The Many Faces of US Politics...

Started by Tyrones own, March 20, 2009, 09:29:14 PM

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RadioGAAGAA

Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 11, 2020, 05:04:22 PM
Delegate count:
Biden 857
Sanders 709

2020 winner:
Trump: 10/11 (1/1.1)
Biden: 13/10 (1.3/1)
Sanders: No longer in the top 4

Democratic candidate:
Biden: 1/14
Sanders: 40/1

Does that mean there are two other people aside from Trump or Biden more likely to become president in the 2020 than Sanders? Who on earth are they?
i usse an speelchekor

Eamonnca1

Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 11, 2020, 04:59:53 PM
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-42950587






We'll see shortly just how much "value for money" the US are getting.

And that's before we take into account the "work until you drop dead" culture. No statutory sick pay, no paid sick leave, people pressured to work even when they're sick because they don't have enough sick days saved up. This is going to be a shit-show. The US is probably the most vulnerable rich country to something like this.

Eamonnca1

Quote from: RadioGAAGAA on March 11, 2020, 05:10:37 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 11, 2020, 05:04:22 PM
Delegate count:
Biden 857
Sanders 709

2020 winner:
Trump: 10/11 (1/1.1)
Biden: 13/10 (1.3/1)
Sanders: No longer in the top 4

Democratic candidate:
Biden: 1/14
Sanders: 40/1

Does that mean there are two other people aside from Trump or Biden more likely to become president in the 2020 than Sanders? Who on earth are they?

Deval Patrick: 50/1
Howard Schultz: 50/1 (Oooooooh isn't that nice)

To be fair, Bernie's probably 50/1 too, that website I'm using only shows the top 4 but I don't know what their criteria are for a tie-breaker.

Eamonnca1

Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 11, 2020, 05:04:22 PM
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Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 09, 2020, 05:45:48 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 08, 2020, 01:35:58 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 02, 2020, 06:30:02 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 28, 2020, 06:17:47 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 27, 2020, 08:43:14 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 25, 2020, 04:56:59 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 24, 2020, 01:00:17 AM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 22, 2020, 05:25:27 PM
Quote from: Eamonnca1 on February 20, 2020, 10:40:56 PM
Delegate count:
Buttigieg 22
Sanders 21
Warren 8
Klobuchar 7
Biden 6
Bloomberg 0

Betting odds for 2020 winner:

Trump 8/13
Sanders 4/1
Bloomberg 9/1
Biden 20/1

Bloomberg took a hiding last night. He was like a duck out of water. Warren obliterated him. Will be interesting to see how that affects the polling numbers over the next few days, and if his high burn rate can take the bad look off it. I just wish he'd get out of the race and put his money into something useful like flipping the 4 senate seats we're going to need.
Odds update:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 7/2 (3.5/1)
Bloomberg: 8/1
Biden: 22/1

Bernie's odds moving in the right direction. Biden, not so much.

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 1/1
Bloomberg: 4/1
Buttigieg:8/1
Biden: 9/1

Update:
Delegate count:
Sanders 31
Buttigieg 22
Warren 8
Biden 8
Klobuchar 7
Bloomberg 0

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 3/1
Bloomberg: 10/1
Biden: 25/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 5/6
Bloomberg: 4/1
Buttigieg:11/1
Biden: 11/1

Interesting that Chrome still thinks "Buttigieg" is a typo.

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 29/10 (2.9/1)
Bloomberg: 10/1
Biden: 28/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 4/5
Bloomberg: 4/1
Biden: 10/1
Buttigieg:12/1

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 3/1
Bloomberg: 12/1
Biden: 12/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 10/11
Biden: 4/1
Bloomberg: 11/2
Buttigieg:20/1

Bloomberg and Buttigeig getting it tight.

Bernie's odds are slipping slightly in the general election, but he's still the favourite to get the nomination.

2020 winner:
Trump: 8/13
Sanders: 10/3 (3.3/1)
Biden: 9/1
Bloomberg: 12/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 10/11
Biden: 13/4
Bloomberg: 6/1
Buttigieg:20/1

This stock market crash might throw a spanner in the works. It was this kind of October surprise that worked in Obama's favor in 2008 when "the fundamentals of our economy [were] strong" until they weren't. Trump might cruise to reelection if the economy stays strong, but the coronavirus could change all that.

Get in there Bernie!

Delegate count:
Sanders: 58
Biden: 50
Buttigeig: 26 (I wonder what happens to delegates after a candidate pulls out)
Warren: 8
Klobuchar: 7

2020 winner:
Trump: 4/6
Sanders: 3/1
Biden: 13/2 (6.5/1)
Bloomberg: 16/1

Democratic candidate:
Sanders: 1/1
Biden: 5/2
Bloomberg: 7/1
Hillary Clinton(!): 33/1

This is the first we've seen Trump's odds moving in a while. Could be the coronavirus effect. Damned if I know why they're showing odds for Hillary instead of the likes of Warren or Klobuchar who are actually in the race.

Delegate count:
Biden 664
Sanders 573

2020 winner:
Trump: 4/5
Biden: 13/8 (1.6/1)
Sanders: 16/1

Democratic candidate:
Biden: 1/7
Sanders: 9/1

2020 winner:
Trump: 10/11
Biden: 6/4
Sanders: 18/1

Democratic candidate:
Biden: 1/8
Sanders: 9/1

Trump getting it tight. Looking good for Biden if these odds keep moving the way they are. If he puts Warren on his ticket as VP, that should pick up enough Bernie supporters in November. This could be the light at the end of the tunnel.

Delegate count:
Biden 664
Sanders 573

2020 winner:
Trump: 4/5
Biden: 13/8 (1.6/1)
Sanders: 16/1

Democratic candidate:
Biden: 1/7
Sanders: 9/1
Delegate count:
Biden 857
Sanders 709

2020 winner:
Trump: 10/11 (1/1.1)
Biden: 13/10 (1.3/1)
Sanders: No longer in the top 4

Democratic candidate:
Biden: 1/14
Sanders: 40/1

2020 winner:
Trump: 1/1
Biden: 15/3 (0.2/1)
Sanders: 50/1
Deval Patrick: 50/1

Democratic candidate:
Biden: 1/16
Sanders: 33/1

The trend is unmistakable.

Gabriel_Hurl


RadioGAAGAA

Quote from: Eamonnca1 on March 12, 2020, 07:36:24 PM
The trend is unmistakable.

Far too early for that.


Off the wall, but all 3 of them could catch the Corona virus and be gone before the election happens!
i usse an speelchekor

Eamonnca1



Eamonnca1


Gabriel_Hurl

no - I'm ok thanks ... I know how odds work.

macdanger2

I'm pretty sure your odds are off eamon

Eamonnca1

#15371
My understanding is that betting odds don't work like mathematical fractions. If they meant 5/1, why wouldn't they have just said 5/1? If it were 5/1 then that'd mean Biden is less likely to win than he was before when he was 13/10.

Have I missed something obvious?  I've been known to do that sometimes...

Gabriel_Hurl

Where did you get the 15/3 from anyways?

15/3 means you win $15 from a $3 bet. Therefore a $1 bet would win you $5 .... so 15/3 =5/1


Eamonnca1

I'm getting the odds from here:

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics

15/3 musta been a typo, it's now saying 15/13.