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Messages - seafoid

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1
General discussion / Re: The ulster rugby trial
« on: February 16, 2018, 11:20:21 PM »
Sher aren't there 2 more weeks left?

2
General discussion / Re: Another School Shooting in America
« on: February 16, 2018, 10:16:28 PM »
So trump has his get out clause here, mental health problems, he should have been sorted by people who knew him, and now the FBI didn’t follow procedures! Win win! Now let’s have some thoughts and payers please.
there will be another one before Easter. It is so clear that the GOP are the ones protecting the NRA

3
https://www.rte.ie/sport/gaa/2018/0216/941288-at-a-glance-a-guide-to-the-weekends-gaa-action/

Allianz HL Division 1B
1400 Galway v Offaly, Pearse Stadium



"In the last two meetings between these sides (league and championship), Galway have hit the Faithful for 6-56, with the six goals coming in last season's 1B encounter. "

Jaysus


4
RTE

"Laois and Antrim, both of whom have lost their first two games, are in relegation trouble as they prepare for their clash in Portlaoise. They meet in the league for the first time since 2015 when Laois won a group game in 1B before repeating the success in a relegation play-off"

An Antrim win would be significant

5
General discussion / Re: Project Ireland 2040
« on: February 16, 2018, 09:21:58 PM »
I don't think any long term projections are credible now. The economic system is going to have another Minsky moment in the next few years . Ireland is drowning in debt. There is no growth driver.
All projections are linear. Today leads smoothly to tomorrow and so on into infinity. Economic system collapses don't work like that. The Department of Finance is still shite. And when AIB collapses again they won't be able to shunt the cost onto the sovereign like last time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TON3PORRDQ

The economy is going to be grand, which seems like it’s goong to make you very sad indeed.

The problem is that grand economy will remain positioned in Dublin and acting as a vacuum for the best young people from the rest of the country. Better that emigration in decades past, but not ideal.

I think people need to accept that urbanisation is a global trend and the best jobs will be in cities and more and more people will live in cities. People in Ireland need to accept that, if they don't want to live in an urban center, commuting a long way to urban centers will be a way of life. People accept this in say New York. You might live in a nice suburban town but you'll have a good job in New York City and commute 60 to 100 miles. People need to stop fecking and blinding that there's no jobs in their little towneen. There won't ever be. But that does not mean it can't be a lovely little town that's a great place to live. Ireland 2040 needs to be about getting the transport to urban centers right.
I am not sure about that.  Before neoliberalism there was a higher percentage of money in rural areas. There are 2 key things about neoliberalism.
1. Focus on finance
2 No investment in the greater good, no investment in people

FiNance generates "value". It generates jobs. So Dublin and London.
But now finance generates nothing.
In the next system the money will be spread around like it was before neoliberalism.

I'm not sure I'd call it neoliberalism. The workplace is changing. The days of manufacting jobs that could be setup in the back of beyond are gone. Employers want the best talent, and that means setting up in urban areas. Also the makeup of workplaces is changing and younger people in general want to live and work in areas that are hopping, and that means urban areas, whereas a 50 year may appreciate life in a quieter area. Employers are not setting for what suits the greying generation.
Neoliberalism is just the name of the system. I was in Ballina a while ago. We were in Penneys. A huge shop. All the stuff is made in China. It has killed a lot of the smaller shops . At the end of the week a truck takes all of the money out of the county. The only benefit to Ballina is maybe 40 low paid jobs and a few managers.
When Ballina had the smaller shops the money stayed in the town a lot longer. That is called the velocity of money, and it is shit now.

https://www.cic.ch/fileadmin/user_upload/anlagefonds/weekly/160426_CIC_Weekly_Markets_ENG.pdf

6
General discussion / Re: Project Ireland 2040
« on: February 16, 2018, 08:47:57 PM »
Nothing to say Syf?

One of the features of neoliberalism is asset bubbles. House prices in Dublin as a percentage of house prices in Roscommon are way higher than they were in the 70s.
When neoliberalism dies the ratio will come down. Wealth wil be generated from Work rather than house location. That should be good for Roscommon football.
Roscommon have not had a really decent team since Keynesianism collapsed. They haven't won 3 Connacht titles in a row under neoliberalism. That is not grand.


7
General discussion / Re: Project Ireland 2040
« on: February 16, 2018, 07:03:07 PM »
I don't think any long term projections are credible now. The economic system is going to have another Minsky moment in the next few years . Ireland is drowning in debt. There is no growth driver.
All projections are linear. Today leads smoothly to tomorrow and so on into infinity. Economic system collapses don't work like that. The Department of Finance is still shite. And when AIB collapses again they won't be able to shunt the cost onto the sovereign like last time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TON3PORRDQ

The economy is going to be grand, which seems like it’s goong to make you very sad indeed.

The problem is that grand economy will remain positioned in Dublin and acting as a vacuum for the best young people from the rest of the country. Better that emigration in decades past, but not ideal.

I think people need to accept that urbanisation is a global trend and the best jobs will be in cities and more and more people will live in cities. People in Ireland need to accept that, if they don't want to live in an urban center, commuting a long way to urban centers will be a way of life. People accept this in say New York. You might live in a nice suburban town but you'll have a good job in New York City and commute 60 to 100 miles. People need to stop fecking and blinding that there's no jobs in their little towneen. There won't ever be. But that does not mean it can't be a lovely little town that's a great place to live. Ireland 2040 needs to be about getting the transport to urban centers right.
I am not sure about that.  Before neoliberalism there was a higher percentage of money in rural areas. There are 2 key things about neoliberalism.
1. Focus on finance
2 No investment in the greater good, no investment in people

FiNance generates "value". It generates jobs. So Dublin and London.
But now finance generates nothing.
In the next system the money will be spread around like it was before neoliberalism.

Who does the high-paying jobs that are created, again?
When the money drains away from finance it won't be as important. It is all about how the money is distributed.
Maybe 2 in every 5 euros spent in Connacht are spent in Galway now. That is not a law of nature 

8
General discussion / Re: Project Ireland 2040
« on: February 16, 2018, 06:45:29 PM »
I don't think any long term projections are credible now. The economic system is going to have another Minsky moment in the next few years . Ireland is drowning in debt. There is no growth driver.
All projections are linear. Today leads smoothly to tomorrow and so on into infinity. Economic system collapses don't work like that. The Department of Finance is still shite. And when AIB collapses again they won't be able to shunt the cost onto the sovereign like last time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TON3PORRDQ

The economy is going to be grand, which seems like it’s goong to make you very sad indeed.

The problem is that grand economy will remain positioned in Dublin and acting as a vacuum for the best young people from the rest of the country. Better that emigration in decades past, but not ideal.

I think people need to accept that urbanisation is a global trend and the best jobs will be in cities and more and more people will live in cities. People in Ireland need to accept that, if they don't want to live in an urban center, commuting a long way to urban centers will be a way of life. People accept this in say New York. You might live in a nice suburban town but you'll have a good job in New York City and commute 60 to 100 miles. People need to stop fecking and blinding that there's no jobs in their little towneen. There won't ever be. But that does not mean it can't be a lovely little town that's a great place to live. Ireland 2040 needs to be about getting the transport to urban centers right.
I am not sure about that.  Before neoliberalism there was a higher percentage of money in rural areas. There are 2 key things about neoliberalism.
1. Focus on finance
2 No investment in the greater good, no investment in people

FiNance generates "value". It generates jobs. So Dublin and London.
But now finance generates nothing.
In the next system the money will be spread around like it was before neoliberalism.

9
General discussion / Re: Project Ireland 2040
« on: February 16, 2018, 05:02:37 PM »
We'll all be rooned says Seafóid before the plan is out.
A first step would be to move Dáil,  Government, Top Civil Service, President etc to a new Capital in or around Athlone.
A new 10% Corporate tax rate for designated underdeveloped areas.
Pension money should be invested regionally instead of speculated on bonds that are overvalued.
Underdeveloped areas shuld get more than tax reductions
Education should be overhauled. 
The marketing of Irish food abroad could be improved.

10
General discussion / Re: Project Ireland 2040
« on: February 16, 2018, 04:17:08 PM »
I don't think any long term projections are credible now. The economic system is going to have another Minsky moment in the next few years . Ireland is drowning in debt. There is no growth driver.
All projections are linear. Today leads smoothly to tomorrow and so on into infinity. Economic system collapses don't work like that. The Department of Finance is still shite. And when AIB collapses again they won't be able to shunt the cost onto the sovereign like last time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TON3PORRDQ

The economy is going to be grand, which seems like it’s goong to make you very sad indeed.

The problem is that grand economy will remain positioned in Dublin and acting as a vacuum for the best young people from the rest of the country. Better that emigration in decades past, but not ideal.
http://www.themarysue.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/post-64231-this-is-fine-dog-fire-comic-Im-N7mp.png

Global debt is 350% of GDP
In Roscommon terms that's like 6 million sheep on a tuesday sale in Castlerea.
They would stretch back all the way to Williamstown. The level of shite would be Augean

 

11
General discussion / Re: Project Ireland 2040
« on: February 16, 2018, 04:03:56 PM »
I don't think any long term projections are credible now. The economic system is going to have another Minsky moment in the next few years . Ireland is drowning in debt. There is no growth driver.
All projections are linear. Today leads smoothly to tomorrow and so on into infinity. Economic system collapses don't work like that. The Department of Finance is still shite. And when AIB collapses again they won't be able to shunt the cost onto the sovereign like last time.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8TON3PORRDQ

12
General discussion / Re: America`s Gun Culture
« on: February 16, 2018, 02:35:12 PM »
The NRA is a core GOP constituency. Nothing will change

13
General discussion / Re: America`s Gun Culture
« on: February 16, 2018, 11:49:21 AM »
Leader McConnell

@SenateMajLdr

I'm deeply saddened by the horrific violence in Florida. Praying for the victims, their families, and the Parkland community. Always grateful for first responders

Norman Ornstein Retweeted
@JamesFallows

·

16h

Just for the historical record: after the Sandy Hook / Newtown shootings of Dec 2012, @LeaderMcConnell led the Senate filibuster that kept gun control measures from coming to a vote. (link: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/18/us/politics/senate-obama-gun-control.html) nytimes.com/2013/04/18/us/…


Maggie Haberman

@maggieNYT

·

14h

Trump said nothing about guns.



NBC News

@NBCNews

House Speaker Paul Ryan said Congress needs to “take a breath and collect the facts.” “We don’t just knee-jerk before we even have all the facts and the data,” Ryan said on WIBC Radio of Indianapolis.





Michiko Kakutani

@michikokakutani

·

1h

In 1996, the Republican-majority Congress threatened to strip funding from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention unless it stopped funding research into firearm injuries and deaths. (link: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/10/04/gun-violence-research-has-been-shut-down-for-20-years/?utm_term=.b495134d4dbd) washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2…

14
General discussion / Re: Arlene's bigotry shines through
« on: February 16, 2018, 10:33:58 AM »
Snarlene talking to RTE again. Must be a policy so that the interview will be guaranteed  to be shown down south. Who does that suit.

It's because she refuses to speak to the BBC so the BBC uses RTE to get the video.
She is in cahoots with Mickey Harte. Arlene talks directly to the RTE sports Department.

15
General discussion / Re: America`s Gun Culture
« on: February 16, 2018, 10:32:50 AM »
American history is drenched in violence because it's a settler colonial country. The Injuns were dispossessed brutally. Then you have slavery which wasn't particularly fluffy either. Lynchings too.  You can't switch that off in a society.

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