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Brexit was a game changer in the drive for Irish Unity, but I still think that the day Arlene unleashed the crocodile was equally significant.  Equality is easy, all you need is a bit of generosity, an ounce of decency, and a wit of common sense.  Arlene has none of the above, an intelligent person who is blinded by bigotry.

Viva la Cocodrilo

Even if the PRO Unity lead was only 0.1% it would have been historic, but a lead of 3.8% is so earth shattering that this truly signals time up for Northern Ireland.

The correct final results are,

SF 31.0%
SDLP 8.7%
PBP 1.1%
Aontú 0.9%
IRSP 0.1%
Independent Nationalists 2.1%

TOTAL PRO UNITED IRELAND VOTE 43.9%

DUP 23.2%
UUP 10.9%
TUV 3.9%
PUP 0.3%
Conservatives 0.1%
Independent Unionists 1.7%

TOTAL PRO UNITED KINGDOM VOTE 40.1%

Alliance 13.3%
Green 1.7%
Cross Community Labour 0.1%
Workers Party 0.1%
Socialist Party 0.0%
Independent Others 0.8%

TOTAL OTHERS 16.0%

These votes will mean shit when the shit hits the fan, Border poll will mean the unionist voters will actually come out, I'd say the every unionist would be out to keep the union

Is there ANY real evidence that these mythical hordes of non-voting Unionist Voters actually exist.  Are they really going to appear on the day of the Unity Referendum to save the day for God & Ulster?

Nationalist vote is greater than Unionist vote for the first time ever.   What is the point in NI anymore?
Irish government need to grow some balls and prepare for Unity because this is a one way ticket.  Unionists will never outpoll Nationalism ever again.

are a lot of these indepedent republicans irsp proxies

No but there's 1 in Strabane that you could categorise like that.

Who?  There are a lot of Independents in the Strabane area, and I can seem to work out if they are Independent Nationalists or just Independents?

They're all nationalists/republicans of some hue.
Paul Gallagher would be of the IRSP Gallaghers.
Raymond Barr is a brother of the deceased Ivan Barr who was an SF cllr.
Patsy Kelly is a former SDLP cllr who fell out with the McCrossan cabal.

Thanks, What about Andy Patton, Sion Mills

are a lot of these indepedent republicans irsp proxies

No but there's 1 in Strabane that you could categorise like that.

Who?  There are a lot of Independents in the Strabane area, and I can seem to work out if they are Independent Nationalists or just Independents?

[including the DUP and TUV]

As per usual, the final seat in a lot of areas will be interesting.  If certain parties are ahead before the final transfers, then that could see them over the line.  Alliance will be transfer friendly.

Vote as far down the ballot paper as you can, including the DUP and TUV.
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A bridge too far old chap!
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I understand and I knew someone would raise this:

By doing this, you are pushing them further doing the list than by not doing it.

A tricky concept but it's true.
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Unless there's one candidate you absolutely don't want to see getting elected then that's the way to do it but if you consider more than one to be of equal cuntiness then it's pointless.





I believe the term is 'Vote til you boke'
I'm not a Unionist, but the UUP candidate will definitely get a preference from me in order to keep him ahead of the DUP.  My vote(or proportion of a vote) will only go to him once all my Higher preferences are Elected or Eliminated.
BTW, the UUP man is dacent enough. 

Election day tomorrow,

Vote Early, Vote Often

There wouldn't be any predominantly Unionist villages, most Unionist voters would be from round Bessbrook and Newtownhamilton areas.

Newry City - 6 Seater

2019 Result - 3 SF, 2 SDLP, 1 IND

This is a tricky one to predict because 2019 poll topper Gavin Malone (Ind) is not standing again.  Malone is a very popular councillor and had way over a quota.  Where will that vote go.  Alliance weren't far away from nicking the final seat the last time, and with Malone's votes back in play I fancy them to pick up a seat, which would be new ground for them.  Aontu, The Workers Party and the UUP are all standing but I don't expect them to feature strongly.
There was a bit of a fall out in the SDLP camp and Doire Finn has been announced as a late candidate. She is getting a fair push online, but I'm not sure how well known she is on the ground.  SF have 3 and are hoping to pick up some of the ex-Malone vote to push them out to 4.

Prediction 4 SF, 1 SDLP, 1 Alliance

Anyone care to do a review of their own local area?

Anyone care to give a prediction for their own local area.

Slieve Gullion (South Armagh) 7 Seater
2019 Result - 5 SF, 1 SDLP, 1 UUP

The shinners are running 6 candidates this time to target the UUP seat.  It is very difficult to balance 6 candidates but they just might do it.  The Unionist population is elderly and dwindling and they really don't have the numbers anymore.  Older people are much more likely to vote than younger people, so that might save them this time.  The SDLP have an outside chance of getting two seats, they have an existing councillor in Pete Byrne and a good new candidate Killian Feehan.  Alliance are putting up a paper candidate and Aontu are represented by native New Yorker Reichenberg.  Neither will not put up much of a showing and there are no Independent Candidates

Prediction SF 6, SDLP 1

I'm not from Tyrone but I have had cause to be on that road a couple of times lately and it is a genuinely scary experience.  I'm no shrinking violet my any stretch, but it was an extremely stressful experience driving between Caledon and Aughnacloy on the very straight road where the overtaking is absolutely f**king ridiculous.  Then the stretch between Ballygawley and Omagh has so many hazards it beggars belief.
They need to get this death trap of a road sorted, but in the mean time people need to slow down.  I don't know the details of the latest crash and I am not trying to speculate, but ordinary decent people drive in such a reckless manner every day

I need one more childs ticket for the Pat McGrane stand but they are all sold out.  There are tickets for the Eastern Stand (Behind the far goal) 
Can you walk from Pat McGrane stand into the Eastern Stand.  I think there is no separation?

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