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Messages - seafoid

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1
GAA Discussion / Re: Mayo V Monaghan Qualifier
« on: Today at 11:13:57 AM »
Mayo will run all day. A pity neither team managed to win Sam.

2
GAA Discussion / Re: Mayo V Monaghan Qualifier
« on: May 25, 2022, 07:02:33 AM »
Monaghan are so unpredictable and inconsistent even this years league showed that with beating Dublin and well beaten by Kildare. Under Banty they are more open defensively and less tactical aware than they were under O'Rourke and I think if Monaghan defend like they did against Derry whereby 3 goals was conceded could have been more i think Mayo will win.
Unpredictable and tactically naive under Saint Malachy as well, lost to Fermanagh, Longford, collapsed after being well ahead against Down and Cavan,  across 4 different championships and all when well fancied to win.

Yes he had his fair share of poor results against teams Monaghan was expected to beat though in the first three years under O'Rourke brought about three Ulster finals in a row, two titles and conceding just one goal in I think 10 Ulster championship games was a consistent period and of course 2018 reaching the All Ireland semi final was probably a peak.
It's all about timing. Monaghan don't have the luxury of time with a good team. In the Nudie era they couldn't get past Kerry. The 2013 team came up against financially doped Dublin. Last year might have been a chance another time  but it was too late. Would Monaghan at their peak have beaten Mayo in that final ?

4
General discussion / Re: Holidays
« on: May 24, 2022, 08:41:21 PM »
France has loads of different tourist regions . They all have decent weather in the summer.
The less frequented regions have better value. Franche comte is close to the Swiss border and Geneva airport

https://www.campings.com/fr/france/franche-comte
Good link, thank you. We are off to Chamonix in July, definitely not a less Frequented area, but will look up Franche comte for next time. Chamonix weather not reliable as you know!
Goes from the sublime to the ridiculous.

6
General discussion / Re: Premier League 2021-22
« on: May 24, 2022, 08:24:34 PM »

7
DUP
Stormont
Leisure Centre

8
GAA Discussion / Re: Sam Maguire Qualifiers 2022
« on: May 24, 2022, 10:11:58 AM »
The new system somewhat favours mid ranking D2 teams . No D3/4 predators and a handy draw might even result in a quarter final.

9
General discussion / Re: The next recession
« on: May 24, 2022, 09:45:26 AM »
Apple shares were at 182 on 3 January. They were at 138 yesterday.
It's all mechanical. The discount rate used to value the shares went from 1% to 2.5% because the Fed is fighting inflation.
The Fed is fighting inflation by raising interest  rates.

If the discount rate goes to 5% the share price would be expected to fall to 90.
At 7% the share price would be 65.

It will work in reverse when inflation has been extinguished. Say you buy the shares at 65. They might go back to 182

10
General discussion / Re: Russia invades Ukraine Feb 2022
« on: May 24, 2022, 09:31:03 AM »
https://www.ft.com/content/f299cb83-9f12-484b-8839-12ec96c87a72

 
Trashing Ukraine and making the west look weak, with the ultimate aim of strengthening the regime’s hold on power, is what drives Kremlin policy at the moment; with Putin as the winner and the only person who can save Russia,” says one European intelligence officer. 

 “Even though Russia’s operational focus has shifted to the east, we still see that Russia’s ultimate objective remains the same, which is to use military force to compel Ukraine to abandon its Euro-Atlantic orientation, and by extension reassert [Moscow’s] regional dominance,” says the senior Nato official
 

11
General discussion / Re: The Many Faces of US Politics...
« on: May 24, 2022, 01:51:18 AM »
US unemployment rate:



Unemployment is a backward looking metric. Inflation is out of control. There is evidence of wage price spirals where expectations of inflation are built into negotiations  The only solution to this is higher interest rates. Debt is very high. Say 5% would wipe a lot of borrowers out. Debt wasn't priced for now. Markets don't believe rates are going to increase.
"
The worst thing that ever could happen happened after the worst thing that ever could happen happened after the worst thing that ever could happen happened.  "

Carlton Douglas Ridenhour, AKA Chuck D

12
The HURLING MEN who suddenly care about Westmeath hurlers...They are talking about Westmeath hurlers on an RTÉ show that has never in my memory put them on telly live.

GPA original Donal Og is now on board for a games promotion argument in spite of the fact that players at all levels are keen on a split season.

Can anyone confirm when the Dub hurling championship is starting as I see lads on Twitter contradicting the Sept statement?

Now games promotion is the big worry even though most GAA players can't talk to media during the season bar crappy press nights. Like we lose so many youngsters every year to simply giving up and we are worried that the Premier League and Munster Rugby?!


Let's be honest the fun is only starting now!

Exactly. The "other sports" argument is not based on anything real. It's a bogeyman. Idleness is the competition - not other sports.
This entire argument is being pushed really hard by RTE and others in media - it's so transparent. Pretending they give two hoots about the Westmeath hurlers, when they shot their game against Wexford through the back end of a telescope. Almost every single player on the Westmeath hurling panel is a club footballer too. The majority with senior clubs. They have, at a minimum, 11 championship games ahead of them between hurling and football. Their season is far from over.

Not in June/July during a World Cup/euros. RTE sell ad space based on TAM ratings.  TV sport is competitive.
The GAA has a shop window and it's handing it over in August/September.

13
Dublin by 6
Kerry by 10
Galway by destiny ie 2
 Derry by 3

Offaly by 2
Tipp by 6
Westmeath by 6

Longford by 2
Antrim by 4
Sligo by 3
 Down by 3

14
General discussion / Re: Death Notices
« on: May 23, 2022, 04:20:26 PM »
Cathal Coughan.
Microdisney and Fatima Mansions fame.

Long illness aged 61.
Very talented. Sad news. Ceol na naingil go gcloise so.

15
General discussion / Re: Premier League 2021-22
« on: May 23, 2022, 03:01:42 PM »
I went to see Man City the fallen angels beat Gillingham in the old Division 3 playoff at Wembley in 1999.

Now they are a petrol club with psychological issues. It won't last. They'll never catch up with Liverpool and Man Utd.

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