China Coronavirus

[larryin89]

The rate of increase seems to be slowing down in Italy

Eg deaths increased by 15% from 12 to 13 March
And by 9.7% from 17 to 18 March

Yep, the lockdown is working, infection rate is down to ~11% today.

[not that the braindead journos here would understand that - they keep quoting absolute figures.]

Would you be in favour of lockdown here ?

[knockitdown]

https://twitter.com/ultanpower/status/1240390292664201223?s=21

Very worrying

[screenexile]

The UK have 104 deaths as of today.  If we / they are tracking at the same rate as Italy the number tomorrow should be approx 145.
Will be interesting to see.

3000 deaths in Italy since 15 Feb. On a normal day (virus aside) there is about 1750 deaths per Day in Italy. Coronavirus is obviously bad but italy had a high death rate per day when compared against other countries. UK for example has a death rate per day of around 1400

And of course the Coronavirus deaths are geographically concentrated, there would not be some many of these south of Bologna, although there are an increasing number.

Is there not something as well to do with Northen Italy being the textiles hub and having a very close relationship with Wuhan in China?

That would help explain why the virus as sky rocketed compared to other countries.

[RedHand88]

https://twitter.com/ultanpower/status/1240390292664201223?s=21

Very worrying

You think that's not too bad until you realise it's a log graph. Scary.

[Cunny Funt]

https://www.gov.ie/en/publication/cd0cea-an-analysis-of-the-266-cases-of-covid-19-in-ireland-as-of-march-16-2/?fbclid=IwAR3juAnYNaBybwORuQUP2W4F-yybf1mAgzYtU92_V8aqXGS1hFicyD2OqUM

[armaghniac]

https://www.gov.ie/en/publication/cd0cea-an-analysis-of-the-266-cases-of-covid-19-in-ireland-as-of-march-16-2/?fbclid=IwAR3juAnYNaBybwORuQUP2W4F-yybf1mAgzYtU92_V8aqXGS1hFicyD2OqUM

More than half the cases still travel or people they met. Not great, but could be worse.

[gallsman]

The rate of increase seems to be slowing down in Italy

Eg deaths increased by 15% from 12 to 13 March
And by 9.7% from 17 to 18 March

Yep, the lockdown is working, infection rate is down to ~11% today.

[not that the braindead journos here would understand that - they keep quoting absolute figures.]

Would you be in favour of lockdown here ?

100%

[seafoid]

https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/coronavirus-drastic-new-powers-will-allow-authorities-to-lock-down-regions-1.4206261
A further 74 cases of the virus, also known as Covid-19, were reported last night, a record number for the fifth consecutive day. The new cases involve 29 women and 45 men. There are now 366 confirmed cases in the Republic.

Two deaths have been officially confirmed so far.

--------------

2 deaths x 800 = c 1600 true cases

[RadioGAAGAA]

https://twitter.com/ultanpower/status/1240390292664201223?s=21

Very worrying

No no no - yer man doesn't understand how it works at all.


Lock down today means cases spread less today. It takes on average around 6-10 days for symptoms to show. So you'll start to see the result of the lockdown in terms of cases found in a week and a half.

It takes on average ~19 days to die of COVID-19 - so you'll start to see the result of the lockdown in terms of number dying in 3 weeks.

[armaghniac]

https://twitter.com/ultanpower/status/1240390292664201223?s=21

Very worrying

No no no - yer man doesn't understand how it works at all.


Lock down today means cases spread less today. It takes on average around 6-10 days for symptoms to show. So you'll start to see the result of the lockdown in terms of cases found in a week and a half.

It takes on average ~19 days to die of COVID-19 - so you'll start to see the result of the lockdown in terms of number dying in 3 weeks.

It is like stopping an oil tanker, it takes a long time to slow down. Number of deaths is a lagging measure.

[johnnycool]

https://twitter.com/ultanpower/status/1240390292664201223?s=21

Very worrying

No no no - yer man doesn't understand how it works at all.


Lock down today means cases spread less today. It takes on average around 6-10 days for symptoms to show. So you'll start to see the result of the lockdown in terms of cases found in a week and a half.

It takes on average ~19 days to die of COVID-19 - so you'll start to see the result of the lockdown in terms of number dying in 3 weeks.

It is like stopping an oil tanker, it takes a long time to slow down. Number of deaths is a lagging measure.

The amount of keyboard warriors who don't understand that is unreal..

We haven't peaked yet, blah blah blah, too early to close the schools/pubs/theatres blah blah blah.

[imtommygunn]

Exactly. I have stopped reading about it in most avenues. Twitter is a disaster for it. I would never normally be off it for sports and tech related stuff now I don't go near it.

[charlieTully]

Exactly. I have stopped reading about it in most avenues. Twitter is a disaster for it. I would never normally be off it for sports and tech related stuff now I don't go near it.

Deleted Facebook. Everyone is an expert all of a sudden. Fake news and rumours. I work over 2 acute hospital emergency departments.there is a strange eerie atmosphere. Like being on a countdown. It's hard to keep the anxiety curtailed but you have to get on with it.

[imtommygunn]

Yeah. Social media doesn't help.

[Dire Ear]

Yeah. Social media doesn't help.

Agree , but who should we be listening to?  Just World Health?  we need info.  and social media is very useful IF.. you filter the crap