6 County Assembly Elections - 5th May 2022

[Armagh18]

Aontu will probably do rightly as the abortion thing is a big issue for a lot especially older people but it doesn't get mentioned enough. Always have this niggly feeling that nationalists who are sick of the status quo won't vote sf but unionists who are sick of it will still vote dup to keep the shinners out. Polls seem to be looking good though. Perfect scenario is Alliance beating the DUP and becoming the second largest party.

[Estimator]

The polls do sadly or we wouldn't have Brexit!

I won't believe the numbers until Friday tbh. Polls have seemed very inaccurate this last number of years for elections.

From LucidTalk's home page:

LT forecast the Northern Ireland Westminster Election 2019 results to within 1%

LT forecast the Northern Ireland Assembly Election 2017 results to within 1%

LT forecast the Northern Ireland EU Referendum 2016 result to within 1%

[Armagh18]

The polls do sadly or we wouldn't have Brexit!

I won't believe the numbers until Friday tbh. Polls have seemed very inaccurate this last number of years for elections.

From LucidTalk's home page:

LT forecast the Northern Ireland Westminster Election 2019 results to within 1%

LT forecast the Northern Ireland Assembly Election 2017 results to within 1%

LT forecast the Northern Ireland EU Referendum 2016 result to within 1%

That is really good going!

[imtommygunn]

The polls do sadly or we wouldn't have Brexit!

I won't believe the numbers until Friday tbh. Polls have seemed very inaccurate this last number of years for elections.

From LucidTalk's home page:

LT forecast the Northern Ireland Westminster Election 2019 results to within 1%

LT forecast the Northern Ireland Assembly Election 2017 results to within 1%

LT forecast the Northern Ireland EU Referendum 2016 result to within 1%

Oh  . Well that's good then!

[Fear Bun Na Sceilpe]

Aontu will probably do rightly as the abortion thing is a big issue for a lot especially older people but it doesn't get mentioned enough. Always have this niggly feeling that nationalists who are sick of the status quo won't vote sf but unionists who are sick of it will still vote dup to keep the shinners out. Polls seem to be looking good though. Perfect scenario is Alliance beating the DUP and becoming the second largest party.

Im not sure how we will do in Derry, small team, Declan McGuinness(martins brother) working hard for Doyle but McCloskey is back in as independent and I think she could cause confusion. Anyhow it is an honorable fight and thats good enough for me,

[dec]

Aontu will probably do rightly as the abortion thing is a big issue for a lot especially older people but it doesn't get mentioned enough. Always have this niggly feeling that nationalists who are sick of the status quo won't vote sf but unionists who are sick of it will still vote dup to keep the shinners out. Polls seem to be looking good though. Perfect scenario is Alliance beating the DUP and becoming the second largest party.

Even if Alliance finish ahead of DUP in votes, transfers from TUV candidates who don't get elected will probably give the DUP more seats than Alliance.

[ardtole]

I would have thought Alliance would be very transfer friendly.

[Armagh18]

I would have thought Alliance would be very transfer friendly.

Yeah they would be but then most TUV voters will give second choice to DUP you'd imagine. Can see plenty TUV candidates doing rightly but just falling short of getting in. Majority of SF/SDLP and UUP voters will have Alliance somewhere on their list

[Snapchap]

Turns out that in 2020, SF's Declan Kearney wrote a letter to Saoradh, political wing of the 'New IRA' who murdered Lyra McKee, trying to encourage them to focus on a peaceful route to Irish Unity. Of course the letter only made it to the public domain days out from an election and at the Leaders Debate, the Unionist parties, along with the SDLP rounded on SF for speaking to dissidents.

Colum Eastwood tried to get extra political mileage out of this cynical bull in the following day or two - the same Colum Eastwood who in 2016 was arguing that it is important to talk to dissidents to talk them out of violence. Utter cynicism and hypocrisy.

Then Lyra's sister released a statement (below) yesterday in which she defended SF for the letter and criticised the "reprehensible" motivations of those attacking them for it. Needless to say, Colum has gone quiet on the story since.

Nobody told Neale Richmond about the statement though, who was tweeting today about how "extremely worrying" it is to hear of SFs letter.

Does make you wonder if he hasn't seen Lyra's statement calling out such abuse if her sisters name, or, is it the case that he did see it, but still thinks it's worth ignoring if it let's him get a dig at SF a few days before an election.

[Fear Bun Na Sceilpe]

Acht na Gaeilge anois lol.

[Armagh18]

Turns out that in 2020, SF's Declan Kearney wrote a letter to Saoradh, political wing of the 'New IRA' who murdered Lyra McKee, trying to encourage them to focus on a peaceful route to Irish Unity. Of course the letter only made it to the public domain days out from an election and at the Leaders Debate, the Unionist parties, along with the SDLP rounded on SF for speaking to dissidents.

Colum Eastwood tried to get extra political mileage out of this cynical bull in the following day or two - the same Colum Eastwood who in 2016 was arguing that it is important to talk to dissidents to talk them out of violence. Utter cynicism and hypocrisy.

Then Lyra's sister released a statement (below) yesterday in which she defended SF for the letter and criticised the "reprehensible" motivations of those attacking them for it. Needless to say, Colum has gone quiet on the story since.

Nobody told Neale Richmond about the statement though, who was tweeting today about how "extremely worrying" it is to hear of SFs letter.

Does make you wonder if he hasn't seen Lyra's statement calling out such abuse if her sisters name, or, is it the case that he did see it, but still thinks it's worth ignoring if it let's him get a dig at SF a few days before an election.

Lowest of the low.

[Fear Bun Na Sceilpe]

Ffs Eastwood smashed that debate tonight if you are being honest

[marty34]

Ffs Eastwood smashed that debate tonight if you are being honest

Lol.

[Mourne Red]

Ffs Eastwood smashed that debate tonight if you are being honest

Him and Doug the winners for me - Doug went for Jeffery and drew blood.

Michelle done rightly only slipped on on public sector wages question IMO. Long didn't really get much airtime, shouted over.

Jeffery was f**king clueless - fact checked by the presenter as he was talking crap

[Sportacus]

Is some food really 8-19% more expensive in Tesco, Sainsburys & Asda here compared to GB?