Stormont Assembly Elections 2017

Started by give her dixie, January 13, 2017, 11:42:52 AM

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Rois

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:36:28 PM
What happened in 1989?
Might actually be 1986 and the impact of the Anglo Irish Agreement?

Milltown Row2

Quote from: Rois on March 05, 2017, 08:38:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:36:28 PM
What happened in 1989?
Might actually be 1986 and the impact of the Anglo Irish Agreement?

I thought all unionists voted then
None of us are getting out of here alive, so please stop treating yourself like an after thought. Ea

Rois

Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:40:16 PM
Quote from: Rois on March 05, 2017, 08:38:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:36:28 PM
What happened in 1989?
Might actually be 1986 and the impact of the Anglo Irish Agreement?

I thought all unionists voted then
Yeah - giving unionist spike? Doesn't mean less nationalists turned out, means more unionists did.

naka

Unionists underestimated how toxic Arlene was
The attack on the irish language really hit a nerve
Most nationalists like to hold on to their Irish identity
We all have a sort of pride in the language
That on the back of RHI, Nama,

The reality is I think that they have realised that they poked the bear and it bit back
The shinners need to keep the populace mobilised

armaghniac

Quote from: naka on March 05, 2017, 08:50:36 PM
Unionists underestimated how toxic Arlene was
The attack on the irish language really hit a nerve
Most nationalists like to hold on to their Irish identity
We all have a sort of pride in the language
That on the back of RHI, Nama,

The reality is I think that they have realised that they poked the bear and it bit back
The shinners need to keep the populace mobilised

They spout such crap to their base about fighting SF that they forgot that they were in government with them, and that SF could collapse the whole thing at any time. And in the chart about the 2016 election was an outlier, which lead to hubris. It is a bit like Armagh expecting to win by 30 points in their next game.

Brexit will likely keep the population mobilised for a while. Then it will either collapse, become a Brexit in name only, or a real problem and in the latter case things could heat up significantly.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

seafoid

Quote from: Rois on March 05, 2017, 08:38:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:36:28 PM
What happened in 1989?
Might actually be 1986 and the impact of the Anglo Irish Agreement?
the late 80s were very violent
https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2010/jun/10/deaths-in-northern-ireland-conflict-data
Presumably a lot of nationalists withdrew from the political side
"f**k it, just score"- Donaghy   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbxG2WwVRjU

screenexile

Quote from: naka on March 05, 2017, 08:50:36 PM
Unionists underestimated how toxic Arlene was
The attack on the irish language really hit a nerve
Most nationalists like to hold on to their Irish identity
We all have a sort of pride in the language
That on the back of RHI, Nama,

The reality is I think that they have realised that they poked the bear and it bit back
The shinners need to keep the populace mobilised

The Irish language act is not a proper issue for most Nationalists I would say... for me and others like me who wouldn't usually vote SF it was the RHI scandal and the arrogance that surrounded it as well as the feed the crocodile comment.

Arlene Foster can f**k right off and the sooner she and dinosaurs like her/Nelson/Edwin/Flegory/Jeffrey f**k off the better off we'll all be!!

seafoid

which constituency is next in line to fall out of unionist hands ? The trend seems to be westward
"f**k it, just score"- Donaghy   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbxG2WwVRjU

redcard

Quote from: armaghniac on March 05, 2017, 08:32:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:14:06 PM
Be more unfortunate if the same numbers don't come out at the next election!!

Perhaps they won't, as they did not in 2016, but they can just come out in the election after that.
The turnout is still below levels 15 years ago, there are more people out there (on both sides).



Is it me or does that chart look like a crocodile or an alligator.

uimhr ocht

It was a good election for nationalism but another seat here or there Sinn Fein could have been nominating for first minister that's how close  it is,but obviously for the first time in years nationalists voters decided to vote, brexit,rhi,dup arrogance,foster,Irish Lang,invoked a response.

north_antrim_hound

#925
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:36:28 PM
What happened in 1989?

Everyone was depressed after Antrim didn't win the all
Ireland final and the unionist where delighted especially the north Antrim ones

Or the election authority act where nationalist parties had to sign a declaration denouncing terrorism
Shinners refused
There's a man with a mullet going mad with a mallet in Millets

Main Street

Quote from: Rois on March 05, 2017, 08:41:39 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:40:16 PM
Quote from: Rois on March 05, 2017, 08:38:32 PM
Quote from: Milltown Row2 on March 05, 2017, 08:36:28 PM
What happened in 1989?
Might actually be 1986 and the impact of the Anglo Irish Agreement?

I thought all unionists voted then
Yeah - giving unionist spike? Doesn't mean less nationalists turned out, means more unionists did.
It's clear that it means more unionists voted and fewer nationalists voted, at that time.
Whatever it was about, fenians weren't that interested.





The Raven

Quote from: seafoid on March 05, 2017, 09:23:57 PM
which constituency is next in line to fall out of unionist hands ? The trend seems to be westward
South Down ;)

SHEEDY

Quote from: The Raven on March 05, 2017, 10:46:21 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 05, 2017, 09:23:57 PM
which constituency is next in line to fall out of unionist hands ? The trend seems to be westward
South Down ;)
south down???? Think sinn fein should be targeting south down at next Westminster election. There is definitely the votes there for a strong candidate to unseat margaret ritchie.
nil satis nisi optimum

randomusername

#929
Quote from: SHEEDY on March 05, 2017, 10:51:24 PM
Quote from: The Raven on March 05, 2017, 10:46:21 PM
Quote from: seafoid on March 05, 2017, 09:23:57 PM
which constituency is next in line to fall out of unionist hands ? The trend seems to be westward
South Down ;)
south down???? Think sinn fein should be targeting south down at next Westminster election. There is definitely the votes there for a strong candidate to unseat margaret ritchie.

Had a wee look at election results over the past while and it seems like unionists in South Down 'lend' the SDLP upwards of 5000 votes in Westminster elections. Knew that was a factor but surprised at the scale of it. Another huge turnout could see the Shinners taking the seat, though.