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Messages - seafoid

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1
General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: Today at 04:26:10 PM »
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.
Bullshit, why would they take their seats in a foreign parliament and swear allegiance to the Queen?
Cos Labour end up just 2 seats from an outright majority and want a united Ireland

3
General discussion / Re: The IRISH RUGBY thread
« on: Today at 01:49:02 PM »
https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/sport/rugby/irfus-fiveyear-plan-targets-world-cup-semis-and-two-six-nations-crowns-37448883.html

The IRFU have targeted semi-final places at the next two World Cups as part of their new five-year strategic plan.
The men's team has also been tasked with landing two of the next five Six Nations titles and holding a spot in the top three of the world rankings.
At provincial level, the IRFU want to see Irish teams land two more European titles by 2023 and at least two PRO14 crowns.


http://www.irishrugby.ie/downloads/IRFU_Strategic_Plan_2018-2023.pdf

4
General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: Today at 12:09:01 PM »
It isn't about economics to the hardliners.

I think sf to be fair to then are better saying nothing. The dup are doing their job better than they ever could.

The DUP remind me of the people who fought with the Nazis in WW2. The ERG don't care about peace in NI and are fanatical. The DUP are innocents. 
At this level there is no such thing as loyalty. If there is a hard Brexit NI will be shafted economically.  Rees Mogg does not care about NI.
Once people see that the DUP cost them say 10% of their wages the party will  be destroyed. Brexit is about allocating losses and NI is very vulnerable.
NI is already a basket case with huge numbers of people dependent on social transfers that may no longer be feasible if the NHS is being dismantled, for example.
It is also like FF pre 2008. No idea of the downside risks.

5
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: Today at 11:49:08 AM »

My taxes did not go down under Obama.

My 401k went up, but it has skyrocketed under Trump.
If that were actually true you might need a new accountant and a financial advisor.

How the hell have your taxes gone down under Trump? How much capital have you? Mustn't work for a living, that must be nice..

I do agree with you about the Dems sleep walking, this race is far from won. Remember all politics are local and people believe whatever they want, and what they believe is very rarely the truth, especially in this clowns presidency.

John Cheese made some good points today about the witless evangelists, but then again, that arguing with religious fanatics using reason and logic, which is a fools errand...

For starters all indications from my accountant tell me that I won’t get clobbered by AMT this year.

Here are the changes proposed for 2018. 

https://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2017/dec/19/who-wins-and-who-loses-tax-bill/

Believe what you want
Is climate change a matter of opinion ?

6
General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: Today at 11:47:47 AM »
The one point this whole Brexit thing has reinforced for me, is how even when they are in a minority unionism and the British State continues to diminish the Irish identity of 45% of NI. And worse still we let it.

Well, if the Shinners would bother their hole to go to Westminster and take the position of "we'll vote the opposite of whatever the DUP votes to (mostly) nullify their veto", then maybe things could inch forward.


No, I don' think so. It would give the Telegraph an opportunity to rant and call on people to oppose the Shinners.


The Unionists have chosen the wrong horse (and I don't mean Arlene)

7
General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: Today at 09:52:51 AM »
Itis hatred - pure and simple. There is no rationale behind it.
It looks like it, all right. They are not interested in standards of living at all. Weird
No wonder so many Protestants never go back after university in Scotland or England.

8
General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: Today at 09:09:22 AM »
We're heading towards a hard border. It's what the DUP always wanted, yet they will claim they didn't.

Could Dodds and company have been that clever?
Why would they want a hard border ?

In other news , the EU is going to drop Summer Time and the UK probably won't so NI could be in a different time zone to Donegal (apart obviously from 1641 vs 2018)
It's going to be tough because with the EU different to the UK , NI will either be out of line with England or with Mexico.
This will be another form of drag on an already severely weakened economy.

To drive a wedge between them and the Republic and bring them closer to the UK again!
With half of the population kicking with the wrong foot?
And the downside of no deal with regions getting hammered while London creams it ? 

9
General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: Today at 08:39:18 AM »
We're heading towards a hard border. It's what the DUP always wanted, yet they will claim they didn't.

Could Dodds and company have been that clever?
Why would they want a hard border ?

In other news , the EU is going to drop Summer Time and the UK probably won't so NI could be in a different time zone to Donegal (apart obviously from 1641 vs 2018)
It's going to be tough because with the EU different to the UK , NI will either be out of line with England or with Mexico.
This will be another form of drag on an already severely weakened economy.

10
The percentage I gave was a range.... that range is correct Iceman.

The list of those convicted of teenage girl grooming gangs is there in those articles

Denying that there is an ethnic element to this type of crime is dangerous not only because of the ability to prevent the occurrence and capture of these gangs but also because it gives these EDL nutters extra leverage that Pakistanis are the problem and there is some sort of conspiracy covering it up.
There was a New Statesman article pointed towards the night time economy. Late night food outlets, mini cab drivers, etc as being the central theme to these cases, across religions and nationalities. Vulnerable girls on the fringes of society, drawn to places where they then get access to drink and drugs.
It so happens those places are predominantly peopled by migrant communities. It may also explain why it is not endemic in their home Countries and is not considered a British trait despite some Britons being involved.
Predators attack vulnerable groups such as insecure teenage girls, gay people, children or local minorities.
Can happen anywhere

11
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: Today at 01:09:27 AM »
How should the approaching caravan of 10/15k from Central America be dealt with ? Any thoughts

Let the CBP do their job. Process the asylum claims.

(Unless they’re approaching like a battalion of marines, as Trump would have his supporters believe).
how do you process a group that large?
how do you house them in the meantime? where?
I think no matter how this is dealt with the administration will look bad. There's no easy or entirely adequate way to handle this based on the sheer volume of people and the resulting cost and strain on resources.... its a lose:lose situation

Not for Trump.

He is trying to whip up hysteria for political purposes.

And if he really gave a f**k, he has time to get organized to handle things somewhat humanely, in concert with the Mexicans and the State of Texas. Unfortunately he just wants a political football so he win the election.
Trump wants to isolate Iran via sanctions. This means taking Iranian oil off the market. The oil price has been rising as a result. The Saudis have to step in to replace Iran’s contribution. Khashoggi might get in the way. The poorest 40% of Americans already got no benefit from their tax cut due to gas rises. Do you cut back on beer or the kids new gear. It’s a big decision in a town called malice for the midterms.
If oil goes to $100 it is going to hit Trumpland in the nuts.


12
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: October 22, 2018, 06:19:26 PM »
I feel that the Dems may be having another Hilary moment and are sleep walking again.  Everyone love a tough leader.

I think they believe their own hype and actually think the vast majority of voters agree with them

The majority probably do (not vast majority) but the Republicans are the ones who seem more likely to vote.

If youre a minority how exactly did life improve for you under 8 years of Obama????

If youre a white independent conservative, your taxes have gone down, your 401k has gone up and your house has appreciated under two years of Trump
401k only counts the day you retire

The GOP cut taxes under Bush and Trump. Without them the budget would be balanced.
Deficits count when there is a crash. The US is like the late Roman Empire at this stage. The next crash will be brutal because the deficit will make it harder to borrow.

13
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: October 22, 2018, 04:59:47 PM »

 Rush is a liar and The NY Times prints lies.

yes, nuclear bombs give off radiation and so do the fluorescent hands on a watch

Exactly.....lies coming from a “trusted” publication like the NYT are way more harmful than lies coming from a recognized crank such as Rush
Tucker and the rest of the Fox crew feed the GOP echo chamber. There is a parallel reality in the red states and it isn't even vaguely sustainable, Whitey.

14
I fear for Ireland in the future if these clowns is the best they can put up.

The Dragons are absolutely f**king cringe. Talk about having notions of yourself. Absolute ballbags with Peter Casey leading the way.

Lana del rey is typical SF, sly, snidey digs. Insinuating that Joan Freeman is riding her donor. Doesn't deviate from party line. IRA good, Gerry never in it, Brits out. Significant this use of Women by SF as well. Someone not to be trusted IMO.

Joan Freedman.... who and why?
The political parties with the exception of Sf have backed MDH so 3 fruitcakes made the most noise.
Reflects very badly on the business community.

That bunty twuntington McFuff was on the ball. The race is a farce. 

15
General discussion / Re: Brexit.
« on: October 22, 2018, 04:13:41 PM »
Judging by some of the language as reported to be used over the weekend, the Tories are really falling apart. Surely a Labour / SNP coalition could seize power and change the whole s**tshow.
The Tories were the vehicle Thatcher used to introduce neoliberalism to the UK.
Lovely to see the party tear itself apart because of the ERG which is ever more Thatcherite than she was

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