Quote from: whitey on Today at 06:47:02 PMQuote from: Itchy on Today at 06:32:45 PMQuote from: whitey on Today at 04:32:02 PMQuote from: Itchy on Today at 04:29:52 PMQuote from: whitey on Today at 04:09:27 PMQuote from: Itchy on Today at 04:05:44 PMQuote from: whitey on Today at 03:25:12 PMSinn Fein got 24.5 % of all FPVs in the 2020 GE
Anyone want to guess what their FPV % will be in the upcoming Local Elections
I'm going to say they will come in at 18%
You know we have proportional representation in elections don't you? So let's see do their seats go up or down. Let's see how the racists get on too.
Yes
But FPV% is a clearer indication as to whether top line support has gone up or down and it's bang front and center in every report written about the results of that election
https://www.irishtimes.com/election2020/results-hub
Just listened to the Gript Podcast-Peasar Toibin very impressive. Hermann Kelly-very unimpressive
haha, Gript again but now with Hermann Kelly.
Listen lad, the only metric that matters is number of seats. Its very simple, even for you.
Well if their FPV% collapses, there a good chance their seat count will too (but not guaranteed)
So your prediction is a collapse in Sinn Fein vote in the local elections. You predicting the same in the European elections?
Yes and yes
1/4-1/3 of the people who voted for them in 2020 will not vote for them this go around
Now due to PR, they may not lose 1/4-1/3 of their seats, but they will lose some
Which is scandalous considering they are the main opposition party to an historically unpopular government
OK, Sinn Fein in South currently has 1 MEP. You think they might lose that but if they don't it'll be because of PR.
What if I told you SF are nailed on to get 3 MEPs with an outside chance of 2nd seats in the 3 constituencies? You are saying that im wrong.