The Horse racing thread

[Milltown Row2]

Kids have picked, shakalakaboomboom, The rainbow hunter and wife Mr Moonshine, I've went for Balthazar King

[ONeill]

Kids have picked, shakalakaboomboom, The rainbow hunter and wife Mr Moonshine, I've went for Balthazar King

Similar. Children on Shakal...., Rainbow Hunter, Mr Moonshine and Target something. Myself Long Run and Big Shu.

[maddog]

This years theory is to go with tried and tested staying form. These are the horses that have win or placed for at the greatest distance so Teaforthree placed last year over 35f etc. It might help it might not. Ignoring at my peril everything below that. Now to weed these out somehow. Will go for lighter weights, probably ignore cross country form


teaforthree      35   aintree   place      good      grand national
one in a milan      33   uttoxeter   place      heavy      midlands national
big shu      33   punchestown   win      heavy      cross country
balthazar king      31   cheltenham   win      good      cross country
vesper bell      30   punchestown   place      heavy      
hawkes point      29   chepstow   place      heavy      welsh national
mountainous      29   chepstow   win      heavy      welsh national
monbeg dude      29   chepstow   win      heavy      welsh national
lion na bernai      29   fairyhouse   win      good to soft      irish national
tidal bay      29   sandown   win      soft      
raz de maree      28   cork   win      good to soft      cork national
pineau de re      28   downpatrick   win      good      
across the bay      28   haydock   win      heavy      
alvardo      27   cheltenham   win      good      
rose of the moon      27   sedgefield   win      soft      

[Hardy]

I've had a go at it, cutting down that range of stats I used to apply and limiting it to the stats that have been relatively consistent. This throws up

Quito De La Roque (50/1)
Balthazar King (16/1)
Burton Port (20/1)
The Rainbow Hunter (28/1)

Monbeg Dude and Big Shu come close behind.

The stats I've used don't separate that top four. If you look at breeding, Irish breds have won 8 of the last 10 and have been placed 29 times out of 40 (72.5%) from approximately 57.4% of the runners. On the other hand, French Breds have won two of the last five, never having won before. Balthazar King, Burton Port, Monbeg Dude and Big Shu are Irish Bred. Quito De La Roque is French.

[bridgegael]

hard to look past the rainbow hunter.

[beer baron]

I've done Alvarado(Maloneys National form is incredible),Our Father because he's always been highly regarded,went off Favourite in the Hennessy off 2lb higher when finishing a disappointing 7th behind triolo d'alene when looking 1 paced,wouldn't put it by the Pipes to have been eyeing this for a while.Did wayward prince too because i've a soft spot for him since he ran 2nd to Siliniaco Conti last year, Only buttons on each though.

Is Carberry definitely riding Monbeg dude? Had a nasty fall yesterday and went to hospital i believe,was working all morning so heard nothing?

[muppet]

Quito De La Roque

I know absolutely nothing about horses.

[ONeill]

That's the exact translation too.

[muppet]

That's the exact translation too.

I didn't know you spoke Equinian.

[Armaghgeddon]

Never bet on horse racing but went for double seven

[orangeman]

Pineau de re

[muppet]

Poor old Walk on.

[Milltown Row2]

Ahhh I had a least a sweat on for most of the race, I'd picked out Balthazar King and Across the bay at work for the sweep so £8 for second place

[Hardy]

A very eventful race. Great entertainment as always. When you watch what they go through you have to figure Battle Group was the smartest on the course, man or horse.

[Donnellys Hollow]

Leighton becomes the second Kilcullen man to ride the Aintree National winner in the last 6 years.