Elections North and South

Started by Farrandeelin, April 18, 2019, 04:09:48 PM

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RedHand88

Unionism headed for under 50% of council seats across the wee 6 for the first time in its history. Alliance are grabbing seats from them left right and centre. Another watershed election.


marty34

Every party will take positives from council elections. SF and DUP will point to gains while at the same time suffering losses in certain areas.

SDLP have got gains, mixed with losses so Eastwood will be happy.  Something to build on especially in Nth. Belfast and Derry area.  They want the Westminister seat back and this election will boost them.

Alliance, who are transfer friendly, are getting huge numbers of first preferences which enable them to be in the running for final seats.  Showing well West of the Bann which is crucial for their growth.  Similar to their 'sister' party across the water - big performance.  The question is: Is it a protest vote? Time will tell.

Independents are going well - especially in locals.  Different type of election.  All politics are local and all that.  Kerr got a huge vote in Torrent.  Independents keep the major parties honest.

AontĂș: First time out.  Be happy to get a seat in Derry. Mc Closkey has run a few times, under different guises and is a good candidate. Well respected in Shantallow area.  In other areas, they'll be very disappointed.  Be interesting to see how Brolly does in Limavady area.  Problem for AontĂș is people maybe think they are some sort of dissident outfit with the name etc.

stiffler

ABC council finished :

DUP - down 2
UUP - down 2
UKIP - down 1

SF - up 2
Alliance - up 3

Big loss for unionism in what was previously considered a stronghold.
GAABoard Fantasy Cheltenham Competition- Most winners 2009

tintin25

Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

giveherlong



marty34


armaghniac

Quote from: stiffler on May 04, 2019, 10:52:08 AM
ABC council finished :

DUP - down 2
UUP - down 2
UKIP - down 1

SF - up 2
Alliance - up 3

Big loss for unionism in what was previously considered a stronghold.

Big change. If there is anything like that next time, the unionists would not have a majority and it would be like Belfast.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

BennyCake

Quote from: tintin25 on May 04, 2019, 11:48:06 AM
Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

Aye because they're sick of the SF bullshitters

tintin25

Quote from: BennyCake on May 04, 2019, 02:58:52 PM
Quote from: tintin25 on May 04, 2019, 11:48:06 AM
Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

Aye because they're sick of the SF bullshitters

Indeed!

JPGJOHNNYG

Quote from: tintin25 on May 04, 2019, 11:48:06 AM
Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

It's been known for quite some time more Catholics than protestants vote alliance about 5 years ago a poll had it at 4 out of every 7

armaghniac

Final First Preference Votes #LE19 in Northern Ireland
DUP 24.1%
SF 23.2%
UUP 14.1%
SDLP 12%
APNI 11.5%
TUV 2.2%
GRN 2.1%
PBPA 1.4%
AONT 1.1%
PUP 0.8%
UKIP 0.4%
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B

marty34

Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on May 04, 2019, 03:55:08 PM
Quote from: tintin25 on May 04, 2019, 11:48:06 AM
Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

It's been known for quite some time more Catholics than protestants vote alliance about 5 years ago a poll had it at 4 out of every 7

The test will be in the Euro elections in a few weeks - do they give their first preference to SDLP or Alliance?

armaghniac

Quote from: marty34 on May 04, 2019, 04:49:54 PM
Quote from: JPGJOHNNYG on May 04, 2019, 03:55:08 PM
Quote from: tintin25 on May 04, 2019, 11:48:06 AM
Glad to see Alliance do well. I reckon a sizeable number of Catholics are starting to vote for them too.

It's been known for quite some time more Catholics than protestants vote alliance about 5 years ago a poll had it at 4 out of every 7

The test will be in the Euro elections in a few weeks - do they give their first preference to SDLP or Alliance?

There is a case for tactical voting for Alliance. If the SDLP are eliminated first, then Alliance would get transfers to pass the UU. If Alliance are eliminated first perhaps a third of the transfers might go to the UU and the UU might make it.

Two nationalist candidates getting elected would not really represent things; one unionist, one Alliance and one nationalist would be a fair representation of things.
If at first you don't succeed, then goto Plan B