US Open 2010,Pebble Beach

Started by The Real Laoislad, June 15, 2010, 05:59:25 PM

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Orior

McIlroy was on the radio this morning talking himself up, saying how good he felt and how well he was swinging the club.

Strange. Everytime I talk myself up I end up shooting 20 over my handicap.
Cover me in chocolate and feed me to the lesbians

heganboy

Quote from: Orior on June 16, 2010, 03:21:52 PM
McIlroy was on the radio this morning talking himself up, saying how good he felt and how well he was swinging the club.

Strange. Everytime I talk myself up I end up shooting 20 over my handicap.

I think its a long time since mcIlroy shot a 90...
Never underestimate the predictability of stupidity

heganboy

how Vegas sees the US Open: (from golf.com)



Forget what the experts say -- Tiger Woods is still the favorite to win the 2010 U.S. Open.

Las Vegas sportsbooks have Tiger Woods as a 4-1 favorite to win this week's tournament at Pebble Beach Golf Links, followed closely by Phil Mickelson at 5-1. Lee Westwood is the third choice at 10-1, according to Chuck Esposito, casino operations manager at the Tropicana Hotel in Las Vegas.

That means that a $1 bet on Woods will pay $4 if he wins the tournament. It sounds like short odds, but Esposito said 4 to 1 is actually a value bet for Woods at a major.

"That's not short on him," Esposito said. " At a major, he's usually even money or even laying money at 5 to 6 or 5 to 7."

Woods was a 4-to-1 favorite at this year's Masters, which was his first event following his sex scandals and ensuing five-month layoff. Woods finished tied for fourth at the Masters, and his inconsistent play since then has most golf observers calling Mickelson, not Woods, the favorite at Pebble.

Esposito said that casinos set their odds based on how they think the public will bet, which doesn't always match the so-called experts' picks.

"We're putting Woods as the favorite because that's the way we see the public viewing the tournament," Esposito said. "If his odds are too high, you'd see an abundance of Tiger action. We're trying to put a number up that will draw some good two-way action.

After Westwood (10 to 1), the other favorites are Ernie Els (12 to 1), Padraig Harrington (15-1), Jim Furyk (18 to 1), Steve Stricker (18 to 1) and Retief Goosen (20 to 1).

Els opened as the third favorite at 8 to 1, but has fallen to 12 to 1. Meanwhile, odds have dropped considerably on Dustin Johnson (opened 35 to 1, now 20 to 1), K.J. Choi (opened 50 to 1, now 20 to 1), Hunter Mahan (opened 50 to 1, now 30 to 1) and Kenny Perry (opened 100 to 1, now 65 to 1). The field is 10 to 1, which was the smart bet last year when Lucas Glover won at Bethpage.

Esposito said he expects the total wagering on the U.S. Open to be in the high six figures industry-wide, maybe even seven figures if Woods is in contention on Sunday. It won't, however, generate the most excitement in the sportsbooks. That honor goes to the World Cup, for which fans camp out with their vuvuzelas and flags for the best seats at Las Vegas casinos.

"The World Cup crowds have been phenomenal," Esposito said. "It's amazing to see how big it's become. People are waving flags, hooting and hollering, and when a goal is scored, it's like an eruption in the room."

Never underestimate the predictability of stupidity

The Real Laoislad

Harrington +4 and 7 off the lead already
You'll Never Walk Alone.

Catch the high ball

Anyone got a link for watching this? What time is Mc Ilroy out at and who with?
GAA Board World Cup Sweepstake Winner 2010

Geoff Tipps

Harrington finished +2. Well in it.

venter

Harry could easily have finished level. He missed a couple of 10 footers on 7 & 8, his 16th and 17th. Still he should be reasonably happy with that. Only 3 back so far. Could be very difficult going out tomorrow afternoon if you are within a few shots of the cut line. The course looks tough. I'd love to be out there for the week. spectacular

The Real Laoislad

Things looking better for Harrington alright, a good round tomorrow will hopefully keep him in with the leaders
You'll Never Walk Alone.

The Real Laoislad

That par 3 7th is just beautiful
You'll Never Walk Alone.

Geoff Tipps

Woods is striking the ball v well. Could be ominous for the field.

It's some course. I think it costs about $400 to play there. I reckon I'd get decent value, maybe $4 per shot  :)

Bogball XV

Quote from: Geoff Tipps on June 17, 2010, 10:24:57 PM
Woods is striking the ball v well. Could be ominous for the field.

It's some course. I think it costs about $400 to play there. I reckon I'd get decent value, maybe $4 per shot  :)
in your dreams geoff!

Geoff Tipps

Quote from: Bogball XV on June 17, 2010, 10:27:06 PM
Quote from: Geoff Tipps on June 17, 2010, 10:24:57 PM
Woods is striking the ball v well. Could be ominous for the field.

It's some course. I think it costs about $400 to play there. I reckon I'd get decent value, maybe $4 per shot  :)
in your dreams geoff!

Sure you have to dream Bogball! Definitely going to play it within the next 5 years though or at least do a
week of playing courses along the California coastline.

Bogball XV

There's another paddy playing, under the radar of dual citizenship - Kevin Phelan, age 19, born in NY to a paddy daddy (who used to play squash for ireland).  Moved back to Waterford aged 3 and headed back to the states when he was 14.  He's in college in Florida now and eagled his last hole in the qualifier to qualify for the US Open.

Bogball XV

Quote from: Geoff Tipps on June 17, 2010, 10:38:26 PM
Quote from: Bogball XV on June 17, 2010, 10:27:06 PM
Quote from: Geoff Tipps on June 17, 2010, 10:24:57 PM
Woods is striking the ball v well. Could be ominous for the field.

It's some course. I think it costs about $400 to play there. I reckon I'd get decent value, maybe $4 per shot  :)
in your dreams geoff!

Sure you have to dream Bogball! Definitely going to play it within the next 5 years though or at least do a
week of playing courses along the California coastline.
aye, start down at torrey in san diego and play all the way up to pebble near san fran - nice drive too I believe.  I'd say it'd cost a few quid in green fees.

Tyrones own

I'd say it would be virtually impossible to line up the tee times as there's quite
a waiting list to play some of the better known courses :-\
Where all think alike, no one thinks very much.
  - Walter Lippmann