The Big Bailout of the Eurozone (Another crisis coming? - Seriously)

Started by muppet, September 28, 2008, 11:36:36 PM

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orangeman

Quote from: muppet on February 02, 2009, 03:13:15 PM
Quote from: orangeman on February 02, 2009, 03:08:47 PM
Scary enough but where does inflation come into this ?

We will be talking about deflation from now on.



How do you cure deflation ??? Or do you want to cure it ?

muppet

Quote from: orangeman on February 02, 2009, 06:57:24 PM
Quote from: muppet on February 02, 2009, 03:13:15 PM
Quote from: orangeman on February 02, 2009, 03:08:47 PM
Scary enough but where does inflation come into this ?

We will be talking about deflation from now on.



How do you cure deflation ??? Or do you want to cure it ?

Dunno, get people spending I suppose.

This is from Wiki so the usual grain of salt warnings apply:

Quotethere is a fall in how much the whole economy is willing to buy, and the going price for goods. Because the price of goods is falling, consumers have an incentive to delay purchases and consumption until prices fall further, which in turn reduces overall economic activity - contributing to the deflationary spiral
MWWSI 2017

Bogball XV

Quote from: orangeman on February 02, 2009, 06:57:24 PM
Quote from: muppet on February 02, 2009, 03:13:15 PM
Quote from: orangeman on February 02, 2009, 03:08:47 PM
Scary enough but where does inflation come into this ?

We will be talking about deflation from now on.



How do you cure deflation ??? Or do you want to cure it ?
we certainly don't want global deflation, but for ireland, a couple of years of it would maybe bring us back into sync with the rest of europe - although as someone else pointed out previously, there are problems for both individuals and govt in trying to repay debts previously incurred as their incomes are decreasing.

kumquat

quick question lads. i know endowment policys are forecast to fall short of their expected yield, but will the credit crunch/recession increase this short fall?
Buy us a pint then Boselecta!!!

orangeman

How many hoses were sold / bought as past 10 years leaving the own of same in negative equity and who would now be faced with a difficulty in paying the mortgage. The answer to this might give the govt some indication as to how big the problem is amongst the general public.

thebigfella

Quote from: orangeman on February 02, 2009, 08:25:24 PM
How many hoses were sold / bought as past 10 years leaving the own of same in negative equity and who would now be faced with a difficulty in paying the mortgage. The answer to this might give the govt some indication as to how big the problem is amongst the general public.

I don't get that, if you could afford to pay the mortgage before the negative equity, why would that mean you can't meet your mortgage repayments? With interest rates falling are quiet a few people's mortgage repayments not less?

Declan

Quotei know endowment policys are forecast to fall short of their expected yield, but will the credit crunch/recession increase this short fall?

Yes I'd have thought

orangeman

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the Deel Rover

Quote from: orangeman on February 02, 2009, 04:54:26 PM
Wouldn't it be great to have a mortgage like this ???


No interest

Some borrowers will find they no longer have to pay any interest on their mortgages if the Bank Rate is cut to 1%.

The Cheltenham & Gloucester (C&G), one of the mortgage lending arms of Lloyds Banking Group, has 1,500 customers whose tracker deals are set at 1.01% below Bank Rate.

At first they will be charged at just 0.001%, to give the lender time to adjust its computer systems.

For someone with a £100,000 mortgage this would mean paying 8 pence a month in interest.

Then the customers will pay no interest at all, and will be repaid their small overpayment.

However, the C&G said it would not go as far as regularly repaying interest to these borrowers - a negative interest rate - as their deals have a "collar" that sets the minimum rate at 0%.



never heard of a tracker set at below a bank rate i have a tracker thats at .6% over the Ecb and i'm happy enough with that would rather if i had no mortgage though
Crossmolina Deel Rovers
All Ireland Club Champions 2001

Rois

Quote from: Declan on February 02, 2009, 06:38:21 PM
Now I see that Ernst & Young the auditors of Anglo are refusing to appear before the Public Accounts committee

I take it you didn't read the articles surrounding this that said they would be happy to cooperate with the committee when other investigations on internal bank matters (those closest to the undisclosed loans) had been completed.  Laying your anger at the door of the external auditor is rather ill-informed.  I'd start with the lowest level of authority in the bank and work my way upwards in any investigation - there are a few layers to get through before the external auditors become involved. 

Quote from: Declan on February 02, 2009, 06:38:21 PM
These b**tards have no shame and yet are part of the business classes that are currently lecturing us on the need to take pay cuts and cut public services >:( 
I think your emotions are running away with you.  "Business classes"?  What does that mean?  How can Anglo's external auditors be blamed for government policies on trying to resolve the current situation?

Bogball XV

Quote from: Rois on February 03, 2009, 11:11:55 AM


Quote from: Declan on February 02, 2009, 06:38:21 PM
These b**tards have no shame and yet are part of the business classes that are currently lecturing us on the need to take pay cuts and cut public services >:( 
I think your emotions are running away with you.  "Business classes"?  What does that mean?  How can Anglo's external auditors be blamed for government policies on trying to resolve the current situation?

Maybe it's a little harsh to call poor E&Y those horrible names, but they have quite a bit of explaining to do as to why they didn't make shareholders aware of the chairman's loans.  The public perception (whether justified or not) is that all these guys such as the E&Y partners and Seanie are mates, play tennis and golf together, probably played a bit of rugger together at school too and that's why transparency is such a problem in the irish business community.

Smokin Joe

have any of the auditor bashers heard of "the expectation's gap"?

http://www.abrema.net/abrema/expect_gap_g.html

Billys Boots

If auditors can't 'find' evidence (even when they're not looking for it) of mismanagement on the Anglo scale, then either: (a) Anglo were masters of deceit, or (b) they're not doing their job adequately.  If (a) is true, and the auditors can be codded, is there a point to the 'audit' at all?
My hands are stained with thistle milk ...

passedit

Quote from: Billys Boots on February 03, 2009, 01:34:35 PM
If auditors can't 'find' evidence (even when they're not looking for it) of mismanagement on the Anglo scale, then either: (a) Anglo were masters of deceit, or (b) they're not doing their job adequately.  If (a) is true, and the auditors can be codded, is there a point to the 'audit' at all?

Indeed Billy, i'd expect a layman never mind an experienced auditor to spot 82m dissappearing then reappearing annually. I'd be interested to see what the revenue commissioners eventually make of these loans.
Don't Panic

Bogball XV

Quote from: Smokin Joe on February 03, 2009, 01:13:20 PM
have any of the auditor bashers heard of "the expectation's gap"?

http://www.abrema.net/abrema/expect_gap_g.html
yeah and the auditor is a watchdog, not a bloodhound etc etc etc - still loans of €127M out of a total loan book of 60Bn would be expected to be identified, especially when they're being moved in and out in the same fashion for 6/7 years in a row - what do they call that again - Window Dressing??