Quote from: Muck Savage on February 11, 2020, 11:25:30 PMQuote from: Never beat the deeler on February 07, 2020, 01:39:14 AMQuote from: armaghniac on February 06, 2020, 11:30:58 PMQuote from: RadioGAAGAA on February 06, 2020, 10:21:50 PMQuote from: Never beat the deeler on February 04, 2020, 03:01:05 AM
While I also agree that influenza should generally be taken more seriously, the Corona virus is currently running at 1 death every 50 confirmed cases (or approx 2%)
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
I was wondering if the confirmed deaths tally was right (and not being underestimated) given the early reaction, but then your link says this:QuoteA study found that out of 41 admitted hospital patients who had been identified as having laboratory-confirmed 2019-nCoV infection in China, 13 (32%) patients were admitted to an ICU and six (15%) died.[5]
Any wonder they were scared shitless if that was the earlier mortality rates.
So reasonably confident they are reporting true numbers (not that 2% is good or anything, but its better than 15%!).
Not everyone went to hospital though, some people only had moderate symptoms like 'flu. Only those badly affected ended up in hospital and more of these died.
But that would be the same with flu. The mortality rate for influenza is 0.055% of reported cases. Similarly, lots of people wouldn't report if they had the flu
I don't understand where 2% is coming from. To date ~43k people confirmed to have got it, 4.3K cured and ~1K dead. That's close to a 20% kill rate! It has to be based on cured/dead and not based on number of people that got it. There's still about 38K with it and they could go either way before this is done.
Mortality rate is the % of those infected who died from the infection. Going by your figures, that's 1/43, which is slightly more than 2%.