Elections North and South

Started by Farrandeelin, April 18, 2019, 04:09:48 PM

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marty34

Quote from: armaghniac on May 04, 2019, 05:05:46 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 04, 2019, 04:49:54 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on May 04, 2019, 03:55:08 PM
Quote from: tintin25 on May 04, 2019, 11:48:06 AM
Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

It's been known for quite some time more Catholics than protestants vote alliance about 5 years ago a poll had it at 4 out of every 7

The test will be in the Euro elections in a few weeks - do they give their first preference to SDLP or Alliance?

There is a case for tactical voting for Alliance. If the SDLP are eliminated first, then Alliance would get transfers to pass the UU. If Alliance are eliminated first perhaps a third of the transfers might go to the UU and the UU might make it.

Two nationalist candidates getting elected would not really represent things; one unionist, one Alliance and one nationalist would be a fair representation of things.

Without Jim Nicholson this time and the UUP losses, I don't think the electorate will be enticed to vote the UUP.

Farrandeelin

0.9% between the 'big two'. That 1.1% AontĂș got is the difference.
Inaugural Football Championship Prediction Winner.

armaghniac

Quote from: marty34 on May 04, 2019, 06:23:11 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on May 04, 2019, 05:05:46 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 04, 2019, 04:49:54 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on May 04, 2019, 03:55:08 PM
Quote from: tintin25 on May 04, 2019, 11:48:06 AM
Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

It's been known for quite some time more Catholics than protestants vote alliance about 5 years ago a poll had it at 4 out of every 7

The test will be in the Euro elections in a few weeks - do they give their first preference to SDLP or Alliance?

There is a case for tactical voting for Alliance. If the SDLP are eliminated first, then Alliance would get transfers to pass the UU. If Alliance are eliminated first perhaps a third of the transfers might go to the UU and the UU might make it.

Two nationalist candidates getting elected would not really represent things; one unionist, one Alliance and one nationalist would be a fair representation of things.

Without Jim Nicholson this time and the UUP losses, I don't think the electorate will be enticed to vote the UUP.

in the local elections, the UU got more than Alliance or SDLP
A few might choose to vote Alliance for the Euro election, but Alliance are not prominent in agricultural matters.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

Owen Brannigan

Quote from: armaghniac on May 04, 2019, 05:05:46 PM
Quote from: marty34 on May 04, 2019, 04:49:54 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on May 04, 2019, 03:55:08 PM
Quote from: tintin25 on May 04, 2019, 11:48:06 AM
Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

It's been known for quite some time more Catholics than protestants vote alliance about 5 years ago a poll had it at 4 out of every 7

The test will be in the Euro elections in a few weeks - do they give their first preference to SDLP or Alliance?

There is a case for tactical voting for Alliance. If the SDLP are eliminated first, then Alliance would get transfers to pass the UU. If Alliance are eliminated first perhaps a third of the transfers might go to the UU and the UU might make it.

Two nationalist candidates getting elected would not really represent things; one unionist, one Alliance and one nationalist would be a fair representation of things.

+1

LooseCannon

Quote from: Farrandeelin on May 04, 2019, 06:30:52 PM
0.9% between the 'big two'. That 1.1% AontĂș got is the difference.
A guy on Twitter had a look at it. They took more votes from the SDLP than the shinners.

Owen Brannigan


marty34

In a strange way, every party will be happy!!

playwiththewind1st

Doubt if Ulster Unionists will be...significant losses & all but wiped out in Belfast. Glad to see Jim Allister doing badly too.