patrick O'Brien, analyst at the Verdict Retail consultancy...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 07:31:18 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 28, 2016, 07:01:58 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37799235 (http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37799235)

...Apple has increased the prices of its laptop and desktop computers in the UK by hundreds of pounds.

On Thursday, the company unveiled new Macbook Pro laptops, with prices similar to the US after currency conversion and addition of UK VAT.

But the company also increased the prices of its older computer products, including the three-year-old Mac Pro, by hundreds of pounds.
One analyst said consumers should expect further price increases.

"Apple has to recalibrate prices after significant currency fluctuations, and since the EU referendum, UK prices are out of sync with the dollar," said Patrick O'Brien, analyst at the Verdict Retail consultancy...

Democracy is giving the people what they want, and giving it to them good and hard. as HL Mencken said

Beat them over the head with price increases til Feb and see who still wants Brexit
It'll be a long winter in dear old Blighty
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on October 28, 2016, 07:45:05 PM
David Cameron will have another relaxing weekend, Theresa Maybe out of her comfort zone at best.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 28, 2016, 08:38:52 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 07:31:18 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 28, 2016, 07:01:58 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37799235 (http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37799235)

...Apple has increased the prices of its laptop and desktop computers in the UK by hundreds of pounds.

On Thursday, the company unveiled new Macbook Pro laptops, with prices similar to the US after currency conversion and addition of UK VAT.

But the company also increased the prices of its older computer products, including the three-year-old Mac Pro, by hundreds of pounds.
One analyst said consumers should expect further price increases.

"Apple has to recalibrate prices after significant currency fluctuations, and since the EU referendum, UK prices are out of sync with the dollar," said Patrick O'Brien, analyst at the Verdict Retail consultancy...

Democracy is giving the people what they want, and giving it to them good and hard. as HL Mencken said

Beat them over the head with price increases til Feb and see who still wants Brexit
It'll be a long winter in dear old Blighty

Think I'll go to Tenerife then to keep warm
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 28, 2016, 08:55:05 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 28, 2016, 08:38:52 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 07:31:18 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 28, 2016, 07:01:58 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37799235 (http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-37799235)

...Apple has increased the prices of its laptop and desktop computers in the UK by hundreds of pounds.

On Thursday, the company unveiled new Macbook Pro laptops, with prices similar to the US after currency conversion and addition of UK VAT.

But the company also increased the prices of its older computer products, including the three-year-old Mac Pro, by hundreds of pounds.
One analyst said consumers should expect further price increases.

"Apple has to recalibrate prices after significant currency fluctuations, and since the EU referendum, UK prices are out of sync with the dollar," said Patrick O'Brien, analyst at the Verdict Retail consultancy...

Democracy is giving the people what they want, and giving it to them good and hard. as HL Mencken said

Beat them over the head with price increases til Feb and see who still wants Brexit
It'll be a long winter in dear old Blighty

Think I'll go to Tenerife then to keep warm

You'll not be able to afford it with your English pesos.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 09:02:08 PM
Gravity always wins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKd06s1LNik
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 28, 2016, 10:09:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 28, 2016, 09:02:08 PM
Gravity always wins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKd06s1LNik

Millionaire group singing about gett it tough!! Ah the irony
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 29, 2016, 06:25:39 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/video/2016/oct/27/united-by-the-clacking-of-bowling-balls-alan-partridge-on-britishness-post-brexit-audio
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on October 30, 2016, 12:14:06 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/1030/827931-john-kerry-ireland/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/1030/827931-john-kerry-ireland/)

Brexit must not impact push for peace in NI - John Kerry
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 30, 2016, 12:23:48 PM
I see Foster was at her extremist tribal 17th Century best yesterday at the Neanderthal annual conference.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 30, 2016, 02:54:07 PM
Quote from: muppet on October 30, 2016, 12:14:06 PM
http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/1030/827931-john-kerry-ireland/ (http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/1030/827931-john-kerry-ireland/)

Brexit must not impact push for peace in NI - John Kerry

It worries me that it will.

Seems to be a lot of articles about the head of bank of england today and him going due to brexit not having capitulated the economy despite predictions. Ludicrous if it happens as anyone with an ounce of sense longs that it's impact on the economy will play out over time and it hasn't exactly been a rip roaring success to currency value.

Gove speaking out about him. I can't stand that man. A murdoch lapdog.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on October 30, 2016, 07:17:21 PM
Brexit will happen,the UK cannot ignore the will of the electorate so it might as well be embraced.I note Gay Byrne said last week that Ireland should leave the EU the day after the UK leaves.A lot of sense in that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on October 30, 2016, 07:20:08 PM
What does Eamon Dunphy think?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 30, 2016, 07:31:28 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on October 30, 2016, 07:17:21 PM
Brexit will happen,the UK cannot ignore the will of the electorate so it might as well be embraced.I note Gay Byrne said last week that Ireland should leave the EU the day after the UK leaves.A lot of sense in that.

It will no doubt. Doesn't make it the right thing.

There are reasons to leave it but the uk's ones are heavily skewed by murdoch and an anti immigrant propaganda from sun / mail. That doesn't mean everyone voting for it is a neandethral bigot just a lot more than you would care there to be.

The best hope of it not being a disaster is other countries to follow suit. No matter whether brexit works out or not it is still ill considered and being done for the wrong reasons (on the whole).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 30, 2016, 07:41:19 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on October 30, 2016, 07:17:21 PM
Brexit will happen,the UK cannot ignore the will of the electorate so it might as well be embraced.I note Gay Byrne said last week that Ireland should leave the EU the day after the UK leaves.A lot of sense in that.
That logic was used for the bank guarantee
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 30, 2016, 08:36:05 PM
Gaybo has a long history of Brit loving. ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gold on October 30, 2016, 08:54:30 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 30, 2016, 12:23:48 PM
I see Foster was at her extremist tribal 17th Century best yesterday at the Neanderthal annual conference.

Awful, horrible, smug, bitter woman
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 30, 2016, 09:22:26 PM
The will of the people is shite. If it means cutting everyone's income by 20% is it still a good idea ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 30, 2016, 09:23:49 PM
It is not the will of "her people" either. Democracy when it suits. They are an insult to democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 30, 2016, 09:24:18 PM
http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/flanagan-surprised-by-foster-s-claim-of-poaching-investors-from-north-1.2848551

Minister for Foreign Affairs Charlie Flanagan has said he was "very surprised" by comments made by Northern Ireland First Minister Arlene Foster about the "poaching" of jobs for the Republic at the North's expense.
Mr Flanagan also said on Sunday he was "very concerned" about Mrs Foster's remarks that political instability in the Irish Government, rather than concern for Northern Ireland, was driving the State's stance over Brexit

The Stormont First Minister said relations with the Irish Government were as good as they ever had been and she would continue to work with the southern neighbours.
But she told delegates at the DUP annual conference near Belfast relations with the EU were much less important than the benefits derived from being within the UK.
"The reality is that political instability in Dublin, and fears for their own future, are driving their decision-making at present as much as any concern about Northern Ireland.
"And while they seek to take the views of people of Northern Ireland on the issue of Brexit at home, their representatives are sent out around the world to talk down our economy and to attempt to poach our investors.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLBW8L198GQ
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 30, 2016, 09:32:57 PM
56% of Nordies voted Remain. The DUP is part of the mass insanity of Brexit. It is so sad

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dup-chant-will-griggs-anthem-arlenes-on-fire-at-end-of-conference-35173458.html


http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/first-minister-accused-of-fantasy-economics-after-brexit-comments-35173419.html
Arlene Foster described the leave vote as presenting the biggest economic opportunity for the UK in decades.
She was addressing her first DUP annual conference as leader on Saturday.
The Alliance Party's Stephen Farry said: "This type of rhetoric reflects fantasy economics and it is frankly disturbing that the First Minister is articulating this.
"It is one thing to call for people to respect the Brexit referendum, but it is an entirely different matter to pretend that this opens up a new world of milk and honey.
"The essence of the Brexit vote was about prioritising control of borders, restricting immigration, and trying to recapture some long-since expired notion of sovereignty in a globalised world at the expense of economic interests.
"Brexit is a massive self-inflicted economic wound."
He said the overall UK economy has already shrunk in size, and experts were reassessing the prospects of long-term economic growth.
"Whatever trading outcome emerges will inevitably bring some form of obstacles or barrier to Northern Ireland companies doing business.
"Despite the good work of many people over the past few years, the Northern Ireland economy remains structurally weaker than the UK as a whole. And the UK itself continues to have several disadvantages relative to its competitors, in areas such as productivity.
"The tragedy of Brexit, is that it comes at a time when the local economy was on the brink of a real lift-off. Now, with uncertainty over market access, it is going to be more difficult to attract investment."
The DUP campaigned for a leave vote in the June referendum.
Mrs Foster said that she respected those who wanted to remain but insisted it was time to move on.
"That debate is over. Rather than talking up the challenges, we should be looking forward to the opportunities.
"Brexit represents the biggest economic opportunity for this country in decades.
"But, the only way we can ensure that Northern Ireland's interests are best served is if we are united and determined."

DUP conference live: Arlene Foster snubs all-island Brexit forum as she sets out strategy for Northern Ireland deal

By Noel McAdam
Published
29/10/2016
Share





First Minister Arlene Foster has insisted she will not join the Irish Government's Brexit forum at any point in the future.

But it has also emerged the DUP leader intends to meet Taoiseach Enda Kenny for talks on the UK withdrawal from the European Union in the next few weeks.
Share




But, addressing her party's annual conference on Saturday, Mrs Foster set out her strategy for obtaining the best possible deal for Northern Ireland in Brexit negotiations.
The DUP leader argues her party being in control of the Agriculture, Education and the Economy Ministries, will give it a pivotal role in the forthcoming talks.
Speaking to the Belfast Telegraph ahead of the gathering, she said it was "nonsense" to suggest she could not represent Northern Ireland, where a majority (56%) voted to remain in the EU.
Read more
Arlene Foster's DUP conference speech 2016 in full  
"This was a UK-wide, one nation vote. Areas in the east of the province voted to leave - where does that sub-division stop?"
Mrs Foster said taking part in the Dublin-lead forum would only give others the opportunity to make clear they did not agree with the Referendum result.
"To be a lone voice amongst a whole lot of remoaners? No thank you - I have better things to do with my time," she said.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 30, 2016, 10:06:52 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 30, 2016, 08:36:05 PM
Gaybo has a long history of Brit loving. ;)
As have most of the boys of Montrose.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 30, 2016, 10:11:52 PM
God love Arlene

Firstly, Brexit means Brexit. The whole of the United Kingdom leaves the EU.
Secondly, the economic and social benefits for Northern Ireland within the United Kingdom are far more important than our relationship with the EU.
Thirdly, any deal must recognise the reality of our geography and of our history
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 30, 2016, 11:17:21 PM
What you will not read about in the Daily Mail

"Wealthiest 20% of UK households have 117 times more assets than the poorest 20% ...the level of these ratios is high because the poorest fifth have hardly any wealth" http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1ad5c43a-a593-11e5-a91e-162b86790c58.html

"the decline of national pay bargaining made it harder for unions. Fierce competition for low earning jobs has eroded the negotiating power of unskilled labour" . http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1d6358a0-a4cd-11e5-97e1-a754d5d9538c.html

the concern that ...should Asda invest in lower margins has already spooked investors who were worried at the pace of deflation in food prices" http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b049c150-a4b3-11e5-a91e-162b86790c58.html

Thatcherism would apear to have been flogged to death.

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/apr/08/d-iliband-non-doms-tax-margaret-thatcher-council-houses-labour
"Ever since Thatcher took over, the share of earnings of the bottom 80% has fallen while the top 1% own 55% of everything."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 30, 2016, 11:41:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 30, 2016, 11:17:21 PM
What you will not read about in the Daily Mail

"Wealthiest 20% of UK households have 117 times more assets than the poorest 20% ...the level of these ratios is high because the poorest fifth have hardly any wealth" http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1ad5c43a-a593-11e5-a91e-162b86790c58.html

"the decline of national pay bargaining made it harder for unions. Fierce competition for low earning jobs has eroded the negotiating power of unskilled labour" . http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/1d6358a0-a4cd-11e5-97e1-a754d5d9538c.html

the concern that ...should Asda invest in lower margins has already spooked investors who were worried at the pace of deflation in food prices" http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b049c150-a4b3-11e5-a91e-162b86790c58.html

Thatcherism would apear to have been flogged to death.

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/apr/08/d-iliband-non-doms-tax-margaret-thatcher-council-houses-labour
"Ever since Thatcher took over, the share of earnings of the bottom 80% has fallen while the top 1% own 55% of everything."

Dark ages loom
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 31, 2016, 09:24:50 AM
Quote from: Gold on October 30, 2016, 08:54:30 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 30, 2016, 12:23:48 PM
I see Foster was at her extremist tribal 17th Century best yesterday at the Neanderthal annual conference.

Awful, horrible, smug, bitter woman
DUP conferences used to be in Paisley's day a poor stand up comedy show, now its a shoddy karaoke. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 31, 2016, 11:50:32 AM

Quote from: Rossfan on October 30, 2016, 12:23:48 PM
I see Foster was at her extremist tribal 17th Century best yesterday at the Neanderthal annual conference.

This isn't fair to Neanderthals.

Quote from: AQMP on October 31, 2016, 11:03:38 AM
This is the all new, modern, mellow DUP reaching out to Taigs. 

The DUP hold out the hand of welcome to everyone.

(http://i67.tinypic.com/2e0jptd.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 12:03:19 PM
Quotewhere does that sub-division stop?

That is one of the most ludicrous statements you will ever see(though she doesn't believe it anyway I imagine).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyronefan on October 31, 2016, 12:47:37 PM
In no particular order of bigotry:

1. Ian Paisley in letter to British Home Secretary in September 1969
Telling him the cause of high Catholic unemployment and poor housing was because "these people breed like rabbits and multiply like vermin"

2. Ian Paisley to El Papa John Paul II in EU Parliament
"I Denounce you as the AntiChrist!"


3. Ballymena Cllr Maurice Mills with inside track on wrath of God for homosexuals
"The recent Hurricane Katrina descended on New Orleans and took many people suddenly into eternity,"

"However, the media failed to report that the hurricane occurred just two days prior to the annual homosexual event called the Southern Decadence Festival which the previous year had attracted an estimated 125,000 people.

"Surely this is a warning to nations where such wickedness is increasingly promoted and practised.

"This abominable and filthy practice of sodomy has resulted in the great continent of Africa being riddled with Aids, all at great cost to the nations and innocent children."

4. The then Belfast DUP Councillor George Seawright said of Catholics in 1984

"Taxpayers money would be better spent on an incinerator and burning the whole lot of them. The priests should be thrown in and burned as well"

5. Adrian Mc Quillan MLA on recent murder of Catholic community worker Kevin Mc Daid in Coleraine
"Tit-for-tat all the time. What reason can you see for there being tricolours up yesterday afternoon, a Sunday afternoon? None other than to get a reaction from the loyalist community, and they certainly got a reaction this time, which is very sad."

6. Iris Robinson MP MLA 'offering assistance' to cure homosexuality
"I have a very lovely psychiatrist who works with me in my offices and his Christian background is that he tries to help homosexuals — trying to turn away from what they are engaged in".

7. Willie Mc Crea MP MLA on buddies Billy Wright and Mark Fulton
"Described them as "Good Loyalists" while sharing a platform with these two LVF sectarian murderers/drug barons in 1996

8. Ian Óg Paisley MLA commenting on wave of attacks on catholic homes in Ballymena in 2006
"Self-inflicted"

9. Gregory Campbell MP MLA in support of the death penalty
"There must be some form of radical response by a civilised society to protect the innocent."

And last but not least:


10. Sammy Wilson MP MLA (Finance Minister and former Environment Minister)
"I do not believe in man made global warming"
"Lead Belly" referring to Alex Maskey who had been shot by loyalists (Belfast City Hall)
"Leprechaun Language" referring to Irish Language (Belfast City Hall)
"Gypsies" referring to Catholics (Belfast City Hall)
"When it comes to a downturn, I think if jobs are becoming vacant and you've got people with equal skills, and can do the job, etc., then I think preference should be given to people from Northern Ireland."-Talking about migrant workers


Forget the BNP or the KKK, its the DUP that do bigotry best and given that this is what DUP members feel comfortable saying in public you can just imagine what they say in private.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AhNowRef on October 31, 2016, 12:55:30 PM
I've been shouting at the TV,  several times over the past few months, for someone to please point out the incredible irony of what these DUP morons have been saying ... i.e. .. As a rebuff to anyone who says 56% of NI population voted to remain so we should stay, they smugly say that "you can't pick and chose areas within the UK which you want to stay or leave .. it has to be treated as one entity" .....  the fooking Irony !!

Yet no one ever seems to pull them up that NI wouldn't even exist if this wasnt their (unionism) exact policy in the past .... Why the Feck are our politicians so sh1te that they cant even point this out  :-(   ffs ...

p.s. Mans head Foster is the single most annoying bitter condescending anal tr**p I've even had the misfortune to see or hear ... Horrible person !!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 02:13:48 PM
No one ever seems to pull them on anything. They get some flak online but nothing that counts  :( They can basically say and do what they want it seems.

They are so insecure in their union they pushed for brexit. I am sure I am not alone in having no doubt in my mind that brexit is to try and push the  divide between the north and the south in the hope of destabilizing any bid for unification.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AhNowRef on October 31, 2016, 02:29:21 PM
Undoubtedly !!

They must have some pitiful idea that they can go back to a 1950s type Stormont or something .. which aint gonna happen but I genuinely believe that this is their "only" reason for pushing Brexit.

Fed up with them saying all sorts of stupid crap and getting away with it without being challenged .. the "Brexit vote is a UK wide vote which cant be broken down into area's" is the most galling as its pathetically Ironic considering how this statelet was created ... Yet not a word from Sin Fein or the SDLP or anyone for that matter...

Do they not see this (seems incredulous  ???) or why else would they not bring it up ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 31, 2016, 02:39:31 PM
Whether they voted against it or for it it would not have made a difference. As that was going to happen ... they wanted to join the winning team
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:16:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 31, 2016, 02:39:31 PM
Whether they voted against it or for it it would not have made a difference. As that was going to happen ... they wanted to join the winning team

They as in the DUP?

It wouldn't make much difference but look what the SNP are doing and look at how the dup think it's important to honour democracy. * Basically all anyone should look for here as the thing will happen is that they stand up for "their" people.

* when it suits them.

There are a lot of hard questions on how it will impact this place and there are not a lot of people willing to either a) ask them or b) answer them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 31, 2016, 03:38:04 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:16:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 31, 2016, 02:39:31 PM
Whether they voted against it or for it it would not have made a difference. As that was going to happen ... they wanted to join the winning team

They as in the DUP?

It wouldn't make much difference but look what the SNP are doing and look at how the dup think it's important to honour democracy. * Basically all anyone should look for here as the thing will happen is that they stand up for "their" people.

* when it suits them.

There are a lot of hard questions on how it will impact this place and there are not a lot of people willing to either a) ask them or b) answer them.

Well this is it... should things go completely tits up then they will have a lot of questions put to them which will harm some of their vote... but they work on a tribal political front and will get their required numpties to vote them back in...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:49:59 PM
nothing ever seems to harm their vote though, nothing...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 31, 2016, 03:55:14 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:49:59 PM
nothing ever seems to harm their vote though, nothing...

Yo the unionists voter what's the alternative??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on October 31, 2016, 04:00:56 PM
One reason they aren't getting torn to shreds about this and other issues (e.g. gay marriage farce by Arlene last week) is that there is a non-aggression pact between themselves and the Shinners. All I heard last week in response to Arlene's, crazy anti-democratic spake on gay marriage was Carol Ni Culin who has a personal oar in the water on that issue. Barely a whimper came from the Sinn Fein over Arlene's claim that the ROI government are interfering in business coming North. There was a Sinn Fein issue that happened relatively recently and the DUP did feck all in response (the exact details escape me at the mo).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 04:02:14 PM
UUP, hell even TUV or PUP are about on a par with them..

Also alliance are on the unionist line of thinking too. Just very moderate unionists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 31, 2016, 04:02:58 PM
Is it just me me or is it when you read or hear a DUP statement which has the words "people" or "area" in it, do you always hear the word protestant in your head before each of these words.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:05:05 PM
Quote from: AQMP on October 31, 2016, 11:03:38 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 30, 2016, 12:23:48 PM
I see Foster was at her extremist tribal 17th Century best yesterday at the Neanderthal annual conference.

This is the all new, modern, mellow DUP reaching out to Taigs.  Ye wanna have seen the conferences in the 70s and 80s!
In the 70s they were coherent. Not now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:06:40 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:49:59 PM
nothing ever seems to harm their vote though, nothing...
Brexit might if it turns out to be a disaster for ordinary people
When a political party betrays its voters because of incompetence the repercussions can be severe. Ask FF
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 31, 2016, 04:06:53 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on October 31, 2016, 04:00:56 PM
One reason they aren't getting torn to shreds about this and other issues (e.g. gay marriage farce by Arlene last week) is that there is a non-aggression pact between themselves and the Shinners. All I heard last week in response to Arlene's, crazy anti-democratic spake on gay marriage was Carol Ni Culin who has a personal oar in the water on that issue. Barely a whimper came from the Sinn Fein over Arlene's claim that the ROI government are interfering in business coming North. There was a Sinn Fein issue that happened relatively recently and the DUP did feck all in response (the exact details escape me at the mo).

I would say you are right OG it is ridiculous the amount of crap that is being said which is going unchallenged. Westminster could be paying extra to all parties just to behave like the little puppets they are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 31, 2016, 04:09:35 PM
Up here is different seafoid. Even if the brexit is a disaster and the DUP are replaced by the UUP they will just take up the same stance as the DUP to get the riff raff on their side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on October 31, 2016, 04:11:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:06:40 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:49:59 PM
nothing ever seems to harm their vote though, nothing...
Brexit might if it turns out to be a disaster for ordinary people
When a political party betrays its voters because of incompetence the repercussions can be severe. Ask FF

DUP voters would rather sit in a pile of their own shite waving a union jack than be prosperous under any other regime.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 04:13:27 PM
Quote from: haveaharp on October 31, 2016, 04:11:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:06:40 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:49:59 PM
nothing ever seems to harm their vote though, nothing...
Brexit might if it turns out to be a disaster for ordinary people
When a political party betrays its voters because of incompetence the repercussions can be severe. Ask FF

DUP voters would rather sit in a pile of their own shite waving a union jack than be prosperous under any other regime.

It is ludicrous. Look at east belfast and how little investment it gets, how few opportunities there are and the standard of education etc round there. All under a DUP regime. Yet what do people do - vote DUP in again, continually. It's the definition of madness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on October 31, 2016, 04:20:00 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 04:13:27 PM
Quote from: haveaharp on October 31, 2016, 04:11:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:06:40 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:49:59 PM
nothing ever seems to harm their vote though, nothing...
Brexit might if it turns out to be a disaster for ordinary people
When a political party betrays its voters because of incompetence the repercussions can be severe. Ask FF

DUP voters would rather sit in a pile of their own shite waving a union jack than be prosperous under any other regime.

It is ludicrous. Look at east belfast and how little investment it gets, how few opportunities there are and the standard of education etc round there. All under a DUP regime. Yet what do people do - vote DUP in again, continually. It's the definition of madness.

too dumb to see it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 31, 2016, 04:34:33 PM
They just throw money to the local community groups (UDA) to keep the votes right
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:39:41 PM
It is easier to manipulate uneducated people. Look! There's a birdie
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on October 31, 2016, 04:44:52 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:06:40 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:49:59 PM
nothing ever seems to harm their vote though, nothing...
Brexit might if it turns out to be a disaster for ordinary people
When a political party betrays its voters because of incompetence the repercussions can be severe. Ask FF
Ff could have been in govt but decided to stay out and let fg hang themselves with kenny at the helm and an amalgamation of independents which will eventually collapse, possibly  leaving ff in pole position at next election, despite their record of deceit, corruption and bankrupting the country. They could be running the country a little over a decade later.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 31, 2016, 04:46:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:39:41 PM
It is easier to manipulate uneducated people. Look! There's a birdie

FF have been doing for years ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:54:56 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 31, 2016, 04:46:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:39:41 PM
It is easier to manipulate uneducated people. Look! There's a birdie

FF have been doing for years ;D
Yup. When the econo my functions anyone can be finance minister.
But now it is very dangerous for voters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 02, 2016, 09:48:20 AM
Quote from: ardtole on October 31, 2016, 04:44:52 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2016, 04:06:40 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 31, 2016, 03:49:59 PM
nothing ever seems to harm their vote though, nothing...
Brexit might if it turns out to be a disaster for ordinary people
When a political party betrays its voters because of incompetence the repercussions can be severe. Ask FF
Ff could have been in govt but decided to stay out and let fg hang themselves with kenny at the helm and an amalgamation of independents which will eventually collapse, possibly  leaving ff in pole position at next election, despite their record of deceit, corruption and bankrupting the country. They could be running the country a little over a decade later.

Couldn't backfire on FF. They'll be known as the party who brought down the government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 02, 2016, 10:44:53 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 02, 2016, 10:29:46 AM
Quote from: AQMP on October 31, 2016, 11:01:51 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 31, 2016, 09:24:50 AM
Quote from: Gold on October 30, 2016, 08:54:30 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 30, 2016, 12:23:48 PM
I see Foster was at her extremist tribal 17th Century best yesterday at the Neanderthal annual conference.

Awful, horrible, smug, bitter woman
DUP conferences used to be in Paisley's day a poor stand up comedy show, now its a shoddy karaoke.

The DUP and popular culture...wrong on so many levels!

See...

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/arlene-foster-phones-husband-of-la-mon-victim-to-apologise-for-dup-conference-song-stunt-35179340.html


I think it's a bit of a non-story. Does that mean there should be no weddings in La Mon House in case there's a bit of dancing? Different story if it was a SF Ard Fheis singing "Gerry's on Fire", but I hardly think the DUP were making fun of the incident.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on November 02, 2016, 10:48:08 AM
I would probably agree with you there, although it was ones of the most cringy things I have ever seen.
She is first minister like FFS  :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 02, 2016, 12:51:20 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 02, 2016, 11:14:36 AM
I presume it was the "on fire" reference, rather than any dancing, singing or having a good time.
The La Mon was firebombed

Very bad judgement
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 02, 2016, 05:53:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 02, 2016, 12:51:20 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 02, 2016, 11:14:36 AM
I presume it was the "on fire" reference, rather than any dancing, singing or having a good time.
The La Mon was firebombed

Very bad judgement

Was there any direct connection to La Mon?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 02, 2016, 07:30:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 02, 2016, 05:53:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 02, 2016, 12:51:20 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 02, 2016, 11:14:36 AM
I presume it was the "on fire" reference, rather than any dancing, singing or having a good time.
The La Mon was firebombed

Very bad judgement

Was there any direct connection to La Mon?
$
The conference took place in..La Mon
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 02, 2016, 08:05:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 02, 2016, 07:30:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 02, 2016, 05:53:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 02, 2016, 12:51:20 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 02, 2016, 11:14:36 AM
I presume it was the "on fire" reference, rather than any dancing, singing or having a good time.
The La Mon was firebombed

Very bad judgement

Was there any direct connection to La Mon?
$
The conference took place in..La Mon

I see. Tricky.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 03, 2016, 01:34:39 AM
I'm inclined to agree with ze Germans. Even if article 50 is triggered the best outcome is a prevention of the Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 03, 2016, 08:27:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 02, 2016, 08:05:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 02, 2016, 07:30:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 02, 2016, 05:53:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 02, 2016, 12:51:20 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 02, 2016, 11:14:36 AM
I presume it was the "on fire" reference, rather than any dancing, singing or having a good time.
The La Mon was firebombed

Very bad judgement

Was there any direct connection to La Mon?
$
The conference took place in..La Mon

I see. Tricky.

Arlene et al shouldn't have done that, but not because of this eejit who's clearly just looking to be offended, but because it made them look like the shower of clowns they are.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 03, 2016, 10:17:25 AM
High Court ruling - Government must consult Parliament before triggering Brexit.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37857785?ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbc_breaking&ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 03, 2016, 10:19:37 AM
Rightly so. If only Corbyn was more anti brexit :(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 03, 2016, 10:23:05 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 03, 2016, 10:17:25 AM
High Court ruling - Government must consult Parliament before triggering Brexit.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37857785?ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbc_breaking&ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central

Parliament must vote on whether the UK can start the process of leaving the European Union, the High Court has ruled.
This means the government cannot trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty - beginning formal discussions with the EU - on their own.


Not just 'consult', but vote. I would take that to be binding.

As an aside, how on earth can Teresa May lead her country into such a pivotal period, without a mandate?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on November 03, 2016, 10:31:07 AM
Hold those border controls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 03, 2016, 10:37:57 AM
The bold Nige speaking up. No idea the anger they will provoke. Yeah because it hasn't provoked anger in the first place Nige.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 03, 2016, 10:41:41 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 10:38:42 AM
British government has been granted the right to appeal, and it looks like this will go to the Supreme Court.

Isn't it a bit odd for the government to go to the max to avoid consulting parliament?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 03, 2016, 11:01:58 AM
Some fcukn stupid Government and advisors that didn't know that since 1689 or so the Parliament is the sovereign body in Brit land.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 03, 2016, 11:14:55 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 10:31:16 AM
Surely Arlene and friends must accept a ruling from the United Kingdom High Court??  I'll not hold me breath...

If does come to parliamentary vote it will be interesting to see how they justify going against the clear will of the people they claim to represent
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 03, 2016, 11:16:08 AM
Seafoid will be devastated
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 03, 2016, 11:24:06 AM
General election next year.  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 03, 2016, 11:38:21 AM
Agree but a vote of no confidence in the government could trigger one, or if two thirds of MPS agreed to an election, like Brexit being stalled / made non-existent there are always ways.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on November 03, 2016, 11:49:38 AM
The decision is upheld.
The majority of parliament votes against Brexit.
Automatic general election because of government defeat.
Every party's manifesto lays out its position on Brexit.
General election is a de facto re-run of the referendum on Brexit.
If it's true that a significant number who voted for Brexit now regret it - no more Brexit.

Of course that doesn't take into account the dynamics of a campaign, with flag-waving Little Englanders mobilising the disaffected vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 03, 2016, 11:58:06 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 03, 2016, 10:37:57 AM
The bold Nige speaking up. No idea the anger they will provoke. Yeah because it hasn't provoked anger in the first place Nige.

Farage on Betrayal
"Ukip's leader, Nigel Farage, said he was angered at the decision. "I worry that a betrayal may be near at hand ... I now fear that every attempt will be made to block or delay the triggering of article 50. If this is so, they have no idea of the level of public anger they will provoke.""

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sz2tvnVM6oA

The UK is split down the middle . Just like the US
And one side is lying
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 03, 2016, 12:00:41 PM
Paul Nuttall is favourite to win the UKIP leadership
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I1q-Y20uExc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 03, 2016, 12:02:56 PM
A rawther appropriate surname for that outfit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 03, 2016, 12:10:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 03, 2016, 10:41:41 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 10:38:42 AM
British government has been granted the right to appeal, and it looks like this will go to the Supreme Court.

Isn't it a bit odd for the government to go to the max to avoid consulting parliament?

Can the appeals process still end up in the House of Lords?

Thereby possibly having a situation whereby the House of Lords may have to rule on whether or not they have the right to rule?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: cornerback on November 03, 2016, 12:47:39 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 12:39:09 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 03, 2016, 12:10:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 03, 2016, 10:41:41 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 10:38:42 AM
British government has been granted the right to appeal, and it looks like this will go to the Supreme Court.

Isn't it a bit odd for the government to go to the max to avoid consulting parliament?

Can the appeals process still end up in the House of Lords?

Thereby possibly having a situation whereby the House of Lords may have to rule on whether or not they have the right to rule?

The UK Supreme Court replaced the House of Lords as the ultimate Court of Appeal in 2009.  The Brit Gov will appeal this decision to the Supreme Court, set for Dec 7th according to some courses.

European Court of Justice? ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 03, 2016, 12:54:45 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 12:39:09 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 03, 2016, 12:10:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 03, 2016, 10:41:41 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 10:38:42 AM
British government has been granted the right to appeal, and it looks like this will go to the Supreme Court.

Isn't it a bit odd for the government to go to the max to avoid consulting parliament?

Can the appeals process still end up in the House of Lords?

Thereby possibly having a situation whereby the House of Lords may have to rule on whether or not they have the right to rule?

The UK Supreme Court replaced the House of Lords as the ultimate Court of Appeal in 2009.  The Brit Gov will appeal this decision to the Supreme Court, set for Dec 7th according to some courses.

RIP. His funfair will be hello on Sundial.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 03, 2016, 12:57:47 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 03, 2016, 12:10:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 03, 2016, 10:41:41 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 10:38:42 AM
British government has been granted the right to appeal, and it looks like this will go to the Supreme Court.

Isn't it a bit odd for the government to go to the max to avoid consulting parliament?

Can the appeals process still end up in the House of Lords?

Thereby possibly having a situation whereby the House of Lords may have to rule on whether or not they have the right to rule?

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2016/11/03/2178734/after-the-high-courts-brexit-decision-forget-about-activating-article-50-in-march/
Lingering, unaddressed, in the background to this litigation is a question about whether an Article 50 notification is reversible. The High Court in reality proceeded on the assumption that a notification, once given, could not be withdrawn. But the Supreme Court has a different legal obligation and it might feel legally compelled to address that assumption directly.
Addressing it would require a politically explosive referral to the European Court in Luxembourg – the question whether a notification is reversible is one of European law – with a likely delay of around three months.And a finding by the Supreme Court that an Article 50 notification could be 'pulled' would leave ajar the door to a prospectively damaging continuation of the Referendum campaign until such time, if any, as our exit is formalised.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 03, 2016, 01:01:39 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 01:00:35 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 03, 2016, 12:54:45 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 12:39:09 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 03, 2016, 12:10:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 03, 2016, 10:41:41 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 10:38:42 AM
British government has been granted the right to appeal, and it looks like this will go to the Supreme Court.

Isn't it a bit odd for the government to go to the max to avoid consulting parliament?

Can the appeals process still end up in the House of Lords?

Thereby possibly having a situation whereby the House of Lords may have to rule on whether or not they have the right to rule?

The UK Supreme Court replaced the House of Lords as the ultimate Court of Appeal in 2009.  The Brit Gov will appeal this decision to the Supreme Court, set for Dec 7th according to some courses.

RIP. His funfair will be hello on Sundial.

LOL - I never knew c***ts auto corrected to courses ;)
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 12:39:09 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 03, 2016, 12:10:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 03, 2016, 10:41:41 AM
Quote from: AQMP on November 03, 2016, 10:38:42 AM
British government has been granted the right to appeal, and it looks like this will go to the Supreme Court.

Isn't it a bit odd for the government to go to the max to avoid consulting parliament?

Can the appeals process still end up in the House of Lords?

Thereby possibly having a situation whereby the House of Lords may have to rule on whether or not they have the right to rule?

The UK Supreme Court replaced the House of Lords as the ultimate Court of Appeal in 2009.  The Brit Gov will appeal this decision to the Supreme Court, set for Dec 7th according to some sources.

Didn't know that.

Looking at Wiki, it seems almost all of the members are form the House of Lords anyway?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 03, 2016, 01:36:57 PM
Nesbit on saying the government can count on the UUP in any vote, they really never learn.  The will of the people - the will of 38% of the people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 03, 2016, 04:26:01 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 03, 2016, 01:36:57 PM
Nesbit on saying the government can count on the UUP in any vote, they really never learn.  The will of the people - the will of 38% of the people.

As usual the UU have lost the plot. Will Sylvia Hermon vote for something the people of North Down and the people of NI rejected?

Anyhow on a lighter note, Boris is said to have made the following comment at the Spectator awards last night.
"Brexit means Brexit and we are going to make a titanic success of it."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 03, 2016, 04:39:54 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 03, 2016, 01:36:57 PM
Nesbit on saying the government can count on the UUP in any vote, they really never learn.  The will of the people - the will of 38% of the people.

That's irrelevant. The vote was for UK as a whole. NI said stay. Don't matter, as UK said leave. End of story.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 03, 2016, 05:03:54 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 03, 2016, 04:39:54 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 03, 2016, 01:36:57 PM
Nesbit on saying the government can count on the UUP in any vote, they really never learn.  The will of the people - the will of 38% of the people.

That's irrelevant. The vote was for UK as a whole. NI said stay. Don't matter, as UK said leave. End of story.
"Parliament voted to give the people of the United Kingdom the opportunity to vote in a straight in/out referendum. 
"On the June 23 the people of the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union and on that basis, should the appeal be unsuccessful, our MPs will vote to trigger Article 50."

The referendum was badly structured cos Cameron thought he would walk it. It was designed to unite the Tories, not unleash chaos
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on November 03, 2016, 05:10:28 PM
If the south were serious about a united Ireland then this is the time for action. UK leave the EU give them a couple of years to stew in what has happened meanwhile the south with the backing of other EU states go in to claim back the north. The UN come in to keep the peace for a few years until the unionist realise they are better of in a untied Ireland.

If the Irish government had any balls they would be looking at this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 03, 2016, 05:11:03 PM
If it looks like a very tight vote, should the Shinners make an appearance?  ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 03, 2016, 05:14:08 PM
I was thinking exactly that muppet lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on November 03, 2016, 05:38:54 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on November 03, 2016, 05:10:28 PM
If the south were serious about a united Ireland then this is the time for action. UK leave the EU give them a couple of years to stew in what has happened meanwhile the south with the backing of other EU states go in to claim back the north. The UN come in to keep the peace for a few years until the unionist realise they are better of in a untied Ireland.

If the Irish government had any balls they would be looking at this.
Are you taking the piss?  I presume you don't live in "The North"/ wee 6 / NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 03, 2016, 06:01:16 PM
Over on the Garda thread someone said salaries are back to 2008 levels. In the UK they are down by 10% in real terms. The UK has higher inflation and no growth driver. The price of the union might be 20%  of income in a few years. A large part of Unionist identity is built around economic superiority. Taigs value education more than Brits do.  It is going to get very interesting. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 03, 2016, 08:41:08 PM
Article 50 notification is taken out of Theresa May's hands
The rights of citizens can only be extinguished by legislature
David Allen Green

https://www.ft.com/content/e22dd71e-a1b6-11e6-aa83-bcb58d1d2193

The High Court ruled on Thursday that it would be unlawful for the UK's prime minister to send the Article 50 notification to start the process of leaving the EU without an Act of Parliament. Unless and until this judgment is appealed, this is the law of the land. The matter is out of Theresa May's hands. She cannot by herself send the notification, even if she wanted to do so. It would be against the law.
A court of the UK has determined that the notification has to be authorised by parliament. The use of the so-called "royal prerogative" (a grand but misleading term for the unilateral legal powers of the British executive) is insufficient. If the government wants to make a decision that would directly lead, in two years or so, to 45 years of EU law being undone and the rights of citizens being extinguished then it has to be done by the legislature and not by fiat of the prime minister.
The High Court decision is a good one and it should be welcomed, even by those who ultimately want the UK to leave the EU. It puts parliament centre stage. If Brexit is to go ahead and be made a success then it will be because it was driven through by a sovereign parliament, rather than by ministers using executive powers. This is what "taking back control" should mean.
The judgment looks, at early glance, to be almost appeal-proof. It was made unanimously by three experienced appeal judges, sitting exceptionally at first instance: they are the Lord Chief Justice, the Master of the Rolls and the leading public law judge at the court of appeal. It is reasoned and detailed. At one point, the court appears to hold that the government's case was too weak to win on its own terms, regardless of the claimants' case.
Why did the government lose? It seems that the crucial issue is the impact on the rights of citizens. If the Article 50 notification is irrevocable then the argument is that these rights will be removed automatically in due course. This cannot be done, other than by an Act of Parliament.
The government could have side-stepped this difficulty by not accepting that the notification was irrevocable (and many, including Lord Kerr who wrote Article 50 of the Lisbon treaty, say a notification must be revocable). But it saw this legally sensible move as politically unacceptable. Looking at the judgment, the impression is that the government's concession on this crucial point determined the outcome of the case.
That said, the decision on Thursday was not a foregone conclusion. The courts are usually reluctant to encroach into political matters, and there is often judicial deference to the royal prerogative. For every decision like the one made on Thursday, there are many others where judges nod like lambs before the throne at unpleasant exercises of executive discretion. One could imagine a court deciding this case differently.
The government has announced that it will appeal against the court's decision. If so, that will be heard before the Supreme Court, probably early next month. All 11 current justices of the court will hear the case and at least one, Lord Sumption, can be expected not to be indulgent to the claimants' case, as he has expressed strong views that the courts should not determine political questions.
Next time round, the government will have the benefit of knowing how the case will be argued against them. At first instance, the claimants' lead advocate Lord Pannick QC gave a stunning and powerful "reply" to the defence: at the Supreme Court, the government's lawyers will be more ready for his submissions.
The problems caused by Thursday's defeat were entirely the prime minister's creation. Mrs May determined that the notification had to be done by prerogative and she even set a deadline of March next year. Both were her decisions. No doubt she regarded any advice that it should be done by a parliamentary vote as unhelpful.
But there is only so much any prime minister can do, even with the British constitution, by putting one's head down and charging. The rules of reality are always there.
The referendum result was clear: the majority of those who voted want the UK to leave the EU. But nothing else is clear, including the means by which that momentous exercise is done, the timing of the exercise and what replaces the current relationship. In a parliamentary democracy, it is right that these matters be debated and decided openly by parliament, not determined privately by the executive.
This is what real sovereignty looks like.
The writer is a lawyer and journalist, and author of the Financial Times law and policy blog
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 03, 2016, 08:48:42 PM
Did Norn Ireland high court not deem it was lawful!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 03, 2016, 10:35:37 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 03, 2016, 08:48:42 PM
Did Norn Ireland high court not deem it was lawful!!

Arlene's mates likely!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 03, 2016, 10:39:21 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 03, 2016, 08:41:08 PM
Article 50 notification is taken out of Theresa May's hands
The rights of citizens can only be extinguished by legislature
David Allen Green

https://www.ft.com/content/e22dd71e-a1b6-11e6-aa83-bcb58d1d2193

The High Court ruled on Thursday that it would be unlawful for the UK's prime minister to send the Article 50 notification to start the process of leaving the EU without an Act of Parliament. Unless and until this judgment is appealed, this is the law of the land. The matter is out of Theresa May's hands. She cannot by herself send the notification, even if she wanted to do so. It would be against the law.
A court of the UK has determined that the notification has to be authorised by parliament. The use of the so-called "royal prerogative" (a grand but misleading term for the unilateral legal powers of the British executive) is insufficient. If the government wants to make a decision that would directly lead, in two years or so, to 45 years of EU law being undone and the rights of citizens being extinguished then it has to be done by the legislature and not by fiat of the prime minister.
The High Court decision is a good one and it should be welcomed, even by those who ultimately want the UK to leave the EU. It puts parliament centre stage. If Brexit is to go ahead and be made a success then it will be because it was driven through by a sovereign parliament, rather than by ministers using executive powers. This is what "taking back control" should mean.
The judgment looks, at early glance, to be almost appeal-proof. It was made unanimously by three experienced appeal judges, sitting exceptionally at first instance: they are the Lord Chief Justice, the Master of the Rolls and the leading public law judge at the court of appeal. It is reasoned and detailed. At one point, the court appears to hold that the government's case was too weak to win on its own terms, regardless of the claimants' case.
Why did the government lose? It seems that the crucial issue is the impact on the rights of citizens. If the Article 50 notification is irrevocable then the argument is that these rights will be removed automatically in due course. This cannot be done, other than by an Act of Parliament.
The government could have side-stepped this difficulty by not accepting that the notification was irrevocable (and many, including Lord Kerr who wrote Article 50 of the Lisbon treaty, say a notification must be revocable). But it saw this legally sensible move as politically unacceptable. Looking at the judgment, the impression is that the government's concession on this crucial point determined the outcome of the case.
That said, the decision on Thursday was not a foregone conclusion. The courts are usually reluctant to encroach into political matters, and there is often judicial deference to the royal prerogative. For every decision like the one made on Thursday, there are many others where judges nod like lambs before the throne at unpleasant exercises of executive discretion. One could imagine a court deciding this case differently.
The government has announced that it will appeal against the court's decision. If so, that will be heard before the Supreme Court, probably early next month. All 11 current justices of the court will hear the case and at least one, Lord Sumption, can be expected not to be indulgent to the claimants' case, as he has expressed strong views that the courts should not determine political questions.
Next time round, the government will have the benefit of knowing how the case will be argued against them. At first instance, the claimants' lead advocate Lord Pannick QC gave a stunning and powerful "reply" to the defence: at the Supreme Court, the government's lawyers will be more ready for his submissions.
The problems caused by Thursday's defeat were entirely the prime minister's creation. Mrs May determined that the notification had to be done by prerogative and she even set a deadline of March next year. Both were her decisions. No doubt she regarded any advice that it should be done by a parliamentary vote as unhelpful.
But there is only so much any prime minister can do, even with the British constitution, by putting one's head down and charging. The rules of reality are always there.
The referendum result was clear: the majority of those who voted want the UK to leave the EU. But nothing else is clear, including the means by which that momentous exercise is done, the timing of the exercise and what replaces the current relationship. In a parliamentary democracy, it is right that these matters be debated and decided openly by parliament, not determined privately by the executive.
This is what real sovereignty looks like.
The writer is a lawyer and journalist, and author of the Financial Times law and policy blog

So personally how does that sit with you?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 04, 2016, 11:15:32 AM
MR I think it is all chaotic. From an Irish point of view it is weird to see England going postal.
I don't think Brexit will solve anything.
The UK needs payrises.
It is all very sad.

I think Brexit might be an attempt at a right wing coup.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 04, 2016, 11:23:44 AM
Hopefully the Scots will get the courage to go Independent and bring an end to the so called "United Kingdom" which is and has always been "Grossengland".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 04, 2016, 11:28:35 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 04, 2016, 11:23:44 AM
Hopefully the Scots will get the courage to go Independent and bring an end to the so called "United Kingdom" which is and has always been "Grossengland".

Sadly, I don't think they will. Although these events hardly do anything to bring Scotland and England together, the economics are problematic. A bit like this island.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: passedit on November 04, 2016, 12:40:02 PM
https://twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/794474117156237312 (https://twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/794474117156237312)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 04, 2016, 12:55:06 PM
Quote from: passedit on November 04, 2016, 12:40:02 PM
https://twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/794474117156237312 (https://twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/794474117156237312)
class
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 04, 2016, 06:28:50 PM
Pure chaos

A Guardian article on the Daily Mail's vile headlines today has over ten thousand comments
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/04/enemies-of-the-people-british-newspapers-react-judges-brexit-ruling
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 07, 2016, 10:22:29 AM
It will hurt down South but will be even more painful in the occupied territories. England is toxic

http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/a-hard-brexit-will-wipe-12bn-off-our-economy-experts-warn-35193652.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 08, 2016, 03:46:21 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/nov/08/toblerone-gap-brexit-falling-pound-2016 (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/nov/08/toblerone-gap-brexit-falling-pound-2016)

:D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 08, 2016, 11:29:59 PM
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-11-08/india-pushes-u-k-to-figure-out-its-economic-future (https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-11-08/india-pushes-u-k-to-figure-out-its-economic-future)

The best thing about Brexit, is that it may just have saved us from Trump.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on November 09, 2016, 11:06:07 AM
Quote from: No wides on November 03, 2016, 08:48:42 PM
Did Norn Ireland high court not deem it was lawful!!
They deemed that the particular claim made was without merit, that the clauses in the GFA were not intrinsically linked to EU membership.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 09, 2016, 10:46:52 PM
Join the elite! A £5 treble on Leicester to win the football, us to vote Brexit and Trump to win would have returned £5million.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 09, 2016, 10:56:02 PM
Given Trump's pledge to cut Corp Tax and limit immigration, surely according to Seafoid's analysis,Ireland, North and South will become one large food bank as a direct result of Brexit/Trump
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 10, 2016, 08:39:09 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 09, 2016, 10:56:02 PM
Given Trump's pledge to cut Corp Tax and limit immigration, surely according to Seafoid's analysis,Ireland, North and South will become one large food bank as a direct result of Brexit/Trump
It depends on what decisions are made.
The 26 counties are in a better starting position.

I think the Irish/gaelic society is fundamentally more decent.
I know there are a lot of things that can be improved. But the core DNA is better.

England is not good when it is not business as usual. Neither is the US.
It's the Daily Mail/Fox  v   Dúthracht

But there is no time for complacency.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 10, 2016, 11:21:16 AM
An awful lot of us lost our Dúthracht when McCreevy, the PDs, Builders and Bankers had their neo liberal lemmings wet dream fantasy from 1997 to 2005.
But agree with you the WASPs seem to only be able to operate if they have some other crowd to trample on and put upon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 10, 2016, 11:26:30 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 10, 2016, 11:21:16 AM
An awful lot of us lost our Dúthracht when McCreevy, the PDs, Builders and Bankers had their neo liberal lemmings wet dream fantasy from 1997 to 2005.
But agree with you the WASPs seem to only be able to operate if they have some other crowd to trample on and put upon.
That picture of the Downs lady comforting the Waterford hurler was pure dúthracht. Culture is really important at times like these.

I think the English and the Yanks are being fattened with hatred for a war. War destroys excess capacity in the logic of the system. The alternative is payrises  But the rich won't tolerate payrises.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 10, 2016, 11:37:42 AM
I can see that conversation now seafoid.

Right guys either war or an inflation based pay rise - which do you vote for?

Either you are on a different intellectual stratosphere to most of the rest of us or you just talk utter nonsense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 10, 2016, 12:55:20 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 10, 2016, 11:37:42 AM
I can see that conversation now seafoid.

Right guys either war or an inflation based pay rise - which do you vote for?

Either you are on a different intellectual stratosphere to most of the rest of us or you just talk utter nonsense.
Payrises. You can't have inflation when a tiny minorit'y controls the money. You can't have pensions either. Because capitalism will destroy them. Like it destroyed the NPR.

Angry people end up killing each other. The Mexicans or the Jews or the Pakistanis are nobody's enemy. War  and the system that produces it is the enemy.

I was in Evian in France in the summer. There was a plaque outside a building. Some Jewish lady was arrested and taken away on 21 November and murdered in Auschwitz on 26 November. Wilbur Ross bought Bank of Ireland debt for nothing and sold it for a huge profit after Draghi introduced QE. The state got stuffed with Aib and Anglo debt. Ross is a senior Trump advisor. 

He doesn't care about climate. None of them do. If it was a cartoon Scooby do would expose them. But it is not a cartoon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 10, 2016, 01:00:21 PM
As someone said on twitter lets see if Trump's voters still think he is making America great when they lose their Health Insurance as Obamacare is repealed. Similar to Brexit, turkeys and Christmas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 10, 2016, 04:54:23 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 10, 2016, 01:00:21 PM
As someone said on twitter lets see if Trump's voters still think he is making America great when they lose their Health Insurance as Obamacare is repealed. Similar to Brexit, turkeys and Christmas.

(https://scontent-lhr3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/15036284_10207725958572493_8591523481865119113_n.jpg?oh=cb8f51f620c4b522999686151ca8bf7f&oe=58C500BA)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 10, 2016, 05:39:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 10, 2016, 12:55:20 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 10, 2016, 11:37:42 AM
I can see that conversation now seafoid.

Right guys either war or an inflation based pay rise - which do you vote for?

Either you are on a different intellectual stratosphere to most of the rest of us or you just talk utter nonsense.
Payrises. You can't have inflation when a tiny minorit'y controls the money. You can't have pensions either. Because capitalism will destroy them. Like it destroyed the NPR.

Angry people end up killing each other. The Mexicans or the Jews or the Pakistanis are nobody's enemy. War  and the system that produces it is the enemy.

I was in Evian in France in the summer. There was a plaque outside a building. Some Jewish lady was arrested and taken away on 21 November and murdered in Auschwitz on 26 November. Wilbur Ross bought Bank of Ireland debt for nothing and sold it for a huge profit after Draghi introduced QE. The state got stuffed with Aib and Anglo debt. Ross is a senior Trump advisor. 

He doesn't care about climate. None of them do. If it was a cartoon Scooby do would expose them. But it is not a cartoon.

You must leave some carbon footprint with amount of time you're online ffs!! Give the environment a rest and feck off... did you swim to France or walk?? More carbon footprint trails
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 09:18:27 AM
Planning going well, I see.

The government has no overall Brexit plan and it could need an extra 30,000 civil servants to deal with the complexity of the task facing the country, according to a leaked memo

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/15/whitehall-struggling-to-cope-with-scale-of-work-arising-from-brexit-vote

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CqYOTfGWYAAjzS6.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2016, 09:52:24 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 09:18:27 AM
Planning going well, I see.

The government has no overall Brexit plan and it could need an extra 30,000 civil servants to deal with the complexity of the task facing the country, according to a leaked memo

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/15/whitehall-struggling-to-cope-with-scale-of-work-arising-from-brexit-vote

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CqYOTfGWYAAjzS6.jpg)

The loss of Euro clearing could cost 85,000 jobs

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 15, 2016, 11:02:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 09:18:27 AM
Planning going well, I see.

The government has no overall Brexit plan and it could need an extra 30,000 civil servants to deal with the complexity of the task facing the country, according to a leaked memo

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/15/whitehall-struggling-to-cope-with-scale-of-work-arising-from-brexit-vote

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CqYOTfGWYAAjzS6.jpg)

Surprise surprise. Clueless idiots.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 12:32:48 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2016, 09:52:24 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 09:18:27 AM
Planning going well, I see.

The government has no overall Brexit plan and it could need an extra 30,000 civil servants to deal with the complexity of the task facing the country, according to a leaked memo

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/15/whitehall-struggling-to-cope-with-scale-of-work-arising-from-brexit-vote


The loss of Euro clearing could cost 85,000 jobs

That's handy,  they can hire them!

Someone noted elsewhere that the EU has only 24000 staff.

Meanwhile British business isn't too keen and no doubt they are telling the Tories so.

Third of large EU companies sees damage from Brexit talks - Deloitte

http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/third-of-large-eu-companies-sees-damage-from-brexit-talks-deloitte-35216527.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 15, 2016, 12:50:55 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 15, 2016, 11:02:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 09:18:27 AM
Planning going well, I see.

The government has no overall Brexit plan and it could need an extra 30,000 civil servants to deal with the complexity of the task facing the country, according to a leaked memo

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/15/whitehall-struggling-to-cope-with-scale-of-work-arising-from-brexit-vote

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CqYOTfGWYAAjzS6.jpg)

Surprise surprise. Clueless idiots.

This is where Corbyn is useless. A strong pro-EU opposition leader should wipe the floor with them. Theresa May has been a disaster to date. Her trade mission to India was hilarious, considering they want to ban Indians from immigrating to the UK, which didn't go down too well.  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2016, 12:52:15 PM
Brexit is psy ops. It is failing in the real world.
Trump is/will be the same. People cannot eat lies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: stew on November 15, 2016, 02:27:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2016, 12:52:15 PM
Brexit is psy ops. It is failing in the real world.
Trump is/will be the same. People cannot eat lies.

Accept the things you cannot control, embrace the change and fear not, Garage has the war of the President, all is well with the world.  :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on November 15, 2016, 02:49:50 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 15, 2016, 12:50:55 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 15, 2016, 11:02:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 09:18:27 AM
Planning going well, I see.

The government has no overall Brexit plan and it could need an extra 30,000 civil servants to deal with the complexity of the task facing the country, according to a leaked memo

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/15/whitehall-struggling-to-cope-with-scale-of-work-arising-from-brexit-vote

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CqYOTfGWYAAjzS6.jpg)

Surprise surprise. Clueless idiots.

This is where Corbyn is useless. A strong pro-EU opposition leader should wipe the floor with them. Theresa May has been a disaster to date. Her trade mission to India was hilarious, considering they want to ban Indians from immigrating to the UK, which didn't go down too well.  :D

The India thing was funny enough alright, first thing the Indian government wanted was a relaxation on visa restrictions for its citizens.

Theresa may get used to it as free trade will come at a cost somewhere along the line.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on November 15, 2016, 02:53:15 PM
Is it any wonder people are concerned??

Fear mongering - Never not us, sure we're just voicing the concerns of the silent majority


(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CxSYH-nWQAAIR87.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 03:04:56 PM
I like the bit about "English" pupils being in the minority, I expect there are lots of those in Scotland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 15, 2016, 03:15:01 PM
Awful like Germany 1933/34 !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on November 15, 2016, 03:24:44 PM
QuoteAwful like Germany 1933/34 !

Correct Rossfan - I go that picture from twitter from a person whose message read as follows:

My grandparents died at Auschwitz: parents told me how Hitler's publicity machine slowly made it possible. This is how. Constant repetition.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 15, 2016, 03:29:47 PM
The mail and the sun are shocking these days Declan. They write what they want and then they post an apology in the smallest print they can find when it's completely inaccurate and they have to. I saw something yesterday about one of their latest apologies relating to the syrian refugees and their questions over their age. So they said something like 2 in 3 failed their age check but it transpired that 2 in 3 had to undergo age checks so it was in no way related to what they reported at all. then people lap this up. England in particular is currently on a very slippery slope with this kind of thing.People lap it up and don't see apologies.

It has gone too far but seems these papers have too much control and influence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 15, 2016, 04:57:10 PM
Quote from: Declan on November 15, 2016, 03:24:44 PM
QuoteAwful like Germany 1933/34 !

Correct Rossfan - I go that picture from twitter from a person whose message read as follows:

My grandparents died at Auschwitz: parents told me how Hitler's publicity machine slowly made it possible. This is how. Constant repetition.

See Declan's link to Breitbart!

(http://cdn.washingtonexaminer.biz/cache/r960-b4d55528aeadd2fa00d665b268ef5513.jpg?v=2016.11.09.02)
(http://cloudfront.mediamatters.org/static/uploader/image/2016/08/17/women_interviews.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 15, 2016, 06:04:55 PM
2 year delay before Brexit can even be triggered???

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-dealt-fresh-blow-as-supreme-court-judge-signals-major-delay-on-starting-brexit-a7418986.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 15, 2016, 06:09:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 15, 2016, 06:04:55 PM
2 year delay before Brexit can even be triggered???

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-dealt-fresh-blow-as-supreme-court-judge-signals-major-delay-on-starting-brexit-a7418986.html

It is actually getting to be quite funny at this stage. You just have to laugh.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 15, 2016, 06:29:12 PM
It's like some outrageous unbelievable comedy/farce :D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 15, 2016, 06:45:40 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 15, 2016, 06:29:12 PM
It's like some outrageous unbelievable comedy/farce :D ;D

A cross between Faulty Towers, Yes Minister and Only Fools and Tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 15, 2016, 07:03:58 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 15, 2016, 06:45:40 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 15, 2016, 06:29:12 PM
It's like some outrageous unbelievable comedy/farce :D ;D

A cross between Faulty Towers, Yes Minister and Only Fools and Tories.

it is the comedy that keeps on giving, this will run and run
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/15/britain-probably-leaving-eu-customs-union-says-boris-johnson
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on November 16, 2016, 02:03:31 PM
Classic stuff here - Boris Johnson: the master diplomat — Italian minister on their #Brexit discussions

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-16/u-k-s-brexit-policy-chaos-is-unacceptable-italy-s-calenda-says (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-16/u-k-s-brexit-policy-chaos-is-unacceptable-italy-s-calenda-says)

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CxXvg1AVIAEM_Cj.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 16, 2016, 08:34:33 PM
Could actually be retired by the time this kicks in  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 17, 2016, 09:58:35 AM
Good summary from the comments on the FT.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CxX-B-2UAAADtmy.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 17, 2016, 10:20:05 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 16, 2016, 08:34:33 PM
Could actually be retired by the time this kicks in  ;D

You will defo have a few bouts on the redundancy roundabout.  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 17, 2016, 11:09:48 AM
Whoever posted that Armagnniac has completely and utterly nailed it!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 17, 2016, 11:50:53 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/17/eu-set-to-ask-ukip-group-to-repay-almost-150000-in-misspent-funds?CMP=twt_gu (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/17/eu-set-to-ask-ukip-group-to-repay-almost-150000-in-misspent-funds?CMP=twt_gu)

Hopefully this will come straight from Nigel's pocket...

Theresa May is on a hiding to nothing on this and that sums it up Armaghniac. Not that you would feel on bit sorry for that woman but that role is currently a massive poisoned chalice as she can not win and will forever be remembered for whatever way she chooses to not win...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 12:23:27 PM
May is interested in power for power's sake. She is a British version of Cowen.
And like him she is out of her depth. As is Trump.
There is no way to square the circle of deflation and the lies told to voters. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 17, 2016, 03:20:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 12:23:27 PM
May is interested in power for power's sake. She is a British version of Cowen.
And like him she is out of her depth. As is Trump.
There is no way to square the circle of deflation and the lies told to voters.

May backed remain!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 03:23:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 17, 2016, 03:20:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 12:23:27 PM
May is interested in power for power's sake. She is a British version of Cowen.
And like him she is out of her depth. As is Trump.
There is no way to square the circle of deflation and the lies told to voters.

May backed remain!
UK faces £100bn Brexit hole in budget
Autumn Statement to reveal hit to growth and tax income over next five years

https://www.ft.com/content/acb33786-ac16-11e6-9cb3-bb8207902122

They will never close the deficit.
Sterling is going to have to BOHICA

Wine in Belfast will be more expensive
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 17, 2016, 03:26:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 03:23:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 17, 2016, 03:20:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 12:23:27 PM
May is interested in power for power's sake. She is a British version of Cowen.
And like him she is out of her depth. As is Trump.
There is no way to square the circle of deflation and the lies told to voters.

May backed remain!
UK faces £100bn Brexit hole in budget
Autumn Statement to reveal hit to growth and tax income over next five years

https://www.ft.com/content/acb33786-ac16-11e6-9cb3-bb8207902122

They will never close the deficit.
Sterling is going to have to BOHICA

Wine in Belfast will be more expensive

You should just open up a thread and keep posting in it, the majority of what you post is pure shite - have you even got a job to be concerned about?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 17, 2016, 05:23:20 PM
I don't know about May, a soft Remainer at best but was hedging her bets politically, she has proved to be incredibly astute (or incredibly lucky). I thought she would be a strong leader tbh but she's flailing around like the rest of them, nobody is getting out of this with any credit.

A week or two ago I said I thought Gove would be parachuted in somewhere to save the day, with the daily incompetence on show i think it'll be much sooner than expected.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 17, 2016, 05:25:44 PM
Gove is a another detestable one (possibly mores actually with Murdoch ties) and some believe behind the whole brexit thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 17, 2016, 06:03:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 17, 2016, 05:23:20 PM
I don't know about May, a soft Remainer at best but was hedging her bets politically, she has proved to be incredibly astute (or incredibly lucky). I thought she would be a strong leader tbh but she's flailing around like the rest of them, nobody is getting out of this with any credit.

In GAA terms May is like someone who hoped to take over the team, but who only got her chance when an almighty split had occurred and where she cannot win, as imtommygunn put it.


QuoteA week or two ago I said I thought Gove would be parachuted in somewhere to save the day, with the daily incompetence on show i think it'll be much sooner than expected.

Gove would be hugely divisive, while Tory MPs are getting it from the Brexiteers, corporate interests (good friends in the past) in their constituencies are also in their ear pointing out the problems of leaving the Single Market etc.

May doesn't have a strong hand!

(http://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/648adc5101c3e6b0f89711f3313c07edb6f3d39dbf49d09407f7385fe54194d0.jpg?w=600&h=520)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 07:56:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 03:23:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 17, 2016, 03:20:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 12:23:27 PM
May is interested in power for power's sake. She is a British version of Cowen.
And like him she is out of her depth. As is Trump.
There is no way to square the circle of deflation and the lies told to voters.

May backed remain!
UK faces £100bn Brexit hole in budget
Autumn Statement to reveal hit to growth and tax income over next five years

https://www.ft.com/content/acb33786-ac16-11e6-9cb3-bb8207902122

They will never close the deficit.
Sterling is going to have to BOHICA

Wine in Belfast will be more expensive

Still cheaper than Dublin prices
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 08:44:42 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 07:56:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 03:23:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 17, 2016, 03:20:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 12:23:27 PM
May is interested in power for power's sake. She is a British version of Cowen.
And like him she is out of her depth. As is Trump.
There is no way to square the circle of deflation and the lies told to voters.

May backed remain!
UK faces £100bn Brexit hole in budget
Autumn Statement to reveal hit to growth and tax income over next five years

https://www.ft.com/content/acb33786-ac16-11e6-9cb3-bb8207902122

They will never close the deficit.
Sterling is going to have to BOHICA

Wine in Belfast will be more expensive

Still cheaper than Dublin prices
Long may it continue

I think people earning Euros can get good value buying wine in sterling
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 09:15:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 08:44:42 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 07:56:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 03:23:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 17, 2016, 03:20:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 12:23:27 PM
May is interested in power for power's sake. She is a British version of Cowen.
And like him she is out of her depth. As is Trump.
There is no way to square the circle of deflation and the lies told to voters.

May backed remain!
UK faces £100bn Brexit hole in budget
Autumn Statement to reveal hit to growth and tax income over next five years

https://www.ft.com/content/acb33786-ac16-11e6-9cb3-bb8207902122

They will never close the deficit.
Sterling is going to have to BOHICA

Wine in Belfast will be more expensive

Still cheaper than Dublin prices
Long may it continue

I think people earning Euros can get good value buying wine in sterling

Not cost affective though if you're traveling from Galway though! But sure carry on
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 11:33:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 09:15:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 08:44:42 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 07:56:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 03:23:22 PM
Quote from: No wides on November 17, 2016, 03:20:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 12:23:27 PM
May is interested in power for power's sake. She is a British version of Cowen.
And like him she is out of her depth. As is Trump.
There is no way to square the circle of deflation and the lies told to voters.

May backed remain!
UK faces £100bn Brexit hole in budget
Autumn Statement to reveal hit to growth and tax income over next five years

https://www.ft.com/content/acb33786-ac16-11e6-9cb3-bb8207902122

They will never close the deficit.
Sterling is going to have to BOHICA

Wine in Belfast will be more expensive

Still cheaper than Dublin prices
Long may it continue

I think people earning Euros can get good value buying wine in sterling

Not cost affective though if you're traveling from Galway though! But sure carry on
You can buy stuff online. Everything is 20% cheaper now
Galway is only 3 hours from the occupied territories otherwise
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 17, 2016, 11:40:38 PM
Good man Seaf, voluntarily pay tax to the Brexit  comic opera Government just to drink chaper feckin wine.
You're some bucko alright.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 11:43:35 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 17, 2016, 11:40:38 PM
Good man Seaf, voluntarily pay tax to the Brexit  comic opera Government just to drink chaper feckin wine.
You're some bucko alright.
God love them, the craythurs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 11:55:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 11:43:35 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 17, 2016, 11:40:38 PM
Good man Seaf, voluntarily pay tax to the Brexit  comic opera Government just to drink chaper feckin wine.
You're some bucko alright.
God love them, the craythurs

If that's the case why do youse still come across and buy in Blighty? Which is great, keeps putting into the ni economy ya eejit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 18, 2016, 12:42:52 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 11:55:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 11:43:35 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 17, 2016, 11:40:38 PM
Good man Seaf, voluntarily pay tax to the Brexit  comic opera Government just to drink chaper feckin wine.
You're some bucko alright.
God love them, the craythurs

If that's the case why do youse still come across and buy in Blighty? Which is great, keeps putting into the ni economy ya eejit
I always like going to the occupied territories
My wife is from the Continent. The first time we drove over the border she said "it really looks like Ireland"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 18, 2016, 07:34:39 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 18, 2016, 12:42:52 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 11:55:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 11:43:35 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 17, 2016, 11:40:38 PM
Good man Seaf, voluntarily pay tax to the Brexit  comic opera Government just to drink chaper feckin wine.
You're some bucko alright.
God love them, the craythurs

If that's the case why do youse still come across and buy in Blighty? Which is great, keeps putting into the ni economy ya eejit
I always like going to the occupied territories
My wife is from the Continent. The first time we drove over the border she said "it really looks like Ireland"

She sounds like a very intelligent person
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keepthefaith93 on November 18, 2016, 09:36:11 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 18, 2016, 07:34:39 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 18, 2016, 12:42:52 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2016, 11:55:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2016, 11:43:35 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 17, 2016, 11:40:38 PM
Good man Seaf, voluntarily pay tax to the Brexit  comic opera Government just to drink chaper feckin wine.
You're some bucko alright.
God love them, the craythurs

If that's the case why do youse still come across and buy in Blighty? Which is great, keeps putting into the ni economy ya eejit
I always like going to the occupied territories
My wife is from the Continent. The first time we drove over the border she said "it really looks like Ireland"

She sounds like a very intelligent person

Lol, just spat my coffee around the desk reading that. Very funny sir.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 18, 2016, 11:01:28 AM
If Brexit was soccer the UK economy would be Brazil at the last world cup. Germany have never beaten Brazil in a competitive game but Neymar is injured and Thiago Silva is out on 2 cards. Starring Boris Johnson as David Luiz and Liam Fox as Marcelo. Special appearance by the Daily Mail as Fred. Brazil are coached by Katie Hopkins. With the Financial markets as Thomas Mueller.

25 minutes gone and Brazil have fallen apart.   3 nil down. And nobody marking. Midfield not working. And cute women crying. As good a goal as you could see.
And then another goal goes in. Brazil are being humiliated by Germany. And it is like pulling the plug out of the bath. The supporters cannot believe it. The dream, the fantasy is well and truly dead.

They have scored 4 goals in the last 6 minutes, Martin

And everyone would understand what was happening because they could see the goals going in. And they know about football because the newspapers allow it into the narrative. And they would be screaming at the telly. And texting like mad.

But it is not football. So the bullshit continues. And now it's 5 nil with half an hour played. The EU will destroy May in the Brexit negotiations with that deficit. It will be like a testimonial game.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfTJnlS5S4Q
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 18, 2016, 02:05:27 PM
Coach Katie Hopkins has Pele, Maradona and Cruyff on available to her, but won't pick foreigners.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 18, 2016, 02:50:07 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 18, 2016, 02:05:27 PM
Coach Katie Hopkins has Pele, Maradona and Cruyff on available to her, but won't pick foreigners.
She won't play anyone who is not white or who can read  it''s gone pear shaped early doors Martin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 18, 2016, 02:51:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 18, 2016, 02:50:07 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 18, 2016, 02:05:27 PM
Coach Katie Hopkins has Pele, Maradona and Cruyff on available to her, but won't pick foreigners.
She won't play anyone who is not white or who can read  it''s gone pear shaped early doors Martin.

I heard it was because they wouldn't eat pie.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 09:56:33 AM
Pour encourager les autres

It is like something out of the Middle Ages that would happen to Ireland. The great game.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 20, 2016, 10:17:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 09:56:33 AM
Pour encourager les autres

It is like something out of the Middle Ages that would happen to Ireland. The great game.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen

This is the thinking that brought the people a decade of austerity. Austerity has brought us Brexit, Trump and maybe Le Pen. So they decide on more austerity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 12:08:50 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 10:17:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 09:56:33 AM
Pour encourager les autres

It is like something out of the Middle Ages that would happen to Ireland. The great game.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen

This is the thinking that brought the people a decade of austerity. Austerity has brought us Brexit, Trump and maybe Le Pen. So they decide on more austerity.
I remember in 2010 Miriam O Callaghan was interviewing someone from LSE and he said the solution to Anglo and AIB was debt for equity. Some things never make it into the narrative. Everybody takes the piss out of Labour's way or Frankfurt's way but they were right
Debt won. And delivered deflation

The only way to stop what is happening is to generate enough political power to kill debt.

Last year $6tn in new debt was issued globally. Same the year before and the year before.
There is around $26 tn in money in the system doing nothing.  7tn in cash. $11.7 tn in negative yield bonds. $7 tn in passive

And nobody is getting payrises. 

Detroit got to the point where the nonsense couldn't continue any longer and they had to cancel debt.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/11903b18-f603-11e2-a55d-00144feabdc0.html
The decision undermines long-held assumptions that GO bonds will be put ahead of other liabilities, such as employee pension and healthcare promises, investors and rating agencies say. In turn, that could lead to lower assessments of the bonds' creditworthiness and higher funding costs, at least in Michigan if Detroit's bonds are found to be unsecured under state law.
Mr Snyder laughed off such concerns as suggestions that he would "destroy the modern world".
Such jockeying is an inevitable part of the bankruptcy process, the two men said. "Some of this is bad theatre. This is off-Broadway stuff," Mr Orr said. Creditors and other claimants, including city employees' unions, "have to do this for their own constituencies".

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=10pmPiK8pi8
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on November 20, 2016, 12:09:46 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 10:17:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 09:56:33 AM
Pour encourager les autres

It is like something out of the Middle Ages that would happen to Ireland. The great game.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen

This is the thinking that brought the people a decade of austerity. Austerity has brought us Brexit, Trump and maybe Le Pen. So they decide on more austerity.

Bitching about austerity is grand and popular muppet but when your spending is X and your income is 1 billion less than that then you have no option but to cut your cloth to fit.

All these f**kers bitching about austerity, you can't spend money you don't have. Syrzia tried it and they're going down in a ball of flames.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 20, 2016, 03:41:30 PM
Quote from: trileacman on November 20, 2016, 12:09:46 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 10:17:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 09:56:33 AM
Pour encourager les autres

It is like something out of the Middle Ages that would happen to Ireland. The great game.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen

This is the thinking that brought the people a decade of austerity. Austerity has brought us Brexit, Trump and maybe Le Pen. So they decide on more austerity.

Bitching about austerity is grand and popular muppet but when your spending is X and your income is 1 billion less than that then you have no option but to cut your cloth to fit.

All these f**kers bitching about austerity, you can't spend money you don't have. Syrzia tried it and they're going down in a ball of flames.

Funnily enough I agree to a point.

But austerity in Ireland was imposed on us because of the failure of private banks. I know we had a deficit, especially when stamp duty dried up, but the bank guarantee and the ECB's insistence on no bank being allowed to fail screwed us.

(http://notesonthefront.typepad.com/.a/6a00d8342f650553ef017ee76fccd2970d-500wi)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 04:08:19 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 03:41:30 PM
Quote from: trileacman on November 20, 2016, 12:09:46 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 10:17:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 09:56:33 AM
Pour encourager les autres

It is like something out of the Middle Ages that would happen to Ireland. The great game.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen

This is the thinking that brought the people a decade of austerity. Austerity has brought us Brexit, Trump and maybe Le Pen. So they decide on more austerity.

Bitching about austerity is grand and popular muppet but when your spending is X and your income is 1 billion less than that then you have no option but to cut your cloth to fit.

All these f**kers bitching about austerity, you can't spend money you don't have. Syrzia tried it and they're going down in a ball of flames.

Funnily enough I agree to a point.

But austerity in Ireland was imposed on us because of the failure of private banks. I know we had a deficit, especially when stamp duty dried up, but the bank guarantee and the ECB's insistence on no bank being allowed to fail screwed us.

(http://notesonthefront.typepad.com/.a/6a00d8342f650553ef017ee76fccd2970d-500wi)

The EZ doesn't have a bank recapitalisation system or agreed rules on how to wind down a failed bank at least cost. Because the galacticos who devised the Euro didn't think it would be needed.

The bank guarantee was a mistake but it wasn't the main reason the sovereign took on all that debt.
When Cyprus got into trouble the ECB stuck depositors with the losses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on November 20, 2016, 11:10:21 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 03:41:30 PM
Quote from: trileacman on November 20, 2016, 12:09:46 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 10:17:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 09:56:33 AM
Pour encourager les autres

It is like something out of the Middle Ages that would happen to Ireland. The great game.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen

This is the thinking that brought the people a decade of austerity. Austerity has brought us Brexit, Trump and maybe Le Pen. So they decide on more austerity.

Bitching about austerity is grand and popular muppet but when your spending is X and your income is 1 billion less than that then you have no option but to cut your cloth to fit.

All these f**kers bitching about austerity, you can't spend money you don't have. Syrzia tried it and they're going down in a ball of flames.

Funnily enough I agree to a point.

But austerity in Ireland was imposed on us because of the failure of private banks. I know we had a deficit, especially when stamp duty dried up, but the bank guarantee and the ECB's insistence on no bank being allowed to fail screwed us.

(http://notesonthefront.typepad.com/.a/6a00d8342f650553ef017ee76fccd2970d-500wi)

You've beaten this drum to death muppet. Yes the guarantee fucked us, yes the ecb fucked us, you've told us this for the last 7 years. We get it.

But the milk is spilt, quit crying over it. It's ten years ago and we are now dealing with the here and now. So please tell me how we have an alternative to austerity, and who's ass will we pull the several billion needed to sink money into the hse, run guard stations in balyspittle, build social housing, pay luas drivers like they're orthopaedic surgeons and whatever other populist notion is now doing the rounds.

If we struck oil in belmullet in 2010, sure we could have seen all this money spent but in reality we didn't. I'll use the words of a man who was a charlatan but not a fool; we were living beyond our means and had to tighten our belts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 21, 2016, 12:59:41 AM
Quote from: trileacman on November 20, 2016, 11:10:21 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 03:41:30 PM
Quote from: trileacman on November 20, 2016, 12:09:46 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 20, 2016, 10:17:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2016, 09:56:33 AM
Pour encourager les autres

It is like something out of the Middle Ages that would happen to Ireland. The great game.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/19/europes-leaders-force-uk-hard-brexit-farage-le-pen

This is the thinking that brought the people a decade of austerity. Austerity has brought us Brexit, Trump and maybe Le Pen. So they decide on more austerity.

Bitching about austerity is grand and popular muppet but when your spending is X and your income is 1 billion less than that then you have no option but to cut your cloth to fit.

All these f**kers bitching about austerity, you can't spend money you don't have. Syrzia tried it and they're going down in a ball of flames.

Funnily enough I agree to a point.

But austerity in Ireland was imposed on us because of the failure of private banks. I know we had a deficit, especially when stamp duty dried up, but the bank guarantee and the ECB's insistence on no bank being allowed to fail screwed us.

(http://notesonthefront.typepad.com/.a/6a00d8342f650553ef017ee76fccd2970d-500wi)

You've beaten this drum to death muppet. Yes the guarantee fucked us, yes the ecb fucked us, you've told us this for the last 7 years. We get it.

But the milk is spilt, quit crying over it. It's ten years ago and we are now dealing with the here and now. So please tell me how we have an alternative to austerity, and who's ass will we pull the several billion needed to sink money into the hse, run guard stations in balyspittle, build social housing, pay luas drivers like they're orthopaedic surgeons and whatever other populist notion is now doing the rounds.

If we struck oil in belmullet in 2010, sure we could have seen all this money spent but in reality we didn't. I'll use the words of a man who was a charlatan but not a fool; we were living beyond our means and had to tighten our belts.

As I said, some of the austerity was because of the dried up stamp duty revenues. That was our fault for electing populists who lowered taxes to get re-elected over and over again.

The bank debt was private debt gambled away privately. The ECB decided we pay for that. It is wayyyy to late to change it.

My point was very simple. The same people are going down the same hard line road with Brexit. Thus what can we expect?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 21, 2016, 01:43:41 AM
What is your point, Muppet?  Do you mean that the same type of people are driving British hard Brexit policies or that the EU are?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 21, 2016, 01:47:04 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 21, 2016, 01:43:41 AM
What is your point, Muppet?  Do you mean that the same type of people are driving British hard Brexit policies or that the EU are?

The same EU thinking that thought austerity for everyone was better than losses for speculators, is thinking that they need to teach Britain a lesson.

Incidentally Britain had the same attitude negotiating the Armistice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2016, 05:50:13 AM
Quote from: muppet on November 21, 2016, 01:47:04 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 21, 2016, 01:43:41 AM
What is your point, Muppet?  Do you mean that the same type of people are driving British hard Brexit policies or that the EU are?

The same EU thinking that thought austerity for everyone was better than losses for speculators, is thinking that they need to teach Britain a lesson.

Incidentally Britain had the same attitude negotiating the Armistice.
The same dud logic on both sides  . Protecting the rich. The Euros want to.punish the UK so France doesn't vote neo fascist.
Why the Brits want to voluntarily leave is a mystery. They didn't lose a war.
It's sado masochism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 21, 2016, 10:20:36 AM
Quote from: muppet on November 21, 2016, 01:47:04 AM
The same EU thinking that thought austerity for everyone was better than losses for speculators, is thinking that they need to teach Britain a lesson.

Incidentally Britain had the same attitude negotiating the Armistice.

You are reading too many jingoistic British newspapers, where anything other than Britain getting exactly everything it wants is being characterised as "punishing" Britain. There is no need for anything to changed in Britain's present arrangements, and most people in the EU would happily leave it the way it is, all that is needed to Britain to grow up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 21, 2016, 12:21:39 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 21, 2016, 11:28:35 AM
May is speaking to the CBI this morning.  According to The Guardian she's hinting at a "transitional deal" for UK to leave EU.  If it's anything like SF's view that the GFA was a transitional arrangement towards a UI, then we could be here for a very long time!

It could take 10 years for Britain to be totally out so you need a transitional deal before the real deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 21, 2016, 12:23:58 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 21, 2016, 10:20:36 AM
Quote from: muppet on November 21, 2016, 01:47:04 AM
The same EU thinking that thought austerity for everyone was better than losses for speculators, is thinking that they need to teach Britain a lesson.

Incidentally Britain had the same attitude negotiating the Armistice.

You are reading too many jingoistic British newspapers, where anything other than Britain getting exactly everything it wants is being characterised as "punishing" Britain. There is no need for anything to changed in Britain's present arrangements, and most people in the EU would happily leave it the way it is, all that is needed to Britain to grow up.

Here is a non-British paper with the hardline angle: http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/uk-faces-hefty-brexit-bill-as-eu-negotiators-take-tough-stance-1.2868547 (http://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/uk-faces-hefty-brexit-bill-as-eu-negotiators-take-tough-stance-1.2868547) It is hardly just a figment of the imagination of British media.

The British government is in complete chaos, no need at the moment to attack their thinking, as there isn't any yet. There is plenty of time for that. My comment is purely about the EU.

Seafoid has often posted the phrase pour décourager les autres regarding the thinking of the EU. I agree with him that this is likely  to be their policy and I think it would be disastrous, if this is the basis for their side of the negotiations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 21, 2016, 12:28:14 PM
Thinking more about it, the EU demands for massive exit payments reminds me even more of the the Armistice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 21, 2016, 01:00:14 PM
http://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/tycoon-dup-demanded-30-000-a-month-to-back-my-brexit-campaign-1-7689127 (http://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/tycoon-dup-demanded-30-000-a-month-to-back-my-brexit-campaign-1-7689127)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 21, 2016, 01:05:31 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 21, 2016, 12:28:14 PM
Thinking more about it, the EU demands for massive exit payments reminds me even more of the the Armistice.

Exaggerate much?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 21, 2016, 03:06:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 21, 2016, 01:05:31 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 21, 2016, 12:28:14 PM
Thinking more about it, the EU demands for massive exit payments reminds me even more of the the Armistice.

Exaggerate much?

Do you offer anything other than insults?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2016, 03:45:09 PM
The costs of Brexit keep on ratcheting up. Another £100 bn in lost tax between now and 2020. I thought it would save £10 bn a year.   Brexit will end up costing more than the Irish bailout. I am not surprised business is screaming for a transition deal.


The Daily Heil was talking about a 40% chance of getting the deficit to zero by 2020 but that is even less likely now. They have a deficit of I think £100 bn a year that has to be borrowed. Half of the deficit comes from the miners strike days . The whole thing is for the birds. Even Denmark wants a hard Brexit.  Denmark is the country with the second biggest level of exports as % GDP to the UK. Guess who is first! !!!

Mr Wolf from Pulp Fiction should lead a governent of national unity.

I was reading a bedtime story the other night. There is nothing as incoherent as Brexit in the books in our house. Baddies make mistakes but not on the Brexit scale.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2016, 03:50:58 PM
Quote from: muppet on November 21, 2016, 12:28:14 PM
Thinking more about it, the EU demands for massive exit payments reminds me even more of the the Armistice.
It could be but I think it is more an attempt to get them to cop on.
Losing Euro clearing will cost 80,000 jobs.

Last year the most expensive Christmas hamper sold by a wine merchant in London cost £10,000
This year the most expensive hamper sold by the same crowd costs £1000. Brexit is a party shaker.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 21, 2016, 03:53:51 PM
Britain seeking a transition deal will be seen by Brexiteers as weakness and by Brussels as exactly the same thing.

Even though a transition deal would be far better than a hard Brexit for both sides. It would certainly be far better for Ireland.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2016, 04:29:13 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/5922b3ba-afce-11e6-a37c-f4a01f1b0fa1

"many great ideas developed in the UK were commercialised elsewhere, she added, while entrepreneurs frequently struggled to secure long-term capital investment and overall investment remained too low. Productivity remained an endemic problem."

This is not Government's fault. Pension funds do not care about anything other than the short term. CEOS do not care either.
The UK pension industry is worth hundreds of billions but they don't invest the money coherently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2016, 04:50:36 PM
A very important contribution to the Brexit debate by the Pussycat Dolls

Be careful what you wish for cos you just might get it
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K0K46C82v9o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 21, 2016, 04:53:40 PM
This has to be the most useless thread in the history of the GAABOARD.  Maybe we should all join the party!

Last year one 1 million condoms were sold in UK.
This year 5 million condoms were sold.  Brexit must be f**king everyone!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2016, 08:57:33 PM
Betrayal

Check out the comments

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3955772/We-ll-cut-business-tax-lowest-rate-G20-says-PM-Theresa-vows-commitment-free-market-pledges-bring-corporation-rates-time-low.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 22, 2016, 01:33:17 PM
Ambassador Farage, the logical consequence of British Policy

The interim Ukip leader has Trump's ear, writes Gideon Rachman
Nigel Farage as ambassador to Washington — why not?

Donald Trump's suggestion that Mr Farage should be appointed as the next British ambassador to Washington is an unorthodox and outrageous intervention in British foreign policy. But it is also not such a bad idea.
What is the first job of a UK ambassador to Washington? It is to get close to the White House. Mr Farage would have an unprecedented closeness to the US president, the kind of access that other British ambassadors could only dream of. He campaigned alongside the president-elect and, after the election, had a personal meeting with Mr Trump — well before Theresa May (the British prime minister) was given a perfunctory 10 minutes on the phone.
The hard-drinking, outgoing Mr Farage would also stage good parties and receptions, which is also an important part of the diplomatic role. Given Mr Farage's closeness to the president, an invitation to a party at the British embassy would suddenly become one of the hottest tickets in Washington.
Ambassador Farage could also play an important role in securing one of Britain's most important foreign-policy goals: a free-trade deal with the US. Unlike Mr Farage, I believe that Britain's decision to leave the EU is a disastrous mistake which will inflict long-term economic damage on Britain. But we are where we are. Given Britain has got itself into this absurd situation, we need to look for escape routes. Mr Farage is probably one of the few people with a chance of persuading the Trump administration to make a US-UK trade deal a top priority.
Some of the reasons for rejecting a Farage ambassadorship amount to little more than wounded pride. Yes, Mr Trump's suggestion is a humiliating breach of protocol. But, frankly, it is just a foretaste of the indignities that Mr Trump is likely to inflict on Britain over the next four years. (Anyone looking forward to that state visit to London?)
Beyond the immediate media firestorm, the question of a Farage ambassadorship to Washington raises a genuine and crucial question for the May government. How close should Britain get to Mr Trump?
If, like me, you believe that he is a liar and a demagogue who may ultimately pose a threat to liberal democracy in the US, then the answer is clear. It would be a huge mistake for Britain to get into bed with the Trump administration and one that might well eventually go down as a shameful period in British history. Given that, I personally would not appoint Mr Farage as ambassador to Washington since I think Britain should keep its distance from Mr Trump.
But my views on Mr Trump do not seem to be shared by the British government. Boris Johnson, the foreign secretary, has suggested that the Trump presidency represents an "opportunity". If the May government believes that, it should make the most of this "opportunity" and appoint Mr Farage as British ambassador to Washington.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on November 22, 2016, 03:01:19 PM
Toblerone has it gaps made wider in UK.  EU's plan to punish UK may backfire as it may stop obesity with your average fatty eating less chocolate!!!!  Nigel Farage called to be the Willy Wonka ambassador for UK to get back the chocolate!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 22, 2016, 09:57:28 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/nov/22/brexit-europe-ryanair-michael-oleary-eu
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 23, 2016, 08:57:25 PM
This  is really interesting

Peter Hitchens on Brexit
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QUjLmw4bgq0
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 24, 2016, 08:57:07 AM
So there you have it from the British Chancellor, Brexit is setting them back £57 billion. Guess who's paying for it? the great unwashed and uneducated English working class who voted for it in droves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 24, 2016, 11:43:56 AM
Hitchens says that the thing will not work. The only way to get the UK out of the EU is with a parliamentary majority and a party who have defined plans for what they want to do with the independence they get. . They went for a shortcut with the vote and they are in a complete mess now.

The economic situation is chaotic. They cannot say by when the deficit will be reduced to zero.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 25, 2016, 11:16:08 AM
Tony Blair wants to return to save the UK

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4D2qcbu26gs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 29, 2016, 05:13:19 PM
The always impressive Nicola Sturgeon well received as she addressed the Seanad today.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 29, 2016, 05:52:11 PM
I see prime Minister May and her team got put back in their box today:
http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2016/11/29-tusk-letter-uk-mps/


Letter to the UK parliamentarians on the status of EU citizens in the UK and UK citizens living and working in Europe

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Dear Mr Tomlinson,
Dear UK Parliamentarians,

I read your letter with great interest. Your concern for the status of EU citizens in the UK and UK citizens living and working in Europe bodes well for the future negotiations, especially since we have assumed that one of the main reasons for the vote for Brexit was the rejection of the free movement of people and all the rights it entails, as defined by the European treaties.

In your letter you state that the European Commission, and in particular Mr Barnier, are attempting to prevent negotiations, thereby creating 'anxiety and uncertainty for the UK and EU citizens living in one another's territories.' It is a very interesting argument, the only problem being that it has nothing to do with reality. Would you not agree that the only source of anxiety and uncertainty is rather the decision on Brexit? And that the only way to dispel the fears and doubts of all the citizens concerned is the quickest possible start of the negotiations based on Art. 50 of the Treaty?

Immediately after the referendum I declared, on behalf of the 27 EU Member States and the European institutions, that we were ready to launch the negotiation process as early as the following day. I still stand by that declaration.

In your letter you called on me 'to resolve this matter once and for all' at the European Council in December. This would in effect mean the start of the negotiations already in December. The EU stands ready to do so, but that can only happen on the condition that Art. 50 has been triggered. Let me reiterate, however, that the decision about triggering Art. 50 belongs only to the UK, which we fully respect.

Just like you, I would like to avoid a situation where citizens become 'bargaining chips' in the negotiation process. In order for this not to happen, we will need precise and comprehensive solutions, which, other than nice-sounding expressions, will provide citizens with genuine guarantees of security.

Finally, I want to reassure you that today, and for as long as the UK remains a member of the EU, the Treaties guarantee the rights of all EU citizens, including UK citizens, as regards their residence, work, social security and health. People are not only protected by the substantive EU law against discrimination, but also by the European Court of Justice if their rights are not respected. This obviously concerns not only those citizens who currently live in other Member States, but also those who decide to do so in the future.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on November 30, 2016, 10:52:37 PM
http://www.economist.com/blogs/buttonwood/2016/11/economics-and-populism?fsrc=scn/tw/te/bl/ed/ (http://www.economist.com/blogs/buttonwood/2016/11/economics-and-populism?fsrc=scn/tw/te/bl/ed/)

Economics and populism
Schrödinger's Brexit

SOMETIMES an analogy strikes you on the head with the force of a plummeting cricket ball. On Radio 4 yesterday, Hamish Johnson, editor of physicsworld.com, had the brilliant insight to explain the British government's policy in terms of physics; Schrödinger's Brexit.

The poor cat is stuck in a box with a radioactive substance and a poison; when the substance decays, the poison is released. Since it is impossible to predict when the substance will decay, the cat may be deemed simultaneously alive and dead. The only way to know is to open the box.

Before Britain voted to leave the European Union in June, then prime minister David Cameron promised to trigger Article 50 (the exit mechanism) immediately. Five months on, Article 50 has yet to be triggered. The new prime minister, Theresa May, has promised to do so by the end of March. But in terms of what Britain wants, we have heard nothing but platitudes: "Brexit means Brexit", or "have our cake and eat it". Pushed for details, Ms May has said there will be "no running commentary" on negotiations. In fact, it is quite easy to do a running commentary. Since the other EU members won't talk until Article 50 has been triggered, there have been no negotiations.

Among the many important questions to be answered are whether Britain will stay in the single market, or the customs union, and whether there will be a transitional period after Britain leaves the EU during which it would retain existing access (in order to reduce the economic disruption). The rationale for this silence is that Britain does not want to "reveal its hand" before negotiating starts. This doesn't really make sense since it will have to reveal its hand when Article 50 is triggered and the negotiations will last two years; everyone in the EU will have plenty of time to react and counter Britain's offer.

Anyway, until such decisions are made, Britain is like the cat; simultaneously inside and outside the single market and customs union. This has the advantage for the government of allowing it to pretend that the "have cake and eat it" solution can occur; no trade-offs need to be made between sovereignty and economics. But were the government to open the box, to declare for one option over another, the full costs (political or economic) will be revealed. The longer the box can be kept closed, the better. Hence all the meaningless rhetoric.

The analogy can be used more broadly for Trumpian-style populists. Such politicians promote the idea that there are simple solutions to national problems that involve no trade-offs; if only existing leaders had been better negotiators, our country would have had a better deal. It is easy to spout this stuff from the sidelines; harder to achieve when actually in government. (Indeed, populist parties tend to lose appeal when they take office and are forced to make decisions.) Mr Trump can't actually cut taxes, maintain entitlement spending, and narrow the budget and trade deficits, for example. Abandoning the Iranian nuclear deal will make it more, not less, likely that Iran will get the bomb. But those cats won't be out of the bag (or box) until after the votes are counted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 02, 2016, 06:48:18 AM
Good result for remainers in Richmond bye election with Lib Dems overturning a huge Tory majority.Pressure increasing on May to call a General Election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 02, 2016, 07:23:30 AM
I hope this is the start of a Lib Dem comeback. They seem to be the only major party other than the SNP that's willing to put a stop to Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 02, 2016, 07:29:14 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/dec/01/stop-brexit-remainers?CMP=fb_gu (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/dec/01/stop-brexit-remainers?CMP=fb_gu)

It won't be easy to stop Brexit. But here are four ways to do it
Martin Kettle

Those of us with only a smattering of knowledge about the ancient world know one thing about Cato the Elder. During Rome's long wars against Hannibal, Cato ended every speech in the senate with the same words: "Carthage must be destroyed."

"Brexit must be stopped" is unlikely to last as long as Cato's catchphrase has managed to. But it focuses the mind. Those who think Brexit must be stopped are not the majority. But they have a case and a cause, and they are right. So how might stoppage be achieved?

Probably not by a political movement headed by Tony Blair. The former prime minister is not heading back into frontline politics. But he is one of the biggest names to insist that Brexit is not yet irrevocable. He told the New Statesman last week that Brexit "can be stopped if the British people decide that, having seen what it means, the pain-gain cost-benefit analysis doesn't stack up". And on that he is absolutely right.

Blair carries so much baggage that it is inconceivable he either could or should play the leading role in any campaign. The Iraq war was wrong and it is no part of my argument that the past can be brushed aside. But Blair has serious things to say about Brexit that serious people ought to listen to. It's time his critics were big enough to give him a break. The 439-70 House of Commons vote this week against the SNP's effort to sanction Blair for the events of 2003 may suggest there is some space for the former Labour leader to at least be heard. But don't hold your breath.

If Brexit is to be stopped it will require time, a change of public mood, and an alliance. The SNP, Greens, Liberal Democrats, significant parts of the Labour party and a minority of Tories would all have roles to play. People from outside politics are crucial too. This week's joint press conference by Nick Clegg, Chuka Umunna and Anna Soubry was a start. But as Clegg says, to turn the referendum around needs the people's consent, not a procedural trick. This will only happen if the public mood changes. Anti-Brexit campaigners should try to change it, and here's how.


The first point is to be clear who they need to be talking to, rather than squabbling about which of them is entitled to do the talking. The name of this game is changing minds. So there is absolutely no point crafting a campaign that is aimed at fundamentalist Eurosceptics who never wanted Britain to be part of the EU in the first place. Nor is there any point in focusing on racists and xenophobes. People who don't like foreigners or people with coloured skin are not going to change their minds.

But that leaves a lot of people who voted for Brexit, in hundreds of thousands of cases, on the basis of their own experience. They were sold a false prospectus by the leave campaign; but they need a better one, which offers them hope, support, material improvements in their lives, and confidence. Theresa May gets this, though she is doomed to promote Brexit and not to stop it. Those who want to stop Brexit need to learn this lesson: the aim of any campaign must be to persuade these voters that there is a better way of getting the things they want than leaving the EU. Don't berate, persuade. And get out of the bubble.

The second key principle is to accept that this is a long game. Brexit won in June 2016. It won't be turned around quickly. Stopping Brexit is on the margins of political possibility right now. It could be that Brexit will be slowed by the supreme court's ruling, due in January. But that's just the start. Opponents of Brexit should settle in. Time is on their side.

The negotiations with the EU will take a minimum of two years – longer if there is a transitional phase. The pressure to bring things to a head will be enormous and will grow, both in Britain and in the other 27 EU countries. British opponents of Brexit must be EU reformers too.

The third point is to remember Cato. Chip away, every day. Every time something new and troubling happens, make it clear that things would be different if Brexit were stopped. This week's immigration figures showed a pre-referendum surge. Without Brexit this wouldn't have happened. Hate crimes have proliferated. Brexit shares the blame for that. When inflation rises and growth slows next year, make sure Brexit's role is spelled out. If ministers abandon the single market in favour of migration curbs, make Brexit's responsibility clear. Unless anti-Brexit campaigners have established in the public mind that there is a clear and viable no-Brexit alternative, they won't be in a position to make the most of their opportunities.

The fourth point is the other side of the same coin. The leave campaign lied through its teeth about the benefits of Brexit. It said there would be £350m extra every week for the NHS. Last week the chancellor said precisely nothing about any extra NHS spending in the next four years. And look what is actually happening to the NHS. The leave campaign landed the May government with a huge promise that it cannot deliver. The opposition parties need to link the two at every opportunity.

Stopping Brexit will not be easy. Recovering from a big defeat is hard. The campaign is more likely to fail than to succeed. The Brexiteers will fight very dirty. But the prize is immense – and Hannibal was defeated in a day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on December 02, 2016, 07:58:13 AM
It's got now I wish Article 50 was triggered - there is no going back, start it and let what happens happens.  Britain's nuclear capability and Russian aggression currently will give them some leverage - plus I's love to see the smile wiped off that hateful looking **** Tusk.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2016, 08:31:46 AM
Creme eggs used to be sold in packs of 6. Now 5. And sterling will go lower . So the problem will intensify. 4.
#Take back control
Go ndéana Dia trócaire ar mhuintir Sasana.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on December 02, 2016, 08:44:35 AM
Dawn is happening later in the UK and dusk earlier, brexit is keeping us all in the dark.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on December 02, 2016, 09:14:54 AM
Pretty stunning victory considering she wasn't involved in politics 18 months ago

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CyqNXUxXUAAVvLO.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2016, 09:24:30 AM
Politics are going to be volatile until we get a new economic system
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 02, 2016, 10:42:23 AM
Quote from: AQMP on December 02, 2016, 09:54:58 AM
It's becoming clear to me that the biggest electoral danger to the British Labour Party is not Jeremy Corbyn's alleged left wing policies, it's their stance on Brexit...

It's ok - Tony Blair is going to come back and save the day...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 02, 2016, 10:59:14 AM
Great to see the Lib Dens winning this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on December 02, 2016, 04:16:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 02, 2016, 10:42:23 AM
Quote from: AQMP on December 02, 2016, 09:54:58 AM
It's becoming clear to me that the biggest electoral danger to the British Labour Party is not Jeremy Corbyn's alleged left wing policies, it's their stance on Brexit...

It's ok - Tony Blair is going to come back and save the day...
And Bertie back in FF, deja vu all over again!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 02, 2016, 06:30:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2016, 09:24:30 AM
Politics are going to be volatile until we get a new economic system

Living in the North I've never known politics to be nice!! We?? Are you talking about the Euro?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2016, 06:46:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 02, 2016, 06:30:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2016, 09:24:30 AM
Politics are going to be volatile until we get a new economic system

Living in the North I've never known politics to be nice!! We?? Are you talking about the Euro?
The global system
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 02, 2016, 06:50:19 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2016, 06:46:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 02, 2016, 06:30:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2016, 09:24:30 AM
Politics are going to be volatile until we get a new economic system

Living in the North I've never known politics to be nice!! We?? Are you talking about the Euro?
The global system

Well good luck with that! When you sort it out on the internet let me know
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on December 02, 2016, 10:09:00 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2016, 06:48:18 AM
Good result for remainers in Richmond bye election with Lib Dems overturning a huge Tory majority.Pressure increasing on May to call a General Election

70% of the Richmond constituency voted remain last June so it's not a huge shock
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 02, 2016, 11:10:41 PM
Quote from: Minder on December 02, 2016, 10:09:00 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2016, 06:48:18 AM
Good result for remainers in Richmond bye election with Lib Dems overturning a huge Tory majority.Pressure increasing on May to call a General Election

70% of the Richmond constituency voted remain last June so it's not a huge shock

Perhaps. It does lead to an interesting situation, many of the Tories represent S.E England constituencies not so different from Richmond. But many Labour MPs represent Leave constituencies. If people feel their seats are at risk it really confuses the planning from a party perspective.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 03, 2016, 11:46:33 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 02, 2016, 11:10:41 PM
Quote from: Minder on December 02, 2016, 10:09:00 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2016, 06:48:18 AM
Good result for remainers in Richmond bye election with Lib Dems overturning a huge Tory majority.Pressure increasing on May to call a General Election

70% of the Richmond constituency voted remain last June so it's not a huge shock

Perhaps. It does lead to an interesting situation, many of the Tories represent S.E England constituencies not so different from Richmond. But many Labour MPs represent Leave constituencies. If people feel their seats are at risk it really confuses the planning from a party perspective.
Brexit is so messy because there is a policy with popular support but no political structure behind it. The UK Gov didn't prepare anything because they thought the vote would be a piece of cake.
Labour don't know what to do either.

The DUP supported Leave without thinking it might drive a united Ireland.

The Euros keep taunting May that she doesn't know what she wants and she doesn't. Because no work was done examining Brexit politically before the vote happened. Any choices made now will hurt lots of people and benefit others. The political damage is immense. 

It is a textbook example of how not to do things. God only knows how they will get out of it.

Farage promised voters the world and the best May can do might be a choc ice.Expectations are off the charts.

Meanwhile there are 5 creme eggs instead of 6 in packs now.
It's senior hurling in Ballingarry. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2016, 10:12:53 AM
Now they are debating Brexit in the UK Supreme Court


The Government insists it doesn't have to go via Parliament but

1 Cameron didn't leave any instructions about how to implement Brexit
2 there is no written constitution
3 there is Nothing in writing about the royal prerogative

Jesus H Christ

" Threatening and abusing people because they are exercising their fundamental right to go to court undermines the rule of law. Anyone who communicates such threats or abuse should be aware that there are legal powers designed to ensure that access to the courts is available to everybody"

https://www.supremecourt.uk/docs/draft-transcript-monday-161205-am.pdf

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/05/supreme-court-brexit-case-whose-prerogative-is-it-anyway
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2016, 06:07:00 PM
 Matthew Holehouse @mattholehouse
Hansard extract presented to Supreme Court by Pannick QC. David Lidington told Commons EU Referendum Bill did not define what happens next.


So very English
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 08, 2016, 04:43:41 AM
Have to say this case is fascinating.

Delighted to see we have a few QCs who are reading the board for their prep notes. Would be funny if the people of the occupied wee six get to decide the fate of the UK within the EU.
Constitutional law, eh? Who'd have thunk it?

QuoteDavid Scoffield QC, who represents politicians and civil rights groups across Northern Ireland's divided community, told the court that leaving the EU would involve "driving a wedge" between the Irish Republic and Northern Ireland.

He agreed with arguments presented by other claimants that ministers could not trigger Brexit on the basis of residual prerogative powers and that parliamentary authority would be required. The government's assertion of its powers "are cavalier – with both a large 'C' and a small 'c'," Scoffield said, referring back to the English civil war and 17th century battles between parliament and the crown.

But he then went on to argue that the Good Friday agreement and the 1998 legislative settlement of the Troubles had created additional rights for the people of Northern Ireland, many aspects of which, like the north-south ministerial council, stipulated close cooperation within the EU between governments in Belfast and Dublin

"The agreement expressly said that the UK and Ireland would develop close cooperation as partners operating within the EU," Scoffield said. "It required the implementation of EU programmes on an all-Ireland and cross-border basis."

Numerous bodies have a "clear operational remit" to work together across the island. "The [Good Friday] agreement makes it clear that the elements hang together and are interlocking," Scoffield added. Even control over international relationships with the Irish Republic has been transferred to the Northern Ireland assembly.

Ronan Lavery QC – who represents Raymond McCord, a campaigner for victims' rights in Northern Ireland whose son was killed by loyalist paramilitaries – went further, telling the supreme court that Good Friday agreement transferred sovereignty out of parliament's hands.



"It would be unconstitutional for the UK to withdraw from the EU without the consent of the people of Northern Ireland," Lavery said. "Being part of the EU was part of the [1998] constitutional settlement. There has been a transfer of sovereignty under the Good Friday agreement and the Northern Ireland Act. The people of Northern Ireland now have sovereignty over any constitutional change rather than parliament. The notion that parliament is supreme or has primacy has gone."

Triggering article 50 without the agreement of the Stormont assembly, Lavery said, undermines the principle of "consent and self-determination" expressed by the Northern Ireland Act
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 10:39:54 AM
"It would be unconstitutional for the UK to withdraw from the EU without the consent of the people of Northern Ireland," Lavery said. "Being part of the EU was part of the [1998] constitutional settlement. There has been a transfer of sovereignty under the Good Friday agreement and the Northern Ireland Act. The people of Northern Ireland now have sovereignty over any constitutional change rather than parliament. The notion that parliament is supreme or has primacy has gone."

We may believe this, but it isn't clear that the actual text says this, unfortunately.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on December 08, 2016, 10:50:23 AM
This is the critical economic issue surrounding Brexit. Britain losing it's traditional position as one of the top 3 financial centres of the world economy and a gateway to European finance markets, as will inevitably happen under any type of Brexit, will have a catastrophic effect on it's economy.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38245646
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 10:59:48 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on December 08, 2016, 10:50:23 AM
This is the critical economic issue surrounding Brexit. Britain losing it's traditional position as one of the top 3 financial centres of the world economy and a gateway to European finance markets, as will inevitably happen under any type of Brexit, will have a catastrophic effect on it's economy.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38245646

You would expect that some Tories would be connected to finance and so perhaps aware of this. However, your average Brexit voter would regard a decline in London bankers as a benefit of Brexit, without perhaps considering that the present model of the UK is to tax these people to fund spending elsewhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 11:20:07 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on December 08, 2016, 10:50:23 AM
This is the critical economic issue surrounding Brexit. Britain losing it's traditional position as one of the top 3 financial centres of the world economy and a gateway to European finance markets, as will inevitably happen under any type of Brexit, will have a catastrophic effect on it's economy.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38245646
The UK is having a nervous breakdown.
I bought the Torygraph yesterday. It's fantasy. Might as well have been reading the Daily Sport
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on December 08, 2016, 11:26:26 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 11:20:07 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on December 08, 2016, 10:50:23 AM
This is the critical economic issue surrounding Brexit. Britain losing it's traditional position as one of the top 3 financial centres of the world economy and a gateway to European finance markets, as will inevitably happen under any type of Brexit, will have a catastrophic effect on it's economy.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38245646
The UK is having a nervous breakdown.
I bought the Torygraph yesterday. It's fantasy. Might as well have been reading the Daily Sport

Unlike your opinions.  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on December 08, 2016, 11:52:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 10:59:48 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on December 08, 2016, 10:50:23 AM
This is the critical economic issue surrounding Brexit. Britain losing it's traditional position as one of the top 3 financial centres of the world economy and a gateway to European finance markets, as will inevitably happen under any type of Brexit, will have a catastrophic effect on it's economy.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38245646

You would expect that some Tories would be connected to finance and so perhaps aware of this. However, your average Brexit voter would regard a decline in London bankers as a benefit of Brexit, without perhaps considering that the present model of the UK is to tax these people to fund spending elsewhere.

There will be a massive bonanza in this for the Dublin markets if there is anything other than the softest of Brexits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 12:13:00 PM
Leaving the EU may be a good idea. Or it may not.

Brexit needs a coherent political movement that wins an election and has a programme that is designed to deliver at least cost. Not a one night stand.

Boris Johnson is SO Brexit. The attention the UK needs is much more serious.....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhD3aG8J3pE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 12:29:52 PM
Quote from: AQMP on December 08, 2016, 11:59:53 AM
Part of Lord Bingham's ruling in 2003 was this:

11. The 1998 Act does not set out all the constitutional provisions applicable to Northern Ireland, but it is in effect a constitution.


This may be true, but which bit of the 1998 states that you cannot leave the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 02:03:26 PM
20% of people in NI have a single passport which is the Irish passport.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Link on December 08, 2016, 02:44:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 02:03:26 PM
20% of people in NI have a single passport which is the Irish passport.

source?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on December 08, 2016, 03:00:37 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 02:03:26 PM
20% of people in NI have a single passport which is the Irish passport.

looking forward to seeing that source
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on December 08, 2016, 03:02:36 PM
I could see how a huge swathe of Northern Irish catholics would only have an Irish passport, so (whilst I have no dog in the fight) I could see a 20% figure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 08, 2016, 03:04:34 PM
Even if that stat is true it doesn't mean anything politically.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on December 08, 2016, 03:07:22 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on December 08, 2016, 03:02:36 PM
I could see how a huge swathe of Northern Irish catholics would only have an Irish passport, so (whilst I have no dog in the fight) I could see a 20% figure.
I would see it as higher than 20%
not lower
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on December 08, 2016, 03:52:02 PM
Quote from: AQMP on December 08, 2016, 03:16:06 PM
Quote from: naka on December 08, 2016, 03:07:22 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on December 08, 2016, 03:02:36 PM
I could see how a huge swathe of Northern Irish catholics would only have an Irish passport, so (whilst I have no dog in the fight) I could see a 20% figure.
I would see it as higher than 20%
not lower

I was in a queue to check in for a flight from Aldergrove a few years ago (maybe around 2010).  In front of me were two couples (I'd guess early to mid 20s).  Two of the men and one of the women were wearing GAA county branded wear (OK it was Tyrone).  All three were carrying British passports.  Only the cutty too ashamed to wear Tyrone gear had an Irish passport.  When only 25% of the population consider themselves exclusively Irish and some of these won't hold a passport then 21% (or nearly 24% with dual passports) could be considered high.
I regularly chide my republican relatives for sporting their Brit passports. I would rather not travel than use one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 04:15:13 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 08, 2016, 03:04:34 PM
Even if that stat is true it doesn't mean anything politically.
It does. It means the UK govt has to treat NI differently. Take England out of the EU by all means and strip Nigel and Debs of all those rights but don't f**k with NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 08, 2016, 04:52:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 04:15:13 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 08, 2016, 03:04:34 PM
Even if that stat is true it doesn't mean anything politically.
It does. It means the UK govt has to treat NI differently. Take England out of the EU by all means and strip Nigel and Debs of all those rights but don't f**k with NI.

I don't see why.if it was to be treated different it should not have taken part in the referendum. It did and the result is the result.
Europe is awash with dual and emigrant passports.
The only thing Britain need to do is recognise irish and EU citizenship, which it does.

The responsibility of Irish passport holders lays in Dublin, not London.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 05:10:42 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 08, 2016, 03:04:34 PM
Even if that stat is true it doesn't mean anything politically.
It means that anyone with an Irish passport benefits from  the advantages of being in the EU
So for example if junior wants to go to university  the Erasmus programme is open to her
while the poor loyalist family down the road will have to go to some uni in England which may not have funding 15 years after Brexit

An Irish passport makes a lot of sense for red white and blue Prods the way things are going.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 05:26:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 05:10:42 PM
So for example if junior wants to go to university  the Erasmus programme is open to her

Is this true? Is Erasmus based on citizenship and not residence? Can an Irish citizen in San Francisco go on Erasmus?
The UK may well stay in academic schemes though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 05:26:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 05:10:42 PM
So for example if junior wants to go to university  the Erasmus programme is open to her

Is this true? Is Erasmus based on citizenship and not residence? Can an Irish citizen in San Francisco go on Erasmus?
The UK may well stay in academic schemes though.
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus

Visa free travel within Europe is another perk.
Also jobs in Euro institutions
More school/uni  exchanges
Funding for regional projects (Cornwall will really miss out)
The Irish passport will be far more welcome
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 09, 2016, 02:11:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 05:26:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 05:10:42 PM
So for example if junior wants to go to university  the Erasmus programme is open to her

Is this true? Is Erasmus based on citizenship and not residence? Can an Irish citizen in San Francisco go on Erasmus?
The UK may well stay in academic schemes though.

Pretty sure Erasmus eligibility is based upon your home university rather than what type of passport you have.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 09, 2016, 03:58:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 05:10:42 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 08, 2016, 03:04:34 PM
Even if that stat is true it doesn't mean anything politically.
It means that anyone with an Irish passport benefits from  the advantages of being in the EU
So for example if junior wants to go to university  the Erasmus programme is open to her
while the poor loyalist family down the road will have to go to some uni in England which may not have funding 15 years after Brexit

An Irish passport makes a lot of sense for red white and blue Prods the way things are going.

Yes. I'd advise people to get as many passports as they are entitled to. Not only Irish or UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on December 09, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Occupied by who?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 04:15:14 PM
Quote from: michaelg on December 09, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Occupied by who?
The UK. Started in the 1600s with settlers


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:48:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 04:15:14 PM
Quote from: michaelg on December 09, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Occupied by who?
The UK. Started in the 1600s with settlers

Vikings were here long before that ffs!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 09, 2016, 06:53:08 PM
They might but no part of Ireland is under the rule of Denmark, Norway or Sweden.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:54:56 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 09, 2016, 06:53:08 PM
They might but no part of Ireland is under the rule of Denmark, Norway or Sweden.

No just Germany
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 06:58:57 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:48:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 04:15:14 PM
Quote from: michaelg on December 09, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Occupied by who?
The UK. Started in the 1600s with settlers

Vikings were here long before that ffs!

All the incomers prior to the planters in the 1600s were successfully integrated
The Vikings became O'Loughlins and Loftuses
the Normans became Fitzpatricks and Kilkenny hurlers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 07:16:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 06:58:57 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:48:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 04:15:14 PM
Quote from: michaelg on December 09, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Occupied by who?
The UK. Started in the 1600s with settlers

Vikings were here long before that ffs!

All the incomers prior to the planters in the 1600s were successfully integrated
The Vikings became O'Loughlins and Loftuses
the Normans became Fitzpatricks and Kilkenny hurlers

So did the UK start it? Or did you just make that bit up?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 07:32:34 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 07:16:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 06:58:57 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:48:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 04:15:14 PM
Quote from: michaelg on December 09, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Occupied by who?
The UK. Started in the 1600s with settlers

Vikings were here long before that ffs!

All the incomers prior to the planters in the 1600s were successfully integrated
The Vikings became O'Loughlins and Loftuses
the Normans became Fitzpatricks and Kilkenny hurlers

So did the UK start it? Or did you just make that bit up?
They needed quiet on the island to the west cos they were always fighting France for supremacy or else Spain. And they didnt want either interfering. The Spanish attacked in 1588. The natives were very cantankerous especially in Ulster. So in the early 1600s they started a plantation.  To every problem there is a solution that is neat, plausible and wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 08:09:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 07:32:34 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 07:16:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 06:58:57 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:48:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 04:15:14 PM
Quote from: michaelg on December 09, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Occupied by who?
The UK. Started in the 1600s with settlers

Vikings were here long before that ffs!

All the incomers prior to the planters in the 1600s were successfully integrated
The Vikings became O'Loughlins and Loftuses
the Normans became Fitzpatricks and Kilkenny hurlers

So did the UK start it? Or did you just make that bit up?
They needed quiet on the island to the west cos they were always fighting France for supremacy or else Spain. And they didnt want either interfering. The Spanish attacked in 1588. The natives were very cantankerous especially in Ulster. So in the early 1600s they started a plantation.  To every problem there is a solution that is neat, plausible and wrong.

I'm glad you cleared that up...,.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 09, 2016, 09:15:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:54:56 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 09, 2016, 06:53:08 PM
They might but no part of Ireland is under the rule of Denmark, Norway or Sweden.

No just Germany

Better than the Brits anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 09:29:44 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 09, 2016, 09:15:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:54:56 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 09, 2016, 06:53:08 PM
They might but no part of Ireland is under the rule of Denmark, Norway or Sweden.

No just Germany

Better than the Brits anyway.

Brilliant,  typical free stater
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 09, 2016, 10:30:19 PM
The British did not start colonising Ireland,  but uniquely among the places mentioned they still continue to do it.

And comments about Germany are immature.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 10:45:00 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 09, 2016, 10:30:19 PM
The British did not start colonising Ireland,  but uniquely among the places mentioned they still continue to do it.

And comments about Germany are immature.

Ok
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on December 10, 2016, 12:36:46 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 07:32:34 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 07:16:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 06:58:57 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 09, 2016, 06:48:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 09, 2016, 04:15:14 PM
Quote from: michaelg on December 09, 2016, 04:10:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 10:03:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 08, 2016, 08:50:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2016, 08:26:43 PM
Not sure about US but NI would qualify

The UK will not have a choice. Switz rejected free movement in 2014 and was kicked out of Erasmus.

And Irish citizens in Switz were kicked out also. NI will only qualify if there is a "deal", which of course there should be.

There will be a deal for the occupied territories. Barnier explicitly mentioned it. But England is banjaxed. Nice for a change.

The Erasmus thing is a big deal for Swiss universities.
Occupied by who?
The UK. Started in the 1600s with settlers

Vikings were here long before that ffs!

All the incomers prior to the planters in the 1600s were successfully integrated
The Vikings became O'Loughlins and Loftuses
the Normans became Fitzpatricks and Kilkenny hurlers

So did the UK start it? Or did you just make that bit up?
They needed quiet on the island to the west cos they were always fighting France for supremacy or else Spain. And they didnt want either interfering. The Spanish attacked in 1588. The natives were very cantankerous especially in Ulster. So in the early 1600s they started a plantation.  To every problem there is a solution that is neat, plausible and wrong.
Ireland's very own David Starkey.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: muppet on December 10, 2016, 12:20:01 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 09, 2016, 10:30:19 PM
The British did not start colonising Ireland,  but uniquely among the places mentioned they still continue to do it.

And comments about Germany are immature.

As a small country we will always be under various spheres of influence. But there is no comparison between that and British Rule over the centuries.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2016, 12:30:26 PM
Quote from: muppet on December 10, 2016, 12:20:01 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 09, 2016, 10:30:19 PM
The British did not start colonising Ireland,  but uniquely among the places mentioned they still continue to do it.

And comments about Germany are immature.

As a small country we will always be under various spheres of influence. But there is no comparison between that and British Rule over the centuries.
Giraldus Cambrensis worked for the Daily Mail during the middle Ages

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horse_sacrifice
There is in a northern and remote part of Ulster, among the Kenelcunil, a certain tribe which is wont to install a king over itself by an excessively savage and abominable ritual. In the presence of all the people of this land in one place, a white mare is brought into their midst. Thereupon he who is to be elevated, not to a prince but to a beast, not to a king but to an outlaw, steps forward in beastly fashion and exhibits his bestiality. Right thereafter the mare is killed and boiled piecemeal in water, and in the same water a bath is prepared for him. He gets into the bath and eats of the flesh that is brought to him, with his people standing around and sharing it with him. He also imbibes the broth in which he is bathed, not from any vessel, nor with his hand, but only with his mouth. When this is done right according to such unrighteous ritual, his rule and sovereignty are consecrated.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 10, 2016, 02:30:02 PM
Them Donegals were always a wild crowd :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2016, 02:45:37 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 10, 2016, 02:30:02 PM
Them Donegals were always a wild crowd :o
I think he went to Bundoran
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 11, 2016, 06:05:39 AM
New survey out sez majority of Brits do not want to lose money in the Brexit. That sets the cat among the Tories . The Euros must be wondering what is happening
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 12, 2016, 05:27:17 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/12/lords-brexit-reports-northern-ireland-uk-irish-relations

Starting to get messy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 12, 2016, 05:38:18 AM
Quote from: heganboy on December 12, 2016, 05:27:17 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/dec/12/lords-brexit-reports-northern-ireland-uk-irish-relations

Starting to get messy
NI is very fragile
A quote on the Supreme court last week. Would not have been necessary if Brexit had been planned.  I think it's what the Germans call a Schnappsidee. A drinking idea.

Brexit will hammer UK incomes. Maybe sense will prevail..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 29, 2016, 01:00:11 PM
I think Seafoid wrote this report
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/dec/29/uk-in-2030-older-more-unequal-and-blighted-by-brexit-report-predicts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on December 29, 2016, 02:30:45 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 29, 2016, 01:00:11 PM
I think Seafoid wrote this report
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/dec/29/uk-in-2030-older-more-unequal-and-blighted-by-brexit-report-predicts

What a load of scaremongering.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 29, 2016, 02:35:04 PM
Quote from: No wides on December 29, 2016, 02:30:45 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 29, 2016, 01:00:11 PM
I think Seafoid wrote this report
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/dec/29/uk-in-2030-older-more-unequal-and-blighted-by-brexit-report-predicts

What a load of scaremongering.
Sterling has already been hammered. Leaving may be a good idea but it needs to be delivered by a government with a majority and a programme at least cost. And the Tories are clueless instead.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 29, 2016, 05:15:46 PM
Why reunified Ireland offers best outcome for North's future

http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/why-reunified-ireland-offers-best-outcome-for-north-s-future-1.2918645 (http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/why-reunified-ireland-offers-best-outcome-for-north-s-future-1.2918645)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 11, 2017, 01:50:56 PM
http://www.independent.ie/business/farming/agri-business/brexit-wipes-over-570m-off-irish-food-exports-in-2016-35359274.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 11, 2017, 08:18:51 PM
Quote from: AQMP on January 11, 2017, 03:42:06 PM
This could go in a half a dozen threads at the minute!

https://lucidtalk.co.uk/news/219-lt-december-2016-ni-wide-tracker-poll

Some interesting results...               

Indeed, with support for  Gay marriage at a high level among nationalists and with a majority generally and with support for a United Ireland at 44% in the 6 counties, then perhaps Tony Fearon is not quite in tune with the majority.
Brexit will definitely shake things up and it won't be quite as invisible as some people think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 11:52:32 AM
The City is talking about 232K jobs that may be lost under a hard Brexit.
That would have an impact on the deficit, as will the collapse in sterling.
The UK may end up in a bailout if Brexit goes ahead
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 12:17:03 PM
the top 100 companies have done very well since the call for brexit..... topped all charts it seems
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 12, 2017, 12:32:42 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 12:17:03 PM
the top 100 companies have done very well since the call for brexit..... topped all charts it seems

Of course they have, they are all multinationals and sterling has declined 20%, so by definition the value of their operations outside Britain has gone up and so their value in Sterling. This is not a success for UK business, but a measure of the decline of the UK currency.

The problem is that people are remarking on this as if it meant something.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 12:47:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 12:17:03 PM
the top 100 companies have done very well since the call for brexit..... topped all charts it seems
That is because they earn lots outside the UK. When sterling falls the value of those earnings rise.
It is NOT a sign of good health.

For UK earnings you need to look at the top 350
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 12:48:58 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 12, 2017, 12:32:42 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 12:17:03 PM
the top 100 companies have done very well since the call for brexit..... topped all charts it seems

Of course they have, they are all multinationals and sterling has declined 20%, so by definition the value of their operations outside Britain has gone up and so their value in Sterling. This is not a success for UK business, but a measure of the decline of the UK currency.

The problem is that people are remarking on this as if it meant something.
People such as the Torygraph...
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/01/12/five-signs-week-uk-economy-thriving-post-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 12:51:46 PM
Various bits. There will be no positives

Martin Wolf, FT @SpeakingUp I strongly agree. The Leavers persuaded the British people to support them on a fraudulent basis. They also had (and have) no plan for leaving. That is worse than merely fraudulent. It is grotesquely irresponsible. The fact that this was the case was pointed out by many commentators (including me). The government is not to blame for not having a plan for Brexit, since there simply is no sensible plan for Brexit. Whatever the government does, it is going to be a terrible mess. The government is instead to blame for holding the idiotic referendum in the first place. Competent governments do not present the option of a national disaster before the electorate


#He has long seen Britain leaving the EU single market and customs union as the most likely Brexit scenario, and believed the biggest remaining question was whether this outcome would be achieved through an orderly and managed transition or via a sharp exit with no withdrawal agreement with the EU.

#So the government is not able to make the notification, has no real idea what it is ultimately seeking and does not have the full attention of those with whom it needs to negotiate in a limited period. On these objective bases, one would say that a rational view is that an Article 50 notification remains less likely than likely in two months' time.

#That leverage is strengthened by another cold calculation in Paris, Brussels and Berlin: the longer Britain waits for a transition deal to be discussed and agreed, the more likely businesses will decide to move or shift investment away from the UK. For the EU-27, late agreement on transition would maximise relocation while still avoiding a "cliff edge" — sudden and disruptive change for businesses stemming from a sudden exit.

#But Mr Davis also sees the transition as leverage. A hard exit would cut off corporate Europe from its main financial centre, the City of London. Highly integrated cross-border supply chains for carmaking or aeronautics would be badly disrupted. That would carry costs for all sides — if Britain was willing to walk away from the table.

#9.1 Analysts said political discord over the UK's Brexit strategy would weigh on sterling even though economic data were proving resilient.
"Until the government finally presents a concrete and convincing strategy, market participants will increasingly fear a disaster," said Esther Reichelt at Commerzbank.

#Brexit poses a risk to the global financial system and could spark more than 230,000 job losses in the financial sector, senior City figures have warned MPs as they called for clarity on the UK's future relationship with the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 01:03:20 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625
He is trying to talk up sterling
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7SE7YAhnoxI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 12, 2017, 01:36:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625

Quoting experts is frowned upon here benny.  All posts should should reference your own experiences, such as the price of a bottle of Merlot in your local Winemark.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 01:50:03 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 01:36:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625

Quoting experts is frowned upon here benny.  All posts should should reference your own experiences, such as the price of a bottle of Merlot in your local Winemark.
Yeah and no discussion of the future
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 12, 2017, 04:33:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 01:03:20 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625
He is trying to talk up sterling
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7SE7YAhnoxI

Well he's not doing a very good job the rate keeps dropping!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:33:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 01:50:03 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 01:36:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625

Quoting experts is frowned upon here benny.  All posts should should reference your own experiences, such as the price of a bottle of Merlot in your local Winemark.
Yeah and no discussion of the future

All the experts said it was to be a snow blizzard around these parts.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 12, 2017, 05:44:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:33:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 01:50:03 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 01:36:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625

Quoting experts is frowned upon here benny.  All posts should should reference your own experiences, such as the price of a bottle of Merlot in your local Winemark.
Yeah and no discussion of the future

All the experts said it was to be a snow blizzard around these parts.....

Seem to be close enough - its certainly not icing sugar that's falling out of the sky.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:59:41 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 05:44:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:33:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 01:50:03 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 01:36:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625

Quoting experts is frowned upon here benny.  All posts should should reference your own experiences, such as the price of a bottle of Merlot in your local Winemark.
Yeah and no discussion of the future

All the experts said it was to be a snow blizzard around these parts.....

Seem to be close enough - its certainly not icing sugar that's falling out of the sky.

Nope I'm in newtownabbey here and Belfast all day!! No blizzard at all but sure people see what they want to see
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 12, 2017, 06:04:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:59:41 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 05:44:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:33:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 01:50:03 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 01:36:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625

Quoting experts is frowned upon here benny.  All posts should should reference your own experiences, such as the price of a bottle of Merlot in your local Winemark.
Yeah and no discussion of the future

All the experts said it was to be a snow blizzard around these parts.....

Seem to be close enough - its certainly not icing sugar that's falling out of the sky.

Nope I'm in newtownabbey here and Belfast all day!! No blizzard at all but sure people see what they want to see

Good for you.  Didn't realise Newtownabbey had their own dedicated weather service. Another fail.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-38581677
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 12, 2017, 06:16:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:59:41 PM

Nope I'm in newtownabbey here and Belfast all day!! No blizzard at all but sure people see what they want to see

So you are not snowed under at work. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 07:57:16 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 06:04:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:59:41 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 05:44:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2017, 05:33:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2017, 01:50:03 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 12, 2017, 01:36:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 12, 2017, 12:56:47 PM
Your memos aren't getting through Seafoid

'Brexit poses bigger threat to EU than UK'

Carney: Brexit risks now lower - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38587625

Quoting experts is frowned upon here benny.  All posts should should reference your own experiences, such as the price of a bottle of Merlot in your local Winemark.
Yeah and no discussion of the future

All the experts said it was to be a snow blizzard around these parts.....

Seem to be close enough - its certainly not icing sugar that's falling out of the sky.

Nope I'm in newtownabbey here and Belfast all day!! No blizzard at all but sure people see what they want to see

Good for you.  Didn't realise Newtownabbey had their own dedicated weather service. Another fail.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-38581677

It's not snowing/blizzard here? No are you a retard?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 13, 2017, 09:21:24 AM
Grow up MR2, there's no need for that sort of foul mouthed stuff.

Anyway, your childish logic seems to be that because the NI weathermen got the weather forecast wrong in AN AREA of the province, there's no point listening to anyone's opinion about the economic repercussions of exiting the EU.  (Except, bizarrely, yours!)  And there's not much point debating with anyone that uses that sort of logic.

I'm away to make a snowman.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 09:28:03 AM
It's not about forecasts over the next 2 days. It's is about what is happening at the level of the system.
The UK cannot afford to pay for what it consumes and now it wants to leave its main export market. Many of the problems the country has have been building up over 20 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 12:01:11 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 13, 2017, 09:21:24 AM
Grow up MR2, there's no need for that sort of foul mouthed stuff.

Anyway, your childish logic seems to be that because the NI weathermen got the weather forecast wrong in AN AREA of the province, there's no point listening to anyone's opinion about the economic repercussions of exiting the EU.  (Except, bizarrely, yours!)  And there's not much point debating with anyone that uses that sort of logic.

I'm away to make a snowman.

You cant throw comments at me for being childish when you post the same stuff?

My point on brexit is that while it will have a huge bearing on us financially, it wont be to the extent that seafoid wants... or to the extent of the 2006/7 crash..

From a sales point of view i havent seen people holding on to their money, hopefully that stays like that, otherwise i'll be back teaching!!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 12:08:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 12:01:11 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 13, 2017, 09:21:24 AM
Grow up MR2, there's no need for that sort of foul mouthed stuff.

Anyway, your childish logic seems to be that because the NI weathermen got the weather forecast wrong in AN AREA of the province, there's no point listening to anyone's opinion about the economic repercussions of exiting the EU.  (Except, bizarrely, yours!)  And there's not much point debating with anyone that uses that sort of logic.

I'm away to make a snowman.

You cant throw comments at me for being childish when you post the same stuff?

My point on brexit is that while it will have a huge bearing on us financially, it wont be to the extent that seafoid wants... or to the extent of the 2006/7 crash..

From a sales point of view i havent seen people holding on to their money, hopefully that stays like that, otherwise i'll be back teaching!!
It's going to be a hard Brexit, MR ...


Martin Wolf :

   "the long-run costs will come from having an economy that is less open to trade and skilled immigration. That is a choice still to be made. But it is, alas, likely to be the choice that is made.  Investors and other decision makers should therefore not be in much doubt. The direction of travel is sadly clear. To many, that direction remains highly unwelcome. It is not welcome to me. But it is clearly the reality."

You should buy a vineyard now while sterling is still worth something 

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 12:26:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 12:08:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 12:01:11 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 13, 2017, 09:21:24 AM
Grow up MR2, there's no need for that sort of foul mouthed stuff.

Anyway, your childish logic seems to be that because the NI weathermen got the weather forecast wrong in AN AREA of the province, there's no point listening to anyone's opinion about the economic repercussions of exiting the EU.  (Except, bizarrely, yours!)  And there's not much point debating with anyone that uses that sort of logic.

I'm away to make a snowman.

You cant throw comments at me for being childish when you post the same stuff?

My point on brexit is that while it will have a huge bearing on us financially, it wont be to the extent that seafoid wants... or to the extent of the 2006/7 crash..

From a sales point of view i havent seen people holding on to their money, hopefully that stays like that, otherwise i'll be back teaching!!
It's going to be a hard Brexit, MR ...


Martin Wolf :

   "the long-run costs will come from having an economy that is less open to trade and skilled immigration. That is a choice still to be made. But it is, alas, likely to be the choice that is made.  Investors and other decision makers should therefore not be in much doubt. The direction of travel is sadly clear. To many, that direction remains highly unwelcome. It is not welcome to me. But it is clearly the reality."

You should buy a vineyard now while sterling is still worth something

Well when it happens you can give us some advice on how a bailout works and get us through it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 03:36:19 PM
Leading economist Sammy Wilson on Brexit

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/video-news/video-dups-sammy-wilson-on-brexit-uk-can-only-do-trade-outside-custom-union-and-single-market-35362109.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 08:19:39 PM
http://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/business/ni-dairy-business-fears-post-brexit-export-hit-1-7768513
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 08:31:37 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 08:19:39 PM
http://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/business/ni-dairy-business-fears-post-brexit-export-hit-1-7768513

Could and estimate comes up a lot
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 08:46:18 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 08:31:37 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 08:19:39 PM
http://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/business/ni-dairy-business-fears-post-brexit-export-hit-1-7768513

Could and estimate comes up a lot
yes but spoken by Protestants so has the credibility
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on January 13, 2017, 08:57:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 03:36:19 PM
Leading economist Sammy Wilson on Brexit

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/video-news/video-dups-sammy-wilson-on-brexit-uk-can-only-do-trade-outside-custom-union-and-single-market-35362109.html
Not sure what you do for a living, but you are a bit of a self-appointed expert on the subject yourself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 09:01:25 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 13, 2017, 08:57:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 03:36:19 PM
Leading economist Sammy Wilson on Brexit

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/video-news/video-dups-sammy-wilson-on-brexit-uk-can-only-do-trade-outside-custom-union-and-single-market-35362109.html
Not sure what you do for a living, but you are a bit of a self-appointed expert on the subject yourself.
I'm GAA correspondent for the Newsletter
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 09:47:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 09:01:25 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 13, 2017, 08:57:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 03:36:19 PM
Leading economist Sammy Wilson on Brexit

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/video-news/video-dups-sammy-wilson-on-brexit-uk-can-only-do-trade-outside-custom-union-and-single-market-35362109.html
Not sure what you do for a living, but you are a bit of a self-appointed expert on the subject yourself.
I'm GAA correspondent for the Newsletter

Good for you!! You'll do well at that as they generally print a lot of shit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 10:48:14 PM
Referring to Thailand and Malaysia as examples of places where a lot of dairy is exported from Northern Ireland, he said the current export tariff is around 15%."If we had to move to a WTO tariff that would double, that would kill that business," he said. "What we need is a period of continued access to the EU free trade agreements for a period, but then we need the UK government to come in and start to negotiate and put in place free trade agreements that are specific to the UK to allow this business to continue."Dr Johnston also warned that the industry is very dependent on free movement of milk, dairy products and people across the land border that has developed over the years through arrangements between the two jurisdictions.He said if that free movement was stopped, there would be a situation in which dairy farmers could be forced out of business. Barclay Bell, president of the Ulster Farmers Union, told the committee that the border "is a big, big issue when you consider the amount of cross-border trade"."Anything that would complicate or hinder that trade certainly would be a big big challenge to the industry in Northern Ireland," he warned.The agriculture and food processing sectors in Northern Ireland are a significant element of the local economy, collectively accounting for around 70,000 local jobs – based on 47,979 total farmers and workers and 23,557 food and drink processing workers.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 11:09:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 10:48:14 PM
Referring to Thailand and Malaysia as examples of places where a lot of dairy is exported from Northern Ireland, he said the current export tariff is around 15%."If we had to move to a WTO tariff that would double, that would kill that business," he said. "What we need is a period of continued access to the EU free trade agreements for a period, but then we need the UK government to come in and start to negotiate and put in place free trade agreements that are specific to the UK to allow this business to continue."Dr Johnston also warned that the industry is very dependent on free movement of milk, dairy products and people across the land border that has developed over the years through arrangements between the two jurisdictions.He said if that free movement was stopped, there would be a situation in which dairy farmers could be forced out of business. Barclay Bell, president of the Ulster Farmers Union, told the committee that the border "is a big, big issue when you consider the amount of cross-border trade"."Anything that would complicate or hinder that trade certainly would be a big big challenge to the industry in Northern Ireland," he warned.The agriculture and food processing sectors in Northern Ireland are a significant element of the local economy, collectively accounting for around 70,000 local jobs – based on 47,979 total farmers and workers and 23,557 food and drink processing workers.

You've just reposted the same thing!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 11:38:12 PM
Brexit could really shift the politics in NI. The Eurosceptics want to be outside the Single Market. That doesnt suit NI Protestants cos NI doesnt have England's immigration issue but also cos NI benefits from Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 11:40:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 11:38:12 PM
Brexit could really shift the politics in NI. The Eurosceptics want to be outside the Single Market. That doesnt suit NI Protestants cos NI doesnt have England's immigration issue but also cos NI benefits from Europe.

You don't know any ni Protestants, so how do you make this stuff up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on January 14, 2017, 07:16:10 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 10:48:14 PM
Referring to Thailand and Malaysia as examples of places where a lot of dairy is exported from Northern Ireland, he said the current export tariff is around 15%."If we had to move to a WTO tariff that would double, that would kill that business," he said. "What we need is a period of continued access to the EU free trade agreements for a period, but then we need the UK government to come in and start to negotiate and put in place free trade agreements that are specific to the UK to allow this business to continue."Dr Johnston also warned that the industry is very dependent on free movement of milk, dairy products and people across the land border that has developed over the years through arrangements between the two jurisdictions.He said if that free movement was stopped, there would be a situation in which dairy farmers could be forced out of business. Barclay Bell, president of the Ulster Farmers Union, told the committee that the border "is a big, big issue when you consider the amount of cross-border trade"."Anything that would complicate or hinder that trade certainly would be a big big challenge to the industry in Northern Ireland," he warned.The agriculture and food processing sectors in Northern Ireland are a significant element of the local economy, collectively accounting for around 70,000 local jobs – based on 47,979 total farmers and workers and 23,557 food and drink processing workers.
Don't forget Malachi number 1 in Thailand. What happens to music post brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on January 14, 2017, 09:00:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 11:40:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 11:38:12 PM
Brexit could really shift the politics in NI. The Eurosceptics want to be outside the Single Market. That doesnt suit NI Protestants cos NI doesnt have England's immigration issue but also cos NI benefits from Europe.

You don't know any ni Protestants, so how do you make this stuff up
Now, now, don't forget his poor uncle.  That's normally the line he trots out when his bigotry against  NI Protestants comes to the fore.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 14, 2017, 09:27:20 AM
Quote from: michaelg on January 14, 2017, 09:00:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 11:40:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 11:38:12 PM
Brexit could really shift the politics in NI. The Eurosceptics want to be outside the Single Market. That doesnt suit NI Protestants cos NI doesnt have England's immigration issue but also cos NI benefits from Europe.

You don't know any ni Protestants, so how do you make this stuff up
Now, now, don't forget his poor uncle.  That's normally the line he trots out when his bigotry against  NI Protestants comes to the fore.
Michael do you think Brexit is good for the Union? Yes or no.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 14, 2017, 09:31:19 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 11:40:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 11:38:12 PM
Brexit could really shift the politics in NI. The Eurosceptics want to be outside the Single Market. That doesnt suit NI Protestants cos NI doesnt have England's immigration issue but also cos NI benefits from Europe.

You don't know any ni Protestants, so how do you make this stuff up
MR, Brexit is an English issue.
People in NI like Europe. Brexit is going to hurt farming. For the first time in a while the interests of Unionists and Englishpeople diverge. And it is about money which is also interesting.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 14, 2017, 10:47:14 AM
Had a chortle at the BBCNI News yesterday evening, the NI Fishing industry were vociferously pro- Brexit but are now bleating about how a very high percentage of fleets are manned by Non-UK/Ireland EU Citizens and they will undoubtedly need special dispensation to be allowed to hire these same people pro-Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 14, 2017, 11:16:22 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 14, 2017, 10:47:14 AM
Had a chortle at the BBCNI News yesterday evening, the NI Fishing industry were vociferously pro- Brexit but are now bleating about how a very high percentage of fleets are manned by Non-UK/Ireland EU Citizens and they will undoubtedly need special dispensation to be allowed to hire these same people pro-Brexit.

Saw that myself. Talk about wanting it every way. The gist was let us use cheap foreign labour until the "lost generation" of local men with the right skills to go to sea are up to speed. Then we wont need the cheap labour anymore. Aye right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2017, 01:31:01 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 14, 2017, 09:31:19 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 11:40:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 11:38:12 PM
Brexit could really shift the politics in NI. The Eurosceptics want to be outside the Single Market. That doesnt suit NI Protestants cos NI doesnt have England's immigration issue but also cos NI benefits from Europe.

You don't know any ni Protestants, so how do you make this stuff up
MR, Brexit is an English issue.
People in NI like Europe. Brexit is going to hurt farming. For the first time in a while the interests of Unionists and Englishpeople diverge. And it is about money which is also interesting.

Hurt farmers??? Farming has been getting it tough for years... would see a lot of farmer though my door and they have been getting it tough year in year out! That's before brexit ffs! As for it being an English thing it doesn't matter as collectively it's been voted on and that's that!! No one I know (well they could have) voted for leave but hey it's here and that's that.

It's been drawn out something shocking!! I can't see how business won't be able to export in Europe to be honest...

The EU is a very small group run by the Germans... 70 odd years after losing the war in Europe they have it over a barrel....

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 14, 2017, 01:36:09 PM
The EU is 27 Countries with a population of something like 400m.

If that's "small" ......fair enough.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2017, 01:51:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 14, 2017, 01:36:09 PM
The EU is 27 Countries with a population of something like 400m.

If that's "small" ......fair enough.

USA one country 318 million... what's your point
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 14, 2017, 02:44:59 PM
You said the EU was "a small group".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2017, 04:09:19 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 14, 2017, 02:44:59 PM
You said the EU was "a small group".

It is in completely compared to USA India China which as single countries not 27 match and dwarf the EU... would you think the EU small?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 14, 2017, 04:15:54 PM
Looks like the chuckle brothers are coming to blows !!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 14, 2017, 04:28:18 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2017, 04:09:19 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 14, 2017, 02:44:59 PM
You said the EU was "a small group".

It is in completely compared to USA India China which as single countries not 27 match and dwarf the EU... would you think the EU small?
No     ffs!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 14, 2017, 05:17:50 PM
MR, the advantage of being inside the EU is tariff free trade. That means higher profits for NI farmers. It means higher taxes for HM Treasury.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2017, 05:26:03 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 14, 2017, 05:17:50 PM
MR, the advantage of being inside the EU is tariff free trade. That means higher profits for NI farmers. It means higher taxes for HM Treasury.

I know,  but I can't see trade stop altogether. As much as you'd like it to be, this won't happen...

As for developing trade with the other countries I've mentioned, that's just what's going to have to happen, and for a lot of companies they are currently doing this !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 14, 2017, 07:27:59 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2017, 05:26:03 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 14, 2017, 05:17:50 PM
MR, the advantage of being inside the EU is tariff free trade. That means higher profits for NI farmers. It means higher taxes for HM Treasury.

I know,  but I can't see trade stop altogether. As much as you'd like it to be, this won't happen...

As for developing trade with the other countries I've mentioned, that's just what's going to have to happen, and for a lot of companies they are currently doing this !
India wont do a deal without a deal on visas
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on January 14, 2017, 07:58:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 09:01:25 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 13, 2017, 08:57:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 03:36:19 PM
Leading economist Sammy Wilson on Brexit

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/video-news/video-dups-sammy-wilson-on-brexit-uk-can-only-do-trade-outside-custom-union-and-single-market-35362109.html
Not sure what you do for a living, but you are a bit of a self-appointed expert on the subject yourself.
I'm GAA correspondent for the Newsletter
I thought that you did the local notes in the Kerryman for the Presbyterian church in North Kerry giving the rundown on cake sales etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 14, 2017, 08:45:09 PM
Quote from: Avondhu star on January 14, 2017, 07:58:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 09:01:25 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 13, 2017, 08:57:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2017, 03:36:19 PM
Leading economist Sammy Wilson on Brexit

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/video-news/video-dups-sammy-wilson-on-brexit-uk-can-only-do-trade-outside-custom-union-and-single-market-35362109.html
Not sure what you do for a living, but you are a bit of a self-appointed expert on the subject yourself.
I'm GAA correspondent for the Newsletter
I thought that you did the local notes in the Kerryman for the Presbyterian church in North Kerry giving the rundown on cake sales etc

You should be on stage, preferably in another part of the world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 14, 2017, 09:33:39 PM
Quote from: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?

I think you misunderstand the purpose of the post, which is not a serious discussion of international trade, but just an attempt to be contrary to other posters, or maybe MR2 is really Sammy Wilson.

In reality many EU countries have developed markets across the world and being in the EU hasn't stopped them. Switzerland has a "trade deal" with China, but UK trade with China has grown more quickly in recent years than Swiss trade with China.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 14, 2017, 11:31:06 PM
They are going to go for a complete exit.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/01/14/theresa-may-side-eurosceptics-major-brexit-speech-revealing/

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 01:10:38 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?

We don't know what will be lost, until it's done! To say that the UK will collapse and require a bail out like the republic got is silly... if ni ends up with food banks that are unable to feed people and charge people£50 to have a doctors appointment (normally the done thing down South) then I think we'll be in the shit... at the minute Britain has actually improved lately as companies continue to invest and deal with Britain.. globally countries will continue to do what's best for them as will companies...

The scare of brexit has actually disappeared in most place bar Galway
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 15, 2017, 01:46:53 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 01:10:38 AM
We don't know what will be lost, until it's done! To say that the UK will collapse and require a bail out like the republic got is silly... if ni ends up with food banks that are unable to feed people and charge people£50 to have a doctors appointment (normally the done thing down South) then I think we'll be in the shit... at the minute Britain has actually improved lately as companies continue to invest and deal with Britain.. globally countries will continue to do what's best for them as will companies...

Another nonsense post. Nobody, or at least few people, are saying that the UK will collapse (although Scotland might leave and the peace settlement in NI might collapse). They are saying that the economy will be less in 5 years time than it would otherwise have been, with a great deal of pointless disruption caused in the meantime. Companies will do what is best for them, and this xenophobia driven project is not good for a lot of them.

And alluding to a different system of charging for doctors, as is it was somehow relevant, is just immature.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on January 15, 2017, 05:47:48 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 01:10:38 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?

We don't know what will be lost, until it's done! To say that the UK will collapse and require a bail out like the republic got is silly... if ni ends up with food banks that are unable to feed people and charge people£50 to have a doctors appointment (normally the done thing down South) then I think we'll be in the shit... at the minute Britain has actually improved lately as companies continue to invest and deal with Britain.. globally countries will continue to do what's best for them as will companies...

The scare of brexit has actually disappeared in most place bar Galway

I'm sorry. I thought you actually had a serious point to make. Now I see you are full of shit.

Today's leak shows NIs standing. May is about to invalidate the GFA. The ditching of NI and the £9billion is about to become a political football. Cross border bodies about to be strengthened.

Interesting times for team Brexit.

Tell me again why this is a good thing?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 08:44:39 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 15, 2017, 05:47:48 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 01:10:38 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?

We don't know what will be lost, until it's done! To say that the UK will collapse and require a bail out like the republic got is silly... if ni ends up with food banks that are unable to feed people and charge people£50 to have a doctors appointment (normally the done thing down South) then I think we'll be in the shit... at the minute Britain has actually improved lately as companies continue to invest and deal with Britain.. globally countries will continue to do what's best for them as will companies...

The scare of brexit has actually disappeared in most place bar Galway

I'm sorry. I thought you actually had a serious point to make. Now I see you are full of shit.

Today's leak shows NIs standing. May is about to invalidate the GFA. The ditching of NI and the £9billion is about to become a political football. Cross border bodies about to be strengthened.

Interesting times for team Brexit.

Tell me again why this is a good thing?

In none of my posts about brexit have I said it's a good thing, I've just said it won't be as bad as seafoid wants it to be... that's me being optimistic, it could send us back to the 50's  but  I'm thinking more back to 2007 when the banks fucked up...

http://www.statestreet.com/ideas/articles/brexit-6-months-later.html?cid=paidsearch-Brexit-Metcalfe_video-GB-3#

but I'd rather be a glass half full type person than a miserable cnut...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 15, 2017, 09:14:52 AM
You are good as coming across as the latter.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 09:48:23 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 15, 2017, 05:47:48 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 01:10:38 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?

We don't know what will be lost, until it's done! To say that the UK will collapse and require a bail out like the republic got is silly... if ni ends up with food banks that are unable to feed people and charge people£50 to have a doctors appointment (normally the done thing down South) then I think we'll be in the shit... at the minute Britain has actually improved lately as companies continue to invest and deal with Britain.. globally countries will continue to do what's best for them as will companies...

The scare of brexit has actually disappeared in most place bar Galway

I'm sorry. I thought you actually had a serious point to make. Now I see you are full of shit.

Today's leak shows NIs standing. May is about to invalidate the GFA. The ditching of NI and the £9billion is about to become a political football. Cross border bodies about to be strengthened.

Interesting times for team Brexit.

Tell me again why this is a good thing?
What leak?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 15, 2017, 10:29:42 AM
I believe there was some actual news on brexit today rather than something you made up. 😀😀😀
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 15, 2017, 10:35:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2017, 12:01:11 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 13, 2017, 09:21:24 AM
Grow up MR2, there's no need for that sort of foul mouthed stuff.

Anyway, your childish logic seems to be that because the NI weathermen got the weather forecast wrong in AN AREA of the province, there's no point listening to anyone's opinion about the economic repercussions of exiting the EU.  (Except, bizarrely, yours!)  And there's not much point debating with anyone that uses that sort of logic.

I'm away to make a snowman.

You cant throw comments at me for being childish when you post the same stuff?

My point on brexit is that while it will have a huge bearing on us financially, it wont be to the extent that seafoid wants... or to the extent of the 2006/7 crash..

From a sales point of view i havent seen people holding on to their money, hopefully that stays like that, otherwise i'll be back teaching!!

Rubbish, I'd never use that word. It has horrible connotations and I've zero respect for anyone who uses it.  Especially in the context you just did.  Now remind me, is it going to be as bad as 2007 or is it not?  Because you've performed a Givan-esque flip on this one in the space of a few days.  Also, could you tell me what qualifies you to make such a confident prediction?  Because when someone posts the opinion of someone who is qualified to speak, you are intent on rubbishing it.  It would seem that, like trump and the leave voters, you've embraced the post-truth movement wholeheartedly.  I'm glad other posters are now also calling you on your bullshit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 15, 2017, 10:53:06 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 09:48:23 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 15, 2017, 05:47:48 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 01:10:38 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?

We don't know what will be lost, until it's done! To say that the UK will collapse and require a bail out like the republic got is silly... if ni ends up with food banks that are unable to feed people and charge people£50 to have a doctors appointment (normally the done thing down South) then I think we'll be in the shit... at the minute Britain has actually improved lately as companies continue to invest and deal with Britain.. globally countries will continue to do what's best for them as will companies...

The scare of brexit has actually disappeared in most place bar Galway

I'm sorry. I thought you actually had a serious point to make. Now I see you are full of shit.

Today's leak shows NIs standing. May is about to invalidate the GFA. The ditching of NI and the £9billion is about to become a political football. Cross border bodies about to be strengthened.

Interesting times for team Brexit.

Tell me again why this is a good thing?
What leak?

http://news.sky.com/story/brexit-pm-expected-to-say-uk-prepared-to-leave-single-market-10729623
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 15, 2017, 11:04:00 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 08:44:39 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 15, 2017, 05:47:48 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 01:10:38 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?

We don't know what will be lost, until it's done! To say that the UK will collapse and require a bail out like the republic got is silly... if ni ends up with food banks that are unable to feed people and charge people£50 to have a doctors appointment (normally the done thing down South) then I think we'll be in the shit... at the minute Britain has actually improved lately as companies continue to invest and deal with Britain.. globally countries will continue to do what's best for them as will companies...

The scare of brexit has actually disappeared in most place bar Galway

I'm sorry. I thought you actually had a serious point to make. Now I see you are full of shit.

Today's leak shows NIs standing. May is about to invalidate the GFA. The ditching of NI and the £9billion is about to become a political football. Cross border bodies about to be strengthened.

Interesting times for team Brexit.

Tell me again why this is a good thing?

In none of my posts about brexit have I said it's a good thing, I've just said it won't be as bad as seafoid wants it to be... that's me being optimistic, it could send us back to the 50's  but  I'm thinking more back to 2007 when the banks fucked up...

http://www.statestreet.com/ideas/articles/brexit-6-months-later.html?cid=paidsearch-Brexit-Metcalfe_video-GB-3#

but I'd rather be a glass half full type person than a miserable cnut...

The part sums up your ridiculous stance on all this MR2.  I don't believe I've ever read seafoid post at any stage that he wants it to be "bad".  You're making that up.  In the same sentence, you've defended yourself and attacked someone else, using the exact opposite sides of the same argument.  And you don't even realise how foolish it makes you look.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:31:21 AM
We'll agree to disagree then... I'm not in any camp, but it was voted for and the leave won... we can argue that it shouldn't have been on the table at all but it was
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 15, 2017, 11:38:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:31:21 AM
We'll agree to disagree then... I'm not in any camp, but it was voted for and the leave won... we can argue that it shouldn't have been on the table at all but it was

Thanks for that incredible insight.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 11:46:52 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:31:21 AM
We'll agree to disagree then... I'm not in any camp, but it was voted for and the leave won... we can argue that it shouldn't have been on the table at all but it was
It's like the bank guarantee. It is stupid. They could have rerun the vote  . But the Eurosceptics are running the show.
Maybe leaving is a good idea. It has to be planned. And they didn't plan it. Plus the UK economy is very weak right now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:50:48 AM
Quote from: Franko on January 15, 2017, 11:38:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:31:21 AM
We'll agree to disagree then... I'm not in any camp, but it was voted for and the leave won... we can argue that it shouldn't have been on the table at all but it was

Thanks for that incredible insight.
You're welcome!

Now in five years time when it all blows over and the world keeps turning you'll look back and go that wasn't that bad! I got my knickers in a twist for nothing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 15, 2017, 11:53:51 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:50:48 AM
Quote from: Franko on January 15, 2017, 11:38:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:31:21 AM
We'll agree to disagree then... I'm not in any camp, but it was voted for and the leave won... we can argue that it shouldn't have been on the table at all but it was

Thanks for that incredible insight.
You're welcome!

Now in five years time when it all blows over and the world keeps turning you'll look back and go that wasn't that bad! I got my knickers in a twist for nothing

Doubt it.  But you keep repeating it if it keeps you happy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 15, 2017, 11:55:35 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:31:21 AM
We'll agree to disagree then... I'm not in any camp, but it was voted for and the leave won... we can argue that it shouldn't have been on the table at all but it was

Did you not vote?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 15, 2017, 11:57:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:50:48 AM
Quote from: Franko on January 15, 2017, 11:38:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 11:31:21 AM
We'll agree to disagree then... I'm not in any camp, but it was voted for and the leave won... we can argue that it shouldn't have been on the table at all but it was

Thanks for that incredible insight.
You're welcome!

Now in five years time when it all blows over and the world keeps turning you'll look back and go that wasn't that bad! I got my knickers in a twist for nothing

For someone who has been made redundant as many times as you have, you should be first to worry about the economic consequences!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 15, 2017, 12:11:45 PM
On the lighter side of Brexit

https://www.facebook.com/SKZCartoons/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bazil Douglas on January 15, 2017, 02:00:18 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 15, 2017, 12:11:45 PM
On the lighter side of Brexit

https://www.facebook.com/SKZCartoons/

Reading through some of these posts there seems to be quite a few of those brexit experts on here.
I never read as much sh**te in my life.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 15, 2017, 02:05:12 PM
Any UK residents going on holidays in the Eurozone should get their €€ asap - if they haven't already. May is going for Hard Brexit to be officially announced on Tuesday  - eventhough every paper seems to be carrying the story today .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 02:35:54 PM
Anyone from Throne planning to go to Croker this year should buy Euros now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 02:46:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 02:35:54 PM
Anyone from Throne planning to go to Croker this year should buy Euros now.

Will they run out of Euros?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 02:50:31 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 02:46:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 02:35:54 PM
Anyone from Throne planning to go to Croker this year should buy Euros now.

Will they run out of Euros?
Hedges make good neighbours
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 02:56:30 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 15, 2017, 10:53:06 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 09:48:23 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 15, 2017, 05:47:48 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 15, 2017, 01:10:38 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 14, 2017, 06:48:05 PM
MR2 don't understand your post above

Not sure what countries that you think would make up for the exports that will be lost. And if these export opportunities are so exciting why aren't they being tapped already?

We don't know what will be lost, until it's done! To say that the UK will collapse and require a bail out like the republic got is silly... if ni ends up with food banks that are unable to feed people and charge people£50 to have a doctors appointment (normally the done thing down South) then I think we'll be in the shit... at the minute Britain has actually improved lately as companies continue to invest and deal with Britain.. globally countries will continue to do what's best for them as will companies...

The scare of brexit has actually disappeared in most place bar Galway

I'm sorry. I thought you actually had a serious point to make. Now I see you are full of shit.

Today's leak shows NIs standing. May is about to invalidate the GFA. The ditching of NI and the £9billion is about to become a political football. Cross border bodies about to be strengthened.

Interesting times for team Brexit.

Tell me again why this is a good thing?
What leak?

http://news.sky.com/story/brexit-pm-expected-to-say-uk-prepared-to-leave-single-market-10729623
GRMA

The DUP are nuts.The Eurosceptics want a low tax low benefits UK. Neo Victorian  There will be plámás about the NHS but they will starve it. And who will fund the deficit? Santy?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 15, 2017, 03:08:14 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2017, 02:05:12 PM
Any UK residents going on holidays in the Eurozone should get their €€ asap - if they haven't already. May is going for Hard Brexit to be officially announced on Tuesday  - eventhough every paper seems to be carrying the story today .

What would we do without your finger on the pulse!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 15, 2017, 08:56:21 PM
Quote from: No wides on January 15, 2017, 03:08:14 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2017, 02:05:12 PM
Any UK residents going on holidays in the Eurozone should get their €€ asap - if they haven't already. May is going for Hard Brexit to be officially announced on Tuesday  - eventhough every paper seems to be carrying the story today .

What would we do without your finger on the pulse!

Australian markets must have opened,  £ down a cent already.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2017, 09:58:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 15, 2017, 08:56:21 PM
Quote from: No wides on January 15, 2017, 03:08:14 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2017, 02:05:12 PM
Any UK residents going on holidays in the Eurozone should get their €€ asap - if they haven't already. May is going for Hard Brexit to be officially announced on Tuesday  - eventhough every paper seems to be carrying the story today .

What would we do without your finger on the pulse!

Australian markets must have opened,  £ down a cent already.
There is a symmetry to it. The £ is going back to where it was in 1979 when Thatcher was elected. RBS is a vegetable and the  oil money is almost finished. When NI was jerrÿmandered it had huge industries serving an Empire. Now the industries , the Empire and the economic coherence of the UK are gone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on January 15, 2017, 11:09:52 PM
Sure its ok Trumps America will keep the brits floatin. That what war buddies are for
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: manfromdelmonte on January 15, 2017, 11:15:38 PM
Rule Britannia...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on January 15, 2017, 11:43:22 PM
Why is May pushing for a hard brexit? I see nothing advantageous in it for her party or herself. Any ideas?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 15, 2017, 11:51:34 PM
Quote from: trileacman on January 15, 2017, 11:43:22 PM
Why is May pushing for a hard brexit? I see nothing advantageous in it for her party or herself. Any ideas?

Anti immigration and while the Tory party generally have a lot of links with business and will be getting it in the ear about this, there is a loud faction within the Tories that want to return to the 1950s.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 16, 2017, 08:13:11 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 15, 2017, 11:51:34 PM
Quote from: trileacman on January 15, 2017, 11:43:22 PM
Why is May pushing for a hard brexit? I see nothing advantageous in it for her party or herself. Any ideas?

Anti immigration and while the Tory party generally have a lot of links with business and will be getting it in the ear about this, there is a loud faction within the Tories that want to return to the 1950s.
I think they are afraid of the voters. And they don't really know what to do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 16, 2017, 09:56:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 16, 2017, 08:13:11 AM
I think they are afraid of the voters.

They would be afraid of the voters, except that Labour has imploded. If they had an election then voters would still vote Tory as they would have no confidence in Labour's ability to manage the present situation.


QuoteAnd they don't really know what to do.

That is the only thing that is clear in the whole mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 16, 2017, 10:28:28 AM
The Tories have no economic ideas.  Growth was driven by immigration but the voters rejected it. Brexit will damage the economy but they support it. The thing to do is tax the rich but they won't. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on January 17, 2017, 10:35:46 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/jan/17/apple-ios-mac-app-store-prices-rise-25-per-cent-following-brexit?CMP=twt_a-technology_b-gdntech
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 17, 2017, 11:52:58 AM
So the unelected Prime Minister is going to announce an initiative nobody voted for.

It's a shambles lads. At no stage throughout the Referendum campaign was leaving the single market an option and now we're going full steam ahead  with it? Turning our back on 500 million consumers??!!!

Great!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 12:21:07 PM
The Tory manifesto of 2015 was very clear about staying in the single market.
"We say: yes to the Single Market."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 17, 2017, 12:39:02 PM
Britain's plan has been officially unveiled:

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BwneU5_IQAAE2gm.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on January 17, 2017, 12:57:13 PM
I don't get the "unelected PM" that we have been hearing, as if she has no right to act on this. Cameron left, there was a vote to elect a new leader of Tories, and thereby a new PM. Thems the rules.

What was the alternative, no PM until the next general election ?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 17, 2017, 01:05:29 PM
Quote from: Minder on January 17, 2017, 12:57:13 PM
I don't get the "unelected PM" that we have been hearing, as if she has no right to act on this. Cameron left, there was a vote to elect a new leader of Tories, and thereby a new PM. Thems the rules.

What was the alternative, no PM until the next general election ?!

A new general election!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on January 17, 2017, 01:10:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 17, 2017, 01:05:29 PM
Quote from: Minder on January 17, 2017, 12:57:13 PM
I don't get the "unelected PM" that we have been hearing, as if she has no right to act on this. Cameron left, there was a vote to elect a new leader of Tories, and thereby a new PM. Thems the rules.

What was the alternative, no PM until the next general election ?!

A new general election!

What would trigger it ?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 17, 2017, 01:15:30 PM
Quote from: Minder on January 17, 2017, 12:57:13 PM
I don't get the "unelected PM" that we have been hearing, as if she has no right to act on this. Cameron left, there was a vote to elect a new leader of Tories, and thereby a new PM. Thems the rules.

What was the alternative, no PM until the next general election ?!

There is an issue here though, in the government policies have changed hugely, with minimal discussion in the parliament never mind an election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 01:36:23 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_JOGmXpe5I
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 01:50:14 PM
Danny McCoy, chief executive of Ibec, said:

The possibility of the UK leaving both the single market and the customs union raises fundamental questions about Ireland's future trading relations with the UK. A return to WTO rules would be a significant economic shock to the economy and would hit Irish exporters hard. It would also set the UK and Ireland on very different economic trajectories. In the interest of maintaining good business relations, it is vital that the UK Government sets out in more detail how the serious challenges presented by a hard Brexit might be addressed, including the impact on cross border trade on the island of Ireland.
This is an aggressive move by the UK, showing little regard for our trading relationship and for relations with other EU member states. Theresa May has signalled a change to the UK business model, away from a collective European rules-based approach, towards a more nationalistic, isolated stance. This is likely to lead to a protracted and unwelcome period of uncertainty and instability for business. Ireland is uniquely exposed to the risks given out deep economic ties with the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 17, 2017, 01:50:35 PM
Sterling currently up 1.5% on the € since May's announcement:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business/market_data/currency/default.stm

Markets want clarity as much as anything else by the looks of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 17, 2017, 01:57:36 PM
Seems to be the case.

Sunday & Monday: Pound falls 2% on news that Theresa May is going to announce hard Brexit.

Tuesday: Pound rises 2% on news that Theresa May has announced hard Brexit.

Markets are fcuked up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on January 17, 2017, 02:11:43 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 17, 2017, 01:57:36 PM
Seems to be the case.

Sunday & Monday: Pound falls 2% on news that Theresa May is going to announce hard Brexit.

Tuesday: Pound rises 2% on news that Theresa May has announced hard Brexit.

Markets are fcuked up.

She's looking for a hard Brexit with a soft centre. Common sense will prevail after all the posturing and hand wringing. The position she set out is reasonable if very lacking in detail.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on January 17, 2017, 02:24:09 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 17, 2017, 01:57:36 PM
Seems to be the case.

Sunday & Monday: Pound falls 2% on news that Theresa May is going to announce hard Brexit.

Tuesday: Pound rises 2% on news that Theresa May has announced hard Brexit.

Markets are fcuked up.

Self serving ???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 03:19:20 PM
Peter Grant, the SNP MP and a member of the Commons select committee for exiting the European Union, has signalled that the SNP will push for another vote. Speaking in the House of Commons he warned David Davis that government plans for the UK tol leave the single market leaves Scotland with no choice but to seek independence
If the prime minister leaves Scotland with only one option to remain in the EU, Scotland will take it
He reminds MPs that 62 per cent of Scots voted to remain part of the EU in the referendum last year.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 03:21:57 PM
UKIP had 2 key policies at the last election. 1 get the UK out of the EU 2 bring back grammar schools
The Tories adopted both


Nigel Farage

@Nigel_Farage
I can hardly believe that the PM is now using the phrases and words that I've been mocked for using for years. Real progress
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on January 17, 2017, 03:24:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 03:19:20 PM
Peter Grant, the SNP MP and a member of the Commons select committee for exiting the European Union, has signalled that the SNP will push for another vote. Speaking in the House of Commons he warned David Davis that government plans for the UK tol leave the single market leaves Scotland with no choice but to seek independence
If the prime minister leaves Scotland with only one option to remain in the EU, Scotland will take it
He reminds MPs that 62 per cent of Scots voted to remain part of the EU in the referendum last year.

Scotland had their chance to be independent but didn't take it. They are a region of the UK. They need to suck it up. Most nations had to fight for their freedom. They were offered it via a vote and they bottled it....no sympathy for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 03:32:57 PM
The DUP are for the birds
   
   https://www.ft.com/content/3d0fdb18-d97b-11e6-944b-e7eb37a6aa8e

   Mrs May has pledged that "there will be no return to the borders of the past" in Ireland. But officials in Dublin say they will remain sceptical until she reveals more on how Northern Ireland will fare after the UK formally leaves the EU. It was set to receive €3.4bn from EU budget funding between 2014 and 2020; some of that aid from Brussels is now in jeopardy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 17, 2017, 03:33:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2017, 03:24:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 03:19:20 PM
Peter Grant, the SNP MP and a member of the Commons select committee for exiting the European Union, has signalled that the SNP will push for another vote. Speaking in the House of Commons he warned David Davis that government plans for the UK tol leave the single market leaves Scotland with no choice but to seek independence
If the prime minister leaves Scotland with only one option to remain in the EU, Scotland will take it
He reminds MPs that 62 per cent of Scots voted to remain part of the EU in the referendum last year.

Scotland had their chance to be independent but didn't take it. They are a region of the UK. They need to suck it up. Most nations had to fight for their freedom. They were offered it via a vote and they bottled it....no sympathy for them.

Great quote, I am glad May has went for the hard stance, anything else the EU would have saw them as weak and screwed them over.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on January 17, 2017, 03:53:25 PM
Quote from: No wides on January 17, 2017, 03:33:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2017, 03:24:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 03:19:20 PM
Peter Grant, the SNP MP and a member of the Commons select committee for exiting the European Union, has signalled that the SNP will push for another vote. Speaking in the House of Commons he warned David Davis that government plans for the UK tol leave the single market leaves Scotland with no choice but to seek independence
If the prime minister leaves Scotland with only one option to remain in the EU, Scotland will take it
He reminds MPs that 62 per cent of Scots voted to remain part of the EU in the referendum last year.

Scotland had their chance to be independent but didn't take it. They are a region of the UK. They need to suck it up. Most nations had to fight for their freedom. They were offered it via a vote and they bottled it....no sympathy for them.

Great quote, I am glad May has went for the hard stance, anything else the EU would have saw them as weak and screwed them over.


I think they have done a good enough job of that themselves, without the EU countries having to do anything yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 17, 2017, 03:57:44 PM
Some closet Brits here it seems. :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on January 17, 2017, 04:19:36 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 17, 2017, 03:57:44 PM
Some closet Brits here it seems. :o

A strange comment. Would you mind elaborating?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:37:36 PM
Obama told the Brits they'd be at the back of the line in terms of a trade deal.

Trump will put them at the front of the line

Trumps victory dramatically changes the potential fallout from Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 17, 2017, 04:49:39 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:37:36 PM
Obama told the Brits they'd be at the back of the line in terms of a trade deal.

Trump will put them at the front of the line

Trumps victory dramatically changes the potential fallout from Brexit

LOL. Lies. He didnt say that at all. He was asked by Gove "So we are at front of queue then?" and he replied "You are doing good". Very telling that he didn't say yes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 17, 2017, 04:53:47 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2017, 03:24:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 03:19:20 PM
Peter Grant, the SNP MP and a member of the Commons select committee for exiting the European Union, has signalled that the SNP will push for another vote. Speaking in the House of Commons he warned David Davis that government plans for the UK tol leave the single market leaves Scotland with no choice but to seek independence
If the prime minister leaves Scotland with only one option to remain in the EU, Scotland will take it
He reminds MPs that 62 per cent of Scots voted to remain part of the EU in the referendum last year.

Scotland had their chance to be independent but didn't take it. They are a region of the UK. They need to suck it up. Most nations had to fight for their freedom. They were offered it via a vote and they bottled it....no sympathy for them.

Bang on here
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:54:39 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 17, 2017, 04:49:39 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:37:36 PM
Obama told the Brits they'd be at the back of the line in terms of a trade deal.

Trump will put them at the front of the line

Trumps victory dramatically changes the potential fallout from Brexit

LOL. Lies. He didnt say that at all. He was asked by Gove "So we are at front of queue then?" and he replied "You are doing good". Very telling that he didn't say yes.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/world/brexiteers-cheer-on-donald-trump-for-promising-quick-trade-deal-with-the-uk/2017/01/16/0703100a-dbf4-11e6-8902-610fe486791c_story.html


In a wide-ranging interview with the Times of London, Trump praised Britain's decision to leave the European Union and said that the United States would "very quickly" draw up a trade deal with the United Kingdom once it leaves the bloc.

"I'm a big fan of the U.K., we're going to work very hard to get it done quickly and done properly," Trump said in an interview with Michael Gove, a Conservative politician and prominent Brexiteer. Gove is also a columnist for the newspaper.

Believe whatever you want


(I don't think "front of the queue " is a legally binding term....it just means that they will expedite it)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on January 17, 2017, 04:57:16 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:37:36 PM
Obama told the Brits they'd be at the back of the line in terms of a trade deal.

Trump will put them at the front of the line

Trumps victory dramatically changes the potential fallout from Brexit

Are you saying Trump's victory will have a positive effect on UK trade with America, please explain how.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 17, 2017, 05:04:23 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:54:39 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 17, 2017, 04:49:39 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:37:36 PM
Obama told the Brits they'd be at the back of the line in terms of a trade deal.

Trump will put them at the front of the line

Trumps victory dramatically changes the potential fallout from Brexit

LOL. Lies. He didnt say that at all. He was asked by Gove "So we are at front of queue then?" and he replied "You are doing good". Very telling that he didn't say yes.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/world/brexiteers-cheer-on-donald-trump-for-promising-quick-trade-deal-with-the-uk/2017/01/16/0703100a-dbf4-11e6-8902-610fe486791c_story.html


In a wide-ranging interview with the Times of London, Trump praised Britain's decision to leave the European Union and said that the United States would "very quickly" draw up a trade deal with the United Kingdom once it leaves the bloc.

"I'm a big fan of the U.K., we're going to work very hard to get it done quickly and done properly," Trump said in an interview with Michael Gove, a Conservative politician and prominent Brexiteer. Gove is also a columnist for the newspaper.

Believe whatever you want


(I don't think "front of the queue " is a legally binding term....it just means that they will expedite it)

I think you are cherry picking here. Of course they will do a deal with Britain but it will be based on economic realities not on special relationships or any other "my granny was from Scotland" stuff. There is no indication anywhere that the deal will get priority over existing deals with Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 05:19:22 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:37:36 PM
Obama told the Brits they'd be at the back of the line in terms of a trade deal.

Trump will put them at the front of the line

Trumps victory dramatically changes the potential fallout from Brexit
Yeah. Trump will pay off the deficit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on January 17, 2017, 05:41:46 PM
Let's wait.  He isn't president yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: whitey on January 17, 2017, 07:11:13 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 17, 2017, 05:04:23 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:54:39 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 17, 2017, 04:49:39 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 04:37:36 PM
Obama told the Brits they'd be at the back of the line in terms of a trade deal.

Trump will put them at the front of the line

Trumps victory dramatically changes the potential fallout from Brexit

LOL. Lies. He didnt say that at all. He was asked by Gove "So we are at front of queue then?" and he replied "You are doing good". Very telling that he didn't say yes.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/world/brexiteers-cheer-on-donald-trump-for-promising-quick-trade-deal-with-the-uk/2017/01/16/0703100a-dbf4-11e6-8902-610fe486791c_story.html


In a wide-ranging interview with the Times of London, Trump praised Britain's decision to leave the European Union and said that the United States would "very quickly" draw up a trade deal with the United Kingdom once it leaves the bloc.

"I'm a big fan of the U.K., we're going to work very hard to get it done quickly and done properly," Trump said in an interview with Michael Gove, a Conservative politician and prominent Brexiteer. Gove is also a columnist for the newspaper.

Believe whatever you want


(I don't think "front of the queue " is a legally binding term....it just means that they will expedite it)

I think you are cherry picking here. Of course they will do a deal with Britain but it will be based on economic realities not on special relationships or any other "my granny was from Scotland" stuff. There is no indication anywhere that the deal will get priority over existing deals with Europe.

I'm not an expert in how intl trade deals are negotiated, but all of the Pro Brexit people I have seen interviewed seem very happy with Trumps comments.  If nothing else it strengthens Teresa Mays hand in the exit negotiations
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 17, 2017, 07:26:28 PM
Quote from: whitey on January 17, 2017, 07:11:13 PM
I'm not an expert in how intl trade deals are negotiated, but all of the Pro Brexit people I have seen interviewed seem very happy with Trumps comments.  If nothing else it strengthens Teresa Mays hand in the exit negotiations

Trump's comments are probably helpful in the short term. The problem is that they are as far from the established sane view in the US as Brexit is. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 07:43:59 PM
Halifax Chronicle (Canada)
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ClzE1arWAAEi3CL.jpg
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 17, 2017, 08:43:42 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2017, 04:19:36 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 17, 2017, 03:57:44 PM
Some closet Brits here it seems. :o

A strange comment. Would you mind elaborating?

I doubt he will.  For someone who knows very little about the north he is quick at telling us how to vote yet doesn't grasp that what the UK governnent does affects us. Strange lad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 17, 2017, 09:26:38 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 17, 2017, 01:50:35 PM
Sterling currently up 1.5% on the € since May's announcement:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business/market_data/currency/default.stm

Markets want clarity as much as anything else by the looks of it.

The speech is just an ever deep intrusion into the unknown jungle

The jump in stg was down to her saying that she would put any deal to a vote in parliment
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 17, 2017, 09:28:53 PM
I know a lot more about the North than No wides/Foxcommander know about Ballaghaderreen anyway.
Someone has to tell ye how to work the  PR system.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 09:31:09 PM
Very interesting comment from the Financial Times website

xmp125a 4 hours ago

The main problem of brexit is that it will fire the last remaining bullet, before the anger of the working class starts to turn inwards. Whatever happens after brexit, it will not solve most of the problems that convinced the white labour voters to support brexit (let's be honest - UKIP and Conservatives could not do it alone - it was the ex-labur working class voter class who pushed the brexit vote over the 50% margin).-The NHS will still be f'd up (and forget about those 350m GBP a week)-The EU rules will still apply for goods exported to EU, single market or not. So Brussels' bureaucracy will still determine the curvature of cucumbers that UK will try to export into EU.-Brexit will have NO effect whatsoever on Muslim immigration (whadya think, pakistan is the part of EU??!?)-Zero-hour contracts are here to stay (they are exclusively UK's invention, nothing to do with EU) etc.However, the EU boogeyman will be gone. And all political excuses with it. So the next time the angry voters determine that they want changes, all their anger will be projected inwards. And God help UK politicians then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 17, 2017, 09:35:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 09:31:09 PM
Very interesting comment from the Financial Times website

xmp125a 4 hours ago

The main problem of brexit is that it will fire the last remaining bullet, before the anger of the working class starts to turn inwards. Whatever happens after brexit, it will not solve most of the problems that convinced the white labour voters to support brexit (let's be honest - UKIP and Conservatives could not do it alone - it was the ex-labur working class voter class who pushed the brexit vote over the 50% margin).-The NHS will still be f'd up (and forget about those 350m GBP a week)-The EU rules will still apply for goods exported to EU, single market or not. So Brussels' bureaucracy will still determine the curvature of cucumbers that UK will try to export into EU.-Brexit will have NO effect whatsoever on Muslim immigration (whadya think, pakistan is the part of EU??!?)-Zero-hour contracts are here to stay (they are exclusively UK's invention, nothing to do with EU) etc.However, the EU boogeyman will be gone. And all political excuses with it. So the next time the angry voters determine that they want changes, all their anger will be projected inwards. And God help UK politicians then.

Presumably, they hope that the next election will have "stopped immigration", and the long term effects will not be obvious, so they will get away with it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 17, 2017, 09:45:32 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 17, 2017, 09:26:38 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 17, 2017, 01:50:35 PM
Sterling currently up 1.5% on the € since May's announcement:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business/market_data/currency/default.stm

Markets want clarity as much as anything else by the looks of it.

The speech is just an ever deep intrusion into the unknown jungle

The jump in stg was down to her saying that she would put any deal to a vote in parliment
Doubt it, that information has been in the public domain for a month or two.


Edit: I went back and checked, October that info was available.
Quote from: bennydorano on October 18, 2016, 04:41:36 PM
Quite possibly influenced by

Commons vote to ratify Brexit very likely, says No 10 - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37691270

Any package without some form of Single Market access won't get passed in Parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 09:52:31 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 17, 2017, 09:35:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2017, 09:31:09 PM
Very interesting comment from the Financial Times website

xmp125a 4 hours ago

The main problem of brexit is that it will fire the last remaining bullet, before the anger of the working class starts to turn inwards. Whatever happens after brexit, it will not solve most of the problems that convinced the white labour voters to support brexit (let's be honest - UKIP and Conservatives could not do it alone - it was the ex-labur working class voter class who pushed the brexit vote over the 50% margin).-The NHS will still be f'd up (and forget about those 350m GBP a week)-The EU rules will still apply for goods exported to EU, single market or not. So Brussels' bureaucracy will still determine the curvature of cucumbers that UK will try to export into EU.-Brexit will have NO effect whatsoever on Muslim immigration (whadya think, pakistan is the part of EU??!?)-Zero-hour contracts are here to stay (they are exclusively UK's invention, nothing to do with EU) etc.However, the EU boogeyman will be gone. And all political excuses with it. So the next time the angry voters determine that they want changes, all their anger will be projected inwards. And God help UK politicians then.

Presumably, they hope that the next election will have "stopped immigration", and the long term effects will not be obvious, so they will get away with it.
There still won't be any payrises in places like Cornwall and Lincolnshire. Immigration was the only source of economic growth for the UK over the last 5 years seeing as there were no payrises above inflation.
The Tories have dumped the golden European goose for the sake of short term expediency. The structural problems in the UK economy have very little to do with Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on January 18, 2017, 09:18:18 AM
Thought this was a good piece

http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/01/full-english-brexit-menu/ (http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/01/full-english-brexit-menu/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on January 18, 2017, 11:34:18 AM
Glory be. Brexiteers believe in Santa and the tooth fairy. White England voted to keep out the Poles, meant time the Indians and Pakistani's that make up the majority of immigrants will continue to pour in, and they won't do the shitty jobs the Poles and other East Europeans do. They will turn to commerce and compete with the Middle-class for the punters pound. I had to laugh at the ethnic asians interviewed about Brexit saying they wanted to control the borders, like the Irish their granny was glad to be an immigrant at one time. As for the US, Trump will do a deal but on his terms, he is a protectionist so he won't be rolling over and doing an open deal, the Chinese are worth watching, they will buy UK companies to get at the technology and before you know it the same stuff will be coming out of China for 1/4 the cost. But this is lost on the great unwashed. Heard a Newry farmer who was pro brexit on GMU and the realism is starting to hit a third of the north's milk goes south.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on January 18, 2017, 12:21:53 PM
Enjoyed this

Brexit Wounds
I might be in the minority here, but I'm not sure this Brexit thing is going to be all that bad for Ireland. You only have to listen to "The New Iron Lady", Theresa May's speech to hear the opportunities for us.

Even casual observers can see a border wall (just on the edge of the horizon) as a boon for struggling developers. If Irish planning efficiency has taught us anything, it's that we can get at least fifteen construction tenders, twenty obscenely expensive architectural designs and a decade or more out of the planning process?

We could have petrol stations running kids colouring competitions; draw your own border checkpoint. The winning entry could be brought to life by Dermot Bannon, in a cacophony of crayon and concrete; the entire block tastefully rimmed with barbed wire. I'm sure some minor celebrity could cut the ribbon in exchange for dual citizenship?

Theresa May has laid out her plan, which is a plan to look at all available plans. She wants to explore all the options available while probably availing of none. Well slap me in the face with a retired judge, this is a job for Ireland Inc.

Sure isn't Ireland Inc. the best country in the world for making world class plans, to be world class in something or other, by some far off future date? We have panels of experts, who's entire expertise is in delivering plans on the best way to hold a press conference, where plans are unveiled to deliver new plans by 2020.  Fail to plan, plan to fail, plain for your plans to fail, blame Brexit. Come on Ireland, we can do this!

There's so much more positives to this Hard Brexit outcome. I mean, due to machinations of Banking, a financial passport is required to carry out complex financial schemes, such as Rate Fixing or Insider Trading. Luckily our Central Bank are very experienced in looking the other way while consumers are gouged. Aren't we still paying twice the European average in our Mortgage Rates? I hardly think the Big British Banks need fear any constraints on rampant profiteering from Ireland Inc. IDA Ireland could use the tagline (once I get my royalty fee):

Ireland: Come for the Hard Brexit. Stay for the Soft Regulation

Besides, even if the banks and financial arms of the Multinational Companies don't want to move here physically, we have brave volunteers across the country willing to allow them set up shop for little more than the price of a Brass Plate. Sure isn't there a house in Glasnevin, Dublin 9 that has 124 "companies" operating from it. 124 companies in a small 3 bed house. We are screaming blue murder about a housing crisis, yet one small suburban house accommodates 124 companies. Airbnb must be dying to get a look inside those doors.

Yes folks, Hard Brexit is going to be okey-dokey. With a little bit of creative thinking, we won't have to do any more thinking. With a little bit of forward planning, we won't have to make any more plans. Because this is Ireland Inc. An open economy, and if Britain is getting into the business of becoming a closed economy, then Ireland Inc. is open to that as well.



Tony Groves January 2017
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 18, 2017, 12:40:18 PM
A trade deal with the US would involve GM shite and hormone treated beef

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K0K46C82v9o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on January 18, 2017, 01:07:16 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 18, 2017, 11:34:18 AM
Glory be. Brexiteers believe in Santa and the tooth fairy. White England voted to keep out the Poles, meant time the Indians and Pakistani's that make up the majority of immigrants will continue to pour in, and they won't do the shitty jobs the Poles and other East Europeans do. They will turn to commerce and compete with the Middle-class for the punters pound. I had to laugh at the ethnic asians interviewed about Brexit saying they wanted to control the borders, like the Irish their granny was glad to be an immigrant at one time. As for the US, Trump will do a deal but on his terms, he is a protectionist so he won't be rolling over and doing an open deal, the Chinese are worth watching, they will buy UK companies to get at the technology and before you know it the same stuff will be coming out of China for 1/4 the cost. But this is lost on the great unwashed. Heard a Newry farmer who was pro brexit on GMU and the realism is starting to hit a third of the north's milk goes south.
Just wait until his labourers are forced back East and the NZ lamb and Brazilian beef comes north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 18, 2017, 01:07:43 PM
QuoteWe could have petrol stations running kids colouring competitions; draw your own border checkpoint. The winning entry could be brought to life by Dermot Bannon, in a cacophony of crayon and concrete; the entire block tastefully rimmed with barbed wire. I'm sure some minor celebrity could cut the ribbon in exchange for dual citizenship?

Typical sneering "I'm alright Jack" attitude from someone in Dublin. If you live in Tyrone or Donegal it might not be so amusing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on January 18, 2017, 03:03:27 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 18, 2017, 01:07:43 PM
QuoteWe could have petrol stations running kids colouring competitions; draw your own border checkpoint. The winning entry could be brought to life by Dermot Bannon, in a cacophony of crayon and concrete; the entire block tastefully rimmed with barbed wire. I'm sure some minor celebrity could cut the ribbon in exchange for dual citizenship?

Typical sneering "I'm alright Jack" attitude from someone in Dublin. If you live in Tyrone or Donegal it might not be so amusing.

I think the Ireland he talks about is the 26 county variety, not the entire island.

I'm intrigued by May and her transparent border with the rest of Ireland and how that pans out. I think we'll end up with some sort of controls at the airports and ports rather than at Newry and so forth and that won't sit well with the Unionists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 18, 2017, 03:33:11 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on January 18, 2017, 03:03:27 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 18, 2017, 01:07:43 PM
QuoteWe could have petrol stations running kids colouring competitions; draw your own border checkpoint. The winning entry could be brought to life by Dermot Bannon, in a cacophony of crayon and concrete; the entire block tastefully rimmed with barbed wire. I'm sure some minor celebrity could cut the ribbon in exchange for dual citizenship?

Typical sneering "I'm alright Jack" attitude from someone in Dublin. If you live in Tyrone or Donegal it might not be so amusing.

I think the Ireland he talks about is the 26 county variety, not the entire island.

Donegal, Leitrim, Cavan, Monaghan and Louth are in the 26 counties, last time I looked, and a lot of people there may suffer because of this nonsense.


QuoteI'm intrigued by May and her transparent border with the rest of Ireland and how that pans out. I think we'll end up with some sort of controls at the airports and ports rather than at Newry and so forth and that won't sit well with the Unionists.

This is the obvious solution simply require local citizens to have official ID and aliens to produce a passport.  Problem solved.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on January 18, 2017, 04:02:12 PM
I'm totally intrigued as too how people are seeing the Trump's promise of trade deal with the UK as anything other that hot air.

How is he going to square that with his protectionism policies which he got elected on, massive import taxes on foreign cars not built within the US. And serious implication for US companies outsourcing jobs.

So what does he have to offer the UK outside of this and what does the UK have to offer? To me it is not making sense on any level whatsoever it all a smokescreen to back the Brexiteers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on January 18, 2017, 05:05:28 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on January 18, 2017, 04:02:12 PM
I'm totally intrigued as too how people are seeing the Trump's promise of trade deal with the UK as anything other that hot air.

How is he going to square that with his protectionism policies which he got elected on, massive import taxes on foreign cars not built within the US. And serious implication for US companies outsourcing jobs.

So what does he have to offer the UK outside of this and what does the UK have to offer? To me it is not making sense on any level whatsoever it all a smokescreen to back the Brexiteers.
Exactly!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 18, 2017, 07:44:12 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jan/18/retired-britons-eu-return-campaigners-pensioners-spain-healthcare
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: whitey on January 18, 2017, 07:55:57 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 18, 2017, 05:05:28 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on January 18, 2017, 04:02:12 PM
I'm totally intrigued as too how people are seeing the Trump's promise of trade deal with the UK as anything other that hot air.

How is he going to square that with his protectionism policies which he got elected on, massive import taxes on foreign cars not built within the US. And serious implication for US companies outsourcing jobs.

So what does he have to offer the UK outside of this and what does the UK have to offer? To me it is not making sense on any level whatsoever it all a smokescreen to back the Brexiteers.
Exactly!


you have the outgoing US Pesident saying the UK will go to the back of the line in terms of a trade deal.....you have Trump saying they will go to the front of the line

Immediate impact probably zero as these trade deals take years to formulate

My guess is that it strengthens Teresa Mays hand in her Brexit negotiations......but until everything goes down, theres really no way of knowing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on January 19, 2017, 11:01:42 AM
From Toady's Times - seems accurate to me

Chris Johns: Theresa May continues to lie about Brexit

British leader's real priority is curbing immigration, whatever the economic cost

The best description of our new politics is that the truth is whatever leaders like Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin want it to be. Stuck in old fashioned mores and habits, mainstream journalists and analysts hesitate to accuse US presidents and UK prime ministers of lying.

But post-truthism demands a robust and clear response: when these people lie they need to be called out for what they are: liars

When Theresa May says that the Leave campaign was crystal clear about exiting the single market she is lying.

Boris Johnson, Nigel Farrage, Daniel Hannan and many other prominent Leavers can all be looked up on YouTube declaring their affection for the single market and assuring us that free trade with the EU, usually via a Norway/Swiss-style associate membership, would not be threatened by Brexit.

"Orwellian" is an overused term, but seems particularly apposite right now. May spent most of her time at the Home Office failing to curb immigration despite being single-mindedly devoted to that objective.

She can now resume the fight, but this time with more chance of success.

For her and the ideologues in the UK government this is the order of priorities: curb immigration and accept the economic costs but don't admit this – lie some more.

Claim that the economic costs associated with hard Brexit are the exact opposite of what we know them to be.

May tries to pin low growth, low wages and the crisis in NHS funding on immigration. Even Orwell couldn't have dreamt that one up.
The truth, as opposed to the lies, is that lower immigration will damage growth and yield lower taxes for the NHS and other welfare-spending programmes.

Remember the Nissan deal? In the immediate aftermath of the referendum the Japanese car-maker sought reassurances on British access to EU markets.

It received a letter of comfort from the government, the contents of which have not been revealed.

I'm willing to bet Nissan was lied to – unless it swallowed a promise that Britain would have unfettered free trade despite leaving the single market and probably the customs union.

Believing in six impossible things before breakfast is not a trait usually associated with successful multinationals. Nissan executives must be rereading that letter with astonishment and a lot of buyer's remorse.

The specific claim – lie – on the economic benefits of leaving the single market is that the benefits of newly-negotiated free-trade agreements with non-EU countries will outweigh the costs of loss of access to EU markets.

The respected National Institute of Economic and Social Research has said that this is nowhere near being close to the truth.

You cannot ignore geography and gravity: loss of free trade with Europe will have costs vastly in excess of the gains from trade with places further afield.

Specifically, UK trade could get a 2.2 per cent boost from non-EU free-trade arrangements but will suffer a 22 per cent hit from loss of single market access.

One of the big unanswered questions focuses the on the jobs that migrants do. They are many and varied, often highly skilled.
But there are plenty in the caring and hospitality sectors that are not typically skilled. And they are increasingly done by migrants.

Who in their wildest imagination imagines that British workers are suddenly going to do all those jobs once the immigrants stop coming?

It's already a country with full employment and, unlike the US, an all-time high employment ratio (the proportion of the population in jobs).

Without the migrants there are going to be a lot of old and sick people without proper care and tourists complaining about plummeting standards in hotels, pubs and restaurants.

Arguably – and ironically – Europe's single market can be said to be Margaret Thatcher's greatest achievement.

It was driven, behind the scenes, by Britain in an explicit response to UK corporate lobbying for greater access to Europe's markets.

More generally, it should never be forgotten that the UK joined the (then) common market in 1973 because it was correctly viewed as the only way to address Britain's ongoing economic decline. And it worked. And now they want to leave.
But this is not about economics. The roots of the Leave campaign can be found in Enoch Powell's speeches in the 1960s and 1970s.

He also claimed that Britain would be better looking out to a free-trading world rather than an inward-looking Europe. Of course, then as now, it was more about thinly-veiled racism than economics.

May's 12-point strategy will not survive its first contact with the enemy. The plan's lies, contradictions and inconsistencies will be obvious to the EU-27.

And they now know that they are the enemy: the threats from May and her chancellor to turn the UK into an offshore low-wage, deregulated tax haven have seen to that.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 19, 2017, 11:39:13 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 17, 2017, 09:28:53 PM
I know a lot more about the North than No wides/Foxcommander know about Ballaghaderreen anyway.
Someone has to tell ye how to work the  PR system.

What a completely stupid post, but hey it's you posting!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 19, 2017, 11:52:15 AM
QuoteSpecifically, UK trade could get a 2.2 per cent boost from non-EU free-trade arrangements but will suffer a 22 per cent hit from loss of single market access.

There you go, the numbers are the same, only the position of the decimal point is different.

You do have to wonder what the letter to Nissan said, I see that Toyota are now making noises also.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 20, 2017, 08:02:39 AM
I don't understand why the City would accept a hard Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on January 20, 2017, 09:37:03 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 20, 2017, 08:02:39 AM
I don't understand why the City would accept a hard Brexit

Simple answer is they aren't, they are leaving in their thousands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on January 20, 2017, 12:10:07 PM
If you are interested in a fairly realistic scenario read the transcript of Soros' interview at Davos yesterday.
Short phone cutnpaste below:


Former travel salesman Mr Soros also told business leaders and journalists in Davos that he expected financial markets to "not do very well" because of the uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration.

Moving on to the UK's attempts to leave the European Union, he raised the prospect of the country re-joining the union within just three days of leaving it.




"In my opinion it is unlikely that Prime Minister May is actually going to remain in power. Already she has a very divided cabinet, a very small majority in Parliament. And I think she will not last," said Mr Soros, who was nicknamed The Man Who Broke the Bank of England because of his $10bn (£8.1bn) short sale of sterling in 1992.

"At the moment the people in the UK are in denial.

"The current economic situation is not as bad as was predicted and they live in hope. But as the currency depreciates, and inflation will be the driving force, this will lead to declining living standards.


"This is going to take some time, but when it does happen they'll realise that they are earning less than before because wages won't rise as fast as the cost of living.

"The divorce is going to take a very long time. It's much harder to divorce than to get married, so I think the desire for rapprochement will develop, and in theory or maybe even in practice you could have a situation in 2019 or 2020 when Britain will leave the EU, because it does have to take place, but they could leave on a Friday but join over the weekend and have the new arrangement in place on Monday morning."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Owenmoresider on January 20, 2017, 12:28:27 PM
Soros is a rather odious creature.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 20, 2017, 02:00:21 PM
Quote from: Owenmoresider on January 20, 2017, 12:28:27 PM
Soros is a rather odious creature.
]

No more so than Trump/May/Johnson I would say!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 22, 2017, 01:12:34 PM
Seafoid will agree with this
http://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/the_problem_with_the_english_england_doesn_t_want_to_be_just_another_member_of_a_team_1_4851882

Adams seems to have dug in re Brexit. Not before time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 22, 2017, 01:28:45 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 22, 2017, 01:12:34 PM
Seafoid will agree with this
http://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/the_problem_with_the_english_england_doesn_t_want_to_be_just_another_member_of_a_team_1_4851882

Adams seems to have dug in re Brexit. Not before time.
I think that is on the ball. The core problem is the UK economy and the income distribution which has pauperised those living in the areas that voted for Brexit. The media will blame Europe but the reality is that the UK economy is banjaxed whatever happens

This from FT comments from 2014 :

"Wages for the vast majority of the population have fallen dramatically in the last 5 years, compounding a decline that started under Margaret Thatcher. This wage decline has occured at precisely the same time as incomes for the very wealthy have rocketed. The lie churned out by the very wealthy is that wealth trickles down into the real economy. It never has - it has trickled into the banking system and into normal peoples pockets in the form of cheap debt.The *real* problem is that a few wealthy people who are very adept at avoiding tax can never ever make up for 10s of millions of people earning decent wages and spending that on goods and services

it's because you are asking them to solve an equation which is unsolvable, no matter if you are Einstein. Start point of massive national debt + further spending demands of the electorate + globalisation taking "Joe Public" jobs away from UK + decline in UK of heavy industry + ageing population (pensions/NHS impact & demand) + five year election cycle does not = solvable solution for government finances. 

dant
@notasocialist Actually the source of this whole mess goes much deeper than party politics.  Deregulation of the financial sector (started by Thatcher in the late 1980s) has allowed the majority of our economy to become dependent on commercial bank credit.  This deliberate debt bubble creation has left us with an utter inability to pay down our debts en-mass.  As soon as any meaningful attempt is made, the economy contracts due to a shrinking of the money supply.
This debt based economic policy has continued through successive Labour, Tory and coalition governments.  Now the mathematical limits of ever-increasing debt have been reached, but none of the major parties have anything approaching an effective remedy for our economic ills.

RiskAdjustedReturn Unfortunately, all that new "money" has compound interest payable on it and in 2008 we saw what happens when debt levels overwhelm the system.  Post the 2008 Minsky Moment, all we have tried to do is restart the commercial bank money printing... but unfortunately people are tapped out.  QE eased credit supply restrictions, slashing rates made bigger mortgages more attractive, "help to buy" tried to bring more suckers into the ponzi scheme but unfortunately we can't get away from the economic reality of the fact that the system can't support higher overall debt.  Witness Osbourne's desperate attempt to fuel further mortgage lending by slashing stamp duty - that is really going to help with the tax receipts shortfall!
We are trapped between a rock and a hard place.  The only way we can have continued growth is through further credit expansion... but this will necessitate a return to sub-prime lending and we all know where that takes us.

lordmair The voters demand no cuts to pensions or the NHS (older people, who get sick more, are much more likely to vote), welfare cuts are tough to achieve in any material context, and tax rises are unpopular (other than as they pertain to eg "Russian Oligarchs" or the "super rich", and good luck taxing either of them - 1. there simply aren't enough of them;  2.  they will just go away; and/or  3. you kill the goose that is laying the eggs).
And at the same time the populous buys its manufactured products from overseas, wants to close down the evil financial services sector and wants standards of working conditions way above those in eg Asia.  The public sector is a huge employer and the private sector can't generate high value jobs b/c of all the above. 


From the position the UK starts in, with £1.5trn national debt, it just isn't possible to make the sums add up.  But that can't be told to the voters - there has to be a "long term economic plan" (even if it is mumbo jumbo), or say "next to nothing" and focus on sth more politically vote generative.

Is it that easy?
It is the case that this government is hell bent on ramping private debt again to boost GDP, as opposed to public debt (though I think it will continue to be both as there are no restraints).
However, it has been proven that there are no distinctions between private and public debt in  our monetary system - if private is extreme, it becomes public.Either way, the UK is stuffed, its just pretending and shuffling and redistributing."

And here is a more recent one

"The main problem of brexit is that it will fire the last remaining bullet, before the anger of the working class starts to turn inwards. Whatever happens after brexit, it will not solve most of the problems that convinced the white labour voters to support brexit (let's be honest - UKIP and Conservatives could not do it alone - it was the ex-labur working class voter class who pushed the brexit vote over the 50% margin).-The NHS will still be f'd up (and forget about those 350m GBP a week)-The EU rules will still apply for goods exported to EU, single market or not. So Brussels' bureaucracy will still determine the curvature of cucumbers that UK will try to export into EU.-Brexit will have NO effect whatsoever on Muslim immigration (whadya think, pakistan is the part of EU??!?)-Zero-hour contracts are here to stay (they are exclusively UK's invention, nothing to do with EU) etc.However, the EU boogeyman will be gone. And all political excuses with it. So the next time the angry voters determine that they want changes, all their anger will be projected inwards. And God help UK politicians then."

Hugely challenging for unionists BTW

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfpRm-p7qlY
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 22, 2017, 08:10:29 PM
I didn't realise that it was only north down and Antrim that voted Leave. Unionism is trína chéile.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 22, 2017, 08:48:28 PM
As a student, David Cameron is rumoured to have put his penis into a dead pig. To outdo him as an adult, in an act even more bizarre and obscene, Michael Gove put his penis into a Daily Mail journalist.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jan/22/beyond-good-and-evil-with-gove-and-trump-interview-stewart-lee
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 22, 2017, 08:51:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2017, 08:10:29 PM
I didn't realise that it was only north down and Antrim that voted Leave. Unionism is trína chéile.

More  like mid Down, as North Down voted remain, as Brexit was threat to the wallet.

I think they should put their checkpoints on the River Bann.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 24, 2017, 09:59:51 AM
Both outcomes were always going to happen - surprised it was 8 to 3 - expected it to be 11 - 0.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 24, 2017, 10:33:25 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.

A logical individual would think that but given the mass numpties who keep Corby in, I think he''ll be there until he wants to quit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 10:44:23 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.
If he doesn't oppose it he'll still be in trouble
The country is split down the middle
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 24, 2017, 10:48:34 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.

I don't think Corbyn wields a big enough stick to make that sort of statement.  I can see Labour MP's going on a solo run with this one and it being the final straw for Corbyn's leadership.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on January 24, 2017, 10:53:03 AM
Quote from: Franko on January 24, 2017, 10:48:34 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.

I don't think Corbyn wields a big enough stick to make that sort of statement.  I can see Labour MP's going on a solo run with this one and it being the final straw for Corbyn's leadership.

Corbyn and Labour are fucked either way on this as it look a lot of labour voters to get brexit passed in their heartlands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 24, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
The only opposition to the Bill in Westminster will be SNP, Lib Dems and SDLP - 70?.
Rest will vote for it or abstain.
Hopefully enough of the 62% of Scots will now vote for Independence seeing as their Parliament will have no say.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 24, 2017, 10:57:20 AM
UK won't give Scotland another vote for independence, they had one and bottled it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 24, 2017, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.

He can't oppose a referendum result ffs - regardless of their own views nor can most MPs.

The DUP are the only ones who can get away with going against the will of the place they're supposed to represent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 10:59:26 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on January 24, 2017, 10:53:03 AM
Quote from: Franko on January 24, 2017, 10:48:34 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.

I don't think Corbyn wields a big enough stick to make that sort of statement.  I can see Labour MP's going on a solo run with this one and it being the final straw for Corbyn's leadership.

Corbyn and Labour are fucked either way on this as it look a lot of labour voters to get brexit passed in their heartlands.
I don't think Brexit is going to work. Labour need to take a longer view.
It might kill the Tories

"Liam Fox has called the laws that protect rights at work "intellectually unsustainable", and Priti Patel said employment regulations should be halved.

After May's speech last week , Carlos Ghosn said Nissan would have to review the competitiveness of its site after a Brexit deal had been implemented.
Its future had appeared assured after the firm committed to begin production of more than 600,000 cars a year after receiving a "letter of comfort" from business secretary Greg Clark in October.

The MPs tell May that resorting to WTO tariffs would be devastating. "These would include 10% on cars, 12% on many items of clothing, and 40% on lamb. British manufacturers and farmers would face being priced out of their most important market, which buys 44% of all our exports. Businesses large and small in our constituencies would suffer, jobs would be lost and prices in the shops would rise." They add: "Working people, including millions who voted to Leave the EU, would pay the price. Your government has a mandate to take us out of the EU but you have no mandate to do this.""

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jan/23/leave-vote-labour-brexit-referendum-result
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 24, 2017, 11:35:59 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 24, 2017, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.

He can't oppose a referendum result ffs - regardless of their own views nor can most MPs.

The DUP are the only ones who can get away with going against the will of the place they're supposed to represent.

And the SNP what will they do ? I think they are entitled to oppose it as the goal posts have since shifted. The referendum was about leaving the EU and the tories/out campaigners mantained that they could do this while remaining in the single market. Now its out lock stock and barrel. Different ball game in my view.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 24, 2017, 12:14:35 PM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 11:35:59 AM
And the SNP what will they do ? I think they are entitled to oppose it as the goal posts have since shifted. The referendum was about leaving the EU and the tories/out campaigners mantained that they could do this while remaining in the single market. Now its out lock stock and barrel. Different ball game in my view.

Unfortunately, I think the SNP are banjaxed, being between the devil (to their south) and the deep blue sea.  In the previous referendum they could have joined at least the EEA and had little disruption to trade with England. Now leaving with a view to remaining in the EU might well lead to customs issues with England, with makes up a large part of their trade, and while NI might manage some special status they will be plugged into England directly. The only thing that would help would be a clarity that NI didn't need a special status in that cross border trade would not be affected anyway, but previous statements to this effect have been lies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 12:21:51 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 24, 2017, 12:14:35 PM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 11:35:59 AM
And the SNP what will they do ? I think they are entitled to oppose it as the goal posts have since shifted. The referendum was about leaving the EU and the tories/out campaigners mantained that they could do this while remaining in the single market. Now its out lock stock and barrel. Different ball game in my view.

Unfortunately, I think the SNP are banjaxed, being between the devil (to their south) and the deep blue sea.  In the previous referendum they could have joined at least the EEA and had little disruption to trade with England. Now leaving with a view to remaining in the EU might well lead to customs issues with England, with makes up a large part of their trade, and while NI might manage some special status they will be plugged into England directly. The only thing that would help would be a clarity that NI didn't need a special status in that cross border trade would not be affected anyway, but previous statements to this effect have been lies.
They have other problems like the oil price and RBS as well
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 24, 2017, 12:30:20 PM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 11:35:59 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 24, 2017, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.

He can't oppose a referendum result ffs - regardless of their own views nor can most MPs.

The DUP are the only ones who can get away with going against the will of the place they're supposed to represent.

And the SNP what will they do ? I think they are entitled to oppose it as the goal posts have since shifted. The referendum was about leaving the EU and the tories/out campaigners mantained that they could do this while remaining in the single market. Now its out lock stock and barrel. Different ball game in my view.

I think your first sentence is separate to the rest? The SNP will oppose it certainly, and they have that mandate.

Many of the labour individual MP's dont, and as an english representative party they can't be seen to go against the result of a referendum. If they were able to get an angle somehow, then perhaps they could call for another referendum or something, but I don't think any angle has appeared thusfar that would allow them to do that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 24, 2017, 12:32:54 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 24, 2017, 12:30:20 PM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 11:35:59 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 24, 2017, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 24, 2017, 10:08:37 AM
Corby already says Labour won't frustrate the triggering of article 50. He could be in difficulty with many of his own party there.

He can't oppose a referendum result ffs - regardless of their own views nor can most MPs.

The DUP are the only ones who can get away with going against the will of the place they're supposed to represent.

And the SNP what will they do ? I think they are entitled to oppose it as the goal posts have since shifted. The referendum was about leaving the EU and the tories/out campaigners mantained that they could do this while remaining in the single market. Now its out lock stock and barrel. Different ball game in my view.

I think your first sentence is separate to the rest? The SNP will oppose it certainly, and they have that mandate.

Many of the labour individual MP's dont, and as an english representative party they can't be seen to go against the result of a referendum. If they were able to get an angle somehow, then perhaps they could call for another referendum or something, but I don't think any angle has appeared thusfar that would allow them to do that.

Thats what i was getting at with the single market issue, maybe its not enough.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 24, 2017, 02:01:39 PM
Lords is the only hope!

Be some sign off for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 24, 2017, 02:33:40 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 24, 2017, 02:01:39 PM
Lords is the only hope!

Be some sign off for them.

Tell them they are gonna have to pay for their brandy and its going up in price.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 03:44:12 PM
The Tories only have a majority of 16
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on January 24, 2017, 05:35:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 03:44:12 PM
The Tories only have a majority of 16

Plus DUP and TUV (?)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on January 24, 2017, 05:48:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 03:44:12 PM
The Tories only have a majority of 16

And that's more than enough plus the numerous Labour MPs that will vote it through
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 06:32:56 PM
Quote from: Minder on January 24, 2017, 05:48:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 03:44:12 PM
The Tories only have a majority of 16

And that's more than enough plus the numerous Labour MPs that will vote it through
It is going to be a long and messy as well as economically damaging process. 16 is not enough .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on January 24, 2017, 06:41:34 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 06:32:56 PM
Quote from: Minder on January 24, 2017, 05:48:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 03:44:12 PM
The Tories only have a majority of 16

And that's more than enough plus the numerous Labour MPs that will vote it through
It is going to be a long and messy as well as economically damaging process. 16 is not enough .

What Tories are going to vote against it ? Ken Clarke, maybe. You seem to be ignoring that scores of Labour MPs are going to vote in favour of invoking Article 50
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 24, 2017, 06:46:25 PM
Quote from: Minder on January 24, 2017, 06:41:34 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 06:32:56 PM
Quote from: Minder on January 24, 2017, 05:48:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 03:44:12 PM
The Tories only have a majority of 16

And that's more than enough plus the numerous Labour MPs that will vote it through
It is going to be a long and messy as well as economically damaging process. 16 is not enough .

What Tories are going to vote against it ? Ken Clarke, maybe. You seem to be ignoring that scores of Labour MPs are going to vote in favour of invoking Article 50

Yeah in fairness, even if all the Labour MP's representing remain constituencies go on a solo run and ignore Corbyn, there will still be nowhere near a majority.  I do get a massive sense of buyers remorse from all but the most hard line Tories though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2017, 07:06:49 PM
I think.over time a majority will see how dangerous Brexit is
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: doodaa on January 26, 2017, 10:51:19 AM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-38756747

I wonder will the Craigavon facility lose 100 jobs in a couple of years time when Brexit actually happens?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 26, 2017, 11:28:30 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/bbd596d8-e14e-11e6-8405-9e5580d6e5fb

"The British may be too desperate to do a trade deal with the US to take any chances with its relationship with Mr Trump. Indeed, there is a real risk that Theresa May, the UK prime minister, will abase herself and her country by embracing Mr Trump too tightly when she visits Washington later this week."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 27, 2017, 10:32:18 AM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38768383

Knew this would happen.  Still won't be enough though.  Can't see much more of a future for Corbyn.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 27, 2017, 02:17:08 PM
He will be Labour's leader at the next election, he is going nowhere and fast!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on January 27, 2017, 02:19:49 PM
Quote from: No wides on January 27, 2017, 02:17:08 PM
He will be Labour's leader at the next election, he is going nowhere and fast!

Corbyn comes across as a likeable fella, but he's not leadership material and has been found out.

It's not for you Jeremy, call a halt to the madness and step down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 27, 2017, 02:22:18 PM
That's just it, he will only be gone if he steps down, other than that he is there for the duration.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 27, 2017, 02:40:29 PM
Last few times I've watched him on TV thought it was noticeable he's had a bit of a makeover, no more substitute geography teacher vibe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 27, 2017, 03:19:02 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 27, 2017, 02:40:29 PM
Last few times I've watched him on TV thought it was noticeable he's had a bit of a makeover, no more substitute geography teacher vibe.

He's a thoroughly uninspiring leader in my opinion. As much as I would like Labour to do well they need an imposing and charismatic figure to lead them into the next Election.

If they could get the right person at the helm and take the thing by the scruff of the neck they could wipe the floor with the Tories who are sitting ducks at present. The country wants change as could be seen in Brexit and I don't think Teresa May is what they were hoping for!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on January 27, 2017, 03:40:40 PM
Quote from: AQMP on January 27, 2017, 03:22:38 PM
There's something in me has a lot of time for Corbyn but he's made a complete mess of Brexit from start to finish.  Obviously he was a Leave voter, but his lukewarm "support" for Remain was a contributory factor in Labour's lack of a clear message on where they stood.  Now the arch rebel imposes a three line whip on Article 50.  If he was still a back bencher he'd be busting a gut to rebel!

Corbyn as a back bencher is supposed to have voted against the party whip 400 odd times, so he can hardly complain when others follow his lead in that regard.

Did he knock off Diane Abbott as she still defends him to the hilt?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 27, 2017, 03:41:25 PM
Quote from: AQMP on January 27, 2017, 03:22:38 PM
There's something in me has a lot of time for Corbyn but he's made a complete mess of Brexit from start to finish.  Obviously he was a Leave voter, but his lukewarm "support" for Remain was a contributory factor in Labour's lack of a clear message on where they stood. Now the arch rebel imposes a three line whip on Article 50.  If he was still a back bencher he'd be busting a gut to rebel!

Nail on head - "Power tends to corrupt and absolute power corrupts absolutely"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on January 27, 2017, 03:56:36 PM
(https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/02b744e61d7880c4471ad106adbb161e60d4bb7f/0_0_650_443/master/650.jpg?w=940&q=20&auto=format&usm=12&fit=max&dpr=2&s=cbd00efc26ab84cc270d9e6ea36e854f)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 08:01:17 AM
Brexit is a joke

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jan/27/never-mind-the-optics-theresa-mays-us-dash-was-mortifying
"He will have seen May as that most desperate of creatures: the housebuyer who rashly sold her old house before she had found a new one. Having tossed away Britain's keys to the European single market, she will soon be homeless – and Trump knows it. For all the niceties – May's shrewd deployment of a royal invitation for a state visit and her compliment to the president on his "stunning election victory", flattery which saw Trump glow a brighter shade of orange – he will have seen May as a sucker who needs to make a deal. And he will look forward to naming his price.

What would such a deal look like? Tariffs between the US and the UK are already low, so it is the dropping of a different kind of barrier that Trump would be after. That could be a softening of the food standards that have kept out hormone-injected US beef. Or granting access to the NHS to overcharging US drug companies. Or a relaxation in environmental or labour rules that, set with our onetime EU partners, proved too onerous for US firms until now.

When Trump demands all that, May – needing a deal, any deal, to prove that Brexit is not a disaster – will struggle to say no. And what would be gained? One study, released on Friday, estimated that leaving the single market would bring a loss in UK trade of up to 30% – while a new deal with the US might boost it by a meagre 2%"


https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jan/27/theresa-may-new-friends-strongmen-erdogan-trump-brexit
Theresa May will discuss trade, defence and security with Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Turkey's president, when she visits Ankara on Saturday, according to Downing Street.
"But the meeting, immediately following May's summit with Donald Trump, conceals a more ambitious, perhaps even desperate British agenda: May's bid to enhance Britain's ties with a club of strongman leaders in the US, Israel, Turkey and Poland as relations fray with key EU players, notably France and Germany"

https://www.ft.com/content/feb883bd-577f-31c6-b977-1c8082eccbad
Fitch has become the latest agency to cut Turkey's sovereign borrower rating, stripping the country of its last remaining investment grade status with a major credit institution.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 28, 2017, 09:34:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 08:01:17 AM
Brexit is a joke


You keep coming out with shite and other soundbites, it's happening, get over it, most of the shite you post is pure fiction.  The economy is still growing, EU won't f**k UK over as they need their nuclear capability to halt Russian aggression, it may be a joke to you but it is a reality for the rest of the population, hopefully article 50 is triggered soon and the process begins.  The 5p meanies crisps I think are up to 6p - we are all doomed!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 11:23:54 AM
Quote from: No wides on January 28, 2017, 09:34:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 08:01:17 AM
Brexit is a joke


You keep coming out with shite and other soundbites, it's happening, get over it, most of the shite you post is pure fiction.  The economy is still growing, EU won't f**k UK over as they need their nuclear capability to halt Russian aggression, it may be a joke to you but it is a reality for the rest of the population, hopefully article 50 is triggered soon and the process begins.  The 5p meanies crisps I think are up to 6p - we are all doomed!
So a 30% drop in trade is feasible, is it ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 28, 2017, 01:12:23 PM
Quote from: No wides on January 28, 2017, 09:34:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 08:01:17 AM
Brexit is a joke


You keep coming out with shite and other soundbites, it's happening, get over it, most of the shite you post is pure fiction.  The economy is still growing, EU won't f**k UK over as they need their nuclear capability to halt Russian aggression, it may be a joke to you but it is a reality for the rest of the population, hopefully article 50 is triggered soon and the process begins.  The 5p meanies crisps I think are up to 6p - we are all doomed!

The economy is still growing as people are spending. Spending make sense as prices are going up, but they are buying on tick, household debt has soared by two-fifths in just six months. Aviva's Family Finances report found that average debt now stands at £13,520 – a climb of £4,000 from £9,520 last summer. That added to a government with now one of highest deficits in Europe, other places reduced their deficit when things improved, the UK is borrowing the growth.  But most of all Brexit hasn't happened yet and most of the banks moving etc haven't moved.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 28, 2017, 02:09:19 PM
May - Trump -Erdogan. Some axis of evil
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 28, 2017, 05:34:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 11:23:54 AM
Quote from: No wides on January 28, 2017, 09:34:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 08:01:17 AM
Brexit is a joke


You keep coming out with shite and other soundbites, it's happening, get over it, most of the shite you post is pure fiction.  The economy is still growing, EU won't f**k UK over as they need their nuclear capability to halt Russian aggression, it may be a joke to you but it is a reality for the rest of the population, hopefully article 50 is triggered soon and the process begins.  The 5p meanies crisps I think are up to 6p - we are all doomed!
So a 30% drop in trade is feasible, is it ?

All scaremongering - have to say you love the scaremongering, I hear since my last post 2p has went on a creme egg - we are all fucked!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 06:30:50 PM
Quote from: No wides on January 28, 2017, 05:34:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 11:23:54 AM
Quote from: No wides on January 28, 2017, 09:34:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 28, 2017, 08:01:17 AM
Brexit is a joke


You keep coming out with shite and other soundbites, it's happening, get over it, most of the shite you post is pure fiction.  The economy is still growing, EU won't f**k UK over as they need their nuclear capability to halt Russian aggression, it may be a joke to you but it is a reality for the rest of the population, hopefully article 50 is triggered soon and the process begins.  The 5p meanies crisps I think are up to 6p - we are all doomed!
So a 30% drop in trade is feasible, is it ?

All scaremongering - have to say you love the scaremongering, I hear since my last post 2p has went on a creme egg - we are all fucked!
It''s systematic
If Brexit is rational why has sterling tanked? Why didn't sterling strengthen?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 29, 2017, 08:48:35 AM
All currencies fluctuate. If brexit didnt happen what would post here. Most of your articles are pure fiction.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 29, 2017, 08:54:10 AM
Quote from: No wides on January 29, 2017, 08:48:35 AM
All currencies fluctuate. If brexit didnt happen what would post here. Most of your articles are pure fiction.
Sterling has fallen by 50% against the CHF since 2007 , snowflake. That is not "fluctuation"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on January 29, 2017, 01:58:05 PM
I thought the eu referendum vote was June last year.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 31, 2017, 10:33:06 PM
Good to the see the DUP worried about NI farmers, given that they advocated leaving the EU in the first place!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZCM2bTfE-8w
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2017, 03:41:11 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/feb/01/article-50-debate-vote-bill-pmqs-theresa-may-jeremy-corbyn-ivan-rogers-to-give-evidence-to-mps-about-why-he-quit-as-uks-ambassador-to-eu-politics-live

May's plan for 'frictionless' border with Ireland after Brexit cannot be achieved, MPs told
Lisa O'Carroll


Theresa May's declaration that she wants a "seamless, frictionless border" post Brexit in Ireland amounted to meaningless "nice words", the government has been told.
The Northern Ireland affairs select committee has been told by two customs lawyers with decades of experience of border controls that the continuing free movement of goods is legally impossible if the UK quits the Customs Union in a hard Brexit.
Retired customs trade lawyer Michael Lux, who worked for the German ministry of finance, has said Theresa May can do what she likes once the UK leaves the European Union but that Ireland Taoiseach Enda Kenny will have to apply EU law with no choice but to have customs checks on the border. He said:

If Northern Ireland is no longer part of the customs union, Ireland is obliged to apply all these rules, what is done on the UK side if it's outside the EU they can do what they want.
His two hours of evidence drew audible gasps from MPs as he told how every vehicle carrying goods worth more than €300 crossing from Ireland into Northern Ireland would have to be stopped, even if only "for a few minutes" and checked.
Every driver would have to have an "export declaration" document before travel which would have to be cross-checked by a human being at a border check.
"It is important to understand, it isn't just about customs, it is also about VAT and excise on alcohol and cigarettes," he said.
Dux, who has 40 years experience in customs trade law, told how dogs taken for a walk from south of the border would need documentation as would horses being ridden for pleasure on the border region. This is currently the case on the German/Swiss border, he said.
His comments do not bode well for May and Kenny who have warned that a return to the checkpoints of the past could imperil the fragile peace in the region.
Asked by Lady Hermon what he thought of Theresa May's comments this week in Dublin when she said she wanted a "seamless, frictionless border", Dux replied: "Well these are nice words but what does that mean?"
Even if the export declaration paperwork was electronic, a customs official would still be required to check the reference number for the freight and declare the "export movement closed" he said.
Lux told how cross-border customs charges and possible tariffs could be the death-knell for cross-border dairy production.
Medium-sized businesses might need two people to do the administration, or they could use an agent which would charge typically between €50 and €80 per consignment for an export declaration number, explained Lux.
Even if shrewd businesses got the cost of the export declaration document down to €20, the cost of continually moving milk and milk products back and forth would be prohibitive, Lux said.
Asked if Northern Ireland could get a "waiver" from the EU because of the special conditions pertaining to the island, lawyer Eric Pickett, an expert in World Trade Organisation rules and international trade law, said this was legally impossible.
"It would be a strict violation of WTO law," he said.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 01, 2017, 03:58:00 PM
Toffee crisp up 2p!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 04:36:15 PM
Quotetold how dogs taken for a walk from south of the border would need documentation as would horses being ridden for pleasure on the border region.

What if the dog heads off by himself for a dander? I suppose that doesn't happen in Switzerland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on February 01, 2017, 04:37:18 PM
In Switzerland, they'd sell him back to the German.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2017, 04:45:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 04:36:15 PM
Quotetold how dogs taken for a walk from south of the border would need documentation as would horses being ridden for pleasure on the border region.

What if the dog heads off by himself for a dander? I suppose that doesn't happen in Switzerland.
If the dog craps in Switzerland the owner is responsible for cleaning up so the Swiss would find and eliminate the owner
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 06:04:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 01, 2017, 04:45:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 04:36:15 PM
Quotetold how dogs taken for a walk from south of the border would need documentation as would horses being ridden for pleasure on the border region.

What if the dog heads off by himself for a dander? I suppose that doesn't happen in Switzerland.
If the dog craps in Switzerland the owner is responsible for cleaning up so the Swiss would find and eliminate the owner

A form of canine elimination. You could give the neighbour's dog a laxative and let him loose.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 07:31:36 PM
Brokenshire in full liar mode
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/special-status-for-postbrexit-northern-ireland-wrong-approach-says-brokenshire-35415301.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2017, 07:41:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 07:31:36 PM
Brokenshire in full liar mode
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/special-status-for-postbrexit-northern-ireland-wrong-approach-says-brokenshire-35415301.html
Sammy says there should be no situation to weaken NI''s position in the UK. So let it deflate along with the mainland then. How does a 15% drop in economic activity sound in Newtownards?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2017, 08:01:40 PM
The Tories are acting in a real life version of "the emperor's new clothes"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2017, 08:42:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 01, 2017, 07:41:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 07:31:36 PM
Brokenshire in full liar mode
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/special-status-for-postbrexit-northern-ireland-wrong-approach-says-brokenshire-35415301.html
Sammy says there should be no situation to weaken NI''s position in the UK. So let it deflate along with the mainland then. How does a 15% drop in economic activity sound in Newtownards?

They have plenty money in north Down, Newtownards not so much (you'd know that anyways, with your knowledge of NI) South Belfast even more money... besides it's not the people with money who'll lose out surely?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on February 02, 2017, 02:48:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 01, 2017, 07:41:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 07:31:36 PM
Brokenshire in full liar mode
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/special-status-for-postbrexit-northern-ireland-wrong-approach-says-brokenshire-35415301.html
Sammy says there should be no situation to weaken NI''s position in the UK. So let it deflate along with the mainland then. How does a 15% drop in economic activity sound in Newtownards?

15% of fúck all is still fúck all....

You've never been to Newtownards evidently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 02, 2017, 04:34:17 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on February 02, 2017, 02:48:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 01, 2017, 07:41:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 01, 2017, 07:31:36 PM
Brokenshire in full liar mode
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/special-status-for-postbrexit-northern-ireland-wrong-approach-says-brokenshire-35415301.html
Sammy says there should be no situation to weaken NI''s position in the UK. So let it deflate along with the mainland then. How does a 15% drop in economic activity sound in Newtownards?

15% of fúck all is still fúck all....

You've never been to Newtownards evidently.

No JC!!!!!!!!! This man has been to the moon and Mars, he knows their difficulties and how they should be fixed!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on February 02, 2017, 08:23:43 PM
"DUP has done the most for a united Ireland ...

The English nationalists who drove Brexit don't really care about the union – under the rhetorical covers, they will ditch Northern Ireland and Scotland if need be.

They were playing with loose change. The DUP was playing with the deeds to its house.

It has thus done more to advance a united Ireland than the Provisional IRA managed in 30 years of mayhem.

In the short term, there is likely to be a border for the movement of people that separates the island of Ireland as a whole from the island of Britain as a whole.

However loyally British you may be, you will have to show her majesty's passport when you land in Stranraer from Larne or in London from Belfast – but not when you drive from Newry to Dundalk."

http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-dup-has-done-the-most-for-a-united-ireland-1.2956656 (http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-dup-has-done-the-most-for-a-united-ireland-1.2956656)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 03, 2017, 04:44:02 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/feb/02/corporate-dark-money-power-atlantic-lobbyists-brexit

By tying our fortunes to those of the United States, the UK government binds us into this system. This is part of what Brexit was about: European laws protecting the public interest were portrayed by Conservative Eurosceptics as intolerable intrusions on corporate freedom. Taking back control from Europe means closer integration with the US. The transatlantic special relationship is a special relationship between political and corporate power. That power is cemented by the networks Liam Fox helped to develop
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 03, 2017, 06:23:36 AM
https://youtu.be/Pm8JzSVaB1c (https://youtu.be/Pm8JzSVaB1c)

I thought this was a joke until Mike showed up in 1987's suit...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 03, 2017, 06:59:08 AM
Quote from: heganboy on February 03, 2017, 06:23:36 AM
https://youtu.be/Pm8JzSVaB1c (https://youtu.be/Pm8JzSVaB1c)

I thought this was a joke until Mike showed up in 1987's suit...
Is it in Ulster Scots?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on February 03, 2017, 11:24:21 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 03, 2017, 06:59:08 AM
Quote from: heganboy on February 03, 2017, 06:23:36 AM
https://youtu.be/Pm8JzSVaB1c (https://youtu.be/Pm8JzSVaB1c)

I thought this was a joke until Mike showed up in 1987's suit...
Is it in Ulster Scots?

Can you imagine the meeting which they actually watched this finished project and thought to themselves, 'this is actually really good, we will go with this'?

One of the most cringe-worthy things I have seen in a long time and probably re-emphasises how out of touch politicians are in general.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 06, 2017, 12:48:13 PM
Some data from the BBC http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-38762034

Definite trend in the education levels.
(http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/473F/production/_93993281__eu_ref_educated_population.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
According to Private Eye DEXI ,which is the department for exit from the EU , cannot get civil servants cos anyone with a brain voted Remain. Brexit is the sort of madness that could detach NI from the teat of England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 09:09:28 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
According to Private Eye DEXI ,which is the department for exit from the EU , cannot get civil servants cos anyone with a brain voted Remain. Brexit is the sort of madness that could detach NI from the teat of England.

Yeah because no one qualified enough wouldn't take the huge fees to negotiate the exit based on principal - f**k you post some shite, in other news I believe according to a source on the internet as soon as article 50 is triggered, all men above 40 will stop having erections!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 08, 2017, 09:47:38 AM
By Jases you'd give Seafín a good run for his money in the shite posting stakes :D ;D.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 09:49:14 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 08, 2017, 09:47:38 AM
By Jases you'd give Seafín a good run for his money in the shite posting stakes :D ;D.

How did you get on with your PR lecture in Omagh, are we on for a united Ireland this year?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 09:58:31 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 09:09:28 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
According to Private Eye DEXI ,which is the department for exit from the EU , cannot get civil servants cos anyone with a brain voted Remain. Brexit is the sort of madness that could detach NI from the teat of England.

Yeah because no one qualified enough wouldn't take the huge fees to negotiate the exit based on principal - f**k you post some shite, in other news I believe according to a source on the internet as soon as article 50 is triggered, all men above 40 will stop having erections!
Having an erection has no effect on GDP.
The Torygraph reports that tax as a % of UK gdp is back to 1986 levels. Liverpool were winning stuff back then so it is quite a while ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 10:04:38 AM
I look forward to the day when someone comes along who is able to analyse Brexit with complete objectivity.

As a subject it seems to attract people who wilfully hunt down and then promote only those pockets of information (whether based on fact or not, as long as someone has said it somewhere) that back up their original stance.

It has actually developed religious undertones.

Which can't end well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 10:26:55 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 10:04:38 AM
I look forward to the day when someone comes along who is able to analyse Brexit with complete objectivity.

As a subject it seems to attract people who wilfully hunt down and then promote only those pockets of information (whether based on fact or not, as long as someone has said it somewhere) that back up their original stance.

It actually become sort of religious.

Which can't end well.

Best post ever on the subject, this bold bit is seafoid in a nutshell.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 10:59:02 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 10:26:55 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 10:04:38 AM
I look forward to the day when someone comes along who is able to analyse Brexit with complete objectivity.

As a subject it seems to attract people who wilfully hunt down and then promote only those pockets of information (whether based on fact or not, as long as someone has said it somewhere) that back up their original stance.

It actually become sort of religious.

Which can't end well.

Best post ever on the subject, this bold bit is seafoid in a nutshell.
Show me an economic case for Brexit a mhaicín
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 11:36:33 AM
Brexit hasn't happened kid, all your posts are pure scaremongering facilitated by your own deluded sense of expertise on a process which hasn't happened before.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 08, 2017, 01:57:42 PM
An interesting opinion piece in the examiner
http://www.irishexaminer.com/viewpoints/analysis/the-irish-border-after-brexit-will-be-real-but-can-be-simplified-442136.html
This is by Michael Lux and Eric Pickett 2 tax and customs lawyers who also gave evidence at the northern Ireland committee in Westminster last week.
Lux is a German and former head of the EU's custom process.
QuoteBRITISH prime minister Theresa May declared in her white paper on the United Kingdom's exit from and new partnership with the European Union the following: "When the UK leaves the EU we aim to have as seamless and frictionless a border as possible between Northern Ireland and Ireland, so that we can continue to see the trade and everyday movements we have seen up to now."

So what will that mean in practice?

When the UK exits the customs union of the EU, the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland will become an external customs border. Private persons carrying goods bought on the other side of the border and commercial traffic which had passed the border freely under the rules of the single market will then have to comply with the customs procedures applicable in Ireland or the UK.


In Ireland, the customs legislation of the EU will apply to movements of goods between Northern Ireland and Ireland. The EU rules on VAT and excise duties (eg, on alcohol and tobacco) on importation will also apply when goods are brought from Northern Ireland to Ireland.

This means that it will not be possible "to see the trade and everyday movements we have seen up to now". Travellers can import goods from Northern Ireland duty and tax free only up to a certain amount (€300, with limitations for alcohol and tobacco) and will have to declare goods with a value above the threshold when entering Ireland.

Irish traders will have to declare to customs goods to be exported to, or to be imported from, Northern Ireland. In order to ensure that the customs, VAT and excise rules are complied with, Irish Customs will perform risk-based and random checks of private persons and lorries crossing the border from the North.

This may lead to queues and delays. It can be expected that the UK will have comparable rules, as it will also want to protect its financial interests.

These border formalities will increase the costs for traders because they will either have to recruit a customs specialist or use a service provider, such as a logistics company specialised in customs formalities or a customs agent.

Manufacturers will have to reconsider whether it is still economically feasible to move goods for processing several times over the border (eg, using milk from Northern Ireland in order to produce yoghurt in Ireland and re-exporting the yoghurt).

Current trade flows will therefore change. Private persons will also adjust their shopping habits and will consider on the one hand whether they want to be subjected to occasional customs controls (risking to be fined if they have exceeded the duty-free threshold), and, on the other hand, whether buying goods in Northern Ireland will be more favourable, due to different prices and duties, as well as currency fluctuations. People in Northern Ireland will make the same considerations when reflecting on whether to shop in Ireland.

The white paper announces that the UK is aiming at concluding a "new comprehensive, bold and ambitious free trade agreement" with the EU.

This could be misunderstood in the sense that trade between Ireland and Northern Ireland would be "free". Unfortunately, this is not true. A free trade agreement only means that goods made entirely or substantially in the partner country are free from import duty.

Import Vat and excise duty are still due and will be collected in the context of an importation. Furthermore, goods made outside Northern Ireland (eg, a mobile phone made in China and bought in Northern Ireland) and goods manufactured with a large proportion of foreign components (eg, a Caterpillar made in Northern Ireland with a substantial part of Chinese components) will not be duty-free when imported into Ireland.

Controlling whether the conditions for duty-free treatment are fulfilled will be the task of the customs authorities in both countries. Complying with these rules will create an additional administrative burden for traders.

Furthermore, the importer risks that non-compliance is only detected during a customs audit and that the normal customs duties are then recovered; as the goods have normally already been sold to the customers, the importer has to bear the unexpected financial burden.

While a "special deal" just between Northern Ireland and Ireland isn't legally possible and special EU customs rules for the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland are unlikely, the main goal now is to ensure that the customs procedures and formalities will be as seamless and frictionless as possible for private persons and businesses.

The customs legislation of the union foresees a number of simplifications, such as oral customs declarations or even declarations made by passing the border, as well as declarations made by entry in the records which can be used if the conditions are met.

Furthermore, Ireland and the UK could agree that there is only one border stop so that an export from Ireland is treated at the same time as an import into the UK, and vice versa.

This can be achieved either through a joint border office in which officials from both countries are working, or by empowering, eg, the customs officials of Ireland to act also on behalf of the UK.

Much can be done in preparation for the new situation irrespective of the final relationship between the UK and the EU. For example, investments in constructing a sufficient number of customs offices, installing scanners so that lorries do not need to be unloaded on most cases, red and green lanes for vehicles, creating and maintaining a compatible IT infrastructure, can help to significantly reduce queues, delays and red tape.

If the UK joins the common transit convention, goods could be moved from the point of departure to the point of destination (eg, from Dublin to Belfast) under duty suspension without a need for controls at the border.

Ireland should already consider recruiting and training additional customs officials because the new customs offices at the border with Northern Ireland will need a sufficient number of well-trained staff, The workload will increase for Irish customs in other customs offices, too, due to the fact that trade with the UK will become subject to customs formalities, and irrespective of the kind of preferential agreement that might be concluded between the EU and the UK, if any.

The main benefit of the Brexit for Ireland will be that it provides new work opportunities for customs specialists, accountants, IT experts, and infrastructure builders. Irish travellers will have to comply with the customs and the related Vat and excise rules when they buy goods in Northern Ireland.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 02:15:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 10:59:02 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 10:26:55 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 10:04:38 AM
I look forward to the day when someone comes along who is able to analyse Brexit with complete objectivity.

As a subject it seems to attract people who wilfully hunt down and then promote only those pockets of information (whether based on fact or not, as long as someone has said it somewhere) that back up their original stance.

It actually become sort of religious.

Which can't end well.

Best post ever on the subject, this bold bit is seafoid in a nutshell.
Show me an economic case for Brexit a mhaicín

I don't have to. Here's the thing. It could be 20 years before the effect of Brexit is measurable.... yet no matter what those figures suggest it will still be impossible to assess whether it was the right decision, the wrong decision, or entirely neutral.

For until someone invents a time machine, it's impossible to know how things would have operated in an alternate reality with a different decision. In that alternate reality, for example, it might have taken 5 more years for the Italians to trigger their Brexit and sow the seeds for the EU's disintegration. Or perhaps the increasing right wing presence of governments in Europe might have forced the UK into a hasty retreat. Nobody will ever know.

Which ultimately, due to the inability of human beings to run accurate simulations of the butterfly effect, is why economists are, to a man (and woman) almost always and completely wrong in their economic predictions. It's effectively guesswork to devise a macroeconomic strategy from the events of the past, as there are just too many variables, and not enough constants.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 03:32:05 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 02:15:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 10:59:02 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 10:26:55 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 10:04:38 AM
I look forward to the day when someone comes along who is able to analyse Brexit with complete objectivity.

As a subject it seems to attract people who wilfully hunt down and then promote only those pockets of information (whether based on fact or not, as long as someone has said it somewhere) that back up their original stance.

It actually become sort of religious.

Which can't end well.

Best post ever on the subject, this bold bit is seafoid in a nutshell.
Show me an economic case for Brexit a mhaicín

I don't have to. Here's the thing. It could be 20 years before the effect of Brexit is measurable.... yet no matter what those figures suggest it will still be impossible to assess whether it was the right decision, the wrong decision, or entirely neutral.

For until someone invents a time machine, it's impossible to know how things would have operated in an alternate reality with a different decision. In that alternate reality, for example, it might have taken 5 more years for the Italians to trigger their Brexit and sow the seeds for the EU's disintegration. Or perhaps the increasing right wing presence of governments in Europe might have forced the UK into a hasty retreat. Nobody will ever know.

Which ultimately, due to the inability of human beings to run accurate simulations of the butterfly effect, is why economists are, to a man (and woman) almost always and completely wrong in their economic predictions. It's effectively guesswork to devise a macroeconomic strategy from the events of the past, as there are just too many variables, and not enough constants.

In 164 pages of drivel, sense prevails, very sensible well worded post.  +1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 04:12:50 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 02:15:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 10:59:02 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 10:26:55 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 08, 2017, 10:04:38 AM
I look forward to the day when someone comes along who is able to analyse Brexit with complete objectivity.

As a subject it seems to attract people who wilfully hunt down and then promote only those pockets of information (whether based on fact or not, as long as someone has said it somewhere) that back up their original stance.

It actually become sort of religious.

Which can't end well.

Best post ever on the subject, this bold bit is seafoid in a nutshell.
Show me an economic case for Brexit a mhaicín

I don't have to. Here's the thing. It could be 20 years before the effect of Brexit is measurable.... yet no matter what those figures suggest it will still be impossible to assess whether it was the right decision, the wrong decision, or entirely neutral.

For until someone invents a time machine, it's impossible to know how things would have operated in an alternate reality with a different decision. In that alternate reality, for example, it might have taken 5 more years for the Italians to trigger their Brexit and sow the seeds for the EU's disintegration. Or perhaps the increasing right wing presence of governments in Europe might have forced the UK into a hasty retreat. Nobody will ever know.

Which ultimately, due to the inability of human beings to run accurate simulations of the butterfly effect, is why economists are, to a man (and woman) almost always and completely wrong in their economic predictions. It's effectively guesswork to devise a macroeconomic strategy from the events of the past, as there are just too many variables, and not enough constants.
It won't take 20 years. That is why sterling collapsed.
The UK has a budget deficit of 6% of gdp and a huge trade deficit. It cannot pay its way. Spending growth is driven by debt. Something will have to give. And Brexit cuts it off from its main trading partner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 08, 2017, 04:50:19 PM
Article in today's UK Times has deficit (estimated) at 3.5% of GDP for this Financial year, that is down from 10% post financial crisis. (I don't have a link, have the newspaper).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 05:24:40 PM
That well known lefty Martin Wolf thinks trade could be down by 25%. Which will do wonders for the economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 05:35:12 PM
Note the word thinks. Google it if you don't know the meaning, you are good at the googling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 08, 2017, 05:44:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 08, 2017, 04:50:19 PM
Article in today's UK Times has deficit (estimated) at 3.5% of GDP for this Financial year, that is down from 10% post financial crisis. (I don't have a link, have the newspaper).

The 3.5% is an improvement, but the point is that the UK is now the "fastest growing economy in the G7", so this is as good as it gets and there is a still a significant deficit. So the deficit cannot be cut, Irish style, by growing faster, but only by cutting expenditure and increasing taxes. An article in yesterdays FT from the Institute of Fiscal Studies suggested further tax increases and that "Spending per person on the day-to-day running of public services will be nearly 13 per cent lower by the end of this parliament than it was before the financial crisis". This is regardless of any slowdown caused by Brexit, and there will at least be a temporary slowdown while changing gear because of Brexit whatever about the long term effects proposed by Wobbler. 

Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 05:35:12 PM
Note the word thinks. Google it if you don't know the meaning, you are good at the googling.

On balance, I would accept his analysis before yours.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 06:51:12 PM
That's the way of the modern world talk enough shite with enough confidence and most fools believe you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 08, 2017, 06:58:27 PM
That seems to be your tactic right enough. ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on February 08, 2017, 07:28:33 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 06:51:12 PM
That's the way of the modern world talk enough shite with enough confidence and most fools believe you.

The irony.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 08:04:46 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 06:51:12 PM
That's the way of the modern world talk enough shite with enough confidence and most fools believe you.
Give an argument in support of Brexit. Tell us why the currency markets are shite  . At your leisure. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 08:55:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 08:04:46 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 06:51:12 PM
That's the way of the modern world talk enough shite with enough confidence and most fools believe you.
Give an argument in support of Brexit. Tell us why the currency markets are shite  . At your leisure.

There is none.... so why post sooooo many posts on something that you had no vote on, have no personal economic loss with, as the South is still in the Euro and things are dandy with yourselves!!

You been to Newtownards yet??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 09:13:26 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on February 08, 2017, 07:28:33 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 06:51:12 PM
That's the way of the modern world talk enough shite with enough confidence and most fools believe you.

The irony.

Google it. I have advocated nothing but the reality that brexit is happening.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 08, 2017, 09:14:07 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 08:55:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 08:04:46 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 06:51:12 PM
That's the way of the modern world talk enough shite with enough confidence and most fools believe you.
Give an argument in support of Brexit. Tell us why the currency markets are shite  . At your leisure.

There is none.... so why post sooooo many posts on something that you had no vote on, have no personal economic loss with, as the South is still in the Euro and things are dandy with yourselves!!

You been to Newtownards yet??

Another post i agree with!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 08, 2017, 09:25:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 08:55:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 08:04:46 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 06:51:12 PM
That's the way of the modern world talk enough shite with enough confidence and most fools believe you.
Give an argument in support of Brexit. Tell us why the currency markets are shite  . At your leisure.

There is none.... so why post sooooo many posts on something that you had no vote on, have no personal economic loss with, as the South is still in the Euro and things are dandy with yourselves!!

You been to Newtownards yet??

This is going to damage many parts of Ireland, it better than sneering and saying that I'm alright Jack in Newtownards and f**k the rest of you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 10:09:39 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 08, 2017, 09:25:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 08:55:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 08, 2017, 08:04:46 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 08, 2017, 06:51:12 PM
That's the way of the modern world talk enough shite with enough confidence and most fools believe you.
Give an argument in support of Brexit. Tell us why the currency markets are shite  . At your leisure.

There is none.... so why post sooooo many posts on something that you had no vote on, have no personal economic loss with, as the South is still in the Euro and things are dandy with yourselves!!

You been to Newtownards yet??

This is going to damage many parts of Ireland, it better than sneering and saying that I'm alright Jack in Newtownards and f**k the rest of you.

Apparently not according to seafoid, with the demise of the uk trade that will surely mean a rise in the trade and export of Ireland?

Who's sneering? Seafoid quoted the affluent Newtownards earlier... he obviously has never set foot in it or know anything about it... but hey he's the man who knows everything
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 08, 2017, 10:12:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 10:09:39 PM
Apparently not according to seafoid, with the demise of the uk trade that will surely mean a rise in the trade and export of Ireland?

A lot of Ireland's trade goes to the UK!!

QuoteWho's sneering? Seafoid quoted the affluent Newtownards earlier... he obviously has never set foot in it or know anything about it... but hey he's the man who knows everything

Don't worry, I will not be saying anything good about Newtownards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 10:31:34 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 08, 2017, 10:12:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 10:09:39 PM
Apparently not according to seafoid, with the demise of the uk trade that will surely mean a rise in the trade and export of Ireland? [/qupte]

A lot of Ireland's trade goes to the UK!!

QuoteWho's sneering? Seafoid quoted the affluent Newtownards earlier... he obviously has never set foot in it or know anything about it... but hey he's the man who knows everything

Don't worry, I will not be saying anything good about Newtownards.

I think that trade will still continue via the border!!  I think Seafoid can answer for himself, goes missing at times but I'm glad you're hear to speak on his behalf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on February 08, 2017, 10:52:58 PM
Tories have just defeated an amendment that means the principles of the Good Friday agreement are protected from Brexit. This could have serious repercussions in the North.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 09, 2017, 12:01:39 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 10:31:34 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 08, 2017, 10:12:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 10:09:39 PM
Apparently not according to seafoid, with the demise of the uk trade that will surely mean a rise in the trade and export of Ireland? [/qupte]

A lot of Ireland's trade goes to the UK!!

QuoteWho's sneering? Seafoid quoted the affluent Newtownards earlier... he obviously has never set foot in it or know anything about it... but hey he's the man who knows everything

Don't worry, I will not be saying anything good about Newtownards.

I think that trade will still continue via the border!!  I think Seafoid can answer for himself, goes missing at times but I'm glad you're hear to speak on his behalf

Border me hole!! Irish Exporters to the UK have had their bottom line drop by 17% since the referendum!!  As someone who works for an Irish exporter whose main market is the U.K. it's extremely difficult!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 09, 2017, 12:12:51 AM
Quote from: screenexile on February 09, 2017, 12:01:39 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 10:31:34 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 08, 2017, 10:12:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 08, 2017, 10:09:39 PM
Apparently not according to seafoid, with the demise of the uk trade that will surely mean a rise in the trade and export of Ireland? [/qupte]

A lot of Ireland's trade goes to the UK!!

QuoteWho's sneering? Seafoid quoted the affluent Newtownards earlier... he obviously has never set foot in it or know anything about it... but hey he's the man who knows everything

Don't worry, I will not be saying anything good about Newtownards.

I think that trade will still continue via the border!!  I think Seafoid can answer for himself, goes missing at times but I'm glad you're hear to speak on his behalf

Border me hole!! Irish Exporters to the UK have had their bottom line drop by 17% since the referendum!!  As someone who works for an Irish exporter whose main market is the U.K. it's extremely difficult!

Well don't mention that on the United ireland thread
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 09, 2017, 12:16:04 AM
Quote from: omagh_gael on February 08, 2017, 10:52:58 PM
Tories have just defeated an amendment that means the principles of the Good Friday agreement are protected from Brexit. This could have serious repercussions in the North.

More evidence that middle England does not give 2 fcuks about stability in the north. This could have dire consequences in relation to free movement of goods/people. Enda Kenny needs to grow a set and forcibly reiterate that this simply cannot be allowed to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 12:28:36 AM
So if Enda says it cannot be allowed that will be the end of it???
The English ruling class are so blinded by their English xenophobic Nationalism that they don't give a fcuks.
Our best hope is that the Scots will take their courage in their hands and vote for Independenice.
Then there will be no Great Britain or United Kingdom.
A whole new world will unfold......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2017, 08:25:55 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 09, 2017, 12:16:04 AM
Quote from: omagh_gael on February 08, 2017, 10:52:58 PM
Tories have just defeated an amendment that means the principles of the Good Friday agreement are protected from Brexit. This could have serious repercussions in the North.

More evidence that middle England does not give 2 fcuks about stability in the north. This could have dire consequences in relation to free movement of goods/people. Enda Kenny needs to grow a set and forcibly reiterate that this simply cannot be allowed to happen.
Brexit is driven by the richest people in the UK who already own 50% of everything. The only way to grow that is to strip workers of rights and to drive down wages outside the EU so profits can be increased.

They do not give a f**k about anyone in the North

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtgfzzwoyK4

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 12:51:01 PM
Those cnuts are so blinded by their race to break away from Europe that they couldn't care less what mayhem is left on their wake.
Of course the ultra British Unionists hope there will be a Trumpwall built along the border so they can pretend the rest of Ireland doesn't exist.
So we'll have the dissidents blowing up the wall and border posts,  1922-1969 Re established,  40,000 jobs gone in the 6 Cos, 80,000 in the 26 and something like 80,000 in Scotland. But sure what matter once there are no EU regulations in force.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 09, 2017, 01:23:07 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 09, 2017, 12:05:37 PM
This.  One of the amendments tabled to the Brexit Bill last night was to ensure that Brexit negotiations would not break any agreement already existing as a result of the GFA.  It was defeated.  Amongst those voting against it were the usual suspects in the DUP, plus Colum Eastwood's mates in the UUP and...James Brokenshire.  Honest broker my arse!

The UU are a disgrace. I see the idea of the SDLP pact, but I don't see how they can continue with it when the UU have effectively renounced the GFA.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on February 09, 2017, 01:54:50 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 12:28:36 AM
So if Enda says it cannot be allowed that will be the end of it???
The English ruling class are so blinded by their English xenophobic Nationalism that they don't give a fcuks.
Our best hope is that the Scots will take their courage in their hands and vote for Independenice.
Then there will be no Great Britain or United Kingdom.
A whole new world will unfold......

Dont be relying on the Scottish. They no more than many in both the Nationalist and Unionist camps will let their pockets dictate.
If Scotland declared independence in the morning could it rely on our old friends in the Black Watch regiment to stand by an independent Scotland?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2017, 03:27:50 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 09, 2017, 12:05:37 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 09, 2017, 08:25:55 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 09, 2017, 12:16:04 AM
Quote from: omagh_gael on February 08, 2017, 10:52:58 PM
Tories have just defeated an amendment that means the principles of the Good Friday agreement are protected from Brexit. This could have serious repercussions in the North.

More evidence that middle England does not give 2 fcuks about stability in the north. This could have dire consequences in relation to free movement of goods/people. Enda Kenny needs to grow a set and forcibly reiterate that this simply cannot be allowed to happen.
Brexit is driven by the richest people in the UK who already own 50% of everything. The only way to grow that is to strip workers of rights and to drive down wages outside the EU so profits can be increased.

They do not give a f**k about anyone in the North

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtgfzzwoyK4

This.  One of the amendments tabled to the Brexit Bill last night was to ensure that Brexit negotiations would not break any agreement already existing as a result of the GFA.  It was defeated.  Amongst those voting against it were the usual suspects in the DUP, plus Colum Eastwood's mates in the UUP and...James Brokenshire.  Honest broker my arse!
That is appalling. Brexit is like the pied piper of Hamelin
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 09, 2017, 03:43:18 PM
This from Stephen Bush in the New Statesman is worth a read.

Good morning. And we're out! The House of Commons voted to trigger Article 50 last night by 494 to 122. 52 Labour MPs joined the SNP, the SDLP, the Liberal Democrats and Caroline Lucas in voting against triggering, including Clive Lewis, who quit the shadow cabinet in order to do so.
The scale of the majority - and the strength of the government's majority in resisting every amendment put to the bill - makes it difficult for the House of Lords to put up much fight. But watch out for what they do on the rights of EU citizens. Harriet Harman's amendment guaranteeing the rights of people already living in the United Kingdom was defeated in the Commons, but is supported by 80% of the British public according to polling by British Future.
When the Lords goes head-to-head with the elected chamber, they tend to pick battles where they know they have the public behind them, and this has all of them.
Back to the elected chamber: the large majority for the government's original bill attests to the benefits of Theresa May's long strategy of wooing the DUP. Getting that party onside has been a major priority for May since she got the keys to Downing Street, hence their invitation to Conservative party conference and May's silence on the ongoing RHI scandal at Stormont. That's the difference between a fragile Tory majority of 16 to a healthy one of 32.
But that deal comes with one hell of a pricetag attached. One of the amendments defeated yesterday was the requirement that the principles lay down in the Good Friday Agreement be respected. The idea that the Westminster government is an honest broker between the two sides at Stormont, already pretty fragile, may have gone down with it.

Much of the focus today is on Labour and their difficulties reconciling their electoral coalition to Brexit. Jeremy Corbyn's cause hasn't been helped by an ill-judged tweet suggesting the "fight starts now", when, by most standards, the fight was either on 23 June 2016 or last night, and was lost, either 52% to 48% or by 494 to 122. Lewis has traded his seat in the shadow cabinet for the affections of the party's activists, and, more importantly, has blunted a Liberal Democrat revival in his own seat of Norwich South. 
There are many difficulties for anyone predicting the end of Jeremy Corbyn; not least that the 52 rebels are effectively a scale model of the PLP in all its ideological hues. That is not the basis for a successful leadership bid by anyone.

The reality is that the settled will of much of the PLP is that they had to vote for Article 50. Had the whip gone the other way, there would have been a considerably larger rebellion. In any case, what really matters - not just for yesterday but for our Brexit course in particular and the Northern Irish situation in general - is the de facto Conservative-DUP coalition in the House.
And that's going to have far bigger consequences than any number of tweets by the Labour leader.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2017, 04:17:42 PM
This should be a focus for the Assembly election. The DUP have chosen short term politicAl calculations over the long term needs of their voters. So have the Tories. .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 09, 2017, 04:28:44 PM
I honestly don't think it will fully dawn on people the implications until they physically see the border posts and customs being erected and by then it will be too late. Tens of thousands of people travelling across an invisible border freely each day all of a sudden interrupted by the decisions taken by pro Brexit little Englanders. Enda Kenny needs to get his finger out and stop acting like the lame duck that he often is when engaging with foreign dignatories. The economic consequences for the country will plummet otherwise, and that's not to mention a renewed threat of terror as the island comes to terms with the fact that barriers are to be re-erected.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 09, 2017, 04:47:38 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 09, 2017, 04:28:44 PM
I honestly don't think it will fully dawn on people the implications until they physically see the border posts and customs being erected and by then it will be too late. Tens of thousands of people travelling across an invisible border freely each day all of a sudden interrupted by the decisions taken by pro Brexit little Englanders. Enda Kenny needs to get his finger out and stop acting like the lame duck that he often is when engaging with foreign dignatories. The economic consequences for the country will plummet otherwise, and that's not to mention a renewed threat of terror as the island comes to terms with the fact that barriers are to be re-erected.   

In fairness to Enda Kenny I think he is alert to the danger and is certainly talking to people, he being off in Poland today. The question will the people of the 6 counties make any effort to save the GFA, will they get off their arses and vote for a pro GFA party in the election for instance? Will they demonstrate? George Mitchel is in QUB shortly, why is he not addressing 100,000 people?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on February 09, 2017, 05:39:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 09, 2017, 04:47:38 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 09, 2017, 04:28:44 PM
I honestly don't think it will fully dawn on people the implications until they physically see the border posts and customs being erected and by then it will be too late. Tens of thousands of people travelling across an invisible border freely each day all of a sudden interrupted by the decisions taken by pro Brexit little Englanders. Enda Kenny needs to get his finger out and stop acting like the lame duck that he often is when engaging with foreign dignatories. The economic consequences for the country will plummet otherwise, and that's not to mention a renewed threat of terror as the island comes to terms with the fact that barriers are to be re-erected.   

In fairness to Enda Kenny I think he is alert to the danger and is certainly talking to people, he being off in Poland today. The question will the people of the 6 counties make any effort to save the GFA, will they get off their arses and vote for a pro GFA party in the election for instance? Will they demonstrate? George Mitchel is in QUB shortly, why is he not addressing 100,000 people?

Because the country is full of idiots who think either;

a. It'll still never happen
b. It'll happen but it will be diluted so much as to be barely noticeable
c. It'll happen and everything will still be OK (the 'nobody's getting shot' argument)
d. I can't wait for it to happen because I'm sick of Britannia not ruling the waves and am fed up looking at those muslims when I go to the shops

Better than that, we have people being criticised for placing stock in the opinions of experts on the subject.  The trumpites are out in full force and are bringing their anti-intellectual agenda with them.

This is the biggest single thing to happen this place since the GFA, only I fear it may have an opposite effect.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 07:18:40 PM
It is also full of people - some of whom no doubt are idiots - who have become sick and tired of the relentlessly condescending and pious absolutism, which has been a constant accompaniment to the "stay" side of the debate.

This stance isn't Trumpite, and it's certainly not anti-intellectual.

Nor is it not born from a wish to ignore expertise. Instead it comes from a desire to evaluate whether the current status quo is necessarily the best way forward.

Personally I find it abhorrent that anyone could possibly believe they have all the answers, or that this can be boiled down to a Star Wars style confrontation of "good" vs "evil". That there are pockets of independent countries dotted all around the EU, some of them with aspirational economies, and some less so, should surely tell anyone that being part of a single union isn't a magic wand.

So I guess I'm happy to be described as an "idiot"... so long as it's accepted that I'm an idiot with an open mind.

---

See Rossfan's latest post (about 10 above) for an example of what I'm describing.

He has consigned his future to a horrendous dystopia with extraordinary unemployment, the re-engagement of a bloody civil war, and the building of a physical wall across our small island.

FFS, why not the potato famine while we're at it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 09, 2017, 07:41:45 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 07:18:40 PM
It is also full of people - some of whom no doubt are idiots - who have become sick and tired of the relentlessly condescending and pious absolutism, which has been a constant accompaniment to the "stay" side of the debate.

This stance isn't Trumpite, and it's certainly not anti-intellectual.

Nor is it not born from a wish to ignore expertise. Instead it comes from a desire to evaluate whether the current status quo is necessarily the best way forward.

Personally I find it abhorrent that anyone could possibly believe they have all the answers, or that this can be boiled down to a Star Wars style confrontation of "good" vs "evil". That there are pockets of independent countries dotted all around the EU, some of them with aspirational economies, and some less so, should surely tell anyone that being part of a single union isn't a magic wand.

So I guess I'm happy to be described as an "idiot"... so long as it's accepted that I'm an idiot with an open mind.

---

The broader issue may have pros and cons, the main thing you can say is that there have been many lies on the pro side and many people who justify the process by reference to reasons which are not based on facts.

The specific issue is Britain pursuing policies as if it was an island, and applying them to NI which shares an island and overthrowing a successful peace settlement which had established the principle of consultation and consensus, however imperfectly implemented. The latter is not a good thing whatever way you look at it. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 09, 2017, 07:55:23 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 07:18:40 PM


See Rossfan's latest post (about 10 above) for an example of what I'm describing.

He has consigned his future to a horrendous dystopia with extraordinary unemployment, the re-engagement of a bloody civil war, and the building of a physical wall across our small island.

FFS, why not the potato famine while we're at it?

Brexit is a godsend for Tossfan and Seafood, whipping themselves up into a frenzy with no evidence.  FFS Brexit is unique how these people know what will happen is amazing.  They must make a fortune on the stock market.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 08:11:37 PM
I want my children to grow up in an open broadminded outward looking forward thinking country with the 6/26 Boundary,  if it still exists, being just a line on a map.
Meanwhile Ukipites and their fellow travellers in the DUP, various shades of Conservatives all try to re create their version of 1950s Britain - narrow minded, xenophobic, backward thinking etc which will inevitably reinforce the border in my country.
Wait till No brains and wobbler get held up for an hour at a customs/immigration checkpoint on their way to the AI Final.
It will be 2 hours going home as some British immigration official takes an hour to understand how someone from the 6 Cos has an "Eire"/EU passport.
Losing the run of myself?
No - see how the Brits didn't pass a single amendment or take any heed if the unique circumstances of the 6 Cos.
It's full steam ahead.........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 08:17:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 09, 2017, 07:41:45 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 07:18:40 PM
It is also full of people - some of whom no doubt are idiots - who have become sick and tired of the relentlessly condescending and pious absolutism, which has been a constant accompaniment to the "stay" side of the debate.

This stance isn't Trumpite, and it's certainly not anti-intellectual.

Nor is it not born from a wish to ignore expertise. Instead it comes from a desire to evaluate whether the current status quo is necessarily the best way forward.

Personally I find it abhorrent that anyone could possibly believe they have all the answers, or that this can be boiled down to a Star Wars style confrontation of "good" vs "evil". That there are pockets of independent countries dotted all around the EU, some of them with aspirational economies, and some less so, should surely tell anyone that being part of a single union isn't a magic wand.

So I guess I'm happy to be described as an "idiot"... so long as it's accepted that I'm an idiot with an open mind.

---

The broader issue may have pros and cons, the main thing you can say is that there have been many lies on the pro side and many people who justify the process by reference to reasons which are not based on facts.

The specific issue is Britain pursuing policies as if it was an island, and applying them to NI which shares an island and overthrowing a successful peace settlement which had established the principle of consultation and consensus, however imperfectly implemented. The latter is not a good thing whatever way you look at it. 

While I don't actually disagree with you, can you actually blame Britain's politicians for carrying out the will of the people?

Things will change in NI.

But not necessarily for the worst.

There's an opportunity to make money from being a border region. Always was, always will be. as long as you sat fouced on the opportunity that is. Stay focused on the threats and of course they won't be long manufacturing themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 08:28:52 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 08:11:37 PM
I want my children to grow up in an open broadminded outward looking forward thinking country with the 6/26 Boundary,  if it still exists, being just a line on a map.
Meanwhile Ukipites and their fellow travellers in the DUP, various shades of Conservatives all try to re create their version of 1950s Britain - narrow minded, xenophobic, backward thinking etc which will inevitably reinforce the border in my country.
Wait till No brains and wobbler get held up for an hour at a customs/immigration checkpoint on their way to the AI Final.
It will be 2 hours going home as some British immigration official takes an hour to understand how someone from the 6 Cos has an "Eire"/EU passport.
Losing the run of myself?
No - see how the Brits didn't pass a single amendment or take any heed if the unique circumstances of the 6 Cos.
It's full steam ahead.........

I was a child who grew up in a border town with a civil war taking place around that border.

These 1 hour queues are not something I remember, even though there were technically 4 checkpoints on main roads. Those who have something to hide don't tend to use main roads. Nobody is daft enough to believe otherwise.

As for your comments on England going back to the 1950s. All those working class Northern England towns didn't have a rosy 1950s. But that generation had more disposable income simply because their wage was worth more than their expenses. Their descendants feel failed by government for not protecting their interests. I could point out that immigrants who are prepared to do semi skilled and trade labour for wages from the 1990s - while living in a what can only be described as relative squalor for one of the most developed countries in the world - might actually be a contributing factor behind this wage disparity. You'll no doubt call it racist to bring this up. Go for it, idon't mind. I just hope your children can afford their parent's houses.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2017, 08:37:49 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 08:28:52 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 08:11:37 PM
I want my children to grow up in an open broadminded outward looking forward thinking country with the 6/26 Boundary,  if it still exists, being just a line on a map.
Meanwhile Ukipites and their fellow travellers in the DUP, various shades of Conservatives all try to re create their version of 1950s Britain - narrow minded, xenophobic, backward thinking etc which will inevitably reinforce the border in my country.
Wait till No brains and wobbler get held up for an hour at a customs/immigration checkpoint on their way to the AI Final.
It will be 2 hours going home as some British immigration official takes an hour to understand how someone from the 6 Cos has an "Eire"/EU passport.
Losing the run of myself?
No - see how the Brits didn't pass a single amendment or take any heed if the unique circumstances of the 6 Cos.
It's full steam ahead.........

I was a child who grew up in a border town with a civil war taking place around that border.

These 1 hour queues are not something I remember, even though there were technically 4 checkpoints on main roads. Those who have something to hide don't tend to use main roads. Nobody is daft enough to believe otherwise.

As for your comments on England going back to the 1950s. All those working class Northern England towns didn't have a rosy 1950s. But that generation had more disposable income simply because their wage was worth more than their expenses. Their descendants feel failed by government for not protecting their interests. I could point out that immigrants who are prepared to do semi skilled and trade labour for wages from the 1990s - while living in a what can only be described as relative squalor for one of the most developed countries in the world - might actually be a contributing factor behind this wage disparity. You'll no doubt call it racist to bring this up. Go for it, idon't mind. I just hope your children can afford their parent's houses.
Companies have paid bonuses instead of payrises for years. Immigration was used to.keep wages low.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 10, 2017, 07:39:28 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 09, 2017, 08:37:49 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 08:28:52 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 08:11:37 PM
I want my children to grow up in an open broadminded outward looking forward thinking country with the 6/26 Boundary,  if it still exists, being just a line on a map.
Meanwhile Ukipites and their fellow travellers in the DUP, various shades of Conservatives all try to re create their version of 1950s Britain - narrow minded, xenophobic, backward thinking etc which will inevitably reinforce the border in my country.
Wait till No brains and wobbler get held up for an hour at a customs/immigration checkpoint on their way to the AI Final.
It will be 2 hours going home as some British immigration official takes an hour to understand how someone from the 6 Cos has an "Eire"/EU passport.
Losing the run of myself?
No - see how the Brits didn't pass a single amendment or take any heed if the unique circumstances of the 6 Cos.
It's full steam ahead.........

I was a child who grew up in a border town with a civil war taking place around that border.

These 1 hour queues are not something I remember, even though there were technically 4 checkpoints on main roads. Those who have something to hide don't tend to use main roads. Nobody is daft enough to believe otherwise.

As for your comments on England going back to the 1950s. All those working class Northern England towns didn't have a rosy 1950s. But that generation had more disposable income simply because their wage was worth more than their expenses. Their descendants feel failed by government for not protecting their interests. I could point out that immigrants who are prepared to do semi skilled and trade labour for wages from the 1990s - while living in a what can only be described as relative squalor for one of the most developed countries in the world - might actually be a contributing factor behind this wage disparity. You'll no doubt call it racist to bring this up. Go for it, idon't mind. I just hope your children can afford their parent's houses.
Companies have paid bonuses instead of payrises for years. Immigration was used to.keep wages low.

All companies?  This is some inside knowledge you have - oh wait you just make everything up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 10, 2017, 07:41:36 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 09, 2017, 08:28:52 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 08:11:37 PM
I want my children to grow up in an open broadminded outward looking forward thinking country with the 6/26 Boundary,  if it still exists, being just a line on a map.
Meanwhile Ukipites and their fellow travellers in the DUP, various shades of Conservatives all try to re create their version of 1950s Britain - narrow minded, xenophobic, backward thinking etc which will inevitably reinforce the border in my country.
Wait till No brains and wobbler get held up for an hour at a customs/immigration checkpoint on their way to the AI Final.
It will be 2 hours going home as some British immigration official takes an hour to understand how someone from the 6 Cos has an "Eire"/EU passport.
Losing the run of myself?
No - see how the Brits didn't pass a single amendment or take any heed if the unique circumstances of the 6 Cos.
It's full steam ahead.........

I was a child who grew up in a border town with a civil war taking place around that border.

These 1 hour queues are not something I remember, even though there were technically 4 checkpoints on main roads. Those who have something to hide don't tend to use main roads. Nobody is daft enough to believe otherwise.

As for your comments on England going back to the 1950s. All those working class Northern England towns didn't have a rosy 1950s. But that generation had more disposable income simply because their wage was worth more than their expenses. Their descendants feel failed by government for not protecting their interests. I could point out that immigrants who are prepared to do semi skilled and trade labour for wages from the 1990s - while living in a what can only be described as relative squalor for one of the most developed countries in the world - might actually be a contributing factor behind this wage disparity. You'll no doubt call it racist to bring this up. Go for it, idon't mind. I just hope your children can afford their parent's houses.

Waste of time wobbler, Tossfan read a few articles about Northern Ireland during the troubles and is now an expert on all things in the North, he was up educating the Tyrone folk last week on how to get a United Ireland through PR voting!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 07:49:56 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 09, 2017, 08:11:37 PM
I want my children to grow up in an open broadminded outward looking forward thinking country with the 6/26 Boundary,  if it still exists, being just a line on a map.
Meanwhile Ukipites and their fellow travellers in the DUP, various shades of Conservatives all try to re create their version of 1950s Britain - narrow minded, xenophobic, backward thinking etc which will inevitably reinforce the border in my country.
Wait till No brains and wobbler get held up for an hour at a customs/immigration checkpoint on their way to the AI Final.
It will be 2 hours going home as some British immigration official takes an hour to understand how someone from the 6 Cos has an "Eire"/EU passport.
Losing the run of myself?
No - see how the Brits didn't pass a single amendment or take any heed if the unique circumstances of the 6 Cos.
It's full steam ahead.........
The world seems to be entering a beggar my neighbour phase. The UK attitude to EU residents is an example.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 09:31:50 AM
The 2 key selling points of Brexit were

1. 350m for the NHS
2 Control migration

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/feb/10/brexit-will-cause-vanishingly-small-fall-in-net-migration-report

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8rh6qqsmxNs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 09:55:20 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 09:31:50 AM
The 2 key selling points of Brexit were

1. 350m for the NHS
2 Control migration

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/feb/10/brexit-will-cause-vanishingly-small-fall-in-net-migration-report

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8rh6qqsmxNs

Nope.

That's what the press decided to run with in an attempt to distill a multi-layered, trillion part picture into something that people could understand, then latch on to / turn against.

What people actually voted for was whether the UK would be better off as a single entity, or as part of a union of countries. There wasn't a magic line running through the country whereby those who voted "leave" had an inability to see a bigger picture at play.

While many of the "stay" diehards have managed to convince themselves that the vote was about racism, and that anyone who voted to leave is neanderthal racist with a negative IQ: that brush stroke argument says more about their own paranoid beliefs than it does about the voters in question.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on February 10, 2017, 10:07:31 AM
It was pretty simple as far as I can see it from and what I have read on the Brexit subject.

The Tories at the top end of the business/ earning scale, wanted the chance to enrich themselves further by leaving what they see is the restrictive union. They knew they couldnt get there on their own, so they drummed up the NHS and Immigration strands to the debate to scare the cant work/ wont work electorate out to vote.

So all those at the top and the bottom together squeezing the middle. Add this to the fact that Corbyn is completely incompetent and you have the perfect storm.

Always good to remind yourself in all of this and probably on most subjects the British government is going to be involved in, is that Theresa May's other half controls a hedge fund of approx £1.4trillion.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on February 10, 2017, 10:10:43 AM
Most opinions on Brexit must be based on supposition, as the final deal is not yet known. So anything I am going on to say is making the assumption that Mrs Thatch....er May means it when she says no customs union, the common travel area is something that can get around the movement of people.
No matter what way you look at it no customs union will mean the death knell for an all island economy and be especially hard on the Agri food sector which both jurisdictions see as a key industry. For instance about a third of NI's milk is processed in the ROI and turned into Irish Cheese to be exported to the EU (UK and beyond), after without a custom's union there will be a tariff making this milk more expensive and uncompetitive, aside from that EU rules as they stand would preclude any product made with this milk from being sold within the EU. NI's pork plants rely on ROI pigs to make them competitive, the lamb and beef sector rely on processors in the ROI to process a significant amount of their product. In short there is a lot of transfer of agri food products between both jurisdictions at various points of the process. It is hard to see how this is not a negative to both parties. On the retail side visitors from the ROI to NI will have the same constraints on goods that exist between Non EU and EU at present, including tariffs and bans on importing certain products and food stuffs. That is before we look at the special arrangement that allows Trump to give May one whenever he likes. That will see an influx of GM foods, hormone soaked beef and bleached chicken which even if banned from this island will still be a threat given that part of the Island is in the UK. So if this is scaremongering so be it but it is scenarios such as this that the DUP are saying bring it on too with out thought or plan. May does not give a stuff about Ireland north or south.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 10, 2017, 10:14:47 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 09:55:20 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 09:31:50 AM
The 2 key selling points of Brexit were

1. 350m for the NHS
2 Control migration

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/feb/10/brexit-will-cause-vanishingly-small-fall-in-net-migration-report

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8rh6qqsmxNs

Nope.

That's what the press decided to run with in an attempt to distill a multi-layered, trillion part picture into something that people could understand, then latch on to / turn against.

What people actually voted for was whether the UK would be better off as a single entity, or as part of a union of countries. There wasn't a magic line running through the country whereby those who voted "leave" had an inability to see a bigger picture at play.

While many of the "stay" diehards have managed to convince themselves that the vote was about racism, and that anyone who voted to leave is neanderthal racist with a negative IQ: that brush stroke argument says more about their own paranoid beliefs than it does about the voters in question.

Some of what you're saying may be true wobbler but actually 3 of the main arguments for the leave side were immigration, the NHS and the fact that we would still be part of the single market.

What we now know is all three of those central arguments for Brexit were incorrect and given that there were only 1.3m votes to decide the vote it's fair to say that were there to be a vote in the morning wee would be staying in the EU.

If my granny had balls she'd be my granda though and it matters very little at this stage as we're out and that's fine but let's not wash over the fact that the leave campaign's 'promises' and central themes were a complete lie from the beginning and there can be no doubt that a number of people were sold a pup!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:25:28 AM
Honestly I find it extraordinary that you would believe that the super rich and the underclass came together to trigger Brexit.

There's around 5% unemployment in the UK. Feel free to add in another 5% for those who don't want to work but are forced to in order to maintain benefits.

There's also around 18% of the UK population who are aged over 65. So that's what, maybe 25% of everyone entitled to vote.

That gets you to 35% of people, who perhaps one and all were brainwashed to voted for Brexit. They are all, after all, complete idiots who do what the Sun tell them to.

But that still leaves 65% of the voting population, which means that some 17 out of each 65 must be of the super rich, high earning, variety?

When circa 3-4% of the voting population make over £100k pa, this would be most strange.

----

Face facts folks. Not everyone at the top of the payscale voted leave, nor did each of their counterparts at the bottom.

The "middle" played a sizeable role in how the votes was cast. The well-educated, squeezed middle played a sizeable, meaty, chunky role.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 10:38:45 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:25:28 AM
The "middle" played a sizeable role in how the votes was cast. The well-educated, squeezed middle played a sizeable, meaty, chunky role.

They played a role, but a majority of this group did not support Brexit.

Brexit is relatively complex matter, since the union has many benefits as well as some trade-offs for those benefits. The media managed to simplify discussion to the downsides of the EU without doing so for the upsides and managed to engender an anti expert campaign against those who proposed a more complex view.

Had such a referendum been run in the ROI the referendum commission would have ensured a more balanced presentation of information at least.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:39:07 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on February 10, 2017, 10:10:43 AM
Most opinions on Brexit must be based on supposition, as the final deal is not yet known. So anything I am going on to say is making the assumption that Mrs Thatch....er May means it when she says no customs union, the common travel area is something that can get around the movement of people.
No matter what way you look at it no customs union will mean the death knell for an all island economy and be especially hard on the Agri food sector which both jurisdictions see as a key industry. For instance about a third of NI's milk is processed in the ROI and turned into Irish Cheese to be exported to the EU (UK and beyond), after without a custom's union there will be a tariff making this milk more expensive and uncompetitive, aside from that EU rules as they stand would preclude any product made with this milk from being sold within the EU. NI's pork plants rely on ROI pigs to make them competitive, the lamb and beef sector rely on processors in the ROI to process a significant amount of their product. In short there is a lot of transfer of agri food products between both jurisdictions at various points of the process. It is hard to see how this is not a negative to both parties. On the retail side visitors from the ROI to NI will have the same constraints on goods that exist between Non EU and EU at present, including tariffs and bans on importing certain products and food stuffs. That is before we look at the special arrangement that allows Trump to give May one whenever he likes. That will see an influx of GM foods, hormone soaked beef and bleached chicken which even if banned from this island will still be a threat given that part of the Island is in the UK. So if this is scaremongering so be it but it is scenarios such as this that the DUP are saying bring it on too with out thought or plan. May does not give a stuff about Ireland north or south.

The problem with all this is that you are making wildly pessimistic suppositions ("death knell for all island economy"), that the UK is going to pull down a gate and not let anything in or out, and that the EU is going to put up similar gates at the other side... just in case those slippery b**tard brits get a head start.

Sorry to tell you, but this is plainly f**king bonkers.

Some things will change.  Some for the better, some for the worse. Some pipelines will close, and some opportunities will appear in their place. Take a walk down any street in your town and remember what companies and businesses used to be there, and it will help you realise that this is a fact of life, and very little to do with Brexit. Have a look at the Fortune 500 in 2007, 1997, 1987, 1977, 1967, and you'll see this affects every walk of life from small retailer to international conglomerate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 10:38:45 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:25:28 AM
The "middle" played a sizeable role in how the votes was cast. The well-educated, squeezed middle played a sizeable, meaty, chunky role.

They played a role, but a majority of this group did not support Brexit.

Brexit is relatively complex matter, since the union has many benefits as well as some trade-offs for those benefits. The media managed to simplify discussion to the downsides of the EU without doing so for the upsides and managed to engender an anti expert campaign against those who proposed a more complex view.

Had such a referendum been run in the ROI the referendum commission would have ensured a more balanced presentation of information at least.

But again, by defending the squeezed middle and highlighting the role of the media, the undertones of what you're saying is that a much larger proportion of people who voted for Brexit (than against it) only did so because they are either a) stupid, b) brainwashed, or c) brainwashed and stupid.

Which is an appalling superiority complex.

---

Re propaganda.

Look at the fall of communism in Europe and China. In places where the media was savagely controlled by government, there is no doubt that the people of those countries were spoon fed a daily dose on the outstanding results of communism throughout their entire lives. 

Yet when communism fell, it fell hard. There weren't many holding back to review the pamphlets.

What I get from this is that while newspapers have influence, most people will actually look at their own situation when casting a vote. If it's good, okay, or even "least worst", they'll vote to maintain the status quo.  If not, they'll look for alternatives. That, in my unqualified opinion, is why Brexit happened. I believe it had little or nothing to do with racism or the NHS; they were just the stories used to fill column inches that people no longer read. A succession of UK governments have seen life become a little tougher and less fair for its citizens. This was the response.




Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on February 10, 2017, 10:59:34 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 10:38:45 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:25:28 AM
The "middle" played a sizeable role in how the votes was cast. The well-educated, squeezed middle played a sizeable, meaty, chunky role.

They played a role, but a majority of this group did not support Brexit.

Brexit is relatively complex matter, since the union has many benefits as well as some trade-offs for those benefits. The media managed to simplify discussion to the downsides of the EU without doing so for the upsides and managed to engender an anti expert campaign against those who proposed a more complex view.

Had such a referendum been run in the ROI the referendum commission would have ensured a more balanced presentation of information at least.

But again, by defending the squeezed middle and highlighting the role of the media, the undertones of what you're saying is that a much larger proportion of people who voted for Brexit (than against it) only did so because they are either a) stupid, b) brainwashed, or c) brainwashed and stupid.

Which is an appalling superiority complex.


---

Re propaganda.

Look at the fall of communism in Europe and China. In places where the media was savagely controlled by government, there is no doubt that the people of those countries were spoon fed a daily dose on the outstanding results of communism throughout their entire lives. 

Yet when communism fell, it fell hard. There weren't many holding back to review the pamphlets.

What I get from this is that while newspapers have influence, most people will actually look at their own situation when casting a vote. If it's good, okay, or even "least worst", they'll vote to maintain the status quo.  If not, they'll look for alternatives. That, in my unqualified opinion, is why Brexit happened. I believe it had little or nothing to do with racism or the NHS; they were just the stories used to fill column inches that people no longer read. A succession of UK governments have seen life become a little tougher and less fair for its citizens. This was the response.

Not whenever you are right  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 11:19:34 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
But again, by defending the squeezed middle and highlighting the role of the media, the undertones of what you're saying is that a much larger proportion of people who voted for Brexit (than against it) only did so because they are either a) stupid, b) brainwashed, or c) brainwashed and stupid.

Disagreeing with someone is one thing, but I expect them to be able to coherently rationalise their own point of view.


Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
What I get from this is that while newspapers have influence, most people will actually look at their own situation when casting a vote. If it's good, okay, or even "least worst", they'll vote to maintain the status quo.  If not, they'll look for alternatives. That, in my unqualified opinion, is why Brexit happened. I believe it had little or nothing to do with racism or the NHS; they were just the stories used to fill column inches that people no longer read. A succession of UK governments have seen life become a little tougher and less fair for its citizens. This was the response.

Once again, as per my point above, I expect them to able to articulate how this response will actually improve things. I don't buy this "less roll the dice and see what happens" because many thousands of other people will have their lives adversely affected by the change (and I don't mean me).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 10, 2017, 11:30:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 11:19:34 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
But again, by defending the squeezed middle and highlighting the role of the media, the undertones of what you're saying is that a much larger proportion of people who voted for Brexit (than against it) only did so because they are either a) stupid, b) brainwashed, or c) brainwashed and stupid.

Disagreeing with someone is one thing, but I expect them to be able to coherently rationalise their own point of view.


Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
What I get from this is that while newspapers have influence, most people will actually look at their own situation when casting a vote. If it's good, okay, or even "least worst", they'll vote to maintain the status quo.  If not, they'll look for alternatives. That, in my unqualified opinion, is why Brexit happened. I believe it had little or nothing to do with racism or the NHS; they were just the stories used to fill column inches that people no longer read. A succession of UK governments have seen life become a little tougher and less fair for its citizens. This was the response.

Once again, as per my point above, I expect them to able to articulate how this response will actually improve things. I don't buy this "less roll the dice and see what happens" because many thousands of other people will have their lives adversely affected by the change (and I don't mean me).

Because you in your ivory tower didn't buy it are seriously saying you speak for the masses.  Many people saw brexit as a new start, and thought anything was better than the status quo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 11:48:55 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 10, 2017, 11:30:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 11:19:34 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
But again, by defending the squeezed middle and highlighting the role of the media, the undertones of what you're saying is that a much larger proportion of people who voted for Brexit (than against it) only did so because they are either a) stupid, b) brainwashed, or c) brainwashed and stupid.

Disagreeing with someone is one thing, but I expect them to be able to coherently rationalise their own point of view.


Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
What I get from this is that while newspapers have influence, most people will actually look at their own situation when casting a vote. If it's good, okay, or even "least worst", they'll vote to maintain the status quo.  If not, they'll look for alternatives. That, in my unqualified opinion, is why Brexit happened. I believe it had little or nothing to do with racism or the NHS; they were just the stories used to fill column inches that people no longer read. A succession of UK governments have seen life become a little tougher and less fair for its citizens. This was the response.

Once again, as per my point above, I expect them to able to articulate how this response will actually improve things. I don't buy this "less roll the dice and see what happens" because many thousands of other people will have their lives adversely affected by the change (and I don't mean me).

Because you in your ivory tower didn't buy it are seriously saying you speak for the masses.  Many people saw brexit as a new start, and thought anything was better than the status quo.
Why did they think Brexit was a new start ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 12:06:02 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 11:48:55 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 10, 2017, 11:30:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 11:19:34 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
But again, by defending the squeezed middle and highlighting the role of the media, the undertones of what you're saying is that a much larger proportion of people who voted for Brexit (than against it) only did so because they are either a) stupid, b) brainwashed, or c) brainwashed and stupid.

Disagreeing with someone is one thing, but I expect them to be able to coherently rationalise their own point of view.


Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
What I get from this is that while newspapers have influence, most people will actually look at their own situation when casting a vote. If it's good, okay, or even "least worst", they'll vote to maintain the status quo.  If not, they'll look for alternatives. That, in my unqualified opinion, is why Brexit happened. I believe it had little or nothing to do with racism or the NHS; they were just the stories used to fill column inches that people no longer read. A succession of UK governments have seen life become a little tougher and less fair for its citizens. This was the response.

Once again, as per my point above, I expect them to able to articulate how this response will actually improve things. I don't buy this "less roll the dice and see what happens" because many thousands of other people will have their lives adversely affected by the change (and I don't mean me).

Because you in your ivory tower didn't buy it are seriously saying you speak for the masses.  Many people saw brexit as a new start, and thought anything was better than the status quo.
Why did they think Brexit was a new start ?

Sure why vote for anything, ever?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on February 10, 2017, 12:17:20 PM
The Tories have a great record of looking after the interests of the ordinary working man on the street and the regions of the UK outside the London commuter belt. Just wait and see
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 12:25:20 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:25:28 AM
Honestly I find it extraordinary that you would believe that the super rich and the underclass came together to trigger Brexit.

There's around 5% unemployment in the UK. Feel free to add in another 5% for those who don't want to work but are forced to in order to maintain benefits.

There's also around 18% of the UK population who are aged over 65. So that's what, maybe 25% of everyone entitled to vote.

That gets you to 35% of people, who perhaps one and all were brainwashed to voted for Brexit. They are all, after all, complete idiots who do what the Sun tell them to.

But that still leaves 65% of the voting population, which means that some 17 out of each 65 must be of the super rich, high earning, variety?

When circa 3-4% of the voting population make over £100k pa, this would be most strange.

----

Face facts folks. Not everyone at the top of the payscale voted leave, nor did each of their counterparts at the bottom.

The "middle" played a sizeable role in how the votes was cast. The well-educated, squeezed middle played a sizeable, meaty, chunky role.
Wobbler turnout was much higher for oldies so you need to rework your model. 18m people live in deindustrialised areas which had a high leave vote. Working poor may be 20% of population.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on February 10, 2017, 12:35:49 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:39:07 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on February 10, 2017, 10:10:43 AM
Most opinions on Brexit must be based on supposition, as the final deal is not yet known. So anything I am going on to say is making the assumption that Mrs Thatch....er May means it when she says no customs union, the common travel area is something that can get around the movement of people.
No matter what way you look at it no customs union will mean the death knell for an all island economy and be especially hard on the Agri food sector which both jurisdictions see as a key industry. For instance about a third of NI's milk is processed in the ROI and turned into Irish Cheese to be exported to the EU (UK and beyond), after without a custom's union there will be a tariff making this milk more expensive and uncompetitive, aside from that EU rules as they stand would preclude any product made with this milk from being sold within the EU. NI's pork plants rely on ROI pigs to make them competitive, the lamb and beef sector rely on processors in the ROI to process a significant amount of their product. In short there is a lot of transfer of agri food products between both jurisdictions at various points of the process. It is hard to see how this is not a negative to both parties. On the retail side visitors from the ROI to NI will have the same constraints on goods that exist between Non EU and EU at present, including tariffs and bans on importing certain products and food stuffs. That is before we look at the special arrangement that allows Trump to give May one whenever he likes. That will see an influx of GM foods, hormone soaked beef and bleached chicken which even if banned from this island will still be a threat given that part of the Island is in the UK. So if this is scaremongering so be it but it is scenarios such as this that the DUP are saying bring it on too with out thought or plan. May does not give a stuff about Ireland north or south.

The problem with all this is that you are making wildly pessimistic suppositions ("death knell for all island economy"), that the UK is going to pull down a gate and not let anything in or out, and that the EU is going to put up similar gates at the other side... just in case those slippery b**tard brits get a head start.

Sorry to tell you, but this is plainly f**king bonkers.

Some things will change.  Some for the better, some for the worse. Some pipelines will close, and some opportunities will appear in their place. Take a walk down any street in your town and remember what companies and businesses used to be there, and it will help you realise that this is a fact of life, and very little to do with Brexit. Have a look at the Fortune 500 in 2007, 1997, 1987, 1977, 1967, and you'll see this affects every walk of life from small retailer to international conglomerate.
Sorry but the EU will not allow non EU raw materials be used in the production of Products branded EU/Irish. I did sy that I am basing this on May's current position and any deal with Trump will be on his terms.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 12:55:44 PM
The big problem with Brexit is that it was not planned. Nothing was prepared. Nobody examined the implications. It is worse than a box kick.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Owenmoresider on February 10, 2017, 01:08:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 10:38:45 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:25:28 AM
The "middle" played a sizeable role in how the votes was cast. The well-educated, squeezed middle played a sizeable, meaty, chunky role.

They played a role, but a majority of this group did not support Brexit.

Brexit is relatively complex matter, since the union has many benefits as well as some trade-offs for those benefits. The media managed to simplify discussion to the downsides of the EU without doing so for the upsides and managed to engender an anti expert campaign against those who proposed a more complex view.

Had such a referendum been run in the ROI the referendum commission would have ensured a more balanced presentation of information at least.
The last referendum we had here would leave that open to question.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 01:47:39 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 12:06:02 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 11:48:55 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 10, 2017, 11:30:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 11:19:34 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
But again, by defending the squeezed middle and highlighting the role of the media, the undertones of what you're saying is that a much larger proportion of people who voted for Brexit (than against it) only did so because they are either a) stupid, b) brainwashed, or c) brainwashed and stupid.

Disagreeing with someone is one thing, but I expect them to be able to coherently rationalise their own point of view.


Quote from: thewobbler on February 10, 2017, 10:53:53 AM
What I get from this is that while newspapers have influence, most people will actually look at their own situation when casting a vote. If it's good, okay, or even "least worst", they'll vote to maintain the status quo.  If not, they'll look for alternatives. That, in my unqualified opinion, is why Brexit happened. I believe it had little or nothing to do with racism or the NHS; they were just the stories used to fill column inches that people no longer read. A succession of UK governments have seen life become a little tougher and less fair for its citizens. This was the response.

Once again, as per my point above, I expect them to able to articulate how this response will actually improve things. I don't buy this "less roll the dice and see what happens" because many thousands of other people will have their lives adversely affected by the change (and I don't mean me).

Because you in your ivory tower didn't buy it are seriously saying you speak for the masses.  Many people saw brexit as a new start, and thought anything was better than the status quo.
Why did they think Brexit was a new start ?

Sure why vote for anything, ever?
People voted for Fianna Fail in 2007. That was pretty stupid
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 10, 2017, 04:16:19 PM
UK economy continues to grow faster than predicted
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/10/uk-manufacturing-construction-ended-2016-strong-ons
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 10, 2017, 05:44:40 PM
Sure it is all people spending on their credit cards!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 06:09:24 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 10, 2017, 04:16:19 PM
UK economy continues to grow faster than predicted
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/10/uk-manufacturing-construction-ended-2016-strong-ons
What is driving it? If it isn't payrises it isn't sustainable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 06:33:37 PM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/feb/10/brexit-transitional-deal-will-lock-uk-into-eu-court-guy-verhofstadt

Verhofstadt said that he was concerned about the ramifications for the peace process in Northern Ireland following the UK's withdrawal. "Everybody is anxious and saying we don't want to return to the past. If you take Brexit as it is then, yes, you create a hard border again. Nobody thinks that is a good solution.
"How to have a Brexit and no hard border? That is the question and it is not only through some technical innovations, cameras and sensors [on a customs border]. That's a real concern."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:25:46 PM
Do the other counties like Switzerland and Norway who have borders in Europe, that are not part of the EU have hard borders and poverty??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 10, 2017, 07:30:27 PM
Norway/ Sweden is a line on the map .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 07:50:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:25:46 PM
Do the other counties like Switzerland and Norway who have borders in Europe, that are not part of the EU have hard borders and poverty??

How about Bulgaria/Turkey (https://www.google.ie/maps/@41.7167379,26.3582255,897m/data=!3m1!1e3) (and Turkey is in the Customs Union)

But the point is not exactly how awful it is, it is why the f**k should we put up with it being made worse than it is today.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:52:01 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 10, 2017, 07:30:27 PM
Norway/ Sweden is a line on the map .

I'm glad you told me that... now someone with a brain please, who knows this stuff tell me do the hard borders stop the flow of people goods and trade between these countries? And do the do well economically??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:52:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 07:50:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:25:46 PM
Do the other counties like Switzerland and Norway who have borders in Europe, that are not part of the EU have hard borders and poverty??

How about Bulgaria/Turkey (https://www.google.ie/maps/@41.7167379,26.3582255,897m/data=!3m1!1e3) (and Turkey is in the Customs Union)

How about answering my question without throwing up another ? That way we can keep on track?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 07:57:40 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:52:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 07:50:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:25:46 PM
Do the other counties like Switzerland and Norway who have borders in Europe, that are not part of the EU have hard borders and poverty??

How about Bulgaria/Turkey (https://www.google.ie/maps/@41.7167379,26.3582255,897m/data=!3m1!1e3) (and Turkey is in the Customs Union)

How about answering my question without throwing up another ? That way we can keep on track?

I doubt whether we'll keep on track anyway as you question's don't really represent an interest in the Norwegian economy, unless perhaps its troll population.

Agricultural goods may not pass freely between Norway and Sweden for one thing .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 08:10:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:52:01 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 10, 2017, 07:30:27 PM
Norway/ Sweden is a line on the map .

I'm glad you told me that... now someone with a brain please, who knows this stuff tell me do the hard borders stop the flow of people goods and trade between these countries? And do the do well economically??
There are border posts at all crossings between France and Switz. Cars are stopped. There are limits on the value of goods per person carried over the border. Business transactions have to be documented and approved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 08:17:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 08:10:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:52:01 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 10, 2017, 07:30:27 PM
Norway/ Sweden is a line on the map .

I'm glad you told me that... now someone with a brain please, who knows this stuff tell me do the hard borders stop the flow of people goods and trade between these countries? And do the do well economically??
There are border posts at all crossings between France and Switz. Cars are stopped. There are limits on the value of goods per person carried over the border. Business transactions have to be documented and approved.

Yeah I've been through the border before and I never felt as if it was a problem to be honest is Switzerland still operating as a country ? Do they have a decent economy??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 10, 2017, 08:47:47 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 08:17:16 PM
Yeah I've been through the border before and I never felt as if it was a problem to be honest is Switzerland still operating as a country ? Do they have a decent economy??

Presumably you acquainted yourself with working of EU borders before voting in the Brexit referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 08:54:28 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 08:17:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 08:10:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:52:01 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 10, 2017, 07:30:27 PM
Norway/ Sweden is a line on the map .

I'm glad you told me that... now someone with a brain please, who knows this stuff tell me do the hard borders stop the flow of people goods and trade between these countries? And do the do well economically??
There are border posts at all crossings between France and Switz. Cars are stopped. There are limits on the value of goods per person carried over the border. Business transactions have to be documented and approved.

Yeah I've been through the border before and I never felt as if it was a problem to be honest is Switzerland still operating as a country ? Do they have a decent economy??
They have pretty serious deflation. They voted in 2014 to limit EU immigration and were kicked out of Erasmus. they have spent 3 years negotiating with the EU to find a compromise. The EU takes a huge chunk of Swiss exports. Only Pharma is doing well these days.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 10, 2017, 09:01:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:52:01 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 10, 2017, 07:30:27 PM
Norway/ Sweden is a line on the map .

I'm glad you told me that... now someone with a brain please, who knows this stuff tell me do the hard borders stop the flow of people goods and trade between these countries? And do the do well economically??
You seem like a right ignorant yoke.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 09:14:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 08:54:28 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 08:17:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2017, 08:10:43 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 10, 2017, 07:52:01 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 10, 2017, 07:30:27 PM
Norway/ Sweden is a line on the map .

I'm glad you told me that... now someone with a brain please, who knows this stuff tell me do the hard borders stop the flow of people goods and trade between these countries? And do the do well economically??
There are border posts at all crossings between France and Switz. Cars are stopped. There are limits on the value of goods per person carried over the border. Business transactions have to be documented and approved.

Yeah I've been through the border before and I never felt as if it was a problem to be honest is Switzerland still operating as a country ? Do they have a decent economy??
They have pretty serious deflation. They voted in 2014 to limit EU immigration and were kicked out of Erasmus. they have spent 3 years negotiating with the EU to find a compromise. The EU takes a huge chunk of Swiss exports. Only Pharma is doing well these days.

So they are worse off that let's say, the South??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 12, 2017, 09:09:08 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/81bf6bee-eeb0-11e6-ba01-119a44939bb6

Real average earnings are forecast to be no higher between 2010 and 2020 than between 2000 and 2010 — the worst performance since the early 20th century.What then might lie ahead? We can reasonably expect rising inflation, as a result of the post-referendum depreciation of sterling, and a plateau in the level of employment, which is already at high levels. Using the latest forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility to project household incomes up to 2020, the foundation concludes that median real disposable incomes will increase by 3 per cent between 2015 and 2020, those of the top half of the distribution will grow by 7 per cent and those of the bottom half will shrink by 2 per cent. The picture is one of overall stagnation, plus rising inequality — and pensioners, who have done far better than people of working age people in recent years will continue to do so.Why is this happening? A part of the answer is slow prospective growth, which depends mainly on the prospects for productivity, but partly on the impact of Brexit. It also depends on the tax and benefit plans inherited — but, crucially, maintained — by Mrs May
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 12, 2017, 09:47:03 AM
Complete horseshite based on some knobs speculation. Keep posting those artices with each one I get a more warm fuzzy feeling it will all work out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 12, 2017, 10:34:23 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 12, 2017, 09:47:03 AM
Complete horseshite based on some knobs speculation. Keep posting those artices with each one I get a more warm fuzzy feeling it will all work out.
Tell us what you know about UK productivity
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 12, 2017, 11:08:31 AM
You know so much you should be in politics or ar least a political correspondent, oh wait you just google shite to fit your narrow minded agenda. We are all doomed though I suspect Uk will come out of this smelling of roses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 13, 2017, 04:39:14 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 12, 2017, 11:08:31 AM
We are all doomed though I suspect Uk will come out of this smelling of roses.

There's a first time for everything...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2017, 05:01:45 AM
Quote from: No wides on February 12, 2017, 11:08:31 AM
You know so much you should be in politics or ar least a political correspondent, oh wait you just google shite to fit your narrow minded agenda. We are all doomed though I suspect Uk will come out of this smelling of roses.
You sound like an AIB director in 2009
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on February 13, 2017, 05:10:18 AM
Think the Lads that run the U.K. already had a war over roses so I suspect their sense of smell when it comes to something perfected in Portydown. In other words.. all things being equal you are well "wide" of no. You just miss the point on a continuous basis.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 13, 2017, 07:45:41 AM
Some amount of soothersayers on this board.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2017, 08:59:18 AM
AIB chief executive's message to staff
Dear Colleague,

The past few days have again seen the banking sector, both at home and internationally, go through an extremely volatile time.
The Irish Government's decision to nationalise Anglo Irish Bank, together with a variety of other developments here, in the US, the UK and in other parts of the Eurozone, have all had a knock-on effect on share prices and have led to renewed uncertainty and speculation as to what is going to happen next. I can understand that seeing our share price drop severely is worrying and that you may wonder whether some of the speculation might be true.

Share prices continually rise and fall as a result of many factors and the present extreme volatility in the financial sector serves to exacerbate and exaggerate that process. AIB continues to be a strong, sound, internationally diversified organisation which serves a huge range of personal and business customers across a wide variety of sectors. We have the depth and strength required to manage our way through this period of uncertainty as an independent organisation and I believe we will do so.  Everyone in AIB Group has a role to play in dealing with these difficult times and I can assure you that the Chairman, myself, my colleagues on the Group Executive Committee and the Board are all focussed on ensuring that AIB remains well equipped to tackle whatever challenges this environment may present.

I know I can, as always, rely on all of you to play your part too. Whether you are working in RoI, Northern Ireland, Britain, Poland, the US or in any of our other locations throughout the world, I would just ask two things of you:-

Firstly, don't become sidetracked by rumour and speculation. At times like this there is always, understandably, a surfeit of both.

Secondly, and most importantly, maintain your focus on the day to day business of doing your job and looking after your customers. I cannot over emphasise how important that is as AIB has a key part to play in the revival of the economies in which we operate.

Thank you all, once again, for your continued commitment.

Eugene Sheehy
Group Chief Executive (19/01/2009)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 14, 2017, 12:19:22 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/02/14/fly-tipping-crisis-levels-britain-councils-cut-bin-collections/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 14, 2017, 10:04:13 PM
Bad news for £5 bottles of wine
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/14/brexit-wine-champagne-prosecco-more-expensive-uk-trade-body
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 14, 2017, 10:13:30 PM
How will the masses survive!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 14, 2017, 10:31:33 PM
Brokenshire is some bollix. On the news there saying that the need for customs hadn't been decided, when his boss has said the UK will leave the Single Market and the Customs Union and he has said that NI will not get special status. The pan seems to be to not have a plan so that nobody can disagree with it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 05:41:11 AM
This is very interesting 6 years later

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2011/sep/12/march-of-the-neoliberals
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 08:32:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 14, 2017, 10:04:13 PM
Bad news for £5 bottles of wine
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/14/brexit-wine-champagne-prosecco-more-expensive-uk-trade-body

Looking in the wrong place lad

https://m.tesco.com/mt/www.tesco.com/wine/product/browse/default.aspx?N=8101+8129&sc_cmp=ppc-_-sl-_-mp-_-bt-_-px_%7C_wbtc_%7C_tesco_brand_+_generics-_-tesco%20wine%20deals&gclid=CJ-V5uO6ldICFS637Qod8bQLjA&gclsrc=aw.ds&un_jtt_redirect
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 08:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 08:32:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 14, 2017, 10:04:13 PM
Bad news for £5 bottles of wine
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/14/brexit-wine-champagne-prosecco-more-expensive-uk-trade-body

Looking in the wrong place lad

https://m.tesco.com/mt/www.tesco.com/wine/product/browse/default.aspx?N=8101+8129&sc_cmp=ppc-_-sl-_-mp-_-bt-_-px_%7C_wbtc_%7C_tesco_brand_+_generics-_-tesco%20wine%20deals&gclid=CJ-V5uO6ldICFS637Qod8bQLjA&gclsrc=aw.ds&un_jtt_redirect

Wait. Tesco prices don't reflect what is going to happen.
50p on a typical £5 bottle
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 09:59:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 08:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 08:32:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 14, 2017, 10:04:13 PM
Bad news for £5 bottles of wine
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/14/brexit-wine-champagne-prosecco-more-expensive-uk-trade-body

Looking in the wrong place lad

https://m.tesco.com/mt/www.tesco.com/wine/product/browse/default.aspx?N=8101+8129&sc_cmp=ppc-_-sl-_-mp-_-bt-_-px_%7C_wbtc_%7C_tesco_brand_+_generics-_-tesco%20wine%20deals&gclid=CJ-V5uO6ldICFS637Qod8bQLjA&gclsrc=aw.ds&un_jtt_redirect

Wait. Tesco prices don't reflect what is going to happen.
50p on a typical £5 bottle

You can get cheaper ones just keep looking lad!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 10:21:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 09:59:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 08:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 08:32:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 14, 2017, 10:04:13 PM
Bad news for £5 bottles of wine
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/14/brexit-wine-champagne-prosecco-more-expensive-uk-trade-body

Looking in the wrong place lad

https://m.tesco.com/mt/www.tesco.com/wine/product/browse/default.aspx?N=8101+8129&sc_cmp=ppc-_-sl-_-mp-_-bt-_-px_%7C_wbtc_%7C_tesco_brand_+_generics-_-tesco%20wine%20deals&gclid=CJ-V5uO6ldICFS637Qod8bQLjA&gclsrc=aw.ds&un_jtt_redirect

Wait. Tesco prices don't reflect what is going to happen.
50p on a typical £5 bottle

You can get cheaper ones just keep looking lad!!
sure you can. Buckfast is way cheaper.
The value of the wine in a £5 bottle is around £1.50. Tax, bottle, distribution, cut to retailer are £3.50
If the price stays at £5 Brexit will reduce the value of the wine to £1. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 16, 2017, 10:30:34 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 10:21:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 09:59:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 08:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 08:32:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 14, 2017, 10:04:13 PM
Bad news for £5 bottles of wine
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/14/brexit-wine-champagne-prosecco-more-expensive-uk-trade-body

Looking in the wrong place lad

https://m.tesco.com/mt/www.tesco.com/wine/product/browse/default.aspx?N=8101+8129&sc_cmp=ppc-_-sl-_-mp-_-bt-_-px_%7C_wbtc_%7C_tesco_brand_+_generics-_-tesco%20wine%20deals&gclid=CJ-V5uO6ldICFS637Qod8bQLjA&gclsrc=aw.ds&un_jtt_redirect

Wait. Tesco prices don't reflect what is going to happen.
50p on a typical £5 bottle

You can get cheaper ones just keep looking lad!!
sure you can. Buckfast is way cheaper.
The value of the wine in a £5 bottle is around £1.50. Tax, bottle, distribution, cut to retailer are £3.50
If the price stays at £5 Brexit will reduce the value of the wine to £1.

Its 7 pound knobhead. I take it personal abuse is now acceptable as i am still watched and the watsup group can say what they want about me and mine
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 11:12:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 10:21:27 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 09:59:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2017, 08:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 08:32:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 14, 2017, 10:04:13 PM
Bad news for £5 bottles of wine
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/feb/14/brexit-wine-champagne-prosecco-more-expensive-uk-trade-body

Looking in the wrong place lad

https://m.tesco.com/mt/www.tesco.com/wine/product/browse/default.aspx?N=8101+8129&sc_cmp=ppc-_-sl-_-mp-_-bt-_-px_%7C_wbtc_%7C_tesco_brand_+_generics-_-tesco%20wine%20deals&gclid=CJ-V5uO6ldICFS637Qod8bQLjA&gclsrc=aw.ds&un_jtt_redirect

Wait. Tesco prices don't reflect what is going to happen.
50p on a typical £5 bottle

You can get cheaper ones just keep looking lad!!
sure you can. Buckfast is way cheaper.
The value of the wine in a £5 bottle is around £1.50. Tax, bottle, distribution, cut to retailer are £3.50
If the price stays at £5 Brexit will reduce the value of the wine to £1.

Buckfast grand!! You'll get that on the cheap should you come north! Newtownards doing a deal on it, you've been so I don't have to direct you

Pound shop has changed its name to £1.50 shop!! Madness
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 17, 2017, 12:02:47 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 16, 2017, 11:12:57 PM


Pound shop has changed its name to £1.50 shop!! Madness

It will be the €1.50 shop shortly.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 07:02:31 AM
Long run effects on the UK economy. Another reason to vote Sinn Fein/SDLP

https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/brexits-long-run-effects-john-van-reenen.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 19, 2017, 03:13:08 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 07:02:31 AM
Long run effects on the UK economy. Another reason to vote Sinn Fein/SDLP

https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/brexits-long-run-effects-john-van-reenen.pdf

Because a vote for either will achieve what exactly?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 19, 2017, 03:43:53 PM
I'm more inclined to think Brexit won't happen at all now. People were duped, false news etc etc, now Blair jumping on the bandwagon talking about Armageddon. I'd say the longer it goes on, the fascists will get more support (through fearmongering) and reverse the decision. The people who voted obviously didn't know what they were doing. Back in Europe, say no more. The fascists win.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 19, 2017, 03:46:36 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 19, 2017, 03:43:53 PM
I'm more inclined to think Brexit won't happen at all now. People were duped, false news etc etc, now Blair jumping on the bandwagon talking about Armageddon. I'd say the longer it goes on, the fascists will get more support (through fearmongering) and reverse the decision. The people who voted obviously didn't know what they were doing. Back in Europe, say no more. The fascists win.

I would be inclined to agree.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 04:29:46 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 19, 2017, 03:43:53 PM
I'm more inclined to think Brexit won't happen at all now. People were duped, false news etc etc, now Blair jumping on the bandwagon talking about Armageddon. I'd say the longer it goes on, the fascists will get more support (through fearmongering) and reverse the decision. The people who voted obviously didn't know what they were doing. Back in Europe, say no more. The fascists win.

You may be correct about the not happening, or at least that less will happen than is being talked about. This will mean that the fascists have lost and that reason will have won.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 04:55:53 PM
Brexit is the next logical stage of Thatcherism. Strip workers of rights and slash their wages so the rich make even more money. Sell them bullshit so they sign off their own pauperisation.  The DUP is so incompetent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:10:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 04:55:53 PM
Brexit is the next logical stage of Thatcherism. Strip workers of rights and slash their wages so the rich make even more money. Sell them bullshit so they sign off their own pauperisation.  The DUP is so incompetent.

DUP only voted leave cause shiners said stay, Thatcherism (dead), slashed wages (hasn't happened) the rich will always make money (as they do in every other country)

I hope your not going to be too disappointed if your doomsday doesn't happen... anyways what's happening with Enda? Now that's incompetence at a higher level
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:10:58 PM
DUP only voted leave cause shiners said stay, Thatcherism (dead), slashed wages (hasn't happened) the rich will always make money (as they do in every other country)

Arlene Foster lives in Fermanagh, a place where there is a hardly a job that isn't related to cross border trade or agriculture. Yes she promoted this Brexit, when are in a situation where the DUP are willing to ruin the place just to spite the Taigs then we have clearly reach the point when NI has reached the end of its usefulness.

QuoteI hope your not going to be too disappointed if your doomsday doesn't happen... anyways what's happening with Enda? Now that's incompetence at a higher level

More immature attempts to cause "controversy" rather than the subject of the thread. The doomsday situation probably won;t happen, but the fact that such a scenario is widely promoted by people in power is rather alarming.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:52:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:10:58 PM
DUP only voted leave cause shiners said stay, Thatcherism (dead), slashed wages (hasn't happened) the rich will always make money (as they do in every other country)

Arlene Foster lives in Fermanagh, a place where there is a hardly a job that isn't related to cross border trade or agriculture. Yes she promoted this Brexit, when are in a situation where the DUP are willing to ruin the place just to spite the Taigs then we have clearly reach the point when NI has reached the end of its usefulness.

QuoteI hope your not going to be too disappointed if your doomsday doesn't happen... anyways what's happening with Enda? Now that's incompetence at a higher level

More immature attempts to cause "controversy" rather than the subject of the thread. The doomsday situation probably won;t happen, but the fact that such a scenario is widely promoted by people in power is rather alarming.

Seafoid has put up one doomsday post after another... as for the DUP even their own politicians said she should have walked...

Example today when Sammy came around canvassing said to the father in law can I expect your vote, he told him not a chance and told Sammy Arlene shoulda walked, he agreed and came back with responses it's either us or the shinners! Tribal politics pure gutter politics..

Let's not speculate on something we can't speculate on cause even the ones in power don't know, and as of yet I've not spoken to anyone who either works in private sector public sector or bankers who have said they are getting it tight..

Are you suffering at the minute?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 06:16:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:52:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:10:58 PM
DUP only voted leave cause shiners said stay, Thatcherism (dead), slashed wages (hasn't happened) the rich will always make money (as they do in every other country)

Arlene Foster lives in Fermanagh, a place where there is a hardly a job that isn't related to cross border trade or agriculture. Yes she promoted this Brexit, when are in a situation where the DUP are willing to ruin the place just to spite the Taigs then we have clearly reach the point when NI has reached the end of its usefulness.

QuoteI hope your not going to be too disappointed if your doomsday doesn't happen... anyways what's happening with Enda? Now that's incompetence at a higher level

More immature attempts to cause "controversy" rather than the subject of the thread. The doomsday situation probably won;t happen, but the fact that such a scenario is widely promoted by people in power is rather alarming.

Seafoid has put up one doomsday post after another... as for the DUP even their own politicians said she should have walked...

Example today when Sammy came around canvassing said to the father in law can I expect your vote, he told him not a chance and told Sammy Arlene shoulda walked, he agreed and came back with responses it's either us or the shinners! Tribal politics pure gutter politics..

Let's not speculate on something we can't speculate on cause even the ones in power don't know, and as of yet I've not spoken to anyone who either works in private sector public sector or bankers who have said they are getting it tight..

Are you suffering at the minute?
Sketch a positive Brexit outcome MR so we can examine it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 06:17:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:52:55 PM
Seafoid has put up one doomsday post after another... as for the DUP even their own politicians said she should have walked...

Seafoid does tend to post a lot of stuff, but a link to research at one of the world's top universities is more use than ranting about facists.



QuoteExample today when Sammy came around canvassing said to the father in law can I expect your vote, he told him not a chance and told Sammy Arlene shoulda walked, he agreed and came back with responses it's either us or the shinners! Tribal politics pure gutter politics..

What do you expect from a pig but a grunt? However, for all that they have mainly managed to keep things within bounds in recent years.

QuoteLet's not speculate on something we can't speculate on cause even the ones in power don't know, and as of yet I've not spoken to anyone who either works in private sector public sector or bankers who have said they are getting it tight..

What's the point of a thread if you cannot express an opinion? Many many people say they are not getting it right, but still they are not stopping!

QuoteAre you suffering at the minute?

Your concern is very comforting. I have a sore back, and a cough.
But if you mean am I suffering from Brexit, then I am not and I do not expect to, except indirectly as chaos breaks out in the 6 counties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 06:34:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 06:16:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:52:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:10:58 PM
DUP only voted leave cause shiners said stay, Thatcherism (dead), slashed wages (hasn't happened) the rich will always make money (as they do in every other country)

Arlene Foster lives in Fermanagh, a place where there is a hardly a job that isn't related to cross border trade or agriculture. Yes she promoted this Brexit, when are in a situation where the DUP are willing to ruin the place just to spite the Taigs then we have clearly reach the point when NI has reached the end of its usefulness.

QuoteI hope your not going to be too disappointed if your doomsday doesn't happen... anyways what's happening with Enda? Now that's incompetence at a higher level

More immature attempts to cause "controversy" rather than the subject of the thread. The doomsday situation probably won;t happen, but the fact that such a scenario is widely promoted by people in power is rather alarming.

Seafoid has put up one doomsday post after another... as for the DUP even their own politicians said she should have walked...

Example today when Sammy came around canvassing said to the father in law can I expect your vote, he told him not a chance and told Sammy Arlene shoulda walked, he agreed and came back with responses it's either us or the shinners! Tribal politics pure gutter politics..

Let's not speculate on something we can't speculate on cause even the ones in power don't know, and as of yet I've not spoken to anyone who either works in private sector public sector or bankers who have said they are getting it tight..

Are you suffering at the minute?
Sketch a positive Brexit outcome MR so we can examine it

I can't and neither can you... never happened before
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 19, 2017, 06:48:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 04:55:53 PM
Brexit is the next logical stage of Thatcherism. Strip workers of rights and slash their wages so the rich make even more money. Sell them bullshit so they sign off their own pauperisation.  The DUP is so incompetent.

The rich will always make money, as MR2 said. The system will always be set up to screw ordinary folk, whether in Europe or out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 07:05:06 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 19, 2017, 06:48:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 04:55:53 PM
Brexit is the next logical stage of Thatcherism. Strip workers of rights and slash their wages so the rich make even more money. Sell them bullshit so they sign off their own pauperisation.  The DUP is so incompetent.

The rich will always make money, as MR2 said. The system will always be set up to screw ordinary folk, whether in Europe or out.
The economy goes in cycles. Thuas seal, thíos seal. Capital v labour. One side goes too far and the other takes over. We are near a turning point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 07:06:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 06:34:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 06:16:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:52:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:10:58 PM
DUP only voted leave cause shiners said stay, Thatcherism (dead), slashed wages (hasn't happened) the rich will always make money (as they do in every other country)

Arlene Foster lives in Fermanagh, a place where there is a hardly a job that isn't related to cross border trade or agriculture. Yes she promoted this Brexit, when are in a situation where the DUP are willing to ruin the place just to spite the Taigs then we have clearly reach the point when NI has reached the end of its usefulness.

QuoteI hope your not going to be too disappointed if your doomsday doesn't happen... anyways what's happening with Enda? Now that's incompetence at a higher level

More immature attempts to cause "controversy" rather than the subject of the thread. The doomsday situation probably won;t happen, but the fact that such a scenario is widely promoted by people in power is rather alarming.

Seafoid has put up one doomsday post after another... as for the DUP even their own politicians said she should have walked...

Example today when Sammy came around canvassing said to the father in law can I expect your vote, he told him not a chance and told Sammy Arlene shoulda walked, he agreed and came back with responses it's either us or the shinners! Tribal politics pure gutter politics..

Let's not speculate on something we can't speculate on cause even the ones in power don't know, and as of yet I've not spoken to anyone who either works in private sector public sector or bankers who have said they are getting it tight..

Are you suffering at the minute?
Sketch a positive Brexit outcome MR so we can examine it

I can't and neither can you... never happened before
Why do you think Brexit is superior to the present set up?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: No wides on February 19, 2017, 08:07:42 PM
It hasn't happened yet. Why do you think it's not?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 08:30:54 PM
Quote from: No wides on February 19, 2017, 08:07:42 PM
It hasn't happened yet. Why do you think it's not?

47.9% of UK exports go to the EU 27 free of tariffs.
Brexit will result in higher tariffs and documentation delays.

Maybe someone can explain how this will be a positive influence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 08:55:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 07:06:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 06:34:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 06:16:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:52:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:10:58 PM
DUP only voted leave cause shiners said stay, Thatcherism (dead), slashed wages (hasn't happened) the rich will always make money (as they do in every other country)

Arlene Foster lives in Fermanagh, a place where there is a hardly a job that isn't related to cross border trade or agriculture. Yes she promoted this Brexit, when are in a situation where the DUP are willing to ruin the place just to spite the Taigs then we have clearly reach the point when NI has reached the end of its usefulness.

QuoteI hope your not going to be too disappointed if your doomsday doesn't happen... anyways what's happening with Enda? Now that's incompetence at a higher level

More immature attempts to cause "controversy" rather than the subject of the thread. The doomsday situation probably won;t happen, but the fact that such a scenario is widely promoted by people in power is rather alarming.

Seafoid has put up one doomsday post after another... as for the DUP even their own politicians said she should have walked...

Example today when Sammy came around canvassing said to the father in law can I expect your vote, he told him not a chance and told Sammy Arlene shoulda walked, he agreed and came back with responses it's either us or the shinners! Tribal politics pure gutter politics..

Let's not speculate on something we can't speculate on cause even the ones in power don't know, and as of yet I've not spoken to anyone who either works in private sector public sector or bankers who have said they are getting it tight..

Are you suffering at the minute?
Sketch a positive Brexit outcome MR so we can examine it

I can't and neither can you... never happened before
Why do you think Brexit is superior to the present set up?

I didn't.... but let's look at it when Britain has no trade deals and ends up like Greece in the gutter. Then at that point I'll say Christ your man Seafoid knew his stuff!

Until then I'm going to work as normal, save a bit, pay off my mortgage hopefully help my kids get through college and plan my retirement! Be positive seafoid wake up with a smile, you'll feel better
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2017, 07:56:00 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 08:55:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 07:06:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 06:34:36 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2017, 06:16:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:52:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2017, 05:37:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 19, 2017, 05:10:58 PM
DUP only voted leave cause shiners said stay, Thatcherism (dead), slashed wages (hasn't happened) the rich will always make money (as they do in every other country)

Arlene Foster lives in Fermanagh, a place where there is a hardly a job that isn't related to cross border trade or agriculture. Yes she promoted this Brexit, when are in a situation where the DUP are willing to ruin the place just to spite the Taigs then we have clearly reach the point when NI has reached the end of its usefulness.

QuoteI hope your not going to be too disappointed if your doomsday doesn't happen... anyways what's happening with Enda? Now that's incompetence at a higher level

More immature attempts to cause "controversy" rather than the subject of the thread. The doomsday situation probably won;t happen, but the fact that such a scenario is widely promoted by people in power is rather alarming.

Seafoid has put up one doomsday post after another... as for the DUP even their own politicians said she should have walked...

Example today when Sammy came around canvassing said to the father in law can I expect your vote, he told him not a chance and told Sammy Arlene shoulda walked, he agreed and came back with responses it's either us or the shinners! Tribal politics pure gutter politics..

Let's not speculate on something we can't speculate on cause even the ones in power don't know, and as of yet I've not spoken to anyone who either works in private sector public sector or bankers who have said they are getting it tight..

Are you suffering at the minute?
Sketch a positive Brexit outcome MR so we can examine it

I can't and neither can you... never happened before
Why do you think Brexit is superior to the present set up?

I didn't.... but let's look at it when Britain has no trade deals and ends up like Greece in the gutter. Then at that point I'll say Christ your man Seafoid knew his stuff!

Until then I'm going to work as normal, save a bit, pay off my mortgage hopefully help my kids get through college and plan my retirement! Be positive seafoid wake up with a smile, you'll feel better
That is fair enough, MR. I used to think things would always be stable and that people in charge knew what they were doing. But then AIB collapsed. We are going through a very volatile phase.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2017, 10:24:27 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/feb/20/one-in-four-uk-families-have-less-than-95-in-savings-report-finds

In a sign of growing financial strain, low-income families had just £95 of savings and investments, excluding pensions, this winter, compared with £136 in the same period last year. That figure jumps to £62,885 among high-income families, up from £50,208 a year earlier.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/food-and-drink/news/shrinkflation-10-food-products-have-got-smaller-since-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 20, 2017, 03:03:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2017, 10:24:27 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/feb/20/one-in-four-uk-families-have-less-than-95-in-savings-report-finds

In a sign of growing financial strain, low-income families had just £95 of savings and investments, excluding pensions, this winter, compared with £136 in the same period last year. That figure jumps to £62,885 among high-income families, up from £50,208 a year earlier.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/food-and-drink/news/shrinkflation-10-food-products-have-got-smaller-since-brexit/

Creme eggs! which is not a bad thing as it will keep the waist line thinner
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2017, 05:17:31 PM
And fish fingers. Hurting poor people especially.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 21, 2017, 04:01:37 PM
A sixty billion bill to cover pre committed spend on the way out might make it interesting.
Also the EUs position that Northern Ireland and Scotland would be the bargaining chips?

With the way the chips are falling Stormont could be irrelevant in 10 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 21, 2017, 04:52:53 PM
Quote from: heganboy on February 21, 2017, 04:01:37 PM
A sixty billion bill to cover pre committed spend on the way out might make it interesting.
Also the EUs position that Northern Ireland and Scotland would be the bargaining chips?

With the way the chips are falling Stormont could be irrelevant in 10 years.
60bn is around 3 years @350 m per week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 22, 2017, 03:18:38 PM
Brexit will be more bitter than Rangers v Celtic
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/feb/22/brexit-talks-could-get-gory-bitter-and-twisted-sir-ivan-rogers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 23, 2017, 12:24:17 PM
Guardian. Opinion piece:

In the new world order created by Trump and Brexit, Ireland could be ripped apart
Fintan O'Toole
The tectonic plates are shifting: Britain is being sucked into the US orbit, so the Irish border will become not just a political frontier but an ideological boundary


One thing the Brexiters did not lie about was their emphatic assurance that the island of Ireland would experience, as Theresa May continues to insist, "no return to the borders of the past". What they did not say was that there will be a whole new frontier – welcome to the borders of the future.

We are not going back to the way things used to be before the UK and Ireland joined the European Economic Community in 1973. We are going forward, accidentally and haphazardly, into a division of the island that could be more profound than it has ever been. At best, it will be a border between the UK and the European Union itself. But at worst, it could even be a border between a new Trumpian world order and a Europe struggling to hold on to a notion of transnational democracy. Yet nobody seems to be thinking much about these possibilities.

Politics are in turmoil in both Irish jurisdictions. In the republic, Enda Kenny is being shooed towards the exit door because of the failure of his government to deal with an extraordinary scandal over the alleged smearing of a police whistleblower, Maurice McCabe. In Northern Ireland, there is an election brought about by the almost equally extraordinary scandal of a breathtakingly expensive renewable heating initiative.

Both issues are important. But neither is of the scale of what Brexit is threatening to do to Ireland. What is at stake is quite literally Ireland's place in the world. An island that has been bedevilled by great uncertainties of belonging is being forced to think again about where it belongs in an even more uncertain geopolitical context.


Assurances that there would be no hard border between north and south when Northern Ireland is hauled out of the EU against its will were always lazy and reckless. At heart, they were based on an arrogant assumption by many Brexiters and some unionists that the republic is really still no more than an eccentric adjunct of the UK. It wasn't necessary to think the thing through in detail because the Irish would quickly realise that their best bet was to follow Britain's lead out of the EU and into the new Isles of the Blest that would emerge in the Atlantic. And even if they didn't, the Irish authorities would obediently agree to operate British border controls at Irish ports and airports.


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As Brexit moves from airy fantasy into messy reality, only the most deluded still think any of this. Ireland will remain in the EU, and because it is part of the EU, the Irish border will be an external EU border. Even if the implications of this fact for migration can be fudged, the border will be inescapably present. The new line from May is that it will be "as fluid and frictionless" as possible – not so much a UK border, perhaps, as a KY border. But no amount of verbal lubrication can ease the reality that the UK (and thus Northern Ireland) will be in an entirely different customs regime to the republic.

The need for a quick deal will suck the UK into the gravitational field of Trump's assault on liberal democracy
So when the UK does its fabulous trade deals with Donald Trump's US, what happens to the KY border? The Oxford-based economic historian Kevin O'Rourke has cited the simple example of one of the things that Trump would undoubtedly want in such a deal: duty-free access to the UK market for cheap, hormone-enhanced American beef. The EU, including the republic, will keep a 15% tariff on this beef. Without rigorous border controls, clever importers in, say, Newry, could bring in that US beef without paying duty and send it across to Dundalk and thence into the whole EU. And the same could go for cars or steel or anything else that Trump would love to boast about exporting to save American jobs. The EU's own customs union would become a nonsense. Why on earth would it allow that to happen? It won't – customs checks, with all the economic cost and all the psychological irritation, are inevitable.

But there's something even larger at stake now. The consequences of Britain's need to replace EU markets are not just economic. The tectonic plates that underlie the current political architecture are shifting. When reality bites and Britain realises that the EU is not going to give the UK back all the cake it has eaten, there will most probably be a ramping up of nationalist and anti-European rhetoric in England. And the need for a quick trade deal with the US will suck the UK as whole into the gravitational field of Trump's reactionary assault on liberal democracy and transnational institutions. If that happens, the Irish border will become not just an economic, migration and political frontier. It will become an ideological boundary.

None of this is inevitable – and in truth none of us has a clue where the Trump escapade will lead – but it is a live possibility. We have to consider a grotesque absurdity: that the road between Newry and Dundalk or Lifford and Strabane leads from one geopolitical zone to another. On the one side there is the neo-nationalist world order; on the other the rather isolated edge of an embattled transnational EU. This would make the "borders of the past" seem like garden paths strewn with rose petals

Even in the most benign scenario, where post-Brexit Britain somehow escapes the clutches of a reactionary nationalism and does not fall into Trump's orbit, Ireland has to deal with a profound question of belonging. It has long enjoyed the luxury of not having to choose between being part of the EU on the one hand and being closely intertwined – culturally and economically – with the Anglo-American world. But as these two spheres drift apart, Ireland risks being pulled asunder if it tries to stay with both. It will have to think of itself, politically and psychologically, as a more European country. Which would be all very well if part of the island were not being forced to define itself as much less European.

There is only one way to avoid this and that is, of course, for Northern Ireland to remain effectively within the EU as a special zone whose recent history justifies its status as an exceptional place – a part of the EU in the UK and a part of the UK in the EU. That, we will be told, is too great a stretch of the imagination. But it is not nearly so big a stretch as the crazy divisions that the Brexit zealots are imposing on a small island that was trying hard to escape from the legacy of the narrow nationalism they are embracing.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 23, 2017, 04:20:46 PM
Enda fighting the good fight
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/feb/23/irish-leader-enda-kenny-calls-for-united-ireland-provision-in-brexit-deal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on February 23, 2017, 04:35:17 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 23, 2017, 04:20:46 PM
Enda fighting the good fight
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/feb/23/irish-leader-enda-kenny-calls-for-united-ireland-provision-in-brexit-deal

The DUP would love that wording.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 23, 2017, 04:52:54 PM
Good man Enda.
Is the British House of so called Lords holding up May's trigger finger?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 08:17:19 AM
Time for Labour to finally bring the Corby era to an end before they are fatally wiped out.

Tories in historic by-election Copeland win as Labour holds Stoke - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39064149
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on February 24, 2017, 08:31:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 08:17:19 AM
Time for Labour to finally bring the Corby era to an end before they are fatally wiped out.

Tories in historic by-election Copeland win as Labour holds Stoke - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39064149
If Scotland leave the union, they'll be nearly wiped out anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on February 24, 2017, 08:37:34 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 24, 2017, 08:31:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 08:17:19 AM
Time for Labour to finally bring the Corby era to an end before they are fatally wiped out.

Tories in historic by-election Copeland win as Labour holds Stoke - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39064149
If Scotland leave the union, they'll be nearly wiped out anyway.

Scotland leave the union means the grip on NI will tighten up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 08:46:13 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 08:17:19 AM
Time for Labour to finally bring the Corby era to an end before they are fatally wiped out.

Tories in historic by-election Copeland win as Labour holds Stoke - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39064149
Tories never do anything progressive. Who introduced NHS, unemployment benefit etc?
The Tories are in full on groupthink mode over Brexit which will fail. Labour will get a chance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 09:39:35 AM
Not with Student Grant at the helm.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 24, 2017, 02:02:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 08:46:13 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 08:17:19 AM
Time for Labour to finally bring the Corby era to an end before they are fatally wiped out.

Tories in historic by-election Copeland win as Labour holds Stoke - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39064149
Tories never do anything progressive. Who introduced NHS, unemployment benefit etc?
The Tories are in full on groupthink mode over Brexit which will fail. Labour will get a chance.

If there were an election today the Tories would nearly destroy Labour!!!

Whatever about Corbyn's Socialist ideals that doesn't matter a f**k when it comes to Elections and he has all the charisma of a doughnut!!! He is not a leader and should not be in charge of the party.

If someone young and articulate with socialist ideals that played well with the working class without being a maniac like Trump could pull Labour back from the brink. They badly need to be energised and new blood is the way to do it.

A Trudeau like character would be ideal granted there aren't too many like that around!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: uimhr ocht on February 24, 2017, 02:53:12 PM
Since Gordon brown spoke against Scottish independence in the build up to referendum along with Cameron they promised xyz but got nothing finished labour in Scotland and they needed to keep Labour strong in Scotland to have any chance of getting into power in Westminster.The tories have no opposition to worry them at present.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 02:54:55 PM
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland-assembly-election/revealed-group-that-funded-dups-425000-brexit-ad-campaign-35477951.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on February 24, 2017, 02:55:35 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 24, 2017, 02:02:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 08:46:13 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 08:17:19 AM
Time for Labour to finally bring the Corby era to an end before they are fatally wiped out.

Tories in historic by-election Copeland win as Labour holds Stoke - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39064149
Tories never do anything progressive. Who introduced NHS, unemployment benefit etc?
The Tories are in full on groupthink mode over Brexit which will fail. Labour will get a chance.

If there were an election today the Tories would nearly destroy Labour!!!

Whatever about Corbyn's Socialist ideals that doesn't matter a f**k when it comes to Elections and he has all the charisma of a doughnut!!! He is not a leader and should not be in charge of the party.

If someone young and articulate with socialist ideals that played well with the working class without being a maniac like Trump could pull Labour back from the brink. They badly need to be energised and new blood is the way to do it.

A Trudeau like character would be ideal granted there aren't too many like that around!!

David Milliband was the man for Labour but his brother shafted his rectum, he might still be fit to do it but probably could do without the hassle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on February 24, 2017, 03:05:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 08:46:13 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 08:17:19 AM
Time for Labour to finally bring the Corby era to an end before they are fatally wiped out.

Tories in historic by-election Copeland win as Labour holds Stoke - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39064149
Tories never do anything progressive. Who introduced NHS, unemployment benefit etc?
The Tories are in full on groupthink mode over Brexit which will fail. Labour will get a chance.

They will get a chance at the next GE, and will get obliterated
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 03:15:45 PM
Quote from: Minder on February 24, 2017, 03:05:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 08:46:13 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2017, 08:17:19 AM
Time for Labour to finally bring the Corby era to an end before they are fatally wiped out.

Tories in historic by-election Copeland win as Labour holds Stoke - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39064149
Tories never do anything progressive. Who introduced NHS, unemployment benefit etc?
The Tories are in full on groupthink mode over Brexit which will fail. Labour will get a chance.

They will get a chance at the next GE, and will get obliterated
Not if the economy collapses. See FF for details. If Trump implements $9tn in tax cuts the whole house of cards incl UK and EZ will blow up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 24, 2017, 11:53:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 02:54:55 PM
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland-assembly-election/revealed-group-that-funded-dups-425000-brexit-ad-campaign-35477951.html
An anonymous group with links to the Saudi secret service! The Saudis are looking to a drop in the value if the £, makes their armaments, London properties, etc cheaper.
Wonder what Unionisms Friends of Israel will make of this!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 24, 2017, 11:58:27 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 24, 2017, 11:53:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 24, 2017, 02:54:55 PM
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland-assembly-election/revealed-group-that-funded-dups-425000-brexit-ad-campaign-35477951.html
An anonymous group with links to the Saudi secret service! The Saudis are looking to a drop in the value if the £, makes their armaments, London properties, etc cheaper.
Wonder what Unionisms Friends of Israel will make of this!

DUP middle east rep
(https://fournews-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/media/2013/09/27_HAMZA_w.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 28, 2017, 07:50:26 PM
From
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/28/opinion/northern-ireland-and-the-disunited-kingdom.html

QuoteBELFAST, Northern Ireland — The most striking thing about Ireland's only land border is its absence. No posts or fences mark its circuitous 310-mile length. There is neither razor wire nor checkpoints.

When, a couple of years ago, I often took a rickety bus from the Republic of Ireland into Northern Ireland, I would occasionally pass the time by trying to figure out if we had crossed the invisible line based on when my cellphone switched providers. I was seldom certain. The hedgerows and fields, the fog-capped hills, look the same on either side.

Now, in the wake of the Brexit referendum, the border has returned to Irish politics. When Britain leaves the European Union, which is expected to happen some time before the summer of 2019, the undulating border counties will become a European Union frontier, raising the prospect of dislocation, violence and political disintegration in Ireland — and in Britain.

On March 2, elections will be held for Northern Ireland's Parliament, which is responsible for devolved issues like health and education. Ostensibly, the vote — the second in less than 10 months — was set off by a scandal over spending on renewable heating. But it is as much the product of the European Union referendum as local incompetence.

Nearly 56 percent of people in Northern Ireland voted in last June's referendum for Britain to remain in the European Union. The government in Belfast was split: Sinn Fein, the erstwhile party of the Irish Republican Army, advocated remaining; their coalition partners, the evangelical-aligned Democratic Unionist Party, spent almost half a million pounds backing the Leave campaign.

Under Northern Ireland's complex power-sharing system, the government cannot function if the two largest parties refuse to take part. But since the Brexit referendum, relations between the Democratic Unionists and Sinn Fein have deteriorated so badly that many doubt the two parties can return to their mandatory coalition after the March 2 vote. Even more troubling, Brexit undermines the fundamental premise on which the Northern Irish peace process rests: respect for diversity. Despite the wishes of its electorate, Northern Ireland will be leaving the European Union on the same terms as the rest of Britain.

This is not just a democratic deficit. Economically, Northern Ireland, the poorest region in Britain, has become increasingly integrated with the Republic of Ireland. Cross-border trade, particularly in agriculture, has grown steadily. A single energy market was one of the first tangible fruits of the 1998 Good Friday Agreement, which ended 30 years of sectarian violence.

In the almost two decades since, Northern Ireland has quietly slipped from Britain's national consciousness. The seemingly endless television reports of bombings and killings have been replaced by silence. The Conservatives, in particular, have little affection for what Winston Churchill called "the dreary steeples of Fermanagh and Tyrone."

Churchill's distant successor, Prime Minister Theresa May, spent the second half of last year promising "no return to the borders of the past." Now Ms. May says that the Irish border will be as "fluid" and "friction-free" as possible. What this means in practice is anyone's guess: James Brokenshire, the secretary of state for Northern Ireland, is reputed to placate queries about the border by saying, "Ms. May is aware of your concerns."


Every weekday, get thought-provoking commentary from Op-Ed columnists, the Times editorial board and contributing writers from around the world.

Awareness alone will not, however, solve the border problem — or the broader problems. Some 300 roads cross this border, some winding from one jurisdiction to another multiple times in short stretches. Customs posts and border checks would be both vertiginously expensive and an attractive target for emboldened Irish republicans opposed to the peace process.

A solution could — in theory — be possible. Ireland is not part of the European free-travel zone set up by the Schengen Agreement and, as the British government has repeatedly pointed out, an island-wide common travel area predates the European project. Such an accommodation for Northern Ireland, however, would require Brussels' imprimatur — something Ms. May seems unwilling to even ask for.

Northern Ireland's economy, so precarious that it requires an annual transfer of around 10 billion pounds a year from Westminster, will be badly hit by a hard border. Under current arrangements, Northern Ireland will receive around 600 million euros annually from the European Union until 2020. After that? Nobody knows.


The tyranny-of-the-majority logic inherent in Brexit also risks destabilizing Northern Ireland's demographic balance. When the newly partitioned state was founded in 1921, two-thirds of the population was Protestant. Today almost half the people in Northern Ireland are Roman Catholic.

Brexit was sold as a chance for Britain to recover former glories. It could yet precipitate the end of the last vestige of the empire: the United Kingdom itself.

Many moderate Irish nationalists have been content to support the union underpinned by the Good Friday Agreement. But will they be so acquiescent when faced with a hard border in Ireland, and a Little Englander political culture in Westminster? Even some liberal Northern Irish unionists balk at the hard-line rhetoric from London.

The Scots — who overwhelmingly voted to stay in the European Union — are pushing for a new referendum on independence from Britain. A poll on Irish unity is unlikely in the short term, but seems inevitable, too. All of which raises the question of whether the British government actually cares that much about the union anymore.

In July, shortly after becoming prime minister, Ms. May told reporters: "Not everybody knows this, but the full title of my party is the Conservative and Unionist Party, and that word 'unionist' is very important to me." By October, she was denouncing "divisive nationalists" who demanded a Brexit arrangement that reflected the split vote across Britain. The prime minister even publicly snubbed an invitation to address the Irish Parliament in Dublin; the weak Irish government is arguably the only true friend Britain has left among the other 27 European Union member states.

The United Kingdom was always a pragmatic enterprise, a bargain between more-or-less willing participants for commercial and military gain. Imperial spoils held Welsh, Scottish, English and Northern Irish together for centuries. Those bonds are quickly deteriorating. The fracturing of British politics along national lines — the Conservatives hold just a single seat in Parliament from Scotland or Northern Ireland — only adds to the sense of a listing, disunited kingdom.

Ms. May says that Britain will "make a success" of Brexit. On the Irish border, such Pollyanna visions meet cold, hard reality. Without a radical change in course, the British prime minister might end up leading her country out of not one union, but two.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 28, 2017, 08:41:47 PM
QuoteJames Brokenshire, the secretary of state for Northern Ireland, is reputed to placate queries about the border by saying, "Ms. May is aware of your concerns."

She is aware of your concerns, and will treat them with the contempt consideration they deserve, of course. Don't worry, Paddies, we know best.

(http://www.press.uillinois.edu/journals/jaeh/media/Caricaturing_Race/images/mcmahon_fig07f_lg.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 11, 2017, 12:24:09 PM
Can't believe this has slipped so far down the pages. When is May triggering article 50? Does the House of Lords have a veto or something?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on March 11, 2017, 12:46:47 PM
Tuesday if today's papers are correct.

See another  high profile brexiteer (Tim Martin of Wetherspoons) saying his industry needs special dispensation in relation to staff hiring. There was another getting the pish ripped out of him on Twitter during the week as well, cant remember who atm.

It feels really unprepared & chaotic.

A lot of high profile Tories looking a snap Election as well to kill off Labour.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on March 11, 2017, 01:02:36 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 11, 2017, 12:24:09 PM
Can't believe this has slipped so far down the pages. When is May triggering article 50? Does the House of Lords have a veto or something?

Seafoid has made every thread a Brexit thread so this one isn't needed as much anymore
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 11, 2017, 01:07:26 PM
I hear that Gove gobshite claims Teresa May us a secret Catholic and can't be trusted to "Deliver Brexit"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 11, 2017, 01:09:04 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 11, 2017, 12:46:47 PM
Tuesday if today's papers are correct.

See another  high profile brexiteer (Tim Martin of Wetherspoons) saying his industry needs special dispensation in relation to staff hiring. There was another getting the pish ripped out of him on Twitter during the week as well, cant remember who atm.

It feels really unprepared & chaotic.

A lot of high profile Tories looking a snap Election as well to kill off Labour.

I think this is the best Brexit video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QUjLmw4bgq0

They didn't expect to win. They didn't plan it

the tory faithful are going nuts over national insurance for the self employed. Things are going to get a lot worse before they get worse

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/10/poll-analysisone-seven-conservative-voters-less-likely-vote/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 15, 2017, 12:30:51 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/video/2017/mar/15/david-davis-we-havent-assessed-impact-of-leaving-eu-with-no-brexit-deal-video
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 16, 2017, 10:58:21 AM

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/15/reversingthis-dont-care-bad-theresa-may-saidto-have-told-philip/
For hard Brexiteers, the Budget shambles had already represented an opportunity to oust Mr Hammond, because they do not trust him to push for a hard Brexit, with some suggesting he is "not a Tory".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 16, 2017, 11:09:21 AM
David Davis' testimony is worrying . . .

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C69fbdYWkAEFv3d.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on March 16, 2017, 11:11:04 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 15, 2017, 12:30:51 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/video/2017/mar/15/david-davis-we-havent-assessed-impact-of-leaving-eu-with-no-brexit-deal-video
A 40% tariff on agricultural exports on top of a loss of SFP's will hit a lot of farmers hard.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 20, 2017, 12:06:32 PM
Quote from: AQMP on March 20, 2017, 11:46:30 AM
Article 50 to be triggered by Brit government next Wednesday 29th March.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4gO7uemm6Yo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Never beat the deeler on March 22, 2017, 01:14:54 AM
(https://img-9gag-fun.9cache.com/photo/aDW2AZZ_460s.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 22, 2017, 01:22:19 AM
Well summed up there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 22, 2017, 04:46:58 PM


   https://www.ft.com/content/9d62cb84-0b2a-11e7-97d1-5e720a26771b

   Sir, Patrick Minford argues that Brexit will make UK manufacturing both more productive and more profitable (FT.com, March 16). This is in contrast to his pre-referendum argument that "we would mostly eliminate manufacturing, leaving mainly industries such as design, marketing and high-tech. But this shouldn't scare us."The assertion appears to be that sterling will have significantly depreciated, and so profits of exporters will increase. While there are companies that will undoubtedly gain as a result of this currency depreciation, this assertion ignores one crucial issue. Nearly half of what we export is imported first. Professor Minford and his colleagues point to the recent success of the UK economy, and the extent to which exporters have gained. However, as those exporters restock their warehouses, they discover that much of the price advantage that accrued from the devaluation is eaten up in price increases in imported components.The final issue that Prof Minford and his colleagues fail to capture is any understanding of the nature of supply chains that underpin UK manufacturing, and the extent to which World Trade Organization rules affect those supply chains differently for different products. A high proportion of international trade is intra-company trade. In modern high tech manufacturing many components cross countries several times before they reach the final consumer. This has perhaps been the biggest benefit to manufacturing of the single market. Companies are able to co-ordinate activities across many locations, taking advantage of the benefits offered by different locations, whether it be low wage costs, access to frontier technology or transport links. What we observe as final exports is simply the final stage of this process, which within Europe works relatively seamlessly.

Nigel DriffieldProfessor of International Business,Warwick Business School, UK
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on March 27, 2017, 02:54:44 AM
And once again, it's all up in the air.

An EU parliamentary commission believes that Scotland Wales and the North could remain in the EU

15182289.Scotland__could_remain_in_EU_after_Brexit_/

QuoteIn his report, 'Detoxifying the UK's Exit from the EU', political scientist Brendan O'Leary said there was "merit" in such an approach, but that it would be resisted by Westminster.

It said: "An exponent of constitutional flexibility argues that given the status of these dependencies, separate arrangements can also be made for other parts of the UK when England and Wales leave the EU.

"Northern Ireland and Scotland could remain within the EU, at least pending the resolution of their UK status via a border poll (Northern Ireland) or an independence referendum (Scotland).

"Their current status as parts of the UK union have been altered by the decision to leave the EU - a decision rejected by both countries - and as such it would be unfair to forcibly remove them from another union, i.e. the European one. This view may hold merit but has no traction with the Westminster government."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 28, 2017, 01:07:06 PM
Anybody know if tomorrow would weaken the sterling?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 28, 2017, 03:11:44 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-39415709

This could hasten the call for a Border poll and certainly strengthens the argument in favour of Irish reunification.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 28, 2017, 03:14:46 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 28, 2017, 01:07:06 PM
Anybody know if tomorrow would weaken the sterling?

Talking about it on the other thread (dirua). . . can't see it we already know it's happening and it took a dip when the trigger date was announced so it shouldn't really affect it possibly a small decrease.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: MoChara on March 28, 2017, 03:39:17 PM
Northern Ireland 'can rejoin EU after Brexit if it votes for reunification'

While Scotland would be forced to join back of the queue, a united Ireland would not need to reapply for membership, says David Davis
   
If Northern Ireland opts for reunification it would have the ability to join the European Union as part of the Republic after Brexit, a leaked ministerial letter has indicated.

Unlike Scotland, which has been told it could be forced to join a queue for membership of the bloc if the country votes for independence, the province would not have to reapply for EU membership, as the Republic is already one of the existing member states.

According to The Times in a leaked letter to an SDLP MP, David Davis, the Brexit Secretary, wrote: "If a majority of the people of Northern Ireland were ever to vote to become part of a united Ireland the UK Government will honour its commitment to enable that to happen."


He added: "In that event, Northern Ireland would be in a position of becoming part of an existing EU member state, rather than seeking to join the EU as a new independent state."

If polls show support for a reunification referendum then the Good Friday Agreement stipulates the UK Government is legally obliged to offer one.

It comes after the power sharing agreement at Stormont collapsed on Monday with James Brokenshire, the Northern Ireland Secretary, saying it was "extremely disappointing".

But he said there was no appetite for another round of devolved assembly elections, adding there was still a narrow wind of  "a short few weeks" in which a government could be formed. In the meantime, the province's civil servants are preparing to take over the budget and allocation of resources to public services.

"We are rapidly approaching the point at which Northern Ireland will not have an agreed budget," he added. "This is not sustainable".


Under the rule of power sharing if the deadlock is not broken and new elections results are inconclusive the UK Government would be expected to take Northern Ireland back under direct rule. But this move would likely require emergency legislation at Westminster and looks unlikely at this stage at least.

Mr Brokenshire is expected to make a further statement in the Commons on Tuesday, outlining details of how the UK Government intends to foster an agreement to save power sharing at Stormont.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-northern-ireland-can-rejoin-eu-reunification-david-davis-stormont-a7653346.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 28, 2017, 04:31:20 PM
If/when the 6 Cos (and the 26) vote to reunify/amalgamate/come together it will be a matter for the EU to decide if the North can come in.
It won't matter 2 fcuks what the English/English and Welsh/British Government thinks.
An independent Scotland may or may not have to apply but again that would be for the EU to decide.
No doubt the SNP want another Referendum before Scotland is taken out if the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 29, 2017, 11:02:51 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/mar/29/philllip-hammond-on-leaving-eu-we-cant-have-our-cake-and-eat-it

Hammond also played down the idea that the UK could could crash out of the EU with no deal, which Johnson has said would be "perfectly OK" and May claimed would be better than a bad deal.
"Of course, we have plans for day one after leaving the EU with a huge variety of different outcomes," he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme. "But we are very clear what we are seeking to do is negotiate a deep and special relationship with the EU.
"I am absolutely confident we will negotiate a deal. I don't think anybody has any doubt about that. The question is about getting the very best possible deal and making sure our PM has the maximum flexibility, the maximum negotiating muscle."
On the issue of paying a divorce bill of up to £50bn, as demanded by some EU officials, Hammond said he thought this was simply a "very aggressive starting line" for the discussions but accepted the UK would have to "settle the rights and obligations we have as a departing member".
The chancellor also insisted he had not been marginalised by the prime minister during the process of drafting the letter, after having been forced into performing a U-turn on a tax rise for the self-employed in his budget.
On Monday night, May pitched the triggering of article 50 as the moment when the British people must finally unite, as people should no longer be defined by whether they voted to leave or remain at the referendum.
"When I sit around the negotiating table in the months ahead, I will represent every person in the whole United Kingdom – young and old, rich and poor, city, town, country and all the villages and hamlets in between. And yes, those EU nationals who have made this country their home," she said.
"It is my fierce determination to get the right deal for every single person in this country. For, as we face the opportunities ahead of us on this momentous journey, our shared values, interests and ambitions can – and must – bring us together."
Advertisement
Labour said it respected the decision of the British public but vowed to hold the government to account every step of the way.
Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader, said: "Britain is going to change as a result. The question is how. The Conservatives want to use Brexit to turn our country into a low-wage tax haven. Labour is determined to ensure we can rebuild and transform Britain, so no one and no community is left behind.
"It will be a national failure of historic proportions if the prime minister comes back from Brussels without having secured protection for jobs and living standards."
The action triggering Brexit, which cost David Cameron his job as prime minister and fractured Labour's decades-old electoral coalition, continues to pitch senior political figures against each other as the ferocity of the debate shows no sign of reducing.
Michael Heseltine, the former deputy prime minister, told the Guardian the move represented the "worst peacetime decision taken by any modern postwar government", in contrast to his former cabinet colleague, Michael Howard, who called it the start of an "exciting chapter in the history of the United Kingdom" while acknowledging the road ahead could be bumpy.
Gus O'Donnell, the former head of the civil service, warned of difficult talks ahead, saying it was "like jumping out of a plane flown by EU leaders in a parachute designed by them to discourage others taking the same risk".
Tim Farron, the Lib Dem leader, issued a separate warning, saying May's strategy would be dangerous to the economy and fail to reduce immigration.
"Theresa May's tactic is clear: to accuse anyone who dares question her headlong, blindfold charge towards hard Brexit of being democracy deniers," he wrote in the Guardian. "This is despite it looking increasingly likely that the result of her reckless, divisive Brexit will be to leave the single market and not reduce immigration – the very opposite of what Brexiteers pitched to the people."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on March 29, 2017, 02:48:04 PM
Brexit is Brexit, it's red, white and blue
Hard Brexit, soft Brexit, thick Brexit stew
Full English Brexit, it's served with a T
Toast's what the UK is going to be

Brexit with Kippers, you know it's a cod
Served up with a pint and a wink and a nod
When the stakes were so high Farage was everywhere
Now sightings of Nigel are medium rare

Ulster Fry Brexit, and Scotch Eggs-it too
Nexit, Irexit, even Legs-it will do
French Fries are out, Britain's serving up chips
On the shoulders of fools bent on apocalypse

Continental Brexit is top of the menu
The Houses of Parliament today's dining venue
But just what is Brexit, well nobody knows
Though it strongly looks like emperor's brand new clothes

Experts are idiots, so says Mr. Gove
Now they're hated from Carlisle to Brighton and Hove
Knowledge is ridiculed, ignorance bliss
Little England prefers to talk out of its Swiss

Englishmen don't like their cucumbers straight
Imaginary rules are a reason to hate
The tabloids are like a great shoal of piranhas
The Brits have decided to go straight bananas

Tommy doesn't like foreigners, he says "get 'em out"
But the irony is that the Queen is a Kraut
Boris is Russian, Farage is a Frog,
Descended from Frenchies, not from a bulldog

Churchill is dead and the empire has gone
But the Brits can't accept that the world has moved on
"We'll stand on our own feet, Britain is first"
How long for the delusional bubble to burst
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 29, 2017, 03:56:10 PM
According to this map in the Guardian, South Armagh and Belcoo, Co Fermanagh are staying in the EU, but half of Monaghan and Cavan and Donegal is leaving, and a bit of Wicklow. This plan has a lot of merit. Mind you, Le Havre seems for the chop too.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C8ES5baW4AAjWOS.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on March 29, 2017, 04:08:36 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on March 29, 2017, 02:48:04 PM
Brexit is Brexit, it's red, white and blue
Hard Brexit, soft Brexit, thick Brexit stew
Full English Brexit, it's served with a T
Toast's what the UK is going to be

Brexit with Kippers, you know it's a cod
Served up with a pint and a wink and a nod
When the stakes were so high Farage was everywhere
Now sightings of Nigel are medium rare

Ulster Fry Brexit, and Scotch Eggs-it too
Nexit, Irexit, even Legs-it will do
French Fries are out, Britain's serving up chips
On the shoulders of fools bent on apocalypse

Continental Brexit is top of the menu
The Houses of Parliament today's dining venue
But just what is Brexit, well nobody knows
Though it strongly looks like emperor's brand new clothes

Experts are idiots, so says Mr. Gove
Now they're hated from Carlisle to Brighton and Hove
Knowledge is ridiculed, ignorance bliss
Little England prefers to talk out of its Swiss

Englishmen don't like their cucumbers straight
Imaginary rules are a reason to hate
The tabloids are like a great shoal of piranhas
The Brits have decided to go straight bananas

Tommy doesn't like foreigners, he says "get 'em out"
But the irony is that the Queen is a Kraut
Boris is Russian, Farage is a Frog,
Descended from Frenchies, not from a bulldog

Churchill is dead and the empire has gone
But the Brits can't accept that the world has moved on
"We'll stand on our own feet, Britain is first"
How long for the delusional bubble to burst

Impressive Sid. If you have a tune to put to that I would love to hear it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on March 30, 2017, 12:30:23 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on March 29, 2017, 02:48:04 PM
Brexit is Brexit, it's red, white and blue
Hard Brexit, soft Brexit, thick Brexit stew
Full English Brexit, it's served with a T
Toast's what the UK is going to be

Brexit with Kippers, you know it's a cod
Served up with a pint and a wink and a nod
When the stakes were so high Farage was everywhere
Now sightings of Nigel are medium rare

Ulster Fry Brexit, and Scotch Eggs-it too
Nexit, Irexit, even Legs-it will do
French Fries are out, Britain's serving up chips
On the shoulders of fools bent on apocalypse

Continental Brexit is top of the menu
The Houses of Parliament today's dining venue
But just what is Brexit, well nobody knows
Though it strongly looks like emperor's brand new clothes

Experts are idiots, so says Mr. Gove
Now they're hated from Carlisle to Brighton and Hove
Knowledge is ridiculed, ignorance bliss
Little England prefers to talk out of its Swiss

Englishmen don't like their cucumbers straight
Imaginary rules are a reason to hate
The tabloids are like a great shoal of piranhas
The Brits have decided to go straight bananas

Tommy doesn't like foreigners, he says "get 'em out"
But the irony is that the Queen is a Kraut
Boris is Russian, Farage is a Frog,
Descended from Frenchies, not from a bulldog

Churchill is dead and the empire has gone
But the Brits can't accept that the world has moved on
"We'll stand on our own feet, Britain is first"
How long for the delusional bubble to burst

Braveximo!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Never beat the deeler on March 30, 2017, 01:02:56 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on March 29, 2017, 02:48:04 PM
Brexit is Brexit, it's red, white and blue
Hard Brexit, soft Brexit, thick Brexit stew
Full English Brexit, it's served with a T
Toast's what the UK is going to be

Brexit with Kippers, you know it's a cod
Served up with a pint and a wink and a nod
When the stakes were so high Farage was everywhere
Now sightings of Nigel are medium rare

Ulster Fry Brexit, and Scotch Eggs-it too
Nexit, Irexit, even Legs-it will do
French Fries are out, Britain's serving up chips
On the shoulders of fools bent on apocalypse

Continental Brexit is top of the menu
The Houses of Parliament today's dining venue
But just what is Brexit, well nobody knows
Though it strongly looks like emperor's brand new clothes

Experts are idiots, so says Mr. Gove
Now they're hated from Carlisle to Brighton and Hove
Knowledge is ridiculed, ignorance bliss
Little England prefers to talk out of its Swiss

Englishmen don't like their cucumbers straight
Imaginary rules are a reason to hate
The tabloids are like a great shoal of piranhas
The Brits have decided to go straight bananas

Tommy doesn't like foreigners, he says "get 'em out"
But the irony is that the Queen is a Kraut
Boris is Russian, Farage is a Frog,
Descended from Frenchies, not from a bulldog

Churchill is dead and the empire has gone
But the Brits can't accept that the world has moved on
"We'll stand on our own feet, Britain is first"
How long for the delusional bubble to burst

(http://i.imgur.com/dhMeAzK.gif?noredirect)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 30, 2017, 08:18:32 AM
Boris Johnson, the Foreign Secretary, described it as "a magnificent moment", while in the House of Commons, there was jubilation from MPs as Mrs May announced: "The Article 50 process is now under way."

Meanwhile back on planet earth

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/03/29/three-charts-show-britains-borrowing-binge-isnt-growth-credit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 30, 2017, 08:54:27 AM
Just fancy that

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/mar/29/brexit-theresa-may-triggers-article-50-politics-live

Neil asks if voters can be reassured that immigration post-Brexit will be "significantly lower".
The prime minister says that after leaving the EU the UK will be able to make its own immigration rules. Neil presses her on whether numbers will change. May does not promise this, saying: "There are so many things in the world which affect the number of people coming to the UK."
Asked about the government's pledge to reduce net migration to below 100,000 a year, May says of the current figures: "They are higher than we would want them to be."
Theresa May says she cannot guarantee immigration will be significantly lower after Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 30, 2017, 05:38:59 PM
Surely then that's a good thing in maintaining the levels of immigration?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 30, 2017, 06:26:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 30, 2017, 05:38:59 PM
Surely then that's a good thing in maintaining the levels of immigration?

What is the whole thing about then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 30, 2017, 07:16:03 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 30, 2017, 06:26:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 30, 2017, 05:38:59 PM
Surely then that's a good thing in maintaining the levels of immigration?

What is the whole thing about then?
reducing immigration and staying in the single market
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 30, 2017, 07:39:14 PM
May triggers Article 50, Corbyn gets up at PMQs and asks his half dozen or so questions on.... public spending. No mention of Brexit. What is up with that clown?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 30, 2017, 07:45:09 PM
He is in favour of brexit. At some level i like the mans ideals but he is not a leader at all. A good labour leader could possibly have got a general election ore brexit.

It is infuriating as labour were our only hope.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 31, 2017, 07:47:00 AM
The Daily Telegraph is one of the key Brexit idea factories. Today's analysis includes "the resurgent global economy gives Brexit the wind it needs" and "a small number of City jobs will be lost but Brexit will generate more".
English people used to accuse the Irish of not being rational.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 31, 2017, 02:01:35 PM
Yayyyyyy woohooooo Brexit is going to be great for everybody . . .

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/mar/31/uk-ports-struggling-fivefold-rise-customs-brexit-hmrc-mps-declaration?CMP=share_btn_tw
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 31, 2017, 03:11:10 PM
Seafod will love this one

UK savings are at a record low, and half of what they were in 2006. Lots of debt, probably in the hope of lots of inflation.

(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ons.gov.uk%2Fresource%3Furi%3D%2Feconomy%2Fnationalaccounts%2Fuksectoraccounts%2Farticles%2Fmonthlyeconomiccommentary%2Fmar2017%2F8e5c18af.png?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=580)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 31, 2017, 08:19:35 PM
http://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/stop-funding-hate
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 31, 2017, 08:21:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 31, 2017, 03:11:10 PM
Seafod will love this one

UK savings are at a record low, and half of what they were in 2006. Lots of debt, probably in the hope of lots of inflation.

(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ons.gov.uk%2Fresource%3Furi%3D%2Feconomy%2Fnationalaccounts%2Fuksectoraccounts%2Farticles%2Fmonthlyeconomiccommentary%2Fmar2017%2F8e5c18af.png?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=580)
GRMA

The last few years have all been about increased debt.  Very few payrises
When Labour handed over the reins in 2011 one of the ministers wrote "there is no more money". the Tories borrowed another half a trillion. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 01, 2017, 01:26:43 PM
Good debate on RTÉ radio 1 now, Jeffrey Donaldson, Gerry Adams, Stephen Donnelly and Charlie Flanagan.
Jeffrey not admitting that NI is in some economic difficulty post Brexit, he must have been listening to Miltown Row.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 02:29:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 01, 2017, 01:26:43 PM
Good debate on RTÉ radio 1 now, Jeffrey Donaldson, Gerry Adams, Stephen Donnelly and Charlie Flanagan.
Jeffrey not admitting that NI is in some economic difficulty post Brexit, he must have been listening to Miltown Row.

See ! Nothing wrong, everyone still spending using their IPhones driving new cars and going on holidays!! Enjoy your life armaghniac, you're a long time dead
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 01, 2017, 04:11:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 02:29:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 01, 2017, 01:26:43 PM
Good debate on RTÉ radio 1 now, Jeffrey Donaldson, Gerry Adams, Stephen Donnelly and Charlie Flanagan.
Jeffrey not admitting that NI is in some economic difficulty post Brexit, he must have been listening to Miltown Row.

See ! Nothing wrong, everyone still spending using their IPhones driving new cars and going on holidays!! Enjoy your life armaghniac, you're a long time dead
It depends what money they are spending, MR. If it's debt or savings it is not sustainable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 04:41:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 01, 2017, 04:11:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 02:29:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 01, 2017, 01:26:43 PM
Good debate on RTÉ radio 1 now, Jeffrey Donaldson, Gerry Adams, Stephen Donnelly and Charlie Flanagan.
Jeffrey not admitting that NI is in some economic difficulty post Brexit, he must have been listening to Miltown Row.

See ! Nothing wrong, everyone still spending using their IPhones driving new cars and going on holidays!! Enjoy your life armaghniac, you're a long time dead
It depends what money they are spending, MR. If it's debt or savings it is not sustainable.

I'd say it's their current wages like most people I'd imagine
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 01, 2017, 04:42:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 04:41:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 01, 2017, 04:11:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 02:29:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 01, 2017, 01:26:43 PM
Good debate on RTÉ radio 1 now, Jeffrey Donaldson, Gerry Adams, Stephen Donnelly and Charlie Flanagan.
Jeffrey not admitting that NI is in some economic difficulty post Brexit, he must have been listening to Miltown Row.

See ! Nothing wrong, everyone still spending using their IPhones driving new cars and going on holidays!! Enjoy your life armaghniac, you're a long time dead
It depends what money they are spending, MR. If it's debt or savings it is not sustainable.

I'd say it's their current wages like most people I'd imagine
Wages haven't been growing as fast as spending , unfortunately
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 04:54:46 PM
Well you can't get loans as easy nowadays and credit cards aren't handed out like they were before... wages are what they are, some people earn more than others but it hasn't stopped people heading out to town, hotels being built and capacity of hotels in Belfast is full at weekends...

I'll be down your way seafoid over Easter, great deal and hopefully prop up the southern economy  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on April 01, 2017, 05:27:59 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 04:54:46 PM
Well you can't get loans as easy nowadays and credit cards aren't handed out like they were before... wages are what they are, some people earn more than others but it hasn't stopped people heading out to town, hotels being built and capacity of hotels in Belfast is full at weekends...

I'll be down your way seafoid over Easter, great deal and hopefully prop up the southern economy  ;)

How many of them are from the north?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 05:36:01 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on April 01, 2017, 05:27:59 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 04:54:46 PM
Well you can't get loans as easy nowadays and credit cards aren't handed out like they were before... wages are what they are, some people earn more than others but it hasn't stopped people heading out to town, hotels being built and capacity of hotels in Belfast is full at weekends...

I'll be down your way seafoid over Easter, great deal and hopefully prop up the southern economy  ;)

How many of them are from the north?

I'd say a fair few, I work near the merchant and at the back of the premier inn... most people are from ni I'd say based on their accents but the point being the places are full which in turn generates money revenue and keeps businesses going be they bars eateries hotels suppliers and staff! RiverHouse in high street is getting turned into a hotel at the minute with bars restaurants all added into it, plus the area is being made into a pedestrian area...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on April 01, 2017, 05:41:35 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on April 01, 2017, 05:27:59 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 04:54:46 PM
Well you can't get loans as easy nowadays and credit cards aren't handed out like they were before... wages are what they are, some people earn more than others but it hasn't stopped people heading out to town, hotels being built and capacity of hotels in Belfast is full at weekends...

I'll be down your way seafoid over Easter, great deal and hopefully prop up the southern economy  ;)

How many of them are from the north?

Watch your speed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 01, 2017, 05:50:44 PM
Belfast has fewer hotel rooms per head of population than cities in the south.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 06:15:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 01, 2017, 05:50:44 PM
Belfast has fewer hotel rooms per head of population than cities in the south.

That's why they are building more, more work for construction workers too, flip it's a win win
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 01, 2017, 06:21:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 01, 2017, 05:50:44 PM
Belfast has fewer hotel rooms per head of population than cities in the south.

http://www.meetpie.com/Modules/NewsModule/newsdetails.aspx?newsid=22348
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 02, 2017, 10:41:47 AM
Brexit gets personal

http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/hbs-iceberger-is-latest-casualty-of-brexit-35584273.html

Annette Curtain
April 1 2017 2:30 AM

Ice cream producer HB has said Brexit and changing diets are behind the decision to axe the 'Iceberger'.
With the price of flour expected to rise after the UK makes its exit from the EU, the cost of the Iceberger biscuit is too much for HB to cover. Another reason is the rise of lactose- and gluten-free diets - an enemy of the popular ice cream sandwich.
A HB source told the Irish Independent: "The reality is the Iceberger survived ten years of recession from 2007 - but the double whammy of Brexit and the gluten-free/lactose-free diets means the end. In the same way the smartphone has challenged the media and information landscape, the NutriBullet has more or less finished off the Iceberger."
Last night, a HB spokesperson said there is enough Iceberger stock to last until June.
"It's with regret that we say goodbye to this all-time classic - the decision to de-list Iceberger is one we know will sadden ice cream lovers across Ireland.
"Icebergers will be available in select stores nationwide for a limited time only."
Two weeks ago, the millers association for the UK and Ireland warned the price of bread could rise by 10 cent after Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 02, 2017, 11:08:38 AM
After noon on the First April these links are not funny.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 02, 2017, 11:44:26 AM
Quote from: seafoid on April 02, 2017, 10:41:47 AM
Brexit gets personal

http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/hbs-iceberger-is-latest-casualty-of-brexit-35584273.html

Annette Curtain
April 1 2017 2:30 AM

Ice cream producer HB has said Brexit and changing diets are behind the decision to axe the 'Iceberger'.
With the price of flour expected to rise after the UK makes its exit from the EU, the cost of the Iceberger biscuit is too much for HB to cover. Another reason is the rise of lactose- and gluten-free diets - an enemy of the popular ice cream sandwich.
A HB source told the Irish Independent: "The reality is the Iceberger survived ten years of recession from 2007 - but the double whammy of Brexit and the gluten-free/lactose-free diets means the end. In the same way the smartphone has challenged the media and information landscape, the NutriBullet has more or less finished off the Iceberger."
Last night, a HB spokesperson said there is enough Iceberger stock to last until June.
"It's with regret that we say goodbye to this all-time classic - the decision to de-list Iceberger is one we know will sadden ice cream lovers across Ireland.
"Icebergers will be available in select stores nationwide for a limited time only."
Two weeks ago, the millers association for the UK and Ireland warned the price of bread could rise by 10 cent after Brexit.

Less bread in your diet is a good thing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 02, 2017, 01:28:59 PM
This gibraltar thing really shaking some brits up. May should be prepared to go to war over gibraltar according to michael howard in the telegraph.

Muppets. The colonial superiority complex far from gone in some of them.

The media in the uk really going down a bad path these days.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 03, 2017, 11:38:55 AM
Quote from: AQMP on April 03, 2017, 11:17:42 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 02, 2017, 01:28:59 PM
This gibraltar thing really shaking some brits up. May should be prepared to go to war over gibraltar according to michael howard in the telegraph.

Muppets. The colonial superiority complex far from gone in some of them.

The media in the uk really going down a bad path these days.

Yes, to defend the democratic rights of Gibraltarians...who voted 96%-4% to remain in the EU.

Spain played a blinder here, wave a red rag and the British loonies inevitably charged. All that they've said was the Gibraltar was a separate jurisdiction from the UK and that they had a veto, which they had anyway. The Spanish haven't said anything about invading, or put any concrete proposal, but the Englanders lost the plot immediately. Then the Spanish also said that Scotland could apply to the EU, which was also true anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 03, 2017, 11:48:08 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 03, 2017, 11:38:55 AM
Quote from: AQMP on April 03, 2017, 11:17:42 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 02, 2017, 01:28:59 PM
This gibraltar thing really shaking some brits up. May should be prepared to go to war over gibraltar according to michael howard in the telegraph.

Muppets. The colonial superiority complex far from gone in some of them.

The media in the uk really going down a bad path these days.



Yes, to defend the democratic rights of Gibraltarians...who voted 96%-4% to remain in the EU.

Spain played a blinder here, wave a red rag and the British loonies inevitably charged. All that they've said was the Gibraltar was a separate jurisdiction from the UK and that they had a veto, which they had anyway. The Spanish haven't said anything about invading, or put any concrete proposal, but the Englanders lost the plot immediately. Then the Spanish also said that Scotland could apply to the EU, which was also true anyway.

The Gibraltar thing is interesting because Gibraltar needs the Single market .
The right wing UK media are insane.  I look at the Daily Telegraph site opinion page most days and it is fascinating.
The paper is flogging a sick ideology that will damage the interests of most of its readers. How this happened is the big question.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on April 03, 2017, 11:56:10 AM
Quote from: seafoid on April 03, 2017, 11:48:08 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 03, 2017, 11:38:55 AM
Quote from: AQMP on April 03, 2017, 11:17:42 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 02, 2017, 01:28:59 PM
This gibraltar thing really shaking some brits up. May should be prepared to go to war over gibraltar according to michael howard in the telegraph.

Muppets. The colonial superiority complex far from gone in some of them.

The media in the uk really going down a bad path these days.



Yes, to defend the democratic rights of Gibraltarians...who voted 96%-4% to remain in the EU.

Spain played a blinder here, wave a red rag and the British loonies inevitably charged. All that they've said was the Gibraltar was a separate jurisdiction from the UK and that they had a veto, which they had anyway. The Spanish haven't said anything about invading, or put any concrete proposal, but the Englanders lost the plot immediately. Then the Spanish also said that Scotland could apply to the EU, which was also true anyway.

The Gibraltar thing is interesting because Gibraltar needs the Single market .
The right wing UK media are insane.  I look at the Daily Telegraph site opinion page most days and it is fascinating.
The paper is flogging a sick ideology that will damage the interests of most of its readers. How this happened is the big question.

The 1%ers at the top wanted to avoid EU regulations on various issues relating to them.
Convinced the little englanders using boardline racist arguments and the whole thing sailed through.

Quite easy actually.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 03, 2017, 12:08:56 PM
But at an individual level some of the Telegraph journalists voted Remain and they now spout Brexit nonsense as if it made sense

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/29/voted-remain-delusional-remainers-damaging-britain/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 03, 2017, 12:54:07 PM
The video is quite funny and a measure of modern video morphing techniques

https://www.facebook.com/BBCLIEFACTORY/videos/1297278163696785/

That said the old Hitler rant is still also quite funny
http://www.digitalspy.com/movies/news/a799556/downfall-parody-brexit-boris-johnson-hq/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 03, 2017, 04:12:43 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/apr/03/war-threats-over-gibraltar-are-rightwing-imperial-fantasies
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 04, 2017, 12:53:16 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 03, 2017, 11:38:55 AM
Spain played a blinder here, wave a red rag and the British loonies inevitably charged. All that they've said was the Gibraltar was a separate jurisdiction from the UK and that they had a veto, which they had anyway. The Spanish haven't said anything about invading, or put any concrete proposal, but the Englanders lost the plot immediately. Then the Spanish also said that Scotland could apply to the EU, which was also true anyway.

To be honest Spain didn't do much, it was the English press, and Tory right-wingers that played a blinder by going off on one.

You are correct that everything Spaniards said was true.  If they went any further they could be called out for hypocrisy.  If you have a look at Gibraltar on google maps, scroll south to Africa and have a look a the places with international borders and little places labelled "Espana".

People of Gibraltar might be pro-EU but hardly pro a basket case like Spain.

/Jim.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 04, 2017, 05:12:17 PM
Brexit is as bad as the bank guarantee, which was also welcomed by the papers at the time

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/04/sharp-rise-in-uk-food-prices-inflates-household-shopping-bill
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/apr/04/uk-jobs-merkel-juncker-euro-clearing-eu-manfred-weber-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 04, 2017, 05:23:13 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 04, 2017, 12:53:16 PM
People of Gibraltar might be pro-EU but hardly pro a basket case like Spain.

I'm not quite sure why Spain is a "basket case", when Gibraltar is basically a racket.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 04, 2017, 10:45:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 04, 2017, 05:23:13 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 04, 2017, 12:53:16 PM
People of Gibraltar might be pro-EU but hardly pro a basket case like Spain.

I'm not quite sure why Spain is a "basket case", when Gibraltar is basically a racket.

A racket the citizen's do well out of.  I know people living there, the see Spain as a basket case because of it's fiscal state, taxes, banks, unemployment etc.  When I last spoke to them last year Spain didn't even have a government due to hung election.

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: never kickt a ball on April 04, 2017, 11:54:37 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 04, 2017, 10:45:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 04, 2017, 05:23:13 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 04, 2017, 12:53:16 PM
People of Gibraltar might be pro-EU but hardly pro a basket case like Spain.

I'm not quite sure why Spain is a "basket case", when Gibraltar is basically a racket.

A racket the citizen's do well out of.  I know people living there, the see Spain as a basket case because of it's fiscal state, taxes, banks, unemployment etc.  When I last spoke to them last year Spain didn't even have a government due to hung election.

/Jim.

That's terrible Jim. Imagine that...........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 05, 2017, 12:20:00 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 04, 2017, 10:45:35 PM
A racket the citizen's do well out of.  I know people living there, the see Spain as a basket case because of it's fiscal state, taxes, banks, unemployment etc.  When I last spoke to them last year Spain didn't even have a government due to hung election.

Spain, like Ireland, was growing well but did lose the run of itself with consequent effects on banks. It has high unemployment, but has just had the largest monthly fall on record. It will grow over the next few years and materially reduce the unemployment. As for the government, a hung parliament just means that people didn't vote overwhelmingly for any party. None of these things constitute a "basket case". The people in Gibraltar are in on a racket and may well want to continue this when compared with normality in Spain, but this does not make Spain a "basket case" either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 05, 2017, 09:48:47 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 05, 2017, 12:20:00 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on April 04, 2017, 10:45:35 PM
A racket the citizen's do well out of.  I know people living there, the see Spain as a basket case because of it's fiscal state, taxes, banks, unemployment etc.  When I last spoke to them last year Spain didn't even have a government due to hung election.

Spain, like Ireland, was growing well but did lose the run of itself with consequent effects on banks. It has high unemployment, but has just had the largest monthly fall on record. It will grow over the next few years and materially reduce the unemployment. As for the government, a hung parliament just means that people didn't vote overwhelmingly for any party. None of these things constitute a "basket case". The people in Gibraltar are in on a racket and may well want to continue this when compared with normality in Spain, but this does not make Spain a "basket case" either.

Okay, people are defensive about the term "basket case" so I will retract it. 

However, what I would say that it is not surprising that the citizens of Gibraltar are happier to have their "racket" than join the Spanish.  Also I think that Spain are on shaky ground trying to force the issue given their own enclaves in Africa.

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on April 05, 2017, 10:50:31 AM
Teresa May is already backtracking on the closed border post Brexit England/UK temporarily. I presume this temporary period will be inline with the free trade period!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39498647
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on April 06, 2017, 05:06:16 PM
Brexit wooohoooooooooo!!!

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/06/ryanair-uk-flights-brexit-deal-wto?CMP=share_btn_tw
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on April 06, 2017, 05:17:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on April 06, 2017, 05:06:16 PM
Brexit wooohoooooooooo!!!

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/06/ryanair-uk-flights-brexit-deal-wto?CMP=share_btn_tw (https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/06/ryanair-uk-flights-brexit-deal-wto?CMP=share_btn_tw)

"there is a distinct possibility that there will be no flights for a period of time between Europe and the UK". That's what they voted for, more or less, so happy days.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 06, 2017, 05:31:19 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on April 05, 2017, 10:50:31 AM
Teresa May is already backtracking on the closed border post Brexit England/UK temporarily. I presume this temporary period will be inline with the free trade period!!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-39498647

(http://i.imgur.com/6vApA.gif)


Quote"there is a distinct possibility that there will be no flights for a period of time between Europe and the UK". That's what they voted for, more or less, so happy days.

That will keep the foreigners out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 06, 2017, 05:37:02 PM
Quote from: Hardy on April 06, 2017, 05:17:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on April 06, 2017, 05:06:16 PM
Brexit wooohoooooooooo!!!

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/06/ryanair-uk-flights-brexit-deal-wto?CMP=share_btn_tw (https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/06/ryanair-uk-flights-brexit-deal-wto?CMP=share_btn_tw)

"there is a distinct possibility that there will be no flights for a period of time between Europe and the UK". That's what they voted for, more or less, so happy days.

Do Ryanair fly into non European Union countries? What deal do they have with them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 06, 2017, 06:19:02 PM
Quote from: Hardy on April 06, 2017, 05:17:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on April 06, 2017, 05:06:16 PM
Brexit wooohoooooooooo!!!

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/06/ryanair-uk-flights-brexit-deal-wto?CMP=share_btn_tw (https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/06/ryanair-uk-flights-brexit-deal-wto?CMP=share_btn_tw)

"there is a distinct possibility that there will be no flights for a period of time between Europe and the UK". That's what they voted for, more or less, so happy days.
There will be a flotilla of small boats at Dunkirk like in the good old days for anyone wanting to go to the UK
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 06, 2017, 06:38:49 PM
You would sometimes have to take ryanair with a pinch of salt though...

So nordies can just drive to dublin. Question is - can ukers fly from london to belfast then commute to dublin?

I suspect it is hot air anyway but maybe a boost for southern economy if it wasn't. Even actually the northern economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 06, 2017, 07:06:09 PM
Brexit is already hurting a lot. Just before the vote 68% of punters said they wouldn't pay one penny in exchange for a drop in immigration.

First they came for the fish fingers.
Then they came for the creme eggs.
Now they are coming for Ryanair.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QHImQz8g14s
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 06, 2017, 07:08:20 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 06, 2017, 06:38:49 PM
You would sometimes have to take ryanair with a pinch of salt though...

O'Leary's point is that airlines need to plan and you cannot just keep threatening a hard Brexit without a deal. However, as indicated above May is already back pedalling and talking of a transition.
You can be sure that 100 businesses are in her ear in a less public way than O'Leary.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 06, 2017, 08:11:07 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 06, 2017, 07:08:20 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 06, 2017, 06:38:49 PM
You would sometimes have to take ryanair with a pinch of salt though...

O'Leary's point is that airlines need to plan and you cannot just keep threatening a hard Brexit without a deal. However, as indicated above May is already back pedalling and talking of a transition.
You can be sure that 100 businesses are in her ear in a less public way than O'Leary.

I get that but he takes every opportunity for publicity and i really wouldn't be surprised were there an alterior motive of creating demand and hiking prices up. Just don't trust the man. Were it the head of ba or bmi etc different story.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 06, 2017, 08:40:04 PM
Pure publicity , never misses a trick
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 10:57:48 AM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/18/breaking-theresa-may-make-statement-downing-street-1115am1/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 11:01:53 AM
Joshua Raymond
✔ @Josh_RaymondUK
Current rumours on PM announcement:

1. Snap Election
2. PM to resign on health Grounds
3. No one has a clue#GBP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on April 18, 2017, 11:03:22 AM
3 sums them up.
Probably applying to become the 51st State of the US or else an English UDI .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on April 18, 2017, 11:08:27 AM
Snap election it is.

Interesting times ahead
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 11:10:51 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/apr/18/corbyn-cressida-dick-met-police-a-gun-may-not-have-saved-pc-killed-in-westminster-terror-attack-says-new-met-chief-politics-live

"May is explaining her decision now.
She says when she became prime minister the country needed stability.
She has delivered that, she says.
And she has delivered on the referendum result. Britain is leaving the EU and there can be no turning back."

She's lost in Brexit, caught in a trap, no turning back

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43qB9FpfCR8
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 11:15:40 AM
"May says she needs an election now because other parties are opposed to the government's Brexit plans
May says the government has a plan for Brexit that will allow the UK to regain control of its laws and borders.
This is the right approach.
But the other parties oppose it, she says.
There should be unity in Westminster, she says.
But there is not, she says.
Labour has threatened to vote against the final deal.
The Lib Dems want to grind parliamentary business to a standstill.
The SNP opposes what the government is doing.
And peers have said they will oppose the government all the way.
She says she is not prepared to allow her opponents to jeopardise the Brexit negotiations.
If there is not an election now, game-playing will continue.
And she says the Brexit talks will conclude as election speculation is intensifying."

Quite risky
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on April 18, 2017, 11:36:12 AM
End of the Corby era if nothing else, May could have eeked a few more years out of him before obliterating him at the polls.

Big election for the Liberals,real l chance of replacing Labour as the opposition.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 11:39:53 AM
Not good news for Norn Irn. It will be freewheeling for another few months by the looks of things
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on April 18, 2017, 11:41:25 AM
And bang goes any chance of an agreement here any time soon. Maybe the penny will drop with the DUP that the Tories don't give a fiddlers about them and the rest of us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on April 18, 2017, 11:49:58 AM
Quote from: AQMP on April 18, 2017, 11:47:58 AM
Unionist pact by tea time!
Definitely, Swann is two steps away from being in the DUP anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on April 18, 2017, 12:28:55 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on April 18, 2017, 11:41:25 AM
And bang goes any chance of an agreement here any time soon. Maybe the penny will drop with the DUP that the Tories don't give a fiddlers about them and the rest of us.
May will have enough of a majority that she will not care about keeping the DUP onside.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 18, 2017, 12:29:54 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on April 18, 2017, 11:41:25 AM
And bang goes any chance of an agreement here any time soon. Maybe the penny will drop with the DUP that the Tories don't give a fiddlers about them and the rest of us.

On the plus side, the Tory majority will then be so large that they won't give a damn about the unionists, however many of them their pact gets elected.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on April 18, 2017, 12:32:34 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 18, 2017, 12:31:30 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on April 18, 2017, 11:49:58 AM
Quote from: AQMP on April 18, 2017, 11:47:58 AM
Unionist pact by tea time!
Definitely, Swann is two steps away from being in the DUP anyway.
And Tom Elliott is DUP!
He is much worse than that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: never kickt a ball on April 18, 2017, 01:25:33 PM
Will we not get two elections for the price of one?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 01:35:06 PM
The Tories might not get a majority
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on April 18, 2017, 01:41:44 PM
There is a real chance here for Labour . . . if they push for another Brexit Referendum to stay in they have a real chance!!!

Corbyn won't though he's too toothless and May will have her majority to do as she wishes and finally privatise the NHS!

The North is fucked and will be in a state of limbo for another 2 months at least. Possibility of 3 elections in 4/5 months.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on April 18, 2017, 02:33:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 01:35:06 PM
The Tories might not get a majority
Eh, 20% ahead in the polls, talking 100+ majority
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on April 18, 2017, 02:33:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 18, 2017, 01:35:06 PM
The Tories might not get a majority
Eh, 20% ahead in the polls, talking 100+ majority

Polls don't mean seats. Depends what the opposition does and the public is not very chirpy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on April 18, 2017, 04:57:56 PM
Protest votes?  Who would have expected Thrump?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 18, 2017, 05:00:17 PM
Brave move by May, have to admire her arrogance on this, will finally put brexit to bed and whether or not she got in as PM on the back of Cameron resigning...

Think it will go her way, Scotland though will have a chance through the polls to gauge where they stand should a referendum is going to work!

As for us it's a negative, unionist voters will be out, deals being done, while the nationalists stay away from London (mainly due to not taking up seats) and not representing their voters!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: CiKe on April 18, 2017, 06:01:02 PM
GBP  is stronger against the eur. FT analysis suggest this means soft brexit as May wont have to kowtow to hardliners. Her support for remain was only evera lukewarm, I am a bit worried she is closet hardliner herself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 21, 2017, 04:23:44 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/21/uk-retail-surge-brexit-comes-to-an-end-ons

The strong recovery on Britain's high streets after last year's Brexit vote appears to be over, with retail sales figures for the first quarter showing the biggest drop in purchases in the last seven years.

The Office for National Statistics said UK retail sales fell 1.4% in the first three months of 2017, the biggest quarterly fall since 2010.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 21, 2017, 08:36:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 21, 2017, 04:23:44 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/apr/21/uk-retail-surge-brexit-comes-to-an-end-ons

The strong recovery on Britain's high streets after last year's Brexit vote appears to be over, with retail sales figures for the first quarter showing the biggest drop in purchases in the last seven years.

The Office for National Statistics said UK retail sales fell 1.4% in the first three months of 2017, the biggest quarterly fall since 2010.

Phew!! I'm sure you're happy now!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 05:24:18 AM

   https://www.ft.com/content/f4c720b0-2b63-11e7-bc4b-5528796fe35c

   European leaders are preparing to recognise the potential for a "united Ireland" within the EU, confirming that Northern Ireland would seamlessly rejoin the bloc after Brexit in the event of a vote for Irish reunification.

In a step that may stoke concerns in Britain that Brexit could hasten the fragmentation of the UK, diplomats are planning to ask leaders of the EU's 27 post-Brexit member countries to endorse the idea in a summit on Saturday.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on April 28, 2017, 11:51:38 AM
Quote from: AQMP on April 28, 2017, 09:13:51 AM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 05:24:18 AM

   https://www.ft.com/content/f4c720b0-2b63-11e7-bc4b-5528796fe35c

   European leaders are preparing to recognise the potential for a "united Ireland" within the EU, confirming that Northern Ireland would seamlessly rejoin the bloc after Brexit in the event of a vote for Irish reunification.

In a step that may stoke concerns in Britain that Brexit could hasten the fragmentation of the UK, diplomats are planning to ask leaders of the EU's 27 post-Brexit member countries to endorse the idea in a summit on Saturday.

This from the Guardian...no paywall

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/apr/27/eu-to-debate-recognising-united-ireland-to-allow-swift-return-for-north

I'd expect Nichola Sturgeon to make use of this GDR clause when the time comes to coax Scots back into the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.

With any f@@kin luck he will be  >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on April 28, 2017, 12:08:44 PM
http://newsthump.com/2017/04/28/new-tory-slogan-were-going-to-fking-kill-you-all-not-putting-people-off/ (http://newsthump.com/2017/04/28/new-tory-slogan-were-going-to-fking-kill-you-all-not-putting-people-off/)

Supposed to be satire but........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 01:43:50 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.
With any f@@kin luck he will be  >:(
Corbyn is the only one standing up for workers.
The Tories will help the rich.
If the Tories get in again it will be another example of workers voting against their own interests.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on April 28, 2017, 01:58:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 01:43:50 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.
With any f@@kin luck he will be  >:(
Corbyn is the only one standing up for workers.
The Tories will help the rich.
When If the Tories get in again it will be another example of workers voting against their own interests.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 02:38:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 01:43:50 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.
With any f@@kin luck he will be  >:(
Corbyn is the only one standing up for workers.
The Tories will help the rich.
If the Tories get in again it will be another example of workers voting against their own interests.

He is standing up for no one if he cant get elected.
He is a liability and the Labour party under him will not get into power.

All well and good to stand from the sidelines and shout the odds, sure any man on here could do that.
Its another thing to get elected and get to implement your ideas.

He should have gone long ago
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 02:55:00 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 02:38:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 01:43:50 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.
With any f@@kin luck he will be  >:(
Corbyn is the only one standing up for workers.
The Tories will help the rich.
If the Tories get in again it will be another example of workers voting against their own interests.

He is standing up for no one if he cant get elected.
He is a liability and the Labour party under him will not get into power.

All well and good to stand from the sidelines and shout the odds, sure any man on here could do that.
Its another thing to get elected and get to implement your ideas.

He should have gone long ago

He is the only one saying how the economy is run. the press arte against him because of this.

the Tories are selling Brexit which means :
-  no funding for the NHS or the elderly,
- breaking of Tory manifesto promises
- continued contributions to the EU budget
- zero control of immigration
- adherence to EU rules
- can't have cake and eat it
- no quick and easy trade deals with the rest of the world

Corbyn says "the rules have created a cosy cartel, which rigs the system in favour of a few powerful and wealthy individuals and corporations. It's a rigged system set up by the wealth extractors for the wealth extractors.
But things can, and they will, change. And Labour in this election will be part of a movement of the British people to make that change.
How dare they crash the economy with their recklessness and greed, and then punish those who had nothing to do with it?
We will overturn this rigged system. The Conservatives will never do that"

Maybe when Brexit crashes people will join the dots.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 03:02:32 PM
Northern Ireland costs the UK about 200 m per week.
EU membership costs 350m per week
very interesting .....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 03:08:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 02:55:00 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 02:38:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 01:43:50 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.
With any f@@kin luck he will be  >:(
Corbyn is the only one standing up for workers.
The Tories will help the rich.
If the Tories get in again it will be another example of workers voting against their own interests.

He is standing up for no one if he cant get elected.
He is a liability and the Labour party under him will not get into power.

All well and good to stand from the sidelines and shout the odds, sure any man on here could do that.
Its another thing to get elected and get to implement your ideas.

He should have gone long ago

He is the only one saying how the economy is run. the press arte against him because of this.

the Tories are selling Brexit which means :
-  no funding for the NHS or the elderly,
- breaking of Tory manifesto promises
- continued contributions to the EU budget
- zero control of immigration
- adherence to EU rules
- can't have cake and eat it
- no quick and easy trade deals with the rest of the world

Corbyn says "the rules have created a cosy cartel, which rigs the system in favour of a few powerful and wealthy individuals and corporations. It's a rigged system set up by the wealth extractors for the wealth extractors.
But things can, and they will, change. And Labour in this election will be part of a movement of the British people to make that change.
How dare they crash the economy with their recklessness and greed, and then punish those who had nothing to do with it?
We will overturn this rigged system. The Conservatives will never do that"

Maybe when Brexit crashes people will join the dots.

So if Brexit is the big evil that JC is now predicting why did he sit on his hands during the Brexit campaign?
At best he showed complete apathy toward the whole debate and campaign at the time.

Again easy to shout the odds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on April 28, 2017, 03:18:06 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 03:08:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 02:55:00 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 02:38:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 01:43:50 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.
With any f@@kin luck he will be  >:(
Corbyn is the only one standing up for workers.
The Tories will help the rich.
If the Tories get in again it will be another example of workers voting against their own interests.

He is standing up for no one if he cant get elected.
He is a liability and the Labour party under him will not get into power.

All well and good to stand from the sidelines and shout the odds, sure any man on here could do that.
Its another thing to get elected and get to implement your ideas.

He should have gone long ago

He is the only one saying how the economy is run. the press arte against him because of this.

the Tories are selling Brexit which means :
-  no funding for the NHS or the elderly,
- breaking of Tory manifesto promises
- continued contributions to the EU budget
- zero control of immigration
- adherence to EU rules
- can't have cake and eat it
- no quick and easy trade deals with the rest of the world

Corbyn says "the rules have created a cosy cartel, which rigs the system in favour of a few powerful and wealthy individuals and corporations. It's a rigged system set up by the wealth extractors for the wealth extractors.
But things can, and they will, change. And Labour in this election will be part of a movement of the British people to make that change.
How dare they crash the economy with their recklessness and greed, and then punish those who had nothing to do with it?
We will overturn this rigged system. The Conservatives will never do that"

Maybe when Brexit crashes people will join the dots.

So if Brexit is the big evil that JC is now predicting why did he sit on his hands during the Brexit campaign?
At best he showed complete apathy toward the whole debate and campaign at the time.

Again easy to shout the odds.

This is where Corbyn breaks my balls also, he's a principled enough Character but is wishy washy on Brexit and that's set him back IMO. Maybe its because a lot of Labour strongholds in the North all voted to leave he's hedging his bets, but it makes him look indecisive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on April 28, 2017, 03:35:11 PM
The EU is a dead duck . The chickens are coming home to roost . The hubris after the French result will be the under of the whole edifice .  Any organisation whose institutions still adhere to saving the euro is on the road to ruin.

The Brits are leaving on choice at least . 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 03:56:17 PM
The EU will be reformed. Brexit is bet on it collapsing.
The problem is the economic system not the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on April 28, 2017, 04:23:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 03:56:17 PM
The EU will be reformed. Brexit is bet on it collapsing.
The problem is the economic system not the EU.

The Euro needs to be toast or else really extreme things might happen .  Trump , Le Pen and Brexit wil be minor .  Italy and Spain are the biggies now . 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 04:31:57 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 03:08:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 02:55:00 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 02:38:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 01:43:50 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on April 28, 2017, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 18, 2017, 05:49:33 PM
Sadly i think that dup majority is coming back and the sickening arrogance we regularly see from foster will be on view :(

I don't see may losing this at all. The election will *probably* illustrate ukip are dead and corbyn will not lead a party to victory. The main interesting spot is scotland and seeing where they sit.

If labour take a hammering corbyn will likely be gone.

It would be nice were may to not sweep to victory as she probably thinks she will.
With any f@@kin luck he will be  >:(
Corbyn is the only one standing up for workers.
The Tories will help the rich.
If the Tories get in again it will be another example of workers voting against their own interests.

He is standing up for no one if he cant get elected.
He is a liability and the Labour party under him will not get into power.

All well and good to stand from the sidelines and shout the odds, sure any man on here could do that.
Its another thing to get elected and get to implement your ideas.

He should have gone long ago

He is the only one saying how the economy is run. the press arte against him because of this.

the Tories are selling Brexit which means :
-  no funding for the NHS or the elderly,
- breaking of Tory manifesto promises
- continued contributions to the EU budget
- zero control of immigration
- adherence to EU rules
- can't have cake and eat it
- no quick and easy trade deals with the rest of the world

Corbyn says "the rules have created a cosy cartel, which rigs the system in favour of a few powerful and wealthy individuals and corporations. It's a rigged system set up by the wealth extractors for the wealth extractors.
But things can, and they will, change. And Labour in this election will be part of a movement of the British people to make that change.
How dare they crash the economy with their recklessness and greed, and then punish those who had nothing to do with it?
We will overturn this rigged system. The Conservatives will never do that"

Maybe when Brexit crashes people will join the dots.

So if Brexit is the big evil that JC is now predicting why did he sit on his hands during the Brexit campaign?
At best he showed complete apathy toward the whole debate and campaign at the time.

Again easy to shout the odds.
Because he is anti neoliberalism and the EU is neoliberal right now (Eg Greek "bailouts", Irish "bailout")
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:28:12 PM
Bang on johnnycool. I like his principles in general but his brexit stance really makes him look poor.

While seafoid spouts some nonsense  ;D i think he is about right on corbyn.

Basically 48% of the uk population have no one standing up for their vote. It is very worrying.

Ok sf stand up for it but the don't go to westminster but lib dems do though can't see them doing much.

I am very worried theresa may ,who is a typical useless tory ,is going to steamroll this election and sell us all down the river >:(

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 08:45:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:28:12 PM
Bang on johnnycool. I like his principles in general but his brexit stance really makes him look poor.

While seafoid spouts some nonsense  ;D i think he is about right on corbyn.

Basically 48% of the uk population have no one standing up for their vote. It is very worrying.

Ok sf stand up for it but the don't go to westminster but lib dems do though can't see them doing much.

I am very worried theresa may ,who is a typical useless tory ,is going to steamroll this election and sell us all down the river >:(
I think she will. 

Corbyn reminds me of Chumbawamba
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KCkmIyC6v00

But the people aren't ready for a system that works for them. They will vote Tory to be shafted.  It's so sad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:52:11 PM
Turkeys and christmas springs to mind. It is infuriating.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 28, 2017, 09:13:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:28:12 PM
I am very worried theresa may ,who is a typical useless tory ,is going to steamroll this election and sell us all down the river >:(

She'd probably sell the whole river, us and all.

The whole Brexit thing is really motoring now
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C98butuWsAAbjB0.jpg:large)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:40:56 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:52:11 PM
Turkeys and christmas springs to mind. It is infuriating.
Mélenchon is the French version of Corbyn
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B55SrWsOFUU

They are not going to stop even if they lose this time around.
Trump is already betraying his voters. May will do the same. Anger levels will be even higher
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 09:44:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:40:56 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:52:11 PM
Turkeys and christmas springs to mind. It is infuriating.
Mélenchon is the French version of Corbyn
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B55SrWsOFUU

They are not going to stop even if they lose this time around.
Trump is already betraying his voters. May will do the same. Anger levels will be even higher

What leader doesn't betray its voters? They will screw their own parents over to become leaders ffs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:57:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 09:44:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:40:56 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:52:11 PM
Turkeys and christmas springs to mind. It is infuriating.
Mélenchon is the French version of Corbyn
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B55SrWsOFUU

They are not going to stop even if they lose this time around.
Trump is already betraying his voters. May will do the same. Anger levels will be even higher

What leader doesn't betray its voters? They will screw their own parents over to become leaders ffs
It's different when the economy is stagnating, as it is now, and ordinary people have to bear the losses of financiers who made stupid bets. And then a messiah comes along
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vST61W4bGm8
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on April 28, 2017, 10:05:53 PM
You do know Seafoid that Labour said they where going to cut as deep as Tories if they got in at 2010 election?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 10:08:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:57:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 09:44:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:40:56 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:52:11 PM
Turkeys and christmas springs to mind. It is infuriating.
Mélenchon is the French version of Corbyn
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B55SrWsOFUU

They are not going to stop even if they lose this time around.
Trump is already betraying his voters. May will do the same. Anger levels will be even higher

What leader doesn't betray its voters? They will screw their own parents over to become leaders ffs
It's different when the economy is stagnating, as it is now, and ordinary people have to bear the losses of financiers who made stupid bets. And then a messiah comes along
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vST61W4bGm8

Go on to the holiday thread and see how it's stagnating
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 28, 2017, 10:48:30 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 10:08:35 PM
Go on to the holiday thread and see how it's stagnating

A goodly number there are in the 26 counties, or are yuppies like Rois.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 10:57:27 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 28, 2017, 10:48:30 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 10:08:35 PM
Go on to the holiday thread and see how it's stagnating

A goodly number there are in the 26 counties, or are yuppies like Rois.

No holidays for you?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on April 29, 2017, 12:37:27 AM
Visitors from GB well down on 1st quarter 2016.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 29, 2017, 01:50:54 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 10:57:27 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 28, 2017, 10:48:30 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 10:08:35 PM
Go on to the holiday thread and see how it's stagnating

A goodly number there are in the 26 counties, or are yuppies like Rois.

No holidays for you?

As a yuppie living in the 26 counties, I will certainly have a holiday or two.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 29, 2017, 07:44:18 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on April 29, 2017, 12:37:27 AM
Visitors from GB well down on 1st quarter 2016.
Rossfan that is not as credible as an anecdotal example from Milltown which proves his thesis irrefutably.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 29, 2017, 08:44:00 AM
Brexit means bending over
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MgjJc7RdJhg
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on April 29, 2017, 08:58:19 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 10:08:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:57:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 09:44:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:40:56 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:52:11 PM
Turkeys and christmas springs to mind. It is infuriating.
Mélenchon is the French version of Corbyn
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B55SrWsOFUU

They are not going to stop even if they lose this time around.
Trump is already betraying his voters. May will do the same. Anger levels will be even higher

What leader doesn't betray its voters? They will screw their own parents over to become leaders ffs
It's different when the economy is stagnating, as it is now, and ordinary people have to bear the losses of financiers who made stupid bets. And then a messiah comes along
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vST61W4bGm8

Go on to the holiday thread and see how it's stagnating

;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 29, 2017, 11:01:38 AM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/28/europe-considers-clause-allow-northern-ireland-automatic-membership/

I am a Loyal Ulster man
They say this day that I must hang
Cause I fought for a higher wage in the single market
They say that I must pay
Well they say this day that I must hang.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2zvWbrv-CY&list=RDQMEXo4uQrXo3A
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on April 29, 2017, 09:32:55 PM
Quote from: Franko on April 29, 2017, 08:58:19 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 10:08:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:57:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on April 28, 2017, 09:44:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 28, 2017, 09:40:56 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:52:11 PM
Turkeys and christmas springs to mind. It is infuriating.
Mélenchon is the French version of Corbyn
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B55SrWsOFUU

They are not going to stop even if they lose this time around.
Trump is already betraying his voters. May will do the same. Anger levels will be even higher

What leader doesn't betray its voters? They will screw their own parents over to become leaders ffs
It's different when the economy is stagnating, as it is now, and ordinary people have to bear the losses of financiers who made stupid bets. And then a messiah comes along
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vST61W4bGm8

Go on to the holiday thread and see how it's stagnating

;D

I think that is the perfect illustration of anecdotal evidence
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 29, 2017, 09:37:29 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 28, 2017, 08:28:12 PM
Bang on johnnycool. I like his principles in general but his brexit stance really makes him look poor.

While seafoid spouts some nonsense  ;D i think he is about right on corbyn.

Basically 48% of the uk population have no one standing up for their vote. It is very worrying.

Ok sf stand up for it but the don't go to westminster but lib dems do though can't see them doing much.

I am very worried theresa may ,who is a typical useless tory ,is going to steamroll this election and sell us all down the river >:(
Elizabeth Warren is doing something similar in the States. The question is how long it takes to get a majority.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zX099yxeOdI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 29, 2017, 09:39:51 PM
Comedian on earlier laughing at the financial crisis hitting the uk.... was very good and totally hit the nail on the head
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on May 01, 2017, 12:32:46 AM
This says it all ... the North is a basket case, wholly dependent on public sector jobs, those in the north only enjoy half the wealth of the south ... the Union has failed everyone in the north, can't be sustained for much longer ...

http://www.davidmcwilliams.ie/2017/04/30/star-trek-boldly-predicting-the-return-of-the-north-in-2024-might-yet-come-to-pass
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on May 01, 2017, 12:32:46 AM
This says it all ... the North is a basket case, wholly dependent on public sector jobs, those in the north only enjoy half the wealth of the south ... the Union has failed everyone in the north, can't be sustained for much longer ...

http://www.davidmcwilliams.ie/2017/04/30/star-trek-boldly-predicting-the-return-of-the-north-in-2024-might-yet-come-to-pass

Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 05:50:01 AM
Are there any numbers on the economic cost of all the Protestant students who leave NI to study in England/Scotland and never go back? That is a huge part of NI''s productivity problem. 
Tony Blair said that when people see how much Brexit costs they will change their minds. Brexit is a betrayal of NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 08:52:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
But Milltown the Republic is much better. You get the Angelus for free.

https://youtu.be/fS-71kaPfSo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:57:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 08:52:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
But Milltown the Republic is much better. You get the Angelus for free.

https://youtu.be/fS-71kaPfSo

Been getting it free for years!! Flipping caught me out the other day!!!! Was wondering what the auld lad was doing in the garden

Yeah the republic sounds great, no corruption no food banks no gangland killings drugs free and homelessness at a record low plus cheap housing!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 09:31:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:57:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 08:52:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
But Milltown the Republic is much better. You get the Angelus for free.

https://youtu.be/fS-71kaPfSo

Been getting it free for years!! Flipping caught me out the other day!!!! Was wondering what the auld lad was doing in the garden

Yeah the republic sounds great, no corruption no food banks no gangland killings drugs free and homelessness at a record low plus cheap housing!!
The Republic has better celebrities. Brush Shiels, Roz Purcell, Ryan Tubridy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on May 01, 2017, 09:40:15 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 09:31:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:57:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 08:52:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
But Milltown the Republic is much better. You get the Angelus for free.

https://youtu.be/fS-71kaPfSo

Been getting it free for years!! Flipping caught me out the other day!!!! Was wondering what the auld lad was doing in the garden

Yeah the republic sounds great, no corruption no food banks no gangland killings drugs free and homelessness at a record low plus cheap housing!!
The Republic has better celebrities. Brush Shiels, Roz Purcell, Ryan Tubridy
Better than Pammy and Julian?  Is that possible?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on May 01, 2017, 12:38:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:57:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 08:52:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
But Milltown the Republic is much better. You get the Angelus for free.

https://youtu.be/fS-71kaPfSo

Been getting it free for years!! Flipping caught me out the other day!!!! Was wondering what the auld lad was doing in the garden

Yeah the republic sounds great, no corruption no food banks no gangland killings drugs free and homelessness at a record low plus cheap housing!!

The south of the island is far better off than the six counties. Brexit is only going to make that gap more pronounced with EU funding cut out and the UK with little appetite for anything that happens in the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 01:14:36 PM
Quote from: michaelg on May 01, 2017, 09:40:15 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 09:31:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:57:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 08:52:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
But Milltown the Republic is much better. You get the Angelus for free.

https://youtu.be/fS-71kaPfSo

Been getting it free for years!! Flipping caught me out the other day!!!! Was wondering what the auld lad was doing in the garden

Yeah the republic sounds great, no corruption no food banks no gangland killings drugs free and homelessness at a record low plus cheap housing!!
The Republic has better celebrities. Brush Shiels, Roz Purcell, Ryan Tubridy
Better than Pammy and Julian?  Is that possible?

I see your Pammy and Julian , Michaelg and raise you Bill Cullen and Jackie Lavin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:33:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:57:11 AM
Yeah the republic sounds great, no corruption no food banks no gangland killings drugs free and homelessness at a record low plus cheap housing!!

People prefer to be homeless in the 26 counties rather than move to empty houses in the wee 6.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: joemamas on May 01, 2017, 01:59:08 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 09:31:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:57:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 08:52:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
But Milltown the Republic is much better. You get the Angelus for free.

https://youtu.be/fS-71kaPfSo

Been getting it free for years!! Flipping caught me out the other day!!!! Was wondering what the auld lad was doing in the garden

Yeah the republic sounds great, no corruption no food banks no gangland killings drugs free and homelessness at a record low plus cheap housing!!
The Republic has better celebrities. Brush Shiels, Roz Purcell, Ryan Tubridy

We also have better sports commentators;

Marty Morrissey
Martin Carney
Ger Canning
Tommy Carr
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 02:14:14 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/c3d2b16c-2e57-11e7-9555-23ef563ecf9a

   Theresa May's critics have attacked the British prime minister for having "no plan" over Brexit in the wake of a leaked account of a private dinner that heightened tensions between Brussels and London.A report published in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung portrayed last Wednesday's dinner between Mrs May and European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker as a disaster. According to the FAZ, commission officials were astonished at Mrs May's ambitions for the talks, including rapid resolution of the status of expatriates, a confidential negotiating process and a trade deal within two years.

The article quotes Mr Juncker as saying that he left the dinner "10 times more sceptical than I was before". He told Angela Merkel, German chancellor, of his concerns in an early morning phone call the next day. Tim Farron, leader of the UK's Liberal Democrats, said on Monday that the report made clear that "this government has no plan and no clue" for leaving the EU.Keir Starmer, the Brexit spokesman for the opposition Labour party, said Mrs May had misjudged her hand. "By refusing to acknowledge the complexity and magnitude of the task ahead the Prime Minister increases the risk that there will be no deal, which is the worst of all possible outcomes," he said.

A UK government spokesman said the FAZ account was not recognisable: "As the PM and Jean-Claude Juncker made clear, this was a constructive meeting ahead of the negotiations getting formally under way."But the comprehensive leaking of the talks will strengthen the hand of Eurosceptics in Mrs May's own party who believe the Brexit negotiations cannot succeed and that Britain would be better to make a clean break with the EU."This is the reason why some people are saying it will be impossible to reach a deal, because it doesn't matter which party is in the wrong galaxy, if they are in separate galaxies it is going to be very difficult," said Bernard Jenkin, a leading Conservative Eurosceptic MP. A spokesman for the UK Independence party added that the account of the EU's attempt to "bully" the UK showed the "mutual incomprehension" between the two sides. "We believe no deal is better than a bad deal, the offers on the table are bad deals and so better that we go for a quick, clean break and get on with our lives," he said.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 01, 2017, 02:22:43 PM
Between the Brits finding out leaving the EU is a complicated business and orange head tr**p finding out being President of a State with 300m pepole isn't as easy as he thought......
Anglo American systems have a lot to answer for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 01, 2017, 04:28:15 PM
Quote from: joemamas on May 01, 2017, 01:59:08 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 09:31:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:57:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 08:52:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 08:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 01, 2017, 01:18:04 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2017, 12:49:01 AM
Cost of living and size of the republic aren't factors here?

The cost of living is high where wages are high, it is much lower in Africa.
The size of the Republic is only relevant to the issue of supporting an unproductive 6 counties. I think the plan is to make the 6 counties equally productive.

When we have to walk 5 miles to get clean water and UNICEF is working on the streets followed by songs for Ireland I'll get worried
But Milltown the Republic is much better. You get the Angelus for free.

https://youtu.be/fS-71kaPfSo

Been getting it free for years!! Flipping caught me out the other day!!!! Was wondering what the auld lad was doing in the garden

Yeah the republic sounds great, no corruption no food banks no gangland killings drugs free and homelessness at a record low plus cheap housing!!
The Republic has better celebrities. Brush Shiels, Roz Purcell, Ryan Tubridy

We also have better sports commentators;

Marty Morrissey
Martin Carney
Ger Canning
Tommy Carr

We have Mark Sidebottom ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on May 01, 2017, 04:58:21 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2017, 02:22:43 PM
Between the Brits finding out leaving the EU is a complicated business and orange head tr**p finding out being President of a State with 300m pepole isn't as easy as he thought......
Anglo American systems have a lot to answer for.

and some people had the gall to say Enda was a bad leader. How the US or the UK would love a non-ideologue centrist like the Castlebar Cannon to be leading them now..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 02, 2017, 09:54:37 AM
Brexit is going to be a total mess   

https://www.ft.com/content/20b5f109-6b36-3b73-b321-6c8bd75108bb

   Analysing the Juncker-May Brexit reports: a Twitter thread
                  
      
                     
                     
                        David Allen Green
                     
                  
                     Below is a thread of tweets I posted on Monday as a commentary on the reports of the dinner between the UK prime minister Theresa May and Jean-Claude Juncker, the European Commission president.The reports are based on this thread and the numbers in parentheses in the tweets below refer to that thread. The ultimate source for the reports is the newspaper edition of the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.In summary, the tweets below contend that, even taking full account of bias and spin, the reported details of the dinner conversation are worrying, regardless of one's view of Brexit. The details show that neither Mrs May nor others have a grasp of the Article 50 process or have engaged with the issues. The disturbing conclusion is not that the UK and EU disagree but that the relevant UK ministers do not (yet) know what they are doing.(Apologies for typos etc in the tweets, for they can be an unfortunate feature of using the medium and the inclusion of the Twitter address of Lord (Stewart) Wood after the 20th tweet is because of how Twitter deals with threads)1. Some thoughts on the May-Juncker dinner details, as set out in this thread: https://t.co/enqq3MYjIz— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen)
May 1, 2017
2. Some are concerned at the fact of the leak - but the leak is only damaging because of the content.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
3. Had the leak been about how briefed May and Davis were, then the leak would be dull reading.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
4. Such a leak was always likely, so May either was not advised that this would happen or ignored such advice.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
5. Those who suggest May deliberately intended this leak are, in my view, fanciful. May likes secrecy and control.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
6. Yes, the leak has been spun. The worry is that, even after due account made of spin, the details remain worrying.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
7. So going through the detail of the thread.Tweet (3) - disrupting EU business -will not be simple for May, if this is a serious threat.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
8. The whole scheme of the negotiations - guidelines, TF50 team, Barnier - is to insulate and separate Brexit from other issues.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
9. This would not stop disruptive attempt - but it has no practical knock-on effect. Process insulated from UK (and other) undue influence.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
10. Tweets (5 & 6) - Juncker is right. Expats issue complicated re ongoing rights on health, social security, non-discrimination.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017 11. Not just residency. Even if UK wins on every point, still a lot to negotiate in detail. Not one meeting's work.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
12. On tweet (8), May wants confidentiality. No surprise. But that is not going to happen, either officially or otherwise. Leaks.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
13. This is a concern for UK, as May has no experience (or taste) for open negotiations. Her Home Office/security background unhelpful here.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
14. Also unrealistic, as tweet (9) explains. Role of other bodies. This suggests May/UK do not grasp the complex process. Not bilateral.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
15. On (11) Juncker saying UK will be treated as third state: this been open EU position since just after referendum result.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
16. The reported surprise of May at this (12) - if true - is telling. Again, suggests no grasp of what is going to happen.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017
17. The JHA (justice home affairs) point at (13) is revealing. Such detail unlikely to be spin/false. Very much a May thing.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017 18. May's experience at Home Office untypical of EU business. But she thinks the Home Office approach will work generally.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017 19. For more on why JHA is a misleading precedent for EU deals, see @StewartWood at https://t.co/enpK5Ch9og— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood 20. In essence, UK can get away with cherry picking on JHA as EU member. Not same as with Single Market as a third (ex EU) state.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
21. So tweets (14 & 15) bang on. So Juncker at (16) plausible. Confidentiality and JHA points likely to be from May and showed no grasp.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
22. And now we come to money - tweets (17 to 20). Of course, this part should be taken with grains of salt. EU has interest opposite to UK.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
23. But what is striking - and disturbing - here are the two arguments attributed to May and Davis, not that UK wants to pay little/nothing.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
24. The 'not in treaties' line of May at (17) disregards the various heads of liability set out in the EC guidelines, not just budget.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
25. Each of these area will cause a a mess/shortfall/real problem. Each needs to be addressed in talks, even if UK prevails.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
26. To resort to the 'not in treaties' line indicates there is no grasp of the range of financial issues as set out in the guidelines.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
27. See para 10 at https://t.co/fKziKOyscc.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood 
28. The argument of Davis (19 & 20) that EU could not force a payment again shows practical financial identified not being take seriously.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood 29.
What is the cause of concern is not that May/UK and Juncker/EU disagree but, frankly, how pathetic and ill-briefed the UK points are.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood 30. 
The detail of these weak points cannot be dismissed as spin. They could only have been made there and then by May/Davis, not invented.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen)
May 1, 2017.@StewartWood 
31. What the leaks reveal is not that UK/EU disagree, but how far the UK are away from grasping the process and the issues to be addressed.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
32. And the process and the issues need to be addressed and understood, even if UK/EU end up disagreeing and/or compromising.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood
33. If UK has no grasp of process or the issues, then Juncker at (25) must be right: a real risk of talks collapsing.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017.@StewartWood 34. Even when you discount leaks for spin and bias, details remain starkly worrying. UK not (yet) prepared for these Brexit talks./ends.— David Allen Green (@davidallengreen) May 1, 2017      
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on May 02, 2017, 03:30:27 PM
Quote from: AQMP on May 02, 2017, 09:56:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2017, 02:14:14 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/c3d2b16c-2e57-11e7-9555-23ef563ecf9a

   Theresa May's critics have attacked the British prime minister for having "no plan" over Brexit in the wake of a leaked account of a private dinner that heightened tensions between Brussels and London.A report published in the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung portrayed last Wednesday's dinner between Mrs May and European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker as a disaster. According to the FAZ, commission officials were astonished at Mrs May's ambitions for the talks, including rapid resolution of the status of expatriates, a confidential negotiating process and a trade deal within two years.

The article quotes Mr Juncker as saying that he left the dinner "10 times more sceptical than I was before". He told Angela Merkel, German chancellor, of his concerns in an early morning phone call the next day. Tim Farron, leader of the UK's Liberal Democrats, said on Monday that the report made clear that "this government has no plan and no clue" for leaving the EU.Keir Starmer, the Brexit spokesman for the opposition Labour party, said Mrs May had misjudged her hand. "By refusing to acknowledge the complexity and magnitude of the task ahead the Prime Minister increases the risk that there will be no deal, which is the worst of all possible outcomes," he said.

A UK government spokesman said the FAZ account was not recognisable: "As the PM and Jean-Claude Juncker made clear, this was a constructive meeting ahead of the negotiations getting formally under way."But the comprehensive leaking of the talks will strengthen the hand of Eurosceptics in Mrs May's own party who believe the Brexit negotiations cannot succeed and that Britain would be better to make a clean break with the EU."This is the reason why some people are saying it will be impossible to reach a deal, because it doesn't matter which party is in the wrong galaxy, if they are in separate galaxies it is going to be very difficult," said Bernard Jenkin, a leading Conservative Eurosceptic MP. A spokesman for the UK Independence party added that the account of the EU's attempt to "bully" the UK showed the "mutual incomprehension" between the two sides. "We believe no deal is better than a bad deal, the offers on the table are bad deals and so better that we go for a quick, clean break and get on with our lives," he said.

The well thought out and logic based response from Brexiteers...how dare Johnny Foreigner tell us, the masters of this sceptered isle, what to do...,

What is it with May and Arlene trying to portray this "firm" leadership just because they are women and want to be modern day Thatchers whatever that means?
Being inept and uncompromising isn't good leadership as Maggie did plenty of U turns behind closed doors irrespective of the rhetoric she used in her speeches.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 02, 2017, 04:00:05 PM
https://twitter.com/JeremyCliffe/status/858810953353367552
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Carmen Stateside on May 03, 2017, 03:53:34 PM
May starting to blame the press.  She sounds like she is under pressure. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Throw ball on May 03, 2017, 04:23:11 PM
The 'Peter Principle '?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on May 03, 2017, 04:23:38 PM
Does she not use notes/written speeches?  Hence  not good of the cuff.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on May 03, 2017, 05:27:07 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on May 03, 2017, 04:23:38 PM
Does she not use notes/written speeches?  Hence  not good of the cuff.

What politician doesn't? May seems relatively incompetent but it's Labour that are the real villains. Blair showed them how to win elections and they decide to swing so far left after him that they gave up the middle ground. I suppose indulging Gordon, picking the wrong Miliband and then choosing someone as unassuming and far-left as Corbyn didn't help either. Corbyn is the sort of fella who gets elected in a political society in college, not as leader of a mainstream party.

In a way they fûcked Cameron over too by broadening the anti-left movement to such a degree winning Brexit was even possible in the first place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 03, 2017, 08:50:44 PM
Quote from: Syferus on May 03, 2017, 05:27:07 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on May 03, 2017, 04:23:38 PM
Does she not use notes/written speeches?  Hence  not good of the cuff.

What politician doesn't? May seems relatively incompetent but it's Labour that are the real villains. Blair showed them how to win elections and they decide to swing so far left after him that they gave up the middle ground. I suppose indulging Gordon, picking the wrong Milland and then choosing someone as unassuming as Corbyn didn't help either.

In a way they fûcked Cameron over too by broadening the anti-left movement to such a degree winning Brexit was even possible in the first place.
What's wrong with left wing anyway? Roscommon needs a different economic system.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 03, 2017, 08:55:39 PM
Quote from: AQMP on May 03, 2017, 04:17:50 PM
Quote from: Carmen Stateside on May 03, 2017, 03:53:34 PM
May starting to blame the press.  She sounds like she is under pressure.

The more I see of May the more she looks and sounds like a middle ranking civil servant promoted beyond her level of competence.  I was struck by one British commentator revealing that before her speech in Wales last week she appeared more nervous than any other politician he had seen in his career.

Aye went to state school ye see so the superiority complex isn't quite as ingrained as it should be
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 03, 2017, 09:39:08 PM
She is an idiot who will likely get voted in by a landslide. Sad really.

She is looking like a fool in these brexit negotiations and it doesn't bode well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 04, 2017, 08:58:03 PM
Tusk's speech is sad. Because nobody on the Brexit side has said anything as decent. https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2017/may/04/brexit-negotiations-require-respect-says-donald-tusk-video
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 09, 2017, 10:36:58 AM
Guy Verhovstadt in the FT . The Irish Government did a fabulous job to get NI to the top of the agenda

https://www.ft.com/content/2494db66-31ae-11e7-9555-23ef563ecf9a

The third priority for the European Parliament in the first phase of negotiations is working out a solution to protect the Good Friday Agreement, in all its parts, and to avoid the re-introduction of a divisive hard border on the island of Ireland. This may ultimately require a comprehensive political solution, possibly even a special status for Northern Ireland. Many Irish citizens residing in Northern Ireland will continue to enjoy rights as EU passport holders, but how will their rights, including the right to vote in European elections, be safeguarded in practice? It is unlikely that the European Parliament will agree to start discussions about a future relationship, unless a rock-solid arrangement addressing these issues is in sight, which is effective, enforceable, non-discriminatory and comprehensive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on May 09, 2017, 12:37:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 09, 2017, 10:36:58 AM
Guy Verhovstadt in the FT . The Irish Government did a fabulous job to get NI to the top of the agenda

https://www.ft.com/content/2494db66-31ae-11e7-9555-23ef563ecf9a

The third priority for the European Parliament in the first phase of negotiations is working out a solution to protect the Good Friday Agreement, in all its parts, and to avoid the re-introduction of a divisive hard border on the island of Ireland. This may ultimately require a comprehensive political solution, possibly even a special status for Northern Ireland. Many Irish citizens residing in Northern Ireland will continue to enjoy rights as EU passport holders, but how will their rights, including the right to vote in European elections, be safeguarded in practice? It is unlikely that the European Parliament will agree to start discussions about a future relationship, unless a rock-solid arrangement addressing these issues is in sight, which is effective, enforceable, non-discriminatory and comprehensive.

Many Irish citizens residing in Northern Ireland don't even get to vote for an Irish President so whilst the Irish Government is entirely correct to protect the rights of Irish citizens living in the North, it'd do well to take its own advice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 12, 2017, 04:03:53 PM
https://theulsterfry.com/featured/dup-in-plot-to-cut-number-of-days-union-flag-flies-on-city-hall/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on May 12, 2017, 10:10:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 03, 2017, 08:50:44 PM
Quote from: Syferus on May 03, 2017, 05:27:07 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on May 03, 2017, 04:23:38 PM
Does she not use notes/written speeches?  Hence  not good of the cuff.

What politician doesn't? May seems relatively incompetent but it's Labour that are the real villains. Blair showed them how to win elections and they decide to swing so far left after him that they gave up the middle ground. I suppose indulging Gordon, picking the wrong Milland and then choosing someone as unassuming as Corbyn didn't help either.

In a way they fûcked Cameron over too by broadening the anti-left movement to such a degree winning Brexit was even possible in the first place.
What's wrong with left wing anyway? Roscommon needs a different economic system.

The Vote For Ming to make Ming rich economic system is working well. The rest of the Rossies will get their reward in heaven
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 13, 2017, 01:10:37 AM
The Lord has already reserved a place in Heaven for all Rossies.
He felt guilty over the awful showers of hoors he put living all round us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 16, 2017, 10:30:05 AM
Inflation now at 2.7% . . .

thanks a million to the 52%  >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 01:51:22 PM
Thats it! we wont be able to afford those new phones or computers anymore, xmas cancelled and forget about the Hols! we blamed the banks the last time now its the 52%!

We love a good blame game here
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 16, 2017, 02:49:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 01:51:22 PM
Thats it! we wont be able to afford those new phones or computers anymore, xmas cancelled and forget about the Hols! we blamed the banks the last time now its the 52%!

We love a good blame game here

Not really sure I get your point?

It's a pretty simple equation. The pound has lost 20% of its value against the Euro therefore purchase of materials/goods/anything that is European is more expensive.

You keep talking about it not having much of a negative effect on GAAboarders but a 2.7% and rising price increase is going to hit a lot of people very hard when you consider energy/food prices!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 16, 2017, 04:15:08 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 16, 2017, 02:49:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 01:51:22 PM
Thats it! we wont be able to afford those new phones or computers anymore, xmas cancelled and forget about the Hols! we blamed the banks the last time now its the 52%!

We love a good blame game here

Not really sure I get your point?

It's a pretty simple equation. The pound has lost 20% of its value against the Euro therefore purchase of materials/goods/anything that is European is more expensive.

You keep talking about it not having much of a negative effect on GAAboarders but a 2.7% and rising price increase is going to hit a lot of people very hard when you consider energy/food prices!
Especially given the state of payrises in the UK economy (although 4 people at MR's weekend barbecue had a payrise)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on May 16, 2017, 04:40:33 PM
Sterling was grossly over valued this long time .  The bottom line is that Brits travel abroad too much and import way to much .  It will balance out over time .  Also they will need to run a surplus and their debt is too high .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 16, 2017, 04:55:23 PM
Quote from: ashman on May 16, 2017, 04:40:33 PM
Sterling was grossly over valued this long time .  The bottom line is that Brits travel abroad too much and import way to much .  It will balance out over time .  Also they will need to run a surplus and their debt is too high .

Indeed. So Brexit didn't quite cause the decline in Sterling. However, by creating uncertainty and affecting trade it is very likely to make things worse. It has recovered a bit, basically on the grounds that May is going to do something of a U turn when she gets a majority and go for a softer Brexit. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 16, 2017, 05:08:51 PM
Brexit tanked in October when it was clear the hard Brexit lunatics were in charge.

for example

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/oct/01/theresa-may-to-propose-great-repeal-bill-to-unwind-eu-laws
"Bernard Jenkin, a longtime Eurosceptic and 'hard Brexit' advocate, said a growing number of people "support a speedy and clean break with the EU".
Writing in the Observer, Jenkin said Brussels needed to know the UK was prepared to walk away without a deal. "We need to be aware that article 50, as intended, could tie us up in knots. So we must be prepared to leave without any formal agreement if necessary, or the commission has us over a barrel."

Modern supply chains are complex and crossborder . The UK can't just walk away as if nothing will happen

Nobody voted for a hard Brexit
https://www.ft.com/content/3bb3e508-84d9-11e6-8897-2359a58ac7a5

"New research by Birkbeck academic Eric Kaufman allows us for the first time to quantify the loss of support once UK prime minister Theresa May tells us what Brexit means. He finds that one-third of Leave voters would be willing to pay 5 per cent of their personal income to reduce EU immigration to zero. However, another third would not be willing to pay any money to effect a reduction of any size."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 16, 2017, 05:30:27 PM
it has to be said that with these looneys running the asylum, there doesn't seem to be much interest on this island in the prospect of having the most intrusive border for 1000 miles around, when people have been used for 2 generations to having had one of the least intrusive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 08:36:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 16, 2017, 02:49:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 01:51:22 PM
Thats it! we wont be able to afford those new phones or computers anymore, xmas cancelled and forget about the Hols! we blamed the banks the last time now its the 52%!

We love a good blame game here

Not really sure I get your point?

It's a pretty simple equation. The pound has lost 20% of its value against the Euro therefore purchase of materials/goods/anything that is European is more expensive.

You keep talking about it not having much of a negative effect on GAAboarders but a 2.7% and rising price increase is going to hit a lot of people very hard when you consider energy/food prices!

People eat way too much anyways so that will help with the obesity crisis
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on May 17, 2017, 01:26:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 08:36:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 16, 2017, 02:49:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 01:51:22 PM
Thats it! we wont be able to afford those new phones or computers anymore, xmas cancelled and forget about the Hols! we blamed the banks the last time now its the 52%!

We love a good blame game here

Not really sure I get your point?

It's a pretty simple equation. The pound has lost 20% of its value against the Euro therefore purchase of materials/goods/anything that is European is more expensive.

You keep talking about it not having much of a negative effect on GAAboarders but a 2.7% and rising price increase is going to hit a lot of people very hard when you consider energy/food prices!

People eat way too much anyways so that will help with the obesity crisis

That sounds like an answer you'd hear coming from Boris Johnston.  And he's a pillock.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 01:54:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on May 17, 2017, 01:26:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 08:36:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 16, 2017, 02:49:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 01:51:22 PM
Thats it! we wont be able to afford those new phones or computers anymore, xmas cancelled and forget about the Hols! we blamed the banks the last time now its the 52%!

We love a good blame game here

Not really sure I get your point?

It's a pretty simple equation. The pound has lost 20% of its value against the Euro therefore purchase of materials/goods/anything that is European is more expensive.

You keep talking about it not having much of a negative effect on GAAboarders but a 2.7% and rising price increase is going to hit a lot of people very hard when you consider energy/food prices!

People eat way too much anyways so that will help with the obesity crisis

That sounds like an answer you'd hear coming from Boris Johnston.  And he's a pillock.

Sorry i left out the smiley face, some people wouldnt see the taking piss post for what it was.....

But people eat way too much ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 02:10:15 PM
Close them food banks. That'll show them!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on May 17, 2017, 02:29:34 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 01:54:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on May 17, 2017, 01:26:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 08:36:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 16, 2017, 02:49:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 16, 2017, 01:51:22 PM
Thats it! we wont be able to afford those new phones or computers anymore, xmas cancelled and forget about the Hols! we blamed the banks the last time now its the 52%!

We love a good blame game here

Not really sure I get your point?

It's a pretty simple equation. The pound has lost 20% of its value against the Euro therefore purchase of materials/goods/anything that is European is more expensive.

You keep talking about it not having much of a negative effect on GAAboarders but a 2.7% and rising price increase is going to hit a lot of people very hard when you consider energy/food prices!

People eat way too much anyways so that will help with the obesity crisis

That sounds like an answer you'd hear coming from Boris Johnston.  And he's a pillock.

Sorry i left out the smiley face, some people wouldnt see the taking piss post for what it was.....

But people eat way too much ;)

My point still stands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 03:54:37 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 02:10:15 PM
Close them food banks. That'll show them!!

In Limerick?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 04:09:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 03:54:37 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 02:10:15 PM
Close them food banks. That'll show them!!

In Limerick?
Glasgow, Newcastle, Manchester, Liverpool.........
Check these lads
www.trusselltrust.org 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 04:31:54 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 04:09:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 03:54:37 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 02:10:15 PM
Close them food banks. That'll show them!!

In Limerick?
Glasgow, Newcastle, Manchester, Liverpool.........
Check these lads
www.trusselltrust.org

Limerick not got any?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 04:48:45 PM
Concentrate on your beloved United Kingdom. ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 05:45:40 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 04:48:45 PM
Concentrate on your beloved United Kingdom. ;)

You still not answering? Hmmmm either you can't or you're full of shit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 06:47:55 PM
Know feck all about Limerick.
Plenty in Belfast and various loyal areas of the 6 Cos I see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 08:00:02 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 06:47:55 PM
Know feck all about Limerick.
Plenty in Belfast and various loyal areas of the 6 Cos I see.

Yeah I doubt you know anything about Limerick and even less about Belfast
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 09:05:04 PM
Try and have a bit of grace and manners and don't be insulting people who deflate you're view if the world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 09:17:04 PM
UK social welfare is on balance less generous than RoI I think. Food Banks are very Tory.  The undeserving poor
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:05:20 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 09:05:04 PM
Try and have a bit of grace and manners and don't be insulting people who deflate you're view if the world.

Pot kettle black springs to mind, you are a dick who constantly insult Irish people who live in the North.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:06:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 09:17:04 PM
UK social welfare is on balance less generous than RoI I think. Food Banks are very Tory.  The undeserving poor

So there are no food banks in the south?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 10:20:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:06:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 09:17:04 PM
UK social welfare is on balance less generous than RoI I think. Food Banks are very Tory.  The undeserving poor

So there are no food banks in the south?
The UK has 800,000 people on zero hours contracts, millions of people whose low wages are topped up by Government and over a million people who can't afford to buy enough food.

It's a different system

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:25:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 10:20:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:06:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 09:17:04 PM
UK social welfare is on balance less generous than RoI I think. Food Banks are very Tory.  The undeserving poor

So there are no food banks in the south?
The UK has 800,000 people on zero hours contracts, millions of people whose low wages are topped up by Government and over a million people who can't afford to buy enough food.

It's a different system

You're not answering the question either... complete politician responses
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on May 17, 2017, 10:29:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 10:20:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:06:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 09:17:04 PM
UK social welfare is on balance less generous than RoI I think. Food Banks are very Tory.  The undeserving poor

So there are no food banks in the south?
The UK has 800,000 people on zero hours contracts, millions of people whose low wages are topped up by Government and over a million people who can't afford to buy enough food.

It's a different system

Was it not Labour that introduced tax credits ??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 11:51:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 10:20:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:06:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 09:17:04 PM
UK social welfare is on balance less generous than RoI I think. Food Banks are very Tory.  The undeserving poor

So there are no food banks in the south?
The UK has 800,000 people on zero hours contracts, millions of people whose low wages are topped up by Government and over a million people who can't afford to buy enough food.

It's a different system
And 13,000,000 below the poverty line in  7th or 9the richest State in the world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 11:53:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:05:20 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 09:05:04 PM
Try and have a bit of grace and manners and don't be insulting people who deflate you're view if the world.

Pot kettle black springs to mind, you are a dick who constantly insult Irish people who live in the North.
You might post some examples of these imaginary insults.
Calling someone a Dick is real class alright.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 18, 2017, 07:21:25 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 04:48:45 PM
Concentrate on your beloved United Kingdom. ;)

Your must recent insult
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 18, 2017, 07:46:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 10:06:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2017, 09:17:04 PM
UK social welfare is on balance less generous than RoI I think. Food Banks are very Tory.  The undeserving poor

So there are no food banks in the south?
apparently crosscare run the only one
http://www.crosscarefoodbank.ie/

Food banks are not a part of Government Policy as in the UK.
https://cabfoodbanksuu.wordpress.com/list-of-food-banks/
1 in 5 people in the UK live below the poverty line 

Another reason for a united Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OakleafCounty on May 18, 2017, 08:16:57 AM
Now the French farmers are asking for a hard Irish border.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-39946042
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 18, 2017, 08:38:32 AM
Foodbanks in NI are the paramilitary wing of social services

https://strabane.foodbank.org.uk/get-help/how-to-get-help/
The most important step is to get a foodbank voucher.
In order to provide the most appropriate help for the circumstances of your situation we work with local agencies. If they feel you are struggling to put food on the table, they will issue you with a foodbank voucher. The local agency can also provide long term support if needed to help address some of the issues behind the reasons for your crisis. Agencies we work with include: Citizens Advice, housing support officers, children's centres, health visitors, social services and some local charities.

This system is wrong on so many levels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 18, 2017, 08:56:00 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 18, 2017, 07:21:25 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 04:48:45 PM
Concentrate on your beloved United Kingdom. ;)

Your must recent insult
One jokey comment directed at yourself over your continued dismissal of any concerns or negativity about the "UK's" future after Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 18, 2017, 10:30:54 AM
https://strabane.foodbank.org.uk/2015/12/08/why-would-a-mum-doing-a-business-degree-find-herself-begging-on-the-streets-this-winter/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on May 18, 2017, 11:44:22 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 04:31:54 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 04:09:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2017, 03:54:37 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 17, 2017, 02:10:15 PM
Close them food banks. That'll show them!!

In Limerick?
Glasgow, Newcastle, Manchester, Liverpool.........
Check these lads
www.trusselltrust.org

Limerick not got any?

There's one in Newtownards though!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 18, 2017, 01:01:55 PM
They are all over the place.
How do the Shinners tolerate such injustice ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 18, 2017, 01:42:44 PM
Food banks have nothing to do with brexit, are we clear on that?

Mr Dempsey said SVP provided around 2,500 families in Cork with food every week, in addition to supplying its own hostels, Simon, Cork Penny Diners, women's shelters, and school breakfast clubs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 18, 2017, 02:42:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 18, 2017, 01:42:44 PM
Food banks have nothing to do with brexit, are we clear on that?

Mr Dempsey said SVP provided around 2,500 families in Cork with food every week, in addition to supplying its own hostels, Simon, Cork Penny Diners, women's shelters, and school breakfast clubs.

How can you say that?? Just because Ireland aren't handling their economy well either doesn't mean that Brexit hasn't been a contributory factor in the increase of people using foodbanks in the UK.

The latest inflation figures have cited the drop in sterling's value against the Euro due to the Brexit result as a major reason for rising prices and sure rising prices along with wage stagnation contribute to more families being on food banks!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 18, 2017, 03:38:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 18, 2017, 01:42:44 PM
Food banks have nothing to do with brexit, are we clear on that?

Mr Dempsey said SVP provided around 2,500 families in Cork with food every week, in addition to supplying its own hostels, Simon, Cork Penny Diners, women's shelters, and school breakfast clubs.
Food banks are linked to savage welfare cuts and failed economic policy, both of which drove the Brexit vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 18, 2017, 08:51:49 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 18, 2017, 02:42:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 18, 2017, 01:42:44 PM
Food banks have nothing to do with brexit, are we clear on that?

Mr Dempsey said SVP provided around 2,500 families in Cork with food every week, in addition to supplying its own hostels, Simon, Cork Penny Diners, women's shelters, and school breakfast clubs.

How can you say that?? Just because Ireland aren't handling their economy well either doesn't mean that Brexit hasn't been a contributory factor in the increase of people using foodbanks in the UK.

The latest inflation figures have cited the drop in sterling's value against the Euro due to the Brexit result as a major reason for rising prices and sure rising prices along with wage stagnation contribute to more families being on food banks!

Because there was food banks before brexit and there are food banks in countries that are part of the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on May 18, 2017, 08:52:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 18, 2017, 03:38:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 18, 2017, 01:42:44 PM
Food banks have nothing to do with brexit, are we clear on that?

Mr Dempsey said SVP provided around 2,500 families in Cork with food every week, in addition to supplying its own hostels, Simon, Cork Penny Diners, women's shelters, and school breakfast clubs.
Food banks are linked to savage welfare cuts and failed economic policy, both of which drove the Brexit vote.

What savage welfare cuts ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on May 22, 2017, 07:54:42 PM
David McWilliams has a programme on RTE1 tonight at 9.35pm. Will be interesting to see what he has to say as he is a well respected economist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on May 23, 2017, 12:41:08 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on May 22, 2017, 07:54:42 PM
David McWilliams has a programme on RTE1 tonight at 9.35pm. Will be interesting to see what he has to say as he is a well respected economist.
Is he?

Is that not like saying joe brolly is a well respected football analyst? Give me Georege Lee any day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 01, 2017, 09:04:45 PM
Calling Milltown Row

https://markets.jpmorgan.com/research/email/-hljkh7b/8XZ790kpUuhQaCHpZ4ou1Q/GPS-2348868-0

It is extremely difficult to try and put numbers on the size of the shock to output that could occur in the case of no agreement as Brexit occurs. There are basically no precedents we can identify for a shock of this sort acting across sectors simultaneously.
The nearest we can get is research on the potential and actual impact of port closures. Strike action and the potential for disruption via terrorist and other events have generated some research on this issue for the US. Research commissioned by the CBO published in 2006 suggested that a 3-year shutdown of ports on the West Coast and a one-week shutdown of all ports would generate a near 0.45% drop in GDP. A more recent (2014) analysis of the impact of a 20-day closure of West Coast ports put the impact at 0.3% of GDP.
In our view, the impact of Brexit without an agreement would be orders of magnitude larger than these estimates. In addition to the issues created around movement of goods through customs procedures, there would be a broader regulatory shock extending across sectors. Given the breadth of the EU's regulatory reach, it is very likely there would be important impacts which we have missed in the account above. In addition, the share of trade in GDP for the UK is significantly higher than for the US.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on June 02, 2017, 08:58:08 AM
Experts  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 02, 2017, 10:45:36 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 01, 2017, 09:04:45 PM
Calling Milltown Row

https://markets.jpmorgan.com/research/email/-hljkh7b/8XZ790kpUuhQaCHpZ4ou1Q/GPS-2348868-0

It is extremely difficult to try and put numbers on the size of the shock to output that could occur in the case of no agreement as Brexit occurs. There are basically no precedents we can identify for a shock of this sort acting across sectors simultaneously.
The nearest we can get is research on the potential and actual impact of port closures. Strike action and the potential for disruption via terrorist and other events have generated some research on this issue for the US. Research commissioned by the CBO published in 2006 suggested that a 3-year shutdown of ports on the West Coast and a one-week shutdown of all ports would generate a near 0.45% drop in GDP. A more recent (2014) analysis of the impact of a 20-day closure of West Coast ports put the impact at 0.3% of GDP.
In our view, the impact of Brexit without an agreement would be orders of magnitude larger than these estimates. In addition to the issues created around movement of goods through customs procedures, there would be a broader regulatory shock extending across sectors. Given the breadth of the EU's regulatory reach, it is very likely there would be important impacts which we have missed in the account above. In addition, the share of trade in GDP for the UK is significantly higher than for the US.

I wonder were these the same people that said Trump wont get in and Brexit wont happen? 

Will just have to hop over the border and live in Louth, and my life will get better
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 02, 2017, 10:57:06 AM
Does that mean that you have an Irish passport Milltown?
That must have hurt !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 02, 2017, 11:07:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 02, 2017, 10:45:36 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 01, 2017, 09:04:45 PM
Calling Milltown Row

https://markets.jpmorgan.com/research/email/-hljkh7b/8XZ790kpUuhQaCHpZ4ou1Q/GPS-2348868-0

It is extremely difficult to try and put numbers on the size of the shock to output that could occur in the case of no agreement as Brexit occurs. There are basically no precedents we can identify for a shock of this sort acting across sectors simultaneously.
The nearest we can get is research on the potential and actual impact of port closures. Strike action and the potential for disruption via terrorist and other events have generated some research on this issue for the US. Research commissioned by the CBO published in 2006 suggested that a 3-year shutdown of ports on the West Coast and a one-week shutdown of all ports would generate a near 0.45% drop in GDP. A more recent (2014) analysis of the impact of a 20-day closure of West Coast ports put the impact at 0.3% of GDP.
In our view, the impact of Brexit without an agreement would be orders of magnitude larger than these estimates. In addition to the issues created around movement of goods through customs procedures, there would be a broader regulatory shock extending across sectors. Given the breadth of the EU's regulatory reach, it is very likely there would be important impacts which we have missed in the account above. In addition, the share of trade in GDP for the UK is significantly higher than for the US.

I wonder were these the same people that said Trump wont get in and Brexit wont happen? 

Will just have to hop over the border and live in Louth, and my life will get better
I wouldn't pick Louth, Milltown. The accent is dreadful

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 02, 2017, 05:23:24 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 02, 2017, 10:57:06 AM
Does that mean that you have an Irish passport Milltown?
That must have hurt !

all sorted, I'd say I had a Irish passport before you seeing as you're still at school
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 02, 2017, 06:10:49 PM
If there is a hard Brexit then if I was you Milltown I'd move before you get Ebola

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/soft-border-would-prevent-ebola-spreading-35780565.htm
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 02, 2017, 06:15:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 02, 2017, 06:10:49 PM
If there is a hard Brexit then if I was you Milltown I'd move before you get Ebola

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/soft-border-would-prevent-ebola-spreading-35780565.htm

And foot and mouth disease... the new leader will welcome everyone with open arms
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 02, 2017, 06:21:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 02, 2017, 06:15:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 02, 2017, 06:10:49 PM
If there is a hard Brexit then if I was you Milltown I'd move before you get Ebola

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/soft-border-would-prevent-ebola-spreading-35780565.htm

And foot and mouth disease... the new leader will welcome everyone with open arms

Only foreign animals, none of those ghastly foreign people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 02, 2017, 06:26:20 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 02, 2017, 06:21:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on June 02, 2017, 06:15:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 02, 2017, 06:10:49 PM
If there is a hard Brexit then if I was you Milltown I'd move before you get Ebola

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/soft-border-would-prevent-ebola-spreading-35780565.htm

And foot and mouth disease... the new leader will welcome everyone with open arms

Only foreign animals, none of those ghastly foreign people.

Aye I'd leave the Cross lads well alone
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 04, 2017, 02:54:40 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jun/03/britain-being-led-to-epic-act-self-harm-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on June 09, 2017, 10:05:21 AM
Donald Tusk @eucopresident 20 minutes ago 

We don't know when Brexit talks start. We know when they must end. Do your best to avoid a "no deal" as result of "no negotiations". #GE2017

Ouch

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 09, 2017, 01:31:11 PM
Some good quotes in this article

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/09/uk-shock-election-result-may-hamper-brexit-talks-eu-leaders-warn

What an absolute clusterfuck

Bad day for the Eurosceptics

"The EU had, until now, believed it understood that May wanted to take the UK out of both the single market and the customs union, but in the early hours of Friday morning the Brexit secretary, David Davis, suggested the election result could prompt a rethink.
Davis said of the Tory's manifesto pledges on the single market and customs union: "That's what it [the election] was about, that's what we put in front of the people, we'll see tomorrow whether they've accepted that or not. That will be their decision.""

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVN_H7J31TY
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on June 09, 2017, 01:43:28 PM
I don't think you should be giving Teresa any ideas so soon after the election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 10, 2017, 08:43:29 AM
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2017/06/end-brexit-britain/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on June 10, 2017, 08:51:40 AM
Take a couple of days off Seafoid, you need a rest
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 10, 2017, 11:24:51 AM
Quote from: Minder on June 10, 2017, 08:51:40 AM
Take a couple of days off Seafoid, you need a rest
:D ;D
Go to Pearse Stadium tomorrow. The wind there will clear your headeen.



Or will you be staying at home so you can switch to the soccer at 5pm?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 10, 2017, 04:50:06 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 10, 2017, 11:24:51 AM
Quote from: Minder on June 10, 2017, 08:51:40 AM
Take a couple of days off Seafoid, you need a rest
:D ;D
Go to Pearse Stadium tomorrow. The wind there will clear your headeen.



Or will you be staying at home so you can switch to the soccer at 5pm?

Croker for 5pm.... oh shit its hurling, you know, the national sport ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 10, 2017, 05:21:10 PM
Half National at most. ;)
The real old Ireland has little of that oul shtuff
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 10, 2017, 05:51:00 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 10, 2017, 05:21:10 PM
Half National at most. ;)
The real old Ireland has little of that oul shtuff

You truly are a halfwit!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 10, 2017, 05:54:23 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 10, 2017, 05:21:10 PM
Half National at most. ;)
The real old Ireland has little of that oul shtuff

"Christy Ring is hurling. Hurling is Ireland. Christy Ring is Ireland"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jrz5X-ER2Cg

Football is ok where hurling is not available
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 20, 2017, 10:28:28 AM
Where did Barnier put the hiking pole?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on June 20, 2017, 12:13:11 PM
QuoteFirst up was Ireland. Wasn't it significant that Ireland was relegated to any other business when the UK wanted to make it a priority? Not at all, Davis insisted. The fact that it was under any other business was a sign of just how keen the EU was to resolve the border issues. Barnier just shrugged. "Ireland would require some imaginative solutions," he said. He couldn't think what they might be, but if anyone saw some flying pigs ...

Wonder how our boys/gals in Foreign Affairs feel about this?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Owen Brannigan on June 20, 2017, 03:15:29 PM
A bad sign?

http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/news/moy-park-for-sale-northern-ireland-poultry-giant-put-on-market-by-brazilian-owner-jbs-35847279.html (http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/news/moy-park-for-sale-northern-ireland-poultry-giant-put-on-market-by-brazilian-owner-jbs-35847279.html)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 30, 2017, 04:29:54 PM
British borrowing more, saving less.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-40454385





Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 30, 2017, 04:51:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 30, 2017, 04:29:54 PM
British borrowing more, saving less.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-40454385
last year's growth in spending was driven by debt.
Brits are not getting payrises.
It is time for a new economic system..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2017, 12:04:04 AM
A bit of doubt creeping in
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-40491916

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 12:42:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2017, 04:51:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 30, 2017, 04:29:54 PM
British borrowing more, saving less.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-40454385
last year's growth in spending was driven by debt.
Brits are not getting payrises.
It is time for a new economic system..

Living on the streets by March 19 ... I've got  a few months then
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 05, 2017, 01:10:27 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 12:42:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2017, 04:51:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 30, 2017, 04:29:54 PM
British borrowing more, saving less.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-40454385
last year's growth in spending was driven by debt.
Brits are not getting payrises.
It is time for a new economic system..

Living on the streets by March 19 ... I've got  a few months then

Don't worry, GAABoard will chip in for your Internet subscription so we don't lose you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2017, 09:11:30 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 12:42:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2017, 04:51:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 30, 2017, 04:29:54 PM
British borrowing more, saving less.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-40454385
last year's growth in spending was driven by debt.
Brits are not getting payrises.
It is time for a new economic system..

Living on the streets by March 19 ... I've got  a few months then
If the thing goes ahead the pain won't be distributed evenly across society. Economic damage usually hits weaker members of society like unskilled workers, single mothers, kids from poor families, old people with no property, the mentally ill etc

You need to secure a decent wine supply. ...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 11:00:10 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 05, 2017, 09:11:30 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 12:42:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2017, 04:51:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 30, 2017, 04:29:54 PM
British borrowing more, saving less.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-40454385
last year's growth in spending was driven by debt.
Brits are not getting payrises.
It is time for a new economic system..

Living on the streets by March 19 ... I've got  a few months then
If the thing goes ahead the pain won't be distributed evenly across society. Economic damage usually hits weaker members of society like unskilled workers, single mothers, kids from poor families, old people with no property, the mentally ill etc

You need to secure a decent wine supply. ...

If? surely its set in stone, Brexit means Brexit... out on our ear, skid row, back to the middle ages, internet scrapped, coal mines opened up, people only living till they are in their 50's, single mothers put to work and their kids taken off them, as for property, it will be wooden huts, no hols, and no health care or education
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2017, 03:33:13 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jul/05/brexit-error-vote-leave-dominic-cummings
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2017, 06:47:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 11:00:10 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 05, 2017, 09:11:30 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 12:42:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2017, 04:51:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 30, 2017, 04:29:54 PM
British borrowing more, saving less.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-40454385
last year's growth in spending was driven by debt.
Brits are not getting payrises.
It is time for a new economic system..

Living on the streets by March 19 ... I've got  a few months then
If the thing goes ahead the pain won't be distributed evenly across society. Economic damage usually hits weaker members of society like unskilled workers, single mothers, kids from poor families, old people with no property, the mentally ill etc

You need to secure a decent wine supply. ...

If? surely its set in stone, Brexit means Brexit... out on our ear, skid row, back to the middle ages, internet scrapped, coal mines opened up, people only living till they are in their 50's, single mothers put to work and their kids taken off them, as for property, it will be wooden huts, no hols, and no health care or education
You have to immunise against deluded optimism
www.averys.com/3585001
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 08:05:24 PM
That's a great offer.... though I was in Spain there and the Faustino range was cheap as chips
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 08, 2017, 10:31:38 AM
From the Guardian

"The pitiless reality of what Brexit actually means is the much deeper reason. It's not just May herself whose place at the top table now looks shaky. It is Britain's too.
As the months have unfolded since the Brexit vote, most of the flippant deceptions of the leave campaign have collapsed. Few now swallow May's talk of a clean Brexit, much less of a red, white and blue version. Most now grasp that, at best, Brexit will be a bundle of compromises, few of them advantageous. Almost no one apart fromLiam Fox now thinks that, especially in the age of Trump, there is a viable or desirable Atlanticist, or even Anglosphere, alternative to the historic reality of Britain in Europe. As the former Nato chief George Roberston put it at Thursday's Lords committee session, the geography hasn't changed, the threats haven't changed, and the imperative of European cooperation hasn't changed either

German voters trust Merkel and her centre-right party in ways that May and the Conservatives can now only dream of, because she embodies the economic security, humane values and competence they do not.

If, in Hamburg, May and Britain were standing shoulder to shoulder with Merkel, Germany and the EU, then Britain would indeed be a significant and effective global player. Instead, trapped by Brexit, apologising for Trump and pursuing a delusional trade strategy, Britain and its weakened prime minister cut a pitiful and destabilising figure on the international stage."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on July 08, 2017, 05:56:23 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 11:00:10 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 05, 2017, 09:11:30 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 05, 2017, 12:42:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 30, 2017, 04:51:57 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 30, 2017, 04:29:54 PM
British borrowing more, saving less.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-40454385
last year's growth in spending was driven by debt.
Brits are not getting payrises.
It is time for a new economic system..

Living on the streets by March 19 ... I've got  a few months then
If the thing goes ahead the pain won't be distributed evenly across society. Economic damage usually hits weaker members of society like unskilled workers, single mothers, kids from poor families, old people with no property, the mentally ill etc

You need to secure a decent wine supply. ...

If? surely its set in stone, Brexit means Brexit... out on our ear, skid row, back to the middle ages, internet scrapped, coal mines opened up, people only living till they are in their 50's, single mothers put to work and their kids taken off them, as for property, it will be wooden huts, no hols, and no health care or education
About time. Do you realise how difficult it is to get a good chimney sweep? Some of those under nourished young kids wil be ideal for the job
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 10, 2017, 05:03:26 PM
(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fcom.ft.imagepublish.prod.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fac09ccd8-60dd-11e7-8814-0ac7eb84e5f1?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=700)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 11, 2017, 09:22:57 PM
http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/european-airlines-will-screw-over-uk-carriers-and-steal-their-business-ryanair-boss-michael-oleary-35920301.html
The UK will reverse course on Brexit once flight cancellations start to hit British holidaymakers, Ryanair boss Michael O'Leary has said, predicting French and German airlines would seek to "screw over" UK carriers and steal their business.
"By September 2018, when your average British voter is sitting down to work out where he's going on holidays in the summer of 2019, the two options he will have will be: drive to Scotland or get a ferry to Ireland," Mr O'Leary told MEPs in Brussels on Tuesday.
"It will be a couple of months before British people understand that they don't all want to go on holidays in Ireland or in Scotland, and I think the British government will be forced to come to its senses."
"We should be optimistic. The British, I believe, will change their minds because it's going to be very bad for them over the next six to eight months," Mr O'Leary said.
He said Brexit will be "one of the great economic suicide notes in history", and predicted Lufthansa and Air France would "see a competitive opportunity" to "screw over" UK-based carriers.
He said Ryanair was already reallocating aircraft from Britain to European regional airports to ensure unfettered access to EU and transatlantic routes under an EU-US open skies deal.
"The UK is going to have to find a way, within the next 12 months, to get back into 'open skies' or to have a bilateral with the EU27, and I think that's an impossibility," Mr O'Leary told a European parliamentary committee on the impact of Brexit on aviation.
"There's no goodwill in Europe towards Britain," he said. "The French and the Germans, whenever they can get the opportunity to stick one to the British, like nothing better."
Mr O'Leary said the Brexit was a "shambles" and the UK government "haven't a bull's notion what they're doing" in the negotiations, recalling a senior Brexit minister telling him that an open skies deal with Pakistan could make up for the loss of access to European airspace.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 11, 2017, 11:39:55 PM
He's on to something there! Be a tax charge on entering Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:10:05 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.

Be nearly as worse as going bankrupt and asking for loans to get your house in order! Pure madnes
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:21:22 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:10:05 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.

Be nearly as worse as going bankrupt and asking for loans to get your house in order! Pure madnes

Once bad enough but then having to do it twice

Tut tut Uk

Away and enjoy the bonfire,son
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:26:26 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:21:22 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:10:05 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.

Be nearly as worse as going bankrupt and asking for loans to get your house in order! Pure madnes

Once bad enough but then having to do it twice

Tut tut Uk

Away and enjoy the bonfire,son

Our bonfires aren't on till the 8th August, but you'd know that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:37:47 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:26:26 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:21:22 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:10:05 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.

Be nearly as worse as going bankrupt and asking for loans to get your house in order! Pure madnes

Once bad enough but then having to do it twice

Tut tut Uk

Away and enjoy the bonfire,son

Our bonfires aren't on till the 8th August, but you'd know that

Those would be the Republican ones?.As in the people who would like to be part of a United Ireland?,

Those ones?,

but you look down your nose at every opportunity at people in the south and like to point out our economic failings ,despite NI resembling a failed state with a budget defect in 2015 8 times that of Greece,so why would you want to part of a United Ireland? and more pertinently why would we want you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:51:39 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:37:47 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:26:26 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:21:22 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:10:05 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.

Be nearly as worse as going bankrupt and asking for loans to get your house in order! Pure madnes

Once bad enough but then having to do it twice

Tut tut Uk

Away and enjoy the bonfire,son

Our bonfires aren't on till the 8th August, but you'd know that

Those would be the Republican ones?.As in the people who would like to be part of a United Ireland?,

Those ones?,

but you look down your nose at every opportunity at people in the south and like to point out our economic failings ,despite NI resembling a failed state with a budget defect in 2015 8 times that of Greece,so why would you want to part of a United Ireland? and more pertinently why would we want you.

You are getting me confused with someone who wants to be part of country with economic failings.... I'm Irish, I've a healthy lifestyle and happy with life...

You obviously haven't lived in the north, the poverty is madness! Only get internet after 12am as it's cheaper, food parcels a plenty (unlike the south). Free health care, rubbish and they are stopping you from having have fun!! !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:58:48 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:51:39 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:37:47 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:26:26 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:21:22 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:10:05 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.

Be nearly as worse as going bankrupt and asking for loans to get your house in order! Pure madnes

Once bad enough but then having to do it twice

Tut tut Uk

Away and enjoy the bonfire,son

Our bonfires aren't on till the 8th August, but you'd know that

Those would be the Republican ones?.As in the people who would like to be part of a United Ireland?,

Those ones?,

but you look down your nose at every opportunity at people in the south and like to point out our economic failings ,despite NI resembling a failed state with a budget defect in 2015 8 times that of Greece,so why would you want to part of a United Ireland? and more pertinently why would we want you.

You are getting me confused with someone who wants to be part of country with economic failings.... I'm Irish, I've a healthy lifestyle and happy with life...

You obviously haven't lived in the north, the poverty is madness! Only get internet after 12am as it's cheaper, food parcels a plenty (unlike the south). Free health care, rubbish and they are stopping you from having have fun!! !

News for you

You are part of a country with economic failings

And are you really going to discuss the merits of NI over the Republic on the eleventh night!!!

My advice for you,pick a better time
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 12, 2017, 01:46:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:10:05 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.

Be nearly as worse as going bankrupt and asking for loans to get your house in order! Pure madnes
Like the so called United Kingdom in 1975??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 12, 2017, 02:12:45 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 12, 2017, 01:46:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 12:10:05 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 12, 2017, 12:07:19 AM
Brexit the longest economic suicide note in history

And the fun will really start when they have to get all that EU law read into Uk law in parliament

Nodding assent indeed.

Be nearly as worse as going bankrupt and asking for loans to get your house in order! Pure madnes
Like the so called United Kingdom in 1975??
And 1943  . And 1919
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 13, 2017, 09:24:55 PM
No surrender

https://www.ft.com/content/be2b22ce-67fc-11e7-8526-7b38dcaef614

Britain has for the first time explicitly acknowledged it has financial obligations to the EU after Brexit, a move that is likely to avert a full-scale clash over the exit bill in talks next week.In a written statement to parliament touching on a "financial settlement", the government recognised on Thursday "that the UK has obligations to the EU . . . that will survive the UK's withdrawal — and that these need to be resolved".The text, released by Joyce Anelay, a Brexit minister, was immediately seen by Brussels as a potentially important development
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 13, 2017, 09:59:17 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/bf0025aa-6720-11e7-8526-7b38dcaef614
Britain is incapable of managing Brexit and calamity will follow
            
                     The UK government has failed to prepare for any of the necessary compromises
                     
                        Martin Wolf
                     by: Martin Wolf
               
"The UK once had a deserved reputation for pragmatic and stable politics. That will not survive the spectacular mess it is making of Brexit. Remember what has happened. In an unnecessary referendum, a small majority chose an option they could not understand, because it had not been worked out. Thereupon, a new prime minister, with no knowledge of the complexities, adopted the hardest possible interpretation of the outcome. She triggered the exit process in March 2017, before shaping a detailed negotiating position. Some 70 days later, in an unnecessary election, she lost both her majority and her authority.The Conservative party is so split over Brexit as to be no longer a coherent party of government. It is, as a result, questionable whether the compromises needed over money owed to the EU, rights of EU residents and the role of the European Court of Justice, could win approval in parliament. The Labour party will offer no relief: it wants another general election and is now about as split over Brexit as the Tories. Meanwhile, Michel Barnier, the EU's negotiator, patiently explains, as if to inattentive children, that "the clock is ticking".

In late March 2019, the UK will exit the EU. If businesses are to make sensible plans, they will need to know what is going to happen no later than a year from now. If the deal is to be ratified, it must be sealed by autumn 2018. Moreover, as the EU has insisted, "nothing is agreed until everything is agreed". Mr Barnier also argues that the UK must recognise that an exit deal will demand a substantial payment. This was in response to Boris Johnson, Britain's foreign secretary, who remarked in parliament: "I think that the sums that I have seen . . . seem to me to be extortionate and I think 'go whistle' is an entirely appropriate expression." If the UK sticks to this, there will certainly be no deal, be it a good one or a bad one.   
Watchdog says UK's Brexit could collapse like 'chocolate orange'
Audit office warns of 'horror show' if new customs IT system not ready by 2019
The UK government has failed to prepare the ground for any of the necessary compromises. It could probably not do so, in any case, because a significant number of Brexiters fail to understand the weakness of the UK's hand: damage to access to the EU market would, for example, be far worse for the UK than vice versa, because the EU's economy is some five times bigger than Britain's.Worse, many Brexiters seem prepared for a "no deal". But the UK would then, in the view of its most important economic partners, have defaulted on its legal obligations. The EU is a creature of law. Members would view such a violation of UK obligations as heinous.Anybody who thinks EU members would then co-operate over vital British interests, such as the flow of goods or aviation is dreaming. Amyas Morse, head of the National Audit Office, has noted that the UK may be unable to process a vastly increased number of customs declarations after Brexit. But this underplays the risks. What will happen to the procedures on the other side?

The UK government is stuck between a rock and a hard place. It will find it almost impossible to agree and implement a sensible deal on the divorce, the nature of the longer-term trading arrangement and the transition in the time available. But it would be even more impossible to fail to do so. Who knows which will win? My guess is that "no deal" is now the more likely.Sooner or later, markets will realise this, too. That could be destabilising for sterling and cause another spike in inflation. That would create a painful dilemma for the Bank of England. Jeremy Corbyn's arrival as prime minister could also become more credible. How, after all this tomfoolery, could the Conservatives continue to claim the mantle of sober competence? What would happen then? Many Remainers still hope that, as the economy becomes still worse, the polls showing a continued rough balance between Brexiters and Remainers, will break for the latter, so causing a big shift of opinion in parliament. I see no constitutional objection to a referendum on the terms of Brexit (or the absence of such terms). Referendums are merely a (dangerous) political tool. But politically another referendum would be dynamite, further aggravating the deep splits over the European issue.The UK has become so ludicrous because the issue of the EU is so deeply felt by a significant part of the body politic. The Brexiters are the Jacobins of UK politics. Their ideological intensity has devastated the Conservative party and reduced British politics to its present shambles. There is, as a result, neither a comfortable exit from Brexit nor a plausible way of managing it smoothly.Whom the gods wish to destroy they first make mad. So it now is over Brexit."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 14, 2017, 01:19:33 PM
(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fcom.ft.imagepublish.prod.s3.amazonaws.com%2Ff0a67848-66df-11e7-8526-7b38dcaef614?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=700)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 14, 2017, 02:08:49 PM
Don't worry about it - Milltown said it'll be grand
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 14, 2017, 03:03:11 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/jul/14/brexit-eu-referendum
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 14, 2017, 04:15:49 PM
Interesting piece from the Times posted elsewhere
------------------------------------------------------------------
When was the last time the UK exported more goods than it imported for an extended period — say five years or so?

The short answer is: never. Over the past 200 years this great trading nation has had a surplus in merchandise trade for fewer years than you have toes. Even during the Empire and the industrial revolution the UK invariably sucked in more goods than it pumped out.

It's not that the UK doesn't make anything — in fact it remains one of the world's biggest manufacturers. But this island nation has never been self-sufficient. Indeed, the only thing preventing Britain's balance of payments from looking truly horrendous is the services we have sold foreigners — financial, legal, consultancy, administration, retail and so on. In all but two peacetime years over the past two centuries the UK exported far more services than it imported.

Invisible stuff is difficult to count, so the scale of this phenomenon is almost certainly understated by the official figures. Even so, what they show is pretty stark. You'll probably remember that one of Britain's biggest goods exports in recent years was motor vehicles, of which we sold £26 billion abroad in 2015. Consider now that in the same year the UK earned more than £29 billion selling travel services and over £50 billion selling financial services overseas. We made £12 billion selling foreigners aircraft and parts thereof, but much more — £17 billion — selling air fares.

Services officially constitute 43 per cent of our exports, but much of what looks like manufacturing is actually services in disguise. Rolls-Royce's main business model is no longer simply making and selling jet engines, it is about servicing and maintaining them for an annual subscription. Apple now makes more money from selling services (iTunes, iCloud, etc) than from selling actual computers.

How to square all this with the political debate about Brexit? Listening to Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn drone on about securing "tariff-free access" to European markets, you might have assumed that all we need is a replacement for the customs union, a quick trade deal and voilà: British lorries and containers will still be able to cross the Channel.

This catastrophically misses the point. First, see above: Britain's comparative advantage is and has always been in services. Second, as it happens, those containers already face the lowest tariffs in history. Across the rich world the average level of tariffs back in the 1980s was over 10 per cent; today it is below 5 per cent. For many goods, save things like agriculture and cars, they are at or close to zero. If all Britain wanted was low tariffs, sealing a trade deal with the US or indeed the EU would be a cinch.

These days what really matter are what economists call non-tariff barriers. That entails everything from regulations on product standards (you can't sell your product in our country unless it conforms to our rules) to immigration rules (you can't come here and do consulting work without our permission) and qualification rules (we won't recognise your legal degree or medical qualification, so you can't practise here). That may not trip off the tongue as easily, but consider this: the EU's average tariff on manufactured goods is 2.3 per cent. The cost of non-tariff barriers is two or three times higher.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:06:48 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 14, 2017, 02:08:49 PM
Don't worry about it - Milltown said it'll be grand

Where did I say it will be grand? I've always said wait and see, not in control of it but the amount of experts on here is embarrassing...

Flight to Orlando yesterday from Belfast was full, apparently they have tripled their flights next year from Belfast due to the high demand...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 12:38:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose

seems you have more in common with Jim Alister than anyone else on here

Unionist......check
Brexiteer......check
Spends time sneering at the ROI rather than engage in serious economic debate.......check



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:47:36 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 12:38:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose

seems you have more in common with Jim Alister than anyone else on here

Unionist......check
Brexiteer......check
Spends time sneering at the ROI rather than engage in serious economic debate.......check

Unionist? Irish passport ......check
Brexiteer....... voted remain....check
Spends time listening to southerns moan about brexit and how better off the south is compared to everywhere else? ..... check
Engage in discussion on something that hasn't happened yet or no example of how it will pan out.... guilty
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 15, 2017, 01:01:05 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:47:36 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 12:38:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose

seems you have more in common with Jim Alister than anyone else on here

Unionist......check
Brexiteer......check
Spends time sneering at the ROI rather than engage in serious economic debate.......check

Unionist? Irish passport ......check
Brexiteer....... voted remain....check
Spends time listening to southerns moan about brexit and how better off the south is compared to everywhere else? ..... check
Engage in discussion on something that hasn't happened yet or no example of how it will pan out.... guilty

https://m.imgur.com/o8XDygi
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 04:31:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:47:36 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 12:38:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose

seems you have more in common with Jim Alister than anyone else on here

Unionist......check
Brexiteer......check
Spends time sneering at the ROI rather than engage in serious economic debate.......check

Unionist? Irish passport ......check
Brexiteer....... voted remain....check
Spends time listening to southerns moan about brexit and how better off the south is compared to everywhere else? ..... check
Engage in discussion on something that hasn't happened yet or no example of how it will pan out.... guilty


Ian Og has an Irish passport,it doesn't make him Irish,just a flag of convenience in case he might have to queue at passport control

from your own mouth

"You are getting me confused with someone who wants to be part of country with economic failings." Jim Alister wouldn't have said it any better

There are no shortage of Business people in NI worried about the implications of Brexit,considering a third of NI's export go south but then again that's probably moaning to you as well.

Bottom line your livelihood wont be affected as a teacher,but if you owned a business or employed anyone,it damn well would,because if its one thing Business hates its uncertainty.

You need to broaden your economic metrics beyond the price to you of a bottle of faustino and flights to florida.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 06:25:47 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 04:31:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:47:36 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 12:38:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose

seems you have more in common with Jim Alister than anyone else on here

Unionist......check
Brexiteer......check
Spends time sneering at the ROI rather than engage in serious economic debate.......check

Unionist? Irish passport ......check
Brexiteer....... voted remain....check
Spends time listening to southerns moan about brexit and how better off the south is compared to everywhere else? ..... check
Engage in discussion on something that hasn't happened yet or no example of how it will pan out.... guilty


Ian Og has an Irish passport,it doesn't make him Irish,just a flag of convenience in case he might have to queue at passport control

from your own mouth

"You are getting me confused with someone who wants to be part of country with economic failings." Jim Alister wouldn't have said it any better

There are no shortage of Business people in NI worried about the implications of Brexit,considering a third of NI's export go south but then again that's probably moaning to you as well.

Bottom line your livelihood wont be affected as a teacher,but if you owned a business or employed anyone,it damn well would,because if its one thing Business hates its uncertainty.

You need to broaden your economic metrics beyond the price to you of a bottle of faustino and flights to florida.

Not a teacher, you'd need to broaden your trolling.. private sector all my life... brexit will affect me my work and life I'm sure but I'll like most just deal with it when/if it happens...

I'm as much an Irish man than you
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on July 15, 2017, 07:22:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:06:48 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 14, 2017, 02:08:49 PM
Don't worry about it - Milltown said it'll be grand

Where did I say it will be grand? I've always said wait and see, not in control of it but the amount of experts on here is embarrassing...

Flight to Orlando yesterday from Belfast was full, apparently they have tripled their flights next year from Belfast due to the high demand...

You do know Brexit hasn't happened yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 10:51:49 PM
Quote from: Hardy on July 15, 2017, 07:22:21 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:06:48 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 14, 2017, 02:08:49 PM
Don't worry about it - Milltown said it'll be grand

Where did I say it will be grand? I've always said wait and see, not in control of it but the amount of experts on here is embarrassing...

Flight to Orlando yesterday from Belfast was full, apparently they have tripled their flights next year from Belfast due to the high demand...

You do know Brexit hasn't happened yet?

Yep, but they have tripled their flights for next year! So is it happening next year?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 15, 2017, 10:55:13 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 10:51:49 PM
Yep, but they have tripled their flights for next year! So is it happening next year?

That's an informed comment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 16, 2017, 12:12:09 AM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/15/brexit-disaster-theresa-may-gus-o-donnell-civil-service

Nigel Sheinwald, Britain's former ambassador to the EU,
told the Observer that there was now a "one-in-three" chance of Brexit talks collapsing unless the UK drastically reset its plans. He warned that the government still appeared to be "defending a set of propositions that feel tired and totally unrealistic and removed from the realities of these negotiations". He said a serious offer on future payments was needed, as well as support for a "very substantial transition period" that was similar to Britain's current EU links.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on July 16, 2017, 06:20:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 06:25:47 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 04:31:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:47:36 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 12:38:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose

seems you have more in common with Jim Alister than anyone else on here

Unionist......check
Brexiteer......check
Spends time sneering at the ROI rather than engage in serious economic debate.......check

Unionist? Irish passport ......check
Brexiteer....... voted remain....check
Spends time listening to southerns moan about brexit and how better off the south is compared to everywhere else? ..... check
Engage in discussion on something that hasn't happened yet or no example of how it will pan out.... guilty


Ian Og has an Irish passport,it doesn't make him Irish,just a flag of convenience in case he might have to queue at passport control

from your own mouth

"You are getting me confused with someone who wants to be part of country with economic failings." Jim Alister wouldn't have said it any better

There are no shortage of Business people in NI worried about the implications of Brexit,considering a third of NI's export go south but then again that's probably moaning to you as well.

Bottom line your livelihood wont be affected as a teacher,but if you owned a business or employed anyone,it damn well would,because if its one thing Business hates its uncertainty.

You need to broaden your economic metrics beyond the price to you of a bottle of faustino and flights to florida.

Not a teacher, you'd need to broaden your trolling.. private sector all my life... brexit will affect me my work and life I'm sure but I'll like most just deal with it when/if it happens...

I'm as much an Irish man than you


"Its madness to be fair, but having worked on the Shankill for a right few years and teaching that age group, thats all they live for!! the bands the bony, the 12th, Rangers and Wet Wet Wet !! They generally cop on and most move away from it altogether but its a way of life unfortuately..."

A small i Irish Unionist more like,so your not as Irish as me or for that matter anyone else on here either

Have a read of this and see if this doesn't bother anyone who exports goods in and out of the Uk,but then again you'd probably discount these reputable sources as ill informed scare mongering also


http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-national-audit-office-amyas-morse-customs-check-computer-it-system-a7837811.html?amp
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 16, 2017, 08:51:33 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 16, 2017, 06:20:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 06:25:47 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 04:31:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:47:36 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 12:38:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose

seems you have more in common with Jim Alister than anyone else on here

Unionist......check
Brexiteer......check
Spends time sneering at the ROI rather than engage in serious economic debate.......check

Unionist? Irish passport ......check
Brexiteer....... voted remain....check
Spends time listening to southerns moan about brexit and how better off the south is compared to everywhere else? ..... check
Engage in discussion on something that hasn't happened yet or no example of how it will pan out.... guilty


Ian Og has an Irish passport,it doesn't make him Irish,just a flag of convenience in case he might have to queue at passport control

from your own mouth

"You are getting me confused with someone who wants to be part of country with economic failings." Jim Alister wouldn't have said it any better

There are no shortage of Business people in NI worried about the implications of Brexit,considering a third of NI's export go south but then again that's probably moaning to you as well.

Bottom line your livelihood wont be affected as a teacher,but if you owned a business or employed anyone,it damn well would,because if its one thing Business hates its uncertainty.

You need to broaden your economic metrics beyond the price to you of a bottle of faustino and flights to florida.

Not a teacher, you'd need to broaden your trolling.. private sector all my life... brexit will affect me my work and life I'm sure but I'll like most just deal with it when/if it happens...

I'm as much an Irish man than you


"Its madness to be fair, but having worked on the Shankill for a right few years and teaching that age group, thats all they live for!! the bands the bony, the 12th, Rangers and Wet Wet Wet !! They generally cop on and most move away from it altogether but its a way of life unfortuately..."

A small i Irish Unionist more like,so your not as Irish as me or for that matter anyone else on here either

Have a read of this and see if this doesn't bother anyone who exports goods in and out of the Uk,but then again you'd probably discount these reputable sources as ill informed scare mongering also


http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-national-audit-office-amyas-morse-customs-check-computer-it-system-a7837811.html?amp

Taught totally in the private sector troll, as for the small i in Irish then you truly have very limited knowledge or more ignorance of the pesky northerns..

As for brexit I'm sure the North can use the tactics the South used when they were nearly bankrupt to get to were they are today... now if you want any more info about me just ask, you're wasting your time quoting my posts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kilkevan on July 16, 2017, 08:57:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 16, 2017, 08:51:33 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 16, 2017, 06:20:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 06:25:47 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 04:31:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 15, 2017, 12:47:36 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on July 15, 2017, 12:38:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 12, 2017, 08:06:05 AM
Jesus you lot are a sensitive bunch.... Years of poverty will do that I suppose

seems you have more in common with Jim Alister than anyone else on here

Unionist......check
Brexiteer......check
Spends time sneering at the ROI rather than engage in serious economic debate.......check

Unionist? Irish passport ......check
Brexiteer....... voted remain....check
Spends time listening to southerns moan about brexit and how better off the south is compared to everywhere else? ..... check
Engage in discussion on something that hasn't happened yet or no example of how it will pan out.... guilty


Ian Og has an Irish passport,it doesn't make him Irish,just a flag of convenience in case he might have to queue at passport control

from your own mouth

"You are getting me confused with someone who wants to be part of country with economic failings." Jim Alister wouldn't have said it any better

There are no shortage of Business people in NI worried about the implications of Brexit,considering a third of NI's export go south but then again that's probably moaning to you as well.

Bottom line your livelihood wont be affected as a teacher,but if you owned a business or employed anyone,it damn well would,because if its one thing Business hates its uncertainty.

You need to broaden your economic metrics beyond the price to you of a bottle of faustino and flights to florida.

Not a teacher, you'd need to broaden your trolling.. private sector all my life... brexit will affect me my work and life I'm sure but I'll like most just deal with it when/if it happens...

I'm as much an Irish man than you


"Its madness to be fair, but having worked on the Shankill for a right few years and teaching that age group, thats all they live for!! the bands the bony, the 12th, Rangers and Wet Wet Wet !! They generally cop on and most move away from it altogether but its a way of life unfortuately..."

A small i Irish Unionist more like,so your not as Irish as me or for that matter anyone else on here either

Have a read of this and see if this doesn't bother anyone who exports goods in and out of the Uk,but then again you'd probably discount these reputable sources as ill informed scare mongering also


http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-national-audit-office-amyas-morse-customs-check-computer-it-system-a7837811.html?amp

Taught totally in the private sector troll, as for the small i in Irish then you truly have very limited knowledge or more ignorance of the pesky northerns..

As for brexit I'm sure the North can use the tactics the South used when they were nearly bankrupt to get to were they are today... now if you want any more info about me just ask, you're wasting your time quoting my posts

Says a lot about how "Irish" some people are when they don't consider Belfast to be as much a part of Ireland as anywhere else ::).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 16, 2017, 09:19:31 PM
Milltown Row is as Irish as any of us, including Ruth Dudley Edwards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 16, 2017, 09:26:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 16, 2017, 09:19:31 PM
Milltown Row is as Irish as any of us, including Ruth Dudley Edwards.

And you're as Irish as Ian og
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kilkevan on July 16, 2017, 09:30:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 16, 2017, 09:19:31 PM
Milltown Row is as Irish as any of us, including Ruth Dudley Edwards.

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 16, 2017, 09:26:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 16, 2017, 09:19:31 PM
Milltown Row is as Irish as any of us, including Ruth Dudley Edwards.

And you're as Irish as Ian og

Calm down! Both of you are at least as Irish as Tony Cascarino.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2017, 02:18:55 PM


   https://www.ft.com/content/a11de5ea-6ae5-11e7-b9c7-15af748b60d0

   Mr Davis headed back to London as tensions mount within the government over Brexit, pitting chancellor Philip Hammond against hardline Brexiters. The upheaval has even sparked concerns in Brussels. "It's a mess. Nobody would want to see them like this," said one European diplomat handling Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: punt kick on July 17, 2017, 02:28:09 PM
Brexit is like a modern day fight on the GAA firld, handbags for a while, loads off goading and pushing and in the end both shake hands and feck all happens.  Britain will be in the EU in 2029 never mind 2019.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 17, 2017, 05:14:19 PM
Let's both put our plans on the table.

(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fcom.ft.imagepublish.prod.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fe8450c0e-6adc-11e7-b9c7-15af748b60d0?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=700)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 24, 2017, 05:30:23 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/24/shrinkflation-has-hit-2500-consumer-products-past-five-years/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 25, 2017, 04:47:37 PM
Bad news for Moy Park chickens

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/25/brussels-attacks-liam-foxs-ignorant-remarks-chlorinated-chicken-eu-trade-deal-us

I wonder what sort of wine goes down well with chlorine
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 12:15:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 25, 2017, 04:47:37 PM
Bad news for Moy Park chickens

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/25/brussels-attacks-liam-foxs-ignorant-remarks-chlorinated-chicken-eu-trade-deal-us

I wonder what sort of wine goes down well with chlorine

Been eating American chicken this last couple weeks here in Florida, tastes fine!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2017, 01:09:16 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 12:15:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 25, 2017, 04:47:37 PM
Bad news for Moy Park chickens

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/25/brussels-attacks-liam-foxs-ignorant-remarks-chlorinated-chicken-eu-trade-deal-us

I wonder what sort of wine goes down well with chlorine

Been eating American chicken this last couple weeks here in Florida, tastes fine!

Have you looked in the mirror?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 01:11:20 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2017, 01:09:16 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 12:15:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 25, 2017, 04:47:37 PM
Bad news for Moy Park chickens

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/25/brussels-attacks-liam-foxs-ignorant-remarks-chlorinated-chicken-eu-trade-deal-us

I wonder what sort of wine goes down well with chlorine

Been eating American chicken this last couple weeks here in Florida, tastes fine!

Have you looked in the mirror?

Handsome as hell
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2017, 01:18:39 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 01:11:20 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2017, 01:09:16 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 12:15:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 25, 2017, 04:47:37 PM
Bad news for Moy Park chickens

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/25/brussels-attacks-liam-foxs-ignorant-remarks-chlorinated-chicken-eu-trade-deal-us

I wonder what sort of wine goes down well with chlorine

Been eating American chicken this last couple weeks here in Florida, tastes fine!

Have you looked in the mirror?

Handsome as hell

Definitely hormones in that chicken so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 01:34:39 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2017, 01:18:39 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 01:11:20 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2017, 01:09:16 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 12:15:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 25, 2017, 04:47:37 PM
Bad news for Moy Park chickens

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jul/25/brussels-attacks-liam-foxs-ignorant-remarks-chlorinated-chicken-eu-trade-deal-us

I wonder what sort of wine goes down well with chlorine

Been eating American chicken this last couple weeks here in Florida, tastes fine!

Have you looked in the mirror?

Handsome as hell

Definitely hormones in that chicken so.

Finger licking good
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 26, 2017, 02:16:16 AM
Who will stand up for chickens in OWC ?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7l4JA4C3Qis
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 02:46:59 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 26, 2017, 02:16:16 AM
Who will stand up for chickens in OWC ?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7l4JA4C3Qis

Supermacs?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 26, 2017, 04:34:54 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/food-and-drink/news/shrinkflation-10-food-products-have-got-smaller-since-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: punt kick on July 26, 2017, 04:45:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 26, 2017, 04:34:54 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/food-and-drink/news/shrinkflation-10-food-products-have-got-smaller-since-brexit/

Most folk's brains have also got smaller.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2017, 04:58:03 PM
Quote from: punt kick on July 26, 2017, 04:45:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 26, 2017, 04:34:54 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/food-and-drink/news/shrinkflation-10-food-products-have-got-smaller-since-brexit/

Most folk's brains have also got smaller.

Only married people who didn't marry orphans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 26, 2017, 05:25:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 26, 2017, 04:34:54 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/food-and-drink/news/shrinkflation-10-food-products-have-got-smaller-since-brexit/

Good, not one of those foods are good for you, nor would you really call them 'foods' will cut down on obsesity
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2017, 06:13:17 PM
Fascinating Aïda's post-Brexit song - So Sorry Scotland
https://youtu.be/mVy7faNKEtM
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 28, 2017, 12:17:47 PM
Brexit lite? 

We'll see if we like it and the we'll join up again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: punt kick on July 28, 2017, 12:21:09 PM
This thread will get to 2789 pages by 2022 mostly from seafood posting with bullshit articles and then there will be a second referendum and UK stays.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 28, 2017, 12:33:41 PM
Quote from: AQMP on July 28, 2017, 11:40:43 AM
"I think there is a broad consensus that this process has to be completed by the scheduled time of the next general election, which is in June 2022, so a period of at the most three years in order to put these new arrangements in place and move us on a steady path without cliff edges from where we are today to the new long-term relationship with the European Union."

It is not at all clear that this government will last the full term. However, why should the nature of these arrangements not be the discussed during an election?

QuoteHammond confirmed free movement would probably end in name only until 2022. "We've been clear that it will be some time before we are able to introduce full migration controls between the UK and the European Union," he said. "That's not a matter of opinion, that's a matter of fact. During the transition period that will follow our departure from the European Union, European citizens will still be able to come here but they will have to register."

Of course, there was no reason that immigrants could not have been required to register before. provided that locals were similarly required. Probably the blue passports and registration of immigrants will be sold as "control" and the transition period will extend indefinitely.


Quote from: Denn Forever on July 28, 2017, 12:17:47 PM
Brexit lite? 

We'll see if we like it and the we'll join up again.

Trial separation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 02:55:55 PM
Jesus!!! I'll be retired before it's sorted, (if it ever is) hopefully in a small apartment in France or Spain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on July 28, 2017, 03:17:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 02:55:55 PM
Jesus!!! I'll be retired before it's sorted, (if it ever is) hopefully in a small apartment in France or Spain

You'll need a visa for that then but then at least you won't be eating US imported food full of steroids and antibiotics, bleached and stuffed full of HFCS.

DUP'ers not going for the sea border as advocated by Leo and any right thinking person as it's differentiating Unionists from fellow UK citizens. How far will Teresa May go to support them on this one?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 28, 2017, 03:28:01 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 02:55:55 PM
Jesus!!! I'll be retired before it's sorted, (if it ever is) hopefully in a small apartment in France or Spain

Change your sterling now, while it is still worth something.

Quote from: johnneycool on July 28, 2017, 03:17:12 PM
DUP'ers not going for the sea border as advocated by Leo and any right thinking person as it's differentiating Unionists from fellow UK citizens.

Leo of course did not advocate a sea border, he would be perfectly happy if nothing changed.

QuoteHow far will Teresa May go to support them on this one?

Well she has to produce a plan as to how it all going to work otherwise, and soon. Both she and the DUP are saying that there isn't a problem, then let them produce their plan and show that there isn't a problem.

Why doesn't she put Theresa Villiers in charge of the plan? She assured us all that there wasn't a problem.


Leo here, if you want a change do it yourselves
http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/we-wont-help-the-uk-come-up-with-border-solution-leo-varadkar-35977592.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on July 28, 2017, 03:41:09 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 28, 2017, 03:28:01 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 02:55:55 PM
Jesus!!! I'll be retired before it's sorted, (if it ever is) hopefully in a small apartment in France or Spain

Change your sterling now, while it is still worth something.

Quote from: johnneycool on July 28, 2017, 03:17:12 PM
DUP'ers not going for the sea border as advocated by Leo and any right thinking person as it's differentiating Unionists from fellow UK citizens.

Leo of course did not advocate a sea border, he would be perfectly happy if nothing changed.

QuoteHow far will Teresa May go to support them on this one?

Well she has to produce a plan as to how it all going to work otherwise, and soon. Both she and the DUP are saying that there isn't a problem, then let them produce their plan and show that there isn't a problem.

Why doesn't she put Theresa Villiers in charge of the plan? She assured us all that there wasn't a problem.

It seems the Telegraph have misunderstood him as the Independent.ie report as you say.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/28/dublin-pushes-irish-sea-new-border-uk-brexit/ (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/07/28/dublin-pushes-irish-sea-new-border-uk-brexit/)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 03:54:39 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 28, 2017, 03:28:01 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 02:55:55 PM
Jesus!!! I'll be retired before it's sorted, (if it ever is) hopefully in a small apartment in France or Spain

Change your sterling now, while it is still worth something.

Quote from: johnneycool on July 28, 2017, 03:17:12 PM
DUP'ers not going for the sea border as advocated by Leo and any right thinking person as it's differentiating Unionists from fellow UK citizens.

Leo of course did not advocate a sea border, he would be perfectly happy if nothing changed.

QuoteHow far will Teresa May go to support them on this one?

Well she has to produce a plan as to how it all going to work otherwise, and soon. Both she and the DUP are saying that there isn't a problem, then let them produce their plan and show that there isn't a problem.

Why doesn't she put Theresa Villiers in charge of the plan? She assured us all that there wasn't a problem.


Leo here, if you want a change do it yourselves
http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/we-wont-help-the-uk-come-up-with-border-solution-leo-varadkar-35977592.html

When do you think it will happen ?? Why are southerners more interested about brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 28, 2017, 04:00:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 03:54:39 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 28, 2017, 03:28:01 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 02:55:55 PM
Jesus!!! I'll be retired before it's sorted, (if it ever is) hopefully in a small apartment in France or Spain

Change your sterling now, while it is still worth something.

Quote from: johnneycool on July 28, 2017, 03:17:12 PM
DUP'ers not going for the sea border as advocated by Leo and any right thinking person as it's differentiating Unionists from fellow UK citizens.

Leo of course did not advocate a sea border, he would be perfectly happy if nothing changed.

QuoteHow far will Teresa May go to support them on this one?

Well she has to produce a plan as to how it all going to work otherwise, and soon. Both she and the DUP are saying that there isn't a problem, then let them produce their plan and show that there isn't a problem.

Why doesn't she put Theresa Villiers in charge of the plan? She assured us all that there wasn't a problem.


Leo here, if you want a change do it yourselves
http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/we-wont-help-the-uk-come-up-with-border-solution-leo-varadkar-35977592.html

When do you think it will happen ?? Why are southerners more interested about brexit?
Because the education system is better and because the England/Ireland relationship is being turned upside down as a result of mass insanity thall I Sasana

E
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 04:03:03 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 28, 2017, 04:00:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 03:54:39 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 28, 2017, 03:28:01 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 02:55:55 PM
Jesus!!! I'll be retired before it's sorted, (if it ever is) hopefully in a small apartment in France or Spain

Change your sterling now, while it is still worth something.

Quote from: johnneycool on July 28, 2017, 03:17:12 PM
DUP'ers not going for the sea border as advocated by Leo and any right thinking person as it's differentiating Unionists from fellow UK citizens.

Leo of course did not advocate a sea border, he would be perfectly happy if nothing changed.

QuoteHow far will Teresa May go to support them on this one?

Well she has to produce a plan as to how it all going to work otherwise, and soon. Both she and the DUP are saying that there isn't a problem, then let them produce their plan and show that there isn't a problem.

Why doesn't she put Theresa Villiers in charge of the plan? She assured us all that there wasn't a problem.


Leo here, if you want a change do it yourselves
http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/we-wont-help-the-uk-come-up-with-border-solution-leo-varadkar-35977592.html

When do you think it will happen ?? Why are southerners more interested about brexit?
Because the education system is better and because the England/Ireland relationship is being turned upside down as a result of mass insanity thall I Sasana

E

Eh??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 28, 2017, 06:32:32 PM
Because the Brits are our biggest trading partners.
Because they are in charge of a corner of our Country which they will again cut off from the rest of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 06:38:09 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 28, 2017, 06:32:32 PM
Because the Brits are our biggest trading partners.
Because they are in charge of a corner of our Country which they will again cut off from the rest of it.

Sure ya haven't bothered with this area before and the sounthern economy is the best in Europe according to the wise ones here, so it shouldn't matter...

France not that far away, trading should increase if the likes of the European mainland countries can't trade with Britain?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on July 28, 2017, 11:23:39 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 03:54:39 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 28, 2017, 03:28:01 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 28, 2017, 02:55:55 PM
Jesus!!! I'll be retired before it's sorted, (if it ever is) hopefully in a small apartment in France or Spain

Change your sterling now, while it is still worth something.

Quote from: johnneycool on July 28, 2017, 03:17:12 PM
DUP'ers not going for the sea border as advocated by Leo and any right thinking person as it's differentiating Unionists from fellow UK citizens.

Leo of course did not advocate a sea border, he would be perfectly happy if nothing changed.

QuoteHow far will Teresa May go to support them on this one?

Well she has to produce a plan as to how it all going to work otherwise, and soon. Both she and the DUP are saying that there isn't a problem, then let them produce their plan and show that there isn't a problem.

Why doesn't she put Theresa Villiers in charge of the plan? She assured us all that there wasn't a problem.


Leo here, if you want a change do it yourselves
http://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/we-wont-help-the-uk-come-up-with-border-solution-leo-varadkar-35977592.html

When do you think it will happen ?? Why are southerners more interested about brexit?

Because anything that creates disunity rather than unity is bad, on every conceivable level.
"Bad all round" as Bogart said in The Maltese Falcon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 03, 2017, 11:09:24 AM
Something to put Brexit into perspective :



   https://www.ft.com/content/098ada7e-7771-11e7-90c0-90a9d1bc9691

    of quantitative easing and non-UK issuers taking advantage of exchange rates raised investment-grade bond issuance to £18.5bn in the first half of the year. The total remains smaller than the US ($363bn) and Europe (€166bn)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 03, 2017, 03:36:48 PM
Rate looking to dip below 1.10 shortly . . . Good news for everyone!!!

Oh wait  >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on August 03, 2017, 05:18:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 03, 2017, 03:36:48 PM
Rate looking to dip below 1.10 shortly . . . Good news for everyone!!!

Oh wait  >:(

Ahhhh... but.....

How much is a bottle of Pinot Grigio?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on August 03, 2017, 05:31:20 PM
I wouldn't mind if it stayed well below 1.10 for my trip to Twickenham for the Cardinals game. Or should I buy sterling now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on August 03, 2017, 06:04:13 PM
Makes sense.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lFBgQpz_E80
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 03, 2017, 06:14:44 PM
Barclays group return on tangible equity is a barometer of the strength of the UK economy. Latest reading is minus 4.6%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 03, 2017, 06:57:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on August 03, 2017, 05:18:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 03, 2017, 03:36:48 PM
Rate looking to dip below 1.10 shortly . . . Good news for everyone!!!

Oh wait  >:(

Ahhhh... but.....

How much is a bottle of Pinot Grigio?

That stuff is piss water!! 4.85 in Tesco, if you prefer that stuff!!

No more holidays this year ! Batten down the hatches beans and toast till retirement!

Any unemployment figures for N.I ? everyone losing their jobs?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on August 04, 2017, 08:43:57 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on August 03, 2017, 06:57:38 PM
Quote from: Franko on August 03, 2017, 05:18:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 03, 2017, 03:36:48 PM
Rate looking to dip below 1.10 shortly . . . Good news for everyone!!!

Oh wait  >:(

Ahhhh... but.....

How much is a bottle of Pinot Grigio?

That stuff is piss water!! 4.85 in Tesco, if you prefer that stuff!!

No more holidays this year ! Batten down the hatches beans and toast till retirement!

Any unemployment figures for N.I ? everyone losing their jobs?

Yes Boris.  You would be a fellow who would be easily led.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 04, 2017, 10:49:04 AM
ritghtyo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 04, 2017, 11:03:56 AM
I think Brexit is dead. There isn't a parliamentary majority for it.
There isn't a public majority for it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 04, 2017, 11:06:48 AM
The buffoons in charge of our deluded neighbouring island are ploughing full steam ahead though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 04, 2017, 11:44:46 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 04, 2017, 11:06:48 AM
The buffoons in charge of our deluded neighbouring island are ploughing full steam ahead though.
They don't know what they want. They haven't defined it. They don't have the capacity to push it through Parliament. There is a reason the fruitcakes wanted a quick Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 07, 2017, 02:04:29 PM
I see the EU are talking about special status for the 6 Cos.
They have to think of the 1.8m people entitled to EU citizenship after all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 07, 2017, 02:23:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 07, 2017, 02:04:29 PM
I see the EU are talking about special status for the 6 Cos.
They have to think of the 1.8m people entitled to EU citizenship after all.

They are equally interested in cows and whatnot.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 22, 2017, 01:54:53 PM
What do we reckon about Greyo's speech today?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: punt kick on September 22, 2017, 02:35:17 PM
All good sound bites but Juncker just wants her to show him the money!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 22, 2017, 02:46:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on September 22, 2017, 01:54:53 PM
What do we reckon about Greyo's speech today?
This is the best summary of Brexit. You have to have a political movement to execute it .the Tories didn't and they are split down the middle

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QUjLmw4bgq0
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: punt kick on September 22, 2017, 02:50:40 PM
Real cake and eat it - playing the security card now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: punt kick on September 22, 2017, 03:02:58 PM
Glad she played the no deal card.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on September 22, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: punt kick on September 22, 2017, 02:50:40 PM
Real cake and eat it - playing the security card now.

That expression always got me. Why can't you have your cake and eat it? What's the point in having the cake if you can't eat it. Then I researched a little bit and found out we actually say it backwards these days. It used to be 'You can't eat your cake and have it'. Emphasis on the 'and'. So you can't eat your cake, and also continue to 'have it'.

Anyway, carry on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 22, 2017, 03:45:03 PM
Quote from: AZOffaly on September 22, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: punt kick on September 22, 2017, 02:50:40 PM
Real cake and eat it - playing the security card now.

That expression always got me. Why can't you have your cake and eat it? What's the point in having the cake if you can't eat it. Then I researched a little bit and found out we actually say it backwards these days. It used to be 'You can't eat your cake and have it'. Emphasis on the 'and'. So you can't eat your cake, and also continue to 'have it'.

Anyway, carry on.

I knew there was a reason why I was still on the board. . .. Cheers AZ every day's a school day!!

As for the preying grey mantis I was hoping she wouldn't go down the "no deal" route as I really need the pound to improve against they Euro but instead it's dropping . . . f**k this shit!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on September 23, 2017, 03:53:52 PM
I see Moodys have dropped Britain's credt rating by 1 point because Brexit.  Teresa May's stable government beginning to sound a bit unsteady.

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-41369239
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on September 28, 2017, 09:53:55 PM
Some english git visited farmers today to discuss how the border would affect them. So, where do you think he went to? Crossmaglen? Aughnacloy? Strabane?

No, Doagh in county Antrim.

PS. bit of a row in Limavady about the arse of london, aka the london derrière.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on September 29, 2017, 11:16:42 AM
Quote from: Orior on September 28, 2017, 09:53:55 PM
Some english git visited farmers today to discuss how the border would affect them. So, where do you think he went to? Crossmaglen? Aughnacloy? Strabane?

No, Doagh in county Antrim.

PS. bit of a row in Limavady about the arse of london, aka the london derrière.

That's a good thing. It'll have an impact on more than just border farms. it'll impact the whole island.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 04, 2017, 12:03:39 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/oct/04/conservative-conference-2017-theresa-may-to-announce-council-house-building-programme-politics-live

2 - The Conservatives are desperate to win back young voters - but may be missing the big problem. Age, not class, has become the key divide in British politics and the few significant announcements we have had, on tuition fees, help to buy and council houses, have been aimed at the under-40s. Pensioners, by contrast, have not had a mention. But on their own they might not be enough. These are retail offers, but there is some evidence that the problem is cultural, and that young voters are turning away from the Tories because ...

3 - The Conservative party has become the Brexit party. At the time of the referendum it was a coalition, with members predominantly but not overwhelmingly pro-Brexit and the leadership predominantly but not overwhelmingly against. Now it looks like an enthusiastic pro-Brexit party. In the hall only Brexit really seems to get them going and the most popular fringe meetings have been those addressed by hardcore Brexiteers. MPs say that pro-remain members have stayed away, and that some are leaving the party altogether.

8 - Tory relations with business are strained. A party conference speech from a Conservative chancellor almost always gets a warm reception from business groups, but this year they were much more critical than usual. Big business did not want Brexit, and this to a large extent explains the problem. Philip Hammond's call for businesses not to "collaborate" with Labour also seems to have backfired.

9 - The Conservatives have abandoned the austerity narrative. Three years ago Ed Miliband was ridiculed by the Tories after failing to mention the deficit in his party conference speech. The deficit it still with us, but the Tories can see that people are fed up of anti-austerity and it has hardly had a mention all conference. Instead May is now talking about taking a "balanced approach" to the economy - whatever that means.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 04, 2017, 02:15:55 PM
Theresa May's speech - Snap verdict grauniad

Most party conference speeches, even those that are deemed a success on the day, are quickly forgotten. This one will be remembered for the rest of May's career. As her voice continually gave way, it was excruciating to watch and at one point it looked as if she would have to give up. The start of May's speech was strong, and she responded to the (rather puerile) protest from Simon Brodkin with a good, confident ad lib, but after that her voice sabotaged the rest of the speech. It is often overlooked how physically demanding politics is at the very top: endless early mornings, late nights, demanding schedules, and a job where you can't pull a sickie. May boasts that she is someone who doesn't give up, and she proved it today as she limped to the end of her speech. But it is hard - no, impossible - not to see this, at least to an extent, as a metaphor for premiership that is struggling and running out of things to say.

That is particularly harsh for May because, for once, she did have something to tell us. The first 15 minutes or so, as she talked about the election, and her grandmother who was in service, was good. She managed just about the right mix of determination and contrition and, although the "British dream" is a hackneyed theme, she personalised it well.

In policy terms, there were two significant announcements: on housebuilding and on an energy price cap. Both could have come straight out of an Ed Miliband speech, and in this respect the speech confirms that it is Labour that is setting the agenda. The housing announcement does not seem to live up to the billing it received overnight in the Sun, and we have had little detail on the energy price cap plan so far, and so the speech does not really fill the gap in the Conservative party's domestic policy agenda (see 10.47am). But it is a move in the right direction.

Will this be enough to reset May's fortunes? Unless having most of the nation feeling sorry for you can boost your ratings, almost certainly not. But she has got through conference without Boris Johnson resigning, or the party falling apart, and so it could have been worse.

Updated at 1.21pm BST
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Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 04, 2017, 02:33:45 PM
That speech was a car crash!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 04, 2017, 02:46:58 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 04, 2017, 02:33:45 PM
That speech was a car crash!!!
The Tories are as bad as the Kilkenny hurlers this year.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 04, 2017, 02:55:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 04, 2017, 02:46:58 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 04, 2017, 02:33:45 PM
That speech was a car crash!!!
The Tories are as bad as the Kilkenny hurlers this year.

Not a good year for the Black and Amber.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on October 04, 2017, 03:48:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 04, 2017, 02:15:55 PM
Theresa May's speech - Snap verdict grauniad

Most party conference speeches, even those that are deemed a success on the day, are quickly forgotten. This one will be remembered for the rest of May's career. As her voice continually gave way, it was excruciating to watch and at one point it looked as if she would have to give up. The start of May's speech was strong, and she responded to the (rather puerile) protest from Simon Brodkin with a good, confident ad lib, but after that her voice sabotaged the rest of the speech. It is often overlooked how physically demanding politics is at the very top: endless early mornings, late nights, demanding schedules, and a job where you can't pull a sickie. May boasts that she is someone who doesn't give up, and she proved it today as she limped to the end of her speech. But it is hard - no, impossible - not to see this, at least to an extent, as a metaphor for premiership that is struggling and running out of things to say.

That is particularly harsh for May because, for once, she did have something to tell us. The first 15 minutes or so, as she talked about the election, and her grandmother who was in service, was good. She managed just about the right mix of determination and contrition and, although the "British dream" is a hackneyed theme, she personalised it well.

In policy terms, there were two significant announcements: on housebuilding and on an energy price cap. Both could have come straight out of an Ed Miliband speech, and in this respect the speech confirms that it is Labour that is setting the agenda. The housing announcement does not seem to live up to the billing it received overnight in the Sun, and we have had little detail on the energy price cap plan so far, and so the speech does not really fill the gap in the Conservative party's domestic policy agenda (see 10.47am). But it is a move in the right direction.

Will this be enough to reset May's fortunes? Unless having most of the nation feeling sorry for you can boost your ratings, almost certainly not. But she has got through conference without Boris Johnson resigning, or the party falling apart, and so it could have been worse.

Updated at 1.21pm BST
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Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 08, 2017, 01:05:31 AM
Cluster f**k central

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/oct/07/theresa-may-secret-advice-brexit-eu#img-1

Theresa May is under pressure to publish secret legal advice
that is believed to state that parliament could still stop Brexit before the end of March 2019 if MPs judge that a change of mind is in the national interest. The move comes as concern grows that exit talks with Brussels are heading for disaster.

The calls for the prime minister to reveal advice from the country's top legal experts follow government statements declaring that Brexit is now unstoppable, and that MPs will have to choose between whatever deal is on offer next year – even if it is a bad one – or no deal at all.

Disquiet has been growing among pro-remain MPs, and within the legal profession and business community, about what is becoming known as the government's "kamikaze" approach. Ministers insist that stopping Brexit is not an option, as the British people made their decision in last year's referendum, and the article 50 process is now under way, however damaging the consequences might turn out to be when negotiations are concluded

Worry about lack of flexibility has intensified following the chaotic Conservative party conference in Manchester, and May's ill-fated speech. European leaders now doubt whether she has the political authority to move negotiations forward towards a satisfactory deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on November 10, 2017, 04:23:00 AM
I was wondering when this elephant was going to be tackled

https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/1109/918860-northern-irish-border-after-brexit/

I cant see any other way how NI would leave the customs union without customs checks. Unless the EU were fully prepared to turn a blind eye to the smuggling that would be rampant and would completely undermine the customs union. There really is no other way...

If that does transpire that would surely mean NI farmers abide with EU regulations? Would that mean they get subsidides, Cant imagine the EU is going to hand those out for free?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on November 10, 2017, 09:08:55 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on November 10, 2017, 04:23:00 AM
I was wondering when this elephant was going to be tackled

https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/1109/918860-northern-irish-border-after-brexit/

I cant see any other way how NI would leave the customs union without customs checks. Unless the EU were fully prepared to turn a blind eye to the smuggling that would be rampant and would completely undermine the customs union. There really is no other way...

If that does transpire that would surely mean NI farmers abide with EU regulations? Would that mean they get subsidides, Cant imagine the EU is going to hand those out for free?

NI farmers and anyone else wanting to trade with the EU will have to abide by EU regulations irrespective of hard/soft borders and tariffs.
It's a lose/lose in that regard.

Argentinian hormone filled steaks here we come......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on November 10, 2017, 12:09:15 PM
From the Guardian:

Davis insists Northern Ireland must leave customs union and single market

Davis turns to Ireland.

He says both sides are committed to avoiding physical infrastructure are the border.

The final outcome can only be agreed when the UK and the EU agree the final border.

But the UK will maintain its integrity, he says. He says it will not accept a new border between the island of Ireland and the mainland.

(He seems to be rejecting the proposal in the leaked EU document for Northern Ireland to stay in the customs union and the single market.)

Davis insists Northern Ireland must leave customs union and single market.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on November 10, 2017, 12:25:53 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 10, 2017, 12:09:15 PM
From the Guardian:

Davis insists Northern Ireland must leave customs union and single market

Davis turns to Ireland.

He says both sides are committed to avoiding physical infrastructure are the border.

The final outcome can only be agreed when the UK and the EU agree the final border.

But the UK will maintain its integrity, he says. He says it will not accept a new border between the island of Ireland and the mainland.

(He seems to be rejecting the proposal in the leaked EU document for Northern Ireland to stay in the customs union and the single market.)

Davis insists Northern Ireland must leave customs union and single market.

Someone better ask the people of the north what they want!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 10, 2017, 12:43:02 PM
I don't think the British government gave much thought to 'the Irish problem'. To me they don't know what to do about it. Does NO remain inside the common market like the rest of Ireland with a frictionless border, or outside the EU totally and with a border. After all the whole Brexit vote was to 'protect the borders' despite what everyone says. What ecactly do the DUP want? Do they even know themselves?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on November 10, 2017, 12:51:40 PM
I don't always agree with Simon Jenkins in The Guardian, but he's been pretty consistent and spot-on on Brexit

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/nov/10/theresa-may-pay-up-clear-our-brexit-rebels-hardcore-brexiteers-minority-europe

Why does Theresa May keep telling us what we already know? She says she will not "tolerate" Brexit backsliding from rebel remainer MPs. What we actually want to know she's not tolerating is a much smaller group of flat-Earth rebels backsliding from a sensible Brexit. It is that madness she cannot fudge...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on November 10, 2017, 12:53:37 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 10, 2017, 12:43:02 PM
I don't think the British government gave much thought to 'the Irish problem'. To me they don't know what to do about it. Does NO remain inside the common market like the rest of Ireland with a frictionless border, or outside the EU totally and with a border. After all the whole Brexit vote was to 'protect the borders' despite what everyone says. What ecactly do the DUP want? Do they even know themselves?

The DUP's motivation is to support anything that makes the divide between the two parts of Ireland wider.  I don't think they've considered, or care about, day to day consequences.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on November 10, 2017, 01:35:39 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 10, 2017, 12:53:37 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 10, 2017, 12:43:02 PM
I don't think the British government gave much thought to 'the Irish problem'. To me they don't know what to do about it. Does NO remain inside the common market like the rest of Ireland with a frictionless border, or outside the EU totally and with a border. After all the whole Brexit vote was to 'protect the borders' despite what everyone says. What ecactly do the DUP want? Do they even know themselves?

The DUP's motivation is to support anything that makes the divide between the two parts of Ireland wider.  I don't think they've considered, or care about, day to day consequences.

They want to be as british as Finchley, but I'm sure the farmers in Finchley aren't shipping their meat and dairy products to processing plants in the South of Ireland.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on November 10, 2017, 02:08:42 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on November 10, 2017, 01:35:39 PM

They want to be as british as Finchley, but I'm sure the farmers in Finchley aren't shipping their meat and dairy products to processing plants in the South of Ireland.

What about the poultry farmers?

Breggsit will impact them too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 10, 2017, 03:18:20 PM
Will Finchley be having a border poll to see if they want to unite with someone?
I see British Minister Davis says "they" aren't going to split "our UK".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 10, 2017, 04:01:22 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 10, 2017, 12:53:37 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 10, 2017, 12:43:02 PM
I don't think the British government gave much thought to 'the Irish problem'. To me they don't know what to do about it. Does NO remain inside the common market like the rest of Ireland with a frictionless border, or outside the EU totally and with a border. After all the whole Brexit vote was to 'protect the borders' despite what everyone says. What ecactly do the DUP want? Do they even know themselves?

The DUP's motivation is to support anything that makes the divide between the two parts of Ireland wider.  I don't think they've considered, or care about, day to day consequences.
Money is more important to voters than ideology.
Brexit will make NI poorer.

Fox says he can get 30 trade deals to replace the 40% of exports that go to the EU. Hammond calls him a fantasist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on November 10, 2017, 04:07:16 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on November 10, 2017, 02:08:42 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on November 10, 2017, 01:35:39 PM

They want to be as british as Finchley, but I'm sure the farmers in Finchley aren't shipping their meat and dairy products to processing plants in the South of Ireland.

What about the poultry farmers?

Breggsit will impact them too.

Of course, not to be taken literally.  All manufacturers of dairy products are equally blessed.


8)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 10, 2017, 04:10:57 PM
So willl the Junior Doctors have to work 60 hours week now that we've got rid of those pesky EU laws?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on November 10, 2017, 04:23:56 PM
John Crace sums it up:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/10/babble-brexit-progress-dave-ooze-defeat-barnier

Babbling about Brexit progress, Dave only oozes defeat.

It's all starting to get a bit embarrassing. In the press conferences following the early rounds of negotiations, Michel Barnier used to make a point of making most of his remarks in English to make things easier for David Davis. But at the sixth time of asking he's clearly decided there isn't any language that Davis properly understands, so he might as well suit himself and speak in his native French.

Barnier bashed his head against the lectern. He wasn't sure how much plainer he could be. What bit of "sincere and real progress" did the British Brexit secretary not understand? He tried again. This time speaking a bit slower. As he would to a not-very-bright six-year-old.

If Britain wanted to move on to the next phase of talks, it had to come up with something better than making progress towards making progress, he said. The EU wasn't asking for, nor would be making, any concessions. It was all a matter of legal certainty. And while some work had been done – with a little help, Davis was now often able to locate the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland on a map – there was still much more that needed to be done.

When he moved on to the financial contributions, Barnier couldn't resist a little smirk. He'd had tougher negotiations with his kids over how much TV they could watch than he had with the British contingent. His kids would never have limited their options so catastrophically by triggering article 50 before they knew what they wanted as an outcome.

"The UK decided to leave the EU more than 500 days ago and..." he said, his voice tailing off. And next to nothing had happened since. The clock was ticking for the UK, not the EU. Britain would be leaving the EU on 29 March 2019 and it could either do so in an orderly manner by making an effort to get to grips with the situation, or fall out chaotically without a deal.

Davis – almost certainly unintentionally – gave every impression that a chaotic no deal was precisely his preferred option. He began by talking about the "new dynamic" of the negotiations since the prime minister's Florence speech. New dynamic as in slower dynamic. The monthly talks usually last four days; this round had been reduced to two days since everyone realised it would be a waste of time to spend any longer getting nowhere

On the substantive issues, Davis appeared equally lost. He still hasn't grasped the logic of Northern Ireland needing to remain in the single market and the customs union to prevent the need for a hard border and he also appears not to understand the fundamental imbalance of power within the negotiations. As for the financial settlement, "substantial technical progress" had been made. Britain had finally agreed the currency. If not the amount. "We've listened carefully and responded," he said. Barnier appeared bewildered by that.

Questions from the media only underlined how little progress had been made. Was it true there was no chance of the European council agreeing to move the talks on to the next stage unless Britain put a whole load more cash on the table within the next two weeks, a German reporter asked. Barnier paused. There was a time when he might have been inclined to dodge that question to give the Brits a bit of slack, but now he was right out of patience. Davis would just have to suck it up. "Je pense que oui," he said. ("I think so.")

Even Dopey Dave understood that. There were just two weeks to try to save Brexit. He looked around for help, before it dawned on him that he was the person on whom the country was counting. He mumbled something about being willing and able, while sounding anything but. His expression was of a man who had only just realised he was completely out of his depth. Defeat oozed out of every pore. The Brexiter for whom hubris beckoned unless the Maybot was suddenly willing to hand over €60bn.

The sense of deadlocked resignation spilled out into the room as Barnier went on to say they had barely scratched the surface of the negotiations. We were still a long way off the end of the beginning. He was then asked if he thought Theresa May would still be in power by the end of the year, let alone by the end of the negotiations. Barnier declined to comment though he didn't appear to care much either way. Or to offer much hope for her survival.

"We're making progress," Davis insisted as he was led away by his child minder. One day he would say it and it might be true. But not today. Or probably any time soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2017, 02:39:17 PM
Brussels and the Irish govt want to keep NI in the customs union and Single market to protect the GFA and avoid a hard border. The UK govt doesn't want this because it is dependent on the DUP for its majority. The DUP would pauperise its own people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 11, 2017, 04:13:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2017, 02:39:17 PM
Brussels and the Irish govt want to keep NI in the customs union and Single market to protect the GFA and avoid a hard border. The UK govt doesn't want this because it is dependent on the DUP for its majority. The DUP would pauperise its own people.

Thought the DUP wanted a frictionless border? Or am I mistaken with all the different scenarios that has been presented.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 11, 2017, 04:24:24 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 11, 2017, 04:13:59 PM
Thought the DUP wanted a frictionless border? Or am I mistaken with all the different scenarios that has been presented.

They say, like their masters, that they want a frictionless border with the UK out of the Single market and the Customs Union.
This is impossible, of course, and you know rightly that they will go for non frictionless border. They would probably build a minefield and a fence if they thought they would get away with it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 11, 2017, 04:56:43 PM
Anything which would make crossing the "border" more difficult would in their eyes be great. They don't seem to grasp that they are just pushing middle ground people more towards desiring a united ireland. Fools.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 11, 2017, 06:28:44 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 11, 2017, 04:56:43 PM
Anything which would make crossing the "border" more difficult would in their eyes be great. They don't seem to grasp that they are just pushing middle ground people more towards desiring a united ireland. Fools.

From their perspective they could create such economic chaos and disconnection that you could have an unhappy NI, but one in which it was difficult to come up with a useful model to change it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2017, 08:21:16 PM
The Unionists want something because they think the world owes them a living.  They think they are superior to the Irosh so they can get what they want. But that is over.

The Single market is like pregnant. There is no halfway. Protestant farmers will be the big losers. The battle of the Ford of the biscuits 2.0
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2017, 08:57:56 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 11, 2017, 06:28:44 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 11, 2017, 04:56:43 PM
Anything which would make crossing the "border" more difficult would in their eyes be great. They don't seem to grasp that they are just pushing middle ground people more towards desiring a united ireland. Fools.

From their perspective they could create such economic chaos and disconnection that you could have an unhappy NI, but one in which it was difficult to come up with a useful model to change it.
Unionism assumes British is better off economically than Irish. Not any more. Sometimes the "parent " country fucks it up. Alsace isn't in Germany now.

Brexit is madness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 11, 2017, 11:04:00 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DN02ReoWAAMs4YP.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on November 12, 2017, 01:19:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2017, 02:39:17 PM
Brussels and the Irish govt want to keep NI in the customs union and Single market to protect the GFA and avoid a hard border. The UK govt doesn't want this because it is dependent on the DUP for its majority. The DUP would pauperise its own people.

This is it in a nutshell. The next few weeks are critical in the history of this island. The current Tory Government is the worst in my  lifetime, I feel sorry for the PM as she is clearly out of her depth but she is dependant on the DUP to save her. The same DUP whose political analysis and vision is being laid bare at the opening days of the RHI Inquiry, expertly summarised by Conor McAuley on BBC. So if David Davis maintains his position of no boundary or border in the UK we are headed for No Deal, Hard Brexit and economic disaster for both jurisdictions in Ireland.If anyone on here has any contact with someone in the DUP who has any sense, ask them if they really want this to happen ? Or is Lisa Evans the official spokesperson for progressive unionism?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 12, 2017, 06:15:19 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on November 12, 2017, 01:19:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2017, 02:39:17 PM
Brussels and the Irish govt want to keep NI in the customs union and Single market to protect the GFA and avoid a hard border. The UK govt doesn't want this because it is dependent on the DUP for its majority. The DUP would pauperise its own people.

This is it in a nutshell. The next few weeks are critical in the history of this island. The current Tory Government is the worst in my  lifetime, I feel sorry for the PM as she is clearly out of her depth but she is dependant on the DUP to save her. The same DUP whose political analysis and vision is being laid bare at the opening days of the RHI Inquiry, expertly summarised by Conor McAuley on BBC. So if David Davis maintains his position of no boundary or border in the UK we are headed for No Deal, Hard Brexit and economic disaster for both jurisdictions in Ireland.If anyone on here has any contact with someone in the DUP who has any sense, ask them if they really want this to happen ? Or is Lisa Evans the official spokesperson for progressive unionism?

The UK has gone from Empire to.suicidal and alone in 72 years. NHS demand has grown by 4% a year for the last 7 years. Funding has increased by 1% per year. Salaries are 15% below 2007 levels after inflation. The UK exports 40% of its stuff to the EU and has no replacement lined up.
Unionist hatred of Irishness doesn't just stop at the language. It encompasses the whole worldview including economics.  The DUP is insane.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 12, 2017, 08:56:31 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/11/12/nutella-becomes-latest-shrinkflation-victim/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 12, 2017, 09:26:37 PM
Brexit saving money already! Less obesity and saving the NHS money! Win win
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 12, 2017, 11:55:29 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on November 12, 2017, 01:19:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2017, 02:39:17 PM
Brussels and the Irish govt want to keep NI in the customs union and Single market to protect the GFA and avoid a hard border. The UK govt doesn't want this because it is dependent on the DUP for its majority. The DUP would pauperise its own people.

This is it in a nutshell. The next few weeks are critical in the history of this island. The current Tory Government is the worst in my  lifetime, I feel sorry for the PM as she is clearly out of her depth but she is dependant on the DUP to save her. The same DUP whose political analysis and vision is being laid bare at the opening days of the RHI Inquiry, expertly summarised by Conor McAuley on BBC. So if David Davis maintains his position of no boundary or border in the UK we are headed for No Deal, Hard Brexit and economic disaster for both jurisdictions in Ireland.If anyone on here has any contact with someone in the DUP who has any sense, ask them if they really want this to happen ? Or is Lisa Evans the official spokesperson for progressive unionism?

Don't know what age you are but the early 1980s were desperate times.  Both UK and Eire have had a few prosperous decades since then, undoubtedly as a result of the common market.  The UK population - and arguably that of ROI  - are fed up with the freedom of movement of labour.   For NI to remain in the single market is non-negotiable.  Custom unions have always been an accounting exercise and understandably that's why Remainer May is trying to argue that the Brexit bill of £Xm can't be agreed until the future trade arrangements are agreed.  The DUP are only a temporary distraction, we're already in the midst of a cliff-edge Brexit.  It may take a Johnson/Gove/Leadsom leadership to lead the British people where they really want to go.  Or perhaps Nigel Dodds given that gushing praise last week..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 13, 2017, 09:09:11 AM
What's with the "Eire ".
No such place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: belfastkev on November 13, 2017, 09:15:11 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2017, 09:09:11 AM
What's with the "Eire ".
No such place.

No such place as Éire? You may tell that to the people that wrote Bunreacht na hÉireann and that produce passports because I'm pretty sure both state that the name of the state as Gaeilge is Éire.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 13, 2017, 11:11:22 AM
É not E.
Read his post and mine - no fada anywhere.
Bunreacht tells us the name of the State " Éire  or in the English language  Ireland".

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 13, 2017, 12:08:28 PM
E but caps E pressed with the alt gr button at the right side of the spacebar in É.

Took me a long time to know this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2017, 06:51:18 PM
 https://www.ft.com/content/d76a5602-c854-11e7-aa33-c63fdc9b8c6c

Britain is drifting towards disaster on Brexit — without a viable diplomatic, economic or political strategy to make a success of the venture. The central problem is that the British government is stuck between an implacable EU and an unrealistic Conservative party. The EU will not offer anything like the deal that Britain's Brexiters still dream of. But Theresa May's Conservative colleagues are still unprepared to accept this unpleasant reality. In this paralysing situation, it seems increasingly likely the UK government will simply be politically and technically incapable of delivering a negotiated Brexit. As a result, the likeliest outcome is that, late in the day — perhaps in January 2019 — the EU will present Britain with a "take it or leave it" deal.


https://www.ft.com/content/d76a5602-c854-11e7-aa33-c63fdc9b8c6c#comments

The EU side can also credibly argue that the political disarray in Britain is such that making a deal with the May government could turn out to be pointless. On the surface, the British government has a clear position on most of the key issues. The May government has offered to pay the EU €20bn as part of the divorce settlement. It has also said that Britain plans eventually to leave both the EU's internal market and the customs union, but that there should be a transition arrangement of about two years, during which a new free trade deal is put into place. But these positions could still change radically in response to events. If, as seems likely, Mrs May is forced to increase considerably the UK's financial offer to the EU, it is possible that she will face a revolt from within her own party — and could lose her House of Commons majority, and possibly her job. On the other hand, if she hangs tough on the money and allows negotiations to break down, then she may face a similarly dangerous revolt from appalled Remainers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 14, 2017, 03:42:39 AM
https://m.phys.org/news/2017-11-explores-scotland-northern-ireland-fulfil.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2017, 06:06:25 PM
I can't believe how shoddy the Eurosceptics are. Brexit is a dogs dinner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on November 14, 2017, 10:27:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2017, 06:06:25 PM
I can't believe how shoddy the Eurosceptics are. Brexit is a dogs dinner.

No one expected middle England to shoot itself in the foot, even the brexiteers were in shock when they no hence no coherent plan and leadership to carry it through.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on November 15, 2017, 09:53:08 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on November 14, 2017, 10:27:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2017, 06:06:25 PM
I can't believe how shoddy the Eurosceptics are. Brexit is a dogs dinner.

No one expected middle England to shoot itself in the foot, even the brexiteers were in shock when they no hence no coherent plan and leadership to carry it through.

You wonder what a referendum held today would say? I personally think there would be about a 10% swing to remain. The good old British Middle class arrogance of "We're British, they need us more than we need them etc etc" has been firmly put in its place by the EU negotiators and the Xenophobic Sun Readers worried about their benefits going to immigrants are moaning because their package holiday to  Magaluf has got more expensive because of the sterling devaluation.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 15, 2017, 10:55:52 AM
It's all a bit like someone waking up the morning after the works Christmas do and realising you told the boss last night to stick his job as you are going out on your own. ...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on November 15, 2017, 03:46:38 PM
Is a thing really clear about what will happen after Brexit - other than the Uk leaving?

It is all speculation, it was the same when the UK didnt join the Euro everyone said they couldnt survive and they did.

It wont make a blind bit of difference to the united Ireland debate - might get us closer to a referendum but will this really happen would the unionists / Uk let this happen and does ROI really want us?

I feel only time will really tell
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2017, 05:21:48 PM
Quote from: Sweeper 123 on November 15, 2017, 03:46:38 PM
Is a thing really clear about what will happen after Brexit - other than the Uk leaving?

It is all speculation, it was the same when the UK didnt join the Euro everyone said they couldnt survive and they did.

It wont make a blind bit of difference to the united Ireland debate - might get us closer to a referendum but will this really happen would the unionists / Uk let this happen and does ROI really want us?

I feel only time will really tell
Brexit will make the Uk poorer. It is not going to be six of one or half a dozen of the other.
Farmers might be hit very badly.
This is important for NI. Political décisions that impoverish people are a nightmare to implement. The Poll taxes are a good example.
Most Unionists think Brexit will be great.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on November 15, 2017, 05:29:33 PM
Just under 50% of unionists voted to remain so they don't all think Brexit would be good
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 16, 2017, 08:45:07 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on November 15, 2017, 05:29:33 PM
Just under 50% of unionists voted to remain so they don't all think Brexit would be good

Where did you get those figures from??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 17, 2017, 11:37:14 AM
https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/boris-johnson-visits-simon-coveney-in-dublin-and-theyre-already-disagreeing-in-early-morning-press-conference-36328625.html

Sure it'll all be grand says Boris......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 17, 2017, 11:43:58 AM
If that what Boris does, the husband of the woman in Iran must be bricking it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 17, 2017, 02:59:41 PM
Leo seems to have put the foot down!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 19, 2017, 06:03:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 17, 2017, 02:59:41 PM
Leo seems to have put the foot down!!!
This is a good read

https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on November 19, 2017, 07:09:47 PM
Go Leo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on November 19, 2017, 07:52:02 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 17, 2017, 02:59:41 PM
Leo seems to have put the foot down!!!

Both him and Coveny are taking no crap so far from the tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on November 19, 2017, 07:54:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 19, 2017, 06:03:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 17, 2017, 02:59:41 PM
Leo seems to have put the foot down!!!
This is a good read

https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/

Interesting indeed. Are we realistically looking at N.Ireland staying in the customs union and the border effectively being down the Irish Sea?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 19, 2017, 07:59:35 PM
Unionists will be publicly outraged but people's livelihoods are at stake so they know they can't have a hard border with the South.

A border going across to the UK will annoy the hell out of them though. An importer/exporter on both sides of the border could do well as a conduit to both jurisdictions!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 19, 2017, 08:07:46 PM
Can't see it happen. They're going to go for a hard border, DUP propping them up will see to that - they're just trying to abdicate responsibility for it as per Hammond etc by saying they don't want it and they won't be putting it up, so trying to shift blame to EU. They know if they do put it up and man it they will become targets and potentially restart the troubles.

Still waiting for someone to point out to the brits that if they could just have that magic invisible border they're proposing on the island, in the Irish sea, then no-one can have any issue...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 08:10:56 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 19, 2017, 08:07:46 PM
Can't see it happen. They're going to go for a hard border, DUP propping them up will see to that - they're just trying to abdicate responsibility for it as per Hammond etc by saying they don't want it and they won't be putting it up, so trying to shift blame to EU. They know if they do put it up and man it they will become targets and potentially restart the troubles.

Still waiting for someone to point out to the brits that if they could just have that magic invisible border they're proposing on the island, in the Irish sea, then no-one can have any issue...

So the Brexit vote is going to cause the troubles?? Feck! Do you work for the red tabs? Sensational stuff
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 19, 2017, 08:18:47 PM
A hard border could cause problems mr. It wouldn't be a positive step for the peace process.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 08:21:24 PM
But 35 years of bombing shootings and 3,500 murders? Ffs catch yourselves on
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 19, 2017, 08:25:40 PM
Say an election is called due to a few resignations, which could happen tbh and Corbyn gets in, what scenario would play out then? A u-turn of some sort?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 19, 2017, 08:26:01 PM
So how do you think a hard border would impact things?

Wouldn't matter?

No extremists in the making would care?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 19, 2017, 08:32:03 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 19, 2017, 08:25:40 PM
Say an election is called due to a few resignations, which could happen tbh and Corbyn gets in, what scenario would play out then? A u-turn of some sort?
The UK electorate is very volatile.
Labour would need to win on a clear programme with Brexit fully costed for the fantasy it is
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 19, 2017, 08:38:38 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 19, 2017, 07:59:35 PM
Unionists will be publicly outraged but people's livelihoods are at stake so they know they can't have a hard border with the South.

A border going across to the UK will annoy the hell out of them though. An importer/exporter on both sides of the border could do well as a conduit to both jurisdictions!!
A hard border would destroy what is left of the NI economy. Brexit will mean lower standards of living in England. That means deflation. Being in the UK is a great bunch of lads but not if prices keep on falling and you can't sell above cost of production. .
Farmers export a lot of produce to the EU. Tariffs will banjax that. The Yanks will insist on selling vile cheap meat tariff free into NI. So farming will get a huge shock.
And the DUP wants this ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 08:51:19 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 19, 2017, 08:26:01 PM
So how do you think a hard border would impact things?

Wouldn't matter?

No extremists in the making would care?

It would be shit! But I've been to the South right through the troubles and we weren't turned away once!

We have extremists but what would they be fighting for that they ain't now?

It will matter to the business' s that export to the south but strapping someone to a truck and blowing them up at the border won't stop Brexit

Do you honestly think a new anti-Brexit resistance movement will start a new 'troubles'?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 19, 2017, 08:58:12 PM
I don't think we'll see a return to the troubles but businesses will move en made out of here if there's a hard border and tariffs imposed on trade between the North and the EU!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 09:12:13 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 19, 2017, 08:58:12 PM
I don't think we'll see a return to the troubles but businesses will move en made out of here if there's a hard border and tariffs imposed on trade between the North and the EU!!

Yes they will if they have traded exclusively to the EU, but let's give business some credit! They will have to adapt surely to survive.. large companies have closed here in the north and others have adapted..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 19, 2017, 09:16:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 09:12:13 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 19, 2017, 08:58:12 PM
I don't think we'll see a return to the troubles but businesses will move en made out of here if there's a hard border and tariffs imposed on trade between the North and the EU!!

Yes they will if they have traded exclusively to the EU, but let's give business some credit! They will have to adapt surely to survive.. large companies have closed here in the north and others have adapted..
Debt based economic systems end in mass bankruptcies.  But it it should be possible to get wine for a fiver.!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 09:34:01 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 19, 2017, 09:16:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 09:12:13 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 19, 2017, 08:58:12 PM
I don't think we'll see a return to the troubles but businesses will move en made out of here if there's a hard border and tariffs imposed on trade between the North and the EU!!

Yes they will if they have traded exclusively to the EU, but let's give business some credit! They will have to adapt surely to survive.. large companies have closed here in the north and others have adapted..
Debt based economic systems end in mass bankruptcies.  But it it should be possible to get wine for a fiver.!

Managed 6 for 4.50! Decent red too
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 19, 2017, 09:34:56 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 08:51:19 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 19, 2017, 08:26:01 PM
So how do you think a hard border would impact things?

Wouldn't matter?

No extremists in the making would care?

It would be shit! But I've been to the South right through the troubles and we weren't turned away once!

We have extremists but what would they be fighting for that they ain't now?

It will matter to the business' s that export to the south but strapping someone to a truck and blowing them up at the border won't stop Brexit

Do you honestly think a new anti-Brexit resistance movement will start a new 'troubles'?

Well one thing that worries me is "community grants". No eu and none of these grants. There is a certan amount of buying off going on in some areas. Troublesome scenarios seem to mysteriously disappear when money is thrown to certain people.

I don't necessarily think full blown troubles but a hard border and less grants would certainly not help peace.

It just isn't a positive thing in general.

You also have to remember, from an economic perspective, that we are a services industry very heavily reliant on foreign investment. We are less appealing now.

A less affluent place is also more likely to have its issues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 09:42:08 PM
It totally will but if groups know that there is actually no money to claim from due to voting against it in first place I'd find it very amusing that they'd start a riot! Who will they riot against? Themselves?

Just sounds daft.. we won't fall apart and I can't honestly say that an actual border will be set up, the infrastructure road wise is too good to put a barrier on the road..

So let's wait and see before we get the rations out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 19, 2017, 09:56:58 PM
Well these kind of guys do usually riot amongst themselves...

No one is saying get the rations out but the whole thing isn't good. Actual economics experts - not seafoid- do not have high hopes for this. It would be naive to not at least be a bit worried about it. Yes your job may be ok but future generations etc may not necessarily.

It is what it is and there is nothing we can do about it so i personally don't lose sleep over it but i don't have high hopes. My wife's job has been threatened by it and she is far from alone. So yes wait and see if her company will execute on threat...

Your border view is rather simplistic. Road barriers would be nigh on impossible but it is hard to see how there won't be something.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 10:08:34 PM
Yes it will effect many friends but we've not had a great few years before Brexit to be honest, no wage increase for years for some.. was listen to radio the other day and in truth it wasn't good on how they seen it! Though they said it's all up in the air as they can't predict it properly
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 19, 2017, 10:10:46 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 19, 2017, 08:26:01 PM
So how do you think a hard border would impact things?

Wouldn't matter?

No extremists in the making would care?

People tend to focus on the particular. One of the particular problems is that the British are happy to not have any checkpoints, but will abandon NI to whatever smuggling takes place, more or less banjaxing ordinary business if there were tariffs.

But there is also a general problem, a hard border shows that politics is pointless as 40 years of political progress will have been dismantled to bring it about. That is a very bad precedent to establish,
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 19, 2017, 10:51:16 PM
there's quite an impact in attracting inward investment. Currently there are EU grants for R&D which will expire, EU membership is a big part of getting those jobs in the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 19, 2017, 11:07:38 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 19, 2017, 10:51:16 PM
there's quite an impact in attracting inward investment. Currently there are EU grants for R&D which will expire, EU membership is a big part of getting those jobs in the north.

They can have new grants, and with more flexibility without EU rules, but an ability to export to the EU is an important part of the reason why companies come.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 19, 2017, 11:18:46 PM
I wonder how is this Mayo bollix enjoying Brexit
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2I3eAyJkoHg
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 01:05:39 AM
This was a comment on the FT site

"Also, consequences usually have a kind of time-lapse. PFI contracts, or even the destabilisation of Iraq, might take a decade or more to become truly toxic, by which time the politicians involved will hope to have moved into the private sector.
With Brexit, the whole country might implode within about nine months. This is why the Tories are behaving like a besieged rat colony: they actually have to doing something and are being confronted with the novelty of immediate consequences. It's stating the obvious, but the conflict in negotiations is not a clash of national temperaments, but the atmosphere created when gung-ho carpetbaggers come up against patrician bureaucrats"

The EU are playing hard ball.  It is going to hurt voters.
The Brits have to come up with a solution for NI in a couple of weeks. They don't have a notion.

Brexit is like voting for Trump. It is emotional. It is a fantasy. The Eurosceptic fantasy is an economy similar to Victorian times.
They need to execute it before the voters join the dots.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 01:35:55 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2017/nov/20/five-a-day-eating-targets-will-be-unaffordable-for-millions-after-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on November 20, 2017, 05:18:20 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 09:42:08 PM
It totally will but if groups know that there is actually no money to claim from due to voting against it in first place I'd find it very amusing that they'd start a riot! Who will they riot against? Themselves?

Just sounds daft.. we won't fall apart and I can't honestly say that an actual border will be set up, the infrastructure road wise is too good to put a barrier on the road..

So let's wait and see before we get the rations out

Macro / Underlying reasons foster an environment for disorder and violence to occur...

I had a discussion here (LA) with a native about the Rodney King riots and he maintained the reason they occurred was lack of jobs and opportunity in the areas that the riots occurred. The poor economy lead to disenfranchised youth and along with that came drugs and gangs, that lead to Police brutality, that lead to a deep loathing within those communities of the police....The Rodney King case was a product of that environment it was just a matter of time....

It got me thinking about the similarities of the start of the troubles in the late 60s with the demise of shipbuilding in Belfast and of textiles in Derry. Tho Im sure the link has been made before.

Bottom line is when economies go up the left bad shit happens, people are bored, angry, and look for somebody to take out their frustrations and use up their surplus energy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 07:52:09 AM
The economy has been shit for years, we've never really got out of the recession, has been highlighted by many on here, we've also not had a government for a long while ether and no out breaks of the troubles

Somebody mentioned the troubles! I really don't think that person lived during the troubles to understand what it was like to put that in
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 08:47:59 AM
Given your history of puerile posts, there is little point explaining this to you Milltown, but I'll try.

If the UK put up a border, it will have to be manned by UK customs and British soldiers. Dissident republicans don't have much support not because of their ideology, but because they don't have a popular target. Put a border in manned by British forces and that changes.

If Brexit has the expected economic effect, especially along the border, there are going to be a lot of people disenchanted with a peace process which has left them still going through checkpoints and searched, NI still part of UK and further away from a UI than ever, and economically disenfranchised. Dissident republicanism gets a massive shot in the arm and popular support, attacks on the border increase, support increases in traditional republican areas in the cities again, army back on streets.

Why do you think the British are so keen to avoid a hard border? Their Brexit campaign was built on taking back control of borders, yet here they are saying they don't want one in Ireland?? The DUP certainly wouldn't complain too much (behind closed doors). The British can see the dangers. You're not able to see beyond the end of your nose (well done on being the only person to live through the Troubles by the way), so I don't expect you to be able to grasp this, but I do find it amusing that, when I pulled you about your Brexit view on another thread, you waited til I posted again so you could go after me. What a sad little man  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 08:49:58 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 19, 2017, 09:42:08 PM
It totally will but if groups know that there is actually no money to claim from due to voting against it in first place I'd find it very amusing that they'd start a riot! Who will they riot against? Themselves?

Just sounds daft.. we won't fall apart and I can't honestly say that an actual border will be set up, the infrastructure road wise is too good to put a barrier on the road..

So let's wait and see before we get the rations out

;D ;D ;D

These posts are quality, keep them up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 09:32:07 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 08:47:59 AM
Given your history of puerile posts, there is little point explaining this to you Milltown, but I'll try.

If the UK put up a border, it will have to be manned by UK customs and British soldiers. Dissident republicans don't have much support not because of their ideology, but because they don't have a popular target. Put a border in manned by British forces and that changes.

If Brexit has the expected economic effect, especially along the border, there are going to be a lot of people disenchanted with a peace process which has left them still going through checkpoints and searched, NI still part of UK and further away from a UI than ever, and economically disenfranchised. Dissident republicanism gets a massive shot in the arm and popular support, attacks on the border increase, support increases in traditional republican areas in the cities again, army back on streets.

Why do you think the British are so keen to avoid a hard border? Their Brexit campaign was built on taking back control of borders, yet here they are saying they don't want one in Ireland?? The DUP certainly wouldn't complain too much (behind closed doors). The British can see the dangers. You're not able to see beyond the end of your nose (well done on being the only person to live through the Troubles by the way), so I don't expect you to be able to grasp this, but I do find it amusing that, when I pulled you about your Brexit view on another thread, you waited til I posted again so you could go after me. What a sad little man  ;D

Look when your view doesnt happen, what excuse will you use then?

So every road into the south will have a manned border controlled by the Armed forces and the army will be back on the streets in Belfast?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 09:47:30 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 07:52:09 AM
The economy has been shit for years, we've never really got out of the recession, has been highlighted by many on here, we've also not had a government for a long while ether and no out breaks of the troubles

Somebody mentioned the troubles! I really don't think that person lived during the troubles to understand what it was like to put that in
The British input to the GFA was money to keep.things quiet. Brexit will hurt middle class people as well as the working class so there will be class tension on top of deflation. NI slipped into madness last time when people lost faith in the system. That can't happen again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 10:42:20 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 09:32:07 AM

Look when your view doesnt happen, what excuse will you use then?

So every road into the south will have a manned border controlled by the Armed forces and the army will be back on the streets in Belfast?

Of course it mightn't happen - indeed it is much more likely not to happen than to happen. But it is a potential outcome as I said in my initial post, and being such a negative potential outcome, it has to be considered and measures taken to ensure it doesn't become a reality.

No-one can predict the future, there are many possible outcomes of any event. Do you not understand this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 20, 2017, 10:53:19 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 10:42:20 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 09:32:07 AM

Look when your view doesnt happen, what excuse will you use then?

So every road into the south will have a manned border controlled by the Armed forces and the army will be back on the streets in Belfast?

Of course it mightn't happen - indeed it is much more likely not to happen than to happen. But it is a potential outcome as I said in my initial post, and being such a negative potential outcome, it has to be considered and measures taken to ensure it doesn't become a reality.

No-one can predict the future, there are many possible outcomes of any event. Do you not understand this?

It stands to reason that if you have a peace settlement and one side reneges on it that no good will come of it. There is no need to take the risk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 12:16:16 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 10:42:20 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 09:32:07 AM

Look when your view doesnt happen, what excuse will you use then?

So every road into the south will have a manned border controlled by the Armed forces and the army will be back on the streets in Belfast?

Of course it mightn't happen - indeed it is much more likely not to happen than to happen. But it is a potential outcome as I said in my initial post, and being such a negative potential outcome, it has to be considered and measures taken to ensure it doesn't become a reality.

No-one can predict the future, there are many possible outcomes of any event. Do you not understand this?

Throwing out stuff about the troubles starting over again potentially is something you'd see in daily papers! headline grabbers, like its going to be the worst winter ever!! Potentially could be used for a lot of things.. slightly over the top don't you think?

Quote from: armaghniac on November 20, 2017, 10:53:19 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 10:42:20 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 09:32:07 AM

Look when your view doesnt happen, what excuse will you use then?

So every road into the south will have a manned border controlled by the Armed forces and the army will be back on the streets in Belfast?

Of course it mightn't happen - indeed it is much more likely not to happen than to happen. But it is a potential outcome as I said in my initial post, and being such a negative potential outcome, it has to be considered and measures taken to ensure it doesn't become a reality.

No-one can predict the future, there are many possible outcomes of any event. Do you not understand this?

It stands to reason that if you have a peace settlement and one side reneges on it that no good will come of it. There is no need to take the risk.

As for reneging on agreements, they have been doing that for years, he said she said shite talk form the ones on the Hill!

It's not a perfect peace but I'll take it over anything that we had in the past, as for Brexit its has the potential to be devastating and there is no positives anyone can take from it financially but I dont think we'll be going down the road of blowing each other up...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 12:29:26 PM
Judging from your irrelevant babbling I really don't think you're grasping the conversation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 01:44:00 PM
Would SF be better at looking after working class people than the DUP ? This will be a key determinant of what happens post Brexit imo. 
The UK is in a very dark place right now. Life expectancy will be falling soon. Poorer people can't afford healthy food and the NHS is being starved of money so people are dying earlier.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 02:49:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 01:44:00 PM
Would SF be better at looking after working class people than the DUP ? This will be a key determinant of what happens post Brexit imo. 
The UK is in a very dark place right now. Life expectancy will be falling soon. Poorer people can't afford healthy food and the NHS is being starved of money so people are dying earlier.

;D ;D ;D  you are a belter
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on November 20, 2017, 04:20:26 PM
How ill Brexit effect the like of this?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-42052173 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-42052173)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 05:51:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 02:49:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 01:44:00 PM
Would SF be better at looking after working class people than the DUP ? This will be a key determinant of what happens post Brexit imo. 
The UK is in a very dark place right now. Life expectancy will be falling soon. Poorer people can't afford healthy food and the NHS is being starved of money so people are dying earlier.

;D ;D ;D  you are a belter
Private Eye has the life expectancy news.

The rest is here

https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2017/nov/20/five-a-day-eating-targets-will-be-unaffordable-for-millions-after-brexit

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/jun/29/biggest-ever-study-of-food-banks-warns-use-likely-to-increase
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 20, 2017, 06:05:58 PM
Quote from: GJL on November 20, 2017, 04:20:26 PM
How ill Brexit effect the like of this?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-42052173 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-42052173)

Some good discussion of this here https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/
basically they have found 142 areas of cross border cooperation

on health it mentions
It requires equality of patient rights, but also things like single standards for medical devices, the approval of medicines at EU level, mutual recognition of medical qualifications, mutual acceptance of cross border ambulance activity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on November 20, 2017, 06:06:46 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 02:49:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 01:44:00 PM
Would SF be better at looking after working class people than the DUP ? This will be a key determinant of what happens post Brexit imo. 
The UK is in a very dark place right now. Life expectancy will be falling soon. Poorer people can't afford healthy food and the NHS is being starved of money so people are dying earlier.

;D ;D ;D  you are a belter
Belter or melter?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 20, 2017, 06:23:10 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 08:47:59 AM
Given your history of puerile posts, there is little point explaining this to you Milltown, but I'll try.

If the UK put up a border, it will have to be manned by UK customs and British soldiers. Dissident republicans don't have much support not because of their ideology, but because they don't have a popular target. Put a border in manned by British forces and that changes.

If Brexit has the expected economic effect, especially along the border, there are going to be a lot of people disenchanted with a peace process which has left them still going through checkpoints and searched, NI still part of UK and further away from a UI than ever, and economically disenfranchised. Dissident republicanism gets a massive shot in the arm and popular support, attacks on the border increase, support increases in traditional republican areas in the cities again, army back on streets.

Why do you think the British are so keen to avoid a hard border? Their Brexit campaign was built on taking back control of borders, yet here they are saying they don't want one in Ireland?? The DUP certainly wouldn't complain too much (behind closed doors). The British can see the dangers. You're not able to see beyond the end of your nose (well done on being the only person to live through the Troubles by the way), so I don't expect you to be able to grasp this, but I do find it amusing that, when I pulled you about your Brexit view on another thread, you waited til I posted again so you could go after me. What a sad little man  ;D

Most of this would sum up my views too. Hard border= very bad for peace process.

The most worrying thing about this is that i genuinely do not believe the dup are interested in peace so a hard border would make little odds to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on November 20, 2017, 06:44:22 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 20, 2017, 06:23:10 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 20, 2017, 08:47:59 AM
Given your history of puerile posts, there is little point explaining this to you Milltown, but I'll try.

If the UK put up a border, it will have to be manned by UK customs and British soldiers. Dissident republicans don't have much support not because of their ideology, but because they don't have a popular target. Put a border in manned by British forces and that changes.

If Brexit has the expected economic effect, especially along the border, there are going to be a lot of people disenchanted with a peace process which has left them still going through checkpoints and searched, NI still part of UK and further away from a UI than ever, and economically disenfranchised. Dissident republicanism gets a massive shot in the arm and popular support, attacks on the border increase, support increases in traditional republican areas in the cities again, army back on streets.

Why do you think the British are so keen to avoid a hard border? Their Brexit campaign was built on taking back control of borders, yet here they are saying they don't want one in Ireland?? The DUP certainly wouldn't complain too much (behind closed doors). The British can see the dangers. You're not able to see beyond the end of your nose (well done on being the only person to live through the Troubles by the way), so I don't expect you to be able to grasp this, but I do find it amusing that, when I pulled you about your Brexit view on another thread, you waited til I posted again so you could go after me. What a sad little man  ;D

Most of this would sum up my views too. Hard border= very bad for peace process.

The most worrying thing about this is that i genuinely do not believe the dup are interested in peace so a hard border would make little odds to them.

The D.U.P. are interested in peace but only on their terms. Maybe they should fast forward from 1968. I never fell for that Iain Paisley Chuckle Brothers shite. They took a long time to come to the table and only conceded what they knew the suckers on the other side would settle for in their desperation to get their hands on power.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 20, 2017, 06:53:21 PM
I really am not convinced.  They can only survive in a divided society. Then again my opinion may be tainted by my disdain for them.

In a truly peaceful society I don't see a place for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 07:32:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 20, 2017, 06:53:21 PM
I really am not convinced.  They can only survive in a divided society. Then again my opinion may be tainted by my disdain for them.

In a truly peaceful society I don't see a place for them.
They define themselves in  terms of not being Irish. They need a 21st century identity.  .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 07:37:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 05:51:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 02:49:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 01:44:00 PM
Would SF be better at looking after working class people than the DUP ? This will be a key determinant of what happens post Brexit imo. 
The UK is in a very dark place right now. Life expectancy will be falling soon. Poorer people can't afford healthy food and the NHS is being starved of money so people are dying earlier.

;D ;D ;D  you are a belter
Private Eye has the life expectancy news.

The rest is here

https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2017/nov/20/five-a-day-eating-targets-will-be-unaffordable-for-millions-after-brexit

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/jun/29/biggest-ever-study-of-food-banks-warns-use-likely-to-increase

Same life expectancy for the south, which had no Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 20, 2017, 07:58:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 07:37:41 PM
Same life expectancy for the south, which had no Brexit

Brexit hasn't the effect yet.
Life expectancy in the south is one year longer for both men and women than in the occupied territories, and is slightly longer for woman than in England.

https://www.health-ni.gov.uk/sites/default/files/publications/health/hscims-life-expectancy-decomposition-2017.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 08:31:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 20, 2017, 07:58:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 07:37:41 PM
Same life expectancy for the south, which had no Brexit

Brexit hasn't the effect yet.
Life expectancy in the south is one year longer for both men and women than in the occupied territories, and is slightly longer for woman than in England.

https://www.health-ni.gov.uk/sites/default/files/publications/health/hscims-life-expectancy-decomposition-2017.pdf

That's you sorted then!

Looked at my area and I've another (on average) 33 years! But if/when Brexit hits I won't get another 10!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2017, 11:29:01 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 20, 2017, 07:58:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2017, 07:37:41 PM
Same life expectancy for the south, which had no Brexit

Brexit hasn't the effect yet.
Life expectancy in the south is one year longer for both men and women than in the occupied territories, and is slightly longer for woman than in England.

https://www.health-ni.gov.uk/sites/default/files/publications/health/hscims-life-expectancy-decomposition-2017.pdf
20 years ago mortality in the South was 6% higher than in the occupied territories
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 21, 2017, 12:27:09 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

thats right, they slaughtered them and took their land, imagine if someone invaded and that happened in Ireland.

your gaelic society? are you looking forward to seeing the occupied 6 as the bastion of Gaelic culture, separated from the rest of the island, that sounds like a likely outcome...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:32:37 AM
Quote from: heganboy on November 21, 2017, 12:27:09 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

thats right, they slaughtered them and took their land, imagine if someone invaded and that happened in Ireland.

your gaelic society? are you looking forward to seeing the occupied 6 as the bastion of Gaelic culture, separated from the rest of the island, that sounds like a likely outcome...


Gaelic culture existed in Ulster long before there was a connection with the south, our Gaelic culture isn't dependent on southern influence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 21, 2017, 12:56:00 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Where do you think the feckin' Gaels came from?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on November 21, 2017, 07:05:32 AM
Bring on the border wall, far to many fitzys down there that will likely want us eating pasta and shite instead of our native gaelic potatoes
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: extra time on November 21, 2017, 07:09:22 AM
i hate garlic potatoes
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on November 21, 2017, 09:47:28 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Ive read some bullshit on this but this post is right up there with the best of it.

Hard to know where to start on it, so maybe just try to ignore it is for the best.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on November 21, 2017, 09:48:43 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2017, 09:47:28 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Ive read some bullshit on this but this post is right up there with the best of it.

Hard to know where to start on it, so maybe just try to ignore it is for the best.

Ignore it by commenting on it. :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 21, 2017, 09:56:23 AM
Cúchulainn rides again.....
Only problem was he was from modern day Louth.
As someone said I've read some nonsense here over the years but trentoneill take the biscuit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on November 21, 2017, 09:59:17 AM
Usual dung from Arlene or is she getting a bit concerned?

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/20/hmrc-bosses-have-few-plans-for-managing-northern-irish-border-after-brexit

The Democratic Unionist party has launched a scathing attack on Brussels and Dublin politicians accusing them of trying to use Northern Ireland to "blackmail" Brexit negotiators in London.

Arlene Foster, the party's leader, issued a strongly worded statement on Monday night, three days after Ireland's taoiseach warned that the country would block progress in Brexit talks unless the UK came up with proposals to avoid a hard border with Northern Ireland.

But Foster hit back, saying Brussels and Dublin were "wrecklessly (sic) trying to use Northern Ireland for their own objectives".

She acknowledged that external parties had a role in bringing peace to the region, where life was blighted by bloodshed during the 30 years of the Troubles, but said it was "downright careless" to suggest Brexit would bring a return to violence.

"The people of Northern Ireland delivered peace and stability," Foster said. "Yes, they were supported beyond these shores, but to suggest that exiting the EU will bring violence onto our streets is downright careless.

"Those in Dublin and Brussels, wrecklessly (sic) trying to use Northern Ireland for their own objectives, should cease. The prime minister should warn Brussels that Northern Ireland must not be used as blackmail."

She and her deputy Nigel Dodds will meet Theresa May on Tuesday to talk about Brexit and the restoration of power-sharing in the region, which has been without an assembly since January.

The DUP has opposed calls by Sinn Féin, Ireland and the EU for Northern Ireland to remain in the EU customs union and single market as a way of achieving an invisible border with Ireland.

The party's position could amount to another roadblock in Brexit negotiations. Its view will be of critical importance to any new Brexit proposals by May on Northern Ireland, as it is propping up the Tory minority government after striking a £1bn confidence supply deal after the general election.

Meanwhile, MPs were told on Monday that senior civil servants had few contingency plans for managing the Northern Irish border after Brexit because of a political stalemate between London and Dublin.

Mandarins questioned about preparations for the UK's borders by the public accounts committee said they could not draw up scenarios until ministers have moved forward.

Appearing before the parliamentary spending watchdog on Monday, HMRC officials were asked how they would monitor the movement of goods and services at 300 crossing points along the border.

Karen Wheeler, HMRC's director general, said: "That area is not within the scope that we have been working on in the border planning group because the arrangements on Ireland are still subject to negotiations and ministerial discussions."

Jon Thompson, HMRC's chief executive, added: "We need the process to go a bit further forward before we can fully understand it."

Meg Hillier, the committee chair, asked when they would be able to draw up different scenarios when there was such a "fuzzy plan" around the border.

Thompson said that the government wanted no additional infrastructure or a hard border in Northern Ireland, but added: "We are unable to go any further on that because of the political process."

Clare Moriarty, Defra's permanent secretary, reinforced Thompson's assessment, adding that government officials could not pre-empt any deal.

Despite British assertions that there will be no hard border, Dublin has criticised the UK's position, saying that position is hard to guarantee when the UK is leaving the customs union and the single market. Dublin also doubts a two-year transitional deal for business to adjust to Brexit is long enough.

MPs on the committee grew exasperated with what appeared to be a lack of planning from government departments for future border arrangements.

Conservative member Geoffrey Clifton-Brown asked Wheeler why her department had few additional contingency plans for delays at "roll on, roll off" ports such as Dover, when additional two-minute delays could quickly lead to 17-mile tail backs.

Wheeler said the department was working on the assumption that the UK would not be introducing that type of delay. Clifton-Brown replied that they may have to introduce additional lorry parks: "You may not be able to avoid it ... Isn't this something you need to address now?"

Sir Amyas Morse, the head of the National Audit Office, asked how long HMRC would have to rely upon such an assumption before finding the capacity to introduce contingency measures.

Wheeler replied: "I don't have an answer for how long that situation will last for because there will be a number of things that will have to happen."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 21, 2017, 10:02:16 AM
Good oul DUPUDA still struggling with the 21st Century
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on November 21, 2017, 11:21:09 AM
Reports this morning that the Brits have agreed to pay the EU €40 million as part of the divorce deal.  I wonder will the DUP vote in favour of that??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on November 21, 2017, 11:49:58 AM
The prime minister should warn Brussels that

Aye good woman Arlene, cos the British threats/warnings/pleas have got them diddly squat from Brussels so far.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 21, 2017, 12:05:24 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 21, 2017, 11:21:09 AM
Reports this morning that the Brits have agreed to pay the EU €40 million as part of the divorce deal.  I wonder will the DUP vote in favour of that??

I would have thought so. They may subscribe to the Brexiteer theory that it is all about money and that the EU isn't serious about the Irish border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 21, 2017, 12:22:55 PM
Two big European Agencies gone out of London as well . . . but David Davis said this wouldn't happen??!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2017, 01:03:41 PM
I think areas with 2 communities with a history of bloodshed are more likely to go postal during an economic crisis. Cyprus and Lebanon blew up in the 70's.  When money is flúirseach grievances can be bought off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 21, 2017, 01:37:40 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 21, 2017, 12:22:55 PM
Two big European Agencies gone out of London as well . . . but David Davis said this wouldn't happen??!!
When you're in Cloudcuckooland anything is possible.
Good to see we've hit the 200  page mark😁
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2017, 01:43:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 21, 2017, 01:03:41 PM
I think areas with 2 communities with a history of bloodshed are more likely to go postal during an economic crisis. Cyprus and Lebanon blew up in the 70's.  When money is flúirseach grievances can be bought off.

Be like Mad Max, proper bloodshed... stealing oil from next door, food parcels (oh wait thats Limerick) rations!! Be a mad exodus to Louth
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2017, 02:13:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2017, 01:43:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 21, 2017, 01:03:41 PM
I think areas with 2 communities with a history of bloodshed are more likely to go postal during an economic crisis. Cyprus and Lebanon blew up in the 70's.  When money is flúirseach grievances can be bought off.

Be like Mad Max, proper bloodshed... stealing oil from next door, food parcels (oh wait thats Limerick) rations!! Be a mad exodus to Louth
the Protestants in Louth are rational
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on November 21, 2017, 02:27:54 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 21, 2017, 12:22:55 PM
Two big European Agencies gone out of London as well . . . but David Davis said this wouldn't happen??!!

What makes this farce even more hilarious (From the Guardian)

The Department for Exiting the European Union had claimed the future of the agencies would be subject to the Brexit negotiations, a claim that caused disbelief in Brussels.

Speaking before the vote on Monday, the EU's chief negotiator on Brexit, Michel Barnier, said "ardent advocates of Brexit" had contradicted themselves on EU rules.

"Brexit means Brexit," he said, turning Theresa May's line back on her. "The same people who argue for setting the UK free also argue that the UK should remain in some EU agencies. But freedom implies responsibility for building new UK administrative capacity," he told a Brussels conference hosted by the Centre for European Reform.


So if I'm reading this right the Tories reckon that the 1'000 odd people employed in these two EU agencies should continue to be employed in the UK (or at least a bargaining chip) even though the UK wants to leave the organisation??? I have seen some ridiculous stances taken in my time but the UK seem to be basing their strategy on the Boris Johnston book of Negotiating i.e. talk rubbish at the start to get some decent press for the masses, then contradict yourself while the other party basically ignores you until you come to a sensible starting point?

The more specific details that start to get publicized rather than just rhetoric and ideology, the clearer it is that the UK "negotiators" are seriously out of their depth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 21, 2017, 03:42:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2017, 01:43:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 21, 2017, 01:03:41 PM
I think areas with 2 communities with a history of bloodshed are more likely to go postal during an economic crisis. Cyprus and Lebanon blew up in the 70's.  When money is flúirseach grievances can be bought off.

Be like Mad Max, proper bloodshed... stealing oil from next door, food parcels (oh wait thats Limerick) rations!! Be a mad exodus to Louth

I'm glad you find it funny, living where you do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on November 21, 2017, 03:51:09 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2017, 01:43:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 21, 2017, 01:03:41 PM
I think areas with 2 communities with a history of bloodshed are more likely to go postal during an economic crisis. Cyprus and Lebanon blew up in the 70's.  When money is flúirseach grievances can be bought off.

Be like Mad Max, proper bloodshed... stealing oil from next door, food parcels (oh wait thats Limerick) rations!! Be a mad exodus to Louth

Almac are already there, nothing to do with Brexit mind  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2017, 04:07:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 21, 2017, 03:42:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2017, 01:43:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 21, 2017, 01:03:41 PM
I think areas with 2 communities with a history of bloodshed are more likely to go postal during an economic crisis. Cyprus and Lebanon blew up in the 70's.  When money is flúirseach grievances can be bought off.

Be like Mad Max, proper bloodshed... stealing oil from next door, food parcels (oh wait thats Limerick) rations!! Be a mad exodus to Louth

I'm glad you find it funny, living where you do.

Funny? I didnt realise you had to find it funny where you live! Happy? yes! funny
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:49:07 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 21, 2017, 12:56:00 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Where do you think the feckin' Gaels came from?

Modern Antrim but I don't see your point? I am just saying that different cultural groups don't integrate into a society.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:50:30 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2017, 09:47:28 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Ive read some bullshit on this but this post is right up there with the best of it.

Hard to know where to start on it, so maybe just try to ignore it is for the best.

Well I'd rather be abused on here than have my relatives in 200 years with Slovakian surnames.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:51:11 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 21, 2017, 09:56:23 AM
Cúchulainn rides again.....
Only problem was he was from modern day Louth.
As someone said I've read some nonsense here over the years but trentoneill take the biscuit.

A fictional character, going off topic a wee bit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 21, 2017, 09:06:56 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:51:11 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 21, 2017, 09:56:23 AM
Cúchulainn rides again.....
Only problem was he was from modern day Louth.
As someone said I've read some nonsense here over the years but trentoneill take the biscuit.

A fictional character, going off topic a wee bit.

Are you aware that...

Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:50:30 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2017, 09:47:28 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Ive read some bullshit on this but this post is right up there with the best of it.

Hard to know where to start on it, so maybe just try to ignore it is for the best.

Well I'd rather be abused on here than have my relatives in 200 years with Slovakian surnames.


... it is possible...

Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:49:07 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 21, 2017, 12:56:00 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Where do you think the feckin' Gaels came from?

Modern Antrim but I don't see your point? I am just saying that different cultural groups don't integrate into a society.


... to quote more than other other post at a time?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 09:19:45 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on November 21, 2017, 09:06:56 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:51:11 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 21, 2017, 09:56:23 AM
Cúchulainn rides again.....
Only problem was he was from modern day Louth.
As someone said I've read some nonsense here over the years but trentoneill take the biscuit.

A fictional character, going off topic a wee bit.

Are you aware that...

Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:50:30 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2017, 09:47:28 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Ive read some bullshit on this but this post is right up there with the best of it.

Hard to know where to start on it, so maybe just try to ignore it is for the best.

Well I'd rather be abused on here than have my relatives in 200 years with Slovakian surnames.


... it is possible...

Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 08:49:07 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 21, 2017, 12:56:00 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 21, 2017, 12:16:22 AM
I voted to leave the EU as I have no connection to Europe, I don't view myself as European and I believe the ever increasing European population in my region is more harmful to our heritage than a big wall on the border would be.
At the end of the day Europeans don't integrate into our Gaelic society, they are right not to as that's the way people work, the Irish in USA didn't integrate into English American society, the Gaels in Scotland didn't become Picts and lose their Gaelic culture, the Europeans in Australia didn't take up Aboriginal culture.

Where do you think the feckin' Gaels came from?

Modern Antrim but I don't see your point? I am just saying that different cultural groups don't integrate into a society.


... to quote more than other other post at a time?


We can't all be as tech savvy as the East Ulster men.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 21, 2017, 10:23:14 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 21, 2017, 09:56:23 AM
Cúchulainn rides again.....
Only problem was he was from modern day Louth.
As someone said I've read some nonsense here over the years but trentoneill take the biscuit.

Cúchulainn was from Meath, and lived in Armagh. He only stopped in Louth to fight men and ride women.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 22, 2017, 01:31:06 AM
Motto of Dundalk -
Mé  do  rug Cúchulainn Cróga
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on November 22, 2017, 09:05:39 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/

Tony Connolly is the best source of accurate analysis on Brexit- it takes a Nordie to produce clarity on this complex issue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on November 22, 2017, 11:16:22 PM
Lads its all about the sound bites with the DUP at the minute. If you say the same thing over and over again eventually people will take it in as gospel. Look at brexit, the DUP/Tories keep saying there will be no physical border whilst every sane man/woman on the street knows there will be, but they will keep saying it as it will stop people from mobilising any real counter action to it. Then when the customs checkpoints go up the talk will be that this is only a temporary measure until a final non physical solution is found but we know that is never going to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 22, 2017, 11:40:10 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on November 22, 2017, 09:05:39 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/

Tony Connolly is the best source of accurate analysis on Brexit- it takes a Nordie to produce clarity on this complex issue.
I suppose there is the odd Nordie who can put a pen to paper and elicit an intelligent and astute article which cuts to the core of the dilemma of the brexit in relation to the border and inform the rest of us. However, for the most part, Nordies are highly strung and best avoided as a source of rationality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 23, 2017, 07:39:05 AM
Quote from: Main Street on November 22, 2017, 11:40:10 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on November 22, 2017, 09:05:39 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/

Tony Connolly is the best source of accurate analysis on Brexit- it takes a Nordie to produce clarity on this complex issue.
I suppose there is the odd Nordie who can put a pen to paper and elicit an intelligent and astute article which cuts to the core of the dilemma of the brexit in relation to the border and inform the rest of us. However, for the most part, Nordies are highly strung and best avoided as a source of rationality.

Rascist much?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on November 23, 2017, 08:19:03 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 23, 2017, 07:39:05 AM
Quote from: Main Street on November 22, 2017, 11:40:10 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on November 22, 2017, 09:05:39 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/

Tony Connolly is the best source of accurate analysis on Brexit- it takes a Nordie to produce clarity on this complex issue.
I suppose there is the odd Nordie who can put a pen to paper and elicit an intelligent and astute article which cuts to the core of the dilemma of the brexit in relation to the border and inform the rest of us. However, for the most part, Nordies are highly strung and best avoided as a source of rationality.

Rascist much?

Would be if Northern Irish was either a nationality or a race.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 23, 2017, 10:29:59 AM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on November 22, 2017, 09:05:39 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/

Tony Connolly is the best source of accurate analysis on Brexit- it takes a Nordie to produce clarity on this complex issue.
He is very good but David Allen Green in the FT is too. The Daily Telegraph is the best source of nonsense on Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: paddyjohn on November 23, 2017, 10:51:03 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 23, 2017, 07:39:05 AM
Quote from: Main Street on November 22, 2017, 11:40:10 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on November 22, 2017, 09:05:39 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1117/920981-long-read-brexit/

Tony Connolly is the best source of accurate analysis on Brexit- it takes a Nordie to produce clarity on this complex issue.
I suppose there is the odd Nordie who can put a pen to paper and elicit an intelligent and astute article which cuts to the core of the dilemma of the brexit in relation to the border and inform the rest of us. However, for the most part, Nordies are highly strung and best avoided as a source of rationality.

Rascist much?

Not racist, just a complete t!t.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on November 23, 2017, 07:35:03 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/nov/23/brexiters-ireland-dublin-border-eu-britain

Good article from a non-Nordie
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 24, 2017, 01:09:47 PM
Downing St wobbling a bit, before Arlene told them to stop, no doubt.
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/brexit-northern-ireland-customs-union_uk_5a180588e4b064948073cf70
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 24, 2017, 01:52:40 PM
Arlene said this morning that she/unionists would not allow anything makes NI less british than the rest of the UK. She knows rightly that it is different. We have a:

- North/South Ministerial Council
- all-Ireland tourism
- Shared electricity
- all-ireland sports bodies for rugby, cricket, gaelic
- native Irish tongue

Please add others.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 24, 2017, 01:58:16 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 24, 2017, 01:52:40 PM
Arlene said this morning that she/unionists would not allow anything makes NI less british than the rest of the UK. She knows rightly that it is different. We have a:

- North/South Ministerial Council
- all-Ireland tourism
- Shared electricity
- all-ireland sports bodies for rugby, cricket, gaelic
- native Irish tongue

Please add others.

NI by construct is not British, don't have a clue why Michelle O'Neill was at the Tory party conference in Manchester but she had plenty of chance to remind Arlene on stage in front of her Tory overlords and in front of the assembled media and blew it. Irritating to say the least.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 24, 2017, 02:16:43 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 24, 2017, 01:52:40 PM
Arlene said this morning that she/unionists would not allow anything makes NI less british than the rest of the UK. She knows rightly that it is different. We have a:

- North/South Ministerial Council
- all-Ireland tourism
- Shared electricity
- all-ireland sports bodies for rugby, cricket, gaelic
- native Irish tongue

Please add others.

Has Arlene been to Bradford? Pratically India/Pakistan
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on November 24, 2017, 02:32:16 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 24, 2017, 01:52:40 PM
Arlene said this morning that she/unionists would not allow anything makes NI less british than the rest of the UK. She knows rightly that it is different. We have a:

- North/South Ministerial Council
- all-Ireland tourism
- Shared electricity
- all-ireland sports bodies for rugby, cricket, gaelic
- native Irish tongue

Please add others.

Same sex marriage for one. Arlene is happy to take a different stance on that one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on November 24, 2017, 02:36:32 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 24, 2017, 01:52:40 PM
Arlene said this morning that she/unionists would not allow anything makes NI less british than the rest of the UK. She knows rightly that it is different. We have a:

- North/South Ministerial Council
- all-Ireland tourism
- Shared electricity
- all-ireland sports bodies for rugby, cricket, gaelic
- native Irish tongue

Please add others.

A society where tyre and pallet burning is considered a culture
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on November 24, 2017, 02:46:49 PM
Quote from: AQMP on November 24, 2017, 02:36:32 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 24, 2017, 01:52:40 PM
Arlene said this morning that she/unionists would not allow anything makes NI less british than the rest of the UK. She knows rightly that it is different. We have a:

- North/South Ministerial Council
- all-Ireland tourism
- Shared electricity
- all-ireland sports bodies for rugby, cricket, gaelic
- native Irish tongue

Please add others.

A society where tyre and pallet burning is considered a culture

Nothing to be a county final win by a small club .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on November 24, 2017, 07:25:29 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 24, 2017, 01:52:40 PM
Arlene said this morning that she/unionists would not allow anything makes NI less british than the rest of the UK. She knows rightly that it is different. We have a:

- North/South Ministerial Council
- all-Ireland tourism
- Shared electricity
- all-ireland sports bodies for rugby, cricket, gaelic
- native Irish tongue

Please add others.
Orior, this list could on and on.
It's so obvious that it's probably not worth wasting any more time on- your list is a fraction of the reasons NI is less British than the rest of the UK. In turn,we Gaels must acknowledge the British tradition and culture, particularly in the six counties, but throughout the island. However, of much more concern at present is the possibility of an election in the 26 counties before Christmas so for once I agree with Arlene that this would be a distraction. Not for the talks process in NI but for Brexit talks.
While I don't have a lot of time for Varadkar and Coveney, they have shown a bit of resolve in the Brexit negotiations and I particularly like the Taoiseach's determination to get a result for the whole island. I don't have confidence in Micheal Martin. As the next few weeks will be critical in the negotiations so FFS FF and FG , come to some arrangement over the Tánaiste's position to avoid an election.
What we all need is for NI to remain in the single market and in the Customs Unions, or at least some arrangement close to this. This will be essential for the future prosperity of our children, North and South. Arlene is saying no based purely on an anti-Irish viewpoint. She currently has the power to keep a useless Tory government in power yet the equally useless UK Labour executive are as silent as the grave on this issue. There are no nationalist MPs in Westminster to influence the debate. The Tories need to keep Arlene sweet so are happy to sell NI up the river to retain her support. Meanwhile there is the risk of no Irish government to maintain the impressive EU resolve to sort the Irish situation. Brigid Laffin's article highlights this- a perfect storm.
If I was totally paranoid I would wonder if British securacrats revealed the email to Frances Fitzgerald at the most opportune time to distract the 'opposition' - and FF have fallen for it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on November 24, 2017, 08:17:45 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1124/922660-connelly-talks-analysis/

This was written after my post but sums it up more eloquently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on November 24, 2017, 11:23:44 PM
Varadkar/Coveney seem to be doing a good job on the Brexit negotiations in terms of putting the pressure on the brits re the border. Despite its importance, it probably wouldn't count for much in an election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 24, 2017, 11:31:33 PM
Excellent post Dubh driocht.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 24, 2017, 11:33:36 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on November 24, 2017, 11:23:44 PM
Varadkar/Coveney seem to be doing a good job on the Brexit negotiations in terms of putting the pressure on the brits re the border. Despite its importance, it probably wouldn't count for much in an election

You'd have to wonder if the Uber republicans in Sinn Fein and Fianna Fáil are getting worried with the pressure the Fine Gaelers have put the Brits under, even antagonizing the Tory rag The Sun. Before we know it, the border will have moved to the Irish Sea. Last thing the country needed was an unstable govt going into the December talks. Last thing SF and FF need is Blueshirts being the saviours.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 24, 2017, 11:37:40 PM
Be some treason if the SFs and FFs fcuk the Country up for some short term irrelevant success in dumping some unimportant Minister. :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 25, 2017, 12:17:32 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 24, 2017, 11:37:40 PM
Be some treason if the SFs and FFs fcuk the Country up for some short term irrelevant success in dumping some unimportant Minister. :o

Why didn't she resign?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 25, 2017, 01:49:13 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 25, 2017, 12:17:32 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 24, 2017, 11:37:40 PM
Be some treason if the SFs and FFs fcuk the Country up for some short term irrelevant success in dumping some unimportant Minister. :o

Why didn't she resign?

She asked Arlene for advice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 25, 2017, 11:59:18 AM
Irish politicians of all hues and areas don't do resignations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on November 25, 2017, 02:08:17 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 24, 2017, 11:37:40 PM
Be some treason if the SFs and FFs fcuk the Country up for some short term irrelevant success in dumping some unimportant Minister. :o

And do you think Spring Howlin and co acted in the national interest when taking out Albert Reynolds at the time of the first ceasefire?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 25, 2017, 03:03:00 PM
No.
And that was 23 years ago so I don't see the relevance of the question.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2017, 06:25:14 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/19/hard-brexit-highly-damaging-says-former-top-civil-servant-martin-donnelly

There is no trade deal on offer from the European Union that will stop Britain taking a major economic hit after Brexit, the government's former top trade official has warned.

In a direct warning to MPs, Sir Martin Donnelly, the chief civil servant in Liam Fox's Department for International Trade until earlier this year, states that leaving the single market in favour of negotiating a long-winded, Canada-style trade deal will "damage UK competitiveness and leave us with less investment, lower living standards and long queues at the border".

Donnelly, who left the trade department earlier this year and who has extensive experience working in Brussels, writes in theObserver that there is no credible free trade deal on offer "able to deliver the guaranteed market access, shared regulation and consumer protection that Britain needs".

"Vote to leave the single market if you must. But do it with your eyes open," he tells MPs. "Wishful thinking does not create well-paid jobs, pay taxes or fund public services."

He warns that leaving the EU's legal structures will leave Britain "more protected, more regulated and poorer".

 We shouldn't even be contemplating leaving the single market

Martin Donnelly

 

Read more

His intervention comes days after a leaked European commission document suggested that Britain would not be offered a bespoke trade deal granting access to the single market for goods and services. It also comes with the government fighting to contain a Brexit crisis on several fronts: it could face a Commons defeat as early as Tuesday over a rebel attempt to ensure that the EU's Charter of Fundamental Rights continues to have effect after Brexit.


 https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/25/phil-hogan-ireland-eu-commissioner-brexit-chaos

The Irish government wants a written guarantee that there will be no hard border with Northern Ireland, something Dublin believes can only be achieved, in effect, by keeping the region within the single market and customs union. However, the Democratic Unionist party, whose support is propping up May's government, warned on Saturday it would never accept a post-Brexit deal that would effectively see a customs border pushed back to the Irish Sea. May has repeatedly made clear Britain will leave the single market and customs union.

The Irish crisis came as Britain's former EU ambassador, Sir Ivan Rogers, warned May's Brexit strategy was "an accident waiting to happen". Speaking after a speech at Hertford College, Oxford, he said completing the Brexit process was "guaranteed" to take a decade. He said that the prime minister's unrealistic hopes of securing a bespoke trade deal meant a car crash in the next few months was "quite likely
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on November 26, 2017, 03:54:56 PM
Seafoid, you're bang on the money.
I see UK Labour is waking up- Alistair Campbell is excellent in Irish Times yesterday and John McDonnell spot on today;
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42129759
If anyone has any friends in the UK Labour party, now is the time to act.
If anyone has any friends in SF now is not the time for a general election in the 26 counties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2017, 04:28:30 PM
Good thing here from the ft comments


"With Brexit, the whole country might implode within about nine months. This is why the Tories are behaving like a besieged rat colony: they actually have to doing something and are being confronted with the novelty of immediate consequences. It's stating the obvious, but the conflict in negotiations is not a clash of national temperaments, but the atmosphere created when gung-ho carpetbaggers come up against patrician bureaucrats.
"
Unionism s backing the wrong horse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 26, 2017, 05:19:29 PM
Have they ever backed the right horse?

Any government that's had to go through a change like this will always loose out, how they have stayed on this time regardless of the DUP helping them is embarrassing! The smartest thing for the torrid to have happened was to lose and let the Labour Party take the blame once it explodes...

Be interesting on the 4th if that's the actual deadline or like here have the everlasting deadline day
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2017, 08:52:21 PM
What does the Fox say?

Border agreed only after trade is agreed.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/26/liam-fox-northern-ireland-border-eu-trade-deal-uk-brexit

The Eurosceptics are suicidal. People like Fox do not want a deal. They are happy to pauperise the UK. So are the DUP
Hammond thinks Fox is a fantasist

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jofNR_WkoCE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2017, 09:54:11 PM
From the Guardian link above

"Speaking after her party's annual conference this weekend, Foster accused Hogan of engaging in "megaphone diplomacy" over his remarks. She said that any move to give Northern Ireland 'special status' and for the region to stay in the customs union would be against the principle of consent enshrined in the 1998 Good Friday agreement.
The DUP leader said this would lead to a redrawing of the border. "Every business I speak to does not want a border down the middle of the Irish Sea. The UK is our biggest market," Foster said."

She is a lightweight-  Brexit could contract the UK economy by 10%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:52:25 AM
The blame for Brexit and its consequences for Ireland lies fairly and squarely with Dublin,who willingly consented to the removal of Articles 2 and 3 from its constitution,thus formally ceding the North to Britain.

As it agreed that Britain owns the North it can hardly complain if they decide to pull the North out of the EU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 07:54:57 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:52:25 AM
The blame for Brexit and its consequences for Ireland lies fairly and squarely with Dublin,who willingly consented to the removal of Articles 2 and 3 from its constitution,thus formally ceding the North to Britain.

As it agreed that Britain owns the North it can hardly complain if they decide to pull the North out of the EU

Moron.

You complain incessantly that the Dublin government  have no interest in the people in the North . They have secured the backing of the EU 26 to keep the occupied territories in the single market and customs union, thus protecting jobs up there.

This crisis is the fault of the DUP.  They are as deluded as you are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 09:45:28 AM
The Daily Telegraph is insane. It is rabidly pro Brexit. 
Yesterday Juliet somebody had an article asking why Ireland would want to make a fuss aboout the border over a few milk churns.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 10:14:14 AM
Seafoid,the South is only concerned with it's economic well being hence its (belated) interest in the Border.While in Dublin last Tuesday I heard Vincent Browne on radio quite rightly say that for decades neither the government or people in the South gave a damn about the plight of Northern Nationalists.

The fact remains the Dublin govt enthusiastically urged the southern electorate to abandon Articles 2 and 3 thus effectively agreeing that the North is British.It cannot now complain about anything the British do in the North,as they agreed that the British should govern it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on November 27, 2017, 10:43:27 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 10:14:14 AM
Seafoid,the South is only concerned with it's economic well being hence its (belated) interest in the Border.While in Dublin last Tuesday I heard Vincent Browne on radio quite rightly say that for decades neither the government or people in the South gave a damn about the plight of Northern Nationalists.

The fact remains the Dublin govt enthusiastically urged the southern electorate to abandon Articles 2 and 3 thus effectively agreeing that the North is British.It cannot now complain about anything the British do in the North,as they agreed that the British should govern it.

Tony

The two main parties for northern nationalists urged northern nationalists to abandon Articles 2 & 3 in 1998 .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 27, 2017, 11:23:06 AM
And if the old Articles 2 and 3 were still there what -exactly would happen or what difference would it make?
Anyway the GFA states that the 6 Cos remain under Westminster jurisdiction till a majority of their voters decide otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 12:25:21 PM
The reality is that all nationalist parties and the Dublin Govt advocated a yes vote in the GFA,and the removal of Articles 2 and 3 were an intrinsic part of this,requiring approval of the electorate in the South via a referendum.

This legitimised British Rule in the North,gave consent to such,therefore no one can complain if the British drags the North out of the EU after consenting that the British should rule the North
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 27, 2017, 12:31:51 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 12:25:21 PM
The reality is that all nationalist parties and the Dublin Govt advocated a yes vote in the GFA,and the removal of Articles 2 and 3 were an intrinsic part of this,requiring approval of the electorate in the South via a referendum.

This legitimised British Rule in the North,gave consent to such,therefore no one can complain if the British drags the North out of the EU after consenting that the British should rule the North

The GFA establish the principle of the British remaining in NI until a majority there wanted them to leave. But it is also provided certain parameters as to how they should run the place in the meantime which is why Varadkar has now called them out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 12:53:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 27, 2017, 12:31:51 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 12:25:21 PM
The reality is that all nationalist parties and the Dublin Govt advocated a yes vote in the GFA,and the removal of Articles 2 and 3 were an intrinsic part of this,requiring approval of the electorate in the South via a referendum.

This legitimised British Rule in the North,gave consent to such,therefore no one can complain if the British drags the North out of the EU after consenting that the British should rule the North

The GFA establish the principle of the British remaining in NI until a majority there wanted them to leave. But it is also provided certain parameters as to how they should run the place in the meantime which is why Varadkar has now called them out.
The GFA was based on the assumption that the 32 counties and GB would both be in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 12:54:57 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 10:14:14 AM
Seafoid,the South is only concerned with it's economic well being hence its (belated) interest in the Border.While in Dublin last Tuesday I heard Vincent Browne on radio quite rightly say that for decades neither the government or people in the South gave a damn about the plight of Northern Nationalists.

The fact remains the Dublin govt enthusiastically urged the southern electorate to abandon Articles 2 and 3 thus effectively agreeing that the North is British.It cannot now complain about anything the British do in the North,as they agreed that the British should govern it.
It is not only interested in itself. The passport is very clear. It applies to the whole island. People in NI are just as Irish as people in Limerick.

I think the war clouded things.  Nationalists were tagged with identities that did not reflect the reality. NI is a contested space. It was never as British as England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 27, 2017, 01:41:12 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 12:54:57 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 10:14:14 AM
Seafoid,the South is only concerned with it's economic well being hence its (belated) interest in the Border.While in Dublin last Tuesday I heard Vincent Browne on radio quite rightly say that for decades neither the government or people in the South gave a damn about the plight of Northern Nationalists.

The fact remains the Dublin govt enthusiastically urged the southern electorate to abandon Articles 2 and 3 thus effectively agreeing that the North is British.It cannot now complain about anything the British do in the North,as they agreed that the British should govern it.
It is not only interested in itself. The passport is very clear. It applies to the whole island. People in NI are just as Irish as people in Limerick.

I think the war clouded things.  Nationalists were tagged with identities that did not reflect the reality. NI is a contested space. It was never as British as England.

As Britain is the union between Scotland England and Wales then by extension no part of Ireland has ever been British. Fancy that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 01:44:26 PM
When the NI statelet was set up,with significant Southern consent even then it was based on the constitutional preference of the majority.A border referendum was held in the early 1970s in the North,therefore the principal and reality of constitutional change by majority consent was in place long before the GFA.

Assumptions are foolhardy.As an old boss of mine stated frequently "Assume" makes an ass out of "u" and "me".

There is no way of avoiding the fact that the GFA represented formal nationalist consent of the British entitlement to govern the North.Now there can be no complaints about the British taking the North out of the EU,as this and anything else the Brits legally want to do with the North was fully consented to back in 1998.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 27, 2017, 01:50:19 PM
I'm afraid there will be from thee a new border.

What are the sticking points?  I think britain want their cake and eat it?  For leaving the EU, why do they have  to pay?  Has any one done a cost/benifit analysis?  How much do they pay in and how much do they get back in subsidies?

The mantra from the brexit side seeems to be always, at least now we'll be making our own laws.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on November 27, 2017, 01:59:20 PM
Quote from: tiempo on November 27, 2017, 01:41:12 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 12:54:57 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 10:14:14 AM
Seafoid,the South is only concerned with it's economic well being hence its (belated) interest in the Border.While in Dublin last Tuesday I heard Vincent Browne on radio quite rightly say that for decades neither the government or people in the South gave a damn about the plight of Northern Nationalists.

The fact remains the Dublin govt enthusiastically urged the southern electorate to abandon Articles 2 and 3 thus effectively agreeing that the North is British.It cannot now complain about anything the British do in the North,as they agreed that the British should govern it.
It is not only interested in itself. The passport is very clear. It applies to the whole island. People in NI are just as Irish as people in Limerick.

I think the war clouded things.  Nationalists were tagged with identities that did not reflect the reality. NI is a contested space. It was never as British as England.

As Britain is the union between Scotland England and Wales then by extension no part of Ireland has ever been British. Fancy that.
It is one of the British Isles.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 02:04:16 PM
Has the Freestate completed a cost/benefit analysis? I understand it will shortly be,if not already a net contributor? Is membership worth it in return for a border in Ireland,mass immigration adding to housing and public service crises,tariffs on trade to the UK,ceding  more and more sovereignty to Europe?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 27, 2017, 02:12:53 PM
The little Englanders now blaming Ireland for halting the Brexit train is predictable. Inward looking imperialism and an air of supremacy still lurks under the surface with many UK nationalists. Darn those pesky little Paddys for trying to protect its own people.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 02:20:54 PM
Nah more likely they don't give a damn,similar to the Freestate as regards the North for nearly a hundred years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 27, 2017, 02:25:53 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on November 27, 2017, 01:59:20 PM
Quote from: tiempo on November 27, 2017, 01:41:12 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 12:54:57 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 10:14:14 AM
Seafoid,the South is only concerned with it's economic well being hence its (belated) interest in the Border.While in Dublin last Tuesday I heard Vincent Browne on radio quite rightly say that for decades neither the government or people in the South gave a damn about the plight of Northern Nationalists.

The fact remains the Dublin govt enthusiastically urged the southern electorate to abandon Articles 2 and 3 thus effectively agreeing that the North is British.It cannot now complain about anything the British do in the North,as they agreed that the British should govern it.
It is not only interested in itself. The passport is very clear. It applies to the whole island. People in NI are just as Irish as people in Limerick.

I think the war clouded things.  Nationalists were tagged with identities that did not reflect the reality. NI is a contested space. It was never as British as England.

As Britain is the union between Scotland England and Wales then by extension no part of Ireland has ever been British. Fancy that.
It is one of the British Isles.

British Isles as in the Isles of Scotland England and Wales. Still no mention of Ireland being part of Britain. Fancy that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on November 27, 2017, 02:41:25 PM
Kate hoey reckons the Irish will have to pay for border controls. Like what the f**k is that bigoted prat doing in the labour party she would make big Jim and the TUV blush with her regular garbage on NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 03:10:50 PM
Brexit may never happen. Minimum 10 years and neoliberalism will die in the meantime


https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/25/phil-hogan-ireland-eu-commissioner-brexit-chaos

The Irish government wants a written guarantee that there will be no hard border with Northern Ireland, something Dublin believes can only be achieved, in effect, by keeping the region within the single market and customs union. However, the Democratic Unionist party, whose support is propping up May's government, warned on Saturday it would never accept a post-Brexit deal that would effectively see a customs border pushed back to the Irish Sea. May has repeatedly made clear Britain will leave the single market and customs union.

The Irish crisis came as Britain's former EU ambassador, Sir Ivan Rogers, warned May's Brexit strategy was "an accident waiting to happen". Speaking after a speech at Hertford College, Oxford, he said completing the Brexit process was "guaranteed" to take a decade. He said that the prime minister's unrealistic hopes of securing a bespoke trade deal meant a car crash in the next few months was "quite likely

". The internal market is an extraordinarily complex international law construct that simply doesn't work in a way that permits the type of options that the current government is pushing for," he said. "So there is an accident waiting to happen ... and it is going to happen because the other side is going to put on a table a deal which looks broadly like a Canada or a Korea deal.

The only safe way to leave without enormous turbulence and trouble over a lengthy transitional period is to have a reasonable slope ... take your time and try and go for as smooth a glide path as possible from here to the mid-2020s. I can guarantee you that this is going to take a decade to do. We will not have reached a new equilibrium in British economics and politics until 2030."

Hogan warned Britain may struggle to keep the 59 trade deals it now has through the EU on the same terms. "The UK would be running to stand still," he said. "When it comes to trying to negotiate new FTAs with the rest of the world, Britain will be pushed around the way the EU – with currently more than eight times the UK population – will never be.

"The US have already started their attack on standards, so chlorine chicken and hormone beef for the British Sunday
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 27, 2017, 03:50:01 PM
Foster has some neck on her stating that NI does not want to remain in the customs union. Did she miss the bit where 56% voted remain? She claims to speak for NI and Unionism not bad for a party with a minority share of the vote. Claiming at the conference on Saturday that NI was exclusively British must have delighted Gerry Adams.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on November 27, 2017, 04:12:57 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on November 27, 2017, 02:41:25 PM
Kate hoey reckons the Irish will have to pay for border controls. Like what the f**k is that bigoted prat doing in the labour party she would make big Jim and the TUV blush with her regular garbage on NI.

Pound shop Ukipper.  Represents a London constituency too!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:04:33 PM
Once again,Nationalist Ireland by willingly conceding the North to the UK in 1998 is primarily to blame for this fiasco.Did they think Blair would be PM forever? Eurosceptism is not an overnight phenomenon in Britain,it has been gaining momentum for at least three decades.

I can actually see where the DUP is coming from on this,apart from keeping the North in the Customs Union compromising their Britishness,it would also mean tariffs would be levied on Northern Goods to the UK which is were most of them go.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 27, 2017, 05:29:50 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 27, 2017, 03:50:01 PM
Foster has some neck on her stating that NI does not want to remain in the customs union. Did she miss the bit where 56% voted remain? She claims to speak for NI and Unionism not bad for a party with a minority share of the vote. Claiming at the conference on Saturday that NI was exclusively British must have delighted Gerry Adams.

She is the best propaganda tool that nationalists could wish for. A very arrogant woman who definitely did not attend charm school.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 27, 2017, 06:31:15 PM
Are you a member of the DUP Tony?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 07:08:54 PM
No.But I can put myself in their shoes and understand,if not agree where they're coming from.For instance,unionists define themselves as British.Do any of us understand that much less respect it? Is our attitude to their sense of Britishness not a mirror image of theirs towards our sense of Irishness?

Each tribe demands respect for itself but shows none for the other side
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 07:45:45 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 27, 2017, 05:29:50 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 27, 2017, 03:50:01 PM
Foster has some neck on her stating that NI does not want to remain in the customs union. Did she miss the bit where 56% voted remain? She claims to speak for NI and Unionism not bad for a party with a minority share of the vote. Claiming at the conference on Saturday that NI was exclusively British must have delighted Gerry Adams.

She is the best propaganda tool that nationalists could wish for. A very arrogant woman who definitely did not attend charm school.
She would be mediocre if things were stable but now she is useless. Unionism needs a visionary leader to survive.
Dropping the customs union will destroy Unionist businesses.
It will be very hard to attract jobs to NI .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2017, 07:54:31 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:04:33 PM
Once again,Nationalist Ireland by willingly conceding the North to the UK in 1998 is primarily to blame for this fiasco.Did they think Blair would be PM forever? Eurosceptism is not an overnight phenomenon in Britain,it has been gaining momentum for at least three decades.

I can actually see where the DUP is coming from on this,apart from keeping the North in the Customs Union compromising their Britishness,it would also mean tariffs would be levied on Northern Goods to the UK which is were most of them go.
How much would unionists pay for "Britishness" ? 3k per annum? They have not been shown the costs.

https://www.ft.com/content/d76a5602-c854-11e7-aa33-c63fdc9b8c6c

Britain is drifting towards disaster on Brexit — without a viable diplomatic, economic or political strategy to make a success of the venture. The central problem is that the British government is stuck between an implacable EU and an unrealistic Conservative party. The EU will not offer anything like the deal that Britain's Brexiters still dream of. But Theresa May's Conservative colleagues are still unprepared to accept this unpleasant reality. In this paralysing situation, it seems increasingly likely the UK government will simply be politically and technically incapable of delivering a negotiated Brexit. As a result, the likeliest outcome is that, late in the day — perhaps in January 2019 — the EU will present Britain with a "take it or leave it" deal.

The DUP leadership is clueless. Donaldson and Campbell and  Co ate great at dissing Taigs but when it comes to big decisions they do not have the balls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 27, 2017, 09:36:14 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 07:08:54 PM
No.But I can put myself in their shoes and understand,if not agree where they're coming from.For instance,unionists define themselves as British.Do any of us understand that much less respect it? Is our attitude to their sense of Britishness not a mirror image of theirs towards our sense of Irishness?

There is no symmetry here, we live in Ireland and so are Irish,  they are keeping a 17th century colonisation project going.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 28, 2017, 09:56:19 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:04:33 PM
Once again,Nationalist Ireland by willingly conceding the North to the UK in 1998 is primarily to blame for this fiasco.Did they think Blair would be PM forever? Eurosceptism is not an overnight phenomenon in Britain,it has been gaining momentum for at least three decades.

I can actually see where the DUP is coming from on this,apart from keeping the North in the Customs Union compromising their Britishness,it would also mean tariffs would be levied on Northern Goods to the UK which is were most of them go.
First Tony, Articles 2 and 3 were an irrelevence and unenforceable. They meant very little to nationalists other than reflecting an aspiration. Tom Kelly in yesterdays Irish News made the very valid point that the GFA is regarded by Unionists as a settlement, which it is not as Unity by consent is a major element of that agreement and in my view worth more than articles 2 and 3. Tom goes on to make the point which I have made that the middle ground in nationalism which would have voted no to unity has been pushed to yes by Brexit and the ongoing arrogance of the DUP and unionism.

Secondly staying in the customs union does not make any more difference to their Britishness than their position on LGBT rights or abortion which are at odds with the rest of the UK. It would not mean tariffs as NI would still be part of the UK common market. In fact on their Britishness a number of the "Mainland Reporters" commenting on their conference commented on how unlike a proper British Political party the DUP is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 28, 2017, 10:27:48 AM
I'm just thinking out loud here but is there not a case for the North to stay in the EEA and CU and still have no border with the South?

I know the DUP are posturing about "we are leaving like the rest of the UK" but surely this would be the ideal outcome for the North?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 28, 2017, 10:39:27 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 28, 2017, 10:27:48 AM
I'm just thinking out loud here but is there not a case for the North to stay in the EEA and CU and still have no border with the South?

I know the DUP are posturing about "we are leaving like the rest of the UK" but surely this would be the ideal outcome for the North?!

That's exactly the plan, but the problem is that if the Brits do their own thing then there is paperwork required (or even tariffs) to ship stuff to England. However, according to SluggeroToole there was a poll (taken before the recent stuff) which shows 64% agreed and 25% disagreed (with 11% undecided) with the idea of an open border and some controls on the Irish sea.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 28, 2017, 10:44:24 AM
Genuinely curious as to what do you think the whole debate has been about lately screen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 28, 2017, 10:58:17 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 28, 2017, 10:44:24 AM
Genuinely curious as to what do you think the whole debate has been about lately screen

I haven't seen anyone suggest this. . . it all seems to be one extreme or the other either there's a border between the North and South or a border between the island of Ireland and the UK. Maybe there has been talk of it but I haven't seen anyone of authority approach it as having no border between the North and South and a soft border between NI and the rest of the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 28, 2017, 11:10:35 AM
Ah - your post reads no border with the south, when I think you meant no border with Britain? (as wouldn't need a border with the south if still in EEA and CU).

I think the answer is that the brits know it isn't possible to have the frictionless border they promise for Ireland. So whereever there is a border, there will have to be controls. Its still easier for all concerned if it is the Irish sea, but DUP obv not happy with that and are in a decent position to have influence
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 28, 2017, 11:13:04 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 28, 2017, 10:58:17 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 28, 2017, 10:44:24 AM
Genuinely curious as to what do you think the whole debate has been about lately screen

I haven't seen anyone suggest this. . . it all seems to be one extreme or the other either there's a border between the North and South or a border between the island of Ireland and the UK. Maybe there has been talk of it but I haven't seen anyone of authority approach it as having no border between the North and South and a soft border between NI and the rest of the UK.

No border between the North and South and a soft border between all of Ireland and the rest of the UK is exactly the objective. GB remaining entirely in the single market is unlikely, things like agriculture will possibly be different at the end of the day. A hard border in the Irish sea would result from GB pursing the wilder fantasies of the Brexiteers, but there has to be some doubt about their ability to achieve this at this stage.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 28, 2017, 11:26:36 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:04:33 PM
Once again,Nationalist Ireland by willingly conceding the North to the UK in 1998 is primarily to blame for this fiasco.Did they think Blair would be PM forever? Eurosceptism is not an overnight phenomenon in Britain,it has been gaining momentum for at least three decades.


Not that long ago since Sinn Fein which represents the majority of nationalists in the six counties were Eurosceptics too. I suspect they still are at heart. The GF still recognises that everyone on island are Irish citizens. Even some Unionists are now appreciating that post Brexit. Unity only possible if a certain segment of Unionist vote with majority of nationalists. I think it's clear from a recent poll that a hard Brexit could make this possible even if the Unionist newspapers failed to report that aspect of the poll.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 28, 2017, 11:48:55 AM
Quote from: weareros on November 28, 2017, 11:26:36 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:04:33 PM
Once again,Nationalist Ireland by willingly conceding the North to the UK in 1998 is primarily to blame for this fiasco.Did they think Blair would be PM forever? Eurosceptism is not an overnight phenomenon in Britain,it has been gaining momentum for at least three decades.


Not that long ago since Sinn Fein which represents the majority of nationalists in the six counties were Eurosceptics too. I suspect they still are at heart. The GF still recognises that everyone on island are Irish citizens. Even some Unionists are now appreciating that post Brexit. Unity only possible if a certain segment of Unionist vote with majority of nationalists. I think it's clear from a recent poll that a hard Brexit could make this possible even if the Unionist newspapers failed to report that aspect of the poll.

It is notable that SF have played no part in the present debate, have put forward no ideas of any consequence. Their sheer immaturity makes them useless  in the present situation. The only saving grace is that they managed to oppose Brexit unlike the loonies in the People Against People.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 28, 2017, 12:08:45 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 28, 2017, 11:48:55 AM
Quote from: weareros on November 28, 2017, 11:26:36 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:04:33 PM
Once again,Nationalist Ireland by willingly conceding the North to the UK in 1998 is primarily to blame for this fiasco.Did they think Blair would be PM forever? Eurosceptism is not an overnight phenomenon in Britain,it has been gaining momentum for at least three decades.


Not that long ago since Sinn Fein which represents the majority of nationalists in the six counties were Eurosceptics too. I suspect they still are at heart. The GF still recognises that everyone on island are Irish citizens. Even some Unionists are now appreciating that post Brexit. Unity only possible if a certain segment of Unionist vote with majority of nationalists. I think it's clear from a recent poll that a hard Brexit could make this possible even if the Unionist newspapers failed to report that aspect of the poll.

It is notable that SF have played no part in the present debate, have put forward no ideas of any consequence. Their sheer immaturity makes them useless  in the present situation. The only saving grace is that they managed to oppose Brexit unlike the loonies in the People Against People.

SF are the bogeyman party for every other party in the north and south, and plenty across the water too. Why? Because they continue to challenge the process - a process that delivered a sectarian statelet and oversaw a pogrom against Catholics within that statelet, and continues to divide the people of an island, the vast majority who could live and prosper in a tolerable way alongside each other regardless of ideology.

SF's number one goal at this present moment in time is Irish reunification, after that they would aim to govern in that "new" Ireland. Brexit is feeding the reunification project, sometimes it is best to speak up sometimes it is best to stand back. For SF to speak out now would hand a straightforward opportunity to all Brexiteers to deflect their shortcomings on to SF and create additional spin and propaganda. In fact SF have done the exact opposite - Gerry retired! Bogeyman exits stage left.

Brexit is yet more rope the Unionists have from which to hang themselves. In time honored fashion the Brits may string them up before then anyway, cut them loose and end the frankenstein statelet. The Brits brought this situation on themselves, what exactly do you want SF to do or say? They are an anti-Brexit abstentionist party, Brexit works for reunification, Brexit works for SF. One mans immature stance is another mans ambivalence, and they have every right to be ambivalent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 28, 2017, 12:14:26 PM
The DUP.want a wee border but NI is too poor and economically weak to afford one.
I think the slua sí ultach are finally beating the colonists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 28, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Brexit is chaos

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/nov/28/priti-patel-condemns-mays-brexit-strategy-and-says-eu-should-be-told-to-sod-off-over-money-politics-live

The Lib Dem MP Tom Brake asks why the government has edited its report, when the Bank of England has published "chilling" information about what might happen after Brexit. Is it true the bulk of the information was not given to the committee?

Sir Keir Starmer, the shadow Brexit secretary, says the government does not understand the word transparency and accountability.

He says the Commons motion was clear; it said the information should be handed over to the select committee.

He says the government could have tried to amend the Commons motion that was passed, but did not.

He says Walker must explain what assurances the government asked for from the select committee that were not given.

The Commons will have a chance to debate at another time whether there has been a contempt of parliament.

He says in his experience scrutiny is essential for good decision making.

He says he is worried to hear that the information fills just two lever arch files. He says that, in his old job as DPP, that is the amount of paperwork you would expect for a standard crown court case.

Brexit requires much more analysis, he says.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2017, 04:48:02 PM
What trade (% wise) do the north and south do? Are there no electronic ways of doing customs? why would they not just do the random checks on goods transport and let the rest drive on through? Would no trade in the South hamper their overall econmony?

Louth minister was on the other day and all he had to offer was the peace process and how it would go back to the troubles..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on November 28, 2017, 04:59:21 PM
Quote from: tiempo on November 28, 2017, 12:08:45 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 28, 2017, 11:48:55 AM
Quote from: weareros on November 28, 2017, 11:26:36 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 27, 2017, 05:04:33 PM
Once again,Nationalist Ireland by willingly conceding the North to the UK in 1998 is primarily to blame for this fiasco.Did they think Blair would be PM forever? Eurosceptism is not an overnight phenomenon in Britain,it has been gaining momentum for at least three decades.


Not that long ago since Sinn Fein which represents the majority of nationalists in the six counties were Eurosceptics too. I suspect they still are at heart. The GF still recognises that everyone on island are Irish citizens. Even some Unionists are now appreciating that post Brexit. Unity only possible if a certain segment of Unionist vote with majority of nationalists. I think it's clear from a recent poll that a hard Brexit could make this possible even if the Unionist newspapers failed to report that aspect of the poll.

It is notable that SF have played no part in the present debate, have put forward no ideas of any consequence. Their sheer immaturity makes them useless  in the present situation. The only saving grace is that they managed to oppose Brexit unlike the loonies in the People Against People.

SF are the bogeyman party for every other party in the north and south, and plenty across the water too. Why? Because they continue to challenge the process - a process that delivered a sectarian statelet and oversaw a pogrom against Catholics within that statelet, and continues to divide the people of an island, the vast majority who could live and prosper in a tolerable way alongside each other regardless of ideology.

SF's number one goal at this present moment in time is Irish reunification, after that they would aim to govern in that "new" Ireland. Brexit is feeding the reunification project, sometimes it is best to speak up sometimes it is best to stand back. For SF to speak out now would hand a straightforward opportunity to all Brexiteers to deflect their shortcomings on to SF and create additional spin and propaganda. In fact SF have done the exact opposite - Gerry retired! Bogeyman exits stage left.

Brexit is yet more rope the Unionists have from which to hang themselves. In time honored fashion the Brits may string them up before then anyway, cut them loose and end the frankenstein statelet. The Brits brought this situation on themselves, what exactly do you want SF to do or say? They are an anti-Brexit abstentionist party, Brexit works for reunification, Brexit works for SF. One mans immature stance is another mans ambivalence, and they have every right to be ambivalent.

SF opposed the Common Market when Uk and ROI joined .  They opposed every treaty since .

When did they accept the EU ?? Was it when they became part of the political parasite apparatus in Strasboug ?

Can you shed light .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 28, 2017, 05:01:49 PM
Probably when they saw the shower of fkd up arseholes that were also against the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on November 28, 2017, 05:03:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 28, 2017, 05:01:49 PM
Probably when they saw the shower of fkd up arseholes that were also against the EU.

There was an old joke that an Phoblacht and the Daily Telegraph's editorials on the EU were more or less the same . 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 28, 2017, 05:17:07 PM
In general, left-wing politics is in favour of self government as far as possible I believe. So ideologically I guess they'd be against it, but practically its clearly been a boon to Ireland, north and south, so again I guess, they're being practical.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 28, 2017, 05:19:51 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2017, 04:48:02 PM
What trade (% wise) do the north and south do? Are there no electronic ways of doing customs? why would they not just do the random checks on goods transport and let the rest drive on through? Would no trade in the South hamper their overall econmony?

Louth minister was on the other day and all he had to offer was the peace process and how it would go back to the troubles..
English companies could ship stuff to Strabane and export it via Lifford to the EU. Saving say 20% on tariffs.

Brexit has already resulted in a reduction of the hazelnut content of Nutella in the UK so it is quite serious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2017, 05:42:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 28, 2017, 05:19:51 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2017, 04:48:02 PM
What trade (% wise) do the north and south do? Are there no electronic ways of doing customs? why would they not just do the random checks on goods transport and let the rest drive on through? Would no trade in the South hamper their overall econmony?

Louth minister was on the other day and all he had to offer was the peace process and how it would go back to the troubles..
English companies could ship stuff to Strabane and export it via Lifford to the EU. Saving say 20% on tariffs.

Brexit has already resulted in a reduction of the hazelnut content of Nutella in the UK so it is quite serious.

Would there not be spot checks on these anyways? I'm sure smuggling goes on anyways and that's how they do it by spot checks? So what's the trade between the north and south? Is farming the biggest loser here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ashman on November 28, 2017, 06:39:34 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 28, 2017, 05:17:07 PM
In general, left-wing politics is in favour of self government as far as possible I believe. So ideologically I guess they'd be against it, but practically its clearly been a boon to Ireland, north and south, so again I guess, they're being practical.

Sinn Fein are not a left wing party .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 28, 2017, 07:10:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2017, 05:42:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 28, 2017, 05:19:51 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2017, 04:48:02 PM
What trade (% wise) do the north and south do? Are there no electronic ways of doing customs? why would they not just do the random checks on goods transport and let the rest drive on through? Would no trade in the South hamper their overall econmony?

Louth minister was on the other day and all he had to offer was the peace process and how it would go back to the troubles..
English companies could ship stuff to Strabane and export it via Lifford to the EU. Saving say 20% on tariffs.

Brexit has already resulted in a reduction of the hazelnut content of Nutella in the UK so it is quite serious.

Would there not be spot checks on these anyways? I'm sure smuggling goes on anyways and that's how they do it by spot checks? So what's the trade between the north and south? Is farming the biggest loser here?
The difference is to big for spot checks to work.
Farmers and SMEs to get shafted
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on November 28, 2017, 08:00:59 PM
Quote from: ashman on November 28, 2017, 06:39:34 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 28, 2017, 05:17:07 PM
In general, left-wing politics is in favour of self government as far as possible I believe. So ideologically I guess they'd be against it, but practically its clearly been a boon to Ireland, north and south, so again I guess, they're being practical.

Sinn Fein are not a left wing party .

Reminds me of the quote (not sure who from) about the British Labour Party - "The Labour Party is not a socialist party its just got lots of socialists in it."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2017, 09:02:07 AM
https://www.facebook.com/Channel4News/videos/10155453593501939/

Our "fellow citizens" don't even know where the 6C are. The  "Southern Irish"  supposedly just have to "lump it" because they didn't get what they want and they can't obstruct what Britain wants. The arrogance is unbelievable. They expect everyone else to pick up the pieces and take the hit as a consequence of their stupidity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 29, 2017, 09:29:44 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2017, 09:02:07 AM
https://www.facebook.com/Channel4News/videos/10155453593501939/

Our "fellow citizens" don't even know where the 6C are. The  "Southern Irish"  supposedly just have to "lump it" because they didn't get what they want and they can't obstruct what Britain wants. The arrogance is unbelievable. They expect everyone else to pick up the pieces and take the hit as a consequence of their stupidity.

Saw it last night. Incredible. One just drew a line straight across the Midlands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 29, 2017, 10:20:49 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 29, 2017, 09:29:44 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2017, 09:02:07 AM
https://www.facebook.com/Channel4News/videos/10155453593501939/

Our "fellow citizens" don't even know where the 6C are. The  "Southern Irish"  supposedly just have to "lump it" because they didn't get what they want and they can't obstruct what Britain wants. The arrogance is unbelievable. They expect everyone else to pick up the pieces and take the hit as a consequence of their stupidity.

Saw it last night. Incredible. One just drew a line straight across the Midlands.
The only people who care about NI are unionists.
C4 could show a lot more about the differences between England and Ballymena. I wonder how many people in Brentwood know who King Billy is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 29, 2017, 11:12:12 AM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/11/28/40bn-government-sellout-eu-will-unite-british-people-disgust/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 29, 2017, 02:40:32 PM
Charles Tannock Conservative MEP has proposed that NI have a referendum on membership of the customs union.  Also interesting day at the Exiting the EU select committee.  It seems to me that harmonisation of regulations and standards is going to continue regardless of what happens in GB.  So much for 'Taking back control of our Borders'.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: laoislad on November 29, 2017, 08:59:42 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 29, 2017, 09:29:44 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2017, 09:02:07 AM
https://www.facebook.com/Channel4News/videos/10155453593501939/

Our "fellow citizens" don't even know where the 6C are. The  "Southern Irish"  supposedly just have to "lump it" because they didn't get what they want and they can't obstruct what Britain wants. The arrogance is unbelievable. They expect everyone else to pick up the pieces and take the hit as a consequence of their stupidity.

Saw it last night. Incredible. One just drew a line straight across the Midlands.
A Dub once asked me was Laois anywhere near Portlaoise. Another told me Clonmel was just outside Naas and she was a teacher.
I wouldn't be bothered about brits not knowing much about us when some of our own don't even know where places are in their own country.
How many Dubs would know where Leitrim was on the map?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 29, 2017, 09:04:11 PM
Most of them seem to be able to find their way to Carrick anyway!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2017, 10:50:05 PM
Quote from: laoislad on November 29, 2017, 08:59:42 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 29, 2017, 09:29:44 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2017, 09:02:07 AM
https://www.facebook.com/Channel4News/videos/10155453593501939/

Our "fellow citizens" don't even know where the 6C are. The  "Southern Irish"  supposedly just have to "lump it" because they didn't get what they want and they can't obstruct what Britain wants. The arrogance is unbelievable. They expect everyone else to pick up the pieces and take the hit as a consequence of their stupidity.

Saw it last night. Incredible. One just drew a line straight across the Midlands.
A Dub once asked me was Laois anywhere near Portlaoise. Another told me Clonmel was just outside Naas and she was a teacher.
I wouldn't be bothered about brits not knowing much about us when some of our own don't even know where places are in their own country.
How many Dubs would know where Leitrim was on the map?
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1129/923781-can-you-draw-the-border-with-northern-ireland/

You asked, RTE delivered.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on November 29, 2017, 10:57:11 PM
Quote from: laoislad on November 29, 2017, 08:59:42 PM

How many Dubs would know where Leitrim was on the map?
That's easy - it's in County Down, up near Castlewellan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 29, 2017, 11:03:05 PM
And Carrick is in South East Antrim
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on November 30, 2017, 12:30:44 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2017, 10:50:05 PM
Quote from: laoislad on November 29, 2017, 08:59:42 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 29, 2017, 09:29:44 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2017, 09:02:07 AM
https://www.facebook.com/Channel4News/videos/10155453593501939/

Our "fellow citizens" don't even know where the 6C are. The  "Southern Irish"  supposedly just have to "lump it" because they didn't get what they want and they can't obstruct what Britain wants. The arrogance is unbelievable. They expect everyone else to pick up the pieces and take the hit as a consequence of their stupidity.

Slightly better than the channel 4 efforts but seriously that person that just drew 2 horizontal lines across Britain needs to be put down for their own sake. How they even managed to dress themselves and make it to the high street is beyond me.

Saw it last night. Incredible. One just drew a line straight across the Midlands.
A Dub once asked me was Laois anywhere near Portlaoise. Another told me Clonmel was just outside Naas and she was a teacher.
I wouldn't be bothered about brits not knowing much about us when some of our own don't even know where places are in their own country.
How many Dubs would know where Leitrim was on the map?
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1129/923781-can-you-draw-the-border-with-northern-ireland/

You asked, RTE delivered.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 01:21:16 AM
Rumours in tomorrow's papers that the Brits are beginning to cave. Not a border in the Irish sea, you understand, but "devolving a package of powers to Northern Ireland to enable customs convergence with the Irish Republic on areas such as agriculture".
This is the minimum required, but probably not enough.

Notwithstanding sounding off by the likes of Fox, the British seem to be making a real effort to get a deal before the summit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 30, 2017, 01:52:54 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on November 29, 2017, 10:57:11 PM
Quote from: laoislad on November 29, 2017, 08:59:42 PM

How many Dubs would know where Leitrim was on the map?
That's easy - it's in County Down, up near Castlewellan.
an Ríocht is there somewhere too
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 30, 2017, 01:56:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 01:21:16 AM
Rumours in tomorrow's papers that the Brits are beginning to cave. Not a border in the Irish sea, you understand, but "devolving a package of powers to Northern Ireland to enable customs convergence with the Irish Republic on areas such as agriculture".
This is the minimum required, but probably not enough.

Notwithstanding sounding off by the likes of Fox, the British seem to be making a real effort to get a deal before the summit.
There is a huge struggle in the Tory party between fantasists and realists. Somehow the bills have to be paid

This is much bigger than the DUP and what it might want. Things can and do fall apart.

https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/news/paisley-says-uk-should-use-fisheries-deal-to-punish-ireland-for-disgraceful-behaviour-in-negotiations-36365840.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 30, 2017, 08:08:45 AM

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/nov/30/special-relationship-theresa-may-discovers-she-has-no-friend-in-donald-trump

There are many layers of humiliation here for May to get her head around over breakfast. Not only is it personally demeaning, it is also politically toxic.

The prospect of a successful or at least survivable Brexit is posited on a strong relationship with Washington. In that regard, May's successful rush to Washington in January to become the first foreign leader received at the Trump White House was presented as a coup.

Under EU rules, the two countries are not allowed even to start negotiating a trade deal until the UK is truly out of Europe, but the warm words and the pictures of the Trump and May holding hands at least struck an encouraging tone. The prime minister got to Washington in time to help the state department and Congress stop the president lifting sanctions on Russia, and squeezed out of him his first grudging words of support for Nato.

It has been downhill since then.

May had to tell the president off in September for speculating about a terrorist attack in London. On Wednesday she had little choice but to rebuke him for retweeting Islamophobic videos put out by the UK far right, and that earned her the acid riposte from the thin-skinned president on Wednesday night.

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So what can May do to limit the damage? She can be stern or she can try to laugh it off. But whichever mode she adopts, she will have to distance herself from Trump in the short term while sending reassuring noises that all will be fine in the long term.

All the signs suggest however, that it will not be fine.

May is in open disagreement with Trump over a major foreign policy issue, the nuclear deal with Iran, which the president would like to destroy and which the UK is anxious to salvage. To that end, May's strongest card is European solidarity. Top diplomats from the UK, Germany and France are in Washington this week to do a triple act in defence of the agreement.

The Europeans are also desperate to steer the Trump administration from the path to war with North Korea, that is being paved with the help of Trump's sound-bite bellicosity.

The irony is that it is just such European unity of purpose that May is committed to undermine. Having a US president who is so erratic and extreme that he makes disagreements with EU seem petty by comparison is a bad look for a prime minister championing Brexit.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 30, 2017, 08:19:20 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 30, 2017, 01:52:54 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on November 29, 2017, 10:57:11 PM
Quote from: laoislad on November 29, 2017, 08:59:42 PM

How many Dubs would know where Leitrim was on the map?
That's easy - it's in County Down, up near Castlewellan.
an Ríocht is there somewhere too

As is Mayobridge
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 30, 2017, 04:33:45 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 01:21:16 AM
Rumours in tomorrow's papers that the Brits are beginning to cave. Not a border in the Irish sea, you understand, but "devolving a package of powers to Northern Ireland to enable customs convergence with the Irish Republic on areas such as agriculture".
This is the minimum required, but probably not enough.

Notwithstanding sounding off by the likes of Fox, the British seem to be making a real effort to get a deal before the summit.

Is this a special status that would be agreeable to the DUP?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 05:10:36 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 30, 2017, 04:33:45 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 01:21:16 AM
Rumours in tomorrow's papers that the Brits are beginning to cave. Not a border in the Irish sea, you understand, but "devolving a package of powers to Northern Ireland to enable customs convergence with the Irish Republic on areas such as agriculture".
This is the minimum required, but probably not enough.

Notwithstanding sounding off by the likes of Fox, the British seem to be making a real effort to get a deal before the summit.

Is this a special status that would be agreeable to the DUP?

I'd say the DUP would find it hard to oppose the agriculture bit, as a start. And of course, once the principle is established.........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 30, 2017, 05:11:00 PM
The DUPUDA want border walls, minefields etc but no doubt the business and commercial real world people will be getting to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 05:13:15 PM
Sammy does not seem happy, so some good must be taking place
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/brexit-negotiations-could-compromise-duptory-deal-sammy-wilson-36367922.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on November 30, 2017, 05:29:17 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 05:13:15 PM
Sammy does not seem happy, so some good must be taking place
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/brexit-negotiations-could-compromise-duptory-deal-sammy-wilson-36367922.html

They're threatening to bring the tory government down. The problem is that if they do they run the risk of jeremy corbyn becoming pm which wouldn't be good news for them. I think they'll be pulled into line here quite easily. This would be monumental because it is a small psychological break from the uk for the north. First step to a united ireland in many people's eyes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 30, 2017, 05:57:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 05:13:15 PM
Sammy does not seem happy, so some good must be taking place
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/brexit-negotiations-could-compromise-duptory-deal-sammy-wilson-36367922.html
The DUP are majority Brexit wingnuts.  They are far less rational than the Tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 06:37:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 30, 2017, 05:57:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 05:13:15 PM
Sammy does not seem happy, so some good must be taking place
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/brexit-negotiations-could-compromise-duptory-deal-sammy-wilson-36367922.html
The DUP are majority Brexit wingnuts.  They are far less rational than the Tories.

By the standards of the 17th century they are not that bad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 30, 2017, 06:43:28 PM
This is class! By actually supporting Brexit the DUP could bring down the Tories and a different Brexit deal for the North! Where did they get their degree in politics? 10p lucky bag
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on November 30, 2017, 06:53:44 PM
Have you ever heard as much talk about a border in your life? You know how many times I've been across the border in 10 years? 4.
The only way a checkpoint would ever effect my life is if they put one between Derry and Antrim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 30, 2017, 07:00:34 PM
QuoteThe only way a checkpoint would ever effect my life is if they put one between Derry and Antrim.

That could happen when the Unionists move to repartition the north so as to keep their gerrymandered majority.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 30, 2017, 10:28:17 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 30, 2017, 06:53:44 PM
Have you ever heard as much talk about a border in your life? You know how many times I've been across the border in 10 years? 4.
The only way a checkpoint would ever effect my life is if they put one between Derry and Antrim.

It's not all about You, you know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 10:33:45 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 30, 2017, 06:53:44 PM
Have you ever heard as much talk about a border in your life? You know how many times I've been across the border in 10 years? 4.
The only way a checkpoint would ever effect my life is if they put one between Derry and Antrim.

Are you Ian Paisley? How was your holiday in Sri Lanka?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 30, 2017, 11:48:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 30, 2017, 10:33:45 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 30, 2017, 06:53:44 PM
Have you ever heard as much talk about a border in your life? You know how many times I've been across the border in 10 years? 4.
The only way a checkpoint would ever effect my life is if they put one between Derry and Antrim.

Are you Ian Paisley? How was your holiday in Sri Lanka?

Reminds me of one of the DUP MLAs (can't remember which one) recently tweeting a link to an obituary of his late father, proudly highlighting the fact that he had never left Co. Antrim in his entire life.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on November 30, 2017, 11:48:30 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 30, 2017, 10:28:17 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 30, 2017, 06:53:44 PM
Have you ever heard as much talk about a border in your life? You know how many times I've been across the border in 10 years? 4.
The only way a checkpoint would ever effect my life is if they put one between Derry and Antrim.

It's not all about You, you know.

Maybe your men should have thought twice about signing that treaty then, maybe if they didn't the whole island would be in the EU today and not left with this mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 12:04:30 AM
And the whole island would be about to exit the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on December 01, 2017, 12:07:44 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 12:04:30 AM
And the whole island would be about to exit the EU.

That's what blue shirts like to tell themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 01, 2017, 12:09:11 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 01, 2017, 12:07:44 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 12:04:30 AM
And the whole island would be about to exit the EU.

That's what blue shirts like to tell themselves.

You talk some amount of nonsense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
Arlene, Sammy and Co are now playing senior hurling as the saying goes.

They're in bed with May and the pro brexiteers who ultimately don't give a f**k for the North and with Varadkar making large noises in the south about vetoing anything resembling a hard border and pushing for the North to have special dispensation to stay in the customs union.
This would mean a defacto border down the Irish sea, maintained at the various ports and sea crossings, a big no no for Arlene and the DUP's as that would make Norn Iron different from the rest of the UK.
Not sure of threatening to pull the plug on the May majority in the house of commons would be a good move as if that forces a general election the Tory's have to quickly come up with a credible leader or Jeremy the Red will get in and that will definitely mean a soft brexit and said Irish Sea border.

High stakes poker for the DUP all of their own doing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 01, 2017, 08:47:26 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
Arlene, Sammy and Co are now playing senior hurling as the saying goes.

They're in bed with May and the pro brexiteers who ultimately don't give a f**k for the North and with Varadkar making large noises in the south about vetoing anything resembling a hard border and pushing for the North to have special dispensation to stay in the customs union.
This would mean a defacto border down the Irish sea, maintained at the various ports and sea crossings, a big no no for Arlene and the DUP's as that would make Norn Iron different from the rest of the UK.
Not sure of threatening to pull the plug on the May majority in the house of commons would be a good move as if that forces a general election the Tory's have to quickly come up with a credible leader or Jeremy the Red will get in and that will definitely mean a soft brexit and said Irish Sea border.

High stakes poker for the DUP all of their own doing.

High stakes indeed and I must say I'm enjoying watching it unroll.

It is becoming evident that the quality of politician in the south is way above that of the North.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 01, 2017, 09:06:57 AM
Quote from: GJL on December 01, 2017, 08:47:26 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
Arlene, Sammy and Co are now playing senior hurling as the saying goes.

They're in bed with May and the pro brexiteers who ultimately don't give a f**k for the North and with Varadkar making large noises in the south about vetoing anything resembling a hard border and pushing for the North to have special dispensation to stay in the customs union.
This would mean a defacto border down the Irish sea, maintained at the various ports and sea crossings, a big no no for Arlene and the DUP's as that would make Norn Iron different from the rest of the UK.
Not sure of threatening to pull the plug on the May majority in the house of commons would be a good move as if that forces a general election the Tory's have to quickly come up with a credible leader or Jeremy the Red will get in and that will definitely mean a soft brexit and said Irish Sea border.

High stakes poker for the DUP all of their own doing.

High stakes indeed and I must say I'm enjoying watching it unroll.

It is becoming evident that the quality of politician in the south is way above that of the North.

Have you heard what happened with the whistleblower fiasco? I'd say they are equally shit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on December 01, 2017, 09:45:44 AM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 30, 2017, 11:48:30 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 30, 2017, 10:28:17 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on November 30, 2017, 06:53:44 PM
Have you ever heard as much talk about a border in your life? You know how many times I've been across the border in 10 years? 4.
The only way a checkpoint would ever effect my life is if they put one between Derry and Antrim.

It's not all about You, you know.

Maybe your men should have thought twice about signing that treaty then, maybe if they didn't the whole island would be in the EU today and not left with this mess.

'My men' fought against the treaty back 85 years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 01, 2017, 10:21:19 AM
Sammy Wilson threatening to pull down the UK government is laughable. It is just a bargaining chip that any rational Tory will know is not likely to materialise. Corbyn might be pro Brexit but he is also pro Irish unity also and there is no way that the Unionists would countenance the possibility that he might get into no.10. Either way, by pulling down the UK government, and even with another Tory government it is unlikely that they would hold the balance of power a second time and so will have no influence. They have no choice here other than to go with whatever deal is reached between Britain, Ireland and the rest of the EU. Hopefully that is the frictionless border that is the most logical and rational solution for the island on so many levels both in terms of security, crime, economic, health and social reasons. But when has logic ever played a part in anything in this artificially warped little statelet.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: longballin on December 01, 2017, 10:27:14 AM
Loving the DUP-British government meltdown on Brexit... Sinn Fein no notion of going back into Stormont; they're lapping this up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blewuporstuffed on December 01, 2017, 10:34:05 AM
Quote from: longballin on December 01, 2017, 10:27:14 AM
Loving the DUP-British government meltdown on Brexit... Sinn Fein no notion of going back into Stormont; they're lapping this up.
Dodds came across as a complete moron on the view there last night.
They haven't a notion if they are coming or going
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 01, 2017, 10:36:55 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 01, 2017, 09:06:57 AM
Quote from: GJL on December 01, 2017, 08:47:26 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
Arlene, Sammy and Co are now playing senior hurling as the saying goes.

They're in bed with May and the pro brexiteers who ultimately don't give a f**k for the North and with Varadkar making large noises in the south about vetoing anything resembling a hard border and pushing for the North to have special dispensation to stay in the customs union.
This would mean a defacto border down the Irish sea, maintained at the various ports and sea crossings, a big no no for Arlene and the DUP's as that would make Norn Iron different from the rest of the UK.
Not sure of threatening to pull the plug on the May majority in the house of commons would be a good move as if that forces a general election the Tory's have to quickly come up with a credible leader or Jeremy the Red will get in and that will definitely mean a soft brexit and said Irish Sea border.

High stakes poker for the DUP all of their own doing.

High stakes indeed and I must say I'm enjoying watching it unroll.

It is becoming evident that the quality of politician in the south is way above that of the North.

Have you heard what happened with the whistleblower fiasco? I'd say they are equally shit

I did of course but I just think that Varadkar and Coveney are playing the whole Brexit thing very well so far.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 10:42:11 AM
Quote from: GJL on December 01, 2017, 08:47:26 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
Arlene, Sammy and Co are now playing senior hurling as the saying goes.

They're in bed with May and the pro brexiteers who ultimately don't give a f**k for the North and with Varadkar making large noises in the south about vetoing anything resembling a hard border and pushing for the North to have special dispensation to stay in the customs union.
This would mean a defacto border down the Irish sea, maintained at the various ports and sea crossings, a big no no for Arlene and the DUP's as that would make Norn Iron different from the rest of the UK.
Not sure of threatening to pull the plug on the May majority in the house of commons would be a good move as if that forces a general election the Tory's have to quickly come up with a credible leader or Jeremy the Red will get in and that will definitely mean a soft brexit and said Irish Sea border.

High stakes poker for the DUP all of their own doing.

High stakes indeed and I must say I'm enjoying watching it unroll.

It is becoming evident that the quality of politician in the south is way above that of the North.

The Southern politicians wheeled out like Varadker and Coveney are smooth looking operators compared to Arlene, Sammy and Nige, but then again its hardly a high standard.
There's loads of parish pump politicians in the Dáil as well, its just that they're well enough hidden from international eyes but every once in a while a Healy Rae or a Michael Lowry gets a bit of limelight to show that there's eejits in there as well.
Our eejits are now front and centre and making dicks of themselves.
The northern shinners are no better, but have enough wit to keep their heads down and let the DUP implode.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 10:46:48 AM
The DUP are facing a constitutional crisis type situation. The Pols down south are not. But there is also the prod brain drain element. Name another governing party with people of the calibre of Sammy and Gregor in leadership positions.  It is like the Faroe Islands soccer team.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/11/29/irelands-threat-veto-brexit-nightmare-come-true/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 10:48:50 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
Arlene, Sammy and Co are now playing senior hurling as the saying goes.

They're in bed with May and the pro brexiteers who ultimately don't give a f**k for the North and with Varadkar making large noises in the south about vetoing anything resembling a hard border and pushing for the North to have special dispensation to stay in the customs union.
This would mean a defacto border down the Irish sea, maintained at the various ports and sea crossings, a big no no for Arlene and the DUP's as that would make Norn Iron different from the rest of the UK.
Not sure of threatening to pull the plug on the May majority in the house of commons would be a good move as if that forces a general election the Tory's have to quickly come up with a credible leader or Jeremy the Red will get in and that will definitely mean a soft brexit and said Irish Sea border.

High stakes poker for the DUP all of their own doing.
There is a reason they call it senior hurling

https://youtu.be/6f7oIJVVCLA
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 10:59:09 AM
Quote from: blewuporstuffed on December 01, 2017, 10:34:05 AM
Quote from: longballin on December 01, 2017, 10:27:14 AM
Loving the DUP-British government meltdown on Brexit... Sinn Fein no notion of going back into Stormont; they're lapping this up.
Dodds came across as a complete moron on the view there last night.
They haven't a notion if they are coming or going
When your entire political career consisted of bullying hectoring and threatening to unleash the UDA as you wrap the Unionist "fleg" around you.....you're not in much shape for the real world of dealing with the issues of 500 million people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 11:10:17 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 10:59:09 AM
Quote from: blewuporstuffed on December 01, 2017, 10:34:05 AM
Quote from: longballin on December 01, 2017, 10:27:14 AM
Loving the DUP-British government meltdown on Brexit... Sinn Fein no notion of going back into Stormont; they're lapping this up.
Dodds came across as a complete moron on the view there last night.
They haven't a notion if they are coming or going
When your entire political career consisted of bullying hectoring and threatening to unleash the UDA as you wrap the Unionist "fleg" around you.....you're not in much shape for the real world of dealing with the issues of 500 million people.
The DUP remind me of the fall of the Byzantine empire.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Boycey on December 01, 2017, 11:11:30 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 10:46:48 AM
The DUP are facing a constitutional crisis type situation. The Pols down south are not. But there is also the prod brain drain element. Name another governing party with people of the calibre of Sammy and Gregor in leadership positions.  It is like the Faroe Islands soccer team.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/11/29/irelands-threat-veto-brexit-nightmare-come-true/

Maybe you would paste copy and paste that article up, its behind a paywall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on December 01, 2017, 11:55:44 AM
Best comment I've seen on the Brexit issue

Asked what she knows about the Irish Border, lady in Worthing says "he's not actually a boarder, he rents my basement flat and he seems very nice @BBCNewsnight :D :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 12:06:55 PM
Quote from: Boycey on December 01, 2017, 11:11:30 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 10:46:48 AM
The DUP are facing a constitutional crisis type situation. The Pols down south are not. But there is also the prod brain drain element. Name another governing party with people of the calibre of Sammy and Gregor in leadership positions.  It is like the Faroe Islands soccer team.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/11/29/irelands-threat-veto-brexit-nightmare-come-true/

Maybe you would paste copy and paste that article up, its behind a paywall.
I don't have a subscription. I just read the headlines. More slapstick than Benny Hill.

The Telegraph is nuts.

https://youtu.be/tNBL5OMeuno
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 01, 2017, 12:58:56 PM
Quote from: GJL on December 01, 2017, 10:36:55 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 01, 2017, 09:06:57 AM
Quote from: GJL on December 01, 2017, 08:47:26 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
Arlene, Sammy and Co are now playing senior hurling as the saying goes.

They're in bed with May and the pro brexiteers who ultimately don't give a f**k for the North and with Varadkar making large noises in the south about vetoing anything resembling a hard border and pushing for the North to have special dispensation to stay in the customs union.
This would mean a defacto border down the Irish sea, maintained at the various ports and sea crossings, a big no no for Arlene and the DUP's as that would make Norn Iron different from the rest of the UK.
Not sure of threatening to pull the plug on the May majority in the house of commons would be a good move as if that forces a general election the Tory's have to quickly come up with a credible leader or Jeremy the Red will get in and that will definitely mean a soft brexit and said Irish Sea border.

High stakes poker for the DUP all of their own doing.

High stakes indeed and I must say I'm enjoying watching it unroll.

It is becoming evident that the quality of politician in the south is way above that of the North.

Have you heard what happened with the whistleblower fiasco? I'd say they are equally shit

I did of course but I just think that Varadkar and Coveney are playing the whole Brexit thing very well so far.

I'd be be no fan of FG but I agree that Coveney in particular has done very well so far in that role. That said, I would hold fort to see what the final deal is surrounding the border issue. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on December 01, 2017, 02:42:29 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 10:42:11 AM
Quote from: GJL on December 01, 2017, 08:47:26 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 01, 2017, 08:38:18 AM
Arlene, Sammy and Co are now playing senior hurling as the saying goes.

They're in bed with May and the pro brexiteers who ultimately don't give a f**k for the North and with Varadkar making large noises in the south about vetoing anything resembling a hard border and pushing for the North to have special dispensation to stay in the customs union.
This would mean a defacto border down the Irish sea, maintained at the various ports and sea crossings, a big no no for Arlene and the DUP's as that would make Norn Iron different from the rest of the UK.
Not sure of threatening to pull the plug on the May majority in the house of commons would be a good move as if that forces a general election the Tory's have to quickly come up with a credible leader or Jeremy the Red will get in and that will definitely mean a soft brexit and said Irish Sea border.

High stakes poker for the DUP all of their own doing.

High stakes indeed and I must say I'm enjoying watching it unroll.

It is becoming evident that the quality of politician in the south is way above that of the North.

The Southern politicians wheeled out like Varadker and Coveney are smooth looking operators compared to Arlene, Sammy and Nige, but then again its hardly a high standard.
There's loads of parish pump politicians in the Dáil as well, its just that they're well enough hidden from international eyes but every once in a while a Healy Rae or a Michael Lowry gets a bit of limelight to show that there's eejits in there as well.
Our eejits are now front and centre and making dicks of themselves.
The northern shinners are no better, but have enough wit to keep their heads down and let the DUP implode.
And do you know what, that is Irish politics north and south it is what really makes OWC totally different to the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 02:45:59 PM
At last the Freestate experiences Unionist obdurance,intransigence,ignorance,lack of respect,first hand.Perhaps they will now begin to understand what Northern nationalists have had to put up with and spell the end for apologists like Dudley-Edwards,Harris etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 01, 2017, 02:58:02 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 02:45:59 PM
At last the Freestate experiences Unionist obdurance,intransigence,ignorance,lack of respect,first hand.Perhaps they will now begin to understand what Northern nationalists have had to put up with and spell the end for apologists like Dudley-Edwards,Harris etc

Dudley-Edwards, Harris, and yourself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 03:06:15 PM
350,000 DUPUDA  v 400,000,000 Europeans.
They'll need more than Harris, Diddly Dudly or Tony on their side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 03:15:17 PM
Zzzzzzzz.I have never and will never be a supporter of the Union with the UK.I have advocated some form of independence for the North,on account of the absolute disregard of both Dublin and London (who jointly created "N Ireland" and jointly turned a blind eye to what was happening here) for the people here,their lack of understanding etc,and the division,hatred loss of life etc,the illogical competing allegiances to these two separate states  has caused in the North.

Even now,it is galling that the Freestate has now shown interest all of a sudden merely because their own economy is threatened,not out of any concern or care for nationalists here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 01, 2017, 04:15:01 PM
100% correct TF. ROI Govt not getting their knickers in a twist over the possible GFA Ramifications. They're loyal to the half crown like the everyone else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 04:46:30 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 03:15:17 PM
Zzzzzzzz.I have never and will never be a supporter of the Union with the UK.I have advocated some form of independence for the North,on account of the absolute disregard of both Dublin and London (who jointly created "N Ireland" and jointly turned a blind eye to what was happening here) for the people here,their lack of understanding etc,and the division,hatred loss of life etc,the illogical competing allegiances to these two separate states  has caused in the North.

Even now,it is galling that the Freestate has now shown interest all of a sudden merely because their own economy is threatened,not out of any concern or care for nationalists here.
The  Irish govt couldn't invade NI. It had to wait.
GAA people see the 6 counties as just as Irish as anywhere in Munster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 05:08:07 PM
"Dublin" had no part in creating "Northern (sic) Ireland".
The Brits set that up in their Act of 1920 and then  Stormont  opted those 6 Cos. out of the new Irish Free State (1922-1937).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 05:17:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 05:08:07 PM
"Dublin" had no part in creating "Northern (sic) Ireland".
The Brits set that up in their Act of 1920 and then  Stormont  opted those 6 Cos. out of the new Irish Free State (1922-1937).
Because the Unionists threatened war if they didn't get their little stateen.  The one where the Parliament is outsized and the rule of law collapsed for a few decades. And the industry died
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 05:20:03 PM
Dublin freely assented to the

1) Creation of the Northern Ireland state in 1920

2) The right of the British Govt to maintain sovereignty over N Ireland in 1998.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 01, 2017, 05:28:52 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 05:20:03 PM
Dublin freely assented to the

1) Creation of the Northern Ireland state in 1920

2) The right of the British Govt to maintain sovereignty over N Ireland in 1998.

Only until a majority in the 6C disagree with that sovereignty. And a majority of northern nationalists accepted that - or does that make them unionists?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 05:29:39 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 05:20:03 PM
Dublin freely assented to the

1) Creation of the Northern Ireland state in 1920

2) The right of the British Govt to maintain sovereignty over N Ireland in 1998.
What choice did Collins etc have in 1920? They went for the long game.
1998 was in accordance with the will of the people . NI can't last anyway especially if the UK is trína chéile. 

HoW many mother nerd work in the Republic?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 05:31:26 PM
Dublin didn't exist in 1920.
The Irish people voted to accept the GFA.
Tone needs to brush up on th'oul history.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 05:35:02 PM
Nobody in the DUP is even vaguely interested in what becomes of the UK. They are whiny, narcissistic, needy and useless.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/dec/01/donald-trump-twitter-attack-will-only-increase-uks-post-brexit-angst


As UK diplomats picked over the rubble of the special relationship caused by Donald Trump's twitter attack on both Theresa May and the UK's multicultural society, seasoned foreign policy hands pointed out that there have been serious high level breakdowns in Anglo-US relations in the past, but it is rare for a disagreement to be so public or for a US president to be so insulting to a prime minister or the UK's sense of its own identity.

The row – at one level banal – may also inject an urgency into a growing debate about UK's foreign policy alliances in the wake of Brexit, diplomats said.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 05:47:00 PM
You don't sign away your right to sovereignty for a defined period.The British and Irish Govts assumed and hoped the GFA was a final settlement and the challenges of everyday Govt would exercise local politicians to the extent that they wouldn't even think of the constitutional arrangements

Even this afternoon,in the light of tension with the British Govt and on the receiving end of insults from the DUP, I heard a Fianna Fáil Minister on the local BBC radio news up here re-assure his London and DUP heroes that Dublin was not pushing a nationalist agenda.Heaven forbid anyone in Dublin Political circles even thinking about a United Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 05:51:41 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 05:47:00 PM
You don't sign away your right to sovereignty for a defined period.The British and Irish Govts assumed and hoped the GFA was a final settlement and the challenges of everyday Govt would exercise local politicians to the extent that they wouldn't even think of the constitutional arrangements

Even this afternoon,in the light of tension with the British Govt and on the receiving end of insults from the DUP, I heard a Fianna Fáil Minister on the local BBC radio news up here re-assure his London and DUP heroes that Dublin was not pushing a nationalist agenda.Heaven forbid anyone in Dublin Political circles even thinking about a United Ireland
of course it is nationalist. Of course it will be denied. It is not the fault of the south that the NI economy is a wee basket casem
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 06:01:13 PM
Fianna Fáil Minister?
Dublin Govt in 1920?

Tony you need to brush up on things.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 06:43:32 PM
Tusk saying it's basically Ireland's call on whether it moves to Phase 2.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on December 01, 2017, 07:10:36 PM
This has been a great week for Ireland and, indeed, the EU.
Many thanks to most of the posters on here for their informed comments.
The other bright point in my week has been the arrival of a family member's new passport.
For those who haven't got one yet ( they have been in circulation since late 2013), page 5- opposite the photograph page and therefore the one you'll be opening when you pass through airports- is particularly good. There's a great map of the island with our wonderful rivers, mountains and loughs featured. Not an artificially created line in sight.
A quote on this page , and repeated on subsequent pages;
"It is the entitlement and birthright of every person born in the island of Ireland ,which includes the islands and seas, to be part of the Irish Nation"
Page 15 is dedicated to Gaelic Games- and as far as I'm concerned that's a picture of Ross Carr on the ball- and page 28 has a verse from the Ulster weaver Poet, James Orr. On the next page - "Furthermore the Irish nation cherishes its special affinity with people of Irish ancestry living abroad who share it's cultural identity and heritage". Seamus Heaney would approve.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 07:20:10 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on December 01, 2017, 07:10:36 PM
This has been a great week for Ireland and, indeed, the EU.
Many thanks to most of the posters on here for their informed comments.
The other bright point in my week has been the arrival of a family member's new passport.
For those who haven't got one yet ( they have been in circulation since late 2013), page 5- opposite the photograph page and therefore the one you'll be opening when you pass through airports- is particularly good. There's a great map of the island with our wonderful rivers, mountains and loughs featured. Not an artificially created line in sight.
A quote on this page , and repeated on subsequent pages;
"It is the entitlement and birthright of every person born in the island of Ireland ,which includes the islands and seas, to be part of the Irish Nation"
Page 15 is dedicated to Gaelic Games- and as far as I'm concerned that's a picture of Ross Carr on the ball- and page 28 has a verse from the Ulster weaver Poet, James Orr. On the next page - "Furthermore the Irish nation cherishes its special affinity which people of Irish ancestry living abroad who share it's cultural identity and heritage". Seamus Heaney would approve.
The best part is on the inside page.

Iarann aire gnóthaí eachtreacha agus trádála na hÉireann ar gach lena mbaineann Ligean dá shealbhóir seo,  saoránach
d'Éirinn, gabhail ar aghaidh gan bhac gan chosc agus gach cúnamh agus caomhnú is gá a thabhairt  don shealbhóir.

That is the opposite of NI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 08:25:26 PM
Full of mantras unsupported by action.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2017, 08:32:07 PM
Jasus Tony but you're a bitter oul yoke😈
Hanging around with too many Unionist types?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 01, 2017, 08:36:54 PM
 "The UK's future lies - in some ways - in Dublin".

"The Irish request is the EU's request"

"Let me say very clearly. If the UK offer is unacceptable for Ireland, it will also be unacceptable for the EU."


This is gas stuff altogether, Coveney and Leo having their moment and looking like they've played it very well.

Of course they need to be careful not to overplay their hand... no deal would of course mean a hard border is highly likely. But the DUP and Tories are in such disarray at the minute that looks unlikely
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: randomusername on December 01, 2017, 08:40:55 PM
Whatever happens will benefit nationalists in the long run.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 08:42:17 PM
More Brexit
https://www.ft.com/content/d76a5602-c854-11e7-aa33-c63fdc9b8c6c

Britain is drifting towards disaster on Brexit — without a viable diplomatic, economic or political strategy to make a success of the venture. The central problem is that the British government is stuck between an implacable EU and an unrealistic Conservative party. The EU will not offer anything like the deal that Britain's Brexiters still dream of. But Theresa May's Conservative colleagues are still unprepared to accept this unpleasant reality. In this paralysing situation, it seems increasingly likely the UK government will simply be politically and technically incapable of delivering a negotiated Brexit. As a result, the likeliest outcome is that, late in the day — perhaps in January 2019 — the EU will present Britain with a "take it or leave it" deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 08:44:43 PM
They never planned Brexit.  They never planned Heathrow airport either . Both are clusterfucks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 01, 2017, 08:45:54 PM
it is an interesting twist.

I wonder if doddsy called the election results a gift from god what he calls this ;D ;D

varadakar is bound to be beelzebub himself!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 01, 2017, 09:08:05 PM
The EU is in no hurry generally, so there is no reason to pressure Ireland. The longer the heat is under London then the more uncomfortable it gets for the Tories. May will likely throw the DUP overboard, as she can get a dozen votes elsewhere to get that aspect of things through and then let the DUP do what they like.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 09:12:15 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 01, 2017, 08:45:54 PM
it is an interesting twist.

I wonder if doddsy called the election results a gift from god what he calls this ;D ;D

varadakar is bound to be beelzebub himself!
More than a few people in the DUP think the EU image of Europa riding whatever animal is actually the antichrist.
The DUP needs to be rationalised.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 01, 2017, 09:33:38 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2017, 09:08:05 PM
The EU is in no hurry generally, so there is no reason to pressure Ireland. The longer the heat is under London then the more uncomfortable it gets for the Tories. May will likely throw the DUP overboard, as she can get a dozen votes elsewhere to get that aspect of things through and then let the DUP do what they like.

The dup, no matter what, always seem to come up smelling of roses is what worries me though. Hopefully they are out of their depth but may is too and desperate times call for desperate measures. I hope you are right though.

Seafoid what they are doing is working for them. Until the electorate do something about it they will not change. Their younger members are the likes of pengelly and salford. Pengelly is one of their worst yet in my view so they aren't showing signs of normality any time soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 09:56:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 01, 2017, 09:33:38 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2017, 09:08:05 PM
The EU is in no hurry generally, so there is no reason to pressure Ireland. The longer the heat is under London then the more uncomfortable it gets for the Tories. May will likely throw the DUP overboard, as she can get a dozen votes elsewhere to get that aspect of things through and then let the DUP do what they like.

The dup, no matter what, always seem to come up smelling of roses is what worries me though. Hopefully they are out of their depth but may is too and desperate times call for desperate measures. I hope you are right though.

Seafoid what they are doing is working for them. Until the electorate do something about it they will not change. Their younger members are the likes of pengelly and salford. Pengelly is one of their worst yet in my view so they aren't showing signs of normality any time soon.
As Clinton said it is the economy, stoopid.  When ordinary prods figure out how much Brexit will cos them personally the DUP will be toast. Brexit is not something whose cost will only be known years from now. It is going to be known very soon. FF can explain to Arlene.  You do not betray your own voters and expect to be applauded. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 01, 2017, 10:03:37 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 09:56:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 01, 2017, 09:33:38 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2017, 09:08:05 PM
The EU is in no hurry generally, so there is no reason to pressure Ireland. The longer the heat is under London then the more uncomfortable it gets for the Tories. May will likely throw the DUP overboard, as she can get a dozen votes elsewhere to get that aspect of things through and then let the DUP do what they like.

The dup, no matter what, always seem to come up smelling of roses is what worries me though. Hopefully they are out of their depth but may is too and desperate times call for desperate measures. I hope you are right though.

Seafoid what they are doing is working for them. Until the electorate do something about it they will not change. Their younger members are the likes of pengelly and salford. Pengelly is one of their worst yet in my view so they aren't showing signs of normality any time soon.
As Clinton said it is the economy, stoopid.  When ordinary prods figure out how much Brexit will cos them personally the DUP will be toast. Brexit is not something whose cost will only be known years from now. It is going to be known very soon. FF can explain to Arlene.  You do not betray your own voters and expect to be applauded.

Hope you're right, but re FF. They've now bounced back, so their voters have very short memories. For what FF did to the country, it should have been wiped out, never to become an electoral force again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 01, 2017, 10:37:16 PM
The dup were basically issued with a thinly veiled threat by the oo when they went into bed with the tories. They want their parades high priority. Reality is though they are more voting against sf than for dup so they will have to really screw their voters over to stop them voting for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 01, 2017, 10:40:05 PM
Varadkar and Coveney have a chance to etch their names in Irish history if they play this right. So far so good. In a bizarre sort of way perhaps it's best for Ireland to have 2 Fine Gael men at the helm at this crucial time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 10:47:26 PM
You're confusing the North with normal politics.If c**k ups here resulted in voter punishment the DUP and SF would have been extinct years ago.I told you before Unionists will eat grass before opting for a United Ireland.There is an astonishing lack of understanding of what passes for politics in the North.The whole Health Service,Education system etc is now on the brink of collapse yet neither side will agree on a simple Irish language act and get back into government.The DUP and SF don't lead voters,they are led by voters.

Given that it is a major source of trade for the South is Varadkar not playing a high risk strategy alienating the UK,and risking them leaving with no deal,which would mean a hard border?

Now is anyone else like me, wondering where this macho Freestate confronting the British was when nationalists were being truly oppressed in the North?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: straightred on December 01, 2017, 11:01:13 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 10:47:26 PM
You're confusing the North with normal politics.If c**k ups here resulted in voter punishment the DUP and SF would have been extinct years ago.I told you before Unionists will eat grass before opting for a United Ireland.There is an astonishing lack of understanding of what passes for politics in the North.The whole Health Service,Education system etc is now on the brink of collapse yet neither side will agree on a simple Irish language act and get back into government.The DUP and SF don't lead voters,they are led by voters.

Given that it is a major source of trade for the South is Varadkar not playing a high risk strategy alienating the UK,and risking them leaving with no deal,which would mean a hard border?

Now is anyone else like me, wondering where this macho Freestate confronting the British was when nationalists were being truly oppressed in the North?

Fair point but don't forget its FG we are talking about. I'd say its killing them to be forced to take a hard line against the unionists. Varadkar is been told what to do and say by europe. If you are in any doubt about that look at how badly he f**ked up with the Fitzgerald thing earlier this week - that's what happens when this clown is left to develop his own strategy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on December 01, 2017, 11:23:13 PM
Quote from: straightred on December 01, 2017, 11:01:13 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 10:47:26 PM
You're confusing the North with normal politics.If c**k ups here resulted in voter punishment the DUP and SF would have been extinct years ago.I told you before Unionists will eat grass before opting for a United Ireland.There is an astonishing lack of understanding of what passes for politics in the North.The whole Health Service,Education system etc is now on the brink of collapse yet neither side will agree on a simple Irish language act and get back into government.The DUP and SF don't lead voters,they are led by voters.

Given that it is a major source of trade for the South is Varadkar not playing a high risk strategy alienating the UK,and risking them leaving with no deal,which would mean a hard border?

Now is anyone else like me, wondering where this macho Freestate confronting the British was when nationalists were being truly oppressed in the North?

Fair point but don't forget its FG we are talking about. I'd say its killing them to be forced to take a hard line against the unionists. Varadkar is been told what to do and say by europe. If you are in any doubt about that look at how badly he f**ked up with the Fitzgerald thing earlier this week - that's what happens when this clown is left to develop his own strategy

Would say a young gay man like Varadkar has zero tolerance for your typical bigoted DUP Unionist. Whatever he's other leadership qualities, he doesn't appear to be socking it to them against his will. Good to see Sammy Wilson et all soiling their orange trousers. What was Paisley Og doing threatening fisheries. We have more territorial waters than anyone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 01, 2017, 11:32:50 PM
Quote from: weareros on December 01, 2017, 11:23:13 PM
Quote from: straightred on December 01, 2017, 11:01:13 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 01, 2017, 10:47:26 PM
You're confusing the North with normal politics.If c**k ups here resulted in voter punishment the DUP and SF would have been extinct years ago.I told you before Unionists will eat grass before opting for a United Ireland.There is an astonishing lack of understanding of what passes for politics in the North.The whole Health Service,Education system etc is now on the brink of collapse yet neither side will agree on a simple Irish language act and get back into government.The DUP and SF don't lead voters,they are led by voters.

Given that it is a major source of trade for the South is Varadkar not playing a high risk strategy alienating the UK,and risking them leaving with no deal,which would mean a hard border?

Now is anyone else like me, wondering where this macho Freestate confronting the British was when nationalists were being truly oppressed in the North?

Fair point but don't forget its FG we are talking about. I'd say its killing them to be forced to take a hard line against the unionists. Varadkar is been told what to do and say by europe. If you are in any doubt about that look at how badly he f**ked up with the Fitzgerald thing earlier this week - that's what happens when this clown is left to develop his own strategy

Would say a young gay man like Varadkar has zero tolerance for your typical bigoted DUP Unionist. Whatever he's other leadership qualities, he doesn't appear to be socking it to them against his will. Good to see Sammy Wilson et all soiling their orange trousers. What was Paisley Og doing threatening fisheries. We have more territorial waters than anyone.

+1

LV has played a blinder on the border issue, but obviously he had a very strong hand to play once it was obvious how stupid the Tories were being and how little tolerance the EU had for their nonsense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on December 01, 2017, 11:49:34 PM
Tusk's press conference doesn't even feature on the BBC website front news page. Are we over egging the importance of it or are they just ignoring it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 01, 2017, 11:57:55 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on December 01, 2017, 11:49:34 PM
Tusk's press conference doesn't even feature on the BBC website front news page. Are we over egging the importance of it or are they just ignoring it?

The later.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 01, 2017, 11:58:12 PM
I watched news at ten and it was on it, only second behind how much another leader (Trump) has fucked up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: From the Bunker on December 02, 2017, 12:01:07 AM
Quote from: macdanger2 on December 01, 2017, 11:49:34 PM
Tusk's press conference doesn't even feature on the BBC website front news page. Are we over egging the importance of it or are they just ignoring it?

They are treating it like a Comedian would treat an awkward heckle from the audience.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 02, 2017, 12:04:13 AM
Leo is doing the bidding of the EU. Seriously does anyone think the blueshirts would have balls like this if the EU partners weren't egging him on. That said there is a historic opportunity here for a united Ireland. Britain is killing itself and even unionist centre will look their pockets not their flag. Same thing as when a load of them went for a southern passport.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 12:06:33 AM
Even the daily scum dont feature it. The unionists are rattled with the way brexit is going. Still alot to happen yet so wouldn't just be shoutin from the roof tops yet
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 02, 2017, 12:14:15 AM
Do I take it only DUP Unionists voted for Brexit?
I suspect most unionists (small u) want the open border to continue.
The official EU line is that they are supporting a fellow member against a State which is leaving the club.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on December 02, 2017, 12:19:12 AM
Quote from: Itchy on December 02, 2017, 12:04:13 AM
Leo is doing the bidding of the EU. Seriously does anyone think the blueshirts would have balls like this if the EU partners weren't egging him on. That said there is a historic opportunity here for a united Ireland. Britain is killing itself and even unionist centre will look their pockets not their flag. Same thing as when a load of them went for a southern passport.

Why do the EU want the UK screwed on this point?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 02, 2017, 12:23:51 AM
Quote from: macdanger2 on December 02, 2017, 12:19:12 AM
Quote from: Itchy on December 02, 2017, 12:04:13 AM
Leo is doing the bidding of the EU. Seriously does anyone think the blueshirts would have balls like this if the EU partners weren't egging him on. That said there is a historic opportunity here for a united Ireland. Britain is killing itself and even unionist centre will look their pockets not their flag. Same thing as when a load of them went for a southern passport.

Why do the EU want the UK screwed on this point?

The EU support the interests of the EU, which includes us.

The Tories still haven't copped on they will not be getting anything like the deal they have in their heads on any of the key points of Brexit, it's more a case of fantasy butting up against harsh realities.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 02, 2017, 12:30:05 AM
The EU hardly want the yUK screwed over the Irish border issue. More about case of them wanting one of their members happy with the yUK's proposals.
Tommy German on the RTÉ news this evening said there are more official border crossings between the 6 and 26 (310) than on the EU's Eastern Borders with Russia, Belarus,  Moldova and Ukraine.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on December 02, 2017, 12:32:36 AM
That would be my opinion alright - that Ireland don't want a border and the EU is backing us. I was wondering why Itchy was saying that it was something wanted by the EU rather than by the govt in Dublin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 06:04:37 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 02, 2017, 12:14:15 AM
Do I take it only DUP Unionists voted for Brexit?
I suspect most unionists (small u) want the open border to continue.
The official EU line is that they are supporting a fellow member against a State which is leaving the club.
Fearonite catholics may also have voted leave in order to bring about an independent NI where everyone has 2 houses and a pony.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM
For what it's worth after a lot of deliberation  I voted remain.I know of many Catholics up here who voted leave though.

I do share a lot of the Brexiteers concerns though,including mass immigration which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on December 02, 2017, 06:26:26 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM
which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.
That once beautiful town is ruined beyond repair with all of that stuff what town is it again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 07:41:38 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM
For what it's worth after a lot of deliberation  I voted remain.I know of many Catholics up here who voted leave though.

I do share a lot of the Brexiteers concerns though,including mass immigration which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.
Immigration is a function of neoliberalism,  Tony. The onlyway to grow the economy when everything goes to the top is to have more people.
People don't know this. So they blame immigration for everything
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 07:43:51 AM
I was looking an an article from Monday. Liam Fox declared no border decision until the UK agrees a trade deal.  That is what the UK expected .  On Friday Tusk said the border is Ireland's call. Shoulder to shoulder  . Together standing tall.
 This is why the DUP went apeshit.  The EU destroyed the British position. Again.  The UK has zero leverage.
  '
The Brits are retreating on all of their red lines. They are going to pay £40 bn after insisting for a year they would pay nothing . Brexit is falling apart.

It reminds me of FF the week before the bailout. Irresistible force meets nonsense.

https://youtu.be/xSRnZbEHYJg

But now it's the Brits. I wish all the 17th century poets could see this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 02, 2017, 09:20:09 AM
Wait till the UK throws a border poll into the mix, that would sort out the border issue for them once and for all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 02, 2017, 10:09:32 AM
Quote from: rrhf on December 02, 2017, 06:26:26 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM
which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.
That once beautiful town is ruined beyond repair with all of that stuff what town is it again.
I must admit I did laugh out loud at this  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on December 02, 2017, 10:09:50 AM
It's farcical but its great watching. The DUP are getting in everyone's way right now. They don't want to be different from the UK, except when it comes to gay rights and abortion of course  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 10:40:20 AM
Brexit is being run by sons and daughters of bitches.  One of the leading hard Brexit think tanks is the Legatum Institute. They are linked to Liam Fox and want the UK to leave with no deal. If the UK manages to get something sorted out with the US it will need to concede on things such as food standards and food prices . SO chlorine chicken. That will kill Moy park .
NI farmers will be shafted. The US is not my little pony. Bombardier was hit with massive tariffs. Unionist workers will have no chance . Nobody in  the DUP understands economics. 

The saddest thing is that the only outfit standing up for the interests of ordinary methodists and Presbyterians is the southern government.

Imagine if the DUP stood up for its voters like it fights sodomy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 10:50:09 AM
Farmers here get shafted anyway. Similar meat carcasses get more money in england scotland from the the abattoirs than tbey do here. Why is that? This bullshit the dup are spouting about the brits being the norths most important trading partner is laughable...they use us because people are on lower wages so they can get there goods cheaper here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on December 02, 2017, 11:08:26 AM
Varadkar on RTÉ Radio 1 with Marian Finucane now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 02, 2017, 11:09:38 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 02, 2017, 09:20:09 AM
Wait till the UK throws a border poll into the mix, that would sort out the border issue for them once and for all.
Why would they throw a border poll into the mix?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on December 02, 2017, 11:33:02 AM
Odds on UK being talked back down off the cliff edge, i.e Brexit being stopped? Would have to be via 2nd referendum I would expect. Opinions if you had to put a tenner either way?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 11:44:37 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 10:50:09 AM
Farmers here get shafted anyway. Similar meat carcasses get more money in england scotland from the the abattoirs than tbey do here. Why is that? This bullshit the dup are spouting about the brits being the norths most important trading partner is laughable...they use us because people are on lower wages so they can get there goods cheaper here.
I think 80% of farm incomes come from the EU.
Food prices are kept high in Europe.
Not in the US where it is a free for all.
Brexit will slash farm incomes. And reduce food quality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 02, 2017, 12:24:14 PM
When 6 Cos farmers lose the cheque from Brussels what happens?
Or will "Regulatory convergence" see them still getting it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on December 02, 2017, 12:26:35 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 02, 2017, 09:20:09 AM
Wait till the UK throws a border poll into the mix, that would sort out the border issue for them once and for all.
This is now the crux and is a question of timing.  A late winter border poll at this point will trump politics.  Ni people for the most part would vote to remain part of Europe on an island of Ireland, and for the first time since the 1920s economics would trump the politics. Is this varadkars end game?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 02, 2017, 12:34:02 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM


I do share a lot of the Brexiteers concerns though,including mass immigration which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.

FFS Tony, you had a better education than this. Remember cause and effect? Immigration didn't screw Portadown, brutal economic policy screwed Portadown. The immigration has propped the place up where moy park can actually stay open and not fold. You really should know better, go back to your books Tony, remember your studies and stop giving in to hysteric ramblings of incompetent politicians and the ramblings of bar stool economists
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 02, 2017, 12:45:03 PM
QuoteThis is now the crux and is a question of timing.  A late winter border poll at this point will trump politics.  Ni people for the most part would vote to remain part of Europe on an island of Ireland, and for the first time since the 1920s economics would trump the politics. Is this varadkars end game?

The important point in all of this is the fact that neither Tory, Labour or the general UK public want NI to be part of the UK, they are indifferent to the 6 counties and disinterested at best.

With political savvy, Varadkar and Coveney could do more to completely rid the island of Ireland of British government influence than generations of rebellion have ever done.  We're at an historic juncture that should not be squandered.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on December 02, 2017, 12:48:15 PM
 Another option !!!

What about Scotland insisting on keeping the single market and customs union and let a new brexit border be formed between Scotland and England ..... All Ireland and Scotland in Celtic unison
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on December 02, 2017, 12:50:36 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/brexit-dublin-will-be-big-loser-if-it-overplays-hand-and-theres-no-eu-deal-tuvs-allister-36372035.html

Big Jim joining political heavy weight not Hoey claiming Dublin would have to pay for and police the border hmm.
Prof Tonge reckons the DUP have nothing to fear and can collapse the government. He believes the DUP wouldnt lose any seats but the Tories would. Ok fine dont think the "prof" has thought through the obvious consequences ie a pro UI labour government. Defo nothing for the DUP to be worried about  :o
Not to be outdone on the idiotic scale Swann reckons its the Republic that need special status.

A good article just shows how distant from reality Unionism is at the moment
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 01:27:24 PM
I am not talking about the provision of slave labour for food processing companies,though I can't morally agree with that.Eastern European women in the latter stages of their lives cleaning tables and emptying bins in McDonalds isn't an edifying sight either.Surely they would prefer to have a decent standard of living at home to enable them to stay in their native lands instead of trudging across to the other side of Europe.

I'm talking about the ghettoising of an entire erstwhile respectable  area not far from the town centre,where natives now fear to tread after dark.There is another pub in a side street off the town centre with a throng outside it morning,noon and night,where fights do and can erupt at any time.

I see Coveney is the latest to assure Unionists there is no nationalist agenda in operation.Those who think this will lead to a United Ireland,even with Corbyn in No 10,need their heads examined.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 02, 2017, 01:32:54 PM
Weren't an awful lot of places in Portadown unsafe for some of the natives long before any East Europeans came around the place?

As for Brexit - yUK realists  wants to move to a trade deal asap and don't want a "no deal" Brexit. They'll come up with some formula of words to keep us quiet -then in a couple of years they'll renege on it as they've done for centuries.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: An Watcher on December 02, 2017, 01:50:58 PM
It's all about small steps but a border in the Irish Sea would be a slightly larger step, no doubt about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 02:44:12 PM
In todays times the fact that the Irish have the brits by the balls isnt mentioned untill page 10 and at this its only a single column. They are rattled lads
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 02, 2017, 03:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 07:41:38 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM
For what it's worth after a lot of deliberation  I voted remain.I know of many Catholics up here who voted leave though.

I do share a lot of the Brexiteers concerns though,including mass immigration which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.
Immigration is a function of neoliberalism,  Tony. The onlyway to grow the economy when everything goes to the top is to have more people.
People don't know this. So they blame immigration for everything

That is true no matter what type of tested economy you have, tho you could also increase the birth rate.....and up a quota on upward social mobility
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 02, 2017, 04:17:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 02, 2017, 01:32:54 PM
Weren't an awful lot of places in Portadown unsafe for some of the natives long before any East Europeans came around the place?

As for Brexit - yUK realists  wants to move to a trade deal asap and don't want a "no deal" Brexit. They'll come up with some formula of words to keep us quiet -then in a couple of years they'll renege on it as they've done for centuries.
Correct. The UK will say & sign absolutely anything to get a Free Trade deal with EU, they will renege on everything they dont like at their leisure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on December 02, 2017, 04:29:37 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 01:27:24 PM
I am not talking about the provision of slave labour for food processing companies,though I can't morally agree with that.Eastern European women in the latter stages of their lives cleaning tables and emptying bins in McDonalds isn't an edifying sight either.Surely they would prefer to have a decent standard of living at home to enable them to stay in their native lands instead of trudging across to the other side of Europe.

I'm talking about the ghettoising of an entire erstwhile respectable  area not far from the town centre,where natives now fear to tread after dark.There is another pub in a side street off the town centre with a throng outside it morning,noon and night,where fights do and can erupt at any time.

I see Coveney is the latest to assure Unionists there is no nationalist agenda in operation.Those who think this will lead to a United Ireland,even with Corbyn in No 10,need their heads examined.

No Irish politician is going to come out to Unionists and say this is an nationalist agenda and an attempt at a United Ireland by stealth. Have you ever heard the phrase: an Irishman would steal the eye out of your head and tell you you look better without it.

Not everything should be taken at face value. But I agree a UI is a long way off. But a blending of economies by moving the trade border to Britain would make it a hell of a lot closer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 02, 2017, 04:52:50 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 02, 2017, 01:32:54 PM
Weren't an awful lot of places in Portadown unsafe for some of the natives long before any East Europeans came around the place?

As for Brexit - yUK realists  wants to move to a trade deal asap and don't want a "no deal" Brexit. They'll come up with some formula of words to keep us quiet -then in a couple of years they'll renege on it as they've done for centuries.

You pretend like they give enough of a toss about the north to renege on any agreement about the north.

If not for the DUP propping up the Tories they'd have already caved to any demands we have so they can move onto what really matters to them. The UK have been trying to flog the north to us since the days of Churchill ffs. They probably see this as an opportunity to move what they view as an economic basket case nearer to being someone else's problem.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on December 02, 2017, 05:04:02 PM
Genuine question. If the DUP didn't hold the balance of power in the British govt, do you think the Tories would see this as an opportunity to dump the North? Or do they really love us after all?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 02, 2017, 06:29:58 PM
A valid question really. Not one shit could they give. Bigger problem would be south in that scenario wouldn't have us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 06:42:50 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 02, 2017, 03:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 07:41:38 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM
For what it's worth after a lot of deliberation  I voted remain.I know of many Catholics up here who voted leave though.

I do share a lot of the Brexiteers concerns though,including mass immigration which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.
Immigration is a function of neoliberalism,  Tony. The onlyway to grow the economy when everything goes to the top is to have more people.
People don't know this. So they blame immigration for everything

That is true no matter what type of tested economy you have, tho you could also increase the birth rate.....and up a quota on upward social mobility
Joe

If there were payrises there wouldnt be any need for immigration
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 02, 2017, 06:44:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 06:42:50 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 02, 2017, 03:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 07:41:38 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM
For what it's worth after a lot of deliberation  I voted remain.I know of many Catholics up here who voted leave though.

I do share a lot of the Brexiteers concerns though,including mass immigration which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.
Immigration is a function of neoliberalism,  Tony. The onlyway to grow the economy when everything goes to the top is to have more people.
People don't know this. So they blame immigration for everything

That is true no matter what type of tested economy you have, tho you could also increase the birth rate.....and up a quota on upward social mobility
Joe

If there were payrises there wouldnt be any need for immigration

Never become an economist Seafoid.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 02, 2017, 08:37:30 PM
QuoteThey probably see this as an opportunity to move what they view as an economic basket case nearer to being someone else's problem.

The only reason is it a basket case is because of partition, and generations of neglect by its ruling masters in London.  Remove partition and the north will thrive, as will the whole of the island.  A united Ireland is probably not the best term for it given it's connotations to our Unionist neighbours, a 'new' Ireland might be more appropriate where the northern Irish Protestant community will have close to 20% representation vs the current 2% in the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 09:28:25 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 02, 2017, 06:44:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 06:42:50 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 02, 2017, 03:58:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 07:41:38 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 02, 2017, 06:18:57 AM
For what it's worth after a lot of deliberation  I voted remain.I know of many Catholics up here who voted leave though.

I do share a lot of the Brexiteers concerns though,including mass immigration which has turned a once respectable part of my home town into a ghetto with a huge crime rate,loss of sovereignty,needless bureaucracy and over regulation.
Immigration is a function of neoliberalism,  Tony. The onlyway to grow the economy when everything goes to the top is to have more people.
People don't know this. So they blame immigration for everything

That is true no matter what type of tested economy you have, tho you could also increase the birth rate.....and up a quota on upward social mobility
Joe

If there were payrises there wouldnt be any need for immigration

Never become an economist Seafoid.
Tell us what you know about demand Syf.
Are you the only primrose neolib.?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 09:37:15 PM
Just looked into what Ireland buys from the brits and it turns out that the latest import from them is Oil. Now this is why the brits say that Ireland will suffer if the mess with them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 02, 2017, 09:38:50 PM
It's only the dup wishes really need messed with though. The brits don't care that much.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 02, 2017, 09:41:36 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 09:37:15 PM
Just looked into what Ireland buys from the brits and it turns out that the latest import from them is Oil. Now this is why the brits say that Ireland will suffer if the mess with them.

Surely through the the EU Ireland can buy it from another country? And that's a stupid threat as Ireland won't be trading with Britain anyways!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 10:49:26 PM
U would think that but there must be something that we the stupid public dont know
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 02, 2017, 10:57:39 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 02, 2017, 09:41:36 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 09:37:15 PM
Just looked into what Ireland buys from the brits and it turns out that the latest import from them is Oil. Now this is why the brits say that Ireland will suffer if the mess with them.

Surely through the the EU Ireland can buy it from another country? And that's a stupid threat as Ireland won't be trading with Britain anyways!

The UK had a trade surplus with the ROI because a lot of stuff it routed that way. So part of the UK's deficit with other places is the surplus with Ireland.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on December 02, 2017, 11:00:20 PM
I like the way that Leo Varadkar has stood up to the unionists and the brits. Keep it up son!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on December 02, 2017, 11:49:22 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 09:37:15 PM
Just looked into what Ireland buys from the brits and it turns out that the latest import from them is Oil. Now this is why the brits say that Ireland will suffer if the mess with them.

Rockall will be annexed at the opportune moment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on December 03, 2017, 12:22:36 AM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 02, 2017, 05:04:02 PM
Genuine question. If the DUP didn’t hold the balance of power in the British govt, do you think the Tories would see this as an opportunity to dump the North? Or do they really love us after all?

The British will never give up N Ireland under any circumstances ....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: StGallsGAA on December 03, 2017, 12:42:22 AM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 03, 2017, 12:22:36 AM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 02, 2017, 05:04:02 PM
Genuine question. If the DUP didn't hold the balance of power in the British govt, do you think the Tories would see this as an opportunity to dump the North? Or do they really love us after all?

The British will never give up N Ireland under any circumstances ....
British as Finchley... ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 03, 2017, 12:46:27 AM
If the people of Finchley vote to join another State they can.
They also have Waterways Finchey. ......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 03, 2017, 02:07:08 AM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 03, 2017, 12:22:36 AM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 02, 2017, 05:04:02 PM
Genuine question. If the DUP didn't hold the balance of power in the British govt, do you think the Tories would see this as an opportunity to dump the North? Or do they really love us after all?

The British will never give up N Ireland under any circumstances ....

I am surprised anyone could genuinely have such a severely incorrect assumption about Britain's interest in keeping the north of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on December 03, 2017, 09:22:35 AM
Ok so Ni wants to stay part of Europe. Scotland wants to stay also. England and Wales are out on their own. Economic  border at Scotland is not the strangest idea. We could sell stuff to Scotland as well,  like whiskey and fags and they can sell stuff to us like whiskey and fags. We'd be grand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 03, 2017, 09:53:09 AM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/02/tories-war-european-judges-amid-claims-uk-heading-version-brexit/

Malnick, whitehall editor 

2 DECEMBER 2017 • 9:00PM

Theresa May is heading towards a version of Brexit that effectively fails to withdraw Britain from the European Union, a former senior judge and an 
ex-leader of the Tories have warned.

Sir Richard Aikens, a Court of Appeal judge until 2015, told the Prime Minister that a proposed "compromise" on oversight by the European Court of Justice was "dangerous" and would be "tantamount to reversing the result of the 2016 referendum".

His warning comes amid a growing Cabinet row over the plans.

In an article for the Telegraph, Iain Duncan Smith, the former Conservative leader and one of the party's most influential Eurosceptics, agrees with Sir Richard and warns that the move could lead to European judges overseeing trade disputes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 03, 2017, 10:08:15 AM

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/02/prepare-corbyn-government-may-hanging-thread-worlds-largest/

"Theresa May is "hanging on by a thread" and businesses should prepare for a government led by Jeremy Corbyn, the world's largest financial exchange operator has warned.

A paper issued by CME Group entitled "What to Expect from a Prime Minister Corbyn" was sent to investors and business leaders last month, and included a prediction that a Labour government would lead to a possible "nightmare scenario for the pound".

It is one of a series of cases of major organisations preparing for Mr Corbyn coming to power in the weeks Mrs May's minority government has been rocked by a series of damaging rows and Cabinet resignations, as well as growing uncertainty over negotiations with Brussels over Britain's departure from the European Union."

Here is the paper :

http://www.cmegroup.com/education/featured-reports/uk-what-to-expect-from-a-prime-minister-corbyn.html

Very interesting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 03, 2017, 11:09:46 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/03/irish-citizens-special-rights-in-uk-at-risk

Irish citizens in Britain could lose their right to live, work and get NHS services in the country after Brexit, according to a new report that warns that the special status enjoyed by thousands of Irish in the UK is far from secure.

Laws governing their status are a "patchwork" that could fall apart under post-Brexit political and practical pressures, says the report, which comes before Monday's launch of a campaign urging the UK government to pass legislation that would guarantee the longstanding rights of Irish citizens.

The document, drawn up by legal experts on behalf of the Irish Traveller Movement(ITM), concludes that many of the rights currently enjoyed by Irish nationals in the UK exist only because they are EU citizens. It warns that the Irish might be caught up in the so-called "hostile environment" policyon migrants that Theresa May originally created when home secretary, and which critics say is increasingly affecting a much wider range of people. The report highlights a range of scenarios that could arise if the UK ends the special rights of EU citizens without making new legal provision for the Irish. These include exclusion from free NHS treatment, cash benefits and certain social welfare payments.

The lack of clarity on the status of Irish nationals could also make the British citizenship of their children unclear, warns the document.

The ITM commissioned the research following concerns about the impact of Brexit on Irish travellers in Britain, a distinct ethnic minority of about 100,000 people who already face significant prejudice.

The document is released against the background of increased concern about the language used by some sections of the media, as well as among Tory and Ukip politicians who have sought to blame Irelandfor the current impasse in the Brexit talks.

Conor McGinn, a Labour MP, said: "I am very worried about this moment in British and Irish relations. Outside Northern Ireland no one has benefited more from the good relations than the Irish community in Britain, but now people are growing very concerned at some of the rhetoric coming from the Tory backbenches and the rightwing press, which does lend itself to hostility to the Irish community. Increasingly bellicose statements about Ireland do have an impact on that community
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on December 03, 2017, 02:12:56 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1201/924399-brexit-deadline-uk/
Another comprehensive summary from Tony Connelly.
Picking up on Seafoid's quote from Conor McGinn, you really have to ask how McGinn and Kate Hoey could be in the same party? Hoey is MP for Vauxhall, which has a high percentage of people of Irish heritage, particularly in the Labour party. How can she get away with the racist anti-Irish bigotry of recent weeks and not face censure or even de-selection from the Vauxhall Labour party? If anyone has friends or connections there, now is the time to use them. The diaspora are needed to play their part more than ever before.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 02:13:29 PM
Why any Irish person would intentionally live in Britain is a strange one considering (as Seafoid has pointed out, every time!) its economic situation and poor NHS service plus hatred for all things Irish
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 03, 2017, 02:28:21 PM
If the Brexiteers figure out that they can deport the travellers back to Ireland, there'll be no stopping them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 03, 2017, 03:04:02 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 03, 2017, 02:28:21 PM
If the Brexiteers figure out that they can deport the travellers back to Ireland, there'll be no stopping them.
The UK must have more Irish travellers than Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 03, 2017, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Your post code must make you British
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 03, 2017, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Your post code must make you British

What's you point?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 03, 2017, 05:12:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 03, 2017, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Your post code must make you British

What's you point?

Identity isn't tied to where you're born.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 03, 2017, 05:44:25 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 03, 2017, 05:12:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 03, 2017, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Your post code must make you British

What's you point?

Identity isn't tied to where you're born.
If it was you'd be a Rhubarb ;D
Milltown really loves GB/UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:49:09 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 03, 2017, 05:12:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 03, 2017, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Your post code must make you British

What's you point?

Identity isn't tied to where you're born.

And? I just said that just because they have an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish... I've Asian neighbors who have a Pakistan accent but born here.. they won't be deported though, will Irish passport holders be deported  ::)

Quote from: Rossfan on December 03, 2017, 05:44:25 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 03, 2017, 05:12:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 03, 2017, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Your post code must make you British

What's you point?

Identity isn't tied to where you're born.
If it was you'd be a Rhubarb ;D
Milltown really loves GB/UK.

I love where I'm from, if I wanted to move to Roscommon though I could but I heard it's shit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 03, 2017, 10:29:25 PM
Sounded like a softening of attitude from Simon Coveney in his TV interview today ... all Ireland want's is an agreed parameter ref. the border issue, a resolution for it can wait until phase 2 of the negotiations ... hmmm.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 03, 2017, 10:42:08 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 03, 2017, 10:29:25 PM
Sounded like a softening of attitude from Simon Coveney in his TV interview today ... all Ireland want's is an agreed parameter ref. the border issue, a resolution for it can wait until phase 2 of the negotiations ... hmmm.

Imagine that, FG selling northerners down the river. I think that reminds me of something...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 10:45:13 PM
Seems the deal will be done, no issues and a lot of hot air from Dublin
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on December 03, 2017, 10:50:55 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:49:09 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 03, 2017, 05:12:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 03, 2017, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Your post code must make you British

What's you point?

Identity isn't tied to where you're born.

And? I just said that just because they have an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish... I've Asian neighbors who have a Pakistan accent but born here.. they won't be deported though, will Irish passport holders be deported  ::)

Quote from: Rossfan on December 03, 2017, 05:44:25 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 03, 2017, 05:12:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 05:00:41 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 03, 2017, 04:42:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 03:10:15 PM
Just cause they've an Irish accent doesn't make them Irish
Your post code must make you British

What's you point?

Identity isn't tied to where you're born.
If it was you'd be a Rhubarb ;D
Milltown really loves GB/UK.

I love where I'm from, if I wanted to move to Roscommon though I could but I heard it's shit

Roscommon is a demlitrilised zone for quislings, dont be surprised at a well balanced opinion, chip on both shoulders.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 12:23:38 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 03, 2017, 10:45:13 PM
Seems the deal will be done, no issues and a lot of hot air from Dublin

WUM. Without Dublin to hold the line, you'd be eating chlorine chicken á la GM sauce.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:33:58 AM
May took the lead in the border negotiations today, but failed to reach an agreement by midnight.

Hunt seeing the writing on the wall says if the Tories don't back May there will be no Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:21:20 AM
LV could bring about the end of Brexit or at worst tie NI economically to Ireland. Don't know what sort of SF newsletter you're reading to think otherwise MR2.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 05:13:50 AM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:33:58 AM
May took the lead in the border negotiations today, but failed to reach an agreement by midnight.

Hunt seeing the writing on the wall says if the Tories don't back May there will be no Brexit.
The dynamics mean they will probably get rid of her. The Tory party is in  a struggle for its life. It is between Eurosceptics and realists . There was no point in Ireland putting the boot in now .
It is 20 minutes in to ROI v Denmark. May is Martin O Neill.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 09:23:28 AM
From the guardian

"But although the money and citizens' rights issues have been mostly resolved, the future arrangement with Ireland has remained a significant obstacle because the British government has yet to offer a firm commitment explaining how it will guarantee avoiding a return to a hard border after Brexit.


For Ireland, and the EU27 as a whole, the problem has become a potential dealbreaker, with Dublin given an effective veto on progress of talks.

Ireland's deputy prime minister and foreign minister Simon Coveney had said on Sunday morning that Ireland had "no desire" to be a roadblock to progress but said the country wants "concrete" proposals on how a hard border with customs and people checks would be avoided.ü

Coveney told the broadcaster RTE that Monday was "undoubtedly a very big day in the context of Brexit negotiations" and that "certainly the hope is that those meetings will result in a momentum that can be carried into the leaders' summit".

Chances of a deal with British officials had been put at 50:50 on Sunday afternoon, but at midnight Brussels time, officials said an agreement had not been reached.

"Contacts continue at official level in order to reach agreement. There is still a way to go," said an Irish official. "There must be clarity on the need to avoid regulatory divergence which would lead to the re-emergence of a border."

There are 2 things
The Brits are all over the place
If the Eurosceptics win it will be regulatory divergence.

MR will be drinking Chateau Sulfite (6 for £5)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 09:35:32 AM
If there is an NI deal the DUP will be revolting. If the Euroskeptics win another dozen Tories will revolt. An election is quite possible, events are unclear.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 09:36:40 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 03, 2017, 10:42:08 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 03, 2017, 10:29:25 PM
Sounded like a softening of attitude from Simon Coveney in his TV interview today ... all Ireland want's is an agreed parameter ref. the border issue, a resolution for it can wait until phase 2 of the negotiations ... hmmm.

Imagine that, FG selling northerners down the river. I think that reminds me of something...

Do you want to backtrack on that? Coveney in particular has been resolute and admirable in how he has gone about the negotiations. It would be much easier to just agree to whatever the UK propose if he wasn't bothered about the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on December 04, 2017, 09:48:01 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 09:36:40 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 03, 2017, 10:42:08 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 03, 2017, 10:29:25 PM
Sounded like a softening of attitude from Simon Coveney in his TV interview today ... all Ireland want's is an agreed parameter ref. the border issue, a resolution for it can wait until phase 2 of the negotiations ... hmmm.

Imagine that, FG selling northerners down the river. I think that reminds me of something...

Do you want to backtrack on that? Coveney in particular has been resolute and admirable in how he has gone about the negotiations. It would be much easier to just agree to whatever the UK propose if he wasn't bothered about the north.
Agree.  I have no love for FG but LV has done well and Coveney in particular has been excellent through these negotiations.  It has to be said they had an easy hand to play but they are playing it very very well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 10:14:34 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 09:35:32 AM
If there is an NI deal the DUP will be revolting. If the Euroskeptics win another dozen Tories will revolt. An election is quite possible, events are unclear.
It is absolute chaos

Peter Hitchens laid it all out over a year ago. You cannot have a policy without a government. 

https://youtu.be/QUjLmw4bgq0
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 10:15:35 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 09:36:40 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 03, 2017, 10:42:08 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 03, 2017, 10:29:25 PM
Sounded like a softening of attitude from Simon Coveney in his TV interview today ... all Ireland want's is an agreed parameter ref. the border issue, a resolution for it can wait until phase 2 of the negotiations ... hmmm.

Imagine that, FG selling northerners down the river. I think that reminds me of something...

Do you want to backtrack on that? Coveney in particular has been resolute and admirable in how he has gone about the negotiations. It would be much easier to just agree to whatever the UK propose if he wasn't bothered about the north.
They have the backing of the EU which is a huge achievement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on December 04, 2017, 10:25:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 11:44:37 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 10:50:09 AM
Farmers here get shafted anyway. Similar meat carcasses get more money in england scotland from the the abattoirs than tbey do here. Why is that? This bullshit the dup are spouting about the brits being the norths most important trading partner is laughable...they use us because people are on lower wages so they can get there goods cheaper here.
I think 80% of farm incomes come from the EU.
Food prices are kept high in Europe.
Not in the US where it is a free for all.
Brexit will slash farm incomes. And reduce food quality.

The farm subsidies from the EU keep prices lower, when they are gone prices will rise.

Your post makes absolutely no sense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:01:16 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 09:36:40 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 03, 2017, 10:42:08 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 03, 2017, 10:29:25 PM
Sounded like a softening of attitude from Simon Coveney in his TV interview today ... all Ireland want's is an agreed parameter ref. the border issue, a resolution for it can wait until phase 2 of the negotiations ... hmmm.

Imagine that, FG selling northerners down the river. I think that reminds me of something...

Do you want to backtrack on that? Coveney in particular has been resolute and admirable in how he has gone about the negotiations. It would be much easier to just agree to whatever the UK propose if he wasn't bothered about the north.

Yes. I was basing it off what was said in the post I quoted, but the headlines and quotes in this morning's papers and from his appearance on RTE refute that. I actually think Coveney and Varadkar have done a fantastic job so far.

However, if they back down and let the British government away without guaranteeing regulatory convergence for the north and a soft border, I'll go back to being sold out. They have May in a corner and they can't let her out now and postpone the border issue, or it will never be resolved with the interests of this island in mind.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 11:01:38 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on December 04, 2017, 10:25:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 11:44:37 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 10:50:09 AM
Farmers here get shafted anyway. Similar meat carcasses get more money in england scotland from the the abattoirs than tbey do here. Why is that? This bullshit the dup are spouting about the brits being the norths most important trading partner is laughable...they use us because people are on lower wages so they can get there goods cheaper here.
I think 80% of farm incomes come from the EU.
Food prices are kept high in Europe.
Not in the US where it is a free for all.
Brexit will slash farm incomes. And reduce food quality.

The farm subsidies from the EU keep prices lower, when they are gone prices will rise.

Your post makes absolutely no sense.

At least half of the population cannot afford higher food prices.
If the UK is open to US farm exports prices will fall.
Just compare US and UK prices now.
EU policy is to keep people on the land. US policy is laissez faire.
Brits will eND up eating even more industrialised food
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 11:04:01 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:01:16 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 09:36:40 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 03, 2017, 10:42:08 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 03, 2017, 10:29:25 PM
Sounded like a softening of attitude from Simon Coveney in his TV interview today ... all Ireland want's is an agreed parameter ref. the border issue, a resolution for it can wait until phase 2 of the negotiations ... hmmm.

Imagine that, FG selling northerners down the river. I think that reminds me of something...

Do you want to backtrack on that? Coveney in particular has been resolute and admirable in how he has gone about the negotiations. It would be much easier to just agree to whatever the UK propose if he wasn't bothered about the north.

Yes. I was basing it off what was said in the post I quoted, but the headlines and quotes in this morning's papers and from his appearance on RTE refute that. I actually think Coveney and Varadkar have done a fantastic job so far.

However, if they back down and let the British government away without guaranteeing regulatory convergence for the north and a soft border, I'll go back to being sold out. They have May in a corner and they can't let her out now and postpone the border issue, or it will never be resolved with the interests of this island in mind.
There has to be regulatory convergence for the border areas.
Nobody thought Brexit through
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 11:19:16 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on December 04, 2017, 10:25:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 11:44:37 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 10:50:09 AM
Farmers here get shafted anyway. Similar meat carcasses get more money in england scotland from the the abattoirs than tbey do here. Why is that? This bullshit the dup are spouting about the brits being the norths most important trading partner is laughable...they use us because people are on lower wages so they can get there goods cheaper here.
I think 80% of farm incomes come from the EU.
Food prices are kept high in Europe.
Not in the US where it is a free for all.
Brexit will slash farm incomes. And reduce food quality.

The farm subsidies from the EU keep prices lower, when they are gone prices will rise.

Your post makes absolutely no sense.

I think seafoid's post is valid. If Britain opens up trade to cheaper overseas food then food prices may fall, local producers would then have a problem and I wouldn't rely on sufficient subsidy reaching them to make up the difference.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 11:24:35 AM
BREAKING: UK will concede that there will be no "regulatory divergence" on the island of Ireland on the single market and customs union, acc to a draft text seen by @rtenews
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 11:27:13 AM
This is huge - can't believe DUP will support Tory govt if this is their position.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 04, 2017, 11:27:35 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 11:24:35 AM
BREAKING: UK will concede that there will be no "regulatory divergence" on the island of Ireland on the single market and customs union, acc to a draft text seen by @rtenews

Time to get the popcorn! 8)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:32:37 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 11:24:35 AM
BREAKING: UK will concede that there will be no "regulatory divergence" on the island of Ireland on the single market and customs union, acc to a draft text seen by @rtenews

Where have you seen this? Can't see it on their website or RTE News twitter.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 04, 2017, 11:33:42 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:32:37 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 11:24:35 AM
BREAKING: UK will concede that there will be no "regulatory divergence" on the island of Ireland on the single market and customs union, acc to a draft text seen by @rtenews

Where have you seen this? Can't see it on their website or RTE News twitter.

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1204/924815-single-market-eu-negotiations/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1204/924815-single-market-eu-negotiations/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:37:22 AM
Quote from: GJL on December 04, 2017, 11:33:42 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:32:37 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 11:24:35 AM
BREAKING: UK will concede that there will be no "regulatory divergence" on the island of Ireland on the single market and customs union, acc to a draft text seen by @rtenews

Where have you seen this? Can't see it on their website or RTE News twitter.

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1204/924815-single-market-eu-negotiations/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1204/924815-single-market-eu-negotiations/)

Thanks, brilliant news! And as you said, time to watch the fireworks. DUP are screwed either way because if they cause an election they will have "IRA supporter" Corbyn instead.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 11:37:47 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:01:16 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 09:36:40 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 03, 2017, 10:42:08 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 03, 2017, 10:29:25 PM
Sounded like a softening of attitude from Simon Coveney in his TV interview today ... all Ireland want's is an agreed parameter ref. the border issue, a resolution for it can wait until phase 2 of the negotiations ... hmmm.

Imagine that, FG selling northerners down the river. I think that reminds me of something...

Do you want to backtrack on that? Coveney in particular has been resolute and admirable in how he has gone about the negotiations. It would be much easier to just agree to whatever the UK propose if he wasn't bothered about the north.

Yes. I was basing it off what was said in the post I quoted, but the headlines and quotes in this morning's papers and from his appearance on RTE refute that. I actually think Coveney and Varadkar have done a fantastic job so far.

However, if they back down and let the British government away without guaranteeing regulatory convergence for the north and a soft border, I'll go back to being sold out. They have May in a corner and they can't let her out now and postpone the border issue, or it will never be resolved with the interests of this island in mind.

The Brits have a lot of negotiating experience where the short term is all they are concerned about, where long term integrity means absolutely nothing.  The lack of implementation of  " their side of the bargain " in the Good Friday agreement.  Have to say the Irish Government have a massive job on their hands ..... if its down to a choice of words ... we're in trouble .... HOPE I'm wrong
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 04, 2017, 11:58:48 AM
Quote from: GJL on December 04, 2017, 11:33:42 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:32:37 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 11:24:35 AM
BREAKING: UK will concede that there will be no "regulatory divergence" on the island of Ireland on the single market and customs union, acc to a draft text seen by @rtenews

Where have you seen this? Can't see it on their website or RTE News twitter.

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1204/924815-single-market-eu-negotiations/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1204/924815-single-market-eu-negotiations/)

BBC are playing this one cute as usual, the Tory hoors;

"According to RTE's political editor Tony Connelly, a draft text being circulated suggests the UK is set to agree to a key Irish demand - that there would be no "continued regulatory alignment" for businesses in the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland after Brexit."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42217735 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42217735)

No direct British Gov response, just regurgitating the RTE one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 12:00:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 11:19:16 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on December 04, 2017, 10:25:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 02, 2017, 11:44:37 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 02, 2017, 10:50:09 AM
Farmers here get shafted anyway. Similar meat carcasses get more money in england scotland from the the abattoirs than tbey do here. Why is that? This bullshit the dup are spouting about the brits being the norths most important trading partner is laughable...they use us because people are on lower wages so they can get there goods cheaper here.
I think 80% of farm incomes come from the EU.
Food prices are kept high in Europe.
Not in the US where it is a free for all.
Brexit will slash farm incomes. And reduce food quality.

The farm subsidies from the EU keep prices lower, when they are gone prices will rise.

Your post makes absolutely no sense.

I think seafoid's post is valid. If Britain opens up trade to cheaper overseas food then food prices may fall, local producers would then have a problem and I wouldn't rely on sufficient subsidy reaching them to make up the difference.
Farmers don't get cost for some products so from that POV prices are low but a lot of farms are small.
In the US the farms are huge and the food is drenched in antibiotics and chemicals.  So it is way cheaper .
Very ltitle beef would be grass fed for example.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 12:04:38 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 04, 2017, 11:58:48 AM
Quote from: GJL on December 04, 2017, 11:33:42 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:32:37 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 11:24:35 AM
BREAKING: UK will concede that there will be no "regulatory divergence" on the island of Ireland on the single market and customs union, acc to a draft text seen by @rtenews

Where have you seen this? Can't see it on their website or RTE News twitter.

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1204/924815-single-market-eu-negotiations/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1204/924815-single-market-eu-negotiations/)

BBC are playing this one cute as usual, the Tory hoors;

"According to RTE's political editor Tony Connelly, a draft text being circulated suggests the UK is set to agree to a key Irish demand - that there would be no "continued regulatory alignment" for businesses in the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland after Brexit."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42217735 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42217735)

No direct British Gov response, just regurgitating the RTE one.

Sterling is under pressure  . They need a deal.
The Brits are world class at throwing Irish people under the bus . Now may be the DUP''s turn

These are really significant days.

What goes around comes around

https://youtu.be/Slu23kGEw48
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 04, 2017, 12:15:06 PM
(http://i141.photobucket.com/albums/r63/loopyglock/REGALIGN.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 12:21:34 PM
Taoiseach Leo Varadkar has called other party leaders in for special meeting on Brexit meeting on 1.30pm. @IrishTimes
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 04, 2017, 12:22:06 PM
the change is significant is it? no divergence is pretty unequivocal, whereas alignment doesn't have to be
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 12:22:14 PM
The Irish Gov is playing this one very well. Deserves a hurling all star.


https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/04/ireland-no-go-ahead-for-brexit-talks-to-move-on

Asked if she was seeking the impossible from the UK, McEntee said all the Irish government was asking for was "for the UK government to fulfil their commitment" to no hard border as set out in May's Florence speech.

McEntee said it was "not just a customs issue", but also had to be tackled to avoid any future unrest. "We're talking about a return to something of the past where there were huge troubles," she said. "We do not want anything that would trigger any kind of a return to the difficulties of the past." :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 12:25:21 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/04/brexit-talks-deadline-no-breakthrough-ireland-theresa-may-heads/


Britain and the European Union are understood to have agreed there will be regulatory alignment on the island of Ireland to ensure there is no hard border between Northern and Southern Ireland.

Philippe Lamberts, a Belgian MEP,  said that the draft text he had seen on Ireland agrees to "full alignment".

The two sides look very close to a deal on Brexit, with EU officials saying there is an "80 per cent chance and rising" of a settlement to kickstart trade talks.


Nicola Sturgeon(@NicolaSturgeon)

Right now, Ireland is powerfully demonstrating the importance of being independent when it comes to defending your vital national interests


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 04, 2017, 12:36:03 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 12:25:21 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/04/brexit-talks-deadline-no-breakthrough-ireland-theresa-may-heads/


Britain and the European Union are understood to have agreed there will be regulatory alignment on the island of Ireland to ensure there is no hard border between Northern and Southern Ireland.

Philippe Lamberts, a Belgian MEP,  said that the draft text he had seen on Ireland agrees to "full alignment".

The two sides look very close to a deal on Brexit, with EU officials saying there is an "80 per cent chance and rising" of a settlement to kickstart trade talks.


Nicola Sturgeon(@NicolaSturgeon)

Right now, Ireland is powerfully demonstrating the importance of being independent when it comes to defending your vital national interests

Tory mouth on the BBC reporting the same. Her handlers must have let her put it up there.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42221742
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 12:49:38 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 04, 2017, 12:36:03 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 12:25:21 PM
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/04/brexit-talks-deadline-no-breakthrough-ireland-theresa-may-heads/


Britain and the European Union are understood to have agreed there will be regulatory alignment on the island of Ireland to ensure there is no hard border between Northern and Southern Ireland.

Philippe Lamberts, a Belgian MEP,  said that the draft text he had seen on Ireland agrees to "full alignment".

The two sides look very close to a deal on Brexit, with EU officials saying there is an "80 per cent chance and rising" of a settlement to kickstart trade talks.


Nicola Sturgeon(@NicolaSturgeon)

Right now, Ireland is powerfully demonstrating the importance of being independent when it comes to defending your vital national interests

Tory mouth on the BBC reporting the same. Her handlers must have let her put it up there.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-42221742
For years being tied to the UK was all upside. Now the needs of England are more important than the needs of the DUP.

The UUP must be loving this 

The name of the game is power.

https://youtu.be/L3vvn2qOh58
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.



Correct, All-Ireland has won nothing yet
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:31:31 PM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.



Correct, All-Ireland has won nothing yet

We wanted the flexibility the term gives us. It is only a fudge in that it gives us freedom in the event the UK get some fantasy sweetheart trade deal with the EU.

The UK conceded. We won. LV has done more to bring about a united Ireland in a weekend with a pen than Adams has in a lifetime of bloodshed. Get that through your heads.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 01:33:45 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:31:31 PM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.



Correct, All-Ireland has won nothing yet

We wanted the flexibility the term gives us. It is only a fudge in that it gives us freedom in the event the UK get some fantasy sweetheart trade deal with the EU.

The UK conceded. We won. LV has done more to bring about a United Ireland in a weekend than Adams has in a lifetime of bloodshed. Get that through your heads.

Without the GFA, which was brought about in part by Adams, there would have been no international legal basis for special status for the north. Therefore LV is simply building on the work of Adams.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Gs Man on December 04, 2017, 01:34:49 PM
Oohh Ahh, up the.... Regulatory Alignment
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 04, 2017, 01:35:15 PM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.



Correct, All-Ireland has won nothing yet

True, we've seen British double speak long enough to know not to believe a word of it until its acted out.
This time but they're not just dealing with the Shinners and reneging on things in the St Andrews agreements as there's no comeback.
This time its the EU and "no regulatory divergence" will be spelled out in black and white and enforced from Brussels rather than James Connolly House or even the Dail.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rawhide on December 04, 2017, 01:35:59 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:31:31 PM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.



Correct, All-Ireland has won nothing yet

We wanted the flexibility the term gives us. It is only a fudge in that it gives us freedom in the event the UK get some fantasy sweetheart trade deal with the EU.

The UK conceded. We won. LV has done more to bring about a united Ireland in a weekend with a pen than Adams has in a lifetime of bloodshed. Get that through your heads.

the two words 'ass' and 'hole' when put together are for people like you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:38:27 PM
Quote from: Rawhide on December 04, 2017, 01:35:59 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:31:31 PM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.



Correct, All-Ireland has won nothing yet

We wanted the flexibility the term gives us. It is only a fudge in that it gives us freedom in the event the UK get some fantasy sweetheart trade deal with the EU.

The UK conceded. We won. LV has done more to bring about a united Ireland in a weekend with a pen than Adams has in a lifetime of bloodshed. Get that through your heads.

the two words 'ass' and 'hole' when put together are for people like you.

What a pointless, childish post.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on December 04, 2017, 01:49:52 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:38:27 PM
Quote from: Rawhide on December 04, 2017, 01:35:59 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:31:31 PM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.



Correct, All-Ireland has won nothing yet

We wanted the flexibility the term gives us. It is only a fudge in that it gives us freedom in the event the UK get some fantasy sweetheart trade deal with the EU.

The UK conceded. We won. LV has done more to bring about a united Ireland in a weekend with a pen than Adams has in a lifetime of bloodshed. Get that through your heads.

the two words 'ass' and 'hole' when put together are for people like you.

What a pointless, childish post.
Fair play to you to admit that.  Are you withdrawing your post then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 01:50:57 PM
Today's events are the outcome of  the Anglo-Irish agreement signed by Garrett Fitzgerald and Margaret Thatcher in 1985 and of course Margaret Thatcher drove the concept of the Single Market. So Thatcher might need to be upgraded as well as FG, Adams did not contribute to either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on December 04, 2017, 02:04:04 PM
So has Arlene sleepwalked the DUP into a United Ireland?

I stand by my statement when everyone was calling for her head about a year ago. Please keep her she's the best thing to happen to Irish Nationalism in a long time!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 02:04:39 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 01:50:57 PM
Today's events are the outcome of  the Anglo-Irish agreement signed by Garrett Fitzgerald and Margaret Thatcher in 1985 and of course Margaret Thatcher drove the concept of the Single Market. So Thatcher might need to be upgraded as well as FG, Adams did not contribute to either.
Nigel Farage should be given the freedom of Dublin
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 02:06:27 PM
Very bad news for Kerry. A hard border might have made it possible to beat Down and Tyrone in the month of September.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 02:08:21 PM
From the outset I could never understood the DUP stance of being strong advocates of Brexit. It was like turkeys voting for Christmas and so it is coming to pass. We still don't know the full details of this border agreement but if it is a de facto economic united Ireland then the unionists really only have themselves to blame here. There will be plenty of initial anger on their side but the fact that Sinn Fein are not involved in making any agreement undoubtedly will ease it a little and make it easier to stomach. Economically in every sense the deal makes perfect sense though given that the majority of citizens voted to remain. They simply just can't see past the constitutional issue.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 04, 2017, 02:11:43 PM
Quote from: Rawhide on December 04, 2017, 01:35:59 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 01:31:31 PM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 04, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 04, 2017, 12:58:20 PM
Key phrase "no regulatory divergence"

If we get "continued alignment" that's a fudge and means nothing to anybody, other than a hurdle passed by May.



Correct, All-Ireland has won nothing yet

We wanted the flexibility the term gives us. It is only a fudge in that it gives us freedom in the event the UK get some fantasy sweetheart trade deal with the EU.

The UK conceded. We won. LV has done more to bring about a united Ireland in a weekend with a pen than Adams has in a lifetime of bloodshed. Get that through your heads.
Or west and brit
the two words 'ass' and 'hole' when put together are for people like you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 04, 2017, 02:13:58 PM
Might yet be all for naught if stage II talks fail and the UK go 'hard', or if Tories shaft May and elect Boris/alternative hardline Brexiteer as leader, or if UK changes mind altogether re: Brexit.

Utterly paradoxical that the best chance pro-Brexit DUP had of maintaining the status quo was to Remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:14:08 PM
Breaking: DUP leader Arlene Foster accuses Irish government of 'seeking to unilaterally change' Good Friday Agreement after Brexit deal reports.

Foster: 'We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:15:26 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:14:08 PM
Breaking: DUP leader Arlene Foster accuses Irish government of 'seeking to unilaterally change' Good Friday Agreement after Brexit deal reports.

Foster: 'We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom'

Sign of things to come when a United Ireland is eventually brought about through a referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Il Bomber Destro on December 04, 2017, 02:15:56 PM
It will be great when the Northern Command start running this island.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 04, 2017, 02:19:46 PM
Quote from: Il Bomber Destro on December 04, 2017, 02:15:56 PM
It will be great when the Northern Command start running this island.

Could you expand on that because it sounds completely stupid so far
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 02:21:34 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:14:08 PM
Breaking: DUP leader Arlene Foster accuses Irish government of 'seeking to unilaterally change' Good Friday Agreement after Brexit deal reports.

Foster: 'We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom'

Arlene's latest hit

https://youtu.be/j-fWDrZSiZs

Available on chlorine chicken records
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Il Bomber Destro on December 04, 2017, 02:22:33 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on December 04, 2017, 02:19:46 PM
Quote from: Il Bomber Destro on December 04, 2017, 02:15:56 PM
It will be great when the Northern Command start running this island.

Could you expand on that because it sounds completely stupid so far

How does it sound stupid?

A United Ireland is nearing and SF attract the most votes across the 32 counties. It would be great to see the Northern Command running the country.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 02:25:38 PM
Quote from: mouview on December 04, 2017, 02:13:58 PM
Might yet be all for naught if stage II talks fail and the UK go 'hard', or if Tories shaft May and elect Boris/alternative hardline Brexiteer as leader, or if UK changes mind altogether re: Brexit.

Utterly paradoxical that the best chance pro-Brexit DUP had of maintaining the status quo was to Remain.
The longer the circus goes on the less support there will be for a hard Brexit .
The DUP allied themselves with fruitcakes. Tough titty for them.  There was no £350m per week. Inflation post sterling collapse is costing £400 m perweek.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 02:27:17 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:14:08 PM
Breaking: DUP leader Arlene Foster accuses Irish government of 'seeking to unilaterally change' Good Friday Agreement after Brexit deal reports.

Foster: 'We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom'

More grunt from Arlene, fairly predictable though. She is like a broken record at this stage and the DUP have no-one to blame but themselves. She has been like a godsend for nationalists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Everyone wants to remain now!

NI, Scotland and now London (who knows/cares about Wales in fairness).

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan:
"Huge ramifications for London if Theresa May has conceded that it's possible for part of the UK to remain within the single market & customs union after Brexit. Londoners overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU and a similar deal here could protect tens of thousands of jobs."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 02:32:01 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 02:27:17 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:14:08 PM
Breaking: DUP leader Arlene Foster accuses Irish government of 'seeking to unilaterally change' Good Friday Agreement after Brexit deal reports.

Foster: 'We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom'

More grunt from Arlene, fairly predictable though. She is like a broken record at this stage and the DUP have no-one to blame but themselves. She has been like a godsend for nationalists.
She must be looking for money



Arlene Foster's statement in full

Here is Arlene Foster's statement in full. She did not take questions.

We have been very clear: Northern Ireland must leave the European Union on the same terms as the rest of the United Kingdom and we will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separate Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the UK. And the economic and constitutional integrity of the United Kingdom must not be compromised in any way.

And Her Majesty's government understands the position of this party. The prime minister has told the House of Commons that there will be no border in the Irish Sea. And the prime minister has been clear that the UK is leaving the European Union as a whole, that the territorial and economic integrity of the United Kingdom will be protected.

For our part, of course, we do want to see a sensible Brexit, a Brexit where the common travel area is continued, where we meet our financial obligations, where we have a strict, time-limited implementation period, and where the contribution of EU migrants to our economy is recognised in a practical manner.

The Republic of Ireland government for their part claim to be guarantors of the Belfast agreement but they are clearly seeking to unilaterally change that Belfast agreement without out input or our consent. And of course we will not stand for that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 02:49:34 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 02:32:01 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 02:27:17 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:14:08 PM
Breaking: DUP leader Arlene Foster accuses Irish government of 'seeking to unilaterally change' Good Friday Agreement after Brexit deal reports.

Foster: 'We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom'

More grunt from Arlene, fairly predictable though. She is like a broken record at this stage and the DUP have no-one to blame but themselves. She has been like a godsend for nationalists.
She must be looking for money



Arlene Foster's statement in full

Here is Arlene Foster's statement in full. She did not take questions.

We have been very clear: Northern Ireland must leave the European Union on the same terms as the rest of the United Kingdom and we will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separate Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the UK. And the economic and constitutional integrity of the United Kingdom must not be compromised in any way.

And Her Majesty's government understands the position of this party. The prime minister has told the House of Commons that there will be no border in the Irish Sea. And the prime minister has been clear that the UK is leaving the European Union as a whole, that the territorial and economic integrity of the United Kingdom will be protected.

For our part, of course, we do want to see a sensible Brexit, a Brexit where the common travel area is continued, where we meet our financial obligations, where we have a strict, time-limited implementation period, and where the contribution of EU migrants to our economy is recognised in a practical manner.

The Republic of Ireland government for their part claim to be guarantors of the Belfast agreement but they are clearly seeking to unilaterally change that Belfast agreement without out input or our consent. And of course we will not stand for that.

Rather than sling mud at the 2 governments she needs to have a look at her own party's Brexit stance from the outset. They couldn't see past their inward thinking and the 'Little Englander' mentality that meant that they adapted a Brexit stance. They can't have it both ways, they voted for Brexit yet don't want to accept the consequences of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 04, 2017, 03:05:28 PM
Arlene, Arlene, Arlene, Arlene
You're begging of us, please don't take your land
Arlene, Arlene, Arlene, Arlene
You say please don't take it just because we can

Your bitterness is beyond compare
And power you do refuse to share
With a stony face and eyes that cannot see

Your frown is like a stinking bin
Your voice is like the cat dragged in
They call you Mrs. Misery, Arlene

Do you have nightmares in your sleep?
There's nothing you can do to keep
Your Brexit dreams from dying, oh Arlene

Your ugliness is beyond compare
You look like John Parrott the snooker player
Your bigotry is poison, oh Arlene

Arlene, Arlene, Arlene, Arlene
You're wrecking the peace we have on this island
Arlene, Arlene, Arlene, Arlene
In America you would be in the Klan

And you should easily understand
That we can thrown you down the can
But you mean nothing to us, oh Arlene

Oh, Arlene, what's it gonna be?
A border in the Irish sea
Or your economy destroyed by you, Arlene

We have to have this talk with you
If you don't want lots of border queues
You better make your mind up, oh Arlene

You thought you had political clout
But the Brits are gonna sell you out
Today you learned you're just a pawn, Arlene

Arlene, Arlene, Arlene, Arlene
You're crazy, you don't even have a plan
Arlene, Arlene, Arlene, Arlene
We'll separate you from the mainland

Death will come from a thousand cuts
In your statelet full of Bible nuts
If you don't sort out the border, oh Arlene

Your politics is so corrupt
And you clearly want to self-destruct
And Brexit's gonna turn to ash, Arlene

Your sanity is on the verge
'Cause regulation will converge
You've only got one card to play, Arlene

You can bring down Tessie May
And put Jeremy Corbyn in her place
But that will not be good for you, Arlene

Arlene, Arlene, Arlene, Arlene
Get down and beg or we're gonna take your land
Arlene, Arlene, Arlene, Arlene
We're gonna take it just because we can

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on December 04, 2017, 03:05:58 PM
(https://cdn-03.independent.ie/incoming/article36377087.ece/f05b6/AUTOCROP/w620/leo%20.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:25:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

That's the brainless "nationalist" hypocrisy for you, I proudly voted for Brexit and would do so hundred times over. Living in a UK out of the EU is arguably more nationalist than living in an Ireland in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:26:37 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:25:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

That's the brainless "nationalist" hypocrisy for you, I proudly voted for Brexit and would do so hundred times over.

Knowing that Ireland was going to remain in the EU? So you're an advocate for partition then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:31:11 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:26:37 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:25:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

That's the brainless "nationalist" hypocrisy for you, I proudly voted for Brexit and would do so hundred times over.

Knowing that Ireland was going to remain in the EU? So you're an advocate for partition then?

Partition is out of my hands and always will be, a unified Ireland will never happen because the southerners will never want it, my opinion is meaningless on the matter, we Ulstermen have to take what we can get, if that's a UK out of the EU then that's it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 04, 2017, 03:37:30 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:25:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

That's the brainless "nationalist" hypocrisy for you, I proudly voted for Brexit and would do so hundred times over. Living in a UK out of the EU is arguably more nationalist than living in an Ireland in the EU.

OF course its more nationalist.....British Nationalist
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 03:41:05 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:25:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

That's the brainless "nationalist" hypocrisy for you, I proudly voted for Brexit and would do so hundred times over. Living in a UK out of the EU is arguably more nationalist than living in an Ireland in the EU.

;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:41:32 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 04, 2017, 03:37:30 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:25:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

That's the brainless "nationalist" hypocrisy for you, I proudly voted for Brexit and would do so hundred times over. Living in a UK out of the EU is arguably more nationalist than living in an Ireland in the EU.

OF course its more nationalist.....British Nationalist

Still we are a Celtic Briton people regardless of the last 400 years of history. I'd rather be a British nationalist than have Europe seep their way under our skins.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 03:44:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

If the 6C voted to leave the EU by a margin of 60-40, the south could hardly then say they're representing the north's interests. May could say that the north wanted to leave. There'd be no real basis for the north securing any sort of special status as a clear majority wanted to leave. Look at all the foreign (including British) media coverage of the border problem and a huge amount of it is focused on how the north voted quite heavily to remain, that all border areas voted were heavy remain areas. There wouldn't be so much international attention or sympathy around the issue had nationalists in general, and the north as a whole, voted to leave.

To answer your second question, comparing the EU to the British Government in terms of which takes away more independence isn't really practical.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:49:39 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Everyone wants to remain now!

NI, Scotland and now London (who knows/cares about Wales in fairness).

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan:
"Huge ramifications for London if Theresa May has conceded that it's possible for part of the UK to remain within the single market & customs union after Brexit. Londoners overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU and a similar deal here could protect tens of thousands of jobs."

Full House!

Carwyn Jones‏Verified account
@fmwales
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We cannot allow different parts of the UK to be more favourably treated than others. If one part of the UK is granted continued participation in the Single Market & Customs Union, then we fully expect to be made the same offer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 03:50:41 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:41:32 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 04, 2017, 03:37:30 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:25:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

That's the brainless "nationalist" hypocrisy for you, I proudly voted for Brexit and would do so hundred times over. Living in a UK out of the EU is arguably more nationalist than living in an Ireland in the EU.

OF course its more nationalist.....British Nationalist

Still we are a Celtic Briton people regardless of the last 400 years of history. I'd rather be a British nationalist than have Europe seep their way under our skins.

Obvious WUM is obvious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 03:54:31 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:49:39 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Everyone wants to remain now!

NI, Scotland and now London (who knows/cares about Wales in fairness).

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan:
"Huge ramifications for London if Theresa May has conceded that it's possible for part of the UK to remain within the single market & customs union after Brexit. Londoners overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU and a similar deal here could protect tens of thousands of jobs."

Full House!

Carwyn Jones‏Verified account
@fmwales
Follow Follow @fmwales
More
We cannot allow different parts of the UK to be more favourably treated than others. If one part of the UK is granted continued participation in the Single Market & Customs Union, then we fully expect to be made the same offer.
Even more chaotic than a Galway hurling board meeting
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:55:45 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 04, 2017, 03:50:41 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:41:32 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 04, 2017, 03:37:30 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 03:25:26 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

That's the brainless "nationalist" hypocrisy for you, I proudly voted for Brexit and would do so hundred times over. Living in a UK out of the EU is arguably more nationalist than living in an Ireland in the EU.

OF course its more nationalist.....British Nationalist

Still we are a Celtic Briton people regardless of the last 400 years of history. I'd rather be a British nationalist than have Europe seep their way under our skins.

Obvious WUM is obvious.

Just because I'm not wasting my life campaigning for a unified Ireland that will never happen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on December 04, 2017, 03:57:40 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:49:39 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Everyone wants to remain now!

NI, Scotland and now London (who knows/cares about Wales in fairness).

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan:
"Huge ramifications for London if Theresa May has conceded that it's possible for part of the UK to remain within the single market & customs union after Brexit. Londoners overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU and a similar deal here could protect tens of thousands of jobs."

Full House!

Carwyn Jones‏Verified account
@fmwales
Follow Follow @fmwales
More
We cannot allow different parts of the UK to be more favourably treated than others. If one part of the UK is granted continued participation in the Single Market & Customs Union, then we fully expect to be made the same offer.

Did Wales not vote to leave?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:59:56 PM
Hold the horses:

BREAKING: Brexit latest: 'Despite our best efforts and significant effort we have made... it was not possible to reach a complete agreement today', says Jean-Claude Juncker
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 04:00:17 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 04, 2017, 03:57:40 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:49:39 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Everyone wants to remain now!

NI, Scotland and now London (who knows/cares about Wales in fairness).

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan:
"Huge ramifications for London if Theresa May has conceded that it's possible for part of the UK to remain within the single market & customs union after Brexit. Londoners overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU and a similar deal here could protect tens of thousands of jobs."

Full House!

Carwyn Jones‏Verified account
@fmwales
Follow Follow @fmwales
More
We cannot allow different parts of the UK to be more favourably treated than others. If one part of the UK is granted continued participation in the Single Market & Customs Union, then we fully expect to be made the same offer.

Did Wales not vote to leave?
Only just. 52.5%
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 04:05:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 04:00:17 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 04, 2017, 03:57:40 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:49:39 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Everyone wants to remain now!

NI, Scotland and now London (who knows/cares about Wales in fairness).

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan:
"Huge ramifications for London if Theresa May has conceded that it's possible for part of the UK to remain within the single market & customs union after Brexit. Londoners overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU and a similar deal here could protect tens of thousands of jobs."

Full House!

Carwyn Jones‏Verified account
@fmwales
Follow Follow @fmwales
More
We cannot allow different parts of the UK to be more favourably treated than others. If one part of the UK is granted continued participation in the Single Market & Customs Union, then we fully expect to be made the same offer.

Did Wales not vote to leave?
Only just. 52.5%

1. Wales had a majority who voted leave
2. The north had a majority who voted to remain
3. There is a big difference in comparing the northern part of a separate island to mainland UK given the land border and over 300 crossings. It's not a reasonable comparision. 

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 04:27:02 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:49:39 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Everyone wants to remain now!

NI, Scotland and now London (who knows/cares about Wales in fairness).

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan:
"Huge ramifications for London if Theresa May has conceded that it's possible for part of the UK to remain within the single market & customs union after Brexit. Londoners overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU and a similar deal here could protect tens of thousands of jobs."

Full House!

Carwyn Jones‏Verified account
@fmwales
Follow Follow @fmwales
More
We cannot allow different parts of the UK to be more favourably treated than others. If one part of the UK is granted continued participation in the Single Market & Customs Union, then we fully expect to be made the same offer.

If there's a deal done for a soft border, it won't be because 60% of the North voted Remain. It will be because it will cost a fortune to maintain dozens of border crossings. Nothing else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 04, 2017, 04:39:43 PM
No final agreement yet folks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on December 04, 2017, 04:42:18 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 04, 2017, 04:39:43 PM
No final agreement yet folks.
Dunno whether the leaks came from the UK or EU side, but I'd imagine it made it very hard to finalise the agreement given the outside reaction
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 04, 2017, 05:22:59 PM
he phoned Arlene and Arlene said No!  Plus some Tories on the fence

She'll have to go looking for extra votes, maybe she'll offer Scotland the same deal for SNP support :D . Would imagine she'll hardly go to Labour... JC might see it as his chance to turn the screw
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 04, 2017, 05:27:07 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 04:27:02 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 03:49:39 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 04, 2017, 02:30:41 PM
Everyone wants to remain now!

NI, Scotland and now London (who knows/cares about Wales in fairness).

Mayor of London Sadiq Khan:
"Huge ramifications for London if Theresa May has conceded that it's possible for part of the UK to remain within the single market & customs union after Brexit. Londoners overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU and a similar deal here could protect tens of thousands of jobs."

Full House!

Carwyn Jones‏Verified account
@fmwales
Follow Follow @fmwales
More
We cannot allow different parts of the UK to be more favourably treated than others. If one part of the UK is granted continued participation in the Single Market & Customs Union, then we fully expect to be made the same offer.

If there's a deal done for a soft border, it won't be because 60% of the North voted Remain. It will be because it will cost a fortune to maintain dozens of border crossings. Nothing else.

Thats got virtually nothing to do with it

Id imagine Brussels would happily pay for them to protect the customs area
The cost to a compromised EU customs area would make the cost of policing border crossings look like a pittance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 04, 2017, 05:31:55 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 04, 2017, 05:22:59 PM
he phoned Arlene and Arlene said No!  Plus some Tories on the fence

She'll have to go looking for extra votes, maybe she'll offer Scotland the same deal for SNP support :D . Would imagine she'll hardly go to Labour... JC might see it as his chance to turn the screw

This is better than any film that's been out the past year!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 05:38:59 PM
Once again British play the Orange Card.I don't think a specific referendum in the North would return a remain vote now.Unionist voters would be mobilised and energised to vote en masse to Leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 05:41:40 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:48:23 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 02:30:18 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 04, 2017, 02:27:32 PM
So if a soft border pisses off unionists, and the North remains as it is, should all nationalists in the North not have voted for Brexit in the first place?

Some of them did but it was important that the north as a whole voted strongly to remain. I voted against Brexit but hoped that enough votes for it in England would lead to them leaving.

Was it? Why?

Many nationalists don't want to be in the UK, ie. a Union with Britain. Why would they want to be in a union with 20 odd others?

This is a rather odd comparison and not for the first time. It is a bit like saying that you wouldn't like to share a cell in jail and so why would you want share a house with your wife.


Quote from: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 04:05:24 PM

1. Wales had a majority who voted leave
2. The north had a majority who voted to remain
3. There is a big difference in comparing the northern part of a separate island to mainland UK given the land border and over 300 crossings. It's not a reasonable comparision. 


Actually it is quite the opposite, the proposal today is to remove checks on roads and local journeys and move them to handful of ports.
If Wales or Scotland get a similar provision it would be the other way around.

oileán amháin, margadh amháin

Perhaps we should invite the Isle of Man in though.

Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 05:38:59 PM
Once again British play the Orange Card.I don't think a specific referendum in the North would return a remain vote now.Unionist voters would be mobilised and energised to vote en masse to Leave.

Unionists are not a majority and the North Down/South Belfast crowd would still vote with their wallets.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 05:46:05 PM
If they do continue with this morning's proposal and London, Scotland and Wales get no deal, it'll be amusing seeing May etc justifying this without giving the biggest and most obvious reason: it's a different country!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 05:47:03 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 05:38:59 PM
Once again British play the Orange Card.I don't think a specific referendum in the North would return a remain vote now.Unionist voters would be mobilised and energised to vote en masse to Leave.
A vote now would include costs. 90% remain
Brexit is  a scam
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 05:55:23 PM
Whether it is no border or a hard border the DUP loses. Brexit will hit its voters where it hurts.  The people behind Brexit are cruel bastards who work for ultra rich individuals who do not care about ordinary loyal protestant schmucks.

Brexit is George Carlin territory

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtgfzzwoyK4

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 06:04:27 PM
DUP pull the plug on a deal that would help its own citizens move more freely, trade more efficiently etc. Complete crackpots.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 04, 2017, 06:08:37 PM
There's the role of the ECJ in guaranteeing citizens' rights still not resolved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on December 04, 2017, 06:12:09 PM
I gave up trying to make sense of Brexit ages ago.

I have never been convinced by any argument of the Leavers. Even less convinced the more I hear of those chinless hoors like Gove, Johnson, Redwood, Rees-Mog etc.

I am no FG-ler but I think Varadker and Coveney are playing serious senior hurling here and hats off to them.

Enda would have rolled over ages ago.

We're saving the UK from themselves.  :P

One only wonders had Mick Collins faced the likes of May not only would we have a United Ireland but we may have got Scotland and Rockall as well!!  ::)



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 04, 2017, 06:16:06 PM
It'll be interesting to see why the DUP pulled the pin. I'd imagine it's not an issue that's going to be smoothed over with another bribe. Could end with a minority Tory government going solo for a while -leading to an election in the near future as the Tories will only accept the tail wagging the dog for a very short period of time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 04, 2017, 06:27:46 PM
Check out @DUPleader's Tweet: https://twitter.com/DUPleader/status/937692999697485825?s=09

"The ROI Government claim to be guarantors of the Belfast Agreement yet they clearly seeking to change it unilaterally without our input or consent'.

Guessing the UK government had some input Arlene.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 04, 2017, 06:29:26 PM
Are DUPUDA upset that they were sidelined or afraid they mightn't be uber Brits any more?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 04, 2017, 06:32:00 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 04, 2017, 06:16:06 PM
It'll be interesting to see why the DUP pulled the pin. I'd imagine it's not an issue that's going to be smoothed over with another bribe. Could end with a minority Tory government going solo for a while -leading to an election in the near future as the Tories will only accept the tail wagging the dog for a very short period of time.

The DUP had to pull the pin, accepting the North as seperate to the rest of the UK is only the first step in their eyes. I just can't for the life of me understand why May sunk the knee to them. Either way she has committed political suicide, as the Tories are now being dictated to by 10 MP's with very public views on alot of outside the box things. It's great to watch, and if our dear supreme leader Michelle has any sense, she will give no press briefings and let the noose tighten around Arlene. It's great.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on December 04, 2017, 06:54:14 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 04, 2017, 06:16:06 PM
It'll be interesting to see why the DUP pulled the pin. I'd imagine it's not an issue that's going to be smoothed over with another bribe. Could end with a minority Tory government going solo for a while -leading to an election in the near future as the Tories will only accept the tail wagging the dog for a very short period of time.

I think a minority government would survive longer than the mainstream media would have us believe.  IMO the middle ground Labour MPs that rarely get the headlines but accept brexit don't have the appetite for another election, don't want to risk further damage to UK business and actually put their voters first.  If the DUP don't accept "regulatory alignment" then they'll not accept any single markets differences.  I think think if they consulted their voters they'd find that these freedoms are very important, particularly in relation to trade.  I reckon the PM's ready to cut them loose.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 07:04:03 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 04, 2017, 06:32:00 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 04, 2017, 06:16:06 PM
It'll be interesting to see why the DUP pulled the pin. I'd imagine it's not an issue that's going to be smoothed over with another bribe. Could end with a minority Tory government going solo for a while -leading to an election in the near future as the Tories will only accept the tail wagging the dog for a very short period of time.

The DUP had to pull the pin, accepting the North as seperate to the rest of the UK is only the first step in their eyes. I just can't for the life of me understand why May sunk the knee to them. Either way she has committed political suicide, as the Tories are now being dictated to by 10 MP's with very public views on alot of outside the box things. It's great to watch, and if our dear supreme leader Michelle has any sense, she will give no press briefings and let the noose tighten around Arlene. It's great.

Exactly, the best course of action from SF is to stay in the background and watch the DUP self destruct further as the whole thing unravels. I don't understand either why May was dictated to by the DUP because the alternative (government collapse or no DUP influence) would be far worse for them and I don't think they will actually carry through with the threat to withdraw support in any case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 04, 2017, 07:08:22 PM
It's a pause more than a stop. This is the DUP creating the illusion they have some control. In a few days the same deal will be agreed with some such shite added as "northern Ireland is part ok UK blah blah blah..." The DUP are out of road thanks to their own ignorance and stupidity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 07:12:45 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on December 04, 2017, 06:12:09 PM
One only wonders had Mick Collins faced the likes of May not only would we have a United Ireland but we may have got Scotland and Rockall as well!!  ::)

I think we should ask for the Isle of Man this time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 04, 2017, 07:14:58 PM
May is fooked. There's one man that needs serious respect out of all this...Boris Johnson...took about leading the army up the mountain then deserting them. Good enough for the brits, and good enough for all the DUP turkeys who voted for Christmas. I just hope now Varadkar has the cajones to hold on and not give an inch because Arlene the man is essentially calling him a non-entity in the the whole process...the only woman who can call you out like that is your mother.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 07:32:12 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 04, 2017, 07:14:58 PM
May is fooked. There's one man that needs serious respect out of all this...Boris Johnson...took about leading the army up the mountain then deserting them. Good enough for the brits, and good enough for all the DUP turkeys who voted for Christmas. I just hope now Varadkar has the cajones to hold on and not give an inch because Arlene the man is essentially calling him a non-entity in the the whole process...the only woman who can call you out like that is your mother.

Not to mention the irony of wee Sammy Wilson labelling all Irish politicians as a bunch of chancers!! It should have been a great day for the northern economy since the deal on offer had the potential to attract serious inward investment to the north but the DUP are so entrenched that they went against the wishes of the majority of people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on December 04, 2017, 07:37:30 PM
That's very true. The DUP think that good economics is seeing how far you can stretch out your arm.  Where's NI's self-help in this decision?  Can't see Conservatives putting up with this much longer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2017, 08:17:07 PM
Brexit is like this

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=TMCthi3pFEQ
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 08:22:29 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2017, 08:17:07 PM
Brexit is like this

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=TMCthi3pFEQ
Or this

https://youtu.be/Zat9CRfUr-E
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2017, 08:41:09 PM
Peter Hain talking sense, common sense approach, leave but stay in the single market and customs union for everyone! Ireland wins,  jobs are safer business will stay..He thinks that's the way it will go
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 04, 2017, 08:47:17 PM
Common sense hasn't been very apparent thus far but hope you are right!

The whole thing is a farce.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 04, 2017, 08:53:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2017, 08:41:09 PM
Peter Hain talking sense, common sense approach, leave but stay in the single market and customs union for everyone! Ireland wins,  jobs are safer business will stay..He thinks that's the way it will go

Sounds great but UK would not really be leaving much then. I can't see the back bencher euro sceptics going for that option. I think what was on the table today is what will actually happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 04, 2017, 08:53:19 PM
Is it just me or is Theresa May in over her head?

Why would you announce a deal before running it by the people propping up your government? I could understand her not knowing the DUP would be opposed to it since she's English and by default hasn't a clue about Ireland, but, Christ...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 09:05:33 PM
Quote from: GJL on December 04, 2017, 08:53:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2017, 08:41:09 PM
Peter Hain talking sense, common sense approach, leave but stay in the single market and customs union for everyone! Ireland wins,  jobs are safer business will stay..He thinks that's the way it will go

Sounds great but UK would not really be leaving much then. I can't see the back bencher euro sceptics going for that option. I think what was on the table today is what will actually happen.

Can't see the Brits going for that option, to stay in the sigle market there would need to be free movement of labour - and one of the reasons many people voted to leave was their belief that unfettered immigration was a bad thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 04, 2017, 09:08:05 PM
Would there be anything to be said for another Brexit referendum, Ted?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 09:13:07 PM
The Brits are all over the place. There is zero leadership.

Guardian

The BBC's Laura Kuenssberg said the deal had been "sunk" by the DUP, which reacted angrily to reports of concessions on the Irish border issue and whose support May is relying on in parliament.Leo Varadkar, the Irish prime minister, announced he was "disappointed and surprised" that the draft text agreed by Dublin was not signed off by the UK and EU today. He said May agreed a deal she could not subsequently deliver. at 8.04pm GMT

H ere's how key members of the remain and leave camps reacted to the deal falling through today.

Former Ukip leader Nigel Farage called for May to "leave office now", saying that proposals for regulatory alignment in Ireland were "a bitter betrayal".

"Theresa May has got to go," said Farage. "If we want to leave the EU, she's got to leave office now."

Nigel Farage(@Nigel_Farage)

This UK Government's bitter betrayal of 17.4 million people today is a concession too far, for it will lead to endless problems in Scotland and it damages the integrity of the United Kingdom.

December 4, 2017

The Labour leader, Jeremy Corbyn, blamed the failure to make progress on the "grubby deal" with the DUP.

He said: 

The real reason for today's failure is the grubby deal the government did with the DUP after the election ... Each passing day provides further evidence that Theresa May's government is completely ill-equipped to negotiate a successful Brexit deal for our country.

DUP MP and Brexit spokesman Sammy Wilson said regulatory alignment was "simply EU-speak for keeping Northern Ireland inside customs union and inside the single market".

He went on: 

[Treating Northern Ireland differently] will have huge implications for her whole negotiating stance and if she gives in on special demands for Northern Ireland then she will be giving in on special demands for Scotland and other parts of the United Kingdom. It's a unionist nightmare.

Remain supporter Anna Soubry, a Tory MP, said that no Conservatives wanted Northern Ireland treated differently from the rest of the UK. The "simple solution" would be for the whole of the UK to remain in the single market and customs union, she said. 

Anna Soubry MP(@Anna_Soubry)

Staying in #SingleMarket & #CustomsUnion is the best solution for everyone. It will unite our country & settle our economic future.

December 4, 2017

The executive director of the Open Britain campaign against hard Brexit, James McGrory, agreed:

There is a solution that would solve all of these problems for the government, which is to keep the whole of the UK in the single market and the customs union. That would avoid a hard border in Ireland, ensure a level playing field for businesses across our islands, and protect trade with the EU, which buys almost half of everything we export.

A spokesman for the Leave Means Leave campaign, which is backed by many senior Tory Brexiteers, said:

We welcome confirmation from the Prime Minister, at the earliest opportunity, that she will completely rule out any proposal to treat Northern Ireland differently to the rest of the United Kingdom.

Eloise Todd, of the anti-Brexit Best for Britain campaign, said it seemed clear that Arlene Foster and the DUP were calling the shots and now are running the government.

She added:

Labour and Conservative remain-minded MPs outnumber this sad little rump by more than 10 to one. It is time for these people to stand up and make themselves heard.



Fintan O'Toole, columnist the Irish Times, says Brexiters have underestimated the Irish border issue.

There may be some way to go, but today we moved much closer to a British climbdown on the question of the Irish border after Brexit. And this will turn an acrimonious debate on its head. So far, we've been talking about the implications of Brexit for Ireland. Now we have to talk about the implications of Ireland for Brexit.

It is not just that Britain's weakness in its negotiations with the European Unionhas been made even more starkly clear. On the three issues on which "sufficient progress" had to be made – people, money and Ireland – Britain seems likely to suffer a hat-trick of defeats.

Its concessions in the talks on the border issue are not yet official, and may seem more abstract and less visceral than its retreats on the divorce bill and the rights of EU citizens in the UK; but they may prove to be much more fundamental and much more problematic for the whole Brexit project. There is a sense here of the return of the repressed: the Brexiters pretended Ireland did not exist
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2017, 09:36:02 PM
Tony?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 04, 2017, 09:39:13 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 04, 2017, 09:08:05 PM
Would there be anything to be said for another Brexit referendum, Ted?

I think dougal's negotiating powers would be up there with theresa may's.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Don Johnson on December 04, 2017, 09:42:30 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 09:26:17 PM
I agree with Foster and I dislike the woman, get the wall built, why keep a connection with a country who doesn't and never will want us? It's foolery of the highest order. You just have to look at every last discussion of a unified Ireland to see the real view of the average southerner, we are a foreign people to them.

I think there is some truth in it too, even with trivial things like celebrities, if I see Liam Neeson on tv I think "there's one of our own", I was watching a Saoirse Ronan interview the other day and couldn't relate to her at all.

I'm an Irish nationalist but when the southerners don't want a unified Ireland why keep pushing for it? It's them who are traitors not me.

Bore off, you are the worst WUM on here in ages. Have you never heard of subtlety?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 09:45:36 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 09:44:12 PM
Quote from: Don Johnson on December 04, 2017, 09:42:30 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 09:26:17 PM
I agree with Foster and I dislike the woman, get the wall built, why keep a connection with a country who doesn't and never will want us? It's foolery of the highest order. You just have to look at every last discussion of a unified Ireland to see the real view of the average southerner, we are a foreign people to them.

I think there is some truth in it too, even with trivial things like celebrities, if I see Liam Neeson on tv I think "there's one of our own", I was watching a Saoirse Ronan interview the other day and couldn't relate to her at all.

I'm an Irish nationalist but when the southerners don't want a unified Ireland why keep pushing for it? It's them who are traitors not me.

Bore off, you are the worst WUM on here in ages. Have you never heard of subtlety?

and this is the worst place for true discussion, any viewpoint that differs from the norm is viewed as trolling
Why don't you leave if you don't like it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 04, 2017, 09:49:38 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 09:26:17 PM
I agree with Foster and I dislike the woman, get the wall built, why keep a connection with a country who doesn't and never will want us? It's foolery of the highest order.

It is true that the country does not want you and Arlene Foster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ONeill on December 04, 2017, 09:52:32 PM
Serious confusion in Muff.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 09:54:31 PM
It never ceases to amaze me how Northern Unionism always prevails.It's a concept I dislike as well.The Northern statelet itself (you know the one that the Brits intended to be a temporary arrangement) will soon be one hundred years old.They don't care who likes or dislikes them,and more importantly they stick rigidly to principles,even in the face of ridicule,criticism,insult etc.


In a perverse way their resilience and determination is almost admirable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on December 04, 2017, 09:58:09 PM
Quote from: trentoneill15 on December 04, 2017, 09:26:17 PM
I agree with Foster and I dislike the woman, get the wall built, why keep a connection with a country who doesn't and never will want us? It's foolery of the highest order. You just have to look at every last discussion of a unified Ireland to see the real view of the average southerner, we are a foreign people to them.

I think there is some truth in it too, even with trivial things like celebrities, if I see Liam Neeson on tv I think "there's one of our own", I was watching a Saoirse Ronan interview the other day and couldn't relate to her at all.

I'm an Irish nationalist but when the southerners don't want a unified Ireland why keep pushing for it? It's them who are traitors not me.

Wrt your first paragraph I can't say I know anyone who thinks the people in NI as foreigners. Maybe I'm not an average southerner in your eyes because I'm married to a Fermanagh woman.

Your second paragraph is your own opinion, but if you saw 2 people, one from Belcoo, the other from Blacklion talking would you immediately align yourself to the Belcoo person?

Who exactly are you referring to in your last paragraph? All people in the 26 or what?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 10:02:20 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 09:54:31 PM
It never ceases to amaze me how Northern Unionism always prevails.It's a concept I dislike as well.The Northern statelet itself (you know the one that the Brits intended to be a temporary arrangement) will soon be one hundred years old.They don't care who likes or dislikes them,and more importantly they stick rigidly to principles,even in the face of ridicule,criticism,insult etc.


In a perverse way their resilience and determination is almost admirable.
They used to be pragmatic. That was changed to dogmatic
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 04, 2017, 10:03:58 PM
Breaking up really is hard to do...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQD3At3E7TA
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 04, 2017, 10:09:32 PM
Can ye all ignore that floot?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 10:12:21 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 09:54:31 PM
It never ceases to amaze me how Northern Unionism always prevails.It's a concept I dislike as well.The Northern statelet itself (you know the one that the Brits intended to be a temporary arrangement) will soon be one hundred years old.They don't care who likes or dislikes them,and more importantly they stick rigidly to principles,even in the face of ridicule,criticism,insult etc.


In a perverse way their resilience and determination is almost admirable.

Of all the adjectives I can think of to describe hardline unionism, 'admirable' would not be amongst them.

The deal on offer has the potential to be a game changer for the northern economy yet is being obstructed by the DUP who are going against the wishes of the majority of its own citizens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 10:13:10 PM
I wonder what will happen now. The DUP can't hold the trade negotiations up. Will May dump them and try to get a different coalition partner? Would les shinners drop the absenteeism for the sake of a UI minus ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 04, 2017, 10:17:52 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 09:54:31 PM
It never ceases to amaze me how Northern Unionism always prevails.It's a concept I dislike as well.The Northern statelet itself (you know the one that the Brits intended to be a temporary arrangement) will soon be one hundred years old.They don't care who likes or dislikes them,and more importantly they stick rigidly to principles,even in the face of ridicule,criticism,insult etc.


In a perverse way their resilience and determination is almost admirable.

Agree with first sentence but definitely not your last.

They are still due egg on their face here i think though.

They really are ludicrous. A united ireland is still a pipe dream but they are so insecure they can't see they're doing "the union" more harm than good. The economic consequences went from possibly beneficial to absolutely crap in one phonecall.

They are irony personified too talking about the irish government not respecting the gfa. I wonder do they have a wee meeting and a laugh as they decide what patronising shite to come out with next.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 04, 2017, 10:19:43 PM
The absenteeism shall never be dropped unless the oath is. I see some of Trent's points, the south's attitude towards the north at times is disappointing, but I'm sure it's the same with Londoners and Manc's or Boston people towards California people, just par for the course. Arlene is slowly becoming to SF what Paisley was for the IRA up until 2007. She's a walking PR disaster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 10:24:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 10:13:10 PM
I wonder what will happen now. The DUP can't hold the trade negotiations up. Will May dump them and try to get a different coalition partner? Would les shinners drop the absenteeism for the sake of a UI minus ?

Most likely the DUP might get a promise of 'a few more quid' then will be told to wind their necks in and not to be holding up Brexit talks. A deal to be struck by the end of the week with the false pretence of a slight change in text to appease them.  The British government to survive and stumble onwards to phase 2.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 10:33:11 PM
 

Guardian

Foster swiftly put out a statement insisting that she would not accept any special status for Northern Ireland as the UK left the EU in March 2019.

Speaking at Stormont, she noted the speculation emerging from ­negotiations. "We have been very clear," she said. "Northern Ireland must leave the EU on the same terms as the rest of the United Kingdom. We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom. The economic and constitutional integrity of the United Kingdom will not be compromised in any way," she said.

Charge of the Light brigade 2.0
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 04, 2017, 10:42:09 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 10:13:10 PM
I wonder what will happen now. The DUP can't hold the trade negotiations up. Will May dump them and try to get a different coalition partner? Would les shinners drop the absenteeism for the sake of a UI minus ?
Usually these sorts of talks end in a fudge with the can kicked down the road. There's much less scope for that this time.

The DUP have backed themselves into a corner. Remember, this is a party that has pulled out of Stormont for nearly a year over an Irish Language Act.

Why would they move when they think this is the stepping stone to a united Ireland?

The Irish government, quite rightly, will not move a centimetre.

May has no room to move. She's trapped between the DUP on one side and the insane hard Brexiteers on the other. Even if NI got special status, the Scots, the Welsh and London will want the same.

She doesn't have the balls to take on the Tory Brexit nuts, and none of them have the balls to move against her because they don't want to be left with the shitshow.

The DUP don't want to move against May because they don't want Corbyn.

The whole thing is darkly hilarious.

Utter humiliation is ultimately the only thing that will save Britain.

They're certainly going the right way about bringing that about.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 10:47:46 PM
I cannot think of any situation when Unionist obstinacy or threat etc actually was detrimental to their cause.They don't care who likes or dislikes or ridicules them,all settlements are invariably on their terms (during the GFA negotiations a United Ireland wasn't even on the table for discussion) and they have preserved the statelet on their terms for almost 100 years.

May cannot even push this through with their consent,even if it was forthcoming.To do so sets a precedent for Scotland and the City of London etc,which in effect would mean no Brexit.

I would bet money that there will be timber back on the border and after the usual huffing,puffing,moaning and baying at the moon from the various strains of Irish nationalism,they will settle down,meekly accept the border and more than likely persuade their electorate to endorse it in a referendum as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 10:49:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 04, 2017, 10:33:11 PM


Guardian

Foster swiftly put out a statement insisting that she would not accept any special status for Northern Ireland as the UK left the EU in March 2019.

Speaking at Stormont, she noted the speculation emerging from ­negotiations. "We have been very clear," she said. "Northern Ireland must leave the EU on the same terms as the rest of the United Kingdom. We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom. The economic and constitutional integrity of the United Kingdom will not be compromised in any way," she said.

Charge of the Light brigade 2.0

Except for the fact that they want harmonisation of corporation tax rates and don't want laws supporting abortion and gay marriage. Hypocrites.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Targetman on December 04, 2017, 10:50:34 PM
Why do RTE have that wee bigoted prat Bryson on tonight, can't stand him for obvious reasons!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 10:51:25 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 10:47:46 PM
I cannot think of any situation when Unionist obstinacy or threat etc actually was detrimental to their cause.They don't care who likes or dislikes or ridicules them,all settlements are invariably on their terms (during the GFA negotiations a United Ireland wasn't even on the table for discussion) and they have preserved the statelet on their terms for almost 100 years.

May cannot even push this through with their consent,even if it was forthcoming.To do so sets a precedent for Scotland and the City of London etc,which in effect would mean no Brexit.

I would bet money that there will be timber back on the border and after the usual huffing,puffing,moaning and baying at the moon from the various strains of Irish nationalism,they will settle down,meekly accept the border and more than likely persuade their electorate to endorse it in a referendum as well.

Apart from the clause stating that it can happen when a majority in the 6C want it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 10:56:20 PM
Quote from: Targetman on December 04, 2017, 10:50:34 PM
Why do RTE have that wee bigoted prat Bryson on tonight, can't stand him for obvious reasons!!

RTE really should know better, he has no mandate yet receives a disproportionate amount of air time. His utterances are comical at times nonetheless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: randomusername on December 04, 2017, 10:56:53 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 10:47:46 PM
I cannot think of any situation when Unionist obstinacy or threat etc actually was detrimental to their cause.They don't care who likes or dislikes or ridicules them,all settlements are invariably on their terms (during the GFA negotiations a United Ireland wasn't even on the table for discussion) and they have preserved the statelet on their terms for almost 100 years.

May cannot even push this through with their consent,even if it was forthcoming.To do so sets a precedent for Scotland and the City of London etc,which in effect would mean no Brexit.

I would bet money that there will be timber back on the border and after the usual huffing,puffing,moaning and baying at the moon from the various strains of Irish nationalism,they will settle down,meekly accept the border and more than likely persuade their electorate to endorse it in a referendum as well.

Well they went from running the place by themselves to sharing power with the SDLP and then sharing power with the Shinners. It's only gonna get worse for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 04, 2017, 10:57:37 PM
With no border deal, there is no trade deal.

The only way to keep a somewhat open border in that case is under WTO rules with the UK deciding not to implement tariffs on goods and services from the Republic.

My understanding is that under the WTO's "most favoured country" rule, if the UK then continued to have no tariffs for the Republic of Ireland, it has to have no tariffs for the rest of the world? That would absolutely cripple the UK's economy.

But this is a one way thing, and the UK would still have to pay tariffs?

Can anybody more expert in this area tell me - is this so?



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 04, 2017, 10:58:48 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 10:47:46 PM
I cannot think of any situation when Unionist obstinacy or threat etc actually was detrimental to their cause.They don't care who likes or dislikes or ridicules them,all settlements are invariably on their terms (during the GFA negotiations a United Ireland wasn't even on the table for discussion) and they have preserved the statelet on their terms for almost 100 years.

May cannot even push this through with their consent,even if it was forthcoming.To do so sets a precedent for Scotland and the City of London etc,which in effect would mean no Brexit.

I would bet money that there will be timber back on the border and after the usual huffing,puffing,moaning and baying at the moon from the various strains of Irish nationalism,they will settle down,meekly accept the border and more than likely persuade their electorate to endorse it in a referendum as well.

You must have been asleep for the last few weeks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 10:59:56 PM
Not worth the paper it's written on.The UK and Dublin Governments will not even contemplate allowing a border poll,even though unionists are in the minority In Stormont currently.

An even worse scenario for Dublin than a hard border would be to take the North on board.

BTW I know one Catholic up here who is as staunch a Brexiteer as you will find,and I'm sure there is a lot more too.

Unionists "shared" power but always exercised a veto,hence Sinn Fein's decision to walk away
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 04, 2017, 11:00:23 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 04, 2017, 10:57:37 PM
With no border deal, there is no trade deal.

The only way to keep a somewhat open border in that case is under WTO rules with the UK deciding not to implement tariffs on goods and services from the Republic.

My understanding is that under the WTO's "most favoured country" rule, if the UK then continued to have no tariffs for the Republic of Ireland, it has to have no tariffs for the rest of the world? That would absolutely cripple the UK's economy.

But this is a one way thing, and the UK would still have to pay tariffs?

Can anybody more expert in this area tell me - is this so?

I'm far from an expert but to the best of my knowledge, that is true. They could leave no border here and implement a border for everywhere else in the world, breaking WTO rules and leaving themselves open to retaliation from everywhere. Or leave no border here, and open the UK up to tariff and quota free trade from every other country in the world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 04, 2017, 11:03:05 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 09:54:31 PM
It never ceases to amaze me how Northern Unionism always prevails.It's a concept I dislike as well.The Northern statelet itself (you know the one that the Brits intended to be a temporary arrangement) will soon be one hundred years old.They don't care who likes or dislikes them,and more importantly they stick rigidly to principles,even in the face of ridicule,criticism,insult etc.


In a perverse way their resilience and determination is almost admirable.

They haven't prevailed they have committed suicide and they deal will be done
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on December 04, 2017, 11:21:36 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 10:59:56 PM
Not worth the paper it's written on.The UK and Dublin Governments will not even contemplate allowing a border poll,even though unionists are in the minority In Stormont currently.

An even worse scenario for Dublin than a hard border would be to take the North on board.

BTW I know one Catholic up here who is as staunch a Brexiteer as you will find,and I'm sure there is a lot more too.

Unionists "shared" power but always exercised a veto,hence Sinn Fein's decision to walk away
I'd have no doubt you run in some weird circles.  I have yet to meet anyone like the "nationlists" you describe. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 04, 2017, 11:26:57 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 10:59:56 PM


Unionists "shared" power but always exercised a veto,hence Sinn Fein's decision to walk away
The ultimate veto by SF then.
One good thing to come out of this will be less and less Catholics/Nationalists happy to vote for the status quo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 04, 2017, 11:37:45 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 04, 2017, 11:26:57 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 10:59:56 PM


Unionists "shared" power but always exercised a veto,hence Sinn Fein's decision to walk away
The ultimate veto by SF then.
One good thing to come out of this will be less and less Catholics/Nationalists happy to vote for the status quo.

Why? Arlene Foster is doing and saying exactly the type of things that SF always accused her of? This will only strengthen SF's mandate and vote. Her bigotry is being played out in front of the whole of Europe if not the world. Again SF should just let her keep talking. And the whole status quo argument wears thin about Catholics and Nationalists when you look at the Nationalist representative results.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 04, 2017, 11:41:55 PM
Could you explain your last sentence?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 04, 2017, 11:46:05 PM
The Westminster results.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:07:29 AM
Quote from: ONeill on December 04, 2017, 09:52:32 PM
Serious confusion in Muff.

This is a family thread!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:09:45 AM
Anyone remember the ending of Lock Stock and Two Smoking Barrels?

These Brexit talks feel like that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 05, 2017, 12:31:00 AM
Sam McBride nailing it here . . .

https://inews.co.uk/essentials/news/politics/analysis-something-dup-government-story-today-doesnt-add/amp/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on December 05, 2017, 01:02:35 AM
Surprised how many people think this will actually backfire on the DUP. Even the South Belfast/North Down middle class will drink the kool aid and keep voting for them and accept Foster's attempt to lay the blame on Varadkar's door. Doesn't matter what she or any of the rest of them do or say, any subsequent fallout for the PUL community will ALWAYS be down to those pesky, meddling taigs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 05, 2017, 01:22:49 AM
Quote from: gallsman on December 05, 2017, 01:02:35 AM
Surprised how many people think this will actually backfire on the DUP. Even the South Belfast/North Down middle class will drink the kool aid and keep voting for them and accept Foster's attempt to lay the blame on Varadkar's door. Doesn't matter what she or any of the rest of them do or say, any subsequent fallout for the PUL community will ALWAYS be down to those pesky, meddling taigs.

Their own ultras will think that, but others generally from a unionist background will not.
Interesting perspective on Slugger
https://sluggerotoole.com/2017/12/04/how-brexit-is-destroying-nis-centre-ground-and-could-take-the-union-with-it/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 05, 2017, 04:09:01 AM
Quote from: screenexile on December 05, 2017, 12:31:00 AM
Sam McBride nailing it here . . .

https://inews.co.uk/essentials/news/politics/analysis-something-dup-government-story-today-doesnt-add/amp/

Might seem closer to the mark alright. Sure the DUP new about the deal and voiced their opposition in public the past fortnight. Was it an attempt to drive a wedge between Dublin and Brussels?
So maybe there is a bit of grandstanding going on but really what changes?

Border issue remains
DUP wont budge
Dublin wont budge
Hard Brexit with hard border? Pro business Tories and remainers wont stand for it
Soft Brexit with all of the UK regulartory aligned with the EU? Brexiters wont stand for it.

So....... what gives in the next week or so? Something of the above has to.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 05, 2017, 04:10:14 AM
BTW fair fooks to Leo Varaker yid need some balls on ye to wear thon vest
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 05:42:09 AM
Quote from: gallsman on December 05, 2017, 01:02:35 AM
Surprised how many people think this will actually backfire on the DUP. Even the South Belfast/North Down middle class will drink the kool aid and keep voting for them and accept Foster's attempt to lay the blame on Varadkar's door. Doesn't matter what she or any of the rest of them do or say, any subsequent fallout for the PUL community will ALWAYS be down to those pesky, meddling taigs.

If the DUP have a veto the UK will leave without any deal. WTO rules  . The UK economy will crash. This will not be good for NI.
The markets know this.. Sterling will probably get another tanking this week. It always does when the politics fail 1
100 years ago the Unionists threw their toys out of the pram and messed up Ireland for a century. Will they do the same to England now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 05:51:13 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 05, 2017, 04:09:01 AM
Quote from: screenexile on December 05, 2017, 12:31:00 AM
Sam McBride nailing it here . . .

https://inews.co.uk/essentials/news/politics/analysis-something-dup-government-story-today-doesnt-add/amp/

Might seem closer to the mark alright. Sure the DUP new about the deal and voiced their opposition in public the past fortnight. Was it an attempt to drive a wedge between Dublin and Brussels?
So maybe there is a bit of grandstanding going on but really what changes?

Border issue remains
DUP wont budge
Dublin wont budge
Hard Brexit with hard border? Pro business Tories and remainers wont stand for it
Soft Brexit with all of the UK regulartory aligned with the EU? Brexiters wont stand for it.

So....... what gives in the next week or so? Something of the above has to.

There is no leadership in the UK. May has no authority. The DUP is like a Dáil  independent vetoing business because it wants 4 extra ambulances for Waterford regional hospital. Except it's not about ambulances any more. It's about the economic future of London. The future of the NHS .
The UK has a constitutional crisis.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 06:30:48 AM
There doesn't seem to be a great deal of Political leadership anywhere.Varadkar is hardly Napoleon,the USA opted to the comedy option etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 06:32:26 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 06:30:48 AM
There doesn't seem to be a great deal of Political leadership anywhere.Varadkar is hardly Napoleon,the USA opted to the comedy option etc.

I'll tell you Tony where there's 3 great leaders, Russia, China and North Korea.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 07:22:39 AM
Yes.

Yesterday by the way proved my point,in demonstrating how little understanding both London and Dublin have of the complexities of politics in the North.We are not,on either side,amenable or persuaded by reason,logic or economics,we prioritise an Irish Language Act over a failing Health Service,or avoidance of nominal borders in the Irish Sea over economic potential because it makes us different from the UK.

It also is very clear that Dodds is the  real DUP leader,an Oxbridge graduate with far more political experience and dare I say it,ability,than anyone on the nationalist side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 07:28:07 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 05, 2017, 01:22:49 AM
Quote from: gallsman on December 05, 2017, 01:02:35 AM
Surprised how many people think this will actually backfire on the DUP. Even the South Belfast/North Down middle class will drink the kool aid and keep voting for them and accept Foster's attempt to lay the blame on Varadkar's door. Doesn't matter what she or any of the rest of them do or say, any subsequent fallout for the PUL community will ALWAYS be down to those pesky, meddling taigs.

Their own ultras will think that, but others generally from a unionist background will not.
Interesting perspective on Slugger
https://sluggerotoole.com/2017/12/04/how-brexit-is-destroying-nis-centre-ground-and-could-take-the-union-with-it/
That slugger article is excellent. I wonder who funds the DUP.
I can't imagine most voters are that extremist, even for Unionists. The DUP is a miserable outfit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 07:52:04 AM
Seafoid most voters are extremist up here,in that they default to the most macho party on their side to rival the other side's most macho party,that's why the DUP and SF are both so strong.In a lot of cases votes are cast simply to keep the other side out,not on the basis of reason or logic.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 05, 2017, 08:08:50 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 07:22:39 AM
Yes.

Yesterday by the way proved my point,in demonstrating how little understanding both London and Dublin have of the complexities of politics in the North.We are not,on either side,amenable or persuaded by reason,logic or economics,we prioritise an Irish Language Act over a failing Health Service,or avoidance of nominal borders in the Irish Sea over economic potential because it makes us different from the UK.

It also is very clear that Dodds is the  real DUP leader,an Oxbridge graduate with far more political experience and dare I say it,ability,than anyone on the nationalist side.

Yesterday showed in the clearset possible terms that both the London and Dublin governments are MUCH more in tune with the views of ordinary Nationalists in the wee 6 than the DUP.

Which takes your idiotic utopian NI idea and throws it off a cliff.  But in fairness, it was a load of shite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 08:23:53 AM
Doesn't matter about being in tune with anyone.Fact is unionism won again.

My so called utopian view of the North is such that yesterday wouldn't occur,because the toxic competing ideologies of Ulster Unionism and Irish Nationalism would no longer exist as political forces,but would be instead replaced by one Northern Irish community not owing divisive misplaced allegiances to other sovereign states who,as yesterday proved beyond doubt,neither value nor understand us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 05, 2017, 08:35:48 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 08:23:53 AM
Doesn't matter about being in tune with anyone.Fact is unionism won again.

My so called utopian view of the North is such that yesterday wouldn't occur,because the toxic competing ideologies of Ulster Unionism and Irish Nationalism would no longer exist as political forces,but would be instead replaced by one Northern Irish community not owing divisive misplaced allegiances to other sovereign states who,as yesterday proved beyond doubt,neither value nor understand us.

;D ;D ;D
Seriously??  Are you banking on all the current unionists and nationalists leaving or are they just going to stop having political views?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on December 05, 2017, 08:43:00 AM
Tony,
You are an intelligent guy of a similar age to me but am shocked that you could see this place working.
I am not a shinner but I share their goals  as regards unification as does my family and friends
Northern Ireland is never going to function properly as a state with two competing identities.
Unionism would rather this place is an economic wasteland than allow Dublin any say.
Nationalism sees unity in sight albeit may be decades away.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 08:58:18 AM
Naka,I see no future persisting with unionism and nationalism.It is divisive,and can provide no basis for anything other than at best stalemate.Yesterday if they could have done it,the British would have sold the unionists down the river,Dublin would and has done likewise to northern nationalists.Sinn Fein,the de facto voice of Northern nationalism is despised in Dublin ten times as much as the DUP

Therefore what is the point tearing ourselves apart with misguided allegiances to these two states who neither care about us or understand us? I personally think it would be hard enough to fuse northern Catholics into a United Ireland now,given the cultural differences (opposition to same sex marriage etc) never mind unionists



Some form of independence up here,with support in the interim from London,Dublin and the EU,would be a starting point that would render both unionism and nationalism obsolete.As an eminent surgeon,John Robb said,both Britain and Ireland should jointly renounce all sovereign claims to the North as a starting point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 09:30:47 AM
In effect they already have in the GFA.
Sovereignty rests with the voters of the 6 Cos.

Anyway the train is being put back on the rails
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1205/925045-government-border-negotiations/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 09:44:28 AM
Sovereignty always rested with the voters of the six counties.I remember there was a border poll in the early 70s.This concept long predates the GFA.

The problem is the UK with full agreement of Dublin won't even permit a border poll,even though unionism is in the minority in terms of Stormont seats.Let's be honest,if there was by some miracle unanimous support for a United Ireland here tomorrow,Dublin would crap itself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 09:59:32 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 07:52:04 AM
Seafoid most voters are extremist up here,in that they default to the most macho party on their side to rival the other side's most macho party,that's why the DUP and SF are both so strong.In a lot of cases votes are cast simply to keep the other side out,not on the basis of reason or logic.
voters don't tend to want to pauperise themselves. Even if they speak ulster Scots
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 10:01:04 AM
They don't think even about economics or anything else.As long as themmuns are kept out or unhappy that's all that matters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on December 05, 2017, 10:02:14 AM
RTE should have kept their mouths shut!!!  >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:03:54 AM
Ive ran out of popcorn! whats happening now?

Ive got my wine in for the weekend.. Tesco doing 25% on six or more bottles.. 4.69 a pop that works out at! decent plonk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 05, 2017, 10:07:02 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 09:44:28 AM
Sovereignty always rested with the voters of the six counties.I remember there was a border poll in the early 70s.This concept long predates the GFA.

The problem is the UK with full agreement of Dublin won't even permit a border poll,even though unionism is in the minority in terms of Stormont seats.Let's be honest,if there was by some miracle unanimous support for a United Ireland here tomorrow,Dublin would crap itself.

Aye Tony, they have to give back 13 billion they don't want, where are they going to put the additional tax revenues and economic benefits of a 32 county economy?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 10:07:32 AM
The thing about the DUP is that they havé offered no coherent alternative . Arlene says all the businesses she has spoken to want to follow England since it is their biggest market. But Brexit will shrink the UK economy  . Workers rights will be protected in the SM.

Who is funding the DUP?  This is much, much worse than marches.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:09:00 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 10:07:32 AM
The thing about the DUP is that they havé offered no coherent alternative . Arlene says all the businesses she has spoken to want to follow England since it is their biggest market. But Brexit will shrink the UK economy  . Workers rights will be protected in the SM.

Who is funding the DUP?  This is much, much worse than marches.

Pro brexit businesses?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on December 05, 2017, 10:11:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 10:07:32 AM

Who is funding the DUP?  This is much, much worse than marches.
They apparently had a very expensive dinner the night before the conference the other week.  Not sure we'll see many pics in the Ulster Tatler.
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 10:01:04 AM
They don't think even about economics or anything else.As long as themmuns are kept out or unhappy that's all that matters.
This is sadly so true. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 05, 2017, 10:22:06 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 07:22:39 AM
Yes.

Yesterday by the way proved my point,in demonstrating how little understanding both London and Dublin have of the complexities of politics in the North.We are not,on either side,amenable or persuaded by reason,logic or economics,we prioritise an Irish Language Act over a failing Health Service,or avoidance of nominal borders in the Irish Sea over economic potential because it makes us different from the UK.

It also is very clear that Dodds is the  real DUP leader,an Oxbridge graduate with far more political experience and dare I say it,ability,than anyone on the nationalist side.

Nigel Dodds are you serious
A man that once encouraged grown up bigots to verbally abuse children going to school at holy cross in Belfast has ability to do what. Politicians of great ability have a knack of appealing to all sides and bring compromises that can accomadte everybody
His education didn't learn him anything as he is one of the most entrenched bigots up here
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 05, 2017, 10:26:05 AM
If there was any chance of N.Ireland getting the £1 Billion DUP bung I'd say it is gone now!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 10:34:50 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:09:00 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 10:07:32 AM
The thing about the DUP is that they havé offered no coherent alternative . Arlene says all the businesses she has spoken to want to follow England since it is their biggest market. But Brexit will shrink the UK economy  . Workers rights will be protected in the SM.

Who is funding the DUP?  This is much, much worse than marches.

Pro brexit businesses?
Like who?


The City is pro remain.Sterling is anti Brexit. 
A hard Brexit will hurt DUP voters

The government permanent, sustained
by the regular plebiscites of loyalty.
You always voted but never
put a sticker on your car;
a card in the window
would not have been seen from the street.
Faces changed on posters, names too, often,
but the same families, the same class of people.
A Minister once called you by your first name.
You coasted along
and the sores supperated and spread.



Now the fever is high and raging;
Who would have guessed it, coasting along?
The ignorant-sick thresh about in delirium
And tear at the scabs with dirty finger-nails.
The cloud of infection hangs over the city,
A quick change of wind and it
Might spill over the leafy suburbs.
You coasted along.


John Hewitt 1969









Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 05, 2017, 10:45:14 AM
Quote from: WT4E on December 05, 2017, 10:02:14 AM
RTE should have kept their mouths shut!!!  >:(

Some continental European MEPs had also tweeted/commented about the deal claiming that they had seen it. It was going to come out one way or another.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 10:56:58 AM
Did Mayhem run it past the 17th century Puritans of the DUPUDA  beforehand at all?
240,000 holding up progress of 500,000,000.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 11:04:49 AM
Bunch of corrupt middle class unionists continue to stoke up hate and fear among working class protestants in order to sustain the status quo. This despite the opportunity to overhaul and transform the northern economy. Keeping the working class subservient whilst they continue to stay in power drawing on the big salaries and involving themselves in the shady business deals for themselves. They are playing their own community like fiddles to line their own pockets. The smugness etched on the faces of Jeffrey Donaldson and Nigel Dodds as they lined up alongside Arlene Foster yesterday was telling as they revel in their newly found power which is totally disproprtionate to their actual mandate.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 11:22:49 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 05, 2017, 10:45:14 AM
Quote from: WT4E on December 05, 2017, 10:02:14 AM
RTE should have kept their mouths shut!!!  >:(

Some continental European MEPs had also tweeted/commented about the deal claiming that they had seen it. It was going to come out one way or another.
May said yes. So the media ran with it
Then themmuns started saying no on social meeja. Arlene flipped   . Total cluster f**k
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 11:24:31 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 10:07:32 AM
The thing about the DUP is that they havé offered no coherent alternative.

I'm certain they believe they don't need any alternative or any policy other than the 'no, no, no' mentality. Like the scorpion, they sting because it is their nature and contemplation of consequences doesn't arise. And, in this case, again like the scorpion, they do it because they can. So, even if they do contemplate consequences, they believe there are no adverse political or electoral consequences for this intervention.

They believe that if the deal goes ahead with a revised wording to accommodate them, they can point  to a victory. If they've scuppered the deal and forced a hard Brexit, they can likewise point to a victory as the heroes who saved the union. Economic consequences? Not even a consideration, they believe.

And I think they (and Tony Fearon in one respect) are right. Everything we know tells us that there is one issue that matters more than any other when it comes to marking an 'X' on a ballot paper in the North. What placement  of the 'X' does the most to piss off themmuns?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 05, 2017, 11:27:55 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 11:04:49 AM
Bunch of corrupt middle class unionists continue to stoke up hate and fear among working class protestants in order to sustain the status quo. This despite the opportunity to overhaul and transform the northern economy. Keeping the working class subservient whilst they continue to stay in power drawing on the big salaries and involving themselves in the shady business deals for themselves. They are playing their own community like fiddles to line their own pockets. The smugness etched on the faces of Jeffrey Donaldson and Nigel Dodds as they lined up alongside Arlene Foster yesterday was telling as they revel in their newly found power which is totally disproprtionate to their actual mandate.

I actually thought they looked well rattled. Arlene in particular looked concerned. The writing is on the wall and they know it. They are like rats in a corner....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gaaboardmod3 on December 05, 2017, 11:30:41 AM
Lads, just a bit of tidy up here. And a WUM account has been banned.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Trap on December 05, 2017, 11:37:14 AM
The DUP may be smug at the minute but they will only be in this position of power for a short period of time. Surely the powers that be in London will remember this moment and they will be made to pay in the future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 05, 2017, 11:41:06 AM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 11:24:31 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 10:07:32 AM
The thing about the DUP is that they havé offered no coherent alternative.

I'm certain they believe they don't need any alternative or any policy other than the 'no, no, no' mentality. Like the scorpion, they sting because it is their nature and contemplation of consequences doesn't arise. And, in this case, again like the scorpion, they do it because they can. So, even if they do contemplate consequences, they believe there are no adverse political or electoral consequences for this intervention.

They believe that if the deal goes ahead with a revised wording to accommodate them, they can point  to a victory. If they've scuppered the deal and forced a hard Brexit, they can likewise point to a victory as the heroes who saved the union. Economic consequences? Not even a consideration, they believe.

And I think they (and Tony Fearon in one respect) are right. Everything we know tells us that there is one issue that matters more than any other when it comes to marking an 'X' on a ballot paper in the North. What placement  of the 'X' does the most to piss off themmuns?

The DUP are very like Trump. Put forward policies that work squarely against the interests of the working and middle classes, but con them into voting against their own interests based on "culture" - in both cases, "culture" means nothing except hatred of others.

None of the people pushing Brexit in politics or the media stand to suffer from the consequences of it. None of them.

Just like in the US, none of the people pushing for the destruction of healthcare, social services or any sort of regulation, or those pushing for war, stand to suffer in any way from any of that. They never do.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Gs Man on December 05, 2017, 11:42:57 AM
When Scotland, and more importantly London, come in screaming "We want what they've got", surely that's enough for the local business community to tell the DUP to f*** off?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 11:48:01 AM
I don't think the DUP wants a hard border in Ireland.They just don't want any differentiation with the UK.If the UK as a whole stays in the Customs and Regulatory Unions,they are fine with that.Their obdurance will have no adverse consequences,just like collapsing Sunningdale,the Anglo Irish Agreement,Parades protests,etc had no adverse consequences.As Ian Paisley used to boast,he always asked in Westminster "What are you going to do with 1m Protestants?", no doubt a warning shot across the bows of both London and Dublin.He ended up in the House of Lords in spite of thwarting British initiatives here at every turn almost.The extremes on both sides are always pandered to.

Looking objectively at it,is the DUP opposition to an Irish Sea border any more or less intransigent than Irish nationalism's opposition to a land border in Ireland,by the way?

I'm also wondering how many people in the South,including Sinn Fein members privately,share Gay Byrne's view that Ireland should also leave the EU,to prioritise its trade with the UK and ensure no borders here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 05, 2017, 12:03:18 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 05, 2017, 11:41:06 AM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 11:24:31 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 10:07:32 AM
The thing about the DUP is that they havé offered no coherent alternative.

I'm certain they believe they don't need any alternative or any policy other than the 'no, no, no' mentality. Like the scorpion, they sting because it is their nature and contemplation of consequences doesn't arise. And, in this case, again like the scorpion, they do it because they can. So, even if they do contemplate consequences, they believe there are no adverse political or electoral consequences for this intervention.

They believe that if the deal goes ahead with a revised wording to accommodate them, they can point  to a victory. If they've scuppered the deal and forced a hard Brexit, they can likewise point to a victory as the heroes who saved the union. Economic consequences? Not even a consideration, they believe.

And I think they (and Tony Fearon in one respect) are right. Everything we know tells us that there is one issue that matters more than any other when it comes to marking an 'X' on a ballot paper in the North. What placement  of the 'X' does the most to piss off themmuns?

The DUP are very like Trump. Put forward policies that work squarely against the interests of the working and middle classes, but con them into voting against their own interests based on "culture" - in both cases, "culture" means nothing except hatred of others.

None of the people pushing Brexit in politics or the media stand to suffer from the consequences of it. None of them.

Just like in the US, none of the people pushing for the destruction of healthcare, social services or any sort of regulation, or those pushing for war, stand to suffer in any way from any of that. They never do.

The DUP from a control freak perspective are looking at their last horray here
Stormont will not reopen under their veto everything that doesn't benefit them position , Europe and England is getting a taste of what nationalist in the north have to endure
The walls are closing in and when the next Tory government can stand on their own feet that unhappy marriage will collapse as well
Dublin thanks to their stance on Brexit are to be commended by all of the people in the north who voted to remain.
the DUP has acted against a democratic preference of its own people and for once might pay the price for their arrogance
Dublin take a bow
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 12:07:21 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 11:48:01 AM
I don't think the DUP wants a hard border in Ireland.They just don't want any differentiation with the UK.If the UK as a whole stays in the Customs and Regulatory Unions,they are fine with that.Their obdurance will have no adverse consequences,just like collapsing Sunningdale,the Anglo Irish Agreement,Parades protests,etc had no adverse consequences.As Ian Paisley used to boast,he always asked in Westminster "What are you going to do with 1m Protestants?", no doubt a warning shot across the bows of both London and Dublin.He ended up in the House of Lords in spite of thwarting British initiatives here at every turn almost.The extremes on both sides are always pandered to.

Looking objectively at it,is the DUP opposition to an Irish Sea border any more or less intransigent than Irish nationalism's opposition to a land border in Ireland,by the way?

I'm also wondering how many people in the South,including Sinn Fein members privately,share Gay Byrne's view that Ireland should also leave the EU,to prioritise its trade with the UK and ensure no borders here?


Here you go.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0509/873610-eu_poll/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 05, 2017, 12:12:34 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 12:07:21 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 11:48:01 AM
I don't think the DUP wants a hard border in Ireland.They just don't want any differentiation with the UK.If the UK as a whole stays in the Customs and Regulatory Unions,they are fine with that.Their obdurance will have no adverse consequences,just like collapsing Sunningdale,the Anglo Irish Agreement,Parades protests,etc had no adverse consequences.As Ian Paisley used to boast,he always asked in Westminster "What are you going to do with 1m Protestants?", no doubt a warning shot across the bows of both London and Dublin.He ended up in the House of Lords in spite of thwarting British initiatives here at every turn almost.The extremes on both sides are always pandered to.

Looking objectively at it,is the DUP opposition to an Irish Sea border any more or less intransigent than Irish nationalism's opposition to a land border in Ireland,by the way?

I'm also wondering how many people in the South,including Sinn Fein members privately,share Gay Byrne's view that Ireland should also leave the EU,to prioritise its trade with the UK and ensure no borders here?


Here you go.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0509/873610-eu_poll/

How could anyone align gay bryne's view with the will of the average Irishman or woman

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Premier Emperor on December 05, 2017, 12:13:17 PM
Gay Byrne has always been a Southern Unionist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 05, 2017, 12:22:08 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 11:48:01 AM

I'm also wondering how many people in the South,including Sinn Fein members privately,share Gay Byrne's view that Ireland should also leave the EU,to prioritise its trade with the UK and ensure no borders here?
Find out how many people are in lunatic asylums in the Republic of Ireland, and that's your answer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 12:23:57 PM
Quote from: GJL on December 05, 2017, 11:27:55 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 11:04:49 AM
Bunch of corrupt middle class unionists continue to stoke up hate and fear among working class protestants in order to sustain the status quo. This despite the opportunity to overhaul and transform the northern economy. Keeping the working class subservient whilst they continue to stay in power drawing on the big salaries and involving themselves in the shady business deals for themselves. They are playing their own community like fiddles to line their own pockets. The smugness etched on the faces of Jeffrey Donaldson and Nigel Dodds as they lined up alongside Arlene Foster yesterday was telling as they revel in their newly found power which is totally disproprtionate to their actual mandate.

I actually thought they looked well rattled. Arlene in particular looked concerned. The writing is on the wall and they know it. They are like rats in a corner....

Jeffrey Donaldson triumphally scolded Leo Varadkar on twitter yesterday stating that they refused to be dicatated to. Smugness personified is Jeffrey. Choosing to ignore the fact that it was his own British government who had agreed to the deal yet he couldn't resist misdirecting attention to the Irish government. They know that they have scuppered a good deal for the country but want to try and push the blame for it elsewhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 12:26:48 PM
Then you have Edwin Poots condescendingly referring to Varadkar as 'Little Leo'. Dominate, obfuscate, humiliate and cheer from the rooftops after another small minded pyrrhic victory for the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 05, 2017, 12:31:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 12:23:57 PM
Quote from: GJL on December 05, 2017, 11:27:55 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 11:04:49 AM
Bunch of corrupt middle class unionists continue to stoke up hate and fear among working class protestants in order to sustain the status quo. This despite the opportunity to overhaul and transform the northern economy. Keeping the working class subservient whilst they continue to stay in power drawing on the big salaries and involving themselves in the shady business deals for themselves. They are playing their own community like fiddles to line their own pockets. The smugness etched on the faces of Jeffrey Donaldson and Nigel Dodds as they lined up alongside Arlene Foster yesterday was telling as they revel in their newly found power which is totally disproprtionate to their actual mandate.

I actually thought they looked well rattled. Arlene in particular looked concerned. The writing is on the wall and they know it. They are like rats in a corner....

Jeffrey Donaldson triumphally scolded Leo Varadkar on twitter yesterday stating that they refused to be dicatated to. Smugness personified is Jeffrey. Choosing to ignore the fact that it was his own British government who had agreed to the deal yet he couldn't resist misdirecting attention to the Irish government. They know that they have scuppered a good deal for the country but want to try and push the blame for it elsewhere.

They have scuppered nothing, only delayed it by a few days....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on December 05, 2017, 12:32:49 PM
The entire DUP could be stranded on a patch of ice in the middle of the Ocean and still be patting each other on the back of a job well done....haven't a redner in them!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 05, 2017, 12:39:37 PM
Quote from: GJL on December 05, 2017, 12:31:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 12:23:57 PM
Quote from: GJL on December 05, 2017, 11:27:55 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 11:04:49 AM
Bunch of corrupt middle class unionists continue to stoke up hate and fear among working class protestants in order to sustain the status quo. This despite the opportunity to overhaul and transform the northern economy. Keeping the working class subservient whilst they continue to stay in power drawing on the big salaries and involving themselves in the shady business deals for themselves. They are playing their own community like fiddles to line their own pockets. The smugness etched on the faces of Jeffrey Donaldson and Nigel Dodds as they lined up alongside Arlene Foster yesterday was telling as they revel in their newly found power which is totally disproprtionate to their actual mandate.

I actually thought they looked well rattled. Arlene in particular looked concerned. The writing is on the wall and they know it. They are like rats in a corner....

Jeffrey Donaldson triumphally scolded Leo Varadkar on twitter yesterday stating that they refused to be dicatated to. Smugness personified is Jeffrey. Choosing to ignore the fact that it was his own British government who had agreed to the deal yet he couldn't resist misdirecting attention to the Irish government. They know that they have scuppered a good deal for the country but want to try and push the blame for it elsewhere.

They have scuppered nothing, only delayed it by a few days....

Exactly, they are swimming with the big fish now and they are only a little roach. Teresa May will realise she cannot hold the whole UK to ransom for 10 bigots in the 6 counties.

As for Gay Byrne, I for one would be delighted if he left the EU and Ireland and pissed of to somewhere else. Maybe he could go live with Bono.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on December 05, 2017, 12:43:22 PM
Folks - We all know the DUP wont move, they will dig their heels in - it is there way or no way; There is no negotiating with them.

I really dont know where this will end; But one thing for sure is they have the Tory govt by the short and curlies.

Brokenshire should step in and solve this he's good at brokering deals with these folk.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 12:52:11 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 12:07:21 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 11:48:01 AM
I don't think the DUP wants a hard border in Ireland.They just don't want any differentiation with the UK.If the UK as a whole stays in the Customs and Regulatory Unions,they are fine with that.Their obdurance will have no adverse consequences,just like collapsing Sunningdale,the Anglo Irish Agreement,Parades protests,etc had no adverse consequences.As Ian Paisley used to boast,he always asked in Westminster "What are you going to do with 1m Protestants?", no doubt a warning shot across the bows of both London and Dublin.He ended up in the House of Lords in spite of thwarting British initiatives here at every turn almost.The extremes on both sides are always pandered to.

Looking objectively at it,is the DUP opposition to an Irish Sea border any more or less intransigent than Irish nationalism's opposition to a land border in Ireland,by the way?

I'm also wondering how many people in the South,including Sinn Fein members privately,share Gay Byrne's view that Ireland should also leave the EU,to prioritise its trade with the UK and ensure no borders here?


Here you go.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0509/873610-eu_poll/

That report says that 88% believe Ireland should remain in the EU and 16% believe we should follow the UK out of the EU. That means that 4% believe we should remain in the EU and also leave!

Interestingly, that seems to be what some in the UK want to do as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on December 05, 2017, 01:25:47 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Gobshite You haven't a clue
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Common Travel area remains. Not being dictated to from Europe. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:31:47 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.

But they should beg to suck at London's hind tit!?
Are you completely raving f**king mad?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 05, 2017, 01:32:39 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Common Travel area remains. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.

Dont think that is accurate Benny. 20% to the UK I think and t hen you are closing off a huge market. Leaving now would be crazy stuff. We will be the only country in EU with the english language and in my experience that is huge when companies are looking to move into Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 05, 2017, 01:33:05 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Common Travel area remains. Not being dictated to from Europe. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.

Jaysus benny
Why don't you tell us what you really think
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:33:14 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:31:47 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.

But they should beg to suck at London's hind tit!?
Are you completely raving f**king mad?

Why would they beg to anyone?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 05, 2017, 01:35:02 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Common Travel area remains. Not being dictated to from Europe. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.

http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/File:Distribution_of_exports_of_goods_to_other_EU_partners_by_Member_State,_2015_(share_of_total_intra-EU_exports_of_goods).png

No they're not. A higher proportion of Irish exports go to the UK than any other country, but the EU 26 as a whole are a greater export market for Ireland than the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:37:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Common Travel area remains. Not being dictated to from Europe. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.

And you're factually incorrect as well:


Exports to EU were €5,036 million in September 2017
Exports to USA were €2,866 million  in September 2017
Exports to Great Britain were €1,297 million in September 2017

http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/er/gei/goodsexportsandimportsseptember2017/ (http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/er/gei/goodsexportsandimportsseptember2017/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 01:43:21 PM
Benny, you should never let the facts get in the way of an irrational rant. This particular thread is full of plenty of wind up opinions which are often best ignored but I believe that you are actually serious which is even more worrying. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

I disagree with bennys sentiment of course. Leaving the eu is to leave yourself purely at the whim of the world powers, namely the yanks, Chinese, eu and opec. Following brexit Britain will have about as much control of its own affairs as Angola.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on December 05, 2017, 01:49:10 PM
Yeah but if you're going to try and make an arguement for Ireland leaving the EU, at least back it up with facts rather than easily refuted bullshit/outright lies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:49:28 PM
In or out, Ireland could still trade with EU countries. Plus they could make their own laws and trade deals, instead of being dictated to by Europe, a la the Apple deal.

Britain is a big trader with the rest of the eu, and its going to hurt many EU countries when Brexit happens. I just hope that they will vote to leave too when they see trade affected.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 02:07:31 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Common Travel area remains. Not being dictated to from Europe. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.
I think it comes down to timing. Leaving makes sense if you have something better lined up. I cant remember the joke about David Lee Roth leaving van Halen. The Brits don't  have a plan.Brexit is run by billionaires who want the UK to fail. 
.
Ireland is in a deflationary euro system that needs to be reformed before it blows up.

The main thing is that we need a new economic system that works for ordinary people rather than sociopaths.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on December 05, 2017, 02:10:19 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 04, 2017, 05:38:59 PM
Once again British play the Orange Card.I don't think a specific referendum in the North would return a remain vote now.Unionist voters would be mobilised and energised to vote en masse to Leave.
Except Tony they are not a majority, with SF, SDLP and Alliance the vote would stay the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 02:11:26 PM
You can't make your own trade deals.It takes years . International trade is not my little pony. It is more like a prison wing . The weak get raped . Like the "bailout"  .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 02:12:12 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:37:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Common Travel area remains. Not being dictated to from Europe. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.

And you're factually incorrect as well:


Exports to EU were €5,036 million in September 2017
Exports to USA were €2,866 million  in September 2017
Exports to Great Britain were €1,297 million in September 2017

http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/er/gei/goodsexportsandimportsseptember2017/ (http://www.cso.ie/en/releasesandpublications/er/gei/goodsexportsandimportsseptember2017/)
How many of those are real rather than fake mnc exports for tax reasons?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 05, 2017, 02:16:52 PM
Quote from: Itchy on December 05, 2017, 01:32:39 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:28:36 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 05, 2017, 01:19:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 12:55:08 PM
Don't like Gaybo but he's right. Ireland need to get out. But they're EU arselickers in Dublin.

Tell us how that would work.

Most of Ireland exports are to UK. No border issue. Common Travel area remains. Simple.

But the Dublin government are spineless lickspittles who will never have the balls to tell Europe to get fucked.

Dont think that is accurate Benny. 20% to the UK I think and t hen you are closing off a huge market. Leaving now would be crazy stuff. We will be the only country in EU with the english language and in my experience that is huge when companies are looking to move into Europe.

https://tradingeconomics.com/ireland/exports-by-country

I am wrong it 12.7%. Europe combined is at 40%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 02:18:53 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-struggles-to-rescue-brexit-deal-as-dublin-says-it-wont-back-down-politics-live

Does the DUP have a veto over what the government does?

No, says Dodds. He says the Irish government has a veto. It is acting in a reckless and dangerous way.

He says the tone has changed since Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney took power.

The DUP's Ian Paisley tells Davis he is pleased the UK showed that it could say no to the EU. And will the UK tell Irelandthat, if there is no free trade deal, that will cost them £1.5bn.




https://youtu.be/RijB8wnJCN0

Compare to this :

Tony Connelly(@tconnellyRTE)

.@EU_Commission: 

the Irish govt has defended a position [on how to prevent a hard border] which we share.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 05, 2017, 02:24:50 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:49:28 PM
In or out, Ireland could still trade with EU countries. Plus they could make their own laws and trade deals, instead of being dictated to by Europe, a la the Apple deal.

Britain is a big trader with the rest of the eu, and its going to hurt many EU countries when Brexit happens. I just hope that they will vote to leave too when they see trade affected.

A 1% increase in distance between two countries decreases trade between those two countries by 1.1%. Common membership of an economic bloc increases trade between those two countries by 330%.

As we have nobody close to us on our West coast, it makes sense that we will trade more with those to our east (Europe). What you are suggesting is pulling out of a union that results in hugely increased bilateral trade and trying to replace it with countries huge distances away, while maintaining that same bilateral trade (which relies on tariff and quota free trade) with a trading bloc that will impose trade barriers?

This is before taking into account loss of employment and investment from current and future MNCs which are based here primarily because of our membership of the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 05, 2017, 02:27:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 02:18:53 PM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-struggles-to-rescue-brexit-deal-as-dublin-says-it-wont-back-down-politics-live

Does the DUP have a veto over what the government does?

No, says Dodds. He says the Irish government has a veto. It is acting in a reckless and dangerous way.

He says the tone has changed since Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney took power.

The DUP's Ian Paisley tells Davis he is pleased the UK showed that it could say no to the EU. And will the UK tell Irelandthat, if there is no free trade deal, that will cost them £1.5bn.




https://youtu.be/RijB8wnJCN0

"Leo Varadkar/IRA and his homosexual Fenian bastards are causing all this difficulty by engaging in dangerous, reckless language."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 05, 2017, 02:28:24 PM
On another note, I wonder will Leo continue to give out to SF for not doing a deal with the DUP re Stormont. I suspect not now he has had his eyes opened to their intransigence
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 02:58:29 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 05, 2017, 02:27:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 02:18:53 PM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-struggles-to-rescue-brexit-deal-as-dublin-says-it-wont-back-down-politics-live

Does the DUP have a veto over what the government does?

No, says Dodds. He says the Irish government has a veto. It is acting in a reckless and dangerous way.

He says the tone has changed since Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney took power.

The DUP's Ian Paisley tells Davis he is pleased the UK showed that it could say no to the EU. And will the UK tell Irelandthat, if there is no free trade deal, that will cost them £1.5bn.




https://youtu.be/RijB8wnJCN0

"Leo Varadkar/IRA and his homosexual Fenian b**tards are causing all this difficulty by engaging in dangerous, reckless language."
Extremist position on not wanting a hard border.
The DUP remind me of Roscommon matches against  Mayo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 03:00:22 PM
Goway and choke a few Herrins outa that.😠
I suspect SF will leave Stormont to fester for the forseeable future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 03:00:44 PM

Davis is a fraud


https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-struggles-to-rescue-brexit-deal-as-dublin-says-it-wont-back-down-politics-live?
Sir Keir Starmer, the shadow Brexit secretary, says this gives a new meaning to the phrase "coalition of chaos".

He says yesterday the government expected a deal. It ended with May giving a 49-second press conference.

He says the problem is May used her conference speech in 2016 to propose a hard Brexit, while saying there would be no hard border in Northern Ireland. Yesterday the rubber hit the road.

He says May should rethink her overall Brexit strategy.

And he says yesterday confirmed that the "DUP tail is wagging the Tory dog".

He asks May to drop the proposed amendment to the EU withdrawal bill fixing the Brexit date. Yesterday showed why that was absurd.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 05, 2017, 03:05:16 PM
Take it easy Seafoid, you'll have no gas left in the tank for Christmas at this rate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:12:46 PM
So in the space of 24 hours the DUP have managed to scupper a good deal for both Irish economies, forced Teresa May to dance to their tune, belittle and scold Leo Varadkar and then in the house of commons today Dodds forced David Davis to bow down to their wishes. This from a party that has a sum total of 10 seats. It really is the tail wagging the dog but they have an undeniable swagger and air of supremacy about them again. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:13:22 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.

Where has being in the EU got Ireland? Two treaties enforced, dictated to on what they must/can't do, massive bailout to be paid off for years to come, flocks of nationalities driving down wages and leading to stresses on hospitals housing etc. Thousands of Irish left for work. Many have lost their homes, now growing homelessness, pay cuts, education/health/benefit cuts etc etc. If that is the situation after bowing to Europe, then God help Ireland.

Ah but sure the EU gave us money for a couple of motorways, so it's all grand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 03:13:53 PM
As the Unionist % of the NI population reduces over time they will become even more bitter and deluded. They define themselves as not Irish . They live in Ireland . FFS  .
The Plantation is still a catastrophe. It always was.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:13:22 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.

Where has being in the EU got Ireland? Two treaties enforced, dictated to on what they must/can't do, massive bailout to be paid off for years to come, flocks of nationalities driving down wages and leading to stresses on hospitals housing etc. Thousands of Irish left for work. Many have lost their homes, now growing homelessness, pay cuts, education/health/benefit cuts etc etc. If that is the situation after bowing to Europe, then God help Ireland.

Ah but sure the EU gave us money for a couple of motorways, so it's all grand.

This is the sort of ill founded insular rhetoric that got the UK into the current Brexit clusterfcuk that it presently finds itself. Scaremongering and playing on old ill conceived prejudices with no semblance of a clearly defined alternative plan.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:34:55 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:13:22 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.

Where has being in the EU got Ireland? Two treaties enforced, dictated to on what they must/can't do, massive bailout to be paid off for years to come, flocks of nationalities driving down wages and leading to stresses on hospitals housing etc. Thousands of Irish left for work. Many have lost their homes, now growing homelessness, pay cuts, education/health/benefit cuts etc etc. If that is the situation after bowing to Europe, then God help Ireland.

Ah but sure the EU gave us money for a couple of motorways, so it's all grand.

This is the sort of ill founded insular rhetoric that got the UK into the current Brexit clusterfcuk that it presently finds itself. Scaremongering and playing on old ill conceived prejudices with no semblance of a clearly defined alternative plan.

Well, was any of that post incorrect?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 05, 2017, 03:40:03 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:13:22 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.

Where has being in the EU got Ireland? Two treaties enforced, dictated to on what they must/can't do, massive bailout to be paid off for years to come, flocks of nationalities driving down wages and leading to stresses on hospitals housing etc. Thousands of Irish left for work. Many have lost their homes, now growing homelessness, pay cuts, education/health/benefit cuts etc etc. If that is the situation after bowing to Europe, then God help Ireland.

Ah but sure the EU gave us money for a couple of motorways, so it's all grand.

This is the sort of ill founded insular rhetoric that got the UK into the current Brexit clusterfcuk that it presently finds itself. Scaremongering and playing on old ill conceived prejudices with no semblance of a clearly defined alternative plan.
If you think things are bad now, just wait until you see how wages would be driven down, unemployment and homelessness would grow, and education, healthcare and benefits would be cut if we were outside the EU.

It's mad the way people see the likes of Arlene Foster, Nigel Dodds, Nigel Farage, Jacob Rees-Mogg, John Redwood, Iain Duncan-Smith and Owen Paterson in action, and think to themselves, "yes, these people clearly know they're talking about, we need to be more like these people".




Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: foxcommander on December 05, 2017, 03:40:50 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:34:55 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:13:22 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.

Where has being in the EU got Ireland? Two treaties enforced, dictated to on what they must/can't do, massive bailout to be paid off for years to come, flocks of nationalities driving down wages and leading to stresses on hospitals housing etc. Thousands of Irish left for work. Many have lost their homes, now growing homelessness, pay cuts, education/health/benefit cuts etc etc. If that is the situation after bowing to Europe, then God help Ireland.

Ah but sure the EU gave us money for a couple of motorways, so it's all grand.

This is the sort of ill founded insular rhetoric that got the UK into the current Brexit clusterfcuk that it presently finds itself. Scaremongering and playing on old ill conceived prejudices with no semblance of a clearly defined alternative plan.

Well, was any of that post incorrect?

It was f**king spot on Benny.

Anyone who disagrees certainly has their blinkers on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 05, 2017, 03:45:58 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on December 05, 2017, 03:40:50 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:34:55 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:13:22 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.

Where has being in the EU got Ireland? Two treaties enforced, dictated to on what they must/can't do, massive bailout to be paid off for years to come, flocks of nationalities driving down wages and leading to stresses on hospitals housing etc. Thousands of Irish left for work. Many have lost their homes, now growing homelessness, pay cuts, education/health/benefit cuts etc etc. If that is the situation after bowing to Europe, then God help Ireland.

Ah but sure the EU gave us money for a couple of motorways, so it's all grand.

This is the sort of ill founded insular rhetoric that got the UK into the current Brexit clusterfcuk that it presently finds itself. Scaremongering and playing on old ill conceived prejudices with no semblance of a clearly defined alternative plan.

Well, was any of that post incorrect?

It was f**king spot on Benny.

Anyone who disagrees certainly has their blinkers on.

The EU has it faults but why dont you state some employment and wealth facts on Ireland pre EU vrs today and we can all see the data.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 05, 2017, 03:49:28 PM
Ireland is in a vastly better place than it was before EU membership. I don't think its EU supporters who have the blinkers on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 05, 2017, 03:51:36 PM
Quote from: Itchy on December 05, 2017, 03:45:58 PM
Quote from: foxcommander on December 05, 2017, 03:40:50 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:34:55 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:13:22 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.

Where has being in the EU got Ireland? Two treaties enforced, dictated to on what they must/can't do, massive bailout to be paid off for years to come, flocks of nationalities driving down wages and leading to stresses on hospitals housing etc. Thousands of Irish left for work. Many have lost their homes, now growing homelessness, pay cuts, education/health/benefit cuts etc etc. If that is the situation after bowing to Europe, then God help Ireland.

Ah but sure the EU gave us money for a couple of motorways, so it's all grand.

This is the sort of ill founded insular rhetoric that got the UK into the current Brexit clusterfcuk that it presently finds itself. Scaremongering and playing on old ill conceived prejudices with no semblance of a clearly defined alternative plan.

Well, was any of that post incorrect?

It was f**king spot on Benny.

Anyone who disagrees certainly has their blinkers on.

The EU has it faults but why dont you state some employment and wealth facts on Ireland pre EU vrs today and we can all see the data.

Ah now, don't be angling for facts to be brought into this debate.

That's very unfair, some people around here have severe allergic reactions to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:59:54 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:34:55 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 03:29:00 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 03:13:22 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 05, 2017, 02:26:17 PM
Quote from: trileacman on December 05, 2017, 01:46:23 PM
Before you all get sticking th boot into benny I can clearly recall when all the hard men chat on here was "f**k the eu, ecb, Von rompuy etc etc they put us into this bailout, it's their fault a semi detached house on a flood plain in Athlone was worth 880,000 Euro."

I'd find the sudden change of heart amongst the populists funny if it wasn't so damn pathetic.

You may find it funny or pathetic. I find it a good example of grown up people being able to think in terms other than white hats good, black hats bad. Grown ups know that we were gang-raped by Germany and the ECB. But no process of reasoning would lead them to respond by leaving the EU and thereby impoverishing ourselves by hitching our economic wagon to a nineteenth-century horse and buggy economy that is about to shoot its horse.

Where has being in the EU got Ireland? Two treaties enforced, dictated to on what they must/can't do, massive bailout to be paid off for years to come, flocks of nationalities driving down wages and leading to stresses on hospitals housing etc. Thousands of Irish left for work. Many have lost their homes, now growing homelessness, pay cuts, education/health/benefit cuts etc etc. If that is the situation after bowing to Europe, then God help Ireland.

Ah but sure the EU gave us money for a couple of motorways, so it's all grand.

This is the sort of ill founded insular rhetoric that got the UK into the current Brexit clusterfcuk that it presently finds itself. Scaremongering and playing on old ill conceived prejudices with no semblance of a clearly defined alternative plan.

Well, was any of that post incorrect?

Come on Benny, its not a black and white world. Take the blinkers off. It sounds like you're just looking for an argument and I don't have the energy to get into one with someone taking such a ludicrous viewpoint.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 04:02:54 PM
The EU weaned Ireland off the English teat but the Eurozone does not have a lender of last resort . So something has to change before the next crash.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 04:09:08 PM
Guardian
The Irish prime minister has said he believes there is plenty of time to salvage the Irish border Brexit deal, scuppered by the DUP before it was inked.

Speaking for the second time since talks collapsed Leo Varadkar revealed that the controversial wording for the proposal to have "regulatory alignment" between Northern Ireland and the EU post Brexit was

RTE's Europe editor Tony Connelly has hit back at reports in the


UK that his report of a leaked draft and amended document was part of "Irish propaganda" and unintentionally led to the collapse of talks.

He said "RTE protects its sources" but he was able to confirm the leak did not come from the Irish government. He also pointed out he reported the leak at 11.15am, 15 minutes after Jean Claude Juncker confirmed to Leo Varadkar that the British had agreed the final wording.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 05:02:57 PM
Did Ireland not join the EEC in the early 70s because the UK was joining? I am not entirely convinced of the merits of EU membership given that Ireland will be a net contributor shortly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 05:10:13 PM
I'm no financial expert, but as a rule have farmers and the whole agriculture business not fared out particularly well by being in the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 05:15:41 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 05:02:57 PM
Did Ireland not join the EEC in the early 70s because the UK was joining? I am not entirely convinced of the merits of EU membership given that Ireland will be a net contributor shortly.
You would need to do a cost/benefit analysis
The UK decided to leave and sterling fell by 20%.
Families save £350 per year in EU contributions and lose £400 per year due to higher food prices 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 05:26:03 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 05, 2017, 05:02:57 PM
Did Ireland not join the EEC in the early 70s because the UK was joining? I am not entirely convinced of the merits of EU membership given that Ireland will be a net contributor shortly.
We've been a net contributor for a while now haven't we?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 05:36:29 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 05:10:13 PM
I'm no financial expert, but as a rule have farmers and the whole agriculture business not fared out particularly well by being in the EU?

Maybe so, but only the big farmers. Not the man with a few acres and a few dozen cows. Anyway, what they gained from farming grants was taken away from the fishing industry. And then some.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 05:52:14 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 05:36:29 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 05:10:13 PM
I'm no financial expert, but as a rule have farmers and the whole agriculture business not fared out particularly well by being in the EU?

Maybe so, but only the big farmers. Not the man with a few acres and a few dozen cows. Anyway, what they gained from farming grants was taken away from the fishing industry. And then some.

Can you elaborate on that? I know there's a fishing co-op in Antrim and they benefit greatly from the EU? Something to do with eels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 05:53:25 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/05/we-cant-go-on-like-this-mood-of-resignation-in-eu-as-brexit-talks-stutter


One EU ambassador told the Guardian the failure to reach a deal on Northern Ireland was a microcosm of a wider problem. "At root the problem is that [May] seems incapable of making a decision and is afraid of her own shadow," the source said. 

"We cannot go on like this, with no idea what the UK wants. She just has to have the conversation with her own cabinet, and if that upsets someone, or someone resigns, so be it. She has to say what kind of trading relationship she is seeking. We cannot do it for her, and she cannot defer forever."

For weeks, European officials have walked a tightrope between sticking to the EU's tough negotiating stance and seeking to avoid action or words that could destabilise the fragile May government.

"We have to treat the UK political system like a rotten egg," said one EU source in the run-up to Monday's talks, suggesting that if "the realities of the world" dawned too soon, the British government could become more fragile.

One MEP said the government's weakness was "a key question" for the EU. "We are also in a very difficult position because it would not be in our interests to see the whole thing fall apart," said Petri Sarvamaa, a Finnish centre-right MEP who is a vice-chair of the European parliament's budgets committee. "At the same time ... it's not our duty to help the British government in a negotiation that is between them and us.

"The bottom line is that the May government is facing an impossible task," said Sarvamaa, adding that promises made to British voters during the referendum campaign and before June's snap election could not be kept. The government was in "an ever-worsening, deteriorating cycle," he said. "I love Britain and I hate to see what is going on.

"They have to solve this thing 100% by themselves but unfortunately it looks impossible. We really don't want to the negotiations to fall down, we don't want the British government to fall apart, but what can we do?"


For some EU sources, the dominant mood is resignation. "The government is weak and yes that has created problems in many respects," another source said. "The EU27 is conscious of these problems and is trying to help. But at the end of the day we only have one interlocutor."

EU officials are stretching their own procedures – the early preparation of summit documents – because the Irish border issue is seen as a vital question of peace, which is in a different league to the Brexit bill. Officials thought they were inches away from agreeing on Monday a text that would have paved the way for the UK to move to trade talks.

While Monday's imbroglio was mostly relegated to the inside pages of many continental newspapers, the tone was often critical. "Theresa May taken hostage at the Irish border," was the headline in France's leftwing standard, Libération, which described Monday's events as a circus.

Perhaps the most scathing verdict was that of the Deutschlandfunk commentator Peter Kapern, who described Brexit as "the biggest political nonsense" since the Roman emperor Caligula made his favourite horse a senator. "Anyone who needed further proof of this thesis has received it today," he wrote.

Even if an agreement on Brexit was reached in the coming days, Kapern said, Monday's events showed "that the United Kingdom will not only leave the EU but, above all, the world stage."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 06:30:29 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 05:52:14 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 05:36:29 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 05:10:13 PM
I'm no financial expert, but as a rule have farmers and the whole agriculture business not fared out particularly well by being in the EU?

Maybe so, but only the big farmers. Not the man with a few acres and a few dozen cows. Anyway, what they gained from farming grants was taken away from the fishing industry. And then some.

Can you elaborate on that? I know there's a fishing co-op in Antrim and they benefit greatly from the EU? Something to do with eels.

I meant Irish waters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 06:32:01 PM
RTÉ news doing party political broadcast for DUPUDA  this evening.
Poisonous 1950s unreconstructed Fermanagh bigoted Unionist Foster claiming Irish Government told Brits not to let DUPUDA  see the document.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 05, 2017, 06:53:57 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 06:32:01 PM
RTÉ news doing party political broadcast for DUPUDA  this evening.
Poisonous 1950s unreconstructed Fermanagh bigoted Unionist Foster claiming Irish Government told Brits not to let DUPUDA  see the document.
The DUP are lying.
Sam what's his name in the newsletter said Arlene agreed then chickened out following public opposition.

The wholé thing is a circus.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 05, 2017, 06:57:26 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 06:32:01 PM
RTÉ news doing party political broadcast for DUPUDA  this evening.
Poisonous 1950s unreconstructed Fermanagh bigoted Unionist Foster claiming Irish Government told Brits not to let DUPUDA  see the document.

These lads need to realise they're not dealing with Sinners they can bully here. They're only hurting their own position coming out doing Tiger Woods-style PR.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 07:07:57 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 05, 2017, 06:57:26 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 06:32:01 PM
RTÉ news doing party political broadcast for DUPUDA  this evening.
Poisonous 1950s unreconstructed Fermanagh bigoted Unionist Foster claiming Irish Government told Brits not to let DUPUDA  see the document.

These lads need to realise they're not dealing with Sinners they can bully here. They're only hurting their own position coming out doing Tiger Woods-style PR.

Can't bully FG or FF? Really Syferus, the DUP are only being so strong and stinging because they know both Varadkar and Coveney have no back bone. I'll give Bertie one thing, he stood up for himself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 05, 2017, 07:09:27 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 07:07:57 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 05, 2017, 06:57:26 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 05, 2017, 06:32:01 PM
RTÉ news doing party political broadcast for DUPUDA  this evening.
Poisonous 1950s unreconstructed Fermanagh bigoted Unionist Foster claiming Irish Government told Brits not to let DUPUDA  see the document.

These lads need to realise they're not dealing with Sinners they can bully here. They're only hurting their own position coming out doing Tiger Woods-style PR.

Can't bully FG or FF? Really Syferus, the DUP are only being so strong and stinging because they know both Varadkar and Coveney have no back bone. I'll give Bertie one thing, he stood up for himself.

WUM.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 05, 2017, 07:17:34 PM
I'm not a WUM about this. I'm serious. Foster only used this stance once Varadkar started backtracking last week.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 05, 2017, 07:36:22 PM
This latest choreographed tactic of blaming the Irish government because the British government told them that they prevented the DUP from seeing the text is diversionary tactics. The only surprise is that they haven't somehow tried to blame Sinn Fein as well!

She scuppered a deal that had the potential to be a game changer for the northern economy over a fleg. Now that they are back to the forefront dominating British politics they feel they are in their rightful place again. Supremacists to the core
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 05, 2017, 07:54:30 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:49:28 PM
In or out, Ireland could still trade with EU countries. Plus they could make their own laws and trade deals, instead of being dictated to by Europe, a la the Apple deal.

Nope. If you trade with the EU, the EU sets the rules. If you're out, you have no say in the rules.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 05, 2017, 08:04:38 PM
Theresa getting it tight in the polls.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/04/labour-poll-lead-election-taking-shambolic-tories-work-towns (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/04/labour-poll-lead-election-taking-shambolic-tories-work-towns)

Couldn't see Corbyn cutting a deal with the DUP in the event of a hung parliament. Lib Dems (who are campaigning on a reverse Brexit ticket) could be the game changers. Maybe some concessions to the SNP could be on the cards.

Tories must be sh1tting themselves. This government can't last much longer, they can't win another election with May at the helm, but if they get rid of her now who's to say there'll be time to get the party united enough to fight an election?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 05, 2017, 08:08:13 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 05, 2017, 07:54:30 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:49:28 PM
In or out, Ireland could still trade with EU countries. Plus they could make their own laws and trade deals, instead of being dictated to by Europe, a la the Apple deal.

Nope. If you trade with the EU, the EU sets the rules. If you're out, you have no say in the rules.

Quite, you might as well say that you would form a new GAA club outside the GAA and still play in the competitions that suited you, without the disciplinary procedures. Not going to work (except in New York perhaps).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 08:13:59 PM
Its the Orange Order that has pulled the rug on this agreement. Do people think its the DUP running the show not a chance
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on December 05, 2017, 09:16:54 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 08:13:59 PM
Its the Orange Order that has pulled the rug on this agreement. Do people think its the DUP running the show not a chance
Are you being serious?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:06:09 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 08:13:59 PM
Its the Orange Order that has pulled the rug on this agreement. Do people think its the DUP running the show not a chance

Some daft comments on here but this takes the biscuit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stall the Bailer on December 05, 2017, 10:14:25 PM
Is there a worse leader in recent history than May. I can't think of one success she has had. One epic failure after another.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 05, 2017, 10:18:54 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:06:09 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 08:13:59 PM
Its the Orange Order that has pulled the rug on this agreement. Do people think its the DUP running the show not a chance

Some daft comments on here but this takes the biscuit

Or the uda?

While both are probably a bit far fetched and i don't think either are true it is the level the dup work at that neither would be a shock!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 10:20:15 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 05, 2017, 07:54:30 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:49:28 PM
In or out, Ireland could still trade with EU countries. Plus they could make their own laws and trade deals, instead of being dictated to by Europe, a la the Apple deal.

Nope. If you trade with the EU, the EU sets the rules. If you're out, you have no say in the rules.

Still doesn't mean you can't trade with EU countries though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:21:11 PM
Come on Ffs!! UDA??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 05, 2017, 10:35:34 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 10:20:15 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 05, 2017, 07:54:30 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:49:28 PM
In or out, Ireland could still trade with EU countries. Plus they could make their own laws and trade deals, instead of being dictated to by Europe, a la the Apple deal.

Nope. If you trade with the EU, the EU sets the rules. If you're out, you have no say in the rules.

Still doesn't mean you can't trade with EU countries though.

On a hugely reduced level, with tariffs and quotas thrown in.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 05, 2017, 10:36:36 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 10:20:15 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 05, 2017, 07:54:30 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 05, 2017, 01:49:28 PM
In or out, Ireland could still trade with EU countries. Plus they could make their own laws and trade deals, instead of being dictated to by Europe, a la the Apple deal.

Nope. If you trade with the EU, the EU sets the rules. If you're out, you have no say in the rules.

Still doesn't mean you can't trade with EU countries though.

On their terms. If they take a sudden dislike to Irish beef then there's not a whole lot you'd be able to do about it if you were outside the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 05, 2017, 10:41:59 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:06:09 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 08:13:59 PM
Its the Orange Order that has pulled the rug on this agreement. Do people think its the DUP running the show not a chance

Some daft comments on here but this takes the biscuit
Would this comment  from yesterday be a close second?

"Seems the deal will be done, no issues and a lot of hot air from Dublin"

Must be worth a half biscuit? perhaps half a water biscuit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on December 05, 2017, 11:13:13 PM
Is the DUP not a bit like a possessive boyfriend trying to hold to his girlfriend.

He knows it's over but he's trying to make himself believe that she still loves him and that she'll eventually change her mind.

IT'S  A bit sad really.

Ps it never happened to me!  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 11:17:12 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 05, 2017, 10:41:59 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:06:09 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 08:13:59 PM
Its the Orange Order that has pulled the rug on this agreement. Do people think its the DUP running the show not a chance

Some daft comments on here but this takes the biscuit
Would this comment  from yesterday be a close second?

"Seems the deal will be done, no issues and a lot of hot air from Dublin"

Must be worth a half biscuit? perhaps half a water biscuit?

There was a deal done! They just didn't tell the DUP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 11:47:14 PM
So the orange order has no role to play in politics. Your telling me that the unionist politicians don't consult with the O O leaders about big decisions like this. Do you think the good Friday agreement would have come about without their say...absolutely not.
O O didn't like it so that was that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 06, 2017, 12:08:16 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 11:47:14 PM
So the orange order has no role to play in politics. Your telling me that the unionist politicians don't consult with the O O leaders about big decisions like this. Do you think the good Friday agreement would have come about without their say...absolutely not.
O O didn't like it so that was that.
Wouldn't surprise me. People forget all their senior members are also in the OO
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 12:27:48 AM
Quote from: general_lee on December 06, 2017, 12:08:16 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 11:47:14 PM
So the orange order has no role to play in politics. Your telling me that the unionist politicians don't consult with the O O leaders about big decisions like this. Do you think the good Friday agreement would have come about without their say...absolutely not.
O O didn't like it so that was that.
Wouldn't surprise me. People forget all their senior members are also in the OO

Nothing like SF so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 06, 2017, 12:35:06 AM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 12:27:48 AM
Quote from: general_lee on December 06, 2017, 12:08:16 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 11:47:14 PM
So the orange order has no role to play in politics. Your telling me that the unionist politicians don't consult with the O O leaders about big decisions like this. Do you think the good Friday agreement would have come about without their say...absolutely not.
O O didn't like it so that was that.
Wouldn't surprise me. People forget all their senior members are also in the OO

Nothing like SF so.
Did I say anything contrary?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 06, 2017, 05:07:26 AM
Interesting question.

Did Brexit voters vote to leave the common market, the customs union and the ECJ?

Or is Tim Shipman right, and are those just notions taken by theresa may and Nick Timothy?

Answers on a post card
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 06:38:38 AM
Quote from: heganboy on December 06, 2017, 05:07:26 AM
Interesting question.

Did Brexit voters vote to leave the common market, the customs union and the ECJ?

Or is Tim Shipman right, and are those just notions taken by theresa may and Nick Timothy?

Answers on a post card
I think maybe 10m were "f**k you" votes. 
Did anyone vote for a drop in standard of living.?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on December 06, 2017, 06:48:13 AM
When you have a look at how low brow this thread has become, it's increasingly clear that we, the normal people, should neve have been presented with such an important decision as a Brexit referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on December 06, 2017, 07:11:03 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on December 06, 2017, 06:48:13 AM
When you have a look at how low brow this thread has become, it's increasingly clear that we, the normal people, should neve have been presented with such an important decision as a Brexit referendum.

I dont know plenty here seem more clued up about the consequences than the politicians. Still reckon David Cameron should be roasted for this whole mess which was his making yet he has managed to carry on no probs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 06, 2017, 07:12:22 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on December 06, 2017, 06:48:13 AM
When you have a look at how low brow this thread has become, it's increasingly clear that we, the normal people, should neve have been presented with such an important decision as a Brexit referendum.

Agreed

Democracy is not a tool for handing power over to the people, it is a tool for making the people believe that they have a say and are thereby appeased.

The real decisions can and should be made by the people who know actually know what is best, which is not the politicians.... their job is too sell the decision to the masses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 06, 2017, 07:20:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 05, 2017, 10:21:11 PM
Come on Ffs!! UDA??

I did say i don't believe it :D

They were a help in getting their 10 seats thoug with jackie mcdonald encouragning voters

As is stated the oo are a lot of the dup's electorate. They have a bearing on them too.  I doubt they needed to go near either to come up with what they are doing now though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 06, 2017, 08:48:59 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on December 06, 2017, 06:48:13 AM
When you have a look at how low brow this thread has become, it's increasingly clear that we, the normal people, should neve have been presented with such an important decision as a Brexit referendum.

I think this has been touched on before but for some reason with the class system in the UK there seems to be this thought process in the working class, middle class groupings that those educated in public schools like Boris are born to be the decision makers even when they come across as thick as shit.
The likes of David Davis, Gove, Rudd really don't inspire confidence that they know what they are doing. Davis in particular is a career politician who's bluffing and getting caught out time and time again.

I'm beginning to feel sorry for Theresa May as she's clearly out of her comfort zone and about to make a f**k up, but then you read articles about her and her husband making millions out of advising companies how to avoid paying taxes....

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-philip-may-amazon-starbucks-google-capital-group-philip-morris-a7133231.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-philip-may-amazon-starbucks-google-capital-group-philip-morris-a7133231.html)

Title: Re: Stating some obvious
Post by: rrhf on December 06, 2017, 09:01:27 AM
 I find it interesting and strange that Arlene is getting so much airtime when she is not in government or first minister of NI as we currently stand. Outside the support deal with the Tory party she shouldn't have the airtime. Without governance in NI this is between Europe Ireland and the British government. Her deal is with the Tory party and her discourse should be with them, not making country reprinting statements on such an international stage. In actual fact  only influence in reality is with the Tory party. She doesn't represent the vast majority of people in the North as she hasn't taken that baton up yet. She is simply representing her party and it is up to the media to recognise that role before she does lasting damage to what is the best possible outcome of this sorry mess for her beloved NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Il Bomber Destro on December 06, 2017, 09:14:38 AM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 12:27:48 AM
Quote from: general_lee on December 06, 2017, 12:08:16 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 11:47:14 PM
So the orange order has no role to play in politics. Your telling me that the unionist politicians don't consult with the O O leaders about big decisions like this. Do you think the good Friday agreement would have come about without their say...absolutely not.
O O didn't like it so that was that.
Wouldn't surprise me. People forget all their senior members are also in the OO

Nothing like SF so.

Not aware of any SF members who are in the OO.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on December 06, 2017, 09:19:03 AM
For the second day in a row Nolan seems obsessed with the Irish government suppossedly blocking any info to the DUP or not bringing up any possible DUP concerns to the negotiations.
Am I missing something isnt that what the Tories should be responsible for is that not the party that is being propped up by the bigots why the hell would the Irish government do the UK governments work at the negotiations.
Or maybe Arlene is telling some porkies its not like there is any form there lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on December 06, 2017, 09:43:49 AM
It would not be correct protocol within negotiations for either the eu or Ireland and possibly not even the British governance to provide this information to what amounts to nothing more than a political party except through various parliaments. By not taking up governmental power in Ni the DUP have no say except what they are told by the Tories, they cannot claim to represent the majority even in NI on this issue. They are powerless and the media should be pointing this out. They are not in the British government either. Europe and Ireland in it are a formidable alliance here. Arlene and the Dup can shout all they want but they did not go into government and represent the people on this issue. I think the rug will be pulled under the Dup shortly by the tories but this is what I think will happen....The May government will collapse shortly as they are a mess. I expect a stronger candidate to contest leadership soon ... if there is one to emerge and proactively collapse the shambles and rebuild with more authority and direction.  It may be too late to stop Corbin getting in anyway but they can begin their political comeback by taking May out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on December 06, 2017, 09:48:40 AM
Quote from: michaelg on December 05, 2017, 09:16:54 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 05, 2017, 08:13:59 PM
Its the Orange Order that has pulled the rug on this agreement. Do people think its the DUP running the show not a chance
Are you being serious?

I think he meant Jackie McDonald and Dee Stitt.  The DUP once did brief Jamie Bryson on the talks process.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 10:03:21 AM
Is any male Dupite not a member of the OO?
It seems like the DUPUDA are bigging up the Dublin bogeyman to divert from the fact that the Brits didn't tell them about Monday's document/wording.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 06, 2017, 10:06:33 AM
I'm sure he is being serious, and there is also likely to be at least some truth in that.

The DUP are such a joke, ready to act the big lad re Brexit, while not having the balls to stand up to those at the root of the biggest issues in their own communities, and not only not standing up to them, but actually kowtowing to them. No leadership there, but then there very rarely has been amongst unionism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on December 06, 2017, 10:06:41 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 10:03:21 AM
Is any male Dupite not a member of the OO?
It seems like the DUPUDA are bigging up the Dublin bogeyman to divert from the fact that the Brits didn't tell them about Monday's document/wording.

Plenty aren't. Robinson, for example.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on December 06, 2017, 10:14:09 AM
Some hardline Tory Brexiteers put the scuppers on it too apparently, read something in the Times last night that those at "the top of the DUP", including Foster I assume, where content to let it go through but when it was leaked others like Sammy Wilson and some Tories put the pressure on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on December 06, 2017, 10:24:00 AM
Quote from: gallsman on December 06, 2017, 10:06:41 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 10:03:21 AM
Is any male Dupite not a member of the OO?
It seems like the DUPUDA are bigging up the Dublin bogeyman to divert from the fact that the Brits didn't tell them about Monday's document/wording.

Plenty aren't. Robinson, for example.

Yes but compared to the general protestant/unionist population they are dominated by the OO.
Over 50% of all DUP elected representatives ie councillors, mlas and mps are members. Thats an incredible figure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on December 06, 2017, 10:27:49 AM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on December 06, 2017, 09:19:03 AM
For the second day in a row Nolan seems obsessed with the Irish government suppossedly blocking any info to the DUP or not bringing up any possible DUP concerns to the negotiations.
Am I missing something isnt that what the Tories should be responsible for is that not the party that is being propped up by the bigots why the hell would the Irish government do the UK governments work at the negotiations.
Or maybe Arlene is telling some porkies its not like there is any form there lol

I think he knows the Irish government aren't to blame, he's just taking the long road there as he hasn't much proof.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 10:31:16 AM
Quote from: Minder on December 06, 2017, 10:14:09 AM
Some hardline Tory Brexiteers put the scuppers on it too apparently, read something in the Times last night that those at "the top of the DUP", including Foster I assume, where content to let it go through but when it was leaked others like Sammy Wilson and some Tories put the pressure on.

They're on board or getting on board.

The best bit of political wizardry i've seen in years.
In just one day all Brexiteers soften, Remainers softened and Varadkar was the pawn that's left looking the fool. Brilliant. That's what ye get when you go to Brussels and 10 Downing street and get giddy at the fact you're there like a tourist. They played him well.

And we fooled ourselves into thinking the north was an issue. After 50 years of Europe and London not giving a single sh1t about the north we all suddenly felt they cared. Fools that we are. This foolery will continue however as we discuss Brexit in our little bubble while decisions are made in London and Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on December 06, 2017, 10:34:53 AM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on December 06, 2017, 10:24:00 AM
Quote from: gallsman on December 06, 2017, 10:06:41 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 10:03:21 AM
Is any male Dupite not a member of the OO?
It seems like the DUPUDA are bigging up the Dublin bogeyman to divert from the fact that the Brits didn't tell them about Monday's document/wording.

Plenty aren't. Robinson, for example.

Yes but compared to the general protestant/unionist population they are dominated by the OO.
Over 50% of all DUP elected representatives ie councillors, mlas and mps are members. Thats an incredible figure.

It is, but that wasn't the question asked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 10:39:01 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 10:03:21 AM
Is any male Dupite not a member of the OO?
It seems like the DUPUDA are bigging up the Dublin bogeyman to divert from the fact that the Brits didn't tell them about Monday's document/wording.

I don't believe the Tories didn't tell them. regardless it would have been the same outcome.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 10:52:33 AM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on December 06, 2017, 09:19:03 AM
For the second day in a row Nolan seems obsessed with the Irish government suppossedly blocking any info to the DUP or not bringing up any possible DUP concerns to the negotiations.
Am I missing something isnt that what the Tories should be responsible for is that not the party that is being propped up by the bigots why the hell would the Irish government do the UK governments work at the negotiations.
Or maybe Arlene is telling some porkies its not like there is any form there lol
The DUP are telling porkies.
There is no way forward for the UK as is

Dodds is talking shite

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/05/pressure-grows-on-theresa-may-as-dup-reveals-brexit-shock

Dodds added: "We will not allow any settlement to be agreed which causes a divergence, politically or economically, of Northern Ireland from the rest of the UK, because to do so would not just be politically damaging but would be economically catastrophic for everyone in Northern Ireland – unionist, nationalist, Brexiter or remainer."

Brexit might contract UK GDP by 10%.
It has already cost DUP voters £400 per annum via higher food prices.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 10:57:37 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 10:52:33 AM

The DUP are telling porkies.
There is no way forward for the UK as is

Dodds is talking shite

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/05/pressure-grows-on-theresa-may-as-dup-reveals-brexit-shock

Dodds added: "We will not allow any settlement to be agreed which causes a divergence, politically or economically, of Northern Ireland from the rest of the UK, because to do so would not just be politically damaging but would be economically catastrophic for everyone in Northern Ireland – unionist, nationalist, Brexiter or remainer."

Brexit might contract UK GDP by 10%.
It has already cost DUP voters £400 per annum via higher food prices.

This is crawling back from their position last week which was - all and everything out.

Now they can agree a soft brexit and say - well it could have been worse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on December 06, 2017, 11:18:36 AM
Leo Varaker is now the latest effigy the lads will have to perfect for the 12th, as if they are not busy enough.

What is this wording that the Irish government wanted the British government to include in the document (oh, and don't tell the DUP.  Let it be a surprise).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 11:33:10 AM
One definition of an ideologue is a person who responds to the collision of opinion with reality by insisting that reality must yield.

Nigel Dodds is wasting his time blaming Dublin. Brexit will hammer Protestant living standards  . Brexit is the catastrophe.

Imagine the Shinners running an ad campaign about saving presbyterian pensions.  In Ulster Scots 

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/05/pressure-grows-on-theresa-may-as-dup-reveals-brexit-shock

Dodds added: "We will not allow any settlement to be agreed which causes a divergence, politically or economically, of Northern Ireland from the rest of the UK, because to do so would not just be politically damaging but would be economically catastrophic for everyone in Northern Ireland – unionist, nationalist, Brexiter or remainer."

 https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1206/925373-brexit-documents/

Britain's Brexit minister has said leaving the EU will provoke a "paradigm change" in the UK economy in a similar way to the financial crash of 2008

Brexit Secretary David Davis told MPs that in such circumstances any assessment of the potential impact of the change on various sectors of British industry using existing economic models would not necessarily be "informative" about the likely outcome.

He confirmed that no impact assessments had been conducted by the government on the likely results of Brexit for individual sectors, such as automotive, aerospace or financial services.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 11:46:16 AM
Has the DUP not got a point when they say an Irish Sea border will harm east west trade,and most of the North's goods go to the UK?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 11:47:01 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 11:46:16 AM
Has the DUP not got a point when they say an Irish Sea border will harm east west trade,and most of the North's goods go to the UK?

Not if there is 'regulatory alignment'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: MoChara on December 06, 2017, 11:47:48 AM
Quote from: Denn Forever on December 06, 2017, 11:18:36 AM
Leo Varaker is now the latest effigy the lads will have to perfect for the 12th, as if they are not busy enough.

What is this wording that the Irish government wanted the British government to include in the document (oh, and don't tell the DUP.  Let it be a surprise).

Aye but Leo's three birds with one stone, so overall its gonna be less work burning him that individual effigies of Taigs, Gays and foreign looking lads.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 11:53:21 AM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 10:31:16 AM
Quote from: Minder on December 06, 2017, 10:14:09 AM
Some hardline Tory Brexiteers put the scuppers on it too apparently, read something in the Times last night that those at "the top of the DUP", including Foster I assume, where content to let it go through but when it was leaked others like Sammy Wilson and some Tories put the pressure on.

They're on board or getting on board.

The best bit of political wizardry i've seen in years.
In just one day all Brexiteers soften, Remainers softened and Varadkar was the pawn that's left looking the fool. Brilliant. That's what ye get when you go to Brussels and 10 Downing street and get giddy at the fact you're there like a tourist. They played him well.

And we fooled ourselves into thinking the north was an issue. After 50 years of Europe and London not giving a single sh1t about the north we all suddenly felt they cared. Fools that we are. This foolery will continue however as we discuss Brexit in our little bubble while decisions are made in London and Brussels.

I don't know what news story you've been following to hold such an out there opinion but forcing the entire UK to stay in the the single market by holding firm on the border issue would be a far better outcome for Ireland than what was on offer on Monday.

This is a win-win scenario for Ireland and the government has played their hand very well so far.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 06, 2017, 11:54:20 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 11:46:16 AM
Has the DUP not got a point when they say an Irish Sea border will harm east west trade,and most of the North's goods go to the UK?

So this was on Spotlight last night, the DUP lad (who was not your ordinary DUP'er, though it did creep out somethimes) was saying that obviously the bigger trade would be with GB and because of the 'agreement' that they wouldnt be able to trade in GB? i thought the main thing was to be able to trade both in the GB and down South, thus keeping the border open and trade open between all of Ireland..

So are you saying that NI wouldnt be able to trade with the British mainland?

Obviously the Irish comapnies wouldnt be able to trade across the water, and why would they?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on December 06, 2017, 11:58:56 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 11:46:16 AM
Has the DUP not got a point when they say an Irish Sea border will harm east west trade,and most of the North's goods go to the UK?
No because the sea border will only prevent British goods that aren't compliant with regulations coming into Ireland.Goods made to a higher regulation can still go the other way as they exceed UK regs, if that is the case. If the UK regs are higher then the said goods will be more than EU compliant. There are certain agricultural products that can't currently be imported to NI because of North/South convergence on food standards. If Sammy gets his hard brexit the farmers here won't need to worry about trading with the UK as with no farm supplement they will be out priced by Argentinian Beef, Australian Lamb and New Zealand Diary Produce.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on December 06, 2017, 12:00:52 PM
I have to say, as a Northern Nationalist with FF leanings I've been impressed by Coveney and Veradkar (nearly had to write theIndian there).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 12:09:23 PM
If I was a Northern nationalist I wouldn't have leanings at all to any Freestate party.What real interest have they shown in the North or reunification,apart from now when Brexit threatens their economy or to keep SF in check.

Say nothing about Christie Stalford,DUP,on Spotlight last night.He helped me beat a parking ticket rap on the Lisburn Road last July!

Like many other threads there is a lot of playing the man (the DUP) not the ball.They are not a bunch of raving bigots.Even Paisley in his hey Day attracted a lot of Catholic votes on account of his constituency work.

I have a fair degree of euroscepticism myself and voted remain last year holding my nose.EU membership didn't prevent the 26 counties going bankrupt a few years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 12:12:54 PM
I presume the DUPUDA have now dropped their demand for a 12.5% Corporation tax rate in the 6Cos?
After all they surely wouldn't want to be different than "the rest of the UK".
Also they'll no doubt want gay marriage and a softer abortion regime so as not to differ from.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 12:22:58 PM
It's as unlikely as SF declaring Catalonia and other regions have a right to independence but not the North of Ireland region.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 12:32:51 PM
So it's just hypocrisy again from DUPUDA  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 12:38:39 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 11:46:16 AM
Has the DUP not got a point when they say an Irish Sea border will harm east west trade,and most of the North's goods go to the UK?
I don't think so. The UK could have an opt out for NI exports to England and being in the SM would allow exports to the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 06, 2017, 12:45:25 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 12:09:23 PM
If I was a Northern nationalist I wouldn't have leanings at all to any Freestate party.What real interest have they shown in the North or reunification,apart from now when Brexit threatens their economy or to keep SF in check.

Say nothing about Christie Stalford,DUP,on Spotlight last night.He helped me beat a parking ticket rap on the Lisburn Road last July!

Like many other threads there is a lot of playing the man (the DUP) not the ball.They are not a bunch of raving bigots.Even Paisley in his hey Day attracted a lot of Catholic votes on account of his constituency work.

I have a fair degree of euroscepticism myself and voted remain last year holding my nose.EU membership didn't prevent the 26 counties going bankrupt a few years ago.

Yes they are Tony unless you have got your head stuck up your hole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 12:45:39 PM
Total fantasy.If a border on island of Ireland is a trade barrier so is one in the Irish Sea.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 12:46:29 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 12:09:23 PM
If I was a Northern nationalist I wouldn't have leanings at all to any Freestate party.What real interest have they shown in the North or reunification,apart from now when Brexit threatens their economy or to keep SF in check.

Say nothing about Christie Stalford,DUP,on Spotlight last night.He helped me beat a parking ticket rap on the Lisburn Road last July!

Like many other threads there is a lot of playing the man (the DUP) not the ball.They are not a bunch of raving bigots.Even Paisley in his hey Day attracted a lot of Catholic votes on account of his constituency work.

I have a fair degree of euroscepticism myself and voted remain last year holding my nose.EU membership didn't prevent the 26 counties going bankrupt a few years ago.
the bailout cost about 7 years' worth of subventions to prop up NI.
NI is far weaker economically.  Brexit will do even more damage .
The planters had 400 years allied to a rising star that became a global empire . Now it is returning to mediocrity
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 12:46:47 PM
Itchy they represent a hardline view,as does Sinn Fein, their polar opposite.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Il Bomber Destro on December 06, 2017, 01:06:00 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on December 06, 2017, 12:00:52 PM
I have to say, as a Northern Nationalist with FF leanings I've been impressed by Coveney and Veradkar (nearly had to write theIndian there).

Why would you have FF leanings?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:06:08 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 11:53:21 AM


I don't know what news story you've been following to hold such an out there opinion but forcing the entire UK to stay in the the single market by holding firm on the border issue would be a far better outcome for Ireland than what was on offer on Monday.

This is a win-win scenario for Ireland and the government has played their hand very well so far.

Forcing the UK? Are you in this new Communications Unit?
They weren't even at the negotiations. They didn't force anything.
The UK and the EU fooled us into thinking the border was a major issue and used that to pacify both side of Brexit within the UK.

May pushed the DUP forward while at the same time Junker pushed Varadkar forward.
Both were played, though it remains to be seen how much either knew about it. Seems the DUP were well prepared for the leak while Varadkar wasn't.

Two sides set up against the red herring border issue.
One will be happy they can climb down and save face on their hard Brexit approach and the other powerless as just realizing it now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:10:40 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on December 06, 2017, 12:00:52 PM
I have to say, as a Northern Nationalist with FF leanings I've been impressed by Coveney and Veradkar (nearly had to write theIndian there).

i was impressed until this week and now I see what fools we've been. I fell for it as much as Varadkar did but he's further to fall. In saying that I'm happy enough with the outcome. Looks like Brexit is going nowhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 01:11:48 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:06:08 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 11:53:21 AM


I don't know what news story you've been following to hold such an out there opinion but forcing the entire UK to stay in the the single market by holding firm on the border issue would be a far better outcome for Ireland than what was on offer on Monday.

This is a win-win scenario for Ireland and the government has played their hand very well so far.

Forcing the UK? Are you in this new Communications Unit?
They weren't even at the negotiations. They didn't force anything.
The UK and the EU fooled us into thinking the border was a major issue and used that to pacify both side of Brexit within the UK.

May pushed the DUP forward while at the same time Junker pushed Varadkar forward.
Both were played, though it remains to be seen how much either knew about it. Seems the DUP were well prepared for the leak while Varadkar wasn't.

Two sides set up against the red herring border issue.
One will be happy they can climb down and save face on their hard Brexit approach and the other powerless as just realizing it now.

This reads like SF fan fiction. It has little relationship with reality, though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:14:33 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 01:11:48 PM

This reads like SF fan fiction. It has little relationship with reality, though.

Are trying to tag me to avoid a discussion?
I doubt SF agree with me, it doesn't gain them anything. They were hoping for a united ireland out of this. They have had less impact than anyone on this issue.

SF will still be yapping about the border being an issue, it's not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 01:16:50 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:14:33 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 01:11:48 PM

This reads like SF fan fiction. It has little relationship with reality, though.

Are trying to tag me to avoid a discussion?
I doubt SF agree with me, it doesn't gain them anything. They were hoping for a united ireland out of this. They have had less impact than anyone on this issue.

SF will still be yapping about the border being an issue, it's not.

I already had the discussion and dismissed your viewpoint as totally unsupported by the actual events.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:24:42 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 01:16:50 PM


I already had the discussion and dismissed your viewpoint as totally unsupported by the actual events.

Last week

EU we're backing Ireland
Tories/DUP we want a soft border but want out of unions.
UK - We want out/we want in
Scotland we want in the EU
Ireland we want no border and special status

Today

EU say nothing
Ireland say nothing
DUP - we want same as UK
Scotland - we want same as UK
UK - We want the same for all UK- We want the same for all UK
Tories - We always intended it to be the same

Brexit with special status for everyone so.
These actual events?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on December 06, 2017, 02:00:17 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:24:42 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 01:16:50 PM


I already had the discussion and dismissed your viewpoint as totally unsupported by the actual events.

Last week

EU we're backing Ireland
Tories/DUP we want a soft border but want out of unions.
UK - We want out/we want in
Scotland we want in the EU
Ireland we want no border and special status

Today

EU say nothing
Ireland say nothing
DUP - we want same as UK
Scotland - we want same as UK
UK - We want the same for all UK- We want the same for all UK
Tories - We always intended it to be the same

Brexit with special status for everyone so.
These actual events?

You are really giving them too much credit here!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 06, 2017, 02:01:38 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:24:42 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 01:16:50 PM


I already had the discussion and dismissed your viewpoint as totally unsupported by the actual events.

Last week

EU we're backing Ireland
Tories/DUP we want a soft border but want out of unions.
UK - We want out/we want in
Scotland we want in the EU
Ireland we want no border and special status

Today

EU say nothing
Ireland say nothing
DUP - we want same as UK
Scotland - we want same as UK
UK - We want the same for all UK- We want the same for all UK
Tories - We always intended it to be the same

Brexit with special status for everyone so.
These actual events?

Nope JRM/Gove/Johnson and the Brexiteers are not happy staying in the single market or the customs union so who the f**k knows at this stage?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 02:10:07 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 06, 2017, 02:01:38 PM


Nope JRM/Gove/Johnson and the Brexiteers are not happy staying in the single market or the customs union so who the f**k knows at this stage?!

There were no bigger Brexiteers than the DUP.
Now they just want to be the same, as do everyone else.

The narrative has changed, more and more will take this opt out.
There will still be clowns in to deep to get out. Might as well milk it while they can.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 02:13:49 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on December 06, 2017, 02:00:17 PM


You are really giving them too much credit here!

When we look back later we will see it was what everyone wanted and so will see it as part of a process.
Regardless of how we see it in our bubble I've no doubt everyone was looking for an escape and it's easy when that happens.
Like the guy asking his friends to hold him back before a fight.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 02:55:03 PM
Someone has to tell muintir Shasana that brexit is going to cost them. Nobody in the Tory party wants to. This week reality hit them. 
NI is tied to a unit that is loss making.  Very interesting. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 06, 2017, 03:04:11 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 02:10:07 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 06, 2017, 02:01:38 PM


Nope JRM/Gove/Johnson and the Brexiteers are not happy staying in the single market or the customs union so who the f**k knows at this stage?!

There were no bigger Brexiteers than the DUP.
Now they just want to be the same, as do everyone else.

The narrative has changed, more and more will take this opt out.
There will still be clowns in to deep to get out. Might as well milk it while they can.

The DUP backed Brexit as a chance to wrap themselves in a flag, believing that it would never be passed but that the chance to appear ultra-British would be great for their electoral success here whilst having absolutely no consequences. Low and behold the English and Welsh are even more stupid than the DUP thought. In their press conference the morning of the referendum result, Arlene looked like the ghost of Carson himself was standing infront of her waving a starry plough, they collectively sh*t themselves. Now they've realised it's happening they think they can make hay while the sun shines and try and reduce cross-border cooperation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 06, 2017, 03:10:17 PM
Varadkar today - trying to make it clear that the DUP aren't (or shouldn't be anyway) the only show in town

Quote
He added: "I think we should listen to all parties in Northern Ireland and not accept this idea that seems to be gaining prevalence in some parts of London and maybe other places as well that there is only one party in Northern Ireland and that party speaks for everyone.

"I don't accept that premise, which seems to be accepted by too many people at the moment."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 03:15:54 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 06, 2017, 03:04:11 PM


The DUP backed Brexit as a chance to wrap themselves in a flag, believing that it would never be passed but that the chance to appear ultra-British would be great for their electoral success here whilst having absolutely no consequences. Low and behold the English and Welsh are even more stupid than the DUP thought. In their press conference the morning of the referendum result, Arlene looked like the ghost of Carson himself was standing infront of her waving a starry plough, they collectively sh*t themselves. Now they've realised it's happening they think they can make hay while the sun shines and try and reduce cross-border cooperation.
As did many others, this is why they are all going to take this soft Brexit eventually.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 03:19:35 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 06, 2017, 03:10:17 PM
Varadkar today - trying to make it clear that the DUP aren't (or shouldn't be anyway) the only show in town

Quote
He added: "I think we should listen to all parties in Northern Ireland and not accept this idea that seems to be gaining prevalence in some parts of London and maybe other places as well that there is only one party in Northern Ireland and that party speaks for everyone.

"I don't accept that premise, which seems to be accepted by too many people at the moment."

Good for Varadkar, although i don't know the context of the wider point.

He's coped onto the fact that so far he's been caught up in local politics and is back playing that game. Sadly this is an EU/UK issue we are caught up in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 06, 2017, 03:30:44 PM
Leo finding out how it is to have to work with the DUP  ;D


"Is it any small wonder that the people of Northern Ireland don't have a first or deputy first minister?

"Is it any small wonder they don't have an Executive, because this is the attitude of Sinn Féin, constantly hectoring, smart alec remarks, lack of temperance, lack of respect for other people, inability to listen to them, and inability to listen to compromise?" he asked.

"It should be of no wonder whatsoever that the people of Northern Ireland have no voice, because this is the style of politics favoured by Sinn Féin, to shout people down who don't share their views," he added.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0927/908013-mary-lou-mcdonald-leo-varadkar/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 06, 2017, 03:33:19 PM
Hammond has said that the Cabinet have not actually discussed their vision for Brexit!!!

Apparently May has been putting it off because this is where the real fallouts are going to happen and the pressure is on to get it sorted as soon as. . . we're in for a rocky ride yet folks not least our Theresa because there is no way possible the Cabinet will all agree on it!!

Laura Kuenssberg on twitter has done some good work on Brexit but she's a Tory.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 06, 2017, 03:57:26 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 06, 2017, 03:30:44 PM
Leo finding out how it is to have to work with the DUP  ;D


"Is it any small wonder that the people of Northern Ireland don't have a first or deputy first minister?

"Is it any small wonder they don't have an Executive, because this is the attitude of Sinn Féin, constantly hectoring, smart alec remarks, lack of temperance, lack of respect for other people, inability to listen to them, and inability to listen to compromise?" he asked.

"It should be of no wonder whatsoever that the people of Northern Ireland have no voice, because this is the style of politics favoured by Sinn Féin, to shout people down who don't share their views," he added.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0927/908013-mary-lou-mcdonald-leo-varadkar/

Like many before him

SF might not have existed only for the DUP-unionism and their regime  over the years
I think when any balanced politician gets to know the lay of the land in the north there is a softening of moral condemnation and slight empathy steeps in

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 04:18:52 PM
Back in 1998 Liz O'Donnell,  Junior Minister, Dublin 4 type PD, was involved in the talks then. Beforehand she was all blather about being nice to Unionists etc.
She changed her tune after a few dealings with them (and that was the UUP).
Good to see Leo learning a bit about the North Eastern parts of his own Country though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 04:29:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 04:18:52 PM
Back in 1998 Liz O'Donnell,  Junior Minister, Dublin 4 type PD, was involved in the talks then. Beforehand she was all blather about being nice to Unionists etc.
She changed her tune after a few dealings with them (and that was the UUP).
Good to see Leo learning a bit about the North Eastern parts of his own Country though.

He knows how to deal with intolerant feckers. An openly gay Irish nationalist Taoiseach out-manueuring them and tying the north to the south irreversibly is the stuff of nightmares for the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on December 06, 2017, 04:31:12 PM
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-42249854

Impact assessments of Brexit on the UK 'don't exist' said David Davis, UK economy, Brexit Secretary.

It's like accommitee chaired by Fr. Dougal.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 04:31:50 PM
The DUP made the wrong call. Blaming LV is pathetic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 06, 2017, 04:33:47 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 04:29:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 04:18:52 PM
Back in 1998 Liz O'Donnell,  Junior Minister, Dublin 4 type PD, was involved in the talks then. Beforehand she was all blather about being nice to Unionists etc.
She changed her tune after a few dealings with them (and that was the UUP).
Good to see Leo learning a bit about the North Eastern parts of his own Country though.

He knows how to deal with intolerant feckers. An openly gay Irish nationalist Taoiseach out-manueuring them and tying the north to the south irreversibly is the stuff of nightmares for the DUP.

The post gym photo in the salmon Under Armour Vest would have absolutely horrified Arlene and Nigel.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on December 06, 2017, 04:35:16 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 12:45:39 PM
Total fantasy.If a border on island of Ireland is a trade barrier so is one in the Irish Sea.
Are you deliberately refusing to understand???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 06, 2017, 04:36:08 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 06, 2017, 04:33:47 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 04:29:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 04:18:52 PM
Back in 1998 Liz O'Donnell,  Junior Minister, Dublin 4 type PD, was involved in the talks then. Beforehand she was all blather about being nice to Unionists etc.
She changed her tune after a few dealings with them (and that was the UUP).
Good to see Leo learning a bit about the North Eastern parts of his own Country though.

He knows how to deal with intolerant feckers. An openly gay Irish nationalist Taoiseach out-manueuring them and tying the north to the south irreversibly is the stuff of nightmares for the DUP.

The post gym photo in the salmon Under Armour Vest would have absolutely horrified Arlene and Nigel.

Jeffrey's wee heart may have skipped a beat though!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 04:36:14 PM
Faisal Islam(@faisalislam)

DUP's Paisley is now quoting the 4% GDP hit to the RoI economy as detailed in its own impact assessments of No Deal...
Note: there are no UK equivalents from which to quote


If 4%:roi could be 8% NI.  Paisley Óg is a moron
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NetNitrate on December 06, 2017, 04:42:01 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 06, 2017, 01:06:08 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 11:53:21 AM


I don't know what news story you've been following to hold such an out there opinion but forcing the entire UK to stay in the the single market by holding firm on the border issue would be a far better outcome for Ireland than what was on offer on Monday.

This is a win-win scenario for Ireland and the government has played their hand very well so far.

Forcing the UK? Are you in this new Communications Unit?
They weren't even at the negotiations. They didn't force anything.
The UK and the EU fooled us into thinking the border was a major issue and used that to pacify both side of Brexit within the UK.

May pushed the DUP forward while at the same time Junker pushed Varadkar forward.
Both were played, though it remains to be seen how much either knew about it. Seems the DUP were well prepared for the leak while Varadkar wasn't.

Two sides set up against the red herring border issue.
One will be happy they can climb down and save face on their hard Brexit approach and the other powerless as just realizing it now.

I think you are giving the British way too much credit. Their approach has been more Basil Fawlty than anything. No doubt Ireland are in the waters with sharks, between the EU and the UK. If it wasn't all so serious, there's a certain amusement in the DUP making Ireland out to be the most vicious shark of the lot.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 04:42:36 PM
Adam Fleming(@adamfleming)

President Juncker wants to support Mrs May to avoid the collapse of her government. (2)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 06, 2017, 04:53:35 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 06, 2017, 04:36:08 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 06, 2017, 04:33:47 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 04:29:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 04:18:52 PM
Back in 1998 Liz O'Donnell,  Junior Minister, Dublin 4 type PD, was involved in the talks then. Beforehand she was all blather about being nice to Unionists etc.
She changed her tune after a few dealings with them (and that was the UUP).
Good to see Leo learning a bit about the North Eastern parts of his own Country though.

He knows how to deal with intolerant feckers. An openly gay Irish nationalist Taoiseach out-manueuring them and tying the north to the south irreversibly is the stuff of nightmares for the DUP.

The post gym photo in the salmon Under Armour Vest would have absolutely horrified Arlene and Nigel.

Jeffrey's wee heart may have skipped a beat though!!

I LOL'd at that. Good job Paul Berry is long gone from the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 04:59:12 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 04:42:36 PM
Adam Fleming(@adamfleming)

President Juncker wants to support Mrs May to avoid the collapse of her government. (2)

May's government collapsing would probably be the best result for all. Corbyn wouldn't have this hand-wringing about a soft Brexit and the DUP would have to take their medicine. Indeed stopping the whole exit totally would be on the table then. I doubt the EU would really be all that bothered at this stage as it must feel like negotiating with a dementia patient.

It's hard to see this Tory government surviving the entire Brexit process anyways when even a simple border deal is eluding them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 05:03:23 PM
SDLP rally for Europe at Belfast City Hall tonight 6pm. No regulatory convergence, you either attend the rally or join the adjacent Burger queue at the Christmas Market.You cannot do both.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 06, 2017, 05:24:01 PM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 06, 2017, 04:36:08 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 06, 2017, 04:33:47 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 06, 2017, 04:29:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 04:18:52 PM
Back in 1998 Liz O'Donnell,  Junior Minister, Dublin 4 type PD, was involved in the talks then. Beforehand she was all blather about being nice to Unionists etc.
She changed her tune after a few dealings with them (and that was the UUP).
Good to see Leo learning a bit about the North Eastern parts of his own Country though.

He knows how to deal with intolerant feckers. An openly gay Irish nationalist Taoiseach out-manueuring them and tying the north to the south irreversibly is the stuff of nightmares for the DUP.

The post gym photo in the salmon Under Armour Vest would have absolutely horrified Arlene and Nigel.

Jeffrey's wee heart may have skipped a beat though!!

😂😂😂 what you trying to say JC
More camp than a field full of tents
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 06, 2017, 05:25:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 04:36:14 PM
Faisal Islam(@faisalislam)

DUP's Paisley is now quoting the 4% GDP hit to the RoI economy as detailed in its own impact assessments of No Deal...
Note: there are no UK equivalents from which to quote


If 4%:roi could be 8% NI.  Paisley Óg is a moron

I have first hand experience of DUP's economic studies and unless there has been a significant change in the last couple of years, there is zero interest in economic facts or trends. They start with a politically charged answer and try and find some theory or data that could possibly be construed as supportive. They then stretch the truth, make completely unethical and illogical connections to support the pre-ordained conclusion.

They can be (and have been!) completely debunked by a bunch of QUB economics undergrads.

DUP studies, contradiction in terms, unless the word Bible is in there, and to be honest- even then...



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 06, 2017, 05:30:25 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 06, 2017, 05:03:23 PM
SDLP rally for Europe at Belfast City Hall tonight 6pm. No regulatory convergence, you either attend the rally or join the adjacent Burger queue at the Christmas Market.You cannot do both.

Well it's a pre-condition that has more logic than we have seen this week
Had me one of those reindeer burgers last year - rotten
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 05:32:42 PM
This is class

David Blevins(@skydavidblevins)

BREAK: Michelle O'Neill, Sinn Fein leader at Stormont, tells @SkyNews"We need the Taoiseach to stand firm in the national interest" and ensure what was agreed is not retracted. #Brexit

One nation. 32 counties .

Politics daring to align with reality

https://youtu.be/yRpntHflrNo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 05:40:36 PM
Simon Jenkins

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-dup-eu-deal-minority-party

"Fudge is good only if it tastes sweet. Theresa May's deal with the EU on Irish border trade is apparently too bitter for Ulster's Democratic Unionist party to stomach. Yesterday they wielded a veto. A British government at an international summit was humiliated by a minority partypursuing a minority point of view. It is why governments should never rely on extremist parties. The DUP has three days to make amends, or a terrible vengeance should be taken on them.



It does not matter that the DUP is hypocritical. Decades of Westminster indulging its political primitivism have come home to roost. Unionists have demanded separatism on education, trade, corporate taxes, abortion, homosexuality and a host of pet issues, yet they want to call themselves "British". They are Irish."

Go on my son
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on December 06, 2017, 05:52:00 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 05:40:36 PM
Simon Jenkins

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-dup-eu-deal-minority-party

"Fudge is good only if it tastes sweet. Theresa May's deal with the EU on Irish border trade is apparently too bitter for Ulster's Democratic Unionist party to stomach. Yesterday they wielded a veto. A British government at an international summit was humiliated by a minority partypursuing a minority point of view. It is why governments should never rely on extremist parties. The DUP has three days to make amends, or a terrible vengeance should be taken on them.



It does not matter that the DUP is hypocritical. Decades of Westminster indulging its political primitivism have come home to roost. Unionists have demanded separatism on education, trade, corporate taxes, abortion, homosexuality and a host of pet issues, yet they want to call themselves "British". They are Irish."

Go on my son

If you lie down with dogs...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on December 06, 2017, 06:17:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 05:40:36 PM
Simon Jenkins

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-dup-eu-deal-minority-party

"Fudge is good only if it tastes sweet. Theresa May's deal with the EU on Irish border trade is apparently too bitter for Ulster's Democratic Unionist party to stomach. Yesterday they wielded a veto. A British government at an international summit was humiliated by a minority partypursuing a minority point of view. It is why governments should never rely on extremist parties. The DUP has three days to make amends, or a terrible vengeance should be taken on them.



It does not matter that the DUP is hypocritical. Decades of Westminster indulging its political primitivism have come home to roost. Unionists have demanded separatism on education, trade, corporate taxes, abortion, homosexuality and a host of pet issues, yet they want to call themselves "British". They are Irish."

Go on my son

Jaysus when you see the head of a buck like that calling the DUP Irish, you know the Brits are getting mad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 07:08:35 PM
Quote from: weareros on December 06, 2017, 06:17:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 05:40:36 PM
Simon Jenkins

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-dup-eu-deal-minority-party

"Fudge is good only if it tastes sweet. Theresa May's deal with the EU on Irish border trade is apparently too bitter for Ulster's Democratic Unionist party to stomach. Yesterday they wielded a veto. A British government at an international summit was humiliated by a minority partypursuing a minority point of view. It is why governments should never rely on extremist parties. The DUP has three days to make amends, or a terrible vengeance should be taken on them.



It does not matter that the DUP is hypocritical. Decades of Westminster indulging its political primitivism have come home to roost. Unionists have demanded separatism on education, trade, corporate taxes, abortion, homosexuality and a host of pet issues, yet they want to call themselves "British". They are Irish."

Go on my son

Jaysus when you see the head of a buck like that calling the DUP Irish, you know the Brits are getting mad.
You would be mad if your standard of living was reduced because of the antics of a bunch of backward religious  arseholes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 06, 2017, 07:10:28 PM
England should pay for their resettlement
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 07:48:50 PM
For years Unionists looked down on Taigs. For years England was progressive and modern

Now it is all different. I was looking at twitter profiles last year

@MFennellyKK
Lecturer in LIT & Setanta college ,playing the best Sport in the world - Hurling. Fashion, box set & Film Lover. Ambassador for @LahartsSkoda @ChiaBiaseed @Sure
My word is my bond

Michael Duignan ‏@DuignanMichael  7 nov.
Brought one of my fav ever hurlers on holidays! Great read, inspirational & moving. @kenmcgrath78 @dawnmcg1 #respect

Niall McNamee ‏@niallmc14  22 oct.
Extremely honoured to speak at @officialgaa Health & Wellbeing conference today & to spend time with wonderful people

the UK is sad now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 06, 2017, 08:08:21 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 07:48:50 PM
For years Unionists looked down on Taigs. For years England was progressive and modern

Now it is all different. I was looking at twitter profiles last year

@MFennellyKK
Lecturer in LIT & Setanta college ,playing the best Sport in the world - Hurling. Fashion, box set & Film Lover. Ambassador for @LahartsSkoda @ChiaBiaseed @Sure
My word is my bond

Michael Duignan ‏@DuignanMichael  7 nov.
Brought one of my fav ever hurlers on holidays! Great read, inspirational & moving. @kenmcgrath78 @dawnmcg1 #respect

Niall McNamee ‏@niallmc14  22 oct.
Extremely honoured to speak at @officialgaa Health & Wellbeing conference today & to spend time with wonderful people

the UK is sad now

Seafoid this is precisely the kind of post that makes me suspect your a bot

No one sentence in that post relates to the previous one
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 09:29:25 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 06, 2017, 08:08:21 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 07:48:50 PM
For years Unionists looked down on Taigs. For years England was progressive and modern

Now it is all different. I was looking at twitter profiles last year

@MFennellyKK
Lecturer in LIT & Setanta college ,playing the best Sport in the world - Hurling. Fashion, box set & Film Lover. Ambassador for @LahartsSkoda @ChiaBiaseed @Sure
My word is my bond

Michael Duignan ‏@DuignanMichael  7 nov.
Brought one of my fav ever hurlers on holidays! Great read, inspirational & moving. @kenmcgrath78 @dawnmcg1 #respect

Niall McNamee ‏@niallmc14  22 oct.
Extremely honoured to speak at @officialgaa Health & Wellbeing conference today & to spend time with wonderful people

the UK is sad now

Seafoid this is precisely the kind of post that makes me suspect your a bot

No one sentence in that post relates to the previous one

Maybe it is over your head, Joe
Why would a bot be interested in the gaaboard? The case is not plausible 

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 09:43:00 PM
 The EU aren't buying the DUP line that Ireland is the problem. It is put up or shut up time. 
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/06/uk-has-48-hours-to-agree-potential-deal-or-brexit-talks-cannot-progress


..the EU's chief Brexit negotiator, has told member states that the British government has just 48 hours to agree a text on a potential deal or it will be told that negotiations will not move on to the next stage.

Barnier informed EU ambassadors that Downing Street had told him that a potential solution was being worked out that could possibly satisfy both Northern Ireland's Democratic Unionist party and the Republic of Ireland, but that it had yet to be signed off by any of those involved.

Another meeting of diplomats of the 27 member states has been pencilled in for Friday evening, should the UK find an agreement with the DUP on a solution to avoiding a hard border on the island of Ireland.

If the UK fails to agree a joint position with the European commission by Friday, the member states informed Barnier that they would not have time to take it back to their capitals for scrutiny ahead of next week's critical European council meeting.

Chancellor says UK will pay Brexit bill even if it fails to get free trade deal

 

Read more

In that scenario, the leaders would once again rule that insufficient progress had been made on the opening issues of citizens' rights, the financial settlement and the Irish border for talks on trade and a transition period to start.

Advertisement

A failure to move talks on in December would mean that the terms of a transition period could potentially only be discussed after the next European council summit of leaders in March, by which key businesses in the UK will have had to make decisions over their location and investments in the country.

Guardian Today: the headlines, the analysis, the debate - sent direct to you

 

Read more

It is possible that the leaders would call an emergency summit in January or February to agree to move talks on and discuss the terms of a transition period. But the longer it takes the British government to offer certainty over trading terms after March 2019, firms will make decisions that will cost the British economy.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 11:58:39 PM
https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/theresa-may-to-provide-new-text-for-brexit-border-deal-within-24-hours-36385722.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 07, 2017, 04:33:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 09:29:25 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 06, 2017, 08:08:21 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 07:48:50 PM
For years Unionists looked down on Taigs. For years England was progressive and modern

Now it is all different. I was looking at twitter profiles last year

@MFennellyKK
Lecturer in LIT & Setanta college ,playing the best Sport in the world - Hurling. Fashion, box set & Film Lover. Ambassador for @LahartsSkoda @ChiaBiaseed @Sure
My word is my bond

Michael Duignan ‏@DuignanMichael  7 nov.
Brought one of my fav ever hurlers on holidays! Great read, inspirational & moving. @kenmcgrath78 @dawnmcg1 #respect

Niall McNamee ‏@niallmc14  22 oct.
Extremely honoured to speak at @officialgaa Health & Wellbeing conference today & to spend time with wonderful people

the UK is sad now

Seafoid this is precisely the kind of post that makes me suspect your a bot

No one sentence in that post relates to the previous one

Maybe it is over your head, Joe
Why would a bot be interested in the gaaboard? The case is not plausible

There is multiple routes from one sentence to the next Seafoid prehaps you could enlighten us instead of making it a guessing game. This is not poetry
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 07, 2017, 07:25:48 AM
Joe how can you not see the relevance of things like michael duignan buying ken mcgrath's book ;D  ;D

Bot.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 07, 2017, 07:49:26 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 06, 2017, 04:42:01 PM

I think you are giving the British way too much credit. Their approach has been more Basil Fawlty than anything. No doubt Ireland are in the waters with sharks, between the EU and the UK. If it wasn't all so serious, there's a certain amusement in the DUP making Ireland out to be the most vicious shark of the lot.

I didn't give them the credit. This is a joint up thing. When the UK negotiators are negotiating something they don't want to happen with the EU who don't want it to happen on behalf of people who don't want it to happen, they all get the credit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 07, 2017, 08:11:04 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 09:29:25 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 06, 2017, 08:08:21 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 07:48:50 PM
For years Unionists looked down on Taigs. For years England was progressive and modern

Now it is all different. I was looking at twitter profiles last year

@MFennellyKK
Lecturer in LIT & Setanta college ,playing the best Sport in the world - Hurling. Fashion, box set & Film Lover. Ambassador for @LahartsSkoda @ChiaBiaseed @Sure
My word is my bond

Michael Duignan ‏@DuignanMichael  7 nov.
Brought one of my fav ever hurlers on holidays! Great read, inspirational & moving. @kenmcgrath78 @dawnmcg1 #respect

Niall McNamee ‏@niallmc14  22 oct.
Extremely honoured to speak at @officialgaa Health & Wellbeing conference today & to spend time with wonderful people

the UK is sad now

Seafoid this is precisely the kind of post that makes me suspect your a bot

No one sentence in that post relates to the previous one

Maybe it is over your head, Joe
Why would a bot be interested in the gaaboard? The case is not plausible

Could you explain the post then please, because I don't understand it either?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: StGallsGAA on December 07, 2017, 08:49:35 AM
Seafoid..... drugs ruin families and communities.  It's just not worth it son. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 07, 2017, 09:26:07 AM
Quote from: weareros on December 06, 2017, 06:17:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 05:40:36 PM
Simon Jenkins

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-dup-eu-deal-minority-party

"Fudge is good only if it tastes sweet. Theresa May's deal with the EU on Irish border trade is apparently too bitter for Ulster's Democratic Unionist party to stomach. Yesterday they wielded a veto. A British government at an international summit was humiliated by a minority partypursuing a minority point of view. It is why governments should never rely on extremist parties. The DUP has three days to make amends, or a terrible vengeance should be taken on them.



It does not matter that the DUP is hypocritical. Decades of Westminster indulging its political primitivism have come home to roost. Unionists have demanded separatism on education, trade, corporate taxes, abortion, homosexuality and a host of pet issues, yet they want to call themselves "British". They are Irish."

Go on my son

Jaysus when you see the head of a buck like that calling the DUP Irish, you know the Brits are getting mad.

But its the last line of the very same article that annoys the f**k out of me;

Northern Ireland cannot stop it.


It's not Northern Ireland it's the DUP and that message needs to get across from the rest of the parties in NI.

Michelle is beginning to make those soundings, but she needs to do it louder and to a wider audience. The SDLP and Alliance also. The UUP, who the f**k knows what they're at with Brexit.
Even Sylvia Hermon has called out this narrative.

I still don't get how "unionist" business leaders who trade outside the wee six aren't jumping up and down on the DUP for pulling the plug on a deal that would have meant a little more red tape when shipping to GB but at least the whole of the European union market would remain pretty seamless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2017, 09:30:26 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 06, 2017, 11:58:39 PM
https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/theresa-may-to-provide-new-text-for-brexit-border-deal-within-24-hours-36385722.html
They got 48 hours.
Business in the UK needs clarity.

This is senior hurling. It could all fall apart before the weekend.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2017, 09:32:50 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 07, 2017, 09:26:07 AM
Quote from: weareros on December 06, 2017, 06:17:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 06, 2017, 05:40:36 PM
Simon Jenkins

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/05/theresa-may-dup-eu-deal-minority-party

"Fudge is good only if it tastes sweet. Theresa May's deal with the EU on Irish border trade is apparently too bitter for Ulster's Democratic Unionist party to stomach. Yesterday they wielded a veto. A British government at an international summit was humiliated by a minority partypursuing a minority point of view. It is why governments should never rely on extremist parties. The DUP has three days to make amends, or a terrible vengeance should be taken on them.



It does not matter that the DUP is hypocritical. Decades of Westminster indulging its political primitivism have come home to roost. Unionists have demanded separatism on education, trade, corporate taxes, abortion, homosexuality and a host of pet issues, yet they want to call themselves "British". They are Irish."

Go on my son

Jaysus when you see the head of a buck like that calling the DUP Irish, you know the Brits are getting mad.

But its the last line of the very same article that annoys the f**k out of me;

Northern Ireland cannot stop it.


It's not Northern Ireland it's the DUP and that message needs to get across from the rest of the parties in NI.

Michelle is beginning to make those soundings, but she needs to do it louder and to a wider audience. The SDLP and Alliance also. The UUP, who the f**k knows what they're at with Brexit.
Even Sylvia Hermon has called out this narrative.

I still don't get how "unionist" business leaders who trade outside the wee six aren't jumping up and down on the DUP for pulling the plug on a deal that would have meant a little more red tape when shipping to GB but at least the whole of the European union market would remain pretty seamless.
Business should be a lot more vocal about the damage that Brexit will cause 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 07, 2017, 09:44:08 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on December 07, 2017, 09:26:07 AM

But its the last line of the very same article that annoys the f**k out of me;

Northern Ireland cannot stop it.


It's not Northern Ireland it's the DUP and that message needs to get across from the rest of the parties in NI.

Michelle is beginning to make those soundings, but she needs to do it louder and to a wider audience. The SDLP and Alliance also. The UUP, who the f**k knows what they're at with Brexit.
Even Sylvia Hermon has called out this narrative.

I still don't get how "unionist" business leaders who trade outside the wee six aren't jumping up and down on the DUP for pulling the plug on a deal that would have meant a little more red tape when shipping to GB but at least the whole of the European union market would remain pretty seamless.

This is a job for journalism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 07, 2017, 09:48:50 AM
As far as I recall DUPUDA hit 36% of the vote in the Westminster Election. Time the other 64% spoke up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2017, 10:07:26 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/06/the-guardian-view-on-the-brexit-crisis-time-to-stop-the-fanatics

Since Monday, however, it has become much clearer that the UK government's failures and incompetence on Brexit go wider and deeper. Philip Hammond confirmed on Wednesday what this column had reported, that the cabinet has never at any time had a specific discussion about the kind of Brexit that it is aiming for. As Sir Keir Starmer said in a Guardian article, membership of the single market, the customs union and a role for the European court of justice were simply swept off the table as options by Theresa May's grossly irresponsible diktat of October 2016.

David Davis's revelations at the Brexit select committee on Wednesday compounded that lack of direction with further shocking admissions. Amid clouds of characteristic bluster and solipsistic swagger, it eventually became clear that Mr Davis has at no point set about an assessment of the consequences of Brexit for the British economy and for UK jobs and conditions. The "impact assessments" for 58 UK economic sectors that parliament had demanded in order to better understand the Brexit options turned out not to exist at all. The only rational explanation for this extraordinary neglect of public duty and misleading of MPs is that Mr Davis knows such impact assessments would paint a bleak picture wholly at odds with the vacuous optimism of the Brexiters.

The document that Mrs May had intended to sign on Monday before the DUP vetoed it is a practical one as far as it goes. The thread running through it is the UK government's quiet willingness to compromise on the key issues – rights, money and Ireland – set out in Michel Barnier's April 2017 brief, presumably in the over-optimistic hope that this will help secure a beneficial trade deal with the EU in phase two. Yet when Mrs May was challenged on her Brexit strategy at prime minister's questions on Wednesday, she gave none of the leadership that is now needed in defence of compromise, convergence, alignment and the economic security that she should have invoked. Instead she reiterated the deluded and contradictory mantra that has got Britain into this mess in the first place – leave the single market and customs union, no hard border and a close partnership.

This proved enough to see off a disappointingly ineffective, though welcome, set of criticisms of her Brexit handling by Jeremy Corbyn at PMQs. But it cut no ice at all with either the DUP, who are in their element as the tail wagging the Tory dog, or with the Tory party's Brexit obsessives. Following Iain Duncan Smith's lead on Tuesday night, in which, completely irrationally, the former party leader accused the EU not the UK of causing the talks breakdown, three hardline Brexit MPsrattled their swords behind Mrs May with insistences that no red lines must be crossed. It is clear that the fanatics scent blood. They see an opening to ensure the talks collapse next week with the no-deal outcome that they crave as the prelude to their desired bonfire of the social regulations.

The crucial question in politics is therefore whether the pro-Europeans have the weapons and organisation to stop this. In an important intervention this week, Nick Cleggmade clear that the leave fundamentalists are focused on reaching March 2019 with the minimum of pledges to regulation or convergence. Those who oppose this scorched-earth Brexit must now match them, steel for steel, working as one, as Mr Clegg argued. That approach requires significant amendments to the withdrawal bill and parliamentary votes that put the national interest ahead of party. As so often, for the bad people to triumph it requires merely that their opponents do nothing effective. That happened in the referendum campaign. It absolutely must not happen again now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 07, 2017, 10:16:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2017, 10:07:26 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/06/the-guardian-view-on-the-brexit-crisis-time-to-stop-the-fanatics

Since Monday, however, it has become much clearer that the UK government's failures and incompetence on Brexit go wider and deeper. Ph
ilip Hammond confirmed on Wednesday what this column had reported, that the cabinet has never at any time had a specific discussion about the kind of Brexit that it is aiming for. As Sir Keir Starmer said in a Guardian article, membership of the single market, the customs union and a role for the European court of justice were simply swept off the table as options by Theresa May's grossly irresponsible diktat of October 2016.


it's not a failure if you don't want to do it. The UK Government do not want Brexit and are trying to achieve as little Brexit as possible. The only shocking failure is the media and opposition reporting on this as a failure.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 07, 2017, 10:19:16 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 07, 2017, 09:48:50 AM
As far as I recall DUPUDA hit 36% of the vote in the Westminster Election. Time the other 64% spoke up.

Again a job for the Media. Let's ask why Tommy Gorman doesn't highlight the views of the other 64%? He's intent on highlighting the DUP or SF. Has he ever reported from the business sector?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2017, 10:52:54 AM
This is what the DUP are fighting for.
It goes way beyond Protestant dog whistling and identity politics.  This is about the future of the NHS. It is about life expectancy and infant mortality and what sort of society people expect. The DUP want to slash social spending  .    

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/06/the-guardian-view-on-the-brexit-crisis-time-to-stop-the-fanatics

three hardline Brexit MPsrattled their swords behind Mrs May with insistences that no red lines must be crossed. It is clear that the fanatics scent blood. They see an opening to ensure the talks collapse next week with the no-deal outcome that they crave as the prelude to their desired bonfire of the social regulations.

In an important intervention this week, Nick Clegg made clear that the leave fundamentalists are focused on reaching March 2019 with the minimum of pledges to regulation or convergence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 07, 2017, 11:27:38 AM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 07, 2017, 10:16:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2017, 10:07:26 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/06/the-guardian-view-on-the-brexit-crisis-time-to-stop-the-fanatics

Since Monday, however, it has become much clearer that the UK government's failures and incompetence on Brexit go wider and deeper. Ph
ilip Hammond confirmed on Wednesday what this column had reported, that the cabinet has never at any time had a specific discussion about the kind of Brexit that it is aiming for. As Sir Keir Starmer said in a Guardian article, membership of the single market, the customs union and a role for the European court of justice were simply swept off the table as options by Theresa May's grossly irresponsible diktat of October 2016.


it's not a failure if you don't want to do it. The UK Government do not want Brexit and are trying to achieve as little Brexit as possible. The only shocking failure is the media and opposition reporting on this as a failure.

Trying, failing, to make sense of this.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mrhardyannual on December 07, 2017, 11:29:29 AM
Found this amusing https://www.facebook.com/BELFASTLAD/videos/711785959026358/ (https://www.facebook.com/BELFASTLAD/videos/711785959026358/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 07, 2017, 11:50:02 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 07, 2017, 11:27:38 AM


Trying, failing, to make sense of this.....

If you don't want to do something then don't try.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on December 07, 2017, 12:19:12 PM
Quote from: mrhardyannual on December 07, 2017, 11:29:29 AM
Found this amusing https://www.facebook.com/BELFASTLAD/videos/711785959026358/ (ftp://www.facebook.com/BELFASTLAD/videos/711785959026358/)

Cannot open that but saw this going around Twitter to help people understand the DUP approach to negotiating:

https://youtu.be/qEsFtiruIok
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: shawshank on December 07, 2017, 04:13:17 PM
Quote from: weareros on December 07, 2017, 12:19:12 PM
Quote from: mrhardyannual on December 07, 2017, 11:29:29 AM
Found this amusing https://www.facebook.com/BELFASTLAD/videos/711785959026358/ (ftp://www.facebook.com/BELFASTLAD/videos/711785959026358/)

Cannot open that but saw this going around Twitter to help people understand the DUP approach to negotiating:

https://youtu.be/qEsFtiruIok

That is really funny lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: From the Bunker on December 07, 2017, 04:13:51 PM

https://www.facebook.com/MeanwhileinIrelandOFFICIAL/videos/916297035211733/ (https://www.facebook.com/MeanwhileinIrelandOFFICIAL/videos/916297035211733/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 07, 2017, 05:00:20 PM
(https://www.petforums.co.uk/proxy.php?image=https%3A%2F%2Fpbs.twimg.com%2Fmedia%2FDQOs1AxWAAAl2WJ.jpg&hash=980ec60e5261fc53c24f73faf91a91e0)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on December 07, 2017, 05:59:32 PM
https://sluggerotoole.com/2017/12/04/how-brexit-is-destroying-nis-centre-ground-and-could-take-the-union-with-it/
Apologies if this has been posted already.

One other comment- Tommy Gorman from RTE is worse than useless.
His latest classic question to Arlene Foster on Tuesday highlighted his lack of understanding of 'this place'
"Arlene- do you want to be remembered as the woman who re-introduced the border ?". He actually put this question to the leader of a party whose entire reason for existence  is to preserve the border!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 07, 2017, 06:18:20 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on December 07, 2017, 05:59:32 PM
https://sluggerotoole.com/2017/12/04/how-brexit-is-destroying-nis-centre-ground-and-could-take-the-union-with-it/
Apologies if this has been posted already.

One other comment- Tommy Gorman from RTE is worse than useless.
His latest classic question to Arlene Foster on Tuesday highlighted his lack of understanding of 'this place'
"Arlene- do you want to be remembered as the woman who re-introduced the border ?". He actually put this question to the leader of a party whose entire reason for existence  is to preserve the border!!

Ah cop on. There's a world of difference between what we have now and a hard border with checkpoints. Everyone else seems to get what Gorman meant without being pedantic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 07, 2017, 06:49:19 PM
Listening to Gorman all week one would think the DUPUDA were the Government of the North and had about 60% of the population behind them.
Don't think there was a single word with SF, UUP, SDLP or Alliance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 07, 2017, 06:52:25 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 07, 2017, 06:49:19 PM
Listening to Gorman all week one would think the DUPUDA were the Government of the North and had about 60% of the population behind them.
Don't think there was a single word with SF, UUP, SDLP or Alliance.

Which one is propping up the Tories and vetoed the agreement? You have your answer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on December 07, 2017, 07:51:29 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 07, 2017, 06:52:25 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 07, 2017, 06:49:19 PM
Listening to Gorman all week one would think the DUPUDA were the Government of the North and had about 60% of the population behind them.
Don't think there was a single word with SF, UUP, SDLP or Alliance.

Which one is propping up the Tories and vetoed the agreement? You have your answer.

Exactly Syferus ..... there are few media that know the N Ireland elected reps better than Tommy G  ....  on the Unionist side there are precious few actual politicians ...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 07, 2017, 07:59:45 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 07, 2017, 06:49:19 PM
Listening to Gorman all week one would think the DUPUDA were the Government of the North and had about 60% of the population behind them.
Don't think there was a single word with SF, UUP, SDLP or Alliance.

Jesus lad!! Stop mimicking the DUP Ffs!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 07, 2017, 09:03:14 PM
Sounds like a deal is imminent. No leaks this time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on December 07, 2017, 09:16:10 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 07, 2017, 09:03:14 PM
Sounds like a deal is imminent. No leaks this time.

Any deal will be a likely fudgearama now. I hope Leo doesn't back track or accept some wishywashy wording that allows plenty of wriggle room.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on December 07, 2017, 10:21:59 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 07, 2017, 09:03:14 PM
Sounds like a deal is imminent. No leaks this time.

Never, Never, Never ..............................  if there is a deal the brits will renege on it (as I said before the alleged first deal)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on December 07, 2017, 11:13:11 PM
I do feel that whatever is agreed, there's a good chance the UK will renege on it at least partially
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 07, 2017, 11:18:56 PM
Quote from: Real Talk on December 07, 2017, 10:21:59 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 07, 2017, 09:03:14 PM
Sounds like a deal is imminent. No leaks this time.

Never, Never, Never ..............................  if there is a deal the brits will renege on it (as I said before the alleged first deal)

And again you vastly over-estimate for much Britain cares about NI to even be bothered enough to renege, nevermind the profound impact such action would have on their other agreements with the EU. You weren't right the first time, and you certainly aren't four days later.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 08, 2017, 06:43:56 AM
May in Brussels Agreement reached..... again!

"no red line" down the Irish sea according to Arlene
"no comment" from Dodds

NO apparent leaks....Details to follow soon....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 06:54:13 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 08, 2017, 06:43:56 AM
May in Brussels Agreement reached..... again!

"no red line" down the Irish sea according to Arlene
"no comment" from Dodds

NO apparent leaks....Details to follow soon....
Rupert Murdoch must have spoken personally  to Junkers.


https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2017/dec/08/brexit-border-eu-theresa-may-juncker-tusk-markets-live

The Sun gives May a boost this morning with a report that she has "won her fight with the EU" on the future role of the European court of justice – although Brexiters might not be quite as enthusiastic.

The EU had insisted that, post Brexit, issues concerning citizens' rights and access to the single market must come under the remit of the ECJ. May has already conceded that the court would continue to have jurisdiction in Britain during any transition period.

The Sun reports – under the headline "We win, EU lose" – that this period will be a full decade, running until 2029. It admits the apparent agreement "risks infuriating Tory Brexiteers".

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on December 08, 2017, 06:58:17 AM
Apparent text. https://twitter.com/jp_biz/status/939023708361965569
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 07:20:18 AM
Details of the fudge

Linfield to get a bye to the Champions League semi final.
Ashers to be given tariff free access to the Single Market for non gay wedding cakes
Northern Ireland to retain the right to deny entry to the whore of Babylon .
Orange Order to be given new marching route through the Vatican.
Totally open border
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 08, 2017, 07:26:59 AM
Few more...

https://twitter.com/markdevenport/status/939026315562192896/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.com%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-42276855
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 08, 2017, 07:33:17 AM
Seems like ....
The rUK will either go along with the EU rules or let NI executive decide if they want to diverge
Bit of a fudge.... and weknow they all go well.

Looks like rUK is gonna be maintaining customs union. Brexiteers probably havent figured it out yet... or this time round they were the ones May left in the dark.

Better move my May this time to finalise the text, agree it, and get over to Brussels to shake Junkers hand all under cover of darkness
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 08, 2017, 07:48:25 AM
https://twitter.com/markdevenport/status/939026315562192896/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.com%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-42276855

The DUP are hilarious, not only were their aims not achieved in the text but they couldn't help but give their first love the Sinnner a wee mention.
But lying and talking about the Sinners is hardly new
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 08, 2017, 08:00:42 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 07, 2017, 07:59:45 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 07, 2017, 06:49:19 PM
Listening to Gorman all week one would think the DUPUDA were the Government of the North and had about 60% of the population behind them.
Don't think there was a single word with SF, UUP, SDLP or Alliance.

Jesus lad!! Stop mimicking the DUP Ffs!

I've seen this pop up a few times. Must be a recent thing now that the DUP have a UK wide audience. It is petty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 08, 2017, 08:11:23 AM
They've been hand in glove for many's a day especially during the Arlene regime of 2016.
So anyway we'll all move on to the new "special relationship between the UK and the EU" and we'll all live happily ever after.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 08, 2017, 08:34:12 AM
Quote from: Itchy on December 04, 2017, 07:08:22 PM
It's a pause more than a stop. This is the DUP creating the illusion they have some control. In a few days the same deal will be agreed with some such shite added as "northern Ireland is part ok UK blah blah blah..." The DUP are out of road thanks to their own ignorance and stupidity.

As I stated earlier in the week...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on December 08, 2017, 09:08:21 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 08, 2017, 08:11:23 AM
They've been hand in glove for many's a day especially during the Arlene regime of 2016.
So anyway we'll all move on to the new "special relationship between the UK and the EU" and we'll all live happily ever after.

There's enough in there for Arlene and Co to say they've achieved their goals yet there is provisions for "special status" .

Fantastic political double speak.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 08, 2017, 09:12:02 AM
You really think that the DUP wil be happy with that and feel that they have achieved something?

Nick Cotton will be fuming I'd say on the inside but a brave face while standing at Stormont with Mr Smug
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on December 08, 2017, 09:37:36 AM
Is this not the same fudge that wasn't agreed on Monday?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 08, 2017, 09:44:17 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 08, 2017, 09:12:02 AM
You really think that the DUP wil be happy with that and feel that they have achieved something?

Nick Cotton will be fuming I'd say on the inside but a brave face while standing at Stormont with Mr Smug

It's only an achievement if they can convince their supporters it's an achievement. The DUP do not want Brexit, many of their supporters do not want Brexit.
The only thing the DUP need is a bogey man. The bogey man in Brexit is the Irish Government. Usually it would be SF but SF have no role in Brexit. Then it would be the Prime Minister, but that won't wash this time. After next election Corbyn will be the devil and normality will resume for the DUP. Back to shouting at SF and the Prime Minister while being quite happy with the soft Brexit we will get.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on December 08, 2017, 09:45:08 AM
So it's either special status or remain a part of the single market?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on December 08, 2017, 09:45:24 AM
So for NI exporters...........

If goods can be sent from NI to Dublin without barriers or checks have we any idea whether those same goods can then go on to Germany or France without crossing a border?

So does this mean that NI effectively remains in the EU, despite the wording being used this morning?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: DickyRock on December 08, 2017, 09:52:11 AM
I think this is better than Monday. Ensures north/south trade, and West / East. Does specify East / West. So NI could have best of both.

It does mean that NI could have higher regulations that both EU / UK that allows trade into both.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on December 08, 2017, 10:03:09 AM
Personally, i'm scratching my head. It's a load of aspirational nonsense. There's no agreement because there's nothing specific in it. Sadly I feel when it comes to the real dealing on this the political landscape won't be as favourable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 08, 2017, 10:04:31 AM
Quote from: DickyRock on December 08, 2017, 09:52:11 AM
I think this is better than Monday. Ensures north/south trade, and West / East. Does specify East / West. So NI could have best of both.

It does mean that NI could have higher regulations that both EU / UK that allows trade into both.

The north will be no different to the rest of the UK.

The EU and the UK will agree on regulation that is aligned, probably along existing custom union lines. The UK will call theirs something else, UK continent export regulation or something (CER).

Monday was a 'false flag operation'. To test the response. It was the response they wanted and the one they helped provoke by sending Varadkar out with special deal for the north. It seems Varadkar didn't know anything about this but the DUP were prepared. As soon as Varadkar called his press conference and the leaked documents came on line, every interested party in the UK were shouting for special status. Now everyone is happy.

Let's hope Corbyn keeps his mouth shut for a few weeks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 10:35:16 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2017/dec/08/brexit-border-eu-theresa-may-juncker-tusk-markets-live

Foster has said she has won six guarantees in the deal but had not won everything she wanted and had "cautioned" the prime minister not to accept the deal.

Informed sources said May had "no choice but to face the DUP down. The stakes were too big not to progress talks. 

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on December 08, 2017, 10:41:32 AM
Quote from: magpie seanie on December 08, 2017, 10:03:09 AM
Personally, i'm scratching my head. It's a load of aspirational nonsense. There's no agreement because there's nothing specific in it. Sadly I feel when it comes to the real dealing on this the political landscape won't be as favourable.

There were never going to be specifics at this stage - that's all Phase 2. Phase 1 was just about setting parameters, and I think we've done well on that front.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 08, 2017, 10:48:21 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 08, 2017, 07:26:59 AM
Few more...

https://twitter.com/markdevenport/status/939026315562192896/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.com%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-42276855

Seems like May used the DUP to gain a softer Brexit. She is basically saying to the hardliners that they have three options:

1) Have a hard Brexit with a border in Ireland and be prepared for violence and the probably break up of the Union - which will be on you.

2) Have a hard Brexit in Britain with the north retaining special status, and probably break up the Union - which will also be on you.

3) Stay in the single market, maintain the Union and everyone is happy.

I don't like the bit about the 6C executive being the ones to agree on special status for the north if the UK do decide to leave the single market in the end. We probably won't have one by March next year and even if we do, it'll have a DUP majority and they won't be voting for special status.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 08, 2017, 11:03:37 AM
It doesn't matter how hard or soft the brexit, there won't be a border in ireland.

You're looking at this in too short a time scale. From my reading if UK and Ireland/EU diverge (which won't happen for some time yet, and may not at all in the key areas) then they need to agree what to do re north. If they can't agree, then NI exec decides for itself. Theres a few fair 'if's in there, prob would never come about, and if it did will be years down the line.

Seems to me from a UI aspiration point of view, best thing that could happen now (assuming that phase 1 agreements are 'banked') is that brexit is hard, and subsequently disastrous so north aligns itself closer to south
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 11:08:40 AM
Nigel Fraud in the Torygraph
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/07/sake-country-tories-must-ditch-theresa-may-late/

"Every day that the Prime Minister remains in office brings us closer to a Corbyn government and a betrayal of Brexit

And so Theresa May has got her deal. But at what cost? To the 17.4 million Britons who voted to leave the EU, I would argue a heavy one. For the plain fact is that the UK remains a member of the EU in all but name. This is a fudge, as anyone who cares to be honest with themselves will acknowledge.

According to the terms as they appear this morning, vast sums of public money will continue to flow from the UK to Brussels. Britain will continue to be in the grip of the European Court of Justice. And no trade deals can be struck yet because of the transition zone in which the UK will be stuck.

This deal in Brussels is good news for Mrs May as we can now move on to the next stage of humiliation. This is not what we voted for."


https://youtu.be/z5rRZdiu1UE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 08, 2017, 11:12:18 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 08, 2017, 11:03:37 AM
It doesn't matter how hard or soft the brexit, there won't be a border in ireland.

You're looking at this in too short a time scale. From my reading if UK and Ireland/EU diverge (which won't happen for some time yet, and may not at all in the key areas) then they need to agree what to do re north. If they can't agree, then NI exec decides for itself. Theres a few fair 'if's in there, prob would never come about, and if it did will be years down the line.

Seems to me from a UI aspiration point of view, best thing that could happen now (assuming that phase 1 agreements are 'banked') is that brexit is hard, and subsequently disastrous so north aligns itself closer to south

You are looking at it from a bubble. More important than the border is that Germany wants to sell cars to the UK and France want's to buy weapons from the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 08, 2017, 11:21:50 AM
And how does that conflict with anything I've said?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 08, 2017, 11:37:17 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 08, 2017, 10:48:21 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 08, 2017, 07:26:59 AM
Few more...

https://twitter.com/markdevenport/status/939026315562192896/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.com%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-42276855

Seems like May used the DUP to gain a softer Brexit. She is basically saying to the hardliners that they have three options:

1) Have a hard Brexit with a border in Ireland and be prepared for violence and the probably break up of the Union - which will be on you.

2) Have a hard Brexit in Britain with the north retaining special status, and probably break up the Union - which will also be on you.

3) Stay in the single market, maintain the Union and everyone is happy.

I don't like the bit about the 6C executive being the ones to agree on special status for the north if the UK do decide to leave the single market in the end. We probably won't have one by March next year and even if we do, it'll have a DUP majority and they won't be voting for special status.
They won't if SDLP,  UUP and Alliance take positions in the  Executive -if it or Stormont every get restored.


Milltown and th'other lad will be happy I didn't say DUPUDA  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 11:47:53 AM
One of the key themes of the week was the DUP'S fear of being bounced into a united Ireland.
Varadkar and the Diplomatic core had to reassure them that this was not the case  . Certain songs were banned from the discussions .

 https://youtu.be/x9UU8CiFEYw

I think it was the week the Unionists became losers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 08, 2017, 11:57:57 AM
DUP will be sucking up to SF now to get the house on the Hill up and running, be a good time now for SF to tell them to f**k off
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on December 08, 2017, 12:09:06 PM
Wee Sammy is not happy.... Farage is not happy....

Seems we got a good deal. ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on December 08, 2017, 12:26:31 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 08, 2017, 10:04:31 AM
Quote from: DickyRock on December 08, 2017, 09:52:11 AM
I think this is better than Monday. Ensures north/south trade, and West / East. Does specify East / West. So NI could have best of both.

It does mean that NI could have higher regulations that both EU / UK that allows trade into both.

The north will be no different to the rest of the UK.

The EU and the UK will agree on regulation that is aligned, probably along existing custom union lines. The UK will call theirs something else, UK continent export regulation or something (CER).

Monday was a 'false flag operation'. To test the response. It was the response they wanted and the one they helped provoke by sending Varadkar out with special deal for the north. It seems Varadkar didn't know anything about this but the DUP were prepared. As soon as Varadkar called his press conference and the leaked documents came on line, every interested party in the UK were shouting for special status. Now everyone is happy.

Let's hope Corbyn keeps his mouth shut for a few weeks.
This wee scenario makes some sense apart from the British PM being completely embarrassed on the international stage.  I may even buy that, as a crafty political move if she had been a strong leader up to that point and had the points to recover from it.  But she didn't, she has been through embarrassment after embarrassment, and I would struggle to accept that she put herself through a charade that she will get pummelled for quite a while to come.  There is no way she deliberately done that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on December 08, 2017, 12:27:30 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on December 08, 2017, 10:41:32 AM
Quote from: magpie seanie on December 08, 2017, 10:03:09 AM
Personally, i'm scratching my head. It's a load of aspirational nonsense. There's no agreement because there's nothing specific in it. Sadly I feel when it comes to the real dealing on this the political landscape won't be as favourable.

There were never going to be specifics at this stage - that's all Phase 2. Phase 1 was just about setting parameters, and I think we've done well on that front.
That would be my take
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 08, 2017, 12:37:57 PM
Brexiters feel shit. . . Remainers feel a small bit of relief.

Not exactly a victory for anyone!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on December 08, 2017, 12:45:40 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on December 08, 2017, 12:26:31 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 08, 2017, 10:04:31 AM
Quote from: DickyRock on December 08, 2017, 09:52:11 AM
I think this is better than Monday. Ensures north/south trade, and West / East. Does specify East / West. So NI could have best of both.

It does mean that NI could have higher regulations that both EU / UK that allows trade into both.

The north will be no different to the rest of the UK.

The EU and the UK will agree on regulation that is aligned, probably along existing custom union lines. The UK will call theirs something else, UK continent export regulation or something (CER).

Monday was a 'false flag operation'. To test the response. It was the response they wanted and the one they helped provoke by sending Varadkar out with special deal for the north. It seems Varadkar didn't know anything about this but the DUP were prepared. As soon as Varadkar called his press conference and the leaked documents came on line, every interested party in the UK were shouting for special status. Now everyone is happy.

Let's hope Corbyn keeps his mouth shut for a few weeks.
This wee scenario makes some sense apart from the British PM being completely embarrassed on the international stage.  I may even buy that, as a crafty political move if she had been a strong leader up to that point and had the points to recover from it.  But she didn't, she has been through embarrassment after embarrassment, and I would struggle to accept that she put herself through a charade that she will get pummelled for quite a while to come.  There is no way she deliberately done that.

Her party are queueing up to praise her now. Its all a charade at the minute with wooly agreements which don't actually mean anything being the only way to move things on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 08, 2017, 01:05:05 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 08, 2017, 12:37:57 PM
Brexiters feel shit. . . Remainers feel a small bit of relief.

Not exactly a victory for anyone!!

The sign of a good compromise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 08, 2017, 01:08:15 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 08, 2017, 01:05:05 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 08, 2017, 12:37:57 PM
Brexiters feel shit. . . Remainers feel a small bit of relief.

Not exactly a victory for anyone!!

The sign of a good compromise.

Yeah I actually don't think May could have done much better in this case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on December 08, 2017, 01:12:44 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 08, 2017, 01:05:05 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 08, 2017, 12:37:57 PM
Brexiters feel shit. . . Remainers feel a small bit of relief.

Not exactly a victory for anyone!!

The sign of a good compromise.

This is what the DUP just dont get in "negotiations". Act like a spoilt kid (i.e. Sammy/Gregory/Nigel etc smug faces and triumphalism) when you have a "win" and the people you are dealing with say "never again". The deal this morning has just kicked the can down the road to a time when there are more factors that can be thrown in the mix to do with specifics around trade to get the bigger deal. All in all a decent result for the North.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 08, 2017, 02:09:35 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on December 08, 2017, 12:26:31 PM
This wee scenario makes some sense apart from the British PM being completely embarrassed on the international stage.  I may even buy that, as a crafty political move if she had been a strong leader up to that point and had the points to recover from it.  But she didn't, she has been through embarrassment after embarrassment, and I would struggle to accept that she put herself through a charade that she will get pummelled for quite a while to come.  There is no way she deliberately done that.

When the deal is done I think she will be vindicated. I think labour shouting and roaring is just making hay.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 08, 2017, 02:53:26 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 08, 2017, 01:05:05 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 08, 2017, 12:37:57 PM
Brexiters feel shit. . . Remainers feel a small bit of relief.

Not exactly a victory for anyone!!

The sign of a good compromise.
Both sides were not that far apart, were they? i.e. apart from the DUP being stuck somewhere in the old testament. The brexiteer side had no special agenda to have it any other way. The minor complicated factor which stalled this particular issue was that the DUP have some status in Westminster. And like most every other related brexit issue, the Brits hadn't put much forethought into it, toss and coin merchants versus chess grandmasters.
In most every other aspect of this divorce from the EU, the Brits have taken a hammering, nicely illustrated by Seán Clarke in The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jul/20/where-are-we-up-to-in-these-brexit-talks (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jul/20/where-are-we-up-to-in-these-brexit-talks)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on December 08, 2017, 04:00:24 PM
Does anyone in the DUP give a flying fcuk about poor Gibraltar (96% Remain)!

"As it stands, Gibraltar will not enjoy the cushion a transition period, EU officials confirmed, and will drop out of the Single Market and the Customs Union when the UK leaves the bloc on 29 March 2019.

EU officials confirmed that an arrangement over the future of the rock needs to be struck between Spain and the UK, if the transition arrangement is to be extended to Gibraltar."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on December 08, 2017, 04:00:43 PM
https://youtu.be/djfX5je1uys (https://youtu.be/djfX5je1uys) :D :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 08, 2017, 04:04:07 PM
This looks very much like the DUP were told to take their medicine and shut up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on December 08, 2017, 04:14:30 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 08, 2017, 04:04:07 PM
This looks very much like the DUP were told to take their medicine and shut up.

Yep, I think that's fair comment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NetNitrate on December 08, 2017, 04:21:03 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 08, 2017, 02:09:35 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on December 08, 2017, 12:26:31 PM
This wee scenario makes some sense apart from the British PM being completely embarrassed on the international stage.  I may even buy that, as a crafty political move if she had been a strong leader up to that point and had the points to recover from it.  But she didn't, she has been through embarrassment after embarrassment, and I would struggle to accept that she put herself through a charade that she will get pummelled for quite a while to come.  There is no way she deliberately done that.

When the deal is done I think she will be vindicated. I think labour shouting and roaring is just making hay.

Vindicated in the sense that it will be a very watered down Brexit. However, it got to that place because of the hardline stance taken by Ireland - ie the guarantee of no border. However, no border can only be guaranteed if the 6 county regulations are aligned with the 26. Then the DUP stepped in and an untended consequence of this is that for the six counties to be aligned with the 26, the six need to be aligned with Great Britain. And for Britain to do that, Britain has to be back aligned with EU rules. The whole thing is self-referential. The UK did not arrive in this place through any strategic thinking but rather accidentally. If they want the Brexit they voted for, it's becoming clear that the six counties are a big problem. The agreement is written ambigiously enough that the border still ends up again in the Irish sea. That is perhaps the one area where the British side were not found wanting.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 05:57:42 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 08, 2017, 04:04:07 PM
This looks very much like the DUP were told to take their medicine and shut up.
Put back in their wee place
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: randomusername on December 08, 2017, 06:31:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 05:57:42 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 08, 2017, 04:04:07 PM
This looks very much like the DUP were told to take their medicine and shut up.
Put back in their wee place

You sure about this?

https://twitter.com/paulfrewDUP/status/939053054166552576
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 08, 2017, 06:37:03 PM
Quote from: randomusername on December 08, 2017, 06:31:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 05:57:42 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 08, 2017, 04:04:07 PM
This looks very much like the DUP were told to take their medicine and shut up.
Put back in their wee place

You sure about this?

https://twitter.com/paulfrewDUP/status/939053054166552576

Any DUP lad can live in the realm of fantasy if they wish but the fact remains they're stuck in the single market with us, and all are entitled to EU citizenship. Bluster is just that and facts aren't as easy to wash away.

The grandest irony is if the DUP end up having hitched the rest of the UK to the single market too they will have done Ireland a massive favour as it will make trade far easier for us than a UK that would have their hands untied when it comes to regulations. This was always a win-win negotiation for Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 08, 2017, 06:47:26 PM
Foster says she was looking for more time for "more clarification" but May told her there was no more time and she was going with the text as it was.
In other words ya've had yar  fun Arlene now the big girls are going out to play.
That Frew is in some parallel universe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2017, 07:11:23 PM
If you go back 18 months to the vote and see what people were saying about the challenge facing the Irish diplomats today is a massive achievement . They had to convince the EU 27 first and then use that leverage to put smacht over the Tories . Events helped but this was some result.

It also looks like the referendum result is now irrelevant. 17m people were ignorant of the real costs . Farage goes back to the referendum but he is wasting his time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Captain Scarlet on December 08, 2017, 08:11:45 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 08, 2017, 06:47:26 PM
Foster says she was looking for more time for "more clarification" but May told her there was no more time and she was going with the text as it was.
In other words ya've had yar  fun Arlene now the big girls are going out to play.
That Frew is in some parallel universe.

Listening to the radio and commentators are saying they can't belive the DUP are saying there wasn't enogh time as their usual gig is to stall until the 11th hour and get what they want.
The fact that are talking like that means their hand was forced.

Also any tweets from Borris or any Brexiter or DUP person is surely just saving face and keeping up the stupid bluster that has us all where we are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on December 08, 2017, 08:18:57 PM
Fair play to wee Leo and Big Simon. " You can have any kind of Brexit you want as long as it's green!" Indeed Fintan, indeed.
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-ireland-has-just-saved-the-uk-from-the-madness-of-a-hard-brexit-1.3320096
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 08, 2017, 10:00:38 PM
Quote from: Captain Scarlet on December 08, 2017, 08:11:45 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 08, 2017, 06:47:26 PM
Foster says she was looking for more time for "more clarification" but May told her there was no more time and she was going with the text as it was.
In other words ya've had yar  fun Arlene now the big girls are going out to play.
That Frew is in some parallel universe.

Listening to the radio and commentators are saying they can't belive the DUP are saying there wasn't enogh time as their usual gig is to stall until the 11th hour and get what they want.
The fact that are talking like that means their hand was forced.

Also any tweets from Borris or any Brexiter or DUP person is surely just saving face and keeping up the stupid bluster that has us all where we are.

I also found it very curious that Foster said that she ran out of time. Sounds like the Tories were for steaming ahead regardless knowing full well that the DUP couldn't countenance the alternative of potentially running the risk of another general election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 09, 2017, 07:22:15 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 08, 2017, 04:21:03 PM


Vindicated in the sense that it will be a very watered down Brexit. However, it got to that place because of the hardline stance taken by Ireland - ie the guarantee of no border. However, no border can only be guaranteed if the 6 county regulations are aligned with the 26. Then the DUP stepped in and an untended consequence of this is that for the six counties to be aligned with the 26, the six need to be aligned with Great Britain. And for Britain to do that, Britain has to be back aligned with EU rules. The whole thing is self-referential. The UK did not arrive in this place through any strategic thinking but rather accidentally. If they want the Brexit they voted for, it's becoming clear that the six counties are a big problem. The agreement is written ambigiously enough that the border still ends up again in the Irish sea. That is perhaps the one area where the British side were not found wanting.



This is't the case. The hard line was engineered by the UK and the EU. Ireland had no knowledge of the whole set up. That's why the documents were leaked, the press conference called and the expected response by all interested parties in the UK were made.


It must have been a crazy week if we all accepted Monday was a massive day but have forgotten those events by Friday.
Nothing happened on Friday that wasn't planned before Monday morning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 09, 2017, 08:44:10 AM
Judging by the Torygraph the Tory Brexit crowd lost.


Sub only but you get a good idea

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/08/brexit-deal-no-breakthrough-complete-capitulation/

 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/08/british-people-will-control-dislike-brexit-deal/

 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 09, 2017, 12:48:01 PM
This is very good

https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1209/926089-brexit-negotiations/

"The DUP turned its guns on the Taoiseach, suggesting that Dublin's position could force Theresa May to walk away from the negotiations: "The Irish Republic would suffer far worse economically from no trade deal than the UK.

"Mr Varadkar may try to appear calm on the surface but he is playing a dangerous game — not with us but with his own economy."

Christopher Montgomery, a former DUP Chief of Staff and a director of Friends of the Union, went on the BBC Radio 4 Today and the World at One programmes, claiming that Dublin had deliberately leaked the text and accusing this correspondent of misreporting events and causing the process to collapse."

The DUP lost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 09, 2017, 01:46:11 PM
Quote from: vallankumous on December 09, 2017, 07:22:15 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 08, 2017, 04:21:03 PM


Vindicated in the sense that it will be a very watered down Brexit. However, it got to that place because of the hardline stance taken by Ireland - ie the guarantee of no border. However, no border can only be guaranteed if the 6 county regulations are aligned with the 26. Then the DUP stepped in and an untended consequence of this is that for the six counties to be aligned with the 26, the six need to be aligned with Great Britain. And for Britain to do that, Britain has to be back aligned with EU rules. The whole thing is self-referential. The UK did not arrive in this place through any strategic thinking but rather accidentally. If they want the Brexit they voted for, it's becoming clear that the six counties are a big problem. The agreement is written ambigiously enough that the border still ends up again in the Irish sea. That is perhaps the one area where the British side were not found wanting.



This is't the case. The hard line was engineered by the UK and the EU. Ireland had no knowledge of the whole set up. That's why the documents were leaked, the press conference called and the expected response by all interested parties in the UK were made.


It must have been a crazy week if we all accepted Monday was a massive day but have forgotten those events by Friday.
Nothing happened on Friday that wasn't planned before Monday morning.

Why do you continue to write your fan fiction of events?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 09, 2017, 02:03:49 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 09, 2017, 01:46:11 PM


Why do you continue to write your fan fiction of events?

I'm having more fun than you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 10, 2017, 07:02:30 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1209/926089-brexit-negotiations/

Tony Connolly is a great read throughout this whole drama.

It seems to me from reading various things  this was the only thing that was added from Monday to Friday

"In the absence of agreed solutions, the United Kingdom will maintain full alignment with those rules of the internal market and the customs union"

The only question I have is what in the hell is the point of a trade deal now? They are staying in the single market and thats that!

Apart from Nigel none of the prominent Brexiteers appear to be pointing this out. Have they not noticed this text or are they are just shit scarred of losing their jobs with the Tory civil war May's departure would cause, all admist the backdrop  another election? Maybe May played a blinder by putting them in her cabinet.

As for the DUP Are they in the same boat as the hard Brexiteers? Seems like May just told them to go te f**k! The prospect of a Labour governmemt may just have made May more powerful than ever and it looks like somewhere in the week she realised it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2017, 07:50:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 10, 2017, 07:02:30 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2017/1209/926089-brexit-negotiations/

Tony Connolly is a great read throughout this whole drama.

It seems to me from reading various things  this was the only thing that was added from Monday to Friday

"In the absence of agreed solutions, the United Kingdom will maintain full alignment with those rules of the internal market and the customs union"

The only question I have is what in the hell is the point of a trade deal now? They are staying in the single market and thats that!

Apart from Nigel none of the prominent Brexiteers appear to be pointing this out. Have they not noticed this text or are they are just shit scarred of losing their jobs with the Tory civil war May's departure would cause, all admist the backdrop  another election? Maybe May played a blinder by putting them in her cabinet.

As for the DUP Are they in the same boat as the hard Brexiteers? Seems like May just told them to go te f**k! The prospect of a Labour governmemt may just have made May more powerful than ever and it looks like somewhere in the week she realised it!

The costs of Brexit have been revealed.  The Tories are more afraid of the voters than they are of the Brexit fruitcakes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 10, 2017, 08:20:23 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 08, 2017, 02:53:26 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 08, 2017, 01:05:05 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 08, 2017, 12:37:57 PM
Brexiters feel shit. . . Remainers feel a small bit of relief.

Not exactly a victory for anyone!!

The sign of a good compromise.
Both sides were not that far apart, were they? i.e. apart from the DUP being stuck somewhere in the old testament. The brexiteer side had no special agenda to have it any other way. The minor complicated factor which stalled this particular issue was that the DUP have some status in Westminster. And like most every other related brexit issue, the Brits hadn't put much forethought into it, toss and coin merchants versus chess grandmasters.
In most every other aspect of this divorce from the EU, the Brits have taken a hammering, nicely illustrated by Seán Clarke in The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jul/20/where-are-we-up-to-in-these-brexit-talks (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2017/jul/20/where-are-we-up-to-in-these-brexit-talks)

This is a clinker

I did come round to the British viewpoint on some things. For instance, I didn't insist on the UK covering the removal costs of the departing EU agencies. 😂 😂 😂
Michel Barnier 8 December 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2017, 03:36:10 PM
Since  the referendum there have been zero deals. Brexit was never even planned. There was popular revulsion at the inequality of the UK economy and opportunistic politicians jumped on the bandwagon but Brexit was never more than a fantasy.
This week May surrendered all of her red lines.

I do not understand the DUP's campaign of lies against Coveney and Varadkar. I am reading a book by Fionnula O Connor called In search of  a state : catholics in northern Ireland. It is about 20 years old. Back then John hume observed how weak unionism was. Now it is deluded.
 
There will be a united Ireland with some kind of carve out for antrim and north Down and bits of Armagh. It doesn't make sense to piss off the Irish Government.

Kevin Maher on the DUP

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJ94BMDiyBU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: T Fearon on December 10, 2017, 04:25:13 PM
Amazed by the number of Southern accents in Newry shops just now boosting the British Exchequer! Patriotic to the core! Then there are still people who think they would willingly subsidise taking the North on by ending partition!😂😂😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: longballin on December 10, 2017, 04:29:52 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 10, 2017, 04:25:13 PM
Amazed by the number of Southern accents in Newry shops just now boosting the British Exchequer! Patriotic to the core! Then there are still people who think they would willingly subsidise taking the North on by ending partition!😂😂😂

It won't be decided by a few hungry shoppers in Newry
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 10, 2017, 04:43:16 PM
Quote from: longballin on December 10, 2017, 04:29:52 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 10, 2017, 04:25:13 PM
Amazed by the number of Southern accents in Newry shops just now boosting the British Exchequer! Patriotic to the core! Then there are still people who think they would willingly subsidise taking the North on by ending partition!😂😂😂

It won't be decided by a few hungry shoppers in Newry

I know they say you should feed the needy at Christmas but responding to that is a bit much, Longballin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on December 10, 2017, 04:52:41 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 10, 2017, 04:25:13 PM
Amazed by the number of Southern accents in Newry shops just now boosting the British Exchequer! Patriotic to the core! Then there are still people who think they would willingly subsidise taking the North on by ending partition!😂😂😂
Swings and roundabouts. The conversion rate is the factor which decides whether the car parks in Newry or Dundalk are full.

Anyone reading through this latest agreement can see both the Irish government and the DUP being sold out by Britain again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on December 10, 2017, 05:00:08 PM
Seems clear to me these negotiations will never get to an end and Tory government will fall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 10, 2017, 06:00:26 PM
QuoteSeems clear to me these negotiations will never get to an end and Tory government will fall.

Tory government will fall, Labour get in at next election, decide that so much as happened, and the UK needs a 'Clear the Air' referendum about leaving the EU or otherwise, Remain will win by a big majority and everyone is left wondering what the last couple of years have been about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2017, 06:05:35 PM
The revenge of the DUP

https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/1210/926292-weather/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on December 11, 2017, 11:44:49 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 10, 2017, 04:25:13 PM
Amazed by the number of Southern accents in Newry shops just now boosting the British Exchequer! Patriotic to the core! Then there are still people who think they would willingly subsidise taking the North on by ending partition!😂😂😂

https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2017/1211/926518-increasing-economic-divergence-between-north-and-south/

By the sounds of it, ye're lucky to have them. Only ~6k new jobs in the north in the next 3 years seems ridiculously low
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 12, 2017, 12:44:03 AM
Quote from: macdanger2 on December 11, 2017, 11:44:49 PM
Quote from: T Fearon on December 10, 2017, 04:25:13 PM
Amazed by the number of Southern accents in Newry shops just now boosting the British Exchequer! Patriotic to the core! Then there are still people who think they would willingly subsidise taking the North on by ending partition!😂😂😂

https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2017/1211/926518-increasing-economic-divergence-between-north-and-south/

By the sounds of it, ye're lucky to have them. Only ~6k new jobs in the north in the next 3 years seems ridiculously low

Lots of minimum wage retail stuff.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on December 12, 2017, 02:20:06 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 10, 2017, 06:00:26 PM
QuoteSeems clear to me these negotiations will never get to an end and Tory government will fall.

Tory government will fall, Labour get in at next election, decide that so much as happened, and the UK needs a 'Clear the Air' referendum about leaving the EU or otherwise, Remain will win by a big majority and everyone is left wondering what the last couple of years have been about.

if only this was true!!! (i hope it does happen actually)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 02:35:11 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 10, 2017, 06:00:26 PM
QuoteSeems clear to me these negotiations will never get to an end and Tory government will fall.

Tory government will fall, Labour get in at next election, decide that so much as happened, and the UK needs a 'Clear the Air' referendum about leaving the EU or otherwise, Remain will win by a big majority and everyone is left wondering what the last couple of years have been about.

Fan fiction. Corbyn is a Eurosceptic too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on December 12, 2017, 07:25:00 AM
Quote from: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 02:35:11 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 10, 2017, 06:00:26 PM
QuoteSeems clear to me these negotiations will never get to an end and Tory government will fall.

Tory government will fall, Labour get in at next election, decide that so much as happened, and the UK needs a 'Clear the Air' referendum about leaving the EU or otherwise, Remain will win by a big majority and everyone is left wondering what the last couple of years have been about.


Fan fiction. Corbyn is a Eurosceptic too.

We know that the British can't be trusted
We are making a big mistake thinking that the Germans and French can be trusted to look after our interests. Merkel will throw us under the bus if she thought that the U.K. market for Mercs and B
M.W.s was at risk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Arthur_Friend on December 12, 2017, 10:06:06 AM
Quote from: Avondhu star on December 12, 2017, 07:25:00 AM
Quote from: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 02:35:11 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 10, 2017, 06:00:26 PM
QuoteSeems clear to me these negotiations will never get to an end and Tory government will fall.

Tory government will fall, Labour get in at next election, decide that so much as happened, and the UK needs a 'Clear the Air' referendum about leaving the EU or otherwise, Remain will win by a big majority and everyone is left wondering what the last couple of years have been about.


Fan fiction. Corbyn is a Eurosceptic too.

We know that the British can't be trusted
We are making a big mistake thinking that the Germans and French can be trusted to look after our interests. Merkel will throw us under the bus if she thought that the U.K. market for Mercs and B
M.W.s was at risk

If the British can't be trusted and the Germans and French can't be trusted, what are the options?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 12, 2017, 10:44:27 AM
I doubt Brexit will happen. It is emotional rather than rational. It would put the UK and EU in competition so the EU will handicap it. And it is not the answer to the real problem which is an economic system that does not work for ordinary people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on December 12, 2017, 11:15:39 AM
Quote from: Arthur_Friend on December 12, 2017, 10:06:06 AM
Quote from: Avondhu star on December 12, 2017, 07:25:00 AM
Quote from: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 02:35:11 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 10, 2017, 06:00:26 PM
QuoteSeems clear to me these negotiations will never get to an end and Tory government will fall.

Tory government will fall, Labour get in at next election, decide that so much as happened, and the UK needs a 'Clear the Air' referendum about leaving the EU or otherwise, Remain will win by a big majority and everyone is left wondering what the last couple of years have been about.


Fan fiction. Corbyn is a Eurosceptic too.

We know that the British can't be trusted
We are making a big mistake thinking that the Germans and French can be trusted to look after our interests. Merkel will throw us under the bus if she thought that the U.K. market for Mercs and B
M.W.s was at risk

If the British can't be trusted and the Germans and French can't be trusted, what are the options?
We have seen how the Germans treated us. Maybe if we gave Mr Pugin a call to see how he is fixed for an airbase they'd take us serious
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 12, 2017, 12:40:32 PM
The Germans and ECB put manners on our Government for running a cowboy Financial operation, for Harney and McCreevy telling the EU to fk off for 15 years and then we had Cowen and Lenihan  ducking and diving and telling porkies about our Finances from 2008 to 2010.
Remember the Regulator (sic) telling the Dáil in August 2098 that the banks were sound while Anglo Irish share prices had been dropping like stones for 4 months.
They were still telling them as the Bailout was happening - wasn't it Dempsey telling the media there was no Bail out while it was being finalised in the building behind them.
I presume we can still veto any proposed deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on December 12, 2017, 12:44:41 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 12, 2017, 12:40:32 PM
The Germans and ECB put manners on our Government for running a cowboy Financial operation, for Harney and McCreevy telling the EU to fk off for 15 years and then we had Cowen and Lenihan  ducking and diving and telling porkies about our Finances from 2098 to 2010.
Remember the Regulator (sic) telling the Dáil in August 2098 that the banks were sound while Anglo Irish share prices had been dropping like stones for 4 months.
They were still telling them as the Bailout was happening - wasn't it Dempsey telling the media there was no Bail out while it was being finalised in the building behind them.
I presume we can still veto any proposed deal?
You do realise that as the shit hit the fans " the fundamentals of the economy were sound"
and of course M.R.S.A. is a quick way of cutting waiting lists
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NetNitrate on December 12, 2017, 02:59:29 PM
Quote from: Avondhu star on December 12, 2017, 12:44:41 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 12, 2017, 12:40:32 PM
The Germans and ECB put manners on our Government for running a cowboy Financial operation, for Harney and McCreevy telling the EU to fk off for 15 years and then we had Cowen and Lenihan  ducking and diving and telling porkies about our Finances from 2098 to 2010.
Remember the Regulator (sic) telling the Dáil in August 2098 that the banks were sound while Anglo Irish share prices had been dropping like stones for 4 months.
They were still telling them as the Bailout was happening - wasn't it Dempsey telling the media there was no Bail out while it was being finalised in the building behind them.
I presume we can still veto any proposed deal?
You do realise that as the shit hit the fans " the fundamentals of the economy were sound"
and of course M.R.S.A. is a quick way of cutting waiting lists

There's a lot of Irish people that still think the rest of the world should have paid for the bad behaviour of our banks and the cowboys they indiscriminately lent money to. Britain too had to bail out their banks to the tune of 500 million. The difference is we needed to borrow to bail out our bad boys.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on December 12, 2017, 03:06:53 PM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 12, 2017, 02:59:29 PM

There's a lot of Irish people that still think the rest of the world should have paid for the bad behaviour of our banks and the cowboys they indiscriminately lent money to. Britain too had to bail out their banks to the tune of 500 million. The difference is we needed to borrow to bail out our bad boys.

Funny, the money wasn't subject to a national identity until it went to hell.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 12, 2017, 04:27:39 PM
If you make an investment in a private business (whether through bonds or shares) you make a profit which is your compensation for the risk involved - if the firm is successful. If it isn't successful, you generally lose your money. Unless you lent money to the banks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 12, 2017, 04:40:58 PM
And the banks lent the money to Fianna Fáil's builder and developer friends.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on December 12, 2017, 08:00:55 PM
Where has Sean Quinn and the "Quinn Group" gone to ??   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 12, 2017, 09:46:52 PM
 :-X
Quote from: Real Talk on December 12, 2017, 08:00:55 PM
Where has Sean Quinn and the "Quinn Group" gone to ??

https://quinnbet.com
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bannside on December 12, 2017, 10:04:30 PM
I don't give Quinnbet any chance at all. They obviously think the gambling industry is a soft touch. Big guns will swallow them up until they give more and more away to obtain their market share....until it's not sustainable any longer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 10:09:40 PM
It takes a special kind of ego to still stick the Quinn name on your company after it's been ran into the mud many times over.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on December 13, 2017, 09:19:27 AM
Quote from: bannside on December 12, 2017, 10:04:30 PM
I don't give Quinnbet any chance at all. They obviously think the gambling industry is a soft touch. Big guns will swallow them up until they give more and more away to obtain their market share....until it's not sustainable any longer.

This about sums it up.  It's the insurance business model all over again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 13, 2017, 09:51:09 PM
Defeat in the Commons for May over Brexit bill. Some Tory's (sensibly) rebelled. Further obstruction and confusion to the situation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 13, 2017, 09:58:32 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 10:09:40 PM
It takes a special kind of ego to still stick the Quinn name on your company after it's been ran into the mud many times over.

What did we want him to do? Retire and do F All? Fair play to him. The Irish Govt tried to make him a scapegoat for all that was wrong with the Celtic Tiger. Ask around Fermanagh/Cavan what they think of him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thebigfella on December 13, 2017, 10:08:33 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 13, 2017, 09:58:32 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 10:09:40 PM
It takes a special kind of ego to still stick the Quinn name on your company after it's been ran into the mud many times over.

What did we want him to do? Retire and do F All? Fair play to him. The Irish Govt tried to make him a scapegoat for all that was wrong with the Celtic Tiger. Ask around Fermanagh/Cavan what they think of him.

I love this shite .....  ::) 

I think he'll be well suited to the gambling industry with the rest of the cnuts in it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 13, 2017, 11:31:10 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 13, 2017, 09:58:32 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 10:09:40 PM
It takes a special kind of ego to still stick the Quinn name on your company after it's been ran into the mud many times over.

What did we want him to do? Retire and do F All? Fair play to him. The Irish Govt tried to make him a scapegoat for all that was wrong with the Celtic Tiger. Ask around Fermanagh/Cavan what they think of him.

Firstly he shouldn't be trusted with any investor's money, and secondly he should keep his name as far away from the brand of any company he's running as it's as toxic as any asset in NAMA.

I don't give a fûck what any Cavan or Monaghan lads think about him - he's as much of a gangster as the likes of Fingers and FitzPatrick.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 14, 2017, 08:27:38 AM
Did ye hear Fingers' defence?
It's like a bank robber  blaming the Guards for not stopping him in the first place😠
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 14, 2017, 08:12:44 PM
Congrats Sean Quinn you've managed to hijack this thread...


No mention of yesterdays vote? Very significant IMO. Not for the bill itself but the fact that it now shows May she doesnt have a majority on Brexit

Shows the fine line she is threading, she saw off the Brexiteers and DUP last week and looking very powerful in the process, only to be blindsided by the Remainers this week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 14, 2017, 08:38:12 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on December 14, 2017, 08:12:44 PM
Congrats Sean Quinn you've managed to hijack this thread...


No mention of yesterdays vote? Very significant IMO. Not for the bill itself but the fact that it now shows May she doesnt have a majority on Brexit

Shows the fine line she is threading, she saw off the Brexiteers and DUP last week and looking very powerful in the process, only to be blindsided by the Remainers this week

She looked scared of her own shadow.

None of this is surprising or even terribly note-worthy. The sooner this Tory government collapses the better.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 15, 2017, 05:34:39 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 13, 2017, 11:31:10 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 13, 2017, 09:58:32 PM
Quote from: Syferus on December 12, 2017, 10:09:40 PM
It takes a special kind of ego to still stick the Quinn name on your company after it's been ran into the mud many times over.

What did we want him to do? Retire and do F All? Fair play to him. The Irish Govt tried to make him a scapegoat for all that was wrong with the Celtic Tiger. Ask around Fermanagh/Cavan what they think of him.

Firstly he shouldn't be trusted with any investor's money, and secondly he should keep his name as far away from the brand of any company he's running as it's as toxic as any asset in NAMA.

I don't give a fûck what any Cavan or Monaghan lads think about him - he's as much of a gangster as the likes of Fingers and FitzPatrick.

Yeah why wouldn't you trust him with money? Complete BS. The man built an empire from the ground up, got caught up with a gangster and got greedy as a result. Id imagine he has contributed far more to the local area than you did to yours syf? My only regret for him is that he didn't get more of his money hid away in the Ukraine or Bulgaria.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 15, 2017, 05:41:28 PM
Yawn.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 15, 2017, 06:19:07 PM
Back to Brexit, said it last week, May is finished.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 15, 2017, 06:43:56 PM
Did she ever get started?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on December 16, 2017, 01:54:08 AM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 15, 2017, 06:19:07 PM
Back to Brexit, said it last week, May is finished.

She's not the same since she changed the hairstyle
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on December 17, 2017, 01:34:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 01, 2017, 07:20:10 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on December 01, 2017, 07:10:36 PM
This has been a great week for Ireland and, indeed, the EU.
Many thanks to most of the posters on here for their informed comments.
The other bright point in my week has been the arrival of a family member's new passport.
For those who haven't got one yet ( they have been in circulation since late 2013), page 5- opposite the photograph page and therefore the one you'll be opening when you pass through airports- is particularly good. There's a great map of the island with our wonderful rivers, mountains and loughs featured. Not an artificially created line in sight.
A quote on this page , and repeated on subsequent pages;
"It is the entitlement and birthright of every person born in the island of Ireland ,which includes the islands and seas, to be part of the Irish Nation"
Page 15 is dedicated to Gaelic Games- and as far as I'm concerned that's a picture of Ross Carr on the ball- and page 28 has a verse from the Ulster weaver Poet, James Orr. On the next page - "Furthermore the Irish nation cherishes its special affinity which people of Irish ancestry living abroad who share it's cultural identity and heritage". Seamus Heaney would approve.
The best part is on the inside page.

Iarann aire gnóthaí eachtreacha agus trádála na hÉireann ar gach lena mbaineann Ligean dá shealbhóir seo,  saoránach
d'Éirinn, gabhail ar aghaidh gan bhac gan chosc agus gach cúnamh agus caomhnú is gá a thabhairt  don shealbhóir.

That is the opposite of NI

In response to these quotes T Fearon said  "Full of mantras unsupported by action."

Read this T :  https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/dec/17/brexit-deal-gives-more-rights-to-irish-passport-holders-experts-say

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Declan on December 19, 2017, 02:05:33 PM
Wasn't sure where to post this but never gets old really

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DRZrMHoWkAA7NON.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 19, 2017, 02:36:30 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/18/demob-happy-maybot-goes-through-the-smooth-and-orderly-motions
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 19, 2017, 04:27:02 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/18/uk-cannot-have-a-special-deal-for-the-city-says-eu-brexit-negotiator-barnier (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/18/uk-cannot-have-a-special-deal-for-the-city-says-eu-brexit-negotiator-barnier)

Most new outlets are running this wee story except the good old BBC. This people is what brexit will come down to.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Syferus on December 19, 2017, 05:01:37 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 19, 2017, 04:27:02 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/18/uk-cannot-have-a-special-deal-for-the-city-says-eu-brexit-negotiator-barnier (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/18/uk-cannot-have-a-special-deal-for-the-city-says-eu-brexit-negotiator-barnier)

Most new outlets are running this wee story except the good old BBC. This people is what brexit will come down to.

http://www.bbc.com/news/blogs-the-papers-42406122

The interview was specifically with the Gaurdian, which might help explain to you why they had the story.

Sometimes people in this thread don't exactly help themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 19, 2017, 05:04:40 PM
Financial Times had it as well as others and they had it on the their front pages.
You done well Syerus to find it. Well done you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on December 20, 2017, 11:39:46 AM
Bad Cop Barnier in front of the cameras again.  UK will basically have to comply with all EU rules during the transition period but will have no representation or influence.  The transition period will end on 31/12/2020.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 20, 2017, 11:51:38 AM
The EU and the UK will be in competition during a period of stagnation. Brexit will essentially involve a no compete clause. The Brexit heads never thought stuff like this through.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 20, 2017, 04:19:05 PM
Banjaxed

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/dec/20/retail-christmas-retailers-financial-distress-snow-consumer-spending-squeeze
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on January 08, 2018, 07:51:41 PM
I see Brokenshire has been relieved of his responsibilities. What's Karen Brady's position on regulatory alignment and standards?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on January 09, 2018, 09:48:28 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 08, 2018, 07:51:41 PM
I see Brokenshire has been relieved of his responsibilities. What's Karen Brady's position on regulatory alignment and standards?

The same as Lord Sugar's.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on January 09, 2018, 11:03:09 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 08, 2018, 07:51:41 PM
I see Brokenshire has been relieved of his responsibilities. What's Karen Brady's position on regulatory alignment and standards?

West Ham Karen Brady?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on January 09, 2018, 11:58:58 AM
Any of you read the one about mistaken identity?  Can happen very easily.  Anyway, back to the Great Repeal Act..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 09, 2018, 12:44:02 PM
Davis thinks the EU is bullying him because they say that if the UK leaves then everything won't be same.

(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Ffastft%2Ffiles%2F2018%2F01%2Fgrthyhtj.png?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=613)
(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Ffastft%2Ffiles%2F2018%2F01%2F98-6jhg.png?source=next&fit=scale-down&width=614)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on January 09, 2018, 01:17:48 PM
David Davis is an interesting character. I was hoping MickyG would've been S.O.S.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 09, 2018, 07:36:06 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 09, 2018, 01:17:48 PM
David Davis is an interesting character.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJTjGgQXgAALbFe.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on January 09, 2018, 10:23:46 PM
Accurate enough.  Did you hear the one about the time he called for an unnecessary vote?  Michael Gove isn't as half as interesting.  What is the religious breakdown of the new cabinet?  Can you tell by their surnames, or is a more in-depth analysis required?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on January 10, 2018, 12:15:48 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 09, 2018, 10:23:46 PM
Accurate enough.  Did you hear the one about the time he called for an unnecessary vote?  Michael Gove isn't as half as interesting.  What is the religious breakdown of the new cabinet?  Can you tell by their surnames, or is a more in-depth analysis required?

surnames aren't a given anymore, but schooling tells a tale as any Nordie will tell you.    ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on January 10, 2018, 12:44:15 PM
ain't that the truth..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on January 12, 2018, 07:25:14 AM
What's your analysis of Nigel Farage and Aaron Banks latest proposal?  Electioneering?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 12, 2018, 07:49:23 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 12, 2018, 07:25:14 AM
What's your analysis of Nigel Farage and Aaron Banks latest proposal?  Electioneering?
Brexit is being diluted.There isn't going to be a hard Brexit.They want to stop this
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2018, 09:19:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2018, 07:49:23 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 12, 2018, 07:25:14 AM
What's your analysis of Nigel Farage and Aaron Banks latest proposal?  Electioneering?
Brexit is being diluted.There isn't going to be a hard Brexit.They want to stop this

Attention seeking Farage, give him it and you'll get a real answer, either way!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on January 12, 2018, 09:22:09 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2018, 07:49:23 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 12, 2018, 07:25:14 AM
What's your analysis of Nigel Farage and Aaron Banks latest proposal?  Electioneering?
Brexit is being diluted.There isn't going to be a hard Brexit.They want to stop this

Seems that the leavers and the hard Brexiteers want the same thing for very different reasons.

Theresa is presiding over a shitfest and she knows it, but she's the one who's surrounded herself with incompetents like Gove, Davis and Boris.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on January 12, 2018, 09:26:21 AM
Farage did say we'd be better in EU with a soft Brexit as at least MEP's would have input on some decisions.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2018, 10:55:59 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on January 12, 2018, 09:26:21 AM
Farage did say we'd be better in EU with a soft Brexit as at least MEP's would have input on some decisions.

and he'd get his EU pension!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on January 12, 2018, 10:58:06 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2018, 10:55:59 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on January 12, 2018, 09:26:21 AM
Farage did say we'd be better in EU with a soft Brexit as at least MEP's would have input on some decisions.

and he'd get his EU pension!

He's getting it anyway
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on January 12, 2018, 11:58:28 AM
Quote from: Minder on January 12, 2018, 10:58:06 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2018, 10:55:59 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on January 12, 2018, 09:26:21 AM
Farage did say we'd be better in EU with a soft Brexit as at least MEP's would have input on some decisions.

and he'd get his EU pension!

He's getting it anyway
His plans to be big in the US look like they've slowed down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on January 18, 2018, 11:56:15 PM
Brexit's hardly been mentioned all week. You think the public's bored stiff?  Has anybody considered how it compromises the constitutional law of Northern Ireland? Like GB we aren't fortunate to have a written constitution, not that that matters much.  EU law and the Belfast Agreement have become woven into our law over the last 30-40 yrs.  We mightn't have had much of a legislative assembly but we certainly had a functioning executive and a rigorous judiciary.  Plenty of talk of 'prerogative power'.  Wonder what our friends in the U.S. would make of our checks and balances?  Is Trump's democracy lesser or greater than ours?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on January 26, 2018, 02:21:06 AM
Well, as Napoleon said, glory is fleeting and obscurity is forever.

The world has turned, the global economy recovers, the seeds of growth are evident everywhere.

Well not quite everywhere, while the US economy is looking at a 2.7% growth and the EU is looking at 2.2%, the UK is shaping up for a not so mighty 1.5% versus a very hefty 3% inflation rate.

With the UK not legally able to negotiate trade deals on their own until they exit the EU the British prime minister spoke to an empty room at Davos, while Macron's session had folks lining up for an hour to get in.

When do you draw the line between the will of the people and the good of the people?

The UK is not yet facing the harsh dividing line of the US, but it must be clear to those who care to look, that the EU exit may well put the final nail in the Empires coffin. In doing so they are consigning their youth to the economic conditions suffered by the Irish for centuries. Will be interesting to see whether the English attitudes start to change when they start losing their best and brightest to the growing economies of the world. In what diminished state will they implore the EU to rejoin?

While there is a temptation to spitefully wish ill on the English, the ramifications for Ireland of their nearest trading partner's economic road to ruin will be significant. The short sighted will clamour to leave also, without seeing the implications in the long term of getting on a sinking ship. Preparations should be made for decreased UK trade and a significant investment made in direct trading routes with continental ports. The status of the North will remain in flux for 20 years until a generation passes and the economic implications of reunification are plain to all.

Welcome to the brave New world...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 26, 2018, 08:00:35 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 26, 2018, 02:21:06 AM
Well, as Napoleon said, glory is fleeting and obscurity is forever.

The world has turned, the global economy recovers, the seeds of growth are evident everywhere.

Well not quite everywhere, while the US economy is looking at a 2.7% growth and the EU is looking at 2.2%, the UK is shaping up for a not so mighty 1.5% versus a very hefty 3% inflation rate.

With the UK not legally able to negotiate trade deals on their own until they exit the EU the British prime minister spoke to an empty room at Davos, while Macron's session had folks lining up for an hour to get in.

When do you draw the line between the will of the people and the good of the people?

The UK is not yet facing the harsh dividing line of the US, but it must be clear to those who care to look, that the EU exit may well put the final nail in the Empires coffin. In doing so they are consigning their youth to the economic conditions suffered by the Irish for centuries. Will be interesting to see whether the English attitudes start to change when they start losing their best and brightest to the growing economies of the world. In what diminished state will they implore the EU to rejoin?

While there is a temptation to spitefully wish ill on the English, the ramifications for Ireland of their nearest trading partner's economic road to ruin will be significant. The short sighted will clamour to leave also, without seeing the implications in the long term of getting on a sinking ship. Preparations should be made for decreased UK trade and a significant investment made in direct trading routes with continental ports. The status of the North will remain in flux for 20 years until a generation passes and the economic implications of reunification are plain to all.

Welcome to the brave New world...

DragHi can't raise interest rates. This is more important than an expected growth rate . We are not in business as usual.

Re the US the thing now is to have growth that does not benefit ordinary people. It happens when a minority owns a majority of assets.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on January 29, 2018, 02:14:25 AM
Now the two main political parties in the UK are trying to get their act together. This last week has seen the Labour party pull together to decide whether they are going to grab the bull by the horns and go full anti Brexit. On the other hand may is facing a vote of no confidence if she doesn't clarify her position. Both sides of her party starting to push her around...

Is the penny about to drop...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 29, 2018, 02:58:16 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 29, 2018, 02:14:25 AM
Now the two main political parties in the UK are trying to get their act together. This last week has seen the Labour party pull together to decide whether they are going to grab the bull by the horns and go full anti Brexit. On the other hand may is facing a vote of no confidence if she doesn't clarify her position. Both sides of her party starting to push her around...

Is the penny about to drop...

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jan/28/brexit-passions-tory-theresa-may
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 30, 2018, 10:44:53 AM
The future is bright shіte in the sunny uplands of Brexit.

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-42867668
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 30, 2018, 10:55:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 30, 2018, 10:44:53 AM
The future is bright shіte in the sunny uplands of Brexit.

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-42867668

More experts??!! Yeah jog on mate we'll be grand!

Can't wait for my blue passport.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on January 30, 2018, 03:57:40 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 30, 2018, 10:55:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 30, 2018, 10:44:53 AM
The future is bright shіte in the sunny uplands of Brexit.

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-42867668

More experts??!! Yeah jog on mate we'll be grand!

Can't wait for my blue passport.

Some incredible stuff from Brexit ministers today, saying these forecasts are wrong because every Treasury forecast is wrong...

The Treasury saying Brexit will be a complete f**k up whereas the Brexiteers are saying that wrong, it'll just be a normal f**k up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 31, 2018, 06:44:18 PM
This is the part where MR2 steps in to tell us all we have to stop talking about it cos a bottle of Lambrini is still a fiver in Winemark  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 01, 2018, 09:14:21 AM
Now May is saying that the impact forecasts leaked this week are preliminary analyses and besides, ministers haven't signed off on them yet.  As a commentator has said "I thought you based policy on the evidence, not based the evidence on your policy".

Brexiteers really can't see beyond the dogma.  They're like party apparatchiks in the old Soviet Union.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 10:26:54 AM
Quote from: Franko on January 31, 2018, 06:44:18 PM
This is the part where MR2 steps in to tell us all we have to stop talking about it cos a bottle of Lambrini is still a fiver in Winemark  ::)

Wouldnt drink that stuff, this is the bit were I step in and say, I didnt vote for brexit, Ive no control over it and neither do you or seafoid, its happened and thats that! moaning and complaining and worrying over it wont make it go away

Nobody in Government actually thought this was a good idea, thats why Cameron threw it out there, not thinking there was enough stupid cnuts who'd actually believe it would work out better..

The cost of living is still raising and hasnt really went down since the banks fcuked up and that was way before brexit, but hey you've managed to live through that balls up.. so dry your eyes roll up your sleeves and get on with it..

Oh and Tesco is doing 25% off when you buy 6 or more bottles  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 01, 2018, 10:55:17 AM
And ye'll be able to get blue passports as well (for those who want them of course)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2018, 11:09:55 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 01, 2018, 10:55:17 AM
And ye'll be able to get blue passports as well (for those who want them of course)

https://youtu.be/68ugkg9RePc

Expat Rossies can paint the inside pages primrose
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on February 01, 2018, 05:38:55 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 10:26:54 AM
Quote from: Franko on January 31, 2018, 06:44:18 PM
This is the part where MR2 steps in to tell us all we have to stop talking about it cos a bottle of Lambrini is still a fiver in Winemark  ::)

Wouldnt drink that stuff, this is the bit were I step in and say, I didnt vote for brexit, Ive no control over it and neither do you or seafoid, its happened and thats that! moaning and complaining and worrying over it wont make it go away

Nobody in Government actually thought this was a good idea, thats why Cameron threw it out there, not thinking there was enough stupid cnuts who'd actually believe it would work out better..

The cost of living is still raising and hasnt really went down since the banks fcuked up and that was way before brexit, but hey you've managed to live through that balls up.. so dry your eyes roll up your sleeves and get on with it..

Oh and Tesco is doing 25% off when you buy 6 or more bottles  ::)

Ah right.

Well now comes the part where everyone ignores you and talks about it anyway.

So maybe you should just get over it, because hey, it's happened and is going to continue to happen and all your whinging and moaning about people discussing the topic hasn't changed that one iota.

Sound familiar? Cheers.

PS... the bit in bold... who are you trying to kid...  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 05:56:54 PM
It's just a thought! Beats going on about it. Soft or hard Brexit! This expert says this and that one says that Zzzzzzzzzz

I've lost interest, so is there a timeline when it actually happens and have they sorted out the Irish problem?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on February 01, 2018, 06:18:39 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 05:56:54 PM
It's just a thought! Beats going on about it. Soft or hard Brexit! This expert says this and that one says that Zzzzzzzzzz

I've lost interest, so is there a timeline when it actually happens and have they sorted out the Irish problem?

For someone who has lost interest you seem to spend a lot of time posting on this thread (and asking questions now!).

The basics below... from all sorts of different perspectives.  Spend a little time and educate yourself.

Beats actively going to a place set aside for people to discuss it, to whine about people discussing it.  ::)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/eu-referendum

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/brexit/index.html

https://www.ft.com/brexit?segmentId=f00b9584-ff00-6024-c4b6-d817f88ba2ba&gclid=CjwKCAiAksvTBRBFEiwADSBZfG05WQhKh1KmrhDYRXn-aXggN9h8oX-gUkP3WkQdw9FWvo8hd_6jxhoCDocQAvD_BwE

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/uk_leaves_the_eu
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2018, 06:42:34 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 05:56:54 PM
It's just a thought! Beats going on about it. Soft or hard Brexit! This expert says this and that one says that Zzzzzzzzzz

I've lost interest, so is there a timeline when it actually happens and have they sorted out the Irish problem?
Supposed to be March 2019 but it is already veering wildly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 07:05:01 PM
Cheers Seafoid, and Franko when I get time I'll go over this, possibly over a nice Bordeaux  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 01, 2018, 07:10:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 07:05:01 PM
Cheers Seafoid, and Franko when I get time I'll go over this, possibly over a nice Bordeaux  ;)

After Brexit Bordeaux won't be allowed, you'll have to drink Kangaroo Piss, or Tierra Del Fuego jugo de uva.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2018, 07:43:01 PM
Muhammad Ali Pasha took over as Sultan of Egypt in the late 1700s.  He replaced the Mamluks. He invited 300 Mamluk nobles to the citadel and once they were inside 299 were murdered.
The reasonable Tories need to do something similar politically to the Eurosceptics. I think this is what May and spreadsheet Phil are aiming for. The UK cannot go ahead with Brexit.

There are more biscuits in the McVities digestives sold in France than in those sold in the UK. FFS.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on February 01, 2018, 09:45:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 07:05:01 PM
Cheers Seafoid, and Franko when I get time I'll go over this, possibly over a nice Bordeaux  ;)

For a fiver? Yer having a laugh there. Best to stick to what you know lad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2018, 10:26:10 PM
Quote from: Franko on February 01, 2018, 09:45:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 07:05:01 PM
Cheers Seafoid, and Franko when I get time I'll go over this, possibly over a nice Bordeaux  ;)

For a fiver? Yer having a laugh there. Best to stick to what you know lad.
Baron de Lestac is the top selling Bordeaux wine (because it is mass market) and around a fiver
It is not bad either
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 11:06:41 PM
Quote from: Franko on February 01, 2018, 09:45:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 07:05:01 PM
Cheers Seafoid, and Franko when I get time I'll go over this, possibly over a nice Bordeaux  ;)

For a fiver? Yer having a laugh there. Best to stick to what you know lad.

Trust me I bought 6 two weeks ago, with the 25% off they priced it at 4.96!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on February 01, 2018, 11:24:46 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 11:06:41 PM
Quote from: Franko on February 01, 2018, 09:45:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 01, 2018, 07:05:01 PM
Cheers Seafoid, and Franko when I get time I'll go over this, possibly over a nice Bordeaux  ;)

For a fiver? Yer having a laugh there. Best to stick to what you know lad.

Trust me I bought 6 two weeks ago, with the 25% off they priced it at 4.96!

I'll take your word for it  :-X
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 02, 2018, 04:37:05 AM
Irish top court seem to having a laugh at the expense of the British. Today the supreme Court refused to extradite a man to the UK under a EU arrest warrant on the grounds that any imprisonment would go beyond March 29 2019 and therefore the EU warrant was void.
Oh the possibilities!
Apparently there are about 20 people in the same boat in Ireland, I wonder how many in the rest of the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 02, 2018, 08:43:03 AM
Quote from: heganboy on February 02, 2018, 04:37:05 AM
Irish top court seem to having a laugh at the expense of the British. Today the supreme Court refused to extradite a man to the UK under a EU arrest warrant on the grounds that any imprisonment would go beyond March 29 2019 and therefore the EU warrant was void.
Oh the possibilities!
Apparently there are about 20 people in the same boat in Ireland, I wonder how many in the rest of the EU?

That is an absolute geg!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 07, 2018, 10:00:07 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/feb/07/brexit-north-east-west-midlands-hardest-secret-analysis

"A no-deal Brexit would blow an £80bn hole in the public finances, with the leave-voting heartlands of north-east England and West Midlands worst affected, according to new detail from the government's own secret economic analysis.

The Guardian has learned that the secret papers, which assess the economic impact of leaving the bloc, predict that if there is no deal, the government will need to borrow £120bn more over the next 15 years.

The report suggests that the north-east would face a 16% hit to regional economic growth, and the West Midlands 13%. And it claims that a hard Brexit would mean an overall 21% rise in retail prices, with a 17% rise in food and drink costs."

NI would take 12% off GDP as the Protestant dividend.
17% to a fiver worth of wine will be hard to swallow.  :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 09, 2018, 08:07:32 AM
Well the shit is about to hit the fan!

EU legal text will enforce the north remaining in the single market.

Dup going to go batshit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 09, 2018, 09:32:46 AM
Northern Ireland will stay in single market after Brexit, EU says

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/feb/09/northern-ireland-will-stay-in-single-market-after-brexit-eu-says?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on February 09, 2018, 09:49:21 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 09, 2018, 09:32:46 AM
Northern Ireland will stay in single market after Brexit, EU says

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/feb/09/northern-ireland-will-stay-in-single-market-after-brexit-eu-says?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard

But Ian Og says "No Surrender"

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/watch-ian-paisley-no-surrender-rallying-call-to-government-for-brexit-talks-36577317.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/watch-ian-paisley-no-surrender-rallying-call-to-government-for-brexit-talks-36577317.html)

That'll sort it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 09, 2018, 09:51:22 AM
Sure the Brits say everything will be grand on the night......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 09, 2018, 09:52:16 AM
Good news now we need the Duppers to bring home a no sea border and make the north the largest trading portal in Europe. Or am I getting ahead of myself
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 09, 2018, 10:15:21 AM
Sammy Wilson's face will get redder, if that's possible
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 09, 2018, 02:53:08 PM
Barnier playing bad cop again

The EU's chief Brexit negotiator has repeated that a UK decision to leave the single market and customs union would make Irish border checks "unavoidable".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on February 09, 2018, 03:33:52 PM
If NI remains in the single market, will the SNP want the same for Scotland?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 09, 2018, 03:45:25 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 09, 2018, 03:33:52 PM
If NI remains in the single market, will the SNP want the same for Scotland?

Is the Pope a Catholic?
Do Bears defecate in the woods?
Does Fearon wind people up?
Is Sammy Wilson a bigot?

However, we have the Irish sea on our side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2018, 04:38:52 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 09, 2018, 10:15:21 AM
Sammy Wilson's face will get redder, if that's possible
The DUP want a hard Brexit. 17% cut to GDP.
Someone is funding them to support this because what they want is not good for NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2018, 05:03:51 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/feb/09/lack-of-migrant-workers-left-food-rotting-in-uk-fields-last-year-data-reveals

Fruit and vegetable farms across the UK were left short of thousands of migrant workers in 2017, leaving some produce to rot in the fields and farmers suffering big losses.

More than 4,300 vacancies went unfilled, according to new survey data from the National Farmers Union (NFU), which covers about half the horticultural labour market. The survey, seen exclusively by the Guardian, shows more than 99% of the seasonal workers recruited came from eastern Europe, with just 0.6% from the UK.

Since the vote to leave the European Union in 2016, growers have warned repeatedly of damaging labour shortages, with recruiters reporting that Brexit has created the perception among foreign workers that the UK is xenophobic and racist.

The government, which has pledged to reduce immigration, has so far rejected calls to reinstate a seasonal agricultural workers scheme (Saws). Facing uncertainty over labour, some farmers have begun moving their production overseas.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 09, 2018, 06:48:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 09, 2018, 04:38:52 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 09, 2018, 10:15:21 AM
Sammy Wilson's face will get redder, if that's possible
The DUP want a hard Brexit. 17% cut to GDP.
Someone is funding them to support this because what they want is not good for NI.

Jesus ! They ain't going along with this if there wasn't coin in it for them too! Confusing their voters has worked for years while they make money of the back of previous and current money scandals! But if you put a loaf of bread on head or carry bolt cutters in your boot then resigning is the least you can do!

In all seriousness though, and I piss about on Brexit as I've got on with things that are ultimately out of my control and harping on here about won't change things, but if the their voters can't see how stupid they are then we are doomed!

I think the shiners and SDLP should all vote for a hard Brexit and start flying Israel's flag it might work!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2018, 07:33:08 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 09, 2018, 06:48:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 09, 2018, 04:38:52 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 09, 2018, 10:15:21 AM
Sammy Wilson's face will get redder, if that's possible
The DUP want a hard Brexit. 17% cut to GDP.
Someone is funding them to support this because what they want is not good for NI.

Jesus ! They ain't going along with this if there wasn't coin in it for them too! Confusing their voters has worked for years while they make money of the back of previous and current money scandals! But if you put a loaf of bread on head or carry bolt cutters in your boot then resigning is the least you can do!

In all seriousness though, and I piss about on Brexit as I've got on with things that are ultimately out of my control and harping on here about won't change things, but if the their voters can't see how stupid they are then we are doomed!

I think the shiners and SDLP should all vote for a hard Brexit and start flying Israel's flag it might work!
They still.remember Lundy. Brexit is a bigger betrayal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on February 09, 2018, 11:15:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 09, 2018, 06:48:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 09, 2018, 04:38:52 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 09, 2018, 10:15:21 AM
Sammy Wilson's face will get redder, if that's possible
The DUP want a hard Brexit. 17% cut to GDP.
Someone is funding them to support this because what they want is not good for NI.

Jesus ! They ain't going along with this if there wasn't coin in it for them too! Confusing their voters has worked for years while they make money of the back of previous and current money scandals! But if you put a loaf of bread on head or carry bolt cutters in your boot then resigning is the least you can do!

In all seriousness though, and I piss about on Brexit as I've got on with things that are ultimately out of my control and harping on here about won't change things, but if the their voters can't see how stupid they are then we are doomed!

I think the shiners and SDLP should all vote for a hard Brexit and start flying Israel's flag it might work!

TBH l don't think there's coin in it for the DUP or even their supporters, I think they are so blinded by political dogma that they are only too keen to bite their noses off to spite their faces.

Economic lunacy.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 10, 2018, 01:42:19 AM
Very possibly political lunacy too, of maybe political suicide
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 14, 2018, 07:29:38 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 09, 2018, 06:48:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 09, 2018, 04:38:52 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 09, 2018, 10:15:21 AM
Sammy Wilson's face will get redder, if that's possible
The DUP want a hard Brexit. 17% cut to GDP.
Someone is funding them to support this because what they want is not good for NI.

Jesus ! They ain't going along with this if there wasn't coin in it for them too! Confusing their voters has worked for years while they make money of the back of previous and current money scandals! But if you put a loaf of bread on head or carry bolt cutters in your boot then resigning is the least you can do!

In all seriousness though, and I piss about on Brexit as I've got on with things that are ultimately out of my control and harping on here about won't change things, but if the their voters can't see how stupid they are then we are doomed!

I think the shiners and SDLP should all vote for a hard Brexit and start flying Israel's flag it might work!

Nail on head.

If Gerry Lou was to come out and say SF don't want a border poll and they don't want Stormont up and running we would have both before the year is out.

An ILA was never one of SF's original red lines but as soon as they threw their weight behind the campaign an ILA became a red line for the fleggers and then the DUP.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on February 19, 2018, 01:23:43 PM
So what about predictions for how Brexit is going to end up?

So we KNOW that what was apparently agreed in December (no borders east / west or north / south) cannot actually happen.  Given how badly the UK has negotiated this I would guess that Barnier and co will decide the terms; and that will be that there is no border between NI and ROI, but that there will be a border between Ireland and GB.
However, I'm not quite sure how that can be squared off with NI actually still being part of the UK.

Any other predictions for what we'll be looking at in 15 months time?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 25, 2018, 03:59:13 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/feb/24/jeremy-corbyn-shifts-labout-soft-brexit
"Jeremy and his people will try to play this down," says one shadow cabinet source. "He is a lifelong Eurosceptic. But it is very significant. It moves us decisively away from the Tories and away from hard Brexit. It rejects the Tory model of global Britain, under which they would spend years trying to agree trade deals across the globe. And it will sort the Northern Ireland problem out, which otherwise would be a nightmare."

Labour's latest move – urged upon Corbyn by a majority of his shadow cabinet and an increasingly rebellious group of backbenchers – is already causing political tremors across Westminster, and spreading panic in Tory ranks.

With the official opposition now in favour of a customs union, and at least a dozen Conservative rebels led by Anna Soubry suggesting they will put their names to, and vote for amendments to reach that end, there is now very likely to be a Commons majority in favour.

The power Labour MPs have, to inflict potentially devastating defeats on Theresa May by delivering cross-party parliamentary votes for a soft Brexit with Tory Europhiles, is becoming clearer by the day.

The former Labour minister and anti-Brexit MP Chris Leslie believes the political dynamics of the debate at Westminster are changing as parliament takes control and party loyalties give way to the national interest. "Hilary Benn [Labour chair of the all-party Brexit select committee] summed this up when he talked about this being a backbenchers' parliament. He is right. There is a dawning realisation about what we can achieve for this country if clusters of MPs across parties abandon tribalism and work together on smart ideas. Unquestionably, there is a parliamentary majority for a soft Brexit and as we realise what we can achieve, it whets the appetite to do more."

  Labour's Brexit spokesman, Keir Starmer, has not ruled out remaining in the single market, but says doing so must be conditional on the EU agreeing to change rules on free movement of workers so that the UK can have greater control over immigration

That explains why today more than 80 senior Labour figures including 37 MPs, 12 MEPs, a string of Labour leaders in local government, trades unionists and peers (the former party leader Neil Kinnock included) have issued a statement to the Observer demanding that Corbyn does not stop at staying in a customs union, but goes a big step further and comes out in support of the UK remaining as a full participant in the EU single market.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on February 25, 2018, 10:34:54 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/feb/25/brexit-vision-england-perfidy-over-ireland-good-friday-agreemnt

'...This week, Brussels will publish its draft withdrawal agreement, a legally binding text under which the UK will, in effect, commit itself to keeping Northern Ireland in the single market and customs union, unless a future free trade deal or a magical technological solution manages somehow to avoid a hard border. It will also bind both parties to recognising in all negotiations the "paramount importance", as Theresa May wrote in her Article 50 letter, of the Belfast Agreement....'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:16:03 PM
I admittedly have not paid close enough attention to Brexit since it was first announced.  And now I'm personally affected as I look at a potential move home to the occupied 6.  I'm an Irish passport holder and by the end of this year all my kids will be also. But will that qualify them/me to live in the North? I think because I was born there I am ok. But not sure now of the kids or the Mrs. Originally we were looking at an Irish visa - now some people are saying we'll need a british one..

Anyone offer some advice based on what you know of Brexit and where it is headed?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 26, 2018, 01:31:24 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:16:03 PM
I admittedly have not paid close enough attention to Brexit since it was first announced.  And now I'm personally affected as I look at a potential move home to the occupied 6.  I'm an Irish passport holder and by the end of this year all my kids will be also. But will that qualify them/me to live in the North? I think because I was born there I am ok. But not sure now of the kids or the Mrs. Originally we were looking at an Irish visa - now some people are saying we'll need a british one..

Anyone offer some advice based on what you know of Brexit and where it is headed?

Well we're probably headed into the abyss ;)

Where was your wife born and does she qualify for an Irish or British passport??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 26, 2018, 01:33:29 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:16:03 PM
I admittedly have not paid close enough attention to Brexit since it was first announced.  And now I'm personally affected as I look at a potential move home to the occupied 6.  I'm an Irish passport holder and by the end of this year all my kids will be also. But will that qualify them/me to live in the North? I think because I was born there I am ok. But not sure now of the kids or the Mrs. Originally we were looking at an Irish visa - now some people are saying we'll need a british one..

Anyone offer some advice based on what you know of Brexit and where it is headed?

Likely Irish citizens will end up with more rights in NI than British ones.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:56:21 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 26, 2018, 01:31:24 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:16:03 PM
I admittedly have not paid close enough attention to Brexit since it was first announced.  And now I'm personally affected as I look at a potential move home to the occupied 6.  I'm an Irish passport holder and by the end of this year all my kids will be also. But will that qualify them/me to live in the North? I think because I was born there I am ok. But not sure now of the kids or the Mrs. Originally we were looking at an Irish visa - now some people are saying we'll need a british one..

Anyone offer some advice based on what you know of Brexit and where it is headed?

Well we're probably headed into the abyss ;)

Where was your wife born and does she qualify for an Irish or British passport??
She is a yank and doesn't qualify for either unfortunately - which is why we are unsure of what to apply for...will an Irish visa entitle her to live in the north? should i not get my kids Irish passports because technically they are not also naturalized british citizens?
I don't believe I'll have any bother but my concern is how to get them in and legal...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 26, 2018, 02:06:59 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:56:21 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 26, 2018, 01:31:24 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:16:03 PM
I admittedly have not paid close enough attention to Brexit since it was first announced.  And now I'm personally affected as I look at a potential move home to the occupied 6.  I'm an Irish passport holder and by the end of this year all my kids will be also. But will that qualify them/me to live in the North? I think because I was born there I am ok. But not sure now of the kids or the Mrs. Originally we were looking at an Irish visa - now some people are saying we'll need a british one..

Anyone offer some advice based on what you know of Brexit and where it is headed?

Well we're probably headed into the abyss ;)

Where was your wife born and does she qualify for an Irish or British passport??
She is a yank and doesn't qualify for either unfortunately - which is why we are unsure of what to apply for...will an Irish visa entitle her to live in the north? should i not get my kids Irish passports because technically they are not also naturalized british citizens?
I don't believe I'll have any bother but my concern is how to get them in and legal...

I think you and the kids are fine Iceman if you were born in the North you are entitled to British and Irish citizenship so your kids are as well but your wife would not be . . . where are your wifes parents from?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 02:34:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 26, 2018, 02:06:59 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:56:21 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 26, 2018, 01:31:24 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:16:03 PM
I admittedly have not paid close enough attention to Brexit since it was first announced.  And now I'm personally affected as I look at a potential move home to the occupied 6.  I'm an Irish passport holder and by the end of this year all my kids will be also. But will that qualify them/me to live in the North? I think because I was born there I am ok. But not sure now of the kids or the Mrs. Originally we were looking at an Irish visa - now some people are saying we'll need a british one..

Anyone offer some advice based on what you know of Brexit and where it is headed?

Well we're probably headed into the abyss ;)

Where was your wife born and does she qualify for an Irish or British passport??
She is a yank and doesn't qualify for either unfortunately - which is why we are unsure of what to apply for...will an Irish visa entitle her to live in the north? should i not get my kids Irish passports because technically they are not also naturalized british citizens?
I don't believe I'll have any bother but my concern is how to get them in and legal...

I think you and the kids are fine Iceman if you were born in the North you are entitled to British and Irish citizenship so your kids are as well but your wife would not be . . . where are your wifes parents from?
Brooklyn...next generation are from Italy, Sicily and Brooklyn...two potentials there to apply for EU citizenship through grandparent but not sure if necessary... only one side of the family are 'fresh off the boat" at the grandparent level
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 26, 2018, 03:05:55 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 02:34:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 26, 2018, 02:06:59 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:56:21 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 26, 2018, 01:31:24 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 01:16:03 PM
I admittedly have not paid close enough attention to Brexit since it was first announced.  And now I'm personally affected as I look at a potential move home to the occupied 6.  I'm an Irish passport holder and by the end of this year all my kids will be also. But will that qualify them/me to live in the North? I think because I was born there I am ok. But not sure now of the kids or the Mrs. Originally we were looking at an Irish visa - now some people are saying we'll need a british one..

Anyone offer some advice based on what you know of Brexit and where it is headed?

Well we're probably headed into the abyss ;)

Where was your wife born and does she qualify for an Irish or British passport??
She is a yank and doesn't qualify for either unfortunately - which is why we are unsure of what to apply for...will an Irish visa entitle her to live in the north? should i not get my kids Irish passports because technically they are not also naturalized british citizens?
I don't believe I'll have any bother but my concern is how to get them in and legal...

I think you and the kids are fine Iceman if you were born in the North you are entitled to British and Irish citizenship so your kids are as well but your wife would not be . . . where are your wifes parents from?
Brooklyn...next generation are from Italy, Sicily and Brooklyn...two potentials there to apply for EU citizenship through grandparent but not sure if necessary... only one side of the family are 'fresh off the boat" at the grandparent level

Iceman, search out the recent case of the Derry woman and her US husband, as this may be relevant. You'll have to get permission from the British, when I say you may have more rights, as an EU national you can bring a spouse on more advantageous terms than British citizens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 07:38:01 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/couple-wins-appeal-for-visa-after-derry-wife-refuses-to-identify-as-british-1.3288670 (https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/couple-wins-appeal-for-visa-after-derry-wife-refuses-to-identify-as-british-1.3288670)
Thanks very much armaghniac that definitely helps clarify what could potentially happen. In this case she applied for the visa after they were married in the North but basically I think we enter the country then apply for the same visa. I might reach out to a local representative and see what they could do to help given Sinn Fein's involvement in this case...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 26, 2018, 09:13:51 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 07:38:01 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/couple-wins-appeal-for-visa-after-derry-wife-refuses-to-identify-as-british-1.3288670 (https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/couple-wins-appeal-for-visa-after-derry-wife-refuses-to-identify-as-british-1.3288670)
Thanks very much armaghniac that definitely helps clarify what could potentially happen. In this case she applied for the visa after they were married in the North but basically I think we enter the country then apply for the same visa. I might reach out to a local representative and see what they could do to help given Sinn Fein's involvement in this case...

They have an income test for British citizens, I suspect if you are clear of that then it might not be a  problem in any case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 26, 2018, 10:16:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 26, 2018, 09:13:51 PM
Quote from: The Iceman on February 26, 2018, 07:38:01 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/couple-wins-appeal-for-visa-after-derry-wife-refuses-to-identify-as-british-1.3288670 (https://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/couple-wins-appeal-for-visa-after-derry-wife-refuses-to-identify-as-british-1.3288670)
Thanks very much armaghniac that definitely helps clarify what could potentially happen. In this case she applied for the visa after they were married in the North but basically I think we enter the country then apply for the same visa. I might reach out to a local representative and see what they could do to help given Sinn Fein's involvement in this case...

They have an income test for British citizens, I suspect if you are clear of that then it might not be a  problem in any case.


There's a deputy job at one of the local schools, shit money but the free health for whole family and decent pension. Though no danger of having to be a have a go hero stuff! And you must leave your guns in the states, unless you're moving to Crossmaglen  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 27, 2018, 01:59:30 PM
Important Brexit debate you may have missed.

https://www.bigissue.com/culture/alan-partridge-vs-malcolm-tucker-how-our-iannucci-exclusive-broke-internet/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 27, 2018, 04:30:08 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 27, 2018, 01:59:30 PM
Important Brexit debate you may have missed.

https://www.bigissue.com/culture/alan-partridge-vs-malcolm-tucker-how-our-iannucci-exclusive-broke-internet/

"You want to have your cake, eat it, puke it back up, then sell it back to the cake shop at a profit and have the baker deported"

Great line!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on February 27, 2018, 10:01:32 PM
So no hard border on Ireland.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43215286

Yet I remember Unionists patting each other on the back after getting a guarantee that the occupied six would be no different from Britain.

How is this circle going to be squared?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on February 27, 2018, 11:18:51 PM
Sammy not a happy bunny
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 27, 2018, 11:29:28 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 27, 2018, 11:18:51 PM
Sammy not a happy bunny

Sammy is the Irish equivalent of Boris. Neither are politicians who should be taken too seriously. The DUP have made a complete clusterfcuk of Brexit from the outset. They continue to self implode all by themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 28, 2018, 12:59:11 AM
Quote from: Orior on February 27, 2018, 10:01:32 PM
So no hard border on Ireland.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43215286

Yet I remember Unionists patting each other on the back after getting a guarantee that the occupied six would be no different from Britain.


Yet they want it to be different to Scotland, Wales and Man by not having bilingual road signs etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on February 28, 2018, 07:33:44 AM
Quote from: screenexile on February 27, 2018, 04:30:08 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 27, 2018, 01:59:30 PM
Important Brexit debate you may have missed.

https://www.bigissue.com/culture/alan-partridge-vs-malcolm-tucker-how-our-iannucci-exclusive-broke-internet/

"You want to have your cake, eat it, puke it back up, then sell it back to the cake shop at a profit and have the baker deported"

Great line!!!
Unless the Baker is one who refuses to sell to gays
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 28, 2018, 09:41:01 AM
This is looking very much like the collapse of the Government!!

DUP are backed into a corner as they can't have NI being a de facto EU statelet but at the same time they can't withdraw their support for Theresa lest Corbyn gets in and they'll have no say whatsoever!!!

Interesting times ahead. Or else they'll use some wishy washy language like they did in December and kick the can down the road another few months!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 09:49:10 AM
Quote from: screenexile on February 28, 2018, 09:41:01 AM
This is looking very much like the collapse of the Government!!

DUP are backed into a corner as they can't have NI being a de facto EU statelet but at the same time they can't withdraw their support for Theresa lest Corbyn gets in and they'll have no say whatsoever!!!

Interesting times ahead. Or else they'll use some wishy washy language like they did in December and kick the can down the road another few months!
if they do it in Irish none of the voters will understand and it will buy them more time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 10:03:08 AM
Quote from: screenexile on February 28, 2018, 09:41:01 AM
This is looking very much like the collapse of the Government!!

DUP are backed into a corner as they can't have NI being a de facto EU statelet but at the same time they can't withdraw their support for Theresa lest Corbyn gets in and they'll have no say whatsoever!!!

Interesting times ahead. Or else they'll use some wishy washy language like they did in December and kick the can down the road another few months!

The can cannot be kicked for much longer. Brexit is happening next March, not in 5 years time. The border question must be resolved now and the British have offered no solutions simply because there are none without implementing a hard border. The DUP are now in a lose lose situation.

They can collapse the government knowing that big bad Jeremy potentially awaits and they will be outside the tent looking in, or accept the fact that there will be a special arrangement for the province. They will regret the day that they chose to campaign so heavily in favour of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on February 28, 2018, 11:48:50 AM
EU pulling no punches whatsoever with their legal text. NI will be a significantly different entity to rest of the UK. DUP/Tories in all sorts of shite now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 12:10:41 PM
Brexit has split the UK down the middle. There is no visible way forward that can keep the tory party together. The last election was supposed to give May an unassailable majority but did the opposite.
Nobody know what the brexit wafer thin majority voted for anyway.
And the UK needs a new economic system.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 28, 2018, 12:51:56 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on February 28, 2018, 11:48:50 AM
EU pulling no punches whatsoever with their legal text. NI will be a significantly different entity to rest of the UK. DUP/Tories in all sorts of shite now.

Wee Sammy and Sir Jeffrey will require oxygen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on February 28, 2018, 01:14:00 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on February 28, 2018, 11:48:50 AM
EU pulling no punches whatsoever with their legal text. NI will be a significantly different entity to rest of the UK. DUP/Tories in all sorts of shite now.

Is Diane not sorting this out from the inside over in Brussels?

Mays hand has now been forced by the EU as whatever was meant to have been agreed by the Tories in Chequers last week doesn't seem to have materialised into an agreed position.

Mays fucked unless she gets into bed with the Liberal and Labour moderates to push for a Corbyn type solution and that's not going to happen.

The Tories are going to rip themselves apart over this. The DUP are inconsequential.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 01:38:23 PM
The DUP are now trying to disguise this deal as a bad deal economically for the north.

Whatever about being a bad deal for their own party constitutionally it is a gift of a deal for the north economically.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 01:44:31 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 01:38:23 PM
The DUP are now trying to disguise this deal as a bad deal economically for the north.

Whatever about being a bad deal for their own party constitutionally it is a gift of a deal for the north economically.
The DUP shot their  bolt in December.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 28, 2018, 01:48:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 01:44:31 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 01:38:23 PM
The DUP are now trying to disguise this deal as a bad deal economically for the north.

Whatever about being a bad deal for their own party constitutionally it is a gift of a deal for the north economically.
The DUP shot their  bolt in December.

Is it not getting to the stage where their own electorate is copping on to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on February 28, 2018, 02:22:02 PM
Guys i think you are all living in a bubble here - The DUP/Tories will never agree to what Barnier is saying; Leo is already talking about alternative solutions; Lets see what the next few weeks bring I believe there will be an alternate solution where the Irish govt bends over backwards -  i hope not - but you just cant negotiate with the DUP - their way or no way
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 28, 2018, 02:29:56 PM
Quote from: Sweeper 123 on February 28, 2018, 02:22:02 PM
Guys i think you are all living in a bubble here - The DUP/Tories will never agree to what Barnier is saying; Leo is already talking about alternative solutions; Lets see what the next few weeks bring I believe there will be an alternate solution where the Irish govt bends over backwards -  i hope not - but you just cant negotiate with the DUP - their way or no way

Don't think anyone is negotiating with DUP now. Barnier has by passed them and is working with the Irish government and probably the British government behind the DUPs back. This thing is going ahead with or without them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on February 28, 2018, 02:33:33 PM
Quote from: Sweeper 123 on February 28, 2018, 02:22:02 PM
Guys i think you are all living in a bubble here - The DUP/Tories will never agree to what Barnier is saying; Leo is already talking about alternative solutions; Lets see what the next few weeks bring I believe there will be an alternate solution where the Irish govt bends over backwards -  i hope not - but you just cant negotiate with the DUP - their way or no way

Theresa has already said no.

Anyway, they have no real say. This is now the default solution. Up to the British Government to come up with a better alternative that Ireland and the other 26 EU countries are happy with, or this is it.

As for the DUP, they shut the door on themselves in December.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 02:35:29 PM
Quote from: Sweeper 123 on February 28, 2018, 02:22:02 PM
Guys i think you are all living in a bubble here - The DUP/Tories will never agree to what Barnier is saying; Leo is already talking about alternative solutions; Lets see what the next few weeks bring I believe there will be an alternate solution where the Irish govt bends over backwards -  i hope not - but you just cant negotiate with the DUP - their way or no way

The DUP are nothing but a pebble in the shoe of the UK/EU when it comes to Brexit negotiations. The Tories might not agree with the EU but if you think that it is because of pressure from the DUP then I think you are way overstating their influence. May faces far more internal strife from those within her own party to concern her rather than from 10 'Irish' MPs who they would willingly shaft at the drop of a hat. If the Tories do not sign up to the proposed deal then what is the alternative for the UK, no deal. That would be a catastrophe for the UK so she is also caught between a rock and a hard place.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 02:47:05 PM
The DUP are going apeshit but the EU want to move things on and the UK is paralysed because the Tory Party is split down the middle.
And the Irish border has to be agreed. It is comedy gold.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/catastrophic-dup-verdict-on-eu-vision-for-island-of-ireland-snp-slams-bumbling-boris-36653796.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on February 28, 2018, 02:52:38 PM
DUPers have shafted themselves and have no one else to blame.

At this stage they are going to have to take what they are given and will have no influence over it.

May is screwed as well. Only a matter of time before Jeremy takes the reins.........and then Arlene and the lads are really up shit street
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 03:09:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 02:47:05 PM
The DUP are going apeshit but the EU want to move things on and the UK is paralysed because the Tory Party is split down the middle.
And the Irish border has to be agreed. It is comedy gold.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/catastrophic-dup-verdict-on-eu-vision-for-island-of-ireland-snp-slams-bumbling-boris-36653796.html

Foster says it will be ' economically catastrophic'. That is complete hogwash, it has the potential to economically transform the north with a foothold into both markets and the potential to attract inward foreign investment.

I think what she really means is constitutionally catastrophic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on February 28, 2018, 03:14:58 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 03:09:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 02:47:05 PM
The DUP are going apeshit but the EU want to move things on and the UK is paralysed because the Tory Party is split down the middle.
And the Irish border has to be agreed. It is comedy gold.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/catastrophic-dup-verdict-on-eu-vision-for-island-of-ireland-snp-slams-bumbling-boris-36653796.html

Foster says it will be ' economically catastrophic'. That is complete hogwash, it has the potential to economically transform the north with a foothold into both markets and the potential to attract inward foreign investment.

I think what she really means is constitutionally catastrophic.

Soundbites so she can pander to her neanderthal masses.

As long as she keeps that pretence up publicly and kicks up a big stick when it happens she is covering her own back
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 03:15:46 PM
There was an article about the NI economy compared to the RoI economy a few days ago. NI is a complete shambles economically BECAUSE it is part of the UK and the UK does not give a shit about the regions.
The politics are a long way behind the economic reality.
The EU should have delivered the new offer in Irish just for a laugh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 28, 2018, 03:25:52 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 03:09:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 02:47:05 PM
The DUP are going apeshit but the EU want to move things on and the UK is paralysed because the Tory Party is split down the middle.
And the Irish border has to be agreed. It is comedy gold.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/catastrophic-dup-verdict-on-eu-vision-for-island-of-ireland-snp-slams-bumbling-boris-36653796.html

Foster says it will be ' economically catastrophic'. That is complete hogwash, it has the potential to economically transform the north with a foothold into both markets and the potential to attract inward foreign investment.

I think what she really means is constitutionally catastrophic.

And it's not even constitutionally catastrophic...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 28, 2018, 03:28:10 PM
Quote from: AQMP on February 28, 2018, 03:25:52 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 28, 2018, 03:09:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 02:47:05 PM
The DUP are going apeshit but the EU want to move things on and the UK is paralysed because the Tory Party is split down the middle.
And the Irish border has to be agreed. It is comedy gold.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/catastrophic-dup-verdict-on-eu-vision-for-island-of-ireland-snp-slams-bumbling-boris-36653796.html

Foster says it will be ' economically catastrophic'. That is complete hogwash, it has the potential to economically transform the north with a foothold into both markets and the potential to attract inward foreign investment.

I think what she really means is constitutionally catastrophic.

And it's not even constitutionally catastrophic...

If you hate crocodiles it ain't good in fairness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 28, 2018, 03:32:01 PM
I can't make my mind up whom is worse, May or Darlene.

May is inept and incompetent but, I think, well-meaning and trying to do the best she can with the cards dealt her.
Darlene is simply an idiot but is working hard at being even dumber than man (woman) has ever gone before.
Is Kate Hoey a viable compromise candidate?
Little help...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on February 28, 2018, 03:35:02 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 28, 2018, 03:32:01 PM
I can't make my mind up whom is worse, May or Darlene.

May is inept and incompetent but, I think, well-meaning and trying to do the best she can with the cards dealt her.
Darlene is simply an idiot but is working hard at being even dumber than man (woman) has ever gone before.
Is Kate Hoey a viable compromise candidate?
Little help...
She dealt theatres herself by calling a General Election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on February 28, 2018, 03:42:48 PM
The main problem here for the Brits is that the EU knows exactly what it wants from a deal whereas your average swivel-eyed Brexit loon hasn't a baldy notion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 28, 2018, 03:43:08 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 28, 2018, 03:32:01 PM
I can't make my mind up whom is worse, May or Darlene.

May is inept and incompetent but, I think, well-meaning and trying to do the best she can with the cards dealt her.
Darlene is simply an idiot but is working hard at being even dumber than man (woman) has ever gone before.
Is Kate Hoey a viable compromise candidate?
Little help...

May was handed three Grenades and two pins and told to start juggling so a bit of empathy for sure.
Snarline was subjected to a bomb trauma and relatives shot during the troubles robbing her of a balanced perspective but I still think she's just plain bad.
Kate Hoey does not depend on the duppers for majority so yes a big step forward.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 03:47:08 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 28, 2018, 03:32:01 PM
I can't make my mind up whom is worse, May or Darlene.

May is inept and incompetent but, I think, well-meaning and trying to do the best she can with the cards dealt her.
Darlene is simply an idiot but is working hard at being even dumber than man (woman) has ever gone before.
Is Kate Hoey a viable compromise candidate?
Little help...
May called that election she lost.
In French they say le temps perdu ne se ratrappe pas. You never catch up with time wasted. .

Arlene is totally out of her depth. If someone told her the UK was going down the toilet she would commit NI to the toilet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on February 28, 2018, 03:50:03 PM
John Major on having a frictionless Irish border & the GFA - "We need a policy, urgently, to protect the GFA & we need one without delay. And it is our British responsibility to find one. We created the problem, not the European Union. We need to offer a solution".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 28, 2018, 04:43:05 PM
Exactly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 04:48:30 PM
It is all very well to laugh at the DUP's discomfiture - and it is very satisfying at a gut level. But these people are dangerous in their stupidity and they have the ability to bring very dark forces onto the streets who are even more dangerously stupid.

The DUP are of no consequence to the EU or the Brits. The Brits have no cards to play and will do a deal that is economically necessary. But it is we who will suffer the consequences of what will be sold to neanderthal loyalists as a united Ireland by the back door.

The Irish government, the EU and sane Brits have all been warning that a hard border could provide the opportunity for "dissidents" to reopen the tinderbox of the troubles. A border in the Irish Sea has just as much potential to have it reopened by the other side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 05:06:43 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 04:48:30 PM
It is all very well to laugh at the DUP's discomfiture - and it is very satisfying at a gut level. But these people are dangerous in their stupidity and they have the ability to bring very dark forces onto the streets who are even more dangerously stupid.

The DUP are of no consequence to the EU or the Brits. The Brits have no cards to play and will do a deal that is economically necessary. But it is we who will suffer the consequences of what will be sold to neanderthal loyalists as a united Ireland by the back door.

The Irish government, the EU and sane Brits have all been warning that a hard border could provide the opportunity for "dissidents" to reopen the tinderbox of the troubles. A border in the Irish Sea has just as much potential to have it reopened by the other side.

The DUP have the fate of the NI economy in their hands. Their default Brexit position could cut NI incomes by 10%. Britishness is all well and good between consenting adults but it has cost NI protestants a lot over the last 30 years where it hurts, in their wallets. 

The province has been underperforming for years and it doesn't need DUPnomics right now. . Bringing the UDF into play would not be strategically wise either. Someone has to mop up and there are bills to pay. The DUP has no coherent ideas as to how to move NI forward.

The UK is a complete mess which adds to the complexity. Brexit is insane.

The DUP kneejerk reaction to all things Irish is f**king stupid on top. Someone was on about BBCNI showing English snow conditions rather than those down South last night but the time when NI could afford that sort of nonsense is well and truly over.
States collapse at times like now. If I was a northen Prod I would be sickened by the antics of the DUP. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on February 28, 2018, 05:15:06 PM
This morning with regard to the open border, Teresa May had to decide:

1) what is the best decision for her career?
2) what is the best decision for the Conservatives?
3) what is the best decision for her Government?
4) what is the best decision for England?
5) what is the best decision for Britain?
6) what is the best decision for the UK?
7) what is the best decision for N. Ireland?
8) what is the best decision for the DUP?

Each is probably a different answer, but would the above ordered list reflect her priorities?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haveaharp on February 28, 2018, 05:31:43 PM
Quote from: Orior on February 28, 2018, 05:15:06 PM
This morning with regard to the open border, Teresa May had to decide:

1) what is the best decision for her career?
2) what is the best decision for the Conservatives?
3) what is the best decision for her Government?
4) what is the best decision for England?
5) what is the best decision for Britain?
6) what is the best decision for the UK?
7) what is the best decision for N. Ireland?
8) what is the best decision for the DUP?

Each is probably a different answer, but would the above ordered list reflect her priorities?

7 and 8 want swapping
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2018, 05:46:59 PM

14:48

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/feb/28/brexit-pmqs-boris-johnson-claims-irish-border-fears-being-exploited-to-try-to-frustrate-brexit-politics-live

Q: Do you think the Northern Ireland problem is soluble?


Major says there is no more complex problem in the talks than the problem of Northern Ireland. That was obvious from the start. But some people who should have known better denied this was a problem. The can was kicked down the road, he says.

He says staying in a customs union would solve the problem, he says.

But he says the extraordinary improvement in peace in Northern Ireland is a significant prize.

And people may not think trade with Ireland is that important. But the UK does more trade with Ireland than with South Korea, India, Australia and New Zealand put together, he says.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qLo7z50Tt2g

They say they've got control of you
But that's not true you know
They say they're a part of you
And that's a lie you know
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 28, 2018, 06:44:25 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 04:48:30 PM
The Irish government, the EU and sane Brits have all been warning that a hard border could provide the opportunity for "dissidents" to reopen the tinderbox of the troubles. A border in the Irish Sea has just as much potential to have it reopened by the other side.

No. it doesn't. A few paperwork checks at Cairnryan or vets checking cows are not easily targetted by loyalist loonies. A border at the border not only provides easier targets but it creates a whole smuggling industry that would entirely undermine the PSNI. There is no symmetry in these matters, as usual, and it is lazy to imply that there is. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 07:04:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2018, 06:44:25 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 04:48:30 PM
The Irish government, the EU and sane Brits have all been warning that a hard border could provide the opportunity for "dissidents" to reopen the tinderbox of the troubles. A border in the Irish Sea has just as much potential to have it reopened by the other side.

No. it doesn't. A few paperwork checks at Cairnryan or vets checking cows are not easily targetted by loyalist loonies. A border at the border not only provides easier targets but it creates a whole smuggling industry that would entirely undermine the PSNI. There is no symmetry in these matters, as usual, and it is lazy to imply that there is. 

I sincerely regret my laziness. But I never suggested that loyalist loonies would attack paperwork checkers or vets. Experience would suggest that loyalist loonies, no more than their DUP motivators and/or would-be handlers are known for strategic astuteness, would not be noted for well targeted tactics. Random killings of random Catholics, pub shoot-ups and car bombings were more their style.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on February 28, 2018, 07:34:02 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 07:04:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2018, 06:44:25 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 04:48:30 PM
The Irish government, the EU and sane Brits have all been warning that a hard border could provide the opportunity for "dissidents" to reopen the tinderbox of the troubles. A border in the Irish Sea has just as much potential to have it reopened by the other side.

No. it doesn't. A few paperwork checks at Cairnryan or vets checking cows are not easily targetted by loyalist loonies. A border at the border not only provides easier targets but it creates a whole smuggling industry that would entirely undermine the PSNI. There is no symmetry in these matters, as usual, and it is lazy to imply that there is. 

I sincerely regret my laziness. But I never suggested that loyalist loonies would attack paperwork checkers or vets. Experience would suggest that loyalist loonies, no more than their DUP motivators and/or would-be handlers are known for strategic astuteness, would not be noted for well targeted tactics. Random killings of random Catholics, pub shoot-ups and car bombings were more their style.

I can just imagine Sammy, from Ballymacarrett in East Belfast, say "hang on till I right all thon down"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 28, 2018, 10:35:35 PM
The DUP missed a trick back in December. They could have sold special status as an opportunity for NI to become an economic powerhouse able to pay its own way in the new UK with the benefits of having a foot in Europe with the "freedom of being part of the UK. They didn't because of their insecurity (they know Weatmonister does not see here as truly British) and because SF proposed special status (they couldn't be seen to be agreeing).
However they have used up all their political capital, between embarrassing May in December and the failed talks here leaving May with one more mess to clear up. Their influence and threats over this EU proposal, and it is only a proposal, will have little traction in Westminister. If is only the influence of the Hard Brexiters, Majors b**tards, that they remain relevant. However May needs to tackle that rump of her party more successfully than Cameron did and she needs to attempt it soon or the Tories will pull themselves apart for a generation giving Unionists no ear in the UK government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnneycool on February 28, 2018, 10:45:08 PM
If there is to be a border down the Irish Sea then it would be the doing of the Brits and not the EU.

Is that not the reason Barnier didn't include it in the draft legal document?

Arlene in her pig ignorance will reject the golden goose again.
Unionist business people should be in her ear.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on March 01, 2018, 12:42:20 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 28, 2018, 10:35:35 PM
The DUP missed a trick back in December. They could have sold special status as an opportunity for NI to become an economic powerhouse able to pay its own way in the new UK with the benefits of having a foot in Europe with the "freedom of being part of the UK. They didn't because of their insecurity (they know Weatmonister does not see here as truly British) and because SF proposed special status (they couldn't be seen to be agreeing).
However they have used up all their political capital, between embarrassing May in December and the failed talks here leaving May with one more mess to clear up. Their influence and threats over this EU proposal, and it is only a proposal, will have little traction in Westminister. If is only the influence of the Hard Brexiters, Majors b**tards, that they remain relevant. However May needs to tackle that rump of her party more successfully than Cameron did and she needs to attempt it soon or the Tories will pull themselves apart for a generation giving Unionists no ear in the UK government.

Accurate enough.  Johnson, Gove, Davis, Dodds and Foster obviously want the hardest Brexit possible.  Someone with more expertise than me needs to explain to ordinary people what happens to the British economy when the EU start throwing up obstacles to British exports in the form passporting refusals to financial services, hiking tariffs and throwing red tape all over British product.  What also needs spelt out are the rights and benefits that we've obtained from the UK being in the EU.  The Great Repeal Bill doesn't seem to be clawing back too many of these.  This isn't scaremongering.  It's not capitalism v socialism.  Unfettered free markets work well and are necessary in some instances.  On top of the economic and political issues are the constitutional legal arguments.  Contrary to what joe soap has been led to believe neither the ECJ nor the ECtHR is the arbitrator of our British law.  The UK and NI judiciary ultimately decide these issues.  NI has a constitution.  What also needs to be stressed is that this is all unexplored territory.  Nobody knows how institutions react to what the other decides.  We really do live in interesting times.  Sure doesn't John Major agree with Nigel Farage re: a second Brexit vote?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 01, 2018, 12:49:27 AM
Explaining to ordinary people is fine, but they have to want to listen. John Major made an honest effort today, but who will pay attention?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 01, 2018, 06:38:51 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/the-dup-has-played-political-hardball-and-lost-1.3409274

The DUP's handling of the Brexit talks raises a wider question about its negotiating style. There is a lot to admire about the party's hardball stance at Westminster – traditionally, unionists who found themselves with a seat at the table were patronised and bamboozled before being ejected at the first opportunity.

The DUP knows to get what it can, when it can, however it can. But there still comes a point when you need to know your limitations and maintain relationships. In humiliating May to no avail, the DUP crossed that line, in London and Brussels. The collapse of the Stormont talks suggests it has crossed that line in Belfast as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 01, 2018, 10:12:38 AM
This is outrageous
A restaurant in NI serving food from within the single market. Unionists will have to stick with bangers and mash under DUP rule.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/food-drink-hospitality/new-belfast-restaurant-to-serve-up-a-taste-of-the-med-36655346.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on March 02, 2018, 08:35:01 AM
Quote from: johnneycool on February 28, 2018, 10:45:08 PM
If there is to be a border down the Irish Sea then it would be the doing of the Brits and not the EU.

Is that not the reason Barnier didn't include it in the draft legal document?

Arlene in her pig ignorance will reject the golden goose again.
Unionist business people should be in her ear.
According to Newton Emerson Barnier made no mention of it as it is an internal UK matter. He does not care how May meets her "promises" to Unionists so long as she meets her commitments to the EU.

I see no mention of GB/NI alignment in Mays 5 points speech today.
Trumps protectionist policies announced yesterday must be 1 further puncture in the Brexiteers wheels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 02, 2018, 11:34:14 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2018, 06:44:25 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 04:48:30 PM
The Irish government, the EU and sane Brits have all been warning that a hard border could provide the opportunity for "dissidents" to reopen the tinderbox of the troubles. A border in the Irish Sea has just as much potential to have it reopened by the other side.

No. it doesn't. A few paperwork checks at Cairnryan or vets checking cows are not easily targetted by loyalist loonies. A border at the border not only provides easier targets but it creates a whole smuggling industry that would entirely undermine the PSNI. There is no symmetry in these matters, as usual, and it is lazy to imply that there is.

This already happens. There are lots of agricultural products checked in Larne / Carinryan. A border already exists in the Irish Sea. The fact that this hasn't been pointed out to the DUP is a reflection on the lacky media in NI & GB.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 02, 2018, 11:36:18 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2018, 11:34:14 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2018, 06:44:25 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 28, 2018, 04:48:30 PM
The Irish government, the EU and sane Brits have all been warning that a hard border could provide the opportunity for "dissidents" to reopen the tinderbox of the troubles. A border in the Irish Sea has just as much potential to have it reopened by the other side.

No. it doesn't. A few paperwork checks at Cairnryan or vets checking cows are not easily targetted by loyalist loonies. A border at the border not only provides easier targets but it creates a whole smuggling industry that would entirely undermine the PSNI. There is no symmetry in these matters, as usual, and it is lazy to imply that there is.

This already happens. There are lots of agricultural products checked in Larne / Carinryan. A border already exists in the Irish Sea. The fact that this hasn't been pointed out to the DUP is a reflection on the lacky media in NI & GB.

The media are part of the problem here, as they have allowed the Brexiteers make all sorts of outrageous and inaccurate statements without being challenged.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on March 02, 2018, 12:35:03 PM
It's getting like NI politics.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 02, 2018, 03:48:19 PM
The DUP are insane. Protestants are soon to be a minority in NI. Brexit will reduce their standard of living and speed up emigration of the best and brightest. The EU is offering them a way to stay in the Single market. they don't want it. They think the sociopaths driving Brexit care about Linfield and the 12th of July.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/mar/02/may-brexit-speech-theresa-may-to-use-her-brexit-speech-to-say-we-cant-have-everything-grayling-says-politics-live

DUP welcome May's speech


Arlene Foster, the DUP leader, has welcomed the speech. She put out this statement.

 

"The prime minister has set forward the basis upon which it would be possible to move forward. The issues facing both the United Kingdom and the European Union are of fundamental importance and it is vital that we achieve outcomes that are sustainable for the future.

I welcome the prime minister's clear commitment that she will not countenance any new border being created in the Irish Sea between Northern Ireland and the rest of the United Kingdom. Northern Ireland goods must have unfettered access to trade into Great Britain and the same must apply to Great Britain goods entering Northern Ireland. Indeed, it is particularly welcome that one of the 'five tests' is strengthening the Union.

Securing a sensible outcome for everyone will require the EU27 to consider innovative solutions rather than rule out any proposal which has not been conceived in Brussels. As Michel Barnier himself has said "the solution cannot be based on a precedent."

Last August's United Kingdom proposals were innovative but did not receive a fair hearing in many quarters. Those proposals can ensure there is no hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland after we exit the EU.

We want to see an outcome that protects the economic and constitutional integrity of the United Kingdom but one that also enables us to have a good trading relationship with our nearest neighbours. "


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:03:17 PM
All the talk is off no hard border (no definition what hard means). It is interesting that they are not saying there will be no border at all. Meaning they know there will be some sort of enhanced border.
I can't see anyone in Westminster going for the default option from the EU, with a border in the sea.
Likewise I don't think many in Westminster really cares if there were to be a hard border. No Tory or labour votes at risk due to it happening.
Only the Irish government and by extension EU looking for it to remain as is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 02, 2018, 04:16:20 PM
Quote from: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:03:17 PM
All the talk is off no hard border (no definition what hard means). It is interesting that they are not saying there will be no border at all. Meaning they know there will be some sort of enhanced border.
I can't see anyone in Westminster going for the default option from the EU, with a border in the sea.
Likewise I don't think many in Westminster really cares if there were to be a hard border. No Tory or labour votes at risk due to it happening.
Only the Irish government and by extension EU looking for it to remain as is.

Equally there are no votes to be lost in GB from having an Irish sea border, and preserving the GFA sounds good, so it now provides Labour with a distinct policy.

But the question is whether May can go for no deal on the basis on refusing to compromise on the Irish border. This would not be popular with British business interests, traditionally close to the Tories and doesn't look well internationally either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 02, 2018, 04:20:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2018, 04:16:20 PM
Quote from: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:03:17 PM
All the talk is off no hard border (no definition what hard means). It is interesting that they are not saying there will be no border at all. Meaning they know there will be some sort of enhanced border.
I can't see anyone in Westminster going for the default option from the EU, with a border in the sea.
Likewise I don't think many in Westminster really cares if there were to be a hard border. No Tory or labour votes at risk due to it happening.
Only the Irish government and by extension EU looking for it to remain as is.

Equally there are no votes to be lost in GB from having an Irish sea border, and preserving the GFA sounds good, so it now provides Labour with a distinct policy.

But the question is whether May can go for no deal on the basis on refusing to compromise on the Irish border. This would not be popular with British business interests, traditionally close to the Tories and doesn't look well internationally either.
May has no leverage and is in a weakened state. The EU have all the cards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:26:59 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2018, 04:16:20 PM
Quote from: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:03:17 PM
All the talk is off no hard border (no definition what hard means). It is interesting that they are not saying there will be no border at all. Meaning they know there will be some sort of enhanced border.
I can't see anyone in Westminster going for the default option from the EU, with a border in the sea.
Likewise I don't think many in Westminster really cares if there were to be a hard border. No Tory or labour votes at risk due to it happening.
Only the Irish government and by extension EU looking for it to remain as is.

Equally there are no votes to be lost in GB from having an Irish sea border, and preserving the GFA sounds good, so it now provides Labour with a distinct policy.

But the question is whether May can go for no deal on the basis on refusing to compromise on the Irish border. This would not be popular with British business interests, traditionally close to the Tories and doesn't look well internationally either.
I would argue that the perception of the breakup of the union by having a border in the Irish sea would be a vote loser. All the talk this week ok an annex surely wouldn't be good for votes.
I hope you are right and that is how it happens but can't see it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on March 02, 2018, 04:27:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 02, 2018, 04:20:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2018, 04:16:20 PM
Quote from: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:03:17 PM
All the talk is off no hard border (no definition what hard means). It is interesting that they are not saying there will be no border at all. Meaning they know there will be some sort of enhanced border.
I can't see anyone in Westminster going for the default option from the EU, with a border in the sea.
Likewise I don't think many in Westminster really cares if there were to be a hard border. No Tory or labour votes at risk due to it happening.
Only the Irish government and by extension EU looking for it to remain as is.

Equally there are no votes to be lost in GB from having an Irish sea border, and preserving the GFA sounds good, so it now provides Labour with a distinct policy.

But the question is whether May can go for no deal on the basis on refusing to compromise on the Irish border. This would not be popular with British business interests, traditionally close to the Tories and doesn't look well internationally either.
May has no leverage and is in a weakened state. The EU have all the cards.

Yes, Verhofstadt has already said that May's big speech was shite and Barnier has tweeted that he looks forward to taking the UK to the cleaners in the next round of talks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:30:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 02, 2018, 04:20:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2018, 04:16:20 PM
Quote from: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:03:17 PM
All the talk is off no hard border (no definition what hard means). It is interesting that they are not saying there will be no border at all. Meaning they know there will be some sort of enhanced border.
I can't see anyone in Westminster going for the default option from the EU, with a border in the sea.
Likewise I don't think many in Westminster really cares if there were to be a hard border. No Tory or labour votes at risk due to it happening.
Only the Irish government and by extension EU looking for it to remain as is.

Equally there are no votes to be lost in GB from having an Irish sea border, and preserving the GFA sounds good, so it now provides Labour with a distinct policy.

But the question is whether May can go for no deal on the basis on refusing to compromise on the Irish border. This would not be popular with British business interests, traditionally close to the Tories and doesn't look well internationally either.
May has no leverage and is in a weakened state. The EU have all the cards.
She still has the option of no deal, which means a hard border. We know it would be illogical but then it is brexit after all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 02, 2018, 04:50:31 PM
Quote from: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:30:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 02, 2018, 04:20:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2018, 04:16:20 PM
Quote from: Stall the Bailer on March 02, 2018, 04:03:17 PM
All the talk is off no hard border (no definition what hard means). It is interesting that they are not saying there will be no border at all. Meaning they know there will be some sort of enhanced border.
I can't see anyone in Westminster going for the default option from the EU, with a border in the sea.
Likewise I don't think many in Westminster really cares if there were to be a hard border. No Tory or labour votes at risk due to it happening.
Only the Irish government and by extension EU looking for it to remain as is.

Equally there are no votes to be lost in GB from having an Irish sea border, and preserving the GFA sounds good, so it now provides Labour with a distinct policy.

But the question is whether May can go for no deal on the basis on refusing to compromise on the Irish border. This would not be popular with British business interests, traditionally close to the Tories and doesn't look well internationally either.
May has no leverage and is in a weakened state. The EU have all the cards.
She still has the option of no deal, which means a hard border. We know it would be illogical but then it is brexit after all.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/02/theresa-may-brexit-speech-panel

"Is it worth it?" asked a wise German journalist. That's what "Britain must decide. Fear the worst when she reprised her dreadful threat: "No deal is still better than a bad deal." Surely by now she knows no deal is the worst fate of all."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on March 02, 2018, 08:31:52 PM
Borders.  If your paperwork is checked in Larne/Dover/Dublin/Rosslare does that amount to a border?  Is the EU deciding to refuse licences to UK firms providing services in France a good thing?  I heard the Blackpool QT audience telling Kenneth Clarke to get on with it.  Fine he said.  You want unicorns too?  Perhaps May and Corbyn are secretly contriving some utopian liberal self-sustaining society.  We'll be ok when we've the deals with China, Russia, U.S. and Canada in the bag.  If the NI Dept of Agriculture chooses to follow EU regs in 2027 does that mean that the sovereignty of the HC has been diluted?  If the DUP refuse to allow gay rights, language rights, environmental rights and religious rights in Belfast does that mean that we can't enforce these rights in London?  I heard one of their representatives saying that the farmers will thrive.  Really?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on March 02, 2018, 08:37:11 PM
Seafoid - aren't you the poster who said that the people of GB couldn't care less about the Somme?  Do you have many supporters on here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 02, 2018, 10:02:59 PM
If May starts trying to call the shots, she will be left with no deal which would signal the UK economy signing its own death warrant. She has flip flopped throughout this process more than enough to say that they are just making it up as they go along. They (the UK govt) have absolutely no idea where this is going other than the fact that it's simply damage limitation mode but they have to be seen to try to implement Brexit even though their heart is not in it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on March 02, 2018, 10:51:36 PM
I honestly believe the UK doesnt care  about ni, hard border or not ; and why would they.... were just small fish;
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 02, 2018, 10:53:53 PM
Quote from: Sweeper 123 on March 02, 2018, 10:51:36 PM
I honestly believe the UK doesnt care  about ni, hard border or not ; and why would they.... were just small fish;

Agreed,
.   but they also want to save face and not have the EU dictating to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 02, 2018, 11:27:14 PM
It's ridiculous how little they know. I watch that last leg on four sometimes and that josh witticombe guy (spelling) was astounded that there was no border and you just started using different currency all of a sudden. This was a revelation and he should be educated.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 03, 2018, 07:47:53 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on March 02, 2018, 08:37:11 PM
Seafoid - aren't you the poster who said that the people of GB couldn't care less about the Somme?  Do you have many supporters on here?
Have you got any data on your thesis?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on March 03, 2018, 10:00:19 AM
Researchers are currently collating the data.  Will that change your opinion?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: manfromdelmonte on March 03, 2018, 10:25:12 AM
the only thing keeping NI relevant is the Good Friday Agreement - an international recognised treaty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on March 03, 2018, 10:35:17 PM
Now that Trump is going guns blazing for a trade war with the EU how are the Brexiteers going to get this magic trade deal for the UK post-Brexit now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 03, 2018, 10:37:27 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on March 03, 2018, 10:35:17 PM
Now that Trump is going guns blazing for a trade war with the EU how are the Brexiteers going to get this magic trade deal for the UK post-Brexit now?

They'll spin it in their favour saying it's a good job we're getting out because American trade is gone under the EU!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on March 03, 2018, 10:43:53 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 03, 2018, 10:37:27 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on March 03, 2018, 10:35:17 PM
Now that Trump is going guns blazing for a trade war with the EU how are the Brexiteers going to get this magic trade deal for the UK post-Brexit now?

They'll spin it in their favour saying it's a good job we're getting out because American trade is gone under the EU!

Yes - but will the US offer a 'good' trade deal to the UK (special relationship and all) while it's a policy of America First?

me arse will they.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 03, 2018, 10:53:21 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on March 03, 2018, 10:43:53 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 03, 2018, 10:37:27 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on March 03, 2018, 10:35:17 PM
Now that Trump is going guns blazing for a trade war with the EU how are the Brexiteers going to get this magic trade deal for the UK post-Brexit now?

They'll spin it in their favour saying it's a good job we're getting out because American trade is gone under the EU!


Yes - but will the US offer a 'good' trade deal to the UK (special relationship and all) while it's a policy of America First?

me arse will they.

Totally agree!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on March 04, 2018, 05:07:59 AM
Here's a phrase I didn't think I'd ever type:

Michael Heseltine, the voice of reason.

QuoteThe downsides are becoming more evident as time passes. We have had a serious devaluation of the currency. We have turned ourselves from the fastest growing to the slowest growing economy in Europe and we have made a complete Horlicks of the Irish border. I am totally with the view of Tony Blair and John Major that this matter has got to go back to parliament and possibly to a referendum or a general election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 04, 2018, 06:18:52 AM
Quote from: heganboy on March 04, 2018, 05:07:59 AM
Here's a phrase I didn't think I'd ever type:

Michael Heseltine, the voice of reason.

QuoteThe downsides are becoming more evident as time passes. We have had a serious devaluation of the currency. We have turned ourselves from the fastest growing to the slowest growing economy in Europe and we have made a complete Horlicks of the Irish border. I am totally with the view of Tony Blair and John Major that this matter has got to go back to parliament and possibly to a referendum or a general election.
The older leaders see the car crash. They all hated the Eurosceptics.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/mar/03/tories-brexit-michael-heseltine-theresa-may

Tory hopes of uniting the party behind Theresa May's latest vision for Brexit faded as former deputy prime minister Michael Heseltine dismissed her latest speech as just more "phrases, generalisations and platitudes" which had done nothing to make a deal more likely.

While most Conservative MPs and peers gave the prime minister a period of grace after Friday's address, Heseltine said all May had done was offer more detail on a set of demands that the European Union had made clear all along it would never agree to.


Talking to the Observer, he said: "The speech just moves us further down the cherry-picking road. It set out the cherries that Britain wants to pick but that approach completely ignores the fact that the EU has said, 'sorry there is no cherry picking'."

He added: "Why is it that after 18 months since the referendum we have not got any closer with these issues? The answer is simple: because no one has got any answer about how to do it."

He said the huge gulf between what May was asking for and what the EU would be prepared to give was as wide, if not wider, than ever, leaving UK businesses in despair, and with no option but to consider postponing investment, or placing their money and plans elsewhere.

"While that gap remains industry will continue to make assumptions that will involve moving investment from here to the continent," he said.

 

We've gone from the fastest growing to the slowest growing economy in Europe and made a Horlicks of the Irish border

A lifelong europhile, Heseltineconceded that the prime minister was in a difficult position, as rightwing Tory MPs held "a knife to her throat".





But neither the prime minister nor her cabinet had made any progress on the central Brexitproblems, including the Irish border, because such issues were essentially not solvable unless the UK stayed in the EU.

The only way forward, he said, was for the issues to be put back to parliament, and then to an election or referendum. "The downsides are becoming more evident as time passes. We have had a serious devaluation of the currency. We have turned ourselves from the fastest growing to the slowest growing economy in Europe and we have made a complete Horlicks of the Irish border. I am totally with the view of Tony Blair and John Major that this matter has got to go back to parliament and possibly to a referendum or a general election."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on March 04, 2018, 03:33:52 PM
It's going to end up a hard brexit, quite simply because it's going to be the least complicated to deliver. Hopefully the Government will fall before this and / or a 2nd Referendum will happen. I don't think Labour are any clearer in their vision of Brexit mind you and I'm still not a huge fan of Corbyn, eurosceptic that he is I think he could be bounced into a 2nd Referendum if he did get into power - hopefully having seen the cluster f**k that it is he might change his eurosceptic stance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on March 06, 2018, 12:36:32 AM
Not related to Brexit but on Stormont and the exchange of a draft agreement, on Twitter Snarlene has been christened Arlene Fraudster, lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on March 06, 2018, 08:57:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 04, 2018, 03:33:52 PM
It's going to end up a hard brexit, quite simply because it's going to be the least complicated to deliver. Hopefully the Government will fall before this and / or a 2nd Referendum will happen. I don't think Labour are any clearer in their vision of Brexit mind you and I'm still not a huge fan of Corbyn, eurosceptic that he is I think he could be bounced into a 2nd Referendum if he did get into power - hopefully having seen the cluster f**k that it is he might change his eurosceptic stance.

I think you might be right benny.  Deep down I've a bad feeling that if something has to give to get a deal between the EU and UK, then it might be the border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 06, 2018, 10:37:14 AM
I think the Tories will have a civil war and that Brexit will be abandoned. There is no way to come up with a formulation to satisfy the Brexit heads and the rationalists. It comes back to what Verhofstat asked last year. Tell me what you want. They still don't know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on March 06, 2018, 10:56:29 AM
Quote from: AQMP on March 06, 2018, 08:57:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 04, 2018, 03:33:52 PM
It's going to end up a hard brexit, quite simply because it's going to be the least complicated to deliver. Hopefully the Government will fall before this and / or a 2nd Referendum will happen. I don't think Labour are any clearer in their vision of Brexit mind you and I'm still not a huge fan of Corbyn, eurosceptic that he is I think he could be bounced into a 2nd Referendum if he did get into power - hopefully having seen the cluster f**k that it is he might change his eurosceptic stance.

I think you might be right benny.  Deep down I've a bad feeling that if something has to give to get a deal between the EU and UK, then it might be the border.
Not with the Spanish on board. There are similar considerations for Gibraltar and it is FCUKed without a frictionless border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on March 06, 2018, 12:32:43 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on March 06, 2018, 10:56:29 AM
Quote from: AQMP on March 06, 2018, 08:57:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 04, 2018, 03:33:52 PM
It's going to end up a hard brexit, quite simply because it's going to be the least complicated to deliver. Hopefully the Government will fall before this and / or a 2nd Referendum will happen. I don't think Labour are any clearer in their vision of Brexit mind you and I'm still not a huge fan of Corbyn, eurosceptic that he is I think he could be bounced into a 2nd Referendum if he did get into power - hopefully having seen the cluster f**k that it is he might change his eurosceptic stance.

I think you might be right benny.  Deep down I've a bad feeling that if something has to give to get a deal between the EU and UK, then it might be the border.
Not with the Spanish on board. There are similar considerations for Gibraltar and it is FCUKed without a frictionless border.

The Spaniards like ramping up controls at the Gibraltar border whenever they feel like pressuring the Brits, a hard border there won't really affect the Spanish economy so I think it wouldn't annoy them too much. It would make it more likely that they regain some sort of sovereignty over it if it's totally unviable outside the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on March 06, 2018, 01:24:44 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on March 06, 2018, 12:32:43 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on March 06, 2018, 10:56:29 AM
Quote from: AQMP on March 06, 2018, 08:57:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 04, 2018, 03:33:52 PM
It's going to end up a hard brexit, quite simply because it's going to be the least complicated to deliver. Hopefully the Government will fall before this and / or a 2nd Referendum will happen. I don't think Labour are any clearer in their vision of Brexit mind you and I'm still not a huge fan of Corbyn, eurosceptic that he is I think he could be bounced into a 2nd Referendum if he did get into power - hopefully having seen the cluster f**k that it is he might change his eurosceptic stance.

I think you might be right benny.  Deep down I've a bad feeling that if something has to give to get a deal between the EU and UK, then it might be the border.
Not with the Spanish on board. There are similar considerations for Gibraltar and it is FCUKed without a frictionless border.

The Spaniards like ramping up controls at the Gibraltar border whenever they feel like pressuring the Brits, a hard border there won't really affect the Spanish economy so I think it wouldn't annoy them too much. It would make it more likely that they regain some sort of sovereignty over it if it's totally unviable outside the EU.
Should have clarified my point. Whatever sort of border we get will be replicated at Gibraltar so it is not in UK interests to have a hard border as that would cripple Gibraltar. The Spanish would not be worried by that per se but their previously expressed interest in Gibraltar will make the UK wary of doing something which would cause the Gibraltarians hardship. They voted 96% remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 06, 2018, 01:35:13 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on March 06, 2018, 01:24:44 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on March 06, 2018, 12:32:43 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on March 06, 2018, 10:56:29 AM
Quote from: AQMP on March 06, 2018, 08:57:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 04, 2018, 03:33:52 PM
It's going to end up a hard brexit, quite simply because it's going to be the least complicated to deliver. Hopefully the Government will fall before this and / or a 2nd Referendum will happen. I don't think Labour are any clearer in their vision of Brexit mind you and I'm still not a huge fan of Corbyn, eurosceptic that he is I think he could be bounced into a 2nd Referendum if he did get into power - hopefully having seen the cluster f**k that it is he might change his eurosceptic stance.

I think you might be right benny.  Deep down I've a bad feeling that if something has to give to get a deal between the EU and UK, then it might be the border.
Not with the Spanish on board. There are similar considerations for Gibraltar and it is FCUKed without a frictionless border.

The Spaniards like ramping up controls at the Gibraltar border whenever they feel like pressuring the Brits, a hard border there won't really affect the Spanish economy so I think it wouldn't annoy them too much. It would make it more likely that they regain some sort of sovereignty over it if it's totally unviable outside the EU.
Should have clarified my point. Whatever sort of border we get will be replicated at Gibraltar so it is not in UK interests to have a hard border as that would cripple Gibraltar. The Spanish would not be worried by that per se but their previously expressed interest in Gibraltar will make the UK wary of doing something which would cause the Gibraltarians hardship. They voted 96% remain.
I don't think people like Rees Mogg care about Gibraltar or NI for that matter
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 06, 2018, 02:12:09 PM
He'd care more about GIB than NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 06, 2018, 02:27:31 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 06, 2018, 02:12:09 PM
He'd care more about GIB than NI.
He reminds me of someone

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-3-5IYfL7Xus/U-STsk177aI/AAAAAAAABmQ/prDKugLhRRE/s1600/CUTHBERT.jpg
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 06, 2018, 08:05:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 06, 2018, 02:27:31 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 06, 2018, 02:12:09 PM
He'd care more about GIB than NI.
He reminds me of someone

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-3-5IYfL7Xus/U-STsk177aI/AAAAAAAABmQ/prDKugLhRRE/s1600/CUTHBERT.jpg

Everytime I see Buffoon Boris, the song 'Big Rock Candy Mountain' starts playing my head.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on March 07, 2018, 09:20:25 AM
I see arch-Brexiteer Daniel Hannan (he who said that Brexit wouldn't mean leaving the SM and CU) when asked yesterday on BBC Radio to name an EU Law he was looking forward to getting rid of, spluttered something about regulations around child car seats.  Yes, you've guessed it, apart from the fact that it's an unusual thing to leave the EU over, the regulations around child car seats have nothing to do with the EU.

I suppose it's a step up from straight bananas?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on March 07, 2018, 02:44:07 PM
Offer me solutions, offer me alternatives. And I decline.   Year and artist?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 07, 2018, 04:04:22 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/mar/07/uks-brexit-red-lines-will-limit-depth-of-future-trade-deal-eu-guidelines

The EU has dismissed Theresa May's vision for a post-Brexit trade relationship, laying out instead the offer of a deal that it concedes will be economically damaging to both the UK and the rest of Europe.

Unveiling the union's guidelines on the future relationship, the president of the European council, Donald Tusk, said it was "simply not in our interests" to give way to the prime minister's "pick and mix" approach.

"I fully understand and respect Theresa May's political objectives to demonstrate at any price that Brexit will be a success and was the right choice", he said. "I'm sorry, this is not our objective ...

"No member state is free to pick only those sectors of the single market it likes, nor to accept the role of the ECJ only when it suits their interest. By the same token, a pick-and-mix approach for a non-member state is out of the question."

Speaking during a visit to Luxembourg, Tusk said in response to the reiteration in May's Mansion House speech of her desire to leave the single market, customs union and jurisdiction of the European court of justice: "Therefore, it should come as no surprise that the only remaining possible model is a free trade agreement.



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"I hope that it will be ambitious and advanced – and we will do our best, as we did with other partners, such as Canada recently – but anyway it will only be a trade agreement."

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The guidelines say that in return for signing up to a free-trade agreement the British government willbe obliged to sign up to a commitment not to become a low-tax, low-regulation state that undercuts the EU model.

They further warn that Brussels will not push on with negotiations on trade until May signs up to a legal text that translates all the commitments made by the UK government in the first phase of negotiations, including on avoiding a hard border on the island of Ireland.

May has refused to accept the EU's draft withdrawal agreement as it suggests Northern Ireland may need to effectively stay in the customs union and single market. "Negotiations can only progress as long as all commitments undertaken so far are respected in full, and calls for intensified efforts on the remaining withdrawal issues", the guidelines say.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 08, 2018, 07:07:18 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/mar/08/bleak-brexit-impact-analysis-published-by-parliament

Anti-Brexit campaigners have seized on a bleak Whitehall assessment of the economic impact of leaving the European Union, published following a battle over government secrecy.

MPs voted in January for the document to be released in full, but its publication was resisted by the Brexit secretary, David Davis.

The cross-party Brexit select committee issued the document, which was prepared to aid thinking inside government about possible scenarios, on Thursday.

As leaks had suggested, government number crunchers found that economic growth would suffer under any of the existing models for a future relationship with the EU – a Norway-type European Economic Area (EEA) model; a free trade agreement; or trading on the basis of World Trade Organisation (WTO) rules alone.

Under the worst scenario – a WTO-type arrangement – GDP could decline by a cumulative 7.7% over 15 years, the analysis found; while under an EEA deal it would be 1.6%.

However, pro-Brexit MPs questioned the credibility of the forecasts. Jacob Rees-Mogg, who chairs the backbench European Research Group, said the research had been "so widely leaked and ridiculed for its approach that it is of little consequence".

The Democratic Unionist party's Westminster leader, Arlene Foster, also toughened her language, attacking the EU's hardening stance on trade and the Irish border at the same event.

In a speech criticising the European commission's "bad faith" on the border issue, Foster hit out at the view of Brussels leaders that failure to accept proposals for keeping the border open would encourage a return of terrorism – which, she said, was tantamount to a threat.

The Whitehall Brexit analysis points to potential border checks as one of the "non-tariff barriers" that are the "most material consideration" in assessing the potential costs of post-Brexit trade.

In the retail sector, for example, officials calculate that these non-tariff barriers could be equivalent to the EU slapping tariffs of up to 20% on British exports, the document suggests – with chemicals facing tariffs well above 10%.



This analysis helps to explain why Theresa May said in her speech last week that Britain was keen to remain under the auspices of some key EU regulatory bodies.

the analysis suggests the long-term gains from striking new trade deals with non-EU countries – a central plank of the pro-Brexit case – could be just 0.2%-0.7% of GDP. That would probably be dwarfed by the losses from a looser relationship with the EU, officials believe
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 08, 2018, 08:26:41 PM
Why is anyone quoting Nobody Foster?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 09, 2018, 09:51:21 PM
MR2 special

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/mar/09/wine-prices-to-rise-as-bad-weather-brings-worst-harvest-for-50-years

The devaluation of sterling in the wake of the Brexit vote has already had an impact on the cost of wine in supermarkets which is up by an average of 4% over the past year, according to research firm Nielsen. French wine cost 5.5% more, while the price tag for Portuguese and Italian varieties increased by 5.1% and 3.5% respectively.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 10, 2018, 09:15:51 AM
Weather and Brexit !

Pricey for wine down here! In Waterford last night and the price of drink is Scandalous !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 10, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Good to see you getting out and about in a modern outward looking 21st Century EU State.
Drinking isn't compulsory and is possibly best avoided  on your low wages and weakened currency.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:14:25 AM
Only a year and two weeks to go, lads.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-ireland-border-latest-people-register-advance-plan-theresa-may-a8248621.html

May wants us to tell her when we will cross the border, apparently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:17:49 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 10, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Good to see you getting out and about in a modern outward looking 21st Century EU State.
Drinking isn't compulsory and is possibly best avoided  on your low wages and weakened currency.

My wages are just fine
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:19:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:17:49 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 10, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Good to see you getting out and about in a modern outward looking 21st Century EU State.
Drinking isn't compulsory and is possibly best avoided  on your low wages and weakened currency.

My wages are just fine

Low ambition too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:21:19 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:19:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:17:49 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 10, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Good to see you getting out and about in a modern outward looking 21st Century EU State.
Drinking isn't compulsory and is possibly best avoided  on your low wages and weakened currency.

My wages are just fine

Low ambition too.
? So you know how much I earn?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:43:02 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:21:19 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:19:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:17:49 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 10, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Good to see you getting out and about in a modern outward looking 21st Century EU State.
Drinking isn't compulsory and is possibly best avoided  on your low wages and weakened currency.

My wages are just fine

Low ambition too.
? So you know how much I earn?

If you were doing well you'd move to somewhere nice like South Armagh to live and not a black hole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 08:09:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:43:02 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:21:19 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:19:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:17:49 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 10, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Good to see you getting out and about in a modern outward looking 21st Century EU State.
Drinking isn't compulsory and is possibly best avoided  on your low wages and weakened currency.

My wages are just fine

Low ambition too.
? So you know how much I earn?

If you were doing well you'd move to somewhere nice like South Armagh to live and not a black hole.

As much as South Armagh is lovely, I live in a very nice area with everything I need, and we do very well, I've no need to move to the Republic, though if I did I'd do even better, maybe if I was younger I would have, but when you're happy why would you?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 11, 2018, 11:17:08 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:14:25 AM
Only a year and two weeks to go, lads.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-ireland-border-latest-people-register-advance-plan-theresa-may-a8248621.html

May wants us to tell her when we will cross the border, apparently.

Imagine that in Clones on Ulster final day. Christ almighty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on March 11, 2018, 11:26:29 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 08:09:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:43:02 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:21:19 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:19:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:17:49 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 10, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Good to see you getting out and about in a modern outward looking 21st Century EU State.
Drinking isn't compulsory and is possibly best avoided  on your low wages and weakened currency.

My wages are just fine

Low ambition too.
? So you know how much I earn?

If you were doing well you'd move to somewhere nice like South Armagh to live and not a black hole.

As much as South Armagh is lovely, I live in a very nice area with everything I need, and we do very well, I've no need to move to the Republic, though if I did I'd do even better, maybe if I was younger I would have, but when you're happy why would you?

Jesus you actually typed that  ::)  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 11:47:43 AM
Quote from: Kidder81 on March 11, 2018, 11:26:29 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 08:09:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:43:02 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:21:19 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:19:15 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2018, 12:17:49 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 10, 2018, 11:11:06 AM
Good to see you getting out and about in a modern outward looking 21st Century EU State.
Drinking isn't compulsory and is possibly best avoided  on your low wages and weakened currency.

My wages are just fine

Low ambition too.
? So you know how much I earn?

If you were doing well you'd move to somewhere nice like South Armagh to live and not a black hole.

As much as South Armagh is lovely, I live in a very nice area with everything I need, and we do very well, I've no need to move to the Republic, though if I did I'd do even better, maybe if I was younger I would have, but when you're happy why would you?

Jesus you actually typed that  ::)  ::)

No, not Jesus, I did.. millions won't make you happy, if you've enough to keep your family happy, have a good work/family balanced lifestyle then what more do you need? Keep going, you'll get there in the end

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 12, 2018, 09:48:41 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 11, 2018, 11:17:08 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:14:25 AM
Only a year and two weeks to go, lads.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-ireland-border-latest-people-register-advance-plan-theresa-may-a8248621.html

May wants us to tell her when we will cross the border, apparently.

Imagine that in Clones on Ulster final day. Christ almighty.
Best laugh I've had in a while ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 12, 2018, 10:29:25 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 11, 2018, 12:14:25 AM
Only a year and two weeks to go, lads.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-ireland-border-latest-people-register-advance-plan-theresa-may-a8248621.html

May wants us to tell her when we will cross the border, apparently.

Heard that all right. That woman hasn't a notion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 12, 2018, 12:44:03 PM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-43369804 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-43369804)

Not going to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on March 12, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
The brits are playing this out a bit think the recent rates rise announcement ...... they will batter about all the worst case scenarios to get the public to believe that when border controls are set up it wont look as bad as the previous idea's
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on March 16, 2018, 12:27:19 PM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-43422698


If I didn't know better, I'd almost say the Brits don't have a clue what they're doing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 19, 2018, 02:19:47 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2018/0319/948513-coveney-brexit-brussels/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on March 19, 2018, 03:19:52 PM
This thread is why I'm fairly confident that NI will find ourselves in a good place after Brexit.  The EU have got what it's wanted in each stage of the negotiations, so if the EU saying there will be no hard border on the island of Ireland then I'd be happy enough that's where we'll end up.  The UK has shown themselves to be incapable of negotiating any concessions out of the EU, but that's because negotiating isn't easy when you have made it clear where you will end up.
https://twitter.com/f_grovewhite/status/975728826599780352

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on March 19, 2018, 05:38:56 PM
I'm confused- I really am. This is the statement from the UK today:

"We agree on the need to include legal text detailing the 'backstop' solution for the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland in the withdrawal agreement that is acceptable to both sides," said Davis"

So there is a backstop, so there is no hard border, so there is a customs union in the north?

why is this not news?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 19, 2018, 05:54:09 PM
Quote from: heganboy on March 19, 2018, 05:38:56 PM
I'm confused- I really am. This is the statement from the UK today:

"We agree on the need to include legal text detailing the 'backstop' solution for the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland in the withdrawal agreement that is acceptable to both sides," said Davis"

So there is a backstop, so there is no hard border, so there is a customs union in the north?

why is this not news?

It is news. But it still only applies if there is a final deal and the British cannot be trusted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 19, 2018, 06:00:19 PM
The Brits are running out of time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 19, 2018, 09:08:56 PM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/mar/19/the-five-costs-of-uks-pyrrhic-brexit-victory
1. Northern Ireland

The first, and potentially most painful, climbdown has come over the border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic. Last month Theresa May insisted no British prime minister could possibly agree to the "backstop" proposal outlined by the EU. It sought to prevent a hard border after Brexit by keeping single market rules the same in Northern Ireland.

Now, the UK has gone back to a position it appeared to accept in December that a backstop is acceptable – so long as both sides keep working toward technological and legal alternatives that might avoid this necessity for full regulatory alignment.

Where do the Brexit negotiations stand?

 

Read more

Since the EU regards both proposed UK alternatives as implausible, it implies an eventual showdown with Democratic Unionists has only been postponed unless new "magic" answers can be found.

The ray of hope for Downing Street is that the UK seems to have retained the right to try to come up with an alternative backstop rather than automatically accept the toxic-looking EU version – a plan D, if you like.

"We agree on the need to include legal text detailing the 'backstop' solution for the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland in the withdrawal agreement that is acceptable to both sides," said Davis.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on March 22, 2018, 11:18:57 AM
British made a big deal about returning to a blue passport post Brexit. Now seems that the contract to manufacture them has been won by a French company who underpriced the current UK manufacturer. You couldn't make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 22, 2018, 11:23:07 AM
 :D ;D :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on March 22, 2018, 11:44:06 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on March 22, 2018, 11:18:57 AM
British made a big deal about returning to a blue passport post Brexit. Now seems that the contract to manufacture them has been won by a French company who underpriced the current UK manufacturer. You couldn't make it up.

The Brit company is called Thomas De La Rue, so they're a bit suspect anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 22, 2018, 01:30:22 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on March 22, 2018, 11:18:57 AM
British made a big deal about returning to a blue passport post Brexit. Now seems that the contract to manufacture them has been won by a French company who underpriced the current UK manufacturer. You couldn't make it up.

It gets better,
    A Galway based company complete the bio-metric programming of the passports during the application process.

Jim Allister will have a fit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on March 22, 2018, 01:50:11 PM
"The CEO of De La Rue acknowledged that his company had been beaten on price in an open competition, but he said that was unfair".

:o

The French/Dutch company that won the contract were £120mill cheaper.  Brexiters going ape shit.  Free market, anyone??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 22, 2018, 02:14:28 PM
This Brexit gets crazier by the day. The Britts really ave no clue and are making it up as they go along.

The first few pages of this thread make interesting reading now....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on March 22, 2018, 03:30:47 PM
Quote from: AQMP on March 22, 2018, 01:50:11 PM
"The CEO of De La Rue acknowledged that his company had been beaten on price in an open competition, but he said that was unfair".

:o

The French/Dutch company that won the contract were £120mill cheaper.  Brexiters going ape shit.  Free market, anyone??

Brexit in a nutshell. A shower of entitled, whinging fcukwits without a plan who seem to believe the world owes them a living up against coherent, hardnosed negotiators who will screw them into the ground in said negotiations. But hey, at least they get to choose the colour of thier passports....

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 22, 2018, 03:51:44 PM
Quote from: deiseach on February 18, 2016, 01:59:21 PM
I'm certainly not scaremongering. There's a large part of me that wants to see Brexit, if only to see what happens. But should Britain leave it will be seen as an overwhelming mandate for border controls. When I say you would have to 'produce a passport', I don't mean like the perfunctory process you have to go through when arriving at Cherbourg or Charles de Gaulle, I mean having to go through immigration. That is the absolute minimum that the Outers will expect from their victory. And while I think it less likely that tariffs will be imposed on trade, checking every vehicle that travels between Ireland and the UK for rats migrants is going to be a ruinously expensive business. Now, it's possible that some understanding will be reached. But I think that is to underestimate the xenophobia of the Outers, a phobia that wouldn't take long to mutate into a spot of Paddy-bashing if the presence of some open borders is perceived to be a sticking point.

Actually some of the earlier posts were quite prophetic. Some posted that there would be no trade barriers, but Deiseach correctly called it that immigration would be the big issue and this would drive things. And of course we have had the Paddy bashing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 22, 2018, 04:06:45 PM
But Paddy has 400,000,000 mates now ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 22, 2018, 04:15:10 PM
Brexit is even worse than the English soccer team.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 22, 2018, 04:25:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 22, 2018, 04:06:45 PM
But Paddy has 400,000,000 mates now ;)

(https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/4EsH6f7Lq8jfbbx7Nkro9ug_OtE=/800x0/filters:no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/6702801/5.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on March 23, 2018, 11:02:41 AM
Simon Jenkins in The Guardian has been pretty consistent on Brexit:

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/22/brexit-britain-norway-theresa-may-transition-deal

Norway here we come. This is the good news on the Brexit front. It will take two years. The voyage will be stormy and the destination messy. But plus-or-minus Norway offers the only sensible way for Britain through the Brexit morass. Labour's Jeremy Corbyn and Keir Starmer agree. Nick Clegg agrees. Most of the cabinet and the Tories' remainers publicly or privately agree. So do those close to the Brussels negotiations. They still seem unable to shake hands on it, but they will soon.

The week has been full of hopeful signs. On Monday the EU's Michel Barnier – a secret "Norwegian" – could not conceal his glee at his cobbled-together transition deal, nor could his British counterpart, David Davis.  The deal was a document of the most brutal realism. For now, the UK remains a non-participating member of the single market, with freedom of movement and right of settlement. Farmers and fishers are "as you were". Britain can discuss "offshore" trade deals, but not agree them. Hard Brexiteers can go jump off a cliff.

The smart money in Brussels was always on the Norway option. The so-called European Economic Area was a simple "off-the-shelf" basis for a bespoke deal with the UK. The challenge lay not in negotiating it but in overcoming Theresa May's belief that her fate depended on some 50 backbench leavers and the editors of the Sun and the Daily Mail. She was terrified of them.

Even so, the assumption was that, as the March 2019 deadline approached and the impossibility of a "frictionless" hard Brexit became ever clearer, Theresa May would be forced into a series of tactical retreats. The tough Lancaster House and Florence speeches, and Chequers last month, were dollops of fudge to keep hard Brexiteers on board. But this week's transition deal would mark a parting of the ways. So it has appeared. The sight of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and assorted friends shuffling miserably into line, whimpering over dead fish, was heart-warming. So in a sense has been May's and Johnson's distraction over Russian poison, hysterically comparing Vladimir Putin to Stalin and Hitler.

A detailed analysis of the Norway option in last month's Economist was unequivocally favourable. Norway in 1994 went through the same referendum debate as Britain, with the same drift towards compromise. The country remained in the European Free Trade Association (Efta). It stayed open to a single European market in goods, capital and labour, but it held aloof from the common fisheries and agriculture policies. Norway also stayed outside the EU customs union, to secure its own trade deals elsewhere. It is hard to see what substantive argument a Brexiter could have against this.
Norway fiercely denies it is a "vassal state". It is rated by the Economist Intelligence Unit as the "most democratic" in the world. It must abide by EU rules on trade in goods within the EU. But so must EU members, who can be overruled by majority voting. On matters of joint concern, such as energy, Norway is consulted and heard. Its lobbying office next to the Berlaymont building is more effective than any council vote. As for the European court, the Efta court liaises with it and is rarely in conflict.Trade in services and finance is more crucial to the UK than in goods, and here both Europe and the world would remain its oyster, as this EU single market is in its infancy. As for migration, Efta arrangements embrace a register of EU nationals, controls on their citizenship and property ownership and expulsion if they are out of work for six months. A mere 20% of Norwegians regret their Efta status. Of course Norway is smaller than the UK. But the issue is whether its model is practicable. It is.  The one argument against the Norway option for Britain is that it would lie outside the customs union. How valuable this freedom is to Norway's economy is moot. Efta has laboriously reached deals with 38 countries, including Canada. But it requires a hard border with Sweden to enforce country-of-origin controls. Since such a border is anathema in Northern Ireland, Norway plus customs union with the EU makes sense. I have seen no calculation that shows an advantage to UK trade in being outside one.

Yes, Britain would pay into the EU for all this, as does Norway. But Norway's money is carefully earmarked for grants, scholarships and projects. Likewise there are disciplines with "regulatory alignment" within an EU single market. But they did not worry Thatcher when she co-invented the market in 1985. Leaving the EU would usefully repatriate some controls, as over farming, construction standards, procurement and the environment. Britain, like Norway, could opt out of fish quotas. But these are trading practicalities not issues of principle. They are about how to make the best of "the decision to leave", not about following a neo-imperial will-o'-the-wisp.

What Britons thought they were "leaving" in 2016 remains opaque. No replacement question was asked. Britain will withdraw from the EU, but what takes its place must be a decision for parliament. Everything we read from polls and surveys suggests there is no majority for trade barriers at Calais or a ban on European care workers or plumbers. Public opinion wants soft Brexit. It wants Norway.

The last time Norway featured prominently in the Commons was in 1940. British failure against the Nazis cost Chamberlain his job, but these events formed the basis for victory and reconstruction. Sooner or later, the Commons will debate Norway again: whether the UK should remain within a single market and customs union, however camouflaged. When that happens, May will drive her hard Brexiters into sullen acceptance or resignation. But she can tell them her hands have been tied to a Norwegian mast. If so, history could regard her twisting and tacking, her softly, softly Brexit strategy as the most brilliant of political manoeuvres. But I am not holding my breath.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 23, 2018, 11:58:23 AM
If the above article is correct, then that will take the heat out the NI thing. There wouldn't be much in the way of Irish sea restrictions other than for animals and the like, which exist already to some extent anyhow and which will be called veterinary inspection and not customs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on March 23, 2018, 12:02:58 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 23, 2018, 11:58:23 AM
If the above article is correct, then that will take the heat out the NI thing. There wouldn't be much in the way of Irish sea restrictions other than for animals and the like, which exist already to some extent anyhow and which will be called veterinary inspection and not customs.

DUP cant really complain about animal restriction checks after Paisley's Our people may be British but our cows are Irish stance on Foot & mouth
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 23, 2018, 06:20:02 PM

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/02/theresa-may-brexit-speech-panel

"Is it worth it?" asked a wise German journalist. That's what Britain must decide. Fear the worst when she reprised her dreadful threat: "No deal is still better than a bad deal." Surely by now she knows no deal is the worst fate of all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on March 25, 2018, 12:26:53 PM
Channel 4 again - Cambridge Analytica, the Leave campaign breaking the electoral funding regulations and the PM's political secretary organising it, lying to the electoral commission and outing the gay whistleblower:

Brexit campaign was 'totally illegal', claims whistleblower (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQ0bFAgTGwk)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on March 25, 2018, 12:48:29 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/25/brexit-ireland-troubles-border-sunday-essay

Fair enough comment
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on March 25, 2018, 01:57:30 PM
According to The Sun, yeah I know, Trump is coming to Ireland in June to sort out Brexit and the "troubleshooting' border.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/5893555/donald-trump-surprise-visit-uk/amp/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 26, 2018, 03:23:04 PM
The British guy given the job of sorting it has run away. Probably the wisest course of action.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/mar/26/simon-case-brexit-irish-border-prince-william-private-secretary
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 26, 2018, 07:51:55 PM
Quote from: GJL on March 22, 2018, 02:14:28 PM
This Brexit gets crazier by the day. The Britts really ave no clue and are making it up as they go along.

The first few pages of this thread make interesting reading now....

Especially T Fearon's. Seafoid did warn about unintended consequences back on page 1.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 27, 2018, 07:47:17 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/mar/26/brexit-whistleblower-shahmir-sanni-no-10-official-outed-me-to-distract-from-claims
Theresa May has insisted her political secretary, Stephen Parkinson, "does a very good job", as he faces mounting pressure over the outing of the Brexit whistleblower Shahmir Sanni.

Sanni said he had endured one of the "most awful weekends" of his life after telling the Observer how Vote Leave channelled money through BeLeave, a group linked to Cambridge Analytica, to get around electoral law.

On Friday Sanni was outed as gay by Parkinson, one of May's closest advisers and a former Vote Leave official, with whom Sanni had a relationship during the campaign.

Privately, some Conservative MPs believe Parkinson should stand down. "He'll have to go," said one backbencher.

The Labour MP Ben Bradshaw challenged the prime minister in the House of Commons on Monday about what Downing Street said was a "personal statement" by Parkinson.

 Being outed by Downing Street is breathtakingly wrong

Hannah Jane Parkinson

.
 

Read more

"How is it remotely acceptable that when a young whistleblower exposes compelling evidence of law-breaking by the leave campaign, implicating staff at No 10, one of those named instead of addressing the allegations issues an officially sanctioned statement outing the whistleblower as gay and thereby putting his family in Pakistan in danger?" he said. "It's a disgrace, prime minister, you need to do something about it."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on March 27, 2018, 09:09:09 AM
Tweet yesterday afternoon from Newton Emerson:

On UTV @Jamie_Delargy predicts DUP will be told by London to accept a sea border as Brexit practicalities bite.

Has DUP left itself enough room to explain a sea border as just a dockside-administered land border?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 27, 2018, 10:45:57 AM
The DUP should join the Tory rebels and vote for the Customs Union. Then they can characterise the resulting outcome as administrative and veterinary inspections
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 27, 2018, 12:01:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 27, 2018, 10:45:57 AM
The DUP should join the Tory rebels and vote for the Customs Union. Then they can characterise the resulting outcome as administrative and veterinary inspections


Arlene will put up a token protest but then let it dwindle as it could potentially be an economic godsend to the wee six.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 27, 2018, 12:15:29 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 27, 2018, 12:01:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 27, 2018, 10:45:57 AM
The DUP should join the Tory rebels and vote for the Customs Union. Then they can characterise the resulting outcome as administrative and veterinary inspections


Arlene will put up a token protest but then let it dwindle as it could potentially be an economic godsend to the wee six.

An economic godsend would not really suit the DUP as the unaffordability of NI is one of the major bulwarks against a United Ireland and one of the reasons they supported Brexit in the first place. It would be a win for Nationalists and for English taxpayers, as that subsidy might decline.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 28, 2018, 08:39:08 PM
This is gruesome

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2018/mar/28/11-brexit-promises-leavers-quietly-dropped
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 29, 2018, 03:11:12 PM
Has Teresa May convinced the Scots and ye folks up North East that all will be fine on the night.
She'll have got great insight into the border in Bangor FFS!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on March 29, 2018, 03:53:32 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 29, 2018, 03:11:12 PM
Has Teresa May convinced the Scots and ye folks up North East that all will be fine on the night.
She'll have got great insight into the border in Bangor FFS!!

She couldn't convince me that night follows day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 29, 2018, 04:40:52 PM
Quote from: AQMP on March 29, 2018, 03:53:32 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 29, 2018, 03:11:12 PM
Has Teresa May convinced the Scots and ye folks up North East that all will be fine on the night.
She'll have got great insight into the border in Bangor FFS!!

She couldn't convince me that night follows day.
The euphoria that greeted her selection in June 2016 is so far away now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on March 30, 2018, 10:34:49 AM
Dodds let it slip on Radio Uladh, that the DUP supported Brexit to strengthen the Union (border). They really would see themselves in penury rather than give an inch to nationalism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 30, 2018, 11:10:07 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on March 30, 2018, 10:34:49 AM
Dodds let it slip on Radio Uladh, that the DUP supported Brexit to strengthen the Union (border). They really would see themselves in penury rather than give an inch to nationalism.

It was hardly the biggest reveal now I think we all knew that . . . I know some Republicans did the same thinking it would bring us closer to Ireland.

We still don't know which one is right yet . . . if NI gets special status and a sea border we will be closer to Ireland.

If they get a hard border then they will have won it's still up in the air!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 30, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: screenexile on March 30, 2018, 11:10:07 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on March 30, 2018, 10:34:49 AM
Dodds let it slip on Radio Uladh, that the DUP supported Brexit to strengthen the Union (border). They really would see themselves in penury rather than give an inch to nationalism.

It was hardly the biggest reveal now I think we all knew that . . . I know some Republicans did the same thinking it would bring us closer to Ireland.

We still don't know which one is right yet . . . if NI gets special status and a sea border we will be closer to Ireland.

If they get a hard border then they will have won it's still up in the air!!

The DUP are in this as a sort of double or quits, they get either more border or less border.

However, I don't think the more border outcome is very stable, it might not last beyond the election of Labour in London and it would advance a border poll, which would be a real contest in this scenario if polls are to be believed. So I think the DUP hadn't a good grasp the odds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on April 12, 2018, 12:09:10 AM
When do the coal-face Brexit debates kick-in in West Tyrone?  Nominations closed.  I actually thought SF might have tried something radical here..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on April 12, 2018, 10:50:14 AM
If anyone has a spare couple of hours there's a QUB critique of the draft withdrawal agreement/great repeal act that's worth reading by Professor Schiek. Delegation to sub-committees, principle of consent and transparency keys issues.   Do smoke-filled rooms even exist anymore?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 23, 2018, 01:50:40 AM



https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/apr/22/may-could-face-revolt-over-customs-union-amid-eu-withdrawal-bill-defeats


Theresa May could face a cabinet revolt on a customs union as peers prepare to inflict more defeats on the government over the EU withdrawal bill in a key week for the future of the UK's relations with Europe.

Amid Brexiter threats of a leadership challenge, the former cabinet minister Nicky Morgan, who chairs the Treasury committee, said party rebels should be careful what they wished for.

"This sabre-rattling is not coming from the section of the party that I represent. It is coming from the pro-Brexit section of the party and is deeply unhelpful," she said.

Government hopes of avoiding a hard border in Ireland either through technological innovation or regulatory alignment have been set back after they were rejected during preliminary negotiations in Brussels.

Q&ABrexit phrasebook: what is the customs union?Show



Sign up to our Brexit weekly briefing



Read more

That has led to speculation that May is preparing to concede on a customs union, which has been a red line since the prime minister's conference speech in October 2016.

Reports over the weekend suggested a "wargaming" exercise into the consequences of a concession showed that not even leading Brexiters such as Michael Gove, the environment secretary, or Boris Johnson, the foreign secretary, would resign.


--

Brexit is very Joe Dolan

Reaching out to touch
But you're  not there
You're not real
Still I believe

https://youtu.be/jkLC2mj5wvE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on April 24, 2018, 11:14:47 AM
Top Brexit minister over in NI yesterday and nobody told.  The DUP Tory gaining strenght.

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-43876878
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AhNowRef on April 24, 2018, 01:37:20 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 30, 2018, 11:10:07 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on March 30, 2018, 10:34:49 AM
Dodds let it slip on Radio Uladh, that the DUP supported Brexit to strengthen the Union (border). They really would see themselves in penury rather than give an inch to nationalism.

It was hardly the biggest reveal now I think we all knew that . . . I know some Republicans did the same thinking it would bring us closer to Ireland.

We still don't know which one is right yet . . . if NI gets special status and a sea border we will be closer to Ireland.

If they get a hard border then they will have won it's still up in the air!!

In reality, the DUP hoping for a hard border is like turkeys voting for christmas ......  they seem oblivious to it but if this happens they are just pushing more & more nats and economic unionists into voting for a UI in a future border poll..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on April 28, 2018, 07:00:50 PM
Some bold predictions on Bloomberg today

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-04-27/brexit-failure-looks-more-likely-every-day
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on April 28, 2018, 08:26:19 PM
We're all doomed😳
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 29, 2018, 07:10:03 PM
Quote from: heganboy on April 28, 2018, 07:00:50 PM
Some bold predictions on Bloomberg today

https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-04-27/brexit-failure-looks-more-likely-every-day

https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2018/0427/958793-brexit-breaking-point/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 06:12:25 AM
Amber Rudd has resigned. One of the few non fruitcakes in the UK cabinet. Brexit heads will be happy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 30, 2018, 07:30:45 AM
She hasn't behaved like a non fruitcake.

Horrible woman. The more i see the more i think may is a vile vile woman too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on April 30, 2018, 08:51:51 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 30, 2018, 07:30:45 AM
She hasn't behaved like a non fruitcake.

Horrible woman. The more i see the more i think may is a vile vile woman too.

Maybe May will appoint one of her DUP "friends" as a replacement 😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 08:56:21 AM
Quote from: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 06:12:25 AM
Amber Rudd has resigned. One of the few non fruitcakes in the UK cabinet. Brexit heads will be happy.

Or another high profile Remainer on the back benches might be a problem for hard Brexit loons?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 09:19:06 AM
She really is thick.  Apparently Barnier is crapping himself.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/30/dup-arlene-foster-hits-out-at-michel-barnier-over-irish-border

Arlene Foster hits out at Michel Barnier over Irish border

The leader of the DUP has said the EU's chief Brexit negotiator "does not understand" the unionist history or position in Northern Ireland.  Speaking just hours before Michel Barnier is due to talk at an all-Ireland civic dialogue conference on Brexit, Arlene Foster said that he pretended to understand the issues but was "not an honest broker".   "Michel Barnier's trying to present himself as someone who cares deeply about Northern Ireland and if that is the case he needs to hear the fact that we are part of the United Kingdom [and] will remain part of the United Kingdom constitutionally, politically and economically," she told the BBC.

"Therefore his proposal of us being in an all-Ireland regulatory scenario with a border down the Irish Sea simply does not work. I don't think he does understand the wider unionist culture of Northern Ireland," she added.  The DUP is strongly opposed to the agreement made in December, , in which Northern Ireland will remain fully aligned with the EU and the Republic of Ireland in the event that there is no overall deal to keep the Irish border invisible.   The DUP is propping up Theresa May's government but last week DUP MP Nigel Dodds said it was prepared to let the government collapse over the issue. However, the EU and the Irish government are holding firm.

Ireland's deputy prime minister, Simon Coveney, has warned that there would be "difficulties" at the next EU council summit in June in progressing to wider Brexit talks unless the UK commits to wording for a "backstop" solution for the Irish border.   Barnier has also warned there would be no withdrawal agreement and no transition agreement if Britain does not agree to wording for the backstop solution by June.   Irish and EU negotiators are getting increasingly exasperated by what they see as Britain's refusal to move forward on talks on the Irish border issue before the June deadline. "The British government has red lines all over the place and expects the EU to accommodate them. We have red lines, so does the EU, but nobody seems to focus on that," said Coveney.   "It is not OK for the British government to rule out a whole series of options and then pretend that somebody, somewhere is going to find a solution to find a way forward. The next move is Britain's in the negotiations," he said.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 09:20:18 AM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 08:56:21 AM
Quote from: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 06:12:25 AM
Amber Rudd has resigned. One of the few non fruitcakes in the UK cabinet. Brexit heads will be happy.

Or another high profile Remainer on the back benches might be a problem for hard Brexit loons?
She knows where the bodies are as well
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on April 30, 2018, 11:18:49 AM
Sajid Javid replaces Rudd, another Remainer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 11:52:45 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/apr/30/amber-rudd-theresa-may-lost-job-home-secretary-obsession-removals-home-office-investigated
Within the year, there has to be a showdown over some form of customs union. There is no alternative and no evidence that a rejection of open borders with the EU is what the public wants. Yet May appears trapped, almost mesmerised, by the Brexit wing of her cabinet and parliamentary party.

Rudd's resignation could yet be seen as a move from headquarters to rally May's troops at the parliamentary front in the storms that lie ahead. British politics is almost impossible to read, but I sense we have not seen the last of Amber Rudd.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 12:04:37 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on April 30, 2018, 11:18:49 AM
Sajid Javid replaces Rudd, another Remainer

James Brokenshire (remember him?) takes Javid's old job at Housing & Communities.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 12:15:40 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 09:19:06 AM
She really is thick.  Apparently Barnier is crapping himself.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/30/dup-arlene-foster-hits-out-at-michel-barnier-over-irish-border

Arlene Foster hits out at Michel Barnier over Irish border

The leader of the DUP has said the EU's chief Brexit negotiator "does not understand" the unionist history or position in Northern Ireland.  Speaking just hours before Michel Barnier is due to talk at an all-Ireland civic dialogue conference on Brexit, Arlene Foster said that he pretended to understand the issues but was "not an honest broker".   "Michel Barnier's trying to present himself as someone who cares deeply about Northern Ireland and if that is the case he needs to hear the fact that we are part of the United Kingdom [and] will remain part of the United Kingdom constitutionally, politically and economically," she told the BBC.

"Therefore his proposal of us being in an all-Ireland regulatory scenario with a border down the Irish Sea simply does not work. I don't think he does understand the wider unionist culture of Northern Ireland," she added.  The DUP is strongly opposed to the agreement made in December, , in which Northern Ireland will remain fully aligned with the EU and the Republic of Ireland in the event that there is no overall deal to keep the Irish border invisible.   The DUP is propping up Theresa May's government but last week DUP MP Nigel Dodds said it was prepared to let the government collapse over the issue. However, the EU and the Irish government are holding firm.

Ireland's deputy prime minister, Simon Coveney, has warned that there would be "difficulties" at the next EU council summit in June in progressing to wider Brexit talks unless the UK commits to wording for a "backstop" solution for the Irish border.   Barnier has also warned there would be no withdrawal agreement and no transition agreement if Britain does not agree to wording for the backstop solution by June.   Irish and EU negotiators are getting increasingly exasperated by what they see as Britain's refusal to move forward on talks on the Irish border issue before the June deadline. "The British government has red lines all over the place and expects the EU to accommodate them. We have red lines, so does the EU, but nobody seems to focus on that," said Coveney.   "It is not OK for the British government to rule out a whole series of options and then pretend that somebody, somewhere is going to find a solution to find a way forward. The next move is Britain's in the negotiations," he said.
She doesn't understand the economic damage a customs union exit will do to NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on April 30, 2018, 12:23:07 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 12:15:40 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 09:19:06 AM
She really is thick.  Apparently Barnier is crapping himself.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/30/dup-arlene-foster-hits-out-at-michel-barnier-over-irish-border

Arlene Foster hits out at Michel Barnier over Irish border

The leader of the DUP has said the EU's chief Brexit negotiator "does not understand" the unionist history or position in Northern Ireland.  Speaking just hours before Michel Barnier is due to talk at an all-Ireland civic dialogue conference on Brexit, Arlene Foster said that he pretended to understand the issues but was "not an honest broker".   "Michel Barnier's trying to present himself as someone who cares deeply about Northern Ireland and if that is the case he needs to hear the fact that we are part of the United Kingdom [and] will remain part of the United Kingdom constitutionally, politically and economically," she told the BBC.

"Therefore his proposal of us being in an all-Ireland regulatory scenario with a border down the Irish Sea simply does not work. I don't think he does understand the wider unionist culture of Northern Ireland," she added.  The DUP is strongly opposed to the agreement made in December, , in which Northern Ireland will remain fully aligned with the EU and the Republic of Ireland in the event that there is no overall deal to keep the Irish border invisible.   The DUP is propping up Theresa May's government but last week DUP MP Nigel Dodds said it was prepared to let the government collapse over the issue. However, the EU and the Irish government are holding firm.

Ireland's deputy prime minister, Simon Coveney, has warned that there would be "difficulties" at the next EU council summit in June in progressing to wider Brexit talks unless the UK commits to wording for a "backstop" solution for the Irish border.   Barnier has also warned there would be no withdrawal agreement and no transition agreement if Britain does not agree to wording for the backstop solution by June.   Irish and EU negotiators are getting increasingly exasperated by what they see as Britain's refusal to move forward on talks on the Irish border issue before the June deadline. "The British government has red lines all over the place and expects the EU to accommodate them. We have red lines, so does the EU, but nobody seems to focus on that," said Coveney.   "It is not OK for the British government to rule out a whole series of options and then pretend that somebody, somewhere is going to find a solution to find a way forward. The next move is Britain's in the negotiations," he said.
She doesn't understand the care what economic damage a customs union exit will do to NI.
Fixed that for you
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on April 30, 2018, 12:44:32 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 12:04:37 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on April 30, 2018, 11:18:49 AM
Sajid Javid replaces Rudd, another Remainer

James Brokenshire (remember him?) takes Javid's old job at Housing & Communities.
Nominative determinism?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 12:44:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 12:15:40 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 09:19:06 AM
She really is thick.  Apparently Barnier is crapping himself.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/30/dup-arlene-foster-hits-out-at-michel-barnier-over-irish-border

Arlene Foster hits out at Michel Barnier over Irish border

The leader of the DUP has said the EU's chief Brexit negotiator "does not understand" the unionist history or position in Northern Ireland.  Speaking just hours before Michel Barnier is due to talk at an all-Ireland civic dialogue conference on Brexit, Arlene Foster said that he pretended to understand the issues but was "not an honest broker".   "Michel Barnier's trying to present himself as someone who cares deeply about Northern Ireland and if that is the case he needs to hear the fact that we are part of the United Kingdom [and] will remain part of the United Kingdom constitutionally, politically and economically," she told the BBC.

"Therefore his proposal of us being in an all-Ireland regulatory scenario with a border down the Irish Sea simply does not work. I don't think he does understand the wider unionist culture of Northern Ireland," she added.  The DUP is strongly opposed to the agreement made in December, , in which Northern Ireland will remain fully aligned with the EU and the Republic of Ireland in the event that there is no overall deal to keep the Irish border invisible.   The DUP is propping up Theresa May's government but last week DUP MP Nigel Dodds said it was prepared to let the government collapse over the issue. However, the EU and the Irish government are holding firm.

Ireland's deputy prime minister, Simon Coveney, has warned that there would be "difficulties" at the next EU council summit in June in progressing to wider Brexit talks unless the UK commits to wording for a "backstop" solution for the Irish border.   Barnier has also warned there would be no withdrawal agreement and no transition agreement if Britain does not agree to wording for the backstop solution by June.   Irish and EU negotiators are getting increasingly exasperated by what they see as Britain's refusal to move forward on talks on the Irish border issue before the June deadline. "The British government has red lines all over the place and expects the EU to accommodate them. We have red lines, so does the EU, but nobody seems to focus on that," said Coveney.   "It is not OK for the British government to rule out a whole series of options and then pretend that somebody, somewhere is going to find a solution to find a way forward. The next move is Britain's in the negotiations," he said.
She doesn't understand the economic damage a customs union exit will do to NI.

She also doesn't understand that Michel Barnier is the EU's Chief Brexit Negotiator.  Why the feck would he be an honest broker in the process?  There's a clue in his job title.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on April 30, 2018, 12:45:27 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on April 30, 2018, 12:23:07 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 12:15:40 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 09:19:06 AM
She really is thick.  Apparently Barnier is crapping himself.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/30/dup-arlene-foster-hits-out-at-michel-barnier-over-irish-border

Arlene Foster hits out at Michel Barnier over Irish border

The leader of the DUP has said the EU's chief Brexit negotiator "does not understand" the unionist history or position in Northern Ireland.  Speaking just hours before Michel Barnier is due to talk at an all-Ireland civic dialogue conference on Brexit, Arlene Foster said that he pretended to understand the issues but was "not an honest broker".   "Michel Barnier's trying to present himself as someone who cares deeply about Northern Ireland and if that is the case he needs to hear the fact that we are part of the United Kingdom [and] will remain part of the United Kingdom constitutionally, politically and economically," she told the BBC.

"Therefore his proposal of us being in an all-Ireland regulatory scenario with a border down the Irish Sea simply does not work. I don't think he does understand the wider unionist culture of Northern Ireland," she added.  The DUP is strongly opposed to the agreement made in December, , in which Northern Ireland will remain fully aligned with the EU and the Republic of Ireland in the event that there is no overall deal to keep the Irish border invisible.   The DUP is propping up Theresa May's government but last week DUP MP Nigel Dodds said it was prepared to let the government collapse over the issue. However, the EU and the Irish government are holding firm.

Ireland's deputy prime minister, Simon Coveney, has warned that there would be "difficulties" at the next EU council summit in June in progressing to wider Brexit talks unless the UK commits to wording for a "backstop" solution for the Irish border.   Barnier has also warned there would be no withdrawal agreement and no transition agreement if Britain does not agree to wording for the backstop solution by June.   Irish and EU negotiators are getting increasingly exasperated by what they see as Britain's refusal to move forward on talks on the Irish border issue before the June deadline. "The British government has red lines all over the place and expects the EU to accommodate them. We have red lines, so does the EU, but nobody seems to focus on that," said Coveney.   "It is not OK for the British government to rule out a whole series of options and then pretend that somebody, somewhere is going to find a solution to find a way forward. The next move is Britain's in the negotiations," he said.
She doesn't understand the care what economic damage a customs union exit will do to NI.
Fixed that for you

Is it not possible that the backstop option could actually have a very positive impact on the N.Ireland economy? A stepping stone to the EU market so to speak?

Arlene would sooner see us all bankrupt before she would concede an inch on the constitutional side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 30, 2018, 12:59:20 PM
Quote from: GJL on April 30, 2018, 12:45:27 PM

Is it not possible that the backstop option could actually have a very positive impact on the N.Ireland economy? A stepping stone to the EU market so to speak?

Arlene would sooner see us all bankrupt before she would concede an inch on the constitutional side.

Of course it is, the Scots would drink many a wee dram if they could get such a good deal, while the Welsh would sing late into the night.
From the point of the DUP, economic carnage has the advantage of increasing the subvention from London, all the better if the carnage is in Taig areas. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on April 30, 2018, 01:01:06 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 12:44:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 12:15:40 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 09:19:06 AM
She really is thick.  Apparently Barnier is crapping himself.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/30/dup-arlene-foster-hits-out-at-michel-barnier-over-irish-border

Arlene Foster hits out at Michel Barnier over Irish border

The leader of the DUP has said the EU's chief Brexit negotiator "does not understand" the unionist history or position in Northern Ireland.  Speaking just hours before Michel Barnier is due to talk at an all-Ireland civic dialogue conference on Brexit, Arlene Foster said that he pretended to understand the issues but was "not an honest broker".   "Michel Barnier's trying to present himself as someone who cares deeply about Northern Ireland and if that is the case he needs to hear the fact that we are part of the United Kingdom [and] will remain part of the United Kingdom constitutionally, politically and economically," she told the BBC.

"Therefore his proposal of us being in an all-Ireland regulatory scenario with a border down the Irish Sea simply does not work. I don't think he does understand the wider unionist culture of Northern Ireland," she added.  The DUP is strongly opposed to the agreement made in December, , in which Northern Ireland will remain fully aligned with the EU and the Republic of Ireland in the event that there is no overall deal to keep the Irish border invisible.   The DUP is propping up Theresa May's government but last week DUP MP Nigel Dodds said it was prepared to let the government collapse over the issue. However, the EU and the Irish government are holding firm.

Ireland's deputy prime minister, Simon Coveney, has warned that there would be "difficulties" at the next EU council summit in June in progressing to wider Brexit talks unless the UK commits to wording for a "backstop" solution for the Irish border.   Barnier has also warned there would be no withdrawal agreement and no transition agreement if Britain does not agree to wording for the backstop solution by June.   Irish and EU negotiators are getting increasingly exasperated by what they see as Britain's refusal to move forward on talks on the Irish border issue before the June deadline. "The British government has red lines all over the place and expects the EU to accommodate them. We have red lines, so does the EU, but nobody seems to focus on that," said Coveney.   "It is not OK for the British government to rule out a whole series of options and then pretend that somebody, somewhere is going to find a solution to find a way forward. The next move is Britain's in the negotiations," he said.
She doesn't understand the economic damage a customs union exit will do to NI.

She also doesn't understand that Michel Barnier is the EU's Chief Brexit Negotiator.  Why the feck would he be an honest broker in the process?  There's a clue in his job title.

She is a complete embarrassment at this stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Avondhu star on April 30, 2018, 01:31:48 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on April 30, 2018, 01:01:06 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 12:44:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 12:15:40 PM
Quote from: AQMP on April 30, 2018, 09:19:06 AM
She really is thick.  Apparently Barnier is crapping himself.

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/30/dup-arlene-foster-hits-out-at-michel-barnier-over-irish-border

Arlene Foster hits out at Michel Barnier over Irish border

The leader of the DUP has said the EU's chief Brexit negotiator "does not understand" the unionist history or position in Northern Ireland.  Speaking just hours before Michel Barnier is due to talk at an all-Ireland civic dialogue conference on Brexit, Arlene Foster said that he pretended to understand the issues but was "not an honest broker".   "Michel Barnier's trying to present himself as someone who cares deeply about Northern Ireland and if that is the case he needs to hear the fact that we are part of the United Kingdom [and] will remain part of the United Kingdom constitutionally, politically and economically," she told the BBC.

"Therefore his proposal of us being in an all-Ireland regulatory scenario with a border down the Irish Sea simply does not work. I don't think he does understand the wider unionist culture of Northern Ireland," she added.  The DUP is strongly opposed to the agreement made in December, , in which Northern Ireland will remain fully aligned with the EU and the Republic of Ireland in the event that there is no overall deal to keep the Irish border invisible.   The DUP is propping up Theresa May's government but last week DUP MP Nigel Dodds said it was prepared to let the government collapse over the issue. However, the EU and the Irish government are holding firm.

Ireland's deputy prime minister, Simon Coveney, has warned that there would be "difficulties" at the next EU council summit in June in progressing to wider Brexit talks unless the UK commits to wording for a "backstop" solution for the Irish border.   Barnier has also warned there would be no withdrawal agreement and no transition agreement if Britain does not agree to wording for the backstop solution by June.   Irish and EU negotiators are getting increasingly exasperated by what they see as Britain's refusal to move forward on talks on the Irish border issue before the June deadline. "The British government has red lines all over the place and expects the EU to accommodate them. We have red lines, so does the EU, but nobody seems to focus on that," said Coveney.   "It is not OK for the British government to rule out a whole series of options and then pretend that somebody, somewhere is going to find a solution to find a way forward. The next move is Britain's in the negotiations," he said.
She doesn't understand the economic damage a customs union exit will do to NI.

She also doesn't understand that Michel Barnier is the EU's Chief Brexit Negotiator.  Why the feck would he be an honest broker in the process?  There's a clue in his job title.

She is a complete embarrassment at this stage.

Amber Rudd has fallen on her sword over the immigration fiasco. This government and Mays leadership is well rattled. The D.U.P.  influence wont last.

Of course it is a pity our own gombeen don't follow the very honourable British practice of resignation when they f**k up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on April 30, 2018, 02:45:11 PM
Some sort of accountability in Westminster....zero in Stormount 😡
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on April 30, 2018, 03:29:50 PM
I wonder does Snarlene feel any embarrassment about those around her resigning for lessor mistakes than she has made?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on April 30, 2018, 03:32:58 PM
QuoteI wonder does Snarlene feel any embarrassment about those around her resigning for lessor mistakes than she has made?

None whatsoever, she can't see through her own arrogance to feel embarrassed.  Let her rot in the obscurity of being the former and last Unionist First Minister in the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 30, 2018, 07:55:05 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/04/30/michel-barnier-calls-british-northern-irish-border-checks-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on April 30, 2018, 08:11:16 PM
"Inflammatory address"...????!!!!!
Talk about spin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on April 30, 2018, 10:30:13 PM
You can see already there has been agreement with the DUP and the tories on the type of language to use now going forward and i would expect it to get more scathing as the months go on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on May 01, 2018, 08:54:29 AM
The DUP criticise Barnier for not understanding unionism, but then refuse to meet him. What a joke!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on May 01, 2018, 08:57:32 AM
Quote from: Avondhu star on April 30, 2018, 01:31:48 PM
Amber Rudd has fallen on her sword over the immigration fiasco. This government and Mays leadership is well rattled. The D.U.P.  influence wont last.

Of course it is a pity our own gombeen don't follow the very honourable British practice of resignation when they f**k up

No, she fell on May's sword.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 01, 2018, 10:23:03 AM
A few musings.

I think May is doomed. She's basically one scandal away from resignation. Whether this will force a GE I don't know but it's a possibility that cannot be ruled out.
A GE may not save us from a shitty Brexit, as JC isn't exactly pro EU. Although labour now wants to remain in the CU. Is there time to renegotiate before the UK crashes out in March 2019?
The DUP are enjoying their time in the limelight. However they look badly out of their depth. They haven't been able to get involved in any serious negotiations around the brexit deal and have merely sniped from the sidelines.

An Irish Sea border (which already exists around agriculture) is the most likely outcome. Whether this will be good or bad remains to be seen.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:29:18 AM
Quote from: Orior on May 01, 2018, 08:54:29 AM
The DUP criticise Barnier for not understanding unionism, but then refuse to meet him. What a joke!
Not much point meeting anyone when you're only contribution to anything us "No!" And "We want to stay in the 17th Century"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on May 01, 2018, 10:46:45 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:29:18 AM
Quote from: Orior on May 01, 2018, 08:54:29 AM
The DUP criticise Barnier for not understanding unionism, but then refuse to meet him. What a joke!
Not much point meeting anyone when you're only contribution to anything us "No!" And "We want to stay in the 17th Century"

They can't get their heads around the fact that Brexit isn't all about them.  They actually thought Barnier was coming over to mediate between them and the Irish government over border arrangements post-Brexit.  When they realised that the EU doesn't really give a toss about the DUP or Unionism they threw a hissy fit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
This really is senior hurling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 11:39:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
This really is senior hurling.

Correct and the DUP are sending out Jamie Bryson to play for them😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on May 01, 2018, 11:43:52 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 11:39:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
This really is senior hurling.

Correct and the DUP are sending out Jamie Bryson to play for them😂

They are completely exposed now on the international scene and this will be their downfall. The big players have realised how backward they are and are just ignoring them. They are starting to realise that they are pretty much irrelevant and this will kill them. Enjoyable viewing to be honest.  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AhNowRef on May 01, 2018, 11:44:43 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 11:39:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
This really is senior hurling.

Correct and the DUP are sending out Jamie Bryson to play for them😂

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bd5ck6OIYAAtMvO.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 11:45:56 AM
Quote from: AhNowRef on May 01, 2018, 11:44:43 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 11:39:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
This really is senior hurling.

Correct and the DUP are sending out Jamie Bryson to play for them😂

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bd5ck6OIYAAtMvO.jpg)

😂😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on May 01, 2018, 11:52:36 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 11:39:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
This really is senior hurling.

Correct and the DUP are sending out Jamie Bryson to play for them😂

Jamie is top of the right (naturally) alongside the really fit enthusiastic guy who will run all day but who doesn't know what end of the stick to hold, and the guy sitting at the club bar with the XXXL county top on, who was decent at underage but never bothered his arse, and is living on past memories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:58:45 AM
The UK has no leverage. At some point the Tories will cave in on the customs union and it won't matter what the DUP want. The DUP didn't analyse what Brexit meant. They chose it like Arlene would choose washing powder in the supermarket.

"; there is always a well-known solution to everyhuman problem — neat, plausible, and wrong." H.L. Mencken
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on May 01, 2018, 12:03:43 PM
Barnier is in Derry (or Londonderry if you're Mary-Lou) this morning.  You have to wonder what the UUP are at.  They were (reluctantly, maybe) Remainers and NI voted to remain.  Now they're following the DUP around ::)  You know you're in trouble when Martina Anderson has one up on you!

===============================================================

Sinn Fein accused Northern Ireland's two unionist MEPs of "bad manners" today because they were not in Derry to meet Michel Barnier, the EU's chief Brexit negotiator. Northern Ireland's third MEP, Sinn Fein's Martina Anderson, was there, and she claimed that the DUP MEP Diane Dodds and Ulster Unionist MEP Jim Nicholson were failing to represent the unionist community by "snubbing" Barnier. She said:

"I think it's unfortunate that they haven't turned up. The parliament is not open today.  The European parliament is closed, so there's no reason why both of the MEPs from the unionist population shouldn't be here.  All three of us should be maximising the opportunity when Michel Barnier is in our constituency.  I think it's political bad manners that the MEPs - and I have to say the two council leads from the DUP and UUP - were both invited here this morning, and neither of them have turned up.  I don't think really when you have a chief negotiator coming from the EU that it's a good signal to send out because I don't think it's representative of the people, the protestant, unionist, loyalist people, who would want their own representatives taking the opportunity to express their views".

Last week Dodds and Nicholson issued a joint statement welcoming Barnier's visit but expressed disappointment that it was announced by a Sinn Fein MP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 01, 2018, 12:09:07 PM
The UU have lost the plot. Nesbitt managed to articulate a rational line on Brexit, warning pretty much of a border in the Irish Sea. They didn't listen to him, so Swann took over and turned the UU into DUP lite.

QuoteYou know you're in trouble when Martina Anderson has one up on you!

Absolutely, and I would have thought better of Jim Nicholson at least, he must understand the issues perfectly well. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2018, 12:28:31 PM
Quote from: AQMP on May 01, 2018, 11:52:36 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 11:39:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
This really is senior hurling.

Correct and the DUP are sending out Jamie Bryson to play for them😂

Jamie is top of the right (naturally) alongside the really fit enthusiastic guy who will run all day but who doesn't know what end of the stick to hold, and the guy sitting at the club bar with the XXXL county top on, who was decent at underage but never bothered his arse, and is living on past memories.

No need to bring yourself into this  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on May 01, 2018, 12:42:49 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 01, 2018, 12:28:31 PM
Quote from: AQMP on May 01, 2018, 11:52:36 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 11:39:48 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 11:20:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 01, 2018, 10:55:36 AM
Must be hard to understand that a chap representing 400,000,000 people in negotiations with a Government representing 60,000,000 doesn't give 2 flying fcuks for a group representing 240,000 who live in a fantasy world.
This really is senior hurling.

Correct and the DUP are sending out Jamie Bryson to play for them😂

Jamie is top of the right (naturally) alongside the really fit enthusiastic guy who will run all day but who doesn't know what end of the stick to hold, and the guy sitting at the club bar with the XXXL county top on, who was decent at underage but never bothered his arse, and is living on past memories.

No need to bring yourself into this  :)

I wasn't even decent at underage...but the rest is fairly accurate!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 01, 2018, 02:10:48 PM
http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-dup-opposition-to-brexit-forum-purely-parochial-1.2736287

When the DUP took its pro-Brexit position, it will have known this reflected the majority of unionist opinion but that would not have justified knowingly leading unionism over a cliff. It must also be remembered few expected Leave to win, so the DUP set itself up to lose just to commune with its base on an apparently arcane question, three years before the next scheduled election – an eternity in political terms.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2018, 05:51:08 PM
NIO confirmed that Leo followed the correct protocols.....expect apologies anytime soon from Jeffrey and co🙄
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 02, 2018, 10:21:20 PM
House of Lords defeat Brit Government again.
http://www.itv.com/news/utv/2018-05-02/government-slumps-to-10th-brexit-defeat/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 02, 2018, 11:06:40 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 02, 2018, 10:21:20 PM
House of Lords defeat Brit Government again.
http://www.itv.com/news/utv/2018-05-02/government-slumps-to-10th-brexit-defeat/
The Eurosceptics don't have the numbers in the Lords. Because of the last commons election they hold the balance of power in Parliament 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on May 05, 2018, 04:12:16 AM
Looks like UK civil service about to endorse the Irish sea as a border, but with "green channel" customs between artist formerly known as NI and GB.

Prepare for a shot storm from the UUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 05, 2018, 09:06:11 AM
Quote from: heganboy on May 05, 2018, 04:12:16 AM
Looks like UK civil service about to endorse the Irish sea as a border, but with "green channel" customs between artist formerly known as NI and GB.

Prepare for a shot storm from the UUP.
If London is in danger the Tories will of course shaft NI.

https://youtu.be/PI6vyI8vJlc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 11, 2018, 10:44:04 AM
Rees Mogg is a slimey, posh, stuck up horrible little Englander and Carruthers didn't go hard enough on him last night!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on May 11, 2018, 10:50:40 AM
Quote from: screenexile on May 11, 2018, 10:44:04 AM
Rees Mogg is a slimey, posh, stuck up horrible little Englander and Carruthers didn't go hard enough on him last night!!!

He is indeed nauseating to look at and listen to. He is so far detached from the reality of Ireland and what Brexit means over here. The way he dismissed the relevance of a visit to the border area said all about is opinion of Ireland.  Are the DUP really so stupid not to realise that they will be dropped like a stone as soon as they are no longer needed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on May 11, 2018, 10:53:51 AM
Im sure they are well aware of wats going to happen to them but they are lining the party coffers as much as they can before this happens. Every other party would do the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 11, 2018, 10:58:18 AM
The DUP are only worried about the here and now and what will give them money or votes, both are the same as it will keep them in power, the longer they control the purse strings then the more times we will see the scandals that follow them, will that stop their voters? No, as long as S/F are in buisness (thats me not S/F bashing) then their voters will hear of the threats of United Ireland!

N.I politics, comedy gold.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ONARAGGATIP on May 12, 2018, 05:40:36 PM
Interesting read: http://www.irishnews.com/paywall/tsb/irishnews/irishnews/irishnews//opinion/columnists/2018/05/12/news/patrick-murphy-if-the-eu-will-not-allow-ireland-an-independent-voice-it-faces-economic-slaughter-1326710/content.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 14, 2018, 10:54:41 PM
On BBC2 now, Nelson McCausland and Martina Anderson, God help us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Samforever on May 15, 2018, 09:14:31 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 14, 2018, 10:54:41 PM
On BBC2 now, Nelson McCausland and Martina Anderson, God help us.

And then they trump that with Ruth Dudley Edwards! Mind numbing stuff
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 15, 2018, 04:52:28 PM
Meanwhile back in the real world
https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2018/0515/963650-thomson-reuters-dublin/

Any chance ye'd move to Castlerea or Strokestown?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 16, 2018, 12:36:22 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2018/0516/963831-eu-customs-union/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on May 16, 2018, 01:57:09 PM
That would give them a few years to work on giving the north back.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kurtz on May 16, 2018, 02:10:19 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 15, 2018, 04:52:28 PM
Meanwhile back in the real world
https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2018/0515/963650-thomson-reuters-dublin/

Any chance ye'd move to Castlerea or Strokestown?

Dont think anyone will be moving west after the Apple disaster
Laughable news today about the m50. They plan more tolls and speed limits  ;D ;D
Its caused by urban sprawl and will only get worse no matter what these idiots propose

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on May 16, 2018, 03:01:47 PM
Karen Bradley again reiterating today that there will be no cameras on the border. Are they planting the seeds for a customs partnership in the north only. Surely it would be 100% impossible for any technology to work without infrastructure. Even as light as cameras. The maxfac option would be impossible to police and I just can't see May agreeing to a UK wide customs partnership.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on May 16, 2018, 04:13:01 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on May 16, 2018, 03:01:47 PM
Karen Bradley again reiterating today that there will be no cameras on the border. Are they planting the seeds for a customs partnership in the north only. Surely it would be 100% impossible for any technology to work without infrastructure. Even as light as cameras. The maxfac option would be impossible to police and I just can't see May agreeing to a UK wide customs partnership.

Over the DUP's dead body. They will exit the EU on the same terms as the rest of the mainland. At this stage it's either going to implode dramatically for the Tories rather like the Nazis at the end of WWII, or May will finally grow a pair, tell the loony right to f&ck off and try for the 'third way' as reported in today's RTE news.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on May 16, 2018, 05:28:35 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 16, 2018, 04:13:01 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on May 16, 2018, 03:01:47 PM
Karen Bradley again reiterating today that there will be no cameras on the border. Are they planting the seeds for a customs partnership in the north only. Surely it would be 100% impossible for any technology to work without infrastructure. Even as light as cameras. The maxfac option would be impossible to police and I just can't see May agreeing to a UK wide customs partnership.

Over the DUP's dead body. They will exit the EU on the same terms as the rest of the mainland. At this stage it's either going to implode dramatically for the Tories rather like the Nazis at the end of WWII, or May will finally grow a pair, tell the loony right to f&ck off and try for the 'third way' as reported in today's RTE news.
May is lining it up for the third way - she'll paint it as the only way to protect the union (ref: her comments on the border poll). 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 16, 2018, 06:07:02 PM
Quote from: Rois on May 16, 2018, 05:28:35 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 16, 2018, 04:13:01 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on May 16, 2018, 03:01:47 PM
Karen Bradley again reiterating today that there will be no cameras on the border. Are they planting the seeds for a customs partnership in the north only. Surely it would be 100% impossible for any technology to work without infrastructure. Even as light as cameras. The maxfac option would be impossible to police and I just can't see May agreeing to a UK wide customs partnership.

Over the DUP's dead body. They will exit the EU on the same terms as the rest of the mainland. At this stage it's either going to implode dramatically for the Tories rather like the Nazis at the end of WWII, or May will finally grow a pair, tell the loony right to f&ck off and try for the 'third way' as reported in today's RTE news.
May is lining it up for the third way - she'll paint it as the only way to protect the union (ref: her comments on the border poll).

The Brits are running out of road. It would take a heart of stone not to.laugh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 21, 2018, 12:55:53 AM
This is spin of course. The basic result of this is that people don't want a border. The UI question suffers from the usual issue of people not knowing exactly what is being proposed, and being wise enough not to express a prefeence for something they don't know what it is. The poll  also shows an interest in economic issues and a hard Brexit would surely affect the NI economy.
Basically, people do not want NI to leave the Single Market, the effect of ignoring their wishes and screwing up the economy is difficult to assess.
The problem with polls like this is that the devil is in the detail, the Brexit thing is enormously complex.

As for the border technology, the results are skewed by the Milltown Rows of this world who reckon the border cameras won't be observing them and who are happy to inflict them on someone else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 21, 2018, 09:39:15 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 21, 2018, 12:55:53 AM
This is spin of course. The basic result of this is that people don't want a border. The UI question suffers from the usual issue of people not knowing exactly what is being proposed, and being wise enough not to express a prefeence for something they don't know what it is. The poll  also shows an interest in economic issues and a hard Brexit would surely affect the NI economy.
Basically, people do not want NI to leave the Single Market, the effect of ignoring their wishes and screwing up the economy is difficult to assess.
The problem with polls like this is that the devil is in the detail, the Brexit thing is enormously complex.

As for the border technology, the results are skewed by the Milltown Rows of this world who reckon the border cameras won't be observing them and who are happy to inflict them on someone else.
Tony Connelly is really, really good on Brexit and how messy it is

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2018/0518/964505-tony-connelly-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on May 21, 2018, 09:52:20 AM
In these studies it's always worth looking at the questions that were asked.  The one on an UI was:

"When the UK leaves the EU, if there was a referendum in Northern Ireland asking people whether they want Northern Ireland to remain in the United Kingdom or to re-unify with the rest of Ireland, how would you vote in that referendum?"

The headline figure is 21% would vote for a UI is making the news but if it were  - "Unionist concern as only 50.3% of people will vote to stay in the UK" it puts a different slant on it.  As the report itself says "It is possible to interpret our data from the two investigations in different ways..."

Interesting is the 26% "Don't Know" and the 11% of Catholics who said they wouldn't vote.  These people would be needed to "win" a border poll.  I suppose if you're a "Don't Know" you are persuadable.  As I always say supporters of a UI need to convince a lot of small "n" nationalists before they think about persuading unionists.

BTW I just heard Jim Wells on the radio rubbishing other parts of this report as being carried out by remoaner academics with a vested interest in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on May 21, 2018, 12:26:29 PM
Interesting that the English were over again inspecting the border. Did they follow protocol? One mistake is forgivable. Twice is an insult.

Also interesting is that the English bypass the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 21, 2018, 12:38:04 PM
Quote from: Orior on May 21, 2018, 12:26:29 PM
Interesting that the English were over again inspecting the border. Did they follow protocol? One mistake is forgivable. Twice is an insult.

Also interesting is that the English bypass the DUP.
Brexit is senior hurling. The DUP don't know how to play power at the highest level.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on May 21, 2018, 12:56:20 PM
Interesting:

http://ukandeu.ac.uk/people-in-northern-ireland-want-the-uk-to-stay-in-the-customs-union-and-single-market-new-research-on-public-attitudes-reveals/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 21, 2018, 03:40:23 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/may/21/support-for-brexit-falls-sharply-in-northern-ireland

"What may surprise people is the extent to which Catholics oppose all borders within these islands," said John Garry, a professor at Queen's."

I think people are beginning to see the cost of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 21, 2018, 03:44:45 PM
Quote from: heganboy on May 21, 2018, 12:56:20 PM
Interesting:

http://ukandeu.ac.uk/people-in-northern-ireland-want-the-uk-to-stay-in-the-customs-union-and-single-market-new-research-on-public-attitudes-reveals/
From the link, the full report

http://ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Northern-Ireland-and-the-UK%E2%80%99s-Exit-from-the-EU.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 22, 2018, 03:59:19 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/may/22/eu-trade-talks-australia-new-zealand-brexit-commonwealth
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on May 23, 2018, 09:54:48 AM
The most depressing thing that I seen on television in many years was yesterday's clip from the Northern Ireland Affairs Committee grilling the minister of state for immigration.

Among the big hitters were Kate Hoey, Gregory Campbell and Ian Paisley, giving the minister grief about british and irish passports and then about custom signs on the border.

https://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/northern-ireland-affairs-committee/news-parliament-2017/passports-minister-evidence-17-19/ (https://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/northern-ireland-affairs-committee/news-parliament-2017/passports-minister-evidence-17-19/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 01, 2018, 11:40:18 AM
Reality being to assert itself with the Liechtenstein model?
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/jun/01/brexit-northern-ireland-could-be-given-joint-eu-and-uk-status

As a sop to the unionists, NI might adopt the  Liechtenstein anthem.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on June 01, 2018, 02:05:16 PM
Things slowly starting to happen now for the installation of the border
- all vacant police stations have been taken of the property market
- Border control staff are being recruited
- police are setting in motion up-scaling what they currently have
- Airports have been recruiting extra security staff

10 months to go what else have people noticed?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 01, 2018, 06:44:14 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on June 01, 2018, 02:05:16 PM
Things slowly starting to happen now for the installation of the border
- all vacant police stations have been taken of the property market
- Border control staff are being recruited
- police are setting in motion up-scaling what they currently have
- Airports have been recruiting extra security staff

10 months to go what else have people noticed?

But is it an airport /sea border or a land border? Which vacant police stations are these, I did hear of Warrenpoint but that likely for a sea border?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on June 01, 2018, 06:54:14 PM
Castlederg and Aughnacloy in there too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 01, 2018, 07:34:11 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on June 01, 2018, 06:54:14 PM
Castlederg and Aughnacloy in there too.

How the hell is that going to work? The 5 mile each side of the border thing?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 01, 2018, 08:21:49 PM
Will have to be 8am on our side!
Tony Connolly on the News this evening saying Brussels is baffled by the tyoe of suggestions coming from London.
Presumably the Reesmogs and Buffoonjohnson and their followers are still squeezing Mayhem so all sorts of daft things are being thrown out there?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 07, 2018, 06:21:33 AM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2018/06/06/weep-brexit-british-dash-independence-has-failed/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on June 07, 2018, 07:00:53 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 07, 2018, 06:21:33 AM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2018/06/06/weep-brexit-british-dash-independence-has-failed/


The writing has been on the wall for several months. Should have been an indicator that it was going to go tits up when Westminister hadn't even considered the sticky issue of the Irish border until forced to do so by Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 07, 2018, 09:22:35 AM
Brits discover that  a  parallel Universe doesn't exist ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on June 07, 2018, 12:15:33 PM
What are the odds of a no Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 07, 2018, 12:50:34 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 07, 2018, 12:15:33 PM
What are the odds of a no Brexit?

Just after a shock General Election?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on June 07, 2018, 02:25:04 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 07, 2018, 12:15:33 PM
What are the odds of a no Brexit?
That's LaLa land I think.

Seems to me that anyone who even whispers about another referendum is quickly shot down by "The people have decided" and backs down.

Also seems to me that a lot of the general public accept the Tory rhetoric that it's Germany and France's fault they won't give the UK a good deal. And too many of the business leaders who know Brexit is bad for UK business and keeping the head down.

Maybe views will change after today, but I would bet against it.

Has anyone seen any recent opinion polls on it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 07, 2018, 03:13:24 PM
Quote from: Hound on June 07, 2018, 02:25:04 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on June 07, 2018, 12:15:33 PM
What are the odds of a no Brexit?
That's LaLa land I think.

Seems to me that anyone who even whispers about another referendum is quickly shot down by "The people have decided" and backs down.

Also seems to me that a lot of the general public accept the Tory rhetoric that it's Germany and France's fault they won't give the UK a good deal. And too many of the business leaders who know Brexit is bad for UK business and keeping the head down.

Maybe views will change after today, but I would bet against it.

Has anyone seen any recent opinion polls on it?

The business leaders are concentrating on making sure that it is a Norway type Brexit, which largely keeps trade flowing. Then you can honestly say that Britain is not the EU and I doubt if the loonies could get enough political headwind to move things away from the Norway type situation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 07, 2018, 05:20:30 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2018/0607/968781-brexit-theresa-may/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 08, 2018, 12:34:43 PM
James O'Brien sums the situation up pretty well:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gH8IYJ_d6Yc (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gH8IYJ_d6Yc)

He's an arrogant sod, no doubt, but part of my daily entertainment now is listening to him exposing the stupidity of Little Englander Brexiteers and more often than not laying bare the fact that mostly they just want to keep foreigners out.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXOu3U_CbpU (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXOu3U_CbpU)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwK1MCTltSA (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwK1MCTltSA)

And I enjoyed his pigsticking of Farrage:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pyYoL9ngtE (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pyYoL9ngtE)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 08, 2018, 01:47:34 PM
Quote from: Hardy on June 08, 2018, 12:34:43 PM
James O'Brien sums the situation up pretty well:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gH8IYJ_d6Yc (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gH8IYJ_d6Yc)

He's an arrogant sod, no doubt, but part of my daily entertainment now is listening to him exposing the stupidity of Little Englander Brexiteers and more often than not laying bare the fact that mostly they just want to keep foreigners out.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXOu3U_CbpU (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXOu3U_CbpU)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwK1MCTltSA (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwK1MCTltSA)

And I enjoyed his pigsticking of Farrage:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pyYoL9ngtE (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pyYoL9ngtE)

I quite enjoy the arrogance he shows to these twats who ring up the show but are completely totally misinformed. He puts them on the spot time and time again and they have no real answer for him.

He completely eviscerated Johnson this morning and with mention of a "Love child running around west London" I'm sure he has peaked the Foreign Secretary's interest!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on June 08, 2018, 02:23:37 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44407771

Duffy's circus must be missing a clown😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on June 08, 2018, 03:24:42 PM
Barnier today said the backstop would apply just to the wee six and that Britain would not be included.

Difficult to find transparency but there does seem to be an agenda of a de facto economically unified island outside of a hard exited UK being pushed by the EU, without a push back from downing street.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 09, 2018, 11:38:26 PM
Interesting analysis of the BBC poll here
https://bangordub.wordpress.com/2018/06/09/on-a-knife-edge-brexit-lucid-talk-and-the-border-poll

among other things, it notes that interest in the UK is actually less among ethnic minorities than among Catholics, all the Poles etc now favour a United Ireland. Consequently, the vote might depend on who is allowed vote, e.g. everyone resident in NI, everyone born in NI etc.

Interesting times ahead.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 20, 2018, 11:32:04 AM
Unionists hang on to the fact that not all nationalists say yes in polls. However for many like myself a simple yes or no does not cover it, I want to know what yes means for me. In those circumstances if I were unionist I would be worried.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 20, 2018, 01:04:43 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 20, 2018, 11:32:04 AM
Unionists hang on to the fact that not all nationalists say yes in polls. However for many like myself a simple yes or no does not cover it, I want to know what yes means for me. In those circumstances if I were unionist I would be worried.

In recent polls the number of Protestants in favour of UI exceeds the number of Catholics in favour of the UK. Now many of those people are Alliance voters in both cases, but with demographics going the way they are it should cause some concern .

Another poll (https://lordashcroftpolls.com/) yesterday
(https://sluggerotoole.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/ni.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 20, 2018, 01:05:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 20, 2018, 11:32:04 AM
Unionists hang on to the fact that not all nationalists say yes in polls. However for many like myself a simple yes or no does not cover it, I want to know what yes means for me. In those circumstances if I were unionist I would be worried.

Unionism is worried and apart from circling the wagons they don't know what to do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 20, 2018, 01:10:37 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2018, 01:05:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 20, 2018, 11:32:04 AM
Unionists hang on to the fact that not all nationalists say yes in polls. However for many like myself a simple yes or no does not cover it, I want to know what yes means for me. In those circumstances if I were unionist I would be worried.

Unionism is worried and apart from circling the wagons they don't know what to do.

Is there anything to be said for another band parade?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 20, 2018, 01:17:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 20, 2018, 01:10:37 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2018, 01:05:14 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 20, 2018, 11:32:04 AM
Unionists hang on to the fact that not all nationalists say yes in polls. However for many like myself a simple yes or no does not cover it, I want to know what yes means for me. In those circumstances if I were unionist I would be worried.

Unionism is worried and apart from circling the wagons they don't know what to do.

Is there anything to be said for another band parade?

Just 1?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on July 01, 2018, 08:19:07 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-44669483

One can only live in hope that the politicians will listen to the concerns of the business community
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 01, 2018, 10:55:37 AM
Hard to expect the "UK Government " to understand when DUPUDA are full steam  ahead Brexiteers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 01, 2018, 11:00:47 AM
The CBI and TUC in Britain issued a joint statement, not much sign of the government listening to them. What hope has NI?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2018, 01:05:59 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on July 01, 2018, 08:19:07 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-44669483

One can only live in hope that the politicians will listen to the concerns of the business community
The Brexit crowd keep on harping back to the vote of the people. The referendum had no detail. Did people vote to pauperise themselves? The Brexit crowd will insist they did
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on July 01, 2018, 02:11:41 PM
There's this idea that lots of people who voted for Brexit are stupid. They're not stupid - they're just people who want to put an end to immigration from Europe because they don't like Pakistanis.
- Frankie Boyle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 01, 2018, 08:04:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 01, 2018, 11:00:47 AM
The CBI and TUC in Britain issued a joint statement, not much sign of the government listening to them. What hope has NI?
It's crazy. Anyone who tries to highlight some of the obvious problems is tarred with the Project Fear label
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2018, 09:55:37 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on June 20, 2018, 01:04:43 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 20, 2018, 11:32:04 AM
Unionists hang on to the fact that not all nationalists say yes in polls. However for many like myself a simple yes or no does not cover it, I want to know what yes means for me. In those circumstances if I were unionist I would be worried.

In recent polls the number of Protestants in favour of UI exceeds the number of Catholics in favour of the UK. Now many of those people are Alliance voters in both cases, but with demographics going the way they are it should cause some concern .

Another poll (https://lordashcroftpolls.com/) yesterday
(https://sluggerotoole.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/ni.jpg)
NÍ is so polarised. After 400 years. It never changed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2018, 07:19:24 AM
https://www.economist.com/britain/2018/06/21/the-economy-has-slowed-to-a-standstill-largely-because-of-brexit

As The Economist went to press, the monetary-policy committee (MPC) of the Bank of England was expected to leave its benchmark interest rate on hold at 0.5%. The economy is deemed too weak to cope with higher borrowing costs.

Growth in household spending, which accounts for some 60% of GDP, has slowed.

Britain's exports have dropped for the past two quarters.

The MPC's decision in November to reverse its post-referendum rate cut, which was motivated by a desire to bring inflation back down to its 2% target, has not helped matters. The prospect of rising borrowing costs may have made the public more cautious. More than half of Britons believe that a further tightening of monetary policy is on the way, the biggest share since 2011. Some households seem inclined to pay down debt or save, rather than spend. Business investment has stagnated, which may also reflect the fact that the moment when Britain is actually due to leave the EU is fast approaching.

After a strong performance in 2017, manufacturing output appears to be falling. Retail sales have picked up—but they are poorly correlated with overall consumer spending. All told, it does not seem pessimistic to expect quarterly GDP growth of a meagre 0.1-0.2% in the second quarter of 2018
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 05, 2018, 10:55:31 AM
Is it today Mayhem and her Cabinet are meeting to "finalise their policy/position" ??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: guy crouchback on July 05, 2018, 11:12:37 AM
i think it is tomorrow, leaked reports of the ''third way'' show it to be just the first and second ways mangled together, completly unworkable and already rejected by the EU.

whats going on at the moment in the uk is one of two things.
1. one of the greatest bits of political maneuvering ever seen where the PM is playing a kind of 3 dimensional chess game so complex and intricate that it is almost beyond the understanding of most mortals. it involves keeping every side wrong footed by giving the appearance of total chaos while all the time steering every party ( eu, the opposition, various factions in the Tories, the media etc)into a position where she can then unleash her grand plan at the last minute and secure a deal that will not lead to the near collapse of her countries society. 

2. may and her cabinet are the worst and most useless collection of politicians the UK has ever had and she is on course for a hard Brexit next march for which she has left her country completely un-prepared, the result of which could be utterly catastrophic for almost the whole of British society, this she would have done in a pathetic attempt to hold onto power for as long as possible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 05, 2018, 11:23:47 AM
Quote from: guy crouchback on July 05, 2018, 11:12:37 AM
i think it is tomorrow, leaked reports of the ''third way'' show it to be just the first and second ways mangled together, completly unworkable and already rejected by the EU.

whats going on at the moment in the uk is one of two things.
1. one of the greatest bits of political maneuvering ever seen where the PM is playing a kind of 3 dimensional chess game so complex and intricate that it is almost beyond the understanding of most mortals. it involves keeping every side wrong footed by giving the appearance of total chaos while all the time steering every party ( eu, the opposition, various factions in the Tories, the media etc)into a position where she can then unleash her grand plan at the last minute and secure a deal that will not lead to the near collapse of her countries society. 

2. may and her cabinet are the worst and most useless collection of politicians the UK has ever had and she is on course for a hard Brexit next march for which she has left her country completely un-prepared, the result of which could be utterly catastrophic for almost the whole of British society, this she would have done in a pathetic attempt to hold onto power for as long as possible.

Unless there's some Machiavellian brains behind May that we're not aware of it's hard to see option 1 being a possibility.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2018, 11:29:38 AM
There is more and more talk of the Tory party splitting
The Tory graph is fascinating
https://youtu.be/zuuObGsB0No
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 05, 2018, 11:52:01 AM
If May resigned now, who could blame her?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 05, 2018, 12:15:39 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on July 05, 2018, 11:52:01 AM
If May resigned now, who could blame her?
The Telegraph, the Daily Mail, the Times, the Sun

It's interesting reading stuff written 2 years ago

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-3659091/The-day-quiet-people-stood-roared-RICHARD-LITTLEJOHN-praises-spoken-EU-referendum-devastating-effect.html

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-3659075/Humbled-arrogance-highly-able-leader-rescued-economy-Cameron-ultimately-ruined-lack-conviction-poor-judgement-weakness-Etonian-cronies.html

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3658316/Pinch-dreaming-s-day-Britain-stood-proud-tall-reclaimed-birthright.html

When May became leader the spin was impossibly optimistic. In reality she is a prisoner of the Tory headbangers.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 05, 2018, 01:01:40 PM
It is all heading to May shafting the DUP at the latest possible stage. She will agree to special status for N.Ireland to stay in the CU whilst the rest of the UK leaves. The DUP will go mental but ultimately will not bring down the government as a JC led Labour party is their worst nightmare. Effectively a border in the Irish Sea.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on July 05, 2018, 01:16:34 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 05, 2018, 01:01:40 PM
It is all heading to May shafting the DUP at the latest possible stage. She will agree to special status for N.Ireland to stay in the CU whilst the rest of the UK leaves. The DUP will go mental but ultimately will not bring down the government as a JC led Labour party is their worst nightmare. Effectively a border in the Irish Sea.
Very wishful thinking.

That was very acheiveable but the Irish overplayed their hand by celebrating the above as a victory before it was set in stone. FG in particular, and Coveney in particular.

Too many Tories have now said the above is out of the question.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 05, 2018, 07:36:53 PM
It's still the best option. Politicians being politicians will slap a bit of gloss on it and throw it back out there at some point.

I think there's a reckoning coming for the DUP myself, they're going to be told at some point to back something really unpalatable  - Back us or bring us down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 06, 2018, 06:43:38 AM
When is the next EU summit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 06, 2018, 09:14:03 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 05, 2018, 07:36:53 PM
It's still the best option. Politicians being politicians will slap a bit of gloss on it and throw it back out there at some point.

I think there's a reckoning coming for the DUP myself, they're going to be told at some point to back something really unpalatable  - Back us or bring us down.

More likely they bring themselves down, and when the dust settles the DUP find themselves back to having zero influence and completely up shit creek
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 06, 2018, 10:54:08 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 06, 2018, 06:43:38 AM
When is the next EU summit?

Was it not a week ago?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 06, 2018, 11:19:00 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/jul/06/government-has-no-clue-how-to-execute-brexit-without-harm-airbus-chief

The Airbus chief executive, Tom Enders, doubled down on the aerospace giant's warning that it could pull out of the UK in the event of a hard Brexit, accusing the government of having "no clue" on how to leave the EU.

Speaking at the company's briefing in London before the Farnborough air show, Enders said: "The sun is shining brightly on the UK, the English team is progressing towards the final, the RAF is preparing to celebrate its centenary and HMG still has no clue, no consensus on how to execute Brexit without severe harm."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: guy crouchback on July 06, 2018, 12:26:52 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 06, 2018, 06:43:38 AM
When is the next EU summit?

the next summit is not until the autumn (october). at this summit the final deal will have to be ready to be singed off on by the leaders of the 27 before each leader goes back to have it ratified by their own parliaments, in some cases this may also include regional parliaments.

in the event that there was no final deal by this October summit but one was close its possible negotiations could be pushed out by a couple of weeks but realistically mid to end November would be the absolute deadline to give time to get it ratified by all 27 parliaments.
28 of course if you count the uk it would still have to be ratified by them.

article 50 is a ticking clock that cannot be stopped. if there is no agreement the uk crash out, full hard brexit. the transition period ( at present up to end dec 2020) will only apply if the uk sign the withdrawal agreement ( Irish backstop, divorce bill, eu citizens rights).
the Brits know full well that a crashout hard brexit is not an option, so even if they want to kick the can down the road a bit with the transition they will have to commit to the withdrawal agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 09, 2018, 12:08:23 AM
Quote from: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.

This would be great entertainment if it wasn't so serious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on July 09, 2018, 12:36:26 AM
Quote from: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.

His deputy Steve Baker gone too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 09, 2018, 12:42:24 AM
Shit's getting real!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on July 09, 2018, 02:02:47 AM
Boris Johnson giving a press statement in the morning. Is he about to walk too?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on July 09, 2018, 07:55:53 AM
Quote from: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.
If/when May is replaced, it will be by a more hardline Brexiteer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on July 09, 2018, 08:04:21 AM
They really are a bunch of cowards. They were given the chance to thrash it out and resign during that meeting face to face with the Prime Minister but they didn't have the balls to do it so they signed and agreement and quickly scurried back to their own corners and resigned with all their supporters behind them via their favourite journalist no doubt selling their exclusive. The British MPs do not have the intelligence, credibility or Strength of character to see this through. Good job for them that everyone is distracted by the football.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stan Laurel on July 09, 2018, 08:04:27 AM
Quote from: Hound on July 09, 2018, 07:55:53 AM
Quote from: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.
If/when May is replaced, it will be by a more hardline Brexiteer

All fcuked if this cnut gets the leadership, especially NI!

(https://cdn.images.express.co.uk/img/dynamic/1/590x/brexit-news-jacob-rees-mogg-uk-eu-withdrawal-theresa-may-chequers-983385.jpg?r=1530684398948)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 08:43:29 AM
The Brexit headcases have no answers. It''s all bullshit from them. No idea what to do on borders or trade. Zero detail. They are great snipers but poor leaders.

Oscar Wilde : "There are only two tragedies in life: one is not gettingwhat one wants, and the other is getting it."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stan Laurel on July 09, 2018, 08:45:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 08:43:29 AM
The Brexit headcases have no answers. It''s all bullshit from them. No idea what to do on borders or trade. Zero detail. They are great snipers but poor leaders.

Oscar Wilde : "There are only two tragedies in life: one is not gettingwhat one wants, and the other is getting it."

You must relate to them very well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 08:46:13 AM
Quote from: Hound on July 09, 2018, 07:55:53 AM
Quote from: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.
If/when May is replaced, it will be by a more hardline Brexiteer
I don't think so. The Tories need someone who can negotiate a deal. The future of the Tory party is at risk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on July 09, 2018, 08:47:03 AM
Quote from: Stan Laurel on July 09, 2018, 08:04:27 AM
Quote from: Hound on July 09, 2018, 07:55:53 AM
Quote from: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.
If/when May is replaced, it will be by a more hardline Brexiteer

All fcuked if this cnut gets the leadership, especially NI!

(https://cdn.images.express.co.uk/img/dynamic/1/590x/brexit-news-jacob-rees-mogg-uk-eu-withdrawal-theresa-may-chequers-983385.jpg?r=1530684398948)

Apparently he would resign too easily, May has had a pop at him that he would.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 09, 2018, 10:56:50 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on July 09, 2018, 02:02:47 AM
Boris Johnson giving a press statement in the morning. Is he about to walk too?

Rats leaving a sinking ship.

This Ollie lad seems to be the one their aiming their ire at.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 09, 2018, 11:05:53 AM
Michael Gove / His wife and rupert murdoch for next pm.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 09, 2018, 11:49:54 AM
Bring in Katie Hopkins ad she'll sort it all out.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=es7jQII4xsU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 12:04:00 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 09, 2018, 11:05:53 AM
Michael Gove / His wife and rupert murdoch for next pm.
Gove is siding with May
Classic British treachery when the wind shifts
Reminds me of Irish history as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on July 09, 2018, 12:51:01 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/daily_politics/status/1016276325521166336?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1016276325521166336&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.co.uk%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-44762836

I work in Social Care Sector and every week more and more EU citizens are returning home.
The shit will literally hit the fan very soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on July 09, 2018, 01:09:37 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.

Small f*ckin loss. As Brexit secretary, he admitted last year to parliament he had no idea what a 'No deal' Brexit would entail for Britain. Utterly incompetent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 09, 2018, 01:34:52 PM
Quote from: mouview on July 09, 2018, 01:09:37 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 08, 2018, 11:58:25 PM
News flash that David Davis the Brexit secretary has resigned. Watch the shit hit the fan tomorrow. This will finish May.

Small f*ckin loss. As Brexit secretary, he admitted last year to parliament he had no idea what a 'No deal' Brexit would entail for Britain. Utterly incompetent.

I'm guessing that his resignation is the first of a few that are all planned by the Brexiteers side. I'll be surprised if there are not a few more this week.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 01:40:09 PM
According to Theresa May in the Torygraph, there will be no hard border between NI and Shangri-la ( Dundalk).

They decided to shaft the Brexit heads rather than the Unionists.
They had no choice about anything, in all probability.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 01:44:51 PM
"Britain is prepared to walk away from Brexit negotiations unless the EU starts making concessions, Michael Gove said"

https://youtu.be/Z_JOGmXpe5I
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 09, 2018, 02:05:41 PM
Have I got it wrong or are EU still waiting for information from Britain so that they can formulate a responce?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 09, 2018, 02:08:37 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on July 09, 2018, 02:05:41 PM
Have I got it wrong or are EU still waiting for information from Britain so that they can formulate a responce?

No you've got that pretty much spot on!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 09, 2018, 02:44:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 01:44:51 PM
"Britain is prepared to walk away from Brexit negotiations unless the EU starts making concessions, Michael Gove said"

https://youtu.be/Z_JOGmXpe5I

EU can not and will not make concessions. They will not want to give any encouragement to any other members thinking of leaving. Brits are playing a very dangerous game of chicken.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 09, 2018, 02:55:00 PM
Johnson the weasel still hasn't shown his face for any of his appointments today!!! If you're going Boris... then f**k away off!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 09, 2018, 03:04:06 PM
Boris gone now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on July 09, 2018, 03:06:15 PM
Boom Boom Boris goes bang! Pr!ck!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 09, 2018, 03:07:39 PM
Do you think he saw my post?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on July 09, 2018, 03:08:24 PM
God forbid he'd have to shoulder this mess on his own. When he didn't see himself as PM material it showed him for the coward he is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 09, 2018, 03:09:59 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on July 09, 2018, 03:08:24 PM
God forbid he'd have to shoulder this mess on his own. When he didn't see himself as PM material it showed him for the coward he is.

Are we set for a Tory implosion?
Wonder what the chances are of a general election coming out of all this.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 09, 2018, 03:10:42 PM
Who is next? Rees Mogg?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on July 09, 2018, 03:13:05 PM
They've only quit their posts as ministers not quit the Tories, Mogg may not be a minister.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on July 09, 2018, 03:13:24 PM
Is Brexit as we know it finished???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 09, 2018, 03:13:30 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 09, 2018, 03:10:42 PM
Who is next? Rees Mogg?

Surely the spivs will align under one master spiv and kick off a leadership battle.

In the meantime big business are making contingency plans to get out of Dodge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 09, 2018, 03:15:52 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on July 09, 2018, 03:13:24 PM
Is Brexit as we know it finished???

Yes. I can't see any sort of hard Brexit to be honest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 09, 2018, 03:16:22 PM
leadership challenge must be afoot.

The 1922 committee session with May will be interesting.

Vote of no confidence also a likely occurrence, could very well be a general election before year's end
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on July 09, 2018, 03:18:24 PM
Bojo gone!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 09, 2018, 03:20:03 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 09, 2018, 03:10:42 PM
Who is next? Rees Mogg?

He's not a cabinet minister. Boris is Foreign Secretary and has resigned that role. The cabinet requires collective responsibility. They all must support the government or else resign their cabinet posts.
While Davies and Boris are high profile ministers the reality is they will be replaced and the government will move along. The Brexit Tories only hope is to remove May. Whether they have the numbers for a leadership challenge remains to be seen. Furthermore have they really got the time? What Boris and Davies have done is walked away, so they can hold their hands up and say the resulting 'soft Brexit' is nothing to do with us. They know the 'hard Brexit' isn't deliverable, so they are saving their careers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on July 09, 2018, 03:38:25 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 09, 2018, 03:20:03 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 09, 2018, 03:10:42 PM
Who is next? Rees Mogg?

He's not a cabinet minister. Boris is Foreign Secretary and has resigned that role. The cabinet requires collective responsibility. They all must support the government or else resign their cabinet posts.
While Davies and Boris are high profile ministers the reality is they will be replaced and the government will move along. The Brexit Tories only hope is to remove May. Whether they have the numbers for a leadership challenge remains to be seen. Furthermore have they really got the time? What Boris and Davies have done is walked away, so they can hold their hands up and say the resulting 'soft Brexit' is nothing to do with us. They know the 'hard Brexit' isn't deliverable, so they are saving their careers.
They have neither the guts, the numbers, nor the time.

They're blowhard chicken shits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on July 09, 2018, 03:44:39 PM
BREAKING More Conservative Cabinet ministers will resign unless Theresa May drops her Chequers plan, senior Eurosceptic sources have told The Telegraph.
One source said: "This is defenestration by Cabinet. If you push on with Chequers you are going to lose you leadership."

https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1016330231936966656?s=19
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 03:48:20 PM
Johnson is a spoofer and an opportunist. He changed sides in 2016 when he felt the vote was going to be lost. he never planned anything to deliver a coherent Brexit. The Brexit project has run out of road. What a waste of 2 years.

Today the Daily Telegraph (which is Der Stuermer of Brexit) says "the Brexiteers need to consider whether Mrs May's approach will at least deliver Brexit, albeit a pale imitation of what was once possible".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 09, 2018, 04:08:33 PM
Comedic and all as this is it's depressing as well and a General Election solves nothing unfortunately, it'll return something similar to what already is in place. Brexit, however badly mishandled, will happen and this makes a hard Brexit more likely imo.

The UK is so entrenched in their positions a reversal of the Brexit decision is extremely unlikely but the atmosphere will remain poisonous for years to come.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 04:11:59 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 09, 2018, 04:08:33 PM
Comedic and all as this is it's depressing as well and a General Election solves nothing unfortunately, it'll return something similar to what already is in place. Brexit, however badly mishandled, will happen and this makes a hard Brexit more likely imo.

The UK is so entrenched in their positions a reversal of the Brexit decision is extremely unlikely but the atmosphere will remain poisonous for years to come.
The Eurosceptics have their Aughrim. They can't get what they want.
General elections and leadership challenges won't purge the poison either. This is a system issue. It is not something that can be fudged.
The Eurosceptic creed should be put down. At the end of the day it has nothing to offer the people of the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on July 09, 2018, 04:26:04 PM
I fear a more strict Brexit with a military backed border. Move over Crossmaglen Rangers. Your country needs you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on July 09, 2018, 04:26:31 PM
I think May has gone shit or bust and bet that Chequers would flush out the chicken shits who would fly the coop to save their miserable careers. Reality is dawning and will strike enough waverers to give her the numbers and deliver Brexitino - i.e. whatever the EU decides to give them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 04:43:06 PM
Donald Tusk(@eucopresident)

Politicians come and go but the problems they have created for people remain. I can only regret that the idea of #Brexit has not left with Davis and Johnson. But...who knows?

July 9, 2018
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 09, 2018, 04:48:34 PM
#Brexitexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on July 09, 2018, 04:56:22 PM
Raab C Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Over the Bar on July 09, 2018, 04:59:19 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 09, 2018, 03:10:42 PM
Who is next? Rees Mogg?

He doesn't hold any position unless you can resign from being a cunnnt?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 09, 2018, 05:02:01 PM
It's very precarious at the minute. . . what if they get a no confidence vote in May and they press ahead with Gove or Johnson or some other dumbass Brexiter who takes us out of the whole shebang??

Likewise they could take her out, lose the parliamentary majority and have another election but if Labour get in they have exactly the same problems as May has.

The whole thing is a shit show. Will anyone have the balls to say "we messed up, we need another referendum to sort this shit out properly"??

A lot of permutations it will be interesting to see how it unfolds although sterling tanking is not doing me any favours!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the bastards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jayop on July 09, 2018, 05:17:23 PM
Unadulterated shit show from start to end. My best guess now is a push to remove May which will destabilize the gov and force yet another general election during the final few months of Brexit negotiations. One thing is for sure there's no way this will all be wrapped up in 7 months when they've had a few years and still absolutely no idea what type of brexit they even want. Fools.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 09, 2018, 05:24:20 PM
Labour would win an election.
Johnson is now saying he prefers no deal.
#Jaysus
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 09, 2018, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the b**tards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)

I'm pretty sure this is libellous.  :-X
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 09, 2018, 05:46:39 PM
its actually hilarious, but without context it is unlikely to be libel

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 09, 2018, 06:38:28 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on July 09, 2018, 12:51:01 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/daily_politics/status/1016276325521166336?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1016276325521166336&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.co.uk%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-44762836

I work in Social Care Sector and every week more and more EU citizens are returning home.
The shit will literally hit the fan very soon.
A Belfast based IT Company ( Nueda?) opening a branch in Athlone with 200 jobs so they can operate in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 09, 2018, 08:16:36 PM
Jacob Rees Mogg, brexiteer in chief, has set up his company in Ireland so it can continue to operate in the EU, hypocrite of the highest order!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on July 09, 2018, 08:18:05 PM
Another resignation, albeit quite low

https://twitter.com/CGreenUK/status/1016388724974915584

Chris Green
‏Verified account @CGreenUK
I have handed in my resignation to the Prime Minister as PPS. Brexit must mean Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 09, 2018, 09:28:52 PM
In the nightmare scenario thst they win the World Cup I expect either a snap general election or a swift leadership challenge, followed by a snap general election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: under the bar on July 10, 2018, 12:44:28 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 09, 2018, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the b**tards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)

I'm pretty sure this is libellous.  :-X

How can it be libellous without naming anyone? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 10, 2018, 06:56:19 AM
Quote from: under the bar on July 10, 2018, 12:44:28 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 09, 2018, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the b**tards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)

I'm pretty sure this is libellous.  :-X

How can it be libellous without naming anyone?

I don't think using their initials quite meets the anonymity test. If we know who is meant then so does everyone else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on July 10, 2018, 09:43:39 AM
The Tories couldn't deliver pizza😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on July 10, 2018, 10:10:26 AM
As said before the shit is starting to get real now.  All this ole soft talk by the British government is fooling alot of the younger generation into thinking everything is going to remain as it is. The British government are the experts at PR spin, and will talk down the whole checkpoint/border control even while it will be happening on the ground but once the check points go up is the only time that people will realise what is happening and then its too late.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Windmill abu on July 10, 2018, 10:41:31 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 10, 2018, 06:56:19 AM
Quote from: under the bar on July 10, 2018, 12:44:28 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 09, 2018, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the b**tards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)

I'm pretty sure this is libellous.  :-X

How can it be libellous without naming anyone?

I don't think using their initials quite meets the anonymity test. If we know who is meant then so does everyone else.

So who is slapping it up Emerson Lake and Palmer?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 10, 2018, 10:43:01 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 09, 2018, 08:16:36 PM
Jacob Rees Mogg, brexiteer in chief, has set up his company in Ireland so it can continue to operate in the EU, hypocrite of the highest order!

This one;

"https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/jacob-rees-mogg-says-jeremy-corbyns-claim-about-his-business-interests-are-false-news_uk_5b337b0be4b0cb56051dd4f6"

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on July 10, 2018, 11:00:24 AM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 10, 2018, 10:41:31 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 10, 2018, 06:56:19 AM
Quote from: under the bar on July 10, 2018, 12:44:28 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 09, 2018, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the b**tards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)

I'm pretty sure this is libellous.  :-X

How can it be libellous without naming anyone?

I don't think using their initials quite meets the anonymity test. If we know who is meant then so does everyone else.

So who is slapping it up Emerson Lake and Palmer?

So there's an injunction regarding this matter?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 11, 2018, 08:06:03 PM
Barges.
Barges?
Seriously Barges????

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/11/whitehalls-potty-plan-to-keep-ni-lights-on-if-no-brexit-deal



A flotilla of barges would be sent to the coast of Northern Ireland with energy generators after Brexit to keep the region's lights on in the event of no deal, according to reports on Wednesday.

The scheme, which has been described as "potty" by business leaders in Northern Ireland, is said to be part of contingency planning by Whitehall mandarins in case the UK crashes out of the EU, smashing Ireland's all-island electricity supply in its wake.

The issue has arisen because Northern Ireland relies on imports from Ireland for electricity supply as part of a ground-breaking single energy market deal struck in the wake of the Good Friday Agreement.


.

According to a leak to the Financial Times, the plan would involve bringing back equipment from military zones such as Afghanistan to build up capacity in the Irish Sea.

Thousands of electricity generators would have to be requisitioned at short notice.



Conor Patterson, chief executive of the Newry and Mourne Enterprise Agency, said: "It seems a potty idea to me. That they have even contemplated this, even if it is blue-sky thinking, is difficult to comprehend. How would this work? Would we be on a three-day week? Would we have electricity rationed?

"Would the barges be run on gas, on coal, nuclear fuel, how would it work? It's an apocalyptic scenario."

The Department for Exiting the European Union said: "We have made good progress on this and a number of other issues during recent negotiations and remain confident that we can reach a deep and broad free trade agreement with the EU. However, as a responsible government, we will continue to prepare for all scenarios, including the highly unlikely outcome that we leave the EU without any deal next March."

No-deal contingency planning is being stepped up right across Europe, with Whitehall and civil servants in Ireland, France, Belgium and Holland in particular making plans for the worst possible scenario on 29 March next year.

Her Majesty's Revenue & Customs said on Wednesday that it would cost businesses an extra £17bn to £20bn a year in administration if they were obliged to fill out customs declarations forms after Brexit.

HMRC's chief executive, Jon Thompson, told the public accounts select committee that there were around 100,000 businesses with no experience at all of filling out customs declarations forms with more than 50 data fields.


Part of M20 to be used as lorry park to counter Brexit jams at Channel
Read more
He is currently in talks with ministers on how to reach those businesses but admitted they could not start a communications or awareness programme until the government's Brexit position was settled.

One MP said small firms would go bust if they had to bear those sort of costs, especially after being told the amount HMRC collects on cross-border trade is less than double that at £38.5bn a year.

"Do you really think this is a sensible taxation system?" asked Sir Geoffrey Clifton-Brown, Conservative MP for the Cotswolds, of the public accounts committee. "Won't this put lot of small businesses out of business?"

Thompson told him it was not his place to comment: "We just give ministers the advice."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 12, 2018, 01:22:09 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 11, 2018, 08:06:03 PM
Barges.
Barges?
Seriously Barges????

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/11/whitehalls-potty-plan-to-keep-ni-lights-on-if-no-brexit-deal



A flotilla of barges would be sent to the coast of Northern Ireland with energy generators after Brexit to keep the region's lights on in the event of no deal, according to reports on Wednesday.

The scheme, which has been described as "potty" by business leaders in Northern Ireland, is said to be part of contingency planning by Whitehall mandarins in case the UK crashes out of the EU, smashing Ireland's all-island electricity supply in its wake.

The issue has arisen because Northern Ireland relies on imports from Ireland for electricity supply as part of a ground-breaking single energy market deal struck in the wake of the Good Friday Agreement.


.

According to a leak to the Financial Times, the plan would involve bringing back equipment from military zones such as Afghanistan to build up capacity in the Irish Sea.

Thousands of electricity generators would have to be requisitioned at short notice.



Conor Patterson, chief executive of the Newry and Mourne Enterprise Agency, said: "It seems a potty idea to me. That they have even contemplated this, even if it is blue-sky thinking, is difficult to comprehend. How would this work? Would we be on a three-day week? Would we have electricity rationed?

"Would the barges be run on gas, on coal, nuclear fuel, how would it work? It's an apocalyptic scenario."

The Department for Exiting the European Union said: "We have made good progress on this and a number of other issues during recent negotiations and remain confident that we can reach a deep and broad free trade agreement with the EU. However, as a responsible government, we will continue to prepare for all scenarios, including the highly unlikely outcome that we leave the EU without any deal next March."

No-deal contingency planning is being stepped up right across Europe, with Whitehall and civil servants in Ireland, France, Belgium and Holland in particular making plans for the worst possible scenario on 29 March next year.

Her Majesty's Revenue & Customs said on Wednesday that it would cost businesses an extra £17bn to £20bn a year in administration if they were obliged to fill out customs declarations forms after Brexit.

HMRC's chief executive, Jon Thompson, told the public accounts select committee that there were around 100,000 businesses with no experience at all of filling out customs declarations forms with more than 50 data fields.


Part of M20 to be used as lorry park to counter Brexit jams at Channel
Read more
He is currently in talks with ministers on how to reach those businesses but admitted they could not start a communications or awareness programme until the government's Brexit position was settled.

One MP said small firms would go bust if they had to bear those sort of costs, especially after being told the amount HMRC collects on cross-border trade is less than double that at £38.5bn a year.

"Do you really think this is a sensible taxation system?" asked Sir Geoffrey Clifton-Brown, Conservative MP for the Cotswolds, of the public accounts committee. "Won't this put lot of small businesses out of business?"

Thompson told him it was not his place to comment: "We just give ministers the advice."
Brexit and Trump are about destroying whatever systems make life bearable so that the plutocrats can get an even bigger share of the pie. It's easy to brainwash people

Stephen Walt :
"No matter how well-written or delivered, a speech cannot divert whole societies from a well-established course of action. Policies in motion tend to remain in motion; to change the trajectory of a deeply-entrenched set of initiatives requires the application of political forces of equal momentum."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 13, 2018, 08:29:53 AM
I see Trump just took a massive dump all over Theresa May. If she'd any balls she'd buck him out allies don't come to each others countries and tout another person as leader.

Trump's happy thoUgh he's causing chaos wherever he goes and his press conference at NATO was one big propaganda exercise... barely a word that came out of his mouth was truth.

Likelihood is him and May will come out all smiles in a few hours having had some big beautiful conversation about how their trade is going to be the biggest and best!

Exciting times people!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 13, 2018, 08:43:27 AM
Today's Daily Telegraph

White paper could split the tory Party irrevocably - Fraser Nelson
I cannot vote for the Chequers deal when WTO terms offer a better Brexit-Owen Paterson
No deal is looking increasingly likely and that' just fine - Liam Halligan

Roger Bootle was in the paper during the week "If the Government deregulated the economy and cut taxes the overall pie would be bigger"

They want to slash wages and benefits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on July 13, 2018, 10:51:35 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 13, 2018, 08:43:27 AM
Today's Daily Telegraph

White paper could split the tory Party irrevocably - Fraser Nelson
I cannot vote for the Chequers deal when WTO terms offer a better Brexit-Owen Paterson
No deal is looking increasingly likely and that' just fine - Liam Halligan

Roger Bootle was in the paper during the week "If the Government deregulated the economy and cut taxes the overall pie would be bigger"

They want to slash wages and benefits.

I thought any deal with the WTO meant there would have to be a hard border, but there can't be a hard border due to the GFA.

Would this mean the NI would have to stay in the EU if the UK wants to do a deal with the WTO, the new deal only applying to the mainland?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 13, 2018, 11:16:42 AM
Are there sinister puppet masters pulling stribgs behind Trump and the Brexiteers?
While a lot of people think Trump is a clown spouting sh1tey lies everywhere he goes I just wonder.
He's going out if his way telling May her soft Brexit is wrong and he's extolling the Extreme Brexiteers.
He seems to want to dismantle the EU and NATO and maybe all International organisations or copying operation between Countries.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on July 13, 2018, 11:22:16 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 13, 2018, 11:16:42 AM
Are there sinister puppet masters pulling stribgs behind Trump and the Brexiteers?
While a lot of people think Trump is a clown spouting sh1tey lies everywhere he goes I just wonder.
He's going out if his way telling May her soft Brexit is wrong and he's extolling the Extreme Brexiteers.
He seems to want to dismantle the EU and NATO and maybe all International organisations or copying operation between Countries.

There may be a clue in your last sentence. Who else has exactly the same goals?

We'll see what Robert Mueller says.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 13, 2018, 11:30:28 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 13, 2018, 11:16:42 AM
Are there sinister puppet masters pulling stribgs behind Trump and the Brexiteers?
While a lot of people think Trump is a clown spouting sh1tey lies everywhere he goes I just wonder.
He's going out if his way telling May her soft Brexit is wrong and he's extolling the Extreme Brexiteers.
He seems to want to dismantle the EU and NATO and maybe all International organisations or copying operation between Countries.
There definitely are. And they are very rich
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 13, 2018, 01:51:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 13, 2018, 08:29:53 AM
I see Trump just took a massive dump all over Theresa May. If she'd any balls she'd buck him out allies don't come to each others countries and tout another person as leader.

Trump's happy thoUgh he's causing chaos wherever he goes and his press conference at NATO was one big propaganda exercise... barely a word that came out of his mouth was truth.

Likelihood is him and May will come out all smiles in a few hours having had some big beautiful conversation about how their trade is going to be the biggest and best!

Exciting times people!

If the EU reject her offer as is expected, she's going to have to take it from Trump to have any chance at a trade deal. Without an EU deal, the Brits desperately desperately need a deal with the Americans. Trump knows this, so expect them to play hard ball with her like.

I agree that the leader of a foreign nation throwing favouritism to someone ready to pounce on the top job is incredibly cheeky and unheard of.

All together now... "Strong and stable, strong and stable."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 13, 2018, 02:04:58 PM
Are we all still sure there's going to be a Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 13, 2018, 02:57:43 PM
The head of the Confederation of British Industry said it took the UK 2 years to agree a position leaving 2 months to get a deal. Suboptimal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on July 13, 2018, 02:58:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 13, 2018, 02:04:58 PM
Are we all still sure there's going to be a Brexit?
100%

Iain Duncan Smith said he didn't vote for a Soft Brexit. Out is Out, not halfway out. Or words to that effect.

No voter was given the option of Soft v Hard Brexit. No voter was actually told at the time what Brexit actually meant! But still there's nobody (that I've heard) complaining about that. Nobody talking about a new referendum. Corbyn is anti-EU, but he can't be seen to shout it so he's just keeping out of the way.

There'll be no new referendum. Brexit is inevitable now, and only a few months away.

 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 13, 2018, 03:58:22 PM
Quote from: Hound on July 13, 2018, 02:58:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 13, 2018, 02:04:58 PM
Are we all still sure there's going to be a Brexit?
100%

Iain Duncan Smith said he didn't vote for a Soft Brexit. Out is Out, not halfway out. Or words to that effect.

No voter was given the option of Soft v Hard Brexit. No voter was actually told at the time what Brexit actually meant! But still there's nobody (that I've heard) complaining about that. Nobody talking about a new referendum. Corbyn is anti-EU, but he can't be seen to shout it so he's just keeping out of the way.

There'll be no new referendum. Brexit is inevitable now, and only a few months away.



Corbyn clarified his position on the EU recently where he said he was pro EU but against free trade as it drives workers wages down.
Make of that what you will.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 15, 2018, 11:54:37 AM
Trump told may she should sue the eu.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 16, 2018, 04:00:14 PM
ERG new clause:
new clause 37, which would make it unlawful for Northern Ireland to form a separate customs territory to Great Britain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 16, 2018, 04:01:49 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 16, 2018, 04:00:14 PM
ERG new clause:
new clause 37, which would make it unlawful for Northern Ireland to form a separate customs territory to Great Britain

All moot as Brussels won't accept it anyway! We're headed for no deal . . .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 16, 2018, 08:21:47 PM
It's looking increasingly like a no deal BREXIT, and all the chaos that goes with it. 

Where does that leave us on the island of Ireland now ... no deal means a hard border, put a border there again and I envisage a massive clamour for a border poll.  The DUP and their Brexiteer cohorts are sowing the end of the Union right before our eyes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 16, 2018, 08:45:58 PM
8 and a half months or so to go. Surely there'll be some deal by then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 16, 2018, 09:11:05 PM
Best chance is if may is ousted. Far from beyond the realms of possibility. Then it would depend who got in as they could be worse. Big chance of no deal currently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 16, 2018, 09:34:01 PM
The last election was a catastrophe. May was banking on a 70+ majority to sideline the Eurosceptics. She lost her majority.
There is no deal she can push through parliament. An election wouldn't change much . The country is polarised.

https://mobile.twitter.com/JustineGreening/status/1018619775268814848

And so much for the will of the people.
The only thing that might help is more time. A few more years for things to work themselves out. No deal would be suicidal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stall the Bailer on July 16, 2018, 10:30:07 PM
No deal being talked about a lot. I think this will increase over the coming months so it is easier to sell the deal for the soft Brexit at the last minute.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 16, 2018, 10:52:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 16, 2018, 09:11:05 PM
Best chance is if may is ousted. Far from beyond the realms of possibility. Then it would depend who got in as they could be worse. Big chance of no deal currently.
If she goes she'll be replaced by a pro Brexit looney and that'll be worse. At least she supported Remain and is trying to get as soft a Brexit as possible. Corbyn's behaviour is pretty shocking in my opinion. He should be Remain through and through as this is the only way to protect workers rights and human rights. However his lukewarm approach is making it easier for the Brexiteers. Rees Mogg mind you is a particularly abhorrent piece of work. Sooner he gets his toffee nose comeuppance the better. Him and his feckin nanny
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on July 16, 2018, 11:36:38 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on July 16, 2018, 10:52:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 16, 2018, 09:11:05 PM
Best chance is if may is ousted. Far from beyond the realms of possibility. Then it would depend who got in as they could be worse. Big chance of no deal currently.
If she goes she'll be replaced by a pro Brexit looney and that'll be worse. At least she supported Remain and is trying to get as soft a Brexit as possible. Corbyn's behaviour is pretty shocking in my opinion. He should be Remain through and through as this is the only way to protect workers rights and human rights. However his lukewarm approach is making it easier for the Brexiteers. Rees Mogg mind you is a particularly abhorrent piece of work. Sooner he gets his toffee nose comeuppance the better. Him and his feckin nanny

Spot on. Labour are getting an incredibly easy ride from the critics, mostly because of the lunacy among the Tories.  Labour should be leading the charge for a reversal of the referendum and a Remain decision.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seanaglis on July 16, 2018, 11:58:36 PM
Corbyn has always been anti-eu. He's a man of principle, he won't lead any charge against a reversal of the referendum just because it may be politically advantageous to him
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 17, 2018, 04:57:47 AM
Quote from: seanaglis on July 16, 2018, 11:58:36 PM
Corbyn has always been anti-eu. He's a man of principle, he won't lead any charge against a reversal of the referendum just because it may be politically advantageous to him

Correct. The old left were always anti-EU, my Da voting against joining originally. Saw it as benefiting businesses and the wealthy and not much for the working man.... they were proved right on that front.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 17, 2018, 07:20:06 AM
I wonder are Leo & co preparing for a no deal? Given what went fown last night.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 17, 2018, 08:05:01 AM
The Electoral Commission has fined Vote Leave and referred the organisation to the Police.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44856992
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 17, 2018, 08:11:15 AM
Quote from: seanaglis on July 16, 2018, 11:58:36 PM
Corbyn has always been anti-eu. He's a man of principle, he won't lead any charge against a reversal of the referendum just because it may be politically advantageous to him
I realise that but it's a lazy approach in my opinion. He knows well that the electorate was ignorant and mis informed and voted leave for all the wrong reasons.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 08:20:26 AM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/07/16/used-seeing-tory-mps-attack-brexit-something-else/

Tory MPs hate each other. They aren't even trying to hide it any more. They've abandoned all but the most basic civility. Right there in the chamber, before the press, the public and the TV cameras, they heckle, taunt and deride each other with unbridled contempt. It must be bliss, right now, to be a Labour MP. Each day you can just stroll into the Commons, lie back on your comfy green bench, and watch the Conservative Party tear itself apart, right before your eyes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 17, 2018, 08:47:55 AM
Does the vote yesterday evening rule out the back stop that was agreed in December?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 17, 2018, 08:49:25 AM
A no deal Brexit looking more and more likely. Probably be some fudge in the end.
I would typically lean towards Labour but Corbyn is more anti-EU than Nigel Farage and Gerry Adams. Wishing for a change of Gov (unlikely) at this stage would be foolish. It's a real mess and unfortunately the most vulnerable in society will pay the price.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on July 17, 2018, 09:08:43 AM
Quote from: GJL on July 17, 2018, 08:47:55 AM
Does the vote yesterday evening rule out the back stop that was agreed in December?

All informed comment says that, yes, so-called backstop is now impossible.

It's like a Stephen King novel where some quare virus have infected the UK body politic which makes lemmings look like they are making mature informed life choices.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 09:13:43 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/16/theresa-may-ready-cave-in-hardline-brexiters-customs-demands

Theresa May has caved in to hardline Brexiters and accepted all four of their amendments to the customs bill, rather than allowing Jacob Rees-Mogg and colleagues to stage a show of parliamentary strength.

No 10 indicated that ministers would tell the House of Commons on Monday evening that the government had agreed to all four amendments put by members of the hard Brexit European Research Group (ERG).

A Downing Street source said the amendments "were consistent with the Brexit white paper" and that the government would support them when the taxation (cross border trade) bill was debated by MPs on Monday. The result is that Tory Brexiters will not be able to stage a vote of rebellion, but comes at the price of Downing Street accepting an amendment that the ERG had claimed would kill off May's "facilitated customs arrangement".


The critical amendment would ensure HMRC could not collect duties or VAT on goods on behalf of the EU unless there was a reciprocal arrangement, which the Brexiters believed would kill off the customs plan because the bloc would reject it.

Tory remain rebels reacted with fury to the concessions, and said they would vote against some of the ERG amendments, in their own show of strength. Heidi Allen said: "I will never give ERG my backing." She said she would vote against two of the amendments, which she said "fundamentally undermine the Chequers proposal and our PM".

A separate soft Brexit amendment, calling for the UK to remain in the EU customs union was withdrawn on Monday. It had not been expected to be carried because while it had the support of Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems, only a couple of Tory MPs – Anna Soubry and Ken Clarke – had put their names to it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 09:14:56 AM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 17, 2018, 09:08:43 AM
Quote from: GJL on July 17, 2018, 08:47:55 AM
Does the vote yesterday evening rule out the back stop that was agreed in December?

All informed comment says that, yes, so-called backstop is now impossible.

It's like a Stephen King novel where some quare virus have infected the UK body politic which makes lemmings look like they are making mature informed life choices.
Or a parasite

https://youtu.be/-ySwuQhruBo

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mayo4Sam on July 17, 2018, 10:01:53 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 17, 2018, 07:20:06 AM
I wonder are Leo & co preparing for a no deal? Given what went fown last night.

Given how well they have preformed on Brexit to date you'd imagine that probably 50% of their time is being spent on the no deal scenario
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 17, 2018, 10:09:59 AM
Given the fact that it has been such a mess from the start, I am start to think that the no deal exit is the default position for the Tories, that way they can point to the big bad EU and say they didnt want to deal and wouldnt accept any of our half hearted attempts at a deal.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 10:20:46 AM
Brexit reminds me of an old style row in the Galway hurling board that would take up the whole summer and beyond. Emotion would take precedence over the county team.  The point of the UK govt is the welfare of the people. Not the Tory party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 10:33:52 AM
Political news

Guardian
Brexit :May narrowly avoids defeat after caving in to hardliners
Donald Trump surrender to Russia outrages Democrats and Republicans

Economic news
CBS

Six months after the Trump tax cuts " real wages fell 1.4 percent from the prior year"



Worker wages drop while companies spend billions to boost stocks

cbsnews.com

 https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/worker-wages-drop-while-companies-spend-billions-to-boost-stocks

Guardian

 https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2018/jul/17/uk-jobs-and-wages-in-focus-as-bank-of-england-governor-quizzed-by-mps-business-live

UK wages growth slips, but unemployment steady at 4.2%

While the stream is down from Farnborough, over to the day's big UK data release.

Wages growth slipped to its weakest level in six months, rising by 2.5% in the three months to May compared to a 2.6% increase in the previous three months. Pay excluding bonuses came in at 2.7%. These were in line with analyst forecasts, and are above the inflation rate of 2.4%.


It's the economy. Always.
The plutocracy are calling the shots.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on July 17, 2018, 02:18:44 PM
UK politics is almost literally deadlocked. No majority in the Commons for any sort of Brexit. Calls for May to resign or be ousted, but it's likely she'd just about win a no-confidence motion, buying her a year's grace. Brexiteers can be clever and just stall everything until the deadline passes and a no-deal crash out becomes de facto  Voices of reason like Grieve, Soubry and Justine Greening are gaining little traction. A General Election might clear the sultry air around Westminster but it would surely see Corbyn in no. 10 , which would be worse, so there's no appetite for it. Sinn Fein are too spineless to take their seats and upset the status quo, hopefully this is rammed home to the electorate here by all parties at our next election. Big business in Britain really needs to become more strident and show the politicians the folly of their ways.

Jacob Rees Mogg looks like Teacher from the Bash Street Kids.

(https://s33.postimg.cc/dyhks5e6j/JRM.jpg) (https://postimg.cc/image/dyhks5e6j/)

(https://s33.postimg.cc/xt3mea13v/teacher.jpg) (https://postimg.cc/image/xt3mea13v/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on July 17, 2018, 02:46:55 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 17, 2018, 04:57:47 AM
Quote from: seanaglis on July 16, 2018, 11:58:36 PM
Corbyn has always been anti-eu. He's a man of principle, he won't lead any charge against a reversal of the referendum just because it may be politically advantageous to him

Correct. The old left were always anti-EU, my Da voting against joining originally. Saw it as benefiting businesses and the wealthy and not much for the working man.... they were proved right on that front.
Christ the night who do you think will suffer most when jobs are lost and prices rise in the post eu global uk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 02:48:48 PM
Quote from: mouview on July 17, 2018, 02:18:44 PM
UK politics is almost literally deadlocked. No majority in the Commons for any sort of Brexit. Calls for May to resign or be ousted, but it's likely she'd just about win a no-confidence motion, buying her a year's grace. Brexiteers can be clever and just stall everything until the deadline passes and a no-deal crash out becomes de facto  Voices of reason like Grieve, Soubry and Justine Greening are gaining little traction. A General Election might clear the sultry air around Westminster but it would surely see Corbyn in no. 10 , which would be worse, so there's no appetite for it. Sinn Fein are too spineless to take their seats and upset the status quo, hopefully this is rammed home to the electorate here by all parties at our next election. Big business in Britain really needs to become more strident and show the politicians the folly of their ways.

Jacob Rees Mogg looks like Teacher from the Bash Street Kids.

(https://s33.postimg.cc/dyhks5e6j/JRM.jpg) (https://postimg.cc/image/dyhks5e6j/)

(https://s33.postimg.cc/xt3mea13v/teacher.jpg) (https://postimg.cc/image/xt3mea13v/)

A while ago a commentator said that it wasn't in the EU's interesr to put pressure on May given her weak position. Now the Toty party is being held to ransom by the Brexit heads who are the enemy of UK citizns and the EU. The strategy has to be to sideline then neutralise  them. This cannot be done quickly. The EU would also suffer from no deal.
The only answer is more time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 02:54:10 PM
More time?? Ffs has this pantomime went on long enough? It's the worst c**k up in the history of modern politics, the quicker it gets sorted then the quicker the place can be back on its feet.

This will end in a new election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 02:59:39 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 02:54:10 PM
More time?? Ffs has this pantomime went on long enough? It's the worst c**k up in the history of modern politics, the quicker it gets sorted then the quicker the place can be back on its feet.

This will end in a new election
would you prefer an income cut of 10% ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 03:12:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 02:59:39 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 02:54:10 PM
More time?? Ffs has this pantomime went on long enough? It's the worst c**k up in the history of modern politics, the quicker it gets sorted then the quicker the place can be back on its feet.

This will end in a new election
would you prefer an income cut of 10% ?

Are we not for the past whatever years now been dropping in income? The uncertainty will continue to drop sterling even further... brexit is a basket case, but something needs done, either run another referendum (won't happen and maybe if it did it would probably end up with more voting to leave!) or just accept the deal (as shit as it is) and try and build back..

This fiasco has set British politics back 70 years I'd say, on a personal level I'm lucky enough, good growth in my work and wife has a life time job, but can see big differences in the day to day stuff.. but surely it has to hit bottom before it gets better. At the minute the slow spiral is causing (in the long run) more problems.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 03:30:34 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/17/may-faces-brexit-defeat-as-labour-backs-customs-union-amendment

Theresa May faces a damaging Commons defeat, as Labour confirmed it would back an amendment tabled by rebel Tory MPs seeking to ensure Britain remains in a customs union after Brexit.

Senior Tory calls for Brexit referendum to be re-run given Vote Leave's 'cheating' - Politics live

 

Read more

The prime minister's Brexit plans could be thrown into further disarray with two more pro-EU government ministers understood to be considering quitting their roles in order to back the move on Tuesday.

Tory remainers Nicky Morgan and Stephen Hammond have tabled an amendment to the trade bill under which Britain would be forced to join a customs union with the EU if no agreement were reached on frictionless trade by 21 January 2019.

The pro-European group believes it has at least 10 Tory MPs prepared to support its plans in the vote on Tuesday night, and possibly more, with the ministers among those considering joining the rebels.

Labour also confirmed it would vote against the plan to bring forward the summer recess to Thursday this week, putting Tory MPs in the invidious position of having to defend voting for an early break to their constituents.

It would also mean that there would be almost no time for Tory MPs to hold a confidence vote in the prime minister if one was called.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 17, 2018, 03:46:39 PM
Quote from: mouview on July 17, 2018, 02:18:44 PM
UK politics is almost literally deadlocked. No majority in the Commons for any sort of Brexit. Calls for May to resign or be ousted, but it's likely she'd just about win a no-confidence motion, buying her a year's grace. Brexiteers can be clever and just stall everything until the deadline passes and a no-deal crash out becomes de facto  Voices of reason like Grieve, Soubry and Justine Greening are gaining little traction. A General Election might clear the sultry air around Westminster but it would surely see Corbyn in no. 10 , which would be worse, so there's no appetite for it. Sinn Fein are too spineless to take their seats and upset the status quo, hopefully this is rammed home to the electorate here by all parties at our next election. Big business in Britain really needs to become more strident and show the politicians the folly of their ways.

Jacob Rees Mogg looks like Teacher from the Bash Street Kids.

(https://s33.postimg.cc/dyhks5e6j/JRM.jpg) (https://postimg.cc/image/dyhks5e6j/)

(https://s33.postimg.cc/xt3mea13v/teacher.jpg) (https://postimg.cc/image/xt3mea13v/)
I think I likened him to Cuthberg Cringleworthy, the Bash Street teachers pet, about 12months ago
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 17, 2018, 05:14:21 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on July 17, 2018, 03:46:39 PM
Quote from: mouview on July 17, 2018, 02:18:44 PM
UK politics is almost literally deadlocked. No majority in the Commons for any sort of Brexit. Calls for May to resign or be ousted, but it's likely she'd just about win a no-confidence motion, buying her a year's grace. Brexiteers can be clever and just stall everything until the deadline passes and a no-deal crash out becomes de facto  Voices of reason like Grieve, Soubry and Justine Greening are gaining little traction. A General Election might clear the sultry air around Westminster but it would surely see Corbyn in no. 10 , which would be worse, so there's no appetite for it. Sinn Fein are too spineless to take their seats and upset the status quo, hopefully this is rammed home to the electorate here by all parties at our next election. Big business in Britain really needs to become more strident and show the politicians the folly of their ways.

Jacob Rees Mogg looks like Teacher from the Bash Street Kids.

(https://s33.postimg.cc/dyhks5e6j/JRM.jpg) (https://postimg.cc/image/dyhks5e6j/)

(https://s33.postimg.cc/xt3mea13v/teacher.jpg) (https://postimg.cc/image/xt3mea13v/)
I think I likened him to Cuthberg Cringleworthy, the Bash Street teachers pet, about 12months ago



http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-3-5IYfL7Xus/U-STsk177aI/AAAAAAAABmQ/prDKugLhRRE/s1600/CUTHBERT.jpg
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 17, 2018, 05:22:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 02:54:10 PM
More time?? Ffs has this pantomime went on long enough? It's the worst c**k up in the history of modern politics, the quicker it gets sorted then the quicker the place can be back on its feet.

This will end in a new election

You've fair changed your tune!  I knew the penny would drop eventually.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on July 17, 2018, 05:52:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 17, 2018, 05:22:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 02:54:10 PM
More time?? Ffs has this pantomime went on long enough? It's the worst c**k up in the history of modern politics, the quicker it gets sorted then the quicker the place can be back on its feet.

This will end in a new election

You've fair changed your tune!  I knew the penny would drop eventually.
He said it'd be grand.

Still, what would you expect from somebody who's so full of shit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on July 17, 2018, 06:05:56 PM
interesting vote in commons today- keep the UK in the customs union if no deal is agreed. Seems as if Tories may pull the vote as there is a real fear of defeat
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on July 17, 2018, 06:55:14 PM
Quote from: heganboy on July 17, 2018, 06:05:56 PM
interesting vote in commons today- keep the UK in the customs union if no deal is agreed. Seems as if Tories may pull the vote as there is a real fear of defeat

They've just scraped past that one
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 07:03:52 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 17, 2018, 05:22:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 02:54:10 PM
More time?? Ffs has this pantomime went on long enough? It's the worst c**k up in the history of modern politics, the quicker it gets sorted then the quicker the place can be back on its feet.

This will end in a new election

You've fair changed your tune!  I knew the penny would drop eventually.

I never did , nor did I vote leave... but the constant deal no deal soft brexit hard brexit bollox is too much, either do it and start over or don't and deal with the economic f**k up that's hanging around as bad as Sid's stupid posts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 17, 2018, 07:31:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 07:03:52 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 17, 2018, 05:22:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 17, 2018, 02:54:10 PM
More time?? Ffs has this pantomime went on long enough? It's the worst c**k up in the history of modern politics, the quicker it gets sorted then the quicker the place can be back on its feet.

This will end in a new election

You've fair changed your tune!  I knew the penny would drop eventually.

I never did , nor did I vote leave... but the constant deal no deal soft brexit hard brexit bollox is too much, either do it and start over or don't and deal with the economic f**k up that's hanging around as bad as Sid's stupid posts

Yeah yeah.  I hoped you'd eventually catch on.  It just took you a little longer than most.

How much is a bottle of Lambrini these days?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 17, 2018, 07:46:24 PM
All very close votes , and to think how 7 Sinn Fein MP's could have thrown the cat among the pigeons, and all in favour of Ireland  :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 17, 2018, 07:54:01 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 17, 2018, 07:46:24 PM
All very close votes , and to think how 7 Sinn Fein MP's could have thrown the cat among the pigeons, and all in favour of Ireland  :-\

Sure nothing of any importance ever happens in Westminster, votes from NI parties don't matter,  why would they go? Or something
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on July 17, 2018, 08:30:21 PM
SF were elected on a policy of abstention, anyone who voted for them knew what they were getting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on July 17, 2018, 08:37:36 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on July 17, 2018, 08:30:21 PM
SF were elected on a policy of abstention, anyone who voted for them knew what they were getting.

Yeah that bit is true but the other argument they have made of no importance happening at Westminster is clearly not the case
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on July 17, 2018, 09:07:49 PM
Quote from: Minder on July 17, 2018, 08:37:36 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on July 17, 2018, 08:30:21 PM
SF were elected on a policy of abstention, anyone who voted for them knew what they were getting.

Yeah that bit is true but the other argument they have made of no importance happening at Westminster is clearly not the case

The power still lies in Brussels on this issue. They take their seats there. As said above the electorate know that when they vote for SF, they won't be taking their seats so they take the good with the bad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 17, 2018, 10:24:29 PM
In the event if there being likely to be a close vote I doubt very much sf's support would be welcomed by either side
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 17, 2018, 11:26:47 PM
I can't understand what the fuss is about. Bring it on I say. I mean if gentlemen like Sir Christopher Chope, Peter Bone and Jacob Rees-Mogg support leave then it must be good news for us.  These guys understand what life is like for those who don't have privilege and will, I'm convinced, given their track record, fight to maintain human rights and workers rights post Brexit. Therefore it's a win win for us ordinary five eighths as far as I can see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 17, 2018, 11:57:08 PM
Poll tonight
Westminster voting intention: LAB: 41% (+2) CON: 36% (-1) LDEM: 9% (-1) UKIP: 7% (+1)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on July 18, 2018, 01:47:42 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 09, 2018, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the b**tards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)

I'm pretty sure this is libellous.  :-X

I believe young Jnr has some serious shit coming down the line from the mother of all parliaments. 10 day suspension looming, apparently. Surely his position is untenable if true. The DUP really are a corrupt shower of f**kers, but as long as they play the sectarian card, their sc**bag supporters continue to vote for this parcel of utter wankers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bogball88 on July 18, 2018, 08:20:37 AM
Quote from: red hander on July 18, 2018, 01:47:42 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 09, 2018, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the b**tards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)

I'm pretty sure this is libellous.  :-X

I believe young Jnr has some serious shit coming down the line from the mother of all parliaments. 10 day suspension looming, apparently. Surely his position is untenable if true. The DUP really are a corrupt shower of f**kers, but as long as they play the sectarian card, their sc**bag supporters continue to vote for this parcel of utter w**kers
I would imagine that is the least of his worries these days
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 18, 2018, 08:43:42 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on July 17, 2018, 08:30:21 PM
SF were elected on a policy of abstention, anyone who voted for them knew what they were getting.

Well that's fine. Same with the DUP who were elected on no Irish Language act, and No to SSM. People should just shut up about those as well. Oh wait...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on July 18, 2018, 11:31:05 AM
Quote from: red hander on July 18, 2018, 01:47:42 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 09, 2018, 05:29:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 09, 2018, 05:06:53 PM
DUP seeing their wee power strip disappearing into the ether ... slap it up the b**tards (like Jnr slaps it up ELP)

I'm pretty sure this is libellous.  :-X

I believe young Jnr has some serious shit coming down the line from the mother of all parliaments. 10 day suspension looming, apparently. Surely his position is untenable if true. The DUP really are a corrupt shower of f**kers, but as long as they play the sectarian card, their sc**bag supporters continue to vote for this parcel of utter w**kers

30 day suspension for "serious misconduct"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on July 18, 2018, 11:34:11 AM
I think voters can now petition for a by-election, which would be a waste of time, I spose.

Not been a good few weeks for the Jnr.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:00:52 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 18, 2018, 11:34:11 AM
I think voters can now petition for a by-election, which would be a waste of time, I spose.

Not been a good few weeks for the Jnr.

Means the government are down a vote for the next month though which is a plus!!

On the abstention thing well Sinn Fein have made that many concessions in the last 20 years surely this should be the next. With the current Government and Brexit they have a chance to make a real difference for North and South with regard to Brexit and they're not.

Blah blah they were voted in on abstention but that doesn't really cut the mustard anymore. Things are getting heated and they need to be seen to be doing something. I actually think it would win them more votes to say right we're going into Westminster to make a difference rather than the shite going on with the assembly.

I know one thing I'll not be voting for them in a GE again!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on July 18, 2018, 12:09:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:00:52 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 18, 2018, 11:34:11 AM
I think voters can now petition for a by-election, which would be a waste of time, I spose.

Not been a good few weeks for the Jnr.

Means the government are down a vote for the next month though which is a plus!!

On the abstention thing well Sinn Fein have made that many concessions in the last 20 years surely this should be the next. With the current Government and Brexit they have a chance to make a real difference for North and South with regard to Brexit and they're not.

Blah blah they were voted in on abstention but that doesn't really cut the mustard anymore. Things are getting heated and they need to be seen to be doing something. I actually think it would win them more votes to say right we're going into Westminster to make a difference rather than the shite going on with the assembly.

I know one thing I'll not be voting for them in a GE again!

Problem being I guess in the short term they might have an impact and a say, on a very important issue for this part of the world. But what would rule out a GE being called soon after they went in and it wiped out any influence that they would have hoped to have. Then they are still on the outside of the decision making process that they would have sold their souls to be involved in.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:22:41 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 18, 2018, 12:09:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:00:52 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 18, 2018, 11:34:11 AM
I think voters can now petition for a by-election, which would be a waste of time, I spose.

Not been a good few weeks for the Jnr.

Means the government are down a vote for the next month though which is a plus!!

On the abstention thing well Sinn Fein have made that many concessions in the last 20 years surely this should be the next. With the current Government and Brexit they have a chance to make a real difference for North and South with regard to Brexit and they're not.

Blah blah they were voted in on abstention but that doesn't really cut the mustard anymore. Things are getting heated and they need to be seen to be doing something. I actually think it would win them more votes to say right we're going into Westminster to make a difference rather than the shite going on with the assembly.

I know one thing I'll not be voting for them in a GE again!

Problem being I guess in the short term they might have an impact and a say, on a very important issue for this part of the world. But what would rule out a GE being called soon after they went in and it wiped out any influence that they would have hoped to have. Then they are still on the outside of the decision making process that they would have sold their souls to be involved in.

"Sold their souls" is a bit dramatic!!

As I've said they've made a number of concessions over the years and this is another . . .

Who would have believed McGuinness shaking the Queen's hand or supporting the PSNI, sharing power with the DUP.

At every turn these things were seen as selling their souls but they haven't dropped support. Taking their seat at Westminster to try and preserve jobs for the North and trade for the Southcan easily be spun and should be!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 18, 2018, 12:37:40 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:22:41 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 18, 2018, 12:09:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:00:52 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 18, 2018, 11:34:11 AM
I think voters can now petition for a by-election, which would be a waste of time, I spose.

Not been a good few weeks for the Jnr.

Means the government are down a vote for the next month though which is a plus!!

On the abstention thing well Sinn Fein have made that many concessions in the last 20 years surely this should be the next. With the current Government and Brexit they have a chance to make a real difference for North and South with regard to Brexit and they're not.

Blah blah they were voted in on abstention but that doesn't really cut the mustard anymore. Things are getting heated and they need to be seen to be doing something. I actually think it would win them more votes to say right we're going into Westminster to make a difference rather than the shite going on with the assembly.

I know one thing I'll not be voting for them in a GE again!

Problem being I guess in the short term they might have an impact and a say, on a very important issue for this part of the world. But what would rule out a GE being called soon after they went in and it wiped out any influence that they would have hoped to have. Then they are still on the outside of the decision making process that they would have sold their souls to be involved in.

"Sold their souls" is a bit dramatic!!

As I've said they've made a number of concessions over the years and this is another . . .

Who would have believed McGuinness shaking the Queen's hand or supporting the PSNI, sharing power with the DUP.

At every turn these things were seen as selling their souls but they haven't dropped support. Taking their seat at Westminster to try and preserve jobs for the North and trade for the Southcan easily be spun and should be!!

I agree. These are not normal times. Brexit will affect the lives of people right across these islands for the next 100 years and possibly more. They should be counted. And if they did take their seats, just like many fine Irish men and women before them, I believe history would be kind.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on July 18, 2018, 12:38:37 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:22:41 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 18, 2018, 12:09:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:00:52 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 18, 2018, 11:34:11 AM
I think voters can now petition for a by-election, which would be a waste of time, I spose.

Not been a good few weeks for the Jnr.

Means the government are down a vote for the next month though which is a plus!!

On the abstention thing well Sinn Fein have made that many concessions in the last 20 years surely this should be the next. With the current Government and Brexit they have a chance to make a real difference for North and South with regard to Brexit and they're not.

Blah blah they were voted in on abstention but that doesn't really cut the mustard anymore. Things are getting heated and they need to be seen to be doing something. I actually think it would win them more votes to say right we're going into Westminster to make a difference rather than the shite going on with the assembly.

I know one thing I'll not be voting for them in a GE again!

Problem being I guess in the short term they might have an impact and a say, on a very important issue for this part of the world. But what would rule out a GE being called soon after they went in and it wiped out any influence that they would have hoped to have. Then they are still on the outside of the decision making process that they would have sold their souls to be involved in.

"Sold their souls" is a bit dramatic!!

As I've said they've made a number of concessions over the years and this is another . . .

Who would have believed McGuinness shaking the Queen's hand or supporting the PSNI, sharing power with the DUP.

At every turn these things were seen as selling their souls but they haven't dropped support. Taking their seat at Westminster to try and preserve jobs for the North and trade for the Southcan easily be spun and should be!!
But it's not a concession to start taking their seats!

If it was a concession it would have been part of the GFA, when the abstention should have ended. SF should ended it then. But no other politician in north, south or in Britain wants them to go, so not a hope in hell they'd ask for that "concession" by SF!

They only people losing out by them not taking their seats are the people they are supposed to represent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 18, 2018, 12:39:44 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:22:41 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 18, 2018, 12:09:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:00:52 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 18, 2018, 11:34:11 AM
I think voters can now petition for a by-election, which would be a waste of time, I spose.

Not been a good few weeks for the Jnr.

Means the government are down a vote for the next month though which is a plus!!

On the abstention thing well Sinn Fein have made that many concessions in the last 20 years surely this should be the next. With the current Government and Brexit they have a chance to make a real difference for North and South with regard to Brexit and they're not.

Blah blah they were voted in on abstention but that doesn't really cut the mustard anymore. Things are getting heated and they need to be seen to be doing something. I actually think it would win them more votes to say right we're going into Westminster to make a difference rather than the shite going on with the assembly.

I know one thing I'll not be voting for them in a GE again!

Problem being I guess in the short term they might have an impact and a say, on a very important issue for this part of the world. But what would rule out a GE being called soon after they went in and it wiped out any influence that they would have hoped to have. Then they are still on the outside of the decision making process that they would have sold their souls to be involved in.

"Sold their souls" is a bit dramatic!!

As I've said they've made a number of concessions over the years and this is another . . .

Who would have believed McGuinness shaking the Queen's hand or supporting the PSNI, sharing power with the DUP.

At every turn these things were seen as selling their souls but they haven't dropped support. Taking their seat at Westminster to try and preserve jobs for the North and trade for the Southcan easily be spun and should be!!
Surely they sold their souls in the 70s already

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qggxTtnKTMo

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 03:41:56 PM
Looks like Boris has staked his claim for PM!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on July 18, 2018, 04:33:15 PM
Quote from: Hound on July 18, 2018, 12:38:37 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:22:41 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on July 18, 2018, 12:09:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 18, 2018, 12:00:52 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 18, 2018, 11:34:11 AM
I think voters can now petition for a by-election, which would be a waste of time, I spose.

Not been a good few weeks for the Jnr.

Means the government are down a vote for the next month though which is a plus!!

On the abstention thing well Sinn Fein have made that many concessions in the last 20 years surely this should be the next. With the current Government and Brexit they have a chance to make a real difference for North and South with regard to Brexit and they're not.

Blah blah they were voted in on abstention but that doesn't really cut the mustard anymore. Things are getting heated and they need to be seen to be doing something. I actually think it would win them more votes to say right we're going into Westminster to make a difference rather than the shite going on with the assembly.

I know one thing I'll not be voting for them in a GE again!

Problem being I guess in the short term they might have an impact and a say, on a very important issue for this part of the world. But what would rule out a GE being called soon after they went in and it wiped out any influence that they would have hoped to have. Then they are still on the outside of the decision making process that they would have sold their souls to be involved in.

"Sold their souls" is a bit dramatic!!

As I've said they've made a number of concessions over the years and this is another . . .

Who would have believed McGuinness shaking the Queen's hand or supporting the PSNI, sharing power with the DUP.

At every turn these things were seen as selling their souls but they haven't dropped support. Taking their seat at Westminster to try and preserve jobs for the North and trade for the Southcan easily be spun and should be!!
But it's not a concession to start taking their seats!

If it was a concession it would have been part of the GFA, when the abstention should have ended. SF should ended it then. But no other politician in north, south or in Britain wants them to go, so not a hope in hell they'd ask for that "concession" by SF!

They only people losing out by them not taking their seats are the people they are supposed to represent.

The people they represent knew what they were voting for, abstentionism. Anybody who believes 7 SF votes would change things at Westminster is deluded. How many Tory pro-Remain rebels would want to be seen voting with the Shinners? Imagine the headlines in the Mail and Express. What difference did Durkan, Ritchie and McDonnell ever make? What benefits did they ever bring nationalists in the north?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on July 18, 2018, 07:12:52 PM
What benefits has there been with non-attendance! Thats right none; except lifting money for doing nothing! This is the first time  that crucial votes are literally depending on single figure votes! Sinn Fein have had no input in trying to prevent brexit except sound bites! Sure it wasnt ok to join the police to Sinn Fein said so@
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:53:36 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.

If SF took their seats would you stop voting for them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on July 18, 2018, 08:01:43 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.


So are you telling me that over the course of the last 30 years, when the troubles were ended, UK~Ireland relationships improved, and a wee six power sharing government was formed, that Sinn Fein's rise in the ballot box for Westminster has been owed (even slightly) to their absenteeism policy?

You are of course entitled to believe this. But it doesn't add up at all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 08:48:07 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on July 18, 2018, 08:01:43 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.


So are you telling me that over the course of the last 30 years, when the troubles were ended, UK~Ireland relationships improved, and a wee six power sharing government was formed, that Sinn Fein's rise in the ballot box for Westminster has been owed (even slightly) to their absenteeism policy?

You are of course entitled to believe this. But it doesn't add up at all.

I personally don't feel like I would stop voting SF just because they took their seats. However I do think it'd be an issue for others. Being honest SF voting in Westminster won't make much of a difference. If they did drop abstentionism I'd imagine there'd be an even bigger clamour for unified unionist candidates so why take the risk, just to vote in a meaningless deal-vote that will be vetoed by the EU anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 18, 2018, 08:48:49 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.
They could extract valuable concessions. I am beginning to think the Shinners don't want a United Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 18, 2018, 09:01:33 PM
Or they are happy to see brexit wreck northern ireland so more people all over ireland want it to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on July 18, 2018, 09:28:02 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 08:48:07 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on July 18, 2018, 08:01:43 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.


So are you telling me that over the course of the last 30 years, when the troubles were ended, UK~Ireland relationships improved, and a wee six power sharing government was formed, that Sinn Fein's rise in the ballot box for Westminster has been owed (even slightly) to their absenteeism policy?

You are of course entitled to believe this. But it doesn't add up at all.

I personally don't feel like I would stop voting SF just because they took their seats. However I do think it'd be an issue for others. Being honest SF voting in Westminster won't make much of a difference. If they did drop abstentionism I'd imagine there'd be an even bigger clamour for unified unionist candidates so why take the risk, just to vote in a meaningless deal-vote that will be vetoed by the EU anyway.
By not taking their seats and voting on key issues they give the Tories and the DUP a free pass. The end.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on July 18, 2018, 10:24:20 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on July 18, 2018, 09:28:02 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 08:48:07 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on July 18, 2018, 08:01:43 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.


So are you telling me that over the course of the last 30 years, when the troubles were ended, UK~Ireland relationships improved, and a wee six power sharing government was formed, that Sinn Fein's rise in the ballot box for Westminster has been owed (even slightly) to their absenteeism policy?

You are of course entitled to believe this. But it doesn't add up at all.

I personally don't feel like I would stop voting SF just because they took their seats. However I do think it'd be an issue for others. Being honest SF voting in Westminster won't make much of a difference. If they did drop abstentionism I'd imagine there'd be an even bigger clamour for unified unionist candidates so why take the risk, just to vote in a meaningless deal-vote that will be vetoed by the EU anyway.
By not taking their seats and voting on key issues they give the Tories and the DUP a free pass. The end.

Hows that working out for the SNP? Sin é.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 18, 2018, 11:38:53 PM
Westminster is shitting on Scotland daily as the gallant 35 try to take on 530 or so English MPs plus 24 non SNP Scottish MPs who vote as instructed by their parties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 19, 2018, 08:27:40 AM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.

By that rational the same is true of those that vote for the DUP and their stance against SSM and ILA. People should just 'get it' and stop going on about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 19, 2018, 09:41:19 AM
I get the feeling that the ROI Government's position has changed from gleeful Schadenfreude to f**k this is going to be a absolute nightmare.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on July 19, 2018, 09:55:19 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 19, 2018, 08:27:40 AM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.

By that rational the same is true of those that vote for the DUP and their stance against SSM and ILA. People should just 'get it' and stop going on about it.
That is false equivalence and you know it.  Ill not insult your intelligence by explaining why.

I would be open to the idea of the Shinners turning up to one of these key votes, voting and just walking away, giving a brief statement of the extraordinary reasons why.  Not sure how feasible that would be, and if parliament needs to know in advance to any such move.  It would be good craic to listen to the fall out from it, DUP and the Tories crying why it shouldn't be allowed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on July 19, 2018, 10:14:04 AM
What I find very hard to understand is the relative silence of business leaders on Brexit and that no impact assessments have been done by government. The CEO of Airbus has spoken out

https://www.commpro.biz/airbus-ceo-hammers-uk-leadership-on-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: awideisneverasgood on July 19, 2018, 10:15:51 AM
I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats.

Here's the thing that p*sses me off.  Once they are elected, they are elected to represent the all the people of their constituency, not just the people that voted for them.

These are crucial times for us and they could and should be in Westminster casting votes which could really affect the future of everybody in the North.  Unless they are quietly happy for a hard brexit to happen as they believe that would increase the likelihood of a united ireland in the near future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 19, 2018, 10:27:53 AM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on July 18, 2018, 09:28:02 PM
By not taking their seats and voting on key issues they give the Tories and the DUP a free pass. The end.

In my opinion, this is a lazy analysis. Going to Westminster would give credit to the idea that is appropriate for a  load of British people to decide what is going to happen to NI over the heads of the people in NI. You might by accident have a couple of votes where you happened to hold the balance of power, but generally you'd be up against 600 British MPs and it would be a mugs game.

The SNP are there and nobody gives a damn about Scotland if there are enough English MPs to vote them down.

Add to that, if SF go to Westminster the Daily Mail, Telegraph et al would rant and rave and perhaps cause more loss of votes than SF would provide. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 19, 2018, 10:44:46 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on July 19, 2018, 09:55:19 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 19, 2018, 08:27:40 AM
Quote from: Therealdonald on July 18, 2018, 07:51:27 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 18, 2018, 07:45:40 PM
Quote from: Windmill abu on July 18, 2018, 07:32:25 PM
The votes taking place are only close because the Conservatives are split over the issues. If SF took their seats and voted they would be supporting one or other half of the tory party. The party under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher who most republicans hold responsible for the deaths of the hunger strikers. SF supporters would never forgive them for supporting either half of the tories.

They take seats in Stormont and form governments with unionists like Paisley, Dodds and Robinson who were responsible for the perpetuation of loyalist violence in the North so preventing one of the major f**k ups in UK history by voting with the Tories shouldn't be the sky caving in their heads.

They've flipped on several issues, not recognising Stormont etc etc. All the old excuses for not attending, (they wouldn't make a difference, etc) have been shown to be hollow so they really have no honest exemptions from this anymore.

I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats. It's not a grey area, when you vote SF, you're voting to not have a vote in Westminster. Its simple. I wouldn't say never, but abstentionism is along way away yet.

By that rational the same is true of those that vote for the DUP and their stance against SSM and ILA. People should just 'get it' and stop going on about it.
That is false equivalence and you know it.  Ill not insult your intelligence by explaining why.

I would be open to the idea of the Shinners turning up to one of these key votes, voting and just walking away, giving a brief statement of the extraordinary reasons why.  Not sure how feasible that would be, and if parliament needs to know in advance to any such move.  It would be good craic to listen to the fall out from it, DUP and the Tories crying why it shouldn't be allowed.

I disagree. You say they are elected not to take their seats. DUP are elected on - No to an ILA and No to SSM.
If SF are not taking their seats why bother standing? Why take the £?

I think it is a very fair criticism of their stance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oghams Law on July 19, 2018, 10:48:23 AM
Quote from: awideisneverasgood on July 19, 2018, 10:15:51 AM
I don't understand this and why people don't get it. SF voters vote for them not to take their seats.

Here's the thing that p*sses me off.  Once they are elected, they are elected to represent the all the people of their constituency, not just the people that voted for them.

These are crucial times for us and they could and should be in Westminster casting votes which could really affect the future of everybody in the North.  Unless they are quietly happy for a hard brexit to happen as they believe that would increase the likelihood of a united ireland in the near future.
[/b]

The penny drops...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 19, 2018, 10:51:51 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 19, 2018, 10:27:53 AM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on July 18, 2018, 09:28:02 PM
By not taking their seats and voting on key issues they give the Tories and the DUP a free pass. The end.

In my opinion, this is a lazy analysis. Going to Westminster would give credit to the idea that is appropriate for a  load of British people to decide what is going to happen to NI over the heads of the people in NI. You might by accident have a couple of votes where you happened to hold the balance of power, but generally you'd be up against 600 British MPs and it would be a mugs game.

The SNP are there and nobody gives a damn about Scotland if there are enough English MPs to vote them down.

Add to that, if SF go to Westminster the Daily Mail, Telegraph et al would rant and rave and perhaps cause more loss of votes than SF would provide.

Well at this moment 7 constituencies (Soon to be 8) in NI have no elected representatives either in Stormont or Westminster. And this idea that Westminster doesn't matter is rubbish. This week has proven that it clearly does.

However, in reality, SF are playing a long game here. They are an anti-EU party. They are happy to see the UK leave and would welcome a vote in the ROI on the issue. This bluster about no hard border etc is exactly that. They want chaos in NI. High unemployment, lack of jobs, lack of opportunity, cuts to health and education. In some world they see this as a way forward to a UI. Problem is that may take 20, 30 or 40 years. In that time 2 or 3 generations of people will suffer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 10:56:02 AM
If SF as alleged get their way and that the 6 Cos becomes a total basket case altogether who are they going to unite with?
We will be voting NO in such a scenario.
If SF are anti EU who the fk do they expect to pay for this basket case 6 Cos?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 19, 2018, 11:03:32 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 10:56:02 AM
If SF as alleged get their way and that the 6 Cos becomes a total basket case altogether who are they going to unite with?
We will be voting NO in such a scenario.
If SF are anti EU who the fk do they expect to pay for this basket case 6 Cos?

Is this the royal "we"? 

If that was true, then more shame on you. An opportunity to unite the country and you would say no? Maybe the South should make up for some of the past and take a hand in creating a better United Ireland even it it means short term uncertainty rather than just look to see what it can get out of it. If that feeling was prevalent in the south then it would be hugely disappointing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 19, 2018, 11:07:47 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 10:56:02 AM
If SF as alleged get their way and that the 6 Cos becomes a total basket case altogether who are they going to unite with?
We will be voting NO in such a scenario.
If SF are anti EU who the fk do they expect to pay for this basket case 6 Cos?

There's no 'If'. They have campaigned for a No Vote on every single EU referendum in the ROI. They are an anti EU party.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 11:22:35 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 19, 2018, 11:03:32 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 10:56:02 AM
If SF as alleged get their way and that the 6 Cos becomes a total basket case altogether who are they going to unite with?
We will be voting NO in such a scenario.
If SF are anti EU who the fk do they expect to pay for this basket case 6 Cos?

Is this the royal "we"? 

If that was true, then more shame on you. An opportunity to unite the country and you would say no? Maybe the South should make up for some of the past and take a hand in creating a better United Ireland even it it means short term uncertainty rather than just look to see what it can get out of it. If that feeling was prevalent in the south then it would be hugely disappointing.
Read the full context.
If SF deliberately work to make a total basket case out if the 6 Cos. You can bet your life people in the 26 Cos will not pay through the nose  for their vandalism.
On the other hand a responsible adult Party trying to make the 6 Cos a better place would have a far better chance of getting a "Yes" vote.
I presume SF's MEPs collect their salaries from the EU!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 19, 2018, 11:41:18 AM
SF have not been directly making a basket case of the six counties, but they have been hyping up public expenditure as they attempt to do in the 26 counties.

The DUP are trying to make a basket case of the place, with their Brexit bollix.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 19, 2018, 11:49:36 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 11:22:35 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 19, 2018, 11:03:32 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 10:56:02 AM
If SF as alleged get their way and that the 6 Cos becomes a total basket case altogether who are they going to unite with?
We will be voting NO in such a scenario.
If SF are anti EU who the fk do they expect to pay for this basket case 6 Cos?

Is this the royal "we"? 

If that was true, then more shame on you. An opportunity to unite the country and you would say no? Maybe the South should make up for some of the past and take a hand in creating a better United Ireland even it it means short term uncertainty rather than just look to see what it can get out of it. If that feeling was prevalent in the south then it would be hugely disappointing.
Read the full context.
If SF deliberately work to make a total basket case out if the 6 Cos. You can bet your life people in the 26 Cos will not pay through the nose  for their vandalism.
On the other hand a responsible adult Party trying to make the 6 Cos a better place would have a far better chance of getting a "Yes" vote.
I presume SF's MEPs collect their salaries from the EU!!

This is nonsense. SF will have no say on what happens NI with regards to Brexit. You flatter them if you think so. The NI may well end up a basket case when Brexit comes in. But if (And that's a huge if) anything was to happen with regards to a UI I'd like to think people in the south would take their share of the rebuilding process and not be worrying about paying through the nose. Maybe I'm wrong and maybe the Euro has ta greater hold now than I thought. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 12:13:21 PM
I honestly don't think the EU will allow a hard Brexit to happen. It would really hurt the big European economies and companies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 12:21:00 PM
If the 2.5m (as it will be then) working taxpayers in the 26 Cos are told they'll be funding a "Reconstruction" or "Equalisation" tax of €10bn per annum = i.e €4k each or €80 extra per week........
To misquote Clinton. "It's me pocket stoopid"
A no of 6Cos people already said on this Board that if a UI cost them money they wouldn't vote for it.
But we're expected to pay for it so that people,many of whom spend their time running down the "Free State" and "Free Staters" can continue to live in a subsidised basket case free gratis.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 19, 2018, 12:36:16 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 12:21:00 PM
If the 2.5m (as it will be then) working taxpayers in the 26 Cos are told they'll be funding a "Reconstruction" or "Equalisation" tax of €10bn per annum = i.e €4k each or €80 extra per week........
To misquote Clinton. "It's me pocket stoopid"
A no of 6Cos people already said on this Board that if a UI cost them money they wouldn't vote for it.
But we're expected to pay for it so that people,many of whom spend their time running down the "Free State" and "Free Staters" can continue to live in a subsidised basket case free gratis.

Where are you getting those figures from? If the UK were to withdraw there would be financial support (parachute payments if you like). They wouldn't walk away without committing to support for a number of years afterwards in which case the people in NI will have to look at reducing down the Public sector spending.
But yes I'd expect you and each of the tax payers in the south to contribute to the short term costs of a UI. Much the same as the people in the North would have to as well.

Your last point about people running down the "free state" etc is a weak argument. Course there'll be people who'll take that viewpoint but if your basing a decision on the future of the country on what some posters post on a message board to get a rise then I'll not follow down that rabbit hole.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 19, 2018, 01:02:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 12:13:21 PM
I honestly don't think the EU will allow a hard Brexit to happen. It would really hurt the big European economies and companies.
Yeah, I think the sniggering is over and the realisation of the severity of the situation is dawning on everyone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 19, 2018, 01:05:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 12:13:21 PM
I honestly don't think the EU will allow a hard Brexit to happen. It would really hurt the big European economies and companies.

They're leaving it pretty late to back down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 01:06:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 19, 2018, 01:02:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 12:13:21 PM
I honestly don't think the EU will allow a hard Brexit to happen. It would really hurt the big European economies and companies.
Yeah, I think the sniggering is over and the realisation of the severity of the situation is dawning on everyone.

The Brexiteers , for the greater good, should be herded into a corner and given the Pulp Fiction treatment

https://youtu.be/StkasLs-QmE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 19, 2018, 01:14:48 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 12:13:21 PM
I honestly don't think the EU will allow a hard Brexit to happen. It would really hurt the big European economies and companies.
I think you're right there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on July 19, 2018, 01:18:49 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 12:21:00 PM
If the 2.5m (as it will be then) working taxpayers in the 26 Cos are told they'll be funding a "Reconstruction" or "Equalisation" tax of €10bn per annum = i.e €4k each or €80 extra per week........
To misquote Clinton. "It's me pocket stoopid"
A no of 6Cos people already said on this Board that if a UI cost them money they wouldn't vote for it.
But we're expected to pay for it so that people,many of whom spend their time running down the "Free State" and "Free Staters" can continue to live in a subsidised basket case free gratis.

Whinge about an insult then fire one out yourself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 01:30:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 12:21:00 PM
If the 2.5m (as it will be then) working taxpayers in the 26 Cos are told they'll be funding a "Reconstruction" or "Equalisation" tax of €10bn per annum = i.e €4k each or €80 extra per week........
To misquote Clinton. "It's me pocket stoopid"
A no of 6Cos people already said on this Board that if a UI cost them money they wouldn't vote for it.
But we're expected to pay for it so that people,many of whom spend their time running down the "Free State" and "Free Staters" can continue to live in a subsidised basket case free gratis.
I'd say you could raise a good whack taxing the 2000 richest people on the Island
You could definitely introduce best practice into the civil services on both sides of the border.
You could cut a lot of fat out of health spending.
Partition has been  a catastrophe.
There is enough money to make the fourth green field productive again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 19, 2018, 01:47:20 PM
QuoteI'd say you could raise a good whack taxing the 2000 richest people on the Island
You could definitely introduce best practice into the civil services on both sides of the border.
You could cut a lot of fat out of health spending.
Partition has been  a catastrophe.
There is enough money to make the fourth green field productive again.

Partition has destroyed economic prosperity in the north, once a hot bed of production and industry, now reduced to a large percent of the population either economically inactive (unable to or don't want to work), and another large percentage relying on a civil service job to help keep unemployment figures down. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 02:04:03 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/19/brexit-raab-and-barnier-to-meet-as-eu-steps-up-no-deal-warnings

Hillary Benn predicted that the public would turn against a no-deal Brexit as they became more aware of its implications. "I think the public needs to be told what the potential implications are, because I think the more the public engages with it, the less likely they are to say no-deal is OK, because it really isn't OK," he said.


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On Wednesday the Tory former cabinet minister Chris Patten predicted there could be an emergency general election in the autumn.

Lord Patten told BBC2's Newsnight: "It is perfectly possible that this autumn and winter we will find that parliament can't move forward, can't move back, can't move sideways and that we are faced with chaos and crashing out of the European Union.

"I don't remotely discount that possibility. So, I don't either discount the prospect of us finding ourselves in a general election during the course of the autumn and winter. If I was still party chairman ... I would certainly be thinking about starting to book some advertising hoardings just in case."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 02:24:14 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 19, 2018, 01:47:20 PM
QuoteI'd say you could raise a good whack taxing the 2000 richest people on the Island
You could definitely introduce best practice into the civil services on both sides of the border.
You could cut a lot of fat out of health spending.
Partition has been  a catastrophe.
There is enough money to make the fourth green field productive again.

Partition has destroyed economic prosperity in the north, once a hot bed of production and industry, now reduced to a large percent of the population either economically inactive (unable to or don't want to work), and another large percentage relying on a civil service job to help keep unemployment figures down.

Even without the war, NI never recovered from the collapse of its big industries in the 60s/70s. There was a huge disadvantage to being in the UK in the 80s cos Tory policy was to put people on social welfare rather than support new industry. The Germans did it the other way around. So did the French. The UK economy became services based , favouring regions with larger population densities. NI like the North of England got left behind.  There is nothing natural about this . It all comes down to where the money goes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 19, 2018, 11:19:13 PM
Leo's winning hearts and minds

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dif-UBiW0AAAjrA.jpg:large)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on July 20, 2018, 02:09:57 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 01:30:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 12:21:00 PM
If the 2.5m (as it will be then) working taxpayers in the 26 Cos are told they'll be funding a "Reconstruction" or "Equalisation" tax of €10bn per annum = i.e €4k each or €80 extra per week........
To misquote Clinton. "It's me pocket stoopid"
A no of 6Cos people already said on this Board that if a UI cost them money they wouldn't vote for it.
But we're expected to pay for it so that people,many of whom spend their time running down the "Free State" and "Free Staters" can continue to live in a subsidised basket case free gratis.
I'd say you could raise a good whack taxing the 2000 richest people on the Island
You could definitely introduce best practice into the civil services on both sides of the border.
You could cut a lot of fat out of health spending.
Partition has been  a catastrophe.
There is enough money to make the fourth green field productive again.


Seafood. I am starting to warm to you.
In fact I am about to get stuck into a really nice piece of ling cod.
Keep up the good work. I notice whitey and co have been silent since they have realized they are getting their information courtesy of Cambridge Analytica.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 20, 2018, 12:17:52 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 19, 2018, 11:19:13 PM
Leo's winning hearts and minds

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dif-UBiW0AAAjrA.jpg:large)

Note who's reporting it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 20, 2018, 12:58:15 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 19, 2018, 11:19:13 PM
Leo's winning hearts and minds

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dif-UBiW0AAAjrA.jpg:large)
I wonder what story the Oirish Sun ran on its front page
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on July 20, 2018, 01:40:32 PM
http://www.thejournal.ie/factcheck-taoiseach-british-planes-irish-skies-4137889-Jul2018/

"...Those defending Varadkar have said that the quotes were twisted out of context and that he was simply stating a fact, rather than threatening to cut relations with the UK.

Fine Gael Senator Neale Richmond wrote on Twitter that the Taoiseach was "reiterating a factual statement that Philip Hammond [the British Chancellor for the Exchequer] also made earlier this year."

"A crash out scenario sees the UK crash out of the EU-US open skies agreement," Richmond wrote.

"Sighing very deeply at the number of Brexiteers (including some MPs) who have taken this as some kind of threat," TV3′s political correspondent Gavan Reilly said, "rather than a simple acknowledgement that a no-deal Brexit means withdrawing from airspace agreements. Nobody's blind to the effect that has for Ireland either."..."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mayo4Sam on July 20, 2018, 02:07:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 01:30:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 12:21:00 PM
If the 2.5m (as it will be then) working taxpayers in the 26 Cos are told they'll be funding a "Reconstruction" or "Equalisation" tax of €10bn per annum = i.e €4k each or €80 extra per week........
To misquote Clinton. "It's me pocket stoopid"
A no of 6Cos people already said on this Board that if a UI cost them money they wouldn't vote for it.
But we're expected to pay for it so that people,many of whom spend their time running down the "Free State" and "Free Staters" can continue to live in a subsidised basket case free gratis.
I'd say you could raise a good whack taxing the 2000 richest people on the Island
You could definitely introduce best practice into the civil services on both sides of the border.
You could cut a lot of fat out of health spending.
Partition has been  a catastrophe.
There is enough money to make the fourth green field productive again.
You absolutely, definitely, without any doubt could NOT introduce best practice to the civil service
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 20, 2018, 11:33:00 PM
Quote from: Mayo4Sam on July 20, 2018, 02:07:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 19, 2018, 01:30:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 19, 2018, 12:21:00 PM
If the 2.5m (as it will be then) working taxpayers in the 26 Cos are told they'll be funding a "Reconstruction" or "Equalisation" tax of €10bn per annum = i.e €4k each or €80 extra per week........
To misquote Clinton. "It's me pocket stoopid"
A no of 6Cos people already said on this Board that if a UI cost them money they wouldn't vote for it.
But we're expected to pay for it so that people,many of whom spend their time running down the "Free State" and "Free Staters" can continue to live in a subsidised basket case free gratis.
I'd say you could raise a good whack taxing the 2000 richest people on the Island
You could definitely introduce best practice into the civil services on both sides of the border.
You could cut a lot of fat out of health spending.
Partition has been  a catastrophe.
There is enough money to make the fourth green field productive again.
You absolutely, definitely, without any doubt could NOT introduce best practice to the civil service
It doesn't have to be shite
Here are a few examples of what was going on in 2010/11

Shane Ross in 2010 questioning Alan Dukes about the Anglo Board.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=RbE4ZHIzvTY#

Some 10 years ago, UCD law lecturer John O'Dowd and I conducted an analysis of why Ireland appeared to be permanently bogged down in tribunals of inquiry while jurisdictions such as the US and the UK managed to complete similar investigations much more rapidly and at far less cost.

A whistleblower's charter also enhances the threat of exposure. My TCD colleague Bill Kingston has long argued that it would have made much less likely such public-service failures as the lethal blood transfusions scandal, illegal charges for long-stay institutional care, Garda impropriety in Donegal, the PPARS health-service payroll system and the acquiescence of the Revenue Service to the demands of Charles Haughey.

Brian Cowen claimed after becoming taoiseach the economic decisions made by government over the boom period had
been made on the best advice available

In a private sector company the 'official regulatory accounts' would be dwarved internally by reams of management accounts, and performance management systems (including non ledger data). Such would be provided on a lot more timely basis, with directly accountable middle management required to explain/fix issues.
I can assure you, you're only seeing the tip of the iceberg of information deficiency in the PS. This deficiency is both allied to underinvestment, but more importantly cultural issues, where value for money is mostly not understood, let alone appreciated or chased.

THE HEALTH Service Executive has pledged to improve child protection services following reports which show up to 35 young people who were known to social services have died over the past 18 months.Most young people died from natural causes, followed by suicide, accidents and drug overdoses. The deaths include children who were known to social services or previously had contact with child protection services. Only three children were in the care system at the time of their death.

•   – Ireland needs a Tenders Act. I believe that there is a type of corruption about that is not all about brown envelopes. There is a cosy system that helps people in the know. €19 billion is being spent by public authorities annually and there is very little adherence to European laws or national government guidelines. It is unfair on those who tender and we are not getting value for money.
Billions worth of public contracts are not advertised. There is a great effort to circumvent the EU laws. Public service and public supply contracts, for example, with a value greater than €193,000 are being called public works contracts so they do not have to be advertised in OJEU across the EU unless the contract value is over €4.8 million. As a result, EU time limits and other rules do not apply.
There is the failure to use simple procedures, the failure to properly describe what is being purchased in the contract notice, the failure to be open as to how tenders are marked; and unnecessary demands are put on tenderers, such as high turnover requirement or too much paperwork. Worst of all is the failure to advertise the tender for a long time period prior to tender date. This is often done when someone in the know is lined up for the contract.


The new digital display at my bus stop in Phibsborough was not working this morning. May I suggest that Dublin Bus leave it off. The times displayed rarely relate to when the buses actually arrive. The map displayed at the bus stop could also go. It shows buses 47, 46e, 46a, 145, 39a, 17, 84, 75, 114, 47, 63, 185, and 184, which do not stop at this bus stop, but does not show buses 9, 83 or 140 that do stop at this bus stop (across the road from Phibsborough Shopping Centre).

The people are betrayed day after day
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mayo4Sam on July 21, 2018, 02:34:04 PM
Unions are to blame, its a f**king disgrace what they get away with
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 21, 2018, 02:47:20 PM
Meanwhile the FT is reporting concerns that food supplies will come under threat if the UK leaves with no deal. Presumably this may include wine supplies for Belfast.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 21, 2018, 02:48:53 PM
Unions represent their members which is their function.
Pre 1913 is not an option.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2018, 02:57:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2018, 02:47:20 PM
Meanwhile the FT is reporting concerns that food supplies will come under threat if the UK leaves with no deal. Presumably this may include wine supplies for Belfast.

Will just have to mail order the wine in!  8)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on July 22, 2018, 01:40:05 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2018, 02:57:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2018, 02:47:20 PM
Meanwhile the FT is reporting concerns that food supplies will come under threat if the UK leaves with no deal. Presumably this may include wine supplies for Belfast.

Will just have to mail order the wine in!  8)

Can it be flown in, or stored on barges moored off the coast?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 22, 2018, 09:33:42 AM
Quote from: mouview on July 22, 2018, 01:40:05 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2018, 02:57:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2018, 02:47:20 PM
Meanwhile the FT is reporting concerns that food supplies will come under threat if the UK leaves with no deal. Presumably this may include wine supplies for Belfast.

Will just have to mail order the wine in!  8)

Can it be flown in, or stored on barges moored off the coast?

Just drive it over the border... oh wait it costs a fortune gown there
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: cjx on July 22, 2018, 11:35:45 AM
Most older country IRA men were smugglers before they were IRA so hard brexit suits the hard men well. Add people to animals, white dust an daysel; while NI sits on the edge of recession right now. Border poll 2022 and all the other EU citizens Asians Africans and Hispanics including the Tyrone East Timorese with vote for United Ireland and 200k empire loyalists including the castle Catholics will flee Good riddance
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 22, 2018, 01:37:12 PM
Quote from: cjx on July 22, 2018, 11:35:45 AM
Most older country IRA men were smugglers before they were IRA so hard brexit suits the hard men well. Add people to animals, white dust an daysel; while NI sits on the edge of recession right now. Border poll 2022 and all the other EU citizens Asians Africans and Hispanics including the Tyrone East Timorese with vote for United Ireland and 200k empire loyalists including the castle Catholics will flee Good riddance

Edge of recession? Hasn't got over the last recession when the banks fucked everyone over!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 22, 2018, 09:26:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 22, 2018, 01:37:12 PM
Quote from: cjx on July 22, 2018, 11:35:45 AM
Most older country IRA men were smugglers before they were IRA so hard brexit suits the hard men well. Add people to animals, white dust an daysel; while NI sits on the edge of recession right now. Border poll 2022 and all the other EU citizens Asians Africans and Hispanics including the Tyrone East Timorese with vote for United Ireland and 200k empire loyalists including the castle Catholics will flee Good riddance

Edge of recession? Hasn't got over the last recession when the banks fucked everyone over!

Quite right, the wee 6 has not got over the last recession.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DidJlM0X0AAGIrx.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 25, 2018, 11:35:30 AM
Stockpiles of medicine and food now fair play to someone putting in a bit of planning for this!!

I mean screaming "THIS IS ABSOLUTE MADNESS WHY DON'T WE JUST f**king STOP" in the middle of the house of Commons so that they actually back out of this madness is probably a better idea but maybe we should stick to the stockpiling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 25, 2018, 12:40:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 25, 2018, 11:35:30 AM
Stockpiles of medicine and food now fair play to someone putting in a bit of planning for this!!

I mean screaming "THIS IS ABSOLUTE MADNESS WHY DON'T WE JUST f**king STOP" in the middle of the house of Commons so that they actually back out of this madness is probably a better idea but maybe we should stick to the stockpiling.

Ration books to be reintroduced.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 25, 2018, 01:18:32 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 25, 2018, 12:40:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 25, 2018, 11:35:30 AM
Stockpiles of medicine and food now fair play to someone putting in a bit of planning for this!!

I mean screaming "THIS IS ABSOLUTE MADNESS WHY DON'T WE JUST f**king STOP" in the middle of the house of Commons so that they actually back out of this madness is probably a better idea but maybe we should stick to the stockpiling.

Ration books to be reintroduced.

Eggs and Butter smuggled across the border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 25, 2018, 01:34:32 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 25, 2018, 12:40:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 25, 2018, 11:35:30 AM
Stockpiles of medicine and food now fair play to someone putting in a bit of planning for this!!

I mean screaming "THIS IS ABSOLUTE MADNESS WHY DON'T WE JUST f**king STOP" in the middle of the house of Commons so that they actually back out of this madness is probably a better idea but maybe we should stick to the stockpiling.

Ration books to be reintroduced.

(https://www.sabre-roads.org.uk/forum/download/file.php?id=13581)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on July 25, 2018, 07:14:02 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 25, 2018, 12:40:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 25, 2018, 11:35:30 AM
Stockpiles of medicine and food now fair play to someone putting in a bit of planning for this!!

I mean screaming "THIS IS ABSOLUTE MADNESS WHY DON'T WE JUST f**king STOP" in the middle of the house of Commons so that they actually back out of this madness is probably a better idea but maybe we should stick to the stockpiling.

Ration books to be reintroduced.
Blue ones?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 26, 2018, 09:20:52 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on July 25, 2018, 07:14:02 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 25, 2018, 12:40:30 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 25, 2018, 11:35:30 AM
Stockpiles of medicine and food now fair play to someone putting in a bit of planning for this!!

I mean screaming "THIS IS ABSOLUTE MADNESS WHY DON'T WE JUST f**king STOP" in the middle of the house of Commons so that they actually back out of this madness is probably a better idea but maybe we should stick to the stockpiling.

Ration books to be reintroduced.
Blue ones?

Showing your age there Leo, I had to think about that one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 26, 2018, 10:48:37 AM
Prob just referring to the passports
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 26, 2018, 01:40:24 PM
It's mad. It's just mad that it's been allowed to go this far. Common sense has been slaughtered at the altar of democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on July 26, 2018, 01:47:47 PM
Linekers callin for a referendum.its all gona be ok
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 26, 2018, 01:53:13 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 26, 2018, 01:40:24 PM
It's mad. It's just mad that it's been allowed to go this far. Common sense has been slaughtered at the altar of democracy.
Leaving the EU with no deal and nothing to replace it when half the food is imported is very stupid.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on July 26, 2018, 02:00:01 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 26, 2018, 01:53:13 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 26, 2018, 01:40:24 PM
It's mad. It's just mad that it's been allowed to go this far. Common sense has been slaughtered at the altar of democracy.
Leaving the EU with no deal and nothing to replace it when half the food is imported is very stupid.

Sorry "very stupid" just doesn't do it justice
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on July 26, 2018, 02:10:44 PM
Tessie is taking personal control of negotiations. You're never that badly f*cked as that things can get even worse. I'd say a northern cattle jobber would do a better deal;

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-44941792

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 26, 2018, 02:20:32 PM
Quote from: maddog on July 26, 2018, 02:00:01 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 26, 2018, 01:53:13 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 26, 2018, 01:40:24 PM
It's mad. It's just mad that it's been allowed to go this far. Common sense has been slaughtered at the altar of democracy.
Leaving the EU with no deal and nothing to replace it when half the food is imported is very stupid.

Sorry "very stupid" just doesn't do it justice
About 40% of Brits were brainwashed
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 26, 2018, 06:26:44 PM
https://www.byline.com/column/22/article/2244
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on July 26, 2018, 06:49:47 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 26, 2018, 06:26:44 PM
https://www.byline.com/column/22/article/2244

It's coming down the line ... maybe quicker than some expect. The English will have absolutely no compunction in jettisoning the occupied six for economic reasons and unionists are completely deluding themselves if they think otherwise. Their Stockholm syndrome for the butcher's apron and all it represents is making them blind to the realities
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 30, 2018, 07:35:07 AM
The DUP want something that neither the UK business community nor a majority of Brits want. And NI doesn't even have a devolved government.

https://www.independent.ie/business/brexit/angloirish-relationship-will-suffer-from-fallout-37162776.html


Shona Murray

July 28 2018 2:30 AM
Former Northern Ireland First Minister Peter Robinson has warned Brexit will leave Anglo-Irish relations "unalterably changed".


Mr Robinson also said that the Irish Government and its British counterpart will struggle to maintain the "warmth of their pre-Brexit affinity" when the process of the UK leaving the EU is complete.

Speaking at the MacGill Summer School, in Glenties, Co Donegal, Mr Robinson also admitted that the Brexit process, of which he was supportive, has been "disruptive and wearisome".

He said: "There has been a settled understanding of the constitutional position of Northern Ireland and its interaction with both the rest of the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland.

"Shaking that tree was certain to cause an abundant fall-out."

He added: "Whatever happens over the next weeks and months the stable connections that developed over the past two decades will unalterably change."

Mr Robinson also admitted that the EU provided a "common room" for allies to work together, including the British and Irish governments.

That contact would now cease with the UK leaving the EU. The only way to get the 'East-West' relations remotely back together is "through the devolved government", he added.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 30, 2018, 09:45:55 PM
Some indications that British opinion is shifting a bit. People don't think Brexit will benefit them.
https://news.sky.com/story/pub...sky-data-poll-reveals-11453220
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on July 31, 2018, 06:54:22 AM
(https://media.boingboing.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/20160625_woc754_2.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on July 31, 2018, 06:57:04 AM
An interesting list.....

https://blogs.ec.europa.eu/ECintheUK/euromyths-a-z-index/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on August 02, 2018, 05:22:01 PM
Interesting research published that there is a very strong case to be made that the conservative party's austerity measures were the root cause of brexit...

https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/centres/cage/manage/publications/381-2018_fetzer.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on August 02, 2018, 06:08:13 PM
How come Scot;and and NI voted remain?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 02, 2018, 06:29:25 PM
Higher IQ  levels?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on August 02, 2018, 07:59:35 PM
There's no such thing as a Little Scotlander or Little NI'er. Lower levels of racism, xenophobia, jingoism and imperialistic delusions.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 03, 2018, 09:21:35 AM
Comedian Stewart Lee said it best, not just racists voted for Brexit, c**ts did too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 03, 2018, 09:44:59 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 03, 2018, 09:21:35 AM
Comedian Stewart Lee said it best, not just racists voted for Brexit, c***ts did too.

Frankie boyle;

"Respecting people who had genuine concerns about the accountability or the fate of Greece doesn't mean you have to accord the same respect to people who want to leave Europe because they don't like Pakistanis."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 12:28:37 PM
Quote from: Hardy on August 02, 2018, 07:59:35 PM
There's no such thing as a Little Scotlander or Little NI'er. Lower levels of racism, xenophobia, jingoism and imperialistic delusions.

There is still far too much racism in NI. I used to work with a Pakistani guy in Belfast who got a terrible time of it. There are quite a few with imperialistic delusions too - mainly in the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 03, 2018, 12:44:22 PM
Quote from: heganboy on August 02, 2018, 05:22:01 PM
Interesting research published that there is a very strong case to be made that the conservative party's austerity measures were the root cause of brexit...

https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/centres/cage/manage/publications/381-2018_fetzer.pdf
I was thinking the same thing. The people behind austerity are also behind Brexit.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 03, 2018, 01:03:45 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on August 02, 2018, 06:08:13 PM
How come Scot;and and NI voted remain?

They are less likely to be swayed by England centric British nationalism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 03, 2018, 01:08:20 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 12:28:37 PM
Quote from: Hardy on August 02, 2018, 07:59:35 PM
There's no such thing as a Little Scotlander or Little NI'er. Lower levels of racism, xenophobia, jingoism and imperialistic delusions.

There is still far too much racism in NI. I used to work with a Pakistani guy in Belfast who got a terrible time of it. There are quite a few with imperialistic delusions too - mainly in the DUP.

Those two groups tend to overlap quite a bit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 03, 2018, 02:42:14 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 03, 2018, 01:08:20 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 12:28:37 PM
Quote from: Hardy on August 02, 2018, 07:59:35 PM
There's no such thing as a Little Scotlander or Little NI'er. Lower levels of racism, xenophobia, jingoism and imperialistic delusions.

There is still far too much racism in NI. I used to work with a Pakistani guy in Belfast who got a terrible time of it. There are quite a few with imperialistic delusions too - mainly in the DUP.

Those two groups tend to overlap quite a bit.

If you think Nationalists in N.I are not racist then you are deluded... to be fair its probably an older generation and a younger (late teens) generation in areas where education wouldnt have been high on the agenda.. but I would have heard it a lot when I was teaching and still hear it from my dads generation (whom i see very much)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 03:08:41 PM
The pakistani fella i knew had awful bother on the cromwell road in belfast(just off botanic). That's mixed. People just walking up to him in the street and racially abusing him. It was shocking. Sadly that happens in any community. There was a very publicised (on social media anyway) incident on the falls recently too so sadly happens everywhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 03, 2018, 04:21:24 PM
Quote from: hardstation on August 03, 2018, 03:14:53 PM
Though, if you were to count up incidents of racial intimidation and violence, the balance would weigh a lot heavier on one side I'd imagine?

Probaby, but for instance, where I used to live, Iveagh on the Falls, a lot of the people living in and around there work in the hospital, City or the Royal, they are from overseas, various different ethnic backgrounds.. Had a client who came in the other day from there and basically for about 20 minutes he was giving off about the 'chinks' that have moved in!!! I was continually trying to take him off the topic but he kept going back to it, saying 'I'm sure your glad you don't live there anymore' Damn right I'm glad, would be torture to have to listen to a dick like that!

But hey, I wouldnt be looking at who does it the most, its not a competition to see who hates who the most... Its funny that most of the people that moved here more or less moved into the traditional protestant areas.. Now its seems to be even enough over all areas, so we may well see more of it on both sides! Hope not
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 06:01:37 PM
Quote from: hardstation on August 03, 2018, 03:14:53 PM
Though, if you were to count up incidents of racial intimidation and violence, the balance would weigh a lot heavier on one side I'd imagine?

Very possibly but it isn't exclusive.  Part of that is more sectarianism than racism particularly with Polish but they are pretty much the same thing anyway.

Stinks either way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 03, 2018, 06:26:03 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on August 03, 2018, 04:21:24 PM
But hey, I wouldnt be looking at who does it the most, its not a competition to see who hates who the most... Its funny that most of the people that moved here more or less moved into the traditional protestant areas.. Now its seems to be even enough over all areas, so we may well see more of it on both sides! Hope not

People moved into Protestant areas because there is property available there as population declines as Protestants move to outer suburbs, Catholic areas are bunged and the people cannot safely move to the Protestant areas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 06:51:07 PM
I would change the word protestant to loyalist there.

The Shankill and sandy rowe are loyalist areas. Catholics couldn't move there.

Places like upper Newtownards road and Dundonald could arguably be classed as protestant areas. Catholics can move to most of either of these two places with no issues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 06:53:03 PM
I should also add Lisburn to that. Very much a growing Catholic population and a much improved football(of the gaelic variety...) team.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on August 03, 2018, 06:59:21 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 06:51:07 PM
I would change the word protestant to loyalist there.

The Shankill and sandy rowe are loyalist areas. Catholics couldn't move there.

Places like upper Newtownards road and Dundonald could arguably be classed as protestant areas. Catholics can move to most of either of these two places with no issues.

Aye, as long as they keep their heads down
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 07:06:06 PM
"Themmuns" are not that bad when you're not dealing with the extreme end. 

Same on both sides more towards middle ground.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 03, 2018, 07:49:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 03, 2018, 06:26:03 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on August 03, 2018, 04:21:24 PM
But hey, I wouldnt be looking at who does it the most, its not a competition to see who hates who the most... Its funny that most of the people that moved here more or less moved into the traditional protestant areas.. Now its seems to be even enough over all areas, so we may well see more of it on both sides! Hope not

People moved into Protestant areas because there is property available there as population declines as Protestants move to outer suburbs, Catholic areas are bunged and the people cannot safely move to the Protestant areas.

Plenty people from were I lived have moved out! But I must admit someone from south Armagh who lives in the south would know how it's actually panned out in Belfast
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on August 03, 2018, 08:22:13 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 03, 2018, 06:51:07 PM
I would change the word protestant to loyalist there.

The Shankill and sandy rowe are loyalist areas. Catholics couldn't move there.

Places like upper Newtownards road and Dundonald could arguably be classed as protestant areas. Catholics can move to most of either of these two places with no issues.

Couple of months ago, I saw a guy with a couple of hurls in his hand strolling past the Stormont Hotel one afternoon. In the good old days, you would have said he had a death wish. Times have changed obviously but I still wouldn't be that brave!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 03, 2018, 10:24:46 PM
Thread hijack anyone?

I cant really see how May is gonna get her proposals through Parliament with the Brexiteers in full revolt. Unless Labour go for it... but thats pretty unlikely.

In that case what are her options: no confidence showdown? resignation? GE? or a referendum on Checkers?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 04, 2018, 05:25:13 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 03, 2018, 10:24:46 PM
Thread hijack anyone?

I cant really see how May is gonna get her proposals through Parliament with the Brexiteers in full revolt. Unless Labour go for it... but thats pretty unlikely.

In that case what are her options: no confidence showdown? resignation? GE? or a referendum on Checkers?
The EU and everyone in the Tory party other than the Brexit heads are on the same side. They want a functioning UK economy.Brexit is about destroying the UK economy , especially anything linked to Government spending on people. No food protection, no NHS, no unemployment support. Total laissez faire. Losers get nothing

The only answer is to isolate the Brexit ultras and destroy them. This cannot be done by October.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 04, 2018, 10:03:32 AM
the other side story is that it looks like anti corbyn people are trying to destroy him with this anti semite stuff. (which I firmly believe is purely made up political opportunism). I expect an attempt to push him out soon.

I would say May has to go soon. I'd be surprised if she is still there by christmas. She is well on her way to no deal.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on August 04, 2018, 10:26:42 AM
And who do you see as being better than her in getting a reasonable deal? What's happening is pure fascism. The Governor of the Bank of England gives his analysis, based on experience and evidence, and he's accused of promoting Project Fear. It's haywire.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 04, 2018, 10:35:08 AM
No one  :(

She will pretty much take a fall. Whoever took over from Cameron took on a poisoned chalice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on August 04, 2018, 11:33:34 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on August 04, 2018, 10:26:42 AM
And who do you see as being better than her in getting a reasonable deal? What's happening is pure fascism. The Governor of the Bank of England gives his analysis, based on experience and evidence, and he's accused of promoting Project Fear. It's haywire.

Don't watch much mainstream news but saw BBC at 9 or 10 last night. Was absolutley astounded that Project Fear was referred to in the main headline that the Guv of BoE shared his view. Wouldnt be surprised if Boris is writing the headlines at this stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on August 04, 2018, 11:58:47 AM
Yesterday's comments came from Peter Bone MP. You would walk a long mile before finding a more vile creature.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on August 04, 2018, 12:08:36 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on August 04, 2018, 11:58:47 AM
Yesterday's comments came from Peter Bone MP. You would walk a long mile before finding a more vile creature.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Bone (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Bone)

Sven's twin?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on August 06, 2018, 11:35:38 PM
Here is how i see what is happening with brexit
-England leave with a no deal. EU gets nothing
-England are positioning themselves to operate as an off shore financial facility where the worlds money willflow through with no interference from Europe.
-England will cut corporation tax to 12.5% and things will start tò move and investments will come in
-Europe will come lookin a trade deal with the UK
-Ireland will have a border and we go to war again.

England is playing a very clever game here using the media to their full advantage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on August 07, 2018, 11:09:22 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 06, 2018, 11:35:38 PM
Here is how i see what is happening with brexit
-England leave with a no deal. EU gets nothing
-England are positioning themselves to operate as an off shore financial facility where the worlds money willflow through with no interference from Europe.
-England will cut corporation tax to 12.5% and things will start tò move and investments will come in
-Europe will come lookin a trade deal with the UK
-Ireland will have a border and we go to war again.

England is playing a very clever game here using the media to their full advantage.

(https://i.imgur.com/SolDg87.gif)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 08, 2018, 11:09:46 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 06, 2018, 11:35:38 PM
Here is how i see what is happening with brexit
-England leave with a no deal. EU gets nothing
-England are positioning themselves to operate as an off shore financial facility where the worlds money willflow through with no interference from Europe.
-England will cut corporation tax to 12.5% and things will start tò move and investments will come in
-Europe will come lookin a trade deal with the UK
-Ireland will have a border and we go to war again.

England is playing a very clever game here using the media to their full advantage.

This lad thinks different and I'm not talking about James O'Brien;

https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/expert-schools-james-obrien-on-brexit-facts/?__twitter_impression=true (https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/james-obrien/expert-schools-james-obrien-on-brexit-facts/?__twitter_impression=true)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 24, 2018, 10:47:42 AM
Great response from the Brits for companies trading across the border - "Ask the Irish Government"
You couldn't make it up :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 24, 2018, 10:50:59 AM
Irish sea checks the only way forward
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/ni-customs-checks-would-take-place-in-britain-under-new-plans-1.3605868
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 24, 2018, 11:01:00 AM
I don't think Brexit is going to happen. Maybe if the OECD economies were growing  at 4% it might be possible but Europe is stagnating and the EU won't concede much to a competitor.  Plus the UK is trína chéile , polarised and may be looking at no deal which would be suicidal. Brexit makes no sense given the context.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on August 24, 2018, 11:03:37 AM
Trump as president made no sense either
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on August 24, 2018, 11:41:28 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 24, 2018, 10:47:42 AM
Great response from the Brits for companies trading across the border - "Ask the Irish Government"
You couldn't make it up :o

In essence, the british are saying they don't know how brexit will affect you paddies in the six county colony

I find this totally unbelievable.

Why is the other local parties not up in arms?

Why are the media not descending on the DUP about this?

What are the DUP and Jim Allister saying about this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 24, 2018, 11:45:07 AM
I'm thinking it won't happen either. I think swathes really are changing their minds, and if there is broad support for a new vote it will happen. Its becoming abundantly clear that the best possible scenario still leaves the UK in a significantly worse position.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 24, 2018, 12:28:26 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 24, 2018, 11:41:28 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 24, 2018, 10:47:42 AM
Great response from the Brits for companies trading across the border - "Ask the Irish Government"
You couldn't make it up :o

In essence, the british are saying they don't know how brexit will affect you paddies in the six county colony

I find this totally unbelievable.

Why is the other local parties not up in arms?

Why are the media not descending on the DUP about this?

What are the DUP and Jim Allister saying about this?
The DUP are taking a Fianna Fáil approach. The Brexit boom is getting boomier. Anyone who doesn't agree should commit suicide. Jaysus Chrisht ! We had no idea it would happen. If we knew then what we knew now obviously we would have acted differently. A tragedy in 4 acts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 24, 2018, 01:11:22 PM
The DUP are saying something....

Let's build a bridge to scotland for 15 billion quid! (No this is not made up)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on August 24, 2018, 02:14:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 24, 2018, 11:01:00 AM
I don't think Brexit is going to happen. Maybe if the OECD economies were growing  at 4% it might be possible but Europe is stagnating and the EU won't concede much to a competitor.  Plus the UK is trína chéile , polarised and may be looking at no deal which would be suicidal. Brexit makes no sense given the context.

You are discounting the great British (political) stubbornness; realistically, the only way it can't happen in some form is to have another referendum and neither Tories or Labour would want to be seen backing that. They'd sooner send the nation to hell in a hand cart rather than swallow their pride.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on August 24, 2018, 02:34:14 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 24, 2018, 10:47:42 AM
Great response from the Brits for companies trading across the border - "Ask the Irish Government"
You couldn't make it up :o

Is that supposed to be a hint to the DUP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on August 24, 2018, 03:12:04 PM
Nigel to form a new party and rally all the little englanders to carry a no deal Brexit. Taking back control......they haven't a f**king clue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 24, 2018, 03:30:11 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 24, 2018, 01:11:22 PM
The DUP are saying something....

Let's build a bridge to scotland for 15 billion quid! (No this is not made up)
Who's going to pay for it?
Scots won't anyway :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on August 24, 2018, 04:19:57 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 24, 2018, 03:30:11 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 24, 2018, 01:11:22 PM
The DUP are saying something....

Let's build a bridge to scotland for 15 billion quid! (No this is not made up)
Who's going to pay for it?
Scots won't anyway :D

Signal of utter desperation. See what way the wind is blowing demographics-wise and Brexit-wise, refuse to engage meaningfully with the indigenous Irish people of the occupied six, but propose this fantasy as if it's actually a possibility, to somehow keep link with their 'brethren' in lowland Scotland ... what a shower of deluded wankers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 24, 2018, 04:46:49 PM
These pricks sold us down the river now they are trying the usual smoke and mirrors to distract it. They will get away with it as they normally do >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on August 29, 2018, 02:43:49 PM
Brexit is an unmitigated disaster accelerating down the tracks, it will lead to reinforcement of partition, job loses and economic chaos in the North. Anyone saying it will be a European border is talking bollocks as Britain is not going to allow immigrants to be bussed in from Dundalk. So one of two things will happen, a armed uk border patrols from Newry to Derry or border checks from all ports and airports taking passengers from the Island of Ireland. The more May relies on the DUP the more likely the first scenario. The more time passes the more convinced i am of the absolute stupidity of the leaders of Unionism and especially Arlene and Nigel.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on August 29, 2018, 06:30:17 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on August 29, 2018, 02:43:49 PM
Brexit is an unmitigated disaster accelerating down the tracks, it will lead to reinforcement of partition, job loses and economic chaos in the North. Anyone saying it will be a European border is talking bollocks as Britain is not going to allow immigrants to be bussed in from Dundalk. So one of two things will happen, a armed uk border patrols from Newry to Derry or border checks from all ports and airports taking passengers from the Island of Ireland. The more May relies on the DUP the more likely the first scenario. The more time passes the more convinced i am of the absolute stupidity of the leaders of Unionism and especially Arlene and Nigel.

No chance of an armed border....brits will not pay for it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 29, 2018, 06:57:41 PM
There have been zero deals. The Brexit heads including the DUP want to leave without any trading arrangements. The best May can say is that it wouldn't be the end of the world . The poor will of course be shafted. The UK imports half of its food. The Brexit crowd including the DUP do not care about their voters. May should call an election for the sake of the Tory party and pray that it gets hammered. Brexit is poison.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on August 29, 2018, 09:29:26 PM
There has been deals. The brits have been going about sorting deals. Isn't may in S.Africa at the minute, deals are being done
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 29, 2018, 09:35:31 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 29, 2018, 09:29:26 PM
There has been deals. The brits have been going about sorting deals. Isn't may in S.Africa at the minute, deals are being done
So zero  was last week
6 this week vs 759 deals it has via the EU
Won't put much food on the table
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on August 29, 2018, 09:48:12 PM
Seafoid u know there is more than 6 dont be actin silly now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on August 29, 2018, 11:52:53 PM
QuoteSeafoid u know there is more than 6 dont be actin silly now.

Name the deals, what are they, who are they with?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 30, 2018, 12:11:20 AM
Albania, Moldova, Rockall. .....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 30, 2018, 06:26:54 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 29, 2018, 09:48:12 PM
Seafoid u know there is more than 6 dont be actin silly now.
Deals as a percentage of current trade - give us a guess.
This is about ensuring there is enough food next year. In Russian there is a saying that the situation is hopeless but not serious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 30, 2018, 08:42:52 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 29, 2018, 09:48:12 PM
Seafoid u know there is more than 6 dont be actin silly now.

I thought these trade deals take a few years to flesh out, but May can do them on a state visit!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 30, 2018, 10:11:10 AM
Trade negotiation is like war. Everyone knows the UK is in an exceptionally weak position and will negotiate accordingly. Think the UDA looking for protection money.  India wants visa free travel for unlimited numbers of Indians. The US wants to flog genetically modified beef and chlorinated chicken. Brexit is complete nonsense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on August 30, 2018, 10:51:42 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sx4AF-3Rd44

Try that - very illuminating with regard to the real position vis a vis trade, WTO rules etc.

Britain is in a very, very bad position.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 30, 2018, 01:59:51 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on August 30, 2018, 10:51:42 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sx4AF-3Rd44

Try that - very illuminating with regard to the real position vis a vis trade, WTO rules etc.

Britain is in a very, very bad position.

Great link

There is also this

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=7slP5a0dHZU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on August 30, 2018, 02:57:22 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 29, 2018, 09:29:26 PM
There has been deals. The brits have been going about sorting deals. Isn't may in S.Africa at the minute, deals are being done
On the same terms as th EU accounting for 0.07% of UK trade.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on August 31, 2018, 08:37:55 AM
The Brits leaving is the tip of the iceberg for Europe. The EU is afraid of the domino effect, the rise of the far right in many countries and the inevitable Italian bailout.....one that is about 5 times worse than Greece😳 Anyone booking holidays for next summer.....hope you are flying from Dublin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 31, 2018, 09:19:44 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on August 31, 2018, 08:37:55 AM
The Brits leaving is the tip of the iceberg for Europe. The EU is afraid of the domino effect, the rise of the far right in many countries and the inevitable Italian bailout.....one that is about 5 times worse than Greece😳 Anyone booking holidays for next summer.....hope you are flying from Dublin.

Holidays? I'm surprised with the way pre Brexit has been anyone can afford a holiday never mind how its going to be once brexit kicks in.. may close down the holiday thread
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 31, 2018, 10:40:22 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on August 31, 2018, 09:19:44 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on August 31, 2018, 08:37:55 AM
The Brits leaving is the tip of the iceberg for Europe. The EU is afraid of the domino effect, the rise of the far right in many countries and the inevitable Italian bailout.....one that is about 5 times worse than Greece😳 Anyone booking holidays for next summer.....hope you are flying from Dublin.

Holidays? I'm surprised with the way pre Brexit has been anyone can afford a holiday never mind how its going to be once brexit kicks in.. may close down the holiday thread
The DUP don't believe in climate change and they want a hard Brexit. Mencken said the art of democracy is giving voters what they want good and hard.
Anyway the recent summer was lovely so who needs Spain when you can have Portstewart in 27 degree sunshine?  Next thing there will be vineyards. Shangri La , only with the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on August 31, 2018, 10:58:37 AM
Britain has still to negotiate an open skies deal with the EU for after Brexit, so flying from Belfast direct to Europe may not be as easy as now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 31, 2018, 12:49:41 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/aug/30/brexiters-future-crashing-out-hard-soft-brexit-dominic-raab

When I almost (but not quite) voted for Brexit in 2016, I assumed it would be something like this. I never dreamed a British cabinet would go for "hard". There was not a shred of evidence that the hard option was what Britons wanted. They did not want imports and exports impeded at borders, food prices rising, or their holidays ended with a "hostile environment" at ports of entry. Their concern lay in controlling immigration. Even then, polls showed that few wanted to see care workers, plumbers, builders or hospital staff driven back to Poland. The priority always was immigration from non-EU countries, a concern shared by all EU countries. If only May's negotiators had accepted the customs union and stuck to discussing migration, they might have found common ground and a deal already.

Somewhere at the messy end of customs union is, I am sure, where Brexit is going to culminate. It is towards this goal that rumours of compromise between May and France's President Macron seem aimed. Negotiations are likely to default to the "backstop position" of a customs union, as advocated for Northern Ireland by the EU's Michel Barnier and now called "Chequers minus". It makes pragmatic sense.
Advocates of hard Brexit, such as Jacob Rees-Mogg and Boris Johnson, are deep into reality denial. They drink the Kool-Aid of Daily Mail confirmation bias. Nothing I have heard or read since 2016 explains how hard Brexit is remotely in Britain's interest. Special status – heads we win, tails you lose – was never going to wash with the EU. Hard Brexit would therefore mean shifting to World Trade Organisation tariffs, a customs wall and detailed border inspection. The UK would have to find a surge in trade with the rest of the world that made up for lost EU business. This was glaringly, idiotically implausible.

Yet desperate not to seem anti-immigrant (and Johnson instinctively is not), the hard Brexit lobby was forced back on to trade as the be all and end all of their cause. The cry of "we must make our own deals" never had specifics attached. It is meaningless as long as the UK trades half its food with Europe, and needs to integrate its car and aero industries with the continent. Besides, other EU nations do deals with Africa and China, as does the EU with Egypt, Turkey and Morocco. All trade is a barter of sovereignty. "Taking back control" of trade is waffle.
Experts warned from the start that hard Brexit would take years to deliver. There would be a chaos of dismantling regulatory harmonisation, a hard border in Northern Ireland and long delays at ports of entry. That is why mad Brexit – "crashing out" – has risen so fast up the political agenda. Hard Brexiters have been forced to admit: "Let's just do it and see what happens." They show a touch of hooligan exhilaration in punching a chunk of the economy in the face – with other people's livelihoods getting hurt.


As the forces of soft Brexit prepare for the end game, mad Brexit is what cabinet Brexiters are seeking to sanitise, at a staggering cost of a reported £3bn in administration alone. Raab is implying that all will be well with no deal, so long as private businesses tool up to carry the bureaucratic burden. Like Rees-Mogg, he believes they should bear the short-term cost as it is supposedly to the nation's long-term advantage. It's a dystopian, Blade Runner Brexit.
There was a case for Brexit to traumatise the politics of a hesitant and ill-led European community. There was no case to destroy the vitality of a common market that had served Britain well for decades. There is no other Brexit but soft. May must seize control of her party and lead it in that direction.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on August 31, 2018, 03:07:22 PM
Had to laugh at the clown from Norn Iron, presumably Kilkeel or Portavogie complaing at being attacked by smaller French scallop boats as the fish French waters, denied to the french themselves for the summer months to protect stocks. He wanted the British Navy to come to their aid. So much for taking back control of British waters. If the fishing industry gets its way he won't be able to fish there at all next year. f**king cake and eat it Brexiteeer mentality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 31, 2018, 03:34:13 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on August 31, 2018, 03:07:22 PM
Had to laugh at the clown from Norn Iron, presumably Kilkeel or Portavogie complaing at being attacked by smaller French scallop boats as the fish French waters, denied to the french themselves for the summer months to protect stocks. He wanted the British Navy to come to their aid. So much for taking back control of British waters. If the fishing industry gets its way he won't be able to fish there at all next year. f**king cake and eat it Brexiteeer mentality.

The fishing industry must be full of short sighted morons more than most.

They're complaining about French and Spanish boats fishing in UK waters and can't wait till Brexit to put a stop to this, but in the same breath UK fishermen export 75% of their catch into the EU.

How are they going to manage that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on August 31, 2018, 03:49:00 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on August 31, 2018, 03:07:22 PM
Had to laugh at the clown from Norn Iron, presumably Kilkeel or Portavogie complaing at being attacked by smaller French scallop boats as the fish French waters, denied to the french themselves for the summer months to protect stocks. He wanted the British Navy to come to their aid. So much for taking back control of British waters. If the fishing industry gets its way he won't be able to fish there at all next year. f**king cake and eat it Brexiteeer mentality.

Same as the Kilkeel fishermen at the time of the referendum wanted out of EU but still wanted to be able to hire the cheap foreign workers on the boats.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on September 01, 2018, 03:20:48 PM
Tony Connelly on the money again;

According to Reuters, the Polish minister Konrad Szymański, who was the first to speak, told the meeting that the EU may have to choose between Ireland and no-deal.
According to a number of sources present, there was a stunned silence when he made the intervention.
Ironically, the effect was to stiffen the resolve of other member states in supporting Ireland, so that ministers from countries like Lithuania – who had not intended to intervene – decided to do so.
"I think in the end from an Irish perspective it worked out pretty well," says the (non-Irish) Brexit negotiator from one member state who was present.
"The Polish minister started to make his comments, and then all the others said no, we're all behind Ireland, particularly the French and German ministers.
"In the end it reinforced the message that Ireland could count on our solidarity and I think also for the Polish themselves, they probably felt they could have expressed themselves a little differently."
As we enter the final critical phase, Dublin will increasingly rely on such support holding firm.
But given the potential for so many things to go wrong, and the fact that no matter which artful, elaborate formula is agreed – if indeed there is agreement – Theresa May will struggle to get it through the House of Commons.


This is the start of the endgame. The Polish minister cracked when the pressure came on. Impressive resolve from the other 26 but can it survive? A time for cool heads and firm resolve, particularly from Leo and Simon. If they let down the wee six they will never be forgiven. If they do get a deal which May supports and the DUP object to then SF are going to have to seriously consider their abstentionist policy. Forget about precedent, forget about 'they were elected on an abstentionist platform'- these are unprecedented times and we need Irish women and men to stand up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 01, 2018, 05:14:07 PM
That right wing Polish Govt would love to leave the EU.
They plus the Hungarian one seem to be nasty extreme rightist of 1930s mould.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 01, 2018, 08:01:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 01, 2018, 05:14:07 PM
That right wing Polish Govt would love to leave the EU.
They plus the Hungarian one seem to be nasty extreme rightist of 1930s mould.

Which means that the rest of the EU couldn't care less what they think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on September 04, 2018, 06:07:58 PM
There's a piece in today's guardian today which is interesting in itself but I loved this comment:


BrianO_Blivion
2h ago


I have a suggestion. How about if, post-Brexit, we make the necessary constitutional amendments so that the whole of what was formerly known as the UK becomes part of Northern Ireland. This would fix a whole load of problems at a stroke. The whole of the former UK would have an open trade border with the EU; all former UK residents would, as residents of Greater Northern Ireland, have the right to an Irish passport and could therefore travel and work freely in the EU; and the DUP can't complain because the former NI is treated exactly the same as the former NI.
Obviously the new Greater Northern Ireland government wouldn't want to work in some distant, peripheral provincial town like London; I would imagine that they'd relocate to somewhere more central, like Liverpool.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on September 09, 2018, 09:23:19 PM
And then there's the report prepared for the National Police Chiefs' Council that can't rule out the possibility of a bit of martial law if the cliff-edge Brexit becomes a reality.  What can't the government's economists rule out?  £1 = 1€?  How many times can a currency be devalued?

The only certainty that I see is that NI will still be a hole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 09, 2018, 10:28:37 PM
Quote from: heganboy on September 04, 2018, 06:07:58 PM
There's a piece in today's guardian today which is interesting in itself but I loved this comment:


BrianO_Blivion
2h ago


I have a suggestion. How about if, post-Brexit, we make the necessary constitutional amendments so that the whole of what was formerly known as the UK becomes part of Northern Ireland. This would fix a whole load of problems at a stroke. The whole of the former UK would have an open trade border with the EU; all former UK residents would, as residents of Greater Northern Ireland, have the right to an Irish passport and could therefore travel and work freely in the EU; and the DUP can't complain because the former NI is treated exactly the same as the former NI.
Obviously the new Greater Northern Ireland government wouldn't want to work in some distant, peripheral provincial town like London; I would imagine that they'd relocate to somewhere more central, like Liverpool.

;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on September 10, 2018, 12:38:04 PM
Unions backed a second referendum in the UK, that will put pressure on Labour to take a different stance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on September 10, 2018, 08:25:18 PM
Trading of cryptocurrencies being queried.  Interesting couple of months for £ too.  Labour catch-up too slow, too late.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 12, 2018, 09:12:40 AM
Norn Iron getting to keep some EU money post brexit;

http://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20180906IPR12119/northern-ireland-parliament-wants-to-secure-post-brexit-regional-funding (http://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/press-room/20180906IPR12119/northern-ireland-parliament-wants-to-secure-post-brexit-regional-funding)

Wonder how Diane voted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 12, 2018, 09:33:06 AM
Brexit was sold as sovereignty but will be creative destruction. They don't have enough customs people.Liam Fox does not care. Massive queues at Dover? Rees Mogg could not care less. The more chaos, the more the plutocrats make.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on September 12, 2018, 09:56:29 AM
Perhaps the chaos will make people get off their arse and actually do something.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on September 12, 2018, 02:39:53 PM
 

A Message from Gerard Batten MEP, UKIP Leader


Dear Enquirer,

Thank you for visiting our website.

The political and media establishment hoped that UKIP would disappear in February 2018. It didn't.

In fact, since then our support, membership and fundraising has been increasing.

UKIP is the only real opposition to our cross-party political establishment. There is no real difference between the Conservative, Labour and Lib-Dem parties.

They all want continued membership of the European Union, they all want continued mass immigration, and they are all out of touch with the vast majority of voters.

If you go on voting for them then you cannot expect any different outcomes.

If you want something different then support, join and vote UKIP.

Under my leadership UKIP will be the Party that represents freedom:

Freedom from the European Union.
Freedom from political correctness and Cultural Marxism.
Freedom of speech.
Freedom to be proud to be British.
Freedom to be proud of our history and heritage.
Freedom to live under our laws – not the laws of Brussels.
UKIP's mission is to show the way forward for Britain as an independent, self-governing, democratic nation. 

We want trade, friendship and co-operation with the world.

We want a political system and government that represents the real interests of our country and our people.

Come and join us – help make it happen.



Gerard Batten, UKIP Leader


IMHO I think they will be part of a coalition government after autumn election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on September 12, 2018, 10:24:37 PM
UKIP aside,   Chequers proposal is a hands-off approach to services, being sold as allowing city of London to trade on its terms, not some bureaucrat sitting in Frankfurt saying "I'd love a slice of that cake, let's change the rules".  In my understanding, control by ECB and is protectionist - setting restrictions and limiting the high stakes poker.   Would that be an accurate enough description of why the Conservatives are trying to split goods and services?  Free-market v State-intervention.  Use of mobile phone example by Barnier seemed to make sense to me.  Practically impossible to split the good and the service.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 13, 2018, 10:06:05 AM
The worst thing about Brexit is that businesses including myself have no idea what is going to happen and hence have made no plans at all. I run a small business. I have literally made no plans at all as I have no idea what to do. Brexit will impact me but I just don't know how. I probably don't have the finances to deal with huge amounts of administration that it could create.
There is a possibility that it could be good for me in that it could open new opportunities. But I'd say that outcome is literally 50:50 at best.
It's the not knowing and then the blind hope that probably will kill me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 14, 2018, 07:40:12 AM
The richest 1% own 60% of all assets

Chaos will deliver them more

https://brexitlawni.org/brexitlawni-launch-of-project-reports/

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/brexit-holds-grave-risks-for-northern-ireland-study-warns-1.3628397?mode=amp

He described Brexit as a "profound constitutional moment for Northern Ireland and the island of Ireland".
"Brexit will threaten the peace process and weaken protections for human rights and equality," he added. "It risks disrupting North-South co-operation, increasing racist immigration enforcement and dividing British and Irish citizens.
"It could also reduce international oversight of human rights and introduce a new focus for conflict between divided communities. Many of these matters have simply been neglected in the discussions thus far, and that must change."

The 1998 Agreement found nuanced solutions to difficult issues of sovereignty, identity and the Border, embedding these in a rights-respecting framework," he said.

Brian Gormally, director of the Committee on the Administration of Justice, said Brexit could even "reignite the conflict".
He added: "As the leaving process lurches ever nearer to a hard or no-deal Brexit, there is a risk of nationalists becoming more and more disillusioned at the disregarding of the will of the majority here, while unionists coalesce in defence of Brexit and the Border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on September 14, 2018, 07:46:37 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-45512992

More bullshit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on September 14, 2018, 02:49:23 PM
What is the point of putting these bullshit stories out. What is the end game that the brit government are playin for
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on September 14, 2018, 02:50:06 PM
I think the probability of a 35% drop in the price of houses might be enough to put people off Brexit.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45516678
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on September 14, 2018, 06:24:08 PM
Quote from: heganboy on September 14, 2018, 02:50:06 PM
I think the probability of a 35% drop in the price of houses might be enough to put people off Brexit.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45516678

More bullshit from BBC......Carney gave them a 'what if' scenario. It suits the scare mongers who want a second vote. I would take all these experts views with a pinch of salt.......after all how many of us bought into low cost endowments......remember them....not only would they clear our mortgage but we would have enough extra to buy a race horse or speed boat😂😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 14, 2018, 06:40:25 PM
It's all going to be wonderful,  the Sun will shine every day, will only rain at night,  Bangladesh  and Haiti will strike great trade deals with the yUK, all foreigners will be sent home, GDP will increase at 10% per annum till 2030....
I'm not an expert so I'm probably correct in all the above ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 14, 2018, 07:44:38 PM
The UK is close to signing trade deals with Rockall, Ballyhaunis and Glenamaddy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on September 14, 2018, 08:35:09 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 14, 2018, 07:44:38 PM
The UK is close to signing trade deals with Rockall, Ballyhaunis and Glenamaddy.
Sealand must also be a likely one.

And Gortahork automatically comes with Glenamaddy.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on September 14, 2018, 08:43:29 PM
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/brexit/eurostar-will-not-run-if-there-is-a-no-deal-brexit-french-europe-minister-warns/ar-BBNhmQ3?li=BBoPWjQ

Travel mayhem on the mainland 😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on September 15, 2018, 12:45:47 PM
Quote from: heganboy on September 14, 2018, 02:50:06 PM
I think the probability of a 35% drop in the price of houses might be enough to put people off Brexit.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45516678

Not at all. Brexiteer callers in to James O'Brien yesterday were pointing to this as an unexpected Brexit dividend for those struggling to get on the housing ladder!.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 15, 2018, 01:32:16 PM
Quote from: Hardy on September 15, 2018, 12:45:47 PM
Quote from: heganboy on September 14, 2018, 02:50:06 PM
I think the probability of a 35% drop in the price of houses might be enough to put people off Brexit.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45516678

Not at all. Brexiteer callers in to James O'Brien yesterday were pointing to this as an unexpected Brexit dividend for those struggling to get on the housing ladder!.

As we know in Ireland, the problem is that these people have lost their job or cannot get a loan so are not able to avail of the reduced price. Some people might benefit from it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 15, 2018, 02:15:40 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/united-ireland-would-see-living-standards-in-republic-fall-by-15-1.3629748

Would love to see the assumptions used. Neoliberalism is a shit system if you want to grow demand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on September 15, 2018, 02:16:20 PM
Property prices in north of England may stagnate or even reduce in the event of a hard Brexit, but in south of England there are not enough houses to meet demand. I honestly don't know how the ordinary 5/8 person/family does it. Property where I live sells in less than 2 weeks, and it's crazy money.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 15, 2018, 02:41:07 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on September 15, 2018, 02:16:20 PM
Property prices in north of England may stagnate or even reduce in the event of a hard Brexit, but in south of England there are not enough houses to meet demand. I honestly don't know how the ordinary 5/8 person/family does it. Property where I live sells in less than 2 weeks, and it's crazy money.
London prices will fall when interest rates go up as they always do
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on September 17, 2018, 08:52:11 AM
The Times today reporting EU prepared to concede on backstop and settle for 'frictionless' border...

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/boost-for-may-as-eu-backs-irish-border-plan-fqpf06s62
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 17, 2018, 10:28:54 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 17, 2018, 08:52:11 AM
The Times today reporting EU prepared to concede on backstop and settle for 'frictionless' border...

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/boost-for-may-as-eu-backs-irish-border-plan-fqpf06s62

Headline writer taking liberties there. What the EU is proposing is electronic tagging of things crossing the Irish Sea, i.e. a particular way of implementing the backstop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on September 17, 2018, 10:36:30 AM
I couldn't get through the paywall, so could only see what was written about it on BBC, and the first few paragraphs of the article itself. I note it said about tracking shipping containers, but I assumed they meant on the back of trailers transporting them across border, but is actually just shipping itself? Thats good news.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 17, 2018, 11:09:49 AM
It is a very badly written article, which manages to give the impression that the EU has agreed to cross border checks when in fact they proposed operational mechanisms to make the Irish Sea thing work.

They use the example of  the Canary Islands

"The EU wants a transit procedure or process," the note said. "Controls could happen at the companies [involved at either end of the transaction] and they would just scan a label on board ships [en route from Britain to Northern Ireland or the Irish Republic]." EU officials have noted that "controls like that exist for example between Spain and the Canary Islands" without any Spanish debate over an internal border in a country that is sensitive to separatism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on September 17, 2018, 02:13:53 PM
Isn't this just dumbing down the language around an Irish sea border? Open border on Ireland but customs officials doing their checks in British ports (British customs) before they reach Ireland. Will the DUP accept this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 17, 2018, 02:48:00 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on September 17, 2018, 02:13:53 PM
Isn't this just dumbing down the language around an Irish sea border? Open border on Ireland but customs officials doing their checks in British ports (British customs) before they reach Ireland. Will the DUP accept this?

Of course, they'll call them regulatory control officials, not customs men.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 20, 2018, 09:01:06 PM
Rees Mogg and co want no deal. They want chaos. May doesn't have a majority without them. She can't even deliver on the border. The chances of no deal must be very high now.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/20/may-in-fight-to-save-chequers-brexit-plan-after-salzburg-ambush
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 21, 2018, 12:15:49 AM
The too and froing on this lately must all be gestering. A deal must be close at this point.

But the key questions are...
Does May need a deal before the Tory party conference? Or does un unconfirmed deal actually help her?
Is she likely to survive it without (or with) one?
What does Boris have planned there?

Will she get said deal through Parliament?
Brexit group will rebel, will the Remainers also?
Will Labour back her deal? Will they force her to a referendum on the deal?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on September 21, 2018, 05:35:05 AM
Why is it that most British pro Brexit politicians seem to think that 1 vs 27 is going to be a fair fight?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 08:11:17 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 21, 2018, 12:15:49 AM
The too and froing on this lately must all be gestering. A deal must be close at this point.

But the key questions are...
Does May need a deal before the Tory party conference? Or does un unconfirmed deal actually help her?
Is she likely to survive it without (or with) one?
What does Boris have planned there?

Will she get said deal through Parliament?
Brexit group will rebel, will the Remainers also?
Will Labour back her deal? Will they force her to a referendum on the deal?
Maybe it's all done and dusted in the background but people thought the same in 1914 before WW1
There is so much division now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on September 21, 2018, 08:30:46 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs/the_papers

Macron pulls no punches in Telegraph.
May has demonstrated that she has a hide thicker than a rhino.
No deal, election in November and coalition government propped up by UKIP.......that's my prediction 😎
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on September 21, 2018, 09:13:59 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/staff-at-tyrone-exporter-advised-to-apply-for-irish-passports-1.3636332

Cant imagine this will go down well in some quarters....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 09:40:26 AM
The UK is in pretty bad shape

https://youtu.be/9HRg4cv9cww

The answer is a new economic system that puts people first. Brexit is taking the piss.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 10:54:37 AM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dont-be-bullied-by-brussels-into-a-compromise-on-the-border-dups-dodds-urges-prime-minister-37339028.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 21, 2018, 11:17:59 AM
That will frighten the 440,000,000 EU people into believing the DUPUDA fantasy that "Northern Ireland is the same as the rest of the United Kingdom" - except of course for same sex marriage,  abortion, bi lingual road signs and being subject to an International Treaty that says it can vote to join another State. Not to mention all its natives having the right to citizenship and passports of another State.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 11:39:14 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 21, 2018, 11:17:59 AM
That will frighten the 440,000,000 EU people into believing the DUPUDA fantasy that "Northern Ireland is the same as the rest of the United Kingdom" - except of course for same sex marriage,  abortion, bi lingual road signs and being subject to an International Treaty that says it can vote to join another State. Not to mention all its natives having the right to citizenship and passports of another State.
The Irish diplomats played a blinder to get the EU behind the border issue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on September 21, 2018, 12:31:38 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/21/brexit-chequers-salzburg-irish-sea-customs-union (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/21/brexit-chequers-salzburg-irish-sea-customs-union)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on September 21, 2018, 12:54:56 PM
Some of the narrow minded views on the border expressed on Talkback just make me go WTF! Whats wrong with a hard border sure we've tolls to pay... :'(
Where would you start?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 01:34:13 PM
The Bel Tel has to cater to its readership I suppose

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/what-are-theresa-mays-options-after-salzburg-37340331.html

Brexiteers argue that the UK could save its £40 billion "divorce bill" by leaving without a deal, but this could be challenged by the EU in the courts.

A swift resignation would give time for a Brexiteer like Mr Johnson to attempt to secure the "clean" withdrawal which many Tories would prefer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 21, 2018, 02:16:43 PM
Well that went well . . . Sterling tumbling!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 02:32:49 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/21/theresa-may-demands-respect-from-eu-in-brexit-negotiations

https://youtu.be/6FOUqQt3Kg0
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on September 21, 2018, 02:40:39 PM
So May reckons its up to the EU to offer solutions. They have had 2 yrs now to sort it out and nothing. This is getting more embarrassing for UK on a daily basis
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on September 21, 2018, 02:44:52 PM
It would be a major surprise if a deal is done. May is so incompetent and lacking in leadership ability I can't see how she could put anything credible together. If something is cobbled together in time it will probably not be her doing. The blunt reaction from the EU yesterday is just a sign of their frustration at her woeful efforts imo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 21, 2018, 02:49:42 PM
Quote from: Armamike on September 21, 2018, 02:44:52 PM
It would be a major surprise if a deal is done. May is so incompetent and lacking in leadership ability I can't see how she could put anything credible together. If something is cobbled together in time it will probably not be her doing. The blunt reaction from the EU yesterday is just a sign of their frustration at her woeful efforts imo.

In fairness I feel sorry for her. There is no way anyone is getting a good deal out of this situation she either has no deal or gets shat upon by the EU. On the other side she only survives as PM by taking orders from the Christian right.

Once the referendum was counted we were fucked and really the only reasonable alternative is to have another referendum for remain to win (And I'm very sure they would this time) but that's not going to happen now either is it!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on September 21, 2018, 02:53:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on September 21, 2018, 02:49:42 PM
Quote from: Armamike on September 21, 2018, 02:44:52 PM
It would be a major surprise if a deal is done. May is so incompetent and lacking in leadership ability I can't see how she could put anything credible together. If something is cobbled together in time it will probably not be her doing. The blunt reaction from the EU yesterday is just a sign of their frustration at her woeful efforts imo.

In fairness I feel sorry for her. There is no way anyone is getting a good deal out of this situation she either has no deal or gets shat upon by the EU. On the other side she only survives as PM by taking orders from the Christian right.

Once the referendum was counted we were fucked and really the only reasonable alternative is to have another referendum for remain to win (And I'm very sure they would this time) but that's not going to happen now either is it!!

Probably about right here SE, damned if she does damned if doesnt.

The real disgusting thing about all of this is that it began with a row in a Tory party which Cameron thought he could sort and it will end with another row in the Tory camp which has prevented any reasonable chance of resolving this in a people focused manner.

Hopefully history will not forget or forgive them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on September 21, 2018, 02:59:18 PM
And where the feck is David Cameron who is responsible for this whole mess?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on September 21, 2018, 03:09:26 PM
Nothing has changed in 2 yrs.
Options
1.oops we had a bit of a brain fart and we will correct it with a second ref
2.Uk to remain in CU and tell the brexiteers to f**k off
3.Special status NI and tell the DUP to f**k off
4. The current course of hard brexit WTO and Scot and Irish referendums and the split up of the UK
Those are the options and they have not changed in 2 yrs.
Time she picked one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: saulzer on September 21, 2018, 03:14:23 PM
Why not put it to the people of the North of Ireland in a referendum on wether they wish to remain as part of the EU Customs Union?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on September 21, 2018, 03:32:03 PM
The whole thing is a complete cluster f**k from start to finish. All this nightmare started to appease a small minority (at the time) in the Tory's while the now tear themselves apart and the rest of us who didn't want this are simply passengers, especially us in the North. See May has come out saying she will "work" to ensure there is no border. It's no longer the case there won't be any border. We are being used as pawns the the whole sorry episode.

Bring on a no deal and a border poll.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: From the Bunker on September 21, 2018, 03:32:34 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on September 21, 2018, 02:59:18 PM
And where the feck is David Cameron who is responsible for this whole mess?

The same place Nigel Farage is. Looking in from the outside.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 03:37:08 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on September 21, 2018, 03:09:26 PM
Nothing has changed in 2 yrs.
Options
1.oops we had a bit of a brain fart and we will correct it with a second ref
2.Uk to remain in CU and tell the brexiteers to f**k off
3.Special status NI and tell the DUP to f**k off
4. The current course of hard brexit WTO and Scot and Irish referendums and the split up of the UK
Those are the options and they have not changed in 2 yrs.
Time she picked one.
Sin é. Brexit is a fantasy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 04:18:00 PM
The Torygraph wants no deal. I am not sure its readers do

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/09/21/theresa-may-downing-street-announcement-live-updates/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 21, 2018, 04:19:58 PM
Quote from: saulzer on September 21, 2018, 03:14:23 PM
Why not put it to the people of the North of Ireland in a referendum on wether they wish to remain as part of the EU Customs Union?

Because Scotland would be on the phone in a shot looking for the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 21, 2018, 04:39:02 PM
Brexit has been great for polarising nationalism and Unionism, in fairness. Tony Fearon's  third way has been battered by ancient forces.
The unionist opposition to the Single Market just shows how hard it is to get people to act in their own interest sometimes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 21, 2018, 04:54:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 21, 2018, 04:19:58 PM
Quote from: saulzer on September 21, 2018, 03:14:23 PM
Why not put it to the people of the North of Ireland in a referendum on wether they wish to remain as part of the EU Customs Union?

Because Scotland would be on the phone in a shot looking for the same.
They seem to be acting up already

https://stv.tv/news/politics/1431173-scots-politicians-brexit-challenge-goes-to-european-court/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 21, 2018, 05:40:53 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on September 21, 2018, 05:27:23 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on September 21, 2018, 02:59:18 PM
And where the feck is David Cameron who is responsible for this whole mess?

He only now appears in public in disguise.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BozPld8CAAErsuI.png)


;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 21, 2018, 06:56:26 PM
Anyone get the impression that a deal is done and this is just posturing to help May win support with the Brexiters by looking tough?
Or..
Are the EU trying to force them into a  No deal or remain situation? With a looming No-Deal scenario the support for a referendum on a No-deal would start to become overwhelming
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on September 21, 2018, 07:13:18 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 21, 2018, 06:56:26 PM
Anyone get the impression that a deal is done and this is just posturing to help May win support with the Brexiters by looking tough?
Or..
Are the EU trying to force them into a  No deal or remain situation? With a looming No-Deal scenario the support for a referendum on a No-deal would start to become overwhelming

Not in the slightest. Leaving without a deal. Border will be back.

She's too much of a f**king coward to face down the DUP,  regardless of the Remain vote in the North and she, like the rest of the Tory c***ts, genuinely appear to be shocked and appalled that the EU has had the temerity to stand behind Varadkar and the rest of those annoying little paddies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 21, 2018, 08:32:19 PM
The backstop is an absolute gift to The UK, with some manipulation it was a part of the UK as good as remaining in the EU, it would have been a major economic boost to NI as a whole - but as we know the DUP have the Tories over a barrel, if May had've gotten her majority at the last GE, the DUP would have been sold down the river in a heartbeat.

I think the middle ground is gone unless the EU give the UK some serious slack. It's going to be a hard Brexit or a hopefully 2nd referendum - personally think the chances of this happening are increasing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on September 21, 2018, 08:46:00 PM
Only chance of a second referendum is the government falling and a , in my opinion, and I personally think chance of that happening is next to none. She'll cling to power like every leader does. Even with a GE and the possibility of a Labour government, I'm not sure there'd be a second one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 21, 2018, 09:09:53 PM
I don't think there is one "senior" figure in either party who would have a second referendum. May will eventually be ousted but it will just be by someone else who is no good. Corbyn wouldn't do it either. Only hope, which i doubt will happen, is corbyn ousted and some successor does something.

Really at this stage it looks like some disasterous deal/ no deal will be done and screw the uk while the tories at the top cream profits from overseas businesses and do much better from tax breaks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on September 21, 2018, 09:47:21 PM
Not fair to say May is clinging to power. Shes there because a Tory coup would likely bring a GE that the Tories would lose. So the Tories are saddled with her till such time as their poll numbers bounce, that could be in the region of years given the Brexit debacle.

May has to do very little to remain in power. Simply muddling along blindly is favourable to the Brexiteer clause as the article 50 d-day looms. No soft Brexiteers will take up the mantle whilst the hard brexit faction maintains such a grip on a balance of power.

Such a mess, it's incredible it has come to this. Davis, Boris and Gove harnessing the Machiavellian concept of the Cultural Revolution, a small faction seizing power through the creation of social and political strife. A master stroke on their behalf to be fair.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on September 21, 2018, 11:26:15 PM
What an opportunity being gifted to the north by remaining in the EU, a foot in both camps, would be a massive cash and employment boost for the 6 counties.  The DUP headcases are happy for their electorate to languish in the current backwater to maintain the status quo.  The whole thing really is seriously depressing, unbelievable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on September 21, 2018, 11:50:43 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on September 21, 2018, 11:26:15 PM
What an opportunity being gifted to the north by remaining in the EU, a foot in both camps, would be a massive cash and employment boost for the 6 counties.  The DUP headcases are happy for their electorate to languish in the current backwater to maintain the status quo.  The whole thing really is seriously depressing, unbelievable.

I think it will happen despite the DUP. They will be dropped from a large height at the 11th hour.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 22, 2018, 12:25:33 AM
Quote from: GJL on September 21, 2018, 11:50:43 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on September 21, 2018, 11:26:15 PM
What an opportunity being gifted to the north by remaining in the EU, a foot in both camps, would be a massive cash and employment boost for the 6 counties.  The DUP headcases are happy for their electorate to languish in the current backwater to maintain the status quo.  The whole thing really is seriously depressing, unbelievable.

I think it will happen despite the DUP. They will be dropped from a large height at the 11th hour.

On the 11th night, perhaps.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 22, 2018, 06:03:34 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 21, 2018, 06:56:26 PM
Anyone get the impression that a deal is done and this is just posturing to help May win support with the Brexiters by looking tough?
Or..
Are the EU trying to force them into a  No deal or remain situation? With a looming No-Deal scenario the support for a referendum on a No-deal would start to become overwhelming

There might be something going on between May and the Euros because they both want the same thing but at the same time there is a civil war in the Tory part between the Brexit swivel heads and the rest. May has to plámás them continuously. Eg yesterday she accused the EU of driving the process into an impasse. Davis did SFA when he was leading negotiations. He does not want a deal. Neither does Rees Mogg.
I think they deserve the pulp fiction treatment.

https://youtu.be/StkasLs-QmE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 23, 2018, 09:17:51 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/22/hard-brexit-risks-breakup-uk-conservatives-warn

https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2018/0921/995292-salzburg-chronic-misreading/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 24, 2018, 03:34:44 PM
Tony Connolly's articles are second to none for an insight on Brexit.

Salzburg was just the beginning of what was always going to be an interesting Autumn and it gave even more fireworks that expected.

Tory Party conference next week should be interesting also. The word is that the grass roots are dead against Chequers (or maybe they are just shouting loudest) so was Theresa May's posturing last week aimed at winning over them?

I suspect we will see it wheeled out again in a watered down form to appease the EU (in spite of May's tough guy facade) when it will be up for a vote at Parliament. She would be looking to Labour for support on it as the Brexiteers (and probably the DUP) will rebel.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 24, 2018, 03:50:25 PM
Does anyone here own or work for a company in the ROI that exports to the UK? What's their thoughts? Surely they want a free trade deal?
We're only really getting the UK version, but surely companies in ROI and indeed France, Germany etc are shitting themselves at the prospect of a no deal Brexit?
Is there any good articles floating about regarding this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on September 24, 2018, 04:10:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 24, 2018, 03:50:25 PM
Does anyone here own or work for a company in the ROI that exports to the UK? What's their thoughts? Surely they want a free trade deal?
We're only really getting the UK version, but surely companies in ROI and indeed France, Germany etc are shitting themselves at the prospect of a no deal Brexit?
Is there any good articles floating about regarding this?

Why?
The Brits will still require the products those countires produce, it is just to cost them significantly more than it did when they were in the EU.

If they currently importing the goods, there isnt that capability to produce themselves and this will not happen over night so therefore if they want the products they will have to import.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 24, 2018, 05:09:51 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on September 24, 2018, 04:10:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 24, 2018, 03:50:25 PM
Does anyone here own or work for a company in the ROI that exports to the UK? What's their thoughts? Surely they want a free trade deal?
We're only really getting the UK version, but surely companies in ROI and indeed France, Germany etc are shitting themselves at the prospect of a no deal Brexit?
Is there any good articles floating about regarding this?

Why?
The Brits will still require the products those countires produce, it is just to cost them significantly more than it did when they were in the EU.

If they currently importing the goods, there isnt that capability to produce themselves and this will not happen over night so therefore if they want the products they will have to import.

What if the cost is prohibitive and they simply won't use that product/ good/ service. They just do without?
Around 90% of Ireland's Agri products are exported to the UK. That probably includes a lot of perishable goods. Things that can't sit in customs checks.
What about costs of exporting to Mainland Europe? I don't think it just a case of Britain can suck it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 24, 2018, 08:30:15 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/24/labour-norway-tories-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on September 24, 2018, 08:35:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 24, 2018, 08:30:15 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/24/labour-norway-tories-brexit

A general election at present would be the DUP's worst nightmare.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 24, 2018, 08:37:16 PM
It really does appear they are pulling the strings the longer time goes on so can't happen soon enough.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 24, 2018, 10:30:05 PM
A no deal Brexit is bad news for everyone not just the UK. And in Europe Ireland will suffer the most.
I imagine a sort of fudge, with the can kicked down the road. Not ideal either. Like a sort of infinite limbo.
However I can see if the right deal is done NI could turn into like a Singapore on steroids. Wishful thinking maybe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:08:36 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

You are finally reaching the point that the rest of us reached months/years ago.  Remember, when you told us all to forget about it "cos it will all be grand".

It would be hilarious if it wasn't so important.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 11:13:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:08:36 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

You are finally reaching the point that the rest of us reached months/years ago.  Remember, when you told us all to forget about it "cos it will all be grand".

It would be hilarious if it wasn't so important.

But this is it, the clever people who have their finger on the pulse, couldnt answer that same question.. so I've come here where there seems to be an answer for everything, and I'm stil waiting.. personally I don't think in my line of work it will have much too much change, but others not so..

Thats if it happens of course ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:37:12 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 11:13:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:08:36 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

You are finally reaching the point that the rest of us reached months/years ago.  Remember, when you told us all to forget about it "cos it will all be grand".

It would be hilarious if it wasn't so important.

But this is it, the clever people who have their finger on the pulse, couldnt answer that same question.. so I've come here where there seems to be an answer for everything, and I'm stil waiting.. personally I don't think in my line of work it will have much too much change, but others not so..

Thats if it happens of course ::)

No, no, you thought you WERE the clever boy with your finger on the pulse.  The rest of us were apparently just being a bit hysterical, discussing things like jobs/services/travel etc but you knew better.  It wasn't going to happen.  And if it did, it wasn't going to affect any of us that much.

Remember "nobody is getting shot" and "a bottle of plonk is still a fiver".  How embarrassing.

Glad to see that you've finally joined the rest of us in the real world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 25, 2018, 12:32:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

Where are your inputs coming from? What proportion of your sales are in the EU? Where do your staff come from? How are your goods shipped?
All over the UK companies are wondering what to plan and the government is refusing to give them any certainty whatsoever only 6 months out, and the Tories are supposed to be a party of business. You couldn't make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on September 25, 2018, 12:42:09 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 25, 2018, 12:32:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

Where are your inputs coming from? What proportion of your sales are in the EU? Where do your staff come from? How are your goods shipped?
All over the UK companies are wondering what to plan and the government is refusing to give them any certainty whatsoever only 6 months out, and the Tories are supposed to be a party of business. You couldn't make it up.

Is a major customer reliant (directly or indirectly) on sales or supplies to the EU/U.K.?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on September 25, 2018, 12:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 11:13:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:08:36 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

You are finally reaching the point that the rest of us reached months/years ago.  Remember, when you told us all to forget about it "cos it will all be grand".

It would be hilarious if it wasn't so important.

But this is it, the clever people who have their finger on the pulse, couldnt answer that same question.. so I've come here where there seems to be an answer for everything, and I'm stil waiting.. personally I don't think in my line of work it will have much too much change, but others not so..

Thats if it happens of course ::)

We asked for answers, we demanded answered, we knew things wouldn't be right. Then the Tories jumped into bed with the DUP and we knew we were royally screwed then.

It wasn't a case of it will all blow over as you stated.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 25, 2018, 12:50:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 25, 2018, 12:32:06 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

Where are your inputs coming from? What proportion of your sales are in the EU? Where do your staff come from? How are your goods shipped?
All over the UK companies are wondering what to plan and the government is refusing to give them any certainty whatsoever only 6 months out, and the Tories are supposed to be a party of business. You couldn't make it up.
The plutocrats behind Brexit do not care about business
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 25, 2018, 01:00:48 PM
300 pages ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 25, 2018, 01:05:51 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 25, 2018, 01:00:48 PM
300 pages ;D

I'm surprised it's not more.  We had 200 on a rape trial involving a couple of rugger buggers.  This is the single biggest (local) political event in generations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: brokencrossbar1 on September 25, 2018, 01:28:24 PM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 01:05:51 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 25, 2018, 01:00:48 PM
300 pages ;D

I'm surprised it's not more.  We had 200 on a rape trial involving a couple of rugger buggers.  This is the single biggest (local) political event in generations.

Yeah but Syferus hasn't been in here too much😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 01:49:41 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on September 25, 2018, 12:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 11:13:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:08:36 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

You are finally reaching the point that the rest of us reached months/years ago.  Remember, when you told us all to forget about it "cos it will all be grand".

It would be hilarious if it wasn't so important.

But this is it, the clever people who have their finger on the pulse, couldnt answer that same question.. so I've come here where there seems to be an answer for everything, and I'm stil waiting.. personally I don't think in my line of work it will have much too much change, but others not so..

Thats if it happens of course ::)

We asked for answers, we demanded answered, we knew things wouldn't be right. Then the Tories jumped into bed with the DUP and we knew we were royally screwed then.

It wasn't a case of it will all blow over as you stated.

I didnt say anything of the sort, my view was simple, I didnt vote for it or want to leave the EU, nor did I expect it when I went to bed that night, the only thing I've notice is an increase on a few things and sharper a than normal increase, which could rise further, the other obviously is the value of the pound.. If I shop around for the things that are the day to day stuff I'm not that much out of pocket TBH..

With my job Ive been lucky enough that it hasnt affected it either at the minute but again its never been discussed with us in terms of if a change is happening.. My question is, if I am employed by a parent company that is Danish, run by a company set up in Dublin, with goods produced in Denmark and sold in the UK (Northern Ireland) how will that possibly work out?

Tesco have been running the 25% offer for 6 bottles lately so its cheap enough though Ive been off the drink a month now, and a health drive with food, purely moral support for her in doors, though I'm reaping the benefits of it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gold on September 25, 2018, 01:50:05 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

"To get further away from themuns down South" is how an eloquent young lady put it when I asked her why she was voting Leave

Absolutely no knowledge of 'down South' or the people there. Just irrational hate and irrational love of flags and fires

Stacey Dooley's documentary on the DUP is worth watching on IPlayer. It's hilarious, yet sad and depressing at the same time
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 01:58:51 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

Still are i heard
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:59:25 PM
Not sure weareros.

Interesting gold though i am not sure i could bring myself to watch an entire show on the dup! Sounds anout right though.

Arlene telling some good stories again today. How do you know she's lying? When her lips move i suspect is the answer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.

That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on September 25, 2018, 05:02:51 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 01:49:41 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on September 25, 2018, 12:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 11:13:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:08:36 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

You are finally reaching the point that the rest of us reached months/years ago.  Remember, when you told us all to forget about it "cos it will all be grand".

It would be hilarious if it wasn't so important.

But this is it, the clever people who have their finger on the pulse, couldnt answer that same question.. so I've come here where there seems to be an answer for everything, and I'm stil waiting.. personally I don't think in my line of work it will have much too much change, but others not so..

Thats if it happens of course ::)

We asked for answers, we demanded answered, we knew things wouldn't be right. Then the Tories jumped into bed with the DUP and we knew we were royally screwed then.

It wasn't a case of it will all blow over as you stated.

I didnt say anything of the sort, my view was simple, I didnt vote for it or want to leave the EU, nor did I expect it when I went to bed that night, the only thing I've notice is an increase on a few things and sharper a than normal increase, which could rise further, the other obviously is the value of the pound.. If I shop around for the things that are the day to day stuff I'm not that much out of pocket TBH..

With my job Ive been lucky enough that it hasnt affected it either at the minute but again its never been discussed with us in terms of if a change is happening.. My question is, if I am employed by a parent company that is Danish, run by a company set up in Dublin, with goods produced in Denmark and sold in the UK (Northern Ireland) how will that possibly work out?

Tesco have been running the 25% offer for 6 bottles lately so its cheap enough though Ive been off the drink a month now, and a health drive with food, purely moral support for her in doors, though I'm reaping the benefits of it

You are aware that Brexit hasn't happened yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 25, 2018, 05:22:51 PM
Quote from: Hardy on September 25, 2018, 05:02:51 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 01:49:41 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on September 25, 2018, 12:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 11:13:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:08:36 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

You are finally reaching the point that the rest of us reached months/years ago.  Remember, when you told us all to forget about it "cos it will all be grand".

It would be hilarious if it wasn't so important.

But this is it, the clever people who have their finger on the pulse, couldnt answer that same question.. so I've come here where there seems to be an answer for everything, and I'm stil waiting.. personally I don't think in my line of work it will have much too much change, but others not so..

Thats if it happens of course ::)

We asked for answers, we demanded answered, we knew things wouldn't be right. Then the Tories jumped into bed with the DUP and we knew we were royally screwed then.

It wasn't a case of it will all blow over as you stated.

I didnt say anything of the sort, my view was simple, I didnt vote for it or want to leave the EU, nor did I expect it when I went to bed that night, the only thing I've notice is an increase on a few things and sharper a than normal increase, which could rise further, the other obviously is the value of the pound.. If I shop around for the things that are the day to day stuff I'm not that much out of pocket TBH..

With my job Ive been lucky enough that it hasnt affected it either at the minute but again its never been discussed with us in terms of if a change is happening.. My question is, if I am employed by a parent company that is Danish, run by a company set up in Dublin, with goods produced in Denmark and sold in the UK (Northern Ireland) how will that possibly work out?

Tesco have been running the 25% offer for 6 bottles lately so its cheap enough though Ive been off the drink a month now, and a health drive with food, purely moral support for her in doors, though I'm reaping the benefits of it

You are aware that Brexit hasn't happened yet?

Despite many reminders, I'm not sure if he's realised that yet either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 08:28:43 PM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 05:22:51 PM
Quote from: Hardy on September 25, 2018, 05:02:51 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 01:49:41 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on September 25, 2018, 12:49:11 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 25, 2018, 11:13:31 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 25, 2018, 11:08:36 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 24, 2018, 06:02:42 PM
So what if you work for an Irish company owned by a Danish company which has a global market for its goods... will that have an effect on the jobs, costs, pricing? The question has been asked but there are no answers other than 'it will be grand'

You are finally reaching the point that the rest of us reached months/years ago.  Remember, when you told us all to forget about it "cos it will all be grand".

It would be hilarious if it wasn't so important.

But this is it, the clever people who have their finger on the pulse, couldnt answer that same question.. so I've come here where there seems to be an answer for everything, and I'm stil waiting.. personally I don't think in my line of work it will have much too much change, but others not so..

Thats if it happens of course ::)

We asked for answers, we demanded answered, we knew things wouldn't be right. Then the Tories jumped into bed with the DUP and we knew we were royally screwed then.

It wasn't a case of it will all blow over as you stated.

I didnt say anything of the sort, my view was simple, I didnt vote for it or want to leave the EU, nor did I expect it when I went to bed that night, the only thing I've notice is an increase on a few things and sharper a than normal increase, which could rise further, the other obviously is the value of the pound.. If I shop around for the things that are the day to day stuff I'm not that much out of pocket TBH..

With my job Ive been lucky enough that it hasnt affected it either at the minute but again its never been discussed with us in terms of if a change is happening.. My question is, if I am employed by a parent company that is Danish, run by a company set up in Dublin, with goods produced in Denmark and sold in the UK (Northern Ireland) how will that possibly work out?

Tesco have been running the 25% offer for 6 bottles lately so its cheap enough though Ive been off the drink a month now, and a health drive with food, purely moral support for her in doors, though I'm reaping the benefits of it

You are aware that Brexit hasn't happened yet?

Despite many reminders, I'm not sure if he's realised that yet either.

Hasn't happened might not happen and the experts still don't know what will happen if it happens at all!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 08:57:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.

You're some craic. I know when the article was from, that's the point. But whats the point of arguing, you clearly have your knickers in a twist over Sinn Fein for whatever reason.

"The UKIP of Ireland". I rubbished that with a ten second google.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 25, 2018, 09:15:29 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 08:57:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.

You're some craic. I know when the article was from, that's the point. But whats the point of arguing, you clearly have your knickers in a twist over Sinn Fein for whatever reason.

"The UKIP of Ireland". I rubbished that with a ten second google.

I'm just pointing out their hypocrisy.
https://sluggerotoole.com/2017/02/01/sinn-fein-failed-to-register-for-the-brexit-referendum-ie-it-took-no-part-in-preventing-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AQMP on September 26, 2018, 09:09:24 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 09:15:29 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 08:57:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.

You're some craic. I know when the article was from, that's the point. But whats the point of arguing, you clearly have your knickers in a twist over Sinn Fein for whatever reason.

"The UKIP of Ireland". I rubbished that with a ten second google.

I'm just pointing out their hypocrisy.
https://sluggerotoole.com/2017/02/01/sinn-fein-failed-to-register-for-the-brexit-referendum-ie-it-took-no-part-in-preventing-brexit/

If you read some of the comments on that article it appears that Alliance (strong Remain) and the UUP (admittedly very, very soft Remain) didn't register either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on September 26, 2018, 09:14:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.

You don't have a clue what you're talking about, so you should stop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on September 26, 2018, 11:52:50 AM
There was a business owner on radio 1 yesterday evening talking about how they're planning for Brexit. They make some sort of energy supplement and originally manufactured in Ireland but had moved to Wales in 2015. He said they're building a new plant in Mullingar to serve the EU market (they had planned to move back at some stage anyway) and reducing production in Wales to 15% to serve the UK market. Their suppliers (currently UK based) are setting up a new distribution centre in Germany to serve the EU and that's where the materials for the Mullingar plant will come from. They've told all suppliers that they'll need to be able to provide a supply chain that avoids the UK. They may also have to set up a new distribution centre in the North which will be supplied by the Wales plant rather than Mullingar
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 26, 2018, 12:18:07 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 26, 2018, 09:14:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.

You don't have a clue what you're talking about, so you should stop.

I think you'll find i know a lot more about it than you think.
48.9% turnout in West Belfast is fair indication of Sinn Fein's campaigning.
Didn't register as a remain party.
Have consistently campaigned for a No vote in every ROI EU Referendum.

But yeah, I don't know what I am talking about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 01:02:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 26, 2018, 12:18:07 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 26, 2018, 09:14:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.

You don't have a clue what you're talking about, so you should stop.

I think you'll find i know a lot more about it than you think.
48.9% turnout in West Belfast is fair indication of Sinn Fein's campaigning.
Didn't register as a remain party.
Have consistently campaigned for a No vote in every ROI EU Referendum.

But yeah, I don't know what I am talking about.

You really don't, but keep digging.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanCarlin/status/1043059302901211136
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 26, 2018, 01:43:14 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 01:02:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 26, 2018, 12:18:07 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 26, 2018, 09:14:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.

You don't have a clue what you're talking about, so you should stop.

I think you'll find i know a lot more about it than you think.
48.9% turnout in West Belfast is fair indication of Sinn Fein's campaigning.
Didn't register as a remain party.
Have consistently campaigned for a No vote in every ROI EU Referendum.

But yeah, I don't know what I am talking about.

You really don't, but keep digging.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanCarlin/status/1043059302901211136

Is this it? Ryan Carlin with a few selfies and pics of events AFTER the vote?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 03:01:05 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 26, 2018, 01:43:14 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 01:02:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 26, 2018, 12:18:07 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 26, 2018, 09:14:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 05:10:27 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on September 25, 2018, 04:49:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 25, 2018, 04:23:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 25, 2018, 01:55:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 25, 2018, 01:36:26 PM
Watching frampton's documentary last night it was interesting seeing "leave eu" written all over the side of houses in tigers bay and then eu flags on the 11th night bonfire. I wonder what reasons these people have for wanting to leave the eu??

Before their fairly recent about turn, wasn't Sinn Fein pretty anti-Eu, too?

SF very anti EU. The UKIP of Ireland. Consistently campaigned for No votes in all referendums. Didn't register as an official remain party and tellingly didn't campaign for a remain vote. West Belfast a SF stronghold had the lowest turnout in the referendum of all constituencies.


That's just false

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/sinn-f%C3%A9in-to-campaign-against-brexit-in-eu-referendum-1.2476720

No it's not. And the article (from 2015) you linked says they will campaign for yes vote but in reality they didn't bother.

You don't have a clue what you're talking about, so you should stop.

I think you'll find i know a lot more about it than you think.
48.9% turnout in West Belfast is fair indication of Sinn Fein's campaigning.
Didn't register as a remain party.
Have consistently campaigned for a No vote in every ROI EU Referendum.

But yeah, I don't know what I am talking about.

You really don't, but keep digging.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanCarlin/status/1043059302901211136

Is this it? Ryan Carlin with a few selfies and pics of events AFTER the vote?

There is evidence there of referendum literature from Sinn Fein calling for a remain vote in the lead up to the referendum, photos of banners outside polling stations calling for a remain vote on referendum day.

Just keep diggin, just keep diggin....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 26, 2018, 03:12:08 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 03:01:05 PM
There is evidence there of referendum literature from Sinn Fein calling for a remain vote in the lead up to the referendum, photos of banners outside polling stations calling for a remain vote on referendum day.

Just keep diggin, just keep diggin....

SF did a bit, but didn't over exert themselves, as the poor turnout in West Belfast shows.
I'm not sure that it makes a lot of difference.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 26, 2018, 03:30:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 26, 2018, 03:12:08 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 03:01:05 PM
There is evidence there of referendum literature from Sinn Fein calling for a remain vote in the lead up to the referendum, photos of banners outside polling stations calling for a remain vote on referendum day.

Just keep diggin, just keep diggin....

SF did a bit, but didn't over exert themselves, as the poor turnout in West Belfast shows.
I'm not sure that it makes a lot of difference.

It makes all the difference when they are saying that they are a Pro EU / Anti Brexit party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 03:52:42 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 26, 2018, 03:30:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 26, 2018, 03:12:08 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 03:01:05 PM
There is evidence there of referendum literature from Sinn Fein calling for a remain vote in the lead up to the referendum, photos of banners outside polling stations calling for a remain vote on referendum day.

Just keep diggin, just keep diggin....

SF did a bit, but didn't over exert themselves, as the poor turnout in West Belfast shows.
I'm not sure that it makes a lot of difference.

It makes all the difference when they are saying that they are a Pro EU / Anti Brexit party.

You don't have to be pro EU to think that having one part of the island inside the EU and one part out is an absolute disaster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 26, 2018, 04:05:02 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 03:52:42 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 26, 2018, 03:30:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 26, 2018, 03:12:08 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 26, 2018, 03:01:05 PM
There is evidence there of referendum literature from Sinn Fein calling for a remain vote in the lead up to the referendum, photos of banners outside polling stations calling for a remain vote on referendum day.

Just keep diggin, just keep diggin....

SF did a bit, but didn't over exert themselves, as the poor turnout in West Belfast shows.
I'm not sure that it makes a lot of difference.

It makes all the difference when they are saying that they are a Pro EU / Anti Brexit party.

You don't have to be pro EU to think that having one part of the island inside the EU and one part out is an absolute disaster.

You should tell SF as they don't appear to care.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 28, 2018, 11:41:35 AM
Traffic chaos if no-deal crash-out.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/28/uk-no-deal-brexit-lorry-traffic-plan-could-leave-kent-in-chaos-for-14-days

At this moment, even if May can get Tory party support for Chequers, the EU will probably reject it. A Plan B might be accepted by the EU, but would be too soft for hard Brexiteers, who'd vote it down in the Commons. Indeed, it looks impossible that May can get any kind of deal through parliament as Labour would vote against it if it wouldn't maintain customs and free trade unions with the EU  (cf. recent party conference). No-deal exit by default looks the most plausible outcome currently. This would be too terrible for words for the UK, see above. A heave against May looks highly unlikely as the Brexiteers aren't strong enough to win and who else would want to inherit May's position? A General election might bring a change in government, resulting in a whole reset of the process, not impossible but time is against it with March 29 in 6 months time. Equally, there's probably no time for another referendum and how would the terms of it be couched? Remain, soft-exit, hard-exit?

To repeat, a hard-exit looks most likely, but surely not even the majority of the Tories are that dumb, are they?
My money, I'd say there'll be an extension of the deadline, followed by almost certainly a new Tory leader, probably a GE (and process reset), or slightly more unlikely a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on September 28, 2018, 03:04:05 PM
What chances of a stormont election before a general election followed by the 'people's parliament vote'?  Border issue sorted, leave sorted and terms of leave sorted?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 01, 2018, 01:23:53 PM
SF are between a rock and a hard place with Brexit, to campaign could be deemed getting involved in matters they consider purely British and not for an Irish political party to become involved in. there is also the no small matter of Brexit hastening a UI and upsetting those small n nationalists allude to in Patrick Kielty's fine reposte to Boris. Then we have Teresa May holding a party in 2022 which will divide NI and be seen as a celebration of partition...way to go ToryDUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 01, 2018, 02:23:54 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 01, 2018, 01:23:53 PM
SF are between a rock and a hard place with Brexit, to campaign could be deemed getting involved in matters they consider purely British and not for an Irish political party to become involved in. there is also the no small matter of Brexit hastening a UI and upsetting those small n nationalists allude to in Patrick Kielty's fine reposte to Boris. Then we have Teresa May holding a party in 2022 which will divide NI and be seen as a celebration of partition...way to go ToryDUP.

It's economically bad for people North and South of the border . . . how exactly does that put Sinn Fein between a rock and a hard place??!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on October 01, 2018, 02:36:42 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 01, 2018, 02:23:54 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 01, 2018, 01:23:53 PM
SF are between a rock and a hard place with Brexit, to campaign could be deemed getting involved in matters they consider purely British and not for an Irish political party to become involved in. there is also the no small matter of Brexit hastening a UI and upsetting those small n nationalists allude to in Patrick Kielty's fine reposte to Boris. Then we have Teresa May holding a party in 2022 which will divide NI and be seen as a celebration of partition...way to go ToryDUP.

It's economically bad for people North and South of the border . . . how exactly does that put Sinn Fein between a rock and a hard place??!!

Aye, a rock and a hard place.

The rock being that if they continue to sit on their holes and do nothing, they'll still have a majority nationalist vote in the next election.

The hard place being that if they go campaigning, they'll have to spend time, money and effort, and maybe even have to come up with one of them strategy things. Yet the end result will be still the same at the next election.

——

Keep throwing away your vote folks. That's all they want you to do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 10:01:34 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/foster-says-good-friday-agreement-is-not-untouchable-1.3648709


DUP leader Arlene Foster has said the Good Friday Agreement should not be considered untouchable in Brexit negotiations.

Speaking to the Daily Telegraph, Mrs Foster said it was not a sacrosanct piece of legislation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 02, 2018, 10:05:44 AM
DUPUDA's long term aim no doubt.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 02, 2018, 10:18:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 10:01:34 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/foster-says-good-friday-agreement-is-not-untouchable-1.3648709


DUP leader Arlene Foster has said the Good Friday Agreement should not be considered untouchable in Brexit negotiations.

Speaking to the Daily Telegraph, Mrs Foster said it was not a sacrosanct piece of legislation.

Would it need a referendum to change it but?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 10:38:55 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 02, 2018, 10:18:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 10:01:34 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/foster-says-good-friday-agreement-is-not-untouchable-1.3648709


DUP leader Arlene Foster has said the Good Friday Agreement should not be considered untouchable in Brexit negotiations.

Speaking to the Daily Telegraph, Mrs Foster said it was not a sacrosanct piece of legislation.

Would it need a referendum to change it but?
And a majority voted Remain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on October 02, 2018, 10:39:24 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 02, 2018, 10:18:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 10:01:34 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/foster-says-good-friday-agreement-is-not-untouchable-1.3648709


DUP leader Arlene Foster has said the Good Friday Agreement should not be considered untouchable in Brexit negotiations.

Speaking to the Daily Telegraph, Mrs Foster said it was not a sacrosanct piece of legislation.

Would it need a referendum to change it but?

No, just her SPAD to horse trade a little.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on October 02, 2018, 11:00:18 AM
Snarlene may be overplaying her hand here.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on October 02, 2018, 11:36:47 AM
Her arrogance, and ignorance, is astounding.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on October 02, 2018, 11:41:52 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/newslens/2018/0928/998709-brexit-for-kids/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: uimhr ocht on October 02, 2018, 02:29:28 PM
i think the dup would love a hard border checkpoints the works to keep ulster british at all costs,foster never wanted the good friday agreement to work its in the dna for anything other than equality or power sharing with nationalists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 02, 2018, 03:15:44 PM
The mask is slipping for what they really want.

I have said it before - i really don't think these people would be too bothered if they brought the troubles back.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 02, 2018, 03:19:23 PM
They are saying they will vote against anything that creates any sort of checks/border between NI and over the water. If they do that it might bring on a GE. Surely they would not risk a Labour government?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 02, 2018, 03:34:21 PM
If ever there was a time for Sinn Fein to end their policy of not taking their seats in Parliament......

If the Tory government didn't need the DUP votes I have no doubt that they would jettison NI so that the rest of the UK isn't crippled by a No Deal Brexit.

This video is 23 minutes, but well worth a watch to see what Brexit under a No Deal really means.  It'll be carnage.  Surely that is slowly getting through to May:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtkP3Hkc1cM&feature=youtu.be
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 03:50:01 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/02/brexit-eu-hits-out-irresponsible-uk-northern-ireland

The Democratic Unionist party has threatened to pull the plug on Theresa May's government, warning it is not bluffing when it says it will not accept a border in the Irish Sea.

Nigel Dodds, the leader of the DUP in the House of Commons, said the party would vote against May if she returned from Brussels with a deal that involved new checks on goods coming into Northern Ireland from Britain.

"We will vote against it. We will vote for our red lines," he told the Guardian.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 02, 2018, 03:52:04 PM
Hopefully she'll agree to it and Labour abstain as usual.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 04:58:52 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 02, 2018, 03:52:04 PM
Hopefully she'll agree to it and Labour abstain as usual.
If the DUP bring down the Government then Brexit is over.
There isn't a popular majority for it now and the Tories are split so there would be an election that Labour would probably win.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 02, 2018, 05:31:50 PM
Boris said in the tory conference that may's brexit proposal was illegal and quoted some act. It was repealed 51 years ago. What a muppet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 02, 2018, 05:53:33 PM
 :D ;D :D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 02, 2018, 06:13:41 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 01, 2018, 02:36:42 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 01, 2018, 02:23:54 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 01, 2018, 01:23:53 PM
SF are between a rock and a hard place with Brexit, to campaign could be deemed getting involved in matters they consider purely British and not for an Irish political party to become involved in. there is also the no small matter of Brexit hastening a UI and upsetting those small n nationalists allude to in Patrick Kielty's fine reposte to Boris. Then we have Teresa May holding a party in 2022 which will divide NI and be seen as a celebration of partition...way to go ToryDUP.

It's economically bad for people North and South of the border . . . how exactly does that put Sinn Fein between a rock and a hard place??!!

Aye, a rock and a hard place.

The rock being that if they continue to sit on their holes and do nothing, they'll still have a majority nationalist vote in the next election.

The hard place being that if they go campaigning, they'll have to spend time, money and effort, and maybe even have to come up with one of them strategy things. Yet the end result will be still the same at the next election.

——

Keep throwing away your vote folks. That's all they want you to do.
Bullshit, even if all NI voters voted remain, the English vote still trumps.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on October 02, 2018, 06:41:33 PM
The proposed new immigration rules will mean a complete disaster for Health and Social Care sector and the Hospitality sector......jobs the Brits are very reluctant to do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on October 02, 2018, 07:14:38 PM
Ive a suspicion the DUP have been told  there is going to have to be some form of Irish Sea border in the last 24 hours. Nigel, Sammy, Arlene and Danial O Donnell look alike have all been jumping up and down on twitter and the radio today, they are very cross.  >:( >:( >
Even willing to back Boris.

Maybe Theresa has finally grown a back bone told them this is what is happening and if you dont like it tough, bring me down and see what Jeremy does for the wee north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on October 02, 2018, 07:24:43 PM
GFA enshrines the principle of consent being a Northern Ireland only concern. This is a major thing for unionism to have enshrined in law.  Why she would riak saying this is not sacrosanct I cannot believe.
Saying they could work with Boris....???


I think they are trying to threaten May.

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 08:12:04 PM
The DUP threatens to pull the plug

https://youtu.be/Z_JOGmXpe5I
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 02, 2018, 08:15:12 PM
Quote from: pbat on October 02, 2018, 07:14:38 PM
Ive a suspicion the DUP have been told  there is going to have to be some form of Irish Sea border in the last 24 hours. Nigel, Sammy, Arlene and Danial O Donnell look alike have all been jumping up and down on twitter and the radio today, they are very cross.  >:( >:( >
Even willing to back Boris.

Maybe Theresa has finally grown a back bone told them this is what is happening and if you dont like it tough, bring me down and see what Jeremy does for the wee north.
I think you're on to something there. If May gets the Tory Conference over without too much blood letting I think she'll throw the DUP under the bus
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 02, 2018, 08:27:27 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 02, 2018, 08:15:12 PM
Quote from: pbat on October 02, 2018, 07:14:38 PM
Ive a suspicion the DUP have been told  there is going to have to be some form of Irish Sea border in the last 24 hours. Nigel, Sammy, Arlene and Danial O Donnell look alike have all been jumping up and down on twitter and the radio today, they are very cross.  >:( >:( >
Even willing to back Boris.

Maybe Theresa has finally grown a back bone told them this is what is happening and if you dont like it tough, bring me down and see what Jeremy does for the wee north.
I think you're on to something there. If May gets the Tory Conference over without too much blood letting I think she'll throw the DUP under the bus

Here's hoping. 🤞
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 02, 2018, 08:34:37 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 02, 2018, 08:15:12 PM
Quote from: pbat on October 02, 2018, 07:14:38 PM
Ive a suspicion the DUP have been told  there is going to have to be some form of Irish Sea border in the last 24 hours. Nigel, Sammy, Arlene and Danial O Donnell look alike have all been jumping up and down on twitter and the radio today, they are very cross.  >:( >:( >
Even willing to back Boris.

Maybe Theresa has finally grown a back bone told them this is what is happening and if you dont like it tough, bring me down and see what Jeremy does for the wee north.
I think you're on to something there. If May gets the Tory Conference over without too much blood letting I think she'll throw the DUP under the bus

It begs the question why the DUP seems surprised by this. The Tories were ALWAYS going to throw the stupid feckers under the bus. They're not, nor ever have been, in as strong a position as they boasted about. Not only have they received just buttons of the £1bn bribe, the consequences of pulling the plug on May will in all likelihood mean Corbyn in No.10, and he will enjoy completely shafting them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 02, 2018, 08:40:31 PM
Chuck Chequers as good as saying Chucky ár lá
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on October 02, 2018, 09:02:18 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 02, 2018, 08:40:31 PM
Chuck Chequers as good as saying Chucky ár lá

Chequers goes pop!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on October 02, 2018, 10:07:17 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 02, 2018, 08:34:37 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 02, 2018, 08:15:12 PM
Quote from: pbat on October 02, 2018, 07:14:38 PM
Ive a suspicion the DUP have been told  there is going to have to be some form of Irish Sea border in the last 24 hours. Nigel, Sammy, Arlene and Danial O Donnell look alike have all been jumping up and down on twitter and the radio today, they are very cross.  >:( >:( >
Even willing to back Boris.

Maybe Theresa has finally grown a back bone told them this is what is happening and if you dont like it tough, bring me down and see what Jeremy does for the wee north.
I think you're on to something there. If May gets the Tory Conference over without too much blood letting I think she'll throw the DUP under the bus

It begs the question why the DUP seems surprised by this. The Tories were ALWAYS going to throw the stupid feckers under the bus. They're not, nor ever have been, in as strong a position as they boasted about. Not only have they received just buttons of the £1bn bribe, the consequences of pulling the plug on May will in all likelihood mean Corbyn in No.10, and he will enjoy completely shafting them.

They're idiots in the limelight, of course they believed the Tories have finally welcomed them back into the fold.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 03, 2018, 01:34:21 AM
Arlene vs Leo (and his 26mates) wonder what way that'll go.

On what basis does she think she can renegotiate the GFA?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 03, 2018, 07:39:01 AM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on October 02, 2018, 09:02:18 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 02, 2018, 08:40:31 PM
Chuck Chequers as good as saying Chucky ár lá

Chequers goes pop!
Very good

The Tories have to make some decisions for a change
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on October 03, 2018, 09:22:33 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 02, 2018, 08:12:04 PM
The DUP threatens to pull the plug

https://youtu.be/Z_JOGmXpe5I

There's even a Lambeg drum in there for good measure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Trap on October 03, 2018, 10:41:50 AM
Could someone answer these questions for me please?

If the DUP did not have this arrangement with the Tories what deal would have been done and how would have that impacted the North?

Should Taigs and Prods not all want the same thing for the economic prosperity of the place? How can it be so different?

Are both sides really seeing this as an opportunity to either weaken or strengthen the union and to hell with everything else?

Is it the case that we are totally dependent on the EU/Irish Govn/British Govn to protect us from ourselves?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on October 03, 2018, 08:42:07 PM
Quote from: The Trap on October 03, 2018, 10:41:50 AM
Could someone answer these questions for me please?

If the DUP did not have this arrangement with the Tories what deal would have been done and how would have that impacted the North?

May would have signed the deal last December putting the border in the Irish Sea and the North remaining in the customs union as she was all set to do until Arlene threw the toys out of the pram. The North would have become very attractive to business as it could have exported tariff free to Europe and the UK at the same time. And possibly, just possibly the north may have begun to pay its own way

Should Taigs and Prods not all want the same thing for the economic prosperity of the place? How can it be so different?

Yes they should but hardliners would rather eat grass than see the other lot win, this is particularly easy when you are on a £50,000 per year MLA salary or £70,000 per year MP salary

Are both sides really seeing this as an opportunity to either weaken or strengthen the union and to hell with everything else?

The DUP certainly are, most sensible people are worried about the impact on jobs, livelihoods etc. If you are unsure about the DUP attitude go back to the interview with Nelson McCausland a while back, when asked about how much Brexit would cost he replied he didn't care this was principle not economics

Is it the case that we are totally dependent on the EU/Irish Govn/British Govn to protect us from ourselves?

Yes, the last time we were in full control over here was from 1922 to 1972 and we all know how that ended
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on October 03, 2018, 08:53:36 PM
Quote from: keep her low this half on October 03, 2018, 08:42:07 PM
Quote from: The Trap on October 03, 2018, 10:41:50 AM
Could someone answer these questions for me please?

If the DUP did not have this arrangement with the Tories what deal would have been done and how would have that impacted the North?

May would have signed the deal last December putting the border in the Irish Sea and the North remaining in the customs union as she was all set to do until Arlene threw the toys out of the pram. The North would have become very attractive to business as it could have exported tariff free to Europe and the UK at the same time. And possibly, just possibly the north may have begun to pay its own way

Should Taigs and Prods not all want the same thing for the economic prosperity of the place? How can it be so different?

Yes they should but hardliners would rather eat grass than see the other lot win, this is particularly easy when you are on a £50,000 per year MLA salary or £70,000 per year MP salary


Are both sides really seeing this as an opportunity to either weaken or strengthen the union and to hell with everything else?

The DUP certainly are, most sensible people are worried about the impact on jobs, livelihoods etc. If you are unsure about the DUP attitude go back to the interview with Nelson McCausland a while back, when asked about how much Brexit would cost he replied he didn't care this was principle not economics


Is it the case that we are totally dependent on the EU/Irish Govn/British Govn to protect us from ourselves?

Yes, the last time we one side were in full control over here was from 1922 to 1972 and we all know how that ended

Fixed that for you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on October 03, 2018, 08:54:41 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on October 03, 2018, 08:53:36 PM
Quote from: keep her low this half on October 03, 2018, 08:42:07 PM
Quote from: The Trap on October 03, 2018, 10:41:50 AM
Could someone answer these questions for me please?

If the DUP did not have this arrangement with the Tories what deal would have been done and how would have that impacted the North?

May would have signed the deal last December putting the border in the Irish Sea and the North remaining in the customs union as she was all set to do until Arlene threw the toys out of the pram. The North would have become very attractive to business as it could have exported tariff free to Europe and the UK at the same time. And possibly, just possibly the north may have begun to pay its own way

Should Taigs and Prods not all want the same thing for the economic prosperity of the place? How can it be so different?

Yes they should but hardliners would rather eat grass than see the other lot win, this is particularly easy when you are on a £50,000 per year MLA salary or £70,000 per year MP salary


Are both sides really seeing this as an opportunity to either weaken or strengthen the union and to hell with everything else?

The DUP certainly are, most sensible people are worried about the impact on jobs, livelihoods etc. If you are unsure about the DUP attitude go back to the interview with Nelson McCausland a while back, when asked about how much Brexit would cost he replied he didn't care this was principle not economics


Is it the case that we are totally dependent on the EU/Irish Govn/British Govn to protect us from ourselves?

Yes, the last time we one side were in full control over here was from 1922 to 1972 and we all know how that ended

Fixed that for you.
Fair point, good editing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 03, 2018, 09:41:31 PM
Quote from: The Trap on October 03, 2018, 10:41:50 AM
Could someone answer these questions for me please?

If the DUP did not have this arrangement with the Tories what deal would have been done and how would have that impacted the North?

Should Taigs and Prods not all want the same thing for the economic prosperity of the place? How can it be so different?

Are both sides really seeing this as an opportunity to either weaken or strengthen the union and to hell with everything else?

Is it the case that we are totally dependent on the EU/Irish Govn/British Govn to protect us from ourselves?

The DUP say they don't want any border either between Newry and Dundalk or Belfast and Liverpool. Now the problem is they've no solution on how to avoid a border and leave the EU at the same time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Trap on October 03, 2018, 09:48:13 PM
Thanks keep her low. I agree with your answers. That being the case why are we all sitting on our hands letting the DUP do this. Should we not be on the streets marching for the option they were going for last December?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 04, 2018, 07:40:19 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 03, 2018, 09:41:31 PM
Quote from: The Trap on October 03, 2018, 10:41:50 AM
Could someone answer these questions for me please?

If the DUP did not have this arrangement with the Tories what deal would have been done and how would have that impacted the North?

Should Taigs and Prods not all want the same thing for the economic prosperity of the place? How can it be so different?

Are both sides really seeing this as an opportunity to either weaken or strengthen the union and to hell with everything else?

Is it the case that we are totally dependent on the EU/Irish Govn/British Govn to protect us from ourselves?

The DUP say they don't want any border either between Newry and Dundalk or Belfast and Liverpool. Now the problem is they've no solution on how to avoid a border and leave the EU at the same time.

Maybe they don't mean whst they say re the Dundslk/Newry one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 04, 2018, 08:55:55 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 03, 2018, 09:41:31 PM
Quote from: The Trap on October 03, 2018, 10:41:50 AM
Could someone answer these questions for me please?

If the DUP did not have this arrangement with the Tories what deal would have been done and how would have that impacted the North?

Should Taigs and Prods not all want the same thing for the economic prosperity of the place? How can it be so different?

Are both sides really seeing this as an opportunity to either weaken or strengthen the union and to hell with everything else?

Is it the case that we are totally dependent on the EU/Irish Govn/British Govn to protect us from ourselves?

The DUP say they don't want any border either between Newry and Dundalk or Belfast and Liverpool. Now the problem is they've no solution on how to avoid a border and leave the EU at the same time.
They do not understand economics. Nobody in Brussels cares about what Arlene wants
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on October 04, 2018, 09:57:36 AM
The DUP really are a strange party.

Why is there no one in the party saying... I think we made a mistake advocating leave vote. You would think there would be a few who have this view. Either they are all deluded or all scared of speaking against the glorious leader.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 04, 2018, 12:00:58 PM
What nationalists don't understand about this DUP/Unionist mindset, (which does not apply to alll unionists) is that the Union with the Motherland comes before all else even bread on the table. Just look at the death of Portadown as an economic hub all because they wanted to walk a half a mile of tarmac. I personally can't fathom why. Nationalists in the North and perhaps in general given Irelands history have had to be pragmatic and accept their gains in small increments. DUP/Unionists see every small change as a loss to them. As Mo Mowlam once said Unionists can't read between the line. In other words everything is viewed in the absolutism of the planter under siege.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 04, 2018, 12:07:27 PM
That is bang on applesisapples and this brexit nonsense is illustrating your point.

Union over money. The ones doing the campaigning won't be out of pocket mind. Just their followers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 04, 2018, 12:55:13 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 04, 2018, 12:00:58 PM
What nationalists don't understand about this DUP/Unionist mindset, (which does not apply to alll unionists) is that the Union with the Motherland comes before all else even bread on the table. Just look at the death of Portadown as an economic hub all because they wanted to walk a half a mile of tarmac. I personally can't fathom why. Nationalists in the North and perhaps in general given Irelands history have had to be pragmatic and accept their gains in small increments. DUP/Unionists see every small change as a loss to them. As Mo Mowlam once said Unionists can't read between the line. In other words everything is viewed in the absolutism of the planter under siege.

Nigel is running the party in all but name.

What I don't get is why Business men and women of a unionist persuasion aren't up in arms over this as surely they're not buying the "great opportunities await" line peddled by Jim Allister and Co post Brexit..
Maybe don't want the Lundy tag bestowed upon them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 04, 2018, 01:04:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2018, 12:55:13 PM
Nigel is running the party in all but name.

What I don't get is why Business men and women of a unionist persuasion aren't up in arms over this as surely they're not buying the "great opportunities await" line peddled by Jim Allister and Co post Brexit..
Maybe don't want the Lundy tag bestowed upon them.

Business people haven't really managed much influence over the Tories either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on October 04, 2018, 02:39:32 PM
Let them eat fleg!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 04, 2018, 03:14:59 PM
Good old argument on Nolan last night where the other 2 (Alliance and Labour peer) ganged up on Jim of the DUP, who could only mouth platitudes about leaving on British terms. Fat Steve didn't spare him either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 04, 2018, 03:38:08 PM
Jim Wells?

If it wasn't for him and Jim Allister our Stevie would struggle for a show.

Jamwie must be persona non grata after the peelers lifted him in the doorman scandal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on October 04, 2018, 11:19:44 PM
Lots of speculation that May I about to shaft the DUP. Sooner the better I say. She is proposing the whole UK stay in customs union until a free trade deal is agreed and northern Ireland will stay in the single market therefore regulatory border in the Irish sea. She may not get it through Westminster but it will be fun to watch Arlene and Nigel swinging on a hook.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 05, 2018, 09:11:49 AM
Quote from: keep her low this half on October 04, 2018, 11:19:44 PM
Lots of speculation that May I about to shaft the DUP. Sooner the better I say. She is proposing the whole UK stay in customs union until a free trade deal is agreed and northern Ireland will stay in the single market therefore regulatory border in the Irish sea. She may not get it through Westminster but it will be fun to watch Arlene and Nigel swinging on a hook.

It's not entirely what Corbyn said he'd support but not far away which could potentially mean Labour and the Lib Dems voting for it to negate the Brexiteers in the Tory party and the DUP.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 05, 2018, 02:33:28 PM
Sounds from Brussels are that the Tories are about to throw the DUP under the bus!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 05, 2018, 03:05:43 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 05, 2018, 02:33:28 PM
Sounds from Brussels are that the Tories are about to throw the DUP under the bus!!!!

At least they should use a Ballymena built one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thebar on October 05, 2018, 05:00:20 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 05, 2018, 02:33:28 PM
Sounds from Brussels are that the Tories are about to throw the DUP under the bus!!!!
Brilliant...DUP in government and they split the union  ;D ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 05, 2018, 06:46:57 PM
Foster on RTÉ news this evening -as far as I could make out saying  trade matters are  reserved to Westminster.
Is she preparing the troops or what?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Olly on October 05, 2018, 07:18:50 PM
I think the whole football violence thing is affecting people's thinking on brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 05, 2018, 07:51:25 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 05, 2018, 06:46:57 PM
Foster on RTÉ news this evening -as far as I could make out saying  trade matters are  reserved to Westminster.
Is she preparing the troops or what?

It means Dodds is running the show.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 08, 2018, 11:51:10 AM
https://youtu.be/np_ylvc8Zj8 (https://youtu.be/np_ylvc8Zj8)

At the demise of empire, City of London financial interests created a web of secrecy jurisdictions that captured wealth from across the globe and hid it in a web of offshore islands. Today, up to half of global offshore wealth is hidden in British jurisdictions and Britain and its dependencies are the largest global players in the world of international finance.

This was a very interesting watch and it clears up for me as to why Brexit was started and that it will happen no matter what party is at the helm....because there not really in charge.
Never knew you had 2 separate entities in London with 2 separate Mayors.

I also think that the "City of London" is where the money came from to pay the DUP to back Brexit.
DUP are tied in with some very powerful companies/people now which is very worrying
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 09, 2018, 01:17:35 PM
Barnier getting his eyes opened today as to the type of backward thinking sh1t we have to deal with here on a weekly basis.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-arlene-foster-dup-extensive-talks-no-deal-irish-border-a8575471.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-latest-arlene-foster-dup-extensive-talks-no-deal-irish-border-a8575471.html)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 09, 2018, 01:47:15 PM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/09/brexit-dup-leader-dampens-hopes-of-irish-border-compromise

"I am the leader of the Democratic Unionist party. The clue is in the title." Some man so she is.

Hi which of those reprobates was it stood on side of a lorry at local Klan meeting show of strength and introduced himself as a sectarian bigot to wild applause? Maybe 10/20 years ago now probably during marching season. Remember seeing a clip of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JohnDenver on October 09, 2018, 02:04:18 PM
Quote from: tiempo on October 09, 2018, 01:47:15 PM

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/09/brexit-dup-leader-dampens-hopes-of-irish-border-compromise

"I am the leader of the Democratic Unionist party. The clue is in the title." Some man so she is.

Hi which of those reprobates was it stood on side of a lorry at local Klan meeting show of strength and introduced himself as a sectarian bigot to wild applause? Maybe 10/20 years ago now probably during marching season. Remember seeing a clip of it.

Possibly Willie McCrea standing alongside Billy Wright you could be referring to.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 10, 2018, 02:53:57 PM

DUP on for voting against the Tory budget if they don't get their own way on Brexit, I'd say they're clean fucked, the Tories will discard them at the opportune moment for whatever suit them best, bad bad move by Arlene.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 10, 2018, 04:57:01 PM
Quote from: tiempo on October 10, 2018, 02:53:57 PM

DUP on for voting against the Tory budget if they don't get their own way on Brexit, I'd say they're clean fucked, the Tories will discard them at the opportune moment for whatever suit them best, bad bad move by Arlene.

Looks like they have been kicked into touch. Delightful viewing. I'd say Barnier had a right chuckle into himself yesterday at the 2 dolly birds!  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 10, 2018, 05:53:07 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 10, 2018, 04:57:01 PM
Quote from: tiempo on October 10, 2018, 02:53:57 PM

DUP on for voting against the Tory budget if they don't get their own way on Brexit, I'd say they're clean fucked, the Tories will discard them at the opportune moment for whatever suit them best, bad bad move by Arlene.

Looks like they have been kicked into touch. Delightful viewing. I'd say Barnier had a right chuckle into himself yesterday at the 2 dolly birds!  ;D

Be getting the popcorn in for that day. Who'd have predicted it, eh? The Tories shafting the DUP  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on October 10, 2018, 06:05:19 PM
Careful, mocking can bite you in the ass.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 10, 2018, 06:11:04 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 10, 2018, 04:57:01 PM
Quote from: tiempo on October 10, 2018, 02:53:57 PM

DUP on for voting against the Tory budget if they don't get their own way on Brexit, I'd say they're clean fucked, the Tories will discard them at the opportune moment for whatever suit them best, bad bad move by Arlene.

Looks like they have been kicked into touch. Delightful viewing. I'd say Barnier had a right chuckle into himself yesterday at the 2 dolly birds!  ;D

Twas the only deal that was ever on the cards the DUP ultimately dont matter but the key question is....Can May get it thru Parliment?

She's got 50 odd MPs at least who will vote against her Checkers deal and you could likely add a few to that
Where are other votes coming from?
SNP and LibDems will likely vote anything down regarding Brexit
This is also the deal that Labour would reach with the EU but would they support it in opposition with the prospect of a GE in the subsequent turmoil of no deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: giveherlong on October 10, 2018, 08:23:28 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 10, 2018, 04:57:01 PM
Quote from: tiempo on October 10, 2018, 02:53:57 PM

DUP on for voting against the Tory budget if they don't get their own way on Brexit, I'd say they're clean fucked, the Tories will discard them at the opportune moment for whatever suit them best, bad bad move by Arlene.

Looks like they have been kicked into touch. Delightful viewing. I'd say Barnier had a right chuckle into himself yesterday at the 2 dolly birds!  ;D

What makes you say they've been kicked to touch?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 10, 2018, 08:44:46 PM
We've been here before.  There's plenty of time and space for them to f**k things up yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 10, 2018, 09:07:25 PM
Quote from: giveherlong on October 10, 2018, 08:23:28 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 10, 2018, 04:57:01 PM
Quote from: tiempo on October 10, 2018, 02:53:57 PM

DUP on for voting against the Tory budget if they don't get their own way on Brexit, I'd say they're clean fucked, the Tories will discard them at the opportune moment for whatever suit them best, bad bad move by Arlene.

Looks like they have been kicked into touch. Delightful viewing. I'd say Barnier had a right chuckle into himself yesterday at the 2 dolly birds!  ;D

What makes you say they've been kicked to touch?

I read Barnier's statement today where he is laying out the terms of the agreement. It is very much not what the DUP want but I think the Brits will have no choice but to accept it as at the end of the day it is 27 v 1. So the DUP either have to do what they are told and stick with the Tories or risk a GE where Labour will be favorites to win. They will not risk a Corbyn lead Labour government so they will have to do what they are told. All just my humble opinion of course but it is how I see this playing out.

Of course even if the DUP back May there is still no guarantee she will get an agreement through and a GE may well happen anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on October 10, 2018, 09:09:20 PM
The only thing would now maybe be a concern is if May is throwing the DUP under the bus on Brexit what could she try and offer them to keep them on board to get the next budget passed?

* No Military prosecutions.
* More Dough.
* A few house of lords seats.
* Direct Rule.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stall the Bailer on October 10, 2018, 09:14:05 PM
The DUP will do what keeps them in power, they won't care what British public think of them, just what their voters here think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on October 10, 2018, 09:33:13 PM
Quote from: Stall the Bailer on October 10, 2018, 09:14:05 PM
The DUP will do what keeps them in power, they won't care what British public think of them, just what their voters here think.

That's grand while the Tory/DUP deal is still running. However if the DUP stiff the Tories then all bets are off. Expect salaries at Stormont slashed very quickly. The £1 billion deal will be gone in a puff of smoke. Expect lots of talk in the Telegraph and Mail about the £10 billion a year subvention to NI and why are the home counties paying for it. Do not doubt that the Tories are the real nasty party. If they are being nasty to the DUP that will be funny but us in the north will end up as collateral damage ( and Im not talking about wankers in Stormont )
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 10, 2018, 09:34:08 PM
Quote from: pbat on October 10, 2018, 09:09:20 PM
The only thing would now maybe be a concern is if May is throwing the DUP under the bus on Brexit what could she try and offer them to keep them on board to get the next budget passed?

* No Military prosecutions.
* More Dough. How much of the 1 billion has NI seen so far?
* A few house of lords seats.
* Direct Rule.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 11, 2018, 08:16:56 AM
A cabinet meeting called today to discuss the DUP threat to not pass the budget. Which would result in either labour backing it ot a government fail and probably a new election.

Be careful what you wish for Arlene....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 11, 2018, 08:45:31 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 11, 2018, 08:16:56 AM
A cabinet meeting called today to discuss the DUP threat to not pass the budget. Which would result in either labour backing it ot a government fail and probably a new election.

Be careful what you wish for Arlene....

Would Labour get in if there was an election?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on October 11, 2018, 10:09:26 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 11, 2018, 08:45:31 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 11, 2018, 08:16:56 AM
A cabinet meeting called today to discuss the DUP threat to not pass the budget. Which would result in either labour backing it ot a government fail and probably a new election.

Be careful what you wish for Arlene....

Would Labour get in if there was an election?

Don't think so, feel neither party would secure a majority......coalition time again....this time with UKIP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyboard Warrior on October 11, 2018, 10:15:26 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on October 11, 2018, 10:09:26 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 11, 2018, 08:45:31 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 11, 2018, 08:16:56 AM
A cabinet meeting called today to discuss the DUP threat to not pass the budget. Which would result in either labour backing it ot a government fail and probably a new election.

Be careful what you wish for Arlene....

Would Labour get in if there was an election?


Don't think so, feel neither party would secure a majority......coalition time again....this time with UKIP

Labour & everyone bar the Tories/DUP in a softer/no brexit coalition is possible
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 11, 2018, 10:31:04 AM
A lot of Labour heartlands voted for Brexit.

Corbyn needs to walk a tightrope

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 11, 2018, 10:42:04 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on October 11, 2018, 10:09:26 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 11, 2018, 08:45:31 AM
Quote from: heganboy on October 11, 2018, 08:16:56 AM
A cabinet meeting called today to discuss the DUP threat to not pass the budget. Which would result in either labour backing it ot a government fail and probably a new election.

Be careful what you wish for Arlene....

Would Labour get in if there was an election?

Don't think so, feel neither party would secure a majority......coalition time again....this time with UKIP

Labour will rise again on the campaign trail, Corbyn is excellent under the microscope, they are quite ineffective as opposition, the party is fractured, been the case for 10 years now, socialist wing vs New Labour wing. If Labour MPs would focus on effective opposition to the Tories instead of shitting on their own doorstep they could actually achieve something. Surely Scotland wouldn't go as Tory as it did last time, complete and utter shambles what happened there. Labour electing Ed Milliband instead of David Milliband all those years ago has had a profound effect on events since.

DUP have 10 MPs and got a C&S deal, UKIP have none and wouln't jump from 0 to anywhere near 10 so no chance of a coalition. They'll not get a single seat.

I think Labour would take a narrow majority in an election, Tories stuck between a rock and hard place, the bastard state and Frankenstien party they are in league with will be their downfall, the Tories have no gra for anything other than money and power, same as the DUP, both will cannibalise themselves in this term.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on October 11, 2018, 11:05:42 AM
At this stage I  there will be a Brexit plan support mechanism with labour supplying enough support (unofficial s and c) with dup being told to go fcuk themselves. They will be shafted big time and really the electorate needs to turn on them for it in the future. Line down the Irish Sea to appear..the north could have been lead better, and with no stormont and no opposition the dup have inadvertently finished n I
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 11, 2018, 11:41:02 AM
As the UK EU exit deal nears closer I think people here are still a little bit blase about the actual consequences although I do notice a lot more fear as the deadline approaches.

Once the practical consequence become evident in the buisness, farming, manufacturing and tourism sectors alongside others though, I think the DUP may face a backlash from the crucial middle of the road voters. That is,unless they have a complete U turn and push for a best of both worlds deal for the 6 counties which will not happen. Either way they are self destructing when it comes to preserving their sacred Union by being strong advocates of Brexit.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 11, 2018, 12:31:33 PM
I'd say the DUP and the hardline Brexiteers are in cahoots on this one.

Making life difficult for May on the budget could possibly push the Tories into a leadership battle and I honestly believe that the DUP think Boris or Fox are more aligned to their rationale than May.

Hardline Brexiteers can then blame the DUP for Mays departure with clean hands as they set about f**king up Brexit with a no deal scenario.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2018, 12:34:15 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 11, 2018, 10:31:04 AM
A lot of Labour heartlands voted for Brexit.

Corbyn needs to walk a tightrope
polls are saying most of them would now vote Remain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 11, 2018, 12:48:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 11, 2018, 12:31:33 PM
I'd say the DUP and the hardline Brexiteers are in cahoots on this one.

Making life difficult for May on the budget could possibly push the Tories into a leadership battle and I honestly believe that the DUP think Boris or Fox are more aligned to their rationale than May.

Hardline Brexiteers can then blame the DUP for Mays departure with clean hands as they set about f**king up Brexit with a no deal scenario.

Fair point, but the DUP will know that the hard line Brexiteers will use them to advance their own cause of overthrowing May but these hardline Brexiteers are still no less likely to throw the DUP under a bus than the present government are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on October 11, 2018, 02:13:27 PM
Any chance Corbyn could topple the Tories, take power in a GE, back a new referendum, win it and take up the old mantle of the British in the EU.

If he pulled it off he'd have some serious political capital to spend both with an EU who'd owe him for overturning Brexit and at home where he'd have successfully trumped two major plebisciles and cemented a avid leftist voter base for overturning Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 11, 2018, 02:22:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 11, 2018, 12:34:15 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 11, 2018, 10:31:04 AM
A lot of Labour heartlands voted for Brexit.

Corbyn needs to walk a tightrope
polls are saying most of them would now vote Remain

Interesting, any polls I have seen is that the leave and remain votes have barely changed, and if anything have become more entrenched.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 11, 2018, 02:26:32 PM
Quote from: trileacman on October 11, 2018, 02:13:27 PM
Any chance Corbyn could topple the Tories, take power in a GE, back a new referendum, win it and take up the old mantle of the British in the EU.

If he pulled it off he'd have some serious political capital to spend both with an EU who'd owe him for overturning Brexit and at home where he'd have successfully trumped two major plebisciles and cemented a avid leftist voter base for overturning Brexit.

Corbyn hates the EU more than some of the Tories. Corbyn isn't going to reverse Brexit.

People need to get real here. There's a lot of posturing by everyone, EU, DUP, Brexiters in the Tory party. However, Brexit is happening and will happen. What we're realistically hoping for is a Brexit that's "not to bad". Lets get real here. This is happening, it's unlikely a leadership challenge will happen in the Tory party and it's even more unlikely there will be a GE. There simply isn't time being one of the main reasons. We can hope for a softening of positions all round in the next few weeks and that we don't come out of this too badly.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 11, 2018, 02:41:13 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 11, 2018, 12:48:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 11, 2018, 12:31:33 PM
I'd say the DUP and the hardline Brexiteers are in cahoots on this one.

Making life difficult for May on the budget could possibly push the Tories into a leadership battle and I honestly believe that the DUP think Boris or Fox are more aligned to their rationale than May.

Hardline Brexiteers can then blame the DUP for Mays departure with clean hands as they set about f**king up Brexit with a no deal scenario.

Fair point, but the DUP will know that the hard line Brexiteers will use them to advance their own cause of overthrowing May but these hardline Brexiteers are still no less likely to throw the DUP under a bus than the present government are.


Hardline Brexiteers want totally out of everything EU, customs union, regularity alignment, EU courts of Human Rights and so forth meaning a frontier on the island of Ireland which ultimately is what the DUP would be happy enough to settle for irrespective of economical consequences as we're going to be the same as Finchley, remember.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 11, 2018, 02:42:42 PM
Quote from: trileacman on October 11, 2018, 02:13:27 PM
Any chance Corbyn could topple the Tories, take power in a GE, back a new referendum, win it and take up the old mantle of the British in the EU.

If he pulled it off he'd have some serious political capital to spend both with an EU who'd owe him for overturning Brexit and at home where he'd have successfully trumped two major plebisciles and cemented a avid leftist voter base for overturning Brexit.

Yes and no.

Yes he could win an election but he's not a Europhile and would quite happily negotiate Brexit but on much softer terms including those extremely favourable to the Frankeistein statelet (which the DUP don't want!). I'm sure he could also be pursuaded to hold Brexit 2 and if it was remain he'd happily go with it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 11, 2018, 02:43:02 PM
May's biggest problem will be getting it through Parliament, there will be a Brexit deal - it will please no one and I don't see where she gets the support from to get it passed.

It's like the wild west in Politics at the minute and nothing can be taken for granted, the right wing Brexit Mps will collapse it in a heartbeat, another GE doesn't matter in this chaos.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 07:33:34 PM
I can't believe how little the media is freaking out about Brexit.  Even if we get agreement on a deal that gives us the transition period there will lots of upheaval for exporting companies in the UK.

Take one example of a company exporting something to Korea.  That company is currently exporting as part of the EU (on the tariffs and market access that the EU gives them).
In the event of a Deal the company can still ship to the EU as everything will continue on as is for the next 2 years.

But even if there is a Deal the UK leaves the EU on 29th March next year.  The fact that the UK and the EU has arranged a transition agreement does not mean that Korea has done so.
As far as Korea (and the rest of the world) is concerned the UK is no longer in the EU (as legally we will have left). So in order for the company to get the same market access as they do today Korea will have to make changes to its legislation / guidance to read "EU and UK" where it used to say "EU".

I'd imagine that Korea has a lot more high priority areas to legislate on that this, so when will these changes be made?  We've only got 5 months until this happens.
And then all the other third countries who we trade with as part of the EU will also need to make the same changes.

How long will this take to do?

And that's in the event that we get a Deal and have a transition arrangement with the EU.  Imagine if the UK doesn't, there'll be economic carnage as so many things are entangled with the EU.

(The above excludes any backstop arrangement for NI as it's too hard to work out what that will be like, but as a minimum, it'll be the case for the rest of the UK).

I can't understand why this isn't being shouted from the rooftops by more people.  The House of Commons knew about this last February (https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201719/cmselect/cmintrade/520/520.pdf), but we don't seem to be any further forward in this regard.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 11, 2018, 07:47:31 PM
Ahhh all will be grand once they have blue passports  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on October 11, 2018, 08:45:31 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 07:33:34 PM
I can't believe how little the media is freaking out about Brexit.  Even if we get agreement on a deal that gives us the transition period there will lots of upheaval for exporting companies in the UK.

Take one example of a company exporting something to Korea.  That company is currently exporting as part of the EU (on the tariffs and market access that the EU gives them).
In the event of a Deal the company can still ship to the EU as everything will continue on as is for the next 2 years.

But even if there is a Deal the UK leaves the EU on 29th March next year.  The fact that the UK and the EU has arranged a transition agreement does not mean that Korea has done so.
As far as Korea (and the rest of the world) is concerned the UK is no longer in the EU (as legally we will have left). So in order for the company to get the same market access as they do today Korea will have to make changes to its legislation / guidance to read "EU and UK" where it used to say "EU".

I'd imagine that Korea has a lot more high priority areas to legislate on that this, so when will these changes be made?  We've only got 5 months until this happens.
And then all the other third countries who we trade with as part of the EU will also need to make the same changes.

How long will this take to do?

And that's in the event that we get a Deal and have a transition arrangement with the EU.  Imagine if the UK doesn't, there'll be economic carnage as so many things are entangled with the EU.

(The above excludes any backstop arrangement for NI as it's too hard to work out what that will be like, but as a minimum, it'll be the case for the rest of the UK).

I can't understand why this isn't being shouted from the rooftops by more people.  The House of Commons knew about this last February (https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201719/cmselect/cmintrade/520/520.pdf (https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201719/cmselect/cmintrade/520/520.pdf)), but we don't seem to be any further forward in this regard.


That's all spot on, Joe.

I have my own, "I can't believe how little attention this has got ..."

Almost four out of five Northern Ireland Leavers put Brexit above peace process (https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/almost-four-out-of-five-northern-ireland-leavers-put-brexit-above-peace-process-1.3656188).

80%! Yes, 80% of (effectively) the DUP would be prepared to return to the troubles if it meant getting their Brexit, which itself will ruin their economy and hasten the United Ireland they think they would be preventing. This, more than anything I've seen in a long time, shows up the dangerously and vindictively stupid bastards we're dealing with here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 11, 2018, 09:09:36 PM
There is nothing economic in anything the dup say. Bitter bigots who want to drive every wedge they can between the north and the south. Not one crap could they give about a peace process.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 11, 2018, 09:19:40 PM
I think it was Nelson Mc C of the DUP said "I wouldn't care what sort of situation I face as long as I'm out of Europe".

This was Feb 2017.

That tells us everything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

In terms of other sectors effected:

In the material handling sector (a sector where NI, and specifically Tyrone lead the world) the equipment tends to confirm with the EC Machinery Directive, and is CE marked accordingly.  The body that is attesting that the equipment applies to the CE standard needs to be based in the EU.  This will really complicate things for the manufacturing sector.

The aerospace industry is very tightly regulated and is governed by the European Aviation and Safety Agency (EASA).  Again will UK manufacturers be able to supply parts to be used in planes as they will be outside of EASA?



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2018, 09:45:31 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

In terms of other sectors effected:

In the material handling sector (a sector where NI, and specifically Tyrone lead the world) the equipment tends to confirm with the EC Machinery Directive, and is CE marked accordingly.  The body that is attesting that the equipment applies to the CE standard needs to be based in the EU.  This will really complicate things for the manufacturing sector.

The aerospace industry is very tightly regulated and is governed by the European Aviation and Safety Agency (EASA).  Again will UK manufacturers be able to supply parts to be used in planes as they will be outside of EASA?
Great post. The DUP is not behaving rationally.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2018, 10:35:36 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

Some of these people think they'll have an  advantage in the English market.

But the point is still valid, there is very little discussion as the meteorite approaches.  No protests in support of the GFA, no 1000 truck protests.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 11, 2018, 10:48:16 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

In terms of other sectors effected:

In the material handling sector (a sector where NI, and specifically Tyrone lead the world) the equipment tends to confirm with the EC Machinery Directive, and is CE marked accordingly.  The body that is attesting that the equipment applies to the CE standard needs to be based in the EU.  This will really complicate things for the manufacturing sector.

The aerospace industry is very tightly regulated and is governed by the European Aviation and Safety Agency (EASA).  Again will UK manufacturers be able to supply parts to be used in planes as they will be outside of EASA?

Dairy farmers nearly all to a man voted leave. Red tape, being told what to do and when to do it by Brussels being the main reasons. And you know what? They are dead right. Regardless of what happens the UK government will support them. So for the farming sector there is probably no downside.
Personally I'd love to see the bundle of hungry c***ts being put on the side of the road, but that's unlikely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on October 12, 2018, 12:27:33 AM
What an extraordinary opinion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2018, 06:21:57 AM
Torygraph

« The Prime Minister told her Brexit "war Cabinet" Thursday afternoon that a proposal to keep Britain in a customs union with the EU until a trade deal can be agreed will have no end date, leading to fears the arrangement could become permanent. »

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 12, 2018, 08:52:01 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 11, 2018, 10:48:16 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

In terms of other sectors effected:

In the material handling sector (a sector where NI, and specifically Tyrone lead the world) the equipment tends to confirm with the EC Machinery Directive, and is CE marked accordingly.  The body that is attesting that the equipment applies to the CE standard needs to be based in the EU.  This will really complicate things for the manufacturing sector.

The aerospace industry is very tightly regulated and is governed by the European Aviation and Safety Agency (EASA).  Again will UK manufacturers be able to supply parts to be used in planes as they will be outside of EASA?

Dairy farmers nearly all to a man voted leave. Red tape, being told what to do and when to do it by Brussels being the main reasons. And you know what? They are dead right. Regardless of what happens the UK government will support them. So for the farming sector there is probably no downside.
Personally I'd love to see the bundle of hungry c***ts being put on the side of the road, but that's unlikely.

Who's going to buy all this milk and products from it. China?

Currently a very high percentage of milk produced in the North makes its way unfettered to Creameries in the South for processing. This could possibly change overnight in an instance if a hard Brexit is the outcome.

That's no good for either the Dairy farmers in the North or the Creameries in the South.

Currently the only milk processing plant in the North in Newtownards makes powdered milk and those wee pots of UHT milk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2018, 09:00:24 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 12, 2018, 08:52:01 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 11, 2018, 10:48:16 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

In terms of other sectors effected:

In the material handling sector (a sector where NI, and specifically Tyrone lead the world) the equipment tends to confirm with the EC Machinery Directive, and is CE marked accordingly.  The body that is attesting that the equipment applies to the CE standard needs to be based in the EU.  This will really complicate things for the manufacturing sector.

The aerospace industry is very tightly regulated and is governed by the European Aviation and Safety Agency (EASA).  Again will UK manufacturers be able to supply parts to be used in planes as they will be outside of EASA?

Dairy farmers nearly all to a man voted leave. Red tape, being told what to do and when to do it by Brussels being the main reasons. And you know what? They are dead right. Regardless of what happens the UK government will support them. So for the farming sector there is probably no downside.
Personally I'd love to see the bundle of hungry c***ts being put on the side of the road, but that's unlikely.

Who's going to buy all this milk and products from it. China?

Currently a very high percentage of milk produced in the North makes its way unfettered to Creameries in the South for processing. This could possibly change overnight in an instance if a hard Brexit is the outcome.

That's no good for either the Dairy farmers in the North or the Creameries in the South.

Currently the only milk processing plant in the North in Newtownards makes powdered milk and those wee pots of UHT milk

There's a market for you right there Johnnycool, open up a Creameries processing plant!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 12, 2018, 09:04:36 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 11, 2018, 10:48:16 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

In terms of other sectors effected:

In the material handling sector (a sector where NI, and specifically Tyrone lead the world) the equipment tends to confirm with the EC Machinery Directive, and is CE marked accordingly.  The body that is attesting that the equipment applies to the CE standard needs to be based in the EU.  This will really complicate things for the manufacturing sector.

The aerospace industry is very tightly regulated and is governed by the European Aviation and Safety Agency (EASA).  Again will UK manufacturers be able to supply parts to be used in planes as they will be outside of EASA?

Dairy farmers nearly all to a man voted leave. Red tape, being told what to do and when to do it by Brussels being the main reasons. And you know what? They are dead right. Regardless of what happens the UK government will support them. So for the farming sector there is probably no downside.
Personally I'd love to see the bundle of hungry c***ts being put on the side of the road, but that's unlikely.

Utter bullshit. Incredibly inaccurate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 12, 2018, 10:09:27 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on October 12, 2018, 09:04:36 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 11, 2018, 10:48:16 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

In terms of other sectors effected:

In the material handling sector (a sector where NI, and specifically Tyrone lead the world) the equipment tends to confirm with the EC Machinery Directive, and is CE marked accordingly.  The body that is attesting that the equipment applies to the CE standard needs to be based in the EU.  This will really complicate things for the manufacturing sector.

The aerospace industry is very tightly regulated and is governed by the European Aviation and Safety Agency (EASA).  Again will UK manufacturers be able to supply parts to be used in planes as they will be outside of EASA?

Dairy farmers nearly all to a man voted leave. Red tape, being told what to do and when to do it by Brussels being the main reasons. And you know what? They are dead right. Regardless of what happens the UK government will support them. So for the farming sector there is probably no downside.
Personally I'd love to see the bundle of hungry c***ts being put on the side of the road, but that's unlikely.

Utter Udder bullshit. Incredibly inaccurate.

Sorry...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 12, 2018, 10:22:18 AM
Dale farm & Strathroy Dairies make powdered milk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 12, 2018, 10:27:16 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on October 12, 2018, 10:22:18 AM
Dale farm & Strathroy Dairies make powdered milk.

Who owns them, Avonmore?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 12, 2018, 10:45:04 AM
Privately owned
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on October 12, 2018, 11:09:30 AM
Two milk processing plants in Omagh, Strathroy diaries and the Kerry group bought over Leckpatrick a number of years back. The smell of the stuff would toss ye!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: giveherlong on October 12, 2018, 11:21:53 AM
Strathroy have a substantial liquid milk market also.
Apart from their own brand they also bottle for Lidl, probably others
From what I can gather they source quite a bit of their raw milk from farmers in the 26 counties. The milk is transported to Omagh for processing. Quite a lot of this milk is then shipped back across the border for sale in retail outlets
I stand to be corrected but don't believe they have any processing facilities apart from Omagh?
A hard brexit would be a nightmare scenario for them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on October 12, 2018, 11:35:43 AM
This is well worth a read, transcript from a lecture given by Sir Ivan Rogers, former UK permanent representative to the EU.

https://share.trin.cam.ac.uk/sites/public/Comms/Rogers_brexit_as_revolution.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stall the Bailer on October 12, 2018, 11:45:35 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 11, 2018, 10:48:16 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 11, 2018, 09:28:42 PM
I can't believe that the farming community aren't giving the DUP hell around their stance.

Northern Irish agri / dairy is sold on the basis of us maintaining EC standards.  After next March how do the third countries update their required standards to say that UK standards are acceptable?  Will they need to be tested / audited? And if so, how long will that take?
What happens before those standards are changed?

In terms of other sectors effected:

In the material handling sector (a sector where NI, and specifically Tyrone lead the world) the equipment tends to confirm with the EC Machinery Directive, and is CE marked accordingly.  The body that is attesting that the equipment applies to the CE standard needs to be based in the EU.  This will really complicate things for the manufacturing sector.

The aerospace industry is very tightly regulated and is governed by the European Aviation and Safety Agency (EASA).  Again will UK manufacturers be able to supply parts to be used in planes as they will be outside of EASA?

Dairy farmers nearly all to a man voted leave. Red tape, being told what to do and when to do it by Brussels being the main reasons. And you know what? They are dead right. Regardless of what happens the UK government will support them. So for the farming sector there is probably no downside.
Personally I'd love to see the bundle of hungry c***ts being put on the side of the road, but that's unlikely.
Farming will probably be the worst hit especially if the UK do a deal with the USA. Unlike lreland the farming industry doesn't have as much influence in Britain. The elite, city and the home counties will be looked after first, anyone or anywhere else will be an after thought. It is clear to see many of the leavers and DUP followers don't care about the best solution for trade, economy etc just if they can have their borders
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mayo4Sam on October 12, 2018, 11:50:58 AM
Ya I'd say farmers in the north are very worried. Whatever about dairy farmers, the suckler lads are 100% dependent on subsidies for any wages/profit.

Quote from: johnnycool on October 12, 2018, 08:52:01 AM

Currently the only milk processing plant in the North in Newtownards makes powdered milk and those wee pots of UHT milk

75% of all milk in Ireland goes to powder or UHT so that not unusual

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on October 12, 2018, 12:00:19 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on October 12, 2018, 11:35:43 AM
This is well worth a read, transcript from a lecture given by Sir Ivan Rogers, former UK permanent representative to the EU.

https://share.trin.cam.ac.uk/sites/public/Comms/Rogers_brexit_as_revolution.pdf

Started reading All Out War by Tim Shipman the other day and he mentions Rogers as intelligent, learned and knew what he was at, so obviously the government didn't want anything to do with him 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 12, 2018, 12:07:26 PM
Just throwing a few things out there.
I work for a company that exports and imports globally. (Purely container shipping) To give you an idea of scale a few years ago we hit a target of 1 million containers shipped in and out of the UK and Ireland in one year.
Our exports from Ireland would largely be foodstuffs mainly milk powder and other dairy products. Just looking at the last weeks exports the main destinations are Philipines, Oman, Malaysia, Nigeria, Hong Kong, Iraq, China, Cameroon, Ghana, Pakistan, Lebanon, gabon, Congo, Costa rica, Burkina Faso, New Zealand, Morocco, Togo,Egypt, Algeria, Tanzania to name a few. On refrigerated work its dairy products and also fish and meat going to all over the world but particularly far east. We also have a part of our company that is mainly an intra european subsidiary with a bit of North Africa/Med thrown in. This bit of the operation will be very interesting.
Couple of things have resonated with me from the previous posts. Firstly brexit has hardly had a mention within our company, the attitude is largely "we dont know, lets wait and see". The second is that on the dairy side from Ireland we have all the big exporters like Glanbia, Lakeland Dairies, Kerry Group, in the north there is nothing. Northern exports tend to be wastepaper, raw animal hides, used clothing, used motor parts, scrap metal. The refrigerated work is mainly meat but significantly less what we do from the south. In the Uk our large volume exports are scrap and wastepaper. As for manufacturing - what manufacturing ? The imports are different gravy and the ratio is pretty much 3 imports to 1 export.

A lot of what comes into Ireland north and south that originates in the far east has to come off in Rotterdam as the vessels are too big for Irish ports. These then get transshipped onto smaller feeder vessels into Belfast Dublin and Cork mainly. In the event of no deal Rotterdam port have said there will be now 9 different checks on containers coming in this way. Rotterdam is the biggest port in Europe.

An already overstretched capacity wise Dublin port (i've heard) has already set aside 9 acres of port space to do customs checks in the event of a no deal and this is what they are preparing for. Dublin port is creaking as it is. Cork port is set to relocate to further out the estuary. The Irish volumes are naturally (due to population) small beer compared with GB. One thing in England that we are struggling for is drivers. Many were Polish and have gone home in their droves going on the feedback from hauliers.

From my own point of view i can't see one upside to brexit. Just headaches and hassle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on October 12, 2018, 12:32:28 PM
Shit will literally hit the fan when there are no health care support workers. Many of my colleagues from Europe are leaving......a combination of not feeling welcome and job opportunities in their home countries.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 12, 2018, 01:32:31 PM
EU meeting NI business
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/12/eu-makes-direct-appeal-northern-irish-firms-brexit-backstop
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on October 12, 2018, 01:39:16 PM
During the Brexit campaign:
Absolutely nobody is talking about threatening our place in the Single Market
-   Daniel Hannan MEP
Only a madman would actually leave the Market
-    Owen Paterson MP, Vote Leave backer
Increasingly, the Norway option looks the best for the UK
-   Arron Banks, Leave.EU founder

Now:
Kent motorway to shut as work begins on possible post-Brexit lorry park (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/11/second-kent-motorway-is-possible-post-brexit-lorry-park)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 12, 2018, 02:05:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 12, 2018, 01:32:31 PM
EU meeting NI business
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/12/eu-makes-direct-appeal-northern-irish-firms-brexit-backstop

I wonder is that them effectively bypassing the DUP / tories to effectively find out the truth
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 12, 2018, 02:17:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2018, 02:05:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 12, 2018, 01:32:31 PM
EU meeting NI business
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/12/eu-makes-direct-appeal-northern-irish-firms-brexit-backstop

I wonder is that them effectively bypassing the DUP / tories to effectively find out the truth

About time and considering when it comes to Brexit the DUP are representing a minority opinion it's only but right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 12, 2018, 02:32:25 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 12, 2018, 02:17:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2018, 02:05:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 12, 2018, 01:32:31 PM
EU meeting NI business
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/12/eu-makes-direct-appeal-northern-irish-firms-brexit-backstop

I wonder is that them effectively bypassing the DUP / tories to effectively find out the truth

About time and considering when it comes to Brexit the DUP are representing a minority opinion it's only but right.

The way things are going at present it is a minority that is getting smaller by the day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on October 12, 2018, 02:51:59 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 12, 2018, 02:32:25 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 12, 2018, 02:17:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2018, 02:05:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 12, 2018, 01:32:31 PM
EU meeting NI business
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/12/eu-makes-direct-appeal-northern-irish-firms-brexit-backstop

I wonder is that them effectively bypassing the DUP / tories to effectively find out the truth

About time and considering when it comes to Brexit the DUP are representing a minority opinion it's only but right.

The way things are going at present it is a minority that is getting smaller by the day.

And the delegation was led by a gaeilgeoir from Portadown!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 12, 2018, 04:08:28 PM
Secret plan for extending transition
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/12/revealed-secret-plans-for-brexit-extension-option-to-appease-dup

postponing the inevitable, but only for a while
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 12, 2018, 04:59:01 PM
Long enough till the Brits get a new Government with no DUPUDA tail wagging it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2018, 05:41:09 PM
Getting very interesting

The DUP is anti people and anti business

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/12/eu-makes-direct-appeal-northern-irish-firms-brexit-backstop
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 12, 2018, 07:12:04 PM
I find it repulsive that an ultra right wing group of evangelical bigots with a paltry 10 MP's can hold a UK government to ransom.  The sooner this government comes crashing down the better.  Arlene and Co. are doing more for the cause of Irish Unity than anything else in the last 100 years on this island ... bring it on!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 12, 2018, 07:28:27 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on October 12, 2018, 07:12:04 PM
I find it repulsive that an ultra right wing group of evangelical bigots with a paltry 10 MP's can hold a UK government to ransom.  The sooner this government comes crashing down the better.  Arlene and Co. are doing more for the cause of Irish Unity than anything else in the last 100 years on this island ... bring it on!

So... you want  the government to continue.... or not?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2018, 10:11:29 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 12, 2018, 07:28:27 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on October 12, 2018, 07:12:04 PM
I find it repulsive that an ultra right wing group of evangelical bigots with a paltry 10 MP's can hold a UK government to ransom.  The sooner this government comes crashing down the better.  Arlene and Co. are doing more for the cause of Irish Unity than anything else in the last 100 years on this island ... bring it on!

So... you want  the government to continue.... or not?
The Tories are totally divided and useless on top.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on October 13, 2018, 12:49:05 AM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on October 12, 2018, 02:51:59 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 12, 2018, 02:32:25 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 12, 2018, 02:17:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 12, 2018, 02:05:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 12, 2018, 01:32:31 PM
EU meeting NI business
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/12/eu-makes-direct-appeal-northern-irish-firms-brexit-backstop

I wonder is that them effectively bypassing the DUP / tories to effectively find out the truth

About time and considering when it comes to Brexit the DUP are representing a minority opinion it's only but right.

The way things are going at present it is a minority that is getting smaller by the day.

And the delegation was led by a gaeilgeoir from Portadown!

The bould Aodhán!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 13, 2018, 12:54:43 AM
Did the Turkeys vote for this...?

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/oct/12/brexit-blamed-for-expected-price-rise-christmas-turkeys-pound-farmers-eu-workers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hectic on October 13, 2018, 12:30:55 PM
The only thing that counts for the DUP is the UK. Arlene would not care less if the 6 counties were burning to the ground if it was the alternative to any softening of the union. You just have to look at RHI to understand that this is a party that puts their own ahead of the interests of the 6 counties.

But if you look at the demographic figures from the 2011 census by age and community background there is going to be a massive shift in those of voting age over the next 10 to 15 years. Even if birth rates on each side have levelled off a good bit we are in a position that those in chilbearing years are going to measure more than 60 40 and not in favor of Arlenes sympathizers.  In simple terms we are heading for a very large majority of those from a Nationalist background over the next 30 yrs with a simple majority by 2025.

For the like of Arlene or any DUP leader waiting for demographics to dictate their fate is way favourable to having their name attached to any agreement that takes them there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hectic on October 13, 2018, 12:42:45 PM
And while community background does not guarantee where someone leans the behaviour of the DUP and potential fallout could see a hardening of opinions.

The only part of Society where comminity background figures lean potentially more towards DUP are those aged 60 and above where it is not too far off 2 to 1. Not good news for Unionist politicians on the horizon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 13, 2018, 12:50:43 PM
The dup offer nothing so i hope you are right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2018, 03:58:56 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1013/1002900-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hectic on October 13, 2018, 05:49:12 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 13, 2018, 03:58:56 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1013/1002900-brexit/

Which would prob lead to the backstop further alomg when Arlene will no longer be depended upon to prop up the Tories. Arlene can then come home and said she done her bit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on October 14, 2018, 01:02:01 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 13, 2018, 03:58:56 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1013/1002900-brexit/

You've got to hand it to Arlene, her sense of irony has gone through the roof in recent weeks...

Quote"It would be the permanent annexation of Northern Ireland away from the rest of the United Kingdom and forever leave us subject to rules made in a place where we have no say."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 14, 2018, 03:57:07 AM
I had a good laugh at that one meself Ziggy. The EU annexation of the wee 6. So many levels she may be a comical genius...

Some much for Barnier and his "dedramatising the backstop"
Shows he didn't have a clue who or what he was telling with. Not that it matters a fook what the DUP say or do as they are starting to find out themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hectic on October 14, 2018, 09:26:25 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 14, 2018, 01:02:01 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 13, 2018, 03:58:56 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1013/1002900-brexit/

You've got to hand it to Arlene, her sense of irony has gone through the roof in recent weeks...

Quote"It would be the permanent annexation of Northern Ireland away from the rest of the United Kingdom and forever leave us subject to rules made in a place where we have no say."

Haha excellent. But at the same time sadly shows the bullshit we have to live with.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hectic on October 14, 2018, 09:28:16 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 14, 2018, 03:57:07 AM
I had a good laugh at that one meself Ziggy. The EU annexation of the wee 6. So many levels she may be a comical genius...

Some much for Barnier and his "dedramatising the backstop"
Shows he didn't have a clue who or what he was telling with. Not that it matters a fook what the DUP say or do as they are starting to find out themselves.

Politics is a murky world but even in that the DUP are a special case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on October 14, 2018, 10:45:14 AM
I'd say the DUP would be delighted for the occupied six to be removed from the Ulster Championship and play in an English championship, the winner then playing in the Connaught championship.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 14, 2018, 11:23:38 AM
No such thing as "Connaught" Championship.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 14, 2018, 12:02:34 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 14, 2018, 11:23:38 AM
No such thing as "Connaught" Championship.

There is to the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 14, 2018, 12:35:31 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 14, 2018, 12:02:34 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 14, 2018, 11:23:38 AM
No such thing as "Connaught" Championship.

There is to the DUP.

God created the world in 6 days & took a wee rest on the 7th. The world is 6,000 years old. That's the important stuff. All the rest...NAMA, Red Sky, Iris, RHI, the EU - it's all just a piece of piss.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2018, 09:13:04 PM
Apparently UK negotiators are ready for a deal but the DUP are in the way.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/14/brexit-theresa-may-domestic-vulnerability-talks-knife-edge

«
Internal government emails leaked to the Observer revealed on Sunday that the DUP leader, Arlene Foster, had privately let it be known that following a "hostile and difficult" meeting with Barnier, last week she was readying herself for a no-deal scenario. »

Unbelievable that the Unionists, the « loyal «  1950s backwoods « Brits »are prepared to sink the UK . It boggles the mind. Surely this will trump the Somme sacrifice. Who remembers it anyway?
May should get QE2 to ring the Free Presbyterian church and give them some leadership.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 14, 2018, 09:27:50 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2018/1014/1003138-brexit-talks-halted/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on October 15, 2018, 12:43:16 PM
Indicators are that deal has been done.  40 Labour MPs to back Govt on customs arrangements.  Sterling has steadied.  Last of the Brexit balloons to quit cabinet tomorrow.  People on the ground saying 'sure nothing's changed, what was the fuss all about'.   Belts to be tightened on next few yrs and Conservatives telling us 'austerity's over'.   David Cameron to admit it was a mistake to hold a referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 15, 2018, 04:15:50 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on October 15, 2018, 12:43:16 PM
Indicators are that deal has been done.  40 Labour MPs to back Govt on customs arrangements.  Sterling has steadied.  Last of the Brexit balloons to quit cabinet tomorrow.  People on the ground saying 'sure nothing's changed, what was the fuss all about'.   Belts to be tightened on next few yrs and Conservatives telling us 'austerity's over'.   David Cameron to admit it was a mistake to hold a referendum.

This is like Julius Caesar here everyone's sticking the knife into poor Theresa!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 16, 2018, 12:28:10 AM
I'd guess a deal has been done resulting in a border down the Irish Sea, and NI remaining in Customs Union/Single Market separating it further from the so called 'mainland'.  What we're watching now is the EU playing a synchronised game with Theresa and Co. to make sure she gets her budget passed at end of the month before officially throwing DUP under the bus.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 16, 2018, 01:02:29 AM
Who are the 40 Labour rebels, Is 40 enough? You got at least 50 Brexiteers plus the DUP. What would the motivation be for rebelling?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2018, 06:28:50 AM
The Tories fucked it up

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/15/labour-may-force-softer-brexit-position-says-party-source
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 16, 2018, 09:05:29 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on October 16, 2018, 12:28:10 AM
I'd guess a deal has been done resulting in a border down the Irish Sea, and NI remaining in Customs Union/Single Market separating it further from the so called 'mainland'.  What we're watching now is the EU playing a synchronised game with Theresa and Co. to make sure she gets her budget passed at end of the month before officially throwing DUP under the bus.

This is exactly what I said to a colleague yesterday. Stringing it out as long as they can but deal is done. I suspect the DUP know this as well as they are already flinging toys out of the pram.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 16, 2018, 09:07:53 AM
Don't believe it for a second.

So many times we've heard this sort of chat - "a deal has been done", only for it to be scuppered at the last minute.

One thing you can pretty much guarantee - there are more twists left in this story yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on October 16, 2018, 11:27:50 AM
Quote from: Franko on October 16, 2018, 09:07:53 AM
Don't believe it for a second.

So many times we've heard this sort of chat - "a deal has been done", only for it to be scuppered at the last minute.

One thing you can pretty much guarantee - there are more twists left in this story yet.

Like GJL and balladmaker above, I was chatting to someone yesterday and we both agreed a deal is done. EU and UK are stringing it out until the budget is done and then throw the DUP under the bus. And yes, the DUP know it. You can tell by their body language in recent days.

As for your summation Franko about a deal being done and scuppered at the last minute. Teresa and the EU tried to slip it pass the DUP last December in the early hours of the morning. This time they have a tactic and the DUP are caught.

Brexit is happening, but the hard border is shifting from Ireland to the Irish Sea.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on October 16, 2018, 11:35:13 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 16, 2018, 11:27:50 AM
Quote from: Franko on October 16, 2018, 09:07:53 AM
Don't believe it for a second.

So many times we've heard this sort of chat - "a deal has been done", only for it to be scuppered at the last minute.

One thing you can pretty much guarantee - there are more twists left in this story yet.

Like GJL and balladmaker above, I was chatting to someone yesterday and we both agreed a deal is done. EU and UK are stringing it out until the budget is done and then throw the DUP under the bus. And yes, the DUP know it. You can tell by their body language in recent days.

As for your summation Franko about a deal being done and scuppered at the last minute. Teresa and the EU tried to slip it pass the DUP last December in the early hours of the morning. This time they have a tactic and the DUP are caught.

Brexit is happening, but the hard border is shifting from Ireland to the Irish Sea.

That's the end of Theresa May as Tory leader and PM so. And the end of their government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on October 16, 2018, 11:52:46 AM
Quote from: five points on October 16, 2018, 11:35:13 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 16, 2018, 11:27:50 AM
Quote from: Franko on October 16, 2018, 09:07:53 AM
Don't believe it for a second.

So many times we've heard this sort of chat - "a deal has been done", only for it to be scuppered at the last minute.

One thing you can pretty much guarantee - there are more twists left in this story yet.

Like GJL and balladmaker above, I was chatting to someone yesterday and we both agreed a deal is done. EU and UK are stringing it out until the budget is done and then throw the DUP under the bus. And yes, the DUP know it. You can tell by their body language in recent days.

As for your summation Franko about a deal being done and scuppered at the last minute. Teresa and the EU tried to slip it pass the DUP last December in the early hours of the morning. This time they have a tactic and the DUP are caught.

Brexit is happening, but the hard border is shifting from Ireland to the Irish Sea.

That's the end of Theresa May as Tory leader and PM so. And the end of their government.

Make no difference if Theresa, unless the entire government does. Fingers crossed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2018, 12:32:06 PM
The Telegraph has been rabidly pro Brexit since the referendum. Hopelessly optimistic, viciously partisan.
Today one of their top columnists tells businesses to get ready for a "no deal" which comes with free chaos.
I never saw a paper betray its readers in such a fashion before


An awful lot of businesses prefer to pull out.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2018/10/15/no-deal-brexit-looms-time-businesses-prepared-fast/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on October 16, 2018, 12:33:11 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 16, 2018, 11:52:46 AM

Make no difference if Theresa, unless the entire government does. Fingers crossed.

They will fall without DUP support though. Not on Brexit, but on the next matter of substance upon which Labour and the smaller parties can unite.

And the Tories will face a nasty backlash from their core support for dishonouring the Brexit mandate.

I don't see them being stupid enough to unleash that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2018, 12:57:33 PM
Quote from: five points on October 16, 2018, 12:33:11 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 16, 2018, 11:52:46 AM

Make no difference if Theresa, unless the entire government does. Fingers crossed.

They will fall without DUP support though. Not on Brexit, but on the next matter of substance upon which Labour and the smaller parties can unite.

And the Tories will face a nasty backlash from their core support for dishonouring the Brexit mandate.

I don't see them being stupid enough to unleash that.

Brexit was sold on lies.
The Brexit heads want no deal, no labour rights, no environmental standards. Nobody voted for that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on October 16, 2018, 01:37:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2018, 12:57:33 PM
Brexit was sold on lies.
The Brexit heads want no deal, no labour rights, no environmental standards. Nobody voted for that

Quite the irony there.  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 16, 2018, 02:02:40 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 16, 2018, 11:27:50 AM
Quote from: Franko on October 16, 2018, 09:07:53 AM
Don't believe it for a second.

So many times we've heard this sort of chat - "a deal has been done", only for it to be scuppered at the last minute.

One thing you can pretty much guarantee - there are more twists left in this story yet.

Like GJL and balladmaker above, I was chatting to someone yesterday and we both agreed a deal is done. EU and UK are stringing it out until the budget is done and then throw the DUP under the bus. And yes, the DUP know it. You can tell by their body language in recent days.

As for your summation Franko about a deal being done and scuppered at the last minute. Teresa and the EU tried to slip it pass the DUP last December in the early hours of the morning. This time they have a tactic and the DUP are caught.

Brexit is happening, but the hard border is shifting from Ireland to the Irish Sea.

Find this impossible to believe. Even if a deal was fait accompli by May/EU, they'd never sell it through Westminster. In stages of most likely outcomes, I think it'll be

a)  No-deal Brexit on March 29th

b)  Brexit plan defeated in commons by Xmas
    i)  New Tory leader/PM and General election
   ii)  Extension to transition period and new (Corbyn-led?) government Brexit negotiations
   iii)  If Corbyn-led, BINO to be passed trough commons

c)  No Brexit on March 29th
    i)  Extension of transition period
    ii)  New Tory leader/PM (probably pro-Brexit)
    iii)  General election
    iv)  Another referendum

d)  A second Scottish independence referendum is a more distant possibility but could come back on to the agenda in the unlikely event Northern Ireland gets a special deal

I just cannot see how it's possible at this point in time how a soft-Brexit / maintaining free trade, customs union event can be carried. Too much opposition on all sides to it.

Mind you, I want to be there when the DUPes find out there'll be a border down the Irish sea.  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2018, 02:19:25 PM
This is really sad. Timmermans is Dutch. The EU side care about what Brexit might mean for Brits and people in the North. The Brexit heads including the DUP  do not.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/oct/16/brexit-theresa-may-chairs-cabinet-as-eu-says-no-deal-more-likely-than-ever-before-politics-live
Timmermans said:
We are in the middle of a very, very delicate process. The only thing I can assure you is that everyone is doing their utmost to try and do as little harm as possible and to try and find a solution for the issues that have not been solved yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2018, 02:28:24 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/oct/16/brexit-theresa-may-chairs-cabinet-as-eu-says-no-deal-more-likely-than-ever-before-politics-live

[May] said we have made progress on a huge number of issues in the negotiations but there remain sticking points in two key areas. The PM said it is not possible for her or any UK prime minister to sign up to an agreement that would lead to a customs border down the Irish Sea. She said we also need to ensure that we do not have a situation where the UK can be kept indefinitely in the backstop against our will ...
The cabinet strongly supported the prime minister over the importance of maintaining the integrity of the union. The cabinet also agreed that we must be able to ensure that we cannot be kept in the backstop arrangement indefinitely.
The PM said there will no doubt be challenging moments ahead. That is in the nature of negotiations. She said she is committed to securing a Brexit that delivers on the referendum result, safeguards jobs and security and which preserves our union.


lisa o'carroll @lisaocarroll



1/ Irish ambassador to the UK accuses Theresa May of "backsliding" on her firm commitment last December to include a backstop solution in the event of a no-deal Brexit. Told British Academy it was "very concerning" to hear some say a backstop was not necessary.
Replying to @lisaocarroll
2/ Adrian O'Neill said it was a "self-serving argument" of Brexiters to say Backstop was "an irrelevant distraction
hindering the achievement of a clean break Brexit and
frustrating the achievement of the grand vision of a
free-trading Global Britain"
3/" Such arguments are of course entirely self-serving –
intended to minimise or entirely dismiss the need for a
robust solution to the border problem."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on October 16, 2018, 02:44:15 PM
Is it not the case that if the proposed deal went through against the wishes of the DUP that the North would be come one of the best places in the world to do business?

And in turn then this could turn middle of the road nationalists to vote to stay in UK in a unity poll cause of the economic advantages?

Or am I reading it wrong?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 16, 2018, 02:47:40 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 16, 2018, 02:02:40 PM
I just cannot see how it's possible at this point in time how a soft-Brexit / maintaining free trade, customs union event can be carried. Too much opposition on all sides to it.


Too much opposition, yet all recent polls in Britain show a (narrow) majority in favour of remaining in the EU and another 10% would be happy to leave and have a Norway deal.
The majority want this, why does the political system not deliver it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 16, 2018, 02:50:08 PM
There are too many games going on between May trying to prove she is strong, Boris making a play for leadership and then that muppet Foster wading in too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2018, 02:52:28 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 16, 2018, 02:47:40 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 16, 2018, 02:02:40 PM
I just cannot see how it's possible at this point in time how a soft-Brexit / maintaining free trade, customs union event can be carried. Too much opposition on all sides to it.


Too much opposition, yet all recent polls in Britain show a (narrow) majority in favour of remaining in the EU and another 10% would be happy to leave and have a Norway deal.
The majority want this, why does the political system not deliver it?
2 dogs in the manger. The Tories failed to win a majority and are dependent on the far right Brexit heads plus the DUP for a majority.
The party whip system is also relevant. There are enough votes between Tory remainers and Labour to prevent a no deal scenario
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 17, 2018, 06:51:46 AM
For anyone who doubts that a deal either hasn't been done, or is close to being done, how do you explain the fact that sterling barely moved on Sunday evening after the apparent fall out?

The consensus is that GBP will go to about 1.20 vs USD and parity to the Euro if there is No Deal.  So, the fact that, despite all the drama of Sunday we are still at 1.31 and 1.12 ish is all I need to be fairly sure that this is all part of a choreographed play to ensure that we are brought right to the wire in order to let the Brexiteers see that No Deal is the only other alternative.  I don't think any of the Brexiteers wants a No Deal pinned on them as it will see the UK run out of radiation for Cancer patients and insulin within weeks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 17, 2018, 07:15:20 AM
I seem to remember sterling strengthening after polls closed on brexit night too (apparently on the back of some private poll conducted by the financial instituions)....only to start plummeting as the results started to seep thru.

Not to mention the elephant in the room even if May has done a deal..... how the feck is it going to get voted thru?? I don't see enuff Labour numbers going for anything less than Norway and theres no way the brexiteers group will support anything less than Canada..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 17, 2018, 07:49:31 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 17, 2018, 07:15:20 AM
and theres no way the brexiteers group will support anything less than Canada..

I guess that's where we disagree.  When it comes down to it I don't think any of the ERG will want a "No Deal" Brexit (and all that it ensues) pinned on them; despite their current rhetoric.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2018, 08:44:03 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 17, 2018, 06:51:46 AM
For anyone who doubts that a deal either hasn't been done, or is close to being done, how do you explain the fact that sterling barely moved on Sunday evening after the apparent fall out?

The consensus is that GBP will go to about 1.20 vs USD and parity to the Euro if there is No Deal.  So, the fact that, despite all the drama of Sunday we are still at 1.31 and 1.12 ish is all I need to be fairly sure that this is all part of a choreographed play to ensure that we are brought right to the wire in order to let the Brexiteers see that No Deal is the only other alternative.  I don't think any of the Brexiteers wants a No Deal pinned on them as it will see the UK run out of radiation for Cancer patients and insulin within weeks.

Markets can't price asymmetric stuff like Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 17, 2018, 09:33:38 AM
I would have thought it's one part of Brexit that would be pretty straightforward to predict - no deal will likely cause parity with the € and a good deal for the UK will see Sterling head back to 1.20 during 2019.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2018, 09:39:14 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 17, 2018, 09:33:38 AM
I would have thought it's one part of Brexit that would be pretty straightforward to predict - no deal will likely cause parity with the € and a good deal for the UK will see Sterling head back to 1.20 during 2019.
You would have to assign probabilities to each outcome.
They can't - they got Trump 2016 and brexit 2016 very wrong as well
One reason is because the market is a herd and herds need simplicity to function.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 17, 2018, 09:56:57 AM
The ball is still in play, talk of people asking for an extension now, so Sterling is holding up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 17, 2018, 10:04:08 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 17, 2018, 06:51:46 AM
For anyone who doubts that a deal either hasn't been done, or is close to being done, how do you explain the fact that sterling barely moved on Sunday evening after the apparent fall out?

The consensus is that GBP will go to about 1.20 vs USD and parity to the Euro if there is No Deal.  So, the fact that, despite all the drama of Sunday we are still at 1.31 and 1.12 ish is all I need to be fairly sure that this is all part of a choreographed play to ensure that we are brought right to the wire in order to let the Brexiteers see that No Deal is the only other alternative.  I don't think any of the Brexiteers wants a No Deal pinned on them as it will see the UK run out of radiation for Cancer patients and insulin within weeks.

This supposes that Big Business knows more about the Brexit negotiations than the politicians involved. Brexit is not logical, pragmatic or cognizant of commercial concerns. It is as much an emotional and narrow cultural movement where hard Brexiteers / ERG / DUP are intent on leaving the EU at all costs and to hell with any consequences. It has been said of them that it's better to reign in hell than serve in heaven. Or "f**k business" :- Boris Johnson.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2018, 10:14:59 AM
Quote from: mouview on October 17, 2018, 10:04:08 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 17, 2018, 06:51:46 AM
For anyone who doubts that a deal either hasn't been done, or is close to being done, how do you explain the fact that sterling barely moved on Sunday evening after the apparent fall out?

The consensus is that GBP will go to about 1.20 vs USD and parity to the Euro if there is No Deal.  So, the fact that, despite all the drama of Sunday we are still at 1.31 and 1.12 ish is all I need to be fairly sure that this is all part of a choreographed play to ensure that we are brought right to the wire in order to let the Brexiteers see that No Deal is the only other alternative.  I don't think any of the Brexiteers wants a No Deal pinned on them as it will see the UK run out of radiation for Cancer patients and insulin within weeks.

This supposes that Big Business knows more about the Brexit negotiations than the politicians involved. Brexit is not logical, pragmatic or cognizant of commercial concerns. It is as much an emotional and narrow cultural movement where hard Brexiteers / ERG / DUP are intent on leaving the EU at all costs and to hell with any consequences. It has been said of them that it's better to reign in hell than serve in heaven. Or "f**k business" :- Boris Johnson.
Brexit is economic though. It is neo Victorian. Strip out environmental protection and workers rights so the rich get richer. They haven't mentioned workhouses but I bet the ESG is working on a white paper
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2018, 01:33:09 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/17/eu-willing-to-extend-brexit-transition-says-irish-foreign-minister
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2018, 03:11:57 PM
The French government has produced guidelines on procedure in case there is a hard Brexit
Ordinary Brits living on the continent will suffer if the DUP gets its way. Shower of orange ***s

https://twitter.com/kimwillsher1/status/1052515979866099712

Stephen Rea was interviewed recently and he said "Unionists were, and still are, cut off, not just from Catholics, but from the world. It's pure isolation. And it is so drummed into the young that they cannot let go of these views"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on October 17, 2018, 03:31:17 PM
Don't you know rightly all those bitter DUPers will have their Irish Passports got already... sure wasnt the south passport office flat out after the brexit vote with Arlene and all her buddies getting their wee passports!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 17, 2018, 05:06:17 PM
People in Britain being to realise they were conned
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brits-believe-voting-for-brexit-was-wrong-in-hindsight-poll-shows-a3963891.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2018, 05:16:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 17, 2018, 05:06:17 PM
People in Britain being to realise they were conned
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brits-believe-voting-for-brexit-was-wrong-in-hindsight-poll-shows-a3963891.html
From the comments

« But anyway Britain has handed itself lock, stock and barrel into the hands of ideological fanatics who would see the country burn to get the wet dream upon which they have built their careers. The result of allowing these clowns to make urn their Dad's Army delusion into national policy will be humiliation and ignominy and reality trashes fantasy »
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on October 17, 2018, 09:44:48 PM
See Jamie Bryson threatening violence, he doesn't realise that they are no longer the master race,
Times they are a changing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on October 17, 2018, 09:58:17 PM
Quote from: naka on October 17, 2018, 09:44:48 PM
See Jamie Bryson threatening violence, he doesn't realise that they are no longer the master race,
Times they are a changing.

Who are they going to aim their anger? DUP or the British govt ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 17, 2018, 10:03:03 PM
The DUP voted with the tories this evening. I don't like that :( (Though it was 6 and not 10).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2018, 12:05:41 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 17, 2018, 10:03:03 PM
The DUP voted with the tories this evening. I don't like that :( (Though it was 6 and not 10).

Perhaps they were intimidated by John McDonnell wanting a United Ireland in the Newsletter.
https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/john-mcdonnell-i-still-long-for-a-united-ireland-1-8672822
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 18, 2018, 01:36:19 AM
Quote from: naka on October 17, 2018, 09:44:48 PM
See Jamie Bryson threatening violence, he doesn't realise that they are no longer the master race,
Times they are a changing.
Yup, he says these protests will be even bigger than Drumcree and the flags protest. Mind you neither of these actually changed anything so I wouldn't be worrying too much.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 07:51:16 AM
Quote from: naka on October 17, 2018, 09:44:48 PM
See Jamie Bryson threatening violence, he doesn't realise that they are no longer the master race,
Times they are a changing.
why is he threatening violence? Is the DUP not in power ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 18, 2018, 08:52:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 07:51:16 AM
Quote from: naka on October 17, 2018, 09:44:48 PM
See Jamie Bryson threatening violence, he doesn't realise that they are no longer the master race,
Times they are a changing.
why is he threatening violence? Is the DUP not in power ?

Because he's not getting his way. Plain and simple.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 08:55:32 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 18, 2018, 08:52:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 07:51:16 AM
Quote from: naka on October 17, 2018, 09:44:48 PM
See Jamie Bryson threatening violence, he doesn't realise that they are no longer the master race,
Times they are a changing.
why is he threatening violence? Is the DUP not in power ?

Because he's not getting his way. Plain and simple.
What does he want ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 18, 2018, 09:01:05 AM
A return to 1922 -1969.
Same as Foster and the DUPUDA/ Orange Order etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on October 18, 2018, 09:33:02 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 18, 2018, 08:52:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 07:51:16 AM
Quote from: naka on October 17, 2018, 09:44:48 PM
See Jamie Bryson threatening violence, he doesn't realise that they are no longer the master race,
Times they are a changing.
why is he threatening violence? Is the DUP not in power ?

Because he's not getting his way. Plain and simple.
It baffles me how much air time he gets. There are dissident republicans that have a much much larger mandate than he has but don't even get a fraction of the air time. I'm not saying they should, but there must be a reason this Muppet who has only ever managed a handful of votes is wheeled out consistently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: brokencrossbar1 on October 18, 2018, 10:16:30 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on October 18, 2018, 09:33:02 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 18, 2018, 08:52:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 07:51:16 AM
Quote from: naka on October 17, 2018, 09:44:48 PM
See Jamie Bryson threatening violence, he doesn't realise that they are no longer the master race,
Times they are a changing.
why is he threatening violence? Is the DUP not in power ?

Because he's not getting his way. Plain and simple.
It baffles me how much air time he gets. There are dissident republicans that have a much much larger mandate than he has but don't even get a fraction of the air time. I'm not saying they should, but there must be a reason this Muppet who has only ever managed a handful of votes is wheeled out consistently.

Ye see he represents the poor disenfranchised loyalist working class so he does!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 10:19:07 AM
Really on the ball :

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/oct/17/brexit-eu-summit-may-pmqs-corbyn-blair-heseltine-and-clegg-urge-eu-leaders-to-extend-article-50-to-allow-2nd-referendum-politics-live

"Today there will be no breakthrough," said Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaite. She added that 28 months after the Brexit referendum, in June 2016, London had still not explained clearly how it wants to leave the EU.
"Today, we do not know what they want. They do not know themselves what they really want. That is the problem," the Lithuanian president told reporters.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on October 18, 2018, 02:03:16 PM
Jim Allister complains that Europe are attempting to divide and rule the UK.

https://twitter.com/JimAllister/status/1052884002590351360

Yet not so long ago that is exactly what England did on Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 03:45:45 PM
The Unionists are holding England to ransom in 2018 having held Ireland to ransom in 1920 and having plunged northern Ireland into hell in 1969.  There seems to be a pattern.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2018/oct/18/brexit-may-faces-angry-backlash-from-mps-over-proposals-for-transition-and-meaningful-vote-politics-live

The Eurasia Group, a consultancy that that has been producing well-regarded briefings on Brexit, thinks that the chances of a no deal Brexit, although still quite small, have gone up. Mujtaba Rahman, a former European commission official who runs its Europe division, says in a note released today that the odds of the UK leaving without a deal are now at 20%. He says:
A grubby Brexit deal, albeit delayed, is still our base case (45% probability).
However, in recognition of the structural impasse between the two sides over the Irish border, EU negotiators' deep negativity about the status of the talks, the ticking clock and stepped-up preparations for no-deal planning, we are increasing the odds of a cliff-edge exit from 15% to 20%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on October 18, 2018, 11:11:59 PM
The Executive Formation and Exercise of Functions Bill.   In view of the anti-brexit alliance (SF,SDLP,Alliance and Greens) telling the EU that they don't want Stormont to have the powers to work out trade arrangements (because they don't trust the DUP) what's the point in trying to fire this legislation through?  How can the British Government possibly cobble together an executive when it's coming up on 2 yrs since people last voted?  In light of RHI have the DUP lost some of its arrogance and confidence?  It doesn't look like it to me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 18, 2018, 11:14:52 PM
Can someone explain to me how extending the exit period helps solve any problems?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 18, 2018, 11:22:16 PM
Prevents a "hard border" in Ireland till the next British General Election?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on October 18, 2018, 11:25:00 PM
"It kicks it down the road" is the phrase that's been used all week.  Ken Clarke on Newsnight last night said 1 more year doesn't really make any difference because trade deals take 6,7,10 years to agree anyhow.   Northern Ireland had 50 odd years of 'status quo'.   Delay, delay, delay seems to be Govt policy at the minute.  So if brushing it under the carpet is an acceptable policy then, hey, it solves everything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 18, 2018, 11:36:01 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 18, 2018, 11:14:52 PM
Can someone explain to me how extending the exit period helps solve any problems?

Mooting this certainly hasn't solved any for Teresa May; quite the opposite, it has united practically all Tories against her. May may certainly be incompetent but nobody could play the hand of cards she's been dealt. She's probably never been in greater peril than now at home, but Brexiteer/ERG gang haven't the numbers to topple her and Remainers don't know who to replace her with as it would probably be pro-Brexit such as Davis, Johnson, Rees-Mogg. DUP daren't pull the rug from under her and cause a GE as they'd almost certainly lose their current influence (and some seats) and it may allow their bete noire Corbyn into no. 10. I think it's almost inevitable there'll be some form of delay or extended transition now.

Whatever outcome results, the whole farrago has been a Rubicon of sorts, a political Vietnam. It will cause divisions for years to come, and even should the UK Remain, exit thoughts will never be too far away, fomented by it's supporters. There'd probably be another referendum in 20/25 years time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2018, 05:08:54 AM
Quote from: GJL on October 18, 2018, 11:14:52 PM
Can someone explain to me how extending the exit period helps solve any problems?

https://youtu.be/pACePi441ds

The way to do Brexit was develop a policy, get the party united  behind it and win a general election on it.
They won a wafer thin margin in a referendum. Brexit means Brexit because they couldn't agree what
Brexit meant. They still can't.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2018, 10:56:29 AM
The Daily Telegraph is really hard core Brexit. The articles are subscription but the headlines are enough.
It used to be a conservative paper


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/17/2050-historians-will-see-brexit-start-glorious-rich-new-era/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/18/no-deal-could-opportunity-tories-start-preparing-now/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/17/ten-reasons-besides-eus-bullying-behaviour-prove-brexit/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/18/no-deal-better-partition-reducing-britain-vassal-state/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 19, 2018, 03:57:22 PM
Fintan O'Toole giving an alternative view in the Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/oct/19/brexiters-theresa-may-northern-ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 21, 2018, 10:35:56 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 19, 2018, 10:56:29 AM
The Daily Telegraph is really hard core Brexit. The articles are subscription but the headlines are enough.
It used to be a conservative paper


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/17/2050-historians-will-see-brexit-start-glorious-rich-new-era/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/18/no-deal-could-opportunity-tories-start-preparing-now/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/17/ten-reasons-besides-eus-bullying-behaviour-prove-brexit/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/10/18/no-deal-better-partition-reducing-britain-vassal-state/

That first one borders on the realm of science fiction.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2018, 07:14:20 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/22/out-of-time-no-deal-brexit-could-cause-clock-quandary-for-belfast
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on October 22, 2018, 08:07:35 AM
Quote from: GJL on October 18, 2018, 11:14:52 PM
Can someone explain to me how extending the exit period helps solve any problems?
The backstop was supposed to be a fall back until a "technical solution" could be found to the border question.
The technical solution was originally proposed by Brexiteers as the solution to the differing tax and standards either side of the border. When it was pointed out a technical solution had not been invented they suggested the backstop, maintain alignment until it is invented.
Extending the time supposedly gives more time to invent this technical solution.

I am not a technical expert but I believe the solution involves Drones and Unicorns.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2018, 08:35:17 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on October 22, 2018, 08:07:35 AM
Quote from: GJL on October 18, 2018, 11:14:52 PM
Can someone explain to me how extending the exit period helps solve any problems?
The backstop was supposed to be a fall back until a "technical solution" could be found to the border question.
The technical solution was originally proposed by Brexiteers as the solution to the differing tax and standards either side of the border. When it was pointed out a technical solution had not been invented they suggested the backstop, maintain alignment until it is invented.
Extending the time supposedly gives more time to invent this technical solution.

I am not a technical expert but I believe the solution involves Drones and Unicorns.
AFAIK it is in case there is no trade deal. They need a backstop for NI.
The ERG do not want either a deal or a backstop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 22, 2018, 10:41:33 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 10:19:07 AM
"Today, we do not know what they want. They do not know themselves what they really want. That is the problem," the Lithuanian president told reporters.

Cannot disagree with that.

There is no consensus within Westminster - with a negotiating "position" so maneuverable as to do Erwin Rommel proud - is it any wonder the negotiations are falling apart.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on October 22, 2018, 12:19:13 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 22, 2018, 10:41:33 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 10:19:07 AM
"Today, we do not know what they want. They do not know themselves what they really want. That is the problem," the Lithuanian president told reporters.

Cannot disagree with that.

There is no consensus within Westminster - with a negotiating "position" so maneuverable as to do Erwin Rommel proud - is it any wonder the negotiations are falling apart.
I think there was a similar quote from a French official "First they wanted in with a load of opt outs, now they want out with a load of opt ins"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2018, 12:21:35 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on October 22, 2018, 12:19:13 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 22, 2018, 10:41:33 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2018, 10:19:07 AM
"Today, we do not know what they want. They do not know themselves what they really want. That is the problem," the Lithuanian president told reporters.

Cannot disagree with that.

There is no consensus within Westminster - with a negotiating "position" so maneuverable as to do Erwin Rommel proud - is it any wonder the negotiations are falling apart.
I think there was a similar quote from a French official "First they wanted in with a load of opt outs, now they want out with a load of opt ins"

The ERG want no deal, no social welfare, no NHS but they are struggling to sell this vision to the others apart from the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on October 22, 2018, 02:31:40 PM
The obvious problem is there is no majority for any type of Brexit (not even close the majority). The scary thing is the polls are still showing Labour languishing one point behind the Tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 22, 2018, 02:48:07 PM
I saw a good quote from a comedian, that Britain was the first country to place sanctions on itself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 22, 2018, 03:17:09 PM
Quote from: omagh_gael on October 22, 2018, 02:31:40 PM
The obvious problem is there is no majority for any type of Brexit (not even close the majority). The scary thing is the polls are still showing Labour languishing one point behind the Tories.

Polls said no Brexit.....  Polls said no Trump.....

Polls can't be trusted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 22, 2018, 04:00:04 PM
Judging by some of the language as reported to be used over the weekend, the Tories are really falling apart. Surely a Labour / SNP coalition could seize power and change the whole s**tshow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2018, 04:13:41 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 22, 2018, 04:00:04 PM
Judging by some of the language as reported to be used over the weekend, the Tories are really falling apart. Surely a Labour / SNP coalition could seize power and change the whole s**tshow.
The Tories were the vehicle Thatcher used to introduce neoliberalism to the UK.
Lovely to see the party tear itself apart because of the ERG which is ever more Thatcherite than she was
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 22, 2018, 05:48:45 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 22, 2018, 04:00:04 PM
Surely a Labour / SNP coalition could seize power and change the whole s**tshow.

All the (English) parties are afraid that committing to a referendum on the deal is electoral suicide.

They are completely oblivious to the notion that not asking for the electorate to vote on the actual deal is akin to saying that it is entirely rational and sensible to have walked into a car dealer at original referendum time and when asking the dealer what he had for sale, he replied, "I'll sell you a car. Now, I don't know how much it will cost, what it will look like, how many people it will carry, how nice it is drive or what its like on the fuel, but just sign the dotted line here and that's you legally committed to paying me whatever it costs."

Complete utter madness.



edit: By all the English parties, I really mean the big two. I think the rest (aside the UKIP) are for a re-run of the referendum.


edit2: I say the above as someone who very much disagreed with the re-run of Lisbon treaty referendum - because nothing substantially changed. Here - it is worlds apart.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on October 22, 2018, 09:10:33 PM
We're heading towards a hard border. It's what the DUP always wanted, yet they will claim they didn't.

Could Dodds and company have been that clever?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 22, 2018, 09:32:15 PM
Quote from: Orior on October 22, 2018, 09:10:33 PM
We're heading towards a hard border. It's what the DUP always wanted, yet they will claim they didn't.

Could Dodds and company have been that clever?

Or that stupid. Hard border hastens the end of their precious union and we get our whole country back
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 22, 2018, 09:52:21 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 22, 2018, 09:32:15 PM
Quote from: Orior on October 22, 2018, 09:10:33 PM
We're heading towards a hard border. It's what the DUP always wanted, yet they will claim they didn't.

Could Dodds and company have been that clever?

Or that stupid. Hard border hastens the end of their precious union and we get our whole country back

Yep - utterly stupid (considering their motivations).

They could have secured their North for potentially hundreds of years by getting the 'best of both worlds' deal. Easy access to Europe and easy access to UK (and beyond).

It'd have been the gateway to the EU for the wider world.

Most here would have benefited economically from it and the swing voters (I reckon there would be a surprisingly large amount put importance of food on the table ahead of a flag) would never have went for a united Ireland in a border poll.

Now? Hard border and economic ruin could easily lead to many undecided looking enviously down south and thinking "I'd like some of that please".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 08:39:18 AM
Quote from: Orior on October 22, 2018, 09:10:33 PM
We're heading towards a hard border. It's what the DUP always wanted, yet they will claim they didn't.

Could Dodds and company have been that clever?
Why would they want a hard border ?

In other news , the EU is going to drop Summer Time and the UK probably won't so NI could be in a different time zone to Donegal (apart obviously from 1641 vs 2018)
It's going to be tough because with the EU different to the UK , NI will either be out of line with England or with Mexico.
This will be another form of drag on an already severely weakened economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 23, 2018, 09:06:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 08:39:18 AM
Quote from: Orior on October 22, 2018, 09:10:33 PM
We're heading towards a hard border. It's what the DUP always wanted, yet they will claim they didn't.

Could Dodds and company have been that clever?
Why would they want a hard border ?

In other news , the EU is going to drop Summer Time and the UK probably won't so NI could be in a different time zone to Donegal (apart obviously from 1641 vs 2018)
It's going to be tough because with the EU different to the UK , NI will either be out of line with England or with Mexico.
This will be another form of drag on an already severely weakened economy.

To drive a wedge between them and the Republic and bring them closer to the UK again!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 09:09:22 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 23, 2018, 09:06:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 08:39:18 AM
Quote from: Orior on October 22, 2018, 09:10:33 PM
We're heading towards a hard border. It's what the DUP always wanted, yet they will claim they didn't.

Could Dodds and company have been that clever?
Why would they want a hard border ?

In other news , the EU is going to drop Summer Time and the UK probably won't so NI could be in a different time zone to Donegal (apart obviously from 1641 vs 2018)
It's going to be tough because with the EU different to the UK , NI will either be out of line with England or with Mexico.
This will be another form of drag on an already severely weakened economy.

To drive a wedge between them and the Republic and bring them closer to the UK again!
With half of the population kicking with the wrong foot?
And the downside of no deal with regions getting hammered while London creams it ? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 09:42:25 AM
Itis hatred - pure and simple. There is no rationale behind it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 09:52:51 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 09:42:25 AM
Itis hatred - pure and simple. There is no rationale behind it.
It looks like it, all right. They are not interested in standards of living at all. Weird
No wonder so many Protestants never go back after university in Scotland or England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 23, 2018, 10:13:54 AM
There will be a no deal and the brits and the EU will blabber on for years about what to do with the border, meanwhile we will all get on with lives as usual giving out about the situation but never doing anything about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 23, 2018, 11:12:49 AM
Ye're main political party seems to have lost its voice altogether!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 23, 2018, 11:32:11 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.

No, I don' think so. It would give the Telegraph an opportunity to rant and call on people to oppose the Shinners.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 23, 2018, 11:39:38 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.

Completely pointless. The second sinn Fein vote on something in Wesrminister then you'd havr 10 or 20 labour votes swinging the other way. They couldn't bear the headlines saying Irish republicans swung a commons vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 11:47:47 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 23, 2018, 11:32:11 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.


No, I don' think so. It would give the Telegraph an opportunity to rant and call on people to oppose the Shinners.


The Unionists have chosen the wrong horse (and I don't mean Arlene)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 11:55:20 AM
It isn't about economics to the hardliners.

I think sf to be fair to then are better saying nothing. The dup are doing their job better than they ever could.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 12:09:01 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 11:55:20 AM
It isn't about economics to the hardliners.

I think sf to be fair to then are better saying nothing. The dup are doing their job better than they ever could.

The DUP remind me of the people who fought with the Nazis in WW2. The ERG don't care about peace in NI and are fanatical. The DUP are innocents. 
At this level there is no such thing as loyalty. If there is a hard Brexit NI will be shafted economically.  Rees Mogg does not care about NI.
Once people see that the DUP cost them say 10% of their wages the party will  be destroyed. Brexit is about allocating losses and NI is very vulnerable.
NI is already a basket case with huge numbers of people dependent on social transfers that may no longer be feasible if the NHS is being dismantled, for example.
It is also like FF pre 2008. No idea of the downside risks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 23, 2018, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 09:42:25 AM
Itis hatred - pure and simple. There is no rationale behind it.

None of them want to be seen to give an inch, thats been their goal from the outset, and they are hateful cnuts on top of that...Brexit is great for the DUP as it meant less coverage of their own fcuk ups recently.  They can look to the hard brexiteers in the Tories as fighting the good cause and its all about them

Had the Shinners went publically for a leave vote then the DUP would have went the other way

cue Frank  ;) ;)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on October 23, 2018, 01:24:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 11:55:20 AM
It isn't about economics to the hardliners.

I think sf to be fair to then are better saying nothing. The dup are doing their job better than they ever could.
nail on the head
the shinners are better keeping quiet on this one
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 01:50:28 PM
Quote from: naka on October 23, 2018, 01:24:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 11:55:20 AM
It isn't about economics to the hardliners.

I think sf to be fair to then are better saying nothing. The dup are doing their job better than they ever could.
nail on the head
the shinners are better keeping quiet on this one

Hearing rumours rhi going to get ugly for sf so less said currently the better.

I saw someone commending the dup negotiating on twitter one day. They have the negotiating ability of a 2 year old - no and that is it.

My dad told me years ago you couldn't underestimate the hatred in hardline unionist community for ireland and nationalists.  This and things like calling the Pope the antichrist show this hasn't changed at all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 03:32:37 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/23/sadiq-khan-eu-labour-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 23, 2018, 03:48:47 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2018/1023/1006113-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 03:55:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 23, 2018, 04:14:04 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 03:55:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?

Why stand for election then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 23, 2018, 04:19:46 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 23, 2018, 04:14:04 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 03:55:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?

Why stand for election then?

So themmuns don't get in!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2018, 04:26:10 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 03:55:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?
Cos Labour end up just 2 seats from an outright majority and want a united Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 23, 2018, 04:28:04 PM
Quote from: naka on October 23, 2018, 01:24:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 23, 2018, 11:55:20 AM
It isn't about economics to the hardliners.

I think sf to be fair to then are better saying nothing. The dup are doing their job better than they ever could.
nail on the head
the shinners are better keeping quiet on this one

"Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake." Napoleon
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 23, 2018, 04:59:16 PM
Remind me again how Napoleon got on.......



.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 23, 2018, 05:15:20 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 23, 2018, 04:59:16 PM
Remind me again how Napoleon got on.......

A bit better than Arlene Foster?



.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on October 23, 2018, 05:20:47 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 23, 2018, 04:59:16 PM
Remind me again how Napoleon got on.......


Remind me again how Napoleon got on....... top of Josephine?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on October 23, 2018, 05:39:33 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 23, 2018, 04:14:04 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 03:55:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?

Why stand for election then?
Expenses
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 03:55:16 PM
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?

Walk in on the session, submit their voting slips, walk out.

It'd actually be interesting to see them do it anyway - would they stop the session of parliament until they swore on ol Lizzie? Could bring the whole thing grinding to a halt and add another bit of fuel to the fire - monarchists vs. republicans (no, not those republicans, or those republicans, the anti-monarchy republicans).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 23, 2018, 11:57:44 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 10:42:40 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 03:55:16 PM
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?

Walk in on the session, submit their voting slips, walk out.

It'd actually be interesting to see them do it anyway - would they stop the session of parliament until they swore on ol Lizzie? Could bring the whole thing grinding to a halt and add another bit of fuel to the fire - monarchists vs. republicans (no, not those republicans, or those republicans, the anti-monarchy republicans).

Would the Shinners side with the disciples of Cromwell?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on October 24, 2018, 12:13:44 AM
Still take the queen's pound, greedy feckers?! Money beats all morals
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 24, 2018, 08:26:51 AM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/northern-ireland/northern-ireland-economy-lags-badly-behind-republics-37450685.html

"Northern Ireland's economy is struggling to find momentum while the Republic is benefiting from foreign-owned businesses, according to a new report.
The Nevin Economic Research Institute said a deep gap exists between the strong performance of foreign firms operating in the Republic and its domestic economy. The report said Northern Ireland lags in both areas by a considerable margin in output, productivity and investment."

Brexit is obviously the answer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 24, 2018, 03:07:17 PM

Stewart Jackson still hasn't retracted his comment towards the child in hospital, spurious claims now that it was directed at the father. Disgusting. Makes my blood boil.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 24, 2018, 04:04:45 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-45967507

Irony alert!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 24, 2018, 10:54:22 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 24, 2018, 04:04:45 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-45967507

Irony alert!

Yeah watched it on the news and wondered why they didn't put that question back to them?

Looks increasingly like no deal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 25, 2018, 12:52:26 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 24, 2018, 10:54:22 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 24, 2018, 04:04:45 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-45967507

Irony alert!

Yeah watched it on the news and wondered why they didn't put that question back to them?

Looks increasingly like no deal

The Brits have already agreed to the backstop in the event of no deal. Right?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 25, 2018, 06:45:54 AM
Quote from: GJL on October 25, 2018, 12:52:26 AM

The Brits have already agreed to the backstop in the event of no deal. Right?

No.  The backstop only happens if there is a deal. No deal means the entire UK exists the EU on March 29th and all EU / UK co-operation stops at that point (that's why it's often referred to as the "cliff edge").
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 25, 2018, 06:54:16 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 25, 2018, 06:45:54 AM
Quote from: GJL on October 25, 2018, 12:52:26 AM

The Brits have already agreed to the backstop in the event of no deal. Right?

No.  The backstop only happens if there is a deal. No deal means the entire UK exists the EU on March 29th and all EU / UK co-operation stops at that point (that's why it's often referred to as the "cliff edge").
A deal means an arrangement on customs and/or Single Market. The only Border post Brexit with the EU is in Ulster. If there is no deal NI and RoI will have different trade rules so there has to be a backstop to avoid chaos.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 25, 2018, 06:58:17 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 25, 2018, 06:54:16 AM

QuoteA deal means an arrangement on customs and/or Single Market. The only Border post Brexit with the EU is in Ulster. If there is no deal NI and RoI will have different trade rules so there has to be a backstop to avoid chaos.

Seafoid, all of that makes logical sense.  However, there has to be a Deal for their to be a backstop.  There has to be a Deal for NI to be treated differently from England.  If there is no agreement (or a Deal) that NI will be treated differently (where a backstop is part of that "being treated differently") then NI, like England would leave the EU next March.
This is why the UK / EU getting a Deal is so important for NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 25, 2018, 08:06:51 AM

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-44615404
The backstop is a position of last resort, to protect an open border on the island of Ireland in the event that the UK leaves the EU without securing an all-encompassing deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 25, 2018, 09:43:20 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 25, 2018, 06:45:54 AM
Quote from: GJL on October 25, 2018, 12:52:26 AM

The Brits have already agreed to the backstop in the event of no deal. Right?

No.  The backstop only happens if there is a deal. No deal means the entire UK exists the EU on March 29th and all EU / UK co-operation stops at that point (that's why it's often referred to as the "cliff edge").

Nevertheless, in December London agreed that NI would remain in SIngle Market whether or not there was a deal, so if this does not happen then it is perfidy of the highest order and should be identified as such.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 25, 2018, 09:47:30 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 25, 2018, 06:58:17 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 25, 2018, 06:54:16 AM

QuoteA deal means an arrangement on customs and/or Single Market. The only Border post Brexit with the EU is in Ulster. If there is no deal NI and RoI will have different trade rules so there has to be a backstop to avoid chaos.

Seafoid, all of that makes logical sense.  However, there has to be a Deal for their to be a backstop.  There has to be a Deal for NI to be treated differently from England.  If there is no agreement (or a Deal) that NI will be treated differently (where a backstop is part of that "being treated differently") then NI, like England would leave the EU next March.
This is why the UK / EU getting a Deal is so important for NI.
If there is no deal there will have to be a hard border ....
I think there will be a deal, maybe after extra time. I don't think it will go to penalities
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on October 25, 2018, 10:07:25 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 25, 2018, 09:43:20 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 25, 2018, 06:45:54 AM
Quote from: GJL on October 25, 2018, 12:52:26 AM

The Brits have already agreed to the backstop in the event of no deal. Right?

No.  The backstop only happens if there is a deal. No deal means the entire UK exists the EU on March 29th and all EU / UK co-operation stops at that point (that's why it's often referred to as the "cliff edge").

Nevertheless, in December London agreed that NI would remain in SIngle Market whether or not there was a deal, so if this does not happen then it is perfidy of the highest order and should be identified as such.

It's perfidy already. They've backslid from the backstop commitment without as much as a blush.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 25, 2018, 10:29:43 AM
Quote from: Hardy on October 25, 2018, 10:07:25 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 25, 2018, 09:43:20 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 25, 2018, 06:45:54 AM
Quote from: GJL on October 25, 2018, 12:52:26 AM

The Brits have already agreed to the backstop in the event of no deal. Right?

No.  The backstop only happens if there is a deal. No deal means the entire UK exists the EU on March 29th and all EU / UK co-operation stops at that point (that's why it's often referred to as the "cliff edge").

Nevertheless, in December London agreed that NI would remain in SIngle Market whether or not there was a deal, so if this does not happen then it is perfidy of the highest order and should be identified as such.

It's perfidy already. They've backslid from the backstop commitment without as much as a blush.
What do you expect from la perfide Albion, Hardy ? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 25, 2018, 11:55:51 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 24, 2018, 10:54:22 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 24, 2018, 04:04:45 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-45967507

Irony alert!

Yeah watched it on the news and wondered why they didn't put that question back to them?

Looks increasingly like no deal

Given that the 1922 gang backed down last evening without as much as a timid whimper, I'd say the chances of 'No Deal' have receded somewhat, and it increases the chances of May winning support from her own side for whatever deal she brings back from Brussels. Presumably Johnson, Rees-Mogg etc. have finally realised what the forthcoming apocalypse of a Hard Brexit would look like.

Paradoxically, the closer it gets to a 'No Deal', I think there's less chance of it actually happening as fear concentrates the mind. I'm sure the British public don't like to see the possibility of ships being chartered to ferry food, medicine etc. Still hoping against hope for another referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 25, 2018, 12:16:11 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 23, 2018, 04:19:46 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 23, 2018, 04:14:04 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 03:55:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2018, 11:19:32 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 23, 2018, 10:32:26 AM
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?

Why stand for election then?

So themmuns don't get in!!
Building the mandate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on October 25, 2018, 02:17:27 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 25, 2018, 11:55:51 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 24, 2018, 10:54:22 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 24, 2018, 04:04:45 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-45967507

Irony alert!

Yeah watched it on the news and wondered why they didn't put that question back to them?

Looks increasingly like no deal

Given that the 1922 gang backed down last evening without as much as a timid whimper, I'd say the chances of 'No Deal' have receded somewhat, and it increases the chances of May winning support from her own side for whatever deal she brings back from Brussels. Presumably Johnson, Rees-Mogg etc. have finally realised what the forthcoming apocalypse of a Hard Brexit would look like.

Paradoxically, the closer it gets to a 'No Deal', I think there's less chance of it actually happening as fear concentrates the mind. I'm sure the British public don't like to see the possibility of ships being chartered to ferry food, medicine etc. Still hoping against hope for another referendum.

To add to that, it's reasonable to assume that sack of shit, Johnson will now pursue his political ambitions by presenting himself as the hero on the bridge who tried manfully but failed to halt Brexit and will point to the inevitable economic downturn that will follow any Brexit outcome as proof the he was right and Britain has been denied it's golden dawn by a Brexit-in-name-only.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 25, 2018, 03:00:06 PM
I think Johnson has well and truly been seen through now by all. A beaten docket in terms of whats important to him, which is nothing other than his own personal success
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 25, 2018, 03:11:10 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on October 25, 2018, 03:00:06 PM
I think Johnson has well and truly been seen through now by all. A beaten docket in terms of whats important to him, which is nothing other than his own personal success

Never overestimate the English electorate, delicately poised as ever and this dog could have its day, dangerous bastard all round, complete egomaniac nut job war criminal in waiting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 25, 2018, 03:26:02 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on October 25, 2018, 03:00:06 PM
I think Johnson has well and truly been seen through now by all. A beaten docket in terms of whats important to him, which is nothing other than his own personal success
the Brexit heads don't seem to have any arguments left and are more like dogs in the manger of Westminster due to the numbers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 25, 2018, 03:32:03 PM
Quote from: tiempo on October 25, 2018, 03:11:10 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on October 25, 2018, 03:00:06 PM
I think Johnson has well and truly been seen through now by all. A beaten docket in terms of whats important to him, which is nothing other than his own personal success

Never overestimate the English electorate, delicately poised as ever and this dog could have its day, dangerous b**tard all round, complete egomaniac nut job war criminal in waiting.

The electorate don't choose the leader of the tories
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omagh_gael on October 25, 2018, 10:59:04 PM
According to twitter there was a very bumpy cabinet meeting this evening with a significant verification event for May's plans on Thursday now cancelled. Sources saying there'll be no further discussions until after Monday's budget.

The more I hear of these crises the more weight I'm putting on it being a charade that May etc are putting on and sometime after the budget they'll fall back and accept the NI backstop (border of some description in Irish sea). They'll push the budget through and drop the DUP.

Crazy info leaking out that they've already run out of time to implement large swathes of No Deal preparations reinforces the notion that there is a deal already agreed in the background and what we are seeing now are the theatrics leading up to the final act.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 26, 2018, 06:17:20 AM
Argentina will exploit a no-deal Brexit to 'enhance' its claims to Falklands, says its foreign minister

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/10/25/argentina-will-exploit-no-deal-brexit-enhance-falklands-claims/


https://youtu.be/-ccNkksrfls
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2018, 12:15:49 PM
A level economics. Explain how the DUP position on Brexit supports the NI economy .

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/northern-ireland/80-jobs-facing-axe-at-antrim-windows-and-doors-manufacturer-37463226.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 29, 2018, 08:48:37 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2018, 12:15:49 PM
A level economics. Explain how the DUP position on Brexit supports the NI economy .

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/northern-ireland/80-jobs-facing-axe-at-antrim-windows-and-doors-manufacturer-37463226.html
Their argument regarding more trade with the rest of the UK is skewed according to Bertie. He says that more jobs are supported by cross border trade and that NI UK trade is skewed by a few large value transactions.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on October 29, 2018, 11:11:59 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 29, 2018, 08:48:37 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2018, 12:15:49 PM
A level economics. Explain how the DUP position on Brexit supports the NI economy .

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/northern-ireland/80-jobs-facing-axe-at-antrim-windows-and-doors-manufacturer-37463226.html
Their argument regarding more trade with the rest of the UK is skewed according to Bertie. He says that more jobs are supported by cross border trade and that NI UK trade is skewed by a few large value transactions.
chairman of the cbi actually said the same when they did a survey, north south more important for volume rather than value.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on October 30, 2018, 07:47:18 PM
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/employers-must-check-eu-nationals-right-to-work-claims-noakes/ar-BBP7dAl?li=BBoPWjQ

Clueless
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 31, 2018, 10:10:37 AM
An interjection from the UVF economics chair at QUB

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/uvf-tell-irish-government-to-tone-down-britbashing-reports-37475184.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on November 01, 2018, 01:04:42 PM
So Aaron Banks under investigation , referred to NCA;

Also remember this -
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/brexit-arron-banks-dines-with-dup-after-mps-grilling-37003609.html
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-38057036
https://www.opendemocracy.net/dup-dark-money

But remember the DUP are above the Law


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on November 01, 2018, 08:07:28 PM
And their other mate Farage is now  'actively being investigated by the FBI'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on November 01, 2018, 09:10:52 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 01, 2018, 08:07:28 PM
And their other mate Farage is now  'actively being investigated by the FBI'

How can the FBI be investigating someone in the UK? Or has he dealings in the US?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 01, 2018, 10:12:33 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 01, 2018, 08:07:28 PM
And their other mate Farage is now  'actively being investigated by the FBI'

You sure about that?? Can't find any sources for it.

He was a person of interest with regard to Trump and Russia collusion but never investigated as far as I can see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Chicago Hurling on November 02, 2018, 09:00:01 AM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 01, 2018, 08:07:28 PM
And their other mate Farage is now  'actively being investigated by the FBI'

Can you tell the future? Yesterday I hadn't seen a word about his status being upgraded now it's all over.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on November 02, 2018, 09:20:00 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 01, 2018, 10:12:33 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 01, 2018, 08:07:28 PM
And their other mate Farage is now  'actively being investigated by the FBI'

You sure about that?? Can't find any sources for it.

He was a person of interest with regard to Trump and Russia collusion but never investigated as far as I can see.

All seems to be coming from this https://twitter.com/jdpoc/status/1058007548203331585?s=21

Hasn't been officially confirmed so a bit of caution required.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 05, 2018, 01:01:32 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46091134
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 05, 2018, 01:10:08 PM
"No hard border for 3 months -then we can do what we like"......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 05, 2018, 01:38:17 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/oct/21/brexit-premier-league-side-wanting-to-be-relegated-wto-internal-market

The propagation and membership of the internal/single market was considered by former Tory chancellor Kenneth Clarke to be Margaret Thatcher's greatest achievement.
  The idea of trying to set up new trade agreements in a world that is going protectionist fast is for the birds
  But, thanks to the trade agreements the EU has with a fair proportion of the rest of the world, as the Office for Budget Responsibility reminds us in its Discussion Paper No 3, "when added to the 49% share of UK trade accounted for by members of the EU, altogether [existing] trade agreements reduce or eliminate tariffs for around 66% of UK trade."
The idea of crashing out of the EU and trying to set up new trade agreements from scratch in a world that is going protectionist fast is, or ought to be, for the birds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 05, 2018, 02:41:21 PM
This is great. A pity Fearon isn't around to read it

https://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2018/11/05/news/one-thousand-sign-letter-to-leo-varadkar-urging-him-to-protect-nationalists-rights-1476293/

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nyunLXq1u2fVfpUPrmhINExHTrazYi6w/view

They could have easily got 10,000 signatures
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on November 05, 2018, 08:01:36 PM
C4 now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 05, 2018, 08:15:20 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on November 05, 2018, 08:01:36 PM
C4 now

Disgraceful only half the audience and the presenter not wearing poppies!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on November 05, 2018, 08:22:20 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 05, 2018, 08:15:20 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on November 05, 2018, 08:01:36 PM
C4 now

Disgraceful only half the audience and the presenter not wearing poppies!

Bastids must have snuck in a side door😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 06, 2018, 11:20:18 AM
End game really approaching now. Ireland / EU really needs to stand firm and call UK's bluff. No hope in hell a No-Deal will get passed in parliament so it's either a GE or another referendum (cf. Channel 4 last night). Chickens coming home to roost now for Brexiteers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 06, 2018, 11:33:32 AM

There really is no doubt about the DUP. Their hatred of everything Irish exceeds their interest in the economic wellbeing of their constituents. For f**k's sake

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/11/06/brexit-latest-theresa-may-set-pressure-cabinet-accepting-new/
"Theresa May's efforts to find an acceptable Irish backstop with her cabinet today risk being overshadowed by her Democratic Unionist Party allies warning that the United Kingdom is "heading for no deal".
The provocative assessment was made the DUP's chief whip, Sir Jeffrey Donaldson, as he pointed out on Twitter that it would mean the UK "won't have to pay a penny more to [the] EU". Such a scenario, he added, would have "serious consequences" for the Republic of Ireland's economy and force it to suffer a "big increase" in payments to EU coffers.
"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 06, 2018, 11:34:24 AM
Quote from: mouview on November 06, 2018, 11:20:18 AM
End game really approaching now. Ireland / EU really needs to stand firm and call UK's bluff. No hope in hell a No-Deal will get passed in parliament so it's either a GE or another referendum (cf. Channel 4 last night). Chickens coming home to roost now for Brexiteers.
Only 30% of Brits support a no deal.
I suspect the DUP will get tangoed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on November 06, 2018, 11:41:11 AM
Quote from: mouview on November 06, 2018, 11:20:18 AM
End game really approaching now. Ireland / EU really needs to stand firm and call UK's bluff. No hope in hell a No-Deal will get passed in parliament so it's either a GE or another referendum (cf. Channel 4 last night). Chickens coming home to roost now for Brexiteers.

IMHO I don't think either a GE or another referendum will solve the issue. People are divided nearly 50/50 on Brexit and the two main parties are also split. What it needed from the start was a cross party delegation to negotiate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 06, 2018, 12:18:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 06, 2018, 11:33:32 AM

There really is no doubt about the DUP. Their hatred of everything Irish exceeds their interest in the economic wellbeing of their constituents. For f**k's sake

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/11/06/brexit-latest-theresa-may-set-pressure-cabinet-accepting-new/

The provocative assessment was made the DUP's chief whip, Sir Jeffrey Donaldson, as he pointed out on Twitter that it would mean the UK "won't have to pay a penny more to [the] EU". Such a scenario, he added, would have "serious consequences" for the Republic of Ireland's economy and force it to suffer a "big increase" in payments to EU coffers.
"
That would be Jeffreys wet dream alright.....a return to the 1950s.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 06, 2018, 12:31:29 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 06, 2018, 12:18:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 06, 2018, 11:33:32 AM

There really is no doubt about the DUP. Their hatred of everything Irish exceeds their interest in the economic wellbeing of their constituents. For f**k's sake

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/11/06/brexit-latest-theresa-may-set-pressure-cabinet-accepting-new/

The provocative assessment was made the DUP's chief whip, Sir Jeffrey Donaldson, as he pointed out on Twitter that it would mean the UK "won't have to pay a penny more to [the] EU". Such a scenario, he added, would have "serious consequences" for the Republic of Ireland's economy and force it to suffer a "big increase" in payments to EU coffers.
"
That would be Jeffreys wet dream alright.....a return to the 1950s.

Jeffrey isn't wrong in what a no deal would do to the Irish economy but he forgot to mention the huge damage it will do to the already fragile Northern economy.

Wait till all those big Protestant Farmers are washing their milk down the drain and no money coming from Westminster.

We're all couped if that happens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 06, 2018, 01:01:40 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on November 06, 2018, 11:41:11 AM
Quote from: mouview on November 06, 2018, 11:20:18 AM
End game really approaching now. Ireland / EU really needs to stand firm and call UK's bluff. No hope in hell a No-Deal will get passed in parliament so it's either a GE or another referendum (cf. Channel 4 last night). Chickens coming home to roost now for Brexiteers.

IMHO I don't think either a GE or another referendum will solve the issue. People are divided nearly 50/50 on Brexit and the two main parties are also split. What it needed from the start was a cross party delegation to negotiate.

If a referendum delivered a clear result one way or another it might finish the debate.
Even the Germans are wondering what's going on;

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/06/britain-foolish-decline-boris-johnson

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 06, 2018, 01:04:56 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 06, 2018, 12:31:29 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 06, 2018, 12:18:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 06, 2018, 11:33:32 AM

There really is no doubt about the DUP. Their hatred of everything Irish exceeds their interest in the economic wellbeing of their constituents. For f**k's sake

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/11/06/brexit-latest-theresa-may-set-pressure-cabinet-accepting-new/

The provocative assessment was made the DUP's chief whip, Sir Jeffrey Donaldson, as he pointed out on Twitter that it would mean the UK "won't have to pay a penny more to [the] EU". Such a scenario, he added, would have "serious consequences" for the Republic of Ireland's economy and force it to suffer a "big increase" in payments to EU coffers.
"
That would be Jeffreys wet dream alright.....a return to the 1950s.

Jeffrey isn't wrong in what a no deal would do to the Irish economy but he forgot to mention the huge damage it will do to the already fragile Northern economy.

Wait till all those big Protestant Farmers are washing their milk down the drain and no money coming from Westminster.

We're all couped if that happens.

Stephen Rea:

« The Belfast I grew up in was a pre-Troubles city, so not progressive in any meaningful way. Put simply, they would not do anything the Free State [Ireland] did. They got rid of the Irish language, they banned the Irish flag, all that stuff."

Unionists were, and still are, cut off not just from Catholics and from Ireland, but from the world. It's pure isolation. And it is so drummed into the young that they cannot let go of these views." « 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 06, 2018, 05:26:08 PM
A very good take on Trump and Brexit

https://www.theatlantic.com/amp/article/574867/
The new populist politics is a scam and a lie that exploits anger and fear to gain power. It has no care for the people it supposedly champions and no respect for them. It will deliver nothing—not only because its leaders are almost invariably crooks (although they are), but because they have no plans and no plans to make plans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 07, 2018, 07:55:47 PM
Barnier playing a blinder in Finland today ... No all-weather backstop, no deal .... over to you Theresa.

And in other news, I see that Sir Jeffrey has stopped colouring his hair, or maybe he's been caught short and is in between colours.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 08, 2018, 07:03:36 AM
Considering that the DUP think that they can pull the plug on the Govt at any stage and if we leave economics aside and accept that everyone in NI, ROI and UK will be a few thousand worse off each year in the event of a no-deal Brexit, how are people affected on a day-to-day basis?  Papers have been written on citizen rights, domicile rights, birth rights, employment rights, tax rights, travel rights, pet rights etc, etc. 

A no-deal Stormont has left the people of NI no worse off.  A 6 person DUP negotiating team led by Simon Hamilton and Edwin Poots agreed a deal with SF only to be shot down by the 10 naysayers at Westminster, led by Nigel Dodds.  Some are agreeable to change and some are chained to the past.  Nationalist/republican/Catholic/liberal people in NI will be better served by a no-deal Stormont but not a no-deal Brexit.  With irony their hopes rest in the British parliament and in British courts.  The DUP have continually failed their own people.  Were unionist people really up-in-arms over 50/50 policing?  Their ghosts will haunt an abandoned Stormont.  Of most pressing concern are alarming prosecutions like this:

"Judgment has been reserved in a judicial review brought by a woman being prosecuted for buying her then 15-year-old daughter abortion pills.
Lawyers for the mother and daughter, who have been granted anonymity, argued the PPS decision to bring criminal charges breaches their human rights.
The woman could face up to a five-year jail term if convicted.
Lord Chief Justice Sir Declan Morgan said the three Judges would give their decision as soon as they could.
Unlike other parts of the UK, terminations are only legal in Northern Ireland to protect the pregnant female's life or if there is a risk of serious damage to her well-being.
The mother faces two charges of unlawfully procuring and supplying drugs with intent to procure a miscarriage, contrary to the 1861 Offences Against the Person Act.
A lawyer representing the Public Prosecution Service told the court on Wednesday that a possible interpretation of the circumstances was that the 15-year-old was "the potential victim of a criminal offence".
Further issues had been raised about the disclosure of information from a GP, and child and adolescent mental health services as part of the police investigation.
Women 'illegally taking abortion pill at home'
Reaction to Supreme Court abortion ruling
Rise in NI women travelling for abortions
Abortion pills prosecution challenge by NI mother adjourned


Media captionThe law on abortion in Northern Ireland explained
According to the prosecution, the doctor's notes contain disputed "hints" that the daughter felt pressured over taking the medication.
It was also argued that a key question was whether the girl was beyond the 10-week mark in her pregnancy when the pills were sought.
The relevant online questionnaire had been filled in by her mother when it should have been completed by the daughter, the court was told.
The Belfast High Court also heard from the Attorney General for Northern Ireland, John Larkin QC.
He said that the case amounted to a "collateral" challenge to the ongoing criminal proceedings.
'Both lives matter'
Mr Larkin argued that the challenge was not merely to the decision to prosecute, it was also in some way founded on the supposed legality of the provisions of the legislation that are being enforced by the PPS.
He told the court an attempt to change Northern Ireland's abortion regime had been "comprehensively rejected" by the Stormont Assembly in February 2016.
He said that "the law in Northern Ireland considers that both lives matter" seeking to protect both the mother and child, and he invited the court to continue to uphold that.
In June, a majority of the Supreme Court Judges said that the current law in NI on abortion was incompatible with Article Eight of the European Convention on Human Rights.
Earlier on Wednesday, the Lord Chief Justice, Sir Declan Morgan, commented that the failure of the legislature to make clear what was to happen as a result of that ruling was "unsatisfactory".
'Procuring and supplying poison'
This is the first time a prosecution relating to Northern Ireland's abortion law has been challenged.
Earlier in the case, it had been claimed that the teenage girl was removed from a classroom and spoken to by police about the abortion pills purchase without her parents knowledge.
But a lawyer for the PSNI responded that the officer involved was focused only on her state of well-being, and never intended to question her.
grey line
How does the law in NI differ from the rest of the UK?
Taking drugs to bring on a miscarriage without doctors' consent is an offence anywhere in the UK under the 1861 act.
But in England, Scotland and Wales, an abortion can be legally carried out up to the 24-week limit and can be legal beyond that limit in cases where the mother's health is threatened or if there is a substantial risk the baby will have serious disabilities.
Women in Northern Ireland only have access to abortions when a woman's life is at risk, or there is a permanent or serious risk to her mental or physical health.
Women in England will be allowed to take an early abortion pill at home, under a government plan due to take effect by the end of the year, bringing the law into line with Scotland and Wales."  (from BBC)


Leaving aside any EU procurement arguments, the fact that some want the Human Rights Act repealed and that the House of Commons is up to its neck in debating EU/ECHR laws they want to ditch, whoever made the decision to prosecute this case should be held to account.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 08, 2018, 07:35:11 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on November 07, 2018, 07:55:47 PM
Barnier playing a blinder in Finland today ... No all-weather backstop, no deal .... over to you Theresa.

And in other news, I see that Sir Jeffrey has stopped colouring his hair, or maybe he's been caught short and is in between colours.
No deal is what the Brexit era in the ERG want.
I think it is all a pantomime at this stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 08, 2018, 07:49:29 AM
Teresa May as Widow Twankey and Nigel Dodds as Aladdin?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 08, 2018, 08:37:20 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 08, 2018, 07:49:29 AM
Teresa May as Widow Twankey and Nigel Dodds as Aladdin?
Is she going to accept no deal ?
Oh no she isn't
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 08, 2018, 01:32:56 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 08, 2018, 08:37:20 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 08, 2018, 07:49:29 AM
Teresa May as Widow Twankey and Nigel Dodds as Aladdin?
Is she going to accept no deal ?
Oh no she isn't

"He's behind you, who? Boris" Well we are coming into the season of Panto!

I much prefer the Dallas storyline, where it was all a dream!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on November 08, 2018, 07:31:43 PM
Should go in the WTF thread as well

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/raab-s-admission-he-had-not-realised-dover-to-calais-importance-criticised-1.3691052

Britain's Brexit secretary Dominic Raab has been criticised for admitting he had not realised the importance of the Dover to Calais crossing to UK trade. Alastair Campbell, former spokesman for Labour prime minister Tony Blair described it as "mindblowing".
The remarks made at an event on Brexit and the tech industry on Wednesday were reported by Jack Blanchard of Politico.

According to Politico, Mr Raab told the event that customers would have less choice in shops unless the frictionless border was maintained and he had not realised how important the crossing was. "I hadn't quite understood the full extent of this, but if you look at the UK and look at how we trade in goods, we are particularly reliant on the Dover-Calais crossing.

"And that is one of the reasons why we have wanted to make sure we have a specific and very proximate relationship with the EU, to ensure frictionless trade at the border ... I don't think it is a question so much of the risk of major shortages, but I think probably the average consumer might not be aware of the full extent to which the choice of goods that we have in the stores are dependent on one or two very specific trade routes.
The British government fears that in the event of a no-deal Brexit, new customs controls in France could create a bottleneck on the Dover-Calais route.
In recent weeks the British cabinet was told that plans are being drawn up to charter ships to bring in emergency supplies of food and medicines if there is no deal on Brexit and warned that the Dover-Calais route could become blocked by new customs controls on the French side.

Scientist Professor Brian Cox said: "How could it possibly come as a suprise to Dominic Raab that our most important trade gateway is that which is closest geographically to our most important market?".
Will Straw, formerly executivre director of the Britain Stronger in Europe, campaign tweeted " Hi @DominicRaab - would it not have been better if you'd done your homework before backing Leave?"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 08, 2018, 07:41:27 PM
Dover is also famed for its white cliffs, Calais for its jungle.  Interesting interview with Dominic Grieve tonight on raidió na bbc ulster.  Should legal advice be shared?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 08, 2018, 08:13:13 PM
Quote from: dec on November 08, 2018, 07:31:43 PM
Should go in the WTF thread as well

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/raab-s-admission-he-had-not-realised-dover-to-calais-importance-criticised-1.3691052

Britain's Brexit secretary Dominic Raab has been criticised for admitting he had not realised the importance of the Dover to Calais crossing to UK trade. Alastair Campbell, former spokesman for Labour prime minister Tony Blair described it as "mindblowing".
The remarks made at an event on Brexit and the tech industry on Wednesday were reported by Jack Blanchard of Politico.

According to Politico, Mr Raab told the event that customers would have less choice in shops unless the frictionless border was maintained and he had not realised how important the crossing was. "I hadn't quite understood the full extent of this, but if you look at the UK and look at how we trade in goods, we are particularly reliant on the Dover-Calais crossing.

"And that is one of the reasons why we have wanted to make sure we have a specific and very proximate relationship with the EU, to ensure frictionless trade at the border ... I don't think it is a question so much of the risk of major shortages, but I think probably the average consumer might not be aware of the full extent to which the choice of goods that we have in the stores are dependent on one or two very specific trade routes.
The British government fears that in the event of a no-deal Brexit, new customs controls in France could create a bottleneck on the Dover-Calais route.
In recent weeks the British cabinet was told that plans are being drawn up to charter ships to bring in emergency supplies of food and medicines if there is no deal on Brexit and warned that the Dover-Calais route could become blocked by new customs controls on the French side.

Scientist Professor Brian Cox said: "How could it possibly come as a suprise to Dominic Raab that our most important trade gateway is that which is closest geographically to our most important market?".
Will Straw, formerly executivre director of the Britain Stronger in Europe, campaign tweeted " Hi @DominicRaab - would it not have been better if you'd done your homework before backing Leave?"

Brexit was /is emotion and not reason.
Why would the DUP want to hurt its voters?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 08, 2018, 08:50:08 PM
Seafoid,  on a separate non-brexit issue - have you seen the Somme mini figures at Olympic Park?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 08, 2018, 11:46:42 PM
Seemingly a leaked letter indicates that May has written to Arlene and Nigel and told them to get used to it.

Dear Arlene and Nigel,
Thank you for your letter of November 1 on the United Kingdom's negotiations with the European Union. Your letter has raised a series of issues about the nature of the backstop.

On never wanting to use the backstop

The backstop is not, and will never be, our preferred outcome. As I said in my statement to parliament last month, it is an insurance policy that no-one in the UK or the EU wants or expects to use. Our overriding priority is to deliver a future partnership between the EU and the whole of the UK which delivers in full on the commitments we have made... The future relationship will apply across the United Kingdom as a whole.

On the permanence of the backstop
Your letter refers to the backstop as being a permanent arrangement enshrined in international law. We should be clear that the backstop would only ever be temporary. This is inherent in the Article 50 legal base on which the withdrawal agreement will be founded, which cannot aim to establish a permanent relationship. This position will need to be reflected in any backstop legal text we agree with the European Union. Furthermore I have been very clear that the government I lead would not accept being kept in a backstop arrangement indefinitely

On the backstop as a basis for the eventual deal
I fully understood your concerns that the backstop could become a legal mechanism which could be resurrected once we have our future relationship in place. We will ensure that we address them. When our future deal - which of course will avoid a hard border - comes into force the backstop must be legally superseded by that future relationship.

On what the backstop applies to
(The need to avoid a hard border) is why we put forward our proposal in June for a temporary UK-EU joint customs territory in the limited circumstances in which the backstop might apply. As you know, the EU has proposed that, although this option could be negotiated in the future, they want to maintain a Northern Ireland only "backstop to the backstop" in case the future negotiations are unsuccessful. I am clear that I could not accept there being any circumstances or conditions in which that 'backstop to the backstop', which would break up the UK customs territory, could come in to force. That is why it is critical that the provision for a UK-EU joint customs territory is legally binding in the Withdrawal Agreement itself, so that no 'backstop to a backstop' is required.

On time-limiting the backstop

Your letter also raised the issue of a time limit. We should be clear that a time limit on a UK-wide customs arrangement that simply resulted in a NI only "backstop to the backstop" coming into force would be totally unacceptable. We must preserve NI's place in the UK customs territory, and I would never accept a time limit proposal which threatened that.

What happens to regulations in the backstop

The government has consistently said that the unique circumstances of NI could require specific alignment solutions in some scenarios, provided they are consistent with the constitutional and economic integrity of the UK.

Single electricity market
Your letter mentions, for example, the single electricity market, which is legally underpinned not by a bilateral arrangement but by single market regulations relating to the EU internal energy market. If we were to reject any targeted alignment of rules needed to maintain this arrangement, which is different to the market in the rest of the UK, then we would be making a choice to undermine security of power supply and disadvantage consumers and businesses across Northern Ireland. That is not a choice any government could or shouuld make.

Human and animal matter checks
Similarly, the all-island single epidemiological unit has for a long time protected animal and human health in NI and Ireland and there are statutory provisions for unique licensing, checks and control powers within the UK in this area.

Greater alignment?
Nonetheless it will clearly be essential that the scope of any alignment in a backstop scenario is carefully circumscribed to what is 'strictly necessary' to avoid any hard border. It will also be critical that any arrangements take account of the very important trade between GB and NI. Whilst we recognise there are already more than 30 existing types of 'regulatory check' between GB and NI at present, covering a range of products, it is nonetheless essential that arrangements operate sufficient flexibility in any scenario to preserve the UK's internal market.

GB will continue to copy NI relations in the backstop

We are also reflecting on how to give expression to the pragmatic and political reality that, given that any backstop would apply only in time limited circumstances and for a temporary period with a view to that future UK-wide arrangement, we would not expect regulations to diverge between Great Britain and Northern Ireland during a backstop scenario.

In conclusion
Finally I welcome the commitment of you and your party as a whole to a negotiated outcome for an orderly withdrawal. I do not accept that a no deal outcome should be our preferred scenario, or that it is the most likely outcome. These are important times for our Union, for our economy and for the people and businesses across the UK. It is essential that, at such an important time, we are guided by the national interest and upholding our precious Union for the long-term. We all owe it to future generations to make the right decisions in the national interest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 09, 2018, 12:04:04 AM
The backstop to the backstop! In the end, could a little bit of cunning linguistics solve all or will Ulster still say no.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 09, 2018, 01:01:25 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 08, 2018, 11:46:42 PM
Seemingly a leaked letter indicates that May has written to Arlene and Nigel and told them to get used to it.

Dear Arlene and Nigel,
Thank you for your letter of November 1 on the United Kingdom's negotiations with the European Union. Your letter has raised a series of issues about the nature of the backstop.

On never wanting to use the backstop

The backstop is not, and will never be, our preferred outcome. As I said in my statement to parliament last month, it is an insurance policy that no-one in the UK or the EU wants or expects to use. Our overriding priority is to deliver a future partnership between the EU and the whole of the UK which delivers in full on the commitments we have made... The future relationship will apply across the United Kingdom as a whole.

On the permanence of the backstop
Your letter refers to the backstop as being a permanent arrangement enshrined in international law. We should be clear that the backstop would only ever be temporary. This is inherent in the Article 50 legal base on which the withdrawal agreement will be founded, which cannot aim to establish a permanent relationship. This position will need to be reflected in any backstop legal text we agree with the European Union. Furthermore I have been very clear that the government I lead would not accept being kept in a backstop arrangement indefinitely

On the backstop as a basis for the eventual deal
I fully understood your concerns that the backstop could become a legal mechanism which could be resurrected once we have our future relationship in place. We will ensure that we address them. When our future deal - which of course will avoid a hard border - comes into force the backstop must be legally superseded by that future relationship.

On what the backstop applies to
(The need to avoid a hard border) is why we put forward our proposal in June for a temporary UK-EU joint customs territory in the limited circumstances in which the backstop might apply. As you know, the EU has proposed that, although this option could be negotiated in the future, they want to maintain a Northern Ireland only "backstop to the backstop" in case the future negotiations are unsuccessful. I am clear that I could not accept there being any circumstances or conditions in which that 'backstop to the backstop', which would break up the UK customs territory, could come in to force. That is why it is critical that the provision for a UK-EU joint customs territory is legally binding in the Withdrawal Agreement itself, so that no 'backstop to a backstop' is required.

On time-limiting the backstop

Your letter also raised the issue of a time limit. We should be clear that a time limit on a UK-wide customs arrangement that simply resulted in a NI only "backstop to the backstop" coming into force would be totally unacceptable. We must preserve NI's place in the UK customs territory, and I would never accept a time limit proposal which threatened that.

What happens to regulations in the backstop

The government has consistently said that the unique circumstances of NI could require specific alignment solutions in some scenarios, provided they are consistent with the constitutional and economic integrity of the UK.

Single electricity market
Your letter mentions, for example, the single electricity market, which is legally underpinned not by a bilateral arrangement but by single market regulations relating to the EU internal energy market. If we were to reject any targeted alignment of rules needed to maintain this arrangement, which is different to the market in the rest of the UK, then we would be making a choice to undermine security of power supply and disadvantage consumers and businesses across Northern Ireland. That is not a choice any government could or shouuld make.

Human and animal matter checks
Similarly, the all-island single epidemiological unithas for a long time protected animal and human health in NI and Ireland and there are statutory provisions for unique licensing, checks and control powers within the UK in this area.

Greater alignment?
Nonetheless it will clearly be essential that the scope of any alignment in a backstop scenario is carefully circumscribed to what is 'strictly necessary' to avoid any hard border. It will also be critical that any arrangements take account of the very important trade between GB and NI. Whilst we recognise there are already more than 30 existing types of 'regulatory check' between GB and NI at present, covering a range of products, it is nonetheless essential that arrangements operate sufficient flexibility in any scenario to preserve the UK's internal market.

GB will continue to copy NI relations in the backstop

We are also reflecting on how to give expression to the pragmatic and political reality that, given that any backstop would apply only in time limited circumstances and for a temporary period with a view to that future UK-wide arrangement, we would not expect regulations to diverge between Great Britain and Northern Ireland during a backstop scenario.

In conclusion
Finally I welcome the commitment of you and your party as a whole to a negotiated outcome for an orderly withdrawal. I do not accept that a no deal outcome should be our preferred scenario, or that it is the most likely outcome. These are important times for our Union, for our economy and for the people and businesses across the UK. It is essential that, at such an important time, we are guided by the national interest and upholding our precious Union for the long-term. We all owe it to future generations to make the right decisions in the national interest.

How'd you get a copy of this?  Section 25(10) of the Great Repeal Act is already in force. Furthermore I object to paying higher electricity bills without an independent UK regulator, freed from the competence of the EU.  Moreover this all Ireland single epidemiological unit championship that doesn't allow our cows to be contaminated with those British foot and mouth ones sounds sensible.  Is the US allowing hormone-inducement these days?  Fair play Armaghniac that's more or less it in a nutshell.  Answer me this but, will there be more or less foreigners?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 09, 2018, 01:20:17 AM
Which SDLPer coined the phrase "unification by regulation"?  It will happen anyhow.   All the experts at the select committee said as much.  Documentation, trusted traders, lorry surveillance, health checks, customs receipts, passports for services, weights, VAT returns, livestock tags, etc, etc,
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 09, 2018, 06:34:41 AM
That's in The Times this morn.  I see BBC predicting a EU summit without UK which wouldn't be legal.  UK can vote up until 21/12/19. Interesting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 09, 2018, 08:18:43 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 08, 2018, 08:50:08 PM
Seafoid,  on a separate non-brexit issue - have you seen the Somme mini figures at Olympic Park?
Thanks

It reminded me of this

https://www.travelfranceonline.com/douaumont-ossuary-and-cemetery-verdun-wwi/

What a waste of life.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on November 09, 2018, 12:02:59 PM
The Irish border/Brexit conundrum is actually unfixable. Tony Blair said it earlier this week.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 09, 2018, 12:12:33 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on November 09, 2018, 12:02:59 PM
The Irish border/Brexit conundrum is actually unfixable. Tony Blair said it earlier this week.
It's like the proposed EU change to Summer Time

If NI aligns with the UK it will be 6 months out of sync with the RoI
If NI aligns with RoI it will be six months out of sync with the UK
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 09, 2018, 12:41:04 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on November 09, 2018, 12:02:59 PM
The Irish border/Brexit conundrum is actually unfixable. Tony Blair said it earlier this week.

Trust worthy source.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 09, 2018, 12:45:48 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 09, 2018, 12:12:33 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on November 09, 2018, 12:02:59 PM
The Irish border/Brexit conundrum is actually unfixable. Tony Blair said it earlier this week.
It's like the proposed EU change to Summer Time

If NI aligns with the UK it will be 6 months out of sync with the RoI

If NI aligns with RoI it will be six months out of sync with the UK

We already are and we're 400 years out of sync.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 09, 2018, 12:51:21 PM
So what are DUPUDA going to do now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 09, 2018, 12:55:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 09, 2018, 12:51:21 PM
So what are DUPUDA going to do now?

Speak to Jamwie Bwyson and see what their next strategy is.

Turns out Arlene and Nige sat to May's letter for a few days and are only responding now once the contents of the letter were leaked.
I wonder did they tell Sammy and the rest of the gang at the time!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on November 09, 2018, 02:47:28 PM
A neat summary on how badly the DUP have played this:
https://twitter.com/timoconnorbl/status/1060844350110920706
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on November 09, 2018, 04:19:30 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on November 09, 2018, 02:47:28 PM
A neat summary on how badly the DUP have played this:
https://twitter.com/timoconnorbl/status/1060844350110920706

Enjoyed the line about the New Zealand back row.... this is the biggest head scratcher for me if there was one brain in DUP could they not see the benefits in both having one of the best places in the world to do business tied with the fact they would prevent any chance on a united Ireland for a couple 100 more years!!!! I love laughing at them - long may Arlene rule!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 09, 2018, 04:53:26 PM
They've done more in the last 2 and a half years to re unite Ireland than all of us put together ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: God14 on November 09, 2018, 05:33:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 09, 2018, 04:53:26 PM
They've done more in the last 2 and a half years to re unite Ireland than all of us put together ;D

+1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on November 09, 2018, 07:10:44 PM
The predicted shafting has begun. They will have a full scale melt down in the next fortnight. Enjoyable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 09, 2018, 07:14:33 PM
The DUP can thweam and thweam all they want Cos the Tories can get labour votes.
It would be good for everyone if the UUP replaced the fruitcakes .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on November 09, 2018, 07:49:28 PM
I see the look of terror on their faces has started and also trying to say its the Conservative back benchers who aren't happy not just us...... Pause then smile like everything's under Control  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 09, 2018, 08:08:25 PM
Quote from: GJL on November 09, 2018, 07:10:44 PM
The predicted shafting has begun. They will have a full scale melt down in the next fortnight. Enjoyable.
Serves the ignorant hatefilled bigoted cnuts right.
A great chance to make the 6 Cos have an economy again and they totally opposed it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 09, 2018, 08:11:50 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 09, 2018, 07:14:33 PM
The DUP can thweam and thweam all they want Cos the Tories can get labour votes.
It would be good for everyone if the UUP replaced the fruitcakes .

I don't know if Labour will save them.  Boris's brother resigned today and called for a referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on November 09, 2018, 08:21:10 PM
If they do get shafted I would have the black taxis driving around Belfast with the flags out the windows like the time the ceasefire was announced to really rub it up the C**ts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: majestic on November 09, 2018, 10:29:56 PM
Anyone out there offer any advise of buying a house in Belfast at the minute? Differing opinions - I'd like to wait and see how this plays out, she does not!!

How do people see prices moving over the next 6/12 months?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: God14 on November 09, 2018, 10:39:11 PM
Russian roulette really, no one has any idea how this will pan out. But personally I'd keep my hands in my pocket.
A no deal Brexit is still a real live potential outcome, and property prices will certainly fall in that event.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 09, 2018, 10:47:38 PM
Quote from: God14 on November 09, 2018, 10:39:11 PM
Russian roulette really, no one has any idea how this will pan out. But personally I'd keep my hands in my pocket.
A no deal Brexit is still a real live potential outcome, and property prices will certainly fall in that event.

Property prices may fall, but interest rates would likely rise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 09, 2018, 11:08:38 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 09, 2018, 08:11:50 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 09, 2018, 07:14:33 PM
The DUP can thweam and thweam all they want Cos the Tories can get labour votes.
It would be good for everyone if the UUP replaced the fruitcakes .

I don't know if Labour will save them.  Boris's brother resigned today and called for a referendum.

For the last year and a half the Brexit heads have been insisting it is the deal or no deal. No other choice.
Labour are not going to let no deal happen so no deal is dead.
Maybe there will be a referendum. Brexit was always stupid and it is even worse now with the US retreating into protectionism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: God14 on November 09, 2018, 11:12:38 PM
Dye think? By my logic the committee will look at QE again and maintaining low interest rates to offset the economic hit.
Stating the obvious but the reason an independent committee commenced setting the rate was to avoid govt politising it in election year. Free from political /govt interference. Some analysts reckon UK GDP will get an 8 per cent hit. I can't see how the mood in the committee will be to increase rates which dampen investment and spending

Ever more reason to wait another 6-8 months I think
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 09, 2018, 11:24:00 PM
Quote from: God14 on November 09, 2018, 11:12:38 PM
Dye think? By my logic the committee will look at QE again and maintaining low interest rates to offset the economic hit.
Stating the obvious but the reason an independent committee commenced setting the rate was to avoid govt politising it in election year. Free from political /govt interference. Some analysts reckon UK GDP will get an 8 per cent hit. I can't see how the mood in the committee will be to increase rates which dampen investment and spending

Ever more reason to wait another 6-8 months I think
there is too much debt to raise rates now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 09, 2018, 11:27:37 PM
I'd devalue. Anyone on here remember UK asking IMF for loan?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on November 09, 2018, 11:28:29 PM
Behind the scenes, and this is all hypothetical, do you think SF are possibly talking to Corbyn, to push that a referendum doesn't take place? At the minute SF are playing a blinder by doing absolutely nothing with regards to Brexit. I can't see the referendum happening but its just a thought.  If Brexit goes through as planned, its a given for Corbyn that Labour wins the GE as it'll be a disaster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 10, 2018, 05:29:34 AM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 09, 2018, 11:28:29 PM
Behind the scenes, and this is all hypothetical, do you think SF are possibly talking to Corbyn, to push that a referendum doesn't take place? At the minute SF are playing a blinder by doing absolutely nothing with regards to Brexit. I can't see the referendum happening but its just a thought.  If Brexit goes through as planned, its a given for Corbyn that Labour wins the GE as it'll be a disaster.
Barnier told Corbyn that if Labour won a GE the deal could be changed. That is how sovereignty works.
I bet the end result is a schism in the Tory party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on November 10, 2018, 07:20:49 AM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 09, 2018, 11:28:29 PM
Behind the scenes, and this is all hypothetical, do you think SF are possibly talking to Corbyn, to push that a referendum doesn't take place? At the minute SF are playing a blinder by doing absolutely nothing with regards to Brexit. I can't see the referendum happening but its just a thought.  If Brexit goes through as planned, its a given for Corbyn that Labour wins the GE as it'll be a disaster.

It's certainly no given.....have you seen the Labour front bench? Dianne Abbott? .....ffs Russ Abbott would be better. Never underestimate the stupidity of the electorate......many can be swayed by a slogan/lie on the side of a bus.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 10, 2018, 10:29:15 AM
Quote from: God14 on November 09, 2018, 11:12:38 PM
Dye think? By my logic the committee will look at QE again and maintaining low interest rates to offset the economic hit.
Stating the obvious but the reason an independent committee commenced setting the rate was to avoid govt politising it in election year. Free from political /govt interference. Some analysts reckon UK GDP will get an 8 per cent hit. I can't see how the mood in the committee will be to increase rates which dampen investment and spending

Ever more reason to wait another 6-8 months I think

It might be necessary to try and shore up the huge drop that sterling will take.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: God14 on November 10, 2018, 11:02:19 AM
https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/09/new-blow-to-may-as-eu-leaders-demand-scrutiny-of-brexit-deal

I still think the no deal scenario is a serious possibility. Looks now like Barnier's negotiating team have to take any potential deal back to the EU27 for comment and approval. Could there be a few troublemakers in there with an agenda to stick the boot into the Brits? Surely some of them will have concerns...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 10, 2018, 11:05:34 AM
The truth is that nobody can predict what the outcome will be, it's probably best to ignore all of the background noise. I don't see any way that the DUP can come out of this looking good, the best result for them would be a no deal. The rational electorate will turn on them but their base vote will bizzarely consider it a success. That will be enough for them to claim succcess no matter the economic price. The north would become an economic wasteground but if it helps drive out nationalists and 'saves their precious union' they would be happy with that.

Any other deal logically speaking has to create a divide between mainland UK and the 6 counties and that would be the deal on which their own electorate would turn on them. I see this as being more likely as there are enough people in Westminster who would not want to committ economic suicide by crashing out without a deal. Despite all of the commentary and public utterances saying that 'no deal is better than a bad deal' I don't see any way that would be acceptable to UK public.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2018, 06:44:34 AM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/11/10/theresa-mays-brexit-plan-set-blocked-tory-backbenchers/

Theresa May's Brexit plan will be blocked by MPs even if she is able to "bounce" the Cabinet into signing it off, the Prime Minister has been warned.
Senior members of the Eurosceptic grouping of Tory backbenchers and the Democratic Unionist Party figures are  publicly uniting to insist they will vote against Mrs May's proposals unless she backs down.
Their intervention came as senior government figures warned that the deal would still fall in Parliament even if it were forced through a reluctant Cabinet this week. A defeat for Mrs May would be likely to spark a leadership challenge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 11, 2018, 08:20:36 AM
Would there not be enough Labour MPs to see it through if a rump of the Tories don't vote with her?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 11, 2018, 10:13:30 AM
The options for Labour are to either support the PM's deal purely to avoid a no deal scenario, or vote against her and get a hardline Brexiteer PM as her replacement.  Labour are all over the place so I think that the no deal scenario is increasing in likelihood  :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 12, 2018, 09:29:45 AM
I think there are 3 camps in the Tory party -
-No deal is ESG plus DUP
-Deal however flawed (Most of cabinet )
- Another referendum ( J Johnson and others)

God knows who wins

Meanwhile

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/12/brexit-plan-complete-shambles-uk-boss-of-thyssenkrupp-says

The whole thing is very sad.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 12, 2018, 10:40:14 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
Do they even have a majority?
And inflicting economic losses on voters is never advisable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 12, 2018, 11:28:15 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
That is one of the most delusional articles I have read in quite some time. Impressively way off the mark.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 12, 2018, 11:57:35 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 12, 2018, 11:28:15 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
That is one of the most delusional articles I have read in quite some time. Impressively way off the mark.
The big difference between Unionists and nationalists is that Nationalists will always know who they are. Boris Johnson recently said "f**k business" but he could as easily have said "f**k Northern Ireland" .Loyalty means nothing right now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 12, 2018, 12:18:14 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 12, 2018, 11:28:15 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
That is one of the most delusional articles I have read in quite some time. Impressively way off the mark.

It's everybody elses fault but there's. Why change the habit of a lifetime for Unionists like McNarry.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 12, 2018, 12:38:17 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 12, 2018, 12:18:14 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 12, 2018, 11:28:15 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
That is one of the most delusional articles I have read in quite some time. Impressively way off the mark.
For the first time in 400 years being British is a disadvantage. The DUP can't see that.
It's everybody elses fault but there's. Why change the habit of a lifetime for Unionists like McNarry.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on November 12, 2018, 12:44:54 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1112/1009881-eec-documents/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1112/1009881-eec-documents/)

Documents from 57-61 years ago refer to "Whitehall frustration with unionists sacrificing economic interests over political apprehensions."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 12, 2018, 01:25:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 12, 2018, 10:40:14 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
Do they even have a majority?
And inflicting economic losses on voters is never advisable.

No, they dont. But unionism recently has reverted to 1960. I'm enjoying their downfall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 12, 2018, 03:30:03 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 12, 2018, 01:25:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 12, 2018, 10:40:14 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
Do they even have a majority?
And inflicting economic losses on voters is never advisable.
Don't you mean 1690?

No, they dont. But unionism recently has reverted to 1960. I'm enjoying their downfall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 12, 2018, 03:31:53 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

You have to wonder what McNarry was thinking when he wrote that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 12, 2018, 03:55:26 PM
Guardian

"British Airways owner IAG has been seeking Spanish government support to continue its operations in the wake of a disorderly Brexit."

+ B Johnson reportedly said "f**k business"

For years Taigs were deemed superstitious, easily led, gullible and irrational. So lovely to see the DUP
wearing the mantle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 12, 2018, 04:29:37 PM
That last sentence sums up what appears to be their strategy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on November 12, 2018, 04:48:12 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 12, 2018, 11:28:15 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 10:32:42 AM
http://eamonnmallie.com/2018/11/northern-ireland-will-be-more-british-than-ever-post-brexit-by-david-mcnarry/

Unionists getting more triumphalist as the Brexit endgame edges closer.
That is one of the most delusional articles I have read in quite some time. Impressively way off the mark.

McNarry is a certified nutjob. The only person who gives that balloon any credence is Nolan... enough said  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:53:21 PM
Did ye expect McNarry to say anything different? Just another example of political bullshit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 05:42:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.

That's it in a nutshell. Be part of the process inside Westminster and become the bad guys, or stay out of it and watch the world burn.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 06:08:57 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 05:42:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.

That's it in a nutshell. Be part of the process inside Westminster and become the bad guys, or stay out of it and watch the world burn.

There'll always be a little Englander mentality. Surely they could call the tories/DUP out on their antics, and if they're so concerned about lgbt or Irish language, then go and highlight them where they can affect it most. Make their voices heard.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 06:28:40 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 06:08:57 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 05:42:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.

That's it in a nutshell. Be part of the process inside Westminster and become the bad guys, or stay out of it and watch the world burn.

There'll always be a little Englander mentality. Surely they could call the tories/DUP out on their antics, and if they're so concerned about lgbt or Irish language, then go and highlight them where they can affect it most. Make their voices heard.

What is the hangup about the abstentionism? All SF voters realise when they vote for their MP's that they won't be represented. Look at Corbyn's treatment about being anti-Semite or zionist. Now imagine what'd be said to the SF representatives especially on Brexit. Their voices wouldn't make a difference in Westminster, as the DUP's evidently doesn't either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 12, 2018, 07:26:32 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 06:28:40 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 06:08:57 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 05:42:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.

That's it in a nutshell. Be part of the process inside Westminster and become the bad guys, or stay out of it and watch the world burn.

There'll always be a little Englander mentality. Surely they could call the tories/DUP out on their antics, and if they're so concerned about lgbt or Irish language, then go and highlight them where they can affect it most. Make their voices heard.

What is the hangup about the abstentionism? All SF voters realise when they vote for their MP's that they won't be represented. Look at Corbyn's treatment about being anti-Semite or zionist. Now imagine what'd be said to the SF representatives especially on Brexit. Their voices wouldn't make a difference in Westminster, as the DUP's evidently doesn't either.

You realise the DUP are keeping the the Tory Government in power?
SF are pro Brexit. They want an extremely hard Brexit. They are prepared to sacrifice business, prosperity, growth etc for a UI or at worse complete chaos in NI. They will keep their coffers topped up with racketeering and illegal smuggling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 12, 2018, 07:29:18 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 12, 2018, 07:26:32 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 06:28:40 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 06:08:57 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 05:42:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.

That's it in a nutshell. Be part of the process inside Westminster and become the bad guys, or stay out of it and watch the world burn.

There'll always be a little Englander mentality. Surely they could call the tories/DUP out on their antics, and if they're so concerned about lgbt or Irish language, then go and highlight them where they can affect it most. Make their voices heard.

What is the hangup about the abstentionism? All SF voters realise when they vote for their MP's that they won't be represented. Look at Corbyn's treatment about being anti-Semite or zionist. Now imagine what'd be said to the SF representatives especially on Brexit. Their voices wouldn't make a difference in Westminster, as the DUP's evidently doesn't either.

You realise the DUP are keeping the the Tory Government in power?
SF are pro Brexit. They want an extremely hard Brexit. They are prepared to sacrifice business, prosperity, growth etc for a UI or at worse complete chaos in NI. They will keep their coffers topped up with racketeering and illegal smuggling.

?????????


https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/republic-of-ireland/sinn-fein-campaigning-vigorously-for-remain-vote-in-referendum-34770636.html

Stop embarrassing yourself. All you do here is shout Sinn Féin down all the live long day. Clear to see you've a chip on your shoulder. Are you an SDLP activist?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on November 12, 2018, 07:47:10 PM
Ah come on now they weren't campaigning anything close to "vigorously", they were totally ambivalent
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 07:57:05 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 12, 2018, 07:26:32 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 06:28:40 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 06:08:57 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 05:42:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.

That's it in a nutshell. Be part of the process inside Westminster and become the bad guys, or stay out of it and watch the world burn.

There'll always be a little Englander mentality. Surely they could call the tories/DUP out on their antics, and if they're so concerned about lgbt or Irish language, then go and highlight them where they can affect it most. Make their voices heard.

What is the hangup about the abstentionism? All SF voters realise when they vote for their MP's that they won't be represented. Look at Corbyn's treatment about being anti-Semite or zionist. Now imagine what'd be said to the SF representatives especially on Brexit. Their voices wouldn't make a difference in Westminster, as the DUP's evidently doesn't either.

You realise the DUP are keeping the the Tory Government in power?
SF are pro Brexit. They want an extremely hard Brexit. They are prepared to sacrifice business, prosperity, growth etc for a UI or at worse complete chaos in NI. They will keep their coffers topped up with racketeering and illegal smuggling.

Keeping them in power for how long? The leaked letter shows exactly how worried the Tories are about the DUP.

Don't understand how SF are involved in racketeering and illegal smuggling????
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on November 12, 2018, 08:04:29 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 06:08:57 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 05:42:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.

That's it in a nutshell. Be part of the process inside Westminster and become the bad guys, or stay out of it and watch the world burn.

There'll always be a little Englander mentality. Surely they could call the tories/DUP out on their antics, and if they're so concerned about lgbt or Irish language, then go and highlight them where they can affect it most. Make their voices heard.

SF want to break the link with England....not keep it going. Goes  against what they are about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 12, 2018, 08:04:47 PM
Is there legal smuggling????
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 12, 2018, 08:10:21 PM
Budgies
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 08:42:22 PM
Quote from: marty34 on November 12, 2018, 08:04:29 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 06:08:57 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 12, 2018, 05:42:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 12, 2018, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!

Thankfully they are not in Westminster.

Imagine them on the floor of Westminster criticising the Brexit process and trying to frustrate any decision making. The pro Brexit red top English papers like the Sun the Daily Mail and the Express would have a field day given their old connections with the IRA. It would only add to the little Englander mentality and harden attitudes even more over there. The best thing they can do is stay completely out of the process and watch it all unravel.

That's it in a nutshell. Be part of the process inside Westminster and become the bad guys, or stay out of it and watch the world burn.

There'll always be a little Englander mentality. Surely they could call the tories/DUP out on their antics, and if they're so concerned about lgbt or Irish language, then go and highlight them where they can affect it most. Make their voices heard.

SF want to break the link with England....not keep it going. Goes  against what they are about.

Northern Ireland and the Stormont assembly is British manufactured. It also recognises partition (and NI as part of the UK). Why do SF participate in that (well, did)?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 12, 2018, 09:17:48 PM
a suspicious mind might say to line their pockets...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 12, 2018, 09:27:02 PM
At least we can always depend on Sammy for a laugh.
https://twitter.com/josephmdurso/status/1060914264725245958
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 12, 2018, 10:52:42 PM
Joint RTÉ BBC programme now, with lots of people speaking over each other.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on November 12, 2018, 10:58:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 12, 2018, 10:52:42 PM
Joint RTÉ BBC programme now, with lots of people speaking over each other.
Nolan. Say no more.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Carmen Stateside on November 12, 2018, 11:15:54 PM
Can they not just kick Jim off. What a horrible man
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Samforever on November 12, 2018, 11:28:28 PM
Nolan  and Allister. What an ignorant combo. Hope RTE viewers see and appreciate what we have to endure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: paddyjohn on November 12, 2018, 11:39:20 PM
Jim Allister is a complete disgrace.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on November 12, 2018, 11:46:44 PM
Ben lowry, Jim Allister and some stuffy idiot tory sums up brexiteers. What a clusterfuck. All they needed was RDE and Seamy Bryson to put the cherry on top.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 13, 2018, 12:18:13 AM
Once I seen Jim Allister on the panel, it was fairly obvious it was going to be chaotic with loads of shouting back and forth. Nolan was very poor in how he chaired the debate, he made Claire Byrne look good when you contrasted the styles.

Very little emphasis was put on the poll results which was the only thing of any real interest. All of the rest of the show was just repeating old arguments that most people are just fed up of listening to at this stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 13, 2018, 06:56:48 AM
What were the poll results? For those of us who went to bed early.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 08:57:08 AM
 https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-historians-will-not-believe-sheer-ignorance-of-brexit-supporters-1.3695347

Karen Bradley, the actual secretary of state for Northern Ireland, said:"I freely admit that when I started this job, I didn't understand some of the deep-seated and deep-rooted issues that there are in Northern Ireland. I didn't understand things like when elections are fought, for example, in Northern Ireland – people who are nationalists don't vote for unionist parties and vice versa."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 13, 2018, 10:22:22 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 13, 2018, 12:18:13 AM
Once I seen Jim Allister on the panel, it was fairly obvious it was going to be chaotic with loads of shouting back and forth. Nolan was very poor in how he chaired the debate, he made Claire Byrne look good when you contrasted the styles.

Very little emphasis was put on the poll results which was the only thing of any real interest. All of the rest of the show was just repeating old arguments that most people are just fed up of listening to at this stage.


Mmmm... looking good is effortless for Claire.  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 13, 2018, 10:28:54 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!
SF's voters do not want them to swear allegiance to the Queen or take seats in a British Parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 13, 2018, 10:30:48 AM
Quote from: mouview on November 13, 2018, 10:22:22 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 13, 2018, 12:18:13 AM
Once I seen Jim Allister on the panel, it was fairly obvious it was going to be chaotic with loads of shouting back and forth. Nolan was very poor in how he chaired the debate, he made Claire Byrne look good when you contrasted the styles.

Very little emphasis was put on the poll results which was the only thing of any real interest. All of the rest of the show was just repeating old arguments that most people are just fed up of listening to at this stage.


Mmmm... looking good is effortless for Claire.  :)
Allister is the epitome of rudeness, thought Neal Richmond, Naomi Long and Dave Cullinanne were restrained and eloquent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 13, 2018, 10:50:03 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 08:57:08 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-historians-will-not-believe-sheer-ignorance-of-brexit-supporters-1.3695347

Karen Bradley, the actual secretary of state for Northern Ireland, said:"I freely admit that when I started this job, I didn't understand some of the deep-seated and deep-rooted issues that there are in Northern Ireland. I didn't understand things like when elections are fought, for example, in Northern Ireland – people who are nationalists don't vote for unionist parties and vice versa."

That can't be true!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 11:10:49 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 13, 2018, 10:50:03 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 08:57:08 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-historians-will-not-believe-sheer-ignorance-of-brexit-supporters-1.3695347

Karen Bradley, the actual secretary of state for Northern Ireland, said:"I freely admit that when I started this job, I didn't understand some of the deep-seated and deep-rooted issues that there are in Northern Ireland. I didn't understand things like when elections are fought, for example, in Northern Ireland – people who are nationalists don't vote for unionist parties and vice versa."

That can't be true!!

It's pathetic

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/karen-bradley-did-not-understand-voting-patterns-in-ni-37291076.html
https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/09/northern-ireland-secretary-i-didnt-know-people-who-are-nationalists-dont-vote-for-unionist-parties/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 11:12:38 AM
I know in recent years the Brits dump total eejits into the 6 Cos job but this one's a new low :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 11:26:01 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 11:12:38 AM
I know in recent years the Brits dump total eejits into the 6 Cos job but this one's a new low :-\
It shows the importance of NI in the Westminster scheme of things
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 13, 2018, 11:30:16 AM
it's been on the go for a while that story.

Sure ed balls told a story about blair taking the piss out of him by ringing him up to tell him he got the secretary of state job. That shows you what they think of us here. It's the naughty step for those politicians. She is worse than Brokenshire and I didn't think that was possible until now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 13, 2018, 12:36:40 PM
So we're basically down to 2 choices ... EU membership in all but name or no deal.

Interesting few days ahead!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 12:47:20 PM
Black Wednesday was 1992 . Sterling was forced out of the ERM

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Wednesday

The Tories lost their economic mojo and didn't get back in until 2011.
Brexit is going to be even worse for them. Imagine British Airways not knowing if they are going to be able to fly or not.
This is even more complex than senior hurling.

#Jaysus!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 13, 2018, 01:34:20 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 13, 2018, 10:28:54 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!
SF's voters do not want them to swear allegiance to the Queen or take seats in a British Parliament.

Is Stormont not a British parliament?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on November 13, 2018, 01:39:22 PM
All too handy take the money though! Sinn Fein voters vote for them cause its sinn fein; sinn fein could change policy on the morning; and they vote the same regardless!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:01:19 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 13, 2018, 01:34:20 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 13, 2018, 10:28:54 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!
SF's voters do not want them to swear allegiance to the Queen or take seats in a British Parliament.
If it is it's not very convincingly British

Is Stormont not a British parliament?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Chicago Hurling on November 13, 2018, 04:00:31 PM
Agreement reached?

https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1113/1010667-brexit-deal/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 13, 2018, 04:01:13 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 13, 2018, 01:34:20 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 13, 2018, 10:28:54 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 12, 2018, 04:08:34 PM
If SF were in any way concerned about the impact of brexit, why didn't they take their seats in Westminster?

Issues regarding anti-Irish/catholic attacks and Irish language had to be brought up by the Scottish parliament and that Welsh party recently. SF are the only ones able to speak out about the DUP/Tory deal and it's impact on brexit, so why the f**k aren't they doing it?!
SF's voters do not want them to swear allegiance to the Queen or take seats in a British Parliament.

Is Stormont not a British parliament?
No Oath
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:08:12 PM
And the last time I checked the map Stormont was in Ireland not Britain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 04:21:41 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:08:12 PM
And the last time I checked the map Stormont was in Ireland not Britain.

If Irish is thesis Unionist is antithesis
And it goes all the way to the colour of the benches in Stormont

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parliament_Buildings_(Northern_Ireland)
"Two separate chambers were provided in the finished parliamentary complex, the blue-benched rectangular House of Commons of Northern Ireland (green benches as at Westminster being considered inappropriate) and the red-benched smaller rectangular Senate of Northern Ireland"

They are pathetic
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 13, 2018, 04:23:27 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:08:12 PM
And the last time I checked the map Stormont was in Ireland not Britain.

Yes but it's a British government setup in Ireland. It recognises NI, a NI which is a part of the UK. Therefore, recognising partition. And since SF were actively involved in setting up The assembly at Stormont and running it, they too are recognising the British partition of Ireland.

Would taking their seats at Westminster be much worse than all that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 04:32:25 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 13, 2018, 04:23:27 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:08:12 PM
And the last time I checked the map Stormont was in Ireland not Britain.

Yes but it's a British government setup in Ireland. It recognises NI, a NI which is a part of the UK. Therefore, recognising partition. And since SF were actively involved in setting up The assembly at Stormont and running it, they too are recognising the British partition of Ireland.

Would taking their seats at Westminster be much worse than all that?
I think SF operate a form of constructive ambiguity regarding Stormont. If they took their seats in Hades it would all fall apart.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 04:46:15 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/13/cabinet-members-called-in-to-sign-off-mays-brexit-deal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:53:49 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 13, 2018, 04:23:27 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:08:12 PM
And the last time I checked the map Stormont was in Ireland not Britain.

Yes but it's a British government setup in Ireland. It recognises NI, a NI which is a part of the UK. Therefore, recognising partition. And since SF were actively involved in setting up The assembly at Stormont and running it, they too are recognising the British partition of Ireland.

As a majority of us voted for in 1998.
It's the Oath of Allegiance to the Monarch in Westminister that's their problem.
Anyway the excreta should be hitting the DUPUDA extractor if news reports on the text re avoiding a hard border are accurate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 05:17:49 PM

Tony Connelly‏Verified account @tconnellyRTE 

Latest: Statement from a spokesman for @simoncoveney

"Negotiations between the EU and U.K. on a Withdrawal Agreement are  ongoing and have not concluded. Negotiators are still engaged and a  number of issues are outstanding. We are not commenting further on leaks  in the media."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 08:53:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:53:49 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 13, 2018, 04:23:27 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:08:12 PM
And the last time I checked the map Stormont was in Ireland not Britain.

Yes but it's a British government setup in Ireland. It recognises NI, a NI which is a part of the UK. Therefore, recognising partition. And since SF were actively involved in setting up The assembly at Stormont and running it, they too are recognising the British partition of Ireland.

As a majority of us voted for in 1998.
It's the Oath of Allegiance to the Monarch in Westminister that's their problem.
Anyway the excreta should be hitting the DUPUDA extractor if news reports on the text re avoiding a hard border are accurate.
Go ndéana Dia trócaire orthu

https://youtu.be/InfXlZd2_IU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 13, 2018, 09:03:41 PM
The gammon outbreak of the DUP is a joy to behold at this moment in time!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on November 13, 2018, 09:25:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 13, 2018, 09:03:41 PM
The gammon outbreak of the DUP is a joy to behold at this moment in time!!
Arlene's statement complaining about NI having no representation in Brussels is ironic - NI currently has no political representation in NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 13, 2018, 09:35:30 PM
There is a lot of irony in pretty much every dup statement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 09:46:12 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 13, 2018, 09:35:30 PM
There is a lot of irony in pretty much every dup statement.
One that made me laugh was Arlene saying that Dublin representing NI firms inBrussels would not be good for them. The alternative is the DUP blowing up the economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 13, 2018, 09:52:57 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

No they didn't. Border farmers of all colours knew the dangers of Brexit and voted Remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 13, 2018, 10:20:52 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 13, 2018, 09:52:57 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

No they didn't. Border farmers of all colours knew the dangers of Brexit and voted Remain.

Not so, as the article above shows.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 13, 2018, 11:40:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

Can you put up the source for this assertion please.

The royal family are one of the biggest beneficiaries of the E.U. single farm payment raking in over £1 million per annum, I wonder how Lizzie voted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 13, 2018, 11:51:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

Nonsense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 14, 2018, 08:27:36 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

Completely clueless
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 08:35:24 AM
David Blevins
✔  @skydavidblevins 

BREAKING: DUP leader Arlene Foster is en route to London. She's told @SkyNews these are "worrying times", that she hopes to see the text today but is "not prepared" to see NI "cast adrift in the future."

Charles de Gaulle

Pour l'Angleterre il n'y a pas d'alliance qui tienne, ni de traité qui vaille ni le verite qui compte

For England there is no durable alliance, no treaty that lasts and no recognisable truth
The Unionists are going to learn this. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on November 14, 2018, 08:52:16 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

There was a guy in the audience, representing NI farmers, who spoke on that Nolan Byrne show the other night who made it fairly clear that they didn't support Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 14, 2018, 08:59:16 AM
Quote from: BennyHarp on November 14, 2018, 08:52:16 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

There was a guy in the audience, representing NI farmers, who spoke on that Nolan Byrne show the other night who made it fairly clear that they didn't support Brexit?
I am not sure what the figures are,but the only 2 protestant farmers I know here in Derry definitely did not vote for Brexit. So clearly it was not "to a man".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 14, 2018, 10:07:40 AM
I see that the Daily Mail has come out with front page headline in support of May's proposal.

Has she yet boxed clever?  The likes of the DUP, Rees Mogg and Boris are all lunatics who were never going to be happy.  So, if she knows her own cabinet well enough, allied with a media campaign that this is the best on offer she could get a Labour rump onside and throw Arlene and co. under the bus?  I am sure the spectre of a no deal will win some over.

Otherwise are we looking at a General election and a no deal, disorganized brexit?

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 10:13:06 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 14, 2018, 10:07:40 AM
I see that the Daily Mail has come out with front page headline in support of May's proposal.

Has she yet boxed clever?  The likes of the DUP, Rees Mogg and Boris are all lunatics who were never going to be happy.  So, if she knows her own cabinet well enough, allied with a media campaign that this is the best on offer she could get a Labour rump onside and throw Arlene and co. under the bus?  I am sure the spectre of a no deal will win some over.

Otherwise are we looking at a General election and a no deal, disorganized brexit?

/Jim.
Paul Dacre , the old editor, was a Brexit lunatic. The new editor is anti Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 14, 2018, 10:18:05 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 14, 2018, 10:07:40 AM
I see that the Daily Mail has come out with front page headline in support of May's proposal.

Has she yet boxed clever?  The likes of the DUP, Rees Mogg and Boris are all lunatics who were never going to be happy.  So, if she knows her own cabinet well enough, allied with a media campaign that this is the best on offer she could get a Labour rump onside and throw Arlene and co. under the bus?  I am sure the spectre of a no deal will win some over.

Otherwise are we looking at a General election and a no deal, disorganized brexit?

/Jim.

Rees Mogg stirring the shit it seems saying the Dublin will have a say in the running of NI, he's a little guttersnipe with a face you couldn't stop punching once you got started.

If only Jacob, if only.........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on November 14, 2018, 10:27:56 AM
Seamie's not happy. How that man's not done for hate crimes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 10:35:17 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 14, 2018, 10:18:05 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 14, 2018, 10:07:40 AM
I see that the Daily Mail has come out with front page headline in support of May's proposal.

Has she yet boxed clever?  The likes of the DUP, Rees Mogg and Boris are all lunatics who were never going to be happy.  So, if she knows her own cabinet well enough, allied with a media campaign that this is the best on offer she could get a Labour rump onside and throw Arlene and co. under the bus?  I am sure the spectre of a no deal will win some over.

Otherwise are we looking at a General election and a no deal, disorganized brexit?

/Jim.


Rees Mogg stirring the shit it seems saying the Dublin will have a say in the running of NI, he's a little guttersnipe with a face you couldn't stop punching once you got started.

If only Jacob, if only.........

If Dublin did run NI, industrial promotion would be better
Diplomatic support would be better
Road infrastructure could be more logical etc

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 14, 2018, 10:38:39 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 10:35:17 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 14, 2018, 10:18:05 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 14, 2018, 10:07:40 AM
I see that the Daily Mail has come out with front page headline in support of May's proposal.

Has she yet boxed clever?  The likes of the DUP, Rees Mogg and Boris are all lunatics who were never going to be happy.  So, if she knows her own cabinet well enough, allied with a media campaign that this is the best on offer she could get a Labour rump onside and throw Arlene and co. under the bus?  I am sure the spectre of a no deal will win some over.

Otherwise are we looking at a General election and a no deal, disorganized brexit?

/Jim.


If Dublin did run NI, industrial promotion would be better
Diplomatic support would be better
Road infrastructure could be more logical etc

Rees Mogg stirring the shit it seems saying the Dublin will have a say in the running of NI, he's a little guttersnipe with a face you couldn't stop punching once you got started.

If only Jacob, if only.........

Our road structure is logical, if you're a unionist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 14, 2018, 10:49:42 AM
I want to see Varadkar outside the Dáil holding a press conference welcoming our unionist brothers and sisters into a new economically linked Ireland, purely for maximum trolling effect.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:54:43 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 14, 2018, 10:49:42 AM
I want to see Varadkar outside the Dáil holding a press conference welcoming our unionist brothers and sisters into a new economically linked Ireland, purely for maximum trolling effect.

Some chance. Leo will do what his EU and British masters tell him to do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 11:00:20 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 14, 2018, 10:38:39 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 10:35:17 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 14, 2018, 10:18:05 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 14, 2018, 10:07:40 AM
I see that the Daily Mail has come out with front page headline in support of May's proposal.

Has she yet boxed clever?  The likes of the DUP, Rees Mogg and Boris are all lunatics who were never going to be happy.  So, if she knows her own cabinet well enough, allied with a media campaign that this is the best on offer she could get a Labour rump onside and throw Arlene and co. under the bus?  I am sure the spectre of a no deal will win some over.

Otherwise are we looking at a General election and a no deal, disorganized brexit?

/Jim.


If Dublin did run NI, industrial promotion would be better
Diplomatic support would be better
Road infrastructure could be more logical etc

Rees Mogg stirring the shit it seems saying the Dublin will have a say in the running of NI, he's a little guttersnipe with a face you couldn't stop punching once you got started.

If only Jacob, if only.........

Our road structure is logical, if you're a unionist.
But not for hurling. We need a hurling superhighway from East Cork via Kilkenny and Tipp to Ards and Antrim
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: stephenite on November 14, 2018, 11:06:23 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 13, 2018, 02:05:04 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/nov/13/northern-irish-farmers-brexit-enniskillen

Maguire, who owns and rents farmland and does not want to return to the old days when there was "nothing but trouble" on the border, said: "To be quite honest, nobody knows what's going on."

He fears that if tariffs are put on sheep, his sales market is dead. "The first thing that will go are the sheep. Seventy percent of them go south to be killed. If there's barriers there, the market goes," Maguire said.

For him, the approach of the DUP is unfathomable. The party does not represent border communities and is threatening the livelihoods of farmers on the border, he said. "The DUP are backing themselves into a corner. They are not going to agree unless it's their way or no way. They are holding the government to ransom," Maguire said.

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

Mods, can we ban for complete horseshit that is posted?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 14, 2018, 11:15:47 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:54:43 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 14, 2018, 10:49:42 AM
I want to see Varadkar outside the Dáil holding a press conference welcoming our unionist brothers and sisters into a new economically linked Ireland, purely for maximum trolling effect.

Some chance. Leo will do what his EU and British masters tell him to do.
Must really piss you off that the 26 Cos is a sovereign state and has 26 sovereign partners in Europe ;D
The Irish Government will say ad little as possible for a few days till the Brits sort themselves out/disintegrate
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 14, 2018, 11:17:24 AM
The EU unity is impressive, their negotiators are empowered whereas the conservative government and allies are a disparate babbling bunch. 

I see ex-taoiseach Aherne claimed that Barnier et al made a huge concession by offering a UK-wide customs arrangement, instead of a discrete backstop for the Irish border.
Is that so?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on November 14, 2018, 11:22:09 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:54:43 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 14, 2018, 10:49:42 AM
I want to see Varadkar outside the Dáil holding a press conference welcoming our unionist brothers and sisters into a new economically linked Ireland, purely for maximum trolling effect.

Some chance. Leo will do what his EU and British masters tell him to do.

Yes Leo has really pandered to the brits in the whole Brexit process..   ::) ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 11:23:01 AM
Quote from: Main Street on November 14, 2018, 11:17:24 AM
The EU unity is impressive, their negotiators are empowered whereas the conservative government and allies are a disparate babbling bunch. 

I see ex-taoiseach Aherne claimed that Barnier et al made a huge concession by offering a UK-wide customs arrangement, instead of a discrete backstop for the Irish border.
Is that so?
This fella says the opposite


Rupert Harrison @rbrharrison

Despite the furious ERG/DUP spin the reality is that TM has delivered a significant negotiating achievement over the last few weeks - holding out against a NI only
backstop and effectively forcing the EU to concede
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 11:30:37 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/14/dup-warns-may-over-brexit-deal-as-cabinet-prepares-for-showdown

Speaking on BBC Radio 4's Today programme, the DUP's chief whip at Westminster, Jeffrey Donaldson, said his party, which supports May in government, could not back the deal as it stands.
"This is not the right Brexit," he said. "It doesn't give the United Kingdom as a whole the opportunity to do free trade deals and to take control of its own future."

How would Jeffrey know? the DUP can't even run the economy in NI
And in a globalised world with a failing economic system how can any country "take control of its own future"
The DUP is like a cargo cult   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 14, 2018, 11:31:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 11:23:01 AM
Quote from: Main Street on November 14, 2018, 11:17:24 AM
The EU unity is impressive, their negotiators are empowered whereas the conservative government and allies are a disparate babbling bunch. 

I see ex-taoiseach Aherne claimed that Barnier et al made a huge concession by offering a UK-wide customs arrangement, instead of a discrete backstop for the Irish border.
Is that so?
This fella says the opposite


Rupert Harrison @rbrharrison

Despite the furious ERG/DUP spin the reality is that TM has delivered a significant negotiating achievement over the last few weeks - holding out against a NI only
backstop and effectively forcing the EU to concede
Eh?  That sounds like Rupert and Bertie are in total agreement not opposites.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 14, 2018, 12:24:47 PM
Quote from: Main Street on November 14, 2018, 11:17:24 AM
The EU unity is impressive, their negotiators are empowered whereas the conservative government and allies are a disparate babbling bunch. 

I see ex-taoiseach Aherne claimed that Barnier et al made a huge concession by offering a UK-wide customs arrangement, instead of a discrete backstop for the Irish border.
Is that so?

Is it so that it is a huge concession? Yes, because the all of the UK is now half in the EU without paying their way and without freedom of movement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 12:29:09 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 14, 2018, 11:15:47 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:54:43 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 14, 2018, 10:49:42 AM
I want to see Varadkar outside the Dáil holding a press conference welcoming our unionist brothers and sisters into a new economically linked Ireland, purely for maximum trolling effect.

Some chance. Leo will do what his EU and British masters tell him to do.
Must really piss you off that the 26 Cos is a sovereign state and has 26 sovereign partners in Europe ;D
The Irish Government will say ad little as possible for a few days till the Brits sort themselves out/disintegrate

You make it sound like Ireland are an equal partner in this 20-odd group. I wouldn't trust Europe any more than I'd trust the Brits. A country the size of Ireland, is fucked if they don't join the EU and fucked if they do. In reality, Ireland do what they're told by the EU. Ireland are linked to Britain in more ways that you think,so they do what they're told there too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 14, 2018, 12:34:08 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 12:29:09 PM
You make it sound like Ireland are an equal partner in this 20-odd group. I wouldn't trust Europe any more than I'd trust the Brits. A country the size of Ireland, is fucked if they don't join the EU and fucked if they do. In reality, Ireland do what they're told by the EU. Ireland are linked to Britain in more ways that you think,so they do what they're told there too.

Ireland is an equal partner in many ways. However, there are other countries there and the correct approach is to make allies.
One of Britain's failures in the EU was their Mé Féin approach, when on some of the issues of concern a bit of cooperation with others would have led to substantial change.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 14, 2018, 12:36:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 14, 2018, 12:24:47 PM
Quote from: Main Street on November 14, 2018, 11:17:24 AM
The EU unity is impressive, their negotiators are empowered whereas the conservative government and allies are a disparate babbling bunch. 

I see ex-taoiseach Aherne claimed that Barnier et al made a huge concession by offering a UK-wide customs arrangement, instead of a discrete backstop for the Irish border.
Is that so?

Is it so that it is a huge concession? Yes, because the all of the UK is now half in the EU without paying their way and without freedom of movement.
Don't the financial terms of the exit still stand, Britain will still have pay billions but with no say in the matter?  How will the freedom of movement in the UK for citizens of the EU countries be affected?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 12:45:05 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 14, 2018, 12:34:08 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 12:29:09 PM
You make it sound like Ireland are an equal partner in this 20-odd group. I wouldn't trust Europe any more than I'd trust the Brits. A country the size of Ireland, is fucked if they don't join the EU and fucked if they do. In reality, Ireland do what they're told by the EU. Ireland are linked to Britain in more ways that you think,so they do what they're told there too.

Ireland is an equal partner in many ways. However, there are other countries there and the correct approach is to make allies.
One of Britain's failures in the EU was their Mé Féin approach, when on some of the issues of concern a bit of cooperation with others would have led to substantial change.

Britain have an ILA?  :o

Britain overrun the world once. They couldn't bare being equal, a bit like unionists can't bear to be considered as equals with Nationalists in the North.

As time goes on, I'm convinced Brexit was pushed from the very top in Britain. It was meant to happen, and those at the top of the tree who pushed it, will gain most from it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 14, 2018, 01:00:10 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 12:45:05 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 14, 2018, 12:34:08 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 12:29:09 PM
You make it sound like Ireland are an equal partner in this 20-odd group. I wouldn't trust Europe any more than I'd trust the Brits. A country the size of Ireland, is fucked if they don't join the EU and fucked if they do. In reality, Ireland do what they're told by the EU. Ireland are linked to Britain in more ways that you think,so they do what they're told there too.

Ireland is an equal partner in many ways. However, there are other countries there and the correct approach is to make allies.
One of Britain's failures in the EU was their Mé Féin approach, when on some of the issues of concern a bit of cooperation with others would have led to substantial change.

Britain have an ILA?  :o

Britain overrun the world once. They couldn't bare being equal, a bit like unionists can't bear to be considered as equals with Nationalists in the North.

As time goes on, I'm convinced Brexit was pushed from the very top in Britain. It was meant to happen, and those at the top of the tree who pushed it, will gain most from it.

The minute that Rupert Murdoch pushed for it across his vast media outlets it stood a chance of getting through.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 14, 2018, 01:44:40 PM
The DUP have overplayed their hand. Right from the start when the backed leave thinking it would never happen. If they had have had even quiet talks with the Irish Government they could have found mutual ground and a "deal" that suits both parties and more importantly one they could claim as a victory. They've now painted themselves into a corner.
Indeed SF the same backing remain when they weren't entirely sure what to do, they now aren't able to actually fight and help mitigate Brexit's disastrous outcome.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 02:24:48 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...
That assumes the deal gets through Westminster
There are an awful lot of plates spinning today
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 14, 2018, 02:37:45 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 02:24:48 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...
That assumes the deal gets through Westminster
There are an awful lot of plates spinning today

I can't see any deal getting through Westminster, it's too divided.

The current deal won't appease the Hardline Brexiteers nor the Remainers and TBH I can't see how they can ever get anything over the line.

May might not see the end of the week and then it is either up to the Tories to look within for a leader, but who in their right mind would take up that poison chalice and then its GE time and even Labour with Corbyn seemingly trying to ride half a dozen Brexit opinions could actually fail to score into an open goal.....

Britain is couped.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 14, 2018, 02:44:13 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...

Every possible outcome is now in play. From this deal, to No Deal, to remaining in the EU, to a second referendum. There doesn't appear to be the numbers in Parliament for any outcome to be voted through. 

IF May can pull this deal off, and IF we can get our politicians to implement it correctly the North might just become one of the most prosperous regions in the UK.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 02:49:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 14, 2018, 02:44:13 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...

Every possible outcome is now in play. From this deal, to No Deal, to remaining in the EU, to a second referendum. There doesn't appear to be the numbers in Parliament for any outcome to be voted through. 

IF May can pull this deal off, and IF we can get our politicians to implement it correctly the North might just become one of the most prosperous regions in the UK.
Would you shtop

NI is nowhere near SE England and never will be

https://www.espon.eu/export/sites/default/Images/Publications/MapsOfTheMonth/Map_Sept_2011/mom_sept_2011-large_legend-final_pict.jpg
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 14, 2018, 02:52:56 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 13, 2018, 04:23:27 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 13, 2018, 04:08:12 PM
And the last time I checked the map Stormont was in Ireland not Britain.

Yes but it's a British government setup in Ireland. It recognises NI, a NI which is a part of the UK. Therefore, recognising partition. And since SF were actively involved in setting up The assembly at Stormont and running it, they too are recognising the British partition of Ireland.

Would taking their seats at Westminster be much worse than all that?
Personally I have no desire to see Stormont up and running, I consider it a sop to unionists. However if it is need to give some form of local engagement and oversight I would tolerate it for the greater good.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 03:56:39 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 14, 2018, 02:44:13 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...

Every possible outcome is now in play. From this deal, to No Deal, to remaining in the EU, to a second referendum. There doesn't appear to be the numbers in Parliament for any outcome to be voted through. 

IF May can pull this deal off, and IF we can get our politicians to implement it correctly the North might just become one of the most prosperous regions in the UK.

Last bit, I thought the same. Try telling that to a deluded lot in the DUP though.

If it happened, after decades of Britain's policies helping to fcuk the north up in many ways, resulting in it becoming a basket case, now brexit could reverse that.

A lot of football to be played yet though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on November 14, 2018, 04:22:29 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 03:56:39 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 14, 2018, 02:44:13 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...

Every possible outcome is now in play. From this deal, to No Deal, to remaining in the EU, to a second referendum. There doesn't appear to be the numbers in Parliament for any outcome to be voted through. 

IF May can pull this deal off, and IF we can get our politicians to implement it correctly the North might just become one of the most prosperous regions in the UK.

Last bit, I thought the same. Try telling that to a deluded lot in the DUP though.

If it happened, after decades of Britain's policies helping to fcuk the north up in many ways, resulting in it becoming a basket case, now brexit could reverse that.

A lot of football to be played yet though.

Can someone explain or post a link about how this makes the North some kind of golden egg? I'm no economics whizz so I need help.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 14, 2018, 04:43:11 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 14, 2018, 04:22:29 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 03:56:39 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 14, 2018, 02:44:13 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...

Every possible outcome is now in play. From this deal, to No Deal, to remaining in the EU, to a second referendum. There doesn't appear to be the numbers in Parliament for any outcome to be voted through. 

IF May can pull this deal off, and IF we can get our politicians to implement it correctly the North might just become one of the most prosperous regions in the UK.

Last bit, I thought the same. Try telling that to a deluded lot in the DUP though.

If it happened, after decades of Britain's policies helping to fcuk the north up in many ways, resulting in it becoming a basket case, now brexit could reverse that.

A lot of football to be played yet though.

Can someone explain or post a link about how this makes the North some kind of golden egg? I'm no economics whizz so I need help.
There is a lot that remains to be seen and explained Donald, but the theory would be that if the North is more aligned with the EU than the rest of UK, then it is reasonable to assume that it would be more advantageous for UK based businesses to have some form of operations in the North. Likewise the other way round. The north may give the EU, UK and global businesses a chance to have a foot in both camps. Like I said, in theory. There is a lot to happen yet, and uncertainty is definitely not good for business.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on November 14, 2018, 04:51:29 PM
The surreal gibberish idea that Brexit always was is pointed up by two outcomes of this deal.

1.   Scottish nationalists, not surprisingly, are saying that if NI can get a sweetheart deal with the EU, they bloody well want the same deal. Meanwhile, the DUP rejects out of hand this deal that could have provided an economic miracle for the "province".

2.   Brexiteers are complaining that the deal gives away sovereignty. These are the people who said they wanted Brexit because they had no sovereignty to give away.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 14, 2018, 05:25:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 02:49:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 14, 2018, 02:44:13 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...

Every possible outcome is now in play. From this deal, to No Deal, to remaining in the EU, to a second referendum. There doesn't appear to be the numbers in Parliament for any outcome to be voted through. 

IF May can pull this deal off, and IF we can get our politicians to implement it correctly the North might just become one of the most prosperous regions in the UK.
Would you shtop

NI is nowhere near SE England and never will be

https://www.espon.eu/export/sites/default/Images/Publications/MapsOfTheMonth/Map_Sept_2011/mom_sept_2011-large_legend-final_pict.jpg

Never said it was. Don't get your point. But keep up geography hobby.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2018, 05:28:05 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 14, 2018, 04:22:29 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 03:56:39 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 14, 2018, 02:44:13 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 14, 2018, 02:18:17 PM
This looks like it's going to be a slap in the face for the DUP. Currently reactions seem to show that just the North stays in the common market. SNP jealous, Arlene raging. The North has now been effectively split from the UK.
The writing is on the wall, how can any future UK government justify the block grant for a non constituent UK country?
The will of the UK voter to retain any interest in any part of the island of Ireland will surely be tested and questions will soon be asked by Labour as to why they pay 10 billion quid annually to keep the place afloat...

Every possible outcome is now in play. From this deal, to No Deal, to remaining in the EU, to a second referendum. There doesn't appear to be the numbers in Parliament for any outcome to be voted through. 

IF May can pull this deal off, and IF we can get our politicians to implement it correctly the North might just become one of the most prosperous regions in the UK.

Last bit, I thought the same. Try telling that to a deluded lot in the DUP though.

If it happened, after decades of Britain's policies helping to fcuk the north up in many ways, resulting in it becoming a basket case, now brexit could reverse that.

A lot of football to be played yet though.

Can someone explain or post a link about how this makes the North some kind of golden egg? I'm no economics whizz so I need help.
NI would be in the single mkt/customs union and Scotland etc would not
But NI had people like Séamie Bryson so effects would cancel each other out.

Otherwise the Ulster Fry could become a crypto currency.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 14, 2018, 07:27:29 PM
Quote from: Hardy on November 14, 2018, 04:51:29 PM
The surreal gibberish idea that Brexit always was is pointed up by two outcomes of this deal.

1.   Scottish nationalists, not surprisingly, are saying that if NI can get a sweetheart deal with the EU, they bloody well want the same deal. Meanwhile, the DUP rejects out of hand this deal that could have provided an economic miracle for the "province".

2.   Brexiteers are complaining that the deal gives away sovereignty. These are the people who said they wanted Brexit because they had no sovereignty to give away.
It's the dream/illusion of sovereignty post-Brexit, which is being whittled away.
Britain has not the sovereignty to exit "any backstop arrangement that would be in place to prevent a hard Irish border, a key demand of many Tory Brexiters"   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 14, 2018, 07:29:46 PM
Brit Cabinet agree to draft deal!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 14, 2018, 07:36:07 PM
Sammy Wilson on Channel 4 News looks like he's staring down the barrel of a cannon. Talk about a rabbit caught in the headlights.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on November 14, 2018, 07:43:41 PM
Arlene saying she wants to see the text!! It's 580 pages ffs. When she couldn't be arsed reading 3 and 4 pagers on RHI when she was Economy Minister, can't see her spending much time leafing through this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 14, 2018, 07:47:44 PM
Sammy Wilson spitting feathers on tv and letting the cat out of the bag by using the old 'no deal is better than a bad deal' phrase. Which is really what they yearn for despite their public utterances to the contrary.

Ignoring the fact that economically it's not a bad deal at all for the north given the 'foot in both camp' scenario. Nicola Sturgeon even complained about preferential treatment for the north but Sammy see's it completely differently. Even managing to bring the IRA into the conversation.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 14, 2018, 07:48:30 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on November 14, 2018, 07:36:07 PM
Sammy Wilson on Channel 4 News looks like he's staring down the barrel of a cannon. Talk about a rabbit caught in the headlights.
Sure who'd have thought the EU and Brits would put the interests of 499,857,000 people ahead of the 143,000 DUPUDA voters😆😅
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 14, 2018, 07:50:13 PM
Tough Parliament vote ahead now. To paraphrase George Hamilton, A nation holds its Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 14, 2018, 07:56:36 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 14, 2018, 07:47:44 PM
Sammy Wilson spitting feathers on tv and letting the cat out of the bag by using the old 'no deal is better than a bad deal' phrase. Which is really what they yearn for despite their public utterances to the contrary.

Ignoring the fact that economically it's not a bad deal at all for the north given the 'foot in both camp' scenario. Nicola Sturgeon even complained about preferential treatment for the north but Sammy see's it completely differently. Even managing to bring the IRA into the conversation.

There is a delicious irony that after years of saving Ulster from sodomy, the DUP have taken a massive one up the hole.  They propped May up long enough to do a deal.  Now she will play the spectre of no deal to get some new allies and as cabinet says "make tough decisions about Northern Ireland".

"The Precious Union" indeed.

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 14, 2018, 08:11:59 PM
Long way to go with this but fair play to our Teresa she's resilient if nothing else many would have folded long before now they'll have to drag her out of No. 10!

Would love to be a fly on the wall for this meeting with Arlene!!

All being said there's no way this is going through Parliament... interesting few days ahead!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on November 14, 2018, 08:21:57 PM
Here are the NI specifics: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/756375/14_November_Technical_Explanatory_Note_Arts_6-8_Northern_Ireland_Protocol.pdf

It does look like we are in a great position.  We get the best of both worlds.
It could do wonders for our economy, yet the DUP are spitting feathers.  I guess it shows their true colours!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on November 14, 2018, 08:52:13 PM
Seamie Bryson's twitter melt down the last 24 hour is priceless.

There will be a lot of anger at the Donaghadee army council meeting tonight. No Surrender.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 14, 2018, 08:57:41 PM
When will the vote in the House of Commons take place?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on November 14, 2018, 09:00:45 PM
10 December has been provisionally penciled in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: podge on November 14, 2018, 09:17:25 PM
So the common view is that there is no real chance of this going through Westminster. The Brexiters aren't happy, the remainers aren't happy, the DUP aren't happy.

The only ones happy are the Shinners; happy because the DUP aren't happy. But they won't be there to vote anyway.

So what does a no deal Brexit mean for the movement of goods and people at the Irish border ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 14, 2018, 09:21:12 PM
Quote from: podge on November 14, 2018, 09:17:25 PM
So the common view is that there is no real chance of this going through Westminster. The Brexiters aren't happy, the remainers aren't happy, the DUP aren't happy.

The only ones happy are the Shinners; happy because the DUP aren't happy. But they won't be there to vote anyway.

So what does a no deal Brexit mean for the movement of goods and people at the Irish border ?

Hassle and cost!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: giveherlong on November 14, 2018, 09:41:59 PM
Sinn Fein will hardly go parliament to vote this through?
Will it come down to this small of numbers
Could be an option?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 14, 2018, 09:50:00 PM
Quote from: giveherlong on November 14, 2018, 09:41:59 PM
Sinn Fein will hardly go parliament to vote this through?
Will it come down to this small of numbers
Could be an option?

Not a chance.

Worth to point out this is only the withdrawal agreement, which if passed in parliament then will lead onto the negotiations of the future trading arrangements. This is only the end of the beginning. There's (conservative estimate) another 2 years of this.
Can't see it getting though parliament. Anyone's guess what happens next.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 14, 2018, 09:58:33 PM
So has everyone read the 580 pages? Is there a link to this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ambrose on November 14, 2018, 10:02:49 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 14, 2018, 09:50:00 PM
Can't see it getting though parliament. Anyone's guess what happens next.

Bottom line is someone is going to have to call it, no deal or a second referendum.

If someone gets into power that calls for a second referendum there is no doubt MPs will Back it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 14, 2018, 10:05:34 PM
Quote from: giveherlong on November 14, 2018, 09:41:59 PM
Sinn Fein will hardly go parliament to vote this through?
Will it come down to this small of numbers
Could be an option?
Show some leadership and actually do something to make a difference in people's lives??

Some chance!!

They're too busy keeping quiet in the vein hope it will get them closer to a United Ireland... damn the consequences for the people of NI and the Republic who may suffer in the time being !!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:12:55 PM
I think this charade has clearly shown that all the DUP care about is waving a union flag and calling themselves British, and to hell with the economy, jobs, livelihoods etc in the north. And that SF don't care diddly squat about anything either, other than trying to get a United Ireland.

Two useless shower of cnuts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: podge on November 14, 2018, 10:21:29 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:12:55 PM
I think this charade has clearly shown that all the DUP care about is waving a union flag and calling themselves British, and to hell with the economy, jobs, livelihoods etc in the north. And that SF don't care diddly squat about anything either, other than trying to get a United Ireland.

Two useless shower of cnuts.

100pc correct.  If the unionists aren't even prepared to explore the potential positives of this for the North before immediately shouting it down, then it shows them up for what they are. As for SF, they are just happy that the DUP are getting shafted (in the DUPs own eyes that is )
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on November 14, 2018, 10:44:19 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:12:55 PM
I think this charade has clearly shown that all the DUP care about is waving a union flag and calling themselves British, and to hell with the economy, jobs, livelihoods etc in the north. And that SF don't care diddly squat about anything either, other than trying to get a United Ireland.

Two useless shower of cnuts.

This is completely laughable.SF are saying diddly squat because their opinion doesn't matter. The DUP with 10MP's don't make a button of difference. Jesus christ the amount of bs spouted on here is ridiculous.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 14, 2018, 10:52:57 PM
Peston reckons leadership challenge by the end of the week!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 15, 2018, 04:13:18 AM
Anyone else think it's funny that the day the future of the north is up in the air in London the wee six plays the rest of the country in Dublin?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 07:03:31 AM
I think this is on the ball

Iain McCluskey

@IainAMcCluskey

Agree with my friend
@JolyonMaugham
about how Brexit plays out from here. PM needs snookers to get deal through parliament. Won't happen even though cabinet will pass it today.
Chain of events only ends in GE or 2nd ref.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 08:26:30 AM
Shaleish Vara Northern Ireland minister has resigned.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 08:50:26 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:12:55 PM
I think this charade has clearly shown that all the DUP care about is waving a union flag and calling themselves British, and to hell with the economy, jobs, livelihoods etc in the north. And that SF don't care diddly squat about anything either, other than trying to get a United Ireland.

Two useless shower of cnuts.
If you look at Arlene Foster's twitter feed it is in large part« look how British we are » but it is
a very Enid Blyton mix of royal family and wars.

Happy birthday to HRH the prince of Wales
On this day the IRA murdered
Parliament buildings Stormont lit poppy red
Enniskillen tonight #proud #Armistice
A very informative night at Ardess Parish Centre hearing about Private William McBride who lived in Irvinestown
Portadown Re-Dedication of the war memorial .
On this day the IRA murdered
Watch The Queen's speech at last night's State Banquet
At 8pm watch The Duke and Duchess of Sussex welcome the British and Australian veterans
A five-year-old boy couldn't resist touching Prince Harry's beard during a school visit in Australia
A fanfare, performed by State Trumpeters of the Household Cavalry, is played, followed by the National Anthem. #RoyalWedding

It's basically frozen in time. It's backward compared to identity in Scotland and Wales.
They don't know who they are. They need to distance themselves from the Tory party and they can't because there is nothing else for them to hold onto.





Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 08:52:12 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 08:26:30 AM
Shaleish Vara Northern Ireland minister has resigned.
Je said the referendum was a convincing victory iirc at 52:48
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 08:59:29 AM
Raab gone too. Jesus, Mary and St. Joseph.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 15, 2018, 09:02:39 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 08:26:30 AM
Shaleish Vara Northern Ireland minister has resigned.

That's another huge loss to the wee six   ::)

Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 08:50:26 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:12:55 PM
I think this charade has clearly shown that all the DUP care about is waving a union flag and calling themselves British, and to hell with the economy, jobs, livelihoods etc in the north. And that SF don't care diddly squat about anything either, other than trying to get a United Ireland.

Two useless shower of cnuts.
If you look at Arlene Foster's twitter feed it is in large part« look how British we are » but it is
a very Enid Blyton mix of royal family and wars.

Happy birthday to HRH the prince of Wales
On this day the IRA murdered
Parliament buildings Stormont lit poppy red
Enniskillen tonight #proud #Armistice
A very informative night at Ardess Parish Centre hearing about Private William McBride who lived in Irvinestown
Portadown Re-Dedication of the war memorial .
On this day the IRA murdered
Watch The Queen's speech at last night's State Banquet
At 8pm watch The Duke and Duchess of Sussex welcome the British and Australian veterans
A five-year-old boy couldn't resist touching Prince Harry's beard during a school visit in Australia
A fanfare, performed by State Trumpeters of the Household Cavalry, is played, followed by the National Anthem. #RoyalWedding

It's basically frozen in time. It's backward compared to identity in Scotland and Wales.
They don't know who they are. They need to distance themselves from the Tory party and they can't because there is nothing else for them to hold onto.



The DUP take great delight in the fact that Norn Iron is reliant on a hand out from Westminster, they wear it like a badge of honour and if you look at what was going on in the RHI debacle it was fine to suck as much money out of Westminster and issues only arose when they found out that wasn't the case.
It has always been so.

The problems with Brexit is that a very large international light has been shone on this little place because of it and May's hung parliament and the DUP are now being seen to a wider audience what we always knew about them, arrogant, right wing, religious nut jobs incapable of compromise even when the economics are in their favour.

I wonder if Rees Mogg, Boris and co were offered a hard brexit on the proviso that the major sticking point, the British border in Ireland would no longer be an issue in a 32 county Ireland, would they take it!!!

At the same time May is gone, this deal is gone and won't see the light of day in Parliament and it's back to a GE, hard brexit or no Brexit IMO.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 09:14:39 AM
"That's another huge loss to the wee six"

That's what I thought myself...never heard of the fellow. :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 15, 2018, 09:18:57 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 09:14:39 AM
"That's another huge loss to the wee six"

That's what I thought myself...never heard of the fellow. :-\

Was an easy way out from the worst job in politics
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 15, 2018, 09:32:15 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 08:26:30 AM
Shaleish Vara Northern Ireland minister has resigned.

Not joking here, but who?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 15, 2018, 09:49:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 08:50:26 AM
They don't know who they are. They need to distance themselves from the Tory party and they can't because there is nothing else for them to hold onto.

They are being very careful to personalize the Brexit draft to Theresa May. 
They can't have the narrative that the Tories fcuked them over because they would have to distance themselves then.

Also once Brexit is dealt with, the will be payback from the scrutiny the have gotten in the UK.  They will need Stormont back because unlike previous direct rule, there is not conflict to distract legislators.   There are too many British politicians aware of social policy divergence in Northern Ireland now.  Unless they get back into the balance of power I would forsee SSM, abortion and language reform.  Last vestiges of Sunday closures will be ended etc.

Ironically a dose of "britishness" could make the North more in tune with Nationalist outlook than DUP outlook.

All speculation of course but it's hard to see anything but that the DUP played badly during the moment in the sun.

/Jim.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 15, 2018, 10:02:39 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

I think it's more of an issue that Labour have said this doesn't meet the 6 tests.  May has proven a wily political operator but it's hard to see her picking up the numbers now.

She can't do it with a few Labour strays, she needed them as a party to support or even abstain.

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:04:24 AM
If it was soccer everyone would know that Brexit United were shite at the back and had no composure up front.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 15, 2018, 10:05:03 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 15, 2018, 09:49:41 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 08:50:26 AM
They don't know who they are. They need to distance themselves from the Tory party and they can't because there is nothing else for them to hold onto.

They are being very careful to personalize the Brexit draft to Theresa May. 
They can't have the narrative that the Tories fcuked them over because they would have to distance themselves then.

Also once Brexit is dealt with, the will be payback from the scrutiny the have gotten in the UK.  They will need Stormont back because unlike previous direct rule, there is not conflict to distract legislators.   There are too many British politicians aware of social policy divergence in Northern Ireland now.  Unless they get back into the balance of power I would forsee SSM, abortion and language reform.  Last vestiges of Sunday closures will be ended etc.

Ironically a dose of "britishness" could make the North more in tune with Nationalist outlook than DUP outlook.

All speculation of course but it's hard to see anything but that the DUP played badly during the moment in the sun.

/Jim.
Agree with all that. Re. the bit in bold. Thats why I think the Sinners wont go back to Stormont no matter what now. Even the MPs opposed to May will know the mess the DUP caused, they are toxic and there will be hell to pay for it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on November 15, 2018, 10:08:10 AM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 14, 2018, 10:44:19 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 14, 2018, 10:12:55 PM
I think this charade has clearly shown that all the DUP care about is waving a union flag and calling themselves British, and to hell with the economy, jobs, livelihoods etc in the north. And that SF don't care diddly squat about anything either, other than trying to get a United Ireland.

Two useless shower of cnuts.

This is completely laughable.SF are saying diddly squat because their opinion doesn't matter. The DUP with 10MP's don't make a button of difference. Jesus christ the amount of bs spouted on here is ridiculous.

Did you not know, everything that has ever went wrong anywhere is the fault of SF, come on man.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on November 15, 2018, 10:08:13 AM
The odious Esther McVey has now also resigned. What a shitshow!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 15, 2018, 10:30:14 AM
Hilary Benn labour party was interviewed by our Pat on Newstalk,  suggested that the solution is for Britain to have a Norway like deal with the EU  but conveniently leaving  the elephant in the room out of the discussion, Norway is a member country of the EEA  and all member countries of the EEA have to comply with open movement in the EU/EEA zone, along with complying with a wide range of EU economic and legal regulations. But would have control of fishing.
There is no version of a Brexit treaty that would gain a majority in parliament.
What's likely to happen now?
parliament rejects the Brexit plan? Theresa May resigns?  'blood, blood and fire' in the Conservative party?  and eventually a general election. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 10:47:41 AM
If there is a Westminster GE can SF and SDLP please put aside their differences and not run against each other in South and North Belfast?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JoG2 on November 15, 2018, 11:09:59 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

Any word from David Cameron?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on November 15, 2018, 11:12:22 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 10:47:41 AM
If there is a Westminster GE can SF and SDLP please put aside their differences and not run against each other in South and North Belfast?
Really think the shinners alliance and sdlp need to put remain candidates in north Belfast, south Belfast, and close our Fermanagh as well.
It's essential that the Dup 10 seats are reduced to send a signal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 15, 2018, 11:22:47 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 10:47:41 AM
If there is a Westminster GE can SF and SDLP please put aside their differences and not run against each other in South and North Belfast?

I think electoral pacts don't help.
Anyway, SF have their tails up from their last electoral success and they've spent years registering voters so unlikely to agree a pact.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 15, 2018, 11:37:09 AM
Are we looking at a situation now where it fails to get thru parliament, UK crashes out with no deal, automatic hard border and DUP claiming victory - a futile victory, but in their small minds as glorious as the battle of the Boyne all over again, with Dublin and Brussels reeling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:00:45 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?
They have to destroy the Eurosceptics but God knows how long that will take. The party also has too many mediocrities with inflated views of themselves.
It reminds me of Galway hurling 1995-2011
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on November 15, 2018, 12:06:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 15, 2018, 11:22:47 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 10:47:41 AM
If there is a Westminster GE can SF and SDLP please put aside their differences and not run against each other in South and North Belfast?

I think electoral pacts don't help.
Anyway, SF have their tails up from their last electoral success and they've spent years registering voters so unlikely to agree a pact.
Trailer not being divisive but their vote fell in the general elections and the dup moved to 10 seats,
The shinners need to assist Hermin in north down because she is a clear remainer ( if I recall she was originally a lecturer in European law in Queens in the late 80s)
South Belfast went to little, Robinson did long , north Belfast remained with Dodds,
If the 3 remainer  parties stepped out for 3 neutral candidates it would be seen as doing a great service to their community .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 12:10:02 PM
Quote from: naka on November 15, 2018, 12:06:23 PM
If the 3 remainer  parties stepped out for 3 neutral candidates it would be seen as doing a great service to their community .

They should support an anti Brexit candidate from the business community so that no party really get an advantage from standing aside.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county « 
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 15, 2018, 12:26:55 PM
Michael Gove being offered Defence against the dark arts.... sorry, Brexit secretary job.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:37:39 PM
Say it isn't passed by parliament at the first attempt. They have to figure out a way forward. It is a country of 66 million people. They may not need Brexit but they do need a viable plan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:46:58 PM

@DAaronovitch
·
Nov 14
It never ceases to amaze me that the voters of Northern Ireland, who voted to Remain in 2016, are represented either by the Total War Brexiteers of the DUP or the Absentee-on-purpose-and-therefore-useless Sinn Fein. As Trump would say, sad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 15, 2018, 12:54:42 PM
Quote from: naka on November 15, 2018, 12:06:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 15, 2018, 11:22:47 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 10:47:41 AM
If there is a Westminster GE can SF and SDLP please put aside their differences and not run against each other in South and North Belfast?

I think electoral pacts don't help.
Anyway, SF have their tails up from their last electoral success and they've spent years registering voters so unlikely to agree a pact.
Trailer not being divisive but their vote fell in the general elections and the dup moved to 10 seats,
The shinners need to assist Hermin in north down because she is a clear remainer ( if I recall she was originally a lecturer in European law in Queens in the late 80s)
South Belfast went to little, Robinson did long , north Belfast remained with Dodds,
If the 3 remainer  parties stepped out for 3 neutral candidates it would be seen as doing a great service to their community .

I totally agree. And trust me I am no fan of SF, but I can't see SF stepping aside for and SDLP candidate or Alliance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on November 15, 2018, 01:09:48 PM
There has been a lot of whooping and hollering from nationalists and republicans, and indeed sundry others [not so much on here but on SM generally] about the Dup getting egg on their face [laughable and richly deserved as that is] and that there is an inevitability about this process leading to a UI.

I would caution anyone to get too cockahoop about any of the outcomes of Brexit as regards how it will affect the north. The outworkings of any scenario - no deal, hard deal, soft deal or remain - are far too complicated to predict how this may pan out with regard to reunification. Any or all of these could lead to a UI becoming more likely but could equally cement NI's place in the UK. The results of this may not be seen for many years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 15, 2018, 01:13:14 PM
Quote from: Keyser soze on November 15, 2018, 01:09:48 PM
There has been a lot of whooping and hollering from nationalists and republicans, and indeed sundry others [not so much on here but on SM generally] about the Dup getting egg on their face [laughable and richly deserved as that is] and that there is an inevitability about this process leading to a UI.

I would caution anyone to get too cockahoop about any of the outcomes of Brexit as regards how it will affect the north. The outworkings of any scenario - no deal, hard deal, soft deal or remain - are far too complicated to predict how this may pan out with regard to reunification. Any or all of these could lead to a UI becoming more likely but could equally cement NI's place in the UK. The results of this may not be seen for many years.

Good post. There is a lot more hurling to be played.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on November 15, 2018, 01:23:10 PM
QuoteBrexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Finally - Brexit makes sense to me  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 01:25:31 PM
Today I have a dose of the flu so I had to stay at home. I had a few Minutes to read about Brexit

Brexit 14 Nov
Sardonic old Ken Clarke had the best last line today: "I wish the prime minister well in obtaining a majority for some course of action that is in the national interest."

John Harris

@johnharris1969

The Tory Party is breaking Britain, & in the process, it is breaking itself. The gravity of this gets lost in the social media age, but this is as historic as politics gets in peacetime.

Steve Analyst

@EmporersNewC
·
2h

Dear PM,

The negotiated technical details of the deal do not match the vague political slogans you've been using.

Therefore I resign.


David Allen Green

@davidallengreen

Replying to
@davidallengreen
and
@JohnnyPixels
They should have supported transparency and accountability when it mattered.

They have only got themselves to blame for where government policy is now.

They have got the Brexit they deserve.



Gary Morgan

@garyballboy
·
7m

Replying to
@johnharris1969
irony is that the constituency that declares the union precious will be its inevitable demolisher
David Allen Green

@davidallengreen
·
7s

Dominic Raab, a solicitor, has spent months negotiating an 500 highly complex legal instrument...and *then* resigns?

The fool.

Tom Hamilton

@thhamilton

What if - just hear me out here - what if Theresa May's Brexit deal is both a bad deal and the best possible deal?

David Allen Green

@davidallengreen
·
2m

Not Magna Carta, not the Bill of Rights, nor the Acts of Union.

The Good Friday Agreement is now the foundational document of the UK constitution, to which any other instrument must yield.

https://mobile.twitter.com/hhesterm/status/1062969834844098561

David Allen Green

@davidallengreen
·
18m

Like many lawyers, this ain't the first 500 page legal document.

Any comments at this stage, even after the first read-through, by *anybody* will still be superficial.

Too much to digest too quickly.

Jess Phillips

@jessphillips
·
5m

We've got to find a way to be kind in our communities as Brexit unravels. We mustn't think that the incivility on here is playing out on our streets, and we should do all we can to stop that. My constituents don't all agree but manage discourse well. We should all try.



Anna Soubry MP

@Anna_Soubry
·
40m

Raab's resignation marks the end of PMs Withdrawal Agreement. This is v serious the PM will clearly be considering her position. My own view is that we need a Govt of National Unity and we need it now.


Robert Harris

@Robert___Harris
·
8m

No group of politicians has done more damage to this country than the 50 or so hardline Tory Brexiteers. They have infected the UK with their poison, concealed their real aims, evaded all responsibility, & now knife their own leader for failing to deliver their fantasy

an Birrell

@ianbirrell
·
2m

Even if this is true - and it is not entirely correct since they did participate in the discussions - they knew their role in providing cover for what has turned out to be, inevitably, a hopeless deal. It does not excuse their mendacity
Quote Tweet
Andrew Neil

@afneil
I think the truth is, strange as it may seem, that he didn't negotiate it, nor did David Davis before him. This is an Agreement largely cooked in the Cabinet Office/Downing Street.

Will Hutton

@williamnhutton
·
Nov 14

Every member of the Labour party should be shamed that the most cogent argument v. Mrs May's deal is from Jo Johnson. Keir Starmer would make it if he could. But his leader's lack of leadership and europhobe instincts block him. A tragic disgrace that he leads this great party.

suzanne moore liked


Irvine Welsh

@IrvineWelsh
·
4m

I love the way that political commentators go on in doom-laden tones about how 'serious' cabinet resignations are. The public knows from experience that you simply send in the next set of inept, overprivileged, self-serving wankers.

Like there's a shortage of them in politics.


Simon Kuper

@KuperSimon
·
13m

Watching the Brexiters savage real existing Brexit may be the funniest thing I have seen in British politics in my lifetime. Brexit surely died today



David Allen Green

@davidallengreen
·
2m

Not a single politician who clapped and cheered when the Prime Minister sent the Article 50 notification has so far supported the Withdrawal Agreement, the direct and natural consequence of that premature notification.

Not one.

Labour's Luciana Berger says the deal is not in the national interest. A YouGov poll shows 63% of people opposed, and 64% in favour of a people's vote.
May suggests she is surprised, since the 500-page text of the deal was only published last night.

Labour's Phil Wilson asks May if she can say, "hand on heart", that this deal is better than what the UK has now.
May says she firmly believes the UK's best days are ahead.
UPDATE: This is from Labour's Pat McFadden.
Pat McFadden
(@patmcfaddenmp)
The most telling reply of the day - the tacit admission that this deal makes us worse off. https://t.co/MaPrMpmIfW



Lionel Barber

@lionelbarber
·
25m

First the attack on experts, now the onslaught on the civil service for betraying the will of the people.  Reality is that Brexiters promised fantasy land of easy exit and instant free trade deals....‪#Brexit‬ ‪#Raabsignation‬

robert shrimsley

@robertshrimsley
·
1h

Wrote a month ago that Brexiteers were now the  greatest threat to Brexit. Feels even more true now

Tom Wright

@thomaswright08

Waking up to extraordinary news from London. Five ministers resign over the Brexit deal, May's government in crisis, pound tumbling, and general chaos about what happens now.

David Allen Green

@davidallengreen
·
42s

After all this noise and drama is over, there is on a table the draft Withdrawal Agreement, offering the EU's terms.

Either that is agreed or it is not.

UK politicians venting frustration and dissatisfaction does not change that brute fact.


Rory Bremner

@rorybremner

Vote Leave founders left before the vote. Farage the day after. Boris, Gove, Leadsom bottled leadership race, Davis quit, Boris quit, Baker quit and now Raab. To be fair, we still have those giants Chris Grayling & Liam Fox in Cabinet.


Misha Glenny

@MishaGlenny
·
2m

Fox still believes that mighty free-trade zone between the UK, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, based on shared values, still a possibility. Throw in a bucket of chlorinated chicken and this could be the answer to our prayers.

Lionel Barber liked


David Aaronovitch

@DAaronovitch
·
Nov 14

It never ceases to amaze me that the voters of Northern Ireland, who voted to Remain in 2016, are represented either by the Total War Brexiteers of the DUP or the Absentee-on-purpose-and-therefore-useless Sinn Fein. As Trump would say, sad.



Lionel Laurent

@LionelRALaurent
·
1h

Theresa May still peddling the line that a second referendum is what happens in banana republics. She calls it a "go back and think again" vote. I love the idea of quiet reflection being seen as more toxic to British politics than clear self-harm.

Tim Atkin liked


Damon Evans

@damocrat
·
22h

Gammon woman at Leave Means Leave protest being interviewed on LBC a minute ago.

"There will be riots and civil war if we don't get our Brexit!"

Imagine hating the EU so much that you're prepared to raze your country to ground to leave it. These people are f**king imbeciles.


Alex Andreou

@sturdyAlex

Remainers must be v careful not to adopt hard Brexiter narrative that May struck a bad deal. There's no magical good hard Brexit. The PM is actually right: her deal is as good as hard Brexit gets. The issue is not her deal; the issue is that what Leave promised is undeliverable.

Ken Clarke

@MrKennethClarke
·
20h

Nigel Farage is the worst politician in history.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-11-15/theresa-may-s-brexit-deal-is-not-the-answer?utm_content=brexit&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&cmpid%3D=socialflow-facebook-brexit&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic

The terms of May's deal prove the folly of the whole endeavor. Support for Brexit in the referendum of 2016 was narrow; for months, emerging details about what quitting the EU would mean have been changing minds. May and her cabinet have kept going regardless. This sleepwalking to disaster needs to end. Parliament should reject the plan, and, with or without May as prime minister, press for a second referendum to reverse this historic error.


Few dispute that May's deal would damage the economy, in particular by removing services (by far the country's biggest economic sector) from Europe's single market. It would also burden businesses of all kinds with persistent uncertainty, by leaving longer-term trading arrangements with Europe unsettled. To justify these and other losses, Brexit supporters had hoped for greater control over the country's affairs — but the deal provides the opposite. Even limited membership of the single market, which the agreement includes, involves EU control across a wide range of policy — and after March next year, Britain would lose its say in what those policies should be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 01:36:30 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.
Same here. I don't think he is the man for now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on November 15, 2018, 01:47:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 01:36:30 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.
Same here. I don't think he is the man for now
Concur with you and Franko on this. I wouldn't be a fan of radical socialism but I think he inherently is decent, but I also believe he is massively out of his depth when it comes to being in touch with popular opinion. If the likes of David Milliband was leading Labour now I think they would win the next GE - people are still massively fearful of Corbyn and don't believe he is a safe pair of hands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 01:53:43 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.

I'd be fairly much of the same view in relation to Corbyn. He is in politics for all the right reasons but is he the man that is going to guard against the economic catastrophe that would ensue follwoing a no deal? I don't think so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sheugh Water on November 15, 2018, 02:08:00 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 01:53:43 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.

I'd be fairly much of the same view in relation to Corbyn. He is in politics for all the right reasons but is he the man that is going to guard against the economic catastrophe that would ensue follwoing a no deal? I don't think so.

All we need to know about Corbyn is that he doesn't care at all about Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 02:12:00 PM
Mogg now stating that he has no interest in being the leader. Not a bit of wonder! He doesn't want the responsibility of actually having to put his name to anything.

Like so many hard line Brexiteer's he is just another imperialist fantasist who still see's the UK as a superpower. Yet has no solutions to offer any solutions himself other than to express outrage.

These hard Tory Brexiteers and DUPers have been getting round the clock media coverage over the last couple of days and have whipped up some of the public into an outrage. They are still trying to sell falsehoods and lies by insinuating that a much better deal could have been obtained from the EU. It's easy to be a hurler on the ditch like Mogg, Johnson and Farage but then run away and abdicate yourself of any responsibility for the mess that ensues. I actually feel a degree of sympathy for Theresa May who is in an impossible position when the real architects of this whole mess are in fact the aforementioned trio.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on November 15, 2018, 02:16:27 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 15, 2018, 02:08:00 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 01:53:43 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.

I'd be fairly much of the same view in relation to Corbyn. He is in politics for all the right reasons but is he the man that is going to guard against the economic catastrophe that would ensue follwoing a no deal? I don't think so.

All we need to know about Corbyn is that he doesn't care at all about Ireland

Are you drinking that water!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 15, 2018, 02:16:50 PM
I'm still of the opinion that there will not be a Brexit.

That would however require an electorate who could differentiate their own best interest from that of their elected representatives.

That's always been a tough ask.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 02:19:23 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/NewtonEmerson/status/1062437124077690880
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 02:21:58 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 15, 2018, 02:16:50 PM
I'm still of the opinion that there will not be a Brexit.

That would however require an electorate who could differentiate their own best interest from that of their elected representatives.

That's always been a tough ask.
I would say it was a 3 way choice last night - deal/no deal/stay
But today deal looks dead in the water so it is no deal/ stay
There is a lot of politics to come
No deal is lunatic
And st Patrick's day is a good bit away
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on November 15, 2018, 02:29:52 PM
QuoteDavid Allen Green

@davidallengreen
·
18m

Like many lawyers, this ain't the first 500 page legal document.

Any comments at this stage, even after the first read-through, by *anybody* will still be superficial.

Too much to digest too quickly
.

Not for Jamie Bryson. He has now read it twice and has moved onto gathering an army.  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 15, 2018, 02:42:22 PM
A 2nd referendum is most likely.
A GE is unlikely - due to the fixed term parliament act 2/3rds of MPs must vote a GE and Conservatives are unlikely to do that.
Changing the Leader of the Tory party ain't going to solve anything either. Even if someone like Rees-Mogg were elected (unlikely) Parliament won't allow a No-Deal Brexit. Therefore another vote - next summer is most likely.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sheugh Water on November 15, 2018, 02:43:24 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on November 15, 2018, 02:16:27 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 15, 2018, 02:08:00 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 01:53:43 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.

I'd be fairly much of the same view in relation to Corbyn. He is in politics for all the right reasons but is he the man that is going to guard against the economic catastrophe that would ensue follwoing a no deal? I don't think so.

All we need to know about Corbyn is that he doesn't care at all about Ireland

Are you drinking that water!

Prove otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on November 15, 2018, 02:43:55 PM
Brexit = Poochie.

Except this time the writers are refusing to kill Poochie off.

Worst episode in British politics EVER.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on November 15, 2018, 02:47:58 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 15, 2018, 02:43:24 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on November 15, 2018, 02:16:27 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 15, 2018, 02:08:00 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 01:53:43 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.

I'd be fairly much of the same view in relation to Corbyn. He is in politics for all the right reasons but is he the man that is going to guard against the economic catastrophe that would ensue follwoing a no deal? I don't think so.

All we need to know about Corbyn is that he doesn't care at all about Ireland

Are you drinking that water!

Prove otherwise.
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 15, 2018, 02:43:24 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on November 15, 2018, 02:16:27 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 15, 2018, 02:08:00 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 01:53:43 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 15, 2018, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 12:12:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 15, 2018, 11:39:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 10:00:41 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 09:52:07 AM
The Brexit minister Raab has resigned (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-46219495).
It is rather alarming that he is using NI as an excuse, rather than his own stupidity.

The Tory party is going to tear itself apart

But what's going to fill the vacuum? Impossible to see it being Labour under Corbyn. Will a new centre-right group emerge?

According to Luciana Berger MP ,a new poll suggests 63% want a second vote. Corbyn doesn't. If he gets in the way he might be shafted. Labour would walk a GE.

Brexit as a process is like the « new GAA manager for a struggling county «
model. New hope, some of it unrealistic builds up. There might be an O Byrne cup win. Eventually the model meets reality. A hammering in Croke Park.

Would have agreed with this a few months back but now I'm not so sure.  Since he won the leadership, every fibre of me is willing Corbyn to do well as I feel he is a decent man.  But I now get the feeling that he's happy to let the UK go to ruin with a no deal Brexit so he can step in and rebuild it his way.  I'm afraid that's not something I could support.

And like I say, I started out as a fan.

I'd be fairly much of the same view in relation to Corbyn. He is in politics for all the right reasons but is he the man that is going to guard against the economic catastrophe that would ensue follwoing a no deal? I don't think so.

All we need to know about Corbyn is that he doesn't care at all about Ireland

Are you drinking that water!

Prove otherwise.

Prove he doesn't care.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on November 15, 2018, 02:55:43 PM
Get your souvenir Brexit mugs!

(https://scontent-dub4-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/46174849_2119208351475176_86387550557569024_n.jpg?_nc_cat=1&_nc_ht=scontent-dub4-1.xx&oh=f2d9549e8a0c6502167dfebe4fc60bed&oe=5C6D4E4B)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 03:14:50 PM
Brexit mugs, blue passports and Brexit memorative 50p coins. Throw a free pair of 'precious union' underwear in as a bonus.  That should be enough to keep the DUP and the hard Brexiteers happy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 03:19:08 PM
Brits meet real world and can't handle it ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 15, 2018, 03:41:36 PM
There better not be any trouble at this NI v ROI match or I'll be pissed off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 15, 2018, 03:45:47 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 15, 2018, 03:41:36 PM
There better not be any trouble at this NI v ROI match or I'll be pissed off.

Or the next Derry v Donegal match.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on November 15, 2018, 03:56:01 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 15, 2018, 03:41:36 PM
There better not be any trouble at this NI v ROI match or I'll be pissed off.

Wheres it at? The huns wouldn't have the balls to start trouble in Dublin. Maybe an isolated GAA pitch on the way up the road
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 04:01:13 PM

sillygirl
@silygirl99
Replying to
@mikenesbittni
and
@ElaineYoung94
TM just made another mistake in House of Commons. she called Sammy Wilson an "honorable gentleman "....she mustn't know him too long...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 04:02:00 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on November 15, 2018, 03:56:01 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 15, 2018, 03:41:36 PM
There better not be any trouble at this NI v ROI match or I'll be pissed off.

Wheres it at? The huns wouldn't have the balls to start trouble in Dublin. Maybe an isolated GAA pitch on the way up the road

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B9tatN3UTJk

I'm sure there will be a few yobs attracted to this fixture tonight and not for footballing reasons, wouldn't want to be on a Translink train this evening anyway.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 04:19:51 PM
This quote from Robert Harris just about sums it all up:

'No group of politicians has done more damage to this country than the 50 or so hardline Tory Brexiteers. They have infected the UK with their poison, concealed their real aims, evaded all responsibility, & now knife their own leader for failing to deliver their fantasy.'

I would also add to that a few media moguls with close ties to the Tory party. Let history be the judge of it. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 04:40:05 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 04:19:51 PM
This quote from Robert Harris just about sums it all up:

'No group of politicians has done more damage to this country than the 50 or so hardline Tory Brexiteers. They have infected the UK with their poison, concealed their real aims, evaded all responsibility, & now knife their own leader for failing to deliver their fantasy.'

I would also add to that a few media moguls with close ties to the Tory party. Let history be the judge of it.
England basically got led down the garden path. For 2 and a half years. It is really incredible.
And the DUP was offered sweets by a man in a car wearing a union jack bowler hat. The DUP got into the car without telling its parents.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 05:05:49 PM
They couldnt tell them.
Them cnuts' parents died in 1690.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 15, 2018, 05:09:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 15, 2018, 04:19:51 PM
This quote from Robert Harris just about sums it all up:

'No group of politicians has done more damage to this country than the 50 or so hardline Tory Brexiteers. They have infected the UK with their poison, concealed their real aims, evaded all responsibility, & now knife their own leader for failing to deliver their fantasy.'

Eloquently put
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on November 15, 2018, 05:10:35 PM
Theresa May Conference.

It is going to be either her resignation or she will call another vote on brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on November 15, 2018, 05:25:45 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on November 15, 2018, 03:56:01 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on November 15, 2018, 03:41:36 PM
There better not be any trouble at this NI v ROI match or I'll be pissed off.

Wheres it at? The huns wouldn't have the balls to start trouble in Dublin. Maybe an isolated GAA pitch on the way up the road
Pic going about fb of one with a parachute regiment flag. Scumbags
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on November 15, 2018, 05:43:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

BBC NI journalist Conor MacAuley reporting on twitter that the Ulster Farmers Union has cautiously welcomed the deal, saying it would like further clarification but believes the document now on the table "would secure NI's existing agricultural trading relationships". 
Doesn't stack up with the view above.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 05:47:40 PM
May sticking to her guns.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 05:50:03 PM
Quote from: Rois on November 15, 2018, 05:43:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

BBC NI journalist Conor MacAuley reporting on twitter that the Ulster Farmers Union has cautiously welcomed the deal, saying it would like further clarification but believes the document now on the table "would secure NI's existing agricultural trading relationships". 
Doesn't stack up with the view above.
The deal is excellent for NI but England doesn't seem to want the deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 05:57:54 PM
Neither does Scotland

https://www.gov.scot/news/brexit-deal/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 06:24:45 PM
62% of Scots voted to stay in the EU.
If they could only get 51% of them to vote for Independence......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on November 15, 2018, 07:31:28 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 06:24:45 PM
62% of Scots voted to stay in the EU.
If they could only get 51% of them to vote for Independence......

If there was a vote today I'd say they could...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 15, 2018, 07:31:44 PM
Quote from: lurganblue on November 15, 2018, 02:29:52 PM
QuoteDavid Allen Green

@davidallengreen
·
18m

Like many lawyers, this ain't the first 500 page legal document.

Any comments at this stage, even after the first read-through, by *anybody* will still be superficial.

Too much to digest too quickly
.

Not for Jamie Bryson. He has now read it twice and has moved onto gathering an army.  ;)

Or the politics A Level students here
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 15, 2018, 07:36:13 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/dup-conservatives-emails-civil-servants-brexit-deal-confidence-supply-agreement-a8633896.html

Civil servants told to stop including DUP in Brexit emails as partnership with Conservatives crumbles

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 15, 2018, 07:44:30 PM
Quote from: Rois on November 15, 2018, 05:43:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

BBC NI journalist Conor MacAuley reporting on twitter that the Ulster Farmers Union has cautiously welcomed the deal, saying it would like further clarification but believes the document now on the table "would secure NI's existing agricultural trading relationships". 
Doesn't stack up with the view above.

UFU asked for a remain vote. Don't get the point. Are you suggesting that farmers would follow what the UFU campaigned for? Protestant farmers overwhelmingly voted leave.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 15, 2018, 07:49:21 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 15, 2018, 07:44:30 PM
Quote from: Rois on November 15, 2018, 05:43:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

BBC NI journalist Conor MacAuley reporting on twitter that the Ulster Farmers Union has cautiously welcomed the deal, saying it would like further clarification but believes the document now on the table "would secure NI's existing agricultural trading relationships". 
Doesn't stack up with the view above.

UFU asked for a remain vote. Don't get the point. Are you suggesting that farmers would follow what the UFU campaigned for? Protestant farmers overwhelmingly voted leave.

To a man!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 15, 2018, 08:07:05 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 15, 2018, 07:49:21 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 15, 2018, 07:44:30 PM
Quote from: Rois on November 15, 2018, 05:43:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

BBC NI journalist Conor MacAuley reporting on twitter that the Ulster Farmers Union has cautiously welcomed the deal, saying it would like further clarification but believes the document now on the table "would secure NI's existing agricultural trading relationships". 
Doesn't stack up with the view above.

UFU asked for a remain vote. Don't get the point. Are you suggesting that farmers would follow what the UFU campaigned for? Protestant farmers overwhelmingly voted leave.

To a man!

My point being; Farming and in particular Dairy farming has underwent a tough few years. Dairy farmers have looked for someone, something to blame. The EU provided a perfect bogeyman, what with their EU directives. The DUP campaigned for a leave vote and they followed like sheep.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 08:37:20 PM
Has underGONE!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on November 15, 2018, 08:47:16 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 15, 2018, 07:44:30 PM
Quote from: Rois on November 15, 2018, 05:43:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

BBC NI journalist Conor MacAuley reporting on twitter that the Ulster Farmers Union has cautiously welcomed the deal, saying it would like further clarification but believes the document now on the table "would secure NI's existing agricultural trading relationships". 
Doesn't stack up with the view above.

UFU asked for a remain vote. Don't get the point. Are you suggesting that farmers would follow what the UFU campaigned for? Protestant farmers overwhelmingly voted leave.
You said Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. Isn't the UFU a largely Protestant organisation (certainly the farmers in my family are not in it due to its historical makeup). So I'm thinking at least a few are Protestant, especially at the top. But you know better how everyone voted  ???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on November 15, 2018, 09:15:25 PM
May certainly is determined
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 15, 2018, 10:05:08 PM
Quote from: Rois on November 15, 2018, 08:47:16 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 15, 2018, 07:44:30 PM
Quote from: Rois on November 15, 2018, 05:43:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 13, 2018, 08:59:17 PM

Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. They hate the "red tape" that the EU enforces in return for subsidies. They think leaving the EU will remove this. Boy are they in for a shock.

BBC NI journalist Conor MacAuley reporting on twitter that the Ulster Farmers Union has cautiously welcomed the deal, saying it would like further clarification but believes the document now on the table "would secure NI's existing agricultural trading relationships". 
Doesn't stack up with the view above.

UFU asked for a remain vote. Don't get the point. Are you suggesting that farmers would follow what the UFU campaigned for? Protestant farmers overwhelmingly voted leave.
You said Protestant Farmers to a man voted leave. Isn't the UFU a largely Protestant organisation (certainly the farmers in my family are not in it due to its historical makeup). So I'm thinking at least a few are Protestant, especially at the top. But you know better how everyone voted  ???

You can't how everyone voted. But the voting figures make clear that a lot of people in rural areas, many of them surely the family of farmers, voted Leave in the referendum. This was largely motivated by prejudice rather than a rational analysis of the decision. I think the impression was that UFU did not campaign effectively for Remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 15, 2018, 10:42:35 PM
Quote from: Minder on November 15, 2018, 09:15:25 PM
May certainly is determined

Well, she can't back down now, even if the whole place is going to hell in a handcart.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 11:00:06 PM
Primetime any good? I assume Brexit was on the agenda. Ironically enough, I have BBC but not RTÉ. Wee Jeffrey on The View at the moment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on November 15, 2018, 11:31:50 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 11:00:06 PM
Primetime any good? I assume Brexit was on the agenda. Ironically enough, I have BBC but not RTÉ. Wee Jeffrey on The View at the moment.

Mark destroyed wee Jeff. Interestingly an ex president of the UFU says the DUP are out of line with farmers needs and opinions.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 15, 2018, 11:59:39 PM
Quote from: GJL on November 15, 2018, 11:31:50 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 11:00:06 PM
Primetime any good? I assume Brexit was on the agenda. Ironically enough, I have BBC but not RTÉ. Wee Jeffrey on The View at the moment.

Mark destroyed wee Jeff. Interestingly an ex president of the UFU says the DUP are out of line with farmers needs and opinions.

Carruthers is a savage. He smells spin a mile off and goes straight for the jugular. Add jeffrey to his list of casulties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 16, 2018, 12:26:59 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 15, 2018, 12:54:42 PM
Quote from: naka on November 15, 2018, 12:06:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 15, 2018, 11:22:47 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 15, 2018, 10:47:41 AM
If there is a Westminster GE can SF and SDLP please put aside their differences and not run against each other in South and North Belfast?

I think electoral pacts don't help.
Anyway, SF have their tails up from their last electoral success and they've spent years registering voters so unlikely to agree a pact.
Trailer not being divisive but their vote fell in the general elections and the dup moved to 10 seats,
The shinners need to assist Hermin in north down because she is a clear remainer ( if I recall she was originally a lecturer in European law in Queens in the late 80s)
South Belfast went to little, Robinson did long , north Belfast remained with Dodds,
If the 3 remainer  parties stepped out for 3 neutral candidates it would be seen as doing a great service to their community .

I totally agree. And trust me I am no fan of SF, but I can't see SF stepping aside for and SDLP candidate or Alliance.
SF don't care about seats, they play the long game its about building a base and it works.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on November 16, 2018, 12:32:55 AM
My OH was at the NI Food & Drink Assoc dinner tonight and was introduced to wee Jeffrey who was there before The View on BBC. He was introduced by Pat Catney, SDLP MLA, whom Jeffrey admonished in a humorous way for giving him abuse on Twitter - wee Jeff was laughing at it.  Apparently he turned down a glass of wine during the drinks reception because he was on the programme later. Jeff was directly petitioned by a leading business person from the stage (Brian Irwin from Irwin Bakery) to accept the deal. And still went on to tv to patronise the poor stupid misled people he had been sitting with less than an hr earlier.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 12:40:13 AM
Quote from: Rois on November 16, 2018, 12:32:55 AM
My OH was at the NI Food & Drink Assoc dinner tonight and was introduced to wee Jeffrey who was there before The View on BBC. He was introduced by Pat Catney, SDLP MLA, whom Jeffrey admonished in a humorous way for giving him abuse on Twitter - wee Jeff was laughing at it.  Apparently he turned down a glass of wine during the drinks reception because he was on the programme later. Jeff was directly petitioned by a leading business person from the stage (Brian Irwin from Irwin Bakery) to accept the deal. And still went on to tv to patronise the poor stupid misled people he had been sitting with less than an hr earlier.

Used to work for them myself. They seem to be thriving, which is nice to see in a local company. I wonder what Brian's view of Brexit would be. He'd be from the unionist tradition but business people tend to be less doctrinaire and more pragmatic. Irwin's does a lot of cross-border business, I know they used to own McCaldin's bakery in Monaghan and they worked closely with Neville's bakery in Dublin to deliver to Dunnes in the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 12:44:25 AM
QuoteDraft Brexit deal better than no deal, say NI business leaders (https://www.irishtimes.com/business/draft-brexit-deal-better-than-no-deal-say-ni-business-leaders-1.3699379)
Ulster Farmers' Union cautiously behind agreement

The UK's draft EU withdrawal agreement "may not be perfect" but it is "vastly preferable" to a "no deal" Brexit, according to the chairman of one of the North's largest business organisations.

Brian Irwin, the chair of the Northern Ireland Food and Drink Association (NIFDA), said the organisation welcomed the UK agreement because it was a "positive development" in the ongoing Brexit negotiations. The group's members directly employ 22,000 people.

"We would be hopeful that this will enable more substantive talks around our future trading relationship with the EU," said Mr Irwin who is also the chairman of Portadown-based Irwin's Bakery which employs 400 people.

Brexit was the main topic of conversation at the NIFDA's annual dinner on Thursday night in Belfast.

Mr Irwin said that no one in the organisation was in any doubt that "a no deal outcome would be disastrous for Northern Ireland, particularly the agri-food sector".

Mr Irwin said: "We simply could not absorb increased customs, tariffs and regulatory costs on trade between Northern Ireland and the EU.

"Whilst this agreement may not be perfect, and further clarification on certain aspects will be required, it is vastly preferable to a no deal scenario and offers us an effective insurance policy in the interim period until a new trading relationship is agreed. A UK-wide solution that avoids a hard border and allows Northern Irish firms frictionless access to markets in Britain, Republic of Ireland, and the European Union offers our members the best chance of surviving in a post-Brexit world."

Farmers
Meanwhile the Ulster Farmers' Union (UFU) said it also "cautiously" welcomes the UK's draft agreement but it believes overall it is "not ideal". The UFU position will be viewed as significant because the group has traditionally been close to the unionist communities.

The president of the UFU, Ivor Ferguson said, "The situation remains very fluid and we are reviewing the document in detail. Ultimately, we would like a UK-wide solution - full stop. However, this agreement does provide an insurance policy to prevent a no deal outcome, which would be disastrous for farm businesses and the economy in Northern Ireland."

Mr Ferguson said the UFU has always believed that any deal "must allow the agriculture industry free and frictionless trade with the EU".

"Agri-food is the cornerstone of the Northern Ireland economy and any significant barriers to trade between NI and EU member states, NI and the Republic of Ireland, or NI and Great Britain would have a major impact," he added.

Meanwhile the Newsletter editorial (https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/opinion/the-defeat-of-the-eu-withdrawal-deal-is-the-first-imperative-1-8708050) is against the deal (and true to Brexiteer form they have no proposal for what to put in its place). Apparently the fact that a junior NIO minister called Shailesh Vara has Indian roots means that being pro-Brexit is now a respectable and non-racism-based position.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 07:59:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?
Seafoid make no mistake. The DUP absolutely do want a hard border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 08:01:44 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 07:59:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?
Seafoid make no mistake. The DUP absolutely do want a hard border.

The DUP are insane
Any party that puts wee Sammy ahead as a spokesman has to be
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 08:06:08 AM
Arlene would build a concrete wall along the border if she could, and build a bridge to Scotland. That would be their ideal scenario.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on November 16, 2018, 08:08:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 08:01:44 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 07:59:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?
Seafoid make no mistake. The DUP absolutely do want a hard border.

The DUP are insane
Any party that puts wee Sammy ahead as a spokesman has to be
Just listened to a segment on BBC Radio Ulster where they interviewed people at a Shankill Rd community centre. Based on their comments (threatening action like that after the Anglo Irish Agreement), Sammy wilson is exactly the kind of person who speaks directly to them. May not go down well with the intelligensia, but he can fairly whip up a unionist frenzy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 16, 2018, 08:12:11 AM
Quote from: Rois on November 16, 2018, 12:32:55 AM
My OH was at the NI Food & Drink Assoc dinner tonight and was introduced to wee Jeffrey who was there before The View on BBC. He was introduced by Pat Catney, SDLP MLA, whom Jeffrey admonished in a humorous way for giving him abuse on Twitter - wee Jeff was laughing at it.  Apparently he turned down a glass of wine during the drinks reception because he was on the programme later. Jeff was directly petitioned by a leading business person from the stage (Brian Irwin from Irwin Bakery) to accept the deal. And still went on to tv to patronise the poor stupid misled people he had been sitting with less than an hr earlier.

Given the way the interview on the view went he probably wishes he stayed at the dinner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 08:13:17 AM
Quote from: Rois on November 16, 2018, 08:08:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 08:01:44 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 07:59:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?
Seafoid make no mistake. The DUP absolutely do want a hard border.

The DUP are insane
Any party that puts wee Sammy ahead as a spokesman has to be
Just listened to a segment on BBC Radio Ulster where they interviewed people at a Shankill Rd community centre. Based on their comments (threatening action like that after the Anglo Irish Agreement), Sammy wilson is exactly the kind of person who speaks directly to them. May not go down well with the intelligensia, but he can fairly whip up a unionist frenzy.
He probably can
But what they want cannot work in the real world.
Everything is always about them and if negotiating with Ireland or London this is understood.
But nobody in Brussels cares about the sensitivities in Ballymena. Neither should they.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 16, 2018, 08:39:34 AM
Quote from: Rois on November 16, 2018, 08:08:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 08:01:44 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 07:59:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?
Seafoid make no mistake. The DUP absolutely do want a hard border.

The DUP are insane
Any party that puts wee Sammy ahead as a spokesman has to be
Just listened to a segment on BBC Radio Ulster where they interviewed people at a Shankill Rd community centre. Based on their comments (threatening action like that after the Anglo Irish Agreement), Sammy wilson is exactly the kind of person who speaks directly to them. May not go down well with the intelligensia, but he can fairly whip up a unionist frenzy.

If you look back at the flag protests they whipped that up and gave the likes of bryson oxygen. People were lucky not to die - alliance councillors and police officers -and they stirred the whole pot. They are very dangerous people and the language they use in my view is tantamount to incitement of hatred quite regularly. Absolute scumbags.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 16, 2018, 08:40:39 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 15, 2018, 11:59:39 PM
Quote from: GJL on November 15, 2018, 11:31:50 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 11:00:06 PM
Primetime any good? I assume Brexit was on the agenda. Ironically enough, I have BBC but not RTÉ. Wee Jeffrey on The View at the moment.

Mark destroyed wee Jeff. Interestingly an ex president of the UFU says the DUP are out of line with farmers needs and opinions.

Carruthers is a savage. He smells spin a mile off and goes straight for the jugular. Add jeffrey to his list of casulties.

He's a cold assassin that Carruthers lad, a proper political analyst unlike thon boorish tube Nolan who lacks nuance.

It's time the business people stood up and be heard over here as allegedly May told Gove when she was offering him the Brexit secretary role that there were only three options on the table, this deal, no deal or a second referendum.

I think Coveny has more or less stated the same. Negotiations are over, time to shit or get off the pot UK government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 16, 2018, 08:52:06 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 07:59:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?
Seafoid make no mistake. The DUP absolutely do want a hard border.
Based on the shite football in Dublin last night I'd nearly vote for a hard border myself!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 16, 2018, 09:23:08 AM
With sterling dropping a bit would it be time to change euro?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 09:24:43 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 16, 2018, 09:23:08 AM
With sterling dropping a bit would it be time to change euro?

Farr

I'd say this crisis will run on for a while. I can't see Theresa pulling a rabbit out of the hat this weekend so if sterling is repriced it will probably stay there until there is a solution.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 16, 2018, 09:26:30 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 16, 2018, 08:40:39 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 15, 2018, 11:59:39 PM
Quote from: GJL on November 15, 2018, 11:31:50 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 15, 2018, 11:00:06 PM
Primetime any good? I assume Brexit was on the agenda. Ironically enough, I have BBC but not RTÉ. Wee Jeffrey on The View at the moment.

Mark destroyed wee Jeff. Interestingly an ex president of the UFU says the DUP are out of line with farmers needs and opinions.

Carruthers is a savage. He smells spin a mile off and goes straight for the jugular. Add jeffrey to his list of casulties.

He's a cold assassin that Carruthers lad, a proper political analyst unlike thon boorish tube Nolan who lacks nuance.

It's time the business people stood up and be heard over here as allegedly May told Gove when she was offering him the Brexit secretary role that there were only three options on the table, this deal, no deal or a second referendum.

I think Coveny has more or less stated the same. Negotiations are over, time to shit or get off the pot UK government.

Nolan is a poor poor presenter and brutal at chairing a discussion. How thon boy earns the millions he does, is beyond me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 09:49:46 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 16, 2018, 08:39:34 AM
Quote from: Rois on November 16, 2018, 08:08:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 08:01:44 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 07:59:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?
Seafoid make no mistake. The DUP absolutely do want a hard border.

The DUP are insane
Any party that puts wee Sammy ahead as a spokesman has to be
Just listened to a segment on BBC Radio Ulster where they interviewed people at a Shankill Rd community centre. Based on their comments (threatening action like that after the Anglo Irish Agreement), Sammy wilson is exactly the kind of person who speaks directly to them. May not go down well with the intelligensia, but he can fairly whip up a unionist frenzy.

If you look back at the flag protests they whipped that up and gave the likes of bryson oxygen. People were lucky not to die - alliance councillors and police officers -and they stirred the whole pot. They are very dangerous people and the language they use in my view is tantamount to incitement of hatred quite regularly. Absolute scumbags.
Settler communities are different to normal societies because there is no historical continuity and identity has to be invented in a room somewhere from elements that someone has to define. It has to be hard coded.
Over time identity changes. Eg in the South there was a shift from strongly catholic to more liberal on gay issues. Societies will debate this stuff and then change. Or they won't.  But it won't lead to existential insecurity.   
But for unionists the hard coding of identity is very hard to change. Take out Queen and Somme and there isn't much left and then what would you replace it with ?
Unionist identity is very fragile.

Settlers tend to be easier to scare the shite out of because they know unconsciously that their people  were outsiders who came in by force. They are easier to manipulate
The next few months will be hard for GB but very hard for Unionists in NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 16, 2018, 09:58:13 AM
You have to hand it to May. She's like the f**king Terminator. She just keeps going and going. I don't know how you stop her!

Business is starting to come out in support of this deal not, only here in NI but also in GB. If Business gets behind this, and no doubt other political leaders around the world will as well, can they get the support in the Commons? Seems unlikely I know, but the Government ain't giving up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on November 16, 2018, 10:15:46 AM
The lady's not for turning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:23:29 AM
When she just scraped the general election she was a deadwoman walking but managed to survive.

I can't help but wonder if her intentions at the time was to get the party to support her and see what deal could be made with the EU. If the deal was good then it would make her position safe but if it was viewed as a bad deal then she would be fighting to remain PM.

Now that she has got a deal that does not satisfy many of the brexiteers I am wondering if they want another general election so the poison chalice can be passed on to Labour. I think whatever party sees this brexit deal through will be ruined in the long run.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 16, 2018, 10:30:15 AM
Ulster Farmers Union now telling the DUP to get on board with the deal, they are facked, thank fack.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 10:33:48 AM
Brexit is driven by the losers of the English economy who live outside the metro areas in towns where the only new jobs available are crap. For them Brexit is an issue of pride.
The tories have to fix this

the DUP on the other hand got a gold plated deal to put NI in the Single Market and give it a huge competitive advantage over Scotland and England and they turn up their noses at it. you could not make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on November 16, 2018, 10:36:42 AM
Quote from: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:23:29 AM
When she just scraped the general election she was a deadwoman walking but managed to survive.

I can't help but wonder if her intentions at the time was to get the party to support her and see what deal could be made with the EU. If the deal was good then it would make her position safe but if it was viewed as a bad deal then she would be fighting to remain PM.

Now that she has got a deal that does not satisfy many of the brexiteers I am wondering if they want another general election so the poison chalice can be passed on to Labour. I think whatever party sees this brexit deal through will be ruined in the long run.

Labour needs to ditch Jeremy Corbyn before it can even think of winning an election. I respect him and much of what he stands for but he is unelectable as PM.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:43:35 AM
Quote from: lenny on November 16, 2018, 10:36:42 AM
Quote from: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:23:29 AM
When she just scraped the general election she was a deadwoman walking but managed to survive.

I can't help but wonder if her intentions at the time was to get the party to support her and see what deal could be made with the EU. If the deal was good then it would make her position safe but if it was viewed as a bad deal then she would be fighting to remain PM.

Now that she has got a deal that does not satisfy many of the brexiteers I am wondering if they want another general election so the poison chalice can be passed on to Labour. I think whatever party sees this brexit deal through will be ruined in the long run.

Labour needs to ditch Jeremy Corbyn before it can even think of winning an election. I respect him and much of what he stands for but he is unelectable as PM.

The public for years have banged on about having a politician that is honest. In comes Jeremy and all people seem to do is slate him.

My only gripe with Corbyn is that he is making too many promises I do not think he can keep.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 16, 2018, 11:01:21 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 12:40:13 AMbut business people tend to be less doctrinaire and more pragmatic.

The difference is, wee Jeffrey and his crowd won't be the ones having to give their people the tap on the shoulder and tell them they no longer have a job because the business can no longer get goods to the EU market.

Probably the hardest part of running a business. Shouldering your responsibility for being a stable and secure provider for your workers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on November 16, 2018, 11:10:53 AM
Quote from: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:43:35 AM
Quote from: lenny on November 16, 2018, 10:36:42 AM
Quote from: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:23:29 AM
When she just scraped the general election she was a deadwoman walking but managed to survive.

I can't help but wonder if her intentions at the time was to get the party to support her and see what deal could be made with the EU. If the deal was good then it would make her position safe but if it was viewed as a bad deal then she would be fighting to remain PM.

Now that she has got a deal that does not satisfy many of the brexiteers I am wondering if they want another general election so the poison chalice can be passed on to Labour. I think whatever party sees this brexit deal through will be ruined in the long run.

Labour needs to ditch Jeremy Corbyn before it can even think of winning an election. I respect him and much of what he stands for but he is unelectable as PM.

The public for years have banged on about having a politician that is honest. In comes Jeremy and all people seem to do is slate him.

My only gripe with Corbyn is that he is making too many promises I do not think he can keep.

Yes more or less labelled as a lunatic. I can't fathom people that i listen to repeating this rhetoric that haven't a pot to piss in. Surely if the Tories haven't helped you then look elsewhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: nrico2006 on November 16, 2018, 11:25:00 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 06:24:19 AM
For some reason the DUP want to leave the EU AND they don't want a hard border.
Imagine Mickey Harte pre AIF saying he wanted to win the All Ireland plus 5 marquee forwards.
Everyone would be laughing at him.
How did the DUP get away with its nonsense?

Do they not want a hard border?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 16, 2018, 11:28:18 AM
I think  May has 2 things in her favour-
The Tory rebels are mainly spineless
What will anyone else do?
The EU aren't going to tear up 17 months of negotiations and say "damn we got it wrong" so the same alternatives will face any new leader or Government
The negotiated deal
No deal
Stay in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 16, 2018, 11:51:31 AM
Some people are wondering where Boris Johnson is.

last seen

(http://mediad.publicbroadcasting.net/p/kalw/files/201612/Slim-Pickens-riding-the-Bomb.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 16, 2018, 12:02:11 PM
Quote from: Main Street on November 16, 2018, 11:51:31 AM
Some people are wondering where Boris Johnson is.

last seen

(http://mediad.publicbroadcasting.net/p/kalw/files/201612/Slim-Pickens-riding-the-Bomb.jpg)
Looks more like Sammy Wilson
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on November 16, 2018, 12:11:41 PM
Too many garments for Sammy!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 16, 2018, 12:20:08 PM
Where did Ben Lowry come from...muppet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on November 16, 2018, 12:21:30 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 16, 2018, 12:20:08 PM
Where did Ben Lowry come from...muppet.

Out of Ruth Dudley Edwards i'd say
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 16, 2018, 12:58:44 PM
Quote from: maddog on November 16, 2018, 12:21:30 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 16, 2018, 12:20:08 PM
Where did Ben Lowry come from...muppet.

Out of Ruth Dudley Edwards i'd say

Dudley Edwards is odious, but even she sees the positive role on the EU in NI. She might find herself like Cruise O'Brien, pandering to the unionists but eventually realising it isn't worth it and telling them to do a deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 16, 2018, 01:11:13 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 16, 2018, 12:20:08 PM
Where did Ben Lowry come from...muppet.

His mug is everywhere. The rate he's going, he'll show up on Sunday Game yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 16, 2018, 01:39:58 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 16, 2018, 12:58:44 PM
Quote from: maddog on November 16, 2018, 12:21:30 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 16, 2018, 12:20:08 PM
Where did Ben Lowry come from...muppet.

Out of Ruth Dudley Edwards i'd say

Dudley Edwards is odious, but even she sees the positive role on the EU in NI. She might find herself like Cruise O'Brien, pandering to the unionists but eventually realising it isn't worth it and telling them to do a deal.

But did the unionists eventually tell Conor Cruise to f off and mind his own business?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on November 16, 2018, 02:28:41 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:43:35 AM
Quote from: lenny on November 16, 2018, 10:36:42 AM
Quote from: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:23:29 AM
When she just scraped the general election she was a deadwoman walking but managed to survive.

I can't help but wonder if her intentions at the time was to get the party to support her and see what deal could be made with the EU. If the deal was good then it would make her position safe but if it was viewed as a bad deal then she would be fighting to remain PM.

Now that she has got a deal that does not satisfy many of the brexiteers I am wondering if they want another general election so the poison chalice can be passed on to Labour. I think whatever party sees this brexit deal through will be ruined in the long run.

Labour needs to ditch Jeremy Corbyn before it can even think of winning an election. I respect him and much of what he stands for but he is unelectable as PM.

The public for years have banged on about having a politician that is honest. In comes Jeremy and all people seem to do is slate him.

My only gripe with Corbyn is that he is making too many promises I do not think he can keep.

I'm not slating him. What I am saying is that for the British public he is unelectable. The tories are in disarray and winning an election against them should be a penalty kick. Yet every opinion poll over the last number of months has the tories still out ahead by a few percentage points. Any sort of decent leader of the opposition should be ashamed of that position. He should be streets ahead of the tories at the moment in the opinion polls. Corbyn is a very decent man but he is not a leader and that is why labour should have ditched him long ago. It reminds me of when Kinnock was up against thatcher. Kinnock was a decent man too but not a leader and thatcher was deeply unpopular but she still beat him at the polls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 02:31:10 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 16, 2018, 02:28:41 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:43:35 AM
Quote from: lenny on November 16, 2018, 10:36:42 AM
Quote from: Solo_run on November 16, 2018, 10:23:29 AM
When she just scraped the general election she was a deadwoman walking but managed to survive.

I can't help but wonder if her intentions at the time was to get the party to support her and see what deal could be made with the EU. If the deal was good then it would make her position safe but if it was viewed as a bad deal then she would be fighting to remain PM.

Now that she has got a deal that does not satisfy many of the brexiteers I am wondering if they want another general election so the poison chalice can be passed on to Labour. I think whatever party sees this brexit deal through will be ruined in the long run.

Labour needs to ditch Jeremy Corbyn before it can even think of winning an election. I respect him and much of what he stands for but he is unelectable as PM.

The public for years have banged on about having a politician that is honest. In comes Jeremy and all people seem to do is slate him.

My only gripe with Corbyn is that he is making too many promises I do not think he can keep.

I'm not slating him. What I am saying is that for the British public he is unelectable. The tories are in disarray and winning an election against them should be a penalty kick. Yet every opinion poll over the last number of months has the tories still out ahead by a few percentage points. Any sort of decent leader of the opposition should be ashamed of that position. He should be streets ahead of the tories at the moment in the opinion polls. Corbyn is a very decent man but he is not a leader and that is why labour should have ditched him long ago. It reminds me of when Kinnock was up against thatcher. Kinnock was a decent man too but not a leader and thatcher was deeply unpopular but she still beat him at the polls.

Wasn't saying you were slating him directly but the general public were. But yes, I agree not a leader for politics.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 16, 2018, 02:35:35 PM
I think most people feel that way about corbyn. That anti semitism brush he gets tarred with really pisses me off too.

Jc i love your line that nolan lacks nuance. He has as much nuance as a bull in a china shop lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on November 16, 2018, 02:53:08 PM
Starmer is the leader in waiting i think and might be more palatable to the electorate. Imagine if they had have appointed the other Miliband at the time. We might not be where we are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 16, 2018, 03:02:02 PM
Quote from: maddog on November 16, 2018, 02:53:08 PM
Starmer is the leader in waiting i think and might be more palatable to the electorate. Imagine if they had have appointed the other Miliband at the time. We might not be where we are.

Labour with Starmer at the helm would cruise a general election, but hard to see the way Labour elect leaders how he could unseat Jeremy unless Jeremy steps aside and he isn't inclined to do that.

Jeremy is too wishy, washy on Brexit and whilst sailing into a sitting duck in May yesterday he should have realised that what she had on the table was as close to Labours 6 targets as anyone is ever going to get.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on November 16, 2018, 03:19:27 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 16, 2018, 03:02:02 PM
Quote from: maddog on November 16, 2018, 02:53:08 PM
Starmer is the leader in waiting i think and might be more palatable to the electorate. Imagine if they had have appointed the other Miliband at the time. We might not be where we are.

Labour with Starmer at the helm would cruise a general election, but hard to see the way Labour elect leaders how he could unseat Jeremy unless Jeremy steps aside and he isn't inclined to do that.

Jeremy is too wishy, washy on Brexit and whilst sailing into a sitting duck in May yesterday he should have realised that what she had on the table was as close to Labours 6 targets as anyone is ever going to get.

Yeah he is opposing an agreement that represents his position, go figure
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 04:25:47 PM
I bought the Telegraph and one thing about the deal is the primacy of the GFA because the UK does not have a written constitution.
The UK can leave the EU if they want but they can't take NI with them because of the GFA.
The South gets a lot of shite, much of it deserved, from 6 county posters for past behaviour but protecting the rights of nationalists (and Huns)  in the face of an insane project is quite impressive in my view. The Southern Gov is thinking strategically for once.
Once the GFA was signed the Union was weakened but the DUP only figured it out this week.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on November 16, 2018, 04:35:18 PM
While Theresa Mays battling qualities are to be admired, it's a pity she didn't put them to similar use last December when the original agreement was reached. She'd be home and hosed now had she done so. UFU comments must now really be spooking the DUP. Gove lining himself for a leadership contest by showing loyalty to May thus making himself out to be a team player. That gives Boris a further boot in the nuts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 16, 2018, 04:45:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 04:25:47 PM
I bought the Telegraph and one thing about the deal is the primacy of the GFA because the UK does not have a written constitution.
The UK can leave the EU if they want but they can't take NI with them because of the GFA.
The South gets a lot of shite, much of it deserved, from 6 county posters for past behaviour but protecting the rights of nationalists (and Huns)  in the face of an insane project is quite impressive in my view. The Southern Gov is thinking strategically for once.
Once the GFA was signed the Union was weakened but the DUP only figured it out this week.

I do agree that their efforts have been commendable, but I don't reckon that it's the selfless act that Varadkar and the lads would like it portrayed as.  Self-interest is the only show in town here.  Brexit, (especially the 'hard' variety) would cause an increase in border security, a reduction in trade and possibly a return to some level of conflict.  Any and all of these would have a serious detrimental affect on the 26 Co economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 04:45:52 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 04:25:47 PM
I bought the Telegraph and one thing about the deal is the primacy of the GFA because the UK does not have a written constitution.
The UK can leave the EU if they want but they can't take NI with them because of the GFA.
The South gets a lot of shite, much of it deserved, from 6 county posters for past behaviour but protecting the rights of nationalists (and Huns)  in the face of an insane project is quite impressive in my view. The Southern Gov is thinking strategically for once.
Once the GFA was signed the Union was weakened but the DUP only figured it out this week.
Agree with that. From what I have seen I don't doubt that Varadkar and Coveney will stick to their guns and continue to do what is best for all of Ireland. Their performances can only be commended. From a northern nationalist perspective they would certainly be the most popular leaders from the south in a long long time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 04:49:42 PM
Franko you beat me to it there. I'm sure there is an element of self interest, but in my opinion and having heard the men speak in a more private arena, just like what has been said of Corbyn, they come across as very decent individuals. I think history will judge them well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 04:54:49 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this for us if May sticks to her guns!!
fixed that for you
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 16, 2018, 04:58:09 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 04:49:42 PM
Franko you beat me to it there. I'm sure there is an element of self interest, but in my opinion and having heard the men speak in a more private arena, just like what has been said of Corbyn, they come a across as very decent individuals. I think history will judge them well.

Probably truth in that.  Varadkar (and probably moreso Coveney) do come across to me as level headed and decent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 16, 2018, 05:25:15 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 16, 2018, 04:45:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 04:25:47 PM
I bought the Telegraph and one thing about the deal is the primacy of the GFA because the UK does not have a written constitution.
The UK can leave the EU if they want but they can't take NI with them because of the GFA.
The South gets a lot of shite, much of it deserved, from 6 county posters for past behaviour but protecting the rights of nationalists (and Huns)  in the face of an insane project is quite impressive in my view. The Southern Gov is thinking strategically for once.
Once the GFA was signed the Union was weakened but the DUP only figured it out this week.

I do agree that their efforts have been commendable, but I don't reckon that it's the selfless act that Varadkar and the lads would like it portrayed as.  Self-interest is the only show in town here.  Brexit, (especially the 'hard' variety) would cause an increase in border security, a reduction in trade and possibly a return to some level of conflict.  Any and all of these would have a serious detrimental affect on the 26 Co economy.
€3.3Bn wiped off Irish stock market yesterday due to Tory shenanigans.
Imagine what will happen if a No deal unfolds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 05:32:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 16, 2018, 04:58:09 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 04:49:42 PM
Franko you beat me to it there. I'm sure there is an element of self interest, but in my opinion and having heard the men speak in a more private arena, just like what has been said of Corbyn, they come a across as very decent individuals. I think history will judge them well.

Probably truth in that.  Varadkar (and probably moreso Coveney) do come across to me as level headed and decent.
Even if it was just alignment of interest the GFA gave the Dublin govt leverage to be used in times like these. There is a very good reason for the DUP heads to be shouting  and roaring now. The 6 counties are not the same as Finchley.
Anyway if you look at the demographics it is a no brainer.

I think Kevin OHiggins was justice minister when a group of Gaels came down in 1927 looking for help. They were turned away. So many times people from the North were ignored.
Now you have Paris and Berlin supporting the Dublin position which supports the GFA ie living in NI with Irish passport and an open border.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on November 16, 2018, 07:27:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 05:32:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 16, 2018, 04:58:09 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 04:49:42 PM
Franko you beat me to it there. I'm sure there is an element of self interest, but in my opinion and having heard the men speak in a more private arena, just like what has been said of Corbyn, they come a across as very decent individuals. I think history will judge them well.

Probably truth in that.  Varadkar (and probably moreso Coveney) do come across to me as level headed and decent.
Even if it was just alignment of interest the GFA gave the Dublin govt leverage to be used in times like these. There is a very good reason for the DUP heads to be shouting  and roaring now. The 6 counties are not the same as Finchley.
Anyway if you look at the demographics it is a no brainer.

I think Kevin OHiggins was justice minister when a group of Gaels came down in 1927 looking for help. They were turned away. So many times people from the North were ignored.
Now you have Paris and Berlin supporting the Dublin position which supports the GFA ie living in NI with Irish passport and an open border.


Bia na mara:

a bit of advice please

That period of Irish history between 1918 and 1938 is seriously under covered. Do you have any recommendations on where I can go to do some research on the period.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 08:13:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 09:49:46 AM
Settler communities are different to normal societies because there is no historical continuity and identity has to be invented in a room somewhere from elements that someone has to define. It has to be hard coded.
Over time identity changes. Eg in the South there was a shift from strongly catholic to more liberal on gay issues. Societies will debate this stuff and then change. Or they won't.  But it won't lead to existential insecurity.   
But for unionists the hard coding of identity is very hard to change. Take out Queen and Somme and there isn't much left and then what would you replace it with ?
Unionist identity is very fragile.

Settlers tend to be easier to scare the shite out of because they know unconsciously that their people  were outsiders who came in by force. They are easier to manipulate
The next few months will be hard for GB but very hard for Unionists in NI.

That's a top quality post.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 08:18:53 PM
Quote from: omochain on November 16, 2018, 07:27:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 05:32:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 16, 2018, 04:58:09 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 04:49:42 PM
Franko you beat me to it there. I'm sure there is an element of self interest, but in my opinion and having heard the men speak in a more private arena, just like what has been said of Corbyn, they come a across as very decent individuals. I think history will judge them well.

Probably truth in that.  Varadkar (and probably moreso Coveney) do come across to me as level headed and decent.
Even if it was just alignment of interest the GFA gave the Dublin govt leverage to be used in times like these. There is a very good reason for the DUP heads to be shouting  and roaring now. The 6 counties are not the same as Finchley.
Anyway if you look at the demographics it is a no brainer.

I think Kevin OHiggins was justice minister when a group of Gaels came down in 1927 looking for help. They were turned away. So many times people from the North were ignored.
Now you have Paris and Berlin supporting the Dublin position which supports the GFA ie living in NI with Irish passport and an open border.


Bia na mara:

a bit of advice please

That period of Irish history between 1918 and 1938 is seriously under covered. Do you have any recommendations on where I can go to do some research on the period.

Conor McNamara is very good

https://www.kennys.ie/results/?q=Conor+Mcnamara

Kennys.ie is good for Irish history

Ulster history is fascinating. The O'Neills had a coronating chair in Tullyogue. SF should have used it for Michelle. Untouchable political theatre vs makey uppy on the DUP side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on November 16, 2018, 08:36:57 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 08:13:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 09:49:46 AM
Settler communities are different to normal societies because there is no historical continuity and identity has to be invented in a room somewhere from elements that someone has to define. It has to be hard coded.
Over time identity changes. Eg in the South there was a shift from strongly catholic to more liberal on gay issues. Societies will debate this stuff and then change. Or they won't.  But it won't lead to existential insecurity.   
But for unionists the hard coding of identity is very hard to change. Take out Queen and Somme and there isn't much left and then what would you replace it with ?
Unionist identity is very fragile.

Settlers tend to be easier to scare the shite out of because they know unconsciously that their people  were outsiders who came in by force. They are easier to manipulate
The next few months will be hard for GB but very hard for Unionists in NI.

That's a top quality post.

+1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on November 16, 2018, 09:23:40 PM
Quote from: charlieTully on November 16, 2018, 08:36:57 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 08:13:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 09:49:46 AM
Settler communities are different to normal societies because there is no historical continuity and identity has to be invented in a room somewhere from elements that someone has to define. It has to be hard coded.
Over time identity changes. Eg in the South there was a shift from strongly catholic to more liberal on gay issues. Societies will debate this stuff and then change. Or they won't.  But it won't lead to existential insecurity.   
But for unionists the hard coding of identity is very hard to change. Take out Queen and Somme and there isn't much left and then what would you replace it with ?
Unionist identity is very fragile.

Settlers tend to be easier to scare the shite out of because they know unconsciously that their people  were outsiders who came in by force. They are easier to manipulate
The next few months will be hard for GB but very hard for Unionists in NI.

That's a top quality post.

+1
-1 What a load of nonsense
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on November 16, 2018, 09:27:56 PM
Quote from: michaelg on November 16, 2018, 09:23:40 PM
Quote from: charlieTully on November 16, 2018, 08:36:57 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 08:13:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 09:49:46 AM
Settler communities are different to normal societies because there is no historical continuity and identity has to be invented in a room somewhere from elements that someone has to define. It has to be hard coded.
Over time identity changes. Eg in the South there was a shift from strongly catholic to more liberal on gay issues. Societies will debate this stuff and then change. Or they won't.  But it won't lead to existential insecurity.   
But for unionists the hard coding of identity is very hard to change. Take out Queen and Somme and there isn't much left and then what would you replace it with ?
Unionist identity is very fragile.

Settlers tend to be easier to scare the shite out of because they know unconsciously that their people  were outsiders who came in by force. They are easier to manipulate
The next few months will be hard for GB but very hard for Unionists in NI.

That's a top quality post.

+1
-1 What a load of nonsense

Knew it was only a matter of time before moaning michael reared his head.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on November 16, 2018, 09:39:27 PM
Quote from: Therealdonald on November 16, 2018, 09:27:56 PM
Quote from: michaelg on November 16, 2018, 09:23:40 PM
Quote from: charlieTully on November 16, 2018, 08:36:57 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 08:13:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 09:49:46 AM
Settler communities are different to normal societies because there is no historical continuity and identity has to be invented in a room somewhere from elements that someone has to define. It has to be hard coded.
Over time identity changes. Eg in the South there was a shift from strongly catholic to more liberal on gay issues. Societies will debate this stuff and then change. Or they won't.  But it won't lead to existential insecurity.   
But for unionists the hard coding of identity is very hard to change. Take out Queen and Somme and there isn't much left and then what would you replace it with ?
Unionist identity is very fragile.

Settlers tend to be easier to scare the shite out of because they know unconsciously that their people  were outsiders who came in by force. They are easier to manipulate
The next few months will be hard for GB but very hard for Unionists in NI.

That's a top quality post.

+1
-1 What a load of nonsense

Knew it was only a matter of time before moaning michael reared his head.
Good evening to you too, Sir!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 16, 2018, 09:41:00 PM
Quote from: michaelg on November 16, 2018, 09:23:40 PM
Quote from: charlieTully on November 16, 2018, 08:36:57 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 08:13:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 09:49:46 AM
Settler communities are different to normal societies because there is no historical continuity and identity has to be invented in a room somewhere from elements that someone has to define. It has to be hard coded.
Over time identity changes. Eg in the South there was a shift from strongly catholic to more liberal on gay issues. Societies will debate this stuff and then change. Or they won't.  But it won't lead to existential insecurity.   
But for unionists the hard coding of identity is very hard to change. Take out Queen and Somme and there isn't much left and then what would you replace it with ?
Unionist identity is very fragile.

Settlers tend to be easier to scare the shite out of because they know unconsciously that their people  were outsiders who came in by force. They are easier to manipulate
The next few months will be hard for GB but very hard for Unionists in NI.

That's a top quality post.

+1
-1 What a load of nonsense


What about the ones that took the soup Seafoid? Do they feel the same as the 'settlers' ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 16, 2018, 10:11:23 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

We?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 16, 2018, 10:18:19 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Correct. He's in bed with SF as well. Corbyn is the biggest threat to peace in Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 16, 2018, 10:21:59 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

Two interesting posts. Reinforces my view that there is only a thin veneer of Irishness painted over those in the 26.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 16, 2018, 10:41:20 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

People wouldn't be in favour before, and wouldn't be in favour afterwards, but there would be considerable bandwagon effect on the day. This was the case in Germany.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 16, 2018, 10:45:25 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

It'd more than likely take 10 or 15 years to come back to normal. I'm sure people could manage that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 16, 2018, 11:03:40 PM
It be amazing, I could be more Irish.. oh wait
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 11:30:20 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 16, 2018, 10:45:25 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

It'd more than likely take 10 or 15 years to come back to normal. I'm sure people could manage that.

Depends on a person's circumstances. In principle,  I'd be willing to take a bit of hardship "for the greater good", but people have mortgages, creche fees, car loans etc to pay.  Not everyone is in a position to give up a few grand so that Sammy Wilson gets an opportunity to squak in Leinster House
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 11:50:34 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 16, 2018, 10:18:19 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Correct. He's in bed with SF as well. Corbyn is the biggest threat to peace in Ireland.

He is an English politician so and if history has taught us anything that means he is therefore a threat to peace, its inevitable anyhow that peace will be broken sooner or later, again a lesson from history which has been repeated at various intervals over 800 years
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 11:50:51 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

Why does everyone make this assumption? Economists have looked into this and found that with the elimination of duplicate bureaucracy the island would be a lot better off.  GDP would be up, not down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 11:52:50 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 11:50:51 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

Why does everyone make this assumption? Economists have looked into this and found that with the elimination of duplicate bureaucracy the island would be a lot better off.  GDP would be up, not down.

It would take time but yes it would be better longterm
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 17, 2018, 12:05:33 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 16, 2018, 11:03:40 PM
It be amazing, I could be more Irish.. oh wait
You could vote in Referenda without having to move to the 26 ;)
You wouldn't have Rees Mogg (has to be a comedy show caricature surely?)deciding you're future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 17, 2018, 12:07:40 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 17, 2018, 12:05:33 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 16, 2018, 11:03:40 PM
It be amazing, I could be more Irish.. oh wait
You could vote in Referenda without having to move to the 26 ;)
You wouldn't have Rees Mogg (has to be a comedy show caricature surely?)deciding you're future.

Ah, I could move to Roscommon, that be fun
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 17, 2018, 12:17:43 AM
You could relax for a change and not always have to be on your guard so you can get offended.
We can have a laugh at ourselves here as we don't take ourselves too seriously ( but don't mention Ballagh)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 17, 2018, 12:27:17 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 17, 2018, 12:17:43 AM
You could relax for a change and not always have to be on your guard so you can get offended.
We can have a laugh at ourselves here as we don't take ourselves too seriously ( but don't mention Ballagh)

Strange of you to mention a random town in Mayo....

Waaaaaayyyyyyyyy  ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on November 17, 2018, 01:03:42 AM
I'd like to think that if push came to shove the thought of possibly suffering some short term pain in order to achieve what our ancestors fought and died for would be enough to persuade people to vote for a UI. The fact that it would also wipe the smug smile of Jeffrey's face should also be enough I'd have thought
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on November 17, 2018, 01:05:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 08:18:53 PM
Quote from: omochain on November 16, 2018, 07:27:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 16, 2018, 05:32:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 16, 2018, 04:58:09 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 16, 2018, 04:49:42 PM
Franko you beat me to it there. I'm sure there is an element of self interest, but in my opinion and having heard the men speak in a more private arena, just like what has been said of Corbyn, they come a across as very decent individuals. I think history will judge them well.

Probably truth in that.  Varadkar (and probably moreso Coveney) do come across to me as level headed and decent.
Even if it was just alignment of interest the GFA gave the Dublin govt leverage to be used in times like these. There is a very good reason for the DUP heads to be shouting  and roaring now. The 6 counties are not the same as Finchley.
Anyway if you look at the demographics it is a no brainer.

I think Kevin OHiggins was justice minister when a group of Gaels came down in 1927 looking for help. They were turned away. So many times people from the North were ignored.
Now you have Paris and Berlin supporting the Dublin position which supports the GFA ie living in NI with Irish passport and an open border.


Bia na mara:

a bit of advice please

That period of Irish history between 1918 and 1938 is seriously under covered. Do you have any recommendations on where I can go to do some research on the period.

Conor McNamara is very good

https://www.kennys.ie/results/?q=Conor+Mcnamara

Kennys.ie is good for Irish history

Ulster history is fascinating. The O'Neills had a coronating chair in Tullyogue. SF should have used it for Michelle. Untouchable political theatre vs makey uppy on the DUP side.
Thanks, appreciate the help.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on November 17, 2018, 08:16:25 AM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 11:52:50 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 11:50:51 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

Why does everyone make this assumption? Economists have looked into this and found that with the elimination of duplicate bureaucracy the island would be a lot better off.  GDP would be up, not down.

It would take time but yes it would be better longterm

It would take a long time and a lot of voters wouldn't be around to see that day.
The costs of integrating public bodies, civil service, rationalisation, cross-community integration,  enhanced security etc etc would be huge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 17, 2018, 09:34:45 AM
Interesting week, Christ knows what's going to happen. Kunnesburg and to a lesser extent Peston seem to have a tendency on generating news rather than reporting it imo - especially in these mayhem scenarios.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 17, 2018, 02:26:59 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 17, 2018, 08:16:25 AM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 11:52:50 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 11:50:51 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

Why does everyone make this assumption? Economists have looked into this and found that with the elimination of duplicate bureaucracy the island would be a lot better off.  GDP would be up, not down.

It would take time but yes it would be better longterm

It would take a long time and a lot of voters wouldn't be around to see that day.
The costs of integrating public bodies, civil service, rationalisation, cross-community integration,  enhanced security etc etc would be huge.

Germany had bigger problems and they made it work.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 17, 2018, 02:40:57 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 17, 2018, 02:26:59 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 17, 2018, 08:16:25 AM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 11:52:50 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 11:50:51 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

Why does everyone make this assumption? Economists have looked into this and found that with the elimination of duplicate bureaucracy the island would be a lot better off.  GDP would be up, not down.

It would take time but yes it would be better longterm

It would take a long time and a lot of voters wouldn't be around to see that day.
The costs of integrating public bodies, civil service, rationalisation, cross-community integration,  enhanced security etc etc would be huge.

Germany had bigger problems and they made it work.
Sort of. The East is still much poorer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on November 17, 2018, 02:51:18 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 17, 2018, 02:26:59 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 17, 2018, 08:16:25 AM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 11:52:50 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 16, 2018, 11:50:51 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on November 16, 2018, 10:08:48 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 16, 2018, 10:04:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 09:52:49 PM
Quote from: Sheugh Water on November 16, 2018, 08:34:41 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 16, 2018, 04:52:16 PM
Corbyn is part of the reason the Country is in a mess. . . a load of left wing headbangers joined the Labour Party for 50p now there's no way they can force him out even though he's never going to appeal to the middle ground Labour need to win back Parliament.

Along with that he's a f**king Brexiteer so f**k him anyway. The UK is in severe bother but I actually think there is a way out of this if May sticks to her guns!!

Yep Irish nationalists should stay well clear of Corbyn. Not to be trusted

Nationalism is fine without Corbyn the border poll will be soon enough... the problem will be the Irish taking us on not the Brits casting us aside!!

You hit the nail on the head screenexile, if there was a vote in the 26 counties next week for Irish unity, I honestly think as low as 35/40% would be in favour.

i think it would be more like 55% in favour,  but it would be out of patriotism or a sense of nationalism and finality to the whole partition issue. it certainly wouldn't be down to personal gain because we would almost certainly be worse off.

Why does everyone make this assumption? Economists have looked into this and found that with the elimination of duplicate bureaucracy the island would be a lot better off.  GDP would be up, not down.

It would take time but yes it would be better longterm

It would take a long time and a lot of voters wouldn't be around to see that day.
The costs of integrating public bodies, civil service, rationalisation, cross-community integration,  enhanced security etc etc would be huge.

Germany had bigger problems and they made it work.

Not saying it couldn't/wouldn't work,  but those are just some of the reasons people might not vote for it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 17, 2018, 03:25:21 PM
No surrender!"

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/foster-annoyed-at-ni-business-leaders-support-for-brexit-deal-1.3700531?mode=amp

The Democratic Unionist Party and its leader, Arlene Foster, have expressed considerable irritation that Northern Irish business leaders have backed the draft EU-UK Brexit agreement.
Ms Foster has privately warned that business people were in danger of being exploited for political reasons amid the current turmoil over Brexit, it is understood.

Ms Foster privately told chamber members she was unhappy with the attitude taken by business, and that they did not understand the threat the agreement posed to the union of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.On
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 17, 2018, 03:35:16 PM
What a silly cow!!
Maybe some of those business leaders have brains and some of them might even be Nationalists :o
DUPUDA still not getting that they are a minority.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 17, 2018, 03:35:58 PM
Times those Nordie business people copped on and started taking advice from the experts who know the world is a few thousand years old.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 17, 2018, 03:49:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2018, 03:25:21 PM
No surrender!"

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/foster-annoyed-at-ni-business-leaders-support-for-brexit-deal-1.3700531?mode=amp

The Democratic Unionist Party and its leader, Arlene Foster, have expressed considerable irritation that Northern Irish business leaders have backed the draft EU-UK Brexit agreement.
Ms Foster has privately warned that business people were in danger of being exploited for political reasons amid the current turmoil over Brexit, it is understood.

Ms Foster privately told chamber members she was unhappy with the attitude taken by business, and that they did not understand the threat the agreement posed to the union of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.On

Her arrogance has no bounds, how she remains as the de facto leader of unionism is baffling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 17, 2018, 03:59:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 17, 2018, 03:49:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2018, 03:25:21 PM
No surrender!"

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/foster-annoyed-at-ni-business-leaders-support-for-brexit-deal-1.3700531?mode=amp

The Democratic Unionist Party and its leader, Arlene Foster, have expressed considerable irritation that Northern Irish business leaders have backed the draft EU-UK Brexit agreement.
Ms Foster has privately warned that business people were in danger of being exploited for political reasons amid the current turmoil over Brexit, it is understood.

Ms Foster privately told chamber members she was unhappy with the attitude taken by business, and that they did not understand the threat the agreement posed to the union of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.On

Her arrogance has no bounds, how she remains as the de facto leader of unionism is baffling.

Because unionists are arrogant?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 17, 2018, 04:22:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2018, 03:25:21 PM
No surrender!"

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/foster-annoyed-at-ni-business-leaders-support-for-brexit-deal-1.3700531?mode=amp

The Democratic Unionist Party and its leader, Arlene Foster, have expressed considerable irritation that Northern Irish business leaders have backed the draft EU-UK Brexit agreement.
Ms Foster has privately warned that business people were in danger of being exploited for political reasons amid the current turmoil over Brexit, it is understood.

Ms Foster privately told chamber members she was unhappy with the attitude taken by business, and that they did not understand the threat the agreement posed to the union of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.On

You can't eat a fleg Arlene, ya feckin' tube.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 17, 2018, 04:24:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 17, 2018, 03:59:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 17, 2018, 03:49:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2018, 03:25:21 PM
No surrender!"

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/foster-annoyed-at-ni-business-leaders-support-for-brexit-deal-1.3700531?mode=amp

The Democratic Unionist Party and its leader, Arlene Foster, have expressed considerable irritation that Northern Irish business leaders have backed the draft EU-UK Brexit agreement.
Ms Foster has privately warned that business people were in danger of being exploited for political reasons amid the current turmoil over Brexit, it is understood.

Ms Foster privately told chamber members she was unhappy with the attitude taken by business, and that they did not understand the threat the agreement posed to the union of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.On

Her arrogance has no bounds, how she remains as the de facto leader of unionism is baffling.

Because unionists are arrogant?

And irrational, deluded, nonsensical, etc...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 17, 2018, 07:02:16 PM
Imagine how it looks in Finland. NI gets a super deal and the DUP does a tantrum. Thinking Europeans will indulge them just as UK and Irish gvts always  had to.

What a shower of gobshites
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 17, 2018, 09:53:37 PM
I'm convinced the DUP want the north to be kept in an economic gutter so that the status quo is maintained. They are a group of conservative middle class professionals whose supporters are mostly working class Protestants. They have no interest in prosperity for the country outside of their own narrow financial interests. They know that demographics are slowly moving against them and that Brexit was going to be a toll of the dice to try and drive a few more taigs out of the place.

Imagine how their apoplectic anger over the preferential deal for the north looks to other EU member states who would love a similar arrangement. It just defies all logic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 17, 2018, 10:13:47 PM
If this Brexit deal is passed, the DUP are well and truly screwed.

NI cut adrift from rest of uk (as they see it)
No hard border or restrictions on all Ireland trade
Screwed over by British government (in their eyes)
Made arses of themselves in front of the rest of UK
They don't trust/like or want to be in the EU
Reluctant to power share with SF at Stormont

Where do they go? What's their next move?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 17, 2018, 10:19:07 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 17, 2018, 10:13:47 PM
If this Brexit deal is passed, the DUP are well and truly screwed.

NI cut adrift from rest of uk (as they see it)
No hard border or restrictions on all Ireland trade
Screwed over by British government (in their eyes)
Made arses of themselves in front of the rest of UK
They don't trust/like or want to be in the EU
Reluctant to power share with SF at Stormont

Where do they go? What's their next move?

All out var on ze natives
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 17, 2018, 10:20:31 PM
Even if it doesn't their comments to businesses and the likes of farmers unions etc should surely be damaging.

However there is plenty to play out yet and these pricks always seem to come out on top is what worries me >:(

There has to be a time when people see them for what they are. Hopefully, hopefully, that time is now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 17, 2018, 10:26:03 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 17, 2018, 10:20:31 PM
Even if it doesn't their comments to businesses and the likes of farmers unions etc should surely be damaging.

However there is plenty to play out yet and these pricks always seem to come out on top is what worries me >:(

There has to be a time when people see them for what they are. Hopefully, hopefully, that time is now.

You'd think. But a lot of their voters are as deluded as they are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 17, 2018, 10:28:43 PM
I am hoping the comments yesterday will move it in that direction. "Their" people may, may, actually realise that they haven't got their best interests at heart and are just a shower of bitter fools milking everything they can out of a system for themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 18, 2018, 12:49:48 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 17, 2018, 10:20:31 PM
However there is plenty to play out yet and these pricks always seem to come out on top is what worries me >:(


Until they dont
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 18, 2018, 08:56:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 17, 2018, 03:25:21 PM
No surrender!"

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/foster-annoyed-at-ni-business-leaders-support-for-brexit-deal-1.3700531?mode=amp

The Democratic Unionist Party and its leader, Arlene Foster, have expressed considerable irritation that Northern Irish business leaders have backed the draft EU-UK Brexit agreement.
Ms Foster has privately warned that business people were in danger of being exploited for political reasons amid the current turmoil over Brexit, it is understood.

Ms Foster privately told chamber members she was unhappy with the attitude taken by business, and that they did not understand the threat the agreement posed to the union of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.On

#NotProudofNI

She would rather talk to pseudo paramilitary groups or the Orange Orde than business people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on November 18, 2018, 09:55:31 AM
The UUP are showing themselves to be pretty dim. As the business community, farming community and any sensible unionists are turning on the DUP for rejecting the deal, they too have come out against it. I'd have thought they'd have seized the opportunity to show themselves as a pragmatic alternative by saying that the DUP is scaremongering about the break up of the Union and that the deals a good one. Particularly as there's every possibility of a General Election soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 18, 2018, 11:27:58 AM
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/corbyn-brexit-second-referendum-labour-theresa-may-deal-future-not-today-sky-ridge-a8639536.html%3famp

Jeremy Corbyn does not know what way he would vote in a second referendum.
It's time for Labour to get off the pot or....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 18, 2018, 11:57:33 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on November 18, 2018, 09:55:31 AM
The UUP are showing themselves to be pretty dim. As the business community, farming community and any sensible unionists are turning on the DUP for rejecting the deal, they too have come out against it. I'd have thought they'd have seized the opportunity to show themselves as a pragmatic alternative by saying that the DUP is scaremongering about the break up of the Union and that the deals a good one. Particularly as there's every possibility of a General Election soon.
It seems they have to "outDUP" the DUPUDA who have to outBrit the TUV who have to outBrit the Orange Order.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 18, 2018, 12:02:11 PM
Dominic Raab has some brass neck on him putting himself to the fore of the arch critics of the deal that he was supposed to be negotiating. The one thing this whole Brexit process has done is highlight the absolute arrogance and incompetence of British politicians.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Saffrongael on November 18, 2018, 12:37:25 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 18, 2018, 11:27:58 AM
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/corbyn-brexit-second-referendum-labour-theresa-may-deal-future-not-today-sky-ridge-a8639536.html%3famp

Jeremy Corbyn does not know what way he would vote in a second referendum.
It's time for Labour to get off the pot or....

Corbyn is ridiculous
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 18, 2018, 12:44:25 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 18, 2018, 12:02:11 PM
Dominic Raab has some brass neck on him putting himself to the fore of the arch critics of the deal that he was supposed to be negotiating. The one thing this whole Brexit process has done is highlight the absolute arrogance and incompetence of British politicians.

Raab supposedly wasn't allowed to negotiate lol(not by the eu but from within). A farce the whole thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 18, 2018, 01:11:41 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 18, 2018, 12:44:25 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 18, 2018, 12:02:11 PM
Dominic Raab has some brass neck on him putting himself to the fore of the arch critics of the deal that he was supposed to be negotiating. The one thing this whole Brexit process has done is highlight the absolute arrogance and incompetence of British politicians.

Raab supposedly wasn't allowed to negotiate lol(not by the eu but from within). A farce the whole thing.

Clear to see he was a face for the negotiations and nothing more.
Also I just watched the Nolan Byrne crossover from during the week. Jim Allister gets angrier and angrier by the day. Hilarious to hear them still trot out the old "€50 to see a gp" excuse. No mention of the average wage being €8000 per annum higher than their beloved northern statelet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 18, 2018, 01:25:07 PM
Not to mention the ongoing tory attempts to drive the nhs towards privatisation where god knows what it will cost to see a gp.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 18, 2018, 02:27:22 PM
Quote from: Saffrongael on November 18, 2018, 12:37:25 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 18, 2018, 11:27:58 AM
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/corbyn-brexit-second-referendum-labour-theresa-may-deal-future-not-today-sky-ridge-a8639536.html%3famp

Jeremy Corbyn does not know what way he would vote in a second referendum.
It's time for Labour to get off the pot or....

Corbyn is ridiculous

This is why I don't think Labour can win an election with Corbyn. He's endeared himself to millennials to the degree of  turning huge swathes of the over the 30 demographic against him. Especially since older voters are more likely to turn up on election day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 18, 2018, 02:37:03 PM
RoI dropped Articles 2&3 for the GFA. The value of the GFA was shown last week.
Articles 2&3 were only ever symbolic. NI can't be prised away from the GFA.
The message to the Tories n DUP is GFY. Go f**k yourselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 11:49:04 AM
Nigel Farage's latest comments from the weekend, getting ready to take up violence if he doesn't get what he wants:

"But if they don't deliver this Brexit that I spent 25 years of my life working for, then I will be forced to don khaki, pick up a rifle and head for the front lines." ~ Nigel Farage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AZOffaly on November 19, 2018, 11:54:20 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 11:49:04 AM
Nigel Farage's latest comments from the weekend, getting ready to take up violence if he doesn't get what he wants:

"But if they don't deliver this Brexit that I spent 25 years of my life working for, then I will be forced to don khaki, pick up a rifle and head for the front lines." ~ Nigel Farage.

Where's the front line? Hendon?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 19, 2018, 11:57:30 AM
Quote from: AZOffaly on November 19, 2018, 11:54:20 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 11:49:04 AM
Nigel Farage's latest comments from the weekend, getting ready to take up violence if he doesn't get what he wants:

"But if they don't deliver this Brexit that I spent 25 years of my life working for, then I will be forced to don khaki, pick up a rifle and head for the front lines." ~ Nigel Farage.

Where's the front line? Hendon?
No, its in the middle of the Irish Sea. Ill pay for Nigels boat  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on November 19, 2018, 12:01:27 PM
Who's Don Khaki when he's at home
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on November 19, 2018, 12:50:38 PM
Farage would fit right in It ain't half hot mum😜
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 19, 2018, 01:22:11 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/ulster-farmers-union-backing-for-draft-brexit-deal-greatly-disappointing-says-allister-37542572.html?fbclid=IwAR1yW7N8Emst4Tk0sAbJUVMLt2-OoGJHo_076d-IoT8QWlMVoBKzbAW_sYA

"Mr Allister added: "Now is a time for anyone who values the prosperity which the UK Union has brought us to recognise that at this seminal moment to endorse Mrs May's plan is to endorse the break-up of the UK.""

Unionists are completely blind, none moreso than Jim. They really are believing the delusion that the north is a economic eutopia compared to the poor paddies down the road.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 19, 2018, 01:32:22 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 19, 2018, 01:22:11 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/ulster-farmers-union-backing-for-draft-brexit-deal-greatly-disappointing-says-allister-37542572.html?fbclid=IwAR1yW7N8Emst4Tk0sAbJUVMLt2-OoGJHo_076d-IoT8QWlMVoBKzbAW_sYA

"Mr Allister added: "Now is a time for anyone who values the prosperity which the UK Union has brought us to recognise that at this seminal moment to endorse Mrs May's plan is to endorse the break-up of the UK.""

Unionists are completely blind, none moreso than Jim. They really are believing the delusion that the north is a economic eutopia compared to the poor paddies down the road.

I keep telling you, they wear the handouts from Westminster like a badge of honour, something to be proud off, look how good Britannia is to us loyal subjects. look that those lovely crumbs you won't be getting in a dirty united Ireland.

They're nuts, but all religious fundamentalists are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 19, 2018, 01:32:22 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 19, 2018, 01:22:11 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/ulster-farmers-union-backing-for-draft-brexit-deal-greatly-disappointing-says-allister-37542572.html?fbclid=IwAR1yW7N8Emst4Tk0sAbJUVMLt2-OoGJHo_076d-IoT8QWlMVoBKzbAW_sYA

"Mr Allister added: "Now is a time for anyone who values the prosperity which the UK Union has brought us to recognise that at this seminal moment to endorse Mrs May's plan is to endorse the break-up of the UK.""

Unionists are completely blind, none moreso than Jim. They really are believing the delusion that the north is a economic eutopia compared to the poor paddies down the road.

I keep telling you, they wear the handouts from Westminster like a badge of honour, something to be proud off, look how good Britannia is to us loyal subjects. look that those lovely crumbs you won't be getting in a dirty united Ireland.

They're nuts, but all religious fundamentalists are.

We will see what happens when free from Europe the reality sets in with the Little englanders and they start evauating the value for money they are getting for the block grant. Given the choice between farmers in NI and hospital waiting lists in Bristol, lets see if the farm subsidies continue.
Pete Shirlow on Sunday Politics said that unionists are now beginning to look at the union in economic terms, not as a question of sovereignty. It is time that those espousing a UI start making cogent economic arguments rather than calling for a border poll. Thats what will inform peoples voting intentions in a future referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 03:23:15 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 19, 2018, 01:22:11 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/ulster-farmers-union-backing-for-draft-brexit-deal-greatly-disappointing-says-allister-37542572.html?fbclid=IwAR1yW7N8Emst4Tk0sAbJUVMLt2-OoGJHo_076d-IoT8QWlMVoBKzbAW_sYA

"Mr Allister added: "Now is a time for anyone who values the prosperity which the UK Union has brought us to recognise that at this seminal moment to endorse Mrs May's plan is to endorse the break-up of the UK.""

Unionists are completely blind, none moreso than Jim. They really are believing the delusion that the north is a economic eutopia compared to the poor paddies down the road.

In Jim's own sheltered world there may be prosperity but try telling that to the increasing numbers who rely on foodbanks for survival.

His position and the position of unionists is entirely ideological and constitutional yet he continues to pretend that somehow Brexit will be beneficial for the economy here. This is the same man who wanted to build a bridge between Scotland and the north but who is happy to impose new barriers to trading on this island.

The Unionist politician's who are deriding the deal are mostly from privileged backgrounds and Brexit will not affect the lifestyles that they enjoy. However they are doing many of their people from ordinary working class backgrounds a huge disservice by pushing the UK government into a situation where a no deal scenario becomes more likely. The question is, at what point does basic economics overtake a flag.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 19, 2018, 03:40:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
Pete Shirlow on Sunday Politics said that unionists are now beginning to look at the union in economic terms, not as a question of sovereignty. It is time that those espousing a UI start making cogent economic arguments rather than calling for a border poll. Thats what will inform peoples voting intentions in a future referendum.

The fastest way to a UI was always going to be through economics.

Conversely - if the DUP were not so f**king thick and took this deal - then economics would be working for their union, not against it.

In the electorate here, there are two fringes, hardcore republican voters and hardcore unionists. They won't change their minds regardless of what happens. But there is a sizeable middle which could swing on *very stark* economic arguments.

If we crash out with no deal - then that middle group, irrespective of religion, will be economically envious of ROI and when folks are weighing up a fleg vs. food on the table, a border poll might not be such a bad idea.
If we got the deal - then we'd be in best of both worlds - and then it'd only be the fringe republicans voting for a UI as the rest would be economically better off and the risk not worth taking.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 19, 2018, 03:46:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 19, 2018, 03:40:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
Pete Shirlow on Sunday Politics said that unionists are now beginning to look at the union in economic terms, not as a question of sovereignty. It is time that those espousing a UI start making cogent economic arguments rather than calling for a border poll. Thats what will inform peoples voting intentions in a future referendum.

The fastest way to a UI was always going to be through economics.

Conversely - if the DUP were not so f**king thick and took this deal - then economics would be working for their union, not against it.

In the electorate here, there are two fringes, hardcore republican voters and hardcore unionists. They won't change their minds regardless of what happens. But there is a sizeable middle which could swing on *very stark* economic arguments.

If we crash out with no deal - then that middle group, irrespective of religion, will be economically envious of ROI and when folks are weighing up a fleg vs. food on the table, a border poll might not be such a bad idea.
If we got the deal - then we'd be in best of both worlds - and then it'd only be the fringe republicans voting for a UI as the rest would be economically better off and the risk not worth taking.

The DUP got a very good deal keeping them in the SM . The business and farming communities want it.
The stance of the DUP must be very hard to understand in Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 19, 2018, 04:24:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 19, 2018, 03:46:16 PM
The DUP got a very good deal keeping them in the SM . The business and farming communities want it.
The stance of the DUP must be very hard to understand in Brussels.

You don't have to go as far as Brussels to find it hard to understand!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 04:25:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 19, 2018, 03:40:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
Pete Shirlow on Sunday Politics said that unionists are now beginning to look at the union in economic terms, not as a question of sovereignty. It is time that those espousing a UI start making cogent economic arguments rather than calling for a border poll. Thats what will inform peoples voting intentions in a future referendum.

The fastest way to a UI was always going to be through economics.

Conversely - if the DUP were not so f**king thick and took this deal - then economics would be working for their union, not against it.

In the electorate here, there are two fringes, hardcore republican voters and hardcore unionists. They won't change their minds regardless of what happens. But there is a sizeable middle which could swing on *very stark* economic arguments.

If we crash out with no deal - then that middle group, irrespective of religion, will be economically envious of ROI and when folks are weighing up a fleg vs. food on the table, a border poll might not be such a bad idea.
If we got the deal - then we'd be in best of both worlds - and then it'd only be the fringe republicans voting for a UI as the rest would be economically better off and the risk not worth taking.

I get where you're coming from but using that same logic then why did they ever support Brexit in the first place? They are imperialist fantasists riddled with paranoia and fear and when they initially nailed their colours to the Brexit mast they were entering into an unknown in terms of how the process would pan out. I thought it was a bad move from them prior to Brexit and it has so transpired.

Before even reading the withdrawal agreement, their chief Brexit spokesman was comparing the EU to the IRA and stating that it was like receiving a punishment beating from them. It could well be as good as it gets for them at this stage though tribalism will ensure that they say 'no surrender' until the bitter end.       
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 19, 2018, 04:36:09 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 04:25:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 19, 2018, 03:40:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
Pete Shirlow on Sunday Politics said that unionists are now beginning to look at the union in economic terms, not as a question of sovereignty. It is time that those espousing a UI start making cogent economic arguments rather than calling for a border poll. Thats what will inform peoples voting intentions in a future referendum.

The fastest way to a UI was always going to be through economics.

Conversely - if the DUP were not so f**king thick and took this deal - then economics would be working for their union, not against it.

In the electorate here, there are two fringes, hardcore republican voters and hardcore unionists. They won't change their minds regardless of what happens. But there is a sizeable middle which could swing on *very stark* economic arguments.

If we crash out with no deal - then that middle group, irrespective of religion, will be economically envious of ROI and when folks are weighing up a fleg vs. food on the table, a border poll might not be such a bad idea.
If we got the deal - then we'd be in best of both worlds - and then it'd only be the fringe republicans voting for a UI as the rest would be economically better off and the risk not worth taking.

I get where you're coming from but using that same logic then why did they ever support Brexit in the first place? They are imperialist fantasists riddled with paranoia and fear and when they initially nailed their colours to the Brexit mast they were entering into an unknown in terms of how the process would pan out. I thought it was a bad move from them prior to Brexit and it has so transpired.

Before even reading the withdrawal agreement, their chief Brexit spokesman was comparing the EU to the IRA and stating that it was like receiving a punishment beating from them. It could well be as good as it gets for them at this stage though tribalism will ensure that they say 'no surrender' until the bitter end.       

Most people, DUP included, thought Brexit wouldn't happen. So they supported it thinking it would fail, but come out of it looking all British and patriotic. When brexit happened, they had to stick to it.

They didn't know how it would pan out. They still don't. But they still will persist with it no matter how stupid they look or how much damage they do to the economy and people's normal everyday lives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 04:46:57 PM
Whether settlers of of stock that took the soup, Unionists have always been under siege in Ireland. I was taken some years ago when I went to an outdoor museum somewhere in Tyrone which had a crannog and also a planters house. It was a living museum type of thing, where the planters were talking about how the native Irish were raiding and they had to be on the lookout. Folk memory.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 19, 2018, 04:53:15 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 04:46:57 PM
Whether settlers of of stock that took the soup, Unionists have always been under siege in Ireland. I was taken some years ago when I went to an outdoor museum somewhere in Tyrone which had a crannog and also a planters house. It was a living museum type of thing, where the planters were talking about how the native Irish were raiding and they had to be on the lookout. Folk memory.

Settlers are always paranoid.
They are scared of the revenge of the people they shafted. It comes out in different ways in different places.  It's the reason the US has a gun problem. It's the reason Israel will never sign a peace treaty with the Palestinians.  It's the reason Armistice Day is so important in Ballymena.

Prok and fitch via Gil Scot Heron
"The blues grew from  the nightmares of the white man"


https://youtu.be/-VTetYDhBNc


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 04:54:20 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 19, 2018, 04:36:09 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 04:25:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 19, 2018, 03:40:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
Pete Shirlow on Sunday Politics said that unionists are now beginning to look at the union in economic terms, not as a question of sovereignty. It is time that those espousing a UI start making cogent economic arguments rather than calling for a border poll. Thats what will inform peoples voting intentions in a future referendum.

The fastest way to a UI was always going to be through economics.

Conversely - if the DUP were not so f**king thick and took this deal - then economics would be working for their union, not against it.

In the electorate here, there are two fringes, hardcore republican voters and hardcore unionists. They won't change their minds regardless of what happens. But there is a sizeable middle which could swing on *very stark* economic arguments.

If we crash out with no deal - then that middle group, irrespective of religion, will be economically envious of ROI and when folks are weighing up a fleg vs. food on the table, a border poll might not be such a bad idea.
If we got the deal - then we'd be in best of both worlds - and then it'd only be the fringe republicans voting for a UI as the rest would be economically better off and the risk not worth taking.

I get where you're coming from but using that same logic then why did they ever support Brexit in the first place? They are imperialist fantasists riddled with paranoia and fear and when they initially nailed their colours to the Brexit mast they were entering into an unknown in terms of how the process would pan out. I thought it was a bad move from them prior to Brexit and it has so transpired.

Before even reading the withdrawal agreement, their chief Brexit spokesman was comparing the EU to the IRA and stating that it was like receiving a punishment beating from them. It could well be as good as it gets for them at this stage though tribalism will ensure that they say 'no surrender' until the bitter end.       

Most people, DUP included, thought Brexit wouldn't happen. So they supported it thinking it would fail, but come out of it looking all British and patriotic. When brexit happened, they had to stick to it.

They didn't know how it would pan out. They still don't. But they still will persist with it no matter how stupid they look or how much damage they do to the economy and people's normal everyday lives.

I think they are also enjoying the publicity that being in bed with the Tory far right has given them. They have become emboldened and indulged by like minded extremists in this whole Brexit debate. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 19, 2018, 05:07:50 PM
It's funny comparing the DUP running around like Chicken Licken and the chat on the Ulster Club championship. When you know who you are versus when you don't. 
That was no penalty  versus we are going to bring down the Government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 19, 2018, 07:29:45 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 04:54:20 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 19, 2018, 04:36:09 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 04:25:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 19, 2018, 03:40:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
Pete Shirlow on Sunday Politics said that unionists are now beginning to look at the union in economic terms, not as a question of sovereignty. It is time that those espousing a UI start making cogent economic arguments rather than calling for a border poll. Thats what will inform peoples voting intentions in a future referendum.

The fastest way to a UI was always going to be through economics.

Conversely - if the DUP were not so f**king thick and took this deal - then economics would be working for their union, not against it.

In the electorate here, there are two fringes, hardcore republican voters and hardcore unionists. They won't change their minds regardless of what happens. But there is a sizeable middle which could swing on *very stark* economic arguments.

If we crash out with no deal - then that middle group, irrespective of religion, will be economically envious of ROI and when folks are weighing up a fleg vs. food on the table, a border poll might not be such a bad idea.
If we got the deal - then we'd be in best of both worlds - and then it'd only be the fringe republicans voting for a UI as the rest would be economically better off and the risk not worth taking.

I get where you're coming from but using that same logic then why did they ever support Brexit in the first place? They are imperialist fantasists riddled with paranoia and fear and when they initially nailed their colours to the Brexit mast they were entering into an unknown in terms of how the process would pan out. I thought it was a bad move from them prior to Brexit and it has so transpired.

Before even reading the withdrawal agreement, their chief Brexit spokesman was comparing the EU to the IRA and stating that it was like receiving a punishment beating from them. It could well be as good as it gets for them at this stage though tribalism will ensure that they say 'no surrender' until the bitter end.       

Most people, DUP included, thought Brexit wouldn't happen. So they supported it thinking it would fail, but come out of it looking all British and patriotic. When brexit happened, they had to stick to it.

They didn't know how it would pan out. They still don't. But they still will persist with it no matter how stupid they look or how much damage they do to the economy and people's normal everyday lives.

I think they are also enjoying the publicity that being in bed with the Tory far right has given them. They have become emboldened and indulged by like minded extremists in this whole Brexit debate.

That's exactly it. They are like pigs in shit with the amount of air time they have been given when for most of the people in GB, they've been an obscure party up to now. They thrive in positioning themselves as defenders of the Union and pride themselves in the stubborn streak they are showing in contrast what they portray to be weak Theresa May taking a bad beaten from the EU, and worse, from Dublin. And worse again that she lied to them for the God-fearing DUP never tell a porky, and only denounce sinners, of what she is one and so is  Leo, Barnier and the rest of the EU. Brexit gives the DUP everything: siege, no surrender, blasphemers. They could only ever be on the side they have taken.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Saffrongael on November 19, 2018, 09:24:47 PM
Seems Corbyn doesent even understand Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 19, 2018, 09:30:38 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-46269685

The £1bn should be coming through any day now!  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 10:40:34 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 19, 2018, 09:30:38 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-46269685

The £1bn should be coming through any day now!  ::)

From Keunsberg

A senior DUP source has just told me tonight's votes were deliberately designed to "send a message to Theresa May that if she wants to continue down the road of the withdrawal agreement and its effect on the Union then there will be repercussions in the Commons".
"She could be leading them to a very bad place," they continued. "Tory MPs need to realise that their jobs, their majorities, their careers depend on a good working relationship with the DUP and May doesn't appear to be listening."

That's Theresa May told now, the DUP are loving the fact that they are threatening the careers of Tory MPs. Do they really think May is going to shake the magic money tree at them or is it just an empty threat. I'd imagine what they really hope for is an arch Brexiteer to step forward and oust May but that is looking less likely than it was a few days ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 06:08:55 AM
What is happening now is truly historic


https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/arlene-foster-urged-to-get-down-from-brexiteer-high-horse-37543431.html
"DUP leader Arlene Foster should get down from her hard "Brexiteer high horse" and rethink her decision to oppose the proposed Brexit deal, Sinn Fein's president has said.
Mary Lou McDonald insisted it was time for "grown-up politics" and to act to protect the island of Ireland's economy from a no-deal Brexit."

The video is worth watching because MLMD and by extension SF are tuned into reality and the DUP is not.

Paging Orior

The English destroyed the O'Neill ceremonial chair in Tullyhogue as they broke the power of the Gaelic lords and kicked off the plantation

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-29068832

400 years later standing beside MLMD is an O'Neill.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 07:53:30 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 04:54:20 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 19, 2018, 04:36:09 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 19, 2018, 04:25:16 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 19, 2018, 03:40:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 19, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
Pete Shirlow on Sunday Politics said that unionists are now beginning to look at the union in economic terms, not as a question of sovereignty. It is time that those espousing a UI start making cogent economic arguments rather than calling for a border poll. Thats what will inform peoples voting intentions in a future referendum.

The fastest way to a UI was always going to be through economics.

Conversely - if the DUP were not so f**king thick and took this deal - then economics would be working for their union, not against it.

In the electorate here, there are two fringes, hardcore republican voters and hardcore unionists. They won't change their minds regardless of what happens. But there is a sizeable middle which could swing on *very stark* economic arguments.

If we crash out with no deal - then that middle group, irrespective of religion, will be economically envious of ROI and when folks are weighing up a fleg vs. food on the table, a border poll might not be such a bad idea.
If we got the deal - then we'd be in best of both worlds - and then it'd only be the fringe republicans voting for a UI as the rest would be economically better off and the risk not worth taking.

I get where you're coming from but using that same logic then why did they ever support Brexit in the first place? They are imperialist fantasists riddled with paranoia and fear and when they initially nailed their colours to the Brexit mast they were entering into an unknown in terms of how the process would pan out. I thought it was a bad move from them prior to Brexit and it has so transpired.

Before even reading the withdrawal agreement, their chief Brexit spokesman was comparing the EU to the IRA and stating that it was like receiving a punishment beating from them. It could well be as good as it gets for them at this stage though tribalism will ensure that they say 'no surrender' until the bitter end.       

Most people, DUP included, thought Brexit wouldn't happen. So they supported it thinking it would fail, but come out of it looking all British and patriotic. When brexit happened, they had to stick to it.

They didn't know how it would pan out. They still don't. But they still will persist with it no matter how stupid they look or how much damage they do to the economy and people's normal everyday lives.

I think they are also enjoying the publicity that being in bed with the Tory far right has given them. They have become emboldened and indulged by like minded extremists in this whole Brexit debate.

Periods of English madness do happen but they don't last. The DUP will be shafted royally.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oliver_Cromwell

On 20 April 1653, he (Oliver Cromwell) dismissed the Rump Parliament by force, setting up a short-lived nominated assembly known as Barebone's Parliament before being invited by his fellow leaders to rule as Lord Protector of England (which included Wales at the time), Scotland, and Ireland from 16 December 1653.[As a ruler, he executed an aggressive and effective foreign policy. He died from natural causes in 1658 and was buried in Westminster Abbey. The Royalists returned to power along with King Charles II in 1660, and they had his corpse dug up, hung in chains, and beheaded.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 20, 2018, 09:26:06 AM
It's now a massive game of Political Chicken.
Crucially, the DUP haven't pulled their confidence and supply arrangement yet. So do they Vote against this Brexit plan, risk the Government failing and a no deal brexit or even a no brexit at all.
Could May try and call an Election? Risking a Labour Government?
Do the Tories try and oust her? This seems unlikely now as each day passes. They can seem to get the 48 letters. Who knew? The Tory party is full of shit!!

No doubt the DUP had a strong hand, but they appear to have overplayed it and as the others put down potential winning ones, they are stuck with Mr Bun the Baker,  Pokemon, Bryan Robson Match Attack, Alf and a Sheffield Wednesday shinny.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on November 20, 2018, 09:47:42 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 20, 2018, 09:26:06 AM
It's now a massive game of Political Chicken.
Crucially, the DUP haven't pulled their confidence and supply arrangement yet. So do they Vote against this Brexit plan, risk the Government failing and a no deal brexit or even a no brexit at all.
Could May try and call an Election? Risking a Labour Government?
Do the Tories try and oust her? This seems unlikely now as each day passes. They can seem to get the 48 letters. Who knew? The Tory party is full of shit!!

No doubt the DUP had a strong hand, but they appear to have overplayed it and as the others put down potential winning ones, they are stuck with Mr Bun the Baker,  Pokemon, Bryan Robson Match Attack, Alf and a Sheffield Wednesday shinny.

I get the feeling the DUP would nearly be happy enough to go back to what they had. I think they completely misread the repercussions of a Brexit in their haste to try and strengthen the union. I think now the penny will have dropped that if anything it's weakened it and that a no Brexit would be better for them than this deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 10:13:03 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 20, 2018, 09:26:06 AM
It's now a massive game of Political Chicken.
Crucially, the DUP haven't pulled their confidence and supply arrangement yet. So do they Vote against this Brexit plan, risk the Government failing and a no deal brexit or even a no brexit at all.
Could May try and call an Election? Risking a Labour Government?
Do the Tories try and oust her? This seems unlikely now as each day passes. They can seem to get the 48 letters. Who knew? The Tory party is full of shit!!

No doubt the DUP had a strong hand, but they appear to have overplayed it and as the others put down potential winning ones, they are stuck with Mr Bun the Baker,  Pokemon, Bryan Robson Match Attack, Alf and a Sheffield Wednesday shinny.



https://youtu.be/1zkjLVMMutY

Attacking  the Tories probably won't end well for the DUP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 20, 2018, 10:21:19 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 20, 2018, 09:47:42 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 20, 2018, 09:26:06 AM
It's now a massive game of Political Chicken.
Crucially, the DUP haven't pulled their confidence and supply arrangement yet. So do they Vote against this Brexit plan, risk the Government failing and a no deal brexit or even a no brexit at all.
Could May try and call an Election? Risking a Labour Government?
Do the Tories try and oust her? This seems unlikely now as each day passes. They can seem to get the 48 letters. Who knew? The Tory party is full of shit!!

No doubt the DUP had a strong hand, but they appear to have overplayed it and as the others put down potential winning ones, they are stuck with Mr Bun the Baker,  Pokemon, Bryan Robson Match Attack, Alf and a Sheffield Wednesday shinny.

I get the feeling the DUP would nearly be happy enough to go back to what they had. I think they completely misread the repercussions of a Brexit in their haste to try and strengthen the union. I think now the penny will have dropped that if anything it's weakened it and that a no Brexit would be better for them than this deal.

Does this withdrawal deal not potentially strengthen their "precious union"? If NI has unfettered access to the EU and the UK is this not an ideal scenario for business and the economy in general. Why would people vote to leave this beneficial scenario.
Of course, with a hard border or lets say a stickier border than we currently enjoy, it could/would tie us ever closer to GB. Reliant on it's handouts and trade crumbs to stay afloat, stay alive even. A sort of cold war satellite region. Perhaps this is the DUP vision.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 20, 2018, 10:35:50 AM
Maybe the DUP will go away and come back with Graduated Response II.

While theyre at it, maybe they could tell us what Graduated Response I was.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 10:43:00 AM
When the DUP roll out Sammy Wilson it feels like watching the boys in green. Martin  O'Neill just doesn't have the players. Neither does Arlene.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on November 20, 2018, 10:44:15 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 20, 2018, 10:21:19 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 20, 2018, 09:47:42 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 20, 2018, 09:26:06 AM
It's now a massive game of Political Chicken.
Crucially, the DUP haven't pulled their confidence and supply arrangement yet. So do they Vote against this Brexit plan, risk the Government failing and a no deal brexit or even a no brexit at all.
Could May try and call an Election? Risking a Labour Government?
Do the Tories try and oust her? This seems unlikely now as each day passes. They can seem to get the 48 letters. Who knew? The Tory party is full of shit!!

No doubt the DUP had a strong hand, but they appear to have overplayed it and as the others put down potential winning ones, they are stuck with Mr Bun the Baker,  Pokemon, Bryan Robson Match Attack, Alf and a Sheffield Wednesday shinny.

I get the feeling the DUP would nearly be happy enough to go back to what they had. I think they completely misread the repercussions of a Brexit in their haste to try and strengthen the union. I think now the penny will have dropped that if anything it's weakened it and that a no Brexit would be better for them than this deal.

Does this withdrawal deal not potentially strengthen their "precious union"? If NI has unfettered access to the EU and the UK is this not an ideal scenario for business and the economy in general. Why would people vote to leave this beneficial scenario.
Of course, with a hard border or lets say a stickier border than we currently enjoy, it could/would tie us ever closer to GB. Reliant on it's handouts and trade crumbs to stay afloat, stay alive even. A sort of cold war satellite region. Perhaps this is the DUP vision.
You would think that yes. But in their minds it's creating a difference between NI and the rest of the UK. They have fought long and hard to show how British they are and that they are no different from anyone in England. This deal will make NI slightly different (They don't care that it might be a good different) and they're not happy. It seems they would rather NI died economically rather than risk anything that would weaken the union.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 20, 2018, 10:50:50 AM
It's possible that the DUP have been sent out to do the rabble rousing for the hard line Brexiteers in the Tory Party. These Brexiteers were full of rhetoric and threats yet when push came to shove they failed to put up a credible alternative to May's deal. None of them were willing to step forward to force a challenge to May's leadership since they know it is a poisoned chalice.

It's possible that the DUP are being seduced and played like a fiddle by the likes of Mogg and Johnson for their own slightly different personal motives. Who would have thought that Sammy Wilson would be at the front and centre of British politics a few years ago.     

   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on November 20, 2018, 11:09:37 AM
Seems like nobody has remembered the Spanish have a vested interest as well.

They could vote down the deal over Gibraltar.

This is such a shitshow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 20, 2018, 11:12:50 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 10:43:00 AM
When the DUP roll out Sammy Wilson it feels like watching the boys in green. Martin  O'Neill just doesn't have the players. Neither does Arlene.

Sammy is going to negotiate a new deal with the EU it seems, well done Sammy, you show 'em;

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dup-focused-on-changing-brexit-deal-but-promises-have-been-broken-and-we-dont-feel-obligated-to-deliver-on-our-pledges-sammy-wilson-37546981.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dup-focused-on-changing-brexit-deal-but-promises-have-been-broken-and-we-dont-feel-obligated-to-deliver-on-our-pledges-sammy-wilson-37546981.html)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 20, 2018, 11:32:11 AM
A few other observations.

Sammy Wilson is the DUP's Brexit spokesperson. So he isn't so much wheeled out as he is their authority on Brexit. He's also looks like a walking heart-attack. (He nearly 70). I met him very briefly once and he is quite affable (dare I say likeable?) in person.

The Tories haven't got the 48 letters. Mogg and his mates have no backbone or are an even smaller number than we're led to believe. The current number of letters is put at 20-25.

The whole Brexit was arse about face. A hypothetical deal should have been negotiated before a referendum held. As in here's what our future relationship will look like should you vote to leave. Problem is, Brexit means a huge number of different things, to different people. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.

There is a lack of journalistic talent to challenge these politicians or else they are complicit in their plan of spreading disinformation.

Who knew Spain and Gibraltar could've been an issue??... lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 11:40:19 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 20, 2018, 11:32:11 AM
A few other observations.

Sammy Wilson is the DUP's Brexit spokesperson. So he isn't so much wheeled out as he is their authority on Brexit. He's also looks like a walking heart-attack. (He nearly 70). I met him very briefly once and he is quite affable (dare I say likeable?) in person.

The Tories haven't got the 48 letters. Mogg and his mates have no backbone or are an even smaller number than we're led to believe. The current number of letters is put at 20-25.

The whole Brexit was arse about face. A hypothetical deal should have been negotiated before a referendum held. As in here's what our future relationship will look like should you vote to leave. Problem is, Brexit means a huge number of different things, to different people. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.

There is a lack of journalistic talent to challenge these politicians or else they are complicit in their plan of spreading disinformation.

Who knew Spain and Gibraltar could've been an issue??... lol.
Sammy has no authority. He is a fupin eejit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 20, 2018, 11:47:08 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 11:40:19 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 20, 2018, 11:32:11 AM
A few other observations.

Sammy Wilson is the DUP's Brexit spokesperson. So he isn't so much wheeled out as he is their authority on Brexit. He's also looks like a walking heart-attack. (He nearly 70). I met him very briefly once and he is quite affable (dare I say likeable?) in person.

The Tories haven't got the 48 letters. Mogg and his mates have no backbone or are an even smaller number than we're led to believe. The current number of letters is put at 20-25.

The whole Brexit was arse about face. A hypothetical deal should have been negotiated before a referendum held. As in here's what our future relationship will look like should you vote to leave. Problem is, Brexit means a huge number of different things, to different people. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.

There is a lack of journalistic talent to challenge these politicians or else they are complicit in their plan of spreading disinformation.

Who knew Spain and Gibraltar could've been an issue??... lol.
Sammy has no authority. He is a fupin eejit.

Nige is calling the shots I tell you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on November 20, 2018, 12:01:43 PM
Apologies if it has been raised before lads.

Could the DUP be shouting from the rooftops to appease their core support when secretly underneath be content with May's proposals?

We know that they will sell their soul for money (unlike hardcore loyalists) so no doubt being financially better off is a motivator.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 20, 2018, 12:02:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 20, 2018, 11:32:11 AM
A few other observations.

Sammy Wilson is the DUP's Brexit spokesperson. So he isn't so much wheeled out as he is their authority on Brexit. He's also looks like a walking heart-attack. (He nearly 70). I met him very briefly once and he is quite affable (dare I say likeable?) in person.

The Tories haven't got the 48 letters. Mogg and his mates have no backbone or are an even smaller number than we're led to believe. The current number of letters is put at 20-25.

The whole Brexit was arse about face. A hypothetical deal should have been negotiated before a referendum held. As in here's what our future relationship will look like should you vote to leave. Problem is, Brexit means a huge number of different things, to different people. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.

There is a lack of journalistic talent to challenge these politicians or else they are complicit in their plan of spreading disinformation.

Who knew Spain and Gibraltar could've been an issue??... lol.

Dead on mate
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 20, 2018, 12:03:04 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on November 20, 2018, 12:01:43 PM
Apologies if it has been raised before lads.

Could the DUP be shouting from the rooftops to appease their core support when secretly underneath be content with May's proposals?

We know that they will sell their soul for money (unlike hardcore loyalists) so no doubt being financially better off is a motivator.

Well, apart from the fact that there is a vote on it and what way they voted will be public knowledge.... ???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 20, 2018, 12:13:44 PM
One out of leftfield:

If this halfway house is such a good deal but the DUP too blind to play ball, why don't the Republic offer to align as soon kind of halfway house? 

Leo and the boys are saying we are well in with the Europeans so we could say that we will have an regulatory alignment with Brits, keeping the island border free and skelping a rake of business out of London and the like.

A sort of Hong Kong of Europe.

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 20, 2018, 12:22:28 PM
Construction on Achill island to begin in the New Year.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 20, 2018, 12:43:55 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 20, 2018, 12:13:44 PM
One out of leftfield:

If this halfway house is such a good deal but the DUP too blind to play ball, why don't the Republic offer to align as soon kind of halfway house? 

Leo and the boys are saying we are well in with the Europeans so we could say that we will have an regulatory alignment with Brits, keeping the island border free and skelping a rake of business out of London and the like.

A sort of Hong Kong of Europe.

/Jim.

Did I read that the regulatory alignment only covers "goods" so would that rule out things like financial services thereby preventing NI being Hong Kong of Europe (fantasy stuff anyway)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on November 20, 2018, 12:52:58 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 20, 2018, 12:13:44 PM
One out of leftfield:

If this halfway house is such a good deal but the DUP too blind to play ball, why don't the Republic offer to align as soon kind of halfway house? 

Leo and the boys are saying we are well in with the Europeans so we could say that we will have an regulatory alignment with Brits, keeping the island border free and skelping a rake of business out of London and the like.

A sort of Hong Kong of Europe.

/Jim.

What happens when the British start "tearing up the EU red tap that is stifling business" do we continue to align with them and move out of alignment with the rest of the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 20, 2018, 01:02:17 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on November 20, 2018, 12:52:58 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 20, 2018, 12:13:44 PM
One out of leftfield:

If this halfway house is such a good deal but the DUP too blind to play ball, why don't the Republic offer to align as soon kind of halfway house? 

Leo and the boys are saying we are well in with the Europeans so we could say that we will have an regulatory alignment with Brits, keeping the island border free and skelping a rake of business out of London and the like.

A sort of Hong Kong of Europe.

/Jim.

What happens when the British start "tearing up the EU red tap that is stifling business" do we continue to align with them and move out of alignment with the rest of the EU?

No idea, but if the North could be a halfway house with the best of both worlds I am wondering if it could be inverted.

As for cutting the red tape.  I worrying hear a brexiteer on Newsnight extolling the virtues of cheap meat from South America.   I don't know about the average Brit but I am happy to pay a little bit extra for the quality regulations (in particular around steroid and antibiotic use) the EU enforce.

/Jim.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 20, 2018, 01:11:02 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 20, 2018, 01:02:17 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on November 20, 2018, 12:52:58 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 20, 2018, 12:13:44 PM
One out of leftfield:

If this halfway house is such a good deal but the DUP too blind to play ball, why don't the Republic offer to align as soon kind of halfway house? 

Leo and the boys are saying we are well in with the Europeans so we could say that we will have an regulatory alignment with Brits, keeping the island border free and skelping a rake of business out of London and the like.

A sort of Hong Kong of Europe.

/Jim.

What happens when the British start "tearing up the EU red tap that is stifling business" do we continue to align with them and move out of alignment with the rest of the EU?

No idea, but if the North could be a halfway house with the best of both worlds I am wondering if it could be inverted.

As for cutting the red tape.  I worrying hear a brexiteer on Newsnight extolling the virtues of cheap meat from South America.   I don't know about the average Brit but I am happy to pay a little bit extra for the quality regulations (in particular around steroid and antibiotic use) the EU enforce.

/Jim.

One thing is for certain, waist sizes are going to increase when they start eating beef pumped with steroids. Look at your average Yank, who rarely eats grass fed beef. Some of those Brexiteers don't look the healthiest to begin with but they are about to get a lot more unhealthy with these new trade deals. They laugh about chlorinated chicken but that's what they will be eating, and yellow eggs from poor hens caged up eating soymeal all day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 20, 2018, 03:50:14 PM
Sammy and the DUP have got their bogeyman;

"Sammy Wilson accused "Brit-bashing" Taoiseach Leo Varadkar of harming good relations he helped forge between the Belfast and Dublin administrations while he was a minister in the Northern Ireland Executive."

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html)

That'll keep the natives happy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on November 20, 2018, 03:59:32 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 20, 2018, 03:50:14 PM
Sammy and the DUP have got their bogeyman;

"Sammy Wilson accused "Brit-bashing" Taoiseach Leo Varadkar of harming good relations he helped forge between the Belfast and Dublin administrations while he was a minister in the Northern Ireland Executive."

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html)

That'll keep the natives happy.

LOL I always used to think people in the DUP had no sense of humour or irony but I'm changing my mind.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 20, 2018, 04:01:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 20, 2018, 03:50:14 PM
Sammy and the DUP have got their bogeyman;

"Sammy Wilson accused "Brit-bashing" Taoiseach Leo Varadkar of harming good relations he helped forge between the Belfast and Dublin administrations while he was a minister in the Northern Ireland Executive."

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html)

That'll keep the natives happy.

Sammy is the equivalent of Chemical Ali, he keeps the entertainment values high.

I don't know what it is about him but I just can't take him serious and it's still a bit surreal that he is currently at the forefront of British politics. He has received saturation coverage on mainstream British tv since last week and is loving the attention. I don't think he is capable of conducting an interview without mentioning SF/IRA, EU, Irish government, Varadkar, Coveney. He's just a more sanitised version of Willie Frazer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 20, 2018, 04:57:49 PM
Unfortunately though there are people who take him seriously meaning he is a dangerous man.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on November 20, 2018, 05:05:08 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 20, 2018, 04:01:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 20, 2018, 03:50:14 PM
Sammy and the DUP have got their bogeyman;

"Sammy Wilson accused "Brit-bashing" Taoiseach Leo Varadkar of harming good relations he helped forge between the Belfast and Dublin administrations while he was a minister in the Northern Ireland Executive."

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html)

That'll keep the natives happy.

Sammy is the equivalent of Chemical Ali, he keeps the entertainment values high.

I don't know what it is about him but I just can't take him serious and it's still a bit surreal that he is currently at the forefront of British politics. He has received saturation coverage on mainstream British tv since last week and is loving the attention. I don't think he is capable of conducting an interview without mentioning SF/IRA, EU, Irish government, Varadkar, Coveney. He's just a more sanitised version of Willie Frazer.

I didn't know he went to Methody & Queen's and was an economics teacher.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 20, 2018, 08:05:08 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on November 20, 2018, 05:05:08 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 20, 2018, 04:01:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 20, 2018, 03:50:14 PM
Sammy and the DUP have got their bogeyman;

"Sammy Wilson accused "Brit-bashing" Taoiseach Leo Varadkar of harming good relations he helped forge between the Belfast and Dublin administrations while he was a minister in the Northern Ireland Executive."

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-britbashing-taoiseach-varadkar-has-undone-good-relations-work-i-helped-build-says-dups-sammy-wilson-37547473.html)

That'll keep the natives happy.

Sammy is the equivalent of Chemical Ali, he keeps the entertainment values high.

I don't know what it is about him but I just can't take him serious and it's still a bit surreal that he is currently at the forefront of British politics. He has received saturation coverage on mainstream British tv since last week and is loving the attention. I don't think he is capable of conducting an interview without mentioning SF/IRA, EU, Irish government, Varadkar, Coveney. He's just a more sanitised version of Willie Frazer.

I didn't know he went to Methody & Queen's and was an economics teacher.

Fat lot of good that little lot did him....what a waste of money & time. It is difficult to educate a neanderthal baboon properly. I would reckon that if he doesn't see his GP, the old BP will get him soon. Hopefully.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 08:37:30 PM
I remember watching wee Sammy 25 years ago. He was always too bigoted to be credible. Same as Willie McCrea and Gregory Campbell. Sub council level Fianna Fáil quality.
The DUP don't have anyone who understands the tail risk that comes with Brexit.
And it's important.

Stop to pretend. Stop pretending

https://youtu.be/cfamwv1kR4M
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 09:12:01 PM

Belfast News Letter
Belfast News Letter
@News_Letter
Brexit: Sammy Wilson says UFU and business leaders are puppets of NI Office

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 20, 2018, 09:19:33 PM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/brexit-arron-banks-dines-with-dup-after-mps-grilling-37003609.html

Seems like Sammy has heeded his mate Aaron Banks' advice whilst trying to get his message across in the last week.

It's not about facts, it's all about emotion
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 20, 2018, 10:05:53 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 20, 2018, 09:19:33 PM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/brexit-arron-banks-dines-with-dup-after-mps-grilling-37003609.html

Seems like Sammy has heeded his mate Aaron Banks' advice whilst trying to get his message across in the last week.

It's not about facts, it's all about emotion
I thought uncontrolled expressions of emotion were a Papist speciality. Sammy sounds like one of their priests taking orders from a big wig elsewhere.
So many stereotypes are collapsing with the Tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2018, 10:33:03 PM
Met Sammy a few times through work years ago, very engaging and clever and funny! This was obviously in a non political point scoring them and uses platform
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 20, 2018, 11:11:28 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 20, 2018, 10:33:03 PM
Met Sammy a few times through work years ago, very engaging and clever and funny! This was obviously in a non political point scoring them and uses platform

I'd imagine that away from all the rabble rousing hes probably one of the few DUPers that sounds like he hasn't had a humour transplant.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2018, 02:59:30 AM
This is why the Shinners should get off their high horse,play tactically and move things in the direction of what they ultimately want

https://www.bbc.com/news/av/uk-politics-46282910/in-full-nicola-sturgeon-interview-with-laura-kuenssberg-on-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2018, 06:13:22 AM
Senior hurling for the DUP

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/nov/20/theresa-may-to-meet-juncker-strengthened-by-failure-of-brexiter-revolt

"Theresa May will meet Jean-Claude Juncker in Brussels on Wednesday to try to finalise the political declaration covering future UK-European Union relations after attempts by hard Brexiters to remove her ended in humiliation.

The prime minister meets the European commission president in the late afternoon in her strongest position since the first part of the Brexit deal was published last week after Jacob Rees-Mogg, the leader of the Tory rebels, conceded that it might take time to call a no-confidence vote."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 12:32:38 PM
DUP wheeling out the artillery today.

Ian Paisley junior (just back after his suspension): Asks Karen Bradley has she considered the threat of loyalist violence. Also wants to build the bridge to Scotland.
Sammy Wilson: The business community groups are 'puppets for the government'.
Jim Shannon: Says to karen Bradley that government are going to get a rude awakening
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 21, 2018, 12:38:16 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 12:32:38 PM
DUP wheeling out the artillery today.

Ian Paisley junior (just back after his suspension): Asks Karen Bradley has she considered the threat of loyalist violence. Also wants to build the bridge to Scotland.
Sammy Wilson: The business community groups are 'puppets for the government'.
Jim Shannon: Says to karen Bradley that government are going to get a rude awakening

Get the candles out....another UWC strike looming? Not that the DUP would ever ever take anything to do with loyalist paramilitary  activity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 21, 2018, 12:38:30 PM
Showing themselves up as the total gang of thick ignorant  arrogant cnuts most of us knew them to be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on November 21, 2018, 12:50:04 PM
If May keeps insisting that this deal is in the best for the whole of the UK.....then prove it....and put it to a people's vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on November 21, 2018, 12:57:56 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 12:32:38 PM
DUP wheeling out the artillery today.

Ian Paisley junior (just back after his suspension): Asks Karen Bradley has she considered the threat of loyalist violence. Also wants to build the bridge to Scotland.
Sammy Wilson: The business community groups are 'puppets for the government'.
Jim Shannon: Says to karen Bradley that government are going to get a rude awakening

Sure what use is that without digging a moat around the six counties?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 21, 2018, 01:00:31 PM
The bridge to Scotland was a pre-emptive hint to the rest of the uk by the DUP to show how united we all are, and we're all the same etc etc. It was points on the board before the match started.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 21, 2018, 01:19:51 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 21, 2018, 01:00:31 PM
The bridge to Scotland was a pre-emptive hint to the rest of the uk by the DUP to show how united we all are, and we're all the same etc etc. It was points on the board before the match started.
Sure most Scots wouldn't want anything to do with the Dup.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 21, 2018, 01:23:23 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 21, 2018, 01:00:31 PM
The bridge to Scotland was a pre-emptive hint to the rest of the uk by the DUP to show how united we all are, and we're all the same etc etc. It was points on the board before the match started.

Surprised Nicola Sturgeon isn't prepared to meet them halfway with the costs...........

Deluded doesn't even come into it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 21, 2018, 01:25:57 PM
Nicola would like the same deal the North is getting!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2018, 01:37:01 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 21, 2018, 01:25:57 PM
Nicola would like the same deal the North is getting!

Independence? as thats all she wants in fairness
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 01:57:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 21, 2018, 01:25:57 PM
Nicola would like the same deal the North is getting!

And she doesn't mind wrecking the current deal to get it. Very disappointed with the SNP's position on all this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 21, 2018, 02:02:48 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 21, 2018, 01:19:51 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 21, 2018, 01:00:31 PM
The bridge to Scotland was a pre-emptive hint to the rest of the uk by the DUP to show how united we all are, and we're all the same etc etc. It was points on the board before the match started.
Sure most Scots wouldn't want anything to do with the Dup.

Aye, sure this lovey-dovey relationship the DUP/unionists have with Britain is all one way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 02:02:57 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 01:57:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 21, 2018, 01:25:57 PM
Nicola would like the same deal the North is getting!

And she doesn't mind wrecking the current deal to get it. Very disappointed with the SNP's position on all this.

You can't really blame her though, her only concern is that of the welfare of Scotland. The only deal that could be economically beneficial for Scotland is another referendum, otherwise they will become very isolated.

It's a rare conglomerate of anti deal groupings now. Hard Tory Brexiteers, SNP, Labour & DUP all attacking Theresa May for their own varying different reasons. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 21, 2018, 02:07:55 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 21, 2018, 01:19:51 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 21, 2018, 01:00:31 PM
The bridge to Scotland was a pre-emptive hint to the rest of the uk by the DUP to show how united we all are, and we're all the same etc etc. It was points on the board before the match started.
Sure most Scots wouldn't want anything to do with the Dup.

Widnae say dat around Glasgae
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:17:35 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 02:02:57 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 01:57:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 21, 2018, 01:25:57 PM
Nicola would like the same deal the North is getting!

And she doesn't mind wrecking the current deal to get it. Very disappointed with the SNP's position on all this.



You can't really blame her though, her only concern is that of the welfare of Scotland. The only deal that could be economically beneficial for Scotland is another referendum, otherwise they will become very isolated.

It's a rare conglomerate of anti deal groupings now. Hard Tory Brexiteers, SNP, Labour & DUP all attacking Theresa May for their own varying different reasons.

Then why is she not diverting her energy towards another referendum which is very much strengthened by the events of the last week or two.
Her electorate and Scotland voted against Brexit and now she prefers a hard Brexit over the current deal.
It's all very confusing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 02:19:15 PM
500 jobs announced to go in Bombardier next spring. More trouble for the DUP closer to home as they swan around Westminster losing sight of what is important.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:23:08 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 02:19:15 PM
500 jobs announced to go in Bombardier next spring. More trouble for the DUP closer to home as they swan around Westminster losing sight of what is important.

Was thinking the same thing. Their house and ours is falling in round them and all they want to is obsess with Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2018, 02:36:40 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 02:19:15 PM
500 jobs announced to go in Bombardier next spring. More trouble for the DUP closer to home as they swan around Westminster losing sight of what is important.
That is a sucker blow for NI
500 good jobs as well
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 21, 2018, 02:56:11 PM
The bridge to scotland is just smoke and mirrors from this plus them abstaining from the last few commons votes to try and show May who's boss.

Probably more this. I doubt they even care.

Why would Sturgeon not look for a better deal? Be foolish not to.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:57:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.

"Taken out of the EU against our will, taken out of the single market and customs union against our economic interests...that's the cost to Scotland of not being independent."

Ok mister smarter than me how does the above statement correlate with gathering up a possy and collaborating with the DUP to train wreck a deal that's better than a hard Brexit for Scotland.
Instead of getting personal why don't you answer my question. Did I attack Her
Are you Sryefus by any chance
The Dunning- Kruger effect is strong in you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on November 21, 2018, 03:01:42 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:57:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.

"Taken out of the EU against our will, taken out of the single market and customs union against our economic interests...that's the cost to Scotland of not being independent."

Ok mister smarter than me how does the above statement correlate with gathering up a possy and collaborating with the DUP to train wreck a deal that's better than a hard Brexit for Scotland.
Instead of getting personal why don't you answer my question. Did I attack Her
Are you Sryefus by any chance
The Dunning- Kruger effect is strong in you.

Not that difficult to get actually.

The current deal keeps NI effectively in the SM and CU, therefore making it a more attractive place to do business. Setting it on a direct competition pathway with scotland.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 03:11:27 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2018, 03:01:42 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:57:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.

"Taken out of the EU against our will, taken out of the single market and customs union against our economic interests...that's the cost to Scotland of not being independent."

Ok mister smarter than me how does the above statement correlate with gathering up a possy and collaborating with the DUP to train wreck a deal that's better than a hard Brexit for Scotland.
Instead of getting personal why don't you answer my question. Did I attack Her
Are you Sryefus by any chance
The Dunning- Kruger effect is strong in you.

Not that difficult to get actually.

The current deal keeps NI effectively in the SM and CU, therefore making it a more attractive place to do business. Setting it on a direct competition pathway with scotland.

I understand that part fine but my question is, will a hard Brexit be any different to Scotland. Sabotaging the current deal makes no more difference to Scotland than it does to Wales
It's this Deal or no deal
Scotland should be pushing for another referendum then they can join the EU and look for a similar arrangement with England
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on November 21, 2018, 03:16:35 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 03:11:27 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2018, 03:01:42 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:57:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.

"Taken out of the EU against our will, taken out of the single market and customs union against our economic interests...that's the cost to Scotland of not being independent."

Ok mister smarter than me how does the above statement correlate with gathering up a possy and collaborating with the DUP to train wreck a deal that's better than a hard Brexit for Scotland.
Instead of getting personal why don't you answer my question. Did I attack Her
Are you Sryefus by any chance
The Dunning- Kruger effect is strong in you.

Not that difficult to get actually.

The current deal keeps NI effectively in the SM and CU, therefore making it a more attractive place to do business. Setting it on a direct competition pathway with scotland.

I understand that part fine but my question is, will a hard Brexit be any different to Scotland. Sabotaging the current deal makes no more difference to Scotland than it does to Wales
It's this Deal or no deal
Scotland should be pushing for another referendum then they can join the EU and look for a similar arrangement with England

Think its more in the land of the blind the one eyed man is king. Rather than see NI have any advantage they would rather bring the whole deal down and be fighting at the same level.

They had their chance with the Indy ref and messed it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 21, 2018, 03:20:27 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 21, 2018, 01:23:23 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 21, 2018, 01:00:31 PM
The bridge to Scotland was a pre-emptive hint to the rest of the uk by the DUP to show how united we all are, and we're all the same etc etc. It was points on the board before the match started.

Surprised Nicola Sturgeon isn't prepared to meet them halfway with the costs...........

Deluded doesn't even come into it.

I'd say after the 1 billion bribe given to the DUP to support the Tories, there's isn't a hope in hell of anyone giving them 20 Billion to build a bridge to Scotland to fulfill their genetic fantasy/umbilical cord needs to "their" mainland.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 03:36:33 PM
The Scottish bridge is just classic DUP diversionary tactics. They could'nt get the Narrow Water Bridge built connecting South Down to North Louth which was a few hundred metres long.

Building a 30 mile bridge from the economic wastelands of Scotland to the north is pure la la land stuff. Big Ian is just looking a bit of the limelight, he missed out over the last month due to his suspension.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 03:40:13 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 03:36:33 PM
The Scottish bridge is just classic DUP diversionary tactics. They could'nt get the Narrow Water Bridge built connecting South Down to North Louth which was a few hundred metres long.

Building a 30 mile bridge from the economic wastelands of Scotland to the north is pure la la land stuff. Big Ian is just looking a bit of the limelight, he missed out over the last month due to his suspension.   

Well it's the first time the DUP would be perceived as a party that likes to build bridges.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on November 21, 2018, 03:46:49 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 03:11:27 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2018, 03:01:42 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:57:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.

"Taken out of the EU against our will, taken out of the single market and customs union against our economic interests...that's the cost to Scotland of not being independent."

Ok mister smarter than me how does the above statement correlate with gathering up a possy and collaborating with the DUP to train wreck a deal that's better than a hard Brexit for Scotland.
Instead of getting personal why don't you answer my question. Did I attack Her
Are you Sryefus by any chance
The Dunning- Kruger effect is strong in you.

Not that difficult to get actually.

The current deal keeps NI effectively in the SM and CU, therefore making it a more attractive place to do business. Setting it on a direct competition pathway with scotland.

I understand that part fine but my question is, will a hard Brexit be any different to Scotland. Sabotaging the current deal makes no more difference to Scotland than it does to Wales
It's this Deal or no deal
Scotland should be pushing for another referendum then they can join the EU and look for a similar arrangement with England
She could be playing hard ball, pushing May to the brink. If she offered May 40+ MP's to back the deal on condition of another referendum Sturgeon gets another bite of the cherry (made more attractive by Spains changing attitudes) and May can deliver the deal whilst giving 2 fingers to the ERG & DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 21, 2018, 03:53:14 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 03:36:33 PM
The Scottish bridge is just classic DUP diversionary tactics. They could'nt get the Narrow Water Bridge built connecting South Down to North Louth which was a few hundred metres long.

Building a 30 mile bridge from the economic wastelands of Scotland to the north is pure la la land stuff. Big Ian is just looking a bit of the limelight, he missed out over the last month due to his suspension.   

Sammy dragged his feet for a long time over funds for that one. They didn't want it built anyway, as it would have linked the North to the "Irish Republic".

Something fishy about that whole thing anyway. Something like £9 million over budget. I mean, how the feck do you go £9 million over? £900,000 maybe. But £9 million?!

I don't think it was ever going to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 21, 2018, 04:04:33 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2018, 03:01:42 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:57:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.

"Taken out of the EU against our will, taken out of the single market and customs union against our economic interests...that's the cost to Scotland of not being independent."

Ok mister smarter than me how does the above statement correlate with gathering up a possy and collaborating with the DUP to train wreck a deal that's better than a hard Brexit for Scotland.
Instead of getting personal why don't you answer my question. Did I attack Her
Are you Sryefus by any chance
The Dunning- Kruger effect is strong in you.

Not that difficult to get actually.

The current deal keeps NI effectively in the SM and CU, therefore making it a more attractive place to do business. Setting it on a direct competition pathway with scotland.

It's  a case of "These cows are small, those are far away. Small. Far away."

I'll break it down. NI and Scotland compete for investment. NI will be in a far superior position to Scotland because of backstop in the withdrawal agreement. First Minister Nicola Sturgeon recognises this. She's looking to protect Scottish interests and Jobs.
But yeah go with collaborating with DUP, and train wrecks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:16:19 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 03:11:27 PM
It's this Deal or no deal

That is where your logic is incomplete.

(i) this deal
(ii) no deal
(iii) no Brexit
and I suppose
(iv) referendum to choose between the above
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:21:00 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 02:19:15 PM
500 jobs announced to go in Bombardier next spring. More trouble for the DUP closer to home as they swan around Westminster losing sight of what is important.

I don't know if it is still true, but at one point electricity prices here were 3x (yes three times) that of Bombardier plants in the US & Canada.

But the local politicians sat on their arse - no - worse - they rolled out all these half baked green schemes without once stopping to understand the sums and the ripple effects there would be.

Clowns. Inept, stupid, ignorant clowns.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 21, 2018, 04:32:52 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:16:19 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 03:11:27 PM
It's this Deal or no deal

That is where your logic is incomplete.

(i) this deal
(ii) no deal
(iii) no Brexit
and I suppose
(iv) referendum to choose between the above
Yes. Though given that May looks to have held off a leadership challenge Id say options 3 and 4 are looking much less likely than they did last week. Nothing can be ruled but I get the distinct impression May will be allowed to get the deal done as no one else wants/can sort the mess out. Ironically options 3 and 4 would obviously be in their best interests but too much water has passed under the bridge. They feel they have to deliver at least some sort of brexit. Cameron will go down in history as one of the worst leaders the UK ever had.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:37:35 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:16:19 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 03:11:27 PM
It's this Deal or no deal

That is where your logic is incomplete.

(i) this deal
(ii) no deal
(iii) no Brexit
and I suppose
(iv) referendum to choose between the above

You could be right
I was just aligning my logic with the person assigned to dealing with the quest of taking the Uk out of the E U
Her names Treasa something and she's in Brussels right now going over it with some guy called Juncker
Your list of possibilities doesn't seem to be on her agenda
Come parliament later in the week it might but if you don't mind I'll go with the British PMs take on things
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 21, 2018, 04:43:33 PM
We have no idea what will happen in the next 4 months.
It is pure chaos.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 21, 2018, 04:45:47 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:21:00 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 21, 2018, 02:19:15 PM
500 jobs announced to go in Bombardier next spring. More trouble for the DUP closer to home as they swan around Westminster losing sight of what is important.

I don't know if it is still true, but at one point electricity prices here were 3x (yes three times) that of Bombardier plants in the US & Canada.

But the local politicians sat on their arse - no - worse - they rolled out all these half baked green schemes without once stopping to understand the sums and the ripple effects there would be.

Clowns. Inept, stupid, ignorant clowns.

They're laying thousands off in canada
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:47:16 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:37:35 PM
You could be right
I was just aligning my logic with the person assigned to dealing with the quest of taking the Uk out of the E U
Her names Treasa something and she's in Brussels right now going over it with some guy called Juncker
Your list of possibilities doesn't seem to be on her agenda
Come parliament later in the week it might but if you don't mind I'll go with the British PMs take on things

That's fine for you to go ahead and do that.

But if parliament ends up rejecting her deal (which is not just possible, but probably more likely than not) - then ultimately the decision isn't in her hands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:51:32 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on November 21, 2018, 04:45:47 PM
They're laying thousands off in canada

I know they are.

My point is much wider than just these job cuts. The economic competitiveness of the North relative to other places in the world meant jobs were flowing out long before this instance - and other work was not being sent here.


[Bombardier put their head on the guillotine just over 10 years ago and have probably been a terminal basket case since. Nothing to do with Belfast - 100% to do with Pierre Beaudoin.]
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:55:46 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:47:16 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:37:35 PM
You could be right
I was just aligning my logic with the person assigned to dealing with the quest of taking the Uk out of the E U
Her names Treasa something and she's in Brussels right now going over it with some guy called Juncker
Your list of possibilities doesn't seem to be on her agenda
Come parliament later in the week it might but if you don't mind I'll go with the British PMs take on things

That's fine for you to go ahead and do that.

But if parliament ends up rejecting her deal (which is not just possible, but probably more likely than not) - then ultimately the decision isn't in her hands.

If parliament reject it then it's straight into hard Brexit or am I missing something.
British public opinion is get on with it, not let's have another referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:59:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 04:04:33 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2018, 03:01:42 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:57:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.

"Taken out of the EU against our will, taken out of the single market and customs union against our economic interests...that's the cost to Scotland of not being independent."

Ok mister smarter than me how does the above statement correlate with gathering up a possy and collaborating with the DUP to train wreck a deal that's better than a hard Brexit for Scotland.
Instead of getting personal why don't you answer my question. Did I attack Her
Are you Sryefus by any chance
The Dunning- Kruger effect is strong in you.

Not that difficult to get actually.

The current deal keeps NI effectively in the SM and CU, therefore making it a more attractive place to do business. Setting it on a direct competition pathway with scotland.

It's  a case of "These cows are small, those are far away. Small. Far away."

I'll break it down. NI and Scotland compete for investment. NI will be in a far superior position to Scotland because of backstop in the withdrawal agreement. First Minister Nicola Sturgeon recognises this. She's looking to protect Scottish interests and Jobs.
But yeah go with collaborating with DUP, and train wrecks.

How can Scotland ever get the same arrangement as the north considering the geographical circumstances and the  predicament Westminster finds itself in now. If Nicola Sturgeon thinks she can hold May to ransom by causing dissent and the EU will change it's mind on an all of UK CU deal she's deluded.
But yeah you go with how far away cows are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 21, 2018, 05:04:23 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:59:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 04:04:33 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on November 21, 2018, 03:01:42 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:57:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:25:30 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 02:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 21, 2018, 02:17:29 PM
Anyone attacking Nicola Sturgeon hasn't got a clue. One of the best politicians around and has the best interests of Scotland at heart. If only we had a few like her in NI we'd be a hell of a lot better off.

Who's attacking her, you sound like a paranoid unionist.
Just trying to reason with her motives.

You clearly don't understand. Her motives are quite clear. If you haven't the mental capacity to understand them then that's for you to fix.

"Taken out of the EU against our will, taken out of the single market and customs union against our economic interests...that's the cost to Scotland of not being independent."

Ok mister smarter than me how does the above statement correlate with gathering up a possy and collaborating with the DUP to train wreck a deal that's better than a hard Brexit for Scotland.
Instead of getting personal why don't you answer my question. Did I attack Her
Are you Sryefus by any chance
The Dunning- Kruger effect is strong in you.

Not that difficult to get actually.

The current deal keeps NI effectively in the SM and CU, therefore making it a more attractive place to do business. Setting it on a direct competition pathway with scotland.

It's  a case of "These cows are small, those are far away. Small. Far away."

I'll break it down. NI and Scotland compete for investment. NI will be in a far superior position to Scotland because of backstop in the withdrawal agreement. First Minister Nicola Sturgeon recognises this. She's looking to protect Scottish interests and Jobs.
But yeah go with collaborating with DUP, and train wrecks.

How can Scotland ever get the same arrangement as the north considering the geographical circumstances and the  predicament Westminster finds itself in now. If Nicola Sturgeon thinks she can hold May to ransom by causing dissent and the EU will change it's mind on an all of UK CU deal she's deluded.
But yeah you go with how far away cows are.

Help me get this straight.
You want the SNP to vote for a withdrawal deal that will enhance NI economic prospects but in all probability strip jobs and investment from Scotland? You're saying Nicola Sturgeon should make her MPs vote for that? Is that correct?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 06:31:12 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:55:46 PM
If parliament reject it then it's straight into hard Brexit or am I missing something.

Your missing everything if you think rejection of this deal == hard Brexit!

Rejection of this deal means Theresa can either (i)try to renegotiate the deal, (ii)resign, (iii)put the deal to referendum rather than parliament (iv)exit without a deal (v)don't exit.


Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:55:46 PM
British public opinion is get on with it, not let's have another referendum.

That is what Theresa wants you to think.

I don't know what exact public opinion is - no one does. Difference is, I don't claim to know what public opinion is.

*My* opinion is that any deal should be put back to the people in a referendum* - and a sizeable proportion of people would appear to agree with that. How big? No idea.


*would you commit to buying something 3 years in advance of seeing what it looked like,  how much it cost and how well it worked without wanting a second opinion when you did see what you were getting? The arrogance of politicians insisting that extrapolating that referendum result to mean the public will accept any deal, no matter how poor as long as it meant Brexit, is them following the will of the people really boils my piss.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 21, 2018, 06:40:59 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 06:31:12 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:55:46 PM
If parliament reject it then it's straight into hard Brexit or am I missing something.

Your missing everything if you think rejection of this deal == hard Brexit!

Rejection of this deal means Theresa can either (i)try to renegotiate the deal, (ii)resign, (iii)put the deal to referendum rather than parliament (iv)exit without a deal (v)don't exit.



All those choices are not in UK hands. Because they have invoked Art 50, all 27 EU states would need to agree to any kind of extension, otherwise they crash out without a deal at end of March if they don't get something sorted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 21, 2018, 06:43:57 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:51:32 PM

I know they are.

My point is much wider than just these job cuts. The economic competitiveness of the North relative to other places in the world meant jobs were flowing out long before this instance - and other work was not being sent here.


Not correct.

the economic competitiveness of the  North is why jobs are going there and why the services and technology business is growing. Skilled manufacturing jobs are moving to lower cost areas with better natural resources.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 06:56:53 PM
Quote from: weareros on November 21, 2018, 06:40:59 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 06:31:12 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:55:46 PM
If parliament reject it then it's straight into hard Brexit or am I missing something.

Your missing everything if you think rejection of this deal == hard Brexit!

Rejection of this deal means Theresa can either (i)try to renegotiate the deal, (ii)resign, (iii)put the deal to referendum rather than parliament (iv)exit without a deal (v)don't exit.



All those choices are not in UK hands. Because they have invoked Art 50, all 27 EU states would need to agree to any kind of extension, otherwise they crash out without a deal at end of March if they don't get something sorted.

These clowns seem to think article 50 is a trendy pub in Belfast or something
The biggest mistake the UK government made was triggering it before they had all this sorted.
Now they have to take this deal or it's hard Brexit as far as the EU are concerned.
If it goes tits up in parliament then how will it be sorted prior to March.
Another referendum to stay I don't think so

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwjpmJiblObeAhVMKMAKHfj8AtkQzPwBegQIARAC&url=https%3A%2F%2Fnews.sky.com%2Fstory%2Famber-rudd-says-parliament-will-stop-a-no-deal-brexit-happening-11559382&psig=AOvVaw1oFoEUfJUdincgjSZgjtEV&ust=1542912797939037
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 07:01:17 PM
Quote from: weareros on November 21, 2018, 06:40:59 PM
All those choices are not in UK hands.

I believe there is a court case with the ECJ right now deciding whether the UK can stop Art. 50.

Quote from: weareros on November 21, 2018, 06:40:59 PM
Because they have invoked Art 50, all 27 EU states would need to agree to any kind of extension, otherwise they crash out without a deal at end of March if they don't get something sorted.

end of March is months away. What big negotiations do you know of that didn't go down to the wire - each side pushing one last compromise?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 07:04:07 PM
Quote from: heganboy on November 21, 2018, 06:43:57 PM
the economic competitiveness of the  North is why jobs are going there and why the services and technology business is growing.

Relatively low wages + high number of pretty educated graduates.

Quote from: heganboy on November 21, 2018, 06:43:57 PM
Skilled manufacturing jobs are moving to lower cost areas with better natural resources.

Bombardier themselves moved work out of Belfast to Morocco because of cheaper costs - which were a large part due to electricity. If the electricity prices here had matched, then they'd have likely kept the work here as the costs of training up, ramping up and dealing with the mistakes of, Morocco wouldn't have been worth it.

Its not just wages. Its not just power. Or infrastructure.

Its a mix. Due to crap power market here, folks lost out. But hey, we've pretty windmills that sit idle half the time. Yay.  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on November 21, 2018, 07:27:16 PM
Our company is investing in Belfast, creating jobs that had previously been lost as the large multi-nationals have rationalized and reduced their presence in NI.

So it's pretty galling to see the DUP saying that they don't want this current deal to go through.  Whatever about the rights and wrongs of this deal, right now supporting this Deal is the only way to prevent us crashing out in a No Deal scenario.  Any other path is pure fantasy at this stage.  The legislation that was passed has us leaving the EU on March 29th 2019 unless we get an agreed transition, ie the Withdrawal Agreement.

The DUP need to listen to the businesses that are employing people, or maybe they would prefer we invested in the Republic of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: uimhr ocht on November 21, 2018, 08:15:25 PM
business leaders and farmers union all are in favour of the deal makes me wonder what the dup are are about,if protecting the union is all they think about whats going to happen when nationalists have the majority in the north? demographics predicts by 2022 whats going to happen union then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on November 21, 2018, 08:29:55 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:55:46 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 21, 2018, 04:47:16 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 04:37:35 PM
You could be right
I was just aligning my logic with the person assigned to dealing with the quest of taking the Uk out of the E U
Her names Treasa something and she's in Brussels right now going over it with some guy called Juncker
Your list of possibilities doesn't seem to be on her agenda
Come parliament later in the week it might but if you don't mind I'll go with the British PMs take on things

That's fine for you to go ahead and do that.

But if parliament ends up rejecting her deal (which is not just possible, but probably more likely than not) - then ultimately the decision isn't in her hands.

If parliament reject it then it's straight into hard Brexit or am I missing something.
British public opinion is get on with it, not let's have another referendum.


I don't think so. (https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/majority-now-back-a-second-referendum-on-brexit-terms-hwg632gqf)

Granted this was four months ago, but the momentum for a new referendum has only increased since then, particularly as a result of the almost universal opposition to the May deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2018, 08:34:07 PM
Ah, but how much will the wine cost?

Wife was at a Wine tasting thingy the other day, cost me £90 for 12 bottles!

Need to get it sorted!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 21, 2018, 08:40:17 PM
There's a lot of football to be played yet. March is ages away in negotiating terms.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 21, 2018, 09:19:10 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 21, 2018, 08:34:07 PM
Ah, but how much will the wine cost?

Wife was at a Wine tasting thingy the other day, cost me £90 for 12 bottles!

Need to get it sorted!

That's British media censorship for you
Not a mention of the impact for you and the mrs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gold on November 21, 2018, 10:58:40 PM
Why in under god is Jim Wilson standing at a microphone on this Nolan show

WTF Thread
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 22, 2018, 01:28:28 PM
Theresa May agreed on a text and within less than 2 weeks the ERG and their no deal died with their boots on.

The reason why no deal failed is because it was fake and existed only in hyperreality .


https://ceasefiremagazine.co.uk/in-theory-baudrillard-9/

« Hyperreality  is a special kind of social reality in which a reality is created or simulated from models,  – a reality generated from ideas. . too perfect to be true »

It must wear Arlene out. Someone should explain the problem to the UFU

https://youtu.be/n5h0qHwNrHk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 22, 2018, 05:20:34 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on November 22, 2018, 05:09:16 PM
Meanwhile on today's Loose Women on UTV. Not Photoshoped.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dsm_gk8W0AATBxi.jpg)

I bet he still talked more sense than the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 22, 2018, 05:54:32 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on November 22, 2018, 05:09:16 PM
Meanwhile on today's Loose Women on UTV. Not Photoshoped.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dsm_gk8W0AATBxi.jpg)

This is the problem. People would rather listen to this than people who offer real insight into the ramifications of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 22, 2018, 05:55:57 PM
I would say he would have about as much business acumen as Pengelly and Sammy Wilson put together...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 22, 2018, 07:16:18 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 22, 2018, 05:55:57 PM
I would say he would have about as much business acumen as Pengelly and Sammy Wilson put together...

Or Pengelly & the returning Member for Antrim North??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 22, 2018, 09:57:27 PM
What is the brits net contribution to the EU?

What is the brits net contribution to the sick counties?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 22, 2018, 10:43:13 PM
Peston says he thinks there will be no Brexit!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 23, 2018, 08:48:24 AM
It's just like the dream in Dallas was isn't it ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 08:54:05 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 23, 2018, 08:48:24 AM
It's just like the dream in Dallas was isn't it ;D

Brexit is a dream. It's better than real life if Arlene can tell the farmers and the business community that they are wrong
Brexit is better than cash.
A bird in the hand is worth nothing compared to a 34 Brexit birds plus Arlene in the bush
Or maybe she has been drinking Bushmills
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on November 23, 2018, 09:16:59 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 22, 2018, 10:43:13 PM
Peston says he thinks there will be no Brexit!

I thought that way too for a long time. Now I still think there will be a deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 10:48:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 08:54:05 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 23, 2018, 08:48:24 AM
It's just like the dream in Dallas was isn't it ;D

Brexit is a dream. It's better than real life if Arlene can tell the farmers and the business community that they are wrong
Brexit is better than cash.
A bird in the hand is worth nothing compared to a 34 Brexit birds plus Arlene in the bush
Or maybe she has been drinking Bushmills

Who are these businesses that are telling the DUP and Jim Allister that they'd prefer a no deal than Theresa May's deal?

They're not prepared to say which I find strange.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on November 23, 2018, 10:53:47 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 10:48:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 08:54:05 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 23, 2018, 08:48:24 AM
It's just like the dream in Dallas was isn't it ;D

Brexit is a dream. It's better than real life if Arlene can tell the farmers and the business community that they are wrong
Brexit is better than cash.
A bird in the hand is worth nothing compared to a 34 Brexit birds plus Arlene in the bush
Or maybe she has been drinking Bushmills

Who are these businesses that are telling the DUP and Jim Allister that they'd prefer a no deal than Theresa May's deal?

They're not prepared to say which I find strange.

There are a few contenders. When Theresa May landed in July Arlene brought her to Beleek Pottery. It was a seen as a safe business to go to as most exports are to the US. Possible them or someone of similar ilk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 11:01:19 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on November 23, 2018, 10:53:47 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 10:48:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 08:54:05 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 23, 2018, 08:48:24 AM
It's just like the dream in Dallas was isn't it ;D

Brexit is a dream. It's better than real life if Arlene can tell the farmers and the business community that they are wrong
Brexit is better than cash.
A bird in the hand is worth nothing compared to a 34 Brexit birds plus Arlene in the bush
Or maybe she has been drinking Bushmills

Who are these businesses that are telling the DUP and Jim Allister that they'd prefer a no deal than Theresa May's deal?

They're not prepared to say which I find strange.

There are a few contenders. When Theresa May landed in July Arlene brought her to Beleek Pottery. It was a seen as a safe business to go to as most exports are to the US. Possible them or someone of similar ilk.

Very reliant on Tourists though it seems with most coming from the South.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/belleek-pottery-boss-our-message-to-prime-minister-hit-home-37136812.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/belleek-pottery-boss-our-message-to-prime-minister-hit-home-37136812.html)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on November 23, 2018, 11:15:49 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on November 23, 2018, 10:53:47 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 10:48:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 08:54:05 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 23, 2018, 08:48:24 AM
It's just like the dream in Dallas was isn't it ;D

Brexit is a dream. It's better than real life if Arlene can tell the farmers and the business community that they are wrong
Brexit is better than cash.
A bird in the hand is worth nothing compared to a 34 Brexit birds plus Arlene in the bush
Or maybe she has been drinking Bushmills

Who are these businesses that are telling the DUP and Jim Allister that they'd prefer a no deal than Theresa May's deal?

They're not prepared to say which I find strange.

There are a few contenders. When Theresa May landed in July Arlene brought her to Beleek Pottery. It was a seen as a safe business to go to as most exports are to the US. Possible them or someone of similar ilk.

Wrightbus would be on the list. Moy Park likely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 11:18:15 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on November 23, 2018, 11:15:49 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on November 23, 2018, 10:53:47 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 10:48:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 08:54:05 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 23, 2018, 08:48:24 AM
It's just like the dream in Dallas was isn't it ;D

Brexit is a dream. It's better than real life if Arlene can tell the farmers and the business community that they are wrong
Brexit is better than cash.
A bird in the hand is worth nothing compared to a 34 Brexit birds plus Arlene in the bush
Or maybe she has been drinking Bushmills

Who are these businesses that are telling the DUP and Jim Allister that they'd prefer a no deal than Theresa May's deal?

They're not prepared to say which I find strange.

There are a few contenders. When Theresa May landed in July Arlene brought her to Beleek Pottery. It was a seen as a safe business to go to as most exports are to the US. Possible them or someone of similar ilk.

Wrightbus would be on the list. Moy Park likely.

Moy Park were in London yesterday with NI's CBI, UFU meeting Theresa May.

Wrightbus might be one but sure say a few prayers and everything will be ok.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 23, 2018, 11:47:08 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 11:18:15 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on November 23, 2018, 11:15:49 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on November 23, 2018, 10:53:47 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 23, 2018, 10:48:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 08:54:05 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 23, 2018, 08:48:24 AM
It's just like the dream in Dallas was isn't it ;D

Brexit is a dream. It's better than real life if Arlene can tell the farmers and the business community that they are wrong
Brexit is better than cash.
A bird in the hand is worth nothing compared to a 34 Brexit birds plus Arlene in the bush
Or maybe she has been drinking Bushmills

Who are these businesses that are telling the DUP and Jim Allister that they'd prefer a no deal than Theresa May's deal?

They're not prepared to say which I find strange.

There are a few contenders. When Theresa May landed in July Arlene brought her to Beleek Pottery. It was a seen as a safe business to go to as most exports are to the US. Possible them or someone of similar ilk.

Wrightbus would be on the list. Moy Park likely.

Moy Park were in London yesterday with NI's CBI, UFU meeting Theresa May.

Wrightbus might be one but sure say a few prayers and everything will be ok.

Wright bus is a pseudonym for "fundamental religious cult".
Most people work there hate it and the management regime and their ethos.
They lost the London bus contract when Boris was no longer mayor and don't have many friends in parliament because of association with one of British politics biggest clowns.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 23, 2018, 01:04:26 PM
Always a chance that the Sri Lankans might need a few new buses?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 23, 2018, 01:36:36 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on November 23, 2018, 09:16:59 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 22, 2018, 10:43:13 PM
Peston says he thinks there will be no Brexit!

I thought that way too for a long time. Now I still think there will be a deal.

Said this at the very start of this mess in 2016 and a small part of me thinks it may yet be the case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on November 23, 2018, 01:54:19 PM
Listened to Radio Ulster for a few minutes this morning and there was a business man (Stephen Chestnutt ?) who rang in who supported "No Deal".  He was asked, as a businessman, why he supported a No Deal.

His answer was:
"Because the DUP are telling me to.  As our only elected representatives I trust them to tell me the truth.  They will have our best interests at heart".

I honestly couldn't believe it.  I think in excel that would be known as a "circular reference".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 23, 2018, 01:55:56 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on November 23, 2018, 01:54:19 PM
Listened to Radio Ulster for a few minutes this morning and there was a business man (Stephen Chestnutt ?) who rang in who supported "No Deal".  He was asked, as a businessman, why he supported a No Deal.

His answer was:
"Because the DUP are telling me to.  As our only elected representatives I trust them to tell me the truth.  They will have our best interests at heart".

I honestly couldn't believe it.  I think in excel that would be known as a "circular reference".

What sort of buisness did he run? Selling flegs?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on November 23, 2018, 01:57:25 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 23, 2018, 01:55:56 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on November 23, 2018, 01:54:19 PM
Listened to Radio Ulster for a few minutes this morning and there was a business man (Stephen Chestnutt ?) who rang in who supported "No Deal".  He was asked, as a businessman, why he supported a No Deal.

His answer was:
"Because the DUP are telling me to.  As our only elected representatives I trust them to tell me the truth.  They will have our best interests at heart".

I honestly couldn't believe it.  I think in excel that would be known as a "circular reference".

What sort of buisness did he run? Selling flegs?

He said he was an inbound travel company; ie he ran trips for foreign visitors
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 23, 2018, 02:22:13 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on November 23, 2018, 01:04:26 PM
Always a chance that the Sri Lankans might need a few new buses?

They hope to run many buses on the bridge to Scotland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on November 23, 2018, 03:35:40 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on November 23, 2018, 01:54:19 PM
Listened to Radio Ulster for a few minutes this morning and there was a business man (Stephen Chestnutt ?) who rang in who supported "No Deal".  He was asked, as a businessman, why he supported a No Deal.

His answer was:
"Because the DUP are telling me to.  As our only elected representatives I trust them to tell me the truth.  They will have our best interests at heart".

I honestly couldn't believe it.  I think in excel that would be known as a "circular reference".

Unfortunately a large number of our population are literally brain dead. Someone was talking about Jim Wilson on Nolan the other night
Jim Wilson is a joke an older version of Jamie but what was worrying was the 2 young educated lads in the debate and the absolute cr@p coming out of them. There is no hope even a large chunk of the youth seem to suck up the DUP guff. The 2 lads must have been cloned from Nelson McCauslands left scrotum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 23, 2018, 03:38:11 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

The future is bright, the future is Orange. We will all be like Ready Brek kids, glowing in the dark & the 'precious union' will be safe. God bless the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 23, 2018, 03:47:58 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

The food industry was already well dodgy and evil, even within the EU.

Hormone injections, chickens pumped up, steroids, antibiotics, horse meat scandal etc etc.

The whole food industry is pure evil, in or out of the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 23, 2018, 05:23:02 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 23, 2018, 03:47:58 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

The food industry was already well dodgy and evil, even within the EU.

Hormone injections, chickens pumped up, steroids, antibiotics, horse meat scandal etc etc.

The whole food industry is pure evil, in or out of the EU.

I would give anything to have a patch of land, cut off from society and just eat what I grow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 05:48:50 PM
What is happening now in the UK reminds me of Fianna Fáil after the bailout. People do not like being lied to and they punish incompetence ruthlessly.
The DUP is in way over its head. The endgame is either a general election or a second ref and nobody wants no deal . The DUP usually gets its way by whining, stalling and bitching  but this is senior hurling . The stakes are very high.

Dylan Thomas said :


« The lie is imaginatively exciting while the truth is flat and tedious « 

If the UUP can't capitalise on this they should get out of the business
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 23, 2018, 06:41:02 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 23, 2018, 05:48:50 PM
What is happening now in the UK reminds me of Fianna Fáil after the bailout. People do not like being lied to and they punish incompetence ruthlessly.
The DUP is in way over its head. The endgame is either a general election or a second ref and nobody wants no deal . The DUP usually gets its way by whining, stalling and bitching  but this is senior hurling .

If the UUP can't capitalise on this they should get out of the business
The UUP ship has long since sailed and capsized.
They're afraid of their sh..... of appearing any way less extreme than DUPUDA  and are now totally pro Brexit and are attacking the bogeyman  (Leo and Simon)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 25, 2018, 10:09:17 AM
So the Brexiteers are complaining that the current deal is worse than staying in the EU .... oh the irony!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on November 25, 2018, 10:20:26 AM
The 27 agree....now over to the circus that is parliament
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 25, 2018, 12:17:26 PM
It's getting more likely that a second referendum is the only way forward, and that stage it all depends how they frame the choices on the referendum ...

Do you want to leave the EU with no-deal, just leave?
Do you want to accept the deal that is currently on the table?
Do you want to remain in the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 25, 2018, 12:22:04 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on November 25, 2018, 12:17:26 PM
It's getting more likely that a second referendum is the only way forward, and that stage it all depends how they frame the choices on the referendum ...

Do you want to leave the EU with no-deal, just leave?
Do you want to accept the deal that is currently on the table?
Do you want to remain in the EU?
A second referendum is only likely if you applied logic. Nothing about Brexit has been logical. I wouldnt rule it out but IMO I think it's very unlikely. Its deal or no deal I think.
May is going to get this deal through parliament or at least die trying.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 25, 2018, 09:16:42 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

I don't get this. Please explain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 25, 2018, 10:06:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 09:16:42 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

I don't get this. Please explain.

Brexit is a mysterious process. It will all be OK at the end of March next year. Don't worry, have faith.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 25, 2018, 10:19:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 09:16:42 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

I don't get this. Please explain.

EU maintains high food standards. Not so other markets. The steak you get in USA, unless you are careful, is from livestock fattened with steroids. The chickens are washed in chlorine. Eat from that food chain and you are putting that in your body. Uk wants to sign its own trade deals which will likely flood their markets with this food after new trade deals with America's. The consumer may thinks it's great as wil be cheaper but they are paying a higher price health wise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 25, 2018, 10:33:18 PM
Quote from: weareros on November 25, 2018, 10:19:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 09:16:42 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

I don't get this. Please explain.

EU maintains high food standards. Not so other markets. The steak you get in USA, unless you are careful, is from livestock fattened with steroids. The chickens are washed in chlorine. Eat from that food chain and you are putting that in your body. Uk wants to sign its own trade deals which will likely flood their markets with this food after new trade deals with America's. The consumer may thinks it's great as wil be cheaper but they are paying a higher price health wise.

Trust in Arlene & Doddsie.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 25, 2018, 10:42:33 PM
Quote from: weareros on November 25, 2018, 10:19:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 09:16:42 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

I don't get this. Please explain.

EU maintains high food standards. Not so other markets. The steak you get in USA, unless you are careful, is from livestock fattened with steroids. The chickens are washed in chlorine. Eat from that food chain and you are putting that in your body. Uk wants to sign its own trade deals which will likely flood their markets with this food after new trade deals with America's. The consumer may thinks it's great as wil be cheaper but they are paying a higher price health wise.

There is a myth about the EU and it's high welfare food standards.
US Beef and steroids. Steroids!! Chlorinated Chicken. Chlorinated!!
I am no fan of Brexit but peddling complete bullshit lifted from twitter doesn't help.
Everyone should really take a deep breath.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 25, 2018, 10:44:41 PM
If Peston doesn't know what's going to happen then no one knows! What a cluster f**k of politics
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 25, 2018, 10:49:31 PM
Oh dear oh dear.

So Project Fear was not just made up stories?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 25, 2018, 10:49:47 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 10:42:33 PM
Quote from: weareros on November 25, 2018, 10:19:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 09:16:42 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

I don't get this. Please explain.

EU maintains high food standards. Not so other markets. The steak you get in USA, unless you are careful, is from livestock fattened with steroids. The chickens are washed in chlorine. Eat from that food chain and you are putting that in your body. Uk wants to sign its own trade deals which will likely flood their markets with this food after new trade deals with America's. The consumer may thinks it's great as wil be cheaper but they are paying a higher price health wise.

There is a myth about the EU and it's high welfare food standards.
US Beef and steroids. Steroids!! Chlorinated Chicken. Chlorinated!!
I am no fan of Brexit but peddling complete bullshit lifted from twitter doesn't help.
Everyone should really take a deep breath.

Not peddling any myths. US chicken is banned by the EU because the carcass is washed in chlorine. Quartz is a respectable US business site, so read for yourself. Likewise, much US beef is pumped with steroids. There's a reason stores like Trader Joes and Whole Foods have become popular in USA as they sell beef free of antibiotics and steroids.
https://qz.com/1037737/will-post-brexit-uk-swallow-americas-chlorinated-chicken-for-a-trade-deal/

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 25, 2018, 10:54:55 PM
Quote from: weareros on November 25, 2018, 10:49:47 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 10:42:33 PM
Quote from: weareros on November 25, 2018, 10:19:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 09:16:42 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.

To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

I don't get this. Please explain.

EU maintains high food standards. Not so other markets. The steak you get in USA, unless you are careful, is from livestock fattened with steroids. The chickens are washed in chlorine. Eat from that food chain and you are putting that in your body. Uk wants to sign its own trade deals which will likely flood their markets with this food after new trade deals with America's. The consumer may thinks it's great as wil be cheaper but they are paying a higher price health wise.

There is a myth about the EU and it's high welfare food standards.
US Beef and steroids. Steroids!! Chlorinated Chicken. Chlorinated!!
I am no fan of Brexit but peddling complete bullshit lifted from twitter doesn't help.
Everyone should really take a deep breath.

Not peddling any myths. US chicken is banned by the EU because the carcass is washed in chlorine. Quartz is a respectable US business site, so read for yourself. Likewise, much US beef is pumped with steroids. There's a reason stores like Trader Joes and Whole Foods have become popular in USA as they sell beef free of antibiotics and steroids.
https://qz.com/1037737/will-post-brexit-uk-swallow-americas-chlorinated-chicken-for-a-trade-deal/

What's so bad about chicken washed in Chlorine? Without looking anything up. Tell me why you think Chicken washed in Chlorine is bad.
You want to see the antibiotics pumped into livestock here. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dire Ear on November 25, 2018, 11:38:19 PM
Trailer, you're lost for a good.............education  ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 26, 2018, 09:42:51 AM
Quote from: Dire Ear on November 25, 2018, 11:38:19 PM
Trailer, you're lost for a good.............education  ;D ;D

Some of the biggest food scares..

BSE (UK & Ireland)
Foot and Mouth (UK & Ireland)
Dioxines in Pig feed (Ireland)
Horsemeat Scandal (UK & Ireland)

But yeah Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef.

I'm just asking people get a little bit of perspective on things and stop regurgitating shite of Facebook. But that seems beyond the mental capabilities of some contributors on this board.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 10:11:41 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 26, 2018, 09:42:51 AM
Quote from: Dire Ear on November 25, 2018, 11:38:19 PM
Trailer, you're lost for a good.............education  ;D ;D

Some of the biggest food scares..

BSE (UK & Ireland)
Foot and Mouth (UK & Ireland)
Dioxines in Pig feed (Ireland)
Horsemeat Scandal (UK & Ireland)

But yeah Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef.

I'm just asking people get a little bit of perspective on things and stop regurgitating shite of Facebook. But that seems beyond the mental capabilities of some contributors on this board.

trailer

do you understand the difference between a week and a decade ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 26, 2018, 10:29:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 10:11:41 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 26, 2018, 09:42:51 AM
Quote from: Dire Ear on November 25, 2018, 11:38:19 PM
Trailer, you're lost for a good.............education  ;D ;D

Some of the biggest food scares..

BSE (UK & Ireland)
Foot and Mouth (UK & Ireland)
Dioxines in Pig feed (Ireland)
Horsemeat Scandal (UK & Ireland)

But yeah Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef.

I'm just asking people get a little bit of perspective on things and stop regurgitating shite of Facebook. But that seems beyond the mental capabilities of some contributors on this board.

trailer

do you understand the difference between a week and a decade ?

You're missing the point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 26, 2018, 10:50:06 AM
Why does the media herd continually refer to the EU/Brit deal as "Teresa May's deal".
Gives the impression it's something she wrote herself rather than the outcome of 17 months high level negotiations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 10:52:46 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 26, 2018, 10:29:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 10:11:41 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 26, 2018, 09:42:51 AM
Quote from: Dire Ear on November 25, 2018, 11:38:19 PM
Trailer, you're lost for a good.............education  ;D ;D

Some of the biggest food scares..

BSE (UK & Ireland)
Foot and Mouth (UK & Ireland)
Dioxines in Pig feed (Ireland)
Horsemeat Scandal (UK & Ireland)

But yeah Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef.

I'm just asking people get a little bit of perspective on things and stop regurgitating shite of Facebook. But that seems beyond the mental capabilities of some contributors on this board.

trailer

do you understand the difference between a week and a decade ?

You're missing the point.

Chlorine is systemic
BSE is not
Horse meat is not
Foot and Mouth is not

Food safety in the EU is really serious. I was talking to a Director of a chicken  feed company from Belgium recently. There is a strict series of tests that have to be carried out for all known risks.
The company got an order from a client that they couldn't process so they asked an Indian firm to do it. The Indians used some antibiotic in their factory that is banned in Europe. So it's not tested for. The antibiotic was picked up in Bangladesh.
The whole consignment had to be dumped. 

In the US nobody gives a f**k about food quality . Life expectancy is also lower
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 26, 2018, 11:01:28 AM
He has a point though. There is plenty of people bleating on about "chlorinated chicken" without really understanding why its bad, though I am sure there is plenty that do. It just so happens that they are right. The chickens being washed in chlorine isn't really the issue, its why they are washed in chlorine that is the concern.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 11:07:57 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 26, 2018, 10:50:06 AM
Why does the media herd continually refer to the EU/Brit deal as "Teresa May's deal".
Gives the impression it's something she wrote herself rather than the outcome of 17 months high level negotiations.

She negotiated it. She yielded on fishing, equivalence, ECJ
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 26, 2018, 11:32:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 10:52:46 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 26, 2018, 10:29:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 10:11:41 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 26, 2018, 09:42:51 AM
Quote from: Dire Ear on November 25, 2018, 11:38:19 PM
Trailer, you're lost for a good.............education  ;D ;D

Some of the biggest food scares..

BSE (UK & Ireland)
Foot and Mouth (UK & Ireland)
Dioxines in Pig feed (Ireland)
Horsemeat Scandal (UK & Ireland)

But yeah Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef.

I'm just asking people get a little bit of perspective on things and stop regurgitating shite of Facebook. But that seems beyond the mental capabilities of some contributors on this board.

trailer

do you understand the difference between a week and a decade ?

You're missing the point.

Chlorine is systemic
BSE is not
Horse meat is not
Foot and Mouth is not

Food safety in the EU is really serious. I was talking to a Director of a chicken  feed company from Belgium recently. There is a strict series of tests that have to be carried out for all known risks.
The company got an order from a client that they couldn't process so they asked an Indian firm to do it. The Indians used some antibiotic in their factory that is banned in Europe. So it's not tested for. The antibiotic was picked up in Bangladesh.
The whole consignment had to be dumped. 

In the US nobody gives a f**k about food quality . Life expectancy is also lower

That's a crazy statement. "Nobody cares about food quality" You're making a holy show of yourself.

What has happened is that people have gone from leaving the EU to a massive free trade deal with the US to Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef in a wet week. Any free trade deal with the US is years away and whether that included tonnes of Chlorinated Chicken or Steroids in beef is anyone's guess. It's hyperbole and scaremongering. No one on here is able to tell me what the issue is with Chlorinated Chicken or Steroids in Beef (It's actually a hormone they give them but anyway) without looking something up. They don't know but they read it on some shitty Facebook post, so to sound informed they're regurgitating it.
All I'm asking for is a small bit of perspective.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 26, 2018, 11:44:29 AM
I tried to tell you. The problem with chlorinated chicken is the way they are reared. They are washed with chlorine to get rid of all the bacteria, which is more common in the crammed spaces that they are reared in. The EU have stricter regulation regarding space/rearing conditions. They do not allow chickens to be washed with chlorine because it is considered an easy way of getting rid of all the issues that may arise from circumventing these regulations. Food quality and standard in the sates is no where near that of the EU, that's the reason you can go to an all you can eat steakhouse for less than $20.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 26, 2018, 11:45:37 AM
Quote from: weareros on November 25, 2018, 10:19:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 25, 2018, 09:16:42 PM
Quote from: lenny on November 23, 2018, 03:32:04 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 23, 2018, 02:24:11 PM
In the event of a no-deal Brexit will that spell the end of the cheap power-tools and the like from Lidl UK stores?

That would be tragic.

/Jim.


To be replaced with chlorinated chicken from the USA and cheap beef full of hormones and antibiotics from South America.

I don't get this. Please explain.

EU maintains high food standards. Not so other markets. The steak you get in USA, unless you are careful, is from livestock fattened with steroids. The chickens are washed in chlorine. Eat from that food chain and you are putting that in your body. Uk wants to sign its own trade deals which will likely flood their markets with this food after new trade deals with America's. The consumer may thinks it's great as wil be cheaper but they are paying a higher price health wise.

The majority of beef eaten in the US comes from animals who are fed crap and never see the light of day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 26, 2018, 11:49:25 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on November 26, 2018, 11:44:29 AM
I tried to tell you. The problem with chlorinated chicken is the way they are reared. They are washed with chlorine to get rid of all the bacteria, which is more common in the crammed spaces that they are reared in. The EU have stricter regulation regarding space/rearing conditions. They do not allow chickens to be washed with chlorine because it is considered an easy way of getting rid of all the issues that may arise from circumventing these regulations. Food quality and standard in the sates is no where near that of the EU, that's the reason you can go to an all you can eat steakhouse for less than $20.

Of Course. NO ONE CARES ABOUT FOOD QUALITY IN THE USA!!! NO ONE!!!!

Billions of tonnes of Chlorinated Chicken and Beef with Steroids are waiting to flood the UK market. This is what Brexit means.
2 stone Children will no doubt be born with a greeny / blue tinge from all the Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef.
I am not sensationalising this at all.

Catch a grip for fucks sake.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 26, 2018, 11:54:12 AM
What are you on about? You seem to be having an imaginary argument about something Im not even talking about??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on November 26, 2018, 12:12:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 10:11:41 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 26, 2018, 09:42:51 AM
Quote from: Dire Ear on November 25, 2018, 11:38:19 PM
Trailer, you're lost for a good.............education  ;D ;D

Some of the biggest food scares..

BSE (UK & Ireland)
Foot and Mouth (UK & Ireland)
Dioxines in Pig feed (Ireland)
Horsemeat Scandal (UK & Ireland)

But yeah Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef.

I'm just asking people get a little bit of perspective on things and stop regurgitating shite of Facebook. But that seems beyond the mental capabilities of some contributors on this board.

trailer

do you understand the difference between a week and a decade ?

Same as the weather v climate debate. Some don't understand the difference.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 26, 2018, 12:14:20 PM
Trailer must be on the same stuff as Syferus ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on November 26, 2018, 12:49:20 PM
This is a pretty good summary:

A SHORT HISTORY OF BRITAIN AND THE EU

UK: We want a rebate on the fees.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in the Euro.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in Shengen.
EU: OK.

UK: We want a restriction on benefits until people have worked here for some time.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to stop child benefit being paid for children who aren't in the UK.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to kick out people who come here but don't work and can't afford to support themselves.
EU: That's fine, you already can.

UK: We want loads of preferential treatment that other countries don't get.
EU: Errr, we can't really give that without everyone agreeing.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave.
EU: That's a bit of an over-reaction, but your choice.

UK: OK we're leaving.
EU: Bye then.

UK: Now that we're leaving, we want all the things we had before.
EU: Errr, no, it doesn't work like that.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave with nothing.
EU: [Scratches head] OK, umm, well, yeah.

UK: We're serious, we'll walk away with nothing to teach you a lesson.
EU: Bye (again).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 26, 2018, 02:46:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 26, 2018, 12:14:20 PM
Trailer must be on the same stuff as Syferus ::)

Yeah it's called dunning-Kruger weed
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 26, 2018, 02:47:27 PM
Quote from: Hardy on November 26, 2018, 12:49:20 PM
This is a pretty good summary:

A SHORT HISTORY OF BRITAIN AND THE EU

UK: We want a rebate on the fees.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in the Euro.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in Shengen.
EU: OK.

UK: We want a restriction on benefits until people have worked here for some time.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to stop child benefit being paid for children who aren't in the UK.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to kick out people who come here but don't work and can't afford to support themselves.
EU: That's fine, you already can.

UK: We want loads of preferential treatment that other countries don't get.
EU: Errr, we can't really give that without everyone agreeing.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave.
EU: That's a bit of an over-reaction, but your choice.

UK: OK we're leaving.
EU: Bye then.

UK: Now that we're leaving, we want all the things we had before.
EU: Errr, no, it doesn't work like that.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave with nothing.
EU: [Scratches head] OK, umm, well, yeah.

UK: We're serious, we'll walk away with nothing to teach you a lesson.
EU: Bye (again).


Brilliant
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 26, 2018, 02:58:12 PM
Quote from: Hardy on November 26, 2018, 12:49:20 PM
This is a pretty good summary:

A SHORT HISTORY OF BRITAIN AND THE EU

UK: We want a rebate on the fees.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in the Euro.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in Shengen.
EU: OK.

UK: We want a restriction on benefits until people have worked here for some time.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to stop child benefit being paid for children who aren't in the UK.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to kick out people who come here but don't work and can't afford to support themselves.
EU: That's fine, you already can.

UK: We want loads of preferential treatment that other countries don't get.
EU: Errr, we can't really give that without everyone agreeing.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave.
EU: That's a bit of an over-reaction, but your choice.

UK: OK we're leaving.
EU: Bye then.

UK: Now that we're leaving, we want all the things we had before.
EU: Errr, no, it doesn't work like that.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave with nothing.
EU: [Scratches head] OK, umm, well, yeah.

UK: We're serious, we'll walk away with nothing to teach you a lesson.
EU: Bye (again).

UK: But you've got to, we're British!
EU: Umm, yeah, whatever
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 26, 2018, 04:04:23 PM
UK :  DUP says NO!
EU: What the fck is a DUP?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 04:25:03 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 26, 2018, 04:04:23 PM
UK :  DUP says NO!
EU: What the fck is a DUP?

I wonder who funds the DUP. It's not NI business or farmers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on November 26, 2018, 05:02:59 PM
so the deal looks likely to be voted down - what does that mean and what happens next - do we leave with a no deal / do we renegotiate - there is a stalemate a brewing - EU not moving and UK govt not for approving it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 26, 2018, 05:14:29 PM
She was never getting that through.

No deal / second referendum with it being more likely to be the former. If she doesn't get that through I'd say she is toast too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 05:23:53 PM
Quote from: Sweeper 123 on November 26, 2018, 05:02:59 PM
so the deal looks likely to be voted down - what does that mean and what happens next - do we leave with a no deal / do we renegotiate - there is a stalemate a brewing - EU not moving and UK govt not for approving it

Brexit is a complete disaster. I am so glad the DUP are up to their necks in it.

1. "The informed Brexit question is what happens after Parliament votes against the PM's deal. The answer is we don't know what the PM will do. That fact that one non-collegial PM has that power explains a lot about why we're in the mess we are
"

2. Www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-11-25/stocks-tumble-the-fed-won-t-bail-out-markets-this-time

Capital Economics produced a range which captured most all of them. That was the basis for the following list, to which I added a few:

   1   Parliament votes next month to ratify the agreement with the EU, as presented this month by May. Britain leaves the EU in March on schedule. Everyone lives happily ever after.

   2   Parliament votes down the deal, which seems far more likely as none of the opposition parties likes it, and they are in a majority. May goes back to Brussels, obtains some significant concessions (highly unlikely) or some cosmetic concessions that are enough to placate the Brexiteer wing of her own party (slightly less unlikely). Parliament votes in favor of the deal at a second attempt, probably after the Christmas holidays. After some brinkmanship, everyone lives happily ever after.

   3   Parliament votes down the deal twice. At that point, May is ousted. She has said that there will be no second referendum while she is prime minister. Parliament votes to put the matter to the country, in a "People's Vote" — or second referendum — which includes the option to stay in the EU and cancel Brexit. The British public decides to stay in the EU after all (nowhere near a given, but the polls that were inaccurate before do now show a lead for "Remain"). Britain's long national nightmare is over. A very large chunk of the population, having voted twice to leave the EU, feels unforgivably cheated. Note that it will scarcely be possible to organize this referendum before the exit date in March, and that this relies on May to call the referendum before she stands down, so the EU will have to agree to let the U.K. delay its leaving date. It is likely that they would do this, but not a given.

   4   Parliament votes down the deal twice, and the EU declines to give May the time to hold a referendum (or Parliament declines to pass legislation to enable a referendum). May now negotiates a wholly new deal in two months, probably based on Norway or Canada's relationship with the EU. This is possible, but not likely as it would certainly require far more flexibility on all sides than anyone has shown so far. The issue of the Irish border remains a sticking point. Neither Norway nor Canada has a land border with the U.K. to provide a precedent. A variation on this is that May falls, she is replaced by another Conservative after a few days in a way that make "House of Cards" and "Game of Thrones" look tame by comparison. Then a new leader comes in and negotiates a completely new deal in the space of barely more than a month. Some seem to think this is possible; I do not

   5   Parliament votes down the deal twice, and May accepts the inevitable. The U.K. leaves the EU without a negotiated settlement, and a brief whirlwind of activity averts a few disaster scenarios — for example, thrashing out a way for Heathrow Airport and the port at Dover to keep operating. The problem with this, as Capital Economics points out, is that if MPs agree on anything, it's that a "no-deal" exit would be a bad idea.


   6   Parliament votes down the deal twice, chaos reigns, the EU and the U.K lose all lingering respect for each other, and the U.K. crashes out of the EU with no practical agreements in place for the future. (And yes, this option is plainly the worst, but also sounds like one of the most plausible.)


   7   Having been defeated twice in Parliament, May calls a general election. Brexit is put to the country, and an incoming Labour government agrees a somewhat softer version of Brexit (having presumably been granted extra time by the EU). This assumes that Labour wins (likely but in no way a given), and that the MPs for the Conservatives and Northern Irish Unionists who stand to lose the most from an election agree to hold it.

   8   May goes to the country. The result is as inconclusive as the last one. Neither of the main parties had a clear policy on Brexit, and neither has a majority, so nobody has a mandate to negotiate anything with the EU. Britain sinks beneath the waves, much to the relief of our continental cousins.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 26, 2018, 05:27:19 PM
Quote from: Sweeper 123 on November 26, 2018, 05:02:59 PM
so the deal looks likely to be voted down - what does that mean and what happens next - do we leave with a no deal / do we renegotiate - there is a stalemate a brewing - EU not moving and UK govt not for approving it

How can you have a stalemate when the EU don't care what way the UK leave.
As far as the EU are concerned the more economical mayhem for the UK the better. People forget that France and Italy are watching Brexit very closely to observe the financial implications by leaving in the future.  Juncker and co will ensure any deal is going to be detrimental for the UK to act as a deterrent.
The self importance of the UKs stance as a trading super power is laughable. Only one loser here and it isn't the EU. Article 50 has been triggered leaving any negotiating harder. Calling an election and then having to snuggle up to the DUP (Brexit by our deluded no comprise demands) was the final nail. You couldn't f..k it up any more if you tried.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 26, 2018, 06:52:02 PM
Quote from: Hardy on November 26, 2018, 12:49:20 PM
This is a pretty good summary:

A SHORT HISTORY OF BRITAIN AND THE EU

UK: We want a rebate on the fees.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in the Euro.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in Shengen.
EU: OK.

UK: We want a restriction on benefits until people have worked here for some time.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to stop child benefit being paid for children who aren't in the UK.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to kick out people who come here but don't work and can't afford to support themselves.
EU: That's fine, you already can.

UK: We want loads of preferential treatment that other countries don't get.
EU: Errr, we can't really give that without everyone agreeing.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave.
EU: That's a bit of an over-reaction, but your choice.

UK: OK we're leaving.
EU: Bye then.

UK: Now that we're leaving, we want all the things we had before.
EU: Errr, no, it doesn't work like that.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave with nothing.
EU: [Scratches head] OK, umm, well, yeah.

UK: We're serious, we'll walk away with nothing to teach you a lesson.
EU: Bye (again).

UK: OK Bye bye bye
EU: Bye bye bye bye bye bye bye
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2018, 07:27:49 PM
https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/opinion/alex-kane-foster-s-leadership-career-hangs-by-a-thread-1-8717819
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on November 27, 2018, 10:55:59 AM
Kane. The voice of reason within Unionism
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 27, 2018, 11:16:02 AM
The rumours are she is not too popular and Dodds is basically running the show(though doesn't want the leadership by all accounts). The younger members seem to have a few indiscretions among them (Hamilton definitely and possibly Pengelly) which sound like they rule them out.

Salford seems the boy they might go to next. His only crime is slagging people who went to see the pope so that would make him a hero.

I have never seen another person look so much older than they actually are. He's supposed to be mid thirties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 27, 2018, 11:31:54 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 26, 2018, 06:52:02 PM
Quote from: Hardy on November 26, 2018, 12:49:20 PM
This is a pretty good summary:

A SHORT HISTORY OF BRITAIN AND THE EU

UK: We want a rebate on the fees.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in the Euro.
EU: OK.

UK: We don't want to be in Shengen.
EU: OK.

UK: We want a restriction on benefits until people have worked here for some time.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to stop child benefit being paid for children who aren't in the UK.
EU: OK.

UK: We want to kick out people who come here but don't work and can't afford to support themselves.
EU: That's fine, you already can.

UK: We want loads of preferential treatment that other countries don't get.
EU: Errr, we can't really give that without everyone agreeing.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave.
EU: That's a bit of an over-reaction, but your choice.

UK: OK we're leaving.
EU: Bye then.

UK: Now that we're leaving, we want all the things we had before.
EU: Errr, no, it doesn't work like that.

UK: Don't give us what we want and we'll leave with nothing.
EU: [Scratches head] OK, umm, well, yeah.

UK: We're serious, we'll walk away with nothing to teach you a lesson.
EU: Bye (again).

UK: OK Bye bye bye
EU: Bye bye bye bye bye bye bye

UK:  Hi honey, I'm home!
EU:  What kept you? Where have you been all this time?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2018, 11:48:57 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on November 27, 2018, 10:55:59 AM
Kane. The voice of reason within Unionism

He seems to understand the big picture. It is a very good article.
Biggest Unionist crisis since the 3rd home Rule mess. The DUP don't understand. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 27, 2018, 11:54:25 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 27, 2018, 11:16:02 AM
His only crime is slagging people who went to see the pope.

He likely posts in here, so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 27, 2018, 12:40:49 PM
The DUP have backed themselves into such a corner that I'd bet that they wish they could wind the clock back prior to the Brexit referendum when there was a lot more certaintly and little talk of sea borders and Irish unity polls.

It is amazing to think that Arlene Foster has been at the helm throughout RHI and Brexit yet still remains as leader during a time of turmoil for her party. I think it was only by a quirke of fate that allowed them to hold the power of balance in Westminster that meant she has survived all this while. There are bound to be a lot of dissenting voices within the party though over where she has taken them and she could come under more pressure over the next few months with the RHI enquiry findings due to be published and with the outcome of Brexit far from certain.
 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 27, 2018, 12:46:14 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 27, 2018, 12:40:49 PM
The DUP have backed themselves into such a corner that I'd bet that they wish they could wind the clock back prior to the Brexit referendum when there was a lot more certaintly and little talk of sea borders and Irish unity polls.

It is amazing to think that Arlene Foster has been at the helm throughout RHI and Brexit yet still remains as leader during a time of turmoil for her party. I think it was only by a quirke of fate that allowed them to hold the power of balance in Westminster that meant she has survived all this while. There are bound to be a lot of dissenting voices within the party though over where she has taken them and she could come under more pressure over the next few months with the RHI enquiry findings due to be published and with the outcome of Brexit far from certain.


I don't think Foster was foremost in Brexit policy, although she clearly did not oppose it.
The DUP conference voted for it, any of those cannot have cause for  complaint, they should resign too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 27, 2018, 12:52:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 27, 2018, 12:46:14 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 27, 2018, 12:40:49 PM
The DUP have backed themselves into such a corner that I'd bet that they wish they could wind the clock back prior to the Brexit referendum when there was a lot more certaintly and little talk of sea borders and Irish unity polls.

It is amazing to think that Arlene Foster has been at the helm throughout RHI and Brexit yet still remains as leader during a time of turmoil for her party. I think it was only by a quirke of fate that allowed them to hold the power of balance in Westminster that meant she has survived all this while. There are bound to be a lot of dissenting voices within the party though over where she has taken them and she could come under more pressure over the next few months with the RHI enquiry findings due to be published and with the outcome of Brexit far from certain.


I don't think Foster was foremost in Brexit policy, although she clearly did not oppose it.
The DUP conference voted for it, any of those cannot have cause for  complaint, they should resign too.

She may not have been at the forefront of it but she facilitated it as leader. She probably only took a relative backseat since she is in a border constituency but there is no doubt that they went firmly in support of Brexit in order to play the SuperBrit card, without giving any great thought as to the consequences.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 27, 2018, 01:05:00 PM
Meanwhile everyone else has got the blame for the predicament that they find themselves in. The Irish government, the EU, the business community, the media and Theresa May.

Everyone except themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 27, 2018, 01:14:16 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 27, 2018, 01:05:00 PM
Meanwhile everyone else has got the blame for the predicament that they find themselves in. The Irish government, the EU, the business community, the media and Theresa May.

Everyone except themselves.

What do you expect from a pig but a grunt?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on November 27, 2018, 01:26:19 PM
The problem for the DUP is they went for the Full English Brexit with Boris Johnston as the silly sausage in the middle of it.  It was an unhealthy choice to say the least.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 27, 2018, 01:26:48 PM
Her worst legacy will be losing the Assembly. 

They have give a free reign to Shinners for last two years.  Shown up for intolerance on rights and language badly.   Brexit and their Tory agreement enhanced that.  Taking a crack at farmers and business over their genuine concerns another own goal.

Even Peter Robinson and others can see that demographics are working against them and they need to adjust

She needed to be a leader of unionism that reached out.  Unionism needs to bring people into their house, not drive them out.   Even her "reach out" efforts earlier this summer seemed contrived and tapered out once the Brexit mud-slinging started.

The long term trends mean that stalemate is actually helping nationalism.   I can understand that why herself, Sammy Wilson etc can't see that but surely there is someone in that party (or these all powerful SPADS?) that has an ounce of strategic thinking.

I suspect jumping on Brexit to show how British they are will prove the most short-sighted strategy possible.

/Jim.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 27, 2018, 01:37:04 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 27, 2018, 01:14:16 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 27, 2018, 01:05:00 PM
Meanwhile everyone else has got the blame for the predicament that they find themselves in. The Irish government, the EU, the business community, the media and Theresa May.

Everyone except themselves.

What do you expect from a pig but a grunt?

And rounding up sheep?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 27, 2018, 01:40:02 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 27, 2018, 01:26:48 PM
Her worst legacy will be losing the Assembly. 

They have give a free reign to Shinners for last two years.  Shown up for intolerance on rights and language badly.   Brexit and their Tory agreement enhanced that.  Taking a crack at farmers and business over their genuine concerns another own goal.

Even Peter Robinson and others can see that demographics are working against them and they need to adjust

She needed to be a leader of unionism that reached out.  Unionism needs to bring people into their house, not drive them out.   Even her "reach out" efforts earlier this summer seemed contrived and tapered out once the Brexit mud-slinging started.

The long term trends mean that stalemate is actually helping nationalism.   I can understand that why herself, Sammy Wilson etc can't see that but surely there is someone in that party (or these all powerful SPADS?) that has an ounce of strategic thinking.

I suspect jumping on Brexit to show how British they are will prove the most short-sighted strategy possible.

/Jim.

It's a pity he didn't talk more sense when he was in politics.

But of course, there's a vast difference in the talk of a current politician and an ex-politician. There's the votes and the big salary to think of, and all that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Clov on November 27, 2018, 04:26:53 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 27, 2018, 01:26:48 PM
Her worst legacy will be losing the Assembly. 

They have give a free reign to Shinners for last two years.  Shown up for intolerance on rights and language badly.   Brexit and their Tory agreement enhanced that.  Taking a crack at farmers and business over their genuine concerns another own goal.

Even Peter Robinson and others can see that demographics are working against them and they need to adjust

She needed to be a leader of unionism that reached out.  Unionism needs to bring people into their house, not drive them out.   Even her "reach out" efforts earlier this summer seemed contrived and tapered out once the Brexit mud-slinging started.

The long term trends mean that stalemate is actually helping nationalism.   I can understand that why herself, Sammy Wilson etc can't see that but surely there is someone in that party (or these all powerful SPADS?) that has an ounce of strategic thinking.

I suspect jumping on Brexit to show how British they are will prove the most short-sighted strategy possible.

/Jim.

As usual Jim, you are spot on with your analysis.

There are a couple of scenarios that could play out which would really expose them badly. A narrow defeat of the agreement in Westminster followed by either a no-deal Brexit, or may be more plausibly, a second referendum that delivers a remain vote. They could very quickly end up as the fall guys in both of these situations and achieve something that the IRA could never achieve in 30 years of bombing - an erosion of consent for the union with the wee six among the British electorate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 27, 2018, 05:18:33 PM
Maybe the vote will pass in parliament because the last thing people want is an election.  And I don't think labour would win a general election as they have shown no leadership in the last 2 years.  And the parliament members seem to that they could get better results.

Even Arlene thinks that there are better deals available.  She doesn't seem to remember the history of her own party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2018, 05:31:31 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on November 27, 2018, 05:18:33 PM
Maybe the vote will pass in parliament because the last thing people want is an election.  And I don't think labour would win a general election as they have shown no leadership in the last 2 years.  And the parliament members seem to that they could get better results.

Even Arlene thinks that there are better deals available.  She doesn't seem to remember the history of her own party.
Arlene is a joke
Maybe if she went to confession and did Lough Derg she could pray for a better deal .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 28, 2018, 07:47:11 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on November 27, 2018, 02:15:06 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 26, 2018, 09:42:51 AM
Quote from: Dire Ear on November 25, 2018, 11:38:19 PM
Trailer, you're lost for a good.............education  ;D ;D

Some of the biggest food scares..

BSE (UK & Ireland)
Foot and Mouth (UK & Ireland)
Dioxines in Pig feed (Ireland)
Horsemeat Scandal (UK & Ireland)

But yeah Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef.

I'm just asking people get a little bit of perspective on things and stop regurgitating shite of Facebook. But that seems beyond the mental capabilities of some contributors on this board.

* BSE - how this disease came about to be seen in British cows firstly in the mid 1980's still remains a mystery. As such various government bodies responsible for food & agriculture could only work on the knowledge that they had at the time as to how this related to food safety. It's still a disease that isn't very well understood but regulations in various countries in Ireland, Britain, other EU countries and elsewhere over the last 25-30 years have developed to help minimise risks on an ongoing basis.

* Foot & Mouth - a red herring. Foot & Mouth disease is almost impossible for humans to contract (there have been a few exceptionally rare cases across the world, the last case in the UK was more than 50 years ago) and after World War II was actually quite common for several decades across Europe. It's still endemic in many parts of Africa and Asia including India & China. Where such incidents of Foot & Mouth in 2001 & 2007 was a concern of was largely in biosecurity and the consequential import restrictions that countries have in place for meat coming from countries that have cases of foot & mouth, thus resulting in economic loss for agribusiness. In the 2001 case, it was determined that it was most likely caused by pigs feeding on a swill that hadn't been heat treated which contained meat that had been illegally imported. In 2007, it was traced to a leak at a nearby laboratory to where the cluster of cases occurred. 

* Dioxins & Horsemeat - arguably it was the regulations in place within the EU that allowed these issues to be well highlighted. In many other parts of the world, such practices are either openly allowed or have blind eyes turned to. The "horsemeat scandal" itself wasn't an acute public health issue as there wasn't any obvious risk to public health in passing off horsemeat as beef but rather a failure of improper labelling. Something like this has happened before - back in the late 90's in England with BSE being an ongoing crises, government inspectors tested portions of mince bought from butchers and a few samples showed that  what was being sold as mince lamb or pork contained up to 10% beef, something that couldn't simply happen just by the machinery not being thoroughly cleaned between processing different meats. Anyway, breaches in food & farming regulations isn't a reason to declare them ineffective or unenforceable. Using that logic then there is no point enforcing any law because there will always crime & criminals.

And just on a side note, in the USA right now there is an E-coli outbreak that is being found in lettuce, and by the sounds of it quite a nasty one to get. The following short Twitter thread is from a paediatric surgeon giving his explanation of events. Now it's not an unbiased source since the man in question got blocked on Twitter by Donald Trump and responded by taking the POUTS to court and won, and his expertise is not in the field of veterinary medicine but the reasoning comes across as fairly legit to me.

QuoteEugene Gu, MD‏ Verified account

@eugenegu

We have an outbreak of E. Coli O157:H7 which makes you vomit blood, have bloody diarrhea, and even pee blood as you lose your kidneys. It's all because Trump overturned Obama-era rules to test our farm water. Farmers save $12 million so that we pay $108 million in medical costs.

This strain of E. Coli creates a Shiga toxin that stops our cells from producing the proteins they need to live, exactly like how the deadly poison ricin works. Cow don't have the Shiga toxin receptor in their intestines so they can have E. Coli O157:H7 without any symptoms.

Overuse of antibiotics in our farm animals encourages the growth of this deadly strain of E. Coli over other bacteria, causing these cows to shed huge amounts of it in their feces which then contaminates the water farmers use to water our crops like Romaine lettuce.

We are a first world country yet we don't have basic food safety because of first world problems like the overuse of antibiotics. So in essence the FDA under Trump encourages the spread of E. Coli O157:H7 in livestock and discourages testing the water contaminated by their feces.

https://twitter.com/eugenegu/status/1066725767936040961

Personally I've no wish to see a race to the bottom when it comes to farming & food standards.

You've missed my point completely.

As a side note; anyone who doesn't wash fruit and vegetables before eating them is going to get ill.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 28, 2018, 08:49:53 AM
https://m.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000273022940&ref=content_filter

Interesting video from William "we aren't just a bunch of eejits" Frazer.
So now that May has thrown Irish unionism under the bus the plan they now have is to create an independent Northern Ireland state. Eventually they will have to realise that the game is up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on November 28, 2018, 08:52:09 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 28, 2018, 08:49:53 AM
https://m.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100000273022940&ref=content_filter

Interesting video from William "we aren't just a bunch of eejits" Frazer.
So now that May has thrown Irish unionism under the bus the plan they now have is to create an independent Northern Ireland state. Eventually they will have to realise that the game is up.

I can't watch the video but any mention of who to be funded by ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: MoChara on November 28, 2018, 09:13:35 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 27, 2018, 01:37:04 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 27, 2018, 01:14:16 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 27, 2018, 01:05:00 PM
Meanwhile everyone else has got the blame for the predicament that they find themselves in. The Irish government, the EU, the business community, the media and Theresa May.

Everyone except themselves.

What do you expect from a pig but a grunt?

And rounding up sheep?

Is Arlene Foster a Babe is this analogy?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: awideisneverasgood on November 28, 2018, 09:19:53 AM
QuoteYou've missed my point completely.

As a side note; anyone who doesn't wash fruit and vegetables before eating them is going to get ill.

Washing fruit and veg might remove some dirt but its not going to get rid of e-coli (unless you use bleach which I wouldnt advise)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on November 28, 2018, 09:24:03 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 27, 2018, 01:26:48 PM
Her worst legacy will be losing the Assembly. 

They have give a free reign to Shinners for last two years.  Shown up for intolerance on rights and language badly.   Brexit and their Tory agreement enhanced that.  Taking a crack at farmers and business over their genuine concerns another own goal.

Even Peter Robinson and others can see that demographics are working against them and they need to adjust

She needed to be a leader of unionism that reached out.  Unionism needs to bring people into their house, not drive them out.   Even her "reach out" efforts earlier this summer seemed contrived and tapered out once the Brexit mud-slinging started.

The long term trends mean that stalemate is actually helping nationalism.   I can understand that why herself, Sammy Wilson etc can't see that but surely there is someone in that party (or these all powerful SPADS?) that has an ounce of strategic thinking.

I suspect jumping on Brexit to show how British they are will prove the most short-sighted strategy possible.

/Jim.

The sad thing is I can't see any of that impacting their vote. It might cause some degree of outrage and disgust with their voting base now but when it comes to polling day in the next elections they just can't bring themselves to put that X anywhere else.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: MoChara on November 28, 2018, 09:24:59 AM
Quote from: awideisneverasgood on November 28, 2018, 09:19:53 AM
QuoteYou've missed my point completely.

As a side note; anyone who doesn't wash fruit and vegetables before eating them is going to get ill.

Washing fruit and veg might remove some dirt but its not going to get rid of e-coli (unless you use bleach which I wouldnt advise)

We could chlorinate it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 28, 2018, 09:48:54 AM
Quote from: MoChara on November 28, 2018, 09:24:59 AM
Quote from: awideisneverasgood on November 28, 2018, 09:19:53 AM
QuoteYou've missed my point completely.

As a side note; anyone who doesn't wash fruit and vegetables before eating them is going to get ill.

Washing fruit and veg might remove some dirt but its not going to get rid of e-coli (unless you use bleach which I wouldnt advise)

We could chlorinate it?
The big issue with US food, apart from the pesticides, chemicals and processes is the subsidies. The US is a low wage economy and farmers are subsidised to a degree that our farmers could only dream about. Canada had to place tarriffs of over 200% on US food imports to level the playing field. Any Free Trade Agreement with Trump's US will not fly without a no tariff deal on US agricultural imports, that will destroy the NI farming industry. That is before we get in to New Zealand lamb and diary and genetically modified grain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 28, 2018, 09:56:17 AM
Quote from: awideisneverasgood on November 28, 2018, 09:19:53 AM
QuoteYou've missed my point completely.

As a side note; anyone who doesn't wash fruit and vegetables before eating them is going to get ill.

Washing fruit and veg might remove some dirt but its not going to get rid of e-coli (unless you use bleach which I wouldnt advise)

We're getting way of my original point which was that people were drawing a straight line from Brexit to a massive US free trade deal to millions of tonnes of Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef being dumped into the UK food chain and everyone munching it down. I even went as far to point out that people have no understanding of what they are against regarding chlorinated chicken. They are jumping on some food standards bandwagon.
It's the exact same as those on the leave side who said the EU would give the UK a massive free trade deal because of BMWs and Champagne. It's utterly stupid, sensationalist, hyperbole. I am not in favour of Brexit at all but we need just a little bit of perspective and stop peddling complete shite.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rufus T Firefly on November 28, 2018, 10:06:00 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on November 28, 2018, 09:24:03 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 27, 2018, 01:26:48 PM
Her worst legacy will be losing the Assembly. 

They have give a free reign to Shinners for last two years.  Shown up for intolerance on rights and language badly.   Brexit and their Tory agreement enhanced that.  Taking a crack at farmers and business over their genuine concerns another own goal.

Even Peter Robinson and others can see that demographics are working against them and they need to adjust

She needed to be a leader of unionism that reached out.  Unionism needs to bring people into their house, not drive them out.   Even her "reach out" efforts earlier this summer seemed contrived and tapered out once the Brexit mud-slinging started.

The long term trends mean that stalemate is actually helping nationalism.   I can understand that why herself, Sammy Wilson etc can't see that but surely there is someone in that party (or these all powerful SPADS?) that has an ounce of strategic thinking.

I suspect jumping on Brexit to show how British they are will prove the most short-sighted strategy possible.

/Jim.

The sad thing is I can't see any of that impacting their vote. It might cause some degree of outrage and disgust with their voting base now but when it comes to polling day in the next elections they just can't bring themselves to put that X anywhere else.

100% this. It is one of the reasons why I have become so disillusioned with local politics.

On top of this there is no Assembly in place, and vital services around Health and Education are at absolute breaking point, although the blame for that does not lie solely with the DUP. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 10:43:39 AM
Quote from: Rufus T Firefly on November 28, 2018, 10:06:00 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on November 28, 2018, 09:24:03 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on November 27, 2018, 01:26:48 PM
Her worst legacy will be losing the Assembly. 

They have give a free reign to Shinners for last two years.  Shown up for intolerance on rights and language badly.   Brexit and their Tory agreement enhanced that.  Taking a crack at farmers and business over their genuine concerns another own goal.

Even Peter Robinson and others can see that demographics are working against them and they need to adjust

She needed to be a leader of unionism that reached out.  Unionism needs to bring people into their house, not drive them out.   Even her "reach out" efforts earlier this summer seemed contrived and tapered out once the Brexit mud-slinging started.

The long term trends mean that stalemate is actually helping nationalism.   I can understand that why herself, Sammy Wilson etc can't see that but surely there is someone in that party (or these all powerful SPADS?) that has an ounce of strategic thinking.

I suspect jumping on Brexit to show how British they are will prove the most short-sighted strategy possible.

/Jim.

The sad thing is I can't see any of that impacting their vote. It might cause some degree of outrage and disgust with their voting base now but when it comes to polling day in the next elections they just can't bring themselves to put that X anywhere else.

100% this. It is one of the reasons why I have become so disillusioned with local politics.

On top of this there is no Assembly in place, and vital services around Health and Education are at absolute breaking point, although the blame for that does not lie solely with the DUP.

I wouldn't be mad to get the likes of the DUP and the Shinners back in positions of power in Stormont as if anything can be learned from the RHI scandal is that neither these ministers, SPAD's and high ranking civil servants have the first notion on how to run anything of even the most base level of complexity.
Most are lifelong politicians and their hand picked lackies with no idea of anything in any sector you talk about.
The Senior Civil servants are off the jolly hockey sticks set, happy to blindly follow orders and not to do anything that may impact on their careers. Some who will come out of the RHI nonsense badly have been promoted FFS.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 28, 2018, 11:07:06 AM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 09:56:17 AM
Quote from: awideisneverasgood on November 28, 2018, 09:19:53 AM
QuoteYou've missed my point completely.

As a side note; anyone who doesn't wash fruit and vegetables before eating them is going to get ill.

Washing fruit and veg might remove some dirt but its not going to get rid of e-coli (unless you use bleach which I wouldnt advise)

We're getting way of my original point which was that people were drawing a straight line from Brexit to a massive US free trade deal to millions of tonnes of Chlorinated Chicken and Steroids in Beef being dumped into the UK food chain and everyone munching it down. I even went as far to point out that people have no understanding of what they are against regarding chlorinated chicken. They are jumping on some food standards bandwagon.
It's the exact same as those on the leave side who said the EU would give the UK a massive free trade deal because of BMWs and Champagne. It's utterly stupid, sensationalist, hyperbole. I am not in favour of Brexit at all but we need just a little bit of perspective and stop peddling complete shite.
It is not a question of dumping. US will insist on free access as part of a FTA which will undercut local farmers, the quantity will be decided by demand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 28, 2018, 11:54:01 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46366162


The beginning of the end for the Brexiteers?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on November 28, 2018, 12:11:33 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 28, 2018, 11:54:01 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46366162


The beginning of the end for the Brexiteers?
Strangely the Daily Mail is backing Tessie May's deal. It's MP's that are out of touch is the theme.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 28, 2018, 12:46:32 PM
The Daily Mail has a new editor, it has returned to planet Earth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Chicago Hurling on November 28, 2018, 01:27:18 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

In the states it's called body shaming if you say they're surviving badly so you can't point out this problem.

But more seriously it has to do a lot with food deserts as well. In The inner cities a lot of decent grocery stores refuse to open thus making the locals have no other options but the crap you get at corner stores, dollar stores, etc where you end up with the horrible quality of food.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 01:30:19 PM
The Obesity problem is separate to the foods standards dilemma after brexit, I just hope our food standards are still aligned with Europe if the backstop deal kicks in. Here is a small insight the the FSA's future plans


The FSA plans to change who conducts food safety inspections in the UK. It proposes to transfer responsibility for many food safety inspections and audits from the public sector to private commercial assurance providers. But those commercial firms will not primarily serve the public interest. They will focus on their food industry clients' interests, creating conflicts of interests between commercial inspectors and the consuming public.

This switch to commerce is precisely what the FSA was set up to end. We know, because we were heavily involved in the British debates over food scandals in the 1980s and 90s, which culminated in the Labour Party (then, as now, in opposition) promising to set up an independent food agency. It would confirm academic Marver Bernstein's theory that agencies set up to regulate industries are often subverted by the industry they were created to oversee.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)

So, poor food standards in the US is making people fat, but in the UK it's lazy parents.
So either way, Brexit or No Brexit we're getting fat?
If the US food is cheaper then shouldn't we be supporting Brexit if we're gonna get fat either way? At least we'll be richer. No?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:38:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)

So, poor food standards in the US is making people fat, but in the UK it's lazy parents.
So either way, Brexit or No Brexit we're getting fat?
If the US food is cheaper then shouldn't we be supporting Brexit if we're gonna get fat either way? At least we'll be richer. No?

Your kids will get fat if you don't feed them right, simples. we are talking about kids, after they can afford their own food they can buy what they want.. Brexit won't make your kids fat, just lazy parents who can't be assed feeding their kids correctly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 01:41:38 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)

So, poor food standards in the US is making people fat, but in the UK it's lazy parents.
So either way, Brexit or No Brexit we're getting fat?
If the US food is cheaper then shouldn't we be supporting Brexit if we're gonna get fat either way? At least we'll be richer. No?

Cant see a belly full of maggots making you fat but it might make you sick, why are you combining two different subjects. Its not really strengthening your case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:55:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 01:41:38 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)

So, poor food standards in the US is making people fat, but in the UK it's lazy parents.
So either way, Brexit or No Brexit we're getting fat?
If the US food is cheaper then shouldn't we be supporting Brexit if we're gonna get fat either way? At least we'll be richer. No?

Cant see a belly full of maggots making you fat but it might make you sick, why are you combining two different subjects. Its not really strengthening your case.

I'm not. Others are. Johnnycool and MR2 L think.
Look, I appreciate your point. I get it that American standards are lower. I understand it. I just think everyone is getting carried away on headlines of Chlorinated Chicken.
The UK hasn't left the EU yet. They haven't done any trade deals with any countries let alone the USA. Now, who knows, a future trade deal with the US may or may not involve chlorinated chicken or Ecoli lettuce coming into the UK or TB infected cattle, or pig meat with dioxins heading out to them but I think everyone should take a deep breath and dial down the sensationalist hyperbole just a tad.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 01:56:03 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 09:56:17 AM
It's utterly stupid, sensationalist, hyperbole. I am not in favour of Brexit at all but we need just a little bit of perspective and stop peddling complete shite.

Your not exactly adding much beyond saying its hyperbole.

Want to explain what you think would happen with a free trade agreement with the US and why its at least fine at best good?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 28, 2018, 02:06:50 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 01:56:03 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 09:56:17 AM
It's utterly stupid, sensationalist, hyperbole. I am not in favour of Brexit at all but we need just a little bit of perspective and stop peddling complete shite.

Your not exactly adding much beyond saying its hyperbole.

Want to explain what you think would happen with a free trade agreement with the US and why its at least fine at best good?

So in order to dismiss wild speculation on the content of FTA between the UK and USA, you want me to wildly speculate on what would be in a FTA between the USA and the UK?
Honestly I don't know. You don't know and one sure thing is a load of GAA fans on the Internet don't know either. But definitely chlorinated chicken and beef with steroids. 

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 02:07:12 PM
Is nobody on here concerned that the FSA in the uk without any jurisdiction from Europe in the event of Brexit are planning to take regulation away from the public sector and hand it over to private commercial firms.  A recipe for disfunctional regulation and healthy standard of regulation is gone in favour of personal gain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 02:37:12 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 02:06:50 PM
So in order to dismiss wild speculation on the content of FTA between the UK and USA, you want me to wildly speculate on what would be in a FTA between the USA and the UK?

You are just saying because you don't know for sure that it won't take a form highly advantageous to the USA that it then won't take a form highly advantageous to the USA?

Do you somehow not see the fuckwits we have that'd be doing the negotiations?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 02:39:26 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 02:07:12 PM
Is nobody on here concerned that the FSA in the uk without any jurisdiction from Europe in the event of Brexit are planning to take regulation away from the public sector and hand it over to private commercial firms.  A recipe for disfunctional regulation and healthy standard of regulation is gone in favour of personal gain.

Concerned - yes.

Surprised - no.

Is there anything that can be done about it? Probably not. Fuckwits will put it to "consultation", ignore those that say it is bad and do it anyway.


Representative democracy is a broken system. Furthermore it was a system designed in a time when the fastest means of communication was homing pigeon, horseback or smoke signals.

Question: Would any of the current cabinet be suitably qualified to take on a similar role in industry? Would they f**k. Their CV wouldn't make it beyond the first 5 lines of reading.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on November 28, 2018, 02:44:33 PM
Will demand not decide how much of this beefed up US meat and Kentucky Fried Chlorinated chicken comes onto the market. Surely the local suppliers will be advertising their products as local produce and free from the above. So if people still buy this and avoid the US stuff then will that not prevent the flood onto the market?
I understand there's going to be a price premium for the local meat and that there will be a market for the lower priced imported produce but surely it'll just be a choice rather than having to go for the imported options. Or am I missing something?


   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 02:51:48 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 28, 2018, 02:44:33 PM
Will demand not decide how much of this beefed up US meat and Kentucky Fried Chlorinated chicken comes onto the market. Surely the local suppliers will be advertising their products as local produce and free from the above. So if people still buy this and avoid the US stuff then will that not prevent the flood onto the market?
I understand there's going to be a price premium for the local meat and that there will be a market for the lower priced imported produce but surely it'll just be a choice rather than having to go for the imported options. Or am I missing something?




Will it though? if the current regulations that the EU use for this are not available then will farmers (local) not just cut corners to save a few bob? Farmers always complaining about not making enough money  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 03:00:39 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 02:39:26 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 02:07:12 PM
Is nobody on here concerned that the FSA in the uk without any jurisdiction from Europe in the event of Brexit are planning to take regulation away from the public sector and hand it over to private commercial firms.  A recipe for disfunctional regulation and healthy standard of regulation is gone in favour of personal gain.

Concerned - yes.

Surprised - no.

Is there anything that can be done about it? Probably not. Fuckwits will put it to "consultation", ignore those that say it is bad and do it anyway.


Representative democracy is a broken system. Furthermore it was a system designed in a time when the fastest means of communication was homing pigeon, horseback or smoke signals.

Question: Would any of the current cabinet be suitably qualified to take on a similar role in industry? Would they f**k. Their CV wouldn't make it beyond the first 5 lines of reading.

Anyone with the interest of the people at heart wouldn't last to long.
But surely being part of the EU albeit flawed is better than this BS.  The more you learn how governments work the more depressed it gets. Maybe we should stop writing s..t on boards and be more like the french. Macron is finding out the hard way that you can't hoodwink the electorate and if you do expect a backlash.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on November 28, 2018, 03:20:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 02:51:48 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 28, 2018, 02:44:33 PM
Will demand not decide how much of this beefed up US meat and Kentucky Fried Chlorinated chicken comes onto the market. Surely the local suppliers will be advertising their products as local produce and free from the above. So if people still buy this and avoid the US stuff then will that not prevent the flood onto the market?
I understand there's going to be a price premium for the local meat and that there will be a market for the lower priced imported produce but surely it'll just be a choice rather than having to go for the imported options. Or am I missing something?





Will it though? if the current regulations that the EU use for this are not available then will farmers (local) not just cut corners to save a few bob? Farmers always complaining about not making enough money  ;)
Yeah but there will always be the option of paying a bit more and getting the better quality. Similar to your options on Free range/ caged eggs. I'm aware it'll corner a part of the market but don't think it will be as wide spread as discussed here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 03:20:41 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 28, 2018, 02:44:33 PMSurely the local suppliers will be advertising their products as local produce and free from the above.

Deal could stipulate that you cannot label food with country of origin.

The USA is generally opposed to Country Of Origin Labelling (COOL). Canada are no angels in this either:

https://www.iatp.org/documents/how-ceta-can-endanger-country-origin-labelling-cool

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 28, 2018, 03:22:51 PM
Hopefully ye folks will have voted for reunification before the Brits complete their super trade deals with Moldova, Haiti, Trumpistan etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on November 28, 2018, 03:29:30 PM
Are American food standards lower than European? Undoubtedly
Does European food taste better than American? Most definitely
Is there a bigger range of American food produce? Yes
Is American food cheaper than European? In most cases yes but for the standard local staples I would say Europe is actually cheaper. Meat definitely cheaper but I believe its more to do with the qty that can be produced in a country as vast as America than hormones or clones.

Comparing food between the two i a case of swings and roundabouts but Anyway my point is fear of American food is a little bit overblown. Id safely say I am way healthier living in America than I was in Ireland, Im lighter and I actually exercise less. The reason? I choose to not eat processed crap. I'd safely say the jamiedodger or tunnocks tea cake that you scoff down with your tea is way worse for your health than imported chicken.

If this is your reason for Remaining tho Id say you could leave without any fear at all. Far worse would be the decimation of the rural economy due to farmers having to compete on the global market. Any FTA agreement with Brazil or USA would involve stripping away farmers competitiveness, there would be less subsidies and less regulation, farm produce value would drop and many farms would be no longer economically viable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 03:47:33 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on November 28, 2018, 03:29:30 PM
If this is your reason for Remaining tho Id say you could leave without any fear at all. Far worse would be the decimation of the rural economy due to farmers having to compete on the global market. Any FTA agreement with Brazil or USA would involve stripping away farmers competitiveness, there would be less subsidies and less regulation, farm produce value would drop and many farms would be no longer economically viable.

Which has a knock on effect on tourism.

Rural Ireland isn't going to hold great appeal to the tourist if most of the land has degraded into whins and thorn bushes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on November 28, 2018, 04:13:31 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 03:47:33 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on November 28, 2018, 03:29:30 PM
If this is your reason for Remaining tho Id say you could leave without any fear at all. Far worse would be the decimation of the rural economy due to farmers having to compete on the global market. Any FTA agreement with Brazil or USA would involve stripping away farmers competitiveness, there would be less subsidies and less regulation, farm produce value would drop and many farms would be no longer economically viable.

Which has a knock on effect on tourism.

Rural Ireland isn't going to hold great appeal to the tourist if most of the land has degraded into whins and thorn bushes.

Well its unlikely to as dystopian as that...my point was there would be less "commerce per acre"  you would more likely have large commercial farms with employment and less money going back through the local economy.

Besides if the land turned to its natural flora it would be deciduous woodland... tourists would love it! ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on November 28, 2018, 04:36:05 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on November 28, 2018, 03:29:30 PM
Are American food standards lower than European? Undoubtedly
Does European food taste better than American? Most definitely
Is there a bigger range of American food produce? Yes
Is American food cheaper than European? In most cases yes but for the standard local staples I would say Europe is actually cheaper. Meat definitely cheaper but I believe its more to do with the qty that can be produced in a country as vast as America than hormones or clones.

Comparing food between the two i a case of swings and roundabouts but Anyway my point is fear of American food is a little bit overblown. Id safely say I am way healthier living in America than I was in Ireland, Im lighter and I actually exercise less. The reason? I choose to not eat processed crap. I'd safely say the jamiedodger or tunnocks tea cake that you scoff down with your tea is way worse for your health than imported chicken.

If this is your reason for Remaining tho Id say you could leave without any fear at all. Far worse would be the decimation of the rural economy due to farmers having to compete on the global market. Any FTA agreement with Brazil or USA would involve stripping away farmers competitiveness, there would be less subsidies and less regulation, farm produce value would drop and many farms would be no longer economically viable.

How many chlorinated chickens do you average a week? What about steroid beef? How many kilos of that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on November 28, 2018, 04:41:50 PM
We've been drinking chlorine for years at the swimmers!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 04:48:25 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:55:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 01:41:38 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)

So, poor food standards in the US is making people fat, but in the UK it's lazy parents.
So either way, Brexit or No Brexit we're getting fat?
If the US food is cheaper then shouldn't we be supporting Brexit if we're gonna get fat either way? At least we'll be richer. No?

Cant see a belly full of maggots making you fat but it might make you sick, why are you combining two different subjects. Its not really strengthening your case.

I'm not. Others are. Johnnycool and MR2 L think.
Look, I appreciate your point. I get it that American standards are lower. I understand it. I just think everyone is getting carried away on headlines of Chlorinated Chicken.
The UK hasn't left the EU yet. They haven't done any trade deals with any countries let alone the USA. Now, who knows, a future trade deal with the US may or may not involve chlorinated chicken or Ecoli lettuce coming into the UK or TB infected cattle, or pig meat with dioxins heading out to them but I think everyone should take a deep breath and dial down the sensationalist hyperbole just a tad.

Cheap food by and large is bad for you irrespective what side of the Atlantic you live on. The poorer you are the more likely you are to depend on cheap food.

If McDonalds can produce a burger and sell it for 99p you really got to ask what's in it.

In the US they are allowed to put even more shit in it than the EU would allow. UK deregulation and opening up to US foodstuffs currently banned is only going to impact on the poorest in society when the HFCS starts clogging everything up. Obesity will only get worse when this happens.

MR may avail of cheaper Californian wine though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 28, 2018, 05:13:16 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on November 28, 2018, 04:13:31 PM
Well its unlikely to as dystopian as that...my point was there would be less "commerce per acre"  you would more likely have large commercial farms with employment and less money going back through the local economy.

Besides if the land turned to its natural flora it would be deciduous woodland... tourists would love it! ;)

The large commercial farms would be by-and-by large around the less landscaped areas of the country (who goes to visit the lagan valley for the scenery?) - whereas the Mourne/Sperrin foothills and the Glens would be a disaster zone.

[Given the demographics of these areas - maybe the DUP are happy enough with that.]

I suppose the landowners could be given a grant for planting into woodland - the proverbial last rites to the hill farm.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bcarrier on November 28, 2018, 05:16:29 PM

QuoteHome come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?

The quick answer is that the food pyramid we grew up with was the wrong way round. If you have the time....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dBnniua6-oM
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 06:35:38 PM
Wouldn't touch the stuff Johnny!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 06:46:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 06:35:38 PM
Wouldn't touch the stuff Johnny!!!!

As they say up here "you would suck it through a sh..y sock"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 28, 2018, 07:13:03 PM
Did any of you ever read Fast Food Nation? Some eye-opener, that. The workers in American slaughterhouses love it on the days when they're producing goods for the EU. The line has to be slowed down to reduce the number of errors when separating the guts, bladders and bowels from the edible meat. In American burgers you have higher incidences of 'fecal contamination." In other words, there's sh1t in the meat.

The bottom line is, if Britain leaves the EU, they'll be literally eating sh1te.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on November 29, 2018, 12:41:03 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 28, 2018, 07:13:03 PM
Did any of you ever read Fast Food Nation? Some eye-opener, that. The workers in American slaughterhouses love it on the days when they're producing goods for the EU. The line has to be slowed down to reduce the number of errors when separating the guts, bladders and bowels from the edible meat. In American burgers you have higher incidences of 'fecal contamination." In other words, there's sh1t in the meat.

The bottom line is, if Britain leaves the EU, they'll be literally eating sh1te.

Aye and you wouldnt touch any of that shite Eamon right ;)

Anyway the claim is more shit than the burgers are.... They found ecoli in the meat which while it is in shit it is also in most parts of the digestive tract. The fact is its bacteria not shit so its a bit of a stretch to say it is fecal matter. And if you cook your burger the ecoli will be dead

Contamination with ecoli on beef while undesirable is somewhat understandable but how does it get on Romain lettuce?

There are alot of crazy fundamentalist in America but the hard core vegan marketing crew are right up there. I query most stuff I read or watch esp online but with that lot I am extra vigilant
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on November 29, 2018, 02:01:50 AM
Bank of England warning of a 25% drop in Sterling and an 8% drop off in the economy.

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-46377309
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on November 29, 2018, 09:59:21 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 28, 2018, 07:13:03 PM
Did any of you ever read Fast Food Nation? Some eye-opener, that. The workers in American slaughterhouses love it on the days when they're producing goods for the EU. The line has to be slowed down to reduce the number of errors when separating the guts, bladders and bowels from the edible meat. In American burgers you have higher incidences of 'fecal contamination." In other words, there's sh1t in the meat.

The bottom line is, if Britain leaves the EU, they'll be literally eating sh1te.

Heh? Have you ever been in an abbatoir to see how they do this? There's not much slowing down required to separate the innards from the carcass I can tell you. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 29, 2018, 10:35:39 AM
Quote from: heganboy on November 29, 2018, 02:01:50 AM
Bank of England warning of a 25% drop in Sterling and an 8% drop off in the economy.

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-46377309

Great time now to invest in cryptocurrencies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 29, 2018, 10:49:06 AM
Or surely any currency that's not sterling? Maybe USD better than euro if the whole mess devalues the euro too mind.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on November 29, 2018, 11:58:34 AM
i bought japanese yen on my revolut card, more stable than the dollar
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 12:22:31 PM
Mogg questioning the governor of the Bank of England's credentials and name calling just goes to show how the fantasists are willing to peddle anything in order to perpetuate this myth of a promised land full of milk and honey.

Then you have Barnier stating that there will be no other deal yet still the DUP and the hard Brexiteers think that they can get a better deal. They couldn't get 48 letters to put their money where their mouth was. It was time to put up or shut up but they failed to do either.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on November 29, 2018, 12:32:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 12:22:31 PM
Mogg questioning the governor of the Bank of England's credentials and name calling just goes to show how the fantasists are willing to peddle anything in order to perpetuate this myth of a promised land full of milk and honey.

Then you have Barnier stating that there will be no other deal yet still the DUP and the hard Brexiteers think that they can get a better deal. They couldn't get 48 letters to put their money where their mouth was. It was time to put up or shut up but they failed to do either.   

I just don't understand the logic. Surely these politicians are (Relatively) intelligent people, if there is a no deal do they not realise that there is a huge possibility that what the BOE claim will happen, will happen. Are they just blinded by the hope that the UK will rise from the flames or do they just not give a rat's ass if the pound drops by 25%?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 29, 2018, 12:34:46 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 29, 2018, 12:32:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 12:22:31 PM
Mogg questioning the governor of the Bank of England's credentials and name calling just goes to show how the fantasists are willing to peddle anything in order to perpetuate this myth of a promised land full of milk and honey.

Then you have Barnier stating that there will be no other deal yet still the DUP and the hard Brexiteers think that they can get a better deal. They couldn't get 48 letters to put their money where their mouth was. It was time to put up or shut up but they failed to do either.   

I just don't understand the logic. Surely these politicians are (Relatively) intelligent people, if there is a no deal do they not realise that there is a huge possibility that what the BOE claim will happen, will happen. Are they just blinded by the hope that the UK will rise from the flames or do they just not give a rat's ass if the pound drops by 25%?

They have delusions of grandeur and still cling to the belief that Britannia rules the waves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on November 29, 2018, 12:36:41 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 29, 2018, 12:32:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 12:22:31 PM
Mogg questioning the governor of the Bank of England's credentials and name calling just goes to show how the fantasists are willing to peddle anything in order to perpetuate this myth of a promised land full of milk and honey.

Then you have Barnier stating that there will be no other deal yet still the DUP and the hard Brexiteers think that they can get a better deal. They couldn't get 48 letters to put their money where their mouth was. It was time to put up or shut up but they failed to do either.   

I just don't understand the logic. Surely these politicians are (Relatively) intelligent people, if there is a no deal do they not realise that there is a huge possibility that what the BOE claim will happen, will happen. Are they just blinded by the hope that the UK will rise from the flames or do they just not give a rat's ass if the pound drops by 25%?

No in a wrecked economy they supposedly can clean up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on November 29, 2018, 01:25:12 PM
Quote from: maddog on November 29, 2018, 12:36:41 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 29, 2018, 12:32:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 12:22:31 PM
Mogg questioning the governor of the Bank of England's credentials and name calling just goes to show how the fantasists are willing to peddle anything in order to perpetuate this myth of a promised land full of milk and honey.

Then you have Barnier stating that there will be no other deal yet still the DUP and the hard Brexiteers think that they can get a better deal. They couldn't get 48 letters to put their money where their mouth was. It was time to put up or shut up but they failed to do either.   

I just don't understand the logic. Surely these politicians are (Relatively) intelligent people, if there is a no deal do they not realise that there is a huge possibility that what the BOE claim will happen, will happen. Are they just blinded by the hope that the UK will rise from the flames or do they just not give a rat's ass if the pound drops by 25%?

No in a wrecked economy they supposedly can clean up.

Like a Bilderburg conspiracy. Brexit just a big plan where the elites make themselves richer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 29, 2018, 01:31:36 PM
The EU have to say there's no other option but sure as shite a new deal will be found when the first goes down in flames in Parliament. Not a Brexiteers wet dream but enough to get eventually through Parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 29, 2018, 01:59:51 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on November 29, 2018, 01:25:12 PM
Quote from: maddog on November 29, 2018, 12:36:41 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 29, 2018, 12:32:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 12:22:31 PM
Mogg questioning the governor of the Bank of England's credentials and name calling just goes to show how the fantasists are willing to peddle anything in order to perpetuate this myth of a promised land full of milk and honey.

Then you have Barnier stating that there will be no other deal yet still the DUP and the hard Brexiteers think that they can get a better deal. They couldn't get 48 letters to put their money where their mouth was. It was time to put up or shut up but they failed to do either.   

I just don't understand the logic. Surely these politicians are (Relatively) intelligent people, if there is a no deal do they not realise that there is a huge possibility that what the BOE claim will happen, will happen. Are they just blinded by the hope that the UK will rise from the flames or do they just not give a rat's ass if the pound drops by 25%?

No in a wrecked economy they supposedly can clean up.

Like a Bilderburg conspiracy. Brexit just a big plan where the elites make themselves richer.

That's always been my thinking on it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 29, 2018, 02:31:57 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 29, 2018, 01:59:51 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on November 29, 2018, 01:25:12 PM
Quote from: maddog on November 29, 2018, 12:36:41 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 29, 2018, 12:32:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 12:22:31 PM
Mogg questioning the governor of the Bank of England's credentials and name calling just goes to show how the fantasists are willing to peddle anything in order to perpetuate this myth of a promised land full of milk and honey.

Then you have Barnier stating that there will be no other deal yet still the DUP and the hard Brexiteers think that they can get a better deal. They couldn't get 48 letters to put their money where their mouth was. It was time to put up or shut up but they failed to do either.   

I just don't understand the logic. Surely these politicians are (Relatively) intelligent people, if there is a no deal do they not realise that there is a huge possibility that what the BOE claim will happen, will happen. Are they just blinded by the hope that the UK will rise from the flames or do they just not give a rat's ass if the pound drops by 25%?

No in a wrecked economy they supposedly can clean up.

Like a Bilderburg conspiracy. Brexit just a big plan where the elites make themselves richer.

That's always been my thinking on it.

Likewise. I see some of them as using it to erode rights of people and piggy backing on this to make themselves a lot richer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 29, 2018, 03:54:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:55:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 01:41:38 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)

So, poor food standards in the US is making people fat, but in the UK it's lazy parents.
So either way, Brexit or No Brexit we're getting fat?
If the US food is cheaper then shouldn't we be supporting Brexit if we're gonna get fat either way? At least we'll be richer. No?

Cant see a belly full of maggots making you fat but it might make you sick, why are you combining two different subjects. Its not really strengthening your case.

I'm not. Others are. Johnnycool and MR2 L think.
Look, I appreciate your point. I get it that American standards are lower. I understand it. I just think everyone is getting carried away on headlines of Chlorinated Chicken.
The UK hasn't left the EU yet. They haven't done any trade deals with any countries let alone the USA. Now, who knows, a future trade deal with the US may or may not involve chlorinated chicken or Ecoli lettuce coming into the UK or TB infected cattle, or pig meat with dioxins heading out to them but I think everyone should take a deep breath and dial down the sensationalist hyperbole just a tad.
Leaving aside your scepticism in relation to US food. The fact remains, with no back stop and a trade deal with the US on agricultural products or foodstuffs the EU will insist on a hard border in Ireland to protect their own food chain. In any event with the ending of free movement I can't see how the UK is going to stop people coming in to NI without deploying the border force and that will inevitably lead to disadent attacks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 29, 2018, 04:06:17 PM
QuoteI can't see how the UK is going to stop people coming in to NI without deploying the border force

That should lead to an immediate border poll to end the issue of partition once and for all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on November 29, 2018, 04:15:22 PM
I'm thinking of transferring my savings to a southern account, before sterling totally tanks. I take it this wouldn't be too difficult?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 04:15:47 PM
Quote from: maddog on November 29, 2018, 12:36:41 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 29, 2018, 12:32:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 12:22:31 PM
Mogg questioning the governor of the Bank of England's credentials and name calling just goes to show how the fantasists are willing to peddle anything in order to perpetuate this myth of a promised land full of milk and honey.

Then you have Barnier stating that there will be no other deal yet still the DUP and the hard Brexiteers think that they can get a better deal. They couldn't get 48 letters to put their money where their mouth was. It was time to put up or shut up but they failed to do either.   

I just don't understand the logic. Surely these politicians are (Relatively) intelligent people, if there is a no deal do they not realise that there is a huge possibility that what the BOE claim will happen, will happen. Are they just blinded by the hope that the UK will rise from the flames or do they just not give a rat's ass if the pound drops by 25%?

No in a wrecked economy they supposedly can clean up.

It's like a legalised form of insider dealing where the eiltes prey on working class people and their Rule Brittania dream. They know how the markets move during periods of uncertainty and are able to profit accordingly.

The pound has already fallen about 20% since Brexit was first mooted, you can be rest assured it won't affect the lifestyle that these politicians are able to lead one iota. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 04:21:48 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 29, 2018, 04:15:22 PM
I'm thinking of transferring my savings to a southern account, before sterling totally tanks. I take it this wouldn't be too difficult?

It could still go either way. If there was a second referendum for instance, the value of sterling would likely appreciate. It was 20% more valuable prior to the Brexit referendum first being announced so it has already fallen substantially. There is no doubt it will crash further if there is a no deal but you are effectively gambling on this outcome. If Brexit does not happen for whatever reason you may likely lose out but I wouldn't dare tell anybody else what to do, it's a personal thing. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on November 29, 2018, 04:22:30 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 29, 2018, 03:54:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:55:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 01:41:38 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)

So, poor food standards in the US is making people fat, but in the UK it's lazy parents.
So either way, Brexit or No Brexit we're getting fat?
If the US food is cheaper then shouldn't we be supporting Brexit if we're gonna get fat either way? At least we'll be richer. No?

Cant see a belly full of maggots making you fat but it might make you sick, why are you combining two different subjects. Its not really strengthening your case.

I'm not. Others are. Johnnycool and MR2 L think.
Look, I appreciate your point. I get it that American standards are lower. I understand it. I just think everyone is getting carried away on headlines of Chlorinated Chicken.
The UK hasn't left the EU yet. They haven't done any trade deals with any countries let alone the USA. Now, who knows, a future trade deal with the US may or may not involve chlorinated chicken or Ecoli lettuce coming into the UK or TB infected cattle, or pig meat with dioxins heading out to them but I think everyone should take a deep breath and dial down the sensationalist hyperbole just a tad.
Leaving aside your scepticism in relation to US food. The fact remains, with no back stop and a trade deal with the US on agricultural products or foodstuffs the EU will insist on a hard border in Ireland to protect their own food chain. In any event with the ending of free movement I can't see how the UK is going to stop people coming in to NI without deploying the border force and that will inevitably lead to disadent attacks.
It would lead to a hell of a lot more than just dissident attacks. There would be widespread anger at the introduction of any border infrastructure, which could lead to a lot more than just dissent support for attacks on it. Its why I have always thought that any such idea of a reintroduction of a hard border here, or even a softer one was a non runner from the get go.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 04:28:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 29, 2018, 01:31:36 PM
The EU have to say there's no other option but sure as shite a new deal will be found when the first goes down in flames in Parliament. Not a Brexiteers wet dream but enough to get eventually through Parliament.

There is nothing that will satisfy Brexiteers that include being a part of the customs union and the EU will not be compromising on that.

The Brexiteers need to maintain the pretence that their promised land of milk and honey has not been delivered. That way they can never be held accountable for any nosedive that the economy may take following any deal. It is probably why Mogg, Johnson, Davis et al never mustered enough support to overthrow May in order to try to negotiate their own vision of Brexit. They know that it is undeliverable.

Meanwhile the very event (Brexit) that was supposed to settle divisions in the Tory party once and for all looks to have created an even greater divide.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 29, 2018, 04:38:52 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 29, 2018, 03:54:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:55:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on November 28, 2018, 01:41:38 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on November 28, 2018, 01:26:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:17:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 28, 2018, 01:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on November 28, 2018, 01:08:07 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on November 28, 2018, 11:49:53 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4uAounOTBYw)

Ahh Jasus.
Fair enough, I give me.
Brexit means farmers out of a job, steroids in our beef, chlorine chickens, Ecoli in our lettuce and maggots in our fruit. Everyone happy now?

How do Americans survive?

Badly, especially the poor;

https://stateofobesity.org/data/ (https://stateofobesity.org/data/)

American food standards are a race to the bottom as the large lobby groups from these sectors wield far too much power.

Home come 1/3 of children in the UK are obese?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action (https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action/childhood-obesity-a-plan-for-action)

Lazy ass parents feeding their kids crap food.. and the fact that shit food is cheaper than actually making a dinner with natural ingredients .. But mainly lazy parents :)

So, poor food standards in the US is making people fat, but in the UK it's lazy parents.
So either way, Brexit or No Brexit we're getting fat?
If the US food is cheaper then shouldn't we be supporting Brexit if we're gonna get fat either way? At least we'll be richer. No?

Cant see a belly full of maggots making you fat but it might make you sick, why are you combining two different subjects. Its not really strengthening your case.

I'm not. Others are. Johnnycool and MR2 L think.
Look, I appreciate your point. I get it that American standards are lower. I understand it. I just think everyone is getting carried away on headlines of Chlorinated Chicken.
The UK hasn't left the EU yet. They haven't done any trade deals with any countries let alone the USA. Now, who knows, a future trade deal with the US may or may not involve chlorinated chicken or Ecoli lettuce coming into the UK or TB infected cattle, or pig meat with dioxins heading out to them but I think everyone should take a deep breath and dial down the sensationalist hyperbole just a tad.
Leaving aside your scepticism in relation to US food. The fact remains, with no back stop and a trade deal with the US on agricultural products or foodstuffs the EU will insist on a hard border in Ireland to protect their own food chain. In any event with the ending of free movement I can't see how the UK is going to stop people coming in to NI without deploying the border force and that will inevitably lead to disadent attacks.

Politicians in the UK simply do not understand the practilities of border life, they do not have to deal with it. A hard border would encourage a hive of smuggling criminality on a scale far beyond what currently exists, and that is before you even begin to talk about the dissident threat.

I believe some of the more pragmatic UK politicians have come to realise that after the Brexit vote. However there still exist the hard Brexiteer fantasists (plus DUP) who want a full Brexit at any price, they don't care one jot about what happens in the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 29, 2018, 05:24:14 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 29, 2018, 04:15:22 PM
I'm thinking of transferring my savings to a southern account, before sterling totally tanks. I take it this wouldn't be too difficult?

Currencyfair is good for this, it's the one I use.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: brokencrossbar1 on November 29, 2018, 06:18:32 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 29, 2018, 05:24:14 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 29, 2018, 04:15:22 PM
I'm thinking of transferring my savings to a southern account, before sterling totally tanks. I take it this wouldn't be too difficult?

Currencyfair is good for this, it's the one I use.

Few boys down our way will give you great rates for cash...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on November 29, 2018, 06:49:10 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 29, 2018, 05:24:14 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 29, 2018, 04:15:22 PM
I'm thinking of transferring my savings to a southern account, before sterling totally tanks. I take it this wouldn't be too difficult?

Currencyfair is good for this, it's the one I use.

Azimo gives you two free transfers at the start. Could save a decent sum if you're transferring a lot of cash in one (or two) go.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on November 29, 2018, 09:48:38 PM
Quote from: brokencrossbar1 on November 29, 2018, 06:18:32 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on November 29, 2018, 05:24:14 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on November 29, 2018, 04:15:22 PM
I'm thinking of transferring my savings to a southern account, before sterling totally tanks. I take it this wouldn't be too difficult?

Currencyfair is good for this, it's the one I use.

Few boys down our way will give you great rates for cash...

You don't say...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 30, 2018, 09:53:04 AM
Watched Question Time last night and it was dominated by Brexit talk and all that with one lad (think he was Boss of Wetherspoons) pushing hard for a no deal Brexit as a solution and not once was the border in NI mentioned as a sticking point.
The common garden variety Brit really doesn't have a clue about this place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 30, 2018, 09:57:08 AM
Not sure if it was mentioned before here but on newsnight one night they had a debate on and one of the participants was a pastor who was from what I read pro May's deal(I didn't watch it). She was an actor lol. Some controversy now and newsnight say she was there as a pastor and not in an acting capacity but the BBC are taking some flak.

JC they haven't a clue nor do they care. I went to Andrew Maxwell in standup last year in Belfast and he was doing a few sketches on it as he lives in england and sees firsthand how little of a clue they have about here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 30, 2018, 10:07:24 AM
Tommy, you don't need Andrew Maxwell to tell you that. It's plainly obvious.

But this thing about somebody from Middle England voting for brexit. Didn't they think of the difficulties for the border region in Ireland? Why would they? It's not that they don't understand here, but someone in middle England are voting for themselves. I mean, would anyone here be thinking about the people Lancashire, Somerset, guernsey or the orkneys? Of course not. Everybody else means diddly squat. And the North means diddly squat to a middle, north, western, every type of Englander.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on November 30, 2018, 10:13:52 AM
What continues to take me to the fair is all the asians and africans backing brexit, to stop all the immigrants, and some of the Irish diaspora aren't to far behind. The irony is lost on them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 30, 2018, 10:28:13 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 30, 2018, 10:13:52 AM
What continues to take me to the fair is all the asians and africans backing brexit, to stop all the immigrants, and some of the Irish diaspora aren't to far behind. The irony is lost on them.

Just like Trump building his walls and banning immigrants when his grandparents were German and his wife is Slovenian..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on November 30, 2018, 10:31:09 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 30, 2018, 09:53:04 AM
Watched Question Time last night and it was dominated by Brexit talk and all that with one lad (think he was Boss of Wetherspoons) pushing hard for a no deal Brexit as a solution and not once was the border in NI mentioned as a sticking point.
The common garden variety Brit really doesn't have a clue about this place.

Maybe he is thinking his pubs will be full after a no deal as no one will be able to afford to drink anywhere other than his chav filled kips
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on November 30, 2018, 11:23:27 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 30, 2018, 10:28:13 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 30, 2018, 10:13:52 AM
What continues to take me to the fair is all the asians and africans backing brexit, to stop all the immigrants, and some of the Irish diaspora aren't to far behind. The irony is lost on them.

Just like Trump building his walls and banning immigrants when his grandparents were German and his wife is Slovenian..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yOvcEHi6LIo&feature=share
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on November 30, 2018, 01:21:16 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 30, 2018, 09:53:04 AM
Watched Question Time last night and it was dominated by Brexit talk and all that with one lad (think he was Boss of Wetherspoons) pushing hard for a no deal Brexit as a solution and not once was the border in NI mentioned as a sticking point.
The common garden variety Brit really doesn't have a clue about this place.

The guy is from Northern Ireland so should know better but is obviously of the flegger mentality
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 30, 2018, 03:24:24 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 30, 2018, 10:13:52 AM
What continues to take me to the fair is all the asians and africans backing brexit, to stop all the immigrants, and some of the Irish diaspora aren't to far behind. The irony is lost on them.

Even in the EU, the UK (or any country) are able to put a limit on the amount of foreign migrants coming in, can they not?

Heard a discussion other day saying the nhs will struggle due to brexit, because they can't bring in as much nurses/doctors from abroad. But there's been a lack of medical professionals for 20-30 years, and what the fcuk have they done about it? Just another excuse to blame it on brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 30, 2018, 04:23:37 PM
One of the big Pharmaceutical Wholesalers in the UK have just told me they're not accepting any more medicine from Europe in the New Year until something concrete has been sorted about Brexit . . .

No need to panic though for that Epilepsy/Diabetes medicine that comes from Ireland you'll be grand!!  ::) ::) ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on November 30, 2018, 04:51:11 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on November 30, 2018, 04:19:38 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 30, 2018, 03:24:24 PM
Heard a discussion other day saying the nhs will struggle due to brexit, because they can't bring in as much nurses/doctors from abroad. But there's been a lack of medical professionals for 20-30 years, and what the fcuk have they done about it? Just another excuse to blame it on brexit.

(http://www.cutecatgifs.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/Facepalm.gif)

Anyhoo, a contribution piece in today's Graniuad on Brexit from someone who grew up in Kenya in the 80s with all the political turmoil there at the time...

QuoteBritain is not Kenya. It is, in the ordinary run of things, much better protected against such convulsions than a country such as Kenya. But do away with the ordinary run of things, and any place in the world can suffer as Kenya did then. You don't have to look too far back at European history to see it, nor do you have to look away from home. The British people I know who most swiftly grasped and vividly understood the implications of present events as they began to unfold are Northern Irish. There's a reason for that.**

QuoteAll the talk about the "Blitz spirit" comes from people who have never known what it is to truly fear everything crashing down around you. In liberal democracies enthusiasm for a revolution usually comes from people who have known nothing but the safety and freedom of the "system" – which is to say the imperfect protective structure – that they abhor. Talk to anyone who has experienced the glories of such upheaval and they are generally not quite so keen on it.

To be, politically speaking, a grownup is something to be sneered at these days. It means you're lacking in imagination, in boldness of vision, in belief in a better country or a better world. That's a view held invariably by people who would, without grownups running things, have been lucky to survive long enough to articulate it. Similarly, a contempt for expertise is inevitably expressed by those who, without experts contributing to society as they do, would be lucky to have a voice to speak with, let alone a platform on which to use it. Expertise, like democracy, is far from infallible; each, however, is always preferable to the alternative.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/30/brexit-britain-crisis-uk


** Please, don't shoot the messenger.

This is what is somewhat weird that as the population grows older it seems like it is becoming less sensible.
But then again we are all becoming more susceptible to  media that is tailored to our individual personal emotions.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on November 30, 2018, 05:32:21 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on November 30, 2018, 04:19:38 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on November 30, 2018, 03:24:24 PM
Heard a discussion other day saying the nhs will struggle due to brexit, because they can't bring in as much nurses/doctors from abroad. But there's been a lack of medical professionals for 20-30 years, and what the fcuk have they done about it? Just another excuse to blame it on brexit.

(http://www.cutecatgifs.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/Facepalm.gif)

Anyhoo, a contribution piece in today's Graniuad on Brexit from someone who grew up in Kenya in the 80s with all the political turmoil there at the time...

QuoteBritain is not Kenya. It is, in the ordinary run of things, much better protected against such convulsions than a country such as Kenya. But do away with the ordinary run of things, and any place in the world can suffer as Kenya did then. You don't have to look too far back at European history to see it, nor do you have to look away from home. The British people I know who most swiftly grasped and vividly understood the implications of present events as they began to unfold are Northern Irish. There's a reason for that.**

QuoteAll the talk about the "Blitz spirit" comes from people who have never known what it is to truly fear everything crashing down around you. In liberal democracies enthusiasm for a revolution usually comes from people who have known nothing but the safety and freedom of the "system" – which is to say the imperfect protective structure – that they abhor. Talk to anyone who has experienced the glories of such upheaval and they are generally not quite so keen on it.

To be, politically speaking, a grownup is something to be sneered at these days. It means you're lacking in imagination, in boldness of vision, in belief in a better country or a better world. That's a view held invariably by people who would, without grownups running things, have been lucky to survive long enough to articulate it. Similarly, a contempt for expertise is inevitably expressed by those who, without experts contributing to society as they do, would be lucky to have a voice to speak with, let alone a platform on which to use it. Expertise, like democracy, is far from infallible; each, however, is always preferable to the alternative.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/30/brexit-britain-crisis-uk


** Please, don't shoot the messenger.

What's your point Felix?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on December 01, 2018, 06:04:17 AM
Is it time to call Arlene's bluff and start renegotiating partition. We made a balls out of engagement with the Boundary Commission in the 1920's. Would now be a good time to reopen negotiations and move the boundary north east of South Armagh/Down, Fermanagh, West and South Tyrone and Derry City..   it would only take 10 years of depression to convince the Very North East to come to their senses and maybe we will be a nation once again😇🇨🇮
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 01, 2018, 07:35:22 AM
Quote from: omochain on December 01, 2018, 06:04:17 AM
Is it time to call Arlene's bluff and start renegotiating partition. We made a balls out of engagement with the Boundary Commission in the 1920's. Would now be a good time to reopen negotiations and move the boundary north east of South Armagh/Down, Fermanagh, West and South Tyrone and Derry City..   it would only take 10 years of depression to convince the Very North East to come to their senses and maybe we will be a nation once again😇🇨🇮

Obviously would never happen, but if it was a possibility, I would be against leaving behind nationalists in the north east (even for ten years) especially in a statelet even more dominated by unionists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 01, 2018, 07:55:19 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 01, 2018, 07:35:22 AM
Quote from: omochain on December 01, 2018, 06:04:17 AM
Is it time to call Arlene's bluff and start renegotiating partition. We made a balls out of engagement with the Boundary Commission in the 1920's. Would now be a good time to reopen negotiations and move the boundary north east of South Armagh/Down, Fermanagh, West and South Tyrone and Derry City..   it would only take 10 years of depression to convince the Very North East to come to their senses and maybe we will be a nation once again😇🇨🇮

Obviously would never happen, but if it was a possibility, I would be against leaving behind nationalists in the north east (even for ten years) especially in a statelet even more dominated by unionists.

Exactly. It just sets back unification longer than it needs to be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 01, 2018, 07:58:36 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 30, 2018, 04:23:37 PM
One of the big Pharmaceutical Wholesalers in the UK have just told me they're not accepting any more medicine from Europe in the New Year until something concrete has been sorted about Brexit . . .

No need to panic though for that Epilepsy/Diabetes medicine that comes from Ireland you'll be grand!!  ::) ::) ::)

Which one? Even what's the first letter?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on December 01, 2018, 08:01:23 AM
I think that is a fantastic idea...You know a 100 years after the thing was signed is a perfect time for renegotiation. With the hindsight of history in our we can now see which parts were crap and partition was crap so we should do it again o ly do it right this time.

This thread is as as daft as the topic
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on December 01, 2018, 08:13:56 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 01, 2018, 07:35:22 AM
Quote from: omochain on December 01, 2018, 06:04:17 AM
Is it time to call Arlene's bluff and start renegotiating partition. We made a balls out of engagement with the Boundary Commission in the 1920's. Would now be a good time to reopen negotiations and move the boundary north east of South Armagh/Down, Fermanagh, West and South Tyrone and Derry City..   it would only take 10 years of depression to convince the Very North East to come to their senses and maybe we will be a nation once again😇🇨🇮

Obviously would never happen, but if it was a possibility, I would be against leaving behind nationalists in the north east (even for ten years) especially in a statelet even more dominated by unionists.
That was DeValera's position too. And 100 years on.....Arlene and Co are still calling the shots.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 01, 2018, 09:58:45 AM
QuoteArlene and Co are still calling the shots.

Calling the shots in Westminster on a temporary basis.  No longer calling the shots in the north.  The 'Precious Union' is on its last legs and they know it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 01, 2018, 07:17:31 PM
Quote from: omochain on December 01, 2018, 06:04:17 AM
Is it time to call Arlene's bluff and start renegotiating partition. We made a balls out of engagement with the Boundary Commission in the 1920's. Would now be a good time to reopen negotiations and move the boundary north east of South Armagh/Down, Fermanagh, West and South Tyrone and Derry City..   it would only take 10 years of depression to convince the Very North East to come to their senses and maybe we will be a nation once again😇🇨🇮

They can have Bangor and Larne. We'll keep the rest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 01, 2018, 07:20:04 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on November 30, 2018, 10:13:52 AM
What continues to take me to the fair is all the asians and africans backing brexit, to stop all the immigrants, and some of the Irish diaspora aren't to far behind. The irony is lost on them.

I believe it's called "pulling the ladder up behind you." Plastic paddies in the states are some of the worst offenders.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 01, 2018, 07:31:28 PM
There might be a case for swapping Carrickfergus for Bangor.
Or perhaps taking control of Larne and renting it to the Russians as an naval base.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on December 01, 2018, 10:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2018, 07:31:28 PM
There might be a case for swapping Carrickfergus for Bangor.
Or perhaps taking control of Larne and renting it to the Russians as an naval base.

Even the Russians wouldn't want that orange hell hole!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on December 02, 2018, 12:29:58 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on December 01, 2018, 10:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2018, 07:31:28 PM
There might be a case for swapping Carrickfergus for Bangor.
Or perhaps taking control of Larne and renting it to the Russians as an naval base.

Even the Russians wouldn't want that orange hell hole!
задний ход, задний ход!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 04, 2018, 09:01:11 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-46428579
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2018, 11:50:24 AM
from October

"Theresa May's efforts to find an acceptable Irish backstop with her cabinet today risk being overshadowed by her Democratic Unionist Party allies warning that the United Kingdom is "heading for no deal".
The provocative assessment was made the DUP's chief whip, Sir Jeffrey Donaldson, as he pointed out on Twitter that it would mean the UK "won't have to pay a penny more to [the] EU". Such a scenario, he added, would have "serious consequences" for the Republic of Ireland's economy and force it to suffer a "big increase" in payments to EU coffers2


They would blow up NI if it meant damaging the South
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on December 04, 2018, 12:22:06 PM
Would the Walls of Derry withstand the explosions?  And you couldn't go damaging the Queen's highways.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on December 04, 2018, 12:37:34 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on December 04, 2018, 09:01:11 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-46428579

A strange conclusion given 27 EU member states have to approve extending it. This would mean they could keep triggering and cancelling till they got deal they want, simply just wasting everyone's time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 04, 2018, 06:09:20 PM
The ECJ has given the Brits a get out of jail free card.....will they use it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:18:53 PM
Was heading home from work listening to the May address the commons, must be question time, I like her, ballsy bitch.. the others in the house sound like a bunch of public school fucktards, well the speaker called them that (not the fucktards bit) when trying to get order!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on December 04, 2018, 07:23:33 PM
Been convinced for a while May is working to a greater plan. Brexit is economic Ground zero for Britain. It won't happen but the chaos will make some very wealthy and many quite poor.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:34:57 PM
Could well do, but I don't think there is a huge conspiracy, more of a opportunity to fill pockets from a disastrous situation
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on December 04, 2018, 09:42:31 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 02, 2018, 12:29:58 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on December 01, 2018, 10:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2018, 07:31:28 PM
There might be a case for swapping Carrickfergus for Bangor.
Or perhaps taking control of Larne and renting it to the Russians as an naval base.

Even the Russians wouldn't want that orange hell hole!
задний ход, задний ход!

we'll take it  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 04, 2018, 09:46:05 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:34:57 PM
Could well do, but I don't think there is a huge conspiracy, more of a opportunity to fill pockets from a disastrous situation

How does that humble pie taste?

Do you wash it down with that fiver-a-bottle piss you thought was wine?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 09:55:46 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 04, 2018, 09:46:05 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:34:57 PM
Could well do, but I don't think there is a huge conspiracy, more of a opportunity to fill pockets from a disastrous situation

How does that humble pie taste?

Do you wash it down with that fiver-a-bottle piss you thought was wine?

Here's the thing Franko, in my household it actually makes no difference, so I'll wash it down with whatever bottle of wine I like, calling it disastrous is what it has become these past 2 years when people who get paid to negotiate a leave plan haven't a fecking clue..

I never voted it but hey you can't have your cake and eat it.. but If you're sleeping on the street Franko I'll get you a coffee  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 04, 2018, 09:58:52 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:18:53 PM
Was heading home from work listening to the May address the commons, must be question time, I like her, ballsy bitch.. the others in the house sound like a bunch of public school fucktards, well the speaker called them that (not the fucktards bit) when trying to get order!
Isn't that public school fucktard behaviour the norm for the UK parliament? at least it sounds like that at any PM qustion time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 04, 2018, 10:05:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 09:55:46 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 04, 2018, 09:46:05 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:34:57 PM
Could well do, but I don't think there is a huge conspiracy, more of a opportunity to fill pockets from a disastrous situation

How does that humble pie taste?

Do you wash it down with that fiver-a-bottle piss you thought was wine?

Here's the thing Franko, in my household it actually makes no difference, so I'll wash it down with whatever bottle of wine I like, calling it disastrous is what it has become these past 2 years when people who get paid to negotiate a leave plan haven't a fecking clue..

I never voted it but hey you can't have your cake and eat it.. but If you're sleeping on the street Franko I'll get you a coffee  ;)

I can't hear you over the noise of your reversing bleeper.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 10:28:01 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 04, 2018, 10:05:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 09:55:46 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 04, 2018, 09:46:05 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:34:57 PM
Could well do, but I don't think there is a huge conspiracy, more of a opportunity to fill pockets from a disastrous situation

How does that humble pie taste?

Do you wash it down with that fiver-a-bottle piss you thought was wine?

Here's the thing Franko, in my household it actually makes no difference, so I'll wash it down with whatever bottle of wine I like, calling it disastrous is what it has become these past 2 years when people who get paid to negotiate a leave plan haven't a fecking clue..

I never voted it but hey you can't have your cake and eat it.. but If you're sleeping on the street Franko I'll get you a coffee  ;)

I can't hear you over the noise of your reversing bleeper.

No reversing as I never voted for it, and it may not happen and I said that at the start, so until it's done and sealed and I view the carnage I'll hold ultimate judgement  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 04, 2018, 10:52:28 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 10:28:01 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 04, 2018, 10:05:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 09:55:46 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 04, 2018, 09:46:05 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:34:57 PM
Could well do, but I don't think there is a huge conspiracy, more of a opportunity to fill pockets from a disastrous situation

How does that humble pie taste?

Do you wash it down with that fiver-a-bottle piss you thought was wine?

Here's the thing Franko, in my household it actually makes no difference, so I'll wash it down with whatever bottle of wine I like, calling it disastrous is what it has become these past 2 years when people who get paid to negotiate a leave plan haven't a fecking clue..

I never voted it but hey you can't have your cake and eat it.. but If you're sleeping on the street Franko I'll get you a coffee  ;)

I can't hear you over the noise of your reversing bleeper.

No reversing as I never voted for it, and it may not happen and I said that at the start, so until it's done and sealed and I view the carnage I'll hold ultimate judgement  :o

Ah right.  So the whole "disastrous situation" thing was just an interim judgement then.

Lol... bleep bleep.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 05, 2018, 10:06:28 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:18:53 PMI like her, ballsy bitch..

She's a power hungry witch who I wouldn't trust a nanometre, never mind an inch.

Was the same as home secretary. Her govt is trying every wee power grab they can. The process could be a lot smoother if she wasn't trying constantly trying to ride roughshod over democratic process (even putting aside my feelings on how useless representative democracy is, its better than the dictatorship she'd prefer).


As for the idea she is working to a secret and far-seeing plan of derailing Brexit - she could have accomplished the same with much less heartache if she'd stated 2 years ago "I will negotiate a deal, then put that deal to the people for their approval" - all of her actions reconcile with seeking more power rather than seeking to keep the UK in the EU through sleight of hand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 05, 2018, 11:43:21 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 05, 2018, 10:06:28 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 04, 2018, 07:18:53 PMI like her, ballsy bitch..

She's a power hungry witch who I wouldn't trust a nanometre, never mind an inch.

Was the same as home secretary. Her govt is trying every wee power grab they can. The process could be a lot smoother if she wasn't trying constantly trying to ride roughshod over democratic process (even putting aside my feelings on how useless representative democracy is, its better than the dictatorship she'd prefer).


As for the idea she is working to a secret and far-seeing plan of derailing Brexit - she could have accomplished the same with much less heartache if she'd stated 2 years ago "I will negotiate a deal, then put that deal to the people for their approval" - all of her actions reconcile with seeking more power rather than seeking to keep the UK in the EU through sleight of hand.

I believe the rationale behind not announcing that at the start was that it would have given the hardliners the time to organise and plot against her.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 05, 2018, 12:07:35 PM
Did anyone see the quivering chin on the Attorney General Geoffrey Cox when the vote to release the legal advice was passed.

Shifty..........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 05, 2018, 12:38:45 PM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on December 05, 2018, 11:43:21 AM
I believe the rationale behind not announcing that at the start was that it would have given the hardliners the time to organise and plot against her.

There isn't much the hardliners could have done - most of the house would have rounded on them for trying to force through a deal regardless of how good/bad it was for the country and regardless of whether the people actually liked the deal that was (at that point in time) negotiated.

I'm still of the opinion she's a power hungry witch. Too many power grabs over too many years to be so easily convinced otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on December 05, 2018, 01:16:12 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 05, 2018, 12:07:35 PM
Did anyone see the quivering chin on the Attorney General Geoffrey Cox when the vote to release the legal advice was passed.

Shifty..........

He is quite the cartoon character in a parliament of toons. Seems the end result of them releasing it is the SNP see it as providing even more favourable terms for NI, while the DUP see it as devastating for NI. Same as before then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 05, 2018, 03:19:41 PM
If DUPUDA could only manage one brain between the lot of them....... :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 06, 2018, 05:29:25 PM
Quote from: rrhf on December 04, 2018, 07:23:33 PM
Been convinced for a while May is working to a greater plan. Brexit is economic Ground zero for Britain. It won't happen but the chaos will make some very wealthy and many quite poor.

I've been wondering about this myself. She was a remainer. If she's smart she'll have adopted this "Brexit means Brexit" pose to make her leadership position as secure as it's going to get in such a divided party, negotiate the best deal she can get with Brussels (it was always going to be awful for the UK no matter who did the negotiating), fail to get it passed in parliament, and then put it to the people in a second referendum where Remain prevails and the whole sorry mess can be put behind us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on December 06, 2018, 10:59:20 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 06, 2018, 05:29:25 PM
then put it to the people in a second referendum where Remain prevails and the whole sorry mess can be put behind us.

A referendum result would need to be +60% in favour of remain to "put it behind us", I can't see that happening. A slim remain might remove the immediate problem but it doesn't go away
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 05:48:24 AM
The DUP is playing Russian Roulette

https://democracy.kent.gov.uk/documents/s88112/Item%207%20-%20Brexit.pdf

"Potential implications from a no-deal scenario which staff have been asked to consider are:
 Prolonged disruption to passenger and freight networks impacting the strategic road and rail networks and the surrounding local road network;
 Disruption to the importation and exportation of goods, foodstuffs and other consumables, and medicines and other medical supplies due to changes in trading rules and regulations and from traffic congestion;
 Disruption to vulnerable individuals and communities affected by major traffic congestion resulting in an inability to attend schools, hospitals, etc.;
 Disruption to staff travel leading to staff shortages in key services such as
social care and an inability to provide local services and individual
appointments;
 An increase in the numbers of migrants arriving in Kent, including
unaccompanied asylum-seeking children, as a consequence of the change in UK-EU relations.

Children's Young People and Education Directorate (CYPE): CYPE are providing a range of briefings for schools via their headteacher briefings and e-briefings, with fuller guidance to be provided to schools in January 2019. These briefings have specifically shared latest planning assumptions and identified a need for schools to review travel plans for staff and pupils; supply chain vulnerabilities (e.g. schools meals, etc); any plans for off-site travel in the three to six month planning assumption window; and the air quality impacts that may arise from the idling of HGV and other vehicles close to education settings in the event of traffic disruption. Further work is needed to explore the impacts on early year's settings.


 Adult Social Care and Health Directorate (ASCH): ASCH are working closely with suppliers to identify risks to service provision in the event of the no-deal planning assumptions being realised. In addition, work is being done to map the location of social care workers against clients, with the aim of exploring whether staff can be reallocated to clients closer to their place of residence – thereby mitigating the risk of travel to those workers accessing particularly vulnerable residents. A Brexit scenario exercise is also scheduled for operational commissioning staff to further assist identification of and preparation for any risks to this area of service delivery.

Coroners Service: could face difficulties with the transport of the deceased to post mortem or body storage facilities, the attendance of staff to hospital sites for identification purposes and travel by pathologists to mortuary to conduct post mortems. Whilst mitigation measures are being explored, there are limited options available to this service. "

What can you say? It's like war
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 07, 2018, 08:19:06 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 05:48:24 AM
The DUP is playing Russian Roulette

https://democracy.kent.gov.uk/documents/s88112/Item%207%20-%20Brexit.pdf

"Potential implications from a no-deal scenario which staff have been asked to consider are:
 Prolonged disruption to passenger and freight networks impacting the strategic road and rail networks and the surrounding local road network;
 Disruption to the importation and exportation of goods, foodstuffs and other consumables, and medicines and other medical supplies due to changes in trading rules and regulations and from traffic congestion;
 Disruption to vulnerable individuals and communities affected by major traffic congestion resulting in an inability to attend schools, hospitals, etc.;
 Disruption to staff travel leading to staff shortages in key services such as
social care and an inability to provide local services and individual
appointments;
 An increase in the numbers of migrants arriving in Kent, including
unaccompanied asylum-seeking children, as a consequence of the change in UK-EU relations.

Children's Young People and Education Directorate (CYPE): CYPE are providing a range of briefings for schools via their headteacher briefings and e-briefings, with fuller guidance to be provided to schools in January 2019. These briefings have specifically shared latest planning assumptions and identified a need for schools to review travel plans for staff and pupils; supply chain vulnerabilities (e.g. schools meals, etc); any plans for off-site travel in the three to six month planning assumption window; and the air quality impacts that may arise from the idling of HGV and other vehicles close to education settings in the event of traffic disruption. Further work is needed to explore the impacts on early year's settings.


 Adult Social Care and Health Directorate (ASCH): ASCH are working closely with suppliers to identify risks to service provision in the event of the no-deal planning assumptions being realised. In addition, work is being done to map the location of social care workers against clients, with the aim of exploring whether staff can be reallocated to clients closer to their place of residence – thereby mitigating the risk of travel to those workers accessing particularly vulnerable residents. A Brexit scenario exercise is also scheduled for operational commissioning staff to further assist identification of and preparation for any risks to this area of service delivery.

Coroners Service: could face difficulties with the transport of the deceased to post mortem or body storage facilities, the attendance of staff to hospital sites for identification purposes and travel by pathologists to mortuary to conduct post mortems. Whilst mitigation measures are being explored, there are limited options available to this service. "

What can you say? It's like war

The DUP don't do reality......everything will be fine as long as 'our fleg is flying'.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 09:21:15 AM
Philip Stephens' mother was from Kiltimagh


   https://www.ft.com/content/b91dd274-f895-11e8-8b7c-6fa24bd5409c

   Theresa May has lost control of Brexit
      
      
               This is what happens when parliamentary democracies shuffle off responsibility
      
         Philip Stephens

So this is what they meant by taking back control. Theresa May's government has drawn up plans to allocate space on European ferries arriving at the British port of Dover. Trucks carrying medicines will get permits to make the crossing from Calais; so too, perhaps, those with components for vital business supply chains. Britain's consumers have been warned. There will not be enough room for luxuries such as fresh fruit and vegetables.

Crashing out of the EU in March without a deal would see the restoration overnight of Britain's national sovereignty. This surely would be Brexit at its purest — manna for those in Mrs May's party seeking a complete rupture with the continent. Decisions on the opening and closing of ports and borders would be a matter for the Westminster government alone. Britain, in the lurid language of the Brexiters, would have cast off the shackles. So runs the theory. Now the reality is beginning to impose itself. Calais-Dover by a large measure is Britain's most important trade route. It operates with the consent and co-operation of France. Whitehall officials estimate the inevitable post-Brexit imposition at Calais of EU checks and controls would cut traffic — imports to, as well as exports from, Britain — by more than four-fifths. The effect would be to choke off supplies to much of British business and leave stranded in France much of the produce destined for British supermarket shelves. So much for sovereignty.For the prime minister such horror stories — and this is one of many — are the only argument she has for the dismal deal she has negotiated with the EU27. It is not enough. The closer Brexit looms, the more obvious the prospective damage to the nation's prosperity and security. Mrs May's agreement would delay some of the consequences and throw a veil over others. Taken in the round, it is a charade — a hapless attempt to wish away the yawning gulf between abstract concepts of sovereignty and real national power.Those tuning in to the parliamentary debate on the agreement could be forgiven for thinking the only big problem is a so-called backstop arrangement to guarantee an open border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic.

In truth, the backstop is simply a proxy for the wrangling about sovereignty. The vital substance of Britain's decades-long engagement with Europe has been lost to arcane debates about supposed sovereignty. The Britain sought by the Brexiters is one of impotent isolation — a nation with an untrammelled right to harm itself.Brexit: all you need to know about the meaningful voteIn any event, MPs look set to throw out the prime minister's package. The Conservative party's Kamikaze Brexiters are clinging on to their Elizabethan fantasies of a "global Britain". Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader, is as reactionary as any in his views of Europe. Where English nationalists see an attempt by Brussels to suborn democracy, Mr Corbyn spies a vicious capitalist plot against the working classes.

Most Labour MPs scorn their leader's conspiracy theories, but then shrug their shoulders and vote along party lines.The signs are there is a majority against a disorderly Brexit that would see Britain crash out of the Union. But to what purpose? Mrs May's tortuous compromises have probably killed off the idea of a muddle-through Brexit. There might be just enough votes for an arrangement with the EU roughly comparable to that of Norway. But where is the political leadership to marshal such a majority? Brexit has already done immeasurable damage to Britain's international standing. Things could now get worse. What are friends and allies to make of the present spectacle in parliament? There could surely be nothing more humiliating than the failure of its politicians to agree among themselves as to the terms of Britain's departure.This is what happens when parliamentary democracies seek to shrug off responsibility. Referendums undermine political pluralism. As Margaret Thatcher used to say, they are a favourite device of demagogues and dictators. The so-called will of the people reduces liberal democracy to majoritarianism. In this case, parliament is now being asked to approve a divorce with Europe that most MPs believe will make the nation poorer and weaker.Your Brexit questions answered by FT experts As irony would have it, the advocate general of the European Court of Justice may have thrown a lifeline. The British government, he has advised, would be permitted by the EU treaty to withdraw unilaterally its Article 50 request to leave the EU. The Court's judges have still to offer a final opinion, but precedent suggests they are likely to agree. Therein lies the opportunity for the prime minister to take back control.Her last act in Downing Street — it is hard to see how she could long remain in office in the wake of a Commons defeat — could be to prepare to rescind Brexit. As a caretaker prime minister, Mrs May could ask the EU27 to stop the clock while the nation voted in the referendum it was denied in 2016 — a clear and transparent choice between sovereign isolation and the sometimes uncomfortable empowerment that comes with membership of the EU. Mrs May had hoped her legacy would be that of the leader who took the country though Brexit while avoiding a violent rupture in the Conservative party. That cause is lost. History will anyway be a lot kinder if she gives the country the chance to think again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:08:13 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 09:21:15 AM
Philip Stephens

This is what happens when parliamentary democracies seek to shrug off responsibility. Referendums undermine political pluralism. As Margaret Thatcher used to say, they are a favourite device of demagogues and dictators. The so-called will of the people reduces liberal democracy to majoritarianism.

F88k off Philip Stephens.

if "parliamentary democracies" are not supposed to follow the will of the people, then scrap the idea of representative democracy and replace it with a meritocracy.

I'm personally sick of having useless incompetents that are not qualified for the roles they are in try to run things and have the wool pulled over their eyes by equally inept and incompetent civil servants.

How many of the current cabinet have professional qualifications appropriate to the roles they find themselves in?

Just a random selection
Minister for Energy & Clean growth - "read" geography at oxford
Minister for Universities, Sciences, Research & Innovation - Modern History at oxford
DEFRA - English at oxford
Transport minister - history in cambridge
Health minister - philosophy, politics and economics at oxford

Not one of them are suitably qualified to critically examine the work of the civil servants under them with any authority.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 11:15:32 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:08:13 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 09:21:15 AM
Philip Stephens

This is what happens when parliamentary democracies seek to shrug off responsibility. Referendums undermine political pluralism. As Margaret Thatcher used to say, they are a favourite device of demagogues and dictators. The so-called will of the people reduces liberal democracy to majoritarianism.

F88k off Philip Stephens.

if "parliamentary democracies" are not supposed to follow the will of the people, then scrap the idea of representative democracy and replace it with a meritocracy.

I'm personally sick of having useless incompetents that are not qualified for the roles they are in try to run things and have the wool pulled over their eyes by equally inept and incompetent civil servants.

How many of the current cabinet have professional qualifications appropriate to the roles they find themselves in?

Just a random selection
Minister for Energy & Clean growth - "read" geography at oxford
Minister for Universities, Sciences, Research & Innovation - Modern History at oxford
DEFRA - English at oxford
Transport minister - history in cambridge
Health minister - philosophy, politics and economics at oxford

Not one of them are suitably qualified to critically examine the work of the civil servants under them with any authority.

It doesn't matter who you elect, the Government will still be in charge.

These lads and ladies are all just figureheads, career politicians with never an original thought in their lives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 11:35:46 AM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/12/06/day-theresa-mays-indecision-had-even-loyalists-wondering-will/

By Mrs May's side was Julian Smith,
the Chief Whip, and arranged around the room were Remainers Philip Hammond,
Amber Rudd, David Lidington, David Gauke and Karen Bradley, and Brexiteers
Andrea Leadsom, Michael Gove and Liam Fox. "I think people had turned up expecting her to
say 'this is the preferred course'," said one Cabinet source. "But instead it
was obvious she doesn't really know what to do next." Julian Smith set the tone by
admitting for the first time that the Government would lose the vote next
Tuesday if it goes ahead.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:50:36 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 11:15:32 AM
It doesn't matter who you elect, the Government will still be in charge.

These lads and ladies are all just figureheads, career politicians with never an original thought in their lives.

Exactly.

Since the current system obviously doesn't work - case in point - our local clowns (minster versions) being too stupid to know that our other local clowns (civil servant versions) didn't have a scooby when it came to RHI - you need someone competent coming in and overseeing it.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 12:26:06 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:50:36 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 11:15:32 AM
It doesn't matter who you elect, the Government will still be in charge.

These lads and ladies are all just figureheads, career politicians with never an original thought in their lives.

Exactly.

Since the current system obviously doesn't work - case in point - our local clowns (minster versions) being too stupid to know that our other local clowns (civil servant versions) didn't have a scooby when it came to RHI - you need someone competent coming in and overseeing it.

Knowing a few low level politicians who consider themselves as enlightened and one in particular who is getting loads of airtime for the Alliance, competent they are not. Liking the sound of your own voice seems to be a bigger prerequisite.

The Oxbridge set are no better when you read and listen to the warblings of Boris, Dave Cameron and so forth and the high ranking civil servants are all from the same set.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 07, 2018, 01:13:04 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:50:36 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 11:15:32 AM
It doesn't matter who you elect, the Government will still be in charge.

These lads and ladies are all just figureheads, career politicians with never an original thought in their lives.

Exactly.

Since the current system obviously doesn't work - case in point - our local clowns (minster versions) being too stupid to know that our other local clowns (civil servant versions) didn't have a scooby when it came to RHI - you need someone competent coming in and overseeing it.

The Electorate are at fault. They elect them.
Mark Durkan is widely regarded as one of the best Parliamentarians around. He would be a serious asset at this moment in time. Who did the good people of Foyle vote for? Elisha McCallion lol. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 02:00:37 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:08:13 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 09:21:15 AM
Philip Stephens

This is what happens when parliamentary democracies seek to shrug off responsibility. Referendums undermine political pluralism. As Margaret Thatcher used to say, they are a favourite device of demagogues and dictators. The so-called will of the people reduces liberal democracy to majoritarianism.

F88k off Philip Stephens.

if "parliamentary democracies" are not supposed to follow the will of the people, then scrap the idea of representative democracy and replace it with a meritocracy.

I'm personally sick of having useless incompetents that are not qualified for the roles they are in try to run things and have the wool pulled over their eyes by equally inept and incompetent civil servants.

How many of the current cabinet have professional qualifications appropriate to the roles they find themselves in?

Just a random selection
Minister for Energy & Clean growth - "read" geography at oxford
Minister for Universities, Sciences, Research & Innovation - Modern History at oxford
DEFRA - English at oxford
Transport minister - history in cambridge
Health minister - philosophy, politics and economics at oxford

Not one of them are suitably qualified to critically examine the work of the civil servants under them with any authority.

The conservatives were stupid to ask such an important question to an angry electorate in a referendum. FFS
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 02:05:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 07, 2018, 01:13:04 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:50:36 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 11:15:32 AM
It doesn't matter who you elect, the Government will still be in charge.

These lads and ladies are all just figureheads, career politicians with never an original thought in their lives.

Exactly.

Since the current system obviously doesn't work - case in point - our local clowns (minster versions) being too stupid to know that our other local clowns (civil servant versions) didn't have a scooby when it came to RHI - you need someone competent coming in and overseeing it.

The Electorate are at fault. They elect them.
Mark Durkan is widely regarded as one of the best Parliamentarians around. He would be a serious asset at this moment in time. Who did the good people of Foyle vote for? Elisha McCallion lol.

Where's the value add in that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 07, 2018, 02:06:00 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 02:00:37 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:08:13 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 09:21:15 AM
Philip Stephens

This is what happens when parliamentary democracies seek to shrug off responsibility. Referendums undermine political pluralism. As Margaret Thatcher used to say, they are a favourite device of demagogues and dictators. The so-called will of the people reduces liberal democracy to majoritarianism.

F88k off Philip Stephens.

if "parliamentary democracies" are not supposed to follow the will of the people, then scrap the idea of representative democracy and replace it with a meritocracy.

I'm personally sick of having useless incompetents that are not qualified for the roles they are in try to run things and have the wool pulled over their eyes by equally inept and incompetent civil servants.

How many of the current cabinet have professional qualifications appropriate to the roles they find themselves in?

Just a random selection
Minister for Energy & Clean growth - "read" geography at oxford
Minister for Universities, Sciences, Research & Innovation - Modern History at oxford
DEFRA - English at oxford
Transport minister - history in cambridge
Health minister - philosophy, politics and economics at oxford

Not one of them are suitably qualified to critically examine the work of the civil servants under them with any authority.

The conservatives were stupid to ask such an important question to an angry electorate in a referendum. FFS

Correct. A huge risk that has spectacularly backfired.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 07, 2018, 02:10:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 07, 2018, 01:13:04 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:50:36 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 11:15:32 AM
It doesn't matter who you elect, the Government will still be in charge.

These lads and ladies are all just figureheads, career politicians with never an original thought in their lives.

Exactly.

Since the current system obviously doesn't work - case in point - our local clowns (minster versions) being too stupid to know that our other local clowns (civil servant versions) didn't have a scooby when it came to RHI - you need someone competent coming in and overseeing it.

The Electorate are at fault. They elect them.
Mark Durkan is widely regarded as one of the best Parliamentarians around. He would be a serious asset at this moment in time. Who did the good people of Foyle vote for? Elisha McCallion lol.

Aye, dead on. He could stop Brexit singlehandedly with his brilliant debating skills, laying waste to his opponents' arguments in the Commons while firing bolts of lightning out of his arse and fireballs out of his eyes. How dare the people of Foyle reject such a great Parliamentarian and serious asset. What a bunch of f**king idiots they are...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on December 07, 2018, 02:10:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 07, 2018, 02:06:00 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 02:00:37 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 07, 2018, 11:08:13 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 09:21:15 AM
Philip Stephens

This is what happens when parliamentary democracies seek to shrug off responsibility. Referendums undermine political pluralism. As Margaret Thatcher used to say, they are a favourite device of demagogues and dictators. The so-called will of the people reduces liberal democracy to majoritarianism.

F88k off Philip Stephens.

if "parliamentary democracies" are not supposed to follow the will of the people, then scrap the idea of representative democracy and replace it with a meritocracy.

I'm personally sick of having useless incompetents that are not qualified for the roles they are in try to run things and have the wool pulled over their eyes by equally inept and incompetent civil servants.

How many of the current cabinet have professional qualifications appropriate to the roles they find themselves in?

Just a random selection
Minister for Energy & Clean growth - "read" geography at oxford
Minister for Universities, Sciences, Research & Innovation - Modern History at oxford
DEFRA - English at oxford
Transport minister - history in cambridge
Health minister - philosophy, politics and economics at oxford

Not one of them are suitably qualified to critically examine the work of the civil servants under them with any authority.

The conservatives were stupid to ask such an important question to an angry electorate in a referendum. FFS

Correct. A huge risk that has spectacularly backfired.

The question to the electorate was "Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?".

Noone knew then how difficult/impossible it actually is to leave the EU. So the question was a minefield.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 07, 2018, 02:13:45 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on December 06, 2018, 10:59:20 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 06, 2018, 05:29:25 PM
then put it to the people in a second referendum where Remain prevails and the whole sorry mess can be put behind us.

A referendum result would need to be +60% in favour of remain to "put it behind us", I can't see that happening. A slim remain might remove the immediate problem but it doesn't go away

It might make it go away for long enough to make the electorate just not care anymore. They're probably thoroughly fed-up as it is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 07, 2018, 02:17:19 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 09:21:15 AM
Philip Stephens' mother was from Kiltimagh


   https://www.ft.com/content/b91dd274-f895-11e8-8b7c-6fa24bd5409c

   Theresa May has lost control of Brexit
      
      
               This is what happens when parliamentary democracies shuffle off responsibility
      
         Philip Stephens

So this is what they meant by taking back control. Theresa May's government has drawn up plans to allocate space on European ferries arriving at the British port of Dover. Trucks carrying medicines will get permits to make the crossing from Calais; so too, perhaps, those with components for vital business supply chains. Britain's consumers have been warned. There will not be enough room for luxuries such as fresh fruit and vegetables.

Crashing out of the EU in March without a deal would see the restoration overnight of Britain's national sovereignty. This surely would be Brexit at its purest — manna for those in Mrs May's party seeking a complete rupture with the continent. Decisions on the opening and closing of ports and borders would be a matter for the Westminster government alone. Britain, in the lurid language of the Brexiters, would have cast off the shackles. So runs the theory. Now the reality is beginning to impose itself. Calais-Dover by a large measure is Britain's most important trade route. It operates with the consent and co-operation of France. Whitehall officials estimate the inevitable post-Brexit imposition at Calais of EU checks and controls would cut traffic — imports to, as well as exports from, Britain — by more than four-fifths. The effect would be to choke off supplies to much of British business and leave stranded in France much of the produce destined for British supermarket shelves. So much for sovereignty.For the prime minister such horror stories — and this is one of many — are the only argument she has for the dismal deal she has negotiated with the EU27. It is not enough. The closer Brexit looms, the more obvious the prospective damage to the nation's prosperity and security. Mrs May's agreement would delay some of the consequences and throw a veil over others. Taken in the round, it is a charade — a hapless attempt to wish away the yawning gulf between abstract concepts of sovereignty and real national power.Those tuning in to the parliamentary debate on the agreement could be forgiven for thinking the only big problem is a so-called backstop arrangement to guarantee an open border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic.


Yet the then-Brexit minister Dominic Raab stated he didn't realise fully the importance of Dover port. Unbelievable Jeff.
Strangely, I get the feeling the DUP would be secretly pleased if there was another referendum and Brexit scrapped; it would get them out of the current boghole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 02:30:48 PM
Quote from: mouview on December 07, 2018, 02:17:19 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 09:21:15 AM
Philip Stephens' mother was from Kiltimagh


   https://www.ft.com/content/b91dd274-f895-11e8-8b7c-6fa24bd5409c

   Theresa May has lost control of Brexit
      
      
               This is what happens when parliamentary democracies shuffle off responsibility
      
         Philip Stephens

So this is what they meant by taking back control. Theresa May's government has drawn up plans to allocate space on European ferries arriving at the British port of Dover. Trucks carrying medicines will get permits to make the crossing from Calais; so too, perhaps, those with components for vital business supply chains. Britain's consumers have been warned. There will not be enough room for luxuries such as fresh fruit and vegetables.

Crashing out of the EU in March without a deal would see the restoration overnight of Britain's national sovereignty. This surely would be Brexit at its purest — manna for those in Mrs May's party seeking a complete rupture with the continent. Decisions on the opening and closing of ports and borders would be a matter for the Westminster government alone. Britain, in the lurid language of the Brexiters, would have cast off the shackles. So runs the theory. Now the reality is beginning to impose itself. Calais-Dover by a large measure is Britain's most important trade route. It operates with the consent and co-operation of France. Whitehall officials estimate the inevitable post-Brexit imposition at Calais of EU checks and controls would cut traffic — imports to, as well as exports from, Britain — by more than four-fifths. The effect would be to choke off supplies to much of British business and leave stranded in France much of the produce destined for British supermarket shelves. So much for sovereignty.For the prime minister such horror stories — and this is one of many — are the only argument she has for the dismal deal she has negotiated with the EU27. It is not enough. The closer Brexit looms, the more obvious the prospective damage to the nation's prosperity and security. Mrs May's agreement would delay some of the consequences and throw a veil over others. Taken in the round, it is a charade — a hapless attempt to wish away the yawning gulf between abstract concepts of sovereignty and real national power.Those tuning in to the parliamentary debate on the agreement could be forgiven for thinking the only big problem is a so-called backstop arrangement to guarantee an open border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic.


Yet the then-Brexit minister Dominic Raab stated he didn't realise fully the importance of Dover port. Unbelievable Jeff.
Strangely, I get the feeling the DUP would be secretly pleased if there was another referendum and Brexit scrapped; it would get them out of the current boghole.

One of the DUP arseholes said recently that a no deal would really hurt the RoI, as if that would justify throwing 66 million people in the whole of  the  UK into absolute chaos which may include being unable to bury family members . The DUP are insane. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 07, 2018, 02:36:10 PM
I think it's time to get real. While this withdrawal deal will more than likely fail, Brexit will happen. A 2nd referendum would be so divisive and very close, it's unlikely to give the clarity people are hoping for. All I can see is a fudge on May's deal, a 2nd vote on it, push out the transition period and into long drawn out trade talks. That's where we're headed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 02:38:51 PM
Priti Patel is going to starve the nation of Ireland;

https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/ (https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/)

Like the Brits have never did that before.

Odious bunch of f**kers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
United Ireland latest
the DUP want this :

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/12/07/brexit-latest-news-ministers-fan-across-country-last-effort/

Major ports could suffer disruption for up to six months under a no-deal scenario, the Government has told industry leaders.
Revised Brexit assessments published on Friday warned that access through Dover and Folkestone could be reduced for significantly longer than first feared.
Matt Hancock, the Health Secretary, has written to health and care providers setting out contingency plans for medicine plans, in which he warns that there would be "significantly reduced access across the short straits, for up to six months."
Separately, he also confirmed that his department was exploring plans to give pharmacists the authority to overrule GPs and ration drugs to mitigate shortages.
Under an urgent consultation initiated this week, ministers are seeking to introduce a  "serious shortage protocol" for pharmacies, allowing them to dispense a "reduced quantity" of the medicine, an "alternative dosage form" or a "therapeutic equivalent".

Mr Hancock told the BBC he wanted to "make sure [that] if there's a shortage of individual drugs pharmacists can make clinical and professional judgements", adding "it's about having the appropriate clinical flexibility".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 07, 2018, 02:57:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
United Ireland latest
the DUP want this :

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/12/07/brexit-latest-news-ministers-fan-across-country-last-effort/

Major ports could suffer disruption for up to six months under a no-deal scenario, the Government has told industry leaders.
Revised Brexit assessments published on Friday warned that access through Dover and Folkestone could be reduced for significantly longer than first feared.
Matt Hancock, the Health Secretary, has written to health and care providers setting out contingency plans for medicine plans, in which he warns that there would be "significantly reduced access across the short straits, for up to six months."
Separately, he also confirmed that his department was exploring plans to give pharmacists the authority to overrule GPs and ration drugs to mitigate shortages.
Under an urgent consultation initiated this week, ministers are seeking to introduce a  "serious shortage protocol" for pharmacies, allowing them to dispense a "reduced quantity" of the medicine, an "alternative dosage form" or a "therapeutic equivalent".

Mr Hancock told the BBC he wanted to "make sure [that] if there's a shortage of individual drugs pharmacists can make clinical and professional judgements", adding "it's about having the appropriate clinical flexibility".

As a pharmacist myself I can tell you this is absolute bonkers. Pharmacists are not trained to do stuff like this, nor will they be able to be trained in a few months.
Actually in shock reading that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on December 07, 2018, 09:16:17 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 02:38:51 PM
Priti Patel is going to starve the nation of Ireland;

https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/ (https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/)

Like the Brits have never did that before.

Odious bunch of f**kers.
The mask slips on these fkers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 07, 2018, 10:19:13 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on December 07, 2018, 02:57:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 07, 2018, 02:46:59 PM
United Ireland latest
the DUP want this :

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/12/07/brexit-latest-news-ministers-fan-across-country-last-effort/

Major ports could suffer disruption for up to six months under a no-deal scenario, the Government has told industry leaders.
Revised Brexit assessments published on Friday warned that access through Dover and Folkestone could be reduced for significantly longer than first feared.
Matt Hancock, the Health Secretary, has written to health and care providers setting out contingency plans for medicine plans, in which he warns that there would be "significantly reduced access across the short straits, for up to six months."
Separately, he also confirmed that his department was exploring plans to give pharmacists the authority to overrule GPs and ration drugs to mitigate shortages.
Under an urgent consultation initiated this week, ministers are seeking to introduce a  "serious shortage protocol" for pharmacies, allowing them to dispense a "reduced quantity" of the medicine, an "alternative dosage form" or a "therapeutic equivalent".

Mr Hancock told the BBC he wanted to "make sure [that] if there's a shortage of individual drugs pharmacists can make clinical and professional judgements", adding "it's about having the appropriate clinical flexibility".

As a pharmacist myself I can tell you this is absolute bonkers. Pharmacists are not trained to do stuff like this, nor will they be able to be trained in a few months.
Actually in shock reading that.

Is the substitution think not coming in anyway RHS due to current generic shortages??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on December 08, 2018, 12:04:08 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 02:38:51 PM
Priti Patel is going to starve the nation of Ireland;

https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/ (https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/)

Like the Brits have never did that before.

Odious bunch of f**kers.

Patel has an arse on her that must already stop a lot of Jammie Dodgers making it to our shores.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on December 08, 2018, 12:23:33 AM
Quote from: weareros on December 08, 2018, 12:04:08 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 02:38:51 PM
Priti Patel is going to starve the nation of Ireland;

https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/ (https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/)

Like the Brits have never did that before.

Odious bunch of f**kers.

Patel has an arse on her that must already stop a lot of Jammie Dodgers making it to our shores.

She's like Emma Pengelly though, you'd mount it in a heartbeat....evil and all as she is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2018, 06:47:38 AM
She is out of her depth

https://youtu.be/QS7GOFHSE40
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on December 08, 2018, 11:19:48 AM
Quote from: Therealdonald on December 08, 2018, 12:23:33 AM
Quote from: weareros on December 08, 2018, 12:04:08 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 02:38:51 PM
Priti Patel is going to starve the nation of Ireland;

https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/ (https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/)

Like the Brits have never did that before.

Odious bunch of f**kers.

Patel has an arse on her that must already stop a lot of Jammie Dodgers making it to our shores.

She's like Emma Pengelly though, you'd mount it in a heartbeat....evil and all as she is.

I have read some things on this board....but this???
Calm your urges, it can only end badly & you will regret it!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 08, 2018, 04:28:09 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 07, 2018, 02:38:51 PM
Priti Patel is going to starve the nation of Ireland;

https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/ (https://www.thejournal.ie/brexit-threat-food-shortages-ireland-4381228-Dec2018/)

Like the Brits have never did that before.

Odious bunch of f**kers.

Wow is this how low can you go week, i thought that kind of insinuation lost its appeal around 500 years ago. Hard to hide your true colours all the time I suppose.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on December 09, 2018, 04:13:04 PM
Here's one for Priti to watch....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hN6gX9X4vWE (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hN6gX9X4vWE)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 09, 2018, 08:26:49 PM
Brexit is fucked. Here is why

Thatcher broke the miners in 1985. Instead of rehabilitating the communities they were left to rot.


UK manufacturing employment fell from 8.9 million
to just 2.9 million since the 1960s, and 500,000 coal jobs
went.
ESA and the additional benefits received –
eg Housing Benefit and DLA  –
cost  £30bn
Or 3% of GDP

Sheffield Hallam studied the coalfields 30 years  later


https://www4.shu.ac.uk/mediacentre/state-coalfields-new-research

Thatcher's miner legacy :

Extent of ill health :

DLA claimant rate
Job density
Business stock
Business formation rate
Employment rate
Occupational structure
Workforce qualifications
Incapacity benefit claimant rate
Overall working-age claimant rate

The mining communities are sicker and poorer than other communities.  30 of the 43 most deprived communities in the UK are ex-mining communities.

These people were abandoned.


Osborne began his cuts after the 2011 election. They hit the former mining areas hard
https://www4.shu.ac.uk/research/cresr/sites/shu.ac.uk/files/cresr30th-jobs-welfare-austerity.pdf
"In Bolsover, government funding has gone.

Mansfield used to have 12 community development workers across all agencies. Now this is reduced to "just one or two".

In Wansbeck staffing reduced from 41 to 15."


"The financial cuts since 2010 have driven many voluntary and community
organisations in the coalfields into crisis, and often led to substantial
redundancies"

The people were courted by vote Leave and they thought they would be looked after. The coalfields voted Leave.
The combined effect of shabby treatment going back to the 80s, neglect and cuts drove the Leave vote.

Leave was the Tory death sentence and it was delivered in part by the people of Orgreave.

. The Tories promised them FOM and promised SE England growth. It can deliver neither. This a structural crisis.


Basically instead of rehabilitating the mining areas the Tories left them to hang. Given the disability costs of £30 bn pa this was far more expensive over the long term than doing the decent thing. The cherry on top was the Leave vote.

May gave a Lancaster House speech full of uncosted red lines. Nick Timothy believed that red lines were necessary to connect the Conservatives more deeply to the 52 % of the electorate who voted to
leave, in towns across the north of England, the Midlands and Wales who felt barely connected to the political process. These suffering people had been promised the world by gobshites.


"But senior civil servants, none of whom were consulted over Mrs May's speech, were horrified
when they watched it on television.""
May ran an unnecessary election on a strong Brexit  theme that was rejected by large swathes of the population. The UK is heavily polarised.

May had to cede on all of her red lines in negotiations with the EU. The UK cannot  drop freedom of movement and stay in the Single Market. It cannot go it alone without blowing up the UK economy.

There is no way forward that can deliver what the Tories promised the North of England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on December 10, 2018, 03:50:58 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.

You wouldn't happen to have a link for that claim about 23 year Olds by any chance? I teach 21-22 year Olds in college in New York ,  and that is not what I hear back from them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 06:59:07 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.

The point I was making is that whilst the general public have had to accept pay cuts, cut backs in services etc......those that make these decisions carry on feeding from the trough. In salary terms....a nurse earns from 25,000 up after training.....the lifeblood of the NHS.....so who is more valuable to society?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2018, 07:38:58 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 06:59:07 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.

The point I was making is that whilst the general public have had to accept pay cuts, cut backs in services etc......those that make these decisions carry on feeding from the trough. In salary terms....a nurse earns from 25,000 up after training.....the lifeblood of the NHS.....so who is more valuable to society?
americans don't get payrises./ nobody does

The idea that americans benefit more from work is deluded
They have fewer holidays and healthcare costs an arm and aleg
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 10, 2018, 08:55:23 AM
The ECJ has ruled the Brits can unilaterally revoke Article 50.
https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1210/1016214-brexit-ecj-ruling/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 10, 2018, 09:34:01 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 06:59:07 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.

The point I was making is that whilst the general public have had to accept pay cuts, cut backs in services etc......those that make these decisions carry on feeding from the trough. In salary terms....a nurse earns from 25,000 up after training.....the lifeblood of the NHS.....so who is more valuable to society?

This argument.... ::) Politicians are an obvious and easy target, and in fairness the criticism is usually justified. But if they're overpaid and get money for nothing etc, why don't you (or the nurses for that matter) go and do it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 10:25:05 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 10, 2018, 09:34:01 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 06:59:07 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.

The point I was making is that whilst the general public have had to accept pay cuts, cut backs in services etc......those that make these decisions carry on feeding from the trough. In salary terms....a nurse earns from 25,000 up after training.....the lifeblood of the NHS.....so who is more valuable to society?

This argument.... ::) Politicians are an obvious and easy target, and in fairness the criticism is usually justified. But if they're overpaid and get money for nothing etc, why don't you (or the nurses for that matter) go and do it?

What a childish response.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 10:25:59 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on December 10, 2018, 09:46:52 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 10, 2018, 09:34:01 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 06:59:07 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.

The point I was making is that whilst the general public have had to accept pay cuts, cut backs in services etc......those that make these decisions carry on feeding from the trough. In salary terms....a nurse earns from 25,000 up after training.....the lifeblood of the NHS.....so who is more valuable to society?

This argument.... ::) Politicians are an obvious and easy target, and in fairness the criticism is usually justified. But if they're overpaid and get money for nothing etc, why don't you (or the nurses for that matter) go and do it?
Funnily enough, I went to the Bank of England's UK inflation calculator - according to them £65k in 2010 would be an equivalent worth in 2017 of £79,232. Not going to say that this is good or bad, but getting £77k in 2017 means that in real terms they're actually earning less that themselves or their predecessors in 2010.
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/inflation/inflation-calculator

How would nurses salaries compare then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 10, 2018, 10:59:48 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 10:25:05 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 10, 2018, 09:34:01 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 06:59:07 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.

The point I was making is that whilst the general public have had to accept pay cuts, cut backs in services etc......those that make these decisions carry on feeding from the trough. In salary terms....a nurse earns from 25,000 up after training.....the lifeblood of the NHS.....so who is more valuable to society?

This argument.... ::) Politicians are an obvious and easy target, and in fairness the criticism is usually justified. But if they're overpaid and get money for nothing etc, why don't you (or the nurses for that matter) go and do it?

What a childish response.

You're regurgitating the sort of populist shite that pollutes social media, and you say my response is childish?  ;D

Perhaps you should think about the calibre of people you'd like to have running the country, the interaction between that and the salary offered for the job, and also consider the impact of supply and demand. Basically, learn to think for yourself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Chicago Hurling on December 10, 2018, 11:16:32 AM
Quote from: NetNitrate on December 10, 2018, 02:15:15 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 09, 2018, 08:56:26 PM
MP's salaries have gone up from 65,000(2010) to 77,000(2018)...... how's that for austerity?
It never ceases to amaze me that the general public in the UK roll over and take it.....same in Ireland.....whereas in France there are multiple demonstrations. The sooner people realise that the French way is the only way we are going to see change the better.

That's not a very high salary. Most 23 year olds on their first job in top cities in US would make that. But they work hard unlike the French who like their short working weeks. The French way will never work - just results in a stagnant economy based on protectionism. They have been rioting for decades and things just getting worse.

Having been a 23yr old in the US with a college degree that lived in a major city I can say this is false. I was in sales that's 30-40base with bonuses, roommate in finance was at 45, his girlfriend was accounting making 55, another roommate at 40 in advertising. The person I knew who was making the most (without a Masters) was in consulting and that was 75k or about 59k in pounds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 10, 2018, 11:34:47 AM
Big week for Brexit coming up. Regardless of what MPs are paid, this last few weeks have proved that they have spectacularly mis-judged the UKs negotiating hand. The Government is utterly incompetent and the party of Government are so utterly divided that there now at this juncture, appears to be no way forward for any outcome. Leaving only a No Deal Brexit by default.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 10, 2018, 11:36:35 AM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dt_G7zwWsAEZ72d.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 10, 2018, 12:05:09 PM
Vote's getting pulled (unofficially of course but should be confirmed soon)

What the f**k happens now?? No confidence vote? If she goes back to Brussels she'll be told to whistle. Surely it's a GE or a another referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2018, 12:16:06 PM
Nobody knows. Tories won't want a GE.
Whatever way you look at it it is a total mess.

Very poor stick work by the Tories Marty and the first touch is desperate.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 10, 2018, 12:21:39 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 10, 2018, 12:05:09 PM
Vote's getting pulled (unofficially of course but should be confirmed soon)

What the f**k happens now?? No confidence vote? If she goes back to Brussels she'll be told to whistle. Surely it's a GE or a another referendum?

Confirmed it's off.
I think she has 21 days to come back to Parliament with an alternative. Not exactly sure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 12:27:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2018, 12:21:39 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 10, 2018, 12:05:09 PM
Vote's getting pulled (unofficially of course but should be confirmed soon)

What the f**k happens now?? No confidence vote? If she goes back to Brussels she'll be told to whistle. Surely it's a GE or a another referendum?

Confirmed it's off.
I think she has 21 days to come back to Parliament with an alternative. Not exactly sure.

Not sure where she goes from here. I honestly think that a GE won't solve anything, and that a second referendum would deliver more or less the same result.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 10, 2018, 12:30:20 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 12:27:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2018, 12:21:39 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 10, 2018, 12:05:09 PM
Vote's getting pulled (unofficially of course but should be confirmed soon)

What the f**k happens now?? No confidence vote? If she goes back to Brussels she'll be told to whistle. Surely it's a GE or a another referendum?

Confirmed it's off.
I think she has 21 days to come back to Parliament with an alternative. Not exactly sure.

Not sure where she goes from here. I honestly think that a GE won't solve anything, and that a second referendum would deliver more or less the same result.

I agree . . . if the vote was a simple no deal/remain again I think remain would win by about 10% but if you're having nodeal/deal/remain then you'll be splitting the remain vote bigtime and there's every chance we crash out!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on December 10, 2018, 12:33:50 PM
I actually thinks that splits the Brexit vote - no deal or May's deal are both brexits as such - the Remain vote will be the same (or even larger than the original ballot)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 10, 2018, 12:38:11 PM
Nigel loving it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2018, 12:38:31 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on December 10, 2018, 12:33:50 PM
I actually thinks that splits the Brexit vote - no deal or May's deal are both brexits as such - the Remain vote will be the same (or even larger than the original ballot)
Remain might be 55% now
Still not big enough to be decisive
The country is polarised. It's like northern Ireland !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 10, 2018, 12:54:58 PM
It's settee and popcorn time
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on December 10, 2018, 12:58:05 PM
Sterling is in the gutter.

Ouch

I'm still not convinced there is any sort of Brexit, hard or soft.

Second referendum or GE. If it's a GE there will be mayhem in the North.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on December 10, 2018, 01:01:51 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 10, 2018, 12:58:05 PM
Sterling is in the gutter.

Ouch

I'm still not convinced there is any sort of Brexit, hard or soft.

Second referendum or GE. If it's a GE there will be mayhem in the North.

Rees-Mogg and his buddies will be making money out of it and that's all it was designed for.

The whole thing is really showing the upper echelons of British society haven't changed a jot. And never will.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 10, 2018, 01:02:18 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 10, 2018, 12:58:05 PM
Sterling is in the gutter.

Ouch

I'm still not convinced there is any sort of Brexit, hard or soft.

Second referendum or GE. If it's a GE there will be mayhem in the North.

I think Gov returning to EU for a cosmetic renegotiation is most likely. May might get the boot and replaced by a Brexiteer or coalition of Soft Remain/ Brexiteer.
Because of fixed term parliament act, a GE must be voted for by MPs (unlikely) a peoples vote requires MPs to vote for it (Unlikely) No Confidence in the Gov will be supported by DUP, keeps Corbyn out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 10, 2018, 01:14:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2018, 01:02:18 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 10, 2018, 12:58:05 PM
Sterling is in the gutter.

Ouch

I'm still not convinced there is any sort of Brexit, hard or soft.

Second referendum or GE. If it's a GE there will be mayhem in the North.

I think Gov returning to EU for a cosmetic renegotiation is most likely. May might get the boot and replaced by a Brexiteer or coalition of Soft Remain/ Brexiteer.
Because of fixed term parliament act, a GE must be voted for by MPs (unlikely) a peoples vote requires MPs to vote for it (Unlikely) No Confidence in the Gov will be supported by DUP, keeps Corbyn out.

Brexiteers haven't got a leader to rally round. Rees Mogg, Boris etc, etc have already shown that by not putting their hands up when May produced the deal. they didn't get enough letters to trigger a leadership challenge.

Hurlers on the ditch.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2018, 01:22:25 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 10, 2018, 12:58:05 PM
Sterling is in the gutter.

Ouch

I'm still not convinced there is any sort of Brexit, hard or soft.

Second referendum or GE. If it's a GE there will be mayhem in the North.

Sterling is trading like an emerging market currency according to the FT

https://www.ft.com/content/07e92d2a-f951-11e8-af46-2022a0b02a6c
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2018, 01:25:05 PM
Meanwhile


Paul Gillespie


https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/post-brexit-britain-may-not-want-to-pay-for-northern-ireland-1.3723855

The UK exchequer provides a £10.8 billion (€12.1 billion) annual subsidy to Northern Ireland and pays £8.6 billion net each year to the European Union.

The two figures show a striking disproportion between the UK's internal and external obligations just as the Irish backstop becomes the defining issue in its future relations with the EU. The disproportion is mostly unknown to the British public who voted 52/48 per cent in 2016 for Brexit based in good part on the belief that the cost of EU membership is far higher than it actually is and that its intrusion on UK policymaking is similarly large.

Given the immense strain Brexit is putting on the UK's internal unity, this disproportionate funding is a really serious matter. The latest Future of England Survey organised by researchers in Edinburgh and Cardiff universities asked voters in each of the UK's nations whether they prioritise a hard Brexit over a hard border in Ireland. Richard Wyn Jones, one of its authors, summarised the findings:

"An overwhelming majority of Conservative voters in England would prefer to see Scotland become independent and a breakdown of the peace process in Northern Ireland rather than compromise on their support for Brexit. But it's not just Brexit. Half of English Conservative supporters want to stop Scottish MPs from sitting in the British cabinet altogether."

Related Brexit: Commons vote on withdrawal agreement postponed – reports
Brexit: Eight things that might happen after Tuesday's Commons vote 
Brexit withdrawal treaty not up for renegotiation, says Coveney


In other notable findings, voters typically expect higher levels of policy alignment with Europe post-Brexit on issues such as roaming charges and food hygiene standards than within the UK. English voters say by 62/38 per cent they want money raised in England to be spent there and not in Northern Ireland. That view is held by 73/28 per cent among Conservative voters whereas among those voting Labour it is 22/78 per cent.

'Union's demise'

Wyn Jones concludes: "Strident protestations of faith in the future of the union of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from Theresa May and her leading ministers cannot hide the fact that the union is under huge stress as result of Brexit. Ironically, that threat is posed at least as much by those who would regard themselves as unionists as it is by those in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland who actively wish the union's demise."


Leave supporters in Northern Ireland value a hard Brexit over the peace process and a soft border by 87 per cent

The surveys reveal what Wyn Jones calls a "devo-anxiety" among English voters. It reflects in part an English nationalism both resenting and seeking greater voice in the devolving UK. That nationalism can be overstated as an independent force but it undoubtedly drives much of this disenchantment.

Leave supporters in Northern Ireland value a hard Brexit over the peace process and a soft border by 87 per cent, illustrating their DUP base. But for the DUP to put such store on avoiding a border down the Irish Sea, given the fraying of popular unionism at the base of Conservatives in England, risks bringing these diminishing solidarities and radically disproportionate UK transfers toNorthern Ireland out into the open in future UK-level bargaining.

Intra-UK solidarity is much stronger among ordinary Labour voters in England than among Conservatives. What that would mean for a possible Labour government arising from Brexit remains to be seen: could it outweigh or counter-balance the Labour leadership's sympathy for Irish nationalism? Overall non-Conservative voters in England support the UK's union much more than Tory-Brexit ones.

Economic price

That union would probably have more chance of survival, renewal or civilised voluntary disintegration if Brexit is softer or reversed in a second referendum. This survey bears out the view of commentators who say the end of the UK is more likely to come from the secession of an England no longer prepared to pay the political or economic price of union than from Scottish (or Northern Irish) voters who still have other options.

The Brexit convulsion brings the Irish Question right back into mainstream British politics more intrusively even than during the Northern Ireland Troubles culminating in the 1998 Belfast Agreement. One has to go back 100 years to the December 14th, 1918, general election after the first World War won by unionists and Sinn Féin in Ireland to find it so prominent – and resented.

Lloyd George is widely respected in the UK for having eliminated Ireland from internal British politics by the 1920 partition and the 1921 Irish Treaty. Now that it is back, can one imagine future red buses going around England after the economic shock of a hard Brexit with the slogan: "We send NI £204 million a week. Let's fund our NHS instead. Vote Leave"?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 10, 2018, 01:26:27 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 10, 2018, 01:14:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2018, 01:02:18 PM
Quote from: heganboy on December 10, 2018, 12:58:05 PM
Sterling is in the gutter.

Ouch

I'm still not convinced there is any sort of Brexit, hard or soft.

Second referendum or GE. If it's a GE there will be mayhem in the North.

I think Gov returning to EU for a cosmetic renegotiation is most likely. May might get the boot and replaced by a Brexiteer or coalition of Soft Remain/ Brexiteer.
Because of fixed term parliament act, a GE must be voted for by MPs (unlikely) a peoples vote requires MPs to vote for it (Unlikely) No Confidence in the Gov will be supported by DUP, keeps Corbyn out.

Brexiteers haven't got a leader to rally round. Rees Mogg, Boris etc, etc have already shown that by not putting their hands up when May produced the deal. they didn't get enough letters to trigger a leadership challenge.

Hurlers on the ditch.

Agreed, sniping from the sideline. They should've been cast first and centre in the negotiations with the EU. If that had have happened they'd have been finished with long ago like David Davis, who lets remember, negotiated a good chunk of this agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 10, 2018, 02:14:41 PM
Hope the EU/Leo don't budge an inch on the backstop. Let the Brits sort it out for themselves. Bite the bullet and have another referendum, it's the least worst option.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2018, 02:46:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on December 10, 2018, 02:14:41 PM
Hope the EU/Leo don't budge an inch on the backstop. Let the Brits sort it out for themselves. Bite the bullet and have another referendum, it's the least worst option.
The UK is having a breakdown. Nobody else is. If they yield on the backstop it will be something else next week. It's not rational
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 10, 2018, 02:47:02 PM
And in among all the current chaos the brits just announce that they are putting an extra 1.4bn into the crossrail project which is hemorrhaging money. Good day to bury bad news
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 03:06:49 PM
Nicola Sturgeon calling on Corbyn to table a motion of no confidence which SNP will back.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on December 10, 2018, 03:08:12 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 03:06:49 PM
Nicola Sturgeon calling on Corbyn to table a motion of no confidence which SNP will back.
Corbyn has no teeth. A useless hoor for a leadership position. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 03:11:10 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on December 10, 2018, 03:08:12 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on December 10, 2018, 03:06:49 PM
Nicola Sturgeon calling on Corbyn to table a motion of no confidence which SNP will back.
Corbyn has no teeth. A useless hoor for a leadership position.

Inclined to agree....he would not lead Labour to a GE win......Kier Starmer would be my choice, but would have to get Abbott off front bench.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 10, 2018, 03:11:37 PM
According to Peston on twitter he isn't going to bite as that would be (seen to be)putting party before country and he wants to put the country first and go back to the EU to renegotiate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on December 10, 2018, 03:15:36 PM
How short peoples memories are. If the last GE went the way all ye experts thought then there would be no drama this week but Corbyn showed May up for the ball of shite that she is. A brilliant man who actually gives a f**k about people. Britain would be a much better place after a few years of his stewardship but ironically the biggest problem he has are the tories in his own party still lamenting the departure of the butcher.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 10, 2018, 03:17:39 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 10, 2018, 03:11:37 PM
According to Peston on twitter he isn't going to bite as that would be (seen to be)putting party before country and he wants to put the country first and go back to the EU to renegotiate.

Corbyn is elevated beyond his capabilities. Policies from the 1900's. Him and Abbott both need to be expunged.

Also Peston is a f**king bullshit journalist. Not credible as a human being.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 10, 2018, 03:18:09 PM
QuoteA brilliant man who actually gives a f**k about people.

I agree with the latter but not the former. I was impressed by him up until this brexit shambles. If he was brilliant the tories would be out already - it's being set on a plate for him and he is not doing anything about it.

(You are probably right about Peston trailer)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 10, 2018, 03:27:46 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on December 10, 2018, 03:15:36 PM
How short peoples memories are. If the last GE went the way all ye experts thought then there would be no drama this week but Corbyn showed May up for the ball of shite that she is. A brilliant man who actually gives a f**k about people. Britain would be a much better place after a few years of his stewardship but ironically the biggest problem he has are the tories in his own party still lamenting the departure of the butcher.

What is Labour's position on Brexit? No one knows. Not even them. Stephen Kinnock was running around at the weekend talking about Norway deal, or Norway+ despite Norway saying "no chance guys, do one lads." Coming out with this bullshit unicorn solution shows them up for what they are.
On Brexit you could argue they're worse than the Government.

Peston is a p***k. Hate him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on December 10, 2018, 04:55:15 PM
English nationalism, English exceptionalism and English colonial delusions combine to threaten to burn the country. The votes to float this ludicrous project are only available because there are enough anti-immigrant racists (who voted Brexit because they don't like Pakistanis - Frankie Boyle) and enough forelock-tugging plebs who always look to their 'upper class' masters to be told what to do, even if it's to their own disadvantage.

There is a difference between monarchical England and republics. Can you imagine the French voting to impoverish themselves because they were told by some chinless toffs that their destiny is to rule the world?

This is a good analysis of the mindset, and a good illustration of its contrast with the mindset of another republic - Ireland:
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/this-means-war-psychologists-try-to-make-sense-of-brexit-1.3725395 (https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/this-means-war-psychologists-try-to-make-sense-of-brexit-1.3725395)


All versions of Brexit will leave the UK poorer. So said UK chancellor Philip Hammond as he attempted to sell what Theresa May sees as the least painful Brexit before a key parliamentary vote on Tuesday.

You would think that, were you presented with evidence that a course of action you had embarked upon would turn out to be bad for you, that would probably sway you towards not following through with it.

Not so with Brexiteers. What drives them, despite the dire warnings about a no-deal Brexit, is the belief that life outside a union with 27 other countries with barrier-free access to a market of 450 million people offers greater sovereignty, a greater sense of their identity and, ultimately, greater economic power.

There is a hardline refusal to accept any temporary half-measures to reach a compromise, fearing they may become permanent. Given the political turmoil at Westminster, there is a growing risk this will result in a no-deal Brexit, with potentially catastrophic economic results.

In the psychology of Brexit politics, remaining absolutely faithful to one's political beliefs and core ideological positions means protecting political identity over economic self-interest, however great the cost.

"[This is] people taking action for essentially psychological reasons, irrespective of the economic cost," said Ian Robertson, professor of psychology at Trinity College Dublin.

"The reason for that is who we are – our self-image – is something that is most precious to us. Our identity, our concept of ourselves, is something that is a central motivator and protecting that is one of the greatest motivators in human endeavour."

The threat of Northern Ireland being treated separately from the rest of the United Kingdom under the divorce deal's "backstop" – a measure to guarantee there will be no return to a hard border in Ireland – is a "personal psychological threat to their identity," says Robertson.

He believes the "fear-driven vote" around immigration in the 2016 referendum created the sense that there was a dangerous and threatening world out there and protecting their identity induced a "pull-down-the-shutters mentality."

"In that sense, it becomes symbolically almost a slightly wartime psychology. In wartime, you deal with the threat and to hell with the economic consequences. Countries bankrupt themselves in order to survive," he said.

Project Fear
In Brexit's psychological conflict, severe warnings about a no-deal are dismissed as "Project Fear" and, on many occasions, the qualifications or calibre of the expert presenting the warnings are disparaged too, such as when pro-Brexit Conservative MP Jacob Rees-Mogg dismissed Bank of England governor Mark Carney as a failed "second-tier Canadian politician" after Carney issued stern warnings about a no-deal Brexit.

Pete Lunn, head of behavioural research at the Economic and Social Research Institute, attributes these kinds of attacks to the heavy investment politicians make in their beliefs to maintain consistency and the trust of voters. This forces Brexiteers to interpret information undermining their views in a biased manner to fit their beliefs.

"For something as divisive as Brexit, particularly something which is a 'yes or no' thing that people have been campaigning for a long time, any chance that the politician will change their view on that is remote, regardless of the evidence that gets put in front of them," he says.

Despite clear evidence the UK will, at least in the short to medium term, pay a cost for exiting the EU, no Brexiteer has gone so far as to disclose the price at which it would become unacceptable.

"This is the question they don't want to answer because they cannot countenance the idea that that yes-no thing that they have campaigned for and that they identify with can be switched," says Lunn. "This, we know from psychology, is something people do: when they have treasured beliefs, they deny that they trade off with anything. They become absolute things they are not willing to accept there is a trade-off."

The practice of ignoring uncomfortable trade-offs is defined as "defensive avoidance", according to David Houghton, a professor and expert on political psychology at the US Naval War College in Rhode Island.

This, he says, is driving the position of Northern Ireland's pro-Brexit Democratic Unionist Party, who oppose prime minister Theresa May's divorce deal, including the contentious backstop.

"Ideological people as opposed to pragmatists are prone to this because pragmatic people will be aware of trade-offs and will try to negotiate compromises," he said.

When it comes to finding a compromise in Brexit's ideologue-dominated political arena, there is "probably more chance of hell freezing over," says Philip Corr, a professor of psychology at City, University of London and an expert on behavioural economics.

The trouble is that the "economic game" that is playing out in the Brexit debate is seen as a "zero-sum game", he says. "If you gain, I lose, and vice versa."

Instead, the game needs to be reframed as non-zero sum, where enlightened economic self-interest wins out and political ideologies follow in its wake.

"The obstacle to such a pleasing outcome is that so much political capital is in play, and some politicians are bound to get a large return on their investment, while others are likely to go bust. Under such a circumstance, it would take a feat of major political bravery to put the interests of the UK first," says Corr.

Hurt feelings
If politicians "could put their hurt feelings to one side and discount the emotional value of past differences of often very heated opinion", he says, then there is a chance of finding consensus and creating "in-group coherence", though this might require defining an "out-group" who can be hated such as the "faceless Brussels bureaucrats".

The stakes, however, are stratospheric for both Remainers and Leavers.

One psychological analysis suggests compromise is more likely to come from moderate Leavers because they can offer some concessions and still at least gain what they wanted: the UK will no longer be in the EU.

The bigger risk is on the Remain side.

"If you are a Remainer, you take a massive risk by voting down the deal, because you risk a hard Brexit, which is your biggest nightmare because it results in all of the downside costs of Brexit, and Brexit [itself]," says the ESRI's Lunn.

"So you don't get to remain and you pay this huge, admittedly unknown price, because you crash out."

Behavioural science studies of decision-making by people who face losses show that they are likely to be optimistic about their chances in such circumstances because there is a possibility, even if people are putting it at less than 50-50, that Brexit will never happen if May's proposed divorce deal is voted down.

"This is exactly the same kind of logic as rogue traders: people who chase their losses in business and go bankrupt because they doubled their money to try to recover their position. The Remainers are in exactly that situation where what they face is a catastrophic loss and there is a high-risk game," says Lunn.

On the other side, what is psychologically driving the Brexiteer ideologues such as Rees-Mogg in this "absolutely incredible" game of high-stakes risk-taking is social identity status, says the ESRI academic.

He sees Brexiteer hardliners as "victims of a version of British history belonging in the 19th century", where they regard the UK as an independent global nation and the EU as depriving them of that status. "They feel like it is almost like personal dilution to be involved in something like the European Union. "

This explains the sense of personal affront that Brexiteers feel by having to remain "rule-takers" from the EU under May's potentially halfway-house status under the Brexit agreement.

The Belfast model
Ian Robertson believes the British could learn from the place that has landed UK politics in the crisis it is in: Northern Ireland and the peace process that culminated in the 1998 Belfast Agreement. The Dublin-based academic described it as "one of the most sophisticated political psychological enterprises ever engaged in".

The agreement removed the threat to people's identities by mutually recognised different identities, permitting a Protestant Ulster man to be Irish too or British and European.

A "superordinate identity" – for example, in religion being not Catholic or Protestant but Christian – is the "greatest antidote to "out-group" prejudices", says Robertson.

But within the pick-a-side political psychology of Brexit, it can become a threat too: being European in Northern Ireland might identity you as a supporter of a united Ireland. Being pro-European was regarded negatively in pro-Brexit circles as supporting a federalist Europe, which the UK resisted.

Robertson believes the EU could have done a better job at building "an emotional European identity" and not just an "intellectual, super-cerebral administration project."

"The Irish have a lot to teach because of their bitter experience and success at negotiating the peace process. They have a lot to offer to help Europe find an identity," he says.

In the long run, Robertson believes a far bigger conflict facing the planet might generate a broader, cohesive superordinate identity to unite people way beyond the narrowing politics and psychology of Brexit.

"We may be rescued by the fight against climate change because it might get to the point where we have to say: 'My God, we are all humans and we are about to go extinct if we don't do something,' " he says.

"That actually is like an acid that dissolves the conflict between groups with different identities below that."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 10, 2018, 05:00:22 PM
If Corbyn would make a f**king call about Brexit he could be in charge by quite some distance but he's totally fudged it!!

If he comes out in the morning and says we're staying in but only with x, y, z assurances then he'll get a chunk of it from the EU and walk the election . . .  But he won't!!!

Someone needs to take this thing by the scruff of the neck or we're just freewheeling into oblivion!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on December 10, 2018, 07:08:02 PM
It's hard to see just how this ends up.

It would be a massive step if people would just admit one simple truth: "It is not possible for NI to be outside the Customs Union and not have a border on the island of Ireland".  Until this happens everyone is in denial, which means that they can't intelligently choose any option.

I spoke to 2 DUP MPs last week.  They both told me that they didn't want this deal (as we all know), but neither of them could coherently tell me what they do want.

People, including the DUP, talk about the UK (inc NI) leaving the Customs Union and having no hard border but that is not possible. 

Here is a little scenario that clearly sets this out.

Let's pretend that the UK (inc NI) leaves the Customs Union as they want to strike even better trade deals around the world; this after all was one of the drivers towards Brexit.

The UK enter into a Free Trade Agreement with Orangestan (a country somewhere far beyond the EU).  In this FTA the UK can export stuff tariff free to Orangestan and Orangestan can export their oranges tariff free to the UK; again this is the Holy Grail of Brexit.

Compare this with the EU, who has an import tariff of 10 pence on each orange imported from Orangestan.  So the Brexiteers were correct; they were able to negotiate better trade deals with Orangestan than the EU were able to.

Orangestan can deliver their oranges either to the port of Belfast or Dublin and the price, before duties, is £1 (Orangestan like sterling so they sell in GBP to all customers across the world!).
The price that Northern Ireland fruit wholesalers pay for the oranges are £1, while the price that the ROI fruit wholesales pay is £1.10. The 10 pence difference is due to the differential in tariffs. 

Imagine there is no border.

What do we think will happen?

The oranges from Northern Ireland are likely to find their way over the border into the ROI because the NI oranges could be sold in the ROI at £1.05.  This gives a profit to the people who had access to NI oranges, whilst at the same time ensuring that the ROI customer is making a saving on the price of the official duty paid product. 
The greengrocers in Monaghan, Cavan and Donegal will see a reduction in their orange sales due to the inevitable smuggling of oranges.  Soon the Northern Irish oranges find their way further south and this smuggling issue gets Leo Varadkar's attention. 

The ROI greengrocers are up in arms because their orange sales have disappeared and import duties are not being properly assessed and paid over. 

The Irish Government is faced with no choice, they have to install a manned border so that they can stop the orange smuggling route so that the Irish greengrocers can continue to make their living.

I appreciate that the above story may seem simplistic, but understanding this makes it very clear that the UK government is going to find it very difficult to actually get any sort of Brexit deal approved as Northern Ireland is such a burden on GB's desire to be free of the EU.

So think of this when we hear politicians saying that we need to negotiate a better deal with no NI backstop.  It is just not possible; unless NI remains forever in the Customs Union - and it's difficult to see the British Parliament voting for that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 10, 2018, 07:15:21 PM
The Brits have become like the DUPUDA -they don't know what they want but they're against everything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 10, 2018, 07:17:18 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 10, 2018, 04:55:15 PM
Behavioural science studies of decision-making by people who face losses show that they are likely to be optimistic about their chances in such circumstances because there is a possibility, even if people are putting it at less than 50-50, that Brexit will never happen if May's proposed divorce deal is voted down.

"This is exactly the same kind of logic as rogue traders: people who chase their losses in business and go bankrupt because they doubled their money to try to recover their position. The Remainers are in exactly that situation where what they face is a catastrophic loss and there is a high-risk game," says Lunn.


I would not agree with that, at all.

This is not business, so drawing a comparison between chasing a flawed business model and holding out for common sense to rear its head are two very different things. Indeed, somewhat diametrically opposed.

Common sense would suggest throwing more money at a problem while doing the same thing with that money won't net you a return.
Common sense would suggest being inside the largest by wealth (or is it 2nd largest) tariff trading block in the world is a good thing for the living standards of those within it.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on December 10, 2018, 07:42:28 PM
Sammy Wilson has just said on C4 News that the backstop proposal as it is currently proposed will lead to reunification of Ireland.

Smokin' Joe- are the DUP taking any notice of industry groups at all?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on December 10, 2018, 07:50:48 PM
Quote from: Rois on December 10, 2018, 07:42:28 PM

Smokin' Joe- are the DUP taking any notice of industry groups at all?

Nope Rois, not at all.  I felt like Ian Jr was trying to put words into my mouth "I was speaking to a NI manufacturer and exporter who said he would be happy to trade on WTO terms" etc.  This was after I told him that we already exported lots to the rest of the world.

Look, I can understand why they wouldn't go for the backstop, but I have no clue how it ends up in a position that they can support any sort of Brexit deal.  And I'm not sure they do either.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 10, 2018, 08:15:18 PM
Quote from: Rois on December 10, 2018, 07:42:28 PM
Sammy Wilson has just said on C4 News that the backstop proposal as it is currently proposed will lead to reunification of Ireland.

Of course, as per the Times poll last week the backstop will not lead to the immediate reunification of Ireland, as 65% of people supported it and there was not a big demand for a border poll if there was a backstop.
Of course, if there was no deal then support for Irish unification was 55/42, so Sammy and his mates had better get some sort of EEA proposal going.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on December 10, 2018, 08:50:18 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 10, 2018, 08:15:18 PM
Quote from: Rois on December 10, 2018, 07:42:28 PM
Sammy Wilson has just said on C4 News that the backstop proposal as it is currently proposed will lead to reunification of Ireland.

Of course, as per the Times poll last week the backstop will not lead to the immediate reunification of Ireland, as 65% of people supported it and there was not a big demand for a border poll if there was a backstop.
Of course, if there was no deal then support for Irish unification was 55/42, so Sammy and his mates had better get some sort of EEA proposal going.

Faha has analysed the most recent poll and the figures are interesting and very uncomfortable for gammon sammy. Sammy is actually correct the May proposal has UIvUK in a referendum at 50/50. The only problem for Sammy and the DUP is it rises to 60/40 pro UI if his no deal wet dream happens. The only thing that secures the union is if we go back 3 yrs and forget this sorry mess ever happened. Do that and support for UI collapses to 33%. Which really makes you wonder what the fook are the DUP playing at.

https://bangordub.wordpress.com/2018/12/10/eu-withdrawal-agreement-and-a-border-poll/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 10, 2018, 09:14:16 PM
Quote from: Rois on December 10, 2018, 07:42:28 PM
Sammy Wilson has just said on C4 News that the backstop proposal as it is currently proposed will lead to reunification of Ireland.

Smokin' Joe- are the DUP taking any notice of industry groups at all?

Sammy cut a rather disheveled figure on C4, with a florid face and shirt flopping out. Real spokesman for his tribe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2018, 09:54:49 PM
Quote from: Rois on December 10, 2018, 07:42:28 PM
Sammy Wilson has just said on C4 News that the backstop proposal as it is currently proposed will lead to reunification of Ireland.

Smokin' Joe- are the DUP taking any notice of industry groups at all?

The DUP and the brexit heads are living a fantasy

Blanche Dubois in a streetcar named desire says " I don't want realism. I want magic" That is basically where Arlene is even if she is Protestant. It is total WTF


https://youtu.be/Sp_ZkjTIRiI

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 10, 2018, 11:16:45 PM
How long will it be before an increasingly discontented horde of pro Brexit English voters get seriously peeved with the Irish issue preventing them from the Brexit that they voted for. Previous polls suggested they would be prepared to ditch the north if they got a more favorable Brexit for mainland UK. A lot of them probably aren't even aware of the level of finances needed to prop up the north's economy.

If this becomes a major topic of discussion then it could steer the discussion towards a border poll sooner than we think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:14:12 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on December 10, 2018, 07:50:48 PM
Quote from: Rois on December 10, 2018, 07:42:28 PM

Smokin' Joe- are the DUP taking any notice of industry groups at all?

Nope Rois, not at all.  I felt like Ian Jr was trying to put words into my mouth "I was speaking to a NI manufacturer and exporter who said he would be happy to trade on WTO terms" etc.  This was after I told him that we already exported lots to the rest of the world.

Look, I can understand why they wouldn't go for the backstop, but I have no clue how it ends up in a position that they can support any sort of Brexit deal.  And I'm not sure they do either.

Smoking Joe,
     Not sure what you export, but the company I work for also export outside the EU (electronic goods) to Africa, the Middle East and Asia and whilst you are trading on WTO terms WRT regulations they all want to see the EU certifications for the products as they're recognised world wide and by and large accept them as written. They also request proof of Country of Origin and Made in the EU is more than suffice.
The UK will either need to ape these standards when leaving the EU for the time being or come up with their own standards acceptable to these countries or trade will cease.  Trading into the EU will still require their regulatory approvals.

The US will only accept UL approved kit, Canada, their IC mark and India are now putting in place their own BIS standards, heck even China are getting in on the act with their CCC standards.

The BS kite marks may need to make a comeback, but compliance is a minefield and growing industry.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach

Well lets hope the South doesnt need a bail out, oh wait  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 11, 2018, 10:50:59 AM
"The South" got loans which are being repaid with interest.
Same as the "UK" got back round 1975.
The "UK' Government debt has trebled since 2010 I believe?

A "bail out" suggests a load of free money. Repayable loans aren't free money.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach

Well lets hope the South doesnt need a bail out, oh wait  :o

We need a bail out every year MR2.

The DUP are proud of that fact.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:58:51 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach

Well lets hope the South doesnt need a bail out, oh wait  :o

We need a bail out every year MR2.

The DUP are proud of that fact.

But we are worth it  ;D

There are a lot of areas in England Wales and Scotland could be doing with bail outs and in truth there has been a lot of industries in the mainland that have got contracts and bail outs over the years by the government, the banks being the last one of note
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: An Watcher on December 11, 2018, 11:10:48 AM
Mainland.....please
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on December 11, 2018, 11:11:24 AM
Jeez MR2  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 11:13:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 11, 2018, 11:11:24 AM
Jeez MR2  :o

He's moved out of the wild west into the South East Antrim suburbs, forgotten his roots that lad.

;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:16:28 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧

Here is Blanche Dodds from the Telegraph

She doesn't want realism. She wants magic.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/12/11/theresa-may-actually-listening-would-know-backstop-assurances/
If Theresa May was actually listening, she would know that backstop 'assurances' are not enough
•   
Nigel Dodds
11 December 2018 • 6:00am
We take no pleasure from this position. We want an orderly exit from the European Union and we want stable government for the United Kingdom. Yesterday, however, summed up the chaos which has been the hallmark of this Prime Minister.
Despite our warnings, she trundled along towards an historic defeat on the Withdrawal Agreement. Then at the last minute she backed away from a vote.
Wednesday 14 November was arguably the high-water mark for the Withdrawal Agreement when the Prime Minister received the backing of Cabinet for the deal. That support, however, only came after a five-hour marathon meeting.
Since then there have been Cabinet resignations and an almost daily series of MPs announcing that they cannot back the deal. It has been clear for several weeks now that the Withdrawal Agreement did not have the support of the House of Commons and clear for many days that it was facing heavy defeat.
Some of us used the last two weeks to argue that the Prime Minister needed to look beyond the current Withdrawal Agreement and seek a better deal. We were ignored by Downing Street.
The Prime Minister did not listen. That time has now been wasted. Instead, the Government roadshow toured the country and online adverts were pumped out telling us the only choice was between the Prime Minister's deal or a so-called "no deal". That was a foolish strategy.
The Attorney General's advice on this legally binding text laid bare that the backstop would not be temporary and how the Withdrawal Agreement failed the Prime Minister's own previous commitments. Still we were told the Withdrawal Agreement was as good as it gets.
Those arguments by the Prime Minister now lie in tatters.
Yesterday the Prime Minister told us that she would return to Brussels to seek reassurances about the backstop but at the same time told us that this was a good deal for the United Kingdom. We don't need more reassurances.
No reassurance will prevent, as the Attorney General said, Great Britain being "essentially treated as a third country by Northern Ireland for goods passing from GB into NI."
The Prime Minister should have known before the Withdrawal Agreement was signed that it would not work.
Last December, we advised her not to sign up to the Joint Report, which contained a commitment to introduce backstop arrangements which could create barriers between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK. She was aware of why there was an insistence by the Democratic Unionist Party that Paragraph 50 should be inserted into the Joint Report. That paragraph, however, and its impact were not translated across to the Withdrawal Agreement.
The focus on the dangerous backstop continued despite statements from all sides that no-one would erect the so-called "hard border" on the island of Ireland. London, Dublin and Brussels all agree that they will not build a border in any circumstance.
If the Prime Minister was actually listening, she would realise that the problem is with the legally binding Withdrawal Agreement.
Mrs May will go to Brussels without having held the meaningful vote in Parliament. She cannot return to Parliament having secured only meaningless assurances from the European Union.
If the Prime Minister uses this deferment to simply repackage the Withdrawal Agreement, she will suffer more trouble on her return.
The backstop is just as unacceptable now as it was last December. It is not a continued defence of the Withdrawal Agreement that is required, but substantive change of this legally binding text.
That can be the concrete proof that Parliament and the public need to show that the Prime Minister really is listening.

Nigel Dodds MP is the Westminster leader of the Democratic Unionist Party
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on December 11, 2018, 11:17:31 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 11:13:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 11, 2018, 11:11:24 AM
Jeez MR2  :o

He's moved out of the wild west into the South East Antrim suburbs, forgotten his roots that lad.

;D

He's obviously referring to being on Rathlin....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:21:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach

Well lets hope the South doesnt need a bail out, oh wait  :o

We need a bail out every year MR2.

The DUP are proud of that fact.
When did the UK start funding NI ie when was NI no longer able to fund itself?
It hadquite a strong economy 100 years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 11:23:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:21:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach

Well lets hope the South doesnt need a bail out, oh wait  :o

We need a bail out every year MR2.

The DUP are proud of that fact.
When did the UK start funding NI ie when was NI no longer able to fund itself?
It hadquite a strong economy 100 years ago.

In the 1930's allegedly, I'll try to hoke out some evidence on that.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 11, 2018, 11:27:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:21:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach

Well lets hope the South doesnt need a bail out, oh wait  :o

We need a bail out every year MR2.

The DUP are proud of that fact.
When did the UK start funding NI ie when was NI no longer able to fund itself?
It hadquite a strong economy 100 years ago.

Good point but what country doesn't have a deficit now it's the norm especially non EU ones.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 11:48:14 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 11:13:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 11, 2018, 11:11:24 AM
Jeez MR2  :o

He's moved out of the wild west into the South East Antrim suburbs, forgotten his roots that lad.

;D

Across the water then.. keep your knickers on  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on December 11, 2018, 12:42:31 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 11:23:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:21:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach
As much as any funding and I'm saying this without too  figures I believe that the propping up of the economy may is as much about overloading public sector jobs by the tens  of thousands and creating an economy of dependence on Britain. By removing the teet only (which is current Tory policy) And still ignoring economic bungs there will be an increase in unemployment by at least 1 -2 percent of the
Population. NI has struggled since the demise of shipbuilding etc but ultimately with a stripped down social sector should ease supply of labour to industry. What it really needs is a 10 year economic and education / skills plan (one should feeds into the strategy of the other) a 20 year infrastructure modernisation plan. The supported spending on the second will provide the breathing space for the first to take hold.. finally the host needs to be decided? Britain, Ireland Europe but independence unless Europe funds everything is no option.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 11, 2018, 12:52:08 PM
Quote from: rrhf on December 11, 2018, 12:42:31 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 11:23:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:21:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach
As much as any funding and I'm saying this without too  figures I believe that the propping up of the economy may is as much about overloading public sector jobs by the tens  of thousands and creating an economy of dependence on Britain. By removing the teet only (which is current Tory policy) And still ignoring economic bungs there will be an increase in unemployment by at least 1 -2 percent of the
Population. NI has struggled since the demise of shipbuilding etc but ultimately with a stripped down social sector should ease supply of labour to industry. What it really needs is a 10 year economic and education / skills plan (one should feeds into the strategy of the other) a 20 year infrastructure modernisation plan. The supported spending on the second will provide the breathing space for the first to take hold.. finally the host needs to be decided? Britain, Ireland Europe but independence unless Europe funds everything is no option.

Would be quite confident of EU funding in the event of a British withdrawal. The civil service to private sector employment ratio has to be addressed for sure but corporate tax rates aligned with the rest of Ireland could be huge for international investment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 01:04:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 11:48:14 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 11:13:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 11, 2018, 11:11:24 AM
Jeez MR2  :o

He's moved out of the wild west into the South East Antrim suburbs, forgotten his roots that lad.

;D

Across the water then.. keep your knickers on  ;D

That's Strangford where I'm from....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 11, 2018, 01:25:44 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 01:04:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 11:48:14 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 11:13:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 11, 2018, 11:11:24 AM
Jeez MR2  :o

He's moved out of the wild west into the South East Antrim suburbs, forgotten his roots that lad.

;D

Across the water then.. keep your knickers on  ;D

That's Strangford where I'm from....

Always knew he was a closet westbrit. But he's let his guard down and the truth is out.  😂😂😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 11, 2018, 01:43:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:21:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach

Well lets hope the South doesnt need a bail out, oh wait  :o

We need a bail out every year MR2.

The DUP are proud of that fact.
When did the UK start funding NI ie when was NI no longer able to fund itself?
It hadquite a strong economy 100 years ago.

I want to say the 1950s but willing to be corrected.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 11, 2018, 01:52:18 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on December 11, 2018, 01:43:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:21:03 AM
When did the UK start funding NI ie when was NI no longer able to fund itself?
It hadquite a strong economy 100 years ago.

I want to say the 1950s but willing to be corrected.
[/quote]

1937 is the date usually quoted.

Once the welfare state, NHS etc got going after 1945, and there was a commitment to have same in NI, there was a need to have a significant subvention.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 01:56:40 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on December 11, 2018, 11:27:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 11:21:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2018, 10:51:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2018, 10:43:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 10:40:51 AM
Quote from: Oraisteach on December 11, 2018, 03:14:08 AM
And, seafoid, like Blanche DuBois, the North has "always depended on the kindness of strangers" 🇬🇧
You said it, Oraisteach

Well lets hope the South doesnt need a bail out, oh wait  :o

We need a bail out every year MR2.

The DUP are proud of that fact.
When did the UK start funding NI ie when was NI no longer able to fund itself?
It hadquite a strong economy 100 years ago.

Good point but what country doesn't have a deficit now it's the norm especially non EU ones.

But not 27% of GDP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Upthecut on December 11, 2018, 02:00:26 PM
from the start the NI economy had difficulties. Under the GOI Act they had to make an imperial contribution which was about £8 million. This nearly threatened bankruptcy. The Unionist government sought a reduction in this but the British Government was less than sympathetic.
After the war there was a collapse in Industry and this caused a large jump in unemployment. The Unionist government wanted to match the British government's welfare programme but this was a disaster financially. by the end of 1923 the Unemployment fund was insolvent.
In 1925 the Colwyn award was introduced. N.I would make a instead of an imperial contribution, one based on domestic expenditure. this bought some stability but the 1930's created economic problems
The British government also made a financial contribution to the Special Constabulary due to the increased violence. The 'Belfast boycott' also brought economic problems as the south put economic pressure on the north in response to the expulsion of catholic workers from the shipyards.

Not sure if it answers the question but it suggests from the start that there were economic problems in the north from the start.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 11, 2018, 03:48:24 PM
Quote from: Upthecut on December 11, 2018, 02:00:26 PM
from the start the NI economy had difficulties. Under the GOI Act they had to make an imperial contribution which was about £8 million. This nearly threatened bankruptcy. The Unionist government sought a reduction in this but the British Government was less than sympathetic.
After the war there was a collapse in Industry and this caused a large jump in unemployment. The Unionist government wanted to match the British government's welfare programme but this was a disaster financially. by the end of 1923 the Unemployment fund was insolvent.
In 1925 the Colwyn award was introduced. N.I would make a instead of an imperial contribution, one based on domestic expenditure. this bought some stability but the 1930's created economic problems
The British government also made a financial contribution to the Special Constabulary due to the increased violence. The 'Belfast boycott' also brought economic problems as the south put economic pressure on the north in response to the expulsion of catholic workers from the shipyards.

Not sure if it answers the question but it suggests from the start that there were economic problems in the north from the start.
Thanks

NI is too small to be viable imo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 11, 2018, 03:54:57 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on December 11, 2018, 12:52:08 PM
Would be quite confident of EU funding in the event of a British withdrawal. The civil service to private sector employment ratio has to be addressed for sure but corporate tax rates aligned with the rest of Ireland could be huge for international investment.

Just worth pointing out - Belfast would be the only place in Europe Airbus would be guaranteed could design and build tariff free modern aircraft wings - Filton and Broughton would have to cross the borders.

That is worth probably in the region of up to €10-15 Billion per year in revenue. A reasonable expectation might be to capture half that in 30 years time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 11, 2018, 04:08:59 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 11, 2018, 03:54:57 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on December 11, 2018, 12:52:08 PM
Would be quite confident of EU funding in the event of a British withdrawal. The civil service to private sector employment ratio has to be addressed for sure but corporate tax rates aligned with the rest of Ireland could be huge for international investment.

Just worth pointing out - Belfast would be the only place in Europe Airbus would be guaranteed could design and build tariff free modern aircraft wings - Filton and Broughton would have to cross the borders.

That is worth probably in the region of up to €10-15 Billion per year in revenue. A reasonable expectation might be to capture half that in 30 years time.

"Wow" and that's only the aerospace sector, if we consider the possibilities across the whole business spectrum its very exciting.  I feel the north has great Human Resources and work ethic to take advantage of the opportunities that come with low Corp tax.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 11, 2018, 06:31:20 PM
Well, that would have been a good result from the deal the DUP (and their East Belfast representative Gavin Robinson) turned down.
Title: Just a thought for the craic...
Post by: rrhf on December 11, 2018, 07:19:33 PM
Just say for example the DUP having reached the understanding over the last few years that a new Ireland is inevitable through the gfa and were being hard balled behind the scenes in Britain....had began to pursuing another strategy altogether, an independent financially viable place /federacy of Ireland called NI with a happy Irish/ British population and economic sustainability and prosperity bankrolled by Eu and beautiful parachute payments from Britain.  Having brought Britain to the brink of ungovernability and Brought it's prominence and importance to Europe... have they played a stormer or what.. in that crazy scenario....now with Britain and Europe on the brink...time to do its own deals and release the clamps and
Let the big fish off the hook...ching ching...next 6 weeks should be interesting...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on December 11, 2018, 07:22:36 PM
By the way where in hells blazes are SF, unless they are in bed with Leo and Coveney and have agreed to keep their heads down??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 11, 2018, 08:33:35 PM
Quote from: rrhf on December 11, 2018, 07:22:36 PM
By the way where in hells blazes are SF, unless they are in bed with Leo and Coveney and have agreed to keep their heads down??

Mary Lou was mouthing off in the Dail today. Leo put her in her place. It's a time for diplomacy not for SF trying to jam a Unification vote into the proceedings.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 11, 2018, 10:39:48 PM
Tories about to knife Tessie? 48 letters in apparently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 11, 2018, 11:12:48 PM
Quote from: rrhf on December 11, 2018, 07:22:36 PM
By the way where in hells blazes are SF, unless they are in bed with Leo and Coveney and have agreed to keep their heads down??

Why would they get involved... the Brits and the DUP are tearing their 'precious Union' apart in front of our very eyes ... don't disturb your enemy when they're f**king it up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on December 12, 2018, 07:45:26 AM
Tory leadership contest triggered. Ireland trip potentially off. "Clusterfuck" doesn't come close to describing all of this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 12, 2018, 07:46:39 AM
Jesus imagine boris got leadership :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on December 12, 2018, 08:07:02 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 11, 2018, 06:31:20 PM
Well, that would have been a good result from the deal the DUP (and their East Belfast representative Gavin Robinson) turned down.

Was May hinting at a NI only referendum on the backstop yesterday, perhaps a shot across the DUP bows.

"People live their lives crossing and re-crossing (the border) every day..... If this House cares about preserving our Union , it must listen to these people  - because our Union will only endure with their consent"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 08:52:57 AM
I don't think they have the votes to oust her . . . if they do the chaos will be worse than it is now!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: brokencrossbar1 on December 12, 2018, 09:15:21 AM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 08:52:57 AM
I don't think they have the votes to oust her . . . if they do the chaos will be worse than it is now!!!

They might not have the votes but if they get 120-130 then her position becomes nearly untenable.  The reality is if there is a leadership contest then we are scarily looking at a No Deal and a hard border.  Will be the end of January before there's a new PM in and that gives you 8 weeks to get the deal done before the 29th March.  Really difficult to see that happening
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 12, 2018, 09:16:27 AM
So just to be clear this is a confidence vote in the leadership of the Conservative party. It is not a Leadership election.... yet.

She very may win it. Leaving her immune from another challenge until next year. I think she'll agree to go after Brexit, it won't be enough, she can't carry the DUP, Gov falls GE. Then who knows.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dunsilly King on December 12, 2018, 09:36:47 AM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on November 23, 2018, 01:54:19 PM
Listened to Radio Ulster for a few minutes this morning and there was a business man (Stephen Chestnutt ?) who rang in who supported "No Deal".  He was asked, as a businessman, why he supported a No Deal.

His answer was:
"Because the DUP are telling me to.  As our only elected representatives I trust them to tell me the truth.  They will have our best interests at heart".

I honestly couldn't believe it.  I think in excel that would be known as a "circular reference".

that is quite unbelievable, couldn't be that stupid, where has he been living rhi etc etc etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 12, 2018, 09:39:31 AM
He has 3 boilers installed  ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 12, 2018, 10:57:41 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 11, 2018, 10:39:48 PM
Tories about to knife Tessie? 48 letters in apparently.

Err..when I said 'knife' I kinda meant using one of them plastic knives that they give you at a takeaway, the sort that shatter whenever you hit a tougher bit of chicken or cod. Looks as if the Tory 'hard right' are going to get a good routing in this. PPs has Tessie at 2/7 to survive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on December 12, 2018, 11:03:41 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 12, 2018, 10:57:41 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 11, 2018, 10:39:48 PM
Tories about to knife Tessie? 48 letters in apparently.

Err..when I said 'knife' I kinda meant using one of them plastic knives that they give you at a takeaway, the sort that shatter whenever you hit a tougher bit of chicken or cod. Looks as if the Tory 'hard right' are going to get a good routing in this. PPs has Tessie at 2/7 to survive.

Have been keeping an eye on the odds, started at 1/4,  lengthened to 1/2, then 2/7, 1/8 and back to 1/3 now.

She has 100+ MPs out in support so I'd have thought she's as good as home
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 12, 2018, 11:07:43 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 12, 2018, 09:39:31 AM
He has 3 boilers installed  ;D ;D ;D

About to say that ;D At least lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 12, 2018, 11:30:33 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on December 12, 2018, 09:39:31 AM
He has 3 boilers installed  ;D ;D ;D
Must be in his brain!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on December 12, 2018, 11:47:58 AM
Quote from: brokencrossbar1 on December 12, 2018, 09:15:21 AM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 08:52:57 AM
I don't think they have the votes to oust her . . . if they do the chaos will be worse than it is now!!!

They might not have the votes but if they get 120-130 then her position becomes nearly untenable.  The reality is if there is a leadership contest then we are scarily looking at a No Deal and a hard border.  Will be the end of January before there's a new PM in and that gives you 8 weeks to get the deal done before the 29th March.  Really difficult to see that happening

Does parliament have to vote for a no deal Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on December 12, 2018, 12:33:30 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on December 12, 2018, 11:03:41 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 12, 2018, 10:57:41 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 11, 2018, 10:39:48 PM
Tories about to knife Tessie? 48 letters in apparently.

Err..when I said 'knife' I kinda meant using one of them plastic knives that they give you at a takeaway, the sort that shatter whenever you hit a tougher bit of chicken or cod. Looks as if the Tory 'hard right' are going to get a good routing in this. PPs has Tessie at 2/7 to survive.

Have been keeping an eye on the odds, started at 1/4,  lengthened to 1/2, then 2/7, 1/8 and back to 1/3 now.

She has 100+ MPs out in support so I'd have thought she's as good as home

It is a secret ballot.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 12, 2018, 12:36:54 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on December 12, 2018, 11:03:41 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 12, 2018, 10:57:41 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 11, 2018, 10:39:48 PM
Tories about to knife Tessie? 48 letters in apparently.

Err..when I said 'knife' I kinda meant using one of them plastic knives that they give you at a takeaway, the sort that shatter whenever you hit a tougher bit of chicken or cod. Looks as if the Tory 'hard right' are going to get a good routing in this. PPs has Tessie at 2/7 to survive.

Have been keeping an eye on the odds, started at 1/4,  lengthened to 1/2, then 2/7, 1/8 and back to 1/3 now.

She has 100+ MPs out in support so I'd have thought she's as good as home

You would think so, but it is a secret ballot so nobody will know how each MP has voted. They can say one thing in public yet do another and that is certainly not beyond Tory party members.

I don't understand how a party so divided can still be together after all this. Surely the prospect of a split in the party must be a possibility now or are the Brexiteer fantasists just happy to sit on the ditches and snipe whilst not actually offering anything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 12, 2018, 12:57:49 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on December 12, 2018, 11:47:58 AM
Quote from: brokencrossbar1 on December 12, 2018, 09:15:21 AM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 08:52:57 AM
I don't think they have the votes to oust her . . . if they do the chaos will be worse than it is now!!!

They might not have the votes but if they get 120-130 then her position becomes nearly untenable.  The reality is if there is a leadership contest then we are scarily looking at a No Deal and a hard border.  Will be the end of January before there's a new PM in and that gives you 8 weeks to get the deal done before the 29th March.  Really difficult to see that happening

Does parliament have to vote for a no deal Brexit?

Not necessarily. As in if we reach 29th March 2019 with no withdrawal deal then essentially that will be a disorderly no deal exit. However Parliament could vote to avoid this either by agreeing to May's deal, another version of it or by asking the EU to extend Article 50 which is what I would bet on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 12, 2018, 01:30:51 PM
Did you ever see a more pitiful performance from the Leader of the opposition. The PM, is wounded, lying prone in front of you and all you he had to do was kill her off. Just offer a genuine alternative. But no, he was as weak as piss. Utterly useless. Never mind TM it's time he fucked off as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 12, 2018, 01:41:37 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 12, 2018, 01:30:51 PM
Did you ever see a more pitiful performance from the Leader of the opposition. The PM, is wounded, lying prone in front of you and all you he had to do was kill her off. Just offer a genuine alternative. But no, he was as weak as piss. Utterly useless. Never mind TM it's time he fucked off as well.

Completely agree, just watched parliament today and he's offering no logical alternative. Never thought I would see a Labour leader behaving like a Dupper.  The whole thing is like a political alternative to the Jeremy Kyle show, only difference is Kyle's quests come across more classy.
Europe must be laughing it's nuts off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on December 12, 2018, 01:53:57 PM
She took the p1ss out of him and the labour party and made them look like complete prats. His performance today was useless, she was let off bigtime.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on December 12, 2018, 01:55:49 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on December 12, 2018, 01:41:37 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 12, 2018, 01:30:51 PM
Did you ever see a more pitiful performance from the Leader of the opposition. The PM, is wounded, lying prone in front of you and all you he had to do was kill her off. Just offer a genuine alternative. But no, he was as weak as piss. Utterly useless. Never mind TM it's time he fucked off as well.

Completely agree, just watched parliament today and he's offering no logical alternative. Never thought I would see a Labour leader behaving like a Dupper.  The whole thing is like a political alternative to the Jeremy Kyle show, only difference is Kyle's quests come across more classy.
Europe must be laughing it's nuts off.

Corbyn is well known for his Euro-sceptic views so it should be no surprise that he has no alternative as he would like to see them crash out of the EU.

All the Corbynites saying he would have negotiated a better deal, if his performances throughout the referendum campaign and in parliament are anything to go by then I very much doubt he is capable of finding his way to Brussels never mind doing anything different when or if he got there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on December 12, 2018, 02:29:05 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on December 12, 2018, 11:47:58 AM
Quote from: brokencrossbar1 on December 12, 2018, 09:15:21 AM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 08:52:57 AM
I don't think they have the votes to oust her . . . if they do the chaos will be worse than it is now!!!

They might not have the votes but if they get 120-130 then her position becomes nearly untenable.  The reality is if there is a leadership contest then we are scarily looking at a No Deal and a hard border.  Will be the end of January before there's a new PM in and that gives you 8 weeks to get the deal done before the 29th March.  Really difficult to see that happening

Does parliament have to vote for a no deal Brexit?

No, it is the default option. The UK hits the iceberg on the 29th March. The Tories are quibbling about whether to lower the lifebelts or not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 12, 2018, 03:09:20 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

Wait until all these immigrants come into Dublin and board the bus to belfast and then the boat to Liverpool and beyond.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 12, 2018, 03:30:36 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

Describe a technical border to me
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on December 12, 2018, 03:37:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

You're listening to kate hoey and david davis a bit too much ie idiots. If it's a hard brexit or no deal there will definitely be a hard border with infrastructure. There's no way of avoiding it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 12, 2018, 03:43:42 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 12, 2018, 01:30:51 PM
Did you ever see a more pitiful performance from the Leader of the opposition. The PM, is wounded, lying prone in front of you and all you he had to do was kill her off. Just offer a genuine alternative. But no, he was as weak as piss. Utterly useless. Never mind TM it's time he fucked off as well.

Yep - after the courtesy of the first question being fairly mild and her attack on him he should have went for jugular.
Any number of the following would do:


1. Project Fear II from Theresa - she has no plan so tries to frighten the electorate into not voting for the alternative.
2. She has no "progress" to show from her discussions. Yesterday she was busy rearranging deckchairs on the Titanic, today the rest of the crew have thrown her overboard in a dodgy lifeboat and she has had to grab a bucket and start to bail.
3. Businesses are screaming out for clarity - but the self-proclaimed "party of business" under self-proclaimed "strong and steady" leadership are providing confusion, rather than clarity. Will she accept personal responsibility for the jobs being lost, the standards of living decreasing and the financial problems people are experiencing because she wants to play inter-Tory political games?
4. Is the former Home Secretary that wanted to make the country a "hostile environment" for foreigners really surprised that she is not getting much out of negotiations with foreigners?
5. How does she expect to reconcile the legal fact that this house has a binding constitutional framework in the GFA that demands an open border in Ireland with her desire to have no customs union? The two are mutually exclusive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on December 12, 2018, 03:56:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 12, 2018, 03:09:20 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

Wait until all these immigrants come into Dublin and board the bus to belfast and then the boat to Liverpool and beyond.

Or the WTO suspend them for breaching their rules.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on December 12, 2018, 04:17:47 PM
I'd just love to know what the geniuses on here would think Corbyn can do. Or should do. His opponents are tearing themselves apart over an issue created by them for no good reason. Should he risk the exact same thing happening to his own party by coming up with a plan that he cannot implement at present as he's in opposition? I don't understand the logic here. Labour need to get back into power. Things will be better for everyone bar the Boris Johnson/Jacob Rees Mogg brigade when this happens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on December 12, 2018, 04:20:03 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on December 12, 2018, 04:17:47 PM
I'd just love to know what the geniuses on here would think Corbyn can do. Or should do. His opponents are tearing themselves apart over an issue created by them for no good reason. Should he risk the exact same thing happening to his own party by coming up with a plan that he cannot implement at present as he's in opposition? I don't understand the logic here. Labour need to get back into power. Things will be better for everyone bar the Boris Johnson/Jacob Rees Mogg brigade when this happens.

Even with the Tories tearing themselves apart MS I still have my doubts that Corbyn would deliver the Labour party No. 10 if an election is called.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on December 12, 2018, 04:56:41 PM
The best description of the current events I've read so far:

"The Tories are like a toddler who in order to distract everyone from the fact it has pissed itself, has decided to shit itself."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 05:04:30 PM
Quote from: lenny on December 12, 2018, 03:37:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

You're listening to kate hoey and david davis a bit too much ie idiots. If it's a hard brexit or no deal there will definitely be a hard border with infrastructure. There's no way of avoiding it.
Who is going to build it when both sides have clearly said it can't or won't happen? A solution will be found if and when the actual problem presents itself. It's as likely as Trump's Mexican wall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on December 12, 2018, 05:40:17 PM
Apparently May has told the 1922 Committee that she will not lead the Tories into the next election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on December 12, 2018, 06:13:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 05:04:30 PM
Quote from: lenny on December 12, 2018, 03:37:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

You're listening to kate hoey and david davis a bit too much ie idiots. If it's a hard brexit or no deal there will definitely be a hard border with infrastructure. There's no way of avoiding it.
Who is going to build it when both sides have clearly said it can't or won't happen? A solution will be found if and when the actual problem presents itself. It's as likely as Trump's Mexican wall.

lol, you're very naive. Why do you think there's a backstop at all then? It's there to prevent a hard border which the people at the coal face of the negotiations knew would be inevitable if there was jo agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on December 12, 2018, 06:47:02 PM
Benny,
I posted this 2 days ago.  This is why we would have to have a hard border (even if everyone says they don't want one):

Here is a little scenario that clearly sets this out.

Let's pretend that the UK (inc NI) leaves the Customs Union as they want to strike even better trade deals around the world; this after all was one of the drivers towards Brexit.

The UK enter into a Free Trade Agreement with Orangestan (a country somewhere far beyond the EU).  In this FTA the UK can export stuff tariff free to Orangestan and Orangestan can export their oranges tariff free to the UK; again this is the Holy Grail of Brexit.

Compare this with the EU, who has an import tariff of 10 pence on each orange imported from Orangestan.  So the Brexiteers were correct; they were able to negotiate better trade deals with Orangestan than the EU were able to.

Orangestan can deliver their oranges either to the port of Belfast or Dublin and the price, before duties, is £1 (Orangestan like sterling so they sell in GBP to all customers across the world!).
The price that Northern Ireland fruit wholesalers pay for the oranges are £1, while the price that the ROI fruit wholesales pay is £1.10. The 10 pence difference is due to the differential in tariffs.

Imagine there is no border.

What do we think will happen?

The oranges from Northern Ireland are likely to find their way over the border into the ROI because the NI oranges could be sold in the ROI at £1.05.  This gives a profit to the people who had access to NI oranges, whilst at the same time ensuring that the ROI customer is making a saving on the price of the official duty paid product.
The greengrocers in Monaghan, Cavan and Donegal will see a reduction in their orange sales due to the inevitable smuggling of oranges.  Soon the Northern Irish oranges find their way further south and this smuggling issue gets Leo Varadkar's attention.

The ROI greengrocers are up in arms because their orange sales have disappeared and import duties are not being properly assessed and paid over.

The Irish Government is faced with no choice, they have to install a manned border so that they can stop the orange smuggling route so that the Irish greengrocers can continue to make their living.

I appreciate that the above story may seem simplistic, but understanding this makes it very clear that the UK government is going to find it very difficult to actually get any sort of Brexit deal approved as Northern Ireland is such a burden on GB's desire to be free of the EU.

So think of this when we hear politicians saying that we need to negotiate a better deal with no NI backstop.  It is just not possible; unless NI remains forever in the Customs Union - and it's difficult to see the British Parliament voting for that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on December 12, 2018, 09:06:47 PM
She survives again

(https://metrouk2.files.wordpress.com/2018/10/mayabba-9566.gif)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
Quote from: hardstation on December 12, 2018, 09:08:48 PM
Quote from: Gabriel_Hurl on December 12, 2018, 09:06:47 PM
She survives again

(https://metrouk2.files.wordpress.com/2018/10/mayabba-9566.gif)
That's far from a win.

Nothings a f**king win the whole thing is a shitshow... peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 12, 2018, 09:15:17 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on December 12, 2018, 04:17:47 PM
I'd just love to know what the geniuses on here would think Corbyn can do. Or should do. His opponents are tearing themselves apart over an issue created by them for no good reason. Should he risk the exact same thing happening to his own party by coming up with a plan that he cannot implement at present as he's in opposition? I don't understand the logic here. Labour need to get back into power. Things will be better for everyone bar the Boris Johnson/Jacob Rees Mogg brigade when this happens.

The opposition is supposed to be a Government in waiting. Thon front bench is a disgrace. They have no clear deliverable vision on Brexit. Their view should be a peoples vote, but Corbyn is that much of a left wing looney he won't support that. Abbott, McDonnell et al are un-electable as a Government.
What should Corbyn do? Lead or leave!

May limps on. Nothing changes. No support for the deal. A GE is highly unlikely, a 2nd referendum seems to be the only way forward. Hopefully Labour get their act together if that's the case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 12, 2018, 09:43:39 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on December 12, 2018, 04:17:47 PM
I'd just love to know what the geniuses on here would think Corbyn can do. Or should do. His opponents are tearing themselves apart over an issue created by them for no good reason. Should he risk the exact same thing happening to his own party by coming up with a plan that he cannot implement at present as he's in opposition? I don't understand the logic here. Labour need to get back into power. Things will be better for everyone bar the Boris Johnson/Jacob Rees Mogg brigade when this happens.
Corbyn's plan is completely unimplementable.

And I say that as somebody who was very enthusiastic about his general left-wing agenda.

But his Brexit strategy is pure unicorns in the sky stuff.

He's worse than May on the issue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 12, 2018, 09:47:18 PM
Agreed on corbyn sid.

While may is useless i had real fears either mogg or johnston could get power. I think they would be an absolute disaster for this place both economically and in terms of peace.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Over the Bar on December 12, 2018, 10:08:01 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 12, 2018, 09:47:18 PM
Agreed on corbyn sid.

While may is useless i had real fears either mogg or johnston could get power. I think they would be an absolute disaster for this place both economically and in terms of peace.

Neither Rees-Mogg or Fuckwit Boris would win a leadership vote. 2 stalking-horses who back in the day after a failed challenge would now be on their way to the Tower to get disemboweled.  May is weak but has more support that either of those two racist fantasy-boys.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 12, 2018, 10:26:02 PM
Quote from: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.
It is.

It should never, ever have been held.

But conversely, another one is the only real chance of getting out of the mess caused by the first one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 12, 2018, 11:01:48 PM
Quote from: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.

What got us into this mess is successive British governments screwing over successive generations in Britain. So, really it's the British governments fault.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 12:01:14 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 12, 2018, 11:01:48 PM
Quote from: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.

Who voted for the governments?

What got us into this mess is successive British governments screwing over successive generations in Britain. So, really it's the British governments fault.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 13, 2018, 06:53:03 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 12, 2018, 10:26:02 PM
Quote from: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.
It is.

It should never, ever have been held.

But conversely, another one is the only real chance of getting out of the mess caused by the first one.

The ref vote was about an idea with no detail and it was supported enthusiastically by most of post industrial N and Mid England.
These people have been shafted for over a generation.

The UK can have a people's vote but unless it deals with the despair behind the leave vote the chaos will continue

A popular vote won't put the genie back in the bottle

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1071013456948707328
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 08:54:59 AM
Quote from: lenny on December 12, 2018, 06:13:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 05:04:30 PM
Quote from: lenny on December 12, 2018, 03:37:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

You're listening to kate hoey and david davis a bit too much ie idiots. If it's a hard brexit or no deal there will definitely be a hard border with infrastructure. There's no way of avoiding it.
Who is going to build it when both sides have clearly said it can't or won't happen? A solution will be found if and when the actual problem presents itself. It's as likely as Trump's Mexican wall.

lol, you're very naive. Why do you think there's a backstop at all then? It's there to prevent a hard border which the people at the coal face of the negotiations knew would be inevitable if there was jo agreement.
What do people think when they hear Hard Border? Brits lining the roads in South Armagh, Aughnacloy, Strabane/Lifford. That's the Bogeyman being raised, different customs regimes doesn't necessarily mean Soldiers manning borders - Ports & Airports a different kettle of fish, but there's already processes in place there. Technical solutions will be found (if required) for goods & services if they are not already there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: guy crouchback on December 13, 2018, 09:22:43 AM
the argument goes that a permanent customs post only has no cop/solider until the fist hard man takes a pot shot at one some night.
from there we escalate to armed customs posts to protect the customs officers.

even if there are no customs posts per se only cameras on poles the same thing happens when the cameras start getting destroyed now you need a cop/solider to mind the camera
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 13, 2018, 09:57:43 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 12:01:14 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 12, 2018, 11:01:48 PM
Quote from: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.

Who voted for the governments?

What got us into this mess is successive British governments screwing over successive generations in Britain. So, really it's the British governments fault.

Voting for one squad of toffs or another? Hardly a great choice. It matters little in the great scheme of things. People probably felt with a referendum they could really have their say, unlike a general election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 10:19:17 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.
Quote from: haranguerer on December 12, 2018, 03:30:36 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

Describe a technical border to me

Still waiting benny
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 10:36:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.

What world is that your in?

So how do you stop cattle being smuggled across the border on the back of a lorry?

Cattle raised in (say) Armagh taken across to (say) Monaghan - retagged as local cattle and put into the EU food chain.

Are Customs gonna have helicopters and drones watching every farmyard and tracing lorries that drive up and down the road with proverbial SWAT teams cruising around in white transit vans ready to swoop and catch everyone loading/unloading the livestock?

If they ask the farmer after the event - "Ah, just buying a rake of straw bales from a man up the road - no import duty on straw bales there fella".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: brokencrossbar1 on December 13, 2018, 10:44:28 AM
The harder the border the higher the 'duty' on the old black market.... i know men praying for it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 11:02:37 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 10:36:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.

What world is that your in?

So how do you stop cattle being smuggled across the border on the back of a lorry?

Cattle raised in (say) Armagh taken across to (say) Monaghan - retagged as local cattle and put into the EU food chain.

Are Customs gonna have helicopters and drones watching every farmyard and tracing lorries that drive up and down the road with proverbial SWAT teams cruising around in white transit vans ready to swoop and catch everyone loading/unloading the livestock?

If they ask the farmer after the event - "Ah, just buying a rake of straw bales from a man up the road - no import duty on straw bales there fella".

I think you have things the wrong way around there, in this day and age some DNA testing of cattle might be capable of identifying animals brought for slaughter in legitimate plants. The import of straw into the  EU would require an inspection though.

As for import duty, the British loonies are proposing to abolish all import duty, which the EU would not reciprocate. The place would quickly be flooded with South American beef etc and UK farmers would be banjaxed. None of this makes sense, but no deal doesn't make sense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 11:12:53 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 10:19:17 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.
Quote from: haranguerer on December 12, 2018, 03:30:36 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

Describe a technical border to me

Still waiting benny
Ah ffs, I'm making this exact point in other interactions, can you not just read them. No physical border infrastructure (Brits manning posts), technical solutions to differing customs regimes executed away from actual border areas.  These ideas (& alleged solutions found) are being discussed daily by the Brexiteers and like it's not as though them boys don't know what they're talking about ??? :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 13, 2018, 11:18:41 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 10:36:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.

What world is that your in?

So how do you stop cattle being smuggled across the border on the back of a lorry?

Cattle raised in (say) Armagh taken across to (say) Monaghan - retagged as local cattle and put into the EU food chain.

Are Customs gonna have helicopters and drones watching every farmyard and tracing lorries that drive up and down the road with proverbial SWAT teams cruising around in white transit vans ready to swoop and catch everyone loading/unloading the livestock?

If they ask the farmer after the event - "Ah, just buying a rake of straw bales from a man up the road - no import duty on straw bales there fella".

This is an issue already that is dealt with. Smuggling of livestock is very difficult even with no border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 11:20:25 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 11:12:53 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 10:19:17 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.
Quote from: haranguerer on December 12, 2018, 03:30:36 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

Describe a technical border to me

Still waiting benny
Ah ffs, I'm making this exact point in other interactions, can you not just read them. No physical border infrastructure (Brits manning posts), technical solutions to differing customs regimes executed away from actual border areas.  These ideas (& alleged solutions found) are being discussed daily by the Brexiteers and like it's not as though them boys don't know what they're talking about ??? :P

Ah right. I was just making sure you haven't a clue what you're talking about, thanks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 11:24:07 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 10:36:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.

What world is that your in?

So how do you stop cattle being smuggled across the border on the back of a lorry?

Cattle raised in (say) Armagh taken across to (say) Monaghan - retagged as local cattle and put into the EU food chain.

Are Customs gonna have helicopters and drones watching every farmyard and tracing lorries that drive up and down the road with proverbial SWAT teams cruising around in white transit vans ready to swoop and catch everyone loading/unloading the livestock?

If they ask the farmer after the event - "Ah, just buying a rake of straw bales from a man up the road - no import duty on straw bales there fella".

Not sure how Animals are tracked in the South but there's two issues with that scenario if they follow the same processes as Northern farmers and I think they do.

1- How will the farmer in Armagh explain to local officials where those animals have gone without the proper paperwork?
2- How will the farmer in Monaghan explain to the Abattoir (or whoever if selling on) where the paperwork will be checked and suddenly produce tags for animals out of fresh air.

It probably can be done but isn't as simple as it seems.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 13, 2018, 11:29:00 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 11:24:07 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 10:36:09 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 09:45:08 AM
Sort of missing the point that Customs for goods don't have to be conducted at the border itself at all.

What world is that your in?

So how do you stop cattle being smuggled across the border on the back of a lorry?

Cattle raised in (say) Armagh taken across to (say) Monaghan - retagged as local cattle and put into the EU food chain.

Are Customs gonna have helicopters and drones watching every farmyard and tracing lorries that drive up and down the road with proverbial SWAT teams cruising around in white transit vans ready to swoop and catch everyone loading/unloading the livestock?

If they ask the farmer after the event - "Ah, just buying a rake of straw bales from a man up the road - no import duty on straw bales there fella".

Not sure how Animals are tracked in the South but there's two issues with that scenario if they follow the same processes as Northern farmers and I think they do.

1- How will the farmer in Armagh explain to local officials where those animals have gone without the proper paperwork?
2- How will the farmer in Monaghan explain to the Abattoir (or whoever if selling on) where the paperwork will be checked and suddenly produce tags for animals out of fresh air.

It probably can be done but isn't as simple as it seems.

It's very tricky. You need tags ready to go into the animals. You need a way of writing off the tags out of the original herd. It's doable. It happens, but not on any great scale.
Animals are all tracked the same way. Right across Europe. Why? Because of an EU Directive. So if you go to Romania, Poland, Ireland, Netherlands, Spain France etc,etc,etc they all have ear tags, indicating country of origin, herd number and animal number. Handy the old EU in that instance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 11:30:58 AM
Peston reckons Nige and the DUP are giving Teasie a way out of this impasse;

"Politics is all about words, which only sometimes mean what they seem to say.

So if you took what the DUP leader in Westminster said on my show last night you would think that just maybe there is a route through the current parliamentary chaos for the PM towards a Brexit deal that MPs could approve.

The DUP's Nigel Dodds told me:

"Well I think that the Prime Minister if I may say so maybe is extending a bit of an olive branch to us in the sense that she is now sitting down with us, acknowledging that we have an issue, acknowledging that it's not just an issue we have but many in her party are now saying that she's listening and she's now prepared to go out she says to get those legal changes that are necessary."

The mots justes in what Dodds said are "legal changes".

Following a meeting he had with her, he thinks she will try to secure legally binding changes to the Ireland backstop so that either it does not drive a regulatory wedge between Northern Ireland and Great Britain, or it is strictly time limited or there is a break clause unilaterally exercisable by the UK.

And the PM seemed to confirm that offer when she said last night on the steps of Downing Street that "when I go to the European Council tomorrow I will be seeking legal and political assurances".

How likely is the PM to secure any of that from EU leaders in Brussels, where she (and I) are heading today?

The answer is that if Dodds and his colleagues continue to be purists about all of this, there is not the remotest chance. Because, as Dodds has previously said to me, only changes to the so-called Withdrawal Agreement would deliver absolute legal certainty. And the draft conclusions to the EU Council where May is a supplicant already say the Withdrawal Agreement will not be altered.

So the question is whether after EU27 leaders sign up to some kind of codicil or addendum that says the backstop cannot be forever, which they will do, and when there is an accompanying opinion that the addendum has legal significance, which again there will be, Dodds and his colleagues suddenly announce they have achieved a great victory.

Will they - to avert a total impasse that could lead to a brutally hard Brexit, or no Brexit or a general election - pander at last to a constructive ambiguity for which the EU is rightly and widely celebrated?

Or will they continue to shout that the union of Northern Ireland and Great Britain is being betrayed?

For Theresa May pretty much everything hinges on how and where Dodds and the overall leader of his party Arlene Foster jump - especially after 117 of May's MP colleagues voted yesterday to get rid of her.

The reason is that the DUP's opposition to her Brexit plan provides cover and substantial justification for Tory Brexiter MPs who also hate the plan.

If the DUP is brought round, the PM won't be home and dry. But the idea of some version of her Brexit plan EVENTUALLY being approved by MPs would not be as laughably absurd as it seemed only yesterday.

To be clear, I am not saying that today in Brussels the PM will get a concession from EU leaders that solves all her problems. But what she is attempting is no longer Mission Impossible, even if it remains Mission Improbable."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on December 13, 2018, 11:51:43 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 11:30:58 AM
Peston reckons Nige and the DUP are giving Teasie a way out of this impasse;

"Politics is all about words, which only sometimes mean what they seem to say.

So if you took what the DUP leader in Westminster said on my show last night you would think that just maybe there is a route through the current parliamentary chaos for the PM towards a Brexit deal that MPs could approve.

The DUP's Nigel Dodds told me:

"Well I think that the Prime Minister if I may say so maybe is extending a bit of an olive branch to us in the sense that she is now sitting down with us, acknowledging that we have an issue, acknowledging that it's not just an issue we have but many in her party are now saying that she's listening and she's now prepared to go out she says to get those legal changes that are necessary."

The mots justes in what Dodds said are "legal changes".

Following a meeting he had with her, he thinks she will try to secure legally binding changes to the Ireland backstop so that either it does not drive a regulatory wedge between Northern Ireland and Great Britain, or it is strictly time limited or there is a break clause unilaterally exercisable by the UK.

And the PM seemed to confirm that offer when she said last night on the steps of Downing Street that "when I go to the European Council tomorrow I will be seeking legal and political assurances".

How likely is the PM to secure any of that from EU leaders in Brussels, where she (and I) are heading today?

The answer is that if Dodds and his colleagues continue to be purists about all of this, there is not the remotest chance. Because, as Dodds has previously said to me, only changes to the so-called Withdrawal Agreement would deliver absolute legal certainty. And the draft conclusions to the EU Council where May is a supplicant already say the Withdrawal Agreement will not be altered.

So the question is whether after EU27 leaders sign up to some kind of codicil or addendum that says the backstop cannot be forever, which they will do, and when there is an accompanying opinion that the addendum has legal significance, which again there will be, Dodds and his colleagues suddenly announce they have achieved a great victory.

Will they - to avert a total impasse that could lead to a brutally hard Brexit, or no Brexit or a general election - pander at last to a constructive ambiguity for which the EU is rightly and widely celebrated?

Or will they continue to shout that the union of Northern Ireland and Great Britain is being betrayed?

For Theresa May pretty much everything hinges on how and where Dodds and the overall leader of his party Arlene Foster jump - especially after 117 of May's MP colleagues voted yesterday to get rid of her.

The reason is that the DUP's opposition to her Brexit plan provides cover and substantial justification for Tory Brexiter MPs who also hate the plan.

If the DUP is brought round, the PM won't be home and dry. But the idea of some version of her Brexit plan EVENTUALLY being approved by MPs would not be as laughably absurd as it seemed only yesterday.

To be clear, I am not saying that today in Brussels the PM will get a concession from EU leaders that solves all her problems. But what she is attempting is no longer Mission Impossible, even if it remains Mission Improbable."

It's the DUP so for all their dogmatic totalitarianism they have a price and can be bought. A holiday in the Maldives might not swing it and if something does go down we might not know about it but I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple of the older ones like Dodds caving in and ending up in the House of Lords. The only thing holding this up is the in house bitching of the opposition for political gain at the expense of the best achievable deal.
I read this morning that FF in the south has delayed any calls for an election due to the current Brexit negotiations and the extra turmoil it might induce. The southern government and the opposition has made Westminster look like very immature during this whole process.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on December 13, 2018, 11:54:27 AM
A one-stop-shop for Brexit and border analysis.

https://twitter.com/hayward_katy/status/1070425494544363528?s=21
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 13, 2018, 11:57:30 AM
Westminster has done a good job of appearing immature all by themselves ;D
As one Scottish MP put it " a farcical day in Westminster ended with a woman with a sword chasing after a man who stole a stick".
And some want the Shinners to sit among more than 600 eejits there :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 11:58:29 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 11:24:07 AM
It probably can be done but isn't as simple as it seems.

OK - replace cattle with veal and have another go. Fairly easy for the animal to never have existed on one side of the border and twins to be on the other side.

Unless the authorities go for expensive DNA testing then without stopping the transfer between farms or from farm to slaughterhouse then they'll have difficulty proving much.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 13, 2018, 12:25:10 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 11:58:29 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 11:24:07 AM
It probably can be done but isn't as simple as it seems.

OK - replace cattle with veal and have another go. Fairly easy for the animal to never have existed on one side of the border and twins to be on the other side.

Unless the authorities go for expensive DNA testing then without stopping the transfer between farms or from farm to slaughterhouse then they'll have difficulty proving much.

I understand the point you're trying to make, but the livestock example isn't the correct one.
Milk would be a better example. With the introduction of tariffs in the event of WTO exit I could see this product being smuggled.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 12:27:54 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 13, 2018, 06:53:03 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 12, 2018, 10:26:02 PM
Quote from: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.
It is.

It should never, ever have been held.

But conversely, another one is the only real chance of getting out of the mess caused by the first one.

The ref vote was about an idea with no detail and it was supported enthusiastically by most of post industrial N and Mid England.
These people have been shafted for over a generation.

The UK can have a people's vote but unless it deals with the despair behind the leave vote the chaos will continue

A popular vote won't put the genie back in the bottle

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1071013456948707328
It won't but it at least offers a way out of the mess.

What else does?

The genie should never have been let out of the bottle.

The UK system is inherently unsuited to referendums, especially a referendum between the status quo and unicorns in the sky.

To be honest, the UK electoral system is a total shambles. First past the post and single seat constituencies are an abomination. The UK political system is scarily similar to the US system in that first past the post leads to polarisation. It dismisses nuance and dismisses a large swathe of public opinion by offering only a binary choice.

What has happened in the Tory party is very similar to what has happened in the US Republican party. The lunatics have taken over the asylum. That would likely not have happened in a PR system as the lunatics would have been in a different party.

For all its faults, the Irish electoral system is far superior.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 13, 2018, 01:07:50 PM
Our lunatics keep setting up new parties which usually vanish after few years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on December 13, 2018, 02:02:33 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 12:27:54 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 13, 2018, 06:53:03 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 12, 2018, 10:26:02 PM
Quote from: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.
It is.

It should never, ever have been held.

But conversely, another one is the only real chance of getting out of the mess caused by the first one.

The ref vote was about an idea with no detail and it was supported enthusiastically by most of post industrial N and Mid England.
These people have been shafted for over a generation.

The UK can have a people's vote but unless it deals with the despair behind the leave vote the chaos will continue

A popular vote won't put the genie back in the bottle

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1071013456948707328
It won't but it at least offers a way out of the mess.

What else does?

The genie should never have been let out of the bottle.

The UK system is inherently unsuited to referendums, especially a referendum between the status quo and unicorns in the sky.

To be honest, the UK electoral system is a total shambles. First past the post and single seat constituencies are an abomination. The UK political system is scarily similar to the US system in that first past the post leads to polarisation. It dismisses nuance and dismisses a large swathe of public opinion by offering only a binary choice.

What has happened in the Tory party is very similar to what has happened in the US Republican party. The lunatics have taken over the asylum. That would likely not have happened in a PR system as the lunatics would have been in a different party.

For all its faults, the Irish electoral system is far superior.

The main advantage of the FPTP system is to keep the likes of the BNP out of the commons but when you have Tories then happily going into power with the DUP and all their baggage it makes you wonder.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 03:22:18 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 13, 2018, 12:25:10 PM
I understand the point you're trying to make, but the livestock example isn't the correct one.
Milk would be a better example. With the introduction of tariffs in the event of WTO exit I could see this product being smuggled.

Yep - milk is a better example - no way to DNA test it. Completely untraceable.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:32:02 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on December 13, 2018, 02:02:33 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 12:27:54 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 13, 2018, 06:53:03 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 12, 2018, 10:26:02 PM
Quote from: dec on December 12, 2018, 09:46:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 12, 2018, 09:10:59 PM
peoples vote is the only way to get a consensus on this!

There was a peoples vote.

That's what got us into this mess in the first place.
It is.

It should never, ever have been held.

But conversely, another one is the only real chance of getting out of the mess caused by the first one.

The ref vote was about an idea with no detail and it was supported enthusiastically by most of post industrial N and Mid England.
These people have been shafted for over a generation.

The UK can have a people's vote but unless it deals with the despair behind the leave vote the chaos will continue

A popular vote won't put the genie back in the bottle

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1071013456948707328
It won't but it at least offers a way out of the mess.

What else does?

The genie should never have been let out of the bottle.

The UK system is inherently unsuited to referendums, especially a referendum between the status quo and unicorns in the sky.

To be honest, the UK electoral system is a total shambles. First past the post and single seat constituencies are an abomination. The UK political system is scarily similar to the US system in that first past the post leads to polarisation. It dismisses nuance and dismisses a large swathe of public opinion by offering only a binary choice.

What has happened in the Tory party is very similar to what has happened in the US Republican party. The lunatics have taken over the asylum. That would likely not have happened in a PR system as the lunatics would have been in a different party.

For all its faults, the Irish electoral system is far superior.

The main advantage of the FPTP system is to keep the likes of the BNP out of the commons but when you have Tories then happily going into power with the DUP and all their baggage it makes you wonder.

The first past the post system has let the anti-Europe crazies set the agenda in the Tory party for the last 30 years.

With PR, they'd have been marginalised.

The UK does not have a written constitution. Parliament has always been where things are decided. Therefore any referendums are not constitutional, they are only advisory. The introduction of referendums created a parallel system for decision making which is in conflict with parliament. One of the few people to actually recognise this and warn against it was Margaret Thatcher.

Ireland has a written constitution. Our referendums are always constitutional, we've never held one that wasn't constitutional. The questions and competing outcomes are always defined. We know how to hold referendums.

Britain held an advisory, non-constitutional referendum on a question where one outcome was completely undefined and pie in the sky.

Why? Because David Cameron appeased the crazies in order to get a majority for himself in parliament. He gambled in the most irresponsible fashion with the futures of the people of Britain.

I don't rate May as Prime Minister. But hapless and incompetent as she may be, she's nowhere near Cameron on the list of worst Prime Ministers of all time.

There's a special dunce's corner in history reserved for Cameron.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 03:44:08 PM
Rubbish.

It may sound glib, but who are the loyalists going to fight? And to what end? Once we get to the stage where it has been passed, unionists will be well looked after, you can guarantee that.

And of course, 51/49 in the north would actually be 85/15 overall (those opposed in the south are extremely unlikely to be strongly and/or militantly so, so their 'against' votes aren't important in the context of your forecast bloodshed)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 03:45:14 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

How so?

We've have "democracy" rammed down our throats by Unionists for almost 100 years, are you suggesting that they would change stance on democracy if it didn't work out in their favour?
50% +1 will do me BUT we cannot allow bigotry and sectarianism of any kind to take hold just because the shoe is on the other foot.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on December 13, 2018, 03:53:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 03:45:14 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

How so?

We've have "democracy" rammed down our throats by Unionists for almost 100 years, are you suggesting that they would change stance on democracy if it didn't work out in their favour?
50% +1 will do me BUT we cannot allow bigotry and sectarianism of any kind to take hold just because the shoe is on the other foot.



Exactly - we can't become what they were. Nor do I believe we would but there is a small % on our side also who would gladly stir sh1t for their own gains.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:56:00 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 03:45:14 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

How so?

We've have "democracy" rammed down our throats by Unionists for almost 100 years, are you suggesting that they would change stance on democracy if it didn't work out in their favour?

Yes, absolutely.

50% +1 will do me BUT we cannot allow bigotry and sectarianism of any kind to take hold just because the shoe is on the other foot.
In a 50% +1 scenario it will, nothing surer.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 13, 2018, 04:02:55 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:56:00 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 03:45:14 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

How so?

We've have "democracy" rammed down our throats by Unionists for almost 100 years, are you suggesting that they would change stance on democracy if it didn't work out in their favour?

Yes, absolutely.

50% +1 will do me BUT we cannot allow bigotry and sectarianism of any kind to take hold just because the shoe is on the other foot.
In a 50% +1 scenario it will, nothing surer.

Unification must first involve a discussion of what a UI will look like and what Unionists position will be in that UI.
Convincing Unionist leaders to have that conversation will be the first challenge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 04:08:46 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 03:44:08 PM
Rubbish.

It may sound glib, but who are the loyalists going to fight? And to what end? Once we get to the stage where it has been passed, unionists will be well looked after, you can guarantee that.

And of course, 51/49 in the north would actually be 85/15 overall (those opposed in the south are extremely unlikely to be strongly and/or militantly so, so their 'against' votes aren't important in the context of your forecast bloodshed)
Are you familiar with what happened in Yugoslavia?

The possibility for murderous "ethnic cleansing" very much exists in the North, given certain conditions. A monster lurks within everybody and nationalism brings it out more than anything. People should be under no illusions that Irish nationalism or British nationalism are any more inherently benign than German, Serbian or Croatian nationalism.

In fact ethnic cleansing has a long history in the North, it happened in the South too.

The unionists would likely demand repartition at the very least and a more murderous ethnic cleansing than ever before would likely emerge in order to drive Catholic minorities out of mixed or majority Protestant areas of Antrim and Down. That would be highly unlikely to go unanswered against Protestant minorities in majority Catholic areas of the North.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 04:14:03 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 13, 2018, 04:02:55 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:56:00 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 13, 2018, 03:45:14 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

How so?

We've have "democracy" rammed down our throats by Unionists for almost 100 years, are you suggesting that they would change stance on democracy if it didn't work out in their favour?

Yes, absolutely.

50% +1 will do me BUT we cannot allow bigotry and sectarianism of any kind to take hold just because the shoe is on the other foot.
In a 50% +1 scenario it will, nothing surer.

Unification must first involve a discussion of what a UI will look like and what Unionists position will be in that UI.
Convincing Unionist leaders to have that conversation will be the first challenge.
There would be many things in such a discussion that would be, to say the least, extremely unpalatable to many Irish nationalists and Republicans.

First among them would be the abolition of the tricolour and Amhran na bhFiann. And that's only a starting point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

I usually completely disagree with sid and find him a contrary c**t at the best of times, but he's not far wrong here.

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.
(2) A UI should only happen after a meaningful (legal) framework is put in place to protect the culture and history of all as much as is practical (and without threatening others).
(3) A UI should only happen if any economic shock can be mitigated to manageable levels.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 13, 2018, 04:32:24 PM
I've given ye the broad plan for an All Ireland political entity on this board many times over the years.
An Irish  Confederation with 2 semi autonomous Regions -the present 6 and 26 Co areas.
The IC would have a new flagship and anthem while the 26 Co region could keep the Tricolour answer AnabhF.
A slimmed down Dáil and Northern Assembly would run internal affairs in their areas.
6 Cos Residents would be entitled to dual citizenship as now - if Britain still exists by then of course.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 04:34:01 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 04:08:46 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 03:44:08 PM
Rubbish.

It may sound glib, but who are the loyalists going to fight? And to what end? Once we get to the stage where it has been passed, unionists will be well looked after, you can guarantee that.

And of course, 51/49 in the north would actually be 85/15 overall (those opposed in the south are extremely unlikely to be strongly and/or militantly so, so their 'against' votes aren't important in the context of your forecast bloodshed)
Are you familiar with what happened in Yugoslavia?

The possibility for murderous "ethnic cleansing" very much exists in the North, given certain conditions. A monster lurks within everybody and nationalism brings it out more than anything. People should be under no illusions that Irish nationalism or British nationalism are any more inherently benign than German, Serbian or Croatian nationalism.

In fact ethnic cleansing has a long history in the North, it happened in the South too.

The unionists would likely demand repartition at the very least and a more murderous ethnic cleansing than ever before would likely emerge in order to drive Catholic minorities out of mixed or majority Protestant areas of Antrim and Down. That would be highly unlikely to go unanswered against Protestant minorities in majority Catholic areas of the North.

This is just ludicrous.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 13, 2018, 04:37:35 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

These opinion polls - explain what they involve or how they are done.

To me, this thing about not being a border poll until it's clear that the majority of the north are in favour of a UI, how does anyone know for sure? The only way to find out for sure is to actually have a proper border poll.

The British govt/unionists and even Dublin, who don't want a UI, will continue to say 'ah no, there's not enough support for it yet, so no border poll yet '

It's a cop out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 13, 2018, 04:44:16 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 13, 2018, 08:54:59 AM
Quote from: lenny on December 12, 2018, 06:13:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 05:04:30 PM
Quote from: lenny on December 12, 2018, 03:37:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 12, 2018, 03:06:40 PM
A Hard Border is a bit of a bogeyman, very unlikely to see any physical infrastructure, it'll be a technical border if it comes to it. The UK has repeatedly said it won't man any border and can't be compelled to by the EU in a no deal situation, the ball will be in the EU / Ireland's court if that particular chicken comes home to roost.

You're listening to kate hoey and david davis a bit too much ie idiots. If it's a hard brexit or no deal there will definitely be a hard border with infrastructure. There's no way of avoiding it.
Who is going to build it when both sides have clearly said it can't or won't happen? A solution will be found if and when the actual problem presents itself. It's as likely as Trump's Mexican wall.

lol, you're very naive. Why do you think there's a backstop at all then? It's there to prevent a hard border which the people at the coal face of the negotiations knew would be inevitable if there was jo agreement.
What do people think when they hear Hard Border? Brits lining the roads in South Armagh, Aughnacloy, Strabane/Lifford. That's the Bogeyman being raised, different customs regimes doesn't necessarily mean Soldiers manning borders - Ports & Airports a different kettle of fish, but there's already processes in place there. Technical solutions will be found (if required) for goods & services if they are not already there.

They aren't there, and are nowhere near being there. We've had 2 and a half years of this and nobody has explained anything close to what's needed. Can cameras determine the visa status of passengers in a passing vehicle?? Can they determine the tax status of goods in the boot of a car?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on December 13, 2018, 04:47:55 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 13, 2018, 04:32:24 PM
I've given ye the broad plan for an All Ireland political entity on this board many times over the years.
An Irish  Confederation with 2 semi autonomous Regions -the present 6 and 26 Co areas.
The IC would have a new flagship and anthem while the 26 Co region could keep the Tricolour answer AnabhF.
A slimmed down Dáil and Northern Assembly would run internal affairs in their areas.
6 Cos Residents would be entitled to dual citizenship as now - if Britain still exists by then of course.

A lot of that sounds fairly reasonable as a starting point Rossfan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 04:52:26 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 04:34:01 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 04:08:46 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on December 13, 2018, 03:44:08 PM
Rubbish.

It may sound glib, but who are the loyalists going to fight? And to what end? Once we get to the stage where it has been passed, unionists will be well looked after, you can guarantee that.

And of course, 51/49 in the north would actually be 85/15 overall (those opposed in the south are extremely unlikely to be strongly and/or militantly so, so their 'against' votes aren't important in the context of your forecast bloodshed)
Are you familiar with what happened in Yugoslavia?

The possibility for murderous "ethnic cleansing" very much exists in the North, given certain conditions. A monster lurks within everybody and nationalism brings it out more than anything. People should be under no illusions that Irish nationalism or British nationalism are any more inherently benign than German, Serbian or Croatian nationalism.

In fact ethnic cleansing has a long history in the North, it happened in the South too.

The unionists would likely demand repartition at the very least and a more murderous ethnic cleansing than ever before would likely emerge in order to drive Catholic minorities out of mixed or majority Protestant areas of Antrim and Down. That would be highly unlikely to go unanswered against Protestant minorities in majority Catholic areas of the North.

This is just ludicrous.
How?

In any roadmap to a united Ireland, one must consider the worst case scenario, how it could come about, and more importantly, how to proceed in a responsible fashion so that it can be avoided.

Four years ago, anybody who predicted that what has happened as regards Brexit, would happen, would have been laughed at. 

And yet here we are.

In 1987, had somebody predicted that Yugoslavia would erupt into sectarian bloodshed within four years, they would most likely have been laughed at. It happened because people irresponsibly whippped up nationalist tensions.

If you think nationalist tensions on both sides wouldn't be whipped up before any potential border poll, you're in dreamland. When people get whipped up, you get mobs. When you get mobs, you get violence. When you get violence, you get bloodshed. When you get bloodshed, you likely get death. Once people start dying, you're into a potentially disastrous and uncontrollable situation.

War doesn't happen overnight. It happens through a gradual ramping up of tensions, and then up and up it keeps ramping, people saying things they wouldn't have said before, people imagining things they wouldn't have imagined before, before it eventually all spills over.

Tensions are ramping up, and they look set to keep ramping up further, because there are people on both sides who fancy them being ramped up for what they perceive as their own gain.

It's about time they started pulling back rather continuing to ramp things up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 05:00:17 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 13, 2018, 04:37:35 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

These opinion polls - explain what they involve or how they are done.

To me, this thing about not being a border poll until it's clear that the majority of the north are in favour of a UI, how does anyone know for sure? The only way to find out for sure is to actually have a proper border poll.

The British govt/unionists and even Dublin, who don't want a UI, will continue to say 'ah no, there's not enough support for it yet, so no border poll yet '

It's a cop out.

Opinion polls are polls that are used to predict the outcome of electoral contests the world over, and which, contrary to the belief of some tinfoil hat merchants, usually give us a very good idea of the outcome of such electoral contests.

I'm not involved in an opinion polling company, so I can't explain exactly how opinion pollsters select the people they poll.

However, I generally do trust polls to give us a pretty good idea of how public opinion lies as regards electoral contests.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 13, 2018, 06:37:49 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed

So if there a border poll, and 50%+1 vote for a united ireland, will the brits ignore it again if loyalists threaten violence? The Dublin cowboys might choose to ignore the result as well.

So even if the vote for a UI wins, I wouldn't be confident it will actually happen. The two shower of pricks in London and Dublin have history in ignoring results or having another go at voting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:11:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
There wasn't even a bare majority for an independent Irish state in the 1918 General Election. Sinn Fein only got 46.9% of the vote.

The Irish Parliamentary Party supported Home Rule, not an independent state outside the United Kingdom.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:14:42 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on December 13, 2018, 06:37:49 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed

So if there a border poll, and 50%+1 vote for a united ireland, will the brits ignore it again if loyalists threaten violence? The Dublin cowboys might choose to ignore the result as well.

So even if the vote for a UI wins, I wouldn't be confident it will actually happen. The two shower of pricks in London and Dublin have history in ignoring results or having another go at voting.

I think you've just described why such a vote shouldn't happen until a majority for unification is clear and unassailable.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on December 13, 2018, 08:22:10 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:11:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
There wasn't even a bare majority for an independent Irish state in the 1918 General Election. Sinn Fein only got 46.9% of the vote.

The Irish Parliamentary Party supported Home Rule, not an independent state outside the United Kingdom.

One third of the Sinn Fein MPs were returned unopposed to the 46.9% greatly understates Sinn Fein support.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 13, 2018, 08:28:15 PM
The irony of it, corrupt fckers.

A European conservative group co-founded by the Tories and led by Brexit campaigner and MEP Daniel Hannan has been asked to repay more than half a million euros of EU funds following an investigation into their spending, the Guardian has learned.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/dec/13/daniel-hannan-mep-group-told-to-repay-half-a-million-in-eu-funds (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/dec/13/daniel-hannan-mep-group-told-to-repay-half-a-million-in-eu-funds)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:34:49 PM
Quote from: dec on December 13, 2018, 08:22:10 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:11:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
There wasn't even a bare majority for an independent Irish state in the 1918 General Election. Sinn Fein only got 46.9% of the vote.

The Irish Parliamentary Party supported Home Rule, not an independent state outside the United Kingdom.

One third of the Sinn Fein MPs were returned unopposed to the 46.9% greatly understates Sinn Fein support.
It may well do.

But on actual votes, they didn't have a majority.

Had those seats been contested, it's unlikely they would have got much more than 55% of the total vote, if even that.

It was was claimed by another poster that they had a "supermajority".

A "supermajority" is a very nebulous concept.

55% would certainly have been a decent majority, but I think by any definition of what a "supermajority" is, 55% isn't it.

In my imagination a "supermajority" would be two-thirds of the vote plus one, or at minimum the 60% that the US Senate classes as a "supermajority".





Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 13, 2018, 08:50:58 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:34:49 PM
Quote from: dec on December 13, 2018, 08:22:10 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:11:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
There wasn't even a bare majority for an independent Irish state in the 1918 General Election. Sinn Fein only got 46.9% of the vote.

The Irish Parliamentary Party supported Home Rule, not an independent state outside the United Kingdom.

One third of the Sinn Fein MPs were returned unopposed to the 46.9% greatly understates Sinn Fein support.
It may well do.

But on actual votes, they didn't have a majority.

Had those seats been contested, it's unlikely they would have got much more than 55% of the total vote, if even that.

It was was claimed by another poster that they had a "supermajority".

A "supermajority" is a very nebulous concept.

55% would certainly have been a decent majority, but I think by any definition of what a "supermajority" is, 55% isn't it.

In my imagination a "supermajority" would be two-thirds of the vote plus one, or at minimum the 60% that the US Senate classes as a "supermajority".

Even in a UI Antrim and Down would never be like Tipp and Cork
There is always going to be some sort of sharing.
NI is too unstable otherwise

It will be interesting to see what the Brexit fallout for the DUP will be. The party has been publicly humiliated.
The Euros walked all over May. She asked for her red lines and they gave them back to her, good and hard. The DUP are wasting their time asking for concessions

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zzHmXaUSL6o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 13, 2018, 08:57:14 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:34:49 PM
Quote from: dec on December 13, 2018, 08:22:10 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:11:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
There wasn't even a bare majority for an independent Irish state in the 1918 General Election. Sinn Fein only got 46.9% of the vote.

The Irish Parliamentary Party supported Home Rule, not an independent state outside the United Kingdom.

One third of the Sinn Fein MPs were returned unopposed to the 46.9% greatly understates Sinn Fein support.
It may well do.

But on actual votes, they didn't have a majority.

Had those seats been contested, it's unlikely they would have got much more than 55% of the total vote, if even that.

It was was claimed by another poster that they had a "supermajority".

A "supermajority" is a very nebulous concept.

55% would certainly have been a decent majority, but I think by any definition of what a "supermajority" is, 55% isn't it.

In my imagination a "supermajority" would be two-thirds of the vote plus one, or at minimum the 60% that the US Senate classes as a "supermajority".

You are talking about votes for parties. This would be a referendum. A supermajority would mean that the vote of an individual unionist who voted against UI would mean more than the vote of an individual nationalist who backed UI. What happened to one person, one vote? Unionists have ridden roughshod over the concept of democracy in Ireland for long enough, Those days are over.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on December 13, 2018, 09:03:11 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

I usually completely disagree with sid and find him a contrary c**t at the best of times, but he's not far wrong here.

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.
(2) A UI should only happen after a meaningful (legal) framework is put in place to protect the culture and history of all as much as is practical (and without threatening others).
(3) A UI should only happen if any economic shock can be mitigated to manageable levels.
Catch yourself on
It's 50% plus 1.
Why should nationalist votes be worth less than unionist votes
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 09:11:17 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 08:57:14 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:34:49 PM
Quote from: dec on December 13, 2018, 08:22:10 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:11:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
There wasn't even a bare majority for an independent Irish state in the 1918 General Election. Sinn Fein only got 46.9% of the vote.

The Irish Parliamentary Party supported Home Rule, not an independent state outside the United Kingdom.

One third of the Sinn Fein MPs were returned unopposed to the 46.9% greatly understates Sinn Fein support.
It may well do.

But on actual votes, they didn't have a majority.

Had those seats been contested, it's unlikely they would have got much more than 55% of the total vote, if even that.

It was was claimed by another poster that they had a "supermajority".

A "supermajority" is a very nebulous concept.

55% would certainly have been a decent majority, but I think by any definition of what a "supermajority" is, 55% isn't it.

In my imagination a "supermajority" would be two-thirds of the vote plus one, or at minimum the 60% that the US Senate classes as a "supermajority".

You are talking about votes for parties. This would be a referendum. A supermajority would mean that the vote of an individual unionist who voted against UI would mean more than the vote of an individual nationalist who backed UI. What happened to one person, one vote? Unionists have ridden roughshod over the concept of democracy in Ireland for long enough, Those days are over.
I was directly addressing the pont you made in post #5741.

You stated that there was a supermajority in favour of an independent Irish state in 1918.

There wasn't, unless you adopt a definition of the word that is ludicrous.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:13:13 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

In practical terms, can you outline for me why a 51-49 result would result in bloodshed/carnage and a 55-45 result wouldn't?

At what point in between do unionists change from being hell bent on carnage to deciding they'll just have to accept it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:20:27 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 09:11:17 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 08:57:14 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:34:49 PM
Quote from: dec on December 13, 2018, 08:22:10 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:11:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
There wasn't even a bare majority for an independent Irish state in the 1918 General Election. Sinn Fein only got 46.9% of the vote.

The Irish Parliamentary Party supported Home Rule, not an independent state outside the United Kingdom.

One third of the Sinn Fein MPs were returned unopposed to the 46.9% greatly understates Sinn Fein support.
It may well do.

But on actual votes, they didn't have a majority.

Had those seats been contested, it's unlikely they would have got much more than 55% of the total vote, if even that.

It was was claimed by another poster that they had a "supermajority".

A "supermajority" is a very nebulous concept.

55% would certainly have been a decent majority, but I think by any definition of what a "supermajority" is, 55% isn't it.

In my imagination a "supermajority" would be two-thirds of the vote plus one, or at minimum the 60% that the US Senate classes as a "supermajority".

You are talking about votes for parties. This would be a referendum. A supermajority would mean that the vote of an individual unionist who voted against UI would mean more than the vote of an individual nationalist who backed UI. What happened to one person, one vote? Unionists have ridden roughshod over the concept of democracy in Ireland for long enough, Those days are over.
I was directly addressing the pont you made in post #5741.

You stated that there was a supermajority in favour of an independent Irish state in 1918.

There wasn't, unless you adopt a definition of the word that is ludicrous.

One single party won almost 70% of the seats.  That's a supermajority.  End of story.

You can play about with numbers of votes cast till the cows come home.

The only reason the popular vote didn't match these figures was due to the 25 seats SF took unopposed.  If you want to be taken seriously, stop playing silly beggars.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:23:52 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:34:49 PM
Quote from: dec on December 13, 2018, 08:22:10 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 08:11:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 13, 2018, 05:46:18 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:41:23 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 13, 2018, 04:32:42 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2018, 04:26:58 PM

(1) A UI should only happen with a supermajority.

Don't you support the GFA then?

Do I have to support every word in every line to broadly agree with it?

There was a supermajority in 1918 and it was ignored by the Brits. Never again. 50%+1 is all the 'supermajority' that's needed
There wasn't even a bare majority for an independent Irish state in the 1918 General Election. Sinn Fein only got 46.9% of the vote.

The Irish Parliamentary Party supported Home Rule, not an independent state outside the United Kingdom.

One third of the Sinn Fein MPs were returned unopposed to the 46.9% greatly understates Sinn Fein support.
It may well do.

But on actual votes, they didn't have a majority.

Had those seats been contested, it's unlikely they would have got much more than 55% of the total vote, if even that.

It was was claimed by another poster that they had a "supermajority".

A "supermajority" is a very nebulous concept.

55% would certainly have been a decent majority, but I think by any definition of what a "supermajority" is, 55% isn't it.

In my imagination a "supermajority" would be two-thirds of the vote plus one, or at minimum the 60% that the US Senate classes as a "supermajority".

Gonna need some evidence for this one I'm afraid.

Otherwise, well, you know that whole thing about opinions and arseholes...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 09:38:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:13:13 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

In practical terms, can you outline for me why a 51-49 result would result in bloodshed/carnage and a 55-45 result wouldn't?

At what point in between do unionists change from being hell bent on carnage to deciding they'll just have to accept it?

I can't tell you for certain that a 55-45 result wouldn't result in bloodshed, no more than I can tell you with 100% certainty that 50% +1 would result in bloodshed.

I can't see into the future.

What I can say is that based on a reading of history and an understanding of the siege mentality of Unionists/Loyalists, the holding of a referendum on Irish unification, in a scenario where it would be clear from opinion polling that there would be a wafer thin margin either way, is likely a recipe for serious unrest and could well result in a re-outbreak of violence and killing, and it could be extremely vicious.

For me the Brexit referendum is also a good demonstration of why the holding of a referendum where the result is likely to be very close, is a bad idea. Britain leaving the EU is an emotive issue for sure, but it pales in comparison to the visceral nationalistic emotions that would be stirred on both sides by a referendum on Irish unification.

Therefore, I feel it would be extremely unwise to hold such a referendum unless there was evidence to demonstrate that the pro-unification position had a clear and consistent lead.

The 55-45 margin is my personal call on where the line of that margin lies.

In any such future referendum, it would be better to have a clear result. 55-45 is a clearer result than 51-49. Again, I can't say with certainty whether a clear result would eliminate the prospect of violence - but it would likely lessen it.

The Good Friday Agreement was clearly a very positive development in terms of securing peace. But the principle of consent, while laudable as a principle, has stored up what is effectively a timebomb given that the long term demographic appears to be slowly but inexorably moving towards a Catholic/Nationalist/Republican majority.

How the switching of the majority to the minority and vice versa is handled vis a vis a referendum will be of huge importance in terms of staving off a potential return to violence.

It must be handled with the utmost care and the utmost respect, because the potential is there for disaster.

People shouting for a referendum now flies in the face of that.

As does Brexit.

The lessons of the past are already being unlearned.






Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:52:02 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 09:38:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:13:13 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

In practical terms, can you outline for me why a 51-49 result would result in bloodshed/carnage and a 55-45 result wouldn't?

At what point in between do unionists change from being hell bent on carnage to deciding they'll just have to accept it?

I can't tell you for certain that a 55-45 result wouldn't result in bloodshed, no more than I can tell you with 100% certainty that 50% +1 would result in bloodshed.

I can't see into the future.

What I can say is that based on a reading of history and an understanding of the siege mentality of Unionists/Loyalists, the holding of a referendum on Irish unification, in a scenario where it would be clear from opinion polling that there would be a wafer thin margin either way, is likely a recipe for serious unrest and could well result in a re-outbreak of violence and killing, and it could be extremely vicious.

For me the Brexit referendum is also a good demonstration of why the holding of a referendum where the result is likely to be very close, is a bad idea. Britain leaving the EU is an emotive issue for sure, but it pales in comparison to the visceral nationalistic emotions that would be stirred on both sides by a referendum on Irish unification.

Therefore, I feel it would be extremely unwise to hold such a referendum unless there was evidence to demonstrate that the pro-unification position had a clear and consistent lead.

The 55-45 margin is my personal call on where the line of that margin lies.

In any such future referendum, it would be better to have a clear result. 55-45 is a clearer result than 51-49. Again, I can't say with certainty whether a clear result would eliminate the prospect of violence - but it would likely lessen it.

The Good Friday Agreement was clearly a very positive development in terms of securing peace. But the principle of consent, while laudable as a principle, has stored up what is effectively a timebomb given that the long term demographic appears to be slowly but inexorably moving towards a Catholic/Nationalist/Republican majority.

How the switching of the majority to the minority and vice versa is handled vis a vis a referendum will be of huge importance in terms of staving off a potential return to violence.

It must be handled with the utmost care and the utmost respect, because the potential is there for disaster.

People shouting for a referendum now flies in the face of that.

As does Brexit.


The lessons of the past are already being unlearned.

Agree with bold.  Though, as some earlier posters mentioned, I think it does no harm to mention it from time to time, to 'normalise' it.

As for the figure, I don't think it will make a blind bit of difference what the majority is (certainly within the limits we are discussing).

So I think we have to accept that 51-49 or 55-45 (or 60-40 for that matter), there will still be a cabal of uber-staunch reprobates who will cause bother when it doesn't go their way.

We can't be beholden to them though.


EDIT.

Just re-read your post there and realised that the only half attempt at an answer to my questions could be boiled down to 'cos I think so'.

The rest is nothing more than a bunch of very noble platitudes and regurgitations of old chestnuts about respect etc...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 13, 2018, 10:06:00 PM
Also, we're absolutely derailing the Brexit thread here... so may I suggest further discussion be carried out on one of the myriad of threads on the National Question?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 11:43:36 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:52:02 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 09:38:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:13:13 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

In practical terms, can you outline for me why a 51-49 result would result in bloodshed/carnage and a 55-45 result wouldn't?

At what point in between do unionists change from being hell bent on carnage to deciding they'll just have to accept it?

I can't tell you for certain that a 55-45 result wouldn't result in bloodshed, no more than I can tell you with 100% certainty that 50% +1 would result in bloodshed.

I can't see into the future.

What I can say is that based on a reading of history and an understanding of the siege mentality of Unionists/Loyalists, the holding of a referendum on Irish unification, in a scenario where it would be clear from opinion polling that there would be a wafer thin margin either way, is likely a recipe for serious unrest and could well result in a re-outbreak of violence and killing, and it could be extremely vicious.

For me the Brexit referendum is also a good demonstration of why the holding of a referendum where the result is likely to be very close, is a bad idea. Britain leaving the EU is an emotive issue for sure, but it pales in comparison to the visceral nationalistic emotions that would be stirred on both sides by a referendum on Irish unification.

Therefore, I feel it would be extremely unwise to hold such a referendum unless there was evidence to demonstrate that the pro-unification position had a clear and consistent lead.

The 55-45 margin is my personal call on where the line of that margin lies.

In any such future referendum, it would be better to have a clear result. 55-45 is a clearer result than 51-49. Again, I can't say with certainty whether a clear result would eliminate the prospect of violence - but it would likely lessen it.

The Good Friday Agreement was clearly a very positive development in terms of securing peace. But the principle of consent, while laudable as a principle, has stored up what is effectively a timebomb given that the long term demographic appears to be slowly but inexorably moving towards a Catholic/Nationalist/Republican majority.

How the switching of the majority to the minority and vice versa is handled vis a vis a referendum will be of huge importance in terms of staving off a potential return to violence.

It must be handled with the utmost care and the utmost respect, because the potential is there for disaster.

People shouting for a referendum now flies in the face of that.

As does Brexit.


The lessons of the past are already being unlearned.

Agree with bold.  Though, as some earlier posters mentioned, I think it does no harm to mention it from time to time, to 'normalise' it.

As for the figure, I don't think it will make a blind bit of difference what the majority is (certainly within the limits we are discussing).

So I think we have to accept that 51-49 or 55-45 (or 60-40 for that matter), there will still be a cabal of uber-staunch reprobates who will cause bother when it doesn't go their way.

We can't be beholden to them though.


EDIT.

Just re-read your post there and realised that the only half attempt at an answer to my questions could be boiled down to 'cos I think so'.

The rest is nothing more than a bunch of very noble platitudes and regurgitations of old chestnuts about respect etc...
There's every reason to think the way I do.

The only reason you wouldn't is if you buy into the old misty-eyed romantic nationalist bullshit, ie. a united Ireland any which way and to hell with the consequences.

If opinion polls put the numbers in favour/not in favour of unification at basically 50-50, and the result was on a knife edge, the division and hatred that would be stoked up by a referendum would be nightmarish. There would likely be violence before, during and after the poll.

It would be utterly irresponsible to hold a poll which would be a carte blanche for the headbangers to cause violent mayhem.

If you had a period of, say, two years where opinion polls were consistently showing 55-45 or more in favour of unification, a border poll would become inevitable because of the clear and consistent majority in favour, the result wouldd become inevitable, and the Protestant/Unionist/Loyalist community would at least have time to come to terms with what was happening.

Time, acceptance and respect are the keys to unification ever happening.

There may well be some Loyalists who would still be intent on violence with a 55-45 result for unification, or 60-40, or an even greater margin. It could be that no margin, no matter how big, would make certian people accept that being taken out of the United Kingdom in a referendum was legitimate. But the greater the margin, the less would be the legitimacy of any violence in the eyes of the Protestant/Unionist/Loyalist community as a whole. I think that's unarguable.

I'd like to see unification but I'd be more than prepared to wait an extra 30 or 40 years for it to happen if it meant there was a better chance that people wouldn't be killed.

Here's another thing. When people voted for Brexit they didn't know what they were voting for. Those who would vote for a united Ireland might think they would know what they would be voting for. But would they?

Because there would be those who would expect all the trappings and official culture of the 26 county state to be immediately extended to the six counties - the tricolour to fly over City Hall in Belfast etc., that unionist culture be basically be obliterated. That we'd "stick it to them once and for all".

Then, there would be those, like myself, who would be prepared to see a united Ireland as being effectively the creation of new state rather than it merely being a case of the six counties being subsumed into the Republic. A new state with a new flag and a new anthem etc., with Britain having some say over the six counties in a similar way to how the Republic has some say over the North now.

There would be hard united Irelanders and soft united Irelanders. The hard united Irelanders mightn't particularly like the ideas of the soft united Irelanders, never mind the ideas of those who opposed a united Ireland. The united Ireland that occurred in practice would likely not be the united Ireland they imagined.








Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 13, 2018, 11:48:53 PM
Good job that no confidence vote wasn't tomorrow or Monday!

Terrsa's completely blown it in Brussels!! She seems to have asked them to look at the backstop and they've said they can't but what else can we do for you and she hasn't a clue so they've just told the world as much!!

The only upside is maybe we'll get the people's vote. I don't think remain will be as complacent again!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 14, 2018, 12:56:14 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 11:43:36 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:52:02 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 09:38:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:13:13 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

In practical terms, can you outline for me why a 51-49 result would result in bloodshed/carnage and a 55-45 result wouldn't?

At what point in between do unionists change from being hell bent on carnage to deciding they'll just have to accept it?

I can't tell you for certain that a 55-45 result wouldn't result in bloodshed, no more than I can tell you with 100% certainty that 50% +1 would result in bloodshed.

I can't see into the future.

What I can say is that based on a reading of history and an understanding of the siege mentality of Unionists/Loyalists, the holding of a referendum on Irish unification, in a scenario where it would be clear from opinion polling that there would be a wafer thin margin either way, is likely a recipe for serious unrest and could well result in a re-outbreak of violence and killing, and it could be extremely vicious.

For me the Brexit referendum is also a good demonstration of why the holding of a referendum where the result is likely to be very close, is a bad idea. Britain leaving the EU is an emotive issue for sure, but it pales in comparison to the visceral nationalistic emotions that would be stirred on both sides by a referendum on Irish unification.

Therefore, I feel it would be extremely unwise to hold such a referendum unless there was evidence to demonstrate that the pro-unification position had a clear and consistent lead.

The 55-45 margin is my personal call on where the line of that margin lies.

In any such future referendum, it would be better to have a clear result. 55-45 is a clearer result than 51-49. Again, I can't say with certainty whether a clear result would eliminate the prospect of violence - but it would likely lessen it.

The Good Friday Agreement was clearly a very positive development in terms of securing peace. But the principle of consent, while laudable as a principle, has stored up what is effectively a timebomb given that the long term demographic appears to be slowly but inexorably moving towards a Catholic/Nationalist/Republican majority.

How the switching of the majority to the minority and vice versa is handled vis a vis a referendum will be of huge importance in terms of staving off a potential return to violence.

It must be handled with the utmost care and the utmost respect, because the potential is there for disaster.

People shouting for a referendum now flies in the face of that.

As does Brexit.


The lessons of the past are already being unlearned.

Agree with bold.  Though, as some earlier posters mentioned, I think it does no harm to mention it from time to time, to 'normalise' it.

As for the figure, I don't think it will make a blind bit of difference what the majority is (certainly within the limits we are discussing).

So I think we have to accept that 51-49 or 55-45 (or 60-40 for that matter), there will still be a cabal of uber-staunch reprobates who will cause bother when it doesn't go their way.

We can't be beholden to them though.


EDIT.

Just re-read your post there and realised that the only half attempt at an answer to my questions could be boiled down to 'cos I think so'.

The rest is nothing more than a bunch of very noble platitudes and regurgitations of old chestnuts about respect etc...
There's every reason to think the way I do.

The only reason you wouldn't is if you buy into the old misty-eyed romantic nationalist bullshit, ie. a united Ireland any which way and to hell with the consequences.

If opinion polls put the numbers in favour/not in favour of unification at basically 50-50, and the result was on a knife edge, the division and hatred that would be stoked up by a referendum would be nightmarish. There would likely be violence before, during and after the poll.

It would be utterly irresponsible to hold a poll which would be a carte blanche for the headbangers to cause violent mayhem.

If you had a period of, say, two years where opinion polls were consistently showing 55-45 or more in favour of unification, a border poll would become inevitable because of the clear and consistent majority in favour, the result wouldd become inevitable, and the Protestant/Unionist/Loyalist community would at least have time to come to terms with what was happening.

Time, acceptance and respect are the keys to unification ever happening.

There may well be some Loyalists who would still be intent on violence with a 55-45 result for unification, or 60-40, or an even greater margin. It could be that no margin, no matter how big, would make certian people accept that being taken out of the United Kingdom in a referendum was legitimate. But the greater the margin, the less would be the legitimacy of any violence in the eyes of the Protestant/Unionist/Loyalist community as a whole. I think that's unarguable.

I'd like to see unification but I'd be more than prepared to wait an extra 30 or 40 years for it to happen if it meant there was a better chance that people wouldn't be killed.

Here's another thing. When people voted for Brexit they didn't know what they were voting for. Those who would vote for a united Ireland might think they would know what they would be voting for. But would they?

Because there would be those who would expect all the trappings and official culture of the 26 county state to be immediately extended to the six counties - the tricolour to fly over City Hall in Belfast etc., that unionist culture be basically be obliterated. That we'd "stick it to them once and for all".

Then, there would be those, like myself, who would be prepared to see a united Ireland as being effectively the creation of new state rather than it merely being a case of the six counties being subsumed into the Republic. A new state with a new flag and a new anthem etc., with Britain having some say over the six counties in a similar way to how the Republic has some say over the North now.

There would be hard united Irelanders and soft united Irelanders. The hard united Irelanders mightn't particularly like the ideas of the soft united Irelanders, never mind the ideas of those who opposed a united Ireland. The united Ireland that occurred in practice would likely not be the united Ireland they imagined.

Don't know how you reconcile the earlier 'I can't see into the future' statement with the bit in bold.  It would seem that this is a selective ability.

Anyway.  Your last few paragraphs are again a regurgitation of old tropes which are endlessly thrown around here.  There's nothing new in any of it.  It's a very foolish person who would think that a new Ireland would be merely an enlarged version of the 26 counties.  It doesn't need repeated.

And I can't agree that we need to wait until we see a clear majority before conducting a poll.  You've yet to produce any tangible evidence as to why we should wait.  Your 55-45 figure is unbelievably arbitrary - at very best!  What's to say that when we get to 55-45, some don't just decide that it would need to be 60-40?  It's just another makey-uppy figure after all with no logical basis other than 'I think it sounds right'.  It doesn't matter if we waited until it was 99-1 - you still couldn't guarantee that a reaction from the lunatic fringe of loyalism/unionism wouldn't get someone killed.

On the other hand, we have an international agreement made between both sides, and voted for by a huge majority of the population.  An agreement which has formed the basis for the running of this annexe for two decades and indeed, which might be the only thing saving us from being torn out of the EU against our will by a bunch of racists from Eton.  The figure in this agreement is 50% +1.  It's not hidden, it's been front and centre for 20 years.  It has been discussed to death in the media and frankly, Unionism has had more than enough time to come to terms with it.  For those reasons, I say we stick with the figure we have.  But... if we're going to have to change it,  we're going to need a more solid justification than 'Go 55-45, I reckon that sounds about right'.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 01:19:53 AM
Quote from: Franko on December 14, 2018, 12:56:14 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 11:43:36 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:52:02 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 09:38:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:13:13 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

In practical terms, can you outline for me why a 51-49 result would result in bloodshed/carnage and a 55-45 result wouldn't?

At what point in between do unionists change from being hell bent on carnage to deciding they'll just have to accept it?

I can't tell you for certain that a 55-45 result wouldn't result in bloodshed, no more than I can tell you with 100% certainty that 50% +1 would result in bloodshed.

I can't see into the future.

What I can say is that based on a reading of history and an understanding of the siege mentality of Unionists/Loyalists, the holding of a referendum on Irish unification, in a scenario where it would be clear from opinion polling that there would be a wafer thin margin either way, is likely a recipe for serious unrest and could well result in a re-outbreak of violence and killing, and it could be extremely vicious.

For me the Brexit referendum is also a good demonstration of why the holding of a referendum where the result is likely to be very close, is a bad idea. Britain leaving the EU is an emotive issue for sure, but it pales in comparison to the visceral nationalistic emotions that would be stirred on both sides by a referendum on Irish unification.

Therefore, I feel it would be extremely unwise to hold such a referendum unless there was evidence to demonstrate that the pro-unification position had a clear and consistent lead.

The 55-45 margin is my personal call on where the line of that margin lies.

In any such future referendum, it would be better to have a clear result. 55-45 is a clearer result than 51-49. Again, I can't say with certainty whether a clear result would eliminate the prospect of violence - but it would likely lessen it.

The Good Friday Agreement was clearly a very positive development in terms of securing peace. But the principle of consent, while laudable as a principle, has stored up what is effectively a timebomb given that the long term demographic appears to be slowly but inexorably moving towards a Catholic/Nationalist/Republican majority.

How the switching of the majority to the minority and vice versa is handled vis a vis a referendum will be of huge importance in terms of staving off a potential return to violence.

It must be handled with the utmost care and the utmost respect, because the potential is there for disaster.

People shouting for a referendum now flies in the face of that.

As does Brexit.


The lessons of the past are already being unlearned.

Agree with bold.  Though, as some earlier posters mentioned, I think it does no harm to mention it from time to time, to 'normalise' it.

As for the figure, I don't think it will make a blind bit of difference what the majority is (certainly within the limits we are discussing).

So I think we have to accept that 51-49 or 55-45 (or 60-40 for that matter), there will still be a cabal of uber-staunch reprobates who will cause bother when it doesn't go their way.

We can't be beholden to them though.


EDIT.

Just re-read your post there and realised that the only half attempt at an answer to my questions could be boiled down to 'cos I think so'.

The rest is nothing more than a bunch of very noble platitudes and regurgitations of old chestnuts about respect etc...
There's every reason to think the way I do.

The only reason you wouldn't is if you buy into the old misty-eyed romantic nationalist bullshit, ie. a united Ireland any which way and to hell with the consequences.

If opinion polls put the numbers in favour/not in favour of unification at basically 50-50, and the result was on a knife edge, the division and hatred that would be stoked up by a referendum would be nightmarish. There would likely be violence before, during and after the poll.

It would be utterly irresponsible to hold a poll which would be a carte blanche for the headbangers to cause violent mayhem.

If you had a period of, say, two years where opinion polls were consistently showing 55-45 or more in favour of unification, a border poll would become inevitable because of the clear and consistent majority in favour, the result wouldd become inevitable, and the Protestant/Unionist/Loyalist community would at least have time to come to terms with what was happening.

Time, acceptance and respect are the keys to unification ever happening.

There may well be some Loyalists who would still be intent on violence with a 55-45 result for unification, or 60-40, or an even greater margin. It could be that no margin, no matter how big, would make certian people accept that being taken out of the United Kingdom in a referendum was legitimate. But the greater the margin, the less would be the legitimacy of any violence in the eyes of the Protestant/Unionist/Loyalist community as a whole. I think that's unarguable.

I'd like to see unification but I'd be more than prepared to wait an extra 30 or 40 years for it to happen if it meant there was a better chance that people wouldn't be killed.

Here's another thing. When people voted for Brexit they didn't know what they were voting for. Those who would vote for a united Ireland might think they would know what they would be voting for. But would they?

Because there would be those who would expect all the trappings and official culture of the 26 county state to be immediately extended to the six counties - the tricolour to fly over City Hall in Belfast etc., that unionist culture be basically be obliterated. That we'd "stick it to them once and for all".

Then, there would be those, like myself, who would be prepared to see a united Ireland as being effectively the creation of new state rather than it merely being a case of the six counties being subsumed into the Republic. A new state with a new flag and a new anthem etc., with Britain having some say over the six counties in a similar way to how the Republic has some say over the North now.

There would be hard united Irelanders and soft united Irelanders. The hard united Irelanders mightn't particularly like the ideas of the soft united Irelanders, never mind the ideas of those who opposed a united Ireland. The united Ireland that occurred in practice would likely not be the united Ireland they imagined.

Don't know how you reconcile the earlier 'I can't see into the future' statement with the bit in bold.  It would seem that this is a selective ability.

Anyway.  Your last few paragraphs are again a regurgitation of old tropes which are endlessly thrown around here.  There's nothing new in any of it.  It's a very foolish person who would think that a new Ireland would be merely an enlarged version of the 26 counties.  It doesn't need repeated.

And I can't agree that we need to wait until we see a clear majority before conducting a poll.  You've yet to produce any tangible evidence as to why we should wait.  Your 55-45 figure is unbelievably arbitrary - at very best!  What's to say that when we get to 55-45, some don't just decide that it would need to be 60-40?  It's just another makey-uppy figure after all with no logical basis other than 'I think it sounds right'.  It doesn't matter if we waited until it was 99-1 - you still couldn't guarantee that a reaction from the lunatic fringe of loyalism/unionism wouldn't get someone killed.

On the other hand, we have an international agreement made between both sides, and voted for by a huge majority of the population.  An agreement which has formed the basis for the running of this annex for two decades and indeed, which might be the only thing saving us from being torn out of the EU against our will by a bunch of racists from Eton.  The figure in this agreement is 50% +1.  It's not hidden, it's been front and centre for 20 years.  Unionism has had more than enough time to come to terms with it.  If we're going to change that it's going to need a more solid basis than 'I reckon that sounds aboout right'.
Using the word "tropes" doesn't confer your post with any insight.

I've already said I can't see into the future with certainty. Nobody can.

The "tangible evidence" is history. The history of the six counties is an extremely dark one, marred with appalling sectarian murder. Very recent history. It's an extremely unwise thing to go poking those ghosts for kicks before they've even rested. If they are going to be poked, people need to be as sure as they can be that they won't come back to bite.

Yet we have a generation now who don't remember the Troubles, so don't remember the horrors of it. And we have a generation in loads of countries who are seemingly entirely willing to reawaken old prejudices and hatreds, and new ones, based on ignorant populist nonsense. We live in an unheroic age. There are plenty of gullible, stupid young men around who might be only too willing to be "heroic" in the name of a "glorious cause".

These are very dangerous forces and it seems far too many people don't understand what they're playing with.

The margin needs to be clear and it needs to be consistent. 10 is a clear margin and well outside the margin of error. 1 or 2 is not.

Brexit is not an excuse for a border poll based on absolutely wafer thin figures in favour of unification at best, and which could easily restart violence.

Brexit is a lesson against holding such a poll.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 14, 2018, 07:53:35 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/5a649ddc-ff0a-11e8-ac00-57a2a826423e

During more than two hours of talks over dinner, EU leaders agreed to scrap plans for a formal process to provide reassurances to Britain until Mrs May decided what she wants."This debate is sometimes nebulous and imprecise," said Jean-Claude Juncker, European Commission president. "When it comes to the future relationship, our British friends need to say what they want, rather than asking us what we want."
When it comes to the future relationship, our British friends need to say what they want, rather than asking us
Michel Barnier, EU chief Brexit negotiator, claimed that Mrs May was not seeking reassurances but was reviving old ideas rejected during Brexit negotiations. One EU diplomat briefed on the talks said Mrs May was "unprofessional".Another EU diplomat claimed that there was even a suggestion that it might have been better if Mrs May had been ejected from Downing Street in this week's abortive coup by Tory Eurosceptics. "She didn't know what she wanted," the diplomat said. Mrs May insisted during her presentation that she could change the "dynamic" at Westminster and overcome a wall of hostility in her ruling Conservative party towards her compromise plan.She urged the EU27 to offer a legal tweak that would, in effect, put a one-year time limit on the Irish backstop, which is seen by Eurosceptic MPs as a "trap" to keep the UK in a permanent customs union.But her presentation, which also included a suggestion that the non-binding political declaration on future UK/EU relations should be given a legal footing as an annexe to the legal withdrawal treaty, went down badly."It was Salzburg all over again," said another EU diplomat, referring to the acrimonious summit in September.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 14, 2018, 08:03:26 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 01:19:53 AM
Quote from: Franko on December 14, 2018, 12:56:14 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 11:43:36 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:52:02 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 09:38:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 13, 2018, 09:13:13 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 13, 2018, 03:38:02 PM
I'd warn as well that the Brexit referendum proves that the prospect of a unification referendum in the North is an extremely worrying one.

Such a poll should not be held unless and until opinion polls show a consistent, clear majority in favour of unification. A clear majority means minimum 55-45.

The threat to peace would be too great, and peace is much more important than a united Ireland.

A 51-49 majority in favour of unification would be a nightmarish prospect which would all but condemn the North to another outbreak of bloodshed.

In practical terms, can you outline for me why a 51-49 result would result in bloodshed/carnage and a 55-45 result wouldn't?

At what point in between do unionists change from being hell bent on carnage to deciding they'll just have to accept it?

I can't tell you for certain that a 55-45 result wouldn't result in bloodshed, no more than I can tell you with 100% certainty that 50% +1 would result in bloodshed.

I can't see into the future.

What I can say is that based on a reading of history and an understanding of the siege mentality of Unionists/Loyalists, the holding of a referendum on Irish unification, in a scenario where it would be clear from opinion polling that there would be a wafer thin margin either way, is likely a recipe for serious unrest and could well result in a re-outbreak of violence and killing, and it could be extremely vicious.

For me the Brexit referendum is also a good demonstration of why the holding of a referendum where the result is likely to be very close, is a bad idea. Britain leaving the EU is an emotive issue for sure, but it pales in comparison to the visceral nationalistic emotions that would be stirred on both sides by a referendum on Irish unification.

Therefore, I feel it would be extremely unwise to hold such a referendum unless there was evidence to demonstrate that the pro-unification position had a clear and consistent lead.

The 55-45 margin is my personal call on where the line of that margin lies.

In any such future referendum, it would be better to have a clear result. 55-45 is a clearer result than 51-49. Again, I can't say with certainty whether a clear result would eliminate the prospect of violence - but it would likely lessen it.

The Good Friday Agreement was clearly a very positive development in terms of securing peace. But the principle of consent, while laudable as a principle, has stored up what is effectively a timebomb given that the long term demographic appears to be slowly but inexorably moving towards a Catholic/Nationalist/Republican majority.

How the switching of the majority to the minority and vice versa is handled vis a vis a referendum will be of huge importance in terms of staving off a potential return to violence.

It must be handled with the utmost care and the utmost respect, because the potential is there for disaster.

People shouting for a referendum now flies in the face of that.

As does Brexit.


The lessons of the past are already being unlearned.

Agree with bold.  Though, as some earlier posters mentioned, I think it does no harm to mention it from time to time, to 'normalise' it.

As for the figure, I don't think it will make a blind bit of difference what the majority is (certainly within the limits we are discussing).

So I think we have to accept that 51-49 or 55-45 (or 60-40 for that matter), there will still be a cabal of uber-staunch reprobates who will cause bother when it doesn't go their way.

We can't be beholden to them though.


EDIT.

Just re-read your post there and realised that the only half attempt at an answer to my questions could be boiled down to 'cos I think so'.

The rest is nothing more than a bunch of very noble platitudes and regurgitations of old chestnuts about respect etc...
There's every reason to think the way I do.

The only reason you wouldn't is if you buy into the old misty-eyed romantic nationalist bullshit, ie. a united Ireland any which way and to hell with the consequences.

If opinion polls put the numbers in favour/not in favour of unification at basically 50-50, and the result was on a knife edge, the division and hatred that would be stoked up by a referendum would be nightmarish. There would likely be violence before, during and after the poll.

It would be utterly irresponsible to hold a poll which would be a carte blanche for the headbangers to cause violent mayhem.

If you had a period of, say, two years where opinion polls were consistently showing 55-45 or more in favour of unification, a border poll would become inevitable because of the clear and consistent majority in favour, the result wouldd become inevitable, and the Protestant/Unionist/Loyalist community would at least have time to come to terms with what was happening.

Time, acceptance and respect are the keys to unification ever happening.

There may well be some Loyalists who would still be intent on violence with a 55-45 result for unification, or 60-40, or an even greater margin. It could be that no margin, no matter how big, would make certian people accept that being taken out of the United Kingdom in a referendum was legitimate. But the greater the margin, the less would be the legitimacy of any violence in the eyes of the Protestant/Unionist/Loyalist community as a whole. I think that's unarguable.

I'd like to see unification but I'd be more than prepared to wait an extra 30 or 40 years for it to happen if it meant there was a better chance that people wouldn't be killed.

Here's another thing. When people voted for Brexit they didn't know what they were voting for. Those who would vote for a united Ireland might think they would know what they would be voting for. But would they?

Because there would be those who would expect all the trappings and official culture of the 26 county state to be immediately extended to the six counties - the tricolour to fly over City Hall in Belfast etc., that unionist culture be basically be obliterated. That we'd "stick it to them once and for all".

Then, there would be those, like myself, who would be prepared to see a united Ireland as being effectively the creation of new state rather than it merely being a case of the six counties being subsumed into the Republic. A new state with a new flag and a new anthem etc., with Britain having some say over the six counties in a similar way to how the Republic has some say over the North now.

There would be hard united Irelanders and soft united Irelanders. The hard united Irelanders mightn't particularly like the ideas of the soft united Irelanders, never mind the ideas of those who opposed a united Ireland. The united Ireland that occurred in practice would likely not be the united Ireland they imagined.

Don't know how you reconcile the earlier 'I can't see into the future' statement with the bit in bold.  It would seem that this is a selective ability.

Anyway.  Your last few paragraphs are again a regurgitation of old tropes which are endlessly thrown around here.  There's nothing new in any of it.  It's a very foolish person who would think that a new Ireland would be merely an enlarged version of the 26 counties.  It doesn't need repeated.

And I can't agree that we need to wait until we see a clear majority before conducting a poll.  You've yet to produce any tangible evidence as to why we should wait.  Your 55-45 figure is unbelievably arbitrary - at very best!  What's to say that when we get to 55-45, some don't just decide that it would need to be 60-40?  It's just another makey-uppy figure after all with no logical basis other than 'I think it sounds right'.  It doesn't matter if we waited until it was 99-1 - you still couldn't guarantee that a reaction from the lunatic fringe of loyalism/unionism wouldn't get someone killed.

On the other hand, we have an international agreement made between both sides, and voted for by a huge majority of the population.  An agreement which has formed the basis for the running of this annex for two decades and indeed, which might be the only thing saving us from being torn out of the EU against our will by a bunch of racists from Eton.  The figure in this agreement is 50% +1.  It's not hidden, it's been front and centre for 20 years.  Unionism has had more than enough time to come to terms with it.  If we're going to change that it's going to need a more solid basis than 'I reckon that sounds aboout right'.
Using the word "tropes" doesn't confer your post with any insight.

I've already said I can't see into the future with certainty. Nobody can.

The "tangible evidence" is history. The history of the six counties is an extremely dark one, marred with appalling sectarian murder. Very recent history. It's an extremely unwise thing to go poking those ghosts for kicks before they've even rested. If they are going to be poked, people need to be as sure as they can be that they won't come back to bite.

Yet we have a generation now who don't remember the Troubles, so don't remember the horrors of it. And we have a generation in loads of countries who are seemingly entirely willing to reawaken old prejudices and hatreds, and new ones, based on ignorant populist nonsense. We live in an unheroic age. There are plenty of gullible, stupid young men around who might be only too willing to be "heroic" in the name of a "glorious cause".

These are very dangerous forces and it seems far too many people don't understand what they're playing with.

The margin needs to be clear and it needs to be consistent. 10 is a clear margin and well outside the margin of error. 1 or 2 is not.

Brexit is not an excuse for a border poll based on absolutely wafer thin figures in favour of unification at best, and which could easily restart violence.

Brexit is a lesson against holding such a poll.

Not sure why you felt the need to pick on the word tropes there?  The bit I've highlighted is not disputed by anyone (a little adjective-laden though).  Nor is it news to anyone.  Why do you keep saying things like this, in post after post, as if you are offering some new perspective on the issue?  Also, holding a poll on the reunification of the country is not 'poking ghosts for kicks'.  Language like that does your argument no favours.

Anyway.  We need to be sure that we are talking about the same thing.  The reality is that a border poll probably won't be held until there is a clear and consistent majority in favour of unification.  It's likely going to take many months/years of opinion polls showing this before the British Gov't will be forced into agreeing to letting it happen.  I don't like this, but I can live with this.  I don't think it needs copper fastened though.

If however, you are talking about moving the goalposts and renegotiating the GFA so that, in the event of such a poll, the bar for change is set to 55-45 then my original point stands.  IMO You haven't come up with anything convincing here to back up such a viewpoint.

You've said there might be violence, but you can't be sure how much, and you can't be sure that, even if the bar is set at 55, there won't be violence anyway, but there might be less.  So I ask - how much violence is acceptable?
The next statement is that "10 is a clear margin and well outside the margin of error. 1 or 2 is not".  Again, this is undisputed, but completely arbitrary.  So is 8.  But 10 just sounds like a nicer number doesn't it.

Your second last paragraph is, again, not disputed (or mentioned) by me.  I'm not sure why you felt the need to mention it.

Brexit is not a lesson against holding a poll with potentially tight margins, the lesson in the Brexit poll is not to to hold such a vote *without clearly defined outcomes*.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on December 14, 2018, 08:23:01 AM
50+1 end of story. If people want to wait for polls showing 55-45 pro UI then guess what they are already here so tick tock

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/half-of-voters-in-north-back-a-united-ireland-after-mays-brexit-d8zlmvk2v?fbclid=IwAR1sxnDEyI3I9cZl3v4-nEYHXIjn91nFlogoksOt5F9-3sc0jNVu16FtWKQ

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1055934/brexit-latest-news-theresa-may-deal-northern-ireland-border-united-ireland-poll?fbclid=IwAR1JHAujS8n-OeoT2Sg27eTV0Zr8kZHt1b1P7Iyq8rj-cQLzX8OYCUYfTHs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 14, 2018, 08:34:40 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/18a45078-fe0a-11e8-ac00-57a2a826423e

Voters decided by a small margin to leave the EU. Their judgment collided with that of most MPs. What we have seen since is a perpetual political dance around the consequences. Erstwhile Remainers — Mrs May most prominently — have promised to "make a success" of an enterprise they know can only end in failure.

https://www.ft.com/content/18a45078-fe0a-11e8-ac00-57a2a826423e
The prime minister's red lines were drawn not as a framework for a coherent negotiating strategy but with the political objective of shoring up her credentials with the Brexiters.What left Mrs May's deal with the EU27 dead on arrival is that, unavoidably, it exploded the pretences of the Brexiters

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/12/13/next-brexiteers-jacob-rees-mogg-erg-can-do-next/
Brexiteers might not have to wait long before events give them a new opportunity to move against Mrs May. If European leaders refuse to give the reassurances on the backstop the Prime Minister seeks, and has promised her party, Liam Fox has indicated that the Cabinet could refuse to allow her deal to be put to Parliament
.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/12/13/civil-war-breaks-among-tories-chancellor-branded-moron-calling
Another senior Brexiteer added: "We need to polish up the language around no deal and turn it into something that sounds attractive rather than frightening. No deal isn't a cliff edge - it's a get out of jail free card."


https://www.ft.com/content/5a649ddc-ff0a-11e8-ac00-57a2a826423e

During more than two hours of talks over dinner, EU leaders agreed to scrap plans for a formal process to provide reassurances to Britain until Mrs May decided what she wants."This debate is sometimes nebulous and imprecise," said Jean-Claude Juncker, European Commission president. "When it comes to the future relationship, our British friends need to say what they want, rather than asking us what we want."
When it comes to the future relationship, our British friends need to say what they want, rather than asking us
Michel Barnier, EU chief Brexit negotiator, claimed that Mrs May was not seeking reassurances but was reviving old ideas rejected during Brexit negotiations. One EU diplomat briefed on the talks said Mrs May was "unprofessional".Another EU diplomat claimed that there was even a suggestion that it might have been better if Mrs May had been ejected from Downing Street in this week's abortive coup by Tory Eurosceptics. "She didn't know what she wanted," the diplomat said. Mrs May insisted during her presentation that she could change the "dynamic" at Westminster and overcome a wall of hostility in her ruling Conservative party towards her compromise plan.She urged the EU27 to offer a legal tweak that would, in effect, put a one-year time limit on the Irish backstop, which is seen by Eurosceptic MPs as a "trap" to keep the UK in a permanent customs union.But her presentation, which also included a suggestion that the non-binding political declaration on future UK/EU relations should be given a legal footing as an annexe to the legal withdrawal treaty, went down badly."It was Salzburg all over again," said another EU diplomat, referring to the acrimonious summit in September.


Funnymoney 4 minutes ago
This is the most dramatic act of self destruction a developed country has embarked on in modern times. Slow motion nation wreck
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on December 14, 2018, 10:07:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 13, 2018, 04:47:55 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 13, 2018, 04:32:24 PM
I've given ye the broad plan for an All Ireland political entity on this board many times over the years.
An Irish  Confederation with 2 semi autonomous Regions -the present 6 and 26 Co areas.
The IC would have a new flagship and anthem while the 26 Co region could keep the Tricolour answer AnabhF.
A slimmed down Dáil and Northern Assembly would run internal affairs in their areas.
6 Cos Residents would be entitled to dual citizenship as now - if Britain still exists by then of course.

A lot of that sounds fairly reasonable as a starting point Rossfan.
I actually think people in the south would find it more difficult to leave behind symbols than northern nationalists, and maybe Rossfans point above demonstrates that. Most nationalists I have spoken to would be in favour of a new anthem and new flag. I wouldn't be in favour of the 26 holding on to the Tricolour and Amhrán na bhFiann  and Ireland as a whole having a new anthem. That just seems partitionist to me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 14, 2018, 10:26:04 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on December 14, 2018, 10:11:51 AM
Twitter thread from an Aussie working at Politico.

QuoteRyan Heath @PoliticoRyan
#Brexit #thread
1/ If you don't follow Brexit every day, here's some advice. Let go of any illusions that this drama is about trade protocols, residency rights or the status of the Irish border. Brexit is the story of a proud former imperial power undergoing a mid-life crisis

2/ The rest of the world is left listening to Britain's therapy session as they drone on about their ex-spouse, unable to see, admit or address their own flaws.

3/ The promise of Brexit was that it would make Britain feel big again. "Britain is special," the Brexiteers assured British voters, who cast their ballots accordingly. But Brexit has proven that for the first time in modern history, Britain is small.

4/ The false comforts of a nuclear submarines and a U.N. veto (and, ironically, EU membership) tricked Britain into thinking it knows how to negotiate with a much larger partner: it has no clue how to conduct diplomacy as the newly minted club-less middle power that it is.

5/ Accustomed to issuing colonial diktats and chucking liberal bombs into the EU pond, knowing it would only ever be treated like a naughty child, the country has no idea about the give and take of real negotiations.

6/ Britain couldn't even hire its own trade negotiator: the shortlist consisted of an Australian, a Canadian and a New Zealander. That is not the start of a joke. That is the joke.

7/ Britain's political and journalistic classes are simply unused to having to consider the opinions of others. It's no wonder the rest of the country is clueless about what they've walked into.

8/ I wish I could say this was surprising (i guess the depth of the mess is), but I've spent my life in the shadow of Britain's identity complex: as an Australian who worked for the U.K. government, the EU and now as a journalist covering Brexit. So, no real surprise

9/ While many Brits have strong emotions about the EU, they rarely have a strong understanding. I feel like a kindergarten teacher nearly every time I speak on the issue

10/ But while Britain's media were the original misinformation machine about the EU, long before we had Macedonian troll factories and Russian bots. Other Britons don't deserve a free pass: millions consumed those fibs + spineless politicians avoided hassle of correcting them

11/ Given we blame Greeks for blowing up their economy and hold accountable big-spending governments for saddling future generations with excessive debts. It's time Brits reckoned with what they sowed through 45 years of shallow EU debate.

12/ It is Britain's unique ignorance that makes Britain so boring. Nothing tells the story better than the sad stop-start diplomacy of Theresa May. The prime minister is an appropriate leader for a shrinking Britain — vague, inconsistent and improvised

13/ May's frequent mad dashes across Europe underline how the U.K. lost the negotiation before it had begun. She flies across the Continent with fanfare, but only driven by domestic pressures — not a desire to find common ground with those on the other side of the table.

14/ Meanwhile, EU negotiators have laboriously and quietly toured every capital, building up their united front before the talks started. Chief negotiator Michel Barnier could find himself locked in a thousand black cars, and it wouldn't matter: He'd step out smiling every time

15/ Britain's political contortions are symptoms of an almost willful lack of understanding: The U.K. doesn't know what it wants from the EU, and doesn't really know what it wants from getting out.

16/ Britain for decades demanded and won special deals from the EU as a member, and now it thinks it deserves another favor on the way out. How dare the Iittle Irish stand up for themselves and disagree: don't they know who we are?

17/ Today Britain wants things it already has (frictionless trade with the EU), without continuing to pay the price other EU members pay to have it (the legal, economic and political constraints that come with EU membership).

18/ Balancing competing interests is difficult enough for individual countries. Look at U.S. Congress, the German federal system, or even the mighty French presidency trying to cope with the yellow vest street protest movement. Doing the same across 27 countries is much harder.

19/ 28-way negotiations take time, and any sudden sharp policy change has the potential to disrupt the EU's equilibrium. The deal on offer is the best London is going to get — simply because it is the best Brussels is going to be able to offer.

20/ And yet, cheered on by two ex-U.K. Brexit negotiators who barely bothered to show up in Brussels and negotiate, British politicians are lining up like whiny children to demand the remaining 27 EU countries make amendments to the Brexit deal.

21/ Britain has a lesson to learn. What a global power can pass off "exceptionalism," for a medium-sized country simply comes across as ingratitude. Full article on @POLITICOEurope https://www.politico.eu/article/brexit-britain-small-boring-and-stupid-theresa-may-eu-withdrawal-deal/ #EUCO #BrexitDeal

https://www.twitter.com/PoliticoRyan/status/1073226614773829632

I really like that thread. really on the ball

This is also top notch

https://news.liverpool.ac.uk/2018/12/13/full-speech-sir-ivan-rogers-on-brexit/


the money shot for Ireland

"And finally, the solidarity of the club members will ALWAYS be with each other, not with you. We have seen that over the backstop issue over the last 18 months. The 26 supported Dublin, not London. They still do. Nothing the Prime Minister now bids for will change that.
This may the first Anglo-Irish negotiation in history where the greater leverage is not on London's side of the table. And the vituperation aimed at Dublin politicians tells one just how well that has gone down with politicians and apparatchiks who had not bothered to work out that this was no longer a bilateral business, and are now appalled to find they are cornered"

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 10:52:28 AM
Theresa May and Celtic have something in common.

They both repeated their autumn Salzburg humiliations last night.

But there are also key differences.

The Norway option came good in the end for Celtic, and kept them in Europe.

It won't for May.

Celtic ended up reaching the last 32.

May could end up losing the whole 32.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on December 14, 2018, 12:03:42 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 10:52:28 AM
Theresa May and Celtic have something in common.

They both repeated their autumn Salzburg humiliations last night.

But there are also key differences.

The Norway option came good in the end for Celtic, and kept them in Europe.

It won't for May.

Celtic ended up reaching the last 32.

May could end up losing the whole 32.

I'll give you 6 out of 10 for that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 12:33:58 PM
Quote from: Orior on December 14, 2018, 12:03:42 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 10:52:28 AM
Theresa May and Celtic have something in common.

They both repeated their autumn Salzburg humiliations last night.

But there are also key differences.

The Norway option came good in the end for Celtic, and kept them in Europe.

It won't for May.

Celtic ended up reaching the last 32.

May could end up losing the whole 32.

I'll give you 6 out of 10 for that.
6 out of 9, surely?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 14, 2018, 01:18:12 PM
Nebulous means nebulous!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 14, 2018, 01:25:27 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 10:52:28 AM
Theresa May and Celtic have something in common.

They both repeated their autumn Salzburg humiliations last night.

But there are also key differences.

The Norway option came good in the end for Celtic, and kept them in Europe.

It won't for May.

Celtic ended up reaching the last 32.

May could end up losing the whole 32.

Did you write that yourself?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 14, 2018, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 14, 2018, 01:18:12 PM
Nebulous means nebulous!!
the sun is shouting and roaring about Juncker insulting May . ~It is all a big distraction from the fact that the UK is goosed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on December 14, 2018, 02:01:03 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 14, 2018, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 14, 2018, 01:18:12 PM
Nebulous means nebulous!!
the sun is shouting and roaring about Juncker insulting May . ~It is all a big distraction from the fact that the UK is goosed.

As someone else pointed out, if she is insulted by that then stay of her twitter feed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 14, 2018, 02:25:26 PM
The EU council must despair of May at this stage. What part of 'No' does she not understand? Running about Europe, getting rebuffed repeatedly. It's humiliating for her and Britain in general.

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/unprofessional-may-alienated-european-leaders-with-summit-dinner-speech-1.3731409

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 02:42:12 PM
Quote from: mouview on December 14, 2018, 02:25:26 PM
The EU council must despair of May at this stage. What part of 'No' does she not understand? Running about Europe, getting rebuffed repeatedly. It's humiliating for her and Britain in general.

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/unprofessional-may-alienated-european-leaders-with-summit-dinner-speech-1.3731409
Mr. Tusk has made it quite clear, and so has Mr. Barnier as chief negotiator, that a temporary backstop...was one "solution" proposed by Britain... that is OUT.

A second "solution" was "technology" as a solution to the border question...that is OUT.

A third solution was Norway...that is OUT.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on December 14, 2018, 02:47:10 PM
But Ulster says NO!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 02:48:18 PM
May's deal...that is OUT.
Renegotiation of May's deal...that is OUT.
A General Election...that is OUT.
No deal...that is OUT.
A second referendum...that is OUT.
Article 50 extension...that is OUT.
Article 50 being cancelled...that is OUT.
Unicorns...that is OUT.

Duck's off.

No dinner.

Don't mention the war.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on December 14, 2018, 02:55:27 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 14, 2018, 02:48:18 PM
May's deal...that is OUT.
Renegotiation of May's deal...that is OUT.
A General Election...that is OUT.
No deal...that is OUT.
A second referendum...that is OUT.
Article 50 extension...that is OUT.
Article 50 being cancelled...that is OUT.
Unicorns...that is OUT.

Duck's off.

No dinner.

Don't mention the war.

Vote Quimby!

(https://i.imgflip.com/1bpz0p.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 14, 2018, 03:34:39 PM
(https://static.tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pub/images/dead-unicorn1.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on December 17, 2018, 08:06:22 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on December 14, 2018, 10:07:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 13, 2018, 04:47:55 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 13, 2018, 04:32:24 PM
I've given ye the broad plan for an All Ireland political entity on this board many times over the years.
An Irish  Confederation with 2 semi autonomous Regions -the present 6 and 26 Co areas.
The IC would have a new flagship and anthem while the 26 Co region could keep the Tricolour answer AnabhF.
A slimmed down Dáil and Northern Assembly would run internal affairs in their areas.
6 Cos Residents would be entitled to dual citizenship as now - if Britain still exists by then of course.

A lot of that sounds fairly reasonable as a starting point Rossfan.
I actually think people in the south would find it more difficult to leave behind symbols than northern nationalists, and maybe Rossfans point above demonstrates that. Most nationalists I have spoken to would be in favour of a new anthem and new flag. I wouldn't be in favour of the 26 holding on to the Tricolour and Amhrán na bhFiann  and Ireland as a whole having a new anthem. That just seems partitionist to me.

Purely to play devils advocate....

If, after a 50%+1 vote for Irish unity in Northern Ireland (as per GFA) talks on the form of this New Ireland stalled and no agreement could be reached on subventions from Westminister or Brussels resulting in a backlash against the plan due to the costs, etc, would you entertain the notion of a second referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 17, 2018, 09:13:33 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on December 17, 2018, 08:06:22 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on December 14, 2018, 10:07:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 13, 2018, 04:47:55 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 13, 2018, 04:32:24 PM
I've given ye the broad plan for an All Ireland political entity on this board many times over the years.
An Irish  Confederation with 2 semi autonomous Regions -the present 6 and 26 Co areas.
The IC would have a new flagship and anthem while the 26 Co region could keep the Tricolour answer AnabhF.
A slimmed down Dáil and Northern Assembly would run internal affairs in their areas.
6 Cos Residents would be entitled to dual citizenship as now - if Britain still exists by then of course.

A lot of that sounds fairly reasonable as a starting point Rossfan.
I actually think people in the south would find it more difficult to leave behind symbols than northern nationalists, and maybe Rossfans point above demonstrates that. Most nationalists I have spoken to would be in favour of a new anthem and new flag. I wouldn't be in favour of the 26 holding on to the Tricolour and Amhrán na bhFiann  and Ireland as a whole having a new anthem. That just seems partitionist to me.

Purely to play devils advocate....

If, after a 50%+1 vote for Irish unity in Northern Ireland (as per GFA) talks on the form of this New Ireland stalled and no agreement could be reached on subventions from Westminister or Brussels resulting in a backlash against the plan due to the costs, etc, would you entertain the notion of a second referendum?

I would hope that the nuances around reunification are discussed before the vote, so that we wouldn't be going into it completely in the dark.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on December 17, 2018, 09:50:25 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on December 17, 2018, 09:13:33 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on December 17, 2018, 08:06:22 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on December 14, 2018, 10:07:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 13, 2018, 04:47:55 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 13, 2018, 04:32:24 PM
I've given ye the broad plan for an All Ireland political entity on this board many times over the years.
An Irish  Confederation with 2 semi autonomous Regions -the present 6 and 26 Co areas.
The IC would have a new flagship and anthem while the 26 Co region could keep the Tricolour answer AnabhF.
A slimmed down Dáil and Northern Assembly would run internal affairs in their areas.
6 Cos Residents would be entitled to dual citizenship as now - if Britain still exists by then of course.

A lot of that sounds fairly reasonable as a starting point Rossfan.
I actually think people in the south would find it more difficult to leave behind symbols than northern nationalists, and maybe Rossfans point above demonstrates that. Most nationalists I have spoken to would be in favour of a new anthem and new flag. I wouldn't be in favour of the 26 holding on to the Tricolour and Amhrán na bhFiann  and Ireland as a whole having a new anthem. That just seems partitionist to me.

Purely to play devils advocate....

If, after a 50%+1 vote for Irish unity in Northern Ireland (as per GFA) talks on the form of this New Ireland stalled and no agreement could be reached on subventions from Westminister or Brussels resulting in a backlash against the plan due to the costs, etc, would you entertain the notion of a second referendum?

I would hope that the nuances around reunification are discussed before the vote, so that we wouldn't be going into it completely in the dark.
To draw further parallels, the Brexit voste would have to have to either given multiple choice options (Remain, Remain in EEA, Remain in SM, Have a Customs union, crash out, etc) leading to no one option getting an overall majority or the UK government would have unilaterally picked one of those options and agreed it with EU prior to the referendum.

Could we trust them to get it right this time and to then pick their preferred option prior to calling a poll?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 17, 2018, 10:23:43 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 14, 2018, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 14, 2018, 01:18:12 PM
Nebulous means nebulous!!
the sun is shouting and roaring about Juncker insulting May . ~It is all a big distraction from the fact that the UK is goosed.

Ah but it's ok for the Sun to cut seven shades of shite out of her, but god forbid if Johnny Foreigner points out what is plainly obvious to everyone that May hasn't got the foggiest what deal she can get through Parliament.

She's fucked this up from day one but not appointing a cross party committee to deliver a Brexit of sorts.

Corbyn is deluded if he thinks that if he gets in he's going to re-open the process.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 17, 2018, 10:29:59 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 17, 2018, 10:23:43 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 14, 2018, 01:36:43 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 14, 2018, 01:18:12 PM
Nebulous means nebulous!!
the sun is shouting and roaring about Juncker insulting May . ~It is all a big distraction from the fact that the UK is goosed.

Ah but it's ok for the Sun to cut seven shades of shite out of her, but god forbid if Johnny Foreigner points out what is plainly obvious to everyone that May hasn't got the foggiest what deal she can get through Parliament.

She's fucked this up from day one but not appointing a cross party committee to deliver a Brexit of sorts
.

Corbyn is deluded if he thinks that if he gets in he's going to re-open the process.

At the very least she should have done this after making a balls of the general election in 2017. Clearly the plan was to win a big enough majority so she could pass whatever she fancied when it came to these crucial last few months.
It didn't work out that way but she continued with this tactic regardless, foolishly, and is heading straight into a brick wall very very soon unless there's a serious change of heart from Labour (unlikely).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 17, 2018, 10:34:18 AM
She's botched everything she's touched during her whole tenure as PM. There was a poll of sorts last week where she came second only to Cameron as worst PM ever. I actually think she's worse; Cameron took a stupid gamble and lost but wasn't all bad. May is just thoroughly and utterly useless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on December 17, 2018, 11:21:30 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 17, 2018, 10:34:18 AM
She's botched everything she's touched during her whole tenure as PM. There was a poll of sorts last week where she came second only to Cameron as worst PM ever. I actually think she's worse; Cameron took a stupid gamble and lost but wasn't all bad. May is just thoroughly and utterly useless.

I think she has been unlucky. Brexit was the worst hospital pass ever.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 17, 2018, 11:28:55 AM
Quote from: Orior on December 17, 2018, 11:21:30 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 17, 2018, 10:34:18 AM
She's botched everything she's touched during her whole tenure as PM. There was a poll of sorts last week where she came second only to Cameron as worst PM ever. I actually think she's worse; Cameron took a stupid gamble and lost but wasn't all bad. May is just thoroughly and utterly useless.

I think she has been unlucky. Brexit was the worst hospital pass ever.

She knew it, Gove knew it, Boris knew it, Little Lord Fauntleroy knew it too, but she was too power hungry to see it and went for it, career is over now, but her and her Venture Capitalist husband can ride off into the sunset with zero impact of their quality of life.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: upmonaghansayswe on December 17, 2018, 11:29:29 AM
So according to reports, May tabled three proposals last week.

Append the political declaration to the withdrawal agreement – so asking to turn fluffy terms like best endeavours into a legal context. Sounds bonkers. Set a fixed date for the free trade agreement to be finalised (Dec 2020) to prevent the need of the backstop – Canada took 7 years to do this and the UK (with a land border) think it can definitely be done it 18 months? Sounds bonkers. Commence the FTA talks prior to leaving in March – considering where the Commons are at adding anything more to the schedule before March sounds em bonkers.

How is Theresa May going to spin these updates to Parliament today?

There may be some clarifications coming from the EU but no legal assurances. She has to set out some plan for the next month that isn't, think about the consequences of no deal and vote for this!

What we can't find out now was the appetite for GB MPs for the 2-step backstop that the EU originally proposed. The UK wide backstop allowed GB MPs to be p1ssed off at two things, GB being in a customs union backstop and the splitting the precious union idea. Maybe if the first part had been split into two, an NI specific backstop followed by a GB one, the idea of the GB being in a customs union backstop may have been able to be sold as a much less likely outcome. Then the splitting the union idea would solely be an NI issue with less GB MPs grief grabbing. Of course this would have meant throwing the DUP under the bus much sooner and hoping for more cross-party support, which may not have happened anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on December 17, 2018, 11:39:06 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on December 17, 2018, 09:50:25 AM

To draw further parallels, the Brexit voste would have to have to either given multiple choice options (Remain, Remain in EEA, Remain in SM, Have a Customs union, crash out, etc) leading to no one option getting an overall majority or the UK government would have unilaterally picked one of those options and agreed it with EU prior to the referendum.

Could we trust them to get it right this time and to then pick their preferred option prior to calling a poll?

I presume in such a scenario, they'd use a PR system of voting to choose the preferred option
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 17, 2018, 01:29:11 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on December 17, 2018, 11:29:29 AM
So according to reports, May tabled three proposals last week.

Append the political declaration to the withdrawal agreement – so asking to turn fluffy terms like best endeavours into a legal context. Sounds bonkers. Set a fixed date for the free trade agreement to be finalised (Dec 2020) to prevent the need of the backstop – Canada took 7 years to do this and the UK (with a land border) think it can definitely be done it 18 months? Sounds bonkers. Commence the FTA talks prior to leaving in March – considering where the Commons are at adding anything more to the schedule before March sounds em bonkers.


18 months?

I was under the impression Britain thought it could be done in half an hour.

Now I hear people talking about trade deals taking seven or even ten years!

Who knew trade deals could be so complicated?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: upmonaghansayswe on December 17, 2018, 01:41:43 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on December 17, 2018, 11:39:06 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on December 17, 2018, 09:50:25 AM

To draw further parallels, the Brexit voste would have to have to either given multiple choice options (Remain, Remain in EEA, Remain in SM, Have a Customs union, crash out, etc) leading to no one option getting an overall majority or the UK government would have unilaterally picked one of those options and agreed it with EU prior to the referendum.

Could we trust them to get it right this time and to then pick their preferred option prior to calling a poll?


I presume in such a scenario, they'd use a PR system of voting to choose the preferred option

Do what Newfoundland did. 3 options? - Mays Deal, No Deal, Remain

From wiki
The island of Newfoundland, then a British colony, held two referendums in 1948 to determine its future. An initial referendum was held on June 3, 1948, to decide between continuing with the British appointed Commission of Government that had ruled the island since the 1930s, revert to dominion status with responsible government, or join Canadian Confederation. The result was inconclusive, with 44.6% supporting the restoration of dominion status, 41.1% for confederation with Canada, and 14.3% for continuing the Commission of Government. A second referendum on July 22, 1948, which asked Newfoundlanders to choose between confederation and dominion status, was decided by a vote of 52% to 48% for confederation with Canada. Newfoundland joined Canada on March 31, 1949.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 17, 2018, 03:13:30 PM
Corbyn finally showing some balls for a change . . . the rollercoaster continues!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 17, 2018, 06:49:04 PM
Brexit downfall style

https://youtu.be/prFjbFDA1WY
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on December 17, 2018, 07:08:10 PM
Hold on - there's hope yet. Finally, one of the great minds of British politics is focussing her formidable intellect and finely honed diplomatic skills on the issue.
https://www.joe.ie/news/latest-remarks-labour-mp-brexit-border-baffling-651977 (https://www.joe.ie/news/latest-remarks-labour-mp-brexit-border-baffling-651977)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 17, 2018, 08:04:45 PM
Thoroughly odious human being
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 17, 2018, 10:16:19 PM
Quote from: Hardy on December 17, 2018, 07:08:10 PM
Hold on - there's hope yet. Finally, one of the great minds of British politics is focussing her formidable intellect and finely honed diplomatic skills on the issue.
https://www.joe.ie/news/latest-remarks-labour-mp-brexit-border-baffling-651977 (https://www.joe.ie/news/latest-remarks-labour-mp-brexit-border-baffling-651977)

That web site is click bait crap but without clicking on it at a guess it is kate hoey!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on December 17, 2018, 10:24:50 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 17, 2018, 08:04:45 PM
Thoroughly odious human being

Who would turn down a threesome with Roof Dudley Edwards and Kate Hoey?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 18, 2018, 10:32:39 AM
Quote from: Orior on December 17, 2018, 10:24:50 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 17, 2018, 08:04:45 PM
Thoroughly odious human being

Who would turn down a threesome with Roof Dudley Edwards and Kate Hoey?

You'd need a brave dose of viagra and some other hallucinogenic substance to stir the loins..............
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on December 18, 2018, 01:04:36 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 17, 2018, 03:13:30 PM
Corbyn finally showing some balls for a change . . . the rollercoaster continues!!

Spineless.....he should have called for a motion of no confidence in the government.
A crisis and the shower decide to take two week holiday.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 18, 2018, 01:25:06 PM
The cult of Corbyn is going to crucify Labour eventually.

While I sincerely doubt he has any Brexit alternative and reckon he's winging it like the rest of them Corbyn playing his cards close to his chest is understandable - the Tories took the best bits of Labour's manifesto and enacted it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 18, 2018, 01:37:51 PM
Verhofstadt says no deal is not acceptable and that the EU will not cooperate

https://www.teletrader.com/eus-verhofstadt-dismisses-managed-no-deal-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 19, 2018, 03:15:05 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 18, 2018, 01:25:06 PM
The cult of Corbyn is going to crucify Labour eventually.

While I sincerely doubt he has any Brexit alternative and reckon he's winging it like the rest of them Corbyn playing his cards close to his chest is understandable - the Tories took the best bits of Labour's manifesto and enacted it.

Poor Jeremy in a bit of bother for mumbling "stupid woman" about Teasie.

Seems that that's not on, but lying through your teeth in plummy accents is.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 29, 2018, 09:54:33 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-46704522

Interesting that the two biggest winners are French and Dutch shipping companies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 31, 2018, 12:07:47 AM
£14m handed out to a shipping company set up 2 years ago to be ready for a no deal brexit. Owner of JCB has a role in said company who is Pro brexit. Big smelly rat is this one

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-46714984 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-46714984)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 04, 2019, 01:09:01 AM
It's the way you tell them

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/jan/03/police-reinforcements-for-northern-ireland-in-case-of-no-deal-brexit-1000-officers-training-trouble-hard-border
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 07, 2019, 06:58:03 AM
140+ factual, fully-sourced examples of the impact Brexit is already having on the UK. Jobs going, investment drying up, companies moving assets to the EU, or redomiciling. And all happening as Government burns through £billions chasing a no deal Brexit.

https://twitter.com/uk_domain_names/status/1081836120617439233?s=21

And it hasn't happened yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 08, 2019, 10:23:59 AM
https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial/status/1082231005396783104

This winds me up to no end I'd have called in if I'd have been listening at the time I feel bad for the unfortunate soul who wasn't sure what he was talking about.

Yes the UK can still accept in whatever goods they want but the EU have a different set of rules for exporting to countries outside of the EU which entail inspections and export certificates per shipment before you even get to the customs issue . . . it is not as simple as these c***ts are making it out to be!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on January 08, 2019, 12:16:00 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 08, 2019, 10:23:59 AM
https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial/status/1082231005396783104 (https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial/status/1082231005396783104)

This winds me up to no end I'd have called in if I'd have been listening at the time I feel bad for the unfortunate soul who wasn't sure what he was talking about.

Yes the UK can still accept in whatever goods they want but the EU have a different set of rules for exporting to countries outside of the EU which entail inspections and export certificates per shipment before you even get to the customs issue . . . it is not as simple as these c***ts are making it out to be!!

Correct and these c***ts, as you correctly describe them, either don't know or are lying about the fact that the UK CANNOT accept whatever goods they want on whatever terms they want if they hope to trade under WTO terms.

The WTO has a set of minimum tariffs for all goods that automatically apply to all members who have not agreed individual terms with the WTO for each individual category of goods. Try flouting that and taking in EU goods tariff free on a freelance basis and find out what happens to tariffs on all your exports to all WTO member states.

And the mantra that all will be fine trading on WTO terms fails to take account of the fact that "WTO terms" take years to negotiate for each individual category of goods. This is mainly because these terms have to be unanimously agreed by all WTO member states. And of course most of these states will individually see this as a horse-trading opportunity. In the meantime, the minimum tariffs apply.

It's just another reason why no deal will be a catastrophe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 08, 2019, 12:54:14 PM
I believe DUPUDA not happy that there will be curbs on low paid immigrants to the 6 Cos after the Britnats get their Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 11, 2019, 11:39:54 AM
Interesting bit of theatre yesterday with most of the DUP MP's suddenly becoming available to meet Simon Coveney after he'd suggested that they'd refused his offer on Good Morning Ulster. Christopher (I'm younger than I look) Stalford struggled to explain what happened but mumbled something about the Irish Government not following up on it's initial request and then playing the I'm not sure card when pressed further...

On the TV coverage it was interesting that they showed poor Gregory Campbell being made to swap seats with Nige so that Nige could get closer to Coveney for the cameras. Our Nige pulling rank on wee Gregory.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 11, 2019, 11:48:30 AM
Gregory Campbell, yes Gregory Campbell, told Coveney to have a bit of humility  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 11, 2019, 12:12:48 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 11, 2019, 11:39:54 AM
Interesting bit of theatre yesterday with most of the DUP MP's suddenly becoming available to meet Simon Coveney after he'd suggested that they'd refused his offer on Good Morning Ulster. Christopher (I'm younger than I look) Stalford struggled to explain what happened but mumbled something about the Irish Government not following up on it's initial request and then playing the I'm not sure card when pressed further...

On the TV coverage it was interesting that they showed poor Gregory Campbell being made to swap seats with Nige so that Nige could get closer to Coveney for the cameras. Our Nige pulling rank on wee Gregory.

Coveney has a degree  in Agriculture and a firm grasp on Economics and Trade Mechanisms. So he's maybe the best Equipped on how to educate those Animals (DUP) on how their reluctance to embrace NI's great opportunity that this current deal is and the only trough they should be drinking from.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on January 11, 2019, 02:18:32 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 11, 2019, 11:39:54 AM
Interesting bit of theatre yesterday with most of the DUP MP's suddenly becoming available to meet Simon Coveney after he'd suggested that they'd refused his offer on Good Morning Ulster. Christopher (I'm younger than I look) Stalford struggled to explain what happened but mumbled something about the Irish Government not following up on it's initial request and then playing the I'm not sure card when pressed further...

I heard that - Stalford said that the Irish government didn't follow up on the invite they issued...well there was obviously no response from the DUP!  Everyone else managed it. 
Always someone else's fault, when even if it was an oversight, it was a DUP oversight!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on January 11, 2019, 02:19:43 PM
The DUP really fecked up with this from the start. They could now be in a position where they could be proclaiming to have maintained the union with GB and also help deliver what would be a fantastic economic opportunity for NI (Which in itself would have reinforced people's acceptance of the status quo). They could have played down the improved links with the South as improved links with the EU market to keep their own supports on side and be portraying this as a success and trying to take the credit for it. Instead they are slowing realising they have backed the wrong horse and can't be seen to lose face to back down despite some of their own supporters turning on them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 11, 2019, 02:43:29 PM
The DUPs biggest mistake - and they've made quite a few around Brexit - may be pissing off a good deal of the Tories, the teat that's been feeding them for a century. It seems extraordinary that a Tory Secretary of State would be threatening them with a border poll. Old grey beard may even be a better friend to them right now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 11, 2019, 02:49:42 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on January 11, 2019, 02:19:43 PM
The DUP really fecked up with this from the start. They could now be in a position where they could be proclaiming to have maintained the union with GB and also help deliver what would be a fantastic economic opportunity for NI (Which in itself would have reinforced people's acceptance of the status quo). They could have played down the improved links with the South as improved links with the EU market to keep their own supports on side and be portraying this as a success and trying to take the credit for it. Instead they are slowing realising they have backed the wrong horse and can't be seen to lose face to back down despite some of their own supporters turning on them.

Not sure about the fact they realise they've backed the wrong horse as their public utterings haven't changed much since the get go.
If they have realised they have backed the wrong horse then they need a face saving way out and with the EU still not for changing any legal text on the backstop it's hard to see them ceding ground on Tuesday.

No Tony Blair doublespeak available to save the day for them.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 11, 2019, 03:03:40 PM
Did that RTE political commentator (Tony Connolly?) not reveal from a source that they discussed Brexit for 10mins, agreeing to back it to the hilt as it would never win?

Their arrogance knows no bounds. Maybe one day loyalists will realise they offer them nothing!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on January 11, 2019, 03:24:53 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 11, 2019, 02:49:42 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on January 11, 2019, 02:19:43 PM
The DUP really fecked up with this from the start. They could now be in a position where they could be proclaiming to have maintained the union with GB and also help deliver what would be a fantastic economic opportunity for NI (Which in itself would have reinforced people's acceptance of the status quo). They could have played down the improved links with the South as improved links with the EU market to keep their own supports on side and be portraying this as a success and trying to take the credit for it. Instead they are slowing realising they have backed the wrong horse and can't be seen to lose face to back down despite some of their own supporters turning on them.

Not sure about the fact they realise they've backed the wrong horse as their public utterings haven't changed much since the get go.
If they have realised they have backed the wrong horse then they need a face saving way out and with the EU still not for changing any legal text on the backstop it's hard to see them ceding ground on Tuesday.

No Tony Blair doublespeak available to save the day for them.

I honestly can't see how the wouldn't realise the mess they've put themselves in. But I think because they were that ferociously in favour of Brexit initially they can't change direction now without admitting they completed misread the circumstances and repercussions and would have to publicly admit they were wrong (When do the DUP ever do this, scratch that, when do politicians ever do that!!). So they have to keep ploughing ahead in the faint hope that there will be some magically deal that they can get behind and when that doesn't happen then either the Tories dump them and fire on with the deal (Or at least a similar one) or if there's no deal they lose support from some of their more realistic supporters when the sh!te hits the fan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 11, 2019, 03:31:21 PM
Some politicians resign but these ones never will. What Paisley was up to would never have stood anywhere else and now he's talking about May making him a cup of tea in a speel which was clearly incredibly arrogant never mind the blatant sexism.The arrogance of these people know no bounds. With things like RHI they'll be alright though but once again they will shaft most of the people who vote for them and they will continue to vote for them.

I am unsure if they understand the implications yet. This is the biggest thing which could wreck their precious union and even if a quarter of the doomsday scenarios predicted come true they are bound to lose some voter base. They are bound to surely...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 11, 2019, 03:55:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 11, 2019, 03:31:21 PM
Some politicians resign but these ones never will. What Paisley was up to would never have stood anywhere else and now he's talking about May making him a cup of tea in a speel which was clearly incredibly arrogant never mind the blatant sexism.The arrogance of these people know no bounds. With things like RHI they'll be alright though but once again they will shaft most of the people who vote for them and they will continue to vote for them.

I am unsure if they understand the implications yet. This is the biggest thing which could wreck their precious union and even if a quarter of the doomsday scenarios predicted come true they are bound to lose some voter base. They are bound to surely...

Never underestimate the voting unionists electorate to cut of their nose off to spite their face. Come election time the fear of a nationalist majority will negate any hard feelings over RHI, standing by MPs with gift holidays and leading their precious union into a no deal Brexit. You have to remember that most of them (DUP) have parachutes and their loyal voters are a resource that will be expended when the time comes, left to wallow in the wreckage along with us nationalist of course.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 11, 2019, 04:19:44 PM
They're a bit tory like in who they have parachutes for though but yeah I would say you're pretty much right anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 12, 2019, 10:54:24 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 11, 2019, 03:55:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 11, 2019, 03:31:21 PM
Some politicians resign but these ones never will. What Paisley was up to would never have stood anywhere else and now he's talking about May making him a cup of tea in a speel which was clearly incredibly arrogant never mind the blatant sexism.The arrogance of these people know no bounds. With things like RHI they'll be alright though but once again they will shaft most of the people who vote for them and they will continue to vote for them.

I am unsure if they understand the implications yet. This is the biggest thing which could wreck their precious union and even if a quarter of the doomsday scenarios predicted come true they are bound to lose some voter base. They are bound to surely...

Never underestimate the voting unionists electorate to cut of their nose off to spite their face. Come election time the fear of a nationalist majority will negate any hard feelings over RHI, standing by MPs with gift holidays and leading their precious union into a no deal Brexit. You have to remember that most of them (DUP) have parachutes and their loyal voters are a resource that will be expended when the time comes, left to wallow in the wreckage along with us nationalist of course.

The inverse of this is true of the Nationalist electorate. It's not a one way street. SF are culpable as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on January 12, 2019, 11:55:38 AM
Are Sinn Fein as bad as the DUP?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 12, 2019, 12:45:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 12, 2019, 10:54:24 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 11, 2019, 03:55:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 11, 2019, 03:31:21 PM
Some politicians resign but these ones never will. What Paisley was up to would never have stood anywhere else and now he's talking about May making him a cup of tea in a speel which was clearly incredibly arrogant never mind the blatant sexism.The arrogance of these people know no bounds. With things like RHI they'll be alright though but once again they will shaft most of the people who vote for them and they will continue to vote for them.

I am unsure if they understand the implications yet. This is the biggest thing which could wreck their precious union and even if a quarter of the doomsday scenarios predicted come true they are bound to lose some voter base. They are bound to surely...

Never underestimate the voting unionists electorate to cut of their nose off to spite their face. Come election time the fear of a nationalist majority will negate any hard feelings over RHI, standing by MPs with gift holidays and leading their precious union into a no deal Brexit. You have to remember that most of them (DUP) have parachutes and their loyal voters are a resource that will be expended when the time comes, left to wallow in the wreckage along with us nationalist of course.

The inverse of this is true of the Nationalist electorate. It's not a one way street. SF are culpable as well.

I'd agree. The DUP would to do anything for the north to remain in the uk, regardless of the damage to jobs, economy etc, SF are equally mad as they would do anything to get a United Ireland regardless of the same damage as that might bring.

They are both deluded arseholes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 12, 2019, 01:29:31 PM
Sorry guys I didn't realize that SF was opposed to the back stop deal as well therefore flying in the face of the NI business community, farmers union and the overall majority. Are SF perfect no and I would have issues with the way they have played a part in the current impasse of the running of this place, but comparing them to the DUP is lazy criticism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 12, 2019, 01:53:32 PM
The DUP are now undermining the union and SF are a major obstacle to a United Ireland. However, while SF have proven to be slow learners they do progress over time, the DUP seems unable to break away from the past.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 12, 2019, 03:07:25 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 12, 2019, 01:29:31 PM
Sorry guys I didn't realize that SF was opposed to the back stop deal as well therefore flying in the face of the NI business community, farmers union and the overall majority. Are SF perfect no and I would have issues with the way they have played a part in the current impasse of the running of this place, but comparing them to the DUP is lazy criticism.

You're talking about one issue. There's plenty of examples of SF going against the will of the people.
But my general point was with regards to the nationalist electorate who vote for SF simply because it's about sticking 2 fingers up at the DUP and not for any of their policies. Both sides of the tribe are to blame. If you vote SF you're part of the problem.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 12, 2019, 05:28:24 PM
The biggest problem with SF is that they would not be able to get out of their own way in a border poll. They would not attract 1 unionist to the UI side but would entrench the majority to maintain the union just like DUP will not attract one nationalist to vote for the Union. Which is why I hope that if there is a border poll, those leading the UI side will not be hardline nationalists but people more reflective of what living like in South is today and if that is some south side posh Dubliner  who squeezes his vowels, or some rich tech nerds  who work for Google, some self satisfied arty farty from Galway and so on. The likes of Mary Lou on the other hand are already heightening tensions when all they need to do is let Brexit happen, let people in North desire to be back in Europe, give them better economic prospects and keep tribal  politics out of it. However politicians will always seek the limelight, the need to be heard and take the credit is simply too hard to resist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 12, 2019, 08:53:19 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 12, 2019, 05:28:24 PM
The biggest problem with SF is that they would not be able to get out of their own way in a border poll. They would not attract 1 unionist to the UI side but would entrench the majority to maintain the union just like DUP will not attract one nationalist to vote for the Union. Which is why I hope that if there is a border poll, those leading the UI side will not be hardline nationalists but people more reflective of what living like in South is today and if that is some south side posh Dubliner  who squeezes his vowels, or some rich tech nerds  who work for Google, some self satisfied arty farty from Galway and so on. The likes of Mary Lou on the other hand are already heightening tensions when all they need to do is let Brexit happen, let people in North desire to be back in Europe, give them better economic prospects and keep tribal  politics out of it. However politicians will always seek the limelight, the need to be heard and take the credit is simply too hard to resist.

Had to laugh at that... throw in Conor McGregor wannabes, the odd Eastern European and a few refugees and you have the full spectrum of demographics in the South, those that aren't just think they are
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 12, 2019, 09:55:22 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 12, 2019, 05:28:24 PM
The biggest problem with SF is that they would not be able to get out of their own way in a border poll.

Early contender for Gaaboard spake of the year.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 12, 2019, 10:09:10 PM
Lets face it, in ROI, SF are little more than a protest vote. They're a bit full of themselves in NI. Hopefully in another few years they'll disappear back into their box. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 11:04:05 PM
And be replaced by.....?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lar Naparka on January 12, 2019, 11:58:24 PM
Maybe I am missing something but blaming the DUP for a hard  Brexit, as seems likely, is pointless. From day one, it was obvious the way that Nigel and his fellow neanthardals were going to vote. There is nothing to be gained by trying to talk sense to them.
However, there is another intransigent bunch of dittos that could do well to practice what they preach and give Theresa the chance to tell the billyboys to go supposit themselves.
I am talking about the Shinners.
As things stand they have a total of 7 MPs and going by present tallies they could have tipped the balance in the Prime Minister's favour at the last ballot. It's time to forget about 1918 and all that. Matters of principle are all very well and drawing their salaries and all other allowances without earning a single penny is a neat trick if you can get away with it but I'd  think more of 2019 than 1918 right now.if there is a hard Brexit, the Shinners will be equally to blame as Arlene's lot.
Abstention me arse, it's time to get real!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on January 13, 2019, 12:19:18 AM
Quote from: Lar Naparka on January 12, 2019, 11:58:24 PM
Maybe I am missing something but blaming the DUP for a hard  Brexit, as seems likely, is pointless. From day one, it was obvious the way that Nigel and his fellow neanthardals were going to vote. There is nothing to be gained by trying to talk sense to them.
However, there is another intransigent bunch of dittos that could do well to practice what they preach and give Theresa the chance to tell the billyboys to go supposit themselves.
I am talking about the Shinners.
As things stand they have a total of 7 MPs and going by present tallies they could have tipped the balance in the Prime Minister's favour at the last ballot. It's time to forget about 1918 and all that. Matters of principle are all very well and drawing their salaries and all other allowances without earning a single penny is a neat trick if you can get away with it but I'd  think more of 2019 than 1918 right now.if there is a hard Brexit, the Shinners will be equally to blame as Arlene's lot.
Abstention me arse, it's time to get real!

SF want to break link with England...not join it.  Their voters knew this before they voted in the last ge.  Imagine swearing an oath to the english crown.  You'd be laughed out of town.

All the FFFG types recently 'celebrating' Countess M. for doing the exact same thing 100 years earlier but now criticising the Shinners for doing the same.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 13, 2019, 12:28:01 AM
Lar, this has to be the most deluded post I have ever read on this board in the 16 years I have been on it (and that includes Derry clowns talking about winning a second All Ireland). Naive doesn't even begin to describe it. WTF are they putting in the water down there in Mayo? Anybody who thinks the seven SF MPs would have any influence over that clusterfuck going on in London at the moment is a candidate for a straitjacket. My advice? Stop reading the Sindo, it will utterly rot what's left of your brain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 13, 2019, 12:49:06 AM
Quote from: red hander on January 13, 2019, 12:28:01 AM
Lar, this has to be the most deluded post I have ever read on this board in the 16 years I have been on it (and that includes Derry clowns talking about winning a second All Ireland). Naive doesn't even begin to describe it. WTF are they putting in the water down there in Mayo? Anybody who thinks the seven SF MPs would have any influence over that clusterfuck going on in London at the moment is a candidate for a straitjacket. My advice? Stop reading the Sindo, it will utterly rot what's left of your brain.

No!! Did not happen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 13, 2019, 09:11:31 AM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?

No and neither do the Lib Dems or Labour, in fact nobody should be arsed turning up. Sure it's all about the votes anyway. Just let the government run ahead with whatever they want to do. Some tits on here who've zero understanding of how Parliament works.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 13, 2019, 09:29:37 AM
Quote from: Lar Naparka on January 12, 2019, 11:58:24 PM
Maybe I am missing something but blaming the DUP for a hard  Brexit, as seems likely, is pointless. From day one, it was obvious the way that Nigel and his fellow neanthardals were going to vote. There is nothing to be gained by trying to talk sense to them.
However, there is another intransigent bunch of dittos that could do well to practice what they preach and give Theresa the chance to tell the billyboys to go supposit themselves.
I am talking about the Shinners.
As things stand they have a total of 7 MPs and going by present tallies they could have tipped the balance in the Prime Minister's favour at the last ballot. It's time to forget about 1918 and all that. Matters of principle are all very well and drawing their salaries and all other allowances without earning a single penny is a neat trick if you can get away with it but I'd  think more of 2019 than 1918 right now.if there is a hard Brexit, the Shinners will be equally to blame as Arlene's lot.
Abstention me arse, it's time to get real!

They don't draw any salary from Westminster.

Also, why oh why would they go against abstentionism when they received their biggest ever mandate since partition on the basis that they don't enter the commons?? Its political suicide.
The fact is that northern nationalism has no interest in being represented in the house of commons. The sdlp got wiped out at the last election in favour of abstentionists, with the exception of South belfast.
SF represent nationalism exactly where it matters in this stand off, the Dáil and Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on January 13, 2019, 10:33:24 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 13, 2019, 12:49:06 AM
Quote from: red hander on January 13, 2019, 12:28:01 AM
Lar, this has to be the most deluded post I have ever read on this board in the 16 years I have been on it (and that includes Derry clowns talking about winning a second All Ireland). Naive doesn't even begin to describe it. WTF are they putting in the water down there in Mayo? Anybody who thinks the seven SF MPs would have any influence over that clusterfuck going on in London at the moment is a candidate for a straitjacket. My advice? Stop reading the Sindo, it will utterly rot what's left of your brain.

No!! Did not happen

Correct 2001 is now 18 years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:16:48 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 13, 2019, 09:11:31 AM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?

No and neither do the Lib Dems or Labour, in fact nobody should be arsed turning up. Sure it's all about the votes anyway. Just let the government run ahead with whatever they want to do. Some tits on here who've zero understanding of how Parliament works.

Name calling, classy enough said
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 02:32:33 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?

With a few Tory abstentions 7 would be the clincher
None of the Shinner objections make sense. They don't have to swear loyalty to the Queen. SD'P didn't.
They could build political relationships with sympathetic Scottish, Welsh and Labour politicians.
They are stuck in a trap they built for themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on January 13, 2019, 03:11:14 PM
People need to wake up and smell the coffee. A SF decision to take seats at Westminster would split them apart and create a new and much stronger dissent organisation. It's amazing that the leadership has managed to keep them all together given all they've been through in recent years. A decision to end the abstentionist policy would be a step too far for many
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 03:33:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 02:32:33 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?

With a few Tory abstentions 7 would be the clincher
None of the Shinner objections make sense. They don't have to swear loyalty to the Queen. SD'P didn't.
They could build political relationships with sympathetic Scottish, Welsh and Labour politicians.
They are stuck in a trap they built for themselves.
SDLP have sworn the oath. I remember seeing Margaret Ritchie doing it. At least Tony Benn crossed his fingers behind his back when doing it lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on January 13, 2019, 03:46:23 PM
An empty formula.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lar Naparka on January 13, 2019, 04:01:55 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 13, 2019, 09:29:37 AM
Quote from: Lar Naparka on January 12, 2019, 11:58:24 PM
Maybe I am missing something but blaming the DUP for a hard  Brexit, as seems likely, is pointless. From day one, it was obvious the way that Nigel and his fellow neanthardals were going to vote. There is nothing to be gained by trying to talk sense to them.
However, there is another intransigent bunch of dittos that could do well to practice what they preach and give Theresa the chance to tell the billyboys to go supposit themselves.
I am talking about the Shinners.
As things stand they have a total of 7 MPs and going by present tallies they could have tipped the balance in the Prime Minister's favour at the last ballot. It's time to forget about 1918 and all that. Matters of principle are all very well and drawing their salaries and all other allowances without earning a single penny is a neat trick if you can get away with it but I'd  think more of 2019 than 1918 right now.if there is a hard Brexit, the Shinners will be equally to blame as Arlene's lot.
Abstention me arse, it's time to get real!

They don't draw any salary from Westminster.

Also, why oh why would they go against abstentionism when they received their biggest ever mandate since partition on the basis that they don't enter the commons?? Its political suicide.
The fact is that northern nationalism has no interest in being represented in the house of commons. The sdlp got wiped out at the last election in favour of abstentionists, with the exception of South belfast.
SF represent nationalism exactly where it matters in this stand off, the Dáil and Brussels.
What you say are all valid points and I do accept that for many nationalists the thought of having anything to do with Westminster in any shape or form is anathema to them.
Fair enough but what's the alternative? If Sinn Fein maintains its principled abstentionism, Theresa May will lose the vote and Britain will crash out of the EU and that in all probability means disaster for all who live in Northern Ireland.
There's still a bit of room for compromise of some sort and the expected rejection of the last and last that the EU has to offer seems the only logical outcome at this stage.
So what does that mean for Northern Ireland and for the Republic also? Odds on there will be a return to customs posts and long delay on both sides of the border at every approved crossing. The Good Friday Agreement will go down the drain and we could be back to the sectarian strife once again.
I don't think that will advance the prospects of a united Ireland, to put it mildly.  As things stand and the GFA holds, there will be an end to partition if and when a simple majority of voters, at a future referendum, vote for change.
Sure, I accept that Sinn Fein performed very well at the last general election and if the party was to ditch its core belief, it would definitely get hammered in the polls at the next election – that is if nothing were to change in the interim. But we now have a different ball game in a manner of speaking and preserving the GFA at all costs has to be every sane person's priority.
Otherwise, we are back to the bad ol' days of Taigs and Prods and we can forget about a united Ireland for decades to come.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 13, 2019, 04:02:09 PM
Sinn Fein. The only custodians of Irish Republicanism.
No oath to a foreign Queen.
Brits out.
Terrorise your own community.
That's how freedom will be achieved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 13, 2019, 04:34:55 PM
Border posts, leading to trouble around the border. Would that not hurry up a border poll? Would Britain not think, f**k this, were not "dealing" with this shit again. Bump, border poll, United ireland?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 13, 2019, 04:43:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 02:32:33 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?

With a few Tory abstentions 7 would be the clincher
None of the Shinner objections make sense. They don't have to swear loyalty to the Queen. SD'P didn't.
They could build political relationships with sympathetic Scottish, Welsh and Labour politicians.
They are stuck in a trap they built for themselves.

They do, Seafoid. And the SDLP MPs did. Northern nationalism has made it clear it is not the slightest bit interested in being represented in the British parliament, end of.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 13, 2019, 05:29:56 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 13, 2019, 04:43:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 02:32:33 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?

With a few Tory abstentions 7 would be the clincher
None of the Shinner objections make sense. They don't have to swear loyalty to the Queen. SD'P didn't.
They could build political relationships with sympathetic Scottish, Welsh and Labour politicians.
They are stuck in a trap they built for themselves.

They do, Seafoid. And the SDLP MPs did. Northern nationalism has made it clear it is not the slightest bit interested in being represented in the British parliament, end of.

Here's the facts Seafoid or you can listen to red hander who spouts the SF line verbatim.

https://mobile.twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en (https://mobile.twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en)


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 07:06:51 PM
Your reference is a twitter feed of Durkan being ridiculed for claiming its not an oath but an affirmation. Here is Ritchie as I mentioned earlier

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=pndH-BP0B-g

And before i get accused of being a shinner. I vote for SDLP in SB. For the record Durkan was one of the best MP's and has been replaced by a complete tool
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 13, 2019, 07:13:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 13, 2019, 05:29:56 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 13, 2019, 04:43:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 02:32:33 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?

With a few Tory abstentions 7 would be the clincher
None of the Shinner objections make sense. They don't have to swear loyalty to the Queen. SD'P didn't.
They could build political relationships with sympathetic Scottish, Welsh and Labour politicians.
They are stuck in a trap they built for themselves.

They do, Seafoid. And the SDLP MPs did. Northern nationalism has made it clear it is not the slightest bit interested in being represented in the British parliament, end of.

Here's the facts Seafoid or you can listen to red hander who spouts the SF line verbatim.

https://mobile.twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en (https://mobile.twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en)

;D Jog on, ye clown. I haven't voted Sinn Fein in over 20 years. What I spout is a republican line, not all republicans are Sinn Fein voters
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lar Naparka on January 13, 2019, 07:58:01 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 13, 2019, 04:34:55 PM
Border posts, leading to trouble around the border. Would that not hurry up a border poll? Would Britain not think, f**k this, were not "dealing" with this shit again. Bump, border poll, United ireland?
Somehow, I doubt it very much.  ;D ;D
I think it's fair to say that most people in the Republic are 'soft' republicans. In other words, they are favourable to the general concept of a united country but don't bother thinking too much about the specifics involved.I am being very serious when I say that the first thing the average citizen down here will be concerned about is the cost of paying for unification- I'm certain the Brits would like to see the whole goddamn lot of you off their hands for good.
The figure of 6 billion has been bandied about in the media as being there or thereabouts and, given our health and homelessness issues right now, we have enough problems without getting saddled with any more.
I'd like to see a UI in my lifetime but if the Brits turn down the EU's latest offer, I think I will be long gone before even the possibility of unification is even thought of again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 13, 2019, 08:23:02 PM
Reparations from the Brits for 800 years of oppression will help pay for it  ;)

Seriously though,Westminster will have to help fund the transition, as will the EU. It'll not cost the people as much as the fifth columnists in the southern media would have you believe
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on January 13, 2019, 08:30:41 PM
So don't take an oath but OK to take the queen's pound, greedy, hardly a conviction of their believes there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 13, 2019, 08:35:25 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 13, 2019, 08:23:02 PM
Reparations from the Brits for 800 years of oppression will help pay for it  ;)

Seriously though,Westminster will have to help fund the transition, as will the EU. It'll not cost the people as much as the fifth columnists in the southern media would have you believe
How about paying ye're own fkn way for once ye shower of spongers?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 13, 2019, 08:43:36 PM
Suppose yez never got a single euro from the EU? Who else pays for everything down there?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on January 13, 2019, 08:49:03 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 13, 2019, 04:02:09 PM
Sinn Fein. The only custodians of Irish Republicanism.
No oath to a foreign Queen.
Brits out.
Terrorise your own community.
That's how freedom will be achieved.

No oath to a foreign queen but millions in MP expenses, they've don't mind that bit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lar Naparka on January 13, 2019, 09:04:47 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 13, 2019, 08:43:36 PM
Suppose yez never got a single euro from the EU? Who else pays for everything down there?
Well, we just paid off a debt of 50 billion over a period of 6 years or so that was incurred by the banks and other financial institutions and that came out of our own resources.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 13, 2019, 09:13:35 PM
Bankrupt theocracy run by gombeen men more like.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 13, 2019, 09:20:54 PM
I take it you'll be voting to stay in the UK then.
Head of State must be of 1 Religion only
Something like £100 trillion public debt
Scottish oil keeping it from sinking
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 13, 2019, 09:22:25 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 13, 2019, 08:43:36 PM
Suppose yez never got a single euro from the EU? Who else pays for everything down there?
Big difference between loans repayable with interest and an annual handout ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 13, 2019, 09:29:18 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 13, 2019, 09:20:54 PM
I take it you'll be voting to stay in the UK then.
Head of State must be of 1 Religion only
Something like £100 trillion public debt
Scottish oil keeping it from sinking

2 pay cuts for our beloved MLAs. Public debt problem wiped out practically overnight.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 11:30:09 PM
Brexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on January 13, 2019, 11:35:02 PM
QuoteBrexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked

The only negative I can see ref. Brexit being dead is the fact that it gives the DUP bigots a get out of jail free card .... they'll revert to type now in time for the next election 'It's us or Sinn Fein' .... if Brexit was to happen, either hard or soft, it would have advanced Irish unity by a generation imo, and I would have taken great pleasure watching the DUP squirm.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 14, 2019, 12:02:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 11:30:09 PM
Brexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked

So are Labour under Corbyn, who doesn't appear to stand for anything, unless DUP-like it's contrary to the Tories.

Don't ever, ever underestimate the electorate's ability to do something stupid. I've long argued for a meritocracy whereby only educated, literate, gainfully-employed, properly sentient beings are allowed to vote.  ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 14, 2019, 12:57:49 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on January 13, 2019, 11:35:02 PM
QuoteBrexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked

The only negative I can see ref. Brexit being dead is the fact that it gives the DUP bigots a get out of jail free card .... they'll revert to type now in time for the next election 'It's us or Sinn Fein' .... if Brexit was to happen, either hard or soft, it would have advanced Irish unity by a generation imo, and I would have taken great pleasure watching the DUP squirm.

A precipitate unity brought about by a chaotic Brexit would not be a good thing. I think it has advanced Irish unity anyway, as a lot of people have started thinking about it. Even if Brexit is cancelled, there is every likelihood of the English continuing to rant about it and of Scotland consequently cutting the link, both of which would keep discussion on unity going here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 14, 2019, 04:43:51 AM
I heard an RTE news reporter saying before Christmas "this is what a constitutional crisis looks like" so not sure how this week is gonna play out.

One thing for sure is there government are gonna get a thumping on Tuesday by how much is the question. I doubt it will be the numbers Seafoid is talking but if it gets defeated by over 100 May has gotta be in bother. Her confidence vote will save her within her party and Corbryn's no confidence vote (if he grows a pair) will likely be defeated also unless the ERG go completely rogue which I think is unlikely. But if the margin is over 100 I think she will resign as there is no real prospect for her to pass this brexit legislation.

So lets assume she able to stay on what then?

Im pretty sure she will start to turn her back on the ERG, because to me she is saying to them "This is the closest I could get to your fantastical dystopia, vote for it or you gonna get Norway or perhaps nothing"

So that would mean an Article 50 delay and then what reworking of the deal that the New Labour MPs will vote for with perhaps a referendum thrown in for approval?

Or after Bercows antics last week will Parliament start to take control and will they actually be able to table legislation that would prevent a no-deal? And if they could would the government sit there and take it? Would Corbryn take it? Would they have any choice or would they all just be happy enough as they are just doing what they didn't have the balls to anyway.
And if they did that could they delay Article 50? Renegotiate a new deal or how would that work? I mean a group of backbenchers couldn't really go off and start renegotiating with Brussels could they?

Utter shambles.....
Its terrifying and hilarious at the same time. At a time I would have considered myself fairly ideological politically speaking but with this nonsense,Trump and everything else all I really want is stability.... politically economically and everything else. Can the the sensible pragmatists please stand up, oh sorry I forgot they've got democracy thing to worry about so it pays to be a idealistic, emotional, fantastical lunatic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 14, 2019, 09:38:21 AM
What are they going to go back to the EU with?
They spent nearly 2 years negotiating a deal and now won't keep the deal!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on January 14, 2019, 09:58:52 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 14, 2019, 12:02:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 11:30:09 PM
Brexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked

So are Labour under Corbyn, who doesn't appear to stand for anything, unless DUP-like it's contrary to the Tories.

Don't ever, ever underestimate the electorate's ability to do something stupid. I've long argued for a meritocracy whereby only educated, literate, gainfully-employed, properly sentient beings are allowed to vote.  ;D ;D

Bit concerning that Corbyn doesent seem to understand the single market and customs union. He really doesent have the first notion
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on January 14, 2019, 12:07:28 PM
Quote from: Kidder81 on January 14, 2019, 09:58:52 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 14, 2019, 12:02:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 11:30:09 PM
Brexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked

So are Labour under Corbyn, who doesn't appear to stand for anything, unless DUP-like it's contrary to the Tories.

Don't ever, ever underestimate the electorate's ability to do something stupid. I've long argued for a meritocracy whereby only educated, literate, gainfully-employed, properly sentient beings are allowed to vote.  ;D ;D

Bit concerning that Corbyn doesent seem to understand the single market and customs union. He really doesent have the first notion

Bit concerning that people are focused on blaming Corbyn for a problem created by the Tories and completely fucked up by the Tories. Corbyn is clear on how Britain needs to be rebooted. Brexit is actually a side show in many ways because lots of people are already fcuked in Britain. And whether Brexit happens or not that won't change under the Tories. I think Corbyn's understanding on many issues over the years has proven to be spot on when many others were completely wrong. The most important thing Britain needs is a change of government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 14, 2019, 12:23:17 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 14, 2019, 12:07:28 PM
Quote from: Kidder81 on January 14, 2019, 09:58:52 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 14, 2019, 12:02:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 11:30:09 PM
Brexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked

So are Labour under Corbyn, who doesn't appear to stand for anything, unless DUP-like it's contrary to the Tories.

Don't ever, ever underestimate the electorate's ability to do something stupid. I've long argued for a meritocracy whereby only educated, literate, gainfully-employed, properly sentient beings are allowed to vote.  ;D ;D

Bit concerning that Corbyn doesent seem to understand the single market and customs union. He really doesent have the first notion

Bit concerning that people are focused on blaming Corbyn for a problem created by the Tories and completely fucked up by the Tories. Corbyn is clear on how Britain needs to be rebooted. Brexit is actually a side show in many ways because lots of people are already fcuked in Britain. And whether Brexit happens or not that won't change under the Tories. I think Corbyn's understanding on many issues over the years has proven to be spot on when many others were completely wrong. The most important thing Britain needs is a change of government.
The only booting Britain will be getting if Brexit happens is a massive boot up the hole.

Corbyn's Brexit policy is unicorns. There won't be a renegotiation of the deal. A vote of no confidence in the government will not be successful.

The overwhelming majority of those who voted for Corbyn to become Labour leader, his base, are strong Remainers.

Corbyn left the door open for a second referendum to become Labour policy. Unless he bows to the democratic wishes of his party, he will be toast, and rightly so.

There will be no left-wing remaking of Britain outside the European Union. Brexit is a far right project and the millions of ordinary people in Britain are going to be decimated by it.
Title: Re: Brexit.a
Post by: heganboy on January 14, 2019, 12:48:06 PM
There is a shot that a heavy defeat for May could result in no Brexit at all.

Interesting at the weekend to hear some Armagh farmers saying they would have a better deal and a louder voice on a "single island". Which is obviously a very different thing than a United Ireland. The ceasefire in the North, the death of McGuinness and the step away from Adams have made this a topic which can be discussed in public and given serious conversation. I didn't hear the word Lundy once.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on January 14, 2019, 12:54:22 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 14, 2019, 12:07:28 PM
Quote from: Kidder81 on January 14, 2019, 09:58:52 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 14, 2019, 12:02:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 11:30:09 PM
Brexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked

So are Labour under Corbyn, who doesn't appear to stand for anything, unless DUP-like it's contrary to the Tories.

Don't ever, ever underestimate the electorate's ability to do something stupid. I've long argued for a meritocracy whereby only educated, literate, gainfully-employed, properly sentient beings are allowed to vote.  ;D ;D

Bit concerning that Corbyn doesent seem to understand the single market and customs union. He really doesent have the first notion

Bit concerning that people are focused on blaming Corbyn for a problem created by the Tories and completely fucked up by the Tories. Corbyn is clear on how Britain needs to be rebooted. Brexit is actually a side show in many ways because lots of people are already fcuked in Britain. And whether Brexit happens or not that won't change under the Tories. I think Corbyn's understanding on many issues over the years has proven to be spot on when many others were completely wrong. The most important thing Britain needs is a change of government.

Ah come on now, Corbyn doesent even have a position on Brexit. He was asked yesterday 7 times by Andrew Marr if he would back a people's vote or renegotiate Brexit. He is a Brexiteer. He is remarkably uninformed on the one issue that is the only show in town, which is astonishing. This is the worst government in my memory and Labour are trailing in the polls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 14, 2019, 02:03:36 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 13, 2019, 07:13:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 13, 2019, 05:29:56 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 13, 2019, 04:43:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 02:32:33 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 13, 2019, 01:01:34 AM
Sf's 7 mps would have zero influence in the commons. The SNP have 35 and did have over 50 and what exactly has that done for them?

With a few Tory abstentions 7 would be the clincher
None of the Shinner objections make sense. They don't have to swear loyalty to the Queen. SD'P didn't.
They could build political relationships with sympathetic Scottish, Welsh and Labour politicians.
They are stuck in a trap they built for themselves.

They do, Seafoid. And the SDLP MPs did. Northern nationalism has made it clear it is not the slightest bit interested in being represented in the British parliament, end of.

Here's the facts Seafoid or you can listen to red hander who spouts the SF line verbatim.

https://mobile.twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en (https://mobile.twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en)

;D Jog on, ye clown. I haven't voted Sinn Fein in over 20 years. What I spout is a republican line, not all republicans are Sinn Fein voters
Mark Durkan did not swear an oath of allegiance to the queen, instead he affirmed an allegiance to the queen. Is there a difference? I think not.

Mark Durcan's stunt was that of a poor man's cute hoor, not fit to lace the boots of the original cute hoor , de Valera.
The hue and cry over the oath in the anglo irish treaty  was a false cause celebre for the anti treaty side and inflamed by Dev himself. Fwiw, Dev and all TDs in 1927  were not required to swear an oath or affirm allegiance to the monarch. Dev being one of the original authors of that oath knew that but in an environment of post civil war hostilities, managed to fake outrage over the requirement to take the oath, however by overtly using crafty subterfuge,  he stage manage avoidance --  the uncrowned king of cute hoors.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 14, 2019, 02:12:09 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 14, 2019, 12:07:28 PM
Quote from: Kidder81 on January 14, 2019, 09:58:52 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 14, 2019, 12:02:29 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 13, 2019, 11:30:09 PM
Brexit is dead. May is expected to lose the vote by 200 and Parliament will not allow
No deal to happen. Neither will the EU. The Tories are fucked

So are Labour under Corbyn, who doesn't appear to stand for anything, unless DUP-like it's contrary to the Tories.

Don't ever, ever underestimate the electorate's ability to do something stupid. I've long argued for a meritocracy whereby only educated, literate, gainfully-employed, properly sentient beings are allowed to vote.  ;D ;D

Bit concerning that Corbyn doesent seem to understand the single market and customs union. He really doesent have the first notion

Bit concerning that people are focused on blaming Corbyn for a problem created by the Tories and completely fucked up by the Tories. Corbyn is clear on how Britain needs to be rebooted. Brexit is actually a side show in many ways because lots of people are already fcuked in Britain. And whether Brexit happens or not that won't change under the Tories. I think Corbyn's understanding on many issues over the years has proven to be spot on when many others were completely wrong. The most important thing Britain needs is a change of government.

Nobody is blaming Corbyn for the problem, they are criticising his response.  Nobody is in any doubt as to who created the problem but people (rightly IMO) see his weak response as exacerbating it.

I had such high hopes for Corbyn when he started but I can't help but feel that he has been a total let down.  I thought he was going to be a straight-talking truth-to-power type guy who was going to make change happen.  He hasn't made any change happen.  Brexit is THE single biggest issue in politics at the moment and he hasn't got a clear position on it.  He needs to take a stance.  If that is pro-Brexit, so be it.  He will be going against the prevailing opinion of his own party members though and I think he will pay for it at the ballot box.

IMO Brexit is going to reduce living standards for a generation in this country.  I think Corbyn sees this as a necessary evil so he can take power and implement his socialist policies, away from the prying eyes of the uber capitalist EU.  It sounds good in principle, but impoverishing a generation of people is too high a price to pay to attain it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2019, 03:51:11 PM
I agree with your first 2 paragraphs but not your 3rd one as I don't think he is being cynical here.

I would have been all for Corbyn too. If he was strong he'd be in power. Instead we have the tories who probably have a number of top people who'll get very rich of this directing already poor people to become even poorer. Corbyn has no real clear stance on what he thinks about Brexit. He offers very little in the way of alternatives. He was the person who I would have hoped would have offered something here but he has offered nothing.

The tories and Farage created this mess but they couldn't care less about "common" people so you never would have held out any hope for them. I held out some hope for Corbyn and find he has been a huge let down and to be honest Labour need to get rid. There is a smear campaign against him yes but not because of that because he will never ever see a better chance to take the bull by the horns and he couldn't do it. It's not just that he couldn't do it but it's the complete lack of decisiveness to do anything.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mackers on January 14, 2019, 04:06:54 PM
His call for a general election smacks of political opportunism also. A GE will muddy the waters further.  Brexit is too big an issue to be solved with a GE.  At least FF in the south have said they will not force a GE there until Brexit is tidied up.  From the outside looking in it looks like they are putting the future of the country ahead of party gain (no doubt there may be a more cynical reason for it but at least what they are doing looks less cynical than what Corbyn's at).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 14, 2019, 04:09:35 PM
Surely its a matter of time before Kier Starmer takes over and is the next Labour PM.

In moments like these you think back to what ifs regarding the two Milliband brothers!! :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 14, 2019, 04:16:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2019, 03:51:11 PM
I agree with your first 2 paragraphs but not your 3rd one as I don't think he is being cynical here.

I would have been all for Corbyn too. If he was strong he'd be in power. Instead we have the tories who probably have a number of top people who'll get very rich of this directing already poor people to become even poorer. Corbyn has no real clear stance on what he thinks about Brexit. He offers very little in the way of alternatives. He was the person who I would have hoped would have offered something here but he has offered nothing.

The tories and Farage created this mess but they couldn't care less about "common" people so you never would have held out any hope for them. I held out some hope for Corbyn and find he has been a huge let down and to be honest Labour need to get rid. There is a smear campaign against him yes but not because of that because he will never ever see a better chance to take the bull by the horns and he couldn't do it. It's not just that he couldn't do it but it's the complete lack of decisiveness to do anything.

Genuine question.  What do you think is the reasoning behind his (lack of) position on this?

I'm really struggling to work out why he has such a laissez faire attitude to the whole thing.  All I can come up with is what I said above.  Would be really happy to be corrected as to his motives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 14, 2019, 04:22:13 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2019, 04:16:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2019, 03:51:11 PM
I agree with your first 2 paragraphs but not your 3rd one as I don't think he is being cynical here.

I would have been all for Corbyn too. If he was strong he'd be in power. Instead we have the tories who probably have a number of top people who'll get very rich of this directing already poor people to become even poorer. Corbyn has no real clear stance on what he thinks about Brexit. He offers very little in the way of alternatives. He was the person who I would have hoped would have offered something here but he has offered nothing.

The tories and Farage created this mess but they couldn't care less about "common" people so you never would have held out any hope for them. I held out some hope for Corbyn and find he has been a huge let down and to be honest Labour need to get rid. There is a smear campaign against him yes but not because of that because he will never ever see a better chance to take the bull by the horns and he couldn't do it. It's not just that he couldn't do it but it's the complete lack of decisiveness to do anything.

Genuine question.  What do you think is the reasoning behind his (lack of) position on this?

I'm really struggling to work out why he has such a laissez faire attitude to the whole thing.  All I can come up with is what I said above.  Would be really happy to be corrected as to his motives.

He's that genuine and actually dislikes the EU and what it stands for - whilst at the same time can't be seen to support it? Thats my only guess which makes little sense either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2019, 04:46:51 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2019, 04:16:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2019, 03:51:11 PM
I agree with your first 2 paragraphs but not your 3rd one as I don't think he is being cynical here.

I would have been all for Corbyn too. If he was strong he'd be in power. Instead we have the tories who probably have a number of top people who'll get very rich of this directing already poor people to become even poorer. Corbyn has no real clear stance on what he thinks about Brexit. He offers very little in the way of alternatives. He was the person who I would have hoped would have offered something here but he has offered nothing.

The tories and Farage created this mess but they couldn't care less about "common" people so you never would have held out any hope for them. I held out some hope for Corbyn and find he has been a huge let down and to be honest Labour need to get rid. There is a smear campaign against him yes but not because of that because he will never ever see a better chance to take the bull by the horns and he couldn't do it. It's not just that he couldn't do it but it's the complete lack of decisiveness to do anything.

Genuine question.  What do you think is the reasoning behind his (lack of) position on this?

I'm really struggling to work out why he has such a laissez faire attitude to the whole thing.  All I can come up with is what I said above.  Would be really happy to be corrected as to his motives.

You raise a good question and I am not sure of the answer but to be totally honest I think a lack of competence comes into it. That and a lack of conviction. He doesn't like the EU which I would expect of people of his kind of belief system but he just isn't competent enough to try and come up with an answer(though to be fair none of them are).

I just don't think he would be cynical enough to let things fall to shit to get into power. I could be very wrong on that and he could be like every other politician about mind you...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 14, 2019, 05:01:35 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 14, 2019, 04:22:13 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2019, 04:16:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2019, 03:51:11 PM
I agree with your first 2 paragraphs but not your 3rd one as I don't think he is being cynical here.

I would have been all for Corbyn too. If he was strong he'd be in power. Instead we have the tories who probably have a number of top people who'll get very rich of this directing already poor people to become even poorer. Corbyn has no real clear stance on what he thinks about Brexit. He offers very little in the way of alternatives. He was the person who I would have hoped would have offered something here but he has offered nothing.

The tories and Farage created this mess but they couldn't care less about "common" people so you never would have held out any hope for them. I held out some hope for Corbyn and find he has been a huge let down and to be honest Labour need to get rid. There is a smear campaign against him yes but not because of that because he will never ever see a better chance to take the bull by the horns and he couldn't do it. It's not just that he couldn't do it but it's the complete lack of decisiveness to do anything.

Genuine question.  What do you think is the reasoning behind his (lack of) position on this?

I'm really struggling to work out why he has such a laissez faire attitude to the whole thing.  All I can come up with is what I said above.  Would be really happy to be corrected as to his motives.

He's that genuine and actually dislikes the EU and what it stands for - whilst at the same time can't be seen to support it? Thats my only guess which makes little sense either.

He's a fundamentalist at heart who has opposed the UN from the beginning. That and his left wing base of which include both the Marxists and the disgruntled working class oppose the EU.
Tho he cant come out against it as most Labour are remainers.

Pragmatism is not his strong point
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on January 14, 2019, 05:03:36 PM
It's crying out for a leading politician on either side (Tory or Labour) to come up with something like:

Yes, the EU has a lot of problems and a lot of drawbacks, but we're still far better inside it, gaining all the benefits of membership and trying to make changes from within rather than looking in from outside.
If we remain, we'll continue to adopt EU laws we agree with (the vast majority) but opt out of the ones we do not agree with (tax harmonisation, the euro, etc). 

Unfortunately Corbyn is completely idealogically against the EU, despite what EU rules and regulations have done for workers' rights. If the UK had never joined the EU, the firing of workers would likely nearly be as easy in the UK as it is in the US.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JohnDenver on January 14, 2019, 05:26:16 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2019, 04:16:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2019, 03:51:11 PM
I agree with your first 2 paragraphs but not your 3rd one as I don't think he is being cynical here.

I would have been all for Corbyn too. If he was strong he'd be in power. Instead we have the tories who probably have a number of top people who'll get very rich of this directing already poor people to become even poorer. Corbyn has no real clear stance on what he thinks about Brexit. He offers very little in the way of alternatives. He was the person who I would have hoped would have offered something here but he has offered nothing.

The tories and Farage created this mess but they couldn't care less about "common" people so you never would have held out any hope for them. I held out some hope for Corbyn and find he has been a huge let down and to be honest Labour need to get rid. There is a smear campaign against him yes but not because of that because he will never ever see a better chance to take the bull by the horns and he couldn't do it. It's not just that he couldn't do it but it's the complete lack of decisiveness to do anything.

Genuine question.  What do you think is the reasoning behind his (lack of) position on this?

I'm really struggling to work out why he has such a laissez faire attitude to the whole thing.  All I can come up with is what I said above.  Would be really happy to be corrected as to his motives.

IMO Corbyn is no mug - he's more or less stuck between a rock and a hard place, as if there was a general election, he would need to be winning seats in areas which are currently pro-leave. So he can't be seen to alienate either population at the minute and more or less needs to saddle the fence.

That's my take on it, but sure it's politics - who knows what amount of skullduggery goes on behind the scenes
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 14, 2019, 05:32:10 PM
Three options are on the table at the minute.

No Deal
May's Deal
Remain

Corbyn is against all three.  The EU have said repeatedly that there will be no renegotiation of the deal yet he keeps saying that's what he's going to do.  His position is every bit as ludicrous as the ERG's.

It pains me to say it but he needs to front up or move aside.  Blind ideology got us into this mess.  Time to get dispense with the ideologues and and let the pragmatists take the reins.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on January 14, 2019, 05:33:52 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 14, 2019, 05:03:36 PM
It's crying out for a leading politician on either side (Tory or Labour) to come up with something like:

Yes, the EU has a lot of problems and a lot of drawbacks, but we're still far better inside it, gaining all the benefits of membership and trying to make changes from within rather than looking in from outside.
If we remain, we'll continue to adopt EU laws we agree with (the vast majority) but opt out of the ones we do not agree with (tax harmonisation, the euro, etc). 

Unfortunately Corbyn is completely idealogically against the EU, despite what EU rules and regulations have done for workers' rights. If the UK had never joined the EU, the firing of workers would likely nearly be as easy in the UK as it is in the US.

... and will be if they leave - it's what Brexit is substantially about. That's why I can't forgive Corbyn's refusal to do his job and work to stop Brexit in the interest of the people he purports to represent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 14, 2019, 05:46:53 PM
Quote from: Hardy on January 14, 2019, 05:33:52 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 14, 2019, 05:03:36 PM
It's crying out for a leading politician on either side (Tory or Labour) to come up with something like:

Yes, the EU has a lot of problems and a lot of drawbacks, but we're still far better inside it, gaining all the benefits of membership and trying to make changes from within rather than looking in from outside.
If we remain, we'll continue to adopt EU laws we agree with (the vast majority) but opt out of the ones we do not agree with (tax harmonisation, the euro, etc). 

Unfortunately Corbyn is completely idealogically against the EU, despite what EU rules and regulations have done for workers' rights. If the UK had never joined the EU, the firing of workers would likely nearly be as easy in the UK as it is in the US.

... and will be if they leave - it's what Brexit is substantially about. That's why I can't forgive Corbyn's refusal to do his job and work to stop Brexit in the interest of the people he purports to represent.

And this is why I can't understand it.  The only logical reason I can see for doing what he's doing is that he sees a chance to get Labour into power.

He seems willing to let normal citizens pay a hell of a price for it in the medium term.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 14, 2019, 05:47:51 PM
Quote from: Hardy on January 14, 2019, 05:33:52 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 14, 2019, 05:03:36 PM
It's crying out for a leading politician on either side (Tory or Labour) to come up with something like:

Yes, the EU has a lot of problems and a lot of drawbacks, but we're still far better inside it, gaining all the benefits of membership and trying to make changes from within rather than looking in from outside.
If we remain, we'll continue to adopt EU laws we agree with (the vast majority) but opt out of the ones we do not agree with (tax harmonisation, the euro, etc). 

Unfortunately Corbyn is completely idealogically against the EU, despite what EU rules and regulations have done for workers' rights. If the UK had never joined the EU, the firing of workers would likely nearly be as easy in the UK as it is in the US.

... and will be if they leave - it's what Brexit is substantially about. That's why I can't forgive Corbyn's refusal to do his job and work to stop Brexit in the interest of the people he purports to represent.

This whole charade reinforces that all of those involved refuse to do their job - ie. representing their people. They only care about ousting each other and other parties, picking up a big salary and staying in power. That includes DUP, SF, Tories, Labour and any other **** about the place. None of the f**kers give a flying f**k about anyone in any part of Ireland or Britain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 14, 2019, 05:54:01 PM
Theresa is pottering again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 14, 2019, 06:42:58 PM
He pretty much nails it here..

https://www.facebook.com/DavidLammyTottenham/videos/767312890292412/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 06:21:53 AM
Guy at work has been trying to corner me on Brexit. I let my guard down today and he finally got me....sensible normal guy who Id be fairly firendly with... unfortunately he's badly informed on this but has a very strong opinion on it.

He reckons a hard Brexit is coming and that a Frexit and Gerexit is gonna follow shortly and if it doesnt there will be hell to pay... there will be a European army that will be used to make sure all countries toe the line.

Doesnt understand how the EU benefits anyone and cant see any comparison to the United States. Especially since there is no chance of the American army invading any of the states to put them in place. Wonder would they agree with him in Virgina?

I realised I was in a pointless escapade to inform him better? But anyway I was flabbergasted at the deluded stuff he was coming out with..... pure fantasy. I dont understand where he was even getting the half of it.

But he's not the first another guy who is a bit better informed asked me would it not also be a good idea for Ireland to exit alongside Britain, he got a quick rebuttal about that!

I also dont understand why there is such anti EU sentiment in America. I mean America has closer cultural, economic and political ties with Europe than anywhere else so can't understand how a sensible person would allow such deluded hypothetical scenarios as the basis for their opinion. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on January 15, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Seems to be a growing confidence in the hardline Brexiteers that the EU will cave. Leave with "no deal" but an agreement to start negotiating a UK-EU trade agreement with a 2 year (extendable) deadline, and in the meantime it's a "temporary" free trade agreement leaving all UK-EU trade exactly as is. In return, UK gives all the monies it has committed (which it owes anyway!).

EU caving seemed impossible all along as there has to be something to discourage others from following the UK and leaving. But seems the Germans in particular are wavering due to the huge costs to their economy of an actual hard Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2019, 09:28:36 AM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Seems to be a growing confidence in the hardline Brexiteers that the EU will cave. Leave with "no deal" but an agreement to start negotiating a UK-EU trade agreement with a 2 year (extendable) deadline, and in the meantime it's a "temporary" free trade agreement leaving all UK-EU trade exactly as is. In return, UK gives all the monies it has committed (which it owes anyway!).

EU caving seemed impossible all along as there has to be something to discourage others from following the UK and leaving. But seems the Germans in particular are wavering due to the huge costs to their economy of an actual hard Brexit.

Crispin Odey would pauperise London for a few extra dollars but he has given up on Brexit


https://www.ft.com/content/cc491f18-15bc-11e9-a581-4ff78404524e

   A top hedge fund manager says he is losing faith in the chances of the UK leaving the EU, leaving sterling well placed for a rare but rapid rally.Crispin Odey, founder of Odey Asset Management and a big financial backer of the campaign to leave the union, had been betting against the pound throughout last year, in the expectation that leaving the bloc would hit the UK economy hard.But in the past two weeks he closed those short positions, and is now neutral on the currency, he told the Financial Times. He has also been buying some UK stocks including Dixons, the high street retailer."Markets have already decided essentially that Brexit isn't going to happen," he said. "The pound should rally; it's very oversold."Investors' enthusiasm to pounce on news suggesting the exit from the EU may be softened, delayed, or even scrapped, is clear. On Friday the pound jumped as much as 0.6 per cent to a high of $1.2850 on reports the Cabinet was planning to delay Brexit and after foreign secretary Jeremy Hunt said voting down Theresa May's deal to exit the EU could scupper Brexit altogether.Next week, the prime minister's plan for Brexit will be presented to parliament for approval. Mr Odey is among those who believe it will not pass. Given that three-quarters of MPs voted to stay in the EU in the 2016 referendum, "it's easy to see . . . that you're going to get a Remain result", he said."I haven't given up the Brexit dream. But I don't think the pound will crash down to $1.05," he added. Sterling "has got a positive bias to it".Deal-breakers: how no-deal Tories threaten May's Brexit planAfter spending most of 2018 heading south against the dollar and the euro, sterling has rebounded against the greenback and is roughly flat against the single currency since mid-December. Defeats in the House of Commons for the government have revealed what appears to be a majority of MPs against a no-deal Brexit and limited the government's options.Other market participants agree that any shift to a soft Brexit would kick the pound much higher, particularly given the weight of bets against it that have persisted for the past two years. It would be a "monster" rally, said Gregory Perdon, co-chief investment officer at private bank Arbuthnot Latham.Mr Odey, whose Odey European fund gained 53 per cent last year as one of the world's best-performing hedge funds after losing 21.7 per cent the previous year, said Mrs May's Brexit proposal was "completely out".A so-called Norway Plus option, in which Britain would become part of the European Free Trade Association, is "not bad" but "a long way short" of a full Brexit, he added.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on January 15, 2019, 09:40:24 AM
Crispin Odey's comments (made last week) are the reason sterling jumped last week.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 15, 2019, 10:34:01 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 06:21:53 AM
Guy at work has been trying to corner me on Brexit. I let my guard down today and he finally got me....sensible normal guy who Id be fairly firendly with... unfortunately he's badly informed on this but has a very strong opinion on it.

He reckons a hard Brexit is coming and that a Frexit and Gerexit is gonna follow shortly and if it doesnt there will be hell to pay... there will be a European army that will be used to make sure all countries toe the line.

Doesnt understand how the EU benefits anyone and cant see any comparison to the United States. Especially since there is no chance of the American army invading any of the states to put them in place. Wonder would they agree with him in Virgina?

I realised I was in a pointless escapade to inform him better? But anyway I was flabbergasted at the deluded stuff he was coming out with..... pure fantasy. I dont understand where he was even getting the half of it.

But he's not the first another guy who is a bit better informed asked me would it not also be a good idea for Ireland to exit alongside Britain, he got a quick rebuttal about that!

I also dont understand why there is such anti EU sentiment in America. I mean America has closer cultural, economic and political ties with Europe than anywhere else so can't understand how a sensible person would allow such deluded hypothetical scenarios as the basis for their opinion.

He was badly informed? That's because everyone is told that the eu is good.

As for European army. Well, Varadkar and co supporting the brits with that Russian poison thing. The same brits that carried out Bloody Sunday, ballymurphy, Shoot to kill policy etc. Covered it up, and still continue to do so. The same brits who are experts at propaganda. And the Irish govt back them, no questions asked?! They add their name, along with lots of other neutral eu countries. Why? Because they're told to.

Then we have Enda Kenny matching arm in arm in Paris with a bunch of warmongers from the rest of Europe (and Israel). You gonna tell me all that is not a precursor for a European army?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2019, 10:57:03 AM
Quote from: Rois on January 15, 2019, 09:40:24 AM
Crispin Odey's comments (made last week) are the reason sterling jumped last week.
The DUP have lost. The consequences for NI are massive.
Arlene bet the farm on no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 12:35:36 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Seems to be a growing confidence in the hardline Brexiteers that the EU will cave. Leave with "no deal" but an agreement to start negotiating a UK-EU trade agreement with a 2 year (extendable) deadline, and in the meantime it's a "temporary" free trade agreement leaving all UK-EU trade exactly as is. In return, UK gives all the monies it has committed (which it owes anyway!).

EU caving seemed impossible all along as there has to be something to discourage others from following the UK and leaving. But seems the Germans in particular are wavering due to the huge costs to their economy of an actual hard Brexit.
The EU can't "cave" without Ireland "caving". And there can't be a free trade deal or a temporary free trade deal wthout Ireland agreeing.

There has never been a time when the hard Brexiteers have not been "confident". Delusion does that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on January 15, 2019, 01:06:53 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 12:35:36 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Seems to be a growing confidence in the hardline Brexiteers that the EU will cave. Leave with "no deal" but an agreement to start negotiating a UK-EU trade agreement with a 2 year (extendable) deadline, and in the meantime it's a "temporary" free trade agreement leaving all UK-EU trade exactly as is. In return, UK gives all the monies it has committed (which it owes anyway!).

EU caving seemed impossible all along as there has to be something to discourage others from following the UK and leaving. But seems the Germans in particular are wavering due to the huge costs to their economy of an actual hard Brexit.
The EU can't "cave" without Ireland "caving". And there can't be a free trade deal or a temporary free trade deal wthout Ireland agreeing.

There has never been a time when the hard Brexiteers have not been "confident". Delusion does that.
There's absolutely no chance that Ireland would be the country to halt such a "deal". We need free trade with the UK more than anyone else. So barring a Brexit reversal, the best solution for us is a temporary free trade agreement leaving everything as is for the next 2 years. Pushes the border question back 2 years too at which stage perhaps DUP won't be important to the new UK government
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 15, 2019, 01:10:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 15, 2019, 10:57:03 AM
Quote from: Rois on January 15, 2019, 09:40:24 AM
Crispin Odey's comments (made last week) are the reason sterling jumped last week.
The DUP have lost. The consequences for NI are massive.
Arlene bet the farm on no deal.

Seafoid, you're an awful man for the big dramatic statement.

Nobody's lost or won anything with this yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 01:45:00 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 01:06:53 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 12:35:36 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Seems to be a growing confidence in the hardline Brexiteers that the EU will cave. Leave with "no deal" but an agreement to start negotiating a UK-EU trade agreement with a 2 year (extendable) deadline, and in the meantime it's a "temporary" free trade agreement leaving all UK-EU trade exactly as is. In return, UK gives all the monies it has committed (which it owes anyway!).

EU caving seemed impossible all along as there has to be something to discourage others from following the UK and leaving. But seems the Germans in particular are wavering due to the huge costs to their economy of an actual hard Brexit.
The EU can't "cave" without Ireland "caving". And there can't be a free trade deal or a temporary free trade deal wthout Ireland agreeing.

There has never been a time when the hard Brexiteers have not been "confident". Delusion does that.
There's absolutely no chance that Ireland would be the country to halt such a "deal". We need free trade with the UK more than anyone else. So barring a Brexit reversal, the best solution for us is a temporary free trade agreement leaving everything as is for the next 2 years. Pushes the border question back 2 years too at which stage perhaps DUP won't be important to the new UK government
The Withdrawl Agreement is the temporary deal.

There is no other "temporary deal".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 15, 2019, 01:54:20 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 01:45:00 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 01:06:53 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 12:35:36 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Seems to be a growing confidence in the hardline Brexiteers that the EU will cave. Leave with "no deal" but an agreement to start negotiating a UK-EU trade agreement with a 2 year (extendable) deadline, and in the meantime it's a "temporary" free trade agreement leaving all UK-EU trade exactly as is. In return, UK gives all the monies it has committed (which it owes anyway!).

EU caving seemed impossible all along as there has to be something to discourage others from following the UK and leaving. But seems the Germans in particular are wavering due to the huge costs to their economy of an actual hard Brexit.
The EU can't "cave" without Ireland "caving". And there can't be a free trade deal or a temporary free trade deal wthout Ireland agreeing.

There has never been a time when the hard Brexiteers have not been "confident". Delusion does that.
There's absolutely no chance that Ireland would be the country to halt such a "deal". We need free trade with the UK more than anyone else. So barring a Brexit reversal, the best solution for us is a temporary free trade agreement leaving everything as is for the next 2 years. Pushes the border question back 2 years too at which stage perhaps DUP won't be important to the new UK government
The Withdrawl Agreement is the temporary deal.

There is no other "temporary deal".

This seems to be an issue for a lot of people to comprehend.

The withdrawal agreement is the baseline for any future deal with the backstop inbuilt to ensure those twisty English f**kers don't rail back on their word. Wonder why the EU don't trust them  ;)

Any future trade deals will supercede the withdrawal agreement
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kickham csc on January 15, 2019, 02:03:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 06:21:53 AM
Guy at work has been trying to corner me on Brexit. I let my guard down today and he finally got me....sensible normal guy who Id be fairly firendly with... unfortunately he's badly informed on this but has a very strong opinion on it.

He reckons a hard Brexit is coming and that a Frexit and Gerexit is gonna follow shortly and if it doesnt there will be hell to pay... there will be a European army that will be used to make sure all countries toe the line.

Doesnt understand how the EU benefits anyone and cant see any comparison to the United States. Especially since there is no chance of the American army invading any of the states to put them in place. Wonder would they agree with him in Virgina?

I realised I was in a pointless escapade to inform him better? But anyway I was flabbergasted at the deluded stuff he was coming out with..... pure fantasy. I dont understand where he was even getting the half of it.

But he's not the first another guy who is a bit better informed asked me would it not also be a good idea for Ireland to exit alongside Britain, he got a quick rebuttal about that!

I also dont understand why there is such anti EU sentiment in America. I mean America has closer cultural, economic and political ties with Europe than anywhere else so can't understand how a sensible person would allow such deluded hypothetical scenarios as the basis for their opinion.

US is closer culturally with Ireland and Britain, and then there is a step change to the rest of the EU. A lot of US colleagues consider continental EU as too socialist for them.

For example, I work in a multi national, the US team are flabbergasted about the EU rules on the permissible hours worked in the working week, August shutdown holdidays, especially when deadlines are looming.

Also, European employment rules would be considered close to Marxism, length of consultancy period, layoff terms 'v' right to work rules in NJ.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 15, 2019, 03:08:16 PM
Quote from: Kickham csc on January 15, 2019, 02:03:51 PM
US is closer culturally with Ireland and Britain, and then there is a step change to the rest of the EU. A lot of US colleagues consider continental EU as too socialist for them.

This is largely myth, people in the US may speak the same language, more or less, but their thinking is quite different.

QuoteFor example, I work in a multi national, the US team are flabbergasted about the EU rules on the permissible hours worked in the working week, August shutdown holdidays, especially when deadlines are looming.

Who puts a deadline in the vicinity of the holidays? Sounds like bad planning.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2019, 03:09:52 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 15, 2019, 01:10:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 15, 2019, 10:57:03 AM
Quote from: Rois on January 15, 2019, 09:40:24 AM
Crispin Odey's comments (made last week) are the reason sterling jumped last week.
The DUP have lost. The consequences for NI are massive.
Arlene bet the farm on no deal.

Seafoid, you're an awful man for the big dramatic statement.

Nobody's lost or won anything with this yet.

No deal is not going to happen, Franko
You can bet Ballymena on it
Parliament won't accept it and neither will the EU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on January 15, 2019, 04:33:47 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 01:45:00 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 01:06:53 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 12:35:36 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Seems to be a growing confidence in the hardline Brexiteers that the EU will cave. Leave with "no deal" but an agreement to start negotiating a UK-EU trade agreement with a 2 year (extendable) deadline, and in the meantime it's a "temporary" free trade agreement leaving all UK-EU trade exactly as is. In return, UK gives all the monies it has committed (which it owes anyway!).

EU caving seemed impossible all along as there has to be something to discourage others from following the UK and leaving. But seems the Germans in particular are wavering due to the huge costs to their economy of an actual hard Brexit.
The EU can't "cave" without Ireland "caving". And there can't be a free trade deal or a temporary free trade deal wthout Ireland agreeing.

There has never been a time when the hard Brexiteers have not been "confident". Delusion does that.
There's absolutely no chance that Ireland would be the country to halt such a "deal". We need free trade with the UK more than anyone else. So barring a Brexit reversal, the best solution for us is a temporary free trade agreement leaving everything as is for the next 2 years. Pushes the border question back 2 years too at which stage perhaps DUP won't be important to the new UK government
The Withdrawl Agreement is the temporary deal.

There is no other "temporary deal".
At the moment.

Unless it's rejected and put off the table.

We'll see if the Germans put long term EU objectives ahead of short term severe national pain if No Deal crunchtime comes. They've been steadfast up to very recently, but now that a No Deal seems a possibility, there are signs of wavering. Big German business will not be happy with a No Deal, to say the least.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 15, 2019, 04:57:33 PM
If there was no backstop clause inserted in the Withdrawal Agreement, does anyone think that would make the difference to the agreement being voted through by a majority in parliament?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2019, 05:25:23 PM
Quote from: Main Street on January 15, 2019, 04:57:33 PM
If there was no backstop clause inserted in the Withdrawal Agreement, does anyone think that would make the difference to the agreement being voted through by a majority in parliament?
No

They still don't know what they want

https://brexitoptions.co.uk/diagram.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 06:08:02 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 04:33:47 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 01:45:00 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 01:06:53 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 12:35:36 PM
Quote from: Hound on January 15, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Seems to be a growing confidence in the hardline Brexiteers that the EU will cave. Leave with "no deal" but an agreement to start negotiating a UK-EU trade agreement with a 2 year (extendable) deadline, and in the meantime it's a "temporary" free trade agreement leaving all UK-EU trade exactly as is. In return, UK gives all the monies it has committed (which it owes anyway!).

EU caving seemed impossible all along as there has to be something to discourage others from following the UK and leaving. But seems the Germans in particular are wavering due to the huge costs to their economy of an actual hard Brexit.
The EU can't "cave" without Ireland "caving". And there can't be a free trade deal or a temporary free trade deal wthout Ireland agreeing.

There has never been a time when the hard Brexiteers have not been "confident". Delusion does that.
There's absolutely no chance that Ireland would be the country to halt such a "deal". We need free trade with the UK more than anyone else. So barring a Brexit reversal, the best solution for us is a temporary free trade agreement leaving everything as is for the next 2 years. Pushes the border question back 2 years too at which stage perhaps DUP won't be important to the new UK government
The Withdrawl Agreement is the temporary deal.

There is no other "temporary deal".
At the moment.

Unless it's rejected and put off the table.

We'll see if the Germans put long term EU objectives ahead of short term severe national pain if No Deal crunchtime comes. They've been steadfast up to very recently, but now that a No Deal seems a possibility, there are signs of wavering. Big German business will not be happy with a No Deal, to say the least.
This is the delusion that Boris Johnson, David Davis et al have been labouring under for the last three years, that German car manufacturers actually have a say in whether there's a backstop or not. They don't.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: An Watcher on January 15, 2019, 07:00:54 PM
Can someone tell me what a hard border looks like as Arlene Foster said there had never been one in Ireland?  I remember heavily fortified checkpoints at Newry, Strabane and Aughnacloy but they mustn't have been big enough to be termed a hard border
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 15, 2019, 07:09:13 PM
The woman is a joke. She's listening to trump too much- say something is true and then people will believe it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 15, 2019, 07:36:07 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on January 15, 2019, 07:00:54 PM
Can someone tell me what a hard border looks like as Arlene Foster said there had never been one in Ireland?  I remember heavily fortified checkpoints at Newry, Strabane and Aughnacloy but they mustn't have been big enough to be termed a hard border

Yet more Lies. Leaving aside the fortified checkpoints where some case can be made, there were enormous customs barriers for 40 years. In the 1920s north-south trade halved.

What does  she think these boys were at?
(https://3es13k2qcgtk2j14l71vvjla-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/customs-border-post.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on January 15, 2019, 07:43:05 PM
Destroyed in that vote - she can't stay on, surely
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on January 15, 2019, 07:47:04 PM
Sterling has responded well to the vote. Markets must think there'll be no Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on January 15, 2019, 07:54:37 PM
I thought pantomime season was over. This is genuinely mortifying stuff at this stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on January 15, 2019, 08:10:44 PM
if Sinn Fein had taken their seats..she would have only lost by 223 votes!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: manfromdelmonte on January 15, 2019, 08:15:26 PM
I vividly remember driving up to a checkpoint the far side of Ballyshannon when I was a child

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 15, 2019, 08:24:41 PM
Wonder will Jeremy be giving a ring to the DUP during the night? Ian Jr. might find himself vacationing in the Seychelles again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:25:38 PM
May will try to blackmail through a deal yet.

i) She'll try to get the backstop dropped. This could go down to the last week with the full weight of British imperial arrogance brought to bear on the Irish government. Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney could well become public enemies number one and two in the British press come March. Anti-Irish feeeling in Britain could get extremely nasty.

ii) Meanwhile, Corbyn has one chance left to shift ground to favouring a second referendum, and that's when his no confidence vote fails. If he doesn't shift then, Labour will start imploding. May might well feel that she's more likely to persuade Labour MPs, especially anti-Corbyn MPs, to back a deal, backstop or no backstop, than Tory MPs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 08:29:15 PM
Sammy has urged her to go back to the EU again to get a better deal. Boris Johnson has said that it gives Theresa May a massive mandate to go back to the EU to get a better deal.

Even though the EU has stated that there will be no renegotiation of the Withdrawal agreement. And this all with 70 days to go. It's anybody's guess as to what will happen now but whatever the outcome one side or the other will be up in arms and a nation will be divided for the forseeable future largely because of the posturing of a bunch of clowns in parliament whose lives will not be affected in any material way.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 08:34:06 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:25:38 PM
May will try to blackmail through a deal yet.

i) She'll try to get the backstop dropped. This could go down to the last week with the full weight of British imperial arrogance brought to bear on the Irish government. Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney could well become public enemies number one and two in the British press come March. Anti-Irish feeeling in Britain could get extremely nasty.

ii) Meanwhile, Corbyn has one chance left to shift ground to favouring a second referendum, and that's when his no confidence vote fails. If he doesn't shift then, Labour will start imploding. May might well feel that she's more likely to persuade Labour MPs, especially anti-Corbyn MPs, to back a deal, backstop or no backstop, than Tory MPs.

(i) The EU have already stated that they would not be renegotiating the Withdrawal Agreement. So unless the EU go back on their word and do a complete U turn option 1 is irrelevant.

(ii) Corbyn is anti Europe so he will not countenance a second referendum. Labour may well implode though.

Not even mystic Meg could successfully predict the outcome at this stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 15, 2019, 08:36:28 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:25:38 PM
May will try to blackmail through a deal yet.

i) She'll try to get the backstop dropped. This could go down to the last week with the full weight of British imperial arrogance brought to bear on the Irish government. Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney could well become public enemies number one and two in the British press come March. Anti-Irish feeeling in Britain could get extremely nasty.

ii) Meanwhile, Corbyn has one chance left to shift ground to favouring a second referendum, and that's when his no confidence vote fails. If he doesn't shift then, Labour will start imploding. May might well feel that she's more likely to persuade Labour MPs, especially anti-Corbyn MPs, to back a deal, backstop or no backstop, than Tory MPs.

Having seen the scale of tonight's defeat Brussels could rightfully say May is a busted flush and refuse to give her any more leeway. In which case she's absolutely definitely finished. It then comes down to a game of bluff as to who first says we don't want 'No Deal'. House of commons would have taken control before it comes to that anyway I think. Extension of Article 50 almost a certainty now I'd say.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:43:11 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 08:34:06 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:25:38 PM
May will try to blackmail through a deal yet.

i) She'll try to get the backstop dropped. This could go down to the last week with the full weight of British imperial arrogance brought to bear on the Irish government. Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney could well become public enemies number one and two in the British press come March. Anti-Irish feeeling in Britain could get extremely nasty.

ii) Meanwhile, Corbyn has one chance left to shift ground to favouring a second referendum, and that's when his no confidence vote fails. If he doesn't shift then, Labour will start imploding. May might well feel that she's more likely to persuade Labour MPs, especially anti-Corbyn MPs, to back a deal, backstop or no backstop, than Tory MPs.

(i) The EU have already stated that they would not be renegotiating the Withdrawal Agreement. So unless the EU go back on their word and do a complete U turn option 1 is irrelevant.

(ii) Corbyn is anti Europe so he will not countenance a second referendum. Labour may well implode though.

Not even mystic Meg could successfully predict the outcome at this stage.
The EU won't move and rightly so. What May will likely hope for is to play a massive game of chicken, or blackmail if you like, with the Irish government. The Brits will spell out all sorts of disastrous scenarios if there's a hard border and paint the Irish government as the bad guys, they'll say that the Irish government are bringing about a return to the Troubles and the British press will go all in.

What May will be hoping to do is to get Varadkar to go to the EU and request the backstop be dropped from the deal.

If you heard the Marian Finucane show on RTE Radio 1 on Sunday, Irexiteer charlatan Ray Bassett was trying to spin this type of narrative.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:45:21 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 15, 2019, 08:36:28 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:25:38 PM
May will try to blackmail through a deal yet.

i) She'll try to get the backstop dropped. This could go down to the last week with the full weight of British imperial arrogance brought to bear on the Irish government. Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney could well become public enemies number one and two in the British press come March. Anti-Irish feeeling in Britain could get extremely nasty.

ii) Meanwhile, Corbyn has one chance left to shift ground to favouring a second referendum, and that's when his no confidence vote fails. If he doesn't shift then, Labour will start imploding. May might well feel that she's more likely to persuade Labour MPs, especially anti-Corbyn MPs, to back a deal, backstop or no backstop, than Tory MPs.

Having seen the scale of tonight's defeat Brussels could rightfully say May is a busted flush and refuse to give her any more leeway. In which case she's absolutely definitely finished. It then comes down to a game of bluff as to who first says we don't want 'No Deal'. House of commons would have taken control before it comes to that anyway I think. Extension of Article 50 almost a certainty now I'd say.
But the EU are unlikely to grant an extension without a second referendum.

A second referendum would be no slam dunk by the way, and we don't even yet know what the question on the ballot would be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 08:48:35 PM
Sorry but I'm really struggling to understand how/why you think Varadker might be influenced or blackmailed to change his mind.

"I'm going to tell everyone it's your fault, and they'll all believe me, every last one of them"

It just needs an evil laugh at the end.

You've been reading too many childrens' novels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 15, 2019, 08:50:15 PM
"Arlene Foster, the DUP leader, has welcomed the result of tonight's vote. In a statment she said:

By rejecting the withdrawal agreement, parliament has acted in the best interests of the entire United Kingdom.

The House of Commons has sent an unmistakable message to the prime minister and the European Union that this deal is rejected.

Mrs May will now be able to demonstrate to the Brussels' negotiators that changes are required if any deal is to command the support of parliament ...

Reassurances whether in the form of letters or warm words, will not be enough. The prime minister must now go back to the European Union and seek fundamental change to the withdrawal agreement."


You tell 'em Arlene. The EU is no match for your lot of match-hardened punters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on January 15, 2019, 08:50:51 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:43:11 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 08:34:06 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:25:38 PM
May will try to blackmail through a deal yet.

i) She'll try to get the backstop dropped. This could go down to the last week with the full weight of British imperial arrogance brought to bear on the Irish government. Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney could well become public enemies number one and two in the British press come March. Anti-Irish feeeling in Britain could get extremely nasty.

ii) Meanwhile, Corbyn has one chance left to shift ground to favouring a second referendum, and that's when his no confidence vote fails. If he doesn't shift then, Labour will start imploding. May might well feel that she's more likely to persuade Labour MPs, especially anti-Corbyn MPs, to back a deal, backstop or no backstop, than Tory MPs.

(i) The EU have already stated that they would not be renegotiating the Withdrawal Agreement. So unless the EU go back on their word and do a complete U turn option 1 is irrelevant.

(ii) Corbyn is anti Europe so he will not countenance a second referendum. Labour may well implode though.

Not even mystic Meg could successfully predict the outcome at this stage.
The EU won't move and rightly so. What May will likely hope for is to play a massive game of chicken, or blackmail if you like, with the Irish government. The Brits will spell out all sorts of disastrous scenarios if there's a hard border and paint the Irish government as the bad guys, they'll say that the Irish government are bringing about a return to the Troubles and the British press will go all in.

What May will be hoping to do is to get Varadkar to go to the EU and request the backstop be dropped from the deal.

If you heard the Marian Finucane show on RTE Radio 1 on Sunday, Irexiteer charlatan Ray Bassett was trying to spin this type of narrative.

For us nationalist's in the North , what is the best case scenario? I don't like the idea of any pressure on Varadkar, because I think he'll fold. It's funny but in times like this we'd need Bertie back. Leo couldn't care less about us, whereas I think Bertie always did.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 08:51:29 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:43:11 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 08:34:06 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:25:38 PM
May will try to blackmail through a deal yet.

i) She'll try to get the backstop dropped. This could go down to the last week with the full weight of British imperial arrogance brought to bear on the Irish government. Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney could well become public enemies number one and two in the British press come March. Anti-Irish feeeling in Britain could get extremely nasty.

ii) Meanwhile, Corbyn has one chance left to shift ground to favouring a second referendum, and that's when his no confidence vote fails. If he doesn't shift then, Labour will start imploding. May might well feel that she's more likely to persuade Labour MPs, especially anti-Corbyn MPs, to back a deal, backstop or no backstop, than Tory MPs.

(i) The EU have already stated that they would not be renegotiating the Withdrawal Agreement. So unless the EU go back on their word and do a complete U turn option 1 is irrelevant.

(ii) Corbyn is anti Europe so he will not countenance a second referendum. Labour may well implode though.

Not even mystic Meg could successfully predict the outcome at this stage.
The EU won't move and rightly so. What May will likely hope for is to play a massive game of chicken, or blackmail if you like, with the Irish government. The Brits will spell out all sorts of disastrous scenarios if there's a hard border and paint the Irish government as the bad guys, they'll say that the Irish government are bringing about a return to the Troubles and the British press will go all in.

What May will be hoping to do is to get Varadkar to go to the EU and request the backstop be dropped from the deal.

If you heard the Marian Finucane show on RTE Radio 1 on Sunday, Irexiteer charlatan Ray Bassett was trying to spin this type of narrative.

Do you genuinely believe that this is what will happen?

Also if Varadkar goes to the EU to get them to drop the backstop he would be political toast.   

Honestly never heard of Ray Bassett. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on January 15, 2019, 09:00:11 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 08:51:29 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:43:11 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 08:34:06 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 08:25:38 PM
May will try to blackmail through a deal yet.

i) She'll try to get the backstop dropped. This could go down to the last week with the full weight of British imperial arrogance brought to bear on the Irish government. Leo Varadkar and Simon Coveney could well become public enemies number one and two in the British press come March. Anti-Irish feeeling in Britain could get extremely nasty.

ii) Meanwhile, Corbyn has one chance left to shift ground to favouring a second referendum, and that's when his no confidence vote fails. If he doesn't shift then, Labour will start imploding. May might well feel that she's more likely to persuade Labour MPs, especially anti-Corbyn MPs, to back a deal, backstop or no backstop, than Tory MPs.

(i) The EU have already stated that they would not be renegotiating the Withdrawal Agreement. So unless the EU go back on their word and do a complete U turn option 1 is irrelevant.

(ii) Corbyn is anti Europe so he will not countenance a second referendum. Labour may well implode though.

Not even mystic Meg could successfully predict the outcome at this stage.
The EU won't move and rightly so. What May will likely hope for is to play a massive game of chicken, or blackmail if you like, with the Irish government. The Brits will spell out all sorts of disastrous scenarios if there's a hard border and paint the Irish government as the bad guys, they'll say that the Irish government are bringing about a return to the Troubles and the British press will go all in.

What May will be hoping to do is to get Varadkar to go to the EU and request the backstop be dropped from the deal.

If you heard the Marian Finucane show on RTE Radio 1 on Sunday, Irexiteer charlatan Ray Bassett was trying to spin this type of narrative.

Do you genuinely believe that this is what will happen?

Also if Varadkar goes to the EU to get them to drop the backstop he would be political toast.   

Honestly never heard of Ray Bassett.

They have to try something radical or else it's going to go up in smoke.

Democratically what is the purpose of another referendum? The twats of GB voted to leave, why would they get another referendum because of May's ineptitude?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:05:37 PM
May hasn't been inept.

She has never, never has a hand to play here. Her country wish to leave. What interest would the EU have in smoothing this over, and handing out sweeteners?

What a second referendum would allow the UK to do is decide whether it's worth continuing with the process, now we are all better informed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 15, 2019, 09:07:21 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 08:48:35 PM
Sorry but I'm really struggling to understand how/why you think Varadker might be influenced or blackmailed to change his mind.

"I'm going to tell everyone it's your fault, and they'll all believe me, every last one of them"

It just needs an evil laugh at the end.

You've been reading too many childrens' novels.

I hate the Blue Shirts, but I have very few complaints about the way Varadkar and Coveney have behaved over this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Therealdonald on January 15, 2019, 09:08:45 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:05:37 PM
May hasn't been inept.

She has never, never has a hand to play here. Her country wish to leave. What interest would the EU have in smoothing this over, and handing out sweeteners?

What a second referendum would allow the UK to do is decide whether it's worth continuing with the process, now we are all better informed.

She is completely out of her depth. How can you not call the events of the last few days as inept leadership? She was dealt the hand and could've folded, but instead she bluffed the flop, bet the turn then went in all in with a pair of ducks on the river....and has came up with absolutely FA.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 15, 2019, 09:10:49 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 15, 2019, 08:50:15 PM
"Arlene Foster, the DUP leader, has welcomed the result of tonight's vote. In a statment she said:

By rejecting the withdrawal agreement, parliament has acted in the best interests of the entire United Kingdom.

The House of Commons has sent an unmistakable message to the prime minister and the European Union that this deal is rejected.

Mrs May will now be able to demonstrate to the Brussels' negotiators that changes are required if any deal is to command the support of parliament ...

Reassurances whether in the form of letters or warm words, will not be enough. The prime minister must now go back to the European Union and seek fundamental change to the withdrawal agreement."


You tell 'em Arlene. The EU is no match for your lot of match-hardened punters.

Dear God, the arrogance is unbelievable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on January 15, 2019, 09:13:40 PM
the text of the referendum was :
Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?

now that they know the terms of the withdrawal the referendum question for a second ballot must surely be


Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or exit the EU under the awful terms negotiated by the Government in 2018 who don't have a leg to stand on and will not only bankrupt the country but lose hundred of thousands of jobs, reduce your wages and lose Northern Ireland back to the Republic from whom we should never have taken it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 09:13:50 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:05:37 PM
May hasn't been inept.

She has never, never has a hand to play here. Her country wish to leave. What interest would the EU have in smoothing this over, and handing out sweeteners?

What a second referendum would allow the UK to do is decide whether it's worth continuing with the process, now we are all better informed.
She has been woefully inept since she became Prime Minister - and I don't say that because of the deal, but because she displayed weakness with her faux hubristic pronouncements of the strength of Britian's negotiating position. She pandered to the crackpots at every opportunity. She set down unrealistic red lines that fatally undermined the negotiations. She encouraged the belief in cakeism at every opportunity.

Is it any wonder the Brexiteers are so unhappy? May pandered to their delusions all along. Those delusions should have been knocked on the head as soon as she became PM.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 15, 2019, 09:15:00 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:05:37 PM
May hasn't been inept.

She has never, never has a hand to play here. Her country wish to leave. What interest would the EU have in smoothing this over, and handing out sweeteners?

What a second referendum would allow the UK to do is decide whether it's worth continuing with the process, now we are all better informed.

May has been completely useless, utterly inept and totally incompetent. Called a GE she didn't need to, which got her into this mess in the first place. Invoked Article 50 without thinking through the consequences of it. Tried to kowtow to the hard Brexiteers/ERG and suit everyone instead of telling them to get stuffed. Made a fool of herself running around European capitals trying to get some form of concessions which weren't ever going to be forthcoming. Announced tonight she intended to reach across the house and seek consensus on what would get agreement, 2 years too late. She is one of the most hopeless, clueless politicians I've ever seen and that's saying something.

How come Eileen's doing the News on 9 tonight? Sharon throw another hissy?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 15, 2019, 09:18:19 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on January 15, 2019, 08:10:44 PM
if Sinn Fein had taken their seats..she would have only lost by 223 votes!!
Nevertheless Sinn Fein should have held an emergency Ard Fheis to end the policy of abstention at westminister  for a meaningless voting intervention, irretrievably splitting the party, yet another schism over abstention. just how many splits on that issue since the 1900s?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on January 15, 2019, 09:19:25 PM
Quote from: heganboy on January 15, 2019, 09:13:40 PM
the text of the referendum was :
Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?

now that they know the terms of the withdrawal the referendum question for a second ballot must surely be


Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or exit the EU under the awful terms negotiated by the Government in 2018 who don't have a leg to stand on and will not only bankrupt the country but lose hundred of thousands of jobs, reduce your wages and lose Northern Ireland back to the Republic from whom we should never have taken it?

Farage lied through his teeth earlier on the BBC and claimed the leave leaders were clear that they were voting to leave the single market and the customs union. Alastair Campbell was in the middle of pulling him up on the lie when they got interrupted to go back for the result announcement
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:19:48 PM
What I'd like to know is this.

If she was appointed Tory leader / PM under the premise that she would commit to delivering the people's will of Brexit, then what is it she should have done differently?

Try to leave personal impressions out of it. If you've got nothing to negotiate with, you either take your beating, or you buy enough time until you get something to negotiate with (or at the very least, you're given something just to go away).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 09:24:56 PM
Flabbergasted at the scale of the defeat. How she can stay on after that is beyond me.

Can any1 tell me how it is that with a hard brexit the eu are going to brought to their knees and come groveling while on the other hand the uk are going to off making trillions from free trade agreements.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 15, 2019, 09:35:13 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:19:48 PM
What I'd like to know is this.

If she was appointed Tory leader / PM under the premise that she would commit to delivering the people's will of Brexit, then what is it she should have done differently?

Try to leave personal impressions out of it. If you've got nothing to negotiate with, you either take your beating, or you buy enough time until you get something to negotiate with (or at the very least, you're given something just to go away).

I don't like the woman but she was stuffed before she started. How can she win with this mess.

Farage shouldn't be allowed near our tvs. Absolute cretin who robbed money from the eu when it suited him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 09:42:20 PM
May is terrible. David Cameron was worse. There's a special place in the dunces corner of British politics specially reserved for him, forever.

To hold a referendum, a device inherently unsuited to the British parliamentary system, in fact not just unsuited but inherently hostile to it, in which one choice was defined and the other choice was talking unicorns, was the most irresponsible act, outside of going to war, in modern British political history, perhaps of all time.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on January 15, 2019, 09:46:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 15, 2019, 09:35:13 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:19:48 PM
What I'd like to know is this.

If she was appointed Tory leader / PM under the premise that she would commit to delivering the people's will of Brexit, then what is it she should have done differently?

Try to leave personal impressions out of it. If you've got nothing to negotiate with, you either take your beating, or you buy enough time until you get something to negotiate with (or at the very least, you're given something just to go away).

I don't like the woman but she was stuffed before she started. How can she win with this mess.

Farage shouldn't be allowed near our tvs. Absolute cretin who robbed money from the eu when it suited him.

But clearly too stupid to realise that she was stuffed.

Or so arrogant that she believed that she could magically unstuff herself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on January 15, 2019, 09:50:18 PM
Suppose May wins the no confidence vote and turns around and puts deferring Article 50 pending the result of a 2nd referendum to the House of Commons? She'd win the vote and the British people could vote again with a clear idea of what they're voting for - a no deal Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 09:50:53 PM
Quote from: Main Street on January 15, 2019, 09:18:19 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on January 15, 2019, 08:10:44 PM
if Sinn Fein had taken their seats..she would have only lost by 223 votes!!
Nevertheless Sinn Fein should have held an emergency Ard Fheis to end the policy of abstention at westminister  for a meaningless voting intervention, irretrievably splitting the party, yet another schism over abstention. just how many splits on that issue since the 1900s?

😂😂😂
Split sinn Fein? Fairly low chance of that me thinks no matter what ye do
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BallyroanAbu on January 15, 2019, 09:52:53 PM
Could the DUP in the greatest act of suicide by looking for no backstop actually initiate a United Ireland process.  Would be funny
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 15, 2019, 09:53:07 PM
Quote from: dec on January 15, 2019, 09:46:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 15, 2019, 09:35:13 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:19:48 PM
What I'd like to know is this.

If she was appointed Tory leader / PM under the premise that she would commit to delivering the people's will of Brexit, then what is it she should have done differently?

Try to leave personal impressions out of it. If you've got nothing to negotiate with, you either take your beating, or you buy enough time until you get something to negotiate with (or at the very least, you're given something just to go away).

I don't like the woman but she was stuffed before she started. How can she win with this mess.

Farage shouldn't be allowed near our tvs. Absolute cretin who robbed money from the eu when it suited him.

But clearly too stupid to realise that she was stuffed.

Or so arrogant that she believed that she could magically unstuff herself.

She was never a Brexiteer. If it never happens, history may judge her well, as her next card could be:

1) A referendum that will overturn Brexit
2) Cancelling Brexit by Act of Parliament
3) Revoking Article 50 Indefinitely
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 09:59:53 PM
The brexiteers appear as pompous as ever but surely they must see the writing on the wall at this point. The next step has to be to push back article 50.

How many remain supporting Tories vote against? I see jo Johnston did but Ken Clarke voted for
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BallyroanAbu on January 15, 2019, 10:01:24 PM
A divided country, this is chaos.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 10:08:37 PM
Heard it there was 11 remainder tories
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 15, 2019, 10:12:24 PM
Quote from: dec on January 15, 2019, 09:46:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 15, 2019, 09:35:13 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:19:48 PM
What I'd like to know is this.

If she was appointed Tory leader / PM under the premise that she would commit to delivering the people's will of Brexit, then what is it she should have done differently?

Try to leave personal impressions out of it. If you've got nothing to negotiate with, you either take your beating, or you buy enough time until you get something to negotiate with (or at the very least, you're given something just to go away).

I don't like the woman but she was stuffed before she started. How can she win with this mess.

Farage shouldn't be allowed near our tvs. Absolute cretin who robbed money from the eu when it suited him.

But clearly too stupid to realise that she was stuffed.

Or so arrogant that she believed that she could magically unstuff herself.

Very possibly the latter.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 15, 2019, 10:19:13 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:05:37 PM
May hasn't been inept.

She has never, never has a hand to play here.

She has been completely inept.

Should have established a cross-party committee that performed the negotiations, with numerous visits back to the westminster with indicative votes on key issues to ensure they were following consensus on negotiation.

At each point, if they hit a deadlock on something the EU wouldn't agree with and Westminster wouldn't agree without - then the question is asked (i)leave with no deal, (ii)accept this compromise, (iii)don't leave - as either a vote in Westminster or a referendum.


She's a wannabe dictator. Don't forget - parliament had to fight hard just to get this vote, the Scots had to fight the govt to even get a ruling on whether Article 50 could be revoked, when it was clear she was losing this vote, she delayed to raise the brinkmanship, the speaker had to impose a 3 day turnaround otherwise another 3 weeks would have been wasted as she raised the stakes ever higher hoping the other side would blink first.

If May had her way - this would all have been negotiated in secret and without anyone having any visibility never mind say until it was all signed off and law.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on January 15, 2019, 10:25:19 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 15, 2019, 10:19:13 PM
Should have established a cross-party committee that performed the negotiations, with numerous visits back to the westminster with indicative votes on key issues to ensure they were following consensus on negotiation.

If she did that, the hardline Tory Brexiteers would have made her life hell.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on January 15, 2019, 10:34:59 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 09:50:53 PM
Quote from: Main Street on January 15, 2019, 09:18:19 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on January 15, 2019, 08:10:44 PM
if Sinn Fein had taken their seats..she would have only lost by 223 votes!!
Nevertheless Sinn Fein should have held an emergency Ard Fheis to end the policy of abstention at westminister  for a meaningless voting intervention, irretrievably splitting the party, yet another schism over abstention. just how many splits on that issue since the 1900s?

😂😂😂
Split sinn Fein? Fairly low chance of that me thinks no matter what ye do

The joke.









You.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 15, 2019, 10:44:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 15, 2019, 09:50:18 PM
Suppose May wins the no confidence vote and turns around and puts deferring Article 50 pending the result of a 2nd referendum to the House of Commons? She'd win the vote and the British people could vote again with a clear idea of what they're voting for - a no deal Brexit.
But why should a no deal Brexit be on the ballot paper in a second referendum and May's deal not?

A no deal Brexit has far less Commons support than May's deal.

In terms of a second referendum, May's deal being routed in parliament is basically irrelevant, because the whole point of a referendum is to render parliament irrelevant.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 15, 2019, 11:40:36 PM
Quote from: gallsman on January 15, 2019, 10:34:59 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 15, 2019, 09:50:53 PM
Quote from: Main Street on January 15, 2019, 09:18:19 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on January 15, 2019, 08:10:44 PM
if Sinn Fein had taken their seats..she would have only lost by 223 votes!!
Nevertheless Sinn Fein should have held an emergency Ard Fheis to end the policy of abstention at westminister  for a meaningless voting intervention, irretrievably splitting the party, yet another schism over abstention. just how many splits on that issue since the 1900s?

😂😂😂
Split sinn Fein? Fairly low chance of that me thinks no matter what ye do

You.









The joke

They'd definitely count in tomorrow's vote!!

It's only our economic and political future though no biggie . . .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 15, 2019, 11:53:02 PM
My own 2 quids worth tells me something's up... how is sterling rallying in the face of all this chaos??

I reckon it's the fact no deal looks to be completely off the table at this stage that has caused it but there are still some stormy waters depending on what happens tomorrow night. A general election, deal, extension and a people's vote are very realistic options still but tomorrow night and the weekend will tell a tale... it's hard to not watch the coverage I wish I could just switch it off but there's too much mad/unprecedented shit going on!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 16, 2019, 12:07:37 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2019, 11:53:02 PM
My own 2 quids worth tells me something's up... how is sterling rallying in the face of all this chaos??

I reckon it's the fact no deal looks to be completely off the table at this stage that has caused it but there are still some stormy waters depending on what happens tomorrow night. A general election, deal, extension and a people's vote are very realistic options still but tomorrow night and the weekend will tell a tale... it's hard to not watch the coverage I wish I could just switch it off but there's too much mad/unprecedented shit going on!!
I don't see a general election before March 29th as a realistic possibility.

The UK cannot unilaterally extend Article 50. They can unilaterally withdraw it however, which is definitely a possibility.

An extension to Article 50 would likely depend on there being a second referendum. There's a lot of talk about a second referendum, but I'm not at all convinced it will happen.

So I think no deal is still a live possibility because there has to be a major material change in circumstances for it to be avoided.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on January 16, 2019, 12:19:59 AM
Corbyn has been gearing up for this since the start which is part of the reason they weren't offering any alternatives. He has wanted to force a GE but it would be a big surprise if any Tory would rather have a GE and potentially Corbyn in power than a lame duck May. They keep saying that they are against No Deal but they are rapidly running out of time. What a shambles.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on January 16, 2019, 05:50:53 AM
Pushing back the date requires all 27 to support.

Withdrawing 50 is unilateral by the UK only
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 16, 2019, 06:08:21 AM
They will probably ask for it until December and it will probably be granted. And sure if they dont grant it they can just revoke it and then invoke again but I guess that would kick the can down the road another 2 years ;D ;D. What a feckin mess :D :D :D

May said she will look to all opinions from the house, word is Olly Robbins has already been doing just that for her. Also a lot of MPs seem to be talking to each other cross party Grieve, Benn etc. I have a feeling  that there is a majority for something in the Commons... most likely a Norway but with so many calling for a 2nd ref its hard to see that movement going away quietly.

As soon as the end of the week I predict the Brexiteers could well be going ape shit (again!), DUP breathing a sigh of relief, Corbyn and his moron front bench back to twiddling their thumbs and May acting as the puppet for the middle ground which is likely where she wanted to be anyway..... Maybe this is all part of her master plan.... maybe May's a feckin genius after all!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 16, 2019, 06:52:32 AM
Course the Brexiteers might sense the wind could be shifting direction and vote with Labour on the no-confidence. It wouldnt take to many to get it over the line. I'm guessing alot of their seats are safe so would they care about a GE?
Course that could risk a Labour government and guarentee a Norway or 2nd ref but not necessarily.... it def would mean the end of May, on the flip side there's no real chance of a Brexiteer leading their party.

They Prob wont have the balls tho as they believe their best chance is to somehow stall their way to the 29March, which is looking increasingly unlikely. Tonight looks like a high water mark for them. It will be back to the fringes for them unless of course they win a 2nd referendum... then the only sensible thing would be ReesMoog as PM  :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 07:57:32 AM
Quote from: heganboy on January 16, 2019, 05:50:53 AM
Pushing back the date requires all 27 to support.

Withdrawing 50 is unilateral by the UK only
If the Brits appear to be be making genuine progress towards something coherent in the reality spectrum I think Article 50 could be extended. Apparently the EU are thinking of waiting until the hurling round robin is over to decide on Brexit

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/13/eu-preparing-to-delay-brexit-until-at-least-july

Brexit so far has  been operating in the fantasy spectrum

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on January 16, 2019, 07:58:33 AM
She'll win the no confidence motion, rightly so too. Corbyn would make an even bigger mess of things and everyone beyond some of his sycophantic inner circle know it.

In fairness, they probably know it too and just pretend otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 08:03:29 AM
Quote from: gallsman on January 16, 2019, 07:58:33 AM
She'll win the no confidence motion, rightly so too. Corbyn would make an even bigger mess of things and everyone beyond some of his sycophantic inner circle know it.

In fairness, they probably know it too and just pretend otherwise.
Voting against her yesterday and for her today is incoherent
The Eurosceptics want a weak PM but other Tories do not
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 08:47:14 AM


FT

May's defeat spells trouble for the EU's Brexit approach

Brussels sees outcome as a reality check on timing, renegotiation and Irish backstop

Donald Tusk, left, EU Council president, is said to have taken a more hardline position on Brexit than Jean-
Alex Barker in Brussels
yesterday
Print this page
The House of Commons vote against Theresa May's Brexit deal is not just a historic blow for the British prime minister; it is also a moment of reckoning for the longstanding EU strategy on the UK's exit from the bloc.
Since Britain's referendum vote in 2016, the EU has largely acted as if there were no fundamental choice between arranging the UK's orderly exit and maintaining the unity and integrity of the European project. The onus was on Britain to yield.
The sheer scale of the defeat of the draft Brexit deal — a 585-page doorstopper treaty painstakingly negotiated over 18 months— throws that approach into doubt, forcing both sides to revisit their ideas of what is politically feasible in the coming months.
Hosuk Lee-Makiyama, a former EU trade official now heading the European Centre for International Political Economy, said the draft deal was a Pyrrhic victory for the bloc. EU negotiators secured highly favourable terms from Britain but "risk losing because it cannot be ratified", he said. "The ball is definitely in the EU court."
Brussels will insist London take the initiative in the aftermath of the vote. But senior EU officials at the heart of the negotiation see the result as a reality check on three fronts: Britain's scheduled March 29 exit date; the durability of a draft agreement previously billed as a "best and last" offer; and the question of how to manage the impact of a no-deal Brexit on the Northern Ireland border, the most contentious topic.
Recommended



Instant Insight Robert Shrimsley
May's loss points to a Brexit delay
With so much up in the air, a minority in Brussels is now asking whether the EU's focus should now be more focused on avoiding Brexit altogether.
The initial response
While nerves over Brexit have grown in some European capitals, the response will depend on how Mrs May fares after the vote. Jean-Claude Juncker, the commission president, tweeted of his "regret" at the defeat. "I urge the UK to clarify its intentions as soon as possible," he said. "Time is almost up."
The bloc is expected to accelerate no-deal preparations, but Donald Tusk, the European Council president, and many member states are reluctant to call a special summit on Brexit before "the dust has settled" in Westminster, according to one senior diplomat.
Rather than gamble on a summit with "nothing to discuss", the EU side wants negotiations to develop so that any British demands for revisions are both clear and plausible. "The worst thing for everyone will be a European Council that slides into disagreement and more chaos," said a second EU diplomat.
The Brexit timeline
Hardly a diplomat is left working on Brexit who believes March 29 will be Britain's departure day. A significant shift occurred over the Christmas break, as Martin Selmayr, the commission's top civil servant, began exploring legal avenues to prolong the process, according to senior EU officials.
This is partly because Mrs May's negotiators privately made clear that if her government's attempts to win a "meaningful vote" on her deal ran into the new year, Britain would be unable to pass all the ratification legislation required before the end of March. Even in a no-deal scenario, both sides expect to extend the date to allow for preparations.
The open question is not if but when Britain asks for an extension. If Mrs May retains the authority to pursue a second vote on her deal in coming weeks — after seeking relatively minor revisions — she may not want to ease the pressure of an impending deadline.
By contrast, a request for a more fundamental renegotiation — or indeed time for a second referendum or an election — would need to be accompanied by a UK request for an extension.
Views have recently shifted within the EU on how to respond. On Tuesday night French President Emmanuel Macron suggested that the UK would ultimately need to take more time. EU leaders are likely to approve an extension until July 1, even if it is primarily to cope with political gridlock in Britain. "If she asks for one she gets one," said a senior EU official involved in Brexit. "That is what has changed." Some political conditions are likely to be attached.
One camp of EU officials see merit in a longer extension, potentially going on to the end of the year, to give Britain time "for the fever to break". But this runs up against a big political obstacle: the need for Britain to elect MEPs to the new European Parliament before its first session in July. Lawyers have been asked to look for workarounds, but no bulletproof answers have been found.
The renegotiation
Negotiators had seen the "most dangerous" outcome for the EU as being a narrow defeat for Mrs May in the Commons vote, which would have given the UK prime minister leverage to seek surgical but significant changes to the withdrawal treaty.
Her devastating loss in Westminster suggests much broader changes may be needed to secure parliament's approval.
The most obvious "surgical" change would, in effect, set an end-date to the backstop plan to avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland. The backstop is loathed by Brexiters, who see it as a "trap" that could keep the UK in a customs union with the EU for years.
Some member states have no qualms with the concept of time-limiting the backstop. But they want any compromise to emerge from Ireland; there remains no desire to publicly overrule Leo Varadkar, the Irish premier.
Mr Varadkar has made clear to Berlin and Paris that he would prefer a no-deal to a time-limited backstop, according to people familiar with the conversations. "He can blame the Brits for the mess," said one.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 09:21:27 AM
No deal looks v unlikely once we've gotten into the zone where the date is more flexible than first stated. Everyone wants a deal (even those claiming not to)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on January 16, 2019, 09:22:44 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 08:03:29 AM
Quote from: gallsman on January 16, 2019, 07:58:33 AM
She'll win the no confidence motion, rightly so too. Corbyn would make an even bigger mess of things and everyone beyond some of his sycophantic inner circle know it.

In fairness, they probably know it too and just pretend otherwise.
Voting against her yesterday and for her today is incoherent
The Eurosceptics want a weak PM but other Tories do not

It's not incoherent as they're voting on two completely separate topics
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: manfromdelmonte on January 16, 2019, 09:23:07 AM
Any chance the Shinners might take their seats?

the useless feckers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 16, 2019, 09:32:25 AM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on January 16, 2019, 09:23:07 AM
Any chance the Shinners might take their seats?

the useless feckers

Get up off there arse and represent their constituents??!! Some chance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kickham csc on January 16, 2019, 10:00:32 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 16, 2019, 09:32:25 AM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on January 16, 2019, 09:23:07 AM
Any chance the Shinners might take their seats?

the useless feckers

Get up off there arse and represent their constituents??!! Some chance.
Guys, it's their policy, which is published and they get a mandate to implement it during election time. They still work the system and lobby in Westminster, but won't take their seats due to having to take an oath.

I can't believe that after 20 years, the SDLP haven't been able to capitalize on this issue. Instead of snipping at Sinn Fein, this is the one issue that they need to be focusing on to pull voters over to them.

Looking big picture, Sinn Fien's votes don't matter. They have representation in the Dail and EU, so they are still influencing the process.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 10:12:56 AM
And what good has the SDLP's presence done over the years for nationalist here especially when the tories were in power. How many posters on here if they were starting a new job first port of call is the swear allegiance to the British Crown. If you don't like SF policy on the matter then don't vote for them. Seems the the majority of Irish nationalist in the north don't have a problem with abstinence.
All the disfunctions and pantomime that's gone on in parliament this last few months and all some people can think of is that on a Brexit thread.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 16, 2019, 10:23:49 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 10:12:56 AM
And what good has the SDLP's presence done over the years for nationalist here especially when the tories were in power. How many posters on here if they were starting a new job first port of call is the swear allegiance to the British Crown. If you don't like SF policy on the matter then don't vote for them. Seems the the majority of Irish nationalist in the north don't have a problem with abstinence.
All the disfunctions and pantomime that's gone on in parliament this last few months and all some people can think of is that on a Brexit thread.

So bringing peace to the North and saving countless lives has done nothing for Nationalist?

Muppet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 10:32:30 AM
Quote from: trailer on January 16, 2019, 10:23:49 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 10:12:56 AM
And what good has the SDLP's presence done over the years for nationalist here especially when the tories were in power. How many posters on here if they were starting a new job first port of call is the swear allegiance to the British Crown. If you don't like SF policy on the matter then don't vote for them. Seems the the majority of Irish nationalist in the north don't have a problem with abstinence.
All the disfunctions and pantomime that's gone on in parliament this last few months and all some people can think of is that on a Brexit thread.

So bringing peace to the North and saving countless lives has done nothing for Nationalist?

Muppet.

Their presence in Westminster fellow muppet. I respect the SDLP more than you respect SF but while we are on the subject do you think SF had nothing to do with the current peace we are enjoying. I never voted SF during that period because I am opposed to violence. You sound more like a Dupper than any sort of nationalist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 10:38:42 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

I would agree on that for sure, and they next time they come canvassing I will be giving them an earful on it. As for their abstention in Westminster I couldn't gave a rats ass.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 11:03:40 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

They managed to come to an agreement with the DUP only for it to be vetoed by those behind the DUP. Hard to know what you can do when those you're negotiating with don't appear to have any say. What would you have them do?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 11:06:34 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on January 15, 2019, 09:05:37 PM
May hasn't been inept.

She has never, never has a hand to play here. Her country wish to leave. What interest would the EU have in smoothing this over, and handing out sweeteners?

What a second referendum would allow the UK to do is decide whether it's worth continuing with the process, now we are all better informed.
Her red lines were stupid
The aim of the game was to execute Brexit without breaking up the party and she was a poor leader
She is no Geezer (2002 vintage)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 11:07:33 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 11:03:40 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

They managed to come to an agreement with the DUP only for it to be vetoed by those behind the DUP. Hard to know what you can do when those you're negotiating with don't appear to have any say. What would you have them do?

No work, no pay! Simples.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 11:12:11 AM


EU ready to discuss new Brexit deal if UK changes 'red lines'

Michel Barnier says there is 'no room for manoeuvre' when it comes to backstop


The European Union's chief Brexit negotiator has told the United Kingdom that it could have a different kind of departure deal if London is willing to change its key demands.

Addressing the European Parliament on Wednesday, Michel Barnier defended the withdrawal agreement struck with Theresa May which suffered a crushing defeat in a House of Commons' vote on Tuesday evening and left theprime minister facing a confidence vote.

Mr Barnier warned that the risk of a disorderly withdrawal was now greater than ever as a result of the vote and that the EU would step up its preparations amid concern a no-deal outcome could disrupt the whole of Europe.

He indicated that one way forward would be for Britain to accept even closer alignment with EU regulations to secure a very close trading relationship in future. EU officials say London could, for example, abandon its determination to leave the EU customs union and the centrally regulated single market.

Referring to statements by the European Parliament and all the other member states, Mr Barnier said: "If the United Kingdom chooses to let its red lines change in future, and that it takes this choice for its advantage of the ambition of going beyond a simple but not negligible free trade accord, then the European Union would be ready immediately to ... respond favourably."

That suggestion for a "deeper relationship" was echoed by the EU parliament's Brexit coordinator, Guy Verhofstadt.


Exposed divisions

Mr Barnier and others lined up to highlight how the vote in London exposed only divisions, without shedding light on what Britain's could actually rally behind as a consensual position, just 10 weeks before it is set to leave the bloc, potentially into a legal limbo for citizens and businesses.

"Please, please, please tell us finally what you want to achieve," pleaded Manfred Weber, the centre-right leader in the parliament and an ally of German chancellor Angela Merkel.


Advertisement


But, he added, there was "no room for manoeuvre" in terms of renegotiating the current agreement, which Brexit campaigners say leaves Britain too tied to EU rules, especially due to a "backstop" insurance clause intended to avoid throwing up a hard customs border across Ireland.

The DUP Brexit spokesman Sammy Wilson on Wednesday doubled down on his party leader's claimthat there had "never" been a hard border in Ireland, meaning the backstop was unnecessary.

Mr Barnier insisted there could be no weakening on that issue.

"Right now it's too early to assess all the consequences of this vote," he told a Strasbourg chamber that was sparsely attended for the early morning debate, perhaps reflecting a growing weariness in Europe with Britain's troubles.

"We have respected and we continue to respect the democratic parliamentary debate in the UK and I will not speculate on the different scenarios. What yesterday's vote showed is that the political conditions for the ratification of the withdrawal agreement are not yet there in London."

Second referendum

Some EU politicians have called for Britain to put the question of remaining in the EU to a second referendum. The chair of EU summits, Donald Tusk, suggested on Tuesday that division in Britain could lead to Brexit being cancelled.

Frans Timmermans, the deputy head of the European Commission, citing a phrase often attributed to British fantasy novelist C.S. Lewis, suggested Britain should put its past tribulations behind it and seek a fresh start with the EU:

"You can't go back and change the beginning," the former Dutch foreign minister said, "But you can start where you are and change the ending."

But Nigel Farage, the former leader of the UK Independence Party which drove the campaign for the 2016 vote to leave, told fellow members of the European Parliament that any second ballot would deliver an even greater majority for quitting because Britons had been angered by the EU's stance in negotiations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 11:32:41 AM
Manfred Weber ask " what do you want to achieve " the answer is they don't know. "We don't know what we want but it's not this" ,It really is laughable at this stage but at least they (EU) are not moving on the backstop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 16, 2019, 11:36:06 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 11:03:40 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

They managed to come to an agreement with the DUP only for it to be vetoed by those behind the DUP. Hard to know what you can do when those you're negotiating with don't appear to have any say. What would you have them do?

Hamilton and Poots seem to have been relegated since that debacle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 16, 2019, 11:37:33 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 11:12:11 AM


EU ready to discuss new Brexit deal if UK changes 'red lines'

Michel Barnier says there is 'no room for manoeuvre' when it comes to backstop


The European Union's chief Brexit negotiator has told the United Kingdom that it could have a different kind of departure deal if London is willing to change its key demands.

Addressing the European Parliament on Wednesday, Michel Barnier defended the withdrawal agreement struck with Theresa May which suffered a crushing defeat in a House of Commons' vote on Tuesday evening and left theprime minister facing a confidence vote.

Mr Barnier warned that the risk of a disorderly withdrawal was now greater than ever as a result of the vote and that the EU would step up its preparations amid concern a no-deal outcome could disrupt the whole of Europe.

He indicated that one way forward would be for Britain to accept even closer alignment with EU regulations to secure a very close trading relationship in future. EU officials say London could, for example, abandon its determination to leave the EU customs union and the centrally regulated single market.

Referring to statements by the European Parliament and all the other member states, Mr Barnier said: "If the United Kingdom chooses to let its red lines change in future, and that it takes this choice for its advantage of the ambition of going beyond a simple but not negligible free trade accord, then the European Union would be ready immediately to ... respond favourably."

That suggestion for a "deeper relationship" was echoed by the EU parliament's Brexit coordinator, Guy Verhofstadt.


Exposed divisions

Mr Barnier and others lined up to highlight how the vote in London exposed only divisions, without shedding light on what Britain's could actually rally behind as a consensual position, just 10 weeks before it is set to leave the bloc, potentially into a legal limbo for citizens and businesses.

"Please, please, please tell us finally what you want to achieve," pleaded Manfred Weber, the centre-right leader in the parliament and an ally of German chancellor Angela Merkel.


Advertisement


But, he added, there was "no room for manoeuvre" in terms of renegotiating the current agreement, which Brexit campaigners say leaves Britain too tied to EU rules, especially due to a "backstop" insurance clause intended to avoid throwing up a hard customs border across Ireland.

The DUP Brexit spokesman Sammy Wilson on Wednesday doubled down on his party leader's claimthat there had "never" been a hard border in Ireland, meaning the backstop was unnecessary.

Mr Barnier insisted there could be no weakening on that issue.

"Right now it's too early to assess all the consequences of this vote," he told a Strasbourg chamber that was sparsely attended for the early morning debate, perhaps reflecting a growing weariness in Europe with Britain's troubles.

"We have respected and we continue to respect the democratic parliamentary debate in the UK and I will not speculate on the different scenarios. What yesterday's vote showed is that the political conditions for the ratification of the withdrawal agreement are not yet there in London."

Second referendum

Some EU politicians have called for Britain to put the question of remaining in the EU to a second referendum. The chair of EU summits, Donald Tusk, suggested on Tuesday that division in Britain could lead to Brexit being cancelled.

Frans Timmermans, the deputy head of the European Commission, citing a phrase often attributed to British fantasy novelist C.S. Lewis, suggested Britain should put its past tribulations behind it and seek a fresh start with the EU:

"You can't go back and change the beginning," the former Dutch foreign minister said, "But you can start where you are and change the ending."

But Nigel Farage, the former leader of the UK Independence Party which drove the campaign for the 2016 vote to leave, told fellow members of the European Parliament that any second ballot would deliver an even greater majority for quitting because Britons had been angered by the EU's stance in negotiations.

Nothing to be afraid of then with 2nd ref. Bring it on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 16, 2019, 11:38:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 11:12:11 AM


EU ready to discuss new Brexit deal if UK changes 'red lines'

Michel Barnier says there is 'no room for manoeuvre' when it comes to backstop


The European Union's chief Brexit negotiator has told the United Kingdom that it could have a different kind of departure deal if London is willing to change its key demands.

Addressing the European Parliament on Wednesday, Michel Barnier defended the withdrawal agreement struck with Theresa May which suffered a crushing defeat in a House of Commons' vote on Tuesday evening and left theprime minister facing a confidence vote.

Mr Barnier warned that the risk of a disorderly withdrawal was now greater than ever as a result of the vote and that the EU would step up its preparations amid concern a no-deal outcome could disrupt the whole of Europe.

He indicated that one way forward would be for Britain to accept even closer alignment with EU regulations to secure a very close trading relationship in future. EU officials say London could, for example, abandon its determination to leave the EU customs union and the centrally regulated single market.

Referring to statements by the European Parliament and all the other member states, Mr Barnier said: "If the United Kingdom chooses to let its red lines change in future, and that it takes this choice for its advantage of the ambition of going beyond a simple but not negligible free trade accord, then the European Union would be ready immediately to ... respond favourably."

That suggestion for a "deeper relationship" was echoed by the EU parliament's Brexit coordinator, Guy Verhofstadt.


Exposed divisions

Mr Barnier and others lined up to highlight how the vote in London exposed only divisions, without shedding light on what Britain's could actually rally behind as a consensual position, just 10 weeks before it is set to leave the bloc, potentially into a legal limbo for citizens and businesses.

"Please, please, please tell us finally what you want to achieve," pleaded Manfred Weber, the centre-right leader in the parliament and an ally of German chancellor Angela Merkel.


Advertisement


But, he added, there was "no room for manoeuvre" in terms of renegotiating the current agreement, which Brexit campaigners say leaves Britain too tied to EU rules, especially due to a "backstop" insurance clause intended to avoid throwing up a hard customs border across Ireland.

The DUP Brexit spokesman Sammy Wilson on Wednesday doubled down on his party leader's claimthat there had "never" been a hard border in Ireland, meaning the backstop was unnecessary.

Mr Barnier insisted there could be no weakening on that issue.

"Right now it's too early to assess all the consequences of this vote," he told a Strasbourg chamber that was sparsely attended for the early morning debate, perhaps reflecting a growing weariness in Europe with Britain's troubles.

"We have respected and we continue to respect the democratic parliamentary debate in the UK and I will not speculate on the different scenarios. What yesterday's vote showed is that the political conditions for the ratification of the withdrawal agreement are not yet there in London."

Second referendum

Some EU politicians have called for Britain to put the question of remaining in the EU to a second referendum. The chair of EU summits, Donald Tusk, suggested on Tuesday that division in Britain could lead to Brexit being cancelled.

Frans Timmermans, the deputy head of the European Commission, citing a phrase often attributed to British fantasy novelist C.S. Lewis, suggested Britain should put its past tribulations behind it and seek a fresh start with the EU:

"You can't go back and change the beginning," the former Dutch foreign minister said, "But you can start where you are and change the ending."

But Nigel Farage, the former leader of the UK Independence Party which drove the campaign for the 2016 vote to leave, told fellow members of the European Parliament that any second ballot would deliver an even greater majority for quitting because Britons had been angered by the EU's stance in negotiations.

Rees Mogg and his cohorts cracking open bottles of Champagne after the vote was announced.

Their utopian No Deal Brexit took a step closer to reality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 11:47:26 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 11:07:33 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 11:03:40 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

They managed to come to an agreement with the DUP only for it to be vetoed by those behind the DUP. Hard to know what you can do when those you're negotiating with don't appear to have any say. What would you have them do?

No work, no pay! Simples.

Pointless ill thought out soundbite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 11:50:18 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 11:47:26 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 11:07:33 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 11:03:40 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

They managed to come to an agreement with the DUP only for it to be vetoed by those behind the DUP. Hard to know what you can do when those you're negotiating with don't appear to have any say. What would you have them do?

No work, no pay! Simples.

Pointless ill thought out soundbite.

Good
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 16, 2019, 11:54:10 AM
Our Sammy doing what Sammy does best;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be)

48 minutes in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sweeper 123 on January 16, 2019, 12:17:08 PM
Has J Corburn ever come out on top at PMQs ? Even when she is a sitting duck
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 12:17:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 16, 2019, 11:54:10 AM
Our Sammy doing what Sammy does best;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be)

48 minutes in.

😂 Sammy put in his box as usual, what a clown
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on January 16, 2019, 12:22:41 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 12:17:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 16, 2019, 11:54:10 AM
Our Sammy doing what Sammy does best;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be)

48 minutes in.

😂 Sammy put in his box as usual, what a clown

Not a clue does he have. The more he is on the TV with educated real politicians the better as it shows him up for what he really is. A bluffer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 16, 2019, 12:27:53 PM
Quote from: dec on January 15, 2019, 10:25:19 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 15, 2019, 10:19:13 PM
Should have established a cross-party committee that performed the negotiations, with numerous visits back to the westminster with indicative votes on key issues to ensure they were following consensus on negotiation.

If she did that, the hardline Tory Brexiteers would have made her life hell.

They might have - but if the consensus within Westminster was to do A, B & C - all they could do is cry about it as they'd no leverage to insist on a different path.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 16, 2019, 01:08:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 15, 2019, 03:09:52 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 15, 2019, 01:10:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 15, 2019, 10:57:03 AM
Quote from: Rois on January 15, 2019, 09:40:24 AM
Crispin Odey's comments (made last week) are the reason sterling jumped last week.
The DUP have lost. The consequences for NI are massive.
Arlene bet the farm on no deal.

Seafoid, you're an awful man for the big dramatic statement.

Nobody's lost or won anything with this yet.

No deal is not going to happen, Franko
You can bet Ballymena on it
Parliament won't accept it and neither will the EU

https://twitter.com/fabianzuleeg/status/1085438381973217281?s=12


"Interesting cognitive dissonance between English/UK media/commentators (subscribed to by markets) & EU27: both agree May's deal less likely & remain more likely. But EU27 commentators (incl. myself) think chance of no deal increased much more vs UK ones who almost rule it out"


Fabian Zuleeg
Chief Executive & Chief Economist
European Policy Centre
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 16, 2019, 01:30:08 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 12:17:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 16, 2019, 11:54:10 AM
Our Sammy doing what Sammy does best;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be)

48 minutes in.

😂 Sammy put in his box as usual, what a clown

Some amadán. Wonder will the penny drop in a cross-party consensus that the backstop could be solved by just applying it to the North. Instead, in a effort to appease the DUP, May tied all Britain into the backstop, too. It solves everything: an agreed version of Brexit passes in Parliament, Irl and EU happy, Corbyn then gets his GE when DUP stops supporting the govt.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 16, 2019, 02:52:08 PM
Quote from: GJL on January 16, 2019, 12:22:41 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 12:17:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 16, 2019, 11:54:10 AM
Our Sammy doing what Sammy does best;

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SR7JwVjWByM&feature=youtu.be)

48 minutes in.

😂 Sammy put in his box as usual, what a clown

Not a clue does he have. The more he is on the TV with educated real politicians the better as it shows him up for what he really is. A bluffer.
Sammy is a clown
So is Arlene

Ian Gow said 30 years ago that Unionist leaders were useless.
They are even worse now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 16, 2019, 04:18:53 PM
Channel 4 did a number on Farage today . . . excellent!!!

"You cannot rant against the elite when you're behaving like one of its members."

He got a private plane across to Strasbourg today!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on January 16, 2019, 04:24:30 PM
Just a pity Spitting Image isn't still on the go....they would have a field day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 16, 2019, 04:27:44 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on January 16, 2019, 04:24:30 PM
Just a pity Spitting Image isn't still on the go....they would have a field day.

As Armando Ianucci has said how can you come up with satire in British Politics at the moment when the reality is so absurd!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 04:33:47 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

Aye dead on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 16, 2019, 04:35:06 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

Yep. Hard to disagree with any of that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 16, 2019, 04:49:10 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 04:33:47 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

Aye dead on.

Karen Bradley is doing even less and whilst the DUP have the Tories by the short and curlies they won't be pushing for Stormont.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 04:52:08 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

In fairness it doesn't seem to be any worse a farce than Westminster Atm but I get your drift.
Who said   " The best argument against democracy is a half hour conversation with an average voter "
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 04:55:19 PM
I'm no fan of Stormont either lads but if we want the dream of a UI to happen then we have to learn to work with those lot.

In the here and now I'd like to see education, hospitals and job creation given precedence.

We need stability to move towards a UI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on January 16, 2019, 04:57:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 04:52:08 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

In fairness it doesn't seem to be any worse a farce than Westminster Atm but I get your drift.
Who said   " The best argument against democracy is a half hour conversation with an average voter "

Churchill and he wasn't far wrong. What discernible difference has havingno government in NI made over the last 2 years?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 16, 2019, 05:01:26 PM
As hard as it is to believe there actually ar a few differences.

Look at casement park and how it can't progress. School funds, civil service funds etc seem to have suffered - more the distribution of them - which has led to a struggle to plan. (The civil service thing I am led to believe by someone I know who works there).

The tories did dish out some stuff though (or someone did) but it actually has some impact.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 16, 2019, 05:39:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 16, 2019, 05:01:26 PM
As hard as it is to believe there actually ar a few differences.

Look at casement park and how it can't progress. School funds, civil service funds etc seem to have suffered - more the distribution of them - which has led to a struggle to plan.

If the civil service (who are also utterly useless in certain areas) were allowed to make strategic decision (like budgets/infrastructure/etc) then it wouldn't be a problem.

Suitable legislation could be introduced to allow that - then you'd probably notice the benefits of not having stormont.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 16, 2019, 05:47:31 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on January 16, 2019, 04:57:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 04:52:08 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

In fairness it doesn't seem to be any worse a farce than Westminster Atm but I get your drift.
Who said   " The best argument against democracy is a half hour conversation with an average voter "

Churchill and he wasn't far wrong. What discernible difference has havingno government in NI made over the last 2 years?

Ask people waiting for operations
Ask those families on universal credit - Go and spend 15 minutes at any of the foodbanks across NI.
Ask children who's education is suffering
Ask construction workers who rely on public contracts
Ask any of the relatives of those killed on the A5

Do all that, then tell me Stormont doesn't matter, or Westminster doesn't matter or Government doesn't matter. It all matters, to someone, somewhere it matters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 05:50:23 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 16, 2019, 05:39:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 16, 2019, 05:01:26 PM
As hard as it is to believe there actually ar a few differences.

Look at casement park and how it can't progress. School funds, civil service funds etc seem to have suffered - more the distribution of them - which has led to a struggle to plan.

If the civil service (who are also utterly useless in certain areas) were allowed to make strategic decision (like budgets/infrastructure/etc) then it wouldn't be a problem.

Suitable legislation could be introduced to allow that - then you'd probably notice the benefits of not having stormont.

And who puts forward that legislation, politicians by any chance. These turkeys aren't voting for Christmas when their wages are at risk even if it is detrimental to the people who voted for them. And don't think Westminster will override anyone over here seeing as the DUP tail is wagging the Torie dog.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on January 16, 2019, 05:50:54 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 16, 2019, 05:01:26 PM
As hard as it is to believe there actually ar a few differences.

Look at casement park and how it can't progress. School funds, civil service funds etc seem to have suffered - more the distribution of them - which has led to a struggle to plan. (The civil service thing I am led to believe by someone I know who works there).

The tories did dish out some stuff though (or someone did) but it actually has some impact.

Ah lads there have been loads of areas that have suffered since no Stormont, public service pay negotiations, Casement, Health Service review & that's off the top of my head
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 16, 2019, 05:52:32 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 16, 2019, 05:47:31 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on January 16, 2019, 04:57:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 04:52:08 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

In fairness it doesn't seem to be any worse a farce than Westminster Atm but I get your drift.
Who said   " The best argument against democracy is a half hour conversation with an average voter "

Churchill and he wasn't far wrong. What discernible difference has havingno government in NI made over the last 2 years?

Ask people waiting for operations
Ask those families on universal credit - Go and spend 15 minutes at any of the foodbanks across NI.
Ask children who's education is suffering
Ask construction workers who rely on public contracts
Ask any of the relatives of those killed on the A5

Do all that, then tell me Stormont doesn't matter, or Westminster doesn't matter or Government doesn't matter. It all matters, to someone, somewhere it matters.

Do you write this stuff yourself?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on January 16, 2019, 07:27:40 PM
Close vote in the commons. Corbyn wants assurances that there won't be a no deal brexit, I don't know how she can do that when the eu says the current deal is the only deal and that was beaten easily.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 16, 2019, 07:32:20 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on January 16, 2019, 04:57:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 04:52:08 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

In fairness it doesn't seem to be any worse a farce than Westminster Atm but I get your drift.
Who said   " The best argument against democracy is a half hour conversation with an average voter "

Churchill and he wasn't far wrong. What discernible difference has havingno government in NI made over the last 2 years?

My chickens are feckin' freezing now!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 16, 2019, 07:45:57 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 04:55:19 PM
I'm no fan of Stormont either lads but if we want the dream of a UI to happen then we have to learn to work with those lot.

In the here and now I'd like to see education, hospitals and job creation given precedence.

We need stability to move towards a UI.

They clearly can't and won't work together.

In the long term, it doesn't serve their own agendas (DUP - NI in UK, SF - an UI) to work together. If they're working well together in Stormont, how does that help their long term objectives? It doesn't.

If Stormont runs well, why the need for a UI? SF can't have that! And if Stormont runs well, sure there's no reason why you can't facilitate Stormont within a United Ireland. DUP can't have that!

They both need to feed off each other, throw an orange/green tantrum every now and again. They can't exist without each other. Their polar opposite ultimate objectives will always trump working together on education, roads, economy etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on January 16, 2019, 07:56:04 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 16, 2019, 05:47:31 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on January 16, 2019, 04:57:07 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 04:52:08 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 16, 2019, 04:31:44 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 16, 2019, 10:35:10 AM
No Irish party (Nationalist or Unionist) makes one iota at Westminster.

Sure look at the number of SNP members that effectively don't matter.

My gripe with SF is they appear to be doing sweet FA here to get things back on track.

Stormont is dead, hopefully. There's a myth that things will improve if the Assembly and Executive returns. Balls. People have short memories, it was a farce, but it's always been a farce from 1921. Anything that shortens the life of this putrid statelet is fine by my, and the demise of Stormont is one of those things

In fairness it doesn't seem to be any worse a farce than Westminster Atm but I get your drift.
Who said   " The best argument against democracy is a half hour conversation with an average voter "

Churchill and he wasn't far wrong. What discernible difference has havingno government in NI made over the last 2 years?

Ask people waiting for operations
Ask those families on universal credit - Go and spend 15 minutes at any of the foodbanks across NI.
Ask children who's education is suffering
Ask construction workers who rely on public contracts
Ask any of the relatives of those killed on the A5

Do all that, then tell me Stormont doesn't matter, or Westminster doesn't matter or Government doesn't matter. It all matters, to someone, somewhere it matters.

People were waiting on operations 2 years ago
The DUP/SF cabal introduced universal credit to N.I.
Reality is life goes on without the need for Stormont.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 16, 2019, 08:46:52 PM
Quote from: markl121 on January 16, 2019, 07:27:40 PM
Close vote in the commons. Corbyn wants assurances that there won't be a no deal brexit, I don't know how she can do that when the eu says the current deal is the only deal and that was beaten easily.

Only deal with current red lines. If May shifts those on free movement customs union etc they could draw up another agreement no problem. Already talk in Europe about extending article 50 if request comes. Hilarious how eu is always a few steps down the road while the Brits are mired bickering about what they don't want
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 16, 2019, 09:07:14 PM
That's cos the Brits are  into delusional  navel gazing, pretending that they still rule over a third of the known earth  & congratulating themselves that they defeated the Kaiser & Hitler single handed. Unfortunately they think of themselves as being a world power, as opposed to a bankrupt 3rd rate statelet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 16, 2019, 10:32:28 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 05:50:23 PM
And who puts forward that legislation

And don't think Westminster will override anyone over here seeing as the DUP tail is wagging the Torie dog.

You answered your own question. Karen Bradley can put it forward to Westminster.

But they'd rather not due to Fuhrer May's need of votes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 16, 2019, 10:33:34 PM
Quote from: markl121 on January 16, 2019, 07:27:40 PM
Close vote in the commons. Corbyn wants assurances that there won't be a no deal brexit, I don't know how she can do that when the eu says the current deal is the only deal and that was beaten easily.

She can defer Article 50 and renegotiate, giving in some areas, taking in others.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 16, 2019, 11:03:07 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 16, 2019, 08:46:52 PM
Quote from: markl121 on January 16, 2019, 07:27:40 PM
Close vote in the commons. Corbyn wants assurances that there won't be a no deal brexit, I don't know how she can do that when the eu says the current deal is the only deal and that was beaten easily.

Only deal with current red lines. If May shifts those on free movement customs union etc they could draw up another agreement no problem. Already talk in Europe about extending article 50 if request comes. Hilarious how eu is always a few steps down the road while the Brits are mired bickering about what they don't want

That would split those Tory bastards even more, which would be great, but she has no wriggle room on that in London
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on January 16, 2019, 11:13:39 PM
Liz Truss on Preston tonight, I think she is drunk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 17, 2019, 10:16:38 AM
Quote from: Kursk on November 01, 2015, 07:20:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 01, 2015, 06:59:54 PM
Brexit would not be economically advantageous for the UK. Brexit could lead to a lot of unintended consequences.

That is the politics of fear. It is an old broken record at this stage. A more imaginative approach is needed.


Sorry but saying that there could be a lot of consequences that were unintended is not fear.

It is a factual observation.

Indeed, I think that observation could be changed to "there will be a lot of unintended consequences" and be equally factual - as not one person will have known all the consequences of Brexit when they made their decision to vote.


The kinda things that piss me off is when the wannabe dictator stands up and essentially "anyone that disagrees with me (and my precioussss) is not following the will of the people".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 10:29:57 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 16, 2019, 10:32:28 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 16, 2019, 05:50:23 PM
And who puts forward that legislation

And don't think Westminster will override anyone over here seeing as the DUP tail is wagging the Torie dog.

You answered your own question. Karen Bradley can put it forward to Westminster.

But they'd rather not due to Fuhrer May's need of votes.

It was a rhetorical question to the OP try and keep up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

In fairness he doesn't look to happy about it. He's mumbling like an 6 year old being questioned on who ate all the chocolate biscuits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 17, 2019, 11:03:38 AM
How soon can SNP push for another Scottish referendum? Post this shambles.

After the defeat last time, was there a time frame on when they could try again?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on January 17, 2019, 11:04:20 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

Jut goes to show the lack of knowledge of some on NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 11:08:19 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

In fairness he doesn't look to happy about it. He's mumbling like an 6 year old being questioned on who ate all the chocolate biscuits.

He in his own defence refused to swear to God and handed in a letter of protest at the process. Might please the God squad that one.

Swore an oath of "affirmation" and not allegiance, splitting hairs was our Mark.

https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en (https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en)



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 11:10:01 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on January 17, 2019, 11:03:38 AM
How soon can SNP push for another Scottish referendum? Post this shambles.

After the defeat last time, was there a time frame on when they could try again?

Since Alex Salmon left they have been losing ground. Sturgeon is to busy joining forces with labor and DUP to try and scupper any good euro deal for N Ireland instead of letting the backstop deal run its course and then push for a new referendum on the back of joining the EU fully after independence. One of the most overrated politicians on the circuit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 17, 2019, 11:34:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

He swore his affirmation for the Queen and the world didn't cave in??

Crazy . . .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on January 17, 2019, 11:37:13 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 17, 2019, 11:34:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

He swore his affirmation for the Queen and the world didn't cave in??

Crazy . . .

Well he won't have to swear it any time again in the future if that gives you a clue about the consequences.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 11:41:49 AM
 ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 17, 2019, 11:56:44 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on January 17, 2019, 11:37:13 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 17, 2019, 11:34:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

He swore his affirmation for the Queen and the world didn't cave in??

Crazy . . .

Well he won't have to swear it any time again in the future if that gives you a clue about the consequences.

Nonsense!!

If Sinn Fein took their seats they would not lose voters . . . who else would the Nationalist/Republican community vote for??!!

The SDLP are in disarray and there's literally nobody else!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 12:02:32 PM
The  Shinners are holier than holy about Westminster and as corrupt and inept as the DUP in Stormont. The next scandal happened when O'Neill was the minister in charge
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on January 17, 2019, 12:11:38 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 17, 2019, 11:56:44 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on January 17, 2019, 11:37:13 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 17, 2019, 11:34:03 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

He swore his affirmation for the Queen and the world didn't cave in??

Crazy . . .

Well he won't have to swear it any time again in the future if that gives you a clue about the consequences.

Nonsense!!

If Sinn Fein took their seats they would not lose voters . . . who else would the Nationalist/Republican community vote for??!!

The SDLP are in disarray and there's literally nobody else!
They most certainly would lose voters. Maybe not massive amounts but they would certainly lose some and it would definitely have an impact.
I vote SF, They annoy the sh!te out of me on some issues but they're the closest party to my political views.  I agree with their view of Absenteeism as I think the actual power they would get in WM is not balanced out by having to swear an allegiance to the Queen. If SF were to attend WM what respect or power do you think they would be given. No UK party would cosy up to them the way they did to the DUP to try and buy their votes. They would be toxic. Therefore I don't see enough of a benefit to justify the oath.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:17:11 PM
"to serve all the people of Northern Ireland equally, and to act in accordance with the general obligations on government to promote equality and prevent discrimination"
This is one of the oaths the N I assembly's swear  at stormont so there are worst forms of hypocrisy going on closer to home than abstentionism in Westminster. SF is the biggest nationalist party in the north suggesting most voters don't have a problem with it. Get over it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 17, 2019, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 11:08:19 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

In fairness he doesn't look to happy about it. He's mumbling like an 6 year old being questioned on who ate all the chocolate biscuits.

He in his own defence refused to swear to God and handed in a letter of protest at the process. Might please the God squad that one.

Swore an oath of "affirmation" and not allegiance, splitting hairs was our Mark.

https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en (https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en)

This a nothing argument. Michael Collins swore an oath to the British Crown. Martin McGuinness met her, shook her hand and attended a state dinner. For SF to say they won't swear allegiance to the British Crown doesn't make them some sort of super Republicans.
Other famous Irish Nationalists Charles Stewart Parnell and Daniel O'Connell did the same. Are we saying these people are great Irish men? Should we rename O'Connell St? Parnell park?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:40:12 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 17, 2019, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 11:08:19 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

In fairness he doesn't look to happy about it. He's mumbling like an 6 year old being questioned on who ate all the chocolate biscuits.

He in his own defence refused to swear to God and handed in a letter of protest at the process. Might please the God squad that one.

Swore an oath of "affirmation" and not allegiance, splitting hairs was our Mark.

https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en (https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en)

This a nothing argument. Michael Collins swore an oath to the British Crown. Martin McGuinness met her, shook her hand and attended a state dinner. For SF to say they won't swear allegiance to the British Crown doesn't make them some sort of super Republicans.
Other famous Irish Nationalists Charles Stewart Parnell and Daniel O'Connell did the same. Are we saying these people are great Irish men? Should we rename O'Connell St? Parnell park?

Typical of you, I read up to you mentioned Parnell who only took up his seat for the Irish MP obstruction policy. If SF did the same thing today then Westminster would have been a bigger farce this week if that was possible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on January 17, 2019, 12:50:07 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
It's a power sharing assembly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 01:07:10 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on January 17, 2019, 12:50:07 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
It's a power sharing assembly.

Well, that was the theory anyway.

But it's still an assembly governing a part of the UK. That will be the case until there's a UI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on January 17, 2019, 01:15:19 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 01:07:10 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on January 17, 2019, 12:50:07 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
It's a power sharing assembly.

Well, that was the theory anyway.

But it's still an assembly governing a part of the UK. That will be the case until there's a UI.
Of course. However there is North South institutions and Stormont now embraces the principle of consent. But tbh,  I think we're going of on a tangent. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 17, 2019, 01:59:15 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:40:12 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 17, 2019, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 11:08:19 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 10:59:06 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 10:52:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks

you sure?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)

In fairness he doesn't look to happy about it. He's mumbling like an 6 year old being questioned on who ate all the chocolate biscuits.

He in his own defence refused to swear to God and handed in a letter of protest at the process. Might please the God squad that one.

Swore an oath of "affirmation" and not allegiance, splitting hairs was our Mark.

https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en (https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en)

This a nothing argument. Michael Collins swore an oath to the British Crown. Martin McGuinness met her, shook her hand and attended a state dinner. For SF to say they won't swear allegiance to the British Crown doesn't make them some sort of super Republicans.
Other famous Irish Nationalists Charles Stewart Parnell and Daniel O'Connell did the same. Are we saying these people are great Irish men? Should we rename O'Connell St? Parnell park?

Typical of you, I read up to you mentioned Parnell who only took up his seat for the Irish MP obstruction policy. If SF did the same thing today then Westminster would have been a bigger farce this week if that was possible.

I'm just shining a light on the farce of a party that SF are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 17, 2019, 02:09:44 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
Rhats what all the parties to the GFA signed up to and the Irish people voted for it.
Anyway back to the subject -where does the British Parliament to from here?
Does some Labour MP put down a Motion to not allow a No Deal Exit, will enough Conservatives back that or abstain?
Or is it just continue the farce?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:14:34 PM
Ross I have no idea, Corbyn the tw.t won't even meet with the May to sort it out. It really is a farce and English people are disgusted with how their politicians are behaving.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 02:19:49 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:14:34 PM
Ross I have no idea, Corbyn the tw.t won't even meet with the May to sort it out. It really is a farce and English people are disgusted with how their politicians are behaving.
Corbyn will meet May if she drops no deal and she refuses to do so
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 17, 2019, 02:22:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 02:19:49 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:14:34 PM
Ross I have no idea, Corbyn the tw.t won't even meet with the May to sort it out. It really is a farce and English people are disgusted with how their politicians are behaving.
Corbyn will meet May if she drops no deal and she refuses to do so

Why the need for a precondition?  It's only a meeting.  Corbyn has lost it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:24:52 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 02:19:49 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:14:34 PM
Ross I have no idea, Corbyn the tw.t won't even meet with the May to sort it out. It really is a farce and English people are disgusted with how their politicians are behaving.
Corbyn will meet May if she drops no deal and she refuses to do so

Setting out pre-conditions prior to the meeting is spoiled brat stuff. He doesn't want the deal but doesn't want no deal either, WTF is he smoking.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on January 17, 2019, 02:29:34 PM
Did anyone see the footage of Corbyn speaking in HOC and some female minister discreetly tugging the back of his blazer to get him to sit down ?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 17, 2019, 02:33:48 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 17, 2019, 02:22:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 02:19:49 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:14:34 PM
Ross I have no idea, Corbyn the tw.t won't even meet with the May to sort it out. It really is a farce and English people are disgusted with how their politicians are behaving.
Corbyn will meet May if she drops no deal and she refuses to do so

Why the need for a precondition?  It's only a meeting.  Corbyn has lost it.

Also, if one was a Brit (and thank the Lord I'm not), why would you want Theresa May to show her hand to the EU on a no-deal in what after all is a giant game of Chicken (chlorininated or not).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 17, 2019, 02:38:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 02:19:49 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:14:34 PM
Ross I have no idea, Corbyn the tw.t won't even meet with the May to sort it out. It really is a farce and English people are disgusted with how their politicians are behaving.
Corbyn will meet May if she drops no deal and she refuses to do so

Impossible to know what next week will bring, never mind after Brexit. Don't know how he expects this of her. Hard for him to complain about a lack of cross party work on this when she's inviting him to a meeting and he won't show!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:51:54 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 17, 2019, 02:33:48 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 17, 2019, 02:22:42 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 02:19:49 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 02:14:34 PM
Ross I have no idea, Corbyn the tw.t won't even meet with the May to sort it out. It really is a farce and English people are disgusted with how their politicians are behaving.
Corbyn will meet May if she drops no deal and she refuses to do so

Why the need for a precondition?  It's only a meeting.  Corbyn has lost it.

Also, if one was a Brit (and thank the Lord I'm not), why would you want Theresa May to show her hand to the EU on a no-deal in what after all is a giant game of Chicken (chlorininated or not).

That's a good description, who's gonna blink first like in a primary playground. Meanwhile international investors are going elsewhere and so are some UK based businesses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 02:56:37 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 17, 2019, 02:09:44 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
Rhats what all the parties to the GFA signed up to and the Irish people voted for it.
Anyway back to the subject -where does the British Parliament to from here?
Does some Labour MP put down a Motion to not allow a No Deal Exit, will enough Conservatives back that or abstain?
Or is it just continue the farce?

I don't see how you can put down a motion not to allow a no deal exit, as though it in itself was a deal - its not, its the lack of a deal. Seems blindingly obvious, but given how its discussed you'd wonder if this is understood.

How would any motion to say UK can't leave EU without a deal work? It couldn't, unless in the scenario where there was no time limit.

Its also a ludicrous thing to suggest because if it was possible, then you are just giving the EU the entire power in the negotiations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PM
I don't understand people. A no deal Brexit would be an unmitigated disaster not just for Britain but for Ireland and the EU. No sane person wants that and certainly I do not believe many voted for that. It's an entirely reasonable request for a compromise. After the abuse and smears continuosly directed at this man by the Tories I think it's quite reasonable to test whether May is just playing to the gallery or genuinely interested in finding a solution. She hasn't a genuine bone in her body. Despite being a Remain campaigner she seems perfectly happy to let Britain leave the EU with no deal in order to keep her position.

The face on May when Corbyn asked her to rule it out told the story. She was sick.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 03:13:09 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 02:56:37 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 17, 2019, 02:09:44 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
Rhats what all the parties to the GFA signed up to and the Irish people voted for it.
Anyway back to the subject -where does the British Parliament to from here?
Does some Labour MP put down a Motion to not allow a No Deal Exit, will enough Conservatives back that or abstain?
Or is it just continue the farce?

I don't see how you can put down a motion not to allow a no deal exit, as though it in itself was a deal - its not, its the lack of a deal. Seems blindingly obvious, but given how its discussed you'd wonder if this is understood.

How would any motion to say UK can't leave EU without a deal work? It couldn't, unless in the scenario where there was no time limit.

Its also a ludicrous thing to suggest because if it was possible, then you are just giving the EU the entire power in the negotiations.
Why not have a motion that if no Brexit deal can be agreed on in parliament, Article 50 must be unilaterally withdrawn?

The deal has already been negotiated and during all that time, the threat of no deal was there. There is no other deal.

The problem with Brexit is Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 17, 2019, 03:13:39 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 02:56:37 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 17, 2019, 02:09:44 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
Rhats what all the parties to the GFA signed up to and the Irish people voted for it.
Anyway back to the subject -where does the British Parliament to from here?
Does some Labour MP put down a Motion to not allow a No Deal Exit, will enough Conservatives back that or abstain?
Or is it just continue the farce?

I don't see how you can put down a motion not to allow a no deal exit, as though it in itself was a deal - its not, its the lack of a deal. Seems blindingly obvious, but given how its discussed you'd wonder if this is understood.

How would any motion to say UK can't leave EU without a deal work? It couldn't, unless in the scenario where there was no time limit.

Its also a ludicrous thing to suggest because if it was possible, then you are just giving the EU the entire power in the negotiations.

It may be a ham fisted attempt by Corbyn to finally put to bed the aspirations of a crashout/no deal Brexit that not so secretly Rees Mogg and the ERG are hankering for and hope to get via time running out.

I suspect Corbyn thinks May's across the barricades approach at the 11th hour when she's 2 years to do so is a cynical attempt to spread the blame on this fiasco but in doing so he's now put himself in the limelight for the wrong reasons and may impact on his attempt at a General Election.

Two intransigent bolloxes IMO.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 03:28:39 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PM
I don't understand people. A no deal Brexit would be an unmitigated disaster not just for Britain but for Ireland and the EU. No sane person wants that and certainly I do not believe many voted for that. It's an entirely reasonable request for a compromise. After the abuse and smears continuosly directed at this man by the Tories I think it's quite reasonable to test whether May is just playing to the gallery or genuinely interested in finding a solution. She hasn't a genuine bone in her body. Despite being a Remain campaigner she seems perfectly happy to let Britain leave the EU with no deal in order to keep her position.

The face on May when Corbyn asked her to rule it out told the story. She was sick.

Of course everyone wants a deal. But if that is guaranteed on one side, the other can just sit back and wait until its terms are granted, or until, as Sid suggests, Article 50 is withdrawn. Its ludicrous.

The biggest issue has been giving parliament a vote on the deal - there are so many different factions that was always going to result in stalemate.

The only way I can see out of it is through a general election. Perhaps at that point labour will run on second referendum ticket. That isn't the golden bullet people seem to think it will be either however.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 17, 2019, 03:54:36 PM
May has to cover herself also. I mean what if she rules out a hard brexit and extends article 50. She will lose the support of the erg and Corbyn will be able to dangle another confidence vote over her head which she would have difficulty winning without erg support.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 03:58:41 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 03:28:39 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PM
I don't understand people. A no deal Brexit would be an unmitigated disaster not just for Britain but for Ireland and the EU. No sane person wants that and certainly I do not believe many voted for that. It's an entirely reasonable request for a compromise. After the abuse and smears continuosly directed at this man by the Tories I think it's quite reasonable to test whether May is just playing to the gallery or genuinely interested in finding a solution. She hasn't a genuine bone in her body. Despite being a Remain campaigner she seems perfectly happy to let Britain leave the EU with no deal in order to keep her position.

The face on May when Corbyn asked her to rule it out told the story. She was sick.

Of course everyone wants a deal. But if that is guaranteed on one side, the other can just sit back and wait until its terms are granted, or until, as Sid suggests, Article 50 is withdrawn. Its ludicrous.

The biggest issue has been giving parliament a vote on the deal - there are so many different factions that was always going to result in stalemate.

The only way I can see out of it is through a general election. Perhaps at that point labour will run on second referendum ticket. That isn't the golden bullet people seem to think it will be either however.

The problem in the first place was having the referendum.

The UK does not have a written constitution and has always operated on a system of parliamentary sovereignty, ie. that parliament decides.

The UK's first referendum was 1975, and 2016 was only the third ever.

In 1975, Margaret Thatcher was in fact one of the few people to warn of the dangers that introducing the concept of a referendum posed to British politics - that it introduced a hostile, rival system of lawmaking to the existing parliamentary system.

The constitutional difference between Ireland and the UK as regards referendums is as follows: Ireland has a written constitution - we have had many referendums, but they are always constitutional ones, and the options are always defined. We NEVER hold non-constitutional referendums. The UK held an advisory referendum with no status in law where one option was completely undefined.

My take on what people voted for when they voted for Brexit, is that they were voting to retain all the benefits of European Union membership, and none of the responsibilities.

They voted to stop immigration, yet have full free movement rights themselves.
They voted for the ability to make their own trade deals, yet have full access to the single market, and no budget obligations.

They voted to have full membership of the golf club, with full playing rights on the course, use of the gym, swimming pool and bar etc. for free.

Voting for Brexit was like voting for all taxes to be abolished yet public spending to simultaneously be quadrupled.

The EU says: "We can't offer you that - it is fundamentally undeliverable."

But the Brits say: "But that's what we voted for! Get on with it and give us what we want!"

The EU respond: "We can't. You are living in a la la land."

Brexit was fundamentally undeliverable because it was a fantasy idea based on deep seated ideas of Britain's "glorious" past. It was an attempt to magically transplant the past into the future. The Tory party gave in to these delusions. David Cameron, more than any one person, is responsible for this mess because he agreed to opening the door to it.

There's no silver bullet that will get Britain out of the mess it created for itself, only least worst options.

Vote for the deal that most people hate and which even pro-Brexiteers say is worse than EU membership, and nobody will be happy, and it would be hugely divisive.

Stumble into no deal, and it would be a disaster. Britain would be ripe for destruction by anarcho-capitalists.

A second referendum could still leave open the possibility of no deal and would be again incredibly divisive, with far right rhetoric poisoning public discourse.

Withdrawing Article 50 unilaterally would be incredibly divisive. It could easily lead to a rise of the far right. But so could all the other options, with no deal likely being the worst case in this regard.

So all options, are, frankly, shit.

But withdrawing Article 50 now looks like the least worst option, and it's an option that has become more likely.

The flipside is; no deal has also become more likely.





Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:09:07 PM
Withdrawing article 50 unilaterally would be the worst option. It can never happen. The people voted for Brexit, if its not to go ahead it will have to, at the very least, seem like its the public who've changed their minds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 04:18:23 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:09:07 PM
Withdrawing article 50 unilaterally would be the worst option. It can never happen. The people voted for Brexit, if its not to go ahead it will have to, at the very least, seem like its the public who've changed their minds.
It can absolutely happen and it would be a far better option than no deal.

You have to separate Brexit the abstract idea from Brexit the reality.

Half of Britain likes the abstract idea of Brexit. An abstract idea is fantasy.

In reality, Brexit has proven to be undeliverable - every single practical idea of what Brexit could be is deeply unpopular.

May's deal is deeply unpopular, no deal is deeply unpopular, Liechtenstein is deeply unpopular.

If somebody is on the edge of a multi-storey car park for six hours shouting loudly that they're going to throw themselves off but is secretly having second thoughts, relenting and retreating is a far better option than throwing themselves off for fear of losing face.

Far better to lose face and survive than not lose face and self-destruct.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 17, 2019, 04:22:54 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 03:58:41 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 03:28:39 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PM
I don't understand people. A no deal Brexit would be an unmitigated disaster not just for Britain but for Ireland and the EU. No sane person wants that and certainly I do not believe many voted for that. It's an entirely reasonable request for a compromise. After the abuse and smears continuosly directed at this man by the Tories I think it's quite reasonable to test whether May is just playing to the gallery or genuinely interested in finding a solution. She hasn't a genuine bone in her body. Despite being a Remain campaigner she seems perfectly happy to let Britain leave the EU with no deal in order to keep her position.

The face on May when Corbyn asked her to rule it out told the story. She was sick.


Vote for the deal that most people hate and which even pro-Brexiteers say is worse than EU membership, and nobody will be happy, and it would be hugely divisive.

Stumble into no deal, and it would be a disaster. Britain would be ripe for destruction by anarcho-capitalists.

A second referendum could still leave open the possibility of no deal and would be again incredibly divisive, with far right rhetoric poisoning public discourse.

Withdrawing Article 50 unilaterally would be incredibly divisive. It could easily lead to a rise of the far right. But so could all the other options, with no deal likely being the worst case in this regard.

So all options, are, frankly, shit.

But withdrawing Article 50 now looks like the least worst option, and it's an option that has become more likely.

The flipside is; no deal has also become more likely.

How can a second referendum / anything else be any more divisive than what exists already?  Never in the modern era has British society or the body politic been more polarised over one issue than Brexit.

Anyone think May rather cleverly bounced Corbyn into a No Confidence motion in the immediate wake of the Withdrawal defeat Tuesday night? If he was a skilled '25' player he might have let her stew for another few days, until she presents Plan B Monday, and then start gathering (more) support for it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:27:03 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 04:18:23 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:09:07 PM
Withdrawing article 50 unilaterally would be the worst option. It can never happen. The people voted for Brexit, if its not to go ahead it will have to, at the very least, seem like its the public who've changed their minds.
It can absolutely happen and it would be a far better option than no deal.

You have to separate Brexit the abstract idea from Brexit the reality.

Half of Britain likes the abstract idea of Brexit. An abstract idea is fantasy.

In reality, Brexit has proven to be undeliverable - every single practical idea of what Brexit could be is deeply unpopular.

May's deal is deeply unpopular, no deal is deeply unpopular, Liechtenstein is deeply unpopular.

If somebody is on the edge of a multi-storey car park for six hours shouting loudly that they're going to throw themselves off but is secretly having second thoughts, relenting and retreating is a far better option than throwing themselves off for fear of losing face.

Far better to lose face and survive than not lose face and self-destruct.

Were the 'will of the people' denied, Britain would have much bigger problems going forward than Brexit. The entire democratic system would be shaken to the core, and the rise of the far right would be the least of the problems.

There are much safer ways to withdraw from Brexit, most of which are routes to a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 04:35:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 17, 2019, 04:22:54 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 03:58:41 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 03:28:39 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PM
I don't understand people. A no deal Brexit would be an unmitigated disaster not just for Britain but for Ireland and the EU. No sane person wants that and certainly I do not believe many voted for that. It's an entirely reasonable request for a compromise. After the abuse and smears continuosly directed at this man by the Tories I think it's quite reasonable to test whether May is just playing to the gallery or genuinely interested in finding a solution. She hasn't a genuine bone in her body. Despite being a Remain campaigner she seems perfectly happy to let Britain leave the EU with no deal in order to keep her position.

The face on May when Corbyn asked her to rule it out told the story. She was sick.


Vote for the deal that most people hate and which even pro-Brexiteers say is worse than EU membership, and nobody will be happy, and it would be hugely divisive.

Stumble into no deal, and it would be a disaster. Britain would be ripe for destruction by anarcho-capitalists.

A second referendum could still leave open the possibility of no deal and would be again incredibly divisive, with far right rhetoric poisoning public discourse.

Withdrawing Article 50 unilaterally would be incredibly divisive. It could easily lead to a rise of the far right. But so could all the other options, with no deal likely being the worst case in this regard.

So all options, are, frankly, shit.

But withdrawing Article 50 now looks like the least worst option, and it's an option that has become more likely.

The flipside is; no deal has also become more likely.

How can a second referendum / anything else be any more divisive than what exists already? Never in the modern era has British society or the body politic been more polarised over one issue than Brexit.

Anyone think May rather cleverly bounced Corbyn into a No Confidence motion in the immediate wake of the Withdrawal defeat Tuesday night? If he was a skilled '25' player he might have let her stew for another few days, until she presents Plan B Monday, and then start gathering (more) support for it.


Amplification. The current divisions exist within a sort of framework where most people on one side are still sort of reassured that they have "won", while most people on the other side are sort of accepting that they have lost. A lot of people have simply zoned out of what's going on - there's a feeling among a lot of the public that it's the politicians business now and let them "get on with it" - it's been amazing to hear that line being said so much in vox pops and the like in the last year.

A second referendum would most certainly re-open and amplify that division within the public at large, because the responsibility would once again lie with the public to make the decision. Divisive political campaigns always amplify tensions and division.

Nevertheless, it's a process Britain may have to go through.

The amount of energy and resources in British politics that have been wasted on this ridiculous right wing identity politics issue over the last three or four years, to the detriment of the real issues that affect people, has been an utter disgrace, and David Cameron enabled it.




Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 17, 2019, 04:55:00 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:27:03 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 04:18:23 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:09:07 PM
Withdrawing article 50 unilaterally would be the worst option. It can never happen. The people voted for Brexit, if its not to go ahead it will have to, at the very least, seem like its the public who've changed their minds.
It can absolutely happen and it would be a far better option than no deal.

You have to separate Brexit the abstract idea from Brexit the reality.

Half of Britain likes the abstract idea of Brexit. An abstract idea is fantasy.

In reality, Brexit has proven to be undeliverable - every single practical idea of what Brexit could be is deeply unpopular.

May's deal is deeply unpopular, no deal is deeply unpopular, Liechtenstein is deeply unpopular.

If somebody is on the edge of a multi-storey car park for six hours shouting loudly that they're going to throw themselves off but is secretly having second thoughts, relenting and retreating is a far better option than throwing themselves off for fear of losing face.

Far better to lose face and survive than not lose face and self-destruct.

Were the 'will of the people' denied, Britain would have much bigger problems going forward than Brexit.

What do you think might happen ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 17, 2019, 05:59:13 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 17, 2019, 02:33:48 PM
Also, if one was a Brit (and thank the Lord I'm not), why would you want Theresa May to show her hand to the EU on a no-deal in what after all is a giant game of Chicken (chlorininated or not).

Its not the EU that you are saying "there won't be a no deal to".

Its to all the businesses and investors that are either not putting their money into, or are actively taking their money out of, the UK.

That costs jobs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 17, 2019, 06:00:59 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PM
I think it's quite reasonable to test whether May is just playing to the gallery or genuinely interested in finding a solution.

+1

Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PM
She hasn't a genuine bone in her body.

+10

Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PMDespite being a Remain campaigner she seems perfectly happy to let Britain leave the EU with no deal in order to keep her position.

+100


She's a self-serving wannabe dictator.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 17, 2019, 06:07:53 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 03:58:41 PM
The constitutional difference between Ireland and the UK as regards referendums is as follows: Ireland has a written constitution - we have had many referendums, but they are always constitutional ones, and the options are always defined.

Hence why there should be a referendum on the final deal negotiated.

As the two (three?) options are then more (if not fully) defined (indeed, there probably should be forecast numbers generated by the OBR for WTO/Deal/Remain so the public have an idea what they are getting into).


Was Lisbon treaty a constitutional referendum? [it was definitely defined options]
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on January 17, 2019, 06:39:27 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:27:03 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 04:18:23 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:09:07 PM
Withdrawing article 50 unilaterally would be the worst option. It can never happen. The people voted for Brexit, if its not to go ahead it will have to, at the very least, seem like its the public who've changed their minds.
It can absolutely happen and it would be a far better option than no deal.

You have to separate Brexit the abstract idea from Brexit the reality.

Half of Britain likes the abstract idea of Brexit. An abstract idea is fantasy.

In reality, Brexit has proven to be undeliverable - every single practical idea of what Brexit could be is deeply unpopular.

May's deal is deeply unpopular, no deal is deeply unpopular, Liechtenstein is deeply unpopular.

If somebody is on the edge of a multi-storey car park for six hours shouting loudly that they're going to throw themselves off but is secretly having second thoughts, relenting and retreating is a far better option than throwing themselves off for fear of losing face.

Far better to lose face and survive than not lose face and self-destruct.

Were the 'will of the people' denied, Britain would have much bigger problems going forward than Brexit. The entire democratic system would be shaken to the core, and the rise of the far right would be the least of the problems.

There are much safer ways to withdraw from Brexit, most of which are routes to a second referendum.

What do you base this assessment on? Far right? Tommy Robinson been on to you? Most people are busy getting on with their lives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 17, 2019, 06:49:14 PM
Is it true that the Brits have put all their army reserves on notice to be ready to mobilise on 30th March??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on January 17, 2019, 07:07:06 PM
Cant say. *touches nose. Winks*
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on January 17, 2019, 07:20:03 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 17, 2019, 06:49:14 PM
Is it true that the Brits have put all their army reserves on notice to be ready to mobilise on 30th March??

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/brexit/brexit-gavin-williamson-announces-plan-to-call-up-army-reserves-for-no-deal/ar-BBSmY1s?li=BBoPWjQ

Dads Army to the rescue....carry on Godfrey😜
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 07:35:58 PM
Brigid Laffan

« If we lived in normal political times, UK prime minister Theresa May would already be consigned to history. As PM she lost a 20-seat majority, 13 ministers and a crucial vote in the Commons by a staggering 230 votes. The UK is now in a full-blown political and constitutional crisis. « 

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/17/may-will-stick-to-brexit-principles-in-cross-party-talks-says-no-10
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 17, 2019, 08:07:03 PM
Not a bad record, for a British PM.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 17, 2019, 09:23:52 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 17, 2019, 05:59:13 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 17, 2019, 02:33:48 PM
Also, if one was a Brit (and thank the Lord I'm not), why would you want Theresa May to show her hand to the EU on a no-deal in what after all is a giant game of Chicken (chlorininated or not).

Its not the EU that you are saying "there won't be a no deal to".

Its to all the businesses and investors that are either not putting their money into, or are actively taking their money out of, the UK.

That costs jobs.

Fair point. I just thought that from her perspective if she ruled out a no-deal, then EU and Germany would not get nervous and cave in on any new demands. But you are right, there's the even bigger damage caused by uncertainty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 18, 2019, 08:59:17 AM
Quote from: weareros on January 17, 2019, 09:23:52 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 17, 2019, 05:59:13 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 17, 2019, 02:33:48 PM
Also, if one was a Brit (and thank the Lord I'm not), why would you want Theresa May to show her hand to the EU on a no-deal in what after all is a giant game of Chicken (chlorininated or not).

Its not the EU that you are saying "there won't be a no deal to".

Its to all the businesses and investors that are either not putting their money into, or are actively taking their money out of, the UK.

That costs jobs.

Fair point. I just thought that from her perspective if she ruled out a no-deal, then EU and Germany would not get nervous and cave in on any new demands. But you are right, there's the even bigger damage caused by uncertainty.

Philips have just pulled the plug on a factory in England and moving production back to their homeland.

Nothing to do with Brexit as all that talk was project fear.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on January 18, 2019, 09:09:51 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-46912135

Goon man Ken, calling them out for what they are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 18, 2019, 09:10:52 AM
Quote from: maddog on January 17, 2019, 04:55:00 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:27:03 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 04:18:23 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 04:09:07 PM
Withdrawing article 50 unilaterally would be the worst option. It can never happen. The people voted for Brexit, if its not to go ahead it will have to, at the very least, seem like its the public who've changed their minds.
It can absolutely happen and it would be a far better option than no deal.

You have to separate Brexit the abstract idea from Brexit the reality.

Half of Britain likes the abstract idea of Brexit. An abstract idea is fantasy.

In reality, Brexit has proven to be undeliverable - every single practical idea of what Brexit could be is deeply unpopular.

May's deal is deeply unpopular, no deal is deeply unpopular, Liechtenstein is deeply unpopular.

If somebody is on the edge of a multi-storey car park for six hours shouting loudly that they're going to throw themselves off but is secretly having second thoughts, relenting and retreating is a far better option than throwing themselves off for fear of losing face.

Far better to lose face and survive than not lose face and self-destruct.

Were the 'will of the people' denied, Britain would have much bigger problems going forward than Brexit.

What do you think might happen ?

Most remainers would be at the very least uncomfortable with the UK govt unilaterally withdrawing article 50, given the referendum result, most leavers would understandably be apocalyptic. Would the political system recover? It would certainly take a massive hit.

Civil unrest at the time would be inevitable, off-setting any economic bounce. Conditions would be ripe for a breakdown in the democratic system, swathes of support for far left and far right, and the UK on a trajectory of disaster much worse than a managed EU exit (and hopefully a swift return), and certainly much worse than taking it back to people either directly through a referendum, or ideally a referendum via a general election.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on January 18, 2019, 09:24:41 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on January 17, 2019, 03:58:41 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 17, 2019, 03:28:39 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on January 17, 2019, 03:03:24 PM
I don't understand people. A no deal Brexit would be an unmitigated disaster not just for Britain but for Ireland and the EU. No sane person wants that and certainly I do not believe many voted for that. It's an entirely reasonable request for a compromise. After the abuse and smears continuosly directed at this man by the Tories I think it's quite reasonable to test whether May is just playing to the gallery or genuinely interested in finding a solution. She hasn't a genuine bone in her body. Despite being a Remain campaigner she seems perfectly happy to let Britain leave the EU with no deal in order to keep her position.

The face on May when Corbyn asked her to rule it out told the story. She was sick.

Of course everyone wants a deal. But if that is guaranteed on one side, the other can just sit back and wait until its terms are granted, or until, as Sid suggests, Article 50 is withdrawn. Its ludicrous.

The biggest issue has been giving parliament a vote on the deal - there are so many different factions that was always going to result in stalemate.

The only way I can see out of it is through a general election. Perhaps at that point labour will run on second referendum ticket. That isn't the golden bullet people seem to think it will be either however.

The problem in the first place was having the referendum.

The UK does not have a written constitution and has always operated on a system of parliamentary sovereignty, ie. that parliament decides.

The UK's first referendum was 1975, and 2016 was only the third ever.

In 1975, Margaret Thatcher was in fact one of the few people to warn of the dangers that introducing the concept of a referendum posed to British politics - that it introduced a hostile, rival system of lawmaking to the existing parliamentary system.

The constitutional difference between Ireland and the UK as regards referendums is as follows: Ireland has a written constitution - we have had many referendums, but they are always constitutional ones, and the options are always defined. We NEVER hold non-constitutional referendums. The UK held an advisory referendum with no status in law where one option was completely undefined.

My take on what people voted for when they voted for Brexit, is that they were voting to retain all the benefits of European Union membership, and none of the responsibilities.

They voted to stop immigration, yet have full free movement rights themselves.
They voted for the ability to make their own trade deals, yet have full access to the single market, and no budget obligations.

They voted to have full membership of the golf club, with full playing rights on the course, use of the gym, swimming pool and bar etc. for free.

Voting for Brexit was like voting for all taxes to be abolished yet public spending to simultaneously be quadrupled.

The EU says: "We can't offer you that - it is fundamentally undeliverable."

But the Brits say: "But that's what we voted for! Get on with it and give us what we want!"

The EU respond: "We can't. You are living in a la la land."

Brexit was fundamentally undeliverable because it was a fantasy idea based on deep seated ideas of Britain's "glorious" past. It was an attempt to magically transplant the past into the future. The Tory party gave in to these delusions. David Cameron, more than any one person, is responsible for this mess because he agreed to opening the door to it.

There's no silver bullet that will get Britain out of the mess it created for itself, only least worst options.

Vote for the deal that most people hate and which even pro-Brexiteers say is worse than EU membership, and nobody will be happy, and it would be hugely divisive.

Stumble into no deal, and it would be a disaster. Britain would be ripe for destruction by anarcho-capitalists.

A second referendum could still leave open the possibility of no deal and would be again incredibly divisive, with far right rhetoric poisoning public discourse.

Withdrawing Article 50 unilaterally would be incredibly divisive. It could easily lead to a rise of the far right. But so could all the other options, with no deal likely being the worst case in this regard.

So all options, are, frankly, shit.

But withdrawing Article 50 now looks like the least worst option, and it's an option that has become more likely.

The flipside is; no deal has also become more likely.
Thats a fairly accurate summary
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 18, 2019, 10:00:28 AM
O'Toole can often be pompous and full of himself but this is a good article;

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jan/18/europe-brexit-britain-state-politics-fit-for-purpose
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 18, 2019, 10:05:40 AM
No deal is about shafting the NHS and giving the savings to the ultra rich in the form of tax cuts.
The ERG don't care about trade.
I still don't understand what the DUP is doing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 18, 2019, 10:24:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 18, 2019, 10:05:40 AM
No deal is about shafting the NHS and giving the savings to the ultra rich in the form of tax cuts.
The ERG don't care about trade.
I still don't understand what the DUP is doing

Yes the ERG do care about trade, their chairman is starting up in Dublin in full knowledge that the Brexit they have been pushing is going to effect business in the UK

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.irishtimes.com/business/financial-services/jacob-rees-mogg-s-group-launches-second-irish-fund-1.3573675%3fmode=amp

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on January 18, 2019, 10:29:51 AM
Is there any scenario or outworking of such that won't weaken the DUP from the position they were in prior to the referendum?

No Brexit/Soft Brexit/Hard Brexit/Deal with Backstop/Deal without Backstop/Hard Border/Soft Border/Any degree of fudge between any of these scenarios, are all going to make the DUP look like fools for one reason or another as far as I can see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 18, 2019, 10:39:15 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on January 18, 2019, 10:29:51 AM
Is there any scenario or outworking of such that won't weaken the DUP from the position they were in prior to the referendum?

No Brexit/Soft Brexit/Hard Brexit/Deal with Backstop/Deal without Backstop/Hard Border/Soft Border/Any degree of fudge between any of these scenarios, are all going to make the DUP look like fools for one reason or another as far as I can see.

Completely agree but Will the fact  they have went against the will of the people in their constituency's (on Brexit) and have alienated the business and farm communities effect them come local election time especially when they are one of the main contributors to the stormont impasse. Knowing this place they will probably increase their vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on January 18, 2019, 10:58:50 AM
Farmers who vote DUP will continue to vote DUP until they're six feet underground.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 18, 2019, 11:12:27 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 18, 2019, 10:00:28 AM
O'Toole can often be pompous and full of himself but this is a good article;

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jan/18/europe-brexit-britain-state-politics-fit-for-purpose

That's very good.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on January 18, 2019, 11:33:41 AM
A border prayer.

https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=1446638265466155&set=a.196107567185904&type=3&theater
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on January 18, 2019, 01:13:54 PM
Quote from: gallsman on January 18, 2019, 10:58:50 AM
Farmers who vote DUP will continue to vote DUP until they're six feet underground.

That says all you need to know about their voters never mind the DUP themselves. It might make a handful sit up and consider where to place their X or 1,2,3 but when push comes to shove and they are standing in the polling booth they just can't bring themselves to vote for someone else incase one of them'uns got it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on January 18, 2019, 01:23:40 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on January 18, 2019, 01:13:54 PM
Quote from: gallsman on January 18, 2019, 10:58:50 AM
Farmers who vote DUP will continue to vote DUP until they're six feet underground.

That says all you need to know about their voters never mind the DUP themselves. It might make a handful sit up and consider where to place their X or 1,2,3 but when push comes to shove and they are standing in the polling booth they just can't bring themselves to vote for someone else incase one of them'uns got it.
to be fair our side is as bad
I have family who will vote like sheep to stop the other side
no rationale simply to make sure the other side don't get elected
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 18, 2019, 01:41:21 PM
Quote from: gallsman on January 18, 2019, 10:58:50 AM
Farmers who vote DUP will continue to vote DUP until they're six feet underground.

They could be burying a lot of Dairy cattle before that if no one will take their milk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 18, 2019, 01:43:15 PM
Quote from: naka on January 18, 2019, 01:23:40 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on January 18, 2019, 01:13:54 PM
Quote from: gallsman on January 18, 2019, 10:58:50 AM
Farmers who vote DUP will continue to vote DUP until they're six feet underground.

That says all you need to know about their voters never mind the DUP themselves. It might make a handful sit up and consider where to place their X or 1,2,3 but when push comes to shove and they are standing in the polling booth they just can't bring themselves to vote for someone else incase one of them'uns got it.
to be fair our side is as bad
I have family who will vote like sheep to stop the other side
no rationale simply to make sure the other side don't get elected

Voting to attempt to deny the DUP a seat sounds perfectly rational to me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 18, 2019, 02:05:26 PM
We should try that in South Belfast to get rid of thon bitter & twisted gun runner's daughter.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 18, 2019, 03:34:14 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 18, 2019, 01:43:15 PM
Quote from: naka on January 18, 2019, 01:23:40 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on January 18, 2019, 01:13:54 PM
Quote from: gallsman on January 18, 2019, 10:58:50 AM
Farmers who vote DUP will continue to vote DUP until they're six feet underground.

That says all you need to know about their voters never mind the DUP themselves. It might make a handful sit up and consider where to place their X or 1,2,3 but when push comes to shove and they are standing in the polling booth they just can't bring themselves to vote for someone else incase one of them'uns got it.
to be fair our side is as bad
I have family who will vote like sheep to stop the other side
no rationale simply to make sure the other side don't get elected

Voting to attempt to deny the DUP a seat sounds perfectly rational to me.

Yes an the other side does the same, Vote DUP to deny SF. Hence you've two big parties that people don't really want.
People get the politicians they deserve. Sad.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 18, 2019, 03:45:01 PM
Who do people really want?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 18, 2019, 04:07:59 PM
Personally I'd like a better leader than O'Neill.

Granted shes up against a horrible shower but I don't think she has it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kickham csc on January 18, 2019, 04:20:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 18, 2019, 03:34:14 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on January 18, 2019, 01:43:15 PM
Quote from: naka on January 18, 2019, 01:23:40 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on January 18, 2019, 01:13:54 PM
Quote from: gallsman on January 18, 2019, 10:58:50 AM
Farmers who vote DUP will continue to vote DUP until they're six feet underground.

That says all you need to know about their voters never mind the DUP themselves. It might make a handful sit up and consider where to place their X or 1,2,3 but when push comes to shove and they are standing in the polling booth they just can't bring themselves to vote for someone else incase one of them'uns got it.
to be fair our side is as bad
I have family who will vote like sheep to stop the other side
no rationale simply to make sure the other side don't get elected

Voting to attempt to deny the DUP a seat sounds perfectly rational to me.

Yes an the other side does the same, Vote DUP to deny SF. Hence you've two big parties that people don't really want.
People get the politicians they deserve. Sad.

Is this not the phase of the  long term normalization process that we were always going to pass through.

From a change management Point of view, the DUP and supporters are clearly holding on the view that nothing has changed and the Unionists don't have to discuss, compromise, reach out to the nationalist community. They have not began the process of normalization.

It's going to take another generation or two before "normalized politics" resumes.

Was this not the same down south after the civil war? Wasn't it Fine Gael 'v' Fianna Fáil for a long time  before other parties came in to take same allocation of votes away?

NI needs more time, a Generation or two before we are weaned off the power of the big two
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on January 18, 2019, 04:37:51 PM
This from a barrister friend of mine earlier today.....my head hurt after reading it😩

No deal? No problem. Here's an extract of the summary guidance on civil justice from the Law Society...happy reading..National law rules will apply to this area of the law in the UK and in EU/EEA member states (unless otherwise stated in the guidance), as all reciprocal elements of EU law will cease to have effect. In the UK, they will be repealed by the UK government.
In some cases, bilateral treaties and conventions pre-dating EU membership may exist between the UK and EU member states. To find out whether this is the case, you will need to consult the national law of the state concerned. You may also need to contact a local lawyer in that country.
Where the parties have an exclusive choice of court agreement, the UK will accede to the 2005 Hague Convention. This will be applied between the UK and EU/EEA states, and other states party to that convention.
In relation to Service of Documents and Taking of Evidence, the Hague Conventions will continue to apply.
The status of ongoing cases is unclear. The rules governing the enforceability of any case decided after 29 March 2019 will cease to have effect, and there is a risk that parallel cases may be taken in multiple jurisdictions.
The Brussels I Regulation will no longer apply between the UK and EU27. It is likely that England and Wales will fall back on pre-existing common law rules for the recognition and enforcement of foreign judgments.
The government has signalled its intention to adopt the 2005 Hague Convention on choice-of-court agreements in the event of a no-deal Brexit. This convention provides only for the recognition and enforcement of judgments where the parties have concluded an exclusive choice-of-court agreement.
The national law of each EU/EEA state will determine whether a foreign UK judgment can be recognised and enforced in that jurisdiction.
The Insolvency Regulation will no longer be applicable between the UK and EU27 member states. An insolvency officeholder appointed in the UK will have difficulty obtaining recognition in the EU.
Other EU regulations concerning the creation of special instruments in specific fields (eg the Motor Insurance Directive) will no longer apply. EU rules protecting the weaker party, for example victims of motor accidents, will no longer apply in the UK.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 18, 2019, 04:41:16 PM
Quote from: Kickham csc on January 18, 2019, 04:20:26 PM
NI needs more time, a Generation or two before we are weaned off the power of the big two

It is 21 years since the GFA, time for some change.
Imagine if West Germany and France in 1970 we still going on about the war!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on January 18, 2019, 06:07:01 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 18, 2019, 04:41:16 PM
Quote from: Kickham csc on January 18, 2019, 04:20:26 PM
NI needs more time, a Generation or two before we are weaned off the power of the big two

It is 21 years since the GFA, time for some change.
Imagine if West Germany and France in 1970 we still going on about the war!

There won't be any meaningful change here until there is integrated education.  Until that happens there will always be a "them" and "us" as the kids (and parents) of different religions don't really have many opportunities to mix.

What really hits home to me is when I think of pubs in Armagh city.  There must be about a dozen or more,and with the exception of the Hotel I would think that every other establishment would be seen as either a "catholic pub" or a "protestant pub".  That is crazy and tells me that we are a long way away from being a "normal" society.
I appreciate it's different in Belfast city centre.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 18, 2019, 06:30:32 PM
So when are ye going to integrate the pubs?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 18, 2019, 10:55:16 PM
Victoria Bar and Hole in the Wall probably the only 2, with honourable mentions to the British Legion & Cricket Club.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Throw ball on January 18, 2019, 11:00:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 18, 2019, 10:55:16 PM
Victoria Bar and Hole in the Wall probably the only 2, with honourable mentions to the British Legion & Cricket Club.

To be fair in the last few years both bars would get more Catholic customers. The Cricket Club not so many.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 19, 2019, 06:38:02 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 18, 2019, 04:41:16 PM
Quote from: Kickham csc on January 18, 2019, 04:20:26 PM
NI needs more time, a Generation or two before we are weaned off the power of the big two

It is 21 years since the GFA, time for some change.
Imagine if West Germany and France in 1970 we still going on about the war!

The Germans had to be denazified and re-educated and they don't
live in the same space as the French.
Unionist groupthink is a product of one half of the education system and as long it is manufactured things will be complicated
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 19, 2019, 07:47:30 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 18, 2019, 10:55:16 PM
Victoria Bar and Hole in the Wall probably the only 2, with honourable mentions to the British Legion & Cricket Club.

I was driving through armagh and saw the limerick football team piled into Victoria bar one night after playing Tyrone up in omagh in a backdoor game a few years back. Gave me a good laugh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 19, 2019, 10:48:27 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on January 18, 2019, 04:37:51 PM
This from a barrister friend of mine earlier today.....my head hurt after reading it😩

No deal? No problem.

No problem as far as the lawyers are concerned. They'll just get paid more when the cases are drawn out as they figure what laws are actually applicable.

For, pretty much every other industry - losing the regulatory frameworks (food standards/material standards/process standards) means anything produced may not be fit for use elsewhere in the world. Will parliament redo the old British Standards? Will they match existing EU standards? Can they do that and reconcile with all areas?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on January 19, 2019, 01:27:24 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 19, 2019, 07:47:30 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 18, 2019, 10:55:16 PM
Victoria Bar and Hole in the Wall probably the only 2, with honourable mentions to the British Legion & Cricket Club.

I was driving through armagh and saw the limerick football team piled into Victoria bar one night after playing Tyrone up in omagh in a backdoor game a few years back. Gave me a good laugh.

They sung a Cranberries tune rather than Seán South.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 20, 2019, 04:03:22 AM

   https://www.ft.com/content/c44581c2-1a75-11e9-9e64-d150b3105d21
   Britain has failed to finalise most trade deals needed to replace the EU's 40 existing agreements with leading global economies and will not be close to doing so when Brexit occurs on March 29, according to an internal Whitehall memorandum.

The memo, compiled by civil servants as part of contingency planning for the UK crashing out of the EU without a formal Brussels divorce agreement, warned that most of the deals would lapse without a transition period that keeps Britain under the EU umbrella once Brexit occurs.

"Almost none of them are ready to go now and none will be ready to go by March," said one government official who has seen the internal analysis of the Department for International Trade's progress.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 20, 2019, 10:39:19 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on January 19, 2019, 01:27:24 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 19, 2019, 07:47:30 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 18, 2019, 10:55:16 PM
Victoria Bar and Hole in the Wall probably the only 2, with honourable mentions to the British Legion & Cricket Club.

I was driving through armagh and saw the limerick football team piled into Victoria bar one night after playing Tyrone up in omagh in a backdoor game a few years back. Gave me a good laugh.

They sung a Cranberries tune rather than Seán South.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=iwnw24VWMGs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 20, 2019, 07:12:21 PM
Says it all, really

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/17/opinion/sunday/brexit-ireland-empire.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on January 20, 2019, 08:45:20 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 20, 2019, 07:12:21 PM
Says it all, really

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/17/opinion/sunday/brexit-ireland-empire.html

That's a great piece.

"... partition — the British Empire's ruinous exit strategy — has come home. In a grotesque irony, borders imposed in 1921 on Ireland, England's first colony, have proved to be the biggest stumbling block for the English Brexiteers chasing imperial virility. Moreover, Britain itself faces the prospect of partition if Brexit, a primarily English demand, is achieved and Scottish nationalists renew their call for independence."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 09:34:48 AM
No Deal seems more and more to be what the Brit Government wanted all along??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on January 22, 2019, 09:40:22 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 09:34:48 AM
No Deal seems more and more to be what the Brit Government wanted all along??

Not sure about that. There seems to be a large majority against no deal in parliament. They want a deal and I suspect if the DUP were not involved a deal would already be done. A deal will be completed at the 11th hour. Just a matter of who blinks first..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on January 22, 2019, 09:42:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 17, 2019, 10:31:11 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on January 17, 2019, 10:20:29 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 12, 2019, 09:17:56 PM
I'd say your knowledge of "The South" is fairly limited.
That actually cuts both ways many from the south do not understand nationalists in the North, or their motivations. They criticise without the benefit of the experience many nationalists had of the state in which they grew up. Prime example are those FF Republicans sniping at SF for not swearing an oath to the Queen, they don't get that people voted SF on that basis. I would not swear an oath to the Queen why would I expect my MP to do so? There are other examples as well.
Mark Durkan never swore an oath of allegiance to the Queen
SF defences of abstentionism are bollocks
You will find that he affirmed allegiance, call it what you will but as a Republican who wants and end to British jurisdiction in NI it is a principled stand. You might not like it that is your prerogative and you should vote accordingly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on January 22, 2019, 09:48:05 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 01:07:10 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on January 17, 2019, 12:50:07 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:47:29 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 17, 2019, 12:36:11 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 17, 2019, 12:27:17 PM
SF swear an oath at Stormont. A British manufactured political assembly that recognises Northern Ireland and partition. What's the difference swearing an oath to this than at Westminster?

It's government on the island of Ireland for the north of Ireland and no allegiance to a foreign sovereign state. I would have thought this much is obvious.

The north is under British rule. It's part of the uk. It's a British political entity. It may have its own assembly like Scotland and Wales, but it's a British state. As hard as that is for some people to admit, that's the reality.
It's a power sharing assembly.

Well, that was the theory anyway.

But it's still an assembly governing a part of the UK. That will be the case until there's a UI.
Look it's their policy, I vote for them on that basis, they swear allegiance they lose my vote. my position on SF is like true blue, they are fcukin annoying in many ways but they most accurately reflect my political view. You don't like it, tough.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 22, 2019, 10:51:04 AM
The Poles are the first to weaken the EU stance, Coveney should box the head off him;

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/dublin-sees-hand-of-british-in-polish-hint-over-brexit-backstop-37735329.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/dublin-sees-hand-of-british-in-polish-hint-over-brexit-backstop-37735329.html)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 12:13:08 PM
He did but in a nice soft spoken Cork way.
I presume Poland is still a net beneficiary of EU funds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 12:17:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 12:13:08 PM
He did but in a nice soft spoken Cork way.
I presume Poland is still a net beneficiary of EU funds.
the brits have been trying to separate individual countries from the EU herd in order to wangle some movement on the backstop
but Barnier is very solid

Diarmuid Ferriter

" Much of the commentary in the UK still fails to understand our motivation in seeking to avoid a hard border on this island – the welfare of those living in the North, and the maintenance of peace on the island. "
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 22, 2019, 01:07:11 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 22, 2019, 10:51:04 AM
The Poles are the first to weaken the EU stance, Coveney should box the head off him;

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/dublin-sees-hand-of-british-in-polish-hint-over-brexit-backstop-37735329.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/dublin-sees-hand-of-british-in-polish-hint-over-brexit-backstop-37735329.html)

Unionist/British media all over this obviously, it's the first chink in the armour and they'll exploit it for all its worth. Coveney and Barnier need to be explicit that the backstop is not for changing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 22, 2019, 01:12:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 12:17:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 12:13:08 PM
He did but in a nice soft spoken Cork way.
I presume Poland is still a net beneficiary of EU funds.
the brits have been trying to separate individual countries from the EU herd in order to wangle some movement on the backstop
but Barnier is very solid

Diarmuid Ferriter

" Much of the commentary in the UK still fails to understand our motivation in seeking to avoid a hard border on this island – the welfare of those living in the North, and the maintenance of peace on the island. "

And even beyond that as Fintan O'Toole expressed well on Clare Byrne, Brexit without a backstop will devastate the agricultural industry in Ireland, as how could you stop a lorry load of hormone injected beef from entering at Larne and then crossing the border thereby introducing lower and questionable standards into the Irish market and putting our own sizable beef exports at risk. I see the EU commission have just come out and said there will be a hard border in the event of a hard brexit. Of course, there will. And there will be a hard border in a Brexit without the backstop. And really the Brits or DUP do not care about the economic consequences for Ireland.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 22, 2019, 01:18:06 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 22, 2019, 01:12:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 12:17:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 12:13:08 PM
He did but in a nice soft spoken Cork way.
I presume Poland is still a net beneficiary of EU funds.
the brits have been trying to separate individual countries from the EU herd in order to wangle some movement on the backstop
but Barnier is very solid

Diarmuid Ferriter

" Much of the commentary in the UK still fails to understand our motivation in seeking to avoid a hard border on this island – the welfare of those living in the North, and the maintenance of peace on the island. "

And even beyond that as Fintan O'Toole expressed well on Clare Byrne, Brexit without a backstop will devastate the agricultural industry in Ireland, as how could you stop a lorry load of hormone injected beef from entering at Larne and then crossing the border thereby introducing lower and questionable standards into the Irish market and putting our own sizable beef exports at risk. I see the EU commission have just come out and said there will be a hard border in the event of a hard brexit. Of course, there will. And there will be a hard border in a Brexit without the backstop. And really the Brits or DUP do not care about the economic consequences for Ireland.

But they won't be the ones enforcing it will be their cry. The DUP will be loving this outbreak.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on January 22, 2019, 01:23:09 PM
Quote from: Throw ball on January 18, 2019, 11:00:18 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 18, 2019, 10:55:16 PM
Victoria Bar and Hole in the Wall probably the only 2, with honourable mentions to the British Legion & Cricket Club.

To be fair in the last few years both bars would get more Catholic customers. The Cricket Club not so many.
Never been brave enough to tackle the Victoria Bar but The Hole in the Wall would be fairly mixed these days. The Victoria would be mostly themmuns, especially during the marching season (which is most of the year!) as you see a lot of lads dressed as toy soldiers about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 01:45:03 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 22, 2019, 01:12:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 12:17:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 12:13:08 PM
He did but in a nice soft spoken Cork way.
I presume Poland is still a net beneficiary of EU funds.
the brits have been trying to separate individual countries from the EU herd in order to wangle some movement on the backstop
but Barnier is very solid

Diarmuid Ferriter

" Much of the commentary in the UK still fails to understand our motivation in seeking to avoid a hard border on this island – the welfare of those living in the North, and the maintenance of peace on the island. "

And even beyond that as Fintan O'Toole expressed well on Clare Byrne, Brexit without a backstop will devastate the agricultural industry in Ireland, as how could you stop a lorry load of hormone injected beef from entering at Larne and then crossing the border thereby introducing lower and questionable standards into the Irish market and putting our own sizable beef exports at risk. I see the EU commission have just come out and said there will be a hard border in the event of a hard brexit. Of course, there will. And there will be a hard border in a Brexit without the backstop. And really the Brits or DUP do not care about the economic consequences for Ireland.
It's pity Fearon isn't around to see this.
The backstop is staying because the Brits can't be trusted and the only guarantor of nationalist rights in NI when London is nuts is the RoI
with the backing of the EU.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on January 22, 2019, 02:24:09 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 22, 2019, 01:18:06 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 22, 2019, 01:12:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 12:17:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 12:13:08 PM
He did but in a nice soft spoken Cork way.
I presume Poland is still a net beneficiary of EU funds.
the brits have been trying to separate individual countries from the EU herd in order to wangle some movement on the backstop
but Barnier is very solid

Diarmuid Ferriter

" Much of the commentary in the UK still fails to understand our motivation in seeking to avoid a hard border on this island – the welfare of those living in the North, and the maintenance of peace on the island. "

And even beyond that as Fintan O'Toole expressed well on Clare Byrne, Brexit without a backstop will devastate the agricultural industry in Ireland, as how could you stop a lorry load of hormone injected beef from entering at Larne and then crossing the border thereby introducing lower and questionable standards into the Irish market and putting our own sizable beef exports at risk. I see the EU commission have just come out and said there will be a hard border in the event of a hard brexit. Of course, there will. And there will be a hard border in a Brexit without the backstop. And really the Brits or DUP do not care about the economic consequences for Ireland.

But they won't be the ones enforcing it will be their cry. The DUP will be loving this outbreak.

Yes but hard brexit with any sort of border and its game over for NI in the UK according to actual recent polls and not the flawed crap the DUP seem to want to believe. The DUP are playing high stakes poker with a pair of 2's against a full house and are not even bluffing.  At least if they folded they would save some dignity but nope its all in for Arlene and co.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 03:22:29 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/05114d7e-1e42-11e9-b126-46fc3ad87c65

   No-deal Brexit would trigger Irish 'hard border': Brussels
European Commission says without UK deal peace process would be 'at risk'

Alex Barker in Brussels, Arthur Beesley in Dublin and George Parker in London

         The European Commission has explicitly acknowledged that a no-deal Brexit will lead to the return of "a hard border" on the island of Ireland, a scenario Brussels and Dublin have deliberately avoided discussing until now.However, the Irish government said it would not accept any border checks between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic in the event of a no deal and warned that "very difficult" talks with Brussels would be required in such an event.In unusually candid remarks, Margaritis Schinas, the commission's chief spokesperson, said it was "pretty obvious" that Britain's exit from the EU without a deal would prompt the return of border infrastructure, even at the risk of undermining peace in Northern Ireland. He made clear the commission's willingness to discuss the issue reflected the increased possibility of a no-deal Brexit."If you want to push me on what would happen in a no-deal scenario in Ireland, I think it is pretty obvious. You would have a hard border," Mr Schinas said at the commission's daily press conference. "Our commitment to the Good Friday Agreement . . . will have to inevitably take into account this fact."Of course we are for peace. Of course we stand behind the Good Friday Agreement," he added. "But that is what a no-deal scenario entails. I will not speculate on this plan B because we are for plan A."The question of the hard border is one of the most sensitive in Brexit negotiations, both for its potential impact on the peace process and the shape of the Brexit agreement, which includes a backstop arrangement to maintain an open border under all circumstances.Leo Varadkar, the Irish premier, has said that " no preparations whatsoever" have been made to introduce a hard border on the island, saying such contingency planning would become "a self-fulfilling prophecy". While EU diplomats have avoided discussing the subject, many privately admit the EU would have no choice but to require Ireland to enforce checks on trade to protect the common border of the single market.Mr Varadkar's spokesman said on Tuesday that retaining an open border "would require very difficult discussions with our EU partners". Working out suitable customs and trade arrangements compatible with our EU membership will require detailed discussion with the commission, while the UK will also need to live up to its responsibilities."In a statement, the spokesman said Dublin was under "no illusions" about the challenge. "But as [Mr Varadkar] recently told [parliament]: 'The only way we can avoid a hard border in the long term is having a customs agreement and regulatory alignment'."Regardless of Brexit, the Irish spokesman said the British government would always have responsibilities as co-guarantor of the Good Friday pact to ensure there was no return to a border "even in a no-deal".British ministers have been advised that no systematic checks would be required for revenue collection purposes on the island — a recommendation that Brexiters have pointed to as proof that no backstop compromises are required in order to maintain the open border.Theresa May's spokesman said on Tuesday that while Britain would do everything possible to prevent a hard border in Ireland in the event of a no-deal exit, the matter was not solely in the UK's hands."The prime minister has stated in the past we will do everything we can to prevent a hard border," he said. "But simply saying that isn't sufficient."Downing Street said Mrs May believed it was "overwhelmingly in our interest to leave with a deal", but she had not ruled out the possibility of a hard exit on March 29.The EU has released detailed contingency plans for a no-deal exit covering all sectors of the economy, but no specific arrangements have been made public regarding Northern Ireland, the only open UK-EU land border.Mr Schinas said a no-deal Brexit would put many of the advances made in the peace process "at risk" because of the need for border infrastructure to return. "That is something we want to address in the framework of our contingency work with Ireland," he added, while declining to say when any EU contingency plans would be published.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 03:27:36 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on January 22, 2019, 02:24:09 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 22, 2019, 01:18:06 PM
Quote from: weareros on January 22, 2019, 01:12:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 12:17:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 22, 2019, 12:13:08 PM
He did but in a nice soft spoken Cork way.
I presume Poland is still a net beneficiary of EU funds.
the brits have been trying to separate individual countries from the EU herd in order to wangle some movement on the backstop
but Barnier is very solid

Diarmuid Ferriter

" Much of the commentary in the UK still fails to understand our motivation in seeking to avoid a hard border on this island – the welfare of those living in the North, and the maintenance of peace on the island. "

And even beyond that as Fintan O'Toole expressed well on Clare Byrne, Brexit without a backstop will devastate the agricultural industry in Ireland, as how could you stop a lorry load of hormone injected beef from entering at Larne and then crossing the border thereby introducing lower and questionable standards into the Irish market and putting our own sizable beef exports at risk. I see the EU commission have just come out and said there will be a hard border in the event of a hard brexit. Of course, there will. And there will be a hard border in a Brexit without the backstop. And really the Brits or DUP do not care about the economic consequences for Ireland.
This is really good
But they won't be the ones enforcing it will be their cry. The DUP will be loving this outbreak.

Yes but hard brexit with any sort of border and its game over for NI in the UK according to actual recent polls and not the flawed crap the DUP seem to want to believe. The DUP are playing high stakes poker with a pair of 2's against a full house and are not even bluffing.  At least if they folded they would save some dignity but nope its all in for Arlene and co.


This is really good

Hard Border with Stephen Rea

https://youtu.be/8cZe2ihEZO8
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on January 22, 2019, 03:43:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 03:22:29 PM
While EU diplomats have avoided discussing the subject, many privately admit the EU would have no choice but to require Ireland to enforce checks on trade to protect the common border of the single market.Mr Varadkar's spokesman said on Tuesday that retaining an open border "would require very difficult discussions with our EU partners". Working out suitable customs and trade arrangements compatible with our EU membership will require detailed discussion with the commission, while the UK will also need to live up to its responsibilities.

There are really two borders to consider. 1) UK restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the north and 2) EU/Irish restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the south.

Despite our desire to blame the Brits for everything, at least some of the "hard border" will come in to being because of the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 22, 2019, 03:53:25 PM
Quote from: dec on January 22, 2019, 03:43:32 PM
There are really two borders to consider. 1) UK restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the north and 2) EU/Irish restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the south.

Despite our desire to blame the Brits for everything, at least some of the "hard border" will come in to being because of the EU.

Not so, the Brits are making the change from a working arrangement, the EU has only worked to eliminate borders, it is not responsible for this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on January 22, 2019, 03:59:34 PM
I see the FT is already stockpiling paragraphs in anticipation of no-deal shortages.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 22, 2019, 04:02:15 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 22, 2019, 03:53:25 PM
Quote from: dec on January 22, 2019, 03:43:32 PM
There are really two borders to consider. 1) UK restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the north and 2) EU/Irish restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the south.

Despite our desire to blame the Brits for everything, at least some of the "hard border" will come in to being because of the EU.

Not so, the Brits are making the change from a working arrangement, the EU has only worked to eliminate borders, it is not responsible for this.

Irrespective of who is responsible if there's a no deal Brexit the EU will insist on a border of sorts to prevent inferior goods flooding the EU common market from UK(NI).

At the same time the Brexiteers have always wanted to control immigration so you'd expect them to have some checks there as well.
Don't know enough about the WTO arrangements to know if they could insist on the UK controlling the very same border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 04:07:50 PM
Quote from: dec on January 22, 2019, 03:43:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 03:22:29 PM
While EU diplomats have avoided discussing the subject, many privately admit the EU would have no choice but to require Ireland to enforce checks on trade to protect the common border of the single market.Mr Varadkar's spokesman said on Tuesday that retaining an open border "would require very difficult discussions with our EU partners". Working out suitable customs and trade arrangements compatible with our EU membership will require detailed discussion with the commission, while the UK will also need to live up to its responsibilities.

There are really two borders to consider. 1) UK restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the north and 2) EU/Irish restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the south.

Despite our desire to blame the Brits for everything, at least some of the "hard border" will come in to being because of the EU.
I don't agree.
May's red line means she ruled out the customs union

the headbangers are blackmailing May. they will only support her if she retains No deal as an option
This is an internal tory Party clusterfuck

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 22, 2019, 04:27:36 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 22, 2019, 04:02:15 PM
Irrespective of who is responsible if there's a no deal Brexit the EU will insist on a border of sorts to prevent inferior goods flooding the EU common market from UK(NI).

At the same time the Brexiteers have always wanted to control immigration so you'd expect them to have some checks there as well.
Don't know enough about the WTO arrangements to know if they could insist on the UK controlling the very same border.

The WTO require the same checks at Aughnacloy as Dover, otherwise French goods would be disadvantaged compared to Irish ones.
I wouldn't worry about immigration, those checks will take place airports and ports. You could make some effort to spot HGVs on the border, but not people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 22, 2019, 05:59:31 PM
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/dyson-headquarters-brexit-uk-singapore-hq-move-hoover-vacuum-a8740996.html%3famp

The Rats that backed Brexit are jumping of the ship
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 10:03:24 AM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on January 22, 2019, 05:59:31 PM
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/dyson-headquarters-brexit-uk-singapore-hq-move-hoover-vacuum-a8740996.html%3famp

The Rats that backed Brexit are jumping of the ship

Dyson 2016: Let's leave, Britain!
Dyson 2019: Let's leave Britain!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 23, 2019, 11:07:48 AM
Looking more and more like something will be agreed . . . certainly the market thinks so with the sterling improving a lot in the last week.

Can they put some kind of time limit on the back stop that will allow the deal to squeak through??!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 23, 2019, 11:16:27 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 23, 2019, 11:07:48 AM
Looking more and more like something will be agreed . . . certainly the market thinks so with the sterling improving a lot in the last week.

Can they put some kind of time limit on the back stop that will allow the deal to squeak through??!

What??! that polish gombeen was put up to that by the brits, you'd be better not passing heed. As was said, a time limited backstop isn't a backstop, this will not be happening  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 23, 2019, 11:23:31 AM
If theres no deal they'll have no choice. Its still a border caused by brexit, ie by the british, no matter who is forced to maintain it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:26:32 AM
Is that not contrary to the Bi lateral good Friday agreement.  How will the rule of law go there?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 23, 2019, 11:27:52 AM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

Is that not in breach of the GFA. Read somewhere that May is looking to tweak the GFA in order to accommodate a no back stop deal can she do that. Regardless if a hard border comes this place is economically  fu.cked. The DUP gets their way
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 23, 2019, 11:37:37 AM
Hard border or else everything going from the 26 Cos to the EU will have to be checked/inspected at either Irish ports or Continental ones.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on January 23, 2019, 11:48:35 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 23, 2019, 11:37:37 AM
Hard border or else everything going from the 26 Cos to the EU will have to be checked/inspected at either Irish ports or Continental ones.
I would say this is more likely than the Irish Government enforcing a hard border. I think that would be a political catastrophe for FG, and undo all the goodwill Vadradkar and Coveney have gained, particularly in the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on January 23, 2019, 11:49:42 AM
Surely if Ireland was given special status to trade freely with both Uk and EU, since the Brits don't want NI to have it, that would solve all the border issues. Can't understand why Leo and Co haven't been pushing for this from Day1.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 23, 2019, 11:54:26 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on January 23, 2019, 11:49:42 AM
Surely if Ireland was given special status to trade freely with both Uk and EU, since the Brits DUP don't want NI to have it, that would solve all the border issues. Can't understand why Leo and Co haven't been pushing for this from Day1.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 23, 2019, 12:13:11 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on January 23, 2019, 11:48:35 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 23, 2019, 11:37:37 AM
Hard border or else everything going from the 26 Cos to the EU will have to be checked/inspected at either Irish ports or Continental ones.
I would say this is more likely than the Irish Government enforcing a hard border. I think that would be a political catastrophe for FG, and undo all the goodwill Vadradkar and Coveney have gained, particularly in the north.
the 26 are in the Single market so trade is fluid
Checking stuff leaving Ireland would be nuts and would increase costs
UK stuff will be checked in France . 6 day delays if each check takes 70 seconds
It would be absolute chaos.

No deal would collapse the NI economy especially if the headbangers decide to give the GBP 9bn as a tax cut to their buddies 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 01:07:12 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

What do you suggest that they do? Rejoin the UK?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on January 23, 2019, 02:18:48 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on January 23, 2019, 11:48:35 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 23, 2019, 11:37:37 AM
Hard border or else everything going from the 26 Cos to the EU will have to be checked/inspected at either Irish ports or Continental ones.
I would say this is more likely than the Irish Government enforcing a hard border. I think that would be a political catastrophe for FG, and undo all the goodwill Vadradkar and Coveney have gained, particularly in the north.

It would be a disaster. It essentially means Ireland would be part of Brexit, leaving the customs union!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 02:23:07 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 01:07:12 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

What do you suggest that they do? Rejoin the UK?

Could tell them to foff.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 03:32:58 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 02:23:07 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 01:07:12 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

What do you suggest that they do? Rejoin the UK?

Could tell them to foff.

So do a UK and tell the EU to foff and do an Irexit? Are you Sammy Wilson?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 23, 2019, 03:38:26 PM
If a hard Brexit happens and the NI economy collapses you could have refugees leaving NI
then loyalty to the UK would come under severe pressure
It's a pity Fearon is no longer with us
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 03:56:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 03:32:58 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 02:23:07 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 01:07:12 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

What do you suggest that they do? Rejoin the UK?

Could tell them to foff.

So do a UK and tell the EU to foff and do an Irexit? Are you Sammy Wilson?

An Irexit would require a referendum for people in the 26. No I'm not Sammy Wilson.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 23, 2019, 05:45:07 PM
Quote from: dec on January 22, 2019, 03:43:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 22, 2019, 03:22:29 PM
While EU diplomats have avoided discussing the subject, many privately admit the EU would have no choice but to require Ireland to enforce checks on trade to protect the common border of the single market.Mr Varadkar's spokesman said on Tuesday that retaining an open border "would require very difficult discussions with our EU partners". Working out suitable customs and trade arrangements compatible with our EU membership will require detailed discussion with the commission, while the UK will also need to live up to its responsibilities.

There are really two borders to consider. 1) UK restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the north and 2) EU/Irish restrictions on people and goods crossing in to the south.

Despite our desire to blame the Brits for everything, at least some of the "hard border" will come in to being because of the EU.

Talk about missing the point.  What absolute nonsense this is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 23, 2019, 05:50:53 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:26:32 AM
Is that not contrary to the Bi lateral good Friday agreement.  How will the rule of law go there?

Yes.  And this is the point that remainers have made from day 1.

Brexit without some sort of deal is absolutely incompatible with the GFA.

The brexiteers don't care about this though.  They want the backstop removed or time limited and want ROI/EU to trust that they will put a solution in place.  The EU are saying that they can't do that.  Which is unsurprising as the same brexiteers have said repeatedly that they would be willing to walk away from any and all agreements/promises they've previously made in a heartbeat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 23, 2019, 06:09:34 PM
The reality is the EU will require a border

It wont be too hard for the Free State government to place the blame on the Brits as it really is their doing.
Fine Gael's core supporters wont really care too much anyway but there would defo be an opportunity for Fianna Fail to exploit the erection of a hard border by FG at the behest of the EU tho it would be a risky enuff move.
More than likely they would try to exploit it by blaming the Brits for it more than FG will do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 06:18:43 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

Their backs must be sore. They've been bending over for decades to either the EU or the Brits. And that lot that's there at the moment especially, a shower of spineless b**tards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on January 23, 2019, 07:09:58 PM
There's a hard-line Brexiteers group that will still vote down May's deal even if backstop is removed. There's a bigger group that will go with the deal if the DUP are happy. And that should be enough to get it through.  But backstop wouldn't be in that deal. Not sure what happens then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 23, 2019, 07:26:55 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 06:18:43 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

Their backs must be sore. They've been bending over for decades to either the EU or the Brits. And that lot that's there at the moment especially, a shower of spineless b**tards.
Take your tablets and go back to your cave.
The world of International relations is not one of your strong points.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 23, 2019, 07:40:03 PM
Check this out

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-already-been-cancelled-heres-13896286
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 23, 2019, 08:58:25 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on January 23, 2019, 07:09:58 PM
There's a hard-line Brexiteers group that will still vote down May's deal even if backstop is removed. There's a bigger group that will go with the deal if the DUP are happy. And that should be enough to get it through.  But backstop wouldn't be in that deal. Not sure what happens then.

Yes but there were 9 remainers that voted against it, they're unlikely to come back on board and I would say there will take a few with them if the deal moves further towards "hard". Throw in the no deal Brexiteers of which there are 17 and you will have more than cancelled out the DUP and any better deal. Best case scenario with the whip exercised very sternly would probably leave them sitting around the 300 mark,...... which is just not enough.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 09:30:13 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 06:18:43 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

Their backs must be sore. They've been bending over for decades to either the EU or the Brits. And that lot that's there at the moment especially, a shower of spineless b**tards.

There is enough of this brainless sh|te in the Daily Telegraph, without seeing it on Gaaboard.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 23, 2019, 09:56:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 09:30:13 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 06:18:43 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

Their backs must be sore. They've been bending over for decades to either the EU or the Brits. And that lot that's there at the moment especially, a shower of spineless b**tards.

There is enough of this brainless sh|te in the Daily Telegraph, without seeing it on Gaaboard.

Ehhh? Have long your been on here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 10:09:51 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 23, 2019, 07:26:55 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 06:18:43 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

Their backs must be sore. They've been bending over for decades to either the EU or the Brits. And that lot that's there at the moment especially, a shower of spineless b**tards.
Take your tablets and go back to your cave.
The world of International relations is not one of your strong points.

International relations eh? Backing the brits over this supposed Russia poisoning? Enda arm in arm with warmongers in Paris? Bend over to the IMF, and sell off your natural resources. Cowardly f**kers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 23, 2019, 10:27:45 PM
UK media getting excited about the Brexiteers coming round to May's plan sans Backstop, struggling to see how this changes anything on the EU negotiating side?  ??? Is there a whiff of ROI being prepared to be threw under the bus?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: From the Bunker on January 23, 2019, 11:04:43 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 23, 2019, 10:27:45 PM
UK media getting excited about the Brexiteers coming round to May's plan sans Backstop, struggling to see how this changes anything on the EU negotiating side?  ??? Is there a whiff of ROI being prepared to be threw under the bus?

Thought that this morning. There has been a few rummagings from Europe that our Government seen uninformed about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blast05 on January 23, 2019, 11:15:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 23, 2019, 07:26:55 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 06:18:43 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

Their backs must be sore. They've been bending over for decades to either the EU or the Brits. And that lot that's there at the moment especially, a shower of spineless b**tards.
Take your tablets and go back to your cave.
The world of International relations is not one of your strong points.

Late to this thread....
So even if EU & Brits wanted a hard border and Irish government caved in, where, in economies on both sides of the border with near full employment, would you get the estimated 5,000 people who would be needed to man all border posts while knowing that the majority on both sides of the border don't want it and also knowing that there would be a lunatic fringe who would would do anything from take pot shots to bomb the border crossings ??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 23, 2019, 11:19:13 PM
They and the Brexiteers can get excited as they want they don't have a majority for it.
Its floggin a dead horse at this point, there was 9 remainer rebels last time around, even if every Brexiteer and the DUP had voted for it they would still have lost by 4 by my calculation. And that was for something that the EU havent even agreed to.

The only think that this exercise is doing is wasting time...... to the 29th of March and Jacob Rees Moog and co are well aware of that.

May is boxed in a corner, my guess is she is trying to demonstrate that a harder Brexit just does not have support as it could well split her party, before exploring the softer option. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 23, 2019, 11:48:24 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 23, 2019, 09:56:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 23, 2019, 09:30:13 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 06:18:43 PM
Quote from: Rudi on January 23, 2019, 11:22:08 AM
Irish will be asked to erect hard border by EU. Irish will bend over yet again and erect border.

Their backs must be sore. They've been bending over for decades to either the EU or the Brits. And that lot that's there at the moment especially, a shower of spineless b**tards.

There is enough of this brainless sh|te in the Daily Telegraph, without seeing it on Gaaboard.

Ehhh? Have long your been on here?
Hard to credit he or she hasn't visited a Tyrone thread or the US politics thread
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 11:58:41 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on January 23, 2019, 11:01:48 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 10:09:51 PMCowardly f**kers.

From someone posting under a pseudonym on an Internet message board.

Aye, and I noticed you didn't address my other points. Gobshite  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 24, 2019, 12:41:27 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 23, 2019, 09:56:35 PM
Ehhh? Have long your been on here?

I joined in 2002 when football started, of course. That's 1 BS on the Tyrone calendar.

Quote from: BennyCake on January 23, 2019, 11:58:41 PM

Aye, and I noticed you didn't address my other points. Gobshite  ::)

Probably when you make an actual point, he will.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 24, 2019, 09:28:24 AM
https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/hundreds-of-garda-to-patrol-border-if-no-deal-37743980.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 24, 2019, 10:06:05 AM
Drew Harris be delighted to police the border  >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 24, 2019, 10:15:09 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 24, 2019, 09:28:24 AM
https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/hundreds-of-garda-to-patrol-border-if-no-deal-37743980.html
"Meanwhile, more than 400 new customs staff will be in place on Brexit day as part of no-deal preparations as Ireland prepares for a sharp increase in customs requirements post-Brexit." That's a bolt from the blue. You'd have thought the Fine Gael spin machine would have been telling us about how they were able to enact this massive job creation bonus out of the post Brexit calamity.
Are these customs officials already in training, enrolled in secrecy in some location?  or will there be a quick weekend course, an abbreviated version of the customs officer course and then learn on the fly?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/23/dysons-move-shows-thatcherite-dream-free-market-brexit-dying/

Dyson's move shows that the Thatcherite dream of a free-market Brexit is dying
•   
Allister Heath
23 January 2019 • 9:00pm
•   
•   
•   
•   
Save



What was Sir James Dyson thinking? The decision by Britain's most successful pro-Brexit entrepreneur to choose such an inopportune moment to relocate the HQ of his eponymous empire to Singapore is a gift to the Remainer establishment.
Symbolism is what matters in politics: the fact that only two employees are moving, and that Dyson is continuing to invest vast amounts in the UK, will go unnoticed. His critics will only remember that he is engineering his very own Dysexit, and the Leavers now have one fewer entrepreneur at their disposal to make the bullish case for post-Brexit Britain.
Yet while the "optics" are bad – and Sir James maintains in our business pages that the move has nothing to do with Brexit – he is being ruthlessly consistent. The vision of Leave-supporting entrepreneurs like him came in two parts: a radical break with the EU, including single market regulations, and for the UK to rebuild its economy by encouraging wealth-creation.
Two-and-a-half years after the referendum, the chances of getting either are receding: under Theresa May's deal, even shorn of the backstop, we would remain subject to all kinds of heavy-handed rules. With the chances of a retro-socialist Jeremy Corbyn government also rising, Dyson must have felt compelled to take matters into his own hands.
He isn't leaving because he's changed his mind on the desirability of a real Brexit. He isn't leaving because his firm would be damaged: the impact of no deal would be trivial given the location of his markets and production facilities. He isn't relocating to the EU, or Norway: he isn't seeking to remain part of the single market, let alone the customs union. He is moving his HQ to Singapore, that low-tax, ultra competitive, pro-business city-state, the one place Remainers desperately say they don't want the UK to become.
Yes, Singapore recently signed a trade deal with the EU, and Dyson was already planning to build his electric car there. But it's ridiculously Eurocentric to obsess about one deal with the EU. Dyson will be selling cars all over the world from Singapore, and in some cases will face barriers. Yet the attractiveness of the country swamps everything else.
If they had any sense, the Tories would respond to Dyson's decision by concluding that we are not Brexiting in a radical enough way and that the chances of a Corbyn government are now too high to ignore. It is an indictment not of Brexit itself but of how it is being ruined by those entrusted with implementing it.
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Cannot Contact Server
RELOAD YOUR SCREEN OR TRY SELECTING A DIFFERENT VIDEO
I don't know of a single pro-Brexit business leader who is anything but despondent: they are aghast at Mrs May's dithering, at the amateurishness of her dealings with the EU, at her almost deliberate talking down of the economy. They can barely believe how the Treasury and other powerful Remain forces have failed to lay the grounds for no deal, how they have done nothing to cut taxes or to bolster competitiveness, how they still maintain that all of our regulations are perfect, and how a once in 50 year opportunity to engineer an economic renaissance is being squandered.
All are increasingly worried that we could be about to face a Corbyn government determined to confiscate swathes of corporate Britain, aided and abetted by rebel Tory MPs, the Government's betrayal of Brexit voters and its pathetic inability to make the case for capitalism. Yet none of these entrepreneurs has suddenly embraced Remain. They are bearish on the UK because their dream of a rejuvenated, free-trading Britain is dying, sabotaged by an establishment in denial about the need for Britain to adopt an economic model fit for a globalised world.
It is not just Brexiteers who believe the UK is becoming uncompetitive. Gopichand Hinduja, a Remainer whose family controls a £20.6 billion fortune, thinks taxes are driving people away. "There used to be a lot of ease of doing business," he says. "Now, with changes in tax – doms, non-doms – they have made so many complications that people don't even know what returns they have to file," he told the Sunday Telegraph. "I have found many of my rich friends – billionaires – have left London and become residents either in Dubai or Singapore or Lebanon." 
The tragic reality is that the free-market, low-tax Brexit backed by Thatcherites and libertarians no longer appears to be a likely outcome of the machinations of the next few weeks. If we do technically leave the EU, it will probably be through an adulterated variant of Mrs May's dour, pessimistic, useless deal, one that means we end up saddled with much of the EU's acquis communautaire. It will be a case of more managed decline, Eurozone-style. 
In her Bruges speech, Lady Thatcher grounded her opposition to political integration in her support for individual freedom, bottom-up decision-making and free-markets. "Just when those countries such as the Soviet Union, which have tried to run everything from the centre, are learning that success depends on dispersing power and decisions [...], there are some in the Community who seem to want to move in the opposite direction. We have not successfully rolled back the frontiers of the state in Britain, only to see them re-imposed at a European level."
These words launched a thousand Eurosceptic vessels: from that day on, most British free-marketeers became increasingly anti-EU; without that movement, the referendum would never have been called. If you want to know what could have been had the right people taken power after June 2016, rewatch Martin Durkin's brilliant Brexit: The Movie. The documentary was shared like a modern-day Samizdat prior to the referendum; it didn't mention immigration once yet made an extraordinarily powerful case for the kind of capitalist Brexit that Thatcherites always dreamt of.
Is it all over? Or could we still end up with a radically liberalising Brexit, one that repositions Britain as an entrepot economy specialising in trade, technology, finance and science, a high-skilled hub that attracts wealth and talent to the UK, a link between East and West that encourages the next generation of Dysons to relocate to our shores, rather than flee them? Yes, of course – but then again I do believe in miracles.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 24, 2019, 02:55:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/23/dysons-move-shows-thatcherite-dream-free-market-brexit-dying/

Dyson's move shows that the Thatcherite dream of a free-market Brexit is dying
•   
Allister Heath
23 January 2019 • 9:00pm
•   
•   
•   
•   
Save



What was Sir James Dyson thinking? The decision by Britain's most successful pro-Brexit entrepreneur to choose such an inopportune moment to relocate the HQ of his eponymous empire to Singapore is a gift to the Remainer establishment.
Symbolism is what matters in politics: the fact that only two employees are moving, and that Dyson is continuing to invest vast amounts in the UK, will go unnoticed. His critics will only remember that he is engineering his very own Dysexit, and the Leavers now have one fewer entrepreneur at their disposal to make the bullish case for post-Brexit Britain.
Yet while the "optics" are bad – and Sir James maintains in our business pages that the move has nothing to do with Brexit – he is being ruthlessly consistent. The vision of Leave-supporting entrepreneurs like him came in two parts: a radical break with the EU, including single market regulations, and for the UK to rebuild its economy by encouraging wealth-creation.
Two-and-a-half years after the referendum, the chances of getting either are receding: under Theresa May's deal, even shorn of the backstop, we would remain subject to all kinds of heavy-handed rules. With the chances of a retro-socialist Jeremy Corbyn government also rising, Dyson must have felt compelled to take matters into his own hands.
He isn't leaving because he's changed his mind on the desirability of a real Brexit. He isn't leaving because his firm would be damaged: the impact of no deal would be trivial given the location of his markets and production facilities. He isn't relocating to the EU, or Norway: he isn't seeking to remain part of the single market, let alone the customs union. He is moving his HQ to Singapore, that low-tax, ultra competitive, pro-business city-state, the one place Remainers desperately say they don't want the UK to become.
Yes, Singapore recently signed a trade deal with the EU, and Dyson was already planning to build his electric car there. But it's ridiculously Eurocentric to obsess about one deal with the EU. Dyson will be selling cars all over the world from Singapore, and in some cases will face barriers. Yet the attractiveness of the country swamps everything else.
If they had any sense, the Tories would respond to Dyson's decision by concluding that we are not Brexiting in a radical enough way and that the chances of a Corbyn government are now too high to ignore. It is an indictment not of Brexit itself but of how it is being ruined by those entrusted with implementing it.
NETWORK ERROR
Cannot Contact Server
RELOAD YOUR SCREEN OR TRY SELECTING A DIFFERENT VIDEO
I don't know of a single pro-Brexit business leader who is anything but despondent: they are aghast at Mrs May's dithering, at the amateurishness of her dealings with the EU, at her almost deliberate talking down of the economy. They can barely believe how the Treasury and other powerful Remain forces have failed to lay the grounds for no deal, how they have done nothing to cut taxes or to bolster competitiveness, how they still maintain that all of our regulations are perfect, and how a once in 50 year opportunity to engineer an economic renaissance is being squandered.
All are increasingly worried that we could be about to face a Corbyn government determined to confiscate swathes of corporate Britain, aided and abetted by rebel Tory MPs, the Government's betrayal of Brexit voters and its pathetic inability to make the case for capitalism. Yet none of these entrepreneurs has suddenly embraced Remain. They are bearish on the UK because their dream of a rejuvenated, free-trading Britain is dying, sabotaged by an establishment in denial about the need for Britain to adopt an economic model fit for a globalised world.
It is not just Brexiteers who believe the UK is becoming uncompetitive. Gopichand Hinduja, a Remainer whose family controls a £20.6 billion fortune, thinks taxes are driving people away. "There used to be a lot of ease of doing business," he says. "Now, with changes in tax – doms, non-doms – they have made so many complications that people don't even know what returns they have to file," he told the Sunday Telegraph. "I have found many of my rich friends – billionaires – have left London and become residents either in Dubai or Singapore or Lebanon." 
The tragic reality is that the free-market, low-tax Brexit backed by Thatcherites and libertarians no longer appears to be a likely outcome of the machinations of the next few weeks. If we do technically leave the EU, it will probably be through an adulterated variant of Mrs May's dour, pessimistic, useless deal, one that means we end up saddled with much of the EU's acquis communautaire. It will be a case of more managed decline, Eurozone-style. 
In her Bruges speech, Lady Thatcher grounded her opposition to political integration in her support for individual freedom, bottom-up decision-making and free-markets. "Just when those countries such as the Soviet Union, which have tried to run everything from the centre, are learning that success depends on dispersing power and decisions [...], there are some in the Community who seem to want to move in the opposite direction. We have not successfully rolled back the frontiers of the state in Britain, only to see them re-imposed at a European level."
These words launched a thousand Eurosceptic vessels: from that day on, most British free-marketeers became increasingly anti-EU; without that movement, the referendum would never have been called. If you want to know what could have been had the right people taken power after June 2016, rewatch Martin Durkin's brilliant Brexit: The Movie. The documentary was shared like a modern-day Samizdat prior to the referendum; it didn't mention immigration once yet made an extraordinarily powerful case for the kind of capitalist Brexit that Thatcherites always dreamt of.
Is it all over? Or could we still end up with a radically liberalising Brexit, one that repositions Britain as an entrepot economy specialising in trade, technology, finance and science, a high-skilled hub that attracts wealth and talent to the UK, a link between East and West that encourages the next generation of Dysons to relocate to our shores, rather than flee them? Yes, of course – but then again I do believe in miracles.
That article unwittingly shows why Fintan O'Toole's thesis on Brexit being a giant project of imagined victimhood and a fantasy longing for a return to the days of empire is spot on. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: manfromdelmonte on January 24, 2019, 02:59:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/23/dysons-move-shows-thatcherite-dream-free-market-brexit-dying/

Dyson's move shows that the Thatcherite dream of a free-market Brexit is dying
•   
Allister Heath
23 January 2019 • 9:00pm
•   
•   
•   
•   
Save



What was Sir James Dyson thinking? The decision by Britain's most successful pro-Brexit entrepreneur to choose such an inopportune moment to relocate the HQ of his eponymous empire to Singapore is a gift to the Remainer establishment.
Symbolism is what matters in politics: the fact that only two employees are moving, and that Dyson is continuing to invest vast amounts in the UK, will go unnoticed. His critics will only remember that he is engineering his very own Dysexit, and the Leavers now have one fewer entrepreneur at their disposal to make the bullish case for post-Brexit Britain.
Yet while the "optics" are bad – and Sir James maintains in our business pages that the move has nothing to do with Brexit – he is being ruthlessly consistent. The vision of Leave-supporting entrepreneurs like him came in two parts: a radical break with the EU, including single market regulations, and for the UK to rebuild its economy by encouraging wealth-creation.
Two-and-a-half years after the referendum, the chances of getting either are receding: under Theresa May's deal, even shorn of the backstop, we would remain subject to all kinds of heavy-handed rules. With the chances of a retro-socialist Jeremy Corbyn government also rising, Dyson must have felt compelled to take matters into his own hands.
He isn't leaving because he's changed his mind on the desirability of a real Brexit. He isn't leaving because his firm would be damaged: the impact of no deal would be trivial given the location of his markets and production facilities. He isn't relocating to the EU, or Norway: he isn't seeking to remain part of the single market, let alone the customs union. He is moving his HQ to Singapore, that low-tax, ultra competitive, pro-business city-state, the one place Remainers desperately say they don't want the UK to become.
Yes, Singapore recently signed a trade deal with the EU, and Dyson was already planning to build his electric car there. But it's ridiculously Eurocentric to obsess about one deal with the EU. Dyson will be selling cars all over the world from Singapore, and in some cases will face barriers. Yet the attractiveness of the country swamps everything else.
If they had any sense, the Tories would respond to Dyson's decision by concluding that we are not Brexiting in a radical enough way and that the chances of a Corbyn government are now too high to ignore. It is an indictment not of Brexit itself but of how it is being ruined by those entrusted with implementing it.
NETWORK ERROR
Cannot Contact Server
RELOAD YOUR SCREEN OR TRY SELECTING A DIFFERENT VIDEO
I don't know of a single pro-Brexit business leader who is anything but despondent: they are aghast at Mrs May's dithering, at the amateurishness of her dealings with the EU, at her almost deliberate talking down of the economy. They can barely believe how the Treasury and other powerful Remain forces have failed to lay the grounds for no deal, how they have done nothing to cut taxes or to bolster competitiveness, how they still maintain that all of our regulations are perfect, and how a once in 50 year opportunity to engineer an economic renaissance is being squandered.
All are increasingly worried that we could be about to face a Corbyn government determined to confiscate swathes of corporate Britain, aided and abetted by rebel Tory MPs, the Government's betrayal of Brexit voters and its pathetic inability to make the case for capitalism. Yet none of these entrepreneurs has suddenly embraced Remain. They are bearish on the UK because their dream of a rejuvenated, free-trading Britain is dying, sabotaged by an establishment in denial about the need for Britain to adopt an economic model fit for a globalised world.
It is not just Brexiteers who believe the UK is becoming uncompetitive. Gopichand Hinduja, a Remainer whose family controls a £20.6 billion fortune, thinks taxes are driving people away. "There used to be a lot of ease of doing business," he says. "Now, with changes in tax – doms, non-doms – they have made so many complications that people don't even know what returns they have to file," he told the Sunday Telegraph. "I have found many of my rich friends – billionaires – have left London and become residents either in Dubai or Singapore or Lebanon." 
The tragic reality is that the free-market, low-tax Brexit backed by Thatcherites and libertarians no longer appears to be a likely outcome of the machinations of the next few weeks. If we do technically leave the EU, it will probably be through an adulterated variant of Mrs May's dour, pessimistic, useless deal, one that means we end up saddled with much of the EU's acquis communautaire. It will be a case of more managed decline, Eurozone-style. 
In her Bruges speech, Lady Thatcher grounded her opposition to political integration in her support for individual freedom, bottom-up decision-making and free-markets. "Just when those countries such as the Soviet Union, which have tried to run everything from the centre, are learning that success depends on dispersing power and decisions [...], there are some in the Community who seem to want to move in the opposite direction. We have not successfully rolled back the frontiers of the state in Britain, only to see them re-imposed at a European level."
These words launched a thousand Eurosceptic vessels: from that day on, most British free-marketeers became increasingly anti-EU; without that movement, the referendum would never have been called. If you want to know what could have been had the right people taken power after June 2016, rewatch Martin Durkin's brilliant Brexit: The Movie. The documentary was shared like a modern-day Samizdat prior to the referendum; it didn't mention immigration once yet made an extraordinarily powerful case for the kind of capitalist Brexit that Thatcherites always dreamt of.
Is it all over? Or could we still end up with a radically liberalising Brexit, one that repositions Britain as an entrepot economy specialising in trade, technology, finance and science, a high-skilled hub that attracts wealth and talent to the UK, a link between East and West that encourages the next generation of Dysons to relocate to our shores, rather than flee them? Yes, of course – but then again I do believe in miracles.
that is completely laughable
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2019, 03:08:47 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on January 24, 2019, 02:59:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/23/dysons-move-shows-thatcherite-dream-free-market-brexit-dying/

Dyson's move shows that the Thatcherite dream of a free-market Brexit is dying
•   
Allister Heath
23 January 2019 • 9:00pm
•   
•   
•   
•   
Save



What was Sir James Dyson thinking? The decision by Britain's most successful pro-Brexit entrepreneur to choose such an inopportune moment to relocate the HQ of his eponymous empire to Singapore is a gift to the Remainer establishment.
Symbolism is what matters in politics: the fact that only two employees are moving, and that Dyson is continuing to invest vast amounts in the UK, will go unnoticed. His critics will only remember that he is engineering his very own Dysexit, and the Leavers now have one fewer entrepreneur at their disposal to make the bullish case for post-Brexit Britain.
Yet while the "optics" are bad – and Sir James maintains in our business pages that the move has nothing to do with Brexit – he is being ruthlessly consistent. The vision of Leave-supporting entrepreneurs like him came in two parts: a radical break with the EU, including single market regulations, and for the UK to rebuild its economy by encouraging wealth-creation.
Two-and-a-half years after the referendum, the chances of getting either are receding: under Theresa May's deal, even shorn of the backstop, we would remain subject to all kinds of heavy-handed rules. With the chances of a retro-socialist Jeremy Corbyn government also rising, Dyson must have felt compelled to take matters into his own hands.
He isn't leaving because he's changed his mind on the desirability of a real Brexit. He isn't leaving because his firm would be damaged: the impact of no deal would be trivial given the location of his markets and production facilities. He isn't relocating to the EU, or Norway: he isn't seeking to remain part of the single market, let alone the customs union. He is moving his HQ to Singapore, that low-tax, ultra competitive, pro-business city-state, the one place Remainers desperately say they don't want the UK to become.
Yes, Singapore recently signed a trade deal with the EU, and Dyson was already planning to build his electric car there. But it's ridiculously Eurocentric to obsess about one deal with the EU. Dyson will be selling cars all over the world from Singapore, and in some cases will face barriers. Yet the attractiveness of the country swamps everything else.
If they had any sense, the Tories would respond to Dyson's decision by concluding that we are not Brexiting in a radical enough way and that the chances of a Corbyn government are now too high to ignore. It is an indictment not of Brexit itself but of how it is being ruined by those entrusted with implementing it.
NETWORK ERROR
Cannot Contact Server
RELOAD YOUR SCREEN OR TRY SELECTING A DIFFERENT VIDEO
I don't know of a single pro-Brexit business leader who is anything but despondent: they are aghast at Mrs May's dithering, at the amateurishness of her dealings with the EU, at her almost deliberate talking down of the economy. They can barely believe how the Treasury and other powerful Remain forces have failed to lay the grounds for no deal, how they have done nothing to cut taxes or to bolster competitiveness, how they still maintain that all of our regulations are perfect, and how a once in 50 year opportunity to engineer an economic renaissance is being squandered.
All are increasingly worried that we could be about to face a Corbyn government determined to confiscate swathes of corporate Britain, aided and abetted by rebel Tory MPs, the Government's betrayal of Brexit voters and its pathetic inability to make the case for capitalism. Yet none of these entrepreneurs has suddenly embraced Remain. They are bearish on the UK because their dream of a rejuvenated, free-trading Britain is dying, sabotaged by an establishment in denial about the need for Britain to adopt an economic model fit for a globalised world.
It is not just Brexiteers who believe the UK is becoming uncompetitive. Gopichand Hinduja, a Remainer whose family controls a £20.6 billion fortune, thinks taxes are driving people away. "There used to be a lot of ease of doing business," he says. "Now, with changes in tax – doms, non-doms – they have made so many complications that people don't even know what returns they have to file," he told the Sunday Telegraph. "I have found many of my rich friends – billionaires – have left London and become residents either in Dubai or Singapore or Lebanon." 
The tragic reality is that the free-market, low-tax Brexit backed by Thatcherites and libertarians no longer appears to be a likely outcome of the machinations of the next few weeks. If we do technically leave the EU, it will probably be through an adulterated variant of Mrs May's dour, pessimistic, useless deal, one that means we end up saddled with much of the EU's acquis communautaire. It will be a case of more managed decline, Eurozone-style. 
In her Bruges speech, Lady Thatcher grounded her opposition to political integration in her support for individual freedom, bottom-up decision-making and free-markets. "Just when those countries such as the Soviet Union, which have tried to run everything from the centre, are learning that success depends on dispersing power and decisions [...], there are some in the Community who seem to want to move in the opposite direction. We have not successfully rolled back the frontiers of the state in Britain, only to see them re-imposed at a European level."
These words launched a thousand Eurosceptic vessels: from that day on, most British free-marketeers became increasingly anti-EU; without that movement, the referendum would never have been called. If you want to know what could have been had the right people taken power after June 2016, rewatch Martin Durkin's brilliant Brexit: The Movie. The documentary was shared like a modern-day Samizdat prior to the referendum; it didn't mention immigration once yet made an extraordinarily powerful case for the kind of capitalist Brexit that Thatcherites always dreamt of.
Is it all over? Or could we still end up with a radically liberalising Brexit, one that repositions Britain as an entrepot economy specialising in trade, technology, finance and science, a high-skilled hub that attracts wealth and talent to the UK, a link between East and West that encourages the next generation of Dysons to relocate to our shores, rather than flee them? Yes, of course – but then again I do believe in miracles.
that is completely laughable
No deal was about driving down wages by stripping out social protection, pensions, slashing taxes by killing the NHS and generating huge profits. Now the dream has died so Dyson fucked off to Singapore. That Telegraph article is quite significant imo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 24, 2019, 03:12:12 PM
Dyson moving, Rees-Mogg moving his fund management company to Dublin for post Brexit reasons,You've had John Redwood advising investors to avoid the UK, Nigel Lawson going for French residency and Nigel Farage applying for German citizenship through his wife. True Brexit believers, all of them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 24, 2019, 03:33:35 PM
Could today be finally the day when the whole momentum started moving slowly to Remain? Nicola Sturgeon last night lambasted Teresa May again over her intransigence and desire to pander to her party right-wing. On C4 news the night before last, all Welsh politicans (save UKIPpers) and farming leaders all but admitted voting Leave was a ghastly mistake, the implications of which are now becoming all too clear. Today Union leaders' pleas for May to delay / change Brexit have fallen on deaf ears. The Airbus CEO has spoken this morning of the catastrophe a no-deal would have for their jobs and progress.

At what point does the snowball become an avalanche?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 24, 2019, 03:38:30 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 03:33:35 PM
Could today be finally the day when the whole momentum started moving slowly to Remain? Nicola Sturgeon last night lambasted Teresa May again over her intransigence and desire to pander to her party right-wing. On C4 news the night before last, all Welsh politicans (save UKIPpers) and farming leaders all but admitted voting Leave was a ghastly mistake, the implications of which are now becoming all too clear. Today Union leaders' pleas for May to delay / change Brexit have fallen on deaf ears. The Airbus CEO has spoken this morning of the catastrophe a no-deal would have for their jobs and progress.

At what point does the snowball become an avalanche?

Project fear blah blah blah.

Britain will rule the waves once more.

(https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSjmpOE_4Af-WsSAgerZ8c_5LnuBQGqzWBzZJT80w6EKsqrMJef9A)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2019, 03:39:29 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 03:33:35 PM
Could today be finally the day when the whole momentum started moving slowly to Remain? Nicola Sturgeon last night lambasted Teresa May again over her intransigence and desire to pander to her party right-wing. On C4 news the night before last, all Welsh politicans (save UKIPpers) and farming leaders all but admitted voting Leave was a ghastly mistake, the implications of which are now becoming all too clear. Today Union leaders' pleas for May to delay / change Brexit have fallen on deaf ears. The Airbus CEO has spoken this morning of the catastrophe a no-deal would have for their jobs and progress.

At what point does the snowball become an avalanche?
The Telegraph threw in the towel on no deal as well
The economic projections of Project Fear have materialised too
Patisserie Valerie was owned by a prominent headbanger and has collapsed 

Brexit is a very long way from the 1988 county final.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on January 24, 2019, 04:46:02 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 03:33:35 PM
Could today be finally the day when the whole momentum started moving slowly to Remain? Nicola Sturgeon last night lambasted Teresa May again over her intransigence and desire to pander to her party right-wing. On C4 news the night before last, all Welsh politicans (save UKIPpers) and farming leaders all but admitted voting Leave was a ghastly mistake, the implications of which are now becoming all too clear. Today Union leaders' pleas for May to delay / change Brexit have fallen on deaf ears. The Airbus CEO has spoken this morning of the catastrophe a no-deal would have for their jobs and progress.

At what point does the snowball become an avalanche?

Nicola Sturgeon and the news on C4 are regarded in a similar light by brexiteers. They will not be passing any remarks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on January 24, 2019, 07:48:49 PM
The hope is Yvette Cooper's amendment to delay Art 50 and thus Brexit. I think that will pass In Westminster and as a poster said here, it's priced-in already in the fx markets - so no-deal not expected. The silence from Mrs May is deafening, she has given up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 24, 2019, 08:06:41 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.

And Welsh. Again, on C4 news this evening, a father of an Airbus worker said he voted 'Leave' and would do so again. "I didn't vote for my son" he said. Nothing short of flabbergasting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 24, 2019, 09:41:20 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 08:06:41 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.

And Welsh. Again, on C4 news this evening, a father of an Airbus worker said he voted 'Leave' and would do so again. "I didn't vote for my son" he said. Nothing short of flabbergasting.
And then there was a woman who was offended at the EU TELLING!!! her to eat a certain type of banana.

She sounded English, though.

Anybody for a packet of prawn cocktail crisps?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on January 24, 2019, 10:08:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 08:06:41 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.

And Welsh. Again, on C4 news this evening, a father of an Airbus worker said he voted 'Leave' and would do so again. "I didn't vote for my son" he said. Nothing short of flabbergasting.

It's flabbergasting but it's nothing new that people are fooled into voting directly against their interests. It's just getting worse as the liars get better and better at gulling the gullible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on January 24, 2019, 10:17:18 PM
Quote from: Hardy on January 24, 2019, 10:08:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 08:06:41 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.

And Welsh. Again, on C4 news this evening, a father of an Airbus worker said he voted 'Leave' and would do so again. "I didn't vote for my son" he said. Nothing short of flabbergasting.

It's flabbergasting but it's nothing new that people are fooled into voting directly against their interests. It's just getting worse as the liars get better and better at gulling the gullible.

What ever is promoted on the front of the red top rags is what will get voted for by a high number of people who have not got the brains to think for themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on January 24, 2019, 10:36:14 PM
Quote from: Hardy on January 24, 2019, 10:08:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 08:06:41 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.

And Welsh. Again, on C4 news this evening, a father of an Airbus worker said he voted 'Leave' and would do so again. "I didn't vote for my son" he said. Nothing short of flabbergasting.

It's flabbergasting but it's nothing new that people are fooled into voting directly against their interests. It's just getting worse as the liars get better and better at gulling the gullible.
"Marketplace of ideas"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 24, 2019, 10:47:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2019, 03:08:47 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on January 24, 2019, 02:59:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 24, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/23/dysons-move-shows-thatcherite-dream-free-market-brexit-dying/

Dyson's move shows that the Thatcherite dream of a free-market Brexit is dying
•   
Allister Heath
23 January 2019 • 9:00pm
•   
•   
•   
•   
Save



What was Sir James Dyson thinking? The decision by Britain's most successful pro-Brexit entrepreneur to choose such an inopportune moment to relocate the HQ of his eponymous empire to Singapore is a gift to the Remainer establishment.
Symbolism is what matters in politics: the fact that only two employees are moving, and that Dyson is continuing to invest vast amounts in the UK, will go unnoticed. His critics will only remember that he is engineering his very own Dysexit, and the Leavers now have one fewer entrepreneur at their disposal to make the bullish case for post-Brexit Britain.
Yet while the "optics" are bad – and Sir James maintains in our business pages that the move has nothing to do with Brexit – he is being ruthlessly consistent. The vision of Leave-supporting entrepreneurs like him came in two parts: a radical break with the EU, including single market regulations, and for the UK to rebuild its economy by encouraging wealth-creation.
Two-and-a-half years after the referendum, the chances of getting either are receding: under Theresa May's deal, even shorn of the backstop, we would remain subject to all kinds of heavy-handed rules. With the chances of a retro-socialist Jeremy Corbyn government also rising, Dyson must have felt compelled to take matters into his own hands.
He isn't leaving because he's changed his mind on the desirability of a real Brexit. He isn't leaving because his firm would be damaged: the impact of no deal would be trivial given the location of his markets and production facilities. He isn't relocating to the EU, or Norway: he isn't seeking to remain part of the single market, let alone the customs union. He is moving his HQ to Singapore, that low-tax, ultra competitive, pro-business city-state, the one place Remainers desperately say they don't want the UK to become.
Yes, Singapore recently signed a trade deal with the EU, and Dyson was already planning to build his electric car there. But it's ridiculously Eurocentric to obsess about one deal with the EU. Dyson will be selling cars all over the world from Singapore, and in some cases will face barriers. Yet the attractiveness of the country swamps everything else.
If they had any sense, the Tories would respond to Dyson's decision by concluding that we are not Brexiting in a radical enough way and that the chances of a Corbyn government are now too high to ignore. It is an indictment not of Brexit itself but of how it is being ruined by those entrusted with implementing it.
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I don't know of a single pro-Brexit business leader who is anything but despondent: they are aghast at Mrs May's dithering, at the amateurishness of her dealings with the EU, at her almost deliberate talking down of the economy. They can barely believe how the Treasury and other powerful Remain forces have failed to lay the grounds for no deal, how they have done nothing to cut taxes or to bolster competitiveness, how they still maintain that all of our regulations are perfect, and how a once in 50 year opportunity to engineer an economic renaissance is being squandered.
All are increasingly worried that we could be about to face a Corbyn government determined to confiscate swathes of corporate Britain, aided and abetted by rebel Tory MPs, the Government's betrayal of Brexit voters and its pathetic inability to make the case for capitalism. Yet none of these entrepreneurs has suddenly embraced Remain. They are bearish on the UK because their dream of a rejuvenated, free-trading Britain is dying, sabotaged by an establishment in denial about the need for Britain to adopt an economic model fit for a globalised world.
It is not just Brexiteers who believe the UK is becoming uncompetitive. Gopichand Hinduja, a Remainer whose family controls a £20.6 billion fortune, thinks taxes are driving people away. "There used to be a lot of ease of doing business," he says. "Now, with changes in tax – doms, non-doms – they have made so many complications that people don't even know what returns they have to file," he told the Sunday Telegraph. "I have found many of my rich friends – billionaires – have left London and become residents either in Dubai or Singapore or Lebanon." 
The tragic reality is that the free-market, low-tax Brexit backed by Thatcherites and libertarians no longer appears to be a likely outcome of the machinations of the next few weeks. If we do technically leave the EU, it will probably be through an adulterated variant of Mrs May's dour, pessimistic, useless deal, one that means we end up saddled with much of the EU's acquis communautaire. It will be a case of more managed decline, Eurozone-style. 
In her Bruges speech, Lady Thatcher grounded her opposition to political integration in her support for individual freedom, bottom-up decision-making and free-markets. "Just when those countries such as the Soviet Union, which have tried to run everything from the centre, are learning that success depends on dispersing power and decisions [...], there are some in the Community who seem to want to move in the opposite direction. We have not successfully rolled back the frontiers of the state in Britain, only to see them re-imposed at a European level."
These words launched a thousand Eurosceptic vessels: from that day on, most British free-marketeers became increasingly anti-EU; without that movement, the referendum would never have been called. If you want to know what could have been had the right people taken power after June 2016, rewatch Martin Durkin's brilliant Brexit: The Movie. The documentary was shared like a modern-day Samizdat prior to the referendum; it didn't mention immigration once yet made an extraordinarily powerful case for the kind of capitalist Brexit that Thatcherites always dreamt of.
Is it all over? Or could we still end up with a radically liberalising Brexit, one that repositions Britain as an entrepot economy specialising in trade, technology, finance and science, a high-skilled hub that attracts wealth and talent to the UK, a link between East and West that encourages the next generation of Dysons to relocate to our shores, rather than flee them? Yes, of course – but then again I do believe in miracles.
that is completely laughable
No deal was about driving down wages by stripping out social protection, pensions, slashing taxes by killing the NHS and generating huge profits. Now the dream has died so Dyson fucked off to Singapore. That Telegraph article is quite significant imo

But then it was written by an expert so who are you to say he was wrong?
Seems like the Brits want to peruse the low corp-tax economy that the South has, you'd hardly begrudge them that now would ye?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 24, 2019, 11:20:28 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 24, 2019, 10:47:15 PM
But then it was written by an expert so who are you to say he was wrong?
Seems like the Brits want to peruse the low corp-tax economy that the South has, you'd hardly begrudge them that now would ye?

The Brexiteers do not want an economy like the south, they want low tax, no welfare, no standards. They know what they want, but do the yobs that voted for Brexit want this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on January 24, 2019, 11:23:25 PM
Quote from: GJL on January 24, 2019, 10:17:18 PM
Quote from: Hardy on January 24, 2019, 10:08:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 08:06:41 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.

And Welsh. Again, on C4 news this evening, a father of an Airbus worker said he voted 'Leave' and would do so again. "I didn't vote for my son" he said. Nothing short of flabbergasting.

It's flabbergasting but it's nothing new that people are fooled into voting directly against their interests. It's just getting worse as the liars get better and better at gulling the gullible.

What ever is promoted on the front of the red top rags is what will get voted for by a high number of people who have not got the brains to think for themselves.

Sectarian voting isn't any better. Voting for a party that doesn't have to lift a finger because they know they can rely on their own to vote them in again and again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 25, 2019, 02:35:55 AM
Quote from: Hardy on January 24, 2019, 10:08:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 08:06:41 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.

And Welsh. Again, on C4 news this evening, a father of an Airbus worker said he voted 'Leave' and would do so again. "I didn't vote for my son" he said. Nothing short of flabbergasting.

It's flabbergasting but it's nothing new that people are fooled into voting directly against their interests. It's just getting worse as the liars get better and better at gulling the gullible.


https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/brexit-theresa-may-leave-voters-remain-eu-referendum-campaign-deal-a8740526.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 25, 2019, 06:31:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 25, 2019, 02:35:55 AM
Quote from: Hardy on January 24, 2019, 10:08:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 24, 2019, 08:06:41 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 24, 2019, 04:41:48 PM
Unfortunately, it'll take much more hard evidence battering the head of the average - thick as a 6" block... laid across the footing - english voter for much longer than is possible to get it into their unbelievably dense skulls, that maybe, just maybe, leaving the EU and allowing the clowns at Westminster to negotiate deals with the rest of the world while deliberately moving away from the* most wealthy trading block on the planet at their doorstep is not a good idea.


*if its not the most wealthy, its the 2nd most wealthy to China.

And Welsh. Again, on C4 news this evening, a father of an Airbus worker said he voted 'Leave' and would do so again. "I didn't vote for my son" he said. Nothing short of flabbergasting.

It's flabbergasting but it's nothing new that people are fooled into voting directly against their interests. It's just getting worse as the liars get better and better at gulling the gullible.


https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/brexit-theresa-may-leave-voters-remain-eu-referendum-campaign-deal-a8740526.html

In fairness that could apply to a lot of the politicians as well.
Electorate wise, NI is probably the worst for this blind ignorant voting.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 25, 2019, 12:27:32 PM
So after 400 odd pages is it fair to say that Brexit is a vehicle that expresses the ignorance of the electorate and maybe it's just history repeating itself.

"Elections belong to the people. It's their decision. If they decide to turn their back on the fire and burn their behinds, then they will just have to sit on their blisters." Abraham Lincoln


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on January 25, 2019, 12:59:07 PM
Channel 4 news and BBC both have broken down brexit terms for people to understand what they mean on their websites.

But people weren't thick when they voted at the referendum, they knew what they were voting for?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 25, 2019, 01:05:24 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on January 25, 2019, 12:59:07 PMBut people weren't thick when they voted at the referendum, they knew what they were voting for?

People are thick. They still don't have the slightest clue of the fallout of what they are voting for.

Right now - on 30th March - everything just stops when it gets to a border between UK and EU (and by extension, many other places too).

There are no arrangements, there are no staff to facilitate any arrangements, any staff that are recruited between now and then to man the border posts won't have a clue about the arrangements because they won't begin to be decided on till 11:59 the previous night.

Are there tariffs? Are they paid at the border or can they be paid via invoice? How much are the tariffs? Can people accompany the goods?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on January 25, 2019, 01:22:11 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 25, 2019, 01:05:24 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on January 25, 2019, 12:59:07 PMBut people weren't thick when they voted at the referendum, they knew what they were voting for?

People are thick. They still don't have the slightest clue of the fallout of what they are voting for.

Right now - on 30th March - everything just stops when it gets to a border between UK and EU (and by extension, many other places too).

There are no arrangements, there are no staff to facilitate any arrangements, any staff that are recruited between now and then to man the border posts won't have a clue about the arrangements because they won't begin to be decided on till 11:59 the previous night.

Are there tariffs? Are they paid at the border or can they be paid via invoice? How much are the tariffs? Can people accompany the goods?

Exactly, have to laugh at the "we'll just work under WTO rules won't We" not a notion as to how much has to be imported for manufacturing to produce something to sell. Tariffs to be added twice on some parts, as sub assembly and a finished product.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 25, 2019, 01:34:55 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on January 25, 2019, 12:59:07 PM
Channel 4 news and BBC both have broken down brexit terms for people to understand what they mean on their websites.

But people weren't thick when they voted at the referendum, they knew what they were voting for?

Safe to say a fair few were voting against EU shaped bananas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 25, 2019, 01:36:29 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on January 25, 2019, 01:22:11 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 25, 2019, 01:05:24 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on January 25, 2019, 12:59:07 PMBut people weren't thick when they voted at the referendum, they knew what they were voting for?

People are thick. They still don't have the slightest clue of the fallout of what they are voting for.

Right now - on 30th March - everything just stops when it gets to a border between UK and EU (and by extension, many other places too).

There are no arrangements, there are no staff to facilitate any arrangements, any staff that are recruited between now and then to man the border posts won't have a clue about the arrangements because they won't begin to be decided on till 11:59 the previous night.

Are there tariffs? Are they paid at the border or can they be paid via invoice? How much are the tariffs? Can people accompany the goods?

Exactly, have to laugh at the "we'll just work under WTO rules won't We" not a notion as to how much has to be imported for manufacturing to produce something to sell. Tariffs to be added twice on some parts, as sub assembly and a finished product.

The UK could chose to go tariff free under WTO, but then their home producers would be decimated;

https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-what-are-the-options-for-the-irish-border-after-brexit (https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-what-are-the-options-for-the-irish-border-after-brexit)


Hard line Brexiteers really need to be pushing for a UI to get their way.   ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on January 25, 2019, 03:02:07 PM
 Any time a Brexiter says 'WTO' have a little laugh and show them this. (https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/james-dellingpole-rinsed-after-stuttering-through-bbc-interview-talking-brexit-1-5866045)

And, if you want to be really cruel, this. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5DIz9UTmMQk)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 25, 2019, 04:30:47 PM
Oh jesus that first one was brutal those 3 on This Week gutted him like a fish . . . my favourite bit is when he says "President Trump has already told us we'll get a fantastic deal"

Jesus wept!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on January 26, 2019, 11:21:05 AM
Has Arlene ever made it through a tv soundbite without smirking?

Is it a facial tick?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 26, 2019, 02:13:03 PM
Quote from: Hardy on January 25, 2019, 03:02:07 PM
And, if you want to be really cruel, this. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5DIz9UTmMQk)

So... my interpretation of that is that things will quickly become so, so, so bad - that we really could see a border poll and United Ireland within the next 2 or 3 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on January 26, 2019, 09:10:50 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/26/john-humphrys-suggests-ireland-could-quit-eu-and-join-uk

Unbelievable....the arrogance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 27, 2019, 07:27:53 AM
Quote from: tyroneman on January 26, 2019, 09:10:50 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/26/john-humphrys-suggests-ireland-could-quit-eu-and-join-uk

Unbelievable....the arrogance.

Goes to show ye how far their delusions have went down the rabbit hole.

I got a few comments like this from yanks who dont really know any better (but really should!), which after a minute or two of laughing I jump down the rabbit hole with them for the craic.....

Suggesting that its a great idea and along with that sugar cane plantations in Jamacia could be established, coffee plantations in Kenya, rubber in Malaysia and tea in India all run by a new company with a royal charter that has it own private army and navy that can act with impunity against any other country that stands in the way of their and Britian's economic interests. Im sure they could find some work for those fellas in Africa too at a few of these locations.

Its about time it was said to the Brits in public. I think Barnier is the man for the job! Tho the French do have similar delusions about their empire as the Brits
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 27, 2019, 08:17:19 AM
Quote from: tyroneman on January 26, 2019, 09:10:50 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/26/john-humphrys-suggests-ireland-could-quit-eu-and-join-uk

Unbelievable....the arrogance.
A journalist asks the question which is part of the leave argument and no matter how stupid the question is he asks it sounding as if he means it. The answer just further exposed the stupidity of the question.  Do you think Humphrys actually believes that Ireland should dump the EU and throw in their lot with the UK?.
But yeah in general the condescending and hectoring method of interviewing is repetitive and tiresome however it's not just confined to the BBC.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on January 27, 2019, 09:06:30 AM
Quote from: Main Street on January 27, 2019, 08:17:19 AM
Quote from: tyroneman on January 26, 2019, 09:10:50 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/26/john-humphrys-suggests-ireland-could-quit-eu-and-join-uk

Unbelievable....the arrogance.
A journalist asks the question which is part of the leave argument and no matter how stupid the question is he asks it sounding as if he means it. The answer just further exposed the stupidity of the question.  Do you think Humphrys actually believes that Ireland should dump the EU and throw in their lot with the UK?.
But yeah in general the condescending and hectoring method of interviewing is repetitive and tiresome however it's not just confined to the BBC.

Sorry....when has Ireland joining the UK ever been part of the leave argument?

Even the North was roundly ignored until the British were told by the EU that it was actually a significant issue.

As for Humpries..he's a well known Brexiteer....did he not refer to a people's vote as 'ludicrous'...called the EU 'arrogant', asked the Swedish ambassador if he would end up speaking German, said on air "We are becoming a colony... what we're doing is kow-towing to Brussels even before they've made any demands... we're giving away everything,".....and played loose in this interview with the facts facts about the Brexit vote .....real impartial....so yeah...on balance my opinion is that he really does believe the tripe he was coming out with.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 27, 2019, 05:49:57 PM
Quote from: tyroneman on January 27, 2019, 09:06:30 AM
Quote from: Main Street on January 27, 2019, 08:17:19 AM
Quote from: tyroneman on January 26, 2019, 09:10:50 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/26/john-humphrys-suggests-ireland-could-quit-eu-and-join-uk

Unbelievable....the arrogance.
A journalist asks the question which is part of the leave argument and no matter how stupid the question is he asks it sounding as if he means it. The answer just further exposed the stupidity of the question.  Do you think Humphrys actually believes that Ireland should dump the EU and throw in their lot with the UK?.
But yeah in general the condescending and hectoring method of interviewing is repetitive and tiresome however it's not just confined to the BBC.

Sorry....when has Ireland joining the UK ever been part of the leave argument?

Even the North was roundly ignored until the British were told by the EU that it was actually a significant issue.

As for Humpries..he's a well known Brexiteer....did he not refer to a people's vote as 'ludicrous'...called the EU 'arrogant', asked the Swedish ambassador if he would end up speaking German, said on air "We are becoming a colony... what we're doing is kow-towing to Brussels even before they've made any demands... we're giving away everything,".....and played loose in this interview with the facts facts about the Brexit vote .....real impartial....so yeah...on balance my opinion is that he really does believe the tripe he was coming out with.
There's some truth in what you write, but probably unlike yourself I listen to R4 quite a bit and don't have to scoop random quotes from the internet to support an opinion. I also know someone who worked on the today team at R4 for years and reports that he is an obsessive domineering perfectionist, a pain in the ass to the nth degree. I haven't noticed a fawning tone from him towards brexiteers. I haven't known Humphrys to be anything but a rude, hectoring, condescending cxnt when interviewing anybody involved in politics and he's quite liable to spout a nonsense insulting question.
All quite different from his scripted journalism,  a current affairs commentary which is reasonably intelligent and impartial.  So no, I very much doubt he really believes Ireland could consider leaving the EU to throw in their lot with the UK in order to cement North South future relationship.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on January 27, 2019, 09:05:04 PM
Quote from: Main Street on January 27, 2019, 05:49:57 PM
Quote from: tyroneman on January 27, 2019, 09:06:30 AM
Quote from: Main Street on January 27, 2019, 08:17:19 AM
Quote from: tyroneman on January 26, 2019, 09:10:50 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/26/john-humphrys-suggests-ireland-could-quit-eu-and-join-uk

Unbelievable....the arrogance.
A journalist asks the question which is part of the leave argument and no matter how stupid the question is he asks it sounding as if he means it. The answer just further exposed the stupidity of the question.  Do you think Humphrys actually believes that Ireland should dump the EU and throw in their lot with the UK?.
But yeah in general the condescending and hectoring method of interviewing is repetitive and tiresome however it's not just confined to the BBC.

Sorry....when has Ireland joining the UK ever been part of the leave argument?

Even the North was roundly ignored until the British were told by the EU that it was actually a significant issue.

As for Humpries..he's a well known Brexiteer....did he not refer to a people's vote as 'ludicrous'...called the EU 'arrogant', asked the Swedish ambassador if he would end up speaking German, said on air "We are becoming a colony... what we're doing is kow-towing to Brussels even before they've made any demands... we're giving away everything,".....and played loose in this interview with the facts facts about the Brexit vote .....real impartial....so yeah...on balance my opinion is that he really does believe the tripe he was coming out with.
There's some truth in what you write, but probably unlike yourself I listen to R4 quite a bit and don't have to scoop random quotes from the internet to support an opinion. I also know someone who worked on the today team at R4 for years and reports that he is an obsessive domineering perfectionist, a pain in the ass to the nth degree. I haven't noticed a fawning tone from him towards brexiteers. I haven't known Humphrys to be anything but a rude, hectoring, condescending cxnt when interviewing anybody involved in politics and he's quite liable to spout a nonsense insulting question.
All quite different from his scripted journalism,  a current affairs commentary which is reasonably intelligent and impartial.  So no, I very much doubt he really believes Ireland could consider leaving the EU to throw in their lot with the UK in order to cement North South future relationship.
[/quote



Didn't know listening to R4 'quite a bit' qualified anyone to be a towering intellectual, you live and learn.

Us mortals will just have to keep on making do with using examples to support the point being made. 

Some amount of hubris.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on January 29, 2019, 12:25:01 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47034701

So back to the EU to renegotiate and try and remove the backstop!(putting a time limit on it or any of the other fixes amounts to the same thing).
     No doubt tremendous pressure will be put to bear on Ireland to accept some sort of a fudge. In fairness Simon Coveney and Leo Varadaker have stated there can be no agreement without the backstop in ots present form. As have Junker and the eu negotiators along with most of the EU heads of nations(apart from Poland's recent input).
       You do get that sick feeling though that historically in the grand scheme of things, that the bigger countries/economies will always come up with a solution that suits them best, even if a smaller country like Ireland gets shafted.
         
       
   
       
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on January 29, 2019, 08:41:39 AM
Quote from: Main Street on January 27, 2019, 08:17:19 AM
Quote from: tyroneman on January 26, 2019, 09:10:50 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/26/john-humphrys-suggests-ireland-could-quit-eu-and-join-uk

Unbelievable....the arrogance.
A journalist asks the question which is part of the leave argument and no matter how stupid the question is he asks it sounding as if he means it. The answer just further exposed the stupidity of the question.  Do you think Humphrys actually believes that Ireland should dump the EU and throw in their lot with the UK?.
But yeah in general the condescending and hectoring method of interviewing is repetitive and tiresome however it's not just confined to the BBC.
There'd be a significant segment of the SME sector in Ireland who would be better off dumping the EU and keeping the close ties and no trade barriers with the UK. Not enough to make it better for the country as a whole of course, but I've heard IBEC say we should at least have the conversation.

Post Brexit, we're losing our best ally in the EU. There was never any chance of us being railroaded into EU tax harmonisation while the UK was at the table. With them going, there's already increased talk of Tax being decided by Qualified Majority voting rather than unanimity. If we're forced to impose CCCTB, then we definitely need to have a discussion about Irexit.

Now hopefully it won't get anywhere near that. But, with our closest ally gone, we need to build better relationships with other countries, the Scandis perhaps, to avoid France-Germany imposing their will.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 29, 2019, 08:51:49 AM
Quote from: grounded on January 29, 2019, 12:25:01 AM
You do get that sick feeling though that historically in the grand scheme of things, that the bigger countries/economies will always come up with a solution that suits them best, even if a smaller country like Ireland gets shafted.

The optics of that for every country in the EU (bar maybe France, Holland and Germany) are terrible. I would doubt they will want to tread far down that path.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 29, 2019, 08:52:14 AM
There is this idea that Ireland might get shafted to placate the UK and that may be true. But so far there's been no indication that the EU will do that. They been very consistent on the Irish backstop. Few other points, while the EU has economic powerhouses like Germany and France it is made up of lots of other smaller nations. They won't want to see the UK getting a preferential deal. The UK are leaving as Cameron promised a renegotiation and then an in out referendum. His renegotiation was a failure as the EU wouldn't give more concessions to the UK and as a result the UK choose to leave. The EU have form here.
But we'll see. 59 days to go I think...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on January 29, 2019, 09:15:09 AM
Quote from: trailer on January 29, 2019, 08:52:14 AM
There is this idea that Ireland might get shafted to placate the UK and that may be true. But so far there's been no indication that the EU will do that. They been very consistent on the Irish backstop. Few other points, while the EU has economic powerhouses like Germany and France it is made up of lots of other smaller nations. They won't want to see the UK getting a preferential deal. The UK are leaving as Cameron promised a renegotiation and then an in out referendum. His renegotiation was a failure as the EU wouldn't give more concessions to the UK and as a result the UK choose to leave. The EU have form here.
But we'll see. 59 days to go I think...
All moot now, but in my opinion, that was one of the biggest lies of the Brexiteers and was so badly defended by Cameron in the Brexit referendum, that it has now almost become stated as a fact that he got no concessions. In my opinion, he did really well in his negotiations, all he failed to do was educate the people about what he got!

Here's what he got:

- An acknowledgement, to be incorporated into the Treaties, that the United Kingdom is not committed to further political integration into the European Union.
- Newly arrived EU migrants are banned from claiming jobseeker's allowance for three months.
- If EU migrants fail to find a job within six months they will be required to leave.
- A limit to the access of newly arriving EU workers to non-contributory in-work benefits for a total period of up to four years from the commencement of employment.
- A limit on the amount of child benefit a migrant worker can send back to his home country
- Guarantees that countries outside the eurozone will not be required to fund euro bailouts and will be reimbursed for central EU funds used to prop up the euro. 
- Agreement for the UK to take "necessary restrictive measures" against individuals deemed to represent "a genuine and serious threat" to public safety, even if they do not pose an "imminent" threat to security. Taking a suspect's "past conduct" into account could be sufficient grounds to act.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 29, 2019, 09:30:36 AM
Brexit is even worse than it looked in 2016

40 https://www.ft.com/content/29a7964c-3953-11e6-9a05-82a9b15a8ee7
The UK and, to a lesser degree, the EU are now at the beginning of an extended period of uncertainty. The Conservatives will have new leadership. Whether they will manage to produce a coherent government is another matter. They then will have to do what Brexiters failed to do during their mendacious campaign — map out a plan for unravelling the UK's connections with the EU. They broke it; they now own it. But, alas, it seems unlikely that there is any plan on which Brexiters can agree.This will probably consume the energies of that government and its successors over many years. It will also involve making some huge decisions. One point seems evident: it is now politically inevitable that the UK will have to bring in controls over immigration from the EU. That rules out what might at first glance seem the best option: membership of the European Economic Area, which would permit membership of the single market. At best, the UK might participate in a free trade area in goods. But the services, on which it depends, would be excluded from the single market.
41 the view that, beyond a lengthy period of transition, the UK will be poorer than it would otherwise have been is overwhelmingly probable. The UK did well inside the EU. It is unlikely to do as well outside it. Yet economics are just a part of what matters. The UK's decision to join the EU was taken for sound reasons. Its decision to leave was not. It is a choice to turn its back on the great effort to heal Europe's historical divisions. This is, for me, among the saddest of hours.
42 You can cite perhaps half-a-dozen explanations as to why the once-phlegmatic British voted against their own economic interests by quitting the EU. British exceptionalism, migration, a scandalously duplicitous Leave campaign, stagnant incomes and post-crash austerity are all on the list. But the thread through it all was deep disgruntlement with a political and economic system that is seen as rigged against the hard-working classes.  Friends and allies will have little sympathy. After surviving the twin crises centred on the euro and migration, Germany's Angela Merkel and France's François Hollande will not thank Britain for adding a third. Perfidious Albion has always been an awkward partner, but the Union will be weaker for the departure of such an important state.

43 Capitalism needed saving, but in bailing out the financial institutions with taxpayers' money, governments transferred the stresses from markets to politics. A return to economic growth would relieve some of the pressure. Europe in particular must understand just how politically corrosive slavish devotion to fiscal targets has become. But the politicians also must confront the excesses. If they want to save liberal democracy, they will have to reform capitalism.

44 "Markets are struggling with the incalculable and far-reaching implications of 'Brexit' for European capital flows, echoing the similar uncertainty that led to broad asset dislocation seen during the Lehman and Greece crises," said Lena Komileva at G+ Economics.
"The Brexit vote will have deep structural and financial implications for the UK and European economies, with global spillover effects."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 29, 2019, 03:51:02 PM

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   https://www.ft.com/content/509a033c-271f-36c9-ad34-b04e3728a9fc

   Corbyn: The fault lies with the prime minister

rThe fault for not achieving a satisfactory deal lies with Mrs May, says Mr Corbyn. She missed her own deadline to have a deal agreed by October. She suffered the worst defeat by any government in British history. There is then some wrangling over Parliamentary procedure and a number of interventions and points of order, which take some time.Kate Allen an hour agoCorbyn:

Give Parliament time

Labour's amendment calls for Parliament to be given sufficient time to find the best Brexit, Mr Corbyn says. It is clear that this country is not ready to leave on 29 March. Even if the prime minister's deal attained a majority next month, there is no time for primary and secondary legislation including over 600 statutory instruments to clear the House before 29 March.

Protecting jobs and industries requires a customs union, Mr Corbyn says.

Kate Allen an hour agoCorbyn: We cannot wish away Leavers' votesJeremy Corbyn is now responding to Mrs May. He says it is right that MPs should decide the way forward in delivering the referendum result. But MPs must seek to unite people, not to stoke xenophobia and stoke racial divisions. Many communities have been neglected for too long, he says. These are not issues that face Britain alone; they would be recognisable across the world. So the first duty we have is to block a disastrous no-deal and I hope the amendments to that effect will be carried this evening, he says.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 29, 2019, 08:45:48 PM
Not a good night in the Commons. Cooper's motion defeated, Brady's carried. Brussels won't give her anything more. Talks of Remainers caving in to Brexiteers. Moving inexorably towards no-deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 29, 2019, 08:48:06 PM
Brady passes! by 16 votes  :o but...... so does Spelman ???

So what Parliament have said is.... No to a no deal and Yes to a deal without the backstop

Wasn't really expecting that..... looks like the DUP are about to get their way. Except....the EU are going to tell them to go f**k themselves

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 29, 2019, 09:00:57 PM
Incompetence is everywhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 29, 2019, 09:01:56 PM
So presumably TM goes to Brussels and says ' we want the Backstop removed" and  she's told to eff off .
Then what?
I presume they hope some of the 27 break ranks ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on January 29, 2019, 09:09:48 PM
Thing is the Brady amendment was open ended. It said "alternative arrangements"

Those alternative arrangements could be anything including staying in the customs union  ::) which is what Theresa will be told when she goes back to Brussels

That's how it managed to get the votes but it doesnt mean anything other than a delaying tactic and to show Tory unity.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on January 29, 2019, 09:27:50 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on January 29, 2019, 09:09:48 PM
Thing is the Brady amendment was open ended. It said "alternative arrangements"

Those alternative arrangements could be anything including staying in the customs union  ::) which is what Theresa will be told when she goes back to Brussels

That's how it managed to get the votes but it doesnt mean anything other than a delaying tactic and to show Tory unity.

The ERG want the hardest possible brexit. They are playing May and the electorate by pretending they will get behind a deal if there are changes to the backstop. They are just delaying and hoping we crash out with no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 29, 2019, 10:31:55 PM
Ireland to get shafted by the Tories and the DUP... will end up being a no deal or no back stop with Europe to bend!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 29, 2019, 11:09:29 PM
Theresa May must be among the most rudderless leaders in British political history, she effectively ripped up her own previously negotiated agreement tonight and is prepared to dice with the GFA in order to appease the Brexiteers and the DUP. Spineless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 29, 2019, 11:15:35 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on January 29, 2019, 11:09:29 PM
Theresa May must be among the most rudderless leaders in British political history, she effectively ripped up her own previously negotiated agreement tonight and is prepared to dice with the GFA in order to appease the Brexiteers and the DUP. Spineless.

Chamberlain surely has to be the most spineless, May a close second
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 09:23:12 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 29, 2019, 08:45:48 PM
Not a good night in the Commons. Cooper's motion defeated, Brady's carried. Brussels won't give her anything more. Talks of Remainers caving in to Brexiteers. Moving inexorably towards no-deal.

FT

"A separate amendment by the former Tory minister Dominic Grieve, designed to give MPs the opportunity to back different Brexit options, was rejected by 321 votes to 301. However, another amendment by former Conservative minister Caroline Spelman criticising a no-deal Brexit was approved by 318 votes to 310.

And Galway beat Cavan

The pro Remain crowd will get a vote mid Feb to decide whether or not to extend Article 50

"If the EU continues to hold out against reopening the 585-page treaty, Mrs May will come under pressure from pro-EU MPs in mid-February to stop the clock and seek an extension to the Article 50 divorce process.
Mrs May announced that if she cannot reach a deal with the EU by February 13 — an extremely ambitious timetable — she would allow MPs another vote on the Brexit progress. That is seen as "high noon" for those Tories who want to rule out a no-deal exit"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 30, 2019, 09:26:08 AM
As has ben obvious all along the DUP could not give one shit about peace and May illustrates she couldn't care less about here.

Imagine they had to renegotiate the GFA with the DUP? What a farce that would be. If they had their way then there'd never have been peace in the first place.

Therealdonald it's very hard to know where to even start with your comments. No one wants the knuckle dragging ways of the past that you do bar an idiotic few.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 09:32:29 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jan/29/after-two-years-of-no-progress-whatsoever-bring-on-plan-c-minus
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 09:36:50 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 30, 2019, 09:26:08 AM
As has ben obvious all along the DUP could not give one shit about peace and May illustrates she couldn't care less about here.

Imagine they had to renegotiate the GFA with the DUP? What a farce that would be. If they had their way then there'd never have been peace in the first place.

Therealdonald it's very hard to know where to even start with your comments. No one wants the knuckle dragging ways of the past that you do bar an idiotic few.



The DUP are insane.
When all of this is over people will remember things like "let them go to the chippy"
It's even worse than Paisley because they are holding the UK to ransom


@GuitarMoog

They also forget that the reason it is UK-wide is because May requested it was that rather than NI-only, as she wrongly thought it would placate the DUP and BritNat Tories. Many of EU27 preferred NI-only as they thought it was UK getting Future Relationship concessions easil

Caroline Lucas

@CarolineLucas
"Let them go to the chippy instead" - DUP MPs muttering behind me when @IanBlackfordMP mentioned food prices rising after No Deal #Brexit.

Harry Cole

@MrHarryCole

A senior Cabinet Minister dances through on the way to the voting lobbies... with a playful song to the hacks: "vote, vote whoever you may be, vote vote vote with the DUP"

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/may-must-exploit-chaos-in-brussels-and-dublin-to-get-better-brexit-deal-dups-wilson-37756560.html

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-foster-s-delight-at-the-saving-of-bombardier-jobs-has-turned-to-indifference-1.3773613?mode=amp
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on January 30, 2019, 09:56:41 AM
This whole sorry episode just reinforces what we already know about the British government. They do not care about the majority of people in the north and I suppose we don't really care for them. The problem is we still pay a portion of our hard earned money to them, and for what. I would love to be able to stop paying my taxes tomorrow as why should we pay for any of this.
The DUP must have been given some major assurances by the Tories as they really are acting the big time charlies, acting the way they are.
I would say they have got the following
- no border poll being called
- No DUP member's will face any further action over RHI
- No Language act
- Projects that they want money for will get priority
- All OO marches will be accommodated by the police

I do think us Nationalist are gona be royally screwed and there nothing we can do about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 30, 2019, 10:08:16 AM
I am not sure a few of those things would fly. They do look to be getting away with RHI mind you and would never budge on the language act courtesy of the loyalist paramilitaries.

The OO marches all getting through would cause major problems. Even the tories would know you can't move catholics towards having equal rights and then take them away. It really would be very problematic.

I don't think we'll be any mroe screwed than we ever were to be honest.

I am still waiting for things to blow up on the DUP. I think they have to at some point.

Seafoid we have known about the DUP for years. Swings tied up on sundays, GAA clubs fighting for basic funding from councils when marches get everything and the list goes on. It has never mattered to them before and is unlikely to know. It is just a bit more out in the public domain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on January 30, 2019, 10:57:28 AM
I well remember the last time a weak Tory government was propped up by unionists and still have the scars. 1996, we got the shit kicked out of us to 'accommodate' an orange parade. The DUP would gladly love it to happen again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 11:09:16 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on January 30, 2019, 09:56:41 AM
This whole sorry episode just reinforces what we already know about the British government. They do not care about the majority of people in the north and I suppose we don't really care for them. The problem is we still pay a portion of our hard earned money to them, and for what. I would love to be able to stop paying my taxes tomorrow as why should we pay for any of this.
The DUP must have been given some major assurances by the Tories as they really are acting the big time charlies, acting the way they are.
I would say they have got the following
- no border poll being called
- No DUP member's will face any further action over RHI
- No Language act
- Projects that they want money for will get priority
- All OO marches will be accommodated by the police

I do think us Nationalist are gona be royally screwed and there nothing we can do about it.
I don't think the DUP realise what they are doing
They are drunk on power and they are provincial gobshites mostly . Sammy Wilson knows nothing about the state of the UK economy
They are like FF in 2008 except even worse

Plus NI didn't vote Leave. It voted Remain
And Nationalists are half of the population
So it is a long way from 1996
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 30, 2019, 12:04:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 11:09:16 AM
They are drunk on power and they are provincial gobshites mostly . Sammy Wilson knows nothing about the state of the UK economy

Willson was a teacher of economics and on the A level economic examination board, he is pretty well aware of the basic principles of the UK economy, even if he chooses to lie about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 30, 2019, 12:11:44 PM
Found this on the comments of Robert Pestons feed, thought it was good;

"Anyone still banging on about the benefits of a no deal is either very rich or very stupid. Check your wallet to find out which one you are."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 12:16:42 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 30, 2019, 12:04:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 11:09:16 AM
They are drunk on power and they are provincial gobshites mostly . Sammy Wilson knows nothing about the state of the UK economy

Willson was a teacher of economics and on the A level economic examination board, he is pretty well aware of the basic principles of the UK economy, even if he chooses to lie about it.

The UK economy is stagnant and basically fucked. It does not have the margins for No deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 30, 2019, 02:09:01 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/0130/1026462-brexit-european-investment-bank/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 30, 2019, 02:13:57 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 30, 2019, 12:11:44 PM
Found this on the comments of Robert Pestons feed, thought it was good;

"Anyone still banging on about the benefits of a no deal is either very rich or very stupid. Check your wallet to find out which one you are."

It really does beggar belief. What we have is a small selection of rich pricks who will be rich ,no matter what, in charge of the economic future of the population. The tories are what the tories are so you would expect it but Labour have been pathetic in this whole escapade and the whole "rule britannia" crap just shows you how stupid people can be. The people in charge of this can't lose - it's the suckers who vote for them that will be the losers. The people in Britain voting tories are the same as the people here voting DUP. They don't understand that not one shit could they give about them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 30, 2019, 07:17:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 30, 2019, 12:04:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 11:09:16 AM
They are drunk on power and they are provincial gobshites mostly . Sammy Wilson knows nothing about the state of the UK economy

Willson was a teacher of economics and on the A level economic examination board, he is pretty well aware of the basic principles of the UK economy, even if he chooses to lie about it.

It's doubtful that he'd be aware of the basic principles of anything too complicated, let alone an economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 30, 2019, 09:54:35 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 30, 2019, 07:17:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 30, 2019, 12:04:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 30, 2019, 11:09:16 AM
They are drunk on power and they are provincial gobshites mostly . Sammy Wilson knows nothing about the state of the UK economy

Willson was a teacher of economics and on the A level economic examination board, he is pretty well aware of the basic principles of the UK economy, even if he chooses to lie about it.

It's doubtful that he'd be aware of the basic principles of anything too complicated, let alone an economy.

You give  him too much credit. Like the Healy-Raes he puts on the gobdaw but he is spinning lies to his gullible electorate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 30, 2019, 10:28:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 30, 2019, 02:13:57 PM
but Labour have been pathetic in this whole escapade and the whole "rule britannia" crap just shows you how stupid people can be.

To be fair - most of the dumb f**kers have voted Labour and have voted for Brexit.

So what do their representatives do? Represent their views or go against their wishes and do what is good for them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 31, 2019, 09:58:00 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on January 30, 2019, 10:28:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 30, 2019, 02:13:57 PM
but Labour have been pathetic in this whole escapade and the whole "rule britannia" crap just shows you how stupid people can be.

To be fair - most of the dumb f**kers have voted Labour and have voted for Brexit.

So what do their representatives do? Represent their views or go against their wishes and do what is good for them?

Sometimes you have to be a responsible parent and do what's best for your child, even if they don't want it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 31, 2019, 10:47:51 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 31, 2019, 09:58:00 AM
Sometimes you have to be a responsible parent and do what's best for your child, even if they don't want it.

Aside from leaving them to get voted out at the next election - a representative democracy that doesn't represent the people's wishes sits uncomfortably with me.


If we are going to go down the line of having suitably qualified and experienced professionals/intellectuals run things (ignoring the desires of the - subject matter ignorant - masses) - that is fine - but 90%+ of the current MPs I would not consider suitably qualified, or experienced, or intelligent enough for the role.

Representative democracy that represents - or a proper Meritocracy. Not some bastardized version.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on January 31, 2019, 10:55:43 AM
I think that goes for politicians as a whole.

From my experience the vast majority are so arrogant and more worryingly under-qualified!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 31, 2019, 02:39:56 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/4ddadd04-24a0-11e9-8ce6-5db4543da632

   The EU cannot rescue Britain from Brexit chaos
      
      
               May's government has shown it can no longer be counted as a trusted partner
      
         Philip Stephens

I had intended to address a slightly sheepish plea to Britain's European partners. Even at this late hour, the EU27 should show forbearance with the Brexit shenanigans at Westminster. The prize of an amicable parting of the ways — or, in the best case, a change of heart in a second referendum — was worth it. My shaky resolve collapsed after Theresa May's latest swerve. The EU could now be forgiven for simply throwing Britain overboard.

The prime minister's embrace of her party's hardline Brexiters was breathtaking in its cynicism. Only weeks ago she was immovable about the arrangements in the EU withdrawal agreement for the border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic. Now she promises to try to rewrite them to suit the prejudices of her party. What of the Belfast Agreement, the treaty underpinning peace on the island of Ireland? It ranks second, it seems, to appeasement of Brexiters such as Boris Johnson and Jacob Rees-Mogg.


The mandate the prime minister claims to have secured to rewrite the Irish "backstop" is worthless and incredible. Worthless because all the other options for the Irish border have been exhaustively explored, and discarded, during the Article 50 negotiations. Incredible because the hardliners who backed her this week do not want an agreement. Supporting Mrs May now was a diversion. The real strategy is to run down the clock all the way to a no-deal Brexit.From the moment she replaced David Cameron in Downing Street, Mrs May faced a choice about Britain's departure from the EU. She could prioritise the unity of Conservatives by bowing to the theological fundamentalism of the party's English nationalist wing. Or she could try to build a wider, cross-party coalition around a softer version of Brexit.From the setting of her first "red lines" she preferred the former course. The latest Faustian pact was a logical destination. Party counts before country. Whatever the consequences for the nation, Mrs May is set on leaving the EU by March 29. "My duty", she calls this. The messianic tone has led some senior cabinet members to conclude she would rather let Britain fall out in a disorderly Brexit than have history say she split the Tories.

Britain's European partners are neither blind nor stupid. Watching the antics in the House of Commons, they know well that winning a single vote with a slender majority of 16 has not given the prime minister anything resembling a sustainable negotiating mandate. The support of the hardliners will be withdrawn as and when it suits them. In the meantime, Berlin, Paris, Brussels and the rest are being asked to abandon the Irish government and to gamble with peace — all in the cause of guaranteeing for Mrs May the votes in parliament of the Democratic Unionist party and preserving Tory unity. The prime minister bridles at the charge that she is careless of peace. But her stance bears no other interpretation. For its part, the DUP was the only big political grouping in Northern Ireland to oppose the Belfast Agreement.What must be doubly maddening for the EU negotiators is the assumption among so many Tory MPs that the Irish arrangements were designed permanently to lock Britain into a close trading relationship. Nothing could be more removed from the truth. Governments across the EU fear the backstop, were it ever to be implemented, would give Britain an unfair advantage — unique access to the European market without any responsibilities. The EU27 would be as eager as any Brexiter to ensure such a regime was short-lived. Doubtless, even now, there are adjustments that could be made to make it easier for a trusted political partner in London to win parliamentary support for the withdrawal agreement. Brussels officials are looking at ways to emphasise the EU's intention, if it can, to avoid the backstop. Michel Barnier, the EU's chief negotiator, should do what he can.

The British government, though, can no longer be counted as a trusted partner. If the latest mix of deception and delusion has shown anything, it is that there really is nothing that its European partners can do to save Britain from the crash-out course set by Mrs May. The brakes can be applied only by the nation's own politicians.The House of Commons has voted against a disorderly Brexit. But it is has refused thus far to arm itself with the means to enforce its decision. Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader, has been as capricious in his manoeuvrings as Mrs May. He boasts that Brexit is an irrelevance. His political destiny is to "build socialism". This leaves a swath of pro-European MPs running across the Tory/Labour divide — between them a basis for majority but one detached from the party leaders. The Tory MP Dominic Grieve and Labour's Yvette Cooper have been brave in defying the party line. They have equally courageous allies, but so far not enough of them.The dynamic could change. This could start with a binding motion calling for a delay to the timetable. The second step could be a series of votes to explore options for a softer Brexit. My hunch is that the faster the clock ticks the more likely it is that Britain will tumble into an unintended election. A second referendum could follow. But Mrs May must first be stopped.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 31, 2019, 09:10:11 PM
I see good old Jacob Rees Mogg is in town tonight for a DUP dinner. Hope the small talk between courses doesn't stray on to the topic of religion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on January 31, 2019, 09:16:29 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 31, 2019, 09:10:11 PM
I see good old Jacob Rees Mogg is in town tonight for a DUP dinner. Hope the small talk between courses doesn't stray on to the topic of religion.

That's like 1690 views meeting the 1890's look.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on January 31, 2019, 09:28:16 PM
He is known as the "honourable member for the 18th century" but even that would be a bit too trendy & modern for the antediluvians of the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 31, 2019, 10:05:57 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 31, 2019, 09:10:11 PM
I see good old Jacob Rees Mogg is in town tonight for a DUP dinner. Hope the small talk between courses doesn't stray on to the topic of religion.

Fish and chips dinner?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 31, 2019, 11:47:12 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 31, 2019, 09:10:11 PM
I see good old Jacob Rees Mogg is in town tonight for a DUP dinner. Hope the small talk between courses doesn't stray on to the topic of religion.
The DUPUDA obviously don't know he's a Taig ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on February 01, 2019, 08:45:45 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 31, 2019, 10:05:57 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 31, 2019, 09:10:11 PM
I see good old Jacob Rees Mogg is in town tonight for a DUP dinner. Hope the small talk between courses doesn't stray on to the topic of religion.

Fish and chips dinner?

Apparently he sent the cod back & asked Sammy W for lobster & caviar instead.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on February 01, 2019, 08:47:08 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 31, 2019, 11:47:12 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 31, 2019, 09:10:11 PM
I see good old Jacob Rees Mogg is in town tonight for a DUP dinner. Hope the small talk between courses doesn't stray on to the topic of religion.
The DUPUDA obviously don't know he's a Taig ::)

If they do, he will be going back to Westminster in a Belfast City Council wheely bin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2019, 08:56:54 AM
Senior hurling

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/noel-whelan-may-u-turn-reinforces-need-for-backstop-1.3777708


Noel Whelan: May U-turn reinforces need for backstop

Ireland now knows that the British prime minister is not to be trusted

Theresa May's deal is suddenly not her deal any more. This week the British prime minister with whom Ireland and 26 other countries negotiated, in good faith, an agreement for the UK to withdraw from the European Union disowned that deal.

She did this even though she had spent the best of part two years negotiating it, had persuaded her cabinet to support it despite ministerial resignations, had proposed it to parliament and had argued for it repeatedly.

Her actions represent an extraordinary breach of constitutional and diplomatic norms. Usually government leaders negotiate with other countries until they feel they have secured the best deal possible.

Then they bring this negotiated outcome to their parliaments for ratification. If they fail to secure parliamentary endorsement they resign.
"When historians get to look back at the fuller picture, they are likely to commend Varadkar, Coveney and their colleagues for their extraordinary restraint
May has simply ignored the centuries of logic behind those precedents. When her deal was rejected she carried on regardless. Now in order to survive and create a veneer of unity in the Conservative Party she has executed a massive U-turn.

Her actions were disingenuous. She stood at the Westminster dispatch box and promised to renegotiate with Brussels on the backstop even though previously she had repeatedly told parliament the EU would not alter the legal text.  She didn't tell parliament that European Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker had reiterated this to her over the phone a couple of hours earlier.

Diplomatic insult

The scale of her diplomatic insult to Ireland also needs to be appreciated. Having expressly abandoned the text of the agreement May then whipped her own parliamentarians to vote for a strategy which specifically targets that aspect of the deal which is of most importance to Ireland. It's a strategy pointedly designed to maximise pressure on Ireland.

In so doing she has given free rein to those Brexiteers and Conservative cheerleaders who wish to frame Ireland as being responsible for Europe's refusal to give them Brexit on their fanciful terms. More dangerously, May has contravened the spirit of the last treaty the British government negotiated with this country, the Belfast Agreement, and in so doing has imperilled our peace.

"When she chose to leave herself beholden to those of the minority opinion on Brexit in Northern Ireland we knew it couldn't end well
There was an understandable edge to Tánaiste Simon Coveney's tone when he responded to May's U-turn on radio on Wednesday. One had a sense of great anger unexpressed.
Many in the media here in Ireland have been busy microanalysing the public utterances of Taoiseach Leo Varadkar and his Ministers in recent weeks seeking to generate a narrative about gaffes or mixed messaging.
When, in the future, historians get to look back at the fuller picture, however, they are likely to commend Varadkar, Coveney and their colleagues for the extraordinary restraint they have shown in the face of intense British provocation, especially this week.
For centuries the suggestion that "you can't trust the British" has been a stereotypical view in Ireland nationalism. Over the last three decades much has been done to displace this presumption.

This has included the work of Tony Blair on the Belfast Agreement, the work of John Major on the Downing Street Declaration, and the work done even earlier by Margaret Thatcher and her officials on the Anglo-Irish Agreement. All their work is now endangered.

Warning signs

Ireland now knows that May is not to be trusted. In fairness, there were warning signs. They go right back to that rushed summit with Enda Kenny in late January 2017 when a jet-lagged May came to Dublin, after high-profile visits to the new president of United States and then to Turkey.
As I wrote then, it had all the hallmarks of a round of consultative photo calls before the Westminster parliament debated the Brexit Bill later that week.
More importantly there was her decision to enter a confidence-and-supply agreement with the Democratic Unionist Party after her disastrous election in 2017. When she chose to leave herself beholden to those of the minority opinion on Brexit in Northern Ireland we knew it couldn't end well.

Less than six weeks ago, in a passionate defence of the text of the withdrawal agreement, May spoke in Westminster about how the backstop was "a necessary guarantee to the people of Ireland" and of how "whichever future relationship you want there is no deal available which does not include the backstop". The facts haven't changed but May has changed her mind.
This week she asked MPs to send her to Brussels to seek a backstop with a time limit or with a unilateral withdrawal clause, neither of which is a backstop at all.

These events in Westminster represent a new low after several recent lows and blows to Anglo- Irish relations. The implications for our relationship will endure long after Brexit is resolved.
We have been reminded that we can't always trust British politicians to act in the interest of this island. That's why we need a backstop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on February 01, 2019, 10:20:04 AM
The British still think they can exercise gunboat diplomacy to enforce their view on the wider world. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on February 01, 2019, 10:45:39 AM
Who would ever trust the British, not a hope. They have centuries of evidence to show they cannot be trusted to act in good faith on anything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 01, 2019, 11:17:58 AM
Quote from: Itchy on February 01, 2019, 10:45:39 AM
Who would ever trust the British, not a hope. They have centuries of evidence to show they cannot be trusted to act in good faith on anything.

Whoever coined the term perfidious albion summed them up to a tee.

The German Justice minister Katarina Barley is also in town today as well it seems and was interviewed by the lovely but lightweight Wendy Auston this morning and Barley was adamant that the backstop is not for renegotiating as the UK parliament have not produced anything substantial to replace it, pooh poohing the trusted trader schemes which she says May didn't even offer as an alternative.

Who blinks first it seems to be but UK businesses aren't keen on that game by the looks of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 01, 2019, 01:29:52 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on January 31, 2019, 09:10:11 PM
I see good old Jacob Rees Mogg is in town tonight for a DUP dinner. Hope the small talk between courses doesn't stray on to the topic of religion.

Lie down with dogs, get up with fleas. Maybot will soon start scratching now too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 01, 2019, 05:17:38 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 01, 2019, 11:17:58 AM
Quote from: Itchy on February 01, 2019, 10:45:39 AM
Who would ever trust the British, not a hope. They have centuries of evidence to show they cannot be trusted to act in good faith on anything.

Whoever coined the term perfidious albion summed them up to a tee.

The German Justice minister Katarina Barley is also in town today as well it seems and was interviewed by the lovely but lightweight Wendy Auston this morning and Barley was adamant that the backstop is not for renegotiating as the UK parliament have not produced anything substantial to replace it, pooh poohing the trusted trader schemes which she says May didn't even offer as an alternative.

Who blinks first it seems to be but UK businesses aren't keen on that game by the looks of it.
The Euros have taken a very dim view of May voting against the deal they negotiated with her in good faith .

Her word is worthless.
The Tories need funding for a GE but won't get any with her in charge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 03, 2019, 06:41:23 PM
End the toxicity says Arlene.

Every word that comes out of her mouth is toxic.

You couldn't make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 03, 2019, 08:42:13 PM
Another good article;

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/the-collective-madness-behind-britains-latest-brexit-plan/2019/01/31/48d4d67e-2578-11e9-81fd-b7b05d5bed90_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.9fd142e831a3

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 03, 2019, 11:17:17 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 03, 2019, 08:42:13 PM
Another good article;

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/the-collective-madness-behind-britains-latest-brexit-plan/2019/01/31/48d4d67e-2578-11e9-81fd-b7b05d5bed90_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.9fd142e831a3


Paywall. What's the jist?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 03, 2019, 11:35:59 PM
Just agree to terms and you should see it.

"Britain is one of the richest and most advanced democracies in the world. It is currently locked in a room, babbling away to itself hysterically while threatening to blow its own kneecaps off. This is what nationalist populism does to a country. "

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Boycey on February 04, 2019, 12:15:59 AM
That's a really good article...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on February 04, 2019, 08:57:50 AM
A more accurate slogan would be "we're going down and we want you to come with us ".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 04, 2019, 09:10:57 AM
Also Britain have traditionally proved they can't be trusted and wouldn't shaft Ireland ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 04, 2019, 10:16:55 AM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

Awwww, part of the family. Come on lads. Let's have you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 04, 2019, 11:03:01 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 03, 2019, 06:41:23 PM
End the toxicity says Arlene.

Every word that comes out of her mouth is toxic.

You couldn't make it up.
The DUP are vile at this stage
And the Tories are also spinning against Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 04, 2019, 12:13:57 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 04, 2019, 10:16:55 AM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

Awwww, part of the family. Come on lads. Let's have you.

Wow, what about a petition on all UK residents on if the North of Ireland is worth the hassle anymore and give it back. I think they will hit their quota a lot quicker on that one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on February 04, 2019, 12:40:45 PM
Frightening really.  Great Hibernia   Have to have a new name.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 04, 2019, 01:16:00 PM
I see Auntie Teresa is visiting our 6 Co brethren tomorrow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 04, 2019, 01:47:00 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 04, 2019, 01:16:00 PM
I see Auntie Teresa is visiting our 6 Co brethren tomorrow.

She's visiting everyone at the minute. She's like a bad salesman with overpriced bad quality products and  can't shift any of them out of the back of the van.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 04, 2019, 01:53:27 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on February 04, 2019, 01:47:00 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 04, 2019, 01:16:00 PM
I see Auntie Teresa is visiting our 6 Co brethren tomorrow.

She's visiting everyone at the minute. She's like a bad salesman with overpriced bad quality products and  can't shift any of them out of the back of the van.

Answer her better going to Sunderland and explaining why Nissan aren't producing the X-Trail there.

Project fear...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 04, 2019, 01:57:28 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

In other news, Josef Fritzl is hoping to get his family together again and bring back the good old days.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on February 04, 2019, 02:06:51 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 04, 2019, 01:57:28 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

In other news, Josef Fritzl is hoping to get his family together again and bring back the good old days.

Excellent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on February 04, 2019, 02:10:32 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 04, 2019, 02:06:51 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 04, 2019, 01:57:28 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

In other news, Josef Fritzl is hoping to get his family together again and bring back the good old days.

Excellent.
Given that they're trying to get back Ireland, one could say the UK has manufactured its own ex-trail?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 04, 2019, 02:38:34 PM
It's like inviting the ex-wife to come live with you and your new wife, and to earn her keep the ex can look after your children you have with the new wife. And expect the ex to be grateful for it!

Oh those Brits! Tsk! I tell ya...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 04, 2019, 02:55:52 PM
Probably just another stage managed visit where she meets a few cronies wheeled out for her by the DUP. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 04, 2019, 04:22:11 PM
And now Trimble is taking the British government to court over the backstop, you couldn't make this up. No doubt he is being used as a lackey by the Brexiteers here. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 04, 2019, 05:33:46 PM
The more I watch Brexit the more I think of this:

https://youtu.be/tlNcRV8io9A
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 04, 2019, 05:43:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 04, 2019, 04:22:11 PM
And now Trimble is taking the British government to court over the backstop, you couldn't make this up. No doubt he is being used as a lackey by the Brexiteers here.
Thought that oul bolx had died.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on February 04, 2019, 05:55:54 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

Why stop there...the Indians & Rhodesians will be next. British Empire restored to its rightful place in the world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 04, 2019, 07:18:44 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on February 04, 2019, 05:55:54 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

Why stop there...the Indians & Rhodesians will be next. British Empire restored to its rightful place in the world.

Anyone check out the map of signatories? Top constituencies are all NI apart from cities of London & Westminster.....hmmmm

Seems like another bit of DUP nonsense probably Sammy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 10:11:06 AM
So how many are out on the streets of Belfast today protesting and sending a clear message to May that brexit is wrong and we didn't vote for it...... yep
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on February 05, 2019, 10:46:04 AM
Was her pervious deal only for one section of the population in the North before?

(https://scontent-lht6-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/51148752_10156747468473819_6404384648855552_n.jpg?_nc_cat=1&_nc_ht=scontent-lht6-1.xx&oh=7bb11b873876c2abb3054f241ef809d5&oe=5CB62363)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on February 05, 2019, 10:47:32 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 04, 2019, 10:16:55 AM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

Awwww, part of the family. Come on lads. Let's have you.

Or maybe they could just give Northern Ireland back to Ireland and they can crack on with whatever sort of Brexit they want.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 05, 2019, 12:30:09 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on February 05, 2019, 10:47:32 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 04, 2019, 10:16:55 AM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on February 04, 2019, 02:05:37 AM
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/235821

Any takers?

"The RoI left our Union in 1922 after 121 years of being part of the family. We should now ask them to reconsider their position within both the UK & EU as a way of solving the current impasse over the Irish border issue that is holding up the Withdrawal Agreement. Britain & Ireland stronger together"

Awwww, part of the family. Come on lads. Let's have you.

Or maybe they could just give Northern Ireland back to Ireland and they can crack on with whatever sort of Brexit they want.

The Dublin government clearly don't want it, given their partitionist attitude.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 12:42:02 PM
I know the Irish government don't want to stir tensions up here but this ole soft chat with the DUP is sickening. I would rather they talk to them for the pond life party that they are. I've said it before I don't trust Leo and I don't think he has any intention of reaching out to nationalists up here
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 05, 2019, 12:49:51 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 10:11:06 AM
So how many are out on the streets of Belfast today protesting and sending a clear message to May that brexit is wrong and we didn't vote for it...... yep

There is none as deaf as those that don't want to hear.

You could have a million people out and the dumb fkker would still plough on ahead regardless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 05, 2019, 12:50:57 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 12:42:02 PM
I know the Irish government don't want to stir tensions up here but this ole soft chat with the DUP is sickening. I would rather they talk to them for the pond life party that they are. I've said it before I don't trust Leo and I don't think he has any intention of reaching out to nationalists up here

He has listened to Unionists describe him as a nut case, an Indian, a warmongeror etc etc all whilst simultaneously (deliberately) getting his name wrong. Maybe it has given them a little more insight as to exactly what we have to deal with in the north with hardline unionists and their bigotry.

I think that the Irish government have been firm and consistent on the need for a backstop from the outset but I don't believe that it is out of any great concern for nationalists but rather simply that they are simply trying to protect their own economy.     
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 05, 2019, 12:53:21 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 12:42:02 PM
I know the Irish government don't want to stir tensions up here but this ole soft chat with the DUP is sickening. I would rather they talk to them for the pond life party that they are. I've said it before I don't trust Leo and I don't think he has any intention of reaching out to nationalists up here

Ah, I wouldn't get too worried about that just yet.

I reckon they are thinking the long game. If the DUP get their hard Brexit, I'd believe there is a strong likelihood there will be a border poll within 12 months as this place goes to absolute crap economically.

Dublin is better keeping their powder dry for that - at that time they will not be appealing to the DUP - but directly to those of a unionist background that might be swayed by the economics of a United Ireland so they can put food on their table. So not being antagonistic now will play to their advantage then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 05, 2019, 01:07:52 PM
Nothing the DUPUDA would like better but a good oul fight with the Dublin bogeyman so they could rally all Protestants and shades of unionism to wrap the Union Jack around them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 05, 2019, 01:15:06 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 12:42:02 PM
I know the Irish government don't want to stir tensions up here but this ole soft chat with the DUP is sickening. I would rather they talk to them for the pond life party that they are. I've said it before I don't trust Leo and I don't think he has any intention of reaching out to nationalists up here

The DUP see the backstop as a back-door to a UI. Varadkar has to be careful not to be making overtures which would back up their fears. If he pushes a UI agenda a this time they will dig their heels in further guaranteeing a hard brexit and a painful grind towards the breakup of the UK.
If we can get the backstop in place and maintain North South Alignment whilst GB morphs into a  low regulation low rtights low wage economy in an effort to woo Trump then a border poll and a the road to a UI becomes a less bumpy road.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on February 05, 2019, 02:34:00 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 05, 2019, 12:53:21 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 12:42:02 PM
I know the Irish government don't want to stir tensions up here but this ole soft chat with the DUP is sickening. I would rather they talk to them for the pond life party that they are. I've said it before I don't trust Leo and I don't think he has any intention of reaching out to nationalists up here

Ah, I wouldn't get too worried about that just yet.

I reckon they are thinking the long game. If the DUP get their hard Brexit, I'd believe there is a strong likelihood there will be a border poll within 12 months as this place goes to absolute crap economically.

Dublin is better keeping their powder dry for that - at that time they will not be appealing to the DUP - but directly to those of a unionist background that might be swayed by the economics of a United Ireland so they can put food on their table. So not being antagonistic now will play to their advantage then.

12 months? Seriously?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 05, 2019, 03:26:48 PM
Theresa May simply spouting more of the same old rhetoric, like what is the point in her visit. Changes nothing just all about optics. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 05, 2019, 06:47:02 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 05, 2019, 12:50:57 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 12:42:02 PM
I know the Irish government don't want to stir tensions up here but this ole soft chat with the DUP is sickening. I would rather they talk to them for the pond life party that they are. I've said it before I don't trust Leo and I don't think he has any intention of reaching out to nationalists up here

He has listened to Unionists describe him as a nut case, an Indian, a warmongeror etc etc all whilst simultaneously (deliberately) getting his name wrong. Maybe it has given them a little more insight as to exactly what we have to deal with in the north with hardline unionists and their bigotry.

I think that the Irish government have been firm and consistent on the need for a backstop from the outset but I don't believe that it is out of any great concern for nationalists but rather simply that they are simply trying to protect their own economy.   

Yes, but to admit that would be admitting that Sinn Fein have had a difficult time dealing with unionist bigotry. At the end of the day, Varadkar and his party would attack SF a lot quicker than they would the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 05, 2019, 07:53:08 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 05, 2019, 02:34:00 PM12 months? Seriously?

I'd reckon >99.9% of people aren't realising the fallout that will occur if there is a no deal Brexit.

There cannot immediately be a WTO deal on new schedules - its far too complex with too many countries involved - taking shortcuts will only result in longer term pain - so that means stock tariffs of between ~5% to nearer 50% with average around 15-20% depending on the goods in question.

How do you think any customer would take it if you hiked your prices up 20% overnight while your international competitors don't have to change theirs at all? They'll pretty quickly not be your customers.

Most private enterprises in the North that are not getting the vast majority of their revenue from public contracts are at serious risk of collapse (and almost definitely going to be making mass layoffs) within that 12 month timeframe. Every private enterprise in the North that is getting their money from public sector will only delay that same collapse until the UK government is facing bankruptcy due to falling tax revenues and a larger social welfare burden.


The Brexiteers don't have a f**king clue what they are voting for. Turkeys voting for Christmas? More like Turkeys turning on the oven, stuffing themselves - firing on the tinfoil and jumping in. A hard Brexit is essentially economic Armageddon to a 1st world economy. It could be argued a non-customs union Brexit is also economic Armageddon - although it will be drawn out more.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 05, 2019, 08:05:50 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 05, 2019, 06:47:02 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 05, 2019, 12:50:57 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 12:42:02 PM
I know the Irish government don't want to stir tensions up here but this ole soft chat with the DUP is sickening. I would rather they talk to them for the pond life party that they are. I've said it before I don't trust Leo and I don't think he has any intention of reaching out to nationalists up here

He has listened to Unionists describe him as a nut case, an Indian, a warmongeror etc etc all whilst simultaneously (deliberately) getting his name wrong. Maybe it has given them a little more insight as to exactly what we have to deal with in the north with hardline unionists and their bigotry.

I think that the Irish government have been firm and consistent on the need for a backstop from the outset but I don't believe that it is out of any great concern for nationalists but rather simply that they are simply trying to protect their own economy.   

Yes, but to admit that would be admitting that Sinn Fein have had a difficult time dealing with unionist bigotry. At the end of the day, Varadkar and his party would attack SF a lot quicker than they would the DUP.

I doubt if you'll here them criticize the DUP publicly since they are co-guarantors of the GFA but privately they must despair at some of the anti-Irish sentiment expressed publicly by northern Unionism in recent months. It's hard to know how much of it is simply grandstanding but it's highly irresponsible given the backdrop. 

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 05, 2019, 10:19:02 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 05, 2019, 08:05:50 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 05, 2019, 06:47:02 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 05, 2019, 12:50:57 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 05, 2019, 12:42:02 PM
I know the Irish government don't want to stir tensions up here but this ole soft chat with the DUP is sickening. I would rather they talk to them for the pond life party that they are. I've said it before I don't trust Leo and I don't think he has any intention of reaching out to nationalists up here

He has listened to Unionists describe him as a nut case, an Indian, a warmongeror etc etc all whilst simultaneously (deliberately) getting his name wrong. Maybe it has given them a little more insight as to exactly what we have to deal with in the north with hardline unionists and their bigotry.

I think that the Irish government have been firm and consistent on the need for a backstop from the outset but I don't believe that it is out of any great concern for nationalists but rather simply that they are simply trying to protect their own economy.   

Yes, but to admit that would be admitting that Sinn Fein have had a difficult time dealing with unionist bigotry. At the end of the day, Varadkar and his party would attack SF a lot quicker than they would the DUP.

I doubt if you'll here them criticize the DUP publicly since they are co-guarantors of the GFA but privately they must despair at some of the anti-Irish sentiment expressed publicly by northern Unionism in recent months. It's hard to know how much of it is simply grandstanding but it's highly irresponsible given the backdrop.

Unionists have publicly displayed anti-Irish sentiments since partition (and before), and the Irish government sat back and never done a big pile about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on February 06, 2019, 12:42:59 AM
You do talk some shite pal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:51:19 AM
Irish government refusing to negotiate with the DUP. No matter your politics you have to say Leo and FG are bossing these negotiations and continue to endear themselves to Northern Nationalists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 11:52:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:51:19 AM
Irish government refusing to negotiate with the DUP. No matter your politics you have to say Leo and FG are bossing these negotiations and continue to endear themselves to Northern Nationalists.

What have they got to negotiate with them about?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 06, 2019, 11:54:52 AM
What would they negotiate with the DUP about?
Leaving aside that it's an EU/UK matter a Party representing 40% of the 6 Cos. population and advocating something the majority are opposed to.......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:55:17 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 11:52:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:51:19 AM
Irish government refusing to negotiate with the DUP. No matter your politics you have to say Leo and FG are bossing these negotiations and continue to endear themselves to Northern Nationalists.

What have they got to negotiate with them about?

The price of turf. f**k me is this a serious comment?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 12:05:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:55:17 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 11:52:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:51:19 AM
Irish government refusing to negotiate with the DUP. No matter your politics you have to say Leo and FG are bossing these negotiations and continue to endear themselves to Northern Nationalists.

What have they got to negotiate with them about?

The price of turf. f**k me is this a serious comment?

Yes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 06, 2019, 12:10:21 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 12:05:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:55:17 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 11:52:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:51:19 AM
Irish government refusing to negotiate with the DUP. No matter your politics you have to say Leo and FG are bossing these negotiations and continue to endear themselves to Northern Nationalists.

What have they got to negotiate with them about?

The price of turf. f**k me is this a serious comment?

Yes.

Ok sorry.
DUP wanted to have talks with the Irish Gov RE Backstop. The Irish government (quite rightly) said all talks are via EU but they're always happy to talk about the GFA.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 12:13:34 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 12:10:21 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 12:05:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:55:17 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 11:52:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:51:19 AM
Irish government refusing to negotiate with the DUP. No matter your politics you have to say Leo and FG are bossing these negotiations and continue to endear themselves to Northern Nationalists.

What have they got to negotiate with them about?

The price of turf. f**k me is this a serious comment?

Yes.

Ok sorry.
DUP wanted to have talks with the Irish Gov RE Backstop. The Irish government (quite rightly) said all talks are via EU but they're always happy to talk about the GFA.

Serious delusions of grandeur have went to the DUP's head as well as being totally the wrong protocol to attempt to negotiate with a member state in something you've not directly involved with.

I wonder did Teasie put them up to it or was it a solo-run by Arlene and Doddsy???

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 12:19:33 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 12:10:21 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 12:05:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:55:17 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 11:52:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 06, 2019, 11:51:19 AM
Irish government refusing to negotiate with the DUP. No matter your politics you have to say Leo and FG are bossing these negotiations and continue to endear themselves to Northern Nationalists.

What have they got to negotiate with them about?

The price of turf. f**k me is this a serious comment?

Yes.

Ok sorry.
DUP wanted to have talks with the Irish Gov RE Backstop. The Irish government (quite rightly) said all talks are via EU but they're always happy to talk about the GFA.
and always happy to say GFY to wee Sammy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 01:22:10 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47143135

Tusk getting fed up with being the diplomat and calling a spade a spade. It is a take it or leave it offer to the UK in the firmest possible manner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on February 06, 2019, 01:56:32 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 01:22:10 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47143135

Tusk getting fed up with being the diplomat and calling a spade a spade. It is a take it or leave it offer to the UK in the firmest possible manner.

Plenty of Brits will say "leave it Mr Tusk" after that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 02:00:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 01:22:10 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47143135

Tusk getting fed up with being the diplomat and calling a spade a spade. It is a take it or leave it offer to the UK in the firmest possible manner.
He knows he can say that because he has the UK by the balls. They can't leave with no deal because if they do the food queues will destroy the Tories

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/02/05/amber-rudd-tells-theresa-may-straight-public-risks-no-deal/
Amber Rudd, the Work and Pensions minister, told Cabinet the Government should publish information from official briefings about the implications that a no-deal Brexit will have for national security.

Michael Gove, the Environment Secretary, suggested that there should be more television and radio adverts to help prepare businesses for the impact of a no-deal Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 02:06:45 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!
Not at this stage
The Brexit headbangers are playing chicken with the EU and the EU know they can't back it up.
They can throw all their toys out of the pram and go for no deal but if they do the people will turn on them.
Brexit only works if the people like it and they get out with a good deal. Fail and fail

It's like the rugby on Saturday with England as the EU
"George Kruis, Mako and Billy Vunipola were lining up ball carriers and smashing them backwards."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 02:08:12 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

He specifically stated the 'promoters' of Brexit but no doubt the pro Brexit media will jump on it and sell it as him referring to the people who voted for Brexit. God knows what the front page of the Sun, Daily Mail or Express will have on it tomorrow. It might give them ammunition in that sense but it doesn't really matter in terms of putting a deal together at this stage since Tusk knows that all of the meaningful negotiations have concluded at this stage. It looks increasingly likely that it will be either a no deal, a short extension of article 50 or a general election. A deal does not look possible in the time left available.     
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 02:15:14 PM
Meanwhile Sammy has hit back at the president of the EU.


''Donald Tusk once again shows his contempt for the 17.4 million people who voted to escape the corruption of the EU and seek the paradise of a free and prosperous Kingdom. This devilish euro maniac is doing his best to keep the United Kingdom bound by the chains of EU bureaucracy and control.

It is Tusk and his arrogant EU negotiators who have fanned the flames of fear in an attempt to try and overturn the result of the referendum.

All he will succeed in doing is stiffening the resistance of those who have exercised their choice to be clear of Tusk and his Trident wielding cabal.''
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 06, 2019, 02:19:40 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

Some great comments on that though!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 02:34:11 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.
2 words jumped out at me

Prosperous
arrogant (negotiators)

Weyand and Barnier walked all over the Brits in the negotiations
whatever Breexit happens will make the UK poorer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 02:39:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 02:34:11 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.
2 words jumped out at me

Prosperous
arrogant (negotiators)

Weyand and Barnier walked all over the Brits in the negotiations
whatever Breexit happens will make the UK poorer

First word jumped out at me was corruption.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on February 06, 2019, 02:46:34 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

Are there still people out there who respond to this ridiculous, apocalyptic , biblical-flavoured DUP hype?

He forgot the flames and cloven hooves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on February 06, 2019, 03:02:41 PM
Stormont would be a good location
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 03:16:45 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

Now Arlene has a wee word and she thinks it's a sign the EU is under pressure....  ???

https://twitter.com/DUPleader/status/1093162932496674816 (https://twitter.com/DUPleader/status/1093162932496674816)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 03:32:14 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 03:16:45 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

Now Arlene has a wee word and she thinks it's a sign the EU is under pressure....  ???

https://twitter.com/DUPleader/status/1093162932496674816 (https://twitter.com/DUPleader/status/1093162932496674816)

Arlene probably feels as though she has the EU where she wants them crumbling under the pressure and hurtling towards her favoured no deal. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 03:37:59 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 03:32:14 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 03:16:45 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

Now Arlene has a wee word and she thinks it's a sign the EU is under pressure....  ???

https://twitter.com/DUPleader/status/1093162932496674816 (https://twitter.com/DUPleader/status/1093162932496674816)

Arlene probably feels as though she has the EU where she wants them crumbling under the pressure and hurtling towards her favoured no deal.

   https://www.ft.com/content/dddd1d26-295b-11e9-a5ab-ff8ef2b976c7

   EU prepares for looming no-deal Brexit — and ensuing blame game
Brussels seeks to appear accommodating while stepping up preparations for UK crashing out
Alex Barker in Brussels

Diplomats in Brussels say there is one telling measure of the low reached in the Brexit saga: the political blame game has started over responsibility for a chaotic no-deal exit. From the moment Britain triggered the two-year Article 50 clock on its departure in March 2017, the "cliff-edge" threat has been used by Brussels negotiators, both to exert pressure and kick-start national planning for the worst.
But this scenario, once dismissed as a theoretical doomsday outcome, has taken on new urgency since Westminster overwhelmingly rejected Theresa May's draft deal, prompting her to seek a renegotiation just weeks before Britain's March 29 departure date. "My analysis is that we are really heading for the abyss," said one senior EU figure handling Brexit. "We may extend to June. But it is coming. The risk of no-deal is huge."
The drumbeat of planning helps those, like German chancellor Angela Merkel, who see the Brexit brinkmanship as potentially helping shift support in favour of a deal in Westminster. But the EU is also adjusting its thinking and energy, with an emphasis on three priorities: making sure voters do not find their leaders at fault for the costs of a hard Brexit; mitigating the worst effects of such a crash-out, even if it temporarily bends some EU principles;and, finally, working out how to pick up the pieces afterwards.
"A three months extension is likely," said Rem Korteweg, a research fellow at Clingendael, the Netherlands Institute of International Relations. "But it is not to give the UK a shot at another agreement. It is to give the EU more time to prepare itself for no-deal. They will not say this out loud, but this is the calculus."
GETTING AHEAD OF THE POLITICAL BLAME GAMEBrussels has long written off the possibility of convincing the British public. The focus of the EU27 is instead on winning the battle at home. The first challenge is ensuring Mrs May takes "ownership" of a deal, and that the public see it as being crafted around her red lines. For Brussels, with ownership also comes the responsibility for setting it right and securing ratification.

A senior EU diplomat said the "gruelling" call last week between Mrs May and Donald Tusk, the European Council president, hit a particular low when the prime minister suggested the EU come forward with new ideas to salvage the Brexit deal. Mr Tusk made clear it was time for Britain to step up with written solutions, backed by a sustainable House of Commons majority.
FLEXIBLE ON TIMING, INFLEXIBLE ON SUBSTANCE

Ms Merkel is concerned about being blamed for Brexit going wrong in the run-up to May's European Parliament elections, which coincides with a clutch of German regional polls.Other European capitals expect the chancellor to appear as accommodating as possible, without changing the withdrawal agreement save for a few cosmetic frills. "She wants to be seen doing everything she can to avoid it," said one senior EU diplomat. "If it then happens, then that is fine."Her willingness to help may be most evident over a possible extension request. Ms Merkel and German ministers have urged Britain to take its time. "If on substance there is no flexibility, then you have to be flexible on process," the diplomat added.France, meanwhile, has raised more worries about Britain seeking serial extensions beyond March. Rather than draw out the process, some French officials are advocating a one-off, longer extension, especially if Britain seems no closer to being able to endorse a deal.MITIGATING THE EFFECTS OF A CHAOTIC DEPARTUREFor the EU countries with the deepest trade ties with Britain — Ireland, the Netherlands, Germany, France, and Belgium — there are no illusions about how messy and costly a no-deal Brexit will be.
Day one, two, three of a no-deal exit would be a new world. It will be totally different. Britain will be in turmoil. There will be frustration, protests, possibly a general election
Pierre Vimont, veteran French diplomat
The EU has taken steps to avoid the worst effects, rushing through emergency laws on everything from transport rights to compensation for fishermen who lose access to UK waters.But hard Brexit will amount to an overnight legal revolution, and officials admit it is impossible to be fully prepared to manage the disorder after Brexit. "There will be gaps. We can soften the landing, but there will be a landing," said one of the main figures involved in Brexit talks.The blowback risks have swayed a group of member states, led by France, to advocate a more pragmatic approach to contingency measures. "As long as the principles remain, I have no problem being a bit softer in important areas," said a senior member state official handling Brexit.One ambassador in Brussels said that the accelerated preparations were allaying some concerns about the worst case. "People start to say it's do-able because it is not a huge snowball coming our way. We understand [the risks] better. It is bad, but the system is delivering."GETTING THE MOST OUT OF THE UK IN THE AFTERMATHTwo of the most difficult challenges of a no-deal Brexit — the Northern Ireland border and the hole left in the EU budget from missing UK contributions — are still largely sidestepped in public EU preparations. The issues are so important and potentially so divisive they will be the last to be publicly addressed in contingency planning — and probably the first to be reopened with the UK in the wake of a no-deal exit.
Senior EU negotiators privately express confidence that the Brexit upheaval will force the UK to plead for leniency within weeks.Guntram Wolff of the Bruegel think-tank says the EU should "refuse to make concessions on emergency measures" to soften the hit to the UK after Brexit "in the absence of a substantial financial contribution". He puts the gap in the EU budget up to the end of 2020 at €16.5bn in total.EU officials are also thinking through how to resurrect elements of the backstop plan for Northern Ireland — the main impediment to the approval of an exit deal in the Commons. The UK "would be back at the negotiating table in a significantly weaker position", said the senior EU diplomat. Brexit: how to hold a second referendumSome in Brussels are more cautious about the constraints to such aftermath talks, particularly over Northern Ireland."Day one, two, three of a no-deal exit would be a new world. It will be totally different. Britain will be in turmoil. There will be frustration, protests, possibly a general election," said Pierre Vimont, a veteran French diplomat who led the EU's diplomatic service. "There may be many things that prevent efforts to calm the situation, or the British government coming back to say: 'I was only joking, let's talk and find a way out of this.'"He added: "My feeling is that it will not be so easy to keep a grip on political events. We should not underestimate the disorder and destabilisation there may be on both sides."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 06, 2019, 03:59:15 PM
This is great from John Bercow and Joanna Cherry.

https://twitter.com/channel4news/status/1093148562928685056?s=21
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 05:04:25 PM
One of the few bright spots of the Brexit process have been the 'performances' of Bercow in the House of Commons.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 06, 2019, 05:16:31 PM
Time those SNP MPs did what we did in 1919....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 05:17:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)

Yes but whenever brexit is done with, Europe and Britain will forget all about the DUP and sammy and co will crawl back to the north and continue to spout their bigotry. And we'll continue to have to put up with them. And nothing will ever change.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 05:35:12 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 05:17:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)

Yes but whenever brexit is done with, Europe and Britain will forget all about the DUP and sammy and co will crawl back to the north and continue to spout their bigotry. And we'll continue to have to put up with them. And nothing will ever change.
The demographics are only going one way
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 06, 2019, 06:02:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 05:35:12 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 05:17:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)

Yes but whenever brexit is done with, Europe and Britain will forget all about the DUP and sammy and co will crawl back to the north and continue to spout their bigotry. And we'll continue to have to put up with them. And nothing will ever change.
The demographics are only going one way

Beat me to it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 06:58:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 05:35:12 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 05:17:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)

Yes but whenever brexit is done with, Europe and Britain will forget all about the DUP and sammy and co will crawl back to the north and continue to spout their bigotry. And we'll continue to have to put up with them. And nothing will ever change.
The demographics are only going one way

https://www.ft.com/content/7d5244a0-f22d-11e8-ae55-df4bf40f9d0d

There could even be an overall catholic majority by the time of the next census which is only 2 years away in 2021, certainly it will be nearing an equal split. That is no guarantee that a border poll could be won but I think it is a definite possibility within the next 10/15 years given the moving demographics. That last census poll is 8 years old which means that in each 10 year age category up to mid 40's there is now a catholic majority. That is no guarantee of winning a border poll but I feel that a no deal Brexit would be a game changer in that respect for those in the middle.

I don't think it is sensible to be calling for a poll until the outcome of Brexit is settled but pre Brexit it was only a distant pipe dream for most nationalists, at least certainly a generation away. The DUP backed the wrong horse from the outset.

 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 06, 2019, 07:21:37 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 06:58:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 05:35:12 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 05:17:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)

Yes but whenever brexit is done with, Europe and Britain will forget all about the DUP and sammy and co will crawl back to the north and continue to spout their bigotry. And we'll continue to have to put up with them. And nothing will ever change.
The demographics are only going one way

https://www.ft.com/content/7d5244a0-f22d-11e8-ae55-df4bf40f9d0d

There could even be an overall catholic majority by the time of the next census which is only 2 years away in 2021, certainly it will be nearing an equal split. That is no guarantee that a border poll could be won but I think it is a definite possibility within the next 10/15 years given the moving demographics. That last census poll is 8 years old which means that in each 10 year age category up to mid 40's there is now a catholic majority. That is no guarantee of winning a border poll but I feel that a no deal Brexit would be a game changer in that respect for those in the middle.

I don't think it is sensible to be calling for a poll until the outcome of Brexit is settled but pre Brexit it was only a distant pipe dream for most nationalists, at least certainly a generation away. The DUP backed the wrong horse from the outset.



While Brexit has certainly played a massive part in the change of attitude, it's not the only factor. The DUP under Foster has literally attempted to rub the noses of nationalists/republicans in the dirt. A friend who knows a leading light in the north's business fraternity told him they had been in conversation with several DUP members who were actually shocked by how bitter Foster really is. The Shinners only grew a set and brought Stormont down because their own voters let it be known in no uncertain terms that enough was enough. Yet still the Shinners were prepared to bend the knee with the wishy-washy agreement they made to re-establish Stormont, only for Foster to stab them in the back again and renege on it after both the UDA and Orange Order let her know it was unacceptable. Foster has done more to advance Irish unity than Ian Paisley ever did, and she's done more to ensure that Stormont will never sit again. Credit where it's due... well done Arlene
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 06, 2019, 07:45:36 PM
Quote from: red hander on February 06, 2019, 07:21:37 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 06:58:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 05:35:12 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 05:17:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)

Yes but whenever brexit is done with, Europe and Britain will forget all about the DUP and sammy and co will crawl back to the north and continue to spout their bigotry. And we'll continue to have to put up with them. And nothing will ever change.
The demographics are only going one way

https://www.ft.com/content/7d5244a0-f22d-11e8-ae55-df4bf40f9d0d

There could even be an overall catholic majority by the time of the next census which is only 2 years away in 2021, certainly it will be nearing an equal split. That is no guarantee that a border poll could be won but I think it is a definite possibility within the next 10/15 years given the moving demographics. That last census poll is 8 years old which means that in each 10 year age category up to mid 40's there is now a catholic majority. That is no guarantee of winning a border poll but I feel that a no deal Brexit would be a game changer in that respect for those in the middle.

I don't think it is sensible to be calling for a poll until the outcome of Brexit is settled but pre Brexit it was only a distant pipe dream for most nationalists, at least certainly a generation away. The DUP backed the wrong horse from the outset.



While Brexit has certainly played a massive part in the change of attitude, it's not the only factor. The DUP under Foster has literally attempted to rub the noses of nationalists/republicans in the dirt. A friend who knows a leading light in the north's business fraternity told him they had been in conversation with several DUP members who were actually shocked by how bitter Foster really is. The Shinners only grew a set and brought Stormont down because their own voters let it be known in no uncertain terms that enough was enough. Yet still the Shinners were prepared to bend the knee with the wishy-washy agreement they made to re-establish Stormont, only for Foster to stab them in the back again and renege on it after both the UDA and Orange Order let her know it was unacceptable. Foster has done more to advance Irish unity than Ian Paisley ever did, and she's done more to ensure that Stormont will never sit again. Credit where it's due... well done Arlene

Stomont, in a government way is gone forever.  Nationals are now looking towards Dublin and a new type of Ireland.

The DUP had there chance and blew it with bigotry.  The straw that broke the camel's back was the Liofa funding granr being taken away.  That was that - party over.

The next question is what are Dublin government doing to re-unite Ireland?  Not much I reckon.  Going by the big nationalist gathering in The Waterfront Hall a few weeks ago, they, the Dublin government, are well out of touch with northern nationalists.

Only positive thing is that now they know how bigoted and difficult the DUP are!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 06, 2019, 07:58:56 PM
Marty34 wrote:
"The next question is what are Dublin government doing to re-unite Ireland?  Not much I reckon."
The Dublin Gov are never going to be jingoistic about this as it will still need some Unionist support and to be as peaceful a transition as possible, which jingoism will not help. Someone wrote earlier: unification by regulation. That's already happening and the next piece of the jigsaw will be the backstop and an effective border in the Irish Sea. The Dublin gov has already ensured with the support of all member states that NI will be fast tracked into full EU membership; in contrast an independent Scotland would not get that. Many things from tourism to energy are already regulated. When the day comes that a border poll is passed, it should have minimal disruption in people's lives. That is the most important thing Dublin gov can be doing. It's not visible Fior Gael stuff though the DUP might beg to differ if they understood the native tongue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 06, 2019, 07:59:49 PM
The "Dublin Government" can't do a lot about re uniting Ireland.
However the Nationalist Parties and the 26 Co ones could develop a draft blueprint as to what type of new All Ireland State they'd envisage.
Meanwhile SF should make Foster an honorary vice President for her services to Irish Nationalism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 06, 2019, 08:06:07 PM
Quote from: marty34 on February 06, 2019, 07:45:36 PM
Quote from: red hander on February 06, 2019, 07:21:37 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 06:58:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 05:35:12 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 05:17:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)

Yes but whenever brexit is done with, Europe and Britain will forget all about the DUP and sammy and co will crawl back to the north and continue to spout their bigotry. And we'll continue to have to put up with them. And nothing will ever change.
The demographics are only going one way

https://www.ft.com/content/7d5244a0-f22d-11e8-ae55-df4bf40f9d0d

There could even be an overall catholic majority by the time of the next census which is only 2 years away in 2021, certainly it will be nearing an equal split. That is no guarantee that a border poll could be won but I think it is a definite possibility within the next 10/15 years given the moving demographics. That last census poll is 8 years old which means that in each 10 year age category up to mid 40's there is now a catholic majority. That is no guarantee of winning a border poll but I feel that a no deal Brexit would be a game changer in that respect for those in the middle.

I don't think it is sensible to be calling for a poll until the outcome of Brexit is settled but pre Brexit it was only a distant pipe dream for most nationalists, at least certainly a generation away. The DUP backed the wrong horse from the outset.



While Brexit has certainly played a massive part in the change of attitude, it's not the only factor. The DUP under Foster has literally attempted to rub the noses of nationalists/republicans in the dirt. A friend who knows a leading light in the north's business fraternity told him they had been in conversation with several DUP members who were actually shocked by how bitter Foster really is. The Shinners only grew a set and brought Stormont down because their own voters let it be known in no uncertain terms that enough was enough. Yet still the Shinners were prepared to bend the knee with the wishy-washy agreement they made to re-establish Stormont, only for Foster to stab them in the back again and renege on it after both the UDA and Orange Order let her know it was unacceptable. Foster has done more to advance Irish unity than Ian Paisley ever did, and she's done more to ensure that Stormont will never sit again. Credit where it's due... well done Arlene

Stomont, in a government way is gone forever.  Nationals are now looking towards Dublin and a new type of Ireland.

The DUP had there chance and blew it with bigotry.  The straw that broke the camel's back was the Liofa funding granr being taken away.  That was that - party over.

The next question is what are Dublin government doing to re-unite Ireland?  Not much I reckon.  Going by the big nationalist gathering in The Waterfront Hall a few weeks ago, they, the Dublin government, are well out of touch with northern nationalists.

Only positive thing is that now they know how bigoted and difficult the DUP are!!

Stormont is here to stay. It can stay and be functional or stay and be dysfunctional. So on the basis that it stays and we run elections and elect MLAs it's about time they did something for the money.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 06, 2019, 08:08:44 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 06:58:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 06, 2019, 05:35:12 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 05:17:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 06, 2019, 02:27:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on February 06, 2019, 02:13:06 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 06, 2019, 02:01:26 PM
I know Tusk must be seething underneath but jeez does this not play into Brexiteers hands!

Wee Sammy Wilson has his speak.

https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336 (https://twitter.com/eastantrimmp/status/1093126875524878336)

The usual 'no surrender' crap that he comes out with.

At least now he's taking it international and the rest of the world can see what we've had to put up with I suppose.  ::)

Yes but whenever brexit is done with, Europe and Britain will forget all about the DUP and sammy and co will crawl back to the north and continue to spout their bigotry. And we'll continue to have to put up with them. And nothing will ever change.
The demographics are only going one way

https://www.ft.com/content/7d5244a0-f22d-11e8-ae55-df4bf40f9d0d

There could even be an overall catholic majority by the time of the next census which is only 2 years away in 2021, certainly it will be nearing an equal split. That is no guarantee that a border poll could be won but I think it is a definite possibility within the next 10/15 years given the moving demographics. That last census poll is 8 years old which means that in each 10 year age category up to mid 40's there is now a catholic majority. That is no guarantee of winning a border poll but I feel that a no deal Brexit would be a game changer in that respect for those in the middle.

I don't think it is sensible to be calling for a poll until the outcome of Brexit is settled but pre Brexit it was only a distant pipe dream for most nationalists, at least certainly a generation away. The DUP backed the wrong horse from the outset.



Would Northern Nationalism risk a northern poll unless they were certain that the southern referendum would vote to accept a United Ireland. It still boils down to economics and how exactly does Brexit make NI more affordable to RoI?????
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 06, 2019, 08:24:03 PM
Ffs! Couldn't agree on a brexit strategy or plan for any eventuality, do you actually think the brains are here to work out a UI.. reality check lads.. not in our lifetime (I wish it would).. it will happen but you'll get knocked back, just like the Scots did.. and it may take numerous referendums..

But I'll not see it. The romantic view is it will great, but the practical outcome won't be
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 08:33:22 PM
Nationalists would be put off a UI in a vote, the same as the Scots were. Given a dysfunctional Stormont, in the uk but with peace, most would take that, rather than the alternative - worth off and the Troubles recommending.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 06, 2019, 09:20:31 PM
In case you were unaware that Theresa May is a two-faced duplicitous ****.

Daniel Holder, Deputy Director of CAJ, stated: "Yesterday the Prime Minister told the Home Office to review the way it has been treating Northern Ireland-born Irish citizens as British in order to deny them EU rights that flow from being Irish citizens in part of the UK.

"At the same time you have a Home Office Minister implying she will refuse Northern Ireland-born Irish citizens the right to apply to retain EU rights under the settlement scheme on the grounds they are really British. This is the same Home Office Minister who notoriously had not read the Good Friday Agreement, and it shows. Her position makes a mockery of the Agreement's pledge that it is the 'birth right' of people born in the North to be accepted as Irish or British (or both).

https://caj.org.uk/2019/02/06/press-statement-ni-born-irish-citizens-not-entitled-to-apply-to-retain-eu-rights/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 06, 2019, 09:51:47 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 06, 2019, 09:20:31 PM
In case you were unaware that Theresa May is a two-faced duplicitous ****.

Oh, no, I was aware all right!

Yet another example of why the backstop must be cast iron legally.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 06, 2019, 10:22:32 PM
Sammy blowing his top again today. The eu are corrupt he says. They are some craic. Calling out other people on transparency, sectarianism, bigotry and now corruption. I wonder do they have a bingo checklist.

Never thought of the roaming thing. That would not be good.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 06, 2019, 10:22:54 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 06, 2019, 08:08:44 PM
Would Northern Nationalism risk a northern poll unless they were certain that the southern referendum would vote to accept a United Ireland. It still boils down to economics and how exactly does Brexit make NI more affordable to RoI?????

Brexit creates a cost of not having a United Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 06, 2019, 11:01:38 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it
Take it down from the mast.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:07:34 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

That's part of what we're up against, the I'm alright jack attitude and it does exist a lot in post Celtic tiger Ireland where a lot of people have short memories as to how they gained their independence.

And that's without even entering the debate about exactly what it might cost or looking at the opportunities it might bring.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:12:30 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

https://senatormarkdaly.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/research-on-northern-ireland-income-and-expenditure.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:18:16 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:12:30 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

https://senatormarkdaly.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/research-on-northern-ireland-income-and-expenditure.pdf

Cheers thanks for that!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 06, 2019, 11:23:18 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:07:34 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

That's part of what we're up against, the I'm alright jack attitude and it does exist a lot in post Celtic tiger Ireland where a lot of people have short memories as to how they gained their independence.

And that's without even entering the debate about exactly what it might cost or looking at the opportunities it might bring.

It would suit me entirely financially and personally to be part of a UI.. but you're not talking to a person who's reliant on a government type public sector job, of which makes up a huge amount of voters.. or even the chronic dole merchants that would lose their hard earned cash from milking the system! 

The im alright jack guys are looking after the future of their family and their own retirement, guarantees would need to be secured to win over that person..

As the way things are now, you couldn't believe a politician if he said there are seven days in a week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 11:24:18 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

To be honest, it was easier for people to fight then as the vast majority lived in piss poor poverty. You'll never have an uprising or revolution in Ireland unless people are as piss poor and living in squalid conditions as they were then.

Even with all the economic problems in Ireland today, it's still a million miles away from 100 years ago. People are too well off today to consider taking to the streets, protesting or wrecking the place. They've too much to lose now. 100 years ago, they had nothing, so they had nothing to lose.

People's pockets trump their desire for a United ireland these days.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:28:01 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 11:24:18 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

To be honest, it was easier for people to fight then as the vast majority lived in piss poor poverty. You'll never have an uprising or revolution in Ireland unless people are as piss poor and living in squalid conditions as they were then.

Even with all the economic problems in Ireland today, it's still a million miles away from 100 years ago. People are too well off today to consider taking to the streets, protesting or wrecking the place. They've too much to lose now. 100 years ago, they had nothing, so they had nothing to lose.

People pockets trump their desire for a United ireland these days.

My Grandfather wasn't from a piss poor backround so I am sure that was a great short term risk to him and his family and many of the poor relied on Britain for pensions, British controlled jobs like railway workers and members of the army etc.. yet most if not all took up the call to arms after 1916?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 06, 2019, 11:48:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 06, 2019, 11:23:18 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:07:34 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

That's part of what we're up against, the I'm alright jack attitude and it does exist a lot in post Celtic tiger Ireland where a lot of people have short memories as to how they gained their independence.

And that's without even entering the debate about exactly what it might cost or looking at the opportunities it might bring.

It would suit me entirely financially and personally to be part of a UI.. but you're not talking to a person who's reliant on a government type public sector job, of which makes up a huge amount of voters.. or even the chronic dole merchants that would lose their hard earned cash from milking the system! 

The im alright jack guys are looking after the future of their family and their own retirement, guarantees would need to be secured to win over that person..

As the way things are now, you couldn't believe a politician if he said there are seven days in a week
The "Chronic dole merchants" wouldn't lose out....in fact they'd gain as would pensioners etc....unless of course the 6 Cos would have to keep Brit levels of Social Welfare for 10 years as a Transition thingy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 06, 2019, 11:51:45 PM
But anyway back to the present.... What is May going to do or say in Brussels tomorrow or Dublin Friday?
What is Leo going to say to the 6 Cos lot?
Is there choreographing going on?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:54:59 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 06, 2019, 11:23:18 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:07:34 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

That's part of what we're up against, the I'm alright jack attitude and it does exist a lot in post Celtic tiger Ireland where a lot of people have short memories as to how they gained their independence.

And that's without even entering the debate about exactly what it might cost or looking at the opportunities it might bring.

It would suit me entirely financially and personally to be part of a UI.. but you're not talking to a person who's reliant on a government type public sector job, of which makes up a huge amount of voters.. or even the chronic dole merchants that would lose their hard earned cash from milking the system! 

The im alright jack guys are looking after the future of their family and their own retirement, guarantees would need to be secured to win over that person..

As the way things are now, you couldn't believe a politician if he said there are seven days in a week

I was referring specifically to the population in the south of Ireland which I presumed where the original poster was from when he made reference to the national debt.

I accept your point about the top heavy number of civil servants and people on benefits but you can't cherry pick those items and ignore other positive factors from a potential merge. The same applies to the NHS argument, it is a factor but I could counteract that by saying that there are much lower domestic rates in the south (v property tax), much higher levels of benefits, 75% higher average wage etc. it is why the whole argument needs to be looked at in its entirety and I accept that the economic position is a huge factor for a lot of people particularly those in the middle who could be swayed either way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:58:29 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 06, 2019, 11:51:45 PM
But anyway back to the present.... What is May going to do or say in Brussels tomorrow or Dublin Friday?
What is Leo going to say to the 6 Cos lot?
Is there choreographing going on?

Nothing and nothing I would imagine. Running down the clock.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 01:31:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 06, 2019, 10:22:54 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 06, 2019, 08:08:44 PM
Would Northern Nationalism risk a northern poll unless they were certain that the southern referendum would vote to accept a United Ireland. It still boils down to economics and how exactly does Brexit make NI more affordable to RoI?????

Brexit creates a cost of not having a United Ireland.

Unpack that one for me?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 01:41:03 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 06, 2019, 11:01:38 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it
Take it down from the mast.....

Harold

You are better than simple Brexit. You sound a bit like Mark Francois or Peter Bone with that type of impossibly simplistic thinking

Here is the real point. NI economy is massively subsidised. If the need for the subvention is going to end explain how? If you are arguing for it to continue then explain to the RoI voter how they are going to pay for it AND why they should pay for it but not receive the benefit of it? Or if you are just going to end it explain to Joe Soap in NI who relies on it for a job/in work benefits/out of work benefits/education and health how they will cope with out ?

Or just tell them to take the flag down but they will probably take that as a grubby little insult
I
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 01:42:56 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

But it isn't you pocket we are talking about. You would be voting for everyone to take the hit even those who can't afford it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 07, 2019, 01:57:10 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 11:24:18 PM
People's pockets trump their desire for a United ireland these days.

I have no doubt it's a contributory factor.  However, it's too simplistic on it's own.  Up until the last few years there was a move away from nationalism, but it was a move from nationalism in general, not just Irish nationalism.  Plenty more people would have seen the Good Friday agreement as having sort things out, even those that didn't saw it as managing the way to a united Ireland over a long term period.  More again accepted that by voting for referendum in the south you were accepting the principle of self-determination in the agreement.  This meant it was no longer your business.

Ironically despite the posturing in Eastern Europe it took the Brits to put nationalism really back on the agenda with Brexit.  The invite to join into British jingoism proved too much to resist for the DUP (predictably enough) and now they seem in turn to be awaking Irish nationalism.   In some ways similar to early 1900's where unionism gave a big helping hand to republicans over home rulers.

I've said it before that it is beyond believing how short sighted the DUP seem to be.   By keeping things on an even keel they could keep middle of road nationalist pretty neutral about change.  This was giving them a bulwark against the obvious demographic trends and keeping the Republic pretty laissez-faire about things.  I really can't believe that not one of them (or their paid advisors)  was pointing this out.   Instead they decide to get into some kind of turf war with the likes of the TUV when concessions on flags, rights and Irish Language (all things with no material consequence) would have won the day for unionism.  The writing was on the wall when the St Andrews was signed, enshrining a competition with Shinners into the system.

Frankly, Brexit is just the tin hat on it.  The are now riding roughshod over even their own constituency of protestant farmers and business people. So not only are the awaking dormant nationalists they may potentially do the unthinkable and drive some of their own to the other side.

I always hate to badge any group but it is hard to speculate anything other than, for the DUP,  sheer bigotry, supremacy and sectarianism is more important than the Union itself.  Strange as that reads, I find it hard to see other significant factors.  I use to think fear of the Shinners (based on history of IRA and the troubles) drove them.   However, if they had backed the UUP post Good Friday they could have helped SDLP be the only significant political force in nationalism, however then, like now, being the biggest voice in unionism seemed more important to them.

In an era of empowerment, diversity and equality Foster and May seem to be two female leaders are letting the side down badly.

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 07, 2019, 02:31:17 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 01:41:03 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 06, 2019, 11:01:38 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it
Take it down from the mast.....

Harold

You are better than simple Brexit. You sound a bit like Mark Francois or Peter Bone with that type of impossibly simplistic thinking

Here is the real point. NI economy is massively subsidised. If the need for the subvention is going to end explain how? If you are arguing for it to continue then explain to the RoI voter how they are going to pay for it AND why they should pay for it but not receive the benefit of it? Or if you are just going to end it explain to Joe Soap in NI who relies on it for a job/in work benefits/out of work benefits/education and health how they will cope with out ?

Or just tell them to take the flag down but they will probably take that as a grubby little insult
I

The north needs subsidising. Sure look at what the British policies over the decades left the place a no mans land. They sent their troops in to defend their patch whatever means necessary. Why would any company set up here with all that going on? The north is a basket case, and now Britain treats it the same as the rest of uk. Cuts everywhere, people who lived through the troubles scarred and maimed for life cut off benefits and economically fucked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 02:32:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:12:30 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

https://senatormarkdaly.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/research-on-northern-ireland-income-and-expenditure.pdf

Other than the subvention probably isn't as high as £9bn and that author hopes that GB would stand on for part of the subventions there is not a lot in that 150 pages
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on February 07, 2019, 03:34:18 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 02:32:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:12:30 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

https://senatormarkdaly.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/research-on-northern-ireland-income-and-expenditure.pdf

Other than the subvention probably isn't as high as £9bn and that author hopes that GB would stand on for part of the subventions there is not a lot in that 150 pages
Jesus you read that in no time at all...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 03:35:08 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 02:32:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:12:30 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

https://senatormarkdaly.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/research-on-northern-ireland-income-and-expenditure.pdf

Other than the subvention probably isn't as high as £9bn and that author hopes that GB would stand on for part of the subventions there is not a lot in that 150 pages

But that is precisely what is at the crux of the whole economic argument against re-unification, the budget deficit figure. The report has explained that there are savings to be had in various areas to almost negate that before any potential uplift in growth due to FDI and synergies. Did you actually read the full report?     
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:08:36 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 03:35:08 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 02:32:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:12:30 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

https://senatormarkdaly.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/research-on-northern-ireland-income-and-expenditure.pdf

Other than the subvention probably isn't as high as £9bn and that author hopes that GB would stand on for part of the subventions there is not a lot in that 150 pages

But that is precisely what is at the crux of the whole economic argument against re-unification, the budget deficit figure. The report has explained that there are savings to be had in various areas to almost negate that before any potential uplift in growth due to FDI and synergies. Did you actually read the full report?     

And when you read that report you felt the closing of the deficit was fully explained?

Did you not find some of the assumptions a little presumptuous and a little one sided? Almost as if the conclusions were fixed and the report was written to backfill a route to the conclusions?

The report assumes that the £2.8 Bn spent on pensions/social welfare would continue to be funded by GB. What if it isn't? What if it's not fully GB funded? What if GB funding didn't last forever? Where is the sensitivity analysis of any of these?

The report just assumes that as welfare rights accrued under a UK system they would be fully serviced by GB. It makes the completely opposite assumption in respect of debt servicing. Is that not a bit lob sided?

The convergence savings of £1.7 Bn relates to civil service wages. What if NI needs more public sector workers per capita because of reality on the ground here? And even if you could realise the £1.7 bn of treasury savings what is the impact of sucking those wages out of the economy?

Report talks a lot about planning. Germany had it. The German population was made up of unifiers and people who didn't really care. Nobody was dead set against it once the eastern German top brass were removed. It's a bit different here. North and south who is going to commit to this planning in advance of a poll?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 07, 2019, 04:17:39 PM
Meanwhile back on track

https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/theresa-may-has-reassured-the-eu-there-will-be-an-irish-backstop-verhofstadt-37792423.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 07, 2019, 04:19:10 PM
UI means corporate tax alignment with the south and a lot of international investment. EU would definitely subsidise to the abundant waste of disproportionate civil service expenditure is restructured.
Can we afford not to have a UI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:23:12 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on February 07, 2019, 04:19:10 PM
UI means corporate tax alignment with the south and a lot of international investment. EU would definitely subsidise to the abundant waste of disproportionate civil service expenditure is restructured.
Can we afford not to have a UI

Work that up into a detailed prospectus that tells the average man on the street north and south what that will mean in terms of their pocket and service provision and you stand a chance
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:26:28 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 07, 2019, 04:17:39 PM
Meanwhile back on track

https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/theresa-may-has-reassured-the-eu-there-will-be-an-irish-backstop-verhofstadt-37792423.html

Liddington and Starmer are the adults in the room. Hopefully something comes from their talks. The genie won't fit back in the bottle so we are going to make the best of this sh1tshow
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 07, 2019, 04:28:43 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on February 07, 2019, 04:19:10 PM
UI means corporate tax alignment with the south and a lot of international investment. EU would definitely subsidise to the abundant waste of disproportionate civil service expenditure is restructured.
Can we afford not to have a UI

The Brits will have to pay something towards it too. Only fair there are reparations for 800 years of exploitation
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 04:38:29 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:08:36 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 03:35:08 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 02:32:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:12:30 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

https://senatormarkdaly.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/research-on-northern-ireland-income-and-expenditure.pdf

Other than the subvention probably isn't as high as £9bn and that author hopes that GB would stand on for part of the subventions there is not a lot in that 150 pages

But that is precisely what is at the crux of the whole economic argument against re-unification, the budget deficit figure. The report has explained that there are savings to be had in various areas to almost negate that before any potential uplift in growth due to FDI and synergies. Did you actually read the full report?     

And when you read that report you felt the closing of the deficit was fully explained?

Did you not find some of the assumptions a little presumptuous and a little one sided? Almost as if the conclusions were fixed and the report was written to backfill a route to the conclusions?

The report assumes that the £2.8 Bn spent on pensions/social welfare would continue to be funded by GB. What if it isn't? What if it's not fully GB funded? What if GB funding didn't last forever? Where is the sensitivity analysis of any of these?

The report just assumes that as welfare rights accrued under a UK system they would be fully serviced by GB. It makes the completely opposite assumption in respect of debt servicing. Is that not a bit lob sided?

The convergence savings of £1.7 Bn relates to civil service wages. What if NI needs more public sector workers per capita because of reality on the ground here? And even if you could realise the £1.7 bn of treasury savings what is the impact of sucking those wages out of the economy?

Report talks a lot about planning. Germany had it. The German population was made up of unifiers and people who didn't really care. Nobody was dead set against it once the eastern German top brass were removed. It's a bit different here. North and south who is going to commit to this planning in advance of a poll?

You ask an awful lot of questions yet you fail to answer as to whether you had actually read the full report or just taken selected extracts from it. My guess is that you have taken selected extracts from it to present your own argument. I'm not asking you whether you agree with it or not (you clearly have your mind made up already) just read it with an open mind rather than try to diss everything in it.

Of course there are a lot of assumptions how else can financial projections be anything otherwise in the absence of having a crystal ball. If you are looking for foolproof projections they won't exist in your argument against reunification either. Someone asked if anybody had carried out costings on a reunification and I simply posted this document up, people are clever enough to make up their own minds on it. My own view is that there would be a bit of short term pain but that mid-longer term it would create a lot of opportunities and in particular for the north which is an economic cesspit in comparision to the south.

I imagine that the foreign affairs department of the Irish government will have their own figures but are simply reluctant to release them for fear of freaking out Unionists.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Christmas Lights on February 07, 2019, 04:59:26 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 07, 2019, 01:57:10 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 11:24:18 PM
People's pockets trump their desire for a United ireland these days.

I have no doubt it's a contributory factor.  However, it's too simplistic on it's own.  Up until the last few years there was a move away from nationalism, but it was a move from nationalism in general, not just Irish nationalism.  Plenty more people would have seen the Good Friday agreement as having sort things out, even those that didn't saw it as managing the way to a united Ireland over a long term period.  More again accepted that by voting for referendum in the south you were accepting the principle of self-determination in the agreement.  This meant it was no longer your business.

Ironically despite the posturing in Eastern Europe it took the Brits to put nationalism really back on the agenda with Brexit.  The invite to join into British jingoism proved too much to resist for the DUP (predictably enough) and now they seem in turn to be awaking Irish nationalism.   In some ways similar to early 1900's where unionism gave a big helping hand to republicans over home rulers.

I've said it before that it is beyond believing how short sighted the DUP seem to be.   By keeping things on an even keel they could keep middle of road nationalist pretty neutral about change.  This was giving them a bulwark against the obvious demographic trends and keeping the Republic pretty laissez-faire about things.  I really can't believe that not one of them (or their paid advisors)  was pointing this out.   Instead they decide to get into some kind of turf war with the likes of the TUV when concessions on flags, rights and Irish Language (all things with no material consequence) would have won the day for unionism.  The writing was on the wall when the St Andrews was signed, enshrining a competition with Shinners into the system.

Frankly, Brexit is just the tin hat on it.  The are now riding roughshod over even their own constituency of protestant farmers and business people. So not only are the awaking dormant nationalists they may potentially do the unthinkable and drive some of their own to the other side.

I always hate to badge any group but it is hard to speculate anything other than, for the DUP,  sheer bigotry, supremacy and sectarianism is more important than the Union itself.  Strange as that reads, I find it hard to see other significant factors.  I use to think fear of the Shinners (based on history of IRA and the troubles) drove them.   However, if they had backed the UUP post Good Friday they could have helped SDLP be the only significant political force in nationalism, however then, like now, being the biggest voice in unionism seemed more important to them.

In an era of empowerment, diversity and equality Foster and May seem to be two female leaders are letting the side down badly.

/Jim.

That's an excellent post.  Interesting point when you say "By keeping things on an even keel they could keep middle of road nationalist pretty neutral about change".  I would totally agree with that.  I myself would probably be a middle of the road nationalist where having an UI has never bothered me. I have never been politically minded in the past & I have been happy enough with the status quo.  My mentality though has certainly changed post Brexit and am finding myself drifting more towards a stauncher (for want of a better word) view of nationalism and its been driven by the actions of the Brexiteers and the DUP locally 

Brexit to me is genuinely astounding. I mean the government is trying it's best to make things worse just because people who don't understand and won't listen to reason hate a Boogeyman entity that has actually improved their lives whether they are willing to admit it or not. It has it's flaws, but the EU is not the evil dictatorship some seem to think it is.

Reducing your ability to travel, study and work abroad. Denying your children the chances you had. Willingly jeopardizing a peace process with your nearest neighbour that took decades to achieve to placate morons and charlatans.

Blindly thinking trade deals with countries half way across the world with smaller and poorer populations will cover the loss of a huge market on your doorstep.

Then relying on an incompetent, ignorant and arrogant political class to negotiate these trade deals, when they are the ones forcing through this act of self harm in the most shambolic way imagineable in the first place.

We all know the EU and foreigners will be blamed when the shit hits the fan. 'If only a proper Leaver was in charge, we'd have shown the EU who's boss' they'll say, and then there'll be uproar when they have to queue up for hours getting into Spain on holidays.

How any or this will be explained by future historians is simply beyond me, so many moves made that literally make no sense, appalling application by the government and opposition.

It all beggars belief really.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on February 07, 2019, 05:06:10 PM
Quote from: Christmas Lights on February 07, 2019, 04:59:26 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 07, 2019, 01:57:10 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 11:24:18 PM
People's pockets trump their desire for a United ireland these days.

I have no doubt it's a contributory factor.  However, it's too simplistic on it's own.  Up until the last few years there was a move away from nationalism, but it was a move from nationalism in general, not just Irish nationalism.  Plenty more people would have seen the Good Friday agreement as having sort things out, even those that didn't saw it as managing the way to a united Ireland over a long term period.  More again accepted that by voting for referendum in the south you were accepting the principle of self-determination in the agreement.  This meant it was no longer your business.

Ironically despite the posturing in Eastern Europe it took the Brits to put nationalism really back on the agenda with Brexit.  The invite to join into British jingoism proved too much to resist for the DUP (predictably enough) and now they seem in turn to be awaking Irish nationalism.   In some ways similar to early 1900's where unionism gave a big helping hand to republicans over home rulers.

I've said it before that it is beyond believing how short sighted the DUP seem to be.   By keeping things on an even keel they could keep middle of road nationalist pretty neutral about change.  This was giving them a bulwark against the obvious demographic trends and keeping the Republic pretty laissez-faire about things.  I really can't believe that not one of them (or their paid advisors)  was pointing this out.   Instead they decide to get into some kind of turf war with the likes of the TUV when concessions on flags, rights and Irish Language (all things with no material consequence) would have won the day for unionism.  The writing was on the wall when the St Andrews was signed, enshrining a competition with Shinners into the system.

Frankly, Brexit is just the tin hat on it.  The are now riding roughshod over even their own constituency of protestant farmers and business people. So not only are the awaking dormant nationalists they may potentially do the unthinkable and drive some of their own to the other side.

I always hate to badge any group but it is hard to speculate anything other than, for the DUP,  sheer bigotry, supremacy and sectarianism is more important than the Union itself.  Strange as that reads, I find it hard to see other significant factors.  I use to think fear of the Shinners (based on history of IRA and the troubles) drove them.   However, if they had backed the UUP post Good Friday they could have helped SDLP be the only significant political force in nationalism, however then, like now, being the biggest voice in unionism seemed more important to them.

In an era of empowerment, diversity and equality Foster and May seem to be two female leaders are letting the side down badly.

/Jim.

That's an excellent post.  Interesting point when you say "By keeping things on an even keel they could keep middle of road nationalist pretty neutral about change".  I would totally agree with that.  I myself would probably be a middle of the road nationalist where having an UI has never bothered me. I have never been politically minded in the past & I have been happy enough with the status quo.  My mentality though has certainly changed post Brexit and am finding myself drifting more towards a stauncher (for want of a better word) view of nationalism and its been driven by the actions of the Brexiteers and the DUP locally 

Brexit to me is genuinely astounding. I mean the government is trying it's best to make things worse just because people who don't understand and won't listen to reason hate a Boogeyman entity that has actually improved their lives whether they are willing to admit it or not. It has it's flaws, but the EU is not the evil dictatorship some seem to think it is.

Reducing your ability to travel, study and work abroad. Denying your children the chances you had. Willingly jeopardizing a peace process with your nearest neighbour that took decades to achieve to placate morons and charlatans.

Blindly thinking trade deals with countries half way across the world with smaller and poorer populations will cover the loss of a huge market on your doorstep.

Then relying on an incompetent, ignorant and arrogant political class to negotiate these trade deals, when they are the ones forcing through this act of self harm in the most shambolic way imagineable in the first place.

We all know the EU and foreigners will be blamed when the shit hits the fan. 'If only a proper Leaver was in charge, we'd have shown the EU who's boss' they'll say, and then there'll be uproar when they have to queue up for hours getting into Spain on holidays.

How any or this will be explained by future historians is simply beyond me, so many moves made that literally make no sense, appalling application by the government and opposition.

It all beggars belief really. 

A place in hell awaits apparently.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 05:13:28 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on February 07, 2019, 05:06:10 PM
Quote from: Christmas Lights on February 07, 2019, 04:59:26 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 07, 2019, 01:57:10 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2019, 11:24:18 PM
People's pockets trump their desire for a United ireland these days.

I have no doubt it's a contributory factor.  However, it's too simplistic on it's own.  Up until the last few years there was a move away from nationalism, but it was a move from nationalism in general, not just Irish nationalism.  Plenty more people would have seen the Good Friday agreement as having sort things out, even those that didn't saw it as managing the way to a united Ireland over a long term period.  More again accepted that by voting for referendum in the south you were accepting the principle of self-determination in the agreement.  This meant it was no longer your business.

Ironically despite the posturing in Eastern Europe it took the Brits to put nationalism really back on the agenda with Brexit.  The invite to join into British jingoism proved too much to resist for the DUP (predictably enough) and now they seem in turn to be awaking Irish nationalism.   In some ways similar to early 1900's where unionism gave a big helping hand to republicans over home rulers.

I've said it before that it is beyond believing how short sighted the DUP seem to be.   By keeping things on an even keel they could keep middle of road nationalist pretty neutral about change.  This was giving them a bulwark against the obvious demographic trends and keeping the Republic pretty laissez-faire about things.  I really can't believe that not one of them (or their paid advisors)  was pointing this out.   Instead they decide to get into some kind of turf war with the likes of the TUV when concessions on flags, rights and Irish Language (all things with no material consequence) would have won the day for unionism.  The writing was on the wall when the St Andrews was signed, enshrining a competition with Shinners into the system.

Frankly, Brexit is just the tin hat on it.  The are now riding roughshod over even their own constituency of protestant farmers and business people. So not only are the awaking dormant nationalists they may potentially do the unthinkable and drive some of their own to the other side.

I always hate to badge any group but it is hard to speculate anything other than, for the DUP,  sheer bigotry, supremacy and sectarianism is more important than the Union itself.  Strange as that reads, I find it hard to see other significant factors.  I use to think fear of the Shinners (based on history of IRA and the troubles) drove them.   However, if they had backed the UUP post Good Friday they could have helped SDLP be the only significant political force in nationalism, however then, like now, being the biggest voice in unionism seemed more important to them.

In an era of empowerment, diversity and equality Foster and May seem to be two female leaders are letting the side down badly.

/Jim.

That's an excellent post.  Interesting point when you say "By keeping things on an even keel they could keep middle of road nationalist pretty neutral about change".  I would totally agree with that.  I myself would probably be a middle of the road nationalist where having an UI has never bothered me. I have never been politically minded in the past & I have been happy enough with the status quo.  My mentality though has certainly changed post Brexit and am finding myself drifting more towards a stauncher (for want of a better word) view of nationalism and its been driven by the actions of the Brexiteers and the DUP locally 

Brexit to me is genuinely astounding. I mean the government is trying it's best to make things worse just because people who don't understand and won't listen to reason hate a Boogeyman entity that has actually improved their lives whether they are willing to admit it or not. It has it's flaws, but the EU is not the evil dictatorship some seem to think it is.

Reducing your ability to travel, study and work abroad. Denying your children the chances you had. Willingly jeopardizing a peace process with your nearest neighbour that took decades to achieve to placate morons and charlatans.

Blindly thinking trade deals with countries half way across the world with smaller and poorer populations will cover the loss of a huge market on your doorstep.

Then relying on an incompetent, ignorant and arrogant political class to negotiate these trade deals, when they are the ones forcing through this act of self harm in the most shambolic way imagineable in the first place.

We all know the EU and foreigners will be blamed when the shit hits the fan. 'If only a proper Leaver was in charge, we'd have shown the EU who's boss' they'll say, and then there'll be uproar when they have to queue up for hours getting into Spain on holidays.

How any or this will be explained by future historians is simply beyond me, so many moves made that literally make no sense, appalling application by the government and opposition.

It all beggars belief really. 

A place in hell awaits apparently.

I imagine that Tusk's choice of language was deliberate to provoke a debate. He know full well what the reaction would be. The sheer mention of hell to DUP Brexiteers would have driven them mental with rage and they reacted in the only way they know how. Maybe he shouldn't have mentioned 'hell' but the content of his argument was entirely accurate.

A bunch of middle class elite aided by many media outlets pushing their country over the cliff edge for personal gain. Boris Johnson earned £51k for a speech he give at a Dublin summit a few weeks back. The implications of Brexit will not affect the living standards of any of the people promoting Brexit nor the media moguls who assist them in stoking up fear and division among ordinary working class people.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on February 07, 2019, 05:24:32 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

Are they playing it smart (unwittingly) and avoiding the poisoned chalice?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:26:56 PM
Not that it counts for much but the polls reckon the Tories would still win a General Election.

Which is absolutely mental given they are the most incompetent fools ever!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 07, 2019, 05:46:05 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:08:36 PM
And when you read that report you felt the closing of the deficit was fully explained?

Given the high level nature of it, you are always going to have to deal with high level assumptions.

The closing of deficit was not fully explained, nor would I agree with it.

However, I would expect improved growth in trade due to a UI (especially in the case where the UK has steered itself away from the EU), to lead to GDP growth and the tax revenue from that to bring about an approximate balancing of books.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 07, 2019, 05:49:24 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:23:12 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on February 07, 2019, 04:19:10 PM
UI means corporate tax alignment with the south and a lot of international investment. EU would definitely subsidise to the abundant waste of disproportionate civil service expenditure is restructured.
Can we afford not to have a UI

Work that up into a detailed prospectus that tells the average man on the street north and south what that will mean in terms of their pocket and service provision and you stand a chance

OK we need two documents of that nature, the second one being the existing horlicks under British Rule. I know which one I'm putting my money on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 07, 2019, 06:43:42 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/07/no-deal-brexit-medieval-siege-eu-britain-industries
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 07:25:32 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

The ERG and their apologists within the media would love you to believe that. Those charlatans should be the people held to account for this sorry mess.

Corbyn may have his faults but he is not the architect of this whole Brexit charade. That said I do believe a more centrist labour leader would have helped deliver some form of Brexit deal with cross party support. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 07:57:58 PM
That's kind of what I was getting at YC. The appeared lack of alternative options by Labour.

Is this article not a bit of a turn up? Spectator very tight wing. Maybe they actually see the DUP for the cretins they are.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/02/a-referendum-on-irish-unity-might-be-the-best-way-to-solve-the-brexit-border-issue/amp/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 08:19:56 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 07:57:58 PM
That's kind of what I was getting at YC. The appeared lack of alternative options by Labour.

Is this article not a bit of a turn up? Spectator very tight wing. Maybe they actually see the DUP for the cretins they are.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/02/a-referendum-on-irish-unity-might-be-the-best-way-to-solve-the-brexit-border-issue/amp/

I think it's a simple case of English nationalism trumping any pretence that the union is precious. For many Brexiteers the preservation of the UK is important but just not as important as releasing themselves from the shackles of the EU and their delusions that some form of utopia will automatically follow. 

Previous polls carried out last year suggested that many within England would ditch the 6 counties if it became an obstruction to them getting the Brexit that they wanted. I think that article is probably just a manifestation of that. If the DUP did not hold the balance of power im Westminster my guess is that the border would already have been established in the Irish sea.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 08:41:08 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 04:38:29 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:08:36 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 03:35:08 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 02:32:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 06, 2019, 11:12:30 PM
Quote from: Crete Boom on February 06, 2019, 11:05:12 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 06, 2019, 10:46:45 PM
I wouldn't vote for a 32 county Ireland as it stands

Our national debt is already over 200 BILLION
We can't afford it

Has anybody costed what a United Ireland would cost? People will say the British subvention,NHS cost etc.. but why should we have to adopt the British model of subvention and I am sure there is somebody on here with the expertise to explain the potential savings from the end of duplication of services and the ending of different tax regimes along with the huge social and confidence boost of being one country for the first time in 100 years!! Throw in EU reunification funds and development funds I am sure we it would be possible to mitigate against potential costs!! Personally I would happily take a hit in my pocket for the social boost to all of us if we could finally live together on this Island and I am sure there were probably plenty of potential economic arguments for my Grandfather to consider in 1916 for him and his family but he chose independence and when you look at Brexit I am delighted he did decide to fight!!!

https://senatormarkdaly.files.wordpress.com/2018/07/research-on-northern-ireland-income-and-expenditure.pdf

Other than the subvention probably isn't as high as £9bn and that author hopes that GB would stand on for part of the subventions there is not a lot in that 150 pages

But that is precisely what is at the crux of the whole economic argument against re-unification, the budget deficit figure. The report has explained that there are savings to be had in various areas to almost negate that before any potential uplift in growth due to FDI and synergies. Did you actually read the full report?     

And when you read that report you felt the closing of the deficit was fully explained?

Did you not find some of the assumptions a little presumptuous and a little one sided? Almost as if the conclusions were fixed and the report was written to backfill a route to the conclusions?

The report assumes that the £2.8 Bn spent on pensions/social welfare would continue to be funded by GB. What if it isn't? What if it's not fully GB funded? What if GB funding didn't last forever? Where is the sensitivity analysis of any of these?

The report just assumes that as welfare rights accrued under a UK system they would be fully serviced by GB. It makes the completely opposite assumption in respect of debt servicing. Is that not a bit lob sided?

The convergence savings of £1.7 Bn relates to civil service wages. What if NI needs more public sector workers per capita because of reality on the ground here? And even if you could realise the £1.7 bn of treasury savings what is the impact of sucking those wages out of the economy?

Report talks a lot about planning. Germany had it. The German population was made up of unifiers and people who didn't really care. Nobody was dead set against it once the eastern German top brass were removed. It's a bit different here. North and south who is going to commit to this planning in advance of a poll?

You ask an awful lot of questions yet you fail to answer as to whether you had actually read the full report or just taken selected extracts from it. My guess is that you have taken selected extracts from it to present your own argument. I'm not asking you whether you agree with it or not (you clearly have your mind made up already) just read it with an open mind rather than try to diss everything in it.

Of course there are a lot of assumptions how else can financial projections be anything otherwise in the absence of having a crystal ball. If you are looking for foolproof projections they won't exist in your argument against reunification either. Someone asked if anybody had carried out costings on a reunification and I simply posted this document up, people are clever enough to make up their own minds on it. My own view is that there would be a bit of short term pain but that mid-longer term it would create a lot of opportunities and in particular for the north which is an economic cesspit in comparision to the south.

I imagine that the foreign affairs department of the Irish government will have their own figures but are simply reluctant to release them for fear of freaking out Unionists.

Yes I have read the report. Now you answer my questions

"guesses" and "imagines" don't amount to answers though.

I don't have a problems with assumptions in a forward looking document. But making contradictory assumptions to suit a particular point of view is not serious academic research. And that is a huge flaw in this document
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 08:47:04 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

What do you want labour to do?

To campaign for a second vote and then for remain in that poll would be electoral suicide. They would lose the north of England and probably Wales, split the party and fail to agree a manifesto.

To campaign for no deal is not on the cards.

To facilitate stumbling into a no deal scenario splits the party


Something akin to their current proposal is Labour's best bet
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on February 07, 2019, 08:49:54 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 07:25:32 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

The ERG and their apologists within the media would love you to believe that. Those charlatans should be the people held to account for this sorry mess.

Corbyn may have his faults but he is not the architect of this whole Brexit charade. That said I do believe a more centrist labour leader would have helped deliver some form of Brexit deal with cross party support.

A proper Labour leader would have gotten off his backside and campaigned properly for Remain, maybe enough to swing the vote and avoid this whole sorry mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on February 07, 2019, 08:56:35 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 07, 2019, 08:49:54 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 07:25:32 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

The ERG and their apologists within the media would love you to believe that. Those charlatans should be the people held to account for this sorry mess.

Corbyn may have his faults but he is not the architect of this whole Brexit charade. That said I do believe a more centrist labour leader would have helped deliver some form of Brexit deal with cross party support.

A proper Labour leader would have gotten off his backside and campaigned properly for Remain, maybe enough to swing the vote and avoid this whole sorry mess.

+1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 08:56:47 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 07, 2019, 08:49:54 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 07:25:32 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

The ERG and their apologists within the media would love you to believe that. Those charlatans should be the people held to account for this sorry mess.

Corbyn may have his faults but he is not the architect of this whole Brexit charade. That said I do believe a more centrist labour leader would have helped deliver some form of Brexit deal with cross party support.

A proper Labour leader would have gotten off his backside and campaigned properly for Remain, maybe enough to swing the vote and avoid this whole sorry mess.

Of Labour 60 top target seats 60 voted to leave.

I voted to stay and as disappointed am as anyone at where we are but we cannot lay it at Jezza's door
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on February 07, 2019, 08:57:59 PM
There won't be border checks on day 1 (Leinster v Ulster match). Give it 6 months until Ireland is advised by EU to have the frontier with NI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 08:59:00 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:26:56 PM
Not that it counts for much but the polls reckon the Tories would still win a General Election.

Which is absolutely mental given they are the most incompetent fools ever!

Both the Tories and Labour are in a battle with themselves to try and stay together.

Soubry and Francois can't stand on the same platform. Nor can Umunna and Mann. That can't be fudged any longer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 07, 2019, 05:46:05 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:08:36 PM
And when you read that report you felt the closing of the deficit was fully explained?

Given the high level nature of it, you are always going to have to deal with high level assumptions.

The closing of deficit was not fully explained, nor would I agree with it.

However, I would expect improved growth in trade due to a UI (especially in the case where the UK has steered itself away from the EU), to lead to GDP growth and the tax revenue from that to bring about an approximate balancing of books.
.

Anything more specific?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:01:18 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on February 07, 2019, 05:49:24 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 04:23:12 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on February 07, 2019, 04:19:10 PM
UI means corporate tax alignment with the south and a lot of international investment. EU would definitely subsidise to the abundant waste of disproportionate civil service expenditure is restructured.
Can we afford not to have a UI

Work that up into a detailed prospectus that tells the average man on the street north and south what that will mean in terms of their pocket and service provision and you stand a chance

OK we need two documents of that nature, the second one being the existing horlicks under British Rule. I know which one I'm putting my money on.

What exactly are you asking here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:02:30 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 07:25:32 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

The ERG and their apologists within the media would love you to believe that. Those charlatans should be the people held to account for this sorry mess.

Corbyn may have his faults but he is not the architect of this whole Brexit charade. That said I do believe a more centrist labour leader would have helped deliver some form of Brexit deal with cross party support.
.

Is that not what he is doing?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ball Hopper on February 07, 2019, 09:05:10 PM
Anyone think the EU exit rules fell very short?  The rules should have made it very difficult to leave.

Maybe the EU will amend the "Rules to Leave" to state that any member wishing to Leave must be agreed firstly by all other EU members (parliamentary majority sufficient unless less than 60% margin in either direction will cause a referendum in that country).  Any single nation can thereby veto an exit request.

Then proceed to an Exit agreement between the member and the EU if all nations agree to allow the request to proceed. 

Finally, place the final, no further negotiations allowed, agreement on the referendum ballot in the nation wishing to leave...voters choice is to accept the agreement means Leave, reject the agreement means Remain.

No nation can request to Leave again until 10 years after such a referendum.

Just my 2 cents from afar...you boys are much closer to the action/inaction.

The solution to the current dilemma is to request UK to postpone any exit plans until such amendments are made to EU rules and then proceed as they wish. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:08:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 08:19:56 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 07:57:58 PM
That's kind of what I was getting at YC. The appeared lack of alternative options by Labour.

Is this article not a bit of a turn up? Spectator very tight wing. Maybe they actually see the DUP for the cretins they are.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/02/a-referendum-on-irish-unity-might-be-the-best-way-to-solve-the-brexit-border-issue/amp/

I think it's a simple case of English nationalism trumping any pretence that the union is precious. For many Brexiteers the preservation of the UK is important but just not as important as releasing themselves from the shackles of the EU and their delusions that some form of utopia will automatically follow. 

Previous polls carried out last year suggested that many within England would ditch the 6 counties if it became an obstruction to them getting the Brexit that they wanted. I think that article is probably just a manifestation of that. If the DUP did not hold the balance of power im Westminster my guess is that the border would already have been established in the Irish sea.   

If Labour 's current proposal is rejected and you would have to expect that politically May is compelled to reject it the an Irish Sea customs border could get cross party support.


DUP could have their Ulster Says No moment but the sane world would move on . May's government would collapse and there would have to be a general election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:11:31 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on February 07, 2019, 08:57:59 PM
There won't be border checks on day 1 (Leinster v Ulster match). Give it 6 months until Ireland is advised by EU to have the frontier with NI

I genuinely don't think Dublin or London want a border but either would do it if needs be
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:13:42 PM
Quote from: Ball Hopper on February 07, 2019, 09:05:10 PM
Anyone think the EU exit rules fell very short?  The rules should have made it very difficult to leave.

Maybe the EU will amend the "Rules to Leave" to state that any member wishing to Leave must be agreed firstly by all other EU members (parliamentary majority sufficient unless less than 60% margin in either direction will cause a referendum in that country).  Any single nation can thereby veto an exit request.

Then proceed to an Exit agreement between the member and the EU if all nations agree to allow the request to proceed. 

Finally, place the final, no further negotiations allowed, agreement on the referendum ballot in the nation wishing to leave...voters choice is to accept the agreement means Leave, reject the agreement means Remain.

No nation can request to Leave again until 10 years after such a referendum.

Just my 2 cents from afar...you boys are much closer to the action/inaction.

The solution to the current dilemma is to request UK to postpone any exit plans until such amendments are made to EU rules and then proceed as they wish.

If you tried to introduce those rules today several member states would veto them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ball Hopper on February 07, 2019, 09:26:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:13:42 PM
Quote from: Ball Hopper on February 07, 2019, 09:05:10 PM
Anyone think the EU exit rules fell very short?  The rules should have made it very difficult to leave.

Maybe the EU will amend the "Rules to Leave" to state that any member wishing to Leave must be agreed firstly by all other EU members (parliamentary majority sufficient unless less than 60% margin in either direction will cause a referendum in that country).  Any single nation can thereby veto an exit request.

Then proceed to an Exit agreement between the member and the EU if all nations agree to allow the request to proceed. 

Finally, place the final, no further negotiations allowed, agreement on the referendum ballot in the nation wishing to leave...voters choice is to accept the agreement means Leave, reject the agreement means Remain.

No nation can request to Leave again until 10 years after such a referendum.

Just my 2 cents from afar...you boys are much closer to the action/inaction.

The solution to the current dilemma is to request UK to postpone any exit plans until such amendments are made to EU rules and then proceed as they wish.

If you tried to introduce those rules today several member states would veto them

True, but do all nations vote to accept new members as well?  Can one nation veto a new member? 

I don't know the answer, by the way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 09:40:02 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:02:30 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 07:25:32 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

The ERG and their apologists within the media would love you to believe that. Those charlatans should be the people held to account for this sorry mess.

Corbyn may have his faults but he is not the architect of this whole Brexit charade. That said I do believe a more centrist labour leader would have helped deliver some form of Brexit deal with cross party support.
.

Is that not what he is doing?

Belatedly, probably after he seen the latest poll result.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 07, 2019, 10:00:12 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 07, 2019, 08:49:54 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 07, 2019, 07:25:32 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 07, 2019, 05:16:40 PM
Is the real failure in this sorry state of affairs not the Labour party??

The ERG and their apologists within the media would love you to believe that. Those charlatans should be the people held to account for this sorry mess.

Corbyn may have his faults but he is not the architect of this whole Brexit charade. That said I do believe a more centrist labour leader would have helped deliver some form of Brexit deal with cross party support.

A proper Labour leader would have gotten off his backside and campaigned properly for Remain, maybe enough to swing the vote and avoid this whole sorry mess.

He's the elected leader of the Labour party who has consistently been anti EU. The wankers in the labour party who elected him are at fault. They voted for a socialist revolution, what they now have is a Geography teacher in a stupid communist cap who hasn't got a f**king clue.
Brexit could be an economic disaster. I hope for my family it isn't. The Tory and Labour parties have a lot to answer for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 08, 2019, 01:54:07 PM
(http://sheikyermami.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/51439073_10156612618650412_2011967478371975168_o.jpg)

Any similarities between beelzebub and our Sammy are purely coincidental.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 08, 2019, 02:15:27 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
Anything more specific?

I assume your question is related to trade?

It is widely accepted that there is a correlation between core infrastructure (transport/utilities) and productivity. Taken that given, then...


If there were a UI, we would likely see vast improvements in infrastructure in the border areas leading to improved growth in these areas. The improvement of the roads already within the ROI due to EU led investment should be consider as examples. For instance, we would most likely definitely see:
- New main road linking Monaghan to Maguiresbridge.
- Improved main road linking Enniskillen to Donegal town (via Ballyshannon).
- The A5 gets done rather than dithered over.

Then, dealing with the east coast:
- The York road junction gets done rather than dithered over.
- The Dublin-Belfast enterprise service gets new rolling stock that pulls the journey time down to around an hour (its only 100 miles). Even use of the older intercity 125s on a track fit for purpose would see a big drop in journey time - current top speed is limited to 90 mph. The enterprise service as it stands at the moment is an embarrassment. Benign topology and yet the best we can do is an average speed of ~55 mph between the 2 largest cities just 100 miles apart?

We would possibly see:
- extension of the dual carriageway from Ballygawley to Enniskillen. I wouldn't imagine this would dual carriageway over to Ballyshannon.
- improvements of the links to Warrenpoint dock so freight can be moved more quickly onto the motorway/rail network.

I'd also like to think there would be EU monies put toward improving broadband infrastructure in rural areas, which would also lead to improved economic output from our smaller businesses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 08, 2019, 02:17:16 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:01:18 PM
What exactly are you asking here?

1. Economic prospects in event of Brexit and Northern Ireland remaining part of the UK

2. Economic prospects in event of Brexit and a United Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 08, 2019, 06:19:13 PM
(https://nuk-tnl-deck-prod-static.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/uploads/0dcef718d642e8a8f008710feec9dc88.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on February 08, 2019, 11:28:24 PM
I am now strongly of the view that we're on the one road here, and while it may be the long road we're together now - so who cares. There have been regular and informed comments from many posters, particularly Seafoid, which have helped me understand what's going on. Now I think it has boiled down to this: if the worst happens and the UK crash out with no deal it's now inevitable there will be a united Ireland within 10 years so happy days. If the best happens and the UK gets a deal which we are all happy with then life goes on as is and we still progress towards a united Ireland at a slower pace so happy days.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 09, 2019, 12:34:39 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 08, 2019, 06:19:13 PM
(https://nuk-tnl-deck-prod-static.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/uploads/0dcef718d642e8a8f008710feec9dc88.jpg)

5 o clock shadow and everything. Amazing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 09, 2019, 01:50:10 AM

No deal would be suicidal for the U.K.

If No deal went ahead the economic justification for the existence
of Northern Ireland would disappear

https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/07/no-deal-brexit-medieval-siege-eu-britain-industries

Plus the south is more socially progressive regarding reproductive rights !! After decades being behind .# Jaysus

If a time traveler from Crossmaglen in the 50's rolled up they would not believe the changes that have happened. It all started when Down won the All Ireland in 1960. ;)

The Irish govt was dealt a bad hand with the Brexit referendum but they played as a team
and they got a result. It is fantastic to see all the Irish parties both north and south united in support of everyone in the north.

https://youtu.be/O3G1bwD0ao0
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 09, 2019, 02:36:48 AM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 08, 2019, 11:28:24 PM
I am now strongly of the view that we're on the one road here, and while it may be the long road we're together now - so who cares. There have been regular and informed comments from many posters, particularly Seafoid, which have helped me understand what's going on. Now I think it has boiled down to this: if the worst happens and the UK crash out with no deal it's now inevitable there will be a united Ireland within 10 years so happy days. If the best happens and the UK gets a deal which we are all happy with then life goes on as is and we still progress towards a united Ireland at a slower pace so happy days.

Yep, no deal and a rather bumpy landing, or we can glide in towards the runway without wakening the passengers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 09, 2019, 04:08:33 AM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 08, 2019, 11:28:24 PM
I am now strongly of the view that we're on the one road here, and while it may be the long road we're together now - so who cares. There have been regular and informed comments from many posters, particularly Seafoid, which have helped me understand what's going on. Now I think it has boiled down to this: if the worst happens and the UK crash out with no deal it's now inevitable there will be a united Ireland within 10 years so happy days. If the best happens and the UK gets a deal which we are all happy with then life goes on as is and we still progress towards a united Ireland at a slower pace so happy days.

Anyone else get a chuckle at this??

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: manfromdelmonte on February 09, 2019, 08:34:05 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 08, 2019, 02:15:27 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
Anything more specific?

I assume your question is related to trade?

It is widely accepted that there is a correlation between core infrastructure (transport/utilities) and productivity. Taken that given, then...


If there were a UI, we would likely see vast improvements in infrastructure in the border areas leading to improved growth in these areas. The improvement of the roads already within the ROI due to EU led investment should be consider as examples. For instance, we would most likely definitely see:
- New main road linking Monaghan to Maguiresbridge.
- Improved main road linking Enniskillen to Donegal town (via Ballyshannon).
- The A5 gets done rather than dithered over.

Then, dealing with the east coast:
- The York road junction gets done rather than dithered over.
- The Dublin-Belfast enterprise service gets new rolling stock that pulls the journey time down to around an hour (its only 100 miles). Even use of the older intercity 125s on a track fit for purpose would see a big drop in journey time - current top speed is limited to 90 mph. The enterprise service as it stands at the moment is an embarrassment. Benign topology and yet the best we can do is an average speed of ~55 mph between the 2 largest cities just 100 miles apart?

We would possibly see:
- extension of the dual carriageway from Ballygawley to Enniskillen. I wouldn't imagine this would dual carriageway over to Ballyshannon.
- improvements of the links to Warrenpoint dock so freight can be moved more quickly onto the motorway/rail network.

I'd also like to think there would be EU monies put toward improving broadband infrastructure in rural areas, which would also lead to improved economic output from our smaller businesses.
Rural broadband in the south is pathetic
There has been very little investment since the state privatised telecom eireann as Eircom and that has been resold, twice is it now?

Rail is not used for Freight very much in the south as the motorway network is faster

Don't assume the boys down south are any better at infrastructure delivery
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 09, 2019, 01:07:34 PM
Quote from: manfromdelmonte on February 09, 2019, 08:34:05 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 08, 2019, 02:15:27 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
Anything more specific?

I assume your question is related to trade?

It is widely accepted that there is a correlation between core infrastructure (transport/utilities) and productivity. Taken that given, then...


If there were a UI, we would likely see vast improvements in infrastructure in the border areas leading to improved growth in these areas. The improvement of the roads already within the ROI due to EU led investment should be consider as examples. For instance, we would most likely definitely see:
- New main road linking Monaghan to Maguiresbridge.
- Improved main road linking Enniskillen to Donegal town (via Ballyshannon).
- The A5 gets done rather than dithered over.

Then, dealing with the east coast:
- The York road junction gets done rather than dithered over.
- The Dublin-Belfast enterprise service gets new rolling stock that pulls the journey time down to around an hour (its only 100 miles). Even use of the older intercity 125s on a track fit for purpose would see a big drop in journey time - current top speed is limited to 90 mph. The enterprise service as it stands at the moment is an embarrassment. Benign topology and yet the best we can do is an average speed of ~55 mph between the 2 largest cities just 100 miles apart?

We would possibly see:
- extension of the dual carriageway from Ballygawley to Enniskillen. I wouldn't imagine this would dual carriageway over to Ballyshannon.
- improvements of the links to Warrenpoint dock so freight can be moved more quickly onto the motorway/rail network.

I'd also like to think there would be EU monies put toward improving broadband infrastructure in rural areas, which would also lead to improved economic output from our smaller businesses.
Rural broadband in the south is pathetic
There has been very little investment since the state privatised telecom eireann as Eircom and that has been resold, twice is it now?


This is only partly true, while broadband remains crap in many places a significant number of people in more populated rural areas in the 26 counties have now got FTTH, there will be 300,000 in total, there is a still feck all FTTH in the North.

And while the children's hospital shows the limitations of politically driven infrastructure delivery in the 26 counties, they had more or less got the hang of building roads.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on February 09, 2019, 01:18:00 PM
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/brexit/firm-with-no-ships-has-brexit-ferries-contract-cancelled/ar-BBTmsVp?li=BBoPWjQ

Think someone mentioned this earlier but sweet fcuk....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on February 09, 2019, 07:53:02 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-47184715
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 10, 2019, 12:22:11 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47187491

Unicorns.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 10, 2019, 10:43:44 PM
Helen McEntee TD
Helen McEntee TD
@HMcEntee
·
3m
Fantastic win for Meath over Armagh today. Friendly crowd at Páirc Tailteann in Navan - a great occasion of shared Irishness. A few Armagh supporters had a non-GAA request for me: 'Don't abandon us in Brexit'.
Ireland will not accept the return of a border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 11, 2019, 09:10:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2019, 10:43:44 PM
Helen McEntee TD
Helen McEntee TD
@HMcEntee
·
3m
Fantastic win for Meath over Armagh today. Friendly crowd at Páirc Tailteann in Navan - a great occasion of shared Irishness. A few Armagh supporters had a non-GAA request for me: 'Don't abandon us in Brexit'.
Ireland will not accept the return of a border.

Listening to Tomas O'Sé and Ciaran Whelan after game on Saturday the championship should really only have two teams and at the very least the hard Border should be drawn across the nine counties instead of six. 

/Jim
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on February 11, 2019, 09:36:27 AM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 11, 2019, 09:10:27 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 10, 2019, 10:43:44 PM
Helen McEntee TD
Helen McEntee TD
@HMcEntee
·
3m
Fantastic win for Meath over Armagh today. Friendly crowd at Páirc Tailteann in Navan - a great occasion of shared Irishness. A few Armagh supporters had a non-GAA request for me: 'Don't abandon us in Brexit'.
Ireland will not accept the return of a border.

Listening to Tomas O'Sé and Ciaran Whelan after game on Saturday the championship should really only have two teams and at the very least the hard Border should be drawn across the nine counties instead of six. 

/Jim

I'd stretch some sort of corridor as well to take in Carlow behind the hard wall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 11, 2019, 11:07:37 AM
Recommended read.

https://ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Brexit-and-the-backstop-everything-you-need-to-know.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 01:05:35 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/02/11/theresa-may-leading-us-towards-highly-dangerous-no-deal-brexit/

Theresa May is leading us towards a highly dangerous no-deal Brexit and a united Ireland   
•   
John Bruton FORMER PRIME MINISTER OF IRELAND
11 February 2019 • 10:00am

We seem to be sliding inexorably toward a "no deal" Brexit. Theresa May's decision to prioritize a deal with the Brexiteers in her own party, over a possible deal with the Opposition, and the time limits imposed on all of us by Article 50, make a No Deal much more likely than it was a week ago.
The EU is a rule-based organisation, and it cannot afford to break its own rules if it wants to maintain its moral and political authority. The technical fixes, advocated by the Tory Brexiteers, cannot be worked through between now and 29 March.
At this late stage, Mrs May can afford to gamble, because, politically, she has little left to lose. The EU cannot do so.
Its credibility is vital to its trade agreements with the rest of the world. Its internal cohesion depends on the consistent application of common rules.  Where will a No Deal leave Ireland?
On 1 April, the UK will be a non-EU country. By law, the EU will have to treat it as such. Ireland has opted to stay in the EU and will have to continue to apply EU law, including the EU Customs Code, in all its dealings with non-EU states, including the UK and Northern Ireland. That is a clear general principle.
The detail of how this might be applied at Irish ports and land boundaries, on traffic arriving from the UK, should now be clarified in minute detail.
There is no negotiating advantage now in withholding this information at this late stage, in light of Mrs May's choice to prioritize a deal with the Conservative Brexiteers over a deal with Labour.
Recently, the Belfast-based pollster LucidTalk asked people in Northern Ireland how Brexit might influence how they would vote in a referendum on leaving the UK and joining a United Ireland. Their results, I have to say, were quite surprising.
If there were a "no deal" Brexit crash-out of the EU: 55%  said they would either certainly or probably vote for a united Ireland, against 42% certainly or probably opting to stay in the UK.
If there were a Brexit based on Theresa May's withdrawal agreement: the outcome would be wide open, with 48 % opting to stay in the Union, and 48% wanting Irish unification.
What makes the difference in the poll is the crucial swing vote of the "neutrals", who are neither self-described unionists nor self-described nationalist/republicans.
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If there is no deal, only 14% of these "neutrals" would vote to remain in the UK! If there is Brexit on May's terms, that rises to 29%.
This poll should be read by Conservative MPs who claim perversely to oppose the Withdrawal Agreement and the backstop due to their support for the Union of Northern Ireland with Britain. In the name of support for the Union, these Conservative MPs risk opening the way to a No Deal Brexit, the very outcome that would make a breakup of the Union most likely.
By backing Brexit at all costs, including a no-deal Brexit, the Democratic Unionist Party has enhanced the likelihood of a border poll that would end the Union. This is not a wise course for a "unionist" party to have followed. It plays into the hands of Sinn Fein.
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This DUP approach shows how the politics of identity can lead sensible people to adopt policies that lead to the very outcome that they do not want.
The poll data also raises questions about how the vast UK Exchequer subsidy towards public services in Northern Ireland could be met from the much smaller Irish Exchequer, in the event of a united Ireland being chosen by voters in a referendum in Northern Ireland. The implications for tax, and for public services and pay, in both parts of Ireland would be substantial.
There is also the question of how Loyalists, who passionately support the Union and who have a record of violence, might react to a referendum decision that did not go the way they wanted, and how the Garda Siochana and the Irish Army could cope with this.
Neither of these points is addressed by those, who refuse to take their seats where they could do some good, and who are instead constantly demanding a border poll. As Brexit shows, making a big decision on the basis on the basis of a 58/48% vote can have dire consequences.
Mrs May, by prioritizing Conservative Party unity over a cross-party approach, is leading these two islands into constitutional and emotional territory that has not been mapped, and that is highly dangerous.
John Bruton served as Taoiseach from 1994 to 1997 , then the EU's Ambassador to the USA (2004-2009)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 11, 2019, 01:40:24 PM
Holy feck, big 'commonwealth' John manages to somehow implicate the shinners for the brexit mess. What a suprise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on February 11, 2019, 02:26:44 PM
Did John Bruton finally escape from Prince Charles' arse?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 11, 2019, 02:29:04 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on February 11, 2019, 02:26:44 PM
Did John Bruton finally escape from Prince Charles' arse?

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=LHsvb7k7_ho

Never fails to make me laugh
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 02:45:33 PM

Ireland is again in the grip of Anglophobia

By

Here is a beauty from the House of Sindo


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2019/01/31/ireland-grip-anglophobia/

Eilis O'Hanlon

31 January 2019 • 6:30pm   

One hundred years ago, a small group of newly elected MPs met at the Mansion House in Dublin to declare Irish independence. Curiously, the passion that existed in Ireland back then for the inalienable right of nations to self-determination finds no contemporary echo when it comes to understanding the impulses that led to Brexit.

On the contrary, the Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar, may have used the recent centenary of that First Dail to laud the aspiration to a "free, independent and democratic state", but he shamelessly did so while asserting that it now finds its fullest expression in, and is best achieved through, membership of the EU. It's a telling indication of where the Irish public mood stands right now that he got away with such absurd revisionism.

EU membership has allowed Ireland to feel for once like the bigger party in its relationship with Britain, and that's been good for self-confidence; but it has also encouraged Dublin to overplay its hand in the current crisis. As time runs out towards March 29, it would be only natural for the Irish to wonder in hindsight if they had made the right call by throwing in their lot with Brussels, at the risk of good relations with their nearest neighbour. As it happens, there is no evidence of such second thoughts in Dublin at all, despite the decision to back the UK into a corner, which threatens to sour the rest of Varadkar's premiership.


Maintaining the solidarity of the EU at all costs has become an end in itself, even if it leads to a no-deal Brexit and a hard border, which is the very outcome it was meant to avoid.

Politically speaking, the Taoiseach remains fortunate. His party is behind him all the way; his bullish stance has proved popular in the polls; the Irish media is pretty much united in scorn against the UK's decision to leave the EU; and opposition parties have wrapped themselves in the green flag, rather than risk charges of disloyalty by daring to suggest that maybe, just maybe, Ireland should not have been so gung ho about pursuing a path with the potential to go so badly wrong.

It would be easy to blame the EU for pushing Ireland down this blind alley, using the threat of a hard border as leverage against Britain. Worryingly, however, the current mood of rancour towards the UK that has been stirred up by Brexit is more deeply embedded than that.

The Britain which the Irish are now set on repelling to the bitter end is one that exists in the collective consciousness as a folk memory of oppression; a synonym for historic ill‑treatment. That old trope had faded so much in recent times that it was tempting to hope it had gone for good. Now it's back, and what's troubling is how this rising tide of Anglophobia is flourishing among the educated, middle-class Irish who would have been aghast until lately to think they still had it in them.

They've been given permission to indulge in an old tribal animus, while being assured by their own government that this atavistic backlash is all the fault of the British themselves.

Even if Brussels were to perform one of its traditional "EU-turns" and put pressure on an unsuspecting Dublin to back down on the backstop, Irish opinion right now would still place the blame at Britain's door.

What's being forgotten is that it is not Britain which will have to deal with the consequences of any fall‑out from the raking up of ancient hostilities, but Ireland itself. Even moderate unionists in Northern Ireland are being treated again as hostile and alien as an old pan‑nationalist front reasserts itself under the sheltering wing of the EU.
Varadkar continues to fan these flames by stating that Ireland is being "victimised" by Brexit, while simultaneously positioning the country as a heavyweight going toe to toe with Britain, ready to punch it out to see who hits the canvas first. This mixture of aggression and self-pity is a dangerous brew.

If the brinksmanship backfires, the EU has its excuses ready. It can always say it was simply standing four-square behind a valued member state. It's the Irish who will pay the greater price – economically, but in a deeper sense, too, by recklessly undoing decades of reconciliation.


Eilis O'Hanlon writes for the Sunday Independent and Belfast Telegraph
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 03:08:03 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/culture/heritage/how-was-the-irish-border-drawn-in-the-first-place-1.3789571

How was the Irish Border drawn in the first place?

Three civil servants produced different options for temporary 'exclusion zone' in 1914

Conor Mulvagh

"Nearing a century in existence the Irish Border has become the defining feature of Ireland's political geography. The Border was established in law in December 1920 but as an exclusion zone between two parts of the United Kingdom chalked for devolution, not independence. When the Anglo-Irish Treaty was ratified in 1922, the boundary line became an international border. But who drew the line in the first place and what thinking lay behind the decision to go for full six-county exclusion? In the spring of 1914, the British government secured secret approval for a strictly time-limited exclusion of an undetermined portion of Ulster from the leaders of nationalist Ireland – John Redmond, John Dillon, T P O'Connor, and Joseph Devlin.

Once the leadership of the Irish Parliamentary Party had been locked in, the British government began in earnest to draw up possible schemes for the exclusion of Ulster. The Chief Secretary for Ireland, Augustine Birrell, called upon three senior Irish civil servants to draw up a boundary for an Ulster exclusion zone. These were Birrell's undersecretary, Sir James B Dougherty; W F Bailey of the Estates Commissioners Office; and Sir Henry Augustus Robinson, vice-president of the Local Government Board for Ireland. Birrell set May 6th as the deadline for receipt of proposals from his three advisers. When submitted, each scheme included a justification for why certain communities were left north or south of the dividing line.

Ultimately it was Dougherty whose boundary scheme was adopted. On the eve of the first World War, Redmond and Edward Carson faced each other down for their claim to Fermanagh and Tyrone but following the 1916 Rising, Redmond abandoned his claim to what would become Northern Ireland's two Catholic-majority counties. Historian Roy Foster has described Redmond as "desperate . . . to achieve any settlement going" after the Rising.

"Of Crossmaglen nationalists, Robinson opined that they "are about the warmest lot I know"

Returning to 1914, the texts for the three exclusion schemes give unparalleled insight into the conceptual underpinnings of the modern Irish Border. Two stark points emerge. Firstly, decisions unsympathetic to large borderland communities were taken in the name of administrative efficiency. Secondly, the Border's architects explicitly bowed to force and the threat of violence. Decisions were made to leave substantial communities on the "wrong" side of the exclusion line because of the perceived strength of minority paramilitaries and agitators in their midst.

The Bailey scheme

Taking Bailey first, his was the most disruptive scheme and it paid the least heed to existing administrative boundaries. Instead, Bailey relied on physical geography to craft a more visible border. In Fermanagh, Bailey cut straight through both of the county's parliamentary divisions, running his boundary line directly up the middle of the Erne waterways system. Of the three schemes, Bailey's was the only one in which his accompanying notes made no acknowledgement to the scheme's temporary nature. Bailey's use of physical geography to create a visible and less permeable boundary line further suggests he had a permanent settlement in mind.
A reconstruction of W F Bailey's proposed borderline A reconstruction of W F Bailey's proposed borderline 
Further down his boundary line, Bailey proposed the inclusion of the entire parliamentary division of North Monaghan within the unionist area. Monaghan was a county nobody else was even considering and North Monaghan had a two-thirds Catholic majority. Because his boundary line sliced through existing administrative units, it was impossible for Bailey to accurately estimate how many of the almost 1.2 million people he planned to exclude from the jurisdiction of the Home Rule parliament were Catholics and Protestants.

The Robinson scheme

By far the most thorough of the three exclusion schemes was that devised by Robinson. In drawing his boundary line, Robinson took local government boundaries as his operational unit: a method his undersecretary would later dismiss as unworkable. The Robinson scheme proposed the exclusion of 26.85 per cent of the population of Ireland and 28.58 per cent of Ireland's land by valuation. Robinson's exclusion zone was two-thirds Protestant and one-third Catholic. Of the three, Robinson's boundary line was the only one which explicitly considered infrastructure such as road and rail connections. Even though Robinson's line was not ultimately adopted, his justifications are highly instructive in explaining the thinking underpinning the final shape of the Irish Border, especially the inclusion of the two Catholic majority counties, Tyrone and Fermanagh, and the majority Catholic city of Derry.
Sir Henry Robinson's proposed border Sir Henry Robinson's proposed border 
On the eastern end of the boundary line, the Robinson scheme showed considerably more sympathy to Catholics than simple six-county exclusion. Robinson left south Armagh and south Down, including the heavily Catholic town of Newry, within Home Rule jurisdiction. One can only imagine how differently subsequent Irish history might have played out had south Armagh been under Dublin rule from the outset. In the western half of Ulster, Robinson made a number of sweeping decisions regarding large swathes of territory with solid Catholic majorities.

In drawing his line, Robinson factored in "the degrees of obstreperousness in the rival sectarian factions on the border line". In terms of appeasing volatile sectarian communities, Robinson bent to both nationalist and unionist extremists. Of Crossmaglen nationalists, he opined that they "are about the warmest lot I know". In Fermanagh, Robinson's justification was even more illuminating. Here he justified the inclusion of an area with a 3,000-strong Catholic majority because "there has been more money spent on armament and drilling here than in any part of the county and these Enniskillen and Lisnaskea protestant farmers are the most blood-thirsty set of ruffians I know". Fearing a contagion effect in Cavan and Monaghan, Robinson defended the exclusion of these districts as "there would be no peace or settlement along the whole border line if these people were left out". Bailey had applied the same logic to justify the inclusion of North Monaghan and the whole of Tyrone, the Protestant minorities of which he described as being "very strong and . . . better drilled and armed than in almost any part of the Province".

Despite all of his careful work and calculations, Robinson all but threw away all his careful cartography at the end of his letter to Birrell stating: "I expect you will find that the Ulstermen's minimum will be six entire counties in and no option . . . Personally, I agree about no option [putting the matter to a plebiscite]. It will indeed mean riots when this crucial issue is announced."

The Dougherty scheme

The third and final scheme to be submitted was that of Dougherty, the highest-ranking civil servant in Ireland. Dougherty first wrote on May 7th explaining that it would be "a difficult, if not impossible job to construct these pens" and that "the policy of exclusion, whatever plan may be adopted, bristles with difficulties and . . . I do not see how they are to be surmounted."

Dougherty's full memorandum was submitted on May 11th. It considered the merits and demerits of dividing the province by local government areas, parliamentary divisions, and full counties. Of these, Dougherty's preference was for the scheme which was ultimately adopted: county option. Dougherty's rationale focused largely on the administrative headache he foresaw in dealing with an otherwise excluded area in which local government boards, county councils, and existing parliamentary constituencies would be split across two jurisdictions.

All three schemes recommended that Ulster's second city, Derry, which had a 56 per cent Catholic majority, be put into the exclusion zone. Robinson argued that it was "impossible to keep the maiden city out of the parent county". Dougherty reminded his chief secretary that "the city of Derry has strong sentimental attractions for the Ulster Protestant, and it is the headquarters of the county administration" adding that "it is unlikely the 'Covenanters' will now consent to see the city excluded from Protestant Ulster."

Despite declaring for the whole-county option, Dougherty fudged his answer to the question of whether four or six counties should be excluded. His rationale for four-county exclusion was based on the fact that such a scheme would create "a tolerably compact area" but he seems on balance to have conceded that six counties would be the more realistic outcome due to the fact that "it is difficult to see how the Ulster Covenanters in the four included counties can abandon their brethren in Tyrone or Fermanagh". No more than Robinson, Dougherty was conceding to the power of force and threat in making his decisions over Ulster. Historian Brendan O Donoghue makes a convincing case that copies of various maps, including Robinson's May 6th map, were circulated among attendees at the Buckingham Palace Conference in July when it came to discussing permutations for an area for exclusion that might be acceptable to both nationalists and unionists.

The stark reality of the Irish Border is that it was never intended to be in international boundary. What began as an idea for a temporary demarcation line between two devolved United Kingdom parliaments evolved into something much more significant. It has seen customs posts, cratering, spiking, checkpoints, and militarisation over its lifetime. The Irish Border has never been "softer" than it is at the present moment. Equally, there has never been such uncertainty over what the future holds in its chequered history.

Dr Conor Mulvagh is a lecturer in Irish history at University College Dublin"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on February 11, 2019, 04:39:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 03:08:03 PM
How was the Irish Border drawn in the first place?

I like the version in Spike Milligan's Puckoon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 11, 2019, 05:13:47 PM
I see the pathetic Westbrit "Indepedent" is off on the old "Pan Nationalist Front"  sh1te again.
Just can't bear 80% of Irish people agreeing on what's best for their Country.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 11, 2019, 05:27:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 02:45:33 PMEilis O’Hanlon writes for the Sunday Independent and Belfast Telegraph

How on earth do two separate papers pay her to write for them?

That is intellectually feeble stuff.


Unless the ROI leave the EU - or voluntarily to remove themselves from the single market, then in the even of the UK leaving without being synchronised to the regulations within the EU single market there must be checks at the only land border between EU and UK.

It is not a challenging concept to understand.

Everything else circulates around this fundamental. Why she is bothering to try and dress it up with emotive crap is beyond me.


How someone who has appointed themselves as an intellectual whose opinion is worth of print cannot understand this is quite frankly a reflection of the poor state of media today. No small wonder that paper circulation is continually dropping, why bother forking out for opinions every bit as uninformed as those you might find on facebook.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 05:35:07 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 11, 2019, 05:27:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 02:45:33 PMEilis O'Hanlon writes for the Sunday Independent and Belfast Telegraph

How on earth do two separate papers pay her to write for them?

That is intellectually feeble stuff.


Unless the ROI leave the EU - or voluntarily to remove themselves from the single market, then in the even of the UK leaving without being synchronised to the regulations within the EU single market there must be checks at the only land border between EU and UK.

It is not a challenging concept to understand.

Everything else circulates around this fundamental. Why she is bothering to try and dress it up with emotive crap is beyond me.


How someone who has appointed themselves as an intellectual whose opinion is worth of print cannot understand this is quite frankly a reflection of the poor state of media today. No small wonder that paper circulation is continually dropping, why bother forking out for opinions every bit as uninformed as those you might find on facebook.
the Telegraph is atrocious
It's a thinktank for Brexit as far as I can see
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 11, 2019, 05:39:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 05:35:07 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 11, 2019, 05:27:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 02:45:33 PMEilis O'Hanlon writes for the Sunday Independent and Belfast Telegraph

How on earth do two separate papers pay her to write for them?

That is intellectually feeble stuff.


Unless the ROI leave the EU - or voluntarily to remove themselves from the single market, then in the even of the UK leaving without being synchronised to the regulations within the EU single market there must be checks at the only land border between EU and UK.

It is not a challenging concept to understand.

Everything else circulates around this fundamental. Why she is bothering to try and dress it up with emotive crap is beyond me.


How someone who has appointed themselves as an intellectual whose opinion is worth of print cannot understand this is quite frankly a reflection of the poor state of media today. No small wonder that paper circulation is continually dropping, why bother forking out for opinions every bit as uninformed as those you might find on facebook.
the Telegraph is atrocious
It's a thinktank for Brexit as far as I can see

Atrocious. Has turned into a DUP propaganda sheet under Gail Walker. But its circulation has collapsed, so very few people are actually reading this shite by O Hanlon, McCausland and that odious old crone Dudley Edwards
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 06:06:30 PM

Robert Peston
@Peston
The health minister Stephen Hammond has written to a Tory MP to provide assurance to one of the MP's constituents that the NHS is stockpiling bodybags as insurance against a no-deal Brexit. This is not a joke
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on February 11, 2019, 09:30:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 03:08:03 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/culture/heritage/how-was-the-irish-border-drawn-in-the-first-place-1.3789571

How was the Irish Border drawn in the first place?

Three civil servants produced different options for temporary 'exclusion zone' in 1914

Conor Mulvagh
"Nearing a century in existence the Irish Border has become the defining feature of Ireland's political geography. The Border was established in law in December 1920 but as an exclusion zone between two parts of the United Kingdom chalked for devolution, not independence. When the Anglo-Irish Treaty was ratified in 1922, the boundary line became an international border. But who drew the line in the first place and what thinking lay behind the decision to go for full six-county exclusion? In the spring of 1914, the British government secured secret approval for a strictly time-limited exclusion of an undetermined portion of Ulster from the leaders of nationalist Ireland – John Redmond, John Dillon, T P O'Connor, and Joseph Devlin.

Once the leadership of the Irish Parliamentary Party had been locked in, the British government began in earnest to draw up possible schemes for the exclusion of Ulster. The Chief Secretary for Ireland, Augustine Birrell, called upon three senior Irish civil servants to draw up a boundary for an Ulster exclusion zone. These were Birrell's undersecretary, Sir James B Dougherty; W F Bailey of the Estates Commissioners Office; and Sir Henry Augustus Robinson, vice-president of the Local Government Board for Ireland. Birrell set May 6th as the deadline for receipt of proposals from his three advisers. When submitted, each scheme included a justification for why certain communities were left north or south of the dividing line.

Ultimately it was Dougherty whose boundary scheme was adopted. On the eve of the first World War, Redmond and Edward Carson faced each other down for their claim to Fermanagh and Tyrone but following the 1916 Rising, Redmond abandoned his claim to what would become Northern Ireland's two Catholic-majority counties. Historian Roy Foster has described Redmond as "desperate . . . to achieve any settlement going" after the Rising.

"Of Crossmaglen nationalists, Robinson opined that they "are about the warmest lot I know"

Returning to 1914, the texts for the three exclusion schemes give unparalleled insight into the conceptual underpinnings of the modern Irish Border. Two stark points emerge. Firstly, decisions unsympathetic to large borderland communities were taken in the name of administrative efficiency. Secondly, the Border's architects explicitly bowed to force and the threat of violence. Decisions were made to leave substantial communities on the "wrong" side of the exclusion line because of the perceived strength of minority paramilitaries and agitators in their midst.

The Bailey scheme

Taking Bailey first, his was the most disruptive scheme and it paid the least heed to existing administrative boundaries. Instead, Bailey relied on physical geography to craft a more visible border. In Fermanagh, Bailey cut straight through both of the county's parliamentary divisions, running his boundary line directly up the middle of the Erne waterways system. Of the three schemes, Bailey's was the only one in which his accompanying notes made no acknowledgement to the scheme's temporary nature. Bailey's use of physical geography to create a visible and less permeable boundary line further suggests he had a permanent settlement in mind.
A reconstruction of W F Bailey's proposed borderline A reconstruction of W F Bailey's proposed borderline 
Further down his boundary line, Bailey proposed the inclusion of the entire parliamentary division of North Monaghan within the unionist area. Monaghan was a county nobody else was even considering and North Monaghan had a two-thirds Catholic majority. Because his boundary line sliced through existing administrative units, it was impossible for Bailey to accurately estimate how many of the almost 1.2 million people he planned to exclude from the jurisdiction of the Home Rule parliament were Catholics and Protestants.

The Robinson scheme

By far the most thorough of the three exclusion schemes was that devised by Robinson. In drawing his boundary line, Robinson took local government boundaries as his operational unit: a method his undersecretary would later dismiss as unworkable. The Robinson scheme proposed the exclusion of 26.85 per cent of the population of Ireland and 28.58 per cent of Ireland's land by valuation. Robinson's exclusion zone was two-thirds Protestant and one-third Catholic. Of the three, Robinson's boundary line was the only one which explicitly considered infrastructure such as road and rail connections. Even though Robinson's line was not ultimately adopted, his justifications are highly instructive in explaining the thinking underpinning the final shape of the Irish Border, especially the inclusion of the two Catholic majority counties, Tyrone and Fermanagh, and the majority Catholic city of Derry.
Sir Henry Robinson's proposed border Sir Henry Robinson's proposed border 
On the eastern end of the boundary line, the Robinson scheme showed considerably more sympathy to Catholics than simple six-county exclusion. Robinson left south Armagh and south Down, including the heavily Catholic town of Newry, within Home Rule jurisdiction. One can only imagine how differently subsequent Irish history might have played out had south Armagh been under Dublin rule from the outset. In the western half of Ulster, Robinson made a number of sweeping decisions regarding large swathes of territory with solid Catholic majorities.

In drawing his line, Robinson factored in "the degrees of obstreperousness in the rival sectarian factions on the border line". In terms of appeasing volatile sectarian communities, Robinson bent to both nationalist and unionist extremists. Of Crossmaglen nationalists, he opined that they "are about the warmest lot I know". In Fermanagh, Robinson's justification was even more illuminating. Here he justified the inclusion of an area with a 3,000-strong Catholic majority because "there has been more money spent on armament and drilling here than in any part of the county and these Enniskillen and Lisnaskea protestant farmers are the most blood-thirsty set of ruffians I know". Fearing a contagion effect in Cavan and Monaghan, Robinson defended the exclusion of these districts as "there would be no peace or settlement along the whole border line if these people were left out". Bailey had applied the same logic to justify the inclusion of North Monaghan and the whole of Tyrone, the Protestant minorities of which he described as being "very strong and . . . better drilled and armed than in almost any part of the Province".

Despite all of his careful work and calculations, Robinson all but threw away all his careful cartography at the end of his letter to Birrell stating: "I expect you will find that the Ulstermen's minimum will be six entire counties in and no option . . . Personally, I agree about no option [putting the matter to a plebiscite]. It will indeed mean riots when this crucial issue is announced."

The Dougherty scheme

The third and final scheme to be submitted was that of Dougherty, the highest-ranking civil servant in Ireland. Dougherty first wrote on May 7th explaining that it would be "a difficult, if not impossible job to construct these pens" and that "the policy of exclusion, whatever plan may be adopted, bristles with difficulties and . . . I do not see how they are to be surmounted."

Dougherty's full memorandum was submitted on May 11th. It considered the merits and demerits of dividing the province by local government areas, parliamentary divisions, and full counties. Of these, Dougherty's preference was for the scheme which was ultimately adopted: county option. Dougherty's rationale focused largely on the administrative headache he foresaw in dealing with an otherwise excluded area in which local government boards, county councils, and existing parliamentary constituencies would be split across two jurisdictions.

All three schemes recommended that Ulster's second city, Derry, which had a 56 per cent Catholic majority, be put into the exclusion zone. Robinson argued that it was "impossible to keep the maiden city out of the parent county". Dougherty reminded his chief secretary that "the city of Derry has strong sentimental attractions for the Ulster Protestant, and it is the headquarters of the county administration" adding that "it is unlikely the 'Covenanters' will now consent to see the city excluded from Protestant Ulster."

Despite declaring for the whole-county option, Dougherty fudged his answer to the question of whether four or six counties should be excluded. His rationale for four-county exclusion was based on the fact that such a scheme would create "a tolerably compact area" but he seems on balance to have conceded that six counties would be the more realistic outcome due to the fact that "it is difficult to see how the Ulster Covenanters in the four included counties can abandon their brethren in Tyrone or Fermanagh". No more than Robinson, Dougherty was conceding to the power of force and threat in making his decisions over Ulster. Historian Brendan O Donoghue makes a convincing case that copies of various maps, including Robinson's May 6th map, were circulated among attendees at the Buckingham Palace Conference in July when it came to discussing permutations for an area for exclusion that might be acceptable to both nationalists and unionists.

The stark reality of the Irish Border is that it was never intended to be in international boundary. What began as an idea for a temporary demarcation line between two devolved United Kingdom parliaments evolved into something much more significant. It has seen customs posts, cratering, spiking, checkpoints, and militarisation over its lifetime. The Irish Border has never been "softer" than it is at the present moment. Equally, there has never been such uncertainty over what the future holds in its chequered history.

Dr Conor Mulvagh is a lecturer in Irish history at University College Dublin"

Thanks Seafoid, that's great information. Appreciate your informed commitment to historical context.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 12, 2019, 04:56:02 AM
Good lord it looks like seafoid is getting a fanbase on here.

But I suppose there isn't any reason to assume why gaaboard is any less susceptible to coming under the influence of bots than the wider world
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 12, 2019, 07:53:43 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 06:06:30 PM

Robert Peston
@Peston
The health minister Stephen Hammond has written to a Tory MP to provide assurance to one of the MP's constituents that the NHS is stockpiling bodybags as insurance against a no-deal Brexit. This is not a joke

They'll come in handy when the insulin runs out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on February 12, 2019, 07:59:47 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-47199037

There is life outside of la la London.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 12, 2019, 08:18:11 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 12, 2019, 07:59:47 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-47199037

There is life outside of la la London.

No factory in the north is gonna pay £30k for workers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 12, 2019, 08:25:24 AM
Quote from: omochain on February 11, 2019, 09:30:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 03:08:03 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/culture/heritage/how-was-the-irish-border-drawn-in-the-first-place-1.3789571

How was the Irish Border drawn in the first place?

Three civil servants produced different options for temporary 'exclusion zone' in 1914

Conor Mulvagh
"Nearing a century in existence the Irish Border has become the defining feature of Ireland's political geography. The Border was established in law in December 1920 but as an exclusion zone between two parts of the United Kingdom chalked for devolution, not independence. When the Anglo-Irish Treaty was ratified in 1922, the boundary line became an international border. But who drew the line in the first place and what thinking lay behind the decision to go for full six-county exclusion? In the spring of 1914, the British government secured secret approval for a strictly time-limited exclusion of an undetermined portion of Ulster from the leaders of nationalist Ireland – John Redmond, John Dillon, T P O'Connor, and Joseph Devlin.

Once the leadership of the Irish Parliamentary Party had been locked in, the British government began in earnest to draw up possible schemes for the exclusion of Ulster. The Chief Secretary for Ireland, Augustine Birrell, called upon three senior Irish civil servants to draw up a boundary for an Ulster exclusion zone. These were Birrell's undersecretary, Sir James B Dougherty; W F Bailey of the Estates Commissioners Office; and Sir Henry Augustus Robinson, vice-president of the Local Government Board for Ireland. Birrell set May 6th as the deadline for receipt of proposals from his three advisers. When submitted, each scheme included a justification for why certain communities were left north or south of the dividing line.

Ultimately it was Dougherty whose boundary scheme was adopted. On the eve of the first World War, Redmond and Edward Carson faced each other down for their claim to Fermanagh and Tyrone but following the 1916 Rising, Redmond abandoned his claim to what would become Northern Ireland's two Catholic-majority counties. Historian Roy Foster has described Redmond as "desperate . . . to achieve any settlement going" after the Rising.

"Of Crossmaglen nationalists, Robinson opined that they "are about the warmest lot I know"

Returning to 1914, the texts for the three exclusion schemes give unparalleled insight into the conceptual underpinnings of the modern Irish Border. Two stark points emerge. Firstly, decisions unsympathetic to large borderland communities were taken in the name of administrative efficiency. Secondly, the Border's architects explicitly bowed to force and the threat of violence. Decisions were made to leave substantial communities on the "wrong" side of the exclusion line because of the perceived strength of minority paramilitaries and agitators in their midst.

The Bailey scheme

Taking Bailey first, his was the most disruptive scheme and it paid the least heed to existing administrative boundaries. Instead, Bailey relied on physical geography to craft a more visible border. In Fermanagh, Bailey cut straight through both of the county's parliamentary divisions, running his boundary line directly up the middle of the Erne waterways system. Of the three schemes, Bailey's was the only one in which his accompanying notes made no acknowledgement to the scheme's temporary nature. Bailey's use of physical geography to create a visible and less permeable boundary line further suggests he had a permanent settlement in mind.
A reconstruction of W F Bailey's proposed borderline A reconstruction of W F Bailey's proposed borderline 
Further down his boundary line, Bailey proposed the inclusion of the entire parliamentary division of North Monaghan within the unionist area. Monaghan was a county nobody else was even considering and North Monaghan had a two-thirds Catholic majority. Because his boundary line sliced through existing administrative units, it was impossible for Bailey to accurately estimate how many of the almost 1.2 million people he planned to exclude from the jurisdiction of the Home Rule parliament were Catholics and Protestants.

The Robinson scheme

By far the most thorough of the three exclusion schemes was that devised by Robinson. In drawing his boundary line, Robinson took local government boundaries as his operational unit: a method his undersecretary would later dismiss as unworkable. The Robinson scheme proposed the exclusion of 26.85 per cent of the population of Ireland and 28.58 per cent of Ireland's land by valuation. Robinson's exclusion zone was two-thirds Protestant and one-third Catholic. Of the three, Robinson's boundary line was the only one which explicitly considered infrastructure such as road and rail connections. Even though Robinson's line was not ultimately adopted, his justifications are highly instructive in explaining the thinking underpinning the final shape of the Irish Border, especially the inclusion of the two Catholic majority counties, Tyrone and Fermanagh, and the majority Catholic city of Derry.
Sir Henry Robinson's proposed border Sir Henry Robinson's proposed border 
On the eastern end of the boundary line, the Robinson scheme showed considerably more sympathy to Catholics than simple six-county exclusion. Robinson left south Armagh and south Down, including the heavily Catholic town of Newry, within Home Rule jurisdiction. One can only imagine how differently subsequent Irish history might have played out had south Armagh been under Dublin rule from the outset. In the western half of Ulster, Robinson made a number of sweeping decisions regarding large swathes of territory with solid Catholic majorities.

In drawing his line, Robinson factored in "the degrees of obstreperousness in the rival sectarian factions on the border line". In terms of appeasing volatile sectarian communities, Robinson bent to both nationalist and unionist extremists. Of Crossmaglen nationalists, he opined that they "are about the warmest lot I know". In Fermanagh, Robinson's justification was even more illuminating. Here he justified the inclusion of an area with a 3,000-strong Catholic majority because "there has been more money spent on armament and drilling here than in any part of the county and these Enniskillen and Lisnaskea protestant farmers are the most blood-thirsty set of ruffians I know". Fearing a contagion effect in Cavan and Monaghan, Robinson defended the exclusion of these districts as "there would be no peace or settlement along the whole border line if these people were left out". Bailey had applied the same logic to justify the inclusion of North Monaghan and the whole of Tyrone, the Protestant minorities of which he described as being "very strong and . . . better drilled and armed than in almost any part of the Province".

Despite all of his careful work and calculations, Robinson all but threw away all his careful cartography at the end of his letter to Birrell stating: "I expect you will find that the Ulstermen's minimum will be six entire counties in and no option . . . Personally, I agree about no option [putting the matter to a plebiscite]. It will indeed mean riots when this crucial issue is announced."

The Dougherty scheme

The third and final scheme to be submitted was that of Dougherty, the highest-ranking civil servant in Ireland. Dougherty first wrote on May 7th explaining that it would be "a difficult, if not impossible job to construct these pens" and that "the policy of exclusion, whatever plan may be adopted, bristles with difficulties and . . . I do not see how they are to be surmounted."

Dougherty's full memorandum was submitted on May 11th. It considered the merits and demerits of dividing the province by local government areas, parliamentary divisions, and full counties. Of these, Dougherty's preference was for the scheme which was ultimately adopted: county option. Dougherty's rationale focused largely on the administrative headache he foresaw in dealing with an otherwise excluded area in which local government boards, county councils, and existing parliamentary constituencies would be split across two jurisdictions.

All three schemes recommended that Ulster's second city, Derry, which had a 56 per cent Catholic majority, be put into the exclusion zone. Robinson argued that it was "impossible to keep the maiden city out of the parent county". Dougherty reminded his chief secretary that "the city of Derry has strong sentimental attractions for the Ulster Protestant, and it is the headquarters of the county administration" adding that "it is unlikely the 'Covenanters' will now consent to see the city excluded from Protestant Ulster."

Despite declaring for the whole-county option, Dougherty fudged his answer to the question of whether four or six counties should be excluded. His rationale for four-county exclusion was based on the fact that such a scheme would create "a tolerably compact area" but he seems on balance to have conceded that six counties would be the more realistic outcome due to the fact that "it is difficult to see how the Ulster Covenanters in the four included counties can abandon their brethren in Tyrone or Fermanagh". No more than Robinson, Dougherty was conceding to the power of force and threat in making his decisions over Ulster. Historian Brendan O Donoghue makes a convincing case that copies of various maps, including Robinson's May 6th map, were circulated among attendees at the Buckingham Palace Conference in July when it came to discussing permutations for an area for exclusion that might be acceptable to both nationalists and unionists.

The stark reality of the Irish Border is that it was never intended to be in international boundary. What began as an idea for a temporary demarcation line between two devolved United Kingdom parliaments evolved into something much more significant. It has seen customs posts, cratering, spiking, checkpoints, and militarisation over its lifetime. The Irish Border has never been "softer" than it is at the present moment. Equally, there has never been such uncertainty over what the future holds in its chequered history.

Dr Conor Mulvagh is a lecturer in Irish history at University College Dublin"

Thanks Seafoid, that's great information. Appreciate your informed commitment to historical context.

What is so striking is how random it all was . North Monaghan could have been included and Tyrone left out.
Omagh would never have been bombed.
Lives are defined by decisions made in meeting rooms a century ago
If Tyrone was in the Republic, Cavan probably would never have won 5 all Irelands either  8) 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 12, 2019, 04:46:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 05:35:07 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 11, 2019, 05:27:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 02:45:33 PMEilis O'Hanlon writes for the Sunday Independent and Belfast Telegraph

How on earth do two separate papers pay her to write for them?

That is intellectually feeble stuff.


Unless the ROI leave the EU - or voluntarily to remove themselves from the single market, then in the even of the UK leaving without being synchronised to the regulations within the EU single market there must be checks at the only land border between EU and UK.

It is not a challenging concept to understand.

Everything else circulates around this fundamental. Why she is bothering to try and dress it up with emotive crap is beyond me.


How someone who has appointed themselves as an intellectual whose opinion is worth of print cannot understand this is quite frankly a reflection of the poor state of media today. No small wonder that paper circulation is continually dropping, why bother forking out for opinions every bit as uninformed as those you might find on facebook.
the Telegraph is atrocious
It's a thinktank for Brexit as far as I can see

The Sindo seems to be an apologist for it also. Last Sunday's edition is so full of self-loathing, they're practically blaming us for Brexit, and for not facilitating Britain's departure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 12, 2019, 05:00:00 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 12, 2019, 04:46:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 05:35:07 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 11, 2019, 05:27:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 02:45:33 PMEilis O'Hanlon writes for the Sunday Independent and Belfast Telegraph

How on earth do two separate papers pay her to write for them?

That is intellectually feeble stuff.


Unless the ROI leave the EU - or voluntarily to remove themselves from the single market, then in the even of the UK leaving without being synchronised to the regulations within the EU single market there must be checks at the only land border between EU and UK.

It is not a challenging concept to understand.

Everything else circulates around this fundamental. Why she is bothering to try and dress it up with emotive crap is beyond me.


How someone who has appointed themselves as an intellectual whose opinion is worth of print cannot understand this is quite frankly a reflection of the poor state of media today. No small wonder that paper circulation is continually dropping, why bother forking out for opinions every bit as uninformed as those you might find on facebook.
the Telegraph is atrocious
It's a thinktank for Brexit as far as I can see

The Sindo seems to be an apologist for it also. Last Sunday's edition is so full of self-loathing, they're practically blaming us for Brexit, and for not facilitating Britain's departure.

Blaming Ireland or Barnier is way off
Brexit is being driven by the fascists in the ERG
Whatever Brexit is chosen, UK voters will get shafted

Brexit is insane but also very sad 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on February 12, 2019, 06:56:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 12, 2019, 08:25:24 AM
Quote from: omochain on February 11, 2019, 09:30:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 11, 2019, 03:08:03 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/culture/heritage/how-was-the-irish-border-drawn-in-the-first-place-1.3789571

How was the Irish Border drawn in the first place?

Three civil servants produced different options for temporary 'exclusion zone' in 1914

Conor Mulvagh
"Nearing a century in existence the Irish Border has become the defining feature of Ireland's political geography. The Border was established in law in December 1920 but as an exclusion zone between two parts of the United Kingdom chalked for devolution, not independence. When the Anglo-Irish Treaty was ratified in 1922, the boundary line became an international border. But who drew the line in the first place and what thinking lay behind the decision to go for full six-county exclusion? In the spring of 1914, the British government secured secret approval for a strictly time-limited exclusion of an undetermined portion of Ulster from the leaders of nationalist Ireland – John Redmond, John Dillon, T P O'Connor, and Joseph Devlin.

Once the leadership of the Irish Parliamentary Party had been locked in, the British government began in earnest to draw up possible schemes for the exclusion of Ulster. The Chief Secretary for Ireland, Augustine Birrell, called upon three senior Irish civil servants to draw up a boundary for an Ulster exclusion zone. These were Birrell's undersecretary, Sir James B Dougherty; W F Bailey of the Estates Commissioners Office; and Sir Henry Augustus Robinson, vice-president of the Local Government Board for Ireland. Birrell set May 6th as the deadline for receipt of proposals from his three advisers. When submitted, each scheme included a justification for why certain communities were left north or south of the dividing line.

Ultimately it was Dougherty whose boundary scheme was adopted. On the eve of the first World War, Redmond and Edward Carson faced each other down for their claim to Fermanagh and Tyrone but following the 1916 Rising, Redmond abandoned his claim to what would become Northern Ireland's two Catholic-majority counties. Historian Roy Foster has described Redmond as "desperate . . . to achieve any settlement going" after the Rising.

"Of Crossmaglen nationalists, Robinson opined that they "are about the warmest lot I know"

Returning to 1914, the texts for the three exclusion schemes give unparalleled insight into the conceptual underpinnings of the modern Irish Border. Two stark points emerge. Firstly, decisions unsympathetic to large borderland communities were taken in the name of administrative efficiency. Secondly, the Border's architects explicitly bowed to force and the threat of violence. Decisions were made to leave substantial communities on the "wrong" side of the exclusion line because of the perceived strength of minority paramilitaries and agitators in their midst.

The Bailey scheme

Taking Bailey first, his was the most disruptive scheme and it paid the least heed to existing administrative boundaries. Instead, Bailey relied on physical geography to craft a more visible border. In Fermanagh, Bailey cut straight through both of the county's parliamentary divisions, running his boundary line directly up the middle of the Erne waterways system. Of the three schemes, Bailey's was the only one in which his accompanying notes made no acknowledgement to the scheme's temporary nature. Bailey's use of physical geography to create a visible and less permeable boundary line further suggests he had a permanent settlement in mind.
A reconstruction of W F Bailey's proposed borderline A reconstruction of W F Bailey's proposed borderline 
Further down his boundary line, Bailey proposed the inclusion of the entire parliamentary division of North Monaghan within the unionist area. Monaghan was a county nobody else was even considering and North Monaghan had a two-thirds Catholic majority. Because his boundary line sliced through existing administrative units, it was impossible for Bailey to accurately estimate how many of the almost 1.2 million people he planned to exclude from the jurisdiction of the Home Rule parliament were Catholics and Protestants.

The Robinson scheme

By far the most thorough of the three exclusion schemes was that devised by Robinson. In drawing his boundary line, Robinson took local government boundaries as his operational unit: a method his undersecretary would later dismiss as unworkable. The Robinson scheme proposed the exclusion of 26.85 per cent of the population of Ireland and 28.58 per cent of Ireland's land by valuation. Robinson's exclusion zone was two-thirds Protestant and one-third Catholic. Of the three, Robinson's boundary line was the only one which explicitly considered infrastructure such as road and rail connections. Even though Robinson's line was not ultimately adopted, his justifications are highly instructive in explaining the thinking underpinning the final shape of the Irish Border, especially the inclusion of the two Catholic majority counties, Tyrone and Fermanagh, and the majority Catholic city of Derry.
Sir Henry Robinson's proposed border Sir Henry Robinson's proposed border 
On the eastern end of the boundary line, the Robinson scheme showed considerably more sympathy to Catholics than simple six-county exclusion. Robinson left south Armagh and south Down, including the heavily Catholic town of Newry, within Home Rule jurisdiction. One can only imagine how differently subsequent Irish history might have played out had south Armagh been under Dublin rule from the outset. In the western half of Ulster, Robinson made a number of sweeping decisions regarding large swathes of territory with solid Catholic majorities.

In drawing his line, Robinson factored in "the degrees of obstreperousness in the rival sectarian factions on the border line". In terms of appeasing volatile sectarian communities, Robinson bent to both nationalist and unionist extremists. Of Crossmaglen nationalists, he opined that they "are about the warmest lot I know". In Fermanagh, Robinson's justification was even more illuminating. Here he justified the inclusion of an area with a 3,000-strong Catholic majority because "there has been more money spent on armament and drilling here than in any part of the county and these Enniskillen and Lisnaskea protestant farmers are the most blood-thirsty set of ruffians I know". Fearing a contagion effect in Cavan and Monaghan, Robinson defended the exclusion of these districts as "there would be no peace or settlement along the whole border line if these people were left out". Bailey had applied the same logic to justify the inclusion of North Monaghan and the whole of Tyrone, the Protestant minorities of which he described as being "very strong and . . . better drilled and armed than in almost any part of the Province".

Despite all of his careful work and calculations, Robinson all but threw away all his careful cartography at the end of his letter to Birrell stating: "I expect you will find that the Ulstermen's minimum will be six entire counties in and no option . . . Personally, I agree about no option [putting the matter to a plebiscite]. It will indeed mean riots when this crucial issue is announced."

The Dougherty scheme

The third and final scheme to be submitted was that of Dougherty, the highest-ranking civil servant in Ireland. Dougherty first wrote on May 7th explaining that it would be "a difficult, if not impossible job to construct these pens" and that "the policy of exclusion, whatever plan may be adopted, bristles with difficulties and . . . I do not see how they are to be surmounted."

Dougherty's full memorandum was submitted on May 11th. It considered the merits and demerits of dividing the province by local government areas, parliamentary divisions, and full counties. Of these, Dougherty's preference was for the scheme which was ultimately adopted: county option. Dougherty's rationale focused largely on the administrative headache he foresaw in dealing with an otherwise excluded area in which local government boards, county councils, and existing parliamentary constituencies would be split across two jurisdictions.

All three schemes recommended that Ulster's second city, Derry, which had a 56 per cent Catholic majority, be put into the exclusion zone. Robinson argued that it was "impossible to keep the maiden city out of the parent county". Dougherty reminded his chief secretary that "the city of Derry has strong sentimental attractions for the Ulster Protestant, and it is the headquarters of the county administration" adding that "it is unlikely the 'Covenanters' will now consent to see the city excluded from Protestant Ulster."

Despite declaring for the whole-county option, Dougherty fudged his answer to the question of whether four or six counties should be excluded. His rationale for four-county exclusion was based on the fact that such a scheme would create "a tolerably compact area" but he seems on balance to have conceded that six counties would be the more realistic outcome due to the fact that "it is difficult to see how the Ulster Covenanters in the four included counties can abandon their brethren in Tyrone or Fermanagh". No more than Robinson, Dougherty was conceding to the power of force and threat in making his decisions over Ulster. Historian Brendan O Donoghue makes a convincing case that copies of various maps, including Robinson's May 6th map, were circulated among attendees at the Buckingham Palace Conference in July when it came to discussing permutations for an area for exclusion that might be acceptable to both nationalists and unionists.

The stark reality of the Irish Border is that it was never intended to be in international boundary. What began as an idea for a temporary demarcation line between two devolved United Kingdom parliaments evolved into something much more significant. It has seen customs posts, cratering, spiking, checkpoints, and militarisation over its lifetime. The Irish Border has never been "softer" than it is at the present moment. Equally, there has never been such uncertainty over what the future holds in its chequered history.

Dr Conor Mulvagh is a lecturer in Irish history at University College Dublin"

Thanks Seafoid, that's great information. Appreciate your informed commitment to historical context.

What is so striking is how random it all was . North Monaghan could have been included and Tyrone left out.
Omagh would never have been bombed.
Lives are defined by decisions made in meeting rooms a century ago
If Tyrone was in the Republic, Cavan probably would never have won 5 all Irelands either  8)
And SoArdDun would have at least 15 All Irelands 🤪
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 12, 2019, 11:59:24 PM
Interesting;

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/feb/12/theresa-mays-brexit-tactic-my-way-or-a-long-delay


Coming from a Brexiteer, calling Robbins a 'draughts player in a chess world', is beyond ironic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 13, 2019, 12:23:48 AM
Thats hilarious... was pretty obvious that was her strategy but she has been well caught out now.

Playing a game of Russian roulette over the welfare of the country with lunatic Tory backbenchers all to ensure the traditional divide in British politics is maintained.

Thinking about it tho, calling it her strategy is an outrages compliment, what it is, is actually the only choice the EU have left her if she wants to blunder on down that road with Jacob Rees Moog and co.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 13, 2019, 12:33:48 AM
And lets not forget that the amendment that they were all so chuffed with themselves at passing a couple of weeks ago was actually a call to remove the backstop and replace it with something else.

Now she just wants changes to it.

I find the whole thing frightening and hilarious at the same time. Mainly the latter as it shows the majority of Brits up to be a pack of in-component nutters living in a fantasy as I was always well aware of.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 05:33:47 AM
http://www.irishnews.com/news/brexit/2019/02/11/news/dup-letter-urges-unionists-to-prepare-for-border-poll-1548563/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 09:26:10 AM
So just to clarify that Guardian article.

When they talk about her deal are they referring to the original backstop one that got defeated, or the recent one that seeks to tear up the backstop?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on February 13, 2019, 09:39:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 09:26:10 AM
So just to clarify that Guardian article.

When they talk about her deal are they referring to the original backstop one that got defeated, or the recent one that seeks to tear up the backstop?

The latter WC.

The original deal is seen as dead in the water after the historic defeat so the only way it will get through now is with the Backstop ammendment which the EU have steadfastly said will not be changed.

Brits pinning their hopes on the fact that the EU have in the past done last minute deals to get problems sorted, but it is the riskiest of risky strategies when the EU have made it abundently clear that this wont be happening as it was the Brits who put the back stop into the agreement in the first place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 09:42:33 AM
Cheers NAG1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 09:50:54 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on February 13, 2019, 09:39:02 AM
Brits pinning their hopes on the fact that the EU have in the past done last minute deals to get problems sorted

There was an article or paper on that quite recently.


This scenario is fundamentally different to the others that the Brits are drawing parallels with.

1. Previously, clarifications were added to the existing treaties.
2. These did not require reopening of the main treaty.
3. Which did not need subsequent affirmation across all EU countries.

The backstop is required due to harmonisation of rules in NI with single market. That is not a periphery matter.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 09:55:53 AM
Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
·
8m
Former Australian trade negotiator comments on mooted plans for the UK to drop WTO tariffs to 0%: "Are the UK public and business really prepared to compete, one-on-one, with Chinese manufacturing, or US agriculture, or Australian beef and lamb?" Um, no?!


Sky News Breaking
@SkyNewsBreak
·
Feb 11
Sky News has seen a letter to Environment Sec Michael Gove from heads of more than 30 trade associations which says Britain's food industry is threatening to suspend co-operation with a series of Government consultations until "catastrophic impact of a no-deal Brexit" is resolved


Seamus Leheny
Seamus Leheny
@Freight_NI
Just had a call from a NI haulier who operates to/from the Continent.
They applied for 35 ECMT permits, told they will get 2.
You don't need me to explain the consequences of this.

Seamus Leheny
@Freight_NI
·
4h
That's it unless we strike a deal. Period of grace until end of 2019 although could be vetoed. UKG says no limit on EU trucks entering - we need otherwise internal supply chains collapse.


1
1
Seamus Leheny
Seamus Leheny
@Freight_NI
·
8h
A deal should make them obsolete, hence the danger of a no deal

DB
DB
@dezzib2010
·
8h
I'm in the fresh produce business so there'd better be a deal. The alternative is catastrophe on so many levels. Not minor inconvenience as some are claiming


Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
·
38m
Sad, grim reality of Brexit catches up with the haulage industry. Remember, only 984 permits will be allocated though over 11,000 were applied for. Expect to see protests spring up all over the UK before long.



George Anderson
@doublegonedod
·
6h
Replying to
@Freight_NI
Actually I do need you to explain please. Could you break it down for people not involved in the haulage business? What are ECMT permits?

Liam Dawson
Liam Dawson
@L1amDaws0n

Permission to operate on the continent. All UK licenced hauliers currently have automatic permission.


HappyToast ★
@IamHappyToast
Upset Leave MPs, get your revenge and prove Tusk wrong by simply posting your original detailed referendum plans online to show how you aren't all charlatans without a f**king clue, driving an entire country to destruction in the hope of profiting from the hell you create
Liam Dawson
@L1amDaws0n
·
5h
Basically, it guts the UK continental haulage industry.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on February 13, 2019, 09:59:23 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on February 13, 2019, 09:39:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 09:26:10 AM
So just to clarify that Guardian article.

When they talk about her deal are they referring to the original backstop one that got defeated, or the recent one that seeks to tear up the backstop?

The latter WC.

The original deal is seen as dead in the water after the historic defeat so the only way it will get through now is with the Backstop ammendment which the EU have steadfastly said will not be changed.

Brits pinning their hopes on the fact that the EU have in the past done last minute deals to get problems sorted, but it is the riskiest of risky strategies when the EU have made it abundently clear that this wont be happening as it was the Brits who put the back stop into the agreement in the first place.

I don't get that from reading it. It seems to be the former - May apparently stalling so that the Brits, her own MP's, are forced into accepting her original deal, or face a long delay

(there is only one deal)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 13, 2019, 10:06:12 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 09:50:54 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on February 13, 2019, 09:39:02 AM
Brits pinning their hopes on the fact that the EU have in the past done last minute deals to get problems sorted

There was an article or paper on that quite recently.


This scenario is fundamentally different to the others that the Brits are drawing parallels with.

1. Previously, clarifications were added to the existing treaties.
2. These did not require reopening of the main treaty.
3. Which did not need subsequent affirmation across all EU countries.

The backstop is required due to harmonisation of rules in NI with single market. That is not a periphery matter.

As per the article I linked to, I think there's more than just the NI angle to the backstop; our own politicos have hinted at this a few times also.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 13, 2019, 10:25:09 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on February 13, 2019, 09:59:23 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on February 13, 2019, 09:39:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 09:26:10 AM
So just to clarify that Guardian article.

When they talk about her deal are they referring to the original backstop one that got defeated, or the recent one that seeks to tear up the backstop?

The latter WC.

The original deal is seen as dead in the water after the historic defeat so the only way it will get through now is with the Backstop ammendment which the EU have steadfastly said will not be changed.

Brits pinning their hopes on the fact that the EU have in the past done last minute deals to get problems sorted, but it is the riskiest of risky strategies when the EU have made it abundently clear that this wont be happening as it was the Brits who put the back stop into the agreement in the first place.

I don't get that from reading it. It seems to be the former - May apparently stalling so that the Brits, her own MP's, are forced into accepting her original deal, or face a long delay

(there is only one deal)

Is that not what yer man Ollie was supposed to have said very loudly in a Brussels bar the other night and ITV are all over it like a rash as their reporter was in earshot.


Also turns out that the backstop was not something the Irish Gov/EU came up with on their own and imposed it on the UK, Teasie and Co were also involved in its creation from the get go as it was meant to be the transitional status.
That won't please the DUPers.

Teasie is going to throw some glitter on this old deal and look to force it through by threatening all and sundry with their worst fears and then she's going to ride off into the sunset come the summer.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on February 13, 2019, 12:17:59 PM
May claiming due diligence was carried out in the award of contract to Seaborne Freight.....SNP Ian Blackford wasn't wrong when he called her a liar.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on February 13, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
PMQ's .....so fcking childish. The last decent person to enter parliament was Guy Fawkes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 13, 2019, 12:36:44 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on February 13, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
PMQ's .....so fcking childish. The last decent person to enter parliament was Guy Fawkes.

They're all half cut. The bar should be off limits whilst there's important decision making (wink wink) going on. What other job would you be allowed to turn up under the influence?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 13, 2019, 01:49:23 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 13, 2019, 10:25:09 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on February 13, 2019, 09:59:23 AM
Quote from: NAG1 on February 13, 2019, 09:39:02 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 09:26:10 AM
So just to clarify that Guardian article.

When they talk about her deal are they referring to the original backstop one that got defeated, or the recent one that seeks to tear up the backstop?

The latter WC.

The original deal is seen as dead in the water after the historic defeat so the only way it will get through now is with the Backstop ammendment which the EU have steadfastly said will not be changed.

Brits pinning their hopes on the fact that the EU have in the past done last minute deals to get problems sorted, but it is the riskiest of risky strategies when the EU have made it abundently clear that this wont be happening as it was the Brits who put the back stop into the agreement in the first place.

I don't get that from reading it. It seems to be the former - May apparently stalling so that the Brits, her own MP's, are forced into accepting her original deal, or face a long delay

(there is only one deal)

Is that not what yer man Ollie was supposed to have said very loudly in a Brussels bar the other night and ITV are all over it like a rash as their reporter was in earshot.


Also turns out that the backstop was not something the Irish Gov/EU came up with on their own and imposed it on the UK, Teasie and Co were also involved in its creation from the get go as it was meant to be the transitional status.
That won't please the DUPers.

Teasie is going to throw some glitter on this old deal and look to force it through by threatening all and sundry with their worst fears and then she's going to ride off into the sunset come the summer.

I was watching that last leg on channel 4 one night and Alistair Campbell was on it. Now he is a gobshite with plenty to answer for but what he said pretty much summed it up. May negotiated the backstop then has went back to the Eu saying she didn't want the backstop she negotiated. She's a fool.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 02:00:40 PM
By far the best predictor in 2007 of economic chaos later was the  pre-crisis external deficit.  Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain all had current account deficits in 2007 and were all living beyond their means .

In the third quarter of 2018 the UK recorded a current account deficit of GBP 26.5 billion. The UK is also living beyond its means.
Brexit is very dangerous

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 13, 2019, 02:27:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 02:00:40 PM
By far the best predictor in 2007 of economic chaos later was the  pre-crisis external deficit.  Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain all had current account deficits in 2007 and were all living beyond their means .

In the third quarter of 2018 the UK recorded a current account deficit of GBP 26.5 billion. The UK is also living beyond its means.
Brexit is very dangerous

And there will be some people waiting to cash in on such an eventuality....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 13, 2019, 03:58:50 PM
Was at a Brexit briefing yesterday run by Invest NI. OMG. We are so fucked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on February 13, 2019, 04:06:22 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 03:58:50 PM
Was at a Brexit briefing yesterday run by Invest NI. OMG. We are so fucked.

Give us some details
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 04:10:30 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 03:58:50 PM
We are so fucked.

Regardless of what INI said, yes, we are completely fucked.

Folks don't realise that we are *possibly* staring down the barrel of not being a 1st world country any more (in event of no-deal brexit).


[We won't become 3rd world. But not 1st world either. Govt debt default, health and social system collapse, mass unemployment, devalue of pound, etc etc]
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 13, 2019, 04:33:20 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on February 13, 2019, 04:06:22 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 03:58:50 PM
Was at a Brexit briefing yesterday run by Invest NI. OMG. We are so fucked.

Give us some details

In a general sense business is not ready. In the event of the withdrawal deal being approved a lot of issues will still arise over customs, vat. Who pays what and when. Can cash-flows cope. Free movement of people will end. Labour pool will drop from 500m to roughly 50m people. Massive supply chain interruption. And as I say this in the scenario of a deal.
No deal - who knows.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 04:46:25 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 03:58:50 PM
Was at a Brexit briefing yesterday run by Invest NI. OMG. We are so fucked.

Not necessarily

There is a lot of political theatre . Tory MPs are likely to wake up to the No deal horror show
Plus there is horse trading to do ...


https://www.ft.com/content/2128565a-2ba9-11e9-88a4-c32129756dd8

   Brexit goes to the brink
History tells us we should not draw conclusions from the lack of agreement at this moment
Wolfgang Münchau
         Theresa May and Donald Tusk. Both Mrs May and the EU have a powerful common interest in avoiding a hard Brexit; both are willing to compromise © Getty
Wolfgang Münchau
      
               February 10, 2019
         
Donald Tusk's outburst imagining a "special place in hell" for the UK's proponents of Brexit without a plan tells us that he has moved on to the next phase in the five stages of mourning. The president of the European Council is angry because he has finally realised that Brexit is actually going to happen — and that the UK could leave the EU without a deal. Mr Tusk is probably still confused, but at least he is now confused at a higher level.

Recognition of reality is an important step on the road to acceptance. And it is one thing to say that you expect something to happen. But quite another to actually believe it. And those who are now panicking the most tend to be the same as those who were the most complacent before. The German media, which I follow very closely, spent the last two and half years focusing on the campaign to hold a second referendum. The every utterance of Tony Blair or John Major, Britain's two pro-EU former prime ministers, made front-page news. So did the big anti-Brexit demonstrations. Recently, the tone has changed. There is suddenly a lot of "Oh my God, this is really happening" commentary. I am certain that Brexit will happen, but the relative probabilities of a Brexit with or without a deal are harder to gauge. Events intrude all the time to obscure the European view: Mr Tusk's comments, the sudden downturn in the eurozone economy, or even the increasingly erratic behaviour of Emmanuel Macron.

Last week, the French president recalled his ambassador to Rome in response to a political spat with Italy's Five Star Movement. At the December European Council meeting, he threatened to keep the UK trapped in the provisions of the Northern Ireland backstop forever — unless the British agree to keep their coastal waters open to French fisherman. If there ever existed a rational reason for the UK's MPs to question the EU's good faith in agreeing to the backstop in Theresa May's withdrawal deal, Mr Macron provided it. Despite these intrusions on to the scene, I remain moderately optimistic about a Brexit deal. There exists a narrow but clear path towards it — one that requires compromise in Brussels as well as in Westminister. At the EU end, Angela Merkel may yet emerge as an effective power broker. I yield to no one in my criticism of the German chancellor's handling of the eurozone crises.

But her detached, analytical approach is the mindset needed at the summit towards the end of March. She is right to say that the EU needs to explore creative solutions to the Irish backstop. We are once again approaching High Noon — a similar crunch point as the Maastricht summit in 1991 or the Greek crisis summit in 2015. In both cases, agreement seemed impossible. Until it happened.History tells us we should not draw conclusions from the lack of agreement right now. The EU is not going to offer any concessions at this point. But once everybody enters the hall of smoke and mirrors at the European Council meeting on March 21, things will change.It is also wrong to think about these negotiations as a staring contest. Both Mrs May and the EU have a powerful common interest in avoiding a hard Brexit; both are willing to compromise. And do not overstate the asymmetry in the costs of a hard Brexit.

It is trivially true that a hard Brexit will affect the UK more than the EU, but this ignores that the UK voted for Brexit while the EU did not. There would be known losers such as the car industry, but many smaller ones as well. Dutch vegetable growers would stand to lose their biggest market and could end up dumping their tomatoes on German consumers, crowding out local producers. Can EU leaders really be confident that their voters will blame the British rather than them? I also believe that agreement on the Irish backstop is possible. The EU will not agree to a formal end date. But it can give better legal assurances. Article 50, the basis for Brexit under EU law, allows the two sides to make arrangements for the transition. But permanent trade agreements fall outside its scope.

Transitional arrangements cannot be indefinite: if Mr Macron decides to veto a trade deal over fishing rights, or if trade talks are abandoned, then surely the transition will be over.The political declaration on the future relationship could also change — allowing for possibilities that could include a customs union. The final decision about the future would then be left to a vote in the UK parliament after Brexit.

The second crucial moment will come after the summit when MPs would meet to cast their final meaningful vote. It will be the last week before the Brexit deadline of March 29. It could, in theory, drag out all the way until that evening. There will be no options left to take off the table. And however it turns out, there will be angry people who did not see this coming.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Jeez HD I recently bought one in Belfast. Hope I'm not in bother  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 13, 2019, 04:56:15 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

In the scenario of a deal a lot of companies don't have the capacity or the skills to complete customs declarations, to control interruptions to their supply chains, finance to cope with tariffs and VAT. And the old " register a company in the ROI" is not the silver bullet everyone perceives it to be. The actual small, bit by bit outworkings specific to each and every SME is the problem. Even if you are ready is your supplier. Can you get another supplier(s)? Are they as good? Are they more expensive? Can they meet your time frames?  Multiply by 5, 50, 500, 5000 suppliers.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:58:11 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Jeez HD I recently bought one in Belfast. Hope I'm not in bother  :o

Will be interesting to see what potential impact might be on the private rented sector with the ending of free movement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 13, 2019, 04:59:09 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Would be interested to see the results of that project particularly with the amount of foreign nationals living in privately rented accomodation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 13, 2019, 05:12:04 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 13, 2019, 04:59:09 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Would be interested to see the results of that project particularly with the amount of foreign nationals living in privately rented accomodation.

I know very little about the housing market. However I wouldn't be making a massive investment of thousands of pounds this side of March 30th 2019.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 05:18:50 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:58:11 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Jeez HD I recently bought one in Belfast. Hope I'm not in bother  :o

Will be interesting to see what potential impact might be on the private rented sector with the ending of free movement.

There is more to it than just that though.

If there is some deal on Irish passport holders being able to cross the border without delay, what if Dublin were to become financial capital of Europe? Does Belfast become a commuter town to Dublin with a functional rail link with electronic checks at both terminals?

With house prices in Dublin, the road commute (Dublin now 3rd most congested city in the world - not that Belfast can crow - 2nd most congested in UK), and purchasing power with € vs a depressed £, it is not that far fetched.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 05:19:58 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!
Nobody knows what is going to happen.
The tories are all over the place and it is impossible to model but a no deal would destroy the UK economy and the only people who want that are
a few billionaires and their sockpuppets in the ERG and DUP
At some point it will be possible to understand why the DUP became sockpuppets but at the moment it seems very mysterious. Even if it was for money they would destroy the economic settlement that is the basis of the existence of NI so why would they do this?
The Tories have 40% support in the polls so most people have no idea what is going on. It is hard for people in rich countries to imagine things falling apart.
If the UK did leave it wouldn't be long before public order broke down and a GE or else the IMF was called.

 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 05:20:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 04:56:15 PM
In the scenario of a deal a lot of companies don't have the capacity or the skills to complete customs declarations, to control interruptions to their supply chains, finance to cope with tariffs and VAT. And the old " register a company in the ROI" is not the silver bullet everyone perceives it to be. The actual small, bit by bit outworkings specific to each and every SME is the problem. Even if you are ready is your supplier. Can you get another supplier(s)? Are they as good? Are they more expensive? Can they meet your time frames?  Multiply by 5, 50, 500, 5000 suppliers.

Finances to cope with tariffs is the smaller problem*! What about being able to remain competitive relative to EU peers with the tariff added to your bottom line?


*I assume you mean as a cashflow concern.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 13, 2019, 05:28:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 05:19:58 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!
Nobody knows what is going to happen.
The tories are all over the place and it is impossible to model but a no deal would destroy the UK economy and the only people who want that are
a few billionaires and their sockpuppets in the ERG and DUP
At some point it will be possible to understand why the DUP became sockpuppets but at the moment it seems very mysterious. Even if it was for money they would destroy the economic settlement that is the basis of the existence of NI so why would they do this?
The Tories have 40% support in the polls so most people have no idea what is going on. It is hard for people in rich countries to imagine things falling apart.
If the UK did leave it wouldn't be long before public order broke down and a GE or else the IMF was called.



Not exactly true. Some thing are known. Up until now I thought there was a chance Brexit wouldn't happen. I now feel that it will definitely happen. It's just whether it'll be a no deal or a deal Brexit. (I  hope I am wrong)
Taking the politics and polls out of it. There's a feeling now that this is happening. 

Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 05:20:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 04:56:15 PM
In the scenario of a deal a lot of companies don't have the capacity or the skills to complete customs declarations, to control interruptions to their supply chains, finance to cope with tariffs and VAT. And the old " register a company in the ROI" is not the silver bullet everyone perceives it to be. The actual small, bit by bit outworkings specific to each and every SME is the problem. Even if you are ready is your supplier. Can you get another supplier(s)? Are they as good? Are they more expensive? Can they meet your time frames?  Multiply by 5, 50, 500, 5000 suppliers.

Finances to cope with tariffs is the smaller problem*! What about being able to remain competitive relative to EU peers with the tariff added to your bottom line?


*I assume you mean as a cashflow concern.

Yes cash flow. But you're right about bottom lines and competitiveness. There's so many layers to this.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 13, 2019, 05:30:45 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 05:18:50 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:58:11 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Jeez HD I recently bought one in Belfast. Hope I'm not in bother  :o

Will be interesting to see what potential impact might be on the private rented sector with the ending of free movement.

There is more to it than just that though.

If there is some deal on Irish passport holders being able to cross the border without delay, what if Dublin were to become financial capital of Europe? Does Belfast become a commuter town to Dublin with a functional rail link with electronic checks at both terminals?

With house prices in Dublin, the road commute (Dublin now 3rd most congested city in the world - not that Belfast can crow - 2nd most congested in UK), and purchasing power with € vs a depressed £, it is not that far fetched.

One thing that won't change, no matter deal or no deal, is the ability of ROI citizens to work in UK and vice versa. Delays at any possible border are unknown at this stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 13, 2019, 05:44:54 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 05:30:45 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 05:18:50 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:58:11 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Jeez HD I recently bought one in Belfast. Hope I'm not in bother  :o

Will be interesting to see what potential impact might be on the private rented sector with the ending of free movement.

There is more to it than just that though.

If there is some deal on Irish passport holders being able to cross the border without delay, what if Dublin were to become financial capital of Europe? Does Belfast become a commuter town to Dublin with a functional rail link with electronic checks at both terminals?

With house prices in Dublin, the road commute (Dublin now 3rd most congested city in the world - not that Belfast can crow - 2nd most congested in UK), and purchasing power with € vs a depressed £, it is not that far fetched.

One thing that won't change, no matter deal or no deal, is the ability of ROI citizens to work in UK and vice versa. Delays at any possible border are unknown at this stage.

What makes you so sure of this?? Doesn't this undermine the integrity of the single market?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 05:45:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 05:28:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 05:19:58 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!
Nobody knows what is going to happen.
The tories are all over the place and it is impossible to model but a no deal would destroy the UK economy and the only people who want that are
a few billionaires and their sockpuppets in the ERG and DUP
At some point it will be possible to understand why the DUP became sockpuppets but at the moment it seems very mysterious. Even if it was for money they would destroy the economic settlement that is the basis of the existence of NI so why would they do this?
The Tories have 40% support in the polls so most people have no idea what is going on. It is hard for people in rich countries to imagine things falling apart.
If the UK did leave it wouldn't be long before public order broke down and a GE or else the IMF was called.



Not exactly true. Some thing are known. Up until now I thought there was a chance Brexit wouldn't happen. I now feel that it will definitely happen. It's just whether it'll be a no deal or a deal Brexit. (I  hope I am wrong)
Taking the politics and polls out of it. There's a feeling now that this is happening. 

Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 05:20:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 04:56:15 PM
In the scenario of a deal a lot of companies don't have the capacity or the skills to complete customs declarations, to control interruptions to their supply chains, finance to cope with tariffs and VAT. And the old " register a company in the ROI" is not the silver bullet everyone perceives it to be. The actual small, bit by bit outworkings specific to each and every SME is the problem. Even if you are ready is your supplier. Can you get another supplier(s)? Are they as good? Are they more expensive? Can they meet your time frames?  Multiply by 5, 50, 500, 5000 suppliers.

Finances to cope with tariffs is the smaller problem*! What about being able to remain competitive relative to EU peers with the tariff added to your bottom line?


*I assume you mean as a cashflow concern.

Yes cash flow. But you're right about bottom lines and competitiveness. There's so many layers to this.

May will not

work with Labour
Have a GE
Or a second ref

Because none of these is acceptable to the ERG/DUP  who want No deal

The people will decide whether or not Brexit goes ahead whether before or after 29 March
May's deal is crap , will involve the UK economy contracting and the UK giving up valuable concessions
No deal is insane

Brexit is shite any way you look at it. Even if May pulls off Brexit with a deal by 29 March it won't fly medium term because it hurts too many people.
The people were lied to.

Brexit is a waste of 3 years and 433 pages
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 13, 2019, 06:01:53 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on February 13, 2019, 05:44:54 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 13, 2019, 05:30:45 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 05:18:50 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:58:11 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Jeez HD I recently bought one in Belfast. Hope I'm not in bother  :o

Will be interesting to see what potential impact might be on the private rented sector with the ending of free movement.

There is more to it than just that though.

If there is some deal on Irish passport holders being able to cross the border without delay, what if Dublin were to become financial capital of Europe? Does Belfast become a commuter town to Dublin with a functional rail link with electronic checks at both terminals?

With house prices in Dublin, the road commute (Dublin now 3rd most congested city in the world - not that Belfast can crow - 2nd most congested in UK), and purchasing power with € vs a depressed £, it is not that far fetched.

One thing that won't change, no matter deal or no deal, is the ability of ROI citizens to work in UK and vice versa. Delays at any possible border are unknown at this stage.

What makes you so sure of this?? Doesn't this undermine the integrity of the single market?

CTA predates the EU so movement of people irish and British citizens between Ireland and U.K. Will remain.
The single market is different and concerns goods and services.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 13, 2019, 06:29:59 PM
I see Bertie was telling the Brits Brexit Committee  a few home truths today!!
"Belfast isn't the same as Finchley"
And when asked (mischievously) by a SNP member what people in Ireland thought of the petition for the 26 to remain the "UK" said " To put it kindly not very much"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 08:30:47 PM
https://truepublica.org.uk/united-kingdom/brexit-britains-trade-application-that-the-wto-rejected/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2019, 08:50:00 PM
What the Yanks want from a deal

https://mobile.twitter.com/zdboren/status/1095285542718263296
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 14, 2019, 12:29:33 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 13, 2019, 06:29:59 PM
I see Bertie was telling the Brits Brexit Committee  a few home truths today!!
"Belfast isn't the same as Finchley"
And when asked (mischievously) by a SNP member what people in Ireland thought of the petition for the 26 to remain the "UK" said " To put it kindly not very much"

Funny how former politicians especially former heads of governments start appear statesman like when in public......except....

....not Bertie

Still comes across as a shifty Dublin f**ker   :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 14, 2019, 08:52:41 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-the-dup-s-brexit-hardball-has-gone-flat-1.3792718

Newton Emerson: The DUP's Brexit hardball has gone flat



Newton Emerson

5


The DUP's Brexit spokesman, Sammy Wilson MP, continues to demand the backstop be scrapped, forcing the party to deny a split. Photograph: Getty Images
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Yards from the finishing line, the DUP's Brexit hardball has gone flat. Even the party's harshest critics must concede it has had a good run, at least within its own stated terms. The unionist tail has wagged the Westminster dog for a year and a half without the British government or any significant faction of the Conservative Party openly turning against it.
Nor has British public opinion spurned the union or unionism beyond the vocal minority which has always been so inclined.
Since the backstop emerged from withdrawal agreement negotiations in December 2017, the DUP has secured two apparently concrete victories: a commitment from London to protect the UK's internal market, and a concession from Brussels to extend the backstop customs territory to the whole UK.
May is still counting on just enough Labour members breaking ranks at the last minute to support her
However, the DUP undermined those victories by damning them as inadequate, and now it is clear they are all it will get.
Prime minister Theresa May's is running down the clock – this has become painfully apparent. She is daring the House of Commons to back her deal or no deal. If that fails she will ask the EU to reset the clock until she succeeds. There is no other plausible deal, prime minister or plan.
The DUP remains in an influential position. Hopes of a government pact with Labour or factions of Labour, rendering the unionist MPs and their backbench Tory allies redundant, are merely being strung out to pass the time.
May is still counting on just enough Labour members breaking ranks at the last minute to support her. That means she needs to keep the unionists onside for Brexit, as well as for the rest of this parliament, as the Conservatives cannot govern without them.

Blue Billywig Video Player DUP leader Arlene Foster and deputy leader Nigel Dodds at Downing Street. File photograph: Reuters
Painfully apparent
Any minor gesture May can beg from Brussels in the next six weeks will be aimed at giving the DUP one last thing it can sell as a victory. But that is all the party can hold out for, as has also become painfully apparent.
Contrast the DUP's present tone with December 2017, when a party source declared: "This is a battle of who blinks first, and we've ripped off our eyelids."
•   Brexit Borderlands: The Irish Times maps Ireland's border crossings
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BREXIT: The Facts
Read them here
On Monday, DUP deputy leader Nigel Dodds said "it's time to dial down the rhetoric and focus on solutions rather than scaremongering", provoking widespread merriment given recent DUP rhetoric.
On Sunday, DUP MP Jeffrey Donaldson penned a strikingly emollient article in the Dublin press, admitting the party has been guilty of "megaphone diplomacy", praising North-South co-operation and pledging to seek a Brexit deal and an open Border.
Donaldson quit the UUP in 2003 after dividing it by rejecting the Belfast Agreement. Now spoken of as an imminent replacement for DUP leader Arlene Foster, he seems to have been tasked with uniting the DUP behind the withdrawal agreement.
If Ian Paisley senior was still alive he would no doubt consider this an amusingly Old Testament parable.
The DUP's Brexit spokesman, Sammy Wilson MP, continues to demand the backstop be scrapped, forcing the party to deny a split.
Every other senior member of the DUP, including Foster, has shifted from calling for the backstop's removal to saying they could accept it with changes or qualifications, while leaving the options for that open. Yet they are also still warning it could break up the UK.

Border poll
In a related wobble the DUP is plainly unnerved by talk of a Border poll.
When Sinn Féin demanded a poll in 2013, Foster famously said "be careful what you wish for". Since the EU referendum she has said a poll would be "divisive and destabilising".
This is not because the DUP thinks unionism would lose, or even that a Border poll is likely, but because the party knows its voters do not thank it for raising the issue through its handling of Brexit.
Can the DUP sell what looks like an inevitable climbdown on the withdrawal agreement?

If and when May's deal passes, the choice unionist voters will perceive to have been made will be between the backstop and no backstop
Opinion polls show a solid majority of DUP voters prefer the backstop to a no-deal Brexit, in line with Northern Ireland voters overall. However, questions on stark hypothetical choices produce irrelevant results – much polling on a united Ireland has the same flaw.
If and when May's deal passes, the choice unionist voters will perceive to have been made will be between the backstop and no backstop, and they will have to be talked out of the fears the DUP talked them into in the first place.
Mercenary chances abound to sweeten the deal. The DUP has an unprecedented moment of leverage and could ask for almost anything in the British government's gift – most predictably more money for Northern Ireland, or more cannily ways to smooth the path back to Stormont.
But the party will be looking over its shoulder for hardline opportunism from smaller rivals. The UUP and the Traditional Unionist Voice (TUV) are both still demanding the backstop's full removal.
Historically, pathetically, that is the tail that always ends up wagging the unionist dog.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 14, 2019, 09:37:25 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2019, 05:18:50 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:58:11 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 13, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on February 13, 2019, 04:47:21 PM
I have attended quite a few Brexit clinics organised by QUB. General consensus is we're fucked and you can't trust the Brits.

I have just launched a research project to scope the impact of the various Brexit scenarios on the housing market in the north. Should be interesting!

Jeez HD I recently bought one in Belfast. Hope I'm not in bother  :o

Will be interesting to see what potential impact might be on the private rented sector with the ending of free movement.

There is more to it than just that though.

If there is some deal on Irish passport holders being able to cross the border without delay, what if Dublin were to become financial capital of Europe? Does Belfast become a commuter town to Dublin with a functional rail link with electronic checks at both terminals?

With house prices in Dublin, the road commute (Dublin now 3rd most congested city in the world - not that Belfast can crow - 2nd most congested in UK), and purchasing power with € vs a depressed £, it is not that far fetched.
Not far fetched at all, would be interesting to see if this thought has occurred to estate agents/property developers.
I know a few people who already commute to Dublin daily on the train.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 14, 2019, 03:41:15 PM
https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/ireland-must-face-a-border-on-island-or-a-border-between-ireland-and-eu-in-no-deal-brexit-37816814.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on February 14, 2019, 03:54:41 PM
Interesting they left the first three key words out of their link there

'Tanaiste rubbishes report ireland must face...'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on February 14, 2019, 06:35:57 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47213842

Fantastic 😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 07:58:53 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 08, 2019, 02:15:27 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:00:26 PM
Anything more specific?

I assume your question is related to trade?

It is widely accepted that there is a correlation between core infrastructure (transport/utilities) and productivity. Taken that given, then...


If there were a UI, we would likely see vast improvements in infrastructure in the border areas leading to improved growth in these areas. The improvement of the roads already within the ROI due to EU led investment should be consider as examples. For instance, we would most likely definitely see:
- New main road linking Monaghan to Maguiresbridge.
- Improved main road linking Enniskillen to Donegal town (via Ballyshannon).
- The A5 gets done rather than dithered over.

Then, dealing with the east coast:
- The York road junction gets done rather than dithered over.
- The Dublin-Belfast enterprise service gets new rolling stock that pulls the journey time down to around an hour (its only 100 miles). Even use of the older intercity 125s on a track fit for purpose would see a big drop in journey time - current top speed is limited to 90 mph. The enterprise service as it stands at the moment is an embarrassment. Benign topology and yet the best we can do is an average speed of ~55 mph between the 2 largest cities just 100 miles apart?

We would possibly see:
- extension of the dual carriageway from Ballygawley to Enniskillen. I wouldn't imagine this would dual carriageway over to Ballyshannon.
- improvements of the links to Warrenpoint dock so freight can be moved more quickly onto the motorway/rail network.

I'd also like to think there would be EU monies put toward improving broadband infrastructure in rural areas, which would also lead to improved economic output from our smaller businesses.

You had said that UI would lead to trade and then to GDP growth and then to tax revenue growth and and that would approximately close the deficit. All said without any reference to numbers which struck me as fairly fundamental hence my request for specifics.

I can't really say you have delivered any in the subsequent effort.

This investment in infrastructure - who has costed it or even hinted that they would fund it?

"Most likely definitely" is a belter if a phrase and the first time I've seen it. I do hope that when I see it again in serious economic analysis that the author with credit you appropriately
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:03:49 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 08, 2019, 02:17:16 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 07, 2019, 09:01:18 PM
What exactly are you asking here?

1. Economic prospects in event of Brexit and Northern Ireland remaining part of the UK

2. Economic prospects in event of Brexit and a United Ireland.

Would welcome both documents but there with or without Brexit there is no UI until serious economic propositions are presented. The onus is those arguing to change the status quo. The counter position would have to be presented then also
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:06:22 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 08, 2019, 11:28:24 PM
if the worst happens and the UK crash out with no deal it's now inevitable there will be a united Ireland within 10 years

Care to spell out why?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 14, 2019, 08:13:30 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:06:22 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 08, 2019, 11:28:24 PM
if the worst happens and the UK crash out with no deal it's now inevitable there will be a united Ireland within 10 years

Care to spell out why?
Tariffs of 70% on meat
Sterling fall by 25%
Squeeze on spending
Guaranteed economic crash because of current account deficit

Basically being in the UK would be worse economically for people in NI than being in RoI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:14:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 09, 2019, 01:50:10 AM

No deal would be suicidal for the U.K.

If No deal went ahead the economic justification for the existence
of Northern Ireland would disappear

https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/07/no-deal-brexit-medieval-siege-eu-britain-industries

Plus the south is more socially progressive regarding reproductive rights !! After decades being behind .# Jaysus

If a time traveler from Crossmaglen in the 50's rolled up they would not believe the changes that have happened. It all started when Down won the All Ireland in 1960. ;)

The Irish govt was dealt a bad hand with the Brexit referendum but they played as a team
and they got a result. It is fantastic to see all the Irish parties both north and south united in support of everyone in the north.

https://youtu.be/O3G1bwD0ao0

Agree that no deal is suicidal for UK

Agree that RoI is more socially progressive than NI (wouldn't be hard)

Totally disagree that Brexit removes the economic justification for the existence of NI. There isn't any economic justification for NI to disappear.

The issue is that today we are an expensive pain the hole for someone who can afford the bill
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:40:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 14, 2019, 08:13:30 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:06:22 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 08, 2019, 11:28:24 PM
if the worst happens and the UK crash out with no deal it's now inevitable there will be a united Ireland within 10 years

Care to spell out why?
Tariffs of 70% on meat
Sterling fall by 25%
Squeeze on spending
Guaranteed economic crash because of current account deficit

Basically being in the UK would be worse economically for people in NI than being in RoI

I get the sh1tshow that Brexit is but where is your analysis of what it will do to the ROI economy?
But that is all secondary

Surely the key to this is that Brexit absolutely rules out any possibility of NI being able to wean itself off the subvention in the timescales being discussed. So that money needs to be raised. There is zero chance of the RoI voter agreeing to step up to the plate and Brexit's impact on the ROI economy hardly does anything to improve that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 14, 2019, 08:49:31 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 07:58:53 PM
You had said that UI would lead to trade and then to GDP growth and then to tax revenue growth and and that would approximately close the deficit. All said without any reference to numbers which struck me as fairly fundamental hence my request for specifics.

I can't really say you have delivered any in the subsequent effort.

Sorry, what?

You want me to take the time to research then provide estimated numbers (that you would be happy with - which would no doubt prove impossible) for a forum argument, whenever it is likely the best economists in the world with access to all relevant data would struggle with the task?

Get real.





Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 07:58:53 PM
This investment in infrastructure - who has costed it or even hinted that they would fund it?

I certainly have not costed it. But I'd say its likely someone somewhere has numbers on at least some of it. The A5 would be one part that would be known. There was examination of getting faster stock for the Belfast-Dublin rail link about 5-10 years ago.

Given the money that has been spent on the road, tram and rail links in the ROI over the last 15 years, it isn't much of a leap to expect the work would be undertaken. I doubt the term common sense would appeal to you since it would undermine your argument.


Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 07:58:53 PM
"Most likely definitely" is a belter if a phrase and the first time I've seen it. I do hope that when I see it again in serious economic analysis that the author with credit you appropriately

I doubt any evidence provided on here would meet your criteria (which I'd expect to swiftly move in quite an evasive fashion).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 14, 2019, 08:52:45 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:14:24 PM
The issue is that today we are an expensive pain the hole for someone who can afford the bill

Your implicitly assuming that the UK can continue to afford the bill.

In a no-deal Brexit, I'd predict the UK govt to default on gilts within 24 months, possibly within 12 months.

In that instance, there would not be any money for this expensive pain in the hole (and I agree on that bit) as the UK can't foot the bill.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:53:38 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 14, 2019, 08:49:31 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 07:58:53 PM
You had said that UI would lead to trade and then to GDP growth and then to tax revenue growth and and that would approximately close the deficit. All said without any reference to numbers which struck me as fairly fundamental hence my request for specifics.

I can't really say you have delivered any in the subsequent effort.

Sorry, what?

You want me to take the time to research then provide estimated numbers (that you would be happy with - which would no doubt prove impossible) for a forum argument, whenever it is likely the best economists in the world with access to all relevant data would struggle with the task?

Get real.





Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 07:58:53 PM
This investment in infrastructure - who has costed it or even hinted that they would fund it?

I certainly have not costed it. But I'd say its likely someone somewhere has numbers on at least some of it. The A5 would be one part that would be known. There was examination of getting faster stock for the Belfast-Dublin rail link about 5-10 years ago.

Given the money that has been spent on the road, tram and rail links in the ROI over the last 15 years, it isn't much of a leap to expect the work would be undertaken. I doubt the term common sense would appeal to you since it would undermine your argument.


Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 07:58:53 PM
"Most likely definitely" is a belter if a phrase and the first time I've seen it. I do hope that when I see it again in serious economic analysis that the author with credit you appropriately

I doubt any evidence provided on here would meet your criteria (which I'd expect to swiftly move in quite an evasive fashion).

I'm not asking you to cost it. But if haven't costed it and can't point to anyone else who had then don't just make the assumption that it will be ticketyboo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:58:55 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 14, 2019, 08:52:45 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:14:24 PM
The issue is that today we are an expensive pain the hole for someone who can afford the bill

Your implicitly assuming that the UK can continue to afford the bill.

In a no-deal Brexit, I'd predict the UK govt to default on gilts within 24 months, possibly within 12 months.

In that instance, there would not be any money for this expensive pain in the hole (and I agree on that bit) as the UK can't foot the bill.

I don't assume that UK will always fit the bill. I know that there is government research ongoing to see how NI could be weaned off the subvention but it's a very long term play.

But funding NI out of an economy the size of RoI is a different league to doing so from UK. There are certainly negatives in both economies that would give cause for concern over the coming years

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 14, 2019, 09:19:32 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:53:38 PM
I'm not asking you to cost it. But if haven't costed it and can't point to anyone else who had then don't just make the assumption that it will be ticketyboo

- The A5 is stopped because of court challenges. Its a fair assumption at this point that one or two sums into how much it might cost have been done.
- There was investigations into buying high(er) speed stock for the Dublin-Belfast service. I know they were done. I can only assume that pricing was a part of the work done, hardly unrealistic.
- The York road junction is in court based on challenges to the tender decision. Something that has already been costed.

- I don't know of anything done on the other road links mentioned, but I haven't looked into it. They are not unrealistic, indeed, they are quite logical actions that a government of a UI would look into in the near term future. Can you provide a solid reason why any of the proposed developments would not be undertaken?


[If you are wondering where money would come from - do you really think the EU would not think it in their best interest to invest heavily in uplifting infrastructure here to try and avoid degeneration into violence?]

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 14, 2019, 09:22:47 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:58:55 PM
I don't assume that UK will always fit the bill. I know that there is government research ongoing to see how NI could be weaned off the subvention but it's a very long term play.

But funding NI out of an economy the size of RoI is a different league to doing so from UK. There are certainly negatives in both economies that would give cause for concern over the coming years

If the UK defaults - then the ROI being able to foot 50% of the bill* is better than the UK's 0. Its all relative.

*and that 50% would decrease fast. Who needs thousands of civil servants that sit around doing f**k all... maybe they are busy counting the moon and make some paperwork about how they counted it. The Irish govt would also be more likely to be able to strong arm the educational systems together for savings.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on February 15, 2019, 11:33:17 AM
From @joelymack on Twitter.

Theresa May
Theresa might
But Theresa won't
Because Theresa's shite
Theresa May
Theresa shan't
And Theresa won't
Because Theresa can't
Theresa May
Theresa tried
But Theresa didn't
Because Theresa lied
Theresa May
Theresa sucked
And Theresa knows
That Theresa's fucked
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 15, 2019, 01:27:44 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/a70274ea-2ab9-11e9-88a4-c32129756dd8

   The Brexit delusion of creating 'Singapore upon Thames'
Promoting a small Asian city-state as a model for Britain is magical thinking
      
         Martin Wolf
         Singapore is not a laissez faire paradise © Bloomberg

         Inside two months, the UK might have crashed out of the EU into a "no deal" limbo. What happens then? For some Brexiters, the answer seems to be to blame this disaster on the EU and then turn the UK into Singapore, or what they imagine Singapore to be. These people are right on one thing: Singapore has been a great economic success. But it is not a laissez faire paradise. On the contrary, its success has been built on hard work, forced sacrifices and a (relatively benign) authoritarianism. We should learn from Singapore, but must not think it a plausible model for the UK's future.Of the economic successes of the UK's former colony, there is no doubt. By 1980, Singapore's real gross domestic product per head had converged on the UK's. By 2018, it was more than twice as high.

According to the IMF, Singapore's real GDP per head is fourth in the world (after Qatar, Macau and Luxembourg).As a city-state with a tiny domestic market, Singapore's future lay in attracting foreign multinationals and skills. With no domestic market to speak of, free trade was an obvious choice. But free trade is not laissez faire. Singapore promoted new industries. It continues to have large shareholdings via Temasek, its sovereign wealth fund. Singapore has exploited a superb location in the fast-growing Asian region, its increasingly high-quality workforce and low taxes to turn itself into a premier hub for international business. But it has also participated actively in regional integration via the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. Crucially, the reliability of Singapore's "offer" to the world is underpinned by the fact that just one highly competent governing party has ruled it throughout its history as an independent country.Among complementary explanations for Singapore's fast growth is that it invests so much: between 2008 and 2018, it invested an average of 29 per cent of GDP, while the UK invested a mere 17 per cent. This also helps explain why Singapore's infrastructure is exceptional. Singapore had a staggering savings rate of 47 per cent of GDP in those years, against the UK's miserable 12 per cent.

Singapore's gross savings rates are heavily distorted by inclusion of the profits of multinationals. Yet even savings rates in "indigenous GDP" have been around 30 per cent.One explanation for these high savings is the "central provident fund", which compels workers and employers to contribute 37 per cent of wages and salaries up to age 55. People use this money for house purchases, health and pensions: it is Singapore's alternative to a redistributive welfare state. Another explanation is fiscal surpluses: between 2008 and 2018, these averaged 5 per cent of GDP. Amazingly, Singapore's net international assets reached 340 per cent of gross national income in 2017.
How can anybody imagine this is a credible model for Brexit Britain? Far from being able to offer stability to global businesses, the UK is busily blowing up the basis on which many of them came to the UK. Far from guaranteeing favourable access to its most important regional economic arrangement, the UK is leaving it, possibly without any deal at all. And, far from being a city-state of 5.6m people, the UK is a geographically, socially and politically diverse democratic polity of 66m. Its future should not — and will not — be determined by people and businesses enticed by turning it into nothing more than a haven of low taxation and light regulation.

That cannot stand.It would be wrong to argue that the UK lacks everything Singapore possesses. Its civil service is non-corrupt, for example, and the rule of law remains entrenched. It would be quite wrong, too, to argue that the UK is unable to learn a great deal from Singapore. Indeed, it would be a good idea for the UK to learn from successes elsewhere. A determined effort to raise abysmally low savings and investment rates, improve infrastructure and transform educational standards, all hallmarks of Singapore's development, would be highly desirable. Singapore has also raised home ownership to an extraordinary rate of 91 per cent. All these are achievements from which the UK could seek to learn. But they also demand difficult political choices and sacrifices.The idea that eliminating tariffs and regulations and slashing taxes will deliver broadly-shared prosperity in post-Brexit Britain is a fantasy. The Singapore example is far more complex and nuanced than that. The two economies and polities are starting from quite different places, with different histories and different possibilities. To believe otherwise is magical thinking. To inflict magical thinking on the lives of real people is an unforgivable political sin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 15, 2019, 01:33:18 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/7a7782c8-2f8f-11e9-ba00-0251022932c8

The Bank of England has cut its forecast for 2019. The slowdown, Philip Hammond, the chancellor, admits, reflects paralysing uncertainty. Business leaders talk privately of a collapse of confidence. The carmaker Nissan's decision to cancel investment is the tip of the iceberg. Executives are told by Whitehall officials that the government is powerless to cushion the impact of a no-deal Brexit. Then they are instructed to keep quiet.The anxieties spread beyond growth and jobs. The police and security services risk losing access to data about terrorists and criminal gangs. Arrangements for the detention and return of criminal suspects face suspension. British residents in the EU27 have no guarantees as to their rights of residence or access to health and welfare services. Those suffering from chronic illnesses fear that supplies of imported medicines will be disrupted. This panic has been designed and manufactured in 10 Downing Street to advance the prime minister's attempt to win support for a settlement with the EU27 already rejected decisively by the House of Commons
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on February 15, 2019, 01:45:52 PM
Does Ziggy have to plan for his drug now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:49:28 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 14, 2019, 09:19:32 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:53:38 PM
I'm not asking you to cost it. But if haven't costed it and can't point to anyone else who had then don't just make the assumption that it will be ticketyboo

- The A5 is stopped because of court challenges. Its a fair assumption at this point that one or two sums into how much it might cost have been done.
- There was investigations into buying high(er) speed stock for the Dublin-Belfast service. I know they were done. I can only assume that pricing was a part of the work done, hardly unrealistic.
- The York road junction is in court based on challenges to the tender decision. Something that has already been costed.

- I don't know of anything done on the other road links mentioned, but I haven't looked into it. They are not unrealistic, indeed, they are quite logical actions that a government of a UI would look into in the near term future. Can you provide a solid reason why any of the proposed developments would not be undertaken?


[If you are wondering where money would come from - do you really think the EU would not think it in their best interest to invest heavily in uplifting infrastructure here to try and avoid degeneration into violence?]

Come back to me when the total cost has been worked out and available for public scrutiny and you have done the deal with the EU. Though I think they have a lot of eastern priorities
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:53:20 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 14, 2019, 09:22:47 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 14, 2019, 08:58:55 PM
I don't assume that UK will always fit the bill. I know that there is government research ongoing to see how NI could be weaned off the subvention but it's a very long term play.

But funding NI out of an economy the size of RoI is a different league to doing so from UK. There are certainly negatives in both economies that would give cause for concern over the coming years

If the UK defaults - then the ROI being able to foot 50% of the bill* is better than the UK's 0. Its all relative.

*and that 50% would decrease fast. Who needs thousands of civil servants that sit around doing f**k all... maybe they are busy counting the moon and make some paperwork about how they counted it. The Irish govt would also be more likely to be able to strong arm the educational systems together for savings.
Hinging a lot on UK defaulting. Where does the idea of UK default meaning zero ability to fund NI come from?

Even in a UI scenario you will need a NI civil service to support the executive, stormont, local government etc etc. You will need to more work on the level of efficiency that is feasible
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 16, 2019, 08:30:19 AM
The arc of the Shinners compared to the Tory vortex

From blanket protests in the Hblocks in 1981
to mid morning ITV in 2019 to talk to the beautiful thin people

No shit.

Thatcherism is in meltdown

https://youtu.be/ay2wRTwkcFE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 16, 2019, 11:12:14 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2019, 08:30:19 AM
The arc of the Shinners compared to the Tory vortex

From blanket protests in the Hblocks in 1981
to mid morning ITV in 2019 to talk to the beautiful thin people

No shit.

Thatcherism is in meltdown

https://youtu.be/ay2wRTwkcFE

There's no doubt the appointment of Mary Lou has widened the audience of Sinn Fein.
Would Gerry have been invited onto a British morning chat show?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on February 16, 2019, 11:23:41 AM
Probably too much trouble,  especially having to get an actor to voice his words at 1 stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 01:51:44 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:49:28 PM
Come back to me when the total cost has been worked out and available for public scrutiny

F88k off you p***k and wise the head.

Like there is gonna be hundreds of thousands of pounds spent on scoping out jobs for you on an internet forum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 01:56:08 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:53:20 PM
Hinging a lot on UK defaulting.

Would be extremely likely (>95%) when there would be a run on the pound coupled with GDP dropping off a cliff.

Quote from: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:53:20 PM
Where does the idea of UK default meaning zero ability to fund NI come from?

Not zero, but compared to the money pit it is, cutbacks will be the stuff of nightmares for the CI.


Quote from: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:53:20 PM
Even in a UI scenario you will need a NI civil service to support the executive, stormont, local government etc etc. You will need to more work on the level of efficiency that is feasible

Why would there still be an executive* and stormont** and even local government?

*sure as hell, no one would argue if they immediately stopping funding the current non-sitting one.
**ditto

It'd all pulled under the same structure as the Irish civil service. Hopefully many of the non-front line wasters would have to re-apply for roles.


Anyway, enough of me trying to justify common sense to you. You go prove how NI would be better under the UK govt than a Dublin govt in the event of no-deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:22:38 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 01:51:44 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:49:28 PM
Come back to me when the total cost has been worked out and available for public scrutiny

F88k off you p***k and wise the head.

Like there is gonna be hundreds of thousands of pounds spent on scoping out jobs for you on an internet forum.

Who has even asked you or anybody else to spend a cent for this forum?

All I ask is that if someone says there is an economic argument for a UI that they make it or point to it? Likewise if there is an economic argument that makes it more likely or more viable due to Brexit

If there is no serious analysis to point to then what are the arguments based upon?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 01:56:08 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:53:20 PM
Hinging a lot on UK defaulting.

Would be extremely likely (>95%) when there would be a run on the pound coupled with GDP dropping off a cliff.

Quote from: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:53:20 PM
Where does the idea of UK default meaning zero ability to fund NI come from?

Not zero, but compared to the money pit it is, cutbacks will be the stuff of nightmares for the CI.


Quote from: LCohen on February 15, 2019, 06:53:20 PM
Even in a UI scenario you will need a NI civil service to support the executive, stormont, local government etc etc. You will need to more work on the level of efficiency that is feasible

Why would there still be an executive* and stormont** and even local government?

*sure as hell, no one would argue if they immediately stopping funding the current non-sitting one.
**ditto

It'd all pulled under the same structure as the Irish civil service. Hopefully many of the non-front line wasters would have to re-apply for roles.


Anyway, enough of me trying to justify common sense to you. You go prove how NI would be better under the UK govt than a Dublin govt in the event of no-deal.

Likelihood of UK default running >95%. Show me the workings on that one?

Some serious questions need to be asked as to why international media are not covering this impending doom

The zero funding for NI was your figure. I quote it back to you and you disown it.

There would be an executive and a stormont because the GB government would never agree to their removal in a UI scenario

Anyway I don't need to prove anything today. The burden of proof lies with those trying to change the status quo. Though I do agree that if a serious argument was made that a UI was economically viable then that would be a game changer (a UI would be close to inevitable in those circumstances) and anyone arguing for something other than UI would then see the burden of proof transfer to them.

Still plenty of room for civilised debate in the meantime eh??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 16, 2019, 02:36:33 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:22:38 PM
All I ask is that if someone says there is an economic argument for a UI that they make it or point to it? Likewise if there is an economic argument that makes it more likely or more viable due to Brexit

The economic case for a UI is that the 6 counties falls further behind the rest of the island each year. That case is improved by Brexit because Brexit will damage the NI economy and likely reduce transfer payments also as it will damage the whole UK.

Really, these facts are not in dispute by anyone other than the DUP. The only useful debate is about the significant problems that exist getting from here to there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 16, 2019, 02:47:44 PM
UK  default is based on

1 current account deficit = buying groceries on the credit card
2 No deals
3 counties lining up to shaft the U.K. in negotiations
4 the EU can shut down the U.K. if it wants .

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/07/no-deal-brexit-medieval-siege-eu-britain-industries
If they go ahead with Brexit it is over
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:58:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2019, 02:47:44 PM
UK  default is based on

1 current account deficit = buying groceries on the credit card
2 No deals
3 counties lining up to shaft the U.K. in negotiations
4 the EU can shut down the U.K. if it wants .

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/07/no-deal-brexit-medieval-siege-eu-britain-industries
If they go ahead with Brexit it is over

As an ardent remainer I find the article chilling. For me it sets out a series of risks that no sane person would willingly subject their economy to. That said it's an article that projects a series of worst case scenario events and says they will all happen in combination. It's intent (quite reasonably) is to scare the life out of anyone with the power to prevent a no deal Brexit. It's intent is not to present an evidenced impact analysis hence the lack of numbers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 03:02:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 16, 2019, 02:36:33 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:22:38 PM
All I ask is that if someone says there is an economic argument for a UI that they make it or point to it? Likewise if there is an economic argument that makes it more likely or more viable due to Brexit

The economic case for a UI is that the 6 counties falls further behind the rest of the island each year. That case is improved by Brexit because Brexit will damage the NI economy and likely reduce transfer payments also as it will damage the whole UK.

Really, these facts are not in dispute by anyone other than the DUP. The only useful debate is about the significant problems that exist getting from here to there.

But the case for a UI needs to be made in RoI. Show me the analysis that ROI tax base can afford the subvention?

Then if you are going to stress test the UK economy you need to do the same for RoI. What's the Brexit impact on RoI? What would be the impact of RoI losing any one of the 10 companies that pay c40% of the tax take through Brexit or otherwise?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 16, 2019, 03:32:01 PM
David McWilliams addressed this issue. Firstly on the general situation the gap is clear

(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fcom.ft.imagepublish.upp-prod-eu.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6284a8bc-f3ee-11e8-ae55-df4bf40f9d0d?source=next&fit=scale-down&quality=highest&width=600)

As  he said 
The UK's annual subvention is just over €10bn annually. When seen from the perspective of the North, with its total GDP of under €50bn, it looks like a significant figure — but when seen from the perspective of Dublin, it is not insurmountable. The usual way financial markets assess whether national expenditure and debts are sustainable is the debt/GDP ratio. Northern Ireland would cost less than 4 per cent of the Irish Republic's GDP annually. Of course, even this manageable figure would end up lower because the combined Irish GDP of the Republic combined with the North would be well over €300 billion, reducing the subvention as a percentage of income yet more. In pure budgetary terms, there is little doubt that the Republic's economy could absorb the North and this is before the commercial dynamism of unification kicks in.


Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 03:02:41 PM
Then if you are going to stress test the UK economy you need to do the same for RoI. What's the Brexit impact on RoI? What would be the impact of RoI losing any one of the 10 companies that pay c40% of the tax take through Brexit or otherwise?

Brexit is bringing more of these companies, not less. The Brexit impact on the ROI might be significant, but it can grow out it, agri produce can be sent to the Continent instread of Britain, not least because Welsh lamb etc will no longer be competitive there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 05:10:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 16, 2019, 03:32:01 PM
David McWilliams addressed this issue. Firstly on the general situation the gap is clear

(https://www.ft.com/__origami/service/image/v2/images/raw/http%3A%2F%2Fcom.ft.imagepublish.upp-prod-eu.s3.amazonaws.com%2F6284a8bc-f3ee-11e8-ae55-df4bf40f9d0d?source=next&fit=scale-down&quality=highest&width=600)

As  he said 
The UK's annual subvention is just over €10bn annually. When seen from the perspective of the North, with its total GDP of under €50bn, it looks like a significant figure — but when seen from the perspective of Dublin, it is not insurmountable. The usual way financial markets assess whether national expenditure and debts are sustainable is the debt/GDP ratio. Northern Ireland would cost less than 4 per cent of the Irish Republic's GDP annually. Of course, even this manageable figure would end up lower because the combined Irish GDP of the Republic combined with the North would be well over €300 billion, reducing the subvention as a percentage of income yet more. In pure budgetary terms, there is little doubt that the Republic's economy could absorb the North and this is before the commercial dynamism of unification kicks in.


Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 03:02:41 PM
Then if you are going to stress test the UK economy you need to do the same for RoI. What's the Brexit impact on RoI? What would be the impact of RoI losing any one of the 10 companies that pay c40% of the tax take through Brexit or otherwise?


Brexit is bringing more of these companies, not less. The Brexit impact on the ROI might be significant, but it can grow out it, agri produce can be sent to the Continent instread of Britain, not least because Welsh lamb etc will no longer be competitive there.

Im sure McWilliams would be the first to issue the health warning that comes with using ROI GDP figures. Irish GDP figures are effectively meaningless and allow debt to earnings figures for ROI to be significantly understated. Radio 4's More Or Less programme did a brilliant deconstruction of this.

I wouldn't underestimate the Brexit impact on ROI. The government is hardly relaxed about it.

I like you idea that restricted access to your main market us just an opportunity to send it to another market. This is the Brexiteer argument and it's idiotic. Ireland's main food export market is UK. If access to that market is restricted you can't just put the stuff on a boat to the continent and hope that the current suppliers to that market will push off

Don't underestimate the devastation to the RoI economy of another country undercutting it tax rate or if Trump actually did succeed in getting some of them to report more profits in the US
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 05:46:58 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM

Likelihood of UK default running >95%. Show me the workings on that one?

Some serious questions need to be asked as to why international media are not covering this impending doom

You do realise the implications of a no deal exit?

Forget about trading under the WTO - as the UK won't have a tariff system set that isn't the (hideous) basic rates - that is basically stupid talk to fool stupid people. Industries simply would not be able to compete if they are handing over 20, 30, 40% of the final price in tariffs to the importing country. The UK cannot go tariff free as the wider connotations for that are also disastrous.

The media are not covering it because they are trying too hard to appear impartial - and they are also somewhat inept.

Some places have touched on it, here for instance, James O'Brien talking with Bryce Baschuk, Bloomberg's man on the WTO:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5DIz9UTmMQk

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 05:49:32 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:22:38 PM
If there is no serious analysis to point to then what are the arguments based upon?

There will be no serious analyses as it is not something that (serious) people have seriously considered until the past few months.

Everything will be high level, large assumptions and hand waving. You wanting details that do not exist in any papers (and to a large extent, are going to be erroneous) is not really a viable pre-condition for discounting the high level back of an envelope numbers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 05:53:04 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM
The zero funding for NI was your figure. I quote it back to you and you disown it.

My bad for not being clear - I do mean this in the context of all the stupid wastage in NI.

So no more funding pissed away on "community organisations", services pared back far beyond absolute minimum.

For all intents and purposes, the public sector will collapse.

Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM
There would be an executive and a stormont because the GB government would never agree to their removal in a UI scenario

What is the basis for that assumption? That is far more far-fetched than anything I have talked about regarding roads, railways, even the UK default!

I don't believe there is anything in the GFA that insists on stormont remaining in event of UI. If there is a no-deal, and border poll resulting in UI, the least of the Brit's worries will be whether Stormont continues to exist or not!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 05:54:30 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM
Still plenty of room for civilised debate in the meantime eh??

Don't pre-condition your side of the debate with unrealistic daft expectations.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 16, 2019, 07:49:55 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:58:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2019, 02:47:44 PM
UK  default is based on

1 current account deficit = buying groceries on the credit card
2 No deals
3 counties lining up to shaft the U.K. in negotiations
4 the EU can shut down the U.K. if it wants .

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/07/no-deal-brexit-medieval-siege-eu-britain-industries
If they go ahead with Brexit it is over

As an ardent remainer I find the article chilling. For me it sets out a series of risks that no sane person would willingly subject their economy to. That said it's an article that projects a series of worst case scenario events and says they will all happen in combination. It's intent (quite reasonably) is to scare the life out of anyone with the power to prevent a no deal Brexit. It's intent is not to present an evidenced impact analysis hence the lack of numbers

Switzerland tried to impose its rules and gave up

Hannan thinks the U.K. can walk away with 39bn

Han nan €39 non

https://youtu.be/eXqMrCObXbo

The EU can just withhold fin services authorization

The U.K. is fucked because of the state of the economy

Galbraith

"The conventional wisdom gives way not so much to new ideas as to the massive onslaught of circumstances with which it cannot contend »
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 16, 2019, 09:09:41 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 05:10:21 PM
Im sure McWilliams would be the first to issue the health warning that comes with using ROI GDP figures. Irish GDP figures are effectively meaningless and allow debt to earnings figures for ROI to be significantly understated. Radio 4's More Or Less programme did a brilliant deconstruction of this.

Of course he understands the difference, which is  why he did not use GDP but GNI* in the chart above.

QuoteI wouldn't underestimate the Brexit impact on ROI. The government is hardly relaxed about it.

I didn't say Brexit would not have an effect,  I said the ROI would recover. When you are growing t 5% pa you can take a knock.
Quote
I like you idea that restricted access to your main market us just an opportunity to send it to another market. This is the Brexiteer argument and it's idiotic. Ireland's main food export market is UK. If access to that market is restricted you can't just put the stuff on a boat to the continent and hope that the current suppliers to that market will push off

There is a specific opportunity in lamb which I mentioned as Britain exports it.
However, there is a general point, there is still a big market available, this is not the 1930s.

QuoteDon't underestimate the devastation to the RoI economy of another country undercutting it tax rate or if Trump actually did succeed in getting some of them to report more profits in the US

Trump's measures affect the Bahamas ectc more than Ireland. Of course there are threats, but prospects are infinitely better than for NI either way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 16, 2019, 10:09:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:58:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 16, 2019, 02:47:44 PM
UK  default is based on

1 current account deficit = buying groceries on the credit card
2 No deals
3 counties lining up to shaft the U.K. in negotiations
4 the EU can shut down the U.K. if it wants .

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/07/no-deal-brexit-medieval-siege-eu-britain-industries
If they go ahead with Brexit it is over

As an ardent remainer I find the article chilling. For me it sets out a series of risks that no sane person would willingly subject their economy to. That said it's an article that projects a series of worst case scenario events and says they will all happen in combination. It's intent (quite reasonably) is to scare the life out of anyone with the power to prevent a no deal Brexit. It's intent is not to present an evidenced impact analysis hence the lack of numbers

There are no numbers in the Brexit debate
It is assumed that the horse can be flogged as much as is necessary.
The horse is not well

The U.K. is paying for groceries with credit.. There are no margins.

Every version of Brexit will add costs that the U.K. can't afford

https://mobile.twitter.com/peoplesvote_uk/status/1096370360348561413

The DUP are magical thinking  So are the headbangers

https://mobile.twitter.com/itvpeston/status/1070461783700267008


https://youtu.be/eXqMrCObXbo

Switzerland tried to dictate terms and gave up

They wanted sovereignty plus choice plus free trade and were told to pick 2

Same for the UK

Arlene Foster is a gobshite.

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/no-brexit-deal-better-than-bad-deal-says-dup-1.3796699

So is Raab. :

They can't see the danger so they think there is none. FF were the same. Gobshites.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 09:47:53 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/9cd62bde-32ba-11e9-bd3a-8b2a211d90d5

Although Japanese businesses, particularly in the automotive and financial services sectors, have spent two years fretting over a hard Brexit or a no-deal scenario, the UK's desperation to have trade deals in place before or shortly after its scheduled departure from the EU on March 29 is now becoming increasingly clear to the Japanese public. Japan's state broadcaster NHK devoted part of an extended show on the 40-day countdown to Brexit by showing a bewildered panel of presenters a "Brexit survival pack" of dried foods and other provisions.

The differences of position, which the Hunt/Fox letter acknowledges as "challenging issues", centre around Japan's refusal to accept a simple "cut and paste" of the terms of the EU-Japan agreement ratified last year. Instead, its officials have been told to negotiate as they would any other trade accord, and to seek better terms from the UK than Japan won through its long haggle with the much larger EU

      https://www.ft.com/content/9cd62bde-32ba-11e9-bd3a-8b2a211d90d5

   Iron Knee

The Drinkers' Guide to the Brexit Scam
https://www.conservativehome.com/platform/2016/07/david-davis-trade-deals-tax-cuts-and-taking-time-before-triggering-article-50-a-brexit-economic-strategy-for-britain.html

So be under no doubt: we can do deals with our trading partners, and we can do them quickly. I would expect the new Prime Minister on September 9th, 2016 to immediately trigger a large round of global trade deals with all our most favoured trade partners. I would expect that the negotiation phase of most of them to be concluded within between 12 and 24 months. So within two years, before the negotiation with the EU is likely to be complete, and therefore before anything material has changed, we can negotiate a free trade area massively larger than the EU. Trade deals with the US and China alone will give us a trade area almost twice the size of the EU, and of course we will also be seeking deals with Hong Kong, Canada, Australia, India, Japan, the UAE, Indonesia – and many others

   

   Boris Zohnson @justapleb No, a customs union is simply a common tariff zone: it applies to incoming goods only.  Any trade agreement agreed between a third country and the EU would not include the UK, so we would have to make our own outgoing trade
   https://www.ft.com/content/9cd62bde-32ba-11e9-bd3a-8b2a211d90d5

   Eden de Vizes

Not only are Hunt & Fox hopelessly naive about the availability of replacement FTAs on cut-and-paste terms, they are also hopelessly naive about the etiquette of dealing with the Japanese.The idea that such incompetents hold high position in the British government bodes very ill for the good management of the country whatever the Brexit outcome.Let us be blunt about this: the best FTAs-  whether they already exist through our membership or will accrue to us in the future because we remain a member  - are to be had via the EU.  There is one possible exception: we might possibly in the short term do more trade with the US faster than would be the case via the EU, but only at the cost of a devastating weakening of regulations protecting UK consumers and the NHS.arrangements.  Like we are attempting to do with Japan now...

      https://www.ft.com/content/9cd62bde-32ba-11e9-bd3a-8b2a211d90d5

   Gwynforsenior

Politics aside, this looks like clear evidence of the UK's lack of trade negotiating skills. This isn't surprising given that our external trade has been governed at EU level for 46 years. Attempts to fill the gap by recruiting from other countries, management consultancies etc would be second best even in normal times. In the extraordinary situation we now face, the shortfall is massive and likely to endure for years. In the normal world, major new projects start with a dispassionate assessment of risks - but hey, this is labelled 'project fear' isn't it?ReportShareTwitterFacebook2RecommendReplyBelgiansense 5ptsFeatured8 minutes ago@Gwynforsenior has nothing to do with negotiating skills, only with negotiating power... brexiteers think that with clever negotiating skills they can overcome the lack of power... as such assuming their counterparts can be outwitted... they are a funny bunch those brexiteers... they did outwit the remainers, but I imagine the negotiators are more clever than average Joe sixpack
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 18, 2019, 12:27:31 PM
What do they hope to achieve? Corbyn gets the boot and re-join? Surely easier to make change from within.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Saffrongael on February 18, 2019, 01:09:12 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

I think Seafoid is Corbyn
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 18, 2019, 01:21:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

Nobody is worse than Corbyn. Not fit to run a bath never mind the country.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 18, 2019, 01:21:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

Sour Grapes by the looks of it (sorry couldn't resist).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 18, 2019, 01:31:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

It's not just her that has made this complaint though - anti-Semitism seems to be endemic in Labour. I'd be surprised if more don't join the breakaway group. Umunna (some Irish heritage) seems as reasonable and centrist as one could meet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 18, 2019, 02:03:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

So she joined Labour tp stop Labour winning?

Are you saying their is no Anti-semetism in the labour party?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 18, 2019, 02:19:59 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 18, 2019, 02:03:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

So she joined Labour tp stop Labour winning?

Are you saying their is no Anti-semetism in the labour party?

Is there though?? Are there holocaust deniers?? I don't see how pointing out the plight of the Palestinians suddenly makes everyone an anti semite. Are you not allowed criticise Israel at all just because they are Jewish??

I don't know the ins and outs of all the antim-semitic allegations against Labour but any that I've seen have been insensitive at best and generally the chance for someone to put the boot in about the party being destroyed with it when I don't think it really is.

I'd be happy to view evidence to the contrary if there is some.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 18, 2019, 02:35:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 18, 2019, 02:19:59 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 18, 2019, 02:03:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

So she joined Labour tp stop Labour winning?

Are you saying their is no Anti-semetism in the labour party?

Is there though?? Are there holocaust deniers?? I don't see how pointing out the plight of the Palestinians suddenly makes everyone an anti semite. Are you not allowed criticise Israel at all just because they are Jewish??

I don't know the ins and outs of all the antim-semitic allegations against Labour but any that I've seen have been insensitive at best and generally the chance for someone to put the boot in about the party being destroyed with it when I don't think it really is.

I'd be happy to view evidence to the contrary if there is some.
Criticism of the actions of the Israeli state is not anti-Semitism however anti-Semitism is more than just holocaust denial. There is an international definition but labour tried to amend it before adopting it. Corbyn has been involved in rows over appearing on stage with anti-semites and of attending services for the perpetrators of the attack on the Israeli team at the Munich Olympics.
There have been a number of councillors and MP's who have been found to have been involved in anti-semitic group chats or of  of sharing anti-semitic cartoons usually hinting that Jews control the World or the banking system. IIRC Corbyn also endorsed a similar mural depicting Jews as money-lenders,
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 02:48:42 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 18, 2019, 02:35:14 PM
There is an international definition but labour tried to amend it before adopting it

and rightly so!

Did you see what it says?

https://www.holocaustremembrance.com/working-definition-antisemitism

Quote
Contemporary examples of antisemitism in public life, the media, schools, the workplace, and in the religious sphere could, taking into account the overall context, include, but are not limited to:
- Drawing comparisons of contemporary Israeli policy to that of the Nazis.


The way Israel is behaving in the Gaza strip is comparable to the behaviour of the Nazis.


I have absolute no time for anyone having a go at someone for their race. But I do have a problem with people using race to justify actions.

To borrow and paraphrase from Martin Luther...

People should not be judged by the color of their skin or the background of their genes but by the content of their character.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 04:17:21 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 18, 2019, 02:35:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 18, 2019, 02:19:59 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 18, 2019, 02:03:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

So she joined Labour tp stop Labour winning?

Are you saying their is no Anti-semetism in the labour party?

Is there though?? Are there holocaust deniers?? I don't see how pointing out the plight of the Palestinians suddenly makes everyone an anti semite. Are you not allowed criticise Israel at all just because they are Jewish??

I don't know the ins and outs of all the antim-semitic allegations against Labour but any that I've seen have been insensitive at best and generally the chance for someone to put the boot in about the party being destroyed with it when I don't think it really is.

I'd be happy to view evidence to the contrary if there is some.
Criticism of the actions of the Israeli state is not anti-Semitism however anti-Semitism is more than just holocaust denial. There is an international definition but labour tried to amend it before adopting it. Corbyn has been involved in rows over appearing on stage with anti-semites and of attending services for the perpetrators of the attack on the Israeli team at the Munich Olympics.
There have been a number of councillors and MP's who have been found to have been involved in anti-semitic group chats or of  of sharing anti-semitic cartoons usually hinting that Jews control the World or the banking system. IIRC Corbyn also endorsed a similar mural depicting Jews as money-lenders,

Criticising Israel is not anti-Semitic.

The real thing is murderous. Expecting Israel to observe international law is unrelated

Antisemitism in Labour is real boy who cried wolf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 18, 2019, 05:24:44 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Swindon voted to leave as well . . .  but we're not allowed to say they're stupid because that's why they won or something?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 06:22:57 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 18, 2019, 05:24:44 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Swindon voted to leave as well . . .  but we're not allowed to say they're stupid because that's why they won or something?!

Brexit is magical thinking.
The DUP are in serious shit because they bet the farm on Brexit as a way to dump the GFA and hurt the 26 counties and Varadkar in particular
just cos he is Irish.
And now it is all falling apart.

It would take a heart of stone not to laugh
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 06:25:26 PM
Brexit is a UK version of the Irish bank guarantee. It is a suicide note involving huge unpriced tail risk .

When FF signed the guarantee, Ireland had a huge current account deficit. The money was called in afterwards and the economy collapsed.

The UK has a huge current account deficit . There is a hole in the bucket.

Every single deal will be worse than Remain terms.

Over at the FT

EU Horrified
"Japanese business were promised unfettered access to EU markets whilst enjoying the legal stability of being domiciled in the UK. The UK's course since then has been to betray these investors and renege on its market access promises. Why would the Japanese or anyone else trust anything that came out of the UK ever again."

Do threascair an saol is shéid an ghaoth mar smál
Alastrann, Caesar, 's an méid sin a bhí 'na bpáirt;
tá an Teamhair 'na féar, is féach an Traoi mar tá,
is na Sasanaigh féin do b'fhéidir go bhfaighidís bás.

Eoghan Rua O'Suilleabhain (1748-82)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Saffrongael on February 18, 2019, 09:05:10 PM
Seafoid no surprise on this thread re the Labour "splitters", but some of the rest of you, do some research for Christ's sake
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 04:41:04 AM
Quote from: mouview on February 18, 2019, 01:31:20 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2019, 12:35:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2019, 12:24:06 PM
I see the England and Wales Labour Party starting to disintegrate  with 7 MPs jumping ship.

7 neoliberals I think

Berger is a piece of work

Whining about anti-Semitism when what she really wants is to prevent  a Labour Government changing the economic system

It's not just her that has made this complaint though - anti-Semitism seems to be endemic in Labour. I'd be surprised if more don't join the breakaway group. Umunna (some Irish heritage) seems as reasonable and centrist as one could meet.

https://orientxxi.info/magazine/anti-semitism-orchestrated-offensive-against-jeremy-corbyn-in-the-uk,2446

« Corbyn's supporters argue that the main Jewish lobby groups in the party, most notably the Jewish Labour Movement, the UK's sister organisation of the Israeli Labour Party, dread a future in which a Corbyn government may become the first in Europe to prioritise the Palestinians over Israel.
And the dominant faction of Blairite MPs fear losing their party to someone they view as a political dinosaur and a threat to the political and economic order they champion.

When socialists or Occupy movements critiqued globalisation—speaking of "global elites," "a rigged system," "a parasitic 1 per cent"—they were not just indicting a ruling class. According to the authors, they were also echoing the Protocols of the Elders of Zion, a notorious forgery claiming that Jews controlled the international financial system.
The advantage of this line of attack for a capitalist class keen to maintain its privileges hardly needs pointing out. Any effort to articulate a programme for radical change, for socialism, becomes inherently vulnerable to the charge of anti-semitism.


 Jonathan Freedland, a senior columnist at the Guardian, waded in to support the JLM, arguing that the traditional definition of anti-semitism—that it was a hatred of Jews for being Jews—was too limited.
Instead, he claimed, it was a mood that could be perceived only by its victims, even if there was no tangible evidence that outsiders could detect. Further, anti-semitism included attacks on Jewish identity. And because Israel was now central to most Jews' identity, attacks on Israel could be evidence of anti-semitism too. »

This is central to Jewish identity according to Freedland

https://youtu.be/b6V7YirXXII

And if you disagree you are a Nazi


https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/17/us/republicans-democrats-messaging.html

« WASHINGTON — In the 116th Congress, if you're a Democrat, you're either a socialist, a baby killer or an anti-Semite.
That, at least, is what Republicans want voters to think, as they seek to demonize Democrats well in advance of the 2020 elections by painting them as left-wing crazies who will destroy the American economy, murder newborn babies and turn a blind eye to bigotry against Jews. »


Meanwhile the real thing is thriving on the net

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Daily_Stormer
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/the-measure-of-hate-on-4chan-627922/amp/


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 09:15:18 AM
Japan warned May about f**king around with a Hard Brexit back in 2016

   https://www.ft.com/content/98dd4eb4-729f-11e6-bf48-b372cdb1043a

   Japan calls for 'soft' Brexit — or companies could leave UK
      

               George Parker in Hangzhou
      
               September 4, 2016

                     
            

         Japan has issued a daunting challenge to Theresa May, UK prime minister, to negotiate a very "soft" British exit from the EU or risk seeing Japanese banks and other companies leave for the continent.Mrs May, attending her first G20 summit in China, was also warned on Sunday by Barack Obama, US president, that strong business links between his country and the UK could "unravel" unless Brexit was handled carefully.The British prime minister had been left in no doubt that Japanese and US companies invested in the UK partly as a base to reach the 500m consumers of the European single market, and that continued access was seen as vital.A memo on Japan's Brexit demands, posted on the ministry of foreign affairs website, called on Mrs May and the EU to negotiate a post-Brexit deal that safeguarded almost all of Britain's rights in the single market.The memo said the UK government lured some Japanese companies to Britain on the basis that it was "seen to be a gateway to Europe" and suggested it had a moral obligation to honour those promises."We strongly request that the UK will consider this fact seriously and respond in a responsible manner to minimise any harmful effects on these businesses," said the memo, setting out Japan's position to both British and EU negotiators."Japanese businesses with their European headquarters in the UK may decide to transfer their head-office function to continental Europe if EU laws cease to be applicable in the UK after its withdrawal," the report says.It adds that Japanese financial institutions might have to "relocate their operations from the UK to existing establishments in the EU" if they were to lose their right to the single passport obtained in Britain to access the single market.Almost half of Japanese direct investment intended for the EU in 2015 flowed to the UK, and Britain was one of the main destinations for Japan's investment stock within the EU as of the end of last year.Toyota has two plants and employs 3,500 in the UK. While not referring directly to the government memo, the company said on Sunday: "Going forward, we will closely monitor and analyse the impact on our business operations in the UK and how we can maintain competitiveness and secure sustainable growth together with the UK automotive industry and other stakeholders." Sources in the Japanese banking sector say they saw the memo on Japan's Brexit demands as making common sense.
               
         
                  
                  
         
            "It's helpful in some ways because it puts responsibility on the EU and UK [to sort this out]," one of the sources said.The sources were cautious on the document's implications that there would be big changes to Japanese banks' European headquarters if there was a "hard Brexit", stressing that there were other ways around licensing issues beyond moving their headquarters. As well as its UK operations, which employ about 2,000, Nomura has an extensive presence elsewhere in the EU, including banks in Luxembourg and Frankfurt. Japan's other two big banks with London operations — Mizuho and Mitsubishi UFJ, which employs 1,200 in the UK — also have other EU operations including licensed banks in Luxembourg. The newly-arrived Japanese ambassador to London said on Monday that Japan had "a very huge stake in making Brexit a success that will not damage or hurt the global economy".

Koji Tsuruoka played down suggestions of a wholesale pull out by Japanese companies, telling the BBC Today programme that it was "difficult to imagine that all Japanese companies will be pulling out in totality" because the UK will remain a big market for Japanese car makers."But if the way Brexit ends up does not provide companies with the prospect of making sufficient profits to continue operating in the UK of course there is no option that they cannot choose and all options are open to them," he saidHe stressed the need to maintain tariff free access to the European market, but indicated if customs duties were imposed on Japanese products shipped from the UK to the EU, the impact could be offset if the exchange rate also falls.Japan's business wish list could be very difficult for Mrs May to deliver, since it closely resembles Britain's current relationship with the EU, something that UK voters and many Tory MPs want to fundamentally reform.Japanese companies want to retain access to workers who are nationals of the UK and EU and to maintain current tariff rates and customs clearance procedures. They also want to maintain harmonised regulations and standards between Britain and the EU.Mrs May had accepted the need to "control" the free movement of EU nationals to Britain, something that ministers conceded was incompatible with membership of the single market.Mr Obama, who met Mrs May at the G20 in the eastern Chinese city of Hangzhou, said Britain's exit should be negotiated so that there was minimised disruption of American investment in the UK and it did not "unravel" strong business ties between the two countries.Additional reporting by Laura Noonan and James Wilson
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 19, 2019, 12:35:50 PM
Sinn Fein and the DUP. Working for the people of the North on Brexit. Delivering, accountable.

https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/key-foster-mcguinness-brexit-letter-was-actually-written-by-civil-servants-1-8816000
(https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/key-foster-mcguinness-brexit-letter-was-actually-written-by-civil-servants-1-8816000)

The pinnacle of the DUP-Sinn Fein Executive's efforts to present a united front on how Brexit should be handled was actually overwhelmingly – and perhaps exclusively – the work of civil servants, new material reveals. In August 2016 the then first and deputy first ministers wrote to the prime minister to set out their agreed priorities for the Brexit process. Arlene Foster and Martin McGuinness's letter was presented as a significant development and has since been cited by those who defend the previous Stormont regime as an example of how opposing sides could pragmatically agree to work together. However, material released under the Freedom of Information Act shows no evidence that Mrs Foster, Mr McGuinness or any of their political advisors played any role in the letter beyond requesting it at a meeting which was not minuted and then the ministers putting their signatures to the letter.

Given the culture of verbal government within Stormont where certain communications were deliberately not written down to avoid the public ever getting to see what went on, it is possible that either the ministers or their special advisors (spads) were more involved but did not want that to be known. However, the material released suggests that three senior civil servants were responsible for the overwhelming bulk of the letter. The letter called for an open Irish border, the retention "as far as possible" of the current ease of cross-border trade, access to EU labour, consideration of the energy market and the preservation of farming subsidies and EU Peace funds. The first written mention of the letter came in a memo from the then head of the civil service, Sir Malcolm McKibbin, to Andrew McCormick, permanent secretary of the Department for the Economy, and David Sterling, permanent secretary of the Department of Finance.


The brief August 3 2016 memo was titled 'meeting with DUP/SF representatives' and said: "I had a meeting with Timothy Johnston and Aidan McAteer at which it was agreed that: Officials would prepare a letter from FM/dFM to the Prime Minister articulating the priorities that are emerging from the scoping exercise we are carrying out on the implementations of leaving the EU." Mr Johnston was the most senior DUP spad and is now the DUP's chief executive. Mr McAteer was barred by law from acting as a spad because of a serious criminal conviction. However, Sinn Fein circumvented the law by making him a 'super spad', putting him over the party's team of spads and ministers – something which civil servants agreed to, even though it was against the spirit of the law. Stormont Castle has not acknowledged the existence of minutes of the meeting between Sir Malcolm and the DUP and Sinn Fein spads, suggesting that no minutes of the meeting were taken. The following morning, Sir Malcolm emailed his two senior civil service colleagues with a draft of the letter which he had drawn up and asked them for any comments by lunch time. Three hours later Dr McCormick replied to say that he had discussed the issue with Mr Sterling and they had agreed a series of changes to the text. Mr Sterling felt it contained a section on agriculture which was "too long", something which "unbalances the overall thrust of the letter".

Five days later the amended letter was sent to the private secretaries of the first minister and the deputy first minister. Not a word of that letter was changed by the ministers or their spads before it was sent to Downing Street the following day.



Interesting line this...
Mr McAteer was barred by law from acting as a spad because of a serious criminal conviction. However, Sinn Fein circumvented the law by making him a 'super spad', putting him over the party's team of spads and ministers – something which civil servants agreed to, even though it was against the spirit of the law

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:09:24 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 05:46:58 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM

Likelihood of UK default running >95%. Show me the workings on that one?

Some serious questions need to be asked as to why international media are not covering this impending doom

You do realise the implications of a no deal exit?

Forget about trading under the WTO - as the UK won't have a tariff system set that isn't the (hideous) basic rates - that is basically stupid talk to fool stupid people. Industries simply would not be able to compete if they are handing over 20, 30, 40% of the final price in tariffs to the importing country. The UK cannot go tariff free as the wider connotations for that are also disastrous.

The media are not covering it because they are trying too hard to appear impartial - and they are also somewhat inept.

Some places have touched on it, here for instance, James O'Brien talking with Bryce Baschuk, Bloomberg's man on the WTO:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5DIz9UTmMQk

I'm pretty certain that Brexit is a bad idea and that a no deal Brexit is an extreme version of this. But nobody knows what a no deal Brexit will really look like. For a start are we talking about leaving without a deal and then never getting a deal or getting a deal after leaving but then what would that deal look like and when would it be done. All valid questions that the Brexiteers got away without answering before the referendum and to a large degree are still getting away with. They should be hounded for answers even at this stage

I agree that WTO is a disaster if you are relying on it for a major part of your trade
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:11:11 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 05:49:32 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:22:38 PM
If there is no serious analysis to point to then what are the arguments based upon?

There will be no serious analyses as it is not something that (serious) people have seriously considered until the past few months.

Everything will be high level, large assumptions and hand waving. You wanting details that do not exist in any papers (and to a large extent, are going to be erroneous) is not really a viable pre-condition for discounting the high level back of an envelope numbers.

Your argument seems to be that Ireland cannot, will not and should not learn anything from Brexit. All sounds very BoJo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 19, 2019, 01:15:45 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 12:35:50 PM
Sinn Fein and the DUP. Working for the people of the North on Brexit. Delivering, accountable.

https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/key-foster-mcguinness-brexit-letter-was-actually-written-by-civil-servants-1-8816000
(https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/key-foster-mcguinness-brexit-letter-was-actually-written-by-civil-servants-1-8816000)

The pinnacle of the DUP-Sinn Fein Executive's efforts to present a united front on how Brexit should be handled was actually overwhelmingly – and perhaps exclusively – the work of civil servants, new material reveals. In August 2016 the then first and deputy first ministers wrote to the prime minister to set out their agreed priorities for the Brexit process. Arlene Foster and Martin McGuinness's letter was presented as a significant development and has since been cited by those who defend the previous Stormont regime as an example of how opposing sides could pragmatically agree to work together. However, material released under the Freedom of Information Act shows no evidence that Mrs Foster, Mr McGuinness or any of their political advisors played any role in the letter beyond requesting it at a meeting which was not minuted and then the ministers putting their signatures to the letter.

Given the culture of verbal government within Stormont where certain communications were deliberately not written down to avoid the public ever getting to see what went on, it is possible that either the ministers or their special advisors (spads) were more involved but did not want that to be known. However, the material released suggests that three senior civil servants were responsible for the overwhelming bulk of the letter. The letter called for an open Irish border, the retention "as far as possible" of the current ease of cross-border trade, access to EU labour, consideration of the energy market and the preservation of farming subsidies and EU Peace funds. The first written mention of the letter came in a memo from the then head of the civil service, Sir Malcolm McKibbin, to Andrew McCormick, permanent secretary of the Department for the Economy, and David Sterling, permanent secretary of the Department of Finance.


The brief August 3 2016 memo was titled 'meeting with DUP/SF representatives' and said: "I had a meeting with Timothy Johnston and Aidan McAteer at which it was agreed that: Officials would prepare a letter from FM/dFM to the Prime Minister articulating the priorities that are emerging from the scoping exercise we are carrying out on the implementations of leaving the EU." Mr Johnston was the most senior DUP spad and is now the DUP's chief executive. Mr McAteer was barred by law from acting as a spad because of a serious criminal conviction. However, Sinn Fein circumvented the law by making him a 'super spad', putting him over the party's team of spads and ministers – something which civil servants agreed to, even though it was against the spirit of the law. Stormont Castle has not acknowledged the existence of minutes of the meeting between Sir Malcolm and the DUP and Sinn Fein spads, suggesting that no minutes of the meeting were taken. The following morning, Sir Malcolm emailed his two senior civil service colleagues with a draft of the letter which he had drawn up and asked them for any comments by lunch time. Three hours later Dr McCormick replied to say that he had discussed the issue with Mr Sterling and they had agreed a series of changes to the text. Mr Sterling felt it contained a section on agriculture which was "too long", something which "unbalances the overall thrust of the letter".

Five days later the amended letter was sent to the private secretaries of the first minister and the deputy first minister. Not a word of that letter was changed by the ministers or their spads before it was sent to Downing Street the following day.



Interesting line this...
Mr McAteer was barred by law from acting as a spad because of a serious criminal conviction. However, Sinn Fein circumvented the law by making him a 'super spad', putting him over the party's team of spads and ministers – something which civil servants agreed to, even though it was against the spirit of the law

The spirit of the law is pretty much like a verbal agreement i.e. Not worth the paper it was not written on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:33:28 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 05:53:04 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM
The zero funding for NI was your figure. I quote it back to you and you disown it.

My bad for not being clear - I do mean this in the context of all the stupid wastage in NI.

So no more funding pissed away on "community organisations", services pared back far beyond absolute minimum.

For all intents and purposes, the public sector will collapse.

Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM
There would be an executive and a stormont because the GB government would never agree to their removal in a UI scenario

What is the basis for that assumption? That is far more far-fetched than anything I have talked about regarding roads, railways, even the UK default!

I don't believe there is anything in the GFA that insists on stormont remaining in event of UI. If there is a no-deal, and border poll resulting in UI, the least of the Brit's worries will be whether Stormont continues to exist or not!!!

GFA is an international agreement designed to last forever. That is why it was put into international law. In its simplest form in a UI scenario the governments of GB and RoI exchange roles as responsibilities switch. Everything else stays the same a new treaty was backed by both governments and it was passed by a majority of both communities in NI. That is what we signed up to - not a staging post to a UI. It's not that SF were or are honest with their electorate on
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:34:21 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 16, 2019, 05:54:30 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 02:32:08 PM
Still plenty of room for civilised debate in the meantime eh??

Don't pre-condition your side of the debate with unrealistic daft expectations.

More BoJoisms
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:43:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 16, 2019, 09:09:41 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 16, 2019, 05:10:21 PM
Im sure McWilliams would be the first to issue the health warning that comes with using ROI GDP figures. Irish GDP figures are effectively meaningless and allow debt to earnings figures for ROI to be significantly understated. Radio 4's More Or Less programme did a brilliant deconstruction of this.

Of course he understands the difference, which is  why he did not use GDP but GNI* in the chart above.

QuoteI wouldn't underestimate the Brexit impact on ROI. The government is hardly relaxed about it.

I didn't say Brexit would not have an effect,  I said the ROI would recover. When you are growing t 5% pa you can take a knock.
Quote
I like you idea that restricted access to your main market us just an opportunity to send it to another market. This is the Brexiteer argument and it's idiotic. Ireland's main food export market is UK. If access to that market is restricted you can't just put the stuff on a boat to the continent and hope that the current suppliers to that market will push off

There is a specific opportunity in lamb which I mentioned as Britain exports it.
However, there is a general point, there is still a big market available, this is not the 1930s.

QuoteDon't underestimate the devastation to the RoI economy of another country undercutting it tax rate or if Trump actually did succeed in getting some of them to report more profits in the US

Trump's measures affect the Bahamas ectc more than Ireland. Of course there are threats, but prospects are infinitely better than for NI either way.

You are correct on GNI. There definitely was an earlier version of the report based upon GDP. But you posted the updated version and I stand corrected

Lamb is a tiny market. And a significant amount of lamb exported from RoI is imported from NI in the first place. And so will attract the duty

Trump is more interested in companies that countries. If a country is paying 3% and 2% in another he doesn't care. He just wants it collected in USA. And the pressure comes from more that just Trump and US.

If the EU asked for reform of ROI corporate tax as a condition as standing shoulder to shoulder on the back stop where would we all stand?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:54:22 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 02:48:42 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 18, 2019, 02:35:14 PM
There is an international definition but labour tried to amend it before adopting it

and rightly so!

Did you see what it says?

https://www.holocaustremembrance.com/working-definition-antisemitism

Quote
Contemporary examples of antisemitism in public life, the media, schools, the workplace, and in the religious sphere could, taking into account the overall context, include, but are not limited to:
- Drawing comparisons of contemporary Israeli policy to that of the Nazis.


The way Israel is behaving in the Gaza strip is comparable to the behaviour of the Nazis.


I have absolute no time for anyone having a go at someone for their race. But I do have a problem with people using race to justify actions.

To borrow and paraphrase from Martin Luther...

People should not be judged by the color of their skin or the background of their genes but by the content of their character.

On this we agree.

2 big things about anti Semitic non labour
1) it exists but it's not endemic
2) corbyn is vulnerable on the issue and so if you want to have a go at him it's a good fire to stoke

Corbyn is vulnerable because of platforms shared in the past. That for me is not something he should apologise for. He should not make statements today to pacify people that he does not agree with. The fact that he isn't bullied into this kind of thing is a big part of his appeal and credibility. But the shortcoming he must address is how real anti Semitism within the party is investigated, processed and punished. Labour have upped their game but not enough. The issue can be sorted quickly or allowed to linger. It's a no brainier
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 19, 2019, 02:02:25 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:43:26 PM
Lamb is a tiny market.

All the same, it is an example of how outer parts of the country could adapt to the changed circumstances.
There is scope for other products also, the situation would not be great but not disastrous.



QuoteTrump is more interested in companies that countries. If a country is paying 3% and 2% in another he doesn't care. He just wants it collected in USA. And the pressure comes from more that just Trump and US.

Corporate tax evasion comes from these tax shelters like the Bahamas where no tax is paid. If companies pay tax in Ireland and paid tax in the US on the rest then there wouldn't be a major problem. This is beginning to happen, which has caused an increase in the Irish tax take.

[quote[ If the EU asked for reform of ROI corporate tax as a condition as standing shoulder to shoulder on the back stop where would we all stand?
[/quote]

Ireland can cope with reform of corporation tax so long as everyone does it and companies have no incentive to leave Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:42:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 19, 2019, 02:02:25 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:43:26 PM
Lamb is a tiny market.

All the same, it is an example of how outer parts of the country could adapt to the changed circumstances.
There is scope for other products also, the situation would not be great but not disastrous.



QuoteTrump is more interested in companies that countries. If a country is paying 3% and 2% in another he doesn't care. He just wants it collected in USA. And the pressure comes from more that just Trump and US.

Corporate tax evasion comes from these tax shelters like the Bahamas where no tax is paid. If companies pay tax in Ireland and paid tax in the US on the rest then there wouldn't be a major problem. This is beginning to happen, which has caused an increase in the Irish tax take.

[quote[ If the EU asked for reform of ROI corporate tax as a condition as standing shoulder to shoulder on the back stop where would we all stand?

Ireland can cope with reform of corporation tax so long as everyone does it and companies have no incentive to leave Ireland.
[/quote]

Lamb is a very small example. If it's an example of other products what are those products and you explain them to the ROI government who seem deeply concerned about the Brexit impacts?

Your tax analysis seems to be upside only and entirely misses the point. Other countries are not engaged in a principled debate on the impacts of tax avoidance or evasion. They simply want more for themselves and any country setting outside international norms is vulnerable. If a dollar of tax is paid in US in 2019 and in the previous year it was paid at 0.5 USD in RoI or 0.05 USD in Bahamas the POTUS couldn't give a toss. RoI is vulnerable

The only incentive to register the bulk of these profits in ROI is the double Irish. Remove that incentive and the tax revenue disappears.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 19, 2019, 03:52:46 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.

Rumour and conjecture. I am no fan of Brexit but they have been quite clear this is not a Brexit related decision.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 03:56:42 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 03:52:46 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM

Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.

Rumour and conjecture. I am no fan of Brexit but they have been quite clear this is not a Brexit related decision.
This is just plamas for Swindon

The European car manufacturing biz has excess capacity
Japan told May in 2016 soft Brexit or job losses
They didn't want to do this but the tories made it inevitable. they can't build cars in Swindon under no deal or May's deal.
10,000 jobs in total
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 19, 2019, 04:07:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 03:56:42 PM
This is just plamas for Swindon

The European car manufacturing biz has excess capacity
Japan told May in 2016 soft Brexit or job losses
They didn't want to do this but the tories made it inevitable. they can't build cars in Swindon under no deal or May's deal.
10,000 jobs in total

At this stage the truth is irrelevant to changing opinions: it's obvious from all forms of media that ideological lines have been drawn and opinions are not to be swayed by events on the ground. 

For a company like Honda, a decision of this magnitude will of course be multi factored and Brexit uncertainty has to have been one of those factors.  Estimating the weighting of that factor is down to one's ideological position. 

/Jim.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 04:19:03 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 19, 2019, 04:07:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 03:56:42 PM
This is just plamas for Swindon

The European car manufacturing biz has excess capacity
Japan told May in 2016 soft Brexit or job losses
They didn't want to do this but the tories made it inevitable. they can't build cars in Swindon under no deal or May's deal.
10,000 jobs in total

At this stage the truth is irrelevant to changing opinions: it's obvious from all forms of media that ideological lines have been drawn and opinions are not to be swayed by events on the ground. 

For a company like Honda, a decision of this magnitude will of course be multi factored and Brexit uncertainty has to have been one of those factors.  Estimating the weighting of that factor is down to one's ideological position. 

/Jim.
Brexit is not fact based and it never was
It is magical thinking
The Japanese made that very clear to HMG

I don't hear any of the headbangers advocating managed no deal this weather

Other factors behind the Honda decision were factory not of sufficient scale, diesel impacts, falling market share , falling demand
But Honda never closed a factory before
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 03:52:46 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.

Rumour and conjecture. I am no fan of Brexit but they have been quite clear this is not a Brexit related decision.

I am not saying Brexit was the reason, but it will have been a factor.
They came to the UK for EU access and they now have it vi the EU/JP deal so that will have been a bigger factor. They no longer need an EU location to get their cars into the EU and by making them in Japan they are creating or maintaining Japanese jobs.

The potential extra friction on an already marginal plant in a location they no longer needed could not have been an irrelevancy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 19, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 03:52:46 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.

Rumour and conjecture. I am no fan of Brexit but they have been quite clear this is not a Brexit related decision.

I am not saying Brexit was the reason, but it will have been a factor.
They came to the UK for EU access and they now have it vi the EU/JP deal so that will have been a bigger factor. They no longer need an EU location to get their cars into the EU and by making them in Japan they are creating or maintaining Japanese jobs.

The potential extra friction on an already marginal plant in a location they no longer needed could not have been an irrelevancy.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47287386 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47287386)

"This is not a Brexit-related issue for us, it's being made on the global-related changes I've spoken about.

"We've always seen Brexit as something we'll get through, but these changes globally are something we will have to respond to. We deeply regret the impact it will have on the Swindon community"

Swindon wasn't that big of a factory. It made one line of cars. It needed a lot of investment for a changinf market.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 05:16:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 03:52:46 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.

Rumour and conjecture. I am no fan of Brexit but they have been quite clear this is not a Brexit related decision.

I am not saying Brexit was the reason, but it will have been a factor.
They came to the UK for EU access and they now have it vi the EU/JP deal so that will have been a bigger factor. They no longer need an EU location to get their cars into the EU and by making them in Japan they are creating or maintaining Japanese jobs.

The potential extra friction on an already marginal plant in a location they no longer needed could not have been an irrelevancy.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47287386 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47287386)

"This is not a Brexit-related issue for us, it's being made on the global-related changes I've spoken about.

"We've always seen Brexit as something we'll get through, but these changes globally are something we will have to respond to. We deeply regret the impact it will have on the Swindon community"

Swindon wasn't that big of a factory. It made one line of cars. It needed a lot of investment for a changinf market.
Why is this the first factory they ever closed?
Why did Abe warn May in 2016 that the UK had to go for a soft brexit or face the consequences? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 05:18:23 PM



Brexit is going really well

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/02/17/ridiculous-say-no-one-ever-voted-poorer

It is ridiculous to say no one ever voted to be poorer
•   
Daniel Hannan
17 February 2019 • 4:00pm
•   
•   
•   
•   
Save


People have every right to vote to be poorer. That, though, is hardly an argument for cancelling elections CREDIT: ANTHONY UPTON
"No one voted to be poorer". It has become a Europhile mantra, a slogan rattled off almost unthinkingly by Remainer MPs, especially Labour moderates. If we're talking specifically about Brexit, it may or may not be true. Personally speaking, I expect Brexit to make me poorer (I am an MEP) but, over time, to make Britain richer. How much richer depends, obviously, on the choices we make as a country.
As a general proposition, though, the idea that no one ever votes to be poorer is utter tosh. We vote to be poorer all the time, knowingly or unknowingly. We vote to be poorer whenever we vote for stricter rules on where houses can be built. We vote to be poorer when we turn away able-bodied economic migrants.
We vote to be poorer when we back schemes to preserve the habitats of rare species. We vote to be poorer when we subsidise orchestras or art galleries. We vote to be poorer when we privilege particular industries with tariffs or grants.
My point is not that these choices are right or wrong, simply that GDP is not our sole concern as voters, any more than money is not our sole concern as individuals.
To take an extreme example the decision to go to war with Hitler plainly could not be justified on economic grounds, yet it was backed by an overwhelming majority in the country.
Likewise the decision to retake the Falkland Islands.
It is bizarre to hear such blockheaded materialism from middle-class Labour MPs who are normally the first to boast about their readiness to "pay a little more tax to help the less privileged" (though they rarely actually do so, despite HMRC offering a provision for individuals to volunteer additional contributions).
If wealth were our chief measure, we would scrap almost all lifestyle taxes, most environmental regulations and a fair number of welfare payments.
Returning to Brexit, the act of leaving the EU will not, on its own, add a farthing to our national wealth. What it will do is to remove constraints, allowing us to make different choices. Freedom, by definition, includes the freedom to fail. As a fully sovereign country, we might become a free-trading Singapore or a Corbynite Venezuela. It will be our decision.
My guess is that Brexit will involve transitional costs and long-term gains – what Boris Johnson, during the referendum campaign, called the "Nike swoosh". Most of us understand deferred gratification. We practise it in our own lives all the time. A computer programmer might, for example, experience a loss of income while learning a new and more profitable form of coding.
We could make a hash of Brexit, of course. If we end up remaining in the EU's customs union, and giving Brussels permanent control over our trade with third countries, we will lose the benefits of staying without gaining the benefits of leaving. But I'd rather live in a democracy, and sometimes be on the losing side, than have my choices delineated by unelected officials.
People have every right to vote to be poorer. Indeed, a vote for Labour is in general a vote to be poorer: every Labour government, without exception, has put up unemployment. That, though, is hardly an argument for cancelling elections. MPs, of all people, should understand as much.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 08:05:41 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.

That's a huge "may"

Industry watchers I have spoken to say anybody other than Honda would have closed this factory years ago. It has been hanging on by its fingernails. I should say that it's not an industry I follow closely
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 08:09:52 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 03:56:42 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 03:52:46 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM

Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.

Rumour and conjecture. I am no fan of Brexit but they have been quite clear this is not a Brexit related decision.
This is just plamas for Swindon

The European car manufacturing biz has excess capacity
Japan told May in 2016 soft Brexit or job losses
They didn't want to do this but the tories made it inevitable. they can't build cars in Swindon under no deal or May's deal.
10,000 jobs in total

Brexit is a fcuk up.
Honda closure is a disaster for Swindon and the West Country and M4 corridor economies.

But Brexit of not I'm really not sure Honda can successfully manufacture cars outside Asia
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 08:15:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 05:16:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 04:22:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 19, 2019, 03:52:46 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 19, 2019, 03:38:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 02:33:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 19, 2019, 02:11:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 01:59:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 18, 2019, 05:22:47 PM
Honda gonna close the Swindon plant.

Strong and Stable, eh Theresa?

Really not sure of the Honda link to Brexit. And there is no need to manufacture a link for there will be plenty of cases where the link is concrete.

Surely obvious link is tariffs. If Japan has a better trade deal with EU, why manufacture in U.K. for cars sold in Europe. They are hardly going to come out and blame Brexit and get embroiled in social media spats like Airbus. Not their culture.

But they are withdrawing manufacturing from Europe. It isn't financially viable to manufacture in Europe either inside or outside the EU

If the plant was inside the EU with frictionless JIT component delivery they may not have closed it. The EU/JP deal has meant they could get round the complexities off a UK outside the EU.

Rumour and conjecture. I am no fan of Brexit but they have been quite clear this is not a Brexit related decision.

I am not saying Brexit was the reason, but it will have been a factor.
They came to the UK for EU access and they now have it vi the EU/JP deal so that will have been a bigger factor. They no longer need an EU location to get their cars into the EU and by making them in Japan they are creating or maintaining Japanese jobs.

The potential extra friction on an already marginal plant in a location they no longer needed could not have been an irrelevancy.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47287386 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47287386)

"This is not a Brexit-related issue for us, it's being made on the global-related changes I've spoken about.

"We've always seen Brexit as something we'll get through, but these changes globally are something we will have to respond to. We deeply regret the impact it will have on the Swindon community"

Swindon wasn't that big of a factory. It made one line of cars. It needed a lot of investment for a changinf market.
Why is this the first factory they ever closed?
Why did Abe warn May in 2016 that the UK had to go for a soft brexit or face the consequences?

Abe's warning is because unlike the headbangers he can see the fcuk up that Brexit and especially a no deal Brexit is. That is not the same as saying that every Japanese decision is influenced or dictated by Brexit.

It's possible that this factory ran out of rope. It hasn't been viable in years
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 08:17:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 05:18:23 PM



Brexit is going really well

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/02/17/ridiculous-say-no-one-ever-voted-poorer

It is ridiculous to say no one ever voted to be poorer
•   
Daniel Hannan
17 February 2019 • 4:00pm
•   
•   
•   
•   
Save


People have every right to vote to be poorer. That, though, is hardly an argument for cancelling elections CREDIT: ANTHONY UPTON
"No one voted to be poorer". It has become a Europhile mantra, a slogan rattled off almost unthinkingly by Remainer MPs, especially Labour moderates. If we're talking specifically about Brexit, it may or may not be true. Personally speaking, I expect Brexit to make me poorer (I am an MEP) but, over time, to make Britain richer. How much richer depends, obviously, on the choices we make as a country.
As a general proposition, though, the idea that no one ever votes to be poorer is utter tosh. We vote to be poorer all the time, knowingly or unknowingly. We vote to be poorer whenever we vote for stricter rules on where houses can be built. We vote to be poorer when we turn away able-bodied economic migrants.
We vote to be poorer when we back schemes to preserve the habitats of rare species. We vote to be poorer when we subsidise orchestras or art galleries. We vote to be poorer when we privilege particular industries with tariffs or grants.
My point is not that these choices are right or wrong, simply that GDP is not our sole concern as voters, any more than money is not our sole concern as individuals.
To take an extreme example the decision to go to war with Hitler plainly could not be justified on economic grounds, yet it was backed by an overwhelming majority in the country.
Likewise the decision to retake the Falkland Islands.
It is bizarre to hear such blockheaded materialism from middle-class Labour MPs who are normally the first to boast about their readiness to "pay a little more tax to help the less privileged" (though they rarely actually do so, despite HMRC offering a provision for individuals to volunteer additional contributions).
If wealth were our chief measure, we would scrap almost all lifestyle taxes, most environmental regulations and a fair number of welfare payments.
Returning to Brexit, the act of leaving the EU will not, on its own, add a farthing to our national wealth. What it will do is to remove constraints, allowing us to make different choices. Freedom, by definition, includes the freedom to fail. As a fully sovereign country, we might become a free-trading Singapore or a Corbynite Venezuela. It will be our decision.
My guess is that Brexit will involve transitional costs and long-term gains – what Boris Johnson, during the referendum campaign, called the "Nike swoosh". Most of us understand deferred gratification. We practise it in our own lives all the time. A computer programmer might, for example, experience a loss of income while learning a new and more profitable form of coding.
We could make a hash of Brexit, of course. If we end up remaining in the EU's customs union, and giving Brussels permanent control over our trade with third countries, we will lose the benefits of staying without gaining the benefits of leaving. But I'd rather live in a democracy, and sometimes be on the losing side, than have my choices delineated by unelected officials.
People have every right to vote to be poorer. Indeed, a vote for Labour is in general a vote to be poorer: every Labour government, without exception, has put up unemployment. That, though, is hardly an argument for cancelling elections. MPs, of all people, should understand as much.

There are points of principle in that that can be admired but as soon as any Tory uses the term "a Corbynite Venezuela" you know he is disingenuous
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 04:53:50 AM
williamnhutton
·
4h

Japan believes the vanguished should save face. Equally companies in keiretsu networks are closely intertwined with the state. Disinvestment from Brexit Britain is a geopolitical decision taken by state + business. Brexit Tories to be allowed to save face.But Brexit is the cause.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 20, 2019, 11:14:20 AM
Soubry is gone!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 20, 2019, 11:24:03 AM
With Wollaston and Heidi Allen. Was hinted at on Newsnight last night. Hopefully the trickle becomes a torrent. Always felt a bit sorry for Soubry under the Tories; she fought tooth and nail against Brexit and the ERG and got little support or thanks for it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 11:51:18 AM
Quote from: mouview on February 20, 2019, 11:24:03 AM
With Wollaston and Heidi Allen. Was hinted at on Newsnight last night. Hopefully the trickle becomes a torrent. Always felt a bit sorry for Soubry under the Tories; she fought tooth and nail against Brexit and the ERG and got little support or thanks for it.
She is not a groupthinker
Very impressive as Brexit got even worse
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 20, 2019, 11:59:22 AM
So we now have a Tory majority of 4 . . . if only there were a spare 7 votes out there somewhere that could work to topple them??!!!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 12:30:54 PM
You would really have to go back to 2016 to the birth of Brexit in the UK cabinet to understand what is happening now

This was in 2016

https://www.ft.com/content/1f91316c-8099-11e6-bc52-0c7211ef3198"When asked this week who was
in charge of Brexit,

Philip Hammond, the chancellor, demurred, according to a businessman, saying
that it is "all very difficult at the moment".

"There are two significant strands of thinking
in government," said one person who had attended the Whitehall meetings. "One
strand is gung-ho and wants to drive on without fully understanding the
consequences, the other is more measured"

Brexit has always been a civil war between the ERG and the rest of the party
It's why the negotiation was so atrocious, why the deal is dreadful, why the backstop is an issue, why there is zero trust.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 20, 2019, 12:57:30 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 19, 2019, 08:17:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 19, 2019, 05:18:23 PM



Brexit is going really well

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/02/17/ridiculous-say-no-one-ever-voted-poorer

It is ridiculous to say no one ever voted to be poorer
•   
Daniel Hannan
17 February 2019 • 4:00pm
•   
•   
•   
•   
Save


People have every right to vote to be poorer. That, though, is hardly an argument for cancelling elections CREDIT: ANTHONY UPTON
"No one voted to be poorer". It has become a Europhile mantra, a slogan rattled off almost unthinkingly by Remainer MPs, especially Labour moderates. If we're talking specifically about Brexit, it may or may not be true. Personally speaking, I expect Brexit to make me poorer (I am an MEP) but, over time, to make Britain richer. How much richer depends, obviously, on the choices we make as a country.
As a general proposition, though, the idea that no one ever votes to be poorer is utter tosh. We vote to be poorer all the time, knowingly or unknowingly. We vote to be poorer whenever we vote for stricter rules on where houses can be built. We vote to be poorer when we turn away able-bodied economic migrants.
We vote to be poorer when we back schemes to preserve the habitats of rare species. We vote to be poorer when we subsidise orchestras or art galleries. We vote to be poorer when we privilege particular industries with tariffs or grants.
My point is not that these choices are right or wrong, simply that GDP is not our sole concern as voters, any more than money is not our sole concern as individuals.
To take an extreme example the decision to go to war with Hitler plainly could not be justified on economic grounds, yet it was backed by an overwhelming majority in the country.
Likewise the decision to retake the Falkland Islands.
It is bizarre to hear such blockheaded materialism from middle-class Labour MPs who are normally the first to boast about their readiness to "pay a little more tax to help the less privileged" (though they rarely actually do so, despite HMRC offering a provision for individuals to volunteer additional contributions).
If wealth were our chief measure, we would scrap almost all lifestyle taxes, most environmental regulations and a fair number of welfare payments.
Returning to Brexit, the act of leaving the EU will not, on its own, add a farthing to our national wealth. What it will do is to remove constraints, allowing us to make different choices. Freedom, by definition, includes the freedom to fail. As a fully sovereign country, we might become a free-trading Singapore or a Corbynite Venezuela. It will be our decision.
My guess is that Brexit will involve transitional costs and long-term gains – what Boris Johnson, during the referendum campaign, called the "Nike swoosh". Most of us understand deferred gratification. We practise it in our own lives all the time. A computer programmer might, for example, experience a loss of income while learning a new and more profitable form of coding.
We could make a hash of Brexit, of course. If we end up remaining in the EU's customs union, and giving Brussels permanent control over our trade with third countries, we will lose the benefits of staying without gaining the benefits of leaving. But I'd rather live in a democracy, and sometimes be on the losing side, than have my choices delineated by unelected officials.
People have every right to vote to be poorer. Indeed, a vote for Labour is in general a vote to be poorer: every Labour government, without exception, has put up unemployment. That, though, is hardly an argument for cancelling elections. MPs, of all people, should understand as much.

There are points of principle in that that can be admired but as soon as any Tory uses the term "a Corbynite Venezuela" you know he is disingenuous


This is a fallacy. While the wealth of the country was negatively impact by the decision to go to eat with Hitler, the preservation of the capital of the Uber wealthy could only at that time be protected under English law. If hay had taken the UK (or rather britain) the new over Lords were not guaranteeing those assets.

Similarly the Falklands territory gives the UK( the actual UK) access to significant oil and mineral assets protected under international law, and with agreement by (a now broken) treaty with Argentina.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on February 20, 2019, 01:46:10 PM
The SDP was founded in 1981 with mostly Labour defectors and a small number of Tories.

The Tories remained in power until 1997.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 01:51:50 PM
Quote from: dec on February 20, 2019, 01:46:10 PM
The SDP was founded in 1981 with mostly Labour defectors and a small number of Tories.

The Tories remained in power until 1997.
Labour called in the IMf in the late 70s and paid for it
The IMF will get involved before the Munster Final the way things are going now.
Brexit will be a shock to the economy and the current account deficit is already very large 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 01:56:57 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/8c32704c-344c-11e9-bd3a-8b2a211d90d5

   Brexit betrays Margaret Thatcher's carmaking legacy

Honda's closure of its UK plant is part of a slow-motion tragedy for the industry
      
         John Gapper

               John Gapper

Leave means leave. It has taken a long time for Japanese carmakers in the UK to grab the attention of Theresa May's government. Honda's decision to close its vehicle and engine-making plant in Swindon and take production back to Japan has done so — although, sadly, too late.Justin Tomlinson, the Brexit-backing local MP, kept his fingers firmly in his ears this week, insisting that Honda's decision was based on "global trends and is not related to Brexit". Margaret Thatcher, the former Conservative prime minister who lured Japanese companies to the UK in the 1980s by promising easy access to the EU single market, would have been less blasé. Honda faced various difficulties in Europe, including a sales downturn exacerbated by the diesel crisis (although less than a tenth of its cars made in Swindon run on diesel). The plant operates below capacity and tariff cuts in the EU-Japan trade deal made it easier to bring production home.But only a fool or a propagandist would deny the impact of Brexit and the threat to the pan-European integrated supply chains on which manufacturers such as Honda, Nissan and Toyota have relied. "We strongly request that the UK will consider this fact seriously," the Japanese government wrote in September 2016, which is about as close to shouting a warning as it gets.Honda is also closing a plant in Turkey and Takahiro Hachigo, chief executive, insisted tactfully on Tuesday that the Swindon decision was not related to Brexit, but the first cars rolled off the Swindon line just before the launch of the single market in 1993. Saying "sayonara" less than six weeks before the UK is due to leave the EU speaks volumes.The unravelling of the UK's achievement in reviving its car industry by welcoming foreign companies is a tragedy in slow motion. Nissan has reversed its 2016 promise to build the next X-Trail SUV in Sunderland and Toyota's patience is being tested, despite having announced last year that it will build its new Auris hatchback in Derby.Carmaking is highly competitive — Renault's automobile operating margin last year was 4.3 per cent, for example — and even tiny disruptions and cost increases can render a viable plant unviable. This is what made Brexit dangerous for the UK industry, which not only exports 80 per cent of cars it produces, but relies on frictionless imports of parts to run just-in-time assembly lines.

The departure of Honda has a broader significance than simply the loss of 3,500 jobs around a former Spitfire plant in Swindon, both for UK carmaking and manufacturing in general. Japanese companies showed the UK not only how to produce high-quality cars, but how to run factories well and to inculcate harmonious relations between workers and managers.It is easy to forget how dysfunctional the UK carmaking industry used to be — particularly after the 1975 nationalisation that brought brands including Rover and Jaguar under British Leyland. Cars were shoddily made and industrial relations with unions were terrible, leading to constant disputes. The UK industry's output peaked at 2m cars in 1972, falling to 1m by 2009.That was why Thatcher put so much effort both into forming the single market and courting the companies her party now attacks. Part one of her strategy for remaking the UK economy was eliminating the regulations and union obstructionism that had burdened many companies. Having (often brutally) cleared them away, part two was to implant an alternative.

The Japanese carmakers did her a huge favour by having faith that the UK would be a stable European base. They led the way for others, helping to reinvigorate an industry that was in deep trouble to remarkable effect. Before Brexit started to hurt, the industry had bounced back to making 1.7m cars and 2.7m engines in 2017, employing 850,000 people directly or indirectly.Swindon was among the biggest beneficiaries of her strategy for economic restoration. A town of 100,000 that relied heavily for jobs on Isambard Kingdom Brunel's former Great Western Railway works (which employed 17,000 at its peak but had fallen to 2,000 by the time it shut in 1986) transformed into a cluster for high-value manufacturing and professional services.What Honda's Swindon factory closure means for UK carmaking "A home for Euro-strivers," the FT wrote of Swindon in 1988, when this was taking hold and US companies were picking it as a location for UK and European headquarters.

Its population is now 220,000, including many graduates in skilled jobs at its 8,600 companies.But something in Swindon rejected the European implant, just as in Derby and Sunderland. Despite having thrived on the arterial route between Remain-voting London and Bristol, its citizens voted Leave in the 2016 referendum by 54.7 per cent to 45.3 per cent. Perhaps they believed the area's economic transformation was so ingrained that Honda would never depart.Now they know better. One Honda employee interviewed by Channel 4 News described the UK government's Brexit prevarication as "idiocy of epic proportions". The cruellest aspect is that Swindon's citizens, and many others in the UK auto industry, were persuaded to risk themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on February 20, 2019, 01:58:12 PM
Have the Splitters formed a party?  Ideal in a first passed the post electoral system.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 20, 2019, 03:05:04 PM
It's a really risky strategy for these MPs and most will probably pay with their jobs at the next election. It OK being a Tory candidate going up against Lab, Lib Dems etc but it's another being an Independent going up against them all. That's why we see a broad spectrum of people in all parties. How many times have we heard such and such party is a broad church. Mogg and his cohort of Brexiteers should really be in with someone like a UKIP. Corbyn and the leftists with the Workers Party or a Communist party.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on February 20, 2019, 03:11:05 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 20, 2019, 03:05:04 PM
It's a really risky strategy for these MPs and most will probably pay with their jobs at the next election. It OK being a Tory candidate going up against Lab, Lib Dems etc but it's another being an Independent going up against them all. That's why we see a broad spectrum of people in all parties. How many times have we heard such and such party is a broad church. Mogg and his cohort of Brexiteers should really be in with someone like a UKIP. Corbyn and the leftists with the Workers Party or a Communist party.
Both parties should clearly split. But with the FPTP system, they can only do it if both agree at same time. Otherwise if one splits, the other is pretty much guaranteed a decent majority government, even if they lose some vote %

Of course, they could change the voting system, but I don't think the Brits could handle that. Even though we've had it for donkeys, there's still a huge amount of voters who stop at 1.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 20, 2019, 03:14:02 PM
Quote from: Hound on February 20, 2019, 03:11:05 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 20, 2019, 03:05:04 PM
It's a really risky strategy for these MPs and most will probably pay with their jobs at the next election. It OK being a Tory candidate going up against Lab, Lib Dems etc but it's another being an Independent going up against them all. That's why we see a broad spectrum of people in all parties. How many times have we heard such and such party is a broad church. Mogg and his cohort of Brexiteers should really be in with someone like a UKIP. Corbyn and the leftists with the Workers Party or a Communist party.
Both parties should clearly split. But with the FPTP system, they can only do it if both agree at same time. Otherwise if one splits, the other is pretty much guaranteed a decent majority government, even if they lose some vote %

Of course, they could change the voting system, but I don't think the Brits could handle that. Even though we've had it for donkeys, there's still a huge amount of voters who stop at 1.

They held a referendum on the voting system. Lib Dems (who it would benefit the most) pushed for it as part of the coalition. It was rejected.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 20, 2019, 03:44:16 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 20, 2019, 03:14:02 PM
They held a referendum on the voting system. Lib Dems (who it would benefit the most) pushed for it as part of the coalition. It was rejected.

Well - the end result is that Britannia can happily rule their own bathtub.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 20, 2019, 04:30:24 PM
Quote from: dec on February 20, 2019, 01:46:10 PM
The SDP was founded in 1981 with mostly Labour defectors and a small number of Tories.

The Tories remained in power until 1997.
I have seen the argument that having the SDP actually reduced the Tory majority as it gave those disaffected with Labour swing to the hard left (Militant Tendency were the Momentum of their day)  a way to vote against the Tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 05:36:54 PM
Brexit is truly insane in the week that 10,000 jobs linked to Honda in Swindon were lost


https://www.ft.com/content/b2aa3eb8-3437-11e9-9be1-7dc6e2dfa65e

   As things stand, the outline trade deal will prioritise "comprehensive arrangements" for goods but neglect services where, sadly, the British government is aiming for little better than bog-standard third country market access.For financial services, in which the UK has a large surplus, this is bleak, with the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, reckoning that a free trade agreement would shrink exports to the EU by almost 60 per cent. This means job losses among the 2.2m people employed in the financial and professional services ecosystem, of whom a number live in my constituency of Orpington, and an annual £10bn hit to tax revenues, according to consultants Oliver Wyman.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 20, 2019, 05:40:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 05:36:54 PM
As things stand, the outline trade deal will prioritise "comprehensive arrangements" for goods but neglect services where

Who is that outline trade deal with? (can't see the article)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 20, 2019, 05:44:16 PM
Quote from: Hound on February 20, 2019, 03:11:05 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 20, 2019, 03:05:04 PM
It's a really risky strategy for these MPs and most will probably pay with their jobs at the next election. It OK being a Tory candidate going up against Lab, Lib Dems etc but it's another being an Independent going up against them all. That's why we see a broad spectrum of people in all parties. How many times have we heard such and such party is a broad church. Mogg and his cohort of Brexiteers should really be in with someone like a UKIP. Corbyn and the leftists with the Workers Party or a Communist party.
Both parties should clearly split. But with the FPTP system, they can only do it if both agree at same time. Otherwise if one splits, the other is pretty much guaranteed a decent majority government, even if they lose some vote %

Of course, they could change the voting system, but I don't think the Brits could handle that. Even though we've had it for donkeys, there's still a huge amount of voters who stop at 1.

When is that old bastard hag Hoey going to quit Labour?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 06:10:34 PM
Brexit is destroying the reforms of the 80s. Thatcher revamped the motor industry around foreign companies with access to the Single market and deregulated the City.    Meanwhile attention is focused on the Irish border. Priorities are pitiful

And the Tories are driving this. While Heidi Allen says that most of her fellow backbenchers were Government puppets. Probably.

"Insanity in individuals is something rare - but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule." Nietzsche

                https://www.ft.com/content/b2aa3eb8-3437-11e9-9be1-7dc6e2dfa65e
 
The deregulation of financial services that followed the Big Bang in 1986 made London the destination of choice for global finance. For financial services, in which the UK has a large surplus, this is bleak, with the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, reckoning that a free trade agreement would shrink exports to the EU by almost 60 per cent. This means job losses among the 2.2m people employed in the financial and professional services ecosystem



https://www.ft.com/content/8c32704c-344c-11e9-bd3a-8b2a211d90d5


That was why Thatcher put so much effort both into forming the single market and courting the companies her party now attacks. Part one of her strategy for remaking the UK economy was eliminating the regulations and union obstructionism that had burdened many companies. Having (often brutally) cleared them away, part two was to implant an alternative.

The Japanese carmakers did her a huge favour by having faith that the UK would be a stable European base. They led the way for others, helping to reinvigorate an industry that was in deep trouble to remarkable effect. Before Brexit started to hurt, the industry had bounced back to making 1.7m cars and 2.7m engines in 2017, employing 850,000 people directly or indirectly.Swindon was among the biggest beneficiaries of her strategy for economic restoration. A town of 100,000 that relied heavily for jobs on Isambard Kingdom Brunel's former Great Western Railway works (which employed 17,000 at its peak but had fallen to 2,000 by the time it shut in 1986) transformed into a cluster for high-value manufacturing and professional services."

None of this is rational



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 06:11:00 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 20, 2019, 05:40:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 05:36:54 PM
As things stand, the outline trade deal will prioritise "comprehensive arrangements" for goods but neglect services where

Who is that outline trade deal with? (can't see the article)
Outline deal with the EU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on February 20, 2019, 06:20:23 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 20, 2019, 04:30:24 PM
Quote from: dec on February 20, 2019, 01:46:10 PM
The SDP was founded in 1981 with mostly Labour defectors and a small number of Tories.

The Tories remained in power until 1997.
I have seen the argument that having the SDP actually reduced the Tory majority as it gave those disaffected with Labour swing to the hard left (Militant Tendency were the Momentum of their day)  a way to vote against the Tories.
Basic maths says that argument is nonsense.

It's the same argument that tries to make out that if somebody like Howard Schultz attracted a sizeable vote in the 2020 US election would it hurt Trump more than the Democratic candidate. It wouldn't.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 07:26:23 PM
Meanwhile

https://amp.irishexaminer.com/breakingnews/discover/watch-claire-byrne-and-sammy-wilson-in-dispute-over-leo-varadkars-threats-905495.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 21, 2019, 08:30:25 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on February 20, 2019, 06:20:23 PM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 20, 2019, 04:30:24 PM
Quote from: dec on February 20, 2019, 01:46:10 PM
The SDP was founded in 1981 with mostly Labour defectors and a small number of Tories.

The Tories remained in power until 1997.
I have seen the argument that having the SDP actually reduced the Tory majority as it gave those disaffected with Labour swing to the hard left (Militant Tendency were the Momentum of their day)  a way to vote against the Tories.
Basic maths says that argument is nonsense.

It's the same argument that tries to make out that if somebody like Howard Schultz attracted a sizeable vote in the 2020 US election would it hurt Trump more than the Democratic candidate. It wouldn't.
There was a book about it.
It is mentionedin this article. It compares the swing between the elections and looks at where the middle ground coters came from and argues the impact was negligible.
https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/did-the-sdp-really-split-the-left-in-1983

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 21, 2019, 01:16:51 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0221/1031954-beef-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 21, 2019, 05:32:52 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 21, 2019, 01:16:51 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0221/1031954-beef-brexit/

One positive step would be to outlaw vegans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 21, 2019, 06:56:28 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 21, 2019, 05:32:52 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 21, 2019, 01:16:51 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0221/1031954-beef-brexit/

One positive step would be to outlaw vegans.

But what about the cow farts killing the planet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on February 21, 2019, 07:40:51 PM
Looks like Corbyn may now lean towards a second referendum.
with the splits in both parties- I'd say that passes parliament without the DUP support.

may has been angling towards a two option vote- my deal vs no deal

doesn't look like she's going to get what she wants...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on February 21, 2019, 07:49:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on February 21, 2019, 07:40:51 PM
Looks like Corbyn may now lean towards a second referendum.
with the splits in both parties- I'd say that passes parliament without the DUP support.

may has been angling towards a two option vote- my deal vs no deal

doesn't look like she's going to get what she wants...

The lunatic British public might still vote leave and with no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 21, 2019, 10:58:50 PM
The DUP assure all that all will be well
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/paisley-expects-eu-to-pressure-ireland-to-move-aside-in-brexit-talks-1.3802079
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 22, 2019, 04:09:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 21, 2019, 10:58:50 PM
The DUP assure all that all will be well
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/paisley-expects-eu-to-pressure-ireland-to-move-aside-in-brexit-talks-1.3802079

;D ;D ;D
Course he left out the obvious convenience of the use of the "Irish problem" by EU to give the Brits a good kicking.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 04:11:44 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 21, 2019, 10:58:50 PM
The DUP assure all that all will be well
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/paisley-expects-eu-to-pressure-ireland-to-move-aside-in-brexit-talks-1.3802079
Magical thinking

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/feb/21/theresa-may-faces-ministerial-revolt-over-no-deal-brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 09:46:02 AM
The all Europe senior hurling final

https://www.ft.com/content/738a995a-35ca-11e9-bd3a-8b2a211d90d5

   How no-deal sets the stage for Brexit's biggest negotiations
      
      
               EU goal will be to make UK pay its €45bn bill and agree backstop

               Alex Barker in Brussels

If Britain leaves the EU without a deal next month, Europe's Brexit negotiators will not end talks but reset their clocks to a new cliff-edge date: April 18.After 20 days of likely disorder at ports, supermarkets and borders, the deadline will be Britain's chance to avoid a more lasting rupture with its biggest trading partner — if it can stomach the price. By April 18, according to European Commission contingency plans, Britain must confirm whether to make around €7bn of net contributions to the EU's budget for 2019. The first payments, which require House of Commons approval, are scheduled for April 30; EU negotiators say missing them will "ruin" relations.The budget ultimatum, cast by Brussels as a generous offer to provide continuity for Britain after the country's scheduled March 29 departure, is one of the most striking examples of the diplomatic crunch that looms in the immediate aftermath of a no-deal exit.Driving the EU side will be a new aim: making Britain meet its withdrawal treaty obligations, including the €45bn budget bill and backstop arrangements to avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland, even though the treaty itself will have perished. As a result, a no-deal exit would kick off the most fast-paced and consequential period of negotiations since the Brexit referendum in 2016. "This is when it all shakes out," said one senior EU diplomat closely involved in Brexit.In the white-heat of a traumatic break with four decades of shared sovereignty, the two sides will confront decisions that will frame relations for years to come. The choices made in the space of a few weeks may determine whether a no-deal Brexit becomes a hostile divorce or a more managed break that keeps a path to reconciliation open.

"Here in Berlin, people are starting to realise that no-deal Brexit is not an event in itself but a new phase of the process," said Nicolai von Ondarza of the German Institute for International and Security Studies. "It will not mean the breakdown of negotiations but a different form of negotiation."No-deal Brexit threat focusing minds, says Philip HammondEU sets its deadlines and demandsA "managed no-deal" scenario has long been derided by the EU, in part to stop Brexiters from claiming that the benefits of the Britain's exit treaty could be replicated through "mini-deals" after Brexit that have fewer downsides. "If there is a no deal there is no more discussion. There is no more negotiation. It is over," said Michel Barnier, the EU's chief negotiator, last year. "Each side will take its own unilateral contingency measures."But contingency plans issued by the commission since December tell a different story about the type of interaction imagined after Brexit — if the politics will bear it. There will be no overarching UK-EU treaty, nor the soft landing of a full transition, as established by Theresa May's draft withdrawal treaty. But through "unilateral" arrangements it has already put in place for no-deal, Brussels has set up a series of deadlines and demands — covering areas ranging from fish and money to flying rights — that will inevitably require dialogue with London."The Brits will be back to the negotiating table within weeks," said one senior EU figure directly involved in handling Brexit. "We will say, yes, by all means let's discuss the future. First, here is the backstop and the financial settlement."Three strands to the talksSeen from the EU, talks would fall into three related strands. First are areas such as fisheries and money, where the EU as demander wants the UK to continue existing arrangements so that divisive fights between the remaining 27 EU states are avoided. Here self-interest prevails. For instance, Brussels' contingency proposals on fisheries push the EU's no-deal principles to their limit in a bid to retain access to UK waters that fishermen in France, the Netherlands and Belgium depend on. The draft plans call on the UK to maintain existing agreements for 2019 and allow member states to negotiate swaps of fishing quotas. These swaps, which would then be approved by the commission, are exactly the kind of mini-deals that the EU has long said would be banned.

A second area covers fundamental concerns — such as the maintenance of peace in Northern Ireland, financial stability in markets, and public health — in which co-operation may be essential, even if UK-EU relations badly sour. One senior EU official said that issues such as the Irish border were things that "both sides will need to sit together and discuss", even in the weeks before a no-deal exit. "There will be pragmatic solutions found," the negotiator said. One EU ambassador said talks, at an informal level, had already started. Leo Varadkar, the Irish premier, maintains that the ultimate solutions will mirror the backstop plan, in which at least Northern Ireland would remain under the EU's customs union and regulatory regime — a measure loathed by Eurosceptics and Mrs May's allies in Northern Ireland's Democratic Unionist party."I don't think that we'll get to anything very different to the agreement . . . even if that involves a period of uncertainty after 29 March," Mr Varadkar said this week.

Managing Britain as a 'third country'

The final big area of concern is the wider economy, and how to manage Britain suddenly becoming a "third country". Brussels' aim is to mitigate the worst effects of a break-up and give European businesses time to adapt. But at the same time it wants to show that EU membership has irreplaceable benefits, and keep pressure on the UK to yield on fish and financial payments. The Commission's contingency plans temporarily relax laws for around a year — for example extending visa-free travel rights and allowing airlines to maintain basic point-to-point flight schedules with Britain — so as long as the steps are "reciprocated" by London. The hitch comes if Britain does not reciprocate, or says it will only do so if access arrangements are improved in one or more sectors. In the past the EU has only taken such "equivalence" decisions — which unilaterally grant market access rights to foreign companies — after having held extensive exchanges with third country governments. The difference with a no-deal Brexit would be the sheer number of areas covered at pace, against the backdrop of a legal revolution.

EU's view of its bargaining power

The EU sees its bargaining power as coming from managing the implementation of rules that can cause huge disruption to trade — such as customs checks or providing authorisations. The challenge is taking advantage of that leverage that without doing further harm to EU interests. The EU has particular sway in the area of agricultural trade. UK exports face 100 per cent checks under EU law after Brexit. But, for this point even to be reached, Brussels must first authorise the UK as "competent" to export to the EU — a decision that one senior EU diplomat noted might take a day or "maybe a lot longer", depending on the state of relations. Michael Gove, Britain's environment secretary, admitted to farmers this week that, by holding back on this authorisation decision, the EU could completely halt Britain's sales of beef, sheep meat and dairy to the bloc.

"As things stand, just six weeks before we are due to leave, the EU still have not listed the UK as a full third country in the event of no deal being concluded," Mr Gove said. "That means as I speak that there is no absolute guarantee that we would be able to continue to export food to the EU." Capitalising on this bargaining power is a high risk strategy for the EU. Britain could impose tariffs, as Mr Gove suggested this week, or indeed ban EU imports, a move that would hit Ireland particularly hard.

But some in Brussels see Britain having few options but to lower trade barriers if it wants to avoid food shortages. "The UK has no incentive whatsoever unless they want empty shelves," said one official, who predicted some EU states would make fishing rights in UK waters a condition for granting market access to UK farmers.Shifts in British politics difficult to predictCalculations on the balance of power in a no-deal scenario depend heavily on one factor: they assume the UK government will have the political leeway and authority to do deals. While some EU negotiators are confident the UK will have little choice but to co-operate, because of the economic hit in a no-deal scenario, some member states are more unsure. "How exactly is British politics going to turn around after no deal and agree to the backstop that was the cause of them crashing out? I don't understand," said one senior official overseeing Brexit for an EU government. Another senior EU diplomat in close touch with Downing Street over Brexit speculated that, when the UK's exit from the bloc becomes a reality, it will be impossible to predict shifts in British politics, whether because of resignations or elections. "I cannot imagine a hard Brexit will mean business as usual in British politics," the adviser said. "Something has to happen."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 10:23:58 AM

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/07/no-deal-brexit-medieval-siege-eu-britain-industries

A no-deal Brexit won't result in a siege. The EU will be more clinical than that

Tom Kibasi



Talk of rotting food at Calais is hysterical: instead, no deal would see the EU calmly dismantle Britain's industries over time


One of the most striking features of the ongoing Brexit shambles is the consistent failure of Britain's political class to correctly assess the consequences of their decisions or the likely response from EU member states or institutions. So it is with the prospect of a no-deal Brexit.

With every passing week, new heights of hysteria are reached about the impact of crashing out of the bloc. Politicians and the media have embraced the aesthetic of the disaster movie, outlining all the most vivid ways in which our economy and society will fall to pieces after exit day in an imagined dystopia.

The government amplifies rather than dampens the threat in the hope that fear will bring MPs from both main parties into acquiescing to the prime minister's Brexit deal. And the EU, keen to assist the government in getting the deal through parliament, does little to lower the temperature. But almost all of the fear-mongering is wrong.

  The hysteria needs to stop and the sobering reality of the scale of the stakes for the future must be better understood
 

In truth, the short-term impact of a no-deal Brexit would be not nearly as bad as predicted, but the long-term impact will be much worse than feared. Why? Because the British political class still fails to understand how the EU will respond to the crisis.

In a no-deal Brexit, the EU will not place the UK under some medieval siege; there won't be trucks filled with rotting food in Calais or shortages of medicines in pharmacies. Planes will continue to fly, though British travellers would face longer queues at borders (yet still enjoy visa-free travel). A thin agreement – covering areas from aviation to contract continuity – would be quickly concluded.

Most households would feel the impact not through shortages but through rising prices, the result of a rapid weakening in sterling driving up the cost of imports. Living standards that have barely improved for more than a decade would get noticeably worse. But 3,500 troops are not going to be deployed to the streets.

Instead, the EU's response to a no deal will be strategic: opening up advantage, sector by sector, calmly and patiently dismantling the UK's leading industries over the course of a decade. They will eat the elephant one bite at a time. The problem with abandoning the rules of the international order is that you no longer enjoy their protection.

A no-deal Brexit would hand the EU enormous power: it would decide how and when to introduce new frictions between the UK and the single market, giving sufficient time for firms like Airbus, Nissan or AstraZeneca to relocate production. As recent decisions have demonstrated, even seemingly fixed capital investment is more mobile than many Brexiters imagine.

The EU would set out a timeline over which it would introduce compliance and rules of origin checks on the UK's most competitive exporting sectors. It is not hard to imagine checks on automotive parts from 2021, pharmaceuticals from 2022 and aerospace from 2023, alongside constantly shifting sands of equivalence for financial services. This would allow firms an orderly departure from the UK to the single market. It will be a steady drift away from the UK, not an avalanche. Moreover, the absence of any agreement would mean lasting uncertainty that would deter future investment. The UK is particularly exposed in this regard: our serious lack of competitiveness is demonstrated by persistently large trade deficits. This means the UK is heavily reliant on foreign investment – the "kindness of strangers" – which would likely collapse. It is not hard to imagine a future government going cap in hand to the IMF for a bailout.

The Brexit fantasists' riposte is that the Europeans have as much to lose since the UK is an important export market and we run a large trade deficit with the single market. But one of the legacies of Thatcher's deindustrialisation is that the UK lacks the industrial base to switch from foreign to domestic production. It simply no longer exists, thanks to the 1980s shock therapy of the very same disaster capitalists that now champion no-deal.

Those same Brexiters who have marched from failure to failure with no loss of enthusiasm still bizarrely believe that the UK could pocket the £39bn divorce bill while pursuing trade deals around the world. Yet the EU would, calmly and rationally, place tariffs on UK trade until it had collected what it is owed. And the damage to trade with the single market could not be replaced by new trade deals – in addition to the EU27, the UK has the benefits of trade deals with 40 other countries through the EU, all of which would evaporate overnight in no deal. That requires 67 deals to be signed just to stand still.

Yet it is for these reasons that no deal remains the least likely outcome, its probability in the single digits. What began as a political hoax is now affecting real investment decisions in the economy, as Nissan's recent decision has shown. The hysteria needs to stop and the sobering reality of the scale of the stakes for the UK's future prosperity must be better understood. It is a damning indictment and a severe dereliction of duty that such a calamity as a no-deal Brexit is a possibility, no matter how unlikely. It's time to rule out no deal, once and for all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maiden1 on February 22, 2019, 11:28:09 AM
Quote from: GJL on February 21, 2019, 07:49:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on February 21, 2019, 07:40:51 PM
Looks like Corbyn may now lean towards a second referendum.
with the splits in both parties- I'd say that passes parliament without the DUP support.

may has been angling towards a two option vote- my deal vs no deal

doesn't look like she's going to get what she wants...

The lunatic British public might still vote leave and with no deal.
I think if there was a second referendum the most likely outcome would still be leave.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2018/jan/26/guardian-icm-brexit-poll-full-results

If there is a high 40% of people openly admitting they would vote leave that to me indicates there is likely a silent minority who also would vote leave if there was another vote that don't want to admit they would.

In general if a poll says a number and there is a choice which seems more 'liberal' and a choice which is seen as more extreme a certain percentage should be weighted towards the second choice.

e.g.  I conduct a poll

Would you be a happy to live next door to a non Caucasian (or someone of a 'funny tinge' as Angela Smith would call them)?

and the results where

70% Yes
30% No

The people who say no they wouldn't be happy to live next to a non white person are mostly being honest.  They are admitting they are essentially somewhat racist (if a person tells you what they are believe them).  A higher percentage of the people who say Yes are likely to be not telling the truth.  It could be an 'anonymous' phone survey but the person calling you knows your phone number so it not that anonymous and you may not want to divulge your true feelings to them.  If someone asks you the question on the street are you comfortable ticking no in front of them, maybe the person asking the question is a funny tinge or is friends with 1, either way they might judge you.

Margaret Thatcher got elected every time when the poll numbers indicated that she would not get elected and we are seeing time after time 'shock' results in elections and referendums.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/24/eu-referendum-how-right-or-wrong-were-the-polls/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on February 22, 2019, 12:18:22 PM
Quote from: Maiden1 on February 22, 2019, 11:28:09 AM

if a poll says a number and there is a choice which seems more 'liberal' and a choice which is seen as more extreme a certain percentage should be weighted towards the second choice.

e.g.  I conduct a poll

Would you be a happy to live next door to a non Caucasian (or someone of a 'funny tinge' as Angela Smith would call them)?


Just to clarify, you're not talking about Trump moving in  next door are you??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Captain Black on February 22, 2019, 04:50:00 PM
Dear Mr Ctrl+C/Ctrl+V,

Less of the disaster porn please.

Regards,

Captain Black
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 05:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 06:32:26 PM
Quote from: hardstation on February 22, 2019, 06:19:45 PM
Raidio ná Gaeltachta?

Ó am go h-am ar fud na tíre.
Nuacht an 7n Domhnach seo caite mar shampla
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 06:44:00 PM
I see the lovely Arlene was in the Ballroom of Romance today doing a double act with Shane Ross.
Plenty of natural talent there for a horror film.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Substandard on February 22, 2019, 07:54:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 06:32:26 PM
Quote from: hardstation on February 22, 2019, 06:19:45 PM
Raidio ná Gaeltachta?

Ó am go h-am ar fud na tíre.
Nuacht an 7n Domhnach seo caite mar shampla

Go raibh maith agat as ucht an méid a chuireann tú ar fáil anseo, agus caibidle éagsúla. Faoin am seo, ní léim mórán eile faoin ábhar ach amháin an suíomh seo.  Is maith liom an raon dearcaigh éagsúla, agus táim buíoch do gach duine d'aon tuiscint nó eolas atá agam.
Éistfidh mé amach leat ar RnaG ó am go chéile, agus go n-eirí leat: coinnigh suas leis an dtaighde agus tuairimí anseo!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on February 22, 2019, 09:37:01 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 05:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .

You forgot about populating the Financial Times comment sections with similar posts to gaaboard!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 23, 2019, 08:17:16 AM
Quote from: Maiden1 on February 22, 2019, 11:28:09 AM
Quote from: GJL on February 21, 2019, 07:49:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on February 21, 2019, 07:40:51 PM
Looks like Corbyn may now lean towards a second referendum.
with the splits in both parties- I'd say that passes parliament without the DUP support.

may has been angling towards a two option vote- my deal vs no deal

doesn't look like she's going to get what she wants...
https://britorbot.org/the-conversation/


The lunatic British public might still vote leave and with no deal.
I think if there was a second referendum the most likely outcome would still be leave.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2018/jan/26/guardian-icm-brexit-poll-full-results

If there is a high 40% of people openly admitting they would vote leave that to me indicates there is likely a silent minority who also would vote leave if there was another vote that don't want to admit they would.

In general if a poll says a number and there is a choice which seems more 'liberal' and a choice which is seen as more extreme a certain percentage should be weighted towards the second choice.

e.g.  I conduct a poll

Would you be a happy to live next door to a non Caucasian (or someone of a 'funny tinge' as Angela Smith would call them)?

and the results where

70% Yes
30% No

The people who say no they wouldn't be happy to live next to a non white person are mostly being honest.  They are admitting they are essentially somewhat racist (if a person tells you what they are believe them).  A higher percentage of the people who say Yes are likely to be not telling the truth.  It could be an 'anonymous' phone survey but the person calling you knows your phone number so it not that anonymous and you may not want to divulge your true feelings to them.  If someone asks you the question on the street are you comfortable ticking no in front of them, maybe the person asking the question is a funny tinge or is friends with 1, either way they might judge you.

Margaret Thatcher got elected every time when the poll numbers indicated that she would not get elected and we are seeing time after time 'shock' results in elections and referendums.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/24/eu-referendum-how-right-or-wrong-were-the-polls/

https://britorbot.org/the-conversation/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 23, 2019, 08:21:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 05:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .

I for one enjoy your in depth analysis and posting of articles that normally we wouldn't be able to see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 23, 2019, 08:27:52 AM
Quote from: Substandard on February 22, 2019, 07:54:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 06:32:26 PM
Quote from: hardstation on February 22, 2019, 06:19:45 PM
Raidio ná Gaeltachta?

Ó am go h-am ar fud na tíre.
Nuacht an 7n Domhnach seo caite mar shampla

Go raibh maith agat as ucht an méid a chuireann tú ar fáil anseo, agus caibidle éagsúla. Faoin am seo, ní léim mórán eile faoin ábhar ach amháin an suíomh seo.  Is maith liom an raon dearcaigh éagsúla, agus táim buíoch do gach duine d'aon tuiscint nó eolas atá agam.
Éistfidh mé amach leat ar RnaG ó am go chéile, agus go n-eirí leat: coinnigh suas leis an dtaighde agus tuairimí anseo!!

GRMA

Brexit as Gaeilge

Téir abhaile riú
Téir abhaile riú
Téir abhaile riú, a Mhéaraí
Téir abhaile riú 's fan sa bhaile
Mar tá do mhargadh déanta.

Is cuma cé dhein é nó nár dhein
Is cuma cé dhein é, a Mhéaraí
Is cuma cé dhein é nó nár dhein mar
Tá do mhargadh déanta.

Curfá

Is cuma cé dhein é nó nár dhein
Is cuma cé dhein é, a Mhéaraí
Is cuma cé dhein é nó nár dhein mar
Tá do mhargadh déanta.

Curfá

Pós an piobaire
Pós an piobaire
Pós an piobaire, a Mhéaraí
Pós an piobaire ar dtús na hoíche
Is beidh sé agat ar maidin.

Tá do mhargadh
Níl mo mhargadh
Tá do mhargadh déanta
Níl mo mhargadh
Tá do mhargadh
Nil mo mhardadh déanta

Níl mo mhargadh
Tá do mharghadh
Níl mo mhargadh déanta
Tá do mhargadh
Níl mo mhargadh
Tá do mhargadh déanta

https://youtu.be/dOfAKzIcz_U
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on February 23, 2019, 11:22:47 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on February 23, 2019, 08:21:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 05:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .

I for one enjoy your in depth analysis and posting of articles that normally we wouldn't be able to see.

Me too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maiden1 on February 23, 2019, 01:06:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 23, 2019, 08:17:16 AM
Quote from: Maiden1 on February 22, 2019, 11:28:09 AM
Quote from: GJL on February 21, 2019, 07:49:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on February 21, 2019, 07:40:51 PM
Looks like Corbyn may now lean towards a second referendum.
with the splits in both parties- I'd say that passes parliament without the DUP support.

may has been angling towards a two option vote- my deal vs no deal

doesn't look like she's going to get what she wants...
https://britorbot.org/the-conversation/


The lunatic British public might still vote leave and with no deal.
I think if there was a second referendum the most likely outcome would still be leave.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2018/jan/26/guardian-icm-brexit-poll-full-results

If there is a high 40% of people openly admitting they would vote leave that to me indicates there is likely a silent minority who also would vote leave if there was another vote that don't want to admit they would.

In general if a poll says a number and there is a choice which seems more 'liberal' and a choice which is seen as more extreme a certain percentage should be weighted towards the second choice.

e.g.  I conduct a poll

Would you be a happy to live next door to a non Caucasian (or someone of a 'funny tinge' as Angela Smith would call them)?

and the results where

70% Yes
30% No

The people who say no they wouldn't be happy to live next to a non white person are mostly being honest.  They are admitting they are essentially somewhat racist (if a person tells you what they are believe them).  A higher percentage of the people who say Yes are likely to be not telling the truth.  It could be an 'anonymous' phone survey but the person calling you knows your phone number so it not that anonymous and you may not want to divulge your true feelings to them.  If someone asks you the question on the street are you comfortable ticking no in front of them, maybe the person asking the question is a funny tinge or is friends with 1, either way they might judge you.

Margaret Thatcher got elected every time when the poll numbers indicated that she would not get elected and we are seeing time after time 'shock' results in elections and referendums.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/24/eu-referendum-how-right-or-wrong-were-the-polls/

https://britorbot.org/the-conversation/
Sorry I didn't click on your link first time you posted it.  Pretty much same conclusion though. Brexit result would probably be same if reran. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on February 23, 2019, 06:01:41 PM
Quote from: Hardy on February 23, 2019, 11:22:47 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on February 23, 2019, 08:21:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 05:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .

I for one enjoy your in depth analysis and posting of articles that normally we wouldn't be able to see.

Me too.
Have to say I also agree. I find Seafoid on point more often than not. His articles leave no shortage for toilet reading!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 23, 2019, 11:07:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 11:51:18 AM
Quote from: mouview on February 20, 2019, 11:24:03 AM
With Wollaston and Heidi Allen. Was hinted at on Newsnight last night. Hopefully the trickle becomes a torrent. Always felt a bit sorry for Soubry under the Tories; she fought tooth and nail against Brexit and the ERG and got little support or thanks for it.
She is not a groupthinker
Very impressive as Brexit got even worse

What has she achieved?

I agree that she has been admirable on the Brexit issue but what does her resignation amount to?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 23, 2019, 11:10:49 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on February 20, 2019, 01:58:12 PM
Have the Splitters formed a party?  Ideal in a first passed the post electoral system.

They are specifically not forming a party. If they do they are subject to the political funding rules. Right now we don't know is funding them

Also as a party they would struggle to form a manifesto that they could all sign up to - apart from on Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 23, 2019, 11:13:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 20, 2019, 03:14:02 PM
Quote from: Hound on February 20, 2019, 03:11:05 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 20, 2019, 03:05:04 PM
It's a really risky strategy for these MPs and most will probably pay with their jobs at the next election. It OK being a Tory candidate going up against Lab, Lib Dems etc but it's another being an Independent going up against them all. That's why we see a broad spectrum of people in all parties. How many times have we heard such and such party is a broad church. Mogg and his cohort of Brexiteers should really be in with someone like a UKIP. Corbyn and the leftists with the Workers Party or a Communist party.
Both parties should clearly split. But with the FPTP system, they can only do it if both agree at same time. Otherwise if one splits, the other is pretty much guaranteed a decent majority government, even if they lose some vote %

Of course, they could change the voting system, but I don't think the Brits could handle that. Even though we've had it for donkeys, there's still a huge amount of voters who stop at 1.

They held a referendum on the voting system. Lib Dems (who it would benefit the most) pushed for it as part of the coalition. It was rejected.

Lib Dems were hoodwinked by Cameron. The option (Alternative Vote) was crap.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 23, 2019, 11:16:21 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 06:10:34 PM
Brexit is destroying the reforms of the 80s
At last- an upside
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 23, 2019, 11:18:51 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 21, 2019, 07:49:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on February 21, 2019, 07:40:51 PM
Looks like Corbyn may now lean towards a second referendum.
with the splits in both parties- I'd say that passes parliament without the DUP support.

may has been angling towards a two option vote- my deal vs no deal

doesn't look like she's going to get what she wants...

The lunatic British public might still vote leave and with no deal.

It's why a lot of sensible heads are looking for a soft Brexit to minimise the damage and move on
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 24, 2019, 12:13:04 AM
Quote from: LCohen on February 23, 2019, 11:10:49 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on February 20, 2019, 01:58:12 PM
Have the Splitters formed a party?  Ideal in a first passed the post electoral system.

They are specifically not forming a party. If they do they are subject to the political funding rules. Right now we don't know is funding them

Also as a party they would struggle to form a manifesto that they could all sign up to - apart from on Brexit
Registered ad a Company in Panama!!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 24, 2019, 12:43:47 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 23, 2019, 11:07:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 11:51:18 AM
Quote from: mouview on February 20, 2019, 11:24:03 AM
With Wollaston and Heidi Allen. Was hinted at on Newsnight last night. Hopefully the trickle becomes a torrent. Always felt a bit sorry for Soubry under the Tories; she fought tooth and nail against Brexit and the ERG and got little support or thanks for it.
She is not a groupthinker
Very impressive as Brexit got even worse

What has she achieved?

I agree that she has been admirable on the Brexit issue but what does her resignation amount to?

A stand on principle. If no-one ever shouts stop.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 24, 2019, 02:54:35 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 24, 2019, 12:43:47 PM
Quote from: LCohen on February 23, 2019, 11:07:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2019, 11:51:18 AM
Quote from: mouview on February 20, 2019, 11:24:03 AM
With Wollaston and Heidi Allen. Was hinted at on Newsnight last night. Hopefully the trickle becomes a torrent. Always felt a bit sorry for Soubry under the Tories; she fought tooth and nail against Brexit and the ERG and got little support or thanks for it.
She is not a groupthinker
Very impressive as Brexit got even worse

May cancelled the vote again. Without the 3 she doesn't have the numbers

What has she achieved?

I agree that she has been admirable on the Brexit issue but what does her resignation amount to?

A stand on principle. If no-one ever shouts stop.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 25, 2019, 07:18:31 AM
Tt looks like Brexit is going to be delayed
Basically because the UK Govt is totally paralysed. It has a working majority of 3.
The DUP want no Deal to escape from the GFA and the ERG want to destroy the UK economy
and they have the balance of power. There are about 30 remainers who don't want to blow everything up.

The Daily Sturmer says delay max  2 months
The EU are asking for 2 years

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/02/24/exclusive-brexit-will-delayed-two-months-plans-considered-theresa/
Exclusive: Brexit will be delayed by two months under plans being considered by Theresa May


By Steven Swinford,  Deputy Political Editor  and
Anna Mikhailova,  Political Correspondent 
24 February 2019 • 9:30pm   

Brexit will be delayed for up to two months under plans being considered by Theresa May to extend Article 50, The Telegraph has learned.

Downing Street officials have drawn up a series of options in a bid to avoid resignations by ministers determined to support a backbench bid to take no deal off the table this week.

The Prime Minister said she will delay a meaningful vote on her deal by up to two weeks until March 12, just 17 days before the UK is due to leave the European Union.

The Telegraph understands that the plans drawn up by Downing Street officials, which were circulated at the weekend, include making a formal request to Brussels to delay Brexit if she cannot secure a deal by then.

It came as the Prime Minister failed to secure a breakthrough "deal in the desert" during talks with European leaders at an EU-Arab summit in Brussels.

She said that leaving by March 29 is "still within our grasp", a far more downbeat assessment than her previous insistence that Britain will leave the EU on Brexit day.

While the Downing Street plans do not specify the length of the extension, ministers believe it will be no longer than two months - avoiding the need for the UK to participate in European parliament elections.

On Wednesday the Commons will vote on a backbench bill tabled by Yvette Cooper, a senior Labour MP, that would force Mrs May to request an extension of Article 50 if a deal has not been reached by March 13.

The Prime Minister could avert a rebellion by Tory MPs and a Commons defeat by committing to requesting a Brexit delay herself, although in doing so risks alienating Eurosceptic Tory MPs. "It's very finely balanced," a source said.

The Telegraph can also disclose that a group of moderate Tory MPs will today table a new amendment that requires the Prime Minister to extend Article 50 if she cannot secure a deal.

The amendment put forward by Simon Hart, the leader of the 100-strong Brexit Delivery Group, states that the extension of Article 50 must not go beyond May 23rd.

The Prime Minister resisted calls to sack three Cabinet ministers who argued openly that Article 50 should be extended.

Amber Rudd, the Work and Pensions Secretary, David Gauke, the Justice Secretary and Greg Clark, the Business Secretary, signalled they could support a backbench bid to delay withdrawal in order to prevent a no-deal Brexit.

Iain Duncan Smith, a former Conservative leader, and other senior Eurosceptics said they had breached collective responsibility.






The Prime Minister, however, indicated that they will not be censured. She said: "I have recognised and others have recognised that there are strong views that are held on this issue.







What we are collectively doing as a government and as a cabinet is working to get that deal. "Parliament wants to see changes to the backstop. We have been working with the EU on that. Our focus is on leaving with a deal. My intention is to work with a deal."

The Downing Street plans, which were drawn up at the end of last week, included three central options - a meaningful vote on the Prime Minister's deal, a "conditional" vote on the Attorney General's legal advice and a commitment to request an extension of Article 50.

After Mrs May announced a delay to the meaningful vote, two options remain. Ministers believe a conditional vote on  the Attorney General's plans for a new legal text to ensure that the Irish backstop is strictly time-limited could help strengthen the Prime Minister's hand in Brussels.

The Prime Minister yesterday met Donald Tusk, the President of the European Commission. Mr Tusk is said to favour a lengthy extension to Article 50 of two years, rather than the two months being discussed by ministers in the UK.






Mrs May faced criticism from business leaders and some MPs for delaying a vote on her Brexit deal until March. The CBI group of business leaders accused the Prime Minister of "running down the clock", while Ms Cooper said that the delay makes her bill "more vital than ever".

While Mrs May did not rule out extending the Brexit date beyond March 29 yesterday, she also said it would not "solve" anything. "Often people talk about the extension of Article 50 as if it will solve the issue -  of course it won't," she said. "It defers the point of decision".

Mr Hart, the head of the Brexit Delivery Group of MPs, said: "This would give the Government the time needed to conclude any deal and associated legislation or provide a further period in which the Government could properly plan for a no deal."

Michael Gove, the Environment Secretary, said that those criticising Cabinet ministers for backing an extension of Article 50 are "heresy hunters". However he urged his colleagues to vote against the backbench bid to delay Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on February 25, 2019, 07:26:30 AM
Ah Jesus. At this point I just want this sorry WA agreement stuff to be done with. Extending it for 2 months is hardly going to change anything, will it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 25, 2019, 10:19:29 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 25, 2019, 07:26:30 AM
Ah Jesus. At this point I just want this sorry WA agreement stuff to be done with. Extending it for 2 months is hardly going to change anything, will it?

Despite the uncertainty being very bad for business, anything that extends Brexit is good. Keep putting it off, keep fighting it; maybe eventually common sense would reign and people would see how bad it is for the UK. I'd take my chances on a second referendum; voters now would be more educated as to the choices in front of them and businesses would surely be very vocal on the dangers of any Brexit. Hard-Brexiteers (and the DUP) are scared stiff of a second ballot, so therefore it must be a good thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 25, 2019, 10:40:17 AM
Quote from: mouview on February 25, 2019, 10:19:29 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 25, 2019, 07:26:30 AM
Ah Jesus. At this point I just want this sorry WA agreement stuff to be done with. Extending it for 2 months is hardly going to change anything, will it?

Despite the uncertainty being very bad for business, anything that extends Brexit is good. Keep putting it off, keep fighting it; maybe eventually common sense would reign and people would see how bad it is for the UK. I'd take my chances on a second referendum; voters now would be more educated as to the choices in front of them and businesses would surely be very vocal on the dangers of any Brexit. Hard-Brexiteers (and the DUP) are scared stiff of a second ballot, so therefore it must be a good thing.
I agree.  The longer it is dragged out the more people will understand how awful it is
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 25, 2019, 10:40:39 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 25, 2019, 07:26:30 AM
Ah Jesus. At this point I just want this sorry WA agreement stuff to be done with. Extending it for 2 months is hardly going to change anything, will it?

Are there not European elections due in and around that time frame?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 25, 2019, 10:42:38 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 25, 2019, 10:40:39 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 25, 2019, 07:26:30 AM
Ah Jesus. At this point I just want this sorry WA agreement stuff to be done with. Extending it for 2 months is hardly going to change anything, will it?

Are there not European elections due in and around that time frame?
Yeah

The ERG/DUP don't want the elections because they are afraid of the results
The EU is going to ask for a longer delay.
They can't get any sort of coherence out of the tories with the current numbers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 25, 2019, 11:09:49 AM
Remain is an easier sell than Rejoin. If the UK does leave on March 29th, that's it. Goodnight Vienna.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 25, 2019, 12:36:37 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 25, 2019, 11:09:49 AM
Remain is an easier sell than Rejoin. If the UK does leave on March 29th, that's it. Goodnight Vienna.
Nothing decided now is permanent because we haven't had the huge economic crash to finish neoliberalism off yet
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 25, 2019, 03:53:02 PM
Freedom is just another word for nothing left to lose

https://www.ft.com/content/9c3b0304-36c8-11e9-bb0c-42459962a812

   Britain faces harsh truths about post-Brexit trade
      
      
               The UK will be less rather than more open after it leaves the EU
      
         The editorial board

Partners beyond Europe will be willing to negotiate detailed trade deals only when they see the shape of Britain's future relationship with the EU © Reuters

               The editorial board

Free trade promotes prosperity. But free trade deals produce losers as well as winners. They are often unpopular with electorates. Such agreements typically take years to negotiate. Opening up markets can require layers of new regulation in order to align national rules. It is nearly half a century since Britain last negotiated its own trading arrangements.Such complexities, and the absence of experienced trade negotiators, have never much troubled Britain's Brexiters. Once the UK cast off the shackles of the EU, they declared, fast-growing economies from around the world would join a queue to strike bilateral trade deals. As for the economic relationship with the EU27, leading cabinet Brexiter Michael Gove promised that Britain would hold "all the cards".All the evidence since the 2016 referendum has been in the opposite direction. Leaving the single market by definition is a big step in the direction of protectionism. Were Britain to fall out in a chaotic Brexit, it would lose not just privileged access to its most important market but also to the more than 60 third countries covered by special arrangements with the EU.Brussels has been expanding these preferential deals. The recent EU pact with Canada has been followed by the conclusion of an accord with Japan. Some of these countries have expressed interest in signing agreements with the UK. But thus far the government has succeeded in negotiating nothing more than a set of contingency arrangements with Switzerland and a handful of other nations. This is scarcely a trade policy.Partners beyond Europe will be willing to negotiate detailed trade deals only when they see the shape of Britain's future relationship with the EU. Japan has also made public what to non-Brexiters always seemed obvious. As a smaller market than the EU27, Britain cannot expect to win concessions comparable to those secured by Brussels. This is not just a question of tariffs.

The US has indicated that it would expect post-Brexit Britain to soften EU rules on food standards. US officials want access for American producers of "chlorinated" chicken and hormone-treated beef. The domestic politics will be just as tough. The government will face unpopular choices it has avoided since joining the EU. As the minister responsible for the environment and agriculture, Mr Gove is now discovering this for himself. Mr Gove has taken the side of the farm lobby in an angry dispute within the cabinet about future tariffs on agricultural products. The UK Treasury wants to open the doors to the cheaper food on world markets. Farmers want to keep EU-style subsidies. The US, Australia, New Zealand and Canada want better access to the UK food market as part of any eventual trade deals. The hope is that common sense and the interests of consumers eventually prevail over those of the farmers' lobby. But this will be only the first such collision. There will be trade-offs between manufacturing and agriculture, and manufacturing and services. There will also be awkward choices within each sector. Many trading partners want more liberal immigration rules for their citizens in return for offering better terms for UK business.On its present trajectory, the Britain emerging from this process will be significantly less, not more, open to the world — losing market access in Europe and striking trade deals elsewhere less favourable than it now enjoys. The nation will be poorer as a consequence. The Brexiters' promise of an open, dynamic "global Britain" already has a distinctly hollow ring. But then this is only one of many broken pledges.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 25, 2019, 06:36:29 PM
Big move by Labour in supporting a second vote and if it so transpires we could well be heading for a general election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:38:17 PM
Corbyn looks like he is finally bowing to pressure and is commiting to a 2nd referendum... it will be interesting to see how polls react to that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 25, 2019, 07:35:10 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded concur with anyway.

I had a chuckle at "All Europe senior hurling championship".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 25, 2019, 07:48:15 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:38:17 PM
Corbyn looks like he is finally bowing to pressure and is commiting to a 2nd referendum... it will be interesting to see how polls react to that.

It's a ploy it'll never pass so he's United the the pro EU lobby in the party then when it gets defeated he gets his Brexit and can pretend he wanted to remain all along but went with the will of the people.

Then election... smart enough!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 25, 2019, 08:42:09 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:38:17 PM
Corbyn looks like he is finally bowing to pressure and is commiting to a 2nd referendum... it will be interesting to see how polls react to that.

In doing so potentially helps May because the Tory hardliners will see their Brexit dream potentially disappearing for ever in a new referendum, so might decide any Brexit is better than no Brexit and opt to weight in behind May's Brexit deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 25, 2019, 10:19:14 PM
Unlikely. There are enough Tories that think its a bad idea - and would want to absolve themselves of responsibility by putting it back to the people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omochain on February 26, 2019, 01:35:37 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

I think the stuff that Seafoid posts is informative and his lack of "bloviating" only makes his contribution more meaningful.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on February 26, 2019, 04:20:58 AM
The problem with a second referendum is that some idiots actually blame Europe for stopping Brexit. Bizarrely, they believe the Little Englanders who think should have rolled over and given them everything they asked for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on February 26, 2019, 07:03:48 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

Objectionable as some of his posts are and can be, he offers an exponential amount more considered, reasoned opinion than any of the half baked, ill-informed and willfully ignorant shite you ever post.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 26, 2019, 07:55:19 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

I agree. It ruins thread and kills debate. I don't read any of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 26, 2019, 07:56:58 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 26, 2019, 07:55:19 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

I agree. It ruins thread and kills debate. I don't read any of it.

No articles over 500 words unless he provides crib notes to show he has read and understood it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 26, 2019, 09:14:25 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 26, 2019, 07:56:58 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 26, 2019, 07:55:19 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

I agree. It ruins thread and kills debate. I don't read any of it.

No articles over 500 words unless he provides crib notes to show he has read and understood it?

I'll just put  the stuff in another thread going forward so you can do your Brexit analysis without getting offended.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 26, 2019, 09:16:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 26, 2019, 09:14:25 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 26, 2019, 07:56:58 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 26, 2019, 07:55:19 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

I agree. It ruins thread and kills debate. I don't read any of it.

No articles over 500 words unless he provides crib notes to show he has read and understood it?

I'll just put  the stuff in another thread going forward so you can do your Brexit analysis without getting offended.

Just post the title and the link?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 26, 2019, 09:36:08 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 26, 2019, 09:16:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 26, 2019, 09:14:25 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 26, 2019, 07:56:58 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 26, 2019, 07:55:19 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

I agree. It ruins thread and kills debate. I don't read any of it.

No articles over 500 words unless he provides crib notes to show he has read and understood it?

I'll just put  the stuff in another thread going forward so you can do your Brexit analysis without getting offended.

Just post the title and the link?
Unfortunately you can't do that with Financial times , certain Irish Times or any Daily Telegraph articles so it's not feasible.  The future of Northern Ireland is in play and there is an economic crash on the way and some people are interested. 
I think a separate thread with an NSFW warning would be the best solution
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on February 26, 2019, 10:22:52 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 26, 2019, 09:14:25 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 26, 2019, 07:56:58 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 26, 2019, 07:55:19 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

I agree. It ruins thread and kills debate. I don't read any of it.

No articles over 500 words unless he provides crib notes to show he has read and understood it?

I'll just put  the stuff in another thread going forward so you can do your Brexit analysis without getting offended.
Keep her lit..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 26, 2019, 10:45:37 AM
Maith thú a Sheaf.
When I see who's giving out about you I know you're alright. ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: MoChara on February 26, 2019, 11:07:03 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/feb/26/hard-brexit-united-ireland-second-referendum-dup?

Surprisingly good Article from Patrick Keilty on Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on February 26, 2019, 11:19:14 AM
"The UK government is due to hold emergency talks with industry leaders today after discovering that the country doesn't have the right pallets to continue exporting goods to the European Union if it crashes out without a deal next month.

Pallets are wooden or plastic structures which companies use to transport large volumes of goods. Under strict European Union rules, pallets arriving from non-member countries must be heat-treated or cleaned to prevent contamination, and marked to confirm they meet a series of EU rules.

Most pallets currently used by British exporters do not conform to these rules meaning that British export business could potentially grind to a halt next month in the event of a no-deal Brexit."

https://www.businessinsider.com/brexit-michael-gove-ministers-to-hold-emergency-meeting-over-no-deal-chaos-2019-2?r=US&IR=T (https://www.businessinsider.com/brexit-michael-gove-ministers-to-hold-emergency-meeting-over-no-deal-chaos-2019-2?r=US&IR=T)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on February 26, 2019, 11:38:44 AM
This would suggest that the UK never exported to Europe?

Business boom for pallet makers and problems for the Bonfire makers this summer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 26, 2019, 11:41:59 AM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on February 26, 2019, 11:19:14 AM
"The UK government is due to hold emergency talks with industry leaders today after discovering that the country doesn't have the right pallets to continue exporting goods to the European Union if it crashes out without a deal next month.

Pallets are wooden or plastic structures which companies use to transport large volumes of goods. Under strict European Union rules, pallets arriving from non-member countries must be heat-treated or cleaned to prevent contamination, and marked to confirm they meet a series of EU rules.

Most pallets currently used by British exporters do not conform to these rules meaning that British export business could potentially grind to a halt next month in the event of a no-deal Brexit."

https://www.businessinsider.com/brexit-michael-gove-ministers-to-hold-emergency-meeting-over-no-deal-chaos-2019-2?r=US&IR=T (https://www.businessinsider.com/brexit-michael-gove-ministers-to-hold-emergency-meeting-over-no-deal-chaos-2019-2?r=US&IR=T)
Brexit is all stick and no carrot


NFU leader

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1097841785173393409

Gove NFU

https://mobile.twitter.com/PropertySpot/status/1097852933608259584
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 26, 2019, 11:50:49 AM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on February 26, 2019, 11:19:14 AM
"The UK government is due to hold emergency talks with industry leaders today after discovering that the country doesn't have the right pallets to continue exporting goods to the European Union if it crashes out without a deal next month.

Pallets are wooden or plastic structures which companies use to transport large volumes of goods. Under strict European Union rules, pallets arriving from non-member countries must be heat-treated or cleaned to prevent contamination, and marked to confirm they meet a series of EU rules.

Most pallets currently used by British exporters do not conform to these rules meaning that British export business could potentially grind to a halt next month in the event of a no-deal Brexit."

https://www.businessinsider.com/brexit-michael-gove-ministers-to-hold-emergency-meeting-over-no-deal-chaos-2019-2?r=US&IR=T (https://www.businessinsider.com/brexit-michael-gove-ministers-to-hold-emergency-meeting-over-no-deal-chaos-2019-2?r=US&IR=T)

These self same heat treated pallets are also currently used to ship goods outside the EU as it's a stipulation for shipping into the Middle East and so forth.
Of all the issues on the go, this won't be a big one. Just take the current non treated pallets and treat them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 26, 2019, 01:17:56 PM
Arlene to the rescue again and  will solve the non-conformist pallet problem by shipping them all to Larne and supposedly will have use for them on July 12th. In a gesture to Leo and Simon, she will even put an Irish fleg on top of them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 26, 2019, 01:38:25 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 26, 2019, 09:36:08 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 26, 2019, 09:16:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 26, 2019, 09:14:25 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on February 26, 2019, 07:56:58 AM
Quote from: trailer on February 26, 2019, 07:55:19 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on February 25, 2019, 06:13:35 PM
I find seafoids relentless copy and paste irritating. And must admit to finding it pretty ironic that a poster is praised for spamming the board in such an unoriginal way while offering precious little insight from his own opinion which usually  consists of " brexit is insane " or some other variation, which only the most deluded or secluded dont concur with anyway.

I agree. It ruins thread and kills debate. I don't read any of it.

No articles over 500 words unless he provides crib notes to show he has read and understood it?

I'll just put  the stuff in another thread going forward so you can do your Brexit analysis without getting offended.

Just post the title and the link?
Unfortunately you can't do that with Financial times , certain Irish Times or any Daily Telegraph articles so it's not feasible.  The future of Northern Ireland is in play and there is an economic crash on the way and some people are interested. 
I think a separate thread with an NSFW warning would be the best solution

Ach calm down. Keep posting the ones that are hidden behind a pay wall for us cheapskates.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 26, 2019, 05:13:15 PM
Today proves again that Theresa May couldn't lie straight in bed, you cannot trust a word that comes out of her mouth ... that is why it is going to be f**king hilarious when she throws those DUP cnuts under the bus  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 26, 2019, 05:47:21 PM
Quote from: red hander on February 26, 2019, 05:13:15 PM
Today proves again that Theresa May couldn't lie straight in bed, you cannot trust a word that comes out of her mouth ... that is why it is going to be f**king hilarious when she throws those DUP cnuts under the bus  ;D

Let's hope it is bus made in Ballymena, at least.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 26, 2019, 09:47:10 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 26, 2019, 05:47:21 PM
Quote from: red hander on February 26, 2019, 05:13:15 PM
Today proves again that Theresa May couldn't lie straight in bed, you cannot trust a word that comes out of her mouth ... that is why it is going to be f**king hilarious when she throws those DUP cnuts under the bus  ;D

Let's hope it is bus made in Ballymena, at least.

That would be the Wright stuff for them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 27, 2019, 06:09:08 AM
Been an interesting 48 hours or so with the changes in tactics from 3 of the main players in Brexit.
Firstly Corbyn comes out in favour of ref2
Now May says 29 March is no longer Brexit day
...and then
Seafoid declares he's no longer gonna spam us to death and will allow for meaningful discussion on this thread.
All appear to be a step in the right direction with the latter having the biggest effect to our daily lives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 27, 2019, 06:10:56 AM
On a serious note thanks seafoid for finding an amicable compromise.
An example to us all!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 09:05:29 AM
Should be EU be helping the Brits with the border in order to assist the DUP to get out of the GFA ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 27, 2019, 10:08:11 AM
British government briefing documents on the consequences of no deal

https://t.co/4VP4N95JPD

Norn Iron bit 35-38.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 27, 2019, 10:36:42 AM
Make believe numbers.

That report will be as massaged as the Attorney General's advice to parliament that the backstop was non-binding.

We all now know that to be utterly mis-representative of actual reality. I expect this paper is the same.


If there is a no deal - the fallout will be far more brutal than that paper would suggest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on February 27, 2019, 11:01:31 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 27, 2019, 10:36:42 AM
Make believe numbers.

That report will be as massaged as the Attorney General's advice to parliament that the backstop was non-binding.

We all now know that to be utterly mis-representative of actual reality. I expect this paper is the same.


If there is a no deal - the fallout will be far more brutal than that paper would suggest.

I think the last couple of day's developments from both Labour and Tories shows that no deal is going to be avoided one way or the other as they all know it would be economic suicide.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 11:22:59 AM
I don't think no Deal can happen. And May's deal is also crap
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 27, 2019, 11:34:17 AM
Surely the only credible solution is to throw the DUP under the bus and a border at the sea.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 27, 2019, 11:37:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 11:22:59 AM
I don't think no Deal can happen. And May's deal is also crap

Her gambit is that it will be considered the least crap of the 3 options. But what happens if all 3 options get rejected - will UK not default back to No Deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 02:39:52 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 27, 2019, 11:37:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 11:22:59 AM
I don't think no Deal can happen. And May's deal is also crap

Her gambit is that it will be considered the least crap of the 3 options. But what happens if all 3 options get rejected - will UK not default back to No Deal?
I think the reason why they haven't decided yet is because Brexit is so awful even if a majority voted for it
No deal doesn't have the numbers.
It is down to Remain vs her deal I think
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 03:37:45 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 27, 2019, 11:34:17 AM
Surely the only credible solution is to throw the DUP under the bus and a border at the sea.

The DUP bet the house on a fantasy
Tsk tsk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 28, 2019, 09:21:56 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 03:37:45 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 27, 2019, 11:34:17 AM
Surely the only credible solution is to throw the DUP under the bus and a border at the sea.

The DUP bet the house on a fantasy
Tsk tsk

The DUP will be steadfast in standing their ground much akin to Nero when Rome was burning.
Paddy Kielty is entirely right that the DUP's best chance to save face is a second referendum but they won't say as much.

Problem Teasie has is that her brinkmanship is reliant on getting enough labour rebels to vote for her in sufficient numbers to make the DUP's 10 votes and whatever of her ERG nut job faction irrelevant. If that does come to pass then not only will there be a huge faultline in the Tory party but also Labour and how that plays out in the next General Election will be very interesting.

We'll only know that on the 12th of March.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2019, 09:27:32 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 28, 2019, 09:21:56 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 03:37:45 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 27, 2019, 11:34:17 AM
Surely the only credible solution is to throw the DUP under the bus and a border at the sea.

The DUP bet the house on a fantasy
Tsk tsk

The DUP will be steadfast in standing their ground much akin to Nero when Rome was burning.
Paddy Kielty is entirely right that the DUP's best chance to save face is a second referendum but they won't say as much.

Problem Teasie has is that her brinkmanship is reliant on getting enough labour rebels to vote for her in sufficient numbers to make the DUP's 10 votes and whatever of her ERG nut job faction irrelevant. If that does come to pass then not only will there be a huge faultline in the Tory party but also Labour and how that plays out in the next General Election will be very interesting.

We'll only know that on the 12th of March.
Most Tory voters are pro Brexit
The party has sold them smoke
Someone has to tell them the truth


For some reason I was reminded of  Crossmaglen Rangers. There's a BBC documentary about them and in it Oisin McConville says that the response to the pitch being occupied was
"f**k youse. We are going to win the All Ireland". And they did it.
Mrs McConville says in the film that before the town was famous for the troubles. Now it is famous for sporting excellence. 

That is real.
Brexit is fake
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on February 28, 2019, 09:42:21 AM
Is that supposed to be some sort of analogy or metaphor?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2019, 10:34:09 AM
Quote from: gallsman on February 28, 2019, 09:42:21 AM
Is that supposed to be some sort of analogy or metaphor?!

You cannot reply to legitimate political concerns by promising a fantasy.
That is the core problem with Brexit. Sooner or later it becomes clear that the thing is a fraud.

The only way to deal with the problem is to invest in solutions and they didn't do that.
The GAA was one response to polarisation in Ireland in the 1880s. It still works
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 28, 2019, 11:56:00 AM
Is there any opinion polls for the following?
Remain v May's Deal
Remain v No Deal
No Deal v May's Deal

I'd love a 2nd referendum, but I don't see remain winning it. Not convincingly anyway which is what would be needed, like 60%+
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on February 28, 2019, 12:17:01 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 28, 2019, 11:56:00 AM
Is there any opinion polls for the following?
Remain v May's Deal
Remain v No Deal
No Deal v May's Deal

I'd love a 2nd referendum, but I don't see remain winning it. Not convincingly anyway which is what would be needed, like 60%+
Unaware of any polls on those issues.

The only way to run polls and then a referendum on In/Out was to pretend it was simple and that people understood the question and the implications of their answer

Once you have specific proposals it becomes totally impossible to maintain the pretence that those being polled understand the issue
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2019, 01:02:48 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 28, 2019, 11:56:00 AM
Is there any opinion polls for the following?
Remain v May's Deal
Remain v No Deal
No Deal v May's Deal

I'd love a 2nd referendum, but I don't see remain winning it. Not convincingly anyway which is what would be needed, like 60%+

Voters do not know how bad May's deal is
Most Tory voters think no deal vs May's deal is like Coke vs Pepsi

They will dismiss explanations as Project Fear.

It is a huge mess
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 28, 2019, 01:12:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 28, 2019, 09:21:56 AM
The DUP will be steadfast in standing their ground much akin to Nero when Rome was burning.
Paddy Kielty is entirely right that the DUP's best chance to save face is a second referendum but they won't say as much.


a referendum will save the DUP, but it may show a much higher remain vote in NI, which would also show how representative the DUP actually are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 28, 2019, 01:17:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2019, 01:12:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 28, 2019, 09:21:56 AM
The DUP will be steadfast in standing their ground much akin to Nero when Rome was burning.
Paddy Kielty is entirely right that the DUP's best chance to save face is a second referendum but they won't say as much.


a referendum will save the DUP, but it may show a much higher remain vote in NI, which would also show how representative the DUP actually are.

IDK if it would. Remember Home rule is Rome rule. (Which actually turned out to be true but that's another thread)
DUP voters equate EU with Ireland. There this element in NI that if they're for it we should be against it. (See SF's stance on Brexit) Even UUP who supported Remain are now looking for a No Deal Brexit.
Never underestimate the people in NI to inflict self harm.
I would like to find out though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 28, 2019, 01:17:42 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 28, 2019, 11:56:00 AM
Is there any opinion polls for the following?
Remain v May's Deal
Remain v No Deal
No Deal v May's Deal

I'd love a 2nd referendum, but I don't see remain winning it. Not convincingly anyway which is what would be needed, like 60%+

https://whatukthinks.org/eu/opinion-polls/uk-poll-results/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 28, 2019, 04:04:11 PM
Jaysus (https://twitter.com/DanielCollins85/status/1100840833417388034)

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 28, 2019, 05:08:58 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 28, 2019, 04:04:11 PM
Jaysus (https://twitter.com/DanielCollins85/status/1100840833417388034)

/Jim.

One for the WTF thread?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 28, 2019, 05:57:13 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on February 28, 2019, 04:04:11 PM
Jaysus (https://twitter.com/DanielCollins85/status/1100840833417388034)

/Jim.

I'd say her daughter is scunnered watching that, praying none of her uni friends see it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on February 28, 2019, 07:39:05 PM
Where to start. The fact she is prepared to fi...ght if she doesnt agree with a democratic result. She works in Arlenes office FFS can they not just fecking say anything without triggering full flegger mode. Contrast that with the girl in the same programme on the street outside from a traditionally unionist background open to a UI if brexit is a mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 01, 2019, 07:47:51 AM
Sammy Wilson and DUP now in full retreat.
Brexit: DUP could back deal with time-limited backstop https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-47402593 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-47402593)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 01, 2019, 08:47:10 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 01, 2019, 07:47:51 AM
Sammy Wilson and DUP now in full retreat.
Brexit: DUP could back deal with time-limited backstop https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-47402593 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-47402593)

What happened to "out means out" and all that bluster. Is the penny finally dropping for Sammy and co?
In any case we've been over the time limited backstop option months ago. It's a non runner. An insurance policy with a time limit is not an insurance policy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 01, 2019, 09:06:18 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 01, 2019, 07:47:51 AM
Sammy Wilson and DUP now in full retreat.
Brexit: DUP could back deal with time-limited backstop https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-47402593 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-47402593)

Is the backstop not time limited as it stands?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 01, 2019, 09:18:30 AM
If the UK goes it needs a deal with the US

https://www.ft.com/content/09bfe7ca-3bae-11e9-b72b-2c7f526ca5d0

In commercial partnerships, the US is asking the UK to "discourage politically motivated actions to boycott, divest from, and sanction Israel".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 01, 2019, 09:40:38 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 01, 2019, 09:06:18 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 01, 2019, 07:47:51 AM
Sammy Wilson and DUP now in full retreat.
Brexit: DUP could back deal with time-limited backstop https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-47402593 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-47402593)

Is the backstop not time limited as it stands?
[/quote
No not time limited. As far as I know it is in place until an acceptable alternative is available. Something like technological border control or some fairy tale unicorn stuff like that.


It also has to be agreed by both sides before the backstop can be done away with so in other words Europe has control. That is what is driving them-uns nuts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 01, 2019, 10:36:50 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2019, 01:12:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 28, 2019, 09:21:56 AM
The DUP will be steadfast in standing their ground much akin to Nero when Rome was burning.
Paddy Kielty is entirely right that the DUP's best chance to save face is a second referendum but they won't say as much.


a referendum will save the DUP, but it may show a much higher remain vote in NI, which would also show how representative the DUP actually are.

Aye, but the DUP would get that vote back in a themmuns vrs usuns vote at Europe/Local elections/ Stormont....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on March 01, 2019, 01:36:14 PM
Territorial borders going to be battleground for 2019?  Kashmir, South China, Clogherhead..  Free Staters embarrassing themselves again according to court..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on March 02, 2019, 08:17:51 AM
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/northern-ireland-backstop-the-troubles-theresa-may-brexit-european-union-red-lines-a8803336.html

Don't know if this has been posted yet, but it might be an education for the stupid stupid English.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 02, 2019, 08:59:10 AM
I doubt if the "stupid stupid English" would read newspapers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:01:38 AM
Quote from: OgraAnDun on March 02, 2019, 08:17:51 AM
https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/northern-ireland-backstop-the-troubles-theresa-may-brexit-european-union-red-lines-a8803336.html

Don't know if this has been posted yet, but it might be an education for the stupid stupid English.

Good article but he runs from Hard Border to full blown war a little quickly. Who will pick up arms on the Nationalist side? I think a wide disengagement of government or civil disobedience if you like is more likely. Although some terrorist activity cannot be ruled out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:02:48 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138)

Chlorinated chicken. I tried to make this point before, but everyone just wanted to be outraged without knowing why.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on March 02, 2019, 10:28:46 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 02, 2019, 08:59:10 AM
I doubt if the "stupid stupid English" would read newspapers.

The 'stupid stupid English' (a quote from the article) are the people who make the decisions, so I would like to hope that they do read the papers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 02, 2019, 02:15:06 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:02:48 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138)

Chlorinated chicken. I tried to make this point before, but everyone just wanted to be outraged without knowing why.

Saw nothing in that other than some bullshit from US Ambassador to UK and Boris, both trying to sell shite to the British people. It's not a myth that US beef has got hormones injected and the chicken is washed in Chlorine to remove bacteria.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 02, 2019, 02:22:19 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:02:48 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138)

Chlorinated chicken. I tried to make this point before, but everyone just wanted to be outraged without knowing why.

Salmonella kills 450 people in the US, nobody died from Salmonella in the UK last year.
https://www.cdc.gov/salmonella/index.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 02, 2019, 04:25:06 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2019, 02:22:19 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:02:48 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138)

Chlorinated chicken. I tried to make this point before, but everyone just wanted to be outraged without knowing why.

Salmonella kills 450 people in the US, nobody died from Salmonella in the UK last year.
https://www.cdc.gov/salmonella/index.html

100k cases in EU last year.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 02, 2019, 04:30:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2019, 04:25:06 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2019, 02:22:19 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:02:48 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138)

Chlorinated chicken. I tried to make this point before, but everyone just wanted to be outraged without knowing why.

Salmonella kills 450 people in the US, nobody died from Salmonella in the UK last year.
https://www.cdc.gov/salmonella/index.html

100k cases in EU last year.

as against 1.2 million in the US, which has  60% of population of EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on March 05, 2019, 06:02:20 AM
Seems to be a lot of work going on at the minute regarding the back stop.
Are they getting ready to water it down for the ERG who seem ready to come around to the idea of a time limit on it? Will the Irish government cave on it.... I suppose they can always use the threat of leaving the border open anyway as leverage
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 05, 2019, 10:54:52 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2019, 02:22:19 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:02:48 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138)

Chlorinated chicken. I tried to make this point before, but everyone just wanted to be outraged without knowing why.

Salmonella kills 450 people in the US, nobody died from Salmonella in the UK last year.
https://www.cdc.gov/salmonella/index.html

US life expectancy for men 77.3 vs EU 79.8
US life expectancy for women 81.9 vs EU 84.8

Source : Pocket World in Figures

Food quality could be part of this
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on March 05, 2019, 11:10:20 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:02:48 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138)

Chlorinated chicken. I tried to make this point before, but everyone just wanted to be outraged without knowing why.

American tries to argue that American standards are acceptable!
Any chance of finding an IDF spokesman saying their response to Palestinian violence is proportionate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 05, 2019, 11:40:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 05, 2019, 10:54:52 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 02, 2019, 02:22:19 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 02, 2019, 09:02:48 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47426138)

Chlorinated chicken. I tried to make this point before, but everyone just wanted to be outraged without knowing why.

Salmonella kills 450 people in the US, nobody died from Salmonella in the UK last year.
https://www.cdc.gov/salmonella/index.html

US life expectancy for men 77.3 vs EU 79.8
US life expectancy for women 81.9 vs EU 84.8

Source : Pocket World in Figures

Food quality could be part of this

So could gun crime. America is a pretty big shit hole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mario on March 05, 2019, 12:14:00 PM
American life expectancy is lower mainly due to obesity
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 12:15:06 PM
NI life expectancy for men 78.4 vs ROI 79.7

is this obesity, gun crime, or food quality?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 05, 2019, 12:34:37 PM
It's the accents.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 05, 2019, 01:16:29 PM
Situations
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 05, 2019, 01:19:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 12:15:06 PM
NI life expectancy for men 78.4 vs ROI 79.7

is this obesity, gun crime, or food quality?

Tayto crisps and Soda Bread.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on March 05, 2019, 01:23:28 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 12:15:06 PM
NI life expectancy for men 78.4 vs ROI 79.7

is this obesity, gun crime, or food quality?

If the figures for inner Dublin gun crime were to be excluded, the ROI figure would probably hit 99.7.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2019, 01:32:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 05, 2019, 01:19:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 12:15:06 PM
NI life expectancy for men 78.4 vs ROI 79.7

is this obesity, gun crime, or food quality?

Tayto crisps and Soda Bread.

They live longer cause they are boring cnuts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 05, 2019, 01:44:18 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 12:15:06 PM
NI life expectancy for men 78.4 vs ROI 79.7

is this obesity, gun crime, or food quality?

Ulster fryyyyyy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 01:45:23 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2019, 01:32:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 05, 2019, 01:19:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 12:15:06 PM
NI life expectancy for men 78.4 vs ROI 79.7

is this obesity, gun crime, or food quality?

Tayto crisps and Soda Bread.

They live longer cause they are boring cnuts

Pot, kettle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on March 05, 2019, 01:53:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 12:15:06 PM
NI life expectancy for men 78.4 vs ROI 79.7

is this obesity, gun crime, or food quality?

None of the above - it's the purity of the football.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 05, 2019, 03:01:56 PM
Will we get 500 pages by 29th March?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on March 05, 2019, 03:18:20 PM
Lock it on 28th March. Just before Armagedon arrives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on March 05, 2019, 04:05:03 PM
Will us Nordies hafta pay to use the board???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on March 05, 2019, 04:09:12 PM
Teresa May & the DUP kept that secret.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 05, 2019, 04:58:01 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 05, 2019, 01:16:29 PM
Situations
Trauma
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Over the Bar on March 05, 2019, 07:42:51 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 12:15:06 PM
NI life expectancy for men 78.4 vs ROI 79.7

is this obesity, gun crime, or food quality?

None of above. The absolute muck state of county football in Armagh and Derry drags the average life expectancy of men in the 6 counties down  disproportionally.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 07:50:36 PM
Statement from Eamon McCann....People Before Profit


BREXIT: VARADKAR HIDING REAL AGENDA

Armed units of the Gardai are due to be assigned to border duties on a 24 hour round the clock basis.

This is the latest development in the government's move to erect a hard border – on the Southern side. They dare not speak about this openly but there are growing signs that this is exactly what they are doing.

In January, Leo Varadkar said that in the event of a no deal Brexit there could be a need "for cameras, physical infrastructure, possibly a police presence, or an Army presence to back it up".

But he quickly rolled back on this admission when People Before Profit TDs challenged him on plans for a hard border.

The truth is that both the British and the Irish governments are preparing to erect border posts. The PSNI are recruiting over 300 extra police to deal with Brexit and the Southern government is deploying one third of new Garda recruits to the border area.

Both will claim that they never wanted a hard border but have 'no choice'.

We need to stop these moves now.

People Before Profit have inserted an amendment into the omnibus legislation passing through the Dail to force the government to make a public declaration that it will not erect a border.

The plain truth is that the peace of this island is far more important than simply protecting EU rules on a single market.

Any word on this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 07:55:53 PM
McCann has some neck complaining about this when he abstained on the anti Brexit vote in Stormont ensuring a Brexit majority.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 05, 2019, 08:01:38 PM
Only one thing for it...
Let PBP take over, then we'll all be grand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 08:19:48 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 07:55:53 PM
McCann has some neck complaining about this when he abstained on the anti Brexit vote in Stormont ensuring a Brexit majority.


So it's all Eamon's fault.....right so😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 09:44:13 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 08:19:48 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 07:55:53 PM
McCann has some neck complaining about this when he abstained on the anti Brexit vote in Stormont ensuring a Brexit majority.


So it's all Eamon's fault.....right so😂

of course, it is not all Eamon's fault. But he did his bit to bring this about and he should stand up and accept responsibility for his delinquency instead of parroting Jacob Rees Mogg.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 09:49:59 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 09:44:13 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 08:19:48 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 07:55:53 PM
McCann has some neck complaining about this when he abstained on the anti Brexit vote in Stormont ensuring a Brexit majority.


So it's all Eamon's fault.....right so😂

of course, it is not all Eamon's fault. But he did his bit to bring this about and he should stand up and accept responsibility for his delinquency instead of parroting Jacob Rees Mogg.

How exactly was Stormont voting against Brexit going to stop it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 09:56:19 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 09:49:59 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 09:44:13 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 08:19:48 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 07:55:53 PM
McCann has some neck complaining about this when he abstained on the anti Brexit vote in Stormont ensuring a Brexit majority.


So it's all Eamon's fault.....right so😂

of course, it is not all Eamon's fault. But he did his bit to bring this about and he should stand up and accept responsibility for his delinquency instead of parroting Jacob Rees Mogg.

How exactly was Stormont voting against Brexit going to stop it?

It wasn't going to stop it, but it certainly would have provided support for the backstop.
Shameful act by charlatans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 06, 2019, 08:35:06 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 09:56:19 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 09:49:59 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 09:44:13 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 05, 2019, 08:19:48 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 07:55:53 PM
McCann has some neck complaining about this when he abstained on the anti Brexit vote in Stormont ensuring a Brexit majority.


So it's all Eamon's fault.....right so😂

of course, it is not all Eamon's fault. But he did his bit to bring this about and he should stand up and accept responsibility for his delinquency instead of parroting Jacob Rees Mogg.

How exactly was Stormont voting against Brexit going to stop it?

It wasn't going to stop it, but it certainly would have provided support for the backstop.
Shameful act by charlatans.

If you're criticising Eamon then you should criticise SF as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:25:49 AM
Eamonn is a blethering fool, he can talk nonstop for hours on any subject and make no sense on any of them, just loves the sound of his own voice.

Be great craic to let him run the country for a wee while though, see how he gets on. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 09:31:03 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:25:49 AM
Eamonn is a blethering fool, he can talk nonstop for hours on any subject and make no sense on any of them, just loves the sound of his own voice.

Be great craic to let him run the country for a wee while though, see how he gets on.

Sure the gombeens north and south are doing a great job.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:41:23 AM
Jeez cant even make a semi humourous point on this board any more without some of the single-agenda-driven mafia jumping all over it within 10 seconds with their one track mantra.  :-[
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 10:47:59 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:41:23 AM
Jeez cant even make a semi humourous point on this board any more without some of the single-agenda-driven mafia jumping all over it within 10 seconds with their one track mantra.  :-[

Hope your day job is not a stand up comedian 😜
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 06, 2019, 11:40:44 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 09:31:03 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:25:49 AM
Eamonn is a blethering fool, he can talk nonstop for hours on any subject and make no sense on any of them, just loves the sound of his own voice.

Be great craic to let him run the country for a wee while though, see how he gets on.

Sure the gombeens north and south are doing a great job.

I know it's the done thing to lambaste Irish governments, but their performance would stand up to most governments around the world, and southern governments (health notwithstanding) have far out paced British rule in NI in the both the type of society created, standard of living and investment brought into the country. I wonder how talking it down all the time would ever entice soft Unionists and even nationalists to vote for a UI in the event of a border poll post-Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 11:53:00 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 10:47:59 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:41:23 AM
Jeez cant even make a semi humourous point on this board any more without some of the single-agenda-driven mafia jumping all over it within 10 seconds with their one track mantra.  :-[

Hope your day job is not a stand up comedian 😜

No, I am a full time Wankerspotter, working on commission, having a good day so far.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 06, 2019, 12:30:50 PM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 11:53:00 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 10:47:59 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:41:23 AM
Jeez cant even make a semi humourous point on this board any more without some of the single-agenda-driven mafia jumping all over it within 10 seconds with their one track mantra.  :-[

Hope your day job is not a stand up comedian 😜

No, I am a full time Wankerspotter, working on commission, having a good day so far.

:D ;D :D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on March 06, 2019, 12:34:07 PM
Quote from: weareros on March 06, 2019, 11:40:44 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 09:31:03 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:25:49 AM
Eamonn is a blethering fool, he can talk nonstop for hours on any subject and make no sense on any of them, just loves the sound of his own voice.

Be great craic to let him run the country for a wee while though, see how he gets on.

Sure the gombeens north and south are doing a great job.


I know it's the done thing to lambaste Irish governments, but their performance would stand up to most governments around the world, and southern governments (health notwithstanding) have far out paced British rule in NI in the both the type of society created, standard of living and investment brought into the country. I wonder how talking it down all the time would ever entice soft Unionists and even nationalists to vote for a UI in the event of a border poll post-Brexit.

It'll be lambasted if it doesn't pass the Omnibus Bill today.  Most criticism is just political and mostly  SF v FG and a lot of it unfair but sure if ye can't kick the Govt what can ye kick?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 06, 2019, 01:36:05 PM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/head-of-the-civil-service-or-santa-its-scare-tactics-says-sammy-wilson-over-brexit-warning-37884726.html

Sammy says the head of the Civil Service is scaremongering.


[While I've little respect for the capabilities of the civil service - when even they can see the train coming down the tracks and realise it might be a good idea to step off said tracks - you know it must be pretty clear and obvious!]


But this was of far more interest:
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/uk/sammy-wilson-accuses-top-civil-servant-of-political-motive-on-brexit-37884839.html

QuoteThe East Antrim MP added he found it difficult to believe that business, retailer and farming union members in Northern Ireland, including the NI Chamber of Commerce, support the Withdrawal Agreement.

"I find that rather odd," he said.

"Let's just take the Ulster Farmers' Union – if they had read the agreement they would actually find that state aid rules applying to Northern Ireland would mean that the EU could cap that support, in accordance with what they saw as the appropriate policy.

A direct attack on the UFU.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 02:30:48 PM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 11:53:00 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 10:47:59 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on March 06, 2019, 09:41:23 AM
Jeez cant even make a semi humourous point on this board any more without some of the single-agenda-driven mafia jumping all over it within 10 seconds with their one track mantra.  :-[

Hope your day job is not a stand up comedian 😜

No, I am a full time Wankerspotter, working on commission, having a good day so far.

Get away from in front of the mirror then😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 06, 2019, 07:21:19 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on March 06, 2019, 07:18:16 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2019, 07:55:53 PM
McCann has some neck complaining about this when he abstained on the anti Brexit vote in Stormont ensuring a Brexit majority.
The PBPA in the North campaigned for a "leave" vote in the Brexit referendum. If McCann didn't realise that if leave won that there would be a good chance that a customs border at least would apply between NI & RoI then he is either thick as four planks or he's shit stirring.

Maybe he's just smuggling 😩
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on March 06, 2019, 08:04:15 PM
What was the position of Northern Ireland Public Service Alliance (NIPSA), the biggest Trade Union in NI, on Brexit at the time of the referendum?
Here's a clue.
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/leading-trade-union-nipsa-votes-to-back-brexit-34771245.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on March 06, 2019, 08:18:04 PM
Nobody listens to NIPSA any more. Just composed of 2 political factions, more interested in fighting each other, rather than doing anything concrete for their membership.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 07, 2019, 07:57:48 AM
No deal is at least a 9% hit to GDP

If it happens Scotland could be in play. The economic rationale for NI would also collapse
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 07, 2019, 10:36:54 AM
Agreed, you are talking 10+% of a drop of GDP over the space of 2/3 years.

The people stupid enough to espouse #ProjectFear simply are not bright enough to comprehend just how f**ked things will be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 07, 2019, 10:46:18 AM
No Deal simply cannot be allowed to happen. We are so fucked if that's allowed to happen. Like riots on the streets fucked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 07, 2019, 12:42:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 07, 2019, 10:46:18 AM
No Deal simply cannot be allowed to happen. We are so fucked if that's allowed to happen. Like riots on the streets fucked.

I'm not a man for violence, but politicians would probably end up eating bullets from the angry mobs if they not just advocate but allow no deal to happen.

If enough folks lose family members to drug shortages 'cause of a no-deal, then you'll eventually get a few folks with dangerous capabilities and access to arms, and they are feeling they have little other recourse onto the c**ts that made it happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 07, 2019, 02:48:11 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 07, 2019, 10:36:54 AM
Agreed, you are talking 10+% of a drop of GDP over the space of 2/3 years.

The people stupid enough to espouse #ProjectFear simply are not bright enough to comprehend just how f**ked things will be.
NI is too fragile for an optional economic shock
Loyalist communities in particular will be shafted and very angry as is the norm against the middle class Unionist gobshites who betray them again. The DUP are hoors for this

https://virtualmethodist.blogspot.com/2009/09/coasters.html

Now the fever is high and raging;
Who would have guessed it, coasting along?
The ignorant-sick thresh about in delirium
And tear at the scabs with dirty finger-nails.
The cloud of infection hangs over the city,
A quick change of wind and it
Might spill over the leafy suburbs.
You coasted along.

John Hewitt 1969
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 07, 2019, 02:59:37 PM
Nationalists are rational. Unionists drank the Brexit Kool Aid. Brexit is an aisling.
When the economic hit happens the fantasy is dead and the people who believed it get a land.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: heganboy on March 07, 2019, 05:50:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 07, 2019, 02:59:37 PM
Nationalists are rational. Unionists drank the Brexit Kool Aid.

a bit too sweeping for my liking
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 07, 2019, 06:40:40 PM
Quote from: heganboy on March 07, 2019, 05:50:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 07, 2019, 02:59:37 PM
Nationalists are rational. Unionists drank the Brexit Kool Aid.

a bit too sweeping for my liking

Agreed. Plenty of Unionists voted remain and I'm sure a few nationalists voted leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on March 08, 2019, 09:20:00 PM
Quote from: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.
That was always likely and is a smart play by Barnier. Watching these negotiations is like men against boys at football sometimes. Lets get the popcorn ready and hope the DUP get shafted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 08, 2019, 09:25:07 PM
Quote from: keep her low this half on March 08, 2019, 09:20:00 PM
Quote from: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.
That was always likely and is a smart play by Barnier. Watching these negotiations is like men against boys at football sometimes. Lets get the popcorn ready and hope the DUP get shafted.

I would love to see this for 2 reasons:

1/ Be fantastic to watch them implode as they get shafted.
2/ Fantastic position for the 6 counties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: under the bar on March 08, 2019, 09:51:26 PM
Quote from: keep her low this half on March 08, 2019, 09:20:00 PM
Quote from: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.
That was always likely and is a smart play by Barnier. Watching these negotiations is like men against boys at football sometimes. Lets get the popcorn ready and hope the DUP get shafted.

That'll be the 2nd time Emma Little Penguin got shafted in Parliament in the past 6 months.  Jet-set Junior shafted her sideways in his office.....apparently! ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 09, 2019, 12:44:51 AM
Quote from: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.

They won't do it. May will lose the vote, and unilaterally put off Brexit for at least 3 months. She will then get shafted and the whole crack will start again, this time with the Tories being led by a harder Brexiteer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 09, 2019, 01:12:02 AM
Quote from: mouview on March 09, 2019, 12:44:51 AM
Quote from: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.

They won't do it. May will lose the vote, and unilaterally put off Brexit for at least 3 months. She will then get shafted and the whole crack will start again, this time with the Tories being led by a harder Brexiteer.

She can't unilaterally put off Brexit by 3 months. She can get the EU to agree to a postponement or she can cancel the whole thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on March 09, 2019, 09:50:16 AM
Quote from: mouview on March 09, 2019, 12:44:51 AM
Quote from: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.

They won't do it. May will lose the vote, and unilaterally put off Brexit for at least 3 months. She will then get shafted and the whole crack will start again, this time with the Tories being led by a harder Brexiteer.

Unless she resigns or there's an election, she can't be touched until next autumn (1 year after the last tory vote)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 09, 2019, 10:43:27 AM
Quote from: mouview on March 09, 2019, 12:44:51 AM
Quote from: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.

They won't do it. May will lose the vote, and unilaterally put off Brexit for at least 3 months. She will then get shafted and the whole crack will start again, this time with the Tories being led by a harder Brexiteer.

They cannot get a better deal unless they change the red lines

Garbage in, garbage out

Www.brexitoptions.co.uk

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: vallankumous on March 09, 2019, 11:48:56 AM
Quote from: mouview on March 09, 2019, 12:44:51 AM


They won't do it. May will lose the vote, and unilaterally put off Brexit for at least 3 months. She will then get shafted and the whole crack will start again, this time with the Tories being led by a harder Brexiteer.

As Tyson says "Everybody's got plans... until they get hit."

Any of those clowns climb in the ring and they'll soon see they have nothing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 09, 2019, 01:23:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 09, 2019, 12:44:51 AM
Quote from: pbat on March 08, 2019, 08:09:25 PM
Barnier offering tonight that the backstop will only apply to the north. Pressure will come now from little englanders to throw the DUP under the bus. Dodds shitting himself.

They won't do it. May will lose the vote, and unilaterally put off Brexit for at least 3 months. She will then get shafted and the whole crack will start again, this time with the Tories being led by a harder Brexiteer.

She can't be shafted until the winter. Unless she goes herself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 09, 2019, 02:00:28 PM
Could see the light and resign, or could lose a personal vote of confidence parliament-wide.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 11, 2019, 10:16:01 PM
Brits getting their legally binding changes? Or what?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 11, 2019, 10:22:22 PM
Time bounding the backstop which was what was proposed in the first place? (Or something like that...)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 11, 2019, 10:38:20 PM
Won't carry the house. ERG won't go for it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on March 11, 2019, 11:01:37 PM
No change to withdrawal agreement.  A political fudge which is ultimately meaningless - says if either side is not making reasonable endeavours to agree trade deal, it can be brought to arbitration. if arbitration agrees one side isn't acting in good faith (however that could be proven!), then the other side can walk away. Or something....
If it gets through the commons, its only because ERG/DUP were looking for an excuse to back it rather than take the leap into no-deal territory.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 11, 2019, 11:07:38 PM
Something will go through, the EU have said that's it, nothing else will be changed. Back to London, back it or it's a no deal agreement which won't happen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 11, 2019, 11:29:14 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

Seems to be the case... you wouldn't like to be relying on the DUP for anything though that's for sure!!

Enjoyed the "First Minister of Nowhere" comment this evening.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:54:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 11, 2019, 11:29:14 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

Seems to be the case... you wouldn't like to be relying on the DUP for anything though that's for sure!!

Enjoyed the "First Minister of Nowhere" comment this evening.

Cue frantic discussions overnight with the orange order, they scuppered the Stormont deal at the 11th hour.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 12, 2019, 09:32:06 AM
Well them / UVF.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 09:34:53 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.
. It's a bit like the last slow set at the Slaughtneil disco at this stage. The DUP has run out of options. If the party wants the ride it has to take May's deal.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 12, 2019, 09:54:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

JRM saying as much this morning, Wee Sammy wants more time to get feedback from the Attorney General and that other legal eagle from Donaghadee who supplies doormen to the finest North Down establishments.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: oakleaflad on March 12, 2019, 09:55:33 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 09:34:53 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.
. It's a bit like the last slow set at the Slaughtneil disco at this stage. The DUP has run out of options. If the party wants the ride it has to take May's deal.
All that's left then is to stand for Amhrán na bhFiann
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 12, 2019, 10:04:08 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 09:34:53 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.
. It's a bit like the last slow set at the Slaughtneil disco at this stage. The DUP has run out of options. If the party wants the ride it has to take May's deal.

As pieces of analysis go. This is up there with the very best.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 10:13:19 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 12, 2019, 09:54:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

JRM saying as much this morning, Wee Sammy wants more time to get feedback from the Attorney General and that other legal eagle from Donaghadee who supplies doormen to the finest North Down establishments.
If the DUP accept it they  will bring a good few ERG jihadis along. May has a working majority of 3.
If they say no there will be another referendum and Brexit will die.
So it's real senior hurling 

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 12, 2019, 10:47:19 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 12, 2019, 09:54:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

JRM saying as much this morning, Wee Sammy wants more time to get feedback from the Attorney General and that other legal eagle from Donaghadee who supplies doormen to the finest North Down establishments.

DUPUDA  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 10:48:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 10:13:19 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 12, 2019, 09:54:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

JRM saying as much this morning, Wee Sammy wants more time to get feedback from the Attorney General and that other legal eagle from Donaghadee who supplies doormen to the finest North Down establishments.
If the DUP accept it they  will bring a good few ERG jihadis along. May has a working majority of 3.
If they say no there will be another referendum and Brexit will die.
So it's real senior hurling

It's bizarre to think that possibly the biggest decision that the UK has made since WW2 lies in the hands of the DUP. By a sheer accident of numbers they have had way more influence during this entire process than they ought to have had. 

Will they side with English nationalism and go against all of the advice of local business leaders, farmers, economists and the head of civil service? If they say no again then I'm not sure exactly where it leaves them since we could be facing into an extension of article 50 and a general election which would see them ousted from power. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 11:04:38 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 10:48:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 10:13:19 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 12, 2019, 09:54:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

JRM saying as much this morning, Wee Sammy wants more time to get feedback from the Attorney General and that other legal eagle from Donaghadee who supplies doormen to the finest North Down establishments.
If the DUP accept it they  will bring a good few ERG jihadis along. May has a working majority of 3.
If they say no there will be another referendum and Brexit will die.
So it's real senior hurling

It's bizarre to think that possibly the biggest decision that the UK has made since WW2 lies in the hands of the DUP. By a sheer accident of numbers they have had way more influence during this entire process than they ought to have had. 

Will they side with English nationalism and go against all of the advice of local business leaders, farmers, economists and the head of civil service? If they say no again then I'm not sure exactly where it leaves them since we could be facing into an extension of article 50 and a general election which would see them ousted from power.

Again . . . where the f**k are Sinn Fein??!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on March 12, 2019, 11:19:05 AM
Cox, the AG, has said the UK still cannot unilaterally withdraw. A dead duck?

Quote
However, the legal risk remains unchanged that if through no such demonstrable failure of either
party, but simply because of intractable differences, that situation does arise, the United Kingdom
would have, at least while the fundamental circumstances remained the same, no internationally
lawful means of exiting the Protocol's arrangements, save by agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 11:28:49 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on March 12, 2019, 11:19:05 AM
Cox, the AG, has said the UK still cannot unilaterally withdraw. A dead duck?

Quote
However, the legal risk remains unchanged that if through no such demonstrable failure of either
party, but simply because of intractable differences, that situation does arise, the United Kingdom
would have, at least while the fundamental circumstances remained the same, no internationally
lawful means of exiting the Protocol's arrangements, save by agreement.
Of course they can't

What they wanted was legally, politically and practically impossible.
May got an ok  deal for someone who wanted the red lines . She had to give up a lot to get it but that is what she negotiated.
The ERG are insane.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 11:29:22 AM
It is looking increasingly likely that the deal will not pass.

How long before English nationalists begin directing their anger towards Ireland for thwarting Brexit altogether if as now looks likely, Brexit will be at the very minimum delayed. The blame game will thus begin and those same English nationalsits will begin questioning how 6 counties in Ireland appear to have scuppered their fantasies.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 11:31:35 AM
The deal is definitely not passing Cox has just put the tin hat on it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 12, 2019, 11:34:31 AM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 11:04:38 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 10:48:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 10:13:19 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 12, 2019, 09:54:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

JRM saying as much this morning, Wee Sammy wants more time to get feedback from the Attorney General and that other legal eagle from Donaghadee who supplies doormen to the finest North Down establishments.
If the DUP accept it they  will bring a good few ERG jihadis along. May has a working majority of 3.
If they say no there will be another referendum and Brexit will die.
So it's real senior hurling

It's bizarre to think that possibly the biggest decision that the UK has made since WW2 lies in the hands of the DUP. By a sheer accident of numbers they have had way more influence during this entire process than they ought to have had. 

Will they side with English nationalism and go against all of the advice of local business leaders, farmers, economists and the head of civil service? If they say no again then I'm not sure exactly where it leaves them since we could be facing into an extension of article 50 and a general election which would see them ousted from power.

Again . . . where the f**k are Sinn Fein??!!!

Martina Anderson was front row centre in Brussels when Barnier and Mayhem were speaking.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 11:38:13 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 12, 2019, 11:34:31 AM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 11:04:38 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 10:48:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 10:13:19 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 12, 2019, 09:54:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

JRM saying as much this morning, Wee Sammy wants more time to get feedback from the Attorney General and that other legal eagle from Donaghadee who supplies doormen to the finest North Down establishments.
If the DUP accept it they  will bring a good few ERG jihadis along. May has a working majority of 3.
If they say no there will be another referendum and Brexit will die.
So it's real senior hurling

It's bizarre to think that possibly the biggest decision that the UK has made since WW2 lies in the hands of the DUP. By a sheer accident of numbers they have had way more influence during this entire process than they ought to have had. 

Will they side with English nationalism and go against all of the advice of local business leaders, farmers, economists and the head of civil service? If they say no again then I'm not sure exactly where it leaves them since we could be facing into an extension of article 50 and a general election which would see them ousted from power.

Again . . . where the f**k are Sinn Fein??!!!

Martina Anderson was front row centre in Brussels when Barnier and Mayhem were speaking.

Oh well then they're doing a great job!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 11:38:46 AM
Brexit is like catfishing on the internet
A lonely gobshite in Ireland meets an attractive lady online . She lives in Nigeria
She is very attractive. He falls in love with her . Pays her bills and then flies out to meet her.
But she doesn't exist.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkLC2mj5wvE

but you're not there
No you're not real
Still I believe
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on March 12, 2019, 11:41:25 AM
Remainers will be happy with what Cox has just said - it will be front and centre after an extension comes into play.

DUP cant back the new deal - once the GE happens they will be surplus to requirements.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 11:42:16 AM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 11:38:13 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 12, 2019, 11:34:31 AM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 11:04:38 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 10:48:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 10:13:19 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 12, 2019, 09:54:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 11, 2019, 11:26:21 PM
It looks like it effectively boils down to whether the DUP can accept it or not.

JRM saying as much this morning, Wee Sammy wants more time to get feedback from the Attorney General and that other legal eagle from Donaghadee who supplies doormen to the finest North Down establishments.
If the DUP accept it they  will bring a good few ERG jihadis along. May has a working majority of 3.
If they say no there will be another referendum and Brexit will die.
So it's real senior hurling

It's bizarre to think that possibly the biggest decision that the UK has made since WW2 lies in the hands of the DUP. By a sheer accident of numbers they have had way more influence during this entire process than they ought to have had. 

Will they side with English nationalism and go against all of the advice of local business leaders, farmers, economists and the head of civil service? If they say no again then I'm not sure exactly where it leaves them since we could be facing into an extension of article 50 and a general election which would see them ousted from power.

Again . . . where the f**k are Sinn Fein??!!!

Martina Anderson was front row centre in Brussels when Barnier and Mayhem were speaking.

Oh well then they're doing a great job!!

Team Ireland handed  the Brits their arse on a plate this time around
The Shinners were part of the effort. ITV and elsewhere   
Everybody contributed
It's a pity Fearon wasn't around to see a 32 county effort
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 12, 2019, 12:12:01 PM
If this withdrawal deal fails - everyone is a loser. There is nothing to celebrate. Looking at this as winners and losers is unhelpful.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 12:16:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 12, 2019, 12:12:01 PM
If this withdrawal deal fails - everyone is a loser. There is nothing to celebrate. Looking at this as winners and losers is unhelpful.

If it fails no version of Brexit can be approved by Parliament. There will be a second referendum
the time for humming and hawing is over. If tories want Brexit they have to vote for it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 12, 2019, 12:30:34 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 11:38:13 AM
Oh well then they're doing a great job!!

Depends on the job they are trying to do.

On the assumption that a hard Brexit leaves a United Ireland infinitely more likely to occur within the next 5 years, if that is Sinn Fein's primary aim, over peoples economic well being, then you gotta say, well played.

As Napoleon said; do not interrupt your enemy when they are making a mistake.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 01:17:23 PM
ERG have rejected the latest fudge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 01:19:20 PM
Seems like such an eternity since Nigel Farage triumphantly declared after the referendum that this would be their independence day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 01:17:23 PM
ERG have rejected the latest fudge.
they want a No deal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 01:26:19 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 01:17:23 PM
ERG have rejected the latest fudge.
they want a No deal

They'd be fine with that, yes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on March 12, 2019, 01:28:21 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 01:26:19 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 01:17:23 PM
ERG have rejected the latest fudge.
they want a No deal

They'd be fine with that, yes.

Government depending on the DUP here to make the numbers work for this latest deal. DUP being very quiet this morning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 12, 2019, 01:34:49 PM
How many votes are the ERG? If they have said they will reject it isn't a majority impossible?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 12, 2019, 01:36:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 12, 2019, 01:34:49 PM
How many votes are the ERG? If they have said they will reject it isn't a majority impossible?

Yip.

Unless Tessy can convince enough Labour/SNP/other MPs to come across.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 12, 2019, 02:21:59 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).

Who are the 1922 committee? General election...the soaps haven't a patch on this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on March 12, 2019, 02:31:53 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 12, 2019, 02:21:59 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).

Who are the 1922 committee? General election...the soaps haven't a patch on this.

Heard the 1922 committee are basically the Free Masons. Set up by Churchill himself.

They own the big house that's in Eyes Wide Shut.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 02:32:34 PM
DUP say no again, ERG will not vote in favour, this deal is doomed. May's time could be numbered.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 02:34:35 PM
The DUP statement is a lot of mumbo jumbo which could have been succintly summarised into one word.....NO!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 02:37:24 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).
17 days to go. The biggest change in UK economic circumstances since WW2 and they still can't decide.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 02:38:28 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).

May isn't leading them into another GE so who gets it?? Boris!!?? Jesus wept!

They'll have to extend article 50 to allow for a GE surely?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 12, 2019, 03:19:09 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 02:34:35 PM
The DUP statement is a lot of mumbo jumbo which could have been succintly summarised into one word.....NO!
NO is about the only word in their Vocabulary.
I presume they really want a No Deal Exit so the 6 Cos can be separated further from the rest of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 12, 2019, 03:24:47 PM
It's the only way they can "negotiate". No no no never etc etc. They never change.

I suspect they want a trump style wall between north and south. Really all they seem to be doing is trying to use the situation to distance north and south as much as possible. Not really working out for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 12, 2019, 03:42:17 PM
Strangely, astonishingly, a small but growing number of those who voted Against the last time have now switched sides. Conflicting reports as to which way the ERG are going to vote, they're meeting later. They want in their heart and soul to vote Against but now look increasingly worried that Brexit might not happen at all or be indeterminately delayed. Could momentum yet grow to carry the vote? PPs haven't budged from 1/50 'No' for most of the day. GE for this year, now looking a very strong possibility, nicely priced at 5/4.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 12, 2019, 03:47:01 PM
I expect May's message to them is "this deal or most likely no Brexit"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 03:49:39 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 12, 2019, 03:42:17 PM
Strangely, astonishingly, a small but growing number of those who voted Against the last time have now switched sides. Conflicting reports as to which way the ERG are going to vote, they're meeting later. They want in their heart and soul to vote Against but now look increasingly worried that Brexit might not happen at all or be indeterminately delayed. Could momentum yet grow to carry the vote? PPs haven't budged from 1/50 'No' for most of the day. GE for this year, now looking a very strong possibility, nicely priced at 5/4.
There is no other deal possible unless they change the red lines

www.brexitoptions.co.uk

This is it for Brexit

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 12, 2019, 03:50:19 PM
Wee Sommy not going to agree to anything. Typical DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on March 12, 2019, 03:51:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 02:34:35 PM
The DUP statement is a lot of mumbo jumbo which could have been succintly summarised into one word.....NO!

Ulster says NO!

Nay!!

Never!!!

No nay never no more.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lynchbhoy on March 12, 2019, 04:03:17 PM
If the spinners were any good, now is the time to go after reunification. 

The British gov and people would do anything to get a Brexit deal... they would be quite happy to give back the 6 counties...

Plus a deal now could gain even more in annual payoff over next 25 years from British gov as a sustainment payoff and sweetener.

In fact our Irish gov should be chasing this as much as sf... esp as research has shown that a reunited Ireland would be a bigger investment and economic entity than the divided Ireland is now

The British people should be included in a referendum to see whether they want to keep the north of Ireland... I'd expect a resounding no!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
If a General Election is called it's Corbyn + 2nd Referendum v. New Tory leader and possible No Deal Brexit. My personal hope is that the Tories once again overestimate the strength of their hand, blame May and go for the election. I could see many who don't like Corbyn voting for Labour in order to get a second referendum....mitigating his "polarising" nature. Potentially interesting times ahead.

More likely is that the Tories realise this, f**k over the DUP and accept the deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 12, 2019, 04:10:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
If a General Election is called it's Corbyn + 2nd Referendum v. New Tory leader and possible No Deal Brexit. My personal hope is that the Tories once again overestimate the strength of their hand, blame May and go for the election. I could see many who don't like Corbyn voting for Labour in order to get a second referendum....mitigating his "polarising" nature. Potentially interesting times ahead.

More likely is that the Tories realise this, f**k over the DUP and accept the deal.

Still unlikely to have the numbers though. Most likely the new Independent Group will also vote the deal down and Labour rebels would be mortally afraid of the whip this time and vote on party lines.

Lynchboy, forget about reunification, Bertie Ahern said a while back it would bankrupt us trying to support them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 12, 2019, 04:13:31 PM
Bertie could use some of his winnings on the horses to help out :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 12, 2019, 04:10:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
If a General Election is called it's Corbyn + 2nd Referendum v. New Tory leader and possible No Deal Brexit. My personal hope is that the Tories once again overestimate the strength of their hand, blame May and go for the election. I could see many who don't like Corbyn voting for Labour in order to get a second referendum....mitigating his "polarising" nature. Potentially interesting times ahead.

More likely is that the Tories realise this, f**k over the DUP and accept the deal.

Still unlikely to have the numbers though. Most likely the new Independent Group will also vote the deal down and Labour rebels would be mortally afraid of the whip this time and vote on party lines.

Lynchboy, forget about reunification, Bertie Ahern said a while back it would bankrupt us trying to support them.

Reunification is going to happen. It's only a matter of when. Brexit is speeding it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lynchbhoy on March 12, 2019, 04:20:58 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 12, 2019, 04:10:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
If a General Election is called it's Corbyn + 2nd Referendum v. New Tory leader and possible No Deal Brexit. My personal hope is that the Tories once again overestimate the strength of their hand, blame May and go for the election. I could see many who don't like Corbyn voting for Labour in order to get a second referendum....mitigating his "polarising" nature. Potentially interesting times ahead.

More likely is that the Tories realise this, f**k over the DUP and accept the deal.

Still unlikely to have the numbers though. Most likely the new Independent Group will also vote the deal down and Labour rebels would be mortally afraid of the whip this time and vote on party lines.

Lynchboy, forget about reunification, Bertie Ahern said a while back it would bankrupt us trying to support them.

A good few research findings I've read over the past couple of years would fly in the face of that completely...

Plus you are quoting Bertie!!!!!
Only if it was about himself he'd give a feck. Why would he want reunification... it would supersede the GFA and he wouldn't continue to have his meal ticket as guest speaker on how he created the GFA.

Any reunification would be subsidised by British gov and EU for a good number of years. As was the case for post ww2 Germany and Japan.
Right now we have all the aces on our hand, the British want Brexit but can't because of 6 counties, EU want Brexit on their terms but can't because of 6 counties... reunification could be the long term backstop replacement and we get paid of massively for it!!
Plus most of the unionist/loyalist scumbags will head over to live in Blighty.
The decent non Irish supporting ones will stay.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on March 12, 2019, 04:24:46 PM
Just really looking forward to those DUP scumbags being thrown under the bus ... matter of time now  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 12, 2019, 04:25:46 PM
Quote from: red hander on March 12, 2019, 04:24:46 PM
Just really looking forward to those DUP scumbags being thrown under the bus ... matter of time now  ;D

Is there a bus big enough?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 12, 2019, 05:46:30 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 12, 2019, 04:10:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
If a General Election is called it's Corbyn + 2nd Referendum v. New Tory leader and possible No Deal Brexit. My personal hope is that the Tories once again overestimate the strength of their hand, blame May and go for the election. I could see many who don't like Corbyn voting for Labour in order to get a second referendum....mitigating his "polarising" nature. Potentially interesting times ahead.

More likely is that the Tories realise this, f**k over the DUP and accept the deal.

Still unlikely to have the numbers though. Most likely the new Independent Group will also vote the deal down and Labour rebels would be mortally afraid of the whip this time and vote on party lines.

Lynchboy, forget about reunification, Bertie Ahern said a while back it would bankrupt us trying to support them.

Reunification is going to happen. It's only a matter of when. Brexit is speeding it up.

Hope so anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lynchbhoy on March 12, 2019, 05:49:57 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 12, 2019, 04:10:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
If a General Election is called it's Corbyn + 2nd Referendum v. New Tory leader and possible No Deal Brexit. My personal hope is that the Tories once again overestimate the strength of their hand, blame May and go for the election. I could see many who don't like Corbyn voting for Labour in order to get a second referendum....mitigating his "polarising" nature. Potentially interesting times ahead.

More likely is that the Tories realise this, f**k over the DUP and accept the deal.

Still unlikely to have the numbers though. Most likely the new Independent Group will also vote the deal down and Labour rebels would be mortally afraid of the whip this time and vote on party lines.

Lynchboy, forget about reunification, Bertie Ahern said a while back it would bankrupt us trying to support them.

Reunification is going to happen. It's only a matter of when. Brexit is speeding it up.
It would see lol that way Seanie.

I think now that we are in a v string position of leverage we should use it and get as big a payoff for the useless lazy dole and benefit lovin hoors as we possibly can whilewe are in a position of power!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 12, 2019, 07:12:51 PM
Going down big. What's she going to say in the wake of it....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 12, 2019, 07:23:27 PM
149 majority against
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on March 12, 2019, 07:25:00 PM
according to twitter

In favour of the deal: 242 Against the deal: 391
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 12, 2019, 07:26:32 PM
Wonder how DUP will vote tomorrow on if the UK should leave with no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 12, 2019, 07:37:58 PM
Voting on a no deal... Sure no deal is the default position at the moment?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on March 12, 2019, 07:50:20 PM
I think it's going to be no deal by accident at this stage. They'll vote against leaving with no deal tomorrow, but they'll only vote for a short extension on Thursday - the EU will say "no, it's 21 months or nothing" and the UK will run out of time by the 29th March to convince enough MPs to agree to a longer extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 12, 2019, 07:54:03 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 12, 2019, 07:26:32 PM
Wonder how DUP will vote tomorrow on if the UK should leave with no deal.

Dodds on Sky trying to get Stormont, with a petition of concern no doubt, to control the backstop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 08:01:03 PM
Dodd's has said he wants to keep no deal on the table, they would be happy if there was a wall went up on the border in 2 weeks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 12, 2019, 08:02:48 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 12, 2019, 07:37:58 PM
Voting on a no deal... Sure no deal is the default position at the moment?

They had intended 3 votes this week - if May's fails, they will vote on No Deal, if that fails, they will vote on a extension, likely 2 months (which EU has to agree to). If all that fails, then they are  back in default position and will crash out - tho, May could yet make one more attempt to get her deal through.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 12, 2019, 08:13:35 PM
They'll call a GE, reason enough for the EU to give extension. Irish influence with Brussels in this could be key.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on March 12, 2019, 08:18:49 PM
It must feel great for the little englanders to have taken back control..........and then handed it over to a tiny minority of right wing religious nutjob paddies  ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 12, 2019, 08:21:42 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 08:01:03 PM
Dodd's has said he wants to keep no deal on the table, they would be happy if there was a wall went up on the border in 2 weeks.
I suspect that was their dearest hope all along.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 12, 2019, 08:22:09 PM
Corbyn is not doing himself any favours by not commenting on Brexit. Completely useless/clueless
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 08:28:42 PM
Quote from: dec on March 12, 2019, 07:25:00 PM
according to twitter

In favour of the deal: 242 Against the deal: 391
There is no majority for any form of Brexit .. I
Because it is f**king stupid and hurts the economy. The people who voted Leave were lied to

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1071013456948707328


https://mobile.twitter.com/davemacladd/status/1011636382786314240

They might have to cancel Article 50 and give it a few years.
The UK is paralysed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 12, 2019, 08:36:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 08:28:42 PM
Quote from: dec on March 12, 2019, 07:25:00 PM
according to twitter

In favour of the deal: 242 Against the deal: 391
There is no majority for any form of Brexit .. I
Because it is f**king stupid and hurts the economy. The people who voted Leave were lied to

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1071013456948707328


https://mobile.twitter.com/davemacladd/status/1011636382786314240

They might have to cancel Article 50 and give it a few years.
The UK is paralysed.

If it is cancelled now I don't think there will be an appetite for another one for this generation anyway.


Everyone could see the damage it would do to the economy.


The brexiteers started off my saying we can take back control of immigration.

No they have been accused of being racist they have now changed it saying we can make our own rules.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 12, 2019, 08:41:49 PM
Have the eu not basically said they can't cancel it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on March 12, 2019, 09:04:21 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 12, 2019, 08:41:49 PM
Have the eu not basically said they can't cancel it?

The uk can unilaterally revoke article 50 which would mean staying in the eu. Vince cable was calling for that today.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 12, 2019, 09:18:08 PM
It has just been one big massive shit show for too long. I would say there would be a lot of hatred for the government if the last 2+ years were for absolutely nothing.

The British government has that outdated mentality where they are going to pretend they are right when they know they are wrong and think it would be a sign of weakness to end Brexit and remain in the union.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 12, 2019, 09:37:28 PM
If I understood May's statement correctly, does this mean the path is now open to delaying Brexit, which could create enough space for a referendum on the deal? If she's a closet remainer, then her tactic might have been to be seen to exhaust every effort to get the best possible deal through parliament (which was never going to fly) and then put a no-deal/remain choice to the voters to break the logjam.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on March 12, 2019, 09:41:03 PM
I think that would display a level of tactical nouse and foresight that May does not appear to possess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 12, 2019, 09:55:47 PM
Tomorrow they are going to announce the proposed "no deal" customs duties. This would determine the fate of whole industries.
Say you are in Tyrone and made widgets which you sell throughout Ireland,  if they put zero duty on widgets while the EU has a duty on widgets then you are banjaxed in 2 weeks time. If Hammond was cute he'd pick a couple of things that would put the heat under the DUP to vote against "no deal".

Strange times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 12, 2019, 10:26:33 PM
Has boris Johnson ever visited crossmaglen? Just watching a clip on Twitter where hermon asks him this and he says he has. Has to be a lie?

Reminds me a bit of the guy on the Liverpool thread talking about 8 bars singing Munich songs. I.e. completely made up and I would like to se evidence...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 12, 2019, 10:39:03 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 12, 2019, 10:26:33 PM
Has boris Johnson ever visited crossmaglen? Just watching a clip on Twitter where hermon asks him this and he says he has. Has to be a lie?

I doubt it. Has Hermon?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 12, 2019, 10:40:15 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 12, 2019, 10:39:03 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 12, 2019, 10:26:33 PM
Has boris Johnson ever visited crossmaglen? Just watching a clip on Twitter where hermon asks him this and he says he has. Has to be a lie?

I doubt it. Has Hermon?

Just her hubby
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 10:47:19 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 12, 2019, 09:55:47 PM
Tomorrow they are going to announce the proposed "no deal" customs duties. This would determine the fate of whole industries.
Say you are in Tyrone and made widgets which you sell throughout Ireland,  if they put zero duty on widgets while the EU has a duty on widgets then you are banjaxed in 2 weeks time. If Hammond was cute he'd pick a couple of things that would put the heat under the DUP to vote against "no deal".

Strange times.

But we know agriculture is fucked and so do they... It's totally crazy.

Another referendum is the only way to go but Corbyn has fucked that out because he's a Brexiteer. It's an absolute shambles!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 12, 2019, 10:53:22 PM
Here's what I don't understand. How come the leavers are so well organized in Parliament? They even have a name, ERG, and something of a structure and a brand going. How come the remainers can't get their sh1t together the same way? The independent group, the Lib Dems, the SNP, the others, and the remainer Tories should surely be able to get together and form a coherent group with a bit of strategy behind it. It's not like there's any point in waiting for Corbyn to show any leadership in that direction.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 12, 2019, 11:08:33 PM
This is what I am not getting, how are the DUP continually blaming SF for the collapse of power-sharing when it was the DUP that caused it with them continual f*ck ups!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 12, 2019, 11:39:26 PM
maybe we should invite  Boris and Arlene to the Armagh/Fermanagh game in Cross'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 11:45:21 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 12, 2019, 10:53:22 PM
Here's what I don't understand. How come the leavers are so well organized in Parliament? They even have a name, ERG, and something of a structure and a brand going. How come the remainers can't get their sh1t together the same way? The independent group, the Lib Dems, the SNP, the others, and the remainer Tories should surely be able to get together and form a coherent group with a bit of strategy behind it. It's not like there's any point in waiting for Corbyn to show any leadership in that direction.

You cannot be serious!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: moysider on March 12, 2019, 11:57:03 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 12, 2019, 10:53:22 PM
Here's what I don't understand. How come the leavers are so well organized in Parliament? They even have a name, ERG, and something of a structure and a brand going. How come the remainers can't get their sh1t together the same way? The independent group, the Lib Dems, the SNP, the others, and the remainer Tories should surely be able to get together and form a coherent group with a bit of strategy behind it. It's not like there's any point in waiting for Corbyn to show any leadership in that direction.

Corbyn is a Brexiteer as well. I'm a bit confused here. The people voted to leave. The leavers have democracy in their favour. No point having a vote if you don't respect the result. At the end of the day that is the bottom line.
There is no way Government can ignore the result of a referendum - even if that result causes problems unforeseen.
The impasse now is not something the voters factored in I suspect. Saying that if there was a second ref. I think leave would win again tbh. It's human nature to get entrenched. May would be scapegoated, and the people would be reassured likes of Boris would put EU and Ireland in their place kind of shite, and UK would leave on their own terms. That would be the spin on things imo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 13, 2019, 12:31:38 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 11:45:21 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 12, 2019, 10:53:22 PM
Here's what I don't understand. How come the leavers are so well organized in Parliament? They even have a name, ERG, and something of a structure and a brand going. How come the remainers can't get their sh1t together the same way? The independent group, the Lib Dems, the SNP, the others, and the remainer Tories should surely be able to get together and form a coherent group with a bit of strategy behind it. It's not like there's any point in waiting for Corbyn to show any leadership in that direction.

You cannot be serious!

I'm deadly serious.

"The ERG acts as a party within a party. It has its own chief whip (Mark Francois) as well as its own leader (Mr Rees-Mogg) and deputy (Steve Baker). It meets regularly to decide its line and sends delegations to Downing Street to lay down the law to the prime minister. ERG members increasingly identify themselves as ERGers rather than mere Conservatives when they appear on television."

https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/02/28/the-group-that-broke-british-politics
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 13, 2019, 07:46:42 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 12, 2019, 10:39:03 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 12, 2019, 10:26:33 PM
Has boris Johnson ever visited crossmaglen? Just watching a clip on Twitter where hermon asks him this and he says he has. Has to be a lie?

I doubt it. Has Hermon?

Not the point. Yet another bare faced lie by Johnson no doubt.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 13, 2019, 07:49:43 AM
Eamonn the question is not why are the remainers so well organised it's why the leavers are not.

I suspect it's all  different reasons for leaving ranging from make the country great to I can make a fortune on this even if other people suffer and there will be some legitimate reasons in there. Somewhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:59:21 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?

No deal brexit = no tariffs on imports in NI from ROI. But tariffs are applied into rest of GB. For example cars are subject to just over 10%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on March 13, 2019, 09:05:38 AM
I thought Labour were supporting a second referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 13, 2019, 09:06:26 AM
Shouldn't really matter a whole lot for cars sure the South are importing from the North like mad!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 13, 2019, 09:17:36 AM
The Tories have fallen apart
There should be a General Election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 13, 2019, 09:17:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:59:21 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?

No deal brexit = no tariffs on imports in NI from ROI. But tariffs are applied into rest of GB. For example cars are subject to just over 10%.

Smugglers charter that.

No tariffs from the 26 into the 6, a little bit of doctoring of paperwork and hey presto straight onto the boat at Larne with a PONI (Do they still exist I wonder) sticker on it, no tariffs then into GB..

They really haven't thought that one out, have they?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 09:26:54 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 13, 2019, 12:31:38 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 12, 2019, 11:45:21 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 12, 2019, 10:53:22 PM
Here's what I don't understand. How come the leavers are so well organized in Parliament? They even have a name, ERG, and something of a structure and a brand going. How come the remainers can't get their sh1t together the same way? The independent group, the Lib Dems, the SNP, the others, and the remainer Tories should surely be able to get together and form a coherent group with a bit of strategy behind it. It's not like there's any point in waiting for Corbyn to show any leadership in that direction.

You cannot be serious!

I'm deadly serious.

"The ERG acts as a party within a party. It has its own chief whip (Mark Francois) as well as its own leader (Mr Rees-Mogg) and deputy (Steve Baker). It meets regularly to decide its line and sends delegations to Downing Street to lay down the law to the prime minister. ERG members increasingly identify themselves as ERGers rather than mere Conservatives when they appear on television."

https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/02/28/the-group-that-broke-british-politics

All leavers aren't ERG members, so what you really mean the group of ideological hard line Brexiteers. As for having a 'brand' I poresume you are referring to the rule Brittania mindset that they exhibit as I can't think of any other unique characteristics which they have.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 09:32:21 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:59:21 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?

No deal brexit = no tariffs on imports in NI from ROI. But tariffs are applied into rest of GB. For example cars are subject to just over 10%.

Just another part of the clusterfuck then
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on March 13, 2019, 09:43:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

Wait till you are old enough to drive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 09:44:57 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 09:32:21 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:59:21 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?

No deal brexit = no tariffs on imports in NI from ROI. But tariffs are applied into rest of GB. For example cars are subject to just over 10%.

Just another part of the clusterfuck then

Ireland would become a smugglers haven, they really haven't thought this out at all. EU knows that a no deal won't happen and they haven't blinked, surely not even the imbeciles in Westminster would face the wrath of a raging public and allow a no deal. There would be civil unrest everywhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on March 13, 2019, 10:09:09 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 09:44:57 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 09:32:21 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:59:21 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?

No deal brexit = no tariffs on imports in NI from ROI. But tariffs are applied into rest of GB. For example cars are subject to just over 10%.

Just another part of the clusterfuck then

Ireland would become a smugglers haven, they really haven't thought this out at all. EU knows that a no deal won't happen and they haven't blinked, surely not even the imbeciles in Westminster would face the wrath of a raging public and allow a no deal. There would be civil unrest everywhere.

If the EU were to allow tariff free trade from north to south, surely these goods would have to be of EU standard?

If the EU was to change the standard then the north have to ensure their goods to the south would be to the new EU standard also? Almost like not leaving then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 10:16:50 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on March 13, 2019, 10:09:09 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 09:44:57 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 09:32:21 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:59:21 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?

No deal brexit = no tariffs on imports in NI from ROI. But tariffs are applied into rest of GB. For example cars are subject to just over 10%.

Just another part of the clusterfuck then

Ireland would become a smugglers haven, they really haven't thought this out at all. EU knows that a no deal won't happen and they haven't blinked, surely not even the imbeciles in Westminster would face the wrath of a raging public and allow a no deal. There would be civil unrest everywhere.

If the EU were to allow tariff free trade from north to south, surely these goods would have to be of EU standard?

If the EU was to change the standard then the north have to ensure their goods to the south would be to the new EU standard also? Almost like not leaving then.

The EU will not be changing any standard requirements it would defeat the integrity of the single market.

This no deal scenario is a red herring anyway hence why there has been little planning for it by the UK government. Boris Johnson just openly indicated what their entire negotiating strategy was by saying that they intend to take it down to the 11th hour in the hope that the EU will change tack. Genius.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 10:42:39 AM
As for the DUP, the business, agri and SME sector must be up in arms over their role in this whole process.

In the space of just over 12 months, the north has gone from having a position of effectively being offered a best of both worlds economic scenario to potentially being a holding shop for illegal trade into the UK.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 13, 2019, 10:48:06 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 10:16:50 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on March 13, 2019, 10:09:09 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 09:44:57 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 09:32:21 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:59:21 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?

No deal brexit = no tariffs on imports in NI from ROI. But tariffs are applied into rest of GB. For example cars are subject to just over 10%.

Just another part of the clusterfuck then

Ireland would become a smugglers haven, they really haven't thought this out at all. EU knows that a no deal won't happen and they haven't blinked, surely not even the imbeciles in Westminster would face the wrath of a raging public and allow a no deal. There would be civil unrest everywhere.

If the EU were to allow tariff free trade from north to south, surely these goods would have to be of EU standard?

If the EU was to change the standard then the north have to ensure their goods to the south would be to the new EU standard also? Almost like not leaving then.

The EU will not be changing any standard requirements it would defeat the integrity of the single market.

This no deal scenario is a red herring anyway hence why there has been little planning for it by the UK government. Boris Johnson just openly indicated what their entire negotiating strategy was by saying that they intend to take it down to the 11th hour in the hope that the EU will change tack. Genius.

Exactly, no third chance. Extension not going to be given for any old reason either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 13, 2019, 10:49:28 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 10:16:50 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on March 13, 2019, 10:09:09 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 09:44:57 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 09:32:21 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:59:21 AM
Quote from: Taylor on March 13, 2019, 08:50:04 AM
Quote from: trailer on March 13, 2019, 08:32:21 AM
Anyone any idea if I can buy a car in NI and just drive away at it in GB?
Does anyone understand the outworkings of what they have announced this morning?

What was announced this morning trailer?

No deal brexit = no tariffs on imports in NI from ROI. But tariffs are applied into rest of GB. For example cars are subject to just over 10%.

Just another part of the clusterfuck then

Ireland would become a smugglers haven, they really haven't thought this out at all. EU knows that a no deal won't happen and they haven't blinked, surely not even the imbeciles in Westminster would face the wrath of a raging public and allow a no deal. There would be civil unrest everywhere.

If the EU were to allow tariff free trade from north to south, surely these goods would have to be of EU standard?

If the EU was to change the standard then the north have to ensure their goods to the south would be to the new EU standard also? Almost like not leaving then.

The EU will not be changing any standard requirements it would defeat the integrity of the single market.

This no deal scenario is a red herring anyway hence why there has been little planning for it by the UK government. Boris Johnson just openly indicated what their entire negotiating strategy was by saying that they intend to take it down to the 11th hour in the hope that the EU will change tack. Genius.


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/03/12/took-tough-decision-vote-pms-brexit-deal/

Back in January, their plan had been to tough it out and wait, since only law is binding on the Government. Supporting nothing new, we believed, would ultimately mean leaving without a Deal. The EU Withdrawal Act would see to the rest. All we had to do was bide our time, ignore non-binding resolutions of the House of Commons, and presto, we would have a clean Brexit on March 29.
Of course, this wouldn't even be a 'No Deal Brexit'. Since December last year both the EU and the UK have been passing directives to protect things like freight transport between the EU and the UK, air traffic and citizens rights, so this would be a well-cushioned departure.
But since the January votes, we have been exposed to the sheer number of MPs who will do anything to stop Brexit or else tie us so closely to EU institutions that we might as well have never left. A majority of Parliament even voted to take No Deal off the table, knowing full well it would tie the Government's negotiating hands behind its back with razor wire. These Remainer MPs are ruthless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on March 13, 2019, 10:57:33 AM
Honestly - you may as well post something from the Beano as from the Torygraph at this stage. It's more likely to be relevant and true.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 13, 2019, 11:06:38 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 10:42:39 AM
As for the DUP, the business, agri and SME sector must be up in arms over their role in this whole process.

In the space of just over 12 months, the north has gone from having a position of effectively being offered a best of both worlds economic scenario to potentially being a holding shop for illegal trade into the UK.

I was in conversation with an electronic component distributor only last week and we were talking about a customer of theirs who was recently on TV talking about his product and how Brexit may impact on them. We discussed how more individual businesses haven't spoken out about it and he told me that some got a call from people within the DUP warning them that if they spoke about Brexit unfavourably then they would ensure that when it came down to getting funds from Invest NI or other Government agencies "every hurdle would be put in their way".

This lad in question is from the unionist community, would be well known in the industry and had no reason to make it up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on March 13, 2019, 11:07:43 AM
Quote from: moysider on March 12, 2019, 11:57:03 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 12, 2019, 10:53:22 PM
Here's what I don't understand. How come the leavers are so well organized in Parliament? They even have a name, ERG, and something of a structure and a brand going. How come the remainers can't get their sh1t together the same way? The independent group, the Lib Dems, the SNP, the others, and the remainer Tories should surely be able to get together and form a coherent group with a bit of strategy behind it. It's not like there's any point in waiting for Corbyn to show any leadership in that direction.

Corbyn is a Brexiteer as well. I'm a bit confused here. The people voted to leave. The leavers have democracy in their favour. No point having a vote if you don't respect the result. At the end of the day that is the bottom line.
There is no way Government can ignore the result of a referendum - even if that result causes problems unforeseen.
The impasse now is not something the voters factored in I suspect. Saying that if there was a second ref. I think leave would win again tbh. It's human nature to get entrenched. May would be scapegoated, and the people would be reassured likes of Boris would put EU and Ireland in their place kind of shite, and UK would leave on their own terms. That would be the spin on things imo.

The problem is that there are a dozen different types of "leave". The govt offered parliment the option to leave yesterday and it was rejected.

Either an election or a referendum with very specific options (e.g. No deal, May's deal, customs union, stay) seem like the best option at the stage imo

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 11:22:38 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 13, 2019, 11:06:38 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 10:42:39 AM
As for the DUP, the business, agri and SME sector must be up in arms over their role in this whole process.

In the space of just over 12 months, the north has gone from having a position of effectively being offered a best of both worlds economic scenario to potentially being a holding shop for illegal trade into the UK.

I was in conversation with an electronic component distributor only last week and we were talking about a customer of theirs who was recently on TV talking about his product and how Brexit may impact on them. We discussed how more individual businesses haven't spoken out about it and he told me that some got a call from people within the DUP warning them that if they spoke about Brexit unfavourably then they would ensure that when it came down to getting funds from Invest NI or other Government agencies "every hurdle would be put in their way".

This lad in question is from the unionist community, would be well known in the industry and had no reason to make it up

That wouldn't surprise me in the slightest. There is a lot of anger within the business community which hasn't manifested itself in many of those same individual businesses going public. As you quite rightly say, I think a lot of those same businesses are fearful of any negative consequences of speaking out, either unspoken or in the situation you refer to, actual threats of withdrawing potential funding.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 13, 2019, 12:01:32 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 13, 2019, 10:57:33 AM
Honestly - you may as well post something from the Beano as from the Torygraph at this stage. It's more likely to be relevant and true.

None of the MPs who write in the torygraph voted for Brexit yesterday
They are nuts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on March 13, 2019, 12:11:41 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 13, 2019, 12:01:32 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 13, 2019, 10:57:33 AM
Honestly - you may as well post something from the Beano as from the Torygraph at this stage. It's more likely to be relevant and true.

None of the MPs who write in the torygraph voted for Brexit yesterday
They are nuts

Exactly. Their headline a few days back about a majority favouring a no-deal Brexit confirmed that they reside in the genre of fiction.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 13, 2019, 12:48:29 PM
Everything rosy according to Hammond😂......strong and stable replaced by 'solid foundations'
Any sign of those unicorns?😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:16:24 PM
Anyone else's insurance telling them they won't be covered if they drive to the South in the event of a no deal? I've been told I need to apply for a green card for every single trip, and that it takes a few weeks to get one through.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on March 13, 2019, 01:16:40 PM
If May's deal is dead in the water as would appear so, it surely increases the chances of this sequence of events -
- 3rd attempt at saving her deal fails
- May resigns
- New Tory Leader
- Election
- 1 year extension to Article 50 to give the new PM time to get a 'new deal'.(would need to pre-empt some of the previous steps)

Mainly thinking this way after listening to Peter Mandelson and Andrew Neill last night, EU elections in May, there's a whole cyclical change of the top EU Jobs that will not then take place until the Autumn (Junker for a start).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on March 13, 2019, 01:18:17 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:16:24 PM
Anyone else's insurance telling them they won't be covered if they drive to the South in the event of a no deal? I've been told I need to apply for a green card for every single trip, and that it takes a few weeks to get one through.
Renewed my insurance recently with Tesco, they sent us this in letter form to say we're covered in this eventuality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 13, 2019, 01:19:56 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:16:24 PM
Anyone else's insurance telling them they won't be covered if they drive to the South in the event of a no deal? I've been told I need to apply for a green card for every single trip, and that it takes a few weeks to get one through.

Yes, need the green card if I'm leaving the mainland😜
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:23:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 13, 2019, 01:18:17 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:16:24 PM
Anyone else's insurance telling them they won't be covered if they drive to the South in the event of a no deal? I've been told I need to apply for a green card for every single trip, and that it takes a few weeks to get one through.
Renewed my insurance recently with Tesco, they sent us this in letter form to say we're covered in this eventuality.

Seems I need a new insurance company in that case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 13, 2019, 01:28:12 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 13, 2019, 01:16:40 PM
If May's deal is dead in the water as would appear so, it surely increases the chances of this sequence of events -
- 3rd attempt at saving her deal fails
- May resigns
- New Tory Leader
- Election
- 1 year extension to Article 50 to give the new PM time to get a 'new deal'.(would need to pre-empt some of the previous steps)

Mainly thinking this way after listening to Peter Mandelson and Andrew Neill last night, EU elections in May, there's a whole cyclical change of the top EU Jobs that will not then take place until the Autumn (Junker for a start).


Carole Cadwalladr
@carolecadwalla
·
39m
It's a done deal. Banks & Farage have sewn up Italy. Here's
@patrickwintour
pointing out same re Poland. Hungary's a no brainer. We will not got extension to article 50. MPs need to realise that today. It's a fantasy. And just 16 days till we crash out
Quote Tweet
Patrick Wintour
@patrickwintour
Number of Tory MPs went to see members of Polish governing party last week in Warsaw - broadly on same errand, namely to block Article 50 extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on March 13, 2019, 01:32:36 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:23:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 13, 2019, 01:18:17 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:16:24 PM
Anyone else's insurance telling them they won't be covered if they drive to the South in the event of a no deal? I've been told I need to apply for a green card for every single trip, and that it takes a few weeks to get one through.
Renewed my insurance recently with Tesco, they sent us this in letter form to say we're covered in this eventuality.
You will need a green card in the event of a no deal, you won't need to reapply for every trip, it should cover you for your insurance period.
Seems I need a new insurance company in that case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on March 13, 2019, 01:37:19 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:23:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 13, 2019, 01:18:17 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:16:24 PM
Anyone else's insurance telling them they won't be covered if they drive to the South in the event of a no deal? I've been told I need to apply for a green card for every single trip, and that it takes a few weeks to get one through.
Renewed my insurance recently with Tesco, they sent us this in letter form to say we're covered in this eventuality.

Seems I need a new insurance company in that case.

Applied for one with my insurance company to cover all trips on Saturday. It arrived yesterday
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 13, 2019, 01:50:57 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on March 13, 2019, 01:37:19 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:23:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 13, 2019, 01:18:17 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on March 13, 2019, 01:16:24 PM
Anyone else's insurance telling them they won't be covered if they drive to the South in the event of a no deal? I've been told I need to apply for a green card for every single trip, and that it takes a few weeks to get one through.
Renewed my insurance recently with Tesco, they sent us this in letter form to say we're covered in this eventuality.

Seems I need a new insurance company in that case.

Applied for one with my insurance company to cover all trips on Saturday. It arrived yesterday

Axa NI Have advised the following . . .

QuoteDon't panic, your Green Card is on its way.
In the event of a 'No Deal' Brexit, all direct car and van customers will automatically receive a Green Card by post, free of charge. You do not have to do anything to get a Green Card.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: scout on March 13, 2019, 02:16:35 PM
Funny, I'm AXA & have heard nothing?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 13, 2019, 02:27:56 PM
Quote from: scout on March 13, 2019, 02:16:35 PM
Funny, I'm AXA & have heard nothing?

https://www.axani.co.uk/other/green-card/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Boycey on March 13, 2019, 02:28:55 PM
I'm on the south and got a green card in the post this morning from Liberty insurance, I hadn't even looked into it..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 13, 2019, 02:50:42 PM
Quote from: Boycey on March 13, 2019, 02:28:55 PM
I'm on the south and got a green card in the post this morning from Liberty insurance, I hadn't even looked into it..

some companies are sending cards to people in border counties first.

In any case, a green card will not be needed on the island
https://www.nidirect.gov.uk/articles/driving-cross-border-and-green-card
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 13, 2019, 02:53:26 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 13, 2019, 02:50:42 PM
Quote from: Boycey on March 13, 2019, 02:28:55 PM
I'm on the south and got a green card in the post this morning from Liberty insurance, I hadn't even looked into it..

some companies are sending cards to people in border counties first.

With Hughes Ins and they said the will send them once it's confirmed they are defo needed. Rang Post Office and they were a bit wha? When you going to France. Had to explain Brexit, Ireland, Border, these cows small, those cows far away.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on March 13, 2019, 03:21:49 PM
Another of these:

UK to EU: So, we have voted to leave
EU to OK: That's a shame, OK what are your proposals?

We don't have any, we're leaving.
- Yes, but what about the Good Friday Agreement and the Northern Irish border?

Eh?
- It's an international treaty you signed, remember? Look, tell you what, why doesn't NI stay in the Customs Union, job done.

NEVER! You're not splitting the UK up.
- OK what do you propose?

Why are you being intransigent?
- What? OK look, we need to sort this and you haven't proposed anything, what about the whole of the UK staying in the Customs Union?

NEVER!
- FFS what then? This is your mess, tell us what you actually want.

Why are you being intransigent?
- Will you please just tell us what you want.

OK if you're going to be like that, we want a backstop added to the Withdrawal Agreement.
- Finally, yes OK, that's fine. But remember this is your idea. Shall we sign the Withdrawal Agreement off? Once we've done that we cannot reopen it in the time left.

Yes, sign it off.
- Done.

Ummm, we couldn't get it through parliament so we need to reopen the withdrawal agreement and change the backstop.
- We said we wouldn't do that, but OK we might be able to do something. We're listening, what do you want to change it to?

Alternative arrangements.
- What?

Alternative arrangements.
- What the actual f**k is that?

Don't know, just something different.
- Look, the backstop was your idea. We reluctantly agreed. Now you don't want it anymore and instead want it changed to something that doesn't exist?

Why are you being so intransigent?
- It literally does not exist, what don't you understand about that?

Stop bullying us. How about having a backstop that isn't a backstop?
- Oh f**k the f**k off you absolute idiots!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 13, 2019, 04:37:42 PM
Have the UK played their first good hand with the tariffs? Sean Whelan has a good piece on RTE detailing that it is designed to apply maximum pressure on Irish gov, in that they will get it on the home front (farmers) and other EU countries worried for their industry might also ask us to consider climbing down on the backstop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 13, 2019, 05:39:43 PM
The Brits want to weaken the backstop by making the 6 Cos different to Great Britain ::)
You couldn't make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 05:57:23 PM
Quote from: weareros on March 13, 2019, 04:37:42 PM
Have the UK played their first good hand with the tariffs? Sean Whelan has a good piece on RTE detailing that it is designed to apply maximum pressure on Irish gov, in that they will get it on the home front (farmers) and other EU countries worried for their industry might also ask us to consider climbing down on the backstop.

I'd have no doubt that the ERG will be very keen to give the Irish a bloody nose since the 6 counties are the major impediment to the form of Brexit that they want yet can't deliver due to the backstop. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 13, 2019, 07:55:52 PM
This shitstorm is getting stronger
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 13, 2019, 07:58:37 PM
There'll be one last go at the withdrawal agreement, MV3. It *could* still carry.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 13, 2019, 07:59:41 PM
Bad night for the Brexiteers and ERG, more chaos for the government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 13, 2019, 08:04:33 PM
All round to Jacob Rees Mogg's for champagne.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on March 13, 2019, 11:49:50 PM
Never have I seen such a shambles. Even the last days of the Cowen FF/Green Government is now seen as a period of enlightenment compared to these UK eejits.

What topped it all off for me today was that gom Mark Francois.

Getting ratty with a Sky News reporter he bellows "I was in the army"

The bollox was in the Territorial  Army - basically the UK version of the f**king FCA.

Who votes for these pricks?

And then, to drop my  jaw further, I tuned into Nolan on BBC1 Norn Iron..........who was the gobshite with the red hat on the panel? He looked deranged.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 14, 2019, 12:05:45 AM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on March 13, 2019, 11:49:50 PM
Never have I seen such a shambles. Even the last days of the Cowen FF/Green Government is now seen as a period of enlightenment compared to these UK eejits.

What topped it all off for me today was that gom Mark Francois.

Getting ratty with a Sky News reporter he bellows "I was in the army"

The bollox was in the Territorial  Army - basically the UK version of the f**king FCA.

Who votes for these pricks?

And then, to drop my  jaw further, I tuned into Nolan on BBC1 Norn Iron..........who was the gobshite with the red hat on the panel? He looked deranged.
[/b]

Just shows how cuckoo they are when it comes to politics.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on March 14, 2019, 12:08:42 AM
No idea who he was but the general consensus is he's a twat, to put it politely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 14, 2019, 12:12:39 AM
Only briefly watched it but a very fair panel as usual. 3 Euro haters and 1 with common sense
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: nrico2006 on March 14, 2019, 12:50:45 AM
What is likely to happen next - an extension or referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on March 14, 2019, 02:43:16 AM
An extenderendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on March 14, 2019, 07:26:34 AM
Quote from: nrico2006 on March 14, 2019, 12:50:45 AM
What is likely to happen next - an extension or referendum?

There are 3 options.
1. Mays deal is presented again and passes this time because erg and dup get scared that brexit won't happen. A short extension is agreed to pass the legislation.
2. Mays deal is not passed and a long extension of 2 years is agreed with eu. In that time there would be a referendum or a general election.
3. The eu fail to agree any kind of extension because some of the right sing leaders veto it. In this case we fall into no deal by accident.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 14, 2019, 09:26:48 AM
Quote from: lenny on March 14, 2019, 07:26:34 AM
3. The eu fail to agree any kind of extension because some of the right sing leaders veto it. In this case we fall into no deal by accident.

In that instance, would the only way to satisfy the motion passed yesterday be to revoke Art. 50 and then start it again at a later date - when they've actually done due diligence?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 14, 2019, 10:00:12 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 14, 2019, 09:26:48 AM
Quote from: lenny on March 14, 2019, 07:26:34 AM
3. The eu fail to agree any kind of extension because some of the right sing leaders veto it. In this case we fall into no deal by accident.

In that instance, would the only way to satisfy the motion passed yesterday be to revoke Art. 50 and then start it again at a later date - when they've actually done due diligence?

Does May have to get that through the House of Commons? To revoke Article 50?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 14, 2019, 10:08:49 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 14, 2019, 10:00:12 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 14, 2019, 09:26:48 AM
Quote from: lenny on March 14, 2019, 07:26:34 AM
3. The eu fail to agree any kind of extension because some of the right sing leaders veto it. In this case we fall into no deal by accident.

In that instance, would the only way to satisfy the motion passed yesterday be to revoke Art. 50 and then start it again at a later date - when they've actually done due diligence?

Does May have to get that through the House of Commons? To revoke Article 50?

Yes an Act of Parliament required, so no guarantee that would pass.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 14, 2019, 12:17:55 PM
Everything other than the backstop has been agreed hasn't it? So why would an extension be needed - other than to resolve the backstop which they have had months to do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on March 14, 2019, 12:58:12 PM
It looks like there may be a bit of climb down by the DUP judging by a couple of statements today.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on March 14, 2019, 01:06:38 PM
What worries me is what have the DUP got in terms of concessions for backing this deal.
I would say they have the governments word that there will be no border poll
A get out for RHI nama etc etc
Promises that protestant communities will continue to receive more than their fair share of grant money etc etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 14, 2019, 01:08:43 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on March 14, 2019, 12:58:12 PM
It looks like there may be a bit of climb down by the DUP judging by a couple of statements today.

May's deal looks almost inevitable now at this stage and Arlene Foster has now indicated that they were only ever likely to do business at the 11th hour. If and when they sign up the ERG will likely follow otherwise they are getting a much softer Brexit or no Brexit at all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 14, 2019, 01:21:27 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on March 14, 2019, 01:06:38 PM
What worries me is what have the DUP got in terms of concessions for backing this deal.
I would say they have the governments word that there will be no border poll

If there is a backstop then there is the Secretary of State can plausibly say that there does not appear to be a majority in favour of a UI. Of course this is not really a gain for the DUP as if there had been no Brexit a border poll would not be seen as a current thing.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on March 14, 2019, 01:26:33 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 14, 2019, 01:08:43 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on March 14, 2019, 12:58:12 PM
It looks like there may be a bit of climb down by the DUP judging by a couple of statements today.

May's deal looks almost inevitable now at this stage and Arlene Foster has now indicated that they were only ever likely to do business at the 11th hour. If and when they sign up the ERG will likely follow otherwise they are getting a much softer Brexit or no Brexit at all.

Holding out for another bribe all along.   

Also I suspect despite their Britishness, they saw May's statement last night that no deal Brexit would require direct rule as a threat.   

No deal and direct rule would mean loss of face to business and farmers, no slush funds to divvy up their buddies, Gay marriage, abortion and language acts aligned with rest of UK, no Stormont salaries etc. etc..

It's good for border area if this is sorted but the price will be the continued politics by (sectarian) numbers of the North.

/Jim.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 14, 2019, 01:30:20 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 14, 2019, 01:08:43 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on March 14, 2019, 12:58:12 PM
It looks like there may be a bit of climb down by the DUP judging by a couple of statements today.

May's deal looks almost inevitable now at this stage and Arlene Foster has now indicated that they were only ever likely to do business at the 11th hour. If and when they sign up the ERG will likely follow otherwise they are getting a much softer Brexit or no Brexit at all.

I don't think Grieve or Ken Clarke will vote for the deal and May has a working majority of 3
Even if she did get it through Parliament it would only be the start


They still need to negotiate :

an ultimate trade pact with the EU;
an interim agreement with the bloc, to cover the period between exit and the longer-term deal;
re-entry into the World Trade Organisation as a full member;
new arrangements with the 50 or so countries that now have an accord with the EU and, presumably, with additional countries, too, such as the US and China; and, finally,
UK-EU ties in foreign and defence policy, police and judicial co-operation and counter-terrorism
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 14, 2019, 01:56:02 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 14, 2019, 01:30:20 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 14, 2019, 01:08:43 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on March 14, 2019, 12:58:12 PM
It looks like there may be a bit of climb down by the DUP judging by a couple of statements today.

May's deal looks almost inevitable now at this stage and Arlene Foster has now indicated that they were only ever likely to do business at the 11th hour. If and when they sign up the ERG will likely follow otherwise they are getting a much softer Brexit or no Brexit at all.

I don't think Grieve or Ken Clarke will vote for the deal and May has a working majority of 3
Even if she did get it through Parliament it would only be the start


They still need to negotiate :

an ultimate trade pact with the EU;
an interim agreement with the bloc, to cover the period between exit and the longer-term deal;
re-entry into the World Trade Organisation as a full member;
new arrangements with the 50 or so countries that now have an accord with the EU and, presumably, with additional countries, too, such as the US and China; and, finally,
UK-EU ties in foreign and defence policy, police and judicial co-operation and counter-terrorism

If DUP/ERG were convinced to go with the deal because it is the best option available to them, I don't think there is anyway that Clarke, Grieve or any other lone MP would stop it from going through parliament, there would be a sweetener somewhere to bring them all in line.

I think that May's deal with a short extension to finalise it looks on the cards now. You only have to read between the lines to see how the DUP's stance has softened.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 14, 2019, 05:48:57 PM
I have as much dislike for Corbyn as I do May.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 14, 2019, 07:40:07 PM
Lemme get this straight. Labour's leadership instructed the party to abstain on whether to run a second referendum? What's Corbyn playing at?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 14, 2019, 07:43:14 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 14, 2019, 07:40:07 PM
Lemme get this straight. Labour's leadership instructed the party to abstain on whether to run a second referendum? What's Corbyn playing at?

I don't think he knows himself at this stage tbh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 15, 2019, 12:22:28 AM
As I suspected, it's a procedural maneuver.

Quote
Jeremy Corbyn leads Labour MPs in support for second referendum, minutes after abstaining on vote to deliver People's Vote (https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/corbyn-committed-to-peoples-vote-despite-abstaining-on-vote-a4092241.html)

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has said his party supports a second referendum, minutes after his MPs were whipped to abstain on an amendment to delay Brexit in order to deliver a People's Vote.

Another night of high drama in the House of Commons saw MPs overwhelmingly reject the amendment which pushed for a second referendum.

Mr Corbyn, who refused to vote for the amendment, told the House afterwards: "I reiterate our support for a public vote, not as political point scoring but as a realistic option to beat the deadlock."

The Islington North MP's comments were met with jeers from other MPs.


After the vote was cast, MP for Ilford North Wes Streeting posted an open letter to Twitter explaining why he and many of his Labour colleagues, who are in favour for a second referendum, abstained from voting.



The letter read: "We are all deeply committed to securing a People's Vote. But to win that vote, we need to win a vote in the House of Commons.

"The best chance of that is via the so-called Kyle/Wilson amendment, which isn't being voted on today.

"The official People's Vote campaign has said this isn't the right time."


Echoing this, Labour's Dr Roseana Allin-Khan said: "The @peoplesvote_uk campaign have put out a statement - they want MPs to abstain tonight, which is the right thing to do.

"I'm a proud supporter of a PV and will do everything I can to make it happen - but tonight's amendment won't work - it'll ruin our chances of success."

Labour's Stephen Doughty, a supporter of the People's Vote campaign for a second referendum, said it was "obvious and essential" that the UK needs to extend the Brexit deadline.

"That was rightly the focus of today's debate and votes and the Government had been forced into extension after a succession of defeats. The Prime Minister's former self-imposed deadline of 29 March does not work, as even she now admits.

"In the days and weeks ahead, MPs will have to make more decisions on this crucial issue. Any extension of the Article 50 deadline must be used to deliver the clarity about Brexit that has been missing from the last two-and-a-half years of vexed debate. We need to decide whether we are willing to pay the huge price of going it alone, of which the £50 billion divorce bill will only be the start."


After the second referendum amendment was rejected by MPs, The Independent Group's Brexit spokeswoman Anna Soubry said: "This is a betrayal of Labour Party members and voters, Labour MPs, Labour's conference policy and, most importantly, the British public.

"The Labour Party leadership are determined to deliver Brexit, which would harm our country.

"But The Independent Group will not give up. We will keep up the pressure for a People's Vote on the final Brexit deal.

"We'll keep holding the Government to account and providing the real opposition our country needs. The British people deserve the final say on Brexit."

Chuka Umunna, also of the Independent Group, also laid into his former party's decision to abstain from voting.

The Streatham MP tweeted: "The Labour leadership said for months if an election can't be triggered+their alternative fails they will back a #PeoplesVote -the party's eurosceptic leadership have betrayed so many Labour supporters and voters by failing to vote for it today. @TheIndGroup will keep pressing it."


Reacting to the result on the Wollaston amendment, the SNP leader in Westminster called Labour "absolutely spineless" and "the midwives" to Theresa May's Brexit.

Ian Blackford tweeted: "We have lost a people's vote amendment by 334 votes to 85 votes. Labour abstained.

"An opportunity to drive forward the need for such a vote and Labour flunk it. They are the midwives to @theresa-may Brexit. Absolutely spineless. #peoplesvote"

MPs also voted to delay Brexit beyond the scheduled date of March 29, with Theresa May making it clear that she will first press her Brexit deal to a third "meaningful vote" in the Commons.

London Mayor Sadiq Khan tweeted in response: "Whilst Parliament has voted to make it less likely that we will crash out with no deal, the ongoing chaos shows exactly why we need to stop the clock, revoke Article 50 and with Parliament in gridlock - give the public the final say on Brexit."

DUP leader Arlene Foster told Channel 4 News: "We are talking to the Government and to the Attorney General at the moment to try and make a deal happen because we want to see Brexit working, we want to see it working for the whole of the UK in a way that doesn't leave Northern Ireland behind."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 15, 2019, 08:04:58 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 14, 2019, 07:40:07 PM
Lemme get this straight. Labour's leadership instructed the party to abstain on whether to run a second referendum? What's Corbyn playing at?
They didn't think it had the best chance of winning

At this stage the HoC is like a bullfight with the Tories as the dying bull
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 15, 2019, 08:50:53 AM
Don't think the EU will grant any extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on March 15, 2019, 11:12:06 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 15, 2019, 08:50:53 AM
Don't think the EU will grant any extension.

They will if the UK Government have a credible plan that they can work together....

Nope, you're right. EU won't. ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on March 15, 2019, 01:29:16 PM
Mark Francois on ITV wearing a poppy FFS.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on March 15, 2019, 01:38:05 PM
Quote from: gallsman on March 15, 2019, 01:29:16 PM
Mark Francois on ITV wearing a poppy FFS.

I think he's been wearing that all week. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dire Ear on March 15, 2019, 01:52:13 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on March 14, 2019, 01:06:38 PM
What worries me is what have the DUP got in terms of concessions for backing this deal.
I would say they have the governments word that there will be no border poll
A get out for RHI nama etc etc
Promises that protestant communities will continue to receive more than their fair share of grant money etc etc.
Here it comes----------
A Westminster committee is to hold an inquiry into deep cuts to RHI payments.

The NI Affairs Committee hearings follow complaints that the legislation, fast-tracked through Parliament, did not receive sufficient scrutiny.

The cuts would bring payments for the most common boilers here from around £13,000 to £2,000 - the second time they have been slashed.

Some businesses with boilers said it would hit their cash flow and threaten their viability.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 15, 2019, 02:17:37 PM
Quote from: Dire Ear on March 15, 2019, 01:52:13 PM
Some businesses with boilers said it would hit their cash flow and threaten their viability.

Bollocks.

I believe (open to correction) they've got grants totalling more than the cost of install by now - and they are still getting heat cheaper than any alternative form.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 15, 2019, 05:02:30 PM
DUP to be offered more money apparently
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 15, 2019, 05:08:07 PM
Jim Shannon(DUP) said on the radio it's entirely the EU's fault and the DUP and the tories should be trusted with the Irish border.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 15, 2019, 07:38:41 PM
Haha

They are back at the table and now they seem to be in favour of the backstop just as long as it is policed by Stormont (when/if up and running again).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 15, 2019, 08:10:51 PM
I presume SF will scupper that plan by not going back?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 15, 2019, 09:30:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 15, 2019, 08:10:51 PM
I presume SF will scupper that plan by not going back?

The question to who then holds the powers if there is no Stormont.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 15, 2019, 09:53:30 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 15, 2019, 07:38:41 PM
Haha

They are back at the table and now they seem to be in favour of the backstop just as long as it is policed by Stormont (when/if up and running again).

Will the EU agree?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 15, 2019, 10:33:24 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 15, 2019, 09:53:30 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 15, 2019, 07:38:41 PM
Haha

They are back at the table and now they seem to be in favour of the backstop just as long as it is policed by Stormont (when/if up and running again).

Will the EU agree?

Funnily enough I commented earlier that the DUP were being bought yet again. I wonder how much of that money would go towards getting the executive up and running on its own. And yes, Westminster and the EU would have to agree to it. Don't think that will happen. The DUP have did a huge U turn on this backstop deal and I think the Tories have finally figured out how to play them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 15, 2019, 10:45:30 PM
As patriotic and holy as they claim to be they are basically self serving and money driven so they shouldn't have been that hard to figure out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 15, 2019, 11:08:49 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 15, 2019, 10:45:30 PM
As patriotic and holy as they claim to be they are basically self serving and money driven so they shouldn't have been that hard to figure out.

They must have knew it but it was just finding the right time to show it. DUP are too stupid to realise they are a means to an end for the Tories, not the other way round. They have done a deal with the devil and it is only a matter of time before Tories chew them up and spit them out - just look at the Lib Dems, it will be glorious. However the people who vote for them will continue to follow blindly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on March 16, 2019, 02:07:06 AM
Remember, they still have to sell it to the orange order and UDA, like everything else they 'agree'. If this is hinged on stormont, then shinners must sink that farce once and for all
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 01:27:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 11:22:59 AM
I don't think no Deal can happen. And May's deal is also crap

Crap it may be but must have a 50/50 chance right now. By various means she is chipping away at the no dealers within DUP and ERG. If she can get enough Labour rebels to cover any Erg she can't convert she is away and clear.

DUP will get enough to at least pretend to save face
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 01:32:52 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 02:39:52 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 27, 2019, 11:37:07 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 27, 2019, 11:22:59 AM
I don't think no Deal can happen. And May's deal is also crap

Her gambit is that it will be considered the least crap of the 3 options. But what happens if all 3 options get rejected - will UK not default back to No Deal?
I think the reason why they haven't decided yet is because Brexit is so awful even if a majority voted for it
No deal doesn't have the numbers.
It is down to Remain vs her deal I think

Looks like last go a Mays deal on Tuesday. If defeated we will go to the votes on all on the options to chip away at all the options that haven't a chance and their proponents would then roll in behind their next option. If we get to that it could end up at Labour's proposal vs Remain and that could scare the Tories into supporting their party leader
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 01:53:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 07, 2019, 10:46:18 AM
No Deal simply cannot be allowed to happen. We are so fucked if that's allowed to happen. Like riots on the streets fucked.

No deal will not happen.
No Brexit won't happen.

No deal is supposed to be something to threaten the EU with but in reality like No Brexit it's just something that is threatened inside UK in the battle for what type of Brexit we get
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:02:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 12, 2019, 01:22:45 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 01:17:23 PM
ERG have rejected the latest fudge.
they want a No deal

Some do, some don't. May's tactic is to vote on this thing as often as it takes and slowly but surely to fracture ERG and to move DUP as a block. It's not the EU that's gonna blink. It's the ERG
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 16, 2019, 02:03:41 PM
Quote from: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 01:53:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 07, 2019, 10:46:18 AM
No Deal simply cannot be allowed to happen. We are so fucked if that's allowed to happen. Like riots on the streets fucked.

No deal will not happen.
No Brexit won't happen.

No deal is supposed to be something to threaten the EU with but in reality like No Brexit it's just something that is threatened inside UK in the battle for what type of Brexit we get

What brexiteers do not understand is they were never going to get everything their way without putting the financial stability of the country at risk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:08:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 02:38:28 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).

May isn't leading them into another GE so who gets it?? Boris!!?? Jesus wept!

They'll have to extend article 50 to allow for a GE surely?

Boris wants it but too many don't trust him. Also there is a history there that the press would rip apart

Gove wants it but too many likely front benchers distrust him. They would all serve Liddington but he lacks the charisma to win a GE

Hunt would be the man they back

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:13:01 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 12, 2019, 04:10:55 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 04:06:42 PM
If a General Election is called it's Corbyn + 2nd Referendum v. New Tory leader and possible No Deal Brexit. My personal hope is that the Tories once again overestimate the strength of their hand, blame May and go for the election. I could see many who don't like Corbyn voting for Labour in order to get a second referendum....mitigating his "polarising" nature. Potentially interesting times ahead.

More likely is that the Tories realise this, f**k over the DUP and accept the deal.

Still unlikely to have the numbers though. Most likely the new Independent Group will also vote the deal down and Labour rebels would be mortally afraid of the whip this time and vote on party lines.

Lynchboy, forget about reunification, Bertie Ahern said a while back it would bankrupt us trying to support them.

Reunification is going to happen. It's only a matter of when. Brexit is speeding it up.

What is you analysis of NI being inside the Eu and it's overwhelmingly largest market being outside the EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 16, 2019, 02:19:32 PM
Quote from: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:08:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 02:38:28 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).

May isn't leading them into another GE so who gets it?? Boris!!?? Jesus wept!

They'll have to extend article 50 to allow for a GE surely?

Boris wants it but too many don't trust him. Also there is a history there that the press would rip apart

Gove wants it but too many likely front benchers distrust him. They would all serve Liddington but he lacks the charisma to win a GE

Hunt would be the man they back

Jesus that is some set of choices. Least worst springs to mind but most certainly not good.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:21:04 PM
Quote from: lynchbhoy on March 12, 2019, 04:20:58 PM


Any reunification would be subsidised by British gov and EU for a good number of years.

We are currently going through the pain associated with letting a load of little englanders away with spouting a load of crap about life after Brexit without forcing them to evidence before the vote.

We need to make sure little irelanders dont try to get away with the same trick in any future UI referenda.

The deal with the generous benefactors would have to be copper fastened before the vote
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 16, 2019, 02:25:37 PM
Quote from: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:08:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 02:38:28 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).

May isn't leading them into another GE so who gets it?? Boris!!?? Jesus wept!

They'll have to extend article 50 to allow for a GE surely?

Boris wants it but too many don't trust him. Also there is a history there that the press would rip apart

Gove wants it but too many likely front benchers distrust him. They would all serve Liddington but he lacks the charisma to win a GE

Hunt would be the man they back

He might get some support within but universally he is hated.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:34:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 14, 2019, 01:30:20 PM

I don't think Grieve or Ken Clarke will vote for the deal

Why do you think Clarke won't vote for it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:35:11 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 14, 2019, 05:48:57 PM
I have as much dislike for Corbyn as I do May.

Why?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:38:53 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 14, 2019, 07:40:07 PM
Lemme get this straight. Labour's leadership instructed the party to abstain on whether to run a second referendum? What's Corbyn playing at?

The official people's vote campaign wanted all parties to abstain if the vote wasn't pulled. Labour were the only opposition leadership to get that memo.

Toured had the votes to win. Only way to get the vote through is to break the story payroll on the issue and that wasn't going to happen. And still the SNP etc ploughed on. Surely the questions need to be asked of them??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:44:25 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 16, 2019, 02:25:37 PM
Quote from: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:08:06 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 12, 2019, 02:38:28 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on March 12, 2019, 02:12:17 PM
DUP say they can't support it. Also heard the 1922 committee are saying there needs to be an immediate General election if May doesn't succeed in getting her deal through tonight (which she won't).

May isn't leading them into another GE so who gets it?? Boris!!?? Jesus wept!

They'll have to extend article 50 to allow for a GE surely?

Boris wants it but too many don't trust him. Also there is a history there that the press would rip apart

Gove wants it but too many likely front benchers distrust him. They would all serve Liddington but he lacks the charisma to win a GE

Hunt would be the man they back

He might get some support within but universally he is hated.

The first thing would be to hold their party together and enforce discipline. He would do that. Can't see the voters taking to him but at the moment that is almost secondary. Next GE will be which party can hold  it together not necessarily the appeal of the leader
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 16, 2019, 04:23:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:35:11 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 14, 2019, 05:48:57 PM
I have as much dislike for Corbyn as I do May.

Why?

Corbyn is a looney. He's living in a communist fantasy. He's in favour of high taxes and he's anti business. He also hates the EU. That's enough for me to wish he gets run over by a f**king bus. A grade one arsehole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dire Ear on March 16, 2019, 05:45:44 PM
..........Trash
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 16, 2019, 06:43:01 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 16, 2019, 04:23:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:35:11 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 14, 2019, 05:48:57 PM
I have as much dislike for Corbyn as I do May.

Why?

Corbyn is a looney. He's living in a communist fantasy. He's in favour of high taxes and he's anti business. He also hates the EU. That's enough for me to wish he gets run over by a f**king bus. A grade one arsehole.
neoliberalism is dying. Corbyn wants a new system.
It would even work for people like you.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 17, 2019, 02:26:25 PM
Quote from: trailer on March 16, 2019, 04:23:00 PM
Quote from: LCohen on March 16, 2019, 02:35:11 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 14, 2019, 05:48:57 PM
I have as much dislike for Corbyn as I do May.

Why?

Corbyn is a looney. He's living in a communist fantasy. He's in favour of high taxes and he's anti business. He also hates the EU. That's enough for me to wish he gets run over by a f**king bus. A grade one arsehole.

What was your view on the Labour GE manifesto? Which bits did you think were communist fantasy

Judging by the rest of your post you strike me as a particularly poor example of humanity. But I wish you well. Hopefully things will turn around for you
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 19, 2019, 09:53:33 AM
How stands this now after yesterday's ruling by the Speaker of the House of Eejits?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on March 19, 2019, 10:16:01 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 19, 2019, 09:53:33 AM
How stands this now after yesterday's ruling by the Speaker of the House of Eejits?

Basically they will have to work some under hand dealings in the house of commons to get a new session in place so that she can out her deal back to MPs.

Or go for a delay on Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 19, 2019, 12:06:52 PM
Almost by default there's going to be a delay now, how long for, we'll know more after EU summit meeting later in the week. Based on that, May might have another go at her agreement (MV3) next week, claiming that something has materially changed to it. If *that's* defeated, then it's anyone's guess. Probably a longer delay, maybe hold EU elections, maybe a GE, perhaps even MV4. As I've said previously, anything that delays it for as long as possible is a good thing.

Don't you just love Bercow? A Remainer, he's refused to be cowed by any side, and is playing strictly by the rules. Almost certainly he'll be knifed in the back if Brexit is ever sorted out, and may not get a seat in the House of Lords which Speakers usually receive. It doesn't bother him a whit. That Brexiteer utter numpty Andrea Leadsom hates him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 19, 2019, 12:15:30 PM
I dunno - I have seen things suggesting that delays and uncertainty are crippling business. I think some businesses would rather it was got on with even if they don't favour the outcome as the uncertainty is crippling them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 19, 2019, 12:38:43 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 19, 2019, 12:15:30 PM
I dunno - I have seen things suggesting that delays and uncertainty are crippling business. I think some businesses would rather it was got on with even if they don't favour the outcome as the uncertainty is crippling them.

No way man!

This decision will have profound effects for 50+ years.

Take the time to get it right.


[BTW - those arguing for leaving and then negotiating from WTO terms are idiots beneath contempt - if they are worried about taking "no deal" off the table as weakening their negotiating hand - how will negotiating with the economy dying by the hour under WTO tariffs be better?]
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 19, 2019, 12:50:15 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 19, 2019, 12:15:30 PM
I dunno - I have seen things suggesting that delays and uncertainty are crippling business. I think some businesses would rather it was got on with even if they don't favour the outcome as the uncertainty is crippling them.

There are businesses on this island which will become unviable in 10 days if there is no deal. You might be uncertain as to when they were going to hang you, but that is not necessarily a reason to want to advance the date, especially as there may be a reprieve.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 19, 2019, 01:15:48 PM
I'm only repeating what I have seen some say. Particularly businesses heavily reliant on the import of goods from EU countries. I'm not saying I agree.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mike Tyson on March 19, 2019, 02:23:59 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 19, 2019, 12:15:30 PM
I dunno - I have seen things suggesting that delays and uncertainty are crippling business. I think some businesses would rather it was got on with even if they don't favour the outcome as the uncertainty is crippling them.

Would agree with this - how can the likes of a small business forecast over the next year with the uncertainty over tariffs etc?

Uncertainty is bad for the majority of businesses and a lot of them are just looking for a plan to move forward. I'm not advocating no deal or suggesting most business owners are, however if they were told "No deal is happening" they can at least set out a solid plan of what they are going to do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 19, 2019, 04:30:00 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on March 19, 2019, 02:23:59 PM
however if they were told "No deal is happening" they can at least set out a solid plan of what they are going to do.

Agree on planning - however a week and a half is not enough time.

A year and a half *may* be enough time - with foreknowledge and certainty that a no-deal exit is exactly what is happening.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 19, 2019, 04:40:29 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 19, 2019, 04:30:00 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on March 19, 2019, 02:23:59 PM
however if they were told "No deal is happening" they can at least set out a solid plan of what they are going to do.

Agree on planning - however a week and a half is not enough time.

A year and a half *may* be enough time - with foreknowledge and certainty that a no-deal exit is exactly what is happening.

Yeah that's pretty much it. At least May's Deal (which is pretty shit) gives a transition period. It's the No Deal which would be catastrophic. I actually heard Owen Patterson call it Structured WTO withdrawal or some other bullshit term. Trying to make no deal sound organised. Like saying conscious voiding of anal rectum into polyester. It's still shitting your pants.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 19, 2019, 05:03:16 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 19, 2019, 12:06:52 PM
Almost by default there's going to be a delay now, how long for, we'll know more after EU summit meeting later in the week. Based on that, May might have another go at her agreement (MV3) next week, claiming that something has materially changed to it. If *that's* defeated, then it's anyone's guess. Probably a longer delay, maybe hold EU elections, maybe a GE, perhaps even MV4. As I've said previously, anything that delays it for as long as possible is a good thing.

Don't you just love Bercow? A Remainer, he's refused to be cowed by any side, and is playing strictly by the rules. Almost certainly he'll be knifed in the back if Brexit is ever sorted out, and may not get a seat in the House of Lords which Speakers usually receive. It doesn't bother him a whit. That Brexiteer utter numpty Andrea Leadsom hates him.

He's played a blinder here. Top drawer. He's the most sensible man in the house, and he may go down in history as one of the agents of Brexit's downfall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on March 20, 2019, 01:20:56 PM
BBC News - Brexit: Theresa May vows not to delay departure beyond June
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47636011

Seems another box yourself in move to me, it increases the chances of no-deal and of Article 50 being revoked altogether at the same time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 20, 2019, 01:58:43 PM
Tory Laura Kuenssberg tweeting;

Implication of what PM saying v forcefully is that she might resign if Parliament or the EU forces delay beyond end of June


No bad thing in my mind.

I think this will require the UK to have a General Election to sort out but realistically I don't think either the Tories or Labour want one just yet irrespective of how much Corbyn says he wants one as the Labour heartlands are all pro Brexit and he is probably too, but won't come out and say as much.

The Tories have a similar issue in the home counties which are either remain or slightly leave,,,,
(http://www.ox.ac.uk/sites/files/oxford/styles/ow_content_width/public/media_wysiwyg/2_Brexit_percent.jpg?itok=Eq7iJT87)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 02:11:27 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 20, 2019, 01:20:56 PM
BBC News - Brexit: Theresa May vows not to delay departure beyond June
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47636011

Seems another box yourself in move to me, it increases the chances of no-deal and of Article 50 being revoked altogether at the same time.

It certainly looks that way unless there is a dramatic shift in direction such as a general election, May resigning or an attempt to get cross party support. Nothing is impossible in the current climate.

It's rather ironic that if May had not called a snap general election 2 years ago and been handicapped by the DUP, this whole process could have been sorted a long time ago with a border down the Irish sea and it would given the hard Brexiteers a much closer version of the Brexit that they fantasise of. I wonder how long after this process has been resolved, will English mainstream parties begin questioning the role of the DUP in preventing such an outcome.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on March 20, 2019, 02:50:43 PM
BBC reporting that France will veto the 3 month and indeed any extention. Bloody hell if true

If that's the case it's down to back May, crash out or revoke. May survived the first one possibly but is destroyed by the other 2

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 02:58:56 PM
Quote from: LCohen on March 20, 2019, 02:50:43 PM
BBC reporting that France will veto the 3 month and indeed any extention. Bloody hell if true

If that's the case it's down to back May, crash out or revoke. May survived the first one possibly but is destroyed by the other 2

I don't know why this is of any great surprise, she has not given any indication as to what the exceptional reason for the extension actually is. It looks like the intention is simply to wind the clock down further and to shift the blame if no deal happens. Knowing the Brexiteer's the French will probably get it in the neck now. 

May has asked for 3 months to try and get a deal over the line that has failed twice already. It is time she either stood up to ERG, looked for cross party support or simply resign her position. She is still putting party unity before the national interest of the UK. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 04:11:29 PM
Tusk just now

Extension provided the HoC votes for the Withdrawal agreement
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 04:20:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 04:11:29 PM
Tusk just now

Extension provided the HoC votes for the Withdrawal agreement

Only if the deal is passed before next Friday. Which again make chances of a no deal increase, EU have effectively issued the House of Commons an ultimatum. Back May's deal next week or crash out. She has called a press conference at Downing Street for this evening. Perhaps she will offer to resign or call an election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on March 20, 2019, 05:11:29 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 04:20:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 04:11:29 PM
Tusk just now

Extension provided the HoC votes for the Withdrawal agreement

Only if the deal is passed before next Friday. Which again make chances of a no deal increase, EU have effectively issued the House of Commons an ultimatum. Back May's deal next week or crash out. She has called a press conference at Downing Street for this evening. Perhaps she will offer to resign or call an election.
The Kyle/Wilson amendment is by far the most sensible way out of this.

Pailiament vote for the deal on the proviso that the deal has to pass a referendum in order to be implemented.

If it loses the referendum, the UK remains in the EU and Brexit, like Basil Fawlty's duck, is off.

It's far too sensible, which is why it has no chance.

No deal is perilously close now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 05:13:21 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 04:20:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 04:11:29 PM
Tusk just now

Extension provided the HoC votes for the Withdrawal agreement

Only if the deal is passed before next Friday. Which again make chances of a no deal increase, EU have effectively issued the House of Commons an ultimatum. Back May's deal next week or crash out. She has called a press conference at Downing Street for this evening. Perhaps she will offer to resign or call an election.
If May drops the red lines other options become available. It's not just no deal or her deal
If her deal is rejected for the 3rd time a gamechanger will have to happen - GE, Referendum or cross party effort for a new Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 05:16:06 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on March 20, 2019, 05:11:29 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 04:20:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 04:11:29 PM
Tusk just now

Extension provided the HoC votes for the Withdrawal agreement

Only if the deal is passed before next Friday. Which again make chances of a no deal increase, EU have effectively issued the House of Commons an ultimatum. Back May's deal next week or crash out. She has called a press conference at Downing Street for this evening. Perhaps she will offer to resign or call an election.
The Kyle/Wilson amendment is by far the most sensible way out of this.

Pailiament vote for the deal on the proviso that the deal has to pass a referendum in order to be implemented.

If it loses the referendum, the UK remains in the EU and Brexit, like Basil Fawlty's duck, is off.

It's far too sensible, which is why it has no chance.

No deal is perilously close now.
No deal would be suicidal for the Tories
If the Winter of discontent made Labour unelectable for 18 years No deal would be worth at least 36
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 05:22:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 05:13:21 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 04:20:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 04:11:29 PM
Tusk just now

Extension provided the HoC votes for the Withdrawal agreement

Only if the deal is passed before next Friday. Which again make chances of a no deal increase, EU have effectively issued the House of Commons an ultimatum. Back May's deal next week or crash out. She has called a press conference at Downing Street for this evening. Perhaps she will offer to resign or call an election.
If May drops the red lines other options become available. It's not just no deal or her deal
If her deal is rejected for the 3rd time a gamechanger will have to happen - GE, Referendum or cross party effort for a new Brexit.

Indeed, but the cross party effort looks unlikely in the space of a few days. The legal default remains that a no deal will occur next Friday (I still think this is highly unlikely myself and the EU have refused to call the British bluff on this a long time ago.

If the deal doesn't pass parliament next week then we are likely looking at a long extension with the prospect of a different type of Brexit and a general election. I don't think a second referendum will happen either.

The attention will turn back to ERG/DUP again and I see that Arlene Foster released a statement saying that she wants Theresa May to go back and renegotiate the WA again!! I think all the participants in the process are trying to point fingers at each other in what has become the Blame Game for an entire process gone drastically wrong.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on March 20, 2019, 05:23:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 05:16:06 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on March 20, 2019, 05:11:29 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 04:20:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 04:11:29 PM
Tusk just now

Extension provided the HoC votes for the Withdrawal agreement

Only if the deal is passed before next Friday. Which again make chances of a no deal increase, EU have effectively issued the House of Commons an ultimatum. Back May's deal next week or crash out. She has called a press conference at Downing Street for this evening. Perhaps she will offer to resign or call an election.
The Kyle/Wilson amendment is by far the most sensible way out of this.

Pailiament vote for the deal on the proviso that the deal has to pass a referendum in order to be implemented.

If it loses the referendum, the UK remains in the EU and Brexit, like Basil Fawlty's duck, is off.

It's far too sensible, which is why it has no chance.

No deal is perilously close now.
No deal would be suicidal for the Tories
If the Winter of discontent made Labour unelectable for 18 years No deal would be worth at least 36
You'd be amazed at how much of a self-perpetuating bubble reactionary right-wing ideology (read: "fascism") is.

A fascist can use literally anything to justify to themselves that they are right.

Look at the Christchurch massacre and the reaction to it by fascists.

A fascist will tell you tomorrow is Sunday. Never mind that tomorrow is actually Thursday, it's definitely, definitely, definitely Sunday.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 05:30:31 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on March 20, 2019, 05:23:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 05:16:06 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on March 20, 2019, 05:11:29 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 20, 2019, 04:20:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 20, 2019, 04:11:29 PM
Tusk just now

Extension provided the HoC votes for the Withdrawal agreement

Only if the deal is passed before next Friday. Which again make chances of a no deal increase, EU have effectively issued the House of Commons an ultimatum. Back May's deal next week or crash out. She has called a press conference at Downing Street for this evening. Perhaps she will offer to resign or call an election.
The Kyle/Wilson amendment is by far the most sensible way out of this.

Pailiament vote for the deal on the proviso that the deal has to pass a referendum in order to be implemented.

If it loses the referendum, the UK remains in the EU and Brexit, like Basil Fawlty's duck, is off.

It's far too sensible, which is why it has no chance.

No deal is perilously close now.
No deal would be suicidal for the Tories
If the Winter of discontent made Labour unelectable for 18 years No deal would be worth at least 36
You'd be amazed at how much of a self-perpetuating bubble reactionary right-wing ideology (read: "fascism") is.

A fascist can use literally anything to justify to themselves that they are right.

Look at the Christchurch massacre and the reaction to it by fascists.

A fascist will tell you tomorrow is Sunday. Never mind that tomorrow is actually Thursday, it's definitely, definitely, definitely Sunday.

They don't have a majority. They are fascists but they are only 80 out of over 600. And they whine a lot

We must stand firm and reject Theresa May's Brexit deal or we will live to regret it
•   
Steve Baker
20 March 2019 • 6:00am
The one advantage of the Cabinet's Withdrawal Agreement is that it would allow us to claim Brexit on March 29. Of course, some colleagues are attracted to it – but the British people have already spotted a dud deal.
According to ComRes polling yesterday, 54 per cent say it does not deliver. Just 14 per cent approve. If we put this agreement through and Theresa May negotiates the future relationship as hopelessly as our withdrawal, we will find ourselves with all the disadvantages of membership and none of the advantages of Brexit.
I understand my Conservative colleagues want to say they have delivered Brexit for fear of voter backlash and I understand the nation is crying out for progress, but this deal would backfire terribly by the next election.
Voting for this deal is not pragmatism. It is the reverse. It would be an understandable but counterproductive surrender for immediate respite.
The pragmatic, realistic response to the deal is to keep clearly in sight what it does, what it will stop us from doing in future and the impossibility of escape from it, once we have locked the door on ourselves.
Leavers cannot be responsible for the actions of pro-EU fanatics determined to overthrow the foundations of our democracy, whether they attack the mandate of the voters, the procedures of the House of Commons or the ministerial code. Some of us will not be forced to share responsibility with them for overturning not just the decision of 17.4  million people, but the legitimacy of our entire system. That is what we will have done if we convert a clear instruction to take back control into a further surrender of our capacity for self-government, forever.
Elected politicians asked the public to choose. All sides said we would honour their decision. They chose independence, despite every horror placed before them, and we stood on manifestos fulfilling that choice. Yet since Chequers it can be seen our fearful Establishment intends us to be a satellite of the EU, locked in a decaying orbit with no way out.
If we vote for this deal, we will have locked ourselves in a prison with no voice and no exit. We will escape only with the permission of those whose authority we rejected. The PM won't resign if the agreement goes through. She will stay and drag us miserably into deeper political disaster.
Practical politicians looking to the future must resist pressure and stop this deal. And it will not be stopped now or in the future by voting for it. This is reality and foresight. It is not self-indulgence or ideology but a practical grasp of what lies ahead.
Perhaps as some suggest, we are defeated, brought into a clever catch-22 with no good choices. But we were not outmanoeuvred. We were outnumbered. Always. From the start and regardless of the election. A determined minority of Conservative and Labour MPs has fought a sustained rearguard action all the way through. If, in the end, we are beaten by those numbers, there will be no shame in it.
But we are not beaten yet. Soon the EU27 will realise that there are those politicians in the UK who, together with a majority of the voters, will not "come to heel". The EU will discover a strategy founded on our capitulation has not worked. They will see they cannot afford no-deal as they head into a European Parliament election already bound to undermine further integration. That's why now more than ever the Prime Minister should change policy. At this European Council, it is time to strictly limit the length of the "Implementation Period" and to replace the backstop with alternative arrangements on the Irish border which can endure indefinitely between our two territories in a spirit of friendship, goodwill and trust.
In the midst of a deep political crisis following naturally from intolerable policy choices, the exit is clear – either revise the Withdrawal Agreement to deliver self-government, or exit on World Trade Organisation terms while offering to negotiate the EU's proposal of last March. Any other course would be open to political failure.
Steve Baker is the MP for Wycombe
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on March 20, 2019, 05:37:09 PM
QuoteBlame Game for an entire process gone drastically wrong.   
[/quote

It should be good when it come back.  I must admit I do enjoy SBP.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SQSZPkEw_OE

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 20, 2019, 05:59:20 PM
Official UK Government spokesperson Leo Varadkar announcing in a press conference that May will address the nation tonight.

He consistently finds a way to get one over on them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 20, 2019, 09:40:25 PM
What a farce of a statement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on March 20, 2019, 10:47:10 PM
Hahaha, Corbyn walked out of a cross bench meeting of senior figures because Chuka Umunna.

He is a petulant cold who must be desperate for this mess to keep going as it continues to mask (to an extent) just how incompetent he is as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 20, 2019, 10:56:46 PM
End is very, very close for May now. Incendiary statement attacking other MPs for not voting for the deal. Provoking *ahem* mayhem in the HoC. One MP has tweeted some of them have been subjected to death threats, thanks pretty much to her incompetence. Dominic Grieve lacerated her in a great speech to the house. If she lasts through next week, I'd be highly surprised.

Don't think Tusk should have issued that ultimatum however; it just gives more fuel to the ERG not to back her deal as they can see how close they are to their cherished crash-out. Even at 1/2 (PPs, hasn't budged all day), MV3 not been carried is surely money in the pocket?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 21, 2019, 04:20:06 AM
I'd  say this is the last chance for the Tories to own Brexit.
If the deal is rejected again Grieve and co will have to vote with the opposition
to start a new process and avoid No Deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 21, 2019, 09:07:56 AM
Quote from: mouview on March 20, 2019, 10:56:46 PM
End is very, very close for May now. Incendiary statement attacking other MPs for not voting for the deal. Provoking *ahem* mayhem in the HoC. One MP has tweeted some of them have been subjected to death threats, thanks pretty much to her incompetence. Dominic Grieve lacerated her in a great speech to the house. If she lasts through next week, I'd be highly surprised.

Don't think Tusk should have issued that ultimatum however
; it just gives more fuel to the ERG not to back her deal as they can see how close they are to their cherished crash-out. Even at 1/2 (PPs, hasn't budged all day), MV3 not been carried is surely money in the pocket?

That requirement for the extension "only" if May's deal passing the house of commons next week is not an EU requirement, it was specified in May's letter to the EU when she requested the possibility of an extension to get legislation through the house if her deal gets passed.

If the deal doesn't get enough votes then there's no extension in place. She hasn't requested one for that scenario.
She's some bollox.

Some Belgian EU official (philippe lamberts) on Radio Ulster last night about 5 O'Clock was making that abundantly clear and then went on to call some Tory politicians as lunatics and didn't go down well with Seamus...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0003dnf (https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0003dnf)  35 minutes in.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 21, 2019, 10:23:57 AM
Will of the people eh Theresa?

https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/241584

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Antrim Coaster on March 21, 2019, 11:56:05 AM
Teasy knifed in the back apparently.

https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2019/0315/1036688-backstop-deal-cox/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 21, 2019, 01:56:52 PM
Heh heh heh

https://twitter.com/hashtag/HannanIrishHistory?src=hash

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 21, 2019, 09:40:26 PM
29th March or 11th April?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on March 21, 2019, 09:57:30 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 21, 2019, 09:40:26 PM
29th March or 11th April?

Every day seems like the 1st of April recently in Brexitland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 21, 2019, 11:52:52 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 21, 2019, 09:40:26 PM
29th March or 11th April?

14 Brumaire?
31st April?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on March 22, 2019, 04:04:41 PM
In case there was any doubt, Nigel Dodds has said "We will not accept any deal which poses a long term risk to the constitutional & economic integrity of the United Kingdom".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 22, 2019, 04:24:34 PM
Over 20 years too late Nigel.
Good Friday Agreement has provisions for interfering with the "constitutional integrity" of your United Kingdom .
But I suppose if you live in the 17th Century you'll not have heard of the GFA ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 22, 2019, 05:20:26 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 22, 2019, 04:24:34 PM
Over 20 years too late Nigel.
Good Friday Agreement has provisions for interfering with the "constitutional integrity" of your United Kingdom .
But I suppose if you live in the 17th Century you'll not have heard of the GFA ;)

They didn't support it then either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 22, 2019, 05:37:48 PM
The good friday agreement is too fenian a name for them too so it's called the Belfast agreement ???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 22, 2019, 05:52:29 PM
Don't you just know  Barnier, Juncker and Tusk are all Catholics too!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 23, 2019, 10:01:14 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 22, 2019, 05:52:29 PM
Don't you just know  Barnier, Juncker and Tusk are all Catholics too!

Bloody papists! Ruining our glorious Ulster Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 24, 2019, 05:07:28 AM
A million people marching in London demanding a people's vote. Is it just me or is that bigger than the poll tax protest?

Heseltine's speech was one for the ages. It's a sin that he never got to be PM. I was never a Tory fan but I always admired Heseltine.

https://youtu.be/Y8oWrF2CXF8 (https://youtu.be/Y8oWrF2CXF8)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 25, 2019, 03:47:36 PM
DUP say no again, Theresa May's deal is not happening now according to BBC.

I think if somebody offered the DUP Corbyn's idea of Brexit now they would take it. They have 2 problems though, they can't be seen to be backing Corbyn above the government and even if they did it would spit the Tory party since it would be a worse form of Brexit for ERG.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 25, 2019, 10:23:59 PM
Parliament "takes control", 3 ministers resign to support motion!
Interesting times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 25, 2019, 10:30:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 25, 2019, 10:23:59 PM
Parliament "takes control", 3 ministers resign to support motion!
Interesting times.

Even by today's standards where nobody resigns surely May can see now she has absolutely no credibility and needs to disappear!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 25, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 25, 2019, 10:30:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 25, 2019, 10:23:59 PM
Parliament "takes control", 3 ministers resign to support motion!
Interesting times.

Even by today's standards where nobody resigns surely May can see now she has absolutely no credibility and needs to disappear!!

I'd be surprised if she sees the end of this week.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 25, 2019, 10:41:14 PM
Replacing her with what? And what difference will they make? Anyone who tries to take on Brexit will commit political suicide
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 25, 2019, 10:57:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 25, 2019, 10:41:14 PM
Replacing her with what? And what difference will they make? Anyone who tries to take on Brexit will commit political suicide

All points towards a general election. Labour will run with the promise of a people's vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on March 25, 2019, 11:20:37 PM
She is going for a no deal.
Will want to be remembered for delivering brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on March 25, 2019, 11:26:40 PM
The English fought a civil war to establish the supremacy of parliament. Just sayin...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 26, 2019, 07:53:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 25, 2019, 10:41:14 PM
Replacing her with what? And what difference will they make? Anyone who tries to take on Brexit will commit political suicide

BoJo wouldn't get much sympathy if it ruined him. He won't go for it though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 11:33:34 AM
Mogg has folded now, saying that it is a choice between May's deal or no Brexit. The emperor has no clothes, it now looks like a case of whether or not May can muster up enough support to get her deal over the line but I wouldn't bank on that happening which leaves everything up in the air.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 12:14:35 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 11:33:34 AM
Mogg has folded now, saying that it is a choice between May's deal or no Brexit. The emperor has no clothes, it now looks like a case of whether or not May can muster up enough support to get her deal over the line but I wouldn't bank on that happening which leaves everything up in the air.
I don't think Grieve and friends will support the deal and May has a majority of 3
The deal is awful
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 12:32:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 12:14:35 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 11:33:34 AM
Mogg has folded now, saying that it is a choice between May's deal or no Brexit. The emperor has no clothes, it now looks like a case of whether or not May can muster up enough support to get her deal over the line but I wouldn't bank on that happening which leaves everything up in the air.
I don't think Grieve and friends will support the deal and May has a majority of 3
The deal is awful

Ordinarily you would think so but if she convinces enough MP's from ERG to vote with her and narrow the gap to 10-20, then DUP and any other defectors will come under serious political pressure to sign up to the deal or risk a soft Brexit/no Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 01:48:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 12:32:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 12:14:35 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 11:33:34 AM
Mogg has folded now, saying that it is a choice between May's deal or no Brexit. The emperor has no clothes, it now looks like a case of whether or not May can muster up enough support to get her deal over the line but I wouldn't bank on that happening which leaves everything up in the air.
I don't think Grieve and friends will support the deal and May has a majority of 3
The deal is awful

Ordinarily you would think so but if she convinces enough MP's from ERG to vote with her and narrow the gap to 10-20, then DUP and any other defectors will come under serious political pressure to sign up to the deal or risk a soft Brexit/no Brexit.

The third option is a popular vote
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 26, 2019, 02:10:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 12:32:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 12:14:35 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 11:33:34 AM
Mogg has folded now, saying that it is a choice between May's deal or no Brexit. The emperor has no clothes, it now looks like a case of whether or not May can muster up enough support to get her deal over the line but I wouldn't bank on that happening which leaves everything up in the air.
I don't think Grieve and friends will support the deal and May has a majority of 3
The deal is awful


Ordinarily you would think so but if she convinces enough MP's from ERG to vote with her and narrow the gap to 10-20, then DUP and any other defectors will come under serious political pressure to sign up to the deal or risk a soft Brexit/no Brexit.

If the ERG leave the DUP high and dry then Nige and Co will need to change their mantra that "its not only us in the DUP who hate the backstop" then the spotlight really is on them and if they are the reason Brexit doesn't happen or even a Hard Brexit they are in the spotlight they'd prefer not to be in.
Squeaky bum time for Arlene and Nige.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 26, 2019, 02:12:34 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 26, 2019, 02:10:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 12:32:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 12:14:35 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 11:33:34 AM
Mogg has folded now, saying that it is a choice between May's deal or no Brexit. The emperor has no clothes, it now looks like a case of whether or not May can muster up enough support to get her deal over the line but I wouldn't bank on that happening which leaves everything up in the air.
I don't think Grieve and friends will support the deal and May has a majority of 3
The deal is awful


Ordinarily you would think so but if she convinces enough MP's from ERG to vote with her and narrow the gap to 10-20, then DUP and any other defectors will come under serious political pressure to sign up to the deal or risk a soft Brexit/no Brexit.

If the ERG leave the DUP high and dry then Nige and Co will need to change their mantra that "its not only us in the DUP who hate the backstop" then the spotlight really is on them and if they are the reason Brexit doesn't happen or even a Hard Brexit they are in the spotlight they'd prefer not to be in.
Squeaky bum time for Arlene and Nige.

Might there be enough support for May's deal without the DUP? If the majority of the Tories vote for it along with a few labour it might scrape through..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 26, 2019, 02:24:27 PM
Quote from: GJL on March 26, 2019, 02:12:34 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 26, 2019, 02:10:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 12:32:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 12:14:35 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 11:33:34 AM
Mogg has folded now, saying that it is a choice between May's deal or no Brexit. The emperor has no clothes, it now looks like a case of whether or not May can muster up enough support to get her deal over the line but I wouldn't bank on that happening which leaves everything up in the air.
I don't think Grieve and friends will support the deal and May has a majority of 3
The deal is awful


Ordinarily you would think so but if she convinces enough MP's from ERG to vote with her and narrow the gap to 10-20, then DUP and any other defectors will come under serious political pressure to sign up to the deal or risk a soft Brexit/no Brexit.

If the ERG leave the DUP high and dry then Nige and Co will need to change their mantra that "its not only us in the DUP who hate the backstop" then the spotlight really is on them and if they are the reason Brexit doesn't happen or even a Hard Brexit they are in the spotlight they'd prefer not to be in.
Squeaky bum time for Arlene and Nige.

Might there be enough support for May's deal without the DUP? If the majority of the Tories vote for it along with a few labour it might scrape through..

That is very possible and something I've always thought May was banking on with her right to the wire approach.

The general thought among Brexiteers and the DUP was that if you take it to the "11th hour" someone would blink and all along they thought that would be the EU.
Turns out it might actually be them blinking.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 02:25:17 PM
DUP now saying they want a one year extension

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/03/26/brexit-latest-news-theresa-may-pressure-offer-mps-free-vote/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 02:34:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 02:25:17 PM
DUP now saying they want a one year extension

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/03/26/brexit-latest-news-theresa-may-pressure-offer-mps-free-vote/

Or in other words they realise that they have been hung out to dry and are now veering towards a softer form of Brexit/no Brexit at all. For that is what a one year extension will entail but they are afraid to come out and say that they support Corbyn's version of it so that they can stay in government. If they don't support May's deal and the bulk of ERG sign up to it then the question is why the hell are they still propping up May's government. Which would make you wonder why they aligned themselves with ERG all along. There is still time for them to buckle though and support the deal if they can get a few last minute concessions. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on March 26, 2019, 02:36:27 PM
Sammy on the lunch time news, saying unless there are significant changes to the deal they will not be backing it. So from this position even with some bungs, bribes and concessions thrown in it is hard to see how they could shift so far without something to hang it on in the new deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 26, 2019, 02:41:15 PM
Sammy vs Barnier/Juncker/Tusk and 27 Governments.
Of course they'll blink ::) :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on March 26, 2019, 02:41:58 PM
EU votes to scrap daylight savings in 2021.

https://www.rte.ie/news/europe/2019/0326/1038689-eu-daylight-savings/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/europe/2019/0326/1038689-eu-daylight-savings/)

After Brexit, a wee night out in Monaghan will not only mean needing a green card or passport, you'll be crossing into a different zone. ffs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 02:43:27 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on March 26, 2019, 02:36:27 PM
Sammy on the lunch time news, saying unless there are significant changes to the deal they will not be backing it. So from this position even with some bungs, bribes and concessions thrown in it is hard to see how they could shift so far without something to hang it on in the new deal.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/03/26/wont-let-pm-remainer-horde-parliament-bully-us-backing-toxic/

Sammy Wilson DUP'S BREXIT SPOKESMAN
26 March 2019 • 1:53pm

extension to Article 50 would be better than this awful deal

We are now engaged in a war of attrition, as the Prime Minister seeks to achieve support for the toxic deal which she allowed the EU to impose on her and the referendum-defying Remainer horde in Parliament try to beat the truculent British public into submitting to their plan to keep us in the EU.
The latest tactic is their plan for Parliament to vote on alternatives to the Withdrawal Agreement. They describe it as Parliament taking control and the message which they are blasting out is that further resistance is futile because the Remainers are in charge. This message also suits the Prime Minister because she has used the claim that a Remain Parliament is taking control to try and bully those who want to leave the EU into supporting her flawed and damaging deal. The threat is that, if the Withdrawal Agreement is not supported, these Remainers will vote for alternatives which means no Brexit.
First of all let us be clear: the Withdrawal Agreement itself means no Brexit. It ensures that the EU has the legal power to prevent us ever leaving except on their draconian terms, which would include a Customs Union and adherence to EU regulations. Those who negotiated the agreement have been quite open about that. They insist that the terms of the deal will be the basis for any future relationship with the EU. They also make it clear that different treatment for Northern Ireland will have to continue. As Leo Varadker has said, the agreement's terms settle the arrangements required to keep the Northern Ireland border open.
We will never volunteer to Northern Ireland being torn from the rest of the UK or our economy being damaged by having trade restrictions between Northern Ireland and our main market in Great Britain. We have worked assiduously with the Government to try to get changes to the agreement and will continue to do so, but we will not vote for an unamended or unchanged version.
Secondly the prospect of the disparate views on the UK's future relationship with the EU ever being reconciled in one alternative by the rag tag Remainer factions in Parliament is quite remote. Even if one view did emerge commanding 50 per cent plus support, would it be an alternative which a Conservative Prime Minister could go and negotiate? Whoever that person might be would surely have the same problems within their party as are being faced with the Withdrawal Agreement. The truth is that this so-called solution of "Parliament taking control" will be as chaotic and face the same stalemate as exists at present, so no one should base their decision and change their mind on the basis of that threat.
There are some colleagues who I admire greatly and who have stood firmly with us in defending Northern Ireland who now take the view that the Withdrawal Agreement, even though it is a rotten deal, is better than losing Brexit. To them I say that, if the deal goes through, we have lost our right to leave the EU. If we sign up to it, we give away our right to leave to the whim and dictates of the EU. That is not Brexit.
Even if we are forced into a one-year extension, we at least would have a say on the things which affect us during that time and would have the right to unilaterally decide to leave at the end of that one-year period through the simple decision of not applying for a further extension. Surely this is a better strategy than volunteering to be locked into the prison of the withdrawal deal with the cell door key in the pocket of Michel Barnier? Besides, the fact remains that Brexit can only be lost if the Government decides to abandon pursuing negotiations to leave the EU.
Finally the announcement of the details of the no-deal Brexit arrangements by the Irish Republic at the weekend, when they confirmed that they can deal with Irish Border trade without any need for one stick of infrastructure along the border, is the final proof that the exit deal is based on one big con job. The Irish border was never an issue. It was used to secure a leaving arrangement which would dictate the restrictive terms of the UK's future relationship with the EU.
The EU cat is out of the bag. There is no justification for the Withdrawal Agreement. The only thing that those of us who want to leave the EU have to fear is being locked into a deal which only the EU can release us from. This week's indicative votes are unlikely to present a negotiable way forward so let us not allow ourselves to be worn down by the relentless efforts of those who despise the 17.4 million people who voted to throw off the shackles of Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on March 26, 2019, 02:44:56 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 02:34:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 02:25:17 PM
DUP now saying they want a one year extension

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/03/26/brexit-latest-news-theresa-may-pressure-offer-mps-free-vote/

Or in other words they realise that they have been hung out to dry and are now veering towards a softer form of Brexit/no Brexit at all. For that is what a one year extension will entail but they are afraid to come out and say that they support Corbyn's version of it so that they can stay in government. If they don't support May's deal and the bulk of ERG sign up to it then the question is why the hell are they still propping up May's government. Which would make you wonder why they aligned themselves with ERG all along. There is still time for them to buckle though and support the deal if they can get a few last minute concessions.

What concessions are there though?  The deal is closed so there's nothing coming there.  Their one 'out' here was to do what Mogg did and say they've accepted it as the alternative was no Brexit.  But they've shut that door on themselves now so I don't see where they go from here?

Although, in saying that, it's the DUP.  Saving face is not something that they care too much about.  There's every likelihood that they could just turn up tomorrow and say the opposite to what they've said today without so much as blinking.

They really are a shower of belligerent, sectarian bastards.  It makes the nauseating sycophancy of the blueshirts at the weekend all the worse.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 26, 2019, 02:46:31 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on March 26, 2019, 02:36:27 PM
Sammy on the lunch time news, saying unless there are significant changes to the deal they will not be backing it. So from this position even with some bungs, bribes and concessions thrown in it is hard to see how they could shift so far without something to hang it on in the new deal.

There is nothing changed for the DUP to save face on. They need something to allow them to get their heads out of this particular noose.
Mogg and the ERG have fucked them over big style.
Typical papist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 02:50:39 PM
Quote from: Franko on March 26, 2019, 02:44:56 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 02:34:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 02:25:17 PM
DUP now saying they want a one year extension

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/03/26/brexit-latest-news-theresa-may-pressure-offer-mps-free-vote/

Or in other words they realise that they have been hung out to dry and are now veering towards a softer form of Brexit/no Brexit at all. For that is what a one year extension will entail but they are afraid to come out and say that they support Corbyn's version of it so that they can stay in government. If they don't support May's deal and the bulk of ERG sign up to it then the question is why the hell are they still propping up May's government. Which would make you wonder why they aligned themselves with ERG all along. There is still time for them to buckle though and support the deal if they can get a few last minute concessions.

What concessions are there though?  The deal is closed so there's nothing coming there. Their one 'out' here was to do what Mogg did and say they've accepted it as the alternative was no Brexit.  But they've shut that door on themselves now so I don't see where they go from here?

Although, in saying that, it's the DUP.  Saving face is not something that they care too much about.  There's every likelihood that they could just turn up tomorrow and say the opposite to what they've said today without so much as blinking.

They really are a shower of belligerent, sectarian b**tards.  It makes the nauseating sycophancy of the blueshirts at the weekend all the worse.

Yes of course the WA is closed, I meant concessions in the form of more money from the Tories.

Only yesterday Nigel Dodds stood up in the House of Commons and asked Theresa May directly what she needs another 2 weeks for that couldn't have been agreed up unitl now. Then we hear today that they are happy with a year's delay. They realise now that they are being isolated by ERG and are looking to reverse out of the entire process. The union trumps any form of Brexit with them and they realise that May's deal will weaken the union and are hedging their bets.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on March 26, 2019, 03:19:19 PM
According to Claire Byrne last night Sammy Wilson spoke passionately to ERG last night and was greet with applause, cheering and table thumping.

Then this from Mogg today...

Also on the thread of Claire Byrne there was a councilor called Jolene Bunting speaking from the audience.  Interesting for an EU critic she struggle to pronounce "undemocratic" and "bureaucratic".  Her demeanor seem so strange I googled her.  Jesus wept, even by Northern Ireland standards this lady is a prize beaut.

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on March 26, 2019, 03:28:04 PM
Mogg and some of the ERG moving towards Mays deal is better than No Brexit. Whilst the DUP are holding out for no Brexit at this time. Who is more likely to be thrown under the bus?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 26, 2019, 03:33:08 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on March 26, 2019, 03:19:19 PM
According to Claire Byrne last night Sammy Wilson spoke passionately to ERG last night and was greet with applause, cheering and table thumping.

Then this from Mogg today...

Also on the thread of Claire Byrne there was a councilor called Jolene Bunting speaking from the audience.  Interesting for an EU critic she struggle to pronounce "undemocratic" and "bureaucratic".  Her demeanor seem so strange I googled her.  Jesus wept, even by Northern Ireland standards this lady is a prize beaut.

/Jim.

Welcome to our world /Jim
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 26, 2019, 03:46:48 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on March 26, 2019, 03:19:19 PM
According to Claire Byrne last night Sammy Wilson spoke passionately to ERG last night and was greet with applause, cheering and table thumping.

Then this from Mogg today...

Also on the thread of Claire Byrne there was a councilor called Jolene Bunting speaking from the audience.  Interesting for an EU critic she struggle to pronounce "undemocratic" and "bureaucratic".  Her demeanor seem so strange I googled her.  Jesus wept, even by Northern Ireland standards this lady is a prize beaut.

/Jim.

She is a prize clampit!!!

She got hunted from the EDL (A feat in itself) as they accused her of stealing FFS!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 04:38:05 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 26, 2019, 02:46:31 PM
Quote from: NAG1 on March 26, 2019, 02:36:27 PM
Sammy on the lunch time news, saying unless there are significant changes to the deal they will not be backing it. So from this position even with some bungs, bribes and concessions thrown in it is hard to see how they could shift so far without something to hang it on in the new deal.

There is nothing changed for the DUP to save face on. They need something to allow them to get their heads out of this particular noose.
Mogg and the ERG have fucked them over big style.
Typical papist.
yup

May is no longer in charge of the decision
Parliament is going to do some sort of triage to see if they can come up with something
Brexit is falling apart
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 26, 2019, 11:03:23 PM
Spotlight tonight, you could not get tired of smashing Poots smirking face in
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on March 27, 2019, 07:58:14 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 02:50:39 PM
Quote from: Franko on March 26, 2019, 02:44:56 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 26, 2019, 02:34:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2019, 02:25:17 PM
DUP now saying they want a one year extension

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/03/26/brexit-latest-news-theresa-may-pressure-offer-mps-free-vote/

Or in other words they realise that they have been hung out to dry and are now veering towards a softer form of Brexit/no Brexit at all. For that is what a one year extension will entail but they are afraid to come out and say that they support Corbyn's version of it so that they can stay in government. If they don't support May's deal and the bulk of ERG sign up to it then the question is why the hell are they still propping up May's government. Which would make you wonder why they aligned themselves with ERG all along. There is still time for them to buckle though and support the deal if they can get a few last minute concessions.

What concessions are there though?  The deal is closed so there's nothing coming there. Their one 'out' here was to do what Mogg did and say they've accepted it as the alternative was no Brexit.  But they've shut that door on themselves now so I don't see where they go from here?

Although, in saying that, it's the DUP.  Saving face is not something that they care too much about.  There's every likelihood that they could just turn up tomorrow and say the opposite to what they've said today without so much as blinking.

They really are a shower of belligerent, sectarian b**tards.  It makes the nauseating sycophancy of the blueshirts at the weekend all the worse.

Yes of course the WA is closed, I meant concessions in the form of more money from the Tories.

Only yesterday Nigel Dodds stood up in the House of Commons and asked Theresa May directly what she needs another 2 weeks for that couldn't have been agreed up unitl now. Then we hear today that they are happy with a year's delay. They realise now that they are being isolated by ERG and are looking to reverse out of the entire process. The union trumps any form of Brexit with them and they realise that May's deal will weaken the union and are hedging their bets.

That's what I mean though.  Yes, Theresa can promise them some more brown envelopes, but they've nothing left to pin the subsequent u-turn on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 27, 2019, 09:14:07 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 26, 2019, 11:03:23 PM
Spotlight tonight, you could not get tired of smashing Poots smirking face in

The lad beside him wasn't long telling him that they're about to get screwed over any time soon by Tory nationalists just like they always do and that he believed that the DUP weren't doing Unionism any favours with their tack in Westminster.

Edwin didn't do himself any favours but by god Máirtín ó Muilleoir really isn't good at these debates. He can't help himself trying to get digs in about the DUP at every cut and turn when he really shouldn't allow the likes of Brexit become a Orange/Green debate. It's more fundamental than that and if he sticks to the economics and that alone then the Shinners may be better placed to get economic unionists to sway towards a UI if Brexit does go badly.
I get that the Shinners want to change the narrative that the DUP peddle that it is Sinn Fein holding up Stormont, but bide your time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 11:37:39 AM
https://twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1110836447626645504
Guy Verhofstadt

I'm surprised to see you here, Mr. Farage. I thought you were marching 200 miles for the leave campaign? How many did you do? 2 miles! You remind me more & more of Field Marshal Haig in Blackadder, sitting safely in his office, while his people are walking in the cold & the rain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 27, 2019, 11:48:01 AM
Leave campaign director Dominic Cummings puts the boot into ERG members;

Cummings condemns hardline Brexiters in the European Research Group as "delusional" and "useful idiots". He says:
Those of you in the narcissist-delusional subset of the ERG who have spent the last three years scrambling for the 810 Today slot while spouting gibberish about trade and the law across SW1 — i.e exactly the contemptible behaviour that led to your enforced marginalisation during the referendum and your attempt to destroy Vote Leave — you are also in the pirate category. You were useful idiots for Remain during the campaign and with every piece of bullshit from Bill Cash et al you have helped only Remain for three years. Remember how you WELCOMED the backstop as a 'triumph' in December 2017 when it was obvious to everybody who knew what was going on — NOT the Cabinet obviously — that this effectively ended the 'negotiations'? Remember how Bernard Jenkin wrote on ConHome that he didn't have to 'ruin his weekend' reading the document to know it was another success for the natural party of government — bringing to mind very clearly how during the referendum so many of you guys were too busy shooting or skiing or chasing girls to do any actual work. You should be treated like a metastasising tumour and excised from the UK body politic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on March 27, 2019, 02:04:41 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 27, 2019, 11:48:01 AM
Leave campaign director Dominic Cummings puts the boot into ERG members;

Cummings condemns hardline Brexiters in the European Research Group as "delusional" and "useful idiots". He says:
Those of you in the narcissist-delusional subset of the ERG who have spent the last three years scrambling for the 810 Today slot while spouting gibberish about trade and the law across SW1 — i.e exactly the contemptible behaviour that led to your enforced marginalisation during the referendum and your attempt to destroy Vote Leave — you are also in the pirate category. You were useful idiots for Remain during the campaign and with every piece of bullshit from Bill Cash et al you have helped only Remain for three years. Remember how you WELCOMED the backstop as a 'triumph' in December 2017 when it was obvious to everybody who knew what was going on — NOT the Cabinet obviously — that this effectively ended the 'negotiations'? Remember how Bernard Jenkin wrote on ConHome that he didn't have to 'ruin his weekend' reading the document to know it was another success for the natural party of government — bringing to mind very clearly how during the referendum so many of you guys were too busy shooting or skiing or chasing girls to do any actual work. You should be treated like a metastasising tumour and excised from the UK body politic.

Watching this bunch of snake oil salesmen turn on each other is an absolute pleasure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 27, 2019, 02:49:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 11:37:39 AM
https://twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1110836447626645504
Guy Verhofstadt

I'm surprised to see you here, Mr. Farage. I thought you were marching 200 miles for the leave campaign? How many did you do? 2 miles! You remind me more & more of Field Marshal Haig in Blackadder, sitting safely in his office, while his people are walking in the cold & the rain.

Farage was fuming after 😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 27, 2019, 03:46:02 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on March 27, 2019, 02:49:35 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 11:37:39 AM
https://twitter.com/guyverhofstadt/status/1110836447626645504
Guy Verhofstadt

I'm surprised to see you here, Mr. Farage. I thought you were marching 200 miles for the leave campaign? How many did you do? 2 miles! You remind me more & more of Field Marshal Haig in Blackadder, sitting safely in his office, while his people are walking in the cold & the rain.

Farage was fuming after 😂

Brilliant. Way out of his depth!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 05:37:53 PM
May has now supposedly agreed to resign if her deal gets through in the next few days. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 27, 2019, 05:46:03 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 05:37:53 PM
May has now supposedly agreed to resign if her deal gets through in the next few days.

So the DUP will lose out?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 06:05:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 27, 2019, 05:46:03 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 05:37:53 PM
May has now supposedly agreed to resign if her deal gets through in the next few days.

So the DUP will lose out?

It would presumably mean a Tory leadership election but the government won't change without an election or unless the DUP bring it down. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on March 27, 2019, 06:10:45 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 06:05:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 27, 2019, 05:46:03 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 05:37:53 PM
May has now supposedly agreed to resign if her deal gets through in the next few days.

So the DUP will lose out?

It would presumably mean a Tory leadership election but the government won't change without an election or unless the DUP bring it down.

But it's her plan, and that's not what the DUP want, so presumably then the backstop is in the deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 27, 2019, 06:51:15 PM
What a fickle bunch.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 27, 2019, 07:08:54 PM
Reese Mogg on about DUP abstaining. I am getting fed up with politics abstaining - you represent your constituents. Do it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on March 27, 2019, 07:24:50 PM
You spelt w&nkstaining wrong  :o  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 07:25:44 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 27, 2019, 06:10:45 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 06:05:19 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 27, 2019, 05:46:03 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 05:37:53 PM
May has now supposedly agreed to resign if her deal gets through in the next few days.

So the DUP will lose out?

It would presumably mean a Tory leadership election but the government won't change without an election or unless the DUP bring it down.

But it's her plan, and that's not what the DUP want, so presumably then the backstop is in the deal?

Backstop has always been in the deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 07:30:31 PM
As predicted it looks increasingly likely that DUP will come under serious political pressure to sign up to the deal. If they abstain or sign up to the backstop they will have serious questions to answer from their electorate if at a later date they are trapped with it. The Orange order helped collapse the Stormont deal 2 years ago at the 11th hour so I wouldn't bank on them signing up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 27, 2019, 07:38:10 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/0327/1038950-dup/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 09:03:57 PM
DUP say no, their grand masters in the orange order must have told them under no circumstances to sign up.

The government deal now looks highly unlikely to pass, where does this their confidence & supply agreement if they can't support the government on this and where does it leave Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 27, 2019, 09:13:25 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 09:03:57 PM
DUP say no, their grand masters in the orange order must have told them under no circumstances to sign up.

The government deal now looks highly unlikely to pass, where does this their confidence & supply agreement if they can't support the government on this and where does it leave Brexit.

Indicative vote will make it clearer hopefully
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 27, 2019, 09:40:29 PM
Theresa May wants to make an announcement...a GE?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 09:43:47 PM
Arlene Foster said they couldn't sign up to a withdrawal agreement after the backstop was agreed by Theresa May back in December 2017.

Privately, I think they've known for some time that they backed the wrong horse with Brexit and it is simply a case of damage limitation. The taste of power in Westminster helped and she almost apologized for not backing the deal so I think they will try to not back the deal yet simultaneously cling on to the Tories to try and preserve their confidence & supply agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 27, 2019, 09:49:03 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 09:43:47 PM
Arlene Foster said they couldn't sign up to a withdrawal agreement after the backstop was agreed by Theresa May back in December 2017.

Privately, I think they've known for some time that they backed the wrong horse with Brexit and it is simply a case of damage limitation. The taste of power in Westminster helped and she almost apologized for not backing the deal so I think they will try to not back the deal yet simultaneously cling on to the Tories to try and preserve their confidence & supply agreement.

I think there will be a GE and DUP will be kicked to the kerb regardless of who is leading tories. If there is a GE with May leading Tories I wouldn't want to be a DUP politician - she will make them pay.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 09:55:08 PM
Some craic, everyone knows what they are against. The whole thing has really made a cod of Westminster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 27, 2019, 10:00:04 PM
A General Election isn't an option - or at least - pretty sure it will result in a no-deal exit.

Can't see the EU giving them an open ended extension which leads to another few years of meandering.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 27, 2019, 10:07:01 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 27, 2019, 10:00:04 PM
A General Election isn't an option - or at least - pretty sure it will result in a no-deal exit.

Can't see the EU giving them an open ended extension which leads to another few years of meandering.

If government collapses and a GE is called I would guess the EU will give the necessary time for it as a no deal is the last thing they want as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on March 27, 2019, 10:07:33 PM
Parliament has seized control of the Brexit process by stating clearly "We have no clue what we want"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 27, 2019, 10:12:58 PM
Quote from: dec on March 27, 2019, 10:07:33 PM
Parliament has seized control of the Brexit process by stating clearly "We have no clue what we want"

That is true to a point.

Then, when you consider how much closer a customs union got to passing compared to Tessy's deal...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 27, 2019, 10:14:40 PM
QuoteFour months ago, Boris Johnson told the DUP conference that Theresa May's deal would mean Northern Ireland becoming "an economic semi-colony of the EU...no Conservative British Government could or should sign up to such arrangements".
Tonight he says he's voting for her deal.

I saw this on Twitter. Good old boris. Although at least now it is funny as it's at the dup's expense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on March 27, 2019, 10:26:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 27, 2019, 10:14:40 PM
QuoteFour months ago, Boris Johnson told the DUP conference that Theresa May's deal would mean Northern Ireland becoming "an economic semi-colony of the EU...no Conservative British Government could or should sign up to such arrangements".
Tonight he says he's voting for her deal.

I saw this on Twitter. Good old boris. Although at least now it is funny as it's at the dup's expense.

Was that Sam McBride?

He retweeted his own tweet from the time (4 months ago)

"Boris Johnson elicits a raucous welcome at the DUP conference. But it's a bit of a marriage of convenience. Some DUP members see him as an untrustworthy opportunist who can't be relied upon to constitutionally back them when it really counts."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 10:29:51 PM
The House of Commons has now voted down every single type of Brexit and won't countenance no Brexit. What a clusterfcuk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 10:35:51 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 27, 2019, 10:29:51 PM
The House of Commons has now voted down every single type of Brexit and won't countenance no Brexit. What a clusterfcuk.

The real Brexit is out there, on the yellow brick road.

(https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-M6SvAiEjESg/WjkxID6ljwI/AAAAAAAACCs/2eZfY7HIG609upCAEH2VRHp-iMjL7L1fgCLcBGAs/s400/brexit%2Bunicorn.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on March 27, 2019, 10:52:50 PM
Alistair Campbell was saying that the DUP might find they are short financially on any immediate/future GE because the farmers and businesses are not pleased with Foster.

The DUP must feel like they are in an escape room but they are only just realising there is no way out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 27, 2019, 11:19:25 PM
Just shows you that any **** who says "the people know exactly what they voted for" is exactly that... a lying ****!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 11:22:10 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 27, 2019, 11:19:25 PM
Just shows you that any **** who says "the people know exactly what they voted for" is exactly that... a lying ****!!

It is f***ing ridiculous voting out without knowing what would replace it.
In GAA terms it would be like closing your stadium without having the replacement design approved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on March 28, 2019, 07:34:12 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 11:22:10 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 27, 2019, 11:19:25 PM
Just shows you that any **** who says "the people know exactly what they voted for" is exactly that... a lying ****!!

It is f***ing ridiculous voting out without knowing what would replace it.
In GAA terms it would be like closing your stadium without having the replacement design approved.

;D
Same result awaits a barren wasteland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 28, 2019, 07:41:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 11:22:10 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 27, 2019, 11:19:25 PM
Just shows you that any **** who says "the people know exactly what they voted for" is exactly that... a lying ****!!

It is f***ing ridiculous voting out without knowing what would replace it.
In GAA terms it would be like closing your stadium without having the replacement design approved.

Lol. Great analogy.

That 16 year old on qt nailed it. It's not about the will of the people etc. It's personal gains stuff here with the Torres showing themselves up for what they are. I suspect mogg etc will make plenty when brexit happens unlike the people they supposedly represent. I don't understand how people vote for people like him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on March 28, 2019, 09:00:33 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 28, 2019, 07:41:45 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 27, 2019, 11:22:10 PM
Quote from: screenexile on March 27, 2019, 11:19:25 PM
Just shows you that any **** who says "the people know exactly what they voted for" is exactly that... a lying ****!!

It is f***ing ridiculous voting out without knowing what would replace it.
In GAA terms it would be like closing your stadium without having the replacement design approved.

Lol. Great analogy.

That 16 year old on qt nailed it. It's not about the will of the people etc. It's personal gains stuff here with the Torres showing themselves up for what they are. I suspect mogg etc will make plenty when brexit happens unlike the people they supposedly represent. I don't understand how people vote for people like him.

He's already transferred his hedge funds to Dublin which shows how much faith he has in the British economy.

It's the people on the periphery/border areas who always get hit hardest - the likes of Rees Mogg and Johnson etc in London are living in a bubble. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 28, 2019, 12:26:33 PM
Interesting view here
https://www.politico.eu/article/how-uk-lost-brexit-eu-negotiation/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 28, 2019, 02:23:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 28, 2019, 12:26:33 PM
Interesting view here
https://www.politico.eu/article/how-uk-lost-brexit-eu-negotiation/
Super article with lessons for Ireland


"Westminster had underestimated the EU's determination to ensure the Brexit talks remained a bureaucratic process — and not be sucked into political horse-trading with the U.K. "It misread the legal nature of the EU," one senior French official said. "This is what makes it strong."

"The EU, while strategically myopic, is formidably good at process against negotiating opponents," said Rogers.

That is what happened in 2010. Labour's way or Frankfurt's way. 

Don't get into negotiations with the EU . Recapitalise the banks before the crash
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mario on March 28, 2019, 04:16:27 PM
Bringing a bit of comedy to the whole brexit saga:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTTWHyWZ_84&fbclid=IwAR3IblIbZvCtwvL9qEabYo3gnWisPWACNqfz4-MbPR7hnLBNNOTpfYBv1hs (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTTWHyWZ_84&fbclid=IwAR3IblIbZvCtwvL9qEabYo3gnWisPWACNqfz4-MbPR7hnLBNNOTpfYBv1hs)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 28, 2019, 05:08:37 PM
Sure they might just have an oul vote everyday....

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-47729773
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on March 28, 2019, 08:38:59 PM
The Irish Border was barely mentioned in the 2016 campaign.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 28, 2019, 09:16:10 PM
Quote from: Mario on March 28, 2019, 04:16:27 PM
Bringing a bit of comedy to the whole brexit saga:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTTWHyWZ_84&fbclid=IwAR3IblIbZvCtwvL9qEabYo3gnWisPWACNqfz4-MbPR7hnLBNNOTpfYBv1hs (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTTWHyWZ_84&fbclid=IwAR3IblIbZvCtwvL9qEabYo3gnWisPWACNqfz4-MbPR7hnLBNNOTpfYBv1hs)

For that poor lad, clearly a case of Brexit gone from bad to verse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on March 28, 2019, 10:24:58 PM
Quote from: Mario on March 28, 2019, 04:16:27 PM
Bringing a bit of comedy to the whole brexit saga:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTTWHyWZ_84&fbclid=IwAR3IblIbZvCtwvL9qEabYo3gnWisPWACNqfz4-MbPR7hnLBNNOTpfYBv1hs (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTTWHyWZ_84&fbclid=IwAR3IblIbZvCtwvL9qEabYo3gnWisPWACNqfz4-MbPR7hnLBNNOTpfYBv1hs)
Brilliant ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on March 28, 2019, 10:33:26 PM
The DUP are finding themselves in an ever trickier spot. If the deal goes through NI would be treated differently from the UK, and it is now apparent this would also be the case in the event of No Deal. Surely the only way the DUP can escape from this is for Brexit not to happen, which is ironic given their support for it.

"Senior hurling" is, I think, how that is described on this board.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on March 28, 2019, 11:01:31 PM
I don't think there is any chance of May's deal going through on Friday, not going by the mutterings from MP's on TV tonight anyway.  It's looking like a long extension, and ultimately the complete unravelling of Brexit .... which will suit the DUP well.  They can then return to their bigoted ways this side of the Irish Sea, where unfortunately their grass roots support will continue to back them to keep Sinn Fein out ... the whole thing is pathetic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 28, 2019, 11:29:14 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on March 28, 2019, 08:38:59 PM
The Irish Border was barely mentioned in the 2016 campaign.

How ironic, thst referendum was about taking control of their boadahs, yet the only land border was totally overlooked.

Not surprising though
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 29, 2019, 08:07:13 AM
It's Brexit day

https://youtu.be/dZANKFxrcKU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 29, 2019, 09:45:38 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on March 28, 2019, 11:01:31 PM
I don't think there is any chance of May's deal going through on Friday, not going by the mutterings from MP's on TV tonight anyway.  It's looking like a long extension, and ultimately the complete unravelling of Brexit .... which will suit the DUP well.  They can then return to their bigoted ways this side of the Irish Sea, where unfortunately their grass roots support will continue to back them to keep Sinn Fein out ... the whole thing is pathetic.

They'll be bigoted regardless of which way things end up. Their intransigence over this and their willingness to sacrifice the North to remain in the UK may drive wavering DUP voters to support Alliance or the UUP in future. The DUP won't come out of this unscathed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 29, 2019, 11:01:14 AM
Apparently a lot of Labour MP's are now being effectively bribed with money for their constituencies and some of them are rumoured to be signing up to the deal. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 29, 2019, 11:22:00 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 29, 2019, 11:01:14 AM
Apparently a lot of Labour MP's are now being effectively bribed with money for their constituencies and some of them are rumoured to be signing up to the deal.

Where is that money gonna come from?

As far as the UK economy is concerned: Brexit = Broke
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 29, 2019, 11:32:40 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 29, 2019, 11:22:00 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 29, 2019, 11:01:14 AM
Apparently a lot of Labour MP's are now being effectively bribed with money for their constituencies and some of them are rumoured to be signing up to the deal.

Where is that money gonna come from?

As far as the UK economy is concerned: Brexit = Broke

Lots of people flipping their vote this morning . . . that will get us another month but what are we gonna do before then??!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 29, 2019, 11:34:53 AM
Interesting. PPs were 1/14 at one stage this morning, 1/4 now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 29, 2019, 11:37:36 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 29, 2019, 11:22:00 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 29, 2019, 11:01:14 AM
Apparently a lot of Labour MP's are now being effectively bribed with money for their constituencies and some of them are rumoured to be signing up to the deal.

Where is that money gonna come from?

As far as the UK economy is concerned: Brexit = Broke

The same magic money tree that fluttered £1B plus to us/DUP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 29, 2019, 11:58:50 AM
Quote from: Mario on March 28, 2019, 04:16:27 PM
Bringing a bit of comedy to the whole brexit saga:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTTWHyWZ_84&fbclid=IwAR3IblIbZvCtwvL9qEabYo3gnWisPWACNqfz4-MbPR7hnLBNNOTpfYBv1hs (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GTTWHyWZ_84&fbclid=IwAR3IblIbZvCtwvL9qEabYo3gnWisPWACNqfz4-MbPR7hnLBNNOTpfYBv1hs)
I really enjoyed it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on March 29, 2019, 12:10:03 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 29, 2019, 11:37:36 AM
The same magic money tree that fluttered £1B plus to us/DUP

When the UK's economy is broke and they are beating at the IMFs door for emergency bail outs (like 1976) - then there ain't even gonna be the magic money tree!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 29, 2019, 12:28:26 PM
Feck! The DUP and ERG have split up; who'll get custody of the kids?


Nicholas Watt
‏ @nicholaswatt

A brief marriage ends. DUP learning today that many in ERG = Brexiteers first Unionists second. DUP = Unionists first and Brexiteers second. So DUP would countenance long extension / customs union over PM's deal while ERG will support PM's deal over long extension / customs union

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 29, 2019, 01:02:58 PM
Dominic Raab now supporting May's deal also. the Tory Brexiteer's all jumping ship at the last minute which means that the DUP will come under yet more political pressure. I don't think she will get it over the line tonight but if it is 10-20 votes away then expect the DUP to come under serious pressure again over the weekend. They are becoming increasingly isolated.

Sammy Wilson is a heart attack waiting to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 29, 2019, 01:06:53 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 29, 2019, 01:02:58 PM
Dominic Raab now supporting May's deal also. the Tory Brexiteer's all jumping ship at the last minute which means that the DUP will come under yet more political pressure. I don't think she will get it over the line tonight but if it is 10-20 votes away then expect the DUP to come under serious pressure again over the weekend. They are becoming increasingly isolated.

Sammy Wilson is a heart attack waiting to happen.

It's all over the place. Some ERG are voting for, some aren't. Remainers won't vote for it. DUP won't, it's hard to see them shifting position. Even Labour MPs minded to support it probably won't as there's likely a GE in the offing. Still looks as if it'll go down big, so back again on Monday for more Indicative debate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on March 29, 2019, 02:47:14 PM
Little England's glorious Brexit project has just died following latest defeat.  Onwards to a long extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 29, 2019, 02:54:05 PM
That's the end of May's deal, well beaten for a third time it looks very much like a long extension now and European elections.

The atmosphere in England will be poisonous now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: joemamas on March 29, 2019, 03:11:12 PM
Won't this uncertainty's just continue to impact economic growth or what's left of it.
What other impacts are there on political system, tariffs etc, or is it all just postponed forever,
What is the end game now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maiden1 on March 29, 2019, 03:11:54 PM
Seems to me like they will just keep going round in circles.  Can't leave without an agreement, no chance of getting agreement, extension to timeline...  European elections coming up, everything on hold until after that. If they keep this up for another couple of years eventually everyone will get tired and they will have another vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 29, 2019, 03:48:31 PM
Surely the Eu will eventually just tell the UK to get out though? (Maybe on April the 12th)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 29, 2019, 04:27:21 PM
The EU will want stability as much as possible so will probably give them an extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on March 29, 2019, 04:54:11 PM
Are the DUPPERS finally turning?

Dodds earlier

Quote"We will look at any option. At the end of the day why should we believe that it was right to vote Leave? When we were in the EU people were quite happy with that in N Ireland because we were there together with everybody else."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 29, 2019, 05:01:40 PM
Errr Nigeen....why were ye such enthusiatis Brexiteers??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on March 29, 2019, 05:25:21 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 29, 2019, 09:45:38 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on March 28, 2019, 11:01:31 PM
I don't think there is any chance of May's deal going through on Friday, not going by the mutterings from MP's on TV tonight anyway.  It's looking like a long extension, and ultimately the complete unravelling of Brexit .... which will suit the DUP well.  They can then return to their bigoted ways this side of the Irish Sea, where unfortunately their grass roots support will continue to back them to keep Sinn Fein out ... the whole thing is pathetic.

They'll be bigoted regardless of which way things end up. Their intransigence over this and their willingness to sacrifice the North to remain in the UK may drive wavering DUP voters to support Alliance or the UUP in future. The DUP won't come out of this unscathed.

The beeb had a quick vox pop last night in Larne, all those interviewed were supportive of the DUP position........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 29, 2019, 05:49:48 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on March 29, 2019, 05:25:21 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 29, 2019, 09:45:38 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on March 28, 2019, 11:01:31 PM
I don't think there is any chance of May's deal going through on Friday, not going by the mutterings from MP's on TV tonight anyway.  It's looking like a long extension, and ultimately the complete unravelling of Brexit .... which will suit the DUP well.  They can then return to their bigoted ways this side of the Irish Sea, where unfortunately their grass roots support will continue to back them to keep Sinn Fein out ... the whole thing is pathetic.

They'll be bigoted regardless of which way things end up. Their intransigence over this and their willingness to sacrifice the North to remain in the UK may drive wavering DUP voters to support Alliance or the UUP in future. The DUP won't come out of this unscathed.

The beeb had a quick vox pop last night in Larne, all those interviewed were supportive of the DUP position........

Shit hole full of hardcore loyalists.  Not all DUP voters would think with a Larne attitude
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 29, 2019, 05:51:58 PM
May forgot to heed the words of WC Fields. If at first you don't succeed, try again. Then quit. No point in being a damn fool about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on March 29, 2019, 06:54:48 PM
Nigel dodds now all over the f**king place. Better to stay in the eu to retain the Union he says. What happened to the majority of uk voted for brexit and to f**k what the people of NI want. He fairly changed his tune. Maybe the penny finally dropped that the DUP and pretty much the DUP alone were risking the union. Looks like the brick did some permanent damage lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on March 29, 2019, 07:29:01 PM
If a general election is called is called, Nigel Dodd might no l9nger be a mp. He has a majority from 2017 of 2000 approx and I don't think the uup fielded a candidate in North Belfast back then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 29, 2019, 07:37:12 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on March 29, 2019, 06:54:48 PM
Nigel dodds now all over the f**king place. Better to stay in the eu to retain the Union he says. What happened to the majority of uk voted for brexit and to f**k what the people of NI want. He fairly changed his tune. Maybe the penny finally dropped that the DUP and pretty much the DUP alone were risking the union. Looks like the brick did some permanent damage lol

After the Sky News Gaffe, maybe he's decided that instead of a SuperBrit, he is now a SuperEura-peeing.

(https://images-o.jpimedia.uk/imagefetch/w_700,f_auto,ar_3:2,q_auto:low,c_fill/if_h_lte_200,c_mfit,h_201/https://www.derryjournal.com/webimage/1.8868826.1553788124!/image/image.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on March 29, 2019, 08:05:11 PM
Dodds just did a massive u turn - he now wants to stay...lol.  What a clown!

A bit dierrent from McCausland's 'we don't care, we just want out' Brexit. A bunch of clowns.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 30, 2019, 07:04:02 AM
The biggest story of yesterday was Dodds letting the cat out of the bag in admitting that staying in the EU would be a better option than what is currently on offer. Dodd's is a pragmatist and will have realized at this stage that there is no good Brexit for them. I do think that the implications of the backstop on the Union has been over exaggerated by the DUP but if they were confident that there were the technological solutions to solve the border conundrum then it wouldn't even be an issue. However there aren't any such solutions and the north is only being used as leverage by many within the Tory party to obtain the hardest possible Brexit.

With the DUP it's Union first and Brexit second, with the Tories it is the other way about since after all this entire Brexit process has largely been about the rise of English nationalism. It's a case of chickens coming home to roost for the DUP.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 30, 2019, 08:38:56 AM
The DUP and ERG have backed themselves into a corner neither want to be the ones to own a Hard Brexit and funny enough I don't think the EU will want to own it either which is why I think we'll see a much longer extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 30, 2019, 06:11:17 PM
Just seeing the video clip of Ian Paisley junior giving a rabble rousing speech in Parliament Square last night. You would be forgiven for thinking you had been transported back 35 years and it was his father stood there stirring up hatred and fear. It's hard to reconcile that with the comments of Nigel Dodds earlier in the day stating that he would accept remain rather than Theresa May's deal.

I think there must be some internal disagreements within the DUP between the hardliners like Sammy Wilson and Paisley junior on one hand and Donaldson, Robinson and Simon Hamilton on the other.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldv570I_W2w
 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on March 30, 2019, 06:23:34 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 30, 2019, 06:11:17 PM
Just seeing the video clip of Ian Paisley junior giving a rabble rousing speech in Parliament Square last night. You would be forgiven for thinking you had been transported back 35 years and it was his father stood there stirring up hatred and fear. It's hard to reconcile that with the comments of Nigel Dodds earlier in the day stating that he would accept remain rather than Theresa May's deal.

I think there must be some internal disagreements within the DUP between the hardliners like Sammy Wilson and Paisley junior on one hand and Donaldson, Robinson and Simon Hamilton on the other.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldv570I_W2w


Mr Hamilton has been kicked to touch for roiding a kafflick 😂 Junior obviously running out of options for holidays....looks like Margate now😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on March 30, 2019, 08:20:25 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on March 30, 2019, 06:23:34 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 30, 2019, 06:11:17 PM
Just seeing the video clip of Ian Paisley junior giving a rabble rousing speech in Parliament Square last night. You would be forgiven for thinking you had been transported back 35 years and it was his father stood there stirring up hatred and fear. It's hard to reconcile that with the comments of Nigel Dodds earlier in the day stating that he would accept remain rather than Theresa May's deal.

I think there must be some internal disagreements within the DUP between the hardliners like Sammy Wilson and Paisley junior on one hand and Donaldson, Robinson and Simon Hamilton on the other.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldv570I_W2w


Mr Hamilton has been kicked to touch for roiding a kafflick 😂 Junior obviously running out of options for holidays....looks like Margate now😂

Seriously, where is Hamilton these days?  I haven't saw him on tv in any capacity this long time - apart from RHI last year.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 30, 2019, 08:44:30 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 30, 2019, 06:11:17 PM
Just seeing the video clip of Ian Paisley junior giving a rabble rousing speech in Parliament Square last night. You would be forgiven for thinking you had been transported back 35 years and it was his father stood there stirring up hatred and fear. It's hard to reconcile that with the comments of Nigel Dodds earlier in the day stating that he would accept remain rather than Theresa May's deal.

I think there must be some internal disagreements within the DUP between the hardliners like Sammy Wilson and Paisley junior on one hand and Donaldson, Robinson and Simon Hamilton on the other.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldv570I_W2w


Good shout!! Some difference in what Out Sammy's saying and what the leadership are!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on March 30, 2019, 09:54:26 PM
One of the London journos, Tim Shipley?, had the DUP split 7-3 deep down in favor for the WA.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on March 31, 2019, 11:01:11 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on March 30, 2019, 09:54:26 PM
One of the London journos, Tim Shipley?, had the DUP split 7-3 deep down in favor for the WA.


She might get it through yet!

This whole thing will end up in serious riots at some stage I think!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on April 01, 2019, 09:45:46 AM
Quote from: GJL on March 31, 2019, 11:01:11 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on March 30, 2019, 09:54:26 PM
One of the London journos, Tim Shipley?, had the DUP split 7-3 deep down in favor for the WA.


She might get it through yet!

This whole thing will end up in serious riots at some stage I think!

By who? Right wing if Brexit not delivered?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on April 01, 2019, 10:24:21 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on March 30, 2019, 06:11:17 PM
Just seeing the video clip of Ian Paisley junior giving a rabble rousing speech in Parliament Square last night. You would be forgiven for thinking you had been transported back 35 years and it was his father stood there stirring up hatred and fear. It's hard to reconcile that with the comments of Nigel Dodds earlier in the day stating that he would accept remain rather than Theresa May's deal.

I think there must be some internal disagreements within the DUP between the hardliners like Sammy Wilson and Paisley junior on one hand and Donaldson, Robinson and Simon Hamilton on the other.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldv570I_W2w


Quote from the good book         [tick]
Persecution complex                 [tick]
Light on substance                    [tick]
Mention Ulster out of context     [tick]
Finish with No Surrender           [tick]

Wonder who writes his speeches?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on April 01, 2019, 10:30:29 AM
Same boy that wrote his oul boys goin by that list 😃
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on April 01, 2019, 01:16:17 PM
Should that video not be in the bygones thread
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 01, 2019, 02:25:06 PM
Or the WTF thread!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on April 01, 2019, 08:43:43 PM
Interesting tweet here. Seemed to have slipped under the radar.

https://mobile.twitter.com/emmandjdesouza/status/1112320347515375616?s=12

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on April 02, 2019, 07:04:57 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/uk-immigration-rules-deny-ni-born-irish-citizens-access-to-eu-rights-1.3846117#.XKKDCLFmU2k.facebook
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 02, 2019, 08:08:20 AM
The Brits need more time

12 days is a joke
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on April 02, 2019, 08:13:39 AM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on April 02, 2019, 07:04:57 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/uk-immigration-rules-deny-ni-born-irish-citizens-access-to-eu-rights-1.3846117#.XKKDCLFmU2k.facebook

I wonder how the Irish government have allowed this to materialise, this will infuriate nationalists in the north.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on April 02, 2019, 08:18:33 AM
DUP just want a border, not money.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on April 02, 2019, 08:34:21 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on April 02, 2019, 08:18:33 AM
DUP just want a border, not money.

The good thing about the indicative votes is that it lays bare every single MP's intentions.

They voted down every form of soft Brexit or remain type deal last night so it would be hard not to think that they are simply intent on driving the greatest possible wedge as they see it between Ireland north and south despite Nigel Dodds statement last Friday. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on April 02, 2019, 08:43:55 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on April 02, 2019, 08:34:21 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on April 02, 2019, 08:18:33 AM
DUP just want a border, not money.

The good thing about the indicative votes is that it lays bare every single MP's intentions.

They voted down every form of soft Brexit or remain type deal last night so it would be hard not to think that they are simply intent on driving the greatest possible wedge as they see it between Ireland north and south despite Nigel Dodds statement last Friday.

Sammy says customs union and single market involvement still would lead to a hardening of the border?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on April 02, 2019, 08:51:24 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on April 02, 2019, 08:13:39 AM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on April 02, 2019, 07:04:57 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/uk-immigration-rules-deny-ni-born-irish-citizens-access-to-eu-rights-1.3846117#.XKKDCLFmU2k.facebook

I wonder how the Irish government have allowed this to materialise, this will infuriate nationalists in the north.

This is serious. I would guess influenced by all the Brits applying for Irish Passports since brexit!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on April 02, 2019, 09:31:41 AM
The only way to ensure no border checks is to stay in the EU, i.e. in the customs union and single market.  Norway is aligned with the single market but not in the customs union, which means infrastructure and 10 min checks at the Swedish border.  Turkey is in the customs union but not the single market, which can mean hours of delays in some cases.  If there's to be no hard border here then it will be a first, and a precedent being set.  The EU is a conservative, process driven institution so it's hard to see them wanting to take many risks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on April 02, 2019, 09:31:52 AM
It's so f**king frustrating the way the DUP are allowed to run around Westminster wielding a disproportionate amount of power for their electoral size. Nationalism should be in there. Our voice should be heard. At this moment in time, in 11 days time, a border will appear on this island. Paperwork, checks, declarations. It is all on its way unless this madness is stopped.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 02, 2019, 10:17:28 AM
And the DUP will take no accountability for it just like they take no accountability for anything. Vote no to everything and then you can never be held accountable just like the GFA when loyalists couldn't have IRA men/women being let out of jail - not their fault as they didn't vote for it. RHI no accountability, Paisley in Sri Lanka no accountability, Red Sky no accountability and the list goes on.

If a border happens they will say they didn't vote for it. They didn't vote for anything and this is on them. It is sickening that there is pretty much no nationalist representation in this at all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on April 02, 2019, 10:26:18 AM
Sinn Fein are loitering about outside Westminster waiting for somebody to interview them.  They look utterly powerless in all of this.  Yes, they're talking to the EU, but it's hard to see what meaningful impact they're having.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 02, 2019, 10:29:07 AM
You do wonder if their real strategy is let the shit show unfold and it will further the cause for a united ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: God14 on April 02, 2019, 10:53:59 AM
In the event of the UK crashing out on April 12th and a hard border & customs tarriffs invoked

Would a white van man with a van full of tools and materials be expected to pay duty on the materials
What is the 'duty free allowance'  if any, for a tradesman?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on April 02, 2019, 10:55:24 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 02, 2019, 10:29:07 AM
You do wonder if their real strategy is let the shit show unfold and it will further the cause for a united ireland.
Do honestly think they sat down and thought this through? Whether it was the right thing to do or not, they were always going to do nothing. No strategy or thought process involved.
What if they'd sat down and had a strategy meeting and came up with the conclusion that this is an unprecedented situation and sets up a golden opportunity where our few seats/votes could make a crucial difference in Brexit. Plus the publicity and airtime they would get in the British media to push their views would be like nothing before.
But no, let's do nothing. 

The DUP are fighting tooth and nail for what they believe in. Pushing their case non-stop. They might be making a hames of it at times, but nobody can question that they are doing whatever they can to the best of their ability on what is a shitshow for all concerned. Their new mantra (that they've fallen into by accident more than anything) of Union First, Brexit Second might finally be a winner for them.

It's absolute dreamland to think any of this will bring about a United Ireland, by SF doing nothing. NI's economy will almost certainly be hardest hit of any region due to Brexit. But Ireland (especially the 25 counties outside Dublin) will be a strong contender for next worst.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on April 02, 2019, 11:23:50 AM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 09:31:52 AM
It's so f**king frustrating the way the DUP are allowed to run around Westminster wielding a disproportionate amount of power for their electoral size. Nationalism should be in there. Our voice should be heard. At this moment in time, in 11 days time, a border will appear on this island. Paperwork, checks, declarations. It is all on its way unless this madness is stopped.

That is FPTP for you.
Lib Dems and UKIP both on around 8%. One has a lot more MP's in WM than the other.
Greens and SNP both on 3%. One has a lot more MP's in WM than the other.
DUP & SF both around 0.01%. One has a lot more MP's in WM than the other.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on April 02, 2019, 11:25:45 AM
Lads to say SF would have any influence is real pie in the sky stuff. Jesus there is upwards of 40 SNP MPs and look how they are treated.

A cohort of Tories would vote the exact opposite to anything SF does out of pure spite and anti irishness.

This shitshow is Englands doing and only the English can resolve it. Unfortunately we are cannon fodder in the middle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on April 02, 2019, 11:30:08 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 02, 2019, 10:17:28 AM
And the DUP will take no accountability for it just like they take no accountability for anything. Vote no to everything and then you can never be held accountable just like the GFA when loyalists couldn't have IRA men/women being let out of jail - not their fault as they didn't vote for it. RHI no accountability, Paisley in Sri Lanka no accountability, Red Sky no accountability and the list goes on.

If a border happens they will say they didn't vote for it. They didn't vote for anything and this is on them. It is sickening that there is pretty much no nationalist representation in this at all.

It's sickening that there is still a British presence in Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on April 02, 2019, 11:30:29 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on April 02, 2019, 11:23:50 AM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 09:31:52 AM
It's so f**king frustrating the way the DUP are allowed to run around Westminster wielding a disproportionate amount of power for their electoral size. Nationalism should be in there. Our voice should be heard. At this moment in time, in 11 days time, a border will appear on this island. Paperwork, checks, declarations. It is all on its way unless this madness is stopped.

That is FPTP for you.
Lib Dems and UKIP both on around 8%. One has a lot more MP's in WM than the other.
Greens and SNP both on 3%. One has a lot more MP's in WM than the other.
DUP & SF both around 0.01%. One has a lot more MP's in WM than the other.

Hardly anything to do with FPTP when you run on an abstentionist ticket and don't take your seats.

Sinn Fein really can't take their seats in Westminster as ultimately they're a one agenda party, i.e. United Ireland or bust. Taking their seats in the UK Government would be totally contrary to that aim.
It would be like UKIP suddenly deciding Brexit was a bad idea and canvassing for article 50 to be revoked. They'd no longer be UKIP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on April 02, 2019, 11:53:45 AM
Superb post easytiger.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on April 02, 2019, 12:09:17 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on April 02, 2019, 11:53:45 AM
Superb post easytiger.

+ 1

The DUP are screwed no matter what way Brexit goes. The Tories knew they needed a fall guy from the start just like they did with the Lib Dems.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on April 02, 2019, 12:20:45 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

So let a "no deal" Brexit happen and f**k all the people in NI? Is that what you think is a good plan?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 12:27:13 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

I have no problem with your analysis of DUP, the mess they are in and their role in creating their own mess.

But the way you let SF off the hook is shameful.

If we are economically crippled through a hard Brexit what do you say to those who can least afford to take that hit. This idea at look at DUP squirming that will feed and clothe the kids is as ideological hardline, blinkered and morally corrupt as DUP themselves
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on April 02, 2019, 12:29:42 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on April 02, 2019, 11:25:45 AM
Lads to say SF would have any influence is real pie in the sky stuff. Jesus there is upwards of 40 SNP MPs and look how they are treated.

A cohort of Tories would vote the exact opposite to anything SF does out of pure spite and anti irishness.

This shitshow is Englands doing and only the English can resolve it. Unfortunately we are cannon fodder in the middle.
Spot on
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on April 02, 2019, 12:30:57 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.
Excellent post
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 12:34:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 12:20:45 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

So let a "no deal" Brexit happen and f**k all the people in NI? Is that what you think is a good plan?

I'd say the first element of any plan is learning to read. I did not suggest the above. I said that I think that the risk of a No Deal has only increased slightly and even if it does happen, it is completely unsustainable under international law and would not be permanent. Given that, there is no political advantage to Sinn Fein intervening.

The right of all people in Northern Ireland to declare themselves European (Irish) is guaranteed under international law, and can be prosecuted under that law. Which means no deal Brexit for NI is a non runner. And no amount of Brexiteer bluster is going to change that.

The immovable force of the DUP/ERG is about to be introduced to the irresistible force of reality. Stay out of the way of the collision and make sure that you are ready to exploit the situation after the smoke clears.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 12:54:17 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 12:27:13 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

I have no problem with your analysis of DUP, the mess they are in and their role in creating their own mess.

But the way you let SF off the hook is shameful.

If we are economically crippled through a hard Brexit what do you say to those who can least afford to take that hit. This idea at look at DUP squirming that will feed and clothe the kids is as ideological hardline, blinkered and morally corrupt as DUP themselves

Again, the reading and comprehension skills here aren't great. I'm not letting Sinn Fein off anything. I've been on this board 20 years and I am as far from a SF sympathiser as you could get. Check back my posts.

However, that doesn't prevent me analysing what their strategy should be. And there is a big difference between strategy and ideology.

I really don't understand your last line, your grammar is all over the shop, but I'm assuming that my view that DUP should be let squirm is ideologically hardline, corrupt, blinkered etc and that I am advocating for children not being fed or clothed?

Parliament has only found a majority for only one position re Brexit in the past 4 months - and that is to rule out a no Deal Brexit, which it has done on two occasion, both with large majorities. So, the odds are very long on a No Deal, even now. And even if Theresa May stumbles the UK into No Deal - either by prevaricating too long or deliberately taking it as an option (which would pit her against Parliament in the worst schism since Charles I), then, as I stated above, NI, uniquely in the UK, has guaranteed its people EU citizenship under the GFA. It couldn't last under international law.

Then throw in the fact that the DUP are now putting the "Union" (or de facto staying as close to the staus quo, including EU alignment) before "Brexit" (in other words a No Deal Brexit led by ERG) and it means that the DUP have accepted the need for a "backstop" and are now simply insisting it apply to the entire UK.

So, given all that, the odds of children going unfed and naked in the streets of Newry are quite small, in my opinion and please tell me if you think I'm wrong.

But at least then we would be arguing about my opinions and not the wrong headed and dishonest interpretation yourself and Trailer are putting on them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on April 02, 2019, 12:55:49 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.



No guarantee that Corbyn, who's almost unelectable anyway, would get to No. 10. While I wrote earlier that the DUP won't escape this unscathed, they still have a solid block of blind, unwavering electoral support behind them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on April 02, 2019, 01:04:30 PM
I find it amusing that some people are trying to berate SF for their lack of involvement in one of the biggest farces in British Political History  (not Irish politics). If you oppose a foreign occupation in your country is their any argument for engaging in their political system. Some people on here are no better than politicians in Westminster that has taken a task voted for by their people and instead of implementing it have turned the whole process into internal pissing contest where no one seems to be gaining any ground over the other. As for the DUP it's getting to the stage where they should be physiologically anlylised for some sort of narcissism disorder. Every single time they adopt the polar opposite of the logical direction even to the detriment of their electorate at times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 01:08:14 PM

Corbyn is the wildcard alright. If he had even a tenth of Blair's retail skills, he would be 30 points clear in the polls. People go on about Labour's dithering on this - but even their convoluted policy, if presented with real communication skills, would still command a hefty lead on the Tories. Corbyn just doesn't have "it"

However, spokespeople like Emily Thornberry yesterday very skilfully set out what was effectively a U-turn on their manifesto (supporting Common Market 2.0 is in direct opposition to their stated support for ending freedom of movement) by basically saying "when the facts change, we change our minds".

A rational approach like that may just be the thing to attract voters disillusioned with the Maybot's "Brexit means Brexit" and the ERG's doctrinaire and dogged attachment to the 17.2 million.

I still think that May hasn't found her floor yet, and even a charisma free zone like Jeremy can be elected on the back of it.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on April 02, 2019, 01:19:20 PM
Quote from: north_antrim_hound on April 02, 2019, 01:04:30 PM
I find it amusing that some people are trying to berate SF for their lack of involvement in one of the biggest farces in British Political History  (not Irish politics). If you oppose a foreign occupation in your country is their any argument for engaging in their political system. Some people on here are no better than politicians in Westminster that has taken a task voted for by their people and instead of implementing it have turned the whole process into internal pissing contest where no one seems to be gaining any ground over the other. As for the DUP it's getting to the stage where they should be physiologically anlylised for some sort of narcissism disorder. Every single time they adopt the polar opposite of the logical direction even to the detriment of their electorate at times.

Logic and the DUP shouldn't be in the same sentence.

The DUP are in a sticky wicket and apart from Nigels spiel about it being better to remain in the EU than to jeopardise the precious Union they've very much remained on point through this.

That saying IF the Tories don't get a Brexit of sorts through I think they'll not forget the DUP for it. There'll be no Sirs or Lords for a while anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 12:34:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 12:20:45 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

So let a "no deal" Brexit happen and f**k all the people in NI? Is that what you think is a good plan?

I'd say the first element of any plan is learning to read. I did not suggest the above. I said that I think that the risk of a No Deal has only increased slightly and even if it does happen, it is completely unsustainable under international law and would not be permanent. Given that, there is no political advantage to Sinn Fein intervening.

The right of all people in Northern Ireland to declare themselves European (Irish) is guaranteed under international law, and can be prosecuted under that law. Which means no deal Brexit for NI is a non runner. And no amount of Brexiteer bluster is going to change that.

The immovable force of the DUP/ERG is about to be introduced to the irresistible force of reality. Stay out of the way of the collision and make sure that you are ready to exploit the situation after the smoke clears.
Which international law are you referring to? Is there a clause, page or section you can refer us to?

What part of a hard Brexit would stop people declaring themselves Irish?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 01:38:44 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 12:54:17 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 12:27:13 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.


I have no problem with your analysis of DUP, the mess they are in and their role in creating their own mess.

But the way you let SF off the hook is shameful.

If we are economically crippled through a hard Brexit what do you say to those who can least afford to take that hit. This idea at look at DUP squirming that will feed and clothe the kids is as ideological hardline, blinkered and morally corrupt as DUP themselves

Again, the reading and comprehension skills here aren't great. I'm not letting Sinn Fein off anything. I've been on this board 20 years and I am as far from a SF sympathiser as you could get. Check back my posts.

However, that doesn't prevent me analysing what their strategy should be. And there is a big difference between strategy and ideology.

I really don't understand your last line, your grammar is all over the shop, but I'm assuming that my view that DUP should be let squirm is ideologically hardline, corrupt, blinkered etc and that I am advocating for children not being fed or clothed?

Parliament has only found a majority for only one position re Brexit in the past 4 months - and that is to rule out a no Deal Brexit, which it has done on two occasion, both with large majorities. So, the odds are very long on a No Deal, even now. And even if Theresa May stumbles the UK into No Deal - either by prevaricating too long or deliberately taking it as an option (which would pit her against Parliament in the worst schism since Charles I), then, as I stated above, NI, uniquely in the UK, has guaranteed its people EU citizenship under the GFA. It couldn't last under international law.

Then throw in the fact that the DUP are now putting the "Union" (or de facto staying as close to the staus quo, including EU alignment) before "Brexit" (in other words a No Deal Brexit led by ERG) and it means that the DUP have accepted the need for a "backstop" and are now simply insisting it apply to the entire UK.

So, given all that, the odds of children going unfed and naked in the streets of Newry are quite small, in my opinion and please tell me if you think I'm wrong.

But at least then we would be arguing about my opinions and not the wrong headed and dishonest interpretation yourself and Trailer are putting on them.

Point taken on the grammar. It isn't easy to type accurately when you are trying to disguise the fact that you are online whilst there is a Cabinet meeting going on in the room

The MPs may have voted against a no deal but what has been the actual impact of that? We can still stumble into a no deal. And you might well have stated that a no deal scenario won't last what is this actually based on??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on April 02, 2019, 01:54:33 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 12:34:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 12:20:45 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

So let a "no deal" Brexit happen and f**k all the people in NI? Is that what you think is a good plan?

I'd say the first element of any plan is learning to read. I did not suggest the above. I said that I think that the risk of a No Deal has only increased slightly and even if it does happen, it is completely unsustainable under international law and would not be permanent. Given that, there is no political advantage to Sinn Fein intervening.

The right of all people in Northern Ireland to declare themselves European (Irish) is guaranteed under international law, and can be prosecuted under that law. Which means no deal Brexit for NI is a non runner. And no amount of Brexiteer bluster is going to change that.

The immovable force of the DUP/ERG is about to be introduced to the irresistible force of reality. Stay out of the way of the collision and make sure that you are ready to exploit the situation after the smoke clears.
Which international law are you referring to? Is there a clause, page or section you can refer us to?

What part of a hard Brexit would stop people declaring themselves Irish?

Genuine questuion here, as I'm no lawyer - while the GFA provides the right for NI citizens to call ourselves Irish - what other rights does that actually confer with regard to Europe or RoI?

To my knowledge we can call ourselves Irish and hold an Irish passport but we don't have many other rights that allow us to materially affect anything that happens in the Republic?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on April 02, 2019, 01:57:02 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 12:34:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 12:20:45 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

So let a "no deal" Brexit happen and f**k all the people in NI? Is that what you think is a good plan?

I'd say the first element of any plan is learning to read. I did not suggest the above. I said that I think that the risk of a No Deal has only increased slightly and even if it does happen, it is completely unsustainable under international law and would not be permanent. Given that, there is no political advantage to Sinn Fein intervening.

The right of all people in Northern Ireland to declare themselves European (Irish) is guaranteed under international law, and can be prosecuted under that law. Which means no deal Brexit for NI is a non runner. And no amount of Brexiteer bluster is going to change that.

The immovable force of the DUP/ERG is about to be introduced to the irresistible force of reality. Stay out of the way of the collision and make sure that you are ready to exploit the situation after the smoke clears.

I don't get the significance of being able to declare yourself European? No deal Brexit is the default position in 10 days. That's a fact. Whatever law you're on about, nobody in Ireland, UK or Europe seems privy to it.
This DUP / ERG collision course is pie in the sky. There's 25 or so hardline ERG members who are hell bent on a No deal. There's another block who voted for May's deal. The ERG are as split as the Tory party. There's nothing to collide with the DUP on.

Any form of Brexit is bad news but a No Deal looks more and more likely. This will have significant consequences for people not just in NI but Ireland as well.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 02:15:18 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 12:34:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 12:20:45 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

So let a "no deal" Brexit happen and f**k all the people in NI? Is that what you think is a good plan?

I'd say the first element of any plan is learning to read. I did not suggest the above. I said that I think that the risk of a No Deal has only increased slightly and even if it does happen, it is completely unsustainable under international law and would not be permanent. Given that, there is no political advantage to Sinn Fein intervening.

The right of all people in Northern Ireland to declare themselves European (Irish) is guaranteed under international law, and can be prosecuted under that law. Which means no deal Brexit for NI is a non runner. And no amount of Brexiteer bluster is going to change that.

The immovable force of the DUP/ERG is about to be introduced to the irresistible force of reality. Stay out of the way of the collision and make sure that you are ready to exploit the situation after the smoke clears.
Which international law are you referring to? Is there a clause, page or section you can refer us to?

What part of a hard Brexit would stop people declaring themselves Irish?

GFA became international law when it was registered with the UN. Any breach of it can be prosecuted at the International Court of Justice in the Hague, which is under the auspices of the UN.

GFA presents two main problems to proponents of a hard brexit - firstly it states that there must be regulatory alignment between ROI and NI, plainly impossible under the no deal Brexit envisaged by the ERG.

Secondly, and dealing with your last question, the paradox presented by the GFA's solution to identity is incompatible with a hard brexit. Look at this way, a Northern Irish person declares themselves as Irish and gets an Irish passport. However, the holding of that passport, under the GFA,  in no way takes away their right to citizenship of the UK. Are they to be considered like Polish ex pats in London, where it is envisaged there will be a derogation of their standing or the rights accruing to them under UK law as EU citizens living in the UK? Do they still have full access to the welfare state as UK citizens do? But as Europeans, do they have the right to access the EU legal system whilst living in NI, all the way up to and including the ECJ and the ECHR?

These are big questions and I'm not a lawyer but you can guarantee that the UK does not want to have to defend the derogation of these rights in court, no matter where it is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 02:16:10 PM
I think that last reply deals with some of your questions as well trailer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on April 02, 2019, 02:18:41 PM
This is a good bit of background reading.
https://travellermovement.org.uk/equality-human-rights?download=67:dec-2017-brexit-and-irish-citizens-how-to-safeguard-the-rights-of-irish-citizens-in-an-uncertain-future
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 02:19:17 PM
I see Yvette Cooper is going to use tomorrow to try and kill no deal once and for all.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/02/mps-seek-to-stop-no-deal-brexit-by-tabling-article-50-bill
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on April 02, 2019, 02:41:04 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D3FzVt5XQAUY-bW?format=jpg&name=small)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: upmonaghansayswe on April 02, 2019, 02:54:40 PM
Just going through the register of votes from last night. Sylvia Hermon voted no to the Customs Union and Common Market motions and yes to Revoke and Confirmatory Referendum. Seems strange.

https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/ (https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 04:02:57 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 02:15:18 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 01:30:24 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 12:34:23 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 12:20:45 PM
Quote from: easytiger95 on April 02, 2019, 11:50:48 AM
Upshot of the GFA was that Northern Irish residents could choose to be either British or Irish or both - that was the essential fudge that got it over the line. With Brexit that now changes to being British or European or both.

If a hard border materialises (and whilst I'd say the odds of it appearing are slightly increasing, the odds of it being permanent are vanishingly small) than the first thing that will happen is that NI nationalists will sue for their rights as European citizens, which were guaranteed under the GFA. Than you would have the spectacle of HM Government defending itself for repudiating a treaty it signed and ratified under international law. It won't go that far, even in a world of Trump, Johnson and disrespect for institutions. The pendulum swings slow but it does swing, and a revitalised international system a la the post WWII settlement may just be the result of all the facist flirtations of the past decade. And the UN won't want a permanent member of the security council reneging on UN registered treaties.

The "backstop" is a fact. The DUP are now prepared to sacrifice Brexit to maintain the Union. The irony here is delicious - if the DUP support a no-deal Brexit, they precipitate a border poll. If they support a soft Brexit, they risk being knifed in the back by the ERG and cut adrift by the Conservatives, and facing the possibility of the most left wing and republican-sympathetic Prime Minister ever - who might just call a border poll.

It is remarkable that the only principled stand they could have made, was also the one that was most effective for protecting the status quo - opposing Brexit from the outset. They took Arron Bank's soup despite knowing that leaving the EU, in any form, was poisonous for NI business and agriculture and they did it because they could foresee no consequences - Brexit would be defeated but they would be poster children for the burgeoning far right with dark money for all. Unfortunately for them, they won. And now they are squirming.

If I was Sinn Fein, I wouldn't be doing anything. When your opponents are setting themselves on fire, do not hand them a bucket of water. Theresa May said last week that NI was unprepared for a hard Brexit because of the lack of an assembly. The DUP cried foul straight away. Because they know what it coming. There will be a reckoning after all this is over, and the hegemony the Unionists currently enjoy in NI because of their numbers in Westminster will come to an end, and the Tories will be looking for any scape goat they can find.

Stay out of the way and let them at it.

So let a "no deal" Brexit happen and f**k all the people in NI? Is that what you think is a good plan?

I'd say the first element of any plan is learning to read. I did not suggest the above. I said that I think that the risk of a No Deal has only increased slightly and even if it does happen, it is completely unsustainable under international law and would not be permanent. Given that, there is no political advantage to Sinn Fein intervening.

The right of all people in Northern Ireland to declare themselves European (Irish) is guaranteed under international law, and can be prosecuted under that law. Which means no deal Brexit for NI is a non runner. And no amount of Brexiteer bluster is going to change that.

The immovable force of the DUP/ERG is about to be introduced to the irresistible force of reality. Stay out of the way of the collision and make sure that you are ready to exploit the situation after the smoke clears.
Which international law are you referring to? Is there a clause, page or section you can refer us to?

What part of a hard Brexit would stop people declaring themselves Irish?

GFA became international law when it was registered with the UN. Any breach of it can be prosecuted at the International Court of Justice in the Hague, which is under the auspices of the UN.

GFA presents two main problems to proponents of a hard brexit - firstly it states that there must be regulatory alignment between ROI and NI, plainly impossible under the no deal Brexit envisaged by the ERG.

Secondly, and dealing with your last question, the paradox presented by the GFA's solution to identity is incompatible with a hard brexit. Look at this way, a Northern Irish person declares themselves as Irish and gets an Irish passport. However, the holding of that passport, under the GFA,  in no way takes away their right to citizenship of the UK. Are they to be considered like Polish ex pats in London, where it is envisaged there will be a derogation of their standing or the rights accruing to them under UK law as EU citizens living in the UK? Do they still have full access to the welfare state as UK citizens do? But as Europeans, do they have the right to access the EU legal system whilst living in NI, all the way up to and including the ECJ and the ECHR?

These are big questions and I'm not a lawyer but you can guarantee that the UK does not want to have to defend the derogation of these rights in court, no matter where it is.

Completely agree that GFA is international and binding

The issue is that a hard Brexit is not in itself a breach of GFA. It creates the conditions and incentive to breach but that doesn't make it a breach. Remember the bulk (but not all) of the proponents of a hard Brexit or those willing to risk it don't want to never have a deal. But they think (if think is not being overly generous to them) that outside the EU and with the debt settlement and budget contribution threats removed that they can strike a better deal with EU I.e. the EU blink first. They might even be right but it's not a risk I would take. But outside the EU and with no deal they can take steps to conform to GFA whilst negotiating a future deal with the EU. They can stay within ECHR and voluntarily follow ECJ judgements and EU regulations. Remember the first step after repealing the 1972 Act is to implement a new bill that immediately puts all existing EU law into UK law.

The UK already grants right to Irish citizens that are not granted to any other non Uk national and grants other rights more quickly to Irish citizens. They can keep treating Irish differently. A hard Brexit doesn't automatically end all of this
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 04:04:53 PM
Quote from: upmonaghansayswe on April 02, 2019, 02:54:40 PM
Just going through the register of votes from last night. Sylvia Hermon voted no to the Customs Union and Common Market motions and yes to Revoke and Confirmatory Referendum. Seems strange.

https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/ (https://commonsvotes.digiminster.com/)

She wasn't alone. That is not to say if the options narrowed further - say customs union vs May's deal or vs no deal that she and others wouldn't then back a CU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on April 02, 2019, 04:10:31 PM
All a bit crazy at the minute but the votes yesterday mean nothing. The Withdrawal Agreement has to be passed regardless of Customs Union/Common Market 2.0/Norway +/Canada ++ etc.

Even if there's no deal and the UK then approach the EU for a deal the Withdrawal agreement will be the first thing ratified.

My own opinion is we'll get a longer extension and within that time there will be a General Election or peoples vote.

We're not going to hear the end of Brexit for at least another 2-3 years!

PS. Check out @NinaDschick who seems to have the whole situation sussed out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 04:37:14 PM
Nothing would surprise me. May could address the nation tonight announcing a general election or a no deal Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on April 02, 2019, 04:54:30 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 04:37:14 PM
Nothing would surprise me. May could address the nation tonight announcing a general election or a no deal Brexit

Or to give out about MP's not doing what she wants again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on April 02, 2019, 05:23:31 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on April 02, 2019, 04:54:30 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 04:37:14 PM
Nothing would surprise me. May could address the nation tonight announcing a general election or a no deal Brexit

Or to give out about MP's not doing what she wants again.

There's a statement imminent anyway!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on April 02, 2019, 05:45:32 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 04:37:14 PM
Nothing would surprise me. May could address the nation tonight announcing a general election or a no deal Brexit
General Election would be very problematic for the Conservatives considering the just about got over the line last time, with some local help and that was before they ripped themselves apart. If anyone else was in charge of Labour they'd be a shoo in for a GE, but I'm not sure a GE will help. Nor do I think a second referendum helps as it would likely result in a Remain vote (65-35 if I was guessing). Best of three?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on April 02, 2019, 06:10:19 PM
Tacking to a softer Brexit...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on April 02, 2019, 06:18:26 PM
Well that was clear as mud. Maybe with consensus with Corbyn the looney lefty, who lets not forget his a bigger Brexiteer than most Tories, they can get the withdrawal agreement passed. One thing which is clear is the withdrawal agreement is the only show in town.

f**king madness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on April 02, 2019, 06:20:29 PM
Will Corbyn have the guts to make a confirmatory referendum part of the deal / discussion ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on April 02, 2019, 06:32:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 02, 2019, 06:18:26 PM
Well that was clear as mud. Maybe with consensus with Corbyn the looney lefty, who lets not forget his a bigger Brexiteer than most Tories, they can get the withdrawal agreement passed. One thing which is clear is the withdrawal agreement is the only show in town.

That'll be some meeting.


"Hi Theresa. Nice to see you. Will you drop your red lines?"

"No Jeremy, I've told you this before."

"OK, bye".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on April 02, 2019, 06:39:12 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on April 02, 2019, 05:45:32 PM
Quote from: LCohen on April 02, 2019, 04:37:14 PM
Nothing would surprise me. May could address the nation tonight announcing a general election or a no deal Brexit
General Election would be very problematic for the Conservatives considering the just about got over the line last time, with some local help and that was before they ripped themselves apart. If anyone else was in charge of Labour they'd be a shoo in for a GE, but I'm not sure a GE will help. Nor do I think a second referendum helps as it would likely result in a Remain vote (65-35 if I was guessing). Best of three?

A 65-35 win for remain in a 2nd referendum would be extremely comprehensive and would end any brexit talk for a long time. It's getting to that point which is the problem because May has made the decision that everyone who voted for brexit was voting for it to curb immigration. She has always been anti immigration from her time as home secretary and like a lot of torys has strong racist tendencies. That's why she set the red lines she did. If she hadn't set those red lines brexit would've been sorted out many months ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 02, 2019, 07:38:09 PM
Also she has issues with the eu as she doesn't like the human rights for things like snooping charters etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on April 02, 2019, 08:01:44 PM
There's no way a second referendum is 65-35!!

For either side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on April 02, 2019, 08:23:47 PM
This is a very obvious trap from May to try and shift the blame from the Tory's on to Corbyn and Labour.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on April 02, 2019, 08:39:41 PM
Current polling has Remain at 54%.  Remain has been in the lead so far this year.

"The rise in support for Remain is mainly driven by those who did not vote in 2016, either because they abstained or were too young. Abstainers and new voters now heavily back Remain, and their numbers are growing steadily, with about three-quarters of a million new voters joining the electorate each year.

"Meanwhile, the concentration of Leave support among older voters puts Brexit campaigners on the wrong side of demographic change. There are other headwinds for Brexiters, too. Concern about immigration, a key driver of voting for Leave in 2016, has declined sharply since the referendum. And voters who were enthusiastic about Brexit in 2016 have become more negative about the deal the government has managed to negotiate."

https://www.theguardian.com/global/2019/mar/30/how-do-brexit-voters-feel-about-the-eu-now (https://www.theguardian.com/global/2019/mar/30/how-do-brexit-voters-feel-about-the-eu-now)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 02, 2019, 08:51:06 PM
Remain was leading the polls last time too :(

I really don't think a 2nd referendum is coming and if it does I would be worried about the result.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on April 02, 2019, 09:05:35 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on April 02, 2019, 08:39:41 PM
Current polling has Remain at 54%.  Remain has been in the lead so far this year.

"The rise in support for Remain is mainly driven by those who did not vote in 2016, either because they abstained or were too young. Abstainers and new voters now heavily back Remain, and their numbers are growing steadily, with about three-quarters of a million new voters joining the electorate each year.

"Meanwhile, the concentration of Leave support among older voters puts Brexit campaigners on the wrong side of demographic change. There are other headwinds for Brexiters, too. Concern about immigration, a key driver of voting for Leave in 2016, has declined sharply since the referendum. And voters who were enthusiastic about Brexit in 2016 have become more negative about the deal the government has managed to negotiate."

https://www.theguardian.com/global/2019/mar/30/how-do-brexit-voters-feel-about-the-eu-now (https://www.theguardian.com/global/2019/mar/30/how-do-brexit-voters-feel-about-the-eu-now)

Remain is at 55% in the last poll I saw but leave was at 35%. Rest undecided. What was interesting was that people generally hadn't changed their minds since the first referendum. What had changed was that lots of leave voters had passed away in the 3 years and the vast, vast majority of 15-17 year olds who couldn't vote the last time are all remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on April 02, 2019, 10:17:03 PM
Have to laugh at Sinn Fein dishing out big press releases telling everyone the Withdrawal Agreement is not up for renegotiation, as if they have diddly say in it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on April 03, 2019, 11:53:31 AM
4 Paras shooting at a picture of Jeremy Corbyn has jut put the tin hat on it . . . the Country is in bits!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on April 03, 2019, 12:26:57 PM
Quote from: screenexile on April 03, 2019, 11:53:31 AM
4 Paras shooting at a picture of Jeremy Corbyn has jut put the tin hat on it . . . the Country is in bits!!!

If the paras are shooting at pictures of civilians rather than civilians themselves surely that's progress
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on April 03, 2019, 12:44:28 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on April 02, 2019, 10:17:03 PM
Have to laugh at Sinn Fein dishing out big press releases telling everyone the Withdrawal Agreement is not up for renegotiation, as if they have diddly say in it.

Martina Anderson's work in Brussels lobbying the EU negotiating team has been excellent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on April 03, 2019, 01:59:34 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on April 02, 2019, 08:23:47 PM
This is a very obvious trap from May to try and shift the blame from the Tory's on to Corbyn and Labour.

Maybe -she has treated Labour with contempt going back to her time as home secretary. But there's nowhere else for her to go. The ERG/DUP  won't give her enough votes.  Also, reaching out to Labour will help avoid another vote of no confidence from them.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on April 03, 2019, 03:48:57 PM
Could do without the Eurocrats putting out the frighteners; should be coaxing the UK along.

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/pierre-moscovici-says-risk-of-a-no-deal-brexit-on-april-12th-is-increasing-1.3848106

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on April 03, 2019, 03:49:23 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on April 03, 2019, 03:05:36 PM
England, if not all of the UK of GB & NI, is getting torn apart as what had papered over the cracks previously has been completely ripped from the walls.

Most of the MPs know that pretty much any form of Brexit is going to cause the geopolitical equivalent of gagging to be sectioned, but are terrified of either getting backlash from their own constituency, face deselection from entryists, put party before country or be rightly worried about getting physically harmed. If it happened to Jo Cox it could happen to any of them. That leaves you with a rump of zealots that would be happy to direct the country to be run into the ground as long as it benefited them and their mates - if shit happens they can always take their wealth abroad and allow the "commoners" to rot away in the mess they left behind, or political opportunists like Michael Gove looking for the right time to step over May.

That's not forgetting the official "Vote Leave" being found guilty of committing electoral offences with evidence having been destroyed, not to mention the activities of Cambridge Analytica, eastern European troll farms and the ongoing criminal investigation by the National Crime Agency into Aaron Banks. At the very least the full withdrawal should be suspended until that investigation is completed. If any other successful referendum grouping in another country were found to have engaged in the same blatant practises that were against the law but the fairly narrow result was allowed to stand the likes of the Sun, Daily Mail & Telegraph would be clapping like seals about how such a country is a banana republic.

If the UK leaves EU with a "No deal, WTO-trade Brexit" then it's odds-on the Union will be torn apart. Sturgeon and the SNP will almost certainly get a mandate to call for IndyRef II, and with at least a customs border between the north and south of Ireland and the almost certain economic retardation that NI will receive, things are going to turn to shit pretty quickly up here, likely to lead to calls at some point for an Irish unity referendum to be called. What's even more galling is the attitude of some English Conservative MPs (and Kate Hoey) of brushing off the potential of trouble in NI and breaking the Good Friday Agreement for the sake of their English-first outlook of their political ambitions. The likes of Sammy Wilson and IPJ are too full of their own shit in safe Westminster seats to not notice or care much, but the likes of Nigel Dodds at least is starting to realise that a Brexit that significantly harms NI is not going to keep it in the UK for very long. That and I doubt he wants another brick to his head.

(https://i.postimg.cc/k5yXq3vF/twitter-dc-2015.png)

This has already started, with the likes of Rees-Mogg moving funds to Dublin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on April 03, 2019, 04:07:13 PM
Quote from: mouview on April 03, 2019, 03:48:57 PM
Could do without the Eurocrats putting out the frighteners; should be coaxing the UK

Maybe seeing as they're acting like totally silly children....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on April 03, 2019, 06:12:50 PM
Quote from: mouview on April 03, 2019, 03:48:57 PM
Could do without the Eurocrats putting out the frighteners; should be coaxing the UK along.

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/pierre-moscovici-says-risk-of-a-no-deal-brexit-on-april-12th-is-increasing-1.3848106

Coaxing them?

They are like a 2 year old that is constantly walking up to that big lit fire... with each grubby wee hand holding a can of petrol.

Far beyond the point of gentle persuasion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on April 03, 2019, 11:31:50 PM
Yvette Cooper bill 3rd reading scrapes through by 1 vote. Passed to House of Lords for further ratification. Prevents No-Deal by law on April 12 if no agreement withdrawal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on April 04, 2019, 12:20:33 AM
Quote from: mouview on April 03, 2019, 11:31:50 PM
Yvette Cooper bill 3rd reading scrapes through by 1 vote. Passed to House of Lords for further ratification. Prevents No-Deal by law on April 12 if no agreement withdrawal.

What's to stop the EU from refusing to renegotiate the deal and just keep UK in EU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on April 04, 2019, 04:58:13 AM
Some of these votes are getting tight now. SF's absence from the chamber could start to come into play.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on April 04, 2019, 09:58:44 AM
Quote from: Solo_run on April 04, 2019, 12:20:33 AM
Quote from: mouview on April 03, 2019, 11:31:50 PM
Yvette Cooper bill 3rd reading scrapes through by 1 vote. Passed to House of Lords for further ratification. Prevents No-Deal by law on April 12 if no agreement withdrawal.

What's to stop the EU from refusing to renegotiate the deal and just keep UK in EU?

Can't really happen by default. EU law would trump UK law on this and the UK are legally leaving unless they revoke A50, or else seek an extension of some length. Of course, EU leaders, Macron in particular, could vote to give the UK no more time, but while the vote needs to be unanimous, I'd say the majority would still prefer the UK to stay in. Angela Merkel in particular would hold a lot of influence in this, and our own voice should not be underestimated because of the GFA and that our own country would be most adversely affected.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on April 04, 2019, 11:35:02 AM
Isn't Angela Merkel in Ireland today?  Hope she goes to the Border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on April 04, 2019, 11:34:10 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-47808880

Read the comments on this one. They can go f*** themselves. Not all of them, just the d**ks
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 05, 2019, 10:57:48 AM

Tusk has suggested a delay of a year
That is probably the end of the nonsense for a while
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on April 05, 2019, 11:34:37 AM
To probably appease the ERGers, Tessie has suggested only until June 30th.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 05, 2019, 11:42:22 AM
Quote from: mouview on April 05, 2019, 11:34:37 AM
To probably appease the ERGers, Tessie has suggested only until June 30th.

The EU won't accept unless she has a credible plan that can command a sizeable majority

And that is about as likely as Cavan winning the All Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on April 05, 2019, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 05, 2019, 11:42:22 AM
Quote from: mouview on April 05, 2019, 11:34:37 AM
To probably appease the ERGers, Tessie has suggested only until June 30th.

The EU won't accept unless she has a credible plan that can command a sizeable majority

And that is about as likely as Cavan winning the All Ireland

Could we be into rolling Brexit limbo groudhog day scenario forever where they intend to leave but never actually do?
The idea seems to be an extension but if you get the deal passed, the date is moved forward.

What an almighty shit show. As someone who is in business and am trying to make future plans, this is akin to a long deep painful injection into the bone that won't stop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on April 05, 2019, 12:10:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 05, 2019, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 05, 2019, 11:42:22 AM
Quote from: mouview on April 05, 2019, 11:34:37 AM
To probably appease the ERGers, Tessie has suggested only until June 30th.

The EU won't accept unless she has a credible plan that can command a sizeable majority

And that is about as likely as Cavan winning the All Ireland

Could we be into rolling Brexit limbo groudhog day scenario forever where they intend to leave but never actually do?
The idea seems to be an extension but if you get the deal passed, the date is moved forward.

What an almighty shit show. As someone who is in business and am trying to make future plans, this is akin to a long deep painful injection into the bone that won't stop.

Is it not a "flextension" on offer?
i.e. The EU offer a year or so, but if the UK can get a deal through Parliament that the EU support earlier then that's that.

Gotta love these new buzz words
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 05, 2019, 12:31:25 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on April 05, 2019, 12:10:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on April 05, 2019, 12:03:16 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 05, 2019, 11:42:22 AM
Quote from: mouview on April 05, 2019, 11:34:37 AM
To probably appease the ERGers, Tessie has suggested only until June 30th.

The EU won't accept unless she has a credible plan that can command a sizeable majority

And that is about as likely as Cavan winning the All Ireland

Could we be into rolling Brexit limbo groudhog day scenario forever where they intend to leave but never actually do?
The idea seems to be an extension but if you get the deal passed, the date is moved forward.

What an almighty shit show. As someone who is in business and am trying to make future plans, this is akin to a long deep painful injection into the bone that won't stop.

Is it not a "flextension" on offer?
i.e. The EU offer a year or so, but if the UK can get a deal through Parliament that the EU support earlier then that's that.

Gotta love these new buzz words

The longer Brexit is delayed , the less Leave voters are around . It is not going to happen imo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on April 05, 2019, 12:39:11 PM
Surely a Brextension, no?

😊
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on April 07, 2019, 04:59:06 PM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ae5t1CZFCU8
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on April 11, 2019, 12:01:05 AM
October 31st
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on April 11, 2019, 12:35:07 AM
Trick or treat?

I wonder if that's enough time to call a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on April 11, 2019, 01:39:43 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on April 11, 2019, 12:35:07 AM
Trick or treat?

I wonder if that's enough time to call a second referendum.

Trick or treaty as I saw some wit post on Twitter...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on April 11, 2019, 03:48:54 PM
The UK has looked into No Deal and essentially said no thanks.
The choices are clear.

Go with Labour, a softer Brexit and get the deal passed. Go to the people, in form of a GE and well God knows, or go to the people in a Referendum o and well, God help us. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: From the Bunker on April 11, 2019, 04:26:17 PM
(https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1600/1*CfD7Y7LtZPfd_uFZNp0w6g.gif)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 11, 2019, 05:06:32 PM
Quote from: From the Bunker on April 11, 2019, 04:26:17 PM
(https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1600/1*CfD7Y7LtZPfd_uFZNp0w6g.gif)
Have Mayo found a new forward ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 11, 2019, 05:13:24 PM
The Tories don't want to go to the people . Labour do. It's anybody's guess
It looks as though the Leave majority has declined over time as well

Once again, what a stupid decision to run a referendum with no minimum winning margin for such an important geopolitical decision.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on April 11, 2019, 06:16:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 11, 2019, 05:13:24 PM
The Tories don't want to go to the people . Labour do. It's anybody's guess
It looks as though the Leave majority has declined over time as well

Once again, what a stupid decision to run a referendum with no minimum winning margin for such an important geopolitical decision.

Labour seems a bit split on Brexit too though. Same as how they're split between the party membership who want Corbyn to be their leader, and the MPs who don't. What an awful position they're in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: From the Bunker on April 11, 2019, 06:20:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 11, 2019, 05:06:32 PM
Quote from: From the Bunker on April 11, 2019, 04:26:17 PM
(https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1600/1*CfD7Y7LtZPfd_uFZNp0w6g.gif)
Have Mayo found a new forward ?

No, Galway have found a new goalkeeper!  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on April 11, 2019, 07:16:27 PM
That's it then..... the whole thing is irrelevant

https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/if-eu-wont-negotiate-on-the-backstop-the-uk-will-face-no-deal-brexit-foster-warns-38006854.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on April 11, 2019, 11:00:45 PM
It doesn't look like it's going to happen at all. Come 20th Oct or so there may be more of the same pre March 29th shitehawkery. And then the E.U. will grant another extension, and on and on et cetera.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on April 11, 2019, 11:10:17 PM
I'm increasingly of the opinion that Hotel California is a prophecy about Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 12, 2019, 07:44:23 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on April 11, 2019, 11:00:45 PM
It doesn't look like it's going to happen at all. Come 20th Oct or so there may be more of the same pre March 29th shitehawkery. And then the E.U. will grant another extension, and on and on et cetera.
Until Leave support gets to say 25%
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on April 12, 2019, 12:36:01 PM
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/brexit/jacob-rees-moggs-sister-to-stand-for-nigel-farages-brexit-party-in-eu-elections/ar-BBVRZot?li=BBoPRmx

Farage announces Annunciata as party candidate.....just what we need....another Rees-Mogg.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on April 12, 2019, 02:04:02 PM
I read the MP for Dover is an ERG Brexiteer, as are a couple of other MP's in Kent.

Bizarre really, the town and the county most likely to be affected by no-deal. Dunkirk-spirit will see them through I guess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on April 12, 2019, 02:05:44 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on April 12, 2019, 02:04:02 PM
I read the MP for Dover is an ERG Brexiteer, as are a couple of other MP's in Kent.

Bizarre really, the town and the county most likely to be affected by no-deal. Dunkirk-spirit will see them through I guess.

Anglesey (Holyhead port) also voted leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on April 12, 2019, 02:45:30 PM
So Rees Mogg's sister has now entered the fray . . . I don't think parody or satire could be as absurd as real political life at the minute!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on April 12, 2019, 04:56:27 PM
Quote from: screenexile on April 12, 2019, 02:45:30 PM
So Rees Mogg's sister has now entered the fray . . . I don't think parody or satire could be as absurd as real political life at the minute!!

Rule 1.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on April 12, 2019, 05:10:11 PM
Better lookin than the brother....but after that...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on April 13, 2019, 09:33:44 AM
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/irelands-strange-decision-to-become-a-french-colonial-outpost/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on April 13, 2019, 10:50:31 AM
Irish Ambassador has written a rebuke to said Spectator.
And as far as I'm aware Britain's loan has been paid back with Interest.
Now as regards reparations for 800 years of oppression, torture, murder, land stealing, genocide, cultural and religious genocide.......etc etc

https://www.rte.ie/news/2019/0412/1042276-ambassador-britain-spectator/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 13, 2019, 12:59:35 PM
As far as I am aware the UK loan has not been paid back as it had a penalty clause for early repayment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on April 13, 2019, 04:42:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on April 13, 2019, 09:33:44 AM
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/irelands-strange-decision-to-become-a-french-colonial-outpost/

"Little Leo"??

Really? Forget about the fact that he's 6foot 4 or whatever, theres still that notion in the English mind that Ireland is an inferior country to their glorious Britannia.
The EU treats Ireland and the UK as equal members and equal partners, and the British just can't understand this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on April 13, 2019, 05:24:47 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on April 13, 2019, 04:42:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on April 13, 2019, 09:33:44 AM
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/irelands-strange-decision-to-become-a-french-colonial-outpost/

"Little Leo"??

Really? Forget about the fact that he's 6foot 4 or whatever, theres still that notion in the English mind that Ireland is an inferior country to their glorious Britannia.
The EU treats Ireland and the UK as equal members and equal partners, and the British just can't understand this.

And fat Boris is about one foot higher than a duck.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on April 13, 2019, 05:40:15 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on April 13, 2019, 04:42:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on April 13, 2019, 09:33:44 AM
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/irelands-strange-decision-to-become-a-french-colonial-outpost/

"Little Leo"??

Really? Forget about the fact that he's 6foot 4 or whatever, theres still that notion in the English mind that Ireland is an inferior country to their glorious Britannia.
The EU treats Ireland and the UK as equal members and equal partners, and the British just can't understand this.

The Brits treat every country as an inferior country to their glorious Britannia.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on April 13, 2019, 06:40:19 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on April 13, 2019, 05:40:15 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on April 13, 2019, 04:42:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on April 13, 2019, 09:33:44 AM
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/irelands-strange-decision-to-become-a-french-colonial-outpost/

"Little Leo"??

Really? Forget about the fact that he's 6foot 4 or whatever, theres still that notion in the English mind that Ireland is an inferior country to their glorious Britannia.
The EU treats Ireland and the UK as equal members and equal partners, and the British just can't understand this.

The Brits treat every country as an inferior country to their glorious Britannia.

The next few years is going to serve them a strong dose of reality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on April 15, 2019, 12:03:11 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on April 13, 2019, 04:42:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on April 13, 2019, 09:33:44 AM
https://www.spectator.co.uk/2019/04/irelands-strange-decision-to-become-a-french-colonial-outpost/

"Little Leo"??

Really? Forget about the fact that he's 6foot 4 or whatever, theres still that notion in the English mind that Ireland is an inferior country to their glorious Britannia.
The EU treats Ireland and the UK as equal members and equal partners, and the British just can't understand this.

That's it in a nutshell.  While the English have bemoaned the death of the empire and watched their stately homes crumble around them, the rest of the world has moved on.  This has been masked slightly by some North Sea oil and a boom in financial services in London... but the underlying trend is there.  Britain, after centuries of punching way above it's proverbial weight, is now fcuked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 18, 2019, 11:17:15 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/guns-thunder-at-midnight-when-the-republic-left-the-commonwealth-1.3864493
"Radio Éireann marked the Republic's official birth at a minute past midnight: "These are the first moments of Easter Monday, April 18th, 1949. Since midnight, for the first time in history, international recognition has been accorded to the Republic of Ireland.
Our listeners will join us is asking God's blessing on the Republic, and in praying that it will not be long until the sovereignty of the Republic extends over the whole of our national territory."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on April 28, 2019, 12:11:40 PM
Just had a look back on this thread. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptfmAY6M6aA

Keep watching for Stephen Fry

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2019, 06:57:36 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-48126974

Oh limp dick .....why didn't you tell Teresa what you told the Russians.....shut up and go away😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on May 01, 2019, 08:36:48 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 01, 2019, 06:57:36 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-48126974

Oh limp dick .....why didn't you tell Teresa what you told the Russians.....shut up and go away😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

Slap it up the odious wee cnut, who was totally out of his depth. Another who was happy to peddle the myth about a ''witch-hunt' against 'our brave boys'. GIFUY you useless piece of shit  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on May 18, 2019, 06:47:16 AM
https://www.thejournal.ie/boris-johnson-conservative-leader-poll-4640940-May2019/

Looks like Boris is going to lead us to the promised land😩......can't wait for the MBGA blue baseball caps.
A pumpkin head and a buffoon leading the western world......what could possibly go wrong?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 04:30:16 PM
A prediction - a no deal Brexit is on 100% on the cards now imo. Teresa May tied herself to a binding Parliamentary vote over any Brexit deal, the next PM is presumably not bound to the same once her deal is defeated for the 4th & final time. Boris will leave without asking Parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 18, 2019, 05:57:05 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 04:30:16 PM
A prediction - a no deal Brexit is on 100% on the cards now imo. Teresa May tied herself to a binding Parliamentary vote over any Brexit deal, the next PM is presumably not bound to the same once her deal is defeated for the 4th & final time. Boris will leave without asking Parliament.

If some more conservatives defect, he would not be elected PM. And if the DUP had any sense, which is doubtful, they wouldn't vote for him as he could precipitate both a Scottish referendum and a border poll.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on May 18, 2019, 06:16:40 PM
Would a Prime Minister Johnson lead us another step closer to a border poll, and a second IndyRef in Scotland? .... if so, I would welcome a PM Johnson.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 06:41:32 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 18, 2019, 05:57:05 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 04:30:16 PM
A prediction - a no deal Brexit is on 100% on the cards now imo. Teresa May tied herself to a binding Parliamentary vote over any Brexit deal, the next PM is presumably not bound to the same once her deal is defeated for the 4th & final time. Boris will leave without asking Parliament.

If some more conservatives defect, he would not be elected PM. And if the DUP had any sense, which is doubtful, they wouldn't vote for him as he could precipitate both a Scottish referendum and a border poll.
Raab (& Leadsom) would likely do exactly the same as Boris in my scenario. Need those 3 beaten in any leadership contest to avoid no deal. The other realistic contenders have a bit more sense even if they're all trying to increase their Brexiteer credentials to get the job.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 18, 2019, 07:49:55 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 06:41:32 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 18, 2019, 05:57:05 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 04:30:16 PM
A prediction - a no deal Brexit is on 100% on the cards now imo. Teresa May tied herself to a binding Parliamentary vote over any Brexit deal, the next PM is presumably not bound to the same once her deal is defeated for the 4th & final time. Boris will leave without asking Parliament.

If some more conservatives defect, he would not be elected PM. And if the DUP had any sense, which is doubtful, they wouldn't vote for him as he could precipitate both a Scottish referendum and a border poll.
Raab (& Leadsom) would likely do exactly the same as Boris in my scenario. Need those 3 beaten in any leadership contest to avoid no deal. The other realistic contenders have a bit more sense even if they're all trying to increase their Brexiteer credentials to get the job.

My point was that they can win the leadership, but they have to keep all the Conservatives together in order to be voted PM.

Conservative   313
Labour   246
Scottish National Party   35
Change UK - The Independent Group   11
Liberal Democrat   11
Democratic Unionist Party   10
Independent   10
Sinn Féin   7
Plaid Cymru   4
Green Party   1
Speaker   1
Vacant   1
Total number of seats    650

You need 321 votes, since the Shinners are not there. There are only 313 Conservatives. You need all Conservatives and the DUP on board, if 3 more of them bailed out you would be in difficulty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 09:24:14 PM
Eh? Nobody is voted PM. He (or someone) will be elected the new Conservative Party Leader and therefore automatically become PM in the current situation. Parliamentary arithmetic could then certainly bring him down. There will be a new PM unless by some miracle May's deal passes and the DUP then bring it down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 18, 2019, 10:38:19 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 09:24:14 PM
Eh? Nobody is voted PM. He (or someone) will be elected the new Conservative Party Leader and therefore automatically become PM in the current situation. Parliamentary arithmetic could then certainly bring him down. There will be a new PM unless by some miracle May's deal passes and the DUP then bring it down.

There would be a bit of a constitutional problem if the Queen is required to appoint a PM when he obviously does not have a majority in the house.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 19, 2019, 09:36:11 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 18, 2019, 10:38:19 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 09:24:14 PM
Eh? Nobody is voted PM. He (or someone) will be elected the new Conservative Party Leader and therefore automatically become PM in the current situation. Parliamentary arithmetic could then certainly bring him down. There will be a new PM unless by some miracle May's deal passes and the DUP then bring it down.

There would be a bit of a constitutional problem if the Queen is required to appoint a PM when he obviously does not have a majority in the house.
No, that's not the way it works at all, she has to give the leader of the largest  party the opportunity to form a Government (however it may be constructed) and that situation only arises after a General Election. As the current situation stands unless the Government is brought down by the DUP / Parliament a newly elected Tory leader will become the PM without going near the Queen, there might be a courtesy visit but it's not to ask for permission (or be invited to) 'form a Government ' as they do after a GE.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on May 19, 2019, 11:49:36 AM
Eurovision Song Contest gave Brexit a bloody nose, lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 19, 2019, 11:55:00 AM
Quote from: Orior on May 19, 2019, 11:49:36 AM
Eurovision Song Contest gave Brexit a bloody nose, lol.

Been doing that since Buck Fizz
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on May 19, 2019, 12:02:27 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 18, 2019, 10:38:19 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 18, 2019, 09:24:14 PM
Eh? Nobody is voted PM. He (or someone) will be elected the new Conservative Party Leader and therefore automatically become PM in the current situation. Parliamentary arithmetic could then certainly bring him down. There will be a new PM unless by some miracle May's deal passes and the DUP then bring it down.

There would be a bit of a constitutional problem if the Queen is required to appoint a PM when he obviously does not have a majority in the house.

If the ould Queen starts losing the plot & makes a wrong call on appointing a PM, it could provoke the type of "constitutional crisis" so beloved of the British.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 19, 2019, 02:50:20 PM
As McGregor might say the Queen will do nuttin. As a ceremonial Head of State she does as directed by Government protocol. The Queen acting outside her ceremonial  constitutional role (for a country that famously has no written constitution) is unheard of in modern times & is a bit of a taboo subject.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on May 21, 2019, 09:46:31 AM
Brexit Bullshit Buster (https://twitter.com/DmitryOpines/status/1130536448891924480) - the follow-up questions interviewers should be asking the chancers who spout WTO, Article 24, etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on May 22, 2019, 11:58:37 AM
Strong and stable...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48365241 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48365241)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Captain Obvious on May 22, 2019, 04:04:59 PM
https://twitter.com/adsandphil/status/1130509445111439367
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 22, 2019, 04:52:01 PM
Quote from: GJL on May 22, 2019, 11:58:37 AM
Strong and stable...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48365241 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48365241)

To go with Debenhams, Jamie Oliver's restaurants, Marks and Spencer, etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 24, 2019, 06:32:51 AM
Looks like today's the day this finally consumed Theresa, her resilience was impressive at least..if nothing else. Cant imagine the torys will vote for another who tries to save them for themselves. I'd say Gove or Raab are the most likely candidates. MPs wont let boris near it but well see. Another GE is on the cards this year
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on May 24, 2019, 07:24:37 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 24, 2019, 06:32:51 AM
Looks like today's the day this finally consumed Theresa, her resilience was impressive at least..if nothing else. Cant imagine the torys will vote for another who tries to save them for themselves. I'd say Gove or Raab are the most likely candidates. MPs wont let boris near it but well see. Another GE is on the cards this year
She promised her party that they could have their cake and eat it too, which could never happen and she’s paying the price.  She told them the UK will leave the CU but there will be no hard border, and DUP were assured there will be no Irish Sea border - if you leave the CU there has to be a border somewhere, simple.  She hadn’t the nerve to face down one side or the other and now they are all eating her. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 24, 2019, 09:04:18 AM
And when they choose another plank to lead them....what then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 24, 2019, 09:28:22 AM
Quote from: Hardy on May 21, 2019, 09:46:31 AM
Brexit Bullshit Buster (https://twitter.com/DmitryOpines/status/1130536448891924480) - the follow-up questions interviewers should be asking the chancers who spout WTO, Article 24, etc.

https://www.politico.eu/article/how-uk-lost-brexit-eu-negotiation/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 24, 2019, 10:26:55 AM
Teresa packing it in 7th of June.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on May 24, 2019, 10:27:37 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 24, 2019, 10:26:55 AM
Teresa packing it in 7th of June.

Who'll get it then? BoJo?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on May 24, 2019, 10:31:03 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on May 24, 2019, 10:27:37 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 24, 2019, 10:26:55 AM
Teresa packing it in 7th of June.

Who'll get it then? BoJo?
Surely not! Would they be that stupid?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 24, 2019, 10:35:41 AM
Quote from: GJL on May 24, 2019, 10:31:03 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on May 24, 2019, 10:27:37 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 24, 2019, 10:26:55 AM
Teresa packing it in 7th of June.

Who'll get it then? BoJo?
Surely not! Would they be that stupid?

Have you not been around for the last 4 years???!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on May 24, 2019, 10:37:36 AM
Quote from: screenexile on May 24, 2019, 10:35:41 AM
Quote from: GJL on May 24, 2019, 10:31:03 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on May 24, 2019, 10:27:37 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 24, 2019, 10:26:55 AM
Teresa packing it in 7th of June.

Who'll get it then? BoJo?
Surely not! Would they be that stupid?

Have you not been around for the last 4 years???!!!

I know but that was the public vote. This will be an internal vote in the Tory party. Would he command enough support?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 24, 2019, 10:42:40 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on May 24, 2019, 07:24:37 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 24, 2019, 06:32:51 AM
Looks like today's the day this finally consumed Theresa, her resilience was impressive at least..if nothing else. Cant imagine the torys will vote for another who tries to save them for themselves. I'd say Gove or Raab are the most likely candidates. MPs wont let boris near it but well see. Another GE is on the cards this year
She promised her party that they could have their cake and eat it too, which could never happen and she's paying the price.  She told them the UK will leave the CU but there will be no hard border, and DUP were assured there will be no Irish Sea border - if you leave the CU there has to be a border somewhere, simple.  She hadn't the nerve to face down one side or the other and now they are all eating her.

On the Peston show the other night there's real deep division in the Tory party over Boris it seems.

Rees Mogg is a fan, but you always get the notion that he's far too smart for his own good that lad and that he thinks he'll be able to pull Boris's strings in the background.
Johnny Mercer has fallen head on into the Boris cult and thinks he'll be great. Doesn't come across as the sharpest tool in the box.
The other Tory on was Dominic Greer and he couldn't hide his disdain for Boris.

The Tories are couped and Labour are that inept they cannot take advantage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on May 24, 2019, 10:43:24 AM
He does and he will be the next Tory leader. Boris has been waiting for this moment and has all the right people around him (better people than what May has/had). Brexit is going to be delivered to the people one way or another now. I expect that us Irish are going to get screwed over big time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 24, 2019, 11:02:21 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 24, 2019, 10:42:40 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on May 24, 2019, 07:24:37 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 24, 2019, 06:32:51 AM
Looks like today's the day this finally consumed Theresa, her resilience was impressive at least..if nothing else. Cant imagine the torys will vote for another who tries to save them for themselves. I'd say Gove or Raab are the most likely candidates. MPs wont let boris near it but well see. Another GE is on the cards this year
She promised her party that they could have their cake and eat it too, which could never happen and she's paying the price.  She told them the UK will leave the CU but there will be no hard border, and DUP were assured there will be no Irish Sea border - if you leave the CU there has to be a border somewhere, simple.  She hadn't the nerve to face down one side or the other and now they are all eating her.

On the Peston show the other night there's real deep division in the Tory party over Boris it seems.

Rees Mogg is a fan, but you always get the notion that he's far too smart for his own good that lad and that he thinks he'll be able to pull Boris's strings in the background.
Johnny Mercer has fallen head on into the Boris cult and thinks he'll be great. Doesn't come across as the sharpest tool in the box.
The other Tory on was Dominic Greer and he couldn't hide his disdain for Boris.

The Tories are couped and Labour are that inept they cannot take advantage.

Exactly. They are possibly less couped than labour is the issue. If labour can not capitalise now then I don't know when they can. Boris Johnston is a prime minister is a frightening / ridiculous prospect. Sacked for lying from a paper column he has shown time and again that he has little care for speaking the truth and has little knowledge of any area he has worked in yet he is the favourite for prime minister. How it has come to this I don't know but it's ludicrous. Politics in the UK is an absolute laughing stock. Farage will probably clean up in those MEP elections too. The place is an absolute mess. I used to think it was just NI was an absolute farce but it's the whole UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on May 24, 2019, 11:06:23 AM
A few tears there from oul Maybot.  Repeatedly thrown under the bus by her own. The poison chalice passes to another.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on May 24, 2019, 11:19:43 AM
Quote from: lurganblue on May 24, 2019, 11:06:23 AM
A few tears there from oul Maybot.  Repeatedly thrown under the bus by her own. The poison chalice passes to another.
She threw herself under the bus time and again, including arrogantly calling a General Election which spectacularly backfired.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on May 24, 2019, 11:21:23 AM
I wouldn't bet too much on Boris being the next leader tbh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on May 24, 2019, 11:23:04 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on May 24, 2019, 10:43:24 AM
He does and he will be the next Tory leader. Boris has been waiting for this moment and has all the right people around him (better people than what May has/had). Brexit is going to be delivered to the people one way or another now. I expect that us Irish are going to get screwed over big time.

I think he will wait yet. I think he doesn't want to be seen as the one creating the mess, he wants to be the one to be seen to be fixing it and there is plenty of messin to be done yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 24, 2019, 11:31:12 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on May 24, 2019, 11:19:43 AM
Quote from: lurganblue on May 24, 2019, 11:06:23 AM
A few tears there from oul Maybot.  Repeatedly thrown under the bus by her own. The poison chalice passes to another.
She threw herself under the bus time and again, including arrogantly calling a General Election which spectacularly backfired.

Yeah I have a degree of sympathy for her but the snap election was her downfall. . . she had a parliamentary majority of 15 and had a big lead in the polls thinking she would increase this when they totally fudged the thing and Labour made gains on her.

From there it was defeat after defeat and in truth she achieved nothing of value during her time.

On the leadership the cult of Boris could possibly win but there is usually a huge circus around these things and anything can happen. Nobody saw Teresa May coming in last time!

One thing is for sure there are some dangerous f**kers lurking about none moreso than that Dominic Raab w**ker. Half the country will be broke and the rest hugely rich if he has his way!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on May 24, 2019, 11:32:11 AM
Both Peston and Kuenssberg now have over 1 million Twitter followers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on May 24, 2019, 11:37:22 AM
In reality does it matter who gets the PM position? The only show in town is a no deal Brexit......and life will go on. I hope Jeremy Hunt gets it, IMHO he is the best of a very poor bunch......and 12/1😎
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on May 24, 2019, 11:56:28 AM
Quote from: screenexile on May 24, 2019, 11:31:12 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on May 24, 2019, 11:19:43 AM
Quote from: lurganblue on May 24, 2019, 11:06:23 AM
A few tears there from oul Maybot.  Repeatedly thrown under the bus by her own. The poison chalice passes to another.
She threw herself under the bus time and again, including arrogantly calling a General Election which spectacularly backfired.

Yeah I have a degree of sympathy for her but the snap election was her downfall. . . she had a parliamentary majority of 15 and had a big lead in the polls thinking she would increase this when they totally fudged the thing and Labour made gains on her.

From there it was defeat after defeat and in truth she achieved nothing of value during her time.

On the leadership the cult of Boris could possibly win but there is usually a huge circus around these things and anything can happen. Nobody saw Teresa May coming in last time!

One thing is for sure there are some dangerous f**kers lurking about none moreso than that Dominic Raab w**ker. Half the country will be broke and the rest hugely rich if he has his way!!

Tbf, the election seemed like the right call at the time, a bigger majority would have given her the chance to pass whatever deal she agreed. Obviously it backfired.

Imo, where she fell down was in basic leadership - she promised all things to all people knowing full well (presumably) that it couldn't be delivered. She failed to sell her deal (should have made a big hooha about ending free movement which had been a big referendum issue) and instead allowed her opponents to control the narrative

I can't see bojo getting enough support within the party to be elected
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 24, 2019, 12:02:00 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 24, 2019, 11:37:22 AM
In reality does it matter who gets the PM position? The only show in town is a no deal Brexit......and life will go on. I hope Jeremy Hunt gets it, IMHO he is the best of a very poor bunch......and 12/1😎

Sweet f**k, Hunt is probably the best of a very bad lot alright..

Boris the self serving Churchill wannabe
Mogg the taig doesn't seem interested in leadership, couldn't afford the paycut
Gove, another snivelling wee toad
Raab, another toff bollox who doesn't even understand how shipping from Dover to Calais works..


Jim Shannon for PM I say.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on May 24, 2019, 12:18:06 PM
I would rather have Gove than any of those others tbh seeing as there has to be someone appointed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 24, 2019, 12:46:14 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on May 24, 2019, 10:43:24 AM
He does and he will be the next Tory leader. Boris has been waiting for this moment and has all the right people around him (better people than what May has/had). Brexit is going to be delivered to the people one way or another now. I expect that us Irish are going to get screwed over big time.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/05/24/theresa-may-resigns-brexit-latest-news-european-elections-conservative/

Tories will elect a 'Nigel Farage', claims Clarke
Ken Clarke, the Father of the Commons and former chancellor, has warned that the Conservative Party faces a "chaotic six weeks" which will prove a "harmful diversion" from the need to break the Brexit deadlock in Parliament.
Hitting out at Tory Brexiteers, Mr Clarke claimed that the European Research Group believed they could unite the party behind "the one of them that most resembles Nigel Farage".
However, he told the Today programme: "I don't think it's going to be like that."
In a thinly-veiled swipe at leadership favourite Boris Johnson, Mr Clarke said the "favourite doesn't usually win", adding: "The person that is expected to win hasn't won one of these for a very long time as far as I can recall."
Mr Clarke also predicted the Tories had failed to win more than 10 percent of the vote in yesterday's European elections poll, claiming there had been "no clear reason to vote Conservative".
"I suspect the majority of Conservative MPs did not vote Conservative yesterday," he continued.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 24, 2019, 12:49:11 PM
A terrible PM. Good riddance. Could neither lead nor drive. Triggered A50 without any plan. No charm or negotiation skills.

The reality is though that whoever replaces her will face the exact same set of problems with the same Parliamentary arithmetic and an EU negotiating team that are refusing to reopen the withdrawal agreement. Deck chairs on the Titanic springs to mind.

We're so fucked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on May 24, 2019, 01:48:14 PM
Gove is the biggest **** in parliament and that's some achievement.

Hunt is the best man for the job but doesn't have the steel to whip these f**kers into line
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on May 24, 2019, 02:46:06 PM
Quote from: TheOptimist on May 24, 2019, 11:23:04 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on May 24, 2019, 10:43:24 AM
He does and he will be the next Tory leader. Boris has been waiting for this moment and has all the right people around him (better people than what May has/had). Brexit is going to be delivered to the people one way or another now. I expect that us Irish are going to get screwed over big time.

I think he will wait yet. I think he doesn't want to be seen as the one creating the mess, he wants to be the one to be seen to be fixing it and there is plenty of messin to be done yet.

That's a good point. The next PM can only fail because all possible scenarios are failures of one kind or another.

- Brexit, even with the best possible deal will still leave the country worse off than it is (and with the immigration "problem still not solved - they will begin to notice that the brown people they hate are not generally coming from the EU).
- A no-deal Brexit will clearly be disastrous.
- A no Brexit will end the career of the PM who presides over it.

So that cunning self-promoter may well see his best opportunity occurring after the next PM has been immolated in the EU crucible like the last four Tory leaders, when he can present himself as the man who could have saved Britain and led them to the sunny uplands.

For what it's worth, this fella (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8D3hX_J9trk) seems to me to be a voice of reason in the Tory party (which of course means he has no chance of being elected leader).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 24, 2019, 03:05:12 PM
Quote from: trileacman on May 24, 2019, 01:48:14 PM
Gove is the biggest **** in parliament and that's some achievement.

Hunt is the best man for the job but doesn't have the steel to whip these f**kers into line
Raab is just as bad
Then you have the Andreas
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 24, 2019, 03:24:22 PM
I think Boris will reverse the long trend of favourites not winning and win.

He will try to deliver a no-deal Brexit by circumventing Parliament - it is the only way it CAN be delivered in the current situation, you can be sure that that  is the manoeuvring going on in the background with all Brexit hardliners.

Gove is the most capable and slippiest of all imo.

Edit - just realised no matter what manoeuvres they try to pull they'll still have to pass legislation in some form so they can't totally circumvent HP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on May 27, 2019, 08:40:47 AM
Brexit party win bulk of seats in euro elections.....no surprise really. No deal Brexit is only show in town now, followed by GE. PMQ's will be comedy gold with Bo in hot seat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 6th sam on May 27, 2019, 09:11:08 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 27, 2019, 08:40:47 AM
Brexit party win bulk of seats in euro elections.....no surprise really. No deal Brexit is only show in town now, followed by GE. PMQ's will be comedy gold with Bo in hot seat.
Much like UKIP previously this is very much a protest vote by "little englanders " but like UKIP Previously and brexiteerism generally it will prove to have no substance.
Taking aside the fact that extremes are more likely to vote any way, and the NI vote to follow. Only 30% voted for brexit party, and probably very few of those that remained loyal to labour and conservative, are brexiteers, there are more votes for clear remainer parties. A second referendum is very likely to give a remain vote, and this is what remainers and true democrats should be pushing for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 27, 2019, 10:06:46 AM
The Brexit party have only a few more seats than UKIP. They did not get a majority of votes nor is there any mandate for a no deal, although they will claim one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GiveItToTheShooters on May 27, 2019, 10:13:36 AM
Quote from: 6th sam on May 27, 2019, 09:11:08 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 27, 2019, 08:40:47 AM
Brexit party win bulk of seats in euro elections.....no surprise really. No deal Brexit is only show in town now, followed by GE. PMQ's will be comedy gold with Bo in hot seat.
Much like UKIP previously this is very much a protest vote by "little englanders " but like UKIP Previously and brexiteerism generally it will prove to have no substance.
Taking aside the fact that extremes are more likely to vote any way, and the NI vote to follow. Only 30% voted for brexit party, and probably very few of those that remained loyal to labour and conservative, are brexiteers, there are more votes for clear remainer parties. A second referendum is very likely to give a remain vote, and this is what remainers and true democrats should be pushing for.

The irony
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maiden1 on May 27, 2019, 10:42:20 AM
Quote from: 6th sam on May 27, 2019, 09:11:08 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 27, 2019, 08:40:47 AM
Brexit party win bulk of seats in euro elections.....no surprise really. No deal Brexit is only show in town now, followed by GE. PMQ's will be comedy gold with Bo in hot seat.
Much like UKIP previously this is very much a protest vote by "little englanders " but like UKIP Previously and brexiteerism generally it will prove to have no substance.
Taking aside the fact that extremes are more likely to vote any way, and the NI vote to follow. Only 30% voted for brexit party, and probably very few of those that remained loyal to labour and conservative, are brexiteers, there are more votes for clear remainer parties. A second referendum is very likely to give a remain vote, and this is what remainers and true democrats should be pushing for.

Brexit 604,715 (37.83%)
LD 361,563 (22.62%, +15.76%)
Green 202,460 (12.67%, +4.20%)
C 163,830 (10.25%, -18.12%)
Lab 139,490 (8.73%, -8.53%)
Change 58,274 (3.65%)
UKIP 54,676 (3.42%, -31.06%)

38% Brexit + 3.5% UKIP + 10 % Conservative does not equate to a clear remain vote.  If you want to take the Conservatives out of that list then also take Labour out of remain list, it still doesn't equate to a remain majority.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on May 27, 2019, 11:08:22 AM
There's still a slight majority of remain MP's in  Westminster

How it is all going to pan out is impossible to predict

Best and most capable person in the Con leadership contest is Stewart ... probably wont have the support to win it !!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on May 27, 2019, 11:24:38 AM
Quote from: Maiden1 on May 27, 2019, 10:42:20 AM
Quote from: 6th sam on May 27, 2019, 09:11:08 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 27, 2019, 08:40:47 AM
Brexit party win bulk of seats in euro elections.....no surprise really. No deal Brexit is only show in town now, followed by GE. PMQ's will be comedy gold with Bo in hot seat.
Much like UKIP previously this is very much a protest vote by "little englanders " but like UKIP Previously and brexiteerism generally it will prove to have no substance.
Taking aside the fact that extremes are more likely to vote any way, and the NI vote to follow. Only 30% voted for brexit party, and probably very few of those that remained loyal to labour and conservative, are brexiteers, there are more votes for clear remainer parties. A second referendum is very likely to give a remain vote, and this is what remainers and true democrats should be pushing for.

Brexit 604,715 (37.83%)
LD 361,563 (22.62%, +15.76%)
Green 202,460 (12.67%, +4.20%)
C 163,830 (10.25%, -18.12%)
Lab 139,490 (8.73%, -8.53%)
Change 58,274 (3.65%)
UKIP 54,676 (3.42%, -31.06%)

38% Brexit + 3.5% UKIP + 10 % Conservative does not equate to a clear remain vote.  If you want to take the Conservatives out of that list then also take Labour out of remain list, it still doesn't equate to a remain majority.

Think the votes cast figures are way out there. Less than 2,000,000 voted?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maiden1 on May 27, 2019, 11:34:11 AM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on May 27, 2019, 11:24:38 AM
Quote from: Maiden1 on May 27, 2019, 10:42:20 AM
Quote from: 6th sam on May 27, 2019, 09:11:08 AM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on May 27, 2019, 08:40:47 AM
Brexit party win bulk of seats in euro elections.....no surprise really. No deal Brexit is only show in town now, followed by GE. PMQ's will be comedy gold with Bo in hot seat.
Much like UKIP previously this is very much a protest vote by "little englanders " but like UKIP Previously and brexiteerism generally it will prove to have no substance.
Taking aside the fact that extremes are more likely to vote any way, and the NI vote to follow. Only 30% voted for brexit party, and probably very few of those that remained loyal to labour and conservative, are brexiteers, there are more votes for clear remainer parties. A second referendum is very likely to give a remain vote, and this is what remainers and true democrats should be pushing for.

Brexit 604,715 (37.83%)
LD 361,563 (22.62%, +15.76%)
Green 202,460 (12.67%, +4.20%)
C 163,830 (10.25%, -18.12%)
Lab 139,490 (8.73%, -8.53%)
Change 58,274 (3.65%)
UKIP 54,676 (3.42%, -31.06%)

38% Brexit + 3.5% UKIP + 10 % Conservative does not equate to a clear remain vote.  If you want to take the Conservatives out of that list then also take Labour out of remain list, it still doesn't equate to a remain majority.

Think the votes cast figures are way out there. Less than 2,000,000 voted?

Oops you must be right.  I must have copied that for 1 borough.

I just googled european elections uk votes by party (below)

Projected · Votes · In progress

Brexit 31.7%
Lib Dem 18.6%
Lab 14.1%
Green 11.1%
Con 8.7%
UKIP 3.6%
Change UK 2.8%

It's hard to say 35% definitely pro brexit and with probable Tory leader in waiting BOJO you'd have to expect most Conservative voters would vote for Brexit.  A majority of Labour voters would vote remain I would assume (but not all) and more than likely clear majority of Green voters but not all, you could be in favour of cutting green house emissions and want out of the EU.

It is all a bit of a &*£& up.  Like bluff asking someone outside for a fight when you don't think they would and then seeing them heading for the door.  You are like %^£& now what do I do, I don't want to follow them out but don't want to lose face by saying I was only messin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on May 27, 2019, 03:03:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on May 24, 2019, 12:49:11 PM
A terrible PM. Good riddance. Could neither lead nor drive. Triggered A50 without any plan. No charm or negotiation skills.

The reality is though that whoever replaces her will face the exact same set of problems with the same Parliamentary arithmetic and an EU negotiating team that are refusing to reopen the withdrawal agreement. Deck chairs on the Titanic springs to mind.

We're so fucked.

She was wretched. Took a dreadful situation and made it catastrophic. Allowed the hard-right in her party to pull the strings. Unilaterally made one bad decision after another. Unquestionably the worst post-war PM.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 27, 2019, 03:13:07 PM
The worrying thing is that what's next might even be worse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 27, 2019, 04:16:54 PM
Disappointed with some of the coverage around BXP and their vote. They essentially are the old UKIP vote with some Tory leavers. It's a single issue party with no policies or indeed any real ideas on Brexit other than leave. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 27, 2019, 04:28:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on May 27, 2019, 04:16:54 PM
Disappointed with some of the coverage around BXP and their vote. They essentially are the old UKIP vote with some Tory leavers. It's a single issue party with no policies or indeed any real ideas on Brexit other than leave.

And the Irish Border, GFA are non issues according to Anne Widdicombe who I didn't know until this morning was a BXP elected MEP!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 27, 2019, 07:24:12 PM
Interesting discussion there on Newsnight Election coverage with Steve Baker (Deputy Chair of ERG) stating that on the brink of a no deal scenario the UK & EU can implement a stand still on trading arrangements for up to 10 years! Essentially preserving the Status Quo until a FTA is agreed. It creates a 100 spin off questions but interesting nonetheless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on May 27, 2019, 07:41:28 PM
Looking down the road, if there was a border poll in favour of a UI, would a pro-Union UK Parliament stall the outcome, just like now with Brexit.
Are dangerous precedents being set?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 27, 2019, 07:48:45 PM
The Westminster Parliament might be pro the Scottish Union, I doubt they would hold things up in NI much. However, the parliament elected by British people can reasonably have a view on policies. Failing to decolonise would be something else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on May 27, 2019, 09:34:32 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on May 27, 2019, 03:32:07 PM
While the BXP won a clear plurality in the EU elections in Britain, their 31.7% share of the vote in the end will be a bit disappointing for them I'd say as this time last week opinion polling had them at close to 40%. The BXP basically swallowed most of UKIP's 2014 vote plus a significant share of the Tory vote that just collapsed this time and with those results it's not exactly a ringing mandate for a no deal Brexit. The Liberal Democrats seem to have been largely forgiven for their sins between 2010 & 2015 while the Greens also enjoyed a notable increase. With Labour falling to fifth place, Corbyn needs to be told to sh*t or get off the pot concerning a firm stance on Brexit otherwise there's going to be bigger trouble in their party than there already is.

This is all true.

"There's no majority for anything" has been used for a year now and is untrue.  Polls have constantly shown the "Just get on with it" policy has a substantial majority.  This is not the "Status quo policy" favoured by the Conservatives and Labour.  BXP prefer a 2nd vote to the bad deal already agreed.  Is there any Conservative leader that could get TM's WA + whatever political declaration they dress up through the HP?   Possibly.  Majority of English do not want to another bloody vote.

Still interesting times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on May 27, 2019, 09:36:45 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 27, 2019, 07:24:12 PM
Interesting discussion there on Newsnight Election coverage with Steve Baker (Deputy Chair of ERG) stating that on the brink of a no deal scenario the UK & EU can implement a stand still on trading arrangements for up to 10 years! Essentially preserving the Status Quo until a FTA is agreed. It creates a 100 spin off questions but interesting nonetheless.

Never listen to Steve Baker.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 27, 2019, 10:57:32 PM
Not sure but it didn't sound like it was a WTO related point he was making. Even if it is true, it doesn't remove the backstop issue and the UK would presumably still be bound in a customs union in such a possible scenario which is unacceptable to the Tories.  It would also require a lot of good will on both sides, that ship has long sailed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on May 27, 2019, 11:22:37 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 27, 2019, 10:57:32 PM
Not sure but it didn't sound like it was a WTO related point he was making. Even if it is true, it doesn't remove the backstop issue and the UK would presumably still be bound in a customs union in such a possible scenario which is unacceptable to the Tories.  It would also require a lot of good will on both sides, that ship has long sailed.

Aye no goodwill anywhere but there is still the proposed NI-only Customs Union Referendum as proposed by some MP.   I've always thought that was the best escape route for UK.   Still I advise:   If you're ever listening to the radio or watching TV and Steve Baker starts speaking, change station.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 29, 2019, 11:04:32 PM
Was Jim Wells correct there in saying based on the EU parliament results then we'd get the same result from a second referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 29, 2019, 11:11:03 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 29, 2019, 11:04:32 PM
Was Jim Wells correct there in saying based on the EU parliament results then we'd get the same result from a second referendum?

Do you really need to ask?

First minute or so

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=do5UtZ6uzuY

Prehaps hes disingenuously making the assumption that every single voter for Labour and Tories are for leaving....which plainly isnt true
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 29, 2019, 11:15:40 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 29, 2019, 11:11:03 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 29, 2019, 11:04:32 PM
Was Jim Wells correct there in saying based on the EU parliament results then we'd get the same result from a second referendum?

Do you really need to ask?

First minute or so

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=do5UtZ6uzuY

Prehaps hes disingenuously making the assumption that every single voter for Labour and Tories are for leaving....which plainly isnt true

He wasn't pulled on that comment which is very rare for Nolan to miss a trick/opportunity to pull him up.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on May 29, 2019, 11:35:53 PM
Being realistic  if there was one tomorrow the likelihood would be that Remain would win by around 5-10 points

But the Brexiteers would be goin nowhere for the next few election cycles and could easily become a majority again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on May 30, 2019, 03:55:42 AM
The terms 'Brexiteer' and 'Remainer' need redefined in current context.  E.g. can anyone name a Remainer in the Conservative Party leadership contest?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 30, 2019, 07:44:47 AM
Well Hunt, The Saj and Stewart all voted Remain (prob along with  some others) and they'd soon be reminded of the fact if they succeed in becoming Leader  & Brexit continues to frustrate - which is a certainty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on May 30, 2019, 07:55:24 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 30, 2019, 07:44:47 AM
Well Hunt, The Saj and Stewart all voted Remain (prob along with  some others) and they'd soon be reminded of the fact if they succeed in becoming Leader  & Brexit continues to frustrate - which is a certainty.

True.

Conservatives as led by May and Labour as led by Corbyn were both elected on manifestos promising to 'deliver Brexit', therefore, all else being equal and with the land as it stands (and presuming it will continue to stand), the UK wants to leave the EU.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 30, 2019, 09:55:50 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 29, 2019, 11:35:53 PM
Being realistic  if there was one tomorrow the likelihood would be that Remain would win by around 5-10 points

But the Brexiteers would be goin nowhere for the next few election cycles and could easily become a majority again.

You think? I'd say if it was rerun it would be very, very, very close and would not be surprised if Leave won again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 30, 2019, 10:25:06 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 30, 2019, 09:55:50 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 29, 2019, 11:35:53 PM
Being realistic  if there was one tomorrow the likelihood would be that Remain would win by around 5-10 points

But the Brexiteers would be goin nowhere for the next few election cycles and could easily become a majority again.

You think? I'd say if it was rerun it would be very, very, very close and would not be surprised if Leave won again.

That would be fine as then people voting both ways would then have a better understanding of the impact of their decision as they'd be fully aware of the terms on offer from the EU rather than the blind vote that occured in 2016.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 30, 2019, 10:27:40 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 30, 2019, 09:55:50 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 29, 2019, 11:35:53 PM
Being realistic  if there was one tomorrow the likelihood would be that Remain would win by around 5-10 points

But the Brexiteers would be goin nowhere for the next few election cycles and could easily become a majority again.

You think? I'd say if it was rerun it would be very, very, very close and would not be surprised if Leave won again.
Leave hasn't a hope of winning. You can tell because the tories refuse a General Election and won't countenance a referendum
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on May 30, 2019, 11:01:13 AM
Fairly convinced it would be 60/40 to remain.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 30, 2019, 01:32:47 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 30, 2019, 10:27:40 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 30, 2019, 09:55:50 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on May 29, 2019, 11:35:53 PM
Being realistic  if there was one tomorrow the likelihood would be that Remain would win by around 5-10 points

But the Brexiteers would be goin nowhere for the next few election cycles and could easily become a majority again.

You think? I'd say if it was rerun it would be very, very, very close and would not be surprised if Leave won again.
Leave hasn't a hope of winning. You can tell because the tories refuse a General Election and won't countenance a referendum

You could be right, but they didn't have much of a hope of winning the first one either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on May 31, 2019, 10:52:23 PM
Quote from: maddog on May 30, 2019, 11:01:13 AM
Fairly convinced it would be 60/40 to remain.
Not sure of that, judging by the euros. It was a great chance for the people to make themselves heard in what was a meaningless election but effectively a very important opinion poll. This was the Guardian's synopsis:

The results of the European elections told us exactly what we already knew: that the country is hopelessly split. Just over a third of the country want a no-deal Brexit and roughly another 40% want to remain in the EU. The remainder want to leave with a deal, though they are unable to say exactly what kind of deal, just not the one that was offered.

Plus telling people they didn't understand what they initially voted for will backfire badly!
Again, it'll probably come down to who runs the best campaign, and not sure that's a strong point of the remainers...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on June 02, 2019, 09:58:47 AM
The dirty dozen has now become 13😂, a party in total disarray.....and yet Labour still unelectable with Corbyn at the helm. If he really cared about the country as he claims, he should step aside and let someone like Starmer lead them to number 10.....but I don't hold out much hope.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on June 04, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
We didn't need to hear it as we knew it already... but the prize for no deal is that the US gets it's grubby mitts on the NHS.

Confirmed today by the orangutan.

Can wait until the legal US drug dealing conglomerates get in the door here.

Divide and conquer.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 04, 2019, 05:16:45 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 04, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
We didn't need to hear it as we knew it already... but the prize for no deal is that the US gets it's grubby mitts on the NHS.

Confirmed today by the orangutan.

Can wait until the legal US drug dealing conglomerates get in the door here.

Divide and conquer.

The first decent thing Teresa May has done in a long time was get him to confirm that!!!

Totally fucks the Brexiteers up there is no way that the country wants to lose the NHS not a f**king chance and now Remain have something concrete to use for the next election/confirmatory vote etc.

Video of Farage talking about moving to an insurance type system as well this should be gold to remain politicians and they need to drive it home!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 04, 2019, 06:19:24 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 04, 2019, 05:16:45 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 04, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
We didn't need to hear it as we knew it already... but the prize for no deal is that the US gets it's grubby mitts on the NHS.

Confirmed today by the orangutan.

Can wait until the legal US drug dealing conglomerates get in the door here.

Divide and conquer.

The first decent thing Teresa May has done in a long time was get him to confirm that!!!

Totally f**ks the Brexiteers up there is no way that the country wants to lose the NHS not a f**king chance and now Remain have something concrete to use for the next election/confirmatory vote etc.

Video of Farage talking about moving to an insurance type system as well this should be gold to remain politicians and they need to drive it home!!

If the Remain crowd can't hammer Brexit over the NHS and chlorinated listeria they should give up

There are no health reasons why you couldn't eat chickens that have been washed in chlorinated water." - Liam Fox (Nov 2017)

'British microbiologists find chlorine washing does not kill listeria and salmonella.' (May 2018)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on June 04, 2019, 10:56:58 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 04, 2019, 05:16:45 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 04, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
We didn't need to hear it as we knew it already... but the prize for no deal is that the US gets it's grubby mitts on the NHS.

Confirmed today by the orangutan.

Can wait until the legal US drug dealing conglomerates get in the door here.

Divide and conquer.

The first decent thing Teresa May has done in a long time was get him to confirm that!!!

Totally f**ks the Brexiteers up there is no way that the country wants to lose the NHS not a f**king chance and now Remain have something concrete to use for the next election/confirmatory vote etc.

Video of Farage talking about moving to an insurance type system as well this should be gold to remain politicians and they need to drive it home!!

Genuinely think that a lot of these fcukwits have become so entrenched that if you showed them that Brexit irrefutably meant certain death, they'd chance it anyway.  For t'save uh'country.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 05, 2019, 11:55:28 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 24, 2019, 03:24:22 PM
I think Boris will reverse the long trend of favourites not winning and win.

He will try to deliver a no-deal Brexit by circumventing Parliament - it is the only way it CAN be delivered in the current situation, you can be sure that that  is the manoeuvring going on in the background with all Brexit hardliners.


Gove is the most capable and slippiest of all imo.

Edit - just realised no matter what manoeuvres they try to pull they'll still have to pass legislation in some form so they can't totally circumvent HP.
Just read on Twitter there that Rabb (& ERG in general) are advocating Parliament be proroged in late October to ensure UK leaves without Parliament being able to halt it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on June 06, 2019, 12:01:44 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 05, 2019, 11:55:28 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 24, 2019, 03:24:22 PM
I think Boris will reverse the long trend of favourites not winning and win.

He will try to deliver a no-deal Brexit by circumventing Parliament - it is the only way it CAN be delivered in the current situation, you can be sure that that  is the manoeuvring going on in the background with all Brexit hardliners.


Gove is the most capable and slippiest of all imo.

Edit - just realised no matter what manoeuvres they try to pull they'll still have to pass legislation in some form so they can't totally circumvent HP.
Just read on Twitter there that Rabb (& ERG in general) are advocating Parliament be proroged in late October to ensure UK leaves without Parliament being able to halt it.
Surely that would be a constitutional crisis and would surely end in a legal challenge. Rabb is a tosser.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 06, 2019, 09:16:15 AM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on June 06, 2019, 12:01:44 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 05, 2019, 11:55:28 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 24, 2019, 03:24:22 PM
I think Boris will reverse the long trend of favourites not winning and win.

He will try to deliver a no-deal Brexit by circumventing Parliament - it is the only way it CAN be delivered in the current situation, you can be sure that that  is the manoeuvring going on in the background with all Brexit hardliners.


Gove is the most capable and slippiest of all imo.

Edit - just realised no matter what manoeuvres they try to pull they'll still have to pass legislation in some form so they can't totally circumvent HP.
Just read on Twitter there that Rabb (& ERG in general) are advocating Parliament be proroged in late October to ensure UK leaves without Parliament being able to halt it.
Surely that would be a constitutional crisis and would surely end in a legal challenge. Rabb is a t**ser.

He's going balls out for the hardline brexiteers within the party trying to outdo Boris and Ester McVey.

Has Baker dropped out of the race for Raab?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 06, 2019, 12:21:27 PM
I wouldn't be so sure remain would win a referendum.A lot of Brits and that includes Asian and Irish immigrants are pro Brexit and white anglos are so self obsessed that they believe that the sun still doesn't set on the Empire and that free trade agreements will all be one way traffic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 06, 2019, 12:33:37 PM
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-21/tory-grandee-patten-calls-johnson-mendacious-and-incompetent

hundreds of thousands of pounds of dark money has poured into social media ads warning MPs not to "steal Brexit" and promoting the UK leaving the EU on WTO rules.

https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/dark-money-investigations/revealed-how-dark-money-is-winning-brexit-influencing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on June 06, 2019, 12:38:24 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 04, 2019, 05:16:45 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 04, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
We didn't need to hear it as we knew it already... but the prize for no deal is that the US gets it's grubby mitts on the NHS.

Confirmed today by the orangutan.

Can wait until the legal US drug dealing conglomerates get in the door here.

Divide and conquer.

The first decent thing Teresa May has done in a long time was get him to confirm that!!!

Totally f**ks the Brexiteers up there is no way that the country wants to lose the NHS not a f**king chance and now Remain have something concrete to use for the next election/confirmatory vote etc.

Video of Farage talking about moving to an insurance type system as well this should be gold to remain politicians and they need to drive it home!!

I thought the same myself. I can't help wonder how history will remember Theresa. Yes, she was a clueless PM. Can't help now reflect back thinking she tried her best (not good enough) to avoid a hard Brexit or no deal Brexit. Now that she has been defeat, fire that in now to show that the big casualty for Britain will be -  the NHS.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on June 06, 2019, 12:44:01 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 06, 2019, 12:21:27 PM
I wouldn't be so sure remain would win a referendum.A lot of Brits and that includes Asian and Irish immigrants are pro Brexit and white anglos are so self obsessed that they believe that the sun still doesn't set on the Empire and that free trade agreements will all be one way traffic.

No white anglo under 80 years of age can remember the Empire. The notion that the ordinary mass of Brit citizens ever cared for Empire is kinda funny too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 06, 2019, 12:47:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on June 06, 2019, 12:38:24 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 04, 2019, 05:16:45 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 04, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
We didn't need to hear it as we knew it already... but the prize for no deal is that the US gets it's grubby mitts on the NHS.

Confirmed today by the orangutan.

Can wait until the legal US drug dealing conglomerates get in the door here.

Divide and conquer.

The first decent thing Teresa May has done in a long time was get him to confirm that!!!

Totally f**ks the Brexiteers up there is no way that the country wants to lose the NHS not a f**king chance and now Remain have something concrete to use for the next election/confirmatory vote etc.

Video of Farage talking about moving to an insurance type system as well this should be gold to remain politicians and they need to drive it home!!

I thought the same myself. I can't help wonder how history will remember Theresa. Yes, she was a clueless PM. Can't help now reflect back thinking she tried her best (not good enough) to avoid a hard Brexit or no deal Brexit. Now that she has been defeat, fire that in now to show that the big casualty for Britain will be -  the NHS.

Her calling of the General Election was the biggest mistake she made and set the scene for the shambles that followed!!

She did that herself thinking she was bulletproof!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on June 06, 2019, 01:37:00 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 06, 2019, 12:47:16 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on June 06, 2019, 12:38:24 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 04, 2019, 05:16:45 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 04, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
We didn't need to hear it as we knew it already... but the prize for no deal is that the US gets it's grubby mitts on the NHS.

Confirmed today by the orangutan.

Can wait until the legal US drug dealing conglomerates get in the door here.

Divide and conquer.

The first decent thing Teresa May has done in a long time was get him to confirm that!!!

Totally f**ks the Brexiteers up there is no way that the country wants to lose the NHS not a f**king chance and now Remain have something concrete to use for the next election/confirmatory vote etc.

Video of Farage talking about moving to an insurance type system as well this should be gold to remain politicians and they need to drive it home!!

I thought the same myself. I can't help wonder how history will remember Theresa. Yes, she was a clueless PM. Can't help now reflect back thinking she tried her best (not good enough) to avoid a hard Brexit or no deal Brexit. Now that she has been defeat, fire that in now to show that the big casualty for Britain will be -  the NHS.

Her calling of the General Election was the biggest mistake she made and set the scene for the shambles that followed!!

She did that herself thinking she was bulletproof!

She called the GE because the ERG told her to.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 06, 2019, 02:56:11 PM
This is a really good explanation of why Brexit was lost

https://www.politico.eu/article/how-uk-lost-brexit-eu-negotiation/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on June 06, 2019, 03:17:09 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on June 06, 2019, 12:38:24 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 04, 2019, 05:16:45 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 04, 2019, 05:01:53 PM
We didn't need to hear it as we knew it already... but the prize for no deal is that the US gets it's grubby mitts on the NHS.

Confirmed today by the orangutan.

Can wait until the legal US drug dealing conglomerates get in the door here.

Divide and conquer.

The first decent thing Teresa May has done in a long time was get him to confirm that!!!

Totally f**ks the Brexiteers up there is no way that the country wants to lose the NHS not a f**king chance and now Remain have something concrete to use for the next election/confirmatory vote etc.

Video of Farage talking about moving to an insurance type system as well this should be gold to remain politicians and they need to drive it home!!

I thought the same myself. I can't help wonder how history will remember Theresa. Yes, she was a clueless PM. Can't help now reflect back thinking she tried her best (not good enough) to avoid a hard Brexit or no deal Brexit. Now that she has been defeat, fire that in now to show that the big casualty for Britain will be -  the NHS.

If that was her trying her best it was woeful. She let the tail wag the dog the whole way through this process - both the hardline Brexiteers in her party and the DUP. Triggering Article 50 without any clue as to the deal that was to lie ahead was utter stupidity. The various back tracking proved she was weak. Mind you she was probably the best of a bad lot which says all you need to know about the state of politicians in Westminster. The fact Corbyn and the Labour party can't get any traction or make any headway against a Tory party tearing itself apart shows how incompetent they are as well. The genie is well and truly out of the box and that is in no small part to May and Cameron before her constantly trying to appease this group and to hell with everyone else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on June 06, 2019, 03:40:38 PM
Quote from: Hound on May 31, 2019, 10:52:23 PM
Quote from: maddog on May 30, 2019, 11:01:13 AM
Fairly convinced it would be 60/40 to remain.
Not sure of that, judging by the euros. It was a great chance for the people to make themselves heard in what was a meaningless election but effectively a very important opinion poll. This was the Guardian's synopsis:

The results of the European elections told us exactly what we already knew: that the country is hopelessly split. Just over a third of the country want a no-deal Brexit and roughly another 40% want to remain in the EU. The remainder want to leave with a deal, though they are unable to say exactly what kind of deal, just not the one that was offered.

Plus telling people they didn't understand what they initially voted for will backfire badly!
Again, it'll probably come down to who runs the best campaign, and not sure that's a strong point of the remainers...

This is exactly correct. Anyone who thinks Remain would certainly be the result of a new referendum is living in a fantasy world....there is simply no evidence to back that up. Britain is hopelessly divided over this with none of the three broad options (no-deal, deal, remain) able to get to 50% or even close. Farage stole a huge % of the Conservative vote becasue those people just want out of the EU at any cost. Lib Dems doubling down for remain took a lot of committed remainers, frustrated with Corbyn's inability to conjure the impossible (a majority for Remain and a new referendum), off Labour. Will they vote that way in a GE? We may soon get to find out. I find it hard to see the Tories electing someone who will get a majority in the parliament.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 06, 2019, 03:52:29 PM
There is a 3 way civil war in the UK between fascists (No deal), Neoliberals (Remain Lib Dems ) and Lefties (Labour)
None can muster a majority but a GE would shake things up , most likely in favour of Labour

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maiden1 on June 06, 2019, 04:11:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 06, 2019, 03:52:29 PM
There is a 3 way civil war in the UK between fascists (No deal), Neoliberals (Remain Lib Dems ) and Lefties (Labour)
None can muster a majority but a GE would shake things up , most likely in favour of Labour
What if a GE matched the results of the European elections?  First past the post in each constituency.

(https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-vgPkBdiDUGs/XOuoHsnHH1I/AAAAAAAA5WE/wo-2jpBVw2wm3n5M0nZNoA74TrtkSnufACLcBGAs/s523/Untitled-1.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 06, 2019, 04:36:10 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on June 06, 2019, 12:01:44 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 05, 2019, 11:55:28 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 24, 2019, 03:24:22 PM
I think Boris will reverse the long trend of favourites not winning and win.

He will try to deliver a no-deal Brexit by circumventing Parliament - it is the only way it CAN be delivered in the current situation, you can be sure that that  is the manoeuvring going on in the background with all Brexit hardliners.


Gove is the most capable and slippiest of all imo.

Edit - just realised no matter what manoeuvres they try to pull they'll still have to pass legislation in some form so they can't totally circumvent HP.
Just read on Twitter there that Rabb (& ERG in general) are advocating Parliament be proroged in late October to ensure UK leaves without Parliament being able to halt it.
Surely that would be a constitutional crisis and would surely end in a legal challenge. Rabb is a t**ser.
I believe Speaker Bercow has said he wont allow Parliament to be prorogued for such a purpose.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 06, 2019, 04:36:21 PM
Quote from: Maiden1 on June 06, 2019, 04:11:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 06, 2019, 03:52:29 PM
There is a 3 way civil war in the UK between fascists (No deal), Neoliberals (Remain Lib Dems ) and Lefties (Labour)
None can muster a majority but a GE would shake things up , most likely in favour of Labour
What if a GE matched the results of the European elections?  First past the post in each constituency.

(https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-vgPkBdiDUGs/XOuoHsnHH1I/AAAAAAAA5WE/wo-2jpBVw2wm3n5M0nZNoA74TrtkSnufACLcBGAs/s523/Untitled-1.jpg)

Turnout was 13 m I think

Basically committed voters
GE would be higher
Referendum had 33m

Also Euro elections are like a free vote . gE is more disciplined
See these 2 polls from April and see how Brexit/Con proportions change

Westminster voting intention (ft. new parties):

LAB: 32% (+1)
CON: 28% (-4)
LDEM: 11% (-1)
BREX: 8% (+3)
UKIP: 6% (-1)
CHUK: 3% (+3)
GRN: 3% (-1)

via
‪@YouGov‬
, 10 - 11 Apr
Chgs. w/ 03 Apr

First Labour lead with YouGov since July 2018. W



Britain Elects

@britainelects


European Parliament voting intention:

BREX: 27%
LAB: 22%
CON: 15%
GRN: 10%
LDEM: 9%
UKIP: 7%
CHUK: 6%
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 06, 2019, 04:37:07 PM
Quote from: five points on June 06, 2019, 12:44:01 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 06, 2019, 12:21:27 PM
I wouldn't be so sure remain would win a referendum.A lot of Brits and that includes Asian and Irish immigrants are pro Brexit and white anglos are so self obsessed that they believe that the sun still doesn't set on the Empire and that free trade agreements will all be one way traffic.

No white anglo under 80 years of age can remember the Empire. The notion that the ordinary mass of Brit citizens ever cared for Empire is kinda funny too.
Did not say they remembered it but it culturally ingrained in them, and also a lot of the higher class Indians whose families were part of the ruling class in the Raj. People of my generation do not remember the famine, but culturally it is still ingrained in our attitudes to food, food waste etc...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on June 06, 2019, 05:13:22 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on May 30, 2019, 07:55:24 AM
Conservatives as led by May and Labour as led by Corbyn were both elected on manifestos promising to 'deliver Brexit', therefore, all else being equal and with the land as it stands (and presuming it will continue to stand), the UK wants to leave the EU.

Most of the voters are that stupid and set in their ways that if both parties campaigned on nuking the country, they'd probably still get elected 1st and 2nd (in no particular order).

How many utter retards would say: "I voted XXXX because my da voted XXXX and his da before him voted XXXX"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on June 06, 2019, 06:22:07 PM
Dominic Raab wants to prorogue Parliament to force a no-deal Brexit through. So much for "taking back control" and restoring power to national parliaments. If this isn't a right-wing power grab I don't know what is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maiden1 on June 06, 2019, 07:18:33 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on June 06, 2019, 05:13:22 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on May 30, 2019, 07:55:24 AM
Conservatives as led by May and Labour as led by Corbyn were both elected on manifestos promising to 'deliver Brexit', therefore, all else being equal and with the land as it stands (and presuming it will continue to stand), the UK wants to leave the EU.

Most of the voters are that stupid and set in their ways that if both parties campaigned on nuking the country, they'd probably still get elected 1st and 2nd (in no particular order).

How many utter retards would say: "I voted XXXX because my da voted XXXX and his da before him voted XXXX"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0TDGSZDZhM
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on June 06, 2019, 08:26:26 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on June 06, 2019, 05:13:22 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on May 30, 2019, 07:55:24 AM
Conservatives as led by May and Labour as led by Corbyn were both elected on manifestos promising to 'deliver Brexit', therefore, all else being equal and with the land as it stands (and presuming it will continue to stand), the UK wants to leave the EU.

Most of the voters are that stupid and set in their ways that if both parties campaigned on nuking the country, they'd probably still get elected 1st and 2nd (in no particular order).

How many utter retards would say: "I voted XXXX because my da voted XXXX and his da before him voted XXXX"

There is a great tv drama on at the minute Year's and Years, set five years from now, the policy by one political is that voters must pass an exam to vote! Seems fair
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on June 06, 2019, 11:13:46 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on June 06, 2019, 05:13:22 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on May 30, 2019, 07:55:24 AM
Conservatives as led by May and Labour as led by Corbyn were both elected on manifestos promising to 'deliver Brexit', therefore, all else being equal and with the land as it stands (and presuming it will continue to stand), the UK wants to leave the EU.

Most of the voters are that stupid and set in their ways that if both parties campaigned on nuking the country, they'd probably still get elected 1st and 2nd (in no particular order).

How many utter retards would say: "I voted XXXX because my da voted XXXX and his da before him voted XXXX"

Voters have never been smarter.  Note the beginning of Alliance's representation of most people in the 6 counties and the nuanced transfers in the free state.   First past the post plays into the 'Fear Factor' hand whereby Con & Lab dominate in GB and SF & DUP in NI (Westminster obviously).   Steve Baker continuously refers to Raab as Dom which is seems to be a dumbing down desensitising tactic.   But I'm possibly overanalysing..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 07, 2019, 09:56:25 AM
Yesterday's By-election result in Peterborough shows why the Tories are shitting it and determined to push Brexit through no matter what. Labour drop 17 percentage pts in share of the vote yet win the seat because the Brexit party hamstrung the Tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on June 07, 2019, 11:08:49 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 07, 2019, 09:56:25 AM
Yesterday's By-election result in Peterborough shows why the Tories are shitting it and determined to push Brexit through no matter what. Labour drop 17 percentage pts in share of the vote yet win the seat because the Brexit party hamstrung the Tories.

Does it also show to an extent that while the people will vote Brexit party in local or euro elections when it comes to electing an MP for a party with one policy they aren't just there yet. Maybe Brexit party has hit their high water mark. Farage is a total fraud.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: brokencrossbar1 on June 07, 2019, 11:17:17 AM
Quote from: maddog on June 07, 2019, 11:08:49 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 07, 2019, 09:56:25 AM
Yesterday's By-election result in Peterborough shows why the Tories are shitting it and determined to push Brexit through no matter what. Labour drop 17 percentage pts in share of the vote yet win the seat because the Brexit party hamstrung the Tories.

Does it also show to an extent that while the people will vote Brexit party in local or euro elections when it comes to electing an MP for a party with one policy they aren't just there yet. Maybe Brexit party has hit their high water mark. Farage is a total fraud.

Apparently he was at the count for yesterday's election and when it became clear that there was not going to be a winner he sneaked off into the toilets and wouldn't be seen to back his candidate!!!  Clear protest party with no real policies.  Will be found out in a GE.  British politics is rightly fucked at the minute
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on June 07, 2019, 11:59:25 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on June 06, 2019, 04:37:07 PM
Quote

No white anglo under 80 years of age can remember the Empire. The notion that the ordinary mass of Brit citizens ever cared for Empire is kinda funny too.
Did not say they remembered it but it culturally ingrained in them, and also a lot of the higher class Indians whose families were part of the ruling class in the Raj. People of my generation do not remember the famine, but culturally it is still ingrained in our attitudes to food, food waste etc...

No evidence can ever prove or disprove a generalisation like that. Even when the empire was at its height 150 years ago, your average British citizen was too busy working a 70-hour week and/or dying by the age of 40 to give a toss about empire.   Unlike the Irish famine, the empire had little or no effect on ordinary people's lives except as an origin or destination for goods produced in the factories in which they worked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 07, 2019, 01:09:07 PM
Quote from: brokencrossbar1 on June 07, 2019, 11:17:17 AM
Quote from: maddog on June 07, 2019, 11:08:49 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 07, 2019, 09:56:25 AM
Yesterday's By-election result in Peterborough shows why the Tories are shitting it and determined to push Brexit through no matter what. Labour drop 17 percentage pts in share of the vote yet win the seat because the Brexit party hamstrung the Tories.

Does it also show to an extent that while the people will vote Brexit party in local or euro elections when it comes to electing an MP for a party with one policy they aren't just there yet. Maybe Brexit party has hit their high water mark. Farage is a total fraud.

Apparently he was at the count for yesterday's election and when it became clear that there was not going to be a winner he sneaked off into the toilets and wouldn't be seen to back his candidate!!!  Clear protest party with no real policies.  Will be found out in a GE.  British politics is rightly fucked at the minute
Farage will have to be sidelined for the Tories to count in a GE in the current atmosphere. He'll become  Lord Fuckface of somewhere with a huge bribe and slither off somewhere into the shadows rather than let Corbyn in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 07, 2019, 01:15:04 PM
... or Minister for Exiting the European Union under Johnson.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 11, 2019, 10:08:07 AM
https://mobile.twitter.com/RomeoDone8/status/1103336118639083521
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on June 11, 2019, 10:54:18 AM
At least he isn't called Mike.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on June 12, 2019, 11:18:17 AM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ff6CjYBhoI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on June 13, 2019, 05:42:03 PM
First round of the Tory leadership contest

Boris Johnson / 114 votes
Jeremy Hunt / 43 votes
Michael Gove / 37 votes
Dominic Raab / 27 votes
Sajid Javid / 23 votes
Matt Hancock / 20 votes
Rory Stewart / 19 votes

Eliminated
Andrea Leadsom / 11 votes
Mark Harper / 10 votes
Esther McVey / 9 votes
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on June 13, 2019, 06:11:41 PM
God help us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on June 13, 2019, 06:14:19 PM
Quote from: dec on June 13, 2019, 05:42:03 PM
First round of the Tory leadership contest

Boris Johnson / 114 votes
Jeremy Hunt / 43 votes
Michael Gove / 37 votes
Dominic Raab / 27 votes
Sajid Javid / 23 votes
Matt Hancock / 20 votes
Rory Stewart / 19 votes


Eliminated
Andrea Leadsom / 11 votes
Mark Harper / 10 votes
Esther McVey / 9 votes

You need min 33 to stay in after the next round so those last 3/4 are as good as gone with only 30 spare votes floating around. It's a race for 2nd between Hunt and Gove
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on June 13, 2019, 09:12:29 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on June 13, 2019, 06:11:41 PM
God help us.

No deal Brexit.
Dismantling of public services.
Complete indifference to Ireland.

Border poll by 2021.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Boycey on June 13, 2019, 09:22:06 PM
Accurate enough analysis of today

https://youtu.be/0hrTK-OWYIs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on June 14, 2019, 10:04:28 AM
We need to get off this sinking ship and quickly
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on June 15, 2019, 01:45:13 PM
So it's looking very likely that Bonking Boris will be next UK PM .... bring on chaos, a no deal Brexit,  the collapse of the NI economy in weeks and the certainty of a border poll that will follow ... when historian's review the death of the 'precious Union' and northern Unionism, it will be the greatest WTF moment in history!

Great piece today by Tony Connolly:

https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2019/0614/1055418-double-whammy-a-no-deal-brexit-and-northern-ireland/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2019/0614/1055418-double-whammy-a-no-deal-brexit-and-northern-ireland/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 15, 2019, 02:27:25 PM

George Freeman MP

« Age is now the dividing line in politics. And the ⁦
‪@Conservatives‬
Party is⁩ the wrong side of it:

51 is the new tipping point: Labour dominate below

support <25 now at 10

If this isn't tackled, fast, the Party will die w its support base »


Politico how the UK lost the Brexit battle

https://www.politico.eu/article/how-uk-lost-brexit-eu-negotiation/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on June 15, 2019, 08:51:35 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on June 15, 2019, 01:45:13 PM
So it's looking very likely that Bonking Boris will be next UK PM .... bring on chaos, a no deal Brexit,  the collapse of the NI economy in weeks and the certainty of a border poll that will follow ... when historian's review the death of the 'precious Union' and northern Unionism, it will be the greatest WTF moment in history!

Great piece today by Tony Connolly:

https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2019/0614/1055418-double-whammy-a-no-deal-brexit-and-northern-ireland/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/analysis-and-comment/2019/0614/1055418-double-whammy-a-no-deal-brexit-and-northern-ireland/)

Makes for grim reading. Seems like farmers (the DUP voting base?) will be hit hardest
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 06:48:36 PM
This Channel 4 Next PM debate is arse clenching stuff.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on June 16, 2019, 07:25:33 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 06:48:36 PM
This Channel 4 Next PM debate is arse clenching stuff.

Missed the first 20 min, has north of Ireland and border been mentioned yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 08:01:24 PM
I missed it if it was the.

Didn't think that format lent itself to having a 'winner' as such. Still think Gove is the most capable of them all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on June 16, 2019, 08:10:11 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 08:01:24 PM
I missed it if it was the.

Didn't think that format lent itself to having a 'winner' as such. Still think Gove is the most capable of them all.

Based on what exactly?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on June 16, 2019, 08:28:13 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on June 16, 2019, 07:25:33 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 06:48:36 PM
This Channel 4 Next PM debate is arse clenching stuff.

Missed the first 20 min, has north of Ireland and border been mentioned yet?
Don't think Donegal got a mention.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 08:29:35 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on June 16, 2019, 08:10:11 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 08:01:24 PM
I missed it if it was the.

Didn't think that format lent itself to having a 'winner' as such. Still think Gove is the most capable of them all.

Based on what exactly?
On my opinion
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 16, 2019, 08:29:41 PM
Stewart came out of it best followed by Hunt. Jeez even Sajid spoke better than Gove who was all soundbites and arse licking. Raab a bumbling fool and was roasted over suspending parliament. Apparently he was a lawyer once. God knows how these lads get through a university degree!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on June 16, 2019, 08:42:26 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 08:29:35 PM
Quote from: Insane Bolt on June 16, 2019, 08:10:11 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 08:01:24 PM
I missed it if it was the.

Didn't think that format lent itself to having a 'winner' as such. Still think Gove is the most capable of them all.

Based on what exactly?
On my opinion

Very Gove like😂
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 08:52:51 PM
Stewart comes across as the most sensible mainly because he's a left leaning Tory and speaks for the sensible majority, he can articulate himself whereas Raab & javid can't. He's never going to win, he'll likely not even make the cut for Tuesday night's debate. It's also been suggested he's a stalking horse for Gove!  Gove was clearly intensely coached and the most serious & professional in his approach - whether that'll do him in good in this format is anyone's guess, but I'd guess there were a lot of highly paid professionals used in his approach. Hunt was way better than I expected from him tbh as he's generally consistently awful imo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 16, 2019, 09:21:46 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 08:52:51 PM
Stewart comes across as the most sensible mainly because he's a left leaning Tory and speaks for the sensible majority, he can articulate himself whereas Raab & javid can't. He's never going to win, he'll likely not even make the cut for Tuesday night's debate. It's also been suggested he's a stalking horse for Gove!  Gove was clearly intensely coached and the most serious & professional in his approach - whether that'll do him in good in this format is anyone's guess, but I'd guess there were a lot of highly paid professionals used in his approach. Hunt was way better than I expected from him tbh as he's generally consistently awful imo.

Benny what you mean by stalking horse? That some way Stewart and Gove are in cahoots?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 09:36:37 PM
Yes, exactly. There's a couple of articles online. He's took them all bit by surprise since I'd imagine.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/05/29/rory-stewart-real-deal-goves-manchurian-candidate-tory-mps-divided/amp/#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on June 16, 2019, 10:02:19 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 09:36:37 PM
Yes, exactly. There's a couple of articles online. He's took them all bit by surprise since I'd imagine.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/05/29/rory-stewart-real-deal-goves-manchurian-candidate-tory-mps-divided/amp/#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s

Jeez that's interesting. Never knew it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on June 17, 2019, 10:50:00 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 16, 2019, 09:36:37 PM
Yes, exactly. There's a couple of articles online. He's took them all bit by surprise since I'd imagine.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/05/29/rory-stewart-real-deal-goves-manchurian-candidate-tory-mps-divided/amp/#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&amp_tf=From%20%251%24s

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D9P6dxNWwAAzVvM.jpg:large
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Insane Bolt on June 17, 2019, 03:07:46 PM
Doesn't really matter who gets the nod.....the Tories are the couldn't care less party. Interesting that Liam Fox has had a very low profile this last 6 months.....this the man that claimed doing deals with the rest of the world was a piece of cake......how's that working out ? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-47213842

When I look back we (my vintage)....survived double digit inflation and mortgage rates under Thatcher.....so I believe it will happen again under a no deal exit.....but we will survive.
I'm just glad I'm the age I am, and thankfully my kids have heeded my advice and gone abroad.
Leaving university with 50k plus of debt is ridiculous.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 17, 2019, 11:45:59 PM
Front page of the Daily Telegraph 2moro is a muddying of the waters character assassination of Rory Stewart and his past (allegedly a Spy!), he's really rattling a few cages.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 18, 2019, 09:41:20 AM
And now the big Tory donors are talking to Farage about an election pact. They will not put candidates up in some Labour seats where Labour may be vulnerable to the Brexit party. In return the Brexit party will not stand against Far right Tories. This is all laying the Groundwork for Boris (if elected) to call a snap general election and end up with a Parliament he can force his vision of brexit through, either hard or more likely NI only back-stop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 18, 2019, 10:33:34 AM
And a Peerage as well no doubt!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 18, 2019, 10:39:47 AM
It's a pity about Stewart he's maybe 5/10 years before his time. . . I imagine his appeal to younger Tories would be huge but that's not the demographic of the membership unfortunately!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on June 18, 2019, 10:43:07 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 17, 2019, 11:45:59 PM
Front page of the Daily Telegraph 2moro is a muddying of the waters character assassination of Rory Stewart and his past (allegedly a Spy!), he's really rattling a few cages.

Surely James Bond would be a brexiter's wet dream?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 18, 2019, 01:26:44 PM
Great conspiracy tweet that Boris is loaning 15mp's votes to Hunt to get him in the final 2 as he's viewed as the least dangerous opponent! Robert Peston commented on it, so not without merit as conspiracies go.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on June 18, 2019, 02:27:42 PM
http://www.irishnews.com/news/brexit/2019/06/18/news/poll-most-tories-would-sacrifice-union-with-northern-ireland-for-brexit-1644668/

I'd love to be a fly on the wall when they break this to Arlene.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on June 18, 2019, 03:29:27 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on June 18, 2019, 02:27:42 PM
http://www.irishnews.com/news/brexit/2019/06/18/news/poll-most-tories-would-sacrifice-union-with-northern-ireland-for-brexit-1644668/

I'd love to be a fly on the wall when they break this to Arlene.

The penny still won't have dropped with her.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 18, 2019, 03:45:29 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on June 18, 2019, 03:29:27 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on June 18, 2019, 02:27:42 PM
http://www.irishnews.com/news/brexit/2019/06/18/news/poll-most-tories-would-sacrifice-union-with-northern-ireland-for-brexit-1644668/

I'd love to be a fly on the wall when they break this to Arlene.

The penny still won't have dropped with her.

Jesus,
   They hate the Scots even more.

Tough crowd these Tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 18, 2019, 04:30:17 PM
If Brexit leads to an All Ireland State and an Independent Scotland it will have some positive results.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on June 18, 2019, 05:54:02 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 18, 2019, 04:30:17 PM
If Brexit leads to an All Ireland State and an Independent Scotland it will have some positive results.

Always been my view too. I despise the 'precious union' with every fibre of my being
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on June 18, 2019, 08:30:55 PM
Quote from: red hander on June 18, 2019, 05:54:02 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 18, 2019, 04:30:17 PM
If Brexit leads to an All Ireland State and an Independent Scotland it will have some positive results.

Always been my view too. I despise the 'precious union' with every fibre of my being

Most definitely, the sooner partition ends the better for all on the island irrespective of background, religion or allegiance.  Partition has failed every single person on the island of Ireland since its inception ... a Protestant state for Protestant people, founded on hate and bigotry, it's days surely have to be numbered. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 18, 2019, 08:32:27 PM
Raab is out. What a shame...

I would be happier except they can't all be knocked out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 19, 2019, 01:04:24 PM
Good god, unless you're a Home counties luvvie in a mock tudor mansion you'd have to be seriously worried about who is going to lead the Tories into Brexit after that debate/shouting over each other and not answering the question asked debacle on BBC last night.

Boris couldn't even remember Abdullah from Bristols name 10 seconds after being told it..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 20, 2019, 01:10:26 PM
Javid out, Gove into 2nd place, final vote this afternoon.

I would fully expect the tactical voting from Camp Boris to come into play now to ensure Gove doesn't make the final 2.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 02:46:41 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 20, 2019, 01:10:26 PM
Javid out, Gove into 2nd place, final vote this afternoon.

I would fully expect the tactical voting from Camp Boris to come into play now to ensure Gove doesn't make the final 2.

You reckon Boris will have a better run with the Tory masses if he's up against Gove rather than Hunt?

Will be interesting to see where Saj's voters transfer to as there's little or nothing between Gove and Hunt.

All useless hoors in my mind.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on June 20, 2019, 02:54:13 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 02:46:41 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on June 20, 2019, 01:10:26 PM
Javid out, Gove into 2nd place, final vote this afternoon.

I would fully expect the tactical voting from Camp Boris to come into play now to ensure Gove doesn't make the final 2.

You reckon Boris will have a better run with the Tory masses if he's up against Gove rather than Hunt?

Will be interesting to see where Saj's voters transfer to as there's little or nothing between Gove and Hunt.

All useless hoors in my mind.

Think it's more a case of if it's Gove it's expected to be a dirtier fight which they don't want.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on June 20, 2019, 02:56:56 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

Forgive me if I'm wrong here, I've more or less switched off from brexit, the last few months. If Boris gets in, hangs the dup out to dry, puts the border in the Irish sea. Would that mean that the north would have the best of both worlds, a foot in the eu and an ideal base for companies needing access to both markets.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 20, 2019, 03:42:33 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.



I seem to remember it was only the DUP that rejected this proposal first time around. The question remains, though where Johnson would get the support to keep the government in power when the DUP withdraws its support in this scenario.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on June 20, 2019, 03:46:28 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

I think they get cross party support for it and screw the DUP!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 20, 2019, 03:55:27 PM
Quote from: screenexile on June 20, 2019, 03:46:28 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

I think they get cross party support for it and screw the DUP!

Yes, but how do they get a budget  through then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on June 20, 2019, 04:04:35 PM
The DUP at this stage will never accept a NI only backstop. So it will have to be called something else.

I would say they would bite the arm off Bozo if he was to offer them this, called another name and with enough tweaks to say it's a completely different deal but the original NI only backstop in all but name.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 20, 2019, 04:15:14 PM
Boris will face the same problems May had. A minority government at the behest of the DUP. A Labour party with no interest in giving cross party support to a Tory Brexit and an EU administration who have consistently presented a united position on the backstop.
The only if or maybe is when the EU changes leadership in October. But even then I can't see any significant change but it is the Conservatives only hope for a renegotiation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 20, 2019, 06:56:33 PM
That's the end of the fun & games now, Johnston v Gove would have been great fun to watch. Hunt is a big wet lettuce, unless there's a silent sensible majority of Conservative Party members it will be a cakewalk for BJ. Christ he is a Charalatan of the highest order.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on June 20, 2019, 10:42:00 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

Michael Portello is of the opinion that this is what will happen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on June 21, 2019, 07:52:34 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

Nonsense, the DUP will do anything if the price is right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 21, 2019, 09:33:40 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

It does seem far out, but with Boris at the helm anything is possible.

If there is to be a pact then I'd suggest the Brexit Party will only be allowed to stand in Labour or Lib Dem areas as I can't see the Tories wanting them on their patch.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 11:38:45 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

I made no claim as to the likelihood. You stated you had heard nothing about it anywhere, I provided you a couple of links.

You are the one asking about How Boris will get the deal through Parliament.
Which is more unrealistic, entering a pact which will strengthen the Tories hand and hurt Labour or allow their economy to be completely trashed because of the DUP?
The Brexit party is a single issue party and will fade into obscurity once their single aim is achieved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 21, 2019, 11:41:06 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 21, 2019, 09:33:40 AM


It does seem far out, but with Boris at the helm anything is possible.

If there is to be a pact then I'd suggest the Brexit Party will only be allowed to stand in Labour or Lib Dem areas as I can't see the Tories wanting them on their patch.

If above happens, it could backfire spectacularly.

In some ways, electing a mendacious moron like BJ as PM could be a good thing. When the rest see how badly he f*cks things up, there may finally be a swing back towards the centre for the Tories when the penny finally drops that Brexit is all but impossible and not a good thing. Requires a giant leap of faith I know. One Tory source yesterday said they fully expect another leadership contest within 18 months.

Emmanuel Macron at this point may be more dangerous to Irish interests than any British politico. I'd say over his dead body will he allow any further extensions to the Oct. 31st deadline.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 21, 2019, 11:59:13 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 11:38:45 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.
Which is more unrealistic, entering a pact which will strngthen the Tories hand and hurt labour or allow their economy to be completely trashed because of the DUP.
The Brexit party is a single issue party and will fade into obscurity once their single aim is achieved.

I wouldn't be so naive.
Besides Farage is no doser. There's nothing to be gained by actually entering into a pact or supporting a minority government. Anyway the middle ground Tories will never countenance a pact with Farage and his crowd. Remember there is probably less than 100 Tories MPs who are in favour of leaving the EU without any deal.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 12:05:33 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 11:59:13 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 11:38:45 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.
Which is more unrealistic, entering a pact which will strngthen the Tories hand and hurt labour or allow their economy to be completely trashed because of the DUP.
The Brexit party is a single issue party and will fade into obscurity once their single aim is achieved.

I wouldn't be so naive.
Besides Farage is no doser. There's nothing to be gained by actually entering into a pact or supporting a minority government. Anyway the middle ground Tories will never countenance a pact with Farage and his crowd. Remember there is probably less than 100 Tories MPs who are in favour of leaving the EU without any deal.
Yet 160 of them want Boris in charge and they know their nominations are dependent upon the swivel eyed loons of the Conservative party. He is going to have to let down 1 wing of his party. He has seen what softening Brexit did to his predecessor. HAve a quick look at the recent polling among Conservative party members. They would rather lose NI & Scotland than Brexit.

The only thing Farage has to gain from providing a Confidence and supply arrangement to a minority Government is a hard Brexit!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on June 21, 2019, 03:18:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

Wake up man.  Could you provide any examples of instances when the DUP's position could not be moved when money was waved in front of them?  Because I can provide countless examples where the opposite is true.  Paisley, the devout Christian that he is, championed the cause of a blatantly anti-Christian government when they offered him a couple of nice holidays!

Anyway, I suspect that money might not be required.  The DUP will agree to this when they finally wake up to the reality that the alternative (in the medium term) is likely to be the reunification of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 21, 2019, 03:31:21 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 21, 2019, 03:18:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

Wake up man.  Could you provide any examples of instances when the DUP's position could not be moved when money was waved in front of them?  Because I can provide countless examples where the opposite is true.  Paisley, the devout Christian that he is, championed the cause of a blatantly anti-Christian government when they offered him a couple of nice holidays!

Anyway, I suspect that money might not be required.  The DUP will agree to this when they finally wake up to the reality that the alternative (in the medium term) is likely to be the reunification of Ireland.

It'll be easier for them also if they've some way of saving face around the backstop, a change of name or whatever.

A few Lordships or whatever are easy got from the Tories as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 21, 2019, 03:31:32 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 21, 2019, 03:18:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

Wake up man.  Could you provide any examples of instances when the DUP's position could not be moved when money was waved in front of them?  Because I can provide countless examples where the opposite is true.  Paisley, the devout Christian that he is, championed the cause of a blatantly anti-Christian government when they offered him a couple of nice holidays!

Anyway, I suspect that money might not be required.  The DUP will agree to this when they finally wake up to the reality that the alternative (in the medium term) is likely to be the reunification of Ireland.

Ok. Whatever. The DUP will wake up and agree. We'll go with that idea sure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 21, 2019, 04:09:23 PM
With the current Parliamentary arithmetic I cant see why the DUP are going to be suddenly converted, some people obviously haven't being paying attention as to what's been going on the past year, they have rebuffed all threats & bribes. They will crash & burn everything and bring the Government down if needs be. Boris would throw the DUP under the bus at the first available opportunity, he'll need an election victory / pact to achieve that. It's all fantasy politics at this stage. He could go the polls fairly sharpish as the longer he's in power the more people will realise what a clown he is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on June 21, 2019, 04:30:13 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 03:31:32 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 21, 2019, 03:18:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

Wake up man.  Could you provide any examples of instances when the DUP's position could not be moved when money was waved in front of them?  Because I can provide countless examples where the opposite is true.  Paisley, the devout Christian that he is, championed the cause of a blatantly anti-Christian government when they offered him a couple of nice holidays!

Anyway, I suspect that money might not be required.  The DUP will agree to this when they finally wake up to the reality that the alternative (in the medium term) is likely to be the reunification of Ireland.

Ok. Whatever. The DUP will wake up and agree. We'll go with that idea sure.

I suspect they've already woken up.  I think they're looking for any excuse to change but they just can't be seen to do such a blatant u-turn.

Reckon it'll play out like JC has said.  A few titles, a few quid, a bit of fancy re-wording and hey presto.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on June 21, 2019, 06:05:03 PM
Didn't 3 of them in the more marginal constitunies, already do a bit off a tactical back step around 3 months ago, when there was a threat of an election at one stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on June 21, 2019, 07:51:17 PM
Brexit has almost created the perfect storm for a united Ireland. Created and fast tracked by the ignorance and intransigence of the DUP who have made the fatal mistake of thinking they could play the game of Westminster politics alongside the right wing of Tory Party and in doing so voting against a deal which would have best served the interests of their wee country. I believe Boris would quite happily cut NI free if it means he saves face and gets his Brexit deal done by Oct 31st. Crucially, then the reunification has not be forced upon the Unionist community by an Irish Government, a republican army, a divisive north south referendum or even a faster breeding nationalist population but by the UK Government to whom they pledged their support. I am quite possibly losing the run of myself here but it could be very sweet indeed..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tubberman on June 21, 2019, 09:36:19 PM
A UI created without the consent of a sizeable majority of the combined communities of the North would not be sweet for anyone on the island.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on June 21, 2019, 09:52:29 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on June 21, 2019, 09:36:19 PM
A UI created without the consent of a sizeable majority of the combined communities of the North would not be sweet for anyone on the island.

The circumstances would leave it difficult for the DUP to stoke partitionist rhetoric. How could they argue for a union that doesn't want them and has shafted them on a monumental scale. This is why I suggested it might be sweet - hoist with their own petard and all that. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 21, 2019, 10:47:54 PM
Boris apparently refusing to take part in Sky's leaders debate on Tuesday night! Now that could have ramifications. (Cops were called to his girlfriend's flat Thursday night in a domestic abuse call! )
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 21, 2019, 11:19:21 PM
BBC News - Boris Johnson: Police 'called to Tory leadership contender's home'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-48721211
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on June 22, 2019, 10:31:34 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on June 21, 2019, 10:53:32 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on June 21, 2019, 09:52:29 PM
Quote from: Tubberman on June 21, 2019, 09:36:19 PM
A UI created without the consent of a sizeable majority of the combined communities of the North would not be sweet for anyone on the island.

The circumstances would leave it difficult for the DUP to stoke partitionist rhetoric. How could they argue for a union that doesn't want them and has shafted them on a monumental scale. This is why I suggested it might be sweet - hoist with their own petard and all that.
The DUP are as much "Ulster Nationalists" as they are to the union with Britain, and would have stronger loyalties to the English monarchy that the Houses of Parliament. If the worst came to the worst for them, I would not be shocked to see them try to form an independent state or crown dependency  (like the Isle of Mann or Guernsey or Jersey) with the English monarch being either head of state or some similar royal title.
That might have been slightly possible when Uniomists were a 2 to 1 majority.
No chance now with Nationalists/ Unionists  virtually level plus about 15 to 20% non aligned, not to mention the GFA and 2 Governments.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 22, 2019, 12:35:29 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 21, 2019, 04:30:13 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 03:31:32 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 21, 2019, 03:18:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

Wake up man.  Could you provide any examples of instances when the DUP's position could not be moved when money was waved in front of them?  Because I can provide countless examples where the opposite is true.  Paisley, the devout Christian that he is, championed the cause of a blatantly anti-Christian government when they offered him a couple of nice holidays!

Anyway, I suspect that money might not be required.  The DUP will agree to this when they finally wake up to the reality that the alternative (in the medium term) is likely to be the reunification of Ireland.

Ok. Whatever. The DUP will wake up and agree. We'll go with that idea sure.

I suspect they've already woken up.  I think they're looking for any excuse to change but they just can't be seen to do such a blatant u-turn.

Reckon it'll play out like JC has said.  A few titles, a few quid, a bit of fancy re-wording and hey presto.

Have you taken a blow to the head? Are you feeling ok? You're talking like someone who's not familiar with NI political parties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on June 24, 2019, 08:24:01 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 22, 2019, 12:35:29 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 21, 2019, 04:30:13 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 03:31:32 PM
Quote from: Franko on June 21, 2019, 03:18:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 21, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
Quote from: LeoMc on June 21, 2019, 07:46:27 AM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 10:16:17 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 09:39:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:41:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 20, 2019, 03:22:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on June 20, 2019, 03:06:22 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 20, 2019, 02:28:43 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on June 20, 2019, 01:20:13 PM
Boris's Brexit plan is just to remove backstop from Withdrawal Agreement. No more and no less.

Will the EU budge in October to get a deal done?

I think he will go for a NI only backstop. The EU would be happy with this also. The DUP obviously won't but they will be under the bus at that stage.

How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through parliament?

That's the £1Billion pound question.

This is a staggering level of ignorance of the DUP and their position. They will never (and never is a long time) accept an NI only backstop. 1 billion. 10 billion, 100 billion! Doesn't matter!
So given Parliaments arithmetic, I will ask again. How does he get his deal with a NI only backstop through Parliament?

He is already working on an electrol pact with the Brexit Party. He will call a general election where the Brexit party will attack Labour held leave seats. Then will hope for a majority or even get the backing from new Brexit party MPs instead of the DUP MPs.

I'm not so sure. He hasn't even won the Conservative leadership race and I haven't heard about this pact with Brexit party anywhere.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/16/exclusive-conservative-donors-open-secret-talks-nigel-farage/

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-donors-in-secret-talks-16529947

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1141248/Brexit-latest-Nigel-Farage-news-Tory-donor-talks-general-election-pact-Brexit-party

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/brexit-party-claim-talks-with-tory-donors-1-6036368

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/9309594/tories-pact-nigel-farage-general-election-johnson/

Your welcome.


I would invite you to read the content of those articles. They don't amount to a hill of beans.

A source close to the talks told the newspaper they were "very preliminary", adding "you have to get Boris on board and that is going to be very tricky".
Boris Johnson ally James Cleverly played down talk of a pact today but didn't rule one out.
He said Mr Johnson didn't make pacts as Mayor of London so "I can't imagine" he will do so now.

If the Tories entered into an electoral pact with the Brexit party it would be electoral suicide.
The DUP will never support a NI only backstop. There is no price that they would consider. Anyone who thinks there is, is deluded.

Wake up man.  Could you provide any examples of instances when the DUP's position could not be moved when money was waved in front of them?  Because I can provide countless examples where the opposite is true.  Paisley, the devout Christian that he is, championed the cause of a blatantly anti-Christian government when they offered him a couple of nice holidays!

Anyway, I suspect that money might not be required.  The DUP will agree to this when they finally wake up to the reality that the alternative (in the medium term) is likely to be the reunification of Ireland.

Ok. Whatever. The DUP will wake up and agree. We'll go with that idea sure.

I suspect they've already woken up.  I think they're looking for any excuse to change but they just can't be seen to do such a blatant u-turn.

Reckon it'll play out like JC has said.  A few titles, a few quid, a bit of fancy re-wording and hey presto.

Have you taken a blow to the head? Are you feeling ok? You're talking like someone who's not familiar with NI political parties.

Yeah yeah, play the man etc etc.

What the DUP do and what the DUP be seen to do are entirely different things.  They'll support whatever it takes to keep the gravy train rolling as long as it can be worded in such a way that they can publicly defend it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on June 24, 2019, 08:42:59 AM
Quote from: Tubberman on June 21, 2019, 09:36:19 PM
A UI created without the consent of a sizeable majority of the combined communities of the North would not be sweet for anyone on the island.

Quit with this absolute crap. Are you anti-democracy?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: under the bar on June 24, 2019, 04:37:02 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on June 24, 2019, 03:57:11 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 22, 2019, 10:31:34 AM
That might have been slightly possible when Uniomists were a 2 to 1 majority.
No chance now with Nationalists/ Unionists  virtually level plus about 15 to 20% non aligned, not to mention the GFA and 2 Governments.
You're presuming that it's NI's current borders or nothing. There would be a strong chance that should the opportunity arise, the instigators would be willing to "cut loose" many of the nominally nationalist or non-PUL parts of present day NI that would be effectively handed to the Republic. It would be repartition part deux - a new "Ulster" to them. The problem with any redrawing of boundaries is that it would be simple and not so simple at the same time, the possibility of enclaves & exclaves etc.

That will never happen dude. Everyone agrees that partition was a disaster so they won't repeat the mistake. Best the Loyalists areas could hope for is a degree of self governance in a UI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2019, 04:59:41 PM
Quote from: under the bar on June 24, 2019, 04:37:02 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on June 24, 2019, 03:57:11 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on June 22, 2019, 10:31:34 AM
That might have been slightly possible when Uniomists were a 2 to 1 majority.
No chance now with Nationalists/ Unionists  virtually level plus about 15 to 20% non aligned, not to mention the GFA and 2 Governments.
You're presuming that it's NI's current borders or nothing. There would be a strong chance that should the opportunity arise, the instigators would be willing to "cut loose" many of the nominally nationalist or non-PUL parts of present day NI that would be effectively handed to the Republic. It would be repartition part deux - a new "Ulster" to them. The problem with any redrawing of boundaries is that it would be simple and not so simple at the same time, the possibility of enclaves & exclaves etc.

That will never happen dude. Everyone agrees that partition was a disaster so they won't repeat the mistake. Best the Loyalists areas could hope for is a degree of self governance in a UI.

With a nationalist majority in Belfast and the North Down crowd uninterested in an impoverished banustan, this  is not a runner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on June 24, 2019, 05:10:36 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on June 24, 2019, 05:07:30 PM
Quote from: under the bar on June 24, 2019, 04:37:02 PM
That will never happen dude. Everyone agrees that partition was a disaster so they won't repeat the mistake. Best the Loyalists areas could hope for is a degree of self governance in a UI.

[citation needed]

Eileen Paisley didn't seem too keen on it in her recent interview.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 25, 2019, 10:12:10 AM
Another excoriating piece about BJ;

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jun/24/boris-johnson-prime-minister-tory-party-britain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 25, 2019, 10:29:59 AM
Articles like that, brutal and all as they are, will have little effect with the blue rinse brigade who will effectively choose the next PM, they view the Guardian as akin to Pravda. The Sunday Times wasn't very complimentary to BJ at the weekend tho.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 25, 2019, 05:02:44 PM
Could somebody with a FT sub copy and paste this please?
https://www.ft.com/content/85fc694c-9222-11e9-b7ea-60e35ef678d2 (https://www.ft.com/content/85fc694c-9222-11e9-b7ea-60e35ef678d2)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 25, 2019, 06:00:08 PM
Quote from: Hardy on June 25, 2019, 05:02:44 PM
Could somebody with a FT sub copy and paste this please?
https://www.ft.com/content/85fc694c-9222-11e9-b7ea-60e35ef678d2 (https://www.ft.com/content/85fc694c-9222-11e9-b7ea-60e35ef678d2)
Done , Hardy, but on the provisional Brexit thread cos the lads don't like the full article on the official thread
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hardy on June 25, 2019, 07:25:30 PM
Thanks seafoid.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Maiden1 on June 25, 2019, 09:48:37 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/rosskempsell/status/1143491303466053633

Boris making it up as he goes along  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on June 25, 2019, 09:53:39 PM
Ah lads! Cmon! Bus! Big bus! Cardboard box! Wine box! Bus! Big bus! People on bus! No blacks obvs! But people! Bus! Beep beep! Bus!

Bus
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 26, 2019, 12:49:53 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/26/tory-leadership-race-boris-johnson-jeremy-hunt-brexit-no-deal/

Mr Johnson's apparent hardening of his stance on guaranteeing Brexit "with or without a deal" came as former civil service chief Bob Kerslake called the October 31 pledge "a complete hostage to fortune".
In comments reported by The Independent, the former Whitehall mandarin warned Parliament will not countenance leaving the EU without a deal.
"It is always a good maxim in politics not to enter a room unless you know that you can get out of it," the peer told the Chamberlain lecture in London on Tuesday.
"Boris Johnson has not only entered the room but he has put on the straitjacket, padlocked the door and started the tap running."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on June 27, 2019, 09:05:59 PM
Brexit civil servant in charge of no-deal planning quits

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/27/brexit-civil-servant-in-charge-of-no-deal-planning-quits

"The top government official in charge of no-deal Brexit planning has quit just as the chances of crashing out of the EU appear to have increased.
Tom Shinner, 33, director of policy and delivery coordination at the Department for Exiting the EU, was in charge of coordinating the domestic policy implications of Brexit across government departments to ensure a smooth exit from the EU....   "
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on June 28, 2019, 02:55:48 PM
Quote from: dec on June 27, 2019, 09:05:59 PM
Brexit civil servant in charge of no-deal planning quits

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/27/brexit-civil-servant-in-charge-of-no-deal-planning-quits

"The top government official in charge of no-deal Brexit planning has quit just as the chances of crashing out of the EU appear to have increased.
Tom Shinner, 33, director of policy and delivery coordination at the Department for Exiting the EU, was in charge of coordinating the domestic policy implications of Brexit across government departments to ensure a smooth exit from the EU....   "

A 33 year old in charge?

Not a f**king surprise with the Civil Service. Ineptitude is their specialty. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Frank_The_Tank on June 28, 2019, 03:04:44 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on June 28, 2019, 02:55:48 PM
Quote from: dec on June 27, 2019, 09:05:59 PM
Brexit civil servant in charge of no-deal planning quits

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jun/27/brexit-civil-servant-in-charge-of-no-deal-planning-quits

"The top government official in charge of no-deal Brexit planning has quit just as the chances of crashing out of the EU appear to have increased.
Tom Shinner, 33, director of policy and delivery coordination at the Department for Exiting the EU, was in charge of coordinating the domestic policy implications of Brexit across government departments to ensure a smooth exit from the EU....   "

A 33 year old in charge?

Not a f**king surprise with the Civil Service. Ineptitude is their specialty.

What has his age got to do with his role - you have to be a particular age to get a certain job is that it - what a ridiculous statement. 

Mark Zuckerberg is 35 and leads one of the biggest companies in the world.

The demographics of people who voted for brexit are the people over 50 - suppose we shouldn't let over 50's vote - then he wouldnt even have had the job
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on June 28, 2019, 10:25:09 PM
Quote from: Frank_The_Tank on June 28, 2019, 03:04:44 PM
What has his age got to do with his role - you have to be a particular age to get a certain job is that it - what a ridiculous statement. 

Mark Zuckerberg is 35 and leads one of the biggest companies in the world.

... and what do you think Mark Zuckerberg knows about just in time shipping?

or about sourcing and supply of medical drugs?

or about international policing treaties?

or border controls?


There is likely no way anyone under 50 - and its gonna be 1 in a million of over 50 year olds - has the breadth of knowledge to take on that role.
There is absolutely utterly no way anyone under 40 has the breadth of knowledge for the role.

To be clear - its not the age that I have an issue with - it is that such an age clearly means they cannot be suitable qualified and experienced for the job.


But it is not surprising that the stupid service appoints someone who is clearly not suitable for the job - as they probably only have a pool of equally inept clowns to pick from - and their selection systems for roles are shocking.


This post was written by an under 40 year old who has been lucky enough to have covered a shitload of disciplines in his field.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 03, 2019, 12:58:18 PM
https://www.jonathan-cook.net/blog/2019-07-03/plot-corbyn-out-power/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 03, 2019, 01:03:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 03, 2019, 12:58:18 PM
https://www.jonathan-cook.net/blog/2019-07-03/plot-corbyn-out-power/

I've no time for grand standers like Brand. If western democracy is so insufferable let him go elsewhere to see how he fares out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on July 03, 2019, 01:13:01 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 03, 2019, 01:03:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 03, 2019, 12:58:18 PM
https://www.jonathan-cook.net/blog/2019-07-03/plot-corbyn-out-power/

I've no time for grand standers like Brand. If western democracy is so insufferable let him go elsewhere to see how he fares out.

So because other places might be in worse shape, that means that people shouldn't speak up about the corruption and injustices in their own country??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on July 03, 2019, 02:57:45 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 03, 2019, 12:58:18 PM
https://www.jonathan-cook.net/blog/2019-07-03/plot-corbyn-out-power/

Perhaps the best political blog on the web. Can't recommend him highly enough.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on July 03, 2019, 04:01:35 PM
Boris' bridge. Sure it's never be open due to weather.
https://m.independent.ie/world-news/europe/britain/i-think-its-a-good-idea-boris-johnson-is-an-enthusiast-for-bridge-between-northern-ireland-and-scotland-38277590.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 03, 2019, 04:39:08 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 03, 2019, 04:01:35 PM
Boris' bridge. Sure it's never be open due to weather.
https://m.independent.ie/world-news/europe/britain/i-think-its-a-good-idea-boris-johnson-is-an-enthusiast-for-bridge-between-northern-ireland-and-scotland-38277590.html

Telling unionists what they want to hear. Are they really that stupid to believe it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 03, 2019, 09:50:22 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 03, 2019, 04:39:08 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 03, 2019, 04:01:35 PM
Boris' bridge. Sure it's never be open due to weather.
https://m.independent.ie/world-news/europe/britain/i-think-its-a-good-idea-boris-johnson-is-an-enthusiast-for-bridge-between-northern-ireland-and-scotland-38277590.html

Telling unionists what they want to hear. Are they really that stupid to believe it?

Finance is not the issue. Sure what's 15bn going to take from the NHS? ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 03, 2019, 09:58:26 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on July 03, 2019, 02:57:45 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 03, 2019, 12:58:18 PM
https://www.jonathan-cook.net/blog/2019-07-03/plot-corbyn-out-power/

Perhaps the best political blog on the web. Can't recommend him highly enough.

Read a bit of that, can't be fucked reading the rest. If he supports Corbyn he's a p***k. Only loonies support Corbyn, hence he's not electable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on July 03, 2019, 10:46:25 PM
Says the boy who supports Eastwood.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 03, 2019, 11:20:48 PM
Quote from: J70 on July 03, 2019, 01:13:01 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 03, 2019, 01:03:43 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 03, 2019, 12:58:18 PM
https://www.jonathan-cook.net/blog/2019-07-03/plot-corbyn-out-power/

I've no time for grand standers like Brand. If western democracy is so insufferable let him go elsewhere to see how he fares out.

So because other places might be in worse shape, that means that people shouldn't speak up about the corruption and injustices in their own country??

When your own country's injustices are a drop in the ocean compared to other parts of the world, yes you should thank your lucky stars.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 04, 2019, 09:22:47 AM
Labour polling @ 18% with possibly the worst Government in history leading the country.

The chasm where leadership should be is there for everyone to see. Labour need a change and soon otherwise they'll suffer the same fate as the Torys and there will be a hung parliament for decades to come with the far right getting a seat at the table!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on July 04, 2019, 10:06:18 AM
Quote from: screenexile on July 04, 2019, 09:22:47 AM
Labour polling @ 18% with possibly the worst Government in history leading the country.

The chasm where leadership should be is there for everyone to see. Labour need a change and soon otherwise they'll suffer the same fate as the Torys and there will be a hung parliament for decades to come with the far right getting a seat at the table!!
A general election would be a penalty kick with any other Labour leader. Get rid of him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 04, 2019, 10:36:11 AM
The fact Corbyn can't make hay at the minute doesn't reflect well on him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 04, 2019, 10:38:44 AM
Quote from: screenexile on July 04, 2019, 09:22:47 AM
Labour polling @ 18% with possibly the worst Government in history leading the country.

The chasm where leadership should be is there for everyone to see. Labour need a change and soon otherwise they'll suffer the same fate as the Torys and there will be a hung parliament for decades to come with the far right getting a seat at the table!!

I don't think polls are much use at the moment.
Most people don't know how trade or the modern economy work. They don't know what No Deal will actually mean


Most RoI  voters did not have a notion about the importance of the bank guarantee in September 2008. Sure it was grand
It was only when the economy went tits up that people got angry

J . K. Galbraith:"The conventional wisdom"gives way not so much to new ideas as to "the massive onslaught of circumstances with which it cannot contend".

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/channel-hopping-offers-explosive-time-and-space-perspective-1.678045

Channel-hopping offers explosive time and space perspective
Wed, Nov 17, 2010, 00:00
NEWTON EMERSON


NEWTON'S OPTIC:

BBC News

We interrupt our report on wheelchair access at job centres to bring you some breaking news. Astronomers at Britain's Jodrell Bank observatory have detected an asteroid on a collision course with Earth. Initial projections suggest it will strike the Republic of Ireland in approximately 15 minutes.

RTÉ News

We interrupt our report on a cat stuck up a tree in Cabinteely to bring you some breaking news. The BBC is reporting a serious problem with wheelchair access at job centres. More on Six-One, but, meanwhile, back to Cabinteely.

BBC News

We have an update on that developing asteroid story, by which we mean the story is developing, not the asteroid. Astronomers confirm it will strike the Republic of Ireland in 13 minutes, causing widespread devastation. Shock waves are expected across Europe and EU leaders are meeting now in emergency session.

RTÉ News

And I'm sure we're all delighted to see Tiddles safely back on the ground. In other news, Government sources have reacted angrily to reports in London of an "astronomical problem" threatening Ireland.

The British media has a long history of anti-Irish reporting, as you can see from this 1865 cartoon of Mr Punch dropping a rock on "Poor Paddy".

BBC News

Further details on that asteroid. Jodrell Bank says it is five miles wide, travelling at 20,000mph and will hit Dublin in 10 minutes.

Scientists warn this is an "existential threat" to the Republic of Ireland, while linguists warn that "existential" should not be used as an adjective for "existence".

RTÉ News

The Government is denying reports of an existential threat to Ireland or a threat to the existence of Ireland.

RTÉ understands that several alarming statistics circulating in London have come from a British bank, which may well have its own reasons for speculating on Dublin's future.


BBC News

As the so-called "Paddy's Rock" passes lunar orbit, EU leaders have urged the Irish Government to recognise the gravity of the situation and seek urgent help.

RTÉ News

Government sources confirm they have spoken to EU leaders about an urgent situation, but only to complain that talk of "gravity" is not helping.

BBC News

With impact now minutes away, survival experts advise people to dig a hole in the softest ground available. Fortunately the Irish are good at digging holes in soft ground, as you can see from this 1865 cartoon of Mr Punch "watching Paddy stick his head in the bog".

RTÉ News

We interrupt these scurrilous rumours to bring you truly earth-shattering news. A man with a beard is moving from Belfast to Dundalk to look for work. Central Bank sources say this proves the recession is over.

BBC News

Our correspondent in Ireland reports that a shadow has now fallen over the whole country and people are fleeing the affected area, except for one man with a beard who appears to be fleeing in the opposite direction.

RTÉ News

In an exclusive angry phone call to our newsroom, a Government press officer has confirmed that he can see the light at the end of the tunnel. The light has appeared in the sky directly over Dublin, where it is glowing bright red and getting larger and larger by the . . .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 04, 2019, 10:46:11 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on July 04, 2019, 01:35:53 AM
Jeremy Corbyn's high point of his leadership of the British Labour Party was in the aftermath of the 2017 General Election. The problem is that he has pretty much pissed away all goodwill from that point on mainly because of his prolonged sitting-on-the-fence concerning what moves to make regarding Brexit. Even some his closer allied MPs like Diane Abbott and John McDonnell are starting to quietly shift away from Corbyn because apart from the Momentum cheerleaders, he's quite unpopular with the public in general.

YouGov have a regular survey asking who would make the better PM, the PM or the leader of the opposition. In the last survey a month ago, May was ahead of Corbyn by 12 percentage points - though the real winner by a clear margin was "dunno".

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/ep5kkaxc7j/YG%20Trackers%20-%20Best%20Prime%20Minister.pdf

In the linked PDF above, it shows that Corbyn's best head to head results were the two surveys after the last GE on 8th June 2017. Since then it's been going slowly downhill for him. May has been more consistent, until her numbers took a pummelling close to the original date for Brexit on 29th March 2019. When you consider everything that has gone on concerning how pathetic May has been since her snap General Election tactic backfired, Corbyn being utterly impotent to be able to take advantage of an almost open goal has shown he's not a capable leader of a major political party. Say what you want about Tony Blair, but he would have had eaten alive  most of the Tories over several breakfasts by this stage.

Polls are useless in times of extreme volatility because chaos is very difficult for a herd of people to understand.
This article is a great example.  The UK is nowhere near ready to leave with no Deal. Most of the comments below assume everything will work out, that the Government has thought everything through. Most people still think the Tories are trustworthy and in control. Would you shtop.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2019/06/30/british-trucks-face-turned-away-dover-french-no-deal-plans/

British trucks face being turned away at Dover under French 'no deal' Brexit plans

Queues at Dover
Lorries without the right paperwork face being stuck in queues at Dover or diverted to a "stack" at Manston Airfield in a "no deal" Brexit, instead of rolling smoothly onto ferries CREDIT: GARETH FULLER/PA


Peter Foster, europe editor
30 JUNE 2019 • 8:00PM
Follow

British trucks will not be able to board ships in Dover in a "no deal" Brexit if they do not have the correct customs paperwork, following a deal between the Port of Calais and Channel shipping lines, the head of the Road Haulage Association has told The Telegraph.

Richard Burnett, chief executive of the Road Haulage Association, said Dover would be used as a "filter" for trucks looking to go to the continent, risking massive tailbacks and disruption if British business did not comply with pre-declaration requirements.

In January, Calais Ports boss Jean-Marc Puissesseau said there would be no extra delays at Calais or other French channel ports after the installation of number plate recognition (ANPR) technology and 100-acre lorry parks for customs inspections.

However, Mr Burnett said while lorries with correct paperwork might run smoothly on reaching Calais, that was because those without would be stopped at Dover and "stacked" at Manston airfield or through the planned "Operation Brock".

"Jean-Marc has made it very clear that Calais has a deal with shipping companies in Dover that any truck without the proper paperwork won't be allowed to board," he said. "They won't send over anything that isn't pre-cleared. And that means those that don't will be turned around."

Among the requirements for shippers is to have an EU import-export registration, or EORI, number. However, Mr Burnett said it was estimated that only "about 40pc" of British businesses that needed the numbers had applied for one.

A second industry source with knowledge of the government's "no deal" plans said that HMRC was planning to "wave through" trucks without an EORI "with a warning to get one for next time", but conceded that shipping companies could still refuse the right to board.

Dutch port and logistics operators have raised similar concerns about the lack of preparation on the British side to take advantage of the new electronic customs infrastructure that the Netherlands has built in ports such as Rotterdam.

The Dutch government has invested €100m (£90m) in technology and staff, including 900 customs officer and 100 vets to deal with a potential "no deal" Brexit - but is warning that British business must prepare itself to avoid containers coming to a "standstill".

The Dutch ports website warns that UK operators will need to register for an EORI number, but also consider other necessary permits, like an agreement with the Netherlands Food and Consumer Product Safety Authority (NVWA) or, if they are a transporter, a CEMT licence.

It warns that companies that decide to handle their own declarations, will need to invest in separate computer software and licences, or find a customs agent or forwarder to handle the processes on their behalf.


"Only cargo that has been digitally pre-notified can enter and leave the terminal," the website warns. "Otherwise, the container or trailer will come to a standstill here ... No transport without a pre-notified document."

Elmer de Bruin, Brexit specialist at TLN, the Dutch transport and logistics organisation, told The Telegraph that while the Dutch were well prepared, a lack of clarity on the other side of the Channel was causing concern.

"We hope that the other side of the Channel in England will prepare because we have the impression that it is relatively still. They say: 'we are waiting for the politicians'. That worries us. It is wanting, compared to our side," he said.

The CBI warned in an open letter last month that a "no deal" Brexit would do "severe damage" to business, but both the two candidates for the Tory Party leadership have committed to the policy as a last resort.

The EU is clear that it will need to charge tariffs and conduct checks, but diplomats from affected countries - France, Netherlands, Belgium and Germany - are equally clear that in a no deal scenario they will not actively seek to "turn Kent into a lorry park".

"That is not the EU plan. If we did that, that would risk a strategic rupture and the British would never come back to the table, but that does not mean there will not be checks and delays," said a diplomat with knowledge of EU no deal planning.

The greater risk is that UK business will not be in a position to take advantage of the immediate facilitations that have been built into the EU systems, leaving aside the longer-term issues of trying to remain competitive while absorbing the new frictional costs of being outside the EU.


If backlogs do occur at Dover and Kent, the industry source with knowledge of the government's no deal plans said that major food companies were planning to divert to Hull and then drive down to their warehouses in Dover, avoiding blocked roads.

The source sketched a scenario where the impacts of a no deal exit were not instantaneous - leading to claims that concerns were all "project fear" - but then emerged in the follow weeks and months.

"Day one is a Friday, so people will avoid trading, then it's the weekend," the source said. "The worry is about day 7 when the queues have accumulated and the system is creaking. "And then you worry about day 21 when the automotive and aerospace firms that have been working through their stockpile run out of parts and start trading again."

Mr Burnett said businesses were failing to prepare because of the uncertainty and mixed signals being sent by government, with Boris Johnson warning of no deal one day, and then saying it was a "one in a million" chance the next.

A lack of customs and forwarding agents were also causing major concerns, since the private sector was not investing on the off-chance of a no deal, raising the question of whether the government would need to step in to support business.

"The real problem is that even if businesses all rushed to register, a lot of businesses also just don't understand the processes and what they need to do to get ready," he concluded.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on July 04, 2019, 05:06:45 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on July 03, 2019, 04:39:08 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 03, 2019, 04:01:35 PM
Boris' bridge. Sure it's never be open due to weather.
https://m.independent.ie/world-news/europe/britain/i-think-its-a-good-idea-boris-johnson-is-an-enthusiast-for-bridge-between-northern-ireland-and-scotland-38277590.html

Telling unionists what they want to hear. Are they really that stupid to believe it?

Shows how desperate DUP is that it comes up with this utter fantasy and thinks it will somehow help halt the march to reunification, which will move up a pace if there is a hard Brexit. Maybe they should plant some beans in the back garden in preparation for a golden egg-laying goose
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 04, 2019, 09:03:06 PM
Quote from: charlieTully on July 03, 2019, 10:46:25 PM
Says the boy who supports Eastwood.

Show me I'm wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bord na Mona man on July 04, 2019, 10:23:24 PM
It's raining soup and Jeremy Corbyn is out on the street with a fork
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 05, 2019, 08:52:24 AM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on July 04, 2019, 10:23:24 PM
It's raining soup and Jeremy Corbyn is out on the street with a fork

He's entirely wrong on Brexit IMO, but he's not far off the mark on everything else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 05, 2019, 09:15:22 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 05, 2019, 08:52:24 AM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on July 04, 2019, 10:23:24 PM
It's raining soup and Jeremy Corbyn is out on the street with a fork

He's entirely wrong on Brexit IMO, but he's not far off the mark on everything else.

Maybe but he needs to realise that Brexit is the only show in town and "constructive ambiguity" is helping nobody anywhere!!

They need to make a call and now! If they become the revoke party they could get up to near 30% but Corbyn is a leaver so it won't happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on July 05, 2019, 09:27:05 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 05, 2019, 08:52:24 AM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on July 04, 2019, 10:23:24 PM
It's raining soup and Jeremy Corbyn is out on the street with a fork

He's entirely wrong on Brexit IMO, but he's not far off the mark on everything else.

I used to think that too, but tbh his complete lack of leadership over the past 3 years has made me change my mind on him, there a clear track record of what he voted against but he appears unable to formulate or articulate positive policies or a coherent strategy. A protest voter only.

Having said that I still believe he has more integrity in his wee finger than all the Tory leadership candidates put together. The constant attacks on his character are a fair reflection of the political stance of the vast majority of media outlets in England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 15, 2019, 11:35:30 AM
https://www.facebook.com/thedailymash/videos/209910316606391/UzpfSTEwMDAyMjEwODE0ODY3Nzo0ODU5MzA4MDIxNTM4NTQ/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on July 18, 2019, 11:34:01 AM
The EU offered to delay Brexit for 5 years in 2018 to Theresa May's Government.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-delay-article-50-extension-eu-panorama-bbc-documentary-a9009981.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-delay-article-50-extension-eu-panorama-bbc-documentary-a9009981.html)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 18, 2019, 11:51:12 AM
Telegraph.

«  John Bercow has thrown no-deal rebels a lifeline by selecting a cross-party amendment that will stop Boris Johnson suspending parliament.
This morning the speaker selected the Dominic Grieve amendment that will be voted on as part of the Northern Ireland Bill later today. »

https://youtu.be/GGU1P6lBW6Q
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on July 18, 2019, 02:55:45 PM
The Brits are really in a desperate state and it's hilarious to sit back and watch. They are about to put in 10 Downing Street a total spoofer and incompetent... I doubt he will even last long enough to deliver his Brexit plan once all those skeletons in the cupboard start falling out  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 18, 2019, 03:03:47 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-49021081
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 18, 2019, 03:14:30 PM
I watched the BBC lunchtime news about this, I thought the disruption costs and likely recessionary impact that were quoted were very conservative tbh, if that were to be the cost of Brexit it would put absolutely no Brexiteers off and would get a general shrug of the shoulders from the public imo. If Sterling  doesn't tank the general public will notice very little difference bar the initial border mayhem if the OBR forecast is anywhere near right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 19, 2019, 12:26:23 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on July 18, 2019, 11:51:04 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 18, 2019, 02:55:45 PM
The Brits are really in a desperate state and it's hilarious to sit back and watch. They are about to put in 10 Downing Street a total spoofer and incompetent... I doubt he will even last long enough to deliver his Brexit plan once all those skeletons in the cupboard start falling out  :)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49030225
Johnson has already lost a vote in the HoC and he's not even the Prime Minister yet!  :o
Looks like a few ministers will be joining the Dissenting Tory remain bloc

Looks like Kate Hoey was the one Labour MP who voted against. She like the feckin 11th DUP MP!

The new Season is building nicely
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 19, 2019, 12:41:32 AM
I see Rees Mogg made a complete tit of himself after the Cricket win. 'Do we need Europe' he tweeted after a team captain by an Irishman and full of immigrants won the thing for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 19, 2019, 12:46:39 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on July 19, 2019, 12:41:32 AM
I see Rees Mogg made a complete tit of himself after the Cricket win. 'Do we need Europe' he tweeted after a team captain by an Irishman and full of immigrants won the thing for them.

I'm sure if the Germans took any interest in Cricket they'd still beat England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 19, 2019, 08:54:25 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on July 19, 2019, 12:41:32 AM
I see Rees Mogg made a complete tit of himself after the Cricket win. 'Do we need Europe' he tweeted after a team captain by an Irishman and full of immigrants won the thing for them.

Did he not also suggest that all these economists were incorrect in suggesting that the UK economy would actually grow more after a Hard Brexit and wouldn't shrink as most are expecting if such a thing comes to pass.

He's becoming a parody of himself at this stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on July 19, 2019, 12:20:21 PM
Boris making a tit of himself again, blaming the EU as usual for regulations brought in by the UK.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-49030873

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2019, 12:43:56 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on July 05, 2019, 03:58:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 04, 2019, 10:46:11 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on July 04, 2019, 01:35:53 AM
Jeremy Corbyn's high point of his leadership of the British Labour Party was in the aftermath of the 2017 General Election. The problem is that he has pretty much pissed away all goodwill from that point on mainly because of his prolonged sitting-on-the-fence concerning what moves to make regarding Brexit. Even some his closer allied MPs like Diane Abbott and John McDonnell are starting to quietly shift away from Corbyn because apart from the Momentum cheerleaders, he's quite unpopular with the public in general.

YouGov have a regular survey asking who would make the better PM, the PM or the leader of the opposition. In the last survey a month ago, May was ahead of Corbyn by 12 percentage points - though the real winner by a clear margin was "dunno".

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/ep5kkaxc7j/YG%20Trackers%20-%20Best%20Prime%20Minister.pdf (https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/ep5kkaxc7j/YG%20Trackers%20-%20Best%20Prime%20Minister.pdf)

In the linked PDF above, it shows that Corbyn's best head to head results were the two surveys after the last GE on 8th June 2017. Since then it's been going slowly downhill for him. May has been more consistent, until her numbers took a pummelling close to the original date for Brexit on 29th March 2019. When you consider everything that has gone on concerning how pathetic May has been since her snap General Election tactic backfired, Corbyn being utterly impotent to be able to take advantage of an almost open goal has shown he's not a capable leader of a major political party. Say what you want about Tony Blair, but he would have had eaten alive  most of the Tories over several breakfasts by this stage.

Polls are useless in times of extreme volatility because chaos is very difficult for a herd of people to understand.

The mantra from many Corbyn supporters ever since he was elected leader of the UK Labour party has been to rubbish any polling that doesn't show him in a good light - except the few that have actually shown him being competitive. Saying that polls since May became PM are useless is a cop out unless you can show that the methodology in conducting the polling is flawed.

Under his leadership, Labour have had two notable "blips" against expected forecasts - one was the 2017 General Election, the one May very much threw away what looked like the Tories getting a 100+ seat majority when it was announced, to where a few days before the poll the gap narrowed to where there was potential talk of May no longer having a majority in the Commons, or at least no better than what she had. The second one was in the recent by-election in Peterborough - the one where all the stars were aligning to give the Brexit Party its first MP, where the day before polling they were between 1/8 and 1/12 to win the seat. And they got pipped at the end. In the former, May's utter ineptitude to be a strong communicator coupled with a micromanaged campaign trail cost the Tories to end up having to do a confidence & supply deal with the DUP. Labour did better than expected, and celebrated like they won - but they were still in opposition and had no chance of forming a coalition themselves, the only victory being a moral one akin to Kinnock in 1987. In the latter, it was a combination of a large block of party activists whom descended on the constituency in the last two days before polling, coupled with a targeted vote by "remainers" to try and ensure the BXP did not win. A notable reversal from the EU elections where Labour's share of the vote went down 10 percentage points.

Even outside of issues like Brexit, Corbyn's leadership has been less than stellar, seeing several of his MPs break away, his handling of alleged Anti-Semetic attitudes within the party, reports of a toxic attitude within the parliamentary party mentioned by several MPs (fingers being pointed by Seamus Miline) etc. While plenty of this has been likely exaggerated by the usual fag-ends of the right-wing media in Britain, his ability to both handle such issues mentioned above and the way he's taken decisive action or not (like the Alistair Campbell expulsion) has shown him up as being little more than a common trope of modern left-wing politics in Britain, a politician of protest, but not a politician of governance. Corbyn is in his element standing at a particular base on the backbenches fighting on points of principle and being an eternal campaigner, but as a party leader whom has to try and bring along all factions together to battle as one, he's been useless.

And the thing is, there is quite a bit that Corbyn has stood for, for a long time, that is actually popular with the general British public. However the same right-wing media I mentioned above have done an excellent job that no matter what policies you might find popular, having them being attached to a certain party, party wing or politician will stop it dead in its tracks. There are popular ideas of having the likes of water, electric, rail networks etc. in public ownership hands, but will not vote for a Labour party, especially one that is being led from the party's left.

And the BIG problem right now is the man that is leading the party. Corbyn has pissed away goodwill from floating "Remain" voters whom were willing to give him a chance to shine even after giving lacklustre support to remaining in the EU in the 2016 referendum. And he's done nothing on that other than continuously gather splinters on his arse. A new labour party leader could have political views that, other than being a firm remainer, would largely chime with those of Corbyn and could help bring the right-leaning end of the Labour party at least into a ceasefire of sorts to put up a united front.

The fact is, Jeremy Corbyn has as much chance of becoming British Prime Minister now or in the future, as Foghorn Leghorn has of becoming the next James Bond. The longer he leads the Labour party, the more time that'll be needed to repair the party's image with the voting public, if it can be repaired at all.

The Tories haven''t collapsed yet. Labour are on 29%
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2019, 05:44:11 PM
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2019/04/15/brexit-lessons-from-the-silesian-backstop-of-1919-25/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on July 19, 2019, 06:56:47 PM
I would consider myself a labour voter but Corbyn should have left a long time ago. He won't beat Johnston because of his appeal to those who want Brexit. Yet Corbyn has quietly sat in the corner and offered no alternative. Then again what he believes in on a personal level are more likely to be fulfilled by letting Brexit happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2019, 07:56:21 PM
Corbyn is a huge threat to the powers that be because he wants to reboot the economy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 19, 2019, 08:31:50 PM
He's being murdered on the anti-semitic stuff though as well as his lack of conviction on anything brexit related.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 19, 2019, 08:36:24 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 19, 2019, 07:56:21 PM
Corbyn is a huge threat to the powers that be because he wants to reboot the economy

He wants to use the boot alright, but would likely boot the wrong people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2019, 09:41:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 19, 2019, 08:31:50 PM
He's being murdered on the anti-semitic stuff though as well as his lack of conviction on anything brexit related.

The AS stuff started in 2014 after miliband announced support for Palestine e
Israel is trying to protect the Occupation. Zionism usually operates behind the scenes so this
is v unusual.

IrvineWelsh
·
12h

I wish people who call Corbyn antisemitic would have the balls to say he is therefore a racist. They won't, as this would make them even more ludicrous than they are now appearing.

Chuka Umunna's Flip Flops

@WarmongerHodges
·
3h

#Peston

has been a non-stop anti-Corbyn hatchet job for the last 10 minutes. The way they're talking, you'd think 50% of Labour members were antisemitic. It's 0.06% you twats. Why are you not mentioning that? Because if you did, viewers would wonder what all the fuss was about.

Jonathan Cook

@Jonathan_K_Cook

A troubling expose of significant conflicts of interest for the equality commission's leadership that may have influenced the decision to single out the Labour party, and not include the Tories or Ukip, for an investigation into antisemitism
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 19, 2019, 09:43:41 PM
Grieve is hurling well

https://mobile.twitter.com/Haggis_UK/status/1152110355931439104

ERG talibanized

https://mobile.twitter.com/Haggis_UK/status/1150790933757222913
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on July 23, 2019, 12:32:36 PM
Bo Jo wins!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 23, 2019, 12:55:18 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on July 23, 2019, 12:32:36 PM
Bo Jo wins!!!!

What kind of margin?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 23, 2019, 12:57:28 PM
Two to one margin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on July 23, 2019, 01:00:17 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on July 23, 2019, 12:55:18 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on July 23, 2019, 12:32:36 PM
Bo Jo wins!!!!

What kind of margin?

92K to 46k 'ish'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on July 23, 2019, 03:11:25 PM
I predict it will all end in tears (theirs) and laughter (ours). The guy is a 24-carat f**king clown, a liar and a charlatan ... perfect Tory Prime Minister material
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on July 23, 2019, 03:26:08 PM
I wonder how long it will take Johnson to break his pre election promises, I think his reign will be a short one and the DUP should be very wary, I think that Johnson will sell them out in a heartbeat. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 23, 2019, 04:38:37 PM
The leader of the Dup in Westminster is happy as he will bring a bit of fun back to government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 23, 2019, 06:28:45 PM
Stephen Hawking was not as smart as Boris thinks he is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on July 23, 2019, 06:30:20 PM
Its gonna look like me gathering up a rake of fellas that (like myself) have never held a hurl in anger and can no longer run the length of ourselves.... and going out against Tipp.

Johnson is so far out of his depth its beyond hilarious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 23, 2019, 09:14:28 PM
He is going to screw someone over. Either he screws the dup or there's a hard border. I could see him putting up the hard border though hope I am wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: under the bar on July 23, 2019, 09:19:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 23, 2019, 09:14:28 PM
He is going to screw someone over. Either he screws the dup or there's a hard border. I could see him putting up the hard border though hope I am wrong.

He is a self-serving ****. He is in bed with 2 others self-serving c***ts Foster and Dodds.  All 3 will fall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 23, 2019, 09:24:19 PM
Hasn't failed yet :(

Here is hoping.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 23, 2019, 09:47:58 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on July 23, 2019, 03:26:08 PM
I wonder how long it will take Johnson to break his pre election promises, I think his reign will be a short one and the DUP should be very wary, I think that Johnson will sell them out in a heartbeat.

He'd sell his granny in a heartbeat. The perfect example of a power-hungry nutbar who would do anything to climb that greasy pole.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 23, 2019, 09:49:24 PM
Doesn't bode well for the Iran situation and not sure it bodes well for border here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 23, 2019, 10:58:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 23, 2019, 09:14:28 PM
He is going to screw someone over. Either he screws the dup or there's a hard border. I could see him putting up the hard border though hope I am wrong.
The border infrastructure Will be more important for the ROI / EU in a no deal situation, the UK won't have to protect the integrity of the EU Single market as they will be outside of it. Unless ROI sends their undesirables across the border a la Castro in Scarface the UK will definitely have a more relaxed attitude to the border than the ROI/EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 23, 2019, 11:05:04 PM
I reckon he won't make it to Christmas as PM ... won't deliver BREXIT by Oct 31st, General Election will follow and he'll be gone, with hopefully the Tory party with him. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 24, 2019, 09:00:19 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 23, 2019, 11:05:04 PM
I reckon he won't make it to Christmas as PM ... won't deliver BREXIT by Oct 31st, General Election will follow and he'll be gone, with hopefully the Tory party with him.

Be careful what you wish for. Yes the Tories are an odious shower at the worst of times. However given the huge vacuum in British politics it may be a case of the devil you know is better than the devil you don't. Especially with Farage's Brexit Party waiting in the wings.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on July 24, 2019, 09:02:43 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 24, 2019, 09:00:19 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 23, 2019, 11:05:04 PM
I reckon he won't make it to Christmas as PM ... won't deliver BREXIT by Oct 31st, General Election will follow and he'll be gone, with hopefully the Tory party with him.

Be careful what you wish for. Yes the Tories are an odious shower at the worst of times. However given the huge vacuum in British politics it may be a case of the devil you know is better than the devil you don't. Especially with Farage's Brexit Party waiting in the wings.

There is nothing to fear but fear itself.

The fiscal conservatives would never back the Brexit Party. The f**kwit conservatives will. Split vote. In first past the post that means more Labour/Lib Dem/Green/ANOther seats.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 24, 2019, 02:38:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on July 24, 2019, 09:02:43 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 24, 2019, 09:00:19 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 23, 2019, 11:05:04 PM
I reckon he won't make it to Christmas as PM ... won't deliver BREXIT by Oct 31st, General Election will follow and he'll be gone, with hopefully the Tory party with him.

Be careful what you wish for. Yes the Tories are an odious shower at the worst of times. However given the huge vacuum in British politics it may be a case of the devil you know is better than the devil you don't. Especially with Farage's Brexit Party waiting in the wings.

There is nothing to fear but fear itself.

The fiscal conservatives would never back the Brexit Party. The f**kwit conservatives will. Split vote. In first past the post that means more Labour/Lib Dem/Green/ANOther seats.

Could be way off here but this is how I see it playing out;

BoJo and Farage do a bit of dealing behind the scenes
October 31st exit is delayed to allow BoJo to call a GE which is billed as a de facto 2nd referendum
This allows Boris to say that he has listened to the views of the country
The Brexit Party and the Tories agree a pact and together collect 55-60% of the seats
The commons becomes pro-Brexit, with a 'mandate' to deliver Brexit by whatever means necessary
A hard line Brexit 'deal' (which is a couple of steps away from no deal) is pushed through the commons by the pro-Brexit majority
The country is fucked
Jacob Rees Mogg walks into the Sunseeker HQ in Dorset and slaps on a down payment on the biggest yoke they have
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on July 24, 2019, 02:56:20 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 23, 2019, 10:58:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 23, 2019, 09:14:28 PM
He is going to screw someone over. Either he screws the dup or there's a hard border. I could see him putting up the hard border though hope I am wrong.
The border infrastructure Will be more important for the ROI / EU in a no deal situation, the UK won't have to protect the integrity of the EU Single market as they will be outside of it. Unless ROI sends their undesirables across the border a la Castro in Scarface the UK will definitely have a more relaxed attitude to the border than the ROI/EU.

If the slowdowns occur when you are traveling south on the A1/M1 rather than north it will be easy for the UK to say that the hard border is all the EU's fault.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 24, 2019, 03:14:19 PM
It baffles me that after years of Thatcher, and all that entailed, the Brits resort to voting back in the Tories, and these shower of parasites.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 24, 2019, 03:49:40 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 24, 2019, 02:38:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on July 24, 2019, 09:02:43 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 24, 2019, 09:00:19 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 23, 2019, 11:05:04 PM
I reckon he won't make it to Christmas as PM ... won't deliver BREXIT by Oct 31st, General Election will follow and he'll be gone, with hopefully the Tory party with him.

Be careful what you wish for. Yes the Tories are an odious shower at the worst of times. However given the huge vacuum in British politics it may be a case of the devil you know is better than the devil you don't. Especially with Farage's Brexit Party waiting in the wings.

There is nothing to fear but fear itself.

The fiscal conservatives would never back the Brexit Party. The f**kwit conservatives will. Split vote. In first past the post that means more Labour/Lib Dem/Green/ANOther seats.

Could be way off here but this is how I see it playing out;

BoJo and Farage do a bit of dealing behind the scenes
October 31st exit is delayed to allow BoJo to call a GE which is billed as a de facto 2nd referendum
This allows Boris to say that he has listened to the views of the country
The Brexit Party and the Tories agree a pact and together collect 55-60% of the seats
The commons becomes pro-Brexit, with a 'mandate' to deliver Brexit by whatever means necessary
A hard line Brexit 'deal' (which is a couple of steps away from no deal) is pushed through the commons by the pro-Brexit majority
The country is fucked
Jacob Rees Mogg walks into the Sunseeker HQ in Dorset and slaps on a down payment on the biggest yoke they have

They would literally riot on the streets.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 24, 2019, 03:55:50 PM
There should be riots about bojo becoming pm. It is ludicrous.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 24, 2019, 03:56:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 24, 2019, 03:55:50 PM
There should be riots about bojo becoming pm. It is ludicrous.

Agreed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 24, 2019, 04:34:03 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 24, 2019, 03:56:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 24, 2019, 03:55:50 PM
There should be riots about bojo becoming pm. It is ludicrous.

Agreed.

It will come yet...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on July 24, 2019, 05:10:21 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 24, 2019, 03:49:40 PM
Quote from: Franko on July 24, 2019, 02:38:12 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on July 24, 2019, 09:02:43 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on July 24, 2019, 09:00:19 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 23, 2019, 11:05:04 PM
I reckon he won't make it to Christmas as PM ... won't deliver BREXIT by Oct 31st, General Election will follow and he'll be gone, with hopefully the Tory party with him.

Be careful what you wish for. Yes the Tories are an odious shower at the worst of times. However given the huge vacuum in British politics it may be a case of the devil you know is better than the devil you don't. Especially with Farage's Brexit Party waiting in the wings.

There is nothing to fear but fear itself.

The fiscal conservatives would never back the Brexit Party. The f**kwit conservatives will. Split vote. In first past the post that means more Labour/Lib Dem/Green/ANOther seats.

Could be way off here but this is how I see it playing out;

BoJo and Farage do a bit of dealing behind the scenes
October 31st exit is delayed to allow BoJo to call a GE which is billed as a de facto 2nd referendum
This allows Boris to say that he has listened to the views of the country
The Brexit Party and the Tories agree a pact and together collect 55-60% of the seats
The commons becomes pro-Brexit, with a 'mandate' to deliver Brexit by whatever means necessary
A hard line Brexit 'deal' (which is a couple of steps away from no deal) is pushed through the commons by the pro-Brexit majority
The country is fucked
Jacob Rees Mogg walks into the Sunseeker HQ in Dorset and slaps on a down payment on the biggest yoke they have

They would literally riot on the streets.

Should have added that below.  Barring a VERY well worked deal being done, riots in the streets are a foregone conclusion AFAICS.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 24, 2019, 07:07:28 PM
Watching BJ deliver his Downing St entrance speech, it again magnified to me how different we, the occupants of the 6 counties, are from BJ and his likes.  How any resident of the north can believe that BJ represents them is beyond me.  Once again an unelected, unrepresentative PM is foisted upon us, and we just have to accept it.  The gulf between NI and Britain is widening further, the sooner we have a border poll the better. 

The BJ era ain't going to end good for anyone, especially not for the residents of the 6 counties.

On a lighter note, at least the former NI Secretary got the road, another total waste of space.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on July 24, 2019, 07:38:36 PM
f**king Priti Patel as Home Secretary. Embarrassing shite. As bad as Rudd being brought back by May after being sent to sit on the naughty step for five mins.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 24, 2019, 07:42:33 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2019, 07:07:28 PM
Watching BJ deliver his Downing St entrance speech, it again magnified to me how different we, the occupants of the 6 counties, are from BJ and his likes.  How any resident of the north can believe that BJ represents them is beyond me.  Once again an unelected, unrepresentative PM is foisted upon us, and we just have to accept it.  The gulf between NI and Britain is widening further, the sooner we have a border poll the better. 

The BJ era ain't going to end good for anyone, especially not for the residents of the 6 counties.

On a lighter note, at least the former NI Secretary got the road, another total waste of space.

The thing is most of the UK different is different from the etonians. How anyone votes for them is beyond me.

We are very different though as you say.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 24, 2019, 09:59:56 PM
Quote from: gallsman on July 24, 2019, 07:38:36 PM
f**king Priti Patel as Home Secretary. Embarrassing shite. As bad as Rudd being brought back by May after being sent to sit on the naughty step for five mins.
And Raab
2 ideologues
2 gobshites
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on July 24, 2019, 10:15:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 24, 2019, 09:59:56 PM
Quote from: gallsman on July 24, 2019, 07:38:36 PM
f**king Priti Patel as Home Secretary. Embarrassing shite. As bad as Rudd being brought back by May after being sent to sit on the naughty step for five mins.
And Raab
2 ideologues
2 gobshites
Rees Mogg in #10 at the minute so he'll be leaving with a new job.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 24, 2019, 10:33:04 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on July 24, 2019, 10:15:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 24, 2019, 09:59:56 PM
Quote from: gallsman on July 24, 2019, 07:38:36 PM
f**king Priti Patel as Home Secretary. Embarrassing shite. As bad as Rudd being brought back by May after being sent to sit on the naughty step for five mins.
And Raab
2 ideologues
2 gobshites
Rees Mogg in #10 at the minute so he'll be leaving with a new job.
Leader of the House they were thinking ;D ;D ;D :D :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 24, 2019, 10:36:40 PM
who the f*** is Julian Smith, new overlord of Norn Iron?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 24, 2019, 10:40:32 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 24, 2019, 10:36:40 PM
who the f*** is Julian Smith, new overlord of Norn Iron?

Chief Whip

Big demotion but in fairness although it was an impossible ask he did a pretty shit job
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 24, 2019, 10:43:02 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 24, 2019, 10:36:40 PM
who the f*** is Julian Smith, new overlord of Norn Iron?

Coming to a McKenna Cup game near you. Mind you, bojo may not last to January.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: under the bar on July 24, 2019, 10:46:06 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 24, 2019, 07:07:28 PM


The BJ era ain't going to end good for anyone, especially not for the residents of the 6 counties.

On a lighter note, at least the former NI Secretary got the road, another total waste of space.

BJ could probably shite out a better NI Secretary than that useless cnut Bradley.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 24, 2019, 10:48:17 PM
Cannot believe the new British government think the EU will blink and offer a bigger compromise. It's not going to happen. Good to see cold water already being poured on it by Varadkar.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on July 24, 2019, 10:50:56 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 24, 2019, 10:48:17 PM
Cannot believe the new British government think the EU will blink and offer a bigger compromise. It's not going to happen. Good to see cold water already being poured on it by Varadkar.
They don't want a new deal. Johnson just lining it up so they can continue to blame EU intransigence for failure to secure a deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 24, 2019, 10:51:33 PM
Its a fairly mad reshuffle and a lineup that will do nothing to heal any rifts in the Tory Parliamentary party. Looks to me like the only remainer left is his bro, and he hasn't even given him a job yet

All those who oppose him are on the oputside eiher by by resignation or sacking, hard to see how he will have anything other than an even more difficult time than May.

...interestingly I googled the deputy prime minister and hadn't realised that the post has been put on the shelf since Nick Clegg

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 24, 2019, 10:58:22 PM
Gavin Williamson leaks state secrets.

Gets put in charge of Education.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on July 24, 2019, 11:03:35 PM
This must be the most right wing UK government since Thatcher. Johnson rolling the dice from day one and gearing up for an election already.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on July 24, 2019, 11:32:54 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 24, 2019, 10:51:33 PM
...interestingly I googled the deputy prime minister and hadn't realised that the post has been put on the shelf since Nick Clegg

I heard somewhere, maybe BBC News at 10, that Dominic Raab is the new Deputy PM in the UK as well as Foreign Secretary. Mind you, haven't seen it written on any websites or mentioned on Twitter. So who knows really.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on July 24, 2019, 11:40:06 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on July 24, 2019, 11:32:54 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 24, 2019, 10:51:33 PM
...interestingly I googled the deputy prime minister and hadn't realised that the post has been put on the shelf since Nick Clegg

I heard somewhere, maybe BBC News at 10, that Dominic Raab is the new Deputy PM in the UK as well as Foreign Secretary. Mind you, haven't seen it written on any websites or mentioned on Twitter. So who knows really.

Raab said today "we have to leave the EU by Oct 31st, either with or without a deal".
He is a dangerous cookie.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on July 25, 2019, 08:40:03 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on July 24, 2019, 11:40:06 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on July 24, 2019, 11:32:54 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 24, 2019, 10:51:33 PM
...interestingly I googled the deputy prime minister and hadn't realised that the post has been put on the shelf since Nick Clegg

I heard somewhere, maybe BBC News at 10, that Dominic Raab is the new Deputy PM in the UK as well as Foreign Secretary. Mind you, haven't seen it written on any websites or mentioned on Twitter. So who knows really.

Raab said today "we have to leave the EU by Oct 31st, either with or without a deal".
He is a dangerous cookie.

They are all dangerous cookies either through sheer recklessness or stupidity. Or worse again both as in the likes of Priti Patel.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 25, 2019, 10:31:43 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on July 25, 2019, 08:40:03 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on July 24, 2019, 11:40:06 PM
Quote from: ziggysego on July 24, 2019, 11:32:54 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 24, 2019, 10:51:33 PM
...interestingly I googled the deputy prime minister and hadn't realised that the post has been put on the shelf since Nick Clegg

I heard somewhere, maybe BBC News at 10, that Dominic Raab is the new Deputy PM in the UK as well as Foreign Secretary. Mind you, haven't seen it written on any websites or mentioned on Twitter. So who knows really.

Raab said today "we have to leave the EU by Oct 31st, either with or without a deal".
He is a dangerous cookie.

They are all dangerous cookies either through sheer recklessness or stupidity. Or worse again both as in the likes of Priti Patel.

Explains it all;

https://www.theguardian.com/education/2014/jun/09/boarding-schools-bad-leaders-politicians-bullies-bumblers?fbclid=IwAR1M3KVfjVkOSQhw7iS28bcetknL_f7DqNx1SUImMB0kVXbjwCjVQ4lAWD4 (https://www.theguardian.com/education/2014/jun/09/boarding-schools-bad-leaders-politicians-bullies-bumblers?fbclid=IwAR1M3KVfjVkOSQhw7iS28bcetknL_f7DqNx1SUImMB0kVXbjwCjVQ4lAWD4)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 25, 2019, 12:02:31 PM
Traditionally the boys in Eton get a day off school when a former pupil becomes Prime Minister. As it is now the holidays they won't get that.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 25, 2019, 03:44:28 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 25, 2019, 12:02:31 PM
Traditionally the boys in Eton get a day off school when a former pupil becomes Prime Minister. As it is now the holidays they won't get that.

They might get one off in the Autumn though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 01:17:02 AM
Apparently Hunt is not in the cabinet because of something the Queen was overheard say "Johnson sack Hunt".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 26, 2019, 07:26:46 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 01:17:02 AM
Apparently Hunt is not in the cabinet because of something the Queen was overheard say "Johnson sack Hunt".

Had to say it out loud there myself 😁.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 26, 2019, 07:33:02 AM
It really is bonkers at the moment Tories with DUP have about a 2 seat majority, surely a no-deal brexit will hit the island of Ireland hardest, in such a catastrophic outcome for this island why won't the sinners take their 7 seats.  In my humble opinion I believe Sinn Fein want a no-deal so they can push for a border poll, in such a scenario they are no better than all the other parties who are putting self-interest above the interest of the people.  Tories just want to pursue a no-deal now and deliver on an ideology , Corbyn is a brexiteer who's party are mostly remainers, SNP just want a second independence referendum, liberals especially under their new leader believe (wrongly) they will get all remain voters in another General Election, and the DUP simply want to hang on to the coat tails of England. 

With the numbers as they are a General Election is a certainty before Christmas, Farage and Johnson will do a pact and hoover up seats all over England, Labour and the Liberals refuse to do a pact and hence will get hammered, and every nationalist in the North knowing they are as well pissing in the wind will follow tribal policies and vote Sinn Fein to have no voice in the only parliament that matters to us as Stormount is not returning in the foreseeable future - it is depressing stuff, my 16 year old son asked why if Brexit is so important will our MP not go and debate and vote in Parliament and more importantly why do we keep voting for them - I struggled to answer him.

EDIT: And yes I know about abstentionism and their mandate to abstain, and am old enough to have been beat of roads to let Orangemen walk through my area, but specifically a no-deal brexit could be won on a vote or two and in such a scenario we could be all up the river without a paddle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 26, 2019, 12:36:47 PM
SF are not interested in helping anyone. Hence abstaining from Government in NI, putting forward the nationalist voice in Westminster and sitting with a small minority group of Communists in Europe. They are a party of bluff, bluster and bullshit. But definitely no interest in doing any actual work.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 26, 2019, 12:45:41 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Indicative vote results

C) Customs union (Ken Clarke)
AYES: 273   NOES: 276
D) "Common market 2.0" (Nick Boles)
AYES: 261   NOES: 282
E) Second Referendum (Peter Kyle)
AYES: 280   NOES: 292
G) Parliamentary supremacy (Joanna Cherry)
AYES: 191   NOES: 292

No-deal could pass by 3 or 4 votes - Sinners at this moment in time represent no one who voted for them in any election, shameful!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 26, 2019, 01:27:59 PM
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=M_3l6tTCYp0

Can anyone really point to any Alasdair Mcdonnell achievements during his time in the commons?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 26, 2019, 01:37:23 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 26, 2019, 01:27:59 PM
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=M_3l6tTCYp0

Can anyone really point to any Alasdair Mcdonnell achievements during his time in the commons?

Pathetic. Debate the point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 26, 2019, 01:37:35 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 26, 2019, 01:27:59 PM
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=M_3l6tTCYp0

Can anyone really point to any Alasdair Mcdonnell achievements during his time in the commons?

Did a dangerous Government have such a wafer thin majority when he served as an MP??

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 26, 2019, 02:26:36 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810

If SF took there seats and voted one way it would automatically drive some MPs to vote the other way just to avoid being on the same side as them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 02:49:45 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 26, 2019, 02:26:36 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810

If SF took there seats and voted one way it would automatically drive some MPs to vote the other way just to avoid being on the same side as them.

+1 People calling for SF to go to Westminster have an agenda and it is not defeating Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 26, 2019, 02:51:39 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 26, 2019, 02:26:36 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810

If SF took there seats and voted one way it would automatically drive some MPs to vote the other way just to avoid being on the same side as them.
Holy f**k I've heard it all now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 02:55:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 26, 2019, 02:51:39 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 26, 2019, 02:26:36 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810

If SF took there seats and voted one way it would automatically drive some MPs to vote the other way just to avoid being on the same side as them.
Holy f**k I've heard it all now.

Are you saying that it is not true?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 26, 2019, 03:00:37 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 26, 2019, 02:51:39 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 26, 2019, 02:26:36 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810

If SF took there seats and voted one way it would automatically drive some MPs to vote the other way just to avoid being on the same side as them.
Holy f**k I've heard it all now.

Say what you want but it's true.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 26, 2019, 03:09:32 PM
So f**king what if they do, that's their choice / right to act like childish clowns. This is pathetic in so many ways.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 26, 2019, 03:10:51 PM
The last few exchanges says everything you need to know about SF and their supporters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: APM on July 26, 2019, 03:14:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 02:49:45 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 26, 2019, 02:26:36 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810

If SF took there seats and voted one way it would automatically drive some MPs to vote the other way just to avoid being on the same side as them.

+1 People calling for SF to go to Westminster have an agenda and it is not defeating Brexit.

Nonsense,
People are genuinely frightened by the economic chaos that could follow.  We have the most jingoistic, xenaphopic, partisan and irresponsible governments in living memory which will impose a form of Brexit that will do more harm to the six counties than to anywhere else, and you are suggesting that anyone calling on SF to take their seats to bring down the government has another agenda. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on July 26, 2019, 03:27:20 PM
Could you imagine the consternation if Sinn Fein issued a press release saying it was in negotiation with Labour, SNP, Lib Dems etc to take their seats and force a no confidence vote.

I know the Oath of Allegiance is a problem for them. However, what did Dev call it in 1927 when FF took their seats............An empty formula I think........when he had to swear loyalty to King George V.

Perhaps it is time for Sinn Fein to see the bigger picture.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 03:37:04 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 03:14:46 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 02:49:45 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 26, 2019, 02:26:36 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810

If SF took there seats and voted one way it would automatically drive some MPs to vote the other way just to avoid being on the same side as them.

+1 People calling for SF to go to Westminster have an agenda and it is not defeating Brexit.

Nonsense,
People are genuinely frightened by the economic chaos that could follow.  We have the most jingoistic, xenaphopic, partisan and irresponsible governments in living memory which will impose a form of Brexit that will do more harm to the six counties than to anywhere else, and you are suggesting that anyone calling on SF to take their seats to bring down the government has another agenda.

I am suggesting this because SF going to Westminster will only increase the partisan and xenophobic nature of the place, given the ranting from the Daily Telegraph and Mail and the Hoeys of this world. Consequently, SF going there will clearly not do any good and so people wanting them to go there are more concerned with annoying SF than anything else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 26, 2019, 03:42:02 PM
I don't think there's much scope for increasing it - it must be near a maximum :(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 26, 2019, 03:43:44 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 26, 2019, 03:27:20 PM
Could you imagine the consternation if Sinn Fein issued a press release saying it was in negotiation with Labour, SNP, Lib Dems etc to take their seats and force a no confidence vote.

I know the Oath of Allegiance is a problem for them. However, what did Dev call it in 1927 when FF took their seats............An empty formula I think........when he had to swear loyalty to King George V.

Perhaps it is time for Sinn Fein to see the bigger picture.....
Maybe indeed. Historically I would have sided with SF on this issue but I understand the unorthodox times we live in. I really don't think SF would be treated like any other political party if they were to enter the chamber, plus their vote would collapse overnight. It ain't going to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 26, 2019, 03:45:13 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 26, 2019, 03:27:20 PM
Could you imagine the consternation if Sinn Fein issued a press release saying it was in negotiation with Labour, SNP, Lib Dems etc to take their seats and force a no confidence vote.

I know the Oath of Allegiance is a problem for them. However, what did Dev call it in 1927 when FF took their seats............An empty formula I think........when he had to swear loyalty to King George V.

Perhaps it is time for Sinn Fein to see the bigger picture.....

I can understand the clamour for them to take their seats to an extent. But you also have to look at it from their perspective. Their bigger picture might not be the same as your bigger picture. If they were to take their seats now the reality is that they would loss a fairly sizable chunk of their own support and alienate them. Regardless of whether you agree with it or not they canvassed under absenteeism and to change that (And it's a fairly big ideological change) would be a FU to the people who actually voted for them. I'd hazard a guess that the people calling for them to take their seats are people who didn't vote for them anyway.
So basically why would they risk harming their own voter share to do something that they don't believe in on the possibility that it might make a difference with regards to Brexit. It's far from a simple equation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on July 26, 2019, 03:50:52 PM
Would alienated SF voters simply stop voting or move over to the Republican parties to the left of SF that remain abstentious but are still wedded to the 'struggle'.

Just asking.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 26, 2019, 03:59:03 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 26, 2019, 03:50:52 PM
Would alienated SF voters simply stop voting or move over to the Republican parties to the left of SF that remain abstentious but are still wedded to the 'struggle'.

Just asking.

Pure speculation here but id say the majority of alienated voters would stay home. You'd see a big surge for those independent republican candidates around Dungannon and that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 26, 2019, 04:05:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 02:49:45 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 26, 2019, 02:26:36 PM
Quote from: APM on July 26, 2019, 01:15:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on July 26, 2019, 12:32:13 PM
Shinners may have been able to sell return to Dail and that farce up on hill to their voters, but taking oath to queen in London would seriously hit their support and dissidents would be rubbing their hands. Besides, anybody who thinks their votes would make blind bit of difference is deluded. It's not going to happen, no matter how many times that excuse of a politician micheal martin whines on about it.

Are you for real or are you reading from a script?

The Tories + the DUP have a working majority of 1 or 2.  How would the votes of 7 SF MPs make no difference in a vote of no confidence?  There will be an election at some stage this year and the later it is, the greater the opportunity of Johnston (with Cummings) to prepare. 

Look at this and remember what Vote Leave were at during the referendum. 
https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1154153775541751810

If SF took there seats and voted one way it would automatically drive some MPs to vote the other way just to avoid being on the same side as them.

+1 People calling for SF to go to Westminster have an agenda and it is not defeating Brexit.

Oh no you've caught out my ulterior motive of actually wanting my elected representatives to represent me in the house they've been elected to which decides the laws that I am subject to. . . Also defeating Brexit would be nice in the process!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 26, 2019, 04:12:37 PM
I don't think Sinn Fein would lose as much support as people let on.

This has been said on numerous occasions with them signing up to the Good Friday agreement then going into Government with the DUP, endorsing the PSNI then McGuinness shaking the Queen's hand, becoming pro choice etc. etc.

I'd be amazed if they lost any of the Westminster seats in the next election or even the European seat they may take a small loss in local council or MLA elections but not a big loss and what they lose from staunch Republicans they could pick up from the liberal youth vote.

The tail is wagging the dog though and the Army Council aren't ready to concede this yet as staunch Republicans are very much of the mind that Brexit will deliver a UI in a shorter period of time and f**k everyone's economic situation in the time being!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on July 26, 2019, 04:55:56 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 26, 2019, 03:45:13 PM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on July 26, 2019, 03:27:20 PM
Could you imagine the consternation if Sinn Fein issued a press release saying it was in negotiation with Labour, SNP, Lib Dems etc to take their seats and force a no confidence vote.

I know the Oath of Allegiance is a problem for them. However, what did Dev call it in 1927 when FF took their seats............An empty formula I think........when he had to swear loyalty to King George V.

Perhaps it is time for Sinn Fein to see the bigger picture.....

I can understand the clamour for them to take their seats to an extent. But you also have to look at it from their perspective. Their bigger picture might not be the same as your bigger picture. If they were to take their seats now the reality is that they would loss a fairly sizable chunk of their own support and alienate them. Regardless of whether you agree with it or not they canvassed under absenteeism and to change that (And it's a fairly big ideological change) would be a FU to the people who actually voted for them. I'd hazard a guess that the people calling for them to take their seats are people who didn't vote for them anyway.
So basically why would they risk harming their own voter share to do something that they don't believe in on the possibility that it might make a difference with regards to Brexit. It's far from a simple equation.

I'll bet people would have feared SF would have lost support in the 1990s if they endorsed an IRA ceasefire. After they did their support went up, not down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 04:56:37 PM
I don't think SF will go and overturn Brexit, their contention is that they should not tell the the English what to do, nor they us, and the kickback would be fierce.
If there was a limited vote on something like a backstop referendum in NI then they could take part in that without greatly overturning any previous principle and there wouldn't be much kickback when it is Paddys voting about Paddys.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: APM on July 26, 2019, 05:37:02 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on July 26, 2019, 04:56:37 PM
I don't think SF will go and overturn Brexit, their contention is that they should not tell the the English what to do, nor they us, and the kickback would be fierce.
If there was a limited vote on something like a backstop referendum in NI then they could take part in that without greatly overturning any previous principle and there wouldn't be much kickback when it is Paddys voting about Paddys.


That's fine whenever we aren't part of the same jurisdiction - this statement reflects not how the world actually is, but how we would like it to be.  But when English MPs are making choices that will wreck the economy and are expressly contrary to the majority of the north and you have the numbers to stop it, then ........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 27, 2019, 12:34:54 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

+1.  The Tory's and DUP are advancing the demise of the 'precious union' right before our eyes, why interrupt them in doing so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on July 27, 2019, 12:50:14 AM
1.  There is ZERO chance of Stormont being restored in pre 2022
2.  Currently SF's only value is their reduced representation in ROI
3.  A border poll is definitely forthcoming
4.  Despite the jobs for the dupConservatives, NI is well down the new PM's priorities
5.  Alliance's pragmatism counts for little in the sectarian head count of a border poll
6.  It looks like NI will become the battleground in deciding regulatory alignment

Disappointing but interesting
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 09:43:58 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.

I think you have to think what's less painful... a few years of hardship before getting up to speed with the republic, or living the rest of your life under the economic/social abomination that is partition.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 09:58:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 09:43:58 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.


I think you have to think what's less painful... a few years of hardship before getting up to speed with the republic, or living the rest of your life under the economic/social abomination that is partition.

So are you happy enough to lose your job, possibly your home have all that stress and turmoil on you and your family's doorstep because elected politicians refuse to take their seats in any elected office but still get paid - genuine question would you take that hit and all that comes with it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:06:50 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 09:58:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 09:43:58 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.


I think you have to think what's less painful... a few years of hardship before getting up to speed with the republic, or living the rest of your life under the economic/social abomination that is partition.

So are you happy enough to lose your job, possibly your home have all that stress and turmoil on you and your family's doorstep because elected politicians refuse to take their seats in any elected office but still get paid - genuine question would you take that hit and all that comes with it?

Am I really going to lose my job and home because Francie Molloy doesn't enter the house of commons? Really??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 10:13:46 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:06:50 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 09:58:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 09:43:58 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.


I think you have to think what's less painful... a few years of hardship before getting up to speed with the republic, or living the rest of your life under the economic/social abomination that is partition.

So are you happy enough to lose your job, possibly your home have all that stress and turmoil on you and your family's doorstep because elected politicians refuse to take their seats in any elected office but still get paid - genuine question would you take that hit and all that comes with it?

Am I really going to lose my job and home because Francie Molloy doesn't enter the house of commons? Really??

Are you a political - that was some swerve from the question - ill break it down, because a no-deal is a real possibility and because it could pass with a few votes in House Of Commons over 100,000 people on the island of Ireland could lose there jobs - my question again to you.

Are you happy for Sinn Fein to not attempt to stop a no-deal and you lose your job as a result, or are you in a position where a no-deal won't affect your job so you are happy for everyone else to suffer for years to maybe get a United Ireland?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on July 27, 2019, 10:25:39 AM
SF's MPs could make a difference in HC but I think the PM has already decided that, in the event of Parliament trying to block the Govt, he's happy enough to suffer a vote of no confidence and thus call an election (despite what he said yesterday).   I'd wager that he'd win that election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 10:34:00 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on July 27, 2019, 10:25:39 AM
SF's MPs could make a difference in HC but I think the PM has already decided that, in the event of Parliament trying to block the Govt, he's happy enough to suffer a vote of no confidence and thus call an election (despite what he said yesterday).   I'd wager that he'd win that election.

I agree - the brexiteers are like the Orangemen on the 12th, well organised and will do a pact with Farage, the remainers are like Nationalists parading on St Patricks day all over the place and like SDLP and Sinners won't do a pact, Liberals and Labour also won't so Tories will have a 40+ seat majority in any election!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:34:30 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 10:13:46 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:06:50 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 09:58:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 09:43:58 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.


I think you have to think what's less painful... a few years of hardship before getting up to speed with the republic, or living the rest of your life under the economic/social abomination that is partition.

So are you happy enough to lose your job, possibly your home have all that stress and turmoil on you and your family's doorstep because elected politicians refuse to take their seats in any elected office but still get paid - genuine question would you take that hit and all that comes with it?

Am I really going to lose my job and home because Francie Molloy doesn't enter the house of commons? Really??

Are you a political - that was some swerve from the question - ill break it down, because a no-deal is a real possibility and because it could pass with a few votes in House Of Commons over 100,000 people on the island of Ireland could lose there jobs - my question again to you.

Are you happy for Sinn Fein to not attempt to stop a no-deal and you lose your job as a result, or are you in a position where a no-deal won't affect your job so you are happy for everyone else to suffer for years to maybe get a United Ireland?

Of course I'm not happy. I'd far rather a united Ireland without any bumps and everyone well off. Partition is an absolute abomination and has done nothing for anyone besides big house unionism. It is a plague on this island.

I'm paid 50% less than people half an hour down the road doing the exact same job because of partition. It's b0llocks and I'm sick of it. Yes, I'm afraid of the economic implications of Brexit, but im far more worried about the status quo carrying on for the next 50 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 27, 2019, 10:39:53 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.

I voted for them in the past. Haven't done so for 10+ years.

They are a useless shower of pricks. This whole Brexit/Stormont closure shows that. SF orchestrate political turmoil so that they can stay relevant (as do the DUP). If all was running smooth, they would cease to be relevant. SF are exactly the opposite to what the whole of ireland needs. A bunch of self-serving, spineless, shit-stirring wankers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 10:45:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:34:30 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 10:13:46 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:06:50 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 09:58:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 09:43:58 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.


I think you have to think what's less painful... a few years of hardship before getting up to speed with the republic, or living the rest of your life under the economic/social abomination that is partition.

So are you happy enough to lose your job, possibly your home have all that stress and turmoil on you and your family's doorstep because elected politicians refuse to take their seats in any elected office but still get paid - genuine question would you take that hit and all that comes with it?

Am I really going to lose my job and home because Francie Molloy doesn't enter the house of commons? Really??

Are you a political - that was some swerve from the question - ill break it down, because a no-deal is a real possibility and because it could pass with a few votes in House Of Commons over 100,000 people on the island of Ireland could lose there jobs - my question again to you.

Are you happy for Sinn Fein to not attempt to stop a no-deal and you lose your job as a result, or are you in a position where a no-deal won't affect your job so you are happy for everyone else to suffer for years to maybe get a United Ireland?

Of course I'm not happy. I'd far rather a united Ireland without any bumps and everyone well off. Partition is an absolute abomination and has done nothing for anyone besides big house unionism. It is a plague on this island.

I'm paid 50% less than people half an hour down the road doing the exact same job because of partition. It's b0llocks and I'm sick of it. Yes, I'm afraid of the economic implications of Brexit, but im far more worried about the status quo carrying on for the next 50 years.

I work over an hour from my home!  So to be clear you are happy for 100,000+ people to lose their jobs including yourself, and all the implications that brings to families and communities.  If brexit has taught us anything it is you can't just cut ties from decades and decades of alignment, a United Ireland is an amazing goal, but it has to be managed and a no-deal is not the way to do it, the Shinners need to step up, Gerry Adams said the IRA haven't gone away you know - looking at the media, at elected establishments etc it looks like Sinn Fein have gone away and been away for years!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on July 27, 2019, 11:58:23 AM
Quote from: trailer on July 26, 2019, 03:10:51 PM
The last few exchanges says everything you need to know about SF and their supporters.

SF and their supporters are your relatives friends fellow club men and women, colleagues etc etc etc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 27, 2019, 12:07:11 PM
Johnson is going for an election . If he gets a majority he can shaft the DUP
and impose the backstop between the 2 islands
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on July 27, 2019, 01:53:39 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:34:30 AM
I'm paid 50% less than people half an hour down the road doing the exact same job because of partition

What is the cost of living half an hour down the road?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: OgraAnDun on July 27, 2019, 02:00:29 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 10:13:46 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:06:50 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 09:58:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 09:43:58 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.


I think you have to think what's less painful... a few years of hardship before getting up to speed with the republic, or living the rest of your life under the economic/social abomination that is partition.

So are you happy enough to lose your job, possibly your home have all that stress and turmoil on you and your family's doorstep because elected politicians refuse to take their seats in any elected office but still get paid - genuine question would you take that hit and all that comes with it?

Am I really going to lose my job and home because Francie Molloy doesn't enter the house of commons? Really??

Are you a political - that was some swerve from the question - ill break it down, because a no-deal is a real possibility and because it could pass with a few votes in House Of Commons over 100,000 people on the island of Ireland could lose there jobs - my question again to you.

Are you happy for Sinn Fein to not attempt to stop a no-deal and you lose your job as a result, or are you in a position where a no-deal won't affect your job so you are happy for everyone else to suffer for years to maybe get a United Ireland?

The 100,000 figure is that 100,000 less jobs will be created in the long term due to a hard Brexit, not that 100,000 people will lose their jobs. The short term pain of a hard Brexit will be tough enough but medium to long term, Ireland will be fine.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 02:32:33 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on July 27, 2019, 01:53:39 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:34:30 AM
I'm paid 50% less than people half an hour down the road doing the exact same job because of partition

What is the cost of living half an hour down the road?

Certainly not 50% more, that's for sure.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 02:56:43 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 10:45:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:34:30 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 10:13:46 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 10:06:50 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 09:58:05 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 09:43:58 AM
Quote from: t_mac on July 27, 2019, 08:29:43 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 26, 2019, 05:54:56 PM
I would imagine SFs view is to let the clowns self destruct as much as possible hopefully leading to Scottish Independence and a majority in the North wanting to get away from nut job England/Wales.

Whilst 100,000+ lose their jobs on the island of ireland - I voted Sinn Fein in every election since the late 90's bar this year and will never vote for them again, they are letting their people down time and time again, shameful.


I think you have to think what's less painful... a few years of hardship before getting up to speed with the republic, or living the rest of your life under the economic/social abomination that is partition.

So are you happy enough to lose your job, possibly your home have all that stress and turmoil on you and your family's doorstep because elected politicians refuse to take their seats in any elected office but still get paid - genuine question would you take that hit and all that comes with it?

Am I really going to lose my job and home because Francie Molloy doesn't enter the house of commons? Really??

Are you a political - that was some swerve from the question - ill break it down, because a no-deal is a real possibility and because it could pass with a few votes in House Of Commons over 100,000 people on the island of Ireland could lose there jobs - my question again to you.

Are you happy for Sinn Fein to not attempt to stop a no-deal and you lose your job as a result, or are you in a position where a no-deal won't affect your job so you are happy for everyone else to suffer for years to maybe get a United Ireland?

Of course I'm not happy. I'd far rather a united Ireland without any bumps and everyone well off. Partition is an absolute abomination and has done nothing for anyone besides big house unionism. It is a plague on this island.

I'm paid 50% less than people half an hour down the road doing the exact same job because of partition. It's b0llocks and I'm sick of it. Yes, I'm afraid of the economic implications of Brexit, but im far more worried about the status quo carrying on for the next 50 years.

I work over an hour from my home!  So to be clear you are happy for 100,000+ people to lose their jobs including yourself, and all the implications that brings to families and communities.  If brexit has taught us anything it is you can't just cut ties from decades and decades of alignment, a United Ireland is an amazing goal, but it has to be managed and a no-deal is not the way to do it, the Shinners need to step up, Gerry Adams said the IRA haven't gone away you know - looking at the media, at elected establishments etc it looks like Sinn Fein have gone away and been away for years!

Thank God there wasn't boys like you around Germany in the late 80s.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 27, 2019, 04:02:49 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 02:56:43 PM
Thank God there wasn't boys like you around Germany in the late 80s.

There were. But things in Germany came to a head very quickly and there was a general national spirit and a determination to get on with things.
I expect a similar thing to happen in Ireland.

However, it is appropriate to try and fight the Brexit loonies and ensure there isn't a crisis, so that this can be done in a more orderly manner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 07:17:12 PM

Sammy Wilson MP
@eastantrimmp
I will be enquiring as to who gave the Irish Foreign Minister access and permission to use Parliament Buildings for a press conference to attack the UK Prime Minister. If courtesies are going to be disrespected, then the matter will have to be carefully looked at.

Sammy has went full gammon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on July 27, 2019, 08:21:36 PM
As if anyone in the DUP ever knew anything about 'courtesy' in the first place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Godsown on July 27, 2019, 08:49:05 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 07:17:12 PM

Sammy Wilson MP
@eastantrimmp


Sammy has went full gammon.

I think you will be hearing from the Leader of the House of Commons with regard to your grammar Sir! Innit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 27, 2019, 08:50:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 27, 2019, 12:07:11 PM
Johnson is going for an election . If he gets a majority he can shaft the DUP
and impose the backstop between the 2 islands

That's it exactly ... he's going for the hardline Brexit stance to hoover up the Brexit party's support at GE, and return with a solid majority so he can put May's deal through but with a NI only backstop i.e. customs border down the Irish Sea ... Brexit is delivered whilst the DUP are under the bus.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 27, 2019, 09:12:48 PM
Also thinking that and trying to win over northern England with these promises.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 28, 2019, 10:39:00 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 27, 2019, 12:07:11 PM
Johnson is going for an election . If he gets a majority he can shaft the DUP
and impose the backstop between the 2 islands

The Boris bounce has Tories riding high.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 28, 2019, 10:39:15 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 27, 2019, 08:50:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 27, 2019, 12:07:11 PM
Johnson is going for an election . If he gets a majority he can shaft the DUP
and impose the backstop between the 2 islands

That's it exactly ... he's going for the hardline Brexit stance to hoover up the Brexit party's support at GE, and return with a solid majority so he can put May's deal through but with a NI only backstop i.e. customs border down the Irish Sea ... Brexit is delivered whilst the DUP are under the bus.
But he can't do all that before Halloween.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on July 28, 2019, 11:26:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 28, 2019, 10:39:15 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 27, 2019, 08:50:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 27, 2019, 12:07:11 PM
Johnson is going for an election . If he gets a majority he can shaft the DUP
and impose the backstop between the 2 islands

That's it exactly ... he's going for the hardline Brexit stance to hoover up the Brexit party's support at GE, and return with a solid majority so he can put May's deal through but with a NI only backstop i.e. customs border down the Irish Sea ... Brexit is delivered whilst the DUP are under the bus.
But he can't do all that before Halloween.

He's doesn't have to do it before Halloween ... Brexit ain't going to happen by Oct 31, with Parliament blocking a no deal.  So Boris propaganda will go into overdrive, the British people have been wronged by parliament, parliament are scuppering the democratic will of the people etc etc .... only one way to sort it, a GE, and Boris has the high moral ground as being the champion of Bexit.  It's a highly risky strategy, but I think that's his only plan at present.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 28, 2019, 12:43:46 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 28, 2019, 11:26:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 28, 2019, 10:39:15 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on July 27, 2019, 08:50:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 27, 2019, 12:07:11 PM
Johnson is going for an election . If he gets a majority he can shaft the DUP
and impose the backstop between the 2 islands

That's it exactly ... he's going for the hardline Brexit stance to hoover up the Brexit party's support at GE, and return with a solid majority so he can put May's deal through but with a NI only backstop i.e. customs border down the Irish Sea ... Brexit is delivered whilst the DUP are under the bus.
But he can't do all that before Halloween.

He's doesn't have to do it before Halloween ... Brexit ain't going to happen by Oct 31, with Parliament blocking a no deal.  So Boris propaganda will go into overdrive, the British people have been wronged by parliament, parliament are scuppering the democratic will of the people etc etc .... only one way to sort it, a GE, and Boris has the high moral ground as being the champion of Bexit.  It's a highly risky strategy, but I think that's his only plan at present.

That's his plan, absolutely. Labour should be in a strong position, but under their useless leader they are unable to capitalise. The actual result of the election would be tricky though, it would depend on the range of Lib Dem and Brexit Party  candidates and whether people will vote tactically in given constituencies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 28, 2019, 01:18:24 PM
Quote from: Godsown on July 27, 2019, 08:49:05 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 27, 2019, 07:17:12 PM

Sammy Wilson MP
@eastantrimmp


Sammy has went full gammon.

I think you will be hearing from the Leader of the House of Commons with regard to your grammar Sir! Innit?

The gammon is of course measured in pounds, not kilos. So it's all good.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on July 29, 2019, 01:56:49 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.

That's how they stay relevant.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on July 29, 2019, 02:17:29 PM
Why only blame SF on the lack of devolved government? There was a deal on the table and the Orange Order / DUP turned it down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 29, 2019, 02:37:52 PM

BBC News - Brexit: What would no deal mean for Ireland?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-49130447
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:40:25 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.
Simple Question, do you think SF should give in everytime DUP pull the plug on something they don't like just to keep Stormont running?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:06:55 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:40:25 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.
Simple Question, do you think SF should give in everytime DUP pull the plug on something they don't like just to keep Stormont running?

Is Stormont perfect? Absolutely not. Is a half working Stormont better that what we currently have? Absolutely yes.
SF are not interested in working to improve the lives of everyday people. There only interest is in filling their own pockets. People need to see them for what they are.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:12:36 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.

I was thinking the same, the intransigence with the hard core Shinner supporters is staggering, talk about closing your eyes to the issues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:15:06 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:06:55 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:40:25 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.
Simple Question, do you think SF should give in everytime DUP pull the plug on something they don't like just to keep Stormont running?

Is Stormont perfect? Absolutely not. Is a half working Stormont better that what we currently have? Absolutely yes.
SF are not interested in working to improve the lives of everyday people. There only interest is in filling their own pockets. People need to see them for what they are.

I don't agree. A Stormont being dedicated to by the DUP with no true belief or want to share power with nationalists is not something I would want to be a part of. Absolutely not. We've been there and I would be loath to return.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:16:13 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.

;D Their mask slips every now and again. Nowhere else in the world would you go into government with someone with opposing views without some form of compromise. I don't see any.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:17:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What are they conceding, there is going to be LGBT rights, and an Irish Language is not going to happen under no Stormont and definitely not with direct rule.  Do you think folk lying on trolleys in hospitals, operations cancelled, school budgets evaporating, social care up the left is a good price to pay for the people in the North for Sinn Feins red lines, why not go and fight for their causes in the institutions which can deliver them FFS.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:18:34 PM
Are the budgets not being set by civil servants though? Has that not happened?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:20:57 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:15:06 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:06:55 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:40:25 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.
Simple Question, do you think SF should give in everytime DUP pull the plug on something they don't like just to keep Stormont running?

Is Stormont perfect? Absolutely not. Is a half working Stormont better that what we currently have? Absolutely yes.
SF are not interested in working to improve the lives of everyday people. There only interest is in filling their own pockets. People need to see them for what they are.

I don't agree. A Stormont being dedicated to by the DUP with no true belief or want to share power with nationalists is not something I would want to be a part of. Absolutely not. We've been there and I would be loath to return.

What about the vulnerable citizens who are suffering as a direct result of no administration - do they not matter at all?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:22:44 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:18:34 PM
Are the budgets not being set by civil servants though? Has that not happened?

There is a lot can't happen without ministerial sign off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:24:22 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:18:34 PM
Are the budgets not being set by civil servants though? Has that not happened?

They only have limited power around budgets. Hence the cuts to services. And anyway budgets are only one issue. There's decisions that need taken around reform of the Health Service, Education and Infrastructure projects. And literally without sitting down and going through everything.

But yeah, lets stuff it right these DUP pricks. Sinn Fein's position is set everything on fire, then blame us. 70% of the people didn't vote for this. They have no Mandate for what they're doing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 29, 2019, 03:24:39 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What exactly are they conceding?? The reason why the Executive collapsed is because Arlene wouldn't stand down over the RHI Enquiry. That's due to be released shortly so there shouldn't be an issue there anymore!!

On the other issues it's the DUP who would have to concede. . . it's the Shinners who want a ridiculous Irish Language act (I love the language but having an act is a waste of money), and want gay marriage which is fine but is going to happen anyway.

They should scrap the language act and make sure there's another election before the executive sits. They only had one more seat than the Shinners last time so there's a fair chance they could get the majority this time!!

The people have suffered enough education/health/construction are on their knees at the minute and that's before a Hard Brexit they need the Executive back ASAP!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:26:48 PM
SF Voters

(https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/90c0e87dbd958896762e8075451edff0f31df225/1041_181_1601_961/master/1601.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=10c6c01635e61ae8ae452c46b09a225e)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:32:44 PM
And you know what, SF actually have some people who could add real value. Just look at Pearse Doherty's takedown of the Insurance industry. They've some stooges, but they do actually have some good talent as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:34:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:17:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What are they conceding, there is going to be LGBT rights, and an Irish Language is not going to happen under no Stormont and definitely not with direct rule.  Do you think folk lying on trolleys in hospitals, operations cancelled, school budgets evaporating, social care up the left is a good price to pay for the people in the North for Sinn Feins red lines, why not go and fight for their causes in the institutions which can deliver them FFS.

Would this have happened if Stormont was still active? The reality is no. A perfect example of why Stormont is broken. You believe that because the DUP have reneged on something they have previously agreed, that SF should look to reengaged and negotiate downwards just to keep "Power" in NI. That's not something I agree with.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 03:36:45 PM
There are certain rights which northern citizens are being denied. Its very easy to isolate a demand (ILA) and hold it up against health for e.g. to make a spurious point which is easily adopted, but it isn't a representation of reality.

The reality is that there has long been a feeling (substantially borne by the evidence) that the DUP has no interest in sharing power with nationalists - 'hold their nose to do so' etc. It always had to come to a head - they must accept that we are equal to them, and deserve to be treated as such. This isn't about new demands, but about the implementation of that which was promised. It saddens me that so many fall for the DUP tactic of reducing this to an ILA - by any measure they're clearly at fault here, and there is no clearer evidence for that than the fact that a deal was agreed which they reneged on. On that point alone, if you've negotiated and agreed a deal which is then kiboshed by shadowy figures in the background  where do you go? You're negotiating with the wrong people, but the people with the real power it seems won't negotiate with you. How that's SF's fault is beyond me.

It seems to me that Arlene et al get grace the SF don't - had M'ON presided over RHI most nationalists would be calling for her head. Do we just accept that the DUP will never be held to the same standards and thats ok? Why is that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.

Out of interest, at what point do you think we should be entitled to be seen and treated as equal? 10 years time? 50? Never?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 03:40:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:26:48 PM
SF Voters

(https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/90c0e87dbd958896762e8075451edff0f31df225/1041_181_1601_961/master/1601.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=10c6c01635e61ae8ae452c46b09a225e)

The language of peace and reconciliation  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:42:33 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.

Out of interest, at what point do you think we should be entitled to be seen and treated as equal? 10 years time? 50? Never?

We are being treated as equals. Last time I checked everyone was being denied a functioning health service and as far as I am aware everyone's children are facing cuts to their schooling.
If you have an inferiority complex that's an issue you should address personally.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:44:15 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:34:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:17:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What are they conceding, there is going to be LGBT rights, and an Irish Language is not going to happen under no Stormont and definitely not with direct rule.  Do you think folk lying on trolleys in hospitals, operations cancelled, school budgets evaporating, social care up the left is a good price to pay for the people in the North for Sinn Feins red lines, why not go and fight for their causes in the institutions which can deliver them FFS.

Would this have happened if Stormont was still active? The reality is no. A perfect example of why Stormont is broken. You believe that because the DUP have reneged on something they have previously agreed, that SF should look to reengaged and negotiate downwards just to keep "Power" in NI. That's not something I agree with.

So just let the vulnerable citizens suffer on then? LGBT would always have been passed, again back to the vulnerable citizens suffering because of no working administration, that's OK is it, for the greater cause?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 29, 2019, 03:46:30 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.

Out of interest, at what point do you think we should be entitled to be seen and treated as equal? 10 years time? 50? Never?

I've been living here for 33 odd years and could count on one hand the number of times I've not been treated equal with regard to me being a Catholic and none of those times has been in the last 10 years!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 29, 2019, 03:50:36 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:44:15 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:34:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:17:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What are they conceding, there is going to be LGBT rights, and an Irish Language is not going to happen under no Stormont and definitely not with direct rule.  Do you think folk lying on trolleys in hospitals, operations cancelled, school budgets evaporating, social care up the left is a good price to pay for the people in the North for Sinn Feins red lines, why not go and fight for their causes in the institutions which can deliver them FFS.

Would this have happened if Stormont was still active? The reality is no. A perfect example of why Stormont is broken. You believe that because the DUP have reneged on something they have previously agreed, that SF should look to reengaged and negotiate downwards just to keep "Power" in NI. That's not something I agree with.

So just let the vulnerable citizens suffer on then? LGBT would always have been passed, again back to the vulnerable citizens suffering because of no working administration, that's OK is it, for the greater cause?

If only there was a working administration then the 6 counties would have brilliant public services like the rest of the UK. ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 29, 2019, 03:55:10 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

Is there a pot of gold released once the NI Assembly is up and running?

Austerity causes all these issues and will continue to do so unless funds are made available.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:58:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:44:15 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:34:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:17:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What are they conceding, there is going to be LGBT rights, and an Irish Language is not going to happen under no Stormont and definitely not with direct rule.  Do you think folk lying on trolleys in hospitals, operations cancelled, school budgets evaporating, social care up the left is a good price to pay for the people in the North for Sinn Feins red lines, why not go and fight for their causes in the institutions which can deliver them FFS.

Would this have happened if Stormont was still active? The reality is no. A perfect example of why Stormont is broken. You believe that because the DUP have reneged on something they have previously agreed, that SF should look to reengaged and negotiate downwards just to keep "Power" in NI. That's not something I agree with.

So just let the vulnerable citizens suffer on then? LGBT would always have been passed, again back to the vulnerable citizens suffering because of no working administration, that's OK is it, for the greater cause?
Well it hadnt been yet due to the DUP. So to take your same tactics, you were happy for the LGBT community to be discriminated against In NI to achieve local government?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 04:19:54 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:58:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:44:15 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:34:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:17:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What are they conceding, there is going to be LGBT rights, and an Irish Language is not going to happen under no Stormont and definitely not with direct rule.  Do you think folk lying on trolleys in hospitals, operations cancelled, school budgets evaporating, social care up the left is a good price to pay for the people in the North for Sinn Feins red lines, why not go and fight for their causes in the institutions which can deliver them FFS.

Would this have happened if Stormont was still active? The reality is no. A perfect example of why Stormont is broken. You believe that because the DUP have reneged on something they have previously agreed, that SF should look to reengaged and negotiate downwards just to keep "Power" in NI. That's not something I agree with.

So just let the vulnerable citizens suffer on then? LGBT would always have been passed, again back to the vulnerable citizens suffering because of no working administration, that's OK is it, for the greater cause?
Well it hadnt been yet due to the DUP. So to take your same tactics, you were happy for the LGBT community to be discriminated against In NI to achieve local government?

It's like pulling teeth, no one should be discriminated against but its 2019 we live in a western civilisation LGBT rights were always going to be achieved - and back to my question - So just let the vulnerable citizens suffer on then? LGBT would always have been passed, again back to the vulnerable citizens suffering because of no working administration, that's OK is it, for the greater cause?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 04:22:30 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 29, 2019, 03:50:36 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:44:15 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:34:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:17:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What are they conceding, there is going to be LGBT rights, and an Irish Language is not going to happen under no Stormont and definitely not with direct rule.  Do you think folk lying on trolleys in hospitals, operations cancelled, school budgets evaporating, social care up the left is a good price to pay for the people in the North for Sinn Feins red lines, why not go and fight for their causes in the institutions which can deliver them FFS.

Would this have happened if Stormont was still active? The reality is no. A perfect example of why Stormont is broken. You believe that because the DUP have reneged on something they have previously agreed, that SF should look to reengaged and negotiate downwards just to keep "Power" in NI. That's not something I agree with.

So just let the vulnerable citizens suffer on then? LGBT would always have been passed, again back to the vulnerable citizens suffering because of no working administration, that's OK is it, for the greater cause?

If only there was a working administration then the 6 counties would have brilliant public services like the rest of the UK. ::)

I missed the question when signing up for this, are you a Sinn Fein apologist - having no administration isn't helping and you know it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 04:59:43 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 29, 2019, 03:46:30 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.

Out of interest, at what point do you think we should be entitled to be seen and treated as equal? 10 years time? 50? Never?

I've been living here for 33 odd years and could count on one hand the number of times I've not been treated equal with regard to me being a Catholic and none of those times has been in the last 10 years!!

I'm happy for you but its not my experience being an Irish citizen in the North of Ireland. Not all discrimination is overt or personal. I think its discriminatory having the flag I identify with burned on top of bonfires along with other symbols of my identity for example, with police complicit and the fire brigade hosing down houses rather than the fires. I also think much of the media in the north is biased toward those who identify as British. There are numerous examples of this, but I don't think i need to point them out, I'd be surprised if you hadn't noticed for yourself. Is any of this enough on its own to keep me awake at night? No. Am I treated equally as an irish citizen in the north? No. Should I accept it because its not as bad as it used to be? No.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 29, 2019, 05:28:58 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 04:59:43 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 29, 2019, 03:46:30 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.

Out of interest, at what point do you think we should be entitled to be seen and treated as equal? 10 years time? 50? Never?

I've been living here for 33 odd years and could count on one hand the number of times I've not been treated equal with regard to me being a Catholic and none of those times has been in the last 10 years!!

I'm happy for you but its not my experience being an Irish citizen in the North of Ireland. Not all discrimination is overt or personal. I think its discriminatory having the flag I identify with burned on top of bonfires along with other symbols of my identity for example, with police complicit and the fire brigade hosing down houses rather than the fires. I also think much of the media in the north is biased toward those who identify as British. There are numerous examples of this, but I don't think i need to point them out, I'd be surprised if you hadn't noticed for yourself. Is any of this enough on its own to keep me awake at night? No. Am I treated equally as an irish citizen in the north? No. Should I accept it because its not as bad as it used to be? No.

Burning the tri-colour on top of a bonfire is discriminating against you how exactly?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on July 29, 2019, 05:39:19 PM
Harangurer already said that not all discrimination is overt or personal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 05:40:22 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 05:28:58 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 04:59:43 PM
Quote from: screenexile on July 29, 2019, 03:46:30 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 29, 2019, 03:38:41 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:07:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 03:03:11 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 02:35:34 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 29, 2019, 02:27:04 PM
I don't like SF particularly much but you can't fault them for the government thing. There is no compromise in the DUP - they never compromise on anything and never have. Also there is no accountability for anything or Foster would be long gone. At lest with the McElduff and MCKay things there was some form of accountability. If it was the DUP they'd still be sitting there.

Then you read all this crap about eroding Loyalist culture etc. The DUP wouldn't have any form of Irish culture about the place. They need to be called on this and finally have been.

Yes and given this, it's important that key services are cut as a result and that the most vulnerable of society pay the price. Maith thú Sinn Fein.

Yeah sure let's just keep rolling over to these pricks.

The language of peace and reconciliation.

Out of interest, at what point do you think we should be entitled to be seen and treated as equal? 10 years time? 50? Never?

I've been living here for 33 odd years and could count on one hand the number of times I've not been treated equal with regard to me being a Catholic and none of those times has been in the last 10 years!!

I'm happy for you but its not my experience being an Irish citizen in the North of Ireland. Not all discrimination is overt or personal. I think its discriminatory having the flag I identify with burned on top of bonfires along with other symbols of my identity for example, with police complicit and the fire brigade hosing down houses rather than the fires. I also think much of the media in the north is biased toward those who identify as British. There are numerous examples of this, but I don't think i need to point them out, I'd be surprised if you hadn't noticed for yourself. Is any of this enough on its own to keep me awake at night? No. Am I treated equally as an irish citizen in the north? No. Should I accept it because its not as bad as it used to be? No.

Burning the tri-colour on top of a bonfire is discriminating against you how exactly?

Read that back to yourself and have a rethink about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Oraisteach on July 29, 2019, 05:50:16 PM
Trailer, are you trying to perform semantic gymnastics? OK, burning the flag may not be discrimination per se, but it is indicative of hatred, bigotry, intolerance, inequity or any other like-minded synonym that is the bedrock on which discrimination is built.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 06:53:45 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 04:19:54 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:58:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:44:15 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:34:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 03:17:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 03:10:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 02:52:01 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on July 29, 2019, 02:31:24 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:50:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 01:27:28 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 29, 2019, 01:06:48 PM
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-no-deal-northern-ireland-direct-rule-dominic-raab-boris-johnson-a9024801.html)

Back to the good old days of direct rule, the Shinners are playing a blinder.

If only the right honourable member for West Tyrone spoke in the commons. Then Boris would see the light and become completely reasonable.  :P

Or maybe if they took their seats in Stormont, but no Shinners want as much chaos as possible with as many economic causalities as possible (none of which will be themselves) so that they can pursue a United Ireland.
There's a real habit of simplifying the issue here to have a go at SF. Stormont was a joke, and while I'm conflicted with regards to whether they should re-look at taking their seats in Westminister, I definitely would not want them backing down again to the DUP and giving in regarding Stormont.

And in the meantime, operations are cancelled, breast clinic at Craigavon is up for closure, kids are being sent home to beg parents for money for books, roads are a joke etc etc.  SF will do nothing from the outside they need to reengage and stand up for the rights of those who voted for them.  DUP haven't the numbers for a petition of concern anymore SF need to help their communities.

I've no issue with them reengaging, and I'd like to see that happening. But if it's to reengage so that they have to concede more and more just to keep the DUP happy then no. And trust me the DUP at the minute believe they are invincible with the Tories backing. They'll be driving that home now more than ever.

What are they conceding, there is going to be LGBT rights, and an Irish Language is not going to happen under no Stormont and definitely not with direct rule.  Do you think folk lying on trolleys in hospitals, operations cancelled, school budgets evaporating, social care up the left is a good price to pay for the people in the North for Sinn Feins red lines, why not go and fight for their causes in the institutions which can deliver them FFS.

Would this have happened if Stormont was still active? The reality is no. A perfect example of why Stormont is broken. You believe that because the DUP have reneged on something they have previously agreed, that SF should look to reengaged and negotiate downwards just to keep "Power" in NI. That's not something I agree with.

So just let the vulnerable citizens suffer on then? LGBT would always have been passed, again back to the vulnerable citizens suffering because of no working administration, that's OK is it, for the greater cause?
Well it hadnt been yet due to the DUP. So to take your same tactics, you were happy for the LGBT community to be discriminated against In NI to achieve local government?

It's like pulling teeth, no one should be discriminated against but its 2019 we live in a western civilisation LGBT rights were always going to be achieved - and back to my question - So just let the vulnerable citizens suffer on then? LGBT would always have been passed, again back to the vulnerable citizens suffering because of no working administration, that's OK is it, for the greater cause?
It is like pulling teeth, cause I mentioned before the LGBT rights were shelved during DUP rule. Now that decision is out of their hands and has been passed as should have been done ages ago. Hopefully now they will look at ways to help the other vulnerable citizens as well in the absence of Stormont.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 07:15:03 PM
This pretence that Stormont is the answer to all of society's problems in the North is bizarre. It is a glorified council. It's almost like yous are desperate, desperate beyond measure to throw the boot into the Shinners, even at the expense of those the SDLP/Alliance would also claim to defend the interests of.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on July 29, 2019, 07:25:28 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 29, 2019, 03:24:22 PM
They only have limited power around budgets. Hence the cuts to services. And anyway budgets are only one issue. There's decisions that need taken around reform of the Health Service, Education and Infrastructure projects. And literally without sitting down and going through everything.

There is far more money in the North's budget per head than anywhere else in the UK.  (the rest of this post isn't going at you, its a rant at the general problem)


If I were in charge for a week, I'd start by walking through every big Civil Service office and hand every other civil servant in the building a metaphorical shovel and make them actually produce end-services rather than continual piles of back office paperwork.

Yep, there would be retraining as nurses, as road workers, as teaching assistants etc etc. If those involved didn't like it - P45 time - why the f**k should I pay taxes to be burnt on paying someone to sit about (if they aren't off "sick" or on "stress") doing f**k all of use? The end result would be worth it.

Sure how much money in the education system is burned by the back organisation rather than in actual schools? ~30%! THIRTY f**king PERCENT.[1]
30% spent on tenuous-value added bullshit.


While the duplication of education boards exacerbates the above, I would have little reason to believe it is radically different throughout much of the Civil Service, although no doubt some areas are much more efficient.


[1]https://scopeni.nicva.org/article/education-needs-to-be-smarter
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 29, 2019, 08:45:27 PM
https://www.newsletter.co.uk/news/opinion/alex-kane-we-are-heading-towards-a-very-dark-and-dangerous-place-1-9013989
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 29, 2019, 09:34:46 PM
https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/preparing-brexit-no-deal-final.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 29, 2019, 11:14:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 29, 2019, 09:34:46 PM
https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/preparing-brexit-no-deal-final.pdf

Very informative, thanks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:00:13 AM
A no deal Brexit scares the shit out of me but on the other hand I will be extremely disappointed if the EU capitulate to this rag tag Government and reopen negotiations on a trade deal. It's a feckin head wrecker!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: moysider on July 30, 2019, 12:32:20 AM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:00:13 AM
A no deal Brexit scares the shit out of me but on the other hand I will be extremely disappointed if the EU capitulate to this rag tag Government and reopen negotiations on a trade deal. It's a feckin head wrecker!

Won't happen. Boris sits tough though and gets a good majority in general election. If he campaigns on a hard Brexit he will mop up and take the Farage Falange out of it.  Doesn't need DUP anymore. He will have a mandate for 4 years, put the backstop in Irish Sea, and carry on. In 4 years time, things will have changed and focus will be elsewhere and he will probably get a second term as PM. In fact he could be Churchillian before he finishes. Corbyn's Labour are not even in the ballpark.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:46:18 AM
Quote from: moysider on July 30, 2019, 12:32:20 AM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:00:13 AM
A no deal Brexit scares the shit out of me but on the other hand I will be extremely disappointed if the EU capitulate to this rag tag Government and reopen negotiations on a trade deal. It's a feckin head wrecker!

Won't happen. Boris sits tough though and gets a good majority in general election. If he campaigns on a hard Brexit he will mop up and take the Farage Falange out of it.  Doesn't need DUP anymore. He will have a mandate for 4 years, put the backstop in Irish Sea, and carry on. In 4 years time, things will have changed and focus will be elsewhere and he will probably get a second term as PM. In fact he could be Churchillian before he finishes. Corbyn's Labour are not even in the ballpark.

Are you suggesting there will be a general election before October 31st? I think you could be right, Boris would be mad not to call one. It's early enough before he makes any major c**k ups and Labour are a complete mess. But the point of my post is that as things stand, I find myself willing the EU to stick to their guns on not renegotiating the deal and forcing Boris into a no deal scenario  but at the same time thinking no deal would be an utter disaster that i wish to avoid at all costs. Head wrecked!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 30, 2019, 10:18:35 AM
Labour have only themselves to blame - Corbyn is unelectable and he is going nowhere for the foreseeable future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 30, 2019, 10:29:17 AM
Campbell hits nail on head in his letter, full letter below.

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/alastair-campbell-s-letter-to-jeremy-corbyn-1-6188152 (https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/alastair-campbell-s-letter-to-jeremy-corbyn-1-6188152)

My partner Fiona Millar resigned from the party a year ago, citing three main reasons - the failure to tackle anti-semitism; failure to lead on Brexit; and a lack of genuine forward-looking radicalism in policy development. I kept hoping against hope things might change. In all three areas, insufficient progress has been made to persuade me you understand what is required or, even if you did, that you have any intention of making the decisions needed to deliver it.

Meanwhile, I fear the country may already have decided that it does not intend to make you prime minister. The importance of being clear and honest about that has been underlined to me talking to senior politicians in Australia, where the Labor Party has recently lost an election it was almost universally expected to win against a failing, right-wing government. The data was there for all to see - Bill Shorten was not popular enough to win, the country had made up its mind. But the party failed to confront that truth, perhaps because Labor were polling well ahead of the government. Labour in the UK has no such excuse for denial. Both party standing and yours are nowhere near where they need to be, nor anywhere near where Bill Shorten's and Labor's were.

I do not blame you for Brexit, and the mess the UK is in. David Cameron and Theresa May, Boris Johnson and Michael Gove, Nigel Farage, and the UK media, they are all ahead of you in the queue on that one. Those who advocated Brexit are those most responsible for the almighty mess it is creating. But I do believe your half-hearted approach to the referendum campaign three years ago had a role in Leave winning. Your failure to provide consistent leadership on the issue since then has been a huge disappointment. Your failure to challenge the lies, crimes and misdemeanours of the Leave campaign; your pursuit of Labour versions of unicorns, such as a 'jobs first Brexit,'; your failure to master the detail sufficient to provide confidence to the public, or indeed to Europe, that you would be able to negotiate a better deal; your refusal, despite having become leader in large part by promising to listen to members, to do so on Brexit; your failure to mount the democratic case for the public having the right to say, given all we now know, whether they wish to proceed - these have all played into the hands of our opponents.

It is true that the party has shifted closer to a Final Say referendum with Remain on the ballot paper. It is also clear, however, that you have had to be dragged kicking and screaming to that position, and equally clear that you continue to try to face both ways on this. This is not leadership, but its abdication. Then to hear from people in your team that your spokesman believes Johnson getting a deal over the line will be 'good for us' defies belief as to what kind of thinking, if any, is going on. It is not as if we did not know Johnson was heading to Number 10. It is hard to ascertain that any strategy at all had been developed in advance to deal with his arrival. More mixed signals on Brexit, cries of austerity, calls for an election, orchestrated attacks on Jo Swinson and new ethnic minority members of the cabinet, none of this constitutes a plan. Indeed the personal attacks are almost certainly counter-productive; while the focus on an election, rather than the referendum that should be taking place to resolve Brexit, might go down in the 'careful what you wish for' category.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 30, 2019, 10:43:41 AM
Its very hard to know what Boris' plan is. I'm hoping that hes thinking; commit to delivering brexit with NI only backstop, then call general election, so withdrawal of DUP support won't be a factor, and should keep brexiteers happy going into election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 30, 2019, 10:52:30 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 30, 2019, 10:43:41 AM
Its very hard to know what Boris' plan is. I'm hoping that hes thinking; commit to delivering brexit with NI only backstop, then call general election, so withdrawal of DUP support won't be a factor, and should keep brexiteers happy going into election.

Probably best one can hope for, during the May fiasco I was of the opinion Brexit may be stopped, this has changed big time - Corbyn needs to take a lot of responsibility for this -  and Brexit WILL happen, just down to what type of brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 30, 2019, 11:00:29 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 30, 2019, 10:43:41 AM
Its very hard to know what Boris' plan is. I'm hoping that hes thinking; commit to delivering brexit with NI only backstop, then call general election, so withdrawal of DUP support won't be a factor, and should keep brexiteers happy going into election.

This option could be very good for the north of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 30, 2019, 11:05:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on July 30, 2019, 10:43:41 AM
Its very hard to know what Boris' plan is. I'm hoping that hes thinking; commit to delivering brexit with NI only backstop, then call general election, so withdrawal of DUP support won't be a factor, and should keep brexiteers happy going into election.

All his stuff regarding to north of england was interesting. I thought that looked like he was looking for votes so would be hopeful on the above but basically Boris would screw anyone he could to get ahead so to me it is just a question of who he screws.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on July 30, 2019, 12:29:08 PM
What will the £ end up at this week?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 30, 2019, 12:31:41 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on July 30, 2019, 12:29:08 PM
What will the £ end up at this week?

I'm gonna say the floor is 1.05. . . maybe not this week but possibly early next week then it'll hang around that for a while.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on July 30, 2019, 12:36:59 PM
I'm thinking the same
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: whitey on July 30, 2019, 02:02:26 PM
Murphy's law.

Family friend is selling a house in UK this week and moving back to ROI. Proceeds are being wired in Sterling to bank in UK on August 5th. Proceeds not needed immediately as this person is renting for a year while they figure out where they will buy. Apart from sitting it out and waiting for Sterling to rebound, does anyone have any other suggestions or ideas?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 30, 2019, 02:03:34 PM
Quote from: whitey on July 30, 2019, 02:02:26 PM
Murphy's law.

Family friend is selling a house in UK this week and moving back to ROI. Proceeds are being wired in Sterling to bank in UK on August 5th. Proceeds not needed immediately as this person is renting for a year while they figure out where they will buy. Apart from sitting it out and waiting for Sterling to rebound, does anyone have any other suggestions or ideas?

Be a long sit - could be 1 to 1 or less if no-deal brexit happens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on July 30, 2019, 03:46:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 30, 2019, 02:03:34 PM
Quote from: whitey on July 30, 2019, 02:02:26 PM
Murphy's law.

Family friend is selling a house in UK this week and moving back to ROI. Proceeds are being wired in Sterling to bank in UK on August 5th. Proceeds not needed immediately as this person is renting for a year while they figure out where they will buy. Apart from sitting it out and waiting for Sterling to rebound, does anyone have any other suggestions or ideas?

Be a long sit - could be 1 to 1 or less if no-deal brexit happens.

A lot can happen in a year. I think a deal will be done of some sort in that period and the £ will recover.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: whitey on July 30, 2019, 04:57:49 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 30, 2019, 03:46:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 30, 2019, 02:03:34 PM
Quote from: whitey on July 30, 2019, 02:02:26 PM
Murphy's law.

Family friend is selling a house in UK this week and moving back to ROI. Proceeds are being wired in Sterling to bank in UK on August 5th. Proceeds not needed immediately as this person is renting for a year while they figure out where they will buy. Apart from sitting it out and waiting for Sterling to rebound, does anyone have any other suggestions or ideas?

Be a long sit - could be 1 to 1 or less if no-deal brexit happens.

A lot can happen in a year. I think a deal will be done of some sort in that period and the £ will recover.

I told them that Sterling would probably get oversold, and that if it was me, I'd leave it wouldn't convert it at these prices
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 30, 2019, 05:37:38 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:46:18 AM
Quote from: moysider on July 30, 2019, 12:32:20 AM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:00:13 AM
A no deal Brexit scares the shit out of me but on the other hand I will be extremely disappointed if the EU capitulate to this rag tag Government and reopen negotiations on a trade deal. It's a feckin head wrecker!

Won't happen. Boris sits tough though and gets a good majority in general election. If he campaigns on a hard Brexit he will mop up and take the Farage Falange out of it.  Doesn't need DUP anymore. He will have a mandate for 4 years, put the backstop in Irish Sea, and carry on. In 4 years time, things will have changed and focus will be elsewhere and he will probably get a second term as PM. In fact he could be Churchillian before he finishes. Corbyn's Labour are not even in the ballpark.

Are you suggesting there will be a general election before October 31st? I think you could be right, Boris would be mad not to call one. It's early enough before he makes any major c**k ups and Labour are a complete mess. But the point of my post is that as things stand, I find myself willing the EU to stick to their guns on not renegotiating the deal and forcing Boris into a no deal scenario  but at the same time thinking no deal would be an utter disaster that i wish to avoid at all costs. Head wrecked!

Intial polls look like BoJo might not even need the pact with the Brexit party

While Labour and Lib Dems look to be neck and neck... In other words they could split their vote and hand the Tories a sizable majority.... on the flip side a pact could see them into power via a coalition. Prob unlikely tho Corbyn too much of a fundamentalist.




Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on July 30, 2019, 06:03:37 PM
Corbin a long way from rocking out at Glastonbury but maybe the young members he got then will stick with him :-\
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 30, 2019, 07:41:10 PM
Quote from: whitey on July 30, 2019, 04:57:49 PM
Quote from: GJL on July 30, 2019, 03:46:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 30, 2019, 02:03:34 PM
Quote from: whitey on July 30, 2019, 02:02:26 PM
Murphy's law.

Family friend is selling a house in UK this week and moving back to ROI. Proceeds are being wired in Sterling to bank in UK on August 5th. Proceeds not needed immediately as this person is renting for a year while they figure out where they will buy. Apart from sitting it out and waiting for Sterling to rebound, does anyone have any other suggestions or ideas?
There was a chart in the Daily Telegraph about market expectations

Continued negotiations $1.28
No deal $1.05-1.15
Deal 1.25-1.35
post election Tory gov 1.20
Post election Lab 1.20-1.30
Remain 1.40 
Be a long sit - could be 1 to 1 or less if no-deal brexit happens.

A lot can happen in a year. I think a deal will be done of some sort in that period and the £ will recover.

I told them that Sterling would probably get oversold, and that if it was me, I'd leave it wouldn't convert it at these prices
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 08:01:23 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 30, 2019, 05:37:38 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:46:18 AM
Quote from: moysider on July 30, 2019, 12:32:20 AM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:00:13 AM
A no deal Brexit scares the shit out of me but on the other hand I will be extremely disappointed if the EU capitulate to this rag tag Government and reopen negotiations on a trade deal. It's a feckin head wrecker!

Won't happen. Boris sits tough though and gets a good majority in general election. If he campaigns on a hard Brexit he will mop up and take the Farage Falange out of it.  Doesn't need DUP anymore. He will have a mandate for 4 years, put the backstop in Irish Sea, and carry on. In 4 years time, things will have changed and focus will be elsewhere and he will probably get a second term as PM. In fact he could be Churchillian before he finishes. Corbyn's Labour are not even in the ballpark.

Are you suggesting there will be a general election before October 31st? I think you could be right, Boris would be mad not to call one. It's early enough before he makes any major c**k ups and Labour are a complete mess. But the point of my post is that as things stand, I find myself willing the EU to stick to their guns on not renegotiating the deal and forcing Boris into a no deal scenario  but at the same time thinking no deal would be an utter disaster that i wish to avoid at all costs. Head wrecked!

Intial polls look like BoJo might not even need the pact with the Brexit party

While Labour and Lib Dems look to be neck and neck... In other words they could split their vote and hand the Tories a sizable majority.... on the flip side a pact could see them into power via a coalition. Prob unlikely tho Corbyn too much of a fundamentalist.

A £100m propaganda campaign paid for out of the public finances rather than party funds  just before a General Election is also a very cynical way of getting the upper hand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on July 30, 2019, 08:13:59 PM
Could there be a snap election on the cards soon then? If Boris is gonna call it he has to do it sooner rather than later before he gets bogged down in any nitty gritty reality-based stuff.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 30, 2019, 08:50:48 PM
Given that Parliament has already voted against accepting a no deal exit surely his only option is an election. However if he doesn't negotiate and the only option is no deal what can Parliament do then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 30, 2019, 09:14:38 PM
He is talking about putting it through with or without parliamentary approval. John major has said he will bring him to court on it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 30, 2019, 09:31:39 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 30, 2019, 08:13:59 PM
Could there be a snap election on the cards soon then? If Boris is gonna call it he has to do it sooner rather than later before he gets bogged down in any nitty gritty reality-based stuff.

He can't even call an election without the agreement of parliament. Mind you, Corbyn would probably welcome an election despite the fact that he has ruined his party.

Quote from: imtommygunn on July 30, 2019, 09:14:38 PM
He is talking about putting it through with or without parliamentary approval. John major has said he will bring him to court on it.

Unless parliament does something else positive e.g. vote for withdrawal agreement, then the UK just leaves the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on July 30, 2019, 10:52:02 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 08:01:23 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 30, 2019, 05:37:38 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:46:18 AM
Quote from: moysider on July 30, 2019, 12:32:20 AM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:00:13 AM
A no deal Brexit scares the shit out of me but on the other hand I will be extremely disappointed if the EU capitulate to this rag tag Government and reopen negotiations on a trade deal. It's a feckin head wrecker!

Won't happen. Boris sits tough though and gets a good majority in general election. If he campaigns on a hard Brexit he will mop up and take the Farage Falange out of it.  Doesn't need DUP anymore. He will have a mandate for 4 years, put the backstop in Irish Sea, and carry on. In 4 years time, things will have changed and focus will be elsewhere and he will probably get a second term as PM. In fact he could be Churchillian before he finishes. Corbyn's Labour are not even in the ballpark.

Are you suggesting there will be a general election before October 31st? I think you could be right, Boris would be mad not to call one. It's early enough before he makes any major c**k ups and Labour are a complete mess. But the point of my post is that as things stand, I find myself willing the EU to stick to their guns on not renegotiating the deal and forcing Boris into a no deal scenario  but at the same time thinking no deal would be an utter disaster that i wish to avoid at all costs. Head wrecked!

Intial polls look like BoJo might not even need the pact with the Brexit party

While Labour and Lib Dems look to be neck and neck... In other words they could split their vote and hand the Tories a sizable majority.... on the flip side a pact could see them into power via a coalition. Prob unlikely tho Corbyn too much of a fundamentalist.

A £100m propaganda campaign paid for out of the public finances rather than party funds  just before a General Election is also a very cynical way of getting the upper hand.

You'll have to enlighten us on that...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on July 30, 2019, 11:05:10 PM
An Election is his only way to get rid of the DUP, which is necessary to reach an agreement with the EU, I.e. an Irish Sea border agreement enabling all concerned to move on and talk trade.  He'll also need to buy off Farage somehow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 11:43:08 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 30, 2019, 10:52:02 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 08:01:23 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on July 30, 2019, 05:37:38 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:46:18 AM
Quote from: moysider on July 30, 2019, 12:32:20 AM
Quote from: BennyHarp on July 30, 2019, 12:00:13 AM
A no deal Brexit scares the shit out of me but on the other hand I will be extremely disappointed if the EU capitulate to this rag tag Government and reopen negotiations on a trade deal. It's a feckin head wrecker!

Won't happen. Boris sits tough though and gets a good majority in general election. If he campaigns on a hard Brexit he will mop up and take the Farage Falange out of it.  Doesn't need DUP anymore. He will have a mandate for 4 years, put the backstop in Irish Sea, and carry on. In 4 years time, things will have changed and focus will be elsewhere and he will probably get a second term as PM. In fact he could be Churchillian before he finishes. Corbyn's Labour are not even in the ballpark.

Are you suggesting there will be a general election before October 31st? I think you could be right, Boris would be mad not to call one. It's early enough before he makes any major c**k ups and Labour are a complete mess. But the point of my post is that as things stand, I find myself willing the EU to stick to their guns on not renegotiating the deal and forcing Boris into a no deal scenario  but at the same time thinking no deal would be an utter disaster that i wish to avoid at all costs. Head wrecked!

Intial polls look like BoJo might not even need the pact with the Brexit party

While Labour and Lib Dems look to be neck and neck... In other words they could split their vote and hand the Tories a sizable majority.... on the flip side a pact could see them into power via a coalition. Prob unlikely tho Corbyn too much of a fundamentalist.

A £100m propaganda campaign paid for out of the public finances rather than party funds  just before a General Election is also a very cynical way of getting the upper hand.

You'll have to enlighten us on that...

If we assume Boris is electioneering, his £100m Brexit propaganda campaign that is in the planning, will be nothing more than a party political broadcast funded by the tax payer for Boris to secure the leave vote and win over a few of those on the fence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on July 31, 2019, 07:57:01 AM
Labour have no chance under Corbyn and have no chance of replacing him. In an election they will still promise to deliver their Brexit with the promise of a final vote, this will appeal to no-one, remainers or leavers - Labour members should take full responsibility for keeping this man in power and the economic mess that will follow with Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on July 31, 2019, 10:00:14 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on July 30, 2019, 08:13:59 PM
Could there be a snap election on the cards soon then? If Boris is gonna call it he has to do it sooner rather than later before he gets bogged down in any nitty gritty reality-based stuff.

This would also make sense - his hard talk now designed to keep the brexiteers onside, get re-elected and he can be much softer (which he'll have to be)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on July 31, 2019, 11:07:54 PM
Julian Smith - IYO what 'appears likely' re: the border in Ireland?  Your call.  (Hope this is still relevant re: this topic on this discussion board)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 01, 2019, 10:48:03 AM
Sure we were all told of a no-deal in the referendum!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49165836 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49165836)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 01, 2019, 11:04:14 AM
I wonder did he say that with a straight face.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 01, 2019, 11:17:57 AM
He really is the most deplorable man, not sure what it is but of all them I would love to dearly slap his big head.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 01, 2019, 11:47:32 AM
That is saying something these days with Boris in charge and Farage basically being an ever present.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on August 01, 2019, 12:06:29 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 31, 2019, 07:57:01 AM
Labour have no chance under Corbyn and have no chance of replacing him. In an election they will still promise to deliver their Brexit with the promise of a final vote, this will appeal to no-one, remainers or leavers - Labour members should take full responsibility for keeping this man in power and the economic mess that will follow with Brexit.

Nobody knows the future but I count it unlikely that Britain will suffer much of an economic mess following Brexit. Even the 2008 crash barely affected them at all compared to Ireland as their economy seems far more resilient than ours and most others.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on August 01, 2019, 12:34:09 PM
I see the new secretary of state Julian Smith has tweeted about being proud to have a photo of the queen in his office. Good to see that he is taking on the main issues straight away.     
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on August 01, 2019, 12:42:07 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 01, 2019, 12:34:09 PM
I see the new secretary of state Julian Smith has tweeted about being proud to have a photo of the queen in his office. Good to see that he is taking on the main issues straight away.     

And taking sides.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 01, 2019, 01:01:58 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-49189376

Brexit means Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 01, 2019, 01:38:25 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 01, 2019, 01:01:58 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-49189376

Brexit means Brexit.

Be grand!

Quote from: five points on August 01, 2019, 12:06:29 PM
Quote from: t_mac on July 31, 2019, 07:57:01 AM
Labour have no chance under Corbyn and have no chance of replacing him. In an election they will still promise to deliver their Brexit with the promise of a final vote, this will appeal to no-one, remainers or leavers - Labour members should take full responsibility for keeping this man in power and the economic mess that will follow with Brexit.

Nobody knows the future but I count it unlikely that Britain will suffer much of an economic mess following Brexit. Even the 2008 crash barely affected them at all compared to Ireland as their economy seems far more resilient than ours and most others.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on August 01, 2019, 01:39:37 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 01, 2019, 12:42:07 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 01, 2019, 12:34:09 PM
I see the new secretary of state Julian Smith has tweeted about being proud to have a photo of the queen in his office. Good to see that he is taking on the main issues straight away.     

And taking sides.

Trying a bit too hard to impress Arlene, Nigel & Sammy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 01, 2019, 01:56:37 PM
That should harden SF's resolve to have nothing to do with resurrecting Stormont.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 01, 2019, 03:10:16 PM
I don't think No Deal is going to happen. The UK is living beyond its means and has a current account deficit of 5.6% of GDP.
In 2007 5 countries were running current account deficits. Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain. They all suffered brutal recessions when the funding was stopped.

If the UK leaves and has no deals in place and there is a crash it will be destroyed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 02, 2019, 09:35:51 AM
A working majority of one. SF still keeping BoJo in power though...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 02, 2019, 09:40:50 AM
Big blow for Boris losing the by-election seat to the Lib Dems last night in a constituency that voted leave. . . great stuff!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on August 02, 2019, 10:37:30 AM
Quote from: screenexile on August 02, 2019, 09:40:50 AM
Big blow for Boris losing the by-election seat to the Lib Dems last night in a constituency that voted leave. . . great stuff!!!

Does this mean their majority hangs on Ian Paisley's seat. Is it any wonder all is quiet on that front?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 10:46:45 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on August 02, 2019, 10:37:30 AM
Quote from: screenexile on August 02, 2019, 09:40:50 AM
Big blow for Boris losing the by-election seat to the Lib Dems last night in a constituency that voted leave. . . great stuff!!!

Does this mean their majority hangs on Ian Paisley's seat. Is it any wonder all is quiet on that front?

Or the Shinners absenteeism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 02, 2019, 11:00:42 AM
Time for one of the Shinner MPs to be suspended from the Party?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on August 02, 2019, 11:05:46 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 02, 2019, 09:35:51 AM
A working majority of one. SF still keeping BoJo in power though...

Add in all the ex-cabinet ministers he shafted and the likes of Letwin and Grieve who were already outside the tent, plus throw in the 2 ERG members who said they would only accept No Deal, and poor auld Boris hasn't a majority for anything. Even if he promised SF an immediate United Ireland if they came in and supported a No Deal, their votes still wouldn't get him anywhere near a working majority.

So, let's game this out - what are his options

1. Tweak the deal, keeping DUP onboard and put it to Parliament again. Newton Emerson had an interesting piece in the IT yesterday in which he claimed that substantial progress had been made before BoJo's ascension - DUP were looking to climb down (which I had said in my last posts on this thread) and had apparently already accepted port based agri-food checks (making NI a different agri-food zone to the rest of Britain, but as long as no one labelled it a "sea-border" they were going to be pragmatic about it). However, BoJo's inflammatory rhetoric, followed by Leo's musings on a United Ireland scuppered this, leading to a bitter response from the DUP.
Assuming all that to be true, I still think with even the DUP's support this doesn't go through parliament. The two Spartans from the ERG will no doubt be joined by more swivel eyed loons, whilst Lib Dems and SNP are pro-Remain, and Corbyn will never do a deal with Boris, especially with an election in the offing. Boris could get 20 or so Lab defectors desperate to get something, anything over the line, but not enough to make up for his losses.

2. Call an election. Timing is the problem here. Great article in the Independent here explain the difficulties in getting anything done before Oct 31st, so get it out of your heads that he is going to call one before the exit date. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/boris-johnson-general-election-snap-corbyn-brexit-vote-no-confidence-a9022336.html

3. If he can't call an election beforehand, if a tweaked deal isn't going to go through, and he knows it, then we need to take seriously the possibility that he will try to suspend parliament in an effort to run down the clock and exit with No Deal. This to me is both the most likely scenario (because there is nothing worse than an autocrat with zero respect for the democratic process, claiming he has a mandate in the form of a nebulous referendum result) and the one least likely to succeed (the one thing Parliament has consistently agreed on is that there should not be a No Deal exit, and that majority will find a way to make its voice heard). The optics around this could also bury the No Deal cause - if Boris, Jacob and Mark Francois are holed up in an empty Palace of Westminster behind police and possibly army lines, while the rest of the MPs are on the streets with demonstrators, you will have the fall of the government and the death of a No Deal scenario.

4. All of which leads to the last most unknowable scenario - what happens then? I think the only thing we could predict is that if such turmoil is taking place the EU would stand ready to offer another extension. But beyond that, I don't know how it will go.

I said before that a thought a No Deal was unlikely and that even if it happened, it would not be permanent. I still believe those statement to be broadly supportable - however, I do feel now that a large amount of civil unrest is not only possible, but likely, and that turbulence will have consequences we can't see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on August 02, 2019, 11:21:44 AM
A general election would be suicide for either of the 2 main parties.  Lead to a miss mash parliament where there would be a hung parliament, nobody would trust anybody else and nothing could get done. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 02, 2019, 11:57:11 AM
Quote from: Denn Forever on August 02, 2019, 11:21:44 AM
A general election would be suicide for either of the 2 main parties.  Lead to a miss mash parliament where there would be a hung parliament, nobody would trust anybody else and nothing could get done.

I can possibly imagine what that would be like  :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 01:56:46 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 02, 2019, 09:35:51 AM
A working majority of one. SF still keeping BoJo in power though...

Do you actually think they should go?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 02:02:25 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 01:56:46 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 02, 2019, 09:35:51 AM
A working majority of one. SF still keeping BoJo in power though...

Do you actually think they should go?

I think they should try and explore every avenue to stop a devastating economic disaster that is no deal, on the Island of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:40:59 PM
Their attendance wouldn't have any impact on the likelihood of a no deal brexit. It would be a serious shot in the arm for dissident republicanism however.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 02:45:34 PM
The legal position is UK leaves on 31st October with or without a deal, Bojo isn't going to ask for another extension - well currently, with a majority of one every vote counts as the only way to stop a no deal, barring an election, another referendum etc etc etc is via parliament and don't forget there is plenty of Labour MP's who would rather a no deal than a no brexit.  Shinners are as you rightly pointing out thinking of their partys future rather than the future of the citizens who voted for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:00:46 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.

No deal is the default position on 31st at this stage, and no deal could lead to civil unrest and be a breeding ground to dissents, you seem to be a bit angry when the truth is mentioned about the Shinners.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:01:57 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.

I'd also like a direct quote where I said this, else Ill be happy with an apology, ta.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:20:21 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:00:46 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.

No deal is the default position on 31st at this stage, and no deal could lead to civil unrest and be a breeding ground to dissents, you seem to be a bit angry when the truth is mentioned about the Shinners.

I'm not at all angry. I'm trying (no doubt in futility) to point out that focusing on SFs abstentionsist policy as the root of all the issues in Westminster is seriously tired, and not very useful, especially when it is very unlikely there would be any positive impact, and actually there are very valid concerns about the detrimental impact attendance could have.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 02, 2019, 03:22:24 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:40:59 PM
Their attendance wouldn't have any impact on the likelihood of a no deal brexit. It would be a serious shot in the arm for dissident republicanism however.

Not having a go just interested as to why you think this is the case??

For what it's worth in my opinion a No deal Brexit does much more for the dissident cause than the Shinners taking their seats in Westminster!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:26:26 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:20:21 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:00:46 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.

No deal is the default position on 31st at this stage, and no deal could lead to civil unrest and be a breeding ground to dissents, you seem to be a bit angry when the truth is mentioned about the Shinners.

I'm not at all angry. I'm trying (no doubt in futility) to point out that focusing on SFs abstentionsist policy as the root of all the issues in Westminster is seriously tired, and not very useful, especially when it is very unlikely there would be any positive impact, and actually there are very valid concerns about the detrimental impact attendance could have.

Are you going saying this is my position, again I'd like a quote to back that up or just take the one apology for the two inaccuracies you have spouted.  SF is not to blame David Cameron is the sole person to blame for the whole mess, but I question whether SF might put the citizens ahead of the party and whether they could help steer the path away from a devastating no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:29:54 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:01:57 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.

I'd also like a direct quote where I said this, else Ill be happy with an apology, ta.

Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 02:45:34 PM
Shinners are as you rightly pointing out thinking of their partys future rather than the future of the citizens who voted for them.
[/b]

See quote thats in response to above: I've represented your comments very fairly. In response to my point re attendance being a shot in the arm for violent republicanism, you suggest that their non attendance is a product of not thinking about the future of citizens here.

I'm drawing attention to the fact that you ignored the flip side of that coin.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:40:20 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:29:54 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:01:57 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.

I'd also like a direct quote where I said this, else Ill be happy with an apology, ta.

Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 02:45:34 PM
Shinners are as you rightly pointing out thinking of their partys future rather than the future of the citizens who voted for them.
[/b]

See quote thats in response to above: I've represented your comments very fairly. In response to my point re attendance being a shot in the arm for violent republicanism, you suggest that their non attendance is a product of not thinking about the future of citizens here.

I'm drawing attention to the fact that you ignored the flip side of that coin.

You are digging a bigger hole for yourself I am afraid - You are attributing - Shinners are as you rightly pointing out thinking of their partys future rather than the future of the citizens who voted for them. - to me stipulating that i don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here, again please quote where I said that.  You continue to ignore the legal position that as it stands there is no deal on 31st October and that this would be a dream for dissidents.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:43:02 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 02, 2019, 03:22:24 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:40:59 PM
Their attendance wouldn't have any impact on the likelihood of a no deal brexit. It would be a serious shot in the arm for dissident republicanism however.

Not having a go just interested as to why you think this is the case??

For what it's worth in my opinion a No deal Brexit does much more for the dissident cause than the Shinners taking their seats in Westminster!!

I really do.

But firstly, the narrative that this is a case of a no-deal brexit vs SF taking their seats is complete nonsense. But even in that scenario, where the choice was as clear and stark as that, should SF take their seats? I don't think they should, and I don't see how they could.

Firstly, they were elected on that mandate. They couldn't take their seats until they'd changed their policy and came through an election on that basis. 

I'm not at all opposed to SF taking seats in principle - if I thought it could be well managed then I'd be for it, but i think many ignore the risks in the rush to use it as a stick for SF. And there definitely would be risks. The biggest achievement of SF has been coming through the peace process, decommissioning etc, with the republican movement largely intact. There were so many opportunities for major schisms, its a miracle that it didn't happen (helped by the timing of some really tragic events it has to be said). We may all have gotten fairly complacent over the last 20 years but the troubles re-erupting here is still the biggest concern I have. Its true that economic hardship is a major contributor to civil unrest, and a no deal brexit would certainly contribute to economic hardship, but british irish relations aren't going through the easiest of times, and we can see in Derry etc that there are people ready to use events for their own benefit. SF losing the mantle it currently holds quite responsibly would be a very bad thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:44:50 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:40:20 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:29:54 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:01:57 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.

I'd also like a direct quote where I said this, else Ill be happy with an apology, ta.

Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 02:45:34 PM
Shinners are as you rightly pointing out thinking of their partys future rather than the future of the citizens who voted for them.
[/b]

See quote thats in response to above: I've represented your comments very fairly. In response to my point re attendance being a shot in the arm for violent republicanism, you suggest that their non attendance is a product of not thinking about the future of citizens here.

I'm drawing attention to the fact that you ignored the flip side of that coin.

You are digging a bigger hole for yourself I am afraid - You are attributing - Shinners are as you rightly pointing out thinking of their partys future rather than the future of the citizens who voted for them. - to me stipulating that i don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here, again please quote where I said that.  You continue to ignore the legal position that as it stands there is no deal on 31st October and that this would be a dream for dissidents.

Sorry, I shouldn't have gotten involved with you, I realise now it was completely pointless, and not fair on either of us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:47:26 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:44:50 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:40:20 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:29:54 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 03:01:57 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 02:52:56 PM
You're just spouting rubbish there. Read up on the likelihood of a no deal, and the ways it can come about. None of which SF attendance would have any impact on.

If you don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here then I really wonder what planet you're on.

I'd also like a direct quote where I said this, else Ill be happy with an apology, ta.

Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 02:45:34 PM
Shinners are as you rightly pointing out thinking of their partys future rather than the future of the citizens who voted for them.
[/b]

See quote thats in response to above: I've represented your comments very fairly. In response to my point re attendance being a shot in the arm for violent republicanism, you suggest that their non attendance is a product of not thinking about the future of citizens here.

I'm drawing attention to the fact that you ignored the flip side of that coin.

You are digging a bigger hole for yourself I am afraid - You are attributing - Shinners are as you rightly pointing out thinking of their partys future rather than the future of the citizens who voted for them. - to me stipulating that i don't think increased violent republicanism would have a major impact on the future of citizens here, again please quote where I said that.  You continue to ignore the legal position that as it stands there is no deal on 31st October and that this would be a dream for dissidents.

Sorry, I shouldn't have gotten involved with you, I realise now it was completely pointless, and not fair on either of us.

That's the good boy, typical shinner don't let facts get in the way of anything, you just go about your day making stuff up to suit your wee agenda.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 03:49:03 PM
Have a good weekend  :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 04:16:28 PM
I always do thank you very much, you take care now and keep fighting the good fight, Mary Lou and the other one, who seems to have gone into hiding except to give some commemoration speech now and again, would be proud. ;) :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 02, 2019, 08:34:42 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 04:16:28 PM
I always do thank you very much, you take care now and keep fighting the good fight, Mary Lou and the other one, who seems to have gone into hiding except to give some commemoration speech now and again, would be proud. ;) :)

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-ireland-can-stop-a-no-deal-brexit-here-s-how-1.3972121?mode=amp#.XURE8WC2YKQ.twitter

Now we're f**king talking... Sinn Fein get out of the road to f**k and let the others form an anti Brexit pact in the by-elections!!! That would sort the wheat from the chaff and let Sinn Fein keep their honour intact. Would also show some genuine leadership for a change something that has been sorely lacking since McGuinness left the frame!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: naka on August 02, 2019, 10:21:02 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 02, 2019, 08:34:42 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 04:16:28 PM
I always do thank you very much, you take care now and keep fighting the good fight, Mary Lou and the other one, who seems to have gone into hiding except to give some commemoration speech now and again, would be proud. ;) :)

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-ireland-can-stop-a-no-deal-brexit-here-s-how-1.3972121?mode=amp#.XURE8WC2YKQ.twitter

Now we're f**king talking... Sinn Fein get out of the road to f**k and let the others form an anti Brexit pact in the by-elections!!! That would sort the wheat from the chaff and let Sinn Fein keep their honour intact. Would also show some genuine leadership for a change something that has been sorely lacking since McGuinness left the frame!!
Definitely a positive thought
But do you really think the shinners  are going to waive 100k a year in expenses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 02, 2019, 10:40:00 PM
Stop they are a party for the people ask hangerrrnade :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 11:47:11 PM
Well given how popular the article is then it's fair to assume you agree with this bit, so good to see the abstentionist issue put to bed:

'Sinn Féin holds seven seats at Westminster but leaves them vacant. Calling on the party to take those seats is rhetorically satisfying but pointless. In the first place, it has an impregnable argument for not doing so. It won these seats on an abstentionist platform. And it did so in 2017, when Theresa May was pushing for a very hard Brexit. Its voters knew the dangers and supported abstention anyway. That fact cannot be set aside.

And secondly, even if Sinn Féin was somehow able to make an immediate decision to occupy its seats when the Commons returns in September, the effect would probably be counterproductive. The Brexiteers and their media wing would generate hysteria about the Provos thwarting the will of the British people. Johnson would relish it. Wavering Tories would step back into line.'

Fintan has correctly identified the mandate those MPs were elected on. He goes on to suggest something which is stamps all over that mandate as much as abstentionism does though - stand down to let another party take the seats? Ludicrous.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on August 03, 2019, 08:24:15 AM
The idea that any party would stand aside and give up the financial windfall associated is just crazy. The UUP and SDLP have been hit very badly financially since losing their westminster seats. The lost revenue has had a serious impact on these parties. A better solution is for the remain parties to identify possible gains with a single candidate and do a deal ie North Belfast, South Belfast, East Belfast even Upper Bann and East Londonderry might be worth a try. The problem is SDLP and Alliance wont entertain a pact with anyone. The Greens were uo for it last time but only if their candidate was chosen for SB.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 03, 2019, 08:47:15 AM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on August 03, 2019, 08:24:15 AM
The idea that any party would stand aside and give up the financial windfall associated is just crazy. The UUP and SDLP have been hit very badly financially since losing their westminster seats. The lost revenue has had a serious impact on these parties. A better solution is for the remain parties to identify possible gains with a single candidate and do a deal ie North Belfast, South Belfast, East Belfast even Upper Bann and East Londonderry might be worth a try. The problem is SDLP and Alliance wont entertain a pact with anyone. The Greens were uo for it last time but only if their candidate was chosen for SB.

Fintan's idea is that the proposed candidates would not be members of any party. Parties would not be standing aside in favour of other parties.

On finance then expenses forgone would be forgone to someone else doing the work, for a very short period of time and pale into insignificance relative to the cost to NI of not blocking a no deal Brexit.

There is something that needs done and can be achieved. Do it or let someone else do it. Stand in the way and quibble about money and you might find that the public lose patience after it's too late
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 03, 2019, 08:51:57 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 02, 2019, 11:47:11 PM
Well given how popular the article is then it's fair to assume you agree with this bit, so good to see the abstentionist issue put to bed:

'Sinn Féin holds seven seats at Westminster but leaves them vacant. Calling on the party to take those seats is rhetorically satisfying but pointless. In the first place, it has an impregnable argument for not doing so. It won these seats on an abstentionist platform. And it did so in 2017, when Theresa May was pushing for a very hard Brexit. Its voters knew the dangers and supported abstention anyway. That fact cannot be set aside.

And secondly, even if Sinn Féin was somehow able to make an immediate decision to occupy its seats when the Commons returns in September, the effect would probably be counterproductive. The Brexiteers and their media wing would generate hysteria about the Provos thwarting the will of the British people. Johnson would relish it. Wavering Tories would step back into line.'

Fintan has correctly identified the mandate those MPs were elected on. He goes on to suggest something which is stamps all over that mandate as much as abstentionism does though - stand down to let another party take the seats? Ludicrous.

It does not stamp all over the SF mandate. Someone with no party affiliation, established in their own field and not seeking a political base to challenge SF, voting exclusively on a narrow and agreed range of issues and with a pre agreed exit process which SF could trigger at any time. Every effort is made to dance around SF's diva requirements
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 03, 2019, 04:19:34 PM
Cop yourself on ''SF's diva requirements'
The idea is ludicrous on many levels. But as I said, good to see you all have now moved past the abstentionist issue
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 03, 2019, 07:27:12 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 03, 2019, 04:19:34 PM
Cop yourself on ''SF's diva requirements'
The idea is ludicrous on many levels. But as I said, good to see you all have now moved past the abstentionist issue

Explain why it wouldn't work if each participant played their role?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 04, 2019, 08:30:27 AM
The SF people behind the scenes who are getting the money from Westminster would never authorise such a move.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 04, 2019, 08:44:59 AM
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7318623/amp/DUP-throws-weight-patriotic-list-ways-prevent-UKs-break-up.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 04, 2019, 10:56:02 AM
Quote from: LCohen on August 03, 2019, 07:27:12 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 03, 2019, 04:19:34 PM
Cop yourself on ‘’SF’s diva requirements’
The idea is ludicrous on many levels. But as I said, good to see you all have now moved past the abstentionist issue

Explain why it wouldn’t work if each participant played their role?

Quote from: LCohen on August 03, 2019, 07:27:12 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 03, 2019, 04:19:34 PM
Cop yourself on ‘’SF’s diva requirements’
The idea is ludicrous on many levels. But as I said, good to see you all have now moved past the abstentionist issue

Explain why it wouldn’t work if each participant played their role?

It’s very vague as to what actual difference the SF seats would make. There is a majority in the house of commons as it is who oppose no deal don’t forget. In trying to establish that, he outlines a series of very specific events, each of which is as unlikely as the next - for eg over the fact that key to his ‘plan’ there is Jeremy Corbyn stepping aside. Why on earth would that happen?

He is also being much too blasé about the seats being won. It’s a massive risk, you could easily end up strengthening the NI brexiteers hand. The election would come down to unionism v nationalism except potentially with significant numbers of disaffected SF voters. Adding up all the anti brexit numbers to support your assertion that there would be a clear majority is stupid.

It also tramps all over those who voted Sinn Fein and don’t want their MP to stand down for some talking head no matter how cunning the scheme. All well and good to pontificate about the greater good etc, but that was their vote, not yours, and has the right to be respected as much as yours. It’s extremely dubious to be using it in a manner that was never contemplated.

So in summary, massive risk which even if worked, has a minuscule chance of having any tangible effect.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 04, 2019, 12:04:46 PM
Thought O'Toole's article was a nonsense & oblivious to reality tbh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 04, 2019, 05:21:59 PM
If the UK leaves and does a deal
with the US there will have to be a border to protect food standards .
Brexit will destroy farming in NI

Loads of farmers vote SF


https://www.ft.com/content/327a9c4a-9799-11e9-9573-ee5cbb98ed36)
ft.com/content/327a9c...

« Though he had 90,000 chickens, Weaver could afford only one part-time employee. The company that he dealt with, Pilgrim's Pride, bought the chickens from him at an average rate of 21 cents each.  « 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on August 04, 2019, 05:42:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 04, 2019, 05:21:59 PM
If the UK leaves and does a deal
with the US there will have to be a border to protect food standards .
Brexit will destroy farming in NI

Loads of farmers vote SF


https://www.ft.com/content/327a9c4a-9799-11e9-9573-ee5cbb98ed36)
ft.com/content/327a9c...

« Though he had 90,000 chickens, Weaver could afford only one part-time employee. The company that he dealt with, Pilgrim's Pride, bought the chickens from him at an average rate of 21 cents each.  «

Loads of farms vote sf??? Would say that majority of farmers in ni vote dup
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 04, 2019, 05:51:31 PM
A large base of dup vote would be farmers... hence rhi to keep them sweet!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 05, 2019, 01:07:14 PM
Would you now?

Would be very interested to hear the basis you have estimated that on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 07, 2019, 11:43:35 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-49272343
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on August 08, 2019, 10:38:02 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Next time ask why.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on August 08, 2019, 05:04:03 PM
From 1996.

https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=2287197231593995
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 08, 2019, 07:31:03 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff

LOL I work for the Department. f**k me. Have a word with yourself.
Do I know the exact figure? No. But I would offer that 9 / 10 of all Dairy farmers I know and spoke to voted leave. And as I say I speak with 30+ everyday, including Farmers who send their milk to processors across the border. f**k me I spoke to two buyers for two separate beef factories in NI the VERY NEXT DAY and they voted leave as well.

The reason? I think it was a combination of red tape etc but also fluctuations in Milk prices. Ironically the red tape was mostly caused by the Dept in NI who interpret the directives and not necessary by the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 07:38:58 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 07:31:03 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff

LOL I work for the Department. f**k me. Have a word with yourself.
Do I know the exact figure? No. But I would offer that 9 / 10 of all Dairy farmers I know and spoke to voted leave. And as I say I speak with 30+ everyday, including Farmers who send their milk to processors across the border. f**k me I spoke to two buyers for two separate beef factories in NI the VERY NEXT DAY and they voted leave as well.

The reason? I think it was a combination of red tape etc but also fluctuations in Milk prices. Ironically the red tape was mostly caused by the Dept in NI who interpret the directives and not necessary by the EU.

SO you speak with 30+ everyday? Dying to hear what you do unless your picking up phones.

Presumably they are same 30+? Otherwise you musta spoken to every farmer in the North since the referendum
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on August 08, 2019, 08:49:56 PM
Stolen from a YouTube comment:

QuoteCalm down everyone , this is how it will go down.
When they meet in France at the G7 Boris will agree to only N.I staying in the C.U and Single Market.
That will be voted through by the House of Commons as they will all be called back early for the vote.
DUP will say " we are pulling our support from the Convervative Govt".  A general election will have to be held.  This eliminates the No Confidence vote option  and allows Boris to set the G.E for post Oct 31.
Everyone is a winner except the DUP.   But let's not worry about the DUP their White ISIS caliphate called Northern Ireland has run it's course. Peace in a Unified Ireland.

Thoughts?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 08:53:25 PM
Could happen....a long with about a dozen other scenarios and maybe a few we haven't thought off
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 08, 2019, 10:01:32 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 08, 2019, 08:49:56 PM
Stolen from a YouTube comment:

QuoteCalm down everyone , this is how it will go down.
When they meet in France at the G7 Boris will agree to only N.I staying in the C.U and Single Market.
That will be voted through by the House of Commons as they will all be called back early for the vote.
DUP will say " we are pulling our support from the Convervative Govt".  A general election will have to be held.  This eliminates the No Confidence vote option  and allows Boris to set the G.E for post Oct 31.
Everyone is a winner except the DUP.   But let's not worry about the DUP their White ISIS caliphate called Northern Ireland has run it's course. Peace in a Unified Ireland.

Thoughts?

Fixed parliament term means that an actual vote in Westminster is needed to call an election, Boris cannot just toddle off to QE2 and ask for one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on August 08, 2019, 10:12:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 07:31:03 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff

LOL I work for the Department. f**k me. Have a word with yourself.
Do I know the exact figure? No. But I would offer that 9 / 10 of all Dairy farmers I know and spoke to voted leave. And as I say I speak with 30+ everyday, including Farmers who send their milk to processors across the border. f**k me I spoke to two buyers for two separate beef factories in NI the VERY NEXT DAY and they voted leave as well.

The reason? I think it was a combination of red tape etc but also fluctuations in Milk prices. Ironically the red tape was mostly caused by the Dept in NI who interpret the directives and not necessary by the EU.
Sure if they export across the border and still voted for Brexit then what are they only idiots?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 09, 2019, 08:39:11 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on August 08, 2019, 10:12:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 07:31:03 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff

LOL I work for the Department. f**k me. Have a word with yourself.
Do I know the exact figure? No. But I would offer that 9 / 10 of all Dairy farmers I know and spoke to voted leave. And as I say I speak with 30+ everyday, including Farmers who send their milk to processors across the border. f**k me I spoke to two buyers for two separate beef factories in NI the VERY NEXT DAY and they voted leave as well.

The reason? I think it was a combination of red tape etc but also fluctuations in Milk prices. Ironically the red tape was mostly caused by the Dept in NI who interpret the directives and not necessary by the EU.
Sure if they export across the border and still voted for Brexit then what are they only idiots?

Remember what we were all told?
Easiest deal in history.
We hold all the cards.
No one is taking about leaving the SM or CU.

Remember what Vote Leave said?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on August 09, 2019, 08:52:12 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 09, 2019, 08:39:11 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on August 08, 2019, 10:12:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 07:31:03 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff

LOL I work for the Department. f**k me. Have a word with yourself.
Do I know the exact figure? No. But I would offer that 9 / 10 of all Dairy farmers I know and spoke to voted leave. And as I say I speak with 30+ everyday, including Farmers who send their milk to processors across the border. f**k me I spoke to two buyers for two separate beef factories in NI the VERY NEXT DAY and they voted leave as well.

The reason? I think it was a combination of red tape etc but also fluctuations in Milk prices. Ironically the red tape was mostly caused by the Dept in NI who interpret the directives and not necessary by the EU.
Sure if they export across the border and still voted for Brexit then what are they only idiots?

Remember what we were all told?
Easiest deal in history.
We hold all the cards.
No one is taking about leaving the SM or CU.

Remember what Vote Leave said?

You are correct - everyone was spun a web of lies about how good leave would be - including farmers.

But not that the actual situation has become apparent why when you speak to the are they still in favour of leave?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on August 09, 2019, 09:30:45 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 09, 2019, 08:39:11 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on August 08, 2019, 10:12:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 07:31:03 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff

LOL I work for the Department. f**k me. Have a word with yourself.
Do I know the exact figure? No. But I would offer that 9 / 10 of all Dairy farmers I know and spoke to voted leave. And as I say I speak with 30+ everyday, including Farmers who send their milk to processors across the border. f**k me I spoke to two buyers for two separate beef factories in NI the VERY NEXT DAY and they voted leave as well.

The reason? I think it was a combination of red tape etc but also fluctuations in Milk prices. Ironically the red tape was mostly caused by the Dept in NI who interpret the directives and not necessary by the EU.
Sure if they export across the border and still voted for Brexit then what are they only idiots?

Remember what we were all told?
Easiest deal in history.
We hold all the cards.
No one is taking about leaving the SM or CU.

Remember what Vote Leave said?

Cant help but think if Theresa may wasnt in charge at the start a deal would have been reached by now. By her giving into the eu so much at the start and trying to please the dup it's very difficult to do a deal  now as the eu can't be seen to back down.

At the very start a clear deal should have been agreed which was in benefit of the eu and  uk. No matter what anyone says a poor uk makes for a poor eu and Visa versa. Time for the leaders to act like grown ups but not much chance of that happening.

People should also look at the actual facts of the economic performance so far instead of what might happen. Last quarter in 2018 and first quarter  in 2019 uk either matched or slightly out performed germany and France in growth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on August 09, 2019, 09:38:26 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 09, 2019, 09:30:45 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 09, 2019, 08:39:11 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on August 08, 2019, 10:12:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 07:31:03 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff

LOL I work for the Department. f**k me. Have a word with yourself.
Do I know the exact figure? No. But I would offer that 9 / 10 of all Dairy farmers I know and spoke to voted leave. And as I say I speak with 30+ everyday, including Farmers who send their milk to processors across the border. f**k me I spoke to two buyers for two separate beef factories in NI the VERY NEXT DAY and they voted leave as well.

The reason? I think it was a combination of red tape etc but also fluctuations in Milk prices. Ironically the red tape was mostly caused by the Dept in NI who interpret the directives and not necessary by the EU.
Sure if they export across the border and still voted for Brexit then what are they only idiots?

Remember what we were all told?
Easiest deal in history.
We hold all the cards.
No one is taking about leaving the SM or CU.

Remember what Vote Leave said?

Cant help but think if Theresa may wasnt in charge at the start a deal would have been reached by now. By her giving into the eu so much at the start and trying to please the dup it's very difficult to do a deal  now as the eu can't be seen to back down.

At the very start a clear deal should have been agreed which was in benefit of the eu and  uk. No matter what anyone says a poor uk makes for a poor eu and Visa versa. Time for the leaders to act like grown ups but not much chance of that happening.

People should also look at the actual facts of the economic performance so far instead of what might happen. Last quarter in 2018 and first quarter  in 2019 uk either matched or slightly out performed germany and France in growth.

You're reading the English Tory press a bit too much. The uk was given the best deal possible within the constraints of the red lines set by Theresa May ie to exit the single market and customs union. A deal which would've been easy to do and mutually beneficial could've been done if the uk had been prepared to stay in the single market and CU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 09, 2019, 09:49:59 AM
For the most part the Farmers I speak with are still bullish. They want a deal and believe that the EU will cave. Now some are starting to understand the complexities of what's happening but others don't and blindly follow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 09, 2019, 10:17:20 AM
Quote from: lenny on August 09, 2019, 09:38:26 AM
At the very start a clear deal should have been agreed which was in benefit of the eu and  uk. No matter what anyone says a poor uk makes for a poor eu and Visa versa. Time for the leaders to act like grown ups but not much chance of that happening.

Such a deal was agreed, the UK has failed to sign it because they cannot agree among themselves what they want.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on August 09, 2019, 10:24:07 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 09, 2019, 09:49:59 AM
For the most part the Farmers I speak with are still bullish. They want a deal and believe that the EU will cave. Now some are starting to understand the complexities of what's happening but others don't and blindly follow.

Sounds DUP to me!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 09, 2019, 10:24:50 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 09, 2019, 09:30:45 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 09, 2019, 08:39:11 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on August 08, 2019, 10:12:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 07:31:03 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 04:50:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 08, 2019, 09:35:26 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 08, 2019, 12:31:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 05, 2019, 08:27:47 AM
I'd estimate 90% of all Dairy farmers voted to leave the EU. NI exports over 80% of all the milk it produces. Many of them would have a poultry interest as well.

No doubt based on the assumption that all dairy farmers are DUP supporting Free-Ps  ::)

Total BS statement

I work in the industry and would know what I am talking about. I'd speak to over 30 dairy farmers everyday - right across Northern Ireland. But hey whatever you think yourself.

Oh right so you work in the department taking calls from farmers to fulfil their redtape requirements.... which ALL farmers loathe and farmers are well known for holding their tounge when it comes to complaining..... But you've been conducting a political survey at your government job tuttut? Dont be afraid to publish the results then ::)

Look I know a fair few dairy farmers myself and they do nothing but bitch about EU regulations. But the ones I know best when it came to the referendum it was a no brainer Remain.

Not saying that a healthy majority probably voted to Leave...... but 90% is LaLa Land stuff

LOL I work for the Department. f**k me. Have a word with yourself.
Do I know the exact figure? No. But I would offer that 9 / 10 of all Dairy farmers I know and spoke to voted leave. And as I say I speak with 30+ everyday, including Farmers who send their milk to processors across the border. f**k me I spoke to two buyers for two separate beef factories in NI the VERY NEXT DAY and they voted leave as well.

The reason? I think it was a combination of red tape etc but also fluctuations in Milk prices. Ironically the red tape was mostly caused by the Dept in NI who interpret the directives and not necessary by the EU.
Sure if they export across the border and still voted for Brexit then what are they only idiots?

Remember what we were all told?
Easiest deal in history.
We hold all the cards.
No one is taking about leaving the SM or CU.

Remember what Vote Leave said?

Cant help but think if Theresa may wasnt in charge at the start a deal would have been reached by now. By her giving into the eu so much at the start and trying to please the dup it's very difficult to do a deal  now as the eu can't be seen to back down.

At the very start a clear deal should have been agreed which was in benefit of the eu and  uk. No matter what anyone says a poor uk makes for a poor eu and Visa versa. Time for the leaders to act like grown ups but not much chance of that happening.

People should also look at the actual facts of the economic performance so far instead of what might happen. Last quarter in 2018 and first quarter  in 2019 uk either matched or slightly out performed germany and France in growth.

May was a remainer, she played a blinder - 3 years after a vote to leave UK still in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on August 09, 2019, 12:31:25 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 09, 2019, 09:30:45 AM

Cant help but think if Theresa may wasnt in charge at the start a deal would have been reached by now. By her giving into the eu so much at the start and trying to please the dup it's very difficult to do a deal  now as the eu can't be seen to back down.

At the very start a clear deal should have been agreed which was in benefit of the eu and  uk. No matter what anyone says a poor uk makes for a poor eu and Visa versa. Time for the leaders to act like grown ups but not much chance of that happening.

People should also look at the actual facts of the economic performance so far instead of what might happen. Last quarter in 2018 and first quarter  in 2019 uk either matched or slightly out performed germany and France in growth.

She was advised to broker a deal and sort out all divorce terms before A50 was invoked. Disastrously, for the UK, she didn't; the EU out-maneuvered her there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 09, 2019, 12:37:20 PM
Quote from: mouview on August 09, 2019, 12:31:25 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 09, 2019, 09:30:45 AM

Cant help but think if Theresa may wasnt in charge at the start a deal would have been reached by now. By her giving into the eu so much at the start and trying to please the dup it's very difficult to do a deal  now as the eu can't be seen to back down.

At the very start a clear deal should have been agreed which was in benefit of the eu and  uk. No matter what anyone says a poor uk makes for a poor eu and Visa versa. Time for the leaders to act like grown ups but not much chance of that happening.

People should also look at the actual facts of the economic performance so far instead of what might happen. Last quarter in 2018 and first quarter  in 2019 uk either matched or slightly out performed germany and France in growth.

She was advised to broker a deal and sort out all divorce terms before A50 was invoked. Disastrously, for the UK, she didn't; the EU out-maneuvered her there.

The EU completely out manoeuvred the UK gov which is hard to believe given it is 27 separate nations. The 27 were able to speak as one and the UK weren't. Invoking Article 50 was a major mistake but then the EU refused to negotiate until they had done that and then insisted the withdrawal agreement must be agreed before the future relationship is agreed. May and her government was completely out played.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 09, 2019, 12:38:10 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 08, 2019, 10:01:32 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 08, 2019, 08:49:56 PM
Stolen from a YouTube comment:

QuoteCalm down everyone , this is how it will go down.
When they meet in France at the G7 Boris will agree to only N.I staying in the C.U and Single Market.
That will be voted through by the House of Commons as they will all be called back early for the vote.
DUP will say " we are pulling our support from the Convervative Govt".  A general election will have to be held.  This eliminates the No Confidence vote option  and allows Boris to set the G.E for post Oct 31.
Everyone is a winner except the DUP.   But let's not worry about the DUP their White ISIS caliphate called Northern Ireland has run it's course. Peace in a Unified Ireland.

Thoughts?

Fixed parliament term means that an actual vote in Westminster is needed to call an election, Boris cannot just toddle off to QE2 and ask for one.

Aye but Corbyn has been harping for a GE as well, so I'd expect that vote for a GE to go through Parliament.

Timing is the issue though as Cummins is allegedly confident that a no deal brexit can legally happen by default if Parliament isn't sitting.

Trailer,
    I'd say your not far wrong in saying a high percentage of farmers or whatever hue voted to leave the EU, mightn't go as far as 90% though, and that they're blaming the EU for their ills when it's anything but.

It's a lot like Boris waving about a packet of kippers that he'd said the EU insisted be shipped in a cooled container when it was actually the UK's food standards agency who insisted on it.

Never let the truth get in the way of a good story.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 09, 2019, 01:25:15 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 09, 2019, 12:38:10 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 08, 2019, 10:01:32 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 08, 2019, 08:49:56 PM
Stolen from a YouTube comment:

QuoteCalm down everyone , this is how it will go down.
When they meet in France at the G7 Boris will agree to only N.I staying in the C.U and Single Market.
That will be voted through by the House of Commons as they will all be called back early for the vote.
DUP will say " we are pulling our support from the Convervative Govt".  A general election will have to be held.  This eliminates the No Confidence vote option  and allows Boris to set the G.E for post Oct 31.
Everyone is a winner except the DUP.   But let's not worry about the DUP their White ISIS caliphate called Northern Ireland has run it's course. Peace in a Unified Ireland.

Thoughts?

Fixed parliament term means that an actual vote in Westminster is needed to call an election, Boris cannot just toddle off to QE2 and ask for one.

Aye but Corbyn has been harping for a GE as well, so I'd expect that vote for a GE to go through Parliament.

Timing is the issue though as Cummins is allegedly confident that a no deal brexit can legally happen by default if Parliament isn't sitting.

Trailer,
    I'd say your not far wrong in saying a high percentage of farmers or whatever hue voted to leave the EU, mightn't go as far as 90% though, and that they're blaming the EU for their ills when it's anything but.

It's a lot like Boris waving about a packet of kippers that he'd said the EU insisted be shipped in a cooled container when it was actually the UK's food standards agency who insisted on it.

Never let the truth get in the way of a good story.

Do I know the exact figure of dairy farmers? No. But it was a very high percentage.
My own Brother and Brother in Law (both in agriculture) voted to leave. Two of my Uncles (1 in agriculture) voted leave. Not all dairy farmers love the DUP. Plenty of middle of the road, good honest people voted to leave as well. 


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 09, 2019, 01:27:54 PM
I would have thought farmers with all their EU monies would be the last to vote to leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 09, 2019, 01:38:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 09, 2019, 01:27:54 PM
I would have thought farmers with all their EU monies would be the last to vote to leave.

You see you're looking back on decision taken in 2016 and super imposing what we know now.
Farmers were told subsidies would be protected. New markets would be opened up and access to the EU SM retained. We could have our cake and eat it. Now at the time lots of people were sceptical and rightly so, but others believed it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on August 09, 2019, 02:01:52 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 09, 2019, 01:38:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 09, 2019, 01:27:54 PM
I would have thought farmers with all their EU monies would be the last to vote to leave.

You see you're looking back on decision taken in 2016 and super imposing what we know now.
Farmers were told subsidies would be protected. New markets would be opened up and access to the EU SM retained. We could have our cake and eat it. Now at the time lots of people were sceptical and rightly so, but others believed it.

But now that they can see it for what it really is why do they continue to want to leave?

Have relations in agriculture and they are dead against it now having been on the fence during the vote (and didnt actually vote)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 09, 2019, 02:36:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 09, 2019, 01:38:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 09, 2019, 01:27:54 PM
I would have thought farmers with all their EU monies would be the last to vote to leave.

You see you're looking back on decision taken in 2016 and super imposing what we know now.
Farmers were told subsidies would be protected. New markets would be opened up and access to the EU SM retained. We could have our cake and eat it. Now at the time lots of people were sceptical and rightly so, but others believed it.
You wouldnt catch any 26 Co farmers or anyone else here falling for that sort of sh1te .
Then again Uninists had to prove how ultra Brit they were in the hope of recreating the 1950s.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Stall the Bailer on August 09, 2019, 02:42:16 PM
The border constituencies voted remain, apart from Foyle these are all rural areas where many voters come from a farming background. Most farmers I know voted remain. Just because your family voted leave doesn't mean they are representative of all farmers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on August 09, 2019, 04:04:14 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 09, 2019, 01:38:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 09, 2019, 01:27:54 PM
I would have thought farmers with all their EU monies would be the last to vote to leave.

You see you're looking back on decision taken in 2016 and super imposing what we know now.
Farmers were told subsidies would be protected. New markets would be opened up and access to the EU SM retained. We could have our cake and eat it. Now at the time lots of people were sceptical and rightly so, but others believed it.

Both sides of the argument were well publicised at the time of the vote.  Farmers (like everyone else) chose which side of the story they wanted to believe.

The stupid and staunch ones backed the wrong horse.  The ones with a bit of cop on knew the score.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on August 09, 2019, 06:14:10 PM
Over a thousand farmers attended the Brexit debate in the Eikon at the Maze.  Owen Patterson argued in favour of Brexit and basically used various silly EU rules to make his case, e.g. 3 crop rule.  NFU President at the time Peter Kendall argued for Remain although he struggled because he was doing it via video link.  At the end there was a show of hands and 2/3 of the farmers  intended to vote Leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 11, 2019, 08:09:22 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49308970

No deal preparations starting to ramp up over at Whitehall.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Caitlin on August 11, 2019, 09:57:21 AM
I think it's time we Gaels stood up and were counted before it's too late.

The recent articles by Fintan O'Toole and yesterday's article by Patrick Murphy in the Irish News have summed it up for me. It's not good enough for Sinn Fein in 2019 to say that they weren't elected to take their seats. As Murphy points out, they were elected to the assembly in 2017 on a load of promises that they haven't delivered so they can break election pledges whenever it suits.

These are unprecedented times so Sinn Fein should take unprecedented measures and not 'sit idly by' when their seven votes could take out the madman in Downing Street.

In fact just two of them taking their seats would be enough to overturn the Tory-DUP alliance.

Conor Murphy and Chris Hazzard are two good GAA men "representing" Newry and Armagh and South Down respectively. I have family in both constituencies and have already seen Gaelic clubs suffer from players moving away to Belfast/Dublin or- worse still- to GB/USA/Australia/Middle East , never to return. These areas are going to be badly hit with a no deal Brexit and more young men and women will be forced to emigrate- leading to more school closures and teams unable to field. Conor and Chris have the power to stop this So- we must speak up and stop this madness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 11, 2019, 10:30:48 AM
Oh ffs. Those articles are nonsensical.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 11, 2019, 10:49:51 AM
Conor Murphy hasn't been an MP since 2015. Micky Brady - who you ask, exactly!!  - has been "representing" Armagh.  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 11, 2019, 10:58:47 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 11, 2019, 10:30:48 AM
Oh ffs. Those articles are nonsensical.

Ok thanks for your insight.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on August 11, 2019, 11:00:20 AM
I see that the new British Chancellor of the Exchequer is planning to issue a commemorative 50p coin, to mark Brexit. You couldn't make it up, if you tried.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 11, 2019, 12:05:25 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on August 11, 2019, 11:00:20 AM
I see that the new British Chancellor of the Exchequer is planning to issue a commemorative 50p coin, to mark Brexit. You couldn't make it up, if you tried.

Be worth about 20 cent way things are going.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 11, 2019, 12:23:06 PM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on August 11, 2019, 11:00:20 AM
I see that the new British Chancellor of the Exchequer is planning to issue a commemorative 50p coin, to mark Brexit. You couldn't make it up, if you tried.
That plus the blue Passpiets and plastering Scotland with Union Jacks will restore proper British pride in Britishness.
All you Irish Nordies will be soooooo jealous.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on August 11, 2019, 12:58:04 PM
Of what, precisely?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 13, 2019, 10:41:59 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/e4b113f0-5552-11e9-91f9-b6515a54c5b1

   Marshfield Tory " In 2030 Ulster will  have a Catholic majority.  Wages and salaries in the Republic are 60/70% higher.    That makes it likely that a referendum would pull Ulster southwards particularly because of the EU benefits.   The DUP are sitting on a timebomb."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 13, 2019, 10:53:55 AM
Ulster already has a Catholic majority.
The 6 Cos/NI will soon have one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on August 14, 2019, 05:27:19 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-49348062

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 20, 2019, 10:40:45 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Must have been some length of interview to get them all in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 20, 2019, 10:41:07 AM
Quote from: t_mac on August 20, 2019, 10:40:45 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Must have been some length of interview to get them all in.

;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 12:53:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Could you post up the facts backing this assertion up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 20, 2019, 05:52:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 12:53:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Could you post up the facts backing this assertion up.

Watch the f**king clip. Those interviewed voted leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 07:20:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 05:52:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 12:53:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Could you post up the facts backing this assertion up.

Watch the f**king clip. Those interviewed voted leave.

Didn't see the clip, have you got a link for it? So when you say 'all' what you really mean is just those interviewed then?

What was the sample size?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 21, 2019, 09:04:53 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 07:20:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 05:52:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 12:53:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Could you post up the facts backing this assertion up.

Watch the f**king clip. Those interviewed voted leave.

Didn't see the clip, have you got a link for it? So when you say 'all' what you really mean is just those interviewed then?

What was the sample size?

Ok Pedantic Pat.

Those farmers interviewed voted to leave. And still want to come out with or without a deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on August 21, 2019, 09:08:54 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 21, 2019, 09:04:53 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 07:20:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 05:52:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 12:53:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Could you post up the facts backing this assertion up.

Watch the f**king clip. Those interviewed voted leave.

Didn't see the clip, have you got a link for it? So when you say 'all' what you really mean is just those interviewed then?

What was the sample size?

Ok Pedantic Pat.

Those farmers interviewed
voted to leave. And still want to come out with or without a deal.

Well that clarifies it then so I have to presume that there were no more than a handful of a sample size. I wouldn't want all farmers misrepresented by saying that they all wanted out without a deal based on a sample size of a handful. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 21, 2019, 11:12:52 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 21, 2019, 09:04:53 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 07:20:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 05:52:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 12:53:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Could you post up the facts backing this assertion up.

Watch the f**king clip. Those interviewed voted leave.

Didn't see the clip, have you got a link for it? So when you say 'all' what you really mean is just those interviewed then?

What was the sample size?

Ok Pedantic Pat.

Those farmers interviewed voted to leave. And still want to come out with or without a deal.

Is this it - one woman.  ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-49321597 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-49321597)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 21, 2019, 02:18:43 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 05:52:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 20, 2019, 12:53:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Could you post up the facts backing this assertion up.

Watch the f**king clip. Those interviewed voted leave.
How was Leave defined in the Referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 03:29:35 PM
There is a complete gap with reality.
There was a farmer from Fermanagh direction interviewed on RTÉ a week or two ago who vote Leave, but reckoned it was up to the politicians to "sort it out" so he could continue to send his milk to the south.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on August 21, 2019, 03:55:59 PM
Leave was defined as leaving all the institutions of the EU inc SM, CU, ECJ, European Parliament etc and taking control of money, borders and laws. All these things will be taken back under the control of the sovereign parliament, which is of course the mother of all parliaments.

Whilst also keeping all the benefits and things they like from the Single Market and Customs Union and allowing British subjects all the benefits of freedom of movement that they previously enjoyed.

Oh and not exercising any controls over the only land border between the UK and EU, as it will work perfectly well on a nod and a wink basis, 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 21, 2019, 04:28:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 03:29:35 PM
There is a complete gap with reality.
There was a farmer from Fermanagh direction interviewed on RTÉ a week or two ago who vote Leave, but reckoned it was up to the politicians to "sort it out" so he could continue to send his milk to the south.

Quite. There's people arguing here that the majority of farmers didn't vote leave, despite all the evidence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on August 21, 2019, 04:40:33 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 03:29:35 PM
There is a complete gap with reality.
There was a farmer from Fermanagh direction interviewed on RTÉ a week or two ago who vote Leave, but reckoned it was up to the politicians to "sort it out" so he could continue to send his milk to the south.

It would be funny if it wasn't so serious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 21, 2019, 04:51:33 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 21, 2019, 04:28:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 03:29:35 PM
There is a complete gap with reality.
There was a farmer from Fermanagh direction interviewed on RTÉ a week or two ago who vote Leave, but reckoned it was up to the politicians to "sort it out" so he could continue to send his milk to the south.

Quite. There's people arguing here that the majority of farmers didn't vote leave, despite all the evidence.

I really hope you're not in the legal profession with your definition of evidence ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on August 21, 2019, 05:07:50 PM
Evidence schmevidence. Man talks to 30 farmers a day ffs.

I know who i believe
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 21, 2019, 05:12:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 21, 2019, 04:28:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 03:29:35 PM
There is a complete gap with reality.
There was a farmer from Fermanagh direction interviewed on RTÉ a week or two ago who vote Leave, but reckoned it was up to the politicians to "sort it out" so he could continue to send his milk to the south.

Quite. There's people arguing here that the majority of farmers didn't vote leave, despite all the evidence.

Can you go back to your news item and show all the farmers who want out deal or no deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on August 21, 2019, 06:53:06 PM
trailer is a troll, he poisons every thread he posts on, he is a clown.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 07:04:03 PM
Quote from: charlieTully on August 21, 2019, 06:53:06 PM
trailer is a troll, he poisons every thread he posts on, he is a clown.

perhaps his first name is coat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on August 21, 2019, 07:24:18 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 07:04:03 PM
Quote from: charlieTully on August 21, 2019, 06:53:06 PM
trailer is a troll, he poisons every thread he posts on, he is a clown.

perhaps his first name is coat.

nah, its tractor
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 21, 2019, 09:32:20 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 21, 2019, 04:28:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 03:29:35 PM
There is a complete gap with reality.
There was a farmer from Fermanagh direction interviewed on RTÉ a week or two ago who vote Leave, but reckoned it was up to the politicians to "sort it out" so he could continue to send his milk to the south.

Quite. There's people arguing here that the majority of farmers didn't vote leave, despite all the evidence.

Haven't seen so much of that.... you on the other hand argue that 90% did without a shred of evidence
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 09:42:29 PM
When Johnson says that in the event of a no deal Brexit, the UK will not implement any checks on cross border traffic, what does that mean?
Is that workable if the South does not do any checks as well in solidarity? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on August 21, 2019, 10:13:32 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on August 21, 2019, 10:05:57 PM
Quote from: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 09:42:29 PM
When Johnson says that in the event of a no deal Brexit, the UK will not implement any checks on cross border traffic, what does that mean?
Is that workable if the South does not do any checks as well in solidarity?
It's the British government trying to shift the burden of responsibility for the eventual shit hitting the fan regarding NI.

I'd expect the southern government will, with great public reluctance, start placing customs posts on the border in order to comply with EU rules on the Single Market in the event that the UK leaves the EU without any agreement with them. The consequences of the Irish government not doing so would likely be far worse, especially if it was seen to be ungrateful for the support the EU has given them so far. The Irish government never asked to be be put into this position.

This current talk from "not manning the border" by Johnson and fellow Brexit headbangers is little more than a bluff. It would be impossible for it to work without major repercussions elsewhere including immigration, trade tariffs & deals, WTO rules, "native" industry in the UK going tits up etc. And indeed Merkel has called them out on it this evening - telling Johnson & Co. to either come up with a workable solution to replace the agreed "backstop" in the WA within the next 30 days, or STFU. Expect pictures of her photoshopped into a Nazi uniform gracing the English tabloid front pages soon.

In the event of a hard border returning, surely there will be mass rallies and protests at that border.  The general Joe Soap public are not going to stand for a border of any sort, I'm not talking about hardline republicans, but the average person on the street.  Demands for a border poll will be deafening.  What are the DUP playing at, do that not realise where this could be heading!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 10:23:12 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on August 21, 2019, 10:13:32 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on August 21, 2019, 10:05:57 PM
Quote from: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 09:42:29 PM
When Johnson says that in the event of a no deal Brexit, the UK will not implement any checks on cross border traffic, what does that mean?
Is that workable if the South does not do any checks as well in solidarity?
It's the British government trying to shift the burden of responsibility for the eventual shit hitting the fan regarding NI.

I'd expect the southern government will, with great public reluctance, start placing customs posts on the border in order to comply with EU rules on the Single Market in the event that the UK leaves the EU without any agreement with them. The consequences of the Irish government not doing so would likely be far worse, especially if it was seen to be ungrateful for the support the EU has given them so far. The Irish government never asked to be be put into this position.

This current talk from "not manning the border" by Johnson and fellow Brexit headbangers is little more than a bluff. It would be impossible for it to work without major repercussions elsewhere including immigration, trade tariffs & deals, WTO rules, "native" industry in the UK going tits up etc. And indeed Merkel has called them out on it this evening - telling Johnson & Co. to either come up with a workable solution to replace the agreed "backstop" in the WA within the next 30 days, or STFU. Expect pictures of her photoshopped into a Nazi uniform gracing the English tabloid front pages soon.

In the event of a hard border returning, surely there will be mass rallies and protests at that border.  The general Joe Soap public are not going to stand for a border of any sort, I'm not talking about hardline republicans, but the average person on the street.  Demands for a border poll will be deafening.  What are the DUP playing at, do that not realise where this could be heading!

The British trick of refusing to cooperate, but not actually building border posts makes it hard to know where to protest.

However, after todays meeting with Merkel I still suspect Boris will come back with a NI only backstop, not called a backstop of course but called Northern Ireland special economic zone or some such.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on August 21, 2019, 10:48:14 PM
Quote from: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 09:42:29 PM
When Johnson says that in the event of a no deal Brexit, the UK will not implement any checks on cross border traffic, what does that mean?
Is that workable if the South does not do any checks as well in solidarity?

I'd say the EU would say we need to put checks on the border or at Irish ports - effectively taking us out of the single market along with the UK
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 21, 2019, 10:53:26 PM
The focus should not be on attacking Freestate customs posts but on moving them to Larne.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 11:24:24 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on August 21, 2019, 10:05:57 PM
Quote from: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 09:42:29 PM
When Johnson says that in the event of a no deal Brexit, the UK will not implement any checks on cross border traffic, what does that mean?
Is that workable if the South does not do any checks as well in solidarity?
It's the British government trying to shift the burden of responsibility for the eventual shit hitting the fan regarding NI.

I'd expect the southern government will, with great public reluctance, start placing customs posts on the border in order to comply with EU rules on the Single Market in the event that the UK leaves the EU without any agreement with them. The consequences of the Irish government not doing so would likely be far worse, especially if it was seen to be ungrateful for the support the EU has given them so far. The Irish government never asked to be be put into this position.

This current talk from "not manning the border" by Johnson and fellow Brexit headbangers is little more than a bluff. It would be impossible for it to work without major repercussions elsewhere including immigration, trade tariffs & deals, WTO rules, "native" industry in the UK going tits up etc. And indeed Merkel has called them out on it this evening - telling Johnson & Co. to either come up with a workable solution to replace the agreed "backstop" in the WA within the next 30 days, or STFU. Expect pictures of her photoshopped into a Nazi uniform gracing the English tabloid front pages soon.
Thanks for the explanation
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on August 21, 2019, 11:40:10 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on August 21, 2019, 10:48:14 PM
Quote from: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 09:42:29 PM
When Johnson says that in the event of a no deal Brexit, the UK will not implement any checks on cross border traffic, what does that mean?
Is that workable if the South does not do any checks as well in solidarity?

I'd say the EU would say we need to put checks on the border or at Irish ports - effectively taking us out of the single market along with the UK

Hard to see how we could not put customs checks on the borders without the backstop. The classic example is of cheaper beef being imported into NI after a UK trade deal with America/South America that uses hormones to fatten livestock. That is illegal in EU but anything could go now in the UK. So we would need some way of preventing it crossing the border and tainting and eventually destroying our agricultural industry. The thing is - the reason we would have to do this is because of the irresponsibility of the UK and the reality is they don't give a shit. We are fortunate the EU have them  squarely by the balls and won't give a deal without the backstop, because they do need a deal with the EU despite everything they say.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 11:48:13 PM
Ian Holloway,  a football manager in the England leagues said on Sky Sports after the controversial VAR  handball decision which denied Man City a late winner v Spurs, that
"the EU shouldn't be telling us what we do with our game"
Holloway told viewers he was against the (handball) rule before leading onto comments regarding Brexit.

"I hope we get out, Brexit, because that's what we all voted for. And sort that out because you cannot have someone telling us how to do our own game". the outspoken manager urged the FA to act on the matter, while also calling on the government to deliver Brexit.

When even he suspected that sounded like Alf Garnett on a drunken rant, he tried to explain what he meant but sank deeper into bulldog mire.
"Brexit is nothing to do with the football rules, is it? I'm not that stupid, so I suggest people wash their ears out and listen. "As an English person, I'm sick and fed up of being told what we've got to do. Our country is fantastic. If you let us make our own rules up, do what we want to do, we'll be in control of it a lot better.""

"I don't like UEFA and I don't like FIFA telling us what we should do in our English football game. We should take control of our own game, then that wouldn't have happened.

"Let's get out and stop the EU dictating to us what we can do. I feel exactly the same with Uefa and Fifa over our football."


The bulldog fades to black.

https://tinyurl.com/y5f9zkbn (https://tinyurl.com/y5f9zkbn)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 22, 2019, 12:08:49 AM
It's all that heading the ball that causes that level of utter stupidity.
Angela M has fairly put it up to Gobshite Johnson.
He wanted "Oomph"..... he's got it ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 22, 2019, 05:18:39 AM
Quote from: weareros on August 21, 2019, 11:40:10 PM
Quote from: macdanger2 on August 21, 2019, 10:48:14 PM
Quote from: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 09:42:29 PM
When Johnson says that in the event of a no deal Brexit, the UK will not implement any checks on cross border traffic, what does that mean?
Is that workable if the South does not do any checks as well in solidarity?

I'd say the EU would say we need to put checks on the border or at Irish ports - effectively taking us out of the single market along with the UK

Hard to see how we could not put customs checks on the borders without the backstop. The classic example is of cheaper beef being imported into NI after a UK trade deal with America/South America that uses hormones to fatten livestock. That is illegal in EU but anything could go now in the UK. So we would need some way of preventing it crossing the border and tainting and eventually destroying our agricultural industry. The thing is - the reason we would have to do this is because of the irresponsibility of the UK and the reality is they don't give a shit. We are fortunate the EU have them  squarely by the balls and won't give a deal without the backstop, because they do need a deal with the EU despite everything they say.

There are 2 main differences between the EU and US
regarding food.

Animal welfare standards are higher in Europe
Prices are generally higher

If Brexit went ahead and the UK adopted the US model there would
have to be a border unless NÍ had a different system to England
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 22, 2019, 07:51:05 AM
Quote from: macdanger2 on August 21, 2019, 10:48:14 PM
Quote from: Main Street on August 21, 2019, 09:42:29 PM
When Johnson says that in the event of a no deal Brexit, the UK will not implement any checks on cross border traffic, what does that mean?
Is that workable if the South does not do any checks as well in solidarity?

I'd say the EU would say we need to put checks on the border or at Irish ports - effectively taking us out of the single market along with the UK

In a nutshell, checks would need to be done in France and therefore the Brits would have taken Ireland out of the EU by default.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on August 22, 2019, 10:36:18 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on August 21, 2019, 10:50:59 PM
This talk of the British government saying "well, we're not going to put up a manned border but yer fellow paddies will" should be called out for what it is - the classic British diplomatic trick of divide & conquer, in this case trying to pitch republicans and nationalists (as well as all others that support the "invisible border" as it stands) in d'north alongside neighbouring communities on the other side of the divide, verses the Irish government.

Also, would anyone here reading this forum regard Johnson and his fellow knackers as being trustworthy? Only the gullible or naive IMHO.

Whatever the state of who or what mans the bordering the event of the UK leaving the EU without an agreement is only part of the story about future events concerning all of Ireland. As tempting as it might be to some, any attacks on customs officers or facilities on the southern side will be counter productive and play right into the (worryingly large) lunatic end of Brexiteers along with the ERG, Aaron Banks, Nigel Fa**ge and many associated with the rise of the so called "alt-right", "alt-lite" and right-wing authoritarianism in many parts of the globe - including the USA & Russia - there, I said it. They see the fragility of the peace process here as an opportunity for them to smash the EU apart for their own goals concerning the world's trade & power axis. They don't give two f*cks about any part of Ireland, they only see an opportunity for their own means, using the border as a proxy for an international power struggle.

Those the are behind the likes of Border Communities Against Brexit need to be wise as to what's going on and how they might be unwitting pawns for all other interested actors. I'd have no doubt in such a scenario there will be civil disobedience, in fact I expect it. But they need to know whom is doing what, and quickly build alliances and understandings with the right people. Otherwise, they'll be played as puppets and won't realise it until it's too late.

Excellent post.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 22, 2019, 11:44:36 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 22, 2019, 12:08:49 AM
It's all that heading the ball that causes that level of utter stupidity.
Angela M has fairly put it up to Gobshite Johnson.
He wanted "Oomph"..... he's got it ;D

Interesting to hear both of them. Merkel must have mentioned the Good Friday Agreement on several occasions, but Boris didn't once that I can recollect.

He's got 30 days to come up with a backstop alternative so to use his own term, that's a blistering pace, so get to it ballbag!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: joemamas on August 22, 2019, 01:07:59 PM
Quote from: Franko on August 22, 2019, 10:36:18 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on August 21, 2019, 10:50:59 PM
This talk of the British government saying "well, we're not going to put up a manned border but yer fellow paddies will" should be called out for what it is - the classic British diplomatic trick of divide & conquer, in this case trying to pitch republicans and nationalists (as well as all others that support the "invisible border" as it stands) in d'north alongside neighbouring communities on the other side of the divide, verses the Irish government.

Also, would anyone here reading this forum regard Johnson and his fellow knackers as being trustworthy? Only the gullible or naive IMHO.

Whatever the state of who or what mans the bordering the event of the UK leaving the EU without an agreement is only part of the story about future events concerning all of Ireland. As tempting as it might be to some, any attacks on customs officers or facilities on the southern side will be counter productive and play right into the (worryingly large) lunatic end of Brexiteers along with the ERG, Aaron Banks, Nigel Fa**ge and many associated with the rise of the so called "alt-right", "alt-lite" and right-wing authoritarianism in many parts of the globe - including the USA & Russia - there, I said it. They see the fragility of the peace process here as an opportunity for them to smash the EU apart for their own goals concerning the world's trade & power axis. They don't give two f*cks about any part of Ireland, they only see an opportunity for their own means, using the border as a proxy for an international power struggle.

Those the are behind the likes of Border Communities Against Brexit need to be wise as to what's going on and how they might be unwitting pawns for all other interested actors. I'd have no doubt in such a scenario there will be civil disobedience, in fact I expect it. But they need to know whom is doing what, and quickly build alliances and understandings with the right people. Otherwise, they'll be played as puppets and won't realise it until it's too late.

Excellent post.

+1

There have been some excellent and thought provoking posts on this topic over the past few days.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: From the Bunker on August 22, 2019, 03:02:28 PM
Emmanuel Macron today put his hand on Boris's shoulder as they both walked away from the podium. Although a small gesture, it showed who was dominant!

at 17:55

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 22, 2019, 03:14:12 PM
Quote from: From the Bunker on August 22, 2019, 03:02:28 PM
Emmanuel Macron today put his hand on Boris's shoulder as they both walked away from the podium. Although a small gesture, it showed who was dominant!

at 17:55

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k)

Like May, Bojo is out of his depth on the international stage, even without the backstop the ERG would not back the withdrawal agreement, a no-deal looks plausible, other outcomes is an extension which isn't going to happen, the worse case in my opinion now is a general election as that smug new leader of the Libs thinks she could be PM and won't do a deal with the opposition parties, hence remain will be split and Bojo will return a majority with a mandate to do whatever he likes!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 22, 2019, 03:24:25 PM
If Brexit does go ahead it will be like this video is for the male spider.
Incredibly exciting but it will end in tears . The U.K. is too weak to win


https://youtu.be/5nmsy8d4SDw
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on August 22, 2019, 03:56:05 PM
Quote from: From the Bunker on August 22, 2019, 03:02:28 PM
Emmanuel Macron today put his hand on Boris's shoulder as they both walked away from the podium. Although a small gesture, it showed who was dominant!

at 17:55

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k)

Cant really stand Macron,always seem like a smug individual who knows better than everyone. Macron proved today the main failing of the eu in that Merkel said yesterday that a deal could be reached within 30 days. Macron today has said no chance basically. Not really singing off the same hymn sheet. Normally you cant get 3 people to agree but trying to get 27 different leaders to agree anything is near impossible .

I would say UK will exit with no deal and refuse to put up a border. Eu/ireland will have to install it then at which point boris can stand back and say look UK hasn't installed a hard border that was the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 22, 2019, 04:23:42 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 22, 2019, 03:56:05 PM
Quote from: From the Bunker on August 22, 2019, 03:02:28 PM
Emmanuel Macron today put his hand on Boris's shoulder as they both walked away from the podium. Although a small gesture, it showed who was dominant!

at 17:55

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k)

Cant really stand Macron,always seem like a smug individual who knows better than everyone. Macron proved today the main failing of the eu in that Merkel said yesterday that a deal could be reached within 30 days. Macron today has said no chance basically. Not really singing off the same hymn sheet. Normally you cant get 3 people to agree but trying to get 27 different leaders to agree anything is near impossible .

I would say UK will exit with no deal and refuse to put up a border. Eu/ireland will have to install it then at which point boris can stand back and say look UK hasn't installed a hard border that was the EU.

They can do whatever they want but

1) They are not ready
2) 25% of voters think No Deal means no change
3) Guaranteed clusterfuck
4) It will not be politically sustainable

US embassy assessment

https://mobile.twitter.com/davemacladd/status/1011636382786314240

Truck driver - UK not ready

https://mobile.twitter.com/Doozy_45/status/1159033929795612672

Peter Foster - UK  not ready

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1154761529516003328

There is no political economy backing Brexit vision

https://mobile.twitter.com/AaronBastani/status/1155845806525734912

Brexit is a process. It is not an FA Cup final.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on August 22, 2019, 05:29:14 PM
Is the next one going to be It-ex?  Italy right wing want out now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 22, 2019, 05:59:21 PM
Extreme rightists everywhere want out of the EU and want it abolished.
We already had their type of Europe in the 30s and 40s (up to 70s in Spain and Portugal) and it wasnt very nice.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on August 22, 2019, 06:01:00 PM
The markets currently rate the probability of a no deal at 40% which suggests that it is still more than likely there will be an agreement.

It's hard to take Boris Johnson seriously, he is a circus act with no substance behind him. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 22, 2019, 06:16:41 PM
Sadly I would say people have thought that his whole life and now he is prime minister!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 22, 2019, 08:13:05 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 22, 2019, 06:01:00 PM
The markets currently rate the probability of a no deal at 40% which suggests that it is still more than likely there will be an agreement.

It's hard to take Boris Johnson seriously, he is a circus act with no substance behind him.
He's clearly winging it . 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: moysider on August 23, 2019, 12:43:07 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 22, 2019, 03:56:05 PM
Quote from: From the Bunker on August 22, 2019, 03:02:28 PM
Emmanuel Macron today put his hand on Boris's shoulder as they both walked away from the podium. Although a small gesture, it showed who was dominant!

at 17:55

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k)

Cant really stand Macron,always seem like a smug individual who knows better than everyone. Macron proved today the main failing of the eu in that Merkel said yesterday that a deal could be reached within 30 days. Macron today has said no chance basically. Not really singing off the same hymn sheet. Normally you cant get 3 people to agree but trying to get 27 different leaders to agree anything is near impossible .

I would say UK will exit with no deal and refuse to put up a border. Eu/ireland will have to install it then at which point boris can stand back and say look UK hasn't installed a hard border that was the EU.

Why would UK put up a hard border?
It will be up to EU/ Republic to put up border checks. Otherwise Republic's membership of EU will be compromised. Boris doesn't have to worry about that. It would suit UK if the border is left unchecked but EU wont tolerate that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on August 23, 2019, 07:32:19 AM
Quote from: moysider on August 23, 2019, 12:43:07 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 22, 2019, 03:56:05 PM
Quote from: From the Bunker on August 22, 2019, 03:02:28 PM
Emmanuel Macron today put his hand on Boris's shoulder as they both walked away from the podium. Although a small gesture, it showed who was dominant!

at 17:55

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wX_0uu3tv6k)

Cant really stand Macron,always seem like a smug individual who knows better than everyone. Macron proved today the main failing of the eu in that Merkel said yesterday that a deal could be reached within 30 days. Macron today has said no chance basically. Not really singing off the same hymn sheet. Normally you cant get 3 people to agree but trying to get 27 different leaders to agree anything is near impossible .

I would say UK will exit with no deal and refuse to put up a border. Eu/ireland will have to install it then at which point boris can stand back and say look UK hasn't installed a hard border that was the EU.

Why would UK put up a hard border?
It will be up to EU/ Republic to put up border checks. Otherwise Republic's membership of EU will be compromised. Boris doesn't have to worry about that. It would suit UK if the border is left unchecked but EU wont tolerate that.

The UK will be on WTO rules and hence they will have to put up a hard border also. They're either being stupid or completely disingenuous to say otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 23, 2019, 09:18:26 AM
Will they be enforcing their new Immigration policies in GB only?
Will they be stopping "foreign looking " people or people speaking strange languages on the Streets in the north to check their status?
Or will they have their checkpoints away from the Border in Unionist majority areas?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 23, 2019, 09:24:32 AM
A lot of people confusing a border with custom checks. Infrastructure is not the entire story. Saying things like putting up a hard border or not lets these charlatans off with saying we're not putting one up. It's the checks which is the actual issue. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 23, 2019, 09:28:18 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 23, 2019, 09:24:32 AM
A lot of people confusing a border with custom checks. Infrastructure is not the entire story. Saying things like putting up a hard border or not lets these charlatans off with saying we're not putting one up. It's the checks which is the actual issue.

Any word on all those farmers supporting a no deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 23, 2019, 10:03:27 AM
It is all well and good and great fun watching the UK imploding & being humiliated on a regular basis, but the actual end result of a no deal Brexit will be every bit as brutal for the ROI as for the UK and locally we will be faced with the ramifications, so at the end of this game of chicken the UK & EU are playing it wont matter who is right and who is wrong, we will be facing the consequences. The fun of Schacenfraude could be very short-lived.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 23, 2019, 10:04:43 AM
Quote from: t_mac on August 23, 2019, 09:28:18 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 23, 2019, 09:24:32 AM
A lot of people confusing a border with custom checks. Infrastructure is not the entire story. Saying things like putting up a hard border or not lets these charlatans off with saying we're not putting one up. It's the checks which is the actual issue.

Any word on all those farmers supporting a no deal?

Sorry, eh, what's your problem? Get a different hobby. Following me around the board like someone who's mentally retarded can be good for you.

Bye.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 23, 2019, 12:35:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 23, 2019, 10:04:43 AM
Quote from: t_mac on August 23, 2019, 09:28:18 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 23, 2019, 09:24:32 AM
A lot of people confusing a border with custom checks. Infrastructure is not the entire story. Saying things like putting up a hard border or not lets these charlatans off with saying we're not putting one up. It's the checks which is the actual issue.

Any word on all those farmers supporting a no deal?

Sorry, eh, what's your problem? Get a different hobby. Following me around the board like someone who's mentally retarded can be good for you.

Bye.

Oh dear, hit a nerve, stop making things up to support the fact you know sweet fcuk all, there's a good boy.   ;) ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on August 23, 2019, 03:42:19 PM
Macron a fan of the old unity Ireland then i see....

Enjoyed this wee article in the guardian too.  Things appear to be ramping up rightly. 

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/aug/22/brexit-northern-ireland-border (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/aug/22/brexit-northern-ireland-border)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 23, 2019, 09:06:43 PM
Quote from: lurganblue on August 23, 2019, 03:42:19 PM
Macron a fan of the old unity Ireland then i see....

Enjoyed this wee article in the guardian too.  Things appear to be ramping up rightly. 

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/aug/22/brexit-northern-ireland-border (https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/aug/22/brexit-northern-ireland-border)
NI will be shunted into something that is acceptable to the Yanks and Euros and doesn't breach the GFA.
That is pretty clear.
The Brits fucked up with NI between 1969 and 94 (as well as before) and can't be trusted with it. That is effectively Pelosi's position.
The Irish caucus in DC got a foot in in the peace process and are not going to leave Nationalists at the
mercy of disaster capitalists.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 25, 2019, 02:13:01 PM
Bojo going force through no deal, pure madness. No doubt him and his backers will make millions as a result of the chaos whilst the rest suffer. Democracy you have to love it. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/aug/24/johnson-seeks-legal-advice-parliament-closure (https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/aug/24/johnson-seeks-legal-advice-parliament-closure)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on August 25, 2019, 03:07:48 PM
I can now foresee the worst case scanario.

Brexit with no deal. Hard border. Unionists loving it. Lots of free state shoppers in Newry and Derry keeping some retailers in the north happy. The rest of us in the occupied six learn to live with less.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 25, 2019, 03:12:06 PM
According to today's Mail on Sunday the Tories are planning an election on Oct 17 . They need to dump the DUP in order to sign a deal with the EU and US and can only do that with NI in the GFA.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 25, 2019, 03:30:02 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 25, 2019, 03:12:06 PM
According to today's Mail on Sunday the Tories are planning an election on Oct 17 . They need to dump the DUP in order to sign a deal with the EU and US and can only do that with NI in the GFA.

Gonna be great. Roll on the autumn.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on August 26, 2019, 10:32:53 PM
Jesus!! Surely now after that G7 summit the brits will get rid of Boris! He's a proper fuckwit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on August 27, 2019, 12:49:39 AM
Not that I am a devotee but a Tony Blair led Labour would have made mincemeat out of Johnson, the fragmented Tories and their exit strategy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on August 27, 2019, 07:01:04 AM
Quote from: Orior on August 25, 2019, 03:07:48 PM
I can now foresee the worst case scanario.

Brexit with no deal. Hard border. Unionists loving it. Lots of free state shoppers in Newry and Derry keeping some retailers in the north happy. The rest of us in the occupied six learn to live with less.

There won't be many shopping from the south with the tariffs added on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on August 27, 2019, 01:32:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 23, 2019, 09:24:32 AM
A lot of people confusing a border with custom checks. Infrastructure is not the entire story. Saying things like putting up a hard border or not lets these charlatans off with saying we're not putting one up. It's the checks which is the actual issue.

You need to do customs checks at the border, otherwise it isn't a border at all.

If you'd a grain of cop-on under that tinfoil hat in yer photo you'd know that...  ;)


Sure ask some of the 30 something farmers you talk to every day about what used to go on in smuggling across the border. D'ya think the smugglers are now going to log in to HMRC.gov.uk to declare moving a load of animals and await Border force checks at the shed?

Maybe a wee ad or two from yer tax credits woman on the radio will sort it out.  8)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 27, 2019, 01:46:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Spoke to a local farmer over the weekend and he told me that the UFU/DUP as he called them did roadshows/talks with farmers during the Brexit campaign in 2016 and the one he was at was headed by Edwin Poots who promised them their subsidies would be maintained through London and with new deals being struck around the world beef would rise to over £5 a kilo and milk prices would also rise as new deals would be struck with India and the likes.

No wonder they voted for it.

Nearly as fanciful as Boris' big bus.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 27, 2019, 01:52:49 PM
Obviously those eejits believe in the tooth fairy too.
Did any Nationalist farmers fall for that fairytale?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on August 27, 2019, 01:58:14 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 27, 2019, 01:46:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Spoke to a local farmer over the weekend and he told me that the UFU/DUP as he called them did roadshows/talks with farmers during the Brexit campaign in 2016 and the one he was at was headed by Edwin Poots who promised them their subsidies would be maintained through London and with new deals being struck around the world beef would rise to over £5 a kilo and milk prices would also rise as new deals would be struck with India and the likes.

No wonder they voted for it.

Nearly as fanciful as Boris' big bus.

Now, young Edwin....how much profit can we make if we run these boiler yokes 24/7?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 27, 2019, 02:05:41 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 27, 2019, 01:52:49 PM
Obviously those eejits believe in the tooth fairy too.
Did any Nationalist farmers fall for that fairytale?

Nationalist farmers like to hear their lot is going to be so much better as well even if it is from an out and out bigot.

Poots is a farmer I was told.

Thought he dabbled in the planning process as well.

Quote from: playwiththewind1st on August 27, 2019, 01:58:14 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 27, 2019, 01:46:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Spoke to a local farmer over the weekend and he told me that the UFU/DUP as he called them did roadshows/talks with farmers during the Brexit campaign in 2016 and the one he was at was headed by Edwin Poots who promised them their subsidies would be maintained through London and with new deals being struck around the world beef would rise to over £5 a kilo and milk prices would also rise as new deals would be struck with India and the likes.

No wonder they voted for it.

Nearly as fanciful as Boris' big bus.

Now, young Edwin....how much profit can we make if we run these boiler yokes 24/7?

The boilers were also encouraged to the few poultry farmers in attendance as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 27, 2019, 02:17:17 PM
The NFU in England are totally against No Deal

NFU lady

https://mobile.twitter.com/Channel4News/status/1097841785173393409

NFU Press Team

@NFUPress
· Jun 3
"If Government chooses to pursue a trade deal that facilitates products entering the country produced to banned methods, I would consider that a betrayal of British farmers and the values we all stand for." ‪@Minette_Batters‬
(link: https://twitter.com/NFUtweets/status/1135460904072634368)

Any deal with the US will wipe out loads of farmers in the north who will not be able to
compete with US prices

The DUP do not give a flying f**k about NI farmers

https://youtu.be/H-PSCqhkWhg


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on August 27, 2019, 02:53:40 PM
I saw something in the media a few years ago whihc I thought summed it up well re Brexit, nationalists/unionists and farming. It was a more in depth piece, and they visited some of the marts round Fermangh/Tyrone to speak to farmers. One farmer when asked about the nationalist/unionist dfferences, laid out that speaking very generally, the unionists had got the better land, and so weren't reliant on the payments from the EU to the same extent as the nationalists with worse land - indeed, the unionists were much more inclined to see the restrictions of the EU rather than their support, as being more relevant to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 27, 2019, 03:18:33 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 27, 2019, 01:46:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Spoke to a local farmer over the weekend and he told me that the UFU/DUP as he called them did roadshows/talks with farmers during the Brexit campaign in 2016 and the one he was at was headed by Edwin Poots who promised them their subsidies would be maintained through London and with new deals being struck around the world beef would rise to over £5 a kilo and milk prices would also rise as new deals would be struck with India and the likes.

No wonder they voted for it.

Nearly as fanciful as Boris' big bus.

No. No farmers voted to leave. And all of them are campaigning to remain. I've got it wrong. #GAABoardlogic
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 27, 2019, 03:20:03 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on August 27, 2019, 01:32:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 23, 2019, 09:24:32 AM
A lot of people confusing a border with custom checks. Infrastructure is not the entire story. Saying things like putting up a hard border or not lets these charlatans off with saying we're not putting one up. It's the checks which is the actual issue.

You need to do customs checks at the border, otherwise it isn't a border at all.

If you'd a grain of cop-on under that tinfoil hat in yer photo you'd know that...  ;)


Sure ask some of the 30 something farmers you talk to every day about what used to go on in smuggling across the border. D'ya think the smugglers are now going to log in to HMRC.gov.uk to declare moving a load of animals and await Border force checks at the shed?

Maybe a wee ad or two from yer tax credits woman on the radio will sort it out.  8)

This is the most stupid thing I've ever read.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on August 27, 2019, 03:29:02 PM
It's quite funny though
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 27, 2019, 03:42:34 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 27, 2019, 03:18:33 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 27, 2019, 01:46:50 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 20, 2019, 10:17:56 AM
Hope everyone was watching BBC News report this morning on Scotland & NI farmers. All voted leave. All want to come out either with or without a deal. So don't tell me they didn't overwhelming vote to leave. Chickens coming home to roost. Be a few farms up for sale....

Spoke to a local farmer over the weekend and he told me that the UFU/DUP as he called them did roadshows/talks with farmers during the Brexit campaign in 2016 and the one he was at was headed by Edwin Poots who promised them their subsidies would be maintained through London and with new deals being struck around the world beef would rise to over £5 a kilo and milk prices would also rise as new deals would be struck with India and the likes.

No wonder they voted for it.

Nearly as fanciful as Boris' big bus.

No. No farmers voted to leave. And all of them are campaigning to remain. I've got it wrong. #GAABoardlogic

No one said no farmers voted to leave. You said all farmers voted to leave ;D

[Edit] In fact to be fair maybe you only said the majority of farmers then claimed to back it up with a BBC news article interviewing very few farmers and pontificating about how many farmers you talk to like you know every farmer here.#Trailerlogic
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on August 27, 2019, 04:32:21 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 27, 2019, 03:20:03 PM
This is the most stupid thing I've ever read.

I suppose if you don't read your own posts, then that'd explain why your still posting shite years after first joining.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on August 27, 2019, 08:59:40 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on August 27, 2019, 02:53:40 PM
I saw something in the media a few years ago whihc I thought summed it up well re Brexit, nationalists/unionists and farming. It was a more in depth piece, and they visited some of the marts round Fermangh/Tyrone to speak to farmers. One farmer when asked about the nationalist/unionist dfferences, laid out that speaking very generally, the unionists had got the better land, and so weren't reliant on the payments from the EU to the same extent as the nationalists with worse land - indeed, the unionists were much more inclined to see the restrictions of the EU rather than their support, as being more relevant to them.

Just to tease this out a bit more
Alot of the higher/hilly/mountain ground would be owned by a majority of catholic farmers, as back in the day any that owned good ground were chased off it up to the hills. Now these guys scraped by on what they had while the good fertile ground owned by the imported settlers was producing good quality food to feed themselves and also enough to sell on.
Now roll on a couple of hundred years an all of a sudden here you have money coming from Europe paid out on the number of acres that you own, the catholic farmer over the years has been fencing off this hilly ground  as nobody else wanted it so has amassed a good few acres which now Europe is paying him to do nothing with. The protestant farmer is looking at this and he doesn't like what he is seeing so this is why you have alot of them voting to leave.
I believe word has been spread around the bigger protestant farmers that the brits are going to go back to the old way in which the farm payments were made which was you were paid on what animals you had and not the acres you owned. This will take alot of money away from the hill farmer and put it into the hands of the majority of protestant farmers. Now because of all this crap about the environment they will devise an environmental scheme that will pay peanuts to the hill farmer but will tick a box for the G8 summit.
I have noticed it already, few protestant farmers near me are building new sheds and has increased the cattle numbers, why would they be doing this if the shite is going to hit the fan
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 27, 2019, 09:56:31 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 27, 2019, 08:59:40 PM
I believe word has been spread around the bigger protestant farmers that the brits are going to go back to the old way in which the farm payments were made which was you were paid on what animals you had and not the acres you owned. This will take alot of money away from the hill farmer and put it into the hands of the majority of protestant farmers. Now because of all this crap about the environment they will devise an environmental scheme that will pay peanuts to the hill farmer but will tick a box for the G8 summit.
I have noticed it already, few protestant farmers near me are building new sheds and has increased the cattle numbers, why would they be doing this if the shite is going to hit the fan

Anyone that "knows" what way the British will support farming in the future should use their talent with lotto numbers.
Perhaps the Protestant farmers might also have given consideration that they wouldn't be under British rule at all, if they fecked up the place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 28, 2019, 11:28:16 AM
Constitutional outrage!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 28, 2019, 11:45:47 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 27, 2019, 09:56:31 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 27, 2019, 08:59:40 PM
I believe word has been spread around the bigger protestant farmers that the brits are going to go back to the old way in which the farm payments were made which was you were paid on what animals you had and not the acres you owned. This will take alot of money away from the hill farmer and put it into the hands of the majority of protestant farmers. Now because of all this crap about the environment they will devise an environmental scheme that will pay peanuts to the hill farmer but will tick a box for the G8 summit.
I have noticed it already, few protestant farmers near me are building new sheds and has increased the cattle numbers, why would they be doing this if the shite is going to hit the fan

Anyone that "knows" what way the British will support farming in the future should use their talent with lotto numbers.
Perhaps the Protestant farmers might also have given consideration that they wouldn't be under British rule at all, if they fecked up the place.

100 years of British rule have left Ulster at a similar GDP per head level to Connacht, far behind Munster and Leinster 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on August 28, 2019, 01:04:40 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 28, 2019, 11:45:47 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 27, 2019, 09:56:31 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on August 27, 2019, 08:59:40 PM
I believe word has been spread around the bigger protestant farmers that the brits are going to go back to the old way in which the farm payments were made which was you were paid on what animals you had and not the acres you owned. This will take alot of money away from the hill farmer and put it into the hands of the majority of protestant farmers. Now because of all this crap about the environment they will devise an environmental scheme that will pay peanuts to the hill farmer but will tick a box for the G8 summit.
I have noticed it already, few protestant farmers near me are building new sheds and has increased the cattle numbers, why would they be doing this if the shite is going to hit the fan

Anyone that "knows" what way the British will support farming in the future should use their talent with lotto numbers.
Perhaps the Protestant farmers might also have given consideration that they wouldn't be under British rule at all, if they fecked up the place.

100 years of British rule have left Ulster at a similar GDP per head level to Connacht, far behind Munster and Leinster

Actually the GDP of Connacht - while disadvantaged compared to rest of Ireland - is still higher than Northern Ireland.

https://www.irishtimes.com/business/southern-part-of-ireland-third-richest-in-eu-but-west-lags-behind-1.3811364
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on August 28, 2019, 01:20:05 PM
Prorogue is the buzz word for today. And outrage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on August 28, 2019, 01:42:50 PM
Surely there'll be an election now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 28, 2019, 01:44:42 PM
Sturgeon talking sense

https://mobile.twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1166670269781463041

Alba gu bragh
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 28, 2019, 01:54:15 PM
That good lady usually does talk sense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on August 28, 2019, 03:18:58 PM
It looks like Cummings with Johnson there as a front, is trying to push a no deal through by the back door. The chances of another Scottish referendum just increased infinitely today with the blatant disregard for parliamentary democracy and the economic future of the UK. Scottish Tories gone into hiding and they will be wiped out now if there is an election which looks increasingly likely. Another Scottish drive for independence will inevitably lead to louder calls for a border poll here. BBC Parliament ratings for next week will be unprecedented.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on August 28, 2019, 03:57:08 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on August 28, 2019, 03:32:42 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on August 28, 2019, 03:18:58 PM
It looks like Cummings with Johnson there as a front, is trying to push a no deal through by the back door. The chances of another Scottish referendum just increased infinitely today with the blatant disregard for parliamentary democracy and the economic future of the UK. Scottish Tories gone into hiding and they will be wiped out now if there is an election which looks increasingly likely. Another Scottish drive for independence will inevitably lead to louder calls for a border poll here. BBC Parliament ratings for next week will be unprecedented.
Technically, Scotland cannot hold (another) independence referendum without Westminster approval. If the current government there refused to allow one, then what next? Hold a "defiance" poll similar to the one Catalonia did, or even go full UDI?

The UK is going to sh*t right now.

I don't expect that the current government will last long and it is anybody's guess as to the make up of the next parliament. If the UK leaves without a deal which appears to be the path on which this current government is set, then a 2nd Scottish independence referendum is inevitable imo. There is no doubt that the UK is in the midst of chaos.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on August 28, 2019, 04:11:13 PM
Any chance that Boris suspending parliament is a means for him to push through a NI only backstop, and then go for an election having secured a deal? It appears to me he has effectively neutered the DUP at Westminster though they have greeted the suspension of parliament as a great blow in the fight for democracy lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 04:12:51 PM
Boris doesn't want a deal, if the EU called his bluff and relented on the backstop he'd shit himself. The withdrawal agreement without the backstop would still struggle to get through Parliament. A Vote of no confidence would seem to be the only option left for Remainers, but Cummins probably has a plan for that too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on August 28, 2019, 04:18:11 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 04:12:51 PM
Boris doesn't want a deal, if the EU called his bluff and relented on the backstop he'd shit himself. The withdrawal agreement without the backstop would still struggle to get through Parliament. A Vote of no confidence would seem to be the only option left for Remainers, but Cummins probably has a plan for that too.

I would say Boris would take a deal with a NI only backstop in a heartbeat, didn't he vote for TM's deal more than once also.

Surely he won't need Parliaments backing as he is suspending them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on August 28, 2019, 04:26:58 PM
How is this not a coup?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on August 28, 2019, 04:31:22 PM
The DUP led by anti-Irish bigotry are cheerfully driving a coach and horses through the constitution of their precious union. Any semblance of economic intellect has been jettisoned by the party that in bringing us cash for ash are now preparing to ransom Boris. The revenge of theUK parliament and the Tories will follow at the next election. Not that I give a stuff about the queen, but the position they have put her in by supporting Trump Junior shows no respect for her as monarch.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on August 28, 2019, 04:40:23 PM
DUP will do anything to stay in the Union. On the other side, SF will do anything to get a United Ireland. All of them, a shower of fuckwits.

Common sense doesn't and won't come into this Brexit situation. They're all like rutting stags showing who's in control and none of them will back down.

In or out, deal or no deal, you can be sure the political parasites won't be suffering over any Brexit outcome. It'll be Joe Soap.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 04:50:53 PM

Is there time for a vote of confidence before hand?


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 28, 2019, 05:02:38 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 04:50:53 PM
Hmm well things just got interesting again..... Channel 4 news the nite for sure

Ive only just heard a few bits and bobs nothing from parliamentary experts but it seems to me that



  • this was an option that was always on the cards and while it may seems a bit soon to press the nuclear button, time was also running out?
also despite what all those opposed are saying... it is within the proper procedure? tho the reason for it is obviously corrupt and attempt to subvert parliament on the brexit issue [/li][/list]
FT showed a YouGov poll

27% of the general population approve
9% of Remain voters
51% of Leave voters
[/list]


Is there time for a vote of confidence before hand?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 05:53:21 PM
Also, if the EU does backtrack on the backstop the UK Parliament won't be able to pass it anyway if the prorogation is successful.  Some top work there???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on August 28, 2019, 06:14:00 PM
What's dangerous is that there are two parties in Westminster who couldn't care less about GFA that could bring about another wave of violence
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on August 28, 2019, 06:15:34 PM
Apparently Ruth Davison stepping down. Knows there is an election coming and going to be wiped out in Scotland?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 06:19:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 05:53:21 PM
Also, if the EU does backtrack on the backstop the UK Parliament won't be able to pass it anyway if the prorogation is successful.  Some top work there???

YEah looks like he forgot he was making that argument and blaming the EU for not negotiating. The softer stance they took was probably unexpected when this was the plan all along.

I think a vote of no confidence in the government will proceed.... be lost and then the GE which No.10 was gearing up for all along....
It will be a real challenge to unite the no-deal side in a GE at this point... if they dont the Tories would win a majority with possibly some help from the Brexit party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on August 28, 2019, 06:23:52 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 06:19:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 05:53:21 PM
Also, if the EU does backtrack on the backstop the UK Parliament won't be able to pass it anyway if the prorogation is successful.  Some top work there???

YEah looks like he forgot he was making that argument and blaming the EU for not negotiating. The softer stance they took was probably unexpected when this was the plan all along.

I think a vote of no confidence in the government will proceed.... be lost and then the GE which No.10 was gearing up for all along....
It will be a real challenge to unite the no-deal side in a GE at this point... if they dont the Tories would win a majority with possibly some help from the Brexit party.

I'm not sure how that's possible. The Remainers are united enough to form electoral pacts in winnable seats. A GE now would be a landslide for Remain parties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on August 28, 2019, 06:24:58 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 06:19:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 05:53:21 PM
Also, if the EU does backtrack on the backstop the UK Parliament won't be able to pass it anyway if the prorogation is successful.  Some top work there???

YEah looks like he forgot he was making that argument and blaming the EU for not negotiating. The softer stance they took was probably unexpected when this was the plan all along.

I think a vote of no confidence in the government will proceed.... be lost and then the GE which No.10 was gearing up for all along....
It will be a real challenge to unite the no-deal side in a GE at this point... if they dont the Tories would win a majority with possibly some help from the Brexit party.

If Tories win the majority in their own what are the chances of them sticking two fingers up to the DUP and agreeing to a border down the Irish sea?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on August 28, 2019, 06:27:29 PM
Quote from: maddog on August 28, 2019, 06:15:34 PM
Apparently Ruth Davison stepping down. Knows there is an election coming and going to be wiped out in Scotland?

Citing motherhood to save face
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 06:36:25 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 28, 2019, 06:23:52 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 06:19:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 05:53:21 PM
Also, if the EU does backtrack on the backstop the UK Parliament won't be able to pass it anyway if the prorogation is successful.  Some top work there???

YEah looks like he forgot he was making that argument and blaming the EU for not negotiating. The softer stance they took was probably unexpected when this was the plan all along.

I think a vote of no confidence in the government will proceed.... be lost and then the GE which No.10 was gearing up for all along....
It will be a real challenge to unite the no-deal side in a GE at this point... if they dont the Tories would win a majority with possibly some help from the Brexit party.

I'm not sure how that's possible. The Remainers are united enough to form electoral pacts in winnable seats. A GE now would be a landslide for Remain parties.

Are they???? The votes were all over the show in the European election? How will they come together so easily in a GE

Some are Tories who would never vote Labour
Some are Labour who wouldnever vote Lib Dem
Some are Green who would never vote mainstream

Unless there is some sort of political pact to put party politics aside and give them a candidate that they can get behind and have have confidence in?

Also Corbyn has demonstrated himself to be a ideologist who rarely compromises his ideology and is still rooted in the party political divide

Moreover suppose they did  and all the parties decided they were gonna come together, it would take a very intricate and complicated strategy based on a individual constituency level to pull it off. It is still possible but they really should have been planning for it by now.

Your completely out of touch if you think it would be a land slide at any time
At least 40% of the voting public appear to be hard brexiteers
Even if Remain candidates won the popular vote they could still easily end up with a Tory majority
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 06:39:04 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on August 28, 2019, 06:27:29 PM
Quote from: maddog on August 28, 2019, 06:15:34 PM
Apparently Ruth Davison stepping down. Knows there is an election coming and going to be wiped out in Scotland?

Citing motherhood to save face

Dickish comment

:-X
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:48:04 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 04:12:51 PM
Boris doesn't want a deal, if the EU called his bluff and relented on the backstop he'd shit himself. The withdrawal agreement without the backstop would still struggle to get through Parliament. A Vote of no confidence would seem to be the only option left for Remainers, but Cummins probably has a plan for that too.

He does want a deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 28, 2019, 11:22:04 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on August 28, 2019, 10:40:03 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 05:53:21 PM
Also, if the EU does backtrack on the backstop the UK Parliament won't be able to pass it anyway if the prorogation is successful.  Some top work there???
A number of the ERG nutting squad in Westminster have been "silently" sounding off that even if the backstop was entirely dropped, they still wouldn't vote for the Withdrawal Agreement. "No Deal Brexit" is essentially now running as a cult that'll do almost anything to make it happen - it just hasn't decided whom its David Koresh is yet.

Francois or Farage I'd say... it's getting high stakes now and all situations are looking bad...

1. No deal Brexit - everyone agrees it's shit

2. Deal with NI backstop - Will be Ok for a while (great for NI) but will lead to the rise of the nutters and the Brexit party in the next General Election

3. Remain (yeah I know it's not happening) - Same as above only with riots I would suspect


Where do we go from here??!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on August 28, 2019, 11:53:32 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 28, 2019, 11:22:04 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on August 28, 2019, 10:40:03 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 28, 2019, 05:53:21 PM
Also, if the EU does backtrack on the backstop the UK Parliament won't be able to pass it anyway if the prorogation is successful.  Some top work there???
A number of the ERG nutting squad in Westminster have been "silently" sounding off that even if the backstop was entirely dropped, they still wouldn't vote for the Withdrawal Agreement. "No Deal Brexit" is essentially now running as a cult that'll do almost anything to make it happen - it just hasn't decided whom its David Koresh is yet.

Francois or Farage I'd say... it's getting high stakes now and all situations are looking bad...

1. No deal Brexit - everyone agrees it's shit

2. Deal with NI backstop - Will be Ok for a while (great for NI) but will lead to the rise of the nutters and the Brexit party in the next General Election

3. Remain (yeah I know it's not happening) - Same as above only with riots I would suspect


Where do we go from here??!!

Deafening demands for IndyRef 2 in Scotland for definite.  If no deal happens, ramping of demands for border poll in the 6 counties.  Either way, the 'precious union' looks to be screwed in the long term.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 07:46:29 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I actually think yesterday's developments prove the fallacy of entering the house of commons. It is utterly pointless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on August 29, 2019, 07:53:22 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I have had the argument for years with Sinn Fein when they come to my door at election time that they should be taking their seats. But now is not the time.

The Sun, and other right wing media would create a storm that the IRA is coming to the house of commons to destroy democracy, they murdered members of parliament etc etc. It would galvanise little England and let Boris of the hook as he would be seen to stand up to terrorism. 

Was just looking at the voting numbers in North and South Belfast at the 2017 election and both seats are in play so I think it should be more important to join with SDLP and Alliance and come up with a plan to oust Little and Dodds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:23:15 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 04:50:53 PM
    Hmm well things just got interesting again..... Channel 4 news the nite for sure

    Ive only just heard a few bits and bobs nothing from parliamentary experts but it seems to me that


    • this was an option that was always on the cards and while it may seems a bit soon to press the nuclear button, time was also running out?
    • also despite what all those opposed are saying... it is within the proper procedure? tho the reason for it is obviously corrupt and attempt to subvert parliament on the brexit issue

Is there time for a vote of confidence before hand?

Impossible, Tories greatest weapon is Corbyn, he is utterly useless  he would lose a vote and an election. Spent years dithering about when a decisive move to remain, when there was momentum on their side was needed. Cameron is to blame for Brexit, Corbyn is to blame for no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 29, 2019, 08:37:03 AM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:23:15 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 04:50:53 PM
    Hmm well things just got interesting again..... Channel 4 news the nite for sure

    Ive only just heard a few bits and bobs nothing from parliamentary experts but it seems to me that


    • this was an option that was always on the cards and while it may seems a bit soon to press the nuclear button, time was also running out?
    • also despite what all those opposed are saying... it is within the proper procedure? tho the reason for it is obviously corrupt and attempt to subvert parliament on the brexit issue

Is there time for a vote of confidence before hand?

Impossible, Tories greatest weapon is Corbyn, he is utterly useless  he would lose a vote and an election. Spent years dithering about when a decisive move to remain, when there was momentum on their side was needed. Cameron is to blame for Brexit, Corbyn is to blame for no deal.

FFS

The ERG wanted No Deal all along
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:43:27 AM
What's that 40 of them, there was a withdrawal agreement that would have stopped no deal, Corbyn has been out maneuvered by Bojo, he is the main reason now with his dithering that we are where we are, an utterly useless individual whom no one wants as PM.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on August 29, 2019, 09:07:04 AM
Corbyn looks to be one of the worst opposition leaders in living memory. I'm really not convinced that he actually wants to stay in the EU - it looks to me like it's more a case of him being forced by his own party / remainer public opinion into everything he does these days,  rather than having any any true conviction about it.

BJ may just be playing this perfectly. If a vote of confidence is called followed by a GE, he will be able to hoover up the Brexit Party votes as he can claim that he was 100% leave and only stopped by those pesky parliamentarians.

He gets his majority and can do as he pleases for another 4 years...which I imagine will be potentially very bad news for the DUP as he's not a fella that seems to like being beholden to anyone.

On a side note - JRM on LBC this morning.....you have to admire his cojones - still firmly using the 'speak in posh voice and hope the peasants buy my bullshit' tactic, claming that BJ wasn't lying about not wanting to prorogue parliament, what he actually meant was that he didn't want to use the tudor idea of prorouging parliament.......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on August 29, 2019, 10:20:05 AM
Perhaps the DUP should stop propping up a government and prime minister who have no regard for the people of the area they represent....all for the sake of the precious union, which ironically could fall apart if the no-dealer's get their way!

I don't get the anti-Corbyn rhetoric myself, I think he seems genuine and has a level of morality about him. If he had declared a position of remain for Labour, he would leave himself open to claims of being anti-democratic to declare against the result of the referendum. I'd have him as prime minister any day of the week especially when compared to any of the Tory leadership.

Everyone can see this move by Bojo for what it is. He's playing a clever game to get his own agenda and has no trouble in telling all the lies in the world to get his way. Unfortunately, the little Englander electorate would probably vote for them all over again in a GE as all they understand is Europe bad England good.

I do despair for the future of my own kids in this country.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on August 29, 2019, 10:23:38 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I was waiting to see what idiot made this argument.

Congrats.

You won.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on August 29, 2019, 10:52:10 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 07:46:29 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I actually think yesterday's developments prove the fallacy of entering the house of commons. It is utterly pointless.

Exactly. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:00:25 AM
I'd imagine SF are quite happy to leave Johnson and his DUPUDA mates to advance the future All Ireland State.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on August 29, 2019, 11:02:54 AM
Sinn fein are even more useless than the DUP. They want people to vote for them but wont go to Westminster to fight for them. What exactly is the point of sinn fein at the minute- as they are not even back in stormont.

While the DUP maybe responsible for the whole mess all sinn Fein have done is sit on their hole

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on August 29, 2019, 11:06:04 AM
SF taking their seats would only inflame the situation. They go to Westminster and first thing DUP would be peddling would be are you going to let the Ra come in here and dictate and get more people on their lunatic side.

However read an interesting idea recently.... if SF gave up their seats and let independents with no ties to SF take them for an agreed amount of time to help the north get true representation would that be an option?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 11:51:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.

Would never happen shinners don't do compromise they are as intransigent as DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on August 29, 2019, 12:27:06 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 11:51:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.

Would never happen shinners don't do compromise they are as intransigent as DUP.

SF one time didn't run a candidate in south Belfast. SDLP got the seat, AFAIK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on August 29, 2019, 12:38:38 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 29, 2019, 11:02:54 AM
Sinn fein are even more useless than the DUP. They want people to vote for them but wont go to Westminster to fight for them. What exactly is the point of sinn fein at the minute- as they are not even back in stormont.

While the DUP maybe responsible for the whole mess all sinn Fein have done is sit on their hole

Why do SF even run candidates in a British-called GE, within a British-led statelet? By SF taking part in these elections, they are legitimising partition, and that this part of Ireland is in the UK. Not only that, but when they sat in Stormont, they're doing the same.

Yet they refuse to take seats in Westminster after all that. I mean, wtf?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on August 29, 2019, 01:08:39 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on August 29, 2019, 12:38:38 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 29, 2019, 11:02:54 AM
Sinn fein are even more useless than the DUP. They want people to vote for them but wont go to Westminster to fight for them. What exactly is the point of sinn fein at the minute- as they are not even back in stormont.

While the DUP maybe responsible for the whole mess all sinn Fein have done is sit on their hole

Why do SF even run candidates in a British-called GE, within a British-led statelet? By SF taking part in these elections, they are legitimising partition, and that this part of Ireland is in the UK. Not only that, but when they sat in Stormont, they're doing the same.

Yet they refuse to take seats in Westminster after all that. I mean, wtf?

Exactly. They dont want to be seen by their base to support British rule which is why the refuse their seats. I'm convinced that sinn fein dont want a United ireland as it would mean more or less the death of their party. They want to be seen supporting it so they get the Republican votes.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:35:01 PM
It's all about the pound, their current leadership is totally inept.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 01:43:22 PM
Quote from: WT4E on August 29, 2019, 11:06:04 AM
SF taking their seats would only inflame the situation. They go to Westminster and first thing DUP would be peddling would be are you going to let the Ra come in here and dictate and get more people on their lunatic side.

However read an interesting idea recently.... if SF gave up their seats and let independents with no ties to SF take them for an agreed amount of time to help the north get true representation would that be an option?

This ideas was floated on here and the best suggestion was Adrian Dunbar. I'd rather have an empty seat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 01:46:19 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 11:51:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.

Would never happen shinners don't do compromise they are as intransigent as DUP.

Absolute not true. SF proposed a pact with the Sdlp in...2010? SF stood aside in south belfast, and asked would Sdlp do that same in FST.

The stoops said no, SF stood aside regardless.

Your hatred for all things SF, which you are entitled to have of course, is clouding your judgement. Same as trailer who would blame a no deal Brexit on the shinners!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:48:50 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 01:43:22 PM
Quote from: WT4E on August 29, 2019, 11:06:04 AM
SF taking their seats would only inflame the situation. They go to Westminster and first thing DUP would be peddling would be are you going to let the Ra come in here and dictate and get more people on their lunatic side.

However read an interesting idea recently.... if SF gave up their seats and let independents with no ties to SF take them for an agreed amount of time to help the north get true representation would that be an option?

This ideas was floated on here and the best suggestion was Adrian Dunbar. I'd rather have an empty seat.

As long as you have already discussed it and made your conclusions, sure that's fine. ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on August 29, 2019, 01:51:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:35:01 PM
It's all about the pound, their current leadership is totally inept.

They don't draw a wage from Westminster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:53:40 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 01:46:19 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 11:51:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.

Would never happen shinners don't do compromise they are as intransigent as DUP.

Absolute not true. SF proposed a pact with the Sdlp in...2010? SF stood aside in south belfast, and asked would Sdlp do that same in FST.

The stoops said no, SF stood aside regardless.

Your hatred for all things SF, which you are entitled to have of course, is clouding your judgement. Same as trailer who would blame a no deal Brexit on the shinners!

This is a seat they hadn't or haven't a mission of winning, big of them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 02:02:33 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:53:40 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 01:46:19 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 11:51:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.

Would never happen shinners don't do compromise they are as intransigent as DUP.

Absolute not true. SF proposed a pact with the Sdlp in...2010? SF stood aside in south belfast, and asked would Sdlp do that same in FST.

The stoops said no, SF stood aside regardless.

Your hatred for all things SF, which you are entitled to have of course, is clouding your judgement. Same as trailer who would blame a no deal Brexit on the shinners!

This is a seat they hadn't or haven't a mission of winning, big of them.

At that time, that would be correct. However, SF standing aside allowed big Al to hold the seat without any fuss.
Pity the same couldn't be said for SDLP in FST that year. Stubborn party who don't do compromise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 02:28:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 29, 2019, 01:51:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:35:01 PM
It's all about the pound, their current leadership is totally inept.

They don't draw a wage from Westminster.

But claim hundreds of thousands of pound a year in expenses, nice representative money for doing f**k all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 02:32:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 02:02:33 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:53:40 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 01:46:19 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 11:51:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.

Would never happen shinners don't do compromise they are as intransigent as DUP.

Absolute not true. SF proposed a pact with the Sdlp in...2010? SF stood aside in south belfast, and asked would Sdlp do that same in FST.

The stoops said no, SF stood aside regardless.

Your hatred for all things SF, which you are entitled to have of course, is clouding your judgement. Same as trailer who would blame a no deal Brexit on the shinners!

This is a seat they hadn't or haven't a mission of winning, big of them.

At that time, that would be correct. However, SF standing aside allowed big Al to hold the seat without any fuss.
Pity the same couldn't be said for SDLP in FST that year. Stubborn party who don't do compromise.

Why would they, the shinners don't take their seats so give them a free run not to represent their electorate. ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on August 29, 2019, 02:36:59 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 02:32:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 02:02:33 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:53:40 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 01:46:19 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 11:51:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.

Would never happen shinners don't do compromise they are as intransigent as DUP.

Absolute not true. SF proposed a pact with the Sdlp in...2010? SF stood aside in south belfast, and asked would Sdlp do that same in FST.

The stoops said no, SF stood aside regardless.

Your hatred for all things SF, which you are entitled to have of course, is clouding your judgement. Same as trailer who would blame a no deal Brexit on the shinners!

This is a seat they hadn't or haven't a mission of winning, big of them.

At that time, that would be correct. However, SF standing aside allowed big Al to hold the seat without any fuss.
Pity the same couldn't be said for SDLP in FST that year. Stubborn party who don't do compromise.

Why would they, the shinners don't take their seats so give them a free run not to represent their electorate. ::)

The ppl know the score when they vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 02:41:53 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on August 29, 2019, 02:36:59 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 02:32:12 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 02:02:33 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:53:40 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 01:46:19 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 11:51:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 11:29:05 AM
There's no time for it now even if it was.
However if there's a GE they should get together with SDLP/Alliance/Greens to field only 1 Candidate in any place where there's a hope if unseating a Inionist.

Would never happen shinners don't do compromise they are as intransigent as DUP.

Absolute not true. SF proposed a pact with the Sdlp in...2010? SF stood aside in south belfast, and asked would Sdlp do that same in FST.

The stoops said no, SF stood aside regardless.

Your hatred for all things SF, which you are entitled to have of course, is clouding your judgement. Same as trailer who would blame a no deal Brexit on the shinners!

This is a seat they hadn't or haven't a mission of winning, big of them.

At that time, that would be correct. However, SF standing aside allowed big Al to hold the seat without any fuss.
Pity the same couldn't be said for SDLP in FST that year. Stubborn party who don't do compromise.

Why would they, the shinners don't take their seats so give them a free run not to represent their electorate. ::)

The ppl know the score when they vote.

In which case Bojo is correct in his methods 52% voted out so just leave with no deal, the people knew the score when they voted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on August 29, 2019, 02:47:48 PM
Quote from: Franko on August 29, 2019, 10:23:38 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I was waiting to see what idiot made this argument.

Congrats.

You won.

You wouldn't have got a decent price on that clown, he was odds-on favourite.

I'd like to congratulate Johnson, he's just sounded the death-knell for the 'precious Union' ... an industrial-sized carton of popcorn ordered to sit back and watch this clusterfcuk develop over the coming two months. And Arlene, don't let the door hit you on the way out when we get our country back at last from thieving Planters
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 29, 2019, 02:57:21 PM
Quote from: red hander on August 29, 2019, 02:47:48 PM
Quote from: Franko on August 29, 2019, 10:23:38 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I was waiting to see what idiot made this argument.

Congrats.

You won.

You wouldn't have got a decent price on that clown, he was odds-on favourite.

I'd like to congratulate Johnson, he's just sounded the death-knell for the 'precious Union' ... an industrial-sized carton of popcorn ordered to sit back and watch this clusterfcuk develop over the coming two months. And Arlene, don't let the door hit you on the way out when we get our country back at last from thieving Planters

Except for those of us whose jobs will be affected by no deal but sure you enjoy yourself there!!  ::) ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 02:58:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 02:28:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 29, 2019, 01:51:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:35:01 PM
It's all about the pound, their current leadership is totally inept.

They don't draw a wage from Westminster.

But claim hundreds of thousands of pound a year in expenses, nice representative money for doing f**k all.

Have you ever been inside a constituency office or see what goes on? Do you really think the 7 MPs are on holiday all year round? Really???

Social media would be enough to tell you that they aren't sitting on their hands. They do everything except enter the chamber.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 03:00:44 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 02:58:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 02:28:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 29, 2019, 01:51:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:35:01 PM
It's all about the pound, their current leadership is totally inept.

They don't draw a wage from Westminster.

But claim hundreds of thousands of pound a year in expenses, nice representative money for doing f**k all.

Have you ever been inside a constituency office or see what goes on? Do you really think the 7 MPs are on holiday all year round? Really???

Absolutely not, I see them at the odd commemoration now and again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 03:02:33 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 29, 2019, 02:57:21 PM
Quote from: red hander on August 29, 2019, 02:47:48 PM
Quote from: Franko on August 29, 2019, 10:23:38 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I was waiting to see what idiot made this argument.

Congrats.

You won.

You wouldn't have got a decent price on that clown, he was odds-on favourite.

I'd like to congratulate Johnson, he's just sounded the death-knell for the 'precious Union' ... an industrial-sized carton of popcorn ordered to sit back and watch this clusterfcuk develop over the coming two months. And Arlene, don't let the door hit you on the way out when we get our country back at last from thieving Planters

Except for those of us whose jobs will be affected by no deal but sure you enjoy yourself there!!  ::) ::)

We ourselves alone, f**k everyone else attitude.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: charlieTully on August 29, 2019, 03:44:23 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 03:02:33 PM
Quote from: screenexile on August 29, 2019, 02:57:21 PM
Quote from: red hander on August 29, 2019, 02:47:48 PM
Quote from: Franko on August 29, 2019, 10:23:38 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I was waiting to see what idiot made this argument.

Congrats.

You won.

You wouldn't have got a decent price on that clown, he was odds-on favourite.

I'd like to congratulate Johnson, he's just sounded the death-knell for the 'precious Union' ... an industrial-sized carton of popcorn ordered to sit back and watch this clusterfcuk develop over the coming two months. And Arlene, don't let the door hit you on the way out when we get our country back at last from thieving Planters

Except for those of us whose jobs will be affected by no deal but sure you enjoy yourself there!!  ::) ::)

We ourselves alone, f**k everyone else attitude.

All 225,000 of us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: easytiger95 on August 29, 2019, 04:02:11 PM
Read the tea leaves here guys - Johnson seems buoyed by his visits to Europe - Merkel and Macron (wisely) didn't go too hard on him. It as  likely that prorogation is about getting a deal rather than forcing through a no deal.

Bojo shuts up shop without a legislative bar on no deal and without a no confidence vote being laid (Labour still not sure of their numbers or the number of Tory rebels) then goes into the tunnel and comes out with a donkey dressed as a unicorn - something like a time limited back stop (DUP can get on board with it but because the backstop couldn't conceivably start until after the transition period, even a five year limit gets us up to at least 2027) or an agribusiness only backstop (more difficult for the DUP and for us but still a runner) or full NI backstop if needed but with a NI only referendum promised to decide when to leave a backstop (more dangerous for the DUPers as it would become a proxy border poll).

Anyhow, he gets the DUP onside, loses perhaps 20-30 ERG members but gains enough Labour rebels either terrified of the ticking clock or fed up of Corbyn's backsliding towards a referendum. Job's a good un because no one has enough time to game it out, it's Noel Edwards time.

Long term the DUP are still doomed because even the best Brexit is worse than full EU membership (and even in a backstop there is going to be enough people in NI with UK passports getting delayed at Benidorm with sterling at parity or worse with the Euro, to be complaining). They are locked tight to Brexit at that stage, and lets face it, that's like having concrete slippers and going for a swim.

Or Boris could go into the tunnel and get scared himself, bring back the withdrawal agreement with an NI only backstop as originally envisaged, knife the DUP, and hope that he has enough scared Labour rebels to back him. Either way the DUP are screwed as an electoral force longterm. Their incompetence on this will not be forgotten.

So overall, I reckon that whilst the chance of no deal has increased considerably (if you try and rob a bank with an imitation gun, there's always a chance someone will shoot you) but I think Johnson's intentions are still to get a deal - he just has to scare the bejesus out of everyone to get enough votes for it.

Still don't see what SF could add to this - they would have loads to lose and nothing to gain - except if they see Remainer slippage to the Alliance, but even then it costs them too much to go to Westminster so they should stay where they are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JohnDenver on August 29, 2019, 04:25:07 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

pact your bags and leave this thread immediately
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on August 29, 2019, 04:25:17 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

They do, as it gives them more reason for actually existing. SF grow in times of turbulence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 29, 2019, 04:47:24 PM
They won't be needing any Westmunster salaries for another while :o

https://m.independent.ie/irish-news/news/sinn-fin-receives-1-6m-political-donation-from-mystery-donor-38448014.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on August 29, 2019, 05:06:47 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

Of course they do. SF think that Brexit will drive enough moderate unionists into the arms of nationalism to trigger a border poll, and they can smell a united Ireland within the next ten years.

Reasons why I don't like that strategy:


SF are playing a dangerous game. Big constitutional shocks and redrawing of borders are not to be taken lightly. Brexit has unleashed dark forces that nobody could predict or handle. A border poll at this point would unleash even more.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on August 29, 2019, 05:13:27 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 29, 2019, 05:06:47 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

Of course they do. SF think that Brexit will drive enough moderate unionists into the arms of nationalism to trigger a border poll, and they can smell a united Ireland within the next ten years.

Reasons why I don't like that strategy:


  • A border poll is far down the list of things that need to happen between now and Irish reunification
  • The north needs to make more progress on desegregation, but so far I'm not seeing any significant effort on SF's part to resolve the parades issue or desegregate the education system
  • If a border poll were to happen now the loyalists would go ballistic and there'd be another Ulster Covenant, probably with guns smuggled in from Russia this time instead of Germany
  • Possible civil war (or at least threats thereof) and demands for a repartitioned prod homeland in Antrim and Down.

SF are playing a dangerous game. Big constitutional shocks and redrawing of borders are not to be taken lightly. Brexit has unleashed dark forces that nobody could predict or handle. A border poll at this point would unleash even more.

I am beginning to realise that Sinn Fein need to stop trying to own a United Ireland. Let people work it out for themselves that it is the better option and keep Martina and her confrontational rhetoric quiet.

I used to Vote Sinn Fein, until this year!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 29, 2019, 05:21:04 PM
Eamonn I would say that is more moderate nationalists than unionists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 06:11:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

Ach now this is just nonsense. Yes they did. A quick search will find a large amount of photos of SF literature, posters, activists etc, supporting a remain vote.

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/republic-of-ireland/sinn-fein-campaigning-vigorously-for-remain-vote-in-referendum-34770636.html

https://www.alamy.com/stock-photo-belfast-uk-23rd-june-2016-sinn-fein-supporting-a-vote-remain-outsidea-107197367.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 06:14:13 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB
.

Add this to your collection of clangers  :P

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/politics/2010/apr/20/sinn-fein-south-belfast-sdlp-pact
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 29, 2019, 06:52:43 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 29, 2019, 06:14:13 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB
.

Add this to your collection of clangers  :P

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/politics/2010/apr/20/sinn-fein-south-belfast-sdlp-pact

2010. Like 9 years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on August 29, 2019, 08:01:17 PM
Quoth The Economist (https://www.economist.com/leaders/2019/08/29/how-parliament-can-stop-boris-johnsons-no-deal-brexit):

QuoteHow Parliament can stop Boris Johnson's no-deal Brexit

The prime minister has sidelined Parliament and set a course for no-deal. MPs must act now to stop him

(https://www.economist.com/sites/default/files/imagecache/1280-width/images/print-edition/20190831_LDD001_0.jpg)

One by one, the principles on which the Brexit campaign was fought have been exposed as hollow. Before the referendum, Leavers argued that victory would enable them to negotiate a brilliant deal with the European Union. Now they advocate leaving with no deal at all. Before the vote they said that Brexit would allow Britain to strike more free-trade agreements. Now they say that trading on the bare-bones terms of the World Trade Organisation would be fine. Loudest of all they talked of taking back control and restoring sovereignty to Parliament. Yet on August 28th Boris Johnson, a leading Leaver who is now prime minister, announced that in the run-up to Brexit Parliament would be suspended altogether.

His utterly cynical ploy is designed to stop mps steering the country off the reckless course he has set to leave the eu with or without a deal on October 31st (see article (https://www.economist.com/britain/2019/08/29/boris-johnson-suspends-parliament-causing-uproar)). His actions are technically legal, but they stretch the conventions of the constitution to their limits. Because he is too weak to carry Parliament in a vote, he means to silence it. In Britain's representative democracy, that sets a dangerous precedent (see article (https://www.economist.com/leaders/2019/08/29/the-corrupting-of-democracy)).

But it is still not too late for mps to thwart his plans—if they get organised. The sense of inevitability about no-deal, cultivated by the hardliners advising Mr Johnson, is bogus. The eu is against such an outcome; most Britons oppose it; Parliament has already voted against the idea. Those mps determined to stop no-deal have been divided and unfocused. When they return to work next week after their uneasy summer recess, they will have a fleeting chance to avert this unwanted national calamity. Mr Johnson's actions this week have made clear why they must seize it.

Of all her mistakes as prime minister, perhaps Theresa May's gravest was to plant the idea that Britain might do well to leave the eu without any exit agreement. Her slogan that "no deal is better than a bad deal" was supposed to persuade the Europeans to make concessions. It didn't—but it did persuade many British voters and mps that if the eu offered less than perfect terms, Britain should walk away.

In fact the government's own analysis suggests that no-deal would make the economy 9% smaller after 15 years than if Britain had remained. Mr Johnson says preparations for the immediate disruption are "colossal and extensive and fantastic". Yet civil servants expect shortages of food, medicine and petrol, and a "meltdown" at ports. A growing number of voters seem to think that a few bumpy months and a lasting hit to incomes might be worth it to get the whole tedious business out of the way. This is the greatest myth of all. If Britain leaves with no deal it will face an even more urgent need to reach terms with the eu, which will demand the same concessions as before—and perhaps greater ones, given that Britain's hand will be weaker.

Mr Johnson insists that his intention is to get a new, better agreement before October 31st, and that to do so he needs to threaten the eu with the credible prospect of no-deal. Despite the fact that Mrs May got nowhere with this tactic, many Tory mps still see it as a good one. The eu wants a deal, after all. And whereas it became clear that Mrs May was bluffing about walking out, Mr Johnson might just be serious (the fanatics who do his thinking certainly are). Angela Merkel, Germany's chancellor, said recently that Britain should come up with a plan in the next 30 days if it wants to replace the Irish backstop, the most contentious part of the withdrawal agreement. Many moderate Tories, even those who oppose no-deal, would like to give their new prime minister a chance to prove his mettle.

They are mistaken. First, the effect of the no-deal threat on Brussels continues to be overestimated in London. The eu's position—that it is open to plausible British suggestions—is the same as it has always been. The eu's priority is to keep the rules of its club intact, to avoid other members angling for special treatment. With or without the threat of no-deal, it will make no more than marginal changes to the existing agreement. Second, even if the eu were to drop the backstop altogether, the resulting deal might well be rejected by "Spartan" Tory Brexiteers, so intoxicated by the idea of leaving without a deal that they seem ready to vote against any agreement. And third, even if an all-new deal were offered by the eu and then passed by Parliament, ratifying it in Europe and passing the necessary laws in Britain would require an extension well beyond October 31st. Mr Johnson's vow to leave on that date, "do or die", makes it impossible to leave with any new deal. It also reveals that he is fundamentally unserious about negotiating one.

That is why Parliament must act now to take no-deal off the table, by passing a law requiring the prime minister to ask the eu for an extension. Even before Mr Johnson poleaxed Parliament, this was not going to be easy. The House of Commons' agenda is controlled by Downing Street, which will allow no time for such a bill. mps showed in the spring that they could take temporary control of the agenda, when they passed a law forcing Mrs May to request an extension beyond the first Brexit deadline of March 29th. This time there is no current legislation to act as a "hook" for an amendment mandating an extension, so the Speaker of the House would have to go against precedent by allowing mps to attach a binding vote to an emergency debate. All that may be possible. But with Parliament suspended for almost five weeks there will be desperately little time.

So, if rebel mps cannot pass a law, they must be ready to use their weapon of last resort: kicking Mr Johnson out of office with a vote of no confidence. He has a working majority of just one. The trouble is that attempts to find a caretaker prime minister, to request a Brexit extension before calling an election, have foundered on whether it should be Jeremy Corbyn, the far-left Labour leader whom most Tories despise, or a more neutral figure.

If the various factions opposed to no-deal cannot agree, Mr Johnson will win. But if they needed a reason to put aside their differences, he has just given them one. The prime minister was already steering Britain towards a no-deal Brexit that would hit the economy, wrench at the union and cause a lasting rift with international allies. Now he has shown himself willing to stifle parliamentary democracy to achieve his aims. Wavering mps must ask themselves: if not now, when?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:08:15 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:23:15 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 04:50:53 PM
    Hmm well things just got interesting again..... Channel 4 news the nite for sure

    Ive only just heard a few bits and bobs nothing from parliamentary experts but it seems to me that


    • this was an option that was always on the cards and while it may seems a bit soon to press the nuclear button, time was also running out?
    • also despite what all those opposed are saying... it is within the proper procedure? tho the reason for it is obviously corrupt and attempt to subvert parliament on the brexit issue

Is there time for a vote of confidence before hand?

Impossible, Tories greatest weapon is Corbyn, he is utterly useless  he would lose a vote and an election. Spent years dithering about when a decisive move to remain, when there was momentum on their side was needed. Cameron is to blame for Brexit, Corbyn is to blame for no deal.

If Corbyn is in fact useless can you please outline what the useful action he shoukd have taken to stop no deal?

You need to set out the actions he should have taken and how they would have worked??

I have tried to follow issues as they have emerged. My reading is that 4 options have been discussed
1) Outright Political i.e. Vote of no confidence and force an election
2) Political/Parliamentary i.e. successful vote of no confidence and vote successful vote for an alternative PM thereby obviating the need for an election and robbing BoJo of his prerogative of choosing the election date
3) Pure Parliamentary I.e. some parliamentary manoeuvre that forces the Bojo government hand to withdraw the threat of a no deal
4) Legal I.e. get a court to rule no deal illegal or unconstitutional


Option 1 was never an option as by the time a Bojo government threatened a no deal it became clear that Bojo could chose an election date post Halloween

Option 2 has been proposed by Corbyn and to be prosecuted next week.

Options 3 and 4 have been the subject of the great constitutional and legal minds. They haven't come up with a winning formula. Can you do better??

So set out the real steps Corbyn should have taken?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:11:47 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on August 29, 2019, 12:38:38 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on August 29, 2019, 11:02:54 AM
Sinn fein are even more useless than the DUP. They want people to vote for them but wont go to Westminster to fight for them. What exactly is the point of sinn fein at the minute- as they are not even back in stormont.

While the DUP maybe responsible for the whole mess all sinn Fein have done is sit on their hole

Why do SF even run candidates in a British-called GE, within a British-led statelet? By SF taking part in these elections, they are legitimising partition, and that this part of Ireland is in the UK. Not only that, but when they sat in Stormont, they're doing the same.

Yet they refuse to take seats in Westminster after all that. I mean, wtf?

Surely standing in elections for the 26 county Dail is legitimising partition??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:16:39 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 29, 2019, 01:51:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 01:35:01 PM
It's all about the pound, their current leadership is totally inept.

They don't draw a wage from Westminster.

Sinn Fein do claim their salary. Westminster refuse to pay it.

Just to be clear
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:18:56 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:08:15 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:23:15 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 04:50:53 PM
    Hmm well things just got interesting again..... Channel 4 news the nite for sure

    Ive only just heard a few bits and bobs nothing from parliamentary experts but it seems to me that


    • this was an option that was always on the cards and while it may seems a bit soon to press the nuclear button, time was also running out?
    • also despite what all those opposed are saying... it is within the proper procedure? tho the reason for it is obviously corrupt and attempt to subvert parliament on the brexit issue

Is there time for a vote of confidence before hand?

Impossible, Tories greatest weapon is Corbyn, he is utterly useless  he would lose a vote and an election. Spent years dithering about when a decisive move to remain, when there was momentum on their side was needed. Cameron is to blame for Brexit, Corbyn is to blame for no deal.

If Corbyn is in fact useless can you please outline what the useful action he shoukd have taken to stop no deal?

You need to set out the actions he should have taken and how they would have worked??

I have tried to follow issues as they have emerged. My reading is that 4 options have been discussed
1) Outright Political i.e. Vote of no confidence and force an election
2) Political/Parliamentary i.e. successful vote of no confidence and vote successful vote for an alternative PM thereby obviating the need for an election and robbing BoJo of his prerogative of choosing the election date
3) Pure Parliamentary I.e. some parliamentary manoeuvre that forces the Bojo government hand to withdraw the threat of a no deal
4) Legal I.e. get a court to rule no deal illegal or unconstitutional


Option 1 was never an option as by the time a Bojo government threatened a no deal it became clear that Bojo could chose an election date post Halloween

Option 2 has been proposed by Corbyn and to be prosecuted next week.

Options 3 and 4 have been the subject of the great constitutional and legal minds. They haven't come up with a winning formula. Can you do better??

So set out the real steps Corbyn should have taken?

He could have voted for the deal, but was under the illusion he could get a vote of no confidence, force a general election and become PM, pie in the sky stuff. He is also a leaver so never pushed for a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:20:56 PM
Quote from: red hander on August 29, 2019, 02:47:48 PM
Quote from: Franko on August 29, 2019, 10:23:38 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.

I was waiting to see what idiot made this argument.

Congrats.

You won.

You wouldn't have got a decent price on that clown, he was odds-on favourite.

I'd like to congratulate Johnson, he's just sounded the death-knell for the 'precious Union' ... an industrial-sized carton of popcorn ordered to sit back and watch this clusterfcuk develop over the coming two months. And Arlene, don't let the door hit you on the way out when we get our country back at last from thieving Planters

What deal are you offering the unionists who stay?

Address your answer to the Uk Government, the EU and US government? They all have to sign up

Also address it to the RoI electorate who will vote on the same day?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:34:47 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:18:56 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:08:15 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:23:15 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 28, 2019, 04:50:53 PM
    Hmm well things just got interesting again..... Channel 4 news the nite for sure

    Ive only just heard a few bits and bobs nothing from parliamentary experts but it seems to me that


    • this was an option that was always on the cards and while it may seems a bit soon to press the nuclear button, time was also running out?
    • also despite what all those opposed are saying... it is within the proper procedure? tho the reason for it is obviously corrupt and attempt to subvert parliament on the brexit issue

Is there time for a vote of confidence before hand?

Impossible, Tories greatest weapon is Corbyn, he is utterly useless  he would lose a vote and an election. Spent years dithering about when a decisive move to remain, when there was momentum on their side was needed. Cameron is to blame for Brexit, Corbyn is to blame for no deal.

If Corbyn is in fact useless can you please outline what the useful action he shoukd have taken to stop no deal?

You need to set out the actions he should have taken and how they would have worked??

I have tried to follow issues as they have emerged. My reading is that 4 options have been discussed
1) Outright Political i.e. Vote of no confidence and force an election
2) Political/Parliamentary i.e. successful vote of no confidence and vote successful vote for an alternative PM thereby obviating the need for an election and robbing BoJo of his prerogative of choosing the election date
3) Pure Parliamentary I.e. some parliamentary manoeuvre that forces the Bojo government hand to withdraw the threat of a no deal
4) Legal I.e. get a court to rule no deal illegal or unconstitutional


Option 1 was never an option as by the time a Bojo government threatened a no deal it became clear that Bojo could chose an election date post Halloween

Option 2 has been proposed by Corbyn and to be prosecuted next week.

Options 3 and 4 have been the subject of the great constitutional and legal minds. They haven't come up with a winning formula. Can you do better??

So set out the real steps Corbyn should have taken?

He could have voted for the deal, but was under the illusion he could get a vote of no confidence, force a general election and become PM, pie in the sky stuff. He is also a leaver so never pushed for a second referendum.

Right so you have 2 options there.
1) vote to Teasie's deal
2) push for a 2nd referendum

On 1) you are in fantasy land. The remain part of the Labour Party would not have gone with him and would have immediately removed him as party leader. The majority of pressure he is under seems to be from the remain side of the argument so the very idea that he should have facilitated a Brexit proposed by a Tory government is lala land.
Option 2 as proposed by yourself is immediately striking as it is in stark contradistinction with your own Option 1. Looks a bit scatter gun on your part. Secondly you say he should have pushed for something but what have you say on the prospects of success of the proposed course of action? After all you cannot seriously blame the man for not embarking on a course of action that wouldn't work so explain why it would have worked??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:40:36 PM
I doubt anyone could remove Corbyn as has been shown. You'll have to forgive me I am on a phone and would take me an hour to type what you just did, Corbyn's red lines and his dithering about trying to please everyone make him utterly useless, he also put very little effort into the remain campaign in 2016, the antisemitism in his party and his failure to deal with it also make him useless as a leader.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 29, 2019, 08:40:55 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:20:56 PM
What deal are you offering the unionists who stay?

Living in a normal society.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:52:15 PM
Quote from: t_mac on August 29, 2019, 08:40:36 PM
I doubt anyone could remove Corbyn as has been shown. You'll have to forgive me I am on a phone and would take me an hour to type what you just did, Corbyn's red lines and his dithering about trying to please everyone make him utterly useless, he also put very little effort into the remain campaign in 2016, the antisemitism in his party and his failure to deal with it also make him useless as a leader.

Well some time when you are not on a phone you take out the time to lay out the steps that someone should take to stop a no deal Brexit and how they will work. Don't dither
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:53:10 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 29, 2019, 08:40:55 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 08:20:56 PM
What deal are you offering the unionists who stay?

Living in a normal society.

In NI?????????????????????
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 09:14:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.

Explain the actions that Corbyn should have taken that would have united the 4 divisions in his parliamentary party (being MPs in Remain constituencies, MPs in leave constituencies that voted leave overall, MPs in constituencies where the Labour vote voted to leave and fourthly Kate Hoey)?

Name the Tory MPs that would have moved across?

The caretaker government is going to do nothing other than extend Article 50 and call a general election. Name the MPs that object to no deal Brexit but will sit on their hands if Corbyn plays a role in the solution. More importantly outline your opinion of these MPs??

What coordinated Brexit strategy will get the buy in of Labour MPs, members and voters? You are arguing that Labour should be a clear party for Leave

You say he could have won a no confidence vote. On what date? Which Tory MPs would have voted for it? What commentators said it would have been won? Your talk of GE is conditional on your No confidence "argument"

So set out the details
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 10:10:20 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 09:14:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.

Explain the actions that Corbyn should have taken that would have united the 4 divisions in his parliamentary party (being MPs in Remain constituencies, MPs in leave constituencies that voted leave overall, MPs in constituencies where the Labour vote voted to leave and fourthly Kate Hoey)?

Name the Tory MPs that would have moved across?

The caretaker government is going to do nothing other than extend Article 50 and call a general election. Name the MPs that object to no deal Brexit but will sit on their hands if Corbyn plays a role in the solution. More importantly outline your opinion of these MPs??

What coordinated Brexit strategy will get the buy in of Labour MPs, members and voters? You are arguing that Labour should be a clear party for Leave

You say he could have won a no confidence vote. On what date? Which Tory MPs would have voted for it? What commentators said it would have been won? Your talk of GE is conditional on your No confidence "argument"

So set out the details

1. His Parliamentary party is more or less united on Brexit, how many actually vote against the whip? 10 or something? Last time out it was only Hoey.... let her be and deselect at the next election. Or dig up some dirt and have a petition for her removal followed by a by election which she would be duly crucified by a Remain candidate. My point is he would have much more leverage and weight with the whip to easily deal with rebels if he had stable support but he doesn't... half his parliamentary party would love to get rid of him so he has to do everything by the book and he's always scrambling to appease someone?

2. Prob the ones that actually left the Tory party and formed another one with a group of Labour MPs.... who incidentally are pissed off with his economic delusion but use anti Seminitism as a smoke screen. And maybe some of the others who lost the whip.

3. The Lib Dems for a start... not to mention the sensible Remain Tories.

4. No, prob just support a ref2 and present it as a democratic 3 way vote with the exit deal presented as a third option. IN an election talk lots about the Brexit party and emphasis Tory austerity while presenting Labour as a sensible option of sustainable growth by a moderate tax regime which will providing income to support the NHS and social welfare. Then just cut your loses on the Leave seats, the marginal seats won would more than make up for the those lost.

5. Hmmm i dunno...... maybe after Theresa May's catastrophic series of record defeats? Being an unacceptable option as PM was enuff to deter them so being more acceptable and a few underhand tactics like promising weak Labour candidates in targeted marginal Remain seats could have also have brought a few. The reality if he had a more centrist approach he would have had greater all around support and he would have been able to put much more pressure on her much earlier and forced her resignation... indeed he would prob have won the election...


Besides all of this is pointless.... its obvious that he is not the man for the job.... FFS its says it all when he has to have someone like Diane Abbot as a senior member of his cabinet
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 06:10:07 AM
Who said Boris and co were anti European..... https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierogi
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 30, 2019, 09:01:07 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on August 29, 2019, 05:13:27 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 29, 2019, 05:06:47 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

Of course they do. SF think that Brexit will drive enough moderate unionists into the arms of nationalism to trigger a border poll, and they can smell a united Ireland within the next ten years.

Reasons why I don't like that strategy:


  • A border poll is far down the list of things that need to happen between now and Irish reunification
  • The north needs to make more progress on desegregation, but so far I'm not seeing any significant effort on SF's part to resolve the parades issue or desegregate the education system
  • If a border poll were to happen now the loyalists would go ballistic and there'd be another Ulster Covenant, probably with guns smuggled in from Russia this time instead of Germany
  • Possible civil war (or at least threats thereof) and demands for a repartitioned prod homeland in Antrim and Down.

SF are playing a dangerous game. Big constitutional shocks and redrawing of borders are not to be taken lightly. Brexit has unleashed dark forces that nobody could predict or handle. A border poll at this point would unleash even more.

I am beginning to realise that Sinn Fein need to stop trying to own a United Ireland. Let people work it out for themselves that it is the better option and keep Martina and her confrontational rhetoric quiet.

I used to Vote Sinn Fein, until this year!

The Irish Government needs to own what a United Ireland looks like.

Varadkar was right to say that a united Ireland would not just be the north morphed into the existing Dail setup and there'll need to be regionalised legislatures in place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on August 30, 2019, 09:38:40 AM
It's absolutely mind boggling that otherwise sensible people still persist with blaming Corbyn on this issue. Jo Swinson, who facilitated Cameron's government, is clearly more to blame but she's the darling of the remainers for some bizarre reason.

There's also another inconvenient fact that people tend to forget. The British people voted to leave the EU. People ranting and raving about "we didn't understand the consequences" or "we were lied to" like it was the first time the full truth wasn't spelled out in ABC terms to the public? Grow up for heavens sake. I don't want Britain to leave the EU, certainly not on a no-deal basis, but you can't blame Jeremy Corbyn for respecting the result of the referendum. Madness.

And another thing - I would have thought people from here would be well attuned to smear campaigns from the British establishment. Anyone who genuinely believe Corbyn is anti-semitic or tolerates anti-semitism is simply a fool. This is a man who has fought injustice all his life and has always come out on the right side of history. Even back when he was derided for supporting that "terrorist" Mandela, when he had to balls to try and work for peace in NI, the list goes on. The picture painted of him and sadly swallowed by many is a pathetic caricature. The Tories and their Blairite friends have underestimated him time and again. I believe they've done so again and will pay a heavy price this time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 09:41:20 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 10:10:20 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 09:14:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.

Explain the actions that Corbyn should have taken that would have united the 4 divisions in his parliamentary party (being MPs in Remain constituencies, MPs in leave constituencies that voted leave overall, MPs in constituencies where the Labour vote voted to leave and fourthly Kate Hoey)?

Name the Tory MPs that would have moved across?

The caretaker government is going to do nothing other than extend Article 50 and call a general election. Name the MPs that object to no deal Brexit but will sit on their hands if Corbyn plays a role in the solution. More importantly outline your opinion of these MPs??

What coordinated Brexit strategy will get the buy in of Labour MPs, members and voters? You are arguing that Labour should be a clear party for Leave

You say he could have won a no confidence vote. On what date? Which Tory MPs would have voted for it? What commentators said it would have been won? Your talk of GE is conditional on your No confidence "argument"

So set out the details

1. His Parliamentary party is more or less united on Brexit, how many actually vote against the whip? 10 or something? Last time out it was only Hoey.... let her be and deselect at the next election. Or dig up some dirt and have a petition for her removal followed by a by election which she would be duly crucified by a Remain candidate. My point is he would have much more leverage and weight with the whip to easily deal with rebels if he had stable support but he doesn't... half his parliamentary party would love to get rid of him so he has to do everything by the book and he's always scrambling to appease someone?

2. Prob the ones that actually left the Tory party and formed another one with a group of Labour MPs.... who incidentally are pissed off with his economic delusion but use anti Seminitism as a smoke screen. And maybe some of the others who lost the whip.

3. The Lib Dems for a start... not to mention the sensible Remain Tories.

4. No, prob just support a ref2 and present it as a democratic 3 way vote with the exit deal presented as a third option. IN an election talk lots about the Brexit party and emphasis Tory austerity while presenting Labour as a sensible option of sustainable growth by a moderate tax regime which will providing income to support the NHS and social welfare. Then just cut your loses on the Leave seats, the marginal seats won would more than make up for the those lost.

5. Hmmm i dunno...... maybe after Theresa May's catastrophic series of record defeats? Being an unacceptable option as PM was enuff to deter them so being more acceptable and a few underhand tactics like promising weak Labour candidates in targeted marginal Remain seats could have also have brought a few. The reality if he had a more centrist approach he would have had greater all around support and he would have been able to put much more pressure on her much earlier and forced her resignation... indeed he would prob have won the election...


Besides all of this is pointless.... its obvious that he is not the man for the job.... FFS its says it all when he has to have someone like Diane Abbot as a senior member of his cabinet

Outline the united position that Barry Gardiner, John Mann, Yvette Cooper, Jess Philips and Kier Starmer are "more or less united on Brexit on"?

Current estimation is that up to 45 Labour MPs would stand in the way of a second referendum if asked to vote in favour of it. The number that would ignore the whip if Labour backed May's deal is unknown but likely to be 100+. Your tactics for dealing with rebels couldn't cope with these numbers.

Outline the policy positions adopted by Soubry, Allen and Wollaston over the years that they could reconcile with joining Labour - any version of the Labour Party noting that only 2 Tory MPs have ever defected to Labour in history including all previous centrist versions of the Party under other leaders

So what is your opinion (given you don't like ideological politicians) of these LDs and Tories that will let a no deal happen if the only alternative is a 90 day caretaker Labour government

You think a 3 way Vote is going to bring a conclusion to this?? To be honest that reads like a massive failure on your part to grasp the basics of the situation but i'll happily read your response outlining how it would work?

What numbers are you using for these swing seat that Labour would lose and win???

Your point 5 is wonderfully loose and plucked from the realm of fantasy. No confidence votes are exceptionally difficult to pull off. You need Tory MPs to end their own careers. Some older MPs or ones already resigned to deselection are prime targets but the numbers were never within reach back then. They are closer now (as there is a reducing number of Labour rebels as the Tory position hardens)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 30, 2019, 10:02:20 AM
Quote from: magpie seanie on August 30, 2019, 09:38:40 AM
It's absolutely mind boggling that otherwise sensible people still persist with blaming Corbyn on this issue. Jo Swinson, who facilitated Cameron's government, is clearly more to blame but she's the darling of the remainers for some bizarre reason.

There's also another inconvenient fact that people tend to forget. The British people voted to leave the EU. People ranting and raving about "we didn't understand the consequences" or "we were lied to" like it was the first time the full truth wasn't spelled out in ABC terms to the public? Grow up for heavens sake. I don't want Britain to leave the EU, certainly not on a no-deal basis, but you can't blame Jeremy Corbyn for respecting the result of the referendum. Madness.

And another thing - I would have thought people from here would be well attuned to smear campaigns from the British establishment. Anyone who genuinely believe Corbyn is anti-semitic or tolerates anti-semitism is simply a fool. This is a man who has fought injustice all his life and has always come out on the right side of history. Even back when he was derided for supporting that "terrorist" Mandela, when he had to balls to try and work for peace in NI, the list goes on. The picture painted of him and sadly swallowed by many is a pathetic caricature. The Tories and their Blairite friends have underestimated him time and again. I believe they've done so again and will pay a heavy price this time.

Fair enough. But the biggest issue of the last 3 years has been Brexit and he's been all over the place on it. From wanting to leave to now wanting to Remain. Hardly what you'd expect from the leader of the opposition and someone who wants to be PM.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:27:35 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 30, 2019, 10:02:20 AM
Quote from: magpie seanie on August 30, 2019, 09:38:40 AM
It's absolutely mind boggling that otherwise sensible people still persist with blaming Corbyn on this issue. Jo Swinson, who facilitated Cameron's government, is clearly more to blame but she's the darling of the remainers for some bizarre reason.

There's also another inconvenient fact that people tend to forget. The British people voted to leave the EU. People ranting and raving about "we didn't understand the consequences" or "we were lied to" like it was the first time the full truth wasn't spelled out in ABC terms to the public? Grow up for heavens sake. I don't want Britain to leave the EU, certainly not on a no-deal basis, but you can't blame Jeremy Corbyn for respecting the result of the referendum. Madness.

And another thing - I would have thought people from here would be well attuned to smear campaigns from the British establishment. Anyone who genuinely believe Corbyn is anti-semitic or tolerates anti-semitism is simply a fool. This is a man who has fought injustice all his life and has always come out on the right side of history. Even back when he was derided for supporting that "terrorist" Mandela, when he had to balls to try and work for peace in NI, the list goes on. The picture painted of him and sadly swallowed by many is a pathetic caricature. The Tories and their Blairite friends have underestimated him time and again. I believe they've done so again and will pay a heavy price this time.

Fair enough. But the biggest issue of the last 3 years has been Brexit and he's been all over the place on it. From wanting to leave to now wanting to Remain. Hardly what you'd expect from the leader of the opposition and someone who wants to be PM.

2 key points that need to be factored into that line of thought

Firstly any large broad based party is not united on this issue. If forced Labour into say an outright remain position the party splits. A split isn't measured in the number of MPs that go to one side or the other. It's the split in every constituency that kills the party. The same applies to an outright support for a specific leave position and Labour were never going to be the party of no deal. A second referendum appears at first glance to offer a way out but that is illusionary. Second vote proponents have themselves frequently said it was "too early" to push for one in parliament. Indicating that it is not straight forward. Added to that if a second referendum is to be decisive it needs to be binary and specific. The first vote was binary but not specific and look at the mess. If it's to be binary then you need to get rid of one of the three option (deal, no deal, remain). Which one are you going to get rid off? If Deal stays then what deal? If Deal goes then it's Russian roulette with Remain vs No Deal. f**k!!!!!

Second point is that whatever you say about Brexit it has at the very least from the moment of the referendum result been complicated. Offers of simple solutions are quickly exposed. Populists telling people what they want to hear offers no way forward. Populists telling different groups differing simplistic tropes at the same time is why we are here and where our ire should be directed. Corbyn is not and has not been the problem
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 10:40:40 AM
Corbyn has his own agenda in relation to leaving EU regulations so that he can nationalise things and suchlike.
Labour's contribution should have been to propose a moderate Brexit, respecting the referendum but moving forward in a deliberate manner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:44:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 10:40:40 AM
Corbyn has his own agenda in relation to leaving EU regulations so that he can nationalise things and suchlike.
Labour's contribution should have been to propose a moderate Brexit, respecting the referendum but moving forward in a deliberate manner.

A moderate Brexit? Like not having Mays 5 red lines?? Is that not what he tried to do?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 30, 2019, 11:51:42 AM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:27:35 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 30, 2019, 10:02:20 AM
Quote from: magpie seanie on August 30, 2019, 09:38:40 AM
It's absolutely mind boggling that otherwise sensible people still persist with blaming Corbyn on this issue. Jo Swinson, who facilitated Cameron's government, is clearly more to blame but she's the darling of the remainers for some bizarre reason.

There's also another inconvenient fact that people tend to forget. The British people voted to leave the EU. People ranting and raving about "we didn't understand the consequences" or "we were lied to" like it was the first time the full truth wasn't spelled out in ABC terms to the public? Grow up for heavens sake. I don't want Britain to leave the EU, certainly not on a no-deal basis, but you can't blame Jeremy Corbyn for respecting the result of the referendum. Madness.

And another thing - I would have thought people from here would be well attuned to smear campaigns from the British establishment. Anyone who genuinely believe Corbyn is anti-semitic or tolerates anti-semitism is simply a fool. This is a man who has fought injustice all his life and has always come out on the right side of history. Even back when he was derided for supporting that "terrorist" Mandela, when he had to balls to try and work for peace in NI, the list goes on. The picture painted of him and sadly swallowed by many is a pathetic caricature. The Tories and their Blairite friends have underestimated him time and again. I believe they've done so again and will pay a heavy price this time.

Fair enough. But the biggest issue of the last 3 years has been Brexit and he's been all over the place on it. From wanting to leave to now wanting to Remain. Hardly what you'd expect from the leader of the opposition and someone who wants to be PM.

2 key points that need to be factored into that line of thought

Firstly any large broad based party is not united on this issue. If forced Labour into say an outright remain position the party splits. A split isn't measured in the number of MPs that go to one side or the other. It's the split in every constituency that kills the party. The same applies to an outright support for a specific leave position and Labour were never going to be the party of no deal. A second referendum appears at first glance to offer a way out but that is illusionary. Second vote proponents have themselves frequently said it was "too early" to push for one in parliament. Indicating that it is not straight forward. Added to that if a second referendum is to be decisive it needs to be binary and specific. The first vote was binary but not specific and look at the mess. If it's to be binary then you need to get rid of one of the three option (deal, no deal, remain). Which one are you going to get rid off? If Deal stays then what deal? If Deal goes then it's Russian roulette with Remain vs No Deal. f**k!!!!!

Second point is that whatever you say about Brexit it has at the very least from the moment of the referendum result been complicated. Offers of simple solutions are quickly exposed. Populists telling people what they want to hear offers no way forward. Populists telling different groups differing simplistic tropes at the same time is why we are here and where our ire should be directed. Corbyn is not and has not been the problem

Few quick points.
He is the leader of the party. It is part of his remit to unite them. To Lead them. If he cannot unite his own party then how can he reasonably expect to win a general election? This is an example of how weak he is. He is un-electable.
Part of the reason there was such a high leave vote was down to his own wishy-washy language and half-hearted campaigning.
Teresa May was probably the worst PM in this last 100 years. He constantly got beaten at the dispatch box by her.  It was her own party that killed her off and not him. This is telling. She didn't even have a majority in the HOC and he still couldn't oust the Tories.


Brexit has defined this last 5 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on August 30, 2019, 12:21:35 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 30, 2019, 11:51:42 AM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:27:35 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 30, 2019, 10:02:20 AM
Quote from: magpie seanie on August 30, 2019, 09:38:40 AM
It's absolutely mind boggling that otherwise sensible people still persist with blaming Corbyn on this issue. Jo Swinson, who facilitated Cameron's government, is clearly more to blame but she's the darling of the remainers for some bizarre reason.

There's also another inconvenient fact that people tend to forget. The British people voted to leave the EU. People ranting and raving about "we didn't understand the consequences" or "we were lied to" like it was the first time the full truth wasn't spelled out in ABC terms to the public? Grow up for heavens sake. I don't want Britain to leave the EU, certainly not on a no-deal basis, but you can't blame Jeremy Corbyn for respecting the result of the referendum. Madness.

And another thing - I would have thought people from here would be well attuned to smear campaigns from the British establishment. Anyone who genuinely believe Corbyn is anti-semitic or tolerates anti-semitism is simply a fool. This is a man who has fought injustice all his life and has always come out on the right side of history. Even back when he was derided for supporting that "terrorist" Mandela, when he had to balls to try and work for peace in NI, the list goes on. The picture painted of him and sadly swallowed by many is a pathetic caricature. The Tories and their Blairite friends have underestimated him time and again. I believe they've done so again and will pay a heavy price this time.

Fair enough. But the biggest issue of the last 3 years has been Brexit and he's been all over the place on it. From wanting to leave to now wanting to Remain. Hardly what you'd expect from the leader of the opposition and someone who wants to be PM.

2 key points that need to be factored into that line of thought

Firstly any large broad based party is not united on this issue. If forced Labour into say an outright remain position the party splits. A split isn't measured in the number of MPs that go to one side or the other. It's the split in every constituency that kills the party. The same applies to an outright support for a specific leave position and Labour were never going to be the party of no deal. A second referendum appears at first glance to offer a way out but that is illusionary. Second vote proponents have themselves frequently said it was "too early" to push for one in parliament. Indicating that it is not straight forward. Added to that if a second referendum is to be decisive it needs to be binary and specific. The first vote was binary but not specific and look at the mess. If it's to be binary then you need to get rid of one of the three option (deal, no deal, remain). Which one are you going to get rid off? If Deal stays then what deal? If Deal goes then it's Russian roulette with Remain vs No Deal. f**k!!!!!

Second point is that whatever you say about Brexit it has at the very least from the moment of the referendum result been complicated. Offers of simple solutions are quickly exposed. Populists telling people what they want to hear offers no way forward. Populists telling different groups differing simplistic tropes at the same time is why we are here and where our ire should be directed. Corbyn is not and has not been the problem

Few quick points.
He is the leader of the party. It is part of his remit to unite them. To Lead them. If he cannot unite his own party then how can he reasonably expect to win a general election? This is an example of how weak he is. He is un-electable.
Part of the reason there was such a high leave vote was down to his own wishy-washy language and half-hearted campaigning.
Teresa May was probably the worst PM in this last 100 years. He constantly got beaten at the dispatch box by her.  It was her own party that killed her off and not him. This is telling. She didn't even have a majority in the HOC and he still couldn't oust the Tories.


Brexit has defined this last 5 years.

It wasn't Corbyn alone that couldn't unite his party, look at the Tory defections this year. Brexit has now divided *England* along Remain/Leave lines rather than party political lines.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:32:27 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 30, 2019, 11:51:42 AM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:27:35 AM
Quote from: trailer on August 30, 2019, 10:02:20 AM
Quote from: magpie seanie on August 30, 2019, 09:38:40 AM
It's absolutely mind boggling that otherwise sensible people still persist with blaming Corbyn on this issue. Jo Swinson, who facilitated Cameron's government, is clearly more to blame but she's the darling of the remainers for some bizarre reason.

There's also another inconvenient fact that people tend to forget. The British people voted to leave the EU. People ranting and raving about "we didn't understand the consequences" or "we were lied to" like it was the first time the full truth wasn't spelled out in ABC terms to the public? Grow up for heavens sake. I don't want Britain to leave the EU, certainly not on a no-deal basis, but you can't blame Jeremy Corbyn for respecting the result of the referendum. Madness.

And another thing - I would have thought people from here would be well attuned to smear campaigns from the British establishment. Anyone who genuinely believe Corbyn is anti-semitic or tolerates anti-semitism is simply a fool. This is a man who has fought injustice all his life and has always come out on the right side of history. Even back when he was derided for supporting that "terrorist" Mandela, when he had to balls to try and work for peace in NI, the list goes on. The picture painted of him and sadly swallowed by many is a pathetic caricature. The Tories and their Blairite friends have underestimated him time and again. I believe they've done so again and will pay a heavy price this time.

Fair enough. But the biggest issue of the last 3 years has been Brexit and he's been all over the place on it. From wanting to leave to now wanting to Remain. Hardly what you'd expect from the leader of the opposition and someone who wants to be PM.

2 key points that need to be factored into that line of thought

Firstly any large broad based party is not united on this issue. If forced Labour into say an outright remain position the party splits. A split isn't measured in the number of MPs that go to one side or the other. It's the split in every constituency that kills the party. The same applies to an outright support for a specific leave position and Labour were never going to be the party of no deal. A second referendum appears at first glance to offer a way out but that is illusionary. Second vote proponents have themselves frequently said it was "too early" to push for one in parliament. Indicating that it is not straight forward. Added to that if a second referendum is to be decisive it needs to be binary and specific. The first vote was binary but not specific and look at the mess. If it's to be binary then you need to get rid of one of the three option (deal, no deal, remain). Which one are you going to get rid off? If Deal stays then what deal? If Deal goes then it's Russian roulette with Remain vs No Deal. f**k!!!!!

Second point is that whatever you say about Brexit it has at the very least from the moment of the referendum result been complicated. Offers of simple solutions are quickly exposed. Populists telling people what they want to hear offers no way forward. Populists telling different groups differing simplistic tropes at the same time is why we are here and where our ire should be directed. Corbyn is not and has not been the problem

Few quick points.
He is the leader of the party. It is part of his remit to unite them. To Lead them. If he cannot unite his own party then how can he reasonably expect to win a general election? This is an example of how weak he is. He is un-electable.
Part of the reason there was such a high leave vote was down to his own wishy-washy language and half-hearted campaigning.
Teresa May was probably the worst PM in this last 100 years. He constantly got beaten at the dispatch box by her.  It was her own party that killed her off and not him. This is telling. She didn't even have a majority in the HOC and he still couldn't oust the Tories.


Brexit has defined this last 5 years.

John Mann, Caroline Flint and Phil Wilson hold very different views on Brexit. How would you or anyone unite them?

Flint 'a position is a product of the referendum (personally votes remain but strongly in favour of leave now because of her constituents). Mann and Wilson ( who each represent factions) have held their views since before the referendum and from before Corbyn was party leader. In what way is then responsible for the division and how can he bring them together? If it's all about him what successful actions would an alternative leader have taken?

Corbin was wishy washy in the campaign. I get that. But look at some of the strong statements made on Brexit. Where have they got us. Not being bullied into telling lies or things he doesn't believe is Corbyn strongest suit. I say that as a passionate remainer.

Tories didn't have a majority. But they did have a pact that was never going to bring the Tories down.

If the Scottish court case fails by middle of next week you might get a vote of no confidence by close Friday. Not before
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:34:54 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 30, 2019, 09:01:07 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on August 29, 2019, 05:13:27 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 29, 2019, 05:06:47 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

Of course they do. SF think that Brexit will drive enough moderate unionists into the arms of nationalism to trigger a border poll, and they can smell a united Ireland within the next ten years.

Reasons why I don't like that strategy:


  • A border poll is far down the list of things that need to happen between now and Irish reunification
  • The north needs to make more progress on desegregation, but so far I'm not seeing any significant effort on SF's part to resolve the parades issue or desegregate the education system
  • If a border poll were to happen now the loyalists would go ballistic and there'd be another Ulster Covenant, probably with guns smuggled in from Russia this time instead of Germany
  • Possible civil war (or at least threats thereof) and demands for a repartitioned prod homeland in Antrim and Down.

SF are playing a dangerous game. Big constitutional shocks and redrawing of borders are not to be taken lightly. Brexit has unleashed dark forces that nobody could predict or handle. A border poll at this point would unleash even more.

I am beginning to realise that Sinn Fein need to stop trying to own a United Ireland. Let people work it out for themselves that it is the better option and keep Martina and her confrontational rhetoric quiet.

I used to Vote Sinn Fein, until this year!

The Irish Government needs to own what a United Ireland looks like.

Varadkar was right to say that a united Ireland would not just be the north morphed into the existing Dail setup and there'll need to be regionalised legislatures in place.

Have the Irish people mandated a government to "own" what a UI would look like?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 30, 2019, 12:45:17 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:34:54 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 30, 2019, 09:01:07 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on August 29, 2019, 05:13:27 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 29, 2019, 05:06:47 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

Of course they do. SF think that Brexit will drive enough moderate unionists into the arms of nationalism to trigger a border poll, and they can smell a united Ireland within the next ten years.

Reasons why I don't like that strategy:


  • A border poll is far down the list of things that need to happen between now and Irish reunification
  • The north needs to make more progress on desegregation, but so far I'm not seeing any significant effort on SF's part to resolve the parades issue or desegregate the education system
  • If a border poll were to happen now the loyalists would go ballistic and there'd be another Ulster Covenant, probably with guns smuggled in from Russia this time instead of Germany
  • Possible civil war (or at least threats thereof) and demands for a repartitioned prod homeland in Antrim and Down.

SF are playing a dangerous game. Big constitutional shocks and redrawing of borders are not to be taken lightly. Brexit has unleashed dark forces that nobody could predict or handle. A border poll at this point would unleash even more.

I am beginning to realise that Sinn Fein need to stop trying to own a United Ireland. Let people work it out for themselves that it is the better option and keep Martina and her confrontational rhetoric quiet.

I used to Vote Sinn Fein, until this year!

The Irish Government needs to own what a United Ireland looks like.

Varadkar was right to say that a united Ireland would not just be the north morphed into the existing Dail setup and there'll need to be regionalised legislatures in place.

Have the Irish people mandated a government to "own" what a UI would look like?

Do they need to?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 12:45:48 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:44:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 10:40:40 AM
Corbyn has his own agenda in relation to leaving EU regulations so that he can nationalise things and suchlike.
Labour's contribution should have been to propose a moderate Brexit, respecting the referendum but moving forward in a deliberate manner.

A moderate Brexit? Like not having Mays 5 red lines?? Is that not what he tried to do?

Yes, up to a point. But a really clear Labour model of Brexit has not come into public view. He probably could have sold Norway as a model, as a solidly social democratic place which only adheres to about one third of EU regulations.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:34:54 PM
Have the Irish people mandated a government to "own" what a UI would look like?

The Irish government have concentrated on trying to stabilise NI close to its present position. That allows a UI become a medium term project.
If the British carry on the way they are going then we are in uncharted waters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 01:13:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 12:45:48 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:44:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 10:40:40 AM
Corbyn has his own agenda in relation to leaving EU regulations so that he can nationalise things and suchlike.
Labour's contribution should have been to propose a moderate Brexit, respecting the referendum but moving forward in a deliberate manner.

A moderate Brexit? Like not having Mays 5 red lines?? Is that not what he tried to do?

Yes, up to a point. But a really clear Labour model of Brexit has not come into public view. He probably could have sold Norway as a model, as a solidly social democratic place which only adheres to about one third of EU regulations.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:34:54 PM
Have the Irish people mandated a government to "own" what a UI would look like?

The Irish government have concentrated on trying to stabilise NI close to its present position. That allows a UI become a medium term project.
If the British carry on the way they are going then we are in uncharted waters.

On Norway/Brexit only a small fraction of remainers (across all parties) have given up on Remain and rolled in behind Norway+.

If Corbyn had tried to whip or cajole that there would have been outright insurrection in the Labour Party. It's delusional on your part to even pretend this was a go to option. Especially as Labour cannot negotiate with EU

On NI I have no issue with their attitude to NI. Irish civil servants and ministers always seem to have a sound grasp of their role and responsibilities under GFA. Sadly same cannot always be said of some UK ministers

But I just don't get the idea that the RoI government should plan for a UI. Obviously if they campaigned for and won office on that basis then things would be different
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 01:21:16 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 01:13:36 PM
On Norway/Brexit only a small fraction of remainers (across all parties) have given up on Remain and rolled in behind Norway+.

In part because Labour never really pushed this either.

QuoteIf Corbyn had tried to whip or cajole that there would have been outright insurrection in the Labour Party. It's delusional on your part to even pretend this was a go to option. Especially as Labour cannot negotiate with EU

Norway and a confirmation referendum would have brought a lot on board.



QuoteBut I just don't get the idea that the RoI government should plan for a UI. Obviously if they campaigned for and won office on that basis then things would be different

They are nationalist parties, they need to have a general strategy for this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 30, 2019, 01:26:46 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 01:13:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 12:45:48 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:44:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 10:40:40 AM
Corbyn has his own agenda in relation to leaving EU regulations so that he can nationalise things and suchlike.
Labour's contribution should have been to propose a moderate Brexit, respecting the referendum but moving forward in a deliberate manner.

A moderate Brexit? Like not having Mays 5 red lines?? Is that not what he tried to do?

Yes, up to a point. But a really clear Labour model of Brexit has not come into public view. He probably could have sold Norway as a model, as a solidly social democratic place which only adheres to about one third of EU regulations.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:34:54 PM
Have the Irish people mandated a government to "own" what a UI would look like?

The Irish government have concentrated on trying to stabilise NI close to its present position. That allows a UI become a medium term project.
If the British carry on the way they are going then we are in uncharted waters.

On Norway/Brexit only a small fraction of remainers (across all parties) have given up on Remain and rolled in behind Norway+.

If Corbyn had tried to whip or cajole that there would have been outright insurrection in the Labour Party. It's delusional on your part to even pretend this was a go to option. Especially as Labour cannot negotiate with EU

On NI I have no issue with their attitude to NI. Irish civil servants and ministers always seem to have a sound grasp of their role and responsibilities under GFA. Sadly same cannot always be said of some UK ministers

But I just don't get the idea that the RoI government should plan for a UI. Obviously if they campaigned for and won office on that basis then things would be different

It should be an objective / aspiration / call it whatever you like, of every single Government of the ROI to unite Ireland. Therefore they should always have some plan.
I find it incredible that after everything we've suffered North and South recently and in the past that any Government of Ireland would not want to unite Ireland.
I've said it before but there appears to be only a thin vernier of Irishness painted over many in the 26. A reconciled, prosperous and welcoming Ireland should be the goal of every Irish man, woman and child.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on August 30, 2019, 01:32:05 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on August 30, 2019, 09:38:40 AM
It's absolutely mind boggling that otherwise sensible people still persist with blaming Corbyn on this issue. Jo Swinson, who facilitated Cameron's government, is clearly more to blame but she's the darling of the remainers for some bizarre reason.

There's also another inconvenient fact that people tend to forget. The British people voted to leave the EU. People ranting and raving about "we didn't understand the consequences" or "we were lied to" like it was the first time the full truth wasn't spelled out in ABC terms to the public? Grow up for heavens sake. I don't want Britain to leave the EU, certainly not on a no-deal basis, but you can't blame Jeremy Corbyn for respecting the result of the referendum. Madness.

And another thing - I would have thought people from here would be well attuned to smear campaigns from the British establishment. Anyone who genuinely believe Corbyn is anti-semitic or tolerates anti-semitism is simply a fool. This is a man who has fought injustice all his life and has always come out on the right side of history. Even back when he was derided for supporting that "terrorist" Mandela, when he had to balls to try and work for peace in NI, the list goes on. The picture painted of him and sadly swallowed by many is a pathetic caricature. The Tories and their Blairite friends have underestimated him time and again. I believe they've done so again and will pay a heavy price this time.

+1.

I find it shocking how anyone, including some on this board, actually believe the propaganda and Tory press character assassination of Corbyn.  It was perfectly timed to prevent him being the PM in waiting, and the anti-semite accusation was nothing more than BS.  Read up on the man's stance over many years, just because he campaigns for Palestinian rights, as well as the the rights of any downtrodden across the globe, does not make him anti-semetic.  The usual Israeli propaganda being adopted by the Tory's now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on August 30, 2019, 01:36:33 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 01:13:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 12:45:48 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:44:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 10:40:40 AM
Corbyn has his own agenda in relation to leaving EU regulations so that he can nationalise things and suchlike.
Labour's contribution should have been to propose a moderate Brexit, respecting the referendum but moving forward in a deliberate manner.

A moderate Brexit? Like not having Mays 5 red lines?? Is that not what he tried to do?

Yes, up to a point. But a really clear Labour model of Brexit has not come into public view. He probably could have sold Norway as a model, as a solidly social democratic place which only adheres to about one third of EU regulations.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:34:54 PM
Have the Irish people mandated a government to "own" what a UI would look like?

The Irish government have concentrated on trying to stabilise NI close to its present position. That allows a UI become a medium term project.
If the British carry on the way they are going then we are in uncharted waters.

On Norway/Brexit only a small fraction of remainers (across all parties) have given up on Remain and rolled in behind Norway+.

If Corbyn had tried to whip or cajole that there would have been outright insurrection in the Labour Party. It's delusional on your part to even pretend this was a go to option. Especially as Labour cannot negotiate with EU

On NI I have no issue with their attitude to NI. Irish civil servants and ministers always seem to have a sound grasp of their role and responsibilities under GFA. Sadly same cannot always be said of some UK ministers

But I just don't get the idea that the RoI government should plan for a UI. Obviously if they campaigned for and won office on that basis then things would be different

I think it is incumbent on every Irish government to promote and plan for reunification of the island.  To not do so would be a betrayal of the founding fathers of the state as it currently stands ... imo of course.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 30, 2019, 01:37:48 PM
So we're not trailers version of "Irish" now?

Anyway Bozo and DUPUDA are doing just fine on advancing the All Ireland State.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on August 30, 2019, 01:47:05 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 30, 2019, 01:37:48 PM
So we're not trailers version of "Irish" now?

Anyway Bozo and DUPUDA are doing just fine on advancing the All Ireland State.

If one of your core beliefs is not to unite Ireland, then I don't see how you could call yourself an Irish man or woman.

Otherwise, what does it mean to be Irish? Is it I'm alright jack. Happy with my lot here in the 26.
I'm only holding up the mirror, you're the one looking at the reflection.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on August 30, 2019, 01:57:15 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 28, 2019, 09:50:04 PM
If only Sinn Fein would get up and help the people. They'll be guilty if a No-Deal happens.
It would make no difference. Seeing the Shinners enter Westminster would motivate a dozen or two Labour MPs to vote the other way if only to spite them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on August 30, 2019, 01:58:54 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 30, 2019, 01:47:05 PM

If one of your core beliefs is not to unite Ireland, then I don't see how you could call yourself an Irish man or woman.

I'm as Irish as you and yet the prospect of a messy united Ireland (and it would be very messy) scares me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:19:22 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 01:21:16 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 01:13:36 PM
On Norway/Brexit only a small fraction of remainers (across all parties) have given up on Remain and rolled in behind Norway+.

In part because Labour never really pushed this either.

QuoteIf Corbyn had tried to whip or cajole that there would have been outright insurrection in the Labour Party. It's delusional on your part to even pretend this was a go to option. Especially as Labour cannot negotiate with EU

Norway and a confirmation referendum would have brought a lot on board.



QuoteBut I just don't get the idea that the RoI government should plan for a UI. Obviously if they campaigned for and won office on that basis then things would be different

They are nationalist parties, they need to have a general strategy for this.

Where are you getting the evidence that there is a majority in favour of Norway plus? Which side (Remainers or No Dealers) are going to shelve their heart's desire to back it? Looking for something concrete here that Corbyn has got wrong??

What would the other option on the confirmatory referendum? (Directly linked to the point above)

FF and FG are nationalist in name only. Surely you know that at least??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 30, 2019, 12:45:17 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:34:54 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 30, 2019, 09:01:07 AM
Quote from: TheOptimist on August 29, 2019, 05:13:27 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on August 29, 2019, 05:06:47 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 29, 2019, 04:14:49 PM
SF didn't campaign for a remain vote. Now they won't help to stop no deal. It's as if they want Brexit. Oh yeah, that's right, they actually sit with the communists in the EU and actively campaigned for a NO VOTE IN EVERY SINGLE EU REFERENDUM.

But yeah, I'm an arsehole and SF are out to actually help the people.

BTW SF didn't offer a pack on FST or SB.

Of course they do. SF think that Brexit will drive enough moderate unionists into the arms of nationalism to trigger a border poll, and they can smell a united Ireland within the next ten years.

Reasons why I don't like that strategy:


  • A border poll is far down the list of things that need to happen between now and Irish reunification
  • The north needs to make more progress on desegregation, but so far I'm not seeing any significant effort on SF's part to resolve the parades issue or desegregate the education system
  • If a border poll were to happen now the loyalists would go ballistic and there'd be another Ulster Covenant, probably with guns smuggled in from Russia this time instead of Germany
  • Possible civil war (or at least threats thereof) and demands for a repartitioned prod homeland in Antrim and Down.

SF are playing a dangerous game. Big constitutional shocks and redrawing of borders are not to be taken lightly. Brexit has unleashed dark forces that nobody could predict or handle. A border poll at this point would unleash even more.

I am beginning to realise that Sinn Fein need to stop trying to own a United Ireland. Let people work it out for themselves that it is the better option and keep Martina and her confrontational rhetoric quiet.

I used to Vote Sinn Fein, until this year!

The Irish Government needs to own what a United Ireland looks like.

Varadkar was right to say that a united Ireland would not just be the north morphed into the existing Dail setup and there'll need to be regionalised legislatures in place.

Have the Irish people mandated a government to "own" what a UI would look like?

Do they need to?

Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:26:54 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on August 30, 2019, 01:36:33 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 01:13:36 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 12:45:48 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 10:44:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 10:40:40 AM
Corbyn has his own agenda in relation to leaving EU regulations so that he can nationalise things and suchlike.
Labour's contribution should have been to propose a moderate Brexit, respecting the referendum but moving forward in a deliberate manner.

A moderate Brexit? Like not having Mays 5 red lines?? Is that not what he tried to do?

Yes, up to a point. But a really clear Labour model of Brexit has not come into public view. He probably could have sold Norway as a model, as a solidly social democratic place which only adheres to about one third of EU regulations.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 12:34:54 PM
Have the Irish people mandated a government to "own" what a UI would look like?

The Irish government have concentrated on trying to stabilise NI close to its present position. That allows a UI become a medium term project.
If the British carry on the way they are going then we are in uncharted waters.

On Norway/Brexit only a small fraction of remainers (across all parties) have given up on Remain and rolled in behind Norway+.

If Corbyn had tried to whip or cajole that there would have been outright insurrection in the Labour Party. It's delusional on your part to even pretend this was a go to option. Especially as Labour cannot negotiate with EU

On NI I have no issue with their attitude to NI. Irish civil servants and ministers always seem to have a sound grasp of their role and responsibilities under GFA. Sadly same cannot always be said of some UK ministers

But I just don't get the idea that the RoI government should plan for a UI. Obviously if they campaigned for and won office on that basis then things would be different

I think it is incumbent on every Irish government to promote and plan for reunification of the island.  To not do so would be a betrayal of the founding fathers of the state as it currently stands ... imo of course.

If the "founding fathers" are still voting there needs to be a public inquiry ...... imo of course
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:29:00 PM
Quote from: trailer on August 30, 2019, 01:47:05 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 30, 2019, 01:37:48 PM
So we're not trailers version of "Irish" now?

Anyway Bozo and DUPUDA are doing just fine on advancing the All Ireland State.

If one of your core beliefs is not to unite Ireland, then I don't see how you could call yourself an Irish man or woman.


Are the passport collection points a costed proposal in your manifesto??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TheOptimist on August 30, 2019, 02:29:17 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on August 30, 2019, 01:32:05 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on August 30, 2019, 09:38:40 AM
It's absolutely mind boggling that otherwise sensible people still persist with blaming Corbyn on this issue. Jo Swinson, who facilitated Cameron's government, is clearly more to blame but she's the darling of the remainers for some bizarre reason.

There's also another inconvenient fact that people tend to forget. The British people voted to leave the EU. People ranting and raving about "we didn't understand the consequences" or "we were lied to" like it was the first time the full truth wasn't spelled out in ABC terms to the public? Grow up for heavens sake. I don't want Britain to leave the EU, certainly not on a no-deal basis, but you can't blame Jeremy Corbyn for respecting the result of the referendum. Madness.

And another thing - I would have thought people from here would be well attuned to smear campaigns from the British establishment. Anyone who genuinely believe Corbyn is anti-semitic or tolerates anti-semitism is simply a fool. This is a man who has fought injustice all his life and has always come out on the right side of history. Even back when he was derided for supporting that "terrorist" Mandela, when he had to balls to try and work for peace in NI, the list goes on. The picture painted of him and sadly swallowed by many is a pathetic caricature. The Tories and their Blairite friends have underestimated him time and again. I believe they've done so again and will pay a heavy price this time.

+1.

I find it shocking how anyone, including some on this board, actually believe the propaganda and Tory press character assassination of Corbyn.  It was perfectly timed to prevent him being the PM in waiting, and the anti-semite accusation was nothing more than BS.  Read up on the man's stance over many years, just because he campaigns for Palestinian rights, as well as the the rights of any downtrodden across the globe, does not make him anti-semetic.  The usual Israeli propaganda being adopted by the Tory's now.

I tend to agree and one of Corbyn's strenghts was shown at the time of the last election in that he gets his message across well when given the megaphone. Theresa May was expecting a massive victory but Corbyn run rings around herself and the Tories. Same thing could happen again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on August 30, 2019, 02:31:34 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM

Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

This is true. Also sums up why it's so foolish of people asking SF to now take their seats in Westminster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:34:28 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 30, 2019, 02:31:34 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM

Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

This is true. Also sums up why it's so foolish of people asking SF to now take their seats in Westminster.

But then nobody is accusing Fintan O'Toole of being a fool
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on August 30, 2019, 02:46:48 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:34:28 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 30, 2019, 02:31:34 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM

Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

This is true. Also sums up why it's so foolish of people asking SF to now take their seats in Westminster.

But then nobody is accusing Fintan O'Toole of being a fool

It's more directed at the people here who believe SF should take their seats.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 02:50:57 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:29:00 PM
Are the passport collection points a costed proposal in your manifesto??

You are going to have to explain that one.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:34:28 PM
But then nobody is accusing Fintan O'Toole of being a fool

Without such an accusation you can disagree with him on a particular issue.
Do you dispute that SF going to Westminster would lead to a whole new issue of terrorists in government arising?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 03:31:51 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 09:41:20 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 10:10:20 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 09:14:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.

Explain the actions that Corbyn should have taken that would have united the 4 divisions in his parliamentary party (being MPs in Remain constituencies, MPs in leave constituencies that voted leave overall, MPs in constituencies where the Labour vote voted to leave and fourthly Kate Hoey)?

Name the Tory MPs that would have moved across?

The caretaker government is going to do nothing other than extend Article 50 and call a general election. Name the MPs that object to no deal Brexit but will sit on their hands if Corbyn plays a role in the solution. More importantly outline your opinion of these MPs??

What coordinated Brexit strategy will get the buy in of Labour MPs, members and voters? You are arguing that Labour should be a clear party for Leave

You say he could have won a no confidence vote. On what date? Which Tory MPs would have voted for it? What commentators said it would have been won? Your talk of GE is conditional on your No confidence "argument"

So set out the details

1. His Parliamentary party is more or less united on Brexit, how many actually vote against the whip? 10 or something? Last time out it was only Hoey.... let her be and deselect at the next election. Or dig up some dirt and have a petition for her removal followed by a by election which she would be duly crucified by a Remain candidate. My point is he would have much more leverage and weight with the whip to easily deal with rebels if he had stable support but he doesn't... half his parliamentary party would love to get rid of him so he has to do everything by the book and he's always scrambling to appease someone?

2. Prob the ones that actually left the Tory party and formed another one with a group of Labour MPs.... who incidentally are pissed off with his economic delusion but use anti Seminitism as a smoke screen. And maybe some of the others who lost the whip.

3. The Lib Dems for a start... not to mention the sensible Remain Tories.

4. No, prob just support a ref2 and present it as a democratic 3 way vote with the exit deal presented as a third option. IN an election talk lots about the Brexit party and emphasis Tory austerity while presenting Labour as a sensible option of sustainable growth by a moderate tax regime which will providing income to support the NHS and social welfare. Then just cut your loses on the Leave seats, the marginal seats won would more than make up for the those lost.

5. Hmmm i dunno...... maybe after Theresa May's catastrophic series of record defeats? Being an unacceptable option as PM was enuff to deter them so being more acceptable and a few underhand tactics like promising weak Labour candidates in targeted marginal Remain seats could have also have brought a few. The reality if he had a more centrist approach he would have had greater all around support and he would have been able to put much more pressure on her much earlier and forced her resignation... indeed he would prob have won the election...


Besides all of this is pointless.... its obvious that he is not the man for the job.... FFS its says it all when he has to have someone like Diane Abbot as a senior member of his cabinet

Outline the united position that Barry Gardiner, John Mann, Yvette Cooper, Jess Philips and Kier Starmer are "more or less united on Brexit on"?

Current estimation is that up to 45 Labour MPs would stand in the way of a second referendum if asked to vote in favour of it. The number that would ignore the whip if Labour backed May's deal is unknown but likely to be 100+. Your tactics for dealing with rebels couldn't cope with these numbers.

Outline the policy positions adopted by Soubry, Allen and Wollaston over the years that they could reconcile with joining Labour - any version of the Labour Party noting that only 2 Tory MPs have ever defected to Labour in history including all previous centrist versions of the Party under other leaders

So what is your opinion (given you don't like ideological politicians) of these LDs and Tories that will let a no deal happen if the only alternative is a 90 day caretaker Labour government

You think a 3 way Vote is going to bring a conclusion to this?? To be honest that reads like a massive failure on your part to grasp the basics of the situation but i'll happily read your response outlining how it would work?

What numbers are you using for these swing seat that Labour would lose and win???

Your point 5 is wonderfully loose and plucked from the realm of fantasy. No confidence votes are exceptionally difficult to pull off. You need Tory MPs to end their own careers. Some older MPs or ones already resigned to deselection are prime targets but the numbers were never within reach back then. They are closer now (as there is a reducing number of Labour rebels as the Tory position hardens)

They vast majority high 90% have voted with the whip Who are those 45? Where were they during the meaning votes etc?

Certainly not the current policy of the Labour leadership, they upped sticks and left to join other Labour MPs that tell you that they cant be that far away from their position

What does my opinion matter on a Labour government..... it wont happen? If a no deal was allowed as that was presented as the only alternative it would be a shameful act by all involved. Whats your opinion on the Labour leadership allowing that situation to develop?

3 way vote is simple enough.... hardly really need to outline it. But sure that ship has sailed at this point

Poll numbers... a slim majority of the electorate appear to be remainers with some undecided... so a united strategy from that side and a centrist economic outlook should be enough to win the majority  over.

So its plucked from the realms of fantasy but its gonna happen... dunno what point your making there?


Besides this is pointless Corbyn is not the man for the job he is a slave to ideology not a political leader. If he was a stronger leader that reflected more broadly the position of the electrode he would have more support instead of fumbling around and constantly looking over his shoulder

Although I must say I am surprised that a Unionist  is so blindly supporting a potential British PM who supports a UI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:47:02 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 03:31:51 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 09:41:20 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 10:10:20 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 09:14:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.

Explain the actions that Corbyn should have taken that would have united the 4 divisions in his parliamentary party (being MPs in Remain constituencies, MPs in leave constituencies that voted leave overall, MPs in constituencies where the Labour vote voted to leave and fourthly Kate Hoey)?

Name the Tory MPs that would have moved across?

The caretaker government is going to do nothing other than extend Article 50 and call a general election. Name the MPs that object to no deal Brexit but will sit on their hands if Corbyn plays a role in the solution. More importantly outline your opinion of these MPs??

What coordinated Brexit strategy will get the buy in of Labour MPs, members and voters? You are arguing that Labour should be a clear party for Leave

You say he could have won a no confidence vote. On what date? Which Tory MPs would have voted for it? What commentators said it would have been won? Your talk of GE is conditional on your No confidence "argument"

So set out the details

1. His Parliamentary party is more or less united on Brexit, how many actually vote against the whip? 10 or something? Last time out it was only Hoey.... let her be and deselect at the next election. Or dig up some dirt and have a petition for her removal followed by a by election which she would be duly crucified by a Remain candidate. My point is he would have much more leverage and weight with the whip to easily deal with rebels if he had stable support but he doesn't... half his parliamentary party would love to get rid of him so he has to do everything by the book and he's always scrambling to appease someone?

2. Prob the ones that actually left the Tory party and formed another one with a group of Labour MPs.... who incidentally are pissed off with his economic delusion but use anti Seminitism as a smoke screen. And maybe some of the others who lost the whip.

3. The Lib Dems for a start... not to mention the sensible Remain Tories.

4. No, prob just support a ref2 and present it as a democratic 3 way vote with the exit deal presented as a third option. IN an election talk lots about the Brexit party and emphasis Tory austerity while presenting Labour as a sensible option of sustainable growth by a moderate tax regime which will providing income to support the NHS and social welfare. Then just cut your loses on the Leave seats, the marginal seats won would more than make up for the those lost.

5. Hmmm i dunno...... maybe after Theresa May's catastrophic series of record defeats? Being an unacceptable option as PM was enuff to deter them so being more acceptable and a few underhand tactics like promising weak Labour candidates in targeted marginal Remain seats could have also have brought a few. The reality if he had a more centrist approach he would have had greater all around support and he would have been able to put much more pressure on her much earlier and forced her resignation... indeed he would prob have won the election...


Besides all of this is pointless.... its obvious that he is not the man for the job.... FFS its says it all when he has to have someone like Diane Abbot as a senior member of his cabinet

Outline the united position that Barry Gardiner, John Mann, Yvette Cooper, Jess Philips and Kier Starmer are "more or less united on Brexit on"?

Current estimation is that up to 45 Labour MPs would stand in the way of a second referendum if asked to vote in favour of it. The number that would ignore the whip if Labour backed May's deal is unknown but likely to be 100+. Your tactics for dealing with rebels couldn't cope with these numbers.

Outline the policy positions adopted by Soubry, Allen and Wollaston over the years that they could reconcile with joining Labour - any version of the Labour Party noting that only 2 Tory MPs have ever defected to Labour in history including all previous centrist versions of the Party under other leaders

So what is your opinion (given you don't like ideological politicians) of these LDs and Tories that will let a no deal happen if the only alternative is a 90 day caretaker Labour government

You think a 3 way Vote is going to bring a conclusion to this?? To be honest that reads like a massive failure on your part to grasp the basics of the situation but i'll happily read your response outlining how it would work?

What numbers are you using for these swing seat that Labour would lose and win???

Your point 5 is wonderfully loose and plucked from the realm of fantasy. No confidence votes are exceptionally difficult to pull off. You need Tory MPs to end their own careers. Some older MPs or ones already resigned to deselection are prime targets but the numbers were never within reach back then. They are closer now (as there is a reducing number of Labour rebels as the Tory position hardens)

They vast majority high 90% have voted with the whip Who are those 45? Where were they during the meaning votes etc?

Certainly not the current policy of the Labour leadership, they upped sticks and left to join other Labour MPs that tell you that they cant be that far away from their position

What does my opinion matter on a Labour government..... it wont happen? If a no deal was allowed as that was presented as the only alternative it would be a shameful act by all involved. Whats your opinion on the Labour leadership allowing that situation to develop?

3 way vote is simple enough.... hardly really need to outline it. But sure that ship has sailed at this point

Poll numbers... a slim majority of the electorate appear to be remainers with some undecided... so a united strategy from that side and a centrist economic outlook should be enough to win the majority  over.

So its plucked from the realms of fantasy but its gonna happen... dunno what point your making there?


Besides this is pointless Corbyn is not the man for the job he is a slave to ideology not a political leader. If he was a stronger leader that reflected more broadly the position of the electrode he would have more support instead of fumbling around and constantly looking over his shoulder

Although I must say I am surprised that a Unionist  is so blindly supporting a potential British PM who supports a UI

My figure of 45 comes from Nick Watt. The highest figure I've seen is 50. That was was from Stephen Kinnock. I would believe Watt

Labour have put forward something. Others are free to so. And they might yet. I just find it incredible that someone can blame Corbyn for something somebody else hasn't done

A 3 way option on this issue is basically guaranteed to not provide a majority. It's a non solution. So yes you have a whole lot of explaining to do on it

You are asking for an end of at least a suspension of the party system. Not easy to do. Have other Remain leaders backed this?? Are you sure it wouldn't be trumped by the Leave campaign and Cummings?? It's high risk and highly complicated. To offer it as a solution and blame Corbin for it not happening is Trumpian in its sloganeering duplicity

My point on a no confidence vote is straight forward. The numbers were not there during the May period. Under Boris things are starting to change. Johnson's underhand tactics and his seeming appetite for no deal are stirring Tory rebels. The clock is running down so they feel they gotta act now. Also any Tory rebels have to counter any Labour rebels. If it's a no deal on offer then the number of Labour rebels recedes. There may be an opportunity to successfully prosecute a no confidence vote next week but there has not been to date. And people should not pretend that this has been sitting there as an easy option all along
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 02:50:57 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:29:00 PM
Are the passport collection points a costed proposal in your manifesto??

You are going to have to explain that one.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:34:28 PM
But then nobody is accusing Fintan O'Toole of being a fool

Without such an accusation you can disagree with him on a particular issue.
Do you dispute that SF going to Westminster would lead to a whole new issue of terrorists in government arising?

On the passports. I would hazard a guess that there are couple of million who possess Irish passports but by your definition have no business calling themselves Irish

Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:47:02 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 03:31:51 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 09:41:20 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 10:10:20 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 09:14:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.

Explain the actions that Corbyn should have taken that would have united the 4 divisions in his parliamentary party (being MPs in Remain constituencies, MPs in leave constituencies that voted leave overall, MPs in constituencies where the Labour vote voted to leave and fourthly Kate Hoey)?

Name the Tory MPs that would have moved across?

The caretaker government is going to do nothing other than extend Article 50 and call a general election. Name the MPs that object to no deal Brexit but will sit on their hands if Corbyn plays a role in the solution. More importantly outline your opinion of these MPs??

What coordinated Brexit strategy will get the buy in of Labour MPs, members and voters? You are arguing that Labour should be a clear party for Leave

You say he could have won a no confidence vote. On what date? Which Tory MPs would have voted for it? What commentators said it would have been won? Your talk of GE is conditional on your No confidence "argument"

So set out the details

1. His Parliamentary party is more or less united on Brexit, how many actually vote against the whip? 10 or something? Last time out it was only Hoey.... let her be and deselect at the next election. Or dig up some dirt and have a petition for her removal followed by a by election which she would be duly crucified by a Remain candidate. My point is he would have much more leverage and weight with the whip to easily deal with rebels if he had stable support but he doesn't... half his parliamentary party would love to get rid of him so he has to do everything by the book and he's always scrambling to appease someone?

2. Prob the ones that actually left the Tory party and formed another one with a group of Labour MPs.... who incidentally are pissed off with his economic delusion but use anti Seminitism as a smoke screen. And maybe some of the others who lost the whip.

3. The Lib Dems for a start... not to mention the sensible Remain Tories.

4. No, prob just support a ref2 and present it as a democratic 3 way vote with the exit deal presented as a third option. IN an election talk lots about the Brexit party and emphasis Tory austerity while presenting Labour as a sensible option of sustainable growth by a moderate tax regime which will providing income to support the NHS and social welfare. Then just cut your loses on the Leave seats, the marginal seats won would more than make up for the those lost.

5. Hmmm i dunno...... maybe after Theresa May's catastrophic series of record defeats? Being an unacceptable option as PM was enuff to deter them so being more acceptable and a few underhand tactics like promising weak Labour candidates in targeted marginal Remain seats could have also have brought a few. The reality if he had a more centrist approach he would have had greater all around support and he would have been able to put much more pressure on her much earlier and forced her resignation... indeed he would prob have won the election...


Besides all of this is pointless.... its obvious that he is not the man for the job.... FFS its says it all when he has to have someone like Diane Abbot as a senior member of his cabinet

Outline the united position that Barry Gardiner, John Mann, Yvette Cooper, Jess Philips and Kier Starmer are "more or less united on Brexit on"?

Current estimation is that up to 45 Labour MPs would stand in the way of a second referendum if asked to vote in favour of it. The number that would ignore the whip if Labour backed May's deal is unknown but likely to be 100+. Your tactics for dealing with rebels couldn't cope with these numbers.

Outline the policy positions adopted by Soubry, Allen and Wollaston over the years that they could reconcile with joining Labour - any version of the Labour Party noting that only 2 Tory MPs have ever defected to Labour in history including all previous centrist versions of the Party under other leaders

So what is your opinion (given you don't like ideological politicians) of these LDs and Tories that will let a no deal happen if the only alternative is a 90 day caretaker Labour government

You think a 3 way Vote is going to bring a conclusion to this?? To be honest that reads like a massive failure on your part to grasp the basics of the situation but i'll happily read your response outlining how it would work?

What numbers are you using for these swing seat that Labour would lose and win???

Your point 5 is wonderfully loose and plucked from the realm of fantasy. No confidence votes are exceptionally difficult to pull off. You need Tory MPs to end their own careers. Some older MPs or ones already resigned to deselection are prime targets but the numbers were never within reach back then. They are closer now (as there is a reducing number of Labour rebels as the Tory position hardens)

They vast majority high 90% have voted with the whip Who are those 45? Where were they during the meaning votes etc?

Certainly not the current policy of the Labour leadership, they upped sticks and left to join other Labour MPs that tell you that they cant be that far away from their position

What does my opinion matter on a Labour government..... it wont happen? If a no deal was allowed as that was presented as the only alternative it would be a shameful act by all involved. Whats your opinion on the Labour leadership allowing that situation to develop?

3 way vote is simple enough.... hardly really need to outline it. But sure that ship has sailed at this point

Poll numbers... a slim majority of the electorate appear to be remainers with some undecided... so a united strategy from that side and a centrist economic outlook should be enough to win the majority  over.

So its plucked from the realms of fantasy but its gonna happen... dunno what point your making there?


Besides this is pointless Corbyn is not the man for the job he is a slave to ideology not a political leader. If he was a stronger leader that reflected more broadly the position of the electrode he would have more support instead of fumbling around and constantly looking over his shoulder

Although I must say I am surprised that a Unionist  is so blindly supporting a potential British PM who supports a UI

My figure of 45 comes from Nick Watt. The highest figure I've seen is 50. That was was from Stephen Kinnock. I would believe Watt

Labour have put forward something. Others are free to so. And they might yet. I just find it incredible that someone can blame Corbyn for something somebody else hasn't done

A 3 way option on this issue is basically guaranteed to not provide a majority. It's a non solution. So yes you have a whole lot of explaining to do on it

You are asking for an end of at least a suspension of the party system. Not easy to do. Have other Remain leaders backed this?? Are you sure it wouldn't be trumped by the Leave campaign and Cummings?? It's high risk and highly complicated. To offer it as a solution and blame Corbin for it not happening is Trumpian in its sloganeering duplicity

My point on a no confidence vote is straight forward. The numbers were not there during the May period. Under Boris things are starting to change. Johnson's underhand tactics and his seeming appetite for no deal are stirring Tory rebels. The clock is running down so they feel they gotta act now. Also any Tory rebels have to counter any Labour rebels. If it's a no deal on offer then the number of Labour rebels recedes. There may be an opportunity to successfully prosecute a no confidence vote next week but there has not been to date. And people should not pretend that this has been sitting there as an easy option all along

Thats the most pessimistic Ive ever heard and not bore out on the critical votes so its really hypothetical fantasy stuff and since you've moved the goal posts a strawman into the bargin

Preference voting? Run off? not that much of stretch unless your deliberately trying to be obtuse

A major factor that the numbers weren't there during May's time was Corbyn himself..... but we're just going round in circles now

I not asking for anything but its probably thats prob the only route available at the minute considering how divided the remain side are. In the scenario that Labour had a more moderate stronger leader they could easily attract voters across the political spectrum and be a focal point to those opposed to a hard Brexit.

Besides I am not blaming Corbyn per se he's incapable, he is only doing what is in his powers which is the point your are trying to make and he is clearly not the man for the job. If there was a strong leader of the opposition he could easily command discipline within his own party and would be a rallying point for other no deal opponents.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on August 30, 2019, 11:04:38 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 02:50:57 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:29:00 PM
Are the passport collection points a costed proposal in your manifesto??

You are going to have to explain that one.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:34:28 PM
But then nobody is accusing Fintan O'Toole of being a fool

Without such an accusation you can disagree with him on a particular issue.
Do you dispute that SF going to Westminster would lead to a whole new issue of terrorists in government arising?

On the passports. I would hazard a guess that there are couple of million who possess Irish passports but by your definition have no business calling themselves Irish

Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days
But it would mean SF going against policy that they stood for and was voted for by the public. As you say to take the seats now would go against your view of democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 11:15:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days

I'm sure SF can withstand the abuse, but if it leads some other MPs to switch sides then they would do no good.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on August 31, 2019, 01:18:11 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 11:15:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days

I'm sure SF can withstand the abuse, but if it leads some other MPs to switch sides then they would do no good.

Am I the only one who thinks that if SF made a one time exception to their policy, they would actually win admirers N&S of the border. They could make what Dev called a "hollow oath". Because of what BoJo did, I also don't think many, if any, would change sides, such is their anger with the PM and what is seen as an anti-democratic move.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on August 31, 2019, 01:29:28 AM
Quote from: weareros on August 31, 2019, 01:18:11 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 11:15:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days

I'm sure SF can withstand the abuse, but if it leads some other MPs to switch sides then they would do no good.

Am I the only one who thinks that if SF made a one time exception to their policy, they would actually win admirers N&S of the border. They could make what Dev called a "hollow oath". Because of what BoJo did, I also don't think many, if any, would change sides, such is their anger with the PM and what is seen as an anti-democratic move.

Taking their seats can have no positive for SF, unless there was to be a vote in Parliament whether or not to have a border poll.  Why interrupt the nutters in Westminster when they're doing a fine job of realising SF's main aim. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 31, 2019, 01:37:50 AM
Quote from: weareros on August 31, 2019, 01:18:11 AM

Am I the only one who thinks that if SF made a one time exception to their policy, they would actually win admirers N&S of the border. They could make what Dev called a "hollow oath". Because of what BoJo did, I also don't think many, if any, would change sides, such is their anger with the PM and what is seen as an anti-democratic move.

I think they could justify an exception for a vote on a NI only backstop, for instance.
But showing up for votes that determine the direction of England breaks SFs own principles and causes a counter reaction. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 31, 2019, 09:50:46 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:47:02 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 03:31:51 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 09:41:20 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 10:10:20 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 09:14:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.

Explain the actions that Corbyn should have taken that would have united the 4 divisions in his parliamentary party (being MPs in Remain constituencies, MPs in leave constituencies that voted leave overall, MPs in constituencies where the Labour vote voted to leave and fourthly Kate Hoey)?

Name the Tory MPs that would have moved across?

The caretaker government is going to do nothing other than extend Article 50 and call a general election. Name the MPs that object to no deal Brexit but will sit on their hands if Corbyn plays a role in the solution. More importantly outline your opinion of these MPs??

What coordinated Brexit strategy will get the buy in of Labour MPs, members and voters? You are arguing that Labour should be a clear party for Leave

You say he could have won a no confidence vote. On what date? Which Tory MPs would have voted for it? What commentators said it would have been won? Your talk of GE is conditional on your No confidence "argument"

So set out the details

1. His Parliamentary party is more or less united on Brexit, how many actually vote against the whip? 10 or something? Last time out it was only Hoey.... let her be and deselect at the next election. Or dig up some dirt and have a petition for her removal followed by a by election which she would be duly crucified by a Remain candidate. My point is he would have much more leverage and weight with the whip to easily deal with rebels if he had stable support but he doesn't... half his parliamentary party would love to get rid of him so he has to do everything by the book and he's always scrambling to appease someone?

2. Prob the ones that actually left the Tory party and formed another one with a group of Labour MPs.... who incidentally are pissed off with his economic delusion but use anti Seminitism as a smoke screen. And maybe some of the others who lost the whip.

3. The Lib Dems for a start... not to mention the sensible Remain Tories.

4. No, prob just support a ref2 and present it as a democratic 3 way vote with the exit deal presented as a third option. IN an election talk lots about the Brexit party and emphasis Tory austerity while presenting Labour as a sensible option of sustainable growth by a moderate tax regime which will providing income to support the NHS and social welfare. Then just cut your loses on the Leave seats, the marginal seats won would more than make up for the those lost.

5. Hmmm i dunno...... maybe after Theresa May's catastrophic series of record defeats? Being an unacceptable option as PM was enuff to deter them so being more acceptable and a few underhand tactics like promising weak Labour candidates in targeted marginal Remain seats could have also have brought a few. The reality if he had a more centrist approach he would have had greater all around support and he would have been able to put much more pressure on her much earlier and forced her resignation... indeed he would prob have won the election...


Besides all of this is pointless.... its obvious that he is not the man for the job.... FFS its says it all when he has to have someone like Diane Abbot as a senior member of his cabinet

Outline the united position that Barry Gardiner, John Mann, Yvette Cooper, Jess Philips and Kier Starmer are "more or less united on Brexit on"?

Current estimation is that up to 45 Labour MPs would stand in the way of a second referendum if asked to vote in favour of it. The number that would ignore the whip if Labour backed May's deal is unknown but likely to be 100+. Your tactics for dealing with rebels couldn't cope with these numbers.

Outline the policy positions adopted by Soubry, Allen and Wollaston over the years that they could reconcile with joining Labour - any version of the Labour Party noting that only 2 Tory MPs have ever defected to Labour in history including all previous centrist versions of the Party under other leaders

So what is your opinion (given you don't like ideological politicians) of these LDs and Tories that will let a no deal happen if the only alternative is a 90 day caretaker Labour government

You think a 3 way Vote is going to bring a conclusion to this?? To be honest that reads like a massive failure on your part to grasp the basics of the situation but i'll happily read your response outlining how it would work?

What numbers are you using for these swing seat that Labour would lose and win???

Your point 5 is wonderfully loose and plucked from the realm of fantasy. No confidence votes are exceptionally difficult to pull off. You need Tory MPs to end their own careers. Some older MPs or ones already resigned to deselection are prime targets but the numbers were never within reach back then. They are closer now (as there is a reducing number of Labour rebels as the Tory position hardens)

They vast majority high 90% have voted with the whip Who are those 45? Where were they during the meaning votes etc?

Certainly not the current policy of the Labour leadership, they upped sticks and left to join other Labour MPs that tell you that they cant be that far away from their position

What does my opinion matter on a Labour government..... it wont happen? If a no deal was allowed as that was presented as the only alternative it would be a shameful act by all involved. Whats your opinion on the Labour leadership allowing that situation to develop?

3 way vote is simple enough.... hardly really need to outline it. But sure that ship has sailed at this point

Poll numbers... a slim majority of the electorate appear to be remainers with some undecided... so a united strategy from that side and a centrist economic outlook should be enough to win the majority  over.

So its plucked from the realms of fantasy but its gonna happen... dunno what point your making there?


Besides this is pointless Corbyn is not the man for the job he is a slave to ideology not a political leader. If he was a stronger leader that reflected more broadly the position of the electrode he would have more support instead of fumbling around and constantly looking over his shoulder

Although I must say I am surprised that a Unionist  is so blindly supporting a potential British PM who supports a UI

My figure of 45 comes from Nick Watt. The highest figure I've seen is 50. That was was from Stephen Kinnock. I would believe Watt

Labour have put forward something. Others are free to so. And they might yet. I just find it incredible that someone can blame Corbyn for something somebody else hasn't done

A 3 way option on this issue is basically guaranteed to not provide a majority. It's a non solution. So yes you have a whole lot of explaining to do on it

You are asking for an end of at least a suspension of the party system. Not easy to do. Have other Remain leaders backed this?? Are you sure it wouldn't be trumped by the Leave campaign and Cummings?? It's high risk and highly complicated. To offer it as a solution and blame Corbin for it not happening is Trumpian in its sloganeering duplicity

My point on a no confidence vote is straight forward. The numbers were not there during the May period. Under Boris things are starting to change. Johnson's underhand tactics and his seeming appetite for no deal are stirring Tory rebels. The clock is running down so they feel they gotta act now. Also any Tory rebels have to counter any Labour rebels. If it's a no deal on offer then the number of Labour rebels recedes. There may be an opportunity to successfully prosecute a no confidence vote next week but there has not been to date. And people should not pretend that this has been sitting there as an easy option all along

Thats the most pessimistic Ive ever heard and not bore out on the critical votes so its really hypothetical fantasy stuff and since you've moved the goal posts a strawman into the bargin

What Critical Votes have there been on a second referendum.

The account of a respected journalist that has been accurate to date in reporting the planned actions of MPs is not to be dismissed as hypothetical fantasy.
What goal posts have I moved? What is this talk of a strawman?? Seems a bit rambling.

Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
Preference voting? Run off? not that much of stretch unless your deliberately trying to be obtuse

Have you read The Economist article by Peter Kellner? I dont think Kellner is being obtuse when he completely rumbles the flaws in preference voting and a run off in trying to unpick the Brexit riddle. And I'm not being obtuse either.

Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
A major factor that the numbers weren't there during May's time was Corbyn himself..... but we're just going round in circles now

So spell it out. What were the numbers and who were the names of Tory MPs who were prepared to vote down a Tory government and end their own political careers during the May era and only refrained from doing so because of Corbyn. Bet you cant even name one.

Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
I not asking for anything but its probably thats prob the only route available at the minute considering how divided the remain side are. In the scenario that Labour had a more moderate stronger leader they could easily attract voters across the political spectrum and be a focal point to those opposed to a hard Brexit.
And what about the Leavers within Labour? Surely the Labour leader has to lsiten to them also? But then again you plain just dont believe Nick Watt and reliable political sources. You stick to your alternative facts

Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
Besides I am not blaming Corbyn per se he's incapable, he is only doing what is in his powers which is the point your are trying to make and he is clearly not the man for the job. If there was a strong leader of the opposition he could easily command discipline within his own party and would be a rallying point for other no deal opponents.
Discipline on Europe?? Name me the alternative Labour Leader that can hold Caroline Flint, Kate Hoey, John Mann, Stephen Kinnock, Phil Wilson, Ian Lavery, Yvette Cooper and Hillary Benn to a single position on Europe?? And when you are naming the alternative leader tell me what their position on Europe would be??

I will let you off on Hoey. But who is going to unify the rest?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 31, 2019, 10:00:00 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 30, 2019, 11:04:38 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 02:50:57 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:29:00 PM
Are the passport collection points a costed proposal in your manifesto??

You are going to have to explain that one.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:34:28 PM
But then nobody is accusing Fintan O'Toole of being a fool

Without such an accusation you can disagree with him on a particular issue.
Do you dispute that SF going to Westminster would lead to a whole new issue of terrorists in government arising?

On the passports. I would hazard a guess that there are couple of million who possess Irish passports but by your definition have no business calling themselves Irish

Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days
But it would mean SF going against policy that they stood for and was voted for by the public. As you say to take the seats now would go against your view of democracy.

SF could very easily stuck between a rock and a hard place of their own making.

If we end up in a financial meltdown (not making a comment on the likelihood of that) with SF having been in a position to prevent it (not saying we are there yet but could easily get there) then SF will be perfectly free to quote their principles. I'm not sure how receptive the future audience will be though?

None of my concern though
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 31, 2019, 10:02:06 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 11:15:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days

I'm sure SF can withstand the abuse, but if it leads some other MPs to switch sides then they would do no good.

Maybe if SF are interesting in stopping a no deal they will have done the preliminary inquiries to work that out?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on August 31, 2019, 10:04:24 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on August 31, 2019, 01:29:28 AM
Quote from: weareros on August 31, 2019, 01:18:11 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 11:15:10 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days

I'm sure SF can withstand the abuse, but if it leads some other MPs to switch sides then they would do no good.

Am I the only one who thinks that if SF made a one time exception to their policy, they would actually win admirers N&S of the border. They could make what Dev called a "hollow oath". Because of what BoJo did, I also don't think many, if any, would change sides, such is their anger with the PM and what is seen as an anti-democratic move.

Taking their seats can have no positive for SF, unless there was to be a vote in Parliament whether or not to have a border poll.  Why interrupt the nutters in Westminster when they're doing a fine job of realising SF's main aim.

Unless we get to the position where constituents (north or South) are poorer or materially poorer because of something SF neglected to do?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on September 01, 2019, 02:20:51 AM
So apparently Boris Johnson is going to call a General Election on Thursday to be held on the 17th October and any Tory MPs who actively campaign for against a No Deal Brexit will be deselected.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 09:37:42 AM
Quote from: LCohen on August 31, 2019, 10:00:00 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 30, 2019, 11:04:38 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 02:50:57 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:29:00 PM
Are the passport collection points a costed proposal in your manifesto??

You are going to have to explain that one.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:34:28 PM
But then nobody is accusing Fintan O'Toole of being a fool

Without such an accusation you can disagree with him on a particular issue.
Do you dispute that SF going to Westminster would lead to a whole new issue of terrorists in government arising?

On the passports. I would hazard a guess that there are couple of million who possess Irish passports but by your definition have no business calling themselves Irish

Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days
But it would mean SF going against policy that they stood for and was voted for by the public. As you say to take the seats now would go against your view of democracy.

SF could very easily stuck between a rock and a hard place of their own making.

If we end up in a financial meltdown (not making a comment on the likelihood of that) with SF having been in a position to prevent it (not saying we are there yet but could easily get there) then SF will be perfectly free to quote their principles. I'm not sure how receptive the future audience will be though?

None of my concern though

But they won't be. To take their seats now would be undemocratic. Most of the complaints will come from None SF voters. So I think to do an about turn now would have a greater impact on their audience.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 09:55:43 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 09:37:42 AM
Quote from: LCohen on August 31, 2019, 10:00:00 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on August 30, 2019, 11:04:38 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 30, 2019, 02:50:57 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:29:00 PM
Are the passport collection points a costed proposal in your manifesto??

You are going to have to explain that one.

Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:34:28 PM
But then nobody is accusing Fintan O'Toole of being a fool

Without such an accusation you can disagree with him on a particular issue.
Do you dispute that SF going to Westminster would lead to a whole new issue of terrorists in government arising?

On the passports. I would hazard a guess that there are couple of million who possess Irish passports but by your definition have no business calling themselves Irish

Who is saying that SF taking their seats would lead to terrorists in government or an allegation of terrorists in government. Anyway allegations. We can withstand that for 90 days
But it would mean SF going against policy that they stood for and was voted for by the public. As you say to take the seats now would go against your view of democracy.

SF could very easily stuck between a rock and a hard place of their own making.

If we end up in a financial meltdown (not making a comment on the likelihood of that) with SF having been in a position to prevent it (not saying we are there yet but could easily get there) then SF will be perfectly free to quote their principles. I'm not sure how receptive the future audience will be though?

None of my concern though

But they won't be. To take their seats now would be undemocratic. Most of the complaints will come from None SF voters. So I think to do an about turn now would have a greater impact on their audience.

Any response to the economic point?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 01, 2019, 10:32:59 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Exactly SF think SF is more important that Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:39:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 01, 2019, 10:32:59 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Exactly SF think SF is more important that Brexit.
Party thinks it's voters are more important to represent than non voter shocker.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 01, 2019, 10:50:31 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:39:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 01, 2019, 10:32:59 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Exactly SF think SF is more important that Brexit.
Party thinks it's voters are more important to represent than non voter shocker.

Exactly. We've seen the same play out when they protected sex offenders and paedophiles. Party first approach.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:35:06 PM
All parties are party first. If you think differently we'll agree to disagree and leave it there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:44:06 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Easy for you to say it's speculation. Less easy for SF. They seem to be warning gravely about the impact of a no deal Brexit. Maybe you think they are foolhardy, idiotic, reactionary or opportunistic but you cannot claim that they dismiss the potential impacts of no deal.

If a key vote is lost by the non participation of SF or a vote is not called because they cannot muster the numbers because of SF then it will not be a matter of speculation or indeed of opinion. Should that scenario arise then definitively SF will have the power to prevent a no deal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:45:15 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:39:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 01, 2019, 10:32:59 AM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Exactly SF think SF is more important that Brexit.
Party thinks it's voters are more important to represent than non voter shocker.

So SF supporters will be immune from the negative impacts of a no deal? Hardly credible

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:46:38 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:35:06 PM
All parties are party first. If you think differently we'll agree to disagree and leave it there.

If SF position is party over constituents them their campaign literature should say that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:51:45 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:46:38 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:35:06 PM
All parties are party first. If you think differently we'll agree to disagree and leave it there.

If SF position is party over constituents them their campaign literature should say that

Why just SF? You think SF is the only party that would do that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:54:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:44:06 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Easy for you to say it's speculation. Less easy for SF. They seem to be warning gravely about the impact of a no deal Brexit. Maybe you think they are foolhardy, idiotic, reactionary or opportunistic but you cannot claim that they dismiss the potential impacts of no deal.

If a key vote is lost by the non participation of SF or a vote is not called because they cannot muster the numbers because of SF then it will not be a matter of speculation or indeed of opinion. Should that scenario arise then definitively SF will have the power to prevent a no deal

Firstly the speculation is regarding SF's influence not Brexit. But I'm confused around your view of democracy now? Should SF disregard the mandate they were voted in under?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:29:40 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:51:45 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:46:38 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:35:06 PM
All parties are party first. If you think differently we'll agree to disagree and leave it there.

If SF position is party over constituents them their campaign literature should say that

Why just SF? You think SF is the only party that would do that?

I'm not claiming any party operates this way. They are your claims. Not mine
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:39:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:54:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:44:06 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Easy for you to say it's speculation. Less easy for SF. They seem to be warning gravely about the impact of a no deal Brexit. Maybe you think they are foolhardy, idiotic, reactionary or opportunistic but you cannot claim that they dismiss the potential impacts of no deal.

If a key vote is lost by the non participation of SF or a vote is not called because they cannot muster the numbers because of SF then it will not be a matter of speculation or indeed of opinion. Should that scenario arise then definitively SF will have the power to prevent a no deal

Firstly the speculation is regarding SF's influence not Brexit. But I'm confused around your view of democracy now? Should SF disregard the mandate they were voted in under?

The issue has not reached its denouement yet. So you can dismiss events yet to happen as speculation. My point is that could yet get to a key vote or an attempt at a key vote where the number are single figures.

I do not contest the fact that SF stood as an abstentionist party. To attend Parliament and vote would breach that principle and therefore be difficult for them. That is not to say they shouldn't do the difficult thing.

Not helping your constituents when you have the power to do so would surely also be difficult? Therefore decisions have to be made by republicanism.

Republicans have never claimed that murder was easy, recreational, enjoyable or done lightly. They (not I, for it is their logic) claimed they did it under a form of duress because they had to. It would be very curious if murder could be justified and participating in a vote couldn't

Curious to the point of not being believable
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 01, 2019, 02:06:46 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:39:13 PM

The issue has not reached its denouement yet. So you can dismiss events yet to happen as speculation. My point is that could yet get to a key vote or an attempt at a key vote where the number are single figures.

I do not contest the fact that SF stood as an abstentionist party. To attend Parliament and vote would breach that principle and therefore be difficult for them. That is not to say they shouldn't do the difficult thing.

Not helping your constituents when you have the power to do so would surely also be difficult? Therefore decisions have to be made by republicanism.

Republicans have never claimed that murder was easy, recreational, enjoyable or done lightly. They (not I, for it is their logic) claimed they did it under a form of duress because they had to. It would be very curious if murder could be justified and participating in a vote couldn't

Curious to the point of not being believable

I'm no admirer of SF. However, SF going to Westminster would likely do more harm than good and those calling on them to go have an agenda which is not about sorting out Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 02:25:59 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 01, 2019, 02:06:46 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:39:13 PM

The issue has not reached its denouement yet. So you can dismiss events yet to happen as speculation. My point is that could yet get to a key vote or an attempt at a key vote where the number are single figures.

I do not contest the fact that SF stood as an abstentionist party. To attend Parliament and vote would breach that principle and therefore be difficult for them. That is not to say they shouldn't do the difficult thing.

Not helping your constituents when you have the power to do so would surely also be difficult? Therefore decisions have to be made by republicanism.

Republicans have never claimed that murder was easy, recreational, enjoyable or done lightly. They (not I, for it is their logic) claimed they did it under a form of duress because they had to. It would be very curious if murder could be justified and participating in a vote couldn't

Curious to the point of not being believable

I'm no admirer of SF. However, SF going to Westminster would likely do more harm than good and those calling on them to go have an agenda which is not about sorting out Brexit.

That does not need to be guessed at though. It's too serious for guesswork.

Discussions can be had and soundings taken.

When this pans out whatever way it does people won't be satisfied with an "ah sure we didn't bother asking"  based defence. If people are on their uppers they will be even less forgiving
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 03:28:07 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:39:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:54:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:44:06 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Easy for you to say it's speculation. Less easy for SF. They seem to be warning gravely about the impact of a no deal Brexit. Maybe you think they are foolhardy, idiotic, reactionary or opportunistic but you cannot claim that they dismiss the potential impacts of no deal.

If a key vote is lost by the non participation of SF or a vote is not called because they cannot muster the numbers because of SF then it will not be a matter of speculation or indeed of opinion. Should that scenario arise then definitively SF will have the power to prevent a no deal

Firstly the speculation is regarding SF's influence not Brexit. But I'm confused around your view of democracy now? Should SF disregard the mandate they were voted in under?

The issue has not reached its denouement yet. So you can dismiss events yet to happen as speculation. My point is that could yet get to a key vote or an attempt at a key vote where the number are single figures.

I do not contest the fact that SF stood as an abstentionist party. To attend Parliament and vote would breach that principle and therefore be difficult for them. That is not to say they shouldn't do the difficult thing.

Not helping your constituents when you have the power to do so would surely also be difficult? Therefore decisions have to be made by republicanism.

Republicans have never claimed that murder was easy, recreational, enjoyable or done lightly. They (not I, for it is their logic) claimed they did it under a form of duress because they had to. It would be very curious if murder could be justified and participating in a vote couldn't

Curious to the point of not being believable

But SF could go against Absenteeism and still not make any difference. Where as it will without doubt make a difference to some of their current support and how they move forward. So I absolutely understand them not abandoning that policy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 03:58:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 03:28:07 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:39:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:54:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:44:06 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Easy for you to say it's speculation. Less easy for SF. They seem to be warning gravely about the impact of a no deal Brexit. Maybe you think they are foolhardy, idiotic, reactionary or opportunistic but you cannot claim that they dismiss the potential impacts of no deal.

If a key vote is lost by the non participation of SF or a vote is not called because they cannot muster the numbers because of SF then it will not be a matter of speculation or indeed of opinion. Should that scenario arise then definitively SF will have the power to prevent a no deal

Firstly the speculation is regarding SF's influence not Brexit. But I'm confused around your view of democracy now? Should SF disregard the mandate they were voted in under?

The issue has not reached its denouement yet. So you can dismiss events yet to happen as speculation. My point is that could yet get to a key vote or an attempt at a key vote where the number are single figures.

I do not contest the fact that SF stood as an abstentionist party. To attend Parliament and vote would breach that principle and therefore be difficult for them. That is not to say they shouldn't do the difficult thing.

Not helping your constituents when you have the power to do so would surely also be difficult? Therefore decisions have to be made by republicanism.

Republicans have never claimed that murder was easy, recreational, enjoyable or done lightly. They (not I, for it is their logic) claimed they did it under a form of duress because they had to. It would be very curious if murder could be justified and participating in a vote couldn't

Curious to the point of not being believable

But SF could go against Absenteeism and still not make any difference. Where as it will without doubt make a difference to some of their current support and how they move forward. So I absolutely understand them not abandoning that policy.

There were allegations of being obtuse floating around earlier. Maybe they need to be revived??

You entirely miss the point. Presumably you are doing this deliberately and consciously rather some intellectual frailty.

SF do face calls to end abstentionism. These predate Brexit and the threat of No Deal. The current calls are specific to Brexit and No Deal. They are part of a multi-party response to an imminent threat. Talks are ongoing between parties to coordinate the response. SF can be part of that coordination. They will know in advance if their votes will prove critical. This has been pointed out time and time again so your line of argument is devoid of any merit. Any
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 04:04:40 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 03:58:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 03:28:07 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:39:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:54:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:44:06 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Easy for you to say it's speculation. Less easy for SF. They seem to be warning gravely about the impact of a no deal Brexit. Maybe you think they are foolhardy, idiotic, reactionary or opportunistic but you cannot claim that they dismiss the potential impacts of no deal.

If a key vote is lost by the non participation of SF or a vote is not called because they cannot muster the numbers because of SF then it will not be a matter of speculation or indeed of opinion. Should that scenario arise then definitively SF will have the power to prevent a no deal

Firstly the speculation is regarding SF's influence not Brexit. But I'm confused around your view of democracy now? Should SF disregard the mandate they were voted in under?

The issue has not reached its denouement yet. So you can dismiss events yet to happen as speculation. My point is that could yet get to a key vote or an attempt at a key vote where the number are single figures.

I do not contest the fact that SF stood as an abstentionist party. To attend Parliament and vote would breach that principle and therefore be difficult for them. That is not to say they shouldn't do the difficult thing.

Not helping your constituents when you have the power to do so would surely also be difficult? Therefore decisions have to be made by republicanism.

Republicans have never claimed that murder was easy, recreational, enjoyable or done lightly. They (not I, for it is their logic) claimed they did it under a form of duress because they had to. It would be very curious if murder could be justified and participating in a vote couldn't

Curious to the point of not being believable

But SF could go against Absenteeism and still not make any difference. Where as it will without doubt make a difference to some of their current support and how they move forward. So I absolutely understand them not abandoning that policy.

There were allegations of being obtuse floating around earlier. Maybe they need to be revived??

You entirely miss the point. Presumably you are doing this deliberately and consciously rather some intellectual frailty.

SF do face calls to end abstentionism. These predate Brexit and the threat of No Deal. The current calls are specific to Brexit and No Deal. They are part of a multi-party response to an imminent threat. Talks are ongoing between parties to coordinate the response. SF can be part of that coordination. They will know in advance if their votes will prove critical. This has been pointed out time and time again so your line of argument is devoid of any merit. Any

Your right. We'll leave it there. I think we both know your previous post about democracy doesn't tie in with your thoughts on SF. There's a game on that s more important.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 05:16:16 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 04:04:40 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 03:58:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 03:28:07 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:39:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:54:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:44:06 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Easy for you to say it's speculation. Less easy for SF. They seem to be warning gravely about the impact of a no deal Brexit. Maybe you think they are foolhardy, idiotic, reactionary or opportunistic but you cannot claim that they dismiss the potential impacts of no deal.

If a key vote is lost by the non participation of SF or a vote is not called because they cannot muster the numbers because of SF then it will not be a matter of speculation or indeed of opinion. Should that scenario arise then definitively SF will have the power to prevent a no deal

Firstly the speculation is regarding SF's influence not Brexit. But I'm confused around your view of democracy now? Should SF disregard the mandate they were voted in under?

The issue has not reached its denouement yet. So you can dismiss events yet to happen as speculation. My point is that could yet get to a key vote or an attempt at a key vote where the number are single figures.

I do not contest the fact that SF stood as an abstentionist party. To attend Parliament and vote would breach that principle and therefore be difficult for them. That is not to say they shouldn't do the difficult thing.

Not helping your constituents when you have the power to do so would surely also be difficult? Therefore decisions have to be made by republicanism.

Republicans have never claimed that murder was easy, recreational, enjoyable or done lightly. They (not I, for it is their logic) claimed they did it under a form of duress because they had to. It would be very curious if murder could be justified and participating in a vote couldn't

Curious to the point of not being believable

But SF could go against Absenteeism and still not make any difference. Where as it will without doubt make a difference to some of their current support and how they move forward. So I absolutely understand them not abandoning that policy.

There were allegations of being obtuse floating around earlier. Maybe they need to be revived??

You entirely miss the point. Presumably you are doing this deliberately and consciously rather some intellectual frailty.

SF do face calls to end abstentionism. These predate Brexit and the threat of No Deal. The current calls are specific to Brexit and No Deal. They are part of a multi-party response to an imminent threat. Talks are ongoing between parties to coordinate the response. SF can be part of that coordination. They will know in advance if their votes will prove critical. This has been pointed out time and time again so your line of argument is devoid of any merit. Any

Your right. We'll leave it there. I think we both know your previous post about democracy doesn't tie in with your thoughts on SF. There's a game on that s more important.

I'm glad you admit that you argument is without merit.

I've no problem that going against abstentionism is difficult for republicanism. But does not absolve them from making a difficult decision. The logic of having to do things that you don't like is central to republicanism. They can't just ignore their own logic now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 05:28:43 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 05:16:16 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 04:04:40 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 03:58:05 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 03:28:07 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 01:39:13 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 12:54:59 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 12:44:06 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:29:01 AM
Not really as it's all speculation. I personally don't see SF having an impact regardless. So while some non supporters may be happy to level the blame at SF. That's not SF's concern. While taking their seats will without doubt have a negative impact on their future position. On top of becoming undemocratic as you agreed.

Easy for you to say it's speculation. Less easy for SF. They seem to be warning gravely about the impact of a no deal Brexit. Maybe you think they are foolhardy, idiotic, reactionary or opportunistic but you cannot claim that they dismiss the potential impacts of no deal.

If a key vote is lost by the non participation of SF or a vote is not called because they cannot muster the numbers because of SF then it will not be a matter of speculation or indeed of opinion. Should that scenario arise then definitively SF will have the power to prevent a no deal

Firstly the speculation is regarding SF's influence not Brexit. But I'm confused around your view of democracy now? Should SF disregard the mandate they were voted in under?

The issue has not reached its denouement yet. So you can dismiss events yet to happen as speculation. My point is that could yet get to a key vote or an attempt at a key vote where the number are single figures.

I do not contest the fact that SF stood as an abstentionist party. To attend Parliament and vote would breach that principle and therefore be difficult for them. That is not to say they shouldn't do the difficult thing.

Not helping your constituents when you have the power to do so would surely also be difficult? Therefore decisions have to be made by republicanism.

Republicans have never claimed that murder was easy, recreational, enjoyable or done lightly. They (not I, for it is their logic) claimed they did it under a form of duress because they had to. It would be very curious if murder could be justified and participating in a vote couldn't

Curious to the point of not being believable

But SF could go against Absenteeism and still not make any difference. Where as it will without doubt make a difference to some of their current support and how they move forward. So I absolutely understand them not abandoning that policy.

There were allegations of being obtuse floating around earlier. Maybe they need to be revived??

You entirely miss the point. Presumably you are doing this deliberately and consciously rather some intellectual frailty.

SF do face calls to end abstentionism. These predate Brexit and the threat of No Deal. The current calls are specific to Brexit and No Deal. They are part of a multi-party response to an imminent threat. Talks are ongoing between parties to coordinate the response. SF can be part of that coordination. They will know in advance if their votes will prove critical. This has been pointed out time and time again so your line of argument is devoid of any merit. Any

Your right. We'll leave it there. I think we both know your previous post about democracy doesn't tie in with your thoughts on SF. There's a game on that s more important.

I'm glad you admit that you argument is without merit.

I've no problem that going against abstentionism is difficult for republicanism. But does not absolve them from making a difficult decision. The logic of having to do things that you don't like is central to republicanism. They can't just ignore their own logic now.

Not without merit. I just couldn't square your logic. I think you were showing double standards with regards SF. I'm glad you accept that now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 06:25:14 PM
What double standard?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 06:55:41 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM


Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

This was your post. (Which I agree with). And would be one of the reasons why I believe SF can't now decide to take their seats without being undemocratic.
you've since muddied the water a bit but the reality is those are the two options. So for me it's a no brained for SF.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: PMG1 on September 01, 2019, 07:15:26 PM
I don't know why we are getting so worried about the impact a SF vote in parliament would have. SF's primary aim is a united Ireland, leaving things as they are at the minute and watching the British get into a mess like they are is quite clearly the best way they can forward their aim at the minute. The Tories throwing DUP under the bus which is inevitable the way things are going currently is the ideal scenario for SF so they are quite happy to sit back as they are currently doing. I am not a SF lover by the way but a united Ireland is definitely something I would like to be part of in the near future
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 08:02:28 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 06:55:41 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM


Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

This was your post. (Which I agree with). And would be one of the reasons why I believe SF can't now decide to take their seats without being undemocratic.
you've since muddied the water a bit but the reality is those are the two options. So for me it's a no brained for SF.

But you chose not to repeat my posts on either
A) competing principles and
B) having to do things you don't want to for the greater good

To make it easier for you I will repeat.

Abstentionism is one of SF's principles. Most politicians have or claim to have a principle of doing the right thing by their constituents. If SF do not share the latter principle then let's call that out. If they do have that principle the a situation is looming where 2 principles are in conflict. When that happens you have a decision to make and are in turn accountable for that decision. Same for everyone.

Republicanism is completely signed up to the fact that this conflict between principles exists. It is the essence of their justification of an armed struggle.

So the challenge on Brexit and specifically a no Deal very much lies at SF's door. Nothing you or SF have said shifts that challenge on from where it currently lies - at SF's doors
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 08:05:40 PM
Quote from: PMG1 on September 01, 2019, 07:15:26 PM
I don't know why we are getting so worried about the impact a SF vote in parliament would have. SF's primary aim is a united Ireland, leaving things as they are at the minute and watching the British get into a mess like they are is quite clearly the best way they can forward their aim at the minute. The Tories throwing DUP under the bus which is inevitable the way things are going currently is the ideal scenario for SF so they are quite happy to sit back as they are currently doing. I am not a SF lover by the way but a united Ireland is definitely something I would like to be part of in the near future

That is ok if SF are clear and upfront about. If SF are open that a UI trumps everything else and there is no financial cost to ordinary individuals north and south that they view as too high a price then they need to campaign on that basis
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 01, 2019, 08:35:30 PM
Who the f**k else are Republicans gonna vote for even if SF do take their seats to vote against a No Deal Brexit???!!

Son Fein have done loads of worse shit than actually look after the needs of their constituents... Pledge allegiance to the Queen??

McGuinness shook her f**king hand get off your high horse an help out the people who voted for you. God knows you've done nothing for anyone in the North for years!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 08:43:35 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 08:02:28 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 06:55:41 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM


Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

This was your post. (Which I agree with). And would be one of the reasons why I believe SF can't now decide to take their seats without being undemocratic.
you've since muddied the water a bit but the reality is those are the two options. So for me it's a no brained for SF.

But you chose not to repeat my posts on either
A) competing principles and
B) having to do things you don't want to for the greater good

To make it easier for you I will repeat.

Abstentionism is one of SF's principles. Most politicians have or claim to have a principle of doing the right thing by their constituents. If SF do not share the latter principle then let's call that out. If they do have that principle the a situation is looming where 2 principles are in conflict. When that happens you have a decision to make and are in turn accountable for that decision. Same for everyone.

Republicanism is completely signed up to the fact that this conflict between principles exists. It is the essence of their justification of an armed struggle.

So the challenge on Brexit and specifically a no Deal very much lies at SF's door. Nothing you or SF have said shifts that challenge on from where it currently lies - at SF's doors
I agree with most of the above. However absenteeism is a core policy for SF. To give it up, changes the entire outlook of the party. I understand competing principles. But you are looking to change one of the most core elements of the party on the back of a gamble that it might make a difference. Not logical in my eyes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on September 01, 2019, 09:05:30 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 08:43:35 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 08:02:28 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 06:55:41 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM


Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

This was your post. (Which I agree with). And would be one of the reasons why I believe SF can't now decide to take their seats without being undemocratic.
you've since muddied the water a bit but the reality is those are the two options. So for me it's a no brained for SF.

But you chose not to repeat my posts on either
A) competing principles and
B) having to do things you don't want to for the greater good

To make it easier for you I will repeat.

Abstentionism is one of SF's principles. Most politicians have or claim to have a principle of doing the right thing by their constituents. If SF do not share the latter principle then let's call that out. If they do have that principle the a situation is looming where 2 principles are in conflict. When that happens you have a decision to make and are in turn accountable for that decision. Same for everyone.

Republicanism is completely signed up to the fact that this conflict between principles exists. It is the essence of their justification of an armed struggle.

So the challenge on Brexit and specifically a no Deal very much lies at SF's door. Nothing you or SF have said shifts that challenge on from where it currently lies - at SF's doors
I agree with most of the above. However absenteeism is a core policy for SF. To give it up, changes the entire outlook of the party. I understand competing principles. But you are looking to change one of the most core elements of the party on the back of a gamble that it might make a difference. Not logical in my eyes.

As someone else said SF core policy went out the window when Martin shook the the queens hand. They can no longer take the stance against the uk involvement in northern ireland when they take their money meet with the heads of state. SF need to grow up and act for the people of ni and not just themselves.

What point is there their to sit back and blame dup when the whole of ni is in the shit and say we told you so without offering any alternatives
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on September 01, 2019, 09:10:39 PM
People vote for SF because they are SF, their policies or f**king lack of don't come into it. At the minute the UK only hear the DUP voice in Westminster. Hermon simply outnumbered as the voice of reason. Probably don't think the majority in n Ireland don't have an issue with brexit or they actually turn up and state their case, All the rumblings and standing up to the UK come from down south to fight our corner. It is literally  lost on me why people vote DUP and SF, and a UI will only happen through votes from the middle ground so that's why I know it never happy in my lifetime, probably why it doesn't bother me anymore.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 09:18:35 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 01, 2019, 09:05:30 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 08:43:35 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 08:02:28 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 06:55:41 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 02:22:43 PM


Well this is my view of Democracy. A party sets out what it's agenda is and seeks an electoral mandate. At a subsequent election it is judged on how it has delivered.

If you want an Irish government to plan for a UI then vote for politicians that say that is what they intend to do.

This was your post. (Which I agree with). And would be one of the reasons why I believe SF can't now decide to take their seats without being undemocratic.
you've since muddied the water a bit but the reality is those are the two options. So for me it's a no brained for SF.

But you chose not to repeat my posts on either
A) competing principles and
B) having to do things you don't want to for the greater good

To make it easier for you I will repeat.

Abstentionism is one of SF's principles. Most politicians have or claim to have a principle of doing the right thing by their constituents. If SF do not share the latter principle then let's call that out. If they do have that principle the a situation is looming where 2 principles are in conflict. When that happens you have a decision to make and are in turn accountable for that decision. Same for everyone.

Republicanism is completely signed up to the fact that this conflict between principles exists. It is the essence of their justification of an armed struggle.

So the challenge on Brexit and specifically a no Deal very much lies at SF's door. Nothing you or SF have said shifts that challenge on from where it currently lies - at SF's doors
I agree with most of the above. However absenteeism is a core policy for SF. To give it up, changes the entire outlook of the party. I understand competing principles. But you are looking to change one of the most core elements of the party on the back of a gamble that it might make a difference. Not logical in my eyes.

As someone else said SF core policy went out the window when Martin shook the the queens hand. They can no longer take the stance against the uk involvement in northern ireland when they take their money meet with the heads of state. SF need to grow up and act for the people of ni and not just themselves.

What point is there their to sit back and blame dup when the whole of ni is in the shit and say we told you so without offering any alternatives

Really? Not the view I had of it. Had no effect on why the party maintain absenteeism. SF don't get a salary from WM. SF have to act on behalf of their voters who gave them a mandate before anyone else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 09:33:33 PM
So here is what we now know from trueblue

1) If SF has to chose between Party Principle and constituent welfare constituents can f**k off
2) For SF a UI trumps everything else. No price is too high
3) there is an unexplained belief that SF voters will be shielded from the worst excesses of Brexit or no Deal. That probably needs a bit more explaining from some one
4) SF's whole shared space/shared future pretence is exactly that. If you don't vote SF you can f**k off

Illuminating day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 09:40:55 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 09:33:33 PM
So here is what we now know from trueblue

1) If SF has to chose between Party Principle and constituent welfare constituents can f**k off
2) For SF a UI trumps everything else. No price is too high
3) there is an unexplained belief that SF voters will be shielded from the worst excesses of Brexit or no Deal. That probably needs a bit more explaining from some one
4) SF's whole shared space/shared future pretence is exactly that. If you don't vote SF you can f**k off

Illuminating day.

I really don't know where to begin with that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 10:11:18 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 09:40:55 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 09:33:33 PM
So here is what we now know from trueblue

1) If SF has to chose between Party Principle and constituent welfare constituents can f**k off
2) For SF a UI trumps everything else. No price is too high
3) there is an unexplained belief that SF voters will be shielded from the worst excesses of Brexit or no Deal. That probably needs a bit more explaining from some one
4) SF's whole shared space/shared future pretence is exactly that. If you don't vote SF you can f**k off

Illuminating day.

I really don't know where to begin with that.

We know
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:14:43 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 10:11:18 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 09:40:55 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 09:33:33 PM
So here is what we now know from trueblue

1) If SF has to chose between Party Principle and constituent welfare constituents can f**k off
2) For SF a UI trumps everything else. No price is too high
3) there is an unexplained belief that SF voters will be shielded from the worst excesses of Brexit or no Deal. That probably needs a bit more explaining from some one
4) SF's whole shared space/shared future pretence is exactly that. If you don't vote SF you can f**k off

Illuminating day.

I really don't know where to begin with that.

We know
The posts are there for everyone. Verbal somersaults and all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 10:30:50 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:14:43 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 10:11:18 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 09:40:55 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 09:33:33 PM
So here is what we now know from trueblue

1) If SF has to chose between Party Principle and constituent welfare constituents can f**k off
2) For SF a UI trumps everything else. No price is too high
3) there is an unexplained belief that SF voters will be shielded from the worst excesses of Brexit or no Deal. That probably needs a bit more explaining from some one
4) SF's whole shared space/shared future pretence is exactly that. If you don't vote SF you can f**k off

Illuminating day.

I really don't know where to begin with that.

We know
The posts are there for everyone. Verbal somersaults and all.

Yes the posts there. No verbal somersault on my part. Every step explained and repeated for those slow on the uptake. No issues avoided or evaded on my part. As anyone who reads the posts will no doubt see
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: PMG1 on September 01, 2019, 11:58:36 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 08:05:40 PM
Quote from: PMG1 on September 01, 2019, 07:15:26 PM
I don't know why we are getting so worried about the impact a SF vote in parliament would have. SF's primary aim is a united Ireland, leaving things as they are at the minute and watching the British get into a mess like they are is quite clearly the best way they can forward their aim at the minute. The Tories throwing DUP under the bus which is inevitable the way things are going currently is the ideal scenario for SF so they are quite happy to sit back as they are currently doing. I am not a SF lover by the way but a united Ireland is definitely something I would like to be part of in the near future

That is ok if SF are clear and upfront about. If SF are open that a UI trumps everything else and there is no financial cost to ordinary individuals north and south that they view as too high a price then they need to campaign on that basis

They have nothing to gain by being upfront about it, say nothing and people can't question you on it, by saying something they risk being questioned on it and this would show them up as they would more than likely (a) be caught out lying or (b) people will realise that they are willing to risk the welfare of the people for the pursuit of their main aim. For their sake keeping quiet is their best policy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 02, 2019, 06:20:41 AM
Ask the questions and smoke them out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on September 02, 2019, 08:54:11 AM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 10:30:50 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 10:14:43 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 10:11:18 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on September 01, 2019, 09:40:55 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 01, 2019, 09:33:33 PM
So here is what we now know from trueblue

1) If SF has to chose between Party Principle and constituent welfare constituents can f**k off
2) For SF a UI trumps everything else. No price is too high
3) there is an unexplained belief that SF voters will be shielded from the worst excesses of Brexit or no Deal. That probably needs a bit more explaining from some one
4) SF's whole shared space/shared future pretence is exactly that. If you don't vote SF you can f**k off

Illuminating day.

I really don't know where to begin with that.

We know
The posts are there for everyone. Verbal somersaults and all.

Yes the posts there. No verbal somersault on my part. Every step explained and repeated for those slow on the uptake. No issues avoided or evaded on my part. As anyone who reads the posts will no doubt see

If you say so. Happy to let the posts do the talking as well. It's all there so we'll leave it at that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 02, 2019, 09:54:28 AM
Does a MP have to take that oath before they can take their seat?
What does it say?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on September 02, 2019, 10:37:53 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 02, 2019, 09:54:28 AM
Does a MP have to take that oath before they can take their seat?
What does it say?

Basically "I love HM The Queen & would do anything for her".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 02, 2019, 10:56:56 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 02, 2019, 09:54:28 AM
Does a MP have to take that oath before they can take their seat?
What does it say?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIaZaRmuU4Q)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 02, 2019, 11:16:21 AM
"I  will bear true allegiance to her majesty..."
A bit different to shaking someone's hand.
I presume the Shinners couldn't just turn up 2 minutes before a vote and walk through them lobby things?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on September 02, 2019, 11:35:55 AM
Each of them would have to learn a couple more words of Irish...such as tá & níl, to be able to do that. Then the British tellers wouldn't understand them anyway, so the votes wouldn't count.  Gregory Campbell would be shouting "curry my yoghurt" in the lobbies at them too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 02, 2019, 12:29:39 PM
No oath.

https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on September 02, 2019, 01:51:12 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 02, 2019, 12:29:39 PM
No oath.

https://twitter.com/markdurkan/status/1067124640164864001?lang=en

Well that solves one mystery - you don't read what you post  ;D

see first response to that tweet, outlining what the affirmation is  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 02, 2019, 03:31:25 PM
So if as expected a snap general election is called, what does Labour stand for, remain, leave with a deal, a second referendum, all of the above? Tories will deselect remainers so will stand solely on getting out deal or no deal.  It could be a masterstroke by BlowJob as the remainers like the shinners won't compromised whatsoever, expect a 50+ seat majority.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 02, 2019, 05:52:59 PM
Agree a snap election looks likely. Devil is in the details though. He can propose an election (which Labour can hardly refuse) without specifying the election date.

To have an election before crash out date it needs to be formally scheduled by 19/9.

If he hasn't called a pre crash out election by that date then Labour will have call a no confidence vote after prorogation but before 31/10.

To shore up the Tory vote he needs to see off the Brexit Party threat. Easy to see how that can be done but not so easy to see how the Tories could retain any Remain votes or very many soft Brexit votes. That said Cummings is a master of the dark arts and he will have war gamed this to death.

Labour's position has to offer something to remainers ( a second referendum with remain as an option being the minimum requirement) and the Leave Vote that doesn't want to run risk No Deal ( a period of negotiation without the hindrance of May's red lines prior to the referendum)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 02, 2019, 06:43:34 PM
So no election yet. Not really sure why the media were assembled for that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 02, 2019, 07:22:35 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 02, 2019, 03:31:25 PM
So if as expected a snap general election is called, what does Labour stand for, remain, leave with a deal, a second referendum, all of the above? Tories will deselect remainers so will stand solely on getting out deal or no deal.  It could be a masterstroke by BlowJob as the remainers like the shinners won't compromised whatsoever, expect a 50+ seat majority.

Brexit means more austerity since the tax take will fall.

Labour will campaign for a new economic system and payrises
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on September 02, 2019, 07:44:32 PM
What was that press conference all about - nothing new there?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 02, 2019, 07:58:18 PM
Quote from: marty34 on September 02, 2019, 07:44:32 PM
What was that press conference all about - nothing new there?

This is a guess but possibly the emergency cabinet meeting didn't quite run to Dominic's plan? The big announcement had to be deferred.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on September 02, 2019, 09:50:09 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 02, 2019, 07:58:18 PM
Quote from: marty34 on September 02, 2019, 07:44:32 PM
What was that press conference all about - nothing new there?

This is a guess but possibly the emergency cabinet meeting didn't quite run to Dominic's plan? The big announcement had to be deferred.

+1

Looks like they had to cobble some sort of a statement together after already having assembled the press.  I think that the knives are already being sharpened for Boris internally in the Tory ranks.  According to Wiki, 'George Canning was the shortest serving Prime Minister in British history. He served only 119 days in 1827'. Boris could possibly beat that record by a long way!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on September 02, 2019, 10:36:19 PM
Where does an election leave Snarlene?

If BOJO doesn't need DUP anymore wil he leave backstop in?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 03, 2019, 08:23:44 AM
Quote from: WT4E on September 02, 2019, 10:36:19 PM
Where does an election leave Snarlene?

If BOJO doesn't need DUP anymore wil he leave backstop in?

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/three-dup-mps-at-risk-in-snap-general-election-polls-suggest-38456413.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 03, 2019, 09:07:04 AM
Blair not convinced, and the truth of it is Corbyn hasn't a good public image, the best one can hope for is a coalition between SNP, Labour, Libs as I doubt Labour will win on their own.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49552403 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49552403)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on September 03, 2019, 09:10:03 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 03, 2019, 08:23:44 AM
Quote from: WT4E on September 02, 2019, 10:36:19 PM
Where does an election leave Snarlene?

If BOJO doesn't need DUP anymore wil he leave backstop in?

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/three-dup-mps-at-risk-in-snap-general-election-polls-suggest-38456413.html


SOUTH BELFAST 2017
DUP Emma Little Pengelly    13299
SDLP Allister Mc Donnell      11303
Allience Paula Bradshaw        7940
Sinn Fein Marin O Muilleoir    7143

NORTH BELFAST 2017

DUP Nigel Dodds                21240
Sinn Fein John Finucane      19159
Allience Sam Nelson             2475
SDLP  Martin Mc Auley          2045

EAST BELFAST 2017
DUP Gavin Robinson           23917
Allience Naomi Long           15443

Surely there has to be some agreement done to get rid of Little and Dodds the numbers are there, Allience may have a struggle to win back East Belfast as the shinners and SDLP numbers are only in the 100's.

But if agreement is not reached to get two more nationist seats in Belfast it will be a shame on Sinn Fein/SDLP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 03, 2019, 09:51:31 AM
The Tories are not negotiating with the EU. They want no Deal.
No Deal means more austerity and huge job losses.

The UK is not in business as usual
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 03, 2019, 11:32:23 AM
Will Sinn Fein form some pacts with Alliance/SDLP/Greens to maximise the remain vote for the upcoming election this time??

Better than that should Sinn Fein not contest it at all to make sure there is appropriate representation for Remain in Parliament and the /Tories have to overcome another 7/8/9 seats to get a majority??!!

Looks like it's all kicking off this week and a good chance that Bojo and Cummings have gone all in too soon and will now be backed into a corner.

Should be fun to watch like two eighty year olds fighting . . . entertaining but ultimately sad because we're going to be worse off for the experience!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 03, 2019, 11:45:44 AM
There's basically a civil war in the UK between one side that wants regulatory alignment with the US and the other that wants the status quo.
If the Tories win , Derry could have chlorinated chicken and pauperisation while across the border in Donegal would have quality food standards and decent wages.
And there would have to be a hard border


" And if I could I'd build a wall around old Donegal
The north and south to keep them out, by God I'd build it tall
Casinos, chicken ranches, I'd legalize them all
We'd have our own Las Vegas, in the hills of Donegal"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 03, 2019, 11:48:15 AM
SF and SDLP have to co operate in the 2 Belfast constituencies at the very least.
Whoever got the least votes last time to stand aside.

Also save money by not fielding in the predominantly Unionist Constituencies but advise their people to vote Alliance or Green on this occasion.
Latter 2 should co operate too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on September 03, 2019, 11:49:06 AM
Quote from: screenexile on September 03, 2019, 11:32:23 AM
Will Sinn Fein form some pacts with Alliance/SDLP/Greens to maximise the remain vote for the upcoming election this time??

Better than that should Sinn Fein not contest it at all to make sure there is appropriate representation for Remain in Parliament and the /Tories have to overcome another 7/8/9 seats to get a majority??!!

Looks like it's all kicking off this week and a good chance that Bojo and Cummings have gone all in too soon and will now be backed into a corner.

Should be fun to watch like two eighty year olds fighting . . . entertaining but ultimately sad because we're going to be worse off for the experience!!

Pact needed but won't happen. Alliance won't want to look too green and side with SF and SDLP. In fact I dont even think they would stand aside for Hermon not after the Euro election has given them delusions. Greens would be more open to a pact but will want something for it. The obvious answer is SDLP stand aside in NB and SF in SB but it won't happen unfortunately and we will likely be stuck with the horrible Dodds and ELP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 03, 2019, 12:01:08 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on September 03, 2019, 11:49:06 AM
Quote from: screenexile on September 03, 2019, 11:32:23 AM
Will Sinn Fein form some pacts with Alliance/SDLP/Greens to maximise the remain vote for the upcoming election this time??

Better than that should Sinn Fein not contest it at all to make sure there is appropriate representation for Remain in Parliament and the /Tories have to overcome another 7/8/9 seats to get a majority??!!

Looks like it's all kicking off this week and a good chance that Bojo and Cummings have gone all in too soon and will now be backed into a corner.

Should be fun to watch like two eighty year olds fighting . . . entertaining but ultimately sad because we're going to be worse off for the experience!!

Pact needed but won't happen. Alliance won't want to look too green and side with SF and SDLP. In fact I dont even think they would stand aside for Hermon not after the Euro election has given them delusions. Greens would be more open to a pact but will want something for it. The obvious answer is SDLP stand aside in NB and SF in SB but it won't happen unfortunately and we will likely be stuck with the horrible Dodds and ELP

In a nutshell, same with Liberals and that self obsessed new leader, after Euro's they think they will win big time in a General Election and will end up just splitting remain votes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 03, 2019, 12:09:49 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 03, 2019, 12:01:08 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on September 03, 2019, 11:49:06 AM
Quote from: screenexile on September 03, 2019, 11:32:23 AM
Will Sinn Fein form some pacts with Alliance/SDLP/Greens to maximise the remain vote for the upcoming election this time??

Better than that should Sinn Fein not contest it at all to make sure there is appropriate representation for Remain in Parliament and the /Tories have to overcome another 7/8/9 seats to get a majority??!!

Looks like it's all kicking off this week and a good chance that Bojo and Cummings have gone all in too soon and will now be backed into a corner.

Should be fun to watch like two eighty year olds fighting . . . entertaining but ultimately sad because we're going to be worse off for the experience!!

Pact needed but won't happen. Alliance won't want to look too green and side with SF and SDLP. In fact I dont even think they would stand aside for Hermon not after the Euro election has given them delusions. Greens would be more open to a pact but will want something for it. The obvious answer is SDLP stand aside in NB and SF in SB but it won't happen unfortunately and we will likely be stuck with the horrible Dodds and ELP

In a nutshell, same with Liberals and that self obsessed new leader, after Euro's they think they will win big time in a General Election and will end up just splitting remain votes.

Is Lady Sylvia going to go again?

As much as the DUP closed a bit on her last time out, I think she will consolidate her North Down vote if she chooses to stand.

Shinners allowing the SDLP a free run at South Belfast with the SDLP doing the same in North Belfast on the face of it is a no brainer even though there'll be calls of both parties turning this election into a sectarian head count, something that never seems to be levelled at the UUP or DUP when they do the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 03, 2019, 12:25:57 PM
I think Claire Hanna could carry SB on her own without a pact.
I don't think pacts are helpful, but given the seriousness of Brexit there is a case to be made for unity or agreed candidates not involved with any party. Rather than one party standing aside.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 03, 2019, 12:42:20 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-49557734

Sammy confirming what we've all known, he's insane.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 03, 2019, 01:08:19 PM
Quote from: mouview on September 03, 2019, 12:42:20 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-49557734

Sammy confirming what we've all known, he's insane.
"The DUP's Sammy Wilson is warning the bill seeking to delay the UK's Brexit date, will "give us multiple extensions, the terms of which will be dictated to us by the EU".
"Quite honestly I don't think any sane person should be considering" voting for the anti-no-deal legislation, Mr Wilson told the BBC.
He added it will "continue the uncertainty in the country".
The government currently only has a majority in Parliament thanks to support from the DUP."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 03, 2019, 01:40:38 PM
No sane person would vote the same way as that 17th Century bigoted hape o' sh1te.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on September 03, 2019, 01:44:31 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 03, 2019, 12:09:49 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 03, 2019, 12:01:08 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on September 03, 2019, 11:49:06 AM
Quote from: screenexile on September 03, 2019, 11:32:23 AM
Will Sinn Fein form some pacts with Alliance/SDLP/Greens to maximise the remain vote for the upcoming election this time??

Better than that should Sinn Fein not contest it at all to make sure there is appropriate representation for Remain in Parliament and the /Tories have to overcome another 7/8/9 seats to get a majority??!!

Looks like it's all kicking off this week and a good chance that Bojo and Cummings have gone all in too soon and will now be backed into a corner.

Should be fun to watch like two eighty year olds fighting . . . entertaining but ultimately sad because we're going to be worse off for the experience!!

Pact needed but won't happen. Alliance won't want to look too green and side with SF and SDLP. In fact I dont even think they would stand aside for Hermon not after the Euro election has given them delusions. Greens would be more open to a pact but will want something for it. The obvious answer is SDLP stand aside in NB and SF in SB but it won't happen unfortunately and we will likely be stuck with the horrible Dodds and ELP

In a nutshell, same with Liberals and that self obsessed new leader, after Euro's they think they will win big time in a General Election and will end up just splitting remain votes.

Is Lady Sylvia going to go again?

As much as the DUP closed a bit on her last time out, I think she will consolidate her North Down vote if she chooses to stand.

Shinners allowing the SDLP a free run at South Belfast with the SDLP doing the same in North Belfast on the face of it is a no brainer even though there'll be calls of both parties turning this election into a sectarian head count, something that never seems to be levelled at the UUP or DUP when they do the same.

To avoid a No Deal Brexit, she will.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 03, 2019, 03:49:03 PM
Tory MP Philip Lee defects to the Lib Dems leaving the government with no working majority.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 03, 2019, 03:57:36 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 03, 2019, 03:49:03 PM
Tory MP Philip Lee defects to the Lib Dems leaving the government with no working majority.

(https://media.giphy.com/media/cwbvB0MXZfnry/giphy.gif)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on September 03, 2019, 03:57:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 03, 2019, 03:49:03 PM
Tory MP Philip Lee defects to the Lib Dems leaving the government with no working majority.

Arlene will put a positive spin on this, nothing to see here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on September 03, 2019, 04:15:53 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on September 03, 2019, 03:57:51 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 03, 2019, 03:49:03 PM
Tory MP Philip Lee defects to the Lib Dems leaving the government with no working majority.

Arlene will put a positive spin on this, nothing to see here.
but sure the queens portrait is back up at stormont. Thats all that really matters
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 03, 2019, 05:00:17 PM
By all accounts this has been car crash stuff from Boris . . . I mean who would have called that??? (Oh that's right pretty much everyone)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 03, 2019, 10:22:43 PM
328 to 301 defeat for the government. The Commons is in the driving seat now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on September 03, 2019, 10:23:43 PM
328 - 301

May you live in interesting times
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 03, 2019, 10:24:21 PM
Curtains for the DUP but was always likely to end like this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on September 03, 2019, 10:27:12 PM
So what is it? Seek a Brexit delay and then an election?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on September 03, 2019, 10:30:49 PM
The DUP's future relevance in the future has died tonight.

An Irish sea border is coming...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 03, 2019, 10:40:35 PM
Interesting times....the new government hasnt won a single vote.  ;D ;D ;D ;D
Phillip Hammond chancellor a few weeks having the whip removed along with 20 or so others.

Doesn't all this play into BJ hands to an extent in terms of an election.... which will likely happen before the end of the year?
He can now say that he has nothing to do with an extension or anything else to do with Brexit now he can blame it Labour and evey1 else.
So now he can run on a message of pretty much "if you want the Brexit you voted for.... vote for me"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 03, 2019, 10:40:44 PM
The rise of the Nazis was on the other night, started with the political side of things from 1930 to 1933, the backroom dealings and use of puppets for others to use is so relevant with what's going on in today's politics! Not just here but across the pond.

Make Germany great again (words like that) were used .

Boris is being used DUP being used and they know it, but don't give a fcuk. Power hungry cnuts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 03, 2019, 10:50:16 PM
Boris has backed himself into a corner... If the legislation passes then he has to face the Brexit Party and he won't get a majority.

He needs the election before Oct 31st and to fight it on a No deal platform to get rid of them and he'll get a majority back but it doesn't look like it's possible.

It wasn't exactly sexy football but that was compelling viewing tonight it's a pity that so much is riding on it I'd rather it happened somewhere that doesn't affect me!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 03, 2019, 11:02:28 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 31, 2019, 09:50:46 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 05:47:02 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 03:31:51 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 30, 2019, 09:41:20 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 10:10:20 PM
Quote from: LCohen on August 29, 2019, 09:14:51 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on August 29, 2019, 09:00:07 PM
If Corbyn wasnt such and ideologist he could have kept his party together, prob even stole a few tory mps, been an acceptable face for a caretaker government, been able to take his party and electorate with a coordinated strategy for brexit. He could have had and won a vote of confidence as well as a GE and he'd be sitting in downing street at the minute with the Tories in disarray.
But he cant let go of his precious ideology that were borne while the world has utterly different place. Its is the epitome of fiddling while Rome burns.

As was put to John McDonnel last night...."theres an open goal and you cant score"

Also I thought it hilarious that every week at the dispatch box Thresea May would give him a good hiding  while her world was imploding.

Explain the actions that Corbyn should have taken that would have united the 4 divisions in his parliamentary party (being MPs in Remain constituencies, MPs in leave constituencies that voted leave overall, MPs in constituencies where the Labour vote voted to leave and fourthly Kate Hoey)?

Name the Tory MPs that would have moved across?

The caretaker government is going to do nothing other than extend Article 50 and call a general election. Name the MPs that object to no deal Brexit but will sit on their hands if Corbyn plays a role in the solution. More importantly outline your opinion of these MPs??

What coordinated Brexit strategy will get the buy in of Labour MPs, members and voters? You are arguing that Labour should be a clear party for Leave

You say he could have won a no confidence vote. On what date? Which Tory MPs would have voted for it? What commentators said it would have been won? Your talk of GE is conditional on your No confidence "argument"

So set out the details

1. His Parliamentary party is more or less united on Brexit, how many actually vote against the whip? 10 or something? Last time out it was only Hoey.... let her be and deselect at the next election. Or dig up some dirt and have a petition for her removal followed by a by election which she would be duly crucified by a Remain candidate. My point is he would have much more leverage and weight with the whip to easily deal with rebels if he had stable support but he doesn't... half his parliamentary party would love to get rid of him so he has to do everything by the book and he's always scrambling to appease someone?

2. Prob the ones that actually left the Tory party and formed another one with a group of Labour MPs.... who incidentally are pissed off with his economic delusion but use anti Seminitism as a smoke screen. And maybe some of the others who lost the whip.

3. The Lib Dems for a start... not to mention the sensible Remain Tories.

4. No, prob just support a ref2 and present it as a democratic 3 way vote with the exit deal presented as a third option. IN an election talk lots about the Brexit party and emphasis Tory austerity while presenting Labour as a sensible option of sustainable growth by a moderate tax regime which will providing income to support the NHS and social welfare. Then just cut your loses on the Leave seats, the marginal seats won would more than make up for the those lost.

5. Hmmm i dunno...... maybe after Theresa May's catastrophic series of record defeats? Being an unacceptable option as PM was enuff to deter them so being more acceptable and a few underhand tactics like promising weak Labour candidates in targeted marginal Remain seats could have also have brought a few. The reality if he had a more centrist approach he would have had greater all around support and he would have been able to put much more pressure on her much earlier and forced her resignation... indeed he would prob have won the election...


Besides all of this is pointless.... its obvious that he is not the man for the job.... FFS its says it all when he has to have someone like Diane Abbot as a senior member of his cabinet

Outline the united position that Barry Gardiner, John Mann, Yvette Cooper, Jess Philips and Kier Starmer are "more or less united on Brexit on"?

Current estimation is that up to 45 Labour MPs would stand in the way of a second referendum if asked to vote in favour of it. The number that would ignore the whip if Labour backed May's deal is unknown but likely to be 100+. Your tactics for dealing with rebels couldn't cope with these numbers.

Outline the policy positions adopted by Soubry, Allen and Wollaston over the years that they could reconcile with joining Labour - any version of the Labour Party noting that only 2 Tory MPs have ever defected to Labour in history including all previous centrist versions of the Party under other leaders

So what is your opinion (given you don't like ideological politicians) of these LDs and Tories that will let a no deal happen if the only alternative is a 90 day caretaker Labour government

You think a 3 way Vote is going to bring a conclusion to this?? To be honest that reads like a massive failure on your part to grasp the basics of the situation but i'll happily read your response outlining how it would work?

What numbers are you using for these swing seat that Labour would lose and win???

Your point 5 is wonderfully loose and plucked from the realm of fantasy. No confidence votes are exceptionally difficult to pull off. You need Tory MPs to end their own careers. Some older MPs or ones already resigned to deselection are prime targets but the numbers were never within reach back then. They are closer now (as there is a reducing number of Labour rebels as the Tory position hardens)

They vast majority high 90% have voted with the whip Who are those 45? Where were they during the meaning votes etc?

Certainly not the current policy of the Labour leadership, they upped sticks and left to join other Labour MPs that tell you that they cant be that far away from their position

What does my opinion matter on a Labour government..... it wont happen? If a no deal was allowed as that was presented as the only alternative it would be a shameful act by all involved. Whats your opinion on the Labour leadership allowing that situation to develop?

3 way vote is simple enough.... hardly really need to outline it. But sure that ship has sailed at this point

Poll numbers... a slim majority of the electorate appear to be remainers with some undecided... so a united strategy from that side and a centrist economic outlook should be enough to win the majority  over.

So its plucked from the realms of fantasy but its gonna happen... dunno what point your making there?


Besides this is pointless Corbyn is not the man for the job he is a slave to ideology not a political leader. If he was a stronger leader that reflected more broadly the position of the electrode he would have more support instead of fumbling around and constantly looking over his shoulder

Although I must say I am surprised that a Unionist  is so blindly supporting a potential British PM who supports a UI

My figure of 45 comes from Nick Watt. The highest figure I've seen is 50. That was was from Stephen Kinnock. I would believe Watt

Labour have put forward something. Others are free to so. And they might yet. I just find it incredible that someone can blame Corbyn for something somebody else hasn't done

A 3 way option on this issue is basically guaranteed to not provide a majority. It's a non solution. So yes you have a whole lot of explaining to do on it

You are asking for an end of at least a suspension of the party system. Not easy to do. Have other Remain leaders backed this?? Are you sure it wouldn't be trumped by the Leave campaign and Cummings?? It's high risk and highly complicated. To offer it as a solution and blame Corbin for it not happening is Trumpian in its sloganeering duplicity

My point on a no confidence vote is straight forward. The numbers were not there during the May period. Under Boris things are starting to change. Johnson's underhand tactics and his seeming appetite for no deal are stirring Tory rebels. The clock is running down so they feel they gotta act now. Also any Tory rebels have to counter any Labour rebels. If it's a no deal on offer then the number of Labour rebels recedes. There may be an opportunity to successfully prosecute a no confidence vote next week but there has not been to date. And people should not pretend that this has been sitting there as an easy option all along

Thats the most pessimistic Ive ever heard and not bore out on the critical votes so its really hypothetical fantasy stuff and since you've moved the goal posts a strawman into the bargin

What Critical Votes have there been on a second referendum.

The account of a respected journalist that has been accurate to date in reporting the planned actions of MPs is not to be dismissed as hypothetical fantasy.
What goal posts have I moved? What is this talk of a strawman?? Seems a bit rambling.

Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
Preference voting? Run off? not that much of stretch unless your deliberately trying to be obtuse

Have you read The Economist article by Peter Kellner? I dont think Kellner is being obtuse when he completely rumbles the flaws in preference voting and a run off in trying to unpick the Brexit riddle. And I'm not being obtuse either.

Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
A major factor that the numbers weren't there during May's time was Corbyn himself..... but we're just going round in circles now

So spell it out. What were the numbers and who were the names of Tory MPs who were prepared to vote down a Tory government and end their own political careers during the May era and only refrained from doing so because of Corbyn. Bet you cant even name one.

Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
I not asking for anything but its probably thats prob the only route available at the minute considering how divided the remain side are. In the scenario that Labour had a more moderate stronger leader they could easily attract voters across the political spectrum and be a focal point to those opposed to a hard Brexit.
And what about the Leavers within Labour? Surely the Labour leader has to lsiten to them also? But then again you plain just dont believe Nick Watt and reliable political sources. You stick to your alternative facts

Quote from: omaghjoe on August 30, 2019, 08:07:07 PM
Besides I am not blaming Corbyn per se he's incapable, he is only doing what is in his powers which is the point your are trying to make and he is clearly not the man for the job. If there was a strong leader of the opposition he could easily command discipline within his own party and would be a rallying point for other no deal opponents.
Discipline on Europe?? Name me the alternative Labour Leader that can hold Caroline Flint, Kate Hoey, John Mann, Stephen Kinnock, Phil Wilson, Ian Lavery, Yvette Cooper and Hillary Benn to a single position on Europe?? And when you are naming the alternative leader tell me what their position on Europe would be??

I will let you off on Hoey. But who is going to unify the rest?

You have been arguing down that Labour dont have support for ref2 or something (which is debatable but have the debate with yourself if you want), as a response to me making the point that Labour have good discipline on Brexit and Europe. That type of logical error is known as a strawman

You have a hypothetical notion that your running with however it has not been borne out in reality as theere have been very few Labour rebels on Brexit or indeed Europe as has always been the case.

NO I havent read some random article in some random magazine

The Tory rebels on Europe were always there and even with expulsion hanging over their heads they all of a sudden are coming out of the wood work when Corbyn compromised and started to work with a cross party effort on Brexit.

Clearly you have difficultly in understanding what the whip is or how it works? Different MPs have different positions but they follow the lead of the party to get things done and to maintain power within their bloc.

And all of this is a sideline to Corncob ( ;D ;D that was autocorrect) being completely incompetent as Leader of the Opposition on this issue...... but he may just have turned a corner. Lets see if he can keep his ego in check by holding off on a GE that he is never gonna win.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on September 04, 2019, 12:32:55 AM
If Corbyn stood aside for the good of the country there be a good chance of a Labour winning an election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 04, 2019, 07:58:28 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 03, 2019, 10:40:35 PM
Interesting times....the new government hasnt won a single vote.  ;D ;D ;D ;D
Phillip Hammond chancellor a few weeks having the whip removed along with 20 or so others.

Doesn't all this play into BJ hands to an extent in terms of an election.... which will likely happen before the end of the year?
He can now say that he has nothing to do with an extension or anything else to do with Brexit now he can blame it Labour and evey1 else.
So now he can run on a message of pretty much "if you want the Brexit you voted for.... vote for me"


One tory MP was on the politics show and said it is now no-deal or no-brexit, Labour should get the law passed and then have an election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 04, 2019, 08:02:40 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on September 04, 2019, 12:43:17 AM

He's only spent one day at the dispatch box in Westminster as PM, and unless he and Dominic Cummings are actually evoking some secret fiendish plan which desired tonight's result in the Commons, then he's already in desperate need to buy some paddles from the General Store at Sh*t Creek.

I watched a lot of it - wasting a day off, he was utterly useless, man can't string a sentence together, the cabinet looked less than impressed in the background!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 04, 2019, 08:56:01 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

Boris wants no deal full stop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.

But it actually requires movement on the side of the EU first. And I don't think the top EU politicians want it. It's actually up to Ireland to push it, but we don't want to be the ones seen to blink first. But we've got by far the most to lose, so we do need to remember that.

If there was a UK referendum on No Deal or No Brexit, then No Brexit would win. However, if there's an election first, then all the Tories need is about 35% for a majority and that then could result in No Deal exit.

Even at this late stage, nobody can predict what will happen. But if we all make guesses, one of us might get it right!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on September 04, 2019, 09:11:04 AM
If the bill is passed today stopping a no deal brexit and a general election follows in which Boris manages to win a workable majority (most likely with some help from BXP) then is there any reason why they couldn't reverse todays bill in parliament straight away and plough on with their no deal brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on September 04, 2019, 09:42:09 AM
No deal is never off the table. It's impossible to legislate for its complete abolishment. Today's vote only stops a no deal on 31st of October.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 04, 2019, 10:13:39 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on September 04, 2019, 12:53:38 AM
Quote from: Wildweasel74 on September 04, 2019, 12:32:55 AM
If Corbyn stood aside for the good of the country there be a good chance of a Labour winning an election

I've been fairly critical of Corbyn for a good while now, but I have to say he's actually done well for himself in the past week or so, looking far more the statesman than Johnson is, and seemingly managing behind closed doors to negotiate with other opposition parties & MPs to help bring together a "No no-deal" pact in the Commons when a fortnight ago some were cool on the idea - I guess there was something there to be thrown out with and then work more together with the Lib Dems, SNP, Independents etc. on consensus of a temporary government of national unity like I mentioned in the post above. He and his handlers need to keep themselves on the firm and narrow and not get goaded by Johnson & Cummings. He may not become PM to lead Britain with his own political vision, but he could put his name down in the history books as a PM whom helped lead the country to untangle itself from its own self-made crises - and if he did that he might actually then be elected PM in a future election having shown that he's capable, or maybe not.

Agree with this. The past week he's looked a lot more 'mature' and statesmanlike, something which hopefully shouldn't go unnoticed at the ballot box.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 04, 2019, 10:19:19 AM
Quote from: t_mac on September 04, 2019, 07:58:28 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 03, 2019, 10:40:35 PM
Interesting times....the new government hasnt won a single vote.  ;D ;D ;D ;D
Phillip Hammond chancellor a few weeks having the whip removed along with 20 or so others.

Doesn't all this play into BJ hands to an extent in terms of an election.... which will likely happen before the end of the year?
He can now say that he has nothing to do with an extension or anything else to do with Brexit now he can blame it Labour and evey1 else.
So now he can run on a message of pretty much "if you want the Brexit you voted for.... vote for me"


One tory MP was on the politics show and said it is now no-deal or no-brexit, Labour should get the law passed and then have an election.

In reality I think it's long been this. For some reason, no-one wants to own up to the fact that there's no chance of getting a compromise deal through the house.

Surely BoJo calling for an election exposes as a sham any pretence that he's trying to negotiate a deal with Brussels.

Should the Bill be passed this week, and there's still probably no certainty that it will, can the opposition force Johnston to go back to the EU on or before the summit on October 19th to ask for a deal? Equally, can they hold off on giving their assent to a GE until after October 31st, thus spiking Johnston's repeated promise about leaving by then, "No ifs, no buts" and make him appear weaker again?

Thank God for Gina Miller.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 04, 2019, 10:21:18 AM
Quote from: mouview on September 04, 2019, 10:13:39 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on September 04, 2019, 12:53:38 AM
Quote from: Wildweasel74 on September 04, 2019, 12:32:55 AM
If Corbyn stood aside for the good of the country there be a good chance of a Labour winning an election

I've been fairly critical of Corbyn for a good while now, but I have to say he's actually done well for himself in the past week or so, looking far more the statesman than Johnson is, and seemingly managing behind closed doors to negotiate with other opposition parties & MPs to help bring together a "No no-deal" pact in the Commons when a fortnight ago some were cool on the idea - I guess there was something there to be thrown out with and then work more together with the Lib Dems, SNP, Independents etc. on consensus of a temporary government of national unity like I mentioned in the post above. He and his handlers need to keep themselves on the firm and narrow and not get goaded by Johnson & Cummings. He may not become PM to lead Britain with his own political vision, but he could put his name down in the history books as a PM whom helped lead the country to untangle itself from its own self-made crises - and if he did that he might actually then be elected PM in a future election having shown that he's capable, or maybe not.

Agree with this. The past week he's looked a lot more 'mature' and statesmanlike, something which hopefully shouldn't go unnoticed at the ballot box.

I hate to say I told you so but......

Corbyn has had to endure a simply outlandish and disgusting constant barrage of smears for the last 4 years. When people actually get to see that he's not a 5 headed Stalinist anti semite Czech spy but someone who actually gives a fcuk about people he'll get the rewards he deserves. And Britain deserves.

Johnson is absolutely dispicable as is the Tory establishment. I hope their collapse is complete and long lasting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 04, 2019, 10:29:03 AM
NI only backstop is fantasy land there's no way the Conservatives/DUP or the SNP are voting for it so it's never going to have a majority in the house!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 04, 2019, 11:06:53 AM
Quote from: screenexile on September 04, 2019, 10:29:03 AM
NI only backstop is fantasy land there's no way the Conservatives/DUP or the SNP are voting for it so it's never going to have a majority in the house!

Many on the ERG and the far right of the Tory party would vote for it in a heartbeat if it meant getting through the hardest possible Brexit and avoiding SM and CU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on September 04, 2019, 11:13:55 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on September 04, 2019, 11:06:53 AM
Quote from: screenexile on September 04, 2019, 10:29:03 AM
NI only backstop is fantasy land there's no way the Conservatives/DUP or the SNP are voting for it so it's never going to have a majority in the house!

Many on the ERG and the far right of the Tory party would vote for it in a heartbeat if it meant getting through the hardest possible Brexit and avoiding SM and CU.

Doesn't matter who is in power for the Tories they will not forgive a half bit party like the DUP who compromises on nothing dictate to them what they can and can't do. Tories will stab DUP in the back and they wouldn't even flinch doing it. They are keeping the DUP happy in case they are needed again and the DUP will appear at Westminster with the big grins on their face until it all comes crashing down on them - it will be a glorious sight to behold when it happens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on September 04, 2019, 11:28:35 AM
Would it sweet irony if they had to adopt the May deal.  Is she still attending westminster?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on September 04, 2019, 11:29:42 AM
Quote from: Denn Forever on September 04, 2019, 11:28:35 AM
Would it sweet irony if they had to adopt the May deal.  Is she still attending westminster?

Yes, she was laughing her head off.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 04, 2019, 12:37:24 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on September 04, 2019, 11:28:35 AM
Would it sweet irony if they had to adopt the May deal.  Is she still attending westminster?
IF? That's the only only thing that can get through in time, May deal with a re-jig of the backstop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 04, 2019, 12:43:34 PM
Johnson is car crash TV on PMQ.  He keeps asking Labour to put the "surrender bill" to the public in form of a General Election, why has no on asked him to put his no-deal to the public in a second referendum!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 04, 2019, 01:05:07 PM
I think the answer is because they don't want a 2nd referendum themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 04, 2019, 01:33:04 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 04, 2019, 01:05:07 PM
I think the answer is because they don't want a 2nd referendum themselves.

Don't think anyone knows what they really want, big part of the issue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 04, 2019, 01:37:50 PM
It's a mess. Looks like quite a few putting the boot into Boris now.

Rightly so ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 04, 2019, 01:49:53 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 04, 2019, 01:37:50 PM
It's a mess. Looks like quite a few putting the boot into Boris now.

Rightly so ;D

Some are alluding to the garden party in 10 Downing Street the other night and not liking the way Mr Cummings was speaking to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on September 04, 2019, 01:59:39 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 04, 2019, 01:49:53 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 04, 2019, 01:37:50 PM
It's a mess. Looks like quite a few putting the boot into Boris now.

Rightly so ;D

Some are alluding to the garden party in 10 Downing Street the other night and not liking the way Mr Cummings was speaking to them.

SPADs causing problems? Now where have I heard that before?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on September 04, 2019, 02:53:12 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 04, 2019, 12:37:24 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on September 04, 2019, 11:28:35 AM
Would it sweet irony if they had to adopt the May deal.  Is she still attending westminster?
IF? That's the only only thing that can get through in time, May deal with a re-jig of the backstop.

There will not be a re-jig, EU have constantly said the deal is on the table - take it or leave it. After three years there has been no alternative.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on September 04, 2019, 03:26:04 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on September 04, 2019, 02:53:12 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 04, 2019, 12:37:24 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on September 04, 2019, 11:28:35 AM
Would it sweet irony if they had to adopt the May deal.  Is she still attending westminster?
IF? That's the only only thing that can get through in time, May deal with a re-jig of the backstop.

There will not be a re-jig, EU have constantly said the deal is on the table - take it or leave it. After three years there has been no alternative.

Re jig in the sense of a NI only backstop. That is likely to pass.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on September 04, 2019, 03:52:39 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/miriam-lord-how-mike-pence-shat-on-the-new-carpet-in-ireland-s-spare-room-1.4006979

Pence not endearing himself on his visit to Ireland..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 05:38:11 PM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.


The border issue and the necessity for the backstop arises because there is no solution as yet as to how a seamless border can be maintained. And until such time as it can, the backstop must remain in place, or a deal struck between the UK and EU such that there is no regulatory difference, and hence a seamless border. If you time limit it, it is utterly worthless, and serves no purpose whatever - the UK can just let the clock run down and do what they want. You say no-one wants a border - that may sound true when the tories say it, and they may even mean it, but they want a lot of things a lot less, including retaining current arrangements with the EU. A hard border here is of little consequence to them, or the DUP, and they'd cerrtainly have no issue letting any backstop run out without any better arrangements in place before pursuing their brexit utopia free of the last of the EU shackles
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 04, 2019, 06:40:19 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 05:38:11 PM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.


The border issue and the necessity for the backstop arises because there is no solution as yet as to how a seamless border can be maintained. And until such time as it can, the backstop must remain in place, or a deal struck between the UK and EU such that there is no regulatory difference, and hence a seamless border. If you time limit it, it is utterly worthless, and serves no purpose whatever - the UK can just let the clock run down and do what they want. You say no-one wants a border - that may sound true when the tories say it, and they may even mean it, but they want a lot of things a lot less, including retaining current arrangements with the EU. A hard border here is of little consequence to them, or the DUP, and they'd cerrtainly have no issue letting any backstop run out without any better arrangements in place before pursuing their brexit utopia free of the last of the EU shackles

Th etories cannot be trusted. They've stopped every North / South institution since they come to power. They cannot be trusted and anyone who advocates a time limited backstop is extremely naive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 04, 2019, 07:45:19 PM
Quote from: tyroneman on September 04, 2019, 03:52:39 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/miriam-lord-how-mike-pence-shat-on-the-new-carpet-in-ireland-s-spare-room-1.4006979

Pence not endearing himself on his visit to Ireland..

It's an excellent piece. I was raging yesterday when I heard what he said. And of course our doofus Taoiseach stood around smiling as that's pretty much all he's fit for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on September 04, 2019, 08:47:08 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 05:38:11 PM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.


The border issue and the necessity for the backstop arises because there is no solution as yet as to how a seamless border can be maintained. And until such time as it can, the backstop must remain in place, or a deal struck between the UK and EU such that there is no regulatory difference, and hence a seamless border. If you time limit it, it is utterly worthless, and serves no purpose whatever - the UK can just let the clock run down and do what they want. You say no-one wants a border - that may sound true when the tories say it, and they may even mean it, but they want a lot of things a lot less, including retaining current arrangements with the EU. A hard border here is of little consequence to them, or the DUP, and they'd cerrtainly have no issue letting any backstop run out without any better arrangements in place before pursuing their brexit utopia free of the last of the EU shackles
You do understand No Deal = No Backstop ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:13:45 PM
You do understand a Time limited backstop = no backstop?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 04, 2019, 09:24:27 PM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 08:47:08 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 05:38:11 PM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.


The border issue and the necessity for the backstop arises because there is no solution as yet as to how a seamless border can be maintained. And until such time as it can, the backstop must remain in place, or a deal struck between the UK and EU such that there is no regulatory difference, and hence a seamless border. If you time limit it, it is utterly worthless, and serves no purpose whatever - the UK can just let the clock run down and do what they want. You say no-one wants a border - that may sound true when the tories say it, and they may even mean it, but they want a lot of things a lot less, including retaining current arrangements with the EU. A hard border here is of little consequence to them, or the DUP, and they'd cerrtainly have no issue letting any backstop run out without any better arrangements in place before pursuing their brexit utopia free of the last of the EU shackles
You do understand No Deal = No Backstop ?

Yeah but better to have No deal for a short time than a bad deal forever.
No Deal is just No deal for now. The Brits will have to come back to the negotiating table and payment of the divorce bill and backstop will be the starting points for any future deal. So like unionism, with every deal they reject, they eventually return to the table weaker than when they left it.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:44:08 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:13:45 PM
You do understand a Time limited backstop = no backstop?
That's amazing  :o

A no deal means no backstop right now.

A 5 year NI only backstop means a backstop for 5 years, with option to extend. That gives the time to do a proper deal, where politics is pushed to the side and social and commercial interests are to the fore.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 04, 2019, 09:45:36 PM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:44:08 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:13:45 PM
You do understand a Time limited backstop = no backstop?
That's amazing  :o

A no deal means no backstop right now.

A 5 year NI only backstop means a backstop for 5 years, with option to extend. That gives the time to do a proper deal, where politics is pushed to the side and social and commercial interests are to the fore.
A 5-year backstop means a backstop for 5 years followed by a hard border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 04, 2019, 10:00:47 PM
Breaking news****Boris won a vote in he Commons***

......Except it didnt matter

Was this a major miscalculation by Downing St? I really think they were sure that Corbyn would bite their hand off for an election. Looks like they are using up all their subs rather quickly. Gotta wonder what their next move is? seems like yer man Cummings is a wee bit too smart for is own good

Fair play to Corbyn he resisted and appears to be getting somewhere at last with this cross party cooperation
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:04:11 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 04, 2019, 10:00:47 PM
Breaking news****Boris won a vote in he Commons***

......Except it didnt matter

Was this a major miscalculation by Downing St? I really think they were sure that Corbyn would bite their hand off for an election. Looks like they are using up all their subs rather quickly. Gotta wonder what their next move is? seems like yer man Cummings is a wee bit too smart for is own good

Fair play to Corbyn he resisted and appears to be getting somewhere at last with this cross party cooperation

I cant figure out what is the end goal for any PM. If the  no deal bill is passed it means the uk cant leave without a deal so only option is for the already rejected eu offer. If Corbyn gets elected nothing changes. So it's set that the uk has go leave the eu with a bad deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on September 04, 2019, 10:08:14 PM
If we, the world, can learn one thing from Brexit is that 52% of the vote is not actually enough to force through a constitutional change.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 04, 2019, 10:15:15 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:04:11 PM
I cant figure out what is the end goal for any PM. If the  no deal bill is passed it means the uk cant leave without a deal so only option is for the already rejected eu offer. If Corbyn gets elected nothing changes. So it's set that the uk has go leave the eu with a bad deal?


The current deal (Theresa's deal) is the only logical end point for the EU given all their existing treaties and Theresa's limitations on the scope of the negotiations due to her "red-lines".

However, if Jeremy Corbyn were to get in and restart the whole negotiation - removing Theresa's "red-lines" at the very start* - then there is much more freedom (and no doubt, willingness) for the EU to negotiate a more favourable outcome for both sides.

*which he has often talked about. He wants to go back to the days of the EC and the common market.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:25:26 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 04, 2019, 10:15:15 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:04:11 PM
I cant figure out what is the end goal for any PM. If the  no deal bill is passed it means the uk cant leave without a deal so only option is for the already rejected eu offer. If Corbyn gets elected nothing changes. So it's set that the uk has go leave the eu with a bad deal?


The current deal (Theresa's deal) is the only logical end point for the EU given all their existing treaties and Theresa's limitations on the scope of the negotiations due to her "red-lines".

However, if Jeremy Corbyn were to get in and restart the whole negotiation - removing Theresa's "red-lines" at the very start* - then there is much more freedom (and no doubt, willingness) for the EU to negotiate a more favourable outcome for both sides.

*which he has often talked about. He wants to go back to the days of the EC and the common market.

That could make sense actually but after years of failed or lack of negotiations not sure how willing the eu may be. If a ge is called I dont think corbyn would win which is why he wants the no deal bill passed first as he knows his party wudnt win a ge
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Minder on September 04, 2019, 10:32:55 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:25:26 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 04, 2019, 10:15:15 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:04:11 PM
I cant figure out what is the end goal for any PM. If the  no deal bill is passed it means the uk cant leave without a deal so only option is for the already rejected eu offer. If Corbyn gets elected nothing changes. So it's set that the uk has go leave the eu with a bad deal?


The current deal (Theresa's deal) is the only logical end point for the EU given all their existing treaties and Theresa's limitations on the scope of the negotiations due to her "red-lines".

However, if Jeremy Corbyn were to get in and restart the whole negotiation - removing Theresa's "red-lines" at the very start* - then there is much more freedom (and no doubt, willingness) for the EU to negotiate a more favourable outcome for both sides.

*which he has often talked about. He wants to go back to the days of the EC and the common market.

That could make sense actually but after years of failed or lack of negotiations not sure how willing the eu may be. If a ge is called I dont think corbyn would win which is why he wants the no deal bill passed first as he knows his party wudnt win a ge

Saw something earlier that according to Labours internal polling they are pretty sure they wouldnt win a GE at the minute
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 10:33:42 PM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:44:08 PM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:13:45 PM
You do understand a Time limited backstop = no backstop?
That's amazing  :o

A no deal means no backstop right now.

A 5 year NI only backstop means a backstop for 5 years, with option to extend. That gives the time to do a proper deal, where politics is pushed to the side and social and commercial interests are to the fore.

This is pointless. Read up on why a time limited back stop isn't an option. Its fact, not opinion. Read up on Brexit when you're at it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ball Hopper on September 04, 2019, 10:42:28 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on September 04, 2019, 10:08:14 PM
If we, the world, can learn one thing from Brexit is that 52% of the vote is not actually enough to force through a constitutional change.

So what should have happened?  Negotiate the deal first, then put the deal on the referendum with a simple choice...a) take the deal b) reject the deal means stay in EU?  Sounds somewhat reasonable.

Maybe the EU should change their rules to this for any potential exiteers...of course the EU might never agree to a deal to allow a nation to vote on, so the whole mess could take years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 04, 2019, 10:46:38 PM
Peter Oborne on the  border

https://mobile.twitter.com/sharonodea/status/1169340309702172672
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on September 04, 2019, 10:56:20 PM
https://sluggerotoole.com/2019/09/04/clare-bailey-writes-to-other-leaders-seeking-a-pro-remain-pact/

As I predicted the other day Greens interested in a pact but it will almost certainly be rejected by alliance
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 05, 2019, 04:44:52 AM
Quote from: t_mac on September 04, 2019, 08:56:01 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

Boris wants no deal full stop.

Not really. Boris wants to be PM by the most convenient route possible. He'd cancel Brexit and sack his whole cabinet and make Ken Clarke, Hammond, Stewart etc ministers if he thought that would do the trick.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 05:23:45 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:04:11 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 04, 2019, 10:00:47 PM
Breaking news****Boris won a vote in he Commons***

......Except it didnt matter

Was this a major miscalculation by Downing St? I really think they were sure that Corbyn would bite their hand off for an election. Looks like they are using up all their subs rather quickly. Gotta wonder what their next move is? seems like yer man Cummings is a wee bit too smart for is own good

Fair play to Corbyn he resisted and appears to be getting somewhere at last with this cross party cooperation

I cant figure out what is the end goal for any PM. If the  no deal bill is passed it means the uk cant leave without a deal so only option is for the already rejected eu offer. If Corbyn gets elected nothing changes. So it's set that the uk has go leave the eu with a bad deal?

The outcome as I see it (and hope for) is a new government led by someone other than a Tory, who puts to the people a second referendum where they choose between the Withdrawal Agreement as agreed with May, or remaining in the EU. Remain wins, Article 50 is revoked, Brexit case is closed, and it's back to business as usual. Anything else is just chaos without end.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 05:24:51 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 04, 2019, 10:15:15 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:04:11 PM
I cant figure out what is the end goal for any PM. If the  no deal bill is passed it means the uk cant leave without a deal so only option is for the already rejected eu offer. If Corbyn gets elected nothing changes. So it's set that the uk has go leave the eu with a bad deal?


The current deal (Theresa's deal) is the only logical end point for the EU given all their existing treaties and Theresa's limitations on the scope of the negotiations due to her "red-lines".

However, if Jeremy Corbyn were to get in and restart the whole negotiation - removing Theresa's "red-lines" at the very start* - then there is much more freedom (and no doubt, willingness) for the EU to negotiate a more favourable outcome for both sides.

*which he has often talked about. He wants to go back to the days of the EC and the common market.

That's a big If. Couldn't see it, myself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 05, 2019, 05:41:17 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 05:24:51 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 04, 2019, 10:15:15 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:04:11 PM
I cant figure out what is the end goal for any PM. If the  no deal bill is passed it means the uk cant leave without a deal so only option is for the already rejected eu offer. If Corbyn gets elected nothing changes. So it's set that the uk has go leave the eu with a bad deal?


The current deal (Theresa's deal) is the only logical end point for the EU given all their existing treaties and Theresa's limitations on the scope of the negotiations due to her "red-lines".

However, if Jeremy Corbyn were to get in and restart the whole negotiation - removing Theresa's "red-lines" at the very start* - then there is much more freedom (and no doubt, willingness) for the EU to negotiate a more favourable outcome for both sides.

*which he has often talked about. He wants to go back to the days of the EC and the common market.

That's a big If. Couldn't see it, myself.

If the Withdrawal agreement is accepted, maybe with a few small tweaks, then you are into a transition period. This could be extended to 3 years and the eventual agreement need not reflect all of the red lines. In particular, the immigration was always a red herring as the period of large scale E. European emigration is over regardless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 05, 2019, 05:53:06 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 05, 2019, 04:44:52 AM
Quote from: t_mac on September 04, 2019, 08:56:01 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

Boris wants no deal full stop.

Not really. Boris wants to be PM by the most convenient route possible. He'd cancel Brexit and sack his whole cabinet and make Ken Clarke, Hammond, Stewart etc ministers if he thought that would do the trick.

;D ;D ;D
Funny cos true...he'd go into coalition with the snp and DUP at the same time I'd he could get away with it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 05, 2019, 05:59:02 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 05, 2019, 05:41:17 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 05:24:51 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 04, 2019, 10:15:15 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 04, 2019, 10:04:11 PM
I cant figure out what is the end goal for any PM. If the  no deal bill is passed it means the uk cant leave without a deal so only option is for the already rejected eu offer. If Corbyn gets elected nothing changes. So it's set that the uk has go leave the eu with a bad deal?


The current deal (Theresa's deal) is the only logical end point for the EU given all their existing treaties and Theresa's limitations on the scope of the negotiations due to her "red-lines".

However, if Jeremy Corbyn were to get in and restart the whole negotiation - removing Theresa's "red-lines" at the very start* - then there is much more freedom (and no doubt, willingness) for the EU to negotiate a more favourable outcome for both sides.

*which he has often talked about. He wants to go back to the days of the EC and the common market.

That's a big If. Couldn't see it, myself.

If the Withdrawal agreement is accepted, maybe with a few small tweaks, then you are into a transition period. This could be extended to 3 years and the eventual agreement need not reflect all of the red lines. In particular, the immigration was always a red herring as the period of large scale E. European emigration is over regardless.

The only way I could see Corbyn being PM is with a Lib Dem SNP pact and coalition and even that is a struggle with the Brexit electorate fired up after being denied Brexit... (tho stranger things have happened).  Anyway hed be looking at a 2nd referendum to make that government happen....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 06:02:38 AM
Quote from: Minder on September 04, 2019, 10:32:55 PM

Saw something earlier that according to Labours internal polling they are pretty sure they wouldnt win a GE at the minute

The strength of the SNP is probably why. Since the SNP are staunch remainers I'd say a second EU referendum would be a condition for any coalition with them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 06:04:27 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 05, 2019, 05:41:17 AM

If the Withdrawal agreement is accepted, maybe with a few small tweaks, then you are into a transition period. This could be extended to 3 years and the eventual agreement need not reflect all of the red lines. In particular, the immigration was always a red herring as the period of large scale E. European emigration is over regardless.

Of course it was. Last time I looked into it, the UK was getting half of its immigration from outside the EU, and a lot of that was from Commonwealth and former empire territories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 05, 2019, 06:07:23 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on September 04, 2019, 10:08:14 PM
If we, the world, can learn one thing from Brexit is that 52% of the vote is not actually enough to force through a constitutional change.

That's because the UK hasn't got an actual written constitution.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 06:12:46 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 05, 2019, 06:07:23 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on September 04, 2019, 10:08:14 PM
If we, the world, can learn one thing from Brexit is that 52% of the vote is not actually enough to force through a constitutional change.

That's because the UK hasn't got an actual written constitution.

If they ever get out of this mess, they might decide it would be a good idea to have one. Sit down and write it, have the people ratify it, and establish who actually runs the bloody place. For big changes like joining or leaving the EU there should be unanimous agreement between each of the 4 parts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 05, 2019, 06:16:40 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 05, 2019, 06:07:23 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on September 04, 2019, 10:08:14 PM
If we, the world, can learn one thing from Brexit is that 52% of the vote is not actually enough to force through a constitutional change.

That's because the UK hasn't got an actual written constitution.

Yeah they've been jabbering on about this non existent constitution for the past year or so...it seems only in the past week that they've realised they dont actually have one
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 06:45:21 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 06:04:27 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 05, 2019, 05:41:17 AM

If the Withdrawal agreement is accepted, maybe with a few small tweaks, then you are into a transition period. This could be extended to 3 years and the eventual agreement need not reflect all of the red lines. In particular, the immigration was always a red herring as the period of large scale E. European emigration is over regardless.

Of course it was. Last time I looked into it, the UK was getting half of its immigration from outside the EU, and a lot of that was from Commonwealth and former empire territories.

Not sure if that is true as the ONS admitted recently that they have been under reporting the actual number of eu immigrants to the uk for the past 11 years. Also said that they overestimated number of immigrants from non eu countries

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-49420730

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 07:12:26 AM
Just looking at the betting odds.

October 2019 as the month of next general election: 11/10
November 2019 aa the month of next general election: 7/4
2nd referendum: 12/1
No 2nd referendum: 1/33
Tories get most seats at next election: 4/9
No-deal Brexit: 20/10
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 05, 2019, 07:15:22 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.

There is no solution, technical or otherwise, that allows a free flowing border but still maintains checks on the goods and people crossing it.  It just doesn't and won't exist.

Everyone knows this and it's the main reason why the EU insist on the backstop and the Brits are so against it.

If we time limit the backstop all we'll get is the Brits sticking the border back up again in 5 years time, when the noise has died down and nobody is really looking any more.

A nonsense idea.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 07:18:24 AM
Holy crap did the bill just clear the House of Lords already? I didn't see that coming, I was waiting for a day of drama about filibusters!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:16:56 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 05, 2019, 07:15:22 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.

There is no solution, technical or otherwise, that allows a free flowing border but still maintains checks on the goods and people crossing it.  It just doesn't and won't exist.

Everyone knows this and it's the main reason why the EU insist on the backstop and the Brits are so against it.

If we time limit the backstop all we'll get is the Brits sticking the border back up again in 5 years time, when the noise has died down and nobody is really looking any more.

A nonsense idea.

The solution is already here

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-44054594

Border between norway and Sweden Is technology based. Over 1300 lorries pass through it a day without any issues. Waiting time is 20 minutes. People are hell bent on finding faults instead of looking at what the EU already has in place with other countries.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 05, 2019, 08:20:52 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:16:56 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 05, 2019, 07:15:22 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.

There is no solution, technical or otherwise, that allows a free flowing border but still maintains checks on the goods and people crossing it.  It just doesn't and won't exist.

Everyone knows this and it's the main reason why the EU insist on the backstop and the Brits are so against it.

If we time limit the backstop all we'll get is the Brits sticking the border back up again in 5 years time, when the noise has died down and nobody is really looking any more.

A nonsense idea.

The solution is already here

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-44054594

Border between norway and Sweden Is technology based. Over 1300 lorries pass through it a day without any issues. Waiting time is 20 minutes. People are hell bent on finding faults instead of looking at what the EU already has in place with other countries.

;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:57:43 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 05, 2019, 08:20:52 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:16:56 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 05, 2019, 07:15:22 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.

There is no solution, technical or otherwise, that allows a free flowing border but still maintains checks on the goods and people crossing it.  It just doesn't and won't exist.

Everyone knows this and it's the main reason why the EU insist on the backstop and the Brits are so against it.

If we time limit the backstop all we'll get is the Brits sticking the border back up again in 5 years time, when the noise has died down and nobody is really looking any more.

A nonsense idea.

The solution is already here

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-44054594

Border between norway and Sweden Is technology based. Over 1300 lorries pass through it a day without any issues. Waiting time is 20 minutes. People are hell bent on finding faults instead of looking at what the EU already has in place with other countries.

;D ;D

That's what the article says. Apparently it is an almost seamless border
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 05, 2019, 09:00:30 AM
The border has to be open. It's Ireland and there are Irish people on both sides of the border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 05, 2019, 09:01:38 AM
Sylvia Hermon invites John Redwood to come with her to south Armagh to discuss the issues
https://www.theyworkforyou.com/debates/?id=2019-09-04a.251.6&s=speaker%3A10958#g273.2

he doesn't seem to have wanted to take up the invite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 09:04:26 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on September 04, 2019, 10:08:14 PM
If we, the world, can learn one thing from Brexit is that 52% of the vote is not actually enough to force through a constitutional change.

I think if the proposition in front of the people is clearly framed then it's arguable. When it's an indicative referendum framed on unicorns and lies then it's meaning gets lost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 09:12:13 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 06:02:38 AM
Quote from: Minder on September 04, 2019, 10:32:55 PM

Saw something earlier that according to Labours internal polling they are pretty sure they wouldnt win a GE at the minute

The strength of the SNP is probably why. Since the SNP are staunch remainers I'd say a second EU referendum would be a condition for any coalition with them.

I honestly believe there's a rough plan between Labour, Lib Dems and SNP to manage this process through to the next parliament. I would see Corbyn leading a coalition government and negotiating a compromise deal which is much better than May's balls of a deal. This will be then put to a public vote - Yes and Britain leaves on the terms of the deal, No and they stay. Issue closed. Then the business of rebuilding Britain, ending austerity and working for the many can get the focus it deserves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 09:17:36 AM
Hopefully at the end of this there will be no more "Britain".
I wonder what will a State made up of England, Wales and the 6 Cos call itself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on September 05, 2019, 09:20:51 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:57:43 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 05, 2019, 08:20:52 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:16:56 AM
Quote from: Franko on September 05, 2019, 07:15:22 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.

There is no solution, technical or otherwise, that allows a free flowing border but still maintains checks on the goods and people crossing it.  It just doesn't and won't exist.

Everyone knows this and it's the main reason why the EU insist on the backstop and the Brits are so against it.

If we time limit the backstop all we'll get is the Brits sticking the border back up again in 5 years time, when the noise has died down and nobody is really looking any more.

A nonsense idea.

The solution is already here

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-44054594

Border between norway and Sweden Is technology based. Over 1300 lorries pass through it a day without any issues. Waiting time is 20 minutes. People are hell bent on finding faults instead of looking at what the EU already has in place with other countries.

;D ;D

That's what the article says. Apparently it is an almost seamless border

The article also says Norway is part of the single market through its membership of the European Economic Area (EEA) but it's not in the customs union. Being in the single market means Norway respects the EU's four freedoms - the freedom of movement of goods, services, capital and people

The UK is not looking to be in the Single market nor the free movement of people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on September 05, 2019, 09:35:22 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 09:17:36 AM
Hopefully at the end of this there will be no more "Britain".
I wonder what will a State made up of England, Wales and the 6 Cos call itself.

Shitain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on September 05, 2019, 09:45:30 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 09:17:36 AM
Hopefully at the end of this there will be no more "Britain".
I wonder what will a State made up of England, Wales and the 6 Cos call itself.

K?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on September 05, 2019, 10:55:59 AM
The government seems to be able to find money very easy these days.  Are they borrowing again?  It seems Corbin would ruin the economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 10:58:41 AM
Quote from: Denn Forever on September 05, 2019, 10:55:59 AM
The government seems to be able to find money very easy these days.  Are they borrowing again?  It seems Corbin would ruin the economy.

What a ridiculous statement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 05, 2019, 11:14:35 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 07:12:26 AM
Just looking at the betting odds.

October 2019 as the month of next general election: 11/10
November 2019 aa the month of next general election: 7/4
2nd referendum: 12/1
No 2nd referendum: 1/33
Tories get most seats at next election: 4/9
No-deal Brexit: 20/10

Prior to this week, PP were quoting I think 4/6 against a No-deal Brexit with odds having shortened to a real low of 6/5 for.
Then Tuesday night they went 4/11 against and 15/8 for.
Yesterday evening they were 3/10 against, 23/10 for.
Now, following House of Lords assent they are 1/5 against, 3/1 for.
Hopefully that trend continues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 11:35:54 AM
His own brother has walked away from him now. Jo Johnson stepped down as Minister and MP. Do people seriously think this piece of shit can win a GE?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on September 05, 2019, 11:43:54 AM
Quote from: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 11:35:54 AM
His own brother has walked away from him now. Jo Johnson stepped down as Minister and MP. Do people seriously think this piece of shit can win a GE?

Yes some people think he can. Brexit is a political civil war.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on September 05, 2019, 11:44:46 AM
You've got to hand it to him. In 1 week he's managed to split the country, Parliament, his Party and now his family
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 11:54:07 AM
Never underestimate racist England - at the end of the day they only need to win Engerland to get power.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 11:58:25 AM
Except for the damage it would do to us I'd nearly say - if they vote for this then they deserve all that's coming to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 05, 2019, 11:58:49 AM
If Farage doesn't get into bed with the Tories in the GE then anything is really possible tbh, it certainly wont be a normal GE. Farage is as much an egotistical narcissist as the rest of them so he'll very likely not do a deal with them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 12:02:59 PM
Johnston is also an egotistical ballbag so hopefully their ego's mean they split the vote but unfortunately that tosser cummings will ensure all brexiteer votes will be maximised.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 12:04:26 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 11:35:54 AM
His own brother has walked away from him now. Jo Johnson stepped down as Minister and MP. Do people seriously think this piece of shit can win a GE?

How is it the dickhead brother always wins the votes!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 12:16:19 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 12:02:59 PM
Johnston is also an egotistical ballbag so hopefully their ego's mean they split the vote but unfortunately that t**ser cummings will ensure all brexiteer votes will be maximised.

Labour and the Lib Dems and the SNP have to do likewise in a GE. Come back, form a government, get a soft Brexit deal and put it to the people, for once and for all a CLEAR choice - take the deal or remain. Everyone bar the Brexiteers gets what they want or something they can stomach. Plus neither option destroys people's lives for years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 05, 2019, 12:35:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 05, 2019, 11:58:49 AM
If Farage doesn't get into bed with the Tories in the GE then anything is really possible tbh, it certainly wont be a normal GE. Farage is as much an egotistical narcissist as the rest of them so he'll very likely not do a deal with them.

There was an interesting comment made by Moggies sister on Newsnight last night.

she said that the Brexit party which she's a member of, would not enter into an election pact with the Tories unless they stated that a No Deal Brexit was their main goal.

If Boris actually comes out and says he wants a No Deal Brexit then I think he's a goner and won't win the GE.

He needs to keep the illusion up that he's wanting a deal to keep a lot of the electorate onside.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 05, 2019, 12:41:29 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:16:56 AM
The solution is already here

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-44054594

Border between norway and Sweden Is technology based. Over 1300 lorries pass through it a day without any issues. Waiting time is 20 minutes. People are hell bent on finding faults instead of looking at what the EU already has in place with other countries.

Ugh.

How long do you think it'd be before the dissidents decided to "free Ireland" by destroying the number plate recognition cameras?
Or attacking the customs posts there would need to be on the main routes?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on September 05, 2019, 12:54:52 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/sinn-fein-open-to-westminster-electoral-pact-with-other-proremain-parties-to-challenge-the-dup-says-oneill-38468538.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Crete Boom on September 05, 2019, 12:56:38 PM
Quote from: Gabriel_Hurl on September 05, 2019, 12:54:52 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/sinn-fein-open-to-westminster-electoral-pact-with-other-proremain-parties-to-challenge-the-dup-says-oneill-38468538.html

It's the only sane thing to do for their constituents!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 01:01:35 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 12:16:19 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 12:02:59 PM
Johnston is also an egotistical ballbag so hopefully their ego's mean they split the vote but unfortunately that t**ser cummings will ensure all brexiteer votes will be maximised.

Labour and the Lib Dems and the SNP have to do likewise in a GE. Come back, form a government, get a soft Brexit deal
Latest opinion polls have SNP taking 51 seats in Scotland.
All the 13 Scottish Conservative MPs supported Bozo in the Votes so will do well to get 3 seats.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 01:29:10 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 05, 2019, 12:35:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 05, 2019, 11:58:49 AM
If Farage doesn't get into bed with the Tories in the GE then anything is really possible tbh, it certainly wont be a normal GE. Farage is as much an egotistical narcissist as the rest of them so he'll very likely not do a deal with them.

There was an interesting comment made by Moggies sister on Newsnight last night.

she said that the Brexit party which she's a member of, would not enter into an election pact with the Tories unless they stated that a No Deal Brexit was their main goal.

If Boris actually comes out and says he wants a No Deal Brexit then I think he's a goner and won't win the GE.

He needs to keep the illusion up that he's wanting a deal to keep a lot of the electorate onside.

In all honestly does anyone think there is anything other than a no deal Brexit on Boris's mind? It's absolutely ridiculous to think or suggest otherwise. He was put in by the Tories to do one thing and one thing only. By any and all means possible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 05, 2019, 01:42:04 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 05, 2019, 12:41:29 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:16:56 AM
The solution is already here

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-44054594

Border between norway and Sweden Is technology based. Over 1300 lorries pass through it a day without any issues. Waiting time is 20 minutes. People are hell bent on finding faults instead of looking at what the EU already has in place with other countries.

Ugh.

How long do you think it'd be before the dissidents decided to "free Ireland" by destroying the number plate recognition cameras?
Or attacking the customs posts there would need to be on the main routes?

It wouldn't even take dissidents, the people living close to the border areas would pull them down themselves with their bare hands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 05, 2019, 01:45:10 PM
Quote from: magpie seanie on September 05, 2019, 01:29:10 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 05, 2019, 12:35:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 05, 2019, 11:58:49 AM
If Farage doesn't get into bed with the Tories in the GE then anything is really possible tbh, it certainly wont be a normal GE. Farage is as much an egotistical narcissist as the rest of them so he'll very likely not do a deal with them.

There was an interesting comment made by Moggies sister on Newsnight last night.

she said that the Brexit party which she's a member of, would not enter into an election pact with the Tories unless they stated that a No Deal Brexit was their main goal.

If Boris actually comes out and says he wants a No Deal Brexit then I think he's a goner and won't win the GE.

He needs to keep the illusion up that he's wanting a deal to keep a lot of the electorate onside.

In all honestly does anyone think there is anything other than a no deal Brexit on Boris's mind? It's absolutely ridiculous to think or suggest otherwise. He was put in by the Tories to do one thing and one thing only. By any and all means possible.

Daniel Donaldson was still churning out the Tory mantra that Boris wants a deal this morning, so he either believes it or is still sniffing too many ar**h*l*s in Westminster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on September 05, 2019, 01:56:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on September 05, 2019, 07:15:22 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.

There is no solution, technical or otherwise, that allows a free flowing border but still maintains checks on the goods and people crossing it.  It just doesn't and won't exist.

Everyone knows this and it's the main reason why the EU insist on the backstop and the Brits are so against it.

If we time limit the backstop all we'll get is the Brits sticking the border back up again in 5 years time, when the noise has died down and nobody is really looking any more.

A nonsense idea.
Think you mixed up what the backstop actually is!

It's a temporary arrangement designed to prevent a hard border and customs checks. When a trade agreement is reached between the EU and UK, the backstop ends (on the basis that the free movement of goods between north and south will form part of the trade agreement).

There is no proposal to stop people moving across the border. The Common Travel Area will remain no matter what happens re Brexit (UK and Ireland governments have already signed up to that).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 05, 2019, 02:21:52 PM
As I read earlier . . . Johnson has told his opponents Brexit is happening on Oct 31st do or die. . . they've decided to let him die!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 05, 2019, 03:07:56 PM
Quote from: Hound on September 05, 2019, 01:56:20 PM
Quote from: Franko on September 05, 2019, 07:15:22 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:54:49 AM
Quote from: haranguerer on September 04, 2019, 09:16:58 AM
Quote from: Hound on September 04, 2019, 09:06:19 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on September 04, 2019, 08:23:56 AM
My theory. Boris has no majority anymore and wants an election, preferably with Brexit sorted. DUP now no use to him. Surely the sensible thing is go for NI only backstop put that through parliament then when he's done that and can leave with a deal by 31 October, go for election

NI only backstop, but with a timelimit, say 5 years, is the obvious answer that everyone would eventually sign up to. (Even DUP could claim that as a win if they get a timelimit imposed). The 5 years (extendable if all sides agree) would give opportunity to do a new trade deal between EU and UK, such that no border would be required on our island.


There can't be a time limit on the backstop. It ceases to perform its (very necessary) purpose if there is. 'Even DUP....' nothing - they'd rip your hand off for it! And are on record as saying so.

Of course there can be a timelimit.

Insisting on a timelimit for the backstop means there ends up being no backstop at all (i.e. No Deal).

5 years gives time to move away from political nonsense and deal with social and commercial interests where nobody actually wants a border so a proper deal can be done.

There is no solution, technical or otherwise, that allows a free flowing border but still maintains checks on the goods and people crossing it.  It just doesn't and won't exist.

Everyone knows this and it's the main reason why the EU insist on the backstop and the Brits are so against it.

If we time limit the backstop all we'll get is the Brits sticking the border back up again in 5 years time, when the noise has died down and nobody is really looking any more.

A nonsense idea.
Think you mixed up what the backstop actually is!

It's a temporary arrangement designed to prevent a hard border and customs checks. When a trade agreement is reached between the EU and UK, the backstop ends (on the basis that the free movement of goods between north and south will form part of the trade agreement).

There is no proposal to stop people moving across the border. The Common Travel Area will remain no matter what happens re Brexit (UK and Ireland governments have already signed up to that).

I know perfectly well what the backstop is.

The bit in bold is where your argument falls down.

The EU needs to maintain the integrity of the single market and the Brits are shit scared of brown skinned people slipping into the country via the back door.

How do you reckon that this unicorn free trade deal that the the EU and Brits will do will deal with that?  Because no matter how much Gove and Arlene and Sammy tell you, there is no technical solution.

The duplicitous and treacherous behaviour of Boris and Co over the last few days should have made it clear (if it wasn't already) that these people will only do something if they are absolutely forced and have no issue whatsoever with reneging on something that they have previously agreed.

NEVER trust a Tory.  The EU know it.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 04:24:06 PM
Looks like the SNP are going fcuk it up and vote for an election on 15th. Can't understand their thinking why not wait.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 05, 2019, 04:39:15 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 04:24:06 PM
Looks like the SNP are going fcuk it up and vote for an election on 15th. Can't understand their thinking why not wait.

Word is they've maybe changed their tune on that one as well and that No Deal has to be completely off the table before they vote for an election And that "may well" mean Parliament is suspended next week without an election being called.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 05:25:12 PM
Don't 417 or so have to vote for an election before it can be held?
Bozos and DUPUDA seem to have 299 between them.
Labour can hold ut up as long as they wish then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 05:29:38 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 05:25:12 PM
Don't 417 or so have to vote for an election before it can be held?
Bozos and DUPUDA seem to have 299 between them.
Labour can hold ut up as long as they wish then.

No BoJo can introduce a bill that needs a simple majority hence SNP need to be on board with Luke Skywalker- sorry the rebel alliance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 05:46:13 PM
Bojo just said he would rather be dead in a ditch than ask for an extension. All opposition parties should hold firm and make him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 05, 2019, 05:56:51 PM
Cummins starting to get some well merited stick now, just watched an evisceration of him on Sky news by Oborne from the Mail and another former Boris advisor. Outside the Tory / Brexit echo chamber its starting to come undone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on September 05, 2019, 06:46:36 PM
Does that Dr Nicholl come across as very difficult to understand or am I being an idiot? Not saying he isn't right in what he is saying but there is a lot of bluster.

He said earlier on on sky that a no deal will be catastrophic for NHS and that means people will come to harm may die - or to that effect

Just asked the same questions  just said patients will come to harm .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 05, 2019, 07:18:57 PM
Heres another thought.... BoJos constituency Uxbridge and South Ruislip doesnt look to be the safest seat in the world especially with Brexit lingering the Tories would be susceptible to a no deal coalition.

Tho I wouldnt imagine hed risk running in that seat would he? prob just jump ship to the Suffolk countryside?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 05, 2019, 07:21:53 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on September 05, 2019, 08:16:56 AM

The solution is already here

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-44054594

Border between norway and Sweden Is technology based. Over 1300 lorries pass through it a day without any issues. Waiting time is 20 minutes. People are hell bent on finding faults instead of looking at what the EU already has in place with other countries.

That's hilarious. It was about 20 minutes in Ireland back before 1992. Places like Castleblayney and Dundalk had lorries waiting up the sides of roads. With the amount of stuff moved on roads nowadays that'd be chaos. "No issues" my ass. A border doesn't get much harder than that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on September 05, 2019, 07:25:15 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 05:46:13 PM
Bojo just said he would rather be dead in a ditch than ask for an extension. All opposition parties should hold firm and make him.

Well, he did say Brexit was do or die...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 05, 2019, 08:28:35 PM

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/boris-johnson-seeks-to-ditch-uk-pledges-to-eu-on-future-relations-1.4009202
« It is clear the Johnson administration sees the future in terms of competing with the EU by means of cheap costs, whether labour, social or environmental – the UK as an Atlantic Singapore. »
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 08:47:48 PM
That was the plan of a lot of the Brexiteers all along.
They'll be like Taiwan, an American satellite state.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 05, 2019, 09:23:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 05:29:38 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 05:25:12 PM
Don't 417 or so have to vote for an election before it can be held?
Bozos and DUPUDA seem to have 299 between them.
Labour can hold ut up as long as they wish then.

No BoJo can introduce a bill that needs a simple majority hence SNP need to be on board with Luke Skywalker- sorry the rebel alliance.


But that bill has to be passed first and can be subject to amendments by the opposition I think?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 05, 2019, 09:25:48 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 05, 2019, 05:56:51 PM
Cummins starting to get some well merited stick now, just watched an evisceration of him on Sky news by Oborne from the Mail and another former Boris advisor. Outside the Tory / Brexit echo chamber its starting to come undone.

Sincerely hope Cummings is left in place. He'll be divisive for as long as he's Boris Bunter's puppetmaster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 05, 2019, 09:32:56 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 05, 2019, 08:47:48 PM
That was the plan of a lot of the Brexiteers all along.
They'll be like Taiwan, an American satellite state.

Why would anyone vote to be pauperised?
It would be the end of Norn Irn
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 05, 2019, 09:54:43 PM
Quote from: mouview on September 05, 2019, 09:25:48 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 05, 2019, 05:56:51 PM
Cummins starting to get some well merited stick now, just watched an evisceration of him on Sky news by Oborne from the Mail and another former Boris advisor. Outside the Tory / Brexit echo chamber its starting to come undone.

Sincerely hope Cummings is left in place. He'll be divisive for as long as he's Boris Bunter's puppetmaster.

Dunno about that..... if he is as switched on as they say he is he'll learn from this week that going for the nuclear button doesnt always work. A more cunning version of him could be a lot dangerous in terms of what he could achieve.

Then again he might just be an inherent impulsive know it all. In which case you can expect to see more of this mad crap....of course sooner of later it may pan out like he intended.

I have no doubt tho that in an election he will have a plan for the Tories, trick for the opposition is to be ready... unlike the referendum
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 05, 2019, 10:22:31 PM
Nothing sorted yet but it seems like the Torres/Cummings gambled on the opposition parties not being able to come together while they secretly got their ducks in a row and to all intents and purposes have been one step ahead of Boris at every turn.

They need to get this put into law and an extension agreed then Boris is definitely gone!!

Great to see f**k the Tories!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on September 06, 2019, 06:32:29 AM
Let's call this lot Liberal Elite Westminster (LEW).  The LEW - led by Corbyn - are ploughing one of the most conservative of all ideas.  'My dad said we've to vote Tory because they're smarter than us and know what's better for us".  Can't remember the official title for this phenomenon but it held the Conservatives as the ruling party until new Labour came along early 90s.  Essentially Parliamentary Sovereignty is democracy so long as the mob don't get to act on their impulses.  Popularism and a simple in/out vote.  A better referendum would be:  "Should we end immigration?  Yes or No"

I'm glad we're not getting a no deal Brexit but we'll still get a Brexit and it'll be Theresa May's deal tidied up by Corbyn or the leader of the Unity Govt.  I predict Labour losing in most of England except London, home of LEW.  Dom Cum is excellent at electoral strategy.  Corbyn should consider making him an offer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on September 06, 2019, 06:43:26 AM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on September 05, 2019, 07:25:15 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 05:46:13 PM
Bojo just said he would rather be dead in a ditch than ask for an extension. All opposition parties should hold firm and make him.

Well, he did say Brexit was do or die...

When BJ was then asked so you would resign first and he shat the pants.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 06:44:41 AM
Quote from: screenexile on September 05, 2019, 10:22:31 PM
Nothing sorted yet but it seems like the Torres/Cummings gambled on the opposition parties not being able to come together while they secretly got their ducks in a row and to all intents and purposes have been one step ahead of Boris at every turn.

They need to get this put into law and an extension agreed then Boris is definitely gone!!

Great to see f**k the Tories!!

Dominic Cummings (Johnson's unelected "special adviser"), to a long-standing Tory MP and recent cabinet minister, Greg Clark:

"When are you f***ing MPs going to realise, we are leaving on October 31? We are going to purge you."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on September 06, 2019, 06:54:25 AM
Nothing wrong with the word "purge".  Corbyn has done it.  Hitler has done it. Mugabe has done it. The problem is it's context and it's connotations.  It's rarely used by mistake.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 06, 2019, 07:50:13 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on September 06, 2019, 06:32:29 AM
Let's call this lot Liberal Elite Westminster (LEW).  The LEW - led by Corbyn - are ploughing one of the most conservative of all ideas.  'My dad said we've to vote Tory because they're smarter than us and know what's better for us".  Can't remember the official title for this phenomenon but it held the Conservatives as the ruling party until new Labour came along early 90s.  Essentially Parliamentary Sovereignty is democracy so long as the mob don't get to act on their impulses.  Popularism and a simple in/out vote.  A better referendum would be:  "Should we end immigration?  Yes or No"

I'm glad we're not getting a no deal Brexit but we'll still get a Brexit and it'll be Theresa May's deal tidied up by Corbyn or the leader of the Unity Govt.  I predict Labour losing in most of England except London, home of LEW.  Dom Cum is excellent at electoral strategy.  Corbyn should consider making him an offer.

I feel stupider for having read that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 08:17:25 AM
No Deal for people in NI would mean a huge drop in wages/social welfare. Why the DUP would support this is beyond me.
Paradoxically Brexit has brought the 2 parts of the Irish nation closer than at any time in the last century. In 1969 the Dublin
government had virtually no insight into NI society. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 06, 2019, 08:54:49 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on September 06, 2019, 06:32:29 AM
Let's call this lot Liberal Elite Westminster (LEW).  The LEW - led by Corbyn - are ploughing one of the most conservative of all ideas.  'My dad said we've to vote Tory because they're smarter than us and know what's better for us".  Can't remember the official title for this phenomenon but it held the Conservatives as the ruling party until new Labour came along early 90s.  Essentially Parliamentary Sovereignty is democracy so long as the mob don't get to act on their impulses.  Popularism and a simple in/out vote.  A better referendum would be:  "Should we end immigration?  Yes or No"

I'm glad we're not getting a no deal Brexit but we'll still get a Brexit and it'll be Theresa May's deal tidied up by Corbyn or the leader of the Unity Govt. I predict Labour losing in most of England except London, home of LEW.  Dom Cum is excellent at electoral strategy.  Corbyn should consider making him an offer.

If it gets to this, then there's every chance there could also be a second referendum where Remain most likely wins out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 06, 2019, 09:27:20 AM
Quote from: sensethetone on September 06, 2019, 06:43:26 AM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on September 05, 2019, 07:25:15 PM
Quote from: t_mac on September 05, 2019, 05:46:13 PM
Bojo just said he would rather be dead in a ditch than ask for an extension. All opposition parties should hold firm and make him.

Well, he did say Brexit was do or die...

When BJ was then asked so you would resign first and he shat the pants.

Maybe that's why the cop collapsed - she smelt it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 10:04:28 AM
The brits are not going to get much of a deal with the EU if they turn the UK into a low wage sweatshop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 10:38:47 AM
https://reaction.life/jeremy-vine-my-boris-story/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 06, 2019, 10:45:55 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on September 06, 2019, 06:32:29 AM
Let's call this lot Liberal Elite Westminster (LEW).  The LEW - led by Corbyn - are ploughing one of the most conservative of all ideas.  'My dad said we've to vote Tory because they're smarter than us and know what's better for us".  Can't remember the official title for this phenomenon but it held the Conservatives as the ruling party until new Labour came along early 90s.  Essentially Parliamentary Sovereignty is democracy so long as the mob don't get to act on their impulses.  Popularism and a simple in/out vote.  A better referendum would be:  "Should we end immigration?  Yes or No"

I'm glad we're not getting a no deal Brexit but we'll still get a Brexit and it'll be Theresa May's deal tidied up by Corbyn or the leader of the Unity Govt.  I predict Labour losing in most of England except London, home of LEW.  Dom Cum is excellent at electoral strategy.  Corbyn should consider making him an offer.

I'll agree with you in one regard, that the Brexit will be a dressed up version of Mays deal with a NI only backstop.
When reality bites for the ERG or Spartans I think they're now called they'll vote for that and hope that they've worn down enough pro Brexit, but not hard Brexiteers within the Labour ranks to get it over the line.

As for Cummins, he's a shyster of the highest order and it would be interesting to know who's behind him pushing the buttons once his inevitable fall from grace happens.

Boris is a willing patsy in this game, the egotistical buffon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on September 06, 2019, 10:50:43 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 06, 2019, 10:45:55 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on September 06, 2019, 06:32:29 AM
Let's call this lot Liberal Elite Westminster (LEW).  The LEW - led by Corbyn - are ploughing one of the most conservative of all ideas.  'My dad said we've to vote Tory because they're smarter than us and know what's better for us".  Can't remember the official title for this phenomenon but it held the Conservatives as the ruling party until new Labour came along early 90s.  Essentially Parliamentary Sovereignty is democracy so long as the mob don't get to act on their impulses.  Popularism and a simple in/out vote.  A better referendum would be:  "Should we end immigration?  Yes or No"

I'm glad we're not getting a no deal Brexit but we'll still get a Brexit and it'll be Theresa May's deal tidied up by Corbyn or the leader of the Unity Govt.  I predict Labour losing in most of England except London, home of LEW.  Dom Cum is excellent at electoral strategy.  Corbyn should consider making him an offer.

I'll agree with you in one regard, that the Brexit will be a dressed up version of Mays deal with a NI only backstop.
When reality bites for the ERG or Spartans I think they're now called they'll vote for that and hope that they've worn down enough pro Brexit, but not hard Brexiteers within the Labour ranks to get it over the line.

As for Cummins, he's a shyster of the highest order and it would be interesting to know who's behind him pushing the buttons once his inevitable fall from grace happens.

Boris is a willing patsy in this game, the egotistical buffon.

1922 group/ERG/Free masons/Russia/Trump and Brenda from Bristol. #SPAD RULE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 06, 2019, 10:51:50 AM
Nail on head in the last 2 paras Johnny.
Going by Pence's and tr**p's undiplomatic support for breaking up the EU I'd suspect there are extreme neo liberal US interests behind Cummings.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on September 06, 2019, 02:14:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 08:17:25 AM
No Deal for people in NI would mean a huge drop in wages/social welfare. Why the DUP would support this is beyond me.
Paradoxically Brexit has brought the 2 parts of the Irish nation closer than at any time in the last century. In 1969 the Dublin
government had virtually no insight into NI society.

It is simple really. They expected Brexit to lead to a physical border and to have a greater barrier in all senses of the word between the 6 counties and the rest of the country. The Union is their utmost priority and trumps everything else - food, health, the economy etc. They would rather we all lived in a cave live like they do than give up their beloved Queen and country - which ironically would drop them in a heartbeat if they could find a way out. It's not working out quite the way they planned but they have made their bed and have to lie in it - mind you it's not been as big a disaster for them to date as the rest of us hoped. But long runs the fox.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 03:19:39 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/northern-ireland-s-economy-is-threatened-by-more-than-brexit-1.4009296
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 06, 2019, 04:39:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 03:19:39 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/northern-ireland-s-economy-is-threatened-by-more-than-brexit-1.4009296

Erm - that article dumps the sum of our problems on the transfer test.

Given that the results of the education system in NI is evidently better performing than elsewhere, it is a strange argument to make:

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/gcse-results-your-area-see-18983712

QuoteNorthern Ireland has scored the highest percentage of entries who achieved a 'pass,' with 82.2% getting a C or 4 depending on the grading system.

The region was also top area for the people getting grades A or 7 and above.

London came in second, with 70.6% passing and 25.7% scoring at least an A or 7.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-49351481

QuoteA-Level entries in Northern Ireland declined by more than 2% in 2019, though exam organisations said that was mainly due to a fall in the year 14 population in schools.

However, the overall A*-E pass rate at A-level in Northern Ireland increased slightly by 0.1% to 98.3%.

Pupils in Northern Ireland have consistently outperformed their counterparts in England and Wales in recent years.


There is nothing that boils my piss more than some hippy insisting comprehensive schools are the way to go when the evidence clearly states otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 06, 2019, 04:52:30 PM
Maybe Irish people have more brains than English or Welsh?

Anyway where to now as it seems Bozo's 2nd attempt to force an Election will meet the same fate as the 1st one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 04:57:20 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 06, 2019, 02:14:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 08:17:25 AM
No Deal for people in NI would mean a huge drop in wages/social welfare. Why the DUP would support this is beyond me.
Paradoxically Brexit has brought the 2 parts of the Irish nation closer than at any time in the last century. In 1969 the Dublin
government had virtually no insight into NI society.

It is simple really. They expected Brexit to lead to a physical border and to have a greater barrier in all senses of the word between the 6 counties and the rest of the country. The Union is their utmost priority and trumps everything else - food, health, the economy etc. They would rather we all lived in a cave live like they do than give up their beloved Queen and country - which ironically would drop them in a heartbeat if they could find a way out. It's not working out quite the way they planned but they have made their bed and have to lie in it - mind you it's not been as big a disaster for them to date as the rest of us hoped. But long runs the fox.
The Unionist worldview is based around the fact that they are superior to the Irish.
No Deal would hammer Unionist wages and leave them poorer than Taigs in Monaghan

As Clinton said, it's the economy, stupid.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on September 06, 2019, 05:27:50 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 04:57:20 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 06, 2019, 02:14:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 08:17:25 AM
No Deal for people in NI would mean a huge drop in wages/social welfare. Why the DUP would support this is beyond me.
Paradoxically Brexit has brought the 2 parts of the Irish nation closer than at any time in the last century. In 1969 the Dublin
government had virtually no insight into NI society.

It is simple really. They expected Brexit to lead to a physical border and to have a greater barrier in all senses of the word between the 6 counties and the rest of the country. The Union is their utmost priority and trumps everything else - food, health, the economy etc. They would rather we all lived in a cave live like they do than give up their beloved Queen and country - which ironically would drop them in a heartbeat if they could find a way out. It's not working out quite the way they planned but they have made their bed and have to lie in it - mind you it's not been as big a disaster for them to date as the rest of us hoped. But long runs the fox.
The Unionist worldview is based around the fact that they are superior to the Irish.
No Deal would hammer Unionist wages and leave them poorer than Taigs in Monaghan

As Clinton said, it's the economy, stupid.

No arguing with any of that but as I said with them the Union trumps everything else. There is no reasoning with that mindset.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on September 06, 2019, 05:32:37 PM
I agree with yous, but I think DUP behind closed doors know they backed the wrong horse. They didn't expect to win regards Brexit. Now they have to stick to it. Good luck to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 06:55:31 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 06, 2019, 05:27:50 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 04:57:20 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 06, 2019, 02:14:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 06, 2019, 08:17:25 AM
No Deal for people in NI would mean a huge drop in wages/social welfare. Why the DUP would support this is beyond me.
Paradoxically Brexit has brought the 2 parts of the Irish nation closer than at any time in the last century. In 1969 the Dublin
government had virtually no insight into NI society.

It is simple really. They expected Brexit to lead to a physical border and to have a greater barrier in all senses of the word between the 6 counties and the rest of the country. The Union is their utmost priority and trumps everything else - food, health, the economy etc. They would rather we all lived in a cave live like they do than give up their beloved Queen and country - which ironically would drop them in a heartbeat if they could find a way out. It's not working out quite the way they planned but they have made their bed and have to lie in it - mind you it's not been as big a disaster for them to date as the rest of us hoped. But long runs the fox.
The Unionist worldview is based around the fact that they are superior to the Irish.
No Deal would hammer Unionist wages and leave them poorer than Taigs in Monaghan

As Clinton said, it's the economy, stupid.

No arguing with any of that but as I said with them the Union trumps everything else. There is no reasoning with that mindset.

The pillars of the Unionist worldview are collapsing .
The Brits bought off the Presbyterians after 1798. For almost 200 years being British made sense. For how much longer ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on September 06, 2019, 08:06:22 PM
As Chou En Lai said, when asked about the impact of the French Revolution..."it's too early to tell". Let's not be too hasty in coming to a decisive conclusion about 1798 either
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on September 06, 2019, 09:45:02 PM
The DUP got drunk on being the poster boys for Brexit. They found a global stage, the HOC where they were up to then largely irrelevant, to finally unleash their patented brand of Ulster stubbornness for the world to see. Suddenly as saviors of Brexit, they were the darlings of the right wing press and the deranged commentators in the Express and Daily Mail, with comments like Arlene for PM or how can I vote for the DUP in Bolsover and Havering. To them it was the Siege of Britain and the sons of Ulster were defending all from Catholic Europe and the iffy Gay in power down South who was preventing Brexit in his mission to destroy the Union and seize NI. But the more attention one attracts to one self, the more scrutiny - and more GB people now see the bribes, realise they pay more to prop up NI than gain access to EU market, they hold bigoted views, they insist on divergence when they want it, and Farmer Boris in his wellies has even come to realise agrifood alignment makes sense. Their goose, or gammon, is now cooked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on September 07, 2019, 07:03:39 AM
Yeah.  I could see them losing 20% of their seats at next GE but then I did predict that previously..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on September 07, 2019, 08:49:00 AM
When you look at the British Government front bench and see Boris sitting with Rabb (I'd never get tired slapping his incompetent face)Gove, Rees Mogg, Patel to name but a few, it almost makes some of the brood of vipers from the Thatcher era Tebbitt, Parkinson, Lilley, Baker, Selwyn Gummer, look human
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on September 08, 2019, 09:58:22 PM
The NI-only backstop appears to be back in play. Both Faisal Islam and Jamie Bryson have commented this evening.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 08, 2019, 09:59:35 PM
Just saying but fcuk I'd love to slap the head of that odious p***k Rabb.

Edit just seen your post Dougal I'm obviously not alone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 09, 2019, 08:32:00 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on September 08, 2019, 09:58:22 PM
The NI-only backstop appears to be back in play. Both Faisal Islam and Jamie Bryson have commented this evening.

Highly respected commentator so it must be true!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 09, 2019, 09:16:49 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on September 09, 2019, 08:32:00 AM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on September 08, 2019, 09:58:22 PM
The NI-only backstop appears to be back in play. Both Faisal Islam and Jamie Bryson have commented this evening.

Highly respected commentator so it must be true!

"Loyalist Blogger" I think is the correct term!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 09, 2019, 12:43:16 PM
Bozo came, talked sh1te and fecked off home again.
Seems he has loads of proposals.....

But he's keeping them to himself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on September 09, 2019, 01:41:00 PM
t_mac. No need for the edit. The more slapping the better
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on September 09, 2019, 03:48:41 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on September 08, 2019, 09:58:22 PM
The NI-only backstop appears to be back in play. Both Faisal Islam and Jamie Bryson have commented this evening.
Privately a relief to the DUP I would think. They can denounce it and play the Union card still get the economic benefits of a foot in both camps.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thebuzz on September 09, 2019, 04:00:11 PM
John Bercow has announced he will stand down as Commons speaker on 31 October at the latest.

On the verge of tears, the Buckingham MP said he had been the "backbenchers' backstop" during his ten years in the top job.

He added serving had been "the greatest honour of my professional life".

Watched by his wife Sally from the gallery, Mr Bercow said he would stay in post until Brexit day at the latest because it was the "least disruptive" timetable.

Thanking MPs - mostly from the opposition benches - as they rose to applaud his speech, he told them: "You really are a very, very generous bunch."

"I wish my successor the very best fortune in standing up for the rights of MPs individually and for parliament institutionally," he added.

Only a handful of Tory MPs stood to applaud Speaker John Bercow

Michael Gove, a long-serving cabinet minister and chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, paid tribute to Mr Bercow's "unwavering" commitment to his principles and constituents.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 09, 2019, 04:10:30 PM
Deserves credit alone for allegedly calling Andrea Leadsom a stupid woman.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Boycey on September 09, 2019, 05:31:51 PM
Bercow giving it socks now, clearly going to make the most of what little time he has left. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on September 09, 2019, 06:33:46 PM
Bercow is one of the fairest and firmest speakers I've seen. Defended the authority of the house to the end. I wonder if they found a bit of dirt on him and threatened him. When he got his ovation I noticed not many sour-faced Tory frontbenchers clapping, to say nothing of standing up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 10, 2019, 05:57:29 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2019/0910/1075021-duty-free-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on September 10, 2019, 06:47:48 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-49647359

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 10, 2019, 06:56:16 PM
Dodds and Foster walked away from No. 10 without comment .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 10, 2019, 07:40:55 PM
Apparently building the bridge between Scotland and the north is back on the agenda from Boris Johnson. Seems insane but we live in crazy times.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on September 10, 2019, 09:49:19 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on September 10, 2019, 07:40:55 PM
Apparently building the bridge between Scotland and the north is back on the agenda from Boris Johnson. Seems insane but we live in crazy times.

I read that the DUP like this because it would obviate the need for a border in the Irish sea.  But wouldn't that just mean the border would have to be at the other end of the bridge, in Scotland?  How would that be better from the DUP perspective?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on September 10, 2019, 09:56:10 PM
Not a mission this bridge will even go to planning. Christ imagine the cost!! Irish sea full of bombs, the depth of towers needed and weather to name but a few issues
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: macdanger2 on September 10, 2019, 10:04:18 PM
Donaldson on prime time there, wasn't giving much away but seemed like he was leaving himself with plenty of wriggle room imo
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 10, 2019, 10:06:39 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on September 10, 2019, 09:56:10 PM
Not a mission this bridge will even go to planning. Christ imagine the cost!! Irish sea full of bombs, the depth of towers needed and weather to name but a few issues

Great to hear....!

Hopefully it will be the Ballycastle to Campbell route as Kintyre and Argyll has extraordinary scenery!

Any word on a schedule yet? before next summer with  bit o luck
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 10, 2019, 10:17:40 PM
It's only 12 miles at its shortest point.. I think there is a sea bridge somewhere over 30miles long!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on September 10, 2019, 10:23:47 PM
Arlene and Dodds looking even more smug than usual walking away from their meeting with Boris. When is this bus they are going to be thrown under going to turn up. Can only hope there are 2 or 3 buses turning up at the same time - and soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on September 10, 2019, 10:52:12 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 10, 2019, 10:23:47 PM
Arlene and Dodds looking even more smug than usual walking away from their meeting with Boris. When is this bus they are going to be thrown under going to turn up. Can only hope there are 2 or 3 buses turning up at the same time - and soon.

Bus won't arrive until the 11th hour but rest assured it will come.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on September 10, 2019, 11:12:34 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 10, 2019, 10:23:47 PM
Arlene and Dodds looking even more smug than usual walking away from their meeting with Boris. When is this bus they are going to be thrown under going to turn up. Can only hope there are 2 or 3 buses turning up at the same time - and soon.

A few peerages and knighthoods will buy them off, good riddance to them, nothing but a parasite on any decent society.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 11, 2019, 09:49:57 AM
The Daily Telegraph reports that Johnson wants to find a replacement for the backstop
on an All Ireland basis

https://youtu.be/VzeDgHgk7qs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 11, 2019, 10:16:06 AM
Unionists will withdraw support for the GFA if he pursues such a course according fo the front page of the Irish News today.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 11, 2019, 10:27:56 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 11, 2019, 10:16:06 AM
Unionists will withdraw support for the GFA if he pursues such a course according fo the front page of the Irish News today.

Will anyone notice?

Meanwhile, Scottish judges rule parliament prorogation unlawful.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-49661855
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 11, 2019, 10:42:41 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 10, 2019, 10:17:40 PM
It's only 12 miles at its shortest point.. I think there is a sea bridge somewhere over 30miles long!
Brexit will reintroduce duty free on ferries which should be good for wine prices
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 11, 2019, 10:53:20 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 11, 2019, 10:16:06 AM
Unionists will withdraw support for the GFA if he pursues such a course according fo the front page of the Irish News today.

As in the DUP? They never supported it anyway so I'm not sure what that would really mean.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on September 11, 2019, 11:03:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 10, 2019, 10:17:40 PM
It's only 12 miles at its shortest point.. I think there is a sea bridge somewhere over 30miles long!

Problem is, the 12 mile route takes you to the back@rse of nowhere in scotland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on September 11, 2019, 11:08:56 AM
Will anyone notice?

Meanwhile, Scottish judges rule parliament prorogation unlawful.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-4966855[/quote]

Ironies of Ironies, the appeal will be heard in the European court.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on September 11, 2019, 11:11:53 AM
Interesting from the Tories pollster of choice Lord Ashcroft.

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/09/my-northern-ireland-survey-finds-the-union-on-a-knife-edge/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 11, 2019, 11:20:07 AM
DUPUDA and the Brexiteers doing a great job for Irish reunification and Scottish Independence. ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on September 11, 2019, 11:36:03 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 11, 2019, 10:42:41 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on September 10, 2019, 10:17:40 PM
It's only 12 miles at its shortest point.. I think there is a sea bridge somewhere over 30miles long!
Brexit will reintroduce duty free on ferries which should be good for wine prices

I've been stocking up with this company

Portugal vineyards... the Porta 6 red is delicious. £50 for 12 bottles post and packaging in that price
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on September 11, 2019, 11:40:46 AM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on September 11, 2019, 11:11:53 AM
Interesting from the Tories pollster of choice Lord Ashcroft.

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/09/my-northern-ireland-survey-finds-the-union-on-a-knife-edge/

Going by the letter of The GFA, that is the type of poll that should trigger a Border Poll, although if it failed there would not be another for 7 years (not a long wait really). The irony is a backstop that gives north best of both worlds may dampen enthusiasm for UI. You got to think Boris will be delighted with that poll as he has a big stick to beat Arlene and Dodds into submission on top of the imaginary bridge he is going to build for them. But it is not right to preserve a Union that is being held in place by the desires of elderly bigots. It's clear younger people desire Unity and the future should be created for that demographic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 11, 2019, 12:52:22 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 11, 2019, 11:40:46 AM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on September 11, 2019, 11:11:53 AM
Interesting from the Tories pollster of choice Lord Ashcroft.

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/09/my-northern-ireland-survey-finds-the-union-on-a-knife-edge/

Going by the letter of The GFA, that is the type of poll that should trigger a Border Poll, although if it failed there would not be another for 7 years (not a long wait really). The irony is a backstop that gives north best of both worlds may dampen enthusiasm for UI.

Indeed - and its further ironic that its nationalists that have less of a problem implementing the backstop and foregoing the move to a UI, and its unionists that are insisting on abolishing the backstop while placing the act of union in serious danger.

I suppose, the split between nationalists/unionists on the poll about the degree of problems a no-deal exit does reflect that unionist mindset. The nationalists appear to see the economic danger  of no-deal & the potential for a border poll sooner - and are prepared to sacrifice the border poll for the economic good by supporting the backstop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 11, 2019, 01:39:07 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on September 11, 2019, 11:11:53 AM
Interesting from the Tories pollster of choice Lord Ashcroft.

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/09/my-northern-ireland-survey-finds-the-union-on-a-knife-edge/

NI is hopelessly polarised

The "how positive do you feel.." chart shows there is no agreement on anyone 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 11, 2019, 02:41:38 PM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on September 11, 2019, 11:11:53 AM
Interesting from the Tories pollster of choice Lord Ashcroft.

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/09/my-northern-ireland-survey-finds-the-union-on-a-knife-edge/

Interesting results. Brexit has undoubtedly accelerated the support for a UI but the demographics have long been heading that way anyway if you look at the split across the age categories. The poll has only rubber stamped previous polls and indeed the last census result. I think a settling period is required post Brexit but certainly a border poll looks fairly inevitable in the next 20 years and possibly a lot sooner depending on how political events run their course. A lot of planning needs to be done in advance of that and it needs to begin with the Irish government. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 11, 2019, 03:32:06 PM
Time for a Citizens Assembly to look into all aspects of an All Ireland State.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 11, 2019, 04:23:44 PM
Dunno how accurate this poll is... There is a couple of prominent Unionists on here who appear to of Nationalist background
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 11, 2019, 05:27:30 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 11, 2019, 11:40:46 AM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on September 11, 2019, 11:11:53 AM
Interesting from the Tories pollster of choice Lord Ashcroft.

https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/09/my-northern-ireland-survey-finds-the-union-on-a-knife-edge/

Going by the letter of The GFA, that is the type of poll that should trigger a Border Poll, although if it failed there would not be another for 7 years (not a long wait really). The irony is a backstop that gives north best of both worlds may dampen enthusiasm for UI. You got to think Boris will be delighted with that poll as he has a big stick to beat Arlene and Dodds into submission on top of the imaginary bridge he is going to build for them. But it is not right to preserve a Union that is being held in place by the desires of elderly bigots. It's clear younger people desire Unity and the future should be created for that demographic.

If properly implemented the backstop might give the best of both worlds, but both the unionists and the British government will continue trying to undermine it, so ensuring that it never becomes truly successful. However, The backstop will give time for discussion though, which is needed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 11, 2019, 09:14:08 PM
Between the Scots Court and publishing the No Deal Scenario another bad day in Bozostan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ed Ricketts on September 11, 2019, 10:21:18 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on September 11, 2019, 10:14:15 PM
A summary of Operation Yellowhammer (it was supposed to be a report, but at five pages someone has clearly just typed a summary up) has now been published to comply with a vote passed by MPs on Monday night before the parliament was suspended.

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/831199/20190802_Latest_Yellowhammer_Planning_assumptions_CDL.pdf

Yeah, it's not painting a pleasant picture.

Paragraph 18 will likely be of interests in these parts - the UK Government are pretty much admitting that they will have to actively impose a "hard border" sooner or later.

Also of note is Paragraph 5, noting that there could be electricity supply problems in NI not on the day of exit, but that the Single Energy Market could suddenly unwind, with increasing costs for consumers.

Paragraph 15 has been redacted - most likely it'll concern national security.

:-\

Para 15, supposedly:

QuoteTariffs make UK petrol exports to the EU uncompetitive. Industry had plans to mitigate the impact on refinery margins and profitability, but UK government policy to set petrol import tariffs at 0% inadvertently undermines these plans. This leads to big financial losses and the closure of two refineries (which are converted to import terminals) with about 2,000 direct job losses. Resulting strike action at refineries would lead to disruptions to fuel availability for 1-2 weeks in the regions they directly supply. Government analysis of the impact of no-deal on refineries continues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 12, 2019, 12:02:43 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on September 11, 2019, 10:20:50 PM
Also to add, a list of prescription medicines that could be potentially hit by shortages...

https://e-surgery.com/brexit-crisis-medication-shortage-list/?fbclid=IwAR3eeO-HftB0WqE4QvY4ed6k9i9HPeo7P-LqGvuZaQZG3K3Ltb938392YOI

I work in the industry and I've never seen as many shortages as the last few months, and it's only getting worse. There's alot of moving round of supply chains at the minute and it's playing havoc with medicine costs/availability.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 12, 2019, 05:56:27 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 11, 2019, 09:14:08 PM
Between the Scots Court and publishing the No Deal Scenario another bad day in Bozostan.
The rule of law is also being hammered.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on September 12, 2019, 07:15:37 AM
So he can now add the queen to the list of people he's pissed off since becoming PM
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 12, 2019, 07:47:28 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on June 21, 2016, 08:31:59 AM
Not a hope Leave will win, unfortunately.

Interesting reading the old comments on this thread  :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on September 12, 2019, 10:10:44 PM
Seeing that Labour are so adament that there should not be a no deal Brexit, what was their rationale for voting against the Brexit withdrawal agreement last january?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 12, 2019, 10:49:42 PM
Quote from: Main Street on September 12, 2019, 10:10:44 PM
Seeing that Labour are so adament that there should not be a no deal Brexit, what was their rationale for voting against the Brexit withdrawal agreement last january?

Because the Tories negotiated it?
Labour reckon that  if you keep the heat on then the Tories will blow a gasket.
They may be correct.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 12, 2019, 10:54:39 PM
Quote from: Main Street on September 12, 2019, 10:10:44 PM
Seeing that Labour are so adament that there should not be a no deal Brexit, what was their rationale for voting against the Brexit withdrawal agreement last january?

The withdrawal agreement was based on May's redlines such as operating outside the Customs Union, common market etc.
Labour were opposed to those things
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on September 12, 2019, 11:02:44 PM
Thanks,
so Labour were more for an EEA type connection to the EEU?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on September 12, 2019, 11:05:35 PM
Yellowhammer release favours the Brexiters cause and election chances post no-deal. In the event of a no-deal the British and EU will fudge together short term solutions to alleviate the worst impacts of a no-deal. That's stated policy at the border in Ireland as agreed by both sides and I know that the Irish government has insisted to it's customs staff that port disruptions be kept to the absolute minimum in the event of a no-deal Brexit. I'd imagine there's a reciprocal arrangement at Calais and Rotterdam because, lets be honest, who the f**k wants to create, and deal with, carnage.

The food and medicine disruption will also be much less pronounced than I currently think is being promised by the Remain faction. Yes there'll be shortages in Botox and viagra but between stockpiling and alternative suppliers there'll be enough of the vital ingredients of a health service to stumble along unknowingly for a while. With a Health service as f**king poorly run as the British what average punter will hardly notice it's 20% shitter and costing 30% more. Likewise whilst we'll struggle to stock courgetes and avacados their be enough Ham, Cheese, milk and bread that people will actually notice f**k all of a daily difference to their meals.

All in, the Brexit doomsday scenario will not unfold in the foretold carnage unless the EU collectively decide to make things as difficult as possible, as quick as possible, for the British. I don't see a historically non-confrontational EU upping the ante here on the Brits given that they can slowly bleed the Brit economy to death with a harsh tarriff regime and shit trade deals over the next decades. That's the favoured payback of the Eurocrats (see Greece/Russia).

So if Boris forces a no deal, mitigates the effects as best as possible and gets a December/January election I think his solid polling position (which all the mainstream media are ignoring BTW -14 points is a f**king chasm in a FPTP system) will be bolstered as he consolidates his conservative base and wins over the pro-brexit Labour voters in the North of England. I think the Remainers are over playing their hand and Boris can very easily frame the commons defeat/ lost court cases as a blow in the "people v parliament" war. He and Cummins are framing it as such already. Additionally he's a big personality and has been for some years in British politics. All the ballsing about on pitches and ziplines can be portrayed as lovable hijinks and tomfoolery, further adding to his election appeal.

Now I hate the Tories more than anyone here but the polling numbers just don't lie and I'm not one bit happy about how the opposition in parliament and in the media are running this. I fear it's playing into his hands and unfortunately I think were looking at least a 2-3 year premiership for Bojo the bollix.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 12, 2019, 11:09:08 PM
Quote from: Main Street on September 12, 2019, 11:02:44 PM
Thanks,
so Labour were more for an EEA type connection to the EEU?

In short Labour were more Norway... the Tories more Canada
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 12, 2019, 11:12:16 PM
Quote from: trileacman on September 12, 2019, 11:05:35 PM
Yellowhammer release favours the Brexiters cause and election chances post no-deal. In the event of a no-deal the British and EU will fudge together short term solutions to alleviate the worst impacts of a no-deal. That's stated policy at the border in Ireland as agreed by both sides and I know that the Irish government has insisted to it's customs staff that port disruptions be kept to the absolute minimum in the event of a no-deal Brexit. I'd imagine there's a reciprocal arrangement at Calais and Rotterdam because, lets be honest, who the f**k wants to create, and deal with, carnage.

The food and medicine disruption will also be much less pronounced than I currently think is being promised by the Remain faction. Yes there'll be shortages in Botox and viagra but between stockpiling and alternative suppliers there'll be enough of the vital ingredients of a health service to stumble along unknowingly for a while. With a Health service as f**king poorly run as the British what average punter will hardly notice it's 20% shitter and costing 30% more. Likewise whilst we'll struggle to stock courgetes and avacados their be enough Ham, Cheese, milk and bread that people will actually notice f**k all of a daily difference to their meals.

All in, the Brexit doomsday scenario will not unfold in the foretold carnage unless the EU collectively decide to make things as difficult as possible, as quick as possible, for the British. I don't see a historically non-confrontational EU upping the ante here on the Brits given that they can slowly bleed the Brit economy to death with a harsh tarriff regime and shit trade deals over the next decades. That's the favoured payback of the Eurocrats (see Greece/Russia).

So if Boris forces a no deal, mitigates the effects as best as possible and gets a December/January election I think his solid polling position (which all the mainstream media are ignoring BTW -14 points is a f**king chasm in a FPTP system) will be bolstered as he consolidates his conservative base and wins over the pro-brexit Labour voters in the North of England. I think the Remainers are over playing their hand and Boris can very easily frame the commons defeat/ lost court cases as a blow in the "people v parliament" war. He and Cummins are framing it as such already. Additionally he's a big personality and has been for some years in British politics. All the ballsing about on pitches and ziplines can be portrayed as lovable hijinks and tomfoolery, further adding to his election appeal.

Now I hate the Tories more than anyone here but the polling numbers just don't lie and I'm not one bit happy about how the opposition in parliament and in the media are running this. I fear it's playing into his hands and unfortunately I think were looking at least a 2-3 year premiership for Bojo the bollix.

Any government that doesn't want retaliatory action from countries that they have trade agreement with, or fines from the WTO
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on September 12, 2019, 11:58:11 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 12, 2019, 11:12:16 PM
Quote from: trileacman on September 12, 2019, 11:05:35 PM
Yellowhammer release favours the Brexiters cause and election chances post no-deal. In the event of a no-deal the British and EU will fudge together short term solutions to alleviate the worst impacts of a no-deal. That's stated policy at the border in Ireland as agreed by both sides and I know that the Irish government has insisted to it's customs staff that port disruptions be kept to the absolute minimum in the event of a no-deal Brexit. I'd imagine there's a reciprocal arrangement at Calais and Rotterdam because, lets be honest, who the f**k wants to create, and deal with, carnage.

The food and medicine disruption will also be much less pronounced than I currently think is being promised by the Remain faction. Yes there'll be shortages in Botox and viagra but between stockpiling and alternative suppliers there'll be enough of the vital ingredients of a health service to stumble along unknowingly for a while. With a Health service as f**king poorly run as the British what average punter will hardly notice it's 20% shitter and costing 30% more. Likewise whilst we'll struggle to stock courgetes and avacados their be enough Ham, Cheese, milk and bread that people will actually notice f**k all of a daily difference to their meals.

All in, the Brexit doomsday scenario will not unfold in the foretold carnage unless the EU collectively decide to make things as difficult as possible, as quick as possible, for the British. I don't see a historically non-confrontational EU upping the ante here on the Brits given that they can slowly bleed the Brit economy to death with a harsh tarriff regime and shit trade deals over the next decades. That's the favoured payback of the Eurocrats (see Greece/Russia).

So if Boris forces a no deal, mitigates the effects as best as possible and gets a December/January election I think his solid polling position (which all the mainstream media are ignoring BTW -14 points is a f**king chasm in a FPTP system) will be bolstered as he consolidates his conservative base and wins over the pro-brexit Labour voters in the North of England. I think the Remainers are over playing their hand and Boris can very easily frame the commons defeat/ lost court cases as a blow in the "people v parliament" war. He and Cummins are framing it as such already. Additionally he's a big personality and has been for some years in British politics. All the ballsing about on pitches and ziplines can be portrayed as lovable hijinks and tomfoolery, further adding to his election appeal.

Now I hate the Tories more than anyone here but the polling numbers just don't lie and I'm not one bit happy about how the opposition in parliament and in the media are running this. I fear it's playing into his hands and unfortunately I think were looking at least a 2-3 year premiership for Bojo the bollix.

Any government that doesn't want retaliatory action from countries that they have trade agreement with, or fines from the WTO

The Irish government have already openly committed to a softly softly approach at the border and in private at the ports.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 13, 2019, 12:11:56 AM
Times of London suggest that the DUP are reversing course.

The move by the DUP was described by one government source as "significant" and the basis for a potential compromise with Brussels. However, the source cautioned that a deal was still "a long way off.''

The proposal is understood to have been discussed on Monday when Mr Johnson met Leo Varadkar, the Irish prime minister. Getting Dublin's support for the plan is regarded as critical if it is to be taken seriously in European capitals.

Separately, it is understood that the government is preparing to beef up its Brexit negotiating team, effectively reversing the decision to disband the Whitehall unit formerly headed by Sir Oliver Robbins, who led the official talks on Theresa May's deal. "There is an acknowledgment in Downing Street that if they can't get an election they need a deal," a Whitehall source said.

The move by the DUP to accept some checks at ports in Britain and Northern Ireland is a significant change in stance. It has also softened its position on Northern Ireland continuing to follow and adopt new EU single market rules relating to cross-border trade even if the rest of the UK does not.

When the party vetoed Mrs May's plan for the Northern Ireland-only backstop in 2017, its leader Arlene Foster said: "We will not accept any form of regulatory divergence which separates Northern Ireland economically or politically from the rest of the United Kingdom." Party sources now say that they could accept regulatory divergence as long as it was done with the "consent" of Northern Irish democratic institutions. They made clear that this would not require the Northern Ireland executive and assembly, which collapsed more than two years ago, to be up and running before October 31.

"That could happen in the transition period," they said, adding they were "positive" that a deal could be done.

The agreement could find favour in Brussels as the EU is most concerned about Northern Ireland becoming a back door into the bloc's single market for non-compliant goods if the UK signs trade deals with countries such as the United States.

The only theoretical risk under the new plan would be that revenue from tariffs might fall, owing to the lack of customs checks at the border in Ireland. Brussels would have to accept the British argument that the risk would be small and offset by intelligence-led checks away from the border without the need for physical infrastructure.

In an unusual move, another DUP figure praised the role being played by Mr Varadkar. "He has accepted that any deal needs to take Unionists with them and be done with the consent of Unionists. The noises coming out of Dublin are much more positive than they have been for a very long time," they said
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on September 13, 2019, 05:28:48 AM
That's interesting but not surprising. Given that all sides of society are arguing for a deal the DUP had painted itself into a corner which was going to affect them electorally. I think Varadkar and Coveney have played a blinder. I dread to think what the position might have been had someone like Bruton been in charge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 13, 2019, 07:45:07 AM
Quote from: trileacman on September 12, 2019, 11:05:35 PM
Yellowhammer release favours the Brexiters cause and election chances post no-deal. In the event of a no-deal the British and EU will fudge together short term solutions to alleviate the worst impacts of a no-deal. That's stated policy at the border in Ireland as agreed by both sides and I know that the Irish government has insisted to it's customs staff that port disruptions be kept to the absolute minimum in the event of a no-deal Brexit. I'd imagine there's a reciprocal arrangement at Calais and Rotterdam because, lets be honest, who the f**k wants to create, and deal with, carnage.

The food and medicine disruption will also be much less pronounced than I currently think is being promised by the Remain faction. Yes there'll be shortages in Botox and viagra but between stockpiling and alternative suppliers there'll be enough of the vital ingredients of a health service to stumble along unknowingly for a while. With a Health service as f**king poorly run as the British what average punter will hardly notice it's 20% shitter and costing 30% more. Likewise whilst we'll struggle to stock courgetes and avacados their be enough Ham, Cheese, milk and bread that people will actually notice f**k all of a daily difference to their meals.

All in, the Brexit doomsday scenario will not unfold in the foretold carnage unless the EU collectively decide to make things as difficult as possible, as quick as possible, for the British. I don't see a historically non-confrontational EU upping the ante here on the Brits given that they can slowly bleed the Brit economy to death with a harsh tarriff regime and shit trade deals over the next decades. That's the favoured payback of the Eurocrats (see Greece/Russia).

So if Boris forces a no deal, mitigates the effects as best as possible and gets a December/January election I think his solid polling position (which all the mainstream media are ignoring BTW -14 points is a f**king chasm in a FPTP system) will be bolstered as he consolidates his conservative base and wins over the pro-brexit Labour voters in the North of England. I think the Remainers are over playing their hand and Boris can very easily frame the commons defeat/ lost court cases as a blow in the "people v parliament" war. He and Cummins are framing it as such already. Additionally he's a big personality and has been for some years in British politics. All the ballsing about on pitches and ziplines can be portrayed as lovable hijinks and tomfoolery, further adding to his election appeal.

Now I hate the Tories more than anyone here but the polling numbers just don't lie and I'm not one bit happy about how the opposition in parliament and in the media are running this. I fear it's playing into his hands and unfortunately I think were looking at least a 2-3 year premiership for Bojo the bollix.
The polls are very volatile at the moment and based on the assumption that No Deal is in the public interest.
25% of Brits think no deal means no change
There is a reason why Leadsom wouldn't discuss Yellowhammer on TV
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 13, 2019, 11:40:26 AM
Big Phil Hogan appointed as trade commissioner.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-49663525

That's who the UK would be negotiating their trade agreement with.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 13, 2019, 11:55:38 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 13, 2019, 11:40:26 AM
Big Phil Hogan appointed as trade commissioner.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-49663525

That's who the UK would be negotiating their trade agreement with.


Who says those Europeans don't have a sense of humour!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 13, 2019, 12:31:06 PM
Love to see him taking a camán to tr**p and Bozo😁
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 13, 2019, 12:51:07 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 13, 2019, 12:31:06 PM
Love to see him taking a camán to tr**p and Bozo😁

If he's anything like Richie he'll not be a bit afraid to break some ash  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on September 13, 2019, 04:30:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 13, 2019, 07:45:07 AM
Quote from: trileacman on September 12, 2019, 11:05:35 PM
Yellowhammer release favours the Brexiters cause and election chances post no-deal. In the event of a no-deal the British and EU will fudge together short term solutions to alleviate the worst impacts of a no-deal. That's stated policy at the border in Ireland as agreed by both sides and I know that the Irish government has insisted to it's customs staff that port disruptions be kept to the absolute minimum in the event of a no-deal Brexit. I'd imagine there's a reciprocal arrangement at Calais and Rotterdam because, lets be honest, who the f**k wants to create, and deal with, carnage.

The food and medicine disruption will also be much less pronounced than I currently think is being promised by the Remain faction. Yes there'll be shortages in Botox and viagra but between stockpiling and alternative suppliers there'll be enough of the vital ingredients of a health service to stumble along unknowingly for a while. With a Health service as f**king poorly run as the British what average punter will hardly notice it's 20% shitter and costing 30% more. Likewise whilst we'll struggle to stock courgetes and avacados their be enough Ham, Cheese, milk and bread that people will actually notice f**k all of a daily difference to their meals.

All in, the Brexit doomsday scenario will not unfold in the foretold carnage unless the EU collectively decide to make things as difficult as possible, as quick as possible, for the British. I don't see a historically non-confrontational EU upping the ante here on the Brits given that they can slowly bleed the Brit economy to death with a harsh tarriff regime and shit trade deals over the next decades. That's the favoured payback of the Eurocrats (see Greece/Russia).

So if Boris forces a no deal, mitigates the effects as best as possible and gets a December/January election I think his solid polling position (which all the mainstream media are ignoring BTW -14 points is a f**king chasm in a FPTP system) will be bolstered as he consolidates his conservative base and wins over the pro-brexit Labour voters in the North of England. I think the Remainers are over playing their hand and Boris can very easily frame the commons defeat/ lost court cases as a blow in the "people v parliament" war. He and Cummins are framing it as such already. Additionally he's a big personality and has been for some years in British politics. All the ballsing about on pitches and ziplines can be portrayed as lovable hijinks and tomfoolery, further adding to his election appeal.

Now I hate the Tories more than anyone here but the polling numbers just don't lie and I'm not one bit happy about how the opposition in parliament and in the media are running this. I fear it's playing into his hands and unfortunately I think were looking at least a 2-3 year premiership for Bojo the bollix.
The polls are very volatile at the moment and based on the assumption that No Deal is in the public interest.
25% of Brits think no deal means no change
There is a reason why Leadsom wouldn't discuss Yellowhammer on TV
There is also a reason why 25% of Brits  think no deal means no change, they don't listen to discussions about Brexit and not on tv.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on September 16, 2019, 12:37:37 AM
The Lib Dems fairly fucked that up didn't they... Did someone from the party not get an advanced copy of the speech to make sure it wasn't the basis for every reason people voted to leave??

f**king idiots everywhere with this shit it's doing my head in!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 16, 2019, 03:49:07 PM
Quote from: Main Street on September 13, 2019, 04:30:14 PM
There is also a reason why 25% of Brits  think no deal means no change, they don't listen to discussions about Brexit and not on tv.

It's 'cos they're farking stupid guv... innit.


Stupid people getting manipulated. Shocker.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 16, 2019, 05:43:06 PM
I see Bozo turned up in Brussels empty handed.
Then dodged Press conferences "because of hecklers"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 16, 2019, 05:48:12 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 16, 2019, 05:43:06 PM
I see Bozo turned up in Brussels empty handed.
Then dodged Press conferences "because of hecklers"

They are reverting to type.

The 'ol gunboat has been painted, the worst of the dents taken out and is now proudly flying the fleg for the Brit's version of diplomatic negotiation with Johnny Foreigner.

Although they don't seem to realise, someone has swiped the guns from the boat - so all they are left with is tired old rhetoric and chest thumping (economic) belligerence.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 17, 2019, 11:17:00 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 16, 2019, 05:43:06 PM
I see Bozo turned up in Brussels empty handed.
Then dodged Press conferences "because of hecklers"

And those hecklers were British Expats, not even Johnny Foreigners...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 17, 2019, 11:21:00 AM
Be great craic if all those British migrants in EU Countries were sent home on 1st November and told to apply to the relevant Embassies in London for permission to return ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on September 17, 2019, 11:44:40 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 16, 2019, 05:43:06 PM
I see Bozo turned up in Brussels empty handed.
Then dodged Press conferences "because of hecklers"
Wouldn't do the TV debate when running for PM. Cowardly enough.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 17, 2019, 11:46:02 AM
It looks like Johnson has painted himself into a corner and that he won't be able to get a deal and won't be allowed leave without one
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on September 17, 2019, 12:13:41 PM
It's quite funny in a way. His post 'coronation' bluster about not meeting other EU leaders or the EU, like all his other lies, has been blown wide open
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 17, 2019, 12:15:24 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2019, 11:21:00 AM
Be great craic if all those British migrants in EU Countries were sent home on 1st November and told to apply to the relevant Embassies in London for permission to return ;D

Be hilarious causing heartache and misery for and estimated 1.3 million people,  but as long as you get a smile out of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 17, 2019, 06:41:54 PM
Bozo quoted as saying he showed the EU his proposals but didn't  let them have a copy as they'd only give them to the 27 Governments.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 18, 2019, 10:59:44 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630 (https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630)

Posted without comment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 18, 2019, 11:31:26 AM
Quote from: trailer on September 18, 2019, 10:59:44 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630 (https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630)

Posted without comment.

So this Brexit will not only annoy Taigs, it is going to hurt my pocket. I've changed my mind about it, so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 18, 2019, 11:18:33 PM
Arlene on the unique history and geography of our island.
Obviously Bozo is going for a 6 Cos "special arrangement".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 18, 2019, 11:54:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 18, 2019, 10:59:44 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630 (https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630)

Posted without comment.

The Brexit chickens are coming home to roost. He deserves everything he gets.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on September 19, 2019, 07:03:55 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 18, 2019, 11:54:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 18, 2019, 10:59:44 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630 (https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630)

Posted without comment.

The Brexit chickens are coming home to roost. He deserves everything he gets.

I have every sympathy for small family farms and the damage that the train wreck that is Brexit will have on them. But I have zero sympathy for the likes of Charlie boy here. He voted for it so he can suck it up. What did he seriously expect?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 19, 2019, 07:41:59 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 19, 2019, 07:03:55 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 18, 2019, 11:54:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 18, 2019, 10:59:44 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630 (https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630)

Posted without comment.

The Brexit chickens are coming home to roost. He deserves everything he gets.

I have every sympathy for small family farms and the damage that the train wreck that is Brexit will have on them. But I have zero sympathy for the likes of Charlie boy here. He voted for it so he can suck it up. What did he seriously expect?

He appeared in a DUP election broadcast according to Twitter.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 19, 2019, 07:47:07 AM
I know Charlie. Milks just outside Warringstown. Not a bad fellow. At the time of the Vote many farmers were fed up with red tape and poor prices. They needed a bogeyman, someone or something to blame and the DUP provided that in form of the EU.
Like I have said before. The overwhelming majority of Diary farmers in NI voted leave. They will have to own it. But media are reluctant to report that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on September 19, 2019, 08:02:34 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 19, 2019, 07:03:55 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 18, 2019, 11:54:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 18, 2019, 10:59:44 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630 (https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630)

Posted without comment.

The Brexit chickens are coming home to roost. He deserves everything he gets.

I have every sympathy for small family farms and the damage that the train wreck that is Brexit will have on them. But I have zero sympathy for the likes of Charlie boy here. He voted for it so he can suck it up. What did he seriously expect?

From the article

   According to Lord Ashcroft's poll, only 21 per cent of unionists were prepared to accept a Northern Ireland-only backstop, with 77 per cent saying they would rather have a no-deal Brexit.


This is totally at odds with any conversations I would have had recently, particularly with business contacts. I can only assume its grass roots, staunch DUP supporters opinions which just depresses me even more as despite everything the DUP have done over the past few years it looks like nothing has changed with their supporters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 08:39:22 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on September 19, 2019, 07:03:55 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 18, 2019, 11:54:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 18, 2019, 10:59:44 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630 (https://www.ft.com/content/d6924534-d61a-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630)

Posted without comment.

The Brexit chickens are coming home to roost. He deserves everything he gets.

I have every sympathy for small family farms and the damage that the train wreck that is Brexit will have on them. But I have zero sympathy for the likes of Charlie boy here. He voted for it so he can suck it up. What did he seriously expect?

He expected to be selling his milk into these new markets like China, India and the Middle East with the price per litre rocketing up like the DUP/UFU told him.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 19, 2019, 08:58:04 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 08:39:22 AM
He expected to be selling his milk into these new markets like China, India and the Middle East with the price per litre rocketing up like the DUP/UFU told him.

The UFU told him?

News to me.


Note the date on the below - 2016-02-25
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-35660084

Quote"No compelling argument" has been made that Northern Ireland's agriculture industry would be better off if the UK left the European Union, the Ulster Farmers' Union (UFU) has said.

Farmers in Northern Ireland receive more than £230m a year in subsidies from the EU, which the UFU says is "vital" for farm incomes.

A referendum on whether the UK should stay in the EU will be held on 23 June.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 09:24:17 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 19, 2019, 08:58:04 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 08:39:22 AM
He expected to be selling his milk into these new markets like China, India and the Middle East with the price per litre rocketing up like the DUP/UFU told him.

The UFU told him?

News to me.


Note the date on the below - 2016-02-25
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-35660084

Quote"No compelling argument" has been made that Northern Ireland's agriculture industry would be better off if the UK left the European Union, the Ulster Farmers' Union (UFU) has said.

Farmers in Northern Ireland receive more than £230m a year in subsidies from the EU, which the UFU says is "vital" for farm incomes.

A referendum on whether the UK should stay in the EU will be held on 23 June.

Well a local farmer told me he went along to a UFU organised event pre referendum and the main speaker was a Mr Poots from Lisburn, a farmer allegedly in his spare time and he espoused the benefits of leaving the EU as an opportunity for NI farmers to have unfettered access into new markets in India and China where they'd get double the current price for milk and £5 a kilo for beef and so forth.

They've obviously changed their stance since it'd become apparent that Boris and the ERG want no deal and not this easy deal that Liam Fox was talking about back then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 19, 2019, 09:30:09 AM
Unionists voted for the fantasy of re establishing a proper border, blue passports, integration with GB, the return of the 1950s and all the other ráiméis spouted by the Farages and Johnsons.
They're now meeting the real world ( except for the Portadown ones who are still waiting to hold the 1998 parade down Garvaghy Road) and are obviously letting DUPUDA know they want special arrangements.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 19, 2019, 09:30:59 AM
The UFU supported Remain. That's the anomaly people can't understand. Dairy farmers overwhelming voted Leave despite what the UFU and others said. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on September 19, 2019, 09:48:10 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 09:24:17 AM
Well a local farmer told me he went along to a UFU organised event pre referendum and the main speaker was a Mr Poots from Lisburn, a farmer allegedly in his spare time and he espoused the benefits of leaving the EU as an opportunity for NI farmers to have unfettered access into new markets in India and China where they'd get double the current price for milk and £5 a kilo for beef and so forth.

They've obviously changed their stance since it'd become apparent that Boris and the ERG want no deal and not this easy deal that Liam Fox was talking about back then.

You sure it wasn't a DUP organised event with Corrupt Poots or Corrupt Og Poots?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 10:46:48 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 19, 2019, 09:48:10 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 09:24:17 AM
Well a local farmer told me he went along to a UFU organised event pre referendum and the main speaker was a Mr Poots from Lisburn, a farmer allegedly in his spare time and he espoused the benefits of leaving the EU as an opportunity for NI farmers to have unfettered access into new markets in India and China where they'd get double the current price for milk and £5 a kilo for beef and so forth.

They've obviously changed their stance since it'd become apparent that Boris and the ERG want no deal and not this easy deal that Liam Fox was talking about back then.

You sure it wasn't a DUP organised event with Corrupt Poots or Corrupt Og Poots?

Hell no, this lad would not have went if it was organised by the DUP and knowing what was to transpire and who was to do all the talking.

The UFU organised it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on September 19, 2019, 07:05:08 PM
Were 'planning applications' the second item on the agenda? Closely followed by 'boilers'?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 19, 2019, 07:10:26 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 09:24:17 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 19, 2019, 08:58:04 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 08:39:22 AM
He expected to be selling his milk into these new markets like China, India and the Middle East with the price per litre rocketing up like the DUP/UFU told him.

The UFU told him?

News to me.


Note the date on the below - 2016-02-25
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-35660084

Quote"No compelling argument" has been made that Northern Ireland's agriculture industry would be better off if the UK left the European Union, the Ulster Farmers' Union (UFU) has said.

Farmers in Northern Ireland receive more than £230m a year in subsidies from the EU, which the UFU says is "vital" for farm incomes.

A referendum on whether the UK should stay in the EU will be held on 23 June.

Well a local farmer told me he went along to a UFU organised event pre referendum and the main speaker was a Mr Poots from Lisburn, a farmer allegedly in his spare time and he espoused the benefits of leaving the EU as an opportunity for NI farmers to have unfettered access into new markets in India and China where they'd get double the current price for milk and £5 a kilo for beef and so forth.

They've obviously changed their stance since it'd become apparent that Boris and the ERG want no deal and not this easy deal that Liam Fox was talking about back then.

TBF there is every chance you could see that price for farming products or even in excess of it with a no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 19, 2019, 09:42:39 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 19, 2019, 07:10:26 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 09:24:17 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 19, 2019, 08:58:04 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 08:39:22 AM
He expected to be selling his milk into these new markets like China, India and the Middle East with the price per litre rocketing up like the DUP/UFU told him.

The UFU told him?

News to me.


Note the date on the below - 2016-02-25
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-35660084

Quote"No compelling argument" has been made that Northern Ireland's agriculture industry would be better off if the UK left the European Union, the Ulster Farmers' Union (UFU) has said.

Farmers in Northern Ireland receive more than £230m a year in subsidies from the EU, which the UFU says is "vital" for farm incomes.

A referendum on whether the UK should stay in the EU will be held on 23 June.

Well a local farmer told me he went along to a UFU organised event pre referendum and the main speaker was a Mr Poots from Lisburn, a farmer allegedly in his spare time and he espoused the benefits of leaving the EU as an opportunity for NI farmers to have unfettered access into new markets in India and China where they'd get double the current price for milk and £5 a kilo for beef and so forth.

They've obviously changed their stance since it'd become apparent that Boris and the ERG want no deal and not this easy deal that Liam Fox was talking about back then.

TBF there is every chance you could see that price for farming products or even in excess of it with a no deal.

Yes but inputs could be double or even triple as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 19, 2019, 10:25:42 PM
Quote from: trailer on September 19, 2019, 09:42:39 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on September 19, 2019, 07:10:26 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 09:24:17 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 19, 2019, 08:58:04 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 08:39:22 AM
He expected to be selling his milk into these new markets like China, India and the Middle East with the price per litre rocketing up like the DUP/UFU told him.

The UFU told him?

News to me.


Note the date on the below - 2016-02-25
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-politics-35660084

Quote"No compelling argument" has been made that Northern Ireland's agriculture industry would be better off if the UK left the European Union, the Ulster Farmers' Union (UFU) has said.

Farmers in Northern Ireland receive more than £230m a year in subsidies from the EU, which the UFU says is "vital" for farm incomes.

A referendum on whether the UK should stay in the EU will be held on 23 June.

Well a local farmer told me he went along to a UFU organised event pre referendum and the main speaker was a Mr Poots from Lisburn, a farmer allegedly in his spare time and he espoused the benefits of leaving the EU as an opportunity for NI farmers to have unfettered access into new markets in India and China where they'd get double the current price for milk and £5 a kilo for beef and so forth.

They've obviously changed their stance since it'd become apparent that Boris and the ERG want no deal and not this easy deal that Liam Fox was talking about back then.

TBF there is every chance you could see that price for farming products or even in excess of it with a no deal.

Yes but inputs could be double or even triple as well.

;)
I was more thinking the value of sterling but 2 sides of the same coin I suppose
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 19, 2019, 10:55:03 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 10:46:48 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on September 19, 2019, 09:48:10 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 19, 2019, 09:24:17 AM
Well a local farmer told me he went along to a UFU organised event pre referendum and the main speaker was a Mr Poots from Lisburn, a farmer allegedly in his spare time and he espoused the benefits of leaving the EU as an opportunity for NI farmers to have unfettered access into new markets in India and China where they'd get double the current price for milk and £5 a kilo for beef and so forth.

They've obviously changed their stance since it'd become apparent that Boris and the ERG want no deal and not this easy deal that Liam Fox was talking about back then.

You sure it wasn't a DUP organised event with Corrupt Poots or Corrupt Og Poots?

Hell no, this lad would not have went if it was organised by the DUP and knowing what was to transpire and who was to do all the talking.

The UFU organised it.

The DUP infiltrated local branches of the UFU. Of course, Ireland already ships a lot of milk in the form of baby formula to China, the EU doesn' t prevent you from doing that. India is not a notable market for beef, I would have thought.

Anyhow this guy seems to think the DUP were bullshitting
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-49742567
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 20, 2019, 12:13:17 PM
With the soundings coming out of the DUP and Corbyns poor use of words where he was actually for the backstop but said something contrary it looks like Boris may dust down May's original deal with a NI only backstop and try to get it through Parliament and he may succeed.

EU aren't going to buy the "Stormont lock" so Nige, Sam and Arlene need to have a bogeyman to blame when this is imposed on them (along with SSM and the Abortion laws) and Boris will do come the time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 20, 2019, 01:22:50 PM
It's all very uncertain


May's deal was based on No Single Market and No Customs Union so it's quite extremist
If an amended version became the deal it might generate a lot of opposition.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 20, 2019, 04:59:53 PM
Werid statement from Corbyn yesterday, didnt he say the reason he was opposed to the deal was because of May's redlines and that he wanted to be in the single market?

Seems like after performing solidly for a couple of weeks they decided to let the leash off..... and he just started rambling, the problem is he doesnt know where he is or was on Brexit at any point in time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on September 20, 2019, 10:19:39 PM
Frank Tibo whistleblower to the bigest scam ever,  the Euro 60bn "cum-ex" scam spawned in the city of London financial district, against 5 eu countries (€31.8 bn Germany,  €17bn France, €4.5bn  Italy, €1.7bn Denmark and €201m  Belgium),

said in an interview that he welcomes Brexit

There is less control over the UK financial sector than with the US financial sector, the City of London has evolved into the Wild West

- It is my impression that London investment banks are, in effect, scamming the rest of Europe, and in many ways it will be a relief for European states to have a smaller and weaker City of London. A more decentralized financial sector with better government control, he says.


https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/sep/20/the-men-who-plundered-europe-city-of-london-practices-on-trial-in-bonn
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 22, 2019, 04:02:22 PM
Just watched the Andrew Marr show - why the fcuk would anyone vote for labour - Corbyn's interviews are car crash telly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ed Ricketts on September 22, 2019, 06:46:36 PM
Corbyn is a dud. Might be a decent fella with some good ideas, but he has the charisma of a toilet brush. And is about as coherent as one. His obstinance will deliver Boris a majority and whatever Brexit he wants. The 'Corbynistas' could stop all this, but are too zealous and thick to do anything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ambrose on September 22, 2019, 09:24:02 PM
Quote from: Ed Ricketts on September 22, 2019, 06:46:36 PM
Corbyn is a dud. Might be a decent fella with some good ideas, but he has the charisma of a toilet brush. And is about as coherent as one. His obstinance will deliver Boris a majority and whatever Brexit he wants. The 'Corbynistas' could stop all this, but are too zealous and thick to do anything.

Nail on the head. Corbyn can't decide his own position on Brexit and is splitting the party. They need to ditch him pronto.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 22, 2019, 09:31:37 PM
Quote from: Ambrose on September 22, 2019, 09:24:02 PM
Quote from: Ed Ricketts on September 22, 2019, 06:46:36 PM
Corbyn is a dud. Might be a decent fella with some good ideas, but he has the charisma of a toilet brush. And is about as coherent as one. His obstinance will deliver Boris a majority and whatever Brexit he wants. The 'Corbynistas' could stop all this, but are too zealous and thick to do anything.

Nail on the head. Corbyn can't decide his own position on Brexit and is splitting the party. They need to ditch him pronto.

They won't, evey p***k thinks they are correct, compromise is dead.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on September 24, 2019, 10:49:12 AM
QuoteBoris Johnson's decision to suspend Parliament was unlawful, the Supreme Court has ruled.

Mr Johnson suspended - or prorogued - Parliament for five weeks earlier this month, saying it was to allow a Queen's Speech to outline his new policies.

But the UK's highest court said it was wrong to stop Parliament carrying out its duties.

The court's president, Lady Hale, said: "The effect on the fundamentals of our democracy was extreme."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on September 24, 2019, 10:52:02 AM
Johnson should resign but won't but this ruling has to be massively damaging
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 24, 2019, 11:05:52 AM
Take that Bozo!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 24, 2019, 11:18:10 AM
Quote from: maddog on September 24, 2019, 10:52:02 AM
Johnson should resign but won't but this ruling has to be massively damaging

Agree, but he won't, UK politics is mental.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on September 24, 2019, 12:02:26 PM
The Brexiteers don't want to be subject to EU laws and now are getting a taste of UK laws. And Arlene told us it was perfectly lawful to prorogue parliament. Time to sit in the dunces corner, DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 24, 2019, 12:04:48 PM
Could he appeal to the ECJ?  ;D

On a more serious note what next?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GetOverTheBar on September 24, 2019, 12:04:54 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 24, 2019, 12:02:26 PM
The Brexiteers don't want to be subject to EU laws and now are getting a taste of UK laws. And Arlene told us it was perfectly lawful to prorogue parliament. Time to sit in the dunces corner, DUP.

Probably well down the list of embarrassing things for the DUP recently being honest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on September 24, 2019, 01:11:22 PM
Quote from: GetOverTheBar on September 24, 2019, 12:04:54 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 24, 2019, 12:02:26 PM
The Brexiteers don't want to be subject to EU laws and now are getting a taste of UK laws. And Arlene told us it was perfectly lawful to prorogue parliament. Time to sit in the dunces corner, DUP.

Probably well down the list of embarrassing things for the DUP recently being honest.

Agreed. And now she has the gall to say the supreme court must be respected when she was instrumental in the law being broken and lying to their beloved Queen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 24, 2019, 01:18:10 PM
(https://i.ibb.co/VBytTNx/IMG-20190924-WA0005.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GetOverTheBar on September 24, 2019, 01:43:37 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 24, 2019, 01:11:22 PM
Quote from: GetOverTheBar on September 24, 2019, 12:04:54 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 24, 2019, 12:02:26 PM
The Brexiteers don't want to be subject to EU laws and now are getting a taste of UK laws. And Arlene told us it was perfectly lawful to prorogue parliament. Time to sit in the dunces corner, DUP.

Probably well down the list of embarrassing things for the DUP recently being honest.

Agreed. And now she has the gall to say the supreme court must be respected when she was instrumental in the law being broken and lying to their beloved Queen.

The DUP are genius to be honest, they have successfully numbed me to feel nothing no matter how ridiculous and hypocritical they can be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 24, 2019, 01:48:55 PM
It isn't like they believe a word that comes out of their mouths either.

My prediction- Cummings will be the fall guy for this. Bojo is as shameful/shameless as Foster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on September 24, 2019, 02:47:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 24, 2019, 01:48:55 PM
It isn't like they believe a word that comes out of their mouths either.

My prediction- Cummings will be the fall guy for this. Bojo is as shameful/shameless as Foster.

Nigel F wants Cummings to go, no mention of Boris.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on September 24, 2019, 02:50:37 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on September 24, 2019, 01:18:10 PM
(https://i.ibb.co/VBytTNx/IMG-20190924-WA0005.jpg)

That renowned JOE originality and wit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jim_Murphy_74 on September 24, 2019, 03:30:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 24, 2019, 01:11:22 PM
Agreed. And now she has the gall to say the supreme court must be respected when she was instrumental in the law being broken and lying to their beloved Queen.

This morning Jeffrey Donaldson said the Irish Government should apologize because Supreme Court refused to extradite Patrick Ryan. Within hours Arlene tweets:

"We have always respected the principle of the separation of powers upon which our constitutional law is founded. Therefore the judgement of the Supreme Court has to be respected."

I guess such separation of powers doesn't exist in the Republic?  I know we are accustomed to partisan views in just about anything in Northern Ireland but surely some sense of irony is left buried deep inside these people?

/Jim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 24, 2019, 03:48:27 PM
This decision doesn't right at all, surely the government can appeal to European Supreme Court?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on September 24, 2019, 03:56:16 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on September 24, 2019, 03:30:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 24, 2019, 01:11:22 PM
Agreed. And now she has the gall to say the supreme court must be respected when she was instrumental in the law being broken and lying to their beloved Queen.

This morning Jeffrey Donaldson said the Irish Government should apologize because Supreme Court refused to extradite Patrick Ryan. Within hours Arlene tweets:

"We have always respected the principle of the separation of powers upon which our constitutional law is founded. Therefore the judgement of the Supreme Court has to be respected."

I guess such separation of powers doesn't exist in the Republic?  I know we are accustomed to partisan views in just about anything in Northern Ireland but surely some sense of irony is left buried deep inside these people?

/Jim.

(https://img-9gag-fun.9cache.com/photo/arpO0v7_700bwp.webp)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on September 24, 2019, 04:06:11 PM
Quote from: TabClear on September 24, 2019, 03:56:16 PM
Quote from: Jim_Murphy_74 on September 24, 2019, 03:30:39 PM
Quote from: weareros on September 24, 2019, 01:11:22 PM
Agreed. And now she has the gall to say the supreme court must be respected when she was instrumental in the law being broken and lying to their beloved Queen.

This morning Jeffrey Donaldson said the Irish Government should apologize because Supreme Court refused to extradite Patrick Ryan. Within hours Arlene tweets:

"We have always respected the principle of the separation of powers upon which our constitutional law is founded. Therefore the judgement of the Supreme Court has to be respected."

I guess such separation of powers doesn't exist in the Republic?  I know we are accustomed to partisan views in just about anything in Northern Ireland but surely some sense of irony is left buried deep inside these people?

/Jim.

(https://img-9gag-fun.9cache.com/photo/arpO0v7_700bwp.webp)

;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on September 24, 2019, 11:47:20 PM
Possibly the greatest moment of Brexit so far.
https://youtu.be/ZRc0by2vZ7k
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 25, 2019, 08:52:51 AM
https://twitter.com/i/status/1176431923100618754 (https://twitter.com/i/status/1176431923100618754)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 26, 2019, 07:18:35 AM
f**king hell that was dramatic stuff in the HoC yesterday. Johnson's worse than I assumed he would be. A dangerous man is now an understatement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 26, 2019, 08:08:32 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 26, 2019, 07:18:35 AM
f**king hell that was dramatic stuff in the HoC yesterday. Johnson's worse than I assumed he would be. A dangerous man is now an understatement.

Yip him and the p***k Cox could get someone killed with their rhetoric.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 26, 2019, 10:23:01 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 26, 2019, 07:18:35 AM
f**king hell that was dramatic stuff in the HoC yesterday. Johnson's worse than I assumed he would be. A dangerous man is now an understatement.

He actually is dangerous because he has no beliefs or moral compass, save power for himself. He's a puppet, a marionette manipulated by the hands of Cummings / the ERG. Yesterday, for me he crossed the line from being a bumbling rather harmless moron to a loathsome vicious mountebank.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on September 26, 2019, 10:28:45 AM
Interesting that Boris leans on references to the classics during his speeches. Something used to demonstrate his private education in which they are taught. It's a tactic he uses to make himself appear smarter than he actually is. It would be interesting to see how much of the details he would have to have referenced by a staffer before giving the speech, as I doubt he actually knows much of it at all. His "studied untidiness" is another very British upper class characteristic according to Eamonn Mallie.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 26, 2019, 10:29:14 AM
He has never been a harmless moron. Always been a dangerous man.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 26, 2019, 11:10:50 AM
He really showed his true obnoxious disgusting disgraceful self yesterday.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 26, 2019, 02:02:04 PM
https://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2019/09/25/no-remorse-no-contrition-only-the-culture-war
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on September 26, 2019, 02:06:23 PM
Quote from: mouview on September 26, 2019, 10:23:01 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 26, 2019, 07:18:35 AM
f**king hell that was dramatic stuff in the HoC yesterday. Johnson's worse than I assumed he would be. A dangerous man is now an understatement.

He actually is dangerous because he has no beliefs or moral compass, save power for himself. He's a puppet, a marionette manipulated by the hands of Cummings / the ERG. Yesterday, for me he crossed the line from being a bumbling rather harmless moron to a loathsome vicious mountebank.

;D Never heard that expression before.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 26, 2019, 03:01:27 PM
Quote from: J70 on September 26, 2019, 02:06:23 PM
Quote from: mouview on September 26, 2019, 10:23:01 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 26, 2019, 07:18:35 AM
f**king hell that was dramatic stuff in the HoC yesterday. Johnson's worse than I assumed he would be. A dangerous man is now an understatement.

He actually is dangerous because he has no beliefs or moral compass, save power for himself. He's a puppet, a marionette manipulated by the hands of Cummings / the ERG. Yesterday, for me he crossed the line from being a bumbling rather harmless moron to a loathsome vicious mountebank.

;D Never heard that expression before.

Had to look it up myself but very apt;

mountebank (n.)
"peripatetic quack; one who sells nostrums at fairs, etc.," in Johnson's words, "a doctor that mounts a bench in the market, and boasts his infallible remedies and cures;" 1570s, from Italian montambanco, contraction of monta in banco "quack, juggler," literally "mount on bench" (to be seen by crowd), from monta, imperative of montare "to mount" (see mount (v.)) + banco, variant of banca "bench," from a Germanic source (see bench (n.)). Figurative and extended senses, in reference to any impudent pretender or charlatan, are from 1580s. Related: Mountebankery.


Those galway lads are well educated.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 30, 2019, 08:25:48 PM
Jo Swinson is making a no deal Brexit more and more plausible with every press conference, what a totally self absorbed individual, a liberal Democrat who is neither liberal or democratic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 30, 2019, 09:09:51 PM
This would be fun

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/0930/1079253-border/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on September 30, 2019, 09:45:05 PM
Sammy streaker Wilson said there would be no check points.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on September 30, 2019, 11:59:12 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 30, 2019, 09:09:51 PM
This would be fun

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/0930/1079253-border/

Just shows how utterly clueless they are
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 01, 2019, 04:05:50 AM
This is the arrangement that would be in the case of a no deal. Fairly obivious there was no intent for a serious proposal in the first place.

What I want to know tho is who's Tony Connelly's source in Brussells he has alot of info right at the heart of the EU negotiation team. It's made him now anyway...hopefully he has good notes for his book because he should make a killing on it.... actually thinking about it....it'll probably have to be a trilogy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on October 01, 2019, 08:06:57 AM
Lads what do they mean when they say a non paper. That these latest border check proposals are just ideas and nothing formal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 01, 2019, 08:39:51 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on October 01, 2019, 08:06:57 AM
Lads what do they mean when they say a non paper. That these latest border check proposals are just ideas and nothing formal?

I would guess it means no paper checks at the border. A load on nonsense and a complete non-runner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on October 01, 2019, 08:46:19 AM
Boris on BBC this morning saying the overnight leaks are untrue. You wouldn't know what to believe!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 01, 2019, 08:47:47 AM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on October 01, 2019, 08:46:19 AM
Boris on BBC this morning saying the overnight leaks are untrue. You wouldn't know what to believe!!

Probably means they're 100% accurate  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 01, 2019, 08:50:12 AM
Bojo is going take UK out with No Deal, the UK is fcuked and people like Jo Swinson is helping no one, there is more chance of me becoming PM, this is a woman who backed tuition fees in the coalition, now with some sense of self importance telling over 300 opposition MP's who should be leader in the case of a caretaker government. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 01, 2019, 09:01:50 AM
A non-paper is a floated idea up for discussion - no commitments.

When i read that supposed latest plan last night, I immediately thought that's been leaked on purpose by the UK, it's typical c**k/Nose negotiating tactics! (Float an idea so bad that makes the actual idea - Which is more than likely awful in it's own right - appear to be not so awful).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 01, 2019, 09:41:39 AM
That's the likely idea alright.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 01, 2019, 11:20:28 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 01, 2019, 08:50:12 AM
Bojo is going take UK out with No Deal, the UK is fcuked and people like Jo Swinson is helping no one, there is more chance of me becoming PM, this is a woman who backed tuition fees in the coalition, now with some sense of self importance telling over 300 opposition MP's who should be leader in the case of a caretaker government.

But how? Legally he can't at the end of this month. If/when it goes to a GE, if he hasn't delivered Brexit he's going to lose a lot of the Tory vote to the Brexit party. This *may* allow a coalition of Labour/Lib Dems/SNP in to power. That *may* last long enough to revoke A50 or hold another referendum. Don't get the fatalism currently about 'No Deal', it's a longer game than that and still all to play for IMO.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 01, 2019, 11:25:06 AM
Watch his Andrew Marr interview, Andrew quoted a few scenarios and muted there are more loopholes, the remain alliance is a collection of those wanting power, so by the time they agree UK will be out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 01, 2019, 11:43:42 AM
I doubt if the SNP want to be part of a UK Government.
Most I'd see them doing is a Confidence/Supply thing in return for a special deal for Scotland and right to hold a further Independence Referendum at a time of the Scottish Government/Parliament's choosing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mackers on October 01, 2019, 12:29:26 PM
Was at a seminar last week where a former MP was speaking.  Very interesting.  He said that the opposition parties are holding tight on agreeing to an election until No Deal is taken off the table. Extension of Article 50 will be required into 2020.  The Brexit vote will be split in a General Election after the 31st of October with the Brexit Party ripping into BoJo reminding the electorate about the "dead in the ditch" stuff and the lack of delivery on Brexit.  He reckoned that this will lead to a Labour/SNP alliance with Corbyn agreeing to another Scottish independence referendum in turn for them agreeing to allow two Labour Budgets to get through parliament.  He thought that this scenario will lead to another referendum on Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 01, 2019, 01:04:57 PM
These are boys playing by the rules, Bojo's team aren't!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ambrose on October 01, 2019, 03:47:19 PM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EFzEgLuUUAEDEvw?format=jpg&name=large) (https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EFzEgMJUUAMWRj6?format=jpg&name=900x900)

Couple of new arrivals in Dundalk this morning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on October 01, 2019, 04:22:49 PM
Those the latest Tourism board cars to be deployed at Crossroads to marschal the tourists who throng for the dancing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 01, 2019, 04:34:05 PM
Quote from: mackers on October 01, 2019, 12:29:26 PM
Was at a seminar last week where a former MP was speaking.  Very interesting.  He said that the opposition parties are holding tight on agreeing to an election until No Deal is taken off the table. Extension of Article 50 will be required into 2020.  The Brexit vote will be split in a General Election after the 31st of October with the Brexit Party ripping into BoJo reminding the electorate about the "dead in the ditch" stuff and the lack of delivery on Brexit.  He reckoned that this will lead to a Labour/SNP alliance with Corbyn agreeing to another Scottish independence referendum in turn for them agreeing to allow two Labour Budgets to get through parliament.  He thought that this scenario will lead to another referendum on Brexit.

A lot of planets aligning in the that scenario, but not beyond possible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on October 01, 2019, 08:14:02 PM
https://twitter.com/Satiresocialist/status/1179076433005744128?s=20
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 01, 2019, 11:11:11 PM
The 'New Deal' is a sham... "well we tried but the big bad EU wouldn't go for it so let's get on with getting out on No Deal.

Floppy haired ****!!!! f**k the DUP as well...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 01, 2019, 11:25:14 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 01, 2019, 11:11:11 PM
The 'New Deal' is a sham... "well we tried but the big bad EU wouldn't go for it so let's get on with getting out on No Deal.

Floppy haired ****!!!! f**k the DUP as well...

That is exactly what it looks like. They seriously underestimate people's intelligence. There will still have to be a deal hammered out at some stage though or they can't do much business.

Smuggling in Ireland about to hit the big time again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 02, 2019, 08:51:37 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 01, 2019, 11:11:11 PM
The 'New Deal' is a sham... "well we tried but the big bad EU wouldn't go for it so let's get on with getting out on No Deal.

Floppy haired ****!!!! f**k the DUP as well...

The dogs in the street know this is exactly the play. Boris and co want no deal they just need someone to pin the blame on rather than take responsibility for their own actions. Blame the EU big bad boogeyman and then use this as an electioneering stunt to further entrench the little Englander attitude.

Unless something dramatic happens in the next few weeks we in the North are in for the sh1ttiest end of the sh1ttiest stick. Times have changed and the world let along NI is not what it was 20 years ago but yet we have a handful of dinosaurs and elitists who want to take us back 100 years.   

F**k Boris and f**k the DUP. I really hope this catches up with them in the long grass and finishes them both.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 02, 2019, 09:15:18 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 02, 2019, 08:51:37 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 01, 2019, 11:11:11 PM
The 'New Deal' is a sham... "well we tried but the big bad EU wouldn't go for it so let's get on with getting out on No Deal.

Floppy haired ****!!!! f**k the DUP as well...

The dogs in the street know this is exactly the play. Boris and co want no deal they just need someone to pin the blame on rather than take responsibility for their own actions. Blame the EU big bad boogeyman and then use this as an electioneering stunt to further entrench the little Englander attitude.

Unless something dramatic happens in the next few weeks we in the North are in for the sh1ttiest end of the sh1ttiest stick. Times have changed and the world let along NI is not what it was 20 years ago but yet we have a handful of dinosaurs and elitists who want to take us back 100 years.   

F**k Boris and f**k the DUP. I really hope this catches up with them in the long grass and finishes them both.
They need to win the election

No Tories in Scotand post ruth Davison
Will lost in marginals in S england to Lib Dems
Women will vote in much smaller numbers
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 02, 2019, 09:27:55 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 02, 2019, 09:15:18 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 02, 2019, 08:51:37 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 01, 2019, 11:11:11 PM
The 'New Deal' is a sham... "well we tried but the big bad EU wouldn't go for it so let's get on with getting out on No Deal.

Floppy haired ****!!!! f**k the DUP as well...

The dogs in the street know this is exactly the play. Boris and co want no deal they just need someone to pin the blame on rather than take responsibility for their own actions. Blame the EU big bad boogeyman and then use this as an electioneering stunt to further entrench the little Englander attitude.

Unless something dramatic happens in the next few weeks we in the North are in for the sh1ttiest end of the sh1ttiest stick. Times have changed and the world let along NI is not what it was 20 years ago but yet we have a handful of dinosaurs and elitists who want to take us back 100 years.   

F**k Boris and f**k the DUP. I really hope this catches up with them in the long grass and finishes them both.
They need to win the election

No Tories in Scotand post ruth Davison
Will lost in marginals in S england to Lib Dems
Women will vote in much smaller numbers

As with the referendum don't underestimate racist England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 02, 2019, 11:10:24 AM
Right Liz Trust is my number one to slap now!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 02, 2019, 11:32:09 AM
Boris is so full of shit he should have a Redrock sticker on both sides.

No deal, hard Brexit = Border poll by end 2021.

Arlene should be happy.  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 02, 2019, 11:50:35 AM
Basically Boris is just putting ball in EU court to blame them for No Deal, which is what he wanted all along.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 02, 2019, 12:32:20 PM
Exactly.
EU rejects his "offer", what then?
Does he comply with the Law of his land and ask for an extension or.....??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 02, 2019, 12:40:48 PM
In his speech, he gave no clear detail - no more info. 

It's still as clear as mud!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 02, 2019, 12:47:10 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 02, 2019, 11:50:35 AM
Basically Boris is just putting ball in EU court to blame them for No Deal, which is what he wanted all along.

Yes and the right wing little Englanders in the press and media will lap it up
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 02, 2019, 03:38:20 PM
Letter been sent. https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/1002/1079558-uk/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/1002/1079558-uk/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 02, 2019, 03:59:26 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 02, 2019, 03:38:20 PM
Letter been sent. https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/1002/1079558-uk/ (https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2019/1002/1079558-uk/)

Load of shit they know it's not gonna fly it's the only reason the DUP are on board. There's no way the DUP are going with that if there's a chance it passes.

I nearly hope the EU go for it and watch the DUP f**king squirm!!! Also it's still a pretty good deal for the rest of us!

EDIT: SCRAP THAT IT'S NOT
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on October 02, 2019, 04:25:58 PM
The nonsense "non-paper" leaks have done their job in making this proposal at least seem somewhat reasonable.

It won't be accepted of course, thanks to the Hillary Benn bill, there's no incentive for the EU to compromise.

If there had been no such bill and we were left with a choice between this and No Deal, then it may have had a chance (although would certainly have got some important tweaks).

From an Irish point of view, this proposal is way better than a No Deal scenario. The Stormont veto would definitely be unwanted, but in the cold light of day, would the DUP really veto this when their business supporters would be lobbying hard for them to ratify? But all moot, given the EU will likely bin this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 02, 2019, 04:51:47 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 02, 2019, 12:47:10 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 02, 2019, 11:50:35 AM
Basically Boris is just putting ball in EU court to blame them for No Deal, which is what he wanted all along.

Yes and the right wing little Englanders in the press and media will lap it up

The daily mail will have a field day. I hope harry takes them for everything they have lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on October 02, 2019, 04:57:20 PM
Quote from: Hound on October 02, 2019, 04:25:58 PM
The nonsense "non-paper" leaks have done their job in making this proposal at least seem somewhat reasonable.

It won't be accepted of course, thanks to the Hillary Benn bill, there's no incentive for the EU to compromise.

If there had been no such bill and we were left with a choice between this and No Deal, then it may have had a chance (although would certainly have got some important tweaks).

From an Irish point of view, this proposal is way better than a No Deal scenario. The Stormont veto would definitely be unwanted, but in the cold light of day, would the DUP really veto this when their business supporters would be lobbying hard for them to ratify? But all moot, given the EU will likely bin this.
Exactly. The EU have no reason to worry - they'll wait around for a GE and if Boris wins by majority they can then give some consideration to proposals but they'll be in no rush until then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 02, 2019, 05:40:20 PM
There's a simple counter to this that the EU could put forward safe in the knowledge that the Tories/DUP would reject it and thus make them look like they are the ones rejecting the people's will.

That is... the special zone in NI could be passed by a simple majority in Stormont and in the case of Stormont not sitting NI could decide by voting on it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 02, 2019, 05:53:46 PM
Complete non runner and it was designed in the full knowledge and expectation that it will be rejected. Over 3 years and they never came up with anything realistic it was never likely that they would produce something workable in the space of a few weeks. The DUP now rowing in behind a worst of both worlds deal is bizarre but they seem to be completely seduced by Johnson's Tory government and the ERG brigade.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 02, 2019, 05:57:41 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 02, 2019, 05:53:46 PM
Complete non runner and it was designed in the full knowledge and expectation that it will be rejected. Over 3 years and they never came up with anything realistic it was never likely that they would produce something workable in the space of a few weeks. The DUP now rowing in behind a worst of both worlds deal is bizarre but they seem to be completely seduced by Johnson's Tory government and the ERG brigade.

Correct I think that he is putting something that will rejected.
Bizarre that DUP signed up for border in Irish sea (one of the 2 new borders added, which now means 3 borders), but perhaps they are being crafty knowing they can then veto it in 2 years time. Then again, what if there's no assembly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 02, 2019, 06:37:32 PM
I think it's safe to say SF won't go back to Stormont to facilitate this.
Why don't they put it to the people of the 6 Cos in a referendum?

Probably because DUPUDA are not a majority and couldn't veto the result.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 02, 2019, 07:35:32 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 02, 2019, 06:37:32 PM
I think it's safe to say SF won't go back to Stormont to facilitate this.
Why don't they put it to the people of the 6 Cos in a referendum?

Probably because DUPUDA are not a majority and couldn't veto the result.

I think I heard on the news that if there is no assembly then it is done by NI referendum.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 02, 2019, 07:41:26 PM
Feckin referenda only cause problems....remember 2016.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 02, 2019, 09:14:12 PM
Do people really thing the DUP want Stormont and the good Friday agreement to work. Come on lads this has been their goal from the start
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 03, 2019, 04:12:14 AM
So let me get this straight. Johnson's proposal is for a border in the Irish Sea (which the DUP oppose) plus another border on the island of Ireland (which the DUP claim to also oppose). And the DUP are in favour of this? Is that the height of it or am I missing something obvious?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 03, 2019, 07:55:27 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 03, 2019, 04:12:14 AM
So let me get this straight. Johnson's proposal is for a border in the Irish Sea (which the DUP oppose) plus another border on the island of Ireland (which the DUP claim to also oppose). And the DUP are in favour of this? Is that the height of it or am I missing something obvious?

That's it in a nutshell. Tony Connolly tweeted saying the Telegraph concluded last night it'll be the Irish govt that prevents a deal getting through, if of course there's no deal. Which is becoming more likely at the minute. Although the Benn act has put a spanner in the works in that department!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 03, 2019, 08:08:14 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 03, 2019, 07:55:27 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 03, 2019, 04:12:14 AM
So let me get this straight. Johnson's proposal is for a border in the Irish Sea (which the DUP oppose) plus another border on the island of Ireland (which the DUP claim to also oppose). And the DUP are in favour of this? Is that the height of it or am I missing something obvious?

That's it in a nutshell. Tony Connolly tweeted saying the Telegraph concluded last night it'll be the Irish govt that prevents a deal getting through, if of course there's no deal. Which is becoming more likely at the minute. Although the Benn act has put a spanner in the works in that department!

That was that w**ker Cummings objective from the outset, in fairness he has managed Bojo very well, surrender, betrayal and now they have made compromises which they really haven't so when they use one legal loophole or another to get round the Benn Act, the reason for No Deal will be the EU and in particular Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on October 03, 2019, 08:31:48 AM
Funny how DUP keep rabbiting on about consent. NI nationalists did not consent to partition, they did not consent to one party rule for 50 years, they did not consent to a statelet that buried all aspects of their identity, they did not consent to gerrymandering, they did not consent to discrimination in jobs, they did not consent to Brexit. They do not consent to the economic havoc that is ensuing. Nigel, Arelene, Sammy and the DUP have a fcukin cheek to talk about consent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 03, 2019, 08:56:40 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 03, 2019, 08:31:48 AM
Funny how DUP keep rabbiting on about consent. NI nationalists did not consent to partition, they did not consent to one party rule for 50 years, they did not consent to a statelet that buried all aspects of their identity, they did not consent to gerrymandering, they did not consent to discrimination in jobs, they did not consent to Brexit. They do not consent to the economic havoc that is ensuing. Nigel, Arelene, Sammy and the DUP have a fcukin cheek to talk about consent.

+ 1.

The only positive is that they've brought forward the prospects of Irish Reunification by a generation. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on October 03, 2019, 09:04:39 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 03, 2019, 08:31:48 AM
Funny how DUP keep rabbiting on about consent. NI nationalists did not consent to partition, they did not consent to one party rule for 50 years, they did not consent to a statelet that buried all aspects of their identity, they did not consent to gerrymandering, they did not consent to discrimination in jobs, they did not consent to Brexit. They do not consent to the economic havoc that is ensuing. Nigel, Arelene, Sammy and the DUP have a fcukin cheek to talk about consent.
When you actually sit there and read that, its mental what we have had to live with over the years and generally accepted. yet try to restore some parity and fairness and unionism is up in arms.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 03, 2019, 09:21:23 AM
And Northern Nationalists didnt give consent to being taken out of the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 03, 2019, 09:21:40 AM
Nigel and Co can be too smart for their own good.

This regulatory border in the Irish Sea is by default aligned with the UK Standards and can only align with the EU if there's cross "community" support for it in the Stormont Assembly every four years.
That's a defacto DUP veto and you can bet your bottom dollar that it will never be enacted.

If the EU then request that the default position is alignment with EU Regulations it then becomes a nationalist veto and wee Nige and his big grin would be kicking up stink about it even if it does tick the box of democratic accountability.

The EU and the Irish Govt. won't go for it either way let alone the cluster f*ck of the customs border thingy.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 03, 2019, 09:59:00 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on October 03, 2019, 08:56:40 AM
Quote from: Applesisapples on October 03, 2019, 08:31:48 AM
Funny how DUP keep rabbiting on about consent. NI nationalists did not consent to partition, they did not consent to one party rule for 50 years, they did not consent to a statelet that buried all aspects of their identity, they did not consent to gerrymandering, they did not consent to discrimination in jobs, they did not consent to Brexit. They do not consent to the economic havoc that is ensuing. Nigel, Arelene, Sammy and the DUP have a fcukin cheek to talk about consent.

+ 1.

The only positive is that they've brought forward the prospects of Irish Reunification by a generation.

Only if the British SoS actually decides to hold such a referendum. Which I wouldn't hold my breath on ever happening given the absolute shambles that politics in England has become.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 03, 2019, 10:22:30 AM
Lads if you haven't been reading Marina Hyde's columns you're missing out she's razor sharp. . . this is a classic!!

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/oct/02/raising-hopes-and-denying-gropes-tory-conference-leaves-no-fantasy-untouched

QuoteYet again, Boris Johnson swears blind he's going to withdraw on schedule. A promise an unspecified number of single mothers have heard before
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 03, 2019, 11:14:26 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/22abc0f4-e533-11e9-b112-9624ec9edc59

"Mrs May was proposing a hard Brexit, one that would see Britain outside not only the single market and customs unions, but also beyond most of the other institutions and programmes — political and well as economic — of the EU. Mr Johnson wants to go further. He has been rewriting the political statement in which the two sides set out their aspirations for a post-Brexit relationship. The aim is to remove the few mutual commitments to a unique relationship that remained in Mrs May's text. By the account of some Whitehall insiders, Mr Johnson envisages an ultra-hard Brexit that would leave Britain further from the EU than are many other third countries."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 03, 2019, 11:24:30 AM
I hope the Lib Dems are annihilated at the next GE, the more I see them and hear them, the more a No Deal becomes closer, self indulgent leader who believes she can win a GE and revoke Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 03, 2019, 11:56:54 AM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on October 02, 2019, 04:57:20 PM
Quote from: Hound on October 02, 2019, 04:25:58 PM
The nonsense "non-paper" leaks have done their job in making this proposal at least seem somewhat reasonable.

It won't be accepted of course, thanks to the Hillary Benn bill, there's no incentive for the EU to compromise.

If there had been no such bill and we were left with a choice between this and No Deal, then it may have had a chance (although would certainly have got some important tweaks).

From an Irish point of view, this proposal is way better than a No Deal scenario. The Stormont veto would definitely be unwanted, but in the cold light of day, would the DUP really veto this when their business supporters would be lobbying hard for them to ratify? But all moot, given the EU will likely bin this.
Exactly. The EU have no reason to worry - they'll wait around for a GE and if Boris wins by majority they can then give some consideration to proposals but they'll be in no rush until then.
From any point of view, the GFA treaty has beeen dismantled in these proposals and one of the most extreme nutcase political entities on the Island is to be handed the power of veto over some of  the most important aspects of that GFA treaty. And some think the DUP would act in good faith!!

I say whatever is agreed now on a temporary basis,  It is an unacceptable truth that the DUP should have any veto power over it in 4 years time when it comes up for review.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Billys Boots on October 03, 2019, 11:58:29 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 03, 2019, 10:22:30 AM
Lads if you haven't been reading Marina Hyde's columns you're missing out she's razor sharp. . . this is a classic!!

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/oct/02/raising-hopes-and-denying-gropes-tory-conference-leaves-no-fantasy-untouched

QuoteYet again, Boris Johnson swears blind he's going to withdraw on schedule. A promise an unspecified number of single mothers have heard before

Shit Show at the f**k Factory - genius, reminded me of Hunter S. Thompson on a bad day.  There are about 30 genuine laugh-out-loud bits in that article, most of which are an incredibly sad  indictment of society. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Trap on October 03, 2019, 12:32:50 PM
Tories and DUP are totally corrupt financially and morally. Problem is they are supported by so many Neanderthals who cannot think for themselves. There is no way for us to escape the grip they have on our lives so we just have to try and make the best of it despite them holding us back. We do really well to keep going in such a fecked up place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 03, 2019, 12:42:03 PM
Quote from: Billys Boots on October 03, 2019, 11:58:29 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 03, 2019, 10:22:30 AM
Lads if you haven't been reading Marina Hyde's columns you're missing out she's razor sharp. . . this is a classic!!

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/oct/02/raising-hopes-and-denying-gropes-tory-conference-leaves-no-fantasy-untouched

QuoteYet again, Boris Johnson swears blind he's going to withdraw on schedule. A promise an unspecified number of single mothers have heard before

Shit Show at the f**k Factory - genius, reminded me of Hunter S. Thompson on a bad day.  There are about 30 genuine laugh-out-loud bits in that article, most of which are an incredibly sad  indictment of society.

Like ourselves a lot of the UK public laughed at the US for electing a gobshíte like Trump and lo and behold they ended up getting their own Etonian educated version of him in power and like the Republican party in the US rather than admit to their failings they'll double down in support of him.

better to be grabbed by the pussy than have a pussy as PM indeed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 03, 2019, 02:15:46 PM
Not one of the 10 DUP MP's turned up during a House of Commons debate into Brexit and the new proposed new arrangement for the north. Make of that what you want but it is no coincidence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 03, 2019, 03:32:46 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 03, 2019, 02:15:46 PM
Not one of the 10 DUP MP's turned up during a House of Commons debate into Brexit and the new proposed new arrangement for the north. Make of that what you want but it is no coincidence.

They were all watching the Ruggers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 03, 2019, 04:12:01 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/20c33a0c-e564-11e9-9743-db5a370481bc

"The trade deal (the one that could last a long time): Even if the two sides can bridge their backstop gaps, the UK has made clear it won't commit to maintaining a "level-playing field" on social, environmental and labour standards as promised by Theresa May. If Mr Johnson wants to create a low-regulatory "Singapore-on-Thames", EU negotiators have warned they will drastically reduce the level of ambition for a trade deal the Brits want concluded in record under 14 months. "
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 03, 2019, 05:04:12 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/10/03/brexit-latest-news-brexit-news-latest-deal-boris-johnson-northern/

Leo Varadkar claims that British people want to scrap Brexit
The Irish Prime Minister states that most British people want to remain in the EU.
"All the polls since Prime Minister Johnson became Prime Minister suggest that's what the British people actually want, but their political system isn't able to give them that choice," he said."

Fair play a Thaoiseach !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 03, 2019, 06:43:14 PM
Still baffled as to how the DUP backed the latest deal put forward by the UK government. They have been heavily criticized by both local pro remain parties and some on their own side as well. It simply doesn't add up but I can only guess that they have either been given some form of golden handshake by the Tories or issued with a threat by Cummings (back us or we'll go with NI only backstop).

Something doesn't add up and then they failed to show up in parliament today for the backstop debate when they nearly always have someone there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 03, 2019, 07:03:13 PM
Something going on with the DUP behind the scenes. I wonder what the thirty pieces of silver look like this time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 03, 2019, 07:08:08 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 03, 2019, 07:03:13 PM
Something going on with the DUP behind the scenes. I wonder what the thirty pieces of silver look like this time.

Lord Dodds and Lady Foster for starters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 03, 2019, 07:16:49 PM
Strange that their Brexit spokesmen  Sammy Wilson didn't appear to be available for interview today
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 03, 2019, 07:48:52 PM
Boris to nationalise Wrightbus next week & finish off building Green Pastures. Praise the Lord.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 03, 2019, 07:51:14 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 03, 2019, 05:04:12 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/10/03/brexit-latest-news-brexit-news-latest-deal-boris-johnson-northern/

Leo Varadkar claims that British people want to scrap Brexit
The Irish Prime Minister states that most British people want to remain in the EU.
"All the polls since Prime Minister Johnson became Prime Minister suggest that's what the British people actually want, but their political system isn't able to give them that choice," he said."

Fair play a Thaoiseach !

Whatever his other faults and he has plenty, he is quite good at really winding up the right wing British press. There's over 9000 comments on one Daily Mail article fairly hurling abuse at him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 03, 2019, 09:34:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 03, 2019, 06:43:14 PM
Still baffled as to how the DUP backed the latest deal put forward by the UK government. They have been heavily criticized by both local pro remain parties and some on their own side as well. It simply doesn't add up but I can only guess that they have either been given some form of golden handshake by the Tories or issued with a threat by Cummings (back us or we'll go with NI only backstop).

Something doesn't add up and then they failed to show up in parliament today for the backstop debate when they nearly always have someone there.

I think that you, and almost every commentator I've read today, have missed a key point here.

The regulatory alignment with the European single market (which is what has led to the "border between NI and GB" comments) only actually will come into place if both unionist and nationalist politicians in the Assembly approve it.  Of course the unionists won't approve it, so the reality is that the UK's plan is that NI will be out of both the Single Market and the Customs Union.

The wording / pitching of this as been really clever by the UK, as it has been picked up by the media that the deal means that NI will remain aligned at the end of the Transition period with the EU for standards.  However, as Nigel Dodds was at pains to point out on a Radio Ulster interview this morning (which is the only reason I know this) all the Deal does is give a process whereby if both sets of politicians agree that NI remain aligned to the EU then it will remain aligned.
I just can't fathom why this isn't being reported on more today.

I've checked with a few Brexit afficionados on Twitter and they have confirmed that my understanding is correct, and here is about the only place I've seen it mentioned (other than by me): https://twitter.com/BBCkatyaadler/status/1179725610429685761

So the reality is that Boris / DUP have conceded to nothing, but it doesn't seem that way!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 03, 2019, 09:50:57 PM
Boris is as devious as it comes. Smoke and mirrors will be all it is!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 03, 2019, 10:01:22 PM
The DUP have now predictably launched a co-ordinated attack on the Irish government for not accepting the latest UK double border proposal. Foster has had a go at Coveney whilst Dodd's has had a go at Varadkar almost like a tag team.

The whole process has only served to highlight the DUPs intransigence and their inherent air of supremacy and yearning to dominate way above their standing. The Irish government have had to be as diplomatic as possible but they must be left shaking their heads at times as the DUP appear to be on a one party crusade to obliterate the all island economy at whatever cost to local business. Many in the north will not be in the least bit surprised but the EU, Irish government and rational British politicians must often wonder what type of people they are dealing with. I don't expect this whole process to end well for them and Arlene Foster could well be in her last few months as leader with her handling of the Brexit process not to mention the upcoming RHI enquiry results.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 03, 2019, 10:44:18 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 03, 2019, 10:01:22 PM
The DUP have now predictably launched a co-ordinated attack on the Irish government for not accepting the latest UK double border proposal. Foster has had a go at Coveney whilst Dodd's has had a go at Varadkar almost like a tag team.

The whole process has only served to highlight the DUPs intransigence and their inherent air of supremacy and yearning to dominate way above their standing. The Irish government have had to be as diplomatic as possible but they must be left shaking their heads at times as the DUP appear to be on a one party crusade to obliterate the all island economy at whatever cost to local business. Many in the north will not be in the least bit surprised but the EU, Irish government and rational British politicians must often wonder what type of people they are dealing with. I don't expect this whole process to end well for them and Arlene Foster could well be in her last few months as leader with her handling of the Brexit process not to mention the upcoming RHI enquiry results.

She won't give a damn, Lady Foster is guaranteed to have been secured behind the scenes by now.  She can then relocate to the south east of England and leave her DUP voters to unemployment and poverty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 03, 2019, 11:39:42 PM
The EU wont agree to Johnson's proposal
The Irish Givernment won't
SF won't go back to Stormont to facilitate their deviousness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 04, 2019, 06:46:03 AM
It's an ERG (Rees Mogg and co) proposal. Not a hope of being accepted.

-No backstop,
- no level playing field conditions (UK can undercut food and employment standards)
& a commitment to a Free Trade Agreement for the £39 bn .

This is pure hardcore Brexit.

Some interesting videos via twitter :

bonnie Greer

https://twitter.com/OxfordDiplomat/status/1179886877295423488

Lady Hermon

https://twitter.com/Independent/status/1179732832211460096

Corbyn

https://twitter.com/IwantJC4PM/status/1179715853199314946 

An Taoiseach

https://twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1179746754058739712 

Jenni Russell

https://twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/1179521724116692993 

Bernadette Mc Aliskey

https://twitter.com/chunkymark/status/1179467879735005185 Bernadette Mc

Jonathan Powell

https://twitter.com/BBCNewsnight/status/1179154814631989248 Jonathan Powell
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 08:59:54 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 03, 2019, 09:21:40 AM
Nigel and Co can be too smart for their own good.

This regulatory border in the Irish Sea is by default aligned with the UK Standards and can only align with the EU if there's cross "community" support for it in the Stormont Assembly every four years.
That's a defacto DUP veto and you can bet your bottom dollar that it will never be enacted.

If the EU then request that the default position is alignment with EU Regulations it then becomes a nationalist veto and wee Nige and his big grin would be kicking up stink about it even if it does tick the box of democratic accountability.

The EU and the Irish Govt. won't go for it either way let alone the cluster f*ck of the customs border thingy.

Quote from: Smokin Joe on October 03, 2019, 09:34:48 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 03, 2019, 06:43:14 PM
Still baffled as to how the DUP backed the latest deal put forward by the UK government. They have been heavily criticized by both local pro remain parties and some on their own side as well. It simply doesn't add up but I can only guess that they have either been given some form of golden handshake by the Tories or issued with a threat by Cummings (back us or we'll go with NI only backstop).

Something doesn't add up and then they failed to show up in parliament today for the backstop debate when they nearly always have someone there.

I think that you, and almost every commentator I've read today, have missed a key point here.

The regulatory alignment with the European single market (which is what has led to the "border between NI and GB" comments) only actually will come into place if both unionist and nationalist politicians in the Assembly approve it.  Of course the unionists won't approve it, so the reality is that the UK's plan is that NI will be out of both the Single Market and the Customs Union.

The wording / pitching of this as been really clever by the UK, as it has been picked up by the media that the deal means that NI will remain aligned at the end of the Transition period with the EU for standards.  However, as Nigel Dodds was at pains to point out on a Radio Ulster interview this morning (which is the only reason I know this) all the Deal does is give a process whereby if both sets of politicians agree that NI remain aligned to the EU then it will remain aligned.
I just can't fathom why this isn't being reported on more today.

I've checked with a few Brexit afficionados on Twitter and they have confirmed that my understanding is correct, and here is about the only place I've seen it mentioned (other than by me): https://twitter.com/BBCkatyaadler/status/1179725610429685761

So the reality is that Boris / DUP have conceded to nothing, but it doesn't seem that way!

That was the point I was making yesterday Smoking Joe and wee Jeffrey on Radio 6 this morning more or less alluded to it..

Smoke and mirrors.


Leo could redden Arlene's chops with her comments about him being the person responsible of the return of a hard border in Ireland by alluding that she might well be the leader of Unionism that sees the re uniting of Ireland.

If I was Leo I'd be going back to Dublin and setting up a department to produce proposals for what that United Ireland might be and let the world and their dog know about it.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 04, 2019, 10:04:01 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 08:59:54 AM

That was the point I was making yesterday Smoking Joe and wee Jeffrey on Radio 6 this morning more or less alluded to it..

Smoke and mirrors.


Leo could redden Arlene's chops with her comments about him being the person responsible of the return of a hard border in Ireland by alluding that she might well be the leader of Unionism that sees the re uniting of Ireland.

If I was Leo I'd be going back to Dublin and setting up a department to produce proposals for what that United Ireland might be and let the world and their dog know about it.

Time for everyone to start opening serious discussions on a united Ireland and what that could/should look like. Like the Brexit genie the united Ireland one is out of the bottle and it's time for republican and nationalist parties North and South to keep the momentum going behind it. It shouldn't be pushed as a victory and something to rub in the face of Unionionists - not that they would have any issue if it was the other way around - but a serious rationalised debate with facts / figures and plans for how this would work to start getting people who are on the fence or near to it convinced this is the way forward for the country.

The usual sh!t about DLA, benefits, paying to go see the doctor or staying in hospital (these morons who use that line here don't realise what national insurance is for or how this actually works in the South) etc etc will be wheeled out and there needs to be factual based reason to blow these lazy arguments apart and expose them for the bullsh1t they are.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ziggysego on October 04, 2019, 10:15:37 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 04, 2019, 10:04:01 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 08:59:54 AM

That was the point I was making yesterday Smoking Joe and wee Jeffrey on Radio 6 this morning more or less alluded to it..

Smoke and mirrors.


Leo could redden Arlene's chops with her comments about him being the person responsible of the return of a hard border in Ireland by alluding that she might well be the leader of Unionism that sees the re uniting of Ireland.

If I was Leo I'd be going back to Dublin and setting up a department to produce proposals for what that United Ireland might be and let the world and their dog know about it.

Time for everyone to start opening serious discussions on a united Ireland and what that could/should look like. Like the Brexit genie the united Ireland one is out of the bottle and it's time for republican and nationalist parties North and South to keep the momentum going behind it. It shouldn't be pushed as a victory and something to rub in the face of Unionionists - not that they would have any issue if it was the other way around - but a serious rationalised debate with facts / figures and plans for how this would work to start getting people who are on the fence or near to it convinced this is the way forward for the country.

The usual sh!t about DLA, benefits, paying to go see the doctor or staying in hospital (these morons who use that line here don't realise what national insurance is for or how this actually works in the South) etc etc will be wheeled out and there needs to be factual based reason to blow these lazy arguments apart and expose them for the bullsh1t they are.

As too many say, it's too early for that kind of talk and discussion. If you ask me, it's practically too late now. What does England have to inflict upon Ireland so people to talk seriously about a United Ireland??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 04, 2019, 10:19:30 AM
Exactly.

Boris and his ilk are trying to shaft Ireland - all of it - with the assistance of the dup. It is high time to get that referendum going and get Britain out once and for all. We are second class citizens to them and will always be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 10:20:03 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 04, 2019, 10:15:37 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 04, 2019, 10:04:01 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 08:59:54 AM

That was the point I was making yesterday Smoking Joe and wee Jeffrey on Radio 6 this morning more or less alluded to it..

Smoke and mirrors.


Leo could redden Arlene's chops with her comments about him being the person responsible of the return of a hard border in Ireland by alluding that she might well be the leader of Unionism that sees the re uniting of Ireland.

If I was Leo I'd be going back to Dublin and setting up a department to produce proposals for what that United Ireland might be and let the world and their dog know about it.

Time for everyone to start opening serious discussions on a united Ireland and what that could/should look like. Like the Brexit genie the united Ireland one is out of the bottle and it's time for republican and nationalist parties North and South to keep the momentum going behind it. It shouldn't be pushed as a victory and something to rub in the face of Unionionists - not that they would have any issue if it was the other way around - but a serious rationalised debate with facts / figures and plans for how this would work to start getting people who are on the fence or near to it convinced this is the way forward for the country.

The usual sh!t about DLA, benefits, paying to go see the doctor or staying in hospital (these morons who use that line here don't realise what national insurance is for or how this actually works in the South) etc etc will be wheeled out and there needs to be factual based reason to blow these lazy arguments apart and expose them for the bullsh1t they are.

As too many say, it's too early for that kind of talk and discussion. If you ask me, it's practically too late now. What does England have to inflict upon Ireland so people to talk seriously about a United Ireland??

The time is now.

Brexit has got nationalists with a small n looking at their wallet and seeing their neighbours doing alright further to the South.
Any economic downturn attributed to Brexit will get those of a unionist variety also questioning their economic well being inside a UK that doesn't give a f**k for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 04, 2019, 10:46:30 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 10:20:03 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 04, 2019, 10:15:37 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 04, 2019, 10:04:01 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 08:59:54 AM

That was the point I was making yesterday Smoking Joe and wee Jeffrey on Radio 6 this morning more or less alluded to it..

Smoke and mirrors.


Leo could redden Arlene's chops with her comments about him being the person responsible of the return of a hard border in Ireland by alluding that she might well be the leader of Unionism that sees the re uniting of Ireland.

If I was Leo I'd be going back to Dublin and setting up a department to produce proposals for what that United Ireland might be and let the world and their dog know about it.

Time for everyone to start opening serious discussions on a united Ireland and what that could/should look like. Like the Brexit genie the united Ireland one is out of the bottle and it's time for republican and nationalist parties North and South to keep the momentum going behind it. It shouldn't be pushed as a victory and something to rub in the face of Unionionists - not that they would have any issue if it was the other way around - but a serious rationalised debate with facts / figures and plans for how this would work to start getting people who are on the fence or near to it convinced this is the way forward for the country.

The usual sh!t about DLA, benefits, paying to go see the doctor or staying in hospital (these morons who use that line here don't realise what national insurance is for or how this actually works in the South) etc etc will be wheeled out and there needs to be factual based reason to blow these lazy arguments apart and expose them for the bullsh1t they are.

As too many say, it's too early for that kind of talk and discussion. If you ask me, it's practically too late now. What does England have to inflict upon Ireland so people to talk seriously about a United Ireland??

The time is now.

Brexit has got nationalists with a small n looking at their wallet and seeing their neighbours doing alright further to the South.
Any economic downturn attributed to Brexit will get those of a unionist variety also questioning their economic well being inside a UK that doesn't give a f**k for them.

Let's have a UK wide referendum on the North's position in the UK and whether or not the rest of the UK wants to keep it. And then watch the DUP and the likes of Jim Allister argue the opposite of their current cry that it was a UK wide referendum.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on October 04, 2019, 10:54:43 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 10:20:03 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 04, 2019, 10:15:37 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 04, 2019, 10:04:01 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 08:59:54 AM

That was the point I was making yesterday Smoking Joe and wee Jeffrey on Radio 6 this morning more or less alluded to it..

Smoke and mirrors.


Leo could redden Arlene's chops with her comments about him being the person responsible of the return of a hard border in Ireland by alluding that she might well be the leader of Unionism that sees the re uniting of Ireland.

If I was Leo I'd be going back to Dublin and setting up a department to produce proposals for what that United Ireland might be and let the world and their dog know about it.

Time for everyone to start opening serious discussions on a united Ireland and what that could/should look like. Like the Brexit genie the united Ireland one is out of the bottle and it's time for republican and nationalist parties North and South to keep the momentum going behind it. It shouldn't be pushed as a victory and something to rub in the face of Unionionists - not that they would have any issue if it was the other way around - but a serious rationalised debate with facts / figures and plans for how this would work to start getting people who are on the fence or near to it convinced this is the way forward for the country.

The usual sh!t about DLA, benefits, paying to go see the doctor or staying in hospital (these morons who use that line here don't realise what national insurance is for or how this actually works in the South) etc etc will be wheeled out and there needs to be factual based reason to blow these lazy arguments apart and expose them for the bullsh1t they are.

As too many say, it's too early for that kind of talk and discussion. If you ask me, it's practically too late now. What does England have to inflict upon Ireland so people to talk seriously about a United Ireland??

The time is now.

Brexit has got nationalists with a small n looking at their wallet and seeing their neighbours doing alright further to the South.
Any economic downturn attributed to Brexit will get those of a unionist variety also questioning their economic well being inside a UK that doesn't give a f**k for them.

Heh?? Anybody with a titter of wit knows that you have been on a different planet financially from the North for the best part of a generation.

I just cant fathom how unionists crow about how England fills their begging bowl annually and somehow this is seen as a great thing for unionists. Their first question when a UI comes up is how will the South afford the £10 billion annually to support the north. Without a hint of shame at the implicit admission that the north's economy is a complete basket case. Cannot understand why this is not answered with a 'grow up and stand on your own two feet like any normal country and economy is supposed to so that we do not have to subsidise you crowd of useless spongers'.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 04, 2019, 10:59:45 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on October 04, 2019, 10:54:43 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 10:20:03 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 04, 2019, 10:15:37 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 04, 2019, 10:04:01 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 08:59:54 AM

That was the point I was making yesterday Smoking Joe and wee Jeffrey on Radio 6 this morning more or less alluded to it..

Smoke and mirrors.


Leo could redden Arlene's chops with her comments about him being the person responsible of the return of a hard border in Ireland by alluding that she might well be the leader of Unionism that sees the re uniting of Ireland.

If I was Leo I'd be going back to Dublin and setting up a department to produce proposals for what that United Ireland might be and let the world and their dog know about it.

Time for everyone to start opening serious discussions on a united Ireland and what that could/should look like. Like the Brexit genie the united Ireland one is out of the bottle and it's time for republican and nationalist parties North and South to keep the momentum going behind it. It shouldn't be pushed as a victory and something to rub in the face of Unionionists - not that they would have any issue if it was the other way around - but a serious rationalised debate with facts / figures and plans for how this would work to start getting people who are on the fence or near to it convinced this is the way forward for the country.

The usual sh!t about DLA, benefits, paying to go see the doctor or staying in hospital (these morons who use that line here don't realise what national insurance is for or how this actually works in the South) etc etc will be wheeled out and there needs to be factual based reason to blow these lazy arguments apart and expose them for the bullsh1t they are.

As too many say, it's too early for that kind of talk and discussion. If you ask me, it's practically too late now. What does England have to inflict upon Ireland so people to talk seriously about a United Ireland??

The time is now.

Brexit has got nationalists with a small n looking at their wallet and seeing their neighbours doing alright further to the South.
Any economic downturn attributed to Brexit will get those of a unionist variety also questioning their economic well being inside a UK that doesn't give a f**k for them.

Heh?? Anybody with a titter of wit knows that you have been on a different planet financially from the North for the best part of a generation.

I just cant fathom how unionists crow about how England fills their begging bowl annually and somehow this is seen as a great thing for unionists. Their first question when a UI comes up is how will the South afford the £10 billion annually to support the north. Without a hint of shame at the implicit admission that the north's economy is a complete basket case. Cannot understand why this is not answered with a 'grow up and stand on your own two feet like any normal country and economy is supposed to so that we do not have to subsidise you crowd of useless spongers'.

Does Connacht support itself? Or Leitrim? Or Donegal or Kilrush? f**king spongers!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 04, 2019, 11:51:44 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on October 04, 2019, 10:54:43 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 10:20:03 AM
Quote from: ziggysego on October 04, 2019, 10:15:37 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 04, 2019, 10:04:01 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 04, 2019, 08:59:54 AM

That was the point I was making yesterday Smoking Joe and wee Jeffrey on Radio 6 this morning more or less alluded to it..

Smoke and mirrors.


Leo could redden Arlene's chops with her comments about him being the person responsible of the return of a hard border in Ireland by alluding that she might well be the leader of Unionism that sees the re uniting of Ireland.

If I was Leo I'd be going back to Dublin and setting up a department to produce proposals for what that United Ireland might be and let the world and their dog know about it.

Time for everyone to start opening serious discussions on a united Ireland and what that could/should look like. Like the Brexit genie the united Ireland one is out of the bottle and it's time for republican and nationalist parties North and South to keep the momentum going behind it. It shouldn't be pushed as a victory and something to rub in the face of Unionionists - not that they would have any issue if it was the other way around - but a serious rationalised debate with facts / figures and plans for how this would work to start getting people who are on the fence or near to it convinced this is the way forward for the country.

The usual sh!t about DLA, benefits, paying to go see the doctor or staying in hospital (these morons who use that line here don't realise what national insurance is for or how this actually works in the South) etc etc will be wheeled out and there needs to be factual based reason to blow these lazy arguments apart and expose them for the bullsh1t they are.

As too many say, it's too early for that kind of talk and discussion. If you ask me, it's practically too late now. What does England have to inflict upon Ireland so people to talk seriously about a United Ireland??

The time is now.

Brexit has got nationalists with a small n looking at their wallet and seeing their neighbours doing alright further to the South.
Any economic downturn attributed to Brexit will get those of a unionist variety also questioning their economic well being inside a UK that doesn't give a f**k for them.

Heh?? Anybody with a titter of wit knows that you have been on a different planet financially from the North for the best part of a generation.

I just cant fathom how unionists crow about how England fills their begging bowl annually and somehow this is seen as a great thing for unionists. Their first question when a UI comes up is how will the South afford the £10 billion annually to support the north. Without a hint of shame at the implicit admission that the north's economy is a complete basket case. Cannot understand why this is not answered with a 'grow up and stand on your own two feet like any normal country and economy is supposed to so that we do not have to subsidise you crowd of useless spongers'.
Bernadette Mc Aliskey

https://twitter.com/chunkymark/status/1179467879735005185
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 04, 2019, 01:46:27 PM
More smoke and  mirrors.

Brexit: Boris Johnson will send extension letter, court told

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49936352 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49936352)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 04, 2019, 01:48:38 PM
Is there anything to this Hungary veto thing??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 04, 2019, 01:57:03 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 04, 2019, 01:48:38 PM
Is there anything to this Hungary veto thing??

If the EU want the extension i'd imagine Hungary will tow the line.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 04, 2019, 02:30:34 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 04, 2019, 01:46:27 PM
More smoke and  mirrors.

Brexit: Boris Johnson will send extension letter, court told

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49936352 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49936352)

Will he be found dead in a ditch now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 04, 2019, 03:12:03 PM
American lady on Question Time telling it as it is
https://twitter.com/i/status/1179986543018201088
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on October 04, 2019, 03:41:22 PM
What happens if Hungary vetoes an extension, given the recently passed-into-law parliamentary bill that the UK can't legally leave without a deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 04, 2019, 04:11:49 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on October 04, 2019, 03:41:22 PM
What happens if Hungary vetoes an extension, given the recently passed-into-law parliamentary bill that the UK can't legally leave without a deal?

No deal is the default in the absence of a deal, Benn act or not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 04, 2019, 04:39:47 PM
I'd imagine Hungary is still a net recipient of EU funds.
Those Scottish Courts certainly stymieing Bozo's schemes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 04, 2019, 04:47:42 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 04, 2019, 04:11:49 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on October 04, 2019, 03:41:22 PM
What happens if Hungary vetoes an extension, given the recently passed-into-law parliamentary bill that the UK can't legally leave without a deal?

No deal is the default in the absence of a deal, Benn act or not.

They would have to then go for the VONC and try and oust him
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 04, 2019, 05:22:58 PM
The Johnson proposal which the DUP support means :

No GFA
No alignment on food and labour laws

Nice of them to reveal their true colours
The agenda will increase the mortality rate. It is evil
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 04, 2019, 06:45:49 PM
QuoteHungary's far-right government says it won't veto Brexit extension as favour to Boris Johnson (https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/hungary-brexit-boris-johnson-eu-extension-delay-orban-a9104566.html)

Hungary's foreign minister has poured cold water on suggestions that the country would veto a Brexit delay as a favour to Boris Johnson.

Some Brexiteers had suggested that the country's right-wing populist prime minister Viktor Orban would refuse to approve an extension out of ideological sympathy for the Brexit project.

But the country's foreign minister Peter Szijjarto said Hungary would not be at the forefront of decision making on the issue.

"If there is such a request we'll make our own decision," Mr Szijjarto said in an interview reported by the Bloomberg news agency.

"A few large western European member states really want to put an end to this and want it decided one way or another, so probably it won't be our decision that will be key on this issue."

Mr Johnson has been ordered by parliament to go to Brussels and ask for a further delay in order to avoid a no-deal Brexit - but he says he does not want to, and would rather leave without a deal on 31 October.

Having another leader veto the extension has been presented by some as another way around the issue.

It is very unusual for a leader on the European Council to outright veto a decision backed by all other member states: though it is technically possible because unanimity is required for a decision, it is more usual for a compromise position to be reached.

Hungary's government has shown little proactive interest in Brexit since Britain triggered Article 50, despite Tory MEPs backing it in the European Parliament last year when it came under fire for its abuse of the rule of law.

Back in March Brexiteers announced they were going to lobby Mr Orban's government, as well as the populist outfits in power in Poland, and at the time Italy. They were met with no success.

Many of the populist leaders in question have their own rows with Brussels, and are not keen to waste their political capital on helping the UK. Most are not even particularly keen on Britain's departure from the European Union, at least in public.

Whether the UK gets another Brexit extension is more likely to be decided by leaders like Emmanuel Macron, who previously pushed for a harder line policy against the UK – and Leo Varadkar, who has said he has "endless patience".

Could be that the continental far right was initially excited about the Brexit vote and started calling for their own exit referenda, but the catastrophe of Brexit as it has unfolded has probably changed their minds. Three years of crisis, polarisation, damn all work done domestically, one leader after another spat out of the system. The longer these convulsions go on the more people will come to realise it's better to just stay in the EU and not rock the boat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 04, 2019, 07:02:31 PM
Shows the weakness of their position if their hopes are pinned on Hungary

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 04, 2019, 10:13:59 PM
Johnson is  akin to a 3 card trickster walking on stage in front of a European convention of grandmaster magicians.  What idiot could come up with the DUP veto on an extension and thought because it looked democratic nobody would notice. Possibly the DUP threw it in there and the Tory delegation didn't take note.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 05, 2019, 08:26:48 PM
Daniel Hannan has an article in the Daily Telegraph saying that Leave voters will understand if Johnson has to delay Brexit beyond Oíche Shamhna

Tory strategy is in bits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 05, 2019, 09:51:34 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 05, 2019, 08:26:48 PM
Daniel Hannan has an article in the Daily Telegraph saying that Leave voters will understand if Johnson has to delay Brexit beyond Oíche Shamhna

Tory strategy is in bits.

They will win a general election though opposition need to get a second referendum  but they all as power Hungary as Hungary.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 06, 2019, 06:35:04 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 05, 2019, 09:51:34 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 05, 2019, 08:26:48 PM
Daniel Hannan has an article in the Daily Telegraph saying that Leave voters will understand if Johnson has to delay Brexit beyond Oíche Shamhna

Tory strategy is in bits.

They will win a general election though opposition need to get a second referendum  but they all as power Hungary as Hungary.

I wouldn't bet on it.Johnson is particularly unpopular with women . The Tories will lose their seats in Scotland too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 08, 2019, 12:02:47 PM
Serious propaganda going on at the minute from No. 10 with the 'text' last night and the leak of the Merkel conversation this morning.

Did she actually say those things?? Major new outlets going with the story as if she did. UK would seem to have got the jump in on the blame game!

Sterling/Euro rate dropping heavy today as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 08, 2019, 12:20:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 08, 2019, 12:02:47 PM
Serious propaganda going on at the minute from No. 10 with the 'text' last night and the leak of the Merkel conversation this morning.

Did she actually say those things?? Major new outlets going with the story as if she did. UK would seem to have got the jump in on the blame game!

Sterling/Euro rate dropping heavy today as well.

Which news outlets though? Those sympathetic to Brexit/BJ? Being strongly refuted in Brussels circles as in 'not being Merkel's style'. I know which I would rather believe.
This may actually be one of the most heinous developments yet, if that's possible; basically, No. 10 (probably Cummings) attributing false statements to a foreign head of state, and one whom has always been a friend of the UK. Calling Merkel a liar in other words. Is there no low to which No. 10 will now stoop?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 08, 2019, 12:24:59 PM
BBC/Times/Sky News/ITV all have it as the lead story that's not to mention the headbangers like the Sun/Dailymail/express... f**king journalism these days would do your head in!!!

DUP jumping all over it too... rats wouldn't be in it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 08, 2019, 01:30:29 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 08, 2019, 12:20:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 08, 2019, 12:02:47 PM
Serious propaganda going on at the minute from No. 10 with the 'text' last night and the leak of the Merkel conversation this morning.

Did she actually say those things?? Major new outlets going with the story as if she did. UK would seem to have got the jump in on the blame game!

Sterling/Euro rate dropping heavy today as well.


Which news outlets though? Those sympathetic to Brexit/BJ? Being strongly refuted in Brussels circles as in 'not being Merkel's style'. I know which I would rather believe.
This may actually be one of the most heinous developments yet, if that's possible; basically, No. 10 (probably Cummings) attributing false statements to a foreign head of state, and one whom has always been a friend of the UK. Calling Merkel a liar in other words. Is there no low to which No. 10 will now stoop?

There is no low. None.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 08, 2019, 01:48:43 PM
Just reading up now. Johnson really needs to be got out of that job and quick. There isn't any low he wouldn't stoop to. It's no deal by whatever lies he makes up to get there at current minute.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 08, 2019, 02:01:13 PM
It'll come down to an election. Brexit vs Corbyn
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 08, 2019, 02:09:02 PM
The current British government have absolutely no credibility and you wouldn't trust them to go to the shop for you.
,
Everything is being done to play to a UK electorate base in order to whip up an anti EU/Irish frenzy. Ably assisted by a complicit media in certain sections who are willing to distort words and tell mistruths in order to fit a set agenda. There is no intent, nor has there ever been any, to enter into any serious negotiations. Where it all ends is anybody's guess but the UK is fast descending into a dangerous place with right wingers in suits using the 'Rule Brittania' imperialist mob to further their own agendas. It is the height of irresponsibility. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 08, 2019, 02:39:55 PM
The Tories are owned by a handful of billionaires who want Brexit so they can destroy the NHS
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 08, 2019, 02:43:49 PM
I think there is a bit more to it than purely the NHS.

Spot on yellowcard.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 08, 2019, 02:51:15 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 08, 2019, 02:43:49 PM
I think there is a bit more to it than purely the NHS.

Spot on yellowcard.

You mean the EU laws on tax avoidance?

https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/is-the-anti-tax-avoidance-directive-the-reason-the-rich-want-out-of-eu-1-5669763
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 08, 2019, 03:58:09 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 08, 2019, 02:43:49 PM
I think there is a bit more to it than purely the NHS.

Spot on yellowcard.
They also want to pauperise ye

The election is between this or working the economy for the benefit of the people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 08, 2019, 05:58:09 PM
Anyone see the vile tweet put out by Leave.eu earlier?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 08, 2019, 06:06:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 08, 2019, 02:39:55 PM
The Tories are owned by a handful of billionaires who want Brexit so they can destroy the NHS

I thought they had already achieved that goal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: moysider on October 08, 2019, 10:10:07 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 08, 2019, 02:09:02 PM
The current British government have absolutely no credibility and you wouldn't trust them to go to the shop for you.
,
Everything is being done to play to a UK electorate base in order to whip up an anti EU/Irish frenzy. Ably assisted by a complicit media in certain sections who are willing to distort words and tell mistruths in order to fit a set agenda. There is no intent, nor has there ever been any, to enter into any serious negotiations. Where it all ends is anybody's guess but the UK is fast descending into a dangerous place with right wingers in suits using the 'Rule Brittania' imperialist mob to further their own agendas. It is the height of irresponsibility.

It is but it is what it is.
Brexiteers will do anything to secure Brexit - apart from ditching the DUPs. They might be handy later after another election and a hung parliament.
Brexiteers don't give a f**k about the border and the trouble it will cause. The fact that there will be trouble is music to the DUP. Peace is their enemy and would eventually become irrelevant and current crisis is good for them. I have been amazed that some posters on here think they are painting themselves into a corner. The more chaotic things get the more they love it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on October 08, 2019, 10:26:36 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 08, 2019, 05:58:09 PM
Anyone see the vile tweet put out by Leave.eu earlier?
Which one! Jesus nearly everything on that thread is cringe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 09, 2019, 08:11:37 AM
The won two world wars against the "krauts" (might be spelt with an o lol)I suspect.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on October 09, 2019, 08:37:41 AM
Is it just me or is the gap between decent people and scumbags in today's society more wide than ever before? There seems to be very little in between.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 09, 2019, 08:54:58 AM
In the past, scumbags didn't make online videos of their scuminess, but probably behaved just the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 09, 2019, 08:55:52 AM
In social media / internet land scumbags seem to have a louder voice as decent peoples opinions isn't controversial enough.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2019, 02:07:09 PM
https://www.kentonline.co.uk/dover/news/brexit-will-spark-rise-in-dogging-213622/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 10, 2019, 03:49:14 PM
Peace in our time?
(https://img.rasset.ie/0012d574-800.jpg)
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit-countdown/2019/1010/1082249-varadkar-johnson/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 10, 2019, 04:14:52 PM
Hopefully he's sold out the DUP!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 10, 2019, 04:26:19 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 10, 2019, 04:14:52 PM
Hopefully he's sold out the DUP!!

Are the words "unionist fury" just around the corner ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 10, 2019, 04:27:10 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 10, 2019, 04:14:52 PM
Hopefully he's sold out the DUP!!
To look after the 56%

Edit - I hear Bercow on Late Late Friday night.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 10, 2019, 04:48:09 PM
Is this all not typical of BoJo tho.
Appear to be leaning one way, then the other.

Fact is his support base is now the the ERG and co... so when he goes back to Downing St and is talking to Cummings et al he will be back on to the hard Brexit line..... prob all for someone to make money on the swings on the pound.... or maybe its just Boris getting caught up in the mood of the company that he is in at any one time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 10, 2019, 07:35:59 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 10, 2019, 04:48:09 PM
Is this all not typical of BoJo tho.
Appear to be leaning one way, then the other.

Fact is his support base is now the the ERG and co... so when he goes back to Downing St and is talking to Cummings et al he will be back on to the hard Brexit line..... prob all for someone to make money on the swings on the pound.... or maybe its just Boris getting caught up in the mood of the company that he is in at any one time.

And feeling them up under the table, while he's getting 'caught up'.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 11, 2019, 12:01:32 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 10, 2019, 04:48:09 PM
Is this all not typical of BoJo tho.
Appear to be leaning one way, then the other.

Fact is his support base is now the the ERG and co... so when he goes back to Downing St and is talking to Cummings et al he will be back on to the hard Brexit line..... prob all for someone to make money on the swings on the pound.... or maybe its just Boris getting caught up in the mood of the company that he is in at any one time.

Supposedly some cabinet ministers close to giving Bojo an ultimatum to ship Cummings out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 11, 2019, 01:14:07 AM
Quote from: maddog on October 10, 2019, 04:26:19 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 10, 2019, 04:14:52 PM
Hopefully he's sold out the DUP!!

Are the words "unionist fury" just around the corner ?

Of course. There'll be a U-turn in the morning after Snarlene gives BoJo a good talking to.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 11, 2019, 04:45:27 AM
Quote from: mouview on October 11, 2019, 12:01:32 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 10, 2019, 04:48:09 PM
Is this all not typical of BoJo tho.
Appear to be leaning one way, then the other.

Fact is his support base is now the the ERG and co... so when he goes back to Downing St and is talking to Cummings et al he will be back on to the hard Brexit line..... prob all for someone to make money on the swings on the pound.... or maybe its just Boris getting caught up in the mood of the company that he is in at any one time.

Supposedly some cabinet ministers close to giving Bojo an ultimatum to ship Cummings out.

Aye Nicky Morgan, Cox etc.... but sure hes only trying to keep things half middling together.
Sounds of things he caved for Leo on something big... most likely NI... so hows he gonna sell that to the rest of his right wing cabinet and a healthy portion of his MPs? He cant...

Only way he can get this thru is with Jeremy Corbyns support as he will need  prob most Labour MPs to back it considering he will have lost the DUP the ERG, no way the LDs will vote for any type of Brexit, likewise SNP unless he includes Scotland in whatever NI gets not to mention the various MPs that left or got booted out of the party....cant see either of those happening.

Basically any deal he comes up with is gonna be in the same boat as May's deal.

By this time next week I dare say this chunk of light will be fairly well extinguished but he may keep it floating around as an excuse for an extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 11, 2019, 05:54:05 AM
Betting markets latest:

No deal Brexit in 2019: 9/2
Either withdrawal agreement ratified, Article 50 extended beyond 2019, or Article 50 revoked: 1/7

2nd EU referendum before 2020:
No: 1/100
Yes: 20/1

I'd say an extension of Article 50 is the most likely scenario here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 11, 2019, 08:52:47 AM
I suspect Bozo wants to have a good excuse for extending Art 50.
So "we're nearly there, need more time to finalise...."

6 Cos arrangements to be put to a Plebiscite?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 11, 2019, 09:11:29 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 11, 2019, 04:45:27 AM
Quote from: mouview on October 11, 2019, 12:01:32 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 10, 2019, 04:48:09 PM
Is this all not typical of BoJo tho.
Appear to be leaning one way, then the other.

Fact is his support base is now the the ERG and co... so when he goes back to Downing St and is talking to Cummings et al he will be back on to the hard Brexit line..... prob all for someone to make money on the swings on the pound.... or maybe its just Boris getting caught up in the mood of the company that he is in at any one time.

Supposedly some cabinet ministers close to giving Bojo an ultimatum to ship Cummings out.

Aye Nicky Morgan, Cox etc.... but sure hes only trying to keep things half middling together.
Sounds of things he caved for Leo on something big... most likely NI... so hows he gonna sell that to the rest of his right wing cabinet and a healthy portion of his MPs? He cant...

Only way he can get this thru is with Jeremy Corbyns support as he will need  prob most Labour MPs to back it considering he will have lost the DUP the ERG, no way the LDs will vote for any type of Brexit, likewise SNP unless he includes Scotland in whatever NI gets not to mention the various MPs that left or got booted out of the party....cant see either of those happening.

Basically any deal he comes up with is gonna be in the same boat as May's deal.

By this time next week I dare say this chunk of light will be fairly well extinguished but he may keep it floating around as an excuse for an extension.

If Boris comes back with some modification on the customs alignment that doesn't mean checks at the border and meets Leo's and the EU's requirements then he'll be heavily reliant on a large body of Labour MP's to get it over the line and he just might get it.

There were enough soundings about bringing back Mays deal for a fourth time as you get the impression the body of both the Tories and Labour want this out of the way with as little economic impact as possible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: An Watcher on October 11, 2019, 07:50:13 PM
Are the DUP finally getting thrown under the bus? About time
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 11, 2019, 08:48:15 PM
I wouldn't be too sure just yet. Never trust Boris...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 11, 2019, 09:20:33 PM
I think Labour are in some diffs. A lot of their MPs represent constituencies that voted leave. If they scupper Bozo's plan to get out by 31 October they'll get hammered at the polls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 11, 2019, 09:48:54 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 11, 2019, 09:20:33 PM
I think Labour are in some diffs. A lot of their MPs represent constituencies that voted leave. If they scupper Bozo's plan to get out by 31 October they'll get hammered at the polls.

They can hardly leave in an orderly way by 31 October at this stage, they'll need an extension, there isn't time to pass all the legislation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on October 11, 2019, 10:53:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2019, 09:48:54 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 11, 2019, 09:20:33 PM
I think Labour are in some diffs. A lot of their MPs represent constituencies that voted leave. If they scupper Bozo's plan to get out by 31 October they'll get hammered at the polls.

They can hardly leave in an orderly way by 31 October at this stage, they'll need an extension, there isn't time to pass all the legislation.

You've taken it up all wrong. The deadline of the 31st is the no-deal or plan how Britain leaves the EU. Johnson's deal with the EU will be to continue in the institution for 2-3 years whilst final negotiations are concluded.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 11, 2019, 11:58:04 PM
Quote from: trileacman on October 11, 2019, 10:53:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2019, 09:48:54 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 11, 2019, 09:20:33 PM
I think Labour are in some diffs. A lot of their MPs represent constituencies that voted leave. If they scupper Bozo's plan to get out by 31 October they'll get hammered at the polls.

They can hardly leave in an orderly way by 31 October at this stage, they'll need an extension, there isn't time to pass all the legislation.

You've taken it up all wrong. The deadline of the 31st is the no-deal or plan how Britain leaves the EU. Johnson's deal with the EU will be to continue in the institution for 2-3 years whilst final negotiations are concluded.

No.... Once Article 50 is invoked you have the 2 years to get an agreement for arrangements after you leave. When the 2 years are up you leave the EU under the terms of that agreement (or ask for an extension for more time to come to an agreement.
After that you will be out under the terms of that agreement, and you can have further agreements on trade, security or whatever else you fancy.

31 Oct is the end of that 2 year period (plus extension) after invoking Article50. So if there is no agreement in place by then, there will be no deal. The UK will be out of the EU and trade will conducted on WTO terms. It is practically impossible to get a deal thru at this point. If BoJo is serious he will need an extension no matter what he says.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 12, 2019, 01:56:35 AM
Quote from: trileacman on October 11, 2019, 10:53:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 11, 2019, 09:48:54 PM
They can hardly leave in an orderly way by 31 October at this stage, they'll need an extension, there isn't time to pass all the legislation.

But even a move to the transition period requires some legislation, I would have thought. Nowhere near as much as no deal, but some legal loose ends to be tied up.
You've taken it up all wrong. The deadline of the 31st is the no-deal or plan how Britain leaves the EU. Johnson's deal with the EU will be to continue in the institution for 2-3 years whilst final negotiations are concluded.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: under the bar on October 12, 2019, 05:21:47 PM
The grotesque ditch-pig that is Arlene will be thrown to the wolves very soon.  Meanwhile the penguin-shagger and other waivers will be bought by Tory cash.  Dodds and Jeffrey have been chosen as the men to sell defeat to the DUPed sheep.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 12, 2019, 05:39:53 PM
Quote from: under the bar on October 12, 2019, 05:21:47 PM
The grotesque ditch-pig that is Arlene will be thrown to the wolves very soon. Meanwhile the penguin-shagger and other waivers will be bought by Tory cash.  Dodds and Jeffrey have been chosen as the men to sell defeat to the DUPed sheep.

Once Brexit and RHI is done and dusted she will be toast.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 13, 2019, 11:36:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 12, 2019, 05:39:53 PM
Quote from: under the bar on October 12, 2019, 05:21:47 PM
The grotesque ditch-pig that is Arlene will be thrown to the wolves very soon. Meanwhile the penguin-shagger and other waivers will be bought by Tory cash.  Dodds and Jeffrey have been chosen as the men to sell defeat to the DUPed sheep.

Once Brexit and RHI is done and dusted she will be toast.

And what then takes her place? DUP isn't exactly a hotbed of moderation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2019, 12:34:23 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 12, 2019, 05:39:53 PM
Quote from: under the bar on October 12, 2019, 05:21:47 PM
The grotesque ditch-pig that is Arlene will be thrown to the wolves very soon. Meanwhile the penguin-shagger and other waivers will be bought by Tory cash.  Dodds and Jeffrey have been chosen as the men to sell defeat to the DUPed sheep.

Once Brexit and RHI is done and dusted she will be toast.
Brexit is a liability for the DUP now. If it goes to a second referendum it won't happen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 15, 2019, 09:26:44 AM
Quote from: mouview on October 13, 2019, 11:36:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 12, 2019, 05:39:53 PM
Quote from: under the bar on October 12, 2019, 05:21:47 PM
The grotesque ditch-pig that is Arlene will be thrown to the wolves very soon. Meanwhile the penguin-shagger and other waivers will be bought by Tory cash.  Dodds and Jeffrey have been chosen as the men to sell defeat to the DUPed sheep.

Once Brexit and RHI is done and dusted she will be toast.

And what then takes her place? DUP isn't exactly a hotbed of moderation.

You saying they need another FreeP moderator in charge?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on October 15, 2019, 10:40:10 AM
Ian Og or Nelson?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 15, 2019, 05:23:39 PM
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/politics/2019/oct/15/boris-johnson-close-to-brexit-deal-after-border-concessions
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 15, 2019, 06:18:00 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 15, 2019, 05:23:39 PM
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/politics/2019/oct/15/boris-johnson-close-to-brexit-deal-after-border-concessions

Is tonight where the DUP and Bus meet?  Time to get the popcorn out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on October 15, 2019, 10:05:20 PM
I saw this comment from Arlene, it is from a few days ago.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-deal-that-works-for-everyone-eminently-possible-claims-dups-arlene-foster-37399448.html

"I hope that there is realism that you cannot separate out part of a nation from the rest of the nation," Mrs Foster said.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 15, 2019, 10:08:08 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on October 11, 2019, 07:50:13 PM
Are the DUP finally getting thrown under the bus? About time

Preferably a Wright bus
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 15, 2019, 10:21:48 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 15, 2019, 10:08:08 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on October 11, 2019, 07:50:13 PM
Are the DUP finally getting thrown under the bus? About time

Preferably a Wright bus

Ulster will be Wright.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 15, 2019, 10:31:37 PM
A lot of talk  that they're close deal in principle and there could be a legal text tomorrow...sounds like an NI only backstop.

I dare say IF they get there it will be another Parliament numbers game.... after an imminent extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 15, 2019, 11:09:16 PM
Any room in there for a possible Second Referendum ? How would it come about?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on October 15, 2019, 11:23:19 PM
Quote from: dec on October 15, 2019, 10:05:20 PM
I saw this comment from Arlene, it is from a few days ago.

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/brexit-deal-that-works-for-everyone-eminently-possible-claims-dups-arlene-foster-37399448.html

"I hope that there is realism that you cannot separate out part of a nation from the rest of the nation," Mrs Foster said.

The DUP is abandoning its support for partition?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 16, 2019, 08:25:04 AM
DUP not happy with the deal according to reports.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 16, 2019, 08:54:31 AM
Am I the only one who thinks this is a bit pointless. What deal can Bojo get passed with a working majority of -48 in the commons (from memory). Labour will vote against any deal. SNP and Lib Dems same. Whether the DUP or ERG are on board this deal has very little chance of passing. He simply doesn't have the numbers. I'd say we are in extension then GE territory.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 16, 2019, 09:32:15 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 16, 2019, 08:54:31 AM
Am I the only one who thinks this is a bit pointless. What deal can Bojo get passed with a working majority of -48 in the commons (from memory). Labour will vote against any deal. SNP and Lib Dems same. Whether the DUP or ERG are on board this deal has very little chance of passing. He simply doesn't have the numbers. I'd say we are in extension then GE territory.

I don't think there is a deal to pass. They are making out there is so that when the extension is asked for he doesn't have to look for a ditch to lay down in and he can say "look i tried my best". Could be 100% wrong but we will see
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 16, 2019, 09:41:43 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 16, 2019, 08:54:31 AM
Am I the only one who thinks this is a bit pointless. What deal can Bojo get passed with a working majority of -48 in the commons (from memory). Labour will vote against any deal. SNP and Lib Dems same. Whether the DUP or ERG are on board this deal has very little chance of passing. He simply doesn't have the numbers. I'd say we are in extension then GE territory.

DUP are being told to toe the line or face a border poll. They will do what they are told. The ERG will go with the deal instead of extending and facing a GE. Then they will get the MPs back online that have left and they may just have the numbers to get a deal over the line.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on October 16, 2019, 09:52:27 AM
I wouldn't be surprised if the SNP are being offered another referendum in order to get them onside.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 16, 2019, 10:02:19 AM
Quote from: ardtole on October 16, 2019, 09:52:27 AM
I wouldn't be surprised if the SNP are being offered another referendum in order to get them onside.

Irrespective of what Corbyn says I think there's enough Labour MP's sitting in pro Brexit seats scared enough to vote through the Boris (Canada -) deal.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 16, 2019, 10:47:59 AM
All reports seem to be that there is no support for this deal from the DUP and then by extension the ERG. Boris is looking for a ditch to die in.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 16, 2019, 10:53:23 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 16, 2019, 10:47:59 AM
All reports seem to be that there is no support for this deal from the DUP and then by extension the ERG. Boris is looking for a ditch to die in.

Yeah, seems to be a lot of backtracking this morning.  DUP  must have spoke to their buddies in East Belfast and decided it's a non-runner...unless they get millions and millions.

No deal back on..as they look for someone to blame.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on October 16, 2019, 11:23:53 AM
Brexit fatigue might be a saviour. Get this done by Halloween and literally the Parliament can breathe again.
What better deal is any PM gonna get.
Another referendum will drag this nonsense out for years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 16, 2019, 11:47:43 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 16, 2019, 10:53:23 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 16, 2019, 10:47:59 AM
All reports seem to be that there is no support for this deal from the DUP and then by extension the ERG. Boris is looking for a ditch to die in.

Yeah, seems to be a lot of backtracking this morning.  DUP  must have spoke to their buddies in East Belfast and decided it's a non-runner...unless they get millions and millions.

No deal back on..as they look for someone to blame.
The livelihoods and future of 500,000,000 people depending on the whim of murdering, drug dealing, criminal scum from a 17th century backwater.
You couldn't make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 16, 2019, 12:33:18 PM
Quote from: Aaron Boone on October 16, 2019, 11:23:53 AM
Brexit fatigue might be a saviour. Get this done by Halloween and literally the Parliament can breathe again.
What better deal is any PM gonna get.
Another referendum will drag this nonsense out for years.

Absolutely none and I include Corbyn in that.

The Moggster has made comments to that effect recently as well and if he tells the ERG it's this deal or no Brexit then they'll go for it irrespective of the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 16, 2019, 01:31:49 PM
Tony Connelly (RTE) says DUP now on board.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 16, 2019, 01:32:43 PM
Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
·
10m
BREAKING: two senior EU sources say the main stumbling block to a deal has been removed with the DUP accepting the latest proposals on consent... Optimism a deal can now be done...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyHarp on October 16, 2019, 01:38:06 PM
If Boris gets this Deal through he'll win with a landslide in the General Election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on October 16, 2019, 01:39:03 PM
Arlene Foster
@DUPleader
'EU sources' are talking nonsense. Discussions continue.  Needs to be a sensible deal which unionists and nationalists can support.
Quote Tweet

Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
· 16m
BREAKING: two senior EU sources say the main stumbling block to a deal has been removed with the DUP accepting the latest proposals on consent... Optimism a deal can now be done...
1:34 PM · Oct 16, 2019·Twitter for iPhone
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 16, 2019, 01:42:40 PM
Quote from: pbat on October 16, 2019, 01:39:03 PM
Arlene Foster
@DUPleader
'EU sources' are talking nonsense. Discussions continue.  Needs to be a sensible deal which unionists and nationalists can support.
Quote Tweet

Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
· 16m
BREAKING: two senior EU sources say the main stumbling block to a deal has been removed with the DUP accepting the latest proposals on consent... Optimism a deal can now be done...
1:34 PM · Oct 16, 2019·Twitter for iPhone

Wee Seamy Bwyson won't answer the phone it seems.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 16, 2019, 02:23:59 PM
It seems like almost all of the DUP's communication is carried out through twitter nowadays with them constantly drip feeding statements. That way they cannot be held to scrutiny, it's a one way process. Get your message across with nobody on the other side to question it. They are loving all of the publicity and it has given them an inflated sense of worth and political status way above their actual mandate.

There have been some amount of lies peddled throughout this entire Brexit fiasco.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 16, 2019, 02:41:08 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 16, 2019, 02:23:59 PM
It seems like almost all of the DUP's communication is carried out through twitter nowadays with them constantly drip feeding statements. That way they cannot be held to scrutiny, it's a one way process. Get your message across with nobody on the other side to question it. They are loving all of the publicity and it has given them an inflated sense of worth and political status way above their actual mandate.

There have been some amount of lies peddled throughout this entire Brexit fiasco.

Has Sammy Wilson been sidelined from it all this past few weeks?  I though he was their main spokesperson on Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 16, 2019, 02:50:13 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 16, 2019, 02:41:08 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 16, 2019, 02:23:59 PM
It seems like almost all of the DUP's communication is carried out through twitter nowadays with them constantly drip feeding statements. That way they cannot be held to scrutiny, it's a one way process. Get your message across with nobody on the other side to question it. They are loving all of the publicity and it has given them an inflated sense of worth and political status way above their actual mandate.

There have been some amount of lies peddled throughout this entire Brexit fiasco.

Has Sammy Wilson been sidelined from it all this past few weeks?  I though he was their main spokesperson on Brexit.

I'd imagine Sammy and Ian junior will have a lot of egg on their faces by the time the process is over. To think that Sammy was an economics teacher at one point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 16, 2019, 05:46:42 PM
Quote from: BennyHarp on October 16, 2019, 01:38:06 PM
If Boris gets this Deal through he'll win with a landslide in the General Election.

It'll be Churchill status for sure, Sir Boris with a statue in Kensington park
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 16, 2019, 10:17:03 PM
The consent mechanism is baffling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 16, 2019, 11:03:10 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 11, 2019, 05:54:05 AM
Betting markets latest:

No deal Brexit in 2019: 9/2
Either withdrawal agreement ratified, Article 50 extended beyond 2019, or Article 50 revoked: 1/7

2nd EU referendum before 2020:
No: 1/100
Yes: 20/1

I'd say an extension of Article 50 is the most likely scenario here.

Update:

No deal Brexit in 2019: 11/2
Either withdrawal agreement ratified, Article 50 extended beyond 2019, or Article 50 revoked: 1/8
Article 50 extended and UK stays in EU beyond Oct 31: 1/4
UK to leave EU with a different withdrawal agreement: 24/5
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 17, 2019, 12:43:46 AM
QuoteArticle 50 extended and UK stays in EU beyond Oct 31: 1/4

This is the best bet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 17, 2019, 07:44:32 AM
Jim Wilson revealed that he met with the DUP yesterday over the Brexit deal and nearly exploded into a fit of rage on the Nolan show when asked. Who would have thought that the UVF would have an input into the outcome of the Brexit process and yet the Tories and ERG are still taking their lead from these people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 17, 2019, 08:47:05 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 17, 2019, 07:44:32 AM
Jim Wilson revealed that he met with the DUP yesterday over the Brexit deal and nearly exploded into a fit of rage on the Nolan show when asked. Who would have thought that the UVF would have an input into the outcome of the Brexit process and yet the Tories and ERG are still taking their lead from these people.

Jim was taught economics by a MR S Wilson so understands fully the legal text he was shown about customs and regulatory alignment and how it will pan out.

How desperate are the DUP?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 17, 2019, 08:50:54 AM
DUP now not on board. They really have painted themselves into a corner. Who knows where we will end up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:19:35 AM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 17, 2019, 07:44:32 AM
Jim Wilson revealed that he met with the DUP yesterday over the Brexit deal and nearly exploded into a fit of rage on the Nolan show when asked. Who would have thought that the UVF would have an input into the outcome of the Brexit process and yet the Tories and ERG are still taking their lead from these people.

It's f**king mental.

Quote from: trailer on October 17, 2019, 08:50:54 AM
DUP now not on board. They really have painted themselves into a corner. Who knows where we will end up.

Johnson resigns or eats humble pie and asks for extension. If he does, the EU should tell him only if election or ref.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: uimhr ocht on October 17, 2019, 09:39:18 AM
The DUP wrecked Mays deal and now johnsons deal, the power they have is ridiculous south belfast,north belfast,east belfast,those areas could easily get rid of three DUP mps is a must at the next election.Hope there will be an extension and the DUP will get a alot of stick for not leaving on 31 oct.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 17, 2019, 09:46:56 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 16, 2019, 10:17:03 PM
The consent mechanism is baffling.

Only way it would work would be an NI only referendum.

Otherwise the petition of concern in Stormont means one side will dictate over the other - and the side that wins is dependent on whether the default is to stick with status quo or not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 17, 2019, 09:54:24 AM
Quote from: uimhr ocht on October 17, 2019, 09:39:18 AM
The DUP wrecked Mays deal and now johnsons deal, the power they have is ridiculous south belfast,north belfast,east belfast,those areas could easily get rid of three DUP mps is a must at the next election.Hope there will be an extension and the DUP will get a alot of stick for not leaving on 31 oct.

No surprise that Ulster yet again says 'No'. I'm sure the ERG are fairly glaring at them this morning. The rabid right-wing English press can go after Arlene and Nigel instead of Leo for a change.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on October 17, 2019, 10:06:15 AM
I have 2 theories on the DUP. 1 is that they will continue to shout No No No until the last minute and then finally back the deal. They will say the fought to the end and got necessary consession from the government

2 is that they realise they are in a no win situation and will continue to oppose any deal in the hope of a ref to cancel brexit. Then they can walk out with their heads held and say we fought until the end.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on October 17, 2019, 10:20:25 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 17, 2019, 10:06:15 AM
I have 2 theories on the DUP. 1 is that they will continue to shout No No No until the last minute and then finally back the deal. They will say the fought to the end and got necessary consession from the government

2 is that they realise they are in a no win situation and will continue to oppose any deal in the hope of a ref to cancel brexit. Then they can walk out with their heads held and say we fought until the end.

I would believe in the second theory, Boris more or less implied if your not for his Brexit plans your against Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 17, 2019, 10:41:49 AM
AGREED!!!!

Let the fun and games begin . . . nobody's f**king seen it yet there's going to be pandemonium now!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on October 17, 2019, 10:44:31 AM
Did Reese Mogg not say that he would be surprised if the DUP won't back this deal?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gabriel_Hurl on October 17, 2019, 10:45:11 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 17, 2019, 10:41:49 AM
AGREED!!!!

Let the fun and games begin . . . nobody's f**king seen it yet there's going to be pandemonium now!!

Not so fast - DUP not on board  ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 17, 2019, 10:45:35 AM
https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/brexit-deal-has-been-done-eu-official-38604208.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bannside on October 17, 2019, 10:47:53 AM
Mental. EU and Boris going live saying deal has been agreed. DUP saying its not done yet! More fun and games!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 17, 2019, 10:55:19 AM
Are the DUPUDA in overall charge ir what?😃
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on October 17, 2019, 10:55:40 AM
Deal done but sky news saying it won't be backed by DUP. Will likely struggle to get through the commons. Wile mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GetOverTheBar on October 17, 2019, 11:05:07 AM
It's a deal.

Am I mistaken in thinking the DUP 10 votes are probably irrelevant since the overwhelming amount of UK MPs wanted a deal?

Depending on the make up and text obviously, but shouldn't it get through if vaguely acceptable?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on October 17, 2019, 11:06:55 AM
Quote from: GetOverTheBar on October 17, 2019, 11:05:07 AM
It's a deal.

Am I mistaken in thinking the DUP 10 votes are probably irrelevant since the overwhelming amount of UK MPs wanted a deal?

Depending on the make up and text obviously, but shouldn't it get through if vaguely acceptable?

From what I've read, the right wing of the Tories won't accept a deal unless the DUP are happy with it. So they have more power than their 10 seats would suggest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 11:09:37 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 17, 2019, 08:50:54 AM
DUP now not on board. They really have painted themselves into a corner. Who knows where we will end up.
It looks like a repeat of the ILA but on a far bigger scale. The DUP insiders negotiate a deal but then get cold feet because they are afraid of the reaction from their voters.
The DNA of the party is the problem.   

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-dup-s-bizarre-aloofness-towards-its-voters-threatens-brexit-efforts-1.4052874
A small team of senior DUP figures negotiate what they clearly believe to be the best outcome possible given the circumstances, notwithstanding previous opportunities wasted, but the outcome is still sprung on colleagues and supporters. Even those not surprised are still shocked.
Chief whip Jeffrey Donaldson had dropped hints to the media about a limited regulatory sea border but that was the extent of the forewarning of the shift in position on the backstop.
The DUP's main plan to present a Brexit deal as victory is to parade a large bag of money back to Northern Ireland. But as Sinn Féin knew 25 years ago, a parade without preparation risks becoming a farce.
There have been three years to engage with the public since the EU referendum and two years since the UK government first agreed to the backstop. The DUP could have spent that time bracing its voters for the inevitable compromise, owning the concept of special status and finessing the distinction between a sea border and a border administered beside the sea. Instead, it portrayed any unique treatment for Northern Ireland as the end of the union. There will be no slinking around this to carp from the sidelines – the DUP is at the heart of it, and always has been.
Centre-ground supporters of the backstop promoted it as the best of both worlds, a halfway house between the UK and the EU that could give Northern Ireland a long-term future. But it is barely plausible the DUP can get away with the cynicism of suddenly claiming to have saved the union by weakening it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on October 17, 2019, 11:09:38 AM
Labour have stated this morning that they will back the deal if if includes a people's referendum
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on October 17, 2019, 11:10:37 AM
Quote from: five points on October 17, 2019, 11:06:55 AM
Quote from: GetOverTheBar on October 17, 2019, 11:05:07 AM
It's a deal.

Am I mistaken in thinking the DUP 10 votes are probably irrelevant since the overwhelming amount of UK MPs wanted a deal?

Depending on the make up and text obviously, but shouldn't it get through if vaguely acceptable?

From what I've read, the right wing of the Tories won't accept a deal unless the DUP are happy with it. So they have more power than their 10 seats would suggest.
Yeah as far as I know there are tory and maybe even some labour brexiteers who will align to whatever the DUP want.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 11:11:36 AM
Quote from: GetOverTheBar on October 17, 2019, 11:05:07 AM
It's a deal.

Am I mistaken in thinking the DUP 10 votes are probably irrelevant since the overwhelming amount of UK MPs wanted a deal?

Depending on the make up and text obviously, but shouldn't it get through if vaguely acceptable?
not if there is divergence away from EU standards on labour and food.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GetOverTheBar on October 17, 2019, 11:15:47 AM
Quote from: markl121 on October 17, 2019, 11:10:37 AM
Quote from: five points on October 17, 2019, 11:06:55 AM
Quote from: GetOverTheBar on October 17, 2019, 11:05:07 AM
It's a deal.

Am I mistaken in thinking the DUP 10 votes are probably irrelevant since the overwhelming amount of UK MPs wanted a deal?

Depending on the make up and text obviously, but shouldn't it get through if vaguely acceptable?

From what I've read, the right wing of the Tories won't accept a deal unless the DUP are happy with it. So they have more power than their 10 seats would suggest.
Yeah as far as I know there are tory and maybe even some labour brexiteers who will align to whatever the DUP want.

Perhaps the Labour crossover support can neutralise that?

Suppose the real politics only starts now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 11:24:53 AM
Swinson and Corbyn rejecting it out of hand, Boris will need the tory rebels, and Labour MP's defying the whip.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 17, 2019, 11:25:24 AM
Quote from: markl121 on October 17, 2019, 11:10:37 AM
Quote from: five points on October 17, 2019, 11:06:55 AM
Quote from: GetOverTheBar on October 17, 2019, 11:05:07 AM
It's a deal.

Am I mistaken in thinking the DUP 10 votes are probably irrelevant since the overwhelming amount of UK MPs wanted a deal?

Depending on the make up and text obviously, but shouldn't it get through if vaguely acceptable?

From what I've read, the right wing of the Tories won't accept a deal unless the DUP are happy with it. So they have more power than their 10 seats would suggest.
Yeah as far as I know there are tory and maybe even some labour brexiteers who will align to whatever the DUP want.

Sod all from Labour I'd say, bar that poisonous witch Kate Hoey. Hard-line Tories won't back the DUP, they'll fling them under the autobus in case they find themselves thrown there. Going to be a fair battle now to attach a 2nd ref. to it through the HoC.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 11:36:02 AM
It wouldn't matter what deal Tories came back with Libs, SNP, Labour would vote it down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 11:42:15 AM
Northern Ireland Assembly - which doesn't sit given a big role!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 17, 2019, 11:42:43 AM
In fairness to Boris he's gone all in now!

If the deal doesn't pass Parliament he has to go for the extension and the General Election.

If that's the case he can't run on a No Deal platform he'll have to campaign on his deal which brings the Brexit Party into play! They haven't said it yet but there's no way they're going for it which rules out an election pact.

The numbers in the commons is key he's currently -45 votes ... there's a good chance he'll get a chunk of the 21 back but can he convince enough Labour MP's to go for it and can he talk the DUP round??

I'm waiting for someone with more knowledge of the detail to confirm it to me but does anyone know what exactly this means for the North??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 11:50:38 AM
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/sites/beta-political/files/revised_withdrawal_agreement_including_protocol_on_ireland_and_nothern_ireland.pdf (https://ec.europa.eu/commission/sites/beta-political/files/revised_withdrawal_agreement_including_protocol_on_ireland_and_nothern_ireland.pdf)

Looks like a de facto border down the Irish Sea during the transition period and if transition rolls on and on then the assembly have a vote every 4 years, which simply needs a one vote majority so no one party can veto.  NI aligned to EU single market in the interim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: WT4E on October 17, 2019, 11:53:15 AM
Sounds like the deal breaker for DUP is that us caffffflics have a say in what happens - they wanted a DUP veto

Lets be honest those planters that arrived and stole the land really are bunch of scumbags!!!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 11:57:54 AM
Johnston is to ask EU to reaffirm that it is this deal or no deal, so the Benn Act becomes obsolete.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: The Trap on October 17, 2019, 12:02:01 PM
Is anybody asking in DUP/UDA what happens next????

If the deal is presented to parliament and is rejected and Boris has to ask for an extension and a GE then he ain't going to campaign for support in Scotland and NI. He will go to England and Wales and ask for support to carry on without Scotland and NI and promote that fact that NI costs them more than the EU.

The voters will say F**k NI and the DUP, we don't want them holding us back.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on October 17, 2019, 12:05:40 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 17, 2019, 11:42:43 AM
In fairness to Boris he's gone all in now!

If the deal doesn't pass Parliament he has to go for the extension and the General Election.

If that's the case he can't run on a No Deal platform he'll have to campaign on his deal which brings the Brexit Party into play! They haven't said it yet but there's no way they're going for it which rules out an election pact.

The numbers in the commons is key he's currently -45 votes ... there's a good chance he'll get a chunk of the 21 back but can he convince enough Labour MP's to go for it and can he talk the DUP round??

I'm waiting for someone with more knowledge of the detail to confirm it to me but does anyone know what exactly this means for the North??

One of them has since joined the Lib Dems.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 12:11:32 PM
It looks like No Deal was kicked into touch
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 17, 2019, 12:13:27 PM
Ulster Bank's chief economist . . .

QuoteRichard Ramsey
@Ramseconomics

A good deal for hard Brexiteers. A bad deal for advocates of a soft Brexit and Remainers. Significantly worse for the NI economy than May's deal. More bureaucracy, red tape & complexity.  Adding to the costs of doing business. NI to become a spectator on any UK trade deals?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 12:19:50 PM
Ian-Duncan Smith not impressed!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 17, 2019, 12:27:33 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 17, 2019, 11:42:43 AM
In fairness to Boris he's gone all in now!

If the deal doesn't pass Parliament he has to go for the extension and the General Election.

If that's the case he can't run on a No Deal platform he'll have to campaign on his deal which brings the Brexit Party into play! They haven't said it yet but there's no way they're going for it which rules out an election pact.

The numbers in the commons is key he's currently -45 votes ... there's a good chance he'll get a chunk of the 21 back but can he convince enough Labour MP's to go for it and can he talk the DUP round??

I'm waiting for someone with more knowledge of the detail to confirm it to me but does anyone know what exactly this means for the North??
I'm assuming parliament will reject this deal.
The conservatives can't function as a majority government now, there's a stalemate, there needs to be a general election. All polls point to  a conservative victory in an election with Johnson at the helm. The conservatives will peddle this "deal" on their platform  thereby reducing support for the brexit party at the polls, they'll gain a safe majority and pass the deal into law. The general english population are completely ignorant about NI and the UDP and couldn't care less if their veto is shafted on the "deal".

Afaiu,  PM Johnson only needs to gets the queen's consent in order to call for a snap election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on October 17, 2019, 12:36:35 PM
I've said for a long time that the only possible deal is an NI only Backstop with a renewable timelimit. This is exactly that, under a different name. And a key difference to the May deal. But even whether it gets through is looking dicey.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 12:39:52 PM
Ian Duncan Smith really isn't on board with this, if that is the case how many more of the ERG aren't!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on October 17, 2019, 12:59:21 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 12:39:52 PM
Ian Duncan Smith really isn't on board with this, if that is the case how many more of the ERG aren't!

Bit of catch 22 here with the DUP, when the ERG needed them in terms of the numbers they were hardline on the customs border etc Now that the DUP need the ERG (even though they really couldnt care less about them or NI) they cant/ wont be seen to sell them out.

Going to be tricky to get it through parliament, Lib Dems seem to be pinning their hopes that a second referendum will be attached to an approval of the deal to give final say back to the people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 02:07:37 PM
IDS said if EU affirm it is this deal or no deal, those who prefer no deal, like him won't back it!  Maybe it is Bojo's master plan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 02:19:26 PM
Junker just confirmed there will be no extension - it could all get very messy - so 31st October UK is out deal or no deal, enjoy the trick and treating folks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 17, 2019, 02:26:17 PM
Suspect no deal is coming so >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on October 17, 2019, 02:27:41 PM
This is what Boris wanted. He always wanted a no deal brexit.

He goes to Brussels and then says there is a deal that he knows will not get through Parliament. It's the second deal the EU has had to negotiate. BJ is going to speak to the EU leaders and tell them to say no to an extension (Junker had apparently said no extension will be given) so the opposition's law by which he has to ask for an extension will be avoided. That leaves parliament with either BJ deal or No deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on October 17, 2019, 02:43:28 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on October 17, 2019, 02:27:41 PM
This is what Boris wanted. He always wanted a no deal brexit.

He goes to Brussels and then says there is a deal that he knows will not get through Parliament. It's the second deal the EU has had to negotiate. BJ is going to speak to the EU leaders and tell them to say no to an extension (Junker had apparently said no extension will be given) so the opposition's law by which he has to ask for an extension will be avoided. That leaves parliament with either BJ deal or No deal.

And this will suit BJ and all his financial backers in the City who have money riding on leaving.
Not to mention the new European law coming in January which would mean it wuold be more difficult to hide money in off shore accounts.

You couldnt make it up - BJ is the most devious bastid the HOC has ever seen and that is saying something.

Pity the Scum reading side of the population cant see him what he is for.

I would love to sit back and let them reap what they have sown if it didnt put NI into a complete quagmire
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 17, 2019, 02:44:11 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on October 17, 2019, 02:27:41 PM
This is what Boris wanted. He always wanted a no deal brexit.

He goes to Brussels and then says there is a deal that he knows will not get through Parliament. It's the second deal the EU has had to negotiate. BJ is going to speak to the EU leaders and tell them to say no to an extension (Junker had apparently said no extension will be given) so the opposition's law by which he has to ask for an extension will be avoided. That leaves parliament with either BJ deal or No deal.

May have to accede to a bill amendment then allowing a second ref. on it for Labour/Opposition to support it. In which case, BJ and government could vote against their own agreement as they (Cummings) apparently would prefer No Deal than one with a Referendum attached. You could not make this up! Kind of boxes Labour in a bit though now. I can understand the EU and Brussels' frustration with the whole Brexit saga, but they shouldn't have stated that it's this deal or none, and no extension. Plays into BJ's hands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 17, 2019, 02:48:31 PM
Yet another Twitter statement release from the DUP.

This is their new form of media since they have lost the ability to move their mouths. Limited tv and radio appearances, they now communicate predominantly through twitter. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on October 17, 2019, 02:48:55 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 17, 2019, 02:44:11 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on October 17, 2019, 02:27:41 PM
This is what Boris wanted. He always wanted a no deal brexit.

He goes to Brussels and then says there is a deal that he knows will not get through Parliament. It's the second deal the EU has had to negotiate. BJ is going to speak to the EU leaders and tell them to say no to an extension (Junker had apparently said no extension will be given) so the opposition's law by which he has to ask for an extension will be avoided. That leaves parliament with either BJ deal or No deal.

May have to accede to a bill amendment then allowing a second ref. on it for Labour/Opposition to support it. In which case, BJ and government could vote against their own agreement as they (Cummings) apparently would prefer No Deal than one with a Referendum attached. You could not make this up! Kind of boxes Labour in a bit though now. I can understand the EU and Brussels' frustration with the whole Brexit saga, but they shouldn't have stated that it's this deal or none, and no extension. Plays into BJ's hands.
Yeah, but when does enough become enough for them? Clearly the whole thing has dragged on too long and the EU just want it done with. The French in particular have been going bonkers about it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on October 17, 2019, 02:52:45 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on October 17, 2019, 02:48:55 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 17, 2019, 02:44:11 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on October 17, 2019, 02:27:41 PM
This is what Boris wanted. He always wanted a no deal brexit.

He goes to Brussels and then says there is a deal that he knows will not get through Parliament. It's the second deal the EU has had to negotiate. BJ is going to speak to the EU leaders and tell them to say no to an extension (Junker had apparently said no extension will be given) so the opposition's law by which he has to ask for an extension will be avoided. That leaves parliament with either BJ deal or No deal.

May have to accede to a bill amendment then allowing a second ref. on it for Labour/Opposition to support it. In which case, BJ and government could vote against their own agreement as they (Cummings) apparently would prefer No Deal than one with a Referendum attached. You could not make this up! Kind of boxes Labour in a bit though now. I can understand the EU and Brussels' frustration with the whole Brexit saga, but they shouldn't have stated that it's this deal or none, and no extension. Plays into BJ's hands.
Yeah, but when does enough become enough for them? Clearly the whole thing has dragged on too long and the EU just want it done with. The French in particular have been going bonkers about it.

That's what the UK have tried to do for the last few months - frustrate the EU enough to look like they are the ones holding UK back and it will certainly be the stance the government takes. There is going to be a serious about of fall out over this and the EU will sit back laughing.

The ERG have shown more than anything this last few days how useless they actually are. They are following what the DUP want - hopefully it is a facade to keep them happy for now.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 03:54:06 PM
If a no deal occurs Jo Swinson must take responsibility - she was the only one refusing to put Corbyn in as caretaker PM, completely deluded and full of herself based on nonsensical European Election protest votes!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on October 17, 2019, 04:07:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 17, 2019, 02:48:31 PM
Yet another Twitter statement release from the DUP.

This is their new form of media since they have lost the ability to move their mouths. Limited tv and radio appearances, they now communicate predominantly through twitter.

Someone should tell them there are gay folks, catholics and Irish people using twitter...they'll be off it quick enough
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 17, 2019, 04:13:03 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 17, 2019, 11:42:43 AM
In fairness to Boris he's gone all in now!

If the deal doesn't pass Parliament he has to go for the extension and the General Election.

If that's the case he can't run on a No Deal platform he'll have to campaign on his deal which brings the Brexit Party into play! They haven't said it yet but there's no way they're going for it which rules out an election pact.

The numbers in the commons is key he's currently -45 votes ... there's a good chance he'll get a chunk of the 21 back but can he convince enough Labour MP's to go for it and can he talk the DUP round??

I'm waiting for someone with more knowledge of the detail to confirm it to me but does anyone know what exactly this means for the North??

'May you live in interesting times'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 17, 2019, 04:13:31 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 02:19:26 PM
Junker just confirmed there will be no extension - it could all get very messy - so 31st October UK is out deal or no deal, enjoy the trick and treating folks.

1.  That's not what he said.
2.  It's not his call to make.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on October 17, 2019, 04:19:22 PM
A "simple majority" vote in Stormont every 4 years... since when has that been a feature of government here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyroneman on October 17, 2019, 04:39:06 PM
Quote from: lurganblue on October 17, 2019, 04:19:22 PM
A "simple majority" vote in Stormont every 4 years... since when has that been a feature of government here?

Simple politics have been the ONLY politics here....vote for us and it stops themmuns
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 04:42:42 PM
FT saying that the feeling is now that Johnson will not have a majority on Saturday
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 17, 2019, 04:43:42 PM
What then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 17, 2019, 04:50:08 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 17, 2019, 04:43:42 PM
What then?

Guy Fawkes had the right idea........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/2f5c92a2-f0d6-11e9-bfa4-b25f11f42901

   "James Forsyth in The Spectator has a good assessment of where the problem lies. He says Mark Spencer, the Conservative chief whip, calculated last night that if the DUP backs Mr Johnson, the government will win on Saturday with a majority of just one.

That majority would be made up of all Tory MPs, 15 independent Conservatives, the DUP plus nine Labour rebels in Leave constituencies who would be defying their own party whip."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 04:54:08 PM
Aguisin

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/10/17/nicola-sturgeon-says-unfair-brexit-deal-means-scots-must-have/

Ms Sturgeon said the deal would leave Scotland at a competitive disadvantage with Northern Ireland and it was "democratically unacceptable" for Scotland to be facing an outcome it did not vote for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 05:07:17 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/oct/17/boris-johnsons-plans-fall-apart
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 17, 2019, 05:11:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 04:51:21 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/2f5c92a2-f0d6-11e9-bfa4-b25f11f42901

   "James Forsyth in The Spectator has a good assessment of where the problem lies. He says Mark Spencer, the Conservative chief whip, calculated last night that if the DUP backs Mr Johnson, the government will win on Saturday with a majority of just one.

That majority would be made up of all Tory MPs, 15 independent Conservatives, the DUP plus nine Labour rebels in Leave constituencies who would be defying their own party whip."

If that is the case and the DUP are potential dealmakers then expect the DUP to come under serious political pressure to back the deal in the UK media. They face a choice whether to appease their own hardline base and vote it down but then they could be seen in middle England as the party that thwarted Brexit altogether. Or vote for the deal and face the wrath of hardline loyalists and the orange order who they appear to have to run every big decision past instead of leading them. Back to where Theresa May was before the last meaningful vote but I don't see them budging.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 17, 2019, 05:50:31 PM
Tusk not ruling out an extension.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 17, 2019, 06:00:42 PM
Very good move by EU in seemingly rejecting an extension. Will it scare enough Labour into voting yes, or a No Deal will fall on their shoulders along with DUP. Boris I must say a lot smarter than I gave him credit for. Although he still could end up being the shortest PM in UK history. High stakes Saturday and then there's the rugby.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 06:05:27 PM
Martin Wolf in the FT calls the deal
monstrous and says there should be a  People's vote
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on October 17, 2019, 06:13:40 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 17, 2019, 04:50:08 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 17, 2019, 04:43:42 PM
What then?

Guy Fawkes had the right idea........

He didn't. They only tell us he had such ideas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ball Hopper on October 17, 2019, 06:23:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 06:05:27 PM
Martin Wolf in the FT calls the deal
monstrous and says there should be a  People's vote

Which of course is what should have happened in the first place.

1) Negotiate a deal...all 27 EU members agree
2) Referendum...exit deal or stay put in EU
3) If deal accepted, submit the Article 50 2 year notice of exit date
4) If deal rejected, no renegotiation for 10 years at least.

EU should have had these rules in place...not much solace now, but future exit attempts should be roadmapped without delay.

One other question, what would a nation have to do to get expelled from the EU?  Might be an easier path...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 17, 2019, 07:03:55 PM
Invading Poland might be a bit of a no-no.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 17, 2019, 07:42:56 PM
Quote from: Ball Hopper on October 17, 2019, 06:23:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 06:05:27 PM
Martin Wolf in the FT calls the deal
monstrous and says there should be a  People's vote

Which of course is what should have happened in the first place.

1) Negotiate a deal...all 27 EU members agree
2) Referendum...exit deal or stay put in EU
3) If deal accepted, submit the Article 50 2 year notice of exit date
4) If deal rejected, no renegotiation for 10 years at least.

EU should have had these rules in place...not much solace now, but future exit attempts should be roadmapped without delay.

One other question, what would a nation have to do to get expelled from the EU?  Might be an easier path...

Act like Poland and Hungary are doing now?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 17, 2019, 09:14:48 PM
Quote from: Ball Hopper on October 17, 2019, 06:23:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 17, 2019, 06:05:27 PM
Martin Wolf in the FT calls the deal
monstrous and says there should be a  People's vote

Which of course is what should have happened in the first place.

1) Negotiate a deal...all 27 EU members agree
2) Referendum...exit deal or stay put in EU
3) If deal accepted, submit the Article 50 2 year notice of exit date
4) If deal rejected, no renegotiation for 10 years at least.

EU should have had these rules in place...not much solace now, but future exit attempts should be roadmapped without delay.

One other question, what would a nation have to do to get expelled from the EU?  Might be an easier path...

Forgetting about the fact Cameron started this sorry mess, this was the way it should have been planned. Negotiate a deal and then have a referendum on that. But the Brits did it all arse about face. All what's ifs now and a serious f**king mess.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 17, 2019, 09:17:59 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 17, 2019, 09:14:48 PM
Forgetting about the fact Cameron started this sorry mess, this was the way it should have been planned. Negotiate a deal and then have a referendum on that. But the Brits did it all arse about face. All what's ifs now and a serious f**king mess.

The British should at least have decided what they wanted themselves, before triggering Article 50.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 17, 2019, 11:43:45 PM
Tight enough that the Shinners' empty seats come into play?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: drillsergeant on October 18, 2019, 02:19:37 AM
My figures have it the Deal will be rejected 321  - 318. Had 7Labour MPs voting in favour of the Deal however a few journalists are predicting 10-12 Labour could vote in favour, I still wouldn't rule out Boris edging this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 18, 2019, 05:09:59 AM
Quote from: drillsergeant on October 18, 2019, 02:19:37 AM
My figures have it the Deal will be rejected 321  - 318. Had 7Labour MPs voting in favour of the Deal however a few journalists are predicting 10-12 Labour could vote in favour, I still wouldn't rule out Boris edging this.

7 seems at the upper end...what has been the max number of labour rebels on Brexit? I think its was 5 for May's 3rd attempt. Over 10 seems unlikely but stranger things have happened..tho in saying that would it really be that tough of a sell in labour constituencies that are impoverished that this deal will erode your rights even more.

What sylvia hermon gonna do? Seems like a decent deal for NI

What's the chances of an approval referendum being squeezed into the ammendments?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 07:17:23 AM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.

That is because the DUP represents NI in westminister, nationalists don't nor will never have a voice as long as they vote for people not to take their seats in westminister or NI Assembly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 18, 2019, 07:44:27 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 07:17:23 AM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.

That is because the DUP represents NI in westminister, nationalists don't nor will never have a voice as long as they vote for people not to take their seats in westminister or NI Assembly.

And you think Sinn Fein taking their seats wouldn't make that place an even bigger circus? They would be ridiculed and sneared at even turn especially from the Conservative benches. Why would they put themselves in that position. They are elected as MPs on an abstentionist  policy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 07:58:43 AM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on October 18, 2019, 07:44:27 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 07:17:23 AM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.

That is because the DUP represents NI in westminister, nationalists don't nor will never have a voice as long as they vote for people not to take their seats in westminister or NI Assembly.

And you think Sinn Fein taking their seats wouldn't make that place an even bigger circus? They would be ridiculed and sneared at even turn especially from the Conservative benches. Why would they put themselves in that position. They are elected as MPs on an abstentionist  policy.

I was stating fact, maybe they should stand aside at the next election and give up their money to allow SDLP to represent nationalists.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 09:16:49 AM
The SNP hold nearly 70% of Scotland's Westminster seats.
Their Country voted 62/38 to remain.
How good a deal did they get from taking their seats?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 09:33:01 AM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.

I think you're forgetting the "great work" Martina Anderson has done for Sinn Fein in Brussels!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 18, 2019, 09:40:02 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 09:33:01 AM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.

I think you're forgetting the "great work" Martina Anderson has done for Sinn Fein in Brussels!!!

John Campbell of BBC NI, I think he's their Brexit Business expert said as much last night even if you are being sarcastic  ;D

Sinn Fein had a big say in the EU's Brexit steering committee as can be seen how the democratic mandate requested by the DUP/UK for the people of Northern Ireland was changed from what in reality was a DUP Veto to a simple majority in Stormont and far from a DUP veto.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 09:40:16 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 09:16:49 AM
The SNP hold nearly 70% of Scotland's Westminster seats.
Their Country voted 62/38 to remain.
How good a deal did they get from taking their seats?

They have and can influence whether the deal is passed, we all know Brexit is an English issue, and more importantly a Tory issue, they don't care about NI, Scotland or to a lesser extent Wales, this is all a power grab, a go down in history exercise, no matter what happens on Saturday what is clear is now the Tories will wipe the floor with Labour at the next election and this deal or no deal will pass. I was always hoping a second referendum would come down the line, that is now dead in the water, Corybn has always been a Eurosceptic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on October 18, 2019, 09:49:08 AM
John Campbell is an excellent commentator, always gets the kernel of the issue at hand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on October 18, 2019, 10:16:19 AM
It is 8/11 for the vote to pass tomorrow in HOC.

Surprised it is favourite considering the outcry about how shite it was yesterday.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Angelo on October 18, 2019, 10:31:35 AM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

You sure about that? They seem to have made a right balls of running it down there over the past 30 years. Their health service is deplorable, huge wealth inequality and a homeless crisis and that's without having to deal in a state where you have complications like legacies of the troubles, power sharing and DUP neanderthals.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on October 18, 2019, 11:09:54 AM
Mo money is now on BJ's plan being rejected by the english parliament, BJ asks for an extension, BJ calls an election, post election BJ enters a pact with Farage. BJ and Farage leave with no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 11:49:14 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 18, 2019, 05:09:59 AM
What sylvia hermon gonna do? Seems like a decent deal for NI

I interpret it as a significant step backward from the deal proposed ~2 years back. [when May thought she had a deal and the DUP scuppered it over the weekend after consulting the OO and UDA]

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 18, 2019, 11:55:35 AM
Genuine question here. Why do Unionists feel such a bond to the rest of the UK when they must know the reality is that majority of the UK don't want NI. Hanging around like a bad smell chasing after the girl that doesn't want them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 12:25:01 PM
Quote from: Angelo on October 18, 2019, 10:31:35 AM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

You sure about that? They seem to have made a right balls of running it down there over the past 30 years. Their health service is deplorable, huge wealth inequality and a homeless crisis and that's without having to deal in a state where you have complications like legacies of the troubles, power sharing and DUP neanderthals.

They have an economy. Fullstop. The north has very very little outside public services. The 2 parts of the island have diverged at rate of noughts over last 30 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 18, 2019, 12:25:22 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

We have plenty of terrible politicians no doubt - but to hold up the 26 as being any better is total horse shit.

Then look across the pond.
If Brexit has done anything it has exposed for the world to see, the lack of brains and talent within the British political class.

And then try looking across the other pond...  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: drillsergeant on October 18, 2019, 12:44:04 PM
Quote from: Taylor on October 18, 2019, 10:16:19 AM
It is 8/11 for the vote to pass tomorrow in HOC.

Surprised it is favourite considering the outcry about how shite it was yesterday.

Over the past 24 hours I've noticed a swing towards this deal. Most of the 'British' national newspapers covering the story seem to be in favour of this deal, however one of the newspapers I think it was The Times(correct me if am wrong) states 65% of leave and remain voters want there MPS to support this Deal. I did say last night that I could see Boris edging this, I can see most Labour MPS for Leave constituencies backing this because they face being destroyed in a general election. Someone did say how 'Lady' Hermon will vote on this? I actually see her voting for this deal, it's not the worse of deals for the north of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on October 18, 2019, 12:55:49 PM
Quote from: Angelo on October 18, 2019, 10:31:35 AM
You sure about that? They seem to have made a right balls of running it down there over the past 30 years. Their health service is deplorable, huge wealth inequality and a homeless crisis and that's without having to deal in a state where you have complications like legacies of the troubles, power sharing and DUP neanderthals.

Our health service is actually excellent in terms of actual care. Although there are serious problem with waiting lists and costs, to label the entire service as deplorable is laughable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on October 18, 2019, 12:57:37 PM
Quote from: drillsergeant on October 18, 2019, 12:44:04 PM

Over the past 24 hours I've noticed a swing towards this deal. Most of the 'British' national newspapers covering the story seem to be in favour of this deal, however one of the newspapers I think it was The Times(correct me if am wrong) states 65% of leave and remain voters want there MPS to support this Deal. I did say last night that I could see Boris edging this, I can see most Labour MPS for Leave constituencies backing this because they face being destroyed in a general election. Someone did say how 'Lady' Hermon will vote on this? I actually see her voting for this deal, it's not the worse of deals for the north of Ireland.

I think it will pass comfortably. The broad mass of politicians and people want Brexit put to bed once and for all. This is their chance. Expect a few dozen Labour abstentions.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:10:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 12:25:22 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

We have plenty of terrible politicians no doubt - but to hold up the 26 as being any better is total horse shit.

Then look across the pond.
If Brexit has done anything it has exposed for the world to see, the lack of brains and talent within the British political class.

And then try looking across the other pond...  ;D

Switch on RTE 1. Then switch on Radio Ulster. 10 mins will be enough to convince anyone that ROI is in a different league on all things political. Look at Varadkar and Coveney. They look like statesmen. Then look at Michelle O'Neill and Anderson. They look like and sound like fishwives.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Knock Yer Mucker In on October 18, 2019, 01:24:40 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:10:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 12:25:22 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

We have plenty of terrible politicians no doubt - but to hold up the 26 as being any better is total horse shit.

Then look across the pond.
If Brexit has done anything it has exposed for the world to see, the lack of brains and talent within the British political class.

And then try looking across the other pond...  ;D

Switch on RTE 1. Then switch on Radio Ulster. 10 mins will be enough to convince anyone that ROI is in a different league on all things political. Look at Varadkar and Coveney. They look like statesmen. Then look at Michelle O'Neill and Anderson. They look like and sound like fishwives.

You sound like a middle class snob. Sinn Finn leaders have come from the working class, their accents shouldn't lead you to an assumption, in the same way those in politics at the top end of it in Dublin have had their middle class education with their posher accents fool you either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:35:15 PM
Quote from: Knock Yer Mucker In on October 18, 2019, 01:24:40 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:10:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 12:25:22 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

We have plenty of terrible politicians no doubt - but to hold up the 26 as being any better is total horse shit.

Then look across the pond.
If Brexit has done anything it has exposed for the world to see, the lack of brains and talent within the British political class.

And then try looking across the other pond...  ;D

Switch on RTE 1. Then switch on Radio Ulster. 10 mins will be enough to convince anyone that ROI is in a different league on all things political. Look at Varadkar and Coveney. They look like statesmen. Then look at Michelle O'Neill and Anderson. They look like and sound like fishwives.

You sound like a middle class snob. Sinn Finn leaders have come from the working class, their accents shouldn't lead you to an assumption, in the same way those in politics at the top end of it in Dublin have had their middle class education with their posher accents fool you either.

Im as working class as they come mucker, born and bred Derry City council estate man all my life. Its not how they sound, its how they say it. "You can shove yer brexit where the sun don't shine". Come off it mucks, hardly convincing. I am defs not FG supporter but id say be very bad hearted of anyone to criticise the 2 lads in how they have dealt with Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on October 18, 2019, 01:38:12 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

Have you ever met a Healy Rae, Minister Michael Ring? Ever hear of Bertie Ahern? Such a stupid statement. Covney and Varadkar being made look good by the idiots in the Tory party thats all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:47:04 PM
Quote from: Itchy on October 18, 2019, 01:38:12 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

Have you ever met a Healy Rae, Minister Michael Ring? Ever hear of Bertie Ahern? Such a stupid statement. Covney and Varadkar being made look good by the idiots in the Tory party thats all.

We are talking about by and large comparisons ye eejit. Fire away there and give me a good example of NI politician who would compare favourably?

Jesus anyhow Bertie Ahern would outmaneuver most of them in his sleep
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on October 18, 2019, 01:48:46 PM
Will someone please tell Michelle o'neill to stop talking?! All I hear is blah blah blah United ireland, blah blah blah border poll. She's like the unionists who can't help but mention Norn Iron or the L word in a sentence.

Every time she opens her mouth, that border poll sails further away from the docks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2019, 01:49:12 PM
It isn't a question of accent, but what you say. Pearse Doherty has a good Ulster accent, but he sounds a lot more convincing than Anderson or O'Neill.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:52:50 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2019, 01:49:12 PM
It isn't a question of accent, but what you say. Pearse Doherty has a good Ulster accent, but he sounds a lot more convincing than Anderson or O'Neill.

Thank You. Someone understands
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 18, 2019, 01:56:15 PM
Odds of it's passing lengthening slightly again. A balancing act in the Tory party between the ERG and Tory rebels; former will come on board if the UK exits the FTA without delay and goes onto WTO (No Deal) rules. The latter are quite rightly afraid of this and are very reluctant to vote through deal. Can't see Grieve, Greening or Guto Bebb supporting BJ. Nor Philip Hammond, if he has any sense. Sammy Wilson being a particular nuisance (eh...to the ERG group) according to sources.

I hope and have a slight feeling that it will narrowly fail.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 02:06:21 PM
If they collapse everything at the end of 2020 does that mean the NI deal is fucked as well or does that kick in anyway??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bannside on October 18, 2019, 02:16:05 PM
As I see it....vote will fail tomorrow, BJ will send a letter asking for an extension, EU will grant this, meanwhile someone calls for a second referendum on the basis of what is actually contained in the deal. This referendum produces a remain result. All back to square one. Is this sequence realistic??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on October 18, 2019, 02:26:26 PM
Quote from: bannside on October 18, 2019, 02:16:05 PM
As I see it....vote will fail tomorrow, BJ will send a letter asking for an extension, EU will grant this, meanwhile someone calls for a second referendum on the basis of what is actually contained in the deal. This referendum produces a remain result. All back to square one. Is this sequence realistic??

Pipe dream stuff.

"Someone" calls for an referendum? Who?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2019, 02:42:05 PM
Prese ably, Westminster can pass a law requiring a referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Angelo on October 18, 2019, 03:53:57 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:10:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 12:25:22 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

We have plenty of terrible politicians no doubt - but to hold up the 26 as being any better is total horse shit.

Then look across the pond.
If Brexit has done anything it has exposed for the world to see, the lack of brains and talent within the British political class.

And then try looking across the other pond...  ;D

Switch on RTE 1. Then switch on Radio Ulster. 10 mins will be enough to convince anyone that ROI is in a different league on all things political. Look at Varadkar and Coveney. They look like statesmen. Then look at Michelle O'Neill and Anderson. They look like and sound like fishwives.

A chap writing fan mail to Kylie Minogue is statesmanlike? Right.

Some of the gaffes Varadkar has been involved in since he took office make him look as detached from the common man as can be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 03:58:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

How is it a terrible deal for NI?

No hard border
Close ties with main trading partner
Will benefit from any trading deals UK strikes
Strong chance companies will invest in NI due to links with EU and UK

Have I missed something?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 18, 2019, 04:02:25 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

But what would protect Irish economy if we got no deal. a border poll would have little chance if we became an economic basket case too, plus we would have been forced to put up a border to protect Irish agriculture. Gov did a good job of making Boris look like the bad guy as regards hard border. They will be praying this passes the HOC vote, or shit might really be hitting the fan soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on October 18, 2019, 04:04:38 PM
Quote from: Angelo on October 18, 2019, 03:53:57 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:10:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 12:25:22 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

We have plenty of terrible politicians no doubt - but to hold up the 26 as being any better is total horse shit.

Then look across the pond.
If Brexit has done anything it has exposed for the world to see, the lack of brains and talent within the British political class.

And then try looking across the other pond...  ;D

Switch on RTE 1. Then switch on Radio Ulster. 10 mins will be enough to convince anyone that ROI is in a different league on all things political. Look at Varadkar and Coveney. They look like statesmen. Then look at Michelle O'Neill and Anderson. They look like and sound like fishwives.

A chap writing fan mail to Kylie Minogue is statesmanlike? Right.

Some of the gaffes Varadkar has been involved in since he took office make him look as detached from the common man as can be.

I've always said it, Varadkar is a spineless arselicker. My opinion of him hasn't changed.

He does what he's told by Europe, regardless of the consequences for the economy/jobs/trade in the South or the North. He's no different than the DUP who will do anything to preserve their precious Union, regardless of the consequences.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:04:54 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 03:58:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

How is it a terrible deal for NI?

No hard border
Close ties with main trading partner
Will benefit from any trading deals UK strikes
Strong chance companies will invest in NI due to links with EU and UK

Have I missed something?

I am in agreement with yourself,  I was thinking why some thought it was a bad deal for NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on October 18, 2019, 04:06:55 PM
Isn't there a vote every four years for unionists to reject the agreement?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 04:09:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:04:54 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 03:58:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

How is it a terrible deal for NI?

No hard border
Close ties with main trading partner
Will benefit from any trading deals UK strikes
Strong chance companies will invest in NI due to links with EU and UK

Have I missed something?

I am in agreement with yourself,  I was thinking why some thought it was a bad deal for NI.

General rule is if the DUP don't like it then it must be good lol.

No fan of Boris or tories but it's stupid when the likes of Labour or snp come out and say the deal is horrible or worse than May's deal without stating any examples as to why its bad. Its almost child like, I don't like it, why, not saying why.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 04:10:16 PM
Every 4 years for a MAJORITY to reject the deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on October 18, 2019, 04:11:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:04:54 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 03:58:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

How is it a terrible deal for NI?

No hard border
Close ties with main trading partner
Will benefit from any trading deals UK strikes
Strong chance companies will invest in NI due to links with EU and UK

Have I missed something?

I am in agreement with yourself,  I was thinking why some thought it was a bad deal for NI.

Bad deal because everything you list we already currently enjoy, but now we're faced with bureaucracy getting goods into the North from GB which will drive up some costs of living.  So it's a net loss.  We would have a bit of an advantage over Eng Scot & Wales businesses trying to export into EU, but 4 yearly spiteful debate about which way to align will kill off investor interest.  But under the circumstances I'm tempted to think it's better than a No Deal and the Irish Sea border is another step in the right direction.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 18, 2019, 04:12:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

You hate SF - fair enough but you're blinkered by saying politicans in south are a class apart.  Look at the health service, the new children's hospital, not to mention the housing/ homelessness crisis.

Look at Boris across the way, then check out Mr. Trump in America - great characters who are in the top role.

I think you just want a dig at SF for whatever reason. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 18, 2019, 04:15:49 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 04:09:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:04:54 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 03:58:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

How is it a terrible deal for NI?

No hard border
Close ties with main trading partner
Will benefit from any trading deals UK strikes
Strong chance companies will invest in NI due to links with EU and UK

Have I missed something?

I am in agreement with yourself,  I was thinking why some thought it was a bad deal for NI.

General rule is if the DUP don't like it then it must be good lol.

No fan of Boris or tories but it's stupid when the likes of Labour or snp come out and say the deal is horrible or worse than May's deal without stating any examples as to why its bad. Its almost child like, I don't like it, why, not saying why.

True - seems it a lose for unionists and a win for nationalists...depending what side you're on but I don't think there are any winners.

It will play out a bit yet I'd say.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on October 18, 2019, 04:16:14 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 04:10:16 PM
Every 4 years for a MAJORITY to reject the deal.

A majority in Stormont?  Or a majority in Stormont amongst both communities? Or a referendum?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 18, 2019, 04:18:15 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on October 18, 2019, 04:16:14 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 04:10:16 PM
Every 4 years for a MAJORITY to reject the deal.

A majority in Stormont?  Or a majority in Stormont amongst both communities? Or a referendum?

Stormont I think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:18:39 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on October 18, 2019, 04:16:14 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 04:10:16 PM
Every 4 years for a MAJORITY to reject the deal.

A majority in Stormont?  Or a majority in Stormont amongst both communities? Or a referendum?

It's a simple one vote majority.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on October 18, 2019, 04:21:58 PM
That seems pretty risky.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on October 18, 2019, 04:23:48 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:18:39 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on October 18, 2019, 04:16:14 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 04:10:16 PM
Every 4 years for a MAJORITY to reject the deal.

A majority in Stormont?  Or a majority in Stormont amongst both communities? Or a referendum?

It's a simple one vote majority.

Which goes against the power sharing agreement
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 04:28:13 PM
Quote from: lurganblue on October 18, 2019, 04:23:48 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:18:39 PM
Quote from: Jell 0 Biafra on October 18, 2019, 04:16:14 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 04:10:16 PM
Every 4 years for a MAJORITY to reject the deal.

A majority in Stormont?  Or a majority in Stormont amongst both communities? Or a referendum?

It's a simple one vote majority.

Which goes against the power sharing agreement

Seems pretty straight forward vote  to me as the majority of NI people wanted to remain so there is no reason to think that the vote in 4 years will be any different
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 04:31:08 PM
It seems the Assembly is being recalled on Monday?
I presume it will fail to elect a Speaker and will be adjourned....??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 18, 2019, 04:49:47 PM
I'd be as pessimistic about brexit as the next but I can't see this ever being overturned in Stormont.

Nats + Non-Aligned + Level headed UU will always vote for it.

I can see this passing 60:40 plus in any vote.

I'd take my lead from the business community who have given it a cautious welcome.

Anecdotally, I have a work colleague who is a staunch DUP voter and brexiteer... his view is that Arlene needs to wise up and take it as the alternative is oblivion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 04:50:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 18, 2019, 09:40:02 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 09:33:01 AM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.

I think you're forgetting the "great work" Martina Anderson has done for Sinn Fein in Brussels!!!

John Campbell of BBC NI, I think he's their Brexit Business expert said as much last night even if you are being sarcastic  ;D

Sinn Fein had a big say in the EU's Brexit steering committee as can be seen how the democratic mandate requested by the DUP/UK for the people of Northern Ireland was changed from what in reality was a DUP Veto to a simple majority in Stormont and far from a DUP veto.
Afair the EU reps picked up on the negative importance of the DUP veto clause before a sneeze could be heard on rte about it. But in general most of the EU representatives I have heard interviewed have an understanding of the GFA and a great respect for it. It's all well and good  that Martina explains perspectives but these EU reps have the nous to understand the GFA, appreciate what it's all about and talk about it intelligently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 18, 2019, 04:51:55 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:10:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 12:25:22 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

We have plenty of terrible politicians no doubt - but to hold up the 26 as being any better is total horse shit.

Then look across the pond.
If Brexit has done anything it has exposed for the world to see, the lack of brains and talent within the British political class.

And then try looking across the other pond...  ;D

Switch on RTE 1. Then switch on Radio Ulster. 10 mins will be enough to convince anyone that ROI is in a different league on all things political. Look at Varadkar and Coveney. They look like statesmen. Then look at Michelle O'Neill and Anderson. They look like and sound like fishwives.

Two can play this cherry picking game.

Compare the Healy Raes to Conor Murphy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 18, 2019, 05:05:01 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 04:09:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:04:54 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 03:58:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

How is it a terrible deal for NI?

No hard border
Close ties with main trading partner
Will benefit from any trading deals UK strikes
Strong chance companies will invest in NI due to links with EU and UK

Have I missed something?

I am in agreement with yourself,  I was thinking why some thought it was a bad deal for NI.

General rule is if the DUP don't like it then it must be good lol.

No fan of Boris or tories but it's stupid when the likes of Labour or snp come out and say the deal is horrible or worse than May's deal without stating any examples as to why its bad. Its almost child like, I don't like it, why, not saying why.

Very silly to think that because DUP don't like it it must be good. This is a real issue, people aren't viewing this deal for what it is. You know when you see stuff like not available in NI and it pisses you off? Expect loads more of that. If it is available expect it to cost more.
Barriers to trade mean delay, that means extra costs, higher prices and ultimately uncompetitiveness.
But look let's see if it passes first.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 18, 2019, 05:06:38 PM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 04:50:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 18, 2019, 09:40:02 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 09:33:01 AM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.

I think you're forgetting the "great work" Martina Anderson has done for Sinn Fein in Brussels!!!

John Campbell of BBC NI, I think he's their Brexit Business expert said as much last night even if you are being sarcastic  ;D

Sinn Fein had a big say in the EU's Brexit steering committee as can be seen how the democratic mandate requested by the DUP/UK for the people of Northern Ireland was changed from what in reality was a DUP Veto to a simple majority in Stormont and far from a DUP veto.
Afair the EU reps picked up on the negative importance of the DUP veto clause before a sneeze could be heard on rte about it. But in general most of the EU representatives I have heard interviewed have an understanding of the GFA and a great respect for it. It's all well and good  that Martina explains perspectives but these EU reps have the nous to understand the GFA, appreciate what it's all about and talk about it intelligently.

I think all the Irish politicians of varying nationalist hue and shades of green (FG,FF,SF,SDLP,Lab) can compliment themselves on a job well done (so far). It's rare thing to see in Irish politics everyone towing the party line. They can tear lumps out of each other on other matters but they played this one very well and there was for the most part a united front at all times.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 18, 2019, 05:12:22 PM
Quote from: BennyCake on October 18, 2019, 04:04:38 PM
Quote from: Angelo on October 18, 2019, 03:53:57 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 01:10:17 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 12:25:22 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

We have plenty of terrible politicians no doubt - but to hold up the 26 as being any better is total horse shit.

Then look across the pond.
If Brexit has done anything it has exposed for the world to see, the lack of brains and talent within the British political class.

And then try looking across the other pond...  ;D

Switch on RTE 1. Then switch on Radio Ulster. 10 mins will be enough to convince anyone that ROI is in a different league on all things political. Look at Varadkar and Coveney. They look like statesmen. Then look at Michelle O'Neill and Anderson. They look like and sound like fishwives.

A chap writing fan mail to Kylie Minogue is statesmanlike? Right.

Some of the gaffes Varadkar has been involved in since he took office make him look as detached from the common man as can be.

I've always said it, Varadkar is a spineless arselicker. My opinion of him hasn't changed.

He does what he's told by Europe, regardless of the consequences for the economy/jobs/trade in the South or the North. He's no different than the DUP who will do anything to preserve their precious Union, regardless of the consequences.

I hear this opinion every now and again, but it was Ireland that created the fuss over the GFA, and the EU then ran with it - despite some thinking they would eventually throw us under the bus. I would have many issues with Varadkar, but I have rarely if ever seen an Irish leader (Coveney deserves credit too) be so steely on the international stage. He had both May and Boris in his pocket at all times, and basically treated the DUP with the contempt they deserve, but no one has ever dared to do before. He has shook the life out of them. He can do that because he is an arrogant so and so. It's also the thing that will never make him that popular at home because he does not have that common "Bertie Touch". But it served it's purpose here.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 18, 2019, 05:15:30 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 04:31:08 PM
It seems the Assembly is being recalled on Monday?
I presume it will fail to elect a Speaker and will be adjourned....??

I saw the order paper earlier. First business is to elect a Speaker. That requires cross community support. I don't think they will achieve that, so the session will probably last from noon until 12:05 pm.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 05:19:22 PM
Leo and Coveney came across as so sensible, level headed, statesman like and well spoken compared to the loons of the DUPUDA and a lot of the clowns in Westminster.
Obviously changing the "backstop" to an " arrangement" was Leo's quid pro quo to Bozo's going back to the 2017 draft agreement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 18, 2019, 05:25:53 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 18, 2019, 05:12:22 PM

I hear this opinion every now and again, but it was Ireland that created the fuss over the GFA, and the EU then ran with it - despite some thinking they would eventually throw us under the bus. I would have many issues with Varadkar, but I have rarely if ever seen an Irish leader (Coveney deserves credit too) be so steely on the international stage. He had both May and Boris in his pocket at all times, and basically treated the DUP with the contempt they deserve, but no one has ever dared to do before. He has shook the life out of them. He can do that because he is an arrogant so and so. It's also the thing that will never make him that popular at home because he does not have that common "Bertie Touch". But it served it's purpose here.

An Irish politician could cure cancer, solve the Israel/Palestine dispute, resolve the Drumcree parade dispute, and deliver a peaceful united Ireland, and you'd still get people moaning about how he's a "spineless bootlicking gobshite." There are some people who will just not give credit where it's due. Varadkar has played a blinder here and could go down in history as the man who thwarted Brexit. He deserves due credit, him and Coveney both.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 05:30:22 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 05:05:01 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 04:09:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:04:54 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 03:58:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

How is it a terrible deal for NI?

No hard border
Close ties with main trading partner
Will benefit from any trading deals UK strikes
Strong chance companies will invest in NI due to links with EU and UK

Have I missed something?

I am in agreement with yourself,  I was thinking why some thought it was a bad deal for NI.

General rule is if the DUP don't like it then it must be good lol.

No fan of Boris or tories but it's stupid when the likes of Labour or snp come out and say the deal is horrible or worse than May's deal without stating any examples as to why its bad. Its almost child like, I don't like it, why, not saying why.

Very silly to think that because DUP don't like it it must be good. This is a real issue, people aren't viewing this deal for what it is. You know when you see stuff like not available in NI and it pisses you off? Expect loads more of that. If it is available expect it to cost more.
Barriers to trade mean delay, that means extra costs, higher prices and ultimately uncompetitiveness.
But look let's see if it passes first.

The comment about the DUP was intedned to be a joke but in saying that time and time again they have shown no interest in what is good  for NI.

My take on it (which may be wrong) was that there wouldn't be any major barriers in NI as they are aligned to the EU rules but in this deal are still considered part of UK which means no additional checks.

Wish someone would do a simple 2 page document with the main points of the deal to simplify things. Athough it could be argued that it's purposely long and complex to ensure not everyone does understand it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2019, 05:32:21 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 05:05:01 PM
Very silly to think that because DUP don't like it it must be good. This is a real issue, people aren't viewing this deal for what it is. You know when you see stuff like not available in NI and it pisses you off? Expect loads more of that. If it is available expect it to cost more.
Barriers to trade mean delay, that means extra costs, higher prices and ultimately uncompetitiveness.
But look let's see if it passes first.

Once you have Brexit you have these problems. We'd all like to stop Brexit entirely, but we can't, and given that we can't then this deal is the next best thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 18, 2019, 05:36:26 PM
Was always highly critical of most of the moves made by Fine Gael but credit where it's due, Varadkar and Coveney have played a fairly shit had pretty flawlessly here.

Serious kudos to them for how they've handled it.  They have come across as decisive, statesmanlike and with an edge to them that says they wont be pushed around.

I also think this has put to bed the notion that SF and the DUP are two sides of the same coin.  The one thing that was guaranteed to bring about a UI (in short order) was a hard border.  But SF put the sectarian hat away (and they do have one at times) and backed the horse which was best for the people of Ireland.

The same can't be said for the DUP, to their eternal discredit.  I think they'll pay dearly for this one and to paraphrase my grandmother "hell rub it up them".  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 18, 2019, 05:40:33 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 05:05:01 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 04:09:20 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 04:04:54 PM
Quote from: tyrone08 on October 18, 2019, 03:58:39 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

How is it a terrible deal for NI?

No hard border
Close ties with main trading partner
Will benefit from any trading deals UK strikes
Strong chance companies will invest in NI due to links with EU and UK

Have I missed something?

I am in agreement with yourself,  I was thinking why some thought it was a bad deal for NI.

General rule is if the DUP don't like it then it must be good lol.

No fan of Boris or tories but it's stupid when the likes of Labour or snp come out and say the deal is horrible or worse than May's deal without stating any examples as to why its bad. Its almost child like, I don't like it, why, not saying why.

Very silly to think that because DUP don't like it it must be good. This is a real issue, people aren't viewing this deal for what it is. You know when you see stuff like not available in NI and it pisses you off? Expect loads more of that. If it is available expect it to cost more.
Barriers to trade mean delay, that means extra costs, higher prices and ultimately uncompetitiveness.
But look let's see if it passes first.

You've totally misread the room here (unsurprisingly  ::)).  Nobody thinks this deal is a 'good' thing.

But it's the least shit option on the table right now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 18, 2019, 05:47:34 PM
Exactly.
The best deal was the silly Brits staying in the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2019, 05:55:36 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 05:36:26 PM
Was always highly critical of most of the moves made by Fine Gael but credit where it's due, Varadkar and Coveney have played a fairly shit had pretty flawlessly here.

Serious kudos to them for how they've handled it.  They have come across as decisive, statesmanlike and with an edge to them that says they wont be pushed around.

I also think this has put to bed the notion that SF and the DUP are two sides of the same coin.  The one thing that was guaranteed to bring about a UI (in short order) was a hard border.  But SF put the sectarian hat away (and they do have one at times) and backed the horse which was best for the people of Ireland.

The same can't be said for the DUP, to their eternal discredit.  I think they'll pay dearly for this one and to paraphrase my grandmother "hell rub it up them".  ;D
The Department of Foreign Affairs played a blinder going back before the referendum. they did  tour of the capitals well before the vote presenting the Irish case. It took a lot of work to get Juncker and Barnier to say that there could be no hard border on the island of Ireland. It was fantastic to see all of the Irish parties North and South working together for the sake of peace on the border. In 1969 the Dublin govt didn't know anything about politics in the North.

Claire Hanna is very solid re the DUP in this clip   

https://twitter.com/ClaireHanna/status/1185224083883081728
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2019, 05:56:14 PM
2 huge matches tomorrow

Remain vs Leave
and
Ireland vs NZ
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: From the Bunker on October 18, 2019, 06:36:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 18, 2019, 05:56:14 PM
2 huge matches tomorrow

Remain vs Leave
and
Ireland vs NZ

In a way they are both Remain v Leave.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 07:01:04 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 18, 2019, 04:12:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

You hate SF - fair enough but you're blinkered by saying politicans in south are a class apart.  Look at the health service, the new children's hospital, not to mention the housing/ homelessness crisis.

Look at Boris across the way, then check out Mr. Trump in America - great characters who are in the top role.

I think you just want a dig at SF for whatever reason.

We have all those problems and worse here in Galliagh. I first  got vote in 91. Armed struggle was still going on, SF had 10%, I voted them every year without exception until last year.

Then the blinkers came off. Bullies, jobs for the boys, robots, money grabbers, abortion, welfare reform. My city is going down tubes under Elisha dolittle. She hasn't  titter of wit..come up here to the city to see the drugs, suicide, shite jobs etc under their watch. Banging binlids on the border ffs. Whilst men are lining up at the bridge. See the boys who fought the fight drinking themselves to death whilst the careers men get cushy community jobs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 07:02:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

1. Cost of importing from UK is going to rise significantly (processing tax).
2. Cost of exporting to EU is going to rise significantly (processing tax that can be reclaimed).
3. No long term regulatory alignment. Businesses can not and will not invest millions/billions whenever the entire tax and regulatory landscape could shift within 4 years via Stormont.
4. Divergence from UK regulations over time. So then NI is aligned to EU, on a consistently temporary basis and not aligned to UK, also on a consistently temporary basis.

3 and 4 are the big ones. Investment will stagnate as everyone will be scared to commit much.

Backstop offered much better basis for long term decisions.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2019, 07:08:59 PM
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/The-economic-impact-of-Boris-Johnsons-Brexit-proposals.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 18, 2019, 07:21:44 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 07:01:04 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 18, 2019, 04:12:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

You hate SF - fair enough but you're blinkered by saying politicans in south are a class apart.  Look at the health service, the new children's hospital, not to mention the housing/ homelessness crisis.

Look at Boris across the way, then check out Mr. Trump in America - great characters who are in the top role.

I think you just want a dig at SF for whatever reason.

We have all those problems and worse here in Galliagh. I first  got vote in 91. Armed struggle was still going on, SF had 10%, I voted them every year without exception until last year.

Then the blinkers came off. Bullies, jobs for the boys, robots, money grabbers, abortion, welfare reform. My city is going down tubes under Elisha dolittle. She hasn't  titter of wit..come up here to the city to see the drugs, suicide, shite jobs etc under their watch. Banging binlids on the border ffs. Whilst men are lining up at the bridge. See the boys who fought the fight drinking themselves to death whilst the careers men get cushy community jobs.
A big disingenuous to blame  Elisha McCallion for years of neglect given she's only been MP for the area for a short time. The SDLP has held the seat for years so surely some, if not all, of your angst should be pointed in that general direction
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 18, 2019, 07:24:22 PM
As a matter of interest, if UK leaves on 31 October, do the  MEPs cease from that date and, given the nes arrangements for NI does it's MEPs remain in power
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 07:52:00 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 18, 2019, 05:06:38 PM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 04:50:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 18, 2019, 09:40:02 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 09:33:01 AM
Quote from: Main Street on October 18, 2019, 12:57:55 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 17, 2019, 09:40:33 PM
If Boris can get the ERG, and some Labour party rebels onboard, then it would be very tight.
This so called deal is doomed.
I don't get why northern nationalists are clinging to the remnants of the arse end of british imperialism to do right by them.  Has recent decades of subvention addiction affected rational perspective?

The whole focus is on what the DUP demands, there's not a peep out of NI nationalists, It's left up to EU representatives to explain that a DUP veto is not an inevitability to be endured and suffered but one  can choose another way.

I think you're forgetting the "great work" Martina Anderson has done for Sinn Fein in Brussels!!!

John Campbell of BBC NI, I think he's their Brexit Business expert said as much last night even if you are being sarcastic  ;D

Sinn Fein had a big say in the EU's Brexit steering committee as can be seen how the democratic mandate requested by the DUP/UK for the people of Northern Ireland was changed from what in reality was a DUP Veto to a simple majority in Stormont and far from a DUP veto.
Afair the EU reps picked up on the negative importance of the DUP veto clause before a sneeze could be heard on rte about it. But in general most of the EU representatives I have heard interviewed have an understanding of the GFA and a great respect for it. It's all well and good  that Martina explains perspectives but these EU reps have the nous to understand the GFA, appreciate what it's all about and talk about it intelligently.

I think all the Irish politicians of varying nationalist hue and shades of green (FG,FF,SF,SDLP,Lab) can compliment themselves on a job well done (so far). It's rare thing to see in Irish politics everyone towing the party line. They can tear lumps out of each other on other matters but they played this one very well and there was for the most part a united front at all times.
I am not talking about how the  Fine Gael duo have played the cards, I was(indirectly) referring to their actual instinctive knowledge of the GFA. Johnson proposed the first deal deal on Oct 2 with the beside the border controls, the UDP gave an ecstatic stamp of approval. Alarm bells all round you would have thought.  The headline details were reported on Irish radio on that morning, including mention of Stormont approval needed after 4 years. All day long in the continuos stream of news feeds including updates from Varadkar and Coveney, neither of them spotted the significance of  Stormont approval needed,  this so called deal effectively dismantled large parts of the GFA, handed the veto to the UDP and not a peep out of Varadkar until the following day, when Varadkar added on at the end of his list of reservations, a mention of the consent issue.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 08:12:17 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 18, 2019, 07:21:44 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 07:01:04 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 18, 2019, 04:12:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

You hate SF - fair enough but you're blinkered by saying politicans in south are a class apart.  Look at the health service, the new children's hospital, not to mention the housing/ homelessness crisis.

Look at Boris across the way, then check out Mr. Trump in America - great characters who are in the top role.

I think you just want a dig at SF for whatever reason.

We have all those problems and worse here in Galliagh. I first  got vote in 91. Armed struggle was still going on, SF had 10%, I voted them every year without exception until last year.

Then the blinkers came off. Bullies, jobs for the boys, robots, money grabbers, abortion, welfare reform. My city is going down tubes under Elisha dolittle. She hasn't  titter of wit..come up here to the city to see the drugs, suicide, shite jobs etc under their watch. Banging binlids on the border ffs. Whilst men are lining up at the bridge. See the boys who fought the fight drinking themselves to death whilst the careers men get cushy community jobs.
A big disingenuous to blame  Elisha McCallion for years of neglect given she's only been MP for the area for a short time. The SDLP has held the seat for years so surely some, if not all, of your angst should be pointed in that general direction

Mere to i tell you mucker if you aren't from the City don't get into it with me.

She is in the job ciz she is Martina Anderson niece. She's not to blame for her husband battery 2 pensioners but she is to blame for trying to get them to drop charges.

John Hume was last person to  bring jobs to Derry. SDLP have many faults but you can't apportion one of those things I listed against them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 18, 2019, 08:28:51 PM
House of Commons to vote through withdrawal agreement on October 19:

Yes: 4/5
No: 6/5

I wonder if a second referendum can be attached to it as a condition for some opposition support.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 18, 2019, 10:26:53 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 07:02:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

1. Cost of importing from UK is going to rise significantly (processing tax).
2. Cost of exporting to EU is going to rise significantly (processing tax that can be reclaimed).
3. No long term regulatory alignment. Businesses can not and will not invest millions/billions whenever the entire tax and regulatory landscape could shift within 4 years via Stormont.
4. Divergence from UK regulations over time. So then NI is aligned to EU, on a consistently temporary basis and not aligned to UK, also on a consistently temporary basis.

3 and 4 are the big ones. Investment will stagnate as everyone will be scared to commit much.

Backstop offered much better basis for long term decisions.

Exactly my reading.
Interestingly you're not being attacked and derided while I am for essentially saying the same thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 18, 2019, 10:44:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 10:26:53 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 07:02:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

1. Cost of importing from UK is going to rise significantly (processing tax).
2. Cost of exporting to EU is going to rise significantly (processing tax that can be reclaimed).
3. No long term regulatory alignment. Businesses can not and will not invest millions/billions whenever the entire tax and regulatory landscape could shift within 4 years via Stormont.
4. Divergence from UK regulations over time. So then NI is aligned to EU, on a consistently temporary basis and not aligned to UK, also on a consistently temporary basis.

3 and 4 are the big ones. Investment will stagnate as everyone will be scared to commit much.

Backstop offered much better basis for long term decisions.

Exactly my reading.
Interestingly you're not being attacked and derided while I am for essentially saying the same thing.

Dry up.

Whinging cnut.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 18, 2019, 10:48:15 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 08:12:17 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 18, 2019, 07:21:44 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 07:01:04 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 18, 2019, 04:12:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

You hate SF - fair enough but you're blinkered by saying politicans in south are a class apart.  Look at the health service, the new children's hospital, not to mention the housing/ homelessness crisis.

Look at Boris across the way, then check out Mr. Trump in America - great characters who are in the top role.

I think you just want a dig at SF for whatever reason.

We have all those problems and worse here in Galliagh. I first  got vote in 91. Armed struggle was still going on, SF had 10%, I voted them every year without exception until last year.

Then the blinkers came off. Bullies, jobs for the boys, robots, money grabbers, abortion, welfare reform. My city is going down tubes under Elisha dolittle. She hasn't  titter of wit..come up here to the city to see the drugs, suicide, shite jobs etc under their watch. Banging binlids on the border ffs. Whilst men are lining up at the bridge. See the boys who fought the fight drinking themselves to death whilst the careers men get cushy community jobs.
A big disingenuous to blame  Elisha McCallion for years of neglect given she's only been MP for the area for a short time. The SDLP has held the seat for years so surely some, if not all, of your angst should be pointed in that general direction

Mere to i tell you mucker if you aren't from the City don't get into it with me.

She is in the job ciz she is Martina Anderson niece. She's not to blame for her husband battery 2 pensioners but she is to blame for trying to get them to drop charges.

John Hume was last person to  bring jobs to Derry. SDLP have many faults but you can't apportion one of those things I listed against them
John Hume stopped being an MP in 2005, so what you're really saying is that his successor did nothing. As far as I remember the SDLP held the seat until 2017 but here don't let the truth stand in the way of a good story
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:08:53 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2019, 10:44:59 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 10:26:53 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 07:02:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 18, 2019, 03:43:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2019, 03:27:05 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 18, 2019, 03:12:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2019, 11:18:23 AM
I don't think this is a good deal. I'm worried about barriers East West. Declarations, tarrifs, trusted trader schemes paperwork etc. I appreciate that it does avoid a hard border which is key but a NI only backstop would be a better solution. This deal I feel isolates NI from GB and the EU. It could be the worst of both worlds.

Not often I agree with you, but I'm broadly of the same attitude.

Its a terrible deal for NI.

A crash out no deal might even be better - as it would get folks backs up over being clearly and obviously hung out by the English and have many unionists (with a small u) seriously looking at a border poll. Whereas with this, its a bit more nefarious and nebulous enough for the DUP to sell the economic basket case as not of their or Westminster's doing - all Dublin's fault etc etc.

Why??

I was thinking the same!

1. Cost of importing from UK is going to rise significantly (processing tax).
2. Cost of exporting to EU is going to rise significantly (processing tax that can be reclaimed).
3. No long term regulatory alignment. Businesses can not and will not invest millions/billions whenever the entire tax and regulatory landscape could shift within 4 years via Stormont.
4. Divergence from UK regulations over time. So then NI is aligned to EU, on a consistently temporary basis and not aligned to UK, also on a consistently temporary basis.

3 and 4 are the big ones. Investment will stagnate as everyone will be scared to commit much.

Backstop offered much better basis for long term decisions.

Exactly my reading.
Interestingly you're not being attacked and derided while I am for essentially saying the same thing.

Dry up.

Whinging cnut.

Personal abuse. Reported
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 11:39:18 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 18, 2019, 11:22:34 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 18, 2019, 10:48:15 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 08:12:17 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 18, 2019, 07:21:44 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 07:01:04 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 18, 2019, 04:12:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 18, 2019, 10:27:30 AM
Sinn Féin are an irrelevance. Banging bin lids at the border, james mc clean shirts at Brussels, school boy politicians. Don't see myself as either a FF or FGer but my God the difference in standard of politician south of the border is stark. We have a pile of sub standard politicians up here who are only there because the Brits pushed them to where they are.

You hate SF - fair enough but you're blinkered by saying politicans in south are a class apart.  Look at the health service, the new children's hospital, not to mention the housing/ homelessness crisis.

Look at Boris across the way, then check out Mr. Trump in America - great characters who are in the top role.

I think you just want a dig at SF for whatever reason.

We have all those problems and worse here in Galliagh. I first  got vote in 91. Armed struggle was still going on, SF had 10%, I voted them every year without exception until last year.

Then the blinkers came off. Bullies, jobs for the boys, robots, money grabbers, abortion, welfare reform. My city is going down tubes under Elisha dolittle. She hasn't  titter of wit..come up here to the city to see the drugs, suicide, shite jobs etc under their watch. Banging binlids on the border ffs. Whilst men are lining up at the bridge. See the boys who fought the fight drinking themselves to death whilst the careers men get cushy community jobs.
A big disingenuous to blame  Elisha McCallion for years of neglect given she's only been MP for the area for a short time. The SDLP has held the seat for years so surely some, if not all, of your angst should be pointed in that general direction

Mere to i tell you mucker if you aren't from the City don't get into it with me.

She is in the job ciz she is Martina Anderson niece. She's not to blame for her husband battery 2 pensioners but she is to blame for trying to get them to drop charges.

John Hume was last person to  bring jobs to Derry. SDLP have many faults but you can't apportion one of those things I listed against them
John Hume stopped being an MP in 2005, so what you're really saying is that his successor did nothing. As far as I remember the SDLP held the seat until 2017 but here don't let the truth stand in the way of a good story
To be fair, throw his entire post on to west Belfast and he's on the money. We can't complain. We vote them in our thousands. There is an ingrained vote. There is also little else. Meanwhile, they occupy their time snapping up every property they can on the main routes for grant-aided "projects". They have bought the half of us and intimidated the other half. Indeed.

There is a wee working class community 100 houses. Right bang on the border. 1 field between it and Donegal. It's called Coshquin. People might have heard of it, its where patsy Gillespie got blew to bits. Last year the residents discovered that there was a creche there empty. The locals tried to negotiate a way to take it over. All of a sudden Sinn féin landed. They had a meeting. The people said thanks for support but this is a residents group, you are welcome to help . Sinn féin couldnt get full control. Guess what, they pulled out, no support and they helped block access to the empty creche
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Windmill abu on October 19, 2019, 12:15:34 AM
The "Boris Deal" with all its issues, if passed by Parliament tomorrow, is the biggest step in aligning the north and south of this country in economic terms since partition. It will mean that when a unity vote is carried out has passed there will be less regulatory changes required to make the change as easy as possible.

Maybe Boris Johnston will be come known as the second Liberator and like his predecessor Daniel O'Connell have a street in Dublin named after him
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 19, 2019, 12:16:57 AM
Seems like the ERG are all coming on board even Mark Francois and Peter Bone are going to back it... haven't heard about Bill Cash, also sounds like a good number of those that lost the whip a few weeks back are going to back it.
Some reports that at least 11 Labour MPs said they'll rebel... the stars could actually be aligning for BJ.

I still dont think that many Labour MPs will rebel.... but we'll see
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 19, 2019, 12:34:53 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 18, 2019, 08:28:51 PM
House of Commons to vote through withdrawal agreement on October 19:

Yes: 4/5
No: 6/5

I wonder if a second referendum can be attached to it as a condition for some opposition support.

Update:
Yes: 8/11
No: 11/10

I read that as a passage in the Commons looking slightly more likely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 19, 2019, 12:41:22 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 19, 2019, 12:34:53 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 18, 2019, 08:28:51 PM
House of Commons to vote through withdrawal agreement on October 19:

Yes: 4/5
No: 6/5

I wonder if a second referendum can be attached to it as a condition for some opposition support.

Update:
Yes: 8/11
No: 11/10

I read that as a passage in the Commons looking slightly more likely.

Hedging?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 19, 2019, 05:35:06 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 19, 2019, 12:34:53 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 18, 2019, 08:28:51 PM
House of Commons to vote through withdrawal agreement on October 19:

Yes: 4/5
No: 6/5

I wonder if a second referendum can be attached to it as a condition for some opposition support.

Update:
Yes: 8/11
No: 11/10

I read that as a passage in the Commons looking slightly more likely.

Yes: 13/18
No: 6/5
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 19, 2019, 07:26:02 AM
What time is the vote due to take place?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 09:33:25 AM
No vote if Letwin amendment passed, everyone to be sent home.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 19, 2019, 09:50:41 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 09:33:25 AM
No vote if Letwin amendment passed, everyone to be sent home.

And what the hell happens then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 10:04:28 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 19, 2019, 09:50:41 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 09:33:25 AM
No vote if Letwin amendment passed, everyone to be sent home.

And what the hell happens then?

Benn Act kicks in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 02:50:19 PM
Letwin passes, Benn Act kicks in meaning Boris has to ask for an extension by 11pm tonight.  8) 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 19, 2019, 02:51:27 PM
Someone dig the ditch.  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 02:53:28 PM
He said law doesn't compel him to ask for a delay so he won't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 19, 2019, 02:55:11 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 19, 2019, 02:51:27 PM
Someone dig the ditch.  ;D

I'd say ye'd need a JCB to get a hole dug by 11 that'll take the fat hoor.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on October 19, 2019, 02:59:50 PM
(https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcQM8efwNw5ATg2pT5xVNh4l6ql7ql04Vj8EsuY07qcIYmrFPnXk)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 19, 2019, 03:14:48 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 02:50:19 PM
Letwin passes, Benn Act kicks in meaning Boris has to ask for an extension by 11pm tonight.  8)

Even if he asks, the EU has to approve an extension. Questionable whether Macron and a few others will agree.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 19, 2019, 03:15:13 PM
If theyre in after 5 do they have to pay the childminders extra...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 19, 2019, 04:05:08 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 02:53:28 PM
He said law doesn't compel him to ask for a delay so he won't.

Did he not say negotiate rather than ask?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 19, 2019, 04:19:18 PM
Letter will be sent... Interesting week ahead it looks like he'll have the numbers for the deal!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2019, 05:06:30 PM
The  Letwin Amendment means Johnson can't choose No Deal but it also means that MPs will have more time to scrutinise his deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 19, 2019, 05:15:08 PM
All the Unionists/Loyalists going berserk this past week is laughable.

These are the same assholes who told us for 3 years that they knew exactly what they were voting for and it was our fault for calling them stupid!!!

Rhetoric around it is starting to get dangerous but who are the Loyalists going to target when they've done this to themselves???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 19, 2019, 05:17:07 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 19, 2019, 05:06:30 PM
The  Letwin Amendment means Johnson can't choose No Deal but it also means that MPs will have more time to scrutinise his deal.

This deal looks like a ruse to have no deal next December - racist and deluded middle England is going to inflict serious harm on itself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on October 19, 2019, 05:21:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 19, 2019, 05:15:08 PM
All the Unionists/Loyalists going berserk this past week is laughable.

These are the same assholes who told us for 3 years that they knew exactly what they were voting for and it was our fault for calling them stupid!!!

Rhetoric around it is starting to get dangerous but who are the Loyalists going to target when they've done this to themselves???
I do wonder sometimes what goes through unionist minds. Is it total stupidity and failure to see blatant hypocrisy? or is it a complete lack of care for nationalists and what they think.  Im tempted to believe its a mix of both.
On  a side note, Can boris go to jail over this if he doesnt deal or ask for an extension?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 19, 2019, 05:30:53 PM
Seems the Scottish Court has power to act in the place of the PM if he doesn't comply with the Law.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 19, 2019, 05:43:57 PM
Quote from: markl121 on October 19, 2019, 05:21:26 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 19, 2019, 05:15:08 PM
All the Unionists/Loyalists going berserk this past week is laughable.

These are the same assholes who told us for 3 years that they knew exactly what they were voting for and it was our fault for calling them stupid!!!

Rhetoric around it is starting to get dangerous but who are the Loyalists going to target when they've done this to themselves???
I do wonder sometimes what goes through unionist minds. Is it total stupidity and failure to see blatant hypocrisy? or is it a complete lack of care for nationalists and what they think.  Im tempted to believe its a mix of both.
On  a side note, Can boris go to jail over this if he doesnt deal or ask for an extension?

It's all about the link with the union.  If you told them their wages would be cut in half, it still wouldn't matter - all about the unrequited love with the Sasanaigh!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 19, 2019, 08:15:06 PM
Some kudos due to Johnson for blanking out the DUP, just some months after he appeared as honoured guest at one of their Kill all Catholics frenzied get togethers.
What does the motion that was passed mean  "withholds approval" for the Brexit deal "until legislation implementing it has been passed",  what legislation are they referrring to?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 19, 2019, 08:19:10 PM
A "EU withdrawal Act" incorporating the terms of the Deal.
I think the MPs didn't trust Johnson to bring the necessary Legislation in before 31st October and thereby get a No Deal by default.
This way he has to ask for the extension and bring in the Legislation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 19, 2019, 08:45:36 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 19, 2019, 08:19:10 PM
A "EU withdrawal Act" incorporating the terms of the Deal.
I think the MPs didn't trust Johnson to bring the necessary Legislation in before 31st October and thereby get a No Deal by default.
This way he has to ask for the extension and bring in the Legislation.
That's it, thanks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 19, 2019, 11:09:58 PM
Letter sent....

But he didnt sign it and told them he didnt want it.
;D ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 20, 2019, 12:02:13 AM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 19, 2019, 11:09:58 PM
Letter sent....

But he didnt sign it and told them he didnt want it.
;D ;D ;D ;D

Does it give him enough plausible deniability come the election??

Probably... it's clear there's a load of thick c***ts willing to think he actually means what he says!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on October 20, 2019, 12:22:02 AM
Could EU grant an extension on the basis that there is another referendum due to the process being a complete mess. Or would it be seen as meddling?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 20, 2019, 12:37:21 AM
Bryson threatening violence. Against who? MPs?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 20, 2019, 06:13:22 AM
The DUP don't like the border in the Irish Sea. Farage broke his cover . He doesn't like the Withdrawal agreement. The deal will be reviewed over more than 2 months. Expect more splits .

https://mobile.twitter.com/Femi_Sorry/status/1185705196665659392
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on October 20, 2019, 11:56:30 AM
Why do the DUP always sit on the labour side in the house of commons?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 20, 2019, 12:07:57 PM
Because they are not in government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on October 20, 2019, 12:35:16 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 20, 2019, 12:37:21 AM
Bryson threatening violence. Against who? MPs?

Himself, hopefully.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 20, 2019, 11:47:04 PM
Quote from: Orior on October 20, 2019, 11:56:30 AM
Why do the DUP always sit on the labour side in the house of commons?

Big Ian used to sometimes sit on the government benches back in the day, IIRC.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 21, 2019, 08:01:12 PM
Quite obvious now that the opposition will stall everything so that Boris fails to deliver Brexit by Halloween. If by some miracle he does deliver in time he will win a huge majority in the next Election. I doubt what's in the UK's best interests is being genuinely considered by many parties in Parliament at the minute.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 21, 2019, 08:40:00 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 21, 2019, 08:01:12 PM
Quite obvious now that the opposition will stall everything so that Boris fails to deliver Brexit by Halloween. If by some miracle he does deliver in time he will win a huge majority in the next Election. I doubt what's in the UK's best interests is being genuinely considered by many parties in Parliament at the minute.

The writing is on the wall, this deal will go through - opposition have lost momentum, too many egos, the leaver labour MP's will push it through, feel sorry for the school generation, this thing is going to destroy their future rights.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 21, 2019, 09:55:26 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 19, 2019, 05:35:06 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 19, 2019, 12:34:53 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 18, 2019, 08:28:51 PM
House of Commons to vote through withdrawal agreement on October 19:

Yes: 4/5
No: 6/5

I wonder if a second referendum can be attached to it as a condition for some opposition support.

Update:
Yes: 8/11
No: 11/10

I read that as a passage in the Commons looking slightly more likely.

Yes: 13/18
No: 6/5

UK to leave the EU by Oct 31:
No: 1/3
Yes: 11/4

I don't see how this deal can go through. Johnson's pushing the limits of the executive branch's powers, but so far it looks like the checks and balances are holding. John Bercow is not letting Parliament be sidelined, and the courts are backing him all the way. Come November 1, Britain will still be in the EU unless something drastic and coup-like happens.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 21, 2019, 10:19:18 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 21, 2019, 09:55:26 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 19, 2019, 05:35:06 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 19, 2019, 12:34:53 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 18, 2019, 08:28:51 PM
House of Commons to vote through withdrawal agreement on October 19:

Yes: 4/5
No: 6/5

I wonder if a second referendum can be attached to it as a condition for some opposition support.

Update:
Yes: 8/11
No: 11/10

I read that as a passage in the Commons looking slightly more likely.

Yes: 13/18
No: 6/5

UK to leave the EU by Oct 31:
No: 1/3
Yes: 11/4

I don't see how this deal can go through. Johnson's pushing the limits of the executive branch's powers, but so far it looks like the checks and balances are holding. John Bercow is not letting Parliament be sidelined, and the courts are backing him all the way. Come November 1, Britain will still be in the EU unless something drastic and coup-like happens.

They dont really have an executive branch, Parliament rules the roost, its sovereignty is protected by law. In normal times the cabinet could in defacto behave independently thanks to the Parliamentary whip in what is usually a majority government. Certainly nothing like the US system with equal branches and checks and balances etc etc.

Bottom line is a minority government in the UK is going to be a nightmare for the PM especially if they are zealots, so your right, Johnston's team are sorta snookered unless they come up with something clever to see this one out before Halloween.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 21, 2019, 10:23:17 PM
Jamie reckons the Blitish people in Northern Ireland are being left behind... his fofathers fought for fleedom we have today!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 21, 2019, 11:34:06 PM
They've been left behind by continuing to live in the 17th Century!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on October 21, 2019, 11:46:32 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 21, 2019, 10:23:17 PM
Jamie reckons the Blitish people in Northern Ireland are being left behind... his fofathers fought for fleedom we have today!!!

And the Irish people in the North are also being left beh... oh wait, there are no Irish people in the North  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 22, 2019, 01:19:16 AM
The only people that matter in the 6 counties are British.

They are still out to exterminate you, just the exterminator roles have changed.
Brussels has replaced the Vatican/Rome rule  and President Juncker replaces the Pope.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 04:38:59 AM
Stewart Wood
@StewartWood
·
15h
The #Brexit Minister Stephen Barclay just confirmed to me in his
@LordsEUCom
evidence that, under the Govt's proposals, Northern Irish businesses sending goods to Great Britain will have to complete export declaration forms.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 05:46:10 AM
https://mobile.twitter.com/hilarybennmp/status/1186373549025615878
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on October 22, 2019, 01:18:54 PM
Labour MP Jim Fitzpatrick has not read about BJs deal yet he is going to Vote for it? What is wrong with people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 22, 2019, 01:27:58 PM
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/brexit-worth-letting-scots-go-say-three-quarters-of-tory-leave-voters-in-england-7c5zpcmrv

QuoteResearch by Lord Ashcroft, the Conservative donor, found that 76 per cent of English Conservatives who voted Leave in 2016 would prioritise Brexit even if it meant Scotland gained independence. Of the same demographic, 74 per cent would choose leaving the EU over Northern Ireland remaining part of the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 22, 2019, 01:30:27 PM
They should be given what they want ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: under the bar on October 22, 2019, 01:56:55 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 21, 2019, 10:23:17 PM
Jamie reckons the Blitish people in Northern Ireland are being left behind... his fofathers fought for fleedom we have today!!!

Money for a couple of kilos of coke for Jamie and his mates will keep them quiet for another while
Quote from: Rossfan on October 22, 2019, 01:30:27 PM
They should be given what they want ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on October 22, 2019, 02:14:51 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 22, 2019, 01:27:58 PM
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/brexit-worth-letting-scots-go-say-three-quarters-of-tory-leave-voters-in-england-7c5zpcmrv

QuoteResearch by Lord Ashcroft, the Conservative donor, found that 76 per cent of English Conservatives who voted Leave in 2016 would prioritise Brexit even if it meant Scotland gained independence. Of the same demographic, 74 per cent would choose leaving the EU over Northern Ireland remaining part of the UK.

How the f**k do more of them want to keep NI than Scotland?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 03:13:44 PM
Their perception would be that the Scots would be a pack of pesky spongers whereas NI would be loyal subjects committed to the union and the flag.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on October 22, 2019, 03:16:09 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 03:13:44 PM
Their perception would be that the Scots would be a pack of pesky spongers whereas NI would be loyal subjects committed to the union and the flag.

Speak for yourself Joe :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 04:07:35 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/EndPartition/status/1186645598163877890
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 04:15:55 PM
Unionism really doesn't help itself with the leaders it puts forward to represent it's people. The entire Brexit process could hardly have been handled any worse by the DUP leadership from the outset. It really ought to have self reflected on whether it's pursuit of a hard Brexit was in it's own best interest. However the doubling down on it's insistence that it had adopted the correct approach has led them into a situation now where it appears to be running out of road. Crying outrage now over the prospect of an 'economic united Ireland' when it is nothing of the sort appears to be some kind of attitude to whip up more fear and division and deflect any apportionment of blame elsewhere. Plenty of rational thinking people predicted that the Tories would ditch them if it was in their best interests to do so. Therefore it should not have come as any major surprise. The only surprise was in the fact that they placated them for as long as they did. 

Such is the void in leadership within Unionism we now find ourself in the ludicrous situation where a figure of fun such as Jamie Bryson has presented himself as an unelected spokesperson for Unionism/Loyalism and is taking legal action against the UK government.       
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 04:28:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 04:15:55 PM
Unionism really doesn't help itself with the leaders it puts forward to represent it's people. The entire Brexit process could hardly have been handled any worse by the DUP leadership from the outset. It really ought to have self reflected on whether it's pursuit of a hard Brexit was in it's own best interest. However the doubling down on it's insistence that it had adopted the correct approach has led them into a situation now where it appears to be running out of road. Crying outrage now over the prospect of an 'economic united Ireland' when it is nothing of the sort appears to be some kind of attitude to whip up more fear and division and deflect any apportionment of blame elsewhere. Plenty of rational thinking people predicted that the Tories would ditch them if it was in their best interests to do so. Therefore it should not have come as any major surprise. The only surprise was in the fact that they placated them for as long as they did. 

Such is the void in leadership within Unionism we now find ourself in the ludicrous situation where a figure of fun such as Jamie Bryson has presented himself as an unelected spokesperson for Unionism/Loyalism and is taking legal action against the UK government.       

William Hague in the Daily Telegraph

"For the DUP, the separate treatment of Northern Ireland is unacceptable. Yet when Theresa May went to the extreme length of keeping the whole of the UK in a closer arrangement with the EU to save them from this outcome, they were emphatically against that as well. They are also against leaving without a deal. Did it not occur to them when they campaigned for Brexit that it would be very likely to entail one of the three outcomes they are now against?"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on October 22, 2019, 04:32:56 PM
Ah now, he gives as good he gets when he's on the Nolan radio show.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 04:46:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 04:28:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 04:15:55 PM
Unionism really doesn't help itself with the leaders it puts forward to represent it's people. The entire Brexit process could hardly have been handled any worse by the DUP leadership from the outset. It really ought to have self reflected on whether it's pursuit of a hard Brexit was in it's own best interest. However the doubling down on it's insistence that it had adopted the correct approach has led them into a situation now where it appears to be running out of road. Crying outrage now over the prospect of an 'economic united Ireland' when it is nothing of the sort appears to be some kind of attitude to whip up more fear and division and deflect any apportionment of blame elsewhere. Plenty of rational thinking people predicted that the Tories would ditch them if it was in their best interests to do so. Therefore it should not have come as any major surprise. The only surprise was in the fact that they placated them for as long as they did. 

Such is the void in leadership within Unionism we now find ourself in the ludicrous situation where a figure of fun such as Jamie Bryson has presented himself as an unelected spokesperson for Unionism/Loyalism and is taking legal action against the UK government.       

William Hague in the Daily Telegraph

"For the DUP, the separate treatment of Northern Ireland is unacceptable. Yet when Theresa May went to the extreme length of keeping the whole of the UK in a closer arrangement with the EU to save them from this outcome, they were emphatically against that as well. They are also against leaving without a deal. Did it not occur to them when they campaigned for Brexit that it would be very likely to entail one of the three outcomes they are now against?"

Hague is totally correct here, they were totally seduced by the ERG and fell for it hook line and sinker. The Johnson's and the Rees-Moggs dropped their support for the DUP at the last minute prior to May's last attempt at getting a deal through, so it was not a shock to see them leave them behind again.

They have been more than happy for the Bryson loyalist types to ramp up the rhetoric with talk of betrayal acts and surrender since it deflects attention away from their complete ineptitude. There are very few visionaries within the leadership of political unionism since they can never appear to see the bigger picture and every little grain of compromise is always seen as a defeat. Foster and Dodds have epitomised this approach from the outset.       
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 04:55:08 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 04:46:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 04:28:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 04:15:55 PM
Unionism really doesn't help itself with the leaders it puts forward to represent it's people. The entire Brexit process could hardly have been handled any worse by the DUP leadership from the outset. It really ought to have self reflected on whether it's pursuit of a hard Brexit was in it's own best interest. However the doubling down on it's insistence that it had adopted the correct approach has led them into a situation now where it appears to be running out of road. Crying outrage now over the prospect of an 'economic united Ireland' when it is nothing of the sort appears to be some kind of attitude to whip up more fear and division and deflect any apportionment of blame elsewhere. Plenty of rational thinking people predicted that the Tories would ditch them if it was in their best interests to do so. Therefore it should not have come as any major surprise. The only surprise was in the fact that they placated them for as long as they did. 

Such is the void in leadership within Unionism we now find ourself in the ludicrous situation where a figure of fun such as Jamie Bryson has presented himself as an unelected spokesperson for Unionism/Loyalism and is taking legal action against the UK government.       

William Hague in the Daily Telegraph

"For the DUP, the separate treatment of Northern Ireland is unacceptable. Yet when Theresa May went to the extreme length of keeping the whole of the UK in a closer arrangement with the EU to save them from this outcome, they were emphatically against that as well. They are also against leaving without a deal. Did it not occur to them when they campaigned for Brexit that it would be very likely to entail one of the three outcomes they are now against?"

Hague is totally correct here, they were totally seduced by the ERG and fell for it hook line and sinker. The Johnson's and the Rees-Moggs dropped their support for the DUP at the last minute prior to May's last attempt at getting a deal through, so it was not a shock to see them leave them behind again.

They have been more than happy for the Bryson loyalist types to ramp up the rhetoric with talk of betrayal acts and surrender since it deflects attention away from their complete ineptitude. Their are very few visionaries within the leadership of political unionism since they can never appear to see the bigger picture and every little grain of compromise is always seen as a defeat. Foster and Dodds have epitomised this approach from the outset.     
The Tories are now English Nationalists. The DUP should have figured that out.
https://www.ft.com/content/5063c4ce-f4c4-11e9-b018-3ef8794b17c6
"The Conservative party was once so fervently pro-unionist that its leaders incited illegal resistance to Irish self-government on the eve of the first world war. In the Brexit era, it has evolved into a party of English nationalism that feels scant emotional or political solidarity with Northern Irish Protestantism. According to a YouGov poll in June, a majority of Conservative party members are prepared to let Northern Ireland and Scotland leave the UK, just to make sure that England leaves the EU."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on October 22, 2019, 05:05:29 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 04:46:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 04:28:26 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 04:15:55 PM
Unionism really doesn't help itself with the leaders it puts forward to represent it's people. The entire Brexit process could hardly have been handled any worse by the DUP leadership from the outset. It really ought to have self reflected on whether it's pursuit of a hard Brexit was in it's own best interest. However the doubling down on it's insistence that it had adopted the correct approach has led them into a situation now where it appears to be running out of road. Crying outrage now over the prospect of an 'economic united Ireland' when it is nothing of the sort appears to be some kind of attitude to whip up more fear and division and deflect any apportionment of blame elsewhere. Plenty of rational thinking people predicted that the Tories would ditch them if it was in their best interests to do so. Therefore it should not have come as any major surprise. The only surprise was in the fact that they placated them for as long as they did. 

Such is the void in leadership within Unionism we now find ourself in the ludicrous situation where a figure of fun such as Jamie Bryson has presented himself as an unelected spokesperson for Unionism/Loyalism and is taking legal action against the UK government.       

William Hague in the Daily Telegraph

"For the DUP, the separate treatment of Northern Ireland is unacceptable. Yet when Theresa May went to the extreme length of keeping the whole of the UK in a closer arrangement with the EU to save them from this outcome, they were emphatically against that as well. They are also against leaving without a deal. Did it not occur to them when they campaigned for Brexit that it would be very likely to entail one of the three outcomes they are now against?"

Hague is totally correct here, they were totally seduced by the ERG and fell for it hook line and sinker. The Johnson's and the Rees-Moggs dropped their support for the DUP at the last minute prior to May's last attempt at getting a deal through, so it was not a shock to see them leave them behind again.

They have been more than happy for the Bryson loyalist types to ramp up the rhetoric with talk of betrayal acts and surrender since it deflects attention away from their complete ineptitude. TheRE are very few visionaries within the leadership of political unionism since they can never appear to see the bigger picture and every little grain of compromise is always seen as a defeat. Foster and Dodds have epitomised this approach from the outset.     

They only say yes when there is ££ involved. When they do say yes they are almost always in the wrong RHI for example.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 22, 2019, 05:56:36 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 03:13:44 PM
Their perception would be that the Scots would be a pack of pesky spongers whereas NI would be loyal subjects committed to the union and the flag.

You're quite right there, except that the last word is fleg.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 22, 2019, 06:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 04:55:08 PM
The Tories are now English Nationalists. The DUP should have figured that out.
https://www.ft.com/content/5063c4ce-f4c4-11e9-b018-3ef8794b17c6
"The Conservative party was once so fervently pro-unionist that its leaders incited illegal resistance to Irish self-government on the eve of the first world war. In the Brexit era, it has evolved into a party of English nationalism that feels scant emotional or political solidarity with Northern Irish Protestantism. According to a YouGov poll in June, a majority of Conservative party members are prepared to let Northern Ireland and Scotland leave the UK, just to make sure that England leaves the EU."

Ashcroft has another poll.
It is clear that the Brexit mob would throw out Scotland or NI if they were holding things up.

(https://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/7-Union-or-Brexit-768x660.png)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 22, 2019, 07:00:15 PM
I have a horrible feeling both will pass tonight.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on October 22, 2019, 07:02:46 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 22, 2019, 07:00:15 PM
I have a horrible feeling both will pass tonight.

Same
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 07:10:08 PM
Would be kinda funny if it was a tie and Bercow had to vote with the government
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 22, 2019, 07:15:33 PM
Bojo wins first vote, look after your Irish Passport.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 22, 2019, 07:20:00 PM
Holy ghost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 22, 2019, 07:21:00 PM
Passed 52 48 ouch.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 07:25:05 PM
By 30 with 10 or so abstentions , thats a lot to turn around.

But then the leave Lab MPs will at least now be able to say they voted for it now so they may go back to the whip.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 22, 2019, 07:25:49 PM
Some of those Labour MPs and independents really really don't want a general election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 22, 2019, 07:51:32 PM
Be some craic if the EU comeback now and say they won't offer an extension past 31st. UK would have no choice then but sign up for the deal now that they have agreed it in principle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 22, 2019, 08:07:43 PM
Keep fighting, keep putting it off for as long as you can. Maybe even take your chances at this stage on a GE. Somethings could change, anything could happen yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 22, 2019, 08:14:54 PM
Boris in the ditch yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 22, 2019, 08:17:19 PM
I'd say he just needs a month  extension at this stage and the deal is done. Out by Christmas will be the new refrain. Labour will be portrayed as the chlorinated Turkeys and  will then get destroyed in the GE.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 22, 2019, 08:28:04 PM
Surely, as per Benn Act, he has to accept a 3-month extension if no deal agreed by October 31st?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 08:35:50 PM
Labour need to drag brexit into a GE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 22, 2019, 08:47:28 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 22, 2019, 08:28:04 PM
Surely, as per Benn Act, he has to accept a 3-month extension if no deal agreed by October 31st?

The length of extension offered is determined by the EU, not by the House of Commons. The EU could even say, no, but that is doubtful, as they need an orderly Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2019, 09:05:34 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 22, 2019, 08:47:28 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 22, 2019, 08:28:04 PM
Surely, as per Benn Act, he has to accept a 3-month extension if no deal agreed by October 31st?

The length of extension offered is determined by the EU, not by the House of Commons. The EU could even say, no, but that is doubtful, as they need an orderly Brexit.
I think orderly Brexit is an oxymoron.
Just look at NI today. 15 to 60 quid for every batch of NI exports to GB. Loyalists are going nuts. 
Brexit is pure chaos.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: moysider on October 22, 2019, 10:24:40 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 08:35:50 PM
Labour need to drag brexit into a GE

Which is exactly what Boris Johnson wants. He gets a working majority (with the support of Brexit MPs in a pact) and will kick the 'deal' to touch and go for a hard total Brexit. He will get the support of the DUPs that survive the GE in the North as well because they will get the hard border that they crave. Looks to me like a well- set trap. Labour eventually will have to agree to an election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 10:40:13 PM
Quote from: moysider on October 22, 2019, 10:24:40 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 08:35:50 PM
Labour need to drag brexit into a GE

Which is exactly what Boris Johnson wants. He gets a working majority (with the support of Brexit MPs in a pact) and will kick the 'deal' to touch and go for a hard total Brexit. He will get the support of the DUPs that survive the GE in the North as well because they will get the hard border that they crave. Looks to me like a well- set trap. Labour eventually will have to agree to an election.

Possibly but I think thats highly unlikely
At the end of the day BJ doesnt even want Brexit in his heart of hearts he just want to be PM.
If he gets a deal he will have a healthy majority and he will stick with it at this point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: moysider on October 22, 2019, 10:24:40 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 08:35:50 PM
Labour need to drag brexit into a GE

Which is exactly what Boris Johnson wants. He gets a working majority (with the support of Brexit MPs in a pact) and will kick the 'deal' to touch and go for a hard total Brexit. He will get the support of the DUPs that survive the GE in the North as well because they will get the hard border that they crave. Looks to me like a well- set trap. Labour eventually will have to agree to an election.

You're correct in that Johnson wants a general election to establish a majority government, it has been his modus operandi from the get go. However, the DUP will no longer be relevant after the next election barring another quirk of fate with the numbers. If the opposition granted him an election (which I doubt they will) I think he will use this to try and get his deal from last week ratified. The downside of an election for the Tories will be their annihilation in Scotland and the potential for the next government to grant a second independence referendum after Brexit is done.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: moysider on October 22, 2019, 11:20:16 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: moysider on October 22, 2019, 10:24:40 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 08:35:50 PM
Labour need to drag brexit into a GE

Which is exactly what Boris Johnson wants. He gets a working majority (with the support of Brexit MPs in a pact) and will kick the 'deal' to touch and go for a hard total Brexit. He will get the support of the DUPs that survive the GE in the North as well because they will get the hard border that they crave. Looks to me like a well- set trap. Labour eventually will have to agree to an election.

You're correct in that Johnson wants a general election to establish a majority government, it has been his modus operandi from the get go. However, the DUP will no longer be relevant after the next election barring another quirk of fate with the numbers. If the opposition granted him an election (which I doubt they will) I think he will use this to try and get his deal from last week ratified. The downside of an election for the Tories will be their annihilation in Scotland and the potential for the next government to grant a second independence referendum after Brexit is done.

I dunno. A Boris majority after GE ( regardless of where the majority comes from) means that the deal is dead and buried. It's a clean slate and I suspect that it will be a no deal Brexit. A second referendum might happen with Scotland but the DUP will be on the pig's back. A hard border and loads of angst that they want so badly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 22, 2019, 11:25:12 PM
Quote from: moysider on October 22, 2019, 11:20:16 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: moysider on October 22, 2019, 10:24:40 PM
Quote from: omaghjoe on October 22, 2019, 08:35:50 PM
Labour need to drag brexit into a GE

Which is exactly what Boris Johnson wants. He gets a working majority (with the support of Brexit MPs in a pact) and will kick the 'deal' to touch and go for a hard total Brexit. He will get the support of the DUPs that survive the GE in the North as well because they will get the hard border that they crave. Looks to me like a well- set trap. Labour eventually will have to agree to an election.

You're correct in that Johnson wants a general election to establish a majority government, it has been his modus operandi from the get go. However, the DUP will no longer be relevant after the next election barring another quirk of fate with the numbers. If the opposition granted him an election (which I doubt they will) I think he will use this to try and get his deal from last week ratified. The downside of an election for the Tories will be their annihilation in Scotland and the potential for the next government to grant a second independence referendum after Brexit is done.

I dunno. A Boris majority after GE ( regardless of where the majority comes from) means that the deal is dead and buried. It's a clean slate and I suspect that it will be a no deal Brexit. A second referendum might happen with Scotland but the DUP will be on the pig's back. A hard border and loads of angst that they want so badly.

A hard border is the direct path to a winnable border poll within the next decade.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 22, 2019, 11:30:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 10:46:49 PM


You're correct in that Johnson wants a general election to establish a majority government, it has been his modus operandi from the get go. However, the DUP will no longer be relevant after the next election barring another quirk of fate with the numbers. If the opposition granted him an election (which I doubt they will) I think he will use this to try and get his deal from last week ratified. The downside of an election for the Tories will be their annihilation in Scotland and the potential for the next government to grant a second independence referendum after Brexit is done.

I wouldn't count on that. The cash-for-ash scandal wasn't enough to finish Arlene and bring about a UUP renaissance. What makes you think the Brexit debacle will be any different? All the DUP have to do is wave the orange fleg and berate the Shinners hard enough that they'll come back with as many MPs as before, and probably even more.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 23, 2019, 12:03:01 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 22, 2019, 11:30:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 10:46:49 PM


You're correct in that Johnson wants a general election to establish a majority government, it has been his modus operandi from the get go. However, the DUP will no longer be relevant after the next election barring another quirk of fate with the numbers. If the opposition granted him an election (which I doubt they will) I think he will use this to try and get his deal from last week ratified. The downside of an election for the Tories will be their annihilation in Scotland and the potential for the next government to grant a second independence referendum after Brexit is done.

I wouldn't count on that. The cash-for-ash scandal wasn't enough to finish Arlene and bring about a UUP renaissance. What makes you think the Brexit debacle will be any different? All the DUP have to do is wave the orange fleg and berate the Shinners hard enough that they'll come back with as many MPs as before, and probably even more.

Fingers crossed Arlene gets nailed when the report comes out RHI isn't over yet!!

As for the Loyalists it's laughable. Apparently when us remainers called them stupid and said they didn't know what they voted for we were just part of the sneering liberal elite and we were trying to deny their sovereignty... f**k them they deserve everything they get!!

They gambled that they could get a hard border in Ireland and it backfired spectacularly on them.

As a matter of interest who is this Loyalist Civil unrest going to be aimed at?? It's not the Irish Govts fault the UK voted out... it's not the Nationalist/Remainers fault... they voted to leave so they can hardly take it out on themselves.

They'll have to mount a campaign against the British Govt on the mainland... They'll need to be sure they have the correct export papers when they get to Holyhead though!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 23, 2019, 12:30:13 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 23, 2019, 12:03:01 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 22, 2019, 11:30:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 10:46:49 PM


You're correct in that Johnson wants a general election to establish a majority government, it has been his modus operandi from the get go. However, the DUP will no longer be relevant after the next election barring another quirk of fate with the numbers. If the opposition granted him an election (which I doubt they will) I think he will use this to try and get his deal from last week ratified. The downside of an election for the Tories will be their annihilation in Scotland and the potential for the next government to grant a second independence referendum after Brexit is done.

I wouldn't count on that. The cash-for-ash scandal wasn't enough to finish Arlene and bring about a UUP renaissance. What makes you think the Brexit debacle will be any different? All the DUP have to do is wave the orange fleg and berate the Shinners hard enough that they'll come back with as many MPs as before, and probably even more.

Fingers crossed Arlene gets nailed when the report comes out RHI isn't over yet!!

As for the Loyalists it's laughable. Apparently when us remainers called them stupid and said they didn't know what they voted for we were just part of the sneering liberal elite and we were trying to deny their sovereignty... f**k them they deserve everything they get!!

They gambled that they could get a hard border in Ireland and it backfired spectacularly on them.

As a matter of interest who is this Loyalist Civil unrest going to be aimed at?? It's not the Irish Govts fault the UK voted out... it's not the Nationalist/Remainers fault... they voted to leave so they can hardly take it out on themselves.

They'll have to mount a campaign against the British Govt on the mainland... They'll need to be sure they have the correct export papers when they get to Holyhead though!!!

Innocent taigs, if the past is anything to go by.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on October 23, 2019, 06:23:36 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 23, 2019, 12:30:13 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 23, 2019, 12:03:01 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 22, 2019, 11:30:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 10:46:49 PM


You're correct in that Johnson wants a general election to establish a majority government, it has been his modus operandi from the get go. However, the DUP will no longer be relevant after the next election barring another quirk of fate with the numbers. If the opposition granted him an election (which I doubt they will) I think he will use this to try and get his deal from last week ratified. The downside of an election for the Tories will be their annihilation in Scotland and the potential for the next government to grant a second independence referendum after Brexit is done.

I wouldn't count on that. The cash-for-ash scandal wasn't enough to finish Arlene and bring about a UUP renaissance. What makes you think the Brexit debacle will be any different? All the DUP have to do is wave the orange fleg and berate the Shinners hard enough that they'll come back with as many MPs as before, and probably even more.

Fingers crossed Arlene gets nailed when the report comes out RHI isn't over yet!!

As for the Loyalists it's laughable. Apparently when us remainers called them stupid and said they didn't know what they voted for we were just part of the sneering liberal elite and we were trying to deny their sovereignty... f**k them they deserve everything they get!!

They gambled that they could get a hard border in Ireland and it backfired spectacularly on them.

As a matter of interest who is this Loyalist Civil unrest going to be aimed at?? It's not the Irish Govts fault the UK voted out... it's not the Nationalist/Remainers fault... they voted to leave so they can hardly take it out on themselves.

They'll have to mount a campaign against the British Govt on the mainland... They'll need to be sure they have the correct export papers when they get to Holyhead though!!!

Innocent taigs, if the past is anything to go by.

The loyalist anger will always be directed at Catholics. Any normal person would have seen this as a clear sign that the British government doesn't want or care for NI. But the loyalists like a needy child want to cling on for dear life.

Wouldn't expect the DUP to lose many mps at the next election. Their base are the same hard-core followers as Donald Trumps, nothing the DUP does will affect that base.

One thing I have learnt from the troubles documentary is that a loyalist campaign will not survive without being fed information from the British government. Can't see this happening this time though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 23, 2019, 08:55:44 AM
The old enemy  ::)

Its the Irish govt who are getting it, accompanied by cries of republicans having been rewarded for threatening violence.

I do think at this point its sabre rattling when there still is a chance of it having some effect, and hopefully when Brexit sorted it will settle into something more constructive (working class loyalism needs representation, take on the DUP at the polls), but there will undoubtedly be some eejits who'll seek to cause trouble, and as soon as they do, Bryson et al should be lifted for incitement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2019, 09:06:59 AM
These FT numbers are amazing

"After the British government's partition of Ireland in 1920-21, the areas in and around Belfast in the north produced about 80 per cent of the whole island's industrial output. Now the Republic's output is 10 times greater than Northern Ireland's."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 09:35:47 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 22, 2019, 11:30:47 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 22, 2019, 10:46:49 PM


You're correct in that Johnson wants a general election to establish a majority government, it has been his modus operandi from the get go. However, the DUP will no longer be relevant after the next election barring another quirk of fate with the numbers. If the opposition granted him an election (which I doubt they will) I think he will use this to try and get his deal from last week ratified. The downside of an election for the Tories will be their annihilation in Scotland and the potential for the next government to grant a second independence referendum after Brexit is done.

I wouldn't count on that. The cash-for-ash scandal wasn't enough to finish Arlene and bring about a UUP renaissance. What makes you think the Brexit debacle will be any different? All the DUP have to do is wave the orange fleg and berate the Shinners hard enough that they'll come back with as many MPs as before, and probably even more.

When I say no longer relevant I mean that the numbers are very unlikely to afford them the opportunity of holding the balance of power again and I don't think their obstruction to the existing government would endear any potential future minority government to embrace them again even if they did.

In terms of seats and votes, I agree totally that not much will change. They will blame the EU, the Shinners and the Irish government and return with a similar amount of seats. This won't say anything about the quality of leadership within Unionism though, young people of a different generation have been left bemused and dismayed by the DUP's behaviour under Arlene Foster's leadership.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 23, 2019, 09:44:08 AM
Unfortunately an Election will give Tories a huge majority, Brexit party will do feck all, and Libs and Greens will spilt Labour - Boris will get his way maybe not by Oct 31st but by Christmas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 23, 2019, 09:51:25 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 23, 2019, 09:44:08 AM
Unfortunately an Election will give Tories a huge majority, Brexit party will do feck all, and Libs and Greens will spilt Labour - Boris will get his way maybe not by Oct 31st but by Christmas.

I can't see the Tories getting a huge majority

1. They've lost Scotland now with Ruth Davidson gone and Scotland getting shafted

2. They've lost London with their leave stance

3. The staunch Labour leave voting areas they are targeting up North will still find it difficult to put a tick in the box for a Tory

A GE will still have to be some kind of coalition government and who wants to form a coalition with the Tories?? DUP won't again and they'll siphen off a fair chunk of their membership if they go into coalition with the Brexit party.

It's all to play for!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 01:46:28 PM
Nigel Dodds is now calling out the UK PM and the Brexit secretary as either liars or incompetent on twitter.

Looks like the DUP have now gone full rogue against the Tories, could we yet see them switch sides to a softer customs union Brexit option in tandem with the opposition. Either way they are loving this media spotlight.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 23, 2019, 02:29:04 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 01:46:28 PM
Nigel Dodds is now calling out the UK PM and the Brexit secretary as either liars or incompetent on twitter.

Looks like the DUP have now gone full rogue against the Tories, could we yet see them switch sides to a softer customs union Brexit option in tandem with the opposition. Either way they are loving this media spotlight.

The media spotlight they love could also be termed: give them enough rope and they will hang themselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on October 23, 2019, 04:48:37 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 23, 2019, 02:29:04 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 01:46:28 PM
Nigel Dodds is now calling out the UK PM and the Brexit secretary as either liars or incompetent on twitter.

Looks like the DUP have now gone full rogue against the Tories, could we yet see them switch sides to a softer customs union Brexit option in tandem with the opposition. Either way they are loving this media spotlight.

The media spotlight they love could also be termed: give them enough rope and they will hang themselves.

The problem with that particular shower is that they have no shame. Some of the ramblings of their so called senior party members are borderline deranged, hypocritical and so nonsensical that they make the Donald look measured and yet they still get voted back in as long as themmums dont like it.

If they screw themselves with the Tories they could nt care less, as long as they can crow on TV about how they stood up for the Union (and fcuk the unionist businesses, farmers etc that will suffer as a consequence) 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 23, 2019, 07:25:21 PM
An 'Ulster says no to Brexit' campaign might have confused a few of the DUP voting brethren.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 23, 2019, 08:18:42 PM
DUP totally overplayed their hand out of utter arrogance and belief they could trust the Tories, despite being told by everybody else they would be shafted. It's their Brexit, they agitated for it, and now the reality has dawned they're trying to blame everybody else. Bryson and his UVF drug dealing rapist mates are threatening violence and blaming it on nationalists... if one innocent person is murdered as result of unionists being thrown under bus, that little f**king Elmer Fudd needs dealt with.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 23, 2019, 08:30:23 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 23, 2019, 08:18:42 PM
DUP totally overplayed their hand out of utter arrogance and belief they could trust the Tories, despite being told by everybody else they would be shafted. It's their Brexit, they agitated for it, and now the reality has dawned they're trying to blame everybody else. Bryson and his UVF drug dealing rapist mates are threatening violence and blaming it on nationalists... if one innocent person is murdered as result of unionists being thrown under bus, that little f**king Elmer Fudd needs dealt with.

+1.  Bryson is a dangerous fool, should one innocent person die as a result of his, the DUP's, and loyalist agitation,  the whole damn lot of them need locked up for eternity!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 08:56:57 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on October 23, 2019, 08:30:23 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 23, 2019, 08:18:42 PM
DUP totally overplayed their hand out of utter arrogance and belief they could trust the Tories, despite being told by everybody else they would be shafted. It's their Brexit, they agitated for it, and now the reality has dawned they're trying to blame everybody else. Bryson and his UVF drug dealing rapist mates are threatening violence and blaming it on nationalists... if one innocent person is murdered as result of unionists being thrown under bus, that little f**king Elmer Fudd needs dealt with.

+1.  Bryson is a dangerous fool, should one innocent person die as a result of his, the DUP's, and loyalist agitation,  the whole damn lot of them need locked up for eternity!

Anyone taking Jamie Bryson seriously needs to take a good long look at themselves. He wants to stir up hatred and division but in reality most people simply treat him as a figure of ridicule which is precisely the way he should be treated. He has no credibility, no mandate, no job and is a self anointed spokesman for UVF drug dealing criminals. Another godsend for bolstering nationalist support if you ask me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 23, 2019, 09:26:40 PM
Absolutely right. He's a f**king non-entity, but he's been given a platform by that utter sc**bag Nolan, who is only in this for his own ego driven enrichment, superinjunctions and all. A total windup merchant boosting his own career and using this utter loyalist gobshite for his own ends, but innocent people will suffer as result
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Olly on October 23, 2019, 09:30:46 PM
Same with Elvis. People said he was mad but then men starting shaking hips and there was a baby boom.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2019, 09:36:01 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 23, 2019, 09:26:40 PM
Absolutely right. He's a f**king non-entity, but he's been given a platform by that utter sc**bag Nolan, who is only in this for his own ego driven enrichment, superinjunctions and all. A total windup merchant boosting his own career and using this utter loyalist gobshite for his own ends, but innocent people will suffer as result

Better to go after Nolan than Bryson.

Bryson is too stupid to recognise danger.

That other fat hoor might. That other fat hoor is also bright enough to know that him giving airtime to extremists provides validation to their views and encourages other idiots along the same path.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 23, 2019, 09:38:08 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 08:56:57 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on October 23, 2019, 08:30:23 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 23, 2019, 08:18:42 PM
DUP totally overplayed their hand out of utter arrogance and belief they could trust the Tories, despite being told by everybody else they would be shafted. It's their Brexit, they agitated for it, and now the reality has dawned they're trying to blame everybody else. Bryson and his UVF drug dealing rapist mates are threatening violence and blaming it on nationalists... if one innocent person is murdered as result of unionists being thrown under bus, that little f**king Elmer Fudd needs dealt with.

+1.  Bryson is a dangerous fool, should one innocent person die as a result of his, the DUP's, and loyalist agitation,  the whole damn lot of them need locked up for eternity!

Anyone taking Jamie Bryson seriously needs to take a good long look at themselves. He wants to stir up hatred and division but in reality most people simply treat him as a figure of ridicule which is precisely the way he should be treated. He has no credibility, no mandate, no job and is a self anointed spokesman for UVF drug dealing criminals. Another godsend for bolstering nationalist support if you ask me.

Why's he always on Nolan and seems to be the pin-up boy that all the tv stations want to interview?

He's a muppet but people in DUP probably keeping him up to speed with what is happening on an hourly basis.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 10:19:52 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2019, 09:36:01 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 23, 2019, 09:26:40 PM
Absolutely right. He's a f**king non-entity, but he's been given a platform by that utter sc**bag Nolan, who is only in this for his own ego driven enrichment, superinjunctions and all. A total windup merchant boosting his own career and using this utter loyalist gobshite for his own ends, but innocent people will suffer as result

Better to go after Nolan than Bryson.

Bryson is too stupid to recognise danger.

That other fat hoor might. That other fat hoor is also bright enough to know that him giving airtime to extremists provides validation to their views and encourages other idiots along the same path.

This. If anyone should be the subject of your ire it's Nolan who has facilitated and helped cultivate a reputation for Bryson as a spokesman for loyalism in his own personal pursuit for ratings. Nolan is an irresponsible journalist but he knows exactly what he is doing. Tries to dress it up by saying that he gives a voice to minorities but he is only interested in extremism and ratings, his show is a daily cesspit of sectarianism showcasing the worst of society for his own personal ego.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 23, 2019, 11:37:37 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 10:19:52 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 23, 2019, 09:36:01 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 23, 2019, 09:26:40 PM
Absolutely right. He's a f**king non-entity, but he's been given a platform by that utter sc**bag Nolan, who is only in this for his own ego driven enrichment, superinjunctions and all. A total windup merchant boosting his own career and using this utter loyalist gobshite for his own ends, but innocent people will suffer as result

Better to go after Nolan than Bryson.

Bryson is too stupid to recognise danger.

That other fat hoor might. That other fat hoor is also bright enough to know that him giving airtime to extremists provides validation to their views and encourages other idiots along the same path.

This. If anyone should be the subject of your ire it's Nolan who has facilitated and helped cultivate a reputation for Bryson as a spokesman for loyalism in his own personal pursuit for ratings. Nolan is an irresponsible journalist but he knows exactly what he is doing. Tries to dress it up by saying that he gives a voice to minorities but he is only interested in extremism and ratings, his show is a daily cesspit of sectarianism showcasing the worst of society for his own personal ego.

So true - always Bryson, Allister and Jim Wells on his radio and tv shows with Jim 'my community' Wilson on occasionaily.

On the nationalist side, there's nobody like that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 24, 2019, 02:17:56 AM
These lads are filling a vacuum left by the fact Sinn Fein or the DUP won't appear because they know they'll get a rough ride.

The Nolan Show is the gutter but it does represent quite a few people from here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 24, 2019, 09:43:39 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 23, 2019, 09:06:30 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 08:56:57 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on October 23, 2019, 08:30:23 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 23, 2019, 08:18:42 PM
DUP totally overplayed their hand out of utter arrogance and belief they could trust the Tories, despite being told by everybody else they would be shafted. It's their Brexit, they agitated for it, and now the reality has dawned they're trying to blame everybody else. Bryson and his UVF drug dealing rapist mates are threatening violence and blaming it on nationalists... if one innocent person is murdered as result of unionists being thrown under bus, that little f**king Elmer Fudd needs dealt with.

+1.  Bryson is a dangerous fool, should one innocent person die as a result of his, the DUP's, and loyalist agitation,  the whole damn lot of them need locked up for eternity!

Anyone taking Jamie Bryson seriously needs to take a good long look at themselves. He wants to stir up hatred and division but in reality most people simply treat him as a figure of ridicule which is precisely the way he should be treated. He has no credibility, no mandate, no job and is a self anointed spokesman for UVF drug dealing criminals. Another godsend for bolstering nationalist support if you ask me.
That's where you are dangerously wrong. Many people listen to and buy into his shite. These people are often the ones most likely to do stupid things.
While you and I can see Bryson as a fool, please don't think that he isn't wielding influence over people. Like Willie Frazer, he is a buffoon. Like Willie Frazer, he is also a dangerous wee fcuker.

He is indeed a dangerous wee f**ker and that's why Ballbag Nolan needs to be a lot more careful about the amount of airtime he gives him.

they seem to be turning the fact that Boris Johnson screwed them into an issue with Leo Varadkar as their bogey man and that needs called out as nonsense and untrue as you know rightly what that will lead to.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 24, 2019, 09:50:47 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 24, 2019, 09:43:39 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 23, 2019, 09:06:30 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 23, 2019, 08:56:57 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on October 23, 2019, 08:30:23 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 23, 2019, 08:18:42 PM
DUP totally overplayed their hand out of utter arrogance and belief they could trust the Tories, despite being told by everybody else they would be shafted. It's their Brexit, they agitated for it, and now the reality has dawned they're trying to blame everybody else. Bryson and his UVF drug dealing rapist mates are threatening violence and blaming it on nationalists... if one innocent person is murdered as result of unionists being thrown under bus, that little f**king Elmer Fudd needs dealt with.

+1.  Bryson is a dangerous fool, should one innocent person die as a result of his, the DUP's, and loyalist agitation,  the whole damn lot of them need locked up for eternity!

Anyone taking Jamie Bryson seriously needs to take a good long look at themselves. He wants to stir up hatred and division but in reality most people simply treat him as a figure of ridicule which is precisely the way he should be treated. He has no credibility, no mandate, no job and is a self anointed spokesman for UVF drug dealing criminals. Another godsend for bolstering nationalist support if you ask me.
That's where you are dangerously wrong. Many people listen to and buy into his shite. These people are often the ones most likely to do stupid things.
While you and I can see Bryson as a fool, please don't think that he isn't wielding influence over people. Like Willie Frazer, he is a buffoon. Like Willie Frazer, he is also a dangerous wee fcuker.

He is indeed a dangerous wee f**ker and that's why Ballbag Nolan needs to be a lot more careful about the amount of airtime he gives him.

they seem to be turning the fact that Boris Johnson screwed them into an issue with Leo Varadkar as their bogey man and that needs called out as nonsense and untrue as you know rightly what that will lead to.

Very true Johnny - Boris brought them along then, as everybody said would happen happened, he  shafted them.

So instead of 'attacking' Boris and his cronies, his vitrol is turned towards Dublin and nationalists.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 24, 2019, 10:33:08 AM
The inbred in built bigotry and hate is always waiting for an excuse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on October 24, 2019, 10:53:27 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 24, 2019, 10:33:08 AM
The inbred in built bigotry and hate is always waiting for an excuse.

United Ireland here we come.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on October 24, 2019, 05:27:21 PM
Nah....PUL roadblockers & anarchy merchants here we come, while the RUC (Sorry.....PSNI) watch on, as usual.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 24, 2019, 05:57:48 PM
It's all up in the air.  The Tories think an election is surer
than pushing their withdrawal bill through Parliament where it will be amended.
But they could lose an election. And lose Brexit. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 24, 2019, 06:13:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 24, 2019, 05:57:48 PM
It's all up in the air.  The Tories think an election is surer
than pushing their withdrawal bill through Parliament where it will be amended.
But they could lose an election. And lose Brexit.

I think Labour will/should go for this election, mainly cos if the election is in the spring after Brexit gets done then they have no chance of unseating the Tories with a coalition.

Anyway the SNP will bite his hand off for it and the Lib Dems will want it to, so it doesnt really matter what Labour want.

The remain parties have a chance here as long as they prepare for Cummings moves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 24, 2019, 06:29:54 PM
It very much matters what Labour wants.
Bozo needs something around 430 votes to have a General Election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 24, 2019, 06:43:43 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 24, 2019, 06:29:54 PM
It very much matters what Labour wants.
Bozo needs something around 430 votes to have a General Election.

Oh yeah your right I thought he could make it if the SNP and Lib Dem go for it but he cant
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 24, 2019, 07:39:37 PM
https://twitter.com/thatginamiller/status/1187389161029943303
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 24, 2019, 07:52:46 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 23, 2019, 09:44:08 AM
Unfortunately an Election will give Tories a huge majority, Brexit party will do feck all, and Libs and Greens will spilt Labour - Boris will get his way maybe not by Oct 31st but by Christmas.

Not a chance.

My guess for the election outcome:

Remainer Tory voters to defect to the Lib Dems or Labour depending on who's likely to win certain seats.

Lib Dems to surge as soon as Jo Swinson gets a word in edgewise in the TV debate(s) (same as the Nick Clegg effect in 2010).

SNP to mop up just about anything that's left in Scotland and insist on Indyref II as a condition for joining any coalition. All remainer parties will demand Brexitref II as a condition for any coalition support, with voters given a choice between the latest Withdrawal Agreement and Remain.

Hung parliament, possibly with Tories as the largest party but not by much.

If remainer parties do an electoral pact then the Tories are finished, but I couldn't see that happening. 

BrexitRef II results in a pro-Remain vote by about 55% to 60%.

Scotland's Indyref II outcome depends on what happens with Brexit. If Brexit goes ahead, England can kiss Scotland goodbye. If Brexit is canceled, Indyref II could be too close to call.  As for Wales, I couldn't see support for independence getting much above 20%. The highest it gets in polls is 33% and that's predicated on it happening in the event of Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 24, 2019, 08:24:27 PM
I think Jo Swinson is just awful tbh. Piers Morgan tweeted something a while back and it was so on the money - something along the lines of the people who vehemently proclaim how Liberal they are are in fact the least tolerant of other people's views. That applies 100% to Swinson imo. Gobshite and all that Morgan can be I think he really has a point with intolerant Liberals (I'm sure he might not be first to have said it).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 24, 2019, 08:29:58 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2019, 08:24:27 PM
I think Jo Swinson is just awful tbh. Piers Morgan tweeted something a while back and it was so on the money - something along the lines of the people who vehemently proclaim how Liberal they are are in fact the least tolerant of other people's views. That applies 100% to Swinson imo. Gobshite and all that Morgan can be I think he really has a point with intolerant Liberals (I'm sure he's might be first to say it).

+1 A completely self indulgent individual, I hope she gets tanked at the polls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on October 24, 2019, 09:46:55 PM
Watching brexit top table on iplayer. f**k me its bad everyone shouting over each other. Mccallion from SF is brutal could they not have sent someone on with some sense.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 24, 2019, 09:52:45 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2019, 08:24:27 PM
I think Jo Swinson is just awful tbh. Piers Morgan tweeted something a while back and it was so on the money - something along the lines of the people who vehemently proclaim how Liberal they are are in fact the least tolerant of other people's views. That applies 100% to Swinson imo. Gobshite and all that Morgan can be I think he really has a point with intolerant Liberals (I'm sure he might not be first to have said it).

Well if Piers Morgan said it then it must be true.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 24, 2019, 10:01:55 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on October 24, 2019, 09:46:55 PM
Watching brexit top table on iplayer. f**k me its bad everyone shouting over each other. Mccallion from SF is brutal could they not have sent someone on with some sense.

Is there one from Shinners?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 24, 2019, 10:21:08 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 24, 2019, 10:01:55 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on October 24, 2019, 09:46:55 PM
Watching brexit top table on iplayer. f**k me its bad everyone shouting over each other. Mccallion from SF is brutal could they not have sent someone on with some sense.

Is there one from Shinners?

Mccallion like a banshee
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 25, 2019, 11:51:26 AM
I thought there was some kind of masterplan in No. 10??

Coming out this morning saying the Government will "go on strike" is not exactly the sharpest thinking!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 25, 2019, 12:03:28 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/10/25/treasury-says-has-paused-production-brexit-50p-coins-missed/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 25, 2019, 12:42:55 PM
In spite of the mini-euphoria and popularity-boost (because a border was to be avoided) that has occurred since the Taoiseach and BJ came up with a compromise deal, it may come to be seen in time that it wasn't really Varadkar's finest hour. In reality, it is not a good deal for Ireland as it could still result in a No-Deal default at the end of 2020. The UK has to make up it's mind by mid-next year if they want to extend the transition period, even though Phil Hogan may not even have fully selected his negotiating team by then.

Though a huge gamble to take, it may have paid off if Varadkar/EU let the October 31st date expire without a deal, as the Benn Act would kick in and BJ would be bound to it, no matter what he said to the contrary. This would surely have brought a 2nd ref. closer than where it is now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 25, 2019, 03:20:16 PM
I agree that its probably not a good deal for Ireland esp NI. For the reason you mentioned and also these custom checks between Britain will definitely curtail commerce.

Tho the Benn Act did kick in and I dont see how it would bring ref2 about any quicker.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 25, 2019, 03:23:30 PM
It seems that is why some ERG were on board with it. No deal through the back door.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on October 28, 2019, 10:14:46 AM
Another extension until 31st January then.  This surely means that there will be a general election in the mean time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 10:46:53 AM
Quote from: lurganblue on October 28, 2019, 10:14:46 AM
Another extension until 31st January then.  This surely means that there will be a general election in the mean time.

Swinson - I will be next PM my hole, looks like she is going make sure of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 28, 2019, 10:50:56 AM
Quote from: lurganblue on October 28, 2019, 10:14:46 AM
Another extension until 31st January then.  This surely means that there will be a general election in the mean time.

f**k knows.

Lib Dems and SNP want an election but before Boris's date of Dec 12th.
The highly incompetent Labour party want an election but don't know when.

Isn't it time that Jeremy Corbyn did everyone a favour and pissed off. He couldn't lead a dog. A left wing Marxist, not fit to be leader of the opposition.

Politics is a massive shit show at the minute.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 11:29:02 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 28, 2019, 10:50:56 AM
Quote from: lurganblue on October 28, 2019, 10:14:46 AM
Another extension until 31st January then.  This surely means that there will be a general election in the mean time.

f**k knows.

Lib Dems and SNP want an election but before Boris's date of Dec 12th.
The highly incompetent Labour party want an election but don't know when.

Isn't it time that Jeremy Corbyn did everyone a favour and pissed off. He couldn't lead a dog. A left wing Marxist, not fit to be leader of the opposition.

Politics is a massive shit show at the minute.

Corbyn wants brexit done before an election, he is anti european and wants to fight election on policies rather than Brexit or he will be trounced. SNP will take all seats in Scotland but Libs are overplaying their hand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 11:41:41 AM
Shinners will have the snow ploughs out to get the electorate there so they can go on to not represent them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 28, 2019, 05:45:21 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 11:41:41 AM
Shinners will have the snow ploughs out to get the electorate there so they can go on to not represent them.
Which is what people who vote for them want. Your point is?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on October 28, 2019, 06:05:02 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 11:29:02 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 28, 2019, 10:50:56 AM
Quote from: lurganblue on October 28, 2019, 10:14:46 AM
Another extension until 31st January then.  This surely means that there will be a general election in the mean time.

f**k knows.

Lib Dems and SNP want an election but before Boris's date of Dec 12th.
The highly incompetent Labour party want an election but don't know when.

Isn't it time that Jeremy Corbyn did everyone a favour and pissed off. He couldn't lead a dog. A left wing Marxist, not fit to be leader of the opposition.

Politics is a massive shit show at the minute.

Corbyn wants brexit done before an election, he is anti european and wants to fight election on policies rather than Brexit or he will be trounced. SNP will take all seats in Scotland but Libs are overplaying their hand.

I thought that peculiar.... if they let Brexit happen they will alienate a sizable chunk of their electorate to the Lib Dems. If its still in play they can still talk out of both sides of their mouth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 06:39:39 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 28, 2019, 05:45:21 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 11:41:41 AM
Shinners will have the snow ploughs out to get the electorate there so they can go on to not represent them.
Which is what people who vote for them want. Your point is?

They are completely useless, their leadership is inept. They want to get paid for doing nothing, step aside in this election put people before party, like the DUP more than 60% will vote shinners in a we against them, anyone who wants representation should give them a wide berth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 28, 2019, 07:37:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 06:39:39 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 28, 2019, 05:45:21 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 11:41:41 AM
Shinners will have the snow ploughs out to get the electorate there so they can go on to not represent them.
Which is what people who vote for them want. Your point is?

They are completely useless, their leadership is inept. They want to get paid for doing nothing, step aside in this election put people before party, like the DUP more than 60% will vote shinners in a we against them, anyone who wants representation should give them a wide berth.
Yep because going to Westminster has gone so well for the DUPers... beep beep mind the bus...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on October 28, 2019, 08:09:44 PM
Corbyn is a seriously incompetent fool to the extent he is making the DUP look good. He is doing some serious damage to Labour and it is time for him to step down... But he won't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 08:22:22 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 28, 2019, 07:37:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 06:39:39 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 28, 2019, 05:45:21 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 11:41:41 AM
Shinners will have the snow ploughs out to get the electorate there so they can go on to not represent them.
Which is what people who vote for them want. Your point is?

They are completely useless, their leadership is inept. They want to get paid for doing nothing, step aside in this election put people before party, like the DUP more than 60% will vote shinners in a we against them, anyone who wants representation should give them a wide berth.
Yep because going to Westminster has gone so well for the DUPers... beep beep mind the bus...

And doing absolutely nothing for their electorate has won over the masses for the shinners.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 08:23:15 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on October 28, 2019, 08:09:44 PM
Corbyn is a seriously incompetent fool to the extent he is making the DUP look good. He is doing some serious damage to Labour and it is time for him to step down... But he won't.

He is abysmal should have been kicked out years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 08:41:12 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 28, 2019, 07:37:03 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 06:39:39 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 28, 2019, 05:45:21 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 11:41:41 AM
Shinners will have the snow ploughs out to get the electorate there so they can go on to not represent them.
Which is what people who vote for them want. Your point is?

They are completely useless, their leadership is inept. They want to get paid for doing nothing, step aside in this election put people before party, like the DUP more than 60% will vote shinners in a we against them, anyone who wants representation should give them a wide berth.
Yep because going to Westminster has gone so well for the DUPers... beep beep mind the bus...

So is Shinners going go nowhere after all what good did taking their seats in Assembly achieve or in the Dáil. They are more bewildering than labour party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 28, 2019, 08:56:49 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 08:41:12 PM

So is Shinners going go nowhere after all what good did taking their seats in Assembly achieve or in the Dáil. They are more bewildering than labour party.

They got education reform done under McGuinness, didn't they?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on October 28, 2019, 09:46:04 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 28, 2019, 08:56:49 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 08:41:12 PM

So is Shinners going go nowhere after all what good did taking their seats in Assembly achieve or in the Dáil. They are more bewildering than labour party.

They got education reform done under McGuinness, didn't they?

I would hardly call what happened under McGuinness "education reform"

All they did was get rid of the existing transfer test which was promptly replaced by two transfer tests administered by the grammar schools
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on October 28, 2019, 10:51:55 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 28, 2019, 08:23:15 PM
Quote from: Solo_run on October 28, 2019, 08:09:44 PM
Corbyn is a seriously incompetent fool to the extent he is making the DUP look good. He is doing some serious damage to Labour and it is time for him to step down... But he won't.

He is abysmal should have been kicked out years ago.

He was refreshing when he came in, everyone wanted an honest politician and he seemed to be just like that. In comparison there is a PM who lies everytime be opens his mouth and oriole sorry him. However, Corbyn has changed and quickly became your typical politician but he is out of his depth with and doesn't have that killer instinct for being a politician
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 29, 2019, 12:34:01 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

They usually do and require more tutoring, parents will do anything to get their wee Johnny into the 'good' school
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 11:14:18 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

The only boys school in Armagh now doesn't stream to the detriment of every child wishing to learn.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on October 29, 2019, 11:24:44 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 11:14:18 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

The only boys school in Armagh now doesn't stream to the detriment of every child wishing to learn.

Same applies in Lurgan
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 29, 2019, 11:29:30 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I don't get the tutoring thing TBH and I've kids of that age.

As a parent we support them through the process like I do the elder ones who are Grammar school when they're struggling with homeworks or what not and the younger ones with their reading and writing etc etc.

Tutoring in my mind is once again parents abdicating their responsibilities onto someone else just because they can afford to.

And I've spoken to a few Grammar school teachers and they all say the same thing that they can tell within a matter of weeks which kids were tutored for the entrance exams and those that didn't.

The support has been removed as mammy and daddy pat themselves on the backs for getting wee Johnny into that big Grammar school and all's well with the world.

The problem with MCGuinness and the removal of the 11+ was that the second part of the process (Costello report) was never implemented due to the CCMS and to an extent the DUP looking after the interests of the Grammar schools in their areas.
The second part of the process was for primary school teachers to assess kids throughout P6 and P7 against a standard criteria and then after discussions with parents at the end of the process to decide whether wee Johnny was fit for an academic based education or a vocational based one.

There are several issues with the implementation of the second phase as we all know too well that subjectivity isn't a given when mammy and daddy sit down to discuss wee Johnny.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 11:40:09 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 29, 2019, 11:29:30 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I don't get the tutoring thing TBH and I've kids of that age.

As a parent we support them through the process like I do the elder ones who are Grammar school when they're struggling with homeworks or what not and the younger ones with their reading and writing etc etc.

Tutoring in my mind is once again parents abdicating their responsibilities onto someone else just because they can afford to.

And I've spoken to a few Grammar school teachers and they all say the same thing that they can tell within a matter of weeks which kids were tutored for the entrance exams and those that didn't.

The support has been removed as mammy and daddy pat themselves on the backs for getting wee Johnny into that big Grammar school and all's well with the world.

The problem with MCGuinness and the removal of the 11+ was that the second part of the process (Costello report) was never implemented due to the CCMS and to an extent the DUP looking after the interests of the Grammar schools in their areas.
The second part of the process was for primary school teachers to assess kids throughout P6 and P7 against a standard criteria and then after discussions with parents at the end of the process to decide whether wee Johnny was fit for an academic based education or a vocational based one.

There are several issues with the implementation of the second phase as we all know too well that subjectivity isn't a given when mammy and daddy sit down to discuss wee Johnny.

Horseshit, I know some parents who are working class and struggle to help their kids and also struggle to pay for tutoring to give their kids a chance, send a child to St Pats in Armagh who needs a little extra encouragement that a proper Grammar would give, they have no chance, it has become a compete cesspit get them in and out is the motto, with those who don't want to learn spread evenly throughout any year bringing everyone down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 11:44:40 AM
The whole tutoring thing is a scam imho with teachers or ex teachers creaming it on the side. Kids either have it or they don't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 29, 2019, 11:47:06 AM
While ye Nordies are going on about schools Corbyn says Labour now agreeing to an Election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on October 29, 2019, 11:48:37 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 11:40:09 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 29, 2019, 11:29:30 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I don't get the tutoring thing TBH and I've kids of that age.

As a parent we support them through the process like I do the elder ones who are Grammar school when they're struggling with homeworks or what not and the younger ones with their reading and writing etc etc.

Tutoring in my mind is once again parents abdicating their responsibilities onto someone else just because they can afford to.

And I've spoken to a few Grammar school teachers and they all say the same thing that they can tell within a matter of weeks which kids were tutored for the entrance exams and those that didn't.

The support has been removed as mammy and daddy pat themselves on the backs for getting wee Johnny into that big Grammar school and all's well with the world.

The problem with MCGuinness and the removal of the 11+ was that the second part of the process (Costello report) was never implemented due to the CCMS and to an extent the DUP looking after the interests of the Grammar schools in their areas.
The second part of the process was for primary school teachers to assess kids throughout P6 and P7 against a standard criteria and then after discussions with parents at the end of the process to decide whether wee Johnny was fit for an academic based education or a vocational based one.

There are several issues with the implementation of the second phase as we all know too well that subjectivity isn't a given when mammy and daddy sit down to discuss wee Johnny.

Horseshit, I know some parents who are working class and struggle to help their kids and also struggle to pay for tutoring to give their kids a chance, send a child to St Pats in Armagh who needs a little extra encouragement that a proper Grammar would give, they have no chance, it has become a compete cesspit get them in and out is the motto, with those who don't want to learn spread evenly throughout any year bringing everyone down.

Why would a parent tutor a child to go to St Pats now considering their current setup?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:02:32 PM
Quote from: lurganblue on October 29, 2019, 11:48:37 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 11:40:09 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 29, 2019, 11:29:30 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I don't get the tutoring thing TBH and I've kids of that age.

As a parent we support them through the process like I do the elder ones who are Grammar school when they're struggling with homeworks or what not and the younger ones with their reading and writing etc etc.

Tutoring in my mind is once again parents abdicating their responsibilities onto someone else just because they can afford to.

And I've spoken to a few Grammar school teachers and they all say the same thing that they can tell within a matter of weeks which kids were tutored for the entrance exams and those that didn't.

The support has been removed as mammy and daddy pat themselves on the backs for getting wee Johnny into that big Grammar school and all's well with the world.

The problem with MCGuinness and the removal of the 11+ was that the second part of the process (Costello report) was never implemented due to the CCMS and to an extent the DUP looking after the interests of the Grammar schools in their areas.
The second part of the process was for primary school teachers to assess kids throughout P6 and P7 against a standard criteria and then after discussions with parents at the end of the process to decide whether wee Johnny was fit for an academic based education or a vocational based one.

There are several issues with the implementation of the second phase as we all know too well that subjectivity isn't a given when mammy and daddy sit down to discuss wee Johnny.

Horseshit, I know some parents who are working class and struggle to help their kids and also struggle to pay for tutoring to give their kids a chance, send a child to St Pats in Armagh who needs a little extra encouragement that a proper Grammar would give, they have no chance, it has become a compete cesspit get them in and out is the motto, with those who don't want to learn spread evenly throughout any year bringing everyone down.

Why would a parent tutor a child to go to St Pats now considering their current setup?

No they would tutor them to go to Dungannon or Newry to give them half a chance!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:03:06 PM
Quote from: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 11:44:40 AM
The whole tutoring thing is a scam imho with teachers or ex teachers creaming it on the side. Kids either have it or they don't.

At 11?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:03:38 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 29, 2019, 11:47:06 AM
While ye Nordies are going on about schools Corbyn says Labour now agreeing to an Election.

Education is quite important you know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 29, 2019, 12:06:55 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 29, 2019, 11:47:06 AM
While ye Nordies are going on about schools Corbyn says Labour now agreeing to an Election.
Would be good if Alliance reduced the DUP down to size by taking 3 or 3 of their seats.

   https://www.ft.com/brexitlive

   Unease among Conservative MPs over election approach

"There is a lot of nervousness among Tory MPs about the impending election, despite Downing Street's eager approach to a pre-Brexit pre-Christmas poll. "It's like a can of paint. Once it's open, it's going to splatter everywhere. No one really knows how it's going to turn out," said one.

There is particular unease among the One Nation group of moderate MPs. "It all feels very hubristic, very Theresa May circa 2017.""
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 29, 2019, 12:20:29 PM
https://electionresults.parliament.uk/election/2017-06-08/results/Location/Country/Northern%20Ireland

Most marginal seats by majority (%)   Average: 20.8%

1   Foyle   0.4%
2   Fermanagh and South Tyrone   1.6%
3   North Down   3.1%
4   Belfast North   4.5%
5   Belfast South   4.6%
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:35:46 PM
So it doesn't matter about Sinn Féin policy in the up coming election, why do they bother going round doors canvasing when everyone know they are abstaining and therefore they don't have to have any policies on social or economic matters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 12:37:46 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:03:06 PM
Quote from: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 11:44:40 AM
The whole tutoring thing is a scam imho with teachers or ex teachers creaming it on the side. Kids either have it or they don't.

At 11?

Well a smart 11 year old is likely to get the transfer test tutored or not. An 11 year old that isn't smart is going to struggle to get the transfer test even with being tutored. Even if they do manage to get it (having been tutored like fcuk), it's been mentioned here that they are soon found out in the first few weeks of grammar school, and where does that leave them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 29, 2019, 12:38:44 PM
Quote from: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 12:37:46 PM
Well a smart 11 year old is likely to get the transfer test tutored or not. An 11 year old that isn't smart is going to struggle to get the transfer test even with being tutored. Even if they do manage to get it (having been tutored like fcuk), it's been mentioned here that they are soon found out in the first few weeks of grammar school, and where does that leave them?

It leaves them needing more tutoring.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 12:39:43 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 29, 2019, 12:38:44 PM
Quote from: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 12:37:46 PM
Well a smart 11 year old is likely to get the transfer test tutored or not. An 11 year old that isn't smart is going to struggle to get the transfer test even with being tutored. Even if they do manage to get it (having been tutored like fcuk), it's been mentioned here that they are soon found out in the first few weeks of grammar school, and where does that leave them?

It leaves them needing more tutoring.

And therefore more cash for the tutor...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:42:59 PM
Quote from: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 12:37:46 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:03:06 PM
Quote from: clarshack on October 29, 2019, 11:44:40 AM
The whole tutoring thing is a scam imho with teachers or ex teachers creaming it on the side. Kids either have it or they don't.

At 11?

Well a smart 11 year old is likely to get the transfer test tutored or not. An 11 year old that isn't smart is going to struggle to get the transfer test even with being tutored. Even if they do manage to get it (having been tutored like fcuk), it's been mentioned here that they are soon found out in the first few weeks of grammar school, and where does that leave them?

Folk paid into the grammar school I went to after failing the 11+ and ended up solicitors, engineers etc.  11+ is big pressure and kids can flunk it due to nerves or issues going on in family at the time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 29, 2019, 12:45:34 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:35:46 PM
So it doesn't matter about Sinn Féin policy in the up coming election, why do they bother going round doors canvasing when everyone know they are abstaining and therefore they don't have to have any policies on social or economic matters.
To make sure "we" vote to make sure "they" don't win??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:49:27 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 29, 2019, 12:45:34 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:35:46 PM
So it doesn't matter about Sinn Féin policy in the up coming election, why do they bother going round doors canvasing when everyone know they are abstaining and therefore they don't have to have any policies on social or economic matters.
To make sure "we" vote to make sure "they" don't win??

And we get no representation and they get handy money.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 01:00:31 PM
The point about paying for tuition isn't to cheat the system or to get your child into an environment that they're unfit for. It's to give them a chance to see if they can thrive in an academic environment, which has to be easier to adapt to if you're in it from day 1, rather than transferred in 3-5 years down the line.

Some kids will never be cut out for academia. Some will have to give literally everything they have to succeed at academia. But I would never deny/ complain about any parent wanting to give their kids that opportunity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:42:15 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.

Sorry I think you miss the point of getting into a school where the culture is one to learn, develop and better oneself.  The point is their ability to get three A's or whatever they are capable off in a non streamed secondary school, where a vast majority of pupils don't want to learn and drag the rest with them, is somewhat impeded.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:51:29 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:42:15 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.

Sorry I think you miss the point of getting into a school where the culture is one to learn, develop and better oneself.  The point is their ability to get three A's or whatever they are capable off in a non streamed secondary school, where a vast majority of pupils don't want to learn and drag the rest with them, is somewhat impeded.

Bit elitist there - grammar schools are no better or worse than other schools in my opinion apart from the point that they're results based - in them you're a number, a stat for the bosses trying to get to No. 1 in the league tables!!!

Most important thing for me, especially going forward is the mental welfare of each pupil.  Are they happy in their school setting ?  Are they sociable etc. etc.  It's not all about the results.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:53:32 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 02:49:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:42:15 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.

Sorry I think you miss the point of getting into a school where the culture is one to learn, develop and better oneself.  The point is their ability to get three A's or whatever they are capable off in a non streamed secondary school, where a vast majority of pupils don't want to learn and drag the rest with them, is somewhat impeded.
The vast majority of pupils in a non-grammar don't want to learn? Where do you hear this stuff?

Sounds a bit snobbish to me - must have went to a grammar school maybe?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on October 29, 2019, 03:07:17 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 01:00:31 PM
The point about paying for tuition isn't to cheat the system or to get your child into an environment that they're unfit for. It's to give them a chance to see if they can thrive in an academic environment, which has to be easier to adapt to if you're in it from day 1, rather than transferred in 3-5 years down the line.

Some kids will never be cut out for academia. Some will have to give literally everything they have to succeed at academia. But I would never deny/ complain about any parent wanting to give their kids that opportunity.

There is also a large difference in the quality of P6/P7 teachers. Some kids may be lucky enough to have great teachers who have them well prepared for transfer tests where as others may not be so lucky and have teachers who put very little preparation into this. It is not a level playing field.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 29, 2019, 03:34:31 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 29, 2019, 03:07:17 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 01:00:31 PM
The point about paying for tuition isn't to cheat the system or to get your child into an environment that they're unfit for. It's to give them a chance to see if they can thrive in an academic environment, which has to be easier to adapt to if you're in it from day 1, rather than transferred in 3-5 years down the line.

Some kids will never be cut out for academia. Some will have to give literally everything they have to succeed at academia. But I would never deny/ complain about any parent wanting to give their kids that opportunity.

There is also a large difference in the quality of P6/P7 teachers. Some kids may be lucky enough to have great teachers who have them well prepared for transfer tests where as others may not be so lucky and have teachers who put very little preparation into this. It is not a level playing field.

How do you decide if a tutor is good or not?  They're not regulated at all.

On another note, Grammar schools are now taking in kids they wouldn't have looked at twice a decade or more ago as numbers for available kids drop in a lot of areas.

I never knew it was a legal requirement on Grammar schools to fill all their available seats irrespective of the child's ability. If they've an intake of 200, they have to just take the best 200 even if some at the lower end of the scale would potentially struggle in that environment.

I can think of several Grammar schools who do that currently.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 03:44:12 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 02:49:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:42:15 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.

Sorry I think you miss the point of getting into a school where the culture is one to learn, develop and better oneself.  The point is their ability to get three A's or whatever they are capable off in a non streamed secondary school, where a vast majority of pupils don't want to learn and drag the rest with them, is somewhat impeded.
The vast majority of pupils in a non-grammar don't want to learn? Where do you hear this stuff?

Maybe you should go back to school and learn to read and I am basing it on the Armagh Catholic Boys education system.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 03:47:46 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:53:32 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 02:49:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:42:15 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.

Sorry I think you miss the point of getting into a school where the culture is one to learn, develop and better oneself.  The point is their ability to get three A's or whatever they are capable off in a non streamed secondary school, where a vast majority of pupils don't want to learn and drag the rest with them, is somewhat impeded.
The vast majority of pupils in a non-grammar don't want to learn? Where do you hear this stuff?

Sounds a bit snobbish to me - must have went to a grammar school maybe?

That's pretty pathetic, so if you want to give your child the best chance in life you are elitist or a snob, catch yourself ffs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 04:17:01 PM
Quote from: GJL on October 29, 2019, 03:07:17 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 01:00:31 PM
The point about paying for tuition isn't to cheat the system or to get your child into an environment that they're unfit for. It's to give them a chance to see if they can thrive in an academic environment, which has to be easier to adapt to if you're in it from day 1, rather than transferred in 3-5 years down the line.

Some kids will never be cut out for academia. Some will have to give literally everything they have to succeed at academia. But I would never deny/ complain about any parent wanting to give their kids that opportunity.

There is also a large difference in the quality of P6/P7 teachers. Some kids may be lucky enough to have great teachers who have them well prepared for transfer tests where as others may not be so lucky and have teachers who put very little preparation into this. It is not a level playing field.

Are teachers allowed to 'tutor' at school?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 04:18:38 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 03:47:46 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:53:32 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 02:49:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:42:15 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.

Sorry I think you miss the point of getting into a school where the culture is one to learn, develop and better oneself.  The point is their ability to get three A's or whatever they are capable off in a non streamed secondary school, where a vast majority of pupils don't want to learn and drag the rest with them, is somewhat impeded.
The vast majority of pupils in a non-grammar don't want to learn? Where do you hear this stuff?

Sounds a bit snobbish to me - must have went to a grammar school maybe?

That's pretty pathetic, so if you want to give your child the best chance in life you are elitist or a snob, catch yourself ffs.

Are you saying that pupils who go to grammar schools have the best chance in life?

How?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 04:32:04 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 04:18:38 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 03:47:46 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:53:32 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 02:49:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:42:15 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.

Sorry I think you miss the point of getting into a school where the culture is one to learn, develop and better oneself.  The point is their ability to get three A's or whatever they are capable off in a non streamed secondary school, where a vast majority of pupils don't want to learn and drag the rest with them, is somewhat impeded.
The vast majority of pupils in a non-grammar don't want to learn? Where do you hear this stuff?

Sounds a bit snobbish to me - must have went to a grammar school maybe?

That's pretty pathetic, so if you want to give your child the best chance in life you are elitist or a snob, catch yourself ffs.

Are you saying that pupils who go to grammar schools have the best chance in life?

How?


No care to quote me where I said that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 04:34:33 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 03:54:36 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 03:44:12 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 02:49:57 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:42:15 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 02:34:37 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 02:21:01 PM
Quote from: marty34 on October 29, 2019, 01:20:14 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 29, 2019, 10:10:29 AM
Quote from: marty34 on October 28, 2019, 11:46:34 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

I don't get the thing about tuition - surely if they need tuition, would parents not see how ironic that is to get into a grammar school?

Also, when in a grammar school, would they not get found out quick enough ?

If you've got a 50:50 chance of something you really want, and the opportunity exists to make this a 60:40 in your favour, would you not take it?

That's what parents across NI now face. I'd imagine there's very few P6 teachers would ever outright recommend against private tuition too, if asked. It can only improve their children, even if they don't really need it.

——

For the first couple of years in post-primary school, I expect there would be negligible difference between being in a high streamed class in secondary school, and a randomly streamed class in grammar school.

What children will though get from a grammar school is a greater focus on academic results and professional pathways. The children are encouraged on this pathway and are surrounded by children who will follow it.

When a parent pays £500-£1,000 to help ensure their child at least gets that opportunity, it's an unusually justifiable expense. Johnny might still end up a bricklayer - and probably very happy doing so - but at least he got to find out for himself that an academic pathway wasn't for him.

I'd say pupils would get found out quick enough in first year at a grammar school.  By that I mean, the teachers would spot a pupil in the first few months.

That's why tuition is used to get pupils into a grammar school as they are tutored but what happens after they go to the grammar  school?

So you think some child at 11 who receives tutoring and achieves a grade A in the 11+ wouldn't be fit for the school they went to, you wouldn't conclude there was a high level of intelligence there to begin with?

My point is why do they need tutoring to get into a grammar school? Isn't it ironic..don't you think?

What's the point of all the stress on parents and more importantly, the pupils themselves.  A lot to do with the parents I reckon - prestige for them.

No different in getting 3 A's at A level at a 'normal' school and a grammar school.  They can still access the same uni courses.

Sorry I think you miss the point of getting into a school where the culture is one to learn, develop and better oneself.  The point is their ability to get three A's or whatever they are capable off in a non streamed secondary school, where a vast majority of pupils don't want to learn and drag the rest with them, is somewhat impeded.
The vast majority of pupils in a non-grammar don't want to learn? Where do you hear this stuff?

Maybe you should go back to school and learn to read and I am basing it on the Armagh Catholic Boys education system.
I've read it again. I don't see what I missed the first time.
It is still a totally ludicrous statement.

Albeit a factually correct one in the context I have mentioned  .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 04:54:12 PM
And you are entitled to your opinion, I am sure you are basing it on your experiences.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyronefan on October 29, 2019, 05:15:37 PM
How is this in any way relevant to Brexit???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 29, 2019, 05:25:35 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:49:27 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 29, 2019, 12:45:34 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:35:46 PM
So it doesn't matter about Sinn Féin policy in the up coming election, why do they bother going round doors canvasing when everyone know they are abstaining and therefore they don't have to have any policies on social or economic matters.
To make sure "we" vote to make sure "they" don't win??

And we get no representation and they get handy money.
What money?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on October 29, 2019, 05:46:57 PM
Some lads need to get lessons on trimming quotes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on October 29, 2019, 06:06:23 PM
I'm sorry I brought up the 11+.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 06:09:48 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 29, 2019, 05:25:35 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:49:27 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 29, 2019, 12:45:34 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 12:35:46 PM
So it doesn't matter about Sinn Féin policy in the up coming election, why do they bother going round doors canvasing when everyone know they are abstaining and therefore they don't have to have any policies on social or economic matters.
To make sure "we" vote to make sure "they" don't win??

And we get no representation and they get handy money.
What money?

That would be their expenses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 06:10:17 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on October 29, 2019, 05:46:57 PM
Some lads need to get lessons on trimming quotes.

Sorry couldn't resist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 29, 2019, 06:19:08 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 04:58:21 PM
I would love to know how you came by your opinion. It is incredible that there is a Catholic post-primary school in Armagh where the vast majority of boys don't want to learn. Simply incredible.

You are brilliant on here nit picking language, you seem to get a rise out of it, I used a vast majority and in that I was meaning a high percentage not 90% +, I apologise for my inferior use of the English language, I bow to your vast (pardon the usage) superiority, my point stands there is one boys catholic school in Armagh which a seat of learning it is not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Harold Disgracey on October 29, 2019, 07:41:51 PM
My son went to a non-grammar school in Armagh and got 3 A's in his A-Levels this year. You're full of shit, as usual t_mac.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 30, 2019, 08:24:20 AM
Quote from: Harold Disgracey on October 29, 2019, 07:41:51 PM
My son went to a non-grammar school in Armagh and got 3 A's in his A-Levels this year. You're full of shit, as usual t_mac.

He didn't go to the only one in town now.  EDIT maybe he did - 19 he would have missed the the madness of non-streaming and taking in every child expelled from other schools.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 30, 2019, 08:27:43 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 29, 2019, 06:32:37 PM
You are brilliant for making ridiculous claims and then claiming that someone is "nit-picking language" when you are called out for it. I do not apologise for calling bullshit on it. You clearly have an issue with the set up in Armagh and you're absolutely entitled to but running the young lads in that school down with throwaway bullshit remarks is entirely pathetic and you'd want to have a word with yourself.

You on the drink?  I stand by my statement, if you have access to the opinion of years 8, 9 and 10 in St Pats and the learning environment they have, post away - if not wind your f**king neck in ballbag.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 30, 2019, 08:58:57 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 30, 2019, 08:36:02 AM
You apologised for your statement. Now you stand by it. You are all over the place. Mainly as you haven't the first clue what you are talking about. If you have evidence that the vast majority/high percentage of pupils don't want to learn, I'd be very surprised. To be honest, I suspect it is based on some anecdotal shite from a couple of kids, "People in my class are so misbehaved". Please stop running young people from that school down just because you are unhappy with the amalgamation. It is pathetic.

I apologised for the misrepresentation of my statement and my bad use of the English Language, ill repeat my a vast majority was not 90% it was meant to indicate a large percentage.  You can suspect what you want, I know what goes on, the girls school in town has the same geographical outreach but the teaching and atmosphere to learn and respect is unbelievably different.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on October 30, 2019, 09:18:24 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 28, 2019, 09:52:13 PM
The 11+ was a shocker by Sinn Fein. The ultimate outcome seems to have been more exams, and more diverse exams, thereby creating a natural advantage for wealthier families who can afford to pay for additional tuition.

The reasoning was sound, and was to cut out the very advantage you've suggested, amongst other things. That it has been circumvented doesn't change the fact that SF tried to do what I think was the right thing in the first place - albeit I don't know the in's and out's of the circumvention, if action can be taken there, or if it should have been foreseen and dealt with pre-emptively (which seems likely).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 30, 2019, 07:35:35 PM

Richard Ramsey
@Ramseconomics
· Oct 29
N.Ireland's poor productivity is well known. Interesting to note that the proportion of high paid jobs is at a 20 year low! 18.9% of jobs are high paid in 2019 v 23.1% in 2005. Middle paid jobs have swelled to 60% of jobs. The boom in NI's jobs has had a high % of low paid jobs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on October 30, 2019, 08:25:41 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 30, 2019, 09:07:11 AM
Truth is you know fcuk all but you aren't letting that stop you from having a pop at the young lads, and indeed the teachers now.

And the girls are doing better than the boys! Wow, ground breaking stuff there!

And how the hell can you use "vast majority" to indicate "large percentage"? Around what percentage is it?

You are pathetic.
There is a large element of truth in what yet man is saying. It has a terrible reputation at present and to be honest seeing the state of some of the lads going to school in the morning I would say the teachers have their work cut out. I know of people in the town sending their kids to Dungannon and even to the Royal School who 10 years ago would have sent them to the boys school. I don't envy their task in sorting it out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on October 30, 2019, 08:57:08 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 30, 2019, 08:43:50 PM
Like many, many schools I'm sure there are issues and the reputation of the school may have fallen. That is a far cry from saying that a large percentage of the kids don't want to learn.
Agree entirely. It doesn't take many in a class to ruin it for everyone so the percentage is likely to be small (similar to most other schools).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 30, 2019, 09:23:53 PM
Only a point in the Donegal final now .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 07:55:10 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 30, 2019, 09:07:11 AM
Truth is you know fcuk all but you aren't letting that stop you from having a pop at the young lads, and indeed the teachers now.

And the girls are doing better than the boys! Wow, ground breaking stuff there!

And how the hell can you use "vast majority" to indicate "large percentage"? Around what percentage is it?

You are pathetic.

Did you burst a blood cell typing that, I know a hell of a lot more that you do so wind your f**king neck in, is your self indulgence under threat here, try sticking to a topic you know something about, if such a topic exists.  Everyone from town knows the facts - some numpty in his ivory tower in shaftland trying to come across all PC is quite frankly the pathetic one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 08:02:07 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 08:00:07 AM
Whatever the "craic" is, it is not that a "vast majority/large percentage" of the pupils don't want to learn. You made that up off the top of your head.

Good man you are beginning to wind your neck in, now go rant about something else you know very little about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 08:13:00 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 08:06:46 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 08:02:07 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 08:00:07 AM
Whatever the "craic" is, it is not that a "vast majority/large percentage" of the pupils don't want to learn. You made that up off the top of your head.

Good man you are beginning to wind your neck in, now go rant about something else you know very little about.
And you stop running young lads down by making random shite up about them.

There you go again in your shaftland ivory tower talking about something you know nothing about.  Take a tablet and settle yourself, I take it your a last word hero member no wonder you rack up so many posts, are any of them based on knowledge about any topic?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 08:27:27 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 08:17:52 AM
I know what you've written about the pupils in that school and I know it's not true.
If there are pupils in that school who don't want to learn then it would be small percentages. Why you refuse to acknowledge this is beyond me. You have said something stupid and instead of putting your hands up, you've decided to dig your heels in.

And with respect, you have more posts per day than I do.

Yip last word man, I'll say it again a vast majority don't want to learn, that's fact, maybe it's an Armagh thing that equates to a high percentage you can discuss all the semantics in the world as to what figure one equates to high but fact is and the clear fact is you know f**k all about the school, so climb back into your ivory tower, shut the door and stop making a tool out of yourself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 31, 2019, 08:29:09 AM
Whatever about the choice of language he used, I think it's fair to say that t_mac has a point.

I went to said school and this year we sent my young lad, who is a first year, to Dungannon.  If you had told me 3 years ago that would have been the case I would have said your're mad.  But simply put, I'm hearing too many bad things about the school, and the difficulty of ensuring discipline is applied to all students, to risk him stagnating there when he has the academic ability to go to a grammar school.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 31, 2019, 08:49:06 AM
Dont mind me i only came in here to read about Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 31, 2019, 09:14:12 AM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 31, 2019, 08:49:06 AM
Dont mind me i only came in here to read about Brexit

Brexit pales into insignificance compared to the complexities of the (North??) Armagh secondary school system.


Can someone please clarify something for me as I can't see what Boris hopes/d to achieve.

The Boris deal made it through the first vote with 30 of a majority and was due to go to the second committee level, correct?

The next vote was to railroad it through in 3 or 4 days, which he lost so would take it passed the fabled 31st of October, today?

He then pulled his deal as he couldn't get it through before the 31st.

He then reluctantly (unsigned letters and all that public schoolboy piffle) asked the EU for an extension.

He got an extension till the 31st of January but can leave before at any time.

He calls an election for the 12th of December and gets it.

Parliament will then close on Monday till the election is over.

If Boris does then get a majority as he thinks he will, does he then bring back the deal OR does he go full bore for a No Deal?

If he just brings back his original deal why did he not just let it go through the rigors of Parliament the first time round?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on October 31, 2019, 09:25:37 AM
Good questions Jonny.

I seen it written by smart people that the fact that the WAB passed the second reading last week means that if the current parliament had stayed in place for another few months it is very likely that the WAB would have been approved

QuoteThe December general election result may be a Conservative majority, or there may be a majority for parties that support a further referendum in some form (or even straight revocation).

And for Remainers, a general election is a risk – but a risk to be set aside the near-certainty that the current House of Commons which has passed the current Withdrawal Agreement Bill in principle will eventually pass it overall.

The December election in other words is the Remainers' last chance.

That the current government even wants to give Remainers this opportunity is rather odd.
That is taken from https://davidallengreen.com/2019/10/brexit-and-the-general-election/

Given that it is possible that winning an election for Johnson is actually more important than delivering Brexit; and all the huffing and puffing he has done over the last 4 months has been about positioning himself for success in an election; not actually delivering Brexit, despite that appearing to be his objective.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 31, 2019, 09:46:22 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 31, 2019, 09:14:12 AM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 31, 2019, 08:49:06 AM
Dont mind me i only came in here to read about Brexit

Brexit pales into insignificance compared to the complexities of the (North??) Armagh secondary school system.


Can someone please clarify something for me as I can't see what Boris hopes/d to achieve.

The Boris deal made it through the first vote with 30 of a majority and was due to go to the second committee level, correct?

The next vote was to railroad it through in 3 or 4 days, which he lost so would take it passed the fabled 31st of October, today?

He then pulled his deal as he couldn't get it through before the 31st.

He then reluctantly (unsigned letters and all that public schoolboy piffle) asked the EU for an extension.

He got an extension till the 31st of January but can leave before at any time.

He calls an election for the 12th of December and gets it.

Parliament will then close on Monday till the election is over.

If Boris does then get a majority as he thinks he will, does he then bring back the deal OR does he go full bore for a No Deal?

If he just brings back his original deal why did he not just let it go through the rigors of Parliament the first time round?

I think he has to go with his own deal and get it through. There's every chance that we head for no deal then at the end of 2020.

He needs a General Election more than putting the deal through though as he needs a parliamentary party that will vote with him.

He can't afford to have another 20 rebels the way things have gone so better for him to try and get a majority with loyal MPs that will let him govern. Once he gets a majority in Parliament he can pretty much do what he wants which is why it's so important for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 31, 2019, 10:27:55 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/9119c74e-fb4e-11e9-98fd-4d6c20050229

Jeremy Corbyn to set campaign tone by targeting rich individuals Labour leader to 'go after' Duke of Westminster, Ashley, Odey, Ratcliffe and Murdoch

George Parker and Sebastian Payne in London

Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour leader, will set the tone of his election campaign on Thursday with a direct attack on "the privileged few" who benefit from a "corrupt system", naming individual millionaires whom the UK opposition party wants to target. Mr Corbyn will promise to "go after" the Duke of Westminster, the landowner, Mike Ashley, the retail billionaire, Jim Ratcliffe, chair of the Ineos chemicals group, Rupert Murdoch, the media baron, and Crispin Odey, the hedge fund boss. In his first speech of the election campaign, Mr Corbyn will put himself firmly on the side of "the many not the few", promising to shake up capitalism to help ordinary working families. "This election is a once-in-a-generation chance to transform our country, take on the vested interests holding people back and ensure that no community is left behind," he will say.
Mr Corbyn will claim that "the elite" in society does not want to pay taxes. "So they'll fight harder and dirtier than ever before," he will say. "They'll throw everything at us because they know we're not afraid to take them on." The Labour leader will then directly criticise "landlords like the Duke of Westminster", whom he claims tried to evict families to make way for luxury apartments. Recommended Labour Party UK How Labour was wrongfooted by Johnson's election call
He will attack "bad bosses like Mike Ashley, the billionaire who won't pay his staff properly and is running Newcastle United into the ground", and Mr Ratcliffe, whom he claims is "Britain's richest man who makes his money by polluting the environment". Also in Mr Corbyn's sights is Mr Odey, "who makes millions betting against our country and on other people's misery and donated huge sums to Boris Johnson and the Conservative party", and Mr Murdoch, whose "empire pumps out propaganda to support a rigged system".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 12:12:22 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 08:36:05 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 08:27:27 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 08:17:52 AM
I know what you've written about the pupils in that school and I know it's not true.
If there are pupils in that school who don't want to learn then it would be small percentages. Why you refuse to acknowledge this is beyond me. You have said something stupid and instead of putting your hands up, you've decided to dig your heels in.

And with respect, you have more posts per day than I do.

Yip last word man, I'll say it again a vast majority don't want to learn, that's fact, maybe it's an Armagh thing that equates to a high percentage you can discuss all the semantics in the world as to what figure one equates to high but fact is and the clear fact is you know f**k all about the school, so climb back into your ivory tower, shut the door and stop making a tool out of yourself.
You are wrong. Plain and simple. It is not semantics. It is not an Armagh thing. Vast majority means almost everyone. It doesn't mean anything else. The school may be facing difficulties. I don't deny that but to say that almost every pupil in the school doesn't want to learn is nonsense.

Christ almighty.

You really are hard work - I didn't say the vast majority I said a vast majority and I am totally correct so wind you neck in, you are making a bigger ass or yourself than normal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 31, 2019, 01:06:09 PM
Dont mind me i just came in to read about Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on October 31, 2019, 02:31:00 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 31, 2019, 01:06:09 PM
Dont mind me i just came in to read about Brexit
A vast majority of posters are disrupting this thread
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: square_ball on October 31, 2019, 02:46:36 PM
According to Fiachra McGuinness on Twitter, Sinn Fein have stopped brexit so we can probably close this thread now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 31, 2019, 03:14:51 PM
Could ye Nordies start ye're own Schools thread and let us get on with Brexiting?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 31, 2019, 03:21:04 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on October 31, 2019, 02:32:36 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 31, 2019, 01:06:09 PM
Dont mind me i just came in to read about Brexit

Feel free to contribute.  8)

Do i have to? I just said i came on to read about it... ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 31, 2019, 03:25:50 PM
Quote from: square_ball on October 31, 2019, 02:46:36 PM
According to Fiachra McGuinness on Twitter, Sinn Fein have stopped brexit so we can probably close this thread now.

Must be on the glue
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 31, 2019, 03:32:02 PM
Newton Emerson, Irish Times

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-unionists-may-allow-a-sinn-f%C3%A9in-win-to-decapitate-the-dup-1.4066942

"But the republican party is not the bogeyman it was at the last general election. Its vote has declined north and south, it could lose Derry's Foyle constituency to the SDLP and it is widely seen as a useless spectator on every issue, including a Border poll, which increasingly feels like its only, vacuous policy."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 31, 2019, 04:20:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2019, 03:32:02 PM
Newton Emerson, Irish Times

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-unionists-may-allow-a-sinn-f%C3%A9in-win-to-decapitate-the-dup-1.4066942

"But the republican party is not the bogeyman it was at the last general election. Its vote has declined north and south, it could lose Derry's Foyle constituency to the SDLP and it is widely seen as a useless spectator on every issue, including a Border poll, which increasingly feels like its only, vacuous policy."

Sinn Fein can only promote a united Ireland and sometimes they're not good at that although even the SDLP get in on the act belatedly every once in a while.

The heavy lifting on what a United Ireland will look like will need to be done in Dublin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 04:21:22 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 02:48:00 PM
Quote from: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 12:12:22 PM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 08:36:05 AM
Quote from: t_mac on October 31, 2019, 08:27:27 AM
Quote from: hardstation on October 31, 2019, 08:17:52 AM
I know what you've written about the pupils in that school and I know it's not true.
If there are pupils in that school who don't want to learn then it would be small percentages. Why you refuse to acknowledge this is beyond me. You have said something stupid and instead of putting your hands up, you've decided to dig your heels in.

And with respect, you have more posts per day than I do.

Yip last word man, I'll say it again a vast majority don't want to learn, that's fact, maybe it's an Armagh thing that equates to a high percentage you can discuss all the semantics in the world as to what figure one equates to high but fact is and the clear fact is you know f**k all about the school, so climb back into your ivory tower, shut the door and stop making a tool out of yourself.
You are wrong. Plain and simple. It is not semantics. It is not an Armagh thing. Vast majority means almost everyone. It doesn't mean anything else. The school may be facing difficulties. I don't deny that but to say that almost every pupil in the school doesn't want to learn is nonsense.

Christ almighty.

You really are hard work - I didn't say the vast majority I said a vast majority and I am totally correct so wind you neck in, you are making a bigger ass or yourself than normal.
Look I'm out. There is no fixing stupid.
Good luck to you Sir.

Don't let the door or the drawbridge from your ivory tower hit you on the way out, next time you try to talk shite be armed with the odd fact.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 31, 2019, 05:21:12 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 31, 2019, 04:20:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 31, 2019, 03:32:02 PM
Newton Emerson, Irish Times

https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-unionists-may-allow-a-sinn-f%C3%A9in-win-to-decapitate-the-dup-1.4066942

"But the republican party is not the bogeyman it was at the last general election. Its vote has declined north and south, it could lose Derry's Foyle constituency to the SDLP and it is widely seen as a useless spectator on every issue, including a Border poll, which increasingly feels like its only, vacuous policy."

Sinn Fein can only promote a united Ireland and sometimes they're not good at that although even the SDLP get in on the act belatedly every once in a while.

The heavy lifting on what a United Ireland will look like will need to be done in Dublin.
It's going to need a lot of planning because it's not going to be possible to arse it up
The day that the 6 counties in the North East rejoin the rest will be a very special day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 05, 2019, 09:46:22 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/letters/unification-a-changing-landscape-1.4072097

Unification – a changing landscape




Sir, – Your editorial notes Irish encouragement of European support for German unification in the face of scepticism from other member states at the time ("The Irish Times view on the anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall: The legacy of reunification", November 2nd). This is connected in your editorial to current German endorsement of the peace process.

There is another link. Brexit, if it happens, means that Irish reunification is likely to be framed as part of the European integration journey. It will be, as the European Council confirmed in April 2017, a way for this region (Northern Ireland) to return automatically.

Planning and preparing for possible constitutional change in Ireland will therefore include questions for the EU.

Why? Because there will be a pluralist European context that will inform the constitutional conversation on this island. It is time to start thinking about what this means. – Yours, etc,

Prof COLIN HARVEY,

Queen's University

Belfast.

Sir, – Stephen Collins is wrong ("Stop the dangerous guff about a united Ireland", Opinion & Analysis, November 1st).

First, the fragile political settlement in Northern Ireland is already unstable.

Second, there are two "national" identities at play here. Demography, the growing prosperity in the Republic, and the need for a government by consent in the North have all put the present inherently unstable status quo under great strain, especially within the unionist community.

Inevitably, there will be change. It is not "guff", therefore, to suppose that one of the changes might be to an agreement on a united Ireland by consent.

Equally it is not "guff" to suppose that some other compromise, based on consent, might be put in place.

Consent is the essential quality lacking in Northern Ireland, probably because military force appears to make it unnecessary, especially among unionists!

A united Ireland or some kind of condominium both represent potential solutions; as such they are not guff. – Yours, etc,


MYLES TIERNEY,

Dublin 16.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 05, 2019, 04:09:53 PM
Oddshcecker is now showing the betting odds on a second referendum in 2020:

No 4/11
Yes 23/10

Will be interesting to track those odds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 05, 2019, 05:56:37 PM
Is there any website showing odds or Dodds for seats in NI ? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 05, 2019, 06:10:41 PM
I see odds for specific seats in Britain but not NI:

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics

NI most seats:
DUP 4/7
Any other 49/5
SF 5/4
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on November 05, 2019, 07:11:23 PM
Paddy power has odds for each constituency in the north
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 05, 2019, 07:24:00 PM
He probably does but I can't access his site from the states. Would anyone mind posting up the odds of the constituencies?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 05, 2019, 09:57:38 PM
Quote from: ardtole on November 05, 2019, 07:11:23 PM
Paddy power has odds for each constituency in the north
GRMA
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: haranguerer on November 06, 2019, 08:13:58 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 05, 2019, 07:24:00 PM
He probably does but I can't access his site from the states. Would anyone mind posting up the odds of the constituencies?

FST
SF 8/15
UUP 11/8

N Belfast
DUP 4/6
SF EVS

S Belfast
SDLP 2/9
Alliance 7/2
DUP 6/1

E Belfast
DUP 8/13
Alliance 5/4

Foyle
SDLP 4/6
SF 11/10

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 06, 2019, 09:58:10 AM
Jeffrey having a go at Claire Hanna asking if Sean Kelly will be canvassing for her as she's now the defacto Sinn Fein representative for South Belfast . . . he's wasting his time they're definitely losing that one!!!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 06, 2019, 10:07:54 AM
I won't be happy till it's over.

The DUP are beginning to look like the political front to the UDA so this kind of thing is typical of them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on November 06, 2019, 10:49:07 AM
Beginning to? They've been that since not long after their formation. Utter hypocrites when it comes to violence. Nationalist people need no lectures from the 'adult film' fan, a former member of the long disgraced UDR.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 06, 2019, 10:57:46 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 06, 2019, 09:58:10 AM
Jeffrey having a go at Claire Hanna asking if Sean Kelly will be canvassing for her as she's now the defacto Sinn Fein representative for South Belfast . . . he's wasting his time they're definitely losing that one!!!

Jeffrey should think back before opening his mouth & just recall Noel Little's role.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 06, 2019, 11:00:34 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 06, 2019, 09:58:10 AM
Jeffrey having a go at Claire Hanna asking if Sean Kelly will be canvassing for her as she's now the defacto Sinn Fein representative for South Belfast . . . he's wasting his time they're definitely losing that one!!!

That kind of crass comment is as likely to make some middle of the road voter in South Belfast go out and vote for Hanna. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 06, 2019, 11:39:13 AM
Quote from: playwiththewind1st on November 06, 2019, 10:57:46 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 06, 2019, 09:58:10 AM
Jeffrey having a go at Claire Hanna asking if Sean Kelly will be canvassing for her as she's now the defacto Sinn Fein representative for South Belfast . . . he's wasting his time they're definitely losing that one!!!

Jeffrey should think back before opening his mouth & just recall Noel Little's role.

And the DUP's recent meetings with Dee Stitt and various other entities in Loyalism when wondering what to do come Brexit.

Claire should have read him up on that one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 11, 2019, 09:57:30 AM
They are without a doubt the biggest threat to "the union".

They are also the biggest threat to the peace process.

I just don't see what value they add anyone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2019, 11:05:19 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 11, 2019, 09:57:30 AM
They are without a doubt the biggest threat to "the union".

They are also the biggest threat to the peace process.

I just don't see what value they add anyone.
they need a long period in opposition. They walked straight into Johnson't trap.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: glens73 on November 11, 2019, 11:12:11 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2019, 11:05:19 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on November 11, 2019, 09:57:30 AM
They are without a doubt the biggest threat to "the union".

They are also the biggest threat to the peace process.

I just don't see what value they add anyone.
they need a long period in opposition. They walked straight into Johnson't trap.

They've been in opposition all their lives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2019, 01:13:23 PM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/brexit/both-remainers-and-leavers-would-sacrifice-northern-ireland-for-preferred-outcome-38679304.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 11, 2019, 03:57:10 PM
650 Jobs at risk in SDC due to Brexit . . . f**k sakes!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2019, 04:51:44 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 11, 2019, 03:57:10 PM
650 Jobs at risk in SDC due to Brexit . . . f**k sakes!!!
Co. Antrim is getting hammered with Brexit-related job losses
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smelmoth on November 11, 2019, 04:54:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2019, 04:51:44 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 11, 2019, 03:57:10 PM
650 Jobs at risk in SDC due to Brexit . . . f**k sakes!!!
Co. Antrim is getting hammered with Brexit-related job losses

Seems to have spread across the river into Derry with todays news re South Derry Coachworks
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: t_mac on November 11, 2019, 05:18:08 PM
Farage standing aside, Tory majority guaranteed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 11, 2019, 05:21:09 PM
Quote from: t_mac on November 11, 2019, 05:18:08 PM
Farage standing aside, Tory majority guaranteed.

That's it a done deal now.  Boris's Brexit all the way .... and probably by Dec. 31st ... I can see the red, white and blue fireworks for NYE in London. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2019, 05:57:08 PM
Quote from: smelmoth on November 11, 2019, 04:54:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2019, 04:51:44 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 11, 2019, 03:57:10 PM
650 Jobs at risk in SDC due to Brexit . . . f**k sakes!!!
Co. Antrim is getting hammered with Brexit-related job losses

Seems to have spread across the river into Derry with todays news re South Derry Coachworks
Not good for the DUP , presumably
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on November 11, 2019, 06:04:04 PM
You would have to think there will be a considerable backlash against the dup, history tells us it is unlikely though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 11, 2019, 06:33:17 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 05, 2019, 04:09:53 PM
Oddshcecker is now showing the betting odds on a second referendum in 2020:

No 4/11
Yes 23/10

Will be interesting to track those odds.

Update:

No: 1/4
Yes: 7/2

I see that as odds lengthening on a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on November 12, 2019, 09:33:05 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 11, 2019, 06:33:17 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on November 05, 2019, 04:09:53 PM
Oddshcecker is now showing the betting odds on a second referendum in 2020:

No 4/11
Yes 23/10

Will be interesting to track those odds.

Update:

No: 1/4
Yes: 7/2

I see that as odds lengthening on a second referendum.

No: 1/4
Yes: 14/5
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on November 13, 2019, 11:11:45 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2019/nov/13/tesla-cites-brexit-as-germany-chosen-over-uk-for-european-plant-elon-musk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2019, 12:21:05 PM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/northern-ireland/clothing-firm-magee-blames-brexit-for-ballymena-closure-38690330.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 14, 2019, 12:26:04 PM
Ballymena just needs to believe harder.

If they would display some proper patriotism and quit talking down Britain, they'd find all these problems would go away.

etc etc etc

[/boris]
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 14, 2019, 12:30:08 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 14, 2019, 12:26:04 PM
Ballymena just needs to believe harder.

If they would display some proper patriotism and quit talking down Britain, they'd find all these problems would go away.

etc etc etc

[/boris]
Ballymena voted DUP in the last election. The DUP were pro Brexit.

Mencken :" Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on November 14, 2019, 12:34:53 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2019, 12:30:08 PM
Ballymena voted DUP in the last election. The DUP were pro Brexit.

Quite obviously they didn't vote DUP enough. Or didn't believe hard enough while voting.

Since the problem quite clearly isn't brexit, it must be Ballymena.

[/boris]
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 14, 2019, 12:51:10 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 14, 2019, 12:26:04 PM
Ballymena just needs to believe harder.

If they would display some proper patriotism and quit talking down Britain, they'd find all these problems would go away.

etc etc etc

[/boris]

A minor royalty visit will sooth the natives.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: playwiththewind1st on November 16, 2019, 10:50:19 AM
Yeh....send Prince Andrew over. But lock up yer kiddies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 16, 2019, 10:59:41 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on November 14, 2019, 12:34:53 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 14, 2019, 12:30:08 PM
Ballymena voted DUP in the last election. The DUP were pro Brexit.

Quite obviously they didn't vote DUP enough. Or didn't believe hard enough while voting.

Since the problem quite clearly isn't brexit, it must be Ballymena.

[/boris]

Loyalism has cost Ballymena a lot of jobs recently.
Maybe the Irish language would be more profitable.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 19, 2019, 05:14:39 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/1196312052438052872
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 19, 2019, 11:00:56 PM
Boris Johnson seems to be saying that we i.e. UK (GB+NI) will do as we like post Brexit.   In reality this is correct.  Does anybody follow all the T&Cs anymore?  Rules are only rules if they're enforced.  A different QC will tell you that...  Boris is bullish and wants unleashed..  I suspect Dom Cum devised 'unleash Britain's potential'..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on November 22, 2019, 12:45:10 AM
Freedom of movement of people.  Discuss or direct me to the approx pages where we've discussed this.  Both Conservatives and Labour, as per manifestos want to limit this.  I honestly don't understand.  Ireland, Britain, France, Germany etc aren't that great, they just have different immigration rules.. obviously without ref to race-to-the-bottom, undocumented etc...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 22, 2019, 08:30:07 PM
https://twitter.com/paddydocherty/status/1197891783465811968
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 26, 2019, 06:10:39 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/11/25/boris-johnsons-diplomatic-amateurism-will-lead-no-deal-brexit/

Setting out the parameters of that "quick and dirty" Canada-style trade deal, Sir Ivan warned that the EU would extract a disproportionately high price from the UK - with access to UK goods markets and fishing grounds, with little or nothing in return on financial and other services.
"We seem to be off to Canada, without our services sector," he added, warning that a "desperate" Mr Johnson would face a "binary choice between a highly asymmetrical thin deal on [the EU's] terms, and 'no deal' towards the end of next year".

Faced with signing such an unequal treaty, Sir Ivan did not rule out Mr Johnson making the concessions and returning to London to sell the deal as a "huge success", but thought it more likely that the Cabinet would reject agreeing to so much conditionality to deliver so little.
More likely, Sir Ivan concluded, the argument would be got up that a "no deal" exit on WTO-terms would be preferable, given the slim comparative economic advantages delivered by a basic FTA deal with so many EU strings attached.
But after attacking the Government for failing to level with the public about the coming trade-offs, Sir Ivan concluded with a note of warning to Europe of the risks of repeating the same "conclusions-driven" process of the previous negotiation which boxed the UK into a corner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2019, 07:07:47 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/health/2019/1206/1097447-truths-about-eu-funded-health-schemes/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 11, 2019, 12:39:49 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.

Border poll it is then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:24:39 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.
So it's back to 1640 then ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on December 11, 2019, 07:15:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.
Is a border on the border better than a border across the Irish Sea?
It has to be one or the other. At least until a EU UK trade deal is done
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 11, 2019, 08:10:40 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.

It's a shit deal for everyone but the instability of Brexit will linger on for years, it is only the beginning of the process. Wait until the negotiations for a trade agreement begin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 11, 2019, 08:52:21 AM
Any border poll is in the gift of the SOS for NI. I would doubt very much that any Conservative SOS would call one.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 11, 2019, 09:53:29 AM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 07:15:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.
Is a border on the border better than a border across the Irish Sea?
It has to be one or the other. At least until a EU UK trade deal is done

HMRC are making provisions for inspections on the GB ports like Liverpool and Stranraer rather than Belfast and Larne.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 11, 2019, 10:16:16 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2019, 09:53:29 AM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 07:15:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.
Is a border on the border better than a border across the Irish Sea?
It has to be one or the other. At least until a EU UK trade deal is done

HMRC are making provisions for inspections on the GB ports like Liverpool and Stranraer rather than Belfast and Larne.

Things to think about before we all jump about signing because the border is in the Irish Sea and not Newry.

Who pays for these checks?
How much extra paperwork will be generated? Who is responsible for filling it out?
Are they all completed in the UK?
Do companies have the manpower /skills to complete the paperwork?
What happens when paperwork is incorrectly completed? Especially with perishable goods?
What checks will take place on goods South to North?
Costs? Time? Labour? Skills?

Make no mistake this is a shit deal. And while of course it could push us towards a UI that will be no silver bullet by no means. A Boris majority on Friday will f**k us right over. We've been fucked over by the DUP and I am really shocked that the Irish Government have agreed to this.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 11:14:50 AM
Just buy stuff from the 26 Counties  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on December 11, 2019, 12:40:22 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 11, 2019, 10:16:16 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2019, 09:53:29 AM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 07:15:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.
Is a border on the border better than a border across the Irish Sea?
It has to be one or the other. At least until a EU UK trade deal is done

HMRC are making provisions for inspections on the GB ports like Liverpool and Stranraer rather than Belfast and Larne.

Things to think about before we all jump about signing because the border is in the Irish Sea and not Newry.

Who pays for these checks?
How much extra paperwork will be generated? Who is responsible for filling it out?
Are they all completed in the UK?
Do companies have the manpower /skills to complete the paperwork?
What happens when paperwork is incorrectly completed? Especially with perishable goods?
What checks will take place on goods South to North?
Costs? Time? Labour? Skills?

Make no mistake this is a shit deal. And while of course it could push us towards a UI that will be no silver bullet by no means. A Boris majority on Friday will f**k us right over. We've been fucked over by the DUP and I am really shocked that the Irish Government have agreed to this.

I thought your SDLP/FF/FG pals were our mates?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 11, 2019, 12:57:10 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 11, 2019, 12:40:22 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 11, 2019, 10:16:16 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2019, 09:53:29 AM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 07:15:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.
Is a border on the border better than a border across the Irish Sea?
It has to be one or the other. At least until a EU UK trade deal is done

HMRC are making provisions for inspections on the GB ports like Liverpool and Stranraer rather than Belfast and Larne.

Things to think about before we all jump about signing because the border is in the Irish Sea and not Newry.

Who pays for these checks?
How much extra paperwork will be generated? Who is responsible for filling it out?
Are they all completed in the UK?
Do companies have the manpower /skills to complete the paperwork?
What happens when paperwork is incorrectly completed? Especially with perishable goods?
What checks will take place on goods South to North?
Costs? Time? Labour? Skills?

Make no mistake this is a shit deal. And while of course it could push us towards a UI that will be no silver bullet by no means. A Boris majority on Friday will f**k us right over. We've been fucked over by the DUP and I am really shocked that the Irish Government have agreed to this.

I thought your SDLP/FF/FG pals were our mates?

I don't think any party in NI is in favour of this deal? It avoids the need for a hard border in Ireland, but apart from that I can see no upside. A lot will depend on the future relationship that the UK and EU agree. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on December 11, 2019, 01:14:00 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 11, 2019, 12:57:10 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 11, 2019, 12:40:22 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 11, 2019, 10:16:16 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 11, 2019, 09:53:29 AM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 07:15:53 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 10, 2019, 10:12:41 PM
This deal is really shit. If the Tories win on Friday with a majority NI will be set back for 50 years.
Is a border on the border better than a border across the Irish Sea?
It has to be one or the other. At least until a EU UK trade deal is done

HMRC are making provisions for inspections on the GB ports like Liverpool and Stranraer rather than Belfast and Larne.

Things to think about before we all jump about signing because the border is in the Irish Sea and not Newry.

Who pays for these checks?
How much extra paperwork will be generated? Who is responsible for filling it out?
Are they all completed in the UK?
Do companies have the manpower /skills to complete the paperwork?
What happens when paperwork is incorrectly completed? Especially with perishable goods?
What checks will take place on goods South to North?
Costs? Time? Labour? Skills?

Make no mistake this is a shit deal. And while of course it could push us towards a UI that will be no silver bullet by no means. A Boris majority on Friday will f**k us right over. We've been fucked over by the DUP and I am really shocked that the Irish Government have agreed to this.

I thought your SDLP/FF/FG pals were our mates?

I don't think any party in NI is in favour of this deal? It avoids the need for a hard border in Ireland, but apart from that I can see no upside. A lot will depend on the future relationship that the UK and EU agree.
Trailer, it's as if you have forgotten what the whole point of Brexit is. Of course it's bad for business! Nobody anywhere is denying that, but it's only the extent of how bad it could be that is up for discussion.

In the context of a Brexit, this deal is just about the best possible for the south. No impact to cross border transactions. No border checks. But with Brexit there has to be a border somewhere, so our objective was to place it in the Irish Sea, rather than on this island.

When BJ is saying there'll be no checks for goods going from NI to GB, he's not completely lying, just greatly over-simplifying.

The objective is that for goods that originate in NI and go the GB as final destination, there should be no costs and no border checks.
Clearly any goods that then leave the UK for an EU destination have to go through checks and incur duties just like any GB goods will (pre a new trade deal anyway, but that'll take years).

The problem is how you prove that the goods didn't originate in ROI (or elsewhere) and cross into NI before going to GB. That's going to require a check somewhere. And therefore costs. Ideally, they'll come up with some sort of pre-clearance procedure, but that'll take a while to get up and running properly. HMRC are pretty competent (compared to most government agencies anyway), so I think they will get a proper system up and running without too much delay - although they'll have to run plenty of audits/checks to make sure the system doesn't get abused!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:14:25 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 11:14:50 AM
Just buy stuff from the 26 Counties  ;)

Too expensive to buy anything down there
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:18:37 PM
Get a proper job!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:23:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:18:37 PM
Get a proper job!

Very well paid job, thanks very much, there was a report out recently saying Dublin is more expensive that London! good luck
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:30:28 PM
Well good for Dublin and London.
But what had it to say about Elphin or Ballyhaunis?

Hopefully lots of form filling etc on stuff going from GB to the 6 Cos will lead Northern businesses to go with the simpler option of buying from down the road.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on December 11, 2019, 01:35:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:23:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:18:37 PM
Get a proper job!

Very well paid job, thanks very much, there was a report out recently saying Dublin is more expensive that London! good luck
Tut!

Have you not heard that the UN has just come out and said Ireland is the third best place in the world to live?

QuoteIreland has the third highest quality of life in the world, according to a new study by the United Nations.

The annual Human Development Index rankings are calculated using three categories: health, education and income.

Norway topped the list, followed by Switzerland, with UK and US taking 15th and 16th places.

Ireland has a life expectancy of 82 years, 16th of 189 countries, with the highest life expectancy coming from Hong Kong at almost 85 years old.

In terms of expected years of schooling, Ireland is ranked seventh behind Australia.

Leading the wealth category is Qatar, with a gross national income of €98,630, as Ireland ranked 12th on the list with a gross national income of €55,265. The lowest for national income is Burundi with €596.

Ireland has shown significant growth in the quality of life index, it is up from fourth place last year, while between 2012 and 2017, it jumped 13 places.

The lowest country in the quality-of-life ranking is Niger, with the bottom 10 countries coming from Africa.

Top 10:
1 Norway
2 Switzerland
3 Ireland
4 Germany
5 Hong Kong (study done pre recent events)
6 Australia
7 Iceland
8 Sweden
9 Singapore
10 Netherlands
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 01:35:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:23:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:18:37 PM
Get a proper job!

Very well paid job, thanks very much, there was a report out recently saying Dublin is more expensive that London! good luck
Tut!

Have you not heard that the UN has just come out and said Ireland is the third best place in the world to live?

QuoteIreland has the third highest quality of life in the world, according to a new study by the United Nations.

The annual Human Development Index rankings are calculated using three categories: health, education and income.

Norway topped the list, followed by Switzerland, with UK and US taking 15th and 16th places.

Ireland has a life expectancy of 82 years, 16th of 189 countries, with the highest life expectancy coming from Hong Kong at almost 85 years old.

In terms of expected years of schooling, Ireland is ranked seventh behind Australia.

Leading the wealth category is Qatar, with a gross national income of €98,630, as Ireland ranked 12th on the list with a gross national income of €55,265. The lowest for national income is Burundi with €596.

Ireland has shown significant growth in the quality of life index, it is up from fourth place last year, while between 2012 and 2017, it jumped 13 places.

The lowest country in the quality-of-life ranking is Niger, with the bottom 10 countries coming from Africa.

Top 10:
1 Norway
2 Switzerland
3 Ireland
4 Germany
5 Hong Kong (study done pre recent events)
6 Australia
7 Iceland
8 Sweden
9 Singapore
10 Netherlands

I live in Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on December 11, 2019, 02:28:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 01:35:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:23:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:18:37 PM
Get a proper job!

Very well paid job, thanks very much, there was a report out recently saying Dublin is more expensive that London! good luck
Tut!

Have you not heard that the UN has just come out and said Ireland is the third best place in the world to live?

QuoteIreland has the third highest quality of life in the world, according to a new study by the United Nations.

The annual Human Development Index rankings are calculated using three categories: health, education and income.

Norway topped the list, followed by Switzerland, with UK and US taking 15th and 16th places.

Ireland has a life expectancy of 82 years, 16th of 189 countries, with the highest life expectancy coming from Hong Kong at almost 85 years old.

In terms of expected years of schooling, Ireland is ranked seventh behind Australia.

Leading the wealth category is Qatar, with a gross national income of €98,630, as Ireland ranked 12th on the list with a gross national income of €55,265. The lowest for national income is Burundi with €596.

Ireland has shown significant growth in the quality of life index, it is up from fourth place last year, while between 2012 and 2017, it jumped 13 places.

The lowest country in the quality-of-life ranking is Niger, with the bottom 10 countries coming from Africa.

Top 10:
1 Norway
2 Switzerland
3 Ireland
4 Germany
5 Hong Kong (study done pre recent events)
6 Australia
7 Iceland
8 Sweden
9 Singapore
10 Netherlands

I live in Ireland
Absolutely

Just not the "Ireland" that was assessed above. Would have been first otherwise  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 11, 2019, 03:17:23 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/sport/gaelic-games/gaelic-football/mcconville-i-ll-leave-crossmaglen-if-there-s-a-hard-border-1.4111370
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 02:28:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 01:35:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:23:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:18:37 PM
Get a proper job!

Very well paid job, thanks very much, there was a report out recently saying Dublin is more expensive that London! good luck
Tut!

Have you not heard that the UN has just come out and said Ireland is the third best place in the world to live?

QuoteIreland has the third highest quality of life in the world, according to a new study by the United Nations.

The annual Human Development Index rankings are calculated using three categories: health, education and income.

Norway topped the list, followed by Switzerland, with UK and US taking 15th and 16th places.

Ireland has a life expectancy of 82 years, 16th of 189 countries, with the highest life expectancy coming from Hong Kong at almost 85 years old.

In terms of expected years of schooling, Ireland is ranked seventh behind Australia.

Leading the wealth category is Qatar, with a gross national income of €98,630, as Ireland ranked 12th on the list with a gross national income of €55,265. The lowest for national income is Burundi with €596.

Ireland has shown significant growth in the quality of life index, it is up from fourth place last year, while between 2012 and 2017, it jumped 13 places.

The lowest country in the quality-of-life ranking is Niger, with the bottom 10 countries coming from Africa.

Top 10:
1 Norway
2 Switzerland
3 Ireland
4 Germany
5 Hong Kong (study done pre recent events)
6 Australia
7 Iceland
8 Sweden
9 Singapore
10 Netherlands

I live in Ireland
Absolutely

Just not the "Ireland" that was assessed above. Would have been first otherwise  ;D

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on December 11, 2019, 06:12:34 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 02:28:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 01:35:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:23:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:18:37 PM
Get a proper job!

Very well paid job, thanks very much, there was a report out recently saying Dublin is more expensive that London! good luck
Tut!

Have you not heard that the UN has just come out and said Ireland is the third best place in the world to live?

QuoteIreland has the third highest quality of life in the world, according to a new study by the United Nations.

The annual Human Development Index rankings are calculated using three categories: health, education and income.

Norway topped the list, followed by Switzerland, with UK and US taking 15th and 16th places.

Ireland has a life expectancy of 82 years, 16th of 189 countries, with the highest life expectancy coming from Hong Kong at almost 85 years old.

In terms of expected years of schooling, Ireland is ranked seventh behind Australia.

Leading the wealth category is Qatar, with a gross national income of €98,630, as Ireland ranked 12th on the list with a gross national income of €55,265. The lowest for national income is Burundi with €596.

Ireland has shown significant growth in the quality of life index, it is up from fourth place last year, while between 2012 and 2017, it jumped 13 places.

The lowest country in the quality-of-life ranking is Niger, with the bottom 10 countries coming from Africa.

Top 10:
1 Norway
2 Switzerland
3 Ireland
4 Germany
5 Hong Kong (study done pre recent events)
6 Australia
7 Iceland
8 Sweden
9 Singapore
10 Netherlands

I live in Ireland
Absolutely

Just not the "Ireland" that was assessed above. Would have been first otherwise  ;D

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?


You don't live in the same jurisdiction as us in the Republic of Ireland,that's what this is covering.

Nice jibe about the coats though at the end,I guess that's to be expected from a castle Catholic

Wants to be part of Ireland,insulted when he isn't and then sticks in a jibe about homelessness to feel that bit  "superior" to the south even though by any metric,NI is a failed state
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 06:50:56 PM
Milltown can be quite partitionist right enough.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 07:11:01 PM
Some double standards by the superior Irish posters, when they get a bitta stick back you're a partitionist!

Given a chance I'd say the south would vote against an UI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on December 11, 2019, 07:26:23 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 07:11:01 PM
Some double standards by the superior Irish posters, when they get a bitta stick back you're a partitionist!

Given a chance I'd say the south would vote against an UI

There'd be a mé féiner element, but I would be surprised if it was more than 20%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on December 11, 2019, 09:22:26 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 07:11:01 PM
Some double standards by the superior Irish posters, when they get a bitta stick back you're a partitionist!

Given a chance I'd say the south would vote against an UI

Oh I thought you were Irish also

Make yer up mind son

As you for presuming to know how "the south"  would vote,

wouldn't it be your wet dream if we did vote against a UI,

you could then claim it was us who wrecked any chance of a UI while at the same time delighted that you can remain a British  subject.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 09:29:10 PM
Quote from: weareros on December 11, 2019, 07:26:23 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 07:11:01 PM
Some double standards by the superior Irish posters, when they get a bitta stick back you're a partitionist!

Given a chance I'd say the south would vote against an UI

There'd be a mé féiner element, but I would be surprised if it was more than 20%.

+1.
Although the attitudes of some 6 Cos Nationalists don't help.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
There are very few southerners looking to take on the north on this board, not surprising though.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 07:03:11 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
There are very few southerners looking to take on the north on this board, not surprising though.
It would need to be planned. I think it could work but that it take a few decades to do it properly. Reunification takes time.
What we do not want is a sloppy attempt that turns people off the idea for the next century.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on December 12, 2019, 08:34:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
There are very few southerners looking to take on the north on this board, not surprising though.

No more than yourself,ably representing the castle catholic demographic
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 08:47:11 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 12, 2019, 08:34:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
There are very few southerners looking to take on the north on this board, not surprising though.

No more than yourself,ably representing the castle catholic demographic

Well you lot dropped us pretty quickly when the chance came along, I haven't seen anything to tell me that it would be straight forward and open arms
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lfdown2 on December 12, 2019, 08:50:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?

In fairness Milltown...

http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/ (http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 09:00:29 AM
Quote from: lfdown2 on December 12, 2019, 08:50:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?

In fairness Milltown...

http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/ (http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/)

I don't come on and build up this utopia of living in the south though. I see homeless people every day in Belfast city centre, but some of the crap Seafoid, Rossfan and others put up about how poor NI is would sicken your hole.

Quality of life on this island is the same north and south, poverty is the same.

Though the above coat donation in Belfast was a follow on from the halfpenny bridge and the recent sleep out organised event at the weekend, though I'm not sure the coats were taken down like they were by the DCC 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 12, 2019, 09:12:12 AM
I can't recall making comments about how poor the North is.
I agree though with  what most here say -that it's an economic basket case, propped up by English and Scottish taxpayers. (Wales is probably a half basket case at this stage too).

Seafóid regularly compares the GDP figures of the 6 and 26 but also references the difference in GDP between the BMW and the South and East.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on December 12, 2019, 09:20:28 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 07:03:11 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
There are very few southerners looking to take on the north on this board, not surprising though.
It would need to be planned. I think it could work but that it take a few decades to do it properly. Reunification takes time.
What we do not want is a sloppy attempt that turns people off the idea for the next century.
This.  Maybe possible in a decade, but I think that if Boris gets his Brexit deal through, we'll start to see how separation from the UK would work on the ground.  We would have started to see this with Corp Tax devolution but sadly that's not likely soon. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 10:30:16 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 08:47:11 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 12, 2019, 08:34:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
There are very few southerners looking to take on the north on this board, not surprising though.

No more than yourself,ably representing the castle catholic demographic

Well you lot dropped us pretty quickly when the chance came along, I haven't seen anything to tell me that it would be straight forward and open arms
GAA matches
Plus nobody was asked in 1921
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 10:37:38 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 09:00:29 AM
Quote from: lfdown2 on December 12, 2019, 08:50:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?

In fairness Milltown...

http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/ (http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/)

I don't come on and build up this utopia of living in the south though. I see homeless people every day in Belfast city centre, but some of the crap Seafoid, Rossfan and others put up about how poor NI is would sicken your hole.

Quality of life on this island is the same north and south, poverty is the same.

Though the above coat donation in Belfast was a follow on from the halfpenny bridge and the recent sleep out organised event at the weekend, though I'm not sure the coats were taken down like they were by the DCC
Incomes in NI are about half those in the South
It's reflected in house prices to a certain extent.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 12, 2019, 10:43:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 10:37:38 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 09:00:29 AM
Quote from: lfdown2 on December 12, 2019, 08:50:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?

In fairness Milltown...

http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/ (http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/)

I don't come on and build up this utopia of living in the south though. I see homeless people every day in Belfast city centre, but some of the crap Seafoid, Rossfan and others put up about how poor NI is would sicken your hole.

Quality of life on this island is the same north and south, poverty is the same.

Though the above coat donation in Belfast was a follow on from the halfpenny bridge and the recent sleep out organised event at the weekend, though I'm not sure the coats were taken down like they were by the DCC
Incomes in NI are about half those in the South
It's reflected in house prices to a certain extent.

The cost of living is slightly higher in the South but not enough to offset the higher wages.

If we'd a decent NHS and a properly funded education system I could live with the lower wages.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 11:00:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 10:37:38 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 09:00:29 AM
Quote from: lfdown2 on December 12, 2019, 08:50:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?

In fairness Milltown...

http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/ (http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/)

I don't come on and build up this utopia of living in the south though. I see homeless people every day in Belfast city centre, but some of the crap Seafoid, Rossfan and others put up about how poor NI is would sicken your hole.

Quality of life on this island is the same north and south, poverty is the same.

Though the above coat donation in Belfast was a follow on from the halfpenny bridge and the recent sleep out organised event at the weekend, though I'm not sure the coats were taken down like they were by the DCC
Incomes in NI are about half those in the South
It's reflected in house prices to a certain extent.

I seen a figure showing 740 euro for the south and the UK is £585
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 12, 2019, 11:12:50 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 12, 2019, 10:43:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 10:37:38 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 09:00:29 AM
Quote from: lfdown2 on December 12, 2019, 08:50:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?

In fairness Milltown...

http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/ (http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/)

I don't come on and build up this utopia of living in the south though. I see homeless people every day in Belfast city centre, but some of the crap Seafoid, Rossfan and others put up about how poor NI is would sicken your hole.

Quality of life on this island is the same north and south, poverty is the same.

Though the above coat donation in Belfast was a follow on from the halfpenny bridge and the recent sleep out organised event at the weekend, though I'm not sure the coats were taken down like they were by the DCC
Incomes in NI are about half those in the South
It's reflected in house prices to a certain extent.

The cost of living is slightly higher in the South but not enough to offset the higher wages.

If we'd a decent NHS and a properly funded education system I could live with the lower wages.

No harm, but the price of stuff in the South is f**king ridiculous. "We all partied" comes to mind.
I stayed in a hotel in Dublin a few weeks ago for the weekend and no joke I could have been in New York for what I spent. But it was a very nice hotel and I did have a good time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on December 12, 2019, 11:19:37 AM
Quote from: trailer on December 12, 2019, 11:12:50 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 12, 2019, 10:43:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 10:37:38 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 09:00:29 AM
Quote from: lfdown2 on December 12, 2019, 08:50:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?

In fairness Milltown...

http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/ (http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/)

I don't come on and build up this utopia of living in the south though. I see homeless people every day in Belfast city centre, but some of the crap Seafoid, Rossfan and others put up about how poor NI is would sicken your hole.

Quality of life on this island is the same north and south, poverty is the same.

Though the above coat donation in Belfast was a follow on from the halfpenny bridge and the recent sleep out organised event at the weekend, though I'm not sure the coats were taken down like they were by the DCC
Incomes in NI are about half those in the South
It's reflected in house prices to a certain extent.

The cost of living is slightly higher in the South but not enough to offset the higher wages.

If we'd a decent NHS and a properly funded education system I could live with the lower wages.

No harm, but the price of stuff in the South is f**king ridiculous. "We all partied" comes to mind.
I stayed in a hotel in Dublin a few weeks ago for the weekend and no joke I could have been in New York for what I spent. But it was a very nice hotel and I did have a good time.

It's all relative though. Coming from a border region I'd hazard a guess that a good third of residents from the border regions on the northern side choose to work in the south and then you can have the benefit of the lower living costs but with a lot higher wages. Spoke with a fellow who bought a business in Belfast recently and he said it was due to his cost base being so much lower in terms of running costs, he also said that the biggest saving was on staff wages which are about 40-50% lower than of those in the south. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 12, 2019, 04:24:54 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 08:47:11 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 12, 2019, 08:34:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
There are very few southerners looking to take on the north on this board, not surprising though.

No more than yourself,ably representing the castle catholic demographic

Well you lot dropped us pretty quickly when the chance came along, I haven't seen anything to tell me that it would be straight forward and open arms

Did they? That's a bit harsh. I could have sworn they felt so strongly about the treaty that they fought a civil war over it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 12, 2019, 05:07:30 PM
"Northern (sic) Ireland" was set up by the Brits in 1920.
The Treaty turned "Southern(sic) Ireland" into a Dominion called the Irish Free State.
Civil war was about the new State not being a Republic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 05:24:04 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 11:00:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 12, 2019, 10:37:38 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 09:00:29 AM
Quote from: lfdown2 on December 12, 2019, 08:50:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?

In fairness Milltown...

http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/ (http://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2019/12/11/news/-warmforwinter-public-coat-donation-comes-to-belfast-1786979/)

I don't come on and build up this utopia of living in the south though. I see homeless people every day in Belfast city centre, but some of the crap Seafoid, Rossfan and others put up about how poor NI is would sicken your hole.

Quality of life on this island is the same north and south, poverty is the same.

Though the above coat donation in Belfast was a follow on from the halfpenny bridge and the recent sleep out organised event at the weekend, though I'm not sure the coats were taken down like they were by the DCC
Incomes in NI are about half those in the South
It's reflected in house prices to a certain extent.

I seen a figure showing 740 euro for the south and the UK is £585

The North would be lower than England.
Within the South , Munster and Leinster are twice Connacht (which is pretty much on a par with NI. )
Something like 53k per annum  for Munster/Leinster  vs 27 for Connacht and maybe 30 for NI.
In a UI you would expect Ulster to perform at a higher level especially in places like Derry, hi.

There is an economics paper about it with all the data :

https://www.esri.ie/publications/the-political-economy-of-a-northern-ireland-border-poll
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on December 12, 2019, 06:44:41 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 05:15:53 PM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 02:28:35 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:56:07 PM
Quote from: Hound on December 11, 2019, 01:35:50 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 01:23:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 11, 2019, 01:18:37 PM
Get a proper job!

Very well paid job, thanks very much, there was a report out recently saying Dublin is more expensive that London! good luck
Tut!

Have you not heard that the UN has just come out and said Ireland is the third best place in the world to live?

QuoteIreland has the third highest quality of life in the world, according to a new study by the United Nations.

The annual Human Development Index rankings are calculated using three categories: health, education and income.

Norway topped the list, followed by Switzerland, with UK and US taking 15th and 16th places.

Ireland has a life expectancy of 82 years, 16th of 189 countries, with the highest life expectancy coming from Hong Kong at almost 85 years old.

In terms of expected years of schooling, Ireland is ranked seventh behind Australia.

Leading the wealth category is Qatar, with a gross national income of €98,630, as Ireland ranked 12th on the list with a gross national income of €55,265. The lowest for national income is Burundi with €596.

Ireland has shown significant growth in the quality of life index, it is up from fourth place last year, while between 2012 and 2017, it jumped 13 places.

The lowest country in the quality-of-life ranking is Niger, with the bottom 10 countries coming from Africa.

Top 10:
1 Norway
2 Switzerland
3 Ireland
4 Germany
5 Hong Kong (study done pre recent events)
6 Australia
7 Iceland
8 Sweden
9 Singapore
10 Netherlands

I live in Ireland
Absolutely

Just not the "Ireland" that was assessed above. Would have been first otherwise  ;D

So is your food different down there? Do you exercise more? As far as I'm concerned I live on the island of Ireland, 40 miles from the border won't have any affect of my quality of life, length of life, or schooling, as in the north, its very good, plus the free health service is hard to beat.

I didn't realise you looked at Irishmen in the north differently, what about ones from Donegal? Can't get more north than that.

I seen all those coats on the Halfpenny bridge in Dublin the other day, what's that all about?
Did you forget to switch your brain on?

Where did I say I think Irishmen are different in the north? Or anything else you rambled about just there? Christ, that was some nonsense.

The UN put Ireland (and by Ireland THEY judged it by the 26 counties) as having the third highest quality of life in the world.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on December 12, 2019, 06:58:31 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 12, 2019, 05:07:30 PM
"Northern (sic) Ireland" was set up by the Brits in 1920.
The Treaty turned "Southern(sic) Ireland" into a Dominion called the Irish Free State.
Civil war was about the new State not being a Republic.

I'm quite sure it was about partition too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 07:00:02 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 12, 2019, 04:24:54 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 12, 2019, 08:47:11 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 12, 2019, 08:34:25 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 11, 2019, 10:36:17 PM
There are very few southerners looking to take on the north on this board, not surprising though.

No more than yourself,ably representing the castle catholic demographic

Well you lot dropped us pretty quickly when the chance came along, I haven't seen anything to tell me that it would be straight forward and open arms

Did they? That's a bit harsh. I could have sworn they felt so strongly about the treaty that they fought a civil war over it.

How did that go? Has it been sorted yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 12, 2019, 07:14:03 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on December 12, 2019, 06:58:31 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 12, 2019, 05:07:30 PM
"Northern (sic) Ireland" was set up by the Brits in 1920.
The Treaty turned "Southern(sic) Ireland" into a Dominion called the Irish Free State.
Civil war was about the new State not being a Republic.

I'm quite sure it was about partition too.
Not really. Most felt that partition was a temporary thingy and anyways a Boundary Commission would give Derry City, most of Tyrone and Fermanagh plus South Arnagh and South Down to the Free State.
Rory O'Connor, Dev, Brugha etc were opposed to the Treaty because the new State wasnt a Republic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on December 12, 2019, 07:24:15 PM
The only good thing about a tory majority is the end of the Union.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 17, 2019, 11:48:43 AM
Meanwhile Bozo reverts to type talking about putting 31/12/20 cut off date into Legislation.
So "No deal" is back into play.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on December 17, 2019, 12:18:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 17, 2019, 11:48:43 AM
Meanwhile Bozo reverts to type talking about putting 31/12/20 cut off date into Legislation.
So "No deal" is back into play.

His is manipulaitng the markets to pay back favours to the moneymen
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on December 17, 2019, 12:56:28 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 17, 2019, 12:18:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 17, 2019, 11:48:43 AM
Meanwhile Bozo reverts to type talking about putting 31/12/20 cut off date into Legislation.
So "No deal" is back into play.

His is manipulaitng the markets to pay back favours to the moneymen

Politicians can't really manipulate markets though, unless they want to. The bottom fell out of the pound following the 2016 Brexit vote. Today's markets are pricing out the possibilities of a Corbyn premiership and a Labour administration in the foreseeable future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 17, 2019, 01:11:34 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 17, 2019, 12:18:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 17, 2019, 11:48:43 AM
Meanwhile Bozo reverts to type talking about putting 31/12/20 cut off date into Legislation.
So "No deal" is back into play.

His is manipulaitng the markets to pay back favours to the moneymen
Crossed my mind too!

I can see BJ's thinking in doing this (focus minds at home and in the EU, appease the Brexiteers etc...) but it's an unnecessary barrel he's putting himself over and he can quite easily reverse it legislatively but with great loss of face.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 17, 2019, 01:32:25 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 17, 2019, 01:11:34 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 17, 2019, 12:18:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 17, 2019, 11:48:43 AM
Meanwhile Bozo reverts to type talking about putting 31/12/20 cut off date into Legislation.
So "No deal" is back into play.

His is manipulaitng the markets to pay back favours to the moneymen
Crossed my mind too!

I can see BJ's thinking in doing this (focus minds at home and in the EU, appease the Brexiteers etc...) but it's an unnecessary barrel he's putting himself over and he can quite easily reserve it legislatively but with great loss of face.

FFS, the man has no moral compass, he'll do and say what he pleases and then change tune five minutes later...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on December 17, 2019, 02:31:45 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 17, 2019, 01:11:34 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 17, 2019, 12:18:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 17, 2019, 11:48:43 AM
Meanwhile Bozo reverts to type talking about putting 31/12/20 cut off date into Legislation.
So "No deal" is back into play.

His is manipulaitng the markets to pay back favours to the moneymen
Crossed my mind too!

I can see BJ's thinking in doing this (focus minds at home and in the EU, appease the Brexiteers etc...) but it's an unnecessary barrel he's putting himself over and he can quite easily reserve it legislatively but with great loss of face.

His thinking is that he'll get his No Deal brexit, which is what he wanted all along. And he'll point the finger at the pesky Europeans and the Irish as the reason why they couldn't get a trade deal in 10 odd months and its all their fault. And there will be no choice but for a hard border in Ireland.
He'll just let the cards fall where they may with no care about the consequences for any of us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 17, 2019, 02:35:54 PM
No, he's not a no deal fan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 17, 2019, 02:42:24 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 17, 2019, 02:35:54 PM
No, he's not a no deal fan.

Well Cummins is and he's pulling the strings it seems.

Is Cummins not a Lord yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: guy crouchback on December 17, 2019, 05:22:02 PM
Quote from: tbrick18 on December 17, 2019, 02:31:45 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 17, 2019, 01:11:34 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 17, 2019, 12:18:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 17, 2019, 11:48:43 AM
Meanwhile Bozo reverts to type talking about putting 31/12/20 cut off date into Legislation.
So "No deal" is back into play.

His is manipulaitng the markets to pay back favours to the moneymen
Crossed my mind too!

I can see BJ's thinking in doing this (focus minds at home and in the EU, appease the Brexiteers etc...) but it's an unnecessary barrel he's putting himself over and he can quite easily reserve it legislatively but with great loss of face.

His thinking is that he'll get his No Deal brexit, which is what he wanted all along. And he'll point the finger at the pesky Europeans and the Irish as the reason why they couldn't get a trade deal in 10 odd months and its all their fault. And there will be no choice but for a hard border in Ireland.
He'll just let the cards fall where they may with no care about the consequences for any of us.

once the WA agreement is singed by the UK and it will be by early january than there is no threat of a hard border in Ireland. the WA is an international treaty in its own right anything that does or does not happen thereafter will not affect the terms of the WA. so the front-stop the divorce bill and citizens rights are enshrined in law in the UK and the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on December 18, 2019, 11:07:27 AM
Quote from: guy crouchback on December 17, 2019, 05:22:02 PM
Quote from: tbrick18 on December 17, 2019, 02:31:45 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 17, 2019, 01:11:34 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 17, 2019, 12:18:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 17, 2019, 11:48:43 AM
Meanwhile Bozo reverts to type talking about putting 31/12/20 cut off date into Legislation.
So "No deal" is back into play.

His is manipulaitng the markets to pay back favours to the moneymen
Crossed my mind too!

I can see BJ's thinking in doing this (focus minds at home and in the EU, appease the Brexiteers etc...) but it's an unnecessary barrel he's putting himself over and he can quite easily reserve it legislatively but with great loss of face.

His thinking is that he'll get his No Deal brexit, which is what he wanted all along. And he'll point the finger at the pesky Europeans and the Irish as the reason why they couldn't get a trade deal in 10 odd months and its all their fault. And there will be no choice but for a hard border in Ireland.
He'll just let the cards fall where they may with no care about the consequences for any of us.

once the WA agreement is singed by the UK and it will be by early january than there is no threat of a hard border in Ireland. the WA is an international treaty in its own right anything that does or does not happen thereafter will not affect the terms of the WA. so the front-stop the divorce bill and citizens rights are enshrined in law in the UK and the EU.

But what happens in the world where Boris sets in law that there can be no extension to the time period for negotiating the trade deal? The WA is signed which states trade deal by December 31, 2020. If by that date a trade deal is not done and by law the negotiation cannot be extended, what happens?
I'm not doubting what you say, but I think BJ is as underhanded as they come and I don't think he'd have any issues in breaking an international treaty to get his own way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 18, 2019, 12:49:03 PM
Boris is clearly underhanded. However, it is not clear what advantage breaking the NI deal would give him. He doesn't need the DUP votes, the people whose votes he does need don't care about NI, and he will only get grief from some quarters in the US (and even Canada etc) if he banjaxes NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:04:39 PM
Norn Irn's economy shrank by 0.5% in 2018 driven by the JTI plant closure. GDP per head fell in NI in 2018 .Population growing but GDP falling.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-50853709

"Economic output in the Mid and East Antrim area, which includes Ballymena, was down by more than 10%."

Antrim obviously won't win an All Ireland until there is a United Ireland
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:09:09 PM

2
8
6

Richard Ramsey
@Ramseconomics
·
48m
Zoning in on Mid and East Antrim. The economic growth or rather lack of it are quite shocking. Fasten your seatbelts...
The 10.1% fall in GDP in 2018 was better than the previous 2 years 2016(-11%) & 2017 (-25%).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 19, 2019, 01:00:45 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:09:09 PM

2
8
6

Richard Ramsey
@Ramseconomics
·
48m
Zoning in on Mid and East Antrim. The economic growth or rather lack of it are quite shocking. Fasten your seatbelts...
The 10.1% fall in GDP in 2018 was better than the previous 2 years 2016(-11%) & 2017 (-25%).

Ah but sure Ian Og is a fine upstanding gentleman. Gets safely returned every time. :rolleyes:

and Sammy "send them to the chuppy" Wilson is as good as there is.

Must be the South Antrim MPs fault. Girvan - we'll blame him.


Oh wait a second... he's DUP too...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 19, 2019, 01:03:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:04:39 PM
Norn Irn's economy shrank by 0.5% in 2018 driven by the JTI plant closure. GDP per head fell in NI in 2018 .Population growing but GDP falling.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-50853709

"Economic output in the Mid and East Antrim area, which includes Ballymena, was down by more than 10%."

Antrim obviously won't win an All Ireland until there is a United Ireland

What's Leitrim's excuse?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 01:15:29 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 19, 2019, 01:03:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:04:39 PM
Norn Irn's economy shrank by 0.5% in 2018 driven by the JTI plant closure. GDP per head fell in NI in 2018 .Population growing but GDP falling.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-50853709

"Economic output in the Mid and East Antrim area, which includes Ballymena, was down by more than 10%."

Antrim obviously won't win an All Ireland until there is a United Ireland
Rushes

What's Leitrim's excuse?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 19, 2019, 02:14:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 19, 2019, 01:03:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:04:39 PM
Norn Irn's economy shrank by 0.5% in 2018 driven by the JTI plant closure. GDP per head fell in NI in 2018 .Population growing but GDP falling.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-50853709

"Economic output in the Mid and East Antrim area, which includes Ballymena, was down by more than 10%."

Antrim obviously won't win an All Ireland until there is a United Ireland

What's Leitrim's excuse?
33,000 population.
Nationalist/Catholic population of Antrim? 250k?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 19, 2019, 02:17:00 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 19, 2019, 02:14:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 19, 2019, 01:03:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:04:39 PM
Norn Irn's economy shrank by 0.5% in 2018 driven by the JTI plant closure. GDP per head fell in NI in 2018 .Population growing but GDP falling.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-50853709

"Economic output in the Mid and East Antrim area, which includes Ballymena, was down by more than 10%."

Antrim obviously won't win an All Ireland until there is a United Ireland

What's Leitrim's excuse?
33,000 population.
Nationalist/Catholic population of Antrim? 250k?

I thought this was an economics reason
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 19, 2019, 02:52:12 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 19, 2019, 02:14:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 19, 2019, 01:03:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:04:39 PM
Norn Irn's economy shrank by 0.5% in 2018 driven by the JTI plant closure. GDP per head fell in NI in 2018 .Population growing but GDP falling.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-50853709

"Economic output in the Mid and East Antrim area, which includes Ballymena, was down by more than 10%."

Antrim obviously won't win an All Ireland until there is a United Ireland

What's Leitrim's excuse?
33,000 population.
Nationalist/Catholic population of Antrim? 250k?

Everyone knows that shafties can't play football.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lurganblue on December 19, 2019, 02:55:24 PM
Quote from: trailer on December 19, 2019, 02:52:12 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 19, 2019, 02:14:36 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 19, 2019, 01:03:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:04:39 PM
Norn Irn's economy shrank by 0.5% in 2018 driven by the JTI plant closure. GDP per head fell in NI in 2018 .Population growing but GDP falling.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-50853709

"Economic output in the Mid and East Antrim area, which includes Ballymena, was down by more than 10%."

Antrim obviously won't win an All Ireland until there is a United Ireland

What's Leitrim's excuse?
33,000 population.
Nationalist/Catholic population of Antrim? 250k?

Everyone knows that shafties can't play football.

Most Antrim GAA lads I know don't even support Antrim.  Says it all. They all seem to have relations in Tyrone or support Donegal cos that's where their mobile home is...  :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 19, 2019, 03:06:07 PM
NI is a failed state, Antrim is a failed county.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 03:14:24 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 19, 2019, 01:03:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 19, 2019, 12:04:39 PM
Norn Irn's economy shrank by 0.5% in 2018 driven by the JTI plant closure. GDP per head fell in NI in 2018 .Population growing but GDP falling.

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-50853709

"Economic output in the Mid and East Antrim area, which includes Ballymena, was down by more than 10%."

Antrim obviously won't win an All Ireland until there is a United Ireland

What's Leitrim's excuse?
Unfair funding backing Dub hegemony
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 20, 2019, 05:31:47 PM
Very interesting

https://chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2019/12/johnsons-no-deal-20-virtue-signalling.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on December 20, 2019, 08:12:33 PM
Guy Verhofstadh claiming some conservatives claiming eu passports via Cyprus
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on December 23, 2019, 07:29:15 AM
As far as six county loyalists are concerned, Brexit has quite a few similarities to Catholic Emancipation. The English ploughed ahead with emancipation despite the wishes of the oranges lodges. Brunswick clubs were formed to counter it (bit like Jamie Bryson and the Ulster Hall meeting) but to no avail.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 23, 2019, 11:56:36 AM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on December 20, 2019, 08:12:33 PM
Guy Verhofstadh claiming some conservatives claiming eu passports via Cyprus

Cyprus will sell you a passport if you buy property there, without ever visiting the place. Several Tory backers have done just that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 23, 2019, 01:22:05 PM
Maltese passports easily bought as well, a favourite EU entry point for Russian mob.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 10, 2020, 09:59:53 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/newsmulg/status/1215553062384914432
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 24, 2020, 11:31:48 AM
https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/2020/jan/24/revealed-complex-post-brexit-checks-for-northern-irish-traders
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Boycey on January 29, 2020, 07:20:39 PM
Just seen Farage and co performance in Brussels today.

Holy Fcuk.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on January 30, 2020, 10:27:40 AM
Quote from: Boycey on January 29, 2020, 07:20:39 PM
Just seen Farage and co performance in Brussels today.

Holy Fcuk.....

Normal brits must be mortified. Quicker we break away from that outfit the better.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on January 31, 2020, 07:33:51 AM
Quote from: GJL on January 30, 2020, 10:27:40 AM
Quote from: Boycey on January 29, 2020, 07:20:39 PM
Just seen Farage and co performance in Brussels today.

Holy Fcuk.....

Normal brits must be mortified. Quicker we break away from that outfit the better.

Yes, what a f**king pathetic twat he is.

It ain't over at 11pm this evening either. The 'Brade deals' have to start. That's when the real stuff begins.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 31, 2020, 08:04:56 AM
Enter Phil Hogan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AFM on January 31, 2020, 08:08:13 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on January 31, 2020, 07:33:51 AM
Quote from: GJL on January 30, 2020, 10:27:40 AM
Quote from: Boycey on January 29, 2020, 07:20:39 PM
Just seen Farage and co performance in Brussels today.

Holy Fcuk.....

Normal brits must be mortified. Quicker we break away from that outfit the better.

Yes, what a f**king pathetic twat he is.

It ain't over at 11pm this evening either. The 'Brade deals' have to start. That's when the real stuff begins.

Whatever you think of him, he got the UK to leave the European Union practically single handed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 31, 2020, 08:50:42 AM
There is a very strong link imo  between the numbers who voted Leave and what Thatcher did to the N of England in the 1980s.

https://www.ft.com/content/7ee8c8ec-41ba-11ea-a047-eae9bd51ceba
In 1981 — after a summer of inner city riots — the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher considered abandoning parts of the north to what the then chancellor Geoffrey Howe described as "managed decline".
   In a letter dated September 4, and only released by the state archives in 2011, Mr Howe, a Cambridge-educated classicist, asked: "Should our aim be to stabilise the inner cities . . . or is this to pump water uphill? Should we rather go for 'managed decline'?" He realised how controversial the approach would be. "This is not a term for use, even privately," he counselled cabinet colleagues. "It is much too negative."

The causes of the Toxteth riots in Liverpool and those in Manchester, Leeds, Birmingham, Bristol and London were manifold. Racial harassment of young black people by the police was the spark, but unemployment rates of as much as 50 per cent in some places had robbed many people of hope as well as money.

Thatcher blamed the poor. "We have a whole generation brought up on five hours a day of TV," she told the cabinet on July 9. "We have poured money into big employments in Merseyside; a failure."

As her government cut subsidies and sterling soared, allowing a flood of cheap imports, industry across the north of England and the Midlands collapsed. More than 1m manufacturing jobs were lost between 1979 and 1981. Almost one in five people in the north-east were jobless, compared with one in 10 in the south-east. Hundreds of thousands of people moved south for work.

Michael Heseltine, the then environment secretary, accused his own government of "tactical retreat, a combination of economic erosion and encouraged evacuation".

Three years later the fight moved from the cities to the coalfields. A plan to shut up to 75 pits over three years sparked a year-long strike across Yorkshire, Durham, Lancashire, South Wales and Scotland. More than 160,000 coalfield jobs were lost in the decade after 1981. By 1996 Grimethorpe, once a thriving pit village in South Yorkshire, was the most deprived area in the UK. And some coalfield communities are still struggling to find a new purpose."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 31, 2020, 08:53:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 31, 2020, 08:50:42 AM
There is a very strong link imo  between the numbers who voted Leave and what Thatcher did to the N of England in the 1980s.

https://www.ft.com/content/7ee8c8ec-41ba-11ea-a047-eae9bd51ceba
In 1981 — after a summer of inner city riots — the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher considered abandoning parts of the north to what the then chancellor Geoffrey Howe described as "managed decline".
   In a letter dated September 4, and only released by the state archives in 2011, Mr Howe, a Cambridge-educated classicist, asked: "Should our aim be to stabilise the inner cities . . . or is this to pump water uphill? Should we rather go for 'managed decline'?" He realised how controversial the approach would be. "This is not a term for use, even privately," he counselled cabinet colleagues. "It is much too negative."

The causes of the Toxteth riots in Liverpool and those in Manchester, Leeds, Birmingham, Bristol and London were manifold. Racial harassment of young black people by the police was the spark, but unemployment rates of as much as 50 per cent in some places had robbed many people of hope as well as money.

Thatcher blamed the poor. "We have a whole generation brought up on five hours a day of TV," she told the cabinet on July 9. "We have poured money into big employments in Merseyside; a failure."

As her government cut subsidies and sterling soared, allowing a flood of cheap imports, industry across the north of England and the Midlands collapsed. More than 1m manufacturing jobs were lost between 1979 and 1981. Almost one in five people in the north-east were jobless, compared with one in 10 in the south-east. Hundreds of thousands of people moved south for work.

Michael Heseltine, the then environment secretary, accused his own government of "tactical retreat, a combination of economic erosion and encouraged evacuation".

Three years later the fight moved from the cities to the coalfields. A plan to shut up to 75 pits over three years sparked a year-long strike across Yorkshire, Durham, Lancashire, South Wales and Scotland. More than 160,000 coalfield jobs were lost in the decade after 1981. By 1996 Grimethorpe, once a thriving pit village in South Yorkshire, was the most deprived area in the UK. And some coalfield communities are still struggling to find a new purpose."

It makes you wonder what sort of fuckwits voted her in time and time again, and with big majorities !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 31, 2020, 09:21:41 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 31, 2020, 08:53:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 31, 2020, 08:50:42 AM
There is a very strong link imo  between the numbers who voted Leave and what Thatcher did to the N of England in the 1980s.

https://www.ft.com/content/7ee8c8ec-41ba-11ea-a047-eae9bd51ceba
In 1981 — after a summer of inner city riots — the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher considered abandoning parts of the north to what the then chancellor Geoffrey Howe described as "managed decline".
   In a letter dated September 4, and only released by the state archives in 2011, Mr Howe, a Cambridge-educated classicist, asked: "Should our aim be to stabilise the inner cities . . . or is this to pump water uphill? Should we rather go for 'managed decline'?" He realised how controversial the approach would be. "This is not a term for use, even privately," he counselled cabinet colleagues. "It is much too negative."

The causes of the Toxteth riots in Liverpool and those in Manchester, Leeds, Birmingham, Bristol and London were manifold. Racial harassment of young black people by the police was the spark, but unemployment rates of as much as 50 per cent in some places had robbed many people of hope as well as money.

Thatcher blamed the poor. "We have a whole generation brought up on five hours a day of TV," she told the cabinet on July 9. "We have poured money into big employments in Merseyside; a failure."

As her government cut subsidies and sterling soared, allowing a flood of cheap imports, industry across the north of England and the Midlands collapsed. More than 1m manufacturing jobs were lost between 1979 and 1981. Almost one in five people in the north-east were jobless, compared with one in 10 in the south-east. Hundreds of thousands of people moved south for work.

Michael Heseltine, the then environment secretary, accused his own government of "tactical retreat, a combination of economic erosion and encouraged evacuation".

Three years later the fight moved from the cities to the coalfields. A plan to shut up to 75 pits over three years sparked a year-long strike across Yorkshire, Durham, Lancashire, South Wales and Scotland. More than 160,000 coalfield jobs were lost in the decade after 1981. By 1996 Grimethorpe, once a thriving pit village in South Yorkshire, was the most deprived area in the UK. And some coalfield communities are still struggling to find a new purpose."

It makes you wonder what sort of fuckwits voted her in time and time again, and with big majorities !
Like loyalists voting for the DUP. WTF
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 31, 2020, 09:41:07 AM
Do threascair an saol is shéid an ghaoth mar smál
Alastrann, Caesar, 's an méid sin a bhí 'na bpáirt;
tá an Teamhair 'na féar, is féach an Traoi mar tá,
is na Sasanaigh féin do b'fhéidir go bhfaighidís bás.

Eoghan Rua O'Suilleabhain (1748-82)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AFM on January 31, 2020, 10:08:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 31, 2020, 09:21:41 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 31, 2020, 08:53:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on January 31, 2020, 08:50:42 AM
There is a very strong link imo  between the numbers who voted Leave and what Thatcher did to the N of England in the 1980s.

https://www.ft.com/content/7ee8c8ec-41ba-11ea-a047-eae9bd51ceba
In 1981 — after a summer of inner city riots — the Conservative government of Margaret Thatcher considered abandoning parts of the north to what the then chancellor Geoffrey Howe described as "managed decline".
   In a letter dated September 4, and only released by the state archives in 2011, Mr Howe, a Cambridge-educated classicist, asked: "Should our aim be to stabilise the inner cities . . . or is this to pump water uphill? Should we rather go for 'managed decline'?" He realised how controversial the approach would be. "This is not a term for use, even privately," he counselled cabinet colleagues. "It is much too negative."

The causes of the Toxteth riots in Liverpool and those in Manchester, Leeds, Birmingham, Bristol and London were manifold. Racial harassment of young black people by the police was the spark, but unemployment rates of as much as 50 per cent in some places had robbed many people of hope as well as money.

Thatcher blamed the poor. "We have a whole generation brought up on five hours a day of TV," she told the cabinet on July 9. "We have poured money into big employments in Merseyside; a failure."

As her government cut subsidies and sterling soared, allowing a flood of cheap imports, industry across the north of England and the Midlands collapsed. More than 1m manufacturing jobs were lost between 1979 and 1981. Almost one in five people in the north-east were jobless, compared with one in 10 in the south-east. Hundreds of thousands of people moved south for work.

Michael Heseltine, the then environment secretary, accused his own government of "tactical retreat, a combination of economic erosion and encouraged evacuation".

Three years later the fight moved from the cities to the coalfields. A plan to shut up to 75 pits over three years sparked a year-long strike across Yorkshire, Durham, Lancashire, South Wales and Scotland. More than 160,000 coalfield jobs were lost in the decade after 1981. By 1996 Grimethorpe, once a thriving pit village in South Yorkshire, was the most deprived area in the UK. And some coalfield communities are still struggling to find a new purpose."

It makes you wonder what sort of fuckwits voted her in time and time again, and with big majorities !
Like loyalists voting for the DUP. WTF

Or Nationalists voting Sinn Fein. WTF
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on January 31, 2020, 10:36:37 AM
Gonna be a great laugh watching the infantile attempts of the Brits trying to get back into the EU for the next ten years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AFM on January 31, 2020, 10:43:09 AM
Especially when they find out Trump's trade deal will be feck all like they hoped for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 31, 2020, 11:57:37 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on January 31, 2020, 10:36:37 AM
Gonna be a great laugh watching the infantile attempts of the Brits trying to get back into the EU for the next ten years.
Hopefully an Independent Scotland will veto their application :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on January 31, 2020, 02:01:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 31, 2020, 11:57:37 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on January 31, 2020, 10:36:37 AM
Gonna be a great laugh watching the infantile attempts of the Brits trying to get back into the EU for the next ten years.
Hopefully an Independent Scotland will veto their application :D

Sturgeon will never get the chance and shes knows this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 31, 2020, 02:39:10 PM
Quote from: Keyser soze on January 31, 2020, 10:36:37 AM
Gonna be a great laugh watching the infantile attempts of the Brits trying to get back into the EU for the next ten years.

The dumb f**ks don't realise their old gunboat (as extensively used for diplomacy across the world in the days of yore they long for) has long since sunk and is sitting at the bottom of scapa flow beside the Royal Oak.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on January 31, 2020, 04:58:07 PM
Katie Hopkins has won the prestigious "Campaign to Unify the Nation Trophy"

https://twitter.com/joshua_pieters/status/1222989033124638723

I am sure we can all agree the it is a well deserved honour.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on January 31, 2020, 05:46:09 PM
Quote from: dec on January 31, 2020, 04:58:07 PM
Katie Hopkins has won the prestigious "Campaign to Unify the Nation Trophy"

https://twitter.com/joshua_pieters/status/1222989033124638723

I am sure we can all agree the it is a well deserved honour.

Saw this earlier. It was a brilliant setup of her by these guys. Here is a direct link to the video. 10 mins of genius.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eRIdtMlqwNA&feature=youtu.be
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 31, 2020, 05:49:24 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on January 31, 2020, 02:01:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 31, 2020, 11:57:37 AM
Quote from: Keyser soze on January 31, 2020, 10:36:37 AM
Gonna be a great laugh watching the infantile attempts of the Brits trying to get back into the EU for the next ten years.
Hopefully an Independent Scotland will veto their application :D

Sturgeon will never get the chance and shes knows this.

Never is a long time. The latest Yougov poll shows a 51-49 majority for independence in Scotland, with a much higher figures among young people. Sturgeon can wait a wee while. she has the wind behind her.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on January 31, 2020, 09:44:27 PM
Boris Johnson and his cohorts would remind of Prince George in Blackadder III the old 'We can do this, we're British. A shower of in bred lunatics
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 31, 2020, 10:10:05 PM
Parliament square looks lively anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Boycey on January 31, 2020, 11:46:25 PM
Are them c***ts gone yet....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: omaghjoe on February 01, 2020, 12:52:13 AM
(https://preview.redd.it/6cjtaz82hhey.jpg?width=960&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=3e96f7d928f6cb722e38150cdb71bb4e341eba83)

Gonna miss these the nest time I'm home, luckily I can get my fix a few mile away in the Banana Republic no such luck for the Remainers in England, Scotland and Wales
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 03, 2020, 06:20:04 PM
This is pretty shocking

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/news-organisations-walk-out-no-21422084.amp
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on February 03, 2020, 06:52:27 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 03, 2020, 06:20:04 PM
This is pretty shocking

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/news-organisations-walk-out-no-21422084.amp

A sign of fear. Impartial reporting could reveal too much truth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 03, 2020, 07:32:01 PM
Interesting that the journos were from across the spectrum, including the Government's normal mouthpiece the Torygraph.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 03, 2020, 09:06:50 PM
Apparently there is a lot of tension in the Cabinet between 2 factions - one wants to address the inequality that spurred the Leave vote and protect jobs while aligned to the EU. The other wants to destroy what doesnt belong in the future and do a WTO f**k you to the EU. This sort of shite wouldnt work on a Junior C hurling team.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 03, 2020, 10:00:50 PM
Latest poll has support for Scottish independence surging at 52%. The Tories will have a battle on their hands to try and fend off the SNPs calls for Indy Ref 2.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on February 03, 2020, 10:14:58 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 03, 2020, 10:00:50 PM
Latest poll has support for Scottish independence surging at 52%. The Tories will have a battle on their hands to try and fend off the SNPs calls for Indy Ref 2.

The Tories can just keep saying no can they not? What can the SNP do about it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 03, 2020, 10:44:55 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 03, 2020, 10:14:58 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 03, 2020, 10:00:50 PM
Latest poll has support for Scottish independence surging at 52%. The Tories will have a battle on their hands to try and fend off the SNPs calls for Indy Ref 2.

The Tories can just keep saying no can they not? What can the SNP do about it?

They can keep saying no but they run the risk of driving an even greater wedge between middle England and Scotland thus increasing support for independence in the process. If the Scots do not see any tangible benefits accruing from Brexit then it will just become greater. Denying people a vote will not improve relations as the Spanish have discovered in Catalonia.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 03, 2020, 11:28:32 PM
As it's already been accepted by Westminster that the Scottish people are sovereign over Scotland I suspect there will be a case taken under Scots Law to order a referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 04, 2020, 12:33:53 AM
I think the longer the tories delay on granting a referendum, support will grow even more for independence .

If they want Scotland to stay, they should grant it now while it's too close to call and the effects of Brexit hasn't manifested yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 13, 2020, 10:30:29 AM
Looks like the morning of the Long Knives in Downing St. BJ moving out some of the more hardline Brexiteers and possibly moving towards a more One-Nation cabinet outlook. The utterly useless Villiers and Leadsom both gone, as is apparently bombastic Geoffrey Cox. Also alas Julian Smith NI SOS, who seemed a man of empathy and ability and who achieved more in half the time than his numskulled predecessor Karen Bradley.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 13, 2020, 10:44:06 AM
That Smith lad seemed an able operator.
Mind you compared to his 3 or 4 predecessors.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2020, 11:20:21 AM
Quote from: mouview on February 13, 2020, 10:30:29 AM
Looks like the morning of the Long Knives in Downing St. BJ moving out some of the more hardline Brexiteers and possibly moving towards a more One-Nation cabinet outlook. The utterly useless Villiers and Leadsom both gone, as is apparently bombastic Geoffrey Cox. Also alas Julian Smith NI SOS, who seemed a man of empathy and ability and who achieved more in half the time than his numskulled predecessor Karen Bradley.

Johnson is turning down Brexit and turning up corporate welfare , limited regional investment, nationalism and authoritarianism
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 13, 2020, 11:57:20 AM
Smith the only competent SoS in over a decade will be interesting to see what talking head they get in next! Apparently the NI agreement blindsided the Govt they weren't expecting the legacy implications!

Javid gone as well it's a bloodbath!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on February 13, 2020, 12:16:51 PM
Javid just resigned as chancellor with a budget due in 4 weeks! Maybe today not going quite to plan for Boris!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AFM on February 13, 2020, 01:08:44 PM
Esther McVey horrible woman.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AFM on February 13, 2020, 01:18:51 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 13, 2020, 12:16:51 PM
Javid just resigned as chancellor with a budget due in 4 weeks! Maybe today not going quite to plan for Boris!

Looks like it's given the pound a lift!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 13, 2020, 01:37:07 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 13, 2020, 12:16:51 PM
Javid just resigned as chancellor with a budget due in 4 weeks! Maybe today not going quite to plan for Boris!

Serves Javid right; started out as a Remainer, until he decided his career would be better suited by switching to Leave.
Interesting back story though, seems his advisors didn't get along with Cummings who seems to be running the whole show. Going to be a few disgruntled back benchers about when this reshuffle is over. Long may it cause foment in the Tory party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JohnDenver on February 13, 2020, 01:55:25 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 13, 2020, 01:37:07 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 13, 2020, 12:16:51 PM
Javid just resigned as chancellor with a budget due in 4 weeks! Maybe today not going quite to plan for Boris!

Serves Javid right; started out as a Remainer, until he decided his career would be better suited by switching to Leave.
Interesting back story though, seems his advisors didn't get along with Cummings who seems to be running the whole show. Going to be a few disgruntled back benchers about when this reshuffle is over. Long may it cause foment in the Tory party.

Doesn't seem to be the same furore about unelected Cummings pulling the strings compared the dark forces within Sinn Féin....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 13, 2020, 02:04:27 PM
Is it possible old Boris is looking at events in Ireland (with Sinn Fein) and US (with Bernie), where a protest youth vote altered or is altering the political landscape, and has decided a more youthful cabinet is needed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on February 13, 2020, 02:05:09 PM
Quote from: JohnDenver on February 13, 2020, 01:55:25 PM
Doesn't seem to be the same furore about unelected Cummings pulling the strings compared the dark forces within Sinn Féin....

There will be when they find out that Cummings has an illegal private army.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on February 13, 2020, 02:05:33 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 13, 2020, 02:04:27 PM
Is it possible old Boris is looking at events in Ireland (with Sinn Fein) and US (with Bernie), where a protest youth vote altered or is altering the political landscape, and has decided a more youthful cabinet is needed.

Good point.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on February 13, 2020, 02:07:05 PM
Quote from: five points on February 13, 2020, 02:05:33 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 13, 2020, 02:04:27 PM
Is it possible old Boris is looking at events in Ireland (with Sinn Fein) and US (with Bernie), where a protest youth vote altered or is altering the political landscape, and has decided a more youthful cabinet is needed.

Good point.

Boris is safe for 5 years in power. Why would he worry or change tactics to appease any section of voters?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2020, 02:22:33 PM
Quote from: AFM on February 13, 2020, 01:08:44 PM
Esther McVey horrible woman.
Leadsom is viler
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AFM on February 13, 2020, 02:32:33 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 13, 2020, 02:07:05 PM
Quote from: five points on February 13, 2020, 02:05:33 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 13, 2020, 02:04:27 PM
Is it possible old Boris is looking at events in Ireland (with Sinn Fein) and US (with Bernie), where a protest youth vote altered or is altering the political landscape, and has decided a more youthful cabinet is needed.

Good point.

Boris is safe for 5 years in power. Why would he worry or change tactics to appease any section of voters?

It was said by a lot of commentators that Boris would always shift tactics once in power, he can now appease himself, he was a reluctant leaver.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on February 13, 2020, 02:40:16 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 13, 2020, 02:07:05 PM
Quote from: five points on February 13, 2020, 02:05:33 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 13, 2020, 02:04:27 PM
Is it possible old Boris is looking at events in Ireland (with Sinn Fein) and US (with Bernie), where a protest youth vote altered or is altering the political landscape, and has decided a more youthful cabinet is needed.

Good point.

Boris is safe for 5 years in power. Why would he worry or change tactics to appease any section of voters?

Freshening up your cabinet is hardly appeasing anyone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2020, 03:45:58 PM
Quote from: JohnDenver on February 13, 2020, 01:55:25 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 13, 2020, 01:37:07 PM
Quote from: GJL on February 13, 2020, 12:16:51 PM
Javid just resigned as chancellor with a budget due in 4 weeks! Maybe today not going quite to plan for Boris!

Serves Javid right; started out as a Remainer, until he decided his career would be better suited by switching to Leave.
Interesting back story though, seems his advisors didn't get along with Cummings who seems to be running the whole show. Going to be a few disgruntled back benchers about when this reshuffle is over. Long may it cause foment in the Tory party.

Doesn't seem to be the same furore about unelected Cummings pulling the strings compared the dark forces within Sinn Féin....

or those dastardly unelected european bureaucrats
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on February 13, 2020, 03:47:22 PM
Quote from: five points on February 13, 2020, 02:05:09 PM
Quote from: JohnDenver on February 13, 2020, 01:55:25 PM
Doesn't seem to be the same furore about unelected Cummings pulling the strings compared the dark forces within Sinn Féin....

There will be when they find out that Cummings has an illegal private army.

Do they need another confidence/supply agreement with the DUPUDA?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 13, 2020, 04:21:39 PM
The stereotypical Tory Brandon Perma-tan Lewis is on his way to put the Oirish Oinks in their place..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 13, 2020, 05:27:47 PM
Shoddy if not unexpected treatment of Smith, a remainer who apparently wasnt afraid to tell Johnston blunt truths. I suspect they also want someone who will be less than vigorous investigating breaches of the Withdrawal agreement in relation to internal UK trade 'checks' between the islands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 13, 2020, 05:35:06 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 13, 2020, 05:27:47 PM
Shoddy if not unexpected treatment of Smith, a remainer who apparently wasnt afraid to tell Johnston blunt truths. I suspect they also want someone who will be less than vigorous investigating breaches of the Withdrawal agreement in relation to internal UK trade 'checks' between the islands.

https://www.ft.com/content/f1e8b996-4e59-11ea-95a0-43d18ec715f5
"While Mr Javid's departure was clearly unintended, it fits the theme of this reshuffle, which is that compliance was more important that competence."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 13, 2020, 11:07:04 PM
Zero remainers in the cabinet now... There will be a hard fall this time next year!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 13, 2020, 11:52:44 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 13, 2020, 11:07:04 PM
Zero remainers in the cabinet now... There will be a hard fall this time next year!!

Hmmmm... Leadsom, Villiers were as Hard Leave as they came, Cox was Leave-leaning also, Javid a convert. More a BJ/Cummings loyalist firm than a Brexit job. Every day that passes though, UK moves inexorably towards being absolutely f*cked. EU negotiators will run rings around them. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 14, 2020, 05:32:25 AM
Quote from: mouview on February 13, 2020, 11:52:44 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 13, 2020, 11:07:04 PM
Zero remainers in the cabinet now... There will be a hard fall this time next year!!

Hmmmm... Leadsom, Villiers were as Hard Leave as they came, Cox was Leave-leaning also, Javid a convert. More a BJ/Cummings loyalist firm than a Brexit job. Every day that passes though, UK moves inexorably towards being absolutely f*cked. EU negotiators will run rings around them.

He doesn't need them.The next stage is like a military coup - taking control of the CBI, the BBC, the military elite.
The UK is going to be like Poland and Turkey. Authoritarian, nationalistic and the ultra rich in charge.

I wouldn't like to be a loyalist. The next few years are going to be very confusing in Tigers Bay.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 14, 2020, 07:46:21 AM
https://ancroiait.wordpress.com/tag/taimse-imchodladh/

Go bhfeicfeadh an lá a mbeidh ár  Shasanaigh ughaim ar a ndroim is iad ag treabhadh is ag branar dúinn.

Would that I see the day when the English were bent over and they plowing and tilling for us,
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 14, 2020, 03:48:27 PM
Its a purge. SF trying something similar in Dublin by banning Journos.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on February 14, 2020, 09:58:17 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on February 14, 2020, 06:36:12 PM
Brexiteer complains about about what it means to be a British citizen travelling in the EU now & in the future... (though nothing's actually changed - he's in the non-Schengen queue AIUI, open to correction)

Colin Browning @ColinBrowning14
"Absolutely disgusting service at Schiphol airport. 55 minutes we have been stood in the immigration queue. This isn't the Brexit I voted for."
https://twitter.com/colinbrowning14/status/1227906931450425344 (https://twitter.com/colinbrowning14/status/1227906931450425344)

In case you don't fancy clicking the link, and I wouldn't blame you, this is his Twitter profile Bio...

QuoteLove all things Leicestershire, STH at LCFC since 1981. Love a pint of Tiger. Let's make Britain Great again 🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧 One of the 17.4 #Brexiteer

To be honest I suspect that this is troll account or someone on the piss take. There should be no delays yet for UK citizens and judging my some of the other posts it seems like they are deliberately annoying people to get a reaction
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on February 14, 2020, 10:09:59 PM
Brandon Lewis says "there will be no border in the Irish Sea" (RTE News).  Their handshake isn't worth much.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 15, 2020, 10:32:00 AM
It's a house of cards, but they've that  big a majority they can pretty much do as they please in Government until external realities bring them to a shuddering halt.  When this happens they'll blame all and sundry (EU mainly) and continue as though nothing happened. Cummins trying to stop access to non friendly Journalists, disinformation along Trump lines and bringing in compliant ministers is all long game planning.  I agree that it's on a dangerous road to authoritarianism, but will the UK Media realise before they're neutered.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 16, 2020, 09:27:14 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 15, 2020, 10:32:00 AM
It's a house of cards, but they've that  big a majority they can pretty much do as they please in Government until external realities bring them to a shuddering halt.  When this happens they'll blame all and sundry (EU mainly) and continue as though nothing happened. Cummins trying to stop access to non friendly Journalists, disinformation along Trump lines and bringing in compliant ministers is all long game planning.  I agree that it's on a dangerous road to authoritarianism, but will the UK Media realise before they're neutered.

Ayn Rand  - "you can ignore reality but you cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality."

Aguisin

irishtimes.com/news/politics/surprise-and-anger-following-sacking-of-julian-smith-as-northern-secretary-1.4172938...

"Margaret McGuckin of victims' group, Savia accused Mr Johnson of "doing a hatchet job on one of the nicest, kindest" Northern secretaries who had been a "God-send" to victims of historical institutional abuse."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 17, 2020, 10:35:15 PM
Sabisky made a fair impact in a couple of days!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AFM on February 19, 2020, 09:14:10 AM
The new points system.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-51550421

(https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/8628/production/_110944343_immigration_points_640-nc.png)

Proposed points system
Mandatory requirements   Points
Job offer from approved sponsor   20
Job at appropriate skill level   20
English at required level           10
Points for salary   Points
£20,480 – £23,039                    0
£23,040 – £25,599                   10
£25,600 or above                   20
Additional points   Points
Job in a shortage occupation   20
PhD in subject relevant to the job10
PhD in relevant STEM subject   20
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 19, 2020, 06:54:26 PM
Hopefully another step on the road to an All Ireland solution as more non Nationalist folk in the North get pissed off with the Brits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on February 19, 2020, 08:31:23 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on February 14, 2020, 06:36:12 PM
Brexiteer complains about about what it means to be a British citizen travelling in the EU now & in the future... (though nothing's actually changed - he's in the non-Schengen queue AIUI, open to correction)

Colin Browning @ColinBrowning14
"Absolutely disgusting service at Schiphol airport. 55 minutes we have been stood in the immigration queue. This isn't the Brexit I voted for."
https://twitter.com/colinbrowning14/status/1227906931450425344 (https://twitter.com/colinbrowning14/status/1227906931450425344)

In case you don't fancy clicking the link, and I wouldn't blame you, this is his Twitter profile Bio...

QuoteLove all things Leicestershire, STH at LCFC since 1981. Love a pint of Tiger. Let's make Britain Great again 🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧 One of the 17.4 #Brexiteer

;D :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on February 19, 2020, 09:30:49 PM
Jeffrey Donaldson wants special consideration for NI. Yet they want total linearity with the UK. Funny.

For the points system that is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: DrinkingHarp on February 24, 2020, 05:17:22 AM
Brexit Blue Brittish passports will be made in Poland after a French company won the bid to produce them  ;D

https://www.yahoo.com/news/uk-brexit-passport-blue-poland-polish-factory-191037426.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 24, 2020, 11:37:36 AM
Presumably they will be subject to tariffs from 1/1/21? ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 24, 2020, 01:57:28 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on February 19, 2020, 09:30:49 PM
Jeffrey Donaldson wants special consideration for NI. Yet they want total linearity with the UK. Funny.

For the points system that is.

Cummings doesn't give a flying f**k about NI
I would hate to be a loyalist  given this.

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/johnson-orders-brexit-team-to-get-around-northern-checks-protocol-1.4182462
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 24, 2020, 02:38:15 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/02/24/boris-johnson-brexit-news-latest-priti-patel-us-trade-mi5/

Brandon Lewis: There will be no border down the Irish sea

On a visit ******derry The Northern Ireland Secretary said that "we want to make sure there is unfettered access between GB and Northern Ireland".

He added: "We want to make sure that the United Kingdom is one whole union, and one that is good for business across the United Kingdom.

"We've always said there will not be a border down the Irish Sea, there will be unfettered access for business."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on February 24, 2020, 04:29:33 PM
If you are going to the Uk from ROI, don't for get, your Duty Free.
:-\ :'(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 24, 2020, 05:25:49 PM
From Fermanagh to Cavan....?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on February 24, 2020, 05:45:07 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 24, 2020, 05:25:49 PM
From Fermanagh to Cavan....?

'Or vice varsa
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on February 24, 2020, 09:03:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 24, 2020, 02:38:15 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/02/24/boris-johnson-brexit-news-latest-priti-patel-us-trade-mi5/

Brandon Lewis: There will be no border down the Irish sea

On a visit ******derry The Northern Ireland Secretary said that "we want to make sure there is unfettered access between GB and Northern Ireland".

He added: "We want to make sure that the United Kingdom is one whole union, and one that is good for business across the United Kingdom.

"We've always said there will not be a border down the Irish Sea, there will be unfettered access for business."

What a p***k.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 24, 2020, 09:06:12 PM
These pricks could still put a hard border up. I wouldn't put it past them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 01, 2020, 01:40:06 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/0229/1119409-boris-johnson-baby/

Carrie dear, get yourself a good lawyer and a cast-iron pre-nup.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 01, 2020, 07:23:11 AM
They are taking a hatchet to the UK Civil Service. Dissent not tolerated. Maybe the Brexit and US politics discussions should be merged.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: moysider on March 01, 2020, 04:09:17 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 24, 2020, 09:06:12 PM
These pricks could still put a hard border up. I wouldn't put it past them.

Of course they will. Once they have left they can do what they want with their borders.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 03, 2020, 11:47:40 AM
Quote from: moysider on March 01, 2020, 04:09:17 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 24, 2020, 09:06:12 PM
These pricks could still put a hard border up. I wouldn't put it past them.

Of course they will. Once they have left they can do what they want with their borders.

They can, but they would have to repudiate the withdrawal agreement to do that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 03, 2020, 12:32:37 PM
There is a lot of thunder and lightning from Johnson but it's always
about something he has signed up the UK to. The Euros are expecting a theatrical exit from the talks in June followed by a theatrical deal in September.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 03, 2020, 09:06:21 PM
https://twitter.com/cirian75/status/1234424692896882688

Health Secretary Matt Hancock has been stopped by No. 10 from going to a European meeting to coordinate Coronovirus response.

Just let that sink in

@BorisJohnson
has stopped the Health Secretary going to a European meeting to coordinate Coronovirus response.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 03, 2020, 10:37:08 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 03, 2020, 09:06:21 PM
https://twitter.com/cirian75/status/1234424692896882688

Health Secretary Matt Hancock has been stopped by No. 10 from going to a European meeting to coordinate Coronovirus response.

Just let that sink in

@BorisJohnson
has stopped the Health Secretary going to a European meeting to coordinate Coronovirus response.

Didn't Hancock say 500,000 Brits would die from the virus. He must have Boris scared.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: moysider on March 03, 2020, 11:19:58 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 03, 2020, 11:47:40 AM
Quote from: moysider on March 01, 2020, 04:09:17 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 24, 2020, 09:06:12 PM
These pricks could still put a hard border up. I wouldn't put it past them.

Of course they will. Once they have left they can do what they want with their borders.

They can, but they would have to repudiate the withdrawal agreement to do that.

And the consequences would be?
I would be surprised if some kind of hard border is not put in place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 04, 2020, 12:19:10 AM
Quote from: moysider on March 03, 2020, 11:19:58 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 03, 2020, 11:47:40 AM
Quote from: moysider on March 01, 2020, 04:09:17 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 24, 2020, 09:06:12 PM
These pricks could still put a hard border up. I wouldn't put it past them.

Of course they will. Once they have left they can do what they want with their borders.

They can, but they would have to repudiate the withdrawal agreement to do that.

And the consequences would be?
I would be surprised if some kind of hard border is not put in place.

Repudiating any international agreement is not a good plan and they'll need some sort of relationship with the EU. If they screw up NI then the US Congress, the Canadians, Australians and whoever else the EU can persuade will be unwilling to make deals either.

The British may have tried to  get the border in on the sly, but having publicly made an agreement that a hard border is damaging for peace then they have very bad public relations from doing so. Of course you then have calls for a border poll here, but the Scots also can point to London having acted in bad faith. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 04, 2020, 11:48:49 AM

   https://www.ft.com/content/b1c7f0b6-5c6e-11ea-8033-fa40a0d65a98

   "The British will insist on their right to diverge from EU law but will assure the Europeans that, in practice, they will retain social and environmental standards that are at least as stringent as those of the EU.

This is rather like a child insisting that it will determine its own bedtime but indicating that, in practice, it will go to bed at 8pm as normal."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on March 04, 2020, 11:52:18 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 04, 2020, 11:48:49 AM

   https://www.ft.com/content/b1c7f0b6-5c6e-11ea-8033-fa40a0d65a98

   "The British will insist on their right to diverge from EU law but will assure the Europeans that, in practice, they will retain social and environmental standards that are at least as stringent as those of the EU.

This is rather like a child insisting that it will determine its own bedtime but indicating that, in practice, it will go to bed at 8pm as normal."

No, its more like determining its own bedtime but promising to go to bed at least as early as the adults.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 04, 2020, 07:50:24 PM
The political economy of Brexit collapsed with the news that a trade deal with the US would add just 0.16% to GDP after 15 years. All Johnson can do now is act as though he has power . https://ft.com/content/3aef20b0-5c8f-11ea-8033-fa40a0d65a98...


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on April 08, 2020, 03:47:20 PM
All not rosey in the EU garden.

BBC News - Coronavirus: Marathon talks over EU virus rescue package stall
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-52211650

This article aside, an Italian exit from the EU has to be an increasingly real possibility.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on April 08, 2020, 04:32:30 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on April 08, 2020, 03:47:20 PM
All not rosey in the EU garden.

BBC News - Coronavirus: Marathon talks over EU virus rescue package stall
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-52211650

This article aside, an Italian exit from the EU has to be an increasingly real possibility.

I think they are seriously f**ked off with the Dutch and Germans right now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on April 08, 2020, 04:36:57 PM
How will the rest of the world be sorted out?
Surely the IMF and the like must be able to come up with some "New Deal" to assist Countries who have had to splash out money they haven't got to fight the Virus.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on May 13, 2020, 04:37:55 PM
I've noticed this slant from the Torygraph increasingly over the past week or two. Things must be really bad when it starts questioning / doubting No. 10. A severe case of 'buyers regret' setting in at last I'd say;

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/05/13/keir-starmer-took-boris-johnson-apart-like-duplo-train-set/

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 13, 2020, 09:08:08 PM
Bojo looks like a lost child without a baying mob of idiots behind him in the Commons. The quiet settings of a socially distanced Commons suits Starmer's forensic legal mind and approach Vs Patriotic / Brexit bluster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 13, 2020, 09:47:19 PM
UK Government finally concede what the EU have said from the start and what we all knew...

There will be infrastructure at the ports of entry to Northern Ireland and an effective border in the Irish Sea.

Tà àr là tagtha!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 13, 2020, 10:06:36 PM
Presumably an extension to the Transition period next?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 13, 2020, 11:10:01 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on May 13, 2020, 10:06:36 PM
Presumably an extension to the Transition period next?

Has to be... Starmer has played it well in not calling for one he's gone with the "well the government have said they'll get a deal so I trust them to do that"... there is absolutely no way they were getting a deal in the next 2 months even before COVID19 let alone in the current situation so let them own it rather than Starmer call for an extension and have it turned on him as a remainer.

Interesting times ahead!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on May 13, 2020, 11:31:11 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 13, 2020, 09:47:19 PM
UK Government finally concede what the EU have said from the start and what we all knew...

There will be infrastructure at the ports of entry to Northern Ireland and an effective border in the Irish Sea.

Tà àr là tagtha!!

Some people might think it's not a big deal that the UK PM has been lying through his teeth for the last seven months about this, when a literal dog on the street could have told you he was lying.

It is. The creation of a fantasy world as alternative "reality", where lies become "truth" and truth means nothing is essential to how Johnson and the Tories in general run Britain.

Politics as entertainment has real consequences.

Where's that "pivot" some gullible eejits thought Johnson would make?

Even against the backdrop of Johnson throwing the people of the UK under a bus with his insane "herd immunity" nonsense and the biggest Covid disaster in Europe (bar maybe Russia), he is intent on going full steam ahead for a no deal Brexit, where the corrupt and the criminal will make out like bandits.




Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 14, 2020, 10:56:40 AM
Johnson lies through his teeth on everything and you've got to wonder about the state of mind of those who follow him so blindly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on May 14, 2020, 11:00:44 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 14, 2020, 10:56:40 AM
Johnson lies through his teeth on everything and you've got to wonder about the state of mind of those who follow him so blindly.

How many do that though? The Tory base turned on Theresa May within a few months. It's now doing likewise to Johnson.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 14, 2020, 11:05:42 AM
Quote from: five points on May 14, 2020, 11:00:44 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 14, 2020, 10:56:40 AM
Johnson lies through his teeth on everything and you've got to wonder about the state of mind of those who follow him so blindly.

How many do that though? The Tory base turned on Theresa May within a few months. It's now doing likewise to Johnson.

The Tory base of all the different classes it seems have taken to his snappy logo approach even if its meaningless and may very well discard him for another Tory charlatan like Gove in a heartbeat, but at the minute even with the Covid death tolls rising and the impending Brexit shambles he's still being talked about being the great white hero.

Interesting that the Telegraph and part of the FT have recently published less than flattering articles about him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on May 14, 2020, 11:11:12 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 14, 2020, 11:05:42 AM
Quote from: five points on May 14, 2020, 11:00:44 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 14, 2020, 10:56:40 AM
Johnson lies through his teeth on everything and you've got to wonder about the state of mind of those who follow him so blindly.

How many do that though? The Tory base turned on Theresa May within a few months. It's now doing likewise to Johnson.

The Tory base of all the different classes it seems have taken to his snappy logo approach even if its meaningless and may very well discard him for another Tory charlatan like Gove in a heartbeat, but at the minute even with the Covid death tolls rising and the impending Brexit shambles he's still being talked about being the great white hero.

Interesting that the Telegraph and part of the FT have recently published less than flattering articles about him.

The FT isn't Tory but the Telegraph has been tearing him and his lockdown to shreds for weeks now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 02, 2020, 04:34:31 PM
These guys just don't get irony do they;

https://www.rte.ie/news/uk/2020/0602/1144975-raab-attacks-chinas-egregious-behaviour-in-hong-kong/

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on July 05, 2020, 11:29:49 AM
Are we looking at a no-deal come January given the deadline for extending the transition period lapsed with no agreement? Or will they extend anyway?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on July 05, 2020, 12:42:40 PM
I think they'll do a deal Farrandeelin. The Brexiteers want out, no more delays, so 1 January isn't on the table.  There may be some phased introductions of new controls, Gove has already announced some, but 1 January will still be the headline day of glory.  The sticking point is the EU a want level playing field on rules so they aren't at a disadvantage, the UK want full sovereignty.  That is genuinely difficult to square, but it can be done.  No Deal would mean tariffs all round which is bad for consumers.  I genuinely think the Brexiteer strategy includes cheap food and consumer imports, driving down the cost of living and keeping the masses happy.  Deal therefore is miles better than No Deal.  We'll just have to listen to the bluster in the meantime.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on July 22, 2020, 06:52:33 PM
I guess this is what Unionists wanted all along:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-53498374

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 05, 2020, 07:27:59 AM
https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/enforcing-operation-brock-plans-in-2021/proposed-legislative-amendments-on-enforcing-operation-brock
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 07, 2020, 08:07:57 AM
#SeniorHurling

https://www.ft.com/content/9906e0d4-0c29-4f5f-9cb0-130c75a2f7a7

The UK is planning new legislation that will override key parts of the Brexit withdrawal agreement, risking the collapse of trade negotiations with Brussels.  Sections of the internal market bill — due to be published this Wednesday — are expected to "eliminate the legal force of parts of the withdrawal agreement" in areas including state aid and Northern Ireland customs, according to three people familiar with the plans.  The move would "clearly and consciously" undermine the agreement on Northern Ireland that Boris Johnson signed last October to avoid a return to a hard border in the region, one person with knowledge of the plans said.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 07, 2020, 09:01:31 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 07, 2020, 08:07:57 AM
#SeniorHurling

https://www.ft.com/content/9906e0d4-0c29-4f5f-9cb0-130c75a2f7a7

The UK is planning new legislation that will override key parts of the Brexit withdrawal agreement, risking the collapse of trade negotiations with Brussels.  Sections of the internal market bill — due to be published this Wednesday — are expected to "eliminate the legal force of parts of the withdrawal agreement" in areas including state aid and Northern Ireland customs, according to three people familiar with the plans.  The move would "clearly and consciously" undermine the agreement on Northern Ireland that Boris Johnson signed last October to avoid a return to a hard border in the region, one person with knowledge of the plans said.

Also a breach of the GFA is it not?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 07, 2020, 09:02:28 AM
Boris Johnson shocks everyone by not keeping his word. >:(

Those pricks will screw us here. You can see it coming - it's just a matter of how not if IMO.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on September 07, 2020, 09:28:24 AM
Boris doesnt give two shites - he has to please the money men behind him.

If I was a unionist I would be very concerned - this will only speed up a UI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 07, 2020, 09:57:12 AM
Quote from: Taylor on September 07, 2020, 09:28:24 AM
Boris doesnt give two shites - he has to please the money men behind him.

If I was a unionist I would be very concerned - this will only speed up a UI

The DUP don't see it that way though. The harder the border on the island of Ireland the better after Brexit even if they won't come out and say it.

They never wanted the GFA, didn't support it and would rather see the back of it than try to work with any taig let alone the Shinners.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 07, 2020, 10:12:52 AM
Of course the DUP want to wreck things, but if they make a sufficient mess of the 6 counties then many of those in the middle will start to see a United Ireland as the way out, and that is hardly in the interest of the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 07, 2020, 10:13:11 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 07, 2020, 09:02:28 AM
Boris Johnson shocks everyone by not keeping his word. >:(

Those pricks will screw us here. You can see it coming - it's just a matter of how not if IMO.

Probably Dominic Cummings' doings. BoJo is too thick and indolent to come up with an idea like this on his own.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 07, 2020, 10:17:26 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 07, 2020, 10:12:52 AM
Of course the DUP want to wreck things, but if they make a sufficient mess of the 6 counties then many of those in the middle will start to see a United Ireland as the way out, and that is hardly in the interest of the DUP.

That is thinking rationally though and I am not sure they do that. They can be a bit blinded by hatred and anything to create distance from "Dublin" is in their view a good thing from what I can see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 07, 2020, 10:23:20 AM
Besides the underlying underhandedmess of it all it's  a really strange time to bring such a thing to Parliament, with the EU team due in London for the next round of trade negotiations on Tuesday. it's either some sort of tactic or good old fashioned idiocy. With a majority of 80, he doesn't need to continually pander to Brexiteer MPs either.  Wankers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 07, 2020, 10:33:35 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 07, 2020, 10:23:20 AM
Besides the underlying underhandedmess of it all it's  a really strange time to bring such a thing to Parliament, with the EU team due in London for the next round of trade negotiations on Tuesday. it's either some sort of tactic or good old fashioned idiocy. With a majority of 80, he doesn't need to continually pander to Brexiteer MPs either.  Wankers.

I saw somewhere else a conspiracy theory that BoJo would tag along with this kind of thing to pander to the loonies and then switch back to reality near the end in the knowledge that the Brexiteers wouldn't being down the government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 07, 2020, 10:36:03 AM

   https://www.ft.com/content/ad4dfabd-4e9b-4f1b-8b5e-2266287317c7

   The impact of the legislation could be far-reaching, stretching even beyond the bounds of Brexit. Brussels has repeatedly made clear that full implementation of the withdrawal agreement is a prerequisite for any deal on a future relationship, and there is nothing more sensitive for the EU than the painstakingly constructed protocol on Northern Ireland. 

EU political leaders are unanimous: UK failure to apply any aspects of the protocol would cripple trade talks between the two sides. The bloc could not politically countenance a deal with a government trying to wriggle out of an international treaty it negotiated less than a year ago. 

David McAllister, chairman of the European Parliament's UK co-ordination group, said that "mutual confidence and trust is key" to the future relationship. He declined to comment on the UK plans, but said the European Parliament, which has a binding say on trade deals, "expects all the commitments made in the Northern Ireland protocol to be implemented".

The impact of the move on the UK's international reputation could be wider still. Cases of democratic governments seeking to unilaterally overwrite ratified international agreements are rare. 

Worried UK officials are already considering whether Britain can retain the moral authority to, for example, censure China's crackdown in Hong Kong as a breach of international treaty if the government seeks to shave off unpopular features of its withdrawal agreement with the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on September 07, 2020, 11:28:06 AM
All these deals that Britain can make when they are out of the EU, who would trust them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 07, 2020, 11:45:58 AM
Sterling is down following extremist rhetoric from the Tories. What are the odds Johnson does a deal and his friends in the City benefit when sterling goes up again ?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TWWNFB8grkw
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 07, 2020, 08:56:23 PM

   
   https://www.ft.com/content/c2a74c61-7c46-40b4-9fbb-d8a64da27663

   The government is willing to cut its access to its largest market but nervous of the compromises necessary to find new ones. That trade-off means a no-deal Brexit and the reduced spending and regulatory standards necessary to be a buccaneering low-tax state that attracts investment and secures a trade deal with the US. It is a course urged on Mr Johnson by many close to him. But here, too, Tories — rightly — fear the economic and political costs. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on September 08, 2020, 08:11:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 07, 2020, 11:45:58 AM
Sterling is down following extremist rhetoric from the Tories. What are the odds Johnson does a deal and his friends in the City benefit when sterling goes up again ?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TWWNFB8grkw

No doubt Rees Mogg and his currency trading business are making a fortune!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 08, 2020, 09:36:52 AM
It's not drastically down tho, been hovering between 1.10 -1.12 for ages now, 1.11 this morning. I don't think that's currency speculation territory. The markets are likely assuming it's a negotiation tactic / shot across the bow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 08, 2020, 11:35:48 AM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2020/09/08/irelands-new-commissioner-will-decide-city-londons-access-eu/

Ireland's new commissioner will decide on City of London's access to EU after Brexit
Mairead McGuinness is well-known in Brussels for her clashes with Nigel Farage in the European Parliament

ByJames Crisp, BRUSSELS CORRESPONDENT8 September 2020 • 10:58am

Ireland's new European Union commissioner is likely to have a pivotal role in deciding on British financial services' access to the bloc's markets after Brexit.
Mairead McGuinness was announced as the replacement for Phil Hogan, the trade commissioner who was forced to resign after breaking coronavirus restrictions, on Tuesday.
Valdis Dombrovskis, executive vice president of the commission and former prime minister of Latvia, will take on Mr Hogan's old role while Ms McGuinness assumes his duties at the heart of EU financial services regulation.
"She has great qualifications and my full trust for this post," said Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission.

Ms McGuinness, 61, a vice-president of the European Parliament, will be influential in equivalence decisions for the City of London, as well as spearheading Brussels' efforts to lessen its dependence on London for raising funds on the international capital markets and for clearing.
Brussels insists that UK financial services will only be given access to the EU on the basis of equivalence, which is a form of regulatory recognition that can, in some cases, be unilaterally withdrawn by the commission at as little as 30 days notice.
The European Commission has rebuffed British demands for a system with greater consultation during the trade negotiations which continue in London this week.
The City loses its EU "passport" when the transition period finishes at the end of this year and trade negotiations are deadlocked and overshadowed by fears Boris Johnson plans to renege on the Withdrawal Agreement.
Ms McGuinness was a member of the European Parliament's Brexit steering group and had a role equivalent to deputy speaker where she regularly clashed with Brexit Party MEPs in Brussels and Strasbourg.
In one of the final sessions before Brexit in January, she told Nigel Farage and his party to stop waving their Union Jack flags, which breaks European Parliament rules "Put your flags away, you're leaving... and take them with you... goodbye,"  she said.
Mr Farage told The Telegraph his old adversary was "totally unsuited" to her new role.

Ursula von der Leyen announced the reshuffle of her commissioners in Brussels on Tuesday morning. CREDIT: Getty Images Europe
The last EU commissioner to hold the financial services portfolio, without it being combined with other duties, was Jonathan Hill, the UK's penultimate commissioner who quit soon after the referendum.
The post is more high-profile than was expected amid speculation that Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, would punish Dublin for forcing Mr Hogan to quit by giving the new Irish commissioner a less prestigious portfolio.
Mr Hogan's snaring of the trade post was widely interpreted as a show of solidarity with Ireland after the torturous Brexit negotiations over the Withdrawal Agreement. 
Ms McGuinness and Mr Dombrovskis must win the approval of MEPs in special hearings before taking up their new roles.
If approved, Ms McGuinness,a Fine Gael politician, will join another Irish national with a prominent economic role in Brussels.
Paschal Donahue, the Irish finance minister, is the president of the Eurogroup. He said he was looking forward to "close cooperation" with Ms McGuinness. 
The senior civil servant in the commission's financial services department is also Irish but is now expected to move, as it is traditional in Brussels to not have both the commission and their top official of the same nationality
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on September 08, 2020, 02:14:10 PM
Brandon Lewis confirms in Parliament that the UK Government does intend breaking International Law.  What a shower.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 08, 2020, 03:00:09 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on September 08, 2020, 02:14:10 PM
Brandon Lewis confirms in Parliament that the UK Government does intend breaking International Law.  What a shower.

But only a wee bit.

Shower of Charlatans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 08, 2020, 03:02:45 PM
Has there ever been a more unscrupulous government in the UK? I know they've always been bad but this shower do seem next level.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 08, 2020, 03:07:45 PM
A British minister is standing in parliament, openly admitting from the despatch box that they are going to break the law.

Of all the shenanigans that have gone on during the Brexit debacle (that we know of!), this is maybe the most incredible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 08, 2020, 03:16:32 PM
Quote from: Franko on September 08, 2020, 03:07:45 PM
A British minister is standing in parliament, openly admitting from the despatch box that they are going to break the law.

Of all the shenanigans that have gone on during the Brexit debacle (that we know of!), this is maybe the most incredible.

Greatest shower of tosspots ever. If only they hadn't a part of this island under their jurisdiction I'd be all for a no deal to show up the shower of fools for what they really are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 08, 2020, 06:42:54 PM
The cnuts showing their true colours again.
In the good old days of Empah they'd send a few gunboats up the river and lob a few shells on Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on September 09, 2020, 08:57:39 AM
Not the first time, and won't be the last, that an English government decides to break international law.  This is the calibre of people who have jurisdiction over the north, will be interesting to see the poll numbers in favour of unity in the coming few weeks.

If they go down a road that results in a hard border, do they really think the ordinary people on this island will accept it, I'd be expecting mass protests along the border at the first sign of infrastructure being put in place.  Surely Sir Jeffrey D. and his friends in the Tory party know this.

I do however think that Boris will roll over at the very last minute and sign whatever deal the EU put in front of him, can't see how he has any other option.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 09, 2020, 09:11:04 AM
I doubt they care about protests etc. A hard border would be exactly what the DUP want and then if or when the pesky catholics get uppety then they can stoke up tensions again and get their votes up. It will create more division and that's their bread and butter.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on September 09, 2020, 10:32:00 AM
It was the Irish government who were running a hard border 4 months ago, and several of its TDs wanted it fully sealed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on September 09, 2020, 10:38:30 AM
The DUP don't care for tomorrow. They have no long term strategy except "never, never, never". It's all about clinging to the coat-tails of the Union and f**k everything else. They don't care what they have to do today to do that regardless of the consequences down the line. They are from exactly the same mould as Boris and his Tory cronies. Say anything today which suits the current agenda and renege on it when it doesn't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 10:51:51 AM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 10:32:00 AM
It was the Irish government who were running a hard border 4 months ago, and several of its TDs wanted it fully sealed.

Yeah right, just like the one around Kildare and Laois.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 09, 2020, 11:31:59 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/9bae0a3a-e1d9-4205-88f1-bf7d91d62cd4

The party of Margaret Thatcher is now overseeing the unwinding of one of her biggest projects: the creation of a vast EU single market, where goods and services flowed unimpeded across national borders in Europe. Lorry parks and inspection points are being created to facilitate customs controls between Britain and the EU.



An "Australia-style" deal is the euphemism preferred by the Johnson government to describe a relationship with the EU that does not include a free trade deal. Unlike a "Canada-style deal", which abolishes tariffs but spawns a mountain of additional paperwork and customs checks at the new trade border, a no-deal Brexit would involve tariffs and quotas on British goods as well, making exports more expensive. Mr Johnson is reluctant to say how much this would cost the economy.


When asked why there have been no recent impact assessments of the government's trade options, Number 10 says: "The economic impacts of our trade deal with the EU has been much debated in the last four years and there are many economic studies on this issue."



The most recent official estimates in 2018 reckoned the UK would miss out on 4.9 per cent of future income over 15 years if it left the bloc with a basic trade deal. Under a no-deal scenario, that would rise to 7.7 per cent over the same period, compared with staying within the bloc.



Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform and an adviser to the UK government, says a no-deal exit would also complicate other aspects of Britain's dealings with the EU, tarnishing relations for years to come. But Mr Johnson insists this would nevertheless be a "good outcome", arguing that it would allow Britain to adopt its own policies free from meddling by the EU, which insists the UK must stay

One EU diplomat says: "Walking away from the table and going for a no deal will hit the UK economy and UK jobs much harder than the EU economy and EU jobs. One wonders whether this is really a negotiation or pure masochism."


Kim Darroch, Britain's former ambassador in Brussels and Washington, recalls how Treasury officials working for the Thatcher government in the 1980s designed the EU state aid rules precisely to foster fair competition and to stop other European countries engaging in a subsidy race. "



The problems encountered in trying to strike ambitious new trade deals with the US — or indeed with any other major economy — have delivered another blow to the post-Brexit dreams of the Eurosceptics. Efforts to secure a trade deal with Japan have revealed that Tokyo will not grant Britain a better deal than it currently enjoys through its membership of the EU.



Liz Truss, trade secretary, has tried to win special treatment for makers of British cheese — notably Stilton — to put a Union Jack stamp on what would essentially be a cut-and-paste of the existing EU-Japan deal.



Government insiders say that Mr Johnson now accepts this problem and is quietly shifting his post-Brexit rhetoric away from free trade to notions of sovereignty: a sort of "Britain first", go-it-alone approach which appeals to the populist and interventionist leanings of Mr Cummings and has echoes of the agenda sponsored by US president Donald Trump.



Others in Downing Street say the iconoclastic adviser is telling Mr Johnson that state aid and the principle of sovereignty are so important that a no-deal Brexit is a price worth paying to secure them.



most of the coronavirus economic losses would be recovered, while those from Brexit are permanent. "Covid-19 is likely to cause more job losses than Brexit and greater swings in output, but the economy in 2035 may bear more scars from Brexit than from Covid-19," he says.


Most macroeconomic models suggest the greatest advantage of EU membership is reducing regulatory burdens "behind the border". Even under a Canada-style free trade agreement — with customs controls but no tariffs — those new regulatory burdens would fall on British companies.



The difference with no deal is in the additional cost of tariffs, which are important for sectors such as agriculture, processed foods and carmaking, but not large in most other sectors.



British-made cars would see tariffs of 10 per cent imposed by the EU, while Michael Gove — now the minister in charge of no-deal planning — warned last year that British beef and sheep meat exports would be hit by tariffs of at least 40 per cent.


Mr Lowe argues that a no-deal outcome would probably also have negative knock-on effects. It might make it harder for Britain to secure side deals in areas such as financial services and data, or to agree bilateral "easements" agreements with third countries to reduce bureaucracy at the border



Although Mr Johnson calls a no-deal outcome an "Australia-style deal", Canberra has spent the past two years trying to negotiate a free trade agreement with the EU. Ultimately trade experts believe Britain would be back in Brussels, trying to do the same. '



One Whitehall official says: "A lot of this is theatrics. We're not yet at the final endgame when a deal is going to be done." Some believe that Mr Johnson has not yet made up his own mind whether to follow the advice of Mr Cummings and go for a hard Brexit, or whether to make the concessions to get a free trade agreement.



Failure to secure an amicable trade deal with the EU could also raise further questions about the prime minister's competence and increase support for independence in Scotland, which voted overwhelmingly against Brexit.



Some EU officials are not sure Mr Johnson has thought it through. "There's a reason why Australia is currently negotiating a trade deal with the EU," says one. Mr Barnier, speaking ahead of his latest visit to London, said simply: "Sometimes in the UK I hear people talking about the opportunity of a no deal. Good luck. Good luck."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on September 09, 2020, 11:56:05 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 10:51:51 AM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 10:32:00 AM
It was the Irish government who were running a hard border 4 months ago, and several of its TDs wanted it fully sealed.

Yeah right, just like the one around Kildare and Laois.

No, they hadn't Gardai on 24-hour vigils on the main roads between Kildare and Dublin. They had them on the Cavan-Fermanagh border though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 09, 2020, 12:30:01 PM
Difference between a pandemic and normal day to day trade and travel.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:21:48 PM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 11:56:05 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 10:51:51 AM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 10:32:00 AM
It was the Irish government who were running a hard border 4 months ago, and several of its TDs wanted it fully sealed.

Yeah right, just like the one around Kildare and Laois.

No, they hadn't Gardai on 24-hour vigils on the main roads between Kildare and Dublin. They had them on the Cavan-Fermanagh border though.

And on the Kerry Cork border, Galway-Mayo border and every other place. Travel from the 6 counties was no more restricted than from anywhere else, but then you know this already, like Boris you like to state falsehoods as truth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on September 09, 2020, 01:37:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:21:48 PM

And on the Kerry Cork border, Galway-Mayo border and every other place. Travel from the 6 counties was no more restricted than from anywhere else, but then you know this already, like Boris you like to state falsehoods as truth.

Not true.  The Cavan-Longford border for example never had 24-hour checkpoints.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:52:06 PM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 01:37:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:21:48 PM

And on the Kerry Cork border, Galway-Mayo border and every other place. Travel from the 6 counties was no more restricted than from anywhere else, but then you know this already, like Boris you like to state falsehoods as truth.

Not true.  The Cavan-Longford border for example never had 24-hour checkpoints.

People were restricted to a 5Km radius whether they were from the 6 counties or the 26 counties, the deployment of checkpoints was to achieve this, the Gardai couldn't have one in Fermanagh so they had one at the border, they had more flexibility on the Cavan Longford border.

Are you implying that  there was some restriction on Fermanagh people that did not exist for Cavan people?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 09, 2020, 01:52:19 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:21:48 PM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 11:56:05 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 10:51:51 AM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 10:32:00 AM
It was the Irish government who were running a hard border 4 months ago, and several of its TDs wanted it fully sealed.

Yeah right, just like the one around Kildare and Laois.

No, they hadn't Gardai on 24-hour vigils on the main roads between Kildare and Dublin. They had them on the Cavan-Fermanagh border though.

And on the Kerry Cork border, Galway-Mayo border and every other place. Travel from the 6 counties was no more restricted than from anywhere else, but then you know this already, like Boris you like to state falsehoods as truth.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aeNgxIsPjhc
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on September 09, 2020, 02:04:34 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:52:06 PM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 01:37:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:21:48 PM

And on the Kerry Cork border, Galway-Mayo border and every other place. Travel from the 6 counties was no more restricted than from anywhere else, but then you know this already, like Boris you like to state falsehoods as truth.

Not true.  The Cavan-Longford border for example never had 24-hour checkpoints.

People were restricted to a 5Km radius whether they were from the 6 counties or the 26 counties, the deployment of checkpoints was to achieve this, the Gardai couldn't have one in Fermanagh so they had one at the border, they had more flexibility on the Cavan Longford border.

Are you implying that  there was some restriction on Fermanagh people that did not exist for Cavan people?

So they had one at the border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 02:41:15 PM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 02:04:34 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:52:06 PM
Quote from: five points on September 09, 2020, 01:37:13 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 09, 2020, 01:21:48 PM

And on the Kerry Cork border, Galway-Mayo border and every other place. Travel from the 6 counties was no more restricted than from anywhere else, but then you know this already, like Boris you like to state falsehoods as truth.

Not true.  The Cavan-Longford border for example never had 24-hour checkpoints.

People were restricted to a 5Km radius whether they were from the 6 counties or the 26 counties, the deployment of checkpoints was to achieve this, the Gardai couldn't have one in Fermanagh so they had one at the border, they had more flexibility on the Cavan Longford border.

Are you implying that  there was some restriction on Fermanagh people that did not exist for Cavan people?

So they had one at the border.

What is your point? If you have one that is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 14, 2020, 09:19:36 PM
What time is the vote on the Internal Market Bill tonight?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on September 14, 2020, 11:17:58 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 14, 2020, 09:19:36 PM
What time is the vote on the Internal Market Bill tonight?

Went through 340 to 263.  The more I think about it, the more I believe that this is Boris window dressing before he completely sells out the north and unionism .... 'Here lads, I really tried my best to save NI, there was nothing more I could have done ... now let us English have our glorious Brexit with NI off the UK agenda once and for all'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on September 14, 2020, 11:30:15 PM
Jesus Johnson got tore a new one today. Doesnt matter a jot on the scale of things but still good viewing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on September 15, 2020, 01:35:04 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on September 14, 2020, 11:17:58 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 14, 2020, 09:19:36 PM
What time is the vote on the Internal Market Bill tonight?

Went through 340 to 263.  The more I think about it, the more I believe that this is Boris window dressing before he completely sells out the north and unionism .... 'Here lads, I really tried my best to save NI, there was nothing more I could have done ... now let us English have our glorious Brexit with NI off the UK agenda once and for all'

I hope you're right
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 15, 2020, 07:14:02 AM
Yeah either this or the complete opposite is going to happen.

That parliament is about as spineless as there has ever been but I think most tories who don't agree with him have been turfed  out and I suspect any that did on this will also be.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: An Watcher on September 15, 2020, 07:19:26 AM
It would make you sick seeing some toff talking about the merits of their precious union and the good people of ni. As if they give two shits. EU being talked about like some monster. I don't know what way this will go but hopefully it'll put more space between the North and those twats
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 15, 2020, 09:05:24 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on September 15, 2020, 12:41:30 AM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on September 14, 2020, 11:30:15 PM
Jesus Johnson got tore a new one today. Doesnt matter a jot on the scale of things but still good viewing

I concur. In an alternative universe Boris Johnson would have been fodder for the now cancelled Jeremy Kyle show.

Johnson is abjectly useless at the despatch box, where he was supposed to be in his element.

He's not doing much for the credibility of Eton and Oxford.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 16, 2020, 04:07:04 PM
Our lads expecting a no deal

https://m.independent.ie/news/budget-drafted-on-assumption-of-no-deal-brexit-39536516.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 16, 2020, 05:00:40 PM
I think there is a lot of noise and posturing but that it will end in a deal. Johnson is providing loads of culture war content to.the Daily Mail but the thing he wants is to hold onto power and No deal won't deliver that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 16, 2020, 09:40:39 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 16, 2020, 04:07:04 PM
Our lads expecting a no deal

https://m.independent.ie/news/budget-drafted-on-assumption-of-no-deal-brexit-39536516.html

They have to be prepared I suppose. I can't see a no deal myself, but anything is possible with Bojo in charge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on September 16, 2020, 11:35:43 PM
Expecting anything other than the worst from the current US or UK regimes is very foolish

Expecting anything other than naked bad faith is foolish

The Tories' game is to pile the pressure on Ireland

"Give us everything we want or it's a hard border which you will have to put up, and a re-starting of the Troubles, which we don't give a flying shit about"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 07:14:09 AM
They specialise in provocation


https://www.ft.com/content/53af9378-e1c2-49d1-bf01-25319f218083

Beyond the controversial clauses that would renege on provisions in the withdrawal agreement to keep an open border in Ireland, the essential purpose of the new law is to tighten England's grip over the rest of the UK.  Decisions over food and environment norms, labour law and industrial standards hitherto shared with Brussels will belong solely to Westminster. Powers over health and education held by the Scottish parliament and Northern Ireland and Welsh assemblies will be diluted. Westminster will decide whether to scrap the animal husbandry rules that presently bar imports of American chlorinated chicken.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 17, 2020, 08:03:39 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 07:14:09 AM
They specialise in provocation


https://www.ft.com/content/53af9378-e1c2-49d1-bf01-25319f218083

Beyond the controversial clauses that would renege on provisions in the withdrawal agreement to keep an open border in Ireland, the essential purpose of the new law is to tighten England's grip over the rest of the UK.  Decisions over food and environment norms, labour law and industrial standards hitherto shared with Brussels will belong solely to Westminster. Powers over health and education held by the Scottish parliament and Northern Ireland and Welsh assemblies will be diluted. Westminster will decide whether to scrap the animal husbandry rules that presently bar imports of American chlorinated chicken.

SNP called it a power grab yesterday and they weren't wrong.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 17, 2020, 08:11:00 AM
We really need to detach from these pricks ASAP. I don't know that there has ever been a more corrupt british government and that is saying something.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 17, 2020, 08:22:49 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 17, 2020, 08:11:00 AM
We really need to detach from these pricks ASAP. I don't know that there has ever been a more corrupt british government and that is saying something.

There very well may have been but the way they're awarding contracts of 10's of millions to their cronies on the back of Corona Virus there certainly hasn't been a more blatant one.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 17, 2020, 08:24:35 AM
Yeah definitely agree with that. Not one f**k could they give. Yet people continue to vote them in.

Look over there - people on boats costing us money. (Only a tiny tiny fraction of the money we throw away giving contracts to our mates but hey they're foreigners so they must be bad).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 08:38:09 AM
The only thing stopping them is that the US wont agree any sort of trade deal.

For this reason alone I cannot see them breaking international law
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 17, 2020, 08:48:48 AM
Yeah. It is not morals stopping them.

Things with these devious feckers always have an angle so I have no doubt there is some kind of angle with it to shaft someone somewhere.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on September 17, 2020, 08:53:48 AM
Genuine question to the folks who think it'll deliver a United Ireland, do you see the Secretary of State for NI giving a border poll? Personally can't see it happening despite SF continually banging the drum about it if they ever do get into power down here. Especially if it's a Tory in charge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on September 17, 2020, 09:04:52 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on September 17, 2020, 08:53:48 AM
Genuine question to the folks who think it'll deliver a United Ireland, do you see the Secretary of State for NI giving a border poll? Personally can't see it happening despite SF continually banging the drum about it if they ever do get into power down here. Especially if it's a Tory in charge.

The secretary of state may not call a border poll when they should but if there are a number of conditions that make it look likely then I would expect it will go through the courts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 17, 2020, 09:07:16 AM
It's still a long way off but this last 12-24 months has definitely made me think it's possible in this lifetime whereas before that I wouldn't have thought it possible even in my child's lifetime.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 09:23:31 AM
Firstly we need Scotland to retake its place among the nations of the Earth.
Brexit and the Cummings/Johnson regime have  brought that forward by around 25 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 09:39:57 AM
A UI wont even come into discussions unless Scotland go first.

Once Scotland go then it becomes much more of a reality.

However, that reality will mean we go back to some form of the troubles - that may not be admitted by a lot of people on both sides but it is a reality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 17, 2020, 10:03:05 AM
Quote from: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 09:39:57 AM
A UI wont even come into discussions unless Scotland go first.

Once Scotland go then it becomes much more of a reality.

However, that reality will mean we go back to some form of the troubles - that may not be admitted by a lot of people on both sides but it is a reality.

There's always that possibility but Loyalist paramilitary organisational structures in a normal society would have been decimated throughout the troubles if the RUC and the various branches of British intelligence weren't giving them cover, intelligence, supplies, support as well as turning a blind eye.

That's not to say they aren't capable, they are. But their impact will depend on the agreement and any form of a UI will need to offer political unionism a meaningful voice to ensure the vast majority of decent unionists don't feel alienated in their own country.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 10:04:53 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 17, 2020, 10:03:05 AM
Quote from: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 09:39:57 AM
A UI wont even come into discussions unless Scotland go first.

Once Scotland go then it becomes much more of a reality.

However, that reality will mean we go back to some form of the troubles - that may not be admitted by a lot of people on both sides but it is a reality.

There's always that possibility but Loyalist paramilitary organisational structures in a normal society would have been decimated throughout the troubles if the RUC and the various branches of British intelligence weren't giving them cover, intelligence, supplies, support as well as turning a blind eye.

That's not to say they aren't capable, they are. But their impact will depend on the agreement and any form of a UI will need to offer political unionism a meaningful voice to ensure the vast majority of decent unionists don't feel alienated in their own country.

I cannot see how it will be acceptable in any shape or form to a majority of Unionists/Loyalists
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 10:25:45 AM
Quote from: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 08:38:09 AM
The only thing stopping them is that the US wont agree any sort of trade deal.

For this reason alone I cannot see them breaking international law
I think people are putting too much store on this

A lot will be decided by the outcome of the US election

If the election has any semblance of legitimacy about it Biden will win - but I expect Trump will steal it - and if that happens, America will be in a whole new world of shit

Time after time in the US, people have said "he can't do that, can he?"

And yet he does

The US has a barely functioning democracy as it is - and if Trump wins, expect that to go out the window

Trump cares less than nothing for Ireland but is deeply allied to the crackpot Brexiteers

The world should pray Biden wins and takes office and Ireland especially should
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 10:28:42 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 10:25:45 AM
Quote from: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 08:38:09 AM
The only thing stopping them is that the US wont agree any sort of trade deal.

For this reason alone I cannot see them breaking international law
I think people are putting too much store on this

A lot will be decided by the outcome of the US election

If the election has any semblance of legitimacy about it Biden will win - but I expect Trump will steal it - and if that happens, America will be in a whole new world of shit

Time after time in the US, people have said "he can't do that, can he?"

And yet he does

The US has a barely functioning democracy as it is - and if Trump wins, expect that to go out the window

Trump cares less than nothing for Ireland but is deeply allied to the crackpot Brexiteers

The world should pray Biden wins and takes office and Ireland especially should

I see Biden has reinforced Pelosi's message about no trade deal.

Interesting to see if he is genuine or just going after the Irish American voters
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 10:31:02 AM
Quote from: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 10:04:53 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 17, 2020, 10:03:05 AM
Quote from: Taylor on September 17, 2020, 09:39:57 AM
A UI wont even come into discussions unless Scotland go first.

Once Scotland go then it becomes much more of a reality.

However, that reality will mean we go back to some form of the troubles - that may not be admitted by a lot of people on both sides but it is a reality.

There's always that possibility but Loyalist paramilitary organisational structures in a normal society would have been decimated throughout the troubles if the RUC and the various branches of British intelligence weren't giving them cover, intelligence, supplies, support as well as turning a blind eye.

That's not to say they aren't capable, they are. But their impact will depend on the agreement and any form of a UI will need to offer political unionism a meaningful voice to ensure the vast majority of decent unionists don't feel alienated in their own country.

I cannot see how it will be acceptable in any shape or form to a majority of Unionists/Loyalists
The Conservative and Unionist Party is now an English Nationalist Party.

They don't care about the Union or the Somme.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 10:32:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 09:23:31 AM
Firstly we need Scotland to retake its place among the nations of the Earth.
Brexit and the Cummings/Johnson regime have  brought that forward by around 25 years.

Scotland isn't very flúirseach
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 10:44:10 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 09:23:31 AM
Firstly we need Scotland to retake its place among the nations of the Earth.
Brexit and the Cummings/Johnson regime have  brought that forward by around 25 years.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h0Wz8ig2y9Y
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 11:05:02 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 10:32:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 09:23:31 AM
Firstly we need Scotland to retake its place among the nations of the Earth.
Brexit and the Cummings/Johnson regime have  brought that forward by around 25 years.

Scotland isn't very flúirseach

Terrible hardship having loads of oil I suppose.
Look at the state poor oul Norway is in.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 11:13:33 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 11:05:02 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 10:32:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 09:23:31 AM
Firstly we need Scotland to retake its place among the nations of the Earth.
Brexit and the Cummings/Johnson regime have  brought that forward by around 25 years.

Scotland isn't very flúirseach

Terrible hardship having loads of oil I suppose.
Look at the state poor oul Norway is in.....
I think most of it is gone
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 17, 2020, 11:17:02 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 11:13:33 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 11:05:02 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 10:32:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 09:23:31 AM
Firstly we need Scotland to retake its place among the nations of the Earth.
Brexit and the Cummings/Johnson regime have  brought that forward by around 25 years.

Scotland isn't very flúirseach

Terrible hardship having loads of oil I suppose.
Look at the state poor oul Norway is in.....
I think most of it is gone

Yes, but Norway has saved the money and invested in things like electric cars. What was saved for Scotland from their oil?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 11:52:16 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 17, 2020, 11:17:02 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 11:13:33 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 11:05:02 AM
Quote from: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 10:32:05 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 17, 2020, 09:23:31 AM
Firstly we need Scotland to retake its place among the nations of the Earth.
Brexit and the Cummings/Johnson regime have  brought that forward by around 25 years.

Scotland isn't very flúirseach

Terrible hardship having loads of oil I suppose.
Look at the state poor oul Norway is in.....
I think most of it is gone

Yes, but Norway has saved the money and invested in things like electric cars. What was saved for Scotland from their oil?
London spent it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on September 17, 2020, 01:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 17, 2020, 09:07:16 AM
It's still a long way off but this last 12-24 months has definitely made me think it's possible in this lifetime whereas before that I wouldn't have thought it possible even in my child's lifetime.

Prior to Brexit, seeing a UI in my lifetime was a hope.  Now I think it is a reality, at least a new Ireland of sorts with some sort of northern assembly in place to appease our Unionist friends.  The sooner we completely detach from Britain the better.  SoS may call a border poll easier than we think, they really don't want the north and that is abundantly clear.  I think this internal market debate and the threat to break international law is Boris grandstanding before he shafts the north (in unionist eyes) once again ... at least he can say 'well, we tried everything to keep NI the same as the rest of the UK but it just wasn't possible'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 03:50:29 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on September 17, 2020, 01:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on September 17, 2020, 09:07:16 AM
It's still a long way off but this last 12-24 months has definitely made me think it's possible in this lifetime whereas before that I wouldn't have thought it possible even in my child's lifetime.

Prior to Brexit, seeing a UI in my lifetime was a hope.  Now I think it is a reality, at least a new Ireland of sorts with some sort of northern assembly in place to appease our Unionist friends.  The sooner we completely detach from Britain the better.  SoS may call a border poll easier than we think, they really don't want the north and that is abundantly clear.  I think this internal market debate and the threat to break international law is Boris grandstanding before he shafts the north (in unionist eyes) once again ... at least he can say 'well, we tried everything to keep NI the same as the rest of the UK but it just wasn't possible'
The swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care immensely about it being part of the UK

As is the case with Scotland and Wales

The next few decades could well be of a type where Scotland, Wales and NI assume a similar position to India and African colonies in the dying days of the British Empire - eventual separation will become all but inevitable but the English will attempt to crack the whip on the Celtic "piccaninnies" to make them "come to their senses" - and fail

Cake and eat it mark II
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 17, 2020, 03:55:18 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 03:50:29 PM
The swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care immensely about it being part of the UK

As is the case with Scotland and Wales


More like, the swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care about it being part of the UK because it is an example to Scotland and Wales
I think they care hugely about Scotland and NI is only seen in relation to that issue, as much for itself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 04:22:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 17, 2020, 03:55:18 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 03:50:29 PM
The swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care immensely about it being part of the UK

As is the case with Scotland and Wales


More like, the swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care about it being part of the UK because it is an example to Scotland and Wales
I think they care hugely about Scotland and NI is only seen in relation to that issue, as much for itself.

There's a deep seated colonial unionism built into Brexitism - the Brexiteers see the DUP a bit like Putin sees Lukashenko in Belarus or how the French used to see the French settlers in Algeria - they simultaneously completely look down on them but also see them as very important to maintaining the fever dream of the imperial Brexiteer sphere of influence

That colonial unionism may not be massively apparent currently - though it's already showing itself through Johnson's public poo-pooing of another independence referendum in Scotland - but it will become apparent after no deal happens - the Celtic colonies will be the only thing the Little Englander Brexiteers have to hold on to



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 04:41:19 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 04:22:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 17, 2020, 03:55:18 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 03:50:29 PM
The swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care immensely about it being part of the UK

As is the case with Scotland and Wales


More like, the swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care about it being part of the UK because it is an example to Scotland and Wales
I think they care hugely about Scotland and NI is only seen in relation to that issue, as much for itself.

There's a deep seated colonial unionism built into Brexitism - the Brexiteers see the DUP a bit like Putin sees Lukashenko in Belarus or how the French used to see the French settlers in Algeria - they simultaneously completely look down on them but also see them as very important to maintaining the fever dream of the imperial Brexiteer sphere of influence

That colonial unionism may not be massively apparent currently - though it's already showing itself through Johnson's public poo-pooing of another independence referendum in Scotland - but it will become apparent after no deal happens - the Celtic colonies will be the only thing the Little Englander Brexiteers have to hold on to

I think Brexit is English nationalism. Because Scotland and NI rejected it. They don't buy the Daily Mail view of the world.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 08:13:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 17, 2020, 04:41:19 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 04:22:08 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 17, 2020, 03:55:18 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on September 17, 2020, 03:50:29 PM
The swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care immensely about it being part of the UK

As is the case with Scotland and Wales


More like, the swivel eyed Brexit loons don't care one jot about Northern Ireland but they do care about it being part of the UK because it is an example to Scotland and Wales
I think they care hugely about Scotland and NI is only seen in relation to that issue, as much for itself.

There's a deep seated colonial unionism built into Brexitism - the Brexiteers see the DUP a bit like Putin sees Lukashenko in Belarus or how the French used to see the French settlers in Algeria - they simultaneously completely look down on them but also see them as very important to maintaining the fever dream of the imperial Brexiteer sphere of influence

That colonial unionism may not be massively apparent currently - though it's already showing itself through Johnson's public poo-pooing of another independence referendum in Scotland - but it will become apparent after no deal happens - the Celtic colonies will be the only thing the Little Englander Brexiteers have to hold on to

I think Brexit is English nationalism. Because Scotland and NI rejected it. They don't buy the Daily Mail view of the world.
It's English nationalism but it's also ethno-nationalism and ethno-colonialism

The fantasy of "Global Britain" extends to Australia, New Zealand and Canada, they are imagined as more or less "equals" because they're white majority - but it does not extend to former African colonies, yet Britain, sorry, England, believes the entirely one-way colonial relationship with non-white majority former British colonies can be revived, that they can be persuaded to once again be Britain's punching bags

The ethno-colonialism starts with Scotland, Wales and NI, the domestic punching bags
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 18, 2020, 02:52:50 PM
I don't think many colonials are impressed https://mobile.twitter.com/BBCPolitics/status/1180084022992441344
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on September 23, 2020, 04:03:39 PM
What's this border at Kent nonsense about?

Lorries going into Kent require a permit? That isn't going to go down well l
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 23, 2020, 04:17:47 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/aa42ac31-0aca-4c58-b6a8-b98618fba2d4

UK warns of 7,000-truck queues to cross Channel after January 1
Cabinet minister Michael Gove says there could be 2-day delays in Kent for freight to clear customs after end of Brexit transition
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on September 23, 2020, 04:20:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 23, 2020, 04:17:47 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/aa42ac31-0aca-4c58-b6a8-b98618fba2d4

UK warns of 7,000-truck queues to cross Channel after January 1
Cabinet minister Michael Gove says there could be 2-day delays in Kent for freight to clear customs after end of Brexit transition

If you take average overall truck length to be roughly 55 feet and measure out 7000 bumper to bumper, that queue is all the way from m25 to Dover  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on September 25, 2020, 09:48:04 PM
The UK is already completely fucked, yet things are about to get a lot, lot worse

And Murdoch is also launching a separate Fox News type channel

Money can buy the minds of populations

https://www.theguardian.com/media/2020/sep/25/andrew-neil-launches-24-hour-new-channel-to-rival-bbc-and-sky?CMP=twt_gu&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium#Echobox=1601056423

Andrew Neil launches 24-hour news channel to rival BBC and Sky
GB News aimed at those who feel 'underserved and unheard' says veteran broadcaster

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 26, 2020, 06:56:35 PM
See there's talk of increasing optimism in regards to a deal.

Among the Schadenfreude no doubt the ROI realises how dependent they are on the UK freight routes. While every utterance from the UK Government seems more chaotic than the last, there's no doubt in my mind they are calculated reminders (& negotiating tactics) for the ROI Government of the shitstorm that will face them as well come 1st January.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 26, 2020, 08:50:28 PM
Yes, but the EU can avoid a lot of the problems with the land bridge by hiring a few ferries. The ferry business has capacity for trucks as there are few holiday travellers. London's generation of chaos at Calais will affect them also with less obvious options for fixing it.
There is a touch of the sheriff in Blazing Saddles about the whole thing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 26, 2020, 09:33:55 PM
That actually really sounds like an answer a deluded Brexiteer would give when faced with a comparable situation, without any thought given to the actual praciticalities of genuinely having to get muliplte industries organised (physically & bureaucratically), against the clock, during a pandemic.

Has the ROI significantly enhanced any port routes for exporting goods directly to mainland Europe? when the UK is your biggest market it's also another related headache.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 26, 2020, 11:04:49 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 26, 2020, 09:33:55 PM
That actually really sounds like an answer a deluded Brexiteer would give when faced with a comparable situation, without any thought given to the actual praciticalities of genuinely having to get muliplte industries organised (physically & bureaucratically), against the clock, during a pandemic.

Has the ROI significantly enhanced any port routes for exporting goods directly to mainland Europe? when the UK is your biggest market it's also another related headache.

Bennydorano, are you really a Brexiteer in Lincolnshire after all? If not are you impervious to actual news in the last 4 years? Britain is not the biggest market for the ROI, it took under 7% of exports in recent months. it is important for some sectors and it does provide many imports, but to hear people like you talking you would think it was the 1950s. NI takes almost 2%, but you don't need a boat to go there. I am not saying that everything is in place on the shipping front, but there have been new routes from Ireland to Spain, France and Belgium using some very large ships, like the Celine. And of course the land bridge will be disrupted to the extent there are problems in Britain, but it still exists.

There is a problem, but not a crisis for most industries and there will be mitigations for those.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 27, 2020, 12:40:36 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/sep/25/brexit-brussels-punctures-optimism-that-deal-in-sight
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 27, 2020, 01:18:12 PM
Sunday Tines today has the positive version - both sides giving concessions. "Number 10 officials cautioned against the idea that a deal is done, but it is understood that members of Frost's team have privately said- there will be a deal". Also noteworthy that they said Gove is terrified of the double whammy of Covid 2nd spike & no deal, that's significant.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 27, 2020, 02:36:50 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 27, 2020, 01:18:12 PM
Sunday Tines today has the positive version - both sides giving concessions. "Number 10 officials cautioned against the idea that a deal is done, but it is understood that members of Frost's team have privately said- there will be a deal". Also noteworthy that they said Gove is terrified of the double whammy of Covid 2nd spike & no deal, that's significant.

If there is chaos, the EU will be blamed, but they'll also say that Gove did not do his job, that it is isn't a problem with the idea of Brexit but the person in charge of implementing it. And of course refusing to extend the date in the middle of Covid is madness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 27, 2020, 08:42:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 26, 2020, 11:04:49 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 26, 2020, 09:33:55 PM
That actually really sounds like an answer a deluded Brexiteer would give when faced with a comparable situation, without any thought given to the actual praciticalities of genuinely having to get muliplte industries organised (physically & bureaucratically), against the clock, during a pandemic.

Has the ROI significantly enhanced any port routes for exporting goods directly to mainland Europe? when the UK is your biggest market it's also another related headache.

Bennydorano, are you really a Brexiteer in Lincolnshire after all? If not are you impervious to actual news in the last 4 years? Britain is not the biggest market for the ROI, it took under 7% of exports in recent months. it is important for some sectors and it does provide many imports, but to hear people like you talking you would think it was the 1950s. NI takes almost 2%, but you don't need a boat to go there. I am not saying that everything is in place on the shipping front, but there have been new routes from Ireland to Spain, France and Belgium using some very large ships, like the Celine. And of course the land bridge will be disrupted to the extent there are problems in Britain, but it still exists.

There is a problem, but not a crisis for most industries and there will be mitigations for those.

You are over simplifying the issue.

Exports to UK are an issue. It's not just the volume/value of the exports but how many jobs are related to those exports and what alternative jobs exist for those people and resources. What is the alternative for say Irish beef? Does it go the way of the smaller Irish mushroom sector?

Secondly there is the critical landbridge issue. Adequate progress on alternative sea crossing capacity isn't greatly in evidence and much more importantly creating a route to make it physically possible to export the goods via an alternative route is only half the problem. The reason the landbridge is used is because it is cheaper and more efficient than alternatives. Exports markets have been won based on that competitiveness. You don't lose that with zero impact
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 27, 2020, 08:46:22 PM
The Tories are all over the place. The ERG head the balls are leading a revolt agains the Coronovirus Bill. theresay May is leading a revolt against the Internal Markets Bill.
Backbenchers hate Cummings. Many MPs consider Johnson to be incompetent. And they can't afford no deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on September 27, 2020, 08:59:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 27, 2020, 08:46:22 PM
The Tories are all over the place.
hard to argue with that

Quote from: seafoid on September 27, 2020, 08:46:22 PM
The ERG head the balls are leading a revolt agains the Coronovirus Bill.
The nutjobs are rebelling on the wrong issue but still likely to have little impact on the outcome. This is an issue where a lot of the opposition will vote with the government
Quote from: seafoid on September 27, 2020, 08:46:22 PM
theresay May is leading a revolt against the Internal Markets Bill.
Theresa May's leadership qualities are to be taken lightly
Not too sure how many Tory numbers she will muster. More the the last day but unlikely to the 45-50 she would need

Quote from: seafoid on September 27, 2020, 08:46:22 PM
Backbenchers hate Cummings.
You give them too much credit

Quote from: seafoid on September 27, 2020, 08:46:22 PM
Many MPs consider Johnson to be incompetent.
Surely they all KNOW he is incompetent

Quote from: seafoid on September 27, 2020, 08:46:22 PM
And they can't afford no deal.
Cabinet know that. Not sure ERG screwballs do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 27, 2020, 10:51:42 PM
Quote from: LCohen on September 27, 2020, 08:42:53 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on September 26, 2020, 11:04:49 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 26, 2020, 09:33:55 PM
That actually really sounds like an answer a deluded Brexiteer would give when faced with a comparable situation, without any thought given to the actual praciticalities of genuinely having to get muliplte industries organised (physically & bureaucratically), against the clock, during a pandemic.

Has the ROI significantly enhanced any port routes for exporting goods directly to mainland Europe? when the UK is your biggest market it's also another related headache.

Bennydorano, are you really a Brexiteer in Lincolnshire after all? If not are you impervious to actual news in the last 4 years? Britain is not the biggest market for the ROI, it took under 7% of exports in recent months. it is important for some sectors and it does provide many imports, but to hear people like you talking you would think it was the 1950s. NI takes almost 2%, but you don't need a boat to go there. I am not saying that everything is in place on the shipping front, but there have been new routes from Ireland to Spain, France and Belgium using some very large ships, like the Celine. And of course the land bridge will be disrupted to the extent there are problems in Britain, but it still exists.

There is a problem, but not a crisis for most industries and there will be mitigations for those.

You are over simplifying the issue.

Exports to UK are an issue. It's not just the volume/value of the exports but how many jobs are related to those exports and what alternative jobs exist for those people and resources. What is the alternative for say Irish beef? Does it go the way of the smaller Irish mushroom sector?

Secondly there is the critical landbridge issue. Adequate progress on alternative sea crossing capacity isn't greatly in evidence and much more importantly creating a route to make it physically possible to export the goods via an alternative route is only half the problem. The reason the landbridge is used is because it is cheaper and more efficient than alternatives. Exports markets have been won based on that competitiveness. You don't lose that with zero impact

I don't deny that there are problems for particular sectors and many of these are significant employers. Likewise the transport thing makes business harder. However, in addition to lose of competitiveness there are business opportunities for Irish business to supply products currently supplied from Britain. It isn't ideal but these positives mean that the overall damage will not be too great, although there may be a bumpy ride in between.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 28, 2020, 12:35:15 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2020/0928/1167867-eu-trade-talks/

Brits were obviously spinning at the weekend?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on September 28, 2020, 01:09:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on September 28, 2020, 12:35:15 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2020/0928/1167867-eu-trade-talks/

Brits were obviously spinning at the weekend?

I. Am. Shocked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 28, 2020, 03:28:16 PM
Called Politics, each side briefs their version of events, truth as ever likely somewhere in the middle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 28, 2020, 06:36:32 PM
You seem to usually buy the Brit spin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 28, 2020, 07:58:23 PM
Why buy the EU line everytime? The EU are well used to these type of FTA negotiations, moreso than the UK, they're well practised in political manouvering.

Also, I was an ardent remain supporter, but now the UK has left (& are leaving hard) it makes total sense for them to play hardball in negotiations, whether they're capable of pulling it off is another question.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on September 28, 2020, 07:59:44 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 28, 2020, 07:58:23 PM
Why buy the EU line everytime? The EU are well used to these type of FTA negotiations, moreso than the UK, they're well practised in political manouvering.

Also, I was an ardent remain supporter, but now the UK has left (& are leaving hard) it makes total sense for them to play hardball in negotiations, whether they're capable of pulling it off is another question.

Well some of their key personnel are experts in "pulling it off".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on September 28, 2020, 08:59:49 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 28, 2020, 07:58:23 PM
Why buy the EU line everytime? The EU are well used to these type of FTA negotiations, moreso than the UK, they're well practised in political manouvering.


If a EU official says today in Monday you can take it it's Monday.
On the other hand if a Brit politician (and extra especially their current PM and Governnent) says it's Monday....first thing to do us check the calendar.
And if they're feeding "good news" to their media you can definitely take with a large bucket of salt.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 28, 2020, 09:33:42 PM
https://ft.com/content/1d34c6eb-bd2d-4968-9d98-a231fb07f6b6... Sefcovic outlined that the EU could legally pursue the UK even before the internal market bill is adopted for breach of its good faith obligations under the treaty. 


https://mobile.twitter.com/elliereeves/status/1309079579383025667
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 28, 2020, 09:56:28 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on September 28, 2020, 09:14:36 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on September 28, 2020, 03:28:16 PM
Called Politics, each side briefs their version of events, truth as ever likely somewhere in the middle.

That's false equivalence.

If I say 2+2=4, yet someone else says 2+2=7, does that mean the real answer lies somewhere between 4.001 and 6.999?

It may not scale directly into political discourse, but truth is not an objective but the objective.

You do realise the counterpoints in this discussion are, negotiations are progressing ok V negotiations are not progressing so well. I dont think either claim is outlandish tbh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 01, 2020, 08:23:31 AM
every cloud and all that;

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/brexit-prompts-7-500-finance-jobs-1-6-trillion-to-leave-u-k (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/brexit-prompts-7-500-finance-jobs-1-6-trillion-to-leave-u-k)

Dublin gaining as a financial centre..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 01, 2020, 09:32:01 AM
From Tony ConnellyRTE;

"BREAKING: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will make a statement on Brexit at 11hr CET. @rtenews understands that legal action against the United Kingdom is imminent and that a draft "letter of formal notice" has been finalised, triggering legal action"

Shits got real for Boris and his crew of charlatans
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 01, 2020, 09:40:15 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 01, 2020, 09:32:01 AM
From Tony ConnellyRTE;

"BREAKING: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will make a statement on Brexit at 11hr CET. @rtenews understands that legal action against the United Kingdom is imminent and that a draft "letter of formal notice" has been finalised, triggering legal action"

Shits got real for Boris and his crew of charlatans


Saw that. Cue the Brexiteer stance of blaming the big bad EU for everything under the sun.

No deal looking more unlikely though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 01, 2020, 10:08:12 AM
Well that was short & sweet, perfunctory & designed not to torpedo the chances of a deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 01, 2020, 11:26:57 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 01, 2020, 08:23:31 AM
every cloud and all that;

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/brexit-prompts-7-500-finance-jobs-1-6-trillion-to-leave-u-k (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/brexit-prompts-7-500-finance-jobs-1-6-trillion-to-leave-u-k)

Dublin gaining as a financial centre..

Ah - but is it a silver lining?


The centralisation of everything around London was not healthy for the UK - the same applies to Ireland and Dublin.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 01, 2020, 11:47:07 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 01, 2020, 11:26:57 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 01, 2020, 08:23:31 AM
every cloud and all that;

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/brexit-prompts-7-500-finance-jobs-1-6-trillion-to-leave-u-k (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/brexit-prompts-7-500-finance-jobs-1-6-trillion-to-leave-u-k)

Dublin gaining as a financial centre..

Ah - but is it a silver lining?


The centralisation of everything around London was not healthy for the UK - the same applies to Ireland and Dublin.

I'd agree with the centralisation that's purely an internal matter for the Irish Government to address.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 01, 2020, 12:06:14 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on October 01, 2020, 11:26:57 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 01, 2020, 08:23:31 AM
every cloud and all that;

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/brexit-prompts-7-500-finance-jobs-1-6-trillion-to-leave-u-k (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-30/brexit-prompts-7-500-finance-jobs-1-6-trillion-to-leave-u-k)

Dublin gaining as a financial centre..

Ah - but is it a silver lining?


The centralisation of everything around London was not healthy for the UK - the same applies to Ireland and Dublin.

Brexit unbalances Ireland, bringing in more jobs into Dublin in sectors already doing well and disadvantaging agriculture and SMEs that trade in these islands only, add to that possible effects in border areas. However, we just have to make what we can of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on October 01, 2020, 12:11:55 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 01, 2020, 12:06:14 PM
Brexit unbalances Ireland, bringing in more jobs into Dublin in sectors already doing well and disadvantaging agriculture and SMEs that trade in these islands only, add to that possible effects in border areas. However, we just have to make what we can of it.

I don't disagree but ironically Covid-19 might well fix some of that, especially if remote working takes off long-term.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 16, 2020, 01:21:49 PM
BBC News - Brexit: UK must 'get ready' for no EU trade deal, says PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-54566897

Watched Bojo on BBC News, he's got no poker face, just looked sheepish and slightly embarrassed, there's no way he wants no deal, but could fall arse over tit into it obviously.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 16, 2020, 02:01:26 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 16, 2020, 01:21:49 PM
BBC News - Brexit: UK must 'get ready' for no EU trade deal, says PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-54566897

Watched Bojo on BBC News, he's got no poker face, just looked sheepish and slightly embarrassed, there's no way he wants no deal, but could fall arse over tit into it obviously.

Was watching Newsnight t'other night about other UK ports taking up the slack from Dover for transporting goods. One of them (can't remember) was very close to a motorway and any queue of trucks would back right up on to it. Is that what they want I wonder?

Still a few hands to be played in this continental poker game.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 16, 2020, 04:23:34 PM
The UK think they have the EU over a barrel in regards to fishing because it matters greatly to France & Macron in an election year; if there's no deal the UK automatically regain control of their territorial waters on 1st January but surely they can see if they do this the sheep burning French will create absolute havoc at their ports, UK goods will be stuck in the UK and the French Government will be in no hurry to help them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 16, 2020, 05:09:37 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 16, 2020, 04:23:34 PM
The UK think they have the EU over a barrel in regards to fishing because it matters greatly to France & Macron in an election year; if there's no deal the UK automatically regain control of their territorial waters on 1st January but surely they can see if they do this the sheep burning French will create absolute havoc at their ports, UK goods will be stuck in the UK and the French Government will be in no hurry to help them.

The French might also ensure that the asylum seekers were not stuck in their ports but were on their way to England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 21, 2020, 07:13:45 PM
Talks officially back on, souped up as well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 23, 2020, 02:36:11 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/oct/23/uk-presses-for-use-of-faster-passport-gates-at-eu-airports-post-brexit

They couldn't wait to get rid of the EU passports and start using their own, but still want the benefits of the former. You couldn't make these guys up!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 23, 2020, 02:38:57 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 23, 2020, 02:36:11 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/oct/23/uk-presses-for-use-of-faster-passport-gates-at-eu-airports-post-brexit

They couldn't wait to get rid of the EU passports and start using their own, but still want the benefits of the former. You couldn't make these guys up!

Absolute nutters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 23, 2020, 02:42:37 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 23, 2020, 02:36:11 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/oct/23/uk-presses-for-use-of-faster-passport-gates-at-eu-airports-post-brexit

They couldn't wait to get rid of the EU passports and start using their own, but still want the benefits of the former. You couldn't make these guys up!

This is class.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 09, 2020, 11:34:02 AM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-54862747

"Boris Johnson said on Sunday that the "outlines" of an agreement were clear and a deal was "there to be done"."

Some reversing job on here.

Sleepy Joe has changed the game it would seem.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 09, 2020, 09:21:51 PM
John Major speech, well worth a read.

http://www.johnmajorarchive.org.uk/2015-2/sir-john-majors-speech-middle-temples-treasurers-lecture-the-state-were-in/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: PMG1 on November 10, 2020, 09:07:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 09, 2020, 09:21:51 PM
John Major speech, well worth a read.

http://www.johnmajorarchive.org.uk/2015-2/sir-john-majors-speech-middle-temples-treasurers-lecture-the-state-were-in/
Great article by Major, to be fair to him he was saying a lot of this pre brexit vote but wasn't listened to. Northern Ireland policy aside he was by far one of the best UK prime ministers they ever had
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 10, 2020, 10:26:09 AM
Quote from: PMG1 on November 10, 2020, 09:07:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 09, 2020, 09:21:51 PM
John Major speech, well worth a read.

http://www.johnmajorarchive.org.uk/2015-2/sir-john-majors-speech-middle-temples-treasurers-lecture-the-state-were-in/
Great article by Major, to be fair to him he was saying a lot of this pre brexit vote but wasn't listened to. Northern Ireland policy aside he was by far one of the best UK prime ministers they ever had

Yet at the time he was regarded a grey non entity, except perhaps for his fling with the egg woman. The passage of time has improved his reputation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 11, 2020, 09:05:34 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 10, 2020, 10:26:09 AM
Quote from: PMG1 on November 10, 2020, 09:07:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 09, 2020, 09:21:51 PM
John Major speech, well worth a read.

http://www.johnmajorarchive.org.uk/2015-2/sir-john-majors-speech-middle-temples-treasurers-lecture-the-state-were-in/
Great article by Major, to be fair to him he was saying a lot of this pre brexit vote but wasn't listened to. Northern Ireland policy aside he was by far one of the best UK prime ministers they ever had

Yet at the time he was regarded a grey non entity, except perhaps for his fling with the egg woman. The passage of time has improved his reputation.

and in comparison with the current incumbent of 10 Downing Street Major is an intellectual heavyweight
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Real Talk on November 11, 2020, 09:44:41 PM
Although its easy to have the effect of a good PM/Politician when you're not in power and your reputation is not depending on votes to win the next election ... all PM's from the Conservative party where saddled with the 'European Sceptics' within their ranks and hoe to keep them on board ... that worked until the fear of the threat of Nigel Farage eventually screwed David Cameron
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 11, 2020, 09:54:24 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 11, 2020, 09:05:34 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 10, 2020, 10:26:09 AM
Quote from: PMG1 on November 10, 2020, 09:07:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 09, 2020, 09:21:51 PM
John Major speech, well worth a read.

http://www.johnmajorarchive.org.uk/2015-2/sir-john-majors-speech-middle-temples-treasurers-lecture-the-state-were-in/
Great article by Major, to be fair to him he was saying a lot of this pre brexit vote but wasn't listened to. Northern Ireland policy aside he was by far one of the best UK prime ministers they ever had

Yet at the time he was regarded a grey non entity, except perhaps for his fling with the egg woman. The passage of time has improved his reputation.

and in comparison with the current incumbent of 10 Downing Street Major is an intellectual heavyweight

The standard now seems to be appalling all round. Every one of those tories has a weaselly face on them too. I think they're just people who are basically owned by big backers. Major wasn't fantastic but he didn't seem like someone who was owned by backers etc. (Though he is a Tory so there is bound to be an element of that somewhere)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on November 11, 2020, 10:05:43 PM
Speculation Cummings might resign. Don't know much about it but apparently Johnson forced his press mate Lee cain out and he's no happy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on November 11, 2020, 10:19:12 PM
The "oven ready" crew are baling out ahead of 1 January and leaving us with their sh!t show.  Desperate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on November 12, 2020, 12:19:33 AM
Biden winning is their worst nightmare. Wheels are coming off..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on November 12, 2020, 02:12:34 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 10, 2020, 10:26:09 AM
Quote from: PMG1 on November 10, 2020, 09:07:50 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 09, 2020, 09:21:51 PM
John Major speech, well worth a read.

http://www.johnmajorarchive.org.uk/2015-2/sir-john-majors-speech-middle-temples-treasurers-lecture-the-state-were-in/
Great article by Major, to be fair to him he was saying a lot of this pre brexit vote but wasn't listened to. Northern Ireland policy aside he was by far one of the best UK prime ministers they ever had

Yet at the time he was regarded a grey non entity, except perhaps for his fling with the egg woman. The passage of time has improved his reputation.

He isn't Thatcher or Johnson.  Not a high bar in fairness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on November 12, 2020, 08:08:52 AM
Quote from: GJL on November 12, 2020, 12:19:33 AM
Biden winning is their worst nightmare. Wheels are coming off..


True.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1351351/brexit-news-US-trade-deal-EU-Donald-trump-US-election-2022-joe-biden-brexit-boris-johnson/amp  (https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1351351/brexit-news-US-trade-deal-EU-Donald-trump-US-election-2022-joe-biden-brexit-boris-johnson/amp)

Its almost like they didn't account for the fact that Trump had an election first for which he was a massive underdog.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2020, 07:39:40 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/c7f77aa3-2640-475c-87b9-c0ef229f3ef0

He can afford to pay less attention to London and turn to Berlin and Paris in resetting the transatlantic relationship. The cost for the UK promises to be one it finds hard to bear: a slow drift to irrelevance. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mackers on November 13, 2020, 09:46:16 AM
Maybe I'm reading too much into it but is it a coincidence that these two hard line Brexiteers jumped ship after the Biden victory? Would it be down to the fact that Biden has Johnson by the nads now and Johnson will have to broker a softer Brexit deal or forget about the Internal Markets Bill to get his trade deal with the US and these nutjobs don't want to be associated with this climbdown?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 13, 2020, 09:53:24 AM
That's Kuenssberg fcuked then.

No more 'Downing St. source tells me....'
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 13, 2020, 01:22:43 PM
Cummings leaving is a nice Xmas present for sensible British people.

The Tories have realised that Covid has fecked up the economy even more than other places, whatever about 1966 on Covid the Germans won 5-0. So some reality about Brexit is needed. The planning has not been done, hence the talk now about transitional arrangements. The EU will allow transitional arrangements so that they are not blamed for chaos in January, but they will ensure that everything is done properly by March or April.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on November 13, 2020, 01:51:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 13, 2020, 01:22:43 PM
Cummings leaving is a nice Xmas present for sensible British people.

The Tories have realised that Covid has fecked up the economy even more than other places, whatever about 1966 on Covid the Germans won 5-0. So some reality about Brexit is needed. The planning has not been done, hence the talk now about transitional arrangements. The EU will allow transitional arrangements so that they are not blamed for chaos in January, but they will ensure that everything is done properly by March or April.

Johnson ruled out any transitional agreements by his government and the deadline was 15th October.

He also ruled out agreeing to any transitional agreements if they were to put forward by the EU side

Id be taking him at his word

and Out you on go on the first chime of midnight new years eve.

It shouldnt be allowed to drag on and on and on,by the British side who cant get their shite together.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 13, 2020, 05:52:31 PM
Cummings gone already? Or is it some media wishful thinking.
Softer stance on the EU deal coming?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 13, 2020, 06:07:38 PM
Gone it seems. SMALL f**king LOSS. Man should be hung for the damage he and his legacy has caused to Britain, Ireland and Europe. Next flashpoint will probably be between the incumbent indolent mendicant BoJo and Brexit ideologue Gove (Cummings was really his creature). Unlikely to mollify the Brexiteer wing of the Tories but it may introduce more centrist moderation to the cabinet and government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 13, 2020, 06:10:19 PM
Brexit is on the road.
(https://media2.giphy.com/media/lmIqGhMyHyf7O/200.webp)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 17, 2020, 11:10:52 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 31, 2018, 03:34:13 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on August 31, 2018, 03:07:22 PM
Had to laugh at the clown from Norn Iron, presumably Kilkeel or Portavogie complaing at being attacked by smaller French scallop boats as the fish French waters, denied to the french themselves for the summer months to protect stocks. He wanted the British Navy to come to their aid. So much for taking back control of British waters. If the fishing industry gets its way he won't be able to fish there at all next year. f**king cake and eat it Brexiteeer mentality.

The fishing industry must be full of short sighted morons more than most.

They're complaining about French and Spanish boats fishing in UK waters and can't wait till Brexit to put a stop to this, but in the same breath UK fishermen export 75% of their catch into the EU.

How are they going to manage that?

What did I tell you, thick as shít.....

https://twitter.com/bbcmartynoates/status/1327959450267901952 (https://twitter.com/bbcmartynoates/status/1327959450267901952)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 23, 2020, 12:57:07 PM
Continuing rumours about Nissan in Sunderland, at the very least they are putting serious pressure on the British.
https://twitter.com/NickGibbs/status/1330850414917455873
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Pub Bore on November 23, 2020, 01:37:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 23, 2020, 12:57:07 PM
Continuing rumours about Nissan in Sunderland, at the very least they are putting serious pressure on the British.
https://twitter.com/NickGibbs/status/1330850414917455873

didn't Theresa May give them a massive bung to stay in Sunderland a few years ago?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 23, 2020, 03:08:32 PM
Quote from: Pub Bore on November 23, 2020, 01:37:21 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 23, 2020, 12:57:07 PM
Continuing rumours about Nissan in Sunderland, at the very least they are putting serious pressure on the British.
https://twitter.com/NickGibbs/status/1330850414917455873

didn't Theresa May give them a massive bung to stay in Sunderland a few years ago?

Yes, but she also promised them that they would not face tariffs into the EU market and she didn't deliver.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 27, 2020, 11:37:56 AM
Anybody else swamped with paperwork about customs declarations/Commercial Invoices and EORI numbers this week??

What a joke the Government are telling everyone a deal would be easy.

There's going to be carnage at the ports from 1st January hopefully the delays of food and medicines will not be too severe!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 27, 2020, 11:49:46 AM
The UK economy is probably going to collapse.
Covid contracted the economy by 11.3%. Brexit could subtract another 10%
Debt incl private and public is over 300% of 2019 GDP
If 2021 GDP is 80% of 2019 GDP debt becomes 375% of GDP
They need something to GROW the economy. Brexit will contract it.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 27, 2020, 11:54:29 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 27, 2020, 11:37:56 AM
Anybody else swamped with paperwork about customs declarations/Commercial Invoices and EORI numbers this week??

What a joke the Government are telling everyone a deal would be easy.

There's going to be carnage at the ports from 1st January hopefully the delays of food and medicines will not be too severe!!

Is there anyone who actually believed that?

If so, DM me, I have some magic beans you might be interested in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 27, 2020, 12:02:08 PM
Quote from: Franko on November 27, 2020, 11:54:29 AM
Quote from: screenexile on November 27, 2020, 11:37:56 AM
Anybody else swamped with paperwork about customs declarations/Commercial Invoices and EORI numbers this week??

What a joke the Government are telling everyone a deal would be easy.

There's going to be carnage at the ports from 1st January hopefully the delays of food and medicines will not be too severe!!

Is there anyone who actually believed that?

If so, DM me, I have some magic beans you might be interested in.

Judging by the amount of companies scrambling around to sort out their Customs processes this past week it looks like most did.

We've had ours sorted for a long time but when we told customers in the UK to get their house in order they presumed a deal would happen so have left it until now!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 27, 2020, 12:11:22 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 27, 2020, 11:49:46 AM
The UK economy is probably going to collapse.
Covid contracted the economy by 11.3%. Brexit could subtract another 10%
Debt incl private and public is over 300% of 2019 GDP
If 2021 GDP is 80% of 2019 GDP debt becomes 375% of GDP
They need something to GROW the economy. Brexit will contract it.

But at least they can me their own Laws.  No straight bananas
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 27, 2020, 12:29:52 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 27, 2020, 12:02:08 PM
We've had ours sorted for a long time but when we told customers in the UK to get their house in order they presumed a deal would happen so have left it until now!

What planet are they on? The deal may prevent tariffs but it will not prevent customs documentation. I think a lot of companies in Britain will sleepwalk into this. Their own crowd might cut them some slack for imports, but poorly prepared exporters will be shagged.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 27, 2020, 12:34:45 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 27, 2020, 12:29:52 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 27, 2020, 12:02:08 PM
We've had ours sorted for a long time but when we told customers in the UK to get their house in order they presumed a deal would happen so have left it until now!

What planet are they on? The deal may prevent tariffs but it will not prevent customs documentation. I think a lot of companies in Britain will sleepwalk into this. Their own crowd might cut them some slack for imports, but poorly prepared exporters will be shagged.

Even for Ireland the amount of EU suppliers who don't realise that when they sell stock to Ireland it comes across from the UK landbridge is unreal. We're trying to tell them they need an EORI number and Commercial Invoices but they don't understand it either!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 27, 2020, 01:06:03 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/1127/1180829-rosslare-wexford-ferry/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 28, 2020, 09:32:12 AM
Short twitter thread that really is worth a read, grim for the UK obviously but talk of a UK Economic collapse is a bit much Seafoid. They won 2 World Wars you know

https://twitter.com/AntonSpisak/status/1331611585878560771?s=19
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 28, 2020, 11:02:20 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 28, 2020, 09:32:12 AM
Short twitter thread that really is worth a read, grim for the UK obviously but talk of a UK Economic collapse is a bit much Seafoid. They won 2 World Wars you know

https://twitter.com/AntonSpisak/status/1331611585878560771?s=19
The British Empire collapsed after WW2 you know
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 28, 2020, 04:20:21 PM
I do know
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 01, 2020, 12:32:01 AM
Interest video on 6 counties from DW, the German TV.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=miPW4I0KhvU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 01, 2020, 10:02:20 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 28, 2020, 04:20:21 PM
I do know
Debenhams in liquidation
Arcadia has collapsed
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2020/12/01/markets-live-arcadia-philip-green-debenhams-latest-coronavirus/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 01, 2020, 11:00:01 AM
Seems No Deal = no chips and a shortage of seed potatoes in the 26.
Sad that we can't grow enough spuds for ourselves.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 01, 2020, 12:05:27 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2020, 12:32:01 AM
Interest video on 6 counties from DW, the German TV.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=miPW4I0KhvU

Kieran Kennedy not mincing his words on the constitutional question.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on December 01, 2020, 12:37:50 PM
Chippers down south may be affected as they get their pre-cut chips from the UK.  pretty ironic really.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 01, 2020, 01:13:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 01, 2020, 10:02:20 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 28, 2020, 04:20:21 PM
I do know
Debenhams in liquidation
Arcadia has collapsed
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2020/12/01/markets-live-arcadia-philip-green-debenhams-latest-coronavirus/
You trying to claim that's Brexit related and not a direct consequence of Covid? ???
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 01, 2020, 01:19:17 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on December 01, 2020, 12:37:50 PM
Chippers down south may be affected as they get their pre-cut chips from the UK.  pretty ironic really.

And why should chippers in the North not be equally affected as they have same food regulations?

Mind you I heard something about the chipper in Cullaville ordering 1000 tonnes of spuds.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 01, 2020, 01:19:43 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 01, 2020, 01:13:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 01, 2020, 10:02:20 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 28, 2020, 04:20:21 PM
I do know
Debenhams in liquidation
Arcadia has collapsed
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2020/12/01/markets-live-arcadia-philip-green-debenhams-latest-coronavirus/
You trying to claim that's Brexit related and not a direct consequence of Covid? ???

Arcadia's inability to develop a meaningful online option seems to have been the bigger issue even before Covid.

Yer man Green has some yacht all the same so zero fucks given by him.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 01, 2020, 01:51:00 PM
That is about the height of it, Arcadia and Debenhams will both go bankrupt, screw creditors, get picked up by a competitor for buttons and the parts worth saving will reappear again with no debt. Another one in the arse for society.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 04, 2020, 01:31:18 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/1204/1182267-london-post-brexit-trade-talks/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 04, 2020, 02:08:19 PM
Brexit was based on lies. What does sovereignty mean to uneducated people ?
Once  Brexit happens and the economic losses happen  will it command a majority ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 04, 2020, 07:31:53 PM
As it was always going to be it looks like Boris will have the final say on whether a deal can be done!!

I still expect a couple of no deal threats before the deal gets done.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on December 04, 2020, 08:03:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2020, 01:19:17 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on December 01, 2020, 12:37:50 PM
Chippers down south may be affected as they get their pre-cut chips from the UK.  pretty ironic really.

And why should chippers in the North not be equally affected as they have same food regulations?

Mind you I heard something about the chipper in Cullaville ordering 1000 tonnes of spuds.

Key question is though, where is the fish coming from?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 04, 2020, 08:19:35 PM
Talks "on pause".
Bozo and van der Leyden to talk tomorrow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Lar Naparka on December 04, 2020, 08:57:21 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 04, 2020, 08:03:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 01, 2020, 01:19:17 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on December 01, 2020, 12:37:50 PM
Chippers down south may be affected as they get their pre-cut chips from the UK.  pretty ironic really.

And why should chippers in the North not be equally affected as they have same food regulations?

Mind you I heard something about the chipper in Cullaville ordering 1000 tonnes of spuds.

Key question is though, where is the fish coming from?
Believe it ir not, they are from Irish waters! I'm going by what I heard from some head or other who is involved with the Brexit talks on RTE News Now a few days ago.  Seems the poor mackerel are spawned in the Irish Sea and they migrate across to English territorial waters - or something like that.So the question is, are they Gaeilgóirí or bloody Sassenachs?  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Baile Brigín 2 on December 04, 2020, 11:57:36 PM
Interesting news about soccer.

The 4 home associations are obviously still the home associations, but FIFA have declared that CTA or no CTA, the FAI zone of control is as foreign as anywhere else and no kids can move to England or Scotland under the age of 18, but can to the rest of the EU.

Great news for local clubs as definitionally they move as pros, not trainees so transfer fees go up. But are there enough acadamy spaces for the 45 odd who go over annually? Or will they start going to the continent?

Also better for the kids longer term as education is part of the LoI thing but ignored in England.

No idea where it leaves Irish citizens in the 6 counties. I assume they are declared UK by being under IFA jurisdiction
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on December 05, 2020, 01:45:52 PM
Surely the GFA allows Irish citizens in the North to opt to play for Ireland?
So is today the day that decides our future? Papers saying that Boris always wanted to be the man in the big picture when the crunch came. I'm glad Cummings isn't in his ear at this time and Carrie is a more humane and sensible influence.  But it appears that it's the EU who quite understandably are resolute and Barnier has had a tough challenge negotiating obo 27 countries.  All along I have believed that even the arrogant Tories aren't stupid enough to go for no deal (may have been optimism bias) but as people have warned, no deal could happen by accident if they run out of time.  Johnson is a populist so really doesn't care on the outcome as long as he looks good.  Let's hope Ursula is aware of the high stakes for Ireland, N and S, or a tough few years will become a very tough few years

Time to call it; will there be a deal or not?
I still think there will be. One word answers please; yes or no?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 05, 2020, 08:17:59 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on December 05, 2020, 01:45:52 PM
Surely the GFA allows Irish citizens in the North to opt to play for Ireland?

The GFA does not bestow any citizenship rights to Nordies. What allows Nordies to play for Ireland is that they are Irish citizens from birth, they don't have to acquire that citizenship, it is their birthright according to the irish constitution. This has been the birthright of Nordies since Dev the phoenix, emerged from ashes of the civil war.
Though it's a pity that most nordie nationalists want to cling onto their British Nationality
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GiveItToTheShooters on December 05, 2020, 10:51:18 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 05, 2020, 08:17:59 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on December 05, 2020, 01:45:52 PM
Surely the GFA allows Irish citizens in the North to opt to play for Ireland?

The GFA does not bestow any citizenship rights to Nordies. What allows Nordies to play for Ireland is that they are Irish citizens from birth, they don't have to acquire that citizenship, it is their birthright according to the irish constitution. This has been the birthright of Nordies since Dev the phoenix, emerged from ashes of the civil war.
Though it's a pity that most nordie nationalists want to cling onto their British Nationality
You're from Monaghan
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LCohen on December 06, 2020, 08:22:57 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 05, 2020, 08:17:59 PM
Though it's a pity that most nordie nationalists want to cling onto their British Nationality

Care to explain that claim?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 06, 2020, 09:53:39 AM
Quote from: LCohen on December 06, 2020, 08:22:57 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 05, 2020, 08:17:59 PM
Though it's a pity that most nordie nationalists want to cling onto their British Nationality

Care to explain that claim?
Care to explain that fact? Were you born in NI? If so are you not aware that such a person is a dual national from birth? But so far how many Nordies have gone though the process of ridding themselves of the stain of an imposed British Nationality? When it comes to a state recognition of a nordies nationality, it is their British nationality which is automatically regarded as first. Officially a Nordie is a British subject first  but one who also has Irish citizenship. The GFA does not change anything there. Of course I hear the common refrain that being born British does not make me less Irish, but if a person wants to choose to be only Irish they have to go through a legal process, until that is completed the Irish nationality is secondary to British Nationality as the Irish nationality has no legal status in British Law. It is astounding that so many Nordies have adopted the false belief that GFA allowed them to be Irish citizens or somehow gave an official recognition to being Irish.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Silver hill on December 06, 2020, 11:21:14 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 06, 2020, 09:53:39 AM
Quote from: LCohen on December 06, 2020, 08:22:57 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 05, 2020, 08:17:59 PM
Though it's a pity that most nordie nationalists want to cling onto their British Nationality

Care to explain that claim?
Care to explain that fact? Were you born in NI? If so are you not aware that such a person is a dual national from birth? But so far how many Nordies have gone though the process of ridding themselves of the stain of an imposed British Nationality? When it comes to a state recognition of a nordies nationality, it is their British nationality which is automatically regarded as first. Officially a Nordie is a British subject first  but one who also has Irish citizenship. The GFA does not change anything there. Of course I hear the common refrain that being born British does not make me less Irish, but if a person wants to choose to be only Irish they have to go through a legal process, until that is completed the Irish nationality is secondary to British Nationality as the Irish nationality has no legal status in British Law. It is astounding that so many Nordies have adopted the false belief that GFA allowed them to be Irish citizens or somehow gave an official recognition to being Irish.

Most???
Care to back up your argument with any facts.... how many People born in the North of Ireland have Irish passports? I know that none of my own circle of family friends and acquaintances have British passports. Far from scientific but l'm sure my circumstances are not unique.
On top of that, there was a major surge after the Brexit vote, of people from the unionist community, exercising their right to avail of dual Nationality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 06, 2020, 11:43:16 AM
Quote from: Silver hill on December 06, 2020, 11:21:14 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 06, 2020, 09:53:39 AM
Quote from: LCohen on December 06, 2020, 08:22:57 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 05, 2020, 08:17:59 PM
Though it's a pity that most nordie nationalists want to cling onto their British Nationality

Care to explain that claim?
Care to explain that fact? Were you born in NI? If so are you not aware that such a person is a dual national from birth? But so far how many Nordies have gone though the process of ridding themselves of the stain of an imposed British Nationality? When it comes to a state recognition of a nordies nationality, it is their British nationality which is automatically regarded as first. Officially a Nordie is a British subject first  but one who also has Irish citizenship. The GFA does not change anything there. Of course I hear the common refrain that being born British does not make me less Irish, but if a person wants to choose to be only Irish they have to go through a legal process, until that is completed the Irish nationality is secondary to British Nationality as the Irish nationality has no legal status in British Law. It is astounding that so many Nordies have adopted the false belief that GFA allowed them to be Irish citizens or somehow gave an official recognition to being Irish.

Most???
Care to back up your argument with any facts.... how many People born in the North of Ireland have Irish passports? I know that none of my own circle of family friends and acquaintances have British passports. Far from scientific but l'm sure my circumstances are not unique.
On top of that, there was a major surge after the Brexit vote, of people from the unionist community, exercising their right to avail of dual Nationality.
Facts??  it's the feckin' law, is that factual enough? :D
Everybody born  in NI is a British National,  It is an imposed nationality. that's the only nationality recognised in British nationality Law
It just so happens that everybody born in NI is also automatically entitled to irish citizenship.
But when a NI born  plays sport for NI  they do so as a Briitish national
when they play for the FAI they do so an Irish national.

It is a dual nationality but in NI the Irish citizenship is second class.

As an addendum,  the recent experience of Emma DeSouza is a case in point to exemplify the dilemma.
https://www.freemovement.org.uk/desouza-case-good-friday-agreement/ (https://www.freemovement.org.uk/desouza-case-good-friday-agreement/)

Emma is of the belief she can appeal the decision that she is a British national by dint of birth in the 6 counties, imposed upon her against her will.

I think that's a lost cause. But i think the next step is to campaign for the articles in the GFA to be made part of British nationality law. That anyone born in NI can renounce their imposed Brit nationality without payment of fee, be only an Irish citizen and still have full legal, social and civil rights. That Irish nationality alone has full equal status under the law, not just in a treaty which can be discarded by political imbeciles, peddling a poppy flower version British nationality.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Silver hill on December 06, 2020, 12:15:05 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 06, 2020, 11:43:16 AM
Quote from: Silver hill on December 06, 2020, 11:21:14 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 06, 2020, 09:53:39 AM
Quote from: LCohen on December 06, 2020, 08:22:57 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 05, 2020, 08:17:59 PM
Though it's a pity that most nordie nationalists want to cling onto their British Nationality

Care to explain that claim?
Care to explain that fact? Were you born in NI? If so are you not aware that such a person is a dual national from birth? But so far how many Nordies have gone though the process of ridding themselves of the stain of an imposed British Nationality? When it comes to a state recognition of a nordies nationality, it is their British nationality which is automatically regarded as first. Officially a Nordie is a British subject first  but one who also has Irish citizenship. The GFA does not change anything there. Of course I hear the common refrain that being born British does not make me less Irish, but if a person wants to choose to be only Irish they have to go through a legal process, until that is completed the Irish nationality is secondary to British Nationality as the Irish nationality has no legal status in British Law. It is astounding that so many Nordies have adopted the false belief that GFA allowed them to be Irish citizens or somehow gave an official recognition to being Irish.

Most???
Care to back up your argument with any facts.... how many People born in the North of Ireland have Irish passports? I know that none of my own circle of family friends and acquaintances have British passports. Far from scientific but l'm sure my circumstances are not unique.
On top of that, there was a major surge after the Brexit vote, of people from the unionist community, exercising their right to avail of dual Nationality.
Facts??  it's the feckin' law, is that factual enough? :D
Everybody born  in NI is a British National,  It is an imposed nationality. that's the only nationality recognised in British nationality Law
It just so happens that everybody born in NI is also automatically entitled to irish citizenship.
But when a NI born  plays sport for NI  they do so as a Briitish national
when they play for the FAI they do so an Irish national.

It is a dual nationality but in NI the Irish citizenship is second class.

As an addendum,  the recent experience of Emma DeSouza is a case in point to exemplify the dilemma.
https://www.freemovement.org.uk/desouza-case-good-friday-agreement/ (https://www.freemovement.org.uk/desouza-case-good-friday-agreement/)

Emma is of the belief she can appeal the decision that she is a British national by dint of birth in the 6 counties, imposed upon her against her will.

I think that's a lost cause. But i think the next step is to campaign for the articles in the GFA to be made part of British nationality law. That anyone born in NI can renounce their imposed Brit nationality without payment of fee, be only an Irish citizen and still have full legal, social and civil rights. That Irish nationality alone has full equal status under the law, not just in a treaty which can be discarded by political imbeciles, peddling a poppy flower version British nationality.

Though it's a pity that most nordie nationalists want to cling onto their British Nationality.......

Nothing Northern Nationalists can do about the fact that British citizenship was 'bestowed' on us by the fact that we were born within that bastardised state. My issue is with your line that 'most' somehow want to cling onto our British Nationality.... that's a crude statement and I'll give you a bye ball given your luck in living in the free State (and the luck of the draw in how Monaghan fell on the right side).
I would strongly challenge your claim; we do have a straight choice when a passport is required and no Nationalists I know (moderate/Republican/whatever) choose the British one. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Baile Brigín 2 on December 06, 2020, 01:21:47 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on December 05, 2020, 01:45:52 PM
Surely the GFA allows Irish citizens in the North to opt to play for Ireland?

No. Irish citizens can play for Ireland and that has always been the case. The GFA has nothing to so with nothing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 06, 2020, 03:33:09 PM
Free State 98 years old today, apt that Main Street reminds us of the legacy of being sold down the river.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.

Some amount of sweeping statements

Proof please of where the Republic doesn't want ye.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on December 06, 2020, 05:22:13 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.

Most of that is true
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 06:44:10 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.

Some amount of sweeping statements

Proof please of where the Republic doesn't want ye.

Show me any proof they do, can't remember any sitting government making such a claim, and the general population certainly don't, basket case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 07:33:36 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 06:44:10 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.

Some amount of sweeping statements

Proof please of where the Republic doesn't want ye.

Show me any proof they do, can't remember any sitting government making such a claim, and the general population certainly don't, basket case.

Any opinion poll that's ever been taken has shown a considerable majority in favor of a UI
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on December 06, 2020, 07:40:59 PM
the sick counties is surely the most backward society in the western world, absolutely hopeless  :(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 09:21:17 PM
Quote from: Mikhail Prokhorov on December 06, 2020, 07:40:59 PM
the sick counties is surely the most backward society in the western world, absolutely hopeless  :(

Public sector workers swinging the lead using sick leave like annual leave and having an untouchable union behind them means we are completely useless for any economic development.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 09:21:53 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 07:33:36 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 06:44:10 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.

Some amount of sweeping statements

Proof please of where the Republic doesn't want ye.

Show me any proof they do, can't remember any sitting government making such a claim, and the general population certainly don't, basket case.

Any opinion poll that's ever been taken has shown a considerable majority in favor of a UI

Because opinion polls work!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on December 06, 2020, 10:17:57 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 09:21:53 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 07:33:36 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 06:44:10 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.

Some amount of sweeping statements

Proof please of where the Republic doesn't want ye.

Show me any proof they do, can't remember any sitting government making such a claim, and the general population certainly don't, basket case.

Any opinion poll that's ever been taken has shown a considerable majority in favor of a UI

Because opinion polls work!

Fianna Gael don't want a border poll - they''re doing all they can to avoid pushing for one unfortunately.

Come out with the "not at this time" and the old classic "it's destabilising".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 06, 2020, 10:37:25 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 06, 2020, 10:17:57 PM
Fianna Gael don't want a border poll - they''re doing all they can to avoid pushing for one unfortunately.

A border poll without the necessary preparation would be like Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on December 06, 2020, 10:58:30 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 06, 2020, 10:37:25 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 06, 2020, 10:17:57 PM
Fianna Gael don't want a border poll - they''re doing all they can to avoid pushing for one unfortunately.

A border poll without the necessary preparation would be like Brexit.

And....can I ask when, from Fianna Gael's point of view, will the "preparation" begin?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 11:12:32 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 09:21:53 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 07:33:36 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 06:44:10 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.

Some amount of sweeping statements

Proof please of where the Republic doesn't want ye.

Show me any proof they do, can't remember any sitting government making such a claim, and the general population certainly don't, basket case.

Any opinion poll that's ever been taken has shown a considerable majority in favor of a UI

Because opinion polls work!


In the absence of anything more credible

Then yes they do

Or maybe you'd be happier if we didn't want ye
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 07, 2020, 12:43:04 AM
Quote from: marty34 on December 06, 2020, 10:58:30 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 06, 2020, 10:37:25 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 06, 2020, 10:17:57 PM
Fianna Gael don't want a border poll - they''re doing all they can to avoid pushing for one unfortunately.

A border poll without the necessary preparation would be like Brexit.

And....can I ask when, from Fianna Gael's point of view, will the "preparation" begin?

When public opinion in NI is ready?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 07, 2020, 08:58:43 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 11:12:32 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 09:21:53 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 07:33:36 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 06:44:10 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 06, 2020, 05:06:50 PM
Quote from: Seaney on December 06, 2020, 04:44:53 PM
Fact of the matter is Norn Ireland is a basket case, economy held up by public sector workers swinging the lead and getting their big pensions. The Republic doesn't want us, the Brits would love to get rid if us and we are so tied to the British treasury their is no chance we could ever stand on our own two feet.

Some amount of sweeping statements

Proof please of where the Republic doesn't want ye.

Show me any proof they do, can't remember any sitting government making such a claim, and the general population certainly don't, basket case.

Any opinion poll that's ever been taken has shown a considerable majority in favor of a UI

Because opinion polls work!


In the absence of anything more credible

Then yes they do

Or maybe you'd be happier if we didn't want ye

No they don't, they are proven time and again around the world to be mere sound bites  get ye into a polling station and ye all would sell us down the river again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 07, 2020, 09:00:11 AM
Quote from: marty34 on December 06, 2020, 10:58:30 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 06, 2020, 10:37:25 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 06, 2020, 10:17:57 PM
Fianna Gael don't want a border poll - they''re doing all they can to avoid pushing for one unfortunately.

A border poll without the necessary preparation would be like Brexit.

And....can I ask when, from Fianna Gael's point of view, will the "preparation" begin?

Not in our lifetimes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 07, 2020, 10:12:40 AM
Meanwhile back to the real world and Brexit

https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/1207/1182798-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 07, 2020, 12:04:23 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 07, 2020, 10:12:40 AM
Meanwhile back to the real world and Brexit

https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/1207/1182798-brexit/

Good to know the real world for the Free Staters doesn't include the nordies, feck the polls!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 07, 2020, 07:38:15 PM
I think Johnson going to Brussels is good news in terms of getting a deal... fingers crossed they can get something done!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 07, 2020, 10:17:47 PM
Was always going to be the way it ended ... Boris landing into Brussels at the last minute to rescue a glorious deal for the precious UK ... whist being shafted by the EU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 08, 2020, 07:19:58 AM
And hopefully the DUP being shafted by their Tory 'friends'... yet again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 08, 2020, 08:47:09 AM
As soon as Cummings went, Boris was going to buckle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 08, 2020, 09:30:20 AM
Quote from: Seaney on December 08, 2020, 08:47:09 AM
As soon as Cummings went, Boris was going to buckle.

Cummings was always going to go when it was getting close to push and shove time.

He'd never want to be attached to not delivering the undeliverable. Now he can blame someone else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 08, 2020, 10:45:51 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 07, 2020, 10:17:47 PM
Was always going to be the way it ended ... Boris landing into Brussels at the last minute to rescue a glorious deal for the precious UK ... whist being shafted by the EU

It's quite unlikely Boris has any convictions of his own. He just wants the honour of leading his country without any of the pesky irritations of actually having to do any work and make any difficult decisions. More than likely he was being subtly manipulated by Gove and Cummings (when he was in no. 10). Now that Cummings is gone and Gove is really panicking about crashing out, it'll be interesting to see which way BoJo sways now; is he still afraid enough of the ERG headbangers to try to appease them? He's not a details man and probably has the attention span of a gnat, so may have to bring 'Lord' Frost (another anti-EU Neanderthal) to the meeting with Ursula. Still could go either way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 08, 2020, 11:44:47 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 08, 2020, 10:45:51 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 07, 2020, 10:17:47 PM
Was always going to be the way it ended ... Boris landing into Brussels at the last minute to rescue a glorious deal for the precious UK ... whist being shafted by the EU

It's quite unlikely Boris has any convictions of his own. He just wants the honour of leading his country without any of the pesky irritations of actually having to do any work and make any difficult decisions. More than likely he was being subtly manipulated by Gove and Cummings (when he was in no. 10). Now that Cummings is gone and Gove is really panicking about crashing out, it'll be interesting to see which way BoJo sways now; is he still afraid enough of the ERG headbangers to try to appease them? He's not a details man and probably has the attention span of a gnat, so may have to bring 'Lord' Frost (another anti-EU Neanderthal) to the meeting with Ursula. Still could go either way.

Some lies coming out of the UK press and No.10. Boris was supposed to be involved in intense talks with Ursula von der Leyen for hours on end and then prior to traveling over to Brussels he's asked your man Frost for a dossier on how the talks are going, probably in bullet point format for him to digest.
Spoofer of the highest order. Problem is ordinary people are going to suffer because of him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on December 08, 2020, 12:06:27 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 08, 2020, 11:44:47 AM
Quote from: mouview on December 08, 2020, 10:45:51 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on December 07, 2020, 10:17:47 PM
Was always going to be the way it ended ... Boris landing into Brussels at the last minute to rescue a glorious deal for the precious UK ... whist being shafted by the EU

It's quite unlikely Boris has any convictions of his own. He just wants the honour of leading his country without any of the pesky irritations of actually having to do any work and make any difficult decisions. More than likely he was being subtly manipulated by Gove and Cummings (when he was in no. 10). Now that Cummings is gone and Gove is really panicking about crashing out, it'll be interesting to see which way BoJo sways now; is he still afraid enough of the ERG headbangers to try to appease them? He's not a details man and probably has the attention span of a gnat, so may have to bring 'Lord' Frost (another anti-EU Neanderthal) to the meeting with Ursula. Still could go either way.

Some lies coming out of the UK press and No.10. Boris was supposed to be involved in intense talks with Ursula von der Leyen for hours on end and then prior to traveling over to Brussels he's asked your man Frost for a dossier on how the talks are going, probably in bullet point format for him to digest.
Spoofer of the highest order. Problem is ordinary people are going to suffer because of him.

Or another possibility is that something has been agreed and Johnson gets to over and dress up a huge turd as a win to keep the hardliners happy. A perceived black eye for the EU and the vaccine before Christmas would enable them to put some positive spin on things. That said someone described sending Johnson over there as similar to sending the grim reaper into an A&E ward so we shall see.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 08, 2020, 02:37:11 PM
Up until 2 weeks ago I assumed there would be a deal of some sort done, since then I'm not so sure, Johnson certainly isn't flying into Brussels to save the day and sign off on something outlandish that wont get past his party. They are 100% prepared to take no deal and they are 100% not prepared for the consequences, but they don't live in reality so that matters little, in the event of No Deal, the press will be straight into little Englander, blame the EU mode. Consequences are for another day and for other people.

Cummings is still in the employ of HMG until the end of the year, there's plenty of people who are insinuating he's still got fingers in a few pies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 08, 2020, 03:27:47 PM
You wouldn't know, this time last year we have the same bollix, then Boris met Leo and the Withdrawal Agreement was signed forthwith.
While the hardliners are egging them on, I'm not sure that your average Briton is really up for any hardship in terms of increased prices etc and the Brexit propaganda hasn't prepared them for it. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 08, 2020, 03:36:41 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2020/1208/1183069-johnson-brexit-talks/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on December 08, 2020, 05:23:37 PM
Thats that sorted now.

Bojo to the rescue
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 08, 2020, 07:03:29 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 08, 2020, 02:37:11 PM
Up until 2 weeks ago I assumed there would be a deal of some sort done, since then I'm not so sure, Johnson certainly isn't flying into Brussels to save the day and sign off on something outlandish that wont get past his party. They are 100% prepared to take no deal and they are 100% not prepared for the consequences, but they don't live in reality so that matters little, in the event of No Deal, the press will be straight into little Englander, blame the EU mode. Consequences are for another day and for other people.

Cummings is still in the employ of HMG until the end of the year, there's plenty of people who are insinuating he's still got fingers in a few pies.

https://ft.com/content/16e84a65-3a95-468f-bcc1-5c8242cc3abc...... "Emmanuel Macron, French president, is often seen as the most likely intermediary in this scenario, dubbed by EU officials "the Boris folds and claims a great victory paradigm"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 08, 2020, 11:45:31 PM
I'd interpret it as a desperated last ditch attempt at cramming by Johnson to salvage a deal. What ever has been offered by the Westminister government  so far has been firmly rejected. I don't imagine he'll get anywhere with a final appeal to Ursula  unless everything that is left to concede is conceded.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 12:38:27 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 08, 2020, 11:45:31 PM
I'd interpret it as a desperated last ditch attempt at cramming by Johnson to salvage a deal. What ever has been offered by the Westminister government  so far has been firmly rejected. I don't imagine he'll get anywhere with a final appeal to Ursula  unless everything that is left to concede is conceded.

They will both have to make concessions it'll be up to us/the media to decide who gave up the most and who is the winner and loser then and it will follow on from that.

Farage and the ERG won't want any kind of concession however small so Boris will have the same trouble with them as befell both his predecessors!! Also he's not as smart as VDL so difficult to see how he can pull a win out of this.

I don't really care who wins or loses as long as the economic impact can be minimised I just want it over at this stage it massively effects my work and once we know what happens we can make adjustments and crack on. Fingers crossed!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 09, 2020, 11:11:19 AM
Quote from: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 12:38:27 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 08, 2020, 11:45:31 PM
I'd interpret it as a desperated last ditch attempt at cramming by Johnson to salvage a deal. What ever has been offered by the Westminister government  so far has been firmly rejected. I don't imagine he'll get anywhere with a final appeal to Ursula  unless everything that is left to concede is conceded.

They will both have to make concessions it'll be up to us/the media to decide who gave up the most and who is the winner and loser then and it will follow on from that.

Farage and the ERG won't want any kind of concession however small so Boris will have the same trouble with them as befell both his predecessors!! Also he's not as smart as VDL so difficult to see how he can pull a win out of this.

I don't really care who wins or loses as long as the economic impact can be minimised I just want it over at this stage it massively effects my work and once we know what happens we can make adjustments and crack on. Fingers crossed!

Boris doesn't need the ERG or the DUP so his hand is stronger in terms of what he can get through parliament.

I think there'll be a compromise on fishing, the French/EU boats will be allowed into GB waters but reduced quota's (how that's managed is for another day) and the British boats will be allowed tariff free access to the EU market for fish.

The fleg wavers might protest at loss of sovereignty but the big fish processors will see they've won a bit of ground.

No point in having the ability to fish all your own waters and nowhere to sell it.

State aid is a bit of a red herring for the Tories as they never really ever did it other than the banks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 09, 2020, 11:18:48 AM
Sterling is inching upwards today against the €uro. This suggests that the markets think that it is all over bar the signing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 09, 2020, 12:26:26 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 09, 2020, 11:11:19 AM
Quote from: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 12:38:27 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 08, 2020, 11:45:31 PM
I'd interpret it as a desperated last ditch attempt at cramming by Johnson to salvage a deal. What ever has been offered by the Westminister government  so far has been firmly rejected. I don't imagine he'll get anywhere with a final appeal to Ursula  unless everything that is left to concede is conceded.

They will both have to make concessions it'll be up to us/the media to decide who gave up the most and who is the winner and loser then and it will follow on from that.

Farage and the ERG won't want any kind of concession however small so Boris will have the same trouble with them as befell both his predecessors!! Also he's not as smart as VDL so difficult to see how he can pull a win out of this.

I don't really care who wins or loses as long as the economic impact can be minimised I just want it over at this stage it massively effects my work and once we know what happens we can make adjustments and crack on. Fingers crossed!

Boris doesn't need the ERG or the DUP so his hand is stronger in terms of what he can get through parliament.

I think there'll be a compromise on fishing, the French/EU boats will be allowed into GB waters but reduced quota's (how that's managed is for another day) and the British boats will be allowed tariff free access to the EU market for fish.

The fleg wavers might protest at loss of sovereignty but the big fish processors will see they've won a bit of ground.

No point in having the ability to fish all your own waters and nowhere to sell it.

State aid is a bit of a red herring for the Tories as they never really ever did it other than the banks.
Afaia fishing is not a part of the impasse,  according to Merkel the remaining issues are to do with the main stumbling block of future regulations. Ursula has no EU mandate to negotiate with PM Johnson. If Johnson wants to conclude a deal, Britain will probably have to concede least 90% from where they stand now on the issue and afterwards Johnson do what he always does  lie/spoof and claim credit for the best patriotic deal for Great Britain.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 09, 2020, 01:28:45 PM
Fishing is a bit of a false flag, LPL and Governance are where it's at.

Oddschecker has a deal at 8/15 and no deal at 11/8. I'd be taking the 11/8 atm.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 09, 2020, 03:02:40 PM
More duplicity;

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/brexiteer-billionaire-jim-ratcliffe-moves-his-land-rover-production-to-eu-nj3fkckkk

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on December 09, 2020, 03:49:37 PM
Quote from: mouview on December 09, 2020, 03:02:40 PM
More duplicity;

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/brexiteer-billionaire-jim-ratcliffe-moves-his-land-rover-production-to-eu-nj3fkckkk

It's not land rover as the title suggests? Land Rover is Indian owned.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 09, 2020, 03:57:46 PM
6 Cos folk can eat junk for another 3 months

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2020/1209/1183335-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 04:51:31 PM
While overall it is very worrying I am enjoying Unionists and Loyalists collectively losing their minds in the knowledge the UK have completely shafted them.

I mean they're giving them absolutely nothing from this they've nothing to hang their hat on at all it's all slipping away!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 09, 2020, 09:02:21 PM
The news letter's  deputy editor  Basil Bigot  was on rte1 this morning, the poor man was a blabbering wreck.
He was muttering  with a supressed air of disbelief, that the news  of 4 border posts being constructed between NI and Britain were for "sanitary and phytosanitary checks".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on December 09, 2020, 09:50:16 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 09, 2020, 09:02:21 PM
The news letter's  deputy editor  Basil Bigot  was on rte1 this morning, the poor man was a blabbering wreck.
He was muttering  with a supressed air of disbelief, that the news  of 4 border posts being constructed between NI and Britain were for "sanitary and phytosanitary checks".


Ben Lowry? Absolute disgrace that RTE give that sectarian bigot any air time!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 09, 2020, 10:01:31 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 09, 2020, 09:50:16 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 09, 2020, 09:02:21 PM
The news letter's  deputy editor  Basil Bigot  was on rte1 this morning, the poor man was a blabbering wreck.
He was muttering  with a supressed air of disbelief, that the news  of 4 border posts being constructed between NI and Britain were for "sanitary and phytosanitary checks".


Ben Lowry? Absolute disgrace that RTE give that sectarian bigot any air time!!

At the same time it's nice for the sheltered in the 26 to hear from the cretins we've to live with every once in a while.
Did he mention that there's too many taigs going to universities these days?

When are they getting Jamie on?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 10:25:42 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 09, 2020, 10:01:31 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 09, 2020, 09:50:16 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 09, 2020, 09:02:21 PM
The news letter's  deputy editor  Basil Bigot  was on rte1 this morning, the poor man was a blabbering wreck.
He was muttering  with a supressed air of disbelief, that the news  of 4 border posts being constructed between NI and Britain were for "sanitary and phytosanitary checks".


Ben Lowry? Absolute disgrace that RTE give that sectarian bigot any air time!!

At the same time it's nice for the sheltered in the 26 to hear from the cretins we've to live with every once in a while.
Did he mention that there's too many taigs going to universities these days?

When are they getting Jamie on?

I hope nobody was wearing an O'Neills hoodie near him the poor lad would have been in fear for his life!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 09, 2020, 11:02:38 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 09, 2020, 10:01:31 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on December 09, 2020, 09:50:16 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 09, 2020, 09:02:21 PM
The news letter's  deputy editor  Basil Bigot  was on rte1 this morning, the poor man was a blabbering wreck.
He was muttering  with a supressed air of disbelief, that the news  of 4 border posts being constructed between NI and Britain were for "sanitary and phytosanitary checks".


Ben Lowry? Absolute disgrace that RTE give that sectarian bigot any air time!!

At the same time it's nice for the sheltered in the 26 to hear from the cretins we've to live with every once in a while.
Did he mention that there's too many taigs going to universities these days?

When are they getting Jamie on?
If you want to put all hopes of a UI on the back burner for a 100 years  then get Jamie on RTE  to voice  the concerns of the displaced downtrodden loyalist prolateriat.
Are there not any happy jolly Unionists, emotionally mature and at peace with themselves?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 09, 2020, 11:05:42 PM
No dramatic breakthrough at the Bozo/Ursula dinner.
Michel B and Frost to continue to talk till Sunday.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 09, 2020, 11:28:05 PM
It's fucked, no deal 5/9 now on Oddschecker
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 11:35:34 PM
Looking at it seriously this evening there has to be a deal.

The fishing thing is small fry and the UK don't have enough boats to fish all their waters and also don't have the market to sell their catches given the tariffs that will be imposed.

The EU want to impose tariffs if the UK diverge from them in law or standards around certain business areas in the future.

If the UK don't sign up to this then the tariffs will be imposed from now so what are they playing at??

Am I missing something? Is he just making it look like he negotiated hard to keep the nutters happy??

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 10, 2020, 07:43:46 AM
The Brits can't be trusted to follow procedures/protocols re a trade agreement that gives them free  access to the EU market.They take offence that the EU know that they're shifty feckers and take exception to the protection measures that the EU have in place to make sure that the Brits follow the terms of the treaty. The National Tory party are waving the sovereignity flag.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on December 10, 2020, 08:48:03 AM
If there's no trade deal, does the Internal Market Bill activate? Or have the Brits totally backed down on that?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 10, 2020, 09:04:28 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on December 10, 2020, 08:48:03 AM
If there's no trade deal, does the Internal Market Bill activate? Or have the Brits totally backed down on that?
The withdrawal agreement still stands IIRC and with Uncle Joe getting comfy in the White House they might not want to piss off him by doing anything silly in Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on December 10, 2020, 09:23:44 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on December 10, 2020, 08:48:03 AM
If there's no trade deal, does the Internal Market Bill activate? Or have the Brits totally backed down on that?

They have the IMB was separate from the actual trade talks between Barnier and Frost and was about the NI Protocol which Gove has worked out with the EU in a joint committee so they've removed the offending bits of the IMB and the Tax Bill.

We still don't know the detail of what the Joint Committee has agreed for the North and probably won't until Monday.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 10, 2020, 10:08:11 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 10, 2020, 07:43:46 AM
The Brits can't be trusted to follow procedures/protocols re a trade agreement that gives them free  access to the EU market.They take offence that the EU know that they're shifty feckers .

Indeed. The EU know they're dealing with cnuts who've spent 800 years breaking treaties and welshing on their agreed deals.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 10, 2020, 12:50:07 PM

   https://www.ft.com/content/c112b53b-9dc7-462d-b50a-523ce1d42b23

   Brussels unveils emergency plans to prevent chaos in case of no deal Brexit
Temporary measures cover airlines, hauliers and fishing rights if trade talks fail

The air transport proposal would allow UK carriers to continue existing passenger and cargo services between the UK and EU for six months, but has to be reciprocated by the UK to be effective e
Jim Brunsden in Brussels AN HOUR AGO

Brussels has published emergency plans to keep planes flying, trucks moving and prevent other chaos in the event that trade talks with Britain fail, as it warned of "significant uncertainty" around the fate of the Brexit negotiations. 

The European Commission adopted the proposals on Thursday, temporarily ensuring that airlines could continue to fly their normal routes between the EU and UK and that hauliers could continue to cross the English Channel after Britain leaves the single market on January 1.

Brussels is also proposing that the EU and UK could ensure fishermen have a grace period to continue being able to access each other's waters. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on December 10, 2020, 01:51:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 10, 2020, 12:50:07 PM

   https://www.ft.com/content/c112b53b-9dc7-462d-b50a-523ce1d42b23

   Brussels unveils emergency plans to prevent chaos in case of no deal Brexit
Temporary measures cover airlines, hauliers and fishing rights if trade talks fail

The air transport proposal would allow UK carriers to continue existing passenger and cargo services between the UK and EU for six months, but has to be reciprocated by the UK to be effective e
Jim Brunsden in Brussels AN HOUR AGO

Brussels has published emergency plans to keep planes flying, trucks moving and prevent other chaos in the event that trade talks with Britain fail, as it warned of "significant uncertainty" around the fate of the Brexit negotiations.

The European Commission adopted the proposals on Thursday, temporarily ensuring that airlines could continue to fly their normal routes between the EU and UK and that hauliers could continue to cross the English Channel after Britain leaves the single market on January 1.

Brussels is also proposing that the EU and UK could ensure fishermen have a grace period to continue being able to access each other's waters.

So an extension basically ? But don't call it that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 10, 2020, 02:02:52 PM
Quote from: maddog on December 10, 2020, 01:51:29 PM
So an extension basically ? But don't call it that.

I think we are into extension territory at this stage, carefully avoiding calling it that. The NI protocol deal is largely an extension for 6 months.
It is ridiculous that they didn't extend when the Covid became the dominant issue.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 10, 2020, 06:28:41 PM
Brits wont be poisoning ye 6 Co folks

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2020/1210/1183685-uk-eu-declarations/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 11, 2020, 05:40:18 PM
From a real honest to God UK KP. Imran A Khan.

I stand with millions of Britons that are deeply insulted at the shocking news that the German Chancellor has refused the British Prime Minister's request for a telephone call. This is an insult to every Briton, whether they support our PM or not.

2
The EU's contemptuous treatment of the UK makes it clear there cannot be a deal until it accepts the UK as a sovereign equal and awards us the respect and regard we merit.

3
Have our EU "friends" no regard or respect for the UK and our nations' sacrifices that permit them to live in freedom and prosperity today, safely away from the shadow of totalitarianism?

Dog whistling horseshite. I'm getting angrier as this car crash hurtles of the cliff.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 11, 2020, 08:30:36 PM
The Brexiteers don't understand the concept of sovereignty

They're engaging in Empire cosplay

In the Brexiteer idea of sovereignty, only Britain can be sovereign

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on December 12, 2020, 09:07:01 AM
I'd say 6 months or so of no deal mayhem will soon bring them back to the negotiating table and they'll be a lot easier talked to then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 12, 2020, 11:12:05 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 12, 2020, 09:07:01 AM
I'd say 6 months or so of no deal mayhem will soon bring them back to the negotiating table and they'll be a lot easier talked to then.
Do not bank on that

Nationalism is a very dangerous force and causes people to totally lose their senses

Only the tribe matters, reason becomes the enemy

Applies in Ireland just as much as in Britain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 12, 2020, 02:36:11 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 12, 2020, 11:12:05 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 12, 2020, 09:07:01 AM
I'd say 6 months or so of no deal mayhem will soon bring them back to the negotiating table and they'll be a lot easier talked to then.
Do not bank on that

Nationalism is a very dangerous force and causes people to totally lose their senses

Only the tribe matters, reason becomes the enemy

Applies in Ireland just as much as in Britain

Nobody voted for No Deal
The UK will be very unstable going forward
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 12, 2020, 03:06:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 12, 2020, 02:36:11 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 12, 2020, 11:12:05 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 12, 2020, 09:07:01 AM
I'd say 6 months or so of no deal mayhem will soon bring them back to the negotiating table and they'll be a lot easier talked to then.
Do not bank on that

Nationalism is a very dangerous force and causes people to totally lose their senses

Only the tribe matters, reason becomes the enemy

Applies in Ireland just as much as in Britain

Nobody voted for No Deal
The UK will be very unstable going forward
They didn't but over the last few years plenty of people have allowed themselves to be fooled that they did

If no deal happens, there will be two strands to the reaction of such people

i) will be to "always look on the bright side of life" - "oh, it's not that bad, is it? We were told it was going to be a disaster" - "the arrogant prognostications and doom mongering of the liberal elite have yet again proved out of touch" (Brexiteers don't get the irony that ludicrous doom mongering and scaremongering was an essential part of the Brexit project)

ii) will be imagined victimhood - "everything is the EU's fault" - immigrants and people of colour will be conveniently lumped in with the EU as being to blame - victimhood is an essential part of nationalism

These beliefs will be held simultaneously even though they are contradictory

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on December 12, 2020, 03:43:56 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 12, 2020, 09:07:01 AM
I'd say 6 months or so of no deal mayhem will soon bring them back to the negotiating table and they'll be a lot easier talked to then.

Was thinking the same earlier.  The mood may change in a few months time once the reality of the situation kicks in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 12, 2020, 03:58:40 PM
The most appropriate quote of Brexit belongs to Slugger ,(maybe he nicked it?), 'You can never be free from imaginary oppression'. Love that quote, applicable to many situations but so appropriate for the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 12, 2020, 06:13:55 PM
Quote from: Armamike on December 12, 2020, 03:43:56 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 12, 2020, 09:07:01 AM
I'd say 6 months or so of no deal mayhem will soon bring them back to the negotiating table and they'll be a lot easier talked to then.

Was thinking the same earlier.  The mood may change in a few months time once the reality of the situation kicks in.

Royal Navy gunboats stopping French trawlers fishing in Blighty's waters. French customs officials dotting every i and crossing every t with British lorries, leading to 20 mile tailbacks in Dover and Calais. Plus zero attempts to stop refugees crossing the English Channel in dinghies. Wonder who will blink first. I know who my money is on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 12, 2020, 08:34:58 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 12, 2020, 06:13:55 PM
Quote from: Armamike on December 12, 2020, 03:43:56 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 12, 2020, 09:07:01 AM
I'd say 6 months or so of no deal mayhem will soon bring them back to the negotiating table and they'll be a lot easier talked to then.

Was thinking the same earlier.  The mood may change in a few months time once the reality of the situation kicks in.

Royal Navy gunboats stopping French trawlers fishing in Blighty's waters. French customs officials dotting every i and crossing every t with British lorries, leading to 20 mile tailbacks in Dover and Calais. Plus zero attempts to stop refugees crossing the English Channel in dinghies. Wonder who will blink first. I know who my money is on.


https://www.ft.com/content/e8858b30-0260-46ff-b3b8-d8b9ca540d11

Dublin YESTERDAY 1921 Brussels has warned EU governments not to break ranks or entertain the idea of side deals with Britain should trade talks fail, urging a firm line in order to force the UK back to the negotiation table "as soon as possible" after January 1. According to a diplomatic note seen by the Financial Times, EU member states were warned by Brussels not to do anything that would ease the consequences of a no-deal end to the Brexit transition period on January 1.  One EU official familiar with the discussion said Brussels was under "no illusion" that a no-deal Brexit would be highly unpredictable. "Everyone understands there are no guarantees the British come back to the table." A second senior EU diplomat said hopes were fading for a deal. "A deal would, of course, be preferable, but it is beginning to look like the question is not whether we can stop the Brexit ship hitting the rocks, but how it can be refloated."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 13, 2020, 11:57:00 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2020/1213/1184122-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2020, 02:19:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 11:35:34 PM
Looking at it seriously this evening there has to be a deal.

The fishing thing is small fry and the UK don't have enough boats to fish all their waters and also don't have the market to sell their catches given the tariffs that will be imposed.

Fishing's a red herring.

The real problem lies in who arbitrates any disputes and whether the European Courts take precedence above the UK supreme court.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 13, 2020, 02:34:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 09, 2020, 01:28:45 PM
Fishing is a bit of a false flag, LPL and Governance are where it's at.

Oddschecker has a deal at 8/15 and no deal at 11/8. I'd be taking the 11/8 atm.
Yes to a deal (in 2020) back to 4/6 and no deal 11/10
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 14, 2020, 04:17:44 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2020, 02:19:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 11:35:34 PM
Looking at it seriously this evening there has to be a deal.

The fishing thing is small fry and the UK don't have enough boats to fish all their waters and also don't have the market to sell their catches given the tariffs that will be imposed.

Fishing's a red herring.

The real problem lies in who arbitrates any disputes and whether the European Courts take precedence above the UK supreme court.

Read an interesting article on the fishing thing over the weekend. Trying to find the link but in the meantime the gist of the article is that when subsidies were first introduced by the EU to stop the idiots from fishing to extinction the quota's were brought in along with a raft of other criteria like changes to the nets and so forth that would have meant these fishing boats needing to invest to keep up. Various EU countries helped out with financial grants to help upgrade the boats, but not the UK meaning a lot of the small UK boats and companies ended up selling their quotas to the French fishing industry for not unsubstantial amounts and this is a bone of contention for the French fishing industry.
All's never as simple as it seems.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 14, 2020, 10:06:54 PM
Oh, didn't know that - very interesting indeed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on December 14, 2020, 11:48:16 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 14, 2020, 04:17:44 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2020, 02:19:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 11:35:34 PM
Looking at it seriously this evening there has to be a deal.

The fishing thing is small fry and the UK don't have enough boats to fish all their waters and also don't have the market to sell their catches given the tariffs that will be imposed.

Fishing's a red herring.

The real problem lies in who arbitrates any disputes and whether the European Courts take precedence above the UK supreme court.

Read an interesting article on the fishing thing over the weekend. Trying to find the link but in the meantime the gist of the article is that when subsidies were first introduced by the EU to stop the idiots from fishing to extinction the quota's were brought in along with a raft of other criteria like changes to the nets and so forth that would have meant these fishing boats needing to invest to keep up. Various EU countries helped out with financial grants to help upgrade the boats, but not the UK meaning a lot of the small UK boats and companies ended up selling their quotas to the French fishing industry for not unsubstantial amounts and this is a bone of contention for the French fishing industry.
All's never as simple as it seems.
Thon? > https://www.bbc.com/news/46401558 (https://www.bbc.com/news/46401558)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 03:02:34 PM
Diane Dodds has said today her dept is facing a significant shortfall in budget due to the loss of 70 million from EU funding.

These are the people that govern us and couldn't see this shit coming. Absolute morons.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 16, 2020, 05:35:05 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 03:02:34 PM
Diane Dodds has said today her dept is facing a significant shortfall in budget due to the loss of 70 million from EU funding.

These are the people that govern us and couldn't see this shit coming. Absolute morons.

Considering she was an MEP, she of anyone should have seen this coming. But among the ranks of thick as pigshit DUP members, where the competition is truly fierce, Diane stands head and shoulders above the pack.  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 16, 2020, 05:42:13 PM
Did those fkn eejits think they could leave the EU but the money would keep coming?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 16, 2020, 07:08:58 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 16, 2020, 05:42:13 PM
Did those fkn eejits think they could leave the EU but the money would keep coming?

London promised to keep up the money. But as Cornwall etc found out, London's promise is not worth a damn.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 16, 2020, 07:40:44 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 16, 2020, 07:08:58 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 16, 2020, 05:42:13 PM
Did those fkn eejits think they could leave the EU but the money would keep coming?

London promised to keep up the money.

:D ;D😂😆😃😄
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 07:53:29 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 16, 2020, 05:35:05 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 03:02:34 PM
Diane Dodds has said today her dept is facing a significant shortfall in budget due to the loss of 70 million from EU funding.

These are the people that govern us and couldn't see this shit coming. Absolute morons.

Considering she was an MEP, she of anyone should have seen this coming. But among the ranks of thick as pigshit DUP members, where the competition is truly fierce, Diane stands head and shoulders above the pack.  ;D

She does appear "special". You know they are idiots but sometimes they still surprise you.

Yes they would have expected the money to keep rolling. You couldn't make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 16, 2020, 08:20:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 07:53:29 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 16, 2020, 05:35:05 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 03:02:34 PM
Diane Dodds has said today her dept is facing a significant shortfall in budget due to the loss of 70 million from EU funding.

These are the people that govern us and couldn't see this shit coming. Absolute morons.

Considering she was an MEP, she of anyone should have seen this coming. But among the ranks of thick as pigshit DUP members, where the competition is truly fierce, Diane stands head and shoulders above the pack.  ;D

She does appear "special". You know they are idiots but sometimes they still surprise you.

Yes they would have expected the money to keep rolling. You couldn't make it up.

I'm sure if you put a lot of these unionists into an IQ then they'd do as well as any of us, Dodd's husband has a First Class law degree from Cambridge, which is more than most people on Gaaboard. However, unionism is neither rational nor moral and I think that unionists consequently have an ability to turn of their thinking equipment when dealing with politics. The NI economy was always going to lose out because of Brexit, but the idea that London would sustain missing EU expenditure in the long run required a suspension of rationality. The unionists made the point that EU money was only UK money coming back around, but it was money collected in SE England and being spent in NI and that will not happen to same extent from here on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 09:22:05 PM
If I didn't score higher in that test than sammy Wilson I'd be very disappointed  ;D

The sectarian rhetoric is generally orchestrated and playing to their voter base but on some of this I don't think they have shown great wit. No doubt Arlene , Dodds, Donaldson are far from stupid. (Pots too who is more streetwise than intelligent I would say).Paisley is a car salesman who lives on his dad's reputation. Diane Dodds is probably not that sharp either but agreed plenty are far from stupid.

I do think they were a)feathering their nests pushing for brexit b) looking for a hard border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on December 16, 2020, 09:45:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 09:22:05 PM
If I didn't score higher in that test than sammy Wilson I'd be very disappointed  ;D

The sectarian rhetoric is generally orchestrated and playing to their voter base but on some of this I don't think they have shown great wit. No doubt Arlene , Dodds, Donaldson are far from stupid. (Pots too who is more streetwise than intelligent I would say).Paisley is a car salesman who lives on his dad's reputation. Diane Dodds is probably not that sharp either but agreed plenty are far from stupid.

I do think they were a)feathering their nests pushing for brexit b) looking for a hard border.
They aren't that stupid.  Like Boris himself, in all likelihood they voted for Brexit not fully expecting 'Leave' to win.  Rather, it was a kind of "let's show how British we are" type vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 09:52:08 PM
Sometimes things get clouded by bitterness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 16, 2020, 11:54:06 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 09:22:05 PM
If I didn't score higher in that test than sammy Wilson I'd be very disappointed  ;D

Wilson went to Methody and was an economics examiner  on the NI A level board. While he might not seem the brightest bulb on the Xmas tree he can discuss customs unions and comparative advantage perfectly well, which his voters cannot. He was well able to see the implications of Brexit, but chose not to.

Quote from: michaelg on December 16, 2020, 09:45:38 PM
They aren't that stupid.  Like Boris himself, in all likelihood they voted for Brexit not fully expecting 'Leave' to win.  Rather, it was a kind of "let's show how British we are" type vote.

Perhaps they thought they would not win. But Brexit was always going to damage the UK by showing NI and Scotland as notably different from England and for a party that wanted the union even holding a Brexit referendum was a bad plan. It doesn't surprise me that some DUP people would think like this but they seemed to have no debate whatsoever, unless you count Simon Hamilton.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 17, 2020, 07:19:44 AM
Wilson is a balloon. Being smarter than his voters is not necessarily a badge of honour. His ticket is i'm not Sinn Fein.

Quite a lot of the rest are far from stupid. He is functional enough to do what he needs to but that's about it.

Admittedly he is probably smarter than we see and his blind bigotry is probably what makes him appear more stupid than he is but for an elected representative I would hope for a lot more brains.

Simon Hamilton's influence may have been interesting but , allegedly, he was a naughty boy so disappeared.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 17, 2020, 10:06:39 AM
Quote from: michaelg on December 16, 2020, 09:45:38 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 09:22:05 PM
If I didn't score higher in that test than sammy Wilson I'd be very disappointed  ;D

The sectarian rhetoric is generally orchestrated and playing to their voter base but on some of this I don't think they have shown great wit. No doubt Arlene , Dodds, Donaldson are far from stupid. (Pots too who is more streetwise than intelligent I would say).Paisley is a car salesman who lives on his dad's reputation. Diane Dodds is probably not that sharp either but agreed plenty are far from stupid.

I do think they were a)feathering their nests pushing for brexit b) looking for a hard border.
They aren't that stupid.  Like Boris himself, in all likelihood they voted for Brexit not fully expecting 'Leave' to win.  Rather, it was a kind of "let's show how British we are" type vote.

I could believe that if they didn't subsequently double down on their obvious mistake.

They used the accident of mathematics which gave them a casting vote in parliament to scupper any chances of the six counties being afforded special status.

Bigotry > Brains in the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on December 17, 2020, 10:15:49 AM
They helped hand hard Brexit to the hard brexiteers and inevitably helped created a unified economic Ireland in Europe. To me they have achieved a quare bit. However they added future poverty to their voters. Almost time for the southern govn to make the economic case for a unified Ireland to unionists Britain, rest of Ireland and Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 17, 2020, 12:12:17 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 16, 2020, 08:20:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 07:53:29 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 16, 2020, 05:35:05 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 03:02:34 PM
Diane Dodds has said today her dept is facing a significant shortfall in budget due to the loss of 70 million from EU funding.

These are the people that govern us and couldn't see this shit coming. Absolute morons.

Considering she was an MEP, she of anyone should have seen this coming. But among the ranks of thick as pigshit DUP members, where the competition is truly fierce, Diane stands head and shoulders above the pack.  ;D

She does appear "special". You know they are idiots but sometimes they still surprise you.

Yes they would have expected the money to keep rolling. You couldn't make it up.

I'm sure if you put a lot of these unionists into an IQ then they'd do as well as any of us, Dodd's husband has a First Class law degree from Cambridge, which is more than most people on Gaaboard. However, unionism is neither rational nor moral and I think that unionists consequently have an ability to turn of their thinking equipment when dealing with politics. The NI economy was always going to lose out because of Brexit, but the idea that London would sustain missing EU expenditure in the long run required a suspension of rationality. The unionists made the point that EU money was only UK money coming back around, but it was money collected in SE England and being spent in NI and that will not happen to same extent from here on.

DUP style Unionism is British nationalism

Parties which define themselves by nationalism class the imagined "glory" of the nation above all else and bread and butter issues are an inconvenience to them

Nationalism is the opposite of rationalism

Nationalism is a mental illness



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 17, 2020, 12:47:37 PM
Norn Ireland would do well to look after itself instead of relying on public purse strings, it is a basket case full of incompetent public officials who care jot about anything but taking the piss and getting their big pensions, no wonder no one wants this place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 17, 2020, 02:44:53 PM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 17, 2020, 12:12:17 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 16, 2020, 08:20:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 07:53:29 PM
Quote from: red hander on December 16, 2020, 05:35:05 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 16, 2020, 03:02:34 PM
Diane Dodds has said today her dept is facing a significant shortfall in budget due to the loss of 70 million from EU funding.

These are the people that govern us and couldn't see this shit coming. Absolute morons.

Considering she was an MEP, she of anyone should have seen this coming. But among the ranks of thick as pigshit DUP members, where the competition is truly fierce, Diane stands head and shoulders above the pack.  ;D

She does appear "special". You know they are idiots but sometimes they still surprise you.

Yes they would have expected the money to keep rolling. You couldn't make it up.

I'm sure if you put a lot of these unionists into an IQ then they'd do as well as any of us, Dodd's husband has a First Class law degree from Cambridge, which is more than most people on Gaaboard. However, unionism is neither rational nor moral and I think that unionists consequently have an ability to turn of their thinking equipment when dealing with politics. The NI economy was always going to lose out because of Brexit, but the idea that London would sustain missing EU expenditure in the long run required a suspension of rationality. The unionists made the point that EU money was only UK money coming back around, but it was money collected in SE England and being spent in NI and that will not happen to same extent from here on.

DUP style Unionism is British nationalism

Parties which define themselves by nationalism class the imagined "glory" of the nation above all else and bread and butter issues are an inconvenience to them

Nationalism is the opposite of rationalism

Nationalism is a mental illness
All the regions were ignored under Thatcherism.
NI has been pauperised for the last 40 years.
Unionism only makes sense if NI is looked after.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on December 21, 2020, 04:26:29 PM
So the ideologues in Westminster have refused to ask for an extension to the post-leave trading arrangements.

Thereby almost guaranteeing a period of no-deal arrangements (or Australia-style as they like to say) after January 1st.

I would hate to be someone trying to make an intelligent case for the continuation of 'The Union' right now.

Maybe some of our unionist commentators on here could outline some reasons for remaining tied to this bunch of utter fcukwits.

I'd genuinely like to hear them

As objectively, I can see no positive reason for it right now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 21, 2020, 05:03:33 PM
Quote from: Franko on December 21, 2020, 04:26:29 PM
So the ideologues in Westminster have refused to ask for an extension to the post-leave trading arrangements.

Thereby almost guaranteeing a period of no-deal arrangements (or Australia-style as they like to say) after January 1st.

I would hate to be someone trying to make an intelligent case for the continuation of 'The Union' right now.

Maybe some of our unionist commentators on here could outline some reasons for remaining tied to this bunch of utter fcukwits.

I'd genuinely like to hear them

As objectively, I can see no positive reason for it right now.

But we don't have to pay €50 to see a doctor (c) Jim Allister.

Edit, Southern ambulances helping out over the weekend in Belfast must have had his blood boiling.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 21, 2020, 06:34:20 PM
A taste of early brexit for the exiteers.

(https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/live-experience/cps/624/cpsprodpb/vivo/live/images/2020/12/21/640dd14a-6e59-434f-8bfc-68b9cf8f5fa7.jpg)

(https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/live-experience/cps/624/cpsprodpb/vivo/live/images/2020/12/21/68700085-8708-4f47-b44a-8d7762fba144.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 22, 2020, 09:17:01 AM
Quote from: Main Street on December 21, 2020, 06:34:20 PM
A taste of early brexit for the exiteers.

(https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/live-experience/cps/624/cpsprodpb/vivo/live/images/2020/12/21/640dd14a-6e59-434f-8bfc-68b9cf8f5fa7.jpg)

(https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/live-experience/cps/624/cpsprodpb/vivo/live/images/2020/12/21/68700085-8708-4f47-b44a-8d7762fba144.jpg)

Macron showing the Brits that the French do indeed have sovereignty over their borders.

Only 150 trucks queued into Dover according to Boris, jesus that man wouldn't know the truth if it smacked him right in the bake.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 22, 2020, 10:08:59 AM
See reports in the Guardian of inching closer to a deal on fishing. I'd say the last couple of days has concentrated Little England minds a lot.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 22, 2020, 04:51:28 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on December 14, 2020, 11:48:16 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 14, 2020, 04:17:44 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on December 13, 2020, 02:19:51 PM
Quote from: screenexile on December 09, 2020, 11:35:34 PM
Looking at it seriously this evening there has to be a deal.

The fishing thing is small fry and the UK don't have enough boats to fish all their waters and also don't have the market to sell their catches given the tariffs that will be imposed.

Fishing's a red herring.

The real problem lies in who arbitrates any disputes and whether the European Courts take precedence above the UK supreme court.

Read an interesting article on the fishing thing over the weekend. Trying to find the link but in the meantime the gist of the article is that when subsidies were first introduced by the EU to stop the idiots from fishing to extinction the quota's were brought in along with a raft of other criteria like changes to the nets and so forth that would have meant these fishing boats needing to invest to keep up. Various EU countries helped out with financial grants to help upgrade the boats, but not the UK meaning a lot of the small UK boats and companies ended up selling their quotas to the French fishing industry for not unsubstantial amounts and this is a bone of contention for the French fishing industry.
All's never as simple as it seems.
Thon? > https://www.bbc.com/news/46401558 (https://www.bbc.com/news/46401558)

Found it;

https://unearthed.greenpeace.org/2018/10/11/fishing-quota-uk-defra-michael-gove/?fbclid=IwAR0at6aCQvrTni48MVwda7zorK3YlP_oa4M2M3h1Yd0YwH-OEBz4yV1odvM (https://unearthed.greenpeace.org/2018/10/11/fishing-quota-uk-defra-michael-gove/?fbclid=IwAR0at6aCQvrTni48MVwda7zorK3YlP_oa4M2M3h1Yd0YwH-OEBz4yV1odvM)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on December 22, 2020, 05:59:29 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 22, 2020, 10:08:59 AM
See reports in the Guardian of inching closer to a deal on fishing. I'd say the last couple of days has concentrated Little England minds a lot.

Yes, it might push things over the line alright.

The latest developments over the past few days could put things into a sharper focus.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 22, 2020, 09:27:58 PM
Deutsche Welle  pulls no punches  when laying into Bullshit Johnson


Opinion: Boris Johnson's horrible year.  Rob Mudge (and his dictionary)

"As an adherent of classical Greek language and literature, he will no doubt be familiar with the term kakistocracy — a system of government that is run by the worst, least qualified, and/or most unscrupulous citizens. Personally, I prefer the way the 19th-century word snollygoster rolls off the tongue: an unprincipled individual who is driven entirely by political gain."

Rob seems to think that the EU would have granted a delay if asked.

"A circumspect prime minister faced with a mounting health emergency would have asked the EU for an extension to the Brexit transition period, which ends on December 31. No doubt Brussels would have granted his wish. Instead, his solipsistic and destructive attitude tears at the fabric of British society and threatens to plunge the country into a protracted crisis."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on December 23, 2020, 05:07:45 PM
Word is that a free trade deal with EU has been agreed though nothing formally confirmed yet and no cabinet convened yet
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on December 23, 2020, 10:46:39 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 23, 2020, 05:07:45 PM
Word is that a free trade deal with EU has been agreed though nothing formally confirmed yet and no cabinet convened yet

I'd say those 120 lorries Johnson was talking about the other day made them realise the ERG are not the bigger problem.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on December 24, 2020, 01:28:40 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 23, 2020, 05:07:45 PM
Word is that a free trade deal with EU has been agreed though nothing formally confirmed yet and no cabinet convened yet

No doubt the trawlermen will be the latest group to be shafted by Johnson after believing a load of bluster, just like the thick loyalist gobshites in the occupied six. Can't wait to see Francois, the blowhard's blowhard, and rest of ERG wankers going apeshit over his latest betrayal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 24, 2020, 10:11:50 AM
Quote from: red hander on December 24, 2020, 01:28:40 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 23, 2020, 05:07:45 PM
Word is that a free trade deal with EU has been agreed though nothing formally confirmed yet and no cabinet convened yet

No doubt the trawlermen will be the latest group to be shafted by Johnson after believing a load of bluster, just like the thick loyalist gobshites in the occupied six. Can't wait to see Francois, the blowhard's blowhard, and rest of ERG wankers going apeshit over his latest betrayal.

The trawlermen took the coin from the spanish and french for their quotas back in the day so their claim to sovereignty in their own waters is utter balls and needs called out for what it is.

51% of the Northern Ireland fishing quota is held by one boat but it's that big it can't dock in Kilkeel where it's registered to and docks in Killybegs.

Drove by the harbour in Portavogie a few weeks back on a Sunday afternoon and I'd say a good few of those boats aren't overly seaworthy and nowhere near the numbers in their hayday.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on December 24, 2020, 10:19:39 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 24, 2020, 10:11:50 AM
Quote from: red hander on December 24, 2020, 01:28:40 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 23, 2020, 05:07:45 PM
Word is that a free trade deal with EU has been agreed though nothing formally confirmed yet and no cabinet convened yet

No doubt the trawlermen will be the latest group to be shafted by Johnson after believing a load of bluster, just like the thick loyalist gobshites in the occupied six. Can't wait to see Francois, the blowhard's blowhard, and rest of ERG wankers going apeshit over his latest betrayal.

The trawlermen took the coin from the spanish and french for their quotas back in the day so their claim to sovereignty in their own waters is utter balls and needs called out for what it is.

51% of the Northern Ireland fishing quota is held by one boat but it's that big it can't dock in Kilkeel where it's registered to and docks in Killybegs.

Drove by the harbour in Portavogie a few weeks back on a Sunday afternoon and I'd say a good few of those boats aren't overly seaworthy and nowhere near the numbers in their hayday.

I would have worked at the portavogie fish market during the school holidays in the early to mid nineties, they would have had a fleet of close to 80 then I'd guess. I read somewhere recently that their fleet was approximately 20.

Definitely the strangest town/village i was ever in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on December 24, 2020, 11:09:42 AM
Quote from: ardtole on December 24, 2020, 10:19:39 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 24, 2020, 10:11:50 AM
Quote from: red hander on December 24, 2020, 01:28:40 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 23, 2020, 05:07:45 PM
Word is that a free trade deal with EU has been agreed though nothing formally confirmed yet and no cabinet convened yet

No doubt the trawlermen will be the latest group to be shafted by Johnson after believing a load of bluster, just like the thick loyalist gobshites in the occupied six. Can't wait to see Francois, the blowhard's blowhard, and rest of ERG wankers going apeshit over his latest betrayal.

The trawlermen took the coin from the spanish and french for their quotas back in the day so their claim to sovereignty in their own waters is utter balls and needs called out for what it is.

51% of the Northern Ireland fishing quota is held by one boat but it's that big it can't dock in Kilkeel where it's registered to and docks in Killybegs.

Drove by the harbour in Portavogie a few weeks back on a Sunday afternoon and I'd say a good few of those boats aren't overly seaworthy and nowhere near the numbers in their hayday.

I would have worked at the portavogie fish market during the school holidays in the early to mid nineties, they would have had a fleet of close to 80 then I'd guess. I read somewhere recently that their fleet was approximately 20.

Definitely the strangest town/village i was ever in.

Still is but they now let us Katlics into the place  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 24, 2020, 01:26:57 PM
2 good articles from 2018

https://www.google.com/amp/s/news.liverpool.ac.uk/2018/12/13/full-speech-sir-ivan-rogers-on-brexit/amp/



https://t.co/2FTrgiB5Op?amp=1


A very good pictorial depiction

https://www.brexitoptions.co.uk
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 24, 2020, 04:20:07 PM
Seems a "fair and balanced" agreement reached.
A "stunning victory" for Bozo no doubt.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 24, 2020, 05:16:53 PM
Labour pledge to support it through Parliament so cuts the likely ERG grandstanding off at the knees.

Who knows, maybe in 10 years we'll all be proved wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 24, 2020, 05:43:48 PM
The question is who got shafted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on December 24, 2020, 06:26:42 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 24, 2020, 05:43:48 PM
The question is who got shafted.

Looks like good deal for Brits,  no tariffs?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on December 24, 2020, 06:44:08 PM
Best news of the day;

https://mobile.twitter.com/nealerichmond/status/1342148650512900098

Well done to Peter Sheridan, Michel Barnier and Irish government/civil servants

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 24, 2020, 06:59:06 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on December 24, 2020, 06:26:42 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 24, 2020, 05:43:48 PM
The question is who got shafted.

Looks like good deal for Brits,  no tariffs?
That is the essence (and basics) of a FTA, but at 2,000 pages long there's obviously much more to it. It's not an improvement on EU membership rights, so highly unlikely the UK has gained too much.  Plus, no financial services included in the deal, being dealt with separately.
https://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUKKBN28Y1EK?__twitter_impression=true
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on December 24, 2020, 07:00:36 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 24, 2020, 06:59:06 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on December 24, 2020, 06:26:42 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 24, 2020, 05:43:48 PM
The question is who got shafted.

Looks like good deal for Brits,  no tariffs?
That is the essence (and basics) of a FTA, but at 2,000 pages long there's obviously much more to it. It's not an improvement on EU membership rights, so highly unlikely the UK has gained too much.  Plus, no financial services included in the deal, being dealt with separately.
https://uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUKKBN28Y1EK?__twitter_impression=true

I'm not well read on subject tbh.what did Brits lose out on?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 24, 2020, 07:36:58 PM
The deal itself isn't available yet for joe public so Christ knows the intricacies of it all, but the linked graphic tweet shows the basic stuff the UK have lost immediately https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/1342137128042561538?s=19

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 24, 2020, 07:43:07 PM
Roaming charges back on!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 24, 2020, 11:25:52 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on December 24, 2020, 05:43:48 PM
The question is who got shafted.

UK shafted .... the penny will drop in the New Year when they realise the impact of Brexit on their 'precious' union.  The little Englanders can wallow in their delusions of empire and sovereignty, whilst the rest of us can hopefully get on with living and progressing our futures.  The north has come out of it well from an EU perspective, and the structure of the deal will further confirm that there is only one direction of travel for the island of Ireland, and that is unification.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 24, 2020, 11:34:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 24, 2020, 07:43:07 PM
Roaming charges back on!
You have been shafted of your EU citizenry.
The country's now split between Brexit Irish and EU Irish, but hey, hands across the border.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 24, 2020, 11:42:51 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 24, 2020, 11:34:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 24, 2020, 07:43:07 PM
Roaming charges back on!
You have been shafted of your EU citizenry.
The country's now split between Brexit Irish and EU Irish, but hey, hands across the border.
All people born in NI have the right to EU citizenship

NI students will still be able to participate in the Erasmus programme whereas those in Britain won't be able to

The Irish government have played a blinder throughout this whole process

But what a waste of time and energy for them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 25, 2020, 12:29:23 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 24, 2020, 11:42:51 PM
NI students will still be able to participate in the Erasmus programme whereas those in Britain won't be able to

Will they? Eramus works through institutions, not citizenship. A British person attending TCD can go on Erasmus, an Irish person attending UU probably cannot, unless there is an arrangement as part of the NI deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 25, 2020, 12:52:25 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 25, 2020, 12:29:23 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 24, 2020, 11:42:51 PM
NI students will still be able to participate in the Erasmus programme whereas those in Britain won't be able to

Will they? Eramus works through institutions, not citizenship. A British person attending TCD can go on Erasmus, an Irish person attending UU probably cannot, unless there is an arrangement as part of the NI deal.
It seems if they go to NI colleges they'll be able to

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-55442685
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 25, 2020, 12:58:43 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 24, 2020, 11:42:51 PM
Quote from: Main Street on December 24, 2020, 11:34:12 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 24, 2020, 07:43:07 PM
Roaming charges back on!
You have been shafted of your EU citizenry.
The country's now split between Brexit Irish and EU Irish, but hey, hands across the border.
All people born in NI have the right to EU citizenship

NI students will still be able to participate in the Erasmus programme whereas those in Britain won't be able to

The Irish government have played a blinder throughout this whole process

But what a waste of time and energy for them
The Irish gov supposedly "playing a blinder"  has had absolutely no effect on the now diminished EU status of Irish citizens resident in NI.
To claim  that the irish gov has played a blinder is a con job. There is no special status for Irish Nationals living in the NI. If the Irish gov had said nothing argued nothing, the status would be the same
NI Irish nationals  will be treated just like any EU national living in a non EU country.  In other words, the EU (Irish) citizenry is passive until movement to an EU country where it becomes activated. For instance as long as one is resident in NI  there in no protection from the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights.
The current withdrawl agreement 'does not provide any particular guarantees of the practical continuation of EU citizenship rights for those (EU Nationals) resident or working in Northern Ireland', at present there is just a promise of sorts in the withdrawl agreement. 


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 25, 2020, 01:44:53 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 25, 2020, 12:52:25 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 25, 2020, 12:29:23 AM
Quote from: sid waddell on December 24, 2020, 11:42:51 PM
NI students will still be able to participate in the Erasmus programme whereas those in Britain won't be able to

Will they? Eramus works through institutions, not citizenship. A British person attending TCD can go on Erasmus, an Irish person attending UU probably cannot, unless there is an arrangement as part of the NI deal.
It seems if they go to NI colleges they'll be able to

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-55442685

I hadn't seen that. However, if it is the case the Irish government is funding this then it is another case of the British getting away without doing a proper job.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on December 25, 2020, 11:31:08 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 24, 2020, 11:09:42 AM
Quote from: ardtole on December 24, 2020, 10:19:39 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on December 24, 2020, 10:11:50 AM
Quote from: red hander on December 24, 2020, 01:28:40 AM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on December 23, 2020, 05:07:45 PM
Word is that a free trade deal with EU has been agreed though nothing formally confirmed yet and no cabinet convened yet

No doubt the trawlermen will be the latest group to be shafted by Johnson after believing a load of bluster, just like the thick loyalist gobshites in the occupied six. Can't wait to see Francois, the blowhard's blowhard, and rest of ERG wankers going apeshit over his latest betrayal.

The trawlermen took the coin from the spanish and french for their quotas back in the day so their claim to sovereignty in their own waters is utter balls and needs called out for what it is.

51% of the Northern Ireland fishing quota is held by one boat but it's that big it can't dock in Kilkeel where it's registered to and docks in Killybegs.

Drove by the harbour in Portavogie a few weeks back on a Sunday afternoon and I'd say a good few of those boats aren't overly seaworthy and nowhere near the numbers in their hayday.

I would have worked at the portavogie fish market during the school holidays in the early to mid nineties, they would have had a fleet of close to 80 then I'd guess. I read somewhere recently that their fleet was approximately 20.

Definitely the strangest town/village i was ever in.

Still is but they now let us Katlics into the place  ;D

Be a while before they have a hurling team all the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on December 26, 2020, 08:15:31 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/

Great news considering the south have went on various solo runs and haven't co-operated with the northern parties in Belfast.

Anything to bring foward the All -Ireland agenda is good.

Pity Fianna Gael wouldn't be a bit more proactive in pushing for it.  Never seems to be the 'right time' for them unfortunately.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 08:18:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/
As a proud UK Citizen I wonder is it still being paid for out of the bailout loan the UK loaned u?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on December 26, 2020, 08:28:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 08:18:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/
As a proud UK Citizen I wonder is it still being paid for out of the bailout loan the UK loaned u?


The loan that Irish Taxpayers are paying back to repay the UK owned banks gambling debts incurred here?

The loan that incurred the second highest rate of interest of all banking bailout repayments ?

It's a bit of a sneer from Unionists such as yourself all right which is kinda ironic

Given that

A.We should have let them uk owned subsidiaries burn here and then the Uk taxpayers would have to take up the tab

And

B.NI taxpayers can't fund their own statelet nevermind their greater union as there are recipients of god knows how many billions each year.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mike Tyson on December 26, 2020, 08:39:05 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 26, 2020, 08:28:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 08:18:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/
As a proud UK Citizen I wonder is it still being paid for out of the bailout loan the UK loaned u?


The loan that Irish Taxpayers are paying back to repay the UK owned banks gambling debts incurred here?

The loan that incurred the second highest rate of interest of all banking bailout repayments ?

It's a bit of a sneer from Unionists such as yourself all right which is kinda ironic

Given that

A.We should have let them uk owned subsidiaries burn here and then the Uk taxpayers would have to take up the tab

And

B.NI taxpayers can't fund their own statelet nevermind their greater union as there are recipients of god knows how many billions each year.

What UK owned banks received an Irish State bailout?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 08:53:54 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 26, 2020, 08:15:31 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/



Pity Fianna Gael wouldn't be a bit more proactive in pushing for it.  Never seems to be the 'right time' for them unfortunately.

Word for word from the Shinberbot manual
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 08:55:47 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 08:18:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/
As a proud UK Citizen I wonder is it still being paid for out of the bailout loan the UK loaned u?
Loans are for paying back with 8% fkn interest in that case.
Now about the reparations for 851 years of.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 08:59:14 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 26, 2020, 08:28:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 08:18:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/
As a proud UK Citizen I wonder is it still being paid for out of the bailout loan the UK loaned u?


The loan that Irish Taxpayers are paying back to repay the UK owned banks gambling debts incurred here?

The loan that incurred the second highest rate of interest of all banking bailout repayments ?

It's a bit of a sneer from Unionists such as yourself all right which is kinda ironic

Given that

A.We should have let them uk owned subsidiaries burn here and then the Uk taxpayers would have to take up the tab

And

B.NI taxpayers can't fund their own statelet nevermind their greater union as there are recipients of god knows how many billions each year.
Have you paid back the TROIKA yet as well come to think of it. Free state, blueshirt gobshites. Letting Apple & Bill Gates rape & pillage as well. NI will rise again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 09:00:57 PM
Change yer tablets quick.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on December 26, 2020, 09:25:41 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 08:59:14 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on December 26, 2020, 08:28:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 08:18:42 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/
As a proud UK Citizen I wonder is it still being paid for out of the bailout loan the UK loaned u?


The loan that Irish Taxpayers are paying back to repay the UK owned banks gambling debts incurred here?

The loan that incurred the second highest rate of interest of all banking bailout repayments ?

It's a bit of a sneer from Unionists such as yourself all right which is kinda ironic

Given that

A.We should have let them uk owned subsidiaries burn here and then the Uk taxpayers would have to take up the tab

And

B.NI taxpayers can't fund their own statelet nevermind their greater union as there are recipients of god knows how many billions each year.
Have you paid back the TROIKA yet as well come to think of it. Free state, blueshirt gobshites. Letting Apple & Bill Gates rape & pillage as well. NI will rise again

NI never had anything to rise from in the first place

Away and paint a kerb
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 26, 2020, 09:40:43 PM
There's only one Roman collar I'll tolerate
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on December 26, 2020, 09:43:19 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 08:53:54 PM
Quote from: marty34 on December 26, 2020, 08:15:31 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 26, 2020, 07:44:38 PM
26 Co taxpayers picking up the tab for Nordies again despite all the insults we're so regularly subjected to :

https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2020/1226/1186524-erasmus-northern-ireland/



Pity Fianna Gael wouldn't be a bit more proactive in pushing for it.  Never seems to be the 'right time' for them unfortunately.

Word for word from the Shinberbot manual

A generic response from the Fianna Gael bot - I wonder does the new Sun man have the lads on over-time over Christmas?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 27, 2020, 11:02:49 AM
I see the EHIC- Health Insurance Cards, are to be honoured until their expiry dates and then a UK version is due to come in 2021.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: up the rovers on December 27, 2020, 05:05:16 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 27, 2020, 11:02:49 AM
I see the EHIC- Health Insurance Cards, are to be honoured until their expiry dates and then a UK version is due to come in 2021.
What does this actually mean?
Is Boris picking up the tab for Brits in hospital in Europe free of charge?
What about Leo's promise to stand over EHIC cards for us Nordies? How where to do we apply for one from Dublin?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 27, 2020, 05:43:13 PM
Leo's promise was very cute, he agreed to make up any shortfall between the UK scheme and the full whack. Such a shortfall might be modest enough but the gesture was made.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on December 29, 2020, 11:43:03 AM
DUP must be caught between a rock and a hard place. They championed Brexit against the will of the people they represent, and it's complete shit. Anywhere else, they would be gone in the next election, but unlikely as it will be again about keeping themmun's out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on December 30, 2020, 01:36:37 PM
Anybody try and renew their EHIC Health card?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Seaney on December 30, 2020, 09:27:00 PM
You need to receive at least 4 vaccinations to be considered.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on December 31, 2020, 01:50:30 AM
Boris and his Tory government really are pathetic, their deal with the EU seems to be akin to turkeys voting in favour of Christmas ...

https://www.politico.eu/article/5-reasons-uk-failed-brexit-talks/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 31, 2020, 05:33:46 PM

Gibraltar scores a big win. El Brextieeros won't like that

https://english.elpais.com/brexit/2020-12-31/spain-uk-reach-draft-agreement-that-will-see-an-end-to-the-border-with-gibraltar.html?outputType=amp&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter&ssm=TW_CM_EN&__twitter_impression=true
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 31, 2020, 05:37:10 PM
Happy brexit day.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 31, 2020, 06:36:28 PM
Begins at midnight BRUSSELS TIME😁.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 31, 2020, 07:50:09 PM
I hope the trucks on the sailing leaving Holyhead shortly have their paperwork in order.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 31, 2020, 09:16:41 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 31, 2020, 07:50:09 PM
I hope the trucks on the sailing leaving Holyhead shortly have their paperwork in order.
You wouldn't wish being stuck in Holyhead in the middle of winter in a lockdown on your worst enemy, it's bad enough being stuck there in summer even with pubs open, as happened to me once, luckily I wasn't driving
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 31, 2020, 09:18:43 PM
Brexit is a tragedy for the UK

English nationalism is poisonous


https://bbc.com/news/amp/uk-55348994?__twitter_impression=true... "Brexit was, to the Leavers, like falling in love with someone that they believed was the answer to their dreams," Mr Wilkie says."
https://neweuropeans.net/.../long-and-winding-road-back-eu
There will be no free movement of people, no free roaming charges, no passports for pets "The Prime Minister said "now for the sprouts", but the problem is that although Brussels sprouts can move freely between Belgium and the UK, that will no longer be the case for people."

End of #Erasmus exchanges with the UK, while access to research grants has been neutered "#Erasmus decision was driven by ideology. Last thing UK government wants is to continue to expose young people to European "way of life". What exactly are they afraid of?" #NewEuropeans

UK negotiating team failed to secure right for Britain to have a say in #Euratom #ITER #Copernicus #Galileo and UK will not have access to #Galileo encrypted military data. "Even in outer space, it is not possible to have your cake and eat it". #NewEuropeans #BrexitDeal

Services make up 80% of UK economy but were largely left out of #BrexitDeal "UK citizens will not be able to sell actuarial services in Italy or construction services in Cyprus. They will not be able to be surveyors in Bulgaria or tobacconists in France"

Social rights will be undermined and environmental standards will be lower "New process agreed for safeguarding a "level playing field" sets such a high bar for proof that key elements are likely to be enforced only rarely."

The great Leave lie https://ft.com/content/63e62ff5-8f06-42ef-8cf1-ecd977862beb......

UK immigration (1 year) June 2016
EU 189K Non EU 166K Total 355K

2020

EU 58K Non EU 316K Total 374K

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sid waddell on December 31, 2020, 10:46:49 PM
Quote from: seafoid on December 31, 2020, 09:18:43 PM

UK immigration (1 year) June 2016
EU 189K Non EU 166K Total 355K

2020

EU 58K Non EU 316K Total 374K

One racist moron on boards.ie today was shrieking how the blacks were the problem in this country and that it was the fault of the EU they'd all been let in

You'd get more sense out of a baboon
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 01, 2021, 12:41:33 AM
Feel the freedom, much freedom. The best freedom.
Freedom.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on January 01, 2021, 01:04:22 AM
Good man Boris we got there in the end 😎
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 01, 2021, 02:03:07 AM
https://support.onepeloton.com/hc/en-gb/articles/360054688011-Temporary-Pause-on-Northern-Ireland-Orders (https://support.onepeloton.com/hc/en-gb/articles/360054688011-Temporary-Pause-on-Northern-Ireland-Orders)

Here we go... :P
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 01, 2021, 10:01:19 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0101/1187187-trade-border-irishsea/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 01, 2021, 09:25:29 PM
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-eu-is-a-divided-house/amp?__twitter_impression=true
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 02, 2021, 12:19:50 AM
 Yeah right....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 03, 2021, 02:58:03 PM
https://www.rte.ie/sport/soccer/2021/0103/1187445-allardyce-brexit-changes-have-made-life-more-difficult/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 03, 2021, 06:32:54 PM


Cracks starting to show in UK-EU trade.



(https://i.ibb.co/tB6sDVx/IMG-20210103-WA0020.jpg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 04, 2021, 10:23:02 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/f85c1c2f-9a06-4e5b-9caf-52bdf66a1a28


Ireland is increasing direct freight shipments to and from mainland Europe as businesses move to bypass potential snarl-ups at British ports after Brexit.  Many companies ship goods between Ireland and continental Europe via Britain, with about 150,000 lorries passing through what is known as the UK "land bridge" each year. Doing so via swift sea crossings between Dublin and Holyhead and then Dover to Calais provides the fastest route to market for traders in perishable and high volume goods.

But the end of the UK transition period on December 31 means truckers now face new checks as they leave EU territory to enter Britain from Ireland or France and then return to the bloc after passing through the UK. This has prompted anxiety about paperwork at ports and potential chaos on the busy Dover-Calais route. Such risks were highlighted shortly before Christmas when France closed the Dover-Calais crossing due to concerns about a highly transmissible new coronavirus strain, leading to huge tailbacks in which hundreds of Irish truckers were left stranded in Britain. Micheál Martin, Irish prime minister, said the disruption pointed to the need for "alternative routes" to the land bridge even with a Brexit deal in place. The delays at Dover prompted a surge in demand for such services, leading ferry operator Stena Line to double pre-Christmas capacity on its direct freight link between Rosslare in south-eastern Ireland and the French port of Cherbourg.

Although sailing times are longer on direct sea crossings to the continent, worries about Brexit had already spurred many Irish exporters and importers to make use of increased capacity on such routes. "There is good demand for it," said Simon McKeever, chief of the Irish Exporters Association, a trade body. "There is definitely for some time been a desire to seek out an alternative to the land bridge and we are seeing members looking to avail of more direct shipping routes to the continent, to the extent that some companies are having difficulty booking space on the inward-bound journey from France early in the new year," he said. The Irish Maritime Development Office, a government body to develop and promote shipping, has advised exporters and importers to examine alternatives to the land bridge since 2019. D

Direct continental roll-on roll-off and lift-on lift-off routes from Ireland are the "fastest-growing routes" in recent years, it added. Recommended Camilla Cavendish With Brexit 'done', Britain must rebuild trust in Europe Several new direct freight services have been introduced since 2018 — linking Ireland with ports in France, the Netherlands, Spain and Portugal — despite the availability of swifter roll-on roll-off capacity on the land bridge.  Senior figures in Irish transport say the introduction on January 2 of a new roll-on roll-off service between Rosslare and Dunkirk in France, has the potential to be a game-changer, with six sailings a week in each direction. DFDS, the Danish operator of the new service, aims to displace a significant portion of the 150,000 shipments on the land bridge. "We obviously need to eat into that to a relatively large extent," said Torben Carlsen, chief executive of DFDS. "We probably need 40,000-50,000 of those movements to make this route viable." Glenn Carr, general manager of Rosslare port, said freighters had booked "very strong loads" in both directions on the Rosslare-Dunkirk route as the service started at the weekend. Similarly, Stena Line said its first post-Brexit-transition sailing to Cherbourg from Rosslare was sold out.

The Rosslare-Dunkirk sailing takes 24 hours, about six hours longer than travelling between Dublin and Calais via Britain. But going via Dunkirk provides more time on the road after arriving in Europe because truckers will not have been driving for a day. "Their goods will not leave the EU. In addition, the drivers will be rested when they arrive," Mr Carlsen said. By contrast, the drive through the British land bridge limits truckers' hours on the road after they arrive in Calais.  Perennial, an Irish freighter specialising in direct services to the continent, had already moved to boost its capacity to meet a sharp rise in demand before the end of the UK transition period on January 1.

Chris Smyth, Perennial's commercial director, said: "A lot of it is being driven by the big supermarket chains. The multiples are putting pressure on the fruit importers because they need continuity of supply. On the export side, it's big Irish meat and dairy producers. Because it's food product, they want to avoid both the customs documentation and any [sanitary and phytosanitary] checks."  Mr Carr at Rosslare said supply chain changes in the Brexit era have driven a big rise in direct freight traffic to the continent. "We were down to three sailings per week direct to Europe about 18 months ago. From January we go to 11 direct and from March we go up to 13," he said. "What it means is a quadrupling of direct services to mainland Europe and that's attributable to the market demand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on January 04, 2021, 01:00:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 03, 2021, 02:58:03 PM
https://www.rte.ie/sport/soccer/2021/0103/1187445-allardyce-brexit-changes-have-made-life-more-difficult/

FFS. I clicked on that thinking I would read a review by Lord Alderdice John Alderdice (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Alderdice,_Baron_Alderdice)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 04, 2021, 01:23:04 PM
Good to see all those extra direct links to "our gallant allies in Europe".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 08, 2021, 11:08:35 AM
everyone got their XI EORI numbers yet?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 08, 2021, 01:09:00 PM
It's a shit show at the ports. Spoke with a couple of Hauliers in this last few days and all reporting the same thing. Shortages inevitable. GB business isn't ready and not only that the UK customs including Vets are learning on the fly. They're not ready either. They haven't the infrastructure to deal with lorries, they don't fully understand the paperwork... and we're only working at about 50% - 60% of normal volumes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 08, 2021, 02:45:37 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 08, 2021, 01:09:00 PM
It's a shit show at the ports. Spoke with a couple of Hauliers in this last few days and all reporting the same thing. Shortages inevitable. GB business isn't ready and not only that the UK customs including Vets are learning on the fly. They're not ready either. They haven't the infrastructure to deal with lorries, they don't fully understand the paperwork... and we're only working at about 50% - 60% of normal volumes.

FFS there'll be no Percy Pigs in M&S Ireland for a while...

Made in Germany, shipped to GB and then onto Ireland..

I can see more direct shipments into Ireland and bypassing GB if this is an example of what is happening!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clarshack on January 08, 2021, 03:19:57 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 08, 2021, 01:09:00 PM
It's a shit show at the ports. Spoke with a couple of Hauliers in this last few days and all reporting the same thing. Shortages inevitable. GB business isn't ready and not only that the UK customs including Vets are learning on the fly. They're not ready either. They haven't the infrastructure to deal with lorries, they don't fully understand the paperwork... and we're only working at about 50% - 60% of normal volumes.

was told by someone in the know that a haulage company told him that on Wednesday evening they had 150 trailers full of goods ready to travel to Ireland but they couldn't ship them because their customers had not done the import/export declarations. Also said there would be a shortage on cornflakes as they didn't realise they had to make customs declarations for cornflakes, so stock up on your cornflakes folks. You really couldn't make it up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clarshack on January 08, 2021, 03:21:54 PM
Even in the local Asda here they don't have any bags as they are stuck in a lorry in England and not allowed over.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 08, 2021, 03:25:58 PM
Quote from: clarshack on January 08, 2021, 03:21:54 PM
Even in the local Asda here they don't have any bags as they are stuck in a lorry in England and not allowed over.

Use your bag for life ye bollox ye.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 08, 2021, 03:55:02 PM
Peppers!! Notice a shortage of those lately!

We use UPS for post, and there was a global f**k up on their tracking system, Northern Ireland had to be added (was originally under UK) and still issues with arranging pick ups...

That's the only business issue I've had at the minute.. Though all the stuff I bring in and send out is to Poland, we are getting the stuff in without any issues
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 08, 2021, 03:56:29 PM
Muller yoghurts and baby food. The first one I can live without but the second one not so good...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on January 08, 2021, 04:14:24 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 08, 2021, 03:56:29 PM
Muller yoghurts and baby food. The first one I can live without but the second one not so good...

An old "acquaintance" of mine in my university days swore by baby food as a hangover cure. Things like pureed apple, mango etc. Made for an awkward conversation (that was nearly a swift exit) one night when we got home and there were a couple of empty Cow and Gate jars beside her bed!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 08, 2021, 04:16:02 PM
Lol. I dunno how they eat it never mind adults - a lot of it seems rank.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: FermGael on January 08, 2021, 05:49:02 PM
Lidl no bother at all.
Full shelves
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on January 08, 2021, 06:45:33 PM
Quote from: FermGael on January 08, 2021, 05:49:02 PM
Lidl no bother at all.
Full shelves
Same, was in earlier this evening. Tesco the other night continues to be a farce. Why do they not enforce face coverings?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 08, 2021, 06:49:36 PM
Tesco online has availability issues. Stuff like orange juice seems really hard to get.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on January 08, 2021, 07:45:24 PM
Shop local lads!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 08, 2021, 10:22:43 PM
Sainsburys in Derry serious amount of missing stock.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JoG2 on January 08, 2021, 11:33:02 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 08, 2021, 10:22:43 PM
Sainsburys in Derry serious amount of missing stock.
[/quote

Absolutely Fear. A mad sight ]
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 08, 2021, 11:55:28 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on January 08, 2021, 11:33:02 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 08, 2021, 10:22:43 PM
Sainsburys in Derry serious amount of missing stock.
[/quote

Absolutely Fear. A mad sight ]

Was a bit surreal, very quiet too, people shuffling around muttering to themselves and shaking their heads in disbelief.
Had to buy a fecking SPAR pizza ffs in there. Hopefully back to normal soon. Nearly went back on the drink tonight , dry Jan not going to be easy the year
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tintin25 on January 09, 2021, 12:05:31 AM
Quote from: marty34 on January 08, 2021, 07:45:24 PM
Shop local lads!!

This.  No harm, but anyone crying about how there are no packets of Percy Pigs in stock need to have a word with themselves.  Plenty of food about FFS.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 09, 2021, 12:08:11 AM
Quote from: tintin25 on January 09, 2021, 12:05:31 AM
Quote from: marty34 on January 08, 2021, 07:45:24 PM
Shop local lads!!

This.  No harm, but anyone crying about how there are no packets of Percy Pigs in stock need to have a word with themselves.  Plenty of food about FFS.

I love Percy pigs, lovely and soft, hateful how they are always positioned at till, impossible to resist
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on January 09, 2021, 11:15:05 AM
Quote from: tintin25 on January 09, 2021, 12:05:31 AM
Quote from: marty34 on January 08, 2021, 07:45:24 PM
Shop local lads!!

This.  No harm, but anyone crying about how there are no packets of Percy Pigs in stock need to have a word with themselves.  Plenty of food about FFS.
Seen a picture on Twitter of Tesco having thrown out a pile of oranges because they arrived too late and were past their best before date. I couldn't give a f**k about Percy pigs but seeing that amount of food go to waste because of the mess a bunch of insecure DUP fanatics have got us into doesn't exactly rest easy with me. Things are tight enough for some people in the current climate so seeing that really fucked me off
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 09, 2021, 11:21:51 AM
Quote from: general_lee on January 09, 2021, 11:15:05 AM
Quote from: tintin25 on January 09, 2021, 12:05:31 AM
Quote from: marty34 on January 08, 2021, 07:45:24 PM
Shop local lads!!

This.  No harm, but anyone crying about how there are no packets of Percy Pigs in stock need to have a word with themselves.  Plenty of food about FFS.
Seen a picture on Twitter of Tesco having thrown out a pile of oranges because they arrived too late and were past their best before date. I couldn't give a f**k about Percy pigs but seeing that amount of food go to waste because of the mess a bunch of insecure DUP fanatics have got us into doesn't exactly rest easy with me. Things are tight enough for some people in the current climate so seeing that really fucked me off
Surely the food would be better donated
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on January 09, 2021, 12:47:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 09, 2021, 11:21:51 AM
Quote from: general_lee on January 09, 2021, 11:15:05 AM
Quote from: tintin25 on January 09, 2021, 12:05:31 AM
Quote from: marty34 on January 08, 2021, 07:45:24 PM
Shop local lads!!

This.  No harm, but anyone crying about how there are no packets of Percy Pigs in stock need to have a word with themselves.  Plenty of food about FFS.
Seen a picture on Twitter of Tesco having thrown out a pile of oranges because they arrived too late and were past their best before date. I couldn't give a f**k about Percy pigs but seeing that amount of food go to waste because of the mess a bunch of insecure DUP fanatics have got us into doesn't exactly rest easy with me. Things are tight enough for some people in the current climate so seeing that really fucked me off
Surely the food would be better donated

I think it was rotten when it arrived on the lorry - took too long.

DUP wanted Brexit, they campaigned for it and they got it.

DUP - own it.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Solo_run on January 09, 2021, 01:04:37 PM
Quote from: marty34 on January 09, 2021, 12:47:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 09, 2021, 11:21:51 AM
Quote from: general_lee on January 09, 2021, 11:15:05 AM
Quote from: tintin25 on January 09, 2021, 12:05:31 AM
Quote from: marty34 on January 08, 2021, 07:45:24 PM
Shop local lads!!

This.  No harm, but anyone crying about how there are no packets of Percy Pigs in stock need to have a word with themselves.  Plenty of food about FFS.
Seen a picture on Twitter of Tesco having thrown out a pile of oranges because they arrived too late and were past their best before date. I couldn't give a f**k about Percy pigs but seeing that amount of food go to waste because of the mess a bunch of insecure DUP fanatics have got us into doesn't exactly rest easy with me. Things are tight enough for some people in the current climate so seeing that really fucked me off
Surely the food would be better donated

I think it was rotten when it arrived on the lorry - took too long.

DUP wanted Brexit, they campaigned for it and they got it.

DUP - own it.

Dread to see the cost of a weekly shop over there in a few months
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 09, 2021, 02:01:41 PM
Quote from: marty34 on January 09, 2021, 12:47:05 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on January 09, 2021, 11:21:51 AM
Quote from: general_lee on January 09, 2021, 11:15:05 AM
Quote from: tintin25 on January 09, 2021, 12:05:31 AM
Quote from: marty34 on January 08, 2021, 07:45:24 PM
Shop local lads!!

This.  No harm, but anyone crying about how there are no packets of Percy Pigs in stock need to have a word with themselves.  Plenty of food about FFS.
Seen a picture on Twitter of Tesco having thrown out a pile of oranges because they arrived too late and were past their best before date. I couldn't give a f**k about Percy pigs but seeing that amount of food go to waste because of the mess a bunch of insecure DUP fanatics have got us into doesn't exactly rest easy with me. Things are tight enough for some people in the current climate so seeing that really fucked me off
Surely the food would be better donated

I think it was rotten when it arrived on the lorry - took too long.

DUP wanted Brexit, they campaigned for it and they got it.

DUP - own it.

Right i see
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 09, 2021, 06:27:08 PM
City of London to bring back Swiss stock trading following EU exit

https://www.ft.com/content/e0f373ed-030f-464c-b604-2bcc0480d8a4
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 11, 2021, 11:30:56 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/world/2021/0111/1189061-sandwich-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 12, 2021, 03:06:09 PM
Huge issues still especially with groupage loads. Hauliers now point blank refusing to lift some as the paperwork is just astronomical. Is there a choice or shortage issue in ROI?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on January 12, 2021, 03:55:10 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 12, 2021, 03:06:09 PM
Huge issues still especially with groupage loads. Hauliers now point blank refusing to lift some as the paperwork is just astronomical. Is there a choice or shortage issue in ROI?

No issues here

We are practically bathing in orange juice we have so much of it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 12, 2021, 04:07:06 PM
Haven noticed or heard of shortages.
Presumably some stuff stockpiled and the rest coming in from the Continent?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on January 12, 2021, 08:23:32 PM
I thought the problem was at the English end - they're not prepared/haven't prepared properly.  They didn't realise the sh*^storm that was coming down the line in the New Year.

Forewarned is forearmed and a that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on January 12, 2021, 08:45:26 PM
There are extra sailings from Rosslare to France, to avoid the landbridge route via the channel tunnel.

Aldi and lidl both made statements that they would be unaffected by brexit, and have secured contracts with local suppliers and obviously other products from the continent.

I've heard tesco in the South is more effected by brexit and doesn't have a full range of products that they would have had 2 months ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 12, 2021, 08:59:57 PM
Not a morsel of fruit in my local Spar.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 12, 2021, 09:02:36 PM
The GAA should organise food parcels with things like oranges and tomatoes to send to places like Antrim.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2021, 10:43:39 PM
Plenty food, and looking at some people about town they could do with missing out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 13, 2021, 12:37:31 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2021, 10:43:39 PM
Plenty food, and looking at some people about town they could do with missing out

They might not eating fresh fruit and vegetables, but sausage rolls.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2021, 07:46:03 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on January 13, 2021, 12:37:31 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2021, 10:43:39 PM
Plenty food, and looking at some people about town they could do with missing out

They might not eating fresh fruit and vegetables, but sausage rolls.

Greggs are in Iceland. Frozen sausage rolls!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 13, 2021, 02:32:14 PM
Ian Óg not feeling the love from his Tory mates anymore;

https://twitter.com/i/status/1349351582601773056 (https://twitter.com/i/status/1349351582601773056)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 13, 2021, 03:13:54 PM
Hilarious watching DUP blaming everybody else for their own shitstorm, all directed at their own voters as they're absolutely cacking it that many will abandon them over Irish Sea border. They really shouldn't worry, all they have to do is wave butcher's apron come election time and their thick loyalist base will follow like sheep, same as they always do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on January 14, 2021, 12:27:07 PM
Pootsie and Ian Og claiming they wont be able to feed the patients in hospital due to the border in the Irish Sea, really is no bottom to how low they will try to stoop to deflect attention.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 14, 2021, 12:59:32 PM
Quote from: pbat on January 14, 2021, 12:27:07 PM
Pootsie and Ian Og claiming they wont be able to feed the patients in hospital due to the border in the Irish Sea, really is no bottom to how low they will try to stoop to deflect attention.

Under any set of normal circumstances this would finish them as a party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on January 14, 2021, 01:19:00 PM
Quote from: maddog on January 14, 2021, 12:59:32 PM
Quote from: pbat on January 14, 2021, 12:27:07 PM
Pootsie and Ian Og claiming they wont be able to feed the patients in hospital due to the border in the Irish Sea, really is no bottom to how low they will try to stoop to deflect attention.

Under any set of normal circumstances this would finish them as a party.

Look at what they have got away with in the past.
The Teflon Party
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on January 14, 2021, 01:41:44 PM
Quote from: Taylor on January 14, 2021, 01:19:00 PM
Quote from: maddog on January 14, 2021, 12:59:32 PM
Quote from: pbat on January 14, 2021, 12:27:07 PM
Pootsie and Ian Og claiming they wont be able to feed the patients in hospital due to the border in the Irish Sea, really is no bottom to how low they will try to stoop to deflect attention.

Under any set of normal circumstances this would finish them as a party.

Look at what they have got away with in the past.
The Teflon Party

Think this is their biggest howler though. The others were mainly dodgy financials that weren't that tangilble to most. This could end up being about the fleg itself. The most spectacular OG in their history. Sadly it probably won't shake their core electoral base that much.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2021, 01:45:20 PM
They will spin this and blame those for voting against brexit, and how they'll will break that border down the  sea and return order to the place!!

Some craic on social media all the same
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2021, 01:50:07 PM
QuoteEdwin Poots  "We are concerned about food supplies to schools"

Claire Hanna "DUP weren't too concerned about meals at schools when they didn't vote on the Free schools meal proposal at Westminster"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on January 14, 2021, 11:33:42 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 13, 2021, 02:32:14 PM
Ian Óg not feeling the love from his Tory mates anymore;

https://twitter.com/i/status/1349351582601773056 (https://twitter.com/i/status/1349351582601773056)

Ian óg bocht, phuc a ghluaisrothar.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 14, 2021, 11:51:14 PM
Their and Allister's attempts to try and spin this against the Remain parties who backed the protocol are pathetic and laughable!!

McCausland saying he didn't care what kind of Brexit there was and Sammy Wilson's chippy comment are available on an endless loop for the next election that comes along. I would definitely expect them to get nailed in the polls next time and for the UUP to make some gains.

As doom and gloom as Swann is I think it's there to see that he's putting everything he can into this currently and doing his best in a horrendous situation.

Compare that with Weir who's totally f**king up every call on education and only doing what the UK do and I really do think the DUP will struggle at the next elections!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on January 15, 2021, 12:02:10 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 14, 2021, 11:51:14 PM
Their and Allister's attempts to try and spin this against the Remain parties who backed the protocol are pathetic and laughable!!

McCausland saying he didn't care what kind of Brexit there was and Sammy Wilson's chippy comment are available on an endless loop for the next election that comes along. I would definitely expect them to get nailed in the polls next time and for the UUP to make some gains.

As doom and gloom as Swann is I think it's there to see that he's putting everything he can into this currently and doing his best in a horrendous situation.

Compare that with Weir who's totally f**king up every call on education and only doing what the UK do and I really do think the DUP will struggle at the next elections!
Up the Six Towns agus Moneynenna!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 15, 2021, 01:04:40 AM
Compilation of the words of Ian
https://twitter.com/runyourmouthoff/status/1349385118612410371
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GiveItToTheShooters on January 15, 2021, 01:16:10 AM
The DUP are the gift that keeps on giving
https://twitter.com/ChrisHazzardSF/status/1349784522813005828
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 15, 2021, 11:35:14 AM
Quote from: screenexile on January 14, 2021, 11:51:14 PM
Their and Allister's attempts to try and spin this against the Remain parties who backed the protocol are pathetic and laughable!!

McCausland saying he didn't care what kind of Brexit there was and Sammy Wilson's chippy comment are available on an endless loop for the next election that comes along. I would definitely expect them to get nailed in the polls next time and for the UUP to make some gains.

As doom and gloom as Swann is I think it's there to see that he's putting everything he can into this currently and doing his best in a horrendous situation.

Compare that with Weir who's totally f**king up every call on education and only doing what the UK do and I really do think the DUP will struggle at the next elections!

The Unionists went with Brexit because it was British and it was going to be the dog's bollocks. They didn't look at the tradeoffs.
Now they are backpedalling furiously.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.

Yeah they took the gamble that it would weaken the North South relationship. Then after the General Election in 2017 they could not have been in a better position when they had the Tories over a barrel. . . they massively overplayed their hand though and it spectacularly backfired.

I would really enjoy what's happening now if it weren't for the fact that I hate Brexit and what it means and the headaches it's causing me in work at the minute!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on January 15, 2021, 12:21:37 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.

Yeah they took the gamble that it would weaken the North South relationship. Then after the General Election in 2017 they could not have been in a better position when they had the Tories over a barrel. . . they massively overplayed their hand though and it spectacularly backfired.

I would really enjoy what's happening now if it weren't for the fact that I hate Brexit and what it means and the headaches it's causing me in work at the minute!

That's it in a nutshell.
Will it hit them at the polls? Depends on how soon the next election is....and the ability of UUP (an maybe alliance in some seats) to capitalise on the DUP shambles.
DUP will, no doubt, once again wave the flag and rhetoric that if they don't get the votes SF will be the biggest party and get the First Minister seat. It will take a lot to sway that band of voters away from the DUP when their traditional voters will be devastated if SF had that figurehead position.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JohnDenver on January 15, 2021, 12:29:22 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.

Yeah they took the gamble that it would weaken the North South relationship. Then after the General Election in 2017 they could not have been in a better position when they had the Tories over a barrel. . . they massively overplayed their hand though and it spectacularly backfired.

I would really enjoy what's happening now if it weren't for the fact that I hate Brexit and what it means and the headaches it's causing me in work at the minute!

I would agree with you here. I am hoping that the ball ache of the brexit issues will be worthwhile and hopefully speed up the process of uniting Ireland in some form or other.

I wonder also are the DUP really as thick and pig ignorant as they come across?  It couldn't be the case. They are bound to have some savvy operators, but are they just outnumbered by butchers apron waving neanderthals?

The biggest hurdle will be convincing a sizeable portion of the PUL community that it would be beneficial to them (where it matters to most - in their pocket) to consider a united Ireland.

How many times will they get shafted by the Tories and Westminster before they realise they don't give two fiddlers about the North or the unionists there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on January 15, 2021, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.
I genuinely don't think this was the case.  Nobody who lived through the conflict here, even the DUP, would have wanted something that may have led to the return of what went on before.  Like most people, they voted for Brexit believing that there was little cjance of Leave winning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:33:46 PM
They lost one of their best performers in Simon Hamilton as well, got fed up and went back to the private sector.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:38:58 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 15, 2021, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.
I genuinely don't think this was the case.  Nobody who lived through the conflict here, even the DUP, would have wanted something that may have led to the return of what went on before.  Like most people, they voted for Brexit believing that there was little cjance of Leave winning.
Thats a good point (altho only partial to the whole situation) that often gets lost, nobody (even Farage) expected Leave to win. A protest vote gone badly wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 15, 2021, 12:53:31 PM
Quote from: tbrick18 on January 15, 2021, 12:21:37 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 12:16:44 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.

Yeah they took the gamble that it would weaken the North South relationship. Then after the General Election in 2017 they could not have been in a better position when they had the Tories over a barrel. . . they massively overplayed their hand though and it spectacularly backfired.

I would really enjoy what's happening now if it weren't for the fact that I hate Brexit and what it means and the headaches it's causing me in work at the minute!

That's it in a nutshell.
Will it hit them at the polls? Depends on how soon the next election is....and the ability of UUP (an maybe alliance in some seats) to capitalise on the DUP shambles.
DUP will, no doubt, once again wave the flag and rhetoric that if they don't get the votes SF will be the biggest party and get the First Minister seat. It will take a lot to sway that band of voters away from the DUP when their traditional voters will be devastated if SF had that figurehead position.




Correct, the DUP electorate especially paisleys bunch of 16th century gimps round North Antrim will vote for them regardless of their failings. They are our version of the Alt-right and will keep on their inflexible directive to they are spouting their contentious rhetoric in the Dail and not Stormont. After seeing events the world over this last few day's it seems the political universe is heading for some welcomed realignment but don't expect these events to ingrain logic into the DUP masses.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 01:00:23 PM
I really think they'll suffer in the polls next time out they'll be begging the UUP for pacts all over the shop!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 15, 2021, 01:00:49 PM
Brexit and the DUP were natural bedfellows. It was a right wing conservative ideology. They simply had to support it. But there is a real lack of intelligence and political nous in the party. Anyone could see they had significant power with Teresa May. They had the perfect scenario for them to influence and get a Brexit that suited NI. But they got completely outplayed by the ERG and Johnson. Johnson courted them perfectly. Drove May out with their help, got the top job and then just rid them up the hole. So much so that IPJ stood up the commons yesterday and sobbed his little heart out like a lover that had been dumped. It would be beautiful if it wasn't so serious. The most amazing thing was that everyone told them, absolutely everyone.

It just reflects poorly on our politics here. We have so many awful politicians, on both sides. a real lack of intelligence and ability. While we can say the DUP will get elected again, beat the drum etc... the same is true of Nationalists. Like we sent Martina Anderson to Brussels with an Irish passport and a James McLean jersey! Everyone needs to think long and hard about who we're voting for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on January 15, 2021, 01:15:23 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 01:00:23 PM
I really think they'll suffer in the polls next time out they'll be begging the UUP for pacts all over the shop!
I've been saying this for a while to friends and family and keep getting shot down. Things always remain the same until they suddenly don't in politics.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: north_antrim_hound on January 15, 2021, 01:23:25 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 01:00:23 PM
I really think they'll suffer in the polls next time out they'll be begging the UUP for pacts all over the shop!

Hope your right screen but if there has been one constant in our politics it's DUP incompetence in serving their electorate only for voters to re-up. They hate nationalism more then any accountability due for bad representation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on January 15, 2021, 01:41:48 PM
As many have said the DUP will continue to be elected as long as SF top the polls among Nationalists.

If SDLP/Alliance had the majority of Nationalist votes then I really do think the soft supporting DUPers would have a different stance.

The will be a hardcore base of SF/DUP voters who will never change.

Its the more logical supporters from each side who are key
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on January 15, 2021, 02:16:51 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:38:58 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 15, 2021, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.
I genuinely don't think this was the case.  Nobody who lived through the conflict here, even the DUP, would have wanted something that may have led to the return of what went on before.  Like most people, they voted for Brexit believing that there was little cjance of Leave winning.
Thats a good point (altho only partial to the whole situation) that often gets lost, nobody (even Farage) expected Leave to win. A protest vote gone badly wrong.
Why did they spend £100ks on an advertising campaign then? One that wasn't even shown here? Let's not beat about the bush here, the DUP have some of the most belligerent, hostile bigots among their ranks and a return to a hard border on this island was like a wet dream to them.

Thankfully it has backfired spectacularly on them and they got border posts at Larne instead. The only silver lining out of all this chaos has been seeing Poots, Sammy and Paisley Óg crying with egg on their faces, desperately trying to blame everyone else for the mess they are solely responsible for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mike Tyson on January 15, 2021, 02:29:14 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:38:58 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 15, 2021, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.
I genuinely don't think this was the case.  Nobody who lived through the conflict here, even the DUP, would have wanted something that may have led to the return of what went on before.  Like most people, they voted for Brexit believing that there was little cjance of Leave winning.
Thats a good point (altho only partial to the whole situation) that often gets lost, nobody (even Farage) expected Leave to win. A protest vote gone badly wrong.

Nah they did - hence why the likes of Crispin Odey made hundreds of millions shorting shares & the pound.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 02:31:50 PM
Quote from: general_lee on January 15, 2021, 02:16:51 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:38:58 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 15, 2021, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.
I genuinely don't think this was the case.  Nobody who lived through the conflict here, even the DUP, would have wanted something that may have led to the return of what went on before.  Like most people, they voted for Brexit believing that there was little cjance of Leave winning.
Thats a good point (altho only partial to the whole situation) that often gets lost, nobody (even Farage) expected Leave to win. A protest vote gone badly wrong.
Why did they spend £100ks on an advertising campaign then? One that wasn't even shown here? Let's not beat about the bush here, the DUP have some of the most belligerent, hostile bigots among their ranks and a return to a hard border on this island was like a wet dream to them.

Thankfully it has backfired spectacularly on them and they got border posts at Larne instead. The only silver lining out of all this chaos has been seeing Poots, Sammy and Paisley Óg crying with egg on their faces, desperately trying to blame everyone else for the mess they are solely responsible for.

I'm not sure what point you're trying to make? but.... Allegedly - that was (illegal) Vote Leave money being re-distributed slyly to get round electoral funding guidelines - the DUP as ever willing to be the patsy for anything that shouts how British they are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 15, 2021, 03:23:58 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 02:31:50 PM
Quote from: general_lee on January 15, 2021, 02:16:51 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:38:58 PM
Quote from: michaelg on January 15, 2021, 12:33:31 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on January 15, 2021, 12:06:52 PM
No, while they always were mild Eurosceptics (like SF) they thought Brexit would solidify the border with the ROI. They repeatedly rejected Theresa May's deal as it left the border situation untouched  and then got shafted by Bojo and got the double whammy of an seamless border with the ROI and a customs border with GB. Karma.
I genuinely don't think this was the case.  Nobody who lived through the conflict here, even the DUP, would have wanted something that may have led to the return of what went on before.  Like most people, they voted for Brexit believing that there was little cjance of Leave winning.
Thats a good point (altho only partial to the whole situation) that often gets lost, nobody (even Farage) expected Leave to win. A protest vote gone badly wrong.
Why did they spend £100ks on an advertising campaign then? One that wasn't even shown here? Let's not beat about the bush here, the DUP have some of the most belligerent, hostile bigots among their ranks and a return to a hard border on this island was like a wet dream to them.

Thankfully it has backfired spectacularly on them and they got border posts at Larne instead. The only silver lining out of all this chaos has been seeing Poots, Sammy and Paisley Óg crying with egg on their faces, desperately trying to blame everyone else for the mess they are solely responsible for.

I'm not sure what point you're trying to make? but.... Allegedly - that was (illegal) Vote Leave money being re-distributed slyly to get round electoral funding guidelines - the DUP as ever willing to be the patsy for anything that shouts how British they are.

The clause in NI parties not needing to declare where they are funded from make them good for filtering dark money into the Leave Campaign.

There's plenty of pics of Sammy and Ian Óg living it up with Aaron Banks and Wigmore of the Leave.EU campaign who incidentally have had to reregister in Waterford to keep their .EU web address. Oh, the irony.


As for the DUP and Leave, it's hard to fathom unless they just wanted to align themselves with the right right wing of the Tory Party and honestly didn't believe it would ever happen plus get a few bob along the way.
In saying that once Vote Leave did actually win they were hopeless at anything remotely looking like a strategy for putting out what type of Brexit they wanted. Like all Unionists they can tell you what they don't want but not what they could accept.

I think it was Peter Robinson who said that there were senior members of the DUP promoted above their ability and that's pretty obvious to us all.

It would be good to see the back of them but the fear of a Shinner in first minister will be enough for them to keep the party faithful giving them their votes in the next assembly elections.

The UUP are abjectly useless yet again under the submariner.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 15, 2021, 03:27:07 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on January 15, 2021, 01:15:23 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 01:00:23 PM
I really think they'll suffer in the polls next time out they'll be begging the UUP for pacts all over the shop!
I've been saying this for a while to friends and family and keep getting shot down. Things always remain the same until they suddenly don't in politics.

And the UUP, with that complete and utter arsehole of a leader, will fall for it hook, line and sinker once the butcher's apron starts getting waved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on January 15, 2021, 03:51:10 PM
The greatest threat electorally to the DUP isn't the UUP. It Alliance. And to a certain extent it's the same on the Nationalist side with Alliance taking votes from SF and the SDLP. That tells it's own story...it'll be these voters who will decide on a UI not DUP or SF voters. But in the short to medium term they will start to hold the balance of power in Stormont.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 04:06:49 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 15, 2021, 03:51:10 PM
The greatest threat electorally to the DUP isn't the UUP. It Alliance. And to a certain extent it's the same on the Nationalist side with Alliance taking votes from SF and the SDLP. That tells it's own story...it'll be these voters who will decide on a UI not DUP or SF voters. But in the short to medium term they will start to hold the balance of power in Stormont.

I think you're right about Alliance holding the key to a UI but it would be more palletable for DUP voters to slip back across to the UUP rather than go to Alliance I think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 15, 2021, 04:11:22 PM
Alliance have been smeared as SF sympathizers and I think it has worked tbh even though it's clearly not true.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 15, 2021, 04:18:45 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 04:06:49 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 15, 2021, 03:51:10 PM
The greatest threat electorally to the DUP isn't the UUP. It Alliance. And to a certain extent it's the same on the Nationalist side with Alliance taking votes from SF and the SDLP. That tells it's own story...it'll be these voters who will decide on a UI not DUP or SF voters. But in the short to medium term they will start to hold the balance of power in Stormont.

I think you're right about Alliance holding the key to a UI but it would be more palletable for DUP voters to slip back across to the UUP rather than go to Alliance I think.

Think TUV will pick up some DUP votes from the hardcore bigots, ironically cos they realise theyve been shafted by Arlene's lot over Irish Sea border. Time is running out on her, think she'll be replaced by one of the nutters as they bid to try and hold on to that constituency. But I still believe they won't suffer too badly at polls, bulk of their voters are easily whipped up sheep.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on January 15, 2021, 04:22:25 PM
Quote from: Taylor on January 15, 2021, 01:41:48 PM
As many have said the DUP will continue to be elected as long as SF top the polls among Nationalists.

If SDLP/Alliance had the majority of Nationalist votes then I really do think the soft supporting DUPers would have a different stance.

The will be a hardcore base of SF/DUP voters who will never change.

Its the more logical supporters from each side who are key

I have said before that we're coming to the end game. - a head count.

In 6 months time, Brexit will be forgotten and the DUP will still be the main unionist party.

In a way, I'm surprised that the UUP are not making more of the mess that the DUP have made of Brexit. The Tories completely stitched them up.  Funny, if not serious how the DUP are rowing back on it now.  Even the tweet at the top of this page by Hazzard re: Poot's tweets about food scaremongering etc. is unreal.  It's unbelieveable.

I thought the UUP would be going to town on them about 'the sellout'.  Politically, they should have been attacking them from all quarters.  This is the biggest surprise to me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on January 15, 2021, 04:54:51 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 15, 2021, 04:18:45 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 04:06:49 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 15, 2021, 03:51:10 PM
The greatest threat electorally to the DUP isn't the UUP. It Alliance. And to a certain extent it's the same on the Nationalist side with Alliance taking votes from SF and the SDLP. That tells it's own story...it'll be these voters who will decide on a UI not DUP or SF voters. But in the short to medium term they will start to hold the balance of power in Stormont.

I think you're right about Alliance holding the key to a UI but it would be more palletable for DUP voters to slip back across to the UUP rather than go to Alliance I think.

Think TUV will pick up some DUP votes from the hardcore bigots, ironically cos they realise theyve been shafted by Arlene's lot over Irish Sea border. Time is running out on her, think she'll be replaced by one of the nutters as they bid to try and hold on to that constituency. But I still believe they won't suffer too badly at polls, bulk of their voters are easily whipped up sheep.

She'll be awarded with a medal, and maybe even a seat in a big old house, so no harm done.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 15, 2021, 04:55:29 PM
Quote from: marty34 on January 15, 2021, 04:22:25 PM
Quote from: Taylor on January 15, 2021, 01:41:48 PM
As many have said the DUP will continue to be elected as long as SF top the polls among Nationalists.

If SDLP/Alliance had the majority of Nationalist votes then I really do think the soft supporting DUPers would have a different stance.

The will be a hardcore base of SF/DUP voters who will never change.

Its the more logical supporters from each side who are key

I have said before that we're coming to the end game. - a head count.

In 6 months time, Brexit will be forgotten and the DUP will still be the main unionist party.

In a way, I'm surprised that the UUP are not making more of the mess that the DUP have made of Brexit. The Tories completely stitched them up.  Funny, if not serious how the DUP are rowing back on it now.  Even the tweet at the top of this page by Hazzard re: Poot's tweets about food scaremongering etc. is unreal.  It's unbelieveable.

I thought the UUP would be going to town on them about 'the sellout'.  Politically, they should have been attacking them from all quarters.  This is the biggest surprise to me.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 15, 2021, 04:59:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 15, 2021, 04:55:29 PM
Quote from: marty34 on January 15, 2021, 04:22:25 PM
Quote from: Taylor on January 15, 2021, 01:41:48 PM
As many have said the DUP will continue to be elected as long as SF top the polls among Nationalists.

If SDLP/Alliance had the majority of Nationalist votes then I really do think the soft supporting DUPers would have a different stance.

The will be a hardcore base of SF/DUP voters who will never change.

Its the more logical supporters from each side who are key

I have said before that we're coming to the end game. - a head count.

In 6 months time, Brexit will be forgotten and the DUP will still be the main unionist party.

In a way, I'm surprised that the UUP are not making more of the mess that the DUP have made of Brexit. The Tories completely stitched them up.  Funny, if not serious how the DUP are rowing back on it now.  Even the tweet at the top of this page by Hazzard re: Poot's tweets about food scaremongering etc. is unreal.  It's unbelieveable.

I thought the UUP would be going to town on them about 'the sellout'.  Politically, they should have been attacking them from all quarters.  This is the biggest surprise to me.

Is it, though? Their leader is biggest balloon in local politics. And that's a field with huge competition.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on January 15, 2021, 05:13:53 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 15, 2021, 04:59:26 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 15, 2021, 04:55:29 PM
Quote from: marty34 on January 15, 2021, 04:22:25 PM
Quote from: Taylor on January 15, 2021, 01:41:48 PM
As many have said the DUP will continue to be elected as long as SF top the polls among Nationalists.

If SDLP/Alliance had the majority of Nationalist votes then I really do think the soft supporting DUPers would have a different stance.

The will be a hardcore base of SF/DUP voters who will never change.

Its the more logical supporters from each side who are key

I have said before that we're coming to the end game. - a head count.

In 6 months time, Brexit will be forgotten and the DUP will still be the main unionist party.

In a way, I'm surprised that the UUP are not making more of the mess that the DUP have made of Brexit. The Tories completely stitched them up.  Funny, if not serious how the DUP are rowing back on it now.  Even the tweet at the top of this page by Hazzard re: Poot's tweets about food scaremongering etc. is unreal.  It's unbelieveable.

I thought the UUP would be going to town on them about 'the sellout'.  Politically, they should have been attacking them from all quarters.  This is the biggest surprise to me.

Is it, though? Their leader is biggest balloon in local politics. And that's a field with huge competition.

But it's a huge open goal for the UUP, a huge open goal.

They should be all over it - with the alledged disaffection in unionist ramks, it's rich pickings for them to pick up votes and make a comeback, but as you stated, it won't happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on January 15, 2021, 05:18:18 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 04:06:49 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 15, 2021, 03:51:10 PM
The greatest threat electorally to the DUP isn't the UUP. It Alliance. And to a certain extent it's the same on the Nationalist side with Alliance taking votes from SF and the SDLP. That tells it's own story...it'll be these voters who will decide on a UI not DUP or SF voters. But in the short to medium term they will start to hold the balance of power in Stormont.

I think you're right about Alliance holding the key to a UI but it would be more palletable for DUP voters to slip back across to the UUP rather than go to Alliance I think.

Yeah I think Alliance are too much of a centrist party for the hard right DUP voters, however, they might well attract some of the more middle ground DUP voters. UUP might not be any better than the DUP in power mind.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on January 15, 2021, 05:22:34 PM
Quote from: red hander on January 15, 2021, 04:18:45 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 15, 2021, 04:06:49 PM
Quote from: trailer on January 15, 2021, 03:51:10 PM
The greatest threat electorally to the DUP isn't the UUP. It Alliance. And to a certain extent it's the same on the Nationalist side with Alliance taking votes from SF and the SDLP. That tells it's own story...it'll be these voters who will decide on a UI not DUP or SF voters. But in the short to medium term they will start to hold the balance of power in Stormont.

I think you're right about Alliance holding the key to a UI but it would be more palletable for DUP voters to slip back across to the UUP rather than go to Alliance I think.

Arlene will be there until after the next election IMO. Replace her now, and if they do badly in the next election the new leader takes the fall for Arlene's poor leadership and the Brexit shitshow.
If they do well in the next election, it's the perfect time for Arlene to step down on a high.
But there is no doubt that party are a shambles at the minute. Arlene has no control over the likes of Sammy or Poots.
Who in the DUP at the moment would be better to work with as the DUP leader? Def not Sammy or Poots, def not Gregory. Ian Og could get his chance.

Think TUV will pick up some DUP votes from the hardcore bigots, ironically cos they realise theyve been shafted by Arlene's lot over Irish Sea border. Time is running out on her, think she'll be replaced by one of the nutters as they bid to try and hold on to that constituency. But I still believe they won't suffer too badly at polls, bulk of their voters are easily whipped up sheep.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on January 15, 2021, 06:43:53 PM
Gavin Robinson and Paul Girvan the only dup seats in danger id guess, the rest have very solid majorities.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 19, 2021, 08:39:27 PM
So the prat Liz Truss throws Airbus to the wolves in a bid to 'create goodwill' in the hope of landing a two-bit mini trade deal with the USA.

The USA promptly tells her she can take her goodwill and get fcuked.

Little Britain is starting to realise that it's a lonely old world out there...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55725718
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dublin7 on January 19, 2021, 09:20:08 PM
The company I work for imports about 50% of our stock from the UK for resale. It's been a s**t show since the 1st January trying to get goods in from England. Our couriers who told us they were prepared clearly aren't and have screwed up several times already. Some of our suppliers don't know what they're doing either and the whole things a complete mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 21, 2021, 12:37:16 PM
And lower and lower they go...

https://www.irishexaminer.com/world/arid-40211540.html

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on January 24, 2021, 01:59:38 PM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/loyalists-hold-talks-with-nio-to-express-anger-over-irish-sea-border-39997279.html

I find this just incredible and how its not been made a bigger deal off. Can you imagine the outrage if the Irish government held a meeting with dissidents. Even if the Slab was ever pictured walking out of a Sinn Fein office would probably collapse Stormont,

Leo is pretty quick throwing up to the Shinners about taking instructions from the Provos, where is the he on this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on January 24, 2021, 03:31:54 PM
Quote from: pbat on January 24, 2021, 01:59:38 PM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/loyalists-hold-talks-with-nio-to-express-anger-over-irish-sea-border-39997279.html

I find this just incredible and how its not been made a bigger deal off. Can you imagine the outrage if the Irish government held a meeting with dissidents. Even if the Slab was ever pictured walking out of a Sinn Fein office would probably collapse Stormont,

Leo is pretty quick throwing up to the Shinners about taking instructions from the Provos, where is the he on this.
I agree.  In the last couple of years they have also made representations to make the UDA legal again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 24, 2021, 03:51:19 PM
I can see the EU and the Brits tearing up the Withdrawal Agreement and the Trade deal because 2 illegal drug dealing sets of paramilitary thugs don't like it. ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 24, 2021, 06:16:27 PM
UK firms told 'set up in EU to avoid trade disruption'
What was Brexit for ??

The Cheshire Cheese Company, which sold £180,000 of cheese to the EU last year, found that every £25-30 gift box of cheese it sends to consumers on the Continent now needs a veterinary-approved health certificate costing £180. "I spoke to someone at the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs for advice. They told me setting up a fulfilment centre in the EU where we could pack the boxes was my only solution," co-founder Simon Spurrell told the BBC.

The firm, which had been optimistic about Brexit, is now looking at setting up a hub in France where it would "test the water".
But it has also scrapped plans to build a new £1m warehouse in Macclesfield employing 20-30 people.

"Instead we might end up employing French workers and paying tax to the EU," Mr Spurrell said.
"I left the EU as a UK citizen but now they are suggesting I rejoin my company to the EU, so what was Brexit for?"


https://www.bbc.com/news/business-55786974
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 24, 2021, 06:43:26 PM
Quote from: Main Street on January 24, 2021, 06:16:27 PM
UK firms told 'set up in EU to avoid trade disruption'
What was Brexit for ??

The Cheshire Cheese Company, which sold £180,000 of cheese to the EU last year, found that every £25-30 gift box of cheese it sends to consumers on the Continent now needs a veterinary-approved health certificate costing £180. "I spoke to someone at the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs for advice. They told me setting up a fulfilment centre in the EU where we could pack the boxes was my only solution," co-founder Simon Spurrell told the BBC.

The firm, which had been optimistic about Brexit, is now looking at setting up a hub in France where it would "test the water".
But it has also scrapped plans to build a new £1m warehouse in Macclesfield employing 20-30 people.

"Instead we might end up employing French workers and paying tax to the EU," Mr Spurrell said.
"I left the EU as a UK citizen but now they are suggesting I rejoin my company to the EU, so what was Brexit for?"


https://www.bbc.com/news/business-55786974



Well that is an awful awful shame. Hell slap it up any business owner stupid enough to fall for Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 24, 2021, 06:50:20 PM
The clown now knows what Brexit was for - to leave a common trade area with 450m residents so as he could trade with some far away Country with a much smaller population.
No cure for total stupidity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on January 24, 2021, 07:41:09 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 24, 2021, 03:51:19 PM
I can see the EU and the Brits tearing up the Withdrawal Agreement and the Trade deal because 2 illegal drug dealing sets of paramilitary thugs don't like it. ::)

The LCC also asked the NIO to ensure that new US President Joe Biden "was briefed on the need for impartiality and respect for the majority position in Northern Ireland when it comes to dealing with NI-US issues".

I laughed out loud reading that crap.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 31, 2021, 12:46:42 PM
UK applying to join Asia-Pacific free trade pact CPTPP

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/business-55871373
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 31, 2021, 01:53:02 PM
They'll be able to sell loads of cars to Japan.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on January 31, 2021, 08:21:59 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 24, 2021, 06:43:26 PM
Quote from: Main Street on January 24, 2021, 06:16:27 PM
UK firms told 'set up in EU to avoid trade disruption'
What was Brexit for ??

The Cheshire Cheese Company, which sold £180,000 of cheese to the EU last year, found that every £25-30 gift box of cheese it sends to consumers on the Continent now needs a veterinary-approved health certificate costing £180. "I spoke to someone at the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs for advice. They told me setting up a fulfilment centre in the EU where we could pack the boxes was my only solution," co-founder Simon Spurrell told the BBC.

The firm, which had been optimistic about Brexit, is now looking at setting up a hub in France where it would "test the water".
But it has also scrapped plans to build a new £1m warehouse in Macclesfield employing 20-30 people.

"Instead we might end up employing French workers and paying tax to the EU," Mr Spurrell said.
"I left the EU as a UK citizen but now they are suggesting I rejoin my company to the EU, so what was Brexit for?"


https://www.bbc.com/news/business-55786974



Well that is an awful awful shame. Hell slap it up any business owner stupid enough to fall for Brexit.

Would setting up in the occupied 6 do the same thing for him?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 31, 2021, 09:53:56 PM
https://telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/01/31/six-10-lorries-crossing-channel-empty-brexit-covid-bite/...

Fewer than four in every 10 lorries crossing the Channel from Dover are carrying goods to be sold abroad, according to new data which suggests that border chaos is threatening Britain's exports.

The Road Haulage Association (RHA) revealed that 65pc of vehicles using the key freight route into Europe are carrying nothing but fresh air – almost four times the normal empty level – due to worries about being held up by complex post-Brexit customs regulations.

The blow to Britain's exports is underlined by the association warning that traffic flows are still only 70pc of the normal level for this time of year.

A sample of two dozen British-based haulage firms operating a total of 862 vehicles using all UK ports to take freight to the EU carried just 248 loads in one week after the new customs regime was introduced.

In a normal week in the months ahead of Britain leaving the EU, they carried 782.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on February 01, 2021, 10:18:42 AM
Whether Brexit or Covid the reality of the situation is this. In my line of work we have "noticed" that our usual pattern of 3:1 ratio (i.e for every 3 imports into the uk you get one export container) has now changed. Last year a 40ft container from the far east to here was about $2000, now its $8000-$12000. We arent really interested anymore in exports from here all we want to do is load empty boxes back to China for the next import to come across. Export rates are around $1000 for a 40ft to far east. The only exports from UK in any volume is wastepaper and scrap metal. And the Chinese no longer want the wastepaper. Manufacturing is fecked. There is an old airfield in Suffolk somewhere with a heap of 40ft boxes full of PPE, enough for the next 5 years apparently. They are actually considering shipping it back to China as will be cheaper storage in the long run. Imports into Ireland have a similar pattern but at least there is the milkpowder market which makes up probably 50% of our exports from Dublin and Cork. Maddest one ive seen in a while is Ireland exporting sand to Saudi Arabia. Not joking.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tonto1888 on February 01, 2021, 09:34:46 PM
I see Mid East Antrim council are withdrawing staff from Larne port inspection duties after the graffiti incident last week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 01, 2021, 09:45:51 PM
Good old Larne. You wouldn't be happy working there with that graffiti then there was the varadakar stuff at the weekend of. Good old dup have done some job here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on February 01, 2021, 11:09:45 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 01, 2021, 09:45:51 PM
Good old Larne. You wouldn't be happy working there with that graffiti then there was the varadakar stuff at the weekend of. Good old dup have done some job here.
+1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 08:50:48 AM
Belfast port seem to have withdrawn staff now too. That'll show the EU where to put their border >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on February 02, 2021, 09:10:25 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 08:50:48 AM
Belfast port seem to have withdrawn staff now too. That'll show the EU where to put their border >:(

I presume they will just move the checks (and the jobs) to ports in Scotland and Wales?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 02, 2021, 09:11:04 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 08:50:48 AM
Belfast port seem to have withdrawn staff now too. That'll show the EU where to put their border >:(

Is the intent to bring these ports to a halt, prevent food getting in so that Article 16 is triggered??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 02, 2021, 09:19:12 AM
Unionism definitely smells an opportunity here after the EU's Article 16 blunder.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tonto1888 on February 02, 2021, 09:30:39 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 02, 2021, 09:11:04 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 08:50:48 AM
Belfast port seem to have withdrawn staff now too. That'll show the EU where to put their border >:(

Is the intent to bring these ports to a halt, prevent food getting in so that Article 16 is triggered??

I would say so. This is a political play
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on February 02, 2021, 09:31:03 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 02, 2021, 09:19:12 AM
Unionism definitely smells an opportunity here after the EU's Article 16 blunder.

I'm struggling to understand what that opportunity is ... a Brexit renegotiation around the NI Protocol, UK to invoke Article 16 and place a hard border in Ireland (which would be total political suicide for Unionism imo) ..... what else can they hope to achieve?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on February 02, 2021, 09:32:55 AM
Quote from: tonto1888 on February 02, 2021, 09:30:39 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 02, 2021, 09:11:04 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 08:50:48 AM
Belfast port seem to have withdrawn staff now too. That'll show the EU where to put their border >:(

Is the intent to bring these ports to a halt, prevent food getting in so that Article 16 is triggered??

I would say so. This is a political play

Go on Boris, send in the troops to re-open the ports.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 02, 2021, 09:33:56 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 02, 2021, 09:19:12 AM
Unionism definitely smells an opportunity here after the EU's Article 16 blunder.

It was indeed a blunder by the EU but this "act of hostility" as Arlene called it is only so because the EU attempted to trigger Article 16 but the previous two weeks or so she and her DUP colleagues have been asking Boris to trigger it anyway.

The DUP need the NI protocol binned or they're dust at the next elections in 2022

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 02, 2021, 09:34:56 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on February 02, 2021, 09:32:55 AM
Quote from: tonto1888 on February 02, 2021, 09:30:39 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 02, 2021, 09:11:04 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 08:50:48 AM
Belfast port seem to have withdrawn staff now too. That'll show the EU where to put their border >:(

Is the intent to bring these ports to a halt, prevent food getting in so that Article 16 is triggered??

I would say so. This is a political play

Go on Boris, send in the troops to re-open the ports.

Jesus, even Pat Sheehan would love to see that  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 09:35:24 AM
JC I wish I would believe that the DUP were dust. I'll believe it when I see it.

There was some grafitti in Carrick.
QuoteThe GFA is over. Ready for war.
As many of the comments beneath it said on social media I'm not sure who these people are going to war with.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 09:35:58 AM
Also if they send the troops in to reopen the ports it'll take 15 days to get all their equipment over apparently lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 02, 2021, 09:44:33 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 09:35:58 AM
Also if they send the troops in to reopen the ports it'll take 15 days to get all their equipment over apparently lol.

On the View last night you'd Billy Hutchinson, Edwin Poots, Jim Allister and Chris Hazard....

All Allister could do was berate the DUP and Poots for implementing the checks at Larne and Belfast (He mustn't have heard about Warrenpoint), and even Poots had to point out to him that these checks were agreed by the Sovereign Govt in Westminster and signed off by HM...
FFS the only one who talked sense on the unionist side was Hutchinson but one of his biggest concerns was people from his community losing their Britishness..

Hazard was a tad smug and that was annoying Jim no end.   ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 02, 2021, 10:05:12 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on February 02, 2021, 09:31:03 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 02, 2021, 09:19:12 AM
Unionism definitely smells an opportunity here after the EU's Article 16 blunder.

I'm struggling to understand what that opportunity is ... a Brexit renegotiation around the NI Protocol, UK to invoke Article 16 and place a hard border in Ireland (which would be total political suicide for Unionism imo) ..... what else can they hope to achieve?
Unilaterally override the new Customs set up I'd imagine, nothing says border like customs within your own country. Unionism can't hide how badly they've been screwed over with the current set up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tonto1888 on February 02, 2021, 10:51:13 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 02, 2021, 09:35:58 AM
Also if they send the troops in to reopen the ports it'll take 15 days to get all their equipment over apparently lol.
[/quote
They're not closing the ports. DAERA aren't doing physical checks but will still be doing documentary checks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 02, 2021, 12:14:09 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0202/1194523-northern-ireland-ports-eu/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Smokin Joe on February 02, 2021, 12:55:43 PM
Really interesting to see where this ends up.

If the threat of violence and intimidation causes the Protocol to be practically unworkable because the checks that need to be done can't be done then, given this is Northern Ireland, you would have to say that the entire Protocol is built on very shaky foundations.

I'm struggling to see what the eventual outcome is here.
Say the Protocol gets binned, what happens then?  A border on the island Ireland.
Guess what will happen then?

Presumably the EU can't just let goods go through without doing the checks?  And if things do back up then it works into Ian Paisley Jr's hands of "Invoke Article 16" as it is adversely effect trading between GB and NI.
But what is the alternative to the Protocol?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on February 02, 2021, 01:05:50 PM
Quote from: Smokin Joe on February 02, 2021, 12:55:43 PM
Really interesting to see where this ends up.

If the threat of violence and intimidation causes the Protocol to be practically unworkable because the checks that need to be done can't be done then, given this is Northern Ireland, you would have to say that the entire Protocol is built on very shaky foundations.

I'm struggling to see what the eventual outcome is here.
Say the Protocol gets binned, what happens then?  A border on the island Ireland.
Guess what will happen then?

Presumably the EU can't just let goods go through without doing the checks?  And if things do back up then it works into Ian Paisley Jr's hands of "Invoke Article 16" as it is adversely effect trading between GB and NI.
But what is the alternative to the Protocol?

Move the goods through Dublin. More expensive but it gets moved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Estimator on February 02, 2021, 01:07:27 PM
Could the checks take place before they leave the GB ports? You'd still have the same delays just no infrastructure here. Can't see Gove/Johnson invoking Art 16, as that could trigger many other issues with the EU. Plus they don't need the DUP, and I'm sure they haven't forgotten Arlene's 'naughty step' comment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Angelo on February 02, 2021, 01:11:49 PM
Who is driving the graffiti campaign. It's very coordinated.

Bryson? Loyalist paramilitaries?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 02, 2021, 01:16:08 PM
Quote from: Estimator on February 02, 2021, 01:07:27 PM
Could the checks take place before they leave the GB ports? You'd still have the same delays just no infrastructure here. Can't see Gove/Johnson invoking Art 16, as that could trigger many other issues with the EU. Plus they don't need the DUP, and I'm sure they haven't forgotten Arlene's 'naughty step' comment.

Checks taking place in GB ports would require a change of EU law and the British Gov would need to be comfortable with EU customs in GB ports. Not really "Brexit means Brexit"
The GB - Dublin - NI idea is worse. Checks at Dublin were taking days last time I talked to anyone mental enough to ship goods that road. That Holyhead - Dublin route has all but evaporated. Angelsey which voted to Leave have been hit particularly hard by this.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 02:01:23 PM
Quote from: Angelo on February 02, 2021, 01:11:49 PM
Who is driving the graffiti campaign. It's very coordinated.

Bryson? Loyalist paramilitaries?
Noticed that myself on twitter some people are pointing out similarities, seems to be an individual or two at most. This seems to be the beginning of their civil disobedience, heard that the lorry attack at Larne was loyalists also
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on February 02, 2021, 02:11:28 PM
I assumed that was Loyalists that targeted that lorry which that poor man lost his eye. I wonder had the lorry a name on it or anyway that identified it as probably been driven by a catholic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on February 02, 2021, 02:25:55 PM
Quote from: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 02:01:23 PM
Quote from: Angelo on February 02, 2021, 01:11:49 PM
Who is driving the graffiti campaign. It's very coordinated.

Bryson? Loyalist paramilitaries?
Noticed that myself on twitter some people are pointing out similarities, seems to be an individual or two at most. This seems to be the beginning of their civil disobedience, heard that the lorry attack at Larne was loyalists also

Most of them are in the same hand/spraycan writing ffs
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 02:43:24 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 02, 2021, 02:11:28 PM
I assumed that was Loyalists that targeted that lorry which that poor man lost his eye. I wonder had the lorry a name on it or anyway that identified it as probably been driven by a catholic.
Think it was meant to just damage the lorry, as a protest to the sea border, but it was just carrying parcels afaik
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on February 02, 2021, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on February 02, 2021, 02:25:55 PM
Quote from: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 02:01:23 PM
Quote from: Angelo on February 02, 2021, 01:11:49 PM
Who is driving the graffiti campaign. It's very coordinated.

Bryson? Loyalist paramilitaries?
Noticed that myself on twitter some people are pointing out similarities, seems to be an individual or two at most. This seems to be the beginning of their civil disobedience, heard that the lorry attack at Larne was loyalists also

Most of them are in the same hand/spraycan writing ffs
A spray can is a lethal weapon in NI, when used it's headline news all over and everybody runs for cover.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tonto1888 on February 02, 2021, 03:13:44 PM
Quote from: Estimator on February 02, 2021, 01:07:27 PM
Could the checks take place before they leave the GB ports? You'd still have the same delays just no infrastructure here. Can't see Gove/Johnson invoking Art 16, as that could trigger many other issues with the EU. Plus they don't need the DUP, and I'm sure they haven't forgotten Arlene's 'naughty step' comment.

Most checks are documentary and they are still happening
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 02, 2021, 05:54:32 PM
Hmmmmm.....
A couple of bits of graffiti....
DUPUDA Minister and DUPUDA dominated Council say it's not safe for staff to work so take them off the job....
DUPUDA hope Johnson and EU will drop "NI Protocol"....

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on February 02, 2021, 07:04:16 PM
Your wonder is there no serious political thinkers behind the scenes within the DUP, again reaching down to appease the knuckle draggers when polling shows its the moderate unionists they are losing in droves to the Alliance. They are the voters going to have the big influence in the border poll. Baffling.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 02, 2021, 07:12:02 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 02, 2021, 07:04:16 PM
Your wonder is there no serious political thinkers behind the scenes within the DUP, again reaching down to appease the knuckle draggers when polling shows its the moderate unionists they are losing in droves to the Alliance. They are the voters going to have the big influence in the border poll. Baffling.

Dodds was one of the few with the intelligence to devise a strategy, but for his own reasons he led them into this mess. Simon Hamilton left. There is a suggestion that Peter Robinson (who had a clue) is backing his namesake Gavin Robinson to challenge things a bit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 07:27:07 PM
A crowd of hooded UVF men congregated earlier in East Belfast, PSNI of course sent half a dozen of their men to go and watch
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on February 02, 2021, 07:29:48 PM
Quote from: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 07:27:07 PM
A crowd of hooded UVF men congregated earlier in East Belfast, PSNI of course sent half a dozen of their men to go and watch
Probably to see if they were socially-distanced?!!!  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 02, 2021, 08:11:12 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 02, 2021, 07:04:16 PM
Your wonder is there no serious political thinkers behind the scenes within the DUP, again reaching down to appease the knuckle draggers when polling shows its the moderate unionists they are losing in droves to the Alliance. They are the voters going to have the big influence in the border poll. Baffling.
The DUP are  politically knackered and need a spell in the wilderness. This happened before to the SDLP and UUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 02, 2021, 08:18:39 PM
Quote from: restorepride on February 02, 2021, 07:29:48 PM
Quote from: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 07:27:07 PM
A crowd of hooded UVF men congregated earlier in East Belfast, PSNI of course sent half a dozen of their men to go and watch
Probably to see if they were socially-distanced?!!!  ;)

At least they were masked!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on February 02, 2021, 08:47:49 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 02, 2021, 08:18:39 PM
Quote from: restorepride on February 02, 2021, 07:29:48 PM
Quote from: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 07:27:07 PM
A crowd of hooded UVF men congregated earlier in East Belfast, PSNI of course sent half a dozen of their men to go and watch
Probably to see if they were socially-distanced?!!!  ;)

At least they were masked!
Good one !!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on February 02, 2021, 10:38:44 PM
I hope this shooting dead in North Belfast is drugs related and nothing to do with that show of strength earlier by the UVF.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on February 02, 2021, 11:13:28 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 02, 2021, 10:38:44 PM
I hope this shooting dead in North Belfast is drugs related and nothing to do with that show of strength earlier by the UVF.
Think it was an ONH commander but not confirmed
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on February 03, 2021, 12:13:52 AM
Following the DUP's latest 5 point plan this evening, boycotting and disrupting everything and anything related to the island of Ireland, it looks more and more that they're in the process of self-imploding ... the problem is who else will be collateral damage when they do.  They are hell bent on stirring up the lowest common denominator of their support base .... no doubt we'll be facing mass rallies soon, civil unrest, and God forbid the murder of an innocent person.  And all because their glorious Brexit ain't what they'd hoped for after 5 weeks.  Guess what Arlene, you reap what you sow.

If this is the best Unionism can come up with, they're doomed sooner than I thought.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 03, 2021, 07:22:07 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on February 03, 2021, 12:13:52 AM
Following the DUP's latest 5 point plan this evening, boycotting and disrupting everything and anything related to the island of Ireland, it looks more and more that they're in the process of self-imploding ... the problem is who else will be collateral damage when they do.  They are hell bent on stirring up the lowest common denominator of their support base .... no doubt we'll be facing mass rallies soon, civil unrest, and God forbid the murder of an innocent person.  And all because their glorious Brexit ain't what they'd hoped for after 5 weeks.  Guess what Arlene, you reap what you sow.

If this is the best Unionism can come up with, they're doomed sooner than I thought.

The Tories refused to discuss the costs of Brexit last year.
The DUP are desperately trying to look credible. The Tories shafted them once and will again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 03, 2021, 07:43:42 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on February 03, 2021, 12:13:52 AM
Following the DUP's latest 5 point plan this evening, boycotting and disrupting everything and anything related to the island of Ireland, it looks more and more that they're in the process of self-imploding ... the problem is who else will be collateral damage when they do.  They are hell bent on stirring up the lowest common denominator of their support base .... no doubt we'll be facing mass rallies soon, civil unrest, and God forbid the murder of an innocent person.  And all because their glorious Brexit ain't what they'd hoped for after 5 weeks.  Guess what Arlene, you reap what you sow.

If this is the best Unionism can come up with, they're doomed sooner than I thought.

The DUP have cobbled a 'plan' together. Why?

They saw the result of the recent poll with the TUV on over 10%.  The DUP tell fellow unionists to row in behind them as they up the ante.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 03, 2021, 09:08:35 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on February 03, 2021, 12:13:52 AM
Following the DUP's latest 5 point plan this evening, boycotting and disrupting everything and anything related to the island of Ireland, it looks more and more that they're in the process of self-imploding ... the problem is who else will be collateral damage when they do.  They are hell bent on stirring up the lowest common denominator of their support base .... no doubt we'll be facing mass rallies soon, civil unrest, and God forbid the murder of an innocent person.  And all because their glorious Brexit ain't what they'd hoped for after 5 weeks.  Guess what Arlene, you reap what you sow.

If this is the best Unionism can come up with, they're doomed sooner than I thought.

I think there is a reluctance to bring people onto the streets a la the flag protests.
1 The optics in a pandemic are awful especially since SF continue to be linked with mass gatherings (rightly or wrongly)
2 They lost control of the flag protests pretty quickly and it harmed them more than helped them. There's a very ordinary Unionist who just wants a quite life, and they want nothing to do with violence.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on February 03, 2021, 09:49:27 AM
I'd disagree. Publicly they'll promote political solutions but behind closed doors they'll be more than happy to ramp things up. They're losing support to the TUV so expect a bit of flag waving and patriotic rhetoric in the next while or so
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 02:08:15 PM
Ian Óg wanting Boris to "be the unionist we need you to be"

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/northern_ireland/northern_ireland_politics (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/northern_ireland/northern_ireland_politics)

Own yer own shíte Ian and give Aaron Banks a call.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 03, 2021, 02:13:27 PM
So now Tory Gov do want extensions and grace periods, when it suits them..

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/feb/03/northern-ireland-uk-asks-eu-to-extend-grace-periods-on-brexit-checks

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 03, 2021, 02:38:15 PM
So what is Boris' next step?

Will he do anything?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 02:41:26 PM
Quote from: marty34 on February 03, 2021, 02:38:15 PM
So what is Boris' next step?

Will he do anything?

Blame the EU of course.

You'd hardly expect him or his Government to accept responsible for the out-workings of a legal agreement they diligently negotiated.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 03, 2021, 02:43:34 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 02:41:26 PM
Quote from: marty34 on February 03, 2021, 02:38:15 PM
So what is Boris' next step?

Will he do anything?

Blame the EU of course.

You'd hardly expect him or his Government to accept responsible for the out-workings of a legal agreement they diligently negotiated.

Yes, I understand that.  That's Boris.

But what happens next - will there be 'soft' changes to it?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JPGJOHNNYG on February 03, 2021, 03:07:44 PM
David Dunseith was great. I used to enjoy the show when he was host Crawley is alright but nothing in comparison but still light yrs better than Nolan.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 03, 2021, 03:30:12 PM

   https://www.ft.com/content/48694513-5532-4450-a3e5-cfdede6482be

   Making the Northern Ireland protocol work
An EU mistake has emboldened critics of the arrangement designed to avoid an Irish border
THE EDITORIAL BOARD


In the negotiations over Britain's withdrawal from the EU, the status of Northern Ireland — and the need to avoid creating a "hard" border with the south — became a dominant issue. Now, weeks after the post-Brexit transition period ended, have come two reminders of just how high the stakes are. On Friday, the European Commission raised the spectre of export controls on the island of Ireland as part of its misguided attempt to control movements of vaccines. Three days later, post-Brexit checks on animal products and food were suspended at Northern Irish ports after threats of violence towards those working there. The issue needs sensitive handling. Violence cannot be allowed to have a role in determining how the province is governed.

The suspension of border checks announced by Northern Ireland's agriculture minister Edwin Poots — a critic both of the post-Brexit Northern Ireland protocol and his party leader, the province's first minister Arlene Foster — should be temporary. Attempts by either loyalist or nationalist paramilitaries to disrupt Northern Ireland's functioning should be met with a restatement that the province is governed democratically and in accordance with the rule of law. Legitimate grievances over shortages in supermarkets and other problems in supplying goods need to be handled through democratic institutions, not intimidation.

That the suspension of checks followed a mistake by Brussels is doubly unfortunate. The ill-advised move by commission president Ursula von der Leyen to trigger article 16 of the protocol, which allows either side to unilaterally suspend any aspect of it because of "economic, societal or environmental difficulties", played into the hands of those who opposed the protocol in the first place. The decision to invoke it with scant consultation suggests Ms von der Leyen and some of her senior officials have not yet grasped the unique position of Northern Ireland and how many in the province have an interest in disrupting its stability.

The mistake was swiftly corrected, after frantic interventions by officials in Dublin and London. But the protocol remains fragile. Eurosceptic Conservatives and unionist politicians in Northern Ireland have called for the UK similarly to trigger article 16 in response to shortages of some goods in supermarkets and troubles with imports. The provision was only meant to be used in extreme circumstances but its brief invocation by Brussels over the vaccine row emboldens British critics of the "Irish Sea border". 

The UK and the EU must redouble their efforts to demonstrate the protocol can be made to work. In the words of the EU's Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier they need to "de-dramatise" the border: that means engaging with the joint EU-UK committee responsible for its implementation, not only when problems occur but proactively to head them off. The border will only become harder when a set of "grace periods" end in April.

Britain and the EU have called for a "reset" in relations over the province. That is wise. As rancour over negotiations fades, there is a chance to compromise. For the EU that may mean extending the grace periods and derogations from rules specific to the island of Ireland. Britain could consider adopting EU food hygiene rules, as Switzerland does, reducing frictions at the border. The EU and UK need to be constantly mindful of the sensitivities of both communities in the province. But, in the meantime, it is unconscionable that hardline unionists should be allowed to dictate whether the Brexit agreement is implemented in good faith.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 04:09:21 PM
Quote from: marty34 on February 03, 2021, 02:43:34 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 02:41:26 PM
Quote from: marty34 on February 03, 2021, 02:38:15 PM
So what is Boris' next step?

Will he do anything?

Blame the EU of course.

You'd hardly expect him or his Government to accept responsible for the out-workings of a legal agreement they diligently negotiated.

Yes, I understand that.  That's Boris.

But what happens next - will there be 'soft' changes to it?

There probably will be some tweaking around the edges but the EU won't budge in protecting the EU common market and the standards that go with it.
DUP want the NI protocol binned but that ship has sailed when they sunk Theresa May to appease the ERG, the dickheads.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mackers on February 03, 2021, 04:48:10 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 04:09:21 PM
DUP want the NI protocol binned but that ship has sailed when they sunk Theresa May to appease the ERG, the dickheads.
That's it in a nutshell right there but I have yet to hear any journalist/commentator pinning them on that.  They had free trade with both the EU and GB under May's deal with the business sector jumping up and down telling them to take it.  They turned their back on it for a harder Brexit.  It's frustrating that they're getting a free ride on this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 04:50:02 PM
Quote from: mackers on February 03, 2021, 04:48:10 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 04:09:21 PM
DUP want the NI protocol binned but that ship has sailed when they sunk Theresa May to appease the ERG, the dickheads.
That's it in a nutshell right there but I have yet to hear any journalist/commentator pinning them on that.  They had free trade with both the EU and GB under May's deal with the business sector jumping up and down telling them to take it.  They turned their back on it for a harder Brexit.  It's frustrating that they're getting a free ride on this.

Because there are no decent journalists in BBC NI and UTV.

Those in GB don't give a shíte
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 03, 2021, 05:35:05 PM
I think people do need to recognise that there are some issues with the protocol. Groupage and the sheer amount of paperwork and there's obviously a lot of grace periods. EHC's for Supermarkets, Customs decs for parcels, Pet docs and some meat products. So these issues need sorted.
This does need rectified. DUP are going about it the wrong way but I have probs with SDLP, SF and Alliance acting as if everything is fine.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 03, 2021, 06:10:53 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 03, 2021, 05:35:05 PM
I think people do need to recognise that there are some issues with the protocol. Groupage and the sheer amount of paperwork and there's obviously a lot of grace periods. EHC's for Supermarkets, Customs decs for parcels, Pet docs and some meat products. So these issues need sorted.
This does need rectified. DUP are going about it the wrong way but I have probs with SDLP, SF and Alliance acting as if everything is fine.
I agree, if this ends with the Protocol amended to make the lives of NI residents & businesses less complicated then happy days. It's not a - because Unionism wants it it must be detrimental to Nationalists type situation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 03, 2021, 06:19:14 PM
Quote from: mackers on February 03, 2021, 04:48:10 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 04:09:21 PM
DUP want the NI protocol binned but that ship has sailed when they sunk Theresa May to appease the ERG, the dickheads.
That's it in a nutshell right there but I have yet to hear any journalist/commentator pinning them on that.  They had free trade with both the EU and GB under May's deal with the business sector jumping up and down telling them to take it.  They turned their back on it for a harder Brexit.  It's frustrating that they're getting a free ride on this.

But that would have meant an all island economy similar to pre-Brexit, would it not?

But sure they couldn't be having that, because that would be like another step towards a United Ireland. That's bad enough, turning that down, screwing the business sector. But failing to deal with covid on an All Ireland basis, didn't cost jobs, it cost lives!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 03, 2021, 06:34:38 PM
Donaldson on RTÉ wants something which would allow stuff going from GB to "NI" only to flow without restriction.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on February 03, 2021, 06:57:09 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 03, 2021, 02:08:15 PM
Ian Óg wanting Boris to "be the unionist we need you to be"
That was Junior delving into his new age positive affirmations, tells Johnson 'be the best unionist he can be'.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on February 03, 2021, 07:13:16 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 03, 2021, 05:35:05 PM
I think people do need to recognise that there are some issues with the protocol. Groupage and the sheer amount of paperwork and there's obviously a lot of grace periods. EHC's for Supermarkets, Customs decs for parcels, Pet docs and some meat products. So these issues need sorted.
This does need rectified. DUP are going about it the wrong way but I have probs with SDLP, SF and Alliance acting as if everything is fine.
You are right, everything isn't fine, so rejoin the EU!?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 03, 2021, 07:13:53 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 03, 2021, 06:34:38 PM
Donaldson on RTÉ wants something which would allow stuff going from GB to "NI" only to flow without restriction.

This is a bit like saying that you'll only piss in your end of the pool.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 03, 2021, 07:24:50 PM
Hell slap it up them. Ive been waiting for this since 2016 and I will enjoy every minute of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 03, 2021, 07:30:45 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on February 03, 2021, 07:24:50 PM
Hell slap it up them. Ive been waiting for this since 2016 and I will enjoy every minute of it.

Schadenfreude, totally get it. But it will effect all our lives. If these grace periods end and things aren't sorted it'll probably be pretty shitty for us all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 03, 2021, 07:43:20 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/0203/1194705-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on February 03, 2021, 08:12:51 PM
Kate Hoey is one poisonous hag. Worse than anyone the DUP can roll out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on February 03, 2021, 10:44:28 PM
https://twitter.com/davidschneider/status/1356876954411089921?s=20
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dublin7 on February 03, 2021, 11:52:02 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...

I have spent the last week trying to deal with UPS. We were due to receive 5 packages from the UK at the start of January. We got 2 today. The rest are somewhere in their warehouse.

They are all over the place and are completely unprepared for Brexit. It doesn't help they have outsourced to the Philippines for their customer support so you're dealing with people with poor English who really don't know whats going on. I got an email yesterday from customer support that was so badly written you would think it was sent by a scammer.

Having made a number of complaints to escalate the issue I was told they have received alot of complaints so escalating any issue doesn't make any difference.

In terms of Brexit UPS's decision to cut costs is actually costing them money

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 04, 2021, 07:44:43 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...

Most businesses in the export busibess have low margins and were unprepared because tge Tories drove negotiations until Christmas Eve.

Brexit is economic vandalism.
The DUP pointed out to Johnson in 2019 that the sea border wouldn't work but he didn't care. All he wanted was Brexit

It's very emotional for the DUP
.
https://www.ft.com/content/9da1d290-ef5f-11e9-ad1e-4367d8281195 

In March 2019, Eurosceptic Conservative MPs — including Mr Johnson and Jacob Rees-Mogg, now leader of the House of Commons — vowed to stand with their unionist colleagues in opposing Theresa May's deal.
Mr Rees-Mogg declared he "would not abandon the DUP" only 24 hours before doing the opposite. While the DUP voted against Mrs May's deal, Mr Rees-Mogg and Mr Johnson supported it, viewing the withdrawal agreement then as perhaps their last chance to save Brexit.  
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 04, 2021, 10:37:57 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...

We're not finding that at all Milltown... companies were guessing as to what they would need without clear information until the end of December.

We then found that companies in the UK we were selling to were massively unprepared (We ship our stuff from Dublin). Those who were prepared and  had agreements in place with couriers then found out that the couriers were not even close to being as prepared as they should be and pulled back on the previous agreement they had.

I have stock from December orders still sitting in my warehouse because my customers couldn't work out a way to get them collected from Dublin and taken across. It looks like it will be collected early next week but it's been difficult and ties up cash.

My own opinion is that at least in terms of stock going from Ireland to GB it's teething problems and that as time goes on the flow will improve but I'm not sure about the flow of goods from GB to NI or Ireland I think that'll be more difficult.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on February 04, 2021, 10:45:21 AM
Quote from: dublin7 on February 03, 2021, 11:52:02 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...

I have spent the last week trying to deal with UPS. We were due to receive 5 packages from the UK at the start of January. We got 2 today. The rest are somewhere in their warehouse.

They are all over the place and are completely unprepared for Brexit. It doesn't help they have outsourced to the Philippines for their customer support so you're dealing with people with poor English who really don't know whats going on. I got an email yesterday from customer support that was so badly written you would think it was sent by a scammer.

Having made a number of complaints to escalate the issue I was told they have received alot of complaints so escalating any issue doesn't make any difference.

In terms of Brexit UPS's decision to cut costs is actually costing them money
Try DHL. I have found them a lot better than the rest over brexit. They must have been better prepared. TNT and UPS have been a complete joke
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on February 04, 2021, 10:57:52 AM
Quote from: screenexile on February 04, 2021, 10:37:57 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...

We're not finding that at all Milltown... companies were guessing as to what they would need without clear information until the end of December.

We then found that companies in the UK we were selling to were massively unprepared (We ship our stuff from Dublin). Those who were prepared and  had agreements in place with couriers then found out that the couriers were not even close to being as prepared as they should be and pulled back on the previous agreement they had.

I have stock from December orders still sitting in my warehouse because my customers couldn't work out a way to get them collected from Dublin and taken across. It looks like it will be collected early next week but it's been difficult and ties up cash.

My own opinion is that at least in terms of stock going from Ireland to GB it's teething problems and that as time goes on the flow will improve but I'm not sure about the flow of goods from GB to NI or Ireland I think that'll be more difficult.
Thats were I am having issues. Getting stuff from England over to here. But the problem is getting the goods lifted from the business premises, not any hold up at the ports (though this was an issue at the start). Its taking couriers days to arrange the actual collection as drivers, or the pallet network wont go near it until everything customs related has been sorted out, as a whole trailer can be held up because one pallet doesn't have the correct info. One of the issues Im hearing is that the lorry that the goods are going on the ferry has to be identified when booking it in with customs, and obviously that isn't straight forward, as couriers would have an arrange of options, and before would sort that out once the goods were collected. Now they have to have all that done in advance. Getting smaller goods over using parcelforce or DHL has been simple, no issues there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on February 04, 2021, 11:41:26 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on February 04, 2021, 10:45:21 AM
Quote from: dublin7 on February 03, 2021, 11:52:02 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...

I have spent the last week trying to deal with UPS. We were due to receive 5 packages from the UK at the start of January. We got 2 today. The rest are somewhere in their warehouse.

They are all over the place and are completely unprepared for Brexit. It doesn't help they have outsourced to the Philippines for their customer support so you're dealing with people with poor English who really don't know whats going on. I got an email yesterday from customer support that was so badly written you would think it was sent by a scammer.

Having made a number of complaints to escalate the issue I was told they have received alot of complaints so escalating any issue doesn't make any difference.

In terms of Brexit UPS's decision to cut costs is actually costing them money
Try DHL. I have found them a lot better than the rest over brexit. They must have been better prepared. TNT and UPS have been a complete joke

My biggest customer were using DHL... then DHL said they couldn't do it... then they said it would have to go to their hub in Belgium before it could cross to the UK.

Then they've said this is a mistake and that I need to complete new paperwork to take it to the UK direct from Dublin!! I completed that yesterday so just waiting on them to inform me of collection hopefully today!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on February 04, 2021, 01:04:35 PM
Poots is some boy.  Emerging finally that he made "the request" for Larne staff to be stood down.   Then stood down himself the same evening.  Probably God told him to do both.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 01:44:23 PM
Quote from: restorepride on February 04, 2021, 01:04:35 PM
Poots is some boy.  Emerging finally that he made "the request" for Larne staff to be stood down.   Then stood down himself the same evening.  Probably God told him to do both.

Yeah, seems he made the decision himself.

Did Harbour Agency say last night there was no threat?

Then Poots steps aside - very convenient as his last act.

You'd nearly think it was planned!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 04, 2021, 02:24:29 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 04, 2021, 11:41:26 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on February 04, 2021, 10:45:21 AM
Quote from: dublin7 on February 03, 2021, 11:52:02 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...

I have spent the last week trying to deal with UPS. We were due to receive 5 packages from the UK at the start of January. We got 2 today. The rest are somewhere in their warehouse.

They are all over the place and are completely unprepared for Brexit. It doesn't help they have outsourced to the Philippines for their customer support so you're dealing with people with poor English who really don't know whats going on. I got an email yesterday from customer support that was so badly written you would think it was sent by a scammer.

Having made a number of complaints to escalate the issue I was told they have received alot of complaints so escalating any issue doesn't make any difference.

In terms of Brexit UPS's decision to cut costs is actually costing them money
Try DHL. I have found them a lot better than the rest over brexit. They must have been better prepared. TNT and UPS have been a complete joke

My biggest customer were using DHL... then DHL said they couldn't do it... then they said it would have to go to their hub in Belgium before it could cross to the UK.

Then they've said this is a mistake and that I need to complete new paperwork to take it to the UK direct from Dublin!! I completed that yesterday so just waiting on them to inform me of collection hopefully today!

Fedex have been delivering stuff into us from a UK supplier this last week, a day longer than usual due to a backlog at the ports they said but no real issues.

Our supplier did say that some of the smaller couriers wouldn't ship to NI, "till the mess was sorted out"

Arlene will have it sorted shortly cause Boris said so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 04, 2021, 03:46:38 PM
Quote from: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 01:44:23 PM
Quote from: restorepride on February 04, 2021, 01:04:35 PM
Poots is some boy.  Emerging finally that he made "the request" for Larne staff to be stood down.   Then stood down himself the same evening.  Probably God told him to do both.

Yeah, seems he made the decision himself.

Did Harbour Agency say last night there was no threat?

Then Poots steps aside - very convenient as his last act.

You'd nearly think it was planned!
All orchestrated by DUPUDA!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 04, 2021, 03:55:27 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 04, 2021, 02:24:29 PM
Quote from: screenexile on February 04, 2021, 11:41:26 AM
Quote from: HiMucker on February 04, 2021, 10:45:21 AM
Quote from: dublin7 on February 03, 2021, 11:52:02 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on February 03, 2021, 11:27:16 PM
Not going to read through all this, but a lot of businesses were given clear instructions by the government on what was needed to work with the border in the Irish Sea.

Is it possible that not too many took it seriously? That 'it'll be alright' ?

One of my clients works for a shipping company, she deals with the freight side of things, the paperwork was explained and they had all the info, the problem is they haven't bothered with it and carried on regardless, lorries head across the sea full of goods only to come back empty...

I have spent the last week trying to deal with UPS. We were due to receive 5 packages from the UK at the start of January. We got 2 today. The rest are somewhere in their warehouse.

They are all over the place and are completely unprepared for Brexit. It doesn't help they have outsourced to the Philippines for their customer support so you're dealing with people with poor English who really don't know whats going on. I got an email yesterday from customer support that was so badly written you would think it was sent by a scammer.

Having made a number of complaints to escalate the issue I was told they have received alot of complaints so escalating any issue doesn't make any difference.

In terms of Brexit UPS's decision to cut costs is actually costing them money
Try DHL. I have found them a lot better than the rest over brexit. They must have been better prepared. TNT and UPS have been a complete joke

My biggest customer were using DHL... then DHL said they couldn't do it... then they said it would have to go to their hub in Belgium before it could cross to the UK.

Then they've said this is a mistake and that I need to complete new paperwork to take it to the UK direct from Dublin!! I completed that yesterday so just waiting on them to inform me of collection hopefully today!

Fedex have been delivering stuff into us from a UK supplier this last week, a day longer than usual due to a backlog at the ports they said but no real issues.

Our supplier did say that some of the smaller couriers wouldn't ship to NI, "till the mess was sorted out"

Arlene will have it sorted shortly cause Boris said so.

All our packages are dealt with by UPS, online deliveries was going great up to the start of Jan, the first indication we got was the online line shipping website, it didn't recognise NI  and they had a day or two sorting that out, then the drop down menu had Northern Ireland put into it (wherever that is ;D ) anyways that was good, it able us to then print off packing slip, but then trying to order a pick up was not working.

We are lucky in that the driver whom we use gave us his number and we phone him and he's there at some point during the day tp do a collection

I'd say we are a couple of days out of the normal time frame for orders be delivered, which at the minute isn't too much of a problem

As for the client I know, she's adamant that all her customers were given clear instructions on what paperwork was required, though as someone said, it was so late in the day that these things could have been fucked up.

As for loyalist threats, who are they going to fight with? Boris?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on February 04, 2021, 04:48:40 PM
They are terrified of the tories for some reason
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 04, 2021, 05:22:45 PM
Arlene Foster who last week claimed that the EU's decision to trigger Article 16 was an incredible act of hostility, now wants the UK government to trigger the same article 16. She wants Unionists to unite and not turn inwards on itself over Brexit, well she would given that she presided over the decision to turn down Theresa May's deal which would have avoided a sea border.

Hard core unionism yet again chasing the hollow short term victory but yet offers absolutely no vision for what it actually wants. Just batten down the hatches, recoil into themselves, they are becoming more insular with each passing year. Similar to the last Westminster election, the last week has shown yet again how they are led by the hand by loyalist paramilitaries. They are willing to use the shield provided by these loyalist thugs in masks whenever it suits them. I also find it bizarre how they are willing to be shafted time and again by an English nationalist Tory government and they will be used by them again for their own political games with the EU.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 04, 2021, 05:55:21 PM
Wee Arlene is an opportunist. She is not strategic. Her Brexit strategy of no no no ended in disaster with the Sea Border and polling of 20%. She is attempting to stand up.to the Single Market now. Should have gone to Radio Rentals 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 04, 2021, 07:19:05 PM
For the DUP it will fit them well going into an election, that's them sorted again. Covid will be forgotten about
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 04, 2021, 07:25:03 PM
Yep, losing their bitterest wing to Allister meant they had to out extreme the TUVs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 07:37:25 PM
It'll be interesting to see how the TUV do at the next election - have they anybody else apart from Allister?

That poll panicked Arlene into the 5 point plan for sure.  Now they'll be back in as the housewife's favourite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on February 04, 2021, 09:43:09 PM
Poots and in fact both Unionist parties are being told by the Orange Order what they must do. This is what the Orange Order is about, this is their sole goal.
Make no mistake where the orders are coming from.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on February 04, 2021, 10:19:53 PM
It is great to see Simon Coveney stand up for northern nationalists.

For far too long southern politicians ignored us, letting unionists and the orange order tr**p all over us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 04, 2021, 11:09:00 PM
Quote from: Orior on February 04, 2021, 10:19:53 PM
It is great to see Simon Coveney stand up for northern nationalists.

For far too long southern politicians ignored us, letting unionists and the orange order tr**p all over us.

Yep. Btw, He's only pointing out basic facts. All huff and puff from Arlene and co but no alternative bar a renegotiation of the entire Brexit agreement.
        Boris and the conservatives could not give one shite and would sell them down the river again and the mugs would be happy enough to go along with it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Tony Baloney on February 04, 2021, 11:10:41 PM
Mark Carruthers wiped the floor with Arlene tonight.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on February 04, 2021, 11:35:30 PM
He should have threw in the curve ball question when the GFA was being talked about...."Arlene do you support the good Friday agreement...yes or no. Boom she would have choked.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 11:57:08 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 04, 2021, 11:10:41 PM
Mark Carruthers wiped the floor with Arlene tonight.

Yeah, he caught her well with the high percentages in the maunfacturing companies' survey.

He nailed her on the most important point - it's all about the constitutional issue and f*%k all to do with trade and business etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on February 05, 2021, 12:35:57 AM
Quote from: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 11:57:08 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 04, 2021, 11:10:41 PM
Mark Carruthers wiped the floor with Arlene tonight.

Yeah, he caught her well with the high percentages in the maunfacturing companies' survey.

He nailed her on the most important point - it's all about the constitutional issue and f*%k all to do with trade and business etc.

The simple fact of the matter is the DUP wanted the biggest Trump style wall they could get between the North and the South. Brexit was going to be the thing to put those pesky Fenians back in their box and they could revel in the glory days again of lording it over them. They put the house on Brexit delivering that and it has backfired in predictable fashion.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on February 05, 2021, 01:30:44 AM
Arlene was destroyed on The View tonight, and great to see it.  She hadn't a leg to stand on when Carruthers exposed her and the DUP for what it's all about ... feck the businesses and livelihoods, it's all about the constitution and them remaining ultra-British.  They really are pathetic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 05, 2021, 08:43:55 AM
Quote from: Orior on February 04, 2021, 10:19:53 PM
It is great to see Simon Coveney stand up for northern nationalists.

For far too long southern politicians ignored us, letting unionists and the orange order tr**p all over us.
The nationalist side has been working together all through the Brexit pantomime. It took a lot of work to get Barnier to understand the importance of not having a trade border between Donegal and Throne.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 05, 2021, 10:01:41 AM
Quote from: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 11:57:08 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 04, 2021, 11:10:41 PM
Mark Carruthers wiped the floor with Arlene tonight.

Yeah, he caught her well with the high percentages in the maunfacturing companies' survey.

He nailed her on the most important point - it's all about the constitutional issue and f*%k all to do with trade and business etc.

Watched it there now and he set her up like a good one and she was too dumb to see it and hoisted her on her own petard..

She's poor at this stuff when the interviewer knows their stuff.

Wonder will Carruthers get threatened like William Crawley for not following the loyalist narrative...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Estimator on February 05, 2021, 10:13:59 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 05, 2021, 10:01:41 AM
Quote from: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 11:57:08 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 04, 2021, 11:10:41 PM
Mark Carruthers wiped the floor with Arlene tonight.

Yeah, he caught her well with the high percentages in the maunfacturing companies' survey.

He nailed her on the most important point - it's all about the constitutional issue and f*%k all to do with trade and business etc.

Watched it there now and he set her up like a good one and she was too dumb to see it and hoisted her on her own petard..

She's poor at this stuff when the interviewer knows their stuff.

Wonder will Carruthers get threatened like William Crawley for not following the loyalist narrative...

Yeah, I see Bryson routinely having a go at Crawley, usual repetitive name-calling and attacking talk back.

Responding to a Bryson tweet, some lad brings up Crawley's family/background, to which Crawley calls out Bryson on how his constant attacks on him/TalkBack, leads to these sort of veiled threats. Of course Bryson denies this is the case, stating
"I criticised your activities as a publicly funded presenter"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mackers on February 05, 2021, 11:06:05 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 05, 2021, 10:01:41 AM
Quote from: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 11:57:08 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 04, 2021, 11:10:41 PM
Mark Carruthers wiped the floor with Arlene tonight.

Yeah, he caught her well with the high percentages in the maunfacturing companies' survey.

He nailed her on the most important point - it's all about the constitutional issue and f*%k all to do with trade and business etc.

Watched it there now and he set her up like a good one and she was too dumb to see it and hoisted her on her own petard..

She's poor at this stuff when the interviewer knows their stuff.

Wonder will Carruthers get threatened like William Crawley for not following the loyalist narrative...
We called the lack of questioning of the DUP on the airwaves out a few pages back johnny but in fairness Carruthers did a great job.  He is the best interviewer out there and I rarely miss him.  He nails all of the politicians in fairness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 05, 2021, 01:10:59 PM
How is Jim 'my community' on Nolan every day.

Like a few people on here, he's very angry.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 05, 2021, 01:13:51 PM
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dynamics-have-changed-says-dups-foster-on-ni-protocol-benefits-remarks-40055520.html

Tony Blair's former chief of staff Jonathan Powell said the blame of the protocol should be laid at the feet of Boris Johnson and Brexit.

He added that the DUP have paid a high price for putting their faith into the Prime Minister.
"They didn't see the danger for themselves that Boris Johnson might ditch what they wanted and opt for a completely different approach at the last minute in the Brexit negotiations," he told BBC Radio Ulster's Stephen Nolan Show.
"They are not the first group of people that Boris Johnson has left at the altar and they won't be the last but they have paid a very high price for it."

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 05, 2021, 01:31:23 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on February 04, 2021, 11:35:30 PM
He should have threw in the curve ball question when the GFA was being talked about...."Arlene do you support the good Friday agreement...yes or no. Boom she would have choked.

It really is a perfect shitstorm for the DUP.  All of their own doing. They voted against Theresa May when they held the balance of power, throwing their lot in with Boris and the hard brexiteers who promptly shafted them. The ordinary voter living in England couldn't give two shites about unionism.
        They've engineered this current crisis in ordere to renegotiate the entire brexit agreement! Wtf planet are they living on?
         They've gone back to their usual stance of Irish interference in Northern Ireland and how that led to the current position, in order to appeal to their hardline supporters after the latest drop in polls.
          There is a new US president who has stated  openly that their must be no return to a hard border in Ireland or could affect trade between UK and US.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/joe-biden-brexit-good-friday-agreement-trade-deal-b457753.html%3famp
    The very real possibility of an independent Scotland (aligned to the EU) when a referendum is called.
     The change in demographics in NI and the call for a border poll here.
        Surely any Unionist politician with half a brain can see the position they are in?
     

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 05, 2021, 02:41:45 PM
Does such exist?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on February 05, 2021, 02:43:33 PM
They just revert to type, heads in the sand and blame everyone else, not before getting the loyalists all riled up first. It's actually great to see, knowing all this bluster will amount to nothing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 05, 2021, 03:11:27 PM
Just shows you how completely incompetent May was;

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/feb/05/philip-hammond-brexit-candour-former-chancellor-interview

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 05, 2021, 03:37:46 PM
Quote from: general_lee on February 05, 2021, 02:43:33 PM
They just revert to type, heads in the sand and blame everyone else, not before getting the loyalists all riled up first. It's actually great to see, knowing all this bluster will amount to nothing.

Curry my yoghurt Campbell and the DUP looking for a bogey man to blame and currently its Coveney, the Irish Gov and the "pro NI Protocol" parties in the North, in particular the Alliance who they obviously fear most in taking votes from them..

Ian Óg grovelling to Boris the other day would embarrass most people but not Ian.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 05, 2021, 03:47:13 PM
Same as those flag protests they are trying to stitch up alliance. Some of those alliance councillors will end up seriously hurt or worse some of these days with the stirring the DUP are doing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on February 05, 2021, 03:55:06 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on February 05, 2021, 01:30:44 AM
Arlene was destroyed on The View tonight, and great to see it.  She hadn't a leg to stand on when Carruthers exposed her and the DUP for what it's all about ... feck the businesses and livelihoods, it's all about the constitution and them remaining ultra-British.  They really are pathetic.

Yeah she really was against the wall.
The face kept getting redder and the breathing heavier. She was livid but did well not to let rip.
Arlene and the DUP are a joke.
The people who vote for them are more of a joke.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 05, 2021, 03:59:29 PM
This is from 2019 at the time of the deal

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/10/21/tories-must-unite-stop-labours-plot-wreck-boris-johnsons-brexit/
For the DUP, the separate treatment of Northern Ireland is unacceptable. Yet when Theresa May went to the extreme length of keeping the whole of the UK in a closer arrangement with the EU to save them from this outcome, they were emphatically against that as well. They are also against leaving without a deal. Did it not occur to them when they campaigned for Brexit that it would be very likely to entail one of the three outcomes they are now against?


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 05, 2021, 04:04:23 PM
All they saw was border fences and checkpoints and customs posts etc and the end of the GFA.
Totally ignored the 57% vote to stay in the EU and ignored the fact that they're not 60% of the population any more.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 05, 2021, 05:25:06 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on February 05, 2021, 12:35:57 AM
Quote from: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 11:57:08 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 04, 2021, 11:10:41 PM
Mark Carruthers wiped the floor with Arlene tonight.

Yeah, he caught her well with the high percentages in the maunfacturing companies' survey.

He nailed her on the most important point - it's all about the constitutional issue and f*%k all to do with trade and business etc.

The simple fact of the matter is the DUP wanted the biggest Trump style wall they could get between the North and the South.
Brexit was going to be the thing to put those pesky Fenians back in their box and they could revel in the glory days again of lording it over them. They put the house on Brexit delivering that and it has backfired in predictable fashion.

I'm not even sure that is actually true. Don't get me wrong, many of them would love nothing better than for such a situation to materialise but any of them with an ounce of strategic vision could not deny the fact that demographics are gradually eroding the unionist majority. They can no longer lord it over nationalists in the way they have done in the past and calling for a hard border on the island, while privately desirable to many of them, would simply have created a clamour for a border poll.

The reality is that they never really expected Brexit to actually win and therefore there was no real debate or consideration given to the outworjkings of it. It was all about playing the Superbrits to impress the 'mainlanders'. Just another attempt to prove their loyalty to the crown and to an audience who care little for them. I think Simon Hamilton was the only DUP member who expressed reservations about campaigning for Brexit and he was quickly shuffled aside, he must have a wry smile at how events have unfolded since.

The reality is that any hint of a concession to nationalists or perceived dilution of their Britishness and the Orange Order and Loyalist paramilitaries are wheeled out as a shield. We've seen it with the Irish language act, with the loyalist meetings and smear campaign against Finucane during the last Westminster election and now with the Brexit Sea Border. The Orange Order and the Loyalists are the tail wagging the DUP dog.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 05, 2021, 06:11:48 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 05, 2021, 04:04:23 PM
All they saw was border fences and checkpoints and customs posts etc and the end of the GFA.
Totally ignored the 57% vote to stay in the EU and ignored the fact that they're not 60% of the population any more.
Boris Johnson shafted them but they wouldn't vote for anything else.
They brought it on themselves.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/10/21/tories-must-unite-stop-labours-plot-wreck-boris-johnsons-brexit/
For the DUP, the separate treatment of Northern Ireland is unacceptable. Yet when Theresa May went to the extreme length of keeping the whole of the UK in a closer arrangement with the EU to save them from this outcome, they were emphatically against that as well. They are also against leaving without a deal. Did it not occur to them when they campaigned for Brexit that it would be very likely to entail one of the three outcomes they are now against?

https://www.ft.com/content/62a42fe4-f3e7-11e9-b018-3ef8794b17c6
Mr Johnson has been shown to be as treacherous as his critics would have us believe. Whatever the rights and wrongs of the arguments, his sellout of his coalition partners, Northern Ireland's Democratic Unionist party, was a spectacular betrayal. Speaking to their conference, before he was leader, he asserted that "no British Conservative government could or should sign up" to a regulatory and customs border in the Irish Sea. He last week signed up to one.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on February 05, 2021, 09:18:36 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on February 05, 2021, 05:25:06 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on February 05, 2021, 12:35:57 AM
Quote from: marty34 on February 04, 2021, 11:57:08 PM
Quote from: Tony Baloney on February 04, 2021, 11:10:41 PM
Mark Carruthers wiped the floor with Arlene tonight.

Yeah, he caught her well with the high percentages in the maunfacturing companies' survey.

He nailed her on the most important point - it's all about the constitutional issue and f*%k all to do with trade and business etc.

The simple fact of the matter is the DUP wanted the biggest Trump style wall they could get between the North and the South.
Brexit was going to be the thing to put those pesky Fenians back in their box and they could revel in the glory days again of lording it over them. They put the house on Brexit delivering that and it has backfired in predictable fashion.

I'm not even sure that is actually true. Don't get me wrong, many of them would love nothing better than for such a situation to materialise but any of them with an ounce of strategic vision could not deny the fact that demographics are gradually eroding the unionist majority. They can no longer lord it over nationalists in the way they have done in the past and calling for a hard border on the island, while privately desirable to many of them, would simply have created a clamour for a border poll.

The reality is that they never really expected Brexit to actually win and therefore there was no real debate or consideration given to the outworjkings of it. It was all about playing the Superbrits to impress the 'mainlanders'. Just another attempt to prove their loyalty to the crown and to an audience who care little for them. I think Simon Hamilton was the only DUP member who expressed reservations about campaigning for Brexit and he was quickly shuffled aside, he must have a wry smile at how events have unfolded since.

The reality is that any hint of a concession to nationalists or perceived dilution of their Britishness and the Orange Order and Loyalist paramilitaries are wheeled out as a shield. We've seen it with the Irish language act, with the loyalist meetings and smear campaign against Finucane during the last Westminster election and now with the Brexit Sea Border. The Orange Order and the Loyalists are the tail wagging the DUP dog.

You are 100% right about the Orange Order and Loyalist groups being the tail that is waging the dog but I think you are giving the DUP more credit about their Brexit position than they deserve. Unionism is so short sighted they can't see more than one day ahead at a time, never mind a week, a month or even a year. It's all about the Union and being Super Brits today and to hell with anything else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on February 05, 2021, 09:26:20 PM
Don't write the DUP off, they are the masters of falling in shit and come up smelling of roses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 05, 2021, 10:06:26 PM
True, the OO is calling the shots now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on February 05, 2021, 10:11:22 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on February 05, 2021, 09:26:20 PM
Don't write the DUP off, they are the masters of falling in shit and come up smelling of roses.

Don't fancy their chances this time ... what they're asking for in reality is a renegotiation of the torturous Brexit deal ... can't see either the EU or UK wanting to touch it anytime soon.  Their only hope is to play the orange drum and vote the NI protocol down in 4 years time .... but that won't happen either as I can't see there ever being a unionist majority in the assembly again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 05, 2021, 10:18:43 PM
There'll be no changes of any magnitude, extensions of grace periods will likely be granted by the EU and claimed as a victory of some shape or form. The Loyalist rumblings turning out to be factional feuding rather than protocol anger will also have taken a bit of the wind out of DUP sails
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on February 05, 2021, 11:13:17 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on February 05, 2021, 10:11:22 PM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on February 05, 2021, 09:26:20 PM
Don't write the DUP off, they are the masters of falling in shit and come up smelling of roses.

Don't fancy their chances this time ... what they're asking for in reality is a renegotiation of the torturous Brexit deal ... can't see either the EU or UK wanting to touch it anytime soon.  Their only hope is to play the orange drum and vote the NI protocol down in 4 years time .... but that won't happen either as I can't see there ever being a unionist majority in the assembly again.
I agree.  On TUV this evening (sorry, I meant UTV!!) they gave Nigel Dodds a free run on asking for more signatures (must break broadcasting rules/standards?) and then wheeled out, as a voice of Loyalism, a lady I  had never heard of before!  A lost and planted tribe?   In fact they actually are a panted tribe, buried in the bible shite, and lost!   Makes sense, really.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 06, 2021, 12:03:37 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/ulster/2021/0205/1195383-larne-port/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tonto1888 on February 06, 2021, 12:06:33 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 06, 2021, 12:03:37 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/ulster/2021/0205/1195383-larne-port/

That was known last week. A political stunt. Nothing more
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on February 06, 2021, 12:14:07 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 06, 2021, 12:03:37 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/ulster/2021/0205/1195383-larne-port/
Yes they have all returned after the threat which no-one could confirm, from people who no-one could see or speak to!!!!!!

This 'invisible threat' persuaded Edwind Poots to stand down.  Should he not have asked the Psni to intervene?

Anyhow, Edwin has stepped down and that is good news for all those who don't believe that Mary was a virgin!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 06, 2021, 06:33:59 AM
Quote from: Jeepers Creepers on February 05, 2021, 09:26:20 PM
Don't write the DUP off, they are the masters of falling in shit and come up smelling of roses.

Brexit is English nationalism so by definition it is a crisis for Unionism

The DUP are sponsored by Currymi Yogutt. They are playing senior hurling. With hockey sticks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 06, 2021, 11:29:26 AM
Following on their watching the UVF march about East Belfast unhindered another OG by the PSNI

https://www.rte.ie/news/regional/2021/0205/1195387-belfast-man-arrested/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on February 06, 2021, 11:48:02 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 06, 2021, 11:29:26 AM
Following on their watching the UVF march about East Belfast unhindered another OG by the PSNI

https://www.rte.ie/news/regional/2021/0205/1195387-belfast-man-arrested/
RTE only two days behind
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 04:58:15 PM
This last week really does raise so many questions here between impartiality of psni, divisive rhetoric on brexit, taking staff out of those ports for their own safety etc. It would be fine to say some people haven't moved on but the psni move at this particular time I find very worrying. The dup are going to resort to division as it is the only way they will survive and they will do that even if it costs lives. We know that well by now. The psni should be impartial. It is a very worrying development that business on the ormeau road.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 06, 2021, 06:32:26 PM
The PSNI is still run by senior officers of utterly discredited RUC. As a sidebar, one of them is now running Garda. How the f**k did that happen?  But I digress. Byrne, who is a bona fide idiot (check out his history), was appointed by Policing Board, so he wouldn't have got job but for acquiescence of Shinners. OK, they wanted to stop one of these bigots getting top job, so they accepted a f**king clown, but what they should have been doing was trying to rid police top echelon of these c***ts. They couldn't see the wood for the trees, the stupid bastards. What happened on Ormeau Road, especially in light of UVF shenanigans in east Belfast, has proved the PSNI will never be accepted as an unbiased police force. No good Shinners whining about what happened, they carry lot of blame. f**k the PSNI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tintin25 on February 06, 2021, 07:06:22 PM
You'd seriously wonder what sort of intelligence these PSNI officers have.  Appears the only people joining them now are proper bigots and people who were never able to make a career out of anything else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 06, 2021, 07:13:42 PM
Quote from: tintin25 on February 06, 2021, 07:06:22 PM
You'd seriously wonder what sort of intelligence these PSNI officers have.  Appears the only people joining them now are proper bigots and people who were never able to make a career out of anything else.

You mean teachers?

8)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 06, 2021, 07:14:02 PM
They have serious problems recruiting from nationalist population, theyve been sussed, but under regulations they have to. They can't square circle. They blame threat from dissidents, but that's just unionist cop out. The statelet is a failure,you can't put lipstick on a pig. f**k the PSNI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on February 06, 2021, 07:23:43 PM
Quote from: red hander on February 06, 2021, 07:14:02 PM
They have serious problems recruiting from nationalist population, theyve been sussed, but under regulations they have to. They can't square circle. They blame threat from dissidents, but that's just unionist cop out. The statelet is a failure,you can't put lipstick on a pig. f**k the PSNI.
They did manage to recruitment quite a few from down south.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 06, 2021, 07:38:01 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 06, 2021, 07:23:43 PM
Quote from: red hander on February 06, 2021, 07:14:02 PM
They have serious problems recruiting from nationalist population, theyve been sussed, but under regulations they have to. They can't square circle. They blame threat from dissidents, but that's just unionist cop out. The statelet is a failure,you can't put lipstick on a pig. f**k the PSNI.
They did manage to recruitment quite a few from down south.

Long history of West Brits,  unfortunately.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on February 06, 2021, 07:42:15 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/feb/06/ireland-conservatives-dup-union-brexit

Tough read there for the DUP,
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 06, 2021, 07:57:17 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 06, 2021, 07:42:15 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/feb/06/ireland-conservatives-dup-union-brexit

Tough read there for the DUP,

Perfect. Paisley junior's whining is music to the ears. And the next time Newsletter and Telegraph try to whip up storm about Republican memorials, just ask.Are you going to demolish statue of terrorist gunrunner at Stormont?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 08:06:21 PM
The psni have now apologised and suspended one officer and relocated another after the debacle on the ormeau road. That is not good. They have set themselves back years here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 06, 2021, 08:14:37 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 08:06:21 PM
The psni have now apologised and suspended one officer and relocated another after the debacle on the ormeau road. That is not good. They have set themselves back years here.

They lied through their teeth about 30-40 people. Footage completely disproved this. They're employing clowns who can't count, but who are also too thick to realise they're being filmed. Byrne must go.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 06, 2021, 09:34:54 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 06, 2021, 07:42:15 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/feb/06/ireland-conservatives-dup-union-brexit

Tough read there for the DUP,

Yep, but they would be back again to Boris in the morning. The mugs. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 06, 2021, 09:38:26 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 06, 2021, 07:42:15 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/feb/06/ireland-conservatives-dup-union-brexit

Tough read there for the DUP,

Required reading, some chuckle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 06, 2021, 09:49:34 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 06, 2021, 09:38:26 PM
Quote from: pbat on February 06, 2021, 07:42:15 PM
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/feb/06/ireland-conservatives-dup-union-brexit

Tough read there for the DUP,

Required reading, some chuckle.

Fantastic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 09:57:01 PM
So in Larne the unions who were supposed to be the ones raising concerns about alleged threats to workers leading to it's shutdown. The unions are disputing this. Is this more shit stirring but the dup??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 06, 2021, 10:20:47 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 09:57:01 PM
So in Larne the unions who were supposed to be the ones raising concerns about alleged threats to workers leading to it's shutdown. The unions are disputing this. Is this more shit stirring but the dup??

I think there should be serious investigation into what happened with this - all of it.

Was there any threats or did the council, in conjunction with Poots, do a uni-lateral move here?

This needs investigating - surely a good investigative journalist should be straight onto this?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 10:23:03 PM
I hope to see more on it. They really are shit stirring and need to be caught out on it.

The question for me is who was behind that shitshow on the ormeau road and what were the police even doing there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 06, 2021, 10:29:13 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 09:57:01 PM
So in Larne the unions who were supposed to be the ones raising concerns about alleged threats to workers leading to it's shutdown. The unions are disputing this. Is this more shit stirring but the dup??

Yes, I think this threat towards port staff was made up by the unionist parties.

They want customs posts at the border. NI to have a wall built around it. To hell with cross border trade, businesses, farmers and the north's economy! NI is british. No surrender!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on February 06, 2021, 10:33:31 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 04:58:15 PM
This last week really does raise so many questions here between impartiality of psni, divisive rhetoric on brexit, taking staff out of those ports for their own safety etc. It would be fine to say some people haven't moved on but the psni move at this particular time I find very worrying. The dup are going to resort to division as it is the only way they will survive and they will do that even if it costs lives. We know that well by now. The psni should be impartial. It is a very worrying development that business on the ormeau road.

Why are people constantly surprised at the PSNI antics?

They are a British police force in a British statelet. They push the British agenda. A new name and uniform means diddly squat. Even if there was 90/10 Catholic majority in the ranks, they'd still be told to push the British agenda. They are no different to the old RUC. Not one bit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 06, 2021, 11:34:15 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0206/1195534-psni-apology/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on February 07, 2021, 12:10:12 AM
Quote from: BennyCake on February 06, 2021, 10:33:31 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 06, 2021, 04:58:15 PM
This last week really does raise so many questions here between impartiality of psni, divisive rhetoric on brexit, taking staff out of those ports for their own safety etc. It would be fine to say some people haven't moved on but the psni move at this particular time I find very worrying. The dup are going to resort to division as it is the only way they will survive and they will do that even if it costs lives. We know that well by now. The psni should be impartial. It is a very worrying development that business on the ormeau road.

Why are people constantly surprised at the PSNI antics?

They are a British police force in a British statelet. They push the British agenda. A new name and uniform means diddly squat. Even if there was 90/10 Catholic majority in the ranks, they'd still be told to push the British agenda. They are no different to the old RUC. Not one bit.

i concur, though all members of the psni are unionists regardless of their religion
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 09, 2021, 01:58:52 PM
George Eustace sends a great (begging) letter to the EU complaining about the banning of their shellfish, mollusks and whatever and needing to be reminded that in 2011 it was the UK Gov when in the EU requested and got a ban on the very same commodities coming into the EU from "third" countries.

Now that the UK is a third country they're banned by their own law.

As I say, thick as shít.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: NAG1 on February 09, 2021, 02:12:56 PM
I think there needs to be serious questions asked of MEA council, let's not forget they have form here with that said party and high ranking officials in the council.

So once the investigation starts with Poots I would be throwing the leadership of the council in along with it. IMO it is no coincidence that the council reacted in the way they did.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 12, 2021, 01:41:33 AM
https://twitter.com/Femi_Sorry/status/1359525130859339780
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: restorepride on February 12, 2021, 05:00:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 12, 2021, 01:41:33 AM
https://twitter.com/Femi_Sorry/status/1359525130859339780
Good one!  Kate Who-ey?!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 12, 2021, 06:08:30 PM
Is there any chance that if the protocol was scrapped that it would be worse for unionists?

I don't know enough about the intricacies of it but would love to see it all blow up in their bakes!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 12, 2021, 06:15:42 PM
I don't think they have the power to get it scrapped.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on February 12, 2021, 07:27:33 PM
There's one sure way unionism can have the NI protocol scrapped, and that's to have a border poll ...  that will sort it out once and for all!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 13, 2021, 12:31:46 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/0212/1196757-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 18, 2021, 10:12:32 AM
BBC News - Lord Frost: Brexit negotiator joins cabinet to deal with EU
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-56101215

Not good news for anyone wanting a smooth working UK/EU relationship - with the added irony of a 'faceless unelected bureaucrat' being elevated to a ministerial position.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 18, 2021, 11:16:08 AM
Ignoring Stormont Politicians is probably the right thing to do

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/northern-leaders-to-meet-eu-official-in-charge-of-post-brexit-ni-trade-1.4488444?mode=amp
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 18, 2021, 12:05:09 PM
Matthew O'Toole seems to be articulating the opportunities very well. NI does have a unique opportunity and Unionism is stupid if they cannot see that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 18, 2021, 12:51:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 18, 2021, 12:05:09 PM
Matthew O'Toole seems to be articulating the opportunities very well. NI does have a unique opportunity and Unionism is stupid if they cannot see that.

Unionism is controlled by paramilitaries/OO. Remember the DUP were all for the protocol in the first week of January. A wonderful opportunity we were told.
Cue the rabble rousing by the "Community leaders" and now the DUP think its a betrayal of Ulster.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on February 18, 2021, 01:00:00 PM
Brexit means Brexit, I think Unionist leaders obsession with UKexit is where the problem lies, they aren't British, sin é
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 18, 2021, 01:28:50 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on February 18, 2021, 12:51:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 18, 2021, 12:05:09 PM
Matthew O'Toole seems to be articulating the opportunities very well. NI does have a unique opportunity and Unionism is stupid if they cannot see that.

Unionism is controlled by paramilitaries/OO. Remember the DUP were all for the protocol in the first week of January. A wonderful opportunity we were told.
Cue the rabble rousing by the "Community leaders" and now the DUP think its a betrayal of Ulster.
Exactly.
Remember the May deal in 2017.
DUPUDA, instead of elected representatives consulting with constituents etc, ran off to consult the Orange Order and the UDA.
The former have only one word in their vocabulary (NO!!!).
In any normal Country the sight of politicians consulting an illegal murdering drug dealing shower of scumbags would be the end of that party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 18, 2021, 01:41:21 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2021, 11:16:08 AM
Ignoring Stormont Politicians is probably the right thing to do

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/northern-leaders-to-meet-eu-official-in-charge-of-post-brexit-ni-trade-1.4488444?mode=amp

It's entirely the right thing to do.

The DUP are spinning this that we can't get deliveries in from GB from Amazon and the likes which is utter balls.

The may be teething problems with groupage but once the couriers prevent taking on consignments without the correct paperwork even it won't be so troublesome..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 18, 2021, 05:12:01 PM
Ordered couple of things from Amazon on Monday evening, were delivered yesterday, no problems. For someone who purports to be a good living Christian, Foster is one lying bastard.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2021, 06:08:21 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/de3c9538-5388-44a1-9bf4-51c4da482d4a

Both sides are beginning to realise that Brexit is not an event but an ongoing process that will be shaped by the sort of relationship they now develop.
Six weeks in, they have still not decided what sort of divorce they want — whether it will be a cordial separation or a rolling series of confrontations

"Is there going to be healthy competition or will you end up in all-out confrontation and conflict? It's not clear which way it will go," says Maddy Thimont Jack, Brexit expert at London's Institute for Government.
"This will get messy," says one EU diplomat. There is a feeling towards London that "you wanted this — this is your problem and you can solve it yourself".

One senior EU official says: "There has to be a wish to change things. If not, we will be in a tough, 'permanent alert' situation. It would be unfortunate if there was a tit-for-tat relationship."
Most goods would continue to move between the two sides without tariffs, but Johnson's decision to quit the single market and customs union meant that trade would be hit by a mass of paperwork and border checks.
"Britain is still approaching everything very politically," says a senior EU diplomat close to the discussions. "The EU is willing to be pragmatic but we've not seen that on the London side."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: michaelg on February 18, 2021, 06:36:56 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 18, 2021, 01:28:50 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on February 18, 2021, 12:51:26 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 18, 2021, 12:05:09 PM
Matthew O'Toole seems to be articulating the opportunities very well. NI does have a unique opportunity and Unionism is stupid if they cannot see that.

Unionism is controlled by paramilitaries/OO. Remember the DUP were all for the protocol in the first week of January. A wonderful opportunity we were told.
Cue the rabble rousing by the "Community leaders" and now the DUP think its a betrayal of Ulster.
Exactly.
Remember the May deal in 2017.
DUPUDA, instead of elected representatives consulting with constituents etc, ran off to consult the Orange Order and the UDA.
The former have only one word in their vocabulary (NO!!!).
In any normal Country the sight of politicians consulting an illegal murdering drug dealing shower of scumbags would be the end of that party.
You do know who 'DUPUDA' are in government with?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 18, 2021, 06:57:54 PM
I do.
One of those Parties may be still under the control of the "PIRA Army Council".
Security assessments were that this body doesn't do paramilitary business or crime any more.
I'm not aware of said Party consulting active paramilitaries or criminals or an extremist Catholic Religious organisation  before making a political decision.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on February 20, 2021, 03:11:04 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/david-trimble-tear-up-the-northern-ireland-protocol-to-save-the-belfast-agreement-1.4489873

BTL comments are a hoot.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2021, 06:38:38 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 20, 2021, 03:11:04 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/david-trimble-tear-up-the-northern-ireland-protocol-to-save-the-belfast-agreement-1.4489873

BTL comments are a hoot.
They sure are

The DUP.rejected every single alternative and was then shafted by Johnson. This did not require consent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 20, 2021, 07:19:27 PM
Quote from: mouview on February 20, 2021, 03:11:04 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/david-trimble-tear-up-the-northern-ireland-protocol-to-save-the-belfast-agreement-1.4489873

BTL comments are a hoot.

Lord Trimble: Brexit deal 'is a great step forward and within spirit of Good Friday Agreement'

October 19 2019 08:00 AM
Former UUP leader David Trimble has backed Boris Johnson's Brexit deal, describing the Prime Minister's proposals as a "great step forward".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on February 20, 2021, 07:58:19 PM
Poor old David. See the veiled threat of violence once again. Its always been a constant undercurrent in Unionist speak.
       To share a Nobel peace prize with the great John Hume sickens me to my core. Two more different people you will never meet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 20, 2021, 08:04:22 PM
Unionism has always had that Democrats when it suits vibe & then something doesn't go their way it's Grand Old Duke of York time. Dont think the plebs will fall for it this time, one of the East Belfast 'Community Workers' had their number a couple of weeks ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 22, 2021, 11:12:42 AM
I see DUPUDA ,the UUP and the true Neanderthal TUV are initiating legal action to seek to overturn the Protocol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on February 22, 2021, 12:40:39 PM
Sam McBride's view on it was, Boris J. would have to take in lawyers to parliament to defend a border in the Irish sea- which Boris also maintains doesn't exist.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 22, 2021, 03:46:43 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on February 22, 2021, 12:40:39 PM
Sam McBride's view on it was, Boris J. would have to take in lawyers to parliament to defend a border in the Irish sea- which Boris also maintains doesn't exist.

it isn't a border, it is a differential application of UK tax and health regulations .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 22, 2021, 04:10:32 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on February 22, 2021, 12:40:39 PM
Sam McBride's view on it was, Boris J. would have to take in lawyers to parliament to defend a border in the Irish sea- which Boris also maintains doesn't exist.

boris and the torys don't give one shíte for the law as can be seen by how Matt Hancock is still in his position after being found to have broken the law..

Who's paying the DUP/UUP/TUV legal fees?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: sensethetone on February 23, 2021, 07:45:12 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 22, 2021, 04:10:32 PM
Quote from: sensethetone on February 22, 2021, 12:40:39 PM
Sam McBride's view on it was, Boris J. would have to take in lawyers to parliament to defend a border in the Irish sea- which Boris also maintains doesn't exist.

boris and the torys don't give one shíte for the law as can be seen by how Matt Hancock is still in his position after being found to have broken the law..

Who's paying the DUP/UUP/TUV legal fees?

Can't imagine the Scottish Tories or Leave.EU giving a crap, maybe the guy who gives you a bigger back garden? If Jim Allister drops the case against the hotel near the Gaints Causeway it would be suspicious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 23, 2021, 02:31:02 PM
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/12/22/transition-period-almost-over-51-40-britons-think-
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on February 24, 2021, 11:51:48 AM
The Isle of Man is distancing itself from the UK and striking a bespoke fishing deal with the EU, seriously peeing off the Tory government.
Apparently Boris and his crew were ignorant about  IoM not actually being in the EU but just enjoyed EU benefits  due to having a relationship with the UK.
The IoM did not vote in the Brexit referendum.

https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/news/isle-of-man-jettisons-itself-from-uk-to-secure-fishing-agreement-with-eu-222046/

Isle of Man's chief minister Howard Quayle

Speaking in the Tynwald, he said without access for EU boats in Manx waters there would be difficulty exporting island goods, making it a no-brainer for such an export-reliant industry.

He added: "I know that some people would have wanted a future where no foreign vessels were able to fish in our waters.

"If we had refused access to this limited number of EU vessels and as a result had not secured the goods part of the deal, Manx-caught products would have been subject to tariffs when sold into Europe."

Mr Quayle added on the fisheries arrangements with the EU: "We will have the right to license these vessels and manage our waters in a way that puts sustainability of our waters, and our industry, at its heart."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 24, 2021, 12:25:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 23, 2021, 02:31:02 PM
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/12/22/transition-period-almost-over-51-40-britons-think-

Hard to believe that 1 out of every 10 remain voters now think it was right to leave the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 24, 2021, 12:25:04 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 23, 2021, 02:31:02 PM
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/12/22/transition-period-almost-over-51-40-britons-think-

Hard to believe that 1 out of every 10 remain voters now think it was right to leave the EU.
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:25:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.

Has the EU's vaccination nightmare not punctured a large hole in that argument?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:32:32 PM


Quote from: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:25:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.

Has the EU's vaccination nightmare not punctured a large hole in that argument?
Up for debate but likely a temporary blip in the grand Economic scheme. The main Economic argument was / is cutting yourself off from the single market and the friction that that will bring, the trade deal is a piss poor replacement.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:37:06 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:32:32 PM
Up for debate but likely a temporary blip in the grand Economic scheme. The main Economic argument was / is cutting yourself off from the single market and the friction that that will bring, the trade deal is a piss poor replacement.

I know but it also relied upon the assumption that the single market was being run competently. This assumption is now weaker than it was at Christmas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on February 24, 2021, 05:44:35 PM
Quote from: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:25:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.

Has the EU's vaccination nightmare not punctured a large hole in that argument?

The EU is expected to have caught up or overtaken the Uk by September/ October. Also the EU will have generally used the Pfizer vaccine which seems to be more effective than the Oxford one particularly against the variants. Because of that the EU could be in a better position by the autumn.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on February 24, 2021, 05:47:11 PM
There's no evidence that anything vaccine related has affected Scotland's overwhelming majority  in favor of a return to the EU.
All the pomp about the vaccine distribution  is also designed to mask a disastrous leadership during the pandemic by the Brexit mob, which wasn't appreciated in Scotland.
On everything covid related, Nicola  left Johnson well behind in the dust.  In fact Johnson tried to rally attention to the Brexit cause recently when visiting a vaccine centre in Scotland, ended up bumbling around the lab getting in the way and making an idiot of himself. He was publicly censured by Nicola. when she deigned to  pay scant notice to his visit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on February 24, 2021, 05:47:30 PM
Quote from: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:25:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.

Has the EU's vaccination nightmare not punctured a large hole in that argument?

Ni Fully vaccinated 31,000

Republic Fully vaccinated 113,291

I know maths don't tend to be a strong point of Unionism or suit the narrative the likes of Paisley are peddling

But it looks like NI is lagging behind in the number of Fully vaccinated in comparison to the Republic
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 24, 2021, 06:24:45 PM
Did 5 Points expect a load of EU Countties to apply to join the "U"K? ;D
I know 3 that won't anyway!

Brits strategy seems to be to give everyone a 1st jab ASAP and get round to no2 at some stage.
A relation in England is getting her Jab Friday but 2nd one not till end of May.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 06:32:24 PM
Quote from: lenny on February 24, 2021, 05:44:35 PM
Quote from: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:25:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.

Has the EU's vaccination nightmare not punctured a large hole in that argument?

The EU is expected to have caught up or overtaken the Uk by September/ October. Also the EU will have generally used the Pfizer vaccine which seems to be more effective than the Oxford one particularly against the variants. Because of that the EU could be in a better position by the autumn.
Caught up by September/October? The UK target is to have completed first jabs in all adults by the end of July with various vaccines, even taking into account the WHO endorsed strategy of 12 week between jabs for the Oxford - that's full completion of the adult population by the end of September.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on February 24, 2021, 06:38:46 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 06:32:24 PM
Quote from: lenny on February 24, 2021, 05:44:35 PM
Quote from: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:25:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.

Has the EU's vaccination nightmare not punctured a large hole in that argument?

The EU is expected to have caught up or overtaken the Uk by September/ October. Also the EU will have generally used the Pfizer vaccine which seems to be more effective than the Oxford one particularly against the variants. Because of that the EU could be in a better position by the autumn.
Caught up by September/October? The UK target is to have completed first jabs in all adults by the end of July with various vaccines, even taking into account the WHO endorsed strategy of 12 week between jabs for the Oxford - that's full completion of the adult population by the end of September.

All adults with one dose by the end of July. With a 12 week gap that means all adults by the end of October. I've read a number of reports which have said the EU will have caught up by then. The south plan to do 250k a week soon.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 07:46:12 PM
Quote from: lenny on February 24, 2021, 06:38:46 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 06:32:24 PM
Quote from: lenny on February 24, 2021, 05:44:35 PM
Quote from: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:25:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.

Has the EU's vaccination nightmare not punctured a large hole in that argument?

The EU is expected to have caught up or overtaken the Uk by September/ October. Also the EU will have generally used the Pfizer vaccine which seems to be more effective than the Oxford one particularly against the variants. Because of that the EU could be in a better position by the autumn.
Caught up by September/October? The UK target is to have completed first jabs in all adults by the end of July with various vaccines, even taking into account the WHO endorsed strategy of 12 week between jabs for the Oxford - that's full completion of the adult population by the end of September.

All adults with one dose by the end of July. With a 12 week gap that means all adults by the end of October. I've read a number of reports which have said the EU will have caught up by then. The south plan to do 250k a week soon.

The UK gambled early with vaccine purchases and in addition to existing supplies & suppliers has more Vaccines coming on board from Novavax, Moderna, Johnson, & Johnson and Valneva, why do you think the EU will accelerate & the UK can't or won't??

The 12 week gap is a red herring as well, 76% effectiveness after 1 jab, showing no signs of degredation in the 12 week gap is statistically excellent for any vaccine - https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n326

As i posted another thread - the Oxford vaccine is becoming a casualty of Brexit, being consistently briefed against because it's  the Tans.

And unless I'm reading the wrong newspapers, on a different Twitter - the EU & ROI's Vaccine programmes are being slated left, right & centre, some posters here seem to know different or need to read outside their comfort bubbles.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on February 24, 2021, 08:38:54 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 07:46:12 PM
Quote from: lenny on February 24, 2021, 06:38:46 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 06:32:24 PM
Quote from: lenny on February 24, 2021, 05:44:35 PM
Quote from: five points on February 24, 2021, 04:25:21 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 24, 2021, 04:01:37 PM
Shows the difference some really poor Politicing makes, the Economic self harm argument remains exactly the same.

Has the EU's vaccination nightmare not punctured a large hole in that argument?

The EU is expected to have caught up or overtaken the Uk by September/ October. Also the EU will have generally used the Pfizer vaccine which seems to be more effective than the Oxford one particularly against the variants. Because of that the EU could be in a better position by the autumn.
Caught up by September/October? The UK target is to have completed first jabs in all adults by the end of July with various vaccines, even taking into account the WHO endorsed strategy of 12 week between jabs for the Oxford - that's full completion of the adult population by the end of September.

All adults with one dose by the end of July. With a 12 week gap that means all adults by the end of October. I've read a number of reports which have said the EU will have caught up by then. The south plan to do 250k a week soon.

The UK gambled early with vaccine purchases and in addition to existing supplies & suppliers has more Vaccines coming on board from Novavax, Moderna, Johnson, & Johnson and Valneva, why do you think the EU will accelerate & the UK can't or won't??

The 12 week gap is a red herring as well, 76% effectiveness after 1 jab, showing no signs of degredation in the 12 week gap is statistically excellent for any vaccine - https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n326

As i posted another thread - the Oxford vaccine is becoming a casualty of Brexit, being consistently briefed against because it's  the Tans.

And unless I'm reading the wrong newspapers, on a different Twitter - the EU & ROI's Vaccine programmes are being slated left, right & centre, some posters here seem to know different or need to read outside their comfort bubbles.

You could be right, we'll know better in a few months. I'll be happy taking any of the vaccines as they're all effective but I've read that the Pfizer and moderna give better protection against the South African variant.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 24, 2021, 10:45:08 PM
Quote from: lenny on February 24, 2021, 08:38:54 PM
You could be right, we'll know better in a few months. I'll be happy taking any of the vaccines as they're all effective but I've read that the Pfizer and moderna give better protection against the South African variant.

It is notable that the J&J vaccine to be approved in the US this week is almost equally effective against the South African and Brazilian variants, whereas the Novavax and Astrazeneca vaccines were not. The RNA vaccines (Pfizer and Moderna) seem pretty good all around, the tests in Israel with the public showed Pfizer well over 90% effective, basically validating the earlier trials. People said vaccines might never work, but they do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 25, 2021, 11:15:31 AM
I see where "Invest NI" is promoting the benefits of the Protocol in trying to attract investment to the 6.
I believe the Minister in charge is one Diane Dodds of DUPUDA.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 25, 2021, 11:24:23 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 25, 2021, 11:15:31 AM
I see where "Invest NI" is promoting the benefits of the Protocol in trying to attract investment to the 6.
I believe the Minister in charge is one Diane Dodds of DUPUDA.

And rightly so.

Bet Diane plays the "didn't know" card much favoured by Micheal Martin..

NA sheep farmers and meat processors should be pushing lamb into the EU now that the Scots and Welsh can't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on February 25, 2021, 11:28:26 AM
Quote from: clonadmad on February 24, 2021, 05:47:30 PM
Ni Fully vaccinated 31,000

Republic Fully vaccinated 113,291

I know maths don't tend to be a strong point of Unionism or suit the narrative the likes of Paisley are peddling

But it looks like NI is lagging behind in the number of Fully vaccinated in comparison to the Republic

Let's see which of NI or the Republic opens up first.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 25, 2021, 11:30:55 AM
Stays open would be a better yardstick ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: five points on February 25, 2021, 11:42:44 AM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 25, 2021, 11:30:55 AM
Stays open would be a better yardstick ;)

Quite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 03, 2021, 01:34:43 PM
Brexit is about deregulation

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/03/02/reform-listings-rules-turbocharge-city-says-lord-hill/

Calling for a wide-ranging overhaul of regulations which would slash red tape and allow company founders to retain more power, Jonathan Hill said that the country cannot simply wait for the European Union to grant it access.

He also recommended reducing the free float requirement so that a minimum of 15pc of shares must be in public hands, instead of the current 25pc requirement, with added flexibility for very large companies.

The review also calls for the UK to tear up the EU's prospectus regulation on the information companies must disclose when floating their shares or issuing new capital. Lord Hill said the rules have "led to a ballooning in [prospectuses'] size and a reduction in their usefulness".

It recommends allowing companies with a premium listing, eligible for inclusion in the FTSE 100 index, to adopt dual class structures under which founders' shares carry up to 20 times the voting power of ordinary shares
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 03, 2021, 05:21:24 PM
Seems the Brits are unilaterally extending the "grace" period for agri foods coming from England/Scotland/Wales to the end of November ....
Trying to weasel out of the whole Agreement?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on March 03, 2021, 08:07:03 PM
The Frost Factor, think it's officially his 3rd day in post. He'll burn bridges left, right and centre, resign further down the line and leave someone else to clear up his mess.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on March 03, 2021, 09:24:52 PM
EU may well respond by saying if UK is not going to respect single market by checking non-standard goods entering via North, they will have to block those goods from North entering EU. That would seriously hurt fishermen and farmers for starters. Might get very messy and hurt a lot of businesses. As usual Unionists will accept no responsibility for mess that ensues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Godsown on March 04, 2021, 06:59:05 AM
So Loyalist Paramilitaries have withdrawn support for GFA until NI Protocol is scrapped. This will all play well for Unionism and UK Govt in short term as they can blame EU.
Think it's called Project Fear
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 04, 2021, 07:52:05 AM
Quote from: Godsown on March 04, 2021, 06:59:05 AM
So Loyalist Paramilitaries have withdrawn support for GFA until NI Protocol is scrapped. This will all play well for Unionism and UK Govt in short term as they can blame EU.
Think it's called Project Fear

It does not matter what 1st battalion Tigers Bay Red Hand Defenders want

NI is no longer under exclusive British Control.
The Brits signed an international agreement when it signed the protocol.

If the Brits renege on it they can forget about a trade deal with the US.
The Euros will no doubt tell.them that there is a very simple solution. Sign.up to the EU's sanitary and phytosanitary standards. Tigers Bay could have its sausages.

The whole thing is a joke.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Godsown on March 04, 2021, 08:26:47 AM
Agree Seafoid but strategic thinking isn't something that is readily associated with hardline loyalist such as DUP and their paramilitary friends.
Not only is US deal under threat but I imagine the Free Trade deal with EU or elements of it must be under threat.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 04, 2021, 08:47:02 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/why-contrasting-ideas-on-sovereignty-are-feeding-distrust-between-eu-and-uk-1.4248670
"The Achilles' heel of the Northern Ireland protocol is that it relies on the UK to implement it."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 04, 2021, 08:47:28 AM
Quote from: weareros on March 03, 2021, 09:24:52 PM
EU may well respond by saying if UK is not going to respect single market by checking non-standard goods entering via North, they will have to block those goods from North entering EU. That would seriously hurt fishermen and farmers for starters. Might get very messy and hurt a lot of businesses. As usual Unionists will accept no responsibility for mess that ensues.

Or better still block all GB goods from coming into the EU until they see sense...

I presume the UK gov is nowhere near prepared for the 1st of April with no personnel or processes in place like what happened the GB fishermen who went looking for veterinary certificates for their catches only to find out DEARA hadn't enough vets in place yet all along the Gov were blaming businesses for not being ready.


All the same Ian Og and wee Jeffrey will feel a bit of love from the Torys. How long that lasts is another story.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on March 06, 2021, 10:34:24 AM
UK seems to think it's on pretty solid legal grounds in regards to the 'temporary' easements  (breaches of NI protocol).

Analysis in the i newspaper - UK doing to try and hide the fact there's a border in the Irish sea & EU going large at it to divert attention from Vaccine rollout fiasco.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on March 06, 2021, 11:50:19 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 06, 2021, 10:34:24 AM
UK seems to think it's on pretty solid legal grounds in regards to the 'temporary' easements  (breaches of NI protocol).

Analysis in the i newspaper - UK doing to try and hide the fact there's a border in the Irish sea & EU going large at it to divert attention from Vaccine rollout fiasco.

John Campbell retweeted this morning a Conservative publication which says that Frost has been brought back in with a view to moving the border from the sea back onto land. This would be very dangerous but Frost seems like a complete dickhead and seems to lack any kind of diplomacy at all. He's an extremely dangerous man in the current circumstances.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on March 06, 2021, 12:11:24 PM
Quote from: lenny on March 06, 2021, 11:50:19 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 06, 2021, 10:34:24 AM
UK seems to think it's on pretty solid legal grounds in regards to the 'temporary' easements  (breaches of NI protocol).

Analysis in the i newspaper - UK doing to try and hide the fact there's a border in the Irish sea & EU going large at it to divert attention from Vaccine rollout fiasco.

John Campbell retweeted this morning a Conservative publication which says that Frost has been brought back in with a view to moving the border from the sea back onto land. This would be very dangerous but Frost seems like a complete dickhead and seems to lack any kind of diplomacy at all. He's an extremely dangerous man in the current circumstances.

That would show a level of strategic thinking beyond BoJo. He is just brought in there because he's a mate Johnson is trying to keep happy. Even The Times is kicking back against him;

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/frosts-fight-with-the-eu-is-political-thuggery-cdpzs3k0t

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on March 06, 2021, 12:28:40 PM
Quote from: mouview on March 06, 2021, 12:11:24 PM
Quote from: lenny on March 06, 2021, 11:50:19 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 06, 2021, 10:34:24 AM
UK seems to think it's on pretty solid legal grounds in regards to the 'temporary' easements  (breaches of NI protocol).

Analysis in the i newspaper - UK doing to try and hide the fact there's a border in the Irish sea & EU going large at it to divert attention from Vaccine rollout fiasco.

John Campbell retweeted this morning a Conservative publication which says that Frost has been brought back in with a view to moving the border from the sea back onto land. This would be very dangerous but Frost seems like a complete dickhead and seems to lack any kind of diplomacy at all. He's an extremely dangerous man in the current circumstances.

That would show a level of strategic thinking beyond BoJo. He is just brought in there because he's a mate Johnson is trying to keep happy. Even The Times is kicking back against him;

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/frosts-fight-with-the-eu-is-political-thuggery-cdpzs3k0t

That's not The Times though, that's matthew paris a times commentator who was against brexit and has always been totally against johnson. He's a very good commentator but his views will be largely ignored by johnson and frost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 06, 2021, 12:30:57 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/DanielLambert29/status/1368089444679643141
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on March 06, 2021, 03:45:24 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 06, 2021, 10:34:24 AM
UK seems to think it's on pretty solid legal grounds in regards to the 'temporary' easements  (breaches of NI protocol).

Analysis in the i newspaper - UK doing to try and hide the fact there's a border in the Irish sea & EU going large at it to divert attention from Vaccine rollout fiasco.
They're in a good position to call the EU's bluff. An EU legal challenge just reintroduces the risk for food supply on 1 April so it's not a great end goal for Brussels.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 06, 2021, 03:48:17 PM
How much food does the EU import from England/Scotland/Wales??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on March 06, 2021, 05:47:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 04, 2021, 08:47:02 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/why-contrasting-ideas-on-sovereignty-are-feeding-distrust-between-eu-and-uk-1.4248670
"The Achilles' heel of the Northern Ireland protocol is that it relies on the UK to implement it."

further on in the article  "Sovereignty goes deep into the Brexit and Irish questions because it raises issues of how far the UK can be trusted to adhere to international agreements."
"further raises suspicions on the EU side that the UK cannot be trusted to implement agreements faithfully on its own"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 07, 2021, 08:27:05 AM
Quote from: Main Street on March 06, 2021, 05:47:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 04, 2021, 08:47:02 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/why-contrasting-ideas-on-sovereignty-are-feeding-distrust-between-eu-and-uk-1.4248670
"The Achilles' heel of the Northern Ireland protocol is that it relies on the UK to implement it."

further on in the article  "Sovereignty goes deep into the Brexit and Irish questions because it raises issues of how far the UK can be trusted to adhere to international agreements."
"further raises suspicions on the EU side that the UK cannot be trusted to implement agreements faithfully on its own"

https://irishtimes.com/business/economy/chris-johns-lying-is-the-default-setting-as-brexit-corruption-spreads-1.4056849... "Johnson will eventually get around to deciding which of his commitments to honour (my guess is none of them). As Keir Starmer, shadow Brexit secretary, said, the Johnsonian method couldn't be clearer: promise then burn. "

They want a Brexit with no.link to the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thebigfella on March 11, 2021, 02:41:34 PM
Fleg protests about to kick off again https://twitter.com/JamieBrysonCPNI/status/1369994784375517184 (https://twitter.com/JamieBrysonCPNI/status/1369994784375517184)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 12, 2021, 03:46:47 PM
All sorted out no doubt ::)
I wonder did "frank" include telling DUPUDA that an International Agreement between 450,000,000 people and 60,000,000 is not going to be torn up because 17th Century neanderthals don't like it?
https://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0312/1203612-northern-ireland-politics/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on March 12, 2021, 05:47:13 PM
Not sure what Mary Lou is giving off about, I heard 2 different news reports this afternoon that SF snubbed Boris as his visit was a 'publicity stunt'. Mixed messaging there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 19, 2021, 09:36:14 AM
https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/irish-exports-held-up-better-in-january-than-imports-from-britain-40212364.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 19, 2021, 10:11:45 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 12, 2021, 05:47:13 PM
Not sure what Mary Lou is giving off about, I heard 2 different news reports this afternoon that SF snubbed Boris as his visit was a 'publicity stunt'. Mixed messaging there.

SF wanted a sit down meeting with Boris as they've been requesting for months. UK Gov refused so then SF refused to take part in his publicity stunt.

All Boris wants is photo ops, he lacks depth.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ew1TaZZWUAEW88U?format=jpg&name=small)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on April 08, 2021, 04:47:53 PM
So we are now into the 4th month of being taken out of Europe and can anyone see any benefit yet.
In the north here we were told with this protocol that we would have the best of both worlds but I don't see it.
Coke-Cola has been the only major company I have heard saying that brexit happening was great.
When is Amazon etc gona start building their new buildings here to take advantage of our "unique position"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 09, 2021, 07:10:14 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on April 08, 2021, 04:47:53 PM
So we are now into the 4th month of being taken out of Europe and can anyone see any benefit yet.
In the north here we were told with this protocol that we would have the best of both worlds but I don't see it.
Coke-Cola has been the only major company I have heard saying that brexit happening was great.
When is Amazon etc gona start building their new buildings here to take advantage of our "unique position"

Who would invest when the First Minister is trying to abolish the Protocol?
However, the advantages still exist, food exports from GB have fallen as much as 90%, NI food suppliers have carried on as normal supplying all over Europe, which is little talked about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on April 09, 2021, 08:05:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 09, 2021, 07:10:14 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on April 08, 2021, 04:47:53 PM
So we are now into the 4th month of being taken out of Europe and can anyone see any benefit yet.
In the north here we were told with this protocol that we would have the best of both worlds but I don't see it.
Coke-Cola has been the only major company I have heard saying that brexit happening was great.
When is Amazon etc gona start building their new buildings here to take advantage of our "unique position"

Who would invest when the First Minister is trying to abolish the Protocol?
However, the advantages still exist, food exports from GB have fallen as much as 90%, NI food suppliers have carried on as normal supplying all over Europe, which is little talked about.

Indeed. In fact, there was a little footnote when UK released their January 2021 results, where exports to Ireland (South) were down 65%, which was all Brexit. It stated: Data for Northern Ireland to EU exports are still being collected through Intrastat.

So they were not in the UK #s.

What we do know from Ireland South's numbers is that imports from North to South increased 177 million euros from 161 million euros in the same time period. Without the Protocol, that would not have been possible, as the North would have faced the same difficulties exporting to a EU market like Ireland South, as rest of UK did. The rest of UK represented a 1 billion Sterling decline in their exports just to Ireland alone in January. A similar result for NI would have seen a 104 million loss. Instead they gained. That's one side of the best of both worlds. We'll have to see how exports to rest of UK fared to see the other side.

Of course don't expert to hear this from any Unionist politician.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 09, 2021, 10:39:44 PM
Quote from: weareros on April 09, 2021, 08:05:29 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on April 09, 2021, 07:10:14 PM
Quote from: Hereiam on April 08, 2021, 04:47:53 PM
So we are now into the 4th month of being taken out of Europe and can anyone see any benefit yet.
In the north here we were told with this protocol that we would have the best of both worlds but I don't see it.
Coke-Cola has been the only major company I have heard saying that brexit happening was great.
When is Amazon etc gona start building their new buildings here to take advantage of our "unique position"

Who would invest when the First Minister is trying to abolish the Protocol?
However, the advantages still exist, food exports from GB have fallen as much as 90%, NI food suppliers have carried on as normal supplying all over Europe, which is little talked about.

Indeed. In fact, there was a little footnote when UK released their January 2021 results, where exports to Ireland (South) were down 65%, which was all Brexit. It stated: Data for Northern Ireland to EU exports are still being collected through Intrastat.

So they were not in the UK #s.

What we do know from Ireland South's numbers is that imports from North to South increased 177 million euros from 161 million euros in the same time period. Without the Protocol, that would not have been possible, as the North would have faced the same difficulties exporting to a EU market like Ireland South, as rest of UK did. The rest of UK represented a 1 billion Sterling decline in their exports just to Ireland alone in January. A similar result for NI would have seen a 104 million loss. Instead they gained. That's one side of the best of both worlds. We'll have to see how exports to rest of UK fared to see the other side.

Of course don't expert to hear this from any Unionist politician.

You hear it much from anyone. The useless journalists interviewing the DUP and their rioters should put this data to them, but they never do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 10, 2021, 07:08:30 AM
Loyalists don't care about trade figures. They are going nuts because Johnson shafted Unionism and the Taigs are winning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on April 10, 2021, 04:38:13 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 10, 2021, 07:08:30 AM
Loyalists don't care about trade figures. They are going nuts because Johnson shafted Unionism and the Taigs are winning.

True. It's the constitutional shift. They did not get the Brexit that GB did and effectively remain in EU. But it won't stop them running stories that the Protocol is bad economically when so far it has protected them from some of the worst effects of Brexit. But if they can't order their orange lillies from English garden centres, it's end of world. Even though they were easily sourced from Holland, a more natural origin anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 10, 2021, 07:53:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 10, 2021, 07:08:30 AM
Loyalists don't care about trade figures. They are going nuts because Johnson shafted Unionism and the Taigs are winning.

There is also a school of thought that they can no longer get their drugs in as handily...

I don't think their loyalty is to who they claim it to be in a large number of cases.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 11, 2021, 01:24:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 10, 2021, 07:53:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 10, 2021, 07:08:30 AM
Loyalists don't care about trade figures. They are going nuts because Johnson shafted Unionism and the Taigs are winning.

There is also a school of thought that they can no longer get their drugs in as handily...

I don't think their loyalty is to who they claim it to be in a large number of cases.

This drugs story is a bit weak, sure every other part of Ireland is full of drugs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jell 0 Biafra on April 11, 2021, 04:18:02 AM
Why would that make the story weak? 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 11, 2021, 02:36:41 PM
Nothing would surprise me with those loyalist paramilitaries these days. They are absolutely wrecking their own communities and this last week has put a magnifying glass on it. That being said I imagine it is a bit far fetched too. They would thrive on division and the sea border is probably good ammunition for recruitment.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on April 11, 2021, 03:43:41 PM
 ::)There was a 41kg of coke seized in Milford Donegal a few weeks back. As well a countless other smaller  seizures of late. The UDA get the bulk of their drugs from Dublin, and they are definitely feeling the pinch. The pandemic has made it harder to bring drugs northwards.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on April 11, 2021, 09:46:36 PM
Jesus wept. Here is the wonderfully clever Eilis explaining to everyone that it's all the big bad EU's fault.

https://twitter.com/dgmoore75/status/1381216024004026369

Worse, all the other idiots weighing in behind her, giving her credance and massaging her ego.

Shameful.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on April 11, 2021, 10:31:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on April 11, 2021, 09:46:36 PM
Jesus wept. Here is the wonderfully clever Eilis explaining to everyone that it's all the big bad EU's fault.

https://twitter.com/dgmoore75/status/1381216024004026369

Worse, all the other idiots weighing in behind her, giving her credance and massaging her ego.

Shameful.

https://m.independent.ie/opinion/comment/moving-the-goalposts-on-irish-unity-now-is-moral-cowardice-40272586.html

She obviously got her wings clipped after the piece above...
       Sent to the Sindo's re-education centre.
       
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on April 11, 2021, 11:40:15 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/EilisOHanIon/status/1381323285670076424

Christ,  Harris must have dragged RDE in as well for her re-education.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on April 12, 2021, 08:04:39 PM
Could RDE and O'Hanlon be any further up the arses of unionism?

I know they browse GAABoard, so just to let the girls know, there is more to journalism that "unionist good, nationalist bad".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on April 17, 2021, 10:54:02 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/business/2021/0416/1210313-financial-firms-and-brexit/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on May 04, 2021, 09:41:36 PM
I say chaps, we're really taking back control

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56984886

All our proud British fishermen can fish away in British waters with boats they don't have... just don't expect to sell their fish to anyone.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on May 05, 2021, 11:29:02 PM
Barnier's musings in his forthcoming book will prove interesting, particularly relating to the DUP, who don't come out of it very well;

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/0505/1213988-barnier-book-brexit/

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 06, 2021, 09:11:22 AM
Quote from: mouview on May 05, 2021, 11:29:02 PM
Barnier's musings in his forthcoming book will prove interesting, particularly relating to the DUP, who don't come out of it very well;

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/0505/1213988-barnier-book-brexit/

Don't come out of it very well for most sane, intelligent people but it will go down well with their voting base..

Be under no illusions they wanted the hardest of hard borders on this island irrespective of whatever their public musings were.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 06, 2021, 09:17:16 AM
That's hilarious. The DUP didn't bring any solutions - of course they didn't lol. They don't have any. I remember at the start some people were saying they were great negotiators but all they do is say no to everything. That isn't great negotiating. Raab is clearly a buffoon too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on May 06, 2021, 10:48:15 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on May 06, 2021, 09:17:16 AM
That's hilarious. The DUP didn't bring any solutions - of course they didn't lol. They don't have any. I remember at the start some people were saying they were great negotiators but all they do is say no to everything. That isn't great negotiating. Raab is clearly a buffoon too.

They have shown they are a one trick pony and when their eternal negotiating plan of simply saying no to everything fails, there is nothing left beneath the surface. This might work on local issues where they can use their veto but certainly not with a trading block of 27 nations! Their diplomacy skills leave an awful lot to be desired and running around insulting everybody meant that they have gradually run out of friends and allies on the international stage (if they ever had much support to begin with outside the UK). Being in government in the UK actually shone a light on their homophobia, creationism, racism, misogyny, and hate filled tendencies to a wider audience who knew nothing about them previously. It definitely didn't enhance their image anyway!   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 12:57:51 PM
I see Diet Tory Starmer had a terrible result in Hartlepool. First time ever the Tories have won a seat there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on May 07, 2021, 01:44:24 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 12:57:51 PM
I see Diet Tory Starmer had a terrible result in Hartlepool. First time ever the Tories have won a seat there.

Labour are a bit like the Ulster Unionist party. An open goal in front of them and still can't score. There really are very few politicians of any quality in the World at present.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on May 07, 2021, 01:51:33 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 12:57:51 PM
I see Diet Tory Starmer had a terrible result in Hartlepool. First time ever the Tories have won a seat there.

Tories have held it before, early 50s.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on May 07, 2021, 02:22:47 PM
Quote from: GJL on May 07, 2021, 01:44:24 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 12:57:51 PM
I see Diet Tory Starmer had a terrible result in Hartlepool. First time ever the Tories have won a seat there.

Labour are a bit like the Ulster Unionist party. An open goal in front of them and still can't score. There really are very few politicians of any quality in the World at present.

Far from an open goal with Starmer leading the party, more chance of Russell Brand leading the Westminster government

Labour's own goal was the Miliband split

Corbyn had plenty about him but not the ruthless edge of the Tories, their orchestrated character assassination highlights how much of a threat he was to the establishment, the Tories will do everything they can to keep the likes of Starmer going as long as possible as he's no threat whatsoever
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 03:30:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.

Labour are effectively a centre right party now with a millionaire Sir as the leader.

Not much appeal there for working class voters, they are now just effectively Diet Tories under the leadership of Starmer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on May 07, 2021, 04:09:28 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 03:30:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.

Labour are effectively a centre right party now with a millionaire Sir as the leader.

Not much appeal there for working class voters, they are now just effectively Diet Tories under the leadership of Starmer.

Starmer's background is as working class as they come - father being a toolmaker. Worked hard and made a success of himself, an example to anyone from his upbringing. No comparison between he and the gilded, entitled, public-school attending Tory elite. Whatever his shortcomings are as a party leader, he comes across as a decent, conscientious politician, unlike the incompetent and mendacious charlatans now populating the Tories since BJ shunted the calm and level-headed Remainers from the party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 07, 2021, 04:23:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 07, 2021, 04:09:28 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 03:30:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.

Labour are effectively a centre right party now with a millionaire Sir as the leader.

Not much appeal there for working class voters, they are now just effectively Diet Tories under the leadership of Starmer.

Starmer's background is as working class as they come - father being a toolmaker. Worked hard and made a success of himself, an example to anyone from his upbringing. No comparison between he and the gilded, entitled, public-school attending Tory elite. Whatever his shortcomings are as a party leader, he comes across as a decent, conscientious politician, unlike the incompetent and mendacious charlatans now populating the Tories since BJ shunted the calm and level-headed Remainers from the party.

I too think he's decent and conscientious but he does seem a bit airy fairy on some topics and whilst he cuts Boris a new arsehole every PM's Questions he doesn't instill a fighting spirit within the party and evidently appeal to the working class masses.

The Pro Boris media treat him like the grey man that used to be the moniker of John Major.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ash Smoker on May 07, 2021, 04:43:51 PM
Labour have morphed into an urban, ultra-woke party and will continue to lose the support of blue collar voters.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 07, 2021, 04:49:29 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 07, 2021, 04:23:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 07, 2021, 04:09:28 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 03:30:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.

Labour are effectively a centre right party now with a millionaire Sir as the leader.

Not much appeal there for working class voters, they are now just effectively Diet Tories under the leadership of Starmer.

Starmer's background is as working class as they come - father being a toolmaker. Worked hard and made a success of himself, an example to anyone from his upbringing. No comparison between he and the gilded, entitled, public-school attending Tory elite. Whatever his shortcomings are as a party leader, he comes across as a decent, conscientious politician, unlike the incompetent and mendacious charlatans now populating the Tories since BJ shunted the calm and level-headed Remainers from the party.

I too think he's decent and conscientious but he does seem a bit airy fairy on some topics and whilst he cuts Boris a new arsehole every PM's Questions he doesn't instill a fighting spirit within the party and evidently appeal to the working class masses.

The Pro Boris media treat him like the grey man that used to be the moniker of John Major.
Starmer was bought  by the Israeli lobby. The last thing Israel wants is a left wing Government.
Starmer was also bought by the plutocrats. The last thing they want is a left wing Government.

But it is inevitable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ash Smoker on May 07, 2021, 05:04:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 07, 2021, 04:49:29 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 07, 2021, 04:23:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 07, 2021, 04:09:28 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 03:30:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.

Labour are effectively a centre right party now with a millionaire Sir as the leader.

Not much appeal there for working class voters, they are now just effectively Diet Tories under the leadership of Starmer.

Starmer's background is as working class as they come - father being a toolmaker. Worked hard and made a success of himself, an example to anyone from his upbringing. No comparison between he and the gilded, entitled, public-school attending Tory elite. Whatever his shortcomings are as a party leader, he comes across as a decent, conscientious politician, unlike the incompetent and mendacious charlatans now populating the Tories since BJ shunted the calm and level-headed Remainers from the party.

I too think he's decent and conscientious but he does seem a bit airy fairy on some topics and whilst he cuts Boris a new arsehole every PM's Questions he doesn't instill a fighting spirit within the party and evidently appeal to the working class masses.

The Pro Boris media treat him like the grey man that used to be the moniker of John Major.
Starmer was bought  by the Israeli lobby. The last thing Israel wants is a left wing Government.
Starmer was also bought by the plutocrats. The last thing they want is a left wing Government.

But it is inevitable.

Inevitable?
A left wing government in Britain looks a million miles away right now.
Apart from Blair's New Labour, the party has been in the wilderness for most of the past 50 years.

Too many working class British people lap up the Tory propaganda from The Sun and other places.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on May 07, 2021, 05:26:47 PM
Quote from: Ash Smoker on May 07, 2021, 05:04:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 07, 2021, 04:49:29 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 07, 2021, 04:23:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 07, 2021, 04:09:28 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 03:30:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.

Labour are effectively a centre right party now with a millionaire Sir as the leader.

Not much appeal there for working class voters, they are now just effectively Diet Tories under the leadership of Starmer.

Starmer's background is as working class as they come - father being a toolmaker. Worked hard and made a success of himself, an example to anyone from his upbringing. No comparison between he and the gilded, entitled, public-school attending Tory elite. Whatever his shortcomings are as a party leader, he comes across as a decent, conscientious politician, unlike the incompetent and mendacious charlatans now populating the Tories since BJ shunted the calm and level-headed Remainers from the party.

I too think he's decent and conscientious but he does seem a bit airy fairy on some topics and whilst he cuts Boris a new arsehole every PM's Questions he doesn't instill a fighting spirit within the party and evidently appeal to the working class masses.

The Pro Boris media treat him like the grey man that used to be the moniker of John Major.
Starmer was bought  by the Israeli lobby. The last thing Israel wants is a left wing Government.
Starmer was also bought by the plutocrats. The last thing they want is a left wing Government.

But it is inevitable.

Inevitable?
A left wing government in Britain looks a million miles away right now.
Apart from Blair's New Labour, the party has been in the wilderness for most of the past 50 years.

Too many working class British people lap up the Tory propaganda from The Sun and other places.

So true.

Many get their news and opinions and 'knowledge' from these places and the likes of Facebook.

Hence Brexit - they were fed a load of nonsense and that was that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 08:13:00 PM
What genuinely differentiates Starmer's Labour to the Tories.

Labour under Starmer are just a Diet Tory party, washed down Tory policies with a little more of a liberal touch but they'll do f**k all for the working class.

Corbyn and the left leaning element of Labour have lost out and should really break away at this point and set up a genuine leftist party. No doubt the media campaign against them would be fierce and relentless but it's needed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on May 07, 2021, 08:45:08 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 08:13:00 PM
What genuinely differentiates Starmer's Labour to the Tories.

Labour under Starmer are just a Diet Tory party, washed down Tory policies with a little more of a liberal touch but they'll do f**k all for the working class.

Corbyn and the left leaning element of Labour have lost out and should really break away at this point and set up a genuine leftist party. No doubt the media campaign against them would be fierce and relentless but it's needed.

Tories really do f**k all less for the working class, besides using them as a vehicle to further their own gains. You really don't know whether to feel pity or disdain for the working class in England, they appear to be so clueless that, as pointed out above, they take their informed opinions from the Sun and other rabid right-wing papers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 08, 2021, 12:25:08 PM
I got my new UK Global Health Insurance Card today, emblazoned with a big gaudy Union Jack.

Flegs...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 08, 2021, 12:39:23 PM
This is the contempt that they have for the GFA, they could have produced a NI version without the Butcher's Apron.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 08, 2021, 01:02:30 PM
It is laughable that the people fundamentally against the gfa are now trying to use it for their own good.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 17, 2021, 05:19:28 PM
BBC News - Brexit negotiator says NI Protocol talks 'not hugely productive'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-57147783

Been reading Tony Connolly's tweets all day, the vibe is - is this guy for real?

When he was appointed I said Frost will burn bridges everywhere and then resign, leaving someone else to clear up his mess. Still expect it.  Frost is fanning the flames of the situation he says they're trying to avoid.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 17, 2021, 07:03:30 PM
Quote from: Ash Smoker on May 07, 2021, 05:04:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 07, 2021, 04:49:29 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 07, 2021, 04:23:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 07, 2021, 04:09:28 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 03:30:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.

Labour are effectively a centre right party now with a millionaire Sir as the leader.

Not much appeal there for working class voters, they are now just effectively Diet Tories under the leadership of Starmer.

Starmer's background is as working class as they come - father being a toolmaker. Worked hard and made a success of himself, an example to anyone from his upbringing. No comparison between he and the gilded, entitled, public-school attending Tory elite. Whatever his shortcomings are as a party leader, he comes across as a decent, conscientious politician, unlike the incompetent and mendacious charlatans now populating the Tories since BJ shunted the calm and level-headed Remainers from the party.

I too think he's decent and conscientious but he does seem a bit airy fairy on some topics and whilst he cuts Boris a new arsehole every PM's Questions he doesn't instill a fighting spirit within the party and evidently appeal to the working class masses.

The Pro Boris media treat him like the grey man that used to be the moniker of John Major.
Starmer was bought  by the Israeli lobby. The last thing Israel wants is a left wing Government.
Starmer was also bought by the plutocrats. The last thing they want is a left wing Government.

But it is inevitable.

Inevitable?
A left wing government in Britain looks a million miles away right now.
Apart from Blair's New Labour, the party has been in the wilderness for most of the past 50 years.

Too many working class British people lap up the Tory propaganda from The Sun and other places.
The working class is split everywhere by means of culture war and polarisation.
Neoliberalism is dying . When it croaks things will get very interesting. The working class will be reunited via cultural organisations . In the past the job was done by the Boy Scouts and the GAA in Ireland . The rich will be taxed to their oxters. The left will run the transition.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 18, 2021, 09:43:16 AM
Quote from: seafoid on May 17, 2021, 07:03:30 PM
Quote from: Ash Smoker on May 07, 2021, 05:04:32 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 07, 2021, 04:49:29 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 07, 2021, 04:23:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 07, 2021, 04:09:28 PM
Quote from: Angelo on May 07, 2021, 03:30:40 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 07, 2021, 02:24:22 PM
I'm sure Hartlepool has had an MP in some shape or form for a lifetime but this constituency is only on the go since the 1970s.

They would have lost seat in the last election only the Brexit party refused to stand aside as they thought they'd a real chance, they did but split the vote and Labour got returned. The result is not unexpected no matter what the Tory press say, but it is a sad indictment of  the state (& perhaps decline) of the Labour Party and the continued rise of English Nationalism under the Tories. 

The continual bickering with the EU is a Tory tactic too, it keeps that Brexity conflict flame flickering.

Labour are effectively a centre right party now with a millionaire Sir as the leader.

Not much appeal there for working class voters, they are now just effectively Diet Tories under the leadership of Starmer.

Starmer's background is as working class as they come - father being a toolmaker. Worked hard and made a success of himself, an example to anyone from his upbringing. No comparison between he and the gilded, entitled, public-school attending Tory elite. Whatever his shortcomings are as a party leader, he comes across as a decent, conscientious politician, unlike the incompetent and mendacious charlatans now populating the Tories since BJ shunted the calm and level-headed Remainers from the party.

I too think he's decent and conscientious but he does seem a bit airy fairy on some topics and whilst he cuts Boris a new arsehole every PM's Questions he doesn't instill a fighting spirit within the party and evidently appeal to the working class masses.

The Pro Boris media treat him like the grey man that used to be the moniker of John Major.
Starmer was bought  by the Israeli lobby. The last thing Israel wants is a left wing Government.
Starmer was also bought by the plutocrats. The last thing they want is a left wing Government.

But it is inevitable.

Inevitable?
A left wing government in Britain looks a million miles away right now.
Apart from Blair's New Labour, the party has been in the wilderness for most of the past 50 years.

Too many working class British people lap up the Tory propaganda from The Sun and other places.
The working class is split everywhere by means of culture war and polarisation.
Neoliberalism is dying . When it croaks things will get very interesting. The working class will be reunited via cultural organisations . In the past the job was done by the Boy Scouts and the GAA in Ireland . The rich will be taxed to their oxters. The left will run the transition.

Thatchers greatest trick was to convince working class people that they weren't working class.

They were allowed to buy their council houses which then tied them into the mortgage and money markets, she then stopped building council houses and allowed private development to come in and build "developments" which again tied people into the money markets all centred on London.

Those people's wages have stagnated in real terms over the last few decades but they don't see themselves as working class yet they like a lot of us are only one or two wage packets away from defaulting on a mortgage..

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on May 19, 2021, 09:02:58 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 17, 2021, 05:19:28 PM
BBC News - Brexit negotiator says NI Protocol talks 'not hugely productive'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-57147783

Been reading Tony Connolly's tweets all day, the vibe is - is this guy for real?

When he was appointed I said Frost will burn bridges everywhere and then resign, leaving someone else to clear up his mess. Still expect it.  Frost is fanning the flames of the situation he says they're trying to avoid.

Yea, I saw on the news last night that they might use force majeur to scrap it - something due to unforseen circumstances. I can't believe they didn't think of the consequences of NI seeing as they were on about 'our bowdahs' etc during the Withdrawal Agreement deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 19, 2021, 10:07:56 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on May 19, 2021, 09:02:58 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on May 17, 2021, 05:19:28 PM
BBC News - Brexit negotiator says NI Protocol talks 'not hugely productive'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-57147783

Been reading Tony Connolly's tweets all day, the vibe is - is this guy for real?

When he was appointed I said Frost will burn bridges everywhere and then resign, leaving someone else to clear up his mess. Still expect it.  Frost is fanning the flames of the situation he says they're trying to avoid.

Yea, I saw on the news last night that they might use force majeur to scrap it - something due to unforseen circumstances. I can't believe they didn't think of the consequences of NI seeing as they were on about 'our bowdahs' etc during the Withdrawal Agreement deal.

Not being a legal expert is force majeur not some unforeseen event or "act of god".

The actual British negotiator is now saying the thing he and the UK parliament overwhelmingly agreed to and pushed it through has unintended consequences which everyone with a titter of wit has been talking about for years.

The elite educational institutions in England of Eton, Oxford and Cambridge really need to review their entrance criteria as some of their alumni aren't a good advertisement for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on May 22, 2021, 08:21:23 AM
It has a slightly wider interpretation than simply 'act if God' and can apply in other circumstances depending of course on how flexible the parties want to be. I see Edwin Poots and UFU are up in arms about proposed YK/Australia beef feel which will involve zero tariffs and quotas. While protocol will protect NI from being flooded with it the GB market for NI beef will go as they won't be able to compete on price. This is only the start of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on June 23, 2021, 04:56:41 PM
Jesus, the One Nation One Britain shitfest. Worth investigating on twitter

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/jun/23/uk-education-secretary-mocked-for-one-britain-one-nation-day-song

The whiff of fascism is increasing with this lot
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on June 30, 2021, 12:31:33 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-57666255

Another nail in the Unions coffin. Off they go to the Supreme Court  :D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rois on June 30, 2021, 12:43:02 PM
Quote from: general_lee on June 30, 2021, 12:31:33 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-57666255

Another nail in the Unions coffin. Off they go to the Supreme Court  :D
I love that it was Justice Colton who delivered the ruling  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 08, 2021, 11:14:58 AM
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/EU-UK-2030-Report.pdf
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 20, 2021, 06:45:44 PM
One industry view
https://www.hospitalityandcateringnews.com/2021/07/brexit-benefits-to-hospitality/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 21, 2021, 08:57:09 AM
Brexit: UK to outline how it wants to overhaul Northern Ireland Protocol

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-57911148

Cant be great news I'd imagine, more conflict, antagonism and uncertainty.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 21, 2021, 09:07:05 AM
they're using loyalists to stir it up too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 11:43:34 AM
I can get the fact that there needs to be controls of 'goods' entering NI from Britain but I was looking at it from the likes of foods not materials like wood, steel and things like that.

The reason why I'm asking is that more and more companies are not delivering to the north and I'm taking, lets say, garden furniture, what's the difficulty in the paperwork or is it a handy excuse to not bother shipping here?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on July 21, 2021, 12:13:46 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 11:43:34 AM
I can get the fact that there needs to be controls of 'goods' entering NI from Britain but I was looking at it from the likes of foods not materials like wood, steel and things like that.

The reason why I'm asking is that more and more companies are not delivering to the north and I'm taking, lets say, garden furniture, what's the difficulty in the paperwork or is it a handy excuse to not bother shipping here?

Alot of garden furniture bound for Europe was on that boat stuck in the suez canal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lfdown2 on July 21, 2021, 12:14:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 11:43:34 AM
I can get the fact that there needs to be controls of 'goods' entering NI from Britain but I was looking at it from the likes of foods not materials like wood, steel and things like that.

The reason why I'm asking is that more and more companies are not delivering to the north and I'm taking, lets say, garden furniture, what's the difficulty in the paperwork or is it a handy excuse to not bother shipping here?

My take is that while it may not be that hard to get up to speed with the paperwork we are such a small market most just can't be ars*d.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 12:21:29 PM
Quote from: lfdown2 on July 21, 2021, 12:14:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 11:43:34 AM
I can get the fact that there needs to be controls of 'goods' entering NI from Britain but I was looking at it from the likes of foods not materials like wood, steel and things like that.

The reason why I'm asking is that more and more companies are not delivering to the north and I'm taking, lets say, garden furniture, what's the difficulty in the paperwork or is it a handy excuse to not bother shipping here?

My take is that while it may not be that hard to get up to speed with the paperwork we are such a small market most just can't be ars*d.

This and the pricks in GB haven't fully resourced their end of the bargain. Probably didn't expect the EU to make them honour their side of the agreement, charlatans.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 12:39:55 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 12:21:29 PM
Quote from: lfdown2 on July 21, 2021, 12:14:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 11:43:34 AM
I can get the fact that there needs to be controls of 'goods' entering NI from Britain but I was looking at it from the likes of foods not materials like wood, steel and things like that.

The reason why I'm asking is that more and more companies are not delivering to the north and I'm taking, lets say, garden furniture, what's the difficulty in the paperwork or is it a handy excuse to not bother shipping here?

My take is that while it may not be that hard to get up to speed with the paperwork we are such a small market most just can't be ars*d.

This and the pricks in GB haven't fully resourced their end of the bargain. Probably didn't expect the EU to make them honour their side of the agreement, charlatans.

So our useless reps at Westminster can't pull these companies and show them up for what it is?

I spoke to one of the firms that I was trying to order from, he said due to brexit we can't deliver, I said I work for a company that delivers from all over Europe and UK to the North, why can't you brext was his reply, no other reason, pure lazy
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lfdown2 on July 21, 2021, 12:54:01 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 12:39:55 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 12:21:29 PM
Quote from: lfdown2 on July 21, 2021, 12:14:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 11:43:34 AM
I can get the fact that there needs to be controls of 'goods' entering NI from Britain but I was looking at it from the likes of foods not materials like wood, steel and things like that.

The reason why I'm asking is that more and more companies are not delivering to the north and I'm taking, lets say, garden furniture, what's the difficulty in the paperwork or is it a handy excuse to not bother shipping here?

My take is that while it may not be that hard to get up to speed with the paperwork we are such a small market most just can't be ars*d.

This and the pricks in GB haven't fully resourced their end of the bargain. Probably didn't expect the EU to make them honour their side of the agreement, charlatans.

So our useless reps at Westminster can't pull these companies and show them up for what it is?

I spoke to one of the firms that I was trying to order from, he said due to brexit we can't deliver, I said I work for a company that delivers from all over Europe and UK to the North, why can't you brext was his reply, no other reason, pure lazy

I would say the effort, or any effort is being deemed not worth the reward for the number of units they are shipping to the north. I would imagine that quite will wait to see how it pans out and will reassess once the difficulties (perceived or otherwise) are ironed out (who knows when that might be).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 01:29:22 PM
Brexit is a failure. it was based on economic assumptions which failed to materialise.
the EU didn't give the UK free Single Market Access . There are no decent trade deals out there.

Taking the UK out of its economic hinterland is ridiculous.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 01:39:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 01:29:22 PM
Brexit is a failure. it was based on economic assumptions which failed to materialise.
the EU didn't give the UK free Single Market Access . There are no decent trade deals out there.

Taking the UK out of its economic hinterland is ridiculous.

Brexit was never about economic benefits, it was about immigration and the elephant in the room was closing down taxation loopholes for the well heeled.
Everything thereafter was pure bullshít.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 21, 2021, 01:58:22 PM
Quote from: lfdown2 on July 21, 2021, 12:54:01 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 12:39:55 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 12:21:29 PM
Quote from: lfdown2 on July 21, 2021, 12:14:45 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on July 21, 2021, 11:43:34 AM
I can get the fact that there needs to be controls of 'goods' entering NI from Britain but I was looking at it from the likes of foods not materials like wood, steel and things like that.

The reason why I'm asking is that more and more companies are not delivering to the north and I'm taking, lets say, garden furniture, what's the difficulty in the paperwork or is it a handy excuse to not bother shipping here?

My take is that while it may not be that hard to get up to speed with the paperwork we are such a small market most just can't be ars*d.

This and the pricks in GB haven't fully resourced their end of the bargain. Probably didn't expect the EU to make them honour their side of the agreement, charlatans.

So our useless reps at Westminster can't pull these companies and show them up for what it is?

I spoke to one of the firms that I was trying to order from, he said due to brexit we can't deliver, I said I work for a company that delivers from all over Europe and UK to the North, why can't you brext was his reply, no other reason, pure lazy

I would say the effort, or any effort is being deemed not worth the reward for the number of units they are shipping to the north. I would imagine that quite will wait to see how it pans out and will reassess once the difficulties (perceived or otherwise) are ironed out (who knows when that might be).

I think it's more transport it's much more costly to send something to the North than it used to be as there are less goods going there.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 21, 2021, 03:48:13 PM
A "stand still period" now!
https://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0721/1236322-ni-protocol-statements-parliament/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 04:03:03 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 01:39:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 01:29:22 PM
Brexit is a failure. it was based on economic assumptions which failed to materialise.
the EU didn't give the UK free Single Market Access . There are no decent trade deals out there.

Taking the UK out of its economic hinterland is ridiculous.

Brexit was never about economic benefits, it was about immigration and the elephant in the room was closing down taxation loopholes for the well heeled.
Everything thereafter was pure bullshít.
In order to be sustainable, Brexit had to have economic benefits. Unionism in NI is the same. It has to benefit people. Neither do.
Brexit is doomed. So is Unionism

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 04:59:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 04:03:03 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 01:39:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 01:29:22 PM
Brexit is a failure. it was based on economic assumptions which failed to materialise.
the EU didn't give the UK free Single Market Access . There are no decent trade deals out there.

Taking the UK out of its economic hinterland is ridiculous.

Brexit was never about economic benefits, it was about immigration and the elephant in the room was closing down taxation loopholes for the well heeled.
Everything thereafter was pure bullshít.
In order to be sustainable, Brexit had to have economic benefits. Unionism in NI is the same. It has to benefit people. Neither do.
Brexit is doomed. So is Unionism

Tell that to the 15million people who voted for something they never fully understood but it was going to keep the immigrants out at whatever cost.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 08:18:14 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 04:59:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 04:03:03 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 01:39:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 01:29:22 PM
Brexit is a failure. it was based on economic assumptions which failed to materialise.
the EU didn't give the UK free Single Market Access . There are no decent trade deals out there.

Taking the UK out of its economic hinterland is ridiculous.

Brexit was never about economic benefits, it was about immigration and the elephant in the room was closing down taxation loopholes for the well heeled.
Everything thereafter was pure bullshít.
In order to be sustainable, Brexit had to have economic benefits. Unionism in NI is the same. It has to benefit people. Neither do.
Brexit is doomed. So is Unionism

Tell that to the 15million people who voted for something they never fully understood but it was going to keep the immigrants out at whatever cost.
Cummings decided in 2015 that there would be no detail attching to Brexit. People voted for a void.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=00WCEbKM_SE
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 22, 2021, 08:14:20 PM
Guide to the Protocol

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zo_fA6avyg
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: StPatsAbu on July 22, 2021, 08:49:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 08:18:14 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 04:59:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 04:03:03 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 21, 2021, 01:39:57 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 21, 2021, 01:29:22 PM
Brexit is a failure. it was based on economic assumptions which failed to materialise.
the EU didn't give the UK free Single Market Access . There are no decent trade deals out there.

Taking the UK out of its economic hinterland is ridiculous.

Brexit was never about economic benefits, it was about immigration and the elephant in the room was closing down taxation loopholes for the well heeled.
Everything thereafter was pure bullshít.
In order to be sustainable, Brexit had to have economic benefits. Unionism in NI is the same. It has to benefit people. Neither do.
Brexit is doomed. So is Unionism

Tell that to the 15million people who voted for something they never fully understood but it was going to keep the immigrants out at whatever cost.
Cummings decided in 2015 that there would be no detail attching to Brexit. People voted for a void.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=00WCEbKM_SE

People voted in response to the xenophobia /racism whipped up by the media who incessantly blamed migrants for the cuts to public services introduced under Tory austerity.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 27, 2021, 10:54:17 AM
This is interesting

https://www.ft.com/content/2f343703-90c2-4bbc-bbe2-1199f685b9b4

Britain undermines its own case in Northern Ireland Maximalist demands obscure reasonable options for improving the Brexit deal THE EDITORIAL BOARD Add to myFT Loyalists hold a protest against the Northern Ireland protocol and the so-called Irish Sea border at Belfast Harbour earlier this month © Charles McQuillan/Getty Share on Twitter (opens new window) Share on Facebook (opens new window) Share on LinkedIn (opens new window) Share Save The editorial board JULY 25 2021 404 Print this page One can hardly blame the EU for a sense of irritation at the latest British effort to relitigate the Northern Ireland protocol of its Brexit deal. This is a mess created entirely by the prime minister. He advocated Brexit without any consideration for its consequences in the province, careless of the point that it was the common membership of the EU that made the Good Friday Agreement possible. He then scuppered a Brexit deal that would have maintained the integrity of the UK. As prime minister he betrayed the very Unionists whose cause he had championed and negotiated a deal that left Northern Ireland in the single market for goods — leaving trade between Britain and the province subject to customs and regulatory checks. Having denied the protocol would lead to a regulatory border between Britain and Northern Ireland, he now proclaims the rules he said did not exist are in fact too onerous to be borne. His latest gambit is to demand substantial renegotiation of the arrangement under the threat of activating a provision allowing the UK unilaterally to abandon certain key provisions of the protocol as they apply to checks on goods moving between Britain and Northern Ireland. Though this threat should be taken seriously, EU officials are understandably unwilling to reward what they see as bad faith by a government trying to relitigate a deal it wishes it had not signed. Brussels has rejected calls for renegotiation of the protocol, though it remains willing to discuss narrow issues to improve the implementation.
It is understandable if the EU is not feeling terribly charitable towards Boris Johnson or the Democratic Unionist party, which is using the threat of instability to try to recoup lost political ground and unpick a deal they always opposed because its impact (as widely envisaged) will be to pull Northern Ireland's businesses away from the UK and further into the EU's orbit. Opinion: David Allen Green: the Northern Ireland Protocol And yet within the maximalist British demands there are some legitimate points. An overzealous EU interpretation of rules is out of proportion to the threat to the integrity of the single market from British goods arriving in Northern Ireland.

The risk is theoretical rather than real, not least because there is as yet no significant regulatory divergence. Furthermore there are concerns of a future risk to medicine supplies (Northern Ireland is within the NHS) because of the different approval regimes. Likewise the British request for lighter treatment for goods that are destined to stay in Northern Ireland is worth consideration. There are several other issues that can be eased by a more risk-based approach to the protocol.  Brussels can defensibly argue that the UK can remove many problems by signing up to EU sanitary and phytosanitary rules. This conflicts with the UK's desire for free trade deals, but choosing to prioritise that over a solution is, Brussels might argue, Boris Johnson's choice.

And yet for all this there is a need to recognise a problem. So while the EU should rightly reject structural changes to its agreement, it does make sense to ask (as it already has in a few areas) whether it cannot be more imaginative in implementing regulations to draw the sting of the most heartfelt and visible grievances. The nation best placed to broker compromise is Ireland, which can only lose from renewed instability in the North. Having fought for the protocol, Dublin is understandably treading a careful line. But if your neighbour's semi-detached house is on fire, at some point it ceases to be relevant whether or not they started the blaze.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 27, 2021, 11:46:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 27, 2021, 10:54:17 AM
This is interesting

https://www.ft.com/content/2f343703-90c2-4bbc-bbe2-1199f685b9b4

Britain undermines its own case in Northern Ireland Maximalist demands obscure reasonable options for improving the Brexit deal THE EDITORIAL BOARD Add to myFT Loyalists hold a protest against the Northern Ireland protocol and the so-called Irish Sea border at Belfast Harbour earlier this month © Charles McQuillan/Getty Share on Twitter (opens new window) Share on Facebook (opens new window) Share on LinkedIn (opens new window) Share Save The editorial board JULY 25 2021 404 Print this page One can hardly blame the EU for a sense of irritation at the latest British effort to relitigate the Northern Ireland protocol of its Brexit deal. This is a mess created entirely by the prime minister. He advocated Brexit without any consideration for its consequences in the province, careless of the point that it was the common membership of the EU that made the Good Friday Agreement possible. He then scuppered a Brexit deal that would have maintained the integrity of the UK. As prime minister he betrayed the very Unionists whose cause he had championed and negotiated a deal that left Northern Ireland in the single market for goods — leaving trade between Britain and the province subject to customs and regulatory checks. Having denied the protocol would lead to a regulatory border between Britain and Northern Ireland, he now proclaims the rules he said did not exist are in fact too onerous to be borne. His latest gambit is to demand substantial renegotiation of the arrangement under the threat of activating a provision allowing the UK unilaterally to abandon certain key provisions of the protocol as they apply to checks on goods moving between Britain and Northern Ireland. Though this threat should be taken seriously, EU officials are understandably unwilling to reward what they see as bad faith by a government trying to relitigate a deal it wishes it had not signed. Brussels has rejected calls for renegotiation of the protocol, though it remains willing to discuss narrow issues to improve the implementation.
It is understandable if the EU is not feeling terribly charitable towards Boris Johnson or the Democratic Unionist party, which is using the threat of instability to try to recoup lost political ground and unpick a deal they always opposed because its impact (as widely envisaged) will be to pull Northern Ireland's businesses away from the UK and further into the EU's orbit. Opinion: David Allen Green: the Northern Ireland Protocol And yet within the maximalist British demands there are some legitimate points. An overzealous EU interpretation of rules is out of proportion to the threat to the integrity of the single market from British goods arriving in Northern Ireland.

The risk is theoretical rather than real, not least because there is as yet no significant regulatory divergence. Furthermore there are concerns of a future risk to medicine supplies (Northern Ireland is within the NHS) because of the different approval regimes. Likewise the British request for lighter treatment for goods that are destined to stay in Northern Ireland is worth consideration. There are several other issues that can be eased by a more risk-based approach to the protocol.  Brussels can defensibly argue that the UK can remove many problems by signing up to EU sanitary and phytosanitary rules. This conflicts with the UK's desire for free trade deals, but choosing to prioritise that over a solution is, Brussels might argue, Boris Johnson's choice.

And yet for all this there is a need to recognise a problem. So while the EU should rightly reject structural changes to its agreement, it does make sense to ask (as it already has in a few areas) whether it cannot be more imaginative in implementing regulations to draw the sting of the most heartfelt and visible grievances. The nation best placed to broker compromise is Ireland, which can only lose from renewed instability in the North. Having fought for the protocol, Dublin is understandably treading a careful line. But if your neighbour's semi-detached house is on fire, at some point it ceases to be relevant whether or not they started the blaze.

But we're not on fire in that sense and it's interesting that the UFU and the fisheries industries are quiet as church mice on the NI protocol. They know it's a good thing for them but won't publically say if for fear of the loyalist backlash.

The perceived issues with the protocol are constitutional for loyalists who once again believe everything the DUP who led them down this path say.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on July 27, 2021, 11:50:14 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 27, 2021, 11:46:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on July 27, 2021, 10:54:17 AM
This is interesting

https://www.ft.com/content/2f343703-90c2-4bbc-bbe2-1199f685b9b4

Britain undermines its own case in Northern Ireland Maximalist demands obscure reasonable options for improving the Brexit deal THE EDITORIAL BOARD Add to myFT Loyalists hold a protest against the Northern Ireland protocol and the so-called Irish Sea border at Belfast Harbour earlier this month © Charles McQuillan/Getty Share on Twitter (opens new window) Share on Facebook (opens new window) Share on LinkedIn (opens new window) Share Save The editorial board JULY 25 2021 404 Print this page One can hardly blame the EU for a sense of irritation at the latest British effort to relitigate the Northern Ireland protocol of its Brexit deal. This is a mess created entirely by the prime minister. He advocated Brexit without any consideration for its consequences in the province, careless of the point that it was the common membership of the EU that made the Good Friday Agreement possible. He then scuppered a Brexit deal that would have maintained the integrity of the UK. As prime minister he betrayed the very Unionists whose cause he had championed and negotiated a deal that left Northern Ireland in the single market for goods — leaving trade between Britain and the province subject to customs and regulatory checks. Having denied the protocol would lead to a regulatory border between Britain and Northern Ireland, he now proclaims the rules he said did not exist are in fact too onerous to be borne. His latest gambit is to demand substantial renegotiation of the arrangement under the threat of activating a provision allowing the UK unilaterally to abandon certain key provisions of the protocol as they apply to checks on goods moving between Britain and Northern Ireland. Though this threat should be taken seriously, EU officials are understandably unwilling to reward what they see as bad faith by a government trying to relitigate a deal it wishes it had not signed. Brussels has rejected calls for renegotiation of the protocol, though it remains willing to discuss narrow issues to improve the implementation.
It is understandable if the EU is not feeling terribly charitable towards Boris Johnson or the Democratic Unionist party, which is using the threat of instability to try to recoup lost political ground and unpick a deal they always opposed because its impact (as widely envisaged) will be to pull Northern Ireland's businesses away from the UK and further into the EU's orbit. Opinion: David Allen Green: the Northern Ireland Protocol And yet within the maximalist British demands there are some legitimate points. An overzealous EU interpretation of rules is out of proportion to the threat to the integrity of the single market from British goods arriving in Northern Ireland.

The risk is theoretical rather than real, not least because there is as yet no significant regulatory divergence. Furthermore there are concerns of a future risk to medicine supplies (Northern Ireland is within the NHS) because of the different approval regimes. Likewise the British request for lighter treatment for goods that are destined to stay in Northern Ireland is worth consideration. There are several other issues that can be eased by a more risk-based approach to the protocol.  Brussels can defensibly argue that the UK can remove many problems by signing up to EU sanitary and phytosanitary rules. This conflicts with the UK's desire for free trade deals, but choosing to prioritise that over a solution is, Brussels might argue, Boris Johnson's choice.

And yet for all this there is a need to recognise a problem. So while the EU should rightly reject structural changes to its agreement, it does make sense to ask (as it already has in a few areas) whether it cannot be more imaginative in implementing regulations to draw the sting of the most heartfelt and visible grievances. The nation best placed to broker compromise is Ireland, which can only lose from renewed instability in the North. Having fought for the protocol, Dublin is understandably treading a careful line. But if your neighbour's semi-detached house is on fire, at some point it ceases to be relevant whether or not they started the blaze.

But we're not on fire in that sense and it's interesting that the UFU and the fisheries industries are quiet as church mice on the NI protocol. They know it's a good thing for them but won't publically say if for fear of the loyalist backlash.

The perceived issues with the protocol are constitutional for loyalists who once again believe everything the DUP who led them down this path say.

Yeah a lot of the issues are constitutional but some of the paperwork and checks are OTT. I think if Nats recognised that it might help to take the sting out of it a small bit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 27, 2021, 11:55:46 AM
I see former Senator Ian Marshall has joined the UUP.
Any hope it might be a sign of a more pragmatic approach from the organisation?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 27, 2021, 12:43:32 PM
Amended. Thanks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on July 27, 2021, 01:23:12 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on July 27, 2021, 11:55:46 AM
I see former Senator Ian Marshall has joined the UUP.
Any hope it might be a sign of a more pragmatic approach from the organisation?
No, I'd be very sceptical and wouldn't be surprised if they revert back to type at the first sniff of it being expedient to do so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 27, 2021, 02:56:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on July 27, 2021, 11:50:14 AM
Yeah a lot of the issues are constitutional but some of the paperwork and checks are OTT. I think if Nats recognised that it might help to take the sting out of it a small bit.

Since London and the Unionists keep on ranting about sausages then the real work does not get done on the paperwork. And, as everyone has pointed out, 80% of the paperwork could be removed if Britain agreed to harmonise the veterinary standards,which are the same anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 01, 2021, 11:29:27 AM
https://metro.co.uk/2021/08/31/beer-shortages-at-wetherspoons-after-brexit-and-covid-hit-supply-chains-15184924/?ito=article.mweb.share.top.twitter (https://metro.co.uk/2021/08/31/beer-shortages-at-wetherspoons-after-brexit-and-covid-hit-supply-chains-15184924/?ito=article.mweb.share.top.twitter)

Hell slap it into the príck.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TMAC on September 01, 2021, 01:11:14 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on September 01, 2021, 11:29:27 AM
https://metro.co.uk/2021/08/31/beer-shortages-at-wetherspoons-after-brexit-and-covid-hit-supply-chains-15184924/?ito=article.mweb.share.top.twitter (https://metro.co.uk/2021/08/31/beer-shortages-at-wetherspoons-after-brexit-and-covid-hit-supply-chains-15184924/?ito=article.mweb.share.top.twitter)

Hell slap it into the príck.

;D ;D one hateful hoor.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 01, 2021, 03:35:25 PM
It's clear the penny is beginning to drop with various boneheads. Trouble is it'll probably be a decade before a serious discussion can be held about rejoining the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: APM on September 01, 2021, 04:46:07 PM
They'll never rejoin the EU.  The process of leaving was damaging enough never mind rejoining an EU that will potentially be more centralised.   I also doubt that the EU would have them.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jayop on September 01, 2021, 05:01:49 PM
Quote from: APM on September 01, 2021, 04:46:07 PM
They'll never rejoin the EU.  The process of leaving was damaging enough never mind rejoining an EU that will potentially be more centralised.   I also doubt that the EU would have them.

How would anyone in the EU ever want them back? Since the day they joined they've been nothing but a pain in the arse for the project. In some ways that's probably been a good thing because some of the other larger countries would have pushed much harder for the "ever closer union" outlined in the 57 treaty. I'm all for the EU but within limits and I still feel each country should retain sovereignty over it's economy, taxation, it's borders etc. Perhaps without the Euro-Skeptics in England some of those sovereign items may have been removed.

I think eventually the whole brexit issue will settle down and ultimately Birtian and the EU will revert to having a good relationship albeit from a distance. It will get spiky again when Scotland eventually and inevitably gain independence and rejoin the EU. How will that effect the EU/GB relationship when they have a land border on the Island of Britain.

I'm a republican also and in truth Brexit has pushed the agenda for a United Ireland. That said I do also think that the protocol has the potential to make the north work economically far better than ever since partition, but the unionists simply can't see beyond the end of their nose. The protocol working has the potential to protect the current place they have, but sausages etc.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 01, 2021, 05:20:43 PM
The UK is weaker outside the EU.It has no geopolitical purpose.

https://www.ft.com/content/62bd638f-8986-4187-ab06-9f7fd1330e1c

Macmillan's successors often framed Britain's role as that of a bridge between Europe and the US, with influence in one amplifying its authority in the other.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: APM on September 01, 2021, 05:50:14 PM
The UK's international relevance is now plain to be seen in how the US have treated them in terms of the Afghan withdrawal.  They were not even consulted.   The Biden administration regards the UK Brexiteers with contempt.  There is no special relationship any more because the UK cannot be that bridge to Europe and the US doesn't even seem interested in using the UK as a mudguard in the way Bush operated with Blair. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on September 17, 2021, 09:10:52 PM
M&S confirm they won't be sending their Christmas boxes to NI this year. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on September 20, 2021, 11:14:19 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on September 17, 2021, 09:10:52 PM
M&S confirm they won't be sending their Christmas boxes to NI this year.

Garden Centre Unionists to join Jamie on the blue bins in protest at this decision..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 05, 2021, 08:14:48 PM
Anybody know what the Loyalist communities want to replace the Protocol with?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 05, 2021, 08:27:33 PM
Also why can't I get gravy pots in the supermarket any more??

(No idea on the protocol - tbh I think it's as simple as a hard border. I was in a traffic jam in a place Friday and could see a lot of keep ulster British posters up. I am not sure an economical alternative is what is being looked for here...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 06, 2021, 08:26:37 AM
https://adambienkov.substack.com/p/brexit-is-now-biting-the-conservative?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=Now
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 06, 2021, 08:31:35 AM
https://mobile.twitter.com/LBC/status/1445378612585185282
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Louther on October 06, 2021, 09:32:11 AM
The Tory party conference just about sums up what the UK are been led by and says a lot for the country that it will largely go unnoticed in their polling.

The grand sum of the Brexit strategy and recovery seems to be because they are British they will do great. Drink pints and eat Fish/chips for the public and let business sort out the issues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 11:29:20 AM
5 points ahead of Labour in a Britain Elects survey today, unbelievable.

See the French threatening to cut power supplies to GB over fishing rights dispute, no doubt it's bluster and the Brexit w**ks would have a field day if it did happen, but I'd love to see it.

I wonder does Unionism look on atm and see the madness of GB and at least see SOME benefits of AI connections & integration, hopefully they are getting their eyes opened to the cretins & charlatans running the UK.
L
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: ardtole on October 06, 2021, 11:32:13 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 11:29:20 AM
5 points ahead of Labour in a Britain Elects survey today, unbelievable.

See the French threatening to cut power supplies to GB over fishing rights dispute, no doubt it's bluster and the Brexit w**ks would have a field day if it did happen, but I'd love to see it.

I wonder does Unionism look on atm and see the madness of GB and at least see SOME benefits of AI connections & integration, hopefully they are getting their eyes opened to the cretins & charlatans running the UK.
L

Unfortunately I think it will take the chaos to hit the north, and directly affect everyone, nationalist and unionist, before a lot of them take their head out of the sand.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 06, 2021, 11:38:47 AM
https://m.independent.ie/business/world/eu-supplies-uk-with-pork-as-british-farmers-cull-their-pigs-40920920.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 06, 2021, 03:42:02 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 11:29:20 AM
5 points ahead of Labour in a Britain Elects survey today, unbelievable.

See the French threatening to cut power supplies to GB over fishing rights dispute, no doubt it's bluster and the Brexit w**ks would have a field day if it did happen, but I'd love to see it.

I wonder does Unionism look on atm and see the madness of GB and at least see SOME benefits of AI connections & integration, hopefully they are getting their eyes opened to the cretins & charlatans running the UK.


Totally believable when you see who is leading Labour. Starmer has provided zero opposition to the Tories and has refused to highlight the bare-faced lies of Johnson. The guy is a bigger charlatan and spoofer than Johnson. This is a man who used his speech at the Labour conference to criticise lack of prosecutions for domestic violence and rapes. FFS, he was Director of Public Prosecutions for years, it was HIS job... Absolute bluffer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 06, 2021, 04:36:22 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 06, 2021, 03:42:02 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 11:29:20 AM
5 points ahead of Labour in a Britain Elects survey today, unbelievable.

See the French threatening to cut power supplies to GB over fishing rights dispute, no doubt it's bluster and the Brexit w**ks would have a field day if it did happen, but I'd love to see it.

I wonder does Unionism look on atm and see the madness of GB and at least see SOME benefits of AI connections & integration, hopefully they are getting their eyes opened to the cretins & charlatans running the UK.


Totally believable when you see who is leading Labour. Starmer has provided zero opposition to the Tories and has refused to highlight the bare-faced lies of Johnson. The guy is a bigger charlatan and spoofer than Johnson. This is a man who used his speech at the Labour conference to criticise lack of prosecutions for domestic violence and rapes. FFS, he was Director of Public Prosecutions for years, it was HIS job... Absolute bluffer.

Surely an inside job, Starmer is a Tory/MI5 plant, last week he declared its not right to say only women have a cervix in his attempts to be mature and respectful around trans rights... the establishment has Britain sewn up there is no doubt about that. At the time of the miners strikes Roger Windsor, former NUM Chief Executive, was an MI5 agent sent into the union to destabilise it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 06, 2021, 05:12:16 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 06, 2021, 03:42:02 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 11:29:20 AM
5 points ahead of Labour in a Britain Elects survey today, unbelievable.

See the French threatening to cut power supplies to GB over fishing rights dispute, no doubt it's bluster and the Brexit w**ks would have a field day if it did happen, but I'd love to see it.

I wonder does Unionism look on atm and see the madness of GB and at least see SOME benefits of AI connections & integration, hopefully they are getting their eyes opened to the cretins & charlatans running the UK.


Totally believable when you see who is leading Labour. Starmer has provided zero opposition to the Tories and has refused to highlight the bare-faced lies of Johnson. The guy is a bigger charlatan and spoofer than Johnson. This is a man who used his speech at the Labour conference to criticise lack of prosecutions for domestic violence and rapes. FFS, he was Director of Public Prosecutions for years, it was HIS job... Absolute bluffer.

I've always had time for Starmer, he's always come across as decent and the kind who wants to do the right thing. His problem is that he felt compelled to back the Brexit deal last year, in case it was defeated, and plunged the nation into an even worse no-deal scenario. It's hard for him now to attack the Tories over Brexit as they can fire back at him that he supported it too. He really should have abstained. His bigger problem is trying to unite a divided party of hard left socialist Corbynistas and more centralist moderate factions. He really should tell the hard left to take a running jump, (who wants to be poor and left-wing?), and merge or come to an understanding with the Lib-Dems (and court the SNP also). About the only way they can defeat the Tories with their overwhelming majority and FPTP system currently.

Saying Starmer is a bigger charlatan and spoofer than BJ is just stupid.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 06, 2021, 10:56:06 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

Labour won't get in until Brexit has disappeared.

They can't touch it because the country wanted to do it and it became such an emotive issue they can't admit they were wrong. The Tories delivered it so until it's no longer on the table people are going to stay loyal to it.

It's minimum 3-5 years before we can think about not talking about real and current Brexit difficulties. I think that's Labours only chance.

Starmer is right to get rid of the nutters!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 06, 2021, 11:47:18 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

Certainly don't have the Guardian, the Observer other outlets such as LBC in their corner. Left wing views have no issue being heard in media.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 07, 2021, 02:13:33 AM
Quote from: screenexile on October 06, 2021, 10:56:06 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

Labour won't get in until Brexit has disappeared.

They can't touch it because the country wanted to do it and it became such an emotive issue they can't admit they were wrong. The Tories delivered it so until it's no longer on the table people are going to stay loyal to it.

It's minimum 3-5 years before we can think about not talking about real and current Brexit difficulties. I think that's Labours only chance.

Starmer is right to get rid of the nutters!!

The nutters? Cornyn wanted to nationise railways because how shit they have become, and Mail went ballistic. Tories are now bringing railways back into public ownership because of how shit they are. Labour are a joke, and have always been worst for nationalists than the Tories. Roy Mason anybody? Merlin Rees anybody? I despise the Tories with every fibre of my being, but I hate Labour even more. We need rid of these colonial bastards once and for all, and Brexit is giving us that opportunity. f**k all Brit politicians, whatever their ilk.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 07, 2021, 09:54:33 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so.

Starmer is a Tory mole, right out of the MI5 playbook.

Corbyn was a threat to the establishment, they eviscerated him on the grounds that he was a threat to the homogeneity of the establishment and status quo

Starmer offers no such threat, the Torys will do all they can to keep him in position for years

Someone said a few posts back that David Miliband needs to come back into the fray... what a sliding doors moment that was for British politics when his brother stabbed him in the back to take the leadership, unfortunately Ed was never going to succeed being something of a Milhouse Van Houten clone
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:23:25 AM
Quote from: tiempo on October 07, 2021, 09:54:33 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so.

Starmer is a Tory mole, right out of the MI5 playbook.

Corbyn was a threat to the establishment, they eviscerated him on the grounds that he was a threat to the homogeneity of the establishment and status quo

Starmer offers no such threat, the Torys will do all they can to keep him in position for years

Someone said a few posts back that David Miliband needs to come back into the fray... what a sliding doors moment that was for British politics when his brother stabbed him in the back to take the leadership, unfortunately Ed was never going to succeed being something of a Milhouse Van Houten clone

Starmer is a neoliberal dog in the manger. His job is to prevent economic change.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoubleDownNews/status/1440983693636644864
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:24:46 AM
Minette Batters is the head of the Farmers Union.

https://mobile.twitter.com/bbcquestiontime/status/1446234385204846596
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: APM on October 09, 2021, 12:52:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:23:25 AM
Quote from: tiempo on October 07, 2021, 09:54:33 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so.

Starmer is a Tory mole, right out of the MI5 playbook.

Corbyn was a threat to the establishment, they eviscerated him on the grounds that he was a threat to the homogeneity of the establishment and status quo

Starmer offers no such threat, the Torys will do all they can to keep him in position for years

Someone said a few posts back that David Miliband needs to come back into the fray... what a sliding doors moment that was for British politics when his brother stabbed him in the back to take the leadership, unfortunately Ed was never going to succeed being something of a Milhouse Van Houten clone

Starmer is a neoliberal dog in the manger. His job is to prevent economic change.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoubleDownNews/status/1440983693636644864

The labour party is indulging in the same ideological bullshit that dogged it throughout the 1980s. As long as they persist with this shite they will never be elected. Kinnock, John Smith and Blair overseen the transition to a modern electable party by sidelining these fanatics who would rather be at war within their own party than actually win an election and run the government.  The messy ending of the Brown leadership allowed these people back to the table.
The UK is looking at in-built Tory dominance for a generation and no-one is to blame more than the left-wing of the labour party, their supporters and Ed Milliband in particular for creating the circumstances to allow the party to be taken over.  The obsession of the hard-left with rubbishing the Blair / Brown era only shows that these people belong in an entirely different party. Blair got plenty wrong, but the hard left see him and Starmer as greater enemies than Johnson and that is tragic. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 09, 2021, 01:57:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:23:25 AM
Quote from: tiempo on October 07, 2021, 09:54:33 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so.

Starmer is a Tory mole, right out of the MI5 playbook.

Corbyn was a threat to the establishment, they eviscerated him on the grounds that he was a threat to the homogeneity of the establishment and status quo

Starmer offers no such threat, the Torys will do all they can to keep him in position for years

Someone said a few posts back that David Miliband needs to come back into the fray... what a sliding doors moment that was for British politics when his brother stabbed him in the back to take the leadership, unfortunately Ed was never going to succeed being something of a Milhouse Van Houten clone

Starmer is a neoliberal dog in the manger. His job is to prevent economic change.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoubleDownNews/status/1440983693636644864
Seafoid you've been blathering on about Neoliberalism for years like it's some sort of insult, it's the Economic model of the EU & Western world in general.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on October 09, 2021, 02:36:15 PM
Quote from: APM on October 09, 2021, 12:52:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:23:25 AM
Quote from: tiempo on October 07, 2021, 09:54:33 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so.

Starmer is a Tory mole, right out of the MI5 playbook.

Corbyn was a threat to the establishment, they eviscerated him on the grounds that he was a threat to the homogeneity of the establishment and status quo

Starmer offers no such threat, the Torys will do all they can to keep him in position for years

Someone said a few posts back that David Miliband needs to come back into the fray... what a sliding doors moment that was for British politics when his brother stabbed him in the back to take the leadership, unfortunately Ed was never going to succeed being something of a Milhouse Van Houten clone

Starmer is a neoliberal dog in the manger. His job is to prevent economic change.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoubleDownNews/status/1440983693636644864

The labour party is indulging in the same ideological bullshit that dogged it throughout the 1980s. As long as they persist with this shite they will never be elected. Kinnock, John Smith and Blair overseen the transition to a modern electable party by sidelining these fanatics who would rather be at war within their own party than actually win an election and run the government.  The messy ending of the Brown leadership allowed these people back to the table.
The UK is looking at in-built Tory dominance for a generation and no-one is to blame more than the left-wing of the labour party, their supporters and Ed Milliband in particular for creating the circumstances to allow the party to be taken over.  The obsession of the hard-left with rubbishing the Blair / Brown era only shows that these people belong in an entirely different party. Blair got plenty wrong, but the hard left see him and Starmer as greater enemies than Johnson and that is tragic.

The hard left would be brilliant for the country but will never get a chance because of the power of the media and Murdock in particular. The Tory party have been in power for something like 80 of the last 100 years. Blair bucked the trend by winning elections but he did so by going and meeting Murdock and agreeing to whatever it took to get Murdock to back him. The Murdock empire have only ever backed one labour leader and he won multiple elections. Basically whoever Murdock has backed has won every election in the uk in the last 50+ years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 03:34:04 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 09, 2021, 01:57:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:23:25 AM
Quote from: tiempo on October 07, 2021, 09:54:33 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so.

Starmer is a Tory mole, right out of the MI5 playbook.

Corbyn was a threat to the establishment, they eviscerated him on the grounds that he was a threat to the homogeneity of the establishment and status quo

Starmer offers no such threat, the Torys will do all they can to keep him in position for years

Someone said a few posts back that David Miliband needs to come back into the fray... what a sliding doors moment that was for British politics when his brother stabbed him in the back to take the leadership, unfortunately Ed was never going to succeed being something of a Milhouse Van Houten clone

Starmer is a neoliberal dog in the manger. His job is to prevent economic change.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoubleDownNews/status/1440983693636644864
Seafoid you've been blathering on about Neoliberalism for years like it's some sort of insult, it's the Economic model of the EU & Western world in general.
When is the last time you.got a decent payrise?
When is the last time a 25 year old could buy a flat ?

Neoliberalism is the system. The rich have all the money.
Same as 1789 in France..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: BennyCake on October 09, 2021, 04:38:36 PM
Quote from: lenny on October 09, 2021, 02:36:15 PM
Quote from: APM on October 09, 2021, 12:52:15 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:23:25 AM
Quote from: tiempo on October 07, 2021, 09:54:33 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so.

Starmer is a Tory mole, right out of the MI5 playbook.

Corbyn was a threat to the establishment, they eviscerated him on the grounds that he was a threat to the homogeneity of the establishment and status quo

Starmer offers no such threat, the Torys will do all they can to keep him in position for years

Someone said a few posts back that David Miliband needs to come back into the fray... what a sliding doors moment that was for British politics when his brother stabbed him in the back to take the leadership, unfortunately Ed was never going to succeed being something of a Milhouse Van Houten clone

Starmer is a neoliberal dog in the manger. His job is to prevent economic change.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoubleDownNews/status/1440983693636644864

The labour party is indulging in the same ideological bullshit that dogged it throughout the 1980s. As long as they persist with this shite they will never be elected. Kinnock, John Smith and Blair overseen the transition to a modern electable party by sidelining these fanatics who would rather be at war within their own party than actually win an election and run the government.  The messy ending of the Brown leadership allowed these people back to the table.
The UK is looking at in-built Tory dominance for a generation and no-one is to blame more than the left-wing of the labour party, their supporters and Ed Milliband in particular for creating the circumstances to allow the party to be taken over.  The obsession of the hard-left with rubbishing the Blair / Brown era only shows that these people belong in an entirely different party. Blair got plenty wrong, but the hard left see him and Starmer as greater enemies than Johnson and that is tragic.

The hard left would be brilliant for the country but will never get a chance because of the power of the media and Murdock in particular. The Tory party have been in power for something like 80 of the last 100 years. Blair bucked the trend by winning elections but he did so by going and meeting Murdock and agreeing to whatever it took to get Murdock to back him. The Murdock empire have only ever backed one labour leader and he won multiple elections. Basically whoever Murdock has backed has won every election in the uk in the last 50+ years.

Yeah basically it's the red top news-rags that tell the masses who to vote for
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:45:33 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 09, 2021, 01:57:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 09, 2021, 04:23:25 AM
Quote from: tiempo on October 07, 2021, 09:54:33 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 07, 2021, 09:03:24 AM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 06, 2021, 05:49:13 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 06, 2021, 05:34:36 PM
Large parts of left wing Labour are insane if Twitter is anything to go by.

Starmer has to get back the New Labour voters that propelled Blair to victory if he wants to win a GE, It is pretty much Tory light, so the path he's taking is understandable,  but he doesn't have the charisma Blair had nor  does he have an equally talented Brown in the background helping him strategise. Labour are doomed for a long time. Burnham & Khan will likely let Starmer do some reforming, come back after the next Election defeat and go for the leadership. Labour ideally need David Milliband to return from the US, not likely to happen tho.

Labour will be hammered again, doesn't matter who is in charge or what version of Labour is running. Tory's have the media in their corner. System is bucked

You've a point alright with the media and everything in the last election in the UK was looked at through the prism of Brexit which Corbyn and indeed Starmer were weak on and dithery.
Corbyn was portrayed as a "terrorist" supporting, anti-Semitic, commie and you can even hear Boris rabbiting on in a similar vein yesterday yet overlook the misogyny, anti Muslim, pocket lining cronyism of the Tory's.

Has Starmer the wherewithal to overcome this, I don't think so.

Starmer is a Tory mole, right out of the MI5 playbook.

Corbyn was a threat to the establishment, they eviscerated him on the grounds that he was a threat to the homogeneity of the establishment and status quo

Starmer offers no such threat, the Torys will do all they can to keep him in position for years

Someone said a few posts back that David Miliband needs to come back into the fray... what a sliding doors moment that was for British politics when his brother stabbed him in the back to take the leadership, unfortunately Ed was never going to succeed being something of a Milhouse Van Houten clone

Starmer is a neoliberal dog in the manger. His job is to prevent economic change.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoubleDownNews/status/1440983693636644864
Seafoid you've been blathering on about Neoliberalism for years like it's some sort of insult, it's the Economic model of the EU & Western world in general.
Neoliberalism is the name of the current economic system.
It's why Messi is no longer playing for Barcelona, why UCC has a food bank and why house prices are what they are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 09, 2021, 09:09:59 PM
I know. Calling Starmer a Neoliberal just seems pointless nonsense. He's in the Labour Party (& not any of the others) for a reason - because he believes in their values, Labour's values, not Corbyn's values.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 10, 2021, 11:50:30 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 09, 2021, 09:09:59 PM
I know. Calling Starmer a Neoliberal just seems pointless nonsense. He's in the Labour Party (& not any of the others) for a reason - because he believes in their values, Labour's values, not Corbyn's values.
He doesn't believe in their values. He is purging left wingers.
Labour never won an election with a split party.

He supports debt expansion and does not understand the big picture
He doesn't care about Yorkshire.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on October 10, 2021, 01:36:40 PM
(C) Nick Tolhurst on twitter, the British govt are telling senior civil servants to prepare for a 'trade war' with the EU. Apparently they're not happy with the deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 10, 2021, 01:51:12 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on October 10, 2021, 01:36:40 PM
(C) Nick Tolhurst on twitter, the British govt are telling senior civil servants to prepare for a 'trade war' with the EU. Apparently they're not happy with the deal.

That's because they want the war, not the deal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 10, 2021, 03:30:24 PM
It does not look good


https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/eu-response-on-ni-protocol-will-depend-on-uk-s-true-intentions-1.4634914?mode=amp

Guarantors demand reciprocal trust in partnerships as part of the international order, one of the necessary conditions for maintaining political co-operation – in Ireland and elsewhere. That is not on view from UK negotiators
Johnson and David Frost say they did not fully understand the effects an Irish Sea border to protect the single market would have on British trade with Northern Ireland – even though these were fully spelled out in two briefing documents at the time.
Their threats to breach the agreement are seen as bad faith. Their call for a freezing of protocol implementation while an effective renegotiation of it is sought is seen in the same way.
One thread of discussion between the more technocratic European Commission, which is willing to explore possible further flexible and imaginative solutions to the protocol problems, and the more political European Council is whether the latest UK position is an effort to upend the agreement for domestic political reasons. In that case more blunt tactics would be called for, including trade sanctions or even reversion to WTO conditions.That would be a disaster for Ireland, necessitating hard border controls.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/09/boris-johnson-faces-fresh-brexit-clash-judges/

Boris Johnson is gearing up for a second explosive confrontation with Parliament and the courts over Brexit as he demands a new deal with the EU which would free Northern Ireland from the oversight of European judges.
Downing Street is preparing for a major clash with the House of Lords and Supreme Court as soon as next month,
with senior officials drawing up plans to unilaterally suspend swathes of the Northern Ireland Protocol if Brussels refuses to make "significant changes" to the current deal.
The Telegraph understands that Lord Frost, the Cabinet Office minister, will make it clear to his EU counterpart that removing European Court of Justice (ECJ) oversight of the Protocol is a "red line" for Britain.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 10, 2021, 07:47:49 PM

https://www.ft.com/content/9f06ea29-e516-4c81-83ca-5a805d1d3148

On Wednesday, Sefcovic will publish proposals to drop many checks on goods deemed unlikely to leak from Northern Ireland into the EU single market via the Republic of Ireland. But around half the customs and health checks would remain, a situation considered intolerable by the UK government and the Democratic Unionist party, which is part of Northern Ireland's administration. Sir Jeffrey Donaldson, its leader, welcomed the EU's willingness to negotiate but said it did not go far enough. "We are clear there should be no internal barriers to trade within the United Kingdom and we want to see the removal of barriers to trade between Great Britain and Northern Ireland and that is our bottom line. For us, the Irish Sea border must go," he told the FT. He has threatened to pull his ministers out of the Northern Ireland power-sharing executive, another key element of the Good Friday accord, as early as this month unless the protocol is scrapped. Frost wants the protocol to be governed like the later Trade and Cooperation Agreement between the two sides, where disputes are managed collectively and ultimately through international arbitration. However, legal experts believe Frost would run into problems in the domestic courts if he tried to use Article 16 — the override mechanism in the protocol — because the EU refused to end the role of the ECJ. George Peretz, QC at Monckton Chambers, noted that the protocol specifies that Article 16 could only be used where there are "serious economic, societal or environmental difficulties that are liable to persist, or to diversion of trade". If it triggered Article 16 over the ECJ, the UK would "face likely defeat in the domestic courts", he said on Twitter. That could mean the Johnson administration faces either the possibility of a battle in the courts or the need to introduce new legislation, which would potentially run into opposition from the House of Lords. It would also face retaliation from the EU's 27 member states, who have accused the UK of trying to renege on a deal it signed two years ago.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 10, 2021, 08:42:38 PM
We have a shitshow at home so let's engineer a "war" with the EU so we can get everyone back onside in  good old us v Johnny Foreigner .
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 10, 2021, 09:07:02 PM
Eamon Dunphys latest podcast covers the ongoing shambles really well in 30mins
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on October 10, 2021, 09:54:58 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 10, 2021, 08:42:38 PM
We have a shitshow at home so let's engineer a "war" with the EU so we can get everyone back onside in  good old us v Johnny Foreigner .

This x 1000. Although its all bluff for the papers. England can hardly feed and heat itself as it is never mind during a full blown trade war, How bad will the discontent get if the French cut cross channel power and open up the coast full time to migrants?
Johnson is a paper tiger, he folded before and he will again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2021, 06:30:25 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dup-believes-high-court-ruling-on-nsmc-boycott-is-further-proof-article-16-should-be-triggered-40937682.html

The DUP believes a High Court ruling that the party's boycott of north-south ministerial meetings is unlawful is "further proof" the conditions to trigger Article 16 have been met.

https://mobile.twitter.com/GeorgePeretzQC/status/1447092933757476866

The domestic legal position is that, under s7A of the EU Withdrawal Act 2018 (a new section added in 2020 as part of implementing Johnson's "oven ready deal" on which he won the election) the Withdrawal Agreement is supreme in U.K. law. Including the Protocol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 11, 2021, 07:33:09 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 11, 2021, 06:30:25 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dup-believes-high-court-ruling-on-nsmc-boycott-is-further-proof-article-16-should-be-triggered-40937682.html

The DUP believes a High Court ruling that the party's boycott of north-south ministerial meetings is unlawful is "further proof" the conditions to trigger Article 16 have been met.

https://mobile.twitter.com/GeorgePeretzQC/status/1447092933757476866

The domestic legal position is that, under s7A of the EU Withdrawal Act 2018 (a new section added in 2020 as part of implementing Johnson's "oven ready deal" on which he won the election) the Withdrawal Agreement is supreme in U.K. law. Including the Protocol.

The DUP, the party of law and order.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 11, 2021, 08:32:41 PM
Don't forget democracy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 12, 2021, 04:44:26 PM
David Frost travelling to Lisbon to state that he wants to rip up the very Protocol that he himself negotiated is just the latest in the Brexit charade of the UK embarrassing itself on the international stage. Just another unelected joker whose actions rarely correlate to his words.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 12, 2021, 04:47:32 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 12, 2021, 04:44:26 PM
David Frost travelling to Lisbon to state that he wants to rip up the very Protocol that he himself negotiated is just the latest in the Brexit charade of the UK embarrassing itself on the international stage. Just another unelected joker whose actions rarely correlate to his words.

He makes Michael Gove look like a world-class statesman. Apparently they negotiated the NIP with 'one hand tied behind their back'. Really, you would love to see a trade war and see where Britain are going to go with their exports then.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 12, 2021, 04:59:09 PM
There's his actual speech, I read it (a 10-15 min read) after reading the initial Twitter over reaction.  There's nothing in it that should or would frighten the EU, it will ultimately work out well for us in the North.

https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/lord-frost-speech-observations-on-the-present-state-of-the-nation-12-october-2021
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2021, 09:26:11 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 12, 2021, 04:59:09 PM
There's his actual speech, I read it (a 10-15 min read) after reading the initial Twitter over reaction.  There's nothing in it that should or would frighten the EU, it will ultimately work out well for us in the North.

https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/lord-frost-speech-observations-on-the-present-state-of-the-nation-12-october-2021
They must be looking for a fight to distract from the failing Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 12, 2021, 11:41:57 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 12, 2021, 04:59:09 PM
There's his actual speech, I read it (a 10-15 min read) after reading the initial Twitter over reaction.  There's nothing in it that should or would frighten the EU, it will ultimately work out well for us in the North.

https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/lord-frost-speech-observations-on-the-present-state-of-the-nation-12-october-2021
That's a truly idiotic speech from Frost the reformed pro-EU fanatic.
They made the deal with the EU after 5 years poncing about in a fog of contradictions, won the election hands down on their brexit chariot of fire proclaiming it to be the deal of the century. Once the election dust had settled, the shít hitting the fan reality rared up. Now you have Frost in this speech blaming the EU for this bad deal, blaming the EU for actually implementing the articles of the deal. He says the British  gov want to tear up the protocol and offer a new protocol which hasn't been mapped out yet, and if the mystery alternative protocol isn't accepted in full the dreaded article 16 will be pulled from the hat. 
I don't think anyone can say nothing of concern here, the British government is infested with morons and playing tag with the brain dead DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 13, 2021, 12:23:59 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 12, 2021, 04:59:09 PM
There's his actual speech, I read it (a 10-15 min read) after reading the initial Twitter over reaction.  There's nothing in it that should or would frighten the EU, it will ultimately work out well for us in the North.

https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/lord-frost-speech-observations-on-the-present-state-of-the-nation-12-october-2021

The EU have allowed NI take part in the Single Market, without contributing to the budget or having Freedom of Movement or any of the other things they require of other people. This is an enormous benefit to NI, but in return NI has to take its role in the Single Market seriously and follow the rules. Frost is deliberately trying to undermine any application of rules knowing that this is unacceptable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2021, 04:34:14 AM
The NIP Protocol is benefiting Nortgern Ireland. The Brexit crowd hate it because it highlights the failure of Brexit.

https://mobile.twitter.com/BBCNewsNI/status/1443523156065587204

The Northern Ireland economy recovered to its pre-pandemic levels of output in the second quarter of this year, official figures suggest

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/09/28/business/brexit-fuel-food-shortages/index.html?__twitter_impression=true
Britain's economy remains 2.1% smaller than before the pandemic and economists at Berenberg recently pushed back their forecast for a full recovery to the second quarter of 2022.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2021, 04:46:41 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/ad61b5e8-e5d5-4356-be00-0f6fc78cb4c6

EU diplomats warned Frost's rhetoric could backfire, and that any move which imperilled Ireland's place in the EU single market would be met with a united response by the bloc's 27 member states.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 13, 2021, 07:40:36 AM
There's nothing to fear because it's mostly fanciful, but NI's lot will improve because of UK grandstanding, unless they go full nuclear on A16, which I doubt they will.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2021, 11:32:01 AM
Jenkin on the Protocol

https://youtu.be/6dUVnzJtQ3c

They keep on saying it doesn't work when it clearly does
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 13, 2021, 11:43:39 AM
As we are still within the 'grace periods' and the Protocol hasn't even been fully implemented yet, I think it's a little early to say that it is working.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 13, 2021, 12:01:00 PM
Supply chains have went N/S very quickly instead of E/W, think that's sent a few alarms off in Sovereignty HQ
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 13, 2021, 01:02:45 PM
Varadkar is spot on. The UK is no longer an honest broker.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on October 13, 2021, 01:14:37 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 13, 2021, 01:02:45 PM
Varadkar is spot on. The UK is no longer an honest broker.

Except for the "No Longer" bit he is spot on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 13, 2021, 01:50:56 PM
Correct.....but now they're totally open about it!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on October 13, 2021, 02:21:54 PM
Britain are running from being a perceived vassal state of the EU into the arms of being a bona fide vassal state of the US

When Trump gets re-elected Britain will get thoroughly subsumed as the 51st state and then summarily rogered

Ireland needs re-unified and the f**k out of Britain's death grip asap, hopefully the Scots can grow and pair and get the ball rolling
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 13, 2021, 02:23:23 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 13, 2021, 07:40:36 AM
There's nothing to fear because it's mostly fanciful, but NI's lot will improve because of UK grandstanding, unless they go full nuclear on A16, which I doubt they will.

Article 16 isn't the panacea the thick loyalists think it is. They've painted themselves into such a corner now that no matter what way they turn, no matter what they do, they bring the reunification of our country a step closer. It's an absolute joy to watch their desperation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 13, 2021, 03:45:53 PM
They might think that they are being politically clever by making agreements, hailing them, then reneging on them. Attempting to renegotiate those same agreements, seeking additional concessions from those originally agreed, then threatening to rip them up altogether. But they are just simply talking to themselves. Internationally they are embarrassing themselves and must be scraping the barrel when it comes to having any credibility left.

Frost and Johnson have been playing to their own rules and they have seen that it has had no impact on their polling figures, so they will continue onwards even if this exacerbates the economic self harm of their own country. Providing there is no self harm to those influential Tory MPs in positions of power, they will not care one jot.         
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 13, 2021, 04:11:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 13, 2021, 03:45:53 PM
They might think that they are being politically clever by making agreements, hailing them, then reneging on them. Attempting to renegotiate those same agreements, seeking additional concessions from those originally agreed, then threatening to rip them up altogether. But they are just simply talking to themselves. Internationally they are embarrassing themselves and must be scraping the barrel when it comes to having any credibility left.

Frost and Johnson have been playing to their own rules and they have seen that it has had no impact on their polling figures, so they will continue onwards even if this exacerbates the economic self harm of their own country. Providing there is no self harm to those influential Tory MPs in positions of power, they will not care one jot.       

A lover scorned and all that but Cummings is going in hard on Boris being useless which I think we can all agree on, but it does beg the question who's calling the shots at the heart of Westminster??

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 13, 2021, 04:22:56 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 13, 2021, 04:11:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 13, 2021, 03:45:53 PM
They might think that they are being politically clever by making agreements, hailing them, then reneging on them. Attempting to renegotiate those same agreements, seeking additional concessions from those originally agreed, then threatening to rip them up altogether. But they are just simply talking to themselves. Internationally they are embarrassing themselves and must be scraping the barrel when it comes to having any credibility left.

Frost and Johnson have been playing to their own rules and they have seen that it has had no impact on their polling figures, so they will continue onwards even if this exacerbates the economic self harm of their own country. Providing there is no self harm to those influential Tory MPs in positions of power, they will not care one jot.       

A lover scorned and all that but Cummings is going in hard on Boris being useless which I think we can all agree on, but it does beg the question who's calling the shots at the heart of Westminster??

I'd hazard a guess that Fleet Street and Rupert Murdoch have a considerable influence. You can be rest assured that those pulling the strings are doing it out of self interest.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 13, 2021, 06:22:43 PM
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
The EU has promised to eliminate at least half of the customs controls on goods entering Northern Ireland from the rest of the United Kingdom. A system, similar to Brexiteers' favoured "max fac" option, would be drawn up to monitor more closely the GB/NI trade flows.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
The EU has promised to eliminate at least half of the customs controls on goods entering Northern Ireland from the rest of the United Kingdom. A system, similar to Brexiteers' favoured "max fac" option, would be drawn up to monitor more closely the GB/NI trade flows.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
Using real-time data, European customs officials would monitor trade across the Irish Sea to establish a risk-based system that would allow businesses in the province to submit simplified paperwork for any shipments from Great Brexit.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
Under the plan, the EU and UK will draw up a list of products that are not deemed to be at risk of entering the Single Market, across the invisible border with the RoI . Goods on this register would not be subjected to trade tariffs and could use an "express lane" to enter the province from Britain with little to no checks.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
The bloc has proposed implementing special safeguards, such as enhanced surveillance of trade flows and termination clauses. The bloc wants to monitor every step in the supply chain to ensure only products meeting its standards can enter Northern Ireland.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
With the UK opposed to aligning to the EU's animal and plant health rules, the European Commission's proposals aim to do away with around 80 per cent of checks needed for meat and plants being shipped to Northern Ireland.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
 One of the main proposals by Brussels is to drastically cut the amount of paperwork businesses must submit when sending food products to the province.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/

Normally, firms would require a separate customs declaration for each different type of food, but now lorries, even carrying 100 different products, will only require one form.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
The EU, however, refused to offer any concessions on the movement of pets, such as dogs, cats and ferrets, between mainland Britain and Northern Ireland.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
The Commission said the introduction of pet passports would only be possible if the UK agrees to dynamically align to the bloc's animal and food safety rules.


https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
The EU is ready to offer a derogation allowing pharmaceutical firms based in Britain to continue supplying cheap generic medicines to Northern Ireland.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/10/13/revealed-eus-four-pronged-plan-reform-northern-ireland-protocol/
 The European Commission drastically wants to improve dialogue with stakeholders in Northern Ireland over the functioning and implementation of the protocol.


Under its proposals, the EU will set up structured forums to discuss problems that arise from the measures to avoid a hard border with civil society and businesses in the region, with the aim of making the application of the protocol more transparent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on October 15, 2021, 11:19:54 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 13, 2021, 04:11:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 13, 2021, 03:45:53 PM
They might think that they are being politically clever by making agreements, hailing them, then reneging on them. Attempting to renegotiate those same agreements, seeking additional concessions from those originally agreed, then threatening to rip them up altogether. But they are just simply talking to themselves. Internationally they are embarrassing themselves and must be scraping the barrel when it comes to having any credibility left.

Frost and Johnson have been playing to their own rules and they have seen that it has had no impact on their polling figures, so they will continue onwards even if this exacerbates the economic self harm of their own country. Providing there is no self harm to those influential Tory MPs in positions of power, they will not care one jot.       

A lover scorned and all that but Cummings is going in hard on Boris being useless which I think we can all agree on, but it does beg the question who's calling the shots at the heart of Westminster??



The vested interests - as always - call the shots.  Dominic Cummings is the technical definition of a maniac, which of itself deserves some sympathy.   All the latest developments are only byproducts of regulatory alignment.  Role of ECJ is the latest herring.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 16, 2021, 03:37:17 AM
I'd say the last thing Boris wants us an industry forum. It would propose sense rather than political coat trailing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 16, 2021, 05:01:04 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on October 15, 2021, 11:19:54 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 13, 2021, 04:11:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 13, 2021, 03:45:53 PM
They might think that they are being politically clever by making agreements, hailing them, then reneging on them. Attempting to renegotiate those same agreements, seeking additional concessions from those originally agreed, then threatening to rip them up altogether. But they are just simply talking to themselves. Internationally they are embarrassing themselves and must be scraping the barrel when it comes to having any credibility left.

Frost and Johnson have been playing to their own rules and they have seen that it has had no impact on their polling figures, so they will continue onwards even if this exacerbates the economic self harm of their own country. Providing there is no self harm to those influential Tory MPs in positions of power, they will not care one jot.       

A lover scorned and all that but Cummings is going in hard on Boris being useless which I think we can all agree on, but it does beg the question who's calling the shots at the heart of Westminster??



The vested interests - as always - call the shots.  Dominic Cummings is the technical definition of a maniac, which of itself deserves some sympathy.   All the latest developments are only byproducts of regulatory alignment.  Role of ECJ is the latest herring.

ECJ is about power
The EU has more power. International arbitration would rebalance this somewhat.
It is not going to.fly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 18, 2021, 09:08:42 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 16, 2021, 05:01:04 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on October 15, 2021, 11:19:54 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 13, 2021, 04:11:50 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 13, 2021, 03:45:53 PM
They might think that they are being politically clever by making agreements, hailing them, then reneging on them. Attempting to renegotiate those same agreements, seeking additional concessions from those originally agreed, then threatening to rip them up altogether. But they are just simply talking to themselves. Internationally they are embarrassing themselves and must be scraping the barrel when it comes to having any credibility left.

Frost and Johnson have been playing to their own rules and they have seen that it has had no impact on their polling figures, so they will continue onwards even if this exacerbates the economic self harm of their own country. Providing there is no self harm to those influential Tory MPs in positions of power, they will not care one jot.       

A lover scorned and all that but Cummings is going in hard on Boris being useless which I think we can all agree on, but it does beg the question who's calling the shots at the heart of Westminster??



The vested interests - as always - call the shots.  Dominic Cummings is the technical definition of a maniac, which of itself deserves some sympathy.   All the latest developments are only byproducts of regulatory alignment.  Role of ECJ is the latest herring.

ECJ is about power
The EU has more power. International arbitration would rebalance this somewhat.
It is not going to.fly.

No ECJ, no single market access according to the EU ambassador to the UK.

The ECJ is more about trust and you couldn't trust Boris and Frost as far as you could throw them.

Would the Tories try to force the EU's hand in putting the sea border in the Celtic sea rather than the Irish Sea
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2021, 09:40:52 AM
A definition of Brexit via FT comments 2017
"a handful of billionaires with no clout in Brussels, and their Eurosceptic Tory sock puppets, whipping up the mob so they can screw that exact same mob with a looser regulatory regime in London"

They want zero oversight and zero accountability.  That is also why they are going after the judges.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 28, 2021, 09:08:19 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/1028/1256334-brexit-protocol-poll/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on October 29, 2021, 09:35:09 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on October 28, 2021, 09:08:19 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/1028/1256334-brexit-protocol-poll/
"Immediate priority concerns relate to the future availability of medicines and increased paperwork for and restrictions on bringing goods into Northern Ireland from Britain."

No mention of  "undermining the union" as a concern.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 02, 2021, 02:14:51 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-59132828

First we had Arlene Foster over the weekend complaining about how the Irish government were to blame for the Protocol and now we have Edwin Poots today complaining that the UK-New Zealand trade agreement will hurt local farmers. The NZ beef and lamb can now enter the UK tariff free. This lack of self awareness of the DUP and their role in championing Brexit in its hardest form is simply astounding.

History will not be kind to those Unionist politicians who made poor political choices and became seduced by the corridors of Westminster and their false sense of power. Blame shifting and goalpost moving comes naturally though.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 05, 2021, 11:46:07 AM
Sorry about the media outlet but interesting survey

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/majority-believe-stormont-should-remain-in-place-until-may-as-poll-shows-support-for-ni-protocol-consensus-41020249.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 05, 2021, 12:01:10 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 05, 2021, 11:46:07 AM
Sorry about the media outlet but interesting survey

https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/majority-believe-stormont-should-remain-in-place-until-may-as-poll-shows-support-for-ni-protocol-consensus-41020249.html
The BT isn't that bad. The Newsletter is
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GAABoardMod5 on November 05, 2021, 02:47:50 PM
Never Give Up banned
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on November 05, 2021, 03:26:32 PM
I miss everything
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on November 05, 2021, 11:16:04 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on November 05, 2021, 03:26:32 PM
I miss everything

You should become a stormtrooper.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on November 05, 2021, 11:17:41 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 05, 2021, 11:16:04 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on November 05, 2021, 03:26:32 PM
I miss everything

You should become a stormtrooper.

Who says im not already
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on November 05, 2021, 11:26:55 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on November 05, 2021, 11:17:41 PM
Quote from: trueblue1234 on November 05, 2021, 11:16:04 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on November 05, 2021, 03:26:32 PM
I miss everything

You should become a stormtrooper.

Who says im not already

Stormtrooper, you are not.
These are not the posts you are looking for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 06, 2021, 07:07:18 AM
Brexit is not working out economically and slowly losing support in the polls.
When the Tories lose power it will probably collapse. Countries do most trade with their neighbours.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on November 06, 2021, 07:19:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 06, 2021, 07:07:18 AM
Brexit is not working out economically and slowly losing support in the polls.
When the Tories lose power it will probably collapse. Countries do most trade with their neighbours.
Will they ever lose power? They own the media and no matter how bad the thing gets they'll always find someone else to blame for them riding the hole off the country; Corbyn, foreigners, the eu....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on November 06, 2021, 08:10:55 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on November 06, 2021, 07:19:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 06, 2021, 07:07:18 AM
Brexit is not working out economically and slowly losing support in the polls.
When the Tories lose power it will probably collapse. Countries do most trade with their neighbours.
Will they ever lose power? They own the media and no matter how bad the thing gets they'll always find someone else to blame for them riding the hole off the country; Corbyn, foreigners, the eu....

Johnson is totally corrupt and rarely if ever tells the truth. His party is mired in sleaze and guilty of putting billions of public money into the hands of donors and people with tory connections. They voted recently to allow raw sewage to be pumped into British rivers. Brexit is proving to be a disaster wiping billions from the british economy. In spite of all this they're still ahead in the polls and that's because of the power of the establishment media, ie the BBC, the Telegraph, the Mail etc which try to cover up every instance of corruption or worse, just blame the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on November 06, 2021, 11:06:59 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 06, 2021, 07:07:18 AM
Brexit is not working out economically and slowly losing support in the polls.
When the Tories lose power it will probably collapse. Countries do most trade with their neighbours.

What's worrying is that there is no viable alternative.  And with Europe gone, no bogey men available.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on November 06, 2021, 11:45:16 AM
Quote from: Denn Forever on November 06, 2021, 11:06:59 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 06, 2021, 07:07:18 AM
Brexit is not working out economically and slowly losing support in the polls.
When the Tories lose power it will probably collapse. Countries do most trade with their neighbours.

What's worrying is that there is no viable alternative.  And with Europe gone, no bogey men available.
Oh they'll find someone to blame!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 06, 2021, 01:01:18 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on November 06, 2021, 07:19:19 AM
Quote from: seafoid on November 06, 2021, 07:07:18 AM
Brexit is not working out economically and slowly losing support in the polls.
When the Tories lose power it will probably collapse. Countries do most trade with their neighbours.
Will they ever lose power? They own the media and no matter how bad the thing gets they'll always find someone else to blame for them riding the hole off the country; Corbyn, foreigners, the eu....

Other way round...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 06, 2021, 01:12:18 PM
After WW2 the UK stagnated until the elites realised that the only option was EEC membership with a pivot to the US.

Brexit is a complete waste of time geopolitically. The longer it goes on for the worse things will get.

The Uk has one aircraft carrier and can't afford all the planes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 10, 2021, 01:23:51 PM
A rap across the knuckles for Frosty and the boys from Uncle Sam.

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/1110/1259031-brexit/

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on November 10, 2021, 03:31:14 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 10, 2021, 01:23:51 PM
A rap across the knuckles for Frosty and the boys from Uncle Sam.

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/1110/1259031-brexit/

Tories already backing down. Apparently Frost rewrote latest speech to strike more moderate tone after US intervention and phone call from a shit scared Bojo. Boys against men  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 10, 2021, 03:47:08 PM
Quote from: red hander on November 10, 2021, 03:31:14 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 10, 2021, 01:23:51 PM
A rap across the knuckles for Frosty and the boys from Uncle Sam.

https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2021/1110/1259031-brexit/

Tories already backing down. Apparently Frost rewrote latest speech to strike more moderate tone after US intervention and phone call from a shit scared Bojo. Boys against men  ;D

Just keep praying that Trump doesn't get back in because if he does it'll turn the whole thing into a shit show, the Tories and Trump will bend over backwards to formalise Britain as the 51st State leading to a lot of short term pain for Ireland. Tump and the Tories won't give one f**k about the collateral while they line their pockets and push their particular brand of racist narrow self interest front and centre.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 10, 2021, 05:54:56 PM
Doesn't sound a backing down type of speech.

BBC News - Brexit: Suspension of NI-EU trade deal may be 'only option'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-59231057
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 11, 2021, 09:25:53 AM
Just in case you missed the 17th century plantation in Ireland, they're at it again...

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dups-donaldson-blasts-offensive-protocol-madness-over-queen-jubilee-tree-ban-41038152.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on November 11, 2021, 09:32:09 AM
Quote from: Orior on November 11, 2021, 09:25:53 AM
Just in case you missed the 17th century plantation in Ireland, they're at it again...

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dups-donaldson-blasts-offensive-protocol-madness-over-queen-jubilee-tree-ban-41038152.html

Just need to order them from a different branch
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 09:32:17 AM
https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/newton-emerson-unionist-acceptance-of-ni-protocol-very-close-1.4724931
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 09:32:54 AM
Quote from: Orior on November 11, 2021, 09:25:53 AM
Just in case you missed the 17th century plantation in Ireland, they're at it again...

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dups-donaldson-blasts-offensive-protocol-madness-over-queen-jubilee-tree-ban-41038152.html
Unionists are being gaslit 24/7
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 11, 2021, 11:58:43 AM
This Tory government has had a brutal last few weeks in terms of ongoing allegations of sleaze and corruption and if the media turn on Johnson then he could be toast at any stage of their choosing. The problem is that there is no obvious successor, they are a cabinet full of mostly power hungry, right wing bluffers whose only concern is self interest and any of the more reasonable Tories are long gone since Johnson took centre stage.

Johnson having to stand up at COP26 and give a speech stating that the UK were not a corrupt country just summed up the current state of the UK government at the minute. They look like a nation who are increasingly isolated with no real clue of where the end game with Brexit is taking them. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 11, 2021, 12:16:46 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 11, 2021, 11:58:43 AM
This Tory government has had a brutal last few weeks in terms of ongoing allegations of sleaze and corruption and if the media turn on Johnson then he could be toast at any stage of their choosing. The problem is that there is no obvious successor, they are a cabinet full of mostly power hungry, right wing bluffers whose only concern is self interest and any of the more reasonable Tories are long gone since Johnson took centre stage.

Johnson having to stand up at COP26 and give a speech stating that the UK were not a corrupt country just summed up the current state of the UK government at the minute. They look like a nation who are increasingly isolated with no real clue of where the end game with Brexit is taking them.

Don't worry about the Tories, they're masters at regeneration. Rishi Sunak, Lynn Truss or that slimy man-reptile Michael Gove would be in line once BJ gets heaved.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on November 11, 2021, 12:40:41 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 11, 2021, 12:16:46 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 11, 2021, 11:58:43 AM
This Tory government has had a brutal last few weeks in terms of ongoing allegations of sleaze and corruption and if the media turn on Johnson then he could be toast at any stage of their choosing. The problem is that there is no obvious successor, they are a cabinet full of mostly power hungry, right wing bluffers whose only concern is self interest and any of the more reasonable Tories are long gone since Johnson took centre stage.

Johnson having to stand up at COP26 and give a speech stating that the UK were not a corrupt country just summed up the current state of the UK government at the minute. They look like a nation who are increasingly isolated with no real clue of where the end game with Brexit is taking them.

Don't worry about the Tories, they're masters at regeneration. Rishi Sunak, Lynn Truss or that slimy man-reptile Michael Gove would be in line once BJ gets heaved.

Truss as PM would be something else.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 12:47:51 PM
The Tories are in a similar state to the one they were in in the early 90s. They have been in power for too long and have run out of ideas. FF had a dose of it in 2008-11.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 11, 2021, 01:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 12:47:51 PM
The Tories are in a similar state to the one they were in in the early 90s. They have been in power for too long and have run out of ideas. FF had a dose of it in 2008-11.

However, in the 1990s Labour had an able and popular leader in Blair to take over things.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on November 11, 2021, 02:57:47 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 11, 2021, 01:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 12:47:51 PM
The Tories are in a similar state to the one they were in in the early 90s. They have been in power for too long and have run out of ideas. FF had a dose of it in 2008-11.

However, in the 1990s Labour had an able and popular leader in Blair to take over things.

It shows how absolutely banjaxed Labour are when they cannot turn the tide in their favour after Tory screw up after screw up, Brexit, Covid itself, Covid contracts issued to their mates - some of the goings-on are criminal, the Patterson affair etc. The list goes on and on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 11, 2021, 03:01:50 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on November 11, 2021, 02:57:47 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 11, 2021, 01:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 12:47:51 PM
The Tories are in a similar state to the one they were in in the early 90s. They have been in power for too long and have run out of ideas. FF had a dose of it in 2008-11.

However, in the 1990s Labour had an able and popular leader in Blair to take over things.

It shows how absolutely banjaxed Labour are when they cannot turn the tide in their favour after Tory screw up after screw up, Brexit, Covid itself, Covid contracts issued to their mates - some of the goings-on are criminal, the Patterson affair etc. The list goes on and on.

The Tories eviscerated Corbyn as a perceived risk to their stay in power, Starmer getting no such treatment as no risk of winning a general election, almost as if he was hand picked by the Tories themselves. They are a horribly cynical election winning machine, reptilian as correctly pointed out in a previous post.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bord na Mona man on November 11, 2021, 03:38:30 PM
How much of Labour's 1997 election win was down to public fatigue with the rampant Tory sleaze of the early 90s, or else the emergence of an acceptable Labour leadership to middle England?

In Boolean logic, was it and AND gate or an OR gate? At the moment Johnson is fulfilling his part of the input.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 11, 2021, 03:43:37 PM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on November 11, 2021, 03:38:30 PM
How much of Labour's 1997 election win was down to public fatigue with the rampant Tory sleaze of the early 90s, or else the emergence of an acceptable Labour leadership to middle England?

In Boolean logic, was it and AND gate or an OR gate? At the moment Johnson is fulfilling his part of the input.

What is absolutely astounding is the ability of the current Tory leadership to forget the Austerity agenda by their very own party under Cameron and May and as much as their ably assisted by a compliant media when they trumpet about returning school spending to 2010 levels (labour Gov) and Police numbers up to where they were prior to THEIR cuts that the British voting masses suck it up with vigour.

Levelling up,,,,,,,,
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 11, 2021, 03:52:54 PM
Quote from: tiempo on November 11, 2021, 03:01:50 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on November 11, 2021, 02:57:47 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 11, 2021, 01:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 12:47:51 PM
The Tories are in a similar state to the one they were in in the early 90s. They have been in power for too long and have run out of ideas. FF had a dose of it in 2008-11.

However, in the 1990s Labour had an able and popular leader in Blair to take over things.

It shows how absolutely banjaxed Labour are when they cannot turn the tide in their favour after Tory screw up after screw up, Brexit, Covid itself, Covid contracts issued to their mates - some of the goings-on are criminal, the Patterson affair etc. The list goes on and on.

The Tories eviscerated Corbyn as a perceived risk to their stay in power, Starmer getting no such treatment as no risk of winning a general election, almost as if he was hand picked by the Tories themselves. They are a horribly cynical election winning machine, reptilian as correctly pointed out in a previous post.

For the first time in a very long time, Labour are polling ahead of the Tories in recent days. Whether that translates into future election success is still very doubtful, Starmer has not made much of an impression so far and any gains made are purely down to the Tory sleaze, corruption and ineptitude of recent times. The only way I can see that changing anytime soon is if Murdoch got behind Labour. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 11, 2021, 03:58:06 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 11, 2021, 03:43:37 PM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on November 11, 2021, 03:38:30 PM
How much of Labour's 1997 election win was down to public fatigue with the rampant Tory sleaze of the early 90s, or else the emergence of an acceptable Labour leadership to middle England?

In Boolean logic, was it and AND gate or an OR gate? At the moment Johnson is fulfilling his part of the input.

What is absolutely astounding is the ability of the current Tory leadership to forget the Austerity agenda by their very own party under Cameron and May and as much as their ably assisted by a compliant media when they trumpet about returning school spending to 2010 levels (labour Gov) and Police numbers up to where they were prior to THEIR cuts that the British voting masses suck it up with vigour.

Levelling up,,,,,,,,
English voting masses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 07:51:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 11, 2021, 01:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 12:47:51 PM
The Tories are in a similar state to the one they were in in the early 90s. They have been in power for too long and have run out of ideas. FF had a dose of it in 2008-11.

However, in the 1990s Labour had an able and popular leader in Blair to take over things.
Labour was infiltrated by Zionists and neoliberals to prevent the left changing the economic system and damaging the rich and Israel
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 11, 2021, 08:50:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 07:51:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 11, 2021, 01:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 12:47:51 PM
The Tories are in a similar state to the one they were in in the early 90s. They have been in power for too long and have run out of ideas. FF had a dose of it in 2008-11.

However, in the 1990s Labour had an able and popular leader in Blair to take over things.
Labour was infiltrated by Zionists and neoliberals to prevent the left changing the economic system and damaging the rich and Israel

And that's the sort of Gobshitery holding back the current UK Labour Party. People's front of Judea wouldn't get a look in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 09:01:43 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 11, 2021, 08:50:44 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 07:51:04 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on November 11, 2021, 01:27:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 11, 2021, 12:47:51 PM
The Tories are in a similar state to the one they were in in the early 90s. They have been in power for too long and have run out of ideas. FF had a dose of it in 2008-11.

However, in the 1990s Labour had an able and popular leader in Blair to take over things.
Labour was infiltrated by Zionists and neoliberals to prevent the left changing the economic system and damaging the rich and Israel

And that's the sort of Gobshitery holding back the current UK Labour Party. People's front of Judea wouldn't get a look in.
Starmer is useless too
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on November 12, 2021, 02:56:06 PM
Seems like the tide is starting to finally turn on Bojo with the papers getting stuck in and Cummings trying to finish him off with that blog post this morning.

As mouview has said what the f**k is there to replace him from that rabble? Rishi? Would he better than Boris? Rory Stewart is one of the few decent ones in the party but they'll never give it to him.

Rishi would probably be the front runner at least he would take the job seriously.

Apparently Boris wanted to take a bit of time to himself to write a Shakespeare book last year!!! The lack of self awareness for what's going on in the real world is astounding even by his standards!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 12, 2021, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 12, 2021, 02:56:06 PM
Seems like the tide is starting to finally turn on Bojo with the papers getting stuck in and Cummings trying to finish him off with that blog post this morning.

As mouview has said what the f**k is there to replace him from that rabble? Rishi? Would he better than Boris? Rory Stewart is one of the few decent ones in the party but they'll never give it to him.

Rishi would probably be the front runner at least he would take the job seriously.

Apparently Boris wanted to take a bit of time to himself to write a Shakespeare book last year!!! The lack of self awareness for what's going on in the real world is astounding even by his standards!

Thought they heaved Rory Stewart also along with the rest of the moderate remainers.

Feel a bit sorry for Keir Starmer, he does seem like a capable and conscientious politician. Maybe he just doesn't fight dirty enough to take on the Tories at their level.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JohnDenver on November 12, 2021, 03:33:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 12, 2021, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 12, 2021, 02:56:06 PM
Seems like the tide is starting to finally turn on Bojo with the papers getting stuck in and Cummings trying to finish him off with that blog post this morning.

As mouview has said what the f**k is there to replace him from that rabble? Rishi? Would he better than Boris? Rory Stewart is one of the few decent ones in the party but they'll never give it to him.

Rishi would probably be the front runner at least he would take the job seriously.

Apparently Boris wanted to take a bit of time to himself to write a Shakespeare book last year!!! The lack of self awareness for what's going on in the real world is astounding even by his standards!

Thought they heaved Rory Stewart also along with the rest of the moderate remainers.

Feel a bit sorry for Keir Starmer, he does seem like a capable and conscientious politician. Maybe he just doesn't fight dirty enough to take on the Tories at their level.

Stretching it a bit there
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 12, 2021, 06:49:20 PM
Rory Stewart is no longer an MP. Liz Truss has continually polled as the most popular Tory among Tory voters, so she'd be in the running to replace BJ if & when it ever happens, Sunak has obvious credentials and would be the Bookies favourite, think Gove is destined never to be PM although he'sstill in the hunt for the job, Javid has ideas above his station, he'd no doubt run again. BJ will be about for a fair while yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on November 13, 2021, 12:00:47 PM
Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 40% (+5)
CON: 34% (-4)
LDEM: 10% (-)
GRN: 5% (+1)

via @SavantaComRes, 11 - 12 Nov
Chgs. w/ 07 Nov

https://t.co/kaJJiP0MO2
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on November 13, 2021, 05:32:02 PM
Quote from: JohnDenver on November 12, 2021, 03:33:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 12, 2021, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 12, 2021, 02:56:06 PM
Seems like the tide is starting to finally turn on Bojo with the papers getting stuck in and Cummings trying to finish him off with that blog post this morning.

As mouview has said what the f**k is there to replace him from that rabble? Rishi? Would he better than Boris? Rory Stewart is one of the few decent ones in the party but they'll never give it to him.

Rishi would probably be the front runner at least he would take the job seriously.

Apparently Boris wanted to take a bit of time to himself to write a Shakespeare book last year!!! The lack of self awareness for what's going on in the real world is astounding even by his standards!

Thought they heaved Rory Stewart also along with the rest of the moderate remainers.

Feel a bit sorry for Keir Starmer, he does seem like a capable and conscientious politician. Maybe he just doesn't fight dirty enough to take on the Tories at their level.

Stretching it a bit there

Starmer is a complete and utter w**ker. 150000 dead and he hasn't laid a glove on the biggest idiot to inhabit No10 , which is saying something. In thrall to the Zionists in the party and a complete part of the British Establishment as a former, very poor, DPP. People need to get wise to this charlatan
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on November 13, 2021, 05:53:35 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on November 10, 2021, 05:54:56 PM
Doesn't sound a backing down type of speech.

BBC News - Brexit: Suspension of NI-EU trade deal may be 'only option'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-59231057
You would have to cut out all the filling and focus on the relevant bits contained in the article.
The other day the EU fired a broadside, what they would do in response should article 16 be triggered,
'the consensus among EU member states that such an arbitrary and unjustified move by the UK will be met with a clear European response'

Frost "If the talks do in the end fail, we will of course publish in full our assessment of the EU's proposals and set out why they fall short of a durable settlement, but we will not do so until we have exhausted all the negotiating possibilities."
The interpretation of that is the British Gov are backing down, the government would not survive the effects of a united EU immediately implementing a fully prepared clear response (i.e. a no deal Brexit) and the Brits were only all about bluff and bluster in the first place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bord na Mona man on November 13, 2021, 07:12:04 PM
Quote from: red hander on November 13, 2021, 05:32:02 PM
Quote from: JohnDenver on November 12, 2021, 03:33:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 12, 2021, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 12, 2021, 02:56:06 PM
Seems like the tide is starting to finally turn on Bojo with the papers getting stuck in and Cummings trying to finish him off with that blog post this morning.

As mouview has said what the f**k is there to replace him from that rabble? Rishi? Would he better than Boris? Rory Stewart is one of the few decent ones in the party but they'll never give it to him.

Rishi would probably be the front runner at least he would take the job seriously.

Apparently Boris wanted to take a bit of time to himself to write a Shakespeare book last year!!! The lack of self awareness for what's going on in the real world is astounding even by his standards!

Thought they heaved Rory Stewart also along with the rest of the moderate remainers.

Feel a bit sorry for Keir Starmer, he does seem like a capable and conscientious politician. Maybe he just doesn't fight dirty enough to take on the Tories at their level.

Stretching it a bit there

Starmer is a complete and utter w**ker. 150000 dead and he hasn't laid a glove on the biggest idiot to inhabit No10 , which is saying something. In thrall to the Zionists in the party and a complete part of the British Establishment as a former, very poor, DPP. People need to get wise to this charlatan

Where is all this zionists lark coming from?
Labour under Corbyn allowed hard left, anti-semites go unchecked.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 13, 2021, 08:49:21 PM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on November 13, 2021, 07:12:04 PM
Quote from: red hander on November 13, 2021, 05:32:02 PM
Quote from: JohnDenver on November 12, 2021, 03:33:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 12, 2021, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 12, 2021, 02:56:06 PM
Seems like the tide is starting to finally turn on Bojo with the papers getting stuck in and Cummings trying to finish him off with that blog post this morning.

As mouview has said what the f**k is there to replace him from that rabble? Rishi? Would he better than Boris? Rory Stewart is one of the few decent ones in the party but they'll never give it to him.

Rishi would probably be the front runner at least he would take the job seriously.

Apparently Boris wanted to take a bit of time to himself to write a Shakespeare book last year!!! The lack of self awareness for what's going on in the real world is astounding even by his standards!

Thought they heaved Rory Stewart also along with the rest of the moderate remainers.

Feel a bit sorry for Keir Starmer, he does seem like a capable and conscientious politician. Maybe he just doesn't fight dirty enough to take on the Tories at their level.

Stretching it a bit there

Starmer is a complete and utter w**ker. 150000 dead and he hasn't laid a glove on the biggest idiot to inhabit No10 , which is saying something. In thrall to the Zionists in the party and a complete part of the British Establishment as a former, very poor, DPP. People need to get wise to this charlatan

Where is all this zionists lark coming from?
Labour under Corbyn allowed hard left, anti-semites go unchecked.
Corbyn's Labour was pro Palestinian
Zionists allied with neoliberals to stop him.
Israel was afraid of what a Corbyn govt would mean for the settlers.
Now Starmer is on message. And the economic system continues.

https://youtu.be/Q61Kg7T3Z4Y
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on November 13, 2021, 11:10:17 PM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on November 13, 2021, 07:12:04 PM
Quote from: red hander on November 13, 2021, 05:32:02 PM
Quote from: JohnDenver on November 12, 2021, 03:33:32 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 12, 2021, 03:16:15 PM
Quote from: screenexile on November 12, 2021, 02:56:06 PM
Seems like the tide is starting to finally turn on Bojo with the papers getting stuck in and Cummings trying to finish him off with that blog post this morning.

As mouview has said what the f**k is there to replace him from that rabble? Rishi? Would he better than Boris? Rory Stewart is one of the few decent ones in the party but they'll never give it to him.

Rishi would probably be the front runner at least he would take the job seriously.

Apparently Boris wanted to take a bit of time to himself to write a Shakespeare book last year!!! The lack of self awareness for what's going on in the real world is astounding even by his standards!

Thought they heaved Rory Stewart also along with the rest of the moderate remainers.

Feel a bit sorry for Keir Starmer, he does seem like a capable and conscientious politician. Maybe he just doesn't fight dirty enough to take on the Tories at their level.

Stretching it a bit there

Starmer is a complete and utter w**ker. 150000 dead and he hasn't laid a glove on the biggest idiot to inhabit No10 , which is saying something. In thrall to the Zionists in the party and a complete part of the British Establishment as a former, very poor, DPP. People need to get wise to this charlatan

Where is all this zionists lark coming from?
Labour under Corbyn allowed hard left, anti-semites go unchecked.
Wise up. Any criticism of Israel is branded anti semite. Meanwhile those bàstards get on with treating Palestinian people like the f**king Nazi bastards they are
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on November 17, 2021, 02:08:21 PM
It looks like we could be witnessing the death throes of Boris Johnson's reign if todays shambolic performance is anything to go by.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 17, 2021, 02:59:49 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 17, 2021, 02:08:21 PM
It looks like we could be witnessing the death throes of Boris Johnson's reign if todays shambolic performance is anything to go by.

The media barons will make that decision. The Tory party are a bunch of shysters, lining their pockets for a while yet but will jettison Boris about a year out from a GE and then with the help of the very same media barons will reinvent themselves as if the Boris era didn't happen.

Sunak would be the obvious choice in terms of ability but the elephant in the room is his heritage...

Even Yorkshire cricket types wouldn't vote for him  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 17, 2021, 05:35:44 PM
Some elements in the 6 Cos won't like this

https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40746627.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 17, 2021, 05:45:58 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on November 17, 2021, 05:35:44 PM
Some elements in the 6 Cos won't like this

https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40746627.html

All part of the economic reunification of the island .... as you say, won't sit well with some of the northern brethren
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 17, 2021, 06:15:56 PM
Unionism has every right to be worried about the NI Protocol, figures likes this show the road we're on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bord na Mona man on November 17, 2021, 06:42:15 PM
That's the nub of the problem for Unionism. Trade will always find the path of least resistance.
The borders are the wrong way around. They needed a land border with Britain and a 20 mile sea channel between North and South.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on November 17, 2021, 06:58:34 PM
Quote from: Bord na Mona man on November 17, 2021, 06:42:15 PM
That's the nub of the problem for Unionism. Trade will always find the path of least resistance.
The borders are the wrong way around. They needed a land border with Britain and a 20 mile sea channel between North and South.

Be careful what you suggest ... this could replace the bridge lunacy  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on November 17, 2021, 07:06:21 PM
They could dig a big channel along the line of the border and use the soil to link the top end of Antrim to the Mull of Kintyre. ::).
They should have it completed the day after Scotland goes Independent .....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 17, 2021, 07:14:21 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on November 17, 2021, 02:08:21 PM
It looks like we could be witnessing the death throes of Boris Johnson's reign if todays shambolic performance is anything to go by.

Be rather ironic that something of a comparatively lesser evil like Tories moonlighting should do him down, instead of the omnishambles, clusterfail that is Brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on November 18, 2021, 02:39:49 PM
Looks like the north of England is not going to get levelled up much after all; Tories in former Red Wall seats going to be looking anxiously over their shoulders

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/hs2-eastern-leg-to-leeds-axed-kkd6n5j5j
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 18, 2021, 02:52:45 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 18, 2021, 02:39:49 PM
Looks like the north of England is not going to get levelled up much after all; Tories in former Red Wall seats going to be looking anxiously over their shoulders

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/hs2-eastern-leg-to-leeds-axed-kkd6n5j5j
Cuts to social welfare in the form of Universal Credit will hit Red Wall families. So will inflation
They probably won't vote Tory next time.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on November 18, 2021, 03:04:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on November 18, 2021, 02:52:45 PM
Quote from: mouview on November 18, 2021, 02:39:49 PM
Looks like the north of England is not going to get levelled up much after all; Tories in former Red Wall seats going to be looking anxiously over their shoulders

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/hs2-eastern-leg-to-leeds-axed-kkd6n5j5j
Cuts to social welfare in the form of Universal Credit will hit Red Wall families. So will inflation
They probably won't vote Tory next time.

Its mad the amount of spelling mistakes in that article

Tory MPs were in open revolt today after the government announced that it was cancelling the eastern leg of HS2 and downgrading plans for rail in the north. f**king up plans to further siphon of funds to cronies
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on November 29, 2021, 07:00:45 PM
Northern Ireland economy has outperformed rest of UK, ONS figures show

https://www.ft.com/content/3b5059c4-4ef1-44d1-ae1f-43a875efb7ca
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 18, 2021, 08:22:25 PM
Frost has apparently resigned.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 18, 2021, 09:16:52 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 18, 2021, 08:22:25 PM
Frost has apparently resigned.

https://www.ft.com/content/c1c61ff4-045f-4072-a83a-eaaac3ecd3d9

"It simply isn't worth jeopardising access to the [EU] single market for the sake of global trade," wrote David Frost, the then head of the Scotch Whisky Association, in a long-forgotten 2016 pamphlet
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 18, 2021, 09:38:51 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on March 03, 2021, 08:07:03 PM
The Frost Factor, think it's officially his 3rd day in post. He'll burn bridges left, right and centre, resign further down the line and leave someone else to clear up his mess.
Wasn't half predictable
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on December 18, 2021, 10:24:03 PM
The worry is that just when you think the tories can't wheel out a bigger gobshite they usually come and prove you wrong.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: An Watcher on December 18, 2021, 11:08:50 PM
f**k the ****
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 19, 2021, 03:26:34 AM
https://www.ft.com/content/041f952a-93c9-4a8e-9d53-6f50ddc1e45f

The cabinet minister's departure from government during such an intense period of negotiations with Brussels is likely to increase Eurosceptic fears that Johnson is capitulating on post-Brexit trade arrangements in Northern

The UK is expected to tell the EU that governance issues can wait until they have agreed on practical ways to improve the flow of goods between the region and the rest of the UK.




The UK has indicated that it could accept an arbitration mechanism of the kind that governs other elements of the EU-UK withdrawal agreement, which leaves the ECJ as the arbiter of EU law but puts the court at one remove from resolving disputes over the protocol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 19, 2021, 04:27:03 PM
The work 'Pr!ck' could well have been invented for 'Frostie'. Hopefully the over-promoted non-entity will swiftly return to whisky-selling obscurity from whence he came. IDS next?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 19, 2021, 05:12:01 PM
Quote from: mouview on December 19, 2021, 04:27:03 PM
The work 'Pr!ck' could well have been invented for 'Frostie'. Hopefully the over-promoted non-entity will swiftly return to whisky-selling obscurity from whence he came. IDS next?

Frostie's stick went out of fashion. The UK Government is going to climb down on ECJ and Protocol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on December 19, 2021, 06:40:54 PM
Pipa Crerar tweet: Foreign Secretary Liz Truss becomes lead negotiator with EU on Northern Ireland Protocol, following departure of Lord Frost.

Downing St confirms she will take over Brexit brief with immediate effect.

There you go Liz, have a drink from this nice poisoned chalice
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 19, 2021, 08:53:50 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on December 19, 2021, 06:40:54 PM
Pipa Crerar tweet: Foreign Secretary Liz Truss becomes lead negotiator with EU on Northern Ireland Protocol, following departure of Lord Frost.

Downing St confirms she will take over Brexit brief with immediate effect.

There you go Liz, have a drink from this nice poisoned chalice

Cunning by BJ, weakening an obvious rival to the throne.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 21, 2021, 09:16:30 AM
Good oul Brexit ;D

https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/british-exports-increasingly-ship-through-north-41168563.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 12, 2022, 12:28:04 PM
BJ getting a good knifing at PMQ. Not too many from his own benches supporting him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 12, 2022, 12:46:51 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 12, 2022, 12:28:04 PM
BJ getting a good knifing at PMQ. Not too many from his own benches supporting him.

It's like a real life episode of the Thick of It. Cringey stuff  it's just a case of when and who now he'll be gone by the end of the month!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 12:52:19 PM
Will he bollocks! That boy is going nowhere fast.

* I really hope I am wrong but nothing I have seen from that corrupt shower so far would suggest otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 12, 2022, 12:59:26 PM
Man's no notion on going anywhere. It'll be interesting to see Sue Grey's partygate report, she's known for being quite a hard-nosed Civil Servant, she could fire Bojo under the bus, but unlikely tbh. Post local elections in England in May will tell a tale (cos England is all that matters as we know).
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on January 12, 2022, 01:00:24 PM
I have my doubts if even this is enough to finally sink him. I have a sneaking suspicion he'll ride it out again (pardon the pun!). I do hope I am wrong. It all comes back to Brexit and getting it all over the line. They see him as the only man for that job and Covid is a sideshow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 01:01:01 PM
Exactly. There is no more shameless c**t anywhere. A bad man who could not give one shite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on January 12, 2022, 01:05:56 PM
If he goes, who's next in line?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 01:11:28 PM
Probably Gove I would have thought.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 12, 2022, 01:19:31 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on January 12, 2022, 01:05:56 PM
If he goes, who's next in line?

It's a brutal cabinet in terms of ability so fcuk knows. One thing for sure is that they will have no problem in knifing each other in the back in order to get the top job.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2022, 01:26:16 PM
If Ian Og can sit there laughing up his sleeve and the brass neck of Arleen ridding out the storm of RHI and other f**k ups then this guy is going nowhere...

In his head BJ is the guy that brought the UK out of the EU, and to the dafties on the street (in the north of England) he's better that Churchill!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 12, 2022, 01:33:28 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2022, 01:26:16 PM
If Ian Og can sit there laughing up his sleeve and the brass neck of Arleen ridding out the storm of RHI and other f**k ups then this guy is going nowhere...

In his head BJ is the guy that brought the UK out of the EU, and to the dafties on the street (in the north of England) he's better that Churchill!

It's quite possible he will ride it out (again) and I don't see him resigning of his own accord but if the slide down the polls continue then the vultures from within will be waiting to pounce.

He will have to find another story to detract from this in the next few days and the mayhem and chaos of his reign will continue on for another while. It is only a matter of time however, once he is deemed expendable I'd imagine that there is no shortage of dirt to unleash on him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2022, 01:39:24 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on January 12, 2022, 01:33:28 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 12, 2022, 01:26:16 PM
If Ian Og can sit there laughing up his sleeve and the brass neck of Arleen ridding out the storm of RHI and other f**k ups then this guy is going nowhere...

In his head BJ is the guy that brought the UK out of the EU, and to the dafties on the street (in the north of England) he's better that Churchill!

It's quite possible he will ride it out (again) and I don't see him resigning of his own accord but if the slide down the polls continue then the vultures from within will be waiting to pounce.

He will have to find another story to detract from this in the next few days and the mayhem and chaos of his reign will continue on for another while. It is only a matter of time however, once he is deemed expendable I'd imagine that there is no shortage of dirt to unleash on him.

I'd say there will be plenty who had 'work parties' that will be shitting themselves as the media will drip feed new stories every week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 01:41:41 PM
Tbh I would be shocked if he resigned. I don't think this boy is going anywhere until he is knifed in the back. He will be eventually and I think he is definitely stretching the boundaries but it would need a lot of alignment and a concerted effort and I think the other ones are all so self serving they wouldn't have it in them to do a joint effort.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dunsilly King on January 12, 2022, 01:47:57 PM
The only way he is going is if he is done by his own back benchers in a revolt. Is it two years out to an election, going no where is he.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 12, 2022, 01:52:41 PM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on January 12, 2022, 01:05:56 PM
If he goes, who's next in line?
Sunak & Truss are seen as front runners in any leadership challenge. I actually like Gove and he is one of the most effective politicians about, doubt he has the charisma or support to be leader, but imo he'd be the most capable of actually doing a good job.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on January 12, 2022, 02:05:40 PM
Michelle O'Neill rode it out too.  I'm struggling to see much difference.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 12, 2022, 02:22:54 PM
Prince Andrew to the rescue...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 12, 2022, 02:36:59 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 12, 2022, 02:22:54 PM
Prince Andrew to the rescue...

He's f**king sweating now, the nonce.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 12, 2022, 02:38:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 01:41:41 PM
Tbh I would be shocked if he resigned. I don't think this boy is going anywhere until he is knifed in the back. He will be eventually and I think he is definitely stretching the boundaries but it would need a lot of alignment and a concerted effort and I think the other ones are all so self serving they wouldn't have it in them to do a joint effort.

The Torys are ruthless hoors if they think Boris is a liability at the ballot box and polling suggest we're in that territory but FFS he still can't say it was an organised party...

Utter sc**bag
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 12, 2022, 02:40:55 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on January 12, 2022, 02:05:40 PM
Michelle O'Neill rode it out too.  I'm struggling to see much difference.

O'Neill and SF were wrong on the funeral but to seriously equate going to a garden party with going to a funeral takes a bit of doing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on January 12, 2022, 03:01:05 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 12, 2022, 02:40:55 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on January 12, 2022, 02:05:40 PM
Michelle O'Neill rode it out too.  I'm struggling to see much difference.

O'Neill and SF were wrong on the funeral but to seriously equate going to a garden party with going to a funeral takes a bit of doing.
I'm not equating funerals and parties, not for one minute.  I'm equating "one rule for me, and one rule for the rest of you".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on January 12, 2022, 05:14:46 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 12, 2022, 02:38:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 01:41:41 PM
Tbh I would be shocked if he resigned. I don't think this boy is going anywhere until he is knifed in the back. He will be eventually and I think he is definitely stretching the boundaries but it would need a lot of alignment and a concerted effort and I think the other ones are all so self serving they wouldn't have it in them to do a joint effort.

The Torys are ruthless hoors if they think Boris is a liability at the ballot box and polling suggest we're in that territory but FFS he still can't say it was an organised party...

Utter sc**bag

What's disgusting is that none of the other Torys is publicly condemning his disgraceful behaviour. They are all circling the wagons and they'll try to scapegoat a civil servant o take the blame. It reminds of the time all the Tyrone back room team, ex players and supporters circled the wagons and defended tiernan McCann for his ridiculous and disgraceful dive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 12, 2022, 05:24:28 PM
Quote from: lenny on January 12, 2022, 05:14:46 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 12, 2022, 02:38:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 01:41:41 PM
Tbh I would be shocked if he resigned. I don't think this boy is going anywhere until he is knifed in the back. He will be eventually and I think he is definitely stretching the boundaries but it would need a lot of alignment and a concerted effort and I think the other ones are all so self serving they wouldn't have it in them to do a joint effort.

The Torys are ruthless hoors if they think Boris is a liability at the ballot box and polling suggest we're in that territory but FFS he still can't say it was an organised party...

Utter sc**bag

What's disgusting is that none of the other Torys is publicly condemning his disgraceful behaviour. They are all circling the wagons and they'll try to scapegoat a civil servant o take the blame. It reminds of the time all the Tyrone back room team, ex players and supporters circled the wagons and defended tiernan McCann for his ridiculous and disgraceful dive.

Or the Philip Jordan one, an even more high profile incident in an AI final which had a huge bearing on the outcome. The only difference is that Tyrone still defend those players to this day whereas whenever Boris Johnson becomes expendable the Tory backbenchers will throw him to the fleas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trueblue1234 on January 12, 2022, 05:25:46 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on January 12, 2022, 05:24:28 PM
Quote from: lenny on January 12, 2022, 05:14:46 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 12, 2022, 02:38:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 01:41:41 PM
Tbh I would be shocked if he resigned. I don't think this boy is going anywhere until he is knifed in the back. He will be eventually and I think he is definitely stretching the boundaries but it would need a lot of alignment and a concerted effort and I think the other ones are all so self serving they wouldn't have it in them to do a joint effort.

The Torys are ruthless hoors if they think Boris is a liability at the ballot box and polling suggest we're in that territory but FFS he still can't say it was an organised party...

Utter sc**bag

What's disgusting is that none of the other Torys is publicly condemning his disgraceful behaviour. They are all circling the wagons and they'll try to scapegoat a civil servant o take the blame. It reminds of the time all the Tyrone back room team, ex players and supporters circled the wagons and defended tiernan McCann for his ridiculous and disgraceful dive.

Or the Philip Jordan one, an even more high profile incident in an AI final which had a huge bearing on the outcome. The only difference is that Tyrone still defend those players to this day whereas whenever Boris Johnson becomes expendable the Tory backbenchers will throw him to the fleas.
Ffs lads. That is cringeworthy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 05:30:00 PM
Well that escalated...

He is surrounded by his cronies who are all like minded. ***ts the lot of them with barely an ounce of humanity between the lot of them. Yeah Jc they will eventually shaft him. If only labour had a good leader. Starmer useless too. A Tony Blair crony.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on January 12, 2022, 05:44:02 PM
Quote from: lenny on January 12, 2022, 05:14:46 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 12, 2022, 02:38:58 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 12, 2022, 01:41:41 PM
Tbh I would be shocked if he resigned. I don't think this boy is going anywhere until he is knifed in the back. He will be eventually and I think he is definitely stretching the boundaries but it would need a lot of alignment and a concerted effort and I think the other ones are all so self serving they wouldn't have it in them to do a joint effort.

The Torys are ruthless hoors if they think Boris is a liability at the ballot box and polling suggest we're in that territory but FFS he still can't say it was an organised party...

Utter sc**bag

What's disgusting is that none of the other Torys is publicly condemning his disgraceful behaviour. They are all circling the wagons and they'll try to scapegoat a civil servant o take the blame. It reminds of the time all the Tyrone back room team, ex players and supporters circled the wagons and defended tiernan McCann for his ridiculous and disgraceful dive.

Never heard any tyrone supporters ever defending it. Could definitely have been worse as he could have blown kisses to the crowd after scoring 😂😘
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: angermanagement on January 12, 2022, 05:57:06 PM
I'm sure Dominic Cummings has plenty of dirt on Boris still to be exposed. He'll survive this one but it won't be long before he's busted again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on January 12, 2022, 09:39:41 PM
He'll survive any amount of slime as long as the Tories are topping the polls. It's not the polls in the north of England that matter but in places like Shropshire.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 12, 2022, 10:13:43 PM
The 1922 Committee needs 54 signatures to trigger a leadership election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on January 12, 2022, 10:29:09 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2022, 10:13:43 PM
The 1922 Committee needs 54 signatures to trigger a leadership election.

Whoever comes after Johnson will be just as bad. The Tory party got rid of any talent they had during the brexit transition. People like Dominic Grieve and Anna Soubry were politicians of integrity and a bit of gravitas bu because they wanted a softer brexit they were dumped. They're the most corrupt shower ever to be in power and have made millions for themselves and donors from the pandemic by awarding dodgy contracts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 12, 2022, 11:36:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2022, 10:13:43 PM
The 1922 Committee needs 54 signatures to trigger a leadership election.

No, to trigger a vote of confidence, which BJ could well win. Needs 180+ against him to be usurped.

Tories really in a bind here. Smart play would be to jettison him and give the new leader time to bed in and become known to voters. New leader unlikely though to be as popular at the election booth as BJ was, particularly in red wall seats (and especially if it's a 'furriner '/ 'Pakistani' like Sunak). Leave Johnson in situ and the opposition become stronger and more vocal and in control of the moral high ground. This is what I think will happen, just about. Cabinet will hope that Sue Gray's report takes so long to compile that the whole issue will cool and public anger will fade away. In the meantime, cue another outbreak of hostilities with France re: fishing and the EU re: NIP.  God knows what Joe Biden makes of it.

The thoroughly ridiculous Rees-Mogg calling Scottish Tory MP Douglas Ross a 'political lightweight' on Newsnight won't do much for trying to preserve the Union north of the border. Even knocked a start out of the normally unflappable Kirsty Wark!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on January 13, 2022, 02:43:18 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 12, 2022, 11:36:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2022, 10:13:43 PM
The 1922 Committee needs 54 signatures to trigger a leadership election.

No, to trigger a vote of confidence, which BJ could well win. Needs 180+ against him to be usurped.

Tories really in a bind here. Smart play would be to jettison him and give the new leader time to bed in and become known to voters. New leader unlikely though to be as popular at the election booth as BJ was, particularly in red wall seats (and especially if it's a 'furriner '/ 'Pakistani' like Sunak). Leave Johnson in situ and the opposition become stronger and more vocal and in control of the moral high ground. This is what I think will happen, just about. Cabinet will hope that Sue Gray's report takes so long to compile that the whole issue will cool and public anger will fade away. In the meantime, cue another outbreak of hostilities with France re: fishing and the EU re: NIP.  God knows what Joe Biden makes of it.

The thoroughly ridiculous Rees-Mogg calling Scottish Tory MP Douglas Ross a 'political lightweight' on Newsnight won't do much for trying to preserve the Union north of the border. Even knocked a start out of the normally unflappable Kirsty Wark!

Rees-Mogg is certainly ridiculous. But he's 100% right about Ross. Have you ever seen that Hun bastard ref a Celtic game. A man even more odious than Rees-Mogg.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 13, 2022, 08:31:40 AM
Quote from: mouview on January 12, 2022, 11:36:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 12, 2022, 10:13:43 PM
The 1922 Committee needs 54 signatures to trigger a leadership election.

No, to trigger a vote of confidence, which BJ could well win. Needs 180+ against him to be usurped.

Tories really in a bind here. Smart play would be to jettison him and give the new leader time to bed in and become known to voters. New leader unlikely though to be as popular at the election booth as BJ was, particularly in red wall seats (and especially if it's a 'furriner '/ 'Pakistani' like Sunak). Leave Johnson in situ and the opposition become stronger and more vocal and in control of the moral high ground. This is what I think will happen, just about. Cabinet will hope that Sue Gray's report takes so long to compile that the whole issue will cool and public anger will fade away. In the meantime, cue another outbreak of hostilities with France re: fishing and the EU re: NIP.  God knows what Joe Biden makes of it.

The thoroughly ridiculous Rees-Mogg calling Scottish Tory MP Douglas Ross a 'political lightweight' on Newsnight won't do much for trying to preserve the Union north of the border. Even knocked a start out of the normally unflappable Kirsty Wark!

The arrogance of Rees-Mogg is something to behold and irrespective of whether he's right about Douglas Ross or not you just don't say things like that on national TV. I'm sure the Scottish Tory's are feeling loved by their "betters" in London now..

As for Boris, he's apologising for not realising it was a party in his back garden and doing something about it. That is all. He's even trying to suggest it legally wasn't outside the rules at the time. He's a charlatan of the highest order.

There's no doubt going to be another drip feed of another party or indiscretion on its way
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 13, 2022, 08:38:30 AM
It's like an apology from a toddler then you see the glint in their eye and they do the same thing again. It's not an apology at all.

I don't think there are many more odious than Rees-Mogg. Johnson probably is but that is about it.

Yes it's like someone said too. There surely can't be any worse but we say that about every secretary of state here and every Brexit negotiator and they all get worse when you think it's impossible... If anyone can the tories can.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 13, 2022, 10:13:44 AM
Unparliamentary language

https://twitter.com/mrnickharvey/status/1481240083420299267?t=BfGQTa8Ilpio1_UBhHNU-w&s=19

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Taylor on January 13, 2022, 10:39:08 AM
Whoever is releasing all of this info is playing a blinder so far.

Releasing everything at the right time to cause maximum damage to Boris.

No doubt more to come - this is the reason why they are so afraid to say anything - they havent a f**king clue what will come out next.

If the past releases are anything to go by it will go quiet for a few days/week and then the next bombshell will be dropped
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on January 13, 2022, 11:42:26 AM
Meanwhile back in the utopia that is Brexit, lorry drivers face 20 km tailbacks at Dover as full customs controls take effect from the beginning of this year. This gets drowned out with the current Tory pantomime. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 13, 2022, 12:28:32 PM
Quote from: Taylor on January 13, 2022, 10:39:08 AM
Whoever is releasing all of this info is playing a blinder so far.

Releasing everything at the right time to cause maximum damage to Boris.

No doubt more to come - this is the reason why they are so afraid to say anything - they havent a f**king clue what will come out next.

If the past releases are anything to go by it will go quiet for a few days/week and then the next bombshell will be dropped

It has to be Cummings. I didn't think that was a boy that it would be in the interests of any of them to screw over. He seems quite bitter too which tbh is great lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 13, 2022, 12:42:48 PM
It's 100% Cummings!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 13, 2022, 12:48:44 PM
Quote from: Taylor on January 13, 2022, 10:39:08 AM
Whoever is releasing all of this info is playing a blinder so far.

Releasing everything at the right time to cause maximum damage to Boris.

No doubt more to come - this is the reason why they are so afraid to say anything - they havent a f**king clue what will come out next.

If the past releases are anything to go by it will go quiet for a few days/week and then the next bombshell will be dropped

Allegedly Boris couldn't/wouldn't give assurances to some back benchers that this was the end of the party scandals at No.10.

I'd be surprised if there wasn't more.

It's also interesting that these leaks are being given to ITV now as its also alleged that the BBC knew about this and failed to do anything with the information.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 13, 2022, 12:55:39 PM
Quote from: screenexile on January 13, 2022, 12:42:48 PM
It's 100% Cummings!!

It's great though. He's another horrible one but at least he had his medicine so he can be supported till be sinks a few people and then we can go back to hating him again  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Man Marker on January 13, 2022, 12:57:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 13, 2022, 10:13:44 AM
Unparliamentary language

https://twitter.com/mrnickharvey/status/1481240083420299267?t=BfGQTa8Ilpio1_UBhHNU-w&s=19

;D ;D ;D did i hear the word 'w**ker' there?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 13, 2022, 01:04:56 PM
Also to come out of this... I thought Michael Fabricant was a spoof tory MP with a spectacular blonde wig. Turns out he's a real politician  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 13, 2022, 01:28:44 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 13, 2022, 01:04:56 PM
Also to come out of this... I thought Michael Fabricant was a spoof tory MP with a spectacular blonde wig. Turns out he's a real politician  ;D

And he claims the 'wig' is his real hair!! He was on First dates show once, so him and this ordinary girl (though she was fecking nuts) sat down for dinner and she just came out with it about his wig, he denied it lol

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EHsP0Sxvlps     about 2.2
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 13, 2022, 09:43:32 PM
Tony Diver tweet, Daily Telegraph. Ironic if they deliver the death blow

"Number 10 held two boozy parties the night before the Queen mourned Prince Philip alone.

Staff drank and at points danced until the early hours of the night of April 16.

Hours later, the Queen went to a socially-distanced funeral for Philip. https://t.co/sWrFcOrplE"

Oh dear Bojo, this could be the one - Prince Philip's funeral the day after the party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Aaron Boone on January 13, 2022, 09:53:24 PM
Boris will survive it, surrounded by his  minions. The Cabinet are only there because of his fronting Brexit, they owe him absolutely everything.  The local elections in May are a different matter. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 13, 2022, 10:41:33 PM
Pissing on the Queen isn't going to help his cause... the fact the story is in the Torygraph means he's absolutely toast I'd expect Sue Grey to put the final nail in the coffin!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 13, 2022, 10:54:47 PM
When is the Sue Grey report? And does everyone know her husband is a country singer from Portaferry?  :o
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on January 13, 2022, 11:13:06 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 13, 2022, 10:54:47 PM
When is the Sue Grey report? And does everyone know her husband is a country singer from Portaferry?  :o

;D

Report should be out next week all being well.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 07:49:43 AM
It is a farce that nothing will come of.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 08:55:03 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 13, 2022, 10:54:47 PM
When is the Sue Grey report? And does everyone know her husband is a country singer from Portaferry?  :o

Yep, Big Bill Conlan (Not Grey)..

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 08:59:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 07:49:43 AM
It is a farce that nothing will come of.

I'd have agreed with you until last nights further revelations about the parties in Downing Street the night before Prince Philips funeral where the Queen sat alone in Westminster Abbey.

As much as Boris may not have attended this one where his childs play swing was broken he's ultimately responsible for the culture of his office/home when they thought it was OK to do such a thing.

Cummings is killing him by a thousand cuts it seems.

Sue Grey has yet another party to investigate so expect a delay on that report.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on January 14, 2022, 09:12:01 AM
Drip drip drip

Lady on question time said she counted 12 parties she knew of and that was poss before these latest 2
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:17:28 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 08:59:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 07:49:43 AM
It is a farce that nothing will come of.

I'd have agreed with you until last nights further revelations about the parties in Downing Street the night before Prince Philips funeral where the Queen sat alone in Westminster Abbey.

As much as Boris may not have attended this one where his childs play swing was broken he's ultimately responsible for the culture of his office/home when they thought it was OK to do such a thing.

Cummings is killing him by a thousand cuts it seems.

Sue Grey has yet another party to investigate so expect a delay on that report.

That video of him dancing with the woman holding the light sabre  :o

I hope you're right and presumably Cummings just keeps sinking the boot in. It will only be funny if it ends well. I still have my doubts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on January 14, 2022, 09:21:29 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 08:59:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 07:49:43 AM
It is a farce that nothing will come of.

I'd have agreed with you until last nights further revelations about the parties in Downing Street the night before Prince Philips funeral where the Queen sat alone in Westminster Abbey.

As much as Boris may not have attended this one where his childs play swing was broken he's ultimately responsible for the culture of his office/home when they thought it was OK to do such a thing.

Cummings is killing him by a thousand cuts it seems.

Sue Grey has yet another party to investigate so expect a delay on that report.

At this rate of going, she'll never get that report finished as these parties are popping up like whack-a-moles. I expect plenty more to emerge. Time Boris was run out of town along with all his apologists over the last few days also. They are as bad and as complicit in all of this as he is. The bare-faced lies of the man are astounding only to be matched by how many people will still vote for this clampet. This all happened on his watch and it wasn't a one-off isolated incident. This was repeated rule-breaking by those who thought they were better than everyone else.

The real shame of it all is there feck all us in the occupied six can do about these Tory c**ts.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:24:26 AM
I know politicians tell lies but has there ever been anyone told as many lies as this boy? Basically it just seems a given that if he says something it's a lie or if he says something is going to happen it won't.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Keyser soze on January 14, 2022, 09:27:46 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:17:28 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 08:59:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 07:49:43 AM
It is a farce that nothing will come of.

I'd have agreed with you until last nights further revelations about the parties in Downing Street the night before Prince Philips funeral where the Queen sat alone in Westminster Abbey.

As much as Boris may not have attended this one where his childs play swing was broken he's ultimately responsible for the culture of his office/home when they thought it was OK to do such a thing.

Cummings is killing him by a thousand cuts it seems.

Sue Grey has yet another party to investigate so expect a delay on that report.

That video of him dancing with the woman holding the light sabre  :o

I hope you're right and presumably Cummings just keeps sinking the boot in. It will only be funny if it ends well. I still have my doubts.

What a dick, though I think this video was when he was mayor of London.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on January 14, 2022, 09:30:46 AM
Hey - why I am all for Johnson's head on a platter I think one should be careful of what you wish for.

If he goes then the replacement could be far worse.

I think it's better he's there for the next GE in the UK so that there is a chance of the Tories being wiped out.

Imagine Gove or Patel as PM! Sweet Lord.

Sunak woudl fancy his chances but my jury is out on him. He doesn't seem as outright dangerous as Patel and not as mad as Gove.
Raab hasn't the brains of a goose but, that said, he is Einstein compared to Truss.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 09:31:26 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:24:26 AM
I know politicians tell lies but has there ever been anyone told as many lies as this boy? Basically it just seems a given that if he says something it's a lie or if he says something is going to happen it won't.

If you've ever read his Eton School Masters report of him from his teens I suspect he's always been this way.

Entitled, arrogant twat. A spell at an inner city comprehensive would have straightened him out where he'd have gotten a few thumps in the playground for his bullshittery and he'd then realise there are indeed consequences for being a lying toe rag.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:33:51 AM
Yeah Patel would be a worry. A terrible terrible person.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 10:13:17 AM
Quote from: Shamrock Shore on January 14, 2022, 09:30:46 AM
Hey - why I am all for Johnson's head on a platter I think one should be careful of what you wish for.

If he goes then the replacement could be far worse.

I think it's better he's there for the next GE in the UK so that there is a chance of the Tories being wiped out.

Imagine Gove or Patel as PM! Sweet Lord.

Sunak would fancy his chances but my jury is out on him. He doesn't seem as outright dangerous as Patel and not as mad as Gove.
Raab hasn't the brains of a goose but, that said, he is Einstein compared to Truss.

Sunak is allegedly hot favourite and may get in if it's only the Tory party voting for a new leader/PM.

Not sure how he'd do at the polling station for the very fact that he's of Indian extraction and how that sits with the Brexiteer type voters...

Not all Brexiteers are racists but all racists are Brexiteers...  ;)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on January 14, 2022, 10:18:36 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:33:51 AM
Yeah Patel would be a worry. A terrible terrible person.

She would be terrible but she wouldn't last long either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on January 14, 2022, 12:36:37 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:33:51 AM
Yeah Patel would be a worry. A terrible terrible person.

There is no f**king way Priti Stupid would get the job.

She'd be demolished by the likes of Gove in any kind of head to head.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 01:33:16 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:17:28 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 08:59:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 07:49:43 AM
It is a farce that nothing will come of.

I'd have agreed with you until last nights further revelations about the parties in Downing Street the night before Prince Philips funeral where the Queen sat alone in Westminster Abbey.

As much as Boris may not have attended this one where his childs play swing was broken he's ultimately responsible for the culture of his office/home when they thought it was OK to do such a thing.

Cummings is killing him by a thousand cuts it seems.

Sue Grey has yet another party to investigate so expect a delay on that report.

That video of him dancing with the woman holding the light sabre  :o

I hope you're right and presumably Cummings just keeps sinking the boot in. It will only be funny if it ends well. I still have my doubts.

Had to go looking for it and by god he's even a lecherous dancer with his bump and grind going on.. Wonder when this was?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Shamrock Shore on January 14, 2022, 01:41:10 PM
He was Mayor of London so it's a few years ago...........
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: J70 on January 14, 2022, 02:03:31 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:24:26 AM
I know politicians tell lies but has there ever been anyone told as many lies as this boy? Basically it just seems a given that if he says something it's a lie or if he says something is going to happen it won't.

The Economist are arguing that Boris has never hidden his utter cynicism, lack of principles and complete dedication to transactional politics. People just voted for him anyway.

https://www.economist.com/britain/2022/01/15/what-did-you-expect-from-boris-johnson (https://www.economist.com/britain/2022/01/15/what-did-you-expect-from-boris-johnson)

Trump lies with impunity as well, also with the purpose of bolstering his own, personal position and interests above all else.

Trump scares the f**k out of me. Boris doesn't. But then I'm personally far removed from him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on January 14, 2022, 02:17:53 PM
Quote from: J70 on January 14, 2022, 02:03:31 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:24:26 AM
I know politicians tell lies but has there ever been anyone told as many lies as this boy? Basically it just seems a given that if he says something it's a lie or if he says something is going to happen it won't.

The Economist are arguing that Boris has never hidden his utter cynicism, lack of principles and complete dedication to transactional politics. People just voted for him anyway.

https://www.economist.com/britain/2022/01/15/what-did-you-expect-from-boris-johnson (https://www.economist.com/britain/2022/01/15/what-did-you-expect-from-boris-johnson)

Trump lies with impunity as well, also with the purpose of bolstering his own, personal position and interests above all else.

Trump scares the f**k out of me. Boris doesn't. But then I'm personally far removed from him.

There's many similarities and the lying is the obvious one.
Both self serving and obvious with it.
Both grifters and lining their own pockets with it
Both tacked towards a nationalist, populist agenda as it cut through with a lot of the electorate ably assisted by years of complicit media feeding this hysteria. MAGA, Get Brexit Done. Slogans cut from the same anti immigrant cloth IMO.
Both fúcked up the Covid response as both initially belittled it due to ingrained exceptionalism and both have far too high of death rates per capita even with their "best in class" Health services.
Both have connections to Russian money men.
Both initially laughed off as jokes but still made it and both had money men behind them who're actually pulling the strings.

The US still haven't got over their Trump hangover and the UK will suffer for as long as well as for as much as the party scandal is headlines what the Torys are doing to law, security, immigration and the much beloved Health service being carved out from the inside for US private medical firms assisted by dishy Rishi will be a stain for years to come..







Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 02:21:14 PM
Quote from: J70 on January 14, 2022, 02:03:31 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 09:24:26 AM
I know politicians tell lies but has there ever been anyone told as many lies as this boy? Basically it just seems a given that if he says something it's a lie or if he says something is going to happen it won't.

The Economist are arguing that Boris has never hidden his utter cynicism, lack of principles and complete dedication to transactional politics. People just voted for him anyway.

https://www.economist.com/britain/2022/01/15/what-did-you-expect-from-boris-johnson (https://www.economist.com/britain/2022/01/15/what-did-you-expect-from-boris-johnson)

Trump lies with impunity as well, also with the purpose of bolstering his own, personal position and interests above all else.

Trump scares the f**k out of me. Boris doesn't. But then I'm personally far removed from him.

I think there's a lot more to him than you might think tbh. I don't like the way the met aren't investigating this at all. It kind of feels like he, or someone, has a lot of power and people in power can do what they want. I mean to be honest in the UK I think the politics have got out of hand. You used to laugh at Italy and Berlusconi for example and the corruption was that rife and blatant. It's the same in the UK now.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on January 14, 2022, 03:43:36 PM
I firmly believe Boris' plan was

- "Get Brexit done"
- Spend a couple of years partying and glad handing around the world signing trade deals
- When Brexit began to actually bite, hand the baton over to someone else and retire to some column writing and after-dinner speaking

He was never prepared for actually doing any serious 'work'

Covid fcuked it up for him completely in that he actually had a proper issue to deal with

The only surprise in any of this is that people are surprised
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on January 14, 2022, 04:21:15 PM
There was a suggestion in the paper that Theresa May was enjoying 2022. Somehow, I cannot see a big party in No. 10 in breach of Covid regulations while she was there, if only because she is in a vulnerable category.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on January 14, 2022, 04:32:34 PM
https://twitter.com/wizbates/status/1481979468138885121 (https://twitter.com/wizbates/status/1481979468138885121)

Worth clicking into  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2022, 04:51:59 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2022, 03:43:36 PM
I firmly believe Boris' plan was

- "Get Brexit done"
- Spend a couple of years partying and glad handing around the world signing trade deals
- When Brexit began to actually bite, hand the baton over to someone else and retire to some column writing and after-dinner speaking

He was never prepared for actually doing any serious 'work'

Covid fcuked it up for him completely in that he actually had a proper issue to deal with

The only surprise in any of this is that people are surprised

I know we have had spats on this in the past but BJ is only the driver on the bus, I blame Cameron who brought the idea to light!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 14, 2022, 06:10:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2022, 04:51:59 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2022, 03:43:36 PM
I firmly believe Boris' plan was

- "Get Brexit done"
- Spend a couple of years partying and glad handing around the world signing trade deals
- When Brexit began to actually bite, hand the baton over to someone else and retire to some column writing and after-dinner speaking

He was never prepared for actually doing any serious 'work'

Covid fcuked it up for him completely in that he actually had a proper issue to deal with

The only surprise in any of this is that people are surprised

I know we have had spats on this in the past but BJ is only the driver on the bus, I blame Cameron who brought the idea to light!
The idea has been about for decades, and grew during the late 00s early 10s. Cameron was unfortunate to be PM when it boiled over.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on January 14, 2022, 07:37:15 PM
https://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2022/01/14/news/higher-tuition-fees-and-cutting-university-places-among-options-considered-in-bid-to-save-money-2559840/ (https://www.irishnews.com/news/northernirelandnews/2022/01/14/news/higher-tuition-fees-and-cutting-university-places-among-options-considered-in-bid-to-save-money-2559840/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on January 14, 2022, 07:52:37 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 14, 2022, 06:10:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2022, 04:51:59 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2022, 03:43:36 PM
I firmly believe Boris' plan was

- "Get Brexit done"
- Spend a couple of years partying and glad handing around the world signing trade deals
- When Brexit began to actually bite, hand the baton over to someone else and retire to some column writing and after-dinner speaking

He was never prepared for actually doing any serious 'work'

Covid fcuked it up for him completely in that he actually had a proper issue to deal with

The only surprise in any of this is that people are surprised

I know we have had spats on this in the past but BJ is only the driver on the bus, I blame Cameron who brought the idea to light!
The idea has been about for decades, and grew during the late 00s early 10s. Cameron was unfortunate to be PM when it boiled over.
They've never been happy Europeans, there was a Membership Referendum in the 1970s.  The data of the 1975 referendum is interesting. Scotland has become very pro-EU in comparison to the 70s data.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_of_the_1975_United_Kingdom_European_Communities_membership_referendum?wprov=sfla1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hound on January 14, 2022, 10:39:53 PM
I think the funny thing about the Brits in Europe is that they've always seen this Franco-German axis as leading the EU, and they either agree or disagree with whatever proposals come forth. It seems to me they never tried to drive the agenda. Our (Irish) interests often coincide with UK interests and the Scandinavians could also have been in the same corner. The Benelux guys seem to always line up with Germany/France, but most of the rest were moveable. 

There's plenty not right with the EU, but changing it from the inside would have been a far better idea than forcing themselves out of it altogether
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on January 15, 2022, 07:02:10 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 14, 2022, 06:10:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2022, 04:51:59 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2022, 03:43:36 PM
I firmly believe Boris' plan was

- "Get Brexit done"
- Spend a couple of years partying and glad handing around the world signing trade deals
- When Brexit began to actually bite, hand the baton over to someone else and retire to some column writing and after-dinner speaking

He was never prepared for actually doing any serious 'work'

Covid fcuked it up for him completely in that he actually had a proper issue to deal with

The only surprise in any of this is that people are surprised

I know we have had spats on this in the past but BJ is only the driver on the bus, I blame Cameron who brought the idea to light!
The idea has been about for decades, and grew during the late 00s early 10s. Cameron was unfortunate to be PM when it boiled over.

The idea might've been about but there was very little support for it until the EU said that they were bringing in laws to stop people hiding away their money in tax havens to avoid paying taxes. Very rich, influential people didn't like that. Brexit was delivered by 1.5 BILLION facebook ads targeted at psychological vulnerable voters. All those ads were full of lies but played on peoples fears and the inherent racism prevalent in England.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on January 15, 2022, 08:58:48 AM
Quote from: lenny on January 15, 2022, 07:02:10 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on January 14, 2022, 06:10:53 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on January 14, 2022, 04:51:59 PM
Quote from: Franko on January 14, 2022, 03:43:36 PM
I firmly believe Boris' plan was

- "Get Brexit done"
- Spend a couple of years partying and glad handing around the world signing trade deals
- When Brexit began to actually bite, hand the baton over to someone else and retire to some column writing and after-dinner speaking

He was never prepared for actually doing any serious 'work'

Covid fcuked it up for him completely in that he actually had a proper issue to deal with

The only surprise in any of this is that people are surprised

I know we have had spats on this in the past but BJ is only the driver on the bus, I blame Cameron who brought the idea to light!
The idea has been about for decades, and grew during the late 00s early 10s. Cameron was unfortunate to be PM when it boiled over.

The idea might've been about but there was very little support for it until the EU said that they were bringing in laws to stop people hiding away their money in tax havens to avoid paying taxes. Very rich, influential people didn't like that. Brexit was delivered by 1.5 BILLION facebook ads targeted at psychological vulnerable voters. All those ads were full of lies but played on peoples fears and the inherent racism prevalent in England.

Hit the nail on the head. Just have to follow the money trail.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Ronnie on January 18, 2022, 03:14:19 PM
I sense Steve Baker is gunning for Johnson's job.  Interesting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 18, 2022, 03:24:54 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 18, 2022, 03:14:19 PM
I sense Steve Baker is gunning for Johnson's job.  Interesting.
He is ERG and they only have 60 MPs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on January 18, 2022, 08:28:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 18, 2022, 03:24:54 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 18, 2022, 03:14:19 PM
I sense Steve Baker is gunning for Johnson's job.  Interesting.
He is ERG and they only have 60 MPs.

But they hold disproportionate sway over the Tories. Jeez, Baker would be Trump on steroids.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 18, 2022, 10:12:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on January 18, 2022, 08:28:29 PM
Quote from: seafoid on January 18, 2022, 03:24:54 PM
Quote from: Ronnie on January 18, 2022, 03:14:19 PM
I sense Steve Baker is gunning for Johnson's job.  Interesting.
He is ERG and they only have 60 MPs.

But they hold disproportionate sway over the Tories. Jeez, Baker would be Trump on steroids.
They did. But now ordinary Tory MPs are sick of Brexit. It didn't deliver anything good. A bit like Galway football management.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on January 18, 2022, 10:13:45 PM
The FBD!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on January 18, 2022, 10:20:56 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on January 18, 2022, 10:13:45 PM
The FBD!
You wouldn't mind being brutalised by the all Ireland champions. But they couldn't even do that. Mayo God help us.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 08, 2022, 01:40:23 PM
yet another GB Brexit secretary, I've lost count at this stage;

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FLE-ncWXIAExa30?format=jpg&name=small)

Got that wrong, he's the new Minister for Brexit opportunities. Someone having a laugh appointing a venture capitalist to this role who's made millions  out of the Brexit turmoil, and the ability to avoid tax which the EU was looking to close down a few loopholes they were able to avail off...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on February 15, 2022, 12:29:23 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/14/mauritius-formally-challenges-britains-ownership-of-chagos-islands (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/14/mauritius-formally-challenges-britains-ownership-of-chagos-islands)

The rapid international legal progress made by Mauritius's challenge  to British imperial occupation of the Chagos archipelago has been put down to  Brexit. Apparently a lone Britain is perceived as a weaker entity and they have lost that privileged position  where other states would row in behind them by default to hold their imperial pecker up.

(https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/d0e7d2c601335e764e7f7073eb87e10731212b4d/96_0_1800_1080/master/1800.jpg?width=620&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=714f23ea8edf78e62a282979c006d1e1)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 23, 2022, 10:20:18 PM
Rees-Mogg to measure the benefit of imperial measures
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-imperial-measurements-economic-benefit-study-b2021304.html

Mind you, presumably a lot in here agree with him given all the miles, stones and whatever that you see.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on March 14, 2022, 08:23:38 PM
https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2022/109/made

The Customs (Amendment) (EU Exit) Regulations 2022

changing legislation  to remove "the United Kingdom" and substitute "Great Britain"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on March 15, 2022, 10:24:13 AM
Quote from: dec on March 14, 2022, 08:23:38 PM
https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2022/109/made

The Customs (Amendment) (EU Exit) Regulations 2022

changing legislation  to remove "the United Kingdom" and substitute "Great Britain"

(https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftse4.mm.bing.net%2Fth%3Fid%3DOIF.zhoT61jmd4iWHtkm1AD3rw%26pid%3DApi&f=1)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 15, 2022, 11:04:17 AM
 :D :D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: theskull1 on March 20, 2022, 06:00:22 PM
If I purchase something 2nd hand ( from ebay) from the UK mainland...
I have to pay 20% VAT when it gets shipped to NI.... Correct?
If so.... can I claim that back?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GiveItToTheShooters on March 20, 2022, 08:39:09 PM
Quote from: theskull1 on March 20, 2022, 06:00:22 PM
If I purchase something 2nd hand ( from ebay) from the UK mainland...
I have to pay 20% VAT when it gets shipped to NI.... Correct?
If so.... can I claim that back?
"The UK mainland"  ;D ;D ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on March 20, 2022, 08:50:39 PM
Quote from: theskull1 on March 20, 2022, 06:00:22 PM
If I purchase something 2nd hand ( from ebay) from the UK mainland...
I have to pay 20% VAT when it gets shipped to NI.... Correct?
If so.... can I claim that back?

Are you on the Isle of Wight?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: theskull1 on March 20, 2022, 09:23:58 PM
 ::) 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 23, 2022, 03:01:46 PM
David Frost (remember him) tweeting today giving the Irish government a gentle reminder of the status of the border in Ireland.

''1 The border between Ireland and Northern Ireland is an international border between two different countries.

One could be forgiven for thinking occasionally from Irish Government public statements that sometimes they forget that.

2 Obviously we must have rules for third country nationals entering the UK via that border just as at all others.

And, for the avoidance of doubt, though after all these years it shouldn't need saying, that does not of course mean those rules have to be enforced *at* the border.''



This is his justification for the new visa waiver requirements to enable the free movement of non UK/Irish citizens across the border. This hot on the heels of the UK government (assisted by the DUP) voting for the anti refugee bill which prevents the smooth provision of a sanctuary for Ukranians seeking refuge from the war. I expect that they will only become more insular as time goes on as they try to promote a 'best of British' which plays to their base. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 23, 2022, 03:10:27 PM
David Frost is what's known as a c**t with nothing useful to contribute to society whatsoever  >:(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on March 23, 2022, 04:14:04 PM
The cut in VAT on insulation in Britain is the start of divergence. No doubt the DUP will advocate insulation now, and not just from foreigners.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 23, 2022, 04:20:02 PM
The tories are using it to shit stir too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on March 23, 2022, 05:22:13 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 23, 2022, 03:10:27 PM
David Frost is what's known as a c**t with nothing useful to contribute to society whatsoever  >:(

Totally in keeping with most of the Tory cabinet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Average Score on March 23, 2022, 05:56:42 PM
Unfortunately barring a border poll there is no credible opposition, they could win the next 2 elections by a landslide. So we are stuck with the c***ts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 23, 2022, 06:46:03 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 23, 2022, 03:10:27 PM
David Frost is what's known as a c**t with nothing useful to contribute to society whatsoever  >:(
And an unelected one at that!
Will they have  agents wandering about the 6 Counties looking out for people who look "unBritish" ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Farrandeelin on March 23, 2022, 10:59:51 PM
Quote from: Average Score on March 23, 2022, 05:56:42 PM
Unfortunately barring a border poll there is no credible opposition, they could win the next 2 elections by a landslide. So we are stuck with the c***ts.

That by-election where they had the seat since God was a gasúr and lost it may suggest otherwise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Average Score on March 24, 2022, 07:29:22 AM
Quote from: Farrandeelin on March 23, 2022, 10:59:51 PM
Quote from: Average Score on March 23, 2022, 05:56:42 PM
Unfortunately barring a border poll there is no credible opposition, they could win the next 2 elections by a landslide. So we are stuck with the c***ts.

That by-election where they had the seat since God was a gasúr and lost it may suggest otherwise.

By-elections mean sweet FA - you know nothing of politics if you think a protest vote will mount to a credible challenge at the next election. Labour are absolutely useless, that smug **** wiped the floor with them yesterday when he again shafted the masses.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on March 24, 2022, 11:50:38 AM
This Budget has unravelled within a day I can't see the Tories recovering from the mess they've made of COVID and the economy.

I'd expect more measures to be released shortly given the sheer weight of public opinion against that shite yesterday.

Sunak badly under pressure since the announcement and looked uncomfortable in all his appearances since. Maybe not the Prime Minister in waiting!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 24, 2022, 11:59:38 AM
Boris is probably loving it as takes the flak away from him.

I can see the tories recovering. They recover from everything.

You have to laugh over here and Jeffrey shouting about the protocol and you can't take away the VAT cut or whatever it was on solar panels. Ai Jeffrey the people who will now be struggling to pay their bills will be very concerned about their solar panels  ::) I think he may be one of their worst leaders yet and that is saying something.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on April 28, 2022, 03:24:50 PM
JRM's search for 'Brexit opportunities' getting more forlorn by the day.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/apr/28/jacob-rees-mogg-delay-post-brexit-eu-fresh-food-checks-fourth-time

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 02, 2022, 11:19:49 PM
Oh Dear
https://www.express.co.uk/travel/articles/1604096/Malaga-Airport-passport-queues-holidays-Ireland-Britain-Brexit
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on May 02, 2022, 11:26:40 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 02, 2022, 11:19:49 PM
Oh Dear
https://www.express.co.uk/travel/articles/1604096/Malaga-Airport-passport-queues-holidays-Ireland-Britain-Brexit

I seen this first hand in Faro last week
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on May 12, 2022, 04:20:44 PM
Read an excellent article in today's UK Times. The online version appears to be free to read

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/simon-nixon-still-stuck-in-the-brexit-quagmire-ministers-look-set-to-make-it-worse-zqpb8hv53?shareToken=f8825bb0e2d08cf7067c66bbabc20c7a
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 12, 2022, 04:34:19 PM
I think this whole thing will work out in the North's favour. I can't see any way the EU put up a border between North and South.

I think the EU will just make it very difficult for the UK to get anything into mainland Europe and the UK will either have to suffer or cave to some degree.

Either way I think business in NI will still be able to have the best of both worlds and may find the friction between it and GB lessened.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on May 12, 2022, 04:46:01 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 02, 2022, 11:19:49 PM
Oh Dear
https://www.express.co.uk/travel/articles/1604096/Malaga-Airport-passport-queues-holidays-Ireland-Britain-Brexit

It would bring tears from a stone. Tears of laughter.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: rrhf on May 13, 2022, 11:21:48 AM
Quote from: T Fearon on November 01, 2015, 06:04:06 PM
Attended a very interesting debate on the implications of a Brexit, in Newry last Thursday morning.Bertie was one of the speakers.Few eye openers, not least of which is the absolute dread of the free state business community and political parties of a Brexit.Independance? Celebrating 1916 centenary? My Arse.
When Tony started this thread and mentioned this first here, It was pretty much news to me and I thought it was a nonsense and never going to happen.  How things have developed...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on May 13, 2022, 04:36:17 PM
Much noise about article 16 and diversion of trade and that if there is diversion of trade in NI due to the protocol, then article 16 can be invoked.
Basically if there are negative side effects of the protocol on the NI economy that's interpreted as  diversion of trade.
But no matter how many times  Unionists  deceptively  misinterpret that narrow survey of NI economy and magnify the importance of  cost increases elsewhere, it cannot change the facts that NI economy  has not suffered due to the protocol, in fact the opposite is more true.
The diversion of trade mantra is a red herring.

Not having a clue what diversion of trade meant, I sought help found this web site,
https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/glossary/trade-diversion/ (https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/glossary/trade-diversion/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 13, 2022, 08:06:29 PM
The Tories never let facts get in the way of anything though.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on May 13, 2022, 09:31:21 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 12, 2022, 04:34:19 PM
I think this whole thing will work out in the North's favour. I can't see any way the EU put up a border between North and South.

I think the EU will just make it very difficult for the UK to get anything into mainland Europe and the UK will either have to suffer or cave to some degree.

Either way I think business in NI will still be able to have the best of both worl100%ds and may find the friction between it and GB lessened.
100%. The vast majority of the brits trade to EU goes through Dover. That's where they have been hit and will continually to be hit. Delays there is not sustainable for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 07:29:23 AM
https://mobile.twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1525162346825515009On Article 16, Pascal Lamy former WTO head and EU trade commissioner tells BBCPM: "If UK acts unilaterally saying there will be no border... it is the UK saying we negate Brexit. The very decision to Brexit entails the existence of a border. You cannot have your cake and eat it."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 07:39:48 AM
ewis Goodall

@lewis_goodall

·

13h

Lamy: "If this is about is about how many toothbrushes [should be subject to checks] this is solvable. If it's about there shouldn't be a border between the EU and Ireland then this isn't negotiable because this is what the British people decided when they decided Brexit."

24

141

624


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 01:34:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 07:39:48 AM
ewis Goodall

@lewis_goodall

·

13h

Lamy: "If this is about is about how many toothbrushes [should be subject to checks] this is solvable. If it's about there shouldn't be a border between the EU and Ireland then this isn't negotiable because this is what the British people decided when they decided Brexit."

24

141

624

Is this guy an elected politician from somewhere that has sway in brexit?

If no, his ramblings are a bit like yours, pointless
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 02:08:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 01:34:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 07:39:48 AM
ewis Goodall

@lewis_goodall

·

13h

Lamy: "If this is about is about how many toothbrushes [should be subject to checks] this is solvable. If it's about there shouldn't be a border between the EU and Ireland then this isn't negotiable because this is what the British people decided when they decided Brexit."

24

141

624

Is this guy an elected politician from somewhere that has sway in brexit?

If no, his ramblings are a bit like yours, pointless
Former trade commissioner
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 08:57:50 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 02:08:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 01:34:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 07:39:48 AM
ewis Goodall

@lewis_goodall

·

13h

Lamy: "If this is about is about how many toothbrushes [should be subject to checks] this is solvable. If it's about there shouldn't be a border between the EU and Ireland then this isn't negotiable because this is what the British people decided when they decided Brexit."

24

141

624

Is this guy an elected politician from somewhere that has sway in brexit?

If no, his ramblings are a bit like yours, pointless
Former trade commissioner

So no? Ok let's move on then and listen to someone who actually has real input than someone who is former something
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: lenny on May 14, 2022, 09:04:46 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 08:57:50 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 02:08:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 01:34:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 07:39:48 AM
ewis Goodall

@lewis_goodall

·

13h

Lamy: "If this is about is about how many toothbrushes [should be subject to checks] this is solvable. If it's about there shouldn't be a border between the EU and Ireland then this isn't negotiable because this is what the British people decided when they decided Brexit."

24

141

624

Is this guy an elected politician from somewhere that has sway in brexit?

If no, his ramblings are a bit like yours, pointless
Former trade commissioner

So no? Ok let's move on then and listen to someone who actually has real input than someone who is former something


Lamy is a former Director-General of the World Trade Organization a position he held for 8 years. He's the person who described Britain's brexit trade deal as moving from being a premier league team to a lower league 2 side. He has a good understanding of trade deals and knew what Britain had signed up to was crap.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 09:10:19 PM
Quote from: lenny on May 14, 2022, 09:04:46 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 08:57:50 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 02:08:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 01:34:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 07:39:48 AM
ewis Goodall

@lewis_goodall

·

13h

Lamy: "If this is about is about how many toothbrushes [should be subject to checks] this is solvable. If it's about there shouldn't be a border between the EU and Ireland then this isn't negotiable because this is what the British people decided when they decided Brexit."

24

141

624

Is this guy an elected politician from somewhere that has sway in brexit?

If no, his ramblings are a bit like yours, pointless
Former trade commissioner

So no? Ok let's move on then and listen to someone who actually has real input than someone who is former something


Lamy is a former Director-General of the World Trade Organization a position he held for 8 years. He's the person who described Britain's brexit trade deal as moving from being a premier league team to a lower league 2 side. He has a good understanding of trade deals and knew what Britain had signed up to was crap.

Ok so I'll ask again is he elected politician and has he any sway in brexit? If not then he's just another voice on Twitter with a point of view.

I didn't ask if he was a former this or that. Quoting stuff from a blogger won't change a thing. Tony Blair was banging on about something the other week, absolutely pointless commentary because it holds no sway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on May 14, 2022, 09:34:17 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 09:10:19 PM
Quote from: lenny on May 14, 2022, 09:04:46 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 08:57:50 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 02:08:58 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 14, 2022, 01:34:28 PM
Quote from: seafoid on May 14, 2022, 07:39:48 AM
ewis Goodall

@lewis_goodall

·

13h

Lamy: "If this is about is about how many toothbrushes [should be subject to checks] this is solvable. If it's about there shouldn't be a border between the EU and Ireland then this isn't negotiable because this is what the British people decided when they decided Brexit."

24

141

624

Is this guy an elected politician from somewhere that has sway in brexit?

If no, his ramblings are a bit like yours, pointless
Former trade commissioner

So no? Ok let's move on then and listen to someone who actually has real input than someone who is former something


Lamy is a former Director-General of the World Trade Organization a position he held for 8 years. He's the person who described Britain's brexit trade deal as moving from being a premier league team to a lower league 2 side. He has a good understanding of trade deals and knew what Britain had signed up to was crap.

Ok so I'll ask again is he elected politician and has he any sway in brexit? If not then he's just another voice on Twitter with a point of view.

I didn't ask if he was a former this or that. Quoting stuff from a blogger won't change a thing. Tony Blair was banging on about something the other week, absolutely pointless commentary because it holds no sway.
You're losing it MR2, grab the middle ground somewhere and hold fast.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on May 14, 2022, 11:47:13 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 12, 2022, 04:34:19 PM
I think this whole thing will work out in the North's favour. I can't see any way the EU put up a border between North and South.

I think the EU will just make it very difficult for the UK to get anything into mainland Europe and the UK will either have to suffer or cave to some degree.

Either way I think business in NI will still be able to have the best of both worlds and may find the friction between it and GB lessened.

So, basically the DUP want to drive the island of Ireland's economy into the gutter by forcing the ROI to pull themselves from the single market to avoid a border on the island.

They accomplish this by getting the UK to invoke art.16, abolish the protocol and leave the EU with a choice of cutting off ROI or sacrificing integrity of single market.

If the economy down south is in the gutter, then the UK block grant is the (relatively) big show in town and they hope people will look out for extremely short term interest and continue to look to London rather than realise what they'd have in the single market.

Of course, expect strong EU retaliation, so the UK economy will also nose dive. DUP don't care, they probably reckon UK will be relatively stronger -
and they'll remain onboard HMS Brittania - despite putting a spread of torpedoes into the economies of both islands!

Will it work? Any logical government in London would tell them to go f**k themselves.


This government? Who the f**k knows!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on May 16, 2022, 01:19:26 PM
Apparently the DUP have set such a low bar of gullibility in the past that Johnson is going to try another one. The protocol stays the same, the British government  will negotiate with the EU for changes and should that be unsatisfactory, he'll peddle the promise of express legislation to override the protocol and less talk about a commitment to implement it when it does emerge in some diminished shape after a year.
He's shafting the DUP yet again, intending to leave them isolated on their identity protest.
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/opinion/comment/stormont-must-be-restored-so-politicians-can-deliver-for-the-people-of-ni-41652590.html (https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/opinion/comment/stormont-must-be-restored-so-politicians-can-deliver-for-the-people-of-ni-41652590.html)

 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 01:30:56 PM
Plus using the threat of violence to put pressure on the EU, as well as saying the north can't get a 'government' up and running because of it etc.

It's unreal - you'd have thought (if you didn't know) that the tories had no input at all in all of this!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on May 16, 2022, 02:08:08 PM
The DUP are the pawns yet again, this time a thankless task working hard to make Johnson look good in front of his tory brexit zealots as he battles with the EU to save the Union.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 16, 2022, 02:20:10 PM
Quote from: Main Street on May 16, 2022, 02:08:08 PM
The DUP are the pawns yet again, this time a thankless task working hard to make Johnson look good in front of his tory brexit zealots as he battles with the EU to save the Union.

We're all pawns to the ERG and their goon Boris. We're going to get fúcked, proper fúcked.

The DUP are being played and we'll be the ones who suffer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 16, 2022, 02:21:20 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 01:30:56 PM
Plus using the threat of violence to put pressure on the EU, as well as saying the north can't get a 'government' up and running because of it etc.

It's unreal - you'd have thought (if you didn't know) that the tories had no input at all in all of this!

I don't understand why no one mentions that the alternative has also got a threat of violence!

Yes JC I have pretty much no doubt that is what will happen  >:( I don't know exactly how we're getting fúcked but we're getting fúcked and that is all I know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on May 16, 2022, 02:21:33 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 16, 2022, 02:20:10 PM
Quote from: Main Street on May 16, 2022, 02:08:08 PM
The DUP are the pawns yet again, this time a thankless task working hard to make Johnson look good in front of his tory brexit zealots as he battles with the EU to save the Union.

We're all pawns to the ERG and their goon Boris. We're going to get fúcked, proper fúcked.

The DUP are being played and we'll be the ones who suffer.

Yep.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 02:34:17 PM
I think we need somebody to come and collerate all the benefits etc. of the protocol.

Just seems to be one-way traffic regarding the 'no' men - Allister and Bryson et. al on all media outlets.

I mean there was a report last week stating that the north is out performing the rest of the 'uk' but I heard it mentioned once on the radio.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 16, 2022, 02:52:53 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 02:34:17 PM
I think we need somebody to come and collerate all the benefits etc. of the protocol.

Just seems to be one-way traffic regarding the 'no' men - Allister and Bryson et. al on all media outlets.

I mean there was a report last week stating that the north is out performing the rest of the 'uk' but I heard it mentioned once on the radio.

Exactly this.

Wrightbus CEO extolling the virtues of the protocol sunk Sammy Wilson below the waterline, but I bet it's not getting the coverage it deserves.

The farmers and fishermen need to grow a set of balls and get out there because if they don't they're going to get fúcked too.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 03:06:27 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 16, 2022, 02:52:53 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 02:34:17 PM
I think we need somebody to come and collerate all the benefits etc. of the protocol.

Just seems to be one-way traffic regarding the 'no' men - Allister and Bryson et. al on all media outlets.

I mean there was a report last week stating that the north is out performing the rest of the 'uk' but I heard it mentioned once on the radio.

Exactly this.

Wrightbus CEO extolling the virtues of the protocol sunk Sammy Wilson below the waterline, but I bet it's not getting the coverage it deserves.

The farmers and fishermen need to grow a set of balls and get out there because if they don't they're going to get fúcked too.

100% correct JC.

I forgot about the farmers! They're getting a good deal from the EU currently. Boris' government won't give half of that out to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 16, 2022, 04:25:47 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 16, 2022, 02:52:53 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 02:34:17 PM
I think we need somebody to come and collerate all the benefits etc. of the protocol.

Just seems to be one-way traffic regarding the 'no' men - Allister and Bryson et. al on all media outlets.

I mean there was a report last week stating that the north is out performing the rest of the 'uk' but I heard it mentioned once on the radio.

Exactly this.

Wrightbus CEO extolling the virtues of the protocol sunk Sammy Wilson below the waterline, but I bet it's not getting the coverage it deserves.

The farmers and fishermen need to grow a set of balls and get out there because if they don't they're going to get fúcked too.

The farmers industry body is the UFU. It's basically and Orange Lodge. The vast majority of farmers voted for Brexit, especially Dairy farmers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on May 16, 2022, 04:48:18 PM
Quote from: trailer on May 16, 2022, 04:25:47 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 16, 2022, 02:52:53 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 02:34:17 PM
I think we need somebody to come and collerate all the benefits etc. of the protocol.

Just seems to be one-way traffic regarding the 'no' men - Allister and Bryson et. al on all media outlets.

I mean there was a report last week stating that the north is out performing the rest of the 'uk' but I heard it mentioned once on the radio.

Exactly this.

Wrightbus CEO extolling the virtues of the protocol sunk Sammy Wilson below the waterline, but I bet it's not getting the coverage it deserves.

The farmers and fishermen need to grow a set of balls and get out there because if they don't they're going to get fúcked too.

The farmers industry body is the UFU. It's basically and Orange Lodge. The vast majority of farmers voted for Brexit, especially Dairy farmers.

Based on Farmer's Journal, Victor Chestnutt seems to care more about breeder shows in England. Takes for granted the EU access protocol provides. Would get some wake-up call if they lost it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 16, 2022, 04:52:50 PM
Quote from: weareros on May 16, 2022, 04:48:18 PM
Quote from: trailer on May 16, 2022, 04:25:47 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 16, 2022, 02:52:53 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 02:34:17 PM
I think we need somebody to come and collerate all the benefits etc. of the protocol.

Just seems to be one-way traffic regarding the 'no' men - Allister and Bryson et. al on all media outlets.

I mean there was a report last week stating that the north is out performing the rest of the 'uk' but I heard it mentioned once on the radio.

Exactly this.

Wrightbus CEO extolling the virtues of the protocol sunk Sammy Wilson below the waterline, but I bet it's not getting the coverage it deserves.

The farmers and fishermen need to grow a set of balls and get out there because if they don't they're going to get fúcked too.

The farmers industry body is the UFU. It's basically and Orange Lodge. The vast majority of farmers voted for Brexit, especially Dairy farmers.

Based on Farmer's Journal, Victor Chestnutt seems to care more about breeder shows in England. Takes for granted the EU access protocol provides. Would get some wake-up call if they lost it.

Victor only cares about self promotion and the coverage he gets.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 05:03:00 PM
Quote from: weareros on May 16, 2022, 04:48:18 PM
Quote from: trailer on May 16, 2022, 04:25:47 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 16, 2022, 02:52:53 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 16, 2022, 02:34:17 PM
I think we need somebody to come and collerate all the benefits etc. of the protocol.

Just seems to be one-way traffic regarding the 'no' men - Allister and Bryson et. al on all media outlets.

I mean there was a report last week stating that the north is out performing the rest of the 'uk' but I heard it mentioned once on the radio.

Exactly this.

Wrightbus CEO extolling the virtues of the protocol sunk Sammy Wilson below the waterline, but I bet it's not getting the coverage it deserves.

The farmers and fishermen need to grow a set of balls and get out there because if they don't they're going to get fúcked too.

The farmers industry body is the UFU. It's basically and Orange Lodge. The vast majority of farmers voted for Brexit, especially Dairy farmers.

Based on Farmer's Journal, Victor Chestnutt seems to care more about breeder shows in England. Takes for granted the EU access protocol provides. Would get some wake-up call if they lost it.

Again, there should be a report done on how much the farmers will lose out on - but I suppose Borris' boys will spoof how much they'll be giving back to the farmers when it all kicks in.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: An Watcher on May 16, 2022, 05:08:57 PM
My initial thoughts are to pull the whole thing down to feck.  Sicken your hole.  Get the border poll tonight and there'd be a united ireland in the morning.   Aaaaargh
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 16, 2022, 05:18:24 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on May 16, 2022, 05:08:57 PM
My initial thoughts are to pull the whole thing down to feck.  Sicken your hole.  Get the border poll tonight and there'd be a united ireland in the morning.   Aaaaargh

Yes and No.
The Nationalist parties should put an ultimatum to the DUP and the British government. Either work Stormont and provide good stable government or it is gone forever and they will both come together to help form a citizens assembly with a view to a Unity referendum and reunification by 2030.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on May 16, 2022, 10:59:03 PM
The EU got too much shit going on in Ukraine affecting them that they not pay much attention to the UK. Johnson, you wouldn't trust him if you were related to him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 17, 2022, 09:36:11 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 16, 2022, 05:18:24 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on May 16, 2022, 05:08:57 PM
My initial thoughts are to pull the whole thing down to feck.  Sicken your hole.  Get the border poll tonight and there'd be a united ireland in the morning.   Aaaaargh

Yes and No.
The Nationalist parties should put an ultimatum to the DUP and the British government. Either work Stormont and provide good stable government or it is gone forever and they will both come together to help form a citizens assembly with a view to a Unity referendum and reunification by 2030.

Who will both come together to form a citizens assembly??

I dunno where this optimism for a United Ireland is coming from there is no evidence that it would be even be close to 50% for reunification!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 17, 2022, 09:44:30 AM
I agree with this. It's a work in progress and Boris and the DUP have furthered the cause by years but it is still a way away!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on May 17, 2022, 10:10:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on May 17, 2022, 09:44:30 AM
I agree with this. It's a work in progress and Boris and the DUP have furthered the cause by years but it is still a way away!

About 40% in the north id say, need all the over 50s to die off, the NHS extolling, dole scamming , look at shape of the "Banana republic" type
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 17, 2022, 10:25:03 AM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on May 17, 2022, 10:10:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on May 17, 2022, 09:44:30 AM
I agree with this. It's a work in progress and Boris and the DUP have furthered the cause by years but it is still a way away!

About 40% in the north id say, need all the over 50s to die off, the NHS extolling, dole scamming , look at shape of the "Banana republic" type


The economic arguments have to stack up and if the DUP get their way on the protocol it will most definitely be in the vast majority of peoples and businesses interest for a new Ireland inside the EU.

GB has turned itself into a basket case, but they haven't realised it yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on May 17, 2022, 11:13:04 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on May 17, 2022, 10:25:03 AM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on May 17, 2022, 10:10:03 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on May 17, 2022, 09:44:30 AM
I agree with this. It's a work in progress and Boris and the DUP have furthered the cause by years but it is still a way away!

About 40% in the north id say, need all the over 50s to die off, the NHS extolling, dole scamming , look at shape of the "Banana republic" type


The economic arguments have to stack up and if the DUP get their way on the protocol it will most definitely be in the vast majority of peoples and businesses interest for a new Ireland inside the EU.

GB has turned itself into a basket case, but they haven't realised it yet.

Totally agree
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 17, 2022, 11:22:56 AM
I'm exasperated with Stormont. It's manufactured crisis after manufactured crisis. I think at this point it's unworkable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on May 17, 2022, 11:30:34 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 17, 2022, 11:22:56 AM
I'm exasperated with Stormont. It's manufactured crisis after manufactured crisis. I think at this point it's unworkable.

Thinking the same.  It isn't possible to partner with the DUP in power sharing, it means instability is in-built into the institutions.  On the flip side, we hear the ongoing calls for restoration of Stormont so cost of living, the health service etc. can be sorted.  I don't think the assembly have the ability to sort it, neither financially or otherwise.  Their track record is not one to write home about.

Today we will hear Truss announce new legislation to override parts of the protocol ... that will give the DUP the out they need to go back into government, as it's all about getting out of the corner they've placed themselves in.  That legislation will never be enacted, so nothing will change fundamentally ... protocol will still be in place, DUP will find something else to posture about.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 17, 2022, 11:51:56 AM
Quote from: balladmaker on May 17, 2022, 11:30:34 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 17, 2022, 11:22:56 AM
I'm exasperated with Stormont. It's manufactured crisis after manufactured crisis. I think at this point it's unworkable.

Thinking the same.  It isn't possible to partner with the DUP in power sharing, it means instability is in-built into the institutions.  On the flip side, we hear the ongoing calls for restoration of Stormont so cost of living, the health service etc. can be sorted.  I don't think the assembly have the ability to sort it, neither financially or otherwise.  Their track record is not one to write home about.

Today we will hear Truss announce new legislation to override parts of the protocol ... that will give the DUP the out they need to go back into government, as it's all about getting out of the corner they've placed themselves in.  That legislation will never be enacted, so nothing will change fundamentally ... protocol will still be in place, DUP will find something else to posture about.

I think the timelines for Truss's bullshít is a problem for the DUP as it'll take at least a year or two to enact and Boris will be long gone by then.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 17, 2022, 11:55:23 AM
He should be long gone by now but you'd never know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 17, 2022, 12:14:52 PM
Caught about two minutes of The View last night, the political commentator said that Boris is like the Snake from the Jungle Book...

Trust in me ssssssss I spat my tea out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on May 17, 2022, 01:37:21 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 17, 2022, 09:36:11 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 16, 2022, 05:18:24 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on May 16, 2022, 05:08:57 PM
My initial thoughts are to pull the whole thing down to feck.  Sicken your hole.  Get the border poll tonight and there'd be a united ireland in the morning.   Aaaaargh

Yes and No.
The Nationalist parties should put an ultimatum to the DUP and the British government. Either work Stormont and provide good stable government or it is gone forever and they will both come together to help form a citizens assembly with a view to a Unity referendum and reunification by 2030.

Who will both come together to form a citizens assembly??

I dunno where this optimism for a United Ireland is coming from there is no evidence that it would be even be close to 50% for reunification!

I do wonder if too much credence is being given to that last poll by Liverpool University. I even saw Fintan O'Toole quoting the lowly 30% number at the weekend. But LucidTalk polls have both sides in 40s and Lord Ashcroft who is Tory pollster has had UI in high 40s. This is all without anyone seeing a plan. The other interesting stat is the Alliance transferring higher to Nationalist than Unionist. And the final interesting stat is when you look at the demographics the Pro-UK vote is heavy 60+. Ten years will make a big difference to those numbers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 17, 2022, 01:48:08 PM
Quote from: weareros on May 17, 2022, 01:37:21 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 17, 2022, 09:36:11 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 16, 2022, 05:18:24 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on May 16, 2022, 05:08:57 PM
My initial thoughts are to pull the whole thing down to feck.  Sicken your hole.  Get the border poll tonight and there'd be a united ireland in the morning.   Aaaaargh

Yes and No.
The Nationalist parties should put an ultimatum to the DUP and the British government. Either work Stormont and provide good stable government or it is gone forever and they will both come together to help form a citizens assembly with a view to a Unity referendum and reunification by 2030.

Who will both come together to form a citizens assembly??

I dunno where this optimism for a United Ireland is coming from there is no evidence that it would be even be close to 50% for reunification!

I do wonder if too much credence is being given to that last poll by Liverpool University. I even saw Fintan O'Toole quoting the lowly 30% number at the weekend. But LucidTalk polls have both sides in 40s and Lord Ashcroft who is Tory pollster has had UI in high 40s. This is all without anyone seeing a plan. The other interesting stat is the Alliance transferring higher to Nationalist than Unionist. And the final interesting stat is when you look at the demographics the Pro-UK vote is heavy 60+. Ten years will make a big difference to those numbers.

I'd asked that question in the AE election thread as it didn't make sense to me that SF more or less held their vote, the Alliance made huge gains and the SDLP and UUP took a battering.

There had to be areas like NA, South and North Belfast where nationalists were voting Alliance.

Colm needs to get his head around that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 17, 2022, 01:50:35 PM
Strangford too JC.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on May 17, 2022, 01:54:13 PM
Quote from: weareros on May 17, 2022, 01:37:21 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 17, 2022, 09:36:11 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 16, 2022, 05:18:24 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on May 16, 2022, 05:08:57 PM
My initial thoughts are to pull the whole thing down to feck.  Sicken your hole.  Get the border poll tonight and there'd be a united ireland in the morning.   Aaaaargh

Yes and No.
The Nationalist parties should put an ultimatum to the DUP and the British government. Either work Stormont and provide good stable government or it is gone forever and they will both come together to help form a citizens assembly with a view to a Unity referendum and reunification by 2030.

Who will both come together to form a citizens assembly??

I dunno where this optimism for a United Ireland is coming from there is no evidence that it would be even be close to 50% for reunification!

I do wonder if too much credence is being given to that last poll by Liverpool University. I even saw Fintan O'Toole quoting the lowly 30% number at the weekend. But LucidTalk polls have both sides in 40s and Lord Ashcroft who is Tory pollster has had UI in high 40s. This is all without anyone seeing a plan. The other interesting stat is the Alliance transferring higher to Nationalist than Unionist. And the final interesting stat is when you look at the demographics the Pro-UK vote is heavy 60+. Ten years will make a big difference to those numbers.

It will be difficult to push it over the line in 15 years, but heres hoping, so many ups and downs in politics so God knows where things will be even this time next year. I live in a strong nationalist city and it is very very rarely subject of conversation, that is not to say its not on peoples minds. People talk daily about NHS, debt, jobs, inflation, brexit, fuel poverty but it would be very very odd time the conversation is finished with a conclusion centering on a UI. We need to be realistic if we want to put proper plan in place.

This chat is not a reflection of society
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 17, 2022, 03:00:15 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on May 17, 2022, 01:50:35 PM
Strangford too JC.

Most definitely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on May 17, 2022, 04:18:49 PM
Quote from: weareros on May 17, 2022, 01:37:21 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 17, 2022, 09:36:11 AM
Quote from: trailer on May 16, 2022, 05:18:24 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on May 16, 2022, 05:08:57 PM
My initial thoughts are to pull the whole thing down to feck.  Sicken your hole.  Get the border poll tonight and there'd be a united ireland in the morning.   Aaaaargh

Yes and No.
The Nationalist parties should put an ultimatum to the DUP and the British government. Either work Stormont and provide good stable government or it is gone forever and they will both come together to help form a citizens assembly with a view to a Unity referendum and reunification by 2030.

Who will both come together to form a citizens assembly??

I dunno where this optimism for a United Ireland is coming from there is no evidence that it would be even be close to 50% for reunification!

I do wonder if too much credence is being given to that last poll by Liverpool University. I even saw Fintan O'Toole quoting the lowly 30% number at the weekend. But LucidTalk polls have both sides in 40s and Lord Ashcroft who is Tory pollster has had UI in high 40s. This is all without anyone seeing a plan. The other interesting stat is the Alliance transferring higher to Nationalist than Unionist. And the final interesting stat is when you look at the demographics the Pro-UK vote is heavy 60+. Ten years will make a big difference to those numbers.

There was little enough support for Brexit but if you can set out what a UI might look like and talk about it as an actual reality it could bring people on board. At this stage for most people a UI is pie in the sky. If the conversation starts to get real then that will start to focus minds, on both sides and none.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on May 17, 2022, 04:41:51 PM
Conversation has started - slowly but surely.

Needs more planning and that obviously means white papers from the government in the 26 counties. They're clearly not interested as they don't want to be pusging anything that'll help SF.

When SF get into government in the south, there might be more planning for it in a proper manner.  Until then, then it'll just be driven ad-hoc by various organisations etc.

As I say, it's a start and a lot more discussion around it in 2022 than, say 2017, but a lot more to do to give us a roadmap for the future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on May 18, 2022, 02:14:27 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 17, 2022, 04:41:51 PM
Conversation has started - slowly but surely.

Needs more planning and that obviously means white papers from the government in the 26 counties. They're clearly not interested as they don't want to be pusging anything that'll help SF.

When SF get into government in the south, there might be more planning for it in a proper manner.  Until then, then it'll just be driven ad-hoc by various organisations etc.

As I say, it's a start and a lot more discussion around it in 2022 than, say 2017, but a lot more to do to give us a roadmap for the future.

Unionism's problem with partaking in the conversation is once they have, there is only one direction of travel associated with it and one final destination.  To partake in the conversation is to acknowledge the planning for unification has commenced.  Unionism either decides to carve out their piece in a new Ireland e.g. continued political links with Westminster via some northern body ... or stay on the outside which unfortunately is where the DUP will choose to stay.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on May 23, 2022, 08:55:58 PM
Just when BJ thought he was home-free these photos emerge; think he could be really on a sticky wicket now.

https://www.rte.ie/news/uk/2022/0523/1300709-boris-johnson-party/

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on May 23, 2022, 09:02:23 PM
Quote from: mouview on May 23, 2022, 08:55:58 PM
Just when BJ thought he was home-free these photos emerge; think he could be really on a sticky wicket now.

https://www.rte.ie/news/uk/2022/0523/1300709-boris-johnson-party/

I got married that week and couldn't have a reception. I was only allowed immediate family in the chapel.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Bord na Mona man on May 24, 2022, 12:10:50 AM
Quote from: mouview on May 23, 2022, 08:55:58 PM
Just when BJ thought he was home-free these photos emerge; think he could be really on a sticky wicket now.

https://www.rte.ie/news/uk/2022/0523/1300709-boris-johnson-party/
This will finish Johnson. Like all the other times he was finished.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 24, 2022, 07:58:25 AM
At this point it does look like only something like actual dead bodies would finish him!!

This doesn't reflect well on the met. They are a shitty shitty organisation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on May 24, 2022, 08:53:09 AM
Doesn't reflect well on the Tory party who continue to support a lying, lawbreaking leader. They're worse than the Met.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on May 24, 2022, 09:06:20 AM
Quote from: mouview on May 24, 2022, 08:53:09 AM
Doesn't reflect well on the Tory party who continue to support a lying, lawbreaking leader. They're worse than the Met.

I think Johnson will ride this one out along with the Gray report.

The client media are already spinning that's shes going to do a political hatchet job on him and even the wiping they got in the council elections wasn't as bad as anticipated as Labour failed to get the vote out in the North of England.

The Torys don't give a fúck for the cost of living or anything like that, yet play the immigrant card every once in a while and that'll suffice to keep the base happy.

If we weren't tied to these charlatans I wouldn't give a shiny shíte for them, but sadly we are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 26, 2022, 09:58:47 AM
https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/politics/arid-40881512.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on May 26, 2022, 11:50:55 AM
I'm no economist but if the Govt are pumping £30bn into the economy how exactly does that stave off inflation will that not make it worse?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on May 26, 2022, 12:48:53 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 26, 2022, 11:50:55 AM
I'm no economist but if the Govt are pumping £30bn into the economy how exactly does that stave off inflation will that not make it worse?

Of course it makes it worse. But people need to be able to pay their bills and if they do not get some loot off the government then they will be looking for pay increases.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 26, 2022, 02:39:50 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 26, 2022, 12:48:53 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 26, 2022, 11:50:55 AM
I'm no economist but if the Govt are pumping £30bn into the economy how exactly does that stave off inflation will that not make it worse?

Of course it makes it worse. But people need to be able to pay their bills and if they do not get some loot off the government then they will be looking for pay increases.

Are they not making that money back from a winfall tax from these companies that are making billions off the back of people using their energy?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on May 27, 2022, 12:49:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 26, 2022, 02:39:50 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 26, 2022, 12:48:53 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 26, 2022, 11:50:55 AM
I'm no economist but if the Govt are pumping £30bn into the economy how exactly does that stave off inflation will that not make it worse?

Of course it makes it worse. But people need to be able to pay their bills and if they do not get some loot off the government then they will be looking for pay increases.

Are they not making that money back from a winfall tax from these companies that are making billions off the back of people using their energy?
Who are the "they",  which government is being referred to here?
Surely when somebody on this forum writes "the Government are pumping"  it's referring to the Irish gov, even if the sum of money involved would only be used in the context of Government using state resources in order to bail out failed corrupt banks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on May 27, 2022, 02:12:43 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 27, 2022, 12:49:37 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 26, 2022, 02:39:50 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 26, 2022, 12:48:53 PM
Quote from: screenexile on May 26, 2022, 11:50:55 AM
I'm no economist but if the Govt are pumping £30bn into the economy how exactly does that stave off inflation will that not make it worse?

Of course it makes it worse. But people need to be able to pay their bills and if they do not get some loot off the government then they will be looking for pay increases.

Are they not making that money back from a winfall tax from these companies that are making billions off the back of people using their energy?
Who are the "they",  which government is being referred to here?
Surely when somebody on this forum writes "the Government are pumping"  it's referring to the Irish gov, even if the sum of money involved would only be used in the context of Government using state resources in order to bail out failed corrupt banks.

in case you haven't noticed, this board is mainly nordies who refer to westminster as 'the government'  ::)

this is so prevalent in society there that nobody would even think of the dublin administration

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on May 28, 2022, 02:16:33 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

that's the setup/mindset in the north, ingrained through media and education, britain is the default

you only have to read the posts on here to see the language used

Irish passport, Irish government, Irish president etc  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on May 28, 2022, 08:50:09 AM
Quote from: Mikhail Prokhorov on May 28, 2022, 02:16:33 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

that's the setup/mindset in the north, ingrained through media and education, britain is the default

you only have to read the posts on here to see the language used

Irish passport, Irish government, Irish president etc  ::)

Most people use the phrase 'northern ireland' when posting on here but never seem to use it when speaking.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 28, 2022, 09:36:32 AM
Quote from: Mikhail Prokhorov on May 28, 2022, 02:16:33 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

that's the setup/mindset in the north, ingrained through media and education, britain is the default

you only have to read the posts on here to see the language used

Irish passport, Irish government, Irish president etc  ::)

Usual shite from you.

Yes our education system taught us we are all brits and should love the queen and adore the mainland  ::) GSTQ.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 28, 2022, 10:22:48 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

Yeah, the same Irish government that turned a blind eye to the atrocities that went on in the north of the island, that Irish government that was glad to partition the country. They seem a lovely bunch to be fair
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on May 28, 2022, 11:03:45 AM
Partition happened in 1920.
"Southern Ireland" which was still born, became the Irish Free State in 1922
None of the present Government were around then.
If there was no Irish Independent State and no Irish Government no one from the 6 Cos could have Irish Citizenship or an Irish passport.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on May 30, 2022, 12:15:11 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 28, 2022, 10:22:48 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

Yeah, the same Irish government that turned a blind eye to the atrocities that went on in the north of the island, that Irish government that was glad to partition the country. They seem a lovely bunch to be fair
Nordies have long memories and grievances aplenty for events which happened 100 years ago ;D 
Is Michael D  your president or not?
When it comes to referring to the government, I'd refer to them as the ('effin) government for better or for worse, if I am referring to a foreign government I'd name the country -  French, British etc.
There is no way that I would refer to the British government as the government.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mikhail Prokhorov on May 30, 2022, 12:32:11 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 30, 2022, 12:15:11 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 28, 2022, 10:22:48 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

Yeah, the same Irish government that turned a blind eye to the atrocities that went on in the north of the island, that Irish government that was glad to partition the country. They seem a lovely bunch to be fair
Nordies have long memories and grievances aplenty for events which happened 100 years ago ;D 
Is Michael D  your president or not?
When it comes to referring to the government, I'd refer to them as the ('effin) government for better or for worse, if I am referring to a foreign government I'd name the country -  French, British etc.
There is no way that I would refer to the British government as the government.

The north want no part of a 32 county independent republic,

too wedded to a status quo which suits them just fine   ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on May 30, 2022, 12:44:24 AM
Quote from: Mikhail Prokhorov on May 30, 2022, 12:32:11 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 30, 2022, 12:15:11 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 28, 2022, 10:22:48 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

Yeah, the same Irish government that turned a blind eye to the atrocities that went on in the north of the island, that Irish government that was glad to partition the country. They seem a lovely bunch to be fair
Nordies have long memories and grievances aplenty for events which happened 100 years ago ;D 
Is Michael D  your president or not?
When it comes to referring to the government, I'd refer to them as the ('effin) government for better or for worse, if I am referring to a foreign government I'd name the country -  French, British etc.
There is no way that I would refer to the British government as the government.

The north want no part of a 32 county independent republic,

too wedded to a status quo which suits them just fine   ::)

You talk some shite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on May 30, 2022, 07:28:34 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 30, 2022, 12:15:11 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 28, 2022, 10:22:48 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

Yeah, the same Irish government that turned a blind eye to the atrocities that went on in the north of the island, that Irish government that was glad to partition the country. They seem a lovely bunch to be fair
Nordies have long memories and grievances aplenty for events which happened 100 years ago ;D 
Is Michael D  your president or not?
When it comes to referring to the government, I'd refer to them as the ('effin) government for better or for worse, if I am referring to a foreign government I'd name the country -  French, British etc.
There is no way that I would refer to the British government as the government.
And those in the south have very short selected memories,  cowardice would be another word I'd use
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on May 30, 2022, 07:55:52 AM
Quote from: red hander on May 30, 2022, 12:44:24 AM
Quote from: Mikhail Prokhorov on May 30, 2022, 12:32:11 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 30, 2022, 12:15:11 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 28, 2022, 10:22:48 AM
Quote from: Main Street on May 28, 2022, 01:21:09 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on May 27, 2022, 05:46:53 PM
Some golden handshakes going on in the Irish government at the minute... some jobs for the boys lol.. brilliant set up going on
You don't have to specify that it's the Irish gov, just mention the government. We are Irish, this is Ireland, not Britain, France or Germany, the default government is the Irish government.
i.e. if you consider that Michael D is your president.

Yeah, the same Irish government that turned a blind eye to the atrocities that went on in the north of the island, that Irish government that was glad to partition the country. They seem a lovely bunch to be fair
Nordies have long memories and grievances aplenty for events which happened 100 years ago ;D 
Is Michael D  your president or not?
When it comes to referring to the government, I'd refer to them as the ('effin) government for better or for worse, if I am referring to a foreign government I'd name the country -  French, British etc.
There is no way that I would refer to the British government as the government.

The north want no part of a 32 county independent republic,

too wedded to a status quo which suits them just fine   ::)

You talk some shite.

Unbelievable. Seems to have seen one or two nationalist posts that offended him so we're all the same now and more or less unionists. Absolute relentless bollocks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 01, 2022, 04:54:36 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-61658245?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on June 07, 2022, 06:01:34 PM
And now north of Ireland phone chargers could be different from phone chargers in Britain ... thanks to Bexit ... how will the DUP cope ...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-61720276 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-61720276)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 07, 2022, 07:53:02 PM
If Boris goes so will the cabinet of muppets. Brexit is damaging the UK economy. OWC is powering ahead of England.
Brexit might be seriously adjusted eg Single Market when Boris goes.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on June 07, 2022, 09:50:08 PM
Quote from: balladmaker on June 07, 2022, 06:01:34 PM
And now north of Ireland phone chargers could be different from phone chargers in Britain ... thanks to Bexit ... how will the DUP cope ...

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-61720276 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-61720276)

If only the EU would abolish exclusive sports rights.

It's clearly not in the consumers interest to have to pay several subscriptions to services to see matches in the same competition.

That'd put the DUP in a real bind, as many of their voters would see a real tangible benefit to EU rules and regs - they're saving 40-50 quid a month on a separate BT/Sky/Premier Sports sub.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on June 14, 2022, 11:23:56 AM
This is basically all about jockeying for places in the Tory party.

Domestic house-keeping.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on June 14, 2022, 11:38:29 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....

i think the  tories want all this so they can say to their right wing voters that they at war with foreigners
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on June 14, 2022, 11:47:46 AM
Quote from: Eire90 on June 14, 2022, 11:38:29 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....

i think the  tories want all this so they can say to their right wing voters that they at war with foreigners

And their reasons for doing so would seem to be to create a smokescreen that shields embezzlement and fraud of increasingly outlandish levels, from the front pages.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on June 14, 2022, 12:11:09 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on June 14, 2022, 11:47:46 AM
Quote from: Eire90 on June 14, 2022, 11:38:29 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....

i think the  tories want all this so they can say to their right wing voters that they at war with foreigners

And their reasons for doing so would seem to be to create a smokescreen that shields embezzlement and fraud of increasingly outlandish levels, from the front pages.

Exactly 100% correct, also they want to push as hard and deep into a fuckup as they can because invariably things will self correct to some degree down the line if a Lib/Lab/SNP coalition ever get in, as much damage as you can now so that any new administration will waste years inching it back, it'll never return to anything close to what it was pre-Brexit or any of the soft Brexit damage limitation alternatives, like Thatcher previously, do so much wrecking that it can't possibly be undone, and line the pockets of your conies and elites when doing it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on June 14, 2022, 06:15:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....
Tariffs imposed on Scottish Whiskey? That's Scotland who voted to remain, on the surface that sounds like a brainless sanction.

I listened to Sammy in a debate this morning on ulster radio, it was mentioned to him that the Wright Bros chairperson? came out strongly in favour of the NI protocol and obviously stated that they have made huge contracts all over the EU. Sammy said they could have made those contracts without the protocol in place by using the trade agreement in place.  Not mentioned was that signing the protocol allowed for the trade agreement to be put into place. Otherwise the Wright bros ability to fulfill contracts would be burdened by paperwork and probable tariffs making them less competitive.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on June 15, 2022, 12:49:35 PM
Quote from: Main Street on June 14, 2022, 06:15:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....
Tariffs imposed on Scottish Whiskey? That's Scotland who voted to remain, on the surface that sounds like a brainless sanction.

I listened to Sammy in a debate this morning on ulster radio, it was mentioned to him that the Wright Bros chairperson? came out strongly in favour of the NI protocol and obviously stated that they have made huge contracts all over the EU. Sammy said they could have made those contracts without the protocol in place by using the trade agreement in place.  Not mentioned was that signing the protocol allowed for the trade agreement to be put into place. Otherwise the Wright bros ability to fulfill contracts would be burdened by paperwork and probable tariffs making them less competitive.

Not so brainless if you play the long game. Scottish Indy 2.0 has been launched.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on June 15, 2022, 01:09:14 PM
Quote from: Main Street on June 14, 2022, 06:15:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....
Tariffs imposed on Scottish Whiskey? That's Scotland who voted to remain, on the surface that sounds like a brainless sanction.

I listened to Sammy in a debate this morning on ulster radio, it was mentioned to him that the Wright Bros chairperson? came out strongly in favour of the NI protocol and obviously stated that they have made huge contracts all over the EU. Sammy said they could have made those contracts without the protocol in place by using the trade agreement in place.  Not mentioned was that signing the protocol allowed for the trade agreement to be put into place. Otherwise the Wright bros ability to fulfill contracts would be burdened by paperwork and probable tariffs making them less competitive.

Tactically astute id say
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 15, 2022, 01:28:46 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 15, 2022, 12:49:35 PM
Quote from: Main Street on June 14, 2022, 06:15:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....
Tariffs imposed on Scottish Whiskey? That's Scotland who voted to remain, on the surface that sounds like a brainless sanction.

I listened to Sammy in a debate this morning on ulster radio, it was mentioned to him that the Wright Bros chairperson? came out strongly in favour of the NI protocol and obviously stated that they have made huge contracts all over the EU. Sammy said they could have made those contracts without the protocol in place by using the trade agreement in place.  Not mentioned was that signing the protocol allowed for the trade agreement to be put into place. Otherwise the Wright bros ability to fulfill contracts would be burdened by paperwork and probable tariffs making them less competitive.

Not so brainless if you play the long game. Scottish Indy 2.0 has been launched.

Was Lord Frost of 20/20 hindsight and not taking blame for the shít deal he agreed to not something in the Scots Whisky association or the likes?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on June 15, 2022, 02:50:33 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 15, 2022, 12:49:35 PM
Quote from: Main Street on June 14, 2022, 06:15:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....
Tariffs imposed on Scottish Whiskey? That's Scotland who voted to remain, on the surface that sounds like a brainless sanction.

I listened to Sammy in a debate this morning on ulster radio, it was mentioned to him that the Wright Bros chairperson? came out strongly in favour of the NI protocol and obviously stated that they have made huge contracts all over the EU. Sammy said they could have made those contracts without the protocol in place by using the trade agreement in place.  Not mentioned was that signing the protocol allowed for the trade agreement to be put into place. Otherwise the Wright bros ability to fulfill contracts would be burdened by paperwork and probable tariffs making them less competitive.

Not so brainless if you play the long game. Scottish Indy 2.0 has been launched.
I see your point,  the perception that traditional Scotland business is being punished as a result of British gov shenanigans.  But somehow I doubt the EU could be in secret cahoots with the SNP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on June 15, 2022, 02:56:39 PM
I wonder how long the latest alliance of the rogues, the tory party and the DUP, can last?  I suppose the safe bet is the DUP ("won't get fooled again") will end up being chucked into yet another cesspit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on June 15, 2022, 03:23:10 PM
Quote from: Main Street on June 15, 2022, 02:56:39 PM
I wonder how long the latest alliance of the rogues, the tory party and the DUP can last?  I suppose the safe bet is the DUP ("won't get fooled again") will end up being chucked into yet another cesspit.

DUP sticking by Boris rather like a downtrodden housewife staying with a philandering husband, which isn't a bad analogy really..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 15, 2022, 04:31:46 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/1738957b-41d0-46f0-a8bb-fa7b3979dda5

As Sam McBride, Northern Ireland editor of the Belfast Telegraph, told a seminar this week: "If they do go back into government and they are betrayed by Boris Johnson, I think it's potentially . . . the end of the DUP as a serious force". 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 15, 2022, 04:33:14 PM
The Rwanda thing is a media spectacle. Seen to be hard on immigration without doing anything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 15, 2022, 08:33:27 PM
https://ft.com/content/2a11d759-36ba-488b-87af-cf8f6c636c20... 

Truss, a Remainer in the 2016 EU referendum, proposed in late March — with her eye on Johnson's slipping crown — unilateral legislation to rewrite key parts of the Brexit treaty. "The ERG was driving it," said one former Tory cabinet minister
The ERG wanted a permanent solution. For the Eurosceptics it was not just about fixing the border friction but also — as they saw it — "completing" Brexit: ending all remaining EU sway over Northern Ireland. Downing Street said this week that the legislation provided a "stable solution", including reducing the role of the ECJ to a bare minimum and removing checks on goods from Great Britain destined for Northern Ireland's shops.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on June 15, 2022, 09:22:45 PM
Quote from: Main Street on June 15, 2022, 02:50:33 PM
Quote from: GJL on June 15, 2022, 12:49:35 PM
Quote from: Main Street on June 14, 2022, 06:15:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....
Tariffs imposed on Scottish Whiskey? That's Scotland who voted to remain, on the surface that sounds like a brainless sanction.

I listened to Sammy in a debate this morning on ulster radio, it was mentioned to him that the Wright Bros chairperson? came out strongly in favour of the NI protocol and obviously stated that they have made huge contracts all over the EU. Sammy said they could have made those contracts without the protocol in place by using the trade agreement in place.  Not mentioned was that signing the protocol allowed for the trade agreement to be put into place. Otherwise the Wright bros ability to fulfill contracts would be burdened by paperwork and probable tariffs making them less competitive.

Not so brainless if you play the long game. Scottish Indy 2.0 has been launched.
I see your point,  the perception that traditional Scotland business is being punished as a result of British gov shenanigans.  But somehow I doubt the EU could be in secret cahoots with the SNP.
[/b]

In the current world I'd rule nothing out...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 15, 2022, 11:10:50 PM
The latest attorney general Braverman seems to be another ERG sycophant. Throwing out insults and being economical with the truth would appear to be a pre-requisite to hold a position of power in the current English government. It must be one of the most incompetent, chaotic governments anywhere in the world and it doesn't say much for Starmer that he hasn't been capable of sinking this government yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on June 15, 2022, 11:46:33 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 15, 2022, 11:10:50 PM
The latest attorney general Braverman seems to be another ERG sycophant. Throwing out insults and being economical with the truth would appear to be a pre-requisite to hold a position of power in the current English government. It must be one of the most incompetent, chaotic governments anywhere in the world and it doesn't say much for Starmer that he hasn't been capable of sinking this government yet.

There was actually disbelief in the higher levels at Whitehall such a mediocre lawyer was made attorney general. Just there as a 'yes woman'. Private Eye stuff on her would make laugh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 16, 2022, 09:12:23 AM
Quote from: red hander on June 15, 2022, 11:46:33 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 15, 2022, 11:10:50 PM
The latest attorney general Braverman seems to be another ERG sycophant. Throwing out insults and being economical with the truth would appear to be a pre-requisite to hold a position of power in the current English government. It must be one of the most incompetent, chaotic governments anywhere in the world and it doesn't say much for Starmer that he hasn't been capable of sinking this government yet.

There was actually disbelief in the higher levels at Whitehall such a mediocre lawyer was made attorney general. Just there as a 'yes woman'. Private Eye stuff on her would make laugh.

She was telling downright lies on Peston last night, NI is on the verge of civil war if you've believed her and our economy is doing worse than the rest of the UK....

The Labour lad was shaking his head in disbelief at her ramblings...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: GJL on June 16, 2022, 09:27:25 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 16, 2022, 09:12:23 AM
Quote from: red hander on June 15, 2022, 11:46:33 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 15, 2022, 11:10:50 PM
The latest attorney general Braverman seems to be another ERG sycophant. Throwing out insults and being economical with the truth would appear to be a pre-requisite to hold a position of power in the current English government. It must be one of the most incompetent, chaotic governments anywhere in the world and it doesn't say much for Starmer that he hasn't been capable of sinking this government yet.

There was actually disbelief in the higher levels at Whitehall such a mediocre lawyer was made attorney general. Just there as a 'yes woman'. Private Eye stuff on her would make laugh.

She was telling downright lies on Peston last night, NI is on the verge of civil war if you've believed her and our economy is doing worse than the rest of the UK....

The Labour lad was shaking his head in disbelief at her ramblings...

Seen that. Talking complete BS. Peston should have challenged her on the economy bit..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 16, 2022, 10:50:24 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 16, 2022, 09:12:23 AM
Quote from: red hander on June 15, 2022, 11:46:33 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on June 15, 2022, 11:10:50 PM
The latest attorney general Braverman seems to be another ERG sycophant. Throwing out insults and being economical with the truth would appear to be a pre-requisite to hold a position of power in the current English government. It must be one of the most incompetent, chaotic governments anywhere in the world and it doesn't say much for Starmer that he hasn't been capable of sinking this government yet.

There was actually disbelief in the higher levels at Whitehall such a mediocre lawyer was made attorney general. Just there as a 'yes woman'. Private Eye stuff on her would make laugh.

She was telling downright lies on Peston last night, NI is on the verge of civil war if you've believed her and our economy is doing worse than the rest of the UK....

The Labour lad was shaking his head in disbelief at her ramblings...
Braverman is an ideologue close to the ERG. Same as Patel. Way out of her depth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on June 16, 2022, 11:04:19 AM
I see wee Jeffrey taking a dig at Stephen Kelly and Manufacturing ni. On his Twitter feed, there's a lot of support, which is good to see.

The organistaion has the audacity to say the protocol is working for a lot of businesses with the best of both worlds.

Similiar to the dairy industry - things going well.

We need to hear more from these organisations.  A programme should be done on these companies and the benefits. 

Where are the investigative journalists at?

Again, there seems to be a campaign to silence these people from unionist politicians and their hench men.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on June 16, 2022, 11:17:17 AM
Quote from: marty34 on June 16, 2022, 11:04:19 AM
I see wee Jeffrey taking a dig at Stephen Kelly and Manufacturing ni. On his Twitter feed, there's a lot of support, which is good to see.

The organistaion has the audacity to say the protocol is working for a lot of businesses with the best of both worlds.

Similiar to the dairy industry - things going well.

We need to hear more from these organisations.  A programme should be done on these companies and the benefits. 

Where are the investigative journalists at?

Again, there seems to be a campaign to silence these people from unionist politicians and their hench men.

This is the slippery slope we are on at the moment in terms of disinformation. The truth of what is happening on the ground is being undermined by the ERG Tories and now the DUP. It has been happening here since the DUP election campaign where loyalists such as Bryson, Hoey, Holmes and Lowry have been deliberately attacking media outlets, BBC, judiciary, academics, business groupings etc to try and discredit any information. It's straight from the Steve Bannon/Trump playbook.

It is a deliberate tactic to increase division, fear and hatred. It might work for the Tories in England where the political system is run by the elites for the elites but I can't understand how the DUP think it is going to work here. I think people here, particularly in the centre ground are increasingly seeing them for what they are and the longer they continue to cosy up to priviliged English nationalists, the further they back themselves into a corner and leave themselves exposed for when they are no longer useful.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 16, 2022, 11:24:02 AM
It is an absolute shitshow at the minute. The dup are disgusting. They hide behind Christianity. What does Christianity make of liars?

Hugely divisive and quite worrying tbh.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on June 16, 2022, 11:39:08 AM
Read an article this morning that the Tories won't go any further with this new Brexit bill ripping up the protocol unless the DUP nominate a first minister.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tiempo on June 16, 2022, 11:43:30 AM
In the Tory dream world England is the 51st state of the US with all the trapping of corruption and greed. The billionaires in control of the Tory party are no different to the Russian oligarchs, asset stripping anything they come into contact with is their MO, taking the wealth of a nation and pocketing it.

I think the EU for their part see this and are happy to let England f**k itself up, but it has a desire to save Scotland and Ireland from this and in all likelihood will work surreptitiously to enable independence/reunification in the medium to long term.

What the Tories/little Englanders don't quite grasp is the dislike for England/Britain the world over for their imperial past, the best part of every country the world over would love to stick it to Britain and in time the US EU etc might just do that. Very bleak times ahead for genuine working class and blue collar people in Britain as the country descends into a pound shop version of Trumps America. Those at the low end of the spectrum in terms of income including the underclass, and ethnic minority groups and LGBT+ will have it worse again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 16, 2022, 12:29:18 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on June 16, 2022, 11:39:08 AM
Read an article this morning that the Tories won't go any further with this new Brexit bill ripping up the protocol unless the DUP nominate a first minister.

If the DUP don't go back into government with the Bill going through Westminster then there's no point to it as it doesn't solve the issues that the Torys think it will.

DUP need to be careful on this one as if they do go back then the bill mightn't pass or get watered down so much that it's useless, but once again Jeffrey has backed the DUP into a corner with no easy way out..

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: clonadmad on June 16, 2022, 12:39:53 PM
Quote from: Main Street on June 14, 2022, 06:15:59 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 14, 2022, 11:11:28 AM
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html (https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/news/eu-trade-officials-have-a-hit-list-of-uk-products-as-trade-war-looms-41749648.html)

Shít is going to get real for Boris and Truss if the EU start hitting UK manufacturing...

Lord Bamford won't be long off the phone if he can't get parts for his diggers....
Tariffs imposed on Scottish Whiskey? That's Scotland who voted to remain, on the surface that sounds like a brainless sanction.

I listened to Sammy in a debate this morning on ulster radio, it was mentioned to him that the Wright Bros chairperson? came out strongly in favour of the NI protocol and obviously stated that they have made huge contracts all over the EU. Sammy said they could have made those contracts without the protocol in place by using the trade agreement in place.  Not mentioned was that signing the protocol allowed for the trade agreement to be put into place. Otherwise the Wright bros ability to fulfill contracts would be burdened by paperwork and probable tariffs making them less competitive.

In the event of the worst case happening

The EU in conjunction with the Irish Government have a list drawn up of NI companies which won't have access to the single market

So the likes of Wrightbus will be subject to tariffs but also ROI companies such as Milk processors which utilise commercial input such as milk produced in NI will be restricted from using them in their products

One quote from a senior Irish civil servant involved in the process

"If the UK forces us to protect our economy to the detriment of the NI economy, we must .
There is no point have two basket-case economies on the island ".

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 16, 2022, 12:59:45 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 16, 2022, 12:29:18 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on June 16, 2022, 11:39:08 AM
Read an article this morning that the Tories won't go any further with this new Brexit bill ripping up the protocol unless the DUP nominate a first minister.

If the DUP don't go back into government with the Bill going through Westminster then there's no point to it as it doesn't solve the issues that the Torys think it will.

DUP need to be careful on this one as if they do go back then the bill mightn't pass or get watered down so much that it's useless, but once again Jeffrey has backed the DUP into a corner with no easy way out..
Who is behind the DUP ? They are  more extremist than the ERG. Why? DUP voters totally ignored.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on June 16, 2022, 03:50:03 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 16, 2022, 12:29:18 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on June 16, 2022, 11:39:08 AM
Read an article this morning that the Tories won't go any further with this new Brexit bill ripping up the protocol unless the DUP nominate a first minister.

If the DUP don't go back into government with the Bill going through Westminster then there's no point to it as it doesn't solve the issues that the Torys think it will.

DUP need to be careful on this one as if they do go back then the bill mightn't pass or get watered down so much that it's useless, but once again Jeffrey has backed the DUP into a corner with no easy way out..
The bill isn't supposed to be a solution to brexit issues, it's a red herring bill which will get liquefied, but for now  keeps the  EU conflict ongoing, placates ERG.  As it stands now he DUP are stuck between a rock and a hard place, staking their future on a Johnson promise.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: TabClear on June 16, 2022, 04:48:53 PM
Quote from: seafoid on June 16, 2022, 12:59:45 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 16, 2022, 12:29:18 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on June 16, 2022, 11:39:08 AM
Read an article this morning that the Tories won't go any further with this new Brexit bill ripping up the protocol unless the DUP nominate a first minister.

If the DUP don't go back into government with the Bill going through Westminster then there's no point to it as it doesn't solve the issues that the Torys think it will.

DUP need to be careful on this one as if they do go back then the bill mightn't pass or get watered down so much that it's useless, but once again Jeffrey has backed the DUP into a corner with no easy way out..
Who is behind the DUP ? They are  more extremist than the ERG. Why? DUP voters totally ignored.

Dont think Sir Jeffrey would want you to pull at that thread.......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on June 16, 2022, 06:05:56 PM
Quote from: tiempo on June 16, 2022, 11:43:30 AM
In the Tory dream world England is the 51st state of the US with all the trapping of corruption and greed. The billionaires in control of the Tory party are no different to the Russian oligarchs, asset stripping anything they come into contact with is their MO, taking the wealth of a nation and pocketing it.

I think the EU for their part see this and are happy to let England f**k itself up, but it has a desire to save Scotland and Ireland from this and in all likelihood will work surreptitiously to enable independence/reunification in the medium to long term.

What the Tories/little Englanders don't quite grasp is the dislike for England/Britain the world over for their imperial past, the best part of every country the world over would love to stick it to Britain and in time the US EU etc might just do that. Very bleak times ahead for genuine working class and blue collar people in Britain as the country descends into a pound shop version of Trumps America. Those at the low end of the spectrum in terms of income including the underclass, and ethnic minority groups and LGBT+ will have it worse again.

Unfortunately, a lot of the working class and blue collar people voted for the blond buffoon. Talk about turkeys and Christmas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 16, 2022, 09:47:03 PM
Quote from: red hander on June 16, 2022, 06:05:56 PM
Quote from: tiempo on June 16, 2022, 11:43:30 AM
In the Tory dream world England is the 51st state of the US with all the trapping of corruption and greed. The billionaires in control of the Tory party are no different to the Russian oligarchs, asset stripping anything they come into contact with is their MO, taking the wealth of a nation and pocketing it.

I think the EU for their part see this and are happy to let England f**k itself up, but it has a desire to save Scotland and Ireland from this and in all likelihood will work surreptitiously to enable independence/reunification in the medium to long term.

What the Tories/little Englanders don't quite grasp is the dislike for England/Britain the world over for their imperial past, the best part of every country the world over would love to stick it to Britain and in time the US EU etc might just do that. Very bleak times ahead for genuine working class and blue collar people in Britain as the country descends into a pound shop version of Trumps America. Those at the low end of the spectrum in terms of income including the underclass, and ethnic minority groups and LGBT+ will have it worse again.

Unfortunately, a lot of the working class and blue collar people voted for the blond buffoon. Talk about turkeys and Christmas.

https://youtu.be/KOY0UB6BoU4
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on June 23, 2022, 03:29:43 PM
I started this year as one of those lite green on the fence nationalists wanting to hedge by vote on a UI to see where my best interests were served (got castigated for it on another thread) I as of right now am so pissed off with the Tory Government, Boris, Brexit and the whole crock that I would vote yes and take the consequences.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on June 28, 2022, 08:23:38 AM
Boris's NI Protocol Bill passes it's second hearing in the HOC, now to the Lords....

Will the DUP now take their seats in Stormont and what will the other parties do now that this bill didn't have their consent??
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2022, 09:30:54 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 28, 2022, 08:23:38 AM
Boris's NI Protocol Bill passes it's second hearing in the HOC, now to the Lords....

Will the DUP now take their seats in Stormont and what will the other parties do now that this bill didn't have their consent??
It won't pass through the Lords. It's a negotiating tactic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on June 28, 2022, 11:02:28 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2022, 09:30:54 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 28, 2022, 08:23:38 AM
Boris's NI Protocol Bill passes it's second hearing in the HOC, now to the Lords....

Will the DUP now take their seats in Stormont and what will the other parties do now that this bill didn't have their consent??
It won't pass through the Lords. It's a negotiating tactic.

But won't the commons say thanks for the proof reading, but we'll just do it anyway.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on June 28, 2022, 12:01:51 PM
Quote from: Denn Forever on June 28, 2022, 11:02:28 AM
Quote from: seafoid on June 28, 2022, 09:30:54 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on June 28, 2022, 08:23:38 AM
Boris's NI Protocol Bill passes it's second hearing in the HOC, now to the Lords....

Will the DUP now take their seats in Stormont and what will the other parties do now that this bill didn't have their consent??
It won't pass through the Lords. It's a negotiating tactic.

But won't the commons say thanks for the proof reading, but we'll just do it anyway.

Will take more than a year, by which time Johnson won't be around. They really don't want a trade war with EU considering how Brexit has already made Brit economy a basket case.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on June 28, 2022, 12:07:47 PM
Does it have to go through a third reading first where it gets scrutinised. All Tories voted for it last night  but sounds like they will lose a few at next stage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on June 28, 2022, 12:36:49 PM
May speaks out strongly against it then abstains? Dont understand this shizzle at all.

Lots of abstainers who if theyd voted couldve meant a difference...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on June 28, 2022, 01:05:15 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on June 28, 2022, 12:36:49 PM
May speaks out strongly against it then abstains? Dont understand this shizzle at all.

Lots of abstainers who if theyd voted couldve meant a difference...

Teresa May is one of the most evil politicians on the planet. She ran the home office and talked about a hostile environment for immigrants. Evil bitch.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on June 28, 2022, 03:11:17 PM
Her opposition is all do do with Johnson knifing her between the shoulder blades rather than any great moralistic stance against the Brits' illegal actions. She's as poisonous as the rest of those Tory scum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 28, 2022, 09:26:28 PM
Brexit is a fóidín_mearaí. , which is a  spot of ground on which one is supposed to be led astray, a cause of confusion.
It's a clusterfuck. It makes everything worse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on June 29, 2022, 09:31:20 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/world/2022/0629/1307603-protocol-maroa-sefcovic/

EU would allow 'green lane' for goods into N Ireland - Šefčovič
Updated / Wednesday, 29 Jun 2022 20:32
The EU's chief Brexit negotiator Maroš Šefcovic speaking at a Bloomberg event
The EU's chief Brexit negotiator Maroš Šefcovic speaking at a Bloomberg event
By John Kilraine
London Correspondent

The EU would allow a green lane for goods being imported into Northern Ireland from Britain as part of a "robust offer" to resolve difficulties over the Protocol, according to its chief Brexit negotiator Maroš Šefčovič.

However Mr Šefčovič, speaking at a Bloomberg event, said it would not be possible to do away with checks completely.

He also said that the EU will not negotiate on the basis of the Northern Ireland Protocol Bill currently going through the British parliament which he said is a breach of international law.

Under the offer made last October and fleshed out two weeks ago he said the EU had gone the extra mile.

The proposals would reduce sanitary and phytosanitary checks by more than 80%, cut customs paperwork in half, create a green lane for goods destined for Northern Ireland, simpler certification and allow the movement of goods that had been restricted such as chilled meats.

"This robust offer can work, and it can work fast," he said, pointing out that the medicines supply issue had been resolved.

However he warned that the EU has its limits.

"We must protect the integrity of the EU's Single Market and our consumers," Mr Šefčovič said.

"It is simply unrealistic – and unfair – for London to expect that all barriers can be lifted when goods move to Northern Ireland from the rest of the UK.

"On this, the UK government needs to be honest at home and respectful vis-à-vis the EU. Zero checks is not an option."

He said there could be an option of putting a sticker on goods destined for Northern Ireland.

However he said the pre-Brexit reality is no longer an option.

"I can bring as many solutions to the table as possible, and I have done so, but I cannot force political will on someone else's behalf," Mr Šefčovič.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: An Watcher on June 30, 2022, 07:29:24 AM
And yet at the House of Commons they continually speak of the EU not shifting, being difficult etc.  Someone's not telling the truth and I know who I believe
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on June 30, 2022, 08:28:32 AM
It looks like they haven't even bothered trying to negotiate with the eu at all. The protocol is just something to stick two fingers up to the eu with. I dunno if they are looking leverage with it or what.

The lcc and the dup are pawns. Someone is getting shafted here and it is just a question of who. Let's hope it is the dup but who knows.

When you think they can't find someone as bad as they have they wheel out another one. Truss a shameless, self serving flat out liar as bad as most of the rest of them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on July 01, 2022, 04:55:47 PM
Quote from: An Watcher on June 30, 2022, 07:29:24 AM
And yet at the House of Commons they continually speak of the EU not shifting, being difficult etc.  Someone's not telling the truth and I know who I believe
This is not about the protocol, the lie that the EU is intransigent suits the internal politics of the tory party. There is a mix of jockeying for the leadership and hoping to win the next election by vilifying the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 01, 2022, 05:37:49 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/world/2022/0701/1307981-brexit-bill/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2022, 06:17:34 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/abc098e2-6529-44e8-9365-ef0a1ba70194

At every choice, Johnson has refused to dilute his Brexit vision for the sake of the Union. In the current row over the Northern Ireland protocol, which creates a trade barrier between the province and the rest of the UK, he could ease friction by adopting EU agri-food rules in the rest of the UK. But this would effectively kill hopes of other trade deals, notably with the US
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 01, 2022, 06:55:30 PM
Quote from: seafoid on July 01, 2022, 06:17:34 PM
https://www.ft.com/content/abc098e2-6529-44e8-9365-ef0a1ba70194

At every choice, Johnson has refused to dilute his Brexit vision for the sake of the Union. In the current row over the Northern Ireland protocol, which creates a trade barrier between the province and the rest of the UK, he could ease friction by adopting EU agri-food rules in the rest of the UK. But this would effectively kill hopes of other trade deals, notably with the US

He is likely not going to get a deal with the US anyway. But he won't get one if the Protocol is not rock solid and he is spending his time trying to give the impression that it is not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 01, 2022, 08:09:11 PM
With Brexit costing 4% of GDP annually, increasing inflation and deepening downturns plus volatility and inflation every 2 years , Brexit is a waste of time.
The gobshites who voted Leave will not benefit from it.
for Ireland , things work out sometimes

https://www.ft.com/content/abc098e2-6529-44e8-9365-ef0a1ba70194
And, beneath it all, is the Unionists' conviction that they are losing every battle. The Brexit they backed to loosen links to the Irish Republic has instead weakened ties with the UK.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on July 01, 2022, 09:57:30 PM
A friend was telling me that he met an English pensioner in a caravan park in Dublin who had just arrived in Ireland off the boat in a camper van and was mad looking for milk to make a brew as his had been confiscated at the port. Quite funny really
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on July 01, 2022, 11:29:57 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on July 01, 2022, 09:57:30 PM
A friend was telling me that he met an English pensioner in a caravan park in Dublin who had just arrived in Ireland off the boat in a camper van and was mad looking for milk to make a brew as his had been confiscated at the port. Quite funny really

This was always the case, ireland north and south. You could never bring milk from London to say Belfast.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 05, 2022, 09:59:43 AM
Sowing it into them...

https://twitter.com/i/status/1544048003333459968 (https://twitter.com/i/status/1544048003333459968)

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Jeepers Creepers on July 05, 2022, 10:04:43 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 05, 2022, 09:59:43 AM
Sowing it into them...

https://twitter.com/i/status/1544048003333459968 (https://twitter.com/i/status/1544048003333459968)

Class.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 05, 2022, 10:14:05 AM
Honestly Britain is currently a global laughing stock. Why would anyone want near them. Any wonder Sturgeon looking a poll.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on July 05, 2022, 11:51:59 PM
I think Johnson as pm is a significant plus for the yes vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 02:18:20 PM
Quote from: Main Street on July 05, 2022, 11:51:59 PM
I think Johnson as pm is a significant plus for the yes vote.

He is and isnt. Obviously he doesn't rate that highly among the Scots but he is a charismatic character who has mixed with big political players worldwide. He embodies the place of Britain amongst the global elite which the Scots may not want to jettison in favour of being a mid-level nobody state.

A freshly minted sunak or Javid don't have the charisma for a big referendum. Johnson has the bluster and appeal for those who would like him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 06, 2022, 03:16:26 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 02:18:20 PM
Quote from: Main Street on July 05, 2022, 11:51:59 PM
I think Johnson as pm is a significant plus for the yes vote.

He is and isnt. Obviously he doesn't rate that highly among the Scots but he is a charismatic character who has mixed with big political players worldwide. He embodies the place of Britain amongst the global elite which the Scots may not want to jettison in favour of being a mid-level nobody state.

A freshly minted sunak or Javid don't have the charisma for a big referendum. Johnson has the bluster and appeal for those who would like him.

Johnson has absolutely no appeal to anyone in Scotland to the extent that Ruth Davidson told him not to come north during the GE as he would hurt the Tory vote there.

The level of disdain in Scotland has only went up since. Him resigning or getting the boot is a hammer blow to Sturgeon and her hope of a second referendum.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 04:10:08 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 06, 2022, 03:16:26 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 02:18:20 PM
Quote from: Main Street on July 05, 2022, 11:51:59 PM
I think Johnson as pm is a significant plus for the yes vote.

He is and isnt. Obviously he doesn't rate that highly among the Scots but he is a charismatic character who has mixed with big political players worldwide. He embodies the place of Britain amongst the global elite which the Scots may not want to jettison in favour of being a mid-level nobody state.

A freshly minted sunak or Javid don't have the charisma for a big referendum. Johnson has the bluster and appeal for those who would like him.

Johnson has absolutely no appeal to anyone in Scotland to the extent that Ruth Davidson told him not to come north during the GE as he would hurt the Tory vote there.

The level of disdain in Scotland has only went up since. Him resigning or getting the boot is a hammer blow to Sturgeon and her hope of a second referendum.

Only if Gove is elected PM. I can't see any of the others being more appealing than Johnson.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 06, 2022, 04:20:10 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 04:10:08 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 06, 2022, 03:16:26 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 02:18:20 PM
Quote from: Main Street on July 05, 2022, 11:51:59 PM
I think Johnson as pm is a significant plus for the yes vote.

He is and isnt. Obviously he doesn't rate that highly among the Scots but he is a charismatic character who has mixed with big political players worldwide. He embodies the place of Britain amongst the global elite which the Scots may not want to jettison in favour of being a mid-level nobody state.

A freshly minted sunak or Javid don't have the charisma for a big referendum. Johnson has the bluster and appeal for those who would like him.

Johnson has absolutely no appeal to anyone in Scotland to the extent that Ruth Davidson told him not to come north during the GE as he would hurt the Tory vote there.

The level of disdain in Scotland has only went up since. Him resigning or getting the boot is a hammer blow to Sturgeon and her hope of a second referendum.

Only if Gove is elected PM. I can't see any of the others being more appealing than Johnson.

The Moggster is possibly the only other likely leader of the Tory party that might carry the same disdain in Scotland as Boris after he called the leader of the Scottish Tory's as a low level member of the Tory party but that will never happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on July 06, 2022, 07:08:05 PM
I head some conservative party  commentators on the BBBC WS  refer to the good things that Johnson did, he promised to get Brexit done and he got it done, over and done with apart from the NI protocol bit which has still to be resolved.
Talk about spin, how about Johnson got Brexit done solely  by  agreeing to sign into intl trade law the NI Protocol  and later undid Brexit with attempts to unsign Britain's name from that NI protocol bit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 10:48:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 06, 2022, 04:20:10 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 04:10:08 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 06, 2022, 03:16:26 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 02:18:20 PM
Quote from: Main Street on July 05, 2022, 11:51:59 PM
I think Johnson as pm is a significant plus for the yes vote.

He is and isnt. Obviously he doesn't rate that highly among the Scots but he is a charismatic character who has mixed with big political players worldwide. He embodies the place of Britain amongst the global elite which the Scots may not want to jettison in favour of being a mid-level nobody state.

A freshly minted sunak or Javid don't have the charisma for a big referendum. Johnson has the bluster and appeal for those who would like him.

Johnson has absolutely no appeal to anyone in Scotland to the extent that Ruth Davidson told him not to come north during the GE as he would hurt the Tory vote there.

The level of disdain in Scotland has only went up since. Him resigning or getting the boot is a hammer blow to Sturgeon and her hope of a second referendum.

Only if Gove is elected PM. I can't see any of the others being more appealing than Johnson.

The Moggster is possibly the only other likely leader of the Tory party that might carry the same disdain in Scotland as Boris after he called the leader of the Scottish Tory's as a low level member of the Tory party but that will never happen.

I disagree. Boris is a populist elected on the back of the anti-establishment surge that began around 2016. I know a few working class Catholics who strongly agree with his anti-EU, anti immigration stance (regrettably). Likewise in Scotland I suspect there's a rump of SNP voters who to some extent admire Johnsons disruptive style.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on July 06, 2022, 11:04:56 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 10:48:50 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 06, 2022, 04:20:10 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 04:10:08 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on July 06, 2022, 03:16:26 PM
Quote from: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 02:18:20 PM
Quote from: Main Street on July 05, 2022, 11:51:59 PM
I think Johnson as pm is a significant plus for the yes vote.

He is and isnt. Obviously he doesn't rate that highly among the Scots but he is a charismatic character who has mixed with big political players worldwide. He embodies the place of Britain amongst the global elite which the Scots may not want to jettison in favour of being a mid-level nobody state.

A freshly minted sunak or Javid don't have the charisma for a big referendum. Johnson has the bluster and appeal for those who would like him.

Johnson has absolutely no appeal to anyone in Scotland to the extent that Ruth Davidson told him not to come north during the GE as he would hurt the Tory vote there.

The level of disdain in Scotland has only went up since. Him resigning or getting the boot is a hammer blow to Sturgeon and her hope of a second referendum.

Only if Gove is elected PM. I can't see any of the others being more appealing than Johnson.

The Moggster is possibly the only other likely leader of the Tory party that might carry the same disdain in Scotland as Boris after he called the leader of the Scottish Tory's as a low level member of the Tory party but that will never happen.

I disagree. Boris is a populist elected on the back of the anti-establishment surge that began around 2016. I know a few working class Catholics who strongly agree with his anti-EU, anti immigration stance (regrettably). Likewise in Scotland I suspect there's a rump of SNP voters who to some extent admire Johnsons disruptive style.
Any evidence to support that, to elevate it a bit higher than a suspicion?
According to opinion research polling in Scotland, Johnson has been steadily sinking to new lows in support by the month
"Boris Johnson has never received positive ratings in Scotland, but these latest Ipsos and STV News findings are a new low for the Prime Minister."

https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/satisfaction-boris-johnson-hits-new-low-scots-feel-cost-living-crisis-bite (https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/satisfaction-boris-johnson-hits-new-low-scots-feel-cost-living-crisis-bite)

And that's from June 1st
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trileacman on July 06, 2022, 11:32:41 PM
I suppose we'll wait and see and compare it with the next leader.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on July 22, 2022, 05:42:05 PM
I see the Port of Dover are blaming the French authorities for the backlog of traffic on the English side.

Sicken them rightly.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blasmere on July 22, 2022, 06:59:18 PM
Quote from: marty34 on July 22, 2022, 05:42:05 PM
I see the Port of Dover are blaming the French authorities for the backlog of traffic on the English side.

Sicken them rightly.

According to a travel expert on ITV news every uk passport is being stamped in France, whereas previoulsy they were just waved through with a quick flash of their passport. That's Brexit for you. The gammon press will be frothing at this blaming the bloody froggies!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 22, 2022, 07:26:02 PM
Nothing like giving people what they voted for ;D

Meanwhile
https://m.independent.ie/business/brexit/european-commission-launches-four-legal-procedures-against-britain-over-northern-ireland-protocol-41861089.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 22, 2022, 11:54:52 PM
ANDREW NEIL: It's the EU that's staring into the abyss https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11040599/ANDREW-NEIL-EU-thats-staring-abyss.html?ito=native_share_article-masthead
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on July 23, 2022, 01:02:47 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 22, 2022, 11:54:52 PM
ANDREW NEIL: It's the EU that's staring into the abyss https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11040599/ANDREW-NEIL-EU-thats-staring-abyss.html?ito=native_share_article-masthead

He may have a point, but many of the ills he accuses the EU of having, Britain have the same. And if Putin turns off the gas taps, the UK aren't going to be any better off than the EU.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: God14 on July 23, 2022, 07:47:00 AM
Quote from: mouview on July 23, 2022, 01:02:47 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 22, 2022, 11:54:52 PM
ANDREW NEIL: It's the EU that's staring into the abyss https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11040599/ANDREW-NEIL-EU-thats-staring-abyss.html?ito=native_share_article-masthead

He may have a point, but many of the ills he accuses the EU of having, Britain have the same. And if Putin turns off the gas taps, the UK aren't going to be any better off than the EU.

The brits were getting under 5per cent of their gas from Russia before the war. They are less vulnerable therefore to putins threats, but if he does turn the taps off it will drive the prices sky high globally

Also now the brits are out of the EU, Italian and Greek debt defaults are not really an issue for them. I think that's what he is getting at. Whereas they would be a problem for Brussels and all EU member states
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 23, 2022, 03:23:26 PM
Has he not already turned off a load anyway?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Baile Brigín 2 on July 23, 2022, 03:29:51 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on July 23, 2022, 03:23:26 PM
Has he not already turned off a load anyway?

It's always down this time of year for cleaning and maintenance

Will he turn it back on is the question?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Baile Brigín 2 on July 23, 2022, 03:32:22 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 22, 2022, 11:54:52 PM
ANDREW NEIL: It's the EU that's staring into the abyss https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11040599/ANDREW-NEIL-EU-thats-staring-abyss.html?ito=native_share_article-masthead

The EU about to collapsevseems to be the Nigels equivalent of the rugby boys here doing the best thing ever? A silly, tedious article from people who should know better
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on July 23, 2022, 07:47:34 PM
brexiteers have been saying eu is going to collapse imminently for years then they contradict themselves by saying their is a plot to rejoin eu but they then say eu is about to collapse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on July 23, 2022, 08:38:27 PM
This article uses high inflation in Estonia as the basis for the collapse of the EU, ignoring that general Eurozone inflation is less than in the UK. Since the inflation in Estonia is almost certainly a result of Russian sanctions then gloating about is sick
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on July 23, 2022, 08:49:16 PM
Andrew Neil is a gobshite.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on July 23, 2022, 08:50:38 PM
And as for the Daily Heil.....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 23, 2022, 09:08:16 PM
One of the reasons the EU was going to collapse per the Brexiteers was that the union was weak. Then the Ukraine war happened. Brexit is dying.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on July 24, 2022, 01:42:50 PM
The debts of Greece and Italy are the real dangers, have been seeing that in multiple articles, the Eurozone had been holding of raising rates for this reason and the Government collapse in Italy isnt helping.. Brexit is a shit show but the UK is (or would be) less exposed if it got its act together.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on July 24, 2022, 11:51:19 PM
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11040599/amp/ANDREW-NEIL-EU-thats-staring-abyss.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Cyril Farrell fan on July 25, 2022, 04:03:59 PM
Much of the premise of Andrew Neil's article is that the EU is goosed, and by implication, mighty Britain will soar, and this is because major EU countries are being ruled by buffoon leaders, or are on the verge of electing buffoons.

Unfortunately, he might be overlooking who the current and next PMs of Britain are.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on July 25, 2022, 08:24:11 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on July 24, 2022, 01:42:50 PM
The debts of Greece and Italy are the real dangers, have been seeing that in multiple articles, the Eurozone had been holding of raising rates for this reason and the Government collapse in Italy isnt helping.. Brexit is a shit show but the UK is (or would be) less exposed if it got its act together.
The UK economy isn't in great shape either. Brexit weakens it further.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Cyril Farrell fan on July 25, 2022, 09:17:48 PM
For the last 10 years I've seen people (especially Daily Mail types) claiming the EU was on the verge of imploding. No sign yet. For all the faults it has, the single market and customs union are a huge benefit.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on July 26, 2022, 08:38:33 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on July 25, 2022, 06:24:33 PM
Quote from: Cyril Farrell fan on July 25, 2022, 04:03:59 PM
Much of the premise of Andrew Neil's article is that the EU is goosed, and by implication, mighty Britain will soar, and this is because major EU countries are being ruled by buffoon leaders, or are on the verge of electing buffoons.

Unfortunately, he might be overlooking who the current and next PMs of Britain are.

When the result of the Brexit vote was announced, Neil claimed that the EU would end up tearing itself apart with individual countries arguing against each other over securing a "quick" trade deal with a UK that left the EU. Turned out to be near enough the opposite, funnily enough.

He's a very good political interviewer, probably the best there is in the UK, but Andrew Neil's hot takes particularly over the last decade have seen him be a lot more miss than hit. On that basis it's hard to take him seriously on such matters, as is the case with most whom generally espouse either "British exceptionalism" or an automatic bias to the (for the lack of a better term) White Anglosphere.

Andrew Neil is the epitome of client journalism, so everything he says has to be taken in that context.

His owners want the EU to fail.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on August 08, 2022, 08:56:49 AM
Is Ireland in danger of becoming a de facto British protectorate?

https://www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/commentanalysis/arid-40934678.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 08, 2022, 01:15:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on August 08, 2022, 08:56:49 AM
Is Ireland in danger of becoming a de facto British protectorate?

https://www.irishexaminer.com/opinion/commentanalysis/arid-40934678.html

Inevitably, since the Sabina Higgens, PBP type people think that you should not defend yourself.
Some coordination with neighbours is always going to be appropriate, but you have to do your bit yourself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 08, 2022, 03:54:11 PM
So far, Brexit has contracted the UK economy by 5.6%
The North is protected by the Protocol and growing faster than England but the DUP have paralysed Stormont because of the Protocol.
Who is pulling the strings of the DUP ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on August 08, 2022, 04:01:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 08, 2022, 03:54:11 PM

Who is pulling the strings of the DUP ?
Take yer pick.. .
Orange Order, UDA, UVF, ERG, International neo Nazism, American fundamentalist Bible thumpers......
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on August 08, 2022, 06:55:34 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 08, 2022, 04:01:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 08, 2022, 03:54:11 PM

Who is pulling the strings of the DUP ?
Take yer pick.. .
Orange Order, UDA, UVF, ERG, International neo Nazism, American fundamentalist Bible thumpers......
Nah, it's much more likely to be  Mr.Magoo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 08, 2022, 07:34:33 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on August 08, 2022, 04:01:51 PM
Quote from: seafoid on August 08, 2022, 03:54:11 PM

Who is pulling the strings of the DUP ?
Take yer pick.. .
Orange Order, UDA, UVF, ERG, International neo Nazism, American fundamentalist Bible thumpers......
I don't think any of those have access to serious money. It's inthermeejit level
The DUP are playing senior hurling with links to the plutocracy i mo thuairim. Brexit does nothing for Sandy Row. So why are the DUP up to their neck in it ?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 08, 2022, 07:36:33 PM
When have the DUP ever done anything for Sandy Rowe? You're mistaken here in thinking that it is different for them not to look after their own communities. It is not. They are basically tories. Sandy Rowe residents voting for the DUP is akin to people in poor areas in the north of england voting for tories. (same applies to brexit)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 08, 2022, 07:53:25 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 08, 2022, 07:36:33 PM
When have the DUP ever done anything for Sandy Rowe? You're mistaken here in thinking that it is different for them not to look after their own communities. It is not. They are basically tories. Sandy Rowe residents voting for the DUP is akin to people in poor areas in the north of england voting for tories. (same applies to brexit)
They don't do anything  for anybody in the Unionist community . They are working for someone else
Brexit changed the -tories and made them more extremist. Something similar happened to the DUP.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 08, 2022, 10:11:06 PM
They aren't more extreme though as they've always been pretty extreme- they aren't much different. There is a school of thought that brexit will make drugs harder to get in and that does not please the loyalist paramilitaries who would definitely be in the running to be the ones pulling their strings.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on August 09, 2022, 09:11:46 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 08, 2022, 10:11:06 PM
They aren't more extreme though as they've always been pretty extreme- they aren't much different. There is a school of thought that brexit will make drugs harder to get in and that does not please the loyalist paramilitaries who would definitely be in the running to be the ones pulling their strings.
That's business as usual when things are ticking over. But anti Protocol when Brexit reduces the economy by more than 5% is a different kettle of fish imo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 09, 2022, 09:18:20 AM
I don't think it is. Also don't forget they were pro protocol not very long ago. Someone had words - so it's either like you say someone with financial clout or it's loyalist paramilitaries.

Personally I think there's been a realisation somewhere that the border expedites a united ireland significantly - or in their eyes makes it a real possibility - and it's that more than the economic stuff going on here.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on August 09, 2022, 09:48:42 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 09, 2022, 09:18:20 AM
I don't think it is. Also don't forget they were pro protocol not very long ago. Someone had words - so it's either like you say someone with financial clout or it's loyalist paramilitaries.

Personally I think there's been a realisation somewhere that the border expedites a united ireland significantly - or in their eyes makes it a real possibility - and it's that more than the economic stuff going on here.

Economics has absolutely nothing to do the DUP's current stance as is rightly being pointed out that initially both Arlene and Jeffrey are on record stating that the NIP had given NI great opportunities economics wise.

As for that change in stance, was it the ERG or the loyalist drug smugglers/community stake holders who got them to about turn on it or a mixture of both.

Ironically the DUP struggle to see that an economically successful NI would be inclined to ensure the middle ground vote for the status quo if it came to a border poll, no doubt the Shinners do as well.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on August 09, 2022, 10:04:41 AM
I know - I don't get that irony either. It's about as ironic as having the word democratic in their name  >:(

It's just bigotry and they fail to mention brexit when saying how bad the NIP is so then people who would be of the persuasion to listen to them do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on August 09, 2022, 12:34:13 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on August 09, 2022, 09:48:42 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on August 09, 2022, 09:18:20 AM
I don't think it is. Also don't forget they were pro protocol not very long ago. Someone had words - so it's either like you say someone with financial clout or it's loyalist paramilitaries.

Personally I think there's been a realisation somewhere that the border expedites a united ireland significantly - or in their eyes makes it a real possibility - and it's that more than the economic stuff going on here.

Economics has absolutely nothing to do the DUP's current stance as is rightly being pointed out that initially both Arlene and Jeffrey are on record stating that the NIP had given NI great opportunities economics wise.

As for that change in stance, was it the ERG or the loyalist drug smugglers/community stake holders who got them to about turn on it or a mixture of both.

Ironically the DUP struggle to see that an economically successful NI would be inclined to ensure the middle ground vote for the status quo if it came to a border poll, no doubt the Shinners do as well.

Wee Jeffrey is on record as saying he doesn't care if Brexit costs 40,000 job losses in Northern Ireland. Wee Jeff will be OK with his MP salary, Trade missions and future house of lords position. No-one in Northern Ireland ever lost out from being a bigot, very financially rewarding if you play it right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on August 24, 2022, 07:08:55 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-62664462

Ye'd wonder how the anti-protocol mob will spin this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 24, 2022, 09:06:48 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on August 24, 2022, 07:08:55 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-62664462

Ye'd wonder how the anti-protocol mob will spin this.

Easy enough to spin this, the high volumes partly reflect the fact that the British are not fully applying the rules so that it is easier to travel through Belfast/Larne than Dublin/Rosslare.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on August 25, 2022, 12:10:23 AM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on August 24, 2022, 07:08:55 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-62664462

Ye'd wonder how the anti-protocol mob will spin this.

They're already firing out the 25% tariff on steel imported to NI from UK!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on August 25, 2022, 07:01:16 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 24, 2022, 09:06:48 PM
Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on August 24, 2022, 07:08:55 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-62664462

Ye'd wonder how the anti-protocol mob will spin this.

Easy enough to spin this, the high volumes partly reflect the fact that the British are not fully applying the rules so that it is easier to travel through Belfast/Larne than Dublin/Rosslare.


Yet UK ports are significantly down on trade.

Which means either:

(i) the UK are exporting more to the EU through NI
(ii) The EU are exporting more to the UK through NI
(iii) NI has increased consumption of goods

Given where things stood in 2021, I would very much doubt (iii). Which leaves (i) & (ii). Both of which are dependent on the bridge between the UK and EU via NI being easier than directly going from UK to EU (and visa-versa) - which is exactly where the protocol sits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 08, 2022, 09:39:34 AM
https://mobile.twitter.com/RussellEngland/status/1567455519714992128Brexitshambles

@brexit_sham

·

Sep 6

So we're having a chuckle about Truss' cabinet, but the appointment of Steve Baker's man, Chris Heaton-Harris as SoS for NI, six years chair of the ERG, and once accused of breaching ministerial code for off-the-books meeting with the Spanish far-right Vox, is no laughing matter.

-----------
Presumably signed off by the DUP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on September 20, 2022, 01:06:47 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-62959374

It would seem that the only glimmer of hope for a actual tangible Brexit benefit, rests with Trump being elected in 2024

The Brits' view of their position in the world is taking an absolute pummelling
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on September 20, 2022, 04:17:00 PM
Quote from: Franko on September 20, 2022, 01:06:47 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-62959374

It would seem that the only glimmer of hope for a actual tangible Brexit benefit, rests with Trump being elected in 2024

The Brits' view of their position in the world is taking an absolute pummelling

I would not be so sure about Trump doing a deal with them either. There are plenty of Irish americans in the republican party as well. Protecting the GFA is a cross party process in the USA.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 28, 2022, 08:45:12 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/BylineTV/status/1574428308699324419
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 28, 2022, 09:21:15 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/BestForBritain/status/1575151671067410432
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 28, 2022, 11:22:13 PM
Truss is like that scene from The Simpsons where Sideshow Bob steps onto a rake whichever way he turns. It's so wonderful! Any truth in the rumours that men of fighting age in the UK are fleeing to Russia?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 29, 2022, 02:55:52 PM
Brexit makes inflation worse. the weaker pound would normally benefit UK exporters who could sell more stuff to Europe at lower prices. But Brexit cuts the UK off from Europe.
Imports become more expensive, driving up inflation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 29, 2022, 05:20:33 PM
Boris Johnson is a nice price for next PM

Starmer is favourite but that assumes an election.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-prime-minister-after-liz-truss
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 29, 2022, 06:11:42 PM
Latest YouGov poll now has Labour on 54% and Tories on 21%. That's an absolute landslide and thats before the worst impact of the mortgage interest rises and winter energy bills. There is no way the Tories come back from this unless there is a reversal of the budget policies in which case Truss is under big pressure anyway.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on September 29, 2022, 06:12:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 29, 2022, 05:20:33 PM
Boris Johnson is a nice price for next PM

Starmer is favourite but that assumes an election.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-prime-minister-after-liz-truss

It's an election or Truss for the next 2 years. Even the Tories couldn't justify another unelected PM. But then this is a party of deceitful, obnoxious, loathe some, self serving bastards we are talking about here. Labour need to be turning the screw. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on September 29, 2022, 06:51:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 29, 2022, 05:20:33 PM
Boris Johnson is a nice price for next PM

Starmer is favourite but that assumes an election.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-prime-minister-after-liz-truss

Election miles off unfortunately
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 29, 2022, 07:52:52 PM
Quote from: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on September 29, 2022, 06:51:35 PM
Quote from: seafoid on September 29, 2022, 05:20:33 PM
Boris Johnson is a nice price for next PM

Starmer is favourite but that assumes an election.

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-prime-minister-after-liz-truss

Election miles off unfortunately

There is one due in 2 years time anyway which will give Labour enough time for the worst impact of Tory policies to take full effect. They will get obliterated at the polling booths next time around, all Starmer has to do is play it reasonably safe and target enough centre ground voters and he has the keys to number 10 next time. Depending on which polling company you use he has a 20 point lead at the minute which is huge. I don't even think Blair had those sort of numbers and he had the backing of Fleet Street.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on September 29, 2022, 09:48:55 PM
If the polling numbers stay strong will Murdoch switch teams on who he backs? Self interest with a potential Labour government for a decade he could soon turn on Truss.

He threw Trump under the bus at the last. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on September 29, 2022, 09:58:39 PM
Quote from: pbat on September 29, 2022, 09:48:55 PM
If the polling numbers stay strong will Murdoch switch teams on who he backs? Self interest with a potential Labour government for a decade he could soon turn on Truss.

He threw Trump under the bus at the last.

The minute that the Tories become unelectable (which events of the last week have almost ensured) and providing Starmer gives Murdoch some policy guarantees he'll be off that sinking ship sooner than you can say boo. That's providing he's still actually alive! If Starmer wants to retain his credibility though he'd better steer well clear of that cnut.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on September 30, 2022, 11:33:15 AM
Guardian deliciously putting the boot in.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/sep/29/half-witted-and-reckless-librium-liz-truss-may-be-even-worse-than-theresa-may-and-boris-johnson

"First, an apology. I should never have christened Theresa May "the Maybot". With hindsight, she appears positively emotionally present. Touchy-feely. Almost functional. If not entirely competent. Certainly not the 1980s piece of Amstrad junk she always seemed when she was running the country. If you can call it that.

But the Tories are just playing with us. It's as if the members said: "So you think David Cameron is useless? Just wait until we give you Theresa." And once we'd all had about enough of May, they gave us a narcissistic, sociopathic liar instead.

Now, to top it all – at least we hope so; surely there can't be another one who is even worse? – we've been landed with Liz Truss. Someone who is not just half-witted and robotic, but reckless enough to bankrupt the country. The ideologue with only a tenuous grasp on reality. There's always a job waiting for Truss in an automated call centre: a deathless loop that sucks the life out of you."


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on September 30, 2022, 12:24:25 PM
It's an achievement in itself to make people actually miss Cameron/May/Boris being in charge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 30, 2022, 12:48:02 PM
Quote from: pbat on September 29, 2022, 09:48:55 PM
If the polling numbers stay strong will Murdoch switch teams on who he backs? Self interest with a potential Labour government for a decade he could soon turn on Truss.

He threw Trump under the bus at the last.
I think it depends on what Tory backbenchers do.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on September 30, 2022, 12:52:59 PM
Labour feel confident of winning next election. Yet some MPs say this.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/09/27/labour-mp-rupa-huq-calls-kwasi-kwarteng-superficially-black/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 30, 2022, 03:56:44 PM
https://www.thearticle.com/black-wednesday-2-how-truss-and-kwarteng-blew-it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on September 30, 2022, 05:08:36 PM
Why don't Labour call a vote of no-confidence in the Tory government?
Surely, if it passed that would trigger an early election and possibly rid us of the scourge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on September 30, 2022, 05:17:24 PM
Quote from: tbrick18 on September 30, 2022, 05:08:36 PM
Why don't Labour call a vote of no-confidence in the Tory government?
Surely, if it passed that would trigger an early election and possibly rid us of the scourge.
Why would the Tories vote themselves out of office and go into a General Election where they would be annihilated? They still have a 70+ seat majority, they could likely still pass any oul shite through the Commons no matter what cretin is in charge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on September 30, 2022, 05:25:12 PM
Quote from: tbrick18 on September 30, 2022, 05:08:36 PM
Why don't Labour call a vote of no-confidence in the Tory government?
Surely, if it passed that would trigger an early election and possibly rid us of the scourge.
A Tory Vote of no confidence would be the most likely to succeed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 03, 2022, 08:52:13 AM
I'd say the Tory's are looking around for an electable leader as they know it isn't Truss.

anyone for another go with Boris?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 03, 2022, 09:02:38 AM
Honestly think Johnson lined this up. He championed her knowing how bad she'd be and everybody would be thinking bring back Boris. I really don't think we have seen the last of him.

Labour vote of no confidence becomes Labour against Tories. Tories too many seats and they know they'd lose an election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 03, 2022, 09:10:10 AM
Another thing of note over the weekend Brexit related was the fact the Top ERG member and Brexit "hard man" Steve Baker apologising to the EU and Ireland for past behaviour;

"The Minister of State in the Northern Ireland Office (NIO) was speaking at the Conservative party conference.

He reflected that he and others did not "always behave in a way which encouraged Ireland and the European Union to trust us to accept that they have legitimate interests".

"I am sorry about that," he said.

Mr Baker, a well-known Eurosceptic, said "relations with Ireland are not where they should be and we all need to work extremely hard to improve them".

He added: "Actually the demise of our late majesty gave us an opportunity to meet leading Irish figures, and I said to some of them that I am sorry that we did not always respect your legitimate interests.

"I hope they won't mind me saying I could feel the ice thawing a bit."

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-63111685 (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-63111685)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 03, 2022, 09:15:06 AM
Coveney has says things have changed a bit. I still wouldn't trust these pricks so I'm sure there is some ulterior motive.

I do think the DUP are going to get shafted on the protocol though. It's inevitable I would think. Again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 03, 2022, 09:15:46 AM
Do I detect a softening in the Brits approach? Seamie and his mates won't be happy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 03, 2022, 09:16:34 AM
One of two things...

Either they are being deceitful or
they couldn't really negotiate properly with BoJo in charge.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 03, 2022, 09:59:13 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 03, 2022, 09:15:46 AM
Do I detect a softening in the Brits approach? Seamie and his mates won't be happy.

Would you believe it but the wee lad isn't happy? Who'd have thought it, eh? Already calling Baker a Lundy...lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 03, 2022, 11:34:03 AM
Hard for 17th Century mindsets to understand the real world of the 21st Century!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 03, 2022, 12:41:47 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 03, 2022, 09:15:06 AM
Coveney has says things have changed a bit. I still wouldn't trust these pricks so I'm sure there is some ulterior motive.

I do think the DUP are going to get shafted on the protocol though. It's inevitable I would think. Again.
Saying as the DUP and certainly 99.9% of their supporters have no idea of what the protocol actually is except they see it as something Nationalists support which means they have to oppose it, the Tories could work out something that the DUP'ers could paint as a win. But they will never, ever go in to Stormont playing second fiddle.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 03, 2022, 12:53:54 PM
Jeff Donaldson "will take seat"

https://mobile.twitter.com/east_24/status/1524987689132605440

Donaldson refuses. Unbelievable,  Jeff
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 03, 2022, 01:00:30 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 03, 2022, 12:41:47 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 03, 2022, 09:15:06 AM
Coveney has says things have changed a bit. I still wouldn't trust these pricks so I'm sure there is some ulterior motive.

I do think the DUP are going to get shafted on the protocol though. It's inevitable I would think. Again.
Saying as the DUP and certainly 99.9% of their supporters have no idea of what the protocol actually is except they see it as something Nationalists support which means they have to oppose it, the Tories could work out something that the DUP'ers could paint as a win. But they will never, ever go in to Stormont playing second fiddle.

it is blatantly about that.

Now people are saying that voters chose for them not to go in. They didn't say they wouldn't go in before the election only afterwards. Cowboys ted.


Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 03, 2022, 01:27:15 PM
Labour are 20 ahead in the polls. should they win the next election

They will review the Border Poll
They won't consort with the DUP
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 03, 2022, 01:56:14 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 03, 2022, 01:00:30 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 03, 2022, 12:41:47 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 03, 2022, 09:15:06 AM
Coveney has says things have changed a bit. I still wouldn't trust these pricks so I'm sure there is some ulterior motive.

I do think the DUP are going to get shafted on the protocol though. It's inevitable I would think. Again.
Saying as the DUP and certainly 99.9% of their supporters have no idea of what the protocol actually is except they see it as something Nationalists support which means they have to oppose it, the Tories could work out something that the DUP'ers could paint as a win. But they will never, ever go in to Stormont playing second fiddle.

it is blatantly about that.

Now people are saying that voters chose for them not to go in. They didn't say they wouldn't go in before the election only afterwards. Cowboys ted.

It's a disgrace that MLA's are still on full pay and the media really should be making much more out of this given the cost of living crisis. If a politician came to the door it is the first thing that would be asked of them to do their job, yet media barely raise the subject. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 03, 2022, 03:24:44 PM
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2022/1003/1326792-northern-ireland-protocol/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on October 04, 2022, 11:44:52 PM
Another ghost election with the same results i bet they will moan if their is a lower turn out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: balladmaker on October 05, 2022, 09:09:31 AM
The protocol is being used as an excuse not to go into an executive with a Catholic / Nationalist / Republican First Minister.  There is nothing more to it than that at this stage.  The DUP are in a corner and an election is their likely preferred way out.  Should they come out as top dog, they'll happily waltz back into Stormont, if the result is the same as the last time with Sinn Fein the largest party, then Stormont is dead.  Either way, the DUP are screwed .. should they win an election, it will be a facile victory in the overall picture and will further hasten the demise of unionism with the middle ground swaying closer to a new Ireland approach.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 07, 2022, 07:54:40 PM
Wee Conor being a naughty boy? No loss to another Boris/ Brexit cheerleader.

https://www.rte.ie/news/uk/2022/1007/1327840-burns-mp/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 11, 2022, 05:47:48 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/politics/house-of-lords-attempting-to-delay-northern-ireland-protocol-bill-as-peers-seek-to-allow-time-for-negotiation-with-brussels-42058181.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 12, 2022, 12:44:56 AM
Suella opens her considerable mouth to insert her foot;

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/indian-trade-deal-in-peril-after-suella-braverman-migrant-comments-bpgkw6prr
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 12, 2022, 08:55:10 AM
Quote from: mouview on October 12, 2022, 12:44:56 AM
Suella opens her considerable mouth to insert her foot;

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/indian-trade-deal-in-peril-after-suella-braverman-migrant-comments-bpgkw6prr

Just when you thought the Torys couldn't get anyone worse as Priti Patel as Home Secretary, they pull Braverman out of the bag...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 12, 2022, 08:58:40 AM
Pratel is vile. There's something seriously wrong with braver man. Significantly lacking in any kind of empathy.

The reckoning is it's no coincidence this role is not filled by white people - then the racism card can't be played or played as easily.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 10:40:14 AM
Brexit has reduced UK GDP by 4% and reduces UK growth by limiting access to the EU. The UK has reached some kind of debt limit.
Markets don't agree with the Government. Mortage rates are up to 6%. Tory voters don't like this. Pensions are a systemic risk. It's all going arseways.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 12, 2022, 11:34:24 AM
That's what usually happens when a Country is taken over and run by extremist idealogues.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 12:15:06 PM
Sin é. The Tories will get hammered at the next election.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JoG2 on October 12, 2022, 12:30:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 12:15:06 PM
Sin é. The Tories will get hammered at the next election.

I'll believe it when I see it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blasmere on October 12, 2022, 12:43:44 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 12, 2022, 12:30:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 12:15:06 PM
Sin é. The Tories will get hammered at the next election.

I'll believe it when I see it!

I tend to agree. There'll be an unmightyful campaign of hate unleashed by the daily heil, express, sun and telegraph against ruinous Labour in the lead up to any election. Look what the daily heil did with currygate whilst letting Bozzo off with his beyond multiple misdemeanours.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 12, 2022, 12:30:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 12:15:06 PM
Sin é. The Tories will get hammered at the next election.

I'll believe it when I see it!
They scraped through in 92 and in 97 after 16 years in Govt they were wiped out.
Now they have 12 years in Govt and no ideas.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 12, 2022, 01:37:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 01:31:33 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on October 12, 2022, 12:30:06 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 12:15:06 PM
Sin é. The Tories will get hammered at the next election.

I'll believe it when I see it!
They scraped through in 92 and in 97 after 16 years in Govt they were wiped out.
Now they have 12 years in Govt and no ideas.

The Tories have no one to blame for the economy or the health service lack of housing and anything else that's in the gutter, they have achieved that and more over the last 12 years and possibly another to years to feck it up even more, should they get in (and they might do) its down to the UK voters faith in what's left to take over..
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 12, 2022, 03:19:52 PM
Plus there is a load of infighting
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 14, 2022, 12:26:22 PM
Delighted to see that smug git Kwarteng getting the sack.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on October 14, 2022, 12:46:49 PM
The Uk is a parody
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 14, 2022, 01:08:15 PM
Good to see
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 14, 2022, 01:19:55 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 14, 2022, 12:26:22 PM
Delighted to see that smug git Kwarteng getting the sack.

When Kwarteng's replacement takes office, the Conservative party will have had as many chancellors of the exchequer in 2022 as the Labour party has since 1967.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2022, 01:26:34 PM
The markets decided. Labour's way or Frankfurt's way.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 14, 2022, 01:26:37 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 14, 2022, 01:19:55 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 14, 2022, 12:26:22 PM
Delighted to see that smug git Kwarteng getting the sack.

When Kwarteng's replacement takes office, the Conservative party will have had as many chancellors of the exchequer in 2022 as the Labour party has since 1967.
wow
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 14, 2022, 01:28:23 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 14, 2022, 12:26:22 PM
Delighted to see that smug git Kwarteng getting the sack.

Hard to see how Truss hangs on considering she wanted this budget during her leadership campaign and after it labelled anyone opposing it as part of the "anti-growth" campaign.

Kwarteng did her bidding.. Shower of shysters..

It would be a laugh if we weren't linked to these hoors.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on October 14, 2022, 01:28:44 PM
f**k Johnson's time in government almost looks stable
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2022, 02:31:11 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 14, 2022, 01:28:23 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 14, 2022, 12:26:22 PM
Delighted to see that smug git Kwarteng getting the sack.

Hard to see how Truss hangs on considering she wanted this budget during her leadership campaign and after it labelled anyone opposing it as part of the "anti-growth" campaign.

Kwarteng did her bidding.. Shower of shysters..

It would be a laugh if we weren't linked to these hoors.
The market can also force her out. Labour's way or Frankfurt's way
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 14, 2022, 02:50:11 PM
I doubt that she can last long here. I dunno if anyone saw her meeting Charlie. She said back again - he said so soon dear dear and shook his head.  ;D Even he thinks she's a plonker lol.

I wonder will Johnson go for it again if she is ousted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2022, 03:14:59 PM
The markets want a fiscal plan of tax, cuts and growth to facilitate falling debt over time. She would have to renege on everything.  It put the lotion in the basket or it gets the hose again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 14, 2022, 03:23:31 PM
She has no credibility. Her ministers have no credibility. Even this morning one goon was out saying how he and the PM had total confidence in Kwasi. Crazy.
And to top it all off we are in for a f**king pile of tax rises.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 14, 2022, 03:30:44 PM
Things seem to be "progressing" after that car crash of a press conference. I'd be surprised if she's not gone by next week!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 14, 2022, 03:32:59 PM
I only caught the tail end of it but she's looking like a rabbit caught in the headlights.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mourne Red on October 14, 2022, 03:35:43 PM
Quote from: Dougal Maguire on October 14, 2022, 03:32:59 PM
I only caught the tail end of it but she's looking like a rabbit caught in the headlights.

The tail end is all there was lol.. was she on stage for 5 minutes if even
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 14, 2022, 03:50:16 PM
Marina Hyde is always so funny putting the boot in;

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/oct/14/kwasi-kwarteng-liz-truss-jeremy-hunt
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 14, 2022, 04:38:29 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 14, 2022, 03:50:16 PM
Marina Hyde is always so funny putting the boot in;

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/oct/14/kwasi-kwarteng-liz-truss-jeremy-hunt

I enjoy her she has a very cutting tone to her writing . . .

QuoteThings went from worse to worser after Truss's Wednesday night appearance before the 1922, which you might know is that weirdo committee where they bang the desks and honk in-group gibberish like it's Hogwarts for grownups and their house has just won a flying pensions-crashing match.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 14, 2022, 05:27:29 PM
This is a recent photo of the Brexit bandwagon
(https://static.independent.co.uk/2022/03/29/08/APTOPIX_Russia_Ukraine_War_33394.jpg?width=800)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 14, 2022, 05:40:40 PM
If she goes there has to be a general election. They can't impose another PM who hasn't been elected.

https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1580926951602393088

Can't believe I am saying this but Nadine Dorries is actually talking some sense (assuming that is legit). Maybe she thinks her beau Boris can become Tory leader again and con a large swathe of Engerland to vote Tory again.

As someone mentioned above, the biggest shame in all of this is us in the North as linked to this shower of b*****ds in the first place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2022, 06:45:05 PM
The Tories are going to be wiped out whatever happens. Their majority of 80 is based on the red wall of ex Labour seats. That is gone.
In order to stay neck and neck with Labour they need to hold the Blue Wall of Remain voting Tories in Southern England. Mortage rates at 6% will wipe that out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 14, 2022, 08:56:32 PM
The press united against her today

https://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-63221738
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 15, 2022, 08:29:24 AM
I wonder will she do a Boris and refuse to quit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on October 15, 2022, 12:47:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 14, 2022, 06:45:05 PM
The Tories are going to be wiped out whatever happens. Their majority of 80 is based on the red wall of ex Labour seats. That is gone.
In order to stay neck and neck with Labour they need to hold the Blue Wall of Remain voting Tories in Southern England. Mortage rates at 6% will wipe that out.

I hope to God your right.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 15, 2022, 05:10:56 PM
Quote from: grounded on October 15, 2022, 12:47:38 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 14, 2022, 06:45:05 PM
The Tories are going to be wiped out whatever happens. Their majority of 80 is based on the red wall of ex Labour seats. That is gone.
In order to stay neck and neck with Labour they need to hold the Blue Wall of Remain voting Tories in Southern England. Mortage rates at 6% will wipe that out.

I hope to God your right.

The latest poll was the lowest ever and would mean that they get less seats the the DUP and that the SNP would be the official opposition. It won't be quite that bad, I suppose, but they are f*cked all the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 18, 2022, 09:12:47 AM
Not sure where to put this but what is happening over in Westminster is a whole different level of a shit show...

Truss wins the Tory party leadership campaign on a low tax, high growth policy.

Appoints her ex lover Kwartang as Chancellor to deliver it which he does without any oversight from the Treasury (he sacked the most senior member of the Treasury prior to his mini budget) not allowing the OBS (office of Budget responsibility) to run over the figures.

Mini budget causes the £ to short, markets lose any confidence in the UK economy, gilds interest rates rise making borrowing more expensive for the UK Gov and the pension funds tetter on the edge of collapse forcing the independent Bank Of England to intervene and guarantee these pension funds to the tune of £60B+

IMF standing by to bail out the UK economy and call Kwartang to a meeting in the US..

Whilst over in NY the wheels are in motion for his sacking

He's sacked on his earlier than expected return

Replaced by J Hunt (with the silent C) who announces he's going to reverse all but one policy outlined in the mini budget just two weeks earlier, quess what is kept?

Labour request an Urgent Question in the HOC for the Prime minister, who fails to turn up but sends a main contender to replace her in Mordant to take the flak..

A hour or so later she rocks up when Hunt formally announces all the u turns, only to say nothing and blink like someone on something or other and leaves like a scalded cat...

it's really hard to see how she survives the week.

A prime example of someone with plenty of ambition but no ability but ultimately is a stooge for big money who made a killing when the £ shorted.

Corrupt doesn't come close.

In the meantime Sammy W stands up to defend this shítshow.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on October 18, 2022, 09:20:00 AM
If you did up a script like that for some comedy you'd be told it's too over the top ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 18, 2022, 09:22:05 AM
Ambition and ruthlessness to match. Their seems to be a mistake of ruthlessness for ability there.

Sammy had to have what was going on with taxes explained to him slowly as he backed what the tories did only to be told it was undone. A complete clown and a bootlicker.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on October 18, 2022, 09:45:33 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 18, 2022, 09:22:05 AM
Ambition and ruthlessness to match. Their seems to be a mistake of ruthlessness for ability there.

Sammy had to have what was going on with taxes explained to him slowly as he backed what the tories did only to be told it was undone. A complete clown and a bootlicker.
Sammy is making sure he licks enough boots to end up in the house of lords, smart guy our Sammy  ::)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 18, 2022, 10:14:05 AM
He'll get in too. Foster in and sure she's an abomination. Services to bigotry.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on October 18, 2022, 11:45:30 AM
The role of the House of Lords is to scrutinise Gov legislation. Not one of Arlene's strengths (to be fair she doesn't have many).

Never ceases to amaze me the number of people in life whose ambition far outstrip their actual abilities. Truss an obvious example, but could include pretty much all of the recent Tory cabinet members.  The tories got rid of any half capable people they had in their purge of the remainers following Johnson taking over.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 18, 2022, 09:12:47 AM
Not sure where to put this but what is happening over in Westminster is a whole different level of a shit show...

Truss wins the Tory party leadership campaign on a low tax, high growth policy.

Appoints her ex lover Kwartang as Chancellor to deliver it which he does without any oversight from the Treasury (he sacked the most senior member of the Treasury prior to his mini budget) not allowing the OBS (office of Budget responsibility) to run over the figures.

Mini budget causes the £ to short, markets lose any confidence in the UK economy, gilds interest rates rise making borrowing more expensive for the UK Gov and the pension funds tetter on the edge of collapse forcing the independent Bank Of England to intervene and guarantee these pension funds to the tune of £60B+

IMF standing by to bail out the UK economy and call Kwartang to a meeting in the US..

Whilst over in NY the wheels are in motion for his sacking

He's sacked on his earlier than expected return

Replaced by J Hunt (with the silent C) who announces he's going to reverse all but one policy outlined in the mini budget just two weeks earlier, quess what is kept?

Labour request an Urgent Question in the HOC for the Prime minister, who fails to turn up but sends a main contender to replace her in Mordant to take the flak..

A hour or so later she rocks up when Hunt formally announces all the u turns, only to say nothing and blink like someone on something or other and leaves like a scalded cat...

it's really hard to see how she survives the week.

A prime example of someone with plenty of ambition but no ability but ultimately is a stooge for big money who made a killing when the £ shorted.

Corrupt doesn't come close.

In the meantime Sammy W stands up to defend this shítshow.

This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 18, 2022, 12:15:00 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 18, 2022, 09:12:47 AM
Not sure where to put this but what is happening over in Westminster is a whole different level of a shit show...

Truss wins the Tory party leadership campaign on a low tax, high growth policy.

Appoints her ex lover Kwartang as Chancellor to deliver it which he does without any oversight from the Treasury (he sacked the most senior member of the Treasury prior to his mini budget) not allowing the OBS (office of Budget responsibility) to run over the figures.

Mini budget causes the £ to short, markets lose any confidence in the UK economy, gilds interest rates rise making borrowing more expensive for the UK Gov and the pension funds tetter on the edge of collapse forcing the independent Bank Of England to intervene and guarantee these pension funds to the tune of £60B+

IMF standing by to bail out the UK economy and call Kwartang to a meeting in the US..

Whilst over in NY the wheels are in motion for his sacking

He's sacked on his earlier than expected return

Replaced by J Hunt (with the silent C) who announces he's going to reverse all but one policy outlined in the mini budget just two weeks earlier, quess what is kept?

Labour request an Urgent Question in the HOC for the Prime minister, who fails to turn up but sends a main contender to replace her in Mordant to take the flak..

A hour or so later she rocks up when Hunt formally announces all the u turns, only to say nothing and blink like someone on something or other and leaves like a scalded cat...

it's really hard to see how she survives the week.

A prime example of someone with plenty of ambition but no ability but ultimately is a stooge for big money who made a killing when the £ shorted.

Corrupt doesn't come close.

In the meantime Sammy W stands up to defend this shítshow.

The UK economy has been left in ruins by the Tories after years of bad policy decisions. Its amazing that the party is still intact without any splits but people in England have very short memories. Labour will get into power at the next election but will be faced with some very tough policy choices in what looks like recessionary times. The Tories should be cast to the dustbin of history but you just know that they will come back again after another election cycle with big media behind them blaming everything on Labour.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Gael80 on October 18, 2022, 12:54:03 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.

Tax should rise in the right places but the Tories are now going to hit the wrong departments/people. A Labour government would be welcome but the reality is the personal tax allowance will almost certainly fall, and the basic tax will likely rise above 20p under a Labour government, although they would raise taxes across the board including on the more wealthly in society. Whatever happens my guess is taxes are rising over the next few years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on October 18, 2022, 12:55:54 PM
Not in any way attempting to defend Tories here, only just trying to point out we've problems closer to home.

I would take issue with comments like "English people have short memories", as if Irish voters are superior.

Ireland is an economic time bomb. Unless there is a fundamental reset on second /multiple properties, we are currently witness to the last generation of emergency workers, key workers and other civil servants who will be able to afford to live in urban Ireland. The choice for the next generation will boil down to three: join the big company rat race, choose unemployment and social payments, or move to the few remaining areas of the island that have affordable housing.

The Tory govt have been unashamedly visible in their loyalty to the prosperity of a small percentage of the population, at no matter what cost to the rest.

But here's the thing. Income levels aren't important. Disposable income is everything. And as the Irish govt have fuelled a system whereby upwards on 75% of income is being routed to landlords and banks, the exact same scenario is unfolding in Ireland as it is in the UK. It's just not as obvious. Yet.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on October 18, 2022, 01:27:12 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 18, 2022, 12:55:54 PM
Not in any way attempting to defend Tories here, only just trying to point out we've problems closer to home.

I would take issue with comments like "English people have short memories", as if Irish voters are superior.

Ireland is an economic time bomb. Unless there is a fundamental reset on second /multiple properties, we are currently witness to the last generation of emergency workers, key workers and other civil servants who will be able to afford to live in urban Ireland. The choice for the next generation will boil down to three: join the big company rat race, choose unemployment and social payments, or move to the few remaining areas of the island that have affordable housing.

The Tory govt have been unashamedly visible in their loyalty to the prosperity of a small percentage of the population, at no matter what cost to the rest.

But here's the thing. Income levels aren't important. Disposable income is everything. And as the Irish govt have fuelled a system whereby upwards on 75% of income is being routed to landlords and banks, the exact same scenario is unfolding in Ireland as it is in the UK. It's just not as obvious. Yet.

Great post.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 18, 2022, 02:18:06 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?
I don't know about you, but I pay more than enough tax already to expect a decent health service, education system and roads that don't look like they've been bombed. The problem isn't the lack of money its the wasting of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 18, 2022, 02:25:34 PM
Quote from: grounded on October 18, 2022, 01:27:12 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 18, 2022, 12:55:54 PM
Not in any way attempting to defend Tories here, only just trying to point out we've problems closer to home.

I would take issue with comments like "English people have short memories", as if Irish voters are superior.

Ireland is an economic time bomb. Unless there is a fundamental reset on second /multiple properties, we are currently witness to the last generation of emergency workers, key workers and other civil servants who will be able to afford to live in urban Ireland. The choice for the next generation will boil down to three: join the big company rat race, choose unemployment and social payments, or move to the few remaining areas of the island that have affordable housing.

The Tory govt have been unashamedly visible in their loyalty to the prosperity of a small percentage of the population, at no matter what cost to the rest.

But here's the thing. Income levels aren't important. Disposable income is everything. And as the Irish govt have fuelled a system whereby upwards on 75% of income is being routed to landlords and banks, the exact same scenario is unfolding in Ireland as it is in the UK. It's just not as obvious. Yet.

Great post.

Yeah. It is near enough global this kind of thing. Also for me it's very problematic because you look at inflation, controlling it etc etc. There are situations(and currently are) where there's loads of cash about it's just in very few peoples hands. That does not help a lot of people.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 18, 2022, 03:05:38 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!


Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.

Am I missing something or is there not a spot between 50-100k (Maybe 80or 90k) where you could put in a 45p tax rate and then a 50p tax rate on those above the £150k??

Or am I just a commie marxist socialist lefty woke latte drinking member of the establishment liberal elite?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 18, 2022, 03:25:07 PM
*youre part of the anti-growth brigade Screen 😉
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 18, 2022, 03:28:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.

"It'll be tough no doubt. But we've seen tough times before and we will see them again. Try not to get to worked up about it."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 18, 2022, 03:51:40 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2022, 03:28:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.

"It'll be tough no doubt. But we've seen tough times before and we will see them again. Try not to get to worked up about it."

Deserved that didn't I?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AustinPowers on October 18, 2022, 04:15:57 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 18, 2022, 02:25:34 PM
Quote from: grounded on October 18, 2022, 01:27:12 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 18, 2022, 12:55:54 PM
Not in any way attempting to defend Tories here, only just trying to point out we've problems closer to home.

I would take issue with comments like "English people have short memories", as if Irish voters are superior.

Ireland is an economic time bomb. Unless there is a fundamental reset on second /multiple properties, we are currently witness to the last generation of emergency workers, key workers and other civil servants who will be able to afford to live in urban Ireland. The choice for the next generation will boil down to three: join the big company rat race, choose unemployment and social payments, or move to the few remaining areas of the island that have affordable housing.

The Tory govt have been unashamedly visible in their loyalty to the prosperity of a small percentage of the population, at no matter what cost to the rest.

But here's the thing. Income levels aren't important. Disposable income is everything. And as the Irish govt have fuelled a system whereby upwards on 75% of income is being routed to landlords and banks, the exact same scenario is unfolding in Ireland as it is in the UK. It's just not as obvious. Yet.

Great post.

Yeah. It is near enough global this kind of thing. Also for me it's very problematic because you look at inflation, controlling it etc etc. There are situations(and currently are) where there's loads of cash about it's just in very few peoples hands. That does not help a lot of people.

You're on to  something there . This is all bigger than  the Tories looking after themselves and their billionaire mates

Call me nuts , but I believe  this cost of living crisis , inflation, climate change etc is all  bound up together.  For example,  people can't afford to get on property ladder ,  and even both parents working with a kid or two  are struggling to survive .  If 2 parent families are struggling, what is  Single parent/1 working families like?  In good times , people could have 5 or 6 children, and make ends meet .  Now it's got to the stage  where if a couple are expecting,  they might seriously consider abortion as they could literally be out on the  street the way mortgages/childcare costs are .

I honestly think  this is all linked not only  to everyone being forced to reduce their  carbon footprint (I detest that term ), countries meeting their  emissions targets ,  and reducing the population  as people have less kids

Look at this crap  with the windfall taxes from energy companies.  Take the fuel costs for cars , govt could easily reduce it but they choose not  to .  Governments aren't  serving their people , they are serving  their masters in EU , IMF, Cop26 and those climate change gangsters
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 04:41:13 PM
Quote from: screenexile on October 18, 2022, 03:05:38 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!


Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.

Am I missing something or is there not a spot between 50-100k (Maybe 80or 90k) where you could put in a 45p tax rate and then a 50p tax rate on those above the £150k??

Or am I just a commie marxist socialist lefty woke latte drinking member of the establishment liberal elite?

I think income tax deductions > 50% lead to distortions and people getting their benefits some other way. You to make consumption taxes progressive also, e.g. in the ROI there are two rates of VRT and two rates of property tax, so you get more from people with big cars and big houses. SF are well off beam in proposing to eliminate property tax and load the income tax.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 18, 2022, 08:04:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 03:51:40 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2022, 03:28:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.

"It'll be tough no doubt. But we've seen tough times before and we will see them again. Try not to get to worked up about it."

Deserved that didn't I?

"Got up this morning, kids still went to school. I went to work. Things much the same since last Thursday."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 18, 2022, 08:22:49 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/CentralBylines/status/1582308196773158913
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 19, 2022, 09:20:07 AM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2022, 08:04:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 03:51:40 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2022, 03:28:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.

"It'll be tough no doubt. But we've seen tough times before and we will see them again. Try not to get to worked up about it."

Deserved that didn't I?

"Got up this morning, kids still went to school. I went to work. Things much the same since last Thursday."

This is good stuff. And very true.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 19, 2022, 09:46:38 AM
I made the mistake of listening to the latest David McWilliams podcast this morning which was about the UK's current situation and now i'm depressed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mike Tyson on October 19, 2022, 10:07:18 AM
Quote from: Hereiam on October 19, 2022, 09:46:38 AM
I made the mistake of listening to the latest David McWilliams podcast this morning which was about the UK's current situation and now i'm depressed.

The same doom forecaster that said in April Ireland was 5 days away from running out of diesel? He makes some excellent points at times but would take his forecasts with a pinch of salt, doesn't come across as the most optimistic of chaps. Unless it's his idea.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on October 19, 2022, 10:16:21 AM
Yea I heard the one about the diesel, although I do believe there isn't as much diesel on the market at the minute .... why else have you a 23p difference between it and petrol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2022, 10:24:51 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 18, 2022, 12:55:54 PM
Not in any way attempting to defend Tories here, only just trying to point out we've problems closer to home.

I would take issue with comments like "English people have short memories", as if Irish voters are superior.

Ireland is an economic time bomb. Unless there is a fundamental reset on second /multiple properties, we are currently witness to the last generation of emergency workers, key workers and other civil servants who will be able to afford to live in urban Ireland. The choice for the next generation will boil down to three: join the big company rat race, choose unemployment and social payments, or move to the few remaining areas of the island that have affordable housing.

The Tory govt have been unashamedly visible in their loyalty to the prosperity of a small percentage of the population, at no matter what cost to the rest.

But here's the thing. Income levels aren't important. Disposable income is everything. And as the Irish govt have fuelled a system whereby upwards on 75% of income is being routed to landlords and banks, the exact same scenario is unfolding in Ireland as it is in the UK. It's just not as obvious. Yet.
Everywhere is. The neoliberal system is dying. BTW it happened in Ireland already 2008

10 signs of neoliberalism in Ireland

The Dub 6 in a row
Professional rugby
Ryanair
Lidl
FF in coalition
Ultra low interest rates
Ultra high house prices
Investment in motorways rather than rail
RTE can't increase the TV licence
The collapse of the Irish Independent group
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on October 19, 2022, 12:12:01 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 19, 2022, 09:20:07 AM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2022, 08:04:08 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 03:51:40 PM
Quote from: Franko on October 18, 2022, 03:28:31 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:32:25 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2022, 12:21:55 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 18, 2022, 12:02:02 PM
This is frankly ridiculous. Hunt has raised taxes even further that Sunak said he would. No one voted for this. Not even the Tory party. Recession incoming. Truss doesn't have the support of the HOC and should call a GE.
These tax rises are going to hurt us in NI and for what? No investment, no government, the worst health service, shit schools, no roads west of the Bann. And people here were looking for more Taxes!!

Its a shit sandwich and I hope people enjoy eating it!

Better schools and roads require expenditure. What do you suggest they do instead of raising taxes? Print money?

I am against raising taxes. Especially when we won't see the benefit of those taxes! People's pay packets will fall in a cost of living crisis. Everyone is in for a very hard time. SME's will be crucified with the rise in corp tax. Prices will rise further.
Could Truss and Kwasi prepared the markets better? Absolutely. And yes maybe the cuts went to far, but we're now looking at taxes rising. This isn't what anyone voted for.

"It'll be tough no doubt. But we've seen tough times before and we will see them again. Try not to get to worked up about it."

Deserved that didn't I?

"Got up this morning, kids still went to school. I went to work. Things much the same since last Thursday."

This is good stuff. And very true.

"Turn the news off. You'll feel better. Honestly."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on October 19, 2022, 05:05:21 PM
Suella Braverman has resigned as Home Secretary.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2022, 05:19:51 PM
Quote from: dec on October 19, 2022, 05:05:21 PM
Suella Braverman has resigned as Home Secretary.
Over something stupid.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0f48fpoSEPU
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 19, 2022, 05:32:50 PM
She's a head banging right wing idiot. It mystifies me how obviously highly intelligent people can be such idiots. Like Truss, I think she lacks basic social skills and none of them can read a room. The Brexit bubble has truly burst, their lies are getting laughed at these days rather than retweeted. She has a deluded belief that she's a genuine leadership candidate. Grant Schapps returning to the cabinet is another attempt to bring them slightly more to the centre.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 19, 2022, 05:42:25 PM
Quote from: dec on October 19, 2022, 05:05:21 PM
Suella Braverman has resigned as Home Secretary.

The shitshow continues. How long can Truss herself and by extension the Tory government itself last. Brexit is imploding when even the Daily Telegraph is now saying that Project Fear was correct all along.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2022, 05:52:05 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 19, 2022, 05:32:50 PM
She's a head banging right wing idiot. It mystifies me how obviously highly intelligent people can be such idiots. Like Truss, I think she lacks basic social skills and none of them can read a room. The Brexit bubble has truly burst, their lies are getting laughed at these days rather than retweeted. She has a deluded belief that she's a genuine leadership candidate. Grant Schapps returning to the cabinet is another attempt to bring them slightly more to the centre.
Money. The ERG is the link to the ultra rich.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 19, 2022, 08:06:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 19, 2022, 05:32:50 PM
She's a head banging right wing idiot. It mystifies me how obviously highly intelligent people can be such idiots. Like Truss, I think she lacks basic social skills and none of them can read a room. The Brexit bubble has truly burst, their lies are getting laughed at these days rather than retweeted. She has a deluded belief that she's a genuine leadership candidate. Grant Schapps returning to the cabinet is another attempt to bring them slightly more to the centre.

And God love her but she's no oil painting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on October 19, 2022, 08:20:11 PM
Tory Chief Whip and Deputy Chief Whip are reported to have both resigned after being undermined by PM over the suspension of a three line whip on the Fracking Bill
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 19, 2022, 09:06:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 19, 2022, 08:06:56 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 19, 2022, 05:32:50 PM
She's a head banging right wing idiot. It mystifies me how obviously highly intelligent people can be such idiots. Like Truss, I think she lacks basic social skills and none of them can read a room. The Brexit bubble has truly burst, their lies are getting laughed at these days rather than retweeted. She has a deluded belief that she's a genuine leadership candidate. Grant Schapps returning to the cabinet is another attempt to bring them slightly more to the centre.

And God love her but she's no oil painting.
If rumours are to believed she makes up for her lack of good looks in other ways in the bedroom...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 19, 2022, 09:07:10 PM
The way things are going Truss's resignation seems a given, but the fact that the Tories likely won't be able to even agree a Unity candidate to become the next PM without another leadership contest makes a General election more likely.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 19, 2022, 09:12:14 PM
They are in absolute meltdown. So now reports of bullying to make their own, yes their own, members vote. Who is the only party who votes with them? The dup. What a shower of spineless fools  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 19, 2022, 09:12:30 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/jamesfahey15/status/1582752590609076225
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on October 19, 2022, 10:10:46 PM
Quote from: dec on October 19, 2022, 05:05:21 PM
Suella Braverman has resigned as Home Secretary.

You come after the tofu-eating wokerati you better not miss.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on October 19, 2022, 10:15:47 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 19, 2022, 09:12:14 PM
They are in absolute meltdown. So now reports of bullying to make their own, yes their own, members vote. Who is the only party who votes with them? The dup. What a shower of spineless fools  ;D
Fermanagh and Carrickfergus were the 2 proposed sites in NI for Fracking. A DUP vote against fracking should be a tap in for anyone standing against them in those 2 areas in the upcoming election.

EDIT: only Shannon and Girvin voted with the Tories. The others abstained.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 19, 2022, 10:23:30 PM
The whips have unresigned... Krishnan Guru Murthy calling Steve Baker a count was my particular highlight of the evening!!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on October 19, 2022, 10:37:06 PM
Just seen that lol

Jesus they are a complete shambles.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on October 19, 2022, 11:24:58 PM
https://twitter.com/notinaboyband/status/1582843224132972544?t=ysWwj6cFj4fjbNNBTlocgg&s=08

Lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 20, 2022, 12:18:07 AM
Peston called Hunt a **** as well... makes sense to call these lot what they are!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 20, 2022, 07:29:52 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on October 19, 2022, 11:51:48 PM
Quote from: HiMucker on October 19, 2022, 11:24:58 PM
https://twitter.com/notinaboyband/status/1582843224132972544?t=ysWwj6cFj4fjbNNBTlocgg&s=08 (https://twitter.com/notinaboyband/status/1582843224132972544?t=ysWwj6cFj4fjbNNBTlocgg&s=08)

Lol

Channel 4 News' Krishnan Guru-Murthy, thinking he wasn't on-air, describes NI Minister Steve Baker as a c**t!

https://twitter.com/alreadytaken74/status/1582811590264762368

He apologised fairly quickly - https://twitter.com/krishgm/status/1582814264590405632

He's far from the worst of them either!

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 20, 2022, 09:18:09 AM
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FfddFRqX0AMZNjk?format=jpg&name=small)


The lampshade is brilliant...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 20, 2022, 01:03:36 PM
(https://media.giphy.com/media/MZocLC5dJprPTcrm65/giphy.gif)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 20, 2022, 01:31:52 PM
Something imminent...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 20, 2022, 01:33:15 PM
Gone according to sky
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 20, 2022, 01:33:33 PM
2 Lizzies in one year
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 20, 2022, 01:35:40 PM
Fcuk you Armagh, stole me joke 😂😂
(Bad year for the Lizzies)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 20, 2022, 01:36:50 PM
Another half-wit Tory leader departs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 20, 2022, 01:37:26 PM
Ding dong
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on October 20, 2022, 01:40:54 PM
The absolute gall of them to try and avoid another GE ffs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Square Ball on October 20, 2022, 01:42:30 PM
This is some craic, so what price Boris back again?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: dec on October 20, 2022, 01:46:36 PM
I should have bet my life savings on the lettuce lasting longer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 20, 2022, 01:54:56 PM
Quote from: Square Ball on October 20, 2022, 01:42:30 PM
This is some craic, so what price Boris back again?
Rishi I reckon. Calls an election for around March or April, steadies the ship and blames this mess on Truss. English fools will probably vote him in again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 20, 2022, 01:55:31 PM
Larry the cat has taken over, won't make any mistakes and knows Downing street like the back of his paw
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: keep her low this half on October 20, 2022, 01:58:17 PM
What an unmitigated shambles, so much for our pensions or our childrens prospects. The sooner we are detached from those English lunatics the better.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 20, 2022, 02:03:15 PM
Leadership contest within a week means the new PM will be elected by MPs only - see Sunak is already odds on. I'd have my money on Penny Mordaunt tho. If they'd any smarts at all the right wing head bangers like Braverman wont put their names forward at all, time for a cool head and Sunak or Mordaunt are the only credible options imo. Hunt will stay as Chancellor no matter what.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 20, 2022, 02:12:54 PM
Never has her epithet the 'Human hand grenade' ever proved as apt. She blew up the government and the UK economy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 20, 2022, 02:13:35 PM
If they don't get mortgage rates down it won't matter who leads.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 20, 2022, 02:15:32 PM
Quote from: Square Ball on October 20, 2022, 01:42:30 PM
This is some craic, so what price Boris back again?

Boris @ 14s is worth a punt!!

Rishi 4/6 looks like he'll be hard to ignore.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 20, 2022, 02:16:15 PM
Leaving the choice of leader to the members was a joke
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 20, 2022, 02:18:15 PM
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/uk-politics-63309400
French President Emmanuel Macron said it was important the UK finds "stability as soon as possible".

Arriving at a European Union summit in Brussels he told reporters: "We want, above all else, stability

"On a personal level, I am always sad to see a colleague go.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 20, 2022, 02:20:07 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 20, 2022, 02:16:15 PM
Leaving the choice of leader to the members was a joke

They're going to do it again and it's changed the betting. Rishi isn't getting in if it goes to the members!!

Rishi 6/4
Penny 5/6
Boris 11/1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 20, 2022, 02:33:59 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 20, 2022, 02:13:35 PM
If they don't get mortgage rates down it won't matter who leads.

And they won't as they've triggered a financial death spiral on mortgages which will only kick in for those on trackers and others whose fixed term lapses...

I pity anyone in either of those but don't forget our pension pots have also taken a hammering...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 20, 2022, 02:35:19 PM
We need a GE and the brits should consignee these c***ts to the bin forever.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 20, 2022, 02:43:07 PM
Truss failure
(https://global.discourse-cdn.com/internachi/original/3X/1/5/15014149c26c3e149fd0d36c04a95ecd95ff2313.jpeg)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AustinPowers on October 20, 2022, 02:58:54 PM
Quote from: trailer on October 20, 2022, 02:35:19 PM
We need a GE and the brits should consignee these c***ts to the bin forever.

We thought that  after Thatcher , then Major.  But the stupid  feckers had to go and vote  them  in again   . So it's hardly surprising the way things  are
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 20, 2022, 03:11:39 PM
Boris 2.0 could be coming!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RadioGAAGAA on October 20, 2022, 03:16:20 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on October 20, 2022, 03:10:43 PM
Desperate times call for desperate measures... :P

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FfgzTFdXgAEWoN5?format=jpg&name=small)

HAHAHAHA
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Square Ball on October 20, 2022, 03:17:13 PM
I see Doris wants Boris back only way she is ever getting a ministerial job again.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 20, 2022, 03:19:27 PM
Hunt isn't running.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 20, 2022, 03:22:54 PM
https://mobile.twitter.com/ProMediaRes1/status/1583060519908696066
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 20, 2022, 04:52:21 PM
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/10/20/uks-political-instability-related-to-brexit-luxembourg-pm-says.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 21, 2022, 08:59:13 AM
Jesus if Bojo the clown enters & wins it'll be a farce the Tories might never recover from on the International stage anyway -  English Nationalists are a funny lot & might love it tho.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Square Ball on October 21, 2022, 09:11:35 AM
Bet 365 have
Sunak 4/5
Boris 6/4
Then Mordaunt 15/2.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 09:54:17 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 21, 2022, 08:59:13 AM
Jesus if Bojo the clown enters & wins it'll be a farce the Tories might never recover from on the International stage anyway -  English Nationalists are a funny lot & might love it tho.
The argument that can be made for Johnson is that he did win an election, so if he's appointed at least that could help silence calls for a GE which the Tories will want to avoid.

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he did come in, let Hunt/Rishi whoever steady things financially and then walk an election in couple of years. Never underestimate the stupidity of the average Englishman. Then remember half are even stupider than that
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on October 21, 2022, 10:07:27 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 09:54:17 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 21, 2022, 08:59:13 AM
Jesus if Bojo the clown enters & wins it'll be a farce the Tories might never recover from on the International stage anyway -  English Nationalists are a funny lot & might love it tho.
The argument that can be made for Johnson is that he did win an election, so if he's appointed at least that could help silence calls for a GE which the Tories will want to avoid.

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he did come in, let Hunt/Rishi whoever steady things financially and then walk an election in couple of years. Never underestimate the stupidity of the average Englishman. Then remember half are even stupider than that

He was standing against Corbyn so that election win should be asterisked1

It's absolutely staggering to think that Johnson is being mentioned again and that people are calling for his return, while keeping a straight face. It's got even more crazier, if that was possible.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 10:15:24 AM
Quote from: Armamike on October 21, 2022, 10:07:27 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 09:54:17 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 21, 2022, 08:59:13 AM
Jesus if Bojo the clown enters & wins it'll be a farce the Tories might never recover from on the International stage anyway -  English Nationalists are a funny lot & might love it tho.
The argument that can be made for Johnson is that he did win an election, so if he's appointed at least that could help silence calls for a GE which the Tories will want to avoid.

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he did come in, let Hunt/Rishi whoever steady things financially and then walk an election in couple of years. Never underestimate the stupidity of the average Englishman. Then remember half are even stupider than that

He was standing against Corbyn so that election win should be asterisked1

It's absolutely staggering to think that Johnson is being mentioned again and that people are calling for his return, while keeping a straight face. It's got even more crazier, if that was possible.
It's absolute bonkers that he's even being considered is right. However English people fecking love him. He plays the character of the bumbling likeable (to them) clown to a tee and they lap it up. He should be in jail along with most of his cronies. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 10:15:36 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 09:54:17 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 21, 2022, 08:59:13 AM
Jesus if Bojo the clown enters & wins it'll be a farce the Tories might never recover from on the International stage anyway -  English Nationalists are a funny lot & might love it tho.
The argument that can be made for Johnson is that he did win an election, so if he's appointed at least that could help silence calls for a GE which the Tories will want to avoid.

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he did come in, let Hunt/Rishi whoever steady things financially and then walk an election in couple of years. Never underestimate the stupidity of the average Englishman. Then remember half are even stupider than that
He did. when interest rates were very low and the costs of Brexit were hidden.
The Red Wall has gone back to Labour and the Blue Wall is heading for the Lib Dems.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 10:33:22 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 10:15:36 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 09:54:17 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 21, 2022, 08:59:13 AM
Jesus if Bojo the clown enters & wins it'll be a farce the Tories might never recover from on the International stage anyway -  English Nationalists are a funny lot & might love it tho.
The argument that can be made for Johnson is that he did win an election, so if he's appointed at least that could help silence calls for a GE which the Tories will want to avoid.

I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he did come in, let Hunt/Rishi whoever steady things financially and then walk an election in couple of years. Never underestimate the stupidity of the average Englishman. Then remember half are even stupider than that
He did. when interest rates were very low and the costs of Brexit were hidden.
The Red Wall has gone back to Labour and the Blue Wall is heading for the Lib Dems.
Hopefully they're wiped from existence asap. Not that Starmer/labour would fill you with confidence but cant be any worse. Wouldn't surprise me in the slightest though if they ride this out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 10:34:23 AM
Look at the responses of Mary Lou, Leo and Martin to Truss resigning. 2 muppets keeping up their boot licking, one real leader.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 21, 2022, 10:53:58 AM
Nonsense
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:56:17 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 21, 2022, 10:53:58 AM
Nonsense

What was/is more nonsense, him getting the job in the first place or getting it again?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 21, 2022, 10:58:49 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again

No chance, they will be decimated no matter who gets in as leader. It's sad that things had to get so dire before they realised the catastrophic path that the Tories have led them down.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 21, 2022, 11:10:24 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:56:17 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 21, 2022, 10:53:58 AM
Nonsense

What was/is more nonsense, him getting the job in the first place or getting it again?

QuoteThey say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again

Unless he works miracles they are toast and his tenure certainly showed he is far from capable of any miracles. Plus he is still under investigation and even if he got in he could be put out again on the back of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 11:11:24 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again
Mortgage rates are too high
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 21, 2022, 11:18:07 AM
Problem is for the Tory party they are essentially 2 parties now (at least). You have the lunatic ERG fringe and then the right of centre. Most centrists or slight right of centre were purged under Johnson as most were remainers. Would love to see them split into two parties and be finished for a very very long time. If Labour win with a big majority and dont call for PR and closer ties with EU then i give up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 21, 2022, 11:43:26 AM
Quote from: maddog on October 21, 2022, 11:18:07 AM
Problem is for the Tory party they are essentially 2 parties now (at least). You have the lunatic ERG fringe and then the right of centre. Most centrists or slight right of centre were purged under Johnson as most were remainers. Would love to see them split into two parties and be finished for a very very long time. If Labour win with a big majority and dont call for PR and closer ties with EU then i give up.

They had a referendum on PR and it was rejected - 67% voted no. Difficult to change that given the public has had their say.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 21, 2022, 11:45:20 AM
Labour are not the good labour unfortunately. PR and Brexit are not the answers people want out of them  :(
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on October 21, 2022, 11:47:51 AM
Quote from: trailer on October 21, 2022, 11:43:26 AM
Quote from: maddog on October 21, 2022, 11:18:07 AM
Problem is for the Tory party they are essentially 2 parties now (at least). You have the lunatic ERG fringe and then the right of centre. Most centrists or slight right of centre were purged under Johnson as most were remainers. Would love to see them split into two parties and be finished for a very very long time. If Labour win with a big majority and dont call for PR and closer ties with EU then i give up.

They had a referendum on PR and it was rejected - 67% voted no. Difficult to change that given the public has had their say.

Over a decade ago. Would imagine vote would be more favourable now seeing as FPTP two party system has been demonstrated to be just about broken.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 11:48:45 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 11:11:24 AM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again
Mortgage rates are too high

Its not for two year or so... He'll bring that down and ride off into history a legend!!  ;)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armamike on October 21, 2022, 12:07:45 PM
The big problem for the Tories and the rest of us is that they've got rid of any one with a modicum of ability.  Unless the new PM brings back a few old names, there's no one there with the capabilities needed to improve things.  British voters always punish Govs who oversee economic chaos.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 21, 2022, 12:20:28 PM
Quote from: Armamike on October 21, 2022, 12:07:45 PM
The big problem for the Tories and the rest of us is that they've got rid of any one with a modicum of ability.  Unless the new PM brings back a few old names, there's no one there with the capabilities needed to improve things.  British voters always punish Govs who oversee economic chaos.
Depends how the Tories/media spin it. You saw the claims a few weeks ago after the mini budget that the reason for the economy tanking was that Starmer was looking likely to get in next
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 21, 2022, 12:47:13 PM
Starmer would be delighted to see the clown back. Suicide by the Tories if they do it
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 21, 2022, 01:01:44 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again

The Tory party who's cabinet resigned en masse a very short period of time ago must hope that the English voters suffer from the very same amnesia if they think Boris will be a winner at the polls in a year or two's time.

Clowns making the UK a laughing stock.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Square Ball on October 21, 2022, 01:13:25 PM
Boris has cut short a holiday to return home. He's now 11/10 with Bet365
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 01:17:34 PM
The UK has been living beyond its means for a long time. The Current Account Deficit is the measure.
When Kwarteng issued the budget that game was up.
Brexit costs 4% of GDP pa. So the Brits have to grow their economy and get debt down with that handicap.
As the Connemara farmer said to the Yank looking for directions to Galway, "I wouldn't start from there."
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Itchy on October 21, 2022, 01:21:55 PM
I, for one, am in enjoying Brexit. The immediate demise of Ireland as a result proved unfounded and watching these eejits over the ponds implode is delightful.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 01:36:17 PM
Quote from: Itchy on October 21, 2022, 01:21:55 PM
I, for one, am in enjoying Brexit. The immediate demise of Ireland as a result proved unfounded and watching these eejits over the ponds implode is delightful.
Do you remember the London analysts insulting the late Brian Lenihan when Ireland was going through the wringer in 09 or so? Now it's their turn
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 21, 2022, 02:02:04 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 21, 2022, 01:01:44 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again

The Tory party who's cabinet resigned en masse a very short period of time ago must hope that the English voters suffer from the very same amnesia if they think Boris will be a winner at the polls in a year or two's time.

Clowns making the UK a laughing stock.

Great watching it all. Hilarious.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 21, 2022, 02:56:21 PM
the shitshow is good to watch but all the while theyre still in power and we're the ones paying for it just now. So funny but not funny at same time....
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Saffrongael on October 21, 2022, 03:05:12 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 21, 2022, 02:02:04 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 21, 2022, 01:01:44 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again

The Tory party who's cabinet resigned en masse a very short period of time ago must hope that the English voters suffer from the very same amnesia if they think Boris will be a winner at the polls in a year or two's time.

Clowns making the UK a laughing stock.

Great watching it all. Hilarious.

Aye hilarious if you are looking for a new mortgage product. Side splitting
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on October 21, 2022, 03:21:02 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again
Not a chance, the sands have shifted rapidly and massively
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 21, 2022, 03:30:50 PM
Dunno Mucker theres a lot of water bein tested just now...lot of noise in the media. Id still lean towards it not happenin but nothin surprises me with that lot any more...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 21, 2022, 03:31:48 PM
Some boy on the twitter said theres that much evidence against him for this enquiry if he did get in hed be out by xmas anyways...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: HiMucker on October 21, 2022, 03:35:06 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 21, 2022, 03:31:48 PM
Some boy on the twitter said theres that much evidence against him for this enquiry if he did get in hed be out by xmas anyways...
lol, not surprising. Get him in te buck and out for Christmas, sure whats another change of pm at this stage!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 21, 2022, 03:35:29 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 21, 2022, 03:31:48 PM
Some boy on the twitter said theres that much evidence against him for this enquiry if he did get in hed be out by xmas anyways...

Why are they wheeling him out then? Some plan to weed out the rest of the chaff using Boris? They are some cartel.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: brokencrossbar1 on October 21, 2022, 03:39:57 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 21, 2022, 03:31:48 PM
Some boy on the twitter said theres that much evidence against him for this enquiry if he did get in hed be out by xmas anyways...

Not just some boy saying that...it's Paul Brand, chief political editor for ITV news. If he is saying it then there must be sufficient evidence to support it. There are moves to nullify the committee powers which in itself is scary.

He may have support but he is a dangerous man.

Penny Mordaunt has announced her intention to run
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 03:47:09 PM
28 minutes but well worth watching



https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wO2lWmgEK1Y
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 21, 2022, 03:53:48 PM
Quote from: brokencrossbar1 on October 21, 2022, 03:39:57 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 21, 2022, 03:31:48 PM
Some boy on the twitter said theres that much evidence against him for this enquiry if he did get in hed be out by xmas anyways...

Not just some boy saying that...it's Paul Brand, chief political editor for ITV news. If he is saying it then there must be sufficient evidence to support it. There are moves to nullify the committee powers which in itself is scary.

He may have support but he is a dangerous man.

Penny Mordaunt has announced her intention to run

Thats the one! They are a crazy and dangerous lot just now. And the public are the last thing on their minds. Basturts
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 03:56:00 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 03:47:09 PM
28 minutes but well worth watching



https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wO2lWmgEK1Y


Boy you have some time on your hands!!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 21, 2022, 04:07:27 PM
Penny will have her knockers but plenty of support too.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 04:45:19 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 21, 2022, 04:07:27 PM
Penny will have her knockers but plenty of support too.
She's a Brexit head and has no experience
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 21, 2022, 04:51:54 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 21, 2022, 04:07:27 PM
Penny will have her knockers but plenty of support too.
She is a fine one
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on October 22, 2022, 02:15:16 AM
Quote from: Saffrongael on October 21, 2022, 03:05:12 PM
Quote from: red hander on October 21, 2022, 02:02:04 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 21, 2022, 01:01:44 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on October 21, 2022, 10:41:24 AM
They say a week is long time in politics and if Boris came in and rallied the troops by the time they actually call a GE he'll be voted in again

The Tory party who's cabinet resigned en masse a very short period of time ago must hope that the English voters suffer from the very same amnesia if they think Boris will be a winner at the polls in a year or two's time.

Clowns making the UK a laughing stock.

Great watching it all. Hilarious.

Aye hilarious if you are looking for a new mortgage product. Side splitting

I'm not. And I was talking about the Tories tearing themselves apart. F**king get over yourself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 22, 2022, 10:50:40 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 04:45:19 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 21, 2022, 04:07:27 PM
Penny will have her knockers but plenty of support too.
She's a Brexit head and has no experience

https://twitter.com/PennyMordaunt/status/1583745537387692033?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1583745537387692033%7Ctwgr%5E27e0d57c11d9824ea123f58205909c2e26bee10d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.co.uk%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-63338261 (https://twitter.com/PennyMordaunt/status/1583745537387692033?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1583745537387692033%7Ctwgr%5E27e0d57c11d9824ea123f58205909c2e26bee10d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.co.uk%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-63338261)

"I learnt that my country stands up to bullies"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 22, 2022, 12:31:00 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 22, 2022, 10:50:40 AM
Quote from: seafoid on October 21, 2022, 04:45:19 PM
Quote from: weareros on October 21, 2022, 04:07:27 PM
Penny will have her knockers but plenty of support too.
She's a Brexit head and has no experience

https://twitter.com/PennyMordaunt/status/1583745537387692033?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1583745537387692033%7Ctwgr%5E27e0d57c11d9824ea123f58205909c2e26bee10d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.co.uk%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-63338261 (https://twitter.com/PennyMordaunt/status/1583745537387692033?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1583745537387692033%7Ctwgr%5E27e0d57c11d9824ea123f58205909c2e26bee10d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.bbc.co.uk%2Fnews%2Flive%2Fuk-politics-63338261)

"I learnt that my country stands up to bullies"
She has no ministerial experience.
Imagine putting big Frank in charge of Chelsea
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 09:24:35 PM
Boris pulling out, despite getting 102 backers. Angling for a cabinet position?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Square Ball on October 23, 2022, 09:34:26 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 09:24:35 PM
Boris pulling out, despite getting 102 backers. Angling for a cabinet position?
maybe he just didn't have the 100 and was spoofing about the 102, but then again he wouldn't lie
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 23, 2022, 09:43:50 PM
Less than 100 publicly declared apparently. Who would know whether that boy was lying. Well he said it so it's probably a lie but we will likely never know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on October 23, 2022, 10:17:15 PM
Lad been telling lies all his life, only reason someone obviously qualified at f**k all could get so far in life.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 23, 2022, 10:32:13 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 09:24:35 PM
Boris pulling out, despite getting 102 backers. Angling for a cabinet position?
He may have concluded that now is a good time to win the leadership of the tories.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 11:38:11 PM
I'd believe he had 102 handy enough. He had 60 odd with half of them publicly declaring.
Tories to elect the first non-white prime minister.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 09:48:01 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 11:38:11 PM
I'd believe he had 102 handy enough. He had 60 odd with half of them publicly declaring.
Tories to elect the first non-white prime minister.
I've said it numerous times (IMO) I don't think the Tories are racist, they're only interested in the colour of your money and social standing. The likes of Sunak would prosper every day ahead of a prospective white Tory candidate from a northern council estate.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on October 24, 2022, 10:07:17 AM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on October 24, 2022, 02:48:13 AM
First time Johnson's ever pulled out of anything.  :o

Stunning.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blasmere on October 24, 2022, 10:27:43 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 09:48:01 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 11:38:11 PM
I'd believe he had 102 handy enough. He had 60 odd with half of them publicly declaring.
Tories to elect the first non-white prime minister.
I've said it numerous times (IMO) I don't think the Tories are racist, they're only interested in the colour of your money and social standing. The likes of Sunak would prosper every day ahead of a prospective white Tory candidate from a northern council estate.

https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830 (https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830)

I'd disagree with that and I appreciate the above is just one example but I think this is how a lot of little englanders think.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 11:02:58 AM
Quote from: blasmere on October 24, 2022, 10:27:43 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 09:48:01 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 11:38:11 PM
I'd believe he had 102 handy enough. He had 60 odd with half of them publicly declaring.
Tories to elect the first non-white prime minister.
I've said it numerous times (IMO) I don't think the Tories are racist, they're only interested in the colour of your money and social standing. The likes of Sunak would prosper every day ahead of a prospective white Tory candidate from a northern council estate.

https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830 (https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830)

I'd disagree with that and I appreciate the above is just one example but I think this is how a lot of little englanders think.
I mean the party as an entity, they'll elect Sunak before a pleb. The Conservative party is full of headbangers of all descriptions - as are most parties.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 24, 2022, 11:20:44 AM
Sunak reminds me of Brian Cowen in 2006. The Finance man with the numbers.
No idea of the risk building up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blasmere on October 24, 2022, 11:23:53 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 11:02:58 AM
Quote from: blasmere on October 24, 2022, 10:27:43 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 09:48:01 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 11:38:11 PM
I'd believe he had 102 handy enough. He had 60 odd with half of them publicly declaring.
Tories to elect the first non-white prime minister.
I've said it numerous times (IMO) I don't think the Tories are racist, they're only interested in the colour of your money and social standing. The likes of Sunak would prosper every day ahead of a prospective white Tory candidate from a northern council estate.

https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830 (https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830)

I'd disagree with that and I appreciate the above is just one example but I think this is how a lot of little englanders think.
I mean the party as an entity, they'll elect Sunak before a pleb. The Conservative party is full of headbangers of all descriptions - as are most parties.

If it's allowed to go the members I'd be surprised if Sunak gets it. That caller reflects a lot of what the average member thinks. The MP's are a bit more open minded in the race regard but certainly not the class regard.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on October 24, 2022, 11:56:05 AM
Mourdant has an interesting family tree. Daughter of a Para-Trooper but her grandfather an Irishman fought in the War of Independence and for the British in WWI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 12:36:16 PM
Quote from: blasmere on October 24, 2022, 11:23:53 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 11:02:58 AM
Quote from: blasmere on October 24, 2022, 10:27:43 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 09:48:01 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 11:38:11 PM
I'd believe he had 102 handy enough. He had 60 odd with half of them publicly declaring.
Tories to elect the first non-white prime minister.
I've said it numerous times (IMO) I don't think the Tories are racist, they're only interested in the colour of your money and social standing. The likes of Sunak would prosper every day ahead of a prospective white Tory candidate from a northern council estate.

https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830 (https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830)

I'd disagree with that and I appreciate the above is just one example but I think this is how a lot of little englanders think.
I mean the party as an entity, they'll elect Sunak before a pleb. The Conservative party is full of headbangers of all descriptions - as are most parties.

If it's allowed to go the members I'd be surprised if Sunak gets it. That caller reflects a lot of what the average member thinks. The MP's are a bit more open minded in the race regard but certainly not the class regard.
Yeah, that's a fair enough observation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 24, 2022, 12:45:28 PM
Quote from: blasmere on October 24, 2022, 11:23:53 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 11:02:58 AM
Quote from: blasmere on October 24, 2022, 10:27:43 AM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 24, 2022, 09:48:01 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on October 23, 2022, 11:38:11 PM
I'd believe he had 102 handy enough. He had 60 odd with half of them publicly declaring.
Tories to elect the first non-white prime minister.
I've said it numerous times (IMO) I don't think the Tories are racist, they're only interested in the colour of your money and social standing. The likes of Sunak would prosper every day ahead of a prospective white Tory candidate from a northern council estate.

https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830 (https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1583836182781517830)

I'd disagree with that and I appreciate the above is just one example but I think this is how a lot of little englanders think.
I mean the party as an entity, they'll elect Sunak before a pleb. The Conservative party is full of headbangers of all descriptions - as are most parties.

If it's allowed to go the members I'd be surprised if Sunak gets it. That caller reflects a lot of what the average member thinks. The MP's are a bit more open minded in the race regard but certainly not the class regard.
Yeah was just going to post this. I think skin colour is a big issue for the party membership moreso than for the MP's
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 24, 2022, 02:10:50 PM
Quote from: Fionntamhnach on October 24, 2022, 02:06:33 PM
Mordaunt's dropped out of the running, leaving just Sunak in place to get the >100 Tory MP mark and be declared the default victor.

He's still a very right wing Gee-bag, be in no doubt, but he may be organised unlike the last two cretins.

He'll also not want a trade war with the EU with the IMF hovering over to offer a bale-out...

Not sure how that'll play out with the DUP and the NI Protocol/Bill in parliamentary limbo.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 24, 2022, 02:28:25 PM
Baron Kilclooney will be horrified, given his spoken distaste for Indians.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 24, 2022, 03:01:32 PM
He reminds me of Brian Cowen c 2006.
The Finance man, with the numbers.
He couldn't play senior hurling in 2008.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 24, 2022, 04:57:22 PM
Holy Lord,
      yet another expensive education and can hardly string a sentence together in front of the camera..

no wonder some Torys pine for Boris who can at least string a sentence together, it'll be pure lies laced but semi-coherent.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 25, 2022, 02:14:11 AM
https://mobile.twitter.com/kprescott/status/158443877052639232
1Investor Guy Hands on the Today programme: "Without renegotiating Brexit "the economy is frankly doomed <which means> steadily increasing taxes, steadily reducing benefits and social services, higher interest rates and eventually the need for a bailout from the IMF"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on October 25, 2022, 09:19:44 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2022/oct/25/a-decent-home-sara-terry-documentary

This is little more than a step or two ahead of what's happening in Ireland. Ridicule Brexit all you like. Show your abhorrence to Tory greed all you like. Ireland is a place where the rich get richer at whatever cost necessary. We are a property time bomb.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 25, 2022, 10:23:40 AM
Quote from: thewobbler on October 25, 2022, 09:19:44 AM
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2022/oct/25/a-decent-home-sara-terry-documentary

This is little more than a step or two ahead of what's happening in Ireland. Ridicule Brexit all you like. Show your abhorrence to Tory greed all you like. Ireland is a place where the rich get richer at whatever cost necessary. We are a property time bomb.
The core issue is neoliberalism. The UK runs a more extreme version but it is all dying slowly.
A lot of the things that we think are normal such as celebrity news, high house prices, political instability, Real Madrid winning Champions Leagues, Man City clocking up Premierships, pro rugby, rugby concussion, the state of Leinster football, Lidl and Aldi - these are all linked to the economic system.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 25, 2022, 12:52:11 PM
Jacob Reese Mogg resigns. Has had to focus on opening more workhouses for the poor.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 25, 2022, 12:58:28 PM
A horrible horrible man without an ounce of humanity in him. Good riddance.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 25, 2022, 01:07:58 PM
When you think of Brexit, the human pencil that is Mogg is always one of the first people who spring to mind.

It looks like Sunak may take a different approach than both Johnson and Truss and try to reach a negotiated agreement with the EU.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on October 25, 2022, 01:39:09 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 25, 2022, 12:52:11 PM
Jacob Reese Mogg resigns. Has had to focus on opening more workhouses for the poor.

Brandon Lewis stepping down also and Wendy "Moron" Morton returning to the backbenches which would still appear to be too high an intellectual level for her.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on October 25, 2022, 01:57:15 PM
Quote from: mouview on October 25, 2022, 01:39:09 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 25, 2022, 12:52:11 PM
Jacob Reese Mogg resigns. Has had to focus on opening more workhouses for the poor.

Brandon Lewis stepping down also and Wendy "Moron" Morton returning to the backbenches which would still appear to be too high an intellectual level for her.

All going before they were fired. Brandon Lewis not only went with Truss and the second coming of Boris, he blamed Rishi for taking EU side on protocol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: grounded on October 25, 2022, 02:19:55 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 25, 2022, 01:07:58 PM
When you think of Brexit, the human pencil that is Mogg is always one of the first people who spring to mind.

It looks like Sunak may take a different approach than both Johnson and Truss and try to reach a negotiated agreement with the EU.

An odious, selfish, greedy p***k. By the time the rest of the poor silly basta%rds who voted for Brexit realise it was all a con, this slime ball will be long gone with his fortune.
     

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 25, 2022, 02:31:12 PM
Quote from: grounded on October 25, 2022, 02:19:55 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 25, 2022, 01:07:58 PM
When you think of Brexit, the human pencil that is Mogg is always one of the first people who spring to mind.

It looks like Sunak may take a different approach than both Johnson and Truss and try to reach a negotiated agreement with the EU.

An odious, selfish, greedy p***k. By the time the rest of the poor silly basta%rds who voted for Brexit realise it was all a con, this slime ball will be long gone with his fortune.
     

If ever there was a pompous p***k elevated beyond his ability it's him. Posh accent and the expensive eductation doesn't mean anything we've quickly found out with these charlatans.

The English working class need to move on from the "Born to rule over us" nonsense and see these people for what they are.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 25, 2022, 02:41:54 PM
Braverman back in the position she had to quit from? Only last week?! Honeymoon period over already if so lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 25, 2022, 03:16:18 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 25, 2022, 02:31:12 PM
Quote from: grounded on October 25, 2022, 02:19:55 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 25, 2022, 01:07:58 PM
When you think of Brexit, the human pencil that is Mogg is always one of the first people who spring to mind.

It looks like Sunak may take a different approach than both Johnson and Truss and try to reach a negotiated agreement with the EU.

An odious, selfish, greedy p***k. By the time the rest of the poor silly basta%rds who voted for Brexit realise it was all a con, this slime ball will be long gone with his fortune.
     

If ever there was a pompous p***k elevated beyond his ability it's him. Posh accent and the expensive eductation doesn't mean anything we've quickly found out with these charlatans.

The English working class need to move on from the "Born to rule over us" nonsense and see these people for what they are.

You read some shit like whatever you think about him he was a decent man. Was he bollocks. Ask the families of the grenfell tower atrocity how decent they think he is.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on October 25, 2022, 03:23:38 PM
if bravermann becomes pm uk is doomed
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: screenexile on October 25, 2022, 04:30:02 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 25, 2022, 02:41:54 PM
Braverman back in the position she had to quit from? Only last week?! Honeymoon period over already if so lol

Sunak already committed to the "Rwanda plan" during the leadership contest so wouldn't be surprised if he kept her there. She's vile and pretty much blew up the India deal so hard to see why you would have her around the place.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 25, 2022, 04:32:14 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 25, 2022, 02:41:54 PM
Braverman back in the position she had to quit from? Only last week?! Honeymoon period over already if so lol

The juxtaposition of the words Braverman and honeymoon brings some horrifying thoughts.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on October 25, 2022, 05:13:38 PM
This is good, but I'm pretty sure Fermanagh House is in County Antrim

https://twitter.com/stevebakerhw/status/1584913756949291008?s=46&t=OVeh9Y_P-ie6ruko6lxtMA
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on October 25, 2022, 05:44:39 PM
Disappointing to see Braverman back so quickly, an obvious sop to the right wing ultras but a huge stick to beat Sunak with already. Doesn't bode well on the political acumen front.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 25, 2022, 06:14:43 PM
The reappointment of Braverman tells you a lot about Sunak and we can only assume that he is another pull the ladder up type when it comes to immigrants. Patel, Braverman and Sunak are all of Indian descent but they don't appear to have much empathy for refugees or people looking for a better life. It's all about their own personal power and wealth. Maybe its a determination to prove their 'Britishness' to the powers that be and political class that causes them to overcompensate.

I read where Sunak is worth over twice as much as King Charlie with his estimated personal wealth of over £700 million. How can he understand the common problems of the ordinary working people, he's living in a different world. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on October 25, 2022, 06:20:00 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 25, 2022, 06:14:43 PM
The reappointment of Braverman tells you a lot about Sunak and we can only assume that he is another pull the ladder up type when it comes to immigrants. Patel, Braverman and Sunak are all of Indian descent but they don't appear to have much empathy for refugees or people looking for a better life. It's all about their own personal power and wealth. Maybe its a determination to prove their 'Britishness' to the powers that be and political class that causes them to overcompensate.

I read where Sunak is worth over twice as much as King Charlie with his estimated personal wealth of over £700 million. How can he understand the common problems of the ordinary working people, he's living in a different world.

Presumably, Sunak's parents did the paperwork to immigrate and didn't just break the law because it didn't suit them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 25, 2022, 06:32:43 PM
Quote from: quit yo jibbajabba on October 25, 2022, 02:41:54 PM
Braverman back in the position she had to quit from? Only last week?! Honeymoon period over already if so lol

Resigned for a security breach too so not like it was a personal thing. Another bad one. She's not even competent. - I suspect she just does the soulless stuff some of them don't want their name attached to.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 25, 2022, 07:53:10 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on October 25, 2022, 05:44:39 PM
Disappointing to see Braverman back so quickly, an obvious sop to the right wing ultras but a huge stick to beat Sunak with already. Doesn't bode well on the political acumen front.
The ERG's pound of flesh.
The ERG's job is to blackmail the Government
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on October 26, 2022, 12:39:11 AM
How's a security breach 6/7 days, ago still not a security breach now, new PM aside, there a bunch of untrustworthy, scummy outfit, just out for themselves. That bollix Truss didn't even apologise for f**king over everybody mortgages for the nxt couple of yrs, a ignorant p***k.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: quit yo jibbajabba on October 26, 2022, 09:15:09 AM
Ive reconciled myself with the fact that theyre all c*nts and my only hope is that hes less of a c*nt than boris and what truss wouldve been. Low bar i know.

Im already counting down to the end of 2023. Hope springs eternal
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 26, 2022, 09:43:11 AM
Strongly agree with last two posts. A bunch of c**ts and that is all they are. Not an ounce of humanity in the whole lot of them and fit for nothing. You think you have seen the worst and then along comes another worse one so we may not have even seen the worst yet. Sunak with the Braverman appointment has already set his stall out that he's as bad as the rest of them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 26, 2022, 09:51:10 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 26, 2022, 09:43:11 AM
Strongly agree with last two posts. A bunch of c**ts and that is all they are. Not an ounce of humanity in the whole lot of them and fit for nothing. You think you have seen the worst and then along comes another worse one so we may not have even seen the worst yet. Sunak with the Braverman appointment has already set his stall out that he's as bad as the rest of them.

He's had to drink with the devil to get the ERG votes onside to scupper Boris and this is the price he's prepared to pay for that ambition.

A bunch of cúnts really doesn't do them justice.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 26, 2022, 09:57:59 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 26, 2022, 09:51:10 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 26, 2022, 09:43:11 AM
Strongly agree with last two posts. A bunch of c**ts and that is all they are. Not an ounce of humanity in the whole lot of them and fit for nothing. You think you have seen the worst and then along comes another worse one so we may not have even seen the worst yet. Sunak with the Braverman appointment has already set his stall out that he's as bad as the rest of them.

He's had to drink with the devil to get the ERG votes onside to scupper Boris and this is the price he's prepared to pay for that ambition.

A bunch of cúnts really doesn't do them justice.
How many of those ERG bastards are there? What would it take for a half sensible leader to cull them all and stand reasonable (relatively of course as they're still Tories) candidates next time?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 26, 2022, 11:04:51 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 26, 2022, 09:57:59 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on October 26, 2022, 09:51:10 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 26, 2022, 09:43:11 AM
Strongly agree with last two posts. A bunch of c**ts and that is all they are. Not an ounce of humanity in the whole lot of them and fit for nothing. You think you have seen the worst and then along comes another worse one so we may not have even seen the worst yet. Sunak with the Braverman appointment has already set his stall out that he's as bad as the rest of them.

He's had to drink with the devil to get the ERG votes onside to scupper Boris and this is the price he's prepared to pay for that ambition.

A bunch of cúnts really doesn't do them justice.
How many of those ERG bastards are there? What would it take for a half sensible leader to cull them all and stand reasonable (relatively of course as they're still Tories) candidates next time?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Research_Group
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on October 27, 2022, 01:01:11 PM
Great craic in stormont. there. Jim "the one seat wonder" even threw a no surrender in. Class
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 03:00:41 PM
https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/1585627077117890560?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1585627077117890560%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=

Rishi misleading parliament over Bravermans misbehaviour. Odds on him breaking Truss' record?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 03:01:20 PM
Quote from: markl121 on October 27, 2022, 01:01:11 PM
Great craic in stormont. there. Jim "the one seat wonder" even threw a no surrender in. Class
Can't bring myself to follow much of it tbh. Take it we're heading for another election then?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on October 27, 2022, 03:03:48 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 03:01:20 PM
Quote from: markl121 on October 27, 2022, 01:01:11 PM
Great craic in stormont. there. Jim "the one seat wonder" even threw a no surrender in. Class
Can't bring myself to follow much of it tbh. Take it we're heading for another election then?
Yep. Jim all-star with a ridiculous speech which has done what it needed to do. The usuals on twitter are all applauding him.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: smort on October 27, 2022, 03:10:46 PM
I know things are not great, but unionist rhetoric recently, the statements in stormont today, wee sheamy on Nolan yesterday and on twitter... Things are getting ugly
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 27, 2022, 03:27:04 PM
This is all created by the DUP. All of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on October 27, 2022, 03:50:51 PM
The "one seat wonder"

https://twitter.com/dup_online/status/1585643736272207876
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on October 27, 2022, 04:21:51 PM
The only thing for sure is that Donaldson has absolutely no control of Unionism. Jim Allister and Jamie Bryson (although he himself is only a front for more sinister elements) are the men in charge now and Donaldson is merely carrying out instructions from extreme Unionism and loyalism. He was never leadership material to begin with but he is even lamer than I imagined and he looks totally clueless. The standard of Unionist politician has never been poorer.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on October 27, 2022, 04:48:36 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 27, 2022, 04:21:51 PM
The only thing for sure is that Donaldson has absolutely no control of Unionism. Jim Allister and Jamie Bryson (although he himself is only a front for more sinister elements) are the men in charge now and Donaldson is merely carrying out instructions from extreme Unionism and loyalism. He was never leadership material to begin with but he is even lamer than I imagined and he looks totally clueless. The standard of Unionist politician has never been poorer.

Donaldson is no leader, he's looking over his shoulder at the TUV/LCC/Bryson/UVF and appeasing them..

Great to see Allister glowing with rage at the "union dismantling protocol"......

Own it big lad..  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 04:52:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 27, 2022, 03:27:04 PM
This is all created by the DUP. All of it.
The GFA needs to be revisited and strengthened because it is far too easy for the DUP to hold the assembly and the institutions hostage.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 04:56:12 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 04:52:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 27, 2022, 03:27:04 PM
This is all created by the DUP. All of it.
The GFA needs to be revisited and strengthened because it is far too easy for the DUP to hold the assembly and the institutions hostage.
Yep. Dublin and London should both be pushing this. More and more in England are seeing the dinosaurs for what they are, think there was nearly laughter at their objections to the Irish language act in parliament yesterday
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on October 27, 2022, 05:04:55 PM
Does this mean we have to have another election in the spring/summer then another one next winter do we have to have elections every 6 months
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 05:16:22 PM
Quote from: Eire90 on October 27, 2022, 05:04:55 PM
Does this mean we have to have another election in the spring/summer then another one next winter do we have to have elections every 6 months
depends on how many elections it takes the DUP to be biggest party. If they were ti win this one I think you'd magically find the protocol is a whole lot more palatable to them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AustinPowers on October 27, 2022, 06:00:56 PM
Quote from: markl121 on October 27, 2022, 03:03:48 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 03:01:20 PM
Quote from: markl121 on October 27, 2022, 01:01:11 PM
Great craic in stormont. there. Jim "the one seat wonder" even threw a no surrender in. Class
Can't bring myself to follow much of it tbh. Take it we're heading for another election then?
Yep. Jim all-star with a ridiculous speech which has done what it needed to do. The usuals on twitter are all applauding him.

I caught a  bit of his speech and one thing he did say was true.

He said  that any covid/cost of living  payments  that were made (or going to be made) come from Westminster.  And even if Stormont was up  and running  these payments would still come from Westminster.

So , in reality, what jim  was saying is there is no need/use for Stormont.  Honestly  , what is the point of Stormont? There is none

Laws such as  abortion/gay marriage were passed by Westminster.  What have Stormont actually done of note? I'm struggling to  come up with anything
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: AustinPowers on October 27, 2022, 06:07:32 PM
Quote from: yellowcard on October 27, 2022, 04:21:51 PM
The only thing for sure is that Donaldson has absolutely no control of Unionism. Jim Allister and Jamie Bryson (although he himself is only a front for more sinister elements) are the men in charge now and Donaldson is merely carrying out instructions from extreme Unionism and loyalism. He was never leadership material to begin with but he is even lamer than I imagined and he looks totally clueless. The standard of Unionist politician has never been poorer.

That's because the union  has never been under as much  threat  than it has now

Expect more of the same , and worse, from  unionist leaders going forward
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on October 27, 2022, 06:12:38 PM
is there a high chance sinn fein refuses to form a government if the dup win.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Fear Bun Na Sceilpe on October 27, 2022, 06:20:18 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 04:52:50 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 27, 2022, 03:27:04 PM
This is all created by the DUP. All of it.
The GFA needs to be revisited and strengthened because it is far too easy for the DUP to hold the assembly and the institutions hostage.

And SF before them
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 06:20:56 PM
Mervyn King the former head of the Bank of England, told the BBC last week that the UK would be getting another dose of austerity, more intense than the previous dose.
This is what centrists got for choosing the tories in 2019.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 06:44:58 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 06:20:56 PM
Mervyn King the former head of the Bank of England, told the BBC last week that the UK would be getting another dose of austerity, more intense than the previous dose.
This is what centrists got for choosing the tories in 2019.
Read today that Sunak is planning 10-15% spending cuts across everything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 06:46:10 PM
Quote from: Eire90 on October 27, 2022, 06:12:38 PM
is there a high chance sinn fein refuses to form a government if the dup win.
I wouldn't imagine so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on October 27, 2022, 07:07:35 PM
Wee Jeff getting worried now about joint authority. But wait, didn't Nigel win "negotiator of the year" for his part in Brexit and Snarlene rewarded with a seat in the House of Lords? If only they hadn't licked their lips at the thought of a hard border in Ireland, and thought more about the consequences of their actions.

Heard a comment that if Dublin has a say in how money is spent in the North, then Dublin should contribute to the purse. But hang on, I pay tax so the budget is for me, plus other citizens of the occupied six. If I want a Dubliner (or even a Cork man) to oversee the budget spend then that is my choice. By denying joint authority then westminsiter once again reward the unionists.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 07:30:36 PM
WJ blames the Protocol for inflation. This is bollocks.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 27, 2022, 08:23:43 PM
Welcome to the bollocks we have had to listen to for years.

The dup are something else. Honestly I think they want people blown up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on October 27, 2022, 08:32:14 PM
how does joint authority work what about laws and economic stuff and policing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 10:20:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 07:30:36 PM
WJ blames the Protocol for inflation. This is bollocks.
Boils my blood that idiots who couldn't spell protocol are harping on about it when realistically they haven't the faintest idea what it means.

Would say with absolute certainty that if the DUP had won the election or if they win this one then there will be a rebranding of the current protocol with nothing materially changing in it- except then they could go in to Stormont as top dogs. 
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 28, 2022, 11:37:54 AM
FT

"Some of the mechanisms of the Good Friday Agreement are as destructive to Northern Ireland's success as they are helpful, because one party can pull down the house of cards," said Niamh Gallagher, a lecturer in British and Irish history at Cambridge university. "That absolutely needs to be abolished."


I wonder how sustainable the DUP strategy is. Tories can and will shaft them.
The BT had an article a few weeks ago suggesting that the Truss govt would do a deal with the EU on the Protocol.
the Hard Brexit is slowly strangling the UK economy. Sir Joff says thhat the Protocol is bad for the local economy which is bollocks.
If the Brits did shaft the DUP it wouldn't hurt NI.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 28, 2022, 11:47:32 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 10:20:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 07:30:36 PM
WJ blames the Protocol for inflation. This is bollocks.
Boils my blood that idiots who couldn't spell protocol are harping on about it when realistically they haven't the faintest idea what it means.

Would say with absolute certainty that if the DUP had won the election or if they win this one then there will be a rebranding of the current protocol with nothing materially changing in it- except then they could go in to Stormont as top dogs.

I agree on this. Economic experts coming out now who can barely count to ten. Idiots.

Yep the DUP will rebrand this and I am very concerned that they will get in as top dogs here. They are a bunch of bitter , bigoted, vitriolic ***** and at the current rate of going people will end up dead with all their rhetoric. How they square how they behave with being religious I'll never know. There are some terrible people in that party.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on October 28, 2022, 11:52:27 AM
Quote from: imtommygunn on October 28, 2022, 11:47:32 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on October 27, 2022, 10:20:11 PM
Quote from: seafoid on October 27, 2022, 07:30:36 PM
WJ blames the Protocol for inflation. This is bollocks.
Boils my blood that idiots who couldn't spell protocol are harping on about it when realistically they haven't the faintest idea what it means.

Would say with absolute certainty that if the DUP had won the election or if they win this one then there will be a rebranding of the current protocol with nothing materially changing in it- except then they could go in to Stormont as top dogs.

I agree on this. Economic experts coming out now who can barely count to ten. Idiots.

Yep the DUP will rebrand this and I am very concerned that they will get in as top dogs here. They are a bunch of bitter , bigoted, vitriolic ***** and at the current rate of going people will end up dead with all their rhetoric. How they square how they behave with being religious I'll never know. There are some terrible people in that party.
All the parties need to pose the question to voters- what is more important, getting back to work trying to help  sorting the cost of living crisis/healthcare etc etc or the protocol? Needs to be really hammered home and rammed down the DUP's neck every chance they get.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: markl121 on October 28, 2022, 12:24:03 PM
DUP likely to become biggest again as they'll make electoral pacts and all the usual rubbish. The Union trumps all even if it means you're poor, cold and hungry. Their electorate all buy into this shite. Can't see how giving them the choice of actual real matters v the protocol will actually do anything.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on October 28, 2022, 12:25:34 PM
I am not sure if the UUP would make a pact with them. The TUV would though. The one seat wonder definitely would.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 28, 2022, 12:47:29 PM
This is about the Tories but also applies to the DUP

https://encompass-europe.com/comment/after-truss-there-is-no-way-back-for-the-conservatives

For a sizable segment of the Conservative party sovereigntist ideology and personal rancour have long displaced rationalism.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on October 28, 2022, 09:00:14 PM


If Truss would do it so will Sunak

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/opinion/columnists/sam-mcbride/liz-trusss-first-words-as-conservative-leader-suggest-she-will-betray-unionism-41962909.html

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on October 29, 2022, 01:40:38 AM
Good job Sunak not a Muslim, Ole Peter Robinson wouldn't know how to deal with him, outside of maybe letting him go to the shop.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on November 09, 2022, 11:52:57 AM
I've just woken up from being asleep since 2016.

Did the UK just introduce trade barriers to its largest market (i.e. Europe) so that they can do bespoke trade deals with the likes of Mongolia? WTF?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on November 09, 2022, 12:06:38 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 09, 2022, 11:52:57 AM
I've just woken up from being asleep since 2016.

Did the UK just introduce trade barriers to its largest market (i.e. Europe) so that they can do bespoke trade deals with the likes of Mongolia? WTF?

They did, but ultimately it was motivated by avoiding the EU's new financial regulations on off-shore banking and shell companies.

The UK's media moguls didn't like the sound of that so put the blame on the EU for all and sundry.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Franko on November 09, 2022, 12:25:19 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on November 09, 2022, 12:06:38 PM
Quote from: Orior on November 09, 2022, 11:52:57 AM
I've just woken up from being asleep since 2016.

Did the UK just introduce trade barriers to its largest market (i.e. Europe) so that they can do bespoke trade deals with the likes of Mongolia? WTF?

They did, but ultimately it was motivated by avoiding the EU's new financial regulations on off-shore banking and shell companies.

The UK's media moguls didn't like the sound of that so put the blame on the EU for all and sundry.

In a nutshell

The big money men employed a few useful idiots who were pre-disposed to this as cheerleaders (Farage/Boris/ERG wing of the tories)

The BNP types bought into it cos of brown people

The DUP bought in cos of taigs

And ultimately left the rest of us in the shit trying to sort it out
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on November 09, 2022, 05:24:07 PM
Brexit has goosed the UK economy. It has weakened sterling because it exacerbates inflation so when funds look at where to invest they look at real rates (nominal minus inflation) and under this metric the UK looks worse so they don't invest. And the UK has a huge Current Account Deficit meaning it spends a lot on the credit card. Brexit makes everything worse.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 15, 2022, 01:08:38 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dups-edwin-poots-took-unlawful-politically-motivated-decision-to-halt-irish-sea-border-checks-high-court-rules-42221427.html
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on December 15, 2022, 02:02:16 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on December 15, 2022, 01:08:38 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/dups-edwin-poots-took-unlawful-politically-motivated-decision-to-halt-irish-sea-border-checks-high-court-rules-42221427.html
On the advice of Jamie Bryson....
I really do think Allister is using him as a ventriloquist dummy, letting him put forward the arguments he would be too embarrassed to stand over.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Hereiam on December 15, 2022, 02:33:54 PM
I think it goes higher up than that.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 29, 2022, 12:22:46 PM
https://m.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/politics/northern-ireland-protocol-jim-allister-blasts-port-check-proposals-and-says-uk-sees-itself-as-eus-surrogate-42249800.html

They still don't get that Protocol is here to stay.
All that's being discussed it it's operation.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 29, 2022, 03:10:34 PM
The UK paid less than the overseas aid budget as am EU member. So far Brexit costs 5.5% of GDP.
Unbelievable,  Jeff
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 12:06:08 PM
McBurney Transport sold in multi-million pound deal. Earlier this year they bemoaned the NIP, despite having posted record profits for 2021. The negative impacts don't seem to have had to much affect on this deal either.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 12:26:02 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 12:06:08 PM
McBurney Transport sold in multi-million pound deal. Earlier this year they bemoaned the NIP, despite having posted record profits for 2021. The negative impacts don't seem to have had to much affect on this deal either.

£147 million, I'm sure at this point he doesn't care about the protocol, besides everyone complains about extra paperwork and hoops to jump through but as you say they managed to sort it out!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on December 30, 2022, 01:33:40 PM
In the mid nineties while still at school I had a part-time job as a store man in a major Irish supermarket in Newry. One glorious sunny day a Mc Burney transport lorry arrived into the yard and the driver must have forgot himself and jumped out in a wife beater, with a lovely tattoo of the UVF on his shoulder. The two forklift drivers refused to off load him, the supermarket had a fairly well known and ferocious store manager at the time. The driver was told in no uncertain terms were to go and I never seen another Mc Burney lorry in the yard again in my 3 years there. I know you shouldn't judge a company on one employee but I have ever since. And wee Jeff and the bullshit a few months ago that they were on the verge of bankruptcy because of the Protocol confirmed what I always thought, a shower of orange bigots.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 30, 2022, 01:58:26 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?

Banning tattoos generally would solve the problem.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:05:14 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 30, 2022, 01:58:26 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?

Banning tattoos generally would solve the problem.

Have you had a look around you lately? Tattoos are everywhere, if someone has a shamrock tattoo do we not employ them?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: pbat on December 30, 2022, 02:21:37 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:05:14 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 30, 2022, 01:58:26 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?

Banning tattoos generally would solve the problem.

Have you had a look around you lately? Tattoos are everywhere, if someone has a shamrock tattoo do we not employ them?

You cant ban them but you can be expected to cover them up if they are in anyway political. I've seen local dickheads return from Santa Ponsa with "IRA" tattoos who had as much involvement in it than the man on the moon, but if I was asking them to represent my company on the road Id expect them to hide them.  I'm sure if a teacher got an inappropriate tat on their neck above the collar line it would become an issue and rightly so.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.

Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on December 30, 2022, 02:26:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.

Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser

If you are a bollix when you are younger then you should wear a long sleeved shirt when you are older.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:28:54 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on December 30, 2022, 02:26:00 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.

Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser

If you are a bollix when you are younger then you should wear a long sleeved shirt when you are older.

Yeah but branding the company as bigots is a bit extreme
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.

Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
There are some basic requirements of employees when representing a business and providing a good image is one of them. It's up to an employer to determine what they deem suitable or unsuitable, I'd say UVF tattoos would fall under the latter. I certainly wouldn't hire anyone with a UVF or poppy tattoo, especially if they insisted on displaying it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:39:01 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.

Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
There are some basic requirements of employees when representing a business and providing a good image is one of them. It's up to an employer to determine what they deem suitable or unsuitable, I'd say UVF tattoos would fall under the latter. I certainly wouldn't hire anyone with a UVF or poppy tattoo, especially if they insisted on displaying it.

All tattoos of that nature I assume?  IRA and tricolour shamrocks would fall into that category?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 03:23:18 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:39:01 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.
Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
There are some basic requirements of employees when representing a business and providing a good image is one of them. It's up to an employer to determine what they deem suitable or unsuitable, I'd say UVF tattoos would fall under the latter. I certainly wouldn't hire anyone with a UVF or poppy tattoo, especially if they insisted on displaying it.

All tattoos of that nature I assume?  IRA and tricolour shamrocks would fall into that category?
Not sure of the significance of a shamrock tattoo that puts it  in the same category as paramilitary tattoos. Obviously an IRA tattoo would be a straight no.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 03:26:48 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 03:23:18 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:39:01 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.
Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
There are some basic requirements of employees when representing a business and providing a good image is one of them. It's up to an employer to determine what they deem suitable or unsuitable, I'd say UVF tattoos would fall under the latter. I certainly wouldn't hire anyone with a UVF or poppy tattoo, especially if they insisted on displaying it.

All tattoos of that nature I assume?  IRA and tricolour shamrocks would fall into that category?
Not sure of the significance of a shamrock tattoo that puts it  in the same category as paramilitary tattoos. Obviously an IRA tattoo would be a straight no.

Poppies and Shamrocks two flowers which annoy both sides and label them, we'd have ones saying they are bigots so could offend people, you only have to look at the poppy thread here
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 05:12:25 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 03:26:48 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 03:23:18 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:39:01 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.
Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
There are some basic requirements of employees when representing a business and providing a good image is one of them. It's up to an employer to determine what they deem suitable or unsuitable, I'd say UVF tattoos would fall under the latter. I certainly wouldn't hire anyone with a UVF or poppy tattoo, especially if they insisted on displaying it.

All tattoos of that nature I assume?  IRA and tricolour shamrocks would fall into that category?
Not sure of the significance of a shamrock tattoo that puts it  in the same category as paramilitary tattoos. Obviously an IRA tattoo would be a straight no.

Poppies and Shamrocks two flowers which annoy both sides and label them, we'd have ones saying they are bigots so could offend people, you only have to look at the poppy thread here
Shamrock doesn't annoy anyone. Heavily used in Loyalist iconology.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 05:13:58 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 05:12:25 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 03:26:48 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 03:23:18 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:39:01 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.
Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
There are some basic requirements of employees when representing a business and providing a good image is one of them. It's up to an employer to determine what they deem suitable or unsuitable, I'd say UVF tattoos would fall under the latter. I certainly wouldn't hire anyone with a UVF or poppy tattoo, especially if they insisted on displaying it.

All tattoos of that nature I assume?  IRA and tricolour shamrocks would fall into that category?
Not sure of the significance of a shamrock tattoo that puts it  in the same category as paramilitary tattoos. Obviously an IRA tattoo would be a straight no.

Poppies and Shamrocks two flowers which annoy both sides and label them, we'd have ones saying they are bigots so could offend people, you only have to look at the poppy thread here
Shamrock doesn't annoy anyone. Heavily used in Loyalist iconology.

Does on StPatricks day,  but good to know you speak for everyone one lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 07:02:30 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 05:13:58 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 05:12:25 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 03:26:48 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 03:23:18 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:39:01 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.
Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
There are some basic requirements of employees when representing a business and providing a good image is one of them. It's up to an employer to determine what they deem suitable or unsuitable, I'd say UVF tattoos would fall under the latter. I certainly wouldn't hire anyone with a UVF or poppy tattoo, especially if they insisted on displaying it.

All tattoos of that nature I assume?  IRA and tricolour shamrocks would fall into that category?
Not sure of the significance of a shamrock tattoo that puts it  in the same category as paramilitary tattoos. Obviously an IRA tattoo would be a straight no.

Poppies and Shamrocks two flowers which annoy both sides and label them, we'd have ones saying they are bigots so could offend people, you only have to look at the poppy thread here
Shamrock doesn't annoy anyone. Heavily used in Loyalist iconology.

Does on StPatricks day,  but good to know you speak for everyone one lol
If you can point me to one instance of a Unionist, loyalist or other being upset by the sight of a shamrock, ever, I'll eat my hat. It's tricolours on st Patrick's day that winds the other side up.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on December 30, 2022, 07:17:44 PM
Perhaps MR2  is confusing the shamrock with the Easter Lily,    who wouldn't?  ;D 

Poppies -  British Military remembrance symbol

Easter Lily  -  Republican remembrance symbol

Shamrock -   Guinness pint head decoration
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 30, 2022, 07:24:19 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 07:02:30 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 05:13:58 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 05:12:25 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 03:26:48 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 03:23:18 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:39:01 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 02:24:00 PM
Quote from: general_lee on December 30, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 01:42:11 PM
Are we banning businesses who have an employee with tattoos of paramilitaries? Where do we stop with that one?
Just the employees, pretty simple.
Have you a list of tattoos you feel will fit the bill?

Shamrocks, poppies? Tricolours union jacks, UVF, IRA and so on?

Someone posted something on here recently saying things we do when we are young shouldn't define us when we are older and wiser
There are some basic requirements of employees when representing a business and providing a good image is one of them. It's up to an employer to determine what they deem suitable or unsuitable, I'd say UVF tattoos would fall under the latter. I certainly wouldn't hire anyone with a UVF or poppy tattoo, especially if they insisted on displaying it.

All tattoos of that nature I assume?  IRA and tricolour shamrocks would fall into that category?
Not sure of the significance of a shamrock tattoo that puts it  in the same category as paramilitary tattoos. Obviously an IRA tattoo would be a straight no.

Poppies and Shamrocks two flowers which annoy both sides and label them, we'd have ones saying they are bigots so could offend people, you only have to look at the poppy thread here
Shamrock doesn't annoy anyone. Heavily used in Loyalist iconology.

Does on StPatricks day,  but good to know you speak for everyone one lol
If you can point me to one instance of a Unionist, loyalist or other being upset by the sight of a shamrock, ever, I'll eat my hat. It's tricolours on st Patrick's day that winds the other side up.
Shamrocks are a club in Newry. I wonder how much respect they got from the RUC from 1920 to 1995
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on December 30, 2022, 07:29:45 PM
It's an identity thing that gets people annoyed, in this wee place some tend to change their view on things when they Identify someone from the 'other' side.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on December 30, 2022, 07:33:46 PM
Brexit has now cost 5.5% of GDP.
Support is less than 40%.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on December 31, 2022, 06:17:39 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 30, 2022, 07:33:46 PM
Brexit has now cost 5.5% of GDP.
Support is less than 40%.

Sunlit uplands.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 15, 2023, 01:50:31 PM
Chat about another deal seem to be gathering pace. I predict nothing pleasing the ERG / DUP heads, Sunak only gets it through Parliament with Labour votes, mayhem continues and an Election is called by Autumn - only way to head off the Boris brigade.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on February 15, 2023, 03:47:41 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on December 31, 2022, 06:17:39 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 30, 2022, 07:33:46 PM
Brexit has now cost 5.5% of GDP.
Support is less than 40%.

Sunlit uplands.

Apparently it's all the remoaners fault.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 15, 2023, 04:04:39 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 15, 2023, 01:50:31 PM
Chat about another deal seem to be gathering pace. I predict nothing pleasing the ERG / DUP heads, Sunak only gets it through Parliament with Labour votes, mayhem continues and an Election is called by Autumn - only way to head off the Boris brigade.

Starmer is every bit the unionist when it comes to the NIP, don't expect him to whip his MP's to vote with Sunak on this one, it's a good chance for Starmer to bloody Sunaks nose which may work in Sunaks favour as a lot of Tory's know this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 15, 2023, 04:39:05 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 15, 2023, 04:04:39 PM
Starmer is every bit the unionist when it comes to the NIP, don't expect him to whip his MP's to vote with Sunak on this one, it's a good chance for Starmer to bloody Sunaks nose which may work in Sunaks favour as a lot of Tory's know this.

No, he will vote to support a reasonable proposal. Having the Conservative vote split would be a powerful advantage to the Labour party and easing things with the EU will be supported by most people. For instance, the EU is not allowing universities enter the Horizon research programmes until the NI Protocol is sorted out, it would be good publicity for Starmer to say that he had made this possible. Some Labour voters care about universities, feck all give a damn about the DUP.

https://news.sky.com/story/starmer-says-labour-will-support-sunak-over-northern-ireland-protocol-12785694
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 15, 2023, 04:55:21 PM
Quote from: Orior on February 15, 2023, 03:47:41 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on December 31, 2022, 06:17:39 AM
Quote from: seafoid on December 30, 2022, 07:33:46 PM
Brexit has now cost 5.5% of GDP.
Support is less than 40%.

Sunlit uplands.

Apparently it's all the remoaners fault.
Especially because they were right
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 17, 2023, 12:48:57 PM
Only making the 3rd top story of BBC page today.

The British have moved on from brexit.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 17, 2023, 01:19:43 PM
Each Party got 15 minutes with Sunak except DUPUDA who got hour and ahalf.
Presumably trying to unhook them from peg they hung themselves on.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on February 17, 2023, 02:52:06 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 17, 2023, 01:19:43 PM
Each Party got 15 minutes with Sunak except DUPUDA who got hour and ahalf.
Presumably trying to unhook them from peg they hung themselves on.

The DUP drew a big red line around any kind of checks from GB.
This now seems inevitable with green/red lanes rumoured to be the agreement.
The feeling I get from Talkback and twitter today is that the Loyalist knives are already out for Jeffrey.
The difference in tone between Mary Lou and Jeffrey over lunchtime tells us all we need to know.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 11:30:07 AM
I see Boris wading in on the NIP talks and that Bill that's stalled in Parliament.

Normally if you'd made such a fúck up of being Prime minister you'd keep your head down and say SFA but not the brazen Boris who is making yet another power play for Tory leadership by doing his utmost to undermine Sunak.

Zero fúcks given for NI and Unionism, it's all about himself.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 20, 2023, 11:55:07 AM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 11:30:07 AM
Zero fúcks given for NI and Unionism, it's all about himself.

Exactly, he is essentially calling on Sunak to overthrow the Protocol that Boris himself negotiated.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on February 20, 2023, 12:17:24 PM
i think boris will be back as pm and if manages to lose only half of their predicted seats he will say he is the saviour that saved the tories from wipeout and he will remain as leader to the 29/30 election and if he wins he could then be around to 34/35
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: thewobbler on February 20, 2023, 01:34:11 PM
Quote from: Eire90 on February 20, 2023, 12:17:24 PM
i think boris will be back as pm and if manages to lose only half of their predicted seats he will say he is the saviour that saved the tories from wipeout and he will remain as leader to the 29/30 election and if he wins he could then be around to 34/35

There's a much more than healthy chance that BJ will not be re-elected in his constituency in 2024.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on February 20, 2023, 01:50:01 PM
Quote from: thewobbler on February 20, 2023, 01:34:11 PM
Quote from: Eire90 on February 20, 2023, 12:17:24 PM
i think boris will be back as pm and if manages to lose only half of their predicted seats he will say he is the saviour that saved the tories from wipeout and he will remain as leader to the 29/30 election and if he wins he could then be around to 34/35

There's a much more than healthy chance that BJ will not be re-elected in his constituency in 2024.

apparently he has bought a big pad somewhere in oxfordshire and rumour has it he will stand there. Safer seat as well
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 20, 2023, 02:24:46 PM
That p***k will probably come out smelling of roses no matter what.

I would say he would lose the seat he's in but I'm sure he'll work something out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2023, 03:38:43 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
In fairness they really upped the speed recently
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on February 20, 2023, 08:45:34 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
Unfortunately Mick's knowledge of the EU is sub primary school level. Member countries are not forced to privatise public transport by EU neo-liberal fanatics. For instance, CIE is public owned and still the  undefeated champion of public transport in Ireland. It's individual countries who chose to privatise publicly owned transport companies. On top of that he choses to be ill informed about the EU's trade union policy and practice since the Euro Trade Union Institute was founded  in early '70s.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Trade_Union_Confederation (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Trade_Union_Confederation)

The consensus  among most all commissioned reports ( pre Brexit vote) was that

"there was little effect of EU immigration on inequality through reducing the pay and jobs of less skilled UK workers, while changes in wages and unemployment for less skilled UK-born workers show little correlation with changes in EU immigration
.EU immigrants pay more in taxes than they use public services and therefore they help to reduce the budget deficit. Immigrants do not have a negative effect on local services such as education, health or social housing; nor do they have any effect on social instability as indicated by crime rates.
"

https://www.theguardian.com/money/2016/may/11/eu-migrants-had-no-negative-effect-on-uk-wages-says-lse (https://www.theguardian.com/money/2016/may/11/eu-migrants-had-no-negative-effect-on-uk-wages-says-lse)



Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 20, 2023, 10:53:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
Migrant labour does keep wages down. So did austerity.  UK wages are about 15% lower than in 2008.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on February 20, 2023, 10:56:41 PM
Mick Lynch is a brexiteer
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on February 21, 2023, 12:21:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2023, 10:53:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
Migrant labour does keep wages down. So did austerity.  UK wages are about 15% lower than in 2008.
Read the script,
EU migrant labour did not/does not keep UK manual wages down.
The reasons why UK wages were/are lower have nothing to do with EU migrant labour.
Mick Lynch is talking through his hole when raging agin the EU.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 21, 2023, 07:51:32 AM
Quote from: Main Street on February 21, 2023, 12:21:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2023, 10:53:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
Migrant labour does keep wages down. So did austerity.  UK wages are about 15% lower than in 2008.
Read the script,
EU migrant labour did not/does not keep UK manual wages down.
The reasons why UK wages were/are lower have nothing to do with EU migrant labour.
Mick Lynch is talking through his hole when raging agin the EU.

I think he realises that now!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 09:02:28 AM
Quote from: Main Street on February 21, 2023, 12:21:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2023, 10:53:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
Migrant labour does keep wages down. So did austerity.  UK wages are about 15% lower than in 2008.
Read the script,
EU migrant labour did not/does not keep UK manual wages down.
The reasons why UK wages were/are lower have nothing to do with EU migrant labour.
Mick Lynch is talking through his hole when raging agin the EU.
throw up some numbers about UK migration.
Migration from anywhere poorer eg Eastern Europe and Portugal does drive down wages and the UK still has EU migration but a lot more from third party countries.
Free movement now without limits is insane because it's anti local  working class and migration  does not drive growth because there is no growth. Don't bother talking about Irish growth which is driven by MNC accounting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 09:35:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 09:02:28 AM
Quote from: Main Street on February 21, 2023, 12:21:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2023, 10:53:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
Migrant labour does keep wages down. So did austerity.  UK wages are about 15% lower than in 2008.
Read the script,
EU migrant labour did not/does not keep UK manual wages down.
The reasons why UK wages were/are lower have nothing to do with EU migrant labour.
Mick Lynch is talking through his hole when raging agin the EU.
throw up some numbers about UK migration.
Migration from anywhere poorer eg Eastern Europe and Portugal does drive down wages and the UK still has EU migration but a lot more from third party countries.
Free movement now without limits is insane because it's anti local  working class and migration  does not drive growth because there is no growth. Don't bother talking about Irish growth which is driven by MNC accounting.

Can you explain the rational behind this please?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tyrone08 on February 21, 2023, 10:11:18 AM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 09:35:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 09:02:28 AM
Quote from: Main Street on February 21, 2023, 12:21:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2023, 10:53:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
Migrant labour does keep wages down. So did austerity.  UK wages are about 15% lower than in 2008.
Read the script,
EU migrant labour did not/does not keep UK manual wages down.
The reasons why UK wages were/are lower have nothing to do with EU migrant labour.
Mick Lynch is talking through his hole when raging agin the EU.
throw up some numbers about UK migration.
Migration from anywhere poorer eg Eastern Europe and Portugal does drive down wages and the UK still has EU migration but a lot more from third party countries.
Free movement now without limits is insane because it's anti local  working class and migration  does not drive growth because there is no growth. Don't bother talking about Irish growth which is driven by MNC accounting.

Can you explain the rational behind this please?

I suppose the simplest explanation is that they will work for less than people from here. Not sure if that is factually accurate but would say there is at least some degree of truth to it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 10:18:40 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on February 21, 2023, 10:11:18 AM
I suppose the simplest explanation is that they will work for less than people from here. Not sure if that is factually accurate but would say there is at least some degree of truth to it.

Makes sense but I suppose if they are coming in for the low paid and supposedly low skilled jobs, these wages would already be at the minimum wage floor so couldn't be paid any less?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 21, 2023, 11:04:26 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on February 21, 2023, 10:11:18 AM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 09:35:24 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 09:02:28 AM
Quote from: Main Street on February 21, 2023, 12:21:58 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 20, 2023, 10:53:49 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 20, 2023, 03:03:35 PM
Quote from: Dubh driocht on February 20, 2023, 02:45:44 PM
Boris is an opportunist, with zero morals and no regard for anyone living on this island.
Fair play to all the civil servants on the EU and UK side for making efforts to minimise the impact of the disaster that is Brexit. The recent report from the Bank of England highlighting that Brexit is costing every UK household £1,000 per year is interesting.  So all of us in the North are £1,000 worse off every year because of that disastrous decision.
I know there are many union members on here from the North, some of whom are in NIPSA, the public service union. So a question for NIPSA leaders; do they still support Brexit?

That question was asked of Mick Lynch on the James O'Brien LBC radio show and his answer was interesting if somewhat ill thought out.

He said migrant labour was keeping wages artificially low and Rail companies were feeding off that.
When questioned further about workers rights and the current bonfire of them being burned because the UK is out of the EU, his answer was less than insightful that they didn't expect this government to go so far so fast.
Where has he been? This is the most corrupt, right wing Gov ever in my lifetime, putting Thatcher in the ha'penny place in that regards.
Migrant labour does keep wages down. So did austerity.  UK wages are about 15% lower than in 2008.
Read the script,
EU migrant labour did not/does not keep UK manual wages down.
The reasons why UK wages were/are lower have nothing to do with EU migrant labour.
Mick Lynch is talking through his hole when raging agin the EU.
throw up some numbers about UK migration.
Migration from anywhere poorer eg Eastern Europe and Portugal does drive down wages and the UK still has EU migration but a lot more from third party countries.
Free movement now without limits is insane because it's anti local  working class and migration  does not drive growth because there is no growth. Don't bother talking about Irish growth which is driven by MNC accounting.

Can you explain the rational behind this please?

I suppose the simplest explanation is that they will work for less than people from here. Not sure if that is factually accurate but would say there is at least some degree of truth to it.

There's a shortage of labour. Head down to the Lough shore and Company after Company are looking for Welders, Fabricators, Unskilled labour. If any of those companies isn't paying the going rate and offering the benefits like 4 day weeks etc then they won't be able to hire or retain staff.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 12:21:38 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 10:18:40 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on February 21, 2023, 10:11:18 AM
I suppose the simplest explanation is that they will work for less than people from here. Not sure if that is factually accurate but would say there is at least some degree of truth to it.

Makes sense but I suppose if they are coming in for the low paid and supposedly low skilled jobs, these wages would already be at the minimum wage floor so couldn't be paid any less?
The minimum wage is notional in certain sectors.
Even with stuff like carpentry and plumbing, fellas working in the black economy will charge less than pros who are regulated.
Cleaning would be the same.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 12:48:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 12:21:38 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 10:18:40 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on February 21, 2023, 10:11:18 AM
I suppose the simplest explanation is that they will work for less than people from here. Not sure if that is factually accurate but would say there is at least some degree of truth to it.

Makes sense but I suppose if they are coming in for the low paid and supposedly low skilled jobs, these wages would already be at the minimum wage floor so couldn't be paid any less?
The minimum wage is notional in certain sectors.
Even with stuff like carpentry and plumbing, fellas working in the black economy will charge less than pros who are regulated.
Cleaning would be the same.

So more of an illegal working/tax evasion issue then as opposed to the migrants that is driving down wages? Interesting.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 02:09:42 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 12:48:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 12:21:38 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 10:18:40 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on February 21, 2023, 10:11:18 AM
I suppose the simplest explanation is that they will work for less than people from here. Not sure if that is factually accurate but would say there is at least some degree of truth to it.

Makes sense but I suppose if they are coming in for the low paid and supposedly low skilled jobs, these wages would already be at the minimum wage floor so couldn't be paid any less?
The minimum wage is notional in certain sectors.
Even with stuff like carpentry and plumbing, fellas working in the black economy will charge less than pros who are regulated.
Cleaning would be the same.

So more of an illegal working/tax evasion issue then as opposed to the migrants that is driving down wages? Interesting.
Throw up some numbers to back your thesis.
Migrants generally, and this applied to Irish migrants in the past, often work hard and save money to either support people at home or build a house at home.
Unscrupulous employers can easily take advantage of them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Kidder81 on February 21, 2023, 02:12:28 PM
Employers know when they have people landing at their door from Eastern Europe, where the wages are much lower, they can pay less than the minimum wage & the workers will take their hand off. It's not rocket science
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 02:37:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 02:09:42 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 12:48:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 12:21:38 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 10:18:40 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on February 21, 2023, 10:11:18 AM
I suppose the simplest explanation is that they will work for less than people from here. Not sure if that is factually accurate but would say there is at least some degree of truth to it.

Makes sense but I suppose if they are coming in for the low paid and supposedly low skilled jobs, these wages would already be at the minimum wage floor so couldn't be paid any less?
The minimum wage is notional in certain sectors.
Even with stuff like carpentry and plumbing, fellas working in the black economy will charge less than pros who are regulated.
Cleaning would be the same.

So more of an illegal working/tax evasion issue then as opposed to the migrants that is driving down wages? Interesting.
Throw up some numbers to back your thesis.
Migrants generally, and this applied to Irish migrants in the past, often work hard and save money to either support people at home or build a house at home.
Unscrupulous employers can easily take advantage of them.

You're the one who first made the claim it drives down wages? Then subsequently that it's actually due to the "black economy", both with no numbers to back your statements ::) I'm simply applying some logic to what you're saying. Using your theory and Kidder81's statement, everyone in the UK should have received/be due a fair increase in our wages since Brexit given the shortage in Eastern European migrants/workers?

I'll throw you some reading from University of Oxford study: https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/the-labour-market-effects-of-immigration/

"Reviewing 12 studies conducted between 2003 and 2018, MAC (2018) concluded that immigration had had little impact on average wages. Some studies (e.g. Nickell and Saleheen, 2015) had found a small negative impact on average wages while others (e.g. Dustmann et al, 2013) found positive average effects."

"Finally, research suggests that any adverse wage effects of immigration are likely to be greatest for resident workers who are themselves migrants. This is because the skills of new migrants are likely to be closer substitutes for the skills of migrants already employed in the UK than for those of UK-born workers."

As with any cause & effect analysis, it's near impossible to simply state one factor is responsible and study it independently. Real life isn't an economics text book were "assuming all else remains equal" applies.

I'm happy to see your research backing the statement, "Migration from anywhere poorer eg Eastern Europe and Portugal does drive down wages". Eagerly awaiting your reply :)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on February 21, 2023, 02:45:31 PM
Quote from: Kidder81 on February 21, 2023, 02:12:28 PM
Employers know when they have people landing at their door from Eastern Europe, where the wages are much lower, they can pay less than the minimum wage & the workers will take their hand off. It's not rocket science

Its less than minimum wage but a hell of a lot higher than wages at 'home' which in most cases they'll be sending it back to..

That said they should get the going rate.

I remember years ago when we had a group of refugees over working in the Yard, they where over for a 6 month period, the Yard took them on providing they could past the welding test, these 10 lads had said they could weld but they needed to pass our inspection, which was break test tensile test and an x-ray test anyways.... 

On passing it they started working away on the night shift, word got out with the amount they were getting paid and the union got involved and ensured they were paid the proper rate and shift rate, they worked flat out for the 6 months, and headed home very well off considering.

Do the workers on cruise ships get paid differently based on where they are from? Remember someone saying the do for some reason like inflation and so on
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 02:48:54 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 02:37:33 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 02:09:42 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 12:48:05 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 12:21:38 PM
Quote from: Mike Tyson on February 21, 2023, 10:18:40 AM
Quote from: tyrone08 on February 21, 2023, 10:11:18 AM
I suppose the simplest explanation is that they will work for less than people from here. Not sure if that is factually accurate but would say there is at least some degree of truth to it.

Makes sense but I suppose if they are coming in for the low paid and supposedly low skilled jobs, these wages would already be at the minimum wage floor so couldn't be paid any less?
The minimum wage is notional in certain sectors.
Even with stuff like carpentry and plumbing, fellas working in the black economy will charge less than pros who are regulated.
Cleaning would be the same.

So more of an illegal working/tax evasion issue then as opposed to the migrants that is driving down wages? Interesting.
Throw up some numbers to back your thesis.
Migrants generally, and this applied to Irish migrants in the past, often work hard and save money to either support people at home or build a house at home.
Unscrupulous employers can easily take advantage of them.

You're the one who first made the claim it drives down wages? Then subsequently that it's actually due to the "black economy", both with no numbers to back your statements ::) I'm simply applying some logic to what you're saying. Using your theory and Kidder81's statement, everyone in the UK should have received/be due a fair increase in our wages since Brexit given the shortage in Eastern European migrants/workers?

I'll throw you some reading from University of Oxford study: https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/the-labour-market-effects-of-immigration/

"Reviewing 12 studies conducted between 2003 and 2018, MAC (2018) concluded that immigration had had little impact on average wages. Some studies (e.g. Nickell and Saleheen, 2015) had found a small negative impact on average wages while others (e.g. Dustmann et al, 2013) found positive average effects."

"Finally, research suggests that any adverse wage effects of immigration are likely to be greatest for resident workers who are themselves migrants. This is because the skills of new migrants are likely to be closer substitutes for the skills of migrants already employed in the UK than for those of UK-born workers."

As with any cause & effect analysis, it's near impossible to simply state one factor is responsible and study it independently. Real life isn't an economics text book were "assuming all else remains equal" applies.

I'm happy to see your research backing the statement, "Migration from anywhere poorer eg Eastern Europe and Portugal does drive down wages". Eagerly awaiting your reply :)

UK wages are 15% lower in real terms than in 2008
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/wages-fall-real-terms-14-years-economic-disaster-says-top-economist-165849827.html

Part of this was due to weak unions. Part was due to neoliberalism. And part was due to migration.
Beyond a certain limit migration is pointless. If the economy stops growing and the population continues to increase, GDP per head will fall.
Inflation exacerbates this.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 21, 2023, 03:26:46 PM
Sunak looks to be struggling to get the support for his new NI Protocol agreement with the EU. Some of his cabinet threatening to resign.

Are the UK Gov now becoming ungovernable?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 21, 2023, 03:39:51 PM
Those eejits still trying to live in hardbrexit cloud cuckooland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: maddog on February 21, 2023, 03:46:03 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 21, 2023, 03:26:46 PM
Sunak looks to be struggling to get the support for his new NI Protocol agreement with the EU. Some of his cabinet threatening to resign.

Are the UK Gov now becoming ungovernable?

Brexit slowly killing the Tories. Suppose there is a Brexit benefit after all.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 21, 2023, 03:48:40 PM
Is this gonna fall apart again or will Sunak push it through against DUP/ERG wishes?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 21, 2023, 03:50:24 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on February 21, 2023, 03:26:46 PM
Sunak looks to be struggling to get the support for his new NI Protocol agreement with the EU. Some of his cabinet threatening to resign.

Are the UK Gov now becoming ungovernable?

I am starting to wonder are the wagons circling for him too. Johnson has started sticking his nose in too and when that happens you know it is never for the greater good.

When you form such a collective of cut throat narcissistic sociopaths then scenarios like this just recurring time after time  are inevitable.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on February 21, 2023, 04:45:49 PM
Time Sunak the wimp manned up. Tell the DUP either to sign up and fall behind the deal or it is Joint Authority for NI and a Labour government next time out.
The Tories are most likely toast at the next election anyway. I see no way out of this mess for the DUP other than A) a spectacular climbdown (unlikely) or B) Stormont canned for a generation and the Unionist hand weaker than ever.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 21, 2023, 04:57:52 PM
Donaldson was never a leader to begin with but he is even weaker than I could have imagined. He is only the puppet at the end of the strings being pulled by Allister, Bryson and the ERG.

Even though he is more pragnmatic than some Unionist politicians he is not strong enough to go with his own convictions so he was never going to sign up to a deal. Everything in the media is just being choreographed to try and frame another phantom bogeyman when they inevitably refuse to sign up or talks break down. The old unionist failing of overplaying their hand in aiming for a short term victory over a long term strategy. The alternative of not signing a deal will be much worse for them but the threat of being lundified looms large in their decision making.   

I had some hope for Sunak but he is displaying weakness as well in facing down the ERG and if he doesn't get this deal then he could be toast as well. The ERG are like vultures waiting to pounce using the DUP as useful bait in their political game of chicken.   
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 21, 2023, 05:21:00 PM
Seems that Sunak came over too early last week to sign off on the deal without the ECG etc. knowing what the plan was.

When they got wind of it, Mogg and Boris are getting involved big time now. Where will it end?

There'll be another internal scrap in the Tory party I think and another huge fall out.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on February 21, 2023, 05:28:54 PM
Quote from: marty34 on February 21, 2023, 05:21:00 PM
Seems that Sunak came over too early last week to sign off on the deal without the ECG etc. knowing what the plan was.

When they got wind of it, Mogg and Boris are getting involved big time now. Where will it end?

There'll be another internal scrap in the Tory party I think and another huge fall out.

All Sunak has to do is threaten to call a GE if he doesn't get support within his own party as current polls would suggest a sizeable amount of Tory MP's would be out on their ear and then tell wee Jeffrey to quieten down as a Border poll is plan B if the NI Protocol Bill doesn't pass.

I don't think he's the balls for it...

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 21, 2023, 06:02:20 PM
Talks at a crucial stage, everyone knows the last bits are the tough bits. Sunak was here last week to gauge opinion, return to the talks to try and get the DUP's red lines met. There's nothing more in the public domain since only gossip and blustering Tories. Hope the talks succeed as failure will cause another lost decade in the black North.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 08:24:19 PM
The Tories have to have a reset with the EU. So it's probably down to goodies.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on February 21, 2023, 08:35:23 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 21, 2023, 08:24:19 PM
The Tories have to have a reset with the EU. So it's probably down to goodies.

Sure they worked out an agreement themselves and now they're backtracking.

People would think the EU made this agreement up themselves with no input at all from the brits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on February 21, 2023, 11:58:33 PM
Can't understand why they just don't stop these tossers wages. Getting paid for nothing, I see some out doing work like Sorca Eastwood but she doing work. That to me are a councillors remit. If they doing local work, what's the need for so many councillors.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on February 22, 2023, 01:57:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 21, 2023, 04:45:49 PM
Time Sunak the wimp manned up. Tell the DUP either to sign up and fall behind the deal or it is Joint Authority for NI and a Labour government next time out.
The Tories are most likely toast at the next election anyway. I see no way out of this mess for the DUP other than A) a spectacular climbdown (unlikely) or B) Stormont canned for a generation and the Unionist hand weaker than ever.

Your two options are it in a nutshell. So we're in Zombie land for another 10 years.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Applesisapples on February 22, 2023, 03:16:31 PM
Quote from: Orior on February 22, 2023, 01:57:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 21, 2023, 04:45:49 PM
Time Sunak the wimp manned up. Tell the DUP either to sign up and fall behind the deal or it is Joint Authority for NI and a Labour government next time out.
The Tories are most likely toast at the next election anyway. I see no way out of this mess for the DUP other than A) a spectacular climbdown (unlikely) or B) Stormont canned for a generation and the Unionist hand weaker than ever.

Your two options are it in a nutshell. So we're in Zombie land for another 10 years.
Stormont is a unionist citadel, I for one will cry no tears at its demise and replacement with a direct rule with Irish government input. I was happy to accept it when it looked like unionists were committed to power sharing. But unionist politicians have no generosity, no desire to treat nationalists with respect and want only to govern as top dogs.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Walter Cronc on February 22, 2023, 03:58:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on February 22, 2023, 03:16:31 PM
Quote from: Orior on February 22, 2023, 01:57:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 21, 2023, 04:45:49 PM
Time Sunak the wimp manned up. Tell the DUP either to sign up and fall behind the deal or it is Joint Authority for NI and a Labour government next time out.
The Tories are most likely toast at the next election anyway. I see no way out of this mess for the DUP other than A) a spectacular climbdown (unlikely) or B) Stormont canned for a generation and the Unionist hand weaker than ever.

Your two options are it in a nutshell. So we're in Zombie land for another 10 years.
Stormont is a unionist citadel, I for one will cry no tears at its demise and replacement with a direct rule with Irish government input. I was happy to accept it when it looked like unionists were committed to power sharing. But unionist politicians have no generosity, no desire to treat nationalists with respect and want only to govern as top dogs.

Same here. Be happy enough to see Stormont banished to the doldrums forever!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eire90 on February 22, 2023, 04:56:38 PM
They should just keep reducing wages every week till its zero
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 22, 2023, 04:59:34 PM
Quote from: Eire90 on February 22, 2023, 04:56:38 PM
They should just keep reducing wages every week till its zero

Why stop there?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: red hander on February 22, 2023, 05:24:31 PM
Quote from: Walter Cronc on February 22, 2023, 03:58:27 PM
Quote from: Applesisapples on February 22, 2023, 03:16:31 PM
Quote from: Orior on February 22, 2023, 01:57:40 PM
Quote from: trailer on February 21, 2023, 04:45:49 PM
Time Sunak the wimp manned up. Tell the DUP either to sign up and fall behind the deal or it is Joint Authority for NI and a Labour government next time out.
The Tories are most likely toast at the next election anyway. I see no way out of this mess for the DUP other than A) a spectacular climbdown (unlikely) or B) Stormont canned for a generation and the Unionist hand weaker than ever.

Your two options are it in a nutshell. So we're in Zombie land for another 10 years.
Stormont is a unionist citadel, I for one will cry no tears at its demise and replacement with a direct rule with Irish government input. I was happy to accept it when it looked like unionists were committed to power sharing. But unionist politicians have no generosity, no desire to treat nationalists with respect and want only to govern as top dogs.

Same here. Be happy enough to see Stormont banished to the doldrums forever!

+1
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Dougal Maguire on February 22, 2023, 05:33:33 PM
In fairness the Irish government has a massive say in the way things are done here and the Tanaiste is now as regular a visitor to Stormont than the British Secretary of State. Changed times from when the Maryfield Secretariat was established in a caged off compound in Holywood. Mind you Sunak has already baled the DUP out by bringing forward Daithai's law which was a huge embarrassment for them so they already owe him one. I'd say he's also offered them a big cheque to sort out the Norths finances as well
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 27, 2023, 05:41:01 PM
Moment of truth for the DUP, think they've got most of what they wanted, still some EU / ECJ oversight by the looks of it but if they've any brains at all they'll be claiming a huge victory. Hard to see any renegotiation at this point, so if the toys are threw out of the pram it will be a messy future.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 27, 2023, 06:43:07 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 27, 2023, 05:41:01 PM
Moment of truth for the DUP, think they've got most of what they wanted, still some EU / ECJ oversight by the looks of it but if they've any brains at all they'll be claiming a huge victory. Hard to see any renegotiation at this point, so if the toys are threw out of the pram it will be a messy future.
I think they have started already.
Both the DUP and UUP pointed out that they kept on plugging away at it when they were told the EU couldn't budge any further.
If you look at it like that the results are decent.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on February 27, 2023, 06:45:16 PM
Here, if it's not this, it be something else, not even matter if its sinn fein, if it was the SDLP they still wouldn't go into govt with a Catholic.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on February 27, 2023, 06:47:24 PM
If only Michelle wasn't the FM elect.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on February 27, 2023, 07:18:51 PM
Steve baker on channel 4 news subtly, yet gleefully, taking every opportunity KGM giving him to absolutely eviscerate and bury Boris.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 27, 2023, 07:28:04 PM
Having watched Parliament there, all very positive mood music I would say. No doubt the ERG / GB News headbangers will be shouting and blustering but who cares. Wee Jeffery playing the cards close to his chest but I'd still say he'll eventually be shouting victory from the rooftops.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on February 27, 2023, 08:52:48 PM
Yes, wee Jeff is claiming this as a victory and justifying his boycott Stormont.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nanderson on February 27, 2023, 09:02:31 PM
Has Rishi played a blinder? DUP are against EU laws being brought into NI without their consent. If DUP don't go back into Stormont then EU can apply as many laws as they want without restrictions. Only way to stop it is to apply the Stormont brake and challenge it from within Stormont
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 27, 2023, 09:25:28 PM
Quote from: Orior on February 27, 2023, 08:52:48 PM
Yes, wee Jeff is claiming this as a victory and justifying his boycott Stormont.

Just wait until Jim Allister, the LCC and the OO have time to pick holes in it and Jeff will be rowing back again. That's before the likes of Sammy and Ian Og try and throw in a precondition of a place in the Lords.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on February 27, 2023, 09:33:15 PM
Will there be any material differences realistically to what was agreed before? Or is it just fancy wording to allow the DUP to claim a victory? That'll not suit them as they'll have to go in with Michelle in charge of their wee Protestant state for Protestant people!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Eamonnca1 on February 27, 2023, 09:36:14 PM
Quote from: Nanderson on February 27, 2023, 09:02:31 PM
Has Rishi played a blinder? DUP are against EU laws being brought into NI without their consent. If DUP don't go back into Stormont then EU can apply as many laws as they want without restrictions. Only way to stop it is to apply the Stormont brake and challenge it from within Stormont

Absolutely. The "Windsor framework" is a masterful piece of branding. Having King Charlie make a cup of tae for Ursula von der Leyen was inspired. Very hard for the "loyalists" to reject this deal when it comes with even a smell of royal endorsement. Not often you see a Tory PM with this kind of skill and understanding of how to press the emotional buttons of NI politicians. Against my better judgment, I'm impressed.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 27, 2023, 09:47:04 PM
Quote from: Armagh18 on February 27, 2023, 09:33:15 PM
Will there be any material differences realistically to what was agreed before? Or is it just fancy wording to allow the DUP to claim a victory? That'll not suit them as they'll have to go in with Michelle in charge of their wee Protestant state for Protestant people!

https://www.irishtimes.com/politics/2023/02/27/northern-ireland-protocol-deal-eu-uk-brexit/.
The deal, which will be subject to a vote in Westminster at the "appropriate time", includes green and red lanes for imports into the North. It returns to Westminster the power to set all VAT rates.
It contains safeguards to ensure that all supermarket goods and medicines available in Britain will automatically be available in the North
The deal introduces a new Stormont brake, allowing the assembly not only to have a say over EU laws but also to block them from applying in Northern Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Wildweasel74 on February 27, 2023, 09:55:36 PM
Could we not had a orange lane? Lol
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on February 27, 2023, 10:15:36 PM
Which specific eu laws had they an issue with ? They have painted the eu as this bogeyman though tbh I imagine it's because the rest of Ireland are in the eu so it is just another way for them to try and alienate the rest of Ireland.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 27, 2023, 10:22:16 PM
https://www.irishtimes.com/world/europe/2023/02/28/qa-how-will-the-new-windsor-framework-change-the-northern-ireland-protocol/

How are border customs checks changing under the Windsor Framework?
Goods arriving from Britain destined for Northern Ireland will travel through a new "green lane" where customs and regulatory paperwork, checks and duties will be scrapped, while goods at risk of moving on to the Republic or the rest of the EU will travel through a "red lane" where they will be subject to normal checks. Trade will be monitored by new EU-UK data-sharing arrangements using commercial data on trade flows rather than international customs processes.
What about food checks?
To ensure the same food products can be sold in Belfast as in Birmingham, food destined for consumption in Northern Ireland can pass through the inspection-free green lane at Northern Ireland's ports through "bespoke arrangements under a new UK internal market scheme."
The scheme will allow agri-food products being imported into Northern Ireland from Britain or other parts of the world to be subjected to a single document – electronically and remotely processed – confirming that the goods are staying in Northern Ireland. This will forego the need for official veterinarians or plant inspectors. Checks will only take place where there is a risk or intelligence about smuggling, criminality or specific risks to animal, plant or public health.
Bans on certain products, such as chilled sausages, entering Northern Ireland from Britain will be scrapped.
What about parcels being sent to Northern Ireland?
Where the old protocol would eventually, once grace periods lapsed, have required a full customs declaration for every consumer parcel entering the North, there will no such requirement under the Windsor Framework. Instead the UK has agreed that authorised parcel operators will share data, in batches, to monitor and manage any risks of smuggling into the EU market.
What about changes to VAT and excise duties?
Where the protocol tied Northern Ireland businesses to EU rules on VAT and alcohol duty, the new Windsor Framework allows Northern Ireland to benefit from UK-wide changes on alcohol duty and Britain's zero-rates of VAT on energy-saving materials such as solar panels.
Are there changes giving Northern Ireland's politicians a greater say?
Yes. The Windsor Framework will give the Northern Ireland Assembly at Stormont the ability to apply "an emergency brake" on new or amended EU goods rules. Under the protocol, some EU laws continued to apply in Northern Ireland but the North's politicians could not influence them.
The brake would require 30 members of the Assembly from at least two parties – under the same "petition of concern" mechanism in the 1998 Belfast (Good Friday) Agreement – request, in exceptional circumstances and as a last resort, that new or amended EU laws not be applied in Northern Ireland. It would need support from both unionists and nationalist MLAs.
The brake cannot be triggered for "trivial" reasons and can only be used if there is something "significantly different" about a new EU rule and the 30 MLAs can show the rule has a "significant impact specific to everyday life that is liable to persist."
Once pulled, the brake would give the UK government power to veto a new or amended EU rule suspending it from automatically applying in Northern Ireland. It can then only be applied if the UK and EU agree to this happening in their joint committee set up under the divorce deal.
What about the role of the European Court of Justice?
The oversight role of the ECJ – the subject of much opposition to the protocol from unionists – remains as the final arbiter of EU law but the EU and UK have agreed to resolve disputes that arise first within the joint structures set up under the Brexit divorce deal to address disagreements.
Any veto imposed by the UK on "the Stormont brake" can only be challenged through independent arbitration mechanisms, not the ECJ.
New text inserted into the protocol will protect specific arrangements for internal UK trade, which is subject to EU-UK arbitration rather than the jurisdiction of the ECJ.
Sunak said that, under the new deal, the "only EU law that applies in Northern Ireland under the framework is the minimum necessary to avoid a hard border with Ireland and allow Northern Irish businesses to continue accessing the EU market."
What other changes are being made?
Medicines approved by the UK regulator will be automatically available in Northern Ireland.
Owners moving pets into Northern Ireland will no longer have to show paperwork. The only requirement will be for the owner to confirm the pet will not move into the EU.
Will British MPs get a vote on the deal?
Sunak said the UK parliament would "have a vote at the appropriate time".
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: LeoMc on February 27, 2023, 11:01:43 PM
ERG broadly happy with it so they will likely back the deal whatever the DUP do. If it goes through DUP need to be in Stormont to be able to trigger the brake! If they don't go in they become irrelevant and can be blamed for any divergence from the UK.
They will be awaiting direction from Jamie who will be flying kites under his various alter ego's, (unionist voice, Horatio Nelson, etc) to see where the wind is blowing to get in front of it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Substandard on February 27, 2023, 11:09:05 PM
Quote from: Wildweasel74 on February 27, 2023, 09:55:36 PM
Could we not had a orange lane? Lol

You could, but every time you'd ask for progress, they'd just say no...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 28, 2023, 12:08:09 AM
Quote from: Wildweasel74 on February 27, 2023, 09:55:36 PM
Could we not had a orange lane? Lol

What is the point, you'd only end up where you started?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 28, 2023, 12:34:03 AM
Some of the things being implemented are hardening the border. There will be many goods that cannot cross the border now, which the protocol originally kept open. Surely will hurt border retailers depending on shoppers from "republic". Then separately there's the new visa clearance for non-Irish citizens crossing the border into North. Not a peep from Sinn Fein or SDLP on this. Asleep at the wheel or don't care in the same way DUP created a stink over interruption in East/West trade.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on February 28, 2023, 12:43:59 AM
I don't think shopping by consumers will be affected, not sure about Cash and Carry type places.
The Irish side should absolutely get the visa thing and other issues sorted now. SF don't bother with such things, tourists do not vote.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 28, 2023, 12:48:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2023, 12:43:59 AM
I don't think shopping by consumers will be affected, not sure about Cash and Carry type places.
The Irish side should absolutely get the visa thing and other issues sorted now. SF don't bother with such things, tourists do not vote.

This part sounds like it will impact shoppers and supermarkets/retailers on border:

54.As a result, there is now considerable underlying regulatory divergence North and South:
● The majority of retail shops in Northern Ireland will sell a large range of consumer goods and foods which cannot be sold outside Northern Ireland - goods which cannot be transported over the international land border with Ireland and the EU, and which may indeed be banned entirely in Ireland (including staples such as Lincolnshire sausages)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on February 28, 2023, 07:32:06 AM
Quote from: weareros on February 28, 2023, 12:34:03 AM
Some of the things being implemented are hardening the border. There will be many goods that cannot cross the border now, which the protocol originally kept open. Surely will hurt border retailers depending on shoppers from "republic". Then separately there's the new visa clearance for non-Irish citizens crossing the border into North. Not a peep from Sinn Fein or SDLP on this. Asleep at the wheel or don't care in the same way DUP created a stink over interruption in East/West trade.
Will that happen? Who'll police it/how?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Cavan19 on February 28, 2023, 08:00:59 AM
Quote from: weareros on February 28, 2023, 12:48:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2023, 12:43:59 AM
I don't think shopping by consumers will be affected, not sure about Cash and Carry type places.
The Irish side should absolutely get the visa thing and other issues sorted now. SF don't bother with such things, tourists do not vote.

This part sounds like it will impact shoppers and supermarkets/retailers on border:

54.As a result, there is now considerable underlying regulatory divergence North and South:
● The majority of retail shops in Northern Ireland will sell a large range of consumer goods and foods which cannot be sold outside Northern Ireland - goods which cannot be transported over the international land border with Ireland and the EU, and which may indeed be banned entirely in Ireland (including staples such as Lincolnshire sausages)

They must be going to check shopping bags at the border !
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: weareros on February 28, 2023, 01:36:37 PM
Quote from: Cavan19 on February 28, 2023, 08:00:59 AM
Quote from: weareros on February 28, 2023, 12:48:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2023, 12:43:59 AM
I don't think shopping by consumers will be affected, not sure about Cash and Carry type places.
The Irish side should absolutely get the visa thing and other issues sorted now. SF don't bother with such things, tourists do not vote.

This part sounds like it will impact shoppers and supermarkets/retailers on border:

54.As a result, there is now considerable underlying regulatory divergence North and South:
● The majority of retail shops in Northern Ireland will sell a large range of consumer goods and foods which cannot be sold outside Northern Ireland - goods which cannot be transported over the international land border with Ireland and the EU, and which may indeed be banned entirely in Ireland (including staples such as Lincolnshire sausages)

They must be going to check shopping bags at the border !

There won't be checks on shoppers of course. But the fine print is a customs border has been written into the legal framework. I can see issues when cheap Australian meat products coming in via UK start to cross the border and EU puts squeeze on Irish government to protect the SM. The previous protocol prevented that situation. This does not. I am not sure how many Irish politicians north/South even bothered to read it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: yellowcard on February 28, 2023, 05:06:02 PM
Quote from: weareros on February 28, 2023, 01:36:37 PM
Quote from: Cavan19 on February 28, 2023, 08:00:59 AM
Quote from: weareros on February 28, 2023, 12:48:32 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on February 28, 2023, 12:43:59 AM
I don't think shopping by consumers will be affected, not sure about Cash and Carry type places.
The Irish side should absolutely get the visa thing and other issues sorted now. SF don't bother with such things, tourists do not vote.

This part sounds like it will impact shoppers and supermarkets/retailers on border:

54.As a result, there is now considerable underlying regulatory divergence North and South:
● The majority of retail shops in Northern Ireland will sell a large range of consumer goods and foods which cannot be sold outside Northern Ireland - goods which cannot be transported over the international land border with Ireland and the EU, and which may indeed be banned entirely in Ireland (including staples such as Lincolnshire sausages)

They must be going to check shopping bags at the border !

There won't be checks on shoppers of course. But the fine print is a customs border has been written into the legal framework. I can see issues when cheap Australian meat products coming in via UK start to cross the border and EU puts squeeze on Irish government to protect the SM. The previous protocol prevented that situation. This does not. I am not sure how many Irish politicians north/South even bothered to read it.

It will be a smugglers paradise. Some cheaper goods going through the green lane will eventually make their way into southern Ireland if the market is there for them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bannside on February 28, 2023, 05:13:01 PM
South Armagh men rubbing their hands lol.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on March 03, 2023, 12:37:12 AM
I take it that under this new agreement, NI business cannot directly export goods to the EU/EEA  areas as if they were still  a part of the Union but will be regarded as UK and subject to the terms of the agreement Britain has with the EU, that the green lane is just between Britain and NI?
How will goods flowing from NI UK to south EU  be regulated?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on March 03, 2023, 08:42:12 AM
Quote from: bannside on February 28, 2023, 05:13:01 PM
South Armagh men rubbing their hands lol.

Every border no matter where it is in the world creates an opportunity for smuggling. Alcohol, Tobacco, Oil, People.. the list is endless.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on March 03, 2023, 09:04:00 AM
Quote from: Main Street on March 03, 2023, 12:37:12 AM
I take it that under this new agreement, NI business cannot directly export goods to the EU/EEA  areas as if they were still  a part of the Union but will be regarded as UK and subject to the terms of the agreement Britain has with the EU, that the green lane is just between Britain and NI?
How will goods flowing from NI UK to south EU  be regulated?
They won't
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Redhand Santa on March 03, 2023, 09:10:47 AM
Quote from: Main Street on March 03, 2023, 12:37:12 AM
I take it that under this new agreement, NI business cannot directly export goods to the EU/EEA  areas as if they were still  a part of the Union but will be regarded as UK and subject to the terms of the agreement Britain has with the EU, that the green lane is just between Britain and NI?
How will goods flowing from NI UK to south EU  be regulated?

NI will still be in the single market and able to sell goods freely to Europe.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Main Street on March 03, 2023, 11:55:37 AM
Those Unionists got off lightly considering their absolute hard assed bigoted  political and economic positions these past years. Re the protocol, I see they didn't put forward any alternative  plan, just a demand that others fix it to their satisfaction.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 03, 2023, 12:00:46 PM
They never have any solutions to anything though.

They had 7 red lines and then the closer it came to it looking like something might be resolved they then changed the goalposts and added one with the ECJ stuff.

There's nothing that would please them bar a hard border but they know they can't come out and say it.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: 93-DY-SAM on March 03, 2023, 12:14:06 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 03, 2023, 12:00:46 PM
They never have any solutions to anything though.

They had 7 red lines and then the closer it came to it looking like something might be resolved they then changed the goalposts and added one with the ECJ stuff.

There's nothing that would please them bar a hard border but they know they can't come out and say it.

These guys pine for a hard border between North and South. They'd love nothing more than a Trump-style wall on the border and it can't be wide enough or tall enough for them. Their problem with the protocol mysteriously only appeared when polling results for the last assembly election showed their days of lording it over everyone else were numbered.

Don't kid yourselves this is about anything else regardless of what smoke and mirrors they are inventing.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Armagh18 on March 03, 2023, 12:25:25 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on March 03, 2023, 12:14:06 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 03, 2023, 12:00:46 PM
They never have any solutions to anything though.

They had 7 red lines and then the closer it came to it looking like something might be resolved they then changed the goalposts and added one with the ECJ stuff.

There's nothing that would please them bar a hard border but they know they can't come out and say it.

These guys pine for a hard border between North and South. They'd love nothing more than a Trump-style wall on the border and it can't be wide enough or tall enough for them. Their problem with the protocol mysteriously only appeared when polling results for the last assembly election showed their days of lording it over everyone else were numbered.

Don't kid yourselves this is about anything else regardless of what smoke and mirrors they are inventing.
This in a nutshell. That needs emphasised at every opportunity
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on April 04, 2023, 12:09:23 PM
Lovely Brexit dividend there today that I had no idea about. My wife has started a new job here and issued her first invoice yesterday. Company insistent that she invoice their UK business and would be paid in Euros. Payment promptly arrived this morning. Along with an 18e commission from the bank here for receiving a payment from outside the EEA, even though it was in €. Bastards  >:( >:( >:( Having a look around suggests the banks around Europe brought it in on Day 1 essentially but this is the first time we've been in the position.

Will be taking the payments via Revolut/Transferwise going forward.

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on April 04, 2023, 12:19:16 PM
Quote from: gallsman on April 04, 2023, 12:09:23 PM
Lovely Brexit dividend there today that I had no idea about. My wife has started a new job here and issued her first invoice yesterday. Company insistent that she invoice their UK business and would be paid in Euros. Payment promptly arrived this morning. Along with an 18e commission from the bank here for receiving a payment from outside the EEA, even though it was in €. Bastards  >:( >:( >:( Having a look around suggests the banks around Europe brought it in on Day 1 essentially but this is the first time we've been in the position.

Will be taking the payments via Revolut/Transferwise going forward.

Revolut would be have less commission, or open an Sterling account in the 6 counties and transfer the money when it suits.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: gallsman on April 04, 2023, 01:02:37 PM
Revolut or TransferWise.

Our Revolut IBANs are LT, so can do euro transfer from them to Spain for free up to 1k a month with standard account. Chatted with them earlier and they confirmed no fee on inbound transfers in Euro, even if from a GB IBAN. If they're talking shite I at least have that chat to fall back on.

If not, will go for TransferWise's borderless account.

Fur chatting to Revolut they've given me two months of free premium with no long term commitment or automatic renewal.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 25, 2023, 09:08:07 PM
https://twitter.com/CellaH26/status/1650908774687727616
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Piskin on April 25, 2023, 11:34:11 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on March 03, 2023, 12:14:06 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 03, 2023, 12:00:46 PM
They never have any solutions to anything though.

They had 7 red lines and then the closer it came to it looking like something might be resolved they then changed the goalposts and added one with the ECJ stuff.

There's nothing that would please them bar a hard border but they know they can't come out and say it.

These guys pine for a hard border between North and South. They'd love nothing more than a Trump-style wall on the border and it can't be wide enough or tall enough for them. Their problem with the protocol mysteriously only appeared when polling results for the last assembly election showed their days of lording it over everyone else were numbered.

Don't kid yourselves this is about anything else regardless of what smoke and mirrors they are inventing.

Bang on
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 26, 2023, 08:35:14 AM
Quote from: Piskin on April 25, 2023, 11:34:11 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on March 03, 2023, 12:14:06 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 03, 2023, 12:00:46 PM
They never have any solutions to anything though.

They had 7 red lines and then the closer it came to it looking like something might be resolved they then changed the goalposts and added one with the ECJ stuff.

There's nothing that would please them bar a hard border but they know they can't come out and say it.

These guys pine for a hard border between North and South. They'd love nothing more than a Trump-style wall on the border and it can't be wide enough or tall enough for them. Their problem with the protocol mysteriously only appeared when polling results for the last assembly election showed their days of lording it over everyone else were numbered.

Don't kid yourselves this is about anything else regardless of what smoke and mirrors they are inventing.

Bang on
The return of a hard border is one of their fantasies. Most of what the DUP and Allister want is deluded.
They take the piss out of their own voters. I would love  to know who funds them.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 26, 2023, 01:28:17 PM
Quote from: seafoid on April 26, 2023, 08:35:14 AM
Quote from: Piskin on April 25, 2023, 11:34:11 PM
Quote from: 93-DY-SAM on March 03, 2023, 12:14:06 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 03, 2023, 12:00:46 PM
They never have any solutions to anything though.

They had 7 red lines and then the closer it came to it looking like something might be resolved they then changed the goalposts and added one with the ECJ stuff.

There's nothing that would please them bar a hard border but they know they can't come out and say it.

These guys pine for a hard border between North and South. They'd love nothing more than a Trump-style wall on the border and it can't be wide enough or tall enough for them. Their problem with the protocol mysteriously only appeared when polling results for the last assembly election showed their days of lording it over everyone else were numbered.

Don't kid yourselves this is about anything else regardless of what smoke and mirrors they are inventing.

Bang on
The return of a hard border is one of their fantasies. Most of what the DUP and Allister want is deluded.
They take the piss out of their own voters. I would love  to know who funds them.

Who funds them? wealthy business men who ask for favours in return, its the same all over the world! Funding someone 2 million and getting some sort of tax break or planning permission that will earn them 5 times that 'investment' is business, probably (and I know one business man that did) don't or would never voter for them in their life.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 26, 2023, 02:08:31 PM
Day to day yes but who funded their brexit campaign?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Milltown Row2 on April 26, 2023, 02:39:10 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 26, 2023, 02:08:31 PM
Day to day yes but who funded their brexit campaign?

Probably the Tory backers who wanted out of Europe
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on April 26, 2023, 02:48:12 PM
Who funded the tory backers though?

Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on April 26, 2023, 03:33:13 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on April 26, 2023, 02:48:12 PM
Who funded the tory backers though?
A few plutocrats
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: johnnycool on April 27, 2023, 12:14:06 PM
https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/opendemocracyuk/we-need-to-talk-about-arron/ (https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/opendemocracyuk/we-need-to-talk-about-arron/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: armaghniac on August 02, 2023, 11:50:42 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.

They don't have a huge biosecurity problem, any more than they had when they were in the EU. But they have ensured that imports are easier than exports, and for a country with a trade deficit that is madness.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Sportacus on August 03, 2023, 08:21:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 02, 2023, 11:50:42 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.

They don't have a huge biosecurity problem, any more than they had when they were in the EU. But they have ensured that imports are easier than exports, and for a country with a trade deficit that is madness.
You don't have a biosecurity problem until you do.  GB has no biosecurity import control on trade from anywhere in the world, an accident waiting to happen.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Joeythelips on August 03, 2023, 09:44:42 AM
So this is why a millionaire wants a job that pays £160k per year.
https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/politics/sunaks-family-firm-signed-a-billion-dollar-deal-with-bp-before-pm-opened-new-north-sea-licences-353690/ (https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/politics/sunaks-family-firm-signed-a-billion-dollar-deal-with-bp-before-pm-opened-new-north-sea-licences-353690/)
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on August 03, 2023, 11:05:06 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 03, 2023, 08:21:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 02, 2023, 11:50:42 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.

They don't have a huge biosecurity problem, any more than they had when they were in the EU. But they have ensured that imports are easier than exports, and for a country with a trade deficit that is madness.
You don't have a biosecurity problem until you do.  GB has no biosecurity import control on trade from anywhere in the world, an accident waiting to happen.

I'm going to ask a stupid question, what do you mean by biosecurity problem? Genuine question...
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: RedHand88 on August 03, 2023, 11:11:53 AM
Quote from: tbrick18 on August 03, 2023, 11:05:06 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 03, 2023, 08:21:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 02, 2023, 11:50:42 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.

They don't have a huge biosecurity problem, any more than they had when they were in the EU. But they have ensured that imports are easier than exports, and for a country with a trade deficit that is madness.
You don't have a biosecurity problem until you do.  GB has no biosecurity import control on trade from anywhere in the world, an accident waiting to happen.

I'm going to ask a stupid question, what do you mean by biosecurity problem? Genuine question...

Keeping out disease, pests etc. The wrong thing coming in could wipe out a specific crop or animal, causing mayhem to the farming industry. Should see how serious Australia and New Zealand take this stuff. They'll wash the dirt off your shoes coming in.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: marty34 on August 03, 2023, 11:33:19 AM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 03, 2023, 11:11:53 AM
Quote from: tbrick18 on August 03, 2023, 11:05:06 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 03, 2023, 08:21:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 02, 2023, 11:50:42 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.

They don't have a huge biosecurity problem, any more than they had when they were in the EU. But they have ensured that imports are easier than exports, and for a country with a trade deficit that is madness.
You don't have a biosecurity problem until you do.  GB has no biosecurity import control on trade from anywhere in the world, an accident waiting to happen.

I'm going to ask a stupid question, what do you mean by biosecurity problem? Genuine question...

Keeping out disease, pests etc. The wrong thing coming in could wipe out a specific crop or animal, causing mayhem to the farming industry. Should see how serious Australia and New Zealand take this stuff. They'll wash the dirt off your shoes coming in.

Question, was that how ash die back disease (killing ash trees) came in, through other trees being brought in with the disease or was that just through the air?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on August 03, 2023, 12:41:56 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 03, 2023, 11:11:53 AM
Quote from: tbrick18 on August 03, 2023, 11:05:06 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 03, 2023, 08:21:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 02, 2023, 11:50:42 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.

They don't have a huge biosecurity problem, any more than they had when they were in the EU. But they have ensured that imports are easier than exports, and for a country with a trade deficit that is madness.
You don't have a biosecurity problem until you do.  GB has no biosecurity import control on trade from anywhere in the world, an accident waiting to happen.

I'm going to ask a stupid question, what do you mean by biosecurity problem? Genuine question...

Keeping out disease, pests etc. The wrong thing coming in could wipe out a specific crop or animal, causing mayhem to the farming industry. Should see how serious Australia and New Zealand take this stuff. They'll wash the dirt off your shoes coming in.

Foot and mouth another good example.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: tbrick18 on August 03, 2023, 01:15:09 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 03, 2023, 11:11:53 AM
Quote from: tbrick18 on August 03, 2023, 11:05:06 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 03, 2023, 08:21:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 02, 2023, 11:50:42 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PM
FT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.

They don't have a huge biosecurity problem, any more than they had when they were in the EU. But they have ensured that imports are easier than exports, and for a country with a trade deficit that is madness.
You don't have a biosecurity problem until you do.  GB has no biosecurity import control on trade from anywhere in the world, an accident waiting to happen.

I'm going to ask a stupid question, what do you mean by biosecurity problem? Genuine question...

Keeping out disease, pests etc. The wrong thing coming in could wipe out a specific crop or animal, causing mayhem to the farming industry. Should see how serious Australia and New Zealand take this stuff. They'll wash the dirt off your shoes coming in.

Obvious answer when you see it written down!
Cheers.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: mouview on December 07, 2023, 08:07:32 PM
Next week's immigration bill vote looks like it could be fun. Immigration minister Jenrick resigned because, like the far-right fringe, he believes it doesn't go far enough. Cruella Suella is spreading poison all round. Moderate centrists don't like it because it probably removes them from the ECHR, putting them in company with such as Russia and Belarus. Labour are not going to bail Sunak out - why should they? It's not a problem of their making. The UK Supreme Court says that it's probably illegal anyway.

What's a PM to do? GE early in the new year?
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: trailer on December 08, 2023, 03:10:31 PM
Quote from: tbrick18 on August 03, 2023, 01:15:09 PM
Quote from: RedHand88 on August 03, 2023, 11:11:53 AM
Quote from: tbrick18 on August 03, 2023, 11:05:06 AM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 03, 2023, 08:21:30 AM
Quote from: armaghniac on August 02, 2023, 11:50:42 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 11:22:56 PM
Quote from: Orior on August 02, 2023, 11:08:44 PM
Quote from: Sportacus on August 02, 2023, 10:20:42 PMFT saying the UK government are not going ahead with the import checks on goods from Europe known as the Target Operating Model. Fifth time they've postponed it.  They stalled on the CE mark earlier this week as well. It has become an absolute disaster for them, as many predicted.

What is the impact of the UK not doin import checks?
Trade from the EU keeps flowing in without the extra cost and delay of veterinary certificates and inspections, but leaves them wide open from a biosecurity perspective and at a trade disadvantage because GB exporters have to meet all the requirements moving goods the other way.  They must be laughing their heads off in Brussels. The farmers and foodies won't be happy.

They don't have a huge biosecurity problem, any more than they had when they were in the EU. But they have ensured that imports are easier than exports, and for a country with a trade deficit that is madness.
You don't have a biosecurity problem until you do.  GB has no biosecurity import control on trade from anywhere in the world, an accident waiting to happen.

I'm going to ask a stupid question, what do you mean by biosecurity problem? Genuine question...

Keeping out disease, pests etc. The wrong thing coming in could wipe out a specific crop or animal, causing mayhem to the farming industry. Should see how serious Australia and New Zealand take this stuff. They'll wash the dirt off your shoes coming in.

Obvious answer when you see it written down!
Cheers.

Foot and Mouth.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on December 28, 2023, 10:20:18 AM
https://www.rte.ie/news/uk/2023/1227/1423821-uk-measurement/

Brits can now buy a pint of wine....
What a victory!
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 17, 2024, 03:04:25 PM
Brexit means that UK inflation is higher than in the eurozone . It just brings economic ruin closer.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on February 18, 2024, 11:08:35 AM
I see 62% of North(East)erners would like to rejoin the EU.
DUPUDA and Allister neanderthals most opposed to so doing of course.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Nanderson on February 18, 2024, 11:10:37 AM
Out of interest, if the entire UK voted again today on Brexit knowing everything that we know now would it still be a narrow leave win. I'd probably back something closer to 55-60% win for Remain
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: JoG2 on February 18, 2024, 11:43:53 AM
Quote from: Nanderson on February 18, 2024, 11:10:37 AMOut of interest, if the entire UK voted again today on Brexit knowing everything that we know now would it still be a narrow leave win. I'd probably back something closer to 55-60% win for Remain

Would be a remain win, but it would get very ugly from the leave side knowing the lies everyone now knows re new trade deals, NHS etc... The fight would be against the non-whites coming into Britain, there's nothing else
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2024, 04:51:50 PM
Quote from: Nanderson on February 18, 2024, 11:10:37 AMOut of interest, if the entire UK voted again today on Brexit knowing everything that we know now would it still be a narrow leave win. I'd probably back something closer to 55-60% win for Remain
There will be no second vote because both big parties are controlled by the ultra rich

http://dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-13095069/PETER-HITCHENS-General-Election-vote.html......  "Our democracy is now a closed circle, in which secret cliques select candidates like themselves, and we then vote for them, urged on by slick advertising campaigns and broadcasters who are part of the system"
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: blasmere on February 18, 2024, 05:39:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2024, 04:51:50 PM
Quote from: Nanderson on February 18, 2024, 11:10:37 AMOut of interest, if the entire UK voted again today on Brexit knowing everything that we know now would it still be a narrow leave win. I'd probably back something closer to 55-60% win for Remain
There will be no second vote because both big parties are controlled by the ultra rich

http://dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-13095069/PETER-HITCHENS-General-Election-vote.html......  "Our democracy is now a closed circle, in which secret cliques select candidates like themselves, and we then vote for them, urged on by slick advertising campaigns and broadcasters who are part of the system"

Irony of this article being in the daily heil, who are a huge part of the problem.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2024, 06:26:54 PM
Quote from: blasmere on February 18, 2024, 05:39:46 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 18, 2024, 04:51:50 PM
Quote from: Nanderson on February 18, 2024, 11:10:37 AMOut of interest, if the entire UK voted again today on Brexit knowing everything that we know now would it still be a narrow leave win. I'd probably back something closer to 55-60% win for Remain
There will be no second vote because both big parties are controlled by the ultra rich

http://dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-13095069/PETER-HITCHENS-General-Election-vote.html......  "Our democracy is now a closed circle, in which secret cliques select candidates like themselves, and we then vote for them, urged on by slick advertising campaigns and broadcasters who are part of the system"

Irony of this article being in the daily heil, who are a huge part of the problem.
I was thinking the same thing
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: bennydorano on February 18, 2024, 06:47:03 PM
Peter Hitchens is a ****, Christopher was a man I greatly admired, a man that deserves to be read whether you agree with him or not.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on February 18, 2024, 06:54:26 PM
Quote from: bennydorano on February 18, 2024, 06:47:03 PMPeter Hitchens is a ****, Christopher was a man I greatly admired, a man that deserves to be read whether you agree with him or not.
I don't really like him but he is on the ball about Brexit and this
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Rossfan on March 22, 2024, 04:59:02 PM
Stay safe up North....

https://www.rte.ie/news/2024/0322/1439448-high-court-uk-ruling/
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: imtommygunn on March 22, 2024, 05:05:00 PM
Just listening to Diarmuid O'Sullivan on that GAA social - he didn't feel too safe on his first few visits  ;D
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: Denn Forever on March 27, 2024, 12:07:29 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 22, 2024, 05:05:00 PMJust listening to Diarmuid O'Sullivan on that GAA social - he didn't feel too safe on his first few visits  ;D
lUCKY HE WASN'T COMING UP IN THE 70s OR 80s.
Title: Re: Brexit.
Post by: seafoid on March 27, 2024, 07:35:39 PM
The far right sets the agenda

https://twitter.com/reformparty_uk/status/1772656830927327260