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General discussion / Re: What is the most likely future of Northern Ireland ?
« on: May 19, 2022, 09:53:52 AM »Preparation is needed now. Despite what I personally thought was a disappointing election for nationalism as a whole it still got overall 42% to Unionists 42.5%. A poll really isn't that far away on those figures. I have read several times about the disillusioned unionist vote going to Alliance which is horse shit when we look at Alliances transfers which heavily favoured nationalist parties. It's a security blanket that doesn't exist. A bit like the thousands of garden centre prods that don't vote but will save the union in a referendum- the big problem being they also don't actually exist.
Only thing is people's 'transfer' won't be used in a border poll.
The Alliance will have to commit - one way or the other.
I am wondering though will Alliance have to commit? Could they just take the stance of agreeing to support the outcome either way based on the will of the people, and sit on the fence?