Stormont Assembly Elections 2017

[haranguerer]

Just a point, max per that is 45. Sugden is unionist.

Also to note, pbp is pro brexit

[Longshanks]

Just a point, max per that is 45. Sugden is unionist.

Also to note, pbp is pro brexit

Might be brought up unionist but doesn't side with many of their policies.

[seafoid]

Whatever about SDLP - UU transfers, some people have an interesting strategy, Conservative 1 and PBP 2 is a bit different for instance.

Anyhow prediction from Nicholas Whyte.
Final seats range: DUP 28-32, SF 26-30, UUP 8-11, SDLP 6-11, Alliance 8-9, Green 2, PBP 1, TUV 1, Sugden 1. Max 44/90 Unionist MLAs.
This means that the Assembly can at least vote for something to be done about Brexit, May might not listen but she certainly won't if they could not get their act together.
There will never a unionist majority again, unless turnout declines.

Very interesting

[Hereiam]

Foster tops the poll in FST which is very disheartening

[armaghniac]

Carla Lockart chewed them all up in Upper Bann.

Well it isn't a beauty contest, the pulchritudinous Dobson is not likely to make it. 

Just a point, max per that is 45. Sugden is unionist.

Also to note, pbp is pro brexit

This was Whyte's calculation. Most likely Sugden does not in then another unionist would, so not affecting the total.
PBP abstained rather than actually vote against special status and they may want to reflect on their policies in the light of recent events.

Foster tops the poll in FST which is very disheartening

Yes, but she didn't make the quota, unlike Long and O'Neill.

[AhNowRef]

Foster tops the poll in FST which is very disheartening

"There are none as blind as those who cannot see"  ..... Na actually thats sh1te, they can see rightly .. just bitter aul feckers ...

[haranguerer]

Just a point, max per that is 45. Sugden is unionist.

Also to note, pbp is pro brexit

Might be brought up unionist but doesn't side with many of their policies.

She is designated unionist. Also her behaviour (or lack of it) round the RHI was a joke - beholden to the DUP.

[Farrandeelin]

0.2% difference between DUP and SF.

[seafoid]

Very close according to the guardian

SF 27.9% first prefs
DUP 28.1%

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/ng-interactive/2017/mar/03/northern-ireland-assembly-election-latest-results

[Take Your Points]

Party   %
DUP    28.1  (-1.1)
SF    27.9   (+3.9)
UUP    12.9    (+0.3)
SDLP 11.9   (-0.1)
APNI 9.1     (+2.1)
OTH 10.2    (-2.4)

[Take Your Points]

It looks like it was Arlene's election, her general behaviour and attitude and her scaremongering has allowed DUP to hold steady and for SF to increase its votes.  Another polarising election producing a tribal vote.

UUP could become irrelevant in unionism and the UUP-SDLP opposition have had a bad day and may fall behind or level with the Alliance.

RHI didn't harm the DUP as it would have in any other civil society.

[yellowcard]

Big winners are nationalism and republicanism in particular. Fosters arrogance and condescension coming home to roost even though it didn't hit her own personal vote. Both unionist leaders will be gone by Monday and it is a big momentum swing in Northern politics.

[Take Your Points]

Foster tops the poll in FST which is very disheartening

But the overall share of the vote has fallen by 2.8%.

[Take Your Points]

Both unionist leaders will be gone by Monday and it is a big momentum swing in Northern politics.

UUP will struggle to find a leader if Nesbitt is removed, he may hang on until the AGM later in the year.

[AhNowRef]

I wonder if McCausland isnt elected will we see his lovely wee weasly chops back as a SPAD or some such sh1te ...