Stormont Assembly Elections 2017

[ashman]

Danny Kennedy in trouble maybe he would be grateful of a few nationalist transfer but seeing as he wants to out fleg DUP I hope he is toast the pr1ck

he is 1200 short behind Conor Murphy. The DUP guy has 600 of a surplus and the Alliance candidate has 1400. He'll get some Alliance transfers and the rest will elect McNulty, so McNulty's surplus might make  or break Danny. If Danny gets, then Conor Murphy does not.

Conor Murphy in bother Why is that ?? If he loses would that be a Portillo moment ??

[MoChara]

Looks like all 4 SF candidates above PBP in West Belfast, so Gerry tell us, how did that brexit thing go for you

He couldn't be far of the seat though, you'd have to think the transfers from Michael Collins to him will put him near the quota

[Minder]

Looks like all 4 SF candidates above PBP in West Belfast, so Gerry tell us, how did that brexit thing go for you

He couldn't be far of the seat though, you'd have to think the transfers from Michael Collins to him will put him near the quota

Yeah he is expected to get in, Attwood out

[AhNowRef]

DUP already elected the last seat will likely be between Kennedy and the SDLP

Danny Kennedy in trouble maybe he would be grateful of a few nationalist transfer but seeing as he wants to out fleg DUP I hope he is toast the pr1ck

he is 1200 short behind Conor Murphy. The DUP guy has 600 of a surplus and the Alliance candidate has 1400. He'll get some Alliance transfers and the rest will elect McNulty, so McNulty's surplus might make  or break Danny. If Danny gets, then Conor Murphy does not.

Danny Kennedy in trouble maybe he would be grateful of a few nationalist transfer but seeing as he wants to out fleg DUP I hope he is toast the pr1ck

he is 1200 short behind Conor Murphy. The DUP guy has 600 of a surplus and the Alliance candidate has 1400. He'll get some Alliance transfers and the rest will elect McNulty, so McNulty's surplus might make  or break Danny. If Danny gets, then Conor Murphy does not.

Conor Murphy in bother Why is that ?? If he loses would that be a Portillo moment ??

Im totally lost here lads .. is it between Kennedy and SDLP .. or .. Kennedy and SF

Either way I hope he's out .. now that I know it aint the DUP ..

[armaghniac]

Eamonn McCann is toast.
Gerry Carroll is get last seat, without making the quota.
PBP leap forward stumbles.

There are interesting things in relation to later transfers in Lagan Valley the SDLP transfers could push the UU person ahead of the DUP.

[Longshanks]

massive news if east derry get the two SF in and ind

[armaghniac]

Im totally lost here lads .. is it between Kennedy and SDLP .. or .. Kennedy and SF

Either way I hope he's out .. now that I know it aint the DUP ..

It is between Murphy and Kennedy. The preferences from the SDLP surplus when McNulty is elected will determine things.

[Applesisapples]

Alex Atwood gone

[T Fearon]

Will you remember what you were doing if and when Kennedy falls?

[armaghniac]

Will you remember what you were doing if and when Kennedy falls?

Probably not. But if McCausland isn't elected I will discard my Lenten resolutions for one day.

[AhNowRef]

Will you remember what you were doing if and when Kennedy falls?

Probably not. But if McCausland isn't elected I will discard my Lenten resolutions for one day.

lol .. I'll drink to that 

[Applesisapples]

Carla Lockart chewed them all up in Upper Bann.

[Applesisapples]

Gerry Carroll doesn't get that brexit or left exit is the same thing to those who want to remain.

[Applesisapples]

Where is this Stor-mount that Martina Anderson talks about?

[armaghniac]

Whatever about SDLP - UU transfers, some people have an interesting strategy, Conservative 1 and PBP 2 is a bit different for instance.

Anyhow prediction from Nicholas Whyte.
Final seats range: DUP 28-32, SF 26-30, UUP 8-11, SDLP 6-11, Alliance 8-9, Green 2, PBP 1, TUV 1, Sugden 1. Max 44/90 Unionist MLAs.
This means that the Assembly can at least vote for something to be done about Brexit, May might not listen but she certainly won't if they could not get their act together.
There will never a unionist majority again, unless turnout declines.