6 County Assembly Elections - 5th May 2022

Started by Snapchap, February 23, 2022, 10:18:43 AM

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Armagh18


trileacman

The shinners on social media seem particularly oblivious to the fact their vote has hit something of a glass ceiling in NI and by the looks of it the failing SDLP vote is going the way of Aliiance. Whilst they'll take a lot of seats SF will be in particular trouble when alliance start running centrist Protestant candidates west of the Bann which will put a lot of pressure on SFs 3rd seats.
Fantasy Rugby World Cup Champion 2011,
Fantasy 6 Nations Champion 2014

Armagh18

Newry-Armagh 1st Count
C Boylan (SF) 9843
J Coade (Alliance) 3345
D Connolly (Aon) 1189
N Grant (WP) 160
C Henry (Green) 314
W Irwin (DUP) 7577
L Kimmins (SF) 7964
G Malone (Ind) 3157
J McNulty (SDLP) 6217
C Murphy (SF) 9847
K Ratcliffe (TUV) 5407
D Taylor (UUP) 3864
Q: 9815

Snapchap

#813
Quote from: trileacman on May 06, 2022, 05:59:03 PM
The shinners on social media seem particularly oblivious to the fact their vote has hit something of a glass ceiling in NI and by the looks of it the failing SDLP vote is going the way of Aliiance. Whilst they'll take a lot of seats SF will be in particular trouble when alliance start running centrist Protestant candidates west of the Bann which will put a lot of pressure on SFs 3rd seats.

LMAO it takes some going to take today's results and portray them as in ANY way bad for SF. How do you know it's a glass ceiling? It was said that 2017 results were the ceiling for them. Right up until last night, commentators unanimously agreed that SF would lose seats - potentially up to four. It looks at the minute that they will likely at least hold their seats and have increased their vote. Not much of a "glass ceiling' if it keeps getting broken through. And I think you are overstating the ability of Alliance West of the Bann. Their big hope in West Tyrone, Stephen Donnelly, is languishing in 7th position. Not even remotely close to threatening SFs third seat (currently Declan McAleer who is in third position. And you think that were Stephen a Protestant that that would have dramatically boosted his chances? A bizzare take you've got.

Dougal Maguire

Quote from: trileacman on May 06, 2022, 05:59:03 PM
The shinners on social media seem particularly oblivious to the fact their vote has hit something of a glass ceiling in NI and by the looks of it the failing SDLP vote is going the way of Aliiance. Whilst they'll take a lot of seats SF will be in particular trouble when alliance start running centrist Protestant candidates west of the Bann which will put a lot of pressure on SFs 3rd seats.
Nonsense. SF is clearly appealing to young voters whereas the SDLPs voters are largely older. Therefore as each election comes along we have additional young voters coming on stream who will continue to increase SFs vote while the SDLPs continues to fall as elderly voters are no longer with us.
Careful now

Armagh18

Who is the gobshite on radio ulster "great to see SF supporting democracy and taking it seriously as opposed to what they supported in the past and still support" Bitter bastard

Snapchap

From Terence O'Neill to Michelle O'Neill in just over 50 years.

And some people still think there'll never be a United Ireland.

Fear Bun Na Sceilpe

Quote from: Armagh18 on May 06, 2022, 05:53:29 PM
Some result in Foyle!!

Twas,Pádraig represents the new face of young nationalism, young gay man with no baggage .

Canny bear Ferguson and hopefully that piece of work McLaughlin doesn't get in

seafoid

Quote from: Snapchap on May 06, 2022, 07:32:31 PM
From Terence O'Neill to Michelle O'Neill in just over 50 years.

And some people still think there'll never be a United Ireland.
There wont unless the political economy is fixed
"f**k it, just score"- Donaghy   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbxG2WwVRjU

Fear Bun Na Sceilpe

Quote from: seafoid on May 06, 2022, 07:47:29 PM
Quote from: Snapchap on May 06, 2022, 07:32:31 PM
From Terence O'Neill to Michelle O'Neill in just over 50 years.

And some people still think there'll never be a United Ireland.
There wont unless the political economy is fixed

What economy lol, doesn't matter up here, we don't have one

screenexile

In any other election Donaldson would be out by Monday... the place is clean mad you here how would you even try to make sense of it all?

Should the rise of the middle ground mean an end to mandatory coalition of designations? If Sinn Fein and Alliance can agree a programme for Government surely they should be allowed to govern!

SHEEDY

Massive result in South Down with Sinn Fein taking 44% of first preference votes compared to 16% for SDLP. With Sinead Ennis and Cathy mason elected comfortably on the first count, a 3rd seat was a real possibility and maybe a missed opportunity.
nil satis nisi optimum

trileacman

Quote from: Snapchap on May 06, 2022, 06:18:26 PM
Quote from: trileacman on May 06, 2022, 05:59:03 PM
The shinners on social media seem particularly oblivious to the fact their vote has hit something of a glass ceiling in NI and by the looks of it the failing SDLP vote is going the way of Aliiance. Whilst they'll take a lot of seats SF will be in particular trouble when alliance start running centrist Protestant candidates west of the Bann which will put a lot of pressure on SFs 3rd seats.

LMAO it takes some going to take today's results and portray them as in ANY way bad for SF. How do you know it's a glass ceiling? It was said that 2017 results were the ceiling for them. Right up until last night, commentators unanimously agreed that SF would lose seats - potentially up to four. It looks at the minute that they will likely at least hold their seats and have increased their vote. Not much of a "glass ceiling' if it keeps getting broken through. And I think you are overstating the ability of Alliance West of the Bann. Their big hope in West Tyrone, Stephen Donnelly, is languishing in 7th position. Not even remotely close to threatening SFs third seat (currently Declan McAleer who is in third position. And you think that were Stephen a Protestant that that would have dramatically boosted his chances? A bizzare take you've got.

SF vote is falling in West Tyrone, Newry and Armagh, Foyle, Big traditional Nationalist areas. They hold the majority of seats here and keep a Protestant minority out of the running for most who usually have to pool their votes at the final round to get a token Unionist elected. Quite a few Unionist votes are left at home or lost in race for 5th place. If Alliance ran a candidate from a typical West Ulster Unionist background they'd still hold the Alliance vote, take a few floating voters off SF/SDLP and sweep up a good portion of Unionist who want to vote for someone with a chance of being elected.
Fantasy Rugby World Cup Champion 2011,
Fantasy 6 Nations Champion 2014

knockitdown

Talk of UUP and SDLP not making it into the executive. Do they have to get a specific number of candidates elected to get in or a specific number of votes?

JoG2

Quote from: trileacman on May 06, 2022, 08:09:37 PM
Quote from: Snapchap on May 06, 2022, 06:18:26 PM
Quote from: trileacman on May 06, 2022, 05:59:03 PM
The shinners on social media seem particularly oblivious to the fact their vote has hit something of a glass ceiling in NI and by the looks of it the failing SDLP vote is going the way of Aliiance. Whilst they'll take a lot of seats SF will be in particular trouble when alliance start running centrist Protestant candidates west of the Bann which will put a lot of pressure on SFs 3rd seats.

LMAO it takes some going to take today's results and portray them as in ANY way bad for SF. How do you know it's a glass ceiling? It was said that 2017 results were the ceiling for them. Right up until last night, commentators unanimously agreed that SF would lose seats - potentially up to four. It looks at the minute that they will likely at least hold their seats and have increased their vote. Not much of a "glass ceiling' if it keeps getting broken through. And I think you are overstating the ability of Alliance West of the Bann. Their big hope in West Tyrone, Stephen Donnelly, is languishing in 7th position. Not even remotely close to threatening SFs third seat (currently Declan McAleer who is in third position. And you think that were Stephen a Protestant that that would have dramatically boosted his chances? A bizzare take you've got.

SF vote is falling in West Tyrone, Newry and Armagh, Foyle, Big traditional Nationalist areas. They hold the majority of seats here and keep a Protestant minority out of the running for most who usually have to pool their votes at the final round to get a token Unionist elected. Quite a few Unionist votes are left at home or lost in race for 5th place. If Alliance ran a candidate from a typical West Ulster Unionist background they'd still hold the Alliance vote, take a few floating voters off SF/SDLP and sweep up a good portion of Unionist who want to vote for someone with a chance of being elected.

Up by 5000 according to the BBC there