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Messages - seafoid

#16
I thought it would happen 20 years ago..

Rüdiger Dornbusch, a US-based German economist, said : "The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.
#17
General discussion / Re: The Fine Gael thread
March 26, 2024, 04:53:43 PM
Quote from: From the Bunker on March 26, 2024, 03:33:09 PM
Quote from: Eire90 on March 26, 2024, 02:59:54 PMfine gael and the establishment about to bin the hate speech looks like they are terrified of people rising up

Hate speech is like a Durable relationship. You can interpret anything as a durable relationship and you can interpret anything as Hate Speech.
Hate speech has to be defined and the trans lobby, the people behind "durable relationship",  kept it as vague as possible..
#19
Quote from: Franko on March 26, 2024, 01:46:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2024, 12:14:23 PM
Quote from: Franko on March 26, 2024, 12:02:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 16, 2024, 12:12:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 16, 2024, 11:24:02 AMAs pointed out by others that's nothing to do  the split season.
It's a good argument for abolishing the Provincials or the link between them and the AI.
It's isn't about the split season. They could run any kind of championship in the time available.

OK, so we're agreed

This has everything to do with the structure of the championship and the relative weaknesses of the provincial championships compared to Ulster

And nothing to do with the split season
Finally, Franko. I can't believe it.
 8)


Sorry I was confused, maybe I got the wrong end of de schtick but I thought your messaging was mixed

Tis a great day for sure  ;D
It sure is. I think they will have to change the championship . It isn't good enough
#20
GAA Discussion / Re: Power Rankings
March 26, 2024, 01:50:54 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 26, 2024, 12:37:44 PMHave we begun the slide as our early to mid 2011 to 16 Minor/u21 silver generation reach retirement age?
That group won Connachts at the 3 Grades but never quite cut it at AI level.
Next year could see us without a Smith, Daly or Murtagh so it could be back down among the small Counties with populations of under 100k or the hurley Counties.

But let's have one last cut at it Davy....
#plámás
https://twitter.com/offtheball/status/1769413387094458851
#21
Quote from: Franko on March 26, 2024, 12:02:26 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 16, 2024, 12:12:22 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on March 16, 2024, 11:24:02 AMAs pointed out by others that's nothing to do  the split season.
It's a good argument for abolishing the Provincials or the link between them and the AI.
It's isn't about the split season. They could run any kind of championship in the time available.

OK, so we're agreed

This has everything to do with the structure of the championship and the relative weaknesses of the provincial championships compared to Ulster

And nothing to do with the split season
Finally, Franko. I can't believe it.
 8)
#22
GAA Discussion / Re: Power Rankings
March 26, 2024, 11:37:26 AM
Quote from: SouthOfThe Bann on March 26, 2024, 11:01:28 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 26, 2024, 10:50:45 AM
Quote from: SouthOfThe Bann on March 26, 2024, 10:18:48 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on March 25, 2024, 10:52:39 PM
Quote from: Cunny Funt on March 25, 2024, 10:49:51 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 25, 2024, 07:51:07 PMThe Paddy Power Ranking

Dublin 13/8
Kerry 5/2
Derry 11/2
Galway 9/1
Mayo 10/1
Armagh 20/1
Donegal 22/1
Tyrone 25/1
Roscommon 80/1
Cork 100/1
Monaghan 100/1

I'm not sure that Galway/Mayo are hugely better than Armagh/Donegal/Tyrone but one of them will be Connacht champions and that has seeding advantages.

Wouldn't totally rule out Roscommon out. Won Connacht in 2017 and 2019 off the back of Division one relegation.
Mayo would be my bet, but the Rossies have forwards to trouble anyone.

The Rossies will have a big Connacht Championship as per usual.

Then disappear once the big boy stuff starts come All Ireland stage.

"Watch out
They'll tear your insides out"

Davy Burke has been planning for the last 9 months.
He is a really good coach. He practices scenarios over and over.

The odds reflect information that the power ranking does not. 

If they get to a semi final I will eat my words.

Whats stopping them from making the next step; they certainly have the forwards to do so.
Small margins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rUXCHlZ8ZPc

#23
Quote from: imtommygunn on March 26, 2024, 10:27:23 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 25, 2024, 04:27:21 PM
Quote from: JoG2 on March 25, 2024, 12:16:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 25, 2024, 11:14:36 AMhttps://twitter.com/BrophShane/status/1772003527205716004

The GAA has got a huge problem with the hurling and football leagues as in you can't trust what you are watching. Managers pick games over others to prioritise. So much of this years league has been fake and supporters won't stay paying high admission prices for it.

Easy solution, let the masses, teams etc get on with the leagues, and Shane and yourself can switch off until the Championship starts? 
I still like the league but I don't think it reflects football reality.

You give off an awful lot about it for someone who likes it. The lower divisions reflect the reality a lot more.
The GAA has devalued the league with the new system. I am sure they wanted just to improve things.

"History is a record of "effects" the vast majority of which nobody intended to produce."
― Joseph Alois Schumpeter


#24
GAA Discussion / Re: Power Rankings
March 26, 2024, 10:50:45 AM
Quote from: SouthOfThe Bann on March 26, 2024, 10:18:48 AM
Quote from: Armagh18 on March 25, 2024, 10:52:39 PM
Quote from: Cunny Funt on March 25, 2024, 10:49:51 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on March 25, 2024, 07:51:07 PMThe Paddy Power Ranking

Dublin 13/8
Kerry 5/2
Derry 11/2
Galway 9/1
Mayo 10/1
Armagh 20/1
Donegal 22/1
Tyrone 25/1
Roscommon 80/1
Cork 100/1
Monaghan 100/1

I'm not sure that Galway/Mayo are hugely better than Armagh/Donegal/Tyrone but one of them will be Connacht champions and that has seeding advantages.

Wouldn't totally rule out Roscommon out. Won Connacht in 2017 and 2019 off the back of Division one relegation.
Mayo would be my bet, but the Rossies have forwards to trouble anyone.

The Rossies will have a big Connacht Championship as per usual.

Then disappear once the big boy stuff starts come All Ireland stage.

"Watch out
They'll tear your insides out"

Davy Burke has been planning for the last 9 months.
He is a really good coach. He practices scenarios over and over.

The odds reflect information that the power ranking does not. 
#25
GAA Discussion / Re: Power Rankings
March 25, 2024, 10:38:42 PM
I think a full strength Galway versus Derry would be worth watching
#26
GAA Discussion / Re: Power Rankings
March 25, 2024, 10:23:39 PM
Quote from: Derryman forever on March 25, 2024, 07:19:10 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 25, 2024, 06:28:51 PMDerry haven't won an all Ireland semifinal since 1993 afaik. The last 4 times Derry won the League they didn't win Sam. 

You appear to be absolutely fixated with Derry. Why is that?
In the old days if a team did the iterations they would often win Sam. Derry are doing the iterations. But Dublin don't care about stuff like that. There is a glass ceiling. Ranking Derry second ignores the big picture. It was always hard to win the all Ireland but it is even harder now.
#27
GAA Discussion / Re: Power Rankings
March 25, 2024, 06:28:51 PM
Derry haven't won an all Ireland semifinal since 1993 afaik. The last 4 times Derry won the League they didn't win Sam. 
#28
Quote from: JoG2 on March 25, 2024, 12:16:39 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 25, 2024, 11:14:36 AMhttps://twitter.com/BrophShane/status/1772003527205716004

The GAA has got a huge problem with the hurling and football leagues as in you can't trust what you are watching. Managers pick games over others to prioritise. So much of this years league has been fake and supporters won't stay paying high admission prices for it.

Easy solution, let the masses, teams etc get on with the leagues, and Shane and yourself can switch off until the Championship starts? 
I still like the league but I don't think it reflects football reality.
#29
Hurling Discussion / Re: Hurling 2024
March 25, 2024, 04:26:22 PM
Quote from: johnnycool on March 25, 2024, 09:02:34 AM
Quote from: seafoid on March 24, 2024, 05:34:38 PM19 wides. 10 frees sent wide.

Clare went up the gears when needed but in general the standard of hurling was poor over the weekend and whilst it may not have looked like it the Down lads say there was quite a lot of sand on the pitch in Portlaoise which probably contributed to the bunching, inability to rise the ball first time etc etc which ensured the game didn't really have any pace to it.

Tipp will be concerned, unsure of the spine of their team, does Maher come out to 6, who goes back in to 3, centre forward is probably where they should be playing Bonnar Maher IMO but they to find a balance in there and lads who can get the most out of Forde and Morris who need the ball in early and in space to cause defences problems.

 Clare content that they've a panel now going into championship but Kelly and O'Donnell need game time and surely the final is the place to get them some. Even Ryan Taylor and David McInerney haven't featured to date and are allegedly back to full fitness.
One concern for Clare is that they don't think John Conlan has 70 minutes in him and a stand in centre back isn't Seadna Morey in all fairness. Conlan has played some hurling in the last year with club and county and he isn't getting any younger but he is their talisman and there's more to replacing him than just for his hurling!
David Fitzgerald is a beast of a hurler, size, speed and skill, Clare need him in the game a lot more, but what a weapon.


Championship is 25% faster than league. Touch and accuracy are far better. A loss like that may be better for Tipp in the long run if they are honest and want to learn from it.
Clare are probably better overall.
The provincial harness is unfair on Munster because there are 5 decent teams and in Leinster there aren't.
 
#30
Putin ran the war in Ukraine to distract from the state of the economy and present himself as a strongman.
Then he gets blindsided by Tajiks. You couldn't make it up.