6 County Assembly Elections - 5th May 2022

[Snapchap]

Election nerds ASSEMBLY ASSEMBLE!!

[Rossfan]

Its PR so use yer preferences wisely.

[seafoid]

The DUP nightmare election aka the Taigs take over.

When you consider the old Norn Iron Parliament in Stormont that always had a UUP majority and never had a nationalist representation in decision making , May will be significant.

"In its 50-year history, only one piece of legislation was passed that was introduced by a Nationalist member, the Wild Birds Protection Act.[which?][4] In October 1971, as the Troubles worsened, Gerard Newe had been appointed as a junior minister at Stormont, in an attempt to improve community relations. Fifty years after it came into existence, Newe was the first Catholic to serve in a Northern Ireland government, but because he was neither an MP nor a Senator, his appointment could last only six months."

The chart under "General Elections" shows how things were pre 1972

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parliament_of_Northern_Ireland

[Snapchap]

LucidTalk poll for Belfast Telegraph at the weekend:

SF 26% (+1 from Jan)

DUP 19% (+2)

Alliance 16% (+2)

UUP 13% (-1)

SDLP 11% (-)
 
TUV 9% (-3)

[RedHand88]

LucidTalk poll for Belfast Telegraph at the weekend:

SF 26% (+1 from Jan)

DUP 19% (+2)

Alliance 16% (+2)

UUP 13% (-1)

SDLP 11% (-)
 
TUV 9% (-3)

Jamie Bryson says its fake news and skewed towards nationalists, despite Lucidtalks excellent track record at predicting election results here.

[Wildweasel74]

I believe it when I see it, Dup got more lives than a cat.

[Feckitt]

Register to Vote https://www.gov.uk/register-to-vote

Have you any friends or family that have recently moved house?  - Make sure they are registered to vote

Have you any friends or family that are living in student accomodation - Make sure they are registered to vote

Then on the day, vote early and transfer your vote.  A great slogan doing the rounds on social media the last time was 'Vote til you boke'.  So obviously keep going down the list until you hit DUP/TUV/Conservatives.

[general_lee]

I believe it when I see it, Dup got more lives than a cat.

Long may it continue!

[seafoid]

The state of NI politics with the DUP and Shinners dominant is interesting and reminds me of an Adlai Stevenson quote.
During the session in the Assembly to remember Christopher Stalford  the more erudite speeches came from the SDLP, Alliance and UUP benches.
Some of the Shinner and DUP MLAs were atrocious.

https://quotepark.com/authors/adlai-stevenson/?msclkid=2bffcc4baec711ec8f40b9148e2a3d31
The supposed response to a woman who called out to him: "Governor, you have the vote of every thinking person!" during one of his presidential campaigns. T
„That's not enough, madam, we need a majority!“

[yellowcard]

The state of NI politics with the DUP and Shinners dominant is interesting and reminds me of an Adlai Stevenson quote.
During the session in the Assembly to remember Christopher Stalford  the more erudite speeches came from the SDLP, Alliance and UUP benches.
Some of the Shinner and DUP MLAs were atrocious.

https://quotepark.com/authors/adlai-stevenson/?msclkid=2bffcc4baec711ec8f40b9148e2a3d31
The supposed response to a woman who called out to him: "Governor, you have the vote of every thinking person!" during one of his presidential campaigns. T
„That's not enough, madam, we need a majority!“

The standard of politician across the board in the 6 counties is definitely not great. Very few of them could hold their own in a serious debate hence the reason why the same politicians are wheeled out time and time again. On the other hand when it comes to social media presence there are plenty of charlatans about.   

[Main Street]

LucidTalk poll for Belfast Telegraph at the weekend:

SF 26% (+1 from Jan)

DUP 19% (+2)

Alliance 16% (+2)

UUP 13% (-1)

SDLP 11% (-)
 
TUV 9% (-3)

Jamie Bryson says its fake news and skewed towards nationalists, despite Lucidtalks excellent track record at predicting election results here.

What matters are how those poll numbers translate into seats won,  what are the seat predictions?

[Farrandeelin]

LucidTalk poll for Belfast Telegraph at the weekend:

SF 26% (+1 from Jan)

DUP 19% (+2)

Alliance 16% (+2)

UUP 13% (-1)

SDLP 11% (-)
 
TUV 9% (-3)

Have the Nationalist parties peaked? 37% is hardly an endorsement for a border poll. Obviously it's only an opinion poll but I thought the two of them combined has circa 43% at one stage?

[marty34]

LucidTalk poll for Belfast Telegraph at the weekend:

SF 26% (+1 from Jan)

DUP 19% (+2)

Alliance 16% (+2)

UUP 13% (-1)

SDLP 11% (-)
 
TUV 9% (-3)

Have the Nationalist parties peaked? 37% is hardly an endorsement for a border poll. Obviously it's only an opinion poll but I thought the two of them combined has circa 43% at one stage?

Probably a good few 'nationalists' going to the Alliance party I'd say especially in areas east of the Bann.

[johnnycool]

LucidTalk poll for Belfast Telegraph at the weekend:

SF 26% (+1 from Jan)

DUP 19% (+2)

Alliance 16% (+2)

UUP 13% (-1)

SDLP 11% (-)
 
TUV 9% (-3)

Have the Nationalist parties peaked? 37% is hardly an endorsement for a border poll. Obviously it's only an opinion poll but I thought the two of them combined has circa 43% at one stage?

Probably a good few 'nationalists' going to the Alliance party I'd say especially in areas east of the Bann.

Plenty of nationalists in Strangford will vote Alliance as the most viable option of ousting a DUPer..

The SDLP came close last time with Joe Boyle, a local candidate, not sure how this new lad will fare with the usual SDLP voters..

[seafoid]

19% for the DUP is a long way from where they want to be. Brexit really was suicidal.