A United Ireland. Opening up the discussion.

Started by winghalfback, May 27, 2015, 03:16:23 PM

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armaghniac

Quote from: T Fearon on October 18, 2017, 10:16:44 AM
So you think the UK is just going to magically and completely turn off the money tap?

The issue is firstly the ability of London to pay, they are crippling this themselves. The issue is the extent to which London creates a need for handouts by crippling the NI economy e.g. Brexit. After that, the issue is the comparison between the continued flow of handouts and London's willingness to get provide a decent settlement to get rid of NI.

QuoteIf economic arguments won the day, catholic/nationalists up here would long ago have decided the UK link was preferable,or unionists might have even been mildly tempted to look at Re-Unification during the Celtic Tiger years.Alas,not a chance

From here on, the balance of power lies with a group in the middle, as nationalist and unionist numbers are about equal. These Rory McIllroy types are influenced by economic arguments and other issues.

Quote from: Fat Angry Motorist on October 18, 2017, 10:18:30 AM
Disappointing, but not unexpected, to see Varadkar parroting the Unionist line.  Didn't see the programme but did they ask him if a 50%+1 vote would be acceptable to keep NI in the UK?  I've always thought that the whole referendum process as laid out in the GFA was where SF and the SDLP had their eye wiped by the Brits.

Varadkar's phrasing was unfortunate, for someone usually quite sharp. His main point was to support the GFA which had widespread support and postpone the UI to another day and perhaps a point about wanting agreement.

If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

Rossfan

I presume after the new All Ireland State is set up British level pensions and Social welfare payments will continue in the North Eastern Autonomous Area?
After all we don't want them scroungers living off us until they learn our work ethic.
Davy's given us a dream to cling to
We're going to bring home the SAM

armaghniac

Quote from: Rossfan on October 18, 2017, 11:14:35 AM
I presume after the new All Ireland State is set up British level pensions and Social welfare payments will continue in the North Eastern Autonomous Area?
After all we don't want them scroungers living off us until they learn our work ethic.

Anyone continuing to hold a British passport should have British level pension.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

T Fearon

You make a valid point.If the UK is ever unable to bail out the North,the certainty is that Dublin will never be able to do it.

I still maintain there is no meaningful proportion of the Northern electorate who are amenable to economic arguments for a United Ireland,if any real arguments in this regard,do exist.Add in cultural differences,eg the role religious belief plays in the North,and you have after one hundred years,two practically irreconcilables entities.

The federal option,doesn't change anything,unionists would still control the North

armaghniac

Quote from: T Fearon on October 18, 2017, 11:33:05 AM
You make a valid point.If the UK is ever unable to bail out the North,the certainty is that Dublin will never be able to do it.

I made a more subtle point in that the UK will be able to have a less generous measure, because it will be poorer and because there may be other pressures on public expenditure. The limitations of a subsidised NI compared to a ROI earning its own keep will become increasingly obvious.


Quote
The federal option,doesn't change anything,unionists would still control the North

Unionists do not make up a majority in the North at the present time and by definition they will not when a UI comes about.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

yellowcard

Varadkar is all PR and image, but his latest comments are very disconcerting for nationalists in the north. Moving the goalposts from what was signed up for in the GFA. Does he not even see the irony of the fact that an artificial majority was created when drawing up boundaries to split the state to ensure this 50+1 unionist majority. Now he realises that the gap is narrowing he is attempting to suggest that the majority needed should be more than this. Just a typical Fine Gael me me, I'm alright jack attitude. 

T Fearon

Lord Kilclooney has suggested a Civil War would ensue from loyalists should a United Ireland come about as a result of a 50% plus one scenario
Designed to cause more fear in Dublin.

Rossfan

You mean John Bigot Taylor the last survivor of the old Stormont regime.
He'd be better off advising the Unionist minority in the 6 Cos to start making friends with their neighbours in the 6 Cos and then in the 26.
Davy's given us a dream to cling to
We're going to bring home the SAM

clonadmad

Mad for the ould partition is JT

"In January 2012, Taylor wrote to The Scotsman newspaper asserting that Scotland should be subject to partition, depending on the outcome of the Scottish independence referendum"

Eamonnca1

Quote from: T Fearon on October 18, 2017, 10:16:44 AM


If economic arguments won the day, catholic/nationalists up here would long ago have decided the UK link was preferable,or unionists might have even been mildly tempted to look at Re-Unification during the Celtic Tiger years.Alas,not a chance

Spot on. Northern nationalists still wanted unity with the south back when the free state was still impoverished.

Eamonnca1

Quote from: T Fearon on October 18, 2017, 11:33:05 AM
You make a valid point.If the UK is ever unable to bail out the North,the certainty is that Dublin will never be able to do it.

I still maintain there is no meaningful proportion of the Northern electorate who are amenable to economic arguments for a United Ireland,if any real arguments in this regard,do exist.Add in cultural differences,eg the role religious belief plays in the North,and you have after one hundred years,two practically irreconcilables entities.

The federal option,doesn't change anything,unionists would still control the North

Would they? They'd be junior partners in a power-sharing executive (assuming we keep the Stormont arrangements in place) but it'd be a bit of a stretch to say that they would "control the north."

Eamonnca1

Quote from: yellowcard on October 18, 2017, 12:18:02 PM
Varadkar is all PR and image, but his latest comments are very disconcerting for nationalists in the north. Moving the goalposts from what was signed up for in the GFA. Does he not even see the irony of the fact that an artificial majority was created when drawing up boundaries to split the state to ensure this 50+1 unionist majority. Now he realises that the gap is narrowing he is attempting to suggest that the majority needed should be more than this. Just a typical Fine Gael me me, I'm alright jack attitude.

That's a unionist tradition. The unionist demand escalator has always gone upwards no matter what was agreed.

armaghniac

Quote from: clonadmad on October 18, 2017, 05:27:03 PM
Mad for the ould partition is JT

"In January 2012, Taylor wrote to The Scotsman newspaper asserting that Scotland should be subject to partition, depending on the outcome of the Scottish independence referendum"

Easy cure, leave them places like Newtownabbey and Larne out of a United Ireland and so there more would be 50%+1 and anyone in the rest of the wee 6 can move there if they don't like it.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

Eamonnca1

Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2017, 05:35:23 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on October 18, 2017, 05:27:03 PM
Mad for the ould partition is JT

"In January 2012, Taylor wrote to The Scotsman newspaper asserting that Scotland should be subject to partition, depending on the outcome of the Scottish independence referendum"

Easy cure, leave them places like Newtownabbey and Larne out of a United Ireland and so there more would be 50%+1 and anyone in the rest of the wee 6 can move there if they don't like it.

I'd say let them keep Larne. Or Bangor. I could live without Bangor.

clonadmad

Quote from: Eamonnca1 on October 18, 2017, 07:14:06 PM
Quote from: armaghniac on October 18, 2017, 05:35:23 PM
Quote from: clonadmad on October 18, 2017, 05:27:03 PM
Mad for the ould partition is JT

"In January 2012, Taylor wrote to The Scotsman newspaper asserting that Scotland should be subject to partition, depending on the outcome of the Scottish independence referendum"

Easy cure, leave them places like Newtownabbey and Larne out of a United Ireland and so there more would be 50%+1 and anyone in the rest of the wee 6 can move there if they don't like it.

I'd say let them keep Larne. Or Bangor. I could live without Bangor.

Belfast could be like Berlin with the Russians in the eastern part,might have add to the wall though