After a good league for Galway, mixed enough for Mayo & Sligo and fairly disappointing for Roscommon & Leitrim, the current odds are:
New York 200/1
Connacht GAA Football Senior Championship
Sunday, May 07, 2017 Preliminary Round - Gaelic Park, New York
New York v Sligo
Sunday, May 21, 2017 Quarter-Final - Elverys MacHale Park, Castlebar
Mayo v New York / Sligo
Sunday, May 28, 2017 Quarter-Final - Irish TV Grounds, Ruislip
London v Leitrim
Sunday, June 11, 2017 Semi-Final - Pearse Stadium
Galway v Mayo / Sligo / New York
Sunday, June 18, 2017 Semi-Final - Dr Hyde Park
Roscommon v London / Leitrim
Sunday, July 09, 2017 Final
It looks like a decent draw for Roscommon but unless they learn to defend, chances are they'll lose the Connacht final or even the semi final if Leitrim can get things together.
Sligo were up and down in the league and would need to beat Mayo & Galway away to make the final, hard to see that happening.
Galway are on the up and if they can bring in a couple of their U21s, they'll be hard beat although they're still weak enough at the back so unless they develop a defensive system, they'll struggle to get past a QF.
Mayo will need to improve their forward play between now and hitting Croke Park but even with that, none of the others in Connacht play a very defensive game so it shouldn't hamper us too much here - it might serve us all better if this wasn't the case.
For the match against Sligo, I'd probably go with something like this to try and give us more options in the forwards:
Harrison Caff/Newcombe Barrett
Durcan Coen Keegan
Higgins Kirby McLoughlin
COC Loftus Reape
Subs: Andy, Boyle, SOS, DOC, Doc, Boland, Nally, Gibbons, Drake
In reality, it'll probably be Andy, Boyle, SOS & DOC in for Loftus, Coen, Kirby & Reape.