Brexit.

Started by T Fearon, November 01, 2015, 06:04:06 PM

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Rossfan

Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
Davy's given us a dream to cling to
We're going to bring home the SAM

Maiden1

#6586
Quote from: GJL on February 21, 2019, 07:49:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on February 21, 2019, 07:40:51 PM
Looks like Corbyn may now lean towards a second referendum.
with the splits in both parties- I'd say that passes parliament without the DUP support.

may has been angling towards a two option vote- my deal vs no deal

doesn't look like she's going to get what she wants...

The lunatic British public might still vote leave and with no deal.
I think if there was a second referendum the most likely outcome would still be leave.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2018/jan/26/guardian-icm-brexit-poll-full-results

If there is a high 40% of people openly admitting they would vote leave that to me indicates there is likely a silent minority who also would vote leave if there was another vote that don't want to admit they would.

In general if a poll says a number and there is a choice which seems more 'liberal' and a choice which is seen as more extreme a certain percentage should be weighted towards the second choice.

e.g.  I conduct a poll

Would you be a happy to live next door to a non Caucasian (or someone of a 'funny tinge' as Angela Smith would call them)?

and the results where

70% Yes
30% No

The people who say no they wouldn't be happy to live next to a non white person are mostly being honest.  They are admitting they are essentially somewhat racist (if a person tells you what they are believe them).  A higher percentage of the people who say Yes are likely to be not telling the truth.  It could be an 'anonymous' phone survey but the person calling you knows your phone number so it not that anonymous and you may not want to divulge your true feelings to them.  If someone asks you the question on the street are you comfortable ticking no in front of them, maybe the person asking the question is a funny tinge or is friends with 1, either way they might judge you.

Margaret Thatcher got elected every time when the poll numbers indicated that she would not get elected and we are seeing time after time 'shock' results in elections and referendums.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/24/eu-referendum-how-right-or-wrong-were-the-polls/
There are no proofs, only opinions.

TabClear

Quote from: Maiden1 on February 22, 2019, 11:28:09 AM

if a poll says a number and there is a choice which seems more 'liberal' and a choice which is seen as more extreme a certain percentage should be weighted towards the second choice.

e.g.  I conduct a poll

Would you be a happy to live next door to a non Caucasian (or someone of a 'funny tinge' as Angela Smith would call them)?


Just to clarify, you're not talking about Trump moving in  next door are you??

seafoid

#6588
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed
"f**k it, just score"- Donaghy   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbxG2WwVRjU

Captain Black

Dear Mr Ctrl+C/Ctrl+V,

Less of the disaster porn please.

Regards,

Captain Black

imtommygunn

Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

seafoid

Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .
"f**k it, just score"- Donaghy   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbxG2WwVRjU

seafoid

Quote from: hardstation on February 22, 2019, 06:19:45 PM
Raidio ná Gaeltachta?

Ó am go h-am ar fud na tíre.
Nuacht an 7n Domhnach seo caite mar shampla
"f**k it, just score"- Donaghy   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbxG2WwVRjU

Rossfan

I see the lovely Arlene was in the Ballroom of Romance today doing a double act with Shane Ross.
Plenty of natural talent there for a horror film.
Davy's given us a dream to cling to
We're going to bring home the SAM

Substandard

Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 06:32:26 PM
Quote from: hardstation on February 22, 2019, 06:19:45 PM
Raidio ná Gaeltachta?

Ó am go h-am ar fud na tíre.
Nuacht an 7n Domhnach seo caite mar shampla

Go raibh maith agat as ucht an méid a chuireann tú ar fáil anseo, agus caibidle éagsúla. Faoin am seo, ní léim mórán eile faoin ábhar ach amháin an suíomh seo.  Is maith liom an raon dearcaigh éagsúla, agus táim buíoch do gach duine d'aon tuiscint nó eolas atá agam.
Éistfidh mé amach leat ar RnaG ó am go chéile, agus go n-eirí leat: coinnigh suas leis an dtaighde agus tuairimí anseo!!

OgraAnDun

Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 05:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .

You forgot about populating the Financial Times comment sections with similar posts to gaaboard!

seafoid

#6596
Quote from: Maiden1 on February 22, 2019, 11:28:09 AM
Quote from: GJL on February 21, 2019, 07:49:02 PM
Quote from: heganboy on February 21, 2019, 07:40:51 PM
Looks like Corbyn may now lean towards a second referendum.
with the splits in both parties- I'd say that passes parliament without the DUP support.

may has been angling towards a two option vote- my deal vs no deal

doesn't look like she's going to get what she wants...
https://britorbot.org/the-conversation/


The lunatic British public might still vote leave and with no deal.
I think if there was a second referendum the most likely outcome would still be leave.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2018/jan/26/guardian-icm-brexit-poll-full-results

If there is a high 40% of people openly admitting they would vote leave that to me indicates there is likely a silent minority who also would vote leave if there was another vote that don't want to admit they would.

In general if a poll says a number and there is a choice which seems more 'liberal' and a choice which is seen as more extreme a certain percentage should be weighted towards the second choice.

e.g.  I conduct a poll

Would you be a happy to live next door to a non Caucasian (or someone of a 'funny tinge' as Angela Smith would call them)?

and the results where

70% Yes
30% No

The people who say no they wouldn't be happy to live next to a non white person are mostly being honest.  They are admitting they are essentially somewhat racist (if a person tells you what they are believe them).  A higher percentage of the people who say Yes are likely to be not telling the truth.  It could be an 'anonymous' phone survey but the person calling you knows your phone number so it not that anonymous and you may not want to divulge your true feelings to them.  If someone asks you the question on the street are you comfortable ticking no in front of them, maybe the person asking the question is a funny tinge or is friends with 1, either way they might judge you.

Margaret Thatcher got elected every time when the poll numbers indicated that she would not get elected and we are seeing time after time 'shock' results in elections and referendums.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/24/eu-referendum-how-right-or-wrong-were-the-polls/

https://britorbot.org/the-conversation/
"f**k it, just score"- Donaghy   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbxG2WwVRjU

RedHand88

Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 05:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .

I for one enjoy your in depth analysis and posting of articles that normally we wouldn't be able to see.

seafoid

#6598
Quote from: Substandard on February 22, 2019, 07:54:31 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 06:32:26 PM
Quote from: hardstation on February 22, 2019, 06:19:45 PM
Raidio ná Gaeltachta?

Ó am go h-am ar fud na tíre.
Nuacht an 7n Domhnach seo caite mar shampla

Go raibh maith agat as ucht an méid a chuireann tú ar fáil anseo, agus caibidle éagsúla. Faoin am seo, ní léim mórán eile faoin ábhar ach amháin an suíomh seo.  Is maith liom an raon dearcaigh éagsúla, agus táim buíoch do gach duine d'aon tuiscint nó eolas atá agam.
Éistfidh mé amach leat ar RnaG ó am go chéile, agus go n-eirí leat: coinnigh suas leis an dtaighde agus tuairimí anseo!!

GRMA

Brexit as Gaeilge

Téir abhaile riú
Téir abhaile riú
Téir abhaile riú, a Mhéaraí
Téir abhaile riú 's fan sa bhaile
Mar tá do mhargadh déanta.

Is cuma cé dhein é nó nár dhein
Is cuma cé dhein é, a Mhéaraí
Is cuma cé dhein é nó nár dhein mar
Tá do mhargadh déanta.

Curfá

Is cuma cé dhein é nó nár dhein
Is cuma cé dhein é, a Mhéaraí
Is cuma cé dhein é nó nár dhein mar
Tá do mhargadh déanta.

Curfá

Pós an piobaire
Pós an piobaire
Pós an piobaire, a Mhéaraí
Pós an piobaire ar dtús na hoíche
Is beidh sé agat ar maidin.

Tá do mhargadh
Níl mo mhargadh
Tá do mhargadh déanta
Níl mo mhargadh
Tá do mhargadh
Nil mo mhardadh déanta

Níl mo mhargadh
Tá do mharghadh
Níl mo mhargadh déanta
Tá do mhargadh
Níl mo mhargadh
Tá do mhargadh déanta

https://youtu.be/dOfAKzIcz_U
"f**k it, just score"- Donaghy   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbxG2WwVRjU

Hardy

Quote from: RedHand88 on February 23, 2019, 08:21:05 AM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 05:33:02 PM
Quote from: imtommygunn on February 22, 2019, 04:54:55 PM
Quote from: seafoid on February 22, 2019, 01:52:15 PM
Quote from: Rossfan on February 22, 2019, 11:25:22 AM
Jasus Seaf you must think we're all retired or are Senior managers here ;D
There is way too much news these days
There is chaos everywhere

It's the end of the economic system.

I remember as a child hearing about McDermotts Department Store in Castlerea. It was fabulous in the 60s
according to everyone who spoke about it. 
It collapsed sometime in the late 70s when the last economic system collapsed

It's a good job you copy and paste all of that news in case we miss it!! What do you do for a living?? You seem to have serious time on your hands.

I advise companies on how to get through
the next crash and I do stuff on Raidio ná Gaeltachta

You never know who might be interested on the board.
Financial Risk affects everyone .

I for one enjoy your in depth analysis and posting of articles that normally we wouldn't be able to see.

Me too.